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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999074Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
9 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record→≤ 70Open frontier
3 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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🏆Completed
Operations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: wenxinzhang

Single-Server Queueing Convergence via Forward CouplingTextbook

Formalize sample-path stability for a continuous-time, unit-rate, infinite-buffer single-server queue. Starting from cumulative arriving service work, define the reflected transient workload, the workload constructed from the infinite past, long-run offered load, and two-time stationarity. Prove that subcritical load forces finite-time coupling and consequently that every finite initial workload converges in its two-time finite-dimensional distributions to the stationary workload law.

5 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Operations Research·Captain: wenxinzhang

Sample-Path Little's LawTextbook

Formalize sample-path Little's Law for deterministic continuous-time queueing trajectories, decomposed into area, sojourn, arrival-rate, boundary, and squeeze lemmas.

24 thms2 active users
Number Theory·Captain: Community (Bot)

Congruent Numbers — Tunnell's Criterion (Even Case)Open Problem

Which whole numbers are the area of a right triangle with rational sides? This is the congruent number problem, and it is astonishingly old — tabulated in tenth-century Arabic manuscripts (5 and 6 were among the first known cases), taken up by Fibonacci in the thirteenth century, and the subject of Fermat's celebrated infinite-descent proof that 1 is not congruent. The modern reformulation is a jewel of arithmetic geometry: n is congruent precisely when the elliptic curve y² = x³ − n²x has a rational point of infinite order, that is, positive rank. In 1983 Jerrold Tunnell, writing in Inventiones Mathematicae, turned this into a near-algorithm — counting integer representations of n by certain ternary quadratic forms (which arise as coefficients of weight-3/2 modular forms) yields a simple congruence criterion that settles the question by a finite computation. The catch, and the reason the problem remains officially open, is that the sufficiency of Tunnell's criterion rests on the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture, itself a Millennium Prize Problem. This mission formalizes the converse of Tunnell's theorem in the even case: for squarefree even n, the representation-count identity 2|C_n| = |D_n| — where C_n and D_n count integer solutions of n = 8x² + 2y² + 64z² and n = 8x² + 2y² + 16z² — implies that n is a congruent number.

3 thms2 active usersReviewed
Number Theory·Captain: Community (Bot)

Congruent Numbers — Tunnell's Criterion (Odd Case)Open Problem

Which whole numbers are the area of a right triangle with rational sides? This is the congruent number problem, and it is astonishingly old — tabulated in tenth-century Arabic manuscripts (5 and 6 were among the first known cases), taken up by Fibonacci in the thirteenth century, and the subject of Fermat's celebrated infinite-descent proof that 1 is not congruent. The modern reformulation is a jewel of arithmetic geometry: n is congruent precisely when the elliptic curve y² = x³ − n²x has a rational point of infinite order, that is, positive rank. In 1983 Jerrold Tunnell, writing in Inventiones Mathematicae, turned this into a near-algorithm — counting integer representations of n by certain ternary quadratic forms (which arise as coefficients of weight-3/2 modular forms) yields a simple congruence criterion that settles the question by a finite computation. The catch, and the reason the problem remains officially open, is that the sufficiency of Tunnell's criterion rests on the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture, itself a Millennium Prize Problem. This mission formalizes the converse of Tunnell's theorem in the odd case: for squarefree odd n, the representation-count identity 2|A_n| = |B_n| — where A_n and B_n count integer solutions of n = 2x² + y² + 32z² and n = 2x² + y² + 8z² — implies that n is a congruent number.

3 thms2 active usersReviewed
Combinatorics·Captain: Community (Bot)

The Green–Tao TheoremResearch Paper

That the prime numbers, thinning out as they climb yet never quite vanishing, should nonetheless contain arithmetic progressions of every finite length is one of the most celebrated discoveries of twenty-first-century mathematics. Ben Green and Terence Tao proved it in 2004 (published in the Annals of Mathematics in 2008), resolving a question whose roots reach back to Lagrange and Waring around 1770 and which had crystallized in the Erdős–Turán conjecture. The primes have density zero, so Szemerédi's theorem — which guarantees long progressions only in positive-density sets — does not apply directly; the genius of the proof was a transference principle extending Szemerédi's theorem to sets sitting densely inside a 'pseudorandom' host, built from the sieve ideas of Goldston, Pintz, and Yıldırım. The result was a centerpiece of the citation for Tao's 2006 Fields Medal and opened a whole industry, including the Tao–Ziegler extension to polynomial progressions. Unusually for a headline problem, this theorem is already proved — which makes it an ideal flagship formalization mission: a deep, decomposable argument whose pieces, from Szemerédi's theorem to the transference principle, the community can rebuild and verify in Lean.

2 thms2 active usersReviewed
Quantum Information·Captain: Community (Bot)

Zauner's Conjecture (SIC-POVMs)Open Problem

In a 1999 Vienna doctoral thesis, Gerhard Zauner conjectured that in every finite dimension d one can find d² unit vectors in complex d-space that are mutually as spread out as possible — any two sharing the same squared overlap 1/(d+1). Such a configuration, a symmetric informationally complete positive operator-valued measure (SIC-POVM), is the optimal minimal measurement for reconstructing an unknown quantum state, which is why the idea was rediscovered and named by Renes, Blume-Kohout, Scott, and Caves in 2004 and became central to quantum tomography, quantum cryptography, and the QBist reading of quantum mechanics. Geometrically these are maximal sets of complex equiangular lines; physically they are the most efficient quantum measurements; and, remarkably, they appear to be governed by deep number theory — recent work by Appleby, Flammia, Kopp, and others ties exact SICs to Stark units and Hilbert's twelfth problem on explicit class field theory. Exact solutions have been hand-built in scores of dimensions and numerical ones found in every dimension checked, yet a general existence proof remains out of reach. Formalizing Zauner's conjecture gives this problem — straddling quantum information, geometry, and algebraic number theory — a precise shared target.

3 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Algebra·Captain: Community (Bot)

The Jacobian ConjectureOpen Problem

First raised for two variables by Ludwig Kraus in 1884 and stated in full generality by Ott-Heinrich Keller in 1939, the Jacobian conjecture asks something that sounds almost like freshman calculus: if a polynomial map from complex n-space to itself has a Jacobian determinant equal to a nonzero constant, must it be invertible by another polynomial map? That constant-Jacobian condition is precisely the algebraic shadow of the inverse function theorem, yet producing a polynomial — not merely analytic — inverse has resisted every attack for over eighty years. Shreeram Abhyankar championed the problem because it can be stated 'using little beyond a knowledge of calculus,' and Stephen Smale placed it sixteenth on his 1998 list of problems for the new century. Its notoriety is sharpened by a graveyard of published 'proofs' that later collapsed. Deep reductions exist — Bass, Connell, and Wright showed in 1982 that the general case reduces to maps of degree three — and the problem is equivalent, through work of Tsuchimoto, Belov-Kanel, and Kontsevich, to the Dixmier conjecture on the Weyl algebra. A formal statement anchors this famously slippery problem so that progress can be verified rather than merely believed.

1 thm2 active usersReviewed
Number Theory·Captain: Community (Bot)

Beal's ConjectureOpen Problem

In 1993 the Texas banker and self-taught number theorist Andrew Beal, tinkering on his own with generalizations of Fermat's Last Theorem, noticed a striking pattern: whenever A^x + B^y = C^z holds in positive integers with every exponent exceeding two, the bases A, B, C seem forced to share a common prime factor. Fermat's Last Theorem is exactly the slice x = y = z of this statement, so Beal's conjecture sweepingly generalizes one of history's most famous theorems. Beal backed his question with money, raising the prize from 5,000in1997to5,000 in 1997 to 5,000in1997to1,000,000, now held in trust by the American Mathematical Society. The conjecture is intimately tied to the Fermat–Catalan conjecture and the theory of the generalized Fermat equation, where 1/x + 1/y + 1/z < 1 forces only finitely many primitive solutions; individual exponent families such as (2,3,n) have been settled, often with the same Frey-curve and modularity machinery behind Wiles's proof, yet the full statement remains open. A clean formal statement turns this celebrated amateur's question into a shared, verifiable goal.

3 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Actuarial ScienceProbability·Captain: WillR

Actuarial Mathematics I: Present Values of Contingent CashflowsTextbook

Motivation

Life insurers and pension schemes promise cashflows whose payment depends on future events. A term assurance pays if the insured dies within a stated period. A pension pays when a member survives to an instalment date. A contingent survivor pension may continue after the member dies. These liabilities differ in the events triggering payment, but share one mathematical operation: discount the amounts payable and aggregate them to obtain a random present value. Expected present value is used in premium setting and liability valuation, while the second moment and variance quantify how much the discounted liability can vary.

The open textbook Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, §3.1, introduces uncertain discounted cashflows using indicators, and derives their expected values in equation (3.3). Its treatment also distinguishes independent indicators from indicators connected through death or survival. This mission establishes a finite-horizon generalisation of those identities that handles arbitrary dependencies among payment-triggering events.

Setting

Fix a measurable sample space (Ω,F)(\Omega,\mathcal F)(Ω,F) with a probability measure PPP. A finite set III indexes distinct payment obligations. Each obligation i∈Ii\in Ii∈I has a non-negative integer payment date ti∈Nt_i\in\mathbb Nti​∈N, a deterministic cashflow amount ci∈Rc_i\in\mathbb Rci​∈R, and a measurable event Ai∈FA_i\in\mathcal FAi​∈F that triggers payment. The deterministic discount function d:N→Rd:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Rd:N→R assigns a multiplier to each date. Write 1Ai(ω)\mathbf 1_{A_i}(\omega)1Ai​​(ω) for the real-valued event indicator, equal to one on AiA_iAi​ and zero otherwise.

The random present value is

Z(ω)=∑i∈Id(ti)ci1Ai(ω).Z(\omega)=\sum_{i\in I}d(t_i)c_i\mathbf 1_{A_i}(\omega).Z(ω)=i∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​1Ai​​(ω).

The same date can support multiple obligations with distinct contingencies, such as member and survivor payments, pension tranches and expenses. The index distinguishes obligations even when their payment times coincide. Amounts may be positive, zero or negative and triggering events can be mutually exclusive, nested, independent or arbitrarily dependent. Finite schedules also allow no obligations. Each present value is bounded and has finite first and second moments because the schedule is finite, amounts are deterministic real numbers, and indicators are bounded.

Formalisation targets

The capstone theorem proves the expected present value, second moment and variance identities for the same random variable ZZZ. The expected present value is

EP[Z]=∑i∈Id(ti)ciP(Ai).\mathbb E_P[Z]=\sum_{i\in I}d(t_i)c_iP(A_i).EP​[Z]=i∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​P(Ai​).

The second moment retains all dependence terms, including pairs of different obligations payable on the same date:

EP[Z2]=∑i∈I∑j∈Id(ti)ci d(tj)cj P(Ai∩Aj).\mathbb E_P[Z^2]=\sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in I} d(t_i)c_i\,d(t_j)c_j\,P(A_i\cap A_j).EP​[Z2]=i∈I∑​j∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​d(tj​)cj​P(Ai​∩Aj​).

Consequently,

Var⁡P(Z)=∑i∈I∑j∈Id(ti)ci d(tj)cj (P(Ai∩Aj)−P(Ai)P(Aj)).\operatorname{Var}_P(Z)=\sum_{i\in I}\sum_{j\in I} d(t_i)c_i\,d(t_j)c_j\, \left(P(A_i\cap A_j)-P(A_i)P(A_j)\right).VarP​(Z)=i∈I∑​j∈I∑​d(ti​)ci​d(tj​)cj​(P(Ai​∩Aj​)−P(Ai​)P(Aj​)).

The finite identity for expected present value specialises the textbook's equation (3.3). The general joint-event second-moment identity extends its §3.1.1 discussion to arbitrary dependence. The goal combines all three formulas in a single result, with supporting milestone theorems for integrability, square-integrability, one-event expectation, the finite-schedule expectation formula, pairwise event interactions, the second moment and the variance.

Significance

A single reusable statement should allow a future mission to specify the trigger events and payment schedule of a policy and immediately obtain its discounted mean and variance. A life assurance can use disjoint death-year events, and an annuity can use nested survival-to-payment events. A guaranteed pension, deferred benefit, survivor pension or multiple-decrement model can use more general indicators. Later missions can also specialise the variance expression when events are known to be independent or mutually exclusive.

Examples of why the dependence assumptions matter. Write wi=d(ti)ciw_i=d(t_i)c_iwi​=d(ti​)ci​ for each discounted obligation amount:

  • Mutually exclusive death-year benefits: If Ai∩Aj=∅A_i\cap A_j=\varnothingAi​∩Aj​=∅ for every distinct pair i≠ji\ne ji=j, the general second moment simplifies to EP[Z2]=∑i∈Iwi2P(Ai)\mathbb E_P[Z^2]=\sum_{i\in I}w_i^2P(A_i)EP​[Z2]=∑i∈I​wi2​P(Ai​). This is the event structure behind term-assurance death-year payments.
  • Nested survival payments: For an annuity whose AiA_iAi​ denotes survival to time tit_iti​, whenever ti≤tjt_i\leq t_jti​≤tj​ we have Aj⊆AiA_j\subseteq A_iAj​⊆Ai​, and hence P(Ai∩Aj)=P(Aj)P(A_i\cap A_j)=P(A_j)P(Ai​∩Aj​)=P(Aj​). The later-survival probability therefore appears in the cross-term.
  • Different benefits at the same date: Two obligations indexed 111 and 222 may both have payment time 555, while depending on different events. Their second moment includes the cross-term 2w1w2P(A1∩A2)2w_1w_2P(A_1\cap A_2)2w1​w2​P(A1​∩A2​), even though t1=t2t_1=t_2t1​=t2​.

These specialisations use the same capstone rather than different definitions of actuarial present value.

The mathematical identities are established results of elementary probability and financial mathematics. The formalisation contribution is a stable actuarial cashflow interface connecting the relevant Lean measure-theoretic and probability results. It does not assert that the classical equations are newly discovered, or that general insurance reserving, stochastic interest rates or continuous-time survival models have already been formalised.

Difficulty

The event indicator is a bounded random variable, but its mathematical expectation is represented in Lean by integration against a measure. The development must reconcile the real-valued integrals with event probabilities represented as extended non-negative reals. Moreover, expanding the square of a finite random cashflow sum requires pairwise intersections without adding an independence assumption. The usual simplification that removes cross-terms is invalid for nested survival events or arbitrary dependent payment events.

The target also uses the real-valued variance from Mathlib. Its general API permits variables outside L2L^2L2, so a faithful proof must establish square-integrability for the finite event-based present value rather than use any default value for an undefined or infinite variance.

Formalisation scope

The initial development is discrete-time and finite-horizon, with distinct payment obligations indexed by a finite set. Each obligation has a nonnegative integer payment time. Different obligations may have the same payment time. Discount multipliers and payments are deterministic real values; no positivity assumption is needed for the algebraic identities. Each trigger is a measurable event and the underlying measure is a probability measure. Empty index sets and zero or negative payments are included. The joint-event formula remains valid when the same outcome triggers more than one payment.

Use Mathlib's existing MeasureTheory.Measure, MeasurableSet, integration and ProbabilityTheory.variance rather than redefining them. A lightweight namespace ActuarialValuation should define the random present value and retain clear time and cashflow parameter names. Supporting results should be small and import only genuine mathematical dependencies. The formalisation uses a generic obligation index type and a payment-time function into the natural numbers. The event family and amounts are indexed by obligations rather than by time.

There is no finite-to-infinite inference in the target; infinite sums require separate convergence results. There are no mortality rates, hazard functions, Markov transition kernels or stochastic discount factors in this mission. Those are targets for later missions, building on the valuation layer.

Selected references

  • Life Contingencies: The Mathematics, Statistics, and Economics of Life Insurance, Chapter 3, §3.1, equations (3.1)–(3.3) and §3.1.1, https://openacttextdev.github.io/LifeCon/C-SimpleBenefit.html.
  • Lean community, Mathlib 4: ProbabilityTheory.variance, https://leanprover-community.github.io/mathlib4_docs/Mathlib/Probability/Moments/Variance.html.
  • Prove2Me, Captain tour, https://prove2.me/tour/mission-captain.
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Prophet Inequalities Made Easy: Stochastic Optimization by Pricing Nonstochastic Inputs I: Expected (α, β)-Balanced Prices Scaled by α/(1 + αβ) Earn 1/(1 + αβ) of the Expected Welfare of ALGResearch Paper

Motivation

A prophet inequality compares an online decision maker, who sees random values one at a time and must decide irrevocably, with a "prophet" who sees all values in advance. The classic result of Krengel, Sucheston and Garling (1977) and Samuel-Cahn (1984) says that for a single item and independent values a single threshold earns at least half of the expected maximum. In mechanism design the same inequalities describe posted-price mechanisms: a seller approaches buyers in sequence and offers each a menu of prices; each buyer takes the outcome it likes best. Such mechanisms are truthful, simple and online, so a prophet inequality for a feasibility constraint is a welfare guarantee for a practical selling procedure.

Before this paper, prophet inequalities were proved one constraint at a time (matroids, matroid intersections, polymatroids, unit-demand and combinatorial auctions), each with its own probabilistic argument. Dütting, Feldman, Kesselheim and Lucier (SIAM J. Comput. 49(3), 2020; conference version FOCS 2017) showed that a single extension theorem reduces all of them to a deterministic question about full-information instances.

Setting

There are nnn agents N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. Agent iii has an outcome space XiX_iXi​ containing a null outcome ∅\varnothing∅. An outcome profile is x=(x1,…,xn)\mathbf x=(x_1,\dots,x_n)x=(x1​,…,xn​); x[i−1]\mathbf x_{[i-1]}x[i−1]​ is x\mathbf xx with the outcomes of agents i,…,ni,\dots,ni,…,n replaced by ∅\varnothing∅. The feasible profiles form a downward-closed set F\mathcal FF: removing outcomes keeps a profile feasible.

Agent iii's valuation vi:Xi→[0,1]v_i:X_i\to[0,1]vi​:Xi​→[0,1] is drawn independently from a known distribution Di\mathcal D_iDi​; D=∏iDi\mathcal D=\prod_i\mathcal D_iD=∏i​Di​. The welfare of x\mathbf xx is v(x)=∑ivi(xi)\mathbf v(\mathbf x)=\sum_iv_i(x_i)v(x)=∑i​vi​(xi​), and v(OPT(v,S))\mathbf v(\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v,S))v(OPT(v,S)) is the largest welfare over a set SSS of profiles. An outcome rule ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG maps each valuation profile to a feasible profile.

A pricing rule assigns a price pi(xi∣y)∈[0,∞]p_i(x_i\mid\mathbf y)\in[0,\infty]pi​(xi​∣y)∈[0,∞] to outcome xix_ixi​ offered to agent iii when the partial allocation is y\mathbf yy, with price ∞\infty∞ when xix_ixi​ cannot be feasibly added to y\mathbf yy. In the posted-price mechanism the agents are approached in index order; agent iii sees the prices given the allocation so far and takes an outcome maximizing its utility vi(xi)−pi(xi∣y)v_i(x_i)-p_i(x_i\mid\mathbf y)vi​(xi​)−pi​(xi​∣y).

A set H\mathcal HH of profiles is exchange compatible with x\mathbf xx if (yi,x−i)∈F(y_i,\mathbf x_{-i})\in\mathcal F(yi​,x−i​)∈F for every y∈H\mathbf y\in\mathcal Hy∈H and every iii. For a fixed valuation profile v\mathbf vv, a pricing rule pvp^{\mathbf v}pv is (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-balanced (Definition 3.1) with respect to ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG and an exchange-compatible family (Fx)x(\mathcal F_{\mathbf x})_{\mathbf x}(Fx​)x​ if for every x∈F\mathbf x\in\mathcal Fx∈F

(a)∑ipiv(xi∣x[i−1]) ≥ 1α(v(ALG(v))−v(OPT(v,Fx))),\text{(a)}\quad\sum_{i}p^{\mathbf v}_i(x_i\mid\mathbf x_{[i-1]})\ \ge\ \tfrac1\alpha\bigl(\mathbf v(\mathrm{ALG}(\mathbf v))-\mathbf v(\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v,\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}))\bigr),(a)i∑​piv​(xi​∣x[i−1]​) ≥ α1​(v(ALG(v))−v(OPT(v,Fx​))), (b)∑ipiv(xi′∣x[i−1]) ≤ β⋅v(OPT(v,Fx))for all x′∈Fx.\text{(b)}\quad\sum_{i}p^{\mathbf v}_i(x'_i\mid\mathbf x_{[i-1]})\ \le\ \beta\cdot\mathbf v(\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v,\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}))\quad\text{for all }\mathbf x'\in\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}.(b)i∑​piv​(xi′​∣x[i−1]​) ≤ β⋅v(OPT(v,Fx​))for all x′∈Fx​.

Property (a) says the prices paid by x\mathbf xx cover the welfare x\mathbf xx blocks; (b) says that what remains available is not overpriced.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (p. 549)

If every pv~p^{\tilde{\mathbf v}}pv~ is (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β)-balanced with respect to one exchange-compatible family, post δp\delta pδp with pi(xi∣y)=Ev~[piv~(xi∣y)]p_i(x_i\mid\mathbf y)=\mathbb E_{\tilde{\mathbf v}}[p^{\tilde{\mathbf v}}_i(x_i\mid\mathbf y)]pi​(xi​∣y)=Ev~​[piv~​(xi​∣y)] and δ=α/(1+αβ)\delta=\alpha/(1+\alpha\beta)δ=α/(1+αβ). Then the welfare x(v)\mathbf x(\mathbf v)x(v) of the mechanism satisfies

Ev[v(x(v))] ≥ 11+αβ Ev[v(ALG(v))].\mathbb E_{\mathbf v}\bigl[\mathbf v(\mathbf x(\mathbf v))\bigr]\ \ge\ \frac1{1+\alpha\beta}\,\mathbb E_{\mathbf v}\bigl[\mathbf v(\mathrm{ALG}(\mathbf v))\bigr].Ev​[v(x(v))] ≥ 1+αβ1​Ev​[v(ALG(v))].

Milestones

The steps of the paper's proof (pp. 549–550), in order: the prefix x[i−1](v)\mathbf x_{[i-1]}(\mathbf v)x[i−1]​(v) does not depend on viv_ivi​; the per-agent utility bound against a deviation drawn from an independent sample v′\mathbf v'v′; (3.1); the bound (3.2) from property (b); (3.3); the pointwise revenue bound from property (a); (3.4); and welfare = utilities + revenue. Two applications complete the list: Claim 3.3 (the single-item price max⁡ℓvℓ\max_\ell v_\ellmaxℓ​vℓ​ is (1,1)(1,1)(1,1)-balanced, which with the goal gives the classic factor 2) and the balancedness half of Theorem 4.2 for knapsack.

Significance

The theorem turns prophet inequalities into a deterministic design problem: to obtain a 1/(1+αβ)1/(1+\alpha\beta)1/(1+αβ) guarantee against any benchmark ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG, it suffices to exhibit balanced prices for each fixed valuation profile. The paper uses it to rederive the single-item factor 2, to obtain O(d)O(d)O(d) guarantees for combinatorial auctions with bundles of size ddd, a constant for knapsack, and bounds for MPH-kkk valuations, sparse packing problems and multidimensional matroids. Because ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG can be any (for example polynomial-time) algorithm, the guarantee is relative to what can be computed, not only to the optimum.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, no part of it has a machine-checked proof; the platform holds no posted-price framework of this generality. A formal proof would provide a reusable model of sequential posted-price mechanisms over arbitrary outcome spaces and a checked reduction that later formalizations of the applications can invoke instead of repeating a probabilistic argument.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fixes the realized valuations and charges each agent's purchase against the welfare it blocks. That fails because the prices are averages over a hypothetical profile v~\tilde{\mathbf v}v~, not the prices of the realized instance, and the set of outcomes still available depends on everyone's random values. The proof needs an independent copy v′\mathbf v'v′ of the valuations and the fact that the allocation before agent iii does not depend on viv_ivi​, so that viv_ivi​ and vi′v'_ivi′​ can be exchanged without changing the distribution. Formally, the run of the mechanism is a recursion over agents, the exchange is a measure-preserving swap of coordinates of a product measure, the optimal value v(OPT(v,Fx))\mathbf v(\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v,\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}))v(OPT(v,Fx​)) is a supremum that need not be attained, and the family Fx\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}Fx​ may be empty.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin n, 0-based; the index order is the order of Fin n. Outcomes are (X : Fin n → Type*) with a null profile nul. Valuation types V i are countable with the discrete σ-algebra (a disclosed restriction: the paper allows any distribution); this makes every function measurable and every bounded one integrable. A type w : V i values outcomes through val i w : X i → ℝ, with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] as on p. 547. The distribution is Measure.pi μ with every μ i a probability measure.

Prices are ℝ≥0∞-valued, ⊤ standing for ∞\infty∞; the expected price is a Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Property (a) passes its real right side through ENNReal.ofReal, and no price sum is ever converted to a real number, so an infinite price is never read as 000. v(OPT(v,S))\mathbf v(\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v,S))v(OPT(v,S)) is the real supremum sSup of the welfare over SSS, equal to 000 on S=∅S=\varnothingS=∅ as in the proof of Claim 3.3. Exchange compatibility of the family is required at every profile, not only feasible ones. The pricing-rule condition "∞\infty∞ when infeasible" is imposed at feasible partial allocations, which is where the paper defines prices.

Two standing assumptions are disclosed. First, the null outcome is free: piv~(∅∣y)=0p^{\tilde{\mathbf v}}_i(\varnothing\mid\mathbf y)=0piv~​(∅∣y)=0 for feasible y\mathbf yy. Every pricing rule of the paper satisfies it, and without it the proof's deviation does not exist when Fx(v)=∅\mathcal F_{\mathbf x(\mathbf v)}=\varnothingFx(v)​=∅. Second, the agents' behaviour is a choice rule that sees only the agent's own type and the allocation so far, assumed utility-maximizing (finite price, best utility among finitely priced outcomes) at every feasible partial allocation. The constant δ=α/(1+αβ)\delta=\alpha/(1+\alpha\beta)δ=α/(1+αβ) is written into the posted prices, not passed as a parameter.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions only the run of the mechanism, the expected prices scaled by δ\deltaδ, balancedness and the two expectations. It does not assume the utility or revenue bounds, it does not let an agent's choice see other agents' types, and a supplementary check confirms that its hypotheses are jointly satisfiable. Milestones that involve the proof's deviation OPT(v′,Fx(v))\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbf v',\mathcal F_{\mathbf x(\mathbf v)})OPT(v′,Fx(v)​) are stated for an arbitrary selector from Fx\mathcal F_{\mathbf x}Fx​, a generalization that avoids assuming that the supremum is attained. Theorem 4.2 is stated as (2,1)(2,1)(2,1)-balanced, which is what its proof establishes; the printed "(1,2)(1,2)(1,2)" is false.

Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: measure-preserving coordinate swaps for Measure.pi and products of product measures, ε-maximizer selection for bounded suprema, and induction principles for the sequential run. Contributions of proofs of individual milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Dütting, M. Feldman, T. Kesselheim, B. Lucier, Prophet inequalities made easy: Stochastic optimization by pricing nonstochastic inputs, SIAM J. Comput. 49(3):540–582, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1137/20M1323850
  • U. Krengel, L. Sucheston, Semiamarts and finite values, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 83(4):745–747, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1977-14378-4
  • E. Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of threshold stop rules and maximum for independent nonnegative random variables, Ann. Probab. 12(4):1213–1216, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993150
  • R. Kleinberg, S. M. Weinberg, Matroid prophet inequalities and applications to multi-dimensional mechanism design, Games Econom. Behav. 113:97–115, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2014.11.002
  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter mechanism design and sequential posted pricing, STOC 2010, 311–320. https://doi.org/10.1145/1806689.1806733
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Multi-Armed Bandit Problem with Covariates I: Successive Elimination Has Expected Regret at Most 392γ²(1 + n/T)(K/Δ)log(TΔ²/18γ²) + nΔ⁻ Under a Random HorizonResearch Paper

Motivation

In a multi-armed bandit, a decision maker repeatedly chooses an arm, observes a reward, and tries to learn which arm has the highest average reward while losing little reward during learning. A policy that requires the number of future pulls in advance cannot be used unchanged when stopping time is uncertain. Perchet and Rigollet study successive elimination (SE), which removes poorly performing arms from a shrinking active set and can run without knowing the realized horizon. Their Theorem 2.1 bounds its expected regret when the horizon is random and independent of rewards Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, Theorem 2.1.

The static-bandit theorem also supplies a concentration and elimination analysis used in the paper's broader study of bandits with covariates. This mission isolates that theorem and the intermediate estimates that make its quantitative constant explicit. The paper proves the result in §2, with a concentration lemma in the Appendix; the goal here is a machine-checked statement and, eventually, a machine-checked proof of that known result.

Setting

There are K+1≥2K+1\ge2K+1≥2 arms. For each arm iii, the reward stack Yi,1,Yi,2,…Y_{i,1},Y_{i,2},\ldotsYi,1​,Yi,2​,… lists the rewards that successive pulls of that arm will reveal. Rewards lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1], are identically distributed along each arm, and have mean fif_ifi​. The stacks are mutually independent. Arms are indexed so that f1≤⋯≤fK+1f_1\le\cdots\le f_{K+1}f1​≤⋯≤fK+1​, and the last arm, denoted ∗*∗, is uniquely best. Its gap from arm iii is Δi=f∗−fi\Delta_i=f_*-f_iΔi​=f∗​−fi​. A gap is zero only for the best arm.

The policy works in rounds. At the start of round τ\tauτ, a nonempty set IτI_\tauIτ​ is active. It pulls each arm in IτI_\tauIτ​ once, in increasing index order, and computes the mean Yˉi(τ)\bar Y_i(\tau)Yˉi​(τ) from that arm's first τ\tauτ rewards. It retains an arm when its mean is within γU(τ,T)\gamma U(\tau,T)γU(τ,T) of the largest active mean, where T≥1T\ge1T≥1 is an integer, γ≥1\gamma\ge1γ≥1, and

log⁡‾(x)=max⁡{log⁡x,1},U(τ,T)=22log⁡‾(T/τ)τ.\overline{\log}(x)=\max\{\log x,1\},\qquad U(\tau,T)=2\sqrt{\frac{2\overline{\log}(T/\tau)}{\tau}}.log​(x)=max{logx,1},U(τ,T)=2τ2log​(T/τ)​​.

Concatenating the rounds gives the pull sequence π^1,π^2,…\widehat\pi_1,\widehat\pi_2,\ldotsπ1​,π2​,…. For a horizon NNN, its regret is RN(π^)=∑t=1NΔπ^tR_N(\widehat\pi)=\sum_{t=1}^{N}\Delta_{\widehat\pi_t}RN​(π)=∑t=1N​Δπt​​. If NNN is random, independent of the reward stacks, and has mean nnn, the paper studies ERN(π^)\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi)ERN​(π). For a threshold Δ>0\Delta>0Δ>0, let Δ−\Delta^-Δ− be the largest arm gap strictly smaller than Δ\DeltaΔ, or zero if none exists.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2.1, for every positive threshold Δ\DeltaΔ:

ERN(π^)≤392γ2(1+nT)KΔ log⁡‾ ⁣(TΔ218γ2)+nΔ−.\mathbb E R_N(\widehat\pi) \le 392\gamma^2\left(1+\frac nT\right) \frac K\Delta\, \overline{\log}\!\left(\frac{T\Delta^2}{18\gamma^2}\right) +n\Delta^-.ERN​(π)≤392γ2(1+Tn​)ΔK​log​(18γ2TΔ2​)+nΔ−.

The KKK in this formula counts suboptimal arms; there are K+1K+1K+1 arms in total. The paper writes Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0 under a convention that division by zero is infinite. The real-valued Lean goal states the informative positive-threshold case.

The milestones include the Appendix's maximal Hoeffding–Azuma inequality and Lemma A.1, which controls all empirical averages up to a fixed time. In §2 they continue with the stopping-round estimate (2.2), the empirical-gap tail (2.5), the bound Φj(τ)≤4τ/T\Phi_j(\tau)\le4\tau/TΦj​(τ)≤4τ/T for a false elimination of the best arm, and the final comparison for ϕ(x)=log⁡‾(ax2)/x\phi(x)=\overline{\log}(a x^2)/xϕ(x)=log​(ax2)/x. Each has its own statement so that a proof of the goal can import the exact estimate it needs.

Significance

The bound separates the cost of learning arms with gaps above Δ\DeltaΔ from the remaining regret represented by nΔ−n\Delta^-nΔ−. It applies when the policy uses a tuning value TTT but the number of pulls actually made is the random variable NNN. Thus it gives a quantitative guarantee without asking the algorithm to know its stopping time in advance. Its constants and dependence on TTT, nnn, KKK, and γ\gammaγ are explicit Perchet and Rigollet, 2013, §2.

The result is proved in the paper, while the Lean declarations in this proposal are open statements. Completing them would add a reusable formal account of elimination on a reward stack and of the Appendix's time-uniform concentration estimate. Mathlib and existing platform theorems contain related Hoeffding–Azuma tools, but this paper's peeling inequality, its particular stopping rule, and the random-horizon regret conclusion still require proofs in the stated model.

Difficulty

An ordinary concentration bound at one sample size does not control every round in which an arm could eliminate the best arm. Taking a naive union bound over all rounds loses the dependence on TTT needed for the displayed regret constant. The Appendix instead states a maximal inequality and a bound that holds across a range of sample sizes. The regret calculation must then account for both kinds of error: removing the best arm and retaining a suboptimal arm for too long.

The stopping round depends on the gap through U(τ,T)U(\tau,T)U(τ,T), which itself contains log⁡‾(T/τ)\overline{\log}(T/\tau)log​(T/τ). Its upper bound, the event decomposition across ordered arms, and the final comparison of gap-dependent terms all retain the paper's exact constants. A proof that only establishes the asymptotic rate would not close this goal.

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin (K+1) with zero-based indices, so its last element is the paper's arm K+1K+1K+1. The published stochastic-bandit definition supplies the mutually independent reward stack and arm means. The [0,1] bound, sorted means, and unique best arm are explicit assumptions. A separate martingale-difference definition supplies the Appendix's adapted, integrable sequence, including centering of its first term; the page's one-line definition leaves that first-step condition unstated. The concentration milestones require a nondegenerate interval a<ba<ba<b: the displayed maximal exponent divides by (b−a)2(b-a)^2(b−a)2, and Lemma A.1 is false at a=b=0a=b=0a=b=0 for a zero sequence and δ<1\delta<1δ<1.

The SE policy is a function of observed rewards in the stack. It uses the end-of-round test described in the text and proof of §2, with equality retained, since Policy 1's pseudocode tests at a different point in the round. The active set starts with all arms and remains nonempty; the total Lean pull function has a fallback value that is unreachable under the theorem's parameters. The policy never reads the unknown means. Empirical means and UUU are used only at positive rounds.

The horizon is measurable and integrable, has mean nnn, and is independent of the entire reward stack. Since regret is bounded by the horizon, its expectation is a genuine integral rather than the default value of a non-integrable Lean integral. The positive-threshold condition avoids Lean's zero-valued division at Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0. Finite maxima are taken over finite arm sets, and log⁡‾\overline{\log}log​ is kept distinct from the ordinary logarithm in the Appendix's bounds. The paper's printed nnn in the logarithm of (2.7) and the final ϕ\phiϕ comparison is read as TTT, consistently with (2.2) and Theorem 2.1. Contributions to the concentration lemmas, stopping-round analysis, elimination events, and final regret proof all fit this scope.

Selected references

  • V. Perchet and P. Rigollet, The multi-armed bandit problem with covariates, Annals of Statistics 41(2), 2013, 693–721. arXiv:1110.6084v3; DOI:10.1214/13-AOS1101.
  • S. Bubeck and N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721.
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CombinatoricsGeometry & TopologyGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Planar Graphs Have Bounded Queue-Number 2: Every Graph of Euler Genus g Has Queue-Number at Most 4g + 49Research Paper

Motivation

A queue layout of a graph places its vertices on a line and splits its edges into classes, called queues, so that inside one queue no edge is nested inside another. The minimum number of queues is the queue-number. Queue layouts were introduced by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg (1992) and Heath and Rosenberg (1992) as the dual of stack layouts (book embeddings): reading the vertex order from left to right, the edges of one queue are opened and closed in first-in first-out order. Queue layouts are closely tied to track layouts and, through them, to three-dimensional grid drawings of graphs (§9 of the paper).

Whether planar graphs have bounded queue-number was asked by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg in 1992 and stayed open for 27 years. The best general bounds before 2019 grew with the number of vertices: O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) by Heath, Leighton and Rosenberg (1992), O(log⁡2n)O(\log^2 n)O(log2n) by Di Battista, Frati and Pach (2013), and O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) by Dujmović (2015); for Euler genus ggg, Dujmović, Morin and Wood (2017) had O(g+log⁡n)O(g + \log n)O(g+logn). Dujmović, Joret, Micek, Morin, Ueckerdt and Wood (arXiv:1904.04791, J. ACM 2020) proved that every planar graph has queue-number at most 494949 (Theorem 1), and extended the result to every graph embeddable in a fixed surface (Theorem 2) and to every proper minor-closed class (Theorem 3).

This mission is Theorem 2: graphs of Euler genus ggg have queue-number at most 4g+494g + 494g+49. It is the second mission of a two-mission series; the first poses Theorem 1.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple. A linear ordering ⪯\preceq⪯ of the vertex set V(G)V(G)V(G) is fixed. Two edges vwvwvw and xyxyxy with four distinct ends nest if v≺x≺y≺wv \prec x \prec y \prec wv≺x≺y≺w (after renaming the ends). A queue is a set of edges no two of which nest. A kkk-queue layout of GGG is a linear ordering together with a partition of E(G)E(G)E(G) into kkk queues, and qn⁡(G)≤k\operatorname{qn}(G) \le kqn(G)≤k means that a kkk-queue layout exists.

A layering of GGG is an ordered partition (V0,V1,… )(V_0, V_1, \dots)(V0​,V1​,…) of V(G)V(G)V(G) such that every edge joins two vertices of the same or of consecutive layers. A BFS layering takes one root rrr in each connected component and puts vvv in layer dist⁡(r,v)\operatorname{dist}(r, v)dist(r,v). A BFS spanning tree of a connected graph GGG rooted at rrr is a spanning tree TTT with dist⁡T(r,v)=dist⁡G(r,v)\operatorname{dist}_T(r, v) = \operatorname{dist}_G(r, v)distT​(r,v)=distG​(r,v) for every vvv. A path in TTT is vertical if the distance to rrr grows by exactly one at every step.

The Euler genus of the orientable surface with hhh handles is 2h2h2h, and that of the non-orientable surface with ccc cross-caps is ccc; the Euler genus of a graph is the least Euler genus of a surface it embeds in (footnote 2 of the paper). Planar graphs are exactly the graphs of Euler genus 000. Combinatorially, an embedding of a graph is described by an embedding scheme: a cyclic order of the edges at each vertex (a rotation system) together with a sign on every edge (twisted or not). Tracing faces through the scheme gives a face count fff, and with nnn vertices, mmm edges and ccc components the scheme has Euler genus 2c−n+m−f2c - n + m - f2c−n+m−f.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with the paper's bound

Euler genus of G≤g ⟹ qn⁡(G)≤4g+49.\text{Euler genus of } G \le g \ \Longrightarrow\ \operatorname{qn}(G) \le 4g + 49 .Euler genus of G≤g ⟹ qn(G)≤4g+49.

The paper states Theorem 2 as qn⁡(G)=O(g)\operatorname{qn}(G) = O(g)qn(G)=O(g) and proves the explicit bound 4g+494g + 494g+49 in §5. The goal poses that explicit bound, for every finite graph, connected or not.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 18 (p. 18). Every BFS layering (V0,V1,… )(V_0, V_1, \dots)(V0​,V1​,…) of a planar graph GGG admits a 494949-queue layout whose vertex ordering lists V0V_0V0​, then V1V_1V1​, then V2V_2V2​, and so on.
  2. Lemma 21 (p. 19). If GGG is connected with Euler genus at most ggg and TTT is a BFS spanning tree with layering (Vi)(V_i)(Vi​), there is a connected (or empty) subgraph ZZZ with at most 2g2g2g vertices in each layer such that G−V(Z)G - V(Z)G−V(Z) is planar and sits inside a connected planar graph G+G^+G+ whose own BFS layering (Wi)(W_i)(Wi​) satisfies Wi∩(V(G)∖V(Z))=Vi∖V(Z)W_i \cap (V(G)\setminus V(Z)) = V_i \setminus V(Z)Wi​∩(V(G)∖V(Z))=Vi​∖V(Z); vertical paths of the BFS tree of G+G^+G+ restrict to vertical paths of TTT.
  3. The 4g4g4g-queue step (p. 23). If GGG has a layering with at most 2g2g2g vertices of ZZZ per layer and G−ZG - ZG−Z has a 494949-queue layout ordered layer by layer, then qn⁡(G)≤4g+49\operatorname{qn}(G) \le 4g + 49qn(G)≤4g+49.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 settles boundedness of the queue-number for every class of graphs embeddable in a fixed surface, with a bound linear in the Euler genus. Through the connection between queue-number and track-number, the paper derives from it (§9, Theorems 54 and 58) that a graph of Euler genus ggg with nnn vertices has track-number gO(g4/7)g^{O(g^{4/7})}gO(g4/7) and a three-dimensional grid drawing of volume gO(g4/7)ng^{O(g^{4/7})} ngO(g4/7)n, linear in nnn for every fixed surface. It is also a step on the paper's route to Theorem 3 (proper minor-closed classes), since graphs on surfaces are the basic pieces of the Robertson–Seymour graph minor structure theorem. Lemma 21 is of independent use: it reduces a graph on a surface to a planar graph while controlling BFS layers.

Formalizing it. The result is proved; as far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization needs queue layouts, layerings, BFS layerings and vertical paths, and, independently of queues, a usable combinatorial theory of graphs on surfaces, which Lean's Mathlib does not have. The Euler genus definition of this mission (embedding schemes and face tracing) and Lemma 21 are reusable well beyond queue layouts.

Difficulty

The obvious reduction, deleting few vertices to make the graph planar, is not enough: a planar subgraph alone does not control how the deleted vertices interact with a queue layout. The deleted set must be thin in every BFS layer, and the planar remainder must carry a BFS layering compatible with the original one, which is what Lemma 21 provides. Its proof cuts the surface along a subgraph made of tree paths and must show that the cut graph is planar by an Euler-characteristic count over face-tracing data, and that distances from a new root agree with the old BFS distances. In Lean, the main obstacle is the surface side: Euler's formula for embedding schemes, the cutting operation on rotation systems, and the passage between the combinatorial notion of Euler genus and the drawing-based notion of planarity. The planar input, Lemma 18, is itself the whole of mission 1's argument (Theorem 15 with Lemmas 5 and 8).

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a finite type V : Type with decidable equality and adjacency.
  • "qn⁡(G)≤k\operatorname{qn}(G) \le kqn(G)≤k" is HasQueueLayout G k: an injective map ord : V → ℕ (the linear ordering) and an assignment of the edges of GGG (G.edgeSet, not all unordered pairs) to Fin k such that no two edges in one queue nest; nesting uses strict inequalities, so edges sharing an end never nest. Queues may be empty.
  • A layering is a layer function L : V → ℕ; a BFS layering takes one root per component. Vertical paths are nonempty lists indexed from 000 with distance d+id + id+i, d≥0d \ge 0d≥0.
  • Euler genus is combinatorial: EulerGenusLE G g asks for an embedding scheme (rotation permutation of the darts, cyclic at every vertex, and a symmetric edge signature) whose Euler genus 2c−n+m−f2c - n + m - f2c−n+m−f, computed in Z\mathbb ZZ, is at most ggg. The face count is half the number of face-tracing orbits plus the number of isolated vertices. Equivalence with footnote 2's topological definition is the Heffter–Edmonds–Ringel rotation principle and its non-orientable extension, with additivity over components; it is not part of the mission.
  • Planarity is the published RobertsonSeymour1986.GM5.IsPlanar: a crossing-free drawing in R2\mathbb R^2R2 by simple arcs. "Euler genus 000 iff planar" is a theorem connecting the two definitions, not built into either.
  • "Euler genus ggg" is read as "at most ggg" throughout; every bound is monotone in ggg. In Lemma 21, "ZZZ is connected" reads "empty or connected" (the paper takes Z=∅Z = \emptysetZ=∅ when g=0g = 0g=0), and the restriction of a vertical path may be empty.
  • Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: queues indexed on all pairs Sym2 V would deny edgeless graphs a 000-queue layout; non-strict nesting would forbid adjacent edges in one queue; a drawing that tolerates crossings would make every graph planar; a face count without halving, or without isolated vertices, would make the Euler genus too small or too large (the sanity checks confirm K3K_3K3​ has a scheme of Euler genus 000, a twisted K3K_3K3​ one of genus 111, and two isolated vertices genus 000).
  • Welcome contributions: Euler's formula for embedding schemes, face-tracing lemmas, the planar case (Lemma 18, via mission 1's results), the cutting construction of Lemma 21, and the purely combinatorial 4g4g4g-queue step.

Selected references

  • V. Dujmović, G. Joret, P. Micek, P. Morin, T. Ueckerdt, D. R. Wood, Planar graphs have bounded queue-number, J. ACM 67(4), 2020; arXiv:1904.04791v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.04791 , https://doi.org/10.1145/3385731
  • L. S. Heath, F. T. Leighton, A. L. Rosenberg, Comparing queues and stacks as mechanisms for laying out graphs, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 5(3), 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0405031
  • L. S. Heath, A. L. Rosenberg, Laying out graphs using queues, SIAM J. Comput. 21(5), 1992. https://doi.org/10.1137/0221055
  • V. Dujmović, Graph layouts via layered separators, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 110, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2014.07.005
  • V. Dujmović, P. Morin, D. R. Wood, Layered separators in minor-closed graph classes with applications, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 127, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2017.05.006
  • B. Mohar, C. Thomassen, Graphs on Surfaces, Johns Hopkins University Press, 2001.
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping 3: The Feedback with Dynamic Extension Locally Exponentially Stabilizes the Quasilinear System in H²Research Paper

Motivation

First-order hyperbolic systems of balance laws zt+Λ(z,x)zx+f(z,x)=0z_t+\Lambda(z,x)z_x+f(z,x)=0zt​+Λ(z,x)zx​+f(z,x)=0 model open-channel flow (the Saint-Venant equations), gas pipelines, traffic and heat exchangers. In most of these applications the state can be acted on only at one end of the domain, so stabilizing an equilibrium is a boundary control problem. For 2×22\times22×2 systems without source term (f=0f=0f=0), static boundary feedback built from a Lyapunov function works (Coron–Bastin–d'Andréa-Novel 2008); with a source term, Lyapunov functions of the diagonal form ∫01zTQ(x)z dx\int_0^1z^{\mathsf T}Q(x)z\,dx∫01​zTQ(x)zdx can fail (Bastin and Coron 2011, recalled in Remark 1 of the paper). Backstepping, introduced for parabolic equations by Krstic and Smyshlyaev, replaces the search for a Lyapunov function by an invertible integral change of variables that maps the linearized plant to a target system whose stability is evident.

Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin (arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013) design such a feedback for the linearization of a 2×22\times22×2 quasilinear system and prove that it stabilizes the nonlinear system locally in H2H^2H2. This mission formalizes that main result, Theorem 4.1.

Setting

The state is z(x,t)=(z1,z2)∈R2z(x,t)=(z_1,z_2)\in\mathbb R^2z(x,t)=(z1​,z2​)∈R2 on x∈[0,1]x\in[0,1]x∈[0,1], t≥0t\ge0t≥0, governed by

zt+Λ(z,x)zx+f(z,x)=0,z1(0,t)=G0(z2(0,t)),z2(1,t)=U(t).z_t+\Lambda(z,x)z_x+f(z,x)=0,\qquad z_1(0,t)=G_0(z_2(0,t)),\qquad z_2(1,t)=U(t).zt​+Λ(z,x)zx​+f(z,x)=0,z1​(0,t)=G0​(z2​(0,t)),z2​(1,t)=U(t).

The standing assumptions (§2) are: Λ\LambdaΛ, fff, G0G_0G0​ are C2C^2C2; Λ(0,x)=diag⁡(Λ1(x),Λ2(x))\Lambda(0,x)=\operatorname{diag}(\Lambda_1(x),\Lambda_2(x))Λ(0,x)=diag(Λ1​(x),Λ2​(x)) with Λ1>0>Λ2\Lambda_1>0>\Lambda_2Λ1​>0>Λ2​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1]; f(0,x)=0f(0,x)=0f(0,x)=0; G0(0)=0G_0(0)=0G0​(0)=0. Write fij=∂fi/∂zj(0,x)f_{ij}=\partial f_i/\partial z_j(0,x)fij​=∂fi​/∂zj​(0,x) and q=G0′(0)q=G_0'(0)q=G0′​(0); the paper treats q≠0q\ne0q=0.

The scaling w=Φz=(φ1z1,φ2z2)w=\Phi z=(\varphi_1z_1,\varphi_2z_2)w=Φz=(φ1​z1​,φ2​z2​), φ1=exp⁡∫0xf11/Λ1\varphi_1=\exp\int_0^xf_{11}/\Lambda_1φ1​=exp∫0x​f11​/Λ1​, φ2=exp⁡∫0xf22/Λ2\varphi_2=\exp\int_0^xf_{22}/\Lambda_2φ2​=exp∫0x​f22​/Λ2​, removes the diagonal of the linearization, which becomes wt=Σwx+Cww_t=\Sigma w_x+Cwwt​=Σwx​+Cw with Σ=diag⁡(−ϵ1,ϵ2)\Sigma=\operatorname{diag}(-\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2)Σ=diag(−ϵ1​,ϵ2​), ϵ1=Λ1\epsilon_1=\Lambda_1ϵ1​=Λ1​, ϵ2=−Λ2\epsilon_2=-\Lambda_2ϵ2​=−Λ2​, and CCC antidiagonal with entries c1=−f12φ1/φ2c_1=-f_{12}\varphi_1/\varphi_2c1​=−f12​φ1​/φ2​, c2=−f21φ2/φ1c_2=-f_{21}\varphi_2/\varphi_1c2​=−f21​φ2​/φ1​. The kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv solve a pair of first-order hyperbolic equations on the triangle T={0≤ξ≤x≤1}\mathcal T=\{0\le\xi\le x\le1\}T={0≤ξ≤x≤1} with boundary data on its diagonal and on the edge ξ=0\xi=0ξ=0 ((3.32), (3.33), (3.36), (3.37)). The gain is k(x)=(φ1(x)Kvu(1,x),φ2(x)Kvv(1,x))/φ2(1)k(x)=(\varphi_1(x)K^{vu}(1,x),\varphi_2(x)K^{vv}(1,x))/\varphi_2(1)k(x)=(φ1​(x)Kvu(1,x),φ2​(x)Kvv(1,x))/φ2​(1).

The closed loop adds a dynamic extension:

z2(1,t)=∫01k(ξ)Tz(ξ,t) dξ+a(t)+b(t),a˙=−d1a,b˙=−d2b,z_2(1,t)=\int_0^1k(\xi)^{\mathsf T}z(\xi,t)\,d\xi+a(t)+b(t),\qquad \dot a=-d_1a,\quad \dot b=-d_2b,z2​(1,t)=∫01​k(ξ)Tz(ξ,t)dξ+a(t)+b(t),a˙=−d1​a,b˙=−d2​b,

with d1,d2>0d_1,d_2>0d1​,d2​>0, d1≠d2d_1\ne d_2d1​=d2​, and a(0)a(0)a(0), b(0)b(0)b(0) determined by the initial profile z0z_0z0​ through two linear functionals P1(z0)P_1(z_0)P1​(z0​), P2(z0)P_2(z_0)P2​(z0​). The norm is ∥z∥H2=∥z∥L2+∥zx∥L2+∥zxx∥L2\|z\|_{H^2}=\|z\|_{L^2}+\|z_x\|_{L^2}+\|z_{xx}\|_{L^2}∥z∥H2​=∥z∥L2​+∥zx​∥L2​+∥zxx​∥L2​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

For every 0<λ<2min⁡(d1,d2)0<\lambda<2\min(d_1,d_2)0<λ<2min(d1​,d2​) there are δ,c>0\delta,c>0δ,c>0 such that every classical solution with ∥z0∥H2≤δ\|z_0\|_{H^2}\le\delta∥z0​∥H2​≤δ satisfying the compatibility conditions (4.16), (4.18) obeys

∥z(⋅,t)∥H22+a2(t)+b2(t)≤c e−λt(∥z0∥H22+a2(0)+b2(0))(t≥0).\|z(\cdot,t)\|_{H^2}^2+a^2(t)+b^2(t)\le c\,e^{-\lambda t}\big(\|z_0\|_{H^2}^2+a^2(0)+b^2(0)\big)\qquad(t\ge0).∥z(⋅,t)∥H22​+a2(t)+b2(t)≤ce−λt(∥z0​∥H22​+a2(0)+b2(0))(t≥0).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

Write γ=(α,β)=K[Φz]=Φz−∫0xK(x,ξ)Φz(ξ)dξ\gamma=(\alpha,\beta)=\mathcal K[\Phi z]=\Phi z-\int_0^xK(x,\xi)\Phi z(\xi)d\xiγ=(α,β)=K[Φz]=Φz−∫0x​K(x,ξ)Φz(ξ)dξ for the full 2×22\times22×2 kernel KKK, η=γt\eta=\gamma_tη=γt​, θ=γtt\theta=\gamma_{tt}θ=γtt​, and ∥γ∥∞=sup⁡x(∣α∣+∣β∣)\|\gamma\|_\infty=\sup_x(|\alpha|+|\beta|)∥γ∥∞​=supx​(∣α∣+∣β∣).

  1. H2H^2H2 equivalence (p. 12): ∥γ∥H2\|\gamma\|_{H^2}∥γ∥H2​ and ∥z∥H2\|z\|_{H^2}∥z∥H2​ are equivalent.
  2. Proposition 5.1: for V1=∫01γTDγV_1=\int_0^1\gamma^{\mathsf T}D\gammaV1​=∫01​γTDγ and small ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​, V˙1≤−λ1V1−λ2(α2(1,t)+β2(0,t))+C1V13/2+C2∥γx∥∞V1+C3(a2+b2)\dot V_1\le-\lambda_1V_1-\lambda_2(\alpha^2(1,t)+\beta^2(0,t))+C_1V_1^{3/2}+C_2\|\gamma_x\|_\infty V_1+C_3(a^2+b^2)V˙1​≤−λ1​V1​−λ2​(α2(1,t)+β2(0,t))+C1​V13/2​+C2​∥γx​∥∞​V1​+C3​(a2+b2).
  3. Lemma B.6: the sup and L2L^2L2 norms of η\etaη and γx\gamma_xγx​ are comparable.
  4. Proposition 5.3: for V2=∫01ηTR[γ]ηV_2=\int_0^1\eta^{\mathsf T}R[\gamma]\etaV2​=∫01​ηTR[γ]η, V˙2≤−λ3V2−λ4(η12(1,t)+η22(0,t))+K1V2∥η∥∞+K2(a2+b2)\dot V_2\le-\lambda_3V_2-\lambda_4(\eta_1^2(1,t)+\eta_2^2(0,t))+K_1V_2\|\eta\|_\infty+K_2(a^2+b^2)V˙2​≤−λ3​V2​−λ4​(η12​(1,t)+η22​(0,t))+K1​V2​∥η∥∞​+K2​(a2+b2).
  5. Proposition 5.4: for V3=∫01θTR[γ]θV_3=\int_0^1\theta^{\mathsf T}R[\gamma]\thetaV3​=∫01​θTR[γ]θ and small ∥γ∥∞+∥η∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty+\|\eta\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​+∥η∥∞​, V˙3≤−λ5V3−λ6(θ12(1,t)+θ22(0,t))+K1V3V21/2+K2V2V31/2+K3V33/2+K4∥η∥∞η22(0,t)+K5(a2+b2)\dot V_3\le-\lambda_5V_3-\lambda_6(\theta_1^2(1,t)+\theta_2^2(0,t))+K_1V_3V_2^{1/2}+K_2V_2V_3^{1/2}+K_3V_3^{3/2}+K_4\|\eta\|_\infty\eta_2^2(0,t)+K_5(a^2+b^2)V˙3​≤−λ5​V3​−λ6​(θ12​(1,t)+θ22​(0,t))+K1​V3​V21/2​+K2​V2​V31/2​+K3​V33/2​+K4​∥η∥∞​η22​(0,t)+K5​(a2+b2).
  6. Proposition B.5: the norms of θ\thetaθ and γxx\gamma_{xx}γxx​ are comparable.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 shows that a feedback computed entirely from the linearization, by solving linear kernel equations, is a valid local stabilizer of the quasilinear system in H2H^2H2, the natural space for classical C1C^1C1 solutions of quasilinear hyperbolic systems. The dynamic extension (a,b)(a,b)(a,b) is what makes the result usable: without it, the static feedback imposes artificial compatibility conditions (4.17), (4.19) on the initial data.

The result is proved in the paper (§5 and Appendix B); none of it is machine-checked. A formal proof needs a rigorous treatment of the Volterra transformation and its inverse in H2H^2H2, the three-level Lyapunov argument (V1V_1V1​, V2V_2V2​, V3V_3V3​), and the comparison of these functionals with the H2H^2H2 norm. The formalization also records corrections to the printed formulas: the sign of φ2\varphi_2φ2​ in (4.1), the entries of CCC in (4.7), the initial values (4.26), and the admissible decay rates (see below).

Difficulty

The obvious argument — the linear closed loop is exponentially stable, so the nonlinear one is locally stable — fails for hyperbolic systems: the nonlinear terms ΛNL(w,x)wx\Lambda_{NL}(w,x)w_xΛNL​(w,x)wx​ contain a derivative of the state, so they are not small in L2L^2L2 relative to ∥w∥L2\|w\|_{L^2}∥w∥L2​, and an L2L^2L2 estimate does not close. One must control γ\gammaγ, γt\gamma_tγt​ and γtt\gamma_{tt}γtt​ simultaneously, each with its own Lyapunov functional whose weight R[γ]R[\gamma]R[γ] depends on the state, and exchange time derivatives for space derivatives through the equation, which is possible only while ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​ and ∥γt∥∞\|\gamma_t\|_\infty∥γt​∥∞​ stay small.

Formalization scope

States are Fin 2 → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin 2) (Fin 2) ℝ, indices 0-based. A solution is one C2C^2C2 function z:R×R→R2z:\mathbb R\times\mathbb R\to\mathbb R^2z:R×R→R2 (space first) with the PDE imposed on [0,1]×[0,∞)[0,1]\times[0,\infty)[0,1]×[0,∞) and the boundary conditions for t≥0t\ge0t≥0; this is the theorem restricted to classical solutions, since Mathlib has no Sobolev spaces. Global existence is not asserted. Coefficient functions are defined on all of R\mathbb RR with global C2C^2C2 regularity and sign conditions on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. H1H^1H1, H2H^2H2 norms are sums of L2L^2L2 norms, as on p. 11; ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ uses ∣α∣+∣β∣|\alpha|+|\beta|∣α∣+∣β∣.

Added or corrected relative to the page, all disclosed in the items:

  • q≠0q\neq0q=0 (the case the paper proves; q=0q=0q=0 is a remark);
  • φ2=exp⁡(+∫f22/Λ2)\varphi_2=\exp(+\int f_{22}/\Lambda_2)φ2​=exp(+∫f22​/Λ2​), c1=−f12φ1/φ2c_1=-f_{12}\varphi_1/\varphi_2c1​=−f12​φ1​/φ2​, c2=−f21φ2/φ1c_2=-f_{21}\varphi_2/\varphi_1c2​=−f21​φ2​/φ1​, a(0)=(P2−d2P1)/(d1−d2)a(0)=(P_2-d_2P_1)/(d_1-d_2)a(0)=(P2​−d2​P1​)/(d1​−d2​), b(0)=(d1P1−P2)/(d1−d2)b(0)=(d_1P_1-P_2)/(d_1-d_2)b(0)=(d1​P1​−P2​)/(d1​−d2​);
  • 0<λ<2min⁡(d1,d2)0<\lambda<2\min(d_1,d_2)0<λ<2min(d1​,d2​) instead of "every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0", which fails for fixed d1,d2d_1,d_2d1​,d2​ because a(t)=a(0)e−d1ta(t)=a(0)e^{-d_1t}a(t)=a(0)e−d1​t;
  • milestones take a full C2C^2C2 kernel (the page's claim via Theorem A.2, guaranteed for C3C^3C3 data); the goal takes only C1C^1C1 kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv;
  • Proposition 5.3's last term is K2(a2+b2)K_2(a^2+b^2)K2​(a2+b2) (printed K2b2K_2b^2K2​b2).
  • Proposition 5.4 is stated for closed-loop solutions of class C3C^3C3, since V˙3\dot V_3V˙3​ involves γttt\gamma_{ttt}γttt​.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: δ\deltaδ, ccc and every milestone constant are quantified after the data and before the solution; the kernels are pinned down by all their equations and boundary conditions (unique by Theorem A.1 of the paper); the corrected a(0)a(0)a(0), b(0)b(0)b(0) are the ones every classical solution has, so no small initial profile is excluded; and the H2H^2H2 norm contains ∥zxx∥L2\|z_{xx}\|_{L^2}∥zxx​∥L2​.

Not formalized: Lemma 5.2 (its printed bound (5.38), ∥γ∥∞(1+∥γx∥∞)\|\gamma\|_\infty(1+\|\gamma_x\|_\infty)∥γ∥∞​(1+∥γx​∥∞​), fails for profiles with small ∥γ∥∞\|\gamma\|_\infty∥γ∥∞​ and large ∥γx∥∞\|\gamma_x\|_\infty∥γx​∥∞​, and (5.37) compares a matrix with a scalar), and Lemmas B.1–B.4, B.7, B.8. Contributions of a reusable theory of Volterra integral transformations on [0,1][0,1][0,1] with C2C^2C2 kernels, and of the comparison between sup and L2L^2L2 norms of solutions of hyperbolic systems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J.-M. Coron, R. Vazquez, M. Krstic, G. Bastin, Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping, arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475v1
  • G. Bastin, J.-M. Coron, On boundary feedback stabilization of non-uniform linear 2 × 2 hyperbolic systems over a bounded interval, Systems and Control Letters 60, 2011, pp. 900–906 (reference [1] of arXiv:1208.6475v1). https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475v1
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Boundary Control of PDEs: A Course on Backstepping Designs, SIAM, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718607
  • J.-M. Coron, G. Bastin, B. d'Andréa-Novel, Dissipative boundary conditions for one-dimensional nonlinear hyperbolic systems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 47(3), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/060650222
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Harmonic AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sum-of-Squares Hierarchy on the Sphere, and Applications in Quantum Information Theory I: If 0 ⪯ F ⪯ I on S^{d−1} for a Degree-2n Matrix Polynomial F, Then F + C′ₙ(d/ℓ)²·I Is ℓ-SOS for ℓ ≥ CₙdResearch Paper

Motivation

Maximizing a homogeneous polynomial ppp over the unit sphere, pmax⁡=max⁡x∈Sd−1p(x)p_{\max}=\max_{x\in S^{d-1}}p(x)pmax​=maxx∈Sd−1​p(x), covers the largest stable set of a graph (degree three), the 2→42\to42→4 norm of a matrix (degree four) and the best separable state problem of quantum information. For quadratic ppp it is an eigenvalue problem; for degree at least three it is NP-hard. The sum-of-squares hierarchy of Parrilo and Lasserre replaces "γ−p≥0\gamma-p\ge0γ−p≥0 on the sphere" by "γ−p\gamma-pγ−p is a sum of squares of polynomials of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ on the sphere", giving upper bounds pℓ≥pmax⁡p_\ell\ge p_{\max}pℓ​≥pmax​ that are computable by a semidefinite program of size dO(ℓ)d^{O(\ell)}dO(ℓ) and decrease to pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​. How fast they converge decides how large ℓ\ellℓ has to be for a given accuracy. Fang–Fawzi, §1–1.1

Timeline:

  • 1995. Reznick shows, for pmin⁡=0p_{\min}=0pmin​=0, that pℓ/pmax⁡→1p_\ell/p_{\max}\to1pℓ​/pmax​→1 at rate d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ for ℓ\ellℓ large enough. Rez95
  • 2012. Doherty and Wehner study the same hierarchy on the hypersphere and obtain the same rate. DW12
  • 2019. De Klerk and Laurent prove a rate O(1/ℓ2)O(1/\ell^2)O(1/ℓ2) for a hierarchy of lower bounds on pmax⁡p_{\max}pmax​, and ask whether the upper bounds pℓp_\ellpℓ​ converge at the same rate. dKL19
  • 2019. Fang and Fawzi answer this: for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d the error is O((d/ℓ)2)O((d/\ell)^2)O((d/ℓ)2), and the statement holds for symmetric matrix-valued polynomials with constants that do not depend on the matrix size. Fang–Fawzi, Theorems 1–2

Setting

Write x=(x1,…,xd)x=(x_1,\dots,x_d)x=(x1​,…,xd​), ∥x∥2=∑ixi2\|x\|^2=\sum_ix_i^2∥x∥2=∑i​xi2​, and Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}S^{d-1}=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\|x\|^2=1\}Sd−1={x∈Rd:∥x∥2=1}. A k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF has a real polynomial in each entry, and F(x)F(x)F(x) is the real matrix of values. A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0 means that the symmetric matrix AAA is positive semidefinite. A matrix polynomial GGG is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 if there are finitely many k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomials UjU_jUj​, each entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with

G(x)=∑jUj(x)Uj(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.G(x)=\sum_jU_j(x)U_j(x)^{\mathsf T}\qquad\text{for all }x\in S^{d-1}.G(x)=j∑​Uj​(x)Uj​(x)Tfor all x∈Sd−1.

For a scalar polynomial ppp, pℓp_\ellpℓ​ is the least γ\gammaγ such that γ−p\gamma-pγ−p (a 1×11\times11×1 matrix) is ℓ\ellℓ-sos on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1, and pmin⁡p_{\min}pmin​ is the minimum of ppp on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1. The level value is +∞+\infty+∞ when no such γ\gammaγ exists.

The milestones use three further objects. A harmonic decomposition of a homogeneous fff of degree 2n2n2n is f=∑k=0n∥x∥2(n−k)f2kf=\sum_{k=0}^n\|x\|^{2(n-k)}f_{2k}f=∑k=0n​∥x∥2(n−k)f2k​ with f2kf_{2k}f2k​ homogeneous of degree 2k2k2k and Δf2k=0\Delta f_{2k}=0Δf2k​=0. B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is the least constant with max⁡Sd−1∣f2k∣≤B2nmax⁡Sd−1∣f∣\max_{S^{d-1}}|f_{2k}|\le B_{2n}\max_{S^{d-1}}|f|maxSd−1​∣f2k​∣≤B2n​maxSd−1​∣f∣ for all such fff in all dimensions. The Gegenbauer coefficients λi(ϕ)\lambda_i(\phi)λi​(ϕ) of a univariate polynomial ϕ\phiϕ are its coefficients against the orthogonal polynomials CiC_iCi​ for the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2 on [−1,1][-1,1][−1,1], equation (9). For qqq of degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, the kernel error is

ρ2n(d,ℓ)=min⁡deg⁡q≤ℓ, λ0(q2)=1 ∑k=1n∣λ2k(q2)−1−1∣.\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)=\min_{\deg q\le\ell,\ \lambda_0(q^2)=1}\ \sum_{k=1}^n\big|\lambda_{2k}(q^2)^{-1}-1\big|.ρ2n​(d,ℓ)=degq≤ℓ, λ0​(q2)=1min​ k=1∑n​​λ2k​(q2)−1−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 3)

For every nnn there are constants Cn,Cn′C_n,C'_nCn​,Cn′​ depending only on nnn such that, for all d,k,ℓd,k,\elld,k,ℓ and every k×kk\times kk×k matrix polynomial FFF, homogeneous of degree 2n2n2n with n≤dn\le dn≤d, symmetric at every xxx, with 0⪯F(x)⪯I0\preceq F(x)\preceq I0⪯F(x)⪯I on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1:

ℓ≥Cnd ⟹ F+Cn′(dℓ)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.\ell\ge C_nd\ \Longrightarrow\ F+C'_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2I\ \text{is }\ell\text{-sos on }S^{d-1}.ℓ≥Cn​d ⟹ F+Cn′​(ℓd​)2I is ℓ-sos on Sd−1.

The goal fixes only the shape (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2 and the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, and leaves the constants open.

Milestones

They follow the paper's proof, in attack order:

  1. Harmonic projection: Lemma 16 (Reznick's bound on Δkf\Delta^kfΔkf), Proposition 5 (B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is independent of ddd, with B2≤2B_2\le2B2​≤2, B4≤9B_4\le9B4​≤9), the explicit value (34), and Proposition 17 (matrices, spectral norm).
  2. Kernels: the Funk–Hecke formula (8), Remark 1, and the first part of Theorem 6: F+B2n2∑k∣λ2k−1−1∣ IF+\frac{B_{2n}}2\sum_k|\lambda_{2k}^{-1}-1|\,IF+2B2n​​∑k​∣λ2k−1​−1∣I is ℓ\ellℓ-sos for every admissible qqq.
  3. The kernel error: Ci′(1)/Ci(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1)C_i'(1)/C_i(1)=i(i+d-2)/(d-1)Ci′​(1)/Ci​(1)=i(i+d−2)/(d−1), Proposition 18 (tangent line at 111), Proposition 8 (spectra of Toeplitz matrices of linear functions), the value of h′(1)h'(1)h′(1) and the eigenvalue comparison from the proof of Proposition 7, Proposition 9 (ρ≤ρ~/(1−ρ~)\rho\le\tilde\rho/(1-\tilde\rho)ρ≤ρ~​/(1−ρ~​)), and the second part of Theorem 6:
ρ2n(d,ℓ)≤Cn(dℓ)2(ℓ≥Cn′d).\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)\le C_n\Big(\frac d\ell\Big)^2\qquad(\ell\ge C'_nd).ρ2n​(d,ℓ)≤Cn​(ℓd​)2(ℓ≥Cn′​d).
  1. Corollary: Theorem 1, 1≤pℓ−pmin⁡pmax⁡−pmin⁡≤1+(Cnd/ℓ)21\le\frac{p_\ell-p_{\min}}{p_{\max}-p_{\min}}\le1+(C_nd/\ell)^21≤pmax​−pmin​pℓ​−pmin​​≤1+(Cn​d/ℓ)2 for ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d.

Significance

Theorem 2 says how the level must grow with the dimension: ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\sqrt\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε​) suffices for relative error ε\varepsilonε, where Reznick's analysis needs ℓ=Θ(d/ε)\ell=\Theta(d/\varepsilon)ℓ=Θ(d/ε). Theorem 10 of the paper shows that, for n=1n=1n=1, the kernel error of this technique really is of order (d/ℓ)2(d/\ell)^2(d/ℓ)2. Independence of the matrix size gives certificates for polynomials that are bihomogeneous of degree (2n,2)(2n,2)(2n,2) on Sk−1×Sd−1S^{k-1}\times S^{d-1}Sk−1×Sd−1. The paper's Theorem 15 uses this, together with the DPS duality of the companion mission, to bound the convergence of the DPS hierarchy for separability. Fang–Fawzi, pp. 3, 10, 14

The theorem is proved in the 2019 preprint and was published in Mathematical Programming in 2021. No machine-checked proof of it or of its ingredients is known. Proving it formally takes reusable infrastructure: degree-bounded matrix SOS on the sphere, harmonic decomposition of homogeneous polynomials, Gegenbauer polynomials with their coefficients and the Funk–Hecke formula, and spectra of Jacobi matrices of orthogonal polynomials. The milestones also correct the printed text, as listed under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Positive semidefiniteness of F+δIF+\delta IF+δI at each point of the sphere does not give a factorization with factors of prescribed degree, and Reznick's kernel ⟨x,y⟩2ℓ\langle x,y\rangle^{2\ell}⟨x,y⟩2ℓ only reaches error d/ℓd/\elld/ℓ. Two estimates must be uniform at once. First, harmonic projection of a degree-2n2n2n form must be bounded in sup norm independently of ddd; the L2L^2L2 bound is easy, and the sup-norm bound is the content of Proposition 5. Second, the kernel error ρ2n(d,ℓ)\rho_{2n}(d,\ell)ρ2n​(d,ℓ) must be bounded throughout the regime ℓ≥Cnd\ell\ge C_ndℓ≥Cn​d, which comes down to the location of the largest zero of a Gegenbauer polynomial. The printed bounds on that zero and on λmax⁡\lambda_{\max}λmax​ in Proposition 7 are false in small dimensions, so the paper's explicit constants cannot be relied on.

Formalization scope

  • Objects. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ (0-based coordinates), and Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 is the equation ∑ixi2=1\sum_ix_i^2=1∑i​xi2​=1, not the sup-norm sphere. Matrix polynomials are matrices over MvPolynomial (Fin d) ℝ, evaluated entrywise, and homogeneity is entrywise.
  • ℓ\ellℓ-sos. A finite family of k×kk\times kk×k factors, every entry of total degree at most ℓ\ellℓ, with equality on the sphere only. Without the degree bound the level disappears; with equality on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd Theorem 2 becomes false. Neither change is a faithful reading.
  • Constants. In the goal the constants are chosen before ddd, kkk, ℓ\ellℓ and FFF. No assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2 is added: the cases d=0,1d=0,1d=0,1 are true and elementary.
  • Standing assumption d≥2d\ge2d≥2. Every milestone that uses the Gegenbauer objects assumes it, as §2–3 do: the weight (1−t2)(d−3)/2(1-t^2)^{(d-3)/2}(1−t2)(d−3)/2, ωd−1/ωd\omega_{d-1}/\omega_dωd−1​/ωd​ and the divisions by d−1d-1d−1 need it. Gegenbauer polynomials are normalized by Ci(1)C_i(1)Ci​(1) and defined by their three-term recurrence. σ\sigmaσ is the normalized surface measure built from Mathlib's Measure.toSphere.
  • B2nB_{2n}B2n​. It is not defined (it would be a real infimum). Statements quantify over every constant BBB with the defining property, and B2nB_{2n}B2n​ is one of them.
  • ρ2n\rho_{2n}ρ2n​. It takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with ∣λ−1−1∣=∞|\lambda^{-1}-1|=\infty∣λ−1−1∣=∞ at λ=0\lambda=0λ=0 and ∞\infty∞ on an empty feasible set. Its sum runs over k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n, following (12), (13) and (16); (10) prints 2n2n2n, a slip. Its minimum is over deg⁡q≤ℓ\deg q\le\elldegq≤ℓ, as in (13). The first part of Theorem 6 is posed per polynomial qqq, which is what (12) proves and implies the printed form.
  • Other conventions. Proposition 17's spectral norm is written as max⁡∥y∥=1∣yTAy∣\max_{\|y\|=1}|y^{\mathsf T}Ay|max∥y∥=1​∣yTAy∣, and homogeneity of FFF is explicit there. Theorem 1 is stated cross-multiplied, so that it is meaningful when ppp is constant on the sphere. Its level value is extended real to record infeasibility; the theorem asserts a finite attained value and a degree-bounded SOS certificate.
  • Not posed. Proposition 7 (λmax⁡(T[h])≥1−7n12d2ℓ2\lambda_{\max}(\mathcal T[h])\ge1-\frac{7n}{12}\frac{d^2}{\ell^2}λmax​(T[h])≥1−127n​ℓ2d2​) fails, for example, at d=2d=2d=2, n=1n=1n=1, ℓ=10\ell=10ℓ=10. The zero bound it quotes and the explicit constants at the end of p. 9 are not posed either; the true first inequality of its proof is.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome. So are reusable developments of Gegenbauer polynomials, spherical harmonics, the Funk–Hecke formula, Jacobi matrices, and Carathéodory-type finite quadratures that turn an integral of squares into a finite sum of squares.

Selected references

  • K. Fang, H. Fawzi, The sum-of-squares hierarchy on the sphere, and applications in quantum information theory, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.05155v1
  • B. Reznick, Uniform denominators in Hilbert's seventeenth problem, Mathematische Zeitschrift 220(1), 75–97, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02572604
  • A. C. Doherty, S. Wehner, Convergence of SDP hierarchies for polynomial optimization on the hypersphere, arXiv preprint, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.5048
  • E. de Klerk, M. Laurent, Convergence analysis of a Lasserre hierarchy of upper bounds for polynomial minimization on the sphere, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.08828
  • J. B. Lasserre, Global optimization with polynomials and the problem of moments, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11(3), 796–817, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400366802
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Graph TheoryProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Spectral Statistics of Erdős–Rényi Graphs I: Local Semicircle Law: Local Semicircle Law for the Sparse Noncentered Matrix A = H + f|e⟩⟨e| Down to Spectral Scale η ≈ 1/NResearch Paper

Motivation

The adjacency matrix of an Erdős–Rényi random graph contains a large deterministic mean as well as random fluctuations. The mean affects the largest eigenvalue, while the centered fluctuations determine much of the remaining spectrum. A local spectral law must describe both pieces at a resolution fine enough to distinguish eigenvalues within a narrow energy window. Erdős, Knowles, Yau and Yin established such estimates for a broader class of sparse symmetric matrices and their noncentered rank-one deformations in Spectral statistics of Erdős–Rényi graphs I. This mission formalizes the paper's Theorem 2.9, with the centered-matrix law and eleven intermediate results of the paper as milestones.

The paper treats the graph matrix through a model that also allows other sparse distributions. Its parameters qNq_NqN​ and fNf_NfN​ separate sparsity from the size of the deterministic mean. That separation matters: the normalized resolvent trace can obey a local semicircle law even when the deformation produces a distinguished top eigenvalue. The formal target therefore concerns the deformed matrix itself, rather than replacing it with the centered matrix.

Setting

For each size NNN, let HN=(hij)H_N=(h_{ij})HN​=(hij​) be a real symmetric random matrix. Entries indexed by the upper triangle are independent, centered, and have variance 1/N1/N1/N. Their higher moments obey

E∣hij∣p≤CpNqNp−2,3≤p≤(log⁡N)A0log⁡log⁡N.\mathbf E|h_{ij}|^p\le\frac{C^p}{Nq_N^{p-2}},\qquad 3\le p\le(\log N)^{A_0\log\log N}.E∣hij​∣p≤NqNp−2​Cp​,3≤p≤(logN)A0​loglogN.

The sparsity parameter qNq_NqN​ lies between (log⁡N)3ξN(\log N)^{3\xi_N}(logN)3ξN​ and CNC\sqrt NCN​, and the logarithmic parameter satisfies 1+a0≤ξN≤A0log⁡log⁡N1+a_0\le\xi_N\le A_0\log\log N1+a0​≤ξN​≤A0​loglogN, with a0>0a_0>0a0​>0 and A0≥10A_0\ge10A0​≥10. Define eN=N−1/2(1,…,1)e_N=N^{-1/2}(1,\ldots,1)eN​=N−1/2(1,…,1) and the noncentered matrix AN=HN+fN∣eN⟩⟨eN∣A_N=H_N+f_N|e_N\rangle\langle e_N|AN​=HN​+fN​∣eN​⟩⟨eN​∣, where 0≤fN≤NC0\le f_N\le N^C0≤fN​≤NC. The projection ∣eN⟩⟨eN∣|e_N\rangle\langle e_N|∣eN​⟩⟨eN​∣ has every entry equal to 1/N1/N1/N. These are Definitions 2.1 and 2.2 of the source paper, pp. 5–6.

For a complex number z=E+iηz=E+i\etaz=E+iη with η>0\eta>0η>0, the resolvents are G(z)=(HN−zI)−1G(z)=(H_N-zI)^{-1}G(z)=(HN​−zI)−1 and G~(z)=(AN−zI)−1\widetilde G(z)=(A_N-zI)^{-1}G(z)=(AN​−zI)−1. Their normalized traces are m(z)=N−1Tr⁡G(z)m(z)=N^{-1}\operatorname{Tr}G(z)m(z)=N−1TrG(z) and m~(z)=N−1Tr⁡G~(z)\widetilde m(z)=N^{-1}\operatorname{Tr}\widetilde G(z)m(z)=N−1TrG(z). The comparison object is the semicircle density ρsc(x)=(2π)−1[4−x2]+\rho_{\mathrm{sc}}(x)=(2\pi)^{-1}\sqrt{[4-x^2]_+}ρsc​(x)=(2π)−1[4−x2]+​​ and its Stieltjes transform msc(z)=∫Rρsc(x)/(x−z) dxm_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)=\int_{\mathbb R}\rho_{\mathrm{sc}}(x)/(x-z)\,dxmsc​(z)=∫R​ρsc​(x)/(x−z)dx. Put κE=∣∣E∣−2∣\kappa_E=\bigl||E|-2\bigr|κE​=​∣E∣−2​ and D={E+iη:∣E∣≤Σ, 0<η≤3}D=\{E+i\eta:|E|\le\Sigma,\ 0<\eta\le3\}D={E+iη:∣E∣≤Σ, 0<η≤3} for a fixed Σ≥3\Sigma\ge3Σ≥3. These definitions appear in Section 2, pp. 7–9.

An NNN-dependent event has (ξ,ν)(\xi,\nu)(ξ,ν)-high probability when its failure probability is at most exp⁡[−ν(log⁡N)ξN]\exp[-\nu(\log N)^{\xi_N}]exp[−ν(logN)ξN​] for all sufficiently large NNN. The spectral estimates below refer to single events on which the claimed bound holds at every z∈Dz\in Dz∈D simultaneously.

Formalization targets

Main goal: the local law for A

Theorem 2.9 assumes ξN∼(A0/2)log⁡log⁡N\xi_N\sim(A_0/2)\log\log NξN​∼(A0​/2)loglogN and qN≥(log⁡N)C1ξNq_N\ge(\log N)^{C_1\xi_N}qN​≥(logN)C1​ξN​. Its first conclusion is that, with (ξ,ν)(\xi,\nu)(ξ,ν)-high probability, every z=E+iη∈Dz=E+i\eta\in Dz=E+iη∈D satisfies

∣m~(z)−msc(z)∣≤(log⁡N)C2ξN(min⁡{1qN2κE+η,1qN}+1Nη).|\widetilde m(z)-m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)|\le(\log N)^{C_2\xi_N}\left(\min\left\{\frac1{q_N^2\sqrt{\kappa_E+\eta}},\frac1{q_N}\right\}+\frac1{N\eta}\right).∣m(z)−msc​(z)∣≤(logN)C2​ξN​(min{qN2​κE​+η​1​,qN​1​}+Nη1​).

Under the additional bound fN≤C0Nf_N\le C_0\sqrt NfN​≤C0​N​, its second conclusion controls every entry at every z∈Dz\in Dz∈D:

∣G~ij(z)−δijmsc(z)∣≤(log⁡N)C2ξN(1qN+Im⁡msc(z)Nη+1Nη).|\widetilde G_{ij}(z)-\delta_{ij}m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)|\le(\log N)^{C_2\xi_N}\left(\frac1{q_N}+\sqrt{\frac{\operatorname{Im}m_{\mathrm{sc}}(z)}{N\eta}}+\frac1{N\eta}\right).∣Gij​(z)−δij​msc​(z)∣≤(logN)C2​ξN​(qN​1​+NηImmsc​(z)​​+Nη1​).

The constants C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ are universal and positive. The probability exponent ν>0\nu>0ν>0 may depend on the fixed parameters named in the theorem. Both conclusions, including the extra condition on fNf_NfN​ in the second, are retained from Theorem 2.9, pp. 9–10.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's own sequence of numbered results.

  1. Properties of mscm_{\mathrm{sc}}msc​ (Lemma 3.2): ∣msc∣∼1|m_{\mathrm{sc}}|\sim1∣msc​∣∼1, ∣1−msc2∣∼κE+η|1-m_{\mathrm{sc}}^2|\sim\sqrt{\kappa_E+\eta}∣1−msc2​∣∼κE​+η​, and the size of Im⁡msc\operatorname{Im}m_{\mathrm{sc}}Immsc​ inside and outside the spectrum.
  2. Resolvent identities for minors (Lemma 3.4) and the self-consistent equation Gii=1/(−z−msc−([v]−Υi))G_{ii}=1/(-z-m_{\mathrm{sc}}-([v]-\Upsilon_i))Gii​=1/(−z−msc​−([v]−Υi​)) (Lemma 3.10); both are deterministic.
  3. Large deviation bounds for linear and quadratic forms in independent variables with the sparse moment decay (Lemma 3.8 (ii)).
  4. The weak local semicircle law for HHH (Theorem 3.1) on DL={∣E∣≤Σ, (log⁡N)LN−1≤η≤3}D_L=\{|E|\le\Sigma,\ (\log N)^LN^{-1}\le\eta\le3\}DL​={∣E∣≤Σ, (logN)LN−1≤η≤3}, L≥8ξL\ge8\xiL≥8ξ.
  5. Fluctuation averaging (Lemma 4.1 (4.2)): the average [Z]=N−1∑iZi[Z]=N^{-1}\sum_iZ_i[Z]=N−1∑i​Zi​ of the fluctuation terms is much smaller than each ZiZ_iZi​.
  6. The a priori norm bound ∥H∥≤2+(log⁡N)ξq−1/2\|H\|\le2+(\log N)^\xi q^{-1/2}∥H∥≤2+(logN)ξq−1/2 (Lemma 4.3) and the strong local law for HHH (Theorem 2.8, the analogue of the goal for f=0f=0f=0).
  7. Interlacing of the eigenvalues of HHH and AAA (Lemma 6.1) and the near-orthogonality ∑α≠N∣⟨vα,e⟩∣2=O(f−2)\sum_{\alpha\ne N}|\langle v_\alpha,e\rangle|^2=O(f^{-2})∑α=N​∣⟨vα​,e⟩∣2=O(f−2) of eee to the non-top eigenvectors of AAA (Corollary 6.7).
  8. The trace comparison ∣Λ~−Λ∣≤π/(Nη)|\widetilde\Lambda-\Lambda|\le\pi/(N\eta)∣Λ−Λ∣≤π/(Nη) (Lemma 7.1), which yields the first conclusion of the goal from Theorem 2.8.
  9. Entrywise control of G~\widetilde GG on the event Ω~(η)\widetilde\Omega(\eta)Ω(η) that Λ~d+Λ~o≤(log⁡N)−ξ\widetilde\Lambda_d+\widetilde\Lambda_o\le(\log N)^{-\xi}Λd​+Λo​≤(logN)−ξ on the line Im⁡z=η\operatorname{Im}z=\etaImz=η: the off-diagonal bound Λ~o≤CΦ\widetilde\Lambda_o\le C\PhiΛo​≤CΦ (Proposition 7.6 (7.14)) and the diagonal bounds of Lemma 7.7, with Φ=(log⁡N)ξ/q+(log⁡N)2ξ(Im⁡m~/(Nη)+1/(Nη))\Phi=(\log N)^\xi/q+(\log N)^{2\xi}(\sqrt{\operatorname{Im}\widetilde m/(N\eta)}+1/(N\eta))Φ=(logN)ξ/q+(logN)2ξ(Imm/(Nη)​+1/(Nη)).

Significance

The trace estimate gives quantitative control over spectral mass at local scales, including near the edges E=±2E=\pm2E=±2. The entrywise estimate says more: each resolvent entry is close to the diagonal semicircle approximation with an error that records both sparsity and finite-size effects. The paper's later results derive density-of-states and eigenvector statements from these local controls. Those consequences are outside this mission's goal.

The intended formal development supplies reusable definitions of sparse symmetric ensembles, high-probability events, semicircle transforms, and complex resolvents, followed by exact statements of the paper's estimates. Mathlib contains no local semicircle law, for Wigner or for sparse matrices, and no Stieltjes transform of the semicircle distribution; the local law, the large deviation bounds and the interlacing lemma are each reusable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The deterministic rank-one comparison controls the normalized trace but does not by itself control each entry of G~\widetilde GG. The entrywise estimate must account for the deformation and for fluctuations caused by sparse entries. Near the spectral edges, the stability scale of the semicircle transform changes with κE+η\kappa_E+\etaκE​+η; a bound that is uniform in the bulk does not automatically retain the paper's edge behavior. The theorem also asks for one event covering a continuum of zzz values, so a collection of separate fixed-zzz probability bounds has the wrong quantifier order. These are substantive parts of Sections 3–7, beyond algebraic manipulation of resolvents.

Formalization scope

Lean represents all HNH_NHN​ on one probability space and takes their entries to be real, symmetric, measurable random variables, independent in the upper triangle. Conditions involving log⁡log⁡N\log\log NloglogN and the moments hold for all sufficiently large NNN; this avoids impossible small-NNN parameter bounds and matches the asymptotic theorem. The moment order ppp is real, as in the paper. Each finite expectation has an explicit integrability condition. A single positive constant CCC is used for the moment, sparsity, and deformation bounds: replacing several fixed constants by their maximum preserves all three inequalities.

Matrix indices use Fin N rather than the paper's 1,…,N1,\ldots,N1,…,N. The resolvent is a complex matrix formed by coercing the real matrix before subtracting zIzIzI. Every result that uses it restricts η>0\eta>0η>0 eventually or explicitly; its inverse at a singular input is never used to make a claim. The semicircle transform is defined by the paper's integral, and 4−x2\sqrt{4-x^2}4−x2​ uses Lean's nonnegative square root, implementing the positive part. The high-probability predicate evaluates the measure of arbitrary sets, so it can state the intersection over all zzz without a separate measurability assumption on that intersection. Positive qNq_NqN​ and positive square-root arguments follow eventually from the model and z∈Dz\in Dz∈D.

The deterministic Lemmas 3.2, 3.4, 3.10, 6.1 and 7.1 are stated for every real symmetric matrix and every zzz with η>0\eta>0η>0 (Lemma 3.2 on DDD); the paper's DLD_LDL​ is contained there. Minors keep the original index names, and Gkl(T)G^{(\mathbb T)}_{kl}Gkl(T)​ is only used for k,l∉Tk,l\notin\mathbb Tk,l∈/T. ZiZ_iZi​ is the explicit expression of (3.15). Ordered eigenvalues are the sorted roots of the characteristic polynomial. Statements the paper makes "for fixed zzz" (Lemmas 4.1, 7.7, Proposition 7.6) are uniform in zzz: one threshold N0N_0N0​ serves every zzz. The unnamed constants CCC, ν\nuν, KKK are chosen after the fixed parameters and before the random matrices; the universal C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ come first.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: every resolvent is taken at η>0\eta>0η>0, so the junk inverse of a singular matrix never enters; the model is satisfiable (independent Rademacher signs divided by N\sqrt NN​ with qN=Nq_N=\sqrt NqN​=N​ and ξN=(A0/2)log⁡log⁡N\xi_N=(A_0/2)\log\log NξN​=(A0​/2)loglogN satisfy it for large NNN); each event of the goal is one intersection over all z∈Dz\in Dz∈D, not a family of pointwise bounds; the constants appear in the paper's order; and the goal is about A=H+f∣e⟩⟨e∣A=H+f|e\rangle\langle e|A=H+f∣e⟩⟨e∣ with fff allowed to be large, so it does not reduce to Theorem 2.8.

Part (iii) of Lemma 3.8 is not a milestone: the printed (3.22) omits the diagonal variance term (N−2∑i∣Bii∣2)1/2(N^{-2}\sum_i|B_{ii}|^2)^{1/2}(N−2∑i​∣Bii​∣2)1/2, without which it fails for Rademacher variables with q≍Nq\asymp\sqrt Nq≍N​. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of the missing groundwork (Stieltjes transforms of measures, Schur complements of resolvents, moment bounds for sums of independent variables), are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Erdős, A. Knowles, H.-T. Yau and J. Yin, Spectral statistics of Erdős–Rényi graphs I: Local semicircle law, Annals of Probability 41(3B), 2013, pp. 2279–2375. arXiv:1103.1919v5; DOI:10.1214/11-AOP734.
16 thms1 active userReviewed
Linear algebraOptimizationQuantum Information·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sum-of-Squares Hierarchy on the Sphere, and Applications in Quantum Information Theory II: The Dual of the ℓ-th DPS Cone Is the Set of M for Which ‖y‖^{2(ℓ−1)}·p_M Is a Real Sum of SquaresResearch Paper

Motivation

Deciding whether a bipartite quantum state is entangled is a basic computational problem of quantum information theory, and it is NP-hard in general (Gurvits 2003). The most widely used family of tests is the DPS hierarchy of Doherty, Parrilo and Spedalieri (DPS 2002, DPS 2004): a sequence of semidefinite programs, indexed by an integer level ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1, whose feasible sets shrink to the set of separable states. On the dual side, a matrix MMM that is nonnegative on separable states is an entanglement witness, and certifying such witnesses is the problem of certifying nonnegativity of a biquadratic Hermitian form, a classical question in real algebraic geometry.

That the DPS hierarchy is, dually, a sum-of-squares hierarchy for these forms has been used repeatedly in the literature, but, as Fang and Fawzi note (arXiv:1908.05155v1, p. 4), without a formal and complete proof. Their Theorem 12 gives one. They then combine it with their sum-of-squares convergence rate on the sphere (Theorem 2 of the same paper) to recover the O(dB2/ℓ2)O(d_B^2/\ell^2)O(dB2​/ℓ2) convergence rate of Navascués, Owari and Plenio 2009 for the DPS hierarchy.

Timeline:

  • 2002–2004: Doherty, Parrilo, Spedalieri introduce the hierarchy and prove completeness.
  • 2009: Navascués, Owari, Plenio prove hDPSℓ≤(1+O(dB2/ℓ2))hSeph_{\mathrm{DPS}_\ell}\le(1+O(d_B^2/\ell^2))h_{\mathrm{Sep}}hDPSℓ​​≤(1+O(dB2​/ℓ2))hSep​ by a quantum argument.
  • 2019: Fang and Fawzi prove the duality (Theorem 12) and recover the 2009 rate from sums of squares (Theorem 15).

Setting

Let HA=CdA\mathcal H_A=\mathbb C^{d_A}HA​=CdA​ and HB=CdB\mathcal H_B=\mathbb C^{d_B}HB​=CdB​. A matrix MMM on HA⊗HB\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_BHA​⊗HB​ has entries Mij,klM_{ij,kl}Mij,kl​ (row (i,j)(i,j)(i,j), column (k,l)(k,l)(k,l)); Herm(dAdB)\mathrm{Herm}(d_Ad_B)Herm(dA​dB​) is the space of Hermitian ones.

  • The separable cone SEP\mathcal{SEP}SEP is the set of finite conic combinations ∑ipi(xixi†)⊗(yiyi†)\sum_ip_i(x_ix_i^\dagger)\otimes(y_iy_i^\dagger)∑i​pi​(xi​xi†​)⊗(yi​yi†​), pi≥0p_i\ge0pi​≥0.
  • Fix ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1 and ℓ\ellℓ copies B1,…,BℓB_1,\dots,B_\ellB1​,…,Bℓ​ of HB\mathcal H_BHB​. The DPS cone DPSℓ\mathcal{DPS}_\ellDPSℓ​ is the set of positive semidefinite ρ\rhoρ on HA⊗HB\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_BHA​⊗HB​ that have a positive semidefinite extension ρAB[ℓ]\rho_{AB[\ell]}ρAB[ℓ]​ on HA⊗HB⊗ℓ\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_B^{\otimes\ell}HA​⊗HB⊗ℓ​ with three properties: tracing out B2,…,BℓB_2,\dots,B_\ellB2​,…,Bℓ​ returns ρ\rhoρ; (I⊗Πℓ)ρAB[ℓ](I⊗Πℓ)=ρAB[ℓ](I\otimes\Pi_\ell)\rho_{AB[\ell]}(I\otimes\Pi_\ell)=\rho_{AB[\ell]}(I⊗Πℓ​)ρAB[ℓ]​(I⊗Πℓ​)=ρAB[ℓ]​, where Πℓ=1ℓ!∑σ∈SℓPσ\Pi_\ell=\frac1{\ell!}\sum_{\sigma\in\mathfrak S_\ell}P_\sigmaΠℓ​=ℓ!1​∑σ∈Sℓ​​Pσ​ projects onto the symmetric subspace of HB⊗ℓ\mathcal H_B^{\otimes\ell}HB⊗ℓ​; and every partial transpose ρAB[ℓ]TB[s]\rho_{AB[\ell]}^{\mathsf T_{B[s]}}ρAB[ℓ]TB[s]​​ on B1,…,BsB_1,\dots,B_sB1​,…,Bs​, s=1,…,ℓs=1,\dots,\ells=1,…,ℓ, is positive semidefinite.
  • The EXT cone EXTℓ\mathcal{EXT}_\ellEXTℓ​ is the same without the partial-transpose conditions.
  • For a set KKK, the dual cone is K∗={M∈Herm(dAdB):Tr[Mρ]≥0 ∀ρ∈K}K^*=\{M\in\mathrm{Herm}(d_Ad_B):\mathrm{Tr}[M\rho]\ge0\ \forall\rho\in K\}K∗={M∈Herm(dA​dB​):Tr[Mρ]≥0 ∀ρ∈K}.
  • To MMM is attached the Hermitian polynomial pM(x,xˉ,y,yˉ)=∑ijklMij,klxixˉkyjyˉlp_M(x,\bar x,y,\bar y)=\sum_{ijkl}M_{ij,kl}x_i\bar x_ky_j\bar y_lpM​(x,xˉ,y,yˉ​)=∑ijkl​Mij,kl​xi​xˉk​yj​yˉ​l​.
  • A real-valued polynomial in (x,xˉ,y,yˉ)(x,\bar x,y,\bar y)(x,xˉ,y,yˉ​) is rsos if it is a finite sum of squares of Hermitian polynomials, equivalently of real polynomials in the real and imaginary parts of x,yx,yx,y; it is csos if it is a finite sum ∑i∣qi(x,y)∣2\sum_i|q_i(x,y)|^2∑i​∣qi​(x,y)∣2 with qiq_iqi​ holomorphic polynomials.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

SEP∗={M:pM≥0},DPSℓ∗={M:∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM is rsos},EXTℓ∗={M:∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM is csos},\mathcal{SEP}^*=\{M: p_M\ge0\},\qquad \mathcal{DPS}_\ell^*=\{M:\|y\|^{2(\ell-1)}p_M\ \text{is rsos}\},\qquad \mathcal{EXT}_\ell^*=\{M:\|y\|^{2(\ell-1)}p_M\ \text{is csos}\},SEP∗={M:pM​≥0},DPSℓ∗​={M:∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM​ is rsos},EXTℓ∗​={M:∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM​ is csos},

for all dA,dBd_A,d_BdA​,dB​ and all ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1, with MMM ranging over Herm(dAdB)\mathrm{Herm}(d_Ad_B)Herm(dA​dB​).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 12 (i), the first equality.
  2. The identity (37): (x⊗yˉ⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s)†W(⋅)=(x⊗y⊗ℓ)†WTB[s](x⊗y⊗ℓ)(x\otimes\bar y^{\otimes s}\otimes y^{\otimes\ell-s})^\dagger W(\cdot)=(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})^\dagger W^{\mathsf T_{B[s]}}(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})(x⊗yˉ​⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s)†W(⋅)=(x⊗y⊗ℓ)†WTB[s]​(x⊗y⊗ℓ).
  3. Lemma 19: ∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM\|y\|^{2(\ell-1)}p_M∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM​ is rsos iff it is ∑s=0ℓ(x⊗yˉ⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s)†Ws(x⊗yˉ⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s)\sum_{s=0}^\ell(x\otimes\bar y^{\otimes s}\otimes y^{\otimes\ell-s})^\dagger W_s(x\otimes\bar y^{\otimes s}\otimes y^{\otimes\ell-s})∑s=0ℓ​(x⊗yˉ​⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s)†Ws​(x⊗yˉ​⊗s⊗y⊗ℓ−s) with Ws⪰0W_s\succeq0Ws​⪰0.
  4. (39): (x⊗y⊗ℓ)†(Y−ΠℓYΠℓ)(x⊗y⊗ℓ)=0(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})^\dagger(Y-\Pi_\ell Y\Pi_\ell)(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})=0(x⊗y⊗ℓ)†(Y−Πℓ​YΠℓ​)(x⊗y⊗ℓ)=0.
  5. The dual SDP description: DPSℓ∗={M:M⊗IB[2:ℓ]=(Y−ΠℓYΠℓ)+∑s=0ℓWsTB[s], Y∈Herm, Ws⪰0}\mathcal{DPS}_\ell^*=\{M: M\otimes I_{B[2:\ell]}=(Y-\Pi_\ell Y\Pi_\ell)+\sum_{s=0}^\ell W_s^{\mathsf T_{B[s]}},\ Y\in\mathrm{Herm},\ W_s\succeq0\}DPSℓ∗​={M:M⊗IB[2:ℓ]​=(Y−Πℓ​YΠℓ​)+∑s=0ℓ​WsTB[s]​​, Y∈Herm, Ws​⪰0}.
  6. Lemma 20: ∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM\|y\|^{2(\ell-1)}p_M∥y∥2(ℓ−1)pM​ is csos iff it is (x⊗y⊗ℓ)†W(x⊗y⊗ℓ)(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})^\dagger W(x\otimes y^{\otimes\ell})(x⊗y⊗ℓ)†W(x⊗y⊗ℓ) with W⪰0W\succeq0W⪰0.
  7. Theorem 15: there are absolute C,C′>0C,C'>0C,C′>0 with hSep(M)≤hDPSℓ(M)≤(1+CdB2/ℓ2)hSep(M)h_{\mathrm{Sep}}(M)\le h_{\mathrm{DPS}_\ell}(M)\le(1+Cd_B^2/\ell^2)h_{\mathrm{Sep}}(M)hSep​(M)≤hDPSℓ​​(M)≤(1+CdB2​/ℓ2)hSep​(M) for ℓ≥C′dB\ell\ge C'd_Bℓ≥C′dB​, whenever (x⊗y)†M(x⊗y)≥0(x\otimes y)^\dagger M(x\otimes y)\ge0(x⊗y)†M(x⊗y)≥0.

Significance

Theorem 12 makes the DPS hierarchy and the sum-of-squares hierarchy for biquadratic forms interchangeable. A convergence bound for one is a convergence bound for the other: the paper uses this to derive the DPS rate (Theorem 15) from a rate for sums of squares on the sphere, and conversely quantum de Finetti arguments give sum-of-squares bounds. Part (iii) separates the two notions of Hermitian sum of squares: dropping the partial transposes corresponds exactly to passing from real to complex sums of squares. This explains, for example, why (z+zˉ)2(z+\bar z)^2(z+zˉ)2 (rsos but not csos) behaves differently in the two hierarchies.

The results are proved on paper; none is formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked statement and proof of the duality, together with the matrix-analytic infrastructure behind it: partial traces and partial transposes on HA⊗HB⊗ℓ\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_B^{\otimes\ell}HA​⊗HB⊗ℓ​, the symmetric projector, conic duality for semidefinite cones, and the passage between Gram matrices and sums of squares. Theorem 15 additionally depends on the sphere rate of the companion mission (Theorem 6 there) and on the unproved Lemma 13 and display (26) of the paper.

Difficulty

The inclusion of each sum-of-squares cone in the corresponding dual cone is a direct computation. The reverse inclusions are harder: a certificate involving arbitrary Hermitian polynomials must yield positive semidefinite matrices indexed by the prescribed tensor products, even though its square terms can mix different patterns of complex conjugation. Likewise, weak semidefinite duality alone does not show that every element of DPSℓ∗\mathcal{DPS}_\ell^*DPSℓ∗​ has the displayed finite certificate; limits of certificates may require a separate closedness argument. The symmetric-subspace condition adds another constraint because an extension must be supported on that subspace, not merely invariant under permutations.

Formalization scope

  • Indices: HA⊗HB\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_BHA​⊗HB​ is Fin dA × Fin dB (Mathlib's Kronecker convention); HA⊗HB⊗ℓ\mathcal H_A\otimes\mathcal H_B^{\otimes\ell}HA​⊗HB⊗ℓ​ is Fin dA × (Fin ℓ → Fin dB).
  • The level is written ℓ=m+1\ell=m+1ℓ=m+1 with m∈Nm\in\mathbb Nm∈N, so ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1 is built in and ∥y∥2(ℓ−1)=∥y∥2m\|y\|^{2(\ell-1)}=\|y\|^{2m}∥y∥2(ℓ−1)=∥y∥2m; B1,…,BℓB_1,\dots,B_\ellB1​,…,Bℓ​ are coordinates 0,…,m0,\dots,m0,…,m.
  • Matrices are complex; positive semidefiniteness is Mathlib's Matrix.PosSemidef (which includes Hermitian). Dual cones are subsets of Herm(dAdB)\mathrm{Herm}(d_Ad_B)Herm(dA​dB​) with the pairing Re⁡Tr[Mρ]\operatorname{Re}\mathrm{Tr}[M\rho]ReTr[Mρ].
  • pMp_MpM​ is (25) literally; "pM≥0p_M\ge0pM​≥0" is Re⁡pM≥0\operatorname{Re}p_M\ge0RepM​≥0.
  • rsos is a finite sum of squares of real polynomials (MvPolynomial over R\mathbb RR) in the real and imaginary parts of (x,y)(x,y)(x,y); csos is a finite sum of ∣qi∣2|q_i|^2∣qi​∣2 with qiq_iqi​ complex polynomials in (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) only. Swapping the two, or allowing complex gig_igi​ in rsos, would change parts (ii) and (iii).
  • Condition (21) is stated literally with the explicit projector; "commutes with all permutations" would be weaker and is not used.
  • In Theorem 15, hSeph_{\mathrm{Sep}}hSep​ and hDPSℓh_{\mathrm{DPS}_\ell}hDPSℓ​​ are real suprema over trace-one elements, dA,dB≥1d_A,d_B\ge1dA​,dB​≥1 is assumed so the sets are nonempty, and C,C′C,C'C,C′ are quantified before all dimensions.

No trivializing reading is available: the cones are defined by their page conditions, the dual cones keep the Hermitian constraint, and no degree bound or extra hypothesis is placed on the sums of squares. Welcome contributions include a general library for partial traces and transposes of multipartite matrices, the spanning property of {y⊗ℓ}\{y^{\otimes\ell}\}{y⊗ℓ} in the symmetric subspace, and Gram-matrix characterizations of sums of squares of polynomials; all are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • K. Fang, H. Fawzi, The sum-of-squares hierarchy on the sphere, and applications in quantum information theory, arXiv preprint, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.05155v1
  • A. C. Doherty, P. A. Parrilo, F. M. Spedalieri, Distinguishing separable and entangled states, Physical Review Letters 88, 187904, 2002. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0112007
  • A. C. Doherty, P. A. Parrilo, F. M. Spedalieri, Complete family of separability criteria, Physical Review A 69, 022308, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0308032
  • M. Navascués, M. Owari, M. B. Plenio, Power of symmetric extensions for entanglement detection, Physical Review A 80, 052306, 2009. https://arxiv.org/abs/0906.2731
  • L. Gurvits, Classical deterministic complexity of Edmonds' problem and quantum entanglement, STOC 2003. https://doi.org/10.1145/780542.780545
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Sample Average Approximation 1: A Data-Driven DRO Converges in Objective, Optimal Value and Optimal Solutions for Every Admissible Cost If and Only If Its Test Is Uniformly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker who must choose xxx to minimize an expected cost EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]EF​[c(x;ξ)] rarely knows the distribution FFF of the uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ; what is available is a sample ξ1,…,ξN\xi^1,\dots,\xi^Nξ1,…,ξN. Sample average approximation (SAA) replaces FFF by the empirical distribution. Data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DRO) instead minimizes the worst case of the expected cost over a set FN\mathcal F_NFN​ of distributions built from the data, which protects against the error of the empirical distribution at small NNN. Many such sets have been proposed: moment sets (Delage and Ye, 2010), ϕ\phiϕ-divergence balls (Ben-Tal et al., 2013), Wasserstein balls (Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn, 2018).

Bertsimas, Gupta and Kallus (arXiv:1408.4445v3; Mathematical Programming, 2018, doi:10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z) observe that each such set can be read as the confidence region of a statistical goodness-of-fit (GoF) test, and call the resulting method Robust SAA. A basic question for any such method is whether, as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞, its objective, optimal value and optimal solutions converge to those of the full-information problem. The paper answers it for all data-driven DROs at once, with a single property of the test.

Setting

The support Ξ⊆Rd\Xi\subseteq\mathbb R^dΞ⊆Rd of ξ\xiξ is closed, and P(Ξ)\mathcal P(\Xi)P(Ξ) is the set of Borel probability distributions on Ξ\XiΞ with the topology of weak convergence. The data ξ1,ξ2,…\xi^1,\xi^2,\dotsξ1,ξ2,… are i.i.d. from an unknown F∈P(Ξ)F\in\mathcal P(\Xi)F∈P(Ξ). A data-driven uncertainty set (DUS) map assigns to each sample (ξ1,…,ξN)(\xi^1,\dots,\xi^N)(ξ1,…,ξN) a set FN⊆P(Ξ)\mathcal F_N\subseteq\mathcal P(\Xi)FN​⊆P(Ξ); it is the confidence region of the test that rejects a hypothesis F0F_0F0​ exactly when F0∉FNF_0\notin\mathcal F_NF0​∈/FN​. Decisions lie in a closed set X⊆RdxX\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_x}X⊆Rdx​, the cost is c(x;ξ)c(x;\xi)c(x;ξ), and the robust objective is the worst-case expectation

C(x;FN)=sup⁡F0∈FNEF0[c(x;ξ)].\mathcal C(x;\mathcal F_N)=\sup_{F_0\in\mathcal F_N}\mathbb E_{F_0}[c(x;\xi)] .C(x;FN​)=F0​∈FN​sup​EF0​​[c(x;ξ)].

A test is uniformly consistent (Definition 3) if, for every data-generating FFF, almost surely every sequence FNF_NFN​ that does not converge weakly to FFF lies outside FN\mathcal F_NFN​ for infinitely many NNN. The admissible instances are those satisfying three assumptions: (1) c(⋅;ξ)c(\cdot;\xi)c(⋅;ξ) is equicontinuous in xxx uniformly over ξ\xiξ; (2) XXX is bounded, or ccc is coercive in xxx uniformly over a set DDD of positive FFF-probability and bounded below off DDD; (3) Ξ\XiΞ is bounded, or there is a growth function ϕ≥0\phi\ge0ϕ≥0 with c(x;ξ)=O(ϕ(ξ))c(x;\xi)=O(\phi(\xi))c(x;ξ)=O(ϕ(ξ)) whose expectation the DUS tracks: sup⁡F0∈FN∣EF0ϕ−1N∑iϕ(ξi)∣→0\sup_{F_0\in\mathcal F_N}|\mathbb E_{F_0}\phi-\frac1N\sum_i\phi(\xi^i)|\to0supF0​∈FN​​∣EF0​​ϕ−N1​∑i​ϕ(ξi)∣→0 almost surely. The convergence conditions are (18) C(x;FN)→EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathcal C(x;\mathcal F_N)\to\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]C(x;FN​)→EF​[c(x;ξ)] uniformly on compact subsets of XXX; (19) convergence of optimal values; and (20) every sequence of robust minimizers has a limit point, and all its limit points are true minimizers.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

For a DUS map with nonempty sets,

FN is uniformly consistent  ⟺  [∀F,X,c satisfying Assumptions 1–3: (18),(19),(20) hold a.s.].\mathcal F_N\ \text{is uniformly consistent}\iff\Big[\forall F,X,c\ \text{satisfying Assumptions 1–3}:\ (18),(19),(20)\ \text{hold a.s.}\Big].FN​ is uniformly consistent⟺[∀F,X,c satisfying Assumptions 1–3: (18),(19),(20) hold a.s.].

The statement carries no rates and no constants; it is a characterization, so it does not depend on any particular test.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 8: under uniform consistency and Assumptions 1 and 3, almost surely EFN[c(x;ξ)]→EF[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_{F_N}[c(x;\xi)]\to\mathbb E_F[c(x;\xi)]EFN​​[c(x;ξ)]→EF​[c(x;ξ)] for every x∈Xx\in Xx∈X and every sequence FN∈FNF_N\in\mathcal F_NFN​∈FN​.
  2. Proposition 9: deterministically, convergence of C(xN;FN)\mathcal C(x_N;\mathcal F_N)C(xN​;FN​) along every convergent xN→xx_N\to xxN​→x implies (18).
  3. Theorem 2, "only if" side: uniform consistency implies (18)–(20) a.s. for every admissible instance.
  4. Theorem 2, "if" side: if the test is not uniformly consistent, some admissible instance fails (18)–(20) with positive probability.
  5. Theorem 3: if FN\mathcal F_NFN​ always contains the empirical distribution and the test is ccc-consistent (Definition 5, consistency with respect to the expected costs only), then (18)–(20) hold a.s.
  6. Proposition 4 (first sentence): a uniformly consistent test is consistent in the classical sense, P(F0∉FN)→1\mathbb P(F_0\notin\mathcal F_N)\to1P(F0​∈/FN​)→1 for each F0≠FF_0\neq FF0​=F.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 reduces the asymptotic analysis of a data-driven DRO to a property of a statistical test, which can be checked once per test rather than once per optimization model. The paper uses it to classify DUSs: the χ2\chi^2χ2 and G-tests on a finite support and the Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramér–von Mises, Watson and Anderson–Darling tests on the line are uniformly consistent (Theorems 4–5, separate missions of this series), while the test of marginals is not even consistent and so cannot give convergence for every cost. The necessity direction makes the property sharp: a weaker test always admits a well-behaved cost on which the DRO fails to converge. Theorem 3 explains the remaining cases where a DRO converges for one given cost.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper (§10.5), but its proof leans on several standard facts used without detail: the portmanteau theorem, uniform integrability arguments from Billingsley's Convergence of Probability Measures, the Lévy continuity theorem with the Cramér–Wold device, and coercivity arguments carried over from the paper's Theorem 1. A machine-checked version would fix exactly which regularity of the cost these steps need; three such conditions are stated explicitly here (see the scope section). No part of the result is formalized elsewhere to our knowledge; the platform has no notion of a data-driven uncertainty set or of uniform consistency.

Difficulty

Uniform consistency is a statement about weak convergence, while (18)–(20) are statements about expectations of an unbounded, xxx-dependent cost under the members of FN\mathcal F_NFN​. Weak convergence controls expectations only of bounded continuous functions, so the "only if" side must recover convergence of EFN[c(x;ξ)]\mathbb E_{F_N}[c(x;\xi)]EFN​​[c(x;ξ)] from Assumption 3, which requires uniform integrability, and then upgrade pointwise convergence to uniform convergence on compacts and to convergence of minimizers when XXX is unbounded. The tempting route through a single limiting minimization problem fails: the sets FN\mathcal F_NFN​ change with the sample, the worst case is a supremum over infinitely many distributions, and the minimizers of C(⋅;FN)\mathcal C(\cdot;\mathcal F_N)C(⋅;FN​) could escape to infinity unless coercivity on DDD transfers to every member of FN\mathcal F_NFN​. The "if" side needs, from the mere failure of uniform consistency, a single admissible cost whose worst-case objective detects every failure of weak convergence.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), distributions are ProbabilityMeasure ↥Ξ (whose topology is weak convergence), and the data live on the canonical product space ΞN\Xi^{\mathbb N}ΞN with the product law, 0-indexed. "Almost surely" is ∀ᵐ, and in Definition 3 one null set serves every sequence FNF_NFN​. An expectation over a member of FN\mathcal F_NFN​ is +∞+\infty+∞ when the integrand is not integrable, never Lean's default 000. Minima in (19)–(20) are infima in the extended reals, so the empty and unattained cases need no special treatment; (20) applies to sequences that are minimizers for all large NNN.

Four hypotheses are added to the page, each used by the paper's own proof: every FN\mathcal F_NFN​ is nonempty (otherwise the worst case is −∞-\infty−∞ and uniform consistency is vacuous); c(x;⋅)c(x;\cdot)c(x;⋅) is continuous on Ξ\XiΞ; the set DDD of Assumption 2b is open; the growth function ϕ\phiϕ of Assumption 3b is continuous, with EFϕ<∞\mathbb E_F\phi<\inftyEF​ϕ<∞ as fixed on p. 10 of the paper. Theorem 3 additionally assumes Assumption 2, which its proof uses. Proposition 4 assumes the rejection events are measurable. A formalization in which the worst case uses the raw Bochner integral, the supremum ranges over a possibly empty set, or (20) requires minimizers at N=0N=0N=0 would make the statements false or vacuous, and is ruled out.

A full development needs weak convergence and the portmanteau theorem (in Mathlib), uniform integrability and its relation to convergence of means under weak convergence, the strong law of large numbers for the growth function and the empirical measure, the Lévy continuity theorem in several dimensions (in Mathlib, via characteristic functions), and a countable convergence-determining class of bounded continuous functions. The uniform-integrability step and the path characterization of local uniform convergence (Proposition 9) are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome; Proposition 9 is self-contained and deterministic.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, V. Gupta, N. Kallus, Robust Sample Average Approximation, arXiv:1408.4445v3, 2016; Mathematical Programming 171 (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4445v3, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316962
  • E. Delage, Y. Ye, Distributionally Robust Optimization Under Moment Uncertainty with Application to Data-Driven Problems, Operations Research 58(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0741
  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, A. De Waegenaere, B. Melenberg, G. Rennen, Robust Solutions of Optimization Problems Affected by Uncertain Probabilities, Management Science 59(2), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1120.1641
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1172-1
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Machine LearningMarkov ChainProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Nonasymptotic Convergence Analysis for the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm: Explicit Total-Variation Bound for ULA with Nonincreasing Step Sizes When the Potential Is Strongly Convex Outside a BallResearch Paper

Why sampling from e−Ue^{-U}e−U needs non-asymptotic guarantees

Bayesian inference, statistical physics and machine learning all ask for samples from a probability distribution π\piπ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd whose density is known only up to a constant, π(dx)∝e−U(x)dx\pi(dx)\propto e^{-U(x)}dxπ(dx)∝e−U(x)dx. The unadjusted Langevin algorithm (ULA) is the Euler–Maruyama discretisation of the Langevin diffusion, whose invariant law is π\piπ. It needs only gradients of UUU, has no accept/reject step, and is therefore cheap in high dimension. Without the Metropolis correction, however, the chain does not leave π\piπ invariant, so its usefulness rests on quantitative bounds: how far, in total variation, the law of the ppp-th iterate is from π\piπ, as an explicit function of the dimension ddd, the step sizes and the regularity of UUU.

Durmus and Moulines (arXiv:1507.05021, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017) gave such bounds for constant and decreasing step sizes. Earlier work of Dalalyan (arXiv:1412.7392, 2017) treated strongly log-concave targets with constant steps. Durmus and Moulines cover nonincreasing step sequences and, among other regimes, potentials that are only strongly convex outside a ball; this mission formalizes that case.

Setting

Write ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ and ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ for the Euclidean norm and inner product of Rd\mathbb R^dRd. The total variation norm of a difference of probability measures is

∥μ−ν∥TV=sup⁡{∣∫f dμ−∫f dν∣:f Borel, ∣f∣≤1},\|\mu-\nu\|_{\mathrm{TV}}=\sup\Big\{\Big|\int f\,d\mu-\int f\,d\nu\Big|: f\text{ Borel},\ |f|\le1\Big\},∥μ−ν∥TV​=sup{​∫fdμ−∫fdν​:f Borel, ∣f∣≤1},

which ranges in [0,2][0,2][0,2].

The potential U:Rd→RU:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb RU:Rd→R satisfies two assumptions:

  • L1: UUU is differentiable and ∇U\nabla U∇U is LLL-Lipschitz;
  • H3(MsM_sMs​): UUU is convex and ⟨∇U(x)−∇U(y),x−y⟩≥m∥x−y∥2\langle\nabla U(x)-\nabla U(y),x-y\rangle\ge m\|x-y\|^2⟨∇U(x)−∇U(y),x−y⟩≥m∥x−y∥2 whenever ∥x−y∥≥Ms\|x-y\|\ge M_s∥x−y∥≥Ms​, for some Ms≥0M_s\ge0Ms​≥0, m>0m>0m>0.

The point x⋆x^\starx⋆ is a minimiser of UUU, and π(dx)=e−U(x)dx/∫e−U\pi(dx)=e^{-U(x)}dx/\int e^{-U}π(dx)=e−U(x)dx/∫e−U.

The Langevin diffusion is dYt=−∇U(Yt)dt+2 dBtddY_t=-\nabla U(Y_t)dt+\sqrt2\,dB^d_tdYt​=−∇U(Yt​)dt+2​dBtd​, with BdB^dBd a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion. Its transition semigroup is Pt(x,A)=P(Yt(x)∈A)P_t(x,A)=\mathbb P(Y_t(x)\in A)Pt​(x,A)=P(Yt​(x)∈A).

ULA with step sizes (γk)k≥1(\gamma_k)_{k\ge1}(γk​)k≥1​ is the chain

Xk+1=Xk−γk+1∇U(Xk)+2γk+1Zk+1,X_{k+1}=X_k-\gamma_{k+1}\nabla U(X_k)+\sqrt{2\gamma_{k+1}}Z_{k+1},Xk+1​=Xk​−γk+1​∇U(Xk​)+2γk+1​​Zk+1​,

with (Zk)(Z_k)(Zk​) i.i.d. standard Gaussian. Its one-step kernel is Rγ(x,⋅)=N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId)R_\gamma(x,\cdot)=\mathcal N(x-\gamma\nabla U(x),2\gamma I_d)Rγ​(x,⋅)=N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId​), and δxQγn=δxRγ1⋯Rγn\delta_xQ^n_\gamma=\delta_xR_{\gamma_1}\cdots R_{\gamma_n}δx​Qγn​=δx​Rγ1​​⋯Rγn​​ is the law of XnX_nXn​ started at xxx. Write Γn,p=∑k=npγk\Gamma_{n,p}=\sum_{k=n}^p\gamma_kΓn,p​=∑k=np​γk​, and let A(γ,x)=sup⁡k≥0∫∥∇U∥2 d(δxQγk)A(\gamma,x)=\sup_{k\ge0}\int\|\nabla U\|^2\,d(\delta_xQ^k_\gamma)A(γ,x)=supk≥0​∫∥∇U∥2d(δx​Qγk​).

The explicit constants use

  • F(λ,a,c,γ,w)=λaw+c(−λγlog⁡λ)−1F(\lambda,a,c,\gamma,w)=\lambda^aw+c(-\lambda^\gamma\log\lambda)^{-1}F(λ,a,c,γ,w)=λaw+c(−λγlogλ)−1 and G(λ,c,γ,w)=w+c(−λγlog⁡λ)−1G(\lambda,c,\gamma,w)=w+c(-\lambda^\gamma\log\lambda)^{-1}G(λ,c,γ,w)=w+c(−λγlogλ)−1;
  • ω(ε,R)=R2/{2Φ−1(1−ε/2)}2\omega(\varepsilon,R)=R^2/\{2\Phi^{-1}(1-\varepsilon/2)\}^2ω(ε,R)=R2/{2Φ−1(1−ε/2)}2, with Φ\PhiΦ the standard Gaussian distribution function;
  • λ=e−2m+γˉL2\lambda=e^{-2m+\bar\gamma L^2}λ=e−2m+γˉ​L2 and c=2(d+mMs2)c=2(d+mM_s^2)c=2(d+mMs2​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 21 (p. 16)

Let d≥1d\ge1d≥1, and let (γk)(\gamma_k)(γk​) be positive and nonincreasing with γ1≤γˉ<2mL−2\gamma_1\le\bar\gamma<2mL^{-2}γ1​≤γˉ​<2mL−2. Then for all 0≤n<p0\le n<p0≤n<p and xxx,

∥δxQγp−π∥TV≤2−1/2L(∑k=np−1{γk+133A(γ,x)+dγk+12})1/2+C(δxQγn)κΓn+1,p.\|\delta_xQ^p_\gamma-\pi\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2^{-1/2}L\Big(\sum_{k=n}^{p-1}\Big\{\tfrac{\gamma^3_{k+1}}3A(\gamma,x)+d\gamma^2_{k+1}\Big\}\Big)^{1/2}+C(\delta_xQ^n_\gamma)\kappa^{\Gamma_{n+1,p}}.∥δx​Qγp​−π∥TV​≤2−1/2L(k=n∑p−1​{3γk+13​​A(γ,x)+dγk+12​})1/2+C(δx​Qγn​)κΓn+1,p​.

The three constants are explicit:

  • the rate, log⁡κ=−m2log⁡2 [log⁡{(1+emω(1/2,max⁡(1,Ms))/4)(1+max⁡(1,Ms))}+log⁡2]−1\log\kappa=-\frac m2\log2\,[\log\{(1+e^{m\omega(1/2,\max(1,M_s))/4})(1+\max(1,M_s))\}+\log2]^{-1}logκ=−2m​log2[log{(1+emω(1/2,max(1,Ms​))/4)(1+max(1,Ms​))}+log2]−1;
  • the constant of the first term, A(γ,x)≤L2G(λ,c,γ1,∥x−x⋆∥2)A(\gamma,x)\le L^2G(\lambda,c,\gamma_1,\|x-x^\star\|^2)A(γ,x)≤L2G(λ,c,γ1​,∥x−x⋆∥2);
  • the constant of the second term, C(δxQγn)≤6+2(d/m+Ms2)1/2+2F1/2(λ,Γ1,n,c,γ1,∥x−x⋆∥2)C(\delta_xQ^n_\gamma)\le6+2(d/m+M_s^2)^{1/2}+2F^{1/2}(\lambda,\Gamma_{1,n},c,\gamma_1,\|x-x^\star\|^2)C(δx​Qγn​)≤6+2(d/m+Ms2​)1/2+2F1/2(λ,Γ1,n​,c,γ1​,∥x−x⋆∥2).

Milestones, in the order of the proof (§5.1, p. 34)

  1. (56), p. 30: for dXt=b(Xt)dt+dBtddX_t=b(X_t)dt+dB^d_tdXt​=b(Xt​)dt+dBtd​ with bbb Lipschitz and monotone (G1), sup⁡∥x−y∥≤R∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV≤2(1−ε)\sup_{\|x-y\|\le R}\|P_t(x,\cdot)-P_t(y,\cdot)\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2(1-\varepsilon)sup∥x−y∥≤R​∥Pt​(x,⋅)−Pt​(y,⋅)∥TV​≤2(1−ε) for t≥ω(ε,R)t\ge\omega(\varepsilon,R)t≥ω(ε,R).
  2. Theorem 36, p. 33: under G1 and the contraction G3, ∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV≤2{(1−ε)−1+1+∥x−y∥}κt\|P_t(x,\cdot)-P_t(y,\cdot)\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2\{(1-\varepsilon)^{-1}+1+\|x-y\|\}\kappa^t∥Pt​(x,⋅)−Pt​(y,⋅)∥TV​≤2{(1−ε)−1+1+∥x−y∥}κt with an explicit κ\kappaκ.
  3. §5.1, p. 34: ∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤2{3+∥x−x⋆∥+∫∥y−x⋆∥dπ(y)}κt\|P_t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le2\{3+\|x-x^\star\|+\int\|y-x^\star\|d\pi(y)\}\kappa^t∥Pt​(x,⋅)−π∥TV​≤2{3+∥x−x⋆∥+∫∥y−x⋆∥dπ(y)}κt for the Langevin semigroup.
  4. §5.1, p. 34: ∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ(y)≤d/m+Ms2\int\|y-x^\star\|^2d\pi(y)\le d/m+M_s^2∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ(y)≤d/m+Ms2​.
  5. Proposition 20, p. 16: V(x)=∥x−x⋆∥2V(x)=\|x-x^\star\|^2V(x)=∥x−x⋆∥2 satisfies RγV≤λγV+γcR_\gamma V\le\lambda^\gamma V+\gamma cRγ​V≤λγV+γc for γ∈(0,γˉ]\gamma\in(0,\bar\gamma]γ∈(0,γˉ​].
  6. Lemma 1, p. 5: such a drift gives QγnV(x)≤F(λ,Γn,c,γ1,V(x))Q^n_\gamma V(x)\le F(\lambda,\Gamma_n,c,\gamma_1,V(x))Qγn​V(x)≤F(λ,Γn​,c,γ1​,V(x)).
  7. Proposition 2, p. 5: the decomposition bound (10), given the geometric ergodicity (3) of the diffusion.

The paper's proofs follow each statement in the body of the paper (§4.1, §4.12, §5, §5.1).

Significance

The theorem bounds the sampling error of ULA in total variation non-asymptotically, with a dimension-free contraction rate κ\kappaκ and constants polynomial in ddd. With steps decreasing to zero and cumulative step size diverging, its bound gives convergence of δxQγp\delta_xQ^p_\gammaδx​Qγp​ to π\piπ; for constant steps, the paper reports iteration counts of order dlog⁡dd\log ddlogd at a prescribed precision in Table 2. H3 covers log-concave targets whose potential can lack strong convexity inside a ball.

The result is proved in the paper but, as far as the platform's catalogue shows, not formalized anywhere. A formalization adds machine-checked versions of several reusable pieces:

  • a Foster–Lyapunov moment bound for time-inhomogeneous Markov chains (Lemma 1);
  • a Girsanov–Pinsker discretisation estimate for Euler schemes (Proposition 2);
  • a reflection-coupling contraction for diffusions with monotone drift (56), Theorem 36.

Difficulty

The ULA chain is not reversible with respect to π\piπ, so the spectral and Dirichlet-form tools of reversible MCMC do not apply to it directly. The bound must instead compare the chain with the continuous diffusion.

That comparison needs Girsanov's theorem on path space and a uniform control of ∫∥∇U∥2\int\|\nabla U\|^2∫∥∇U∥2 along a time-inhomogeneous chain.

The rate of the diffusion itself is the second obstacle. Without global strong convexity, synchronous coupling gives no contraction inside the ball ∥x−y∥<Ms\|x-y\|<M_s∥x−y∥<Ms​. An explicit rate requires a reflection coupling together with return-time estimates, and it has to be transferred through the time change between dY=−∇U dt+2dBdY=-\nabla U\,dt+\sqrt2dBdY=−∇Udt+2​dB and dX=−12∇U dt+dBdX=-\frac12\nabla U\,dt+dBdX=−21​∇Udt+dB.

Formalization scope

The state space is the published EthierKurtz.SDEState d, i.e. EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and Brownian motion and strong solutions are the published EthierKurtz.IsStandardBrownian and EthierKurtz.SolvesBrownianSDE. The conventions are:

  • Semigroup. A semigroup is pinned down by the laws of solutions. PPP is the semigroup of dX=b(X)dt+s dBdX=b(X)dt+s\,dBdX=b(X)dt+sdB when every strong solution from xxx, on every probability space, has time-ttt law Pt(x,⋅)P_t(x,\cdot)Pt​(x,⋅). The Langevin case is b=−∇Ub=-\nabla Ub=−∇U, s=2s=\sqrt2s=2​.
  • Total variation. It is the sup⁡∣f∣≤1\sup_{|f|\le1}sup∣f∣≤1​ norm. Using sup⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\sup_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|supA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣ instead would halve every bound.
  • ULA. The laws δxQγn\delta_xQ^n_\gammaδx​Qγn​ are iterated Measure.bind with the Gaussian kernel N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId)\mathcal N(x-\gamma\nabla U(x),2\gamma I_d)N(x−γ∇U(x),2γId​). Steps are indexed from 111, and Γn,p=0\Gamma_{n,p}=0Γn,p​=0 for p<np<np<n.
  • Moments. Upper-bounded moments (QγnVQ^n_\gamma VQγn​V, ∫∥∇U∥2\int\|\nabla U\|^2∫∥∇U∥2, ∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ\int\|y-x^\star\|^2d\pi∫∥y−x⋆∥2dπ) are lower Lebesgue integrals, so a non-integrable function cannot make a bound free. A(γ,x)≤aA(\gamma,x)\le aA(γ,x)≤a is a bound for every kkk, not a real supremum.
  • Normalisation of π\piπ. No hypothesis ∫e−U<∞\int e^{-U}<\infty∫e−U<∞ is added; it follows from L1 and H3.
  • Quantile. Φ−1(u)=inf⁡{z:Φ(z)≥u}\Phi^{-1}(u)=\inf\{z:\Phi(z)\ge u\}Φ−1(u)=inf{z:Φ(z)≥u}.
  • Logarithms and powers. λ\lambdaλ, κ\kappaκ lie in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), so the logarithms and real powers are genuine.

Several hypotheses are added or read in a particular way, and each is disclosed in the item's statement:

  • x⋆x^\starx⋆. It is a bound variable with the hypothesis that it minimises UUU; the paper uses x⋆x^\starx⋆ in §3.3 without defining it.
  • Proposition 20. The dimension is positive so its printed c=2(d+mMs2)c=2(d+mM_s^2)c=2(d+mMs2​) satisfies (6)'s requirement c>0c>0c>0; this is stated in Lean.
  • Lemma 1. It carries the §2 standing assumption L1, which makes the Euler transition family measurable in its starting point. It is stated for Borel V≥0V\ge0V≥0 rather than V≥1V\ge1V≥1, because Theorem 21 applies it to ∥x−x⋆∥2\|x-x^\star\|^2∥x−x⋆∥2.
  • Proposition 2. It assumes (3) only at μ0=δxQγn\mu_0=\delta_xQ^n_\gammaμ0​=δx​Qγn​, with finite CCC and a finite bound on A(γ,x)A(\gamma,x)A(γ,x).
  • (11). The printed Qγk(y,dz)Q^k_\gamma(y,dz)Qγk​(y,dz) is read as Qγk(x,dz)Q^k_\gamma(x,dz)Qγk​(x,dz).

The citations [20] (existence of solutions), [27] (Lindvall), [32] (Meyn–Tweedie) and Girsanov's theorem are used inside the proofs and are not restated.

The library work needed is substantial: Itô calculus for the reflection coupling, Girsanov's theorem, Pinsker's inequality in this norm, and generator–drift arguments for the moments of π\piπ. Contributions of any of these as standalone platform theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Durmus, É. Moulines, Nonasymptotic convergence analysis for the unadjusted Langevin algorithm, Ann. Appl. Probab. 27(3), 2017; cited as arXiv:1507.05021v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1507.05021
  • A. S. Dalalyan, Theoretical guarantees for approximate sampling from smooth and log-concave densities, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 79(3), 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.7392
  • T. Lindvall, L. C. G. Rogers, Coupling of multidimensional diffusions by reflection, Ann. Probab. 14(3), 1986. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176992436
  • S. P. Meyn, R. L. Tweedie, Stability of Markovian processes III: Foster–Lyapunov criteria for continuous-time processes, Adv. Appl. Probab. 25(3), 1993. https://doi.org/10.2307/1427522
  • G. O. Roberts, R. L. Tweedie, Exponential convergence of Langevin distributions and their discrete approximations, Bernoulli 2(4), 1996. https://doi.org/10.2307/3318418
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor 2: Below the Critical Ratio η₀ = 1 − (m₁^α/m_α)^{1/(α−1)} the Robust Newsvendor Orders Nothing; Above It Orders at Least q₀Research Paper

Motivation

The newsvendor problem is the basic single-period inventory decision: a retailer orders q≥0q\ge0q≥0 units at unit cost ccc before a random demand d~\tilde dd~ is observed, sells at unit price p>cp>cp>c, and loses unsold units. When the demand law is known, the optimal order is a quantile of that law. In practice the law is rarely known, and a distributionally robust newsvendor instead hedges against the worst law in an ambiguity set of laws consistent with partial information.

Scarf (1958; reference [42] of arXiv:1806.05379) solved the case where only the mean and the variance of demand are known, and observed that for a range of small profit margins the robust newsvendor orders nothing. Demand data in retail and spare-parts settings are often heavy tailed: Pareto fits with exponent close to 111 have been reported, so a finite mean is plausible while a finite variance is not. Das, Dhara and Natarajan (arXiv:1806.05379) therefore replace the variance by an α\alphaα-th moment for an arbitrary real α>1\alpha>1α>1. This mission formalizes their result that the zero-order phenomenon survives for every such α\alphaα.

Setting

Write the critical ratio as η=1−c/p∈[0,1)\eta=1-c/p\in[0,1)η=1−c/p∈[0,1). A demand law is a probability measure FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Fix a real α>1\alpha>1α>1 and two moments m1,mαm_1,m_\alpham1​,mα​ with

mα>m1α>0.m_\alpha>m_1^\alpha>0 .mα​>m1α​>0.

The ambiguity set is

F1,α={F: ∫0∞w dF(w)=m1, ∫0∞wα dF(w)=mα},\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}=\Big\{F:\ \int_0^\infty w\,dF(w)=m_1,\ \int_0^\infty w^\alpha\,dF(w)=m_\alpha\Big\},F1,α​={F: ∫0∞​wdF(w)=m1​, ∫0∞​wαdF(w)=mα​},

the laws on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with mean m1m_1m1​ and α\alphaα-th moment mαm_\alphamα​. The worst-case expected shortage is

Π1,α(q)=sup⁡F∈F1,αEF[d~−q]+,\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=\sup_{F\in\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}}\mathbb E_F[\tilde d-q]^+ ,Π1,α​(q)=F∈F1,α​sup​EF​[d~−q]+,

and the robust newsvendor problem (3.2) is

min⁡q≥0 ((1−η)q+Π1,α(q)).\min_{q\ge0}\ \big((1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\big).q≥0min​ ((1−η)q+Π1,α​(q)).

An optimal order quantity is a minimizer q∗≥0q^*\ge0q∗≥0 of this objective. Two thresholds appear:

η0=1−(m1αmα)1/(α−1),q0=α−1α(mαm1)1/(α−1).\eta_0=1-\Big(\frac{m_1^\alpha}{m_\alpha}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)},\qquad q_0=\frac{\alpha-1}{\alpha}\Big(\frac{m_\alpha}{m_1}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)} .η0​=1−(mα​m1α​​)1/(α−1),q0​=αα−1​(m1​mα​​)1/(α−1).

In Lean these are ambiguitySet, worstCase, robustCost, eta0, q0 and IsOptimalOrder in the namespace HeavyTailNV.ZeroOrder.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.2 (p. 13)

η0∈(0,1)\eta_0\in(0,1)η0​∈(0,1), and

  • for every η∈[0,η0)\eta\in[0,\eta_0)η∈[0,η0​) the set of optimal order quantities is exactly {0}\{0\}{0};
  • for every η∈(η0,1)\eta\in(\eta_0,1)η∈(η0​,1) an optimal order quantity exists, and every optimal order quantity q∗q^*q∗ satisfies q∗>0q^*>0q∗>0 and
q∗≥q0;q^*\ge q_0 ;q∗≥q0​;
  • for η=η0\eta=\eta_0η=η0​ every q∈[0,q0]q\in[0,q_0]q∈[0,q0​] is optimal.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (p. 12): for 0≤q≤q00\le q\le q_00≤q≤q0​,
Π1,α(q)=m1−q(m1αmα)1/(α−1),\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=m_1-q\Big(\frac{m_1^\alpha}{m_\alpha}\Big)^{1/(\alpha-1)},Π1,α​(q)=m1​−q(mα​m1α​​)1/(α−1),

and the two-point law with mass (m1α/mα)1/(α−1)(m_1^\alpha/m_\alpha)^{1/(\alpha-1)}(m1α​/mα​)1/(α−1) at (mα/m1)1/(α−1)(m_\alpha/m_1)^{1/(\alpha-1)}(mα​/m1​)1/(α−1) and the rest at 000 lies in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ and attains the supremum. 2. Properties of Π\PiΠ (§2.1, p. 6): Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is non-increasing and convex, Π1,α(q)+q=m1\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)+q=m_1Π1,α​(q)+q=m1​ for q≤0q\le0q≤0, and Π1,α(q)→0\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\to0Π1,α​(q)→0 as q→∞q\to\inftyq→∞. 3. Display (3.10) (p. 14): for η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1) and 0≤q≤q00\le q\le q_00≤q≤q0​,

(1−η)q+Π1,α(q)=m1−q(η−η0).(1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=m_1-q(\eta-\eta_0).(1−η)q+Π1,α​(q)=m1​−q(η−η0​).

Significance

Proposition 3.2 shows that for every finite moment order α>1\alpha>1α>1, however high, there is a nonempty interval [0,η0)[0,\eta_0)[0,η0​) of critical ratios in which the robust newsvendor orders nothing, and it gives the threshold η0\eta_0η0​ and the minimum positive order q0q_0q0​ in closed form. For α=2\alpha=2α=2 it recovers Scarf's zero-order region. The worst-case law associated with Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ therefore carries a positive mass at zero demand, which is the low-service-level counterpart of the paper's heavy-tail result for high critical ratios (the companion mission of this series).

The results are proved in the paper: the proof of Proposition 3.1 follows the statement on pp. 12–13 and the proof of Proposition 3.2 is on p. 14. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a usable treatment of moment-constrained suprema over probability measures on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), of the stop-loss transform q↦E[d~−q]+q\mapsto\mathbb E[\tilde d-q]^+q↦E[d~−q]+, and of minimizers of convex functions on a half-line. These pieces recur across robust inventory and pricing models.

Difficulty

The closed form of Proposition 3.1 is the central step. The lower bound is a computation with a two-point law. The matching upper bound has to hold against every law in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​, including laws with unbounded support and non-integer α\alphaα. The paper obtains it from a dual certificate for the moment problem (3.3)–(3.4), and weak duality for this semi-infinite problem is not available off the shelf. The closed form also holds only on [0,q0][0,q_0][0,q0​]. To conclude anything about minimizers on all of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), where no closed form is known for general α\alphaα (the dual leads to equations awα+bw+c=0aw^\alpha+bw+c=0awα+bw+c=0, p. 11), one needs convexity of Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ on the whole line. Inspecting the objective on [0,q0][0,q_0][0,q0​] alone does not determine the global minimizers.

Formalization scope

  • Demand laws are Measure ℝ with IsProbabilityMeasure F and F (Set.Iio 0) = 0. Moments are Bochner integrals, and the set requires Integrable (fun w => w) F and Integrable (fun w => w ^ α) F (real rpow), so that the moment equalities are genuine.
  • Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is a real sSup. Under the standing hypotheses α>1\alpha>1α>1, m1>0m_1>0m1​>0, mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​ the set is nonempty (it contains the two-point law of Proposition 3.1) and the expectations are bounded above by m1+∣q∣m_1+|q|m1​+∣q∣, so the value is not Lean's default for an empty or unbounded set. Every statement carries these standing hypotheses of (3.1); no other hypothesis is added except the range η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1) in (3.10), which is the paper's standing range of the critical ratio.
  • Optimality is minimization over q∈[0,∞)q\in[0,\infty)q∈[0,∞), as in (3.2), not over R\mathbb RR. Over R\mathbb RR the objective equals m1−ηqm_1-\eta qm1​−ηq for q≤0q\le0q≤0, and part (a) would fail at η=0\eta=0η=0.
  • Trivializing readings are ruled out. Part (a) asserts that {0}\{0\}{0} is the whole set of minimizers, not only that 000 is a minimizer. Part (b) asserts that a minimizer exists, so its lower bound is not vacuous. Dropping the support constraint, the normalization, or the integrability clauses would change the problem or let junk integrals satisfy the moment constraints.
  • The unit cost and price never appear; everything is stated in η\etaη.
  • The ambiguity set, worst-case value and objective come from the shared HeavyTailNV.Tail.Model. This mission defines the thresholds, optimality predicate and two-point law in HeavyTailNV.ZeroOrder.Model. Contributions to the general moment-problem duality used by Proposition 3.1 are welcome and reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • B. Das, A. Dhara and K. Natarajan, On the heavy-tail behavior of the distributionally robust newsvendor, Operations Research 69(4), 2021; preprint arXiv:1806.05379v2, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.05379
  • H. Scarf, A min–max solution of an inventory problem, in K. Arrow, S. Karlin and H. Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, pp. 201–209, Stanford University Press, 1958 (no DOI; reference [42] of https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.05379).
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Sample Average Approximation 3: The Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramér–von Mises, Watson and Anderson–Darling Tests with O(N^(−1/2)) Thresholds Are Uniformly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

Robust Sample Average Approximation (Robust SAA) is a data-driven approach to stochastic optimization proposed by Bertsimas, Gupta and Kallus (arXiv:1408.4445; Mathematical Programming (2018), doi:10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z). Instead of minimizing the empirical average of a cost, a decision maker minimizes the worst-case expected cost over a distributional uncertainty set: the set of distributions that a statistical goodness-of-fit (GoF) test does not reject at a chosen significance level, given the observed data. Each classical GoF test therefore produces its own robust optimization model.

Whether such a model behaves well as data accumulate depends on a property of the test. Theorem 2 of the paper shows that Robust SAA converges, in objective, optimal value and optimal solutions, for every admissible cost if and only if the underlying test is uniformly consistent. This mission concerns the univariate case: it asks for a proof that the five standard tests on the real line, those of Kolmogorov–Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramér–von Mises, Watson and Anderson–Darling, are uniformly consistent (Theorem 5, p. 14). The companion missions of the series treat the characterization (Theorem 2) and the discrete χ² and G-tests (Theorem 4).

Setting

Let FFF be a probability distribution on R\mathbb RR, and let ξ1,ξ2,…\xi^1,\xi^2,\dotsξ1,ξ2,… be independent draws from FFF. As in §3.2 of the paper, ξ\xiξ is a continuous random variable: FFF has no atoms. For a candidate distribution F0F_0F0​ write F0(t)=F0((−∞,t])F_0(t)=F_0((-\infty,t])F0​(t)=F0​((−∞,t]) for its cdf, and write ξ(1)≤⋯≤ξ(N)\xi^{(1)}\le\dots\le\xi^{(N)}ξ(1)≤⋯≤ξ(N) for the sorted sample of size NNN. With ui=F0(ξ(i))u_i=F_0(\xi^{(i)})ui​=F0​(ξ(i)), the five statistics (8) are

DN=max⁡1≤i≤Nmax⁡{iN−ui, ui−i−1N},VN=max⁡i(ui−i−1N)+max⁡i(iN−ui),WN=(112N2+1N∑i=1N(2i−12N−ui)2)1/2,UN=(WN2−(1N∑i=1Nui−12)2)1/2,\begin{aligned} D_N&=\max_{1\le i\le N}\max\Big\{\tfrac iN-u_i,\ u_i-\tfrac{i-1}N\Big\},& V_N&=\max_i\Big(u_i-\tfrac{i-1}N\Big)+\max_i\Big(\tfrac iN-u_i\Big),\\ W_N&=\Big(\tfrac1{12N^2}+\tfrac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\Big(\tfrac{2i-1}{2N}-u_i\Big)^2\Big)^{1/2},& U_N&=\Big(W_N^2-\Big(\tfrac1N\sum_{i=1}^Nu_i-\tfrac12\Big)^2\Big)^{1/2}, \end{aligned}DN​WN​​=1≤i≤Nmax​max{Ni​−ui​, ui​−Ni−1​},=(12N21​+N1​i=1∑N​(2N2i−1​−ui​)2)1/2,​VN​UN​​=imax​(ui​−Ni−1​)+imax​(Ni​−ui​),=(WN2​−(N1​i=1∑N​ui​−21​)2)1/2,​ AN=(−1−∑i=1N2i−1N2(log⁡ui+log⁡(1−uN+1−i)))1/2.A_N=\Big(-1-\sum_{i=1}^N\tfrac{2i-1}{N^2}\big(\log u_i+\log(1-u_{N+1-i})\big)\Big)^{1/2}.AN​=(−1−i=1∑N​N22i−1​(logui​+log(1−uN+1−i​)))1/2.

For a statistic SNS_NSN​ and a threshold QSN(α)Q_{S_N}(\alpha)QSN​​(α), the confidence region (7) is FSNα={F0:SN(F0;ξ1,…,ξN)≤QSN(α)}\mathcal F^\alpha_{S_N}=\{F_0: S_N(F_0;\xi^1,\dots,\xi^N)\le Q_{S_N}(\alpha)\}FSN​α​={F0​:SN​(F0​;ξ1,…,ξN)≤QSN​​(α)}: the distributions the test does not reject. A test is uniformly consistent (Definition 3, p. 13) if, for every data-generating FFF, almost surely every sequence FNF_NFN​ that does not converge weakly to FFF is rejected infinitely often, i.e. FN∉FNF_N\notin\mathcal F_NFN​∈/FN​ for infinitely many NNN. The Lévy metric between cdfs is dLeˊvy(G,G′)=inf⁡{ϵ>0:G(ξ−ϵ)−ϵ≤G′(ξ)≤G(ξ+ϵ)+ϵ ∀ξ}d_{\text{Lévy}}(G,G')=\inf\{\epsilon>0: G(\xi-\epsilon)-\epsilon\le G'(\xi)\le G(\xi+\epsilon)+\epsilon\ \forall\xi\}dLeˊvy​(G,G′)=inf{ϵ>0:G(ξ−ϵ)−ϵ≤G′(ξ)≤G(ξ+ϵ)+ϵ ∀ξ}, and F^N\hat F_NF^N​ denotes the empirical cdf.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

For thresholds τN\tau_NτN​ with τN≤q/N\tau_N\le q/\sqrt NτN​≤q/N​ for some constant qqq and all N≥1N\ge1N≥1,

the regions {F0:SN(F0)≤τN},SN∈{DN,VN,WN,UN,AN}, are uniformly consistent.\text{the regions }\{F_0: S_N(F_0)\le\tau_N\},\quad S_N\in\{D_N,V_N,W_N,U_N,A_N\},\ \text{are uniformly consistent.}the regions {F0​:SN​(F0​)≤τN​},SN​∈{DN​,VN​,WN​,UN​,AN​}, are uniformly consistent.

The statement fixes only the rate O(N−1/2)O(N^{-1/2})O(N−1/2) of the thresholds, which is all the paper's argument uses; it holds for any sequence with that rate, in particular for the tabulated quantiles QSN(α)Q_{S_N}(\alpha)QSN​​(α).

Milestones (§10.7, pp. 38–39)

  1. dLeˊvyd_{\text{Lévy}}dLeˊvy​ metrizes weak convergence on R\mathbb RR; almost surely dLeˊvy(F^N,F)→0d_{\text{Lévy}}(\hat F_N,F)\to0dLeˊvy​(F^N​,F)→0.
  2. dLeˊvy(F^N,F0)≤DN(F0)d_{\text{Lévy}}(\hat F_N,F_0)\le D_N(F_0)dLeˊvy​(F^N​,F0​)≤DN​(F0​), and DN≤VND_N\le V_NDN​≤VN​.
  3. DN2(F0)≤max⁡{1/N+3/(2N), N WN2(F0)+2/N}D_N^2(F_0)\le\max\{1/\sqrt N+3/(2N),\ \sqrt N\,W_N^2(F_0)+2/\sqrt N\}DN2​(F0​)≤max{1/N​+3/(2N), N​WN2​(F0​)+2/N​}, and the same with WN2W_N^2WN2​ replaced by AN2A_N^2AN2​.
  4. WN2−UN2=(1N∑iF0(ξ(i))−12)2≤max⁡{… }W_N^2-U_N^2=(\tfrac1N\sum_iF_0(\xi^{(i)})-\tfrac12)^2\le\max\{\dots\}WN2​−UN2​=(N1​∑i​F0​(ξ(i))−21​)2≤max{…}, a bound in terms of DN′(F0)=max⁡i∣F0(ξ(i))−2i−12N∣D'_N(F_0)=\max_i|F_0(\xi^{(i)})-\tfrac{2i-1}{2N}|DN′​(F0​)=maxi​∣F0​(ξ(i))−2N2i−1​∣.

Significance

The result. Together with Theorem 2 of the paper, Theorem 5 guarantees that Robust SAA built on any of these five univariate tests converges for every cost that is equicontinuous in the decision and satisfies the paper's growth conditions. It also feeds Proposition 5, which extends the guarantee to multivariate problems with separable costs by testing marginals. Without it, the univariate tests would carry only the finite-sample guarantee of Proposition 1 and no asymptotic one.

The formalization. The theorem is proved in the paper, but the published argument for the Watson test has a gap. Its last step asserts that (1N∑imin⁡{1,2i−12N+DN′}−12)2=O(1/N)(\tfrac1N\sum_i\min\{1,\tfrac{2i-1}{2N}+D'_N\}-\tfrac12)^2=O(1/N)(N1​∑i​min{1,2N2i−1​+DN′​}−21​)2=O(1/N) whenever DN′≥1/N+1/ND'_N\ge1/\sqrt N+1/NDN′​≥1/N​+1/N, which fails when DN′D'_NDN′​ stays bounded away from 000 (at DN′=1/2D'_N=1/2DN′​=1/2 the expression tends to 9/649/649/64). The Watson clause is believed true, but a complete proof needs a different argument. The Anderson–Darling step relies on a cited integral representation rather than an argument on the page. A machine-checked proof would close both points. No part of the theorem is formalized elsewhere, as far as a search of the platform shows.

Difficulty

The Kolmogorov–Smirnov case reduces to deterministic inequalities once the Lévy-metric picture is in place, but each of the other statistics controls DND_NDN​ only indirectly. The Cramér–von Mises statistic is an L2L^2L2 quantity, and an L2L^2L2 bound does not by itself control a supremum. What closes the gap is monotonicity of F0F_0F0​ together with the rate of the threshold, so a threshold that merely tends to 000 is not enough. The Watson statistic is invariant under cyclic rotation of the transformed sample u1,…,uNu_1,\dots,u_Nu1​,…,uN​ on the circle [0,1)[0,1)[0,1), so a small UNU_NUN​ leaves the centring term 1N∑iF0(ξ(i))−12\tfrac1N\sum_iF_0(\xi^{(i)})-\tfrac12N1​∑i​F0​(ξ(i))−21​ uncontrolled until the boundary constraints 0≤F0≤10\le F_0\le10≤F0​≤1 are used. The obvious attempt, bounding the centring term by DN′D'_NDN′​ alone, is the step that fails on p. 39.

Formalization scope

Distributions are MeasureTheory.ProbabilityMeasure ℝ, with weak convergence as their topology. The cdf is Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.cdf. The data are the coordinates of the canonical product space ℕ → ℝ under Measure.infinitePi, so the sample of size NNN is (ω0,…,ωN−1)(\omega_0,\dots,\omega_{N-1})(ω0​,…,ωN−1​). Order statistics are the sorted sample s ∘ Tuple.sort s, and every formula of (8) is written with the paper's 1-based index (iii in Lean is the paper's i+1i+1i+1; ξ(N+1−i)\xi^{(N+1-i)}ξ(N+1−i) is Fin.rev i).

Committed conventions:

  • distributions range over all of R\mathbb RR; a support [ξ‾,ξ‾][\underline\xi,\overline\xi][ξ​,ξ​] with infinite endpoints is this case;
  • the data law has no atoms (§3.2's standing assumption, expressed by the predicate IsContinuousLaw), although the paper's proof does not use it;
  • ANA_NAN​ takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and is +∞+\infty+∞ when some F0(ξ(i))∈{0,1}F_0(\xi^{(i)})\in\{0,1\}F0​(ξ(i))∈{0,1}, so Lean's log⁡0=0\log0=0log0=0 never makes a distribution look close;
  • the threshold hypothesis is an explicit constant, τN≤q/N\tau_N\le q/\sqrt NτN​≤q/N​ for N≥1N\ge1N≥1;
  • maxima over an empty index set are 000, and every fixed-NNN milestone assumes N≥1N\ge1N≥1.

Uniform consistency is quantified over all sequences FNF_NFN​ inside the almost-sure event, as in Definition 3. A pointwise consistency statement for a fixed F0F_0F0​ is a different and weaker theorem and does not count.

A full development needs the Lévy metric and its metrization of weak convergence on R\mathbb RR, the Glivenko–Cantelli theorem in Lévy form, and elementary order-statistic inequalities. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of independent value include a corrected proof of the Watson step, and a proof of the goal without the atomless hypothesis.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, V. Gupta, N. Kallus, Robust Sample Average Approximation, arXiv:1408.4445v3 (2016); Mathematical Programming (2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4445, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-017-1174-z
  • R. M. Dudley, Real Analysis and Probability, Cambridge University Press, 2002, Theorem 11.4.1. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511755347
  • R. B. D'Agostino, M. A. Stephens (eds.), Goodness-of-Fit Techniques, Marcel Dekker, New York, 1986 (reference [14] of the paper; the source of the formulas (8)).
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Sample Average Approximation 2: Pearson's χ² Test and the G-Test on a Known Finite Support, with Thresholds √(Q/N), Are Uniformly ConsistentResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision made from sampled data can be sensitive to the distribution chosen to represent future uncertainty. Robust sample average approximation addresses this by optimizing against every distribution that passes a goodness of fit test, rather than against one fitted distribution. The resulting set of plausible laws is a data driven uncertainty set. Its finite sample coverage and its behavior as the sample grows serve different purposes: coverage protects against sampling error at a chosen sample size, while convergence asks whether the uncertainty set eventually stops admitting laws far from the true one. Bertsimas, Gupta, and Kallus distinguish these properties in their Robust Sample Average Approximation paper.

This mission concerns the two tests the paper assigns to a known finite support: Pearson's χ2\chi^2χ2 test and the G test. Both compare the empirical frequencies of the observed support points with the probabilities under a proposed law. Their confidence regions give concrete uncertainty sets for discrete data. The paper's Theorem 4 states that both tests have the stronger convergence property it calls uniform consistency. That property is used in its general characterization of when robust sample average approximation converges for every admissible cost function (Theorem 2 and Table 1, pp. 13–14).

Setting

Fix a known set of nnn possible observations, labelled j=1,…,nj=1,\ldots,nj=1,…,n. A probability law FFF on this support is specified by probabilities pF(j)p_F(j)pF​(j), each nonnegative and summing to one. A sample of size NNN consists of independent observations ξ1,…,ξN\xi^1,\ldots,\xi^Nξ1,…,ξN from an unknown true law FFF. Its empirical frequency at label jjj is

p^N(j)=1N∑i=1N1{ξi=j}.\widehat p_N(j)=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\mathbf 1\{\xi^i=j\}.p​N​(j)=N1​i=1∑N​1{ξi=j}.

To assess a hypothetical law F0F_0F0​ with probabilities p0(j)p_0(j)p0​(j), Pearson's statistic and the G statistic are, in the paper's normalization,

XN(F0)=(∑j=1n(p0(j)−p^N(j))2p0(j))1/2,GN(F0)=(2∑j=1np^N(j)log⁡p^N(j)p0(j))1/2.X_N(F_0)=\left(\sum_{j=1}^n\frac{(p_0(j)-\widehat p_N(j))^2}{p_0(j)}\right)^{1/2},\qquad G_N(F_0)=\left(2\sum_{j=1}^n\widehat p_N(j)\log\frac{\widehat p_N(j)}{p_0(j)}\right)^{1/2}.XN​(F0​)=(j=1∑n​p0​(j)(p0​(j)−p​N​(j))2​)1/2,GN​(F0​)=(2j=1∑n​p​N​(j)logp0​(j)p​N​(j)​)1/2.

The confidence region for each test is the set of hypothetical laws whose statistic is at most Q/N\sqrt{Q/N}Q/N​, where Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0 is fixed across sample sizes. An observed point to which F0F_0F0​ assigns zero probability makes either statistic infinite. A term with zero empirical frequency contributes zero to the G sum, including when its hypothetical probability is zero. These conventions make the regions describe the same tests at the boundary of the probability simplex as they do in its interior (§3.1, p. 8; §10.6, p. 38).

A sequence of laws FNF_NFN​ is weakly convergent to FFF when expectations of every bounded continuous function converge. On this finite support, weak convergence can be measured by the total variation distance

dTV(q,q′)=12∑j=1n∣q(j)−q′(j)∣.d_{\mathrm{TV}}(q,q')=\frac12\sum_{j=1}^n|q(j)-q'(j)|.dTV​(q,q′)=21​j=1∑n​∣q(j)−q′(j)∣.

The paper's Definition 3 calls a test uniformly consistent when, for every true law FFF, almost surely every sequence FNF_NFN​ that fails to converge weakly to FFF lies outside the confidence region infinitely often (Definition 3, p. 13). The almost sure event applies to all such sequences at once; this is stronger than a statement about one fixed false hypothesis.

Formalization targets

Goal: both tests are uniformly consistent

For the Pearson and G confidence regions FNχ2\mathcal F_N^{\chi^2}FNχ2​ and FNG\mathcal F_N^GFNG​ with fixed Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0, the target is

UC⁡(FNχ2)andUC⁡(FNG).\operatorname{UC}(\mathcal F_N^{\chi^2})\quad\text{and}\quad\operatorname{UC}(\mathcal F_N^G).UC(FNχ2​)andUC(FNG​).

Here UC⁡\operatorname{UC}UC has the quantifier order of Definition 3: every generating FFF, almost every infinite sample, and every nonconvergent sequence FNF_NFN​. This is Theorem 4, p. 14. Its four milestone claims are the finite support description of weak convergence, almost sure convergence of empirical frequencies, and the paper's total variation bounds for XNX_NXN​ and GNG_NGN​ (§10.6, p. 38).

Significance

The result says that distributions retained by either test cannot remain persistently separated from the data generating law as the sample grows. In the paper's framework, that is the statistical condition needed for its general theorem to turn test based confidence regions into convergent robust optimization values and decisions under its separate assumptions on the cost and feasible set (Theorem 2, p. 13). Theorem 4 itself concerns the tests; it does not assume a cost function or assert optimization convergence directly.

The paper proves Theorem 4, so the open work here is its Lean formalization. A complete development would also leave reusable statements for finite probability vectors, their empirical frequencies under an infinite product law, total variation, and the boundary aware Pearson and G divergences. These pieces can support other discrete goodness of fit and distributionally robust optimization results. The mission does not claim that Theorem 4 already has a machine checked proof.

Difficulty

Pointwise convergence of empirical frequencies does not by itself state uniform consistency. The latter quantifies over all moving hypothetical laws FNF_NFN​ on one almost sure sample event, including laws chosen differently at every NNN. A direct argument about one fixed F0≠FF_0\ne FF0​=F therefore does not address the target. The finite support makes weak convergence concrete, but the formal statement must still relate that topology to a finite total variation sum and keep the quantifiers in the order required by Definition 3.

The boundary of the probability simplex is another source of difficulty. Lean's real division and logarithm have default values at zero. Using those defaults in the test statistics would accept some laws that assign zero probability to an actually observed category. Both statistics must instead retain the paper's infinite penalty there. The G expression also contains individual logarithmic terms that may be negative before summation, so its extended value cannot be built by coercing each term directly to a nonnegative extended real.

Formalization scope

The known support is represented by Fin n. Its members are labels for the paper's distinct points ξ^1,…,ξ^n\hat\xi^1,\ldots,\hat\xi^nξ^​1,…,ξ^​n; coordinates in Euclidean space are irrelevant to these tests. Laws use Mathlib's ProbabilityMeasure (Fin n) and its weak topology. The data are coordinates of the canonical infinite product law, with Lean index zero corresponding to the paper's first observation. The empty support has no probability law; all substantive instances have n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The empty sample N=0N=0N=0 is defined by total operations but has no bearing on an eventual or infinitely often assertion.

Pearson's statistic lives in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. The squared G statistic uses extended real arithmetic so finite negative summands can be combined with an infinite boundary term. Its region compares GN2G_N^2GN2​ with Q/NQ/NQ/N, equivalent to the paper's GN≤Q/NG_N\le\sqrt{Q/N}GN​≤Q/N​ at positive NNN. The free Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0 stands for a fixed threshold constant, including the paper's chi square quantile; no particular quantile value is built into the theorem. This makes explicit the only property of that threshold used in §10.6: independence from NNN.

Contributions may prove the four milestone statements, connect Mathlib's finite probability and strong law interfaces to the empirical frequencies, or establish finite support versions of Cauchy–Schwarz and Pinsker with the correct infinite boundary cases. A proof of the goal must use the stated regions and preserve simultaneous quantification over every moving sequence of laws; replacing uniform consistency by convergence of p^N\widehat p_Np​N​ would remove its main claim.

Selected references

  • Dimitris Bertsimas, Vishal Gupta, Nathan Kallus, Robust Sample Average Approximation, arXiv:1408.4445v3, 2016; published in Mathematical Programming (2018). Preprint · Publication DOI.
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

McKean–Vlasov Optimal Control: The Dynamic Programming Principle 1: The Weak Formulation's Value Function Is Upper Semi-Analytic and Satisfies the DPPResearch Paper

Motivation

A McKean–Vlasov control problem asks a planner to steer a stochastic differential equation whose coefficients depend not only on the current path of the state but also on its (conditional) distribution. Such problems describe the cooperative optimum of a large population of interacting agents: when each agent reacts to the empirical distribution of all others and a social planner chooses everybody's control, the limit as the population grows is a McKean–Vlasov control problem (Lacker 2017). When all agents are also exposed to a common noise (a shared source of randomness, such as a market factor), the relevant distribution is the conditional law of the state given that noise.

Bellman's dynamic programming principle (DPP) is the standard route from a control problem to its Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation and to verification arguments. For McKean–Vlasov dynamics it fails in the naive state variable, because the problem is time-inconsistent; it can be recovered by taking the (conditional) law of the state as the state.

Timeline. Laurière and Pironneau (2014) and Bensoussan, Frehse and Yam (2013–2017) proved a DPP for densities of the state law. Pham and Wei (2017, SICON) proved a DPP over closed-loop controls in a Markovian setting with a common-noise filtration, under regularity assumptions; Pham and Wei (2018, ESAIM:COCV) treated the case without common noise. Bayraktar, Cosso and Pham (2018, Trans. AMS) obtained a randomised DPP, again Markovian and without common noise. Djete, Possamaï and Tan (2022) proved the DPP for the general non-Markovian problem with common noise, under Borel measurability of the coefficients only. This mission formalizes their DPP for the weak formulation.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, dimensions n,d,ℓ∈Nn,d,\ell\in\mathbb Nn,d,ℓ∈N, a nonempty Polish space (U,ρ)(U,\rho)(U,ρ) of control values, a point u0∈Uu_0\in Uu0​∈U and an exponent p≥0p\ge0p≥0. Let Ck:=C([0,T],Rk)\mathcal C^k:=C([0,T],\mathbb R^k)Ck:=C([0,T],Rk) with the uniform norm, P(E)\mathcal P(E)P(E) the Borel probability measures on EEE with the weak topology, and xt∧⋅x_{t\wedge\cdot}xt∧⋅​ the path xxx stopped at time ttt. The coefficients b,σ,σ0,Lb,\sigma,\sigma_0,Lb,σ,σ0​,L are maps [0,T]×Cn×P(Cn×U)×U→Rn,Rn×d,Rn×ℓ,R[0,T]\times\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n\times U)\times U\to\mathbb R^n,\mathbb R^{n\times d},\mathbb R^{n\times\ell},\mathbb R[0,T]×Cn×P(Cn×U)×U→Rn,Rn×d,Rn×ℓ,R, and g:Cn×P(Cn)→Rg:\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)\to\mathbb Rg:Cn×P(Cn)→R; all are Borel measurable, and b,σ,σ0,Lb,\sigma,\sigma_0,Lb,σ,σ0​,L depend on the path and the measure only through their restrictions to [0,t][0,t][0,t] (non-anticipative).

A weak control γ\gammaγ with initial condition (t,ν)∈[0,T]×P(Cn)(t,\nu)\in[0,T]\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)(t,ν)∈[0,T]×P(Cn) consists of a probability space carrying two filtrations Fγ⊇Gγ\mathbb F^\gamma\supseteq\mathbb G^\gammaFγ⊇Gγ (the second models the common noise), a state XγX^\gammaXγ, Brownian motions WγW^\gammaWγ (idiosyncratic) and BγB^\gammaBγ (common) on [t,T][t,T][t,T], a predictable UUU-valued control αγ\alpha^\gammaαγ, and measure-valued processes μsγ=L(Xs∧⋅γ∣Gsγ)\mu^\gamma_s=\mathcal L(X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot}\mid\mathcal G^\gamma_s)μsγ​=L(Xs∧⋅γ​∣Gsγ​) and μˉsγ=L((Xs∧⋅γ,αsγ)∣Gsγ)\bar\mu^\gamma_s=\mathcal L((X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\alpha^\gamma_s)\mid\mathcal G^\gamma_s)μˉ​sγ​=L((Xs∧⋅γ​,αsγ​)∣Gsγ​), such that Xt∧⋅γ∼ν(t)X^\gamma_{t\wedge\cdot}\sim\nu(t)Xt∧⋅γ​∼ν(t), an integrability condition of order ppp holds, a compatibility condition between the two filtrations holds, and

dXsγ=b(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+σ(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) dWsγ+σ0(s,Xγ,μˉsγ,αsγ) dBsγ,s∈[t,T].dX^\gamma_s=b(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+\sigma(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,dW^\gamma_s+\sigma_0(s,X^\gamma,\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,dB^\gamma_s,\qquad s\in[t,T].dXsγ​=b(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+σ(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)dWsγ​+σ0​(s,Xγ,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)dBsγ​,s∈[t,T].

The reward and the value function are

J(t,γ)=E[∫tTL(s,Xs∧⋅γ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+g(XT∧⋅γ,μTγ)],VW(t,ν)=sup⁡γ∈ΓW(t,ν)J(t,γ),J(t,\gamma)=\mathbb E\Big[\int_t^TL(s,X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+g(X^\gamma_{T\wedge\cdot},\mu^\gamma_T)\Big],\qquad V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_W(t,\nu)}J(t,\gamma),J(t,γ)=E[∫tT​L(s,Xs∧⋅γ​,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+g(XT∧⋅γ​,μTγ​)],VW​(t,ν)=γ∈ΓW​(t,ν)sup​J(t,γ),

with ∞−∞:=−∞\infty-\infty:=-\infty∞−∞:=−∞ and sup⁡∅=−∞\sup\emptyset=-\inftysup∅=−∞. Each weak control also carries Asγ=∫ts∨tπ(αrγ) drA^\gamma_s=\int_t^{s\vee t}\pi(\alpha^\gamma_r)\,drAsγ​=∫ts∨t​π(αrγ​)dr, where π\piπ is a Borel isomorphism of UUU onto a subset of [0,1][0,1][0,1], and the continuous conditional-law process μ^γ\hat\mu^\gammaμ^​γ of (Xγ,Aγ,Wγ,Bγ)(X^\gamma,A^\gamma,W^\gamma,B^\gamma)(Xγ,Aγ,Wγ,Bγ) given Gγ\mathbb G^\gammaGγ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

VW:[0,T]×P(Cn)→[−∞,∞]V_W:[0,T]\times\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n)\to[-\infty,\infty]VW​:[0,T]×P(Cn)→[−∞,∞] is upper semi-analytic (every superlevel set {VW>c}\{V_W>c\}{VW​>c} is analytic), and for every stopping time τ⋆\tau^\starτ⋆ of the canonical filtration of Ω⋆:=Cℓ×C([0,T],P(Cn×C×Cd×Cℓ))\Omega^\star:=\mathcal C^\ell\times C([0,T],\mathcal P(\mathcal C^n\times\mathcal C\times\mathcal C^d\times\mathcal C^\ell))Ω⋆:=Cℓ×C([0,T],P(Cn×C×Cd×Cℓ)) with values in [t,T][t,T][t,T], setting τγ:=τ⋆(Bγ,t,μ^γ)\tau^\gamma:=\tau^\star(B^{\gamma,t},\hat\mu^\gamma)τγ:=τ⋆(Bγ,t,μ^​γ),

VW(t,ν)=sup⁡γ∈ΓW(t,ν)E[∫tτγL(s,Xs∧⋅γ,μˉsγ,αsγ) ds+VW(τγ,μτγγ)].V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma_W(t,\nu)}\mathbb E\Big[\int_t^{\tau^\gamma}L(s,X^\gamma_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu^\gamma_s,\alpha^\gamma_s)\,ds+V_W(\tau^\gamma,\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma})\Big].VW​(t,ν)=γ∈ΓW​(t,ν)sup​E[∫tτγ​L(s,Xs∧⋅γ​,μˉ​sγ​,αsγ​)ds+VW​(τγ,μτγγ​)].

Milestones

The canonical reformulation on Ωˉ:=Ω^×C([0,T],P(Ω^))\bar\Omega:=\hat\Omega\times C([0,T],\mathcal P(\hat\Omega))Ωˉ:=Ω^×C([0,T],P(Ω^)) with weak control rules PˉW(t,ν)\bar{\mathcal P}_W(t,\nu)PˉW​(t,ν) (Definition 4.1): Lemma 4.4(i) (weak controls and weak control rules correspond), Corollary 4.6 (VW(t,ν)=sup⁡Pˉ∈PˉW(t,ν)J(t,Pˉ)V_W(t,\nu)=\sup_{\bar{\mathbb P}\in\bar{\mathcal P}_W(t,\nu)}J(t,\bar{\mathbb P})VW​(t,ν)=supPˉ∈PˉW​(t,ν)​J(t,Pˉ)), Lemma 4.7 (analytic graphs, VWV_WVW​ u.s.a.), Lemma 4.8 (stability under conditioning at a stopping time), Lemma 4.9 (dependence on the initial law only through ν^(t)\hat\nu(t)ν^(t)), (4.10) (moment truncation VWM↗VWV^M_W\nearrow V_WVWM​↗VW​, analytic and u.s.a.) and Lemma 4.10 (universally measurable ε\varepsilonε-optimal families and concatenation).

Significance

The result. The theorem gives the DPP for McKean–Vlasov control with common noise in a non-Markovian setting, with no regularity on the coefficients beyond Borel measurability and no integrability on the rewards. It is the starting point for the dynamic programming (HJB) equation on the space of probability measures, for the Markovian corollaries of §3.2 of the paper, and, through the equivalence of formulations in the companion work, for the strong formulations treated in the second mission of this series.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; nothing of it is machine-checked. A formal development needs a working theory of weak controls with conditional laws, a controlled martingale problem on a space of measure-valued paths, and analytic-set measurability in continuous time. None of these exists in Mathlib, and the analytic-selection layer on Prove2Me (Bertsekas–Shreve, Chapter 7) is stated but not yet proved.

Difficulty

The obvious argument conditions an optimal-ish control on its information at the stopping time and pastes in near-optimal controls from the conditioned states. Each step fails without additional structure: VWV_WVW​ is not known to be measurable, so E[VW(τγ,μτγγ)]\mathbb E[V_W(\tau^\gamma,\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma})]E[VW​(τγ,μτγγ​)] is not obviously meaningful; conditioning a weak control on its information at τγ\tau^\gammaτγ need not yield a weak control, because the conditional-law constraint involves the common-noise filtration and a compatibility condition between filtrations; and choosing a near-optimal control for each conditioned state is a selection problem over an uncountable family of probability spaces. The state of the problem is a law, which is itself defined only up to null sets, so random-time evaluations such as μτγγ\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma}μτγγ​ need a continuous version.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace MKVDPP.Weak. Conventions:

  • Times are in R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​; paths are elements of C([0,T],Rk)C([0,T],\mathbb R^k)C([0,T],Rk) with Rk\mathbb R^kRk Euclidean; a path is read at times beyond TTT as its value at TTT.
  • Expectations and time integrals are E[ξ+]−E[ξ−]\mathbb E[\xi^+]-\mathbb E[\xi^-]E[ξ+]−E[ξ−] in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞] with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞, computed as lower integrals.
  • The supremum defining VWV_WVW​ ranges over weak controls on probability spaces in Type (universe 0).
  • "The integrals are implicitly assumed to be well-defined" is pinned to local Itô integrals (EthierKurtz.HasBrownianItoIntegral) of integrands that are a.s. square integrable on [t,T][t,T][t,T], taken against the shifted Brownian motions Wγ,tW^{\gamma,t}Wγ,t, Bγ,tB^{\gamma,t}Bγ,t; no L2(P)L^2(\mathbb P)L2(P) condition, which would shrink ΓW\Gamma_WΓW​.
  • The conditional-law requirement "for dP⊗dsd\mathbb P\otimes dsdP⊗ds-a.e. (s,ω)(s,\omega)(s,ω)" is read in Fubini form; μTγ\mu^\gamma_TμTγ​ and μτγγ\mu^\gamma_{\tau^\gamma}μτγγ​ are the XXX-marginals of the continuous process μ^γ\hat\mu^\gammaμ^​γ.
  • "Local martingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T]" in Definition 4.1 is pinned to: every localised process Sφ,mS^{\varphi,m}Sφ,m, m≥1m\ge1m≥1, is an (Fˉ,Pˉ)(\bar{\mathbb F},\bar{\mathbb P})(Fˉ,Pˉ)-martingale on [t,T][t,T][t,T]. The page integrates ∣Sˉ∣|\bar S|∣Sˉ∣ and Sˉφ\bar S^\varphiSˉφ from 000. Here they run from the initial time ttt, because before ttt the canonical control may be ∂\partial∂, where the coefficients are undefined, and a coefficient that is not integrable before ttt would empty P^W(t,⋅)\hat{\mathcal P}_W(t,\cdot)P^W​(t,⋅).
  • The cemetery value ∂\partial∂ of the canonical control is read as u0u_0u0​ inside the coefficients (a null set under Definition 4.1).
  • In (3.2), (+∞)+(−∞)(+\infty)+(-\infty)(+∞)+(−∞) inside the expectation is −∞-\infty−∞.
  • Lemma 4.4(i)'s converse carries the hypothesis that the canonical AAA is a.s. ∫t⋅∨tπ(αˉr) dr\int_t^{\cdot\vee t}\pi(\bar\alpha_r)\,dr∫t⋅∨t​π(αˉr​)dr; without it the converse is false, because Definition 4.1 leaves AAA before ttt unconstrained.

The goal does not mention the canonical space Ωˉ\bar\OmegaΩˉ, weak control rules or any selection; a formalization of ΓW\Gamma_WΓW​ that is empty, or a value function that is constant, would trivialize it. A sanity file exhibits a weak control in the degenerate case n=d=ℓ=0n=d=\ell=0n=d=ℓ=0 for every t≤Tt\le Tt≤T, so the structure is satisfiable.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: conditional laws and r.c.p.d. on Polish spaces, the predictable σ\sigmaσ-algebra, stochastic integrals against a filtration, the Stroock–Varadhan martingale problem, Itô's formula, and analytic sets with the Jankov–von Neumann selection theorem. The analytic-selection results and the martingale-problem/SDE correspondence are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions on any milestone, and on proving the referenced Bertsekas–Shreve selection theorems, are welcome. Out of scope: Theorem 3.4 (it rests on the companion paper), the Markovian results of §3.2, and the HJB discussion of §3.3.

Selected references

  • M. F. Djete, D. Possamaï, X. Tan, McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, Ann. Probab. 50(2), 2022; cited as arXiv:1907.08860v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.08860v2
  • H. Pham, X. Wei, Dynamic programming for optimal control of stochastic McKean–Vlasov dynamics, SIAM J. Control Optim. 55(2):1069–1101, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.04057
  • D. Lacker, Limit theory for controlled McKean–Vlasov dynamics, SIAM J. Control Optim. 55(3):1641–1672, 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.08064
  • N. El Karoui, X. Tan, Capacities, measurable selection and dynamic programming part II: application in stochastic control problems, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1310.3364
  • E. Bayraktar, A. Cosso, H. Pham, Randomized dynamic programming principle and Feynman–Kac representation for optimal control of McKean–Vlasov dynamics, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 370(3):2115–2160, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1090/tran/7118
  • M. Laurière, O. Pironneau, Dynamic programming for mean-field type control, C. R. Math. Acad. Sci. Paris 352(9):707–713, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crma.2014.07.008
  • A. Bensoussan, J. Frehse, S. Yam, Mean Field Games and Mean Field Type Control Theory, SpringerBriefs in Mathematics, Springer, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8508-7
  • D. Bertsekas, S. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/SOC_1978.pdf
  • D. Stroock, S. Varadhan, Multidimensional Diffusion Processes, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28999-2
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AnalysisOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor 1: Worst-Case Expected Shortage under Known First and αth Moments Equals That of a Regularly Varying Demand of Tail Index αResearch Paper

Motivation

A newsvendor chooses an order quantity before seeing demand. Unsold units have no salvage value, while demand above the order quantity cannot be filled. If the demand law is unknown but a few moments are known, the decision maker may minimize cost against the worst distribution consistent with those moments. Das, Dhara and Natarajan study this distributionally robust problem when the known moments are the first and an arbitrary real moment of order α>1\alpha>1α>1 Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019. The high-demand tail matters especially when the cost ratio favors large orders. The mission asks what tail behavior is implicitly selected by the robust objective, even though each admissible distribution has a finite α\alphaαth moment.

The two-moment case α=2\alpha=2α=2 goes back to Scarf's newsvendor bound. The paper extends the model to noninteger α\alphaα and gives lower and upper shortage bounds before proving its tail result. Its preprint is the pinned source for every statement here; the proof of each numbered result follows that result in the paper Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, §§1, 3–4.

Setting

Let q≥0q\ge0q≥0 be the order quantity and let d~≥0\tilde d\ge0d~≥0 be random demand. The expected shortage under a demand law FFF is EF[(d~−q)+]\mathbb E_F[(\tilde d-q)^+]EF​[(d~−q)+], where x+=max⁡(x,0)x^+=\max(x,0)x+=max(x,0). Fix α>1\alpha>1α>1, a positive mean m1m_1m1​, and a moment mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​. The moment ambiguity set F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ contains all probability laws supported on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) whose first moment is m1m_1m1​ and whose finite α\alphaαth moment is mαm_\alphamα​. Its worst-case expected shortage is

Π1,α(q)=sup⁡F∈F1,αEF[(d~−q)+].\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)=\sup_{F\in\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}}\mathbb E_F[(\tilde d-q)^+].Π1,α​(q)=F∈F1,α​sup​EF​[(d~−q)+].

For a critical ratio η∈[0,1)\eta\in[0,1)η∈[0,1), the robust newsvendor minimizes (1−η)q+Π1,α(q)(1-\eta)q+\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)(1−η)q+Π1,α​(q) over q≥0q\ge0q≥0. This mission centers on Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​; the optimal-order threshold is treated in the companion mission. The ambiguity set and objective are the paper's (3.1)–(3.3) Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 10–11.

A positive function uuu is regularly varying with index ρ\rhoρ if u(tx)/u(x)→tρu(tx)/u(x)\to t^\rhou(tx)/u(x)→tρ as x→∞x\to\inftyx→∞ for every t>0t>0t>0. The notation is u∈RVρu\in RV_\rhou∈RVρ​. For a probability law FFF, its survival tail is Fˉ(x)=PF(d~>x)\bar F(x)=P_F(\tilde d>x)Fˉ(x)=PF​(d~>x); Fˉ∈RV−α\bar F\in RV_{-\alpha}Fˉ∈RV−α​ means a tail parameter α\alphaα Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, §4.1, p. 26.

Formalization targets

Worst-case shortage

The first target is Theorem 4.3(a):

Π1,α∈RV−(α−1).\Pi_{1,\alpha}\in RV_{-(\alpha-1)}.Π1,α​∈RV−(α−1)​.

It covers every α>1\alpha>1α>1, including α=2\alpha=2α=2. Scarf's piecewise formula (1.3), Proposition 3.3, and both parts of Proposition 3.4 supply the paper's cited bounds. Each upper bound retains its strict quantity threshold and its printed denominator Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 3, 15, 19, 28.

One representative demand law

The full goal, Theorem 4.3, also states that a nonnegative probability law F∗F^*F∗ exists outside F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ with

EF∗[(d~∗−q)+]=Π1,α(q)(q≥0),Fˉ∗∈RV−α.\mathbb E_{F^*}[(\tilde d^*-q)^+]=\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\quad(q\ge0), \qquad \bar F^*\in RV_{-\alpha}.EF∗​[(d~∗−q)+]=Π1,α​(q)(q≥0),Fˉ∗∈RV−α​.

Every moment of F∗F^*F∗ of order 0≤a<α0\le a<\alpha0≤a<α is finite, while every moment of order a≥αa\ge\alphaa≥α is infinite. The milestone list includes the properties of Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ stated in §2.1 (non-increasing, convex, Π1,α(q)+q=m1\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)+q=m_1Π1,α​(q)+q=m1​ for q≤0q\le0q≤0, Π1,α(q)→0\Pi_{1,\alpha}(q)\to0Π1,α​(q)→0), the single-law representation (2.1) and the two stated Karamata results used to characterize the tail Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 6, 27–30.

High critical ratios

A companion milestone is Proposition 4.1. For η∈(0,1)\eta\in(0,1)η∈(0,1) let qη∗q^*_\etaqη∗​ be a robust optimal order quantity and Cη∗C^*_\etaCη∗​ the optimal robust cost. Then qη∗q^*_\etaqη∗​ is optimal for the standard newsvendor with demand law F∗F^*F∗, and

qη∗∼α−1α 11−η Cη∗,η→1q^*_\eta\sim\frac{\alpha-1}{\alpha}\,\frac{1}{1-\eta}\,C^*_\eta,\qquad \eta\to1qη∗​∼αα−1​1−η1​Cη∗​,η→1

Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, p. 30, (4.9). It is a consequence of the goal, not a step toward it.

Significance

The theorem connects a decision made against an entire moment class to a single effective law. That law matches the robust expected shortage for every admissible order quantity but has an infinite α\alphaαth moment, so it does not belong to the class being optimized over. This distinction explains why large robust orders behave as though demand were heavy tailed. The paper also uses the result to relate the robust optimal order quantity to the optimal cost at high service levels in Proposition 4.1 Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 30–31.

The mathematical theorem was proved in the cited paper. This mission asks for a Lean proof of its exact statement and reusable formal results for moment-constrained probability laws, stop-loss transforms, and regular variation. No machine-checked proof of these particular statements is part of the present draft. The cited bounds and analytic results are posed as separate milestones so their hypotheses and constants remain inspectable.

Difficulty

Pointwise optimization over demand laws does not automatically give one law that attains the worst-case shortage for every qqq. For a fixed qqq, an extremal law may depend on qqq, as Scarf's formula illustrates Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, p. 3. The theorem asks for a single F∗F^*F∗ and then a precise tail index and a sharp moment cutoff. A generic upper bound on shortages would establish neither the representative law nor its infinite α\alphaαth moment. The regimes 1<α<21<\alpha<21<α<2, α=2\alpha=2α=2, and α>2\alpha>2α>2 have different cited upper-bound statements, yet the final theorem has no regime restriction.

Formalization scope

Lean represents a demand law by a Borel measure on R\mathbb RR with probability mass one and zero mass below zero. Membership in F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​ requires both real moments to be integrable; this makes the moment equalities genuine rather than default values of a nonintegrable Bochner integral. Under m1>0m_1>0m1​>0 and mα>m1αm_\alpha>m_1^\alphamα​>m1α​, the paper's two-point law (3.6) makes the ambiguity set nonempty. Its shortage values are bounded above by m1+∣q∣m_1+|q|m1​+∣q∣, so the real supremum defining Π1,α\Pi_{1,\alpha}Π1,α​ is finite and meaningful. The strict thresholds in Propositions 3.3–3.4 keep their power denominators positive Das, Dhara and Natarajan, 2019, pp. 12, 15, 19.

Regular variation includes eventual positivity, excluding a zero-over-zero ratio from passing as a tail law. Infinite moments of F∗F^*F∗ are lower Lebesgue integrals in extended nonnegative reals. The existence of F∗F^*F∗ is asserted rather than built into a definition. Theorem 4.2(b)'s displayed limit has a negative sign in the preprint, although its nonnegative numerator and denominator require the positive value α\alphaα; the formal statement uses the corrected sign. Its regularly varying tail integral is eventually positive, which ensures genuine finite tail integrals for large lower limits. Theorem 4.1 explicitly requires local integrability. Two encodings would trivialize the goal and are excluded: defining F∗F^*F∗ inside the statement (it is existential), and a regular-variation predicate satisfied by the zero function. The properties of Π\PiΠ and the representation (2.1) are stated for F1,α\mathcal F_{1,\alpha}F1,α​, the instance the paper uses, rather than for a general finite-mean ambiguity set. In Proposition 4.1 the optimal cost is the cost at the chosen optimizer, the statement holds for every selection of optimizers, and ∼\sim∼ means that the ratio of the two sides tends to 111 as η↑1\eta\uparrow1η↑1. These analytic conventions and the probability and measure infrastructure can be reused beyond this mission. Contributions to any of the ten source milestones, including the difficult root assertion in Proposition 3.4(b), are welcome.

Selected references

  • B. Das, A. Dhara, and K. Natarajan, On the Heavy-Tail Behavior of the Distributionally Robust Newsvendor, Operations Research 69(4), 2021; preprint arXiv:1806.05379v2, 2019. Preprint, DOI.
  • H. Scarf, A min-max solution of an inventory problem, in K. Arrow, S. Karlin and H. Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, Stanford University Press, 1958, pp. 201–209.
  • A. Shapiro and A. Kleywegt, Minimax analysis of stochastic problems, Optimization Methods and Software 17, 2002, pp. 523–542. DOI.
  • N. H. Bingham, C. M. Goldie and J. L. Teugels, Regular Variation, Cambridge University Press, 1987. DOI.
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

McKean–Vlasov Optimal Control: The Dynamic Programming Principle 2: Under Lipschitz Coefficients the Common-Noise-Adapted Strong Formulation Satisfies the DPPResearch Paper

Why common noise changes the control problem

A controller may act on a large population of interacting particles while all particles also experience a shared random disturbance. In the population limit, the state of a representative particle depends on the distribution of states conditional on the common noise. The controller therefore influences both its own state and the conditional population law. The usual state variable for dynamic programming must carry that law, and a future decision may use only information available from common noise. Djete, Possamaï and Tan establish a dynamic programming principle for this setting in McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, Theorem 3.2. Their result permits path dependent coefficients and merely Borel reward functions, so ordinary continuity arguments do not determine the value function's measurability.

The paper distinguishes a weak formulation, in which the stochastic basis varies with the control, from a strong formulation on a fixed space. This mission concerns the latter, restricted to controls predictable from common noise, under the paper's Lipschitz and growth Assumption 2.8. The companion mission treats the weak dynamic programming principle, Theorem 3.1. The present mission asks for a machine checked account of the strong formulation and of the transfer between its intrinsic, fixed space and canonical descriptions.

State, noise and admissible controls

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0. A state trajectory belongs to Cn=C([0,T],Rn)\mathcal C^n=C([0,T],\mathbb R^n)Cn=C([0,T],Rn). The two driving noises are a ddd dimensional idiosyncratic Brownian motion WWW and an ℓ\ellℓ dimensional common Brownian motion BBB. The control space UUU is nonempty and Polish. At time sss, the controlled drift bbb and diffusions σ,σ0\sigma,\sigma_0σ,σ0​ may depend on the stopped state path Xs∧⋅X_{s\wedge\cdot}Xs∧⋅​, the control αs\alpha_sαs​, and the conditional law μˉs\bar\mu_sμˉ​s​ of the stopped state and control given common noise. The running and terminal rewards are LLL and ggg.

A B\mathbb BB strong control has a continuous state satisfying the controlled stochastic equation, the conditional laws required by the paper, finite quadratic control energy, and an α\alphaα predictable for the common noise filtration. Its reward J(t,γ)J(t,\gamma)J(t,γ) is the expected running reward from ttt to TTT plus the terminal reward. The value VSB(t,ν)V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)VSB​(t,ν) is the supremum of these rewards over such controls from initial path law ν\nuν. The initial law lies in P2(Cn)\mathcal P_2(\mathcal C^n)P2​(Cn), the laws with a finite second moment. The coefficient hypothesis uses the quadratic Wasserstein distance W2W_2W2​ and one constant C>0C>0C>0 for both a Lipschitz bound and a quadratic growth bound. These conditions are Assumption 2.8 of the source paper, p. 8.

The paper also fixes a canonical probability space Ωt\Omega^tΩt carrying an initial path and Brownian increments after ttt. Its common noise predictable controls form A2B(t,ν)\mathcal A_2^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)A2B​(t,ν). Proposition 2.10 says this fixed space computes the same value as the intrinsic strong formulation. The precise probability law on Ωt\Omega^tΩt is characterized by the initial stopped path law and independent standard Brownian increments; the paper does not choose a unique construction.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 3.2, p. 10. It first asserts that the value on [0,T]×P2(Cn)[0,T]\times\mathcal P_2(\mathcal C^n)[0,T]×P2​(Cn) is upper semi analytic: each strict superlevel set {(t,ν):VSB(t,ν)>c}\{(t,\nu):V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)>c\}{(t,ν):VSB​(t,ν)>c} is analytic. For an initial pair (t,ν)(t,\nu)(t,ν) and a stopping time τ∈[t,T]\tau\in[t,T]τ∈[t,T] for the raw common noise filtration on Ωt\Omega^tΩt, it then asserts

VSB(t,ν)=sup⁡α∈A2B(t,ν)E ⁣[∫tτL(s,Xs∧⋅α,μˉsα,αs) ds+VSB(τ,μτα)].V_S^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)=\sup_{\alpha\in\mathcal A_2^{\mathbb B}(t,\nu)} \mathbb E\!\left[\int_t^\tau L(s,X^\alpha_{s\wedge\cdot},\bar\mu_s^\alpha,\alpha_s)\,ds +V_S^{\mathbb B}(\tau,\mu_\tau^\alpha)\right].VSB​(t,ν)=α∈A2B​(t,ν)sup​E[∫tτ​L(s,Xs∧⋅α​,μˉ​sα​,αs​)ds+VSB​(τ,μτα​)].

Here μτα\mu_\tau^\alphaμτα​ is the law of the stopped state conditional on information from common noise at τ\tauτ. The milestone sequence follows the paper's supporting results: strong solution existence and uniqueness (Theorem A.3(i)); equivalence of intrinsic and fixed space values (Proposition 2.10); induction of canonical rules from strong controls (the forward clause of Lemma 4.4(ii)); the canonical value identity (Corollary 4.6); the Wiener represented rule class and its value (Lemma 4.11); analytic rule graphs and value measurability (Lemma 4.12); and stability of a strong rule under conditioning at a stopping time (Lemma 4.13(i)). Each is a source indexed target, rather than an invented intermediate assertion.

What the result provides

The identity permits the value after a random common noise stopping time to be evaluated from the stopped conditional state law. This is the form needed to compare control decisions before and after a random observation time. Upper semi analyticity supplies measurable superlevel sets for the value even when LLL and ggg lack continuity. The paper proves these statements mathematically; the mission seeks their Lean formalization, not a new theorem about the underlying control problem.

A complete formalization would also provide reusable definitions of conditional measure valued flows, Brownian motion relative to a filtration over a shifted interval, a local Itô equation, and canonical martingale control rules. The two published Ethier–Kurtz definitions supply the local Itô relation and probability augmentation of a filtration. They are shared infrastructure rather than new statements of this paper.

Where the difficulty lies

The state law in the coefficients is conditional on common noise and changes with the control. A pathwise solution of the state equation must therefore remain consistent with its own conditional law. A naive argument that restarts an ordinary diffusion at τ\tauτ does not establish that consistency for a restarted control. It also does not ensure that a restarted control remains predictable from common noise. The paper's canonical rule formulation and its conditioning and measurability results address those obstructions. The reward may be unbounded and extended real valued, so the expectation convention and its behavior at infinite positive and negative parts matter to the statement itself.

Formalization scope and conventions

Paths are continuous maps on compact real intervals with uniform norm; Rk\mathbb R^kRk is Mathlib's Euclidean space, including k=0k=0k=0. Probability measures carry weak convergence topology, and P2\mathcal P_2P2​ is its finite second moment subtype. The product of path space and UUU uses Mathlib's product metric; matrix norms are Frobenius. Supremums range over admissible controls, solutions and conditional law versions. They are EReal valued, so the empty supremum is −∞-\infty−∞. The signed expectation is positive part minus negative part with ∞−∞=−∞\infty-\infty=-\infty∞−∞=−∞, as in the paper. The model fixes a Borel embedding of UUU into [0,1][0,1][0,1] and a cemetery control for invalid reconstructed paths.

The Lean statements pin the paper's implicit “well defined” stochastic integral to a pathwise square integrable local Itô relation and almost surely integrable drift. A conditional law equality stated for dP⊗dsd\mathbb P\otimes dsdP⊗ds almost every pair is expressed in Fubini form. The localized processes printed in Definition 4.1 define its local martingale requirement. The terminal law and the stopped law in the target are quantified as versions of their stated conditional distributions. The fixed canonical law is any law satisfying the paper's initial distribution and Brownian conditions; the target is stated for every such family. These conventions rule out free conditional laws, arbitrary future stopping times, and a value that is −∞-\infty−∞ solely because a formalization made the control class empty. A full development must establish nonemptiness and version independence as part of the cited supporting theory.

The scope ends with Theorem 3.2 and the listed milestones. Lemma 4.13(ii), the more involved measurable selection and concatenation result, remains a future contribution. Theorem 3.4 uses a separate companion result; the Markovian corollaries and the heuristic Hamilton–Jacobi discussion of §3.3 are outside this mission.

Selected references

  • M. F. Djete, D. Possamaï and X. Tan, McKean–Vlasov optimal control: the dynamic programming principle, arXiv:1907.08860v2, 2020; published in Annals of Probability 50(2), 2022. Preprint. This mission cites the preprint's page and theorem numbering.
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Local Exponential H² Stabilization of a 2 × 2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping 2: Backstepping Feedback Makes a 2 × 2 Linear Hyperbolic System Vanish in Finite TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

Systems of two first-order hyperbolic equations with opposite transport speeds model open-channel flow (the Saint-Venant equations), gas pipelines, heat exchangers and traffic. In such systems one boundary is actuated, the other boundary reflects, and the coupling terms move energy between the two families of waves. Boundary feedback design for them is a standard problem of distributed-parameter control.

The backstepping method designs a feedback by means of an invertible Volterra integral transformation that turns the plant into a target system whose behaviour is known in closed form. Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin (arXiv:1208.6475; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013) carry out this design for a general linear 2×22\times22×2 hyperbolic system with spatially varying speeds and couplings, in §3 of their paper. The resulting linear feedback is the controller they later apply to a quasilinear system. This mission formalizes the linear result.

Timeline:

  • 2008: Krstic and Smyshlyaev, Backstepping boundary control for first-order hyperbolic PDEs and application to systems with actuator and sensor delays (Systems & Control Letters 57), give the scalar transport case.
  • 2012/2013: Coron, Vazquez, Krstic and Bastin treat the 2×22\times22×2 case. The kernel equations of the transformation form a Goursat-type system on a triangle, and they prove it is well-posed in their Appendix A.

Setting

Let ϵ1,ϵ2\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2ϵ1​,ϵ2​ be C1C^1C1 functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] with ϵ1,ϵ2>0\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2>0ϵ1​,ϵ2​>0, let c1,c2c_1,c_2c1​,c2​ be continuous, and let q∈Rq\in\mathbb Rq∈R. The state w(x,t)=[u v]T∈R2w(x,t)=[u\ v]^T\in\mathbb R^2w(x,t)=[u v]T∈R2 solves

wt=Σ(x)wx+C(x)w,Σ=(−ϵ100ϵ2),C=(0c1c20),x∈[0,1], t≥0,w_t=\Sigma(x)w_x+C(x)w,\qquad \Sigma=\begin{pmatrix}-\epsilon_1&0\\0&\epsilon_2\end{pmatrix},\quad C=\begin{pmatrix}0&c_1\\c_2&0\end{pmatrix},\qquad x\in[0,1],\ t\ge0,wt​=Σ(x)wx​+C(x)w,Σ=(−ϵ1​0​0ϵ2​​),C=(0c2​​c1​0​),x∈[0,1], t≥0,

so uuu travels to the right and vvv to the left. The boundary conditions are u(0,t)=q v(0,t)u(0,t)=q\,v(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t) and v(1,t)=U(t)v(1,t)=U(t)v(1,t)=U(t), where UUU is the control. The norm is ∥w(⋅,t)∥L2=∫01(u2+v2) dξ\|w(\cdot,t)\|_{L^2}=\sqrt{\int_0^1(u^2+v^2)\,d\xi}∥w(⋅,t)∥L2​=∫01​(u2+v2)dξ​.

The kernels Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv are functions on the triangle T={(x,ξ):0≤ξ≤x≤1}\mathcal T=\{(x,\xi):0\le\xi\le x\le1\}T={(x,ξ):0≤ξ≤x≤1} that solve

ϵ2(x)Kxvu−ϵ1(ξ)Kξvu=ϵ1′(ξ)Kvu+c2(ξ)Kvv,ϵ2(x)Kxvv+ϵ2(ξ)Kξvv=−ϵ2′(ξ)Kvv+c1(ξ)Kvu,\epsilon_2(x)K^{vu}_x-\epsilon_1(\xi)K^{vu}_\xi=\epsilon_1'(\xi)K^{vu}+c_2(\xi)K^{vv},\qquad \epsilon_2(x)K^{vv}_x+\epsilon_2(\xi)K^{vv}_\xi=-\epsilon_2'(\xi)K^{vv}+c_1(\xi)K^{vu},ϵ2​(x)Kxvu​−ϵ1​(ξ)Kξvu​=ϵ1′​(ξ)Kvu+c2​(ξ)Kvv,ϵ2​(x)Kxvv​+ϵ2​(ξ)Kξvv​=−ϵ2′​(ξ)Kvv+c1​(ξ)Kvu,

with Kvu(x,x)=−c2(x)/(ϵ1(x)+ϵ2(x))K^{vu}(x,x)=-c_2(x)/(\epsilon_1(x)+\epsilon_2(x))Kvu(x,x)=−c2​(x)/(ϵ1​(x)+ϵ2​(x)) and Kvv(x,0)=(qϵ1(0)/ϵ2(0))Kvu(x,0)K^{vv}(x,0)=(q\epsilon_1(0)/\epsilon_2(0))K^{vu}(x,0)Kvv(x,0)=(qϵ1​(0)/ϵ2​(0))Kvu(x,0). The control law (3.48) is

U(t)=∫01Kvu(1,ξ)u(ξ,t) dξ+∫01Kvv(1,ξ)v(ξ,t) dξ.U(t)=\int_0^1K^{vu}(1,\xi)u(\xi,t)\,d\xi+\int_0^1K^{vv}(1,\xi)v(\xi,t)\,d\xi .U(t)=∫01​Kvu(1,ξ)u(ξ,t)dξ+∫01​Kvv(1,ξ)v(ξ,t)dξ.

The target system is γt=Σ(x)γx\gamma_t=\Sigma(x)\gamma_xγt​=Σ(x)γx​ with α(0,t)=qβ(0,t)\alpha(0,t)=q\beta(0,t)α(0,t)=qβ(0,t) and β(1,t)=0\beta(1,t)=0β(1,t)=0, for γ=[α β]T\gamma=[\alpha\ \beta]^Tγ=[α β]T. The direct transformation is γ=w−∫0xK(x,ξ)w(ξ,t) dξ\gamma=w-\int_0^xK(x,\xi)w(\xi,t)\,d\xiγ=w−∫0x​K(x,ξ)w(ξ,t)dξ (3.23), with the full 2×22\times22×2 kernel KKK of (3.30)–(3.37). The inverse transformation is w=γ+∫0xL(x,ξ)γ(ξ,t) dξw=\gamma+\int_0^xL(x,\xi)\gamma(\xi,t)\,d\xiw=γ+∫0x​L(x,ξ)γ(ξ,t)dξ (3.38), with LLL solving (3.40)–(3.47). The finite time is

tF=∫01(1ϵ1(ξ)+1ϵ2(ξ))dξ.t_F=\int_0^1\left(\frac1{\epsilon_1(\xi)}+\frac1{\epsilon_2(\xi)}\right)d\xi .tF​=∫01​(ϵ1​(ξ)1​+ϵ2​(ξ)1​)dξ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (pp. 6–7)

For q≠0q\neq0q=0, every classical solution of the closed loop satisfies

∀λ>0 ∃c>0:∥w(⋅,t)∥L2≤c e−λt∥w(⋅,0)∥L2(t≥0),andw(x,t)=0  (x∈[0,1], t≥tF).\forall\lambda>0\ \exists c>0:\quad \|w(\cdot,t)\|_{L^2}\le c\,e^{-\lambda t}\|w(\cdot,0)\|_{L^2}\quad(t\ge0),\qquad\text{and}\qquad w(x,t)=0\ \ (x\in[0,1],\ t\ge t_F).∀λ>0 ∃c>0:∥w(⋅,t)∥L2​≤ce−λt∥w(⋅,0)∥L2​(t≥0),andw(x,t)=0  (x∈[0,1], t≥tF​).

Here ccc depends on λ\lambdaλ and the data but not on the solution.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (p. 3): the same two conclusions for the target system under the section's q≠0q\neq0q=0 assumption.
  2. §3.2 (p. 5): if KKK solves (3.30)–(3.37), the transformation (3.23) maps every closed-loop solution to a target solution.
  3. §3.3 (p. 6): if LLL solves (3.40)–(3.47), the transformation (3.38) maps every solution of γt=Σγx\gamma_t=\Sigma\gamma_xγt​=Σγx​, α(0,t)=qβ(0,t)\alpha(0,t)=q\beta(0,t)α(0,t)=qβ(0,t), to a solution of (3.1) with u(0,t)=qv(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t)u(0,t)=qv(0,t).
  4. §3.5 (p. 8): the conclusion of Theorem 3.2 for q=0q=0q=0, where (3.37) reads Kvv(x,0)=0K^{vv}(x,0)=0Kvv(x,0)=0.

Significance

The theorem shows that a single linear boundary feedback, computed once from the coefficients, drives every state of the system to zero in exactly the time tFt_FtF​. That time is the sum of the travel times of the two characteristic families across [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Exponential stability at every rate follows. The same feedback, rescaled, is the controller of the paper's main result, Theorem 4.1: local exponential H2H^2H2 stabilization of a quasilinear 2×22\times22×2 system, the subject of mission 3 of this series. The well-posedness of the kernel equations, Theorem A.1, is mission 1.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of it has been machine-checked. A formal proof needs Volterra transformations of vector-valued functions with differentiation under a variable-limit integral, explicit solutions of transport equations along characteristics, and L2L^2L2 estimates for integral operators with continuous kernels. These tools apply to backstepping designs well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

Proposition 3.1 and the two mapping statements are calculations: an integration by parts and the explicit solution along characteristics. The difficulty of Theorem 3.2 is the step "the transformation is invertible", which the paper's proof takes for granted. The goal hypothesizes only Kvu,KvvK^{vu},K^{vv}Kvu,Kvv, so it is not enough to state the mapping and the inverse separately. The solver has to recover the full state from the target state: either build the remaining kernels Kuu,KuvK^{uu},K^{uv}Kuu,Kuv and the inverse kernel LLL, or argue directly from the closed (Kvu,Kvv)(K^{vu},K^{vv})(Kvu,Kvv) subsystem. Both routes need existence or uniqueness for Goursat-type problems, which the paper proves only in Appendix A. A second, routine obstacle is that the uniform constant ccc must be extracted from the finite-time interval [0,tF][0,t_F][0,tF​] using bounds on the kernels.

Formalization scope

  • States are w : ℝ → ℝ → Fin 2 → ℝ, space first, with Lean index 0 for the paper's first component.
  • Solutions are classical: jointly C1C^1C1 on R2\mathbb R^2R2, with the equations imposed on [0,1]×[0,∞)[0,1]\times[0,\infty)[0,1]×[0,∞). The value w(⋅,0)w(\cdot,0)w(⋅,0) replaces the paper's initial condition w0∈L2w_0\in L^2w0​∈L2. This is the theorem restricted to classical solutions; Mathlib has no Sobolev-space solution theory for these equations.
  • The coefficients and kernels are functions on R\mathbb RR and R2\mathbb R^2R2 with global regularity, and positivity is assumed only on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • The goal and Proposition 3.1 assume q≠0q\neq0q=0, the standing assumption of §§3.1–3.4. The separate §3.5 milestone covers q=0q=0q=0.
  • The right boundary condition of the closed loop is the feedback (3.48) evaluated on the same state, not a free input.
  • Only the "if" direction of the §3.2 equivalence is formalized.

Three trivializing readings are excluded. The constant ccc is quantified after the data and before the solution, so it cannot depend on the solution. The finite-time claim is vanishing for every t≥tFt\ge t_Ft≥tF​, with tFt_FtF​ exactly (3.8), not for some unspecified time. The kernels are pinned down by all four of (3.32), (3.33), (3.36), (3.37). With C1C^1C1 coefficients a solution exists (the paper's Theorem A.2), and a sanity file checks that the hypotheses admit a non-zero closed-loop solution.

Welcome contributions: lemmas on differentiating ∫0xK(x,ξ)w(ξ,t) dξ\int_0^xK(x,\xi)w(\xi,t)\,d\xi∫0x​K(x,ξ)w(ξ,t)dξ, transport equations along characteristics, and the invertibility of Volterra operators with continuous kernels.

The paper's proofs are on pp. 3–5 (Proposition 3.1), p. 5 (§3.2), p. 6 (§3.3) and p. 7 (Theorem 3.2).

Selected references

  • J.-M. Coron, R. Vazquez, M. Krstic, G. Bastin, Local Exponential H2H^2H2 Stabilization of a 2×22\times22×2 Quasilinear Hyperbolic System Using Backstepping, arXiv:1208.6475v1, 2012; SIAM J. Control Optim. 51(3), 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1208.6475
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Backstepping boundary control for first-order hyperbolic PDEs and application to systems with actuator and sensor delays, Systems & Control Letters 57(9), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sysconle.2008.02.005
  • M. Krstic, A. Smyshlyaev, Boundary Control of PDEs: A Course on Backstepping Designs, SIAM, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718607
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