The Markov Chain Central Limit TheoremResearch Paper
Markov chain Monte Carlo turns hard integration problems into long simulations: to estimate an expectation $E_\pi f$ one runs a Markov chain with stationary distribution $\pi$ and reports the sample average $\bar f_n$. The ergodic theorem guarantees $\bar f_n \to E_\pi f$, but honest error bars require more: a central limit theorem $$\sqrt{n}(\bar f_n - E_\pi f) \to_d N(0, \sigma_f^2).$$ On general state spaces this is famously delicate - a merely ergodic chain with a square-integrable functional can fail the CLT, so the classical theory trades convergence rates (drift, minorization, geometric or polynomial total-variation rates) and mixing conditions ($\alpha$-, $\rho$-, $\varphi$-mixing) against moment conditions on $f$. This mission formalizes G. L. Jones's survey "On the Markov chain central limit theorem" (Probability Surveys, 2004): the drift-condition CLTs of Meyn-Tweedie and Jarner-Roberts, the classical mixing CLTs of Ibragimov-Linnik, Doukhan-Massart-Rio and Billingsley, the characterizations via uniform integrability and boundedness in probability, and their assembly into the summary theorem: six practically checkable regimes - from polynomial ergodicity with bounded functionals to uniform ergodicity with second moments - each of which guarantees the CLT for every initial distribution. The stationarity, total-variation and mixing infrastructure is general state space and reusable well beyond this mission.