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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999112Formalized record→≤ 1.999074Open frontier
2 provers on it3 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.99791Formalized record
3 provers on it3 of 3 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record
6 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record
3 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Markov ChainProbabilityReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Linear Least-Squares Algorithms for Temporal Difference Learning I: Probability-One Convergence of Trial-Based LS TD on Absorbing Markov ChainsResearch Paper

Motivation

Temporal-difference learning estimates the value of a policy from observed state transitions and rewards. In a finite Markov decision process, fixing a policy produces a Markov chain, so policy evaluation becomes the task of estimating the expected return from each state. Bradtke and Barto's 1996 paper introduced a least-squares temporal-difference method, LS TD, that uses each observed transition in a linear system instead of selecting a learning-rate schedule. Their Theorem 1 states probability-one convergence for trials that end at absorbing states under explicit conditions on state access, rewards, and features. This mission formalizes that result and the statements the authors use to reach it. Bradtke and Barto, 1996.

The result matters for episodic policy evaluation: a learner may collect many short trajectories, each begun from a prescribed start distribution, and update the same estimate as data accumulate. The theorem identifies conditions under which the limit is the true value parameter even when the discount factor is one. That endpoint is useful for undiscounted tasks ending in an absorbing goal state; it also makes the convergence claim more delicate than the standard discounted case. The paper proves the result mathematically. The Lean statements in this mission are targets for machine-checked proofs, not claims of proofs already present in Mathlib. Bradtke and Barto, Theorem 1, pp. 43–44.

Setting

Let XXX be a finite, nonempty set of states. After a policy is fixed, P(x,y)P(x,y)P(x,y) is the probability of a transition from xxx to yyy, so each row of PPP is nonnegative and sums to one. A transition earns a deterministic real reward R(x,y)R(x,y)R(x,y). A state is absorbing when P(x,x)=1P(x,x)=1P(x,x)=1; let T\mathcal TT be the absorbing states and N=X∖T\mathcal N=X\setminus\mathcal TN=X∖T the others. The chain is absorbing when some absorbing state can be reached with positive probability from every state. A start distribution SSS gives the state at the beginning of each trial. No state is inaccessible when every state can be reached from the positive support of SSS.

For a discount γ\gammaγ, the expected immediate reward is rˉ(x)=∑yP(x,y)R(x,y)\bar r(x)=\sum_yP(x,y)R(x,y)rˉ(x)=∑y​P(x,y)R(x,y). The true value function is defined by the expected return

V(x)=∑k=0∞γk(Pkrˉ)(x).V(x)=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}\gamma^k(P^k\bar r)(x).V(x)=k=0∑∞​γk(Pkrˉ)(x).

A feature vector ϕx∈Rm\phi_x\in\mathbb R^mϕx​∈Rm represents state xxx. The matrix Φ\PhiΦ has row xxx equal to ϕx⊤\phi_x^\topϕx⊤​. The target parameter θ∗\theta^*θ∗ is a vector for which V(x)=ϕx⊤θ∗V(x)=\phi_x^\top\theta^*V(x)=ϕx⊤​θ∗ at every state; it is something the theorem must establish, not an input chosen by a formula. Equation (11) forms an LS TD estimate θn\theta_nθn​ from the observed feature differences and rewards. Bradtke and Barto, §2, Table 1, Eq. (11).

Figure 2 collects trials. Each starts from SSS, follows PPP while the current state is non-absorbing, and ends upon entry into T\mathcal TT. The next trial starts with a fresh draw from SSS. The estimator includes transitions taken within trials; a draw that starts the next trial is not an observed transition for Eq. (11). Bradtke and Barto, Figure 2, p. 42.

Formalization targets

Theorem 1: convergence of trial-based LS TD

If every state is accessible from SSS, rewards between absorbing states vanish, the feature vectors on N\mathcal NN are linearly independent, features on T\mathcal TT are zero, m=∣N∣m=|\mathcal N|m=∣N∣, and 0≤γ≤10\le\gamma\le10≤γ≤1, then the expected-return series converges and there is a parameter θ∗\theta^*θ∗ satisfying

V(x)=ϕx⊤θ∗(x∈X),θn⟶θ∗with probability one.V(x)=\phi_x^\top\theta^*\quad(x\in X),\qquad \theta_n\longrightarrow\theta^*\quad\text{with probability one}.V(x)=ϕx⊤​θ∗(x∈X),θn​⟶θ∗with probability one.

The theorem keeps the paper's endpoint γ=1\gamma=1γ=1. The return series' convergence is explicit because a real infinite sum in Lean has a default value when it diverges. Bradtke and Barto, Theorem 1, p. 43.

Supporting targets

The milestone list follows the statements used in the paper: almost-sure visits and departure proportions for the trials; invertibility of the non-absorbing block of I−γPI-\gamma PI−γP; invertibility of Φ⊤Π(I−γP)Φ\Phi^\top\Pi(I-\gamma P)\PhiΦ⊤Π(I−γP)Φ for positive non-absorbing weights; Lemma 5's probability-one limit [Φ⊤Π(I−γP)Φ]−1Φ⊤Πrˉ[\Phi^\top\Pi(I-\gamma P)\Phi]^{-1}\Phi^\top\Pi\bar r[Φ⊤Π(I−γP)Φ]−1Φ⊤Πrˉ; and Eq. (12), rˉ=(I−γP)Φθ∗\bar r=(I-\gamma P)\Phi\theta^*rˉ=(I−γP)Φθ∗, together with finiteness of the true parameter. Here Π=diag⁡(π)\Pi=\operatorname{diag}(\pi)Π=diag(π). Bradtke and Barto, Lemma 5, p. 43; Proof of Theorem 1, p. 44.

Significance

Theorem 1 identifies the target of the asymptotic LS TD estimate: the value function defined from rewards, rather than merely a vector satisfying a sampled linear system. It covers an undiscounted absorbing chain, where a general fixed-point equation for values would fail to determine the values of absorbing states. The zero-reward and zero-feature conditions determine that boundary correctly. The result also explains the dimension condition: one independent feature vector for each non-absorbing state permits exact representation of the return. Bradtke and Barto, pp. 43–44.

A complete formal development would connect finite-state stochastic-process laws, visit frequencies, matrix limits, and the return-defined value function in one checked statement. The reusable parts include a finite row-stochastic chain model, a path-law description of restarts, a filtered least-squares estimator, and results about transient blocks of stochastic matrices. The paper's mathematical proof exists; this mission asks for formal proofs of its Lean targets. It also leaves room for alternative proofs and sharper, separately stated variants without weakening Theorem 1.

Difficulty

Ordinary matrix convergence cannot be applied until the observed transition frequencies are known to converge and the limiting matrix is invertible. A trial has random length, and the process resets after absorption, so a sequence indexed by all restart-process steps does not have the same raw state proportions as a count indexed by trials. The proof must account for both clocks while retaining the in-trial data of Eq. (11). At γ=1\gamma=1γ=1, a direct geometric-series argument for the value function is unavailable; its finiteness depends on absorption and the reward convention. The matrix I−γPI-\gamma PI−γP itself is singular at the undiscounted endpoint because of absorbing states, while its non-absorbing block is the relevant invertible matrix. Bradtke and Barto, Proof of Theorem 1, p. 44.

Formalization scope

The Lean state type is finite and nonempty. The paper evaluates one fixed policy, so PPP is a real row-stochastic matrix and RRR is a deterministic real reward on transitions; there is no action type in the formal statement. Absorbing states are exactly those with P(x,x)=1P(x,x)=1P(x,x)=1, and “absorbing chain” means that an absorbing state is reachable from every state. The paper does not define “inaccessible”; the formalization reads it as unreachable from the positive support of SSS. The state space carries the discrete measurable structure. Theorem 1's restart process and Lemma 5's ordinary Markov chain are each constrained by their finite-dimensional cylinder probabilities, not by assumed transition frequencies.

The feature space is Rm\mathbb R^mRm, and mmm equals the cardinality of the subtype N\mathcal NN. LS TD uses only departures from N\mathcal NN. Index nnn counts restart-process steps, so the estimate repeats at a restart draw; the paper counts in-trial transitions. These indices have the same asymptotic estimate when transitions continue. The 1/t1/t1/t factors in Eq. (11) cancel, and early singular inverses take Lean's total-inverse default. The value function is the return series, and the goal explicitly asserts its summability. The true parameter is existential, never defined by the formula whose convergence the theorem is meant to prove.

The paper defines πx\pi_xπx​ for absorbing chains as expected departures from xxx per trial. The Theorem 1 visit-frequency milestone normalizes by restart-process steps, which rescales all weights by one positive common factor; Lemma 5's matrix expression is invariant under that rescaling. Lemma 5 itself counts every ordinary-chain transition and carries the paper's “any Markov chain” scope. The milestone on invertibility allows arbitrary weights at absorbing states because their feature rows are zero. These conventions are recorded with each Lean item. Contributions toward the path-law frequency theorem, transient-matrix invertibility, return-series summability, and the matrix limit are all within scope. A vacuous path law or a value function defined from the desired linear equation would not establish the stated goal.

Selected references

  • S. J. Bradtke and A. G. Barto, Linear Least-Squares Algorithms for Temporal Difference Learning, Machine Learning 22, 33–57 (1996). DOI: 10.1023/A:1018056104778.
8 thms2 active usersReviewed
Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dimensioning Large Call Centers IV: Asymptotically Optimal Staffing under a Waiting-Cost ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

A call center has to decide how many agents to staff. In practice the decision is often posed as a service-level constraint rather than a cost trade-off: use the fewest agents for which the expected waiting cost, or the fraction of customers who wait, stays below a target. Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; journal version in Operations Research 52(1), 2004, doi:10.1287/opre.1030.0081) treat this constraint problem in Section 8 of their paper, alongside the cost-minimization problem of Sections 5–7, and show that a simple square-root staffing rule solves it asymptotically as the arrival rate grows.

The rule matters because it is what practitioners use. Under the classical Erlang-C model, the exact optimum requires evaluating the Erlang-C formula over many staffing levels. The asymptotic rule replaces this with a single equation in the Halfin–Whitt function PPP: when the target is a delay probability ε\varepsilonε (Example 8.5 of the paper), it reduces to staffing λ/μ+P−1(ε)λ/μ\lambda/\mu + P^{-1}(\varepsilon)\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}λ/μ+P−1(ε)λ/μ​ servers.

Timeline. Erlang's formula for the M/M/N delay probability dates from 1917. Halfin and Whitt (Operations Research 29, 1981) identified the limit P(x)P(x)P(x) of the delay probability under square-root staffing N=λ/μ+xλ/μN = \lambda/\mu + x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}N=λ/μ+xλ/μ​ with integer NNN. Jagers and Van Doorn (Operations Research Letters 5, 1986; SIAM Review 33, 1991) studied the continued Erlang loss and delay functions at non-integer numbers of servers, including their convexity, which is what lets the staffing problem be relaxed to a continuous one. Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (2000/2004) used these to prove asymptotic optimality of square-root rules for both the cost and the constraint formulations.

Setting

Customers arrive at rate λ\lambdaλ to NNN identical servers, each with service rate μ>0\mu > 0μ>0; μ\muμ is fixed while λ→∞\lambda \to \inftyλ→∞. Stability requires N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ. A customer who waits ttt time units costs Dλ(t)D_\lambda(t)Dλ​(t), where Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0) = 0Dλ​(0)=0, DλD_\lambdaDλ​ is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) and ∫0∞Dλ(t)e−θt dt<∞\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}\,dt < \infty∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−θtdt<∞ for all θ>0\theta > 0θ>0.

The Erlang-C probability of waiting is

π(N,ν)=νNN!{(1−ν/N)∑n=0N−1νnn!+νNN!}−1,\pi(N,\nu) = \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Big\{(1-\nu/N)\sum_{n=0}^{N-1}\frac{\nu^n}{n!} + \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Big\}^{-1},π(N,ν)=N!νN​{(1−ν/N)n=0∑N−1​n!νn​+N!νN​}−1,

and the conditional waiting cost is G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t)e−(Nμ−λ)t dtG(N,\lambda) = (N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dtG(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt. The waiting cost per unit time with NNN servers is

K(N,λ)=λ π(N,λ/μ) G(N,λ).K(N,\lambda) = \lambda\,\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)\,G(N,\lambda).K(N,λ)=λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ).

Given a target Mλ>0M_\lambda > 0Mλ​>0, the optimal staffing level is the least integer N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ with K(N,λ)≤MλK(N,\lambda) \le M_\lambdaK(N,λ)≤Mλ​; call it Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​.

In the continuous parametrization Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x) = \lambda/\mu + x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​, define Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x) = \lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ), the continuous Erlang-C function πλ(x)=H(Nλ(x),λ/μ)\pi_\lambda(x) = H(N_\lambda(x),\lambda/\mu)πλ​(x)=H(Nλ​(x),λ/μ) with H(M,α)={α∫0∞e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1H(M,\alpha) = \{\alpha\int_0^\infty e^{-\alpha t}t(1+t)^{M-1}dt\}^{-1}H(M,α)={α∫0∞​e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1, and Kλ(x)=πλ(x)Gλ(x)K_\lambda(x) = \pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Kλ​(x)=πλ​(x)Gλ​(x). The Halfin–Whitt function is P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x))P(x) = 1/(1 + x/h(-x))P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x)) with h=ϕ/(1−Φ)h = \phi/(1-\Phi)h=ϕ/(1−Φ) the standard normal hazard rate. A staffing function xλ>0x_\lambda > 0xλ​>0 is judged by the rounding gap

Tλ(x)=min⁡{∣K(⌊Nλ(x)⌋,λ)−Mλ∣, ∣K(⌈Nλ(x)⌉,λ)−Mλ∣, ∣K(⌈Nλ(x)⌉,λ)−K(Nλ∗,λ)∣}.T_\lambda(x) = \min\big\{|K(\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor,\lambda) - M_\lambda|,\ |K(\lceil N_\lambda(x)\rceil,\lambda) - M_\lambda|,\ |K(\lceil N_\lambda(x)\rceil,\lambda) - K(N^*_\lambda,\lambda)|\big\}.Tλ​(x)=min{∣K(⌊Nλ​(x)⌋,λ)−Mλ​∣, ∣K(⌈Nλ​(x)⌉,λ)−Mλ​∣, ∣K(⌈Nλ​(x)⌉,λ)−K(Nλ∗​,λ)∣}.

It is asymptotically optimal when Tλ(xλ)/Mλ→0T_\lambda(x_\lambda)/M_\lambda \to 0Tλ​(xλ​)/Mλ​→0 as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.2 (rationalized regime)

Suppose that for some κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0 and γ∈(0,∞)\gamma \in (0,\infty)γ∈(0,∞), Gλ(κ)/Mλ→γG_\lambda(\kappa)/M_\lambda \to \gammaGλ​(κ)/Mλ​→γ, i.e. the waiting cost is comparable to the target. Let yλ∗>0y^*_\lambda > 0yλ∗​>0 solve P(y)Gλ(y)=MλP(y)G_\lambda(y) = M_\lambdaP(y)Gλ​(y)=Mλ​. Then

lim⁡λ→∞Tλ(yλ∗)Mλ=0.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{T_\lambda(y^*_\lambda)}{M_\lambda} = 0.λ→∞lim​Mλ​Tλ​(yλ∗​)​=0.

Supporting milestones

  • Lemma C.1: GλG_\lambdaGλ​ is strictly convex and decreasing on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).
  • Section 3: πλ(x)=π(Nλ(x),λ/μ)\pi_\lambda(x) = \pi(N_\lambda(x),\lambda/\mu)πλ​(x)=π(Nλ​(x),λ/μ) when Nλ(x)N_\lambda(x)Nλ​(x) is an integer.
  • Lemma 8.1: if zλ∗>0z^*_\lambda > 0zλ∗​>0 solves π^λ(z)G^λ(z)=Mλ\hat\pi_\lambda(z)\hat G_\lambda(z) = M_\lambdaπ^λ​(z)G^λ​(z)=Mλ​ and Kλ(zλ∗)/(π^λG^λ)(zλ∗)→1K_\lambda(z^*_\lambda)/(\hat\pi_\lambda\hat G_\lambda)(z^*_\lambda) \to 1Kλ​(zλ∗​)/(π^λ​G^λ​)(zλ∗​)→1, then Tλ(zλ∗)/Mλ→0T_\lambda(z^*_\lambda)/M_\lambda \to 0Tλ​(zλ∗​)/Mλ​→0.
  • Lemma B.1: PPP is strictly convex and decreasing on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).
  • Eq. (17): lim sup⁡aλ/b=∞\limsup a_\lambda/b = \inftylimsupaλ​/b=∞ implies lim inf⁡P(aλ)/P(b)=0\liminf P(a_\lambda)/P(b) = 0liminfP(aλ​)/P(b)=0 and lim inf⁡πλ(aλ)/πλ(b)=0\liminf \pi_\lambda(a_\lambda)/\pi_\lambda(b) = 0liminfπλ​(aλ​)/πλ​(b)=0.
  • Lemma 4.1 (Halfin–Whitt): for bounded xλ>0x_\lambda > 0xλ​>0, πλ(xλ)/P(xλ)→1\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda)/P(x_\lambda) \to 1πλ​(xλ​)/P(xλ​)→1; with xλ→xx_\lambda \to xxλ​→x, πλ(xλ)/P(x)→1\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda)/P(x)\to 1πλ​(xλ​)/P(x)→1.

Further target: Theorem 8.6 (efficiency-driven regime)

If Gλ(κ)/Mλ→0G_\lambda(\kappa)/M_\lambda \to 0Gλ​(κ)/Mλ​→0 for every κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0 and yλ∗>0y^*_\lambda > 0yλ∗​>0 solves Gλ(y)=MλG_\lambda(y) = M_\lambdaGλ​(y)=Mλ​, then Tλ(yλ∗)/Mλ→0T_\lambda(y^*_\lambda)/M_\lambda \to 0Tλ​(yλ∗​)/Mλ​→0.

Significance

The theorem certifies the staffing rule used in workforce-management practice: the excess staffing is determined by one scalar equation involving the Gaussian function PPP and the scaled waiting cost, and rounding the resulting staffing level misses the constraint by a vanishing fraction of the target. Lemma 8.1 is a reusable framework: any approximation π^λG^λ\hat\pi_\lambda\hat G_\lambdaπ^λ​G^λ​ that is asymptotically exact at the proposed staffing level yields an asymptotically optimal rule, and the paper instantiates it in three regimes (Theorems 8.2, 8.6, 8.9).

The results are proved on paper. To the best of current knowledge none of them, nor the Halfin–Whitt limit for the continuous Erlang-C extension, has a machine-checked proof. A formalization would produce the first verified heavy-traffic limit of the Erlang-C delay probability, a verified continuous Erlang-C extension with its integer identity, and the convexity facts about PPP and GλG_\lambdaGλ​ that many staffing papers cite without proof.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to quote Halfin and Whitt: the delay probability converges to P(x)P(x)P(x) under square-root staffing, so PPP can replace the Erlang-C formula. That limit, as published in 1981, is about integer server counts along sequences with a convergent excess-staffing parameter. The paper needs it for the continuous function HHH at non-integer server counts and for staffing functions that are merely bounded, and it also needs the identity H(N,ν)=π(N,ν)H(N,\nu) = \pi(N,\nu)H(N,ν)=π(N,ν) at integers and the monotonicity of πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ in xxx, both cited from Jagers and Van Doorn rather than proved. None of these is in Mathlib. A second obstacle is that the staffing function yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ is defined only implicitly by an equation involving GλG_\lambdaGλ​, which depends on the arbitrary cost functions DλD_\lambdaDλ​; nothing a priori prevents it from escaping to infinity, outside the range where the Halfin–Whitt approximation applies. Finally, TλT_\lambdaTλ​ compares integer-level costs given by the Erlang-C formula with a continuous approximation, so both representations of the delay probability are in play at once.

Formalization scope

The queue itself is not formalized: there is no Markov chain and no waiting-time distribution. Every statement is about the closed-form waiting cost K(N,λ)K(N,\lambda)K(N,λ) with π\piπ given by the Erlang-C formula, exactly as the paper's analysis is. Conventions, all in the namespace DimCallCenters.Constraint:

  • lam : ℝ is the arrival rate (λ is a Lean keyword); limits are Filter.atTop in lam, with μ fixed. Objects indexed by λ (MλM_\lambdaMλ​, Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​, yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​) are functions of lam constrained only for lam > 0.
  • WaitModel packages μ > 0 and DλD_\lambdaDλ​ with Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0) = 0Dλ​(0)=0, strict monotonicity on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and integrability of Dλ(t)e−θtD_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}Dλ​(t)e−θt on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for θ > 0 (the paper's finiteness of GGG; integrability is required because Lean's integral of a non-integrable function is 0).
  • Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ is a function Nstar : ℝ → ℕ given with its two defining properties (feasible; below every feasible integer level above λ/μ). yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ and zλ∗z^*_\lambdazλ∗​ are any positive solutions of their equations; existence and uniqueness are not hypotheses.
  • In TλT_\lambdaTλ​ the round-down term is dropped when ⌊Nλ(x)⌋≤λ/μ\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor \le \lambda/\mu⌊Nλ​(x)⌋≤λ/μ (an unstable level where KKK is undefined). This can only enlarge TλT_\lambdaTλ​.
  • Asymptotic relations are limits of ratios. lim sup⁡=∞\limsup = \inftylimsup=∞ and lim inf⁡=0\liminf = 0liminf=0 are stated with ∃ᶠ ("frequently"), lim sup⁡<∞\limsup < \inftylimsup<∞ as eventual boundedness.
  • PPP is defined through explicit ϕ\phiϕ, Φ\PhiΦ, hhh; the formula also gives P(0)=1P(0) = 1P(0)=1, used in Lemma 4.1(2) at x=0x = 0x=0.
  • No hypothesis lim⁡N↓λ/μG(N,λ)=∞\lim_{N\downarrow\lambda/\mu}G(N,\lambda) = \inftylimN↓λ/μ​G(N,λ)=∞ is added: it is not needed for the statements here.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: TλT_\lambdaTλ​ keeps all of the paper's terms and is never replaced by a smaller quantity, and the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable — Dλ(t)=aλ/μ tD_\lambda(t) = a\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}\,tDλ​(t)=aλ/μ​t with Mλ=MλM_\lambda = M\lambdaMλ​=Mλ satisfies (33) for every κ\kappaκ with γ=a/(μκM)\gamma = a/(\mu\kappa M)γ=a/(μκM).

Infrastructure needed: the continuous Erlang-C function and its integer identity; the Halfin–Whitt limit (a Gaussian approximation of Poisson/gamma tails); calculus facts about the normal hazard rate. These are reusable beyond this mission, notably by the sibling missions on the cost-minimization problem. Example 8.5 (delay-probability target with Dλ=1t>0D_\lambda = 1_{t>0}Dλ​=1t>0​) motivates the rule but violates the strict monotonicity of DλD_\lambdaDλ​, so it is not an instance of the theorem as stated. Contributions on any milestone, and on Theorem 8.9 (quality-driven regime, which needs Lemma 4.2), are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; Operations Research 52(1):17–34, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0081
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers, Operations Research 29(3):567–588, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • A. A. Jagers, E. A. Van Doorn, On the Continued Erlang Loss Function, Operations Research Letters 5:43–46, 1986.
  • A. A. Jagers, E. A. Van Doorn, Convexity of Functions which are Generalizations of the Erlang Loss Function and the Erlang Delay Function, SIAM Review 33:281–282, 1991.
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Nonzero-Sum Stochastic Differential Games with Impulse Controls: A Verification Theorem with Applications 2: An Explicit Family of Nash Equilibria for the Linear Impulse GameResearch Paper

Motivation

Impulse control models an agent who acts on a random system through discrete interventions, each with a fixed cost: inventory replenishment, cash management, exchange-rate interventions by a central bank. With two agents whose objectives conflict, the problem becomes a nonzero-sum stochastic differential game with impulse controls. Before the work of Aïd, Basei, Callegaro, Campi and Vargiolu (Math. Oper. Res. 45(1), 2020; preprint arXiv:1605.00039), such games had no general verification theorem and few explicit equilibria; the paper supplies both. Its main application, formalized in this mission, is a game between two central banks with different targets for an exchange rate, a two-player version of the exchange-rate control models of Bertola, Runggaldier and Yasuda and of Cadenillas and Zapatero (references [10], [12] of the paper). The paper proves that this game has an explicit one-parameter family of Nash equilibria of threshold type, with closed-form payoffs.

Setting

The state is a real process. Without interventions it is x+σWsx+\sigma W_sx+σWs​, where WWW is a standard real Brownian motion and σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. Player 1 may shift it up by impulses δ∈Z1=[0,∞[\delta\in Z_1=[0,\infty[δ∈Z1​=[0,∞[, player 2 down by impulses δ∈Z2=]−∞,0]\delta\in Z_2=]-\infty,0]δ∈Z2​=]−∞,0]:

Xs=x+σWs+∑k:τ1,k≤sδ1,k+∑k:τ2,k≤sδ2,k.X_s=x+\sigma W_s+\sum_{k:\tau_{1,k}\le s}\delta_{1,k}+\sum_{k:\tau_{2,k}\le s}\delta_{2,k}.Xs​=x+σWs​+k:τ1,k​≤s∑​δ1,k​+k:τ2,k​≤s∑​δ2,k​.

Player 1 earns the running payoff f1(Xs)=Xs−s1f_1(X_s)=X_s-s_1f1​(Xs​)=Xs​−s1​, player 2 earns f2(Xs)=s2−Xsf_2(X_s)=s_2-X_sf2​(Xs​)=s2​−Xs​, with s1<s2s_1<s_2s1​<s2​. An impulse δ\deltaδ costs its author c+λ∣δ∣c+\lambda|\delta|c+λ∣δ∣ and pays the opponent c~+λ~∣δ∣\tilde c+\tilde\lambda|\delta|c~+λ~∣δ∣. Payoffs are discounted at rate ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0. The standing assumptions are c≥c~≥0c\ge\tilde c\ge0c≥c~≥0, λ≥λ~≥0\lambda\ge\tilde\lambda\ge0λ≥λ~≥0, (c,λ)≠(c~,λ~)(c,\lambda)\ne(\tilde c,\tilde\lambda)(c,λ)=(c~,λ~) and 1−λρ>01-\lambda\rho>01−λρ>0.

A strategy of player iii is a pair φi=(Ci,ξi)\varphi_i=(\mathcal C_i,\xi_i)φi​=(Ci​,ξi​): an open continuation region Ci⊆R\mathcal C_i\subseteq\mathbb RCi​⊆R and a continuous impulse map ξi:R→Zi\xi_i:\mathbb R\to Z_iξi​:R→Zi​. Player iii intervenes when the state leaves Ci\mathcal C_iCi​, applying the impulse ξi(state)\xi_i(\text{state})ξi​(state); player 1 has priority when both want to act. This rule defines the controlled process Xx;φ1,φ2X^{x;\varphi_1,\varphi_2}Xx;φ1​,φ2​ and the interventions (τi,k,δi,k)(\tau_{i,k},\delta_{i,k})(τi,k​,δi,k​) inductively. Player iii's payoff is

Ji(x;φ1,φ2)=Ex[∫0∞e−ρsfi(Xs) ds−∑ke−ρτi,k(c+λ∣δi,k∣)+∑ke−ρτj,k(c~+λ~∣δj,k∣)].J^i(x;\varphi_1,\varphi_2)=\mathbb E_x\Big[\int_0^\infty e^{-\rho s}f_i(X_s)\,ds-\sum_{k}e^{-\rho\tau_{i,k}}(c+\lambda|\delta_{i,k}|)+\sum_{k}e^{-\rho\tau_{j,k}}(\tilde c+\tilde\lambda|\delta_{j,k}|)\Big].Ji(x;φ1​,φ2​)=Ex​[∫0∞​e−ρsfi​(Xs​)ds−k∑​e−ρτi,k​(c+λ∣δi,k​∣)+k∑​e−ρτj,k​(c~+λ~∣δj,k​∣)].

A pair is xxx-admissible, (φ1,φ2)∈Φx(\varphi_1,\varphi_2)\in\Phi_x(φ1​,φ2​)∈Φx​, when these random variables are integrable, sup⁡t∣Xt∣\sup_t|X_t|supt​∣Xt​∣ has all moments, and neither player's interventions accumulate in finite time. A Nash equilibrium is an admissible pair from which no player gains by deviating to any strategy that keeps the pair admissible.

The explicit objects are θ=2ρ/σ2\theta=\sqrt{2\rho/\sigma^2}θ=2ρ/σ2​, η=(1−λρ)/ρ\eta=(1-\lambda\rho)/\rhoη=(1−λρ)/ρ and

F(y)=2y+θc−ηlog⁡η+yη−y,0<y<η.F(y)=2y+\theta c-\eta\log\frac{\eta+y}{\eta-y},\qquad 0<y<\eta .F(y)=2y+θc−ηlogη−yη+y​,0<y<η.

From the zero ξ\xiξ of FFF and a free parameter s~∈R\tilde s\in\mathbb Rs~∈R, the formulas (4.20)–(4.21) give thresholds xˉ1<xˉ2\bar x_1<\bar x_2xˉ1​<xˉ2​, targets x1∗,x2∗∈]xˉ1,xˉ2[x_1^*,x_2^*\in]\bar x_1,\bar x_2[x1∗​,x2∗​∈]xˉ1​,xˉ2​[, coefficients AijA_{ij}Aij​, the functions φi(y)=Ai1eθy+Ai2e−θy±(y−si)/ρ\varphi_i(y)=A_{i1}e^{\theta y}+A_{i2}e^{-\theta y}\pm(y-s_i)/\rhoφi​(y)=Ai1​eθy+Ai2​e−θy±(y−si​)/ρ and the piecewise candidates V~1,V~2\tilde V_1,\tilde V_2V~1​,V~2​ of (4.6). These are linear outside ]xˉ1,xˉ2[]\bar x_1,\bar x_2[]xˉ1​,xˉ2​[ and equal φi\varphi_iφi​ inside.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.7

For every s~∈R\tilde s\in\mathbb Rs~∈R and every initial state x∈Rx\in\mathbb Rx∈R, the threshold strategies

φ1∗=(]xˉ1,+∞[, y↦max⁡(x1∗−y,0)),φ2∗=(]−∞,xˉ2[, y↦min⁡(x2∗−y,0))\varphi_1^*=\big(]\bar x_1,+\infty[,\ y\mapsto\max(x_1^*-y,0)\big),\qquad \varphi_2^*=\big(]-\infty,\bar x_2[,\ y\mapsto\min(x_2^*-y,0)\big)φ1∗​=(]xˉ1​,+∞[, y↦max(x1∗​−y,0)),φ2∗​=(]−∞,xˉ2​[, y↦min(x2∗​−y,0))

form an xxx-admissible Nash equilibrium, and

J1(x;φ1∗,φ2∗)=V~1(x),J2(x;φ1∗,φ2∗)=V~2(x).J^1(x;\varphi_1^*,\varphi_2^*)=\tilde V_1(x),\qquad J^2(x;\varphi_1^*,\varphi_2^*)=\tilde V_2(x).J1(x;φ1∗​,φ2∗​)=V~1​(x),J2(x;φ1∗​,φ2∗​)=V~2​(x).

Milestones

  1. (4.17). FFF has a unique zero ξ∈(0,η)\xi\in(0,\eta)ξ∈(0,η).
  2. Proposition 4.2. For every s~\tilde ss~, the explicit 8-uple (4.20) satisfies the order conditions (4.7) and the optimality and pasting conditions (4.8)–(4.9). Moreover, φ2′′\varphi_2''φ2′′​ changes sign exactly once in ]x2∗,xˉ2[]x_2^*,\bar x_2[]x2∗​,xˉ2​[.
  3. Lemma 4.6. The impulses (4.23) maximise δ↦V~i(x+δ)−c−λ∣δ∣\delta\mapsto\tilde V_i(x+\delta)-c-\lambda|\delta|δ↦V~i​(x+δ)−c−λ∣δ∣, and the intervention operators satisfy (4.24): {M1V~1−V~1<0}=]xˉ1,∞[\{\mathcal M_1\tilde V_1-\tilde V_1<0\}=]\bar x_1,\infty[{M1​V~1​−V~1​<0}=]xˉ1​,∞[ and {M2V~2−V~2<0}=]−∞,xˉ2[\{\mathcal M_2\tilde V_2-\tilde V_2<0\}=]-\infty,\bar x_2[{M2​V~2​−V~2​<0}=]−∞,xˉ2​[.
  4. Condition (v). The equilibrium pair is xxx-admissible for every xxx. This includes the integrability (4.26) of the discounted intervention costs.

Milestones 1–3 are deterministic real analysis; milestone 4 and the goal are probabilistic.

Significance

The result gives explicit equilibria, with explicit thresholds and payoffs, for a nonzero-sum stochastic game with impulse controls. Such games rarely have closed-form solutions. The equilibria form a continuum indexed by s~\tilde ss~: equilibrium payoffs are not unique, and every equilibrium in the family is a translate of a fixed interval policy. The explicit formulas also support the comparative statics of Section 4.4, where the continuation region widens as the fixed cost grows.

Proposition 4.7 is proved in the paper by applying its verification theorem (Theorem 3.3) to V~1,V~2\tilde V_1,\tilde V_2V~1​,V~2​. The admissibility estimate (4.26) is written out only for initial states x∈{x1∗,x2∗}x\in\{x_1^*,x_2^*\}x∈{x1∗​,x2∗​}; the general case is said to be similar. As far as is known, none of these results has a machine-checked proof. A formal proof would check every regularity, pasting and admissibility condition. It would also yield a reusable pathwise construction of impulse-controlled Brownian motion.

Difficulty

The deterministic milestones need careful algebra with nested logarithms and square roots. Proving Lemma 4.6 requires the global shape of V~i(y)±λy\tilde V_i(y)\pm\lambda yV~i​(y)±λy, which needs the sign pattern of φ2′′\varphi_2''φ2′′​ from Proposition 4.2, not only local conditions at the thresholds.

The goal is harder. The Nash inequality must hold against every admissible deviation: any open continuation region and any continuous impulse map, not only threshold strategies. Comparing payoffs therefore needs a verification argument, namely Itô's formula for a function that is C2C^2C2 only piecewise and C1C^1C1 across the thresholds, applied along a process with an unbounded number of jumps, plus a localisation that uses the moment condition (2.8). Admissibility needs a renewal-type bound on the discounted number of interventions, built from i.i.d. exit times of Brownian motion from an interval.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace ImpulseGames.LinearGame.

  • The constants and standing assumptions are a structure Model with the proposition Model.Standing. The added hypothesis c>0c>0c>0 appears in every statement that uses ξ\xiξ: with c=0c=0c=0, which the standing assumptions allow, FFF has no zero in (0,η)(0,\eta)(0,η) and the family (4.20) does not exist.
  • The zero ξ\xiξ is a parameter, constrained by ξ∈(0,η)\xi\in(0,\eta)ξ∈(0,η) and F(ξ)=0F(\xi)=0F(ξ)=0. Milestone 1 shows that exactly one such ξ\xiξ exists.
  • The Brownian motion is Mathlib's IsBrownianReal W P on a probability space, with time in R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. Definition 2.2 is formalized pathwise: exit times inf⁡{s>τ~k−1:X~sk−1∉Ci}\inf\{s>\tilde\tau_{k-1}:\tilde X^{k-1}_s\notin\mathcal C_i\}inf{s>τ~k−1​:X~sk−1​∈/Ci​} in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with inf⁡∅=∞\inf\emptyset=\inftyinf∅=∞, the tie rule favouring player 1, and e−ρ⋅∞=0e^{-\rho\cdot\infty}=0e−ρ⋅∞=0 for the tail of each impulse control. No SDE or stochastic integral appears in any statement; the uncontrolled dynamics are ζ+σ(Ws−Wt)\zeta+\sigma(W_s-W_t)ζ+σ(Ws​−Wt​).
  • Payoffs are Bochner expectations. Φx\Phi_xΦx​ requires every random variable of (2.7) to be integrable, so no deviation can obtain the default value 000 of a non-integrable expectation. The moment condition (2.8) is stated with an extended-real supremum, and (2.9) is read almost surely.
  • The Nash condition quantifies over all strategies of Definition 2.1. A formalization that restricts deviations to threshold strategies would be a different, weaker theorem and is excluded. Likewise, the equilibrium payoffs V~i\tilde V_iV~i​ are the explicit formulas (4.6), never defined as "the equilibrium value".

Two slips of the page are corrected. First, the paper's impulse maps ξi∗(y)=xi∗−y\xi_i^*(y)=x_i^*-yξi∗​(y)=xi∗​−y are not ZiZ_iZi​-valued on all of R\mathbb RR; they are replaced by max⁡(x1∗−y,0)\max(x_1^*-y,0)max(x1∗​−y,0) and min⁡(x2∗−y,0)\min(x_2^*-y,0)min(x2∗​−y,0), which agree with them wherever each player acts. Second, in Lemma 4.6 the maximiser (4.23) is not unique when λ=λ~\lambda=\tilde\lambdaλ=λ~, in the opponent's intervention region (all impulses tie there). The statement asserts maximality everywhere and uniqueness outside that region.

A complete development needs: elementary real analysis for milestones 1–3; a pathwise theory of piecewise-defined processes; an Itô formula for Brownian motion with C1C^1C1, piecewise-C2C^2C2 functions; and exit-time estimates for Brownian motion. The last two are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of the deterministic milestones are welcome independently of the stochastic part.

Selected references

  • R. Aïd, M. Basei, G. Callegaro, L. Campi, T. Vargiolu, Nonzero-sum stochastic differential games with impulse controls: a verification theorem with applications, Mathematics of Operations Research 45(1), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2019.0989 (accepted manuscript: arXiv:1605.00039v4, https://arxiv.org/abs/1605.00039)
  • G. Bertola, W. J. Runggaldier, K. Yasuda, On classical and restricted impulse stochastic control for the exchange rate, Applied Mathematics and Optimization 74(2), 423–454, 2016.
  • A. Cadenillas, F. Zapatero, Classical and impulse stochastic control of the exchange rate using interest rates and reserves, Mathematical Finance 10(2), 141–156, 2000.
  • B. Øksendal, A. Sulem, Applied Stochastic Control of Jump Diffusions, 2nd ed., Springer, 2007.
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Discounted Dynamic Programming: An Optimal Stationary Plan Exists When the Action Set Is Essentially FiniteResearch Paper

Motivation

Sequential decisions often change the distribution of future states. A planner choosing an action today must account for both its immediate reward and the later rewards made possible by the resulting state. The mathematical question is whether an optimal rule can be chosen once and reused at every stage, even when a competing plan may randomize and use the entire observed history. In Discounted Dynamic Programming, Blackwell studies this question on general Borel state and action spaces, beyond the finite models in which a direct comparison of actions is available.

The paper distinguishes several strengths of optimality. For each distribution of the initial state, an approximately optimal stationary plan exists, but a single plan that is approximately optimal at every initial state need not exist in a general Borel problem. Essential countability of the actions restores uniform approximate stationary optimality; essential finiteness yields exact stationary optimality. These are different mathematical claims, and the mission keeps their different quantifiers visible. Blackwell 1965, pp. 227, 229, 232–234.

Setting

A state is an element sss of a nonempty standard Borel space SSS, and an action is an element aaa of a nonempty standard Borel space AAA. The transition kernel q(⋅∣s,a)q(\cdot\mid s,a)q(⋅∣s,a) gives a probability distribution for the next state after action aaa in state sss. The reward r(s,a,s′)∈Rr(s,a,s')\in\mathbb Rr(s,a,s′)∈R may depend on that next state s′s's′; it is bounded and Borel measurable. Future rewards are discounted by β\betaβ with 0≤β<10\le\beta<10≤β<1. These are the objects of Blackwell’s Sections 2–3. Blackwell 1965, pp. 227–228.

A plan π=(π1,π2,…)\pi=(\pi_1,\pi_2,\ldots)π=(π1​,π2​,…) assigns a probability distribution of actions to each possible history before a decision. At stage nnn, that history contains n−1n-1n−1 completed state-action pairs and the current state. Thus plans may randomize and depend on earlier states and actions. A Markov plan instead uses a Borel function fn:S→Af_n:S\to Afn​:S→A at each stage; a stationary plan uses the same function fff at every stage and is denoted f(∞)f^{(\infty)}f(∞). Starting from state sss, the plan has discounted expected return

I(π)(s)=∑n=1∞βn−1 Esπ[r(σn,αn,σn+1)].I(\pi)(s)=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\beta^{n-1}\,\mathbb E_s^\pi\bigl[r(\sigma_n,\alpha_n,\sigma_{n+1})\bigr].I(π)(s)=n=1∑∞​βn−1Esπ​[r(σn​,αn​,σn+1​)].

Here σn\sigma_nσn​ and αn\alpha_nαn​ are the state and action at stage nnn. The comparison class for an optimal plan is all such plans, including randomized and history-dependent ones. Blackwell 1965, pp. 228–229.

Two actions are equivalent at state sss when they have the same reward r(s,a,s′)r(s,a,s')r(s,a,s′) for every next state s′s's′ and the same transition measure q(⋅∣s,a)q(\cdot\mid s,a)q(⋅∣s,a). An action set is essentially countable by a Markov plan (f1,f2,…)(f_1,f_2,\ldots)(f1​,f2​,…) if, for every (s,a)(s,a)(s,a), one of the actions fn(s)f_n(s)fn​(s) is equivalent to aaa at sss. It is essentially finite by that plan if SSS has a countable Borel partition (Sn)(S_n)(Sn​) such that, for s∈Sns\in S_ns∈Sn​, one of f1(s),…,fn(s)f_1(s),\ldots,f_n(s)f1​(s),…,fn​(s) is equivalent to every action aaa at sss. A finite action set is a special case. Blackwell 1965, pp. 233–234.

Formalization targets

For a probability distribution ppp on SSS and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, (p,ε)(p,\varepsilon)(p,ε)-optimality asks for a stationary fff with

p{s:I(π)(s)>I(f(∞))(s)+ε}=0for every plan π.p\{s:I(\pi)(s)>I(f^{(\infty)})(s)+\varepsilon\}=0\qquad\text{for every plan }\pi.p{s:I(π)(s)>I(f(∞))(s)+ε}=0for every plan π.

Theorem 6(b) asserts that such an fff always exists. Under essential countability, Theorem 7(a) obtains a stronger, uniform ε\varepsilonε-optimality statement: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a stationary fff with I(π)(s)≤I(f(∞))(s)+εI(\pi)(s)\le I(f^{(\infty)})(s)+\varepsilonI(π)(s)≤I(f(∞))(s)+ε for all π,s\pi,sπ,s. Its other targets identify the optimal return with the fixed point of the operator Uπu=sup⁡nTfnuU_\pi u=\sup_nT_{f_n}uUπ​u=supn​Tfn​​u and with the unique bounded solution of the optimality equation u=sup⁡a∈ATauu=\sup_{a\in A}T_auu=supa∈A​Ta​u. Blackwell 1965, pp. 232–234.

The mission’s goal is Theorem 7(b). Under essential finiteness, it asks for a stationary fff with exact optimality:

I(π)(s)≤I(f(∞))(s)for every plan π and state s.I(\pi)(s)\le I(f^{(\infty)})(s)\qquad\text{for every plan }\pi\text{ and state }s.I(π)(s)≤I(f(∞))(s)for every plan π and state s.

The milestone list also includes the paper’s operator identity, approximate selection result, contraction criterion, generated-plan comparison, and upper-bound criterion. Each has its own source index and statement. Blackwell 1965, pp. 231–234.

Significance

The exact result says that, under a condition weaker than a globally finite action set, repeated use of one measurable state-based rule matches or exceeds the return of every adaptive randomized plan. It is a structural result about what information and randomization can add to discounted control. The preceding approximate results specify what can still be guaranteed when that condition is relaxed; Blackwell’s examples show that the distinctions cannot simply be ignored. Blackwell 1965, pp. 229–230, 234.

Blackwell proved these statements in 1965. The formalization work here is to give machine-checked proofs for the Borel-space model and its full comparison class, together with reusable definitions of history-dependent kernels, returns, stationary rules, and Bellman operators. The draft theorem statements compile as Lean declarations, but their proofs remain open. The milestone results are intended to make both the final theorem and its supporting measure-theoretic objects independently usable.

Difficulty

On an uncountable Borel action space, the pointwise supremum of available action values does not automatically come with a Borel action selector. Choosing a maximizing action separately at each state may fail to define a measurable rule, and a supremum need not be attained. Also, a Markov or stationary comparison cannot by itself certify optimality against plans that depend on full histories. These issues are real in the paper’s examples: general Borel problems may lack an ε\varepsilonε-optimal plan, and a given plan need not be uniformly approximated by a Markov plan. Blackwell 1965, pp. 229–230.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses nonempty StandardBorelSpace types for SSS and AAA. “Baire function” is read as Borel measurable on these metrizable spaces. The problem stores a Markov transition kernel, a bounded measurable real reward on S×A×SS\times A\times SS×A×S, and 0≤β<10\le\beta<10≤β<1; β=0\beta=0β=0 is included. A plan contains a probability kernel on each finite history, and the return is the actual absolutely convergent series of expected one-stage rewards. The first decision is indexed by 000 in Lean, corresponding to the paper’s index 111. The finite history law is assembled through kernel composition products, and a stationary rule is represented by deterministic kernels. The integrals and series therefore express the paper’s expected return, including the cases where the reward depends on the next state.

For the operator results, M(S)M(S)M(S) means bounded and measurable real functions. The suprema defining UπU_\piUπ​ and the optimal return are real suprema over nonempty families bounded by the reward and discount; they are used only in that setting. The abstract operator in Theorem 5 maps M(S)M(S)M(S) into itself. The action equivalence predicate uses the paper’s explicit equality of reward functions and transition laws; the later “i.e.” phrasing on p. 234 is weaker when interpreted as equality of operators alone. A partition piece may be empty, and Lean’s piece nnn corresponds to the paper’s Sn+1S_{n+1}Sn+1​, with rules f1,…,fn+1f_1,\ldots,f_{n+1}f1​,…,fn+1​.

An optimality claim here always compares with every randomized history-dependent plan. Restricting that quantifier to Markov or stationary plans would trivialize the target. A complete development needs measure-theoretic facts about history laws and their bounded integrals, the discounted series, measurable partitions and selections, and the sup-norm contraction of bounded Borel functions. The history-law and bounded-function infrastructure can be reused outside this mission. Contributions to those foundations and to the numbered milestone theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • David Blackwell, Discounted Dynamic Programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 36(1), 226–235, 1965. DOI: 10.1214/aoms/1177700285.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryGraph TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation II: Two Players with a Common Terminal in an Undirected Graph Have Price of Stability at Most 4/3, and This Is TightResearch Paper

Motivation

In network design games, selfish users build a shared network and split the cost of every edge among the users of that edge. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 38 (2008), DOI 10.1137/070680096) studied the fair connection game, in which the cost of an edge is shared equally (the Shapley value) among its users. In this game the worst equilibrium can cost kkk times the optimum, so the relevant measure is the price of stability: the ratio between the cheapest pure Nash equilibrium and the optimal centralized design. Their Theorem 2.1 bounds it by the harmonic number H(k)=1+12+⋯+1kH(k)=1+\frac12+\dots+\frac1kH(k)=1+21​+⋯+k1​ in every directed graph, and that bound is tight for directed graphs.

For undirected graphs the paper notes that H(k)H(k)H(k) is not tight and calls the correct bound "an interesting open problem". Its Section 4 settles the smallest case: two players with a common terminal. The general theorem gives H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2 there; Claim 4.1 improves this to 4/34/34/3, and a three-node example shows that 4/34/34/3 is the right value.

Timeline. Rosenthal (1973) showed that congestion games have pure Nash equilibria through a potential function. Anshelevich et al. (FOCS 2004; journal version 2008) introduced the price of stability for the fair connection game, proved the H(k)H(k)H(k) bound and the two-player undirected bound 4/34/34/3 treated here. Subsequent work studied the undirected multi-player case, which remains without a matching upper and lower bound in general.

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be a finite undirected simple graph, with a cost ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0 on every edge eee. There are two players, a common terminal s∈Vs\in Vs∈V and personal terminals t1,t2∈Vt_1,t_2\in Vt1​,t2​∈V. A strategy of player iii is a set of edges Si⊆ES_i\subseteq ESi​⊆E that connects tit_iti​ with sss: in the graph (V,Si)(V,S_i)(V,Si​), tit_iti​ and sss lie in the same connected component. A profile is a pair S=(S1,S2)S=(S_1,S_2)S=(S1​,S2​) of strategies.

Under fair cost sharing each edge is paid for equally by the players using it. With xe∈{1,2}x_e\in\{1,2\}xe​∈{1,2} the number of players whose strategy contains eee, player iii pays

Ci(S)=∑e∈Sicexe.C_i(S)=\sum_{e\in S_i}\frac{c_e}{x_e}.Ci​(S)=e∈Si​∑​xe​ce​​.

A pure Nash equilibrium is a profile in which no player can lower its payment by switching to another strategy while the other player's strategy stays fixed. The total cost of a profile is the cost of the network it builds,

cost(S)=∑e∈S1∪S2ce.\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{e\in S_1\cup S_2}c_e .cost(S)=e∈S1​∪S2​∑​ce​.

For a set FFF of edges write cost(F)=∑e∈Fce\mathrm{cost}(F)=\sum_{e\in F}c_ecost(F)=∑e∈F​ce​. For a profile (S1,S2)(S_1,S_2)(S1​,S2​), the quantities x1=cost(S1∖S2)x_1=\mathrm{cost}(S_1\setminus S_2)x1​=cost(S1​∖S2​), x2=cost(S2∖S1)x_2=\mathrm{cost}(S_2\setminus S_1)x2​=cost(S2​∖S1​) and x3=cost(S1∩S2)x_3=\mathrm{cost}(S_1\cap S_2)x3​=cost(S1​∩S2​) split the total cost into the private and the shared parts.

The game is an instance of a congestion game, with per-user latency ce/xc_e/xce​/x on edge eee; the mission builds on the published congestion-game layer CongestionPoA.AsymSum.Model.

Formalization targets

Goal: Claim 4.1 and its tightness

If the game has a profile, then some pure Nash equilibrium SSS satisfies

cost(S) ≤ 43 cost(P)for every profile P.\mathrm{cost}(S)\ \le\ \tfrac43\,\mathrm{cost}(P)\qquad\text{for every profile }P.cost(S) ≤ 34​cost(P)for every profile P.

Moreover, in the three-node example (nodes s,t1,t2s,t_1,t_2s,t1​,t2​, edges (s,t1),(s,t2)(s,t_1),(s,t_2)(s,t1​),(s,t2​) of cost 222, edge (t1,t2)(t_1,t_2)(t1​,t2​) of cost 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε, with 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1) the cheapest pure Nash equilibrium costs exactly 444 and the optimum costs exactly 3+ε3+\varepsilon3+ε, so the ratio 4/(3+ε)4/(3+\varepsilon)4/(3+ε) approaches 4/34/34/3.

Milestones

  1. (4.1). From every profile (S1,S2)(S_1,S_2)(S1​,S2​), some pure Nash equilibrium (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​) has y1+y2+32y3≤x1+x2+32x3y_1+y_2+\frac32y_3\le x_1+x_2+\frac32x_3y1​+y2​+23​y3​≤x1​+x2​+23​x3​, where yiy_iyi​ are the quantities of (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​).
  2. Deviation inequalities. If (S1′,S2′)(S'_1,S'_2)(S1′​,S2′​) is a Nash equilibrium and each SiS_iSi​ is an inclusion-minimal strategy, then y1+y32≤x1+x2+y22+y32y_1+\frac{y_3}2\le x_1+x_2+\frac{y_2}2+\frac{y_3}2y1​+2y3​​≤x1​+x2​+2y2​​+2y3​​ and symmetrically for player 2.
  3. (4.2). Under the same hypotheses, y12+y22≤2x1+2x2\frac{y_1}2+\frac{y_2}2\le 2x_1+2x_22y1​​+2y2​​≤2x1​+2x2​.
  4. The three-node example, as in the second half of the goal.

Significance

The result shows that the price of stability of fair cost sharing depends on the network: the H(k)H(k)H(k) bound, tight for directed graphs, is not tight for undirected ones even with two players. It is the first undirected bound below H(k)H(k)H(k) and the starting point for the later study of undirected fair network design, where the question for many players is still open.

The theorem is proved in the paper; this mission formalizes it. A search of the Prove2Me library found no formalization of the price of stability of fair connection games. Beyond the theorem itself, the mission produces a reusable undirected layer over the congestion-game library: connectivity strategies stated with Mathlib's graph reachability, fair cost sharing as a congestion game, and the total-cost functional. A checked proof of the potential inequality (4.1) is the two-player case of the potential argument behind Theorem 2.1.

Difficulty

The obvious argument starts from an optimal solution, follows improving moves to an equilibrium and compares potentials. For two players this only yields the factor H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2H(2)=3/2: the potential counts shared edges with weight 3/23/23/2, so a potential inequality alone cannot rule out an equilibrium in which both players share expensive edges. The improvement to 4/34/34/3 needs a second inequality, (4.2), obtained from a specific deviation of each player in the equilibrium, and that deviation is valid only because of the undirected structure: the private parts of the two optimal paths together connect t1t_1t1​ with t2t_2t2​, and the deviating player can then follow the other player's equilibrium route to sss. Making this connectivity claim precise for edge sets rather than drawn paths is where the formal work lies. It holds when the optimal strategies are inclusion-minimal, which is why the deviation milestones carry that hypothesis.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices form a Fintype with decidable equality; edges are unordered pairs Sym2 V; the graph is a SimpleGraph V. Edge costs are a real function c with 0 ≤ c e for every e.
  • A strategy of player i : Fin 2 (the paper's players 1 and 2 are 0 and 1) is a Finset of edges contained in G.edgeSet such that t i and s are Reachable in SimpleGraph.fromEdgeSet. Strategies are not restricted to paths.
  • The game is a CongestionGame from CongestionPoA.AsymSum.Model with latency ce/xc_e/xce​/x; profiles, player costs and pure Nash equilibria are that library's IsProfile, cost and IsPureNash.
  • "Price of stability at most 4/34/34/3" is stated in existence form: some pure Nash equilibrium costs at most 43\frac4334​ times every profile. A formalization quantifying over all equilibria would be false (the price of anarchy is 222), and one dropping the Nash condition would be trivial; neither is acceptable. The tightness half fixes a concrete instance and asserts both that an equilibrium of cost 444 exists and that every equilibrium costs at least 444.
  • The deviation inequalities and (4.2) assume inclusion-minimal reference strategies; this hypothesis is implicit in the paper and does not appear in the goal, which quantifies over all profiles.

Contributions welcome: a proof of the potential inequality (finite improvement paths in the two-player fair game), the graph-theoretic lemma that the symmetric difference of two simple paths with a common endpoint connects their other endpoints, and a computation of the three-node example.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A class of games possessing pure-strategy Nash equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2:65–67, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14(1):124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, The price of anarchy of finite congestion games, STOC 2005, 67–73. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network III: Sigmoid Networks with Small Weights GeneralizeResearch Paper

Motivation

A classifier built from a neural network produces a real score and predicts a binary label from its sign. A network can have many hidden units, so a guarantee based only on the number of parameters can be uninformative even when its output weights are small. Bartlett's 1998 paper asks whether a classifier's margin on training examples and the total magnitude of its weights can control its probability of error without fixing the number of units. Its Theorem 28 gives such a statement for two-layer networks whose activation is bounded and nondecreasing. The paper also discusses why this parameter-magnitude view supports weight decay and early stopping as learning heuristics, while leaving their algorithmic behavior outside the theorem's scope (Bartlett 1998, pp. 526, 534–535).

The theorem combines two results in the same paper. Theorem 2 turns the fat-shattering dimension of a real-valued function class into a margin generalization bound. Corollary 24 controls that dimension for finite combinations of affine-input units when the sum of the absolute combination weights is bounded. Lemmas 19, 22, and 23 supply covering estimates along that path. These are the milestones of this mission, with the source statements preserved in the milestone record (Bartlett 1998, pp. 527, 532–534).

Setting

An input is a vector x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn, represented in Lean as Fin n → ℝ. A label is y∈{−1,+1}y\in\{-1,+1\}y∈{−1,+1}; Lean's Bool is converted by pm, where true means +1+1+1. A probability distribution PPP lives on labeled inputs. From an independent sample z=((xi,yi))i=1mz=((x_i,y_i))_{i=1}^mz=((xi​,yi​))i=1m​, the empirical margin error at scale γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is the fraction of indices with yih(xi)<γy_i h(x_i)<\gammayi​h(xi​)<γ. The population error is the probability that sgn⁡(h(x))≠y\operatorname{sgn}(h(x))\ne ysgn(h(x))=y, where sgn⁡(0)=+1\operatorname{sgn}(0)=+1sgn(0)=+1. The inequality in the empirical error is strict, as in the paper's definition (Bartlett 1998, p. 526).

Fix a bounded nondecreasing activation σ:R→[−1,1]\sigma:\mathbb R\to[-1,1]σ:R→[−1,1]. The first-layer class FFF contains every x↦σ(w⋅x+w0)x\mapsto\sigma(w\cdot x+w_0)x↦σ(w⋅x+w0​), with an arbitrary weight vector and bias. The network class HHH contains all finite sums ∑i=1Nαifi\sum_{i=1}^N\alpha_i f_i∑i=1N​αi​fi​ with fi∈Ff_i\in Ffi​∈F and ∑i∣αi∣≤A\sum_i|\alpha_i|\le A∑i​∣αi​∣≤A. Thus AAA bounds the output layer's total weight magnitude, while NNN can vary without an imposed width limit. The bias w0w_0w0​ is part of every unit. For a class GGG, fat⁡G(η)\operatorname{fat}_G(\eta)fatG​(η) records the largest length of an input sequence whose every sign pattern can be realized with separation at least η\etaη around one vector of thresholds (Bartlett 1998, pp. 526, 533–534).

Formalization targets

Two-layer generalization

For 0<γ≤10<\gamma\le10<γ≤1, 0<δ<1/20<\delta<1/20<δ<1/2, A≥1A\ge1A≥1, and an independent sample of length m≥1m\ge1m≥1, the goal is one universal c>0c>0c>0 such that, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H satisfies

er⁡P(h)<er⁡^zγ(h)+cm(A2nγ2log⁡ ⁣(32Aγ)(log⁡m)2+log⁡ ⁣(1δ)).\operatorname{er}_P(h)<\widehat{\operatorname{er}}_z^\gamma(h)+ \sqrt{\frac{c}{m}\left( \frac{A^2n}{\gamma^2}\log\!\left(\frac{32A}{\gamma}\right)(\log m)^2+ \log\!\left(\frac1\delta\right)\right)}.erP​(h)<erzγ​(h)+mc​(γ2A2n​log(γ32A​)(logm)2+log(δ1​))​.

The paper prints log⁡(A/γ)\log(A/\gamma)log(A/γ) in this display. That term vanishes at A=γ=1A=\gamma=1A=γ=1, although the class can then contain halfspace classifiers with nonzero sample complexity. The proof obtains a positive factor at that corner through Corollary 24 at scale γ/16\gamma/16γ/16, giving log⁡(32A/γ)\log(32A/\gamma)log(32A/γ). The goal states this correction and records the printed statement separately in the moderation notes. The constant precedes all network, distribution, margin, confidence, and sample parameters in Lean; it cannot be selected after observing the instance (Bartlett 1998, pp. 533–534).

Capacity and margin milestones

Corollary 24 bounds fat⁡H(η)\operatorname{fat}_H(\eta)fatH​(η) by a constant multiple of M2A2nη−2log⁡(MA/η)M^2A^2n\eta^{-2}\log(MA/\eta)M2A2nη−2log(MA/η) when the activation has range [−M/2,M/2][-M/2,M/2][−M/2,M/2]. Theorem 2 then converts a finite fat dimension at scale γ/16\gamma/16γ/16 into a simultaneous bound on population error for all members of HHH. The three covering lemmas track how shattering, pseudodimension, and an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ weight budget affect covers in sample ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​, ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​, and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ distances. Each bound retains the scale and explicit constants printed by the paper, subject to the stated corrections to undefined or false boundary cases (Bartlett 1998, pp. 527, 532–533).

Significance

The goal gives a width-independent generalization guarantee for a chosen network when its empirical margin error and total output weight are small. It applies to the entire class HHH at once, so choosing a network after inspecting the sample does not turn the bound into a claim about only one fixed predictor. It does not assert that a learning algorithm finds such a network or that the displayed constants are optimal. Bartlett notes that later work had improved a logarithmic factor, and that empirical agreement with neural-network performance remained an open experimental question at the time (Bartlett 1998, pp. 534–535).

The paper proves the mathematical result. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of its corrected formal statement and the stated supporting results; the draft theorem files currently contain proof obligations. A completed development would also make the fat dimension and strict external sample-cover definitions available for other margin analyses. Those objects differ from the platform's fixed-architecture neural networks and closed-ball covering numbers, so they are defined here with the conventions of this paper.

Difficulty

Counting hidden units gives no finite width-independent capacity bound, because HHH permits arbitrarily many terms. Bounding each unit separately also does not control the full combination class: different small contributions can produce distinct values on a sample. The challenging step is relating covers of the base class to covers of all finite combinations under the total absolute-weight constraint, and then relating those covers back to fat-shattering. Even once a finite capacity estimate is available, the probability statement must hold simultaneously for every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, including a network selected after sampling (Bartlett 1998, pp. 532–534).

Formalization scope

Lean uses N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} for fat dimensions and covering numbers, so an unbounded class cannot acquire a spurious dimension zero. Covers are external finite sets of real functions and use the strict distance <ε<\varepsilon<ε of Definition 3. Sample ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ distances are normalized by mmm. Pseudodimension is the supremum of positive-scale fat dimensions, matching the paper's right limit. Theorems assume m≥1m\ge1m≥1, and sample indices are zero-based. The network class is generated from its weights rather than supplied as an arbitrary set satisfying the desired bound.

The paper says it ignores measurability issues and assumes all sets considered are measurable (Bartlett 1998, p. 526). The goal makes the event of a violating network measurable. Its individual network functions are measurable from monotonicity of σ\sigmaσ and finite sums; the restated Theorem 2 has explicit hypotheses for measurable class members, the violating event, and the double-sample event in its proof. Theorem 2 additionally restricts d=fat⁡H(γ/16)d=\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma/16)d=fatH​(γ/16) to d≤34md\le34md≤34m, where its printed logarithmic bound remains valid. Corollary 24 uses n≥1n\ge1n≥1 because a zero-dimensional input still permits a biased constant unit. Lemma 23 uses d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and 0<γ<emM/d0<\gamma<emM/d0<γ<emM/d in place of the printed γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0: at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0 or d=0d=0d=0, or for γ≥emM/d\gamma\ge emM/dγ≥emM/d, the printed strict inequality fails, while on the rest of the printed range it is kept. These are recorded as corrections rather than attributed to the printed wording.

The deeper-network part of Theorem 28 is outside this proposal. Its printed chain through Corollary 27 has an unresolved range issue when the input box bound BBB is smaller than the activation range, and the displayed log⁡n\log nlogn factor also vanishes at n=1n=1n=1. This mission's goal is Part 1 and uses none of those claims. Contributions that establish the corrected covering lemmas, the capacity corollary, or the simultaneous margin bound fit the present proof frontier (Bartlett 1998, pp. 533–534).

Selected references

  • P. L. Bartlett, The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 44(2), 525–536, 1998. DOI.
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case I: Finite-Horizon Abstract Dynamic Programming — the DP Algorithm Yields the N-Stage Optimal CostTextbook

Motivation

Dynamic programming (DP) solves sequential decision problems by backward recursion: compute the optimal cost of the last stage, then of the last two stages, and so on. For problems with finitely many states and controls and real-valued costs, the recursion obviously gives the optimal cost. Applications are rarely like that. Control spaces are continuous, costs can be unbounded or infinite, the criterion can be multiplicative (risk-sensitive exponential cost) or worst-case (minimax), and the set of policies is an infinite product of function spaces. In this setting the DP recursion can fail to produce the optimal cost.

Bertsekas and Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case (Academic Press 1978; Athena Scientific 1996), Part I, separates the order-theoretic content of DP from the measure theory. It works with an abstract monotone mapping HHH that covers deterministic, stochastic, multiplicative-cost and minimax problems at once, following Bertsekas, Monotone mappings with application in dynamic programming, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15 (1977). Chapter 3 answers the finite-horizon questions: when does the DP algorithm give the NNN-stage optimal cost, and when do optimal or nearly optimal policies exist? This mission is the first of a series formalizing the book. Later chapters (contraction models, monotone increase and decrease models, the Borel models of Part II) are built on the model fixed here.

Setting

Let SSS (states) and CCC (controls) be sets, and for each x∈Sx\in Sx∈S let U(x)⊆CU(x)\subseteq CU(x)⊆C be a nonempty control constraint set. Write R∗=[−∞,∞]R^*=[-\infty,\infty]R∗=[−∞,∞] and let FFF be the set of all functions J:S→R∗J:S\to R^*J:S→R∗, ordered pointwise. A mapping H:S×C×F→R∗H:S\times C\times F\to R^*H:S×C×F→R∗ is given, subject to the Monotonicity Assumption: J≤J′J\le J'J≤J′ implies H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′)H(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J')H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J′) for all x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, u∈U(x)u\in U(x)u∈U(x).

A selector is a function μ:S→C\mu:S\to Cμ:S→C with μ(x)∈U(x)\mu(x)\in U(x)μ(x)∈U(x) for all xxx. A policy is a sequence π=(μ0,μ1,… )\pi=(\mu_0,\mu_1,\dots)π=(μ0​,μ1​,…) of selectors. Define

Tμ(J)(x)=H[x,μ(x),J],T(J)(x)=inf⁡u∈U(x)H(x,u,J),T_\mu(J)(x)=H[x,\mu(x),J],\qquad T(J)(x)=\inf_{u\in U(x)}H(x,u,J),Tμ​(J)(x)=H[x,μ(x),J],T(J)(x)=u∈U(x)inf​H(x,u,J),

and let TkT^kTk be the kkk-fold composition of TTT. A terminal function J0∈FJ_0\in FJ0​∈F with J0(x)>−∞J_0(x)>-\inftyJ0​(x)>−∞ for all xxx is fixed. The NNN-stage cost of π\piπ and the NNN-stage optimal cost are

JN,π=(Tμ0Tμ1⋯TμN−1)(J0),JN∗(x)=inf⁡πJN,π(x).J_{N,\pi}=(T_{\mu_0}T_{\mu_1}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}})(J_0),\qquad J^*_N(x)=\inf_{\pi}J_{N,\pi}(x).JN,π​=(Tμ0​​Tμ1​​⋯TμN−1​​)(J0​),JN∗​(x)=πinf​JN,π​(x).

A policy is uniformly NNN-stage optimal if each tail (μi,μi+1,… )(\mu_i,\mu_{i+1},\dots)(μi​,μi+1​,…) is (N−i)(N-i)(N−i)-stage optimal, and NNN-stage ε\varepsilonε-optimal if JN,π(x)≤JN∗(x)+εJ_{N,\pi}(x)\le J^*_N(x)+\varepsilonJN,π​(x)≤JN∗​(x)+ε where JN∗(x)>−∞J^*_N(x)>-\inftyJN∗​(x)>−∞ and JN,π(x)≤−1/εJ_{N,\pi}(x)\le-1/\varepsilonJN,π​(x)≤−1/ε where JN∗(x)=−∞J^*_N(x)=-\inftyJN∗​(x)=−∞.

The three conditions on HHH used in the chapter are F.1 (continuity of HHH along nonincreasing sequences JkJ_kJk​ with H(x,u,J1)<∞H(x,u,J_1)<\inftyH(x,u,J1​)<∞), F.2 (there is α>0\alpha>0α>0 with H(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+r)≤H(x,u,J)+αrH(x,u,J)\le H(x,u,J+r)\le H(x,u,J)+\alpha rH(x,u,J)≤H(x,u,J+r)≤H(x,u,J)+αr for all r>0r>0r>0), and F.3 (a quantitative selection property with a constant β>0\beta>0β>0).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.1

Under F.1, if Jk,π(x)<∞J_{k,\pi}(x)<\inftyJk,π​(x)<∞ for all x,πx,\pix,π and k=1,…,Nk=1,\dots,Nk=1,…,N; or under F.2, if Jk∗(x)>−∞J^*_k(x)>-\inftyJk∗​(x)>−∞ for all xxx and k=1,…,Nk=1,\dots,Nk=1,…,N:

JN∗=TN(J0),J^*_N=T^N(J_0),JN∗​=TN(J0​),

and under F.2, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is πε\pi_\varepsilonπε​ with JN∗≤JN,πε≤JN∗+εJ^*_N\le J_{N,\pi_\varepsilon}\le J^*_N+\varepsilonJN∗​≤JN,πε​​≤JN∗​+ε.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.3: π∗\pi^*π∗ is uniformly NNN-stage optimal iff (Tμk∗TN−k−1)(J0)=TN−k(J0)(T_{\mu^*_k}T^{N-k-1})(J_0)=T^{N-k}(J_0)(Tμk∗​​TN−k−1)(J0​)=TN−k(J0​) for k<Nk<Nk<N. Needs monotonicity only.
  • Corollary 3.3.1: a uniformly NNN-stage optimal policy exists iff every infimum Tk+1(J0)(x)=inf⁡uH[x,u,Tk(J0)]T^{k+1}(J_0)(x)=\inf_{u}H[x,u,T^k(J_0)]Tk+1(J0​)(x)=infu​H[x,u,Tk(J0​)] is attained, and then JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​).
  • Proposition 3.4: if CCC is Hausdorff and every sublevel set {u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(J0)]≤λ}\{u\in U(x)\mid H[x,u,T^k(J_0)]\le\lambda\}{u∈U(x)∣H[x,u,Tk(J0​)]≤λ} is compact, then JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) and a uniformly NNN-stage optimal policy exists.
  • Proposition 3.7: the minimax mapping H(x,u,J)=sup⁡w∈W(x,u){g+αJ[f]}H(x,u,J)=\sup_{w\in W(x,u)}\{g+\alpha J[f]\}H(x,u,J)=supw∈W(x,u)​{g+αJ[f]} satisfies F.2 with constant α\alphaα.
  • Proposition 3.6: the multiplicative mapping H(x,u,J)=E{g J[f]∣x,u}H(x,u,J)=E\{g\,J[f]\mid x,u\}H(x,u,J)=E{gJ[f]∣x,u} over a countable disturbance set satisfies F.1, and F.2 with constant bbb when 0≤g≤b0\le g\le b0≤g≤b.
  • Proposition 3.2: under F.3 and the finiteness of Jk,πJ_{k,\pi}Jk,π​, JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) and, for εn↓0\varepsilon_n\downarrow0εn​↓0, policies with {εn}\{\varepsilon_n\}{εn​}-dominated convergence to optimality exist.
  • Corollary 3.7.1(a): for minimax control with J0=0J_0=0J0​=0 and Jk∗>−∞J^*_k>-\inftyJk∗​>−∞, the DP algorithm gives JN∗J^*_NJN∗​ and NNN-stage ε\varepsilonε-optimal policies exist.

Significance

The identity JN∗=TN(J0)J^*_N=T^N(J_0)JN∗​=TN(J0​) says that an infimum over an infinite-dimensional policy space equals NNN nested one-dimensional infima. Every numerical use of finite-horizon DP depends on it, and so do the infinite-horizon results of later chapters, which pass to the limit in TN(J0)T^N(J_0)TN(J0​). Corollary 3.3.1 and Proposition 3.4 give the existence of optimal policies, and Propositions 3.6 and 3.7 verify the abstract hypotheses for two models outside standard expected additive cost.

These results are proved in the book; none of them is formalized. Mathlib has no abstract DP model, and the platform's finite-horizon results (Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Prop. 1.3.1 and the minimax DP algorithm) assume finite disturbance and constraint sets and real costs. They are special cases, not this theory. The finite-horizon results of the 1977 paper (Lemma 3.1 here, on compact sublevel sets, and Corollary 3.1.1, the F.1′ case) are already posed on the platform and are not posed again.

Difficulty

The obvious argument interchanges the infimum over policies with the composition of operators: inf⁡πTμ0(⋯ )=T(inf⁡π′⋯ )\inf_\pi T_{\mu_0}(\cdots)=T(\inf_{\pi'}\cdots)infπ​Tμ0​​(⋯)=T(infπ′​⋯). The inequality TN(J0)≤JN∗T^N(J_0)\le J^*_NTN(J0​)≤JN∗​ follows from monotonicity alone. The reverse inequality is the content. Taking a near-minimizing selector at each stage requires either passing a limit inside HHH (F.1) or bounding how errors at later stages propagate through HHH (F.2, F.3). Both steps break at infinite values. With Jk∗(x)=−∞J^*_k(x)=-\inftyJk∗​(x)=−∞ there may be no ε\varepsilonε-optimal policy at all (Counterexample 4 of the book). Without F.1 or F.2 the identity itself fails (Counterexamples 1–3). A proof must therefore track separately the states where the optimal cost is −∞-\infty−∞, which is why F.3 and the definition of ε\varepsilonε-optimality have two cases.

Formalization scope

The model is a structure Model S C with fields U, U_nonempty, H : S → C → (S → EReal) → EReal and the monotonicity proof. Policies are ℕ → Selector, with selectors as a subtype of S → C. TNT^NTN is m.T^[N], and (Tμ0⋯TμN−1)(J)(T_{\mu_0}\cdots T_{\mu_{N-1}})(J)(Tμ0​​⋯TμN−1​​)(J) is a recursion that applies TμN−1T_{\mu_{N-1}}TμN−1​​ first. All values lie in EReal. The book's convention ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞ never arises in Propositions 3.1–3.4, which only add real numbers to extended reals. The minimax and multiplicative mappings implement it explicitly (badd, and an expectation that returns +∞+\infty+∞ when the positive part diverges). Every theorem assumes J0>−∞J_0>-\inftyJ0​>−∞ and N≥1N\ge1N≥1. Assumptions F.1–F.3 are predicates on the model. F.2 is also available with a named constant (F2With) so that Propositions 3.6 and 3.7 can carry the book's constants bbb and α\alphaα.

JN∗J^*_NJN∗​ is defined as an infimum over policies of the composed operators, never through TTT, so the goal is not true by definition. A formalization in which JN,πJ_{N,\pi}JN,π​ already contains an infimum over controls would make Proposition 3.1 hold by rfl, and this one rules that out.

Proving the goal needs elementary EReal order arithmetic, iterated infima over subtypes, and pointwise selection of near-minimizers via choice. Proposition 3.6 additionally needs monotone and dominated convergence for countable sums in ℝ≥0∞. The model and operator definitions are reusable by the later missions of the series (contraction, monotone increase and decrease models). Proofs of any milestone, and reusable EReal lemmas about shifting by real constants, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press 1978; Athena Scientific 1996, Chapters 2–3. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Monotone mappings with application in dynamic programming, SIAM J. Control Optim. 15(3) (1977) 438–464. https://doi.org/10.1137/0315031
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control, Academic Press 1976.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Abstract Dynamic Programming, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific 2022. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/abstractdp_MIT.html
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Dimensioning Large Call Centers III: Asymptotically Optimal Staffing in the Quality-Driven RegimeResearch Paper

Motivation

How many agents should a call center staff? Telephone call centers employ millions of people, and staffing is their largest cost, so the question is asked every half hour of every day (Gans, Koole & Mandelbaum, 2003). The classical model is the M/M/N (Erlang-C) queue: calls arrive at rate λ\lambdaλ, service times are exponential with mean 1/μ1/\mu1/μ, and NNN agents serve in parallel. Practitioners use the square-root safety staffing rule N≈λ/μ+yλ/μN \approx \lambda/\mu + y\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}N≈λ/μ+yλ/μ​, which Halfin and Whitt (1981) justified in the regime where the probability of waiting stays bounded away from 000 and 111.

Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; published as Operations Research 52(1), 2004) asked when such a rule is actually optimal: given a staffing cost and a waiting cost, which staffing level minimizes total cost as the arrival rate grows? They identified three regimes according to how the two costs compare. This mission formalizes their third case, the quality-driven regime, in which waiting is so expensive relative to staffing that the optimal number of agents exceeds the offered load by more than any fixed multiple of its square root.

Setting

Fix a service rate μ>0\mu > 0μ>0. For every arrival rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 a waiting-cost function DλD_\lambdaDλ​ assigns cost Dλ(t)D_\lambda(t)Dλ​(t) to a wait of ttt time units; it satisfies Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0) = 0Dλ​(0)=0, is strictly increasing, and t↦Dλ(t)e−θtt \mapsto D_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}t↦Dλ​(t)e−θt is integrable on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for every θ>0\theta > 0θ>0. A staffing cost FFF, defined for real N>0N > 0N>0, is convex and strictly increasing.

For an integer N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ the probability of waiting is the Erlang-C formula

π(N,ν)=νNN!{(1−ν/N)∑n=0N−1νnn!+νNN!}−1,ν=λ/μ,\pi(N,\nu) = \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Bigl\{(1-\nu/N)\sum_{n=0}^{N-1}\frac{\nu^n}{n!} + \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Bigr\}^{-1},\qquad \nu = \lambda/\mu,π(N,ν)=N!νN​{(1−ν/N)n=0∑N−1​n!νn​+N!νN​}−1,ν=λ/μ,

the expected waiting cost of a delayed customer is G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t)e−(Nμ−λ)t dtG(N,\lambda) = (N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dtG(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt, and the total cost per unit time is C(N,λ)=F(N)+λ π(N,λ/μ) G(N,λ)C(N,\lambda) = F(N) + \lambda\,\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)\,G(N,\lambda)C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ). An optimal staffing level Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ minimizes C(⋅,λ)C(\cdot,\lambda)C(⋅,λ) over the integers N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ.

Write Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x) = \lambda/\mu + x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​, and for x>0x > 0x>0 put Fλ(x)=F(Nλ(x))−F(λ/μ)F_\lambda(x) = F(N_\lambda(x)) - F(\lambda/\mu)Fλ​(x)=F(Nλ​(x))−F(λ/μ), Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x) = \lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ), and πλ(x)=H(Nλ(x),λ/μ)\pi_\lambda(x) = H(N_\lambda(x),\lambda/\mu)πλ​(x)=H(Nλ​(x),λ/μ), where H(M,α)={α∫0∞e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1H(M,\alpha) = \{\alpha\int_0^\infty e^{-\alpha t}t(1+t)^{M-1}dt\}^{-1}H(M,α)={α∫0∞​e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1 extends the Erlang-C formula to real MMM. The normalized cost is Cλ(x)=Fλ(x)+πλ(x)Gλ(x)C_\lambda(x) = F_\lambda(x) + \pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Cλ​(x)=Fλ​(x)+πλ​(x)Gλ​(x), and a surrogate cost is C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z)C[z;\hat F,\hat\pi,\hat G] = \hat F(z) + \hat\pi(z)\hat G(z)C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z). Rounding is measured by Sλ(x)=min⁡{C(⌊Nλ(x)⌋,λ),C(⌈Nλ(x)⌉,λ)}S_\lambda(x) = \min\{C(\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor,\lambda), C(\lceil N_\lambda(x)\rceil,\lambda)\}Sλ​(x)=min{C(⌊Nλ​(x)⌋,λ),C(⌈Nλ​(x)⌉,λ)}.

Two special functions appear. The Halfin–Whitt delay function is P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x))P(x) = 1/(1 + x/h(-x))P(x)=1/(1+x/h(−x)) with h=ϕ/(1−Φ)h = \phi/(1-\Phi)h=ϕ/(1−Φ) the standard normal hazard rate. The Stirling-type approximation is

Qλ(x)=exp⁡{Nλ(x)[1−rλ(x)+log⁡rλ(x)]}2πNλ(x) (1−rλ(x)),rλ(x)=λ/μNλ(x).Q_\lambda(x) = \frac{\exp\{N_\lambda(x)[1 - r_\lambda(x) + \log r_\lambda(x)]\}}{\sqrt{2\pi N_\lambda(x)}\,(1-r_\lambda(x))},\qquad r_\lambda(x) = \frac{\lambda/\mu}{N_\lambda(x)}.Qλ​(x)=2πNλ​(x)​(1−rλ​(x))exp{Nλ​(x)[1−rλ​(x)+logrλ​(x)]}​,rλ​(x)=Nλ​(x)λ/μ​.

Asymptotic relations are limits of ratios as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞: aλ≈∞bλa_\lambda \stackrel{\infty}{\approx} b_\lambdaaλ​≈∞bλ​ means aλ/bλ→1a_\lambda/b_\lambda \to 1aλ​/bλ​→1, and aλ≪∞bλa_\lambda \stackrel{\infty}{\ll} b_\lambdaaλ​≪∞​bλ​ means aλ/bλ→0a_\lambda/b_\lambda \to 0aλ​/bλ​→0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

Assume the regime is quality-driven, display (27): Fλ(κ)≪∞Gλ(κ)F_\lambda(\kappa) \stackrel{\infty}{\ll} G_\lambda(\kappa)Fλ​(κ)≪∞​Gλ​(κ) for every κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0. Let yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ minimize Fλ(y)+Qλ(y)Gλ(y)F_\lambda(y) + Q_\lambda(y)G_\lambda(y)Fλ​(y)+Qλ​(y)Gλ​(y) over y>0y > 0y>0. Then

lim⁡λ→∞Sλ(yλ∗)−F(λ/μ)C(Nλ∗,λ)−F(λ/μ)=1.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{S_\lambda(y^*_\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)}{C(N^*_\lambda,\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)} = 1.λ→∞lim​C(Nλ∗​,λ)−F(λ/μ)Sλ​(yλ∗​)−F(λ/μ)​=1.

The statement fixes no constants and no rate; it asserts only that rounding the surrogate optimum loses a vanishing fraction of the excess cost.

Milestones

In attack order: Lemma C.1 (GλG_\lambdaGλ​ strictly convex decreasing); the identity H(N,ν)=π(N,ν)H(N,\nu) = \pi(N,\nu)H(N,ν)=π(N,ν) at integer NNN (Section 3, p. 12); Lemma 3.1 and Lemma 3.2; Corollary 3.3 (the asymptotic optimality criterion); Lemma B.1 (PPP strictly convex decreasing); display (15); Lemma 4.1 (Halfin and Whitt); and the first statement of Lemma 4.2, πλ(xλ)≈∞Qλ(xλ)\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda) \stackrel{\infty}{\approx} Q_\lambda(x_\lambda)πλ​(xλ​)≈∞Qλ​(xλ​) whenever xλ→∞x_\lambda\to\inftyxλ​→∞.

Significance

Theorem 7.1 completes the paper's picture of optimal staffing. In the rationalized regime the square-root rule with the Halfin–Whitt function PPP is optimal; in the efficiency-driven regime staffing barely exceeds the load; in the quality-driven regime the staffing excess outgrows λ/μ\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}λ/μ​ and PPP must be replaced by the Stirling-type expression QλQ_\lambdaQλ​. The theorem gives a one-dimensional minimization whose solution is asymptotically optimal, which turns a discrete optimization over NNN into a smooth problem, and it marks the boundary of validity of square-root staffing.

The result is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere to our knowledge. A complete development formalizes the Section 3 framework (shared with the other regimes of the same paper), the convexity of GλG_\lambdaGλ​ and of PPP, the Halfin–Whitt limit for the continuous extension πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​, and the Stirling-type asymptotics of the Erlang-C formula. Each of these is a reusable piece of queueing theory in Lean.

Difficulty

The regime theorem itself is short once the framework is in place; the weight lies in the analytic lemmas. Lemma 4.2 requires uniform asymptotics of πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ at a staffing excess xλx_\lambdaxλ​ that may grow at any rate, from barely faster than a constant to faster than λ\sqrt{\lambda}λ​, where neither the central-limit picture of Halfin and Whitt nor a single Stirling expansion covers all cases. Lemma 4.1 concerns the continuous extension πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ at non-integer server counts, whereas Halfin and Whitt's theorem is about integer ones. The natural first idea, that the goal follows from Corollary 3.3 by plugging in Lemma 4.2, does not apply directly: Lemma 4.2 only covers staffing excesses that tend to infinity, and nothing in the definition of the true optimum xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​ or the surrogate optimum yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ says that they do.

Formalization scope

Lean represents λ\lambdaλ as a positive real, and λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞ is the filter atTop on R\mathbb{R}R with μ\muμ fixed. The standing assumptions on μ\muμ and DλD_\lambdaDλ​ are the structure WaitModel; FFF is a function argument with hypotheses ConvexOn and StrictMonoOn on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). Staffing levels NNN are natural numbers. Minimizers (Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​, xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​, zλ∗z^*_\lambdazλ∗​, yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​) are function arguments with minimality hypotheses at every λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, so every statement holds for every choice among ties. Liminf and limsup relations are stated through Filter.Frequently, avoiding boundedness side conditions.

The queue itself (Poisson arrivals, waiting-time law) is not formalized: the paper's analysis and all its theorems concern the closed-form cost C(N,λ)C(N,\lambda)C(N,λ) with the Erlang-C formula.

Conventions committed to: (i) the goal adds the hypothesis G(N,λ)→∞G(N,\lambda)\to\inftyG(N,λ)→∞ as N↓λ/μN\downarrow\lambda/\muN↓λ/μ, which the paper asserts on p. 12 to show the continuous optimum exists but which does not follow from its standing assumptions (it holds exactly when DλD_\lambdaDλ​ is unbounded); (ii) in SλS_\lambdaSλ​ the floor term is omitted when ⌊Nλ(x)⌋≤λ/μ\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor \le \lambda/\mu⌊Nλ​(x)⌋≤λ/μ, since the cost is undefined at unstable levels; (iii) the integrability of Dλ(t)e−θtD_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}Dλ​(t)e−θt is explicit, because a Lean integral of a non-integrable function is 000; (iv) P(0)=1P(0) = 1P(0)=1, the value of formula (11) at 000; (v) display (15) is stated for b>0b > 0b>0, since the ratio aλ/ba_\lambda/baλ​/b is undefined at b=0b = 0b=0. The instance μ=1\mu = 1μ=1, F(N)=cNF(N) = cNF(N)=cN, Dλ(t)=aλ tD_\lambda(t) = a\sqrt{\lambda}\,tDλ​(t)=aλ​t (Section 9) satisfies every hypothesis of the goal, so the goal is not vacuous; taking πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ or GλG_\lambdaGλ​ at Lean default values is ruled out by these explicit domain conditions.

Only the first statement of Lemma 4.2 is a milestone: the second, πλ(xλ)≈Q(xλ)\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda)\approx Q(x_\lambda)πλ​(xλ​)≈Q(xλ​) under xλ≤sup⁡λ1/6x_\lambda \stackrel{\sup}{\le} \lambda^{1/6}xλ​≤sup​λ1/6, fails as printed at xλ=λ1/6x_\lambda = \lambda^{1/6}xλ​=λ1/6. Contributions on the Erlang-C asymptotics, the normal hazard rate, and Laplace transforms of increasing functions are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000 (the version formalized here; every index and page cited in this mission is the report's).
  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, Operations Research 52(1):17–34, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0081
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers, Operations Research 29(3):567–588, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • N. Gans, G. Koole, A. Mandelbaum, Telephone Call Centers: Tutorial, Review, and Research Prospects, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 5(2):79–141, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.5.2.79.16071
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Relaxation Method of Finding the Common Point of Convex Sets and Its Application to the Solution of Problems in Convex Programming 3: A Convergent Relaxation from Z Solves the Equality ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

Many large convex programs have the form "minimize a strictly convex function fff subject to linear equations Ax=bAx=bAx=b". Examples are entropy maximization under moment constraints, the estimation of a matrix with prescribed row and column sums (the matrix-scaling or RAS problem of transportation and input–output analysis), and least-norm solutions of linear systems. When AAA is large and sparse, methods that touch one equation at a time are attractive: each step needs only one row of AAA.

L. M. Bregman's 1967 paper (doi:10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7) introduced such a method. §1 defines a "relaxation" for finding a common point of closed convex sets AiA_iAi​, in which each step replaces the current point by its DDD-projection onto one set: the minimizer of a distance-like function D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over that set. §2 chooses DDD from the objective fff itself, D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y) with ggg the gradient of fff; this function is now called the Bregman divergence. Theorem 3 of the paper, the target of this mission, shows that with this choice the relaxation does more than find a feasible point: started at a suitable point, its limit minimizes fff over the feasible set. The resulting row-action methods underlie later work on entropy optimization and matrix balancing (Censor and Zenios, Parallel Optimization, 1997) and the Bregman-projection techniques of modern optimization.

Setting

Work in the Euclidean space EpE^pEp with inner product (⋅,⋅)(\cdot,\cdot)(⋅,⋅). Let S⊂EpS\subset E^pS⊂Ep be a convex set with closure Sˉ\bar SSˉ and interior int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS. Let fff be strictly convex and continuously differentiable over SSS, with gradient g(x)g(x)g(x) at x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, and continuous over Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Let AAA be an m×pm\times pm×p matrix with nonzero rows A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ and b∈Emb\in E^mb∈Em. The problem (2.1)–(2.3) is

minimize f(x)subject toAx=b, x∈Sˉ,\text{minimize } f(x)\quad\text{subject to}\quad Ax=b,\ x\in\bar S,minimize f(x)subject toAx=b, x∈Sˉ,

with feasible set R={x∈Ep∣Ax=b, x∈Sˉ}R=\{x\in E^p\mid Ax=b,\ x\in\bar S\}R={x∈Ep∣Ax=b, x∈Sˉ}, assumed nonempty. A point of RRR minimizing fff over RRR is a solution.

The function (1.4) is

D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y),D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-\bigl(g(y),x-y\bigr),D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y),

and AiA_iAi​ also denotes the hyperplane {x∣(Ai,x)=bi}\{x\mid (A_i,x)=b_i\}{x∣(Ai​,x)=bi​}. The paper assumes that DDD satisfies its conditions I–VI of §1 with respect to these hyperplanes; among them, condition II provides, for every y∈Sy\in Sy∈S, a DDD-projection Piy∈Ai∩SP_iy\in A_i\cap SPi​y∈Ai​∩S minimizing D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S. It also assumes condition (2): if yn∈Sy^n\in Syn∈S and yn→y∗∈Sˉy^n\to y^*\in\bar Syn→y∗∈Sˉ, then D(y∗,yn)→0D(y^*,y^n)\to 0D(y∗,yn)→0.

A relaxation sequence with control (in)n≥0(i_n)_{n\ge0}(in​)n≥0​ starts at x0∈Sx^0\in Sx0∈S and sets xn+1=Pinxnx^{n+1}=P_{i_n}x^nxn+1=Pin​​xn. The control is any sequence of row indices. Finally,

Z={x∈S∣g(x)=uA=∑iuiAi for some u∈Em}Z=\{x\in S\mid g(x)=uA=\textstyle\sum_i u_iA_i\ \text{for some } u\in E^m\}Z={x∈S∣g(x)=uA=∑i​ui​Ai​ for some u∈Em}

is the set of points of SSS at which the gradient lies in the row space of AAA.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Assume that the DDD-projection of every point of int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS onto every AiA_iAi​ lies in int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS. For every control and every relaxation sequence with x0∈Z∩int⁡Sx^0\in Z\cap\operatorname{int}Sx0∈Z∩intS that converges to a point x∗∈Rx^*\in Rx∗∈R,

f(x∗)≤f(y)for every y∈R.f(x^*)\le f(y)\qquad\text{for every } y\in R .f(x∗)≤f(y)for every y∈R.

Convergence of the sequence is a hypothesis; the theorem says what the limit is, whichever control produced it.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3. If y∗∈R∩Zˉy^*\in R\cap\bar Zy∗∈R∩Zˉ, then y∗y^*y∗ is a solution of (2.1)–(2.3).
  2. (2.7)–(2.8). For x∈int⁡Sx\in\operatorname{int}Sx∈intS there is λ∈R\lambda\in\mathbb Rλ∈R with g(Pix)=g(x)+λAig(P_ix)=g(x)+\lambda A_ig(Pi​x)=g(x)+λAi​ and (Ai,Pix)=bi(A_i,P_ix)=b_i(Ai​,Pi​x)=bi​.
  3. Invariance of ZZZ. PiP_iPi​ maps Z∩int⁡SZ\cap\operatorname{int}SZ∩intS into Z∩int⁡SZ\cap\operatorname{int}SZ∩intS.

An additional item states Note 2: the point and the multiplier in (2.7)–(2.8) are unique.

Significance

Theorem 3 converts a feasibility algorithm into an optimization algorithm for equality-constrained convex programs. Each step solves a one-dimensional problem (the multiplier λ\lambdaλ of a single equation), so the method scales to systems with very many equations, and with the controls of Theorems 1–2 of the same paper it gives a complete algorithm. Specializations include iterative proportional fitting for entropy objectives and Kaczmarz-type projections for f(x)=12∥x∥2f(x)=\tfrac12\|x\|^2f(x)=21​∥x∥2.

The theorem and its proof are classical and have been reproved many times, but no machine-checked proof is known to exist. A formalization produces a verified bridge between three standard pieces of convex analysis: first-order optimality on an affine set, the supporting-hyperplane inequality for a differentiable convex function extended to the closure of its domain, and the passage of a Lagrange condition to a limit. Each is reusable in other row-action and mirror-descent developments.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: the limit is feasible, and the gradient at every iterate lies in the row space of AAA, so the limit satisfies the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions. Two steps of this argument fail as stated. First, the gradient is only known on SSS, the limit may lie on the boundary of SSS (or outside SSS, in Sˉ\bar SSˉ), and ggg need not extend continuously there, so the multipliers unu^nun need not converge and no Lagrange condition holds at the limit. Lemma 3 must therefore reach optimality without a gradient at y∗y^*y∗. Second, the Lagrange condition (2.7) at an iterate requires the projection to be an interior minimizer, which is why the theorem carries the hypothesis that PiP_iPi​ preserves int⁡S\operatorname{int}SintS; on the boundary of SSS a minimizer over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S need not satisfy (2.7).

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p), rows are vectors a i, and (Ai,x)(A_i,x)(Ai​,x) is the real inner product. The gradient ggg is explicit data tied to fff by HasGradientWithinAt f (g x) S x for x∈Sx\in Sx∈S and continuous on SSS; SSS is not assumed open, and Mathlib's gradient is not used. The relevant explicit choices are:

  • The DDD-projection is a fixed map PPP; condition II says PiyP_iyPi​y minimizes D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S, and condition III is stated for that map.
  • Condition IV is assumed in its one-sided directional form (implied by the paper's), so theorems under it are at least as strong as the paper's.
  • "Compact" in conditions V and VI is sequential compactness. Condition V is assumed for the points of R∩SR\cap SR∩S.
  • Condition (2) is assumed for limits y∗∈Sˉy^*\in\bar Sy∗∈Sˉ; the page prints y∗∈Sy^*\in Sy∗∈S, but its use at a feasible point needs Sˉ\bar SSˉ.
  • Translation slips are corrected in the statements and recorded: condition II's "D(z,x)D(z,x)D(z,x)" and "i∈Ti\in Ti∈T", (2.7)'s "g(xn−1)g(x^{n-1})g(xn−1)" (read g(xn+1)g(x^{n+1})g(xn+1)), and "Theorems 1 − 3" (read Theorems 1–2).
  • The control is an arbitrary sequence of indices in {0,…,m−1}\{0,\dots,m-1\}{0,…,m−1}; λ is named lam.
  • Note 2 is stated for candidate points y,z∈Sy,z\in Sy,z∈S, where ggg is meaningful.

The goal does not conclude that the relaxation converges; a statement asserting convergence is a different, unproved theorem. Equally, it must not be weakened to a fixed control, to an open SSS, or to a limit assumed to lie in ZZZ: any of these would trivialize the passage to the limit that the theorem is about.

A complete development needs the first-order condition for a local minimum on an affine hyperplane, the gradient inequality f(x)≥f(y)+(g(y),x−y)f(x)\ge f(y)+(g(y),x-y)f(x)≥f(y)+(g(y),x−y) for x∈Sˉx\in\bar Sx∈Sˉ, y∈Sy\in Sy∈S, and an induction along the relaxation sequence. Proofs of the milestones and of Note 2 are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • L. M. Bregman, The relaxation method of finding the common point of convex sets and its application to the solution of problems in convex programming, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 7(3) (1967) 200–217. doi:10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7
  • Y. Censor, S. A. Zenios, Parallel Optimization: Theory, Algorithms, and Applications, Oxford University Press, 1997. doi:10.1093/oso/9780195100624.001.0001
  • Y. Censor, A. Lent, An iterative row-action method for interval convex programming, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 34 (1981) 321–353. doi:10.1007/BF00934676
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Theory of Reproducing Kernels IV: The Kernels of a Decreasing Sequence of Reproducing Kernel Classes Converge to the Kernel of the Limit ClassResearch Paper

Motivation

A reproducing kernel Hilbert space is a Hilbert space of functions on a set in which every point evaluation is continuous; the function K(x,y)K(x,y)K(x,y) that represents evaluation at yyy is its reproducing kernel. N. Aronszajn's Theory of Reproducing Kernels (Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), 337–404, DOI 10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7) gave the general theory of these spaces, which today underlies kernel methods in statistics and machine learning, Gaussian-process regression, and the Bergman and Szegő kernels of complex analysis.

Part I of the paper studies how kernels behave under the basic operations on classes of functions: sums, inclusions, products, restrictions, and limits. §9 treats limits. Its case A concerns a decreasing sequence of classes with increasing norms, defined on an increasing sequence of sets. The application in the paper's Part II is the computation of kernels of a domain by approximation from simpler domains: when a domain is exhausted by an increasing sequence of subdomains, the kernels of the subdomains converge to the kernel of the whole domain. This mission formalizes §9, Theorem I and the steps of its proof.

Setting

Let XXX be an arbitrary set and E1⊂E2⊂⋯E_1\subset E_2\subset\cdotsE1​⊂E2​⊂⋯ subsets with union E=E1+E2+⋯=XE = E_1+E_2+\cdots = XE=E1​+E2​+⋯=X. For each nnn let FnF_nFn​ be a complex Hilbert space of functions on EnE_nEn​, with norm ∥⋅∥n\|\cdot\|_n∥⋅∥n​, in which point evaluations are continuous; Kn(x,y)K_n(x,y)Kn​(x,y), for x,y∈Enx,y\in E_nx,y∈En​, is its reproducing kernel, characterized by Kn(⋅,y)∈FnK_n(\cdot,y)\in F_nKn​(⋅,y)∈Fn​ and

f(y)=(f,Kn(⋅,y))n(f∈Fn, y∈En),f(y) = (f, K_n(\cdot,y))_n \qquad (f\in F_n,\ y\in E_n),f(y)=(f,Kn​(⋅,y))n​(f∈Fn​, y∈En​),

with the scalar product (f,g)n(f,g)_n(f,g)n​ linear in fff. For fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n, fnmf_{nm}fnm​ denotes the restriction of fnf_nfn​ to EmE_mEm​. The standing assumptions of §9 A (p. 362) are:

  1. E1⊂E2⊂⋯E_1\subset E_2\subset\cdotsE1​⊂E2​⊂⋯ and E=⋃nEnE = \bigcup_n E_nE=⋃n​En​;
  2. the classes decrease: fnm∈Fmf_{nm}\in F_mfnm​∈Fm​ for every fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n;
  3. the norms increase: ∥fnm∥m≤∥fn∥n\|f_{nm}\|_m\le\|f_n\|_n∥fnm​∥m​≤∥fn​∥n​ for every fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n;

together with the existence of every kernel KnK_nKn​. For two kernels on a set YYY, K1≪KK_1\ll KK1​≪K means that K−K1K-K_1K−K1​ is a positive matrix: ∑i,j(K−K1)(yi,yj) ξˉiξj≥0\sum_{i,j}(K-K_1)(y_i,y_j)\,\bar\xi_i\xi_j\ge 0∑i,j​(K−K1​)(yi​,yj​)ξˉ​i​ξj​≥0 for all finite families yi∈Yy_i\in Yyi​∈Y, ξi∈C\xi_i\in\mathbb Cξi​∈C. KnmK_{nm}Knm​ is the restriction of KnK_nKn​ to Em×EmE_m\times E_mEm​×Em​.

The limit class F0F_0F0​ is the set of functions f0f_0f0​ on EEE such that (1°) every restriction f0nf_{0n}f0n​ belongs to FnF_nFn​ and (2°) lim⁡n∥f0n∥n<∞\lim_n\|f_{0n}\|_n<\inftylimn​∥f0n​∥n​<∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: §9, Theorem I (pp. 362–363)

Under the standing assumptions there is K0:E×E→CK_0 : E\times E\to\mathbb CK0​:E×E→C such that, whenever x,y∈ENx,y\in E_Nx,y∈EN​,

lim⁡n→∞Kn(x,y)=K0(x,y),\lim_{n\to\infty}K_n(x,y)=K_0(x,y),n→∞lim​Kn​(x,y)=K0​(x,y),

and K0K_0K0​ is the reproducing kernel of F0F_0F0​ with the norm

∥f0∥0=lim⁡n→∞∥f0n∥n.\|f_0\|_0=\lim_{n\to\infty}\|f_{0n}\|_n .∥f0​∥0​=n→∞lim​∥f0n​∥n​.

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. §9, Eq. (4): Knm≪KmK_{nm}\ll K_mKnm​≪Km​ for m<nm<nm<n.
  2. §9, proof of Theorem I, p. 363: for y∈Eky\in E_ky∈Ek​, {Km(y,y)}m≥k\{K_m(y,y)\}_{m\ge k}{Km​(y,y)}m≥k​ is a decreasing sequence of non-negative numbers.
  3. §9, Eq. (5): for y∈Eky\in E_ky∈Ek​, k≤m≤nk\le m\le nk≤m≤n, ∥Kmk(⋅,y)−Knk(⋅,y)∥k2≤Km(y,y)−Kn(y,y)\|K_{mk}(\cdot,y)-K_{nk}(\cdot,y)\|_k^2\le K_m(y,y)-K_n(y,y)∥Kmk​(⋅,y)−Knk​(⋅,y)∥k2​≤Km​(y,y)−Kn​(y,y).
  4. §9, Eq. (6): with K0K_0K0​ the pointwise limit, K0k(⋅,y)∈FkK_{0k}(\cdot,y)\in F_kK0k​(⋅,y)∈Fk​ and ∥Kmk(⋅,y)−K0k(⋅,y)∥k2≤Km(y,y)−K0(y,y)\|K_{mk}(\cdot,y)-K_{0k}(\cdot,y)\|_k^2\le K_m(y,y)-K_0(y,y)∥Kmk​(⋅,y)−K0k​(⋅,y)∥k2​≤Km​(y,y)−K0​(y,y).
  5. §9, Remark after Theorem I: under 1°, ∥f0n∥n\|f_{0n}\|_n∥f0n​∥n​ is non-decreasing, so its limit exists, possibly infinite.
  6. §9, Eq. (7): if F0F_0F0​ carries the limit norm, then (f0,g0)0=lim⁡n(f0n,g0n)n(f_0,g_0)_0=\lim_n(f_{0n},g_{0n})_n(f0​,g0​)0​=limn​(f0n​,g0n​)n​.

Significance

The result. Theorem I turns a monotone family of function spaces into a single space and identifies its kernel as the pointwise limit of the kernels. It reduces the computation of a kernel on a large set to kernels on an exhausting sequence of subsets, the method Aronszajn uses in Part II for Bergman-type kernels of plane domains. With En=EE_n=EEn​=E for all nnn (explicitly allowed on p. 362) it gives the limit of a decreasing sequence of kernels K1≫K2≫⋯K_1\gg K_2\gg\cdotsK1​≫K2​≫⋯ on one set as the kernel of the intersection class with the limit norm. The milestones (4)–(6) are quantitative: (5) bounds the distance between restricted kernel sections by the decrease of the diagonal values, which yields strong convergence of Km(⋅,y)K_m(\cdot,y)Km​(⋅,y) in every FkF_kFk​.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. Mathlib has the RKHS class, the operator-valued kernel, the positive semidefiniteness of kernels and the Moore–Aronszajn construction RKHS.OfKernel, but nothing about restrictions of an RKHS to a subset, the order ≪\ll≪ between kernels, or limits of sequences of reproducing kernel spaces. This mission produces those statements on Mathlib's RKHS vocabulary over C\mathbb CC, with kernels on varying domains.

Difficulty

The kernels KnK_nKn​ live on different sets En×EnE_n\times E_nEn​×En​, so convergence is not convergence of a sequence of functions on one set: a pair x,yx,yx,y enters the sequence only from the first ENE_NEN​ containing both. The identification of the limit class needs three separate facts: that F0F_0F0​ with the limit norm is a Hilbert space (the limit of norms must be shown to come from a scalar product, and completeness requires passing to the limit in two indices), that K0(⋅,y)∈F0K_0(\cdot,y)\in F_0K0​(⋅,y)∈F0​, and that K0K_0K0​ reproduces. The natural first idea, to embed all FnF_nFn​ in one space and take an intersection, fails: the FnF_nFn​ are spaces of functions on different sets, and their norms differ, so there is no common ambient Hilbert space; the comparison goes only through restriction and the inequalities (3). Eq. (4) itself uses §7, Theorem II (a contractively included Hilbert subclass has a dominated kernel) and the restriction theorem of §5, neither of which is in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

  • Scalars and spaces. Complex scalars throughout (Aronszajn works with complex Hilbert spaces from §1 on). Each FnF_nFn​ is a type H n with [InnerProductSpace ℂ (H n)] [CompleteSpace (H n)] [RKHS ℂ (H n) (E n) ℂ], a space of functions on the subtype E n; the set EEE is a type X with no topology, measure or nonemptiness assumption.
  • Kernel. The scalar kernel kernelFn H x y is Mathlib's RKHS.kernel H x y 1. Mathlib's inner product is conjugate-linear in the first slot, so Aronszajn's (f,g)(f,g)(f,g) is ⟪g, f⟫_ℂ.
  • Standing assumptions. (1)–(3) are the structure IsDecreasingRKSequence; every statement takes it as a hypothesis. Restriction is pointwise agreement on EmE_mEm​. Indexing starts at 000.
  • Order. K1≪KK_1\ll KK1​≪K is KernelLE K₁ K := (Matrix.of K - Matrix.of K₁).PosSemidef, with Mathlib's positive semidefiniteness over an arbitrary index type (finitely supported vectors).
  • Comparisons of kernel values (Km(y,y)≥0K_m(y,y)\ge 0Km​(y,y)≥0, the right-hand sides of (5), (6)) are in Mathlib's ComplexOrder, which also asserts that these values are real.
  • Convergence of kernels is stated only where the terms are defined: for x,y∈ENx,y\in E_Nx,y∈EN​, the sequence j↦KN+j(x,y)j\mapsto K_{N+j}(x,y)j↦KN+j​(x,y) converges to K0(x,y)K_0(x,y)K0​(x,y). Kernels are never extended by 000 outside EnE_nEn​.
  • Condition 2° is convergence of ∥f0n∥n\|f_{0n}\|_n∥f0n​∥n​ to a real number, not a supremum, and the norm of F0F_0F0​ is stated as a limit (Tendsto).
  • The goal asserts (a) the convergence, (b) the existence of an RKHS on XXX with kernel K0K_0K0​, and (c) that every RKHS on XXX with kernel K0K_0K0​ has exactly the functions of F0F_0F0​ as its elements and the limit norm. A formalization that defines F0F_0F0​ as RKHS.OfKernel K₀ and then asserts that its kernel is K0K_0K0​ would be a tautology (RKHS.kernel_ofKernel); the goal instead characterizes the space by its functions and norm, as the paper does.
  • Eq. (7) is stated for an inner product space of functions whose norm is assumed to be the limit norm; the paper's derivation that the limit norm is a quadratic form is the content of the goal.
  • Non-vacuity. The constant sequence En=EE_n=EEn​=E, Fn=FF_n=FFn​=F satisfies the standing assumptions (checked in Lean), and the one-point example Fn=CF_n=\mathbb CFn​=C with norms cn∣f∣c_n|f|cn​∣f∣, cnc_ncn​ increasing, satisfies them with Kn=cn−2K_n=c_n^{-2}Kn​=cn−2​.

Needed infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: restriction of an RKHS to a subset (§5), the dominated-kernel theorem for contractive inclusions (§7, Theorem II), and the passage from a convergent sequence of norms to a convergent sequence of scalar products. Proofs of any milestone, and of these general facts as separate lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Aronszajn, Theory of Reproducing Kernels, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), no. 3, 337–404. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7
  • E. H. Moore, General Analysis, Part I, Memoirs of the American Philosophical Society 1 (1935). (Positive matrices.)
  • Mathlib, Mathlib/Analysis/InnerProductSpace/Reproducing.lean (the RKHS class, RKHS.kernel, RKHS.OfKernel). https://github.com/leanprover-community/mathlib4
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Dimensioning Large Call Centers II: Asymptotically Optimal Staffing in the Efficiency-Driven RegimeResearch Paper

Why staffing large call centers is a mathematical question

A call center must choose enough servers to limit waiting while paying for every server it staffs. When arrivals are heavy, small changes in the number of servers can change the probability of delay substantially. Borst, Mandelbaum, and Reiman study how to make this choice when the arrival rate grows and the costs of staffing and waiting need not grow at the same rate. Their CWI report treats several regimes within one queueing model. This mission concerns the efficiency-driven regime, where the incremental staffing cost eventually dominates the conditional waiting cost at every fixed positive square-root staffing offset. The resulting rule chooses an offset by optimizing a simpler cost that treats the probability of waiting as one.

The result is useful when the staffing-cost and waiting-cost primitives change with system scale. It says that the simplified choice still attains the optimal total cost asymptotically, even though the actual staffing decision is an integer and the simplified problem uses a real variable. The report states this as Theorem 6.1 on printed page 19, with its interpretation of asymptotic optimality supplied by Corollary 3.3 on printed page 14.

The Erlang-C cost model

Customers arrive at rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 and receive exponential service at rate μ>0\mu>0μ>0 per server. The service rate μ\muμ is fixed as λ\lambdaλ grows. For an integer number of servers N>λ/μN>\lambda/\muN>λ/μ, the Erlang-C delay probability π(N,λ/μ)\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)π(N,λ/μ) is the explicit finite-sum expression in Section 2 of the report. A customer who waits has an exponential waiting time with rate Nμ−λN\mu-\lambdaNμ−λ. Let Dλ(t)D_\lambda(t)Dλ​(t) be the cost of a wait of length ttt. It is strictly increasing on t≥0t\ge0t≥0, satisfies Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0)=0Dλ​(0)=0, and has finite exponential expectation at every positive rate. The resulting conditional waiting cost is

G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t)e−(Nμ−λ)t dt.G(N,\lambda)=(N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dt.G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt.

The staffing cost F(N)F(N)F(N) is one fixed, convex, strictly increasing function of the server count. Its continuous extension is evaluated at real N>0N>0N>0. Total cost per unit of time at a stable integer level is

C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ).C(N,\lambda)=F(N)+\lambda\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)G(N,\lambda).C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ).

Write Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ for any minimizing stable integer level. Ties are permitted. For a positive real offset xxx, define Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x)=\lambda/\mu+x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​, Fλ(x)=F(Nλ(x))−F(λ/μ)F_\lambda(x)=F(N_\lambda(x))-F(\lambda/\mu)Fλ​(x)=F(Nλ​(x))−F(λ/μ), and Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x)=\lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ). The report extends Erlang-C continuously to πλ(x)\pi_\lambda(x)πλ​(x) and writes the incremental continuous objective as Cλ(x)=Fλ(x)+πλ(x)Gλ(x)C_\lambda(x)=F_\lambda(x)+\pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Cλ​(x)=Fλ​(x)+πλ​(x)Gλ​(x). These definitions and the integer-extension identity are from Section 3, printed pages 11–12.

Formalization targets

The report defines the efficiency-driven regime by

for every κ>0,lim⁡λ→∞Fλ(κ)Gλ(κ)=+∞.\text{for every }\kappa>0,\qquad \lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{F_\lambda(\kappa)}{G_\lambda(\kappa)}=+\infty.for every κ>0,λ→∞lim​Gλ​(κ)Fλ​(κ)​=+∞.

For each λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, choose yλ∗>0y^*_\lambda>0yλ∗​>0 to minimize Fλ(y)+Gλ(y)F_\lambda(y)+G_\lambda(y)Fλ​(y)+Gλ​(y) over y>0y>0y>0. Let Sλ(y)S_\lambda(y)Sλ​(y) be the smaller cost of the stable integer levels immediately below and above Nλ(y)N_\lambda(y)Nλ​(y); if the lower one is unstable, use the upper one. The goal, Theorem 6.1 together with Corollary 3.3, is

lim⁡λ→∞Sλ(yλ∗)−F(λ/μ)C(Nλ∗,λ)−F(λ/μ)=1.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty} \frac{S_\lambda(y^*_\lambda)-F(\lambda/\mu)} {C(N^*_\lambda,\lambda)-F(\lambda/\mu)}=1.λ→∞lim​C(Nλ∗​,λ)−F(λ/μ)Sλ​(yλ∗​)−F(λ/μ)​=1.

The milestone path includes the convexity of the conditional waiting cost (Lemma C.1), the agreement of the continuous Erlang-C extension with its integer formula, the two approximation lemmas and their corollary (Lemmas 3.1–3.2 and Corollary 3.3), the convex staffing-cost comparison of equation (13), and all three clauses of the Halfin–Whitt limit in Lemma 4.1. This ordering follows the objects each later statement uses.

What the result gives

The theorem certifies a staffing rule defined by a one-variable surrogate rather than the exact Erlang-C probability in the objective. Its guarantee concerns the incremental total cost above the unavoidable baseline F(λ/μ)F(\lambda/\mu)F(λ/μ), which is the economically relevant quantity when comparing two near-minimal stable staffing levels. The ratio tends to one, so the theorem is stronger than a claim that the two costs merely have the same growth order. The source also presents other regimes with different surrogates; their conclusions are separate targets in this series.

The paper proves the mathematical theorem. This mission asks for a Lean proof of its closed-form model and the surrounding lemmas. The complete development would make the report's approximation framework reusable for later results that combine a continuous queueing approximation, a surrogate minimizer, and integer rounding. It would also expose the exact assumptions needed to pass between real and integer staffing levels. No machine-checked proof of this report's Theorem 6.1 is claimed here.

Where the difficulty lies

The simple objective replaces the delay probability πλ(y)\pi_\lambda(y)πλ​(y) by one. That replacement is accurate near zero offset, but the minimizing offset itself changes with λ\lambdaλ. Pointwise asymptotics at a fixed positive offset do not directly control the value of an objective at its moving minimizer. The proof therefore has to relate the regime assumption to the location of the relevant minimizers before using the Halfin–Whitt limit. Integer rounding introduces another boundary issue: when Nλ(y)N_\lambda(y)Nλ​(y) is just above λ/μ\lambda/\muλ/μ, its floor need not be stable, so evaluating the ordinary Erlang-C formula there would compare the target against a meaningless cost. These difficulties are visible already in the statements of Theorem 6.1 and Lemma 3.2.

Formalization scope and conventions

Lean represents λ\lambdaλ, μ\muμ, offsets, and costs as real numbers; arrival-rate limits use the real filter at +∞+\infty+∞. Staffing counts are natural numbers. The service rate is positive and fixed. A WaitModel packages strict increase and normalization of DλD_\lambdaDλ​ on nonnegative waits together with integrability against every positive exponential rate. This integrability expresses the report's finiteness assumption for GGG and prevents a nonintegrable real integral from silently evaluating to zero. The hypotheses on FFF are convexity and strict increase on positive real staffing levels; FFF does not depend on λ\lambdaλ.

The report asserts that G(N,λ)G(N,\lambda)G(N,λ) diverges as NNN decreases to λ/μ\lambda/\muλ/μ, although the stated assumptions permit bounded increasing waiting penalties for which that assertion fails. The goal therefore includes this explicit divergence hypothesis, which also supports existence of the continuous minimizer used in the report's argument. The integer optimum and the surrogate optimum are functions constrained to be minimizers at every positive arrival rate. They cannot be arbitrary choices that make the conclusion vacuous. The continuous optimum appears only in the framework milestones; it is not a hypothesis of Theorem 6.1.

All formulas are total Lean functions. Their values at λ≤0\lambda\le0λ≤0, unstable integer counts, nonpositive offsets, or invalid parameters to the continuous Erlang-C integral have no queueing interpretation. Every theorem using them constrains its relevant inputs. The definition of SλS_\lambdaSλ​ ignores an unstable floor and uses the stable ceiling. At a positive offset and arrival rate this ceiling is above offered load. The Gaussian density, its cumulative integral, the hazard rate, and the delay function use the explicit formulas of Section 4; the value of the delay function at zero is the continuous extension needed by Lemma 4.1.

The queue's stochastic construction is outside this mission. The formal objects are the report's cost formulas and asymptotic comparisons, not a continuous-time Markov chain. Useful contributions include proofs of the special-function limit, convexity of conditional waiting cost, the integer-extension identity, and the reusable approximation lemmas. The regime condition is the full limit in equation (23); weakening it to an unrelated boundedness condition would change the theorem.

Selected references

  • Sem Borst, Avi Mandelbaum, and Martin I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000. Report PDF. Theorem 6.1, printed p. 19; Corollary 3.3, printed p. 14; Lemma 4.1, printed p. 15; Lemma C.1, printed p. 40.
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Theory of Reproducing Kernels V: A Hermitian Kernel Represents a Bounded Symmetric Operator with Bounds m and M iff mK ≪ Λ ≪ MKResearch Paper

Motivation

Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces are the function spaces of kernel methods in statistics and machine learning (Gaussian-process regression, support vector machines, kernel mean embeddings), of the Bergman and Szegő spaces of complex analysis, and of the theory of positive-definite functions. In all of these, bounded operators on the space (covariance operators, integral operators, projections onto subspaces, multiplication operators) are handled through functions of two points rather than through abstract operators. N. Aronszajn's Theory of Reproducing Kernels (Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), 337–404) gives, in its §11, the dictionary between bounded operators on a space with a reproducing kernel and their kernels, and characterizes the kernels of bounded symmetric operators with prescribed bounds. Aronszajn credits the ideas of the section to E. H. Moore.

Setting

Let EEE be an arbitrary set and let FFF be a class of complex-valued functions on EEE that forms a complex Hilbert space with scalar product (f,g)(f, g)(f,g), linear in fff and conjugate-linear in ggg. A reproducing kernel of FFF is a function K:E×E→CK : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}K:E×E→C such that, for every y∈Ey \in Ey∈E, the function K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) belongs to FFF and

f(y)=(f,K(⋅,y))for every f∈F.f(y) = (f, K(\cdot, y)) \qquad \text{for every } f \in F.f(y)=(f,K(⋅,y))for every f∈F.

Such a kernel exists exactly when every point evaluation f↦f(y)f \mapsto f(y)f↦f(y) is continuous.

For a bounded linear operator LLL on FFF, with adjoint L∗L^*L∗ defined by (Lf,g)=(f,L∗g)(Lf, g) = (f, L^* g)(Lf,g)=(f,L∗g), the kernel of LLL is

Λ(x,y)=Lx∗K(x,y),\Lambda(x, y) = L^*_x K(x, y),Λ(x,y)=Lx∗​K(x,y),

the value at xxx of the element L∗(K(⋅,y))L^*(K(\cdot, y))L∗(K(⋅,y)) of FFF. By the reproducing property, Lf(y)=(f,Λ(⋅,y))Lf(y) = (f, \Lambda(\cdot, y))Lf(y)=(f,Λ(⋅,y)) for every f∈Ff \in Ff∈F and y∈Ey \in Ey∈E, so LLL is determined by Λ\LambdaΛ.

A function P:E×E→CP : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}P:E×E→C is a positive matrix if ∑i,jξi‾ P(yi,yj) ξj≥0\sum_{i,j} \overline{\xi_i}\, P(y_i, y_j)\, \xi_j \ge 0∑i,j​ξi​​P(yi​,yj​)ξj​≥0 for every finite family of points yi∈Ey_i \in Eyi​∈E and complex numbers ξi\xi_iξi​. For two arbitrary functions Λ1,Λ2\Lambda_1, \Lambda_2Λ1​,Λ2​ on E×EE \times EE×E, one writes Λ1≪Λ2\Lambda_1 \ll \Lambda_2Λ1​≪Λ2​ if Λ2−Λ1\Lambda_2 - \Lambda_1Λ2​−Λ1​ is a positive matrix. A bounded operator LLL is symmetric if L=L∗L = L^*L=L∗, and positive if (Lf,f)≥0(Lf, f) \ge 0(Lf,f)≥0 for every fff. A symmetric LLL has lower bound ≥m\ge m≥m and upper bound ≤M\le M≤M if

m (f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M (f,f)for every f∈F.m\,(f, f) \le (Lf, f) \le M\,(f, f) \qquad \text{for every } f \in F.m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)for every f∈F.

A kernel Λ\LambdaΛ is hermitian symmetric if Λ(x,y)=Λ(y,x)‾\Lambda(x, y) = \overline{\Lambda(y, x)}Λ(x,y)=Λ(y,x)​.

Formalization targets

Goal: §11, Theorem I (p. 373)

For an arbitrary hermitian symmetric function Λ:E×E→C\Lambda : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}Λ:E×E→C and real numbers m,Mm, Mm,M:

∃ L bounded, symmetric, with Λ=Lx∗K(x,y) and m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)  ∀f⟺mK≪Λ≪MK.\exists\, L \text{ bounded, symmetric, with } \Lambda = L^*_x K(x,y) \text{ and } m(f,f) \le (Lf,f) \le M(f,f)\ \ \forall f \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad mK \ll \Lambda \ll MK .∃L bounded, symmetric, with Λ=Lx∗​K(x,y) and m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)  ∀f⟺mK≪Λ≪MK.

The function Λ\LambdaΛ is not assumed to have Λ(⋅,y)∈F\Lambda(\cdot, y) \in FΛ(⋅,y)∈F; that membership is part of what the condition yields.

Milestones

  1. §11, (3): the kernel of the adjoint, Λ∗(y,z)=Λ(z,y)‾\Lambda^*(y, z) = \overline{\Lambda(z, y)}Λ∗(y,z)=Λ(z,y)​.
  2. §11, (6): LLL is symmetric if and only if Λ\LambdaΛ is hermitian symmetric.
  3. §11, (7): LLL is positive if and only if Λ\LambdaΛ is a positive matrix.
  4. §11, (4): the kernel of a composition, Λ(y,z)=(Λ1(x,z),Λ2(y,x)‾)x\Lambda(y, z) = (\Lambda_1(x, z), \overline{\Lambda_2(y, x)})_xΛ(y,z)=(Λ1​(x,z),Λ2​(y,x)​)x​ for L=L1L2L = L_1 L_2L=L1​L2​.
  5. §11, Theorem II: if Lnu→LuL_n u \to L uLn​u→Lu weakly for every uuu, then Λn→Λ\Lambda_n \to \LambdaΛn​→Λ pointwise; if ∥Ln−L∥→0\|L_n - L\| \to 0∥Ln​−L∥→0, then Λn→Λ\Lambda_n \to \LambdaΛn​→Λ uniformly on every set of couples (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) on which K(x,x)K(x, x)K(x,x) and K(y,y)K(y, y)K(y,y) are uniformly bounded.
  6. §11, Theorem III, first sentence: for complete orthonormal systems {gm′}\{g'_m\}{gm′​}, {gn′′}\{g''_n\}{gn′′​} and αmn=(gn′′,Lgm′)\alpha_{mn} = (g''_n, L g'_m)αmn​=(gn′′​,Lgm′​),
Λ(x,y)=lim⁡p,q→∞∑m=1p∑n=1qαmn gm′(x) gn′′(y)‾.\Lambda(x, y) = \lim_{p, q \to \infty} \sum_{m=1}^{p} \sum_{n=1}^{q} \alpha_{mn}\, g'_m(x)\, \overline{g''_n(y)} .Λ(x,y)=p,q→∞lim​m=1∑p​n=1∑q​αmn​gm′​(x)gn′′​(y)​.

Significance

Theorem I identifies, by finite quadratic-form inequalities alone, which functions of two points are kernels of bounded symmetric operators and with which spectral bounds. It reduces statements about operators (boundedness, positivity, operator inequalities mI≤L≤MImI \le L \le MImI≤L≤MI) to statements about finitely many evaluations of kernels, the form in which they are checked in practice, for instance when a covariance or integral operator is shown to be bounded and positive from its kernel. The milestones make the correspondence L↦ΛL \mapsto \LambdaL↦Λ a usable calculus: adjoints become conjugate transposes, composition becomes a scalar product in the middle variable, and limits of operators become limits of kernels.

All of these results are proved in the paper. None is formalized: Mathlib has reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), adjoints, positive operators and positive semidefinite matrices over arbitrary index types, but no kernel of an operator and none of the statements above. The mission produces machine-checked proofs of the §11 dictionary and of Theorem I.

Difficulty

The necessity half of Theorem I and milestones (3), (6), (4) follow from the reproducing property. The sufficiency half is where the work is: Λ\LambdaΛ is an arbitrary function, and the hypothesis mK≪Λ≪MKmK \ll \Lambda \ll MKmK≪Λ≪MK is only about finite families of points. One has to produce an operator on all of FFF. The obvious attempt, defining LLL on the dense span of the functions K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) by the kernel and extending by continuity, needs the bound ∣( Lf,g)∣≤C∥f∥∥g∥|(\,L f, g)| \le C\|f\|\|g\|∣(Lf,g)∣≤C∥f∥∥g∥ on that span, which does not follow directly from the two one-sided inequalities on the diagonal forms. The positivity of Λ−mK\Lambda - mKΛ−mK and MK−ΛMK - \LambdaMK−Λ does not by itself give the membership Λ(⋅,y)∈F\Lambda(\cdot, y) \in FΛ(⋅,y)∈F, which the definition of the kernel of an operator requires. In milestone (7), positivity of an operator is a statement about all of FFF, while positivity of the kernel only sees finite combinations of kernel functions; the passage between them uses density of these combinations.

Formalization scope

  • The space is Mathlib's RKHS ℂ H X ℂ: a complex Hilbert space H whose elements are functions X → ℂ on an arbitrary type X (no topology, no measure, not assumed nonempty), with continuous evaluations. The scalar kernel is the series' shared definition AronszajnRK.Sum.kernelFn H x y := RKHS.kernel H x y 1; the function K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) is the element RKHS.kerFun H y 1.
  • The kernel of L : H →L[ℂ] H is opKernel L x y := (adjoint L) (kerFun H y 1) x. Mathlib's ⟪u, v⟫_ℂ is conjugate-linear in u, so the paper's (f,g)(f, g)(f,g) is ⟪g, f⟫_ℂ, and every formula with a scalar product or a bar has been rewritten in that order. On a one-point EEE with F=CF = \mathbb{C}F=C, K=1K = 1K=1 and L=cIL = cIL=cI, the kernel is cˉ\bar ccˉ.
  • Positive matrices and ≪\ll≪ are Matrix.PosSemidef of Matrix.of Λ over the index type X (finitely supported test vectors, ComplexOrder on ℂ); no finiteness of X is assumed.
  • Symmetric is IsSelfAdjoint L. "Positive" in (7) is ∀ f, 0 ≤ ⟪f, L f⟫_ℂ in ComplexOrder (real and nonnegative), without assuming self-adjointness, as in the paper. The bounds in Theorem I are bounds of the quadratic form, m‖f‖² ≤ Re⟪f, L f⟫ ≤ M‖f‖², not of the operator norm. The paper does not assume m≤Mm \le Mm≤M and neither does the statement: for m>Mm > Mm>M both sides hold exactly when F={0}F = \{0\}F={0} and Λ=0\Lambda = 0Λ=0.
  • In (4) the statement asserts that the functions x↦Λ1(x,z)x \mapsto \Lambda_1(x, z)x↦Λ1​(x,z) and x↦Λ2(y,x)‾x \mapsto \overline{\Lambda_2(y, x)}x↦Λ2​(y,x)​ are elements of H, and that the kernel of L₁ ∘L L₂ is their scalar product.
  • Weak convergence in Theorem II is ⟪v, Lₙ u⟫ → ⟪v, L u⟫ for all u, v; uniform convergence is ‖Lₙ − L‖ → 0 in operator norm.
  • In Theorem III the orthonormal systems are HilbertBasis with arbitrary index types, and the double limit is taken along growing finite sets of indices in both variables. For systems indexed by N\mathbb{N}N this contains the paper's lim⁡p,q\lim_{p,q}limp,q​ over {1..p}×{1..q}\{1..p\}\times\{1..q\}{1..p}×{1..q}; the general form also covers finite-dimensional spaces. The second sentence of Theorem III (kernels in F⊗F‾F \otimes \overline{F}F⊗F correspond to operators of finite norm) needs the direct product F⊗F‾F \otimes \overline FF⊗F and is not stated.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: Theorem I quantifies over every hermitian function Λ\LambdaΛ, not over functions already known to be kernels of operators, and the right-hand side is the finite-matrix condition, not a statement about an operator built from Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • Not stated: the decomposition (8)–(9) into hermitian parts and the remark on general bounded operators (p. 374), and formula (5). Available substrate: RKHS, RKHS.kerFun_inner, RKHS.kerFun_dense, RKHS.posSemidef_kernel, ContinuousLinearMap.adjoint, ContinuousLinearMap.IsPositive and isPositive_iff_complex, HilbertBasis, Matrix.PosSemidef. Contributions welcome: a general lemma that a function Λ\LambdaΛ with 0≪Λ≪K0 \ll \Lambda \ll K0≪Λ≪K is the kernel of an operator 0≤L≤I0 \le L \le I0≤L≤I, and the inclusion theorem K1≪K⇒F1⊂FK_1 \ll K \Rightarrow F_1 \subset FK1​≪K⇒F1​⊂F, both reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • N. Aronszajn, Theory of Reproducing Kernels, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), no. 3, 337–404. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7
  • E. H. Moore, General Analysis, Part II, Mem. Amer. Philos. Soc. 1 (1939).
  • V. I. Paulsen and M. Raghupathi, An Introduction to the Theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces, Cambridge University Press, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316219232
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Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 4: Subgaussian Martingale Noise with Σ exp(−c/γ_n) < ∞ for Every c > 0 Satisfies Assumption A1 Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion

xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​)

in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, where FFF is a vector field, γn\gamma_nγn​ are small step sizes and Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is noise. Such recursions go back to Robbins and Monro's root-finding scheme (Robbins–Monro 1951) and underlie stochastic gradient descent, temporal-difference learning, adaptive control and learning in games. The ODE method studies them by comparing the iterates with the trajectories of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x).

Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999) organize the ODE method in two steps. A deterministic step, Proposition 4.1, shows that whenever the noise satisfies a condition called A1 (together with a boundedness condition on the iterates), the interpolated process is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF. A probabilistic step then verifies A1 for concrete noise models. Proposition 4.2 does this for martingale difference noise with bounded qqq-th moments, at the price of step sizes with ∑nγn1+q/2<∞\sum_n\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑n​γn1+q/2​<∞. This mission formalizes the second verification, Proposition 4.4: when the noise is subgaussian, A1 holds almost surely under the much weaker requirement that ∑ne−c/γn<∞\sum_ne^{-c/\gamma_n}<\infty∑n​e−c/γn​<∞ for every c>0c>0c>0, which allows step sizes decaying only slightly faster than 1/log⁡n1/\log n1/logn. The notes attribute the result to Duflo (1997), see also Kushner and Yin (1997) and Benaïm and Hirsch (1996).

Setting

Let {γn}n≥1\{\gamma_n\}_{n\ge1}{γn​}n≥1​ be a deterministic sequence with γn≥0\gamma_n\ge0γn​≥0, ∑nγn=∞\sum_n\gamma_n=\infty∑n​γn​=∞ and γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0 (a step sequence). Put τ0=0\tau_0=0τ0​=0, τn=∑i=1nγi\tau_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\gamma_iτn​=∑i=1n​γi​, and let

m(t)=sup⁡{k≥0: t≥τk}m(t)=\sup\{k\ge0:\ t\ge\tau_k\}m(t)=sup{k≥0: t≥τk​}

be the index of the step that contains time t≥0t\ge0t≥0. For a sequence {Un}n≥1\{U_n\}_{n\ge1}{Un​}n≥1​ define the piecewise constant processes Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1\bar U(t)=U_{m(t)+1}Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1​ and γˉ(t)=γm(t)+1\bar\gamma(t)=\gamma_{m(t)+1}γˉ​(t)=γm(t)+1​, so that step n+1n+1n+1 occupies the time interval [τn,τn+1)[\tau_n,\tau_{n+1})[τn​,τn+1​) of length γn+1\gamma_{n+1}γn+1​.

Assumption A1 asks that for every T>0T>0T>0

lim⁡n→∞sup⁡{∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥: k=n+1,…,m(τn+T)}=0,\lim_{n\to\infty}\sup\Big\{\Big\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\|:\ k=n+1,\dots,m(\tau_n+T)\Big\}=0,n→∞lim​sup{​i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​​: k=n+1,…,m(τn​+T)}=0,

or, in the form the notes call equivalent, lim⁡t→∞Δ(t,T)=0\lim_{t\to\infty}\Delta(t,T)=0limt→∞​Δ(t,T)=0 for every T>0T>0T>0, where

Δ(t,T)=sup⁡0≤h≤T∥∫tt+hUˉ(s) ds∥.\Delta(t,T)=\sup_{0\le h\le T}\Big\|\int_t^{t+h}\bar U(s)\,ds\Big\|.Δ(t,T)=0≤h≤Tsup​​∫tt+h​Uˉ(s)ds​.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space with a nondecreasing sequence {Fn}\{\mathcal F_n\}{Fn​} of sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras, and F:Rd→RdF:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^dF:Rd→Rd continuous. A sequence {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​} given by the recursion above is a Robbins–Monro algorithm if γ\gammaγ is deterministic, UnU_nUn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable, and E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0. The noise is subgaussian if there is a number Γ>0\Gamma>0Γ>0 such that for all nnn and all θ∈Rd\theta\in\mathbb R^dθ∈Rd

E(exp⁡⟨θ,Un+1⟩ ∣ Fn)≤exp⁡(Γ2∥θ∥2).E\big(\exp\langle\theta,U_{n+1}\rangle\,\big|\,\mathcal F_n\big)\le\exp\Big(\frac\Gamma2\|\theta\|^2\Big).E(exp⟨θ,Un+1​⟩​Fn​)≤exp(2Γ​∥θ∥2).

Bounded noise, ∥Un∥≤Γ\|U_n\|\le\sqrt\Gamma∥Un​∥≤Γ​, is an example.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.4

For a Robbins–Monro algorithm with subgaussian noise and a deterministic step sequence such that

∑ne−c/γn<∞for each c>0,\sum_ne^{-c/\gamma_n}<\infty\qquad\text{for each }c>0,n∑​e−c/γn​<∞for each c>0,

with probability one the realised noise sequence satisfies A1, in both of its forms, simultaneously for all T>0T>0T>0.

Milestones

  1. The exponential supermartingale. For every θ∈Rd\theta\in\mathbb R^dθ∈Rd,
Zn(θ)=exp⁡[∑i=1n⟨θ,γiUi⟩−Γ2∑i=1nγi2∥θ∥2]Z_n(\theta)=\exp\Big[\sum_{i=1}^n\langle\theta,\gamma_iU_i\rangle-\frac\Gamma2\sum_{i=1}^n\gamma_i^2\|\theta\|^2\Big]Zn​(θ)=exp[i=1∑n​⟨θ,γi​Ui​⟩−2Γ​i=1∑n​γi2​∥θ∥2]

is a supermartingale. 2. Directional maximal tail bound. For every unit vector eee, α>0\alpha>0α>0, nnn and T>0T>0T>0,

P(sup⁡n<k≤m(τn+T)⟨e,∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1⟩≥α)≤exp⁡(−α22Γ∑i=nm(τn+T)−1γi+12).P\Big(\sup_{n<k\le m(\tau_n+T)}\Big\langle e,\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\rangle\ge\alpha\Big)\le\exp\Big(\frac{-\alpha^2}{2\Gamma\sum_{i=n}^{m(\tau_n+T)-1}\gamma_{i+1}^2}\Big).P(n<k≤m(τn​+T)sup​⟨e,i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​⟩≥α)≤exp(2Γ∑i=nm(τn​+T)−1​γi+12​−α2​).
  1. Eq. (18). There are C,C′>0C,C'>0C,C′>0 depending only on ddd and Γ\GammaΓ with
P(Δ(t,T)≥α)≤Cexp⁡(−α2C′∫tt+Tγˉ(s) ds)(t≥0, T>0, α>0).P(\Delta(t,T)\ge\alpha)\le C\exp\Big(\frac{-\alpha^2}{C'\int_t^{t+T}\bar\gamma(s)\,ds}\Big)\qquad(t\ge0,\ T>0,\ \alpha>0).P(Δ(t,T)≥α)≤Cexp(C′∫tt+T​γˉ​(s)ds−α2​)(t≥0, T>0, α>0).
  1. Block comparison. Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T)\Delta(t,T)\le2\Delta(kT,T)+\Delta((k+1)T,T)Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T) for kT≤t<(k+1)TkT\le t<(k+1)TkT≤t<(k+1)T.

Significance

Proposition 4.4 is the sufficient condition for the ODE method when the noise has Gaussian-type tails. Its step-size condition holds whenever γnlog⁡n→0\gamma_n\log n\to0γn​logn→0, so it admits steps that decrease far more slowly than the ∑γn2<∞\sum\gamma_n^2<\infty∑γn2​<∞ of the classical L2L^2L2 theory; slowly decreasing steps are what practitioners use to keep algorithms responsive. Combined with Proposition 4.1 it shows that the interpolated process of such an algorithm, with bounded iterates, is almost surely an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF, and the limit set theorems of the notes then locate the limit points of the algorithm.

The result is proved in the notes and in the cited literature; it has not, to our knowledge, been machine-checked. A formal proof would add reusable pieces: an exponential supermartingale and maximal inequality for vector-valued martingale differences with a conditional subgaussian bound (Mathlib's conditional subgaussian notion is scalar), a Borel–Cantelli argument along the grid kTkTkT, and the continuous-time bookkeeping of Uˉ\bar UUˉ, γˉ\bar\gammaγˉ​ and Δ\DeltaΔ shared with the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The moment method of Proposition 4.2 does not reach this regime: any fixed polynomial moment of the window sums decays only polynomially in the window's step sizes, and under ∑e−c/γn<∞\sum e^{-c/\gamma_n}<\infty∑e−c/γn​<∞ alone polynomial bounds are not summable over windows. Exponential tail bounds are needed, and they must be maximal (uniform over the window) and must hold for the norm of a vector, not only for a scalar. The continuous-time deviation Δ(t,T)\Delta(t,T)Δ(t,T) involves partial steps at both ends of [t,t+h][t,t+h][t,t+h], so the bound must be stated in terms of ∫tt+Tγˉ\int_t^{t+T}\bar\gamma∫tt+T​γˉ​ rather than a sum over whole steps, with constants that do not depend on ttt, TTT or α\alphaα. Finally, A1 quantifies over all T>0T>0T>0: the almost-sure statement must hold on a single event of full probability for every TTT.

Formalization scope

The space is Rd\mathbb R^dRd as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) (the paper writes Rm\mathbb R^mRm); time is real. The sequences γ\gammaγ and UUU are indexed by N\mathbb NN, and their values at 000 are unused, as the paper indexes them from 111. The filtration is a Mathlib Filtration ℕ; Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is Fn+1\mathcal F_{n+1}Fn+1​-strongly measurable and integrable, and E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0 almost surely. The subgaussian condition requires exp⁡⟨θ,Un+1⟩\exp\langle\theta,U_{n+1}\rangleexp⟨θ,Un+1​⟩ to be integrable for every θ\thetaθ and nnn. The summand e−c/γne^{-c/\gamma_n}e−c/γn​ is taken to be 000 when γn=0\gamma_n=0γn​=0, its limiting value. The suprema in A1 and Δ\DeltaΔ are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; the supremum over an empty range of kkk is 000. In Eq. (18) the constants are chosen before the probability space, the algorithm and t,T,αt,T,\alphat,T,α.

The following readings are excluded and are not acceptable formalizations: a subgaussian condition that holds vacuously because the exponential is not integrable (Lean's conditional expectation of a non-integrable function is 000); a summability condition made trivial or false by the convention c/0=0c/0=0c/0=0; and the conclusion "for each TTT, A1 holds almost surely" in place of "almost surely, A1 holds for all TTT". The second sentence of Proposition 4.4 (the asymptotic pseudotrajectory conclusion) is outside this mission.

All hypotheses are satisfiable: U=0U=0U=0, x=0x=0x=0, F=0F=0F=0, Γ=1\Gamma=1Γ=1 and γn=1/n\gamma_n=1/nγn​=1/n satisfy every one of them.

Contributions welcome: a maximal inequality for nonnegative supermartingales in the form needed here, vector subgaussian tail bounds for martingale transforms with deterministic weights (reusable well beyond this mission), lemmas on the step processes and Δ\DeltaΔ (measurability, local integrability, additivity), and the proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Duflo, Random Iterative Models, Applications of Mathematics 34, Springer, 1997.
  • H. J. Kushner and G. G. Yin, Stochastic Approximation Algorithms and Applications, Springer, 1997.
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951), 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
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Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case VI: Lower Semianalytic Functions — Analytically Measurable ε-Optimal Selectors (Jankov–von Neumann)Textbook

Motivation

Dynamic programming over uncountable state and control spaces needs two things at every stage: the optimal cost-to-go, obtained by minimizing over the control, must be a function that can be integrated against the next stage's transition probabilities, and a policy that nearly attains the minimum must be measurable, so that it defines a stochastic process. With Borel-measurable costs and Borel-measurable policies both requirements fail. Minimizing a Borel function of (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) over yyy produces a function whose level sets are projections of Borel sets, and such projections need not be Borel (Suslin, 1917). The repair, developed by Blackwell, Freedman and Orkin (1974), Shreve and Bertsekas, and set out in Chapter 7 of Bertsekas and Shreve's Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case (1978), is to enlarge the class of costs to the lower semianalytic functions and the class of policies to the analytically or universally measurable ones. Sections 7.6–7.7 of the book establish that this class is closed under partial minimization and admits measurable ε-optimal selectors. Chapters 8–10 of the book, and much of the later literature on Borel-space Markov decision processes (Hernández-Lerma and Lasserre; Feinberg and coauthors), build on these results.

Timeline:

  • 1917: Suslin shows that projections of Borel sets need not be Borel and introduces analytic sets; Lusin proves that analytic sets are universally measurable.
  • 1941–1949: Jankov and von Neumann independently prove that an analytic subset of a product admits a selector measurable with respect to the σ-algebra generated by analytic sets.
  • 1974: Blackwell, Freedman and Orkin use analytic sets to construct ε-optimal policies in Borel dynamic programming.
  • 1978: Bertsekas and Shreve give the treatment used here (§7.6–7.7), including the selection theorem for lower semianalytic functions, Proposition 7.50.

Setting

A Borel space is a topological space homeomorphic to a Borel subset of a complete separable metric space (Definition 7.7); its Borel σ-algebra is BX\mathscr B_XBX​. The Baire space is N=NN\mathscr N=\mathbb N^{\mathbb N}N=NN with the product topology. A set A⊆XA\subseteq XA⊆X is analytic if it is empty or the image of N\mathscr NN under a continuous map; by Proposition 7.41 this is the book's Definition 7.16 (the Suslin operation applied to closed sets). Every Borel set is analytic, and the converse fails when XXX is uncountable.

Three σ-algebras on XXX are in play. The analytic σ-algebra AX\mathscr A_XAX​ is generated by the analytic sets (Definition 7.19). The universal σ-algebra is UX=⋂pBX(p)\mathscr U_X=\bigcap_{p}\mathscr B_X(p)UX​=⋂p​BX​(p), the intersection over all probability measures ppp on (X,BX)(X,\mathscr B_X)(X,BX​) of the ppp-completions of BX\mathscr B_XBX​ (Definition 7.18). For a function fff from D⊆XD\subseteq XD⊆X into a Borel space YYY, fff is analytically measurable if D∈AXD\in\mathscr A_XD∈AX​ and f−1(B)∈AXf^{-1}(B)\in\mathscr A_Xf−1(B)∈AX​ for every B∈BYB\in\mathscr B_YB∈BY​, and universally measurable if the same holds with UX\mathscr U_XUX​ (Definition 7.20).

Let R∗=[−∞,∞]R^*=[-\infty,\infty]R∗=[−∞,∞]. A function f:D→R∗f:D\to R^*f:D→R∗ is lower semianalytic if DDD is analytic and {x∈D∣f(x)<c}\{x\in D\mid f(x)<c\}{x∈D∣f(x)<c} is analytic for every real ccc (Definition 7.21). For D⊆X×YD\subseteq X\times YD⊆X×Y write Dx={y∣(x,y)∈D}D_x=\{y\mid (x,y)\in D\}Dx​={y∣(x,y)∈D}, projX(D)={x∣Dx≠∅}\mathrm{proj}_X(D)=\{x\mid D_x\neq\emptyset\}projX​(D)={x∣Dx​=∅}, and define the partial infimum

f∗(x)=inf⁡y∈Dxf(x,y),x∈projX(D).f^*(x)=\inf_{y\in D_x}f(x,y),\qquad x\in\mathrm{proj}_X(D).f∗(x)=y∈Dx​inf​f(x,y),x∈projX​(D).

A selector is a function φ:projX(D)→Y\varphi:\mathrm{proj}_X(D)\to Yφ:projX​(D)→Y whose graph Gr(φ)\mathrm{Gr}(\varphi)Gr(φ) lies in DDD.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7.50

Let X,YX,YX,Y be Borel spaces, D⊆X×YD\subseteq X\times YD⊆X×Y analytic, and f:D→R∗f:D\to R^*f:D→R∗ lower semianalytic.

(a) For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is an analytically measurable selector φ\varphiφ with

f[x,φ(x)]≤{f∗(x)+εif f∗(x)>−∞,−1/εif f∗(x)=−∞.f[x,\varphi(x)]\le\begin{cases}f^*(x)+\varepsilon&\text{if }f^*(x)>-\infty,\\-1/\varepsilon&\text{if }f^*(x)=-\infty.\end{cases}f[x,φ(x)]≤{f∗(x)+ε−1/ε​if f∗(x)>−∞,if f∗(x)=−∞.​

(b) The set III of points where the infimum is attained is universally measurable, and for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a universally measurable selector φ\varphiφ with f[x,φ(x)]=f∗(x)f[x,\varphi(x)]=f^*(x)f[x,φ(x)]=f∗(x) on III and the bounds of (a) off III.

The goal fixes no constant beyond the book's ε\varepsilonε and −1/ε-1/\varepsilon−1/ε.

Milestones

In attack order: Proposition 7.40 (Borel images and preimages of analytic sets are analytic), Corollary 7.42.1 (AX⊆UX\mathscr A_X\subseteq\mathscr U_XAX​⊆UX​), Corollary 7.44.2 (composites of analytically measurable maps are universally measurable), and Proposition 7.49, the Jankov–von Neumann theorem:

A⊆X×Y analytic ⟹ ∃ φ:projX(A)→Y analytically measurable, Gr(φ)⊆A.A\subseteq X\times Y\text{ analytic}\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,\varphi:\mathrm{proj}_X(A)\to Y\ \text{analytically measurable},\ \mathrm{Gr}(\varphi)\subseteq A.A⊆X×Y analytic ⟹ ∃φ:projX​(A)→Y analytically measurable, Gr(φ)⊆A.

Further items of the mission, on the same definitions: Proposition 7.39 (projections of analytic sets are analytic, and every analytic set is a projection of a Borel set), Lemma 7.30(1) (strict and non-strict, real and extended level sets give the same class) and Proposition 7.47 (lower semianalytic functions are exactly partial infima of Borel functions).

Significance

Proposition 7.50 is the selection theorem behind the existence of ε-optimal policies in Borel-space dynamic programming. In the finite-horizon model of Chapter 8 the optimal cost-to-go at each stage is lower semianalytic, by Propositions 7.47 and 7.48. Proposition 7.50 then turns the one-stage minimization into a measurable policy, analytically measurable when only ε-optimality is required and universally measurable when the minimum is attained. Chapters 8–9 of the book (the finite-horizon recursion JK∗=TK(J0)J^*_K=T^K(J_0)JK∗​=TK(J0​) and the optimality equation under (P), (N), (D)) use it at every step. Downstream catalog papers on average-cost and stochastic shortest-path problems over Borel spaces cite these results.

All results here are proved in the book and in the descriptive set theory literature (Kechris, Classical Descriptive Set Theory, §18 and §29). None is formalized on Prove2Me. Mathlib has analytic sets in Polish-type settings, the Lusin separation theorem and Suslin's theorem, but it has no universal σ-algebra, no analytic σ-algebra, no lower semianalytic functions and no Jankov–von Neumann uniformization. The definitions in this mission are reusable by the later missions of the series (Chapters 8–10), which restate them locally until these are published.

Difficulty

The obvious route to a selector is to choose, for each xxx, a minimizing or near-minimizing yyy. The axiom of choice provides such a function, but nothing makes it measurable, and the conclusion of the theorem is exactly that measurability. The Borel route fails too: the set {x∣f∗(x)<c}\{x\mid f^*(x)<c\}{x∣f∗(x)<c} is a projection of a Borel set, which is analytic but in general not Borel, so no Borel-measurable selector exists in general. The Jankov–von Neumann theorem needs a lexicographically least branch of a continuous parametrization of AAA by N\mathscr NN, and an argument that the resulting map is measurable with respect to AX\mathscr A_XAX​, which is generated by sets that are not closed under complementation. Part (b) adds a further obstacle: the composite of two analytically measurable maps need not be analytically measurable, so the exact selector is only universally measurable. Proving that requires Lusin's theorem that analytic sets are measurable for every completed probability measure.

Formalization scope

  • A Borel space is a type with a topology satisfying the class IsBorelSpace (Definition 7.7, the ambient complete separable metric space taken in the same universe), together with Mathlib's [MeasurableSpace X] [BorelSpace X], so measurable sets are exactly the Borel sets. On X×YX\times YX×Y the product σ-algebra is used; it coincides with BX×Y\mathscr B_{X\times Y}BX×Y​ for separable metrizable spaces (Proposition 7.13).
  • Analytic sets are Mathlib's MeasureTheory.AnalyticSet (empty or a continuous image of ℕ → ℕ).
  • R∗R^*R∗ is EReal. The book uses ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞, and Mathlib's EReal uses ⊥+⊤=⊥\bot+\top=\bot⊥+⊤=⊥. No statement of this mission adds infinities of opposite sign; f∗(x)+εf^*(x)+\varepsilonf∗(x)+ε adds a real number.
  • Functions on DDD and on projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) are functions on subtypes. The graph condition Gr(φ)⊆D\mathrm{Gr}(\varphi)\subseteq DGr(φ)⊆D is part of every selector statement.
  • Universally measurable means NullMeasurableSet E p for every probability measure p.
  • "Analytically measurable" refers to the σ-algebra generated by analytic sets. Replacing it by the power set, dropping the graph condition, or dropping the −1/ε-1/\varepsilon−1/ε case would make the selection theorems a consequence of the axiom of choice. The statements rule all three out.

Not included: Lusin's theorem in Suslin-scheme form (Proposition 7.42, which needs the Suslin operation as a definition), Proposition 7.43 on P(X)P(X)P(X), the integration results of Propositions 7.46 and 7.48, and Lemma 7.30(2)–(4). None is used in the proof of the goal. Contributions welcome: the bridge between IsBorelSpace and Mathlib's StandardBorelSpace, the universal σ-algebra API, and the Jankov–von Neumann theorem itself.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press 1978; Athena Scientific 1996, §7.6–7.7. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • D. Blackwell, D. Freedman and M. Orkin, The optimal reward operator in dynamic programming, Annals of Probability 2 (1974) 926–941. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996558
  • A. S. Kechris, Classical Descriptive Set Theory, Graduate Texts in Mathematics 156, Springer 1995, §18 (Jankov–von Neumann uniformization), §29 (measurability of analytic sets). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4190-4
  • S. E. Shreve and D. P. Bertsekas, Universally measurable policies in dynamic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 4 (1979) 15–30. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.4.1.15
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The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation IV: In Weighted Games with a Common Source and Sink, Best-Response Dynamics Converge to a Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a network design game each player must connect its terminals in a graph whose edges carry fixed costs, and the cost of an edge is split among the players that use it. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 38 (2008)) studied the fair (Shapley) split, in which the users of an edge pay equal shares. That game is a congestion game in the sense of Rosenthal (Int. J. Game Theory 2 (1973)), so it has an exact potential and pure Nash equilibria always exist.

Section 6 of the same paper turns to weighted players: player iii has a weight wi≥1w_i \ge 1wi​≥1 (a traffic volume, a bandwidth demand, a share of ownership) and pays for each edge it uses a share proportional to its weight. The equal-split potential is then lost, and the paper notes that weighted games with three or more players need not have a pure Nash equilibrium at all (Chen and Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, SPAA 2006). Theorem 6.3 identifies a natural class in which equilibria survive: all players share one source and one sink. For that class it shows more than existence. The simplest decentralized procedure, letting players in turn switch to a cheapest route, always stops, and where it stops is an equilibrium.

Setting

A finite directed multigraph DDD has a finite set EEE of arcs; each arc eee has a tail and a head vertex, and parallel arcs between the same two vertices are allowed. Fix a source sss and a sink ttt. A simple sss–ttt path is a sequence of arcs e1,…,eme_1,\dots,e_me1​,…,em​ (m≥1m\ge1m≥1), each starting where the previous one ends, beginning at sss, ending at ttt, and visiting no vertex twice; it is identified with its arc set P⊆EP\subseteq EP⊆E. Write Sst\mathcal S_{st}Sst​ for the finite set of these paths.

The weighted single-commodity game has a finite set of players; player iii has a weight wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1, arc eee has a fixed cost ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0, and every player's strategy set is Sst\mathcal S_{st}Sst​. In a profile S=(Si)iS=(S_i)_iS=(Si​)i​ let

We=∑i : e∈SiwiW_e=\sum_{i\,:\,e\in S_i} w_iWe​=i:e∈Si​∑​wi​

be the total weight on arc eee. Player iii pays

payi(S)=∑e∈SiwiWe ce.\mathrm{pay}_i(S)=\sum_{e\in S_i}\frac{w_i}{W_e}\,c_e .payi​(S)=e∈Si​∑​We​wi​​ce​.

A profile is a (pure) Nash equilibrium if no player can lower its payment by switching alone to another path.

A best-response move of player iii replaces SiS_iSi​ by a path TTT that minimises iii's payment given the other players' paths, provided this strictly lowers iii's payment. Best-response dynamics is any sequence of profiles in which each profile arises from the previous one by a best-response move of some player.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3 (p. 1620)

For every such game with wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1 and ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0:

there is no infinite sequence S0,S1,… with Sn+1 a best-response move from Sn;\text{there is no infinite sequence } S^0,S^1,\dots \text{ with } S^{n+1} \text{ a best-response move from } S^n;there is no infinite sequence S0,S1,… with Sn+1 a best-response move from Sn; a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium;\text{a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium;}a profile admitting no best-response move is a Nash equilibrium; Sst≠∅  ⟹  a pure Nash equilibrium exists.\mathcal S_{st}\neq\emptyset \;\Longrightarrow\; \text{a pure Nash equilibrium exists.}Sst​=∅⟹a pure Nash equilibrium exists.

The goal asserts only termination and existence; it fixes no bound on the length of a run.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 6.3, p. 1620)

For a profile SSS define the marginal cost of a path, cS(P)=∑e∈Pce/We∈[0,+∞]c_S(P)=\sum_{e\in P}c_e/W_e\in[0,+\infty]cS​(P)=∑e∈P​ce​/We​∈[0,+∞], and the tuple P(S)P(S)P(S) of all values cS(P)c_S(P)cS​(P), P∈SstP\in\mathcal S_{st}P∈Sst​, sorted increasingly. With strictly positive arc costs:

  1. a player on path PPP pays wi cS(P)w_i\,c_S(P)wi​cS​(P) (this one needs only ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0);
  2. inequality (6.1): if player iii makes a best-response move from P1P_1P1​ to P2P_2P2​ and P\mathcal PP is the set of paths sharing an arc with P1∪P2P_1\cup P_2P1​∪P2​, then min⁡P∈PcS′(P)<min⁡P∈PcS(P)\min_{P\in\mathcal P}c_{S'}(P)<\min_{P\in\mathcal P}c_S(P)minP∈P​cS′​(P)<minP∈P​cS​(P);
  3. every best-response move strictly decreases P(S)P(S)P(S) in the lexicographic order.

Significance

The theorem gives a guarantee about dynamics, not only about existence: in single-commodity weighted network design, any order in which players take turns playing best responses reaches a stable outcome in finitely many steps. This places the single-commodity case on the positive side of the boundary drawn by the nonexistence examples for general weighted games. The tuple of sorted path costs is a potential that is not a single number, a device that applies to other games without an exact potential.

The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formal development contributes a reusable layer for weighted cost-sharing games (payments, best responses, Nash equilibria on arbitrary strategy families), a treatment of simple directed paths in multigraphs as strategy sets, and a lexicographic termination argument over sorted lists of extended reals. The goal is stated for nonnegative costs, as in the paper's model, while the printed proof uses positive costs; closing that gap is part of the work.

Difficulty

The obvious route, finding a real-valued function that every improving move decreases, is unavailable: the paper notes that Rosenthal's potential Φ\PhiΦ is not a potential once weights are added, and that improving moves can increase it. Termination must instead come from an ordinal quantity, a whole sorted list compared lexicographically, and the move of one player changes the marginal costs of every path that shares an arc with the old or the new route, in both directions.

The argument also depends on the shape of the strategy sets. Two distinct simple sss–ttt paths are never nested as arc sets; with walks that repeat vertices, or with arbitrary strategy families, the comparison between a path's marginal cost before and after a deviation can fail. Arcs of cost zero create a further gap: ce/Wec_e/W_ece​/We​ is 0/00/00/0 on an unused free arc, and the strict inequalities of the proof degenerate, so the nonnegative-cost goal needs more than the printed argument.

Formalization scope

  • Players form a finite type; arcs form a finite type with tail and head maps into a vertex type. Parallel arcs are kept.
  • A strategy is a Finset of arcs; the strategy family of every player is the finite set of arc sets of simple sss–ttt paths (a list of consecutive arcs with distinct visited vertices). There are no paths when s=ts=ts=t.
  • Weights and costs are real numbers with wi≥1w_i\ge1wi​≥1, ce≥0c_e\ge0ce​≥0 (the predicate IsStandard); the milestones (6.1) and the lexicographic decrease assume ce>0c_e>0ce​>0.
  • Payments are real; on every used arc We≥wi≥1W_e\ge w_i\ge1We​≥wi​≥1, so the division is never by zero.
  • The marginal cost cS(P)c_S(P)cS​(P) is valued in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞] (ℝ≥0∞): an unused arc of positive cost contributes +∞+\infty+∞. Computing it in the reals, where x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0, would make unused paths free and the milestones false.
  • Termination is the well-foundedness of the relation "S′S'S′ is reached from SSS by one best-response move" with S′S'S′ below SSS; the reverse orientation is a different statement.
  • A best-response move requires a strict improvement and an exact minimiser; dropping either makes termination trivially true or false, and the second clause of the goal (no move possible implies Nash) guards against a move relation that is too narrow.

Contributions welcome: lemmas on simple paths in multigraphs (non-nestedness), the multiset-to-sorted-list lexicographic comparison, and the treatment of zero-cost arcs.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A class of games possessing pure-strategy Nash equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2:65–67, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14:124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • H. Chen, T. Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, Proceedings of the 18th ACM Symposium on Parallelism in Algorithms and Architectures (SPAA), 2006, pp. 28–37.
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Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case V: Semicontinuous Functions — a Borel-Measurable Minimizing Selector for Lower Semicontinuous CostsTextbook

Motivation

Every step of the dynamic programming algorithm on a general state space does three things: it takes a conditional expectation of the cost-to-go under a transition kernel, it minimizes the resulting function of state and control over the control, and, if a policy is to be produced, it picks a control for each state that attains or nearly attains that minimum. On a finite or countable state space all three are harmless. On an uncountable state space each can destroy the measurability needed to take the next expectation: the infimum over an uncountable family of measurable functions need not be measurable, and a minimizer chosen state by state need not be a measurable function of the state, so it does not define a policy at all.

Section 7.5 of Bertsekas and Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case (1978; Athena Scientific reprint 1996), settles the three operations for semicontinuous costs and continuous kernels. The results are the topological half of the book's measurability theory; the descriptive set theory half (lower semianalytic functions and analytically measurable selectors, §7.6–7.7) is a separate mission in this series. The semicontinuous results are what Propositions 8.6–8.7 and Corollaries 9.17.2–9.17.3 of the book use to obtain Borel-measurable optimal policies for finite-horizon and infinite-horizon models with lower semicontinuous costs and compact control sets.

Timeline. The exact selection theorem for lower semicontinuous functions (Proposition 7.33 below) is credited by the book's notes to Dubins and Savage, How to Gamble If You Must (1965). The Hausdorff metric on closed sets goes back to Hausdorff's Set Theory. Measurable selection in the closed-valued setting was later systematized by Kuratowski and Ryll-Nardzewski (1965), whose theorem gives a different route to results of this kind.

Setting

Throughout, R∗=[−∞,+∞]R^*=[-\infty,+\infty]R∗=[−∞,+∞] is the extended real line. A function f:X→R∗f:X\to R^*f:X→R∗ on a metrizable space XXX is lower semicontinuous if every sublevel set {x∣f(x)≤c}\{x\mid f(x)\le c\}{x∣f(x)≤c}, c∈Rc\in\mathbb Rc∈R, is closed, and upper semicontinuous if every superlevel set {x∣f(x)≥c}\{x\mid f(x)\ge c\}{x∣f(x)≥c} is closed (Definition 7.13). C(X)C(X)C(X) is the space of bounded continuous real-valued functions on XXX.

For a separable metrizable space YYY, P(Y)P(Y)P(Y) is the set of Borel probability measures on YYY with the weak topology (convergence of integrals of functions in C(Y)C(Y)C(Y)). A stochastic kernel q(dy∣x)q(dy\mid x)q(dy∣x) on YYY given XXX is a map x↦q(dy∣x)x\mapsto q(dy\mid x)x↦q(dy∣x) from XXX to P(Y)P(Y)P(Y), and it is continuous if this map is continuous (Definition 7.12). The integral of a Borel-measurable f:Y→R∗f:Y\to R^*f:Y→R∗ is ∫f dp=∫f+dp−∫f−dp\int f\,dp=\int f^+dp-\int f^-dp∫fdp=∫f+dp−∫f−dp with the convention −∞+∞=+∞−∞=+∞-\infty+\infty=+\infty-\infty=+\infty−∞+∞=+∞−∞=+∞ (Eq. (43) of Chapter 7).

For a compact metric space YYY, 2Y2^Y2Y is the collection of closed subsets of YYY with the topology of the Hausdorff metric (Appendix C). For D⊆X×YD\subseteq X\times YD⊆X×Y, the section at xxx is Dx={y∣(x,y)∈D}D_x=\{y\mid (x,y)\in D\}Dx​={y∣(x,y)∈D}, the projection is projX(D)={x∣Dx≠∅}\mathrm{proj}_X(D)=\{x\mid D_x\neq\emptyset\}projX​(D)={x∣Dx​=∅}, and a function φ:projX(D)→Y\varphi:\mathrm{proj}_X(D)\to Yφ:projX​(D)→Y has its graph in DDD if (x,φ(x))∈D(x,\varphi(x))\in D(x,φ(x))∈D for every x∈projX(D)x\in\mathrm{proj}_X(D)x∈projX​(D). "Borel-measurable" refers to the Borel σ-algebras of the topologies in question; on projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) this is the Borel σ-algebra of the subspace topology.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 7.33

Let XXX be metrizable, YYY compact metrizable, D⊆X×YD\subseteq X\times YD⊆X×Y closed, and f:D→R∗f:D\to R^*f:D→R∗ lower semicontinuous. Put

f∗(x)=min⁡y∈Dxf(x,y),x∈projX(D).f^*(x)=\min_{y\in D_x}f(x,y),\qquad x\in\mathrm{proj}_X(D).f∗(x)=y∈Dx​min​f(x,y),x∈projX​(D).

Then projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) is closed, f∗f^*f∗ is lower semicontinuous, and there is a Borel-measurable φ:projX(D)→Y\varphi:\mathrm{proj}_X(D)\to Yφ:projX​(D)→Y with graph in DDD and

f(x,φ(x))=f∗(x)∀x∈projX(D).f\bigl(x,\varphi(x)\bigr)=f^*(x)\qquad\forall x\in\mathrm{proj}_X(D).f(x,φ(x))=f∗(x)∀x∈projX​(D).

Milestones

  • Proposition 7.32: for f∗(x)=inf⁡y∈Yf(x,y)f^*(x)=\inf_{y\in Y}f(x,y)f∗(x)=infy∈Y​f(x,y), lower semicontinuity of fff and compactness of YYY give lower semicontinuity of f∗f^*f∗ and attainment; upper semicontinuity of fff gives upper semicontinuity of f∗f^*f∗.
  • Lemma 7.18: there is a Borel-measurable σ:2Y−{∅}→Y\sigma:2^Y-\{\emptyset\}\to Yσ:2Y−{∅}→Y with σ(A)∈A\sigma(A)\in Aσ(A)∈A.
  • Lemma 7.20: for lower semicontinuous fff on a nonempty compact YYY, the argmin map x↦{y∣f(x,y)≤f∗(x)}x\mapsto\{y\mid f(x,y)\le f^*(x)\}x↦{y∣f(x,y)≤f∗(x)} is Borel-measurable into 2Y2^Y2Y.
  • Lemma 7.14: fff is lower semicontinuous and bounded below iff fn↑ff_n\uparrow ffn​↑f for some fn∈C(X)f_n\in C(X)fn​∈C(X) (and dually).
  • Proposition 7.30: x↦∫f(x,y) q(dy∣x)x\mapsto\int f(x,y)\,q(dy\mid x)x↦∫f(x,y)q(dy∣x) is continuous for f∈C(X×Y)f\in C(X\times Y)f∈C(X×Y) and continuous qqq.
  • Proposition 7.31: the same map is lower (upper) semicontinuous and bounded below (above) when fff is.
  • Lemma 7.21: an open G⊆X×YG\subseteq X\times YG⊆X×Y, YYY separable, has open projection and a Borel-measurable selector with graph in GGG.
  • Proposition 7.34: for open DDD and upper semicontinuous fff, projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) is open, f∗=inf⁡Dxff^*=\inf_{D_x}ff∗=infDx​​f is upper semicontinuous, and for each ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a Borel-measurable φε\varphi_\varepsilonφε​ with graph in DDD and
f(x,φε(x))≤{f∗(x)+εif f∗(x)>−∞,−1/εif f∗(x)=−∞.f\bigl(x,\varphi_\varepsilon(x)\bigr)\le\begin{cases}f^*(x)+\varepsilon&\text{if }f^*(x)>-\infty,\\-1/\varepsilon&\text{if }f^*(x)=-\infty.\end{cases}f(x,φε​(x))≤{f∗(x)+ε−1/ε​if f∗(x)>−∞,if f∗(x)=−∞.​

Significance

The results. Propositions 7.31–7.33 are the closure properties that make the dynamic programming recursion stay inside the class of lower semicontinuous functions bounded below: the expectation step preserves the class (7.31), the minimization step preserves it (7.32, 7.33), and the minimization admits a Borel-measurable exact minimizer (7.33). This is why, in semicontinuous models, the optimal cost functions are lower semicontinuous and optimal policies can be taken Borel-measurable and nonrandomized. Proposition 7.34 gives the weaker, ε\varepsilonε-optimal counterpart for upper semicontinuous costs, where the infimum need not be attained.

Formalizing them. All of these results are proved in the book; none is open. As far as is known, none has a machine-checked proof: Mathlib has semicontinuity, the Hausdorff extended metric on closed and on nonempty compact sets, and the weak topology on probability measures, but no theorem combining them into a measurable selection result of this kind. A formal development would supply measurable selectors for semicontinuous minimization in Lean and the Borel-measurability of set-valued maps into the hyperspace of closed sets, both reusable well beyond dynamic programming.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt at the goal is to pick, for each xxx, some minimizer yyy of f(x,⋅)f(x,\cdot)f(x,⋅) over the compact section DxD_xDx​. The minimizer exists by compactness and lower semicontinuity, but the choice is made pointwise and gives no control on measurability: a minimizer chosen by the axiom of choice need not be Borel-measurable. The argmin sets F∗(x)F^*(x)F∗(x) vary with xxx only semicontinuously: they can jump from a single point to a large set, so a continuous selection generally does not exist, and continuity arguments cannot replace measurability. Lemma 7.18 isolates the hardest part: a choice of a point of each nonempty closed set that is measurable as a function of the set itself.

A second difficulty is bookkeeping at infinity. Values ±∞\pm\infty±∞ are allowed throughout, so sublevel sets, minima, integrals and ε\varepsilonε-bounds must all be handled in R∗R^*R∗; the integral in Proposition 7.31 uses the convention ∞−∞=+∞\infty-\infty=+\infty∞−∞=+∞, which is not Mathlib's.

Formalization scope

  • Extended reals. Values are in EReal. The only place where values of opposite infinite sign are combined is the integral, which is the published definition DupacovaWets.Consistency.expect (reused, not restated): ∫f+−∫f−\int f^+-\int f^-∫f+−∫f− with an explicit case returning +∞+\infty+∞ when ∫f+=∞\int f^+=\infty∫f+=∞, exactly the book's convention (42). The ε\varepsilonε-bound of Proposition 7.34 adds a real ε\varepsilonε to a value different from −∞-\infty−∞, which is safe in EReal.
  • Semicontinuity is Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuous/UpperSemicontinuous, equivalent to Definition 7.13 for EReal-valued functions. Lemma 7.13 of the book (the sequential characterization) is Mathlib's lowerSemicontinuous_iff_le_liminf together with first countability of metrizable spaces, and is not restated here.
  • Functions on DDD. Functions "on DDD" are functions on X×YX\times YX×Y with LowerSemicontinuousOn f D (resp. UpperSemicontinuousOn); values off DDD play no role. projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) is Prod.fst '' D, selectors are functions on that subtype, and its σ-algebra is the Borel σ-algebra of the subspace topology.
  • Hyperspace. 2Y2^Y2Y is Closeds Y, and 2Y−{∅}2^Y-\{\emptyset\}2Y−{∅} for compact YYY is NonemptyCompacts Y, each with the Hausdorff extended metric and the Borel σ-algebra of its topology. This topology agrees with the book's (the exponential topology of Appendix C, independent of the metric).
  • Boundedness. "Bounded below/above" is by a real constant. BddBelow in EReal would be vacuous and is not used.
  • Edge cases. Proposition 7.32(a)'s attainment clause is stated for nonempty YYY, since for Y=∅Y=\emptysetY=∅ the infimum is +∞+\infty+∞ and nothing attains it.
  • Argmin minimum. Lemma 7.20 assumes nonempty YYY because its defining formula uses a minimum; for empty YYY there is no minimizer.
  • Ruling out trivial readings. The graph condition (x,φ(x))∈D(x,\varphi(x))\in D(x,φ(x))∈D is part of every selection statement; without it the goal would follow from the unconstrained case. The selector must be Borel-measurable on projX(D)\mathrm{proj}_X(D)projX​(D) and must attain the minimum exactly, not up to ε\varepsilonε.

A complete development needs the Borel structure of the hyperspace (measurability of maps into Closeds Y from upper semicontinuity in the sense of Kuratowski, Proposition C.4 of the book), the construction of a measurable choice function on NonemptyCompacts Y, and approximation of semicontinuous functions by monotone sequences in C(X)C(X)C(X). Each of these is reusable on its own; proofs of individual milestones by any route are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978; Athena Scientific reprint, 1996, Section 7.5 and Appendix C. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/soc.html
  • L. E. Dubins and L. J. Savage, How to Gamble If You Must: Inequalities for Stochastic Processes, McGraw-Hill, 1965.
  • K. Kuratowski and C. Ryll-Nardzewski, "A general theorem on selectors," Bull. Acad. Polon. Sci. 13 (1965), 397–403.
  • F. Hausdorff, Set Theory, Chelsea, New York, 1957.
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

WordRAM to Turing machines: polynomial simulation for NP proofsResearch Paper

We establish the polynomial simulation needed for WordRAM-based NP proofs. It reuses the same machines and Cook–Levin definitions, with uniform programs, logarithmic word widths, and standard bit input/output.

The targets cover function outputs and verifier verdicts, including loading and serialization costs.

This adapts Cook–Reckhow’s Theorem 2(a), pp. 361–363, to Hagerup’s bounded-word operations, including multiplication; no particular simulation exponent is prescribed.

References:

  • Stephen A. Cook and Robert A. Reckhow. Time Bounded Random Access Machines. Journal of Computer and System Sciences 7(4), 354–375, 1973.
  • Torben Hagerup. Sorting and Searching on the Word RAM. STACS 1998, 366–398.
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean Field Games: Numerical Methods for the Planning Problem II: Solutions of the Penalized Scheme Converge to a Solution of the Discrete Planning Scheme as ε → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Mean field games (MFG), introduced by Lasry and Lions and by Huang, Caines and Malhamé, describe Nash equilibria of very large populations of identical rational agents. The equilibrium is a coupled system: a backward Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation for the value function uuu of a representative agent and a forward Fokker–Planck equation for the density mmm of the population. In the planning problem, proposed by P.-L. Lions, both the initial density m0m_0m0​ and the final density mTm_TmT​ are prescribed, and one asks for a cost structure under which the population moves from one to the other. This is a mean field analogue of optimal transport.

Achdou, Camilli and Capuzzo-Dolcetta (hal-00465404, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2012) propose finite-difference schemes for the planning problem. Mission I of this series treats the existence of a solution of the discrete planning scheme. Since the two boundary conditions on mmm make the discrete system hard to solve directly, the paper also introduces a penalized scheme, in which the initial condition M0=m0M^0 = m_0M0=m0​ is replaced by a penalty U0=(M0−m0)/εU^0 = (M^0 - m_0)/\varepsilonU0=(M0−m0​)/ε; for each ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 this is a standard discrete MFG system with a unique solution. This mission formalizes the paper's §3.2: the penalized solutions converge, as ε→0\varepsilon \to 0ε→0, to a solution of the planning scheme.

Setting

Fix integers Nh≥1N_h \ge 1Nh​≥1, NT≥1N_T \ge 1NT​≥1, a horizon T>0T > 0T>0 and a viscosity ν≥0\nu \ge 0ν≥0; put h=1/Nhh = 1/N_hh=1/Nh​ and Δt=T/NT\Delta t = T/N_TΔt=T/NT​. The grid Th2\mathbb T^2_hTh2​ consists of the points xi,jx_{i,j}xi,j​, (i,j)∈(Z/NhZ)2(i,j) \in (\mathbb Z/N_h\mathbb Z)^2(i,j)∈(Z/Nh​Z)2 (periodic indices). A grid function is a real function on Th2\mathbb T^2_hTh2​; time levels are n=0,…,NTn = 0, \dots, N_Tn=0,…,NT​.

  • (D1+U)i,j=(Ui+1,j−Ui,j)/h(D_1^+U)_{i,j} = (U_{i+1,j} - U_{i,j})/h(D1+​U)i,j​=(Ui+1,j​−Ui,j​)/h, (D2+U)i,j=(Ui,j+1−Ui,j)/h(D_2^+U)_{i,j} = (U_{i,j+1} - U_{i,j})/h(D2+​U)i,j​=(Ui,j+1​−Ui,j​)/h, and the discrete gradient is [DhU]i,j=((D1+U)i,j,(D1+U)i−1,j,(D2+U)i,j,(D2+U)i,j−1)∈R4[D_hU]_{i,j} = ((D_1^+U)_{i,j}, (D_1^+U)_{i-1,j}, (D_2^+U)_{i,j}, (D_2^+U)_{i,j-1}) \in \mathbb R^4[Dh​U]i,j​=((D1+​U)i,j​,(D1+​U)i−1,j​,(D2+​U)i,j​,(D2+​U)i,j−1​)∈R4.
  • Δh\Delta_hΔh​ is the five-point Laplacian.
  • A numerical Hamiltonian g(xi,j,q)g(x_{i,j}, q)g(xi,j​,q), q∈R4q \in \mathbb R^4q∈R4, is monotone (G1), C1C^1C1 (G3), convex (G4) and coercive (G5) in qqq.
  • Bi,j(U,M)\mathcal B_{i,j}(U, M)Bi,j​(U,M) is the discrete transport term divh(M ∇qg(⋅,[DhU]))\mathrm{div}_h\big(M\,\nabla_q g(\cdot, [D_hU])\big)divh​(M∇q​g(⋅,[Dh​U])).
  • W:R→RW : \mathbb R \to \mathbb RW:R→R is strictly convex, superlinear and C2C^2C2, with V=W′V = W'V=W′ (hypothesis (24)).
  • K={M≥0:h2∑i,jMi,j=1}\mathcal K = \{M \ge 0 : h^2\sum_{i,j} M_{i,j} = 1\}K={M≥0:h2∑i,j​Mi,j​=1} is the set of discrete probability densities, and m0,mT∈Km_0, m_T \in \mathcal Km0​,mT​∈K with m0>0m_0 > 0m0​>0.

The planning scheme (18) asks for families (Un,Mn)(U^n, M^n)(Un,Mn) with, for n<NTn < N_Tn<NT​,

Un+1−UnΔt−νΔhUn+1+g(x,[DhUn+1])=V(Mn),Mn+1−MnΔt+νΔhMn+B(Un+1,Mn)=0,\frac{U^{n+1} - U^n}{\Delta t} - \nu\Delta_hU^{n+1} + g(x, [D_hU^{n+1}]) = V(M^n), \qquad \frac{M^{n+1} - M^n}{\Delta t} + \nu\Delta_hM^n + \mathcal B(U^{n+1}, M^n) = 0,ΔtUn+1−Un​−νΔh​Un+1+g(x,[Dh​Un+1])=V(Mn),ΔtMn+1−Mn​+νΔh​Mn+B(Un+1,Mn)=0,

Mn∈KM^n \in \mathcal KMn∈K, M0=m0M^0 = m_0M0=m0​ and MNT=mTM^{N_T} = m_TMNT​=mT​. The penalized scheme (20)–(23) has the same two equations, Mn∈KM^n \in \mathcal KMn∈K for n<NTn < N_Tn<NT​, MNT=mTM^{N_T} = m_TMNT​=mT​, and U0=(M0−m0)/εU^0 = (M^0 - m_0)/\varepsilonU0=(M0−m0​)/ε in place of M0=m0M^0 = m_0M0=m0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

Under the hypotheses of Theorem 1, for every sequence εk↓0\varepsilon_k \downarrow 0εk​↓0, every choice of penalized solutions (Uεk,Mεk)(U^{\varepsilon_k}, M^{\varepsilon_k})(Uεk​,Mεk​), and every limit Mεk→MM^{\varepsilon_k} \to MMεk​→M in KNT+1\mathcal K^{N_T+1}KNT​+1,

∃ U, a subsequence with Uεk→U,(U,M) solves (43)–(46).\exists\, U,\ \text{a subsequence with } U^{\varepsilon_k} \to U, \quad (U, M) \text{ solves (43)–(46)}.∃U, a subsequence with Uεk​→U,(U,M) solves (43)–(46).

If ggg is strictly convex, the whole sequence (Uεk,Mεk)(U^{\varepsilon_k}, M^{\varepsilon_k})(Uεk​,Mεk​) converges to the unique solution of (43)–(46) with ∑i,jUi,j0=0\sum_{i,j} U^0_{i,j} = 0∑i,j​Ui,j0​=0.

Milestones

  1. (13): (G5) implies max⁡i,jg(xi,j,[DhU]i,j)/∥[DhU]∥∞→+∞\max_{i,j} g(x_{i,j}, [D_hU]_{i,j}) / \|[D_hU]\|_\infty \to +\inftymaxi,j​g(xi,j​,[Dh​U]i,j​)/∥[Dh​U]∥∞​→+∞.
  2. Theorem 2: the penalized control problem (50), min⁡Θ∗(M,Z)+12εΔt∑(M0−m0)2\min \Theta^*(M,Z) + \frac{1}{2\varepsilon\Delta t}\sum(M^0 - m_0)^2minΘ∗(M,Z)+2εΔt1​∑(M0−m0​)2 under the discrete Fokker–Planck constraint, has a minimizer whose optimality system is (20)–(23).
  3. Proposition 2: max⁡i,j∣Mi,jε,0−(m0)i,j∣≤Cε1/2\max_{i,j}|M^{\varepsilon,0}_{i,j} - (m_0)_{i,j}| \le C\varepsilon^{1/2}maxi,j​∣Mi,jε,0​−(m0​)i,j​∣≤Cε1/2.
  4. Proposition 3: max⁡n,i,j∣Ui,jε,n∣≤C\max_{n,i,j}|U^{\varepsilon,n}_{i,j}| \le Cmaxn,i,j​∣Ui,jε,n​∣≤C.
  5. Corollary 1: max⁡i,j∣Mi,jε,0−(m0)i,j∣≤Cε\max_{i,j}|M^{\varepsilon,0}_{i,j} - (m_0)_{i,j}| \le C\varepsilonmaxi,j​∣Mi,jε,0​−(m0​)i,j​∣≤Cε.
  6. Proposition 1: uniqueness of MMM for (18), and of UUU normalized by ∑U0=0\sum U^0 = 0∑U0=0 when ggg is strictly convex.

In 3–5 the constant CCC depends on hhh, Δt\Delta tΔt and the data, never on ε\varepsilonε.

Significance

Proposition 4 justifies the penalized scheme as a way to compute solutions of the discrete planning problem. The penalized system has a standard initial–terminal structure that Newton's method (the paper's §4) handles well. The planning system does not, because it prescribes two conditions on MMM and none on UUU. The estimates of Propositions 2–3 and Corollary 1 also give a rate: the initial mismatch of the penalized density is O(ε)O(\varepsilon)O(ε).

The results are proved in the paper. None of them has been machine-checked: the platform holds no formalization of mean field games, of their finite-difference schemes, or of the Lasry–Lions monotonicity argument. A complete development would yield a reusable library of the monotone finite-difference operators on the discrete torus, a formal Lasry–Lions uniqueness argument for discrete MFG systems, and a template for compactness-plus-uniqueness convergence proofs in finite dimension.

Difficulty

Compactness of the densities is free, since KNT+1\mathcal K^{N_T+1}KNT​+1 is compact. Passing to the limit in the scheme needs only continuity of ggg, ∇qg\nabla_q g∇q​g and VVV. The substance lies in the two uniform estimates.

  • Bounding UεU^\varepsilonUε uniformly in ε\varepsilonε (Proposition 3) is the central difficulty. The initial condition Uε,0=(Mε,0−m0)/εU^{\varepsilon,0} = (M^{\varepsilon,0} - m_0)/\varepsilonUε,0=(Mε,0−m0​)/ε involves division by ε\varepsilonε, so the obvious bound ∣Uε,0∣≤2/(h2ε)|U^{\varepsilon,0}| \le 2/(h^2\varepsilon)∣Uε,0∣≤2/(h2ε) blows up. The comparison principle for the discrete HJB equation, which is the natural first idea, cannot repair this: it propagates whatever bound U0U^0U0 has. The HJB equation alone does not bound UεU^\varepsilonUε; the coupling with the Fokker–Planck equation, the coercivity (13), and a lower bound on Mε,0M^{\varepsilon,0}Mε,0 that is uniform in ε\varepsilonε (which is where Proposition 2 enters) all have to be used.
  • Proposition 2 compares the penalized problem with the planning problem through the convex duality of Theorem 2. It therefore needs a solution of the planning scheme, which is mission I's goal.
  • Proposition 1 needs the discrete Lasry–Lions identity, a summation by parts across the coupled system.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace MFGPlanning.Penalized.

  • Grid points are ZMod Nh × ZMod Nh (periodicity is built in), time levels are Fin (NT + 1), and the four momentum components q1,…,q4q_1, \dots, q_4q1​,…,q4​ are Fin 4 indices 0, …, 3.
  • The data structure carries Nh,NT≥1N_h, N_T \ge 1Nh​,NT​≥1, T>0T > 0T>0 and ν≥0\nu \ge 0ν≥0.
  • ggg is given only at the grid points. (G2), which only defines the continuous Hamiltonian, is not encoded.
  • "Coercive" in (24) is read as superlinear.
  • Vh[M]=V(Mi,j)V_h[M] = V(M_{i,j})Vh​[M]=V(Mi,j​), as (24) prescribes.
  • Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗ and (W+χ)∗(W+\chi)^*(W+χ)∗ take values in EReal, so unbounded suprema are +∞+\infty+∞.
  • Convergence is in the product topology, which on these finite-dimensional spaces is max⁡n∥⋅∥∞\max_n \|\cdot\|_\inftymaxn​∥⋅∥∞​ convergence.
  • "The unique solution" of (43)–(46) means unique under the normalization ∑i,jUi,j0=0\sum_{i,j} U^0_{i,j} = 0∑i,j​Ui,j0​=0, because UUU is otherwise determined only up to a constant.

Three trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The constants in Propositions 2–3 and Corollary 1 are quantified before ε\varepsilonε and before the solution. The goal quantifies over every sequence εk→0\varepsilon_k \to 0εk​→0 and assumes no convergence of UUU and no limit solution. Its part 2 does not assume convergence of MMM.

The existence of a solution of the planning scheme (Theorem 1) is posed in mission I and not restated here. A solver of Proposition 2 will need it once mission I's goal is proved. The existence and uniqueness of solutions of (20)–(23) are quoted by the paper from Achdou–Capuzzo-Dolcetta (2010) and are not items. Welcome contributions include discrete summation-by-parts lemmas on the torus, the discrete comparison principle for monotone schemes, and the Poincaré-type inequality ∥W∥∞≤c∥[DhW]∥∞\|W\|_\infty \le c\|[D_hW]\|_\infty∥W∥∞​≤c∥[Dh​W]∥∞​ on zero-mean grid functions.

Selected references

  • Y. Achdou, F. Camilli, I. Capuzzo-Dolcetta, Mean field games: numerical methods for the planning problem, HAL preprint hal-00465404v1, 2010; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50 (2012). https://hal.science/hal-00465404v1, https://doi.org/10.1137/100790069
  • Y. Achdou, I. Capuzzo-Dolcetta, Mean field games: numerical methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 48 (2010) 1136–1162. https://doi.org/10.1137/090758477
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Japanese Journal of Mathematics 2 (2007) 229–260. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • M. Huang, R. P. Malhamé, P. E. Caines, Large population stochastic dynamic games: closed-loop McKean–Vlasov systems and the Nash certainty equivalence principle, Communications in Information and Systems 6 (2006) 221–252. https://doi.org/10.4310/CIS.2006.v6.n3.a5
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisPartial Differential Equations·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean Field Games: Numerical Methods for the Planning Problem I: The Discrete Planning Scheme Has a Solution, Given by a Fenchel–Rockafellar Saddle PointResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean field games (Lasry and Lions, 2006–2007; Huang, Malhamé and Caines, 2006) model the limit of a large population of identical rational agents. Each agent solves an optimal control problem whose cost depends on the distribution mmm of all agents, and the distribution is in turn transported by the agents' optimal feedback. In the continuous setting this gives a coupled system: a backward Hamilton–Jacobi equation for the value function uuu and a forward Fokker–Planck equation for the density mmm.

In the usual formulation, mmm is prescribed at the initial time and uuu at the final time. The planning problem, introduced by P.-L. Lions in his Collège de France lectures, prescribes instead both the initial density m0m_0m0​ and the final density mTm_TmT​, and asks for a cost (through uuu) that steers the population from one to the other. According to the paper (§1, pp. 2–3), Lions proved existence for the continuous planning problem in mainly two cases: ν=0\nu = 0ν=0 with a smooth, strictly convex, superlinear Hamiltonian; and ν>0\nu > 0ν>0 with H(p)=c∣p∣2H(p) = c|p|^2H(p)=c∣p∣2 or close to it. In both cases the coupling is local and the densities are smooth and bounded away from 000. Existence for ν>0\nu > 0ν>0 and more general Hamiltonians was then open, and for sublinear HHH, m0≠mTm_0\ne m_Tm0​=mT​ and short horizons there is no solution.

Achdou, Camilli and Capuzzo-Dolcetta (hal-00465404, 2010; SIAM J. Control Optim. 2012) introduced a finite-difference scheme for the planning problem and proved that the discrete system has a solution. The proof writes the scheme as the optimality system of a discrete optimal control problem, a Fokker–Planck equation driven by a control, and obtains a solution from a saddle point given by the Fenchel–Rockafellar duality theorem. This mission formalizes that existence result: Theorem 1 of §3.1 together with the lemmas on which its proof rests.

Setting

Fix integers Nh,NT≥1N_h, N_T \ge 1Nh​,NT​≥1, a horizon T>0T > 0T>0 and a viscosity ν≥0\nu \ge 0ν≥0; let h=1/Nhh = 1/N_hh=1/Nh​ and Δt=T/NT\Delta t = T/N_TΔt=T/NT​. The grid Th2\mathbb T^2_hTh2​ is the periodic Nh×NhN_h\times N_hNh​×Nh​ grid on the two-dimensional torus, with points xi,jx_{i,j}xi,j​, (i,j)∈(Z/Nh)2(i,j)\in(\mathbb Z/N_h)^2(i,j)∈(Z/Nh​)2. On grid functions UUU the scheme uses the forward differences D1+D_1^+D1+​, D2+D_2^+D2+​, the four-component discrete gradient [DhU]i,j=((D1+U)i,j,(D1+U)i−1,j,(D2+U)i,j,(D2+U)i,j−1)[D_hU]_{i,j} = ((D_1^+U)_{i,j}, (D_1^+U)_{i-1,j}, (D_2^+U)_{i,j}, (D_2^+U)_{i,j-1})[Dh​U]i,j​=((D1+​U)i,j​,(D1+​U)i−1,j​,(D2+​U)i,j​,(D2+​U)i,j−1​), the five-point Laplacian Δh\Delta_hΔh​, a discrete divergence divh\mathrm{div}_hdivh​ of four-component fields, and the transport operator B(U,M)=divh(M ∇qg(⋅,[DhU]))\mathcal B(U, M) = \mathrm{div}_h(M\,\nabla_q g(\cdot, [D_hU]))B(U,M)=divh​(M∇q​g(⋅,[Dh​U])).

A numerical Hamiltonian g(xi,j,q1,q2,q3,q4)g(x_{i,j}, q_1,q_2,q_3,q_4)g(xi,j​,q1​,q2​,q3​,q4​) is monotone (nonincreasing in q1,q3q_1, q_3q1​,q3​, nondecreasing in q2,q4q_2, q_4q2​,q4​), C1C^1C1, convex, and superlinearly coercive in the directions where monotonicity does not bound it. The coupling is local: V=W′V = W'V=W′, with WWW strictly convex, superlinear and C2C^2C2. The set K\mathcal KK consists of the discrete probability densities, h2∑i,jMi,j=1h^2\sum_{i,j}M_{i,j} = 1h2∑i,j​Mi,j​=1, M≥0M\ge 0M≥0. The discrete planning scheme (18) asks for (Un,Mn)0≤n≤NT(U^n, M^n)_{0\le n\le N_T}(Un,Mn)0≤n≤NT​​ with

Un+1−UnΔt−νΔhUn+1+g(x,[DhUn+1])=V(Mn),Mn+1−MnΔt+νΔhMn+B(Un+1,Mn)=0,\frac{U^{n+1}-U^n}{\Delta t} - \nu\Delta_hU^{n+1} + g(x,[D_hU^{n+1}]) = V(M^n),\qquad \frac{M^{n+1}-M^n}{\Delta t} + \nu\Delta_hM^n + \mathcal B(U^{n+1},M^n) = 0,ΔtUn+1−Un​−νΔh​Un+1+g(x,[Dh​Un+1])=V(Mn),ΔtMn+1−Mn​+νΔh​Mn+B(Un+1,Mn)=0,

for 0≤n<NT0\le n<N_T0≤n<NT​, with Mn∈KM^n\in\mathcal KMn∈K, M0=m0M^0 = m_0M0=m0​ and MNT=mTM^{N_T} = m_TMNT​=mT​.

The duality is set up as follows. With χ\chiχ the indicator of {m≥0}\{m\ge0\}{m≥0}, let Θ(α,β)=∑n,i,j(W+χ)∗(αi,jn+g(xi,j,[βn]i,j))\Theta(\alpha,\beta) = \sum_{n,i,j}(W+\chi)^*(\alpha^n_{i,j} + g(x_{i,j},[\beta^n]_{i,j}))Θ(α,β)=∑n,i,j​(W+χ)∗(αi,jn​+g(xi,j​,[βn]i,j​)) on dual variables (αn,βn)1≤n≤NT(\alpha^n,\beta^n)_{1\le n\le N_T}(αn,βn)1≤n≤NT​​. Let Λ(Ψ)\Lambda(\Psi)Λ(Ψ) be the linear map sending Ψ=(Ψn)0≤n≤NT\Psi = (\Psi^n)_{0\le n\le N_T}Ψ=(Ψn)0≤n≤NT​​ to the discrete Hamilton–Jacobi operator and the discrete gradient of Ψn+1\Psi^{n+1}Ψn+1. Let Σ(α,β)=F(Ψ)\Sigma(\alpha,\beta) = \mathcal F(\Psi)Σ(α,β)=F(Ψ) if (α,β)=Λ(Ψ)(\alpha,\beta) = \Lambda(\Psi)(α,β)=Λ(Ψ) with ∑Ψ0=0\sum\Psi^0 = 0∑Ψ0=0, and +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise, where F(Ψ)=1Δt(∑m0Ψ0−∑mTΨNT)\mathcal F(\Psi) = \frac1{\Delta t}(\sum m_0\Psi^0 - \sum m_T\Psi^{N_T})F(Ψ)=Δt1​(∑m0​Ψ0−∑mT​ΨNT​). The Legendre–Fenchel transforms Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗, Σ∗\Sigma^*Σ∗ act on primal variables (Mn,Zn)0≤n<NT(M^n, Z^n)_{0\le n<N_T}(Mn,Zn)0≤n<NT​​, where MnM^nMn is paired with αn+1\alpha^{n+1}αn+1 (Remark 2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under (G1), (G3)–(G5), (24), m0,mT∈Km_0, m_T\in\mathcal Km0​,mT​∈K, m0>0m_0 > 0m0​>0, and either ν>0\nu > 0ν>0 or (ν=0\nu = 0ν=0 and mT>0m_T > 0mT​>0):

min⁡M,Z Θ∗(M,Z)+Σ∗(−M,−Z)=−min⁡α,β(Θ(α,β)+Σ(α,β))\min_{M,Z}\ \Theta^*(M,Z) + \Sigma^*(-M,-Z) = -\min_{\alpha,\beta}\big(\Theta(\alpha,\beta) + \Sigma(\alpha,\beta)\big)M,Zmin​ Θ∗(M,Z)+Σ∗(−M,−Z)=−α,βmin​(Θ(α,β)+Σ(α,β))

has a solution (M,Z)(M,Z)(M,Z), (α,β)(\alpha,\beta)(α,β) with a finite common value. Moreover (α,β)=Λ(U)(\alpha,\beta) = \Lambda(U)(α,β)=Λ(U) for some UUU, and (U,M)(U, M)(U,M), with MNT=mTM^{N_T} = m_TMNT​=mT​ appended, solves the scheme (18), with Zk,n=Mn ∂qkg(x,[DhUn+1])Z^{k,n} = M^n\,\partial_{q_k}g(x,[D_hU^{n+1}])Zk,n=Mn∂qk​​g(x,[Dh​Un+1]).

Milestones, in attack order

  1. §3.1, p. 7. VVV maps (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) onto (λ,∞)(\lambda,\infty)(λ,∞); (W+χ)∗(W+\chi)^*(W+χ)∗ is finite, convex, continuous and nondecreasing, with explicit values on and off JV\mathcal J_VJV​.
  2. Lemma 1. Θ\ThetaΘ is convex and continuous, Σ\SigmaΣ is convex and l.s.c., and Σ\SigmaΣ and Θ\ThetaΘ are both finite at some point.
  3. Lemma 2. Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗ and Σ∗\Sigma^*Σ∗ are convex and l.s.c., with explicit formulas.
  4. (30). Σ∗(−M,−Z)\Sigma^*(-M,-Z)Σ∗(−M,−Z) is 000 on the constraint set of the control problem (26) and +∞+\infty+∞ off it.
  5. Lemma 3. If m0>0m_0 > 0m0​>0, some (M,Z)(M,Z)(M,Z) has Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗, Σ∗(−M,−Z)\Sigma^*(-M,-Z)Σ∗(−M,−Z) finite and Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗ finite and continuous near it.
  6. Positivity. A discrete strong maximum principle from the proof of Theorem 1: densities in K\mathcal KK that solve the discrete Fokker–Planck equation (42) are strictly positive before the final time.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the existence result for the finite-difference planning problem. It is used in the paper's second part (§3.2), where solutions of a penalized scheme, in which the final condition is relaxed into a penalty, are shown to converge to a solution of (18) as the penalty parameter vanishes. The penalized scheme is what is solved numerically. The discrete existence result covers general convex, monotone, coercive numerical Hamiltonians and every ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0, which includes discretizations of the continuous cases that were still open when the paper was written.

The result has a published proof. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of it: a complete discrete model of the planning problem (grid, operators, scheme, duality functionals) and the convex-analytic chain that connects it to the Fenchel–Rockafellar theorem. As far as a search of the platform shows, no part of this has been formalized; the series' second mission formalizes the convergence of the penalized scheme on the same model.

Difficulty

Existence for a coupled forward–backward nonlinear system with conditions at both ends of the time interval is not reachable by a fixed-point or time-marching argument: the Hamilton–Jacobi equation runs backward and the Fokker–Planck equation forward, and the final density is imposed rather than computed. The approach goes through duality, and three points are delicate.

  1. All the functionals in the duality take the value +∞+\infty+∞, and Fenchel–Rockafellar needs a qualification condition on each side. Lemma 1 gives it for the dual problem; Lemma 3 gives it for the primal one, and needs m0>0m_0 > 0m0​>0 and the coercivity (G5).
  2. The optimality conditions only give a complementarity system: the Hamilton–Jacobi equation holds where Mn>0M^n > 0Mn>0 and becomes an inequality where Mn=0M^n = 0Mn=0. Recovering the scheme (18) needs the strict positivity of MnM^nMn, a discrete strong maximum principle. That principle uses the monotonicity (G1) and either diffusion or a positive final density.
  3. The bookkeeping of the time lag between primal and dual variables and of the discrete integration by parts in Σ∗\Sigma^*Σ∗ must be exact.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace MFGPlanning.Existence. A structure Data carries Nh,NT≥1N_h, N_T \ge 1Nh​,NT​≥1, T>0T > 0T>0, ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0, ggg at the grid points, WWW, m0m_0m0​ and mTm_TmT​. Committed conventions:

  • grid indices are ZMod Nh × ZMod Nh (periodic), and d=2d = 2d=2 as in the paper;
  • the components q1,…,q4q_1,\dots,q_4q1​,…,q4​ and Z1,…,Z4Z^1,\dots,Z^4Z1,…,Z4 are the Fin 4 indices 0..3;
  • time levels are Fin (NT+1) for UUU and the scheme, and Fin NT for the duality variables. M k is MkM^kMk and α k is αk+1\alpha^{k+1}αk+1 (Remark 2), and Fin.snoc M mT appends MNT=mTM^{N_T} = m_TMNT​=mT​;
  • (W+χ)∗(W+\chi)^*(W+χ)∗, Θ\ThetaΘ, Θ∗\Theta^*Θ∗, Σ\SigmaΣ, Σ∗\Sigma^*Σ∗ are EReal-valued lattice suprema and infima, so unbounded suprema are +∞+\infty+∞ and not a junk value. Convexity of an extended-valued functional is convexity of its epigraph.

Disclosed encodings:

  • (G2) is not encoded, since it only defines the continuous Hamiltonian;
  • "coercive" in (24) is read as superlinear growth W(m)/∣m∣→∞W(m)/|m|\to\inftyW(m)/∣m∣→∞, which the paper's own consequence V((0,∞))=(λ,∞)V((0,\infty)) = (\lambda,\infty)V((0,∞))=(λ,∞) requires;
  • ggg is given only at grid points;
  • the optimality conditions (32)–(33) are stated through what Theorem 1 says they are equivalent to: the scheme (18) and the relation (39).

Theorem 1 is not reducible to "the scheme (18) has a solution". The goal also asserts that the primal and dual problems attain their minima, that there is no duality gap with a finite value, and that (α,β)=Λ(U)(\alpha,\beta) = \Lambda(U)(α,β)=Λ(U). The duality functionals are never real-valued suprema, which would make (30) and (31) hold or fail for junk reasons. A complete development needs finite-dimensional convex analysis on extended-valued functions: conjugates, the Fenchel–Rockafellar theorem with attainment, and subdifferential optimality conditions. These parts are reusable well beyond this mission, and proofs of them as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Achdou, F. Camilli, I. Capuzzo-Dolcetta, Mean field games: numerical methods for the planning problem, preprint hal-00465404v1, 2010. https://hal.science/hal-00465404 ; published in SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(1), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/100790069
  • Y. Achdou, I. Capuzzo-Dolcetta, Mean field games: numerical methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 48(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/090758477
  • J.-M. Lasry, P.-L. Lions, Mean field games, Japanese Journal of Mathematics 2(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11537-007-0657-8
  • I. Ekeland, R. Temam, Convex Analysis and Variational Problems, North-Holland, 1976 (SIAM Classics reprint 1999). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971088
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Operations ResearchOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints: Repeatedly Placing Last a Least-Cost Eligible Job Yields a Minmax Optimal SequenceResearch Paper

Motivation

Single-machine sequencing is the base case of deterministic scheduling theory. Many multi-machine and shop problems are analysed by reduction to it, and many bounds and approximation algorithms for harder models use it as a subroutine. A central objective class is the bottleneck or minmax objective. Each job carries a nondecreasing cost of its completion time, and the schedule is judged by its worst job. Maximum lateness, maximum tardiness and maximum weighted tardiness are all special cases.

Before 1973 the minmax problem was solved without precedence constraints. Jackson (1955) showed that ordering by due date minimizes maximum lateness. Moore (1968, Management Science 15(1)) gave a procedure for general nondecreasing deferral costs, and Lawler and Moore (1969) gave a related method. In Lawler, Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints, Management Science 19(5), 1973, Lawler showed that arbitrary precedence constraints can be added at no loss of efficiency. Jobs are chosen from last to first, by a single comparison of costs at a known time. The resulting O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) procedure is the standard algorithm for the problem written 1 ∣ prec ∣ fmax⁡1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,f_{\max}1∣prec∣fmax​ in the classification of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (1979). It is one of the first polynomial-time results for precedence-constrained scheduling that every survey of the field cites.

Setting

A finite, nonempty set JJJ of jobs is processed on a single machine, one job at a time and without interruption. Each job jjj has a processing time aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0 and a cost function cj:R→Rc_j : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}cj​:R→R that is monotone nondecreasing. The value cj(t)c_j(t)cj​(t) is the cost incurred when jjj is completed at time ttt.

The precedence constraints are an arbitrary relation ≺\prec≺ on jobs: i≺ji \prec ji≺j means that job iii is required to precede job jjj. A sequence π=(π1,…,πn)\pi = (\pi_1, \dots, \pi_n)π=(π1​,…,πn​) lists every job of JJJ once. It observes the precedence constraints if πq≺πp\pi_q \prec \pi_pπq​≺πp​ never holds for positions p<qp < qp<q. The machine starts at time 000 with no idle time, so the completion time of πm\pi_mπm​ is Cπm(π)=aπ1+⋯+aπmC_{\pi_m}(\pi) = a_{\pi_1} + \dots + a_{\pi_m}Cπm​​(π)=aπ1​​+⋯+aπm​​. The maximum incurred cost of π\piπ is

fmax⁡(π)=max⁡j∈Jcj(Cj(π)),f_{\max}(\pi) = \max_{j \in J} c_j\bigl(C_j(\pi)\bigr),fmax​(π)=j∈Jmax​cj​(Cj​(π)),

and a feasible π\piπ is minmax optimal if fmax⁡(π)≤fmax⁡(π′)f_{\max}(\pi) \le f_{\max}(\pi')fmax​(π)≤fmax​(π′) for every feasible π′\pi'π′.

For a set PPP of jobs, S(P)S(P)S(P) is the set of jobs of PPP that are not required to precede any other job of PPP, and TP=∑j∈PajT_P = \sum_{j \in P} a_jTP​=∑j∈P​aj​. Lawler's rule builds a sequence from the last position to the first. With PPP the jobs not yet placed, it chooses k∈S(P)k \in S(P)k∈S(P) with ck(TP)=min⁡j∈S(P)cj(TP)c_k(T_P) = \min_{j \in S(P)} c_j(T_P)ck​(TP​)=minj∈S(P)​cj​(TP​), places kkk in the latest open position and removes it from PPP. Ties are broken arbitrarily. In Lean the objects are IsFeasible, lastEligible (SSS), IsMinmaxOptimal and IsLawlerSequence, in namespace LawlerPrec.MinMax. They are built on the published MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime and MooreLateJobs.MaxDeferral.maxCost.

Formalization targets

Goal: the rule is optimal

Every sequence π\piπ that Lawler's rule can produce, under any tie-breaking, observes the precedence constraints and satisfies

fmax⁡(π)  ≤  fmax⁡(π′)for every sequence π′ of J observing the precedence constraints.f_{\max}(\pi) \;\le\; f_{\max}(\pi') \qquad \text{for every sequence } \pi' \text{ of } J \text{ observing the precedence constraints.}fmax​(π)≤fmax​(π′)for every sequence π′ of J observing the precedence constraints.

This is the statement of §3 (p. 545), "An efficient algorithm for finding a minmax optimal sequence follows immediately from the theorem above". It contains no constants.

Milestones

  1. §2 proof, third paragraph. Moving a job of S(J)S(J)S(J) to the end of a feasible sequence keeps it feasible.
  2. §2 proof, fourth paragraph, first sentence. After that move, no job other than kkk completes later, and kkk completes at T=∑j∈JajT = \sum_{j \in J} a_jT=∑j∈J​aj​.
  3. §2 proof, fourth paragraph. If ck(T)≤ck′(T)c_k(T) \le c_{k'}(T)ck​(T)≤ck′​(T), where k′k'k′ is the last job of the feasible sequence, the move does not raise fmax⁡f_{\max}fmax​.
  4. THEOREM (§2), p. 544. If some feasible sequence exists and k∈S(J)k \in S(J)k∈S(J) minimizes cj(T)c_j(T)cj​(T) over S(J)S(J)S(J), then some minmax optimal sequence has kkk last.
  5. §3, the reduction. A minmax optimal sequence of J∖{k}J \setminus \{k\}J∖{k}, followed by kkk, is minmax optimal for JJJ.
  6. §3, the procedure never stalls. If a feasible sequence exists, the rule produces a complete sequence. This shows the goal is not vacuous.

Significance

The result shows that 1 ∣ prec ∣ fmax⁡1\,|\,\mathrm{prec}\,|\,f_{\max}1∣prec∣fmax​ is solvable in polynomial time for every family of nondecreasing costs. The ordering of an optimal sequence depends on the costs only through their values at the nnn partial sums TPT_PTP​ along the way. The deadline problem is a corollary (§5): sequencing from last to first by latest deadline among the currently available jobs avoids tardiness whenever any sequence does. The last-to-first scheme is reused in later backward rules for fmax⁡f_{\max}fmax​ objectives. A formal statement of the rule, its feasibility and its optimality makes these extensions available for formal reuse.

The result is classical and its proof is short. No machine-checked proof of it is known to be in Mathlib. The work this mission asks for is a formal proof of the known exchange argument and of the induction that turns the Theorem into the algorithm's correctness. The induction needs the reduced problem's sets S(P)S(P)S(P) and times TPT_PTP​ to be the correct ones at each stage, which the definitions fix.

Difficulty

The exchange argument of §2 is elementary. The difficulty lies in stating the algorithm faithfully and carrying the induction. At each stage the eligible set S(P)S(P)S(P) and the time TPT_PTP​ must be recomputed on the remaining jobs, with constraints into already placed jobs ignored. The induction must also show that the rule's sequence is feasible, which is a conclusion and not an assumption.

A first attempt often proves only the Theorem, that some optimal sequence has kkk last. That statement says nothing about a sequence built entirely by the rule, because an optimal sequence of JJJ with kkk last need not restrict to an optimal sequence of J∖{k}J \setminus \{k\}J∖{k}. Optimality of the rule's whole sequence is the target, and milestone 5 isolates the corresponding step of the page.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs form a type ι with decidable equality, and the job set is J : Finset ι.
  • Processing times are a : ι → ℝ, costs are c : ι → ℝ → ℝ, and the precedence constraints are prec : ι → ι → Prop.
  • A sequence is a duplicate-free list whose elements are exactly J. Positions are 0-based, and completion times are prefix sums (MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionAt).
  • The relation prec is arbitrary: it is not assumed transitive, irreflexive or acyclic. A cycle among distinct jobs leaves no feasible sequence. A self-loop constrains nothing, both in feasibility and in SSS (the "others" of the page exclude the job itself).

The standing assumptions of §1 appear as hypotheses wherever they are used: monotone nondecreasing cjc_jcj​ for j∈Jj \in Jj∈J, and JJJ nonempty where the maximum is taken. Two hypotheses are added relative to the page and disclosed in each statement. Processing times are non-negative (aj≥0a_j \ge 0aj​≥0), since they are durations and the exchange argument fails without them. The Theorem also assumes the existence of a feasible sequence, which its conclusion presupposes.

The rule is the property IsLawlerSequence of a finished sequence. At each position mmm, the job there lies in SSS of the jobs in positions 0..m0..m0..m and minimizes the cost at their total processing time. Every tie-break is covered. The rule is not a deterministic function, and it is not an arbitrary choice function. Feasibility of the rule's output is part of the goal's conclusion, so the goal cannot be obtained by assuming it. A statement that compares the rule only with some sequence, or that asserts only that an optimal sequence exists, is weaker and is ruled out by the goal's form. Milestone 6 shows the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable whenever a feasible sequence exists.

The n2n^2n2 operation count of §4, the first-to-last rule of §5 and the deadline corollaries of §5 are not part of this mission. A development needs only finite lists and finsets from Mathlib. Lemmas about moving an element to the end of a duplicate-free list, and about prefix sums under that move, are reusable for other exchange arguments in single-machine scheduling.

Selected references

  • E. L. Lawler, Optimal Sequencing of a Single Machine Subject to Precedence Constraints, Management Science 19(5):544–546, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.19.5.544
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1):102–109, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • E. L. Lawler and J. M. Moore, A Functional Equation and its Application to Resource Allocation and Sequencing Problems, Management Science 16(1):77–84, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.16.1.77
  • J. R. Jackson, Scheduling a Production Line to Minimize Maximum Tardiness, Research Report 43, Management Science Research Project, UCLA, 1955.
  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra and A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and Approximation in Deterministic Sequencing and Scheduling: a Survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5:287–326, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Variance-based Regularization with Convex Objectives II: A Covering-Number Certificate and Oracle Inequality for the Robust MinimizerResearch Paper

Motivation

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) chooses, from a class F\mathcal FF of loss functions, the one with the smallest average loss on a sample X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​. Its standard guarantees bound the excess population risk by a term of order 1/n1/\sqrt n1/n​, whatever the variance of the losses. When good functions in F\mathcal FF have small variance, a better trade-off is available in principle: minimize the empirical risk plus a standard-deviation penalty 2ρ VarP^n(f)/n\sqrt{2\rho\,\mathrm{Var}_{\widehat P_n}(f)/n}2ρVarPn​​(f)/n​. Maurer and Pontil (COLT 2009) showed that this sample variance penalization enjoys faster rates, but the penalized objective is non-convex even for convex losses, so it cannot be minimized efficiently in general.

Duchi and Namkoong (arXiv:1610.02581v3, 2017; NIPS 2017) replace the variance penalty by a distributionally robust objective: the worst-case average loss over all reweightings of the sample within a χ2\chi^2χ2-divergence ball of radius ρ/n\rho/nρ/n. This objective is convex whenever the loss is convex, and it equals the empirical risk plus the standard-deviation penalty up to an error of order 1/n1/n1/n. Theorem 3 of the paper turns this into a guarantee for the minimizer of the robust objective, using covering numbers of the class. This mission formalizes Theorem 3 and the lemmas its proof rests on.

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a measurable space, PPP a probability measure on it, and X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ (n≥1n\ge1n≥1) an i.i.d. sample from PPP with empirical distribution P^n\widehat P_nPn​. Let F\mathcal FF be a nonempty class of measurable functions f:X→[M0,M1]f:\mathcal X\to[M_0,M_1]f:X→[M0​,M1​], and set M=M1−M0M = M_1-M_0M=M1​−M0​. Write E[f]=∫f dP\mathbb E[f]=\int f\,dPE[f]=∫fdP, Var(f)\mathrm{Var}(f)Var(f) for the variance of f(X)f(X)f(X), and

EP^n[f]=1n∑i=1nf(Xi),VarP^n(f)=1n∑i=1nf(Xi)2−(EP^n[f])2.\mathbb E_{\widehat P_n}[f] = \frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i),\qquad \mathrm{Var}_{\widehat P_n}(f) = \frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i)^2 - \big(\mathbb E_{\widehat P_n}[f]\big)^2 .EPn​​[f]=n1​i=1∑n​f(Xi​),VarPn​​(f)=n1​i=1∑n​f(Xi​)2−(EPn​​[f])2.

For ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, the χ2\chi^2χ2 ball Pn\mathcal P_nPn​ is the set of weight vectors p∈Rnp\in\mathbb R^np∈Rn with pi≥0p_i\ge0pi​≥0, ∑ipi=1\sum_i p_i = 1∑i​pi​=1 and 12∑i(npi−1)2≤ρ\frac12\sum_i (np_i-1)^2\le\rho21​∑i​(npi​−1)2≤ρ: the distributions PPP on the sample with Dϕ(P∥P^n)≤ρ/nD_\phi(P\|\widehat P_n)\le\rho/nDϕ​(P∥Pn​)≤ρ/n for ϕ(t)=12(t−1)2\phi(t)=\frac12(t-1)^2ϕ(t)=21​(t−1)2. The robust risk of fff is

Rn(f)=sup⁡P: Dϕ(P∥P^n)≤ρ/nEP[f(X)]=max⁡p∈Pn∑i=1npif(Xi),R_n(f) = \sup_{P:\,D_\phi(P\|\widehat P_n)\le \rho/n}\mathbb E_P[f(X)] = \max_{p\in\mathcal P_n}\sum_{i=1}^n p_i f(X_i),Rn​(f)=P:Dϕ​(P∥Pn​)≤ρ/nsup​EP​[f(X)]=p∈Pn​max​i=1∑n​pi​f(Xi​),

and a robust minimizer is any f^∈argmin⁡f∈FRn(f)\widehat f\in\operatorname{argmin}_{f\in\mathcal F} R_n(f)f​∈argminf∈F​Rn​(f).

Complexity is measured by empirical ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ covering numbers. For V⊂RmV\subset\mathbb R^mV⊂Rm, N(V,ϵ,∥⋅∥∞)N(V,\epsilon,\|\cdot\|_\infty)N(V,ϵ,∥⋅∥∞​) is the least number of points v1,…,vN∈Vv_1,\dots,v_N\in Vv1​,…,vN​∈V such that every v∈Vv\in Vv∈V lies within sup-distance ϵ\epsilonϵ of some viv_ivi​. For x∈Xmx\in\mathcal X^mx∈Xm let F(x)={(f(x1),…,f(xm)):f∈F}\mathcal F(x)=\{(f(x_1),\dots,f(x_m)) : f\in\mathcal F\}F(x)={(f(x1​),…,f(xm​)):f∈F}, and

N∞(F,ϵ,m)=sup⁡x∈XmN(F(x),ϵ,∥⋅∥∞)∈N∪{∞}.N_\infty(\mathcal F,\epsilon,m) = \sup_{x\in\mathcal X^m} N\big(\mathcal F(x),\epsilon,\|\cdot\|_\infty\big)\in\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}.N∞​(F,ϵ,m)=x∈Xmsup​N(F(x),ϵ,∥⋅∥∞​)∈N∪{∞}.

Formalization targets

Goal: the oracle inequality (16)

Let n≥8M2/tn\ge 8M^2/tn≥8M2/t, t≥log⁡12t\ge\log 12t≥log12, ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and ρ≥9t\rho\ge 9tρ≥9t. With probability at least 1−2(3N∞(F,ϵ,2n)+1)e−t1-2(3N_\infty(\mathcal F,\epsilon,2n)+1)e^{-t}1−2(3N∞​(F,ϵ,2n)+1)e−t, every robust minimizer f^\widehat ff​ satisfies

E[f^(X)]≤inf⁡f∈F{E[f]+22ρnVar(f)}+19Mρ3n+(2+42tn)ϵ.\mathbb E[\widehat f(X)] \le \inf_{f\in\mathcal F}\left\{\mathbb E[f] + 2\sqrt{\frac{2\rho}{n}\mathrm{Var}(f)}\right\} + \frac{19M\rho}{3n} + \left(2+4\sqrt{\frac{2t}{n}}\right)\epsilon .E[f​(X)]≤f∈Finf​{E[f]+2n2ρ​Var(f)​}+3n19Mρ​+(2+4n2t​​)ϵ.

The certificate (15)

Under the same hypotheses and with the same probability, simultaneously for all f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F,

E[f(X)]≤Rn(f)+113Mρn+(2+42tn)ϵ.\mathbb E[f(X)] \le R_n(f) + \frac{11}{3}\frac{M\rho}{n} + \left(2+4\sqrt{\frac{2t}{n}}\right)\epsilon .E[f(X)]≤Rn​(f)+311​nMρ​+(2+4n2t​​)ϵ.

Supporting results (milestones)

  1. Theorem 1, inequality (10): for every vector z∈[M0,M1]nz\in[M_0,M_1]^nz∈[M0​,M1​]n, the robust mean minus the sample mean lies between (2ρsn2/n−2Mρ/n)+\big(\sqrt{2\rho s_n^2/n}-2M\rho/n\big)_+(2ρsn2​/n​−2Mρ/n)+​ and 2ρsn2/n\sqrt{2\rho s_n^2/n}2ρsn2​/n​.
  2. Lemma C.1: a uniform empirical Bernstein bound over F\mathcal FF with probability 1−6N∞(F,ϵ,2n)e−t1-6N_\infty(\mathcal F,\epsilon,2n)e^{-t}1−6N∞​(F,ϵ,2n)e−t.
  3. Lemma A.1, first bound: P(sn≥Esn2+t)≤exp⁡(−nt2/(2M2))\mathbb P(s_n\ge\sqrt{\mathbb E s_n^2}+t)\le\exp(-nt^2/(2M^2))P(sn​≥Esn2​​+t)≤exp(−nt2/(2M2)).
  4. Bernstein's inequality for one fixed fff, as displayed in the proof (p. 38).
  5. The certificate (15).

Significance

Inequality (15) says the robust risk is a uniform upper confidence bound on the population risk, with an O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n) slack instead of the O(1/n)O(1/\sqrt n)O(1/n​) slack of the empirical risk. Inequality (16) says the robust minimizer competes with the best variance-penalized population risk in the class. When some f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F has small risk and small variance, the excess risk of f^\widehat ff​ is of order 1/n1/n1/n up to the covering term, a rate ERM does not achieve in general (§3.3 of the paper gives an example). For a parametric class with N∞(F,ϵ,2n)N_\infty(\mathcal F,\epsilon,2n)N∞​(F,ϵ,2n) polynomial in 1/ϵ1/\epsilon1/ϵ, choosing ϵ=M/n\epsilon=M/nϵ=M/n gives Corollaries 3.1 and 3.2 of the paper.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission's output is a formal proof of Theorem 3 and its ingredients: a deterministic analysis of the χ2\chi^2χ2-constrained linear program (Theorem 1 (10)), a covering-number empirical Bernstein inequality (Lemma C.1, from Maurer and Pontil), concentration of the sample standard deviation (Lemma A.1), and the scalar Bernstein inequality in the form used. Each of these is reusable outside distributionally robust optimization.

Difficulty

The deterministic part, (10), is a short analysis of a quadratically constrained linear program. The main obstacle is Lemma C.1. A union bound over a cover of F\mathcal FF fails directly: the cover depends on the sample, and a population-level cover of F\mathcal FF need not be finite. The standard route goes through a ghost sample of size nnn (hence covering at 2n2n2n points), a symmetrization that must preserve the sample variance rather than only the mean, and a concentration bound for the sample variance itself. Lemma A.1 needs concentration of sns_nsn​, a non-linear and non-smooth function of the sample, at the sub-Gaussian rate M/nM/\sqrt nM/n​. Finally, the oracle inequality (16) holds for an infimum over the whole class, while the concentration step for the comparison function is only proved for one fixed fff at a time.

Formalization scope

The sample is the coordinate process of the product measure P⊗nP^{\otimes n}P⊗n on Xn\mathcal X^nXn (Measure.pi). Each probability statement bounds the probability of the bad event, the set of samples where the inequality fails for some fff (or some minimizer). This set need not be measurable, and its measure is then the outer measure, as is standard in empirical-process theory. Probability bounds are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and the covering number is valued in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞}, so an infinite covering number makes the bound trivial rather than collapsing to zero. Covering numbers are internal (centres in F(x)\mathcal F(x)F(x)) and use closed sup-norm balls, as on p. 9; this is Mathlib's Metric.coveringNumber. The empirical variance is normalized by 1/n1/n1/n. The χ2\chi^2χ2 ball is encoded as weight vectors on the sample points; with tied sample values this gives the same supremum as the paper's distributions on the sample. Statement (16) is formalized for every minimizer of the robust risk, and the event is empty if no minimizer exists. The infimum ranges over the nonempty class F\mathcal FF, on which every term is at least M0M_0M0​. Population moments are those of bounded measurable functions, hence finite.

Deviations from the printed text:

  • Lemma A.1 is stated only for its first (upper-tail) bound. The paper derives the second bound from Lemma A.4, which is false as printed; the second bound is not stated. M>0M>0M>0 is assumed because M2M^2M2 is a denominator.
  • Lemma C.1 is the paper's restatement of Maurer and Pontil's Theorem 6, with a general radius ϵ\epsilonϵ. It is formalized as printed, with the implicit assumption ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 made explicit.
  • n≥1n\ge1n≥1 is assumed throughout. The hypothesis n≥8M2/tn\ge 8M^2/tn≥8M2/t is kept as printed.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the bound is not taken over all functions, a probability bound is not formed from the real part of an infinite covering number, and the minimizer is not a hypothesis that can fail to exist for the given sample.

Needed infrastructure: product-measure concentration (Bernstein, and a bounded-difference or convex-Lipschitz inequality for sns_nsn​), symmetrization with a ghost sample, and finite union bounds over a cover. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, in particular a general covering-number empirical Bernstein inequality, which is reusable on its own.

Selected references

  • J. C. Duchi and H. Namkoong, Variance-based regularization with convex objectives, arXiv:1610.02581v3, 2017 (NIPS 2017; JMLR 20, 2019). https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.02581
  • A. Maurer and M. Pontil, Empirical Bernstein bounds and sample variance penalization, COLT 2009. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.3740
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi and P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
  • A. W. van der Vaart and J. A. Wellner, Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, Springer, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation III: Weighted Games in Which Each Edge Serves at Most Two Players Have a Potential and a Nash EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a network design game each of kkk players must connect its own terminals in a shared graph, and the cost of every edge that is bought is split among the players who use it. Anshelevich, Dasgupta, Kleinberg, Tardos, Wexler and Roughgarden (SIAM J. Comput. 2008) studied the fair (Shapley) split, in which the xex_exe​ users of an edge each pay ce/xec_e/x_ece​/xe​. That game is a congestion game in the sense of Rosenthal (Networks 1973), so it has an exact potential function and pure Nash equilibria always exist.

When players carry different amounts of traffic, the natural rule is to split an edge's cost in proportion to weight: a player of weight wiw_iwi​ on an edge whose users have total weight WeW_eWe​ pays (wi/We) ce(w_i/W_e)\,c_e(wi​/We​)ce​. The paper notes that this rule is analogous to weighted generalizations of the Shapley value (Monderer and Samet, Variations of the Shapley Value, Handbook of Game Theory III, 2002). The weighted model leaves Rosenthal's framework: the share depends on which players use an edge, not only on how many, and Chen and Roughgarden (SPAA 2006) showed that weighted games with three or more players need not have a pure Nash equilibrium at all. Section 6 of the paper identifies structural conditions under which equilibria do exist. This mission covers the first of them.

Timeline. Rosenthal (1973): every congestion game has a pure Nash equilibrium, via an exact potential. Monderer and Shapley (GEB 1996): potential and weighted potential games, and the equivalence of exact potential games with congestion games. Anshelevich et al. (FOCS 2004, journal 2008): Theorem 6.1, existence when every resource is shared by at most two players, and Theorem 6.3, existence when all players share a source and a sink. Chen and Roughgarden (2006): weighted network design games with three or more players may have no pure equilibrium.

Setting

A weighted cost-sharing game GGG consists of a finite set of players, a finite ground set EEE of edges (resources), and for each player iii:

  • a finite family Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ of feasible strategies, each a subset of EEE;
  • a weight wi≥1w_i \ge 1wi​≥1;

together with a fixed edge cost ce≥0c_e \ge 0ce​≥0 for every e∈Ee \in Ee∈E. A profile S=(Si)iS = (S_i)_iS=(Si​)i​ picks Si∈ΣiS_i \in \Sigma_iSi​∈Σi​ for every player. For an edge eee, WeW_eWe​ is the total weight of the players with e∈Sie \in S_ie∈Si​, and player iii's payment is

Ci(S)=∑e∈SiwiWe ce.C_i(S) = \sum_{e \in S_i} \frac{w_i}{W_e}\, c_e .Ci​(S)=e∈Si​∑​We​wi​​ce​.

A profile is a pure Nash equilibrium when no player iii has a T∈ΣiT \in \Sigma_iT∈Σi​ with Ci(S−i,T)<Ci(S)C_i(S_{-i}, T) < C_i(S)Ci​(S−i​,T)<Ci​(S), where (S−i,T)(S_{-i}, T)(S−i​,T) is the profile in which iii plays TTT and everyone else keeps their strategy.

The strategy space of player iii is the set of edges that occur in at least one strategy of Σi\Sigma_iΣi​. The hypothesis of Theorem 6.1 is that every edge lies in the strategy spaces of at most two players: no edge can ever be shared by three players, whatever they choose.

The network design game is the instance in which EEE is the edge set of a graph and Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ is the set of edge sets of paths connecting player iii's source sis_isi​ to its sink tit_iti​.

The paper's proof uses an explicit function Φ(S)=∑eΦe(S)\Phi(S) = \sum_e \Phi_e(S)Φ(S)=∑e​Φe​(S) with Φe(S)=0\Phi_e(S) = 0Φe​(S)=0 when eee is unused, cewic_e w_ice​wi​ when iii alone uses eee, and ceθijc_e\theta_{ij}ce​θij​ when iii and jjj both use it, where θij=wi+wj−wiwj/(wi+wj)\theta_{ij} = w_i + w_j - w_i w_j/(w_i + w_j)θij​=wi​+wj​−wi​wj​/(wi​+wj​). It is part of the definitions of this mission.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1

If every edge lies in the strategy spaces of at most two players, there is a weighted potential: a real function Φ\PhiΦ on profiles with

Φ(S−i,T)−Φ(S)=wi (Ci(S−i,T)−Ci(S))for every profile S, player i, T∈Σi,\Phi(S_{-i}, T) - \Phi(S) = w_i\,\bigl(C_i(S_{-i}, T) - C_i(S)\bigr) \quad\text{for every profile } S,\ \text{player } i,\ T \in \Sigma_i ,Φ(S−i​,T)−Φ(S)=wi​(Ci​(S−i​,T)−Ci​(S))for every profile S, player i, T∈Σi​,

and, if every Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ is nonempty, a pure Nash equilibrium exists. The goal asserts the existence of such a Φ\PhiΦ rather than fixing the paper's formula, so it remains valid for any other weighted potential.

Milestones

  1. Joining a shared edge (proof of Theorem 6.1): when iii joins an edge already used by exactly one other player jjj, Φe\Phi_eΦe​ rises by cewi2/(wi+wj)c_e w_i^2/(w_i + w_j)ce​wi2​/(wi​+wj​), which is wiw_iwi​ times iii's new share of eee.
  2. The identity for the explicit potential: the displayed identity holds for the paper's Φ\PhiΦ.
  3. From a weighted potential to an equilibrium: in any weighted game with positive weights and nonempty strategy sets, a function satisfying the identity forces a pure Nash equilibrium to exist.

An extra item states Corollary 6.2: every two-player weighted game with nonempty strategy sets has a pure Nash equilibrium.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is one of the two existence results the paper proves for weighted cost sharing, a game that in general has no pure equilibrium. It shows that the obstruction found by Chen and Roughgarden needs resources shared by three or more players: whenever sharing is limited to pairs, the game is a weighted potential game, so improving moves cannot cycle and equilibria exist. Corollary 6.2 makes the two-player case unconditional, and the paper notes that the same potential gives a (weak) bound on the price of stability.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a reusable Lean model of weight-proportional cost sharing (shared in form with the companion mission on single-source single-sink weighted games), an explicit weighted potential, and the general step from a weighted potential to a pure equilibrium, which applies to any finite game with positive weights.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, reusing Rosenthal's potential from the unweighted game, fails: the paper observes that in a weighted game improving moves can increase it. A player's share of an edge depends on the weights of the specific co-users, so no function of the edge loads alone can track all players' costs. The identity must therefore hold for every unilateral move, including moves that leave some edges and join others at the same time, and for every pair of possible co-users of an edge. The statement fails without the at-most-two hypothesis, so any argument has to use it in an essential way. The existence step needs the identity on all profiles reachable by feasible deviations, not only along a single path of moves.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace PriceOfStability.WeightedPotential. Players form a Fintype ι and edges a Fintype E; a game is a structure with strategies : ι → Finset (Finset E), weight : ι → ℝ and edgeCost : E → ℝ. Standing assumptions wᵢ ≥ 1 and c_e ≥ 0 are the predicate IsStandard. Profiles are functions ι → Finset E with the feasibility predicate IsProfile; every deviation is to a feasible strategy, via Function.update. Nash equilibria are pure and in cost form. The strategy-space hypothesis is a bound on the number of players whose strategy space (the union of their strategies) contains each edge — not a bound on the users in one profile, which would be a different statement. Φ_e is computed from the current users of e; its value with three or more users is a placeholder that never arises under the hypothesis. Strategies are arbitrary subsets of the ground set, as the paper's remark after the proof allows, so the network game is a special case.

The goal is not satisfiable trivially: the function Φ must satisfy the weighted identity for every feasible unilateral deviation from every profile, and an exact (unweighted) potential is not what is asserted. Nonempty strategy sets are added explicitly for the existence part, since without a profile there is no equilibrium.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over filtered Finsets, the improvement-path argument over the finite set of profiles. The improvement-path lemma (milestone 3) is reusable for any weighted potential game. Contributions of proofs for any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Anshelevich, A. Dasgupta, J. Kleinberg, É. Tardos, T. Wexler, T. Roughgarden, The Price of Stability for Network Design with Fair Cost Allocation, SIAM Journal on Computing 38(4):1602–1623, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680096
  • R. W. Rosenthal, The network equilibrium problem in integers, Networks 3:53–59, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1002/net.3230030104
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential games, Games and Economic Behavior 14:124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • H.-L. Chen, T. Roughgarden, Network design with weighted players, Proc. 18th ACM SPAA, 28–37, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1145/1148109.1148114
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance I: Quadratic Potential Functions Bound Mean Response Times in Open NetworksResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling in a multiclass queueing network asks which waiting job a server should work on next when jobs of several types share stations and revisit them along fixed routes. Such networks model semiconductor wafer fabs, job shops and communication switches. Optimal policies are rarely computable: the state space is countably infinite, and even deciding properties of optimal policies is hard (Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis 1999). A practical substitute is the achievable region approach: describe, by constraints that every policy must satisfy, a set containing all performance vectors any policy can achieve, then optimize a linear cost over that set to get a lower bound on the optimal cost.

Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis (MIT Sloan working paper 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 1994) gave a general method for producing such constraints for open networks, by computing the steady-state drift of quadratic potential functions. This mission formalizes their first-order bounds (Section 4).

Timeline:

  • 1980–1988: Coffman and Mitrani, then Federgruen and Groenevelt — the achievable performance vectors of a single-station multiclass queue form a polytope described by conservation laws.
  • Early 1990s: Kumar (reference [Kuma] of the paper), using a potential-function argument he attributes to Meyn, derives a single lower bound on the mean number in system for re-entrant lines with deterministic routing (described on p. 16 of the paper).
  • 1992–1994: Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis — parametric families of linear bounds for general open networks with Markovian routing (Theorem 4.1), and the nonparametric polyhedron (Theorems 4.2–4.4), shown to be at least as tight.

Setting

A network has NNN single-server stations and RRR job classes. Class rrr is served at station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r), and CiC_iCi​ is the set of classes served at station iii. Class-rrr jobs arrive from outside as a Poisson stream of rate λ0r\lambda_{0r}λ0r​, service times are exponential with rate μr\mu_rμr​, and after service a class-rrr job becomes a class-sss job with probability prsp_{rs}prs​ or leaves with probability pr0=1−∑sprsp_{r0}=1-\sum_s p_{rs}pr0​=1−∑s​prs​. The traffic equations

λr=λ0r+∑r′λr′pr′r(15)\lambda_r=\lambda_{0r}+\sum_{r'}\lambda_{r'}p_{r'r}\qquad(15)λr​=λ0r​+r′∑​λr′​pr′r​(15)

have a unique solution λ\lambdaλ (the network is open), and ∑r∈Ciλr/μr<1\sum_{r\in C_i}\lambda_r/\mu_r<1∑r∈Ci​​λr​/μr​<1 at every station.

The state n⃗=(n1,…,nR)\vec n=(n_1,\dots,n_R)n=(n1​,…,nR​) counts the jobs of each class. A Markovian policy decides from the current state which classes are in service, at most one per station and only classes with jobs present; idling is allowed. Write BrB_rBr​ for the event that station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r) serves class rrr, and B0iB_{0i}B0i​ for the event that station iii is idle. Under such a policy n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t) is a continuous-time Markov chain. Assumption A requires that it has a unique invariant distribution π\piπ and that Eπ[nr2]<∞E_\pi[n_r^2]<\inftyEπ​[nr2​]<∞ for all rrr. Let nˉr=Eπ[nr]\bar n_r=E_\pi[n_r]nˉr​=Eπ​[nr​], which equals λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ with xrx_rxr​ the mean response time of class rrr (Little's law), and define

Irr′=Eπ[1{Br}nr′],Nir′=Eπ[1{B0i}nr′].I_{rr'}=E_\pi[1\{B_r\}n_{r'}],\qquad N_{ir'}=E_\pi[1\{B_{0i}\}n_{r'}].Irr′​=Eπ​[1{Br​}nr′​],Nir′​=Eπ​[1{B0i​}nr′​].

For a set SSS of classes, f-parameters are reals f(r)≥0f(r)\ge 0f(r)≥0 for r∈Sr\in Sr∈S such that μr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∉Sprr′f(r)]\mu_r\big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f(r)\big]μr​[∑r′∈S​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∈/S​prr′​f(r)] is nonnegative and the same for all r∈Ci∩Sr\in C_i\cap Sr∈Ci​∩S; that common value is fif_ifi​, and fi=0f_i=0fi​=0 when Ci∩S=∅C_i\cap S=\emptysetCi​∩S=∅ (restriction (17)). The sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

For every policy satisfying Assumption A, every SSS and every f-parameters satisfying (17),

∑r∈Sλrf(r)xr ≥ N′(S)D′(S),\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_rf(r)x_r\ \ge\ \frac{N'(S)}{D'(S)},r∈S∑​λr​f(r)xr​ ≥ D′(S)N′(S)​,

where

N′(S)=∑r∈Sλ0rf2(r)+∑r∉Sλr∑r′∈Sprr′f2(r′)+∑r∈Sλr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))2+∑r′∉Sprr′f2(r)],N'(S)=\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f^2(r)+\sum_{r\notin S}\lambda_r\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}f^2(r')+\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_r\Big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))^2+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f^2(r)\Big],N′(S)=r∈S∑​λ0r​f2(r)+r∈/S∑​λr​r′∈S∑​prr′​f2(r′)+r∈S∑​λr​[r′∈S∑​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))2+r′∈/S∑​prr′​f2(r)], D′(S)=2[∑i=1Nfi−∑r∈Sλ0rf(r)].D'(S)=2\Big[\sum_{i=1}^Nf_i-\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f(r)\Big].D′(S)=2[i=1∑N​fi​−r∈S∑​λ0r​f(r)].

The formal goal is the product form N′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈Sf(r)nˉrN'(S)\le D'(S)\sum_{r\in S}f(r)\bar n_rN′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈S​f(r)nˉr​.

Milestones

  1. The utilization identity Eπ[1{Br}]=λr/μrE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]=\lambda_r/\mu_rEπ​[1{Br​}]=λr​/μr​ (pp. 16 and 19).
  2. Theorem 4.2: the linear equalities (24), (25) between nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ and Irr′I_{rr'}Irr′​.
  3. Theorem 4.3: ∑r∈CiIrr′+Nir′=nˉr′\sum_{r\in C_i}I_{rr'}+N_{ir'}=\bar n_{r'}∑r∈Ci​​Irr′​+Nir′​=nˉr′​ (28).
  4. Theorem 4.4: any nonnegative (x,I,N)(x,I,N)(x,I,N) satisfying (24), (25), (28), with nˉr=λrxr\bar n_r=\lambda_rx_rnˉr​=λr​xr​ in those equalities, satisfies every inequality of Theorem 4.1. This statement is deterministic.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 gives, for each choice of SSS and fff, a linear inequality on mean response times valid for all admissible policies. Minimizing a linear holding cost ∑rcrxr\sum_r c_rx_r∑r​cr​xr​ subject to these inequalities is a linear program whose value bounds the optimal scheduling cost from below; the paper reports numerical values of such bounds in its Section 9. Theorems 4.2–4.4 show that a polynomial-size polyhedron in the variables (nˉ,I,N)(\bar n,I,N)(nˉ,I,N) implies all of these inequalities at once, so the parametric search over fff is unnecessary.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a Lean treatment of invariant distributions of controlled countable-state Markov chains with unbounded test functions, which is currently absent from Mathlib, and then the algebra of the drift identities. The definitions here (network data, Markovian sequencing policies, the generator, Assumption A) are the substrate that the paper's later results on routing, closed networks and higher-order bounds would reuse.

Difficulty

Every statement except Theorem 4.4 rests on taking expectations of the generator applied to unbounded functions (nrn_rnr​, nrnr′n_rn_{r'}nr​nr′​) under the invariant distribution. The invariance condition is stated only for indicators of single states; extending ∑nπ(n)(Gg)(n)=0\sum_n\pi(n)(\mathcal Gg)(n)=0∑n​π(n)(Gg)(n)=0 to quadratic ggg needs an interchange of summations justified by the second-moment condition of Assumption A. The utilization identity additionally needs uniqueness of the traffic solution to identify μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] with λr\lambda_rλr​. Theorem 4.1 then needs the sign bookkeeping that turns an identity into an inequality: the terms dropped are nonnegative only because f≥0f\ge0f≥0 on SSS, fi≥0f_i\ge0fi​≥0 and at most one class per station is in service.

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin R, stations Fin N, states Fin R → ℕ, all rates and probabilities real. A policy is a Bool-valued function of the state with the two admissibility constraints; work conservation is not assumed. Invariance is global balance of the generator on the countable state space; expectations are tsums. The uniformized chain and the epochs τk\tau_kτk​ of the paper are not built: the paper notes that its expectations at τk\tau_kτk​ are expectations under the invariant distribution of n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t).

Conventions fixed in Lean:

  • λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ appears only as the mean number in system nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ (Little's law, used by the paper on pp. 11 and 20); response times are not formalized.
  • Sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0 (p. 15).
  • f-parameters are nonnegative on SSS (p. 9).
  • The network is open: (15) has a unique solution, and λ\lambdaλ is an input constrained by (15), never defined from the policy.
  • (18) is stated multiplied by D′(S)D'(S)D′(S), which avoids Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 and is (18) whenever D′(S)>0D'(S)>0D′(S)>0.

A quotient-form statement of (18) would be trivially true when D′(S)=0D'(S)=0D′(S)=0, and defining λr\lambda_rλr​ as μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] would make the utilization identity hold by definition; both are excluded.

Welcome contributions: a general lemma extending global balance to test functions of polynomial growth under moment conditions; proofs of the drift identities; the deterministic Theorem 4.4.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, I. Ch. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance, MIT Sloan WP #3509-92-MSA, 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 4(1), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005200
  • C. H. Papadimitriou, J. N. Tsitsiklis, The complexity of optimal queuing network control, Math. Oper. Res. 24(2), 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.24.2.293
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Stochastic Inventory Control Models 2: The Triple-Balancing Policy Costs at Most Three Times the Optimum for Stochastic Lot-SizingResearch Paper

Motivation

Periodic-review inventory control with a fixed ordering cost is one of the oldest problems in operations research. A firm reviews its stock at the beginning of each of TTT periods, decides whether to place an order, pays a fixed cost KKK for every order it places, and pays holding costs on leftover stock and penalties on unmet (backlogged) demand. When demand is random and correlated across periods, and the firm's forecast evolves as information arrives, the optimal policy solves a dynamic program over the whole information state. That program is intractable in general, and in practice firms use heuristics with no performance guarantee.

Levi, Pál, Roundy and Shmoys (Math. Oper. Res. 32(2), 2007) gave policies with worst-case guarantees for these models, using a "marginal cost accounting" scheme that charges each unit's holding cost to the period in which it was ordered. For the model with fixed ordering costs, the stochastic lot-sizing problem, they assume that the demand of each period is known at the beginning of that period (make-to-order systems, or settings where the short-term forecast is accurate), while demand further ahead stays random and arbitrarily correlated. Under this assumption they define the triple-balancing policy and prove it costs at most three times the optimum in expectation.

Timeline:

  • Scarf (1960) proved that (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policies are optimal for independent demands with fixed costs; with correlated demand the optimal policy is a state-dependent (st(ft),St(ft))(s_t(f_t), S_t(f_t))(st​(ft​),St​(ft​)) rule that is hard to compute.
  • Levi, Pál, Roundy and Shmoys (2007) gave the dual-balancing 2-approximation for the model without fixed costs (§4) and the triple-balancing 3-approximation for the stochastic lot-sizing problem (§6, Theorem 6.1), both for arbitrarily correlated demand.

Setting

There are periods t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T on a probability space (Ω,F,μ)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mu)(Ω,F,μ) with a filtration (Ft)(\mathcal F_t)(Ft​): Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ is the information available at the beginning of period ttt. The data are a fixed ordering cost K≥0K\ge0K≥0, per-unit holding costs ht≥0h_t\ge0ht​≥0, per-unit backlogging penalties pt≥0p_t\ge0pt​≥0, an initial inventory level x1∈Rx_1\in\mathbb Rx1​∈R, and nonnegative demands DtD_tDt​. The per-unit ordering cost is zero, the lead time is zero and there is no discounting. The defining assumption is that DtD_tDt​ is Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable: the demand of a period is known when the period begins. For every period sss there is a conditional joint distribution IsI_sIs​ of the demands given Fs\mathcal F_sFs​, under which every conditional mean E[Dt∣fs]E[D_t\mid f_s]E[Dt​∣fs​] is finite.

A feasible policy is an order process Q=(Qt)Q=(Q_t)Q=(Qt​) with Qt≥0Q_t\ge0Qt​≥0 and QtQ_tQt​ determined by Ft\mathcal F_tFt​. Its inventory levels are xt=x1+∑j<t(Qj−Dj)x_t=x_1+\sum_{j<t}(Q_j-D_j)xt​=x1​+∑j<t​(Qj​−Dj​) before ordering and yt=xt+Qty_t=x_t+Q_tyt​=xt​+Qt​ after ordering, and its cost is

C(Q)=∑t=1T(K 1(Qt>0)+ht(yt−Dt)++pt(Dt−yt)+).\mathcal C(Q)=\sum_{t=1}^T\Bigl(K\,\mathbb 1(Q_t>0)+h_t(y_t-D_t)^++p_t(D_t-y_t)^+\Bigr).C(Q)=t=1∑T​(K1(Qt​>0)+ht​(yt​−Dt​)++pt​(Dt​−yt​)+).

The triple-balancing policy TB uses two rules. Let s∗s^*s∗ be the last period before sss in which TB ordered (s∗=0s^*=0s∗=0 if none). Rule 1: TB orders in period sss if and only if, without an order in sss, the accumulated backlogging cost over (s∗,s](s^*,s](s∗,s] would exceed KKK. Rule 2: when it orders in s<Ts<Ts<T, it orders

qsB=max⁡{q≥0: E[HsB(q)∣fs]≤K},HsB(q)=∑j=sThj(q−(D[s,j]−xs)+)+,q_s^B=\max\{q\ge0:\ E[H_s^B(q)\mid f_s]\le K\},\qquad H_s^B(q)=\sum_{j=s}^T h_j\bigl(q-(D_{[s,j]}-x_s)^+\bigr)^+,qsB​=max{q≥0: E[HsB​(q)∣fs​]≤K},HsB​(q)=j=s∑T​hj​(q−(D[s,j]​−xs​)+)+,

the largest quantity whose expected marginal holding cost over [s,T][s,T][s,T] is at most KKK. When it orders in period TTT, it orders exactly enough to clear the backorders and meet DTD_TDT​. Let NNN be the number of orders TB places.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1

For every instance, the triple-balancing policy TB and every feasible policy PPP satisfy

E[C(TB)]≤3 E[C(P)].E[\mathcal C(TB)]\le 3\,E[\mathcal C(P)].E[C(TB)]≤3E[C(P)].

The constant 3 is the paper's. The statement leaves the demand law, the information structure and the cost data unrestricted beyond the standing assumptions above.

Milestones

  1. §6.1, Rule 2 observation. In a period where TB orders, Ds≤ysTBD_s\le y_s^{TB}Ds​≤ysTB​: no backorders remain at the end of the period.
  2. Lemma 6.1. K⋅E[N]≤E[C(P)]K\cdot E[N]\le E[\mathcal C(P)]K⋅E[N]≤E[C(P)] for every feasible PPP.
  3. Lemma 6.2. E[C(TB)]≤E[C(P)]+2K⋅E[N]E[\mathcal C(TB)]\le E[\mathcal C(P)]+2K\cdot E[N]E[C(TB)]≤E[C(P)]+2K⋅E[N] for every feasible PPP.

Two non-milestone theorems show that the setting is not empty. A conditional demand law exists whenever demands are integrable, and a triple-balancing policy exists when hT>0h_T>0hT​>0.

Significance

The theorem gives a policy that can be computed online and comes with a worst-case expected-cost guarantee that does not depend on the demand distribution, the horizon or the cost data. In this setting the optimal policy is not computable in general, and the previously used heuristics have no such bound. The two lemmas separate a lower bound on every policy, in terms of TB's own number of orders, from an upper bound on TB's cost. The authors' subsequent work extends the balancing template to capacitated and multi-echelon models (§7 of the paper).

The result is proved in the paper. As far as we know, no machine-checked version exists of this theorem, of the balancing argument, or of a stochastic inventory model with correlated demand and evolving information. A formalization would check the argument, which is terse in places: the printed proof of Lemma 6.2 indexes its final sum loosely and must handle the event N=0N=0N=0. It would also produce reusable infrastructure for policies adapted to a filtration, for regular conditional distributions of future demand, and for cost accounting over random intervals between orders.

Difficulty

The costs of TB and of an arbitrary policy cannot be compared period by period, because the two policies order at different, random times that depend on the evolving information. Any comparison has to be made over intervals whose endpoints are stopping times determined by TB, conditioned on the information at their start. At such a time the other policy may hold more or less stock than TB, and the bound must hold in both cases. Bounding each policy's cost on its own does not work: the guarantee rests on a coupling between when TB orders and what every other policy must pay over the same random stretch of time. The formal side adds a second difficulty. Rule 2 is defined through a conditional expectation viewed as a function of the order quantity, so it needs a regular conditional distribution and a measurable selection of the maximizer.

Formalization scope

  • Periods are natural numbers 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T, demands and orders are real-valued, and data at indices outside 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T are unused.
  • Information is a MeasureTheory.Filtration ℕ. A policy is feasible when it is nonnegative and adapted, and "DtD_tDt​ known at the start of period ttt" means DtD_tDt​ is Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable.
  • The conditional distributions IsI_sIs​ are model data: Markov kernels to demand paths that are Fs\mathcal F_sFs​-measurable regular conditional distributions of the demand path. At every outcome they make DsD_sDs​ deterministic, demands nonnegative and the conditional means E[Dt∣fs]E[D_t\mid f_s]E[Dt​∣fs​] finite.
  • Expected costs, E[N]E[N]E[N] and the conditional expectation in Rule 2 are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Lemma 6.2 is stated additively, E[C(TB)]≤E[C(P)]+2K E[N]E[\mathcal C(TB)]\le E[\mathcal C(P)]+2K\,E[N]E[C(TB)]≤E[C(P)]+2KE[N], which is the paper's inequality whenever the expectations are finite.
  • The comparison policy is an arbitrary feasible policy, not an optimal one. The paper's proofs use only feasibility, and this form implies the paper's whenever an optimum exists, without any existence hypothesis.
  • TB is the predicate "feasible and satisfies Rules 1 and 2 at every period and outcome". The rules determine the policy uniquely. Rule 1 uses a strict "exceeds KKK", and the period-TTT order is DT−xTD_T-x_TDT​−xT​.

Several trivializing formalizations are ruled out. Junk conditional expectations cannot make Rule 2 hold for every qqq, because it uses kernel integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Infinite expected costs cannot be read as 000. The policy class is not empty, because a separate theorem gives existence under hT>0h_T>0hT​>0 (without some positive holding cost on [s,T][s,T][s,T] the maximum in Rule 2 does not exist).

Contributions welcome: proofs of the existence theorems (measurable selection of qsBq_s^BqsB​, versions of regular conditional distributions), the stopping-time decomposition of the cost over TB's order intervals, and Lemmas 6.1 and 6.2.

Selected references

  • R. Levi, M. Pál, R. O. Roundy, D. B. Shmoys, Approximation Algorithms for Stochastic Inventory Control Models, Mathematics of Operations Research 32(2):284–302, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1060.0205
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (S, s) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
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AnalysisConvex OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

The Łojasiewicz Inequality for Nonsmooth Subanalytic Functions with Applications to Subgradient Dynamical Systems II: The Łojasiewicz Inequality for Convex Subanalytic Functions on Bounded SetsResearch Paper

Motivation

The Łojasiewicz inequality states that near a critical point aaa of a real-analytic function fff there are θ∈[0,1)\theta\in[0,1)θ∈[0,1) and CCC with ∣f(x)−f(a)∣θ≤C ∥∇f(x)∥|f(x)-f(a)|^{\theta}\le C\,\|\nabla f(x)\|∣f(x)−f(a)∣θ≤C∥∇f(x)∥. Łojasiewicz used it in the 1960s to prove that every bounded trajectory of the gradient flow x˙=−∇f(x)\dot x=-\nabla f(x)x˙=−∇f(x) has finite length and converges to a single critical point, a conclusion that fails for general C∞C^\inftyC∞ functions. The inequality has since become the standard tool for convergence analysis of descent methods on nonconvex problems.

Optimization problems are, however, rarely smooth: constraints enter through indicator functions, and objectives contain norms, maxima and penalties. Bolte, Daniilidis and Lewis (SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2007) 1205–1223) extended the inequality to nonsmooth subanalytic functions, replacing ∥∇f∥\|\nabla f\|∥∇f∥ by a slope built from the limiting subdifferential. Their Section 3.1 treats functions continuous on a closed domain; Section 3.2, the subject of this mission, treats lower semicontinuous convex functions, which may jump to +∞+\infty+∞ and whose domain need not be closed. The Kurdyka–Łojasiewicz framework built on this paper (Attouch–Bolte–Svaiter 2013; Bolte–Sabach–Teboulle 2014) underlies the convergence theory of proximal and splitting algorithms used throughout operations research.

Setting

Work in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean norm, and let f:Rn→R∪{+∞}f:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}f:Rn→R∪{+∞} with domain dom⁡f={x:f(x)<+∞}\operatorname{dom} f=\{x: f(x)<+\infty\}domf={x:f(x)<+∞}.

A set A⊆RnA\subseteq\mathbb R^nA⊆Rn is semianalytic if near every point it is a finite union of finite intersections of sets {fij=0, gij>0}\{f_{ij}=0,\ g_{ij}>0\}{fij​=0, gij​>0} with fij,gijf_{ij},g_{ij}fij​,gij​ real-analytic. It is subanalytic if near every point it is the projection of a bounded semianalytic subset of Rn×Rm\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^mRn×Rm. A function is subanalytic when its graph {(x,λ):f(x)=λ}\{(x,\lambda): f(x)=\lambda\}{(x,λ):f(x)=λ} is. Semialgebraic functions (norms, polynomials, indicators of polyhedra) are subanalytic.

The Fréchet subdifferential ∂^f(x)\hat\partial f(x)∂^f(x) is the set of x∗x^*x∗ with lim inf⁡y→x, y≠x(f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩)/∥y−x∥≥0\liminf_{y\to x,\,y\ne x}\big(f(y)-f(x)-\langle x^*,y-x\rangle\big)/\|y-x\|\ge 0liminfy→x,y=x​(f(y)−f(x)−⟨x∗,y−x⟩)/∥y−x∥≥0, for x∈dom⁡fx\in\operatorname{dom} fx∈domf, and is empty otherwise. The limiting subdifferential ∂f(x)\partial f(x)∂f(x) is the set of limits of xk∗∈∂^f(xk)x_k^*\in\hat\partial f(x_k)xk∗​∈∂^f(xk​) with (xk,f(xk))→(x,f(x))(x_k,f(x_k))\to(x,f(x))(xk​,f(xk​))→(x,f(x)). The nonsmooth slope is mf(x)=inf⁡{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}m_f(x)=\inf\{\|x^*\|:x^*\in\partial f(x)\}mf​(x)=inf{∥x∗∥:x∗∈∂f(x)}, equal to +∞+\infty+∞ when ∂f(x)=∅\partial f(x)=\emptyset∂f(x)=∅, and crit⁡f={x:0∈∂f(x)}\operatorname{crit} f=\{x: 0\in\partial f(x)\}critf={x:0∈∂f(x)} is the set of critical points. For lower semicontinuous convex fff, ∂f\partial f∂f is the subdifferential of convex analysis and crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf is the set of minimizers. Write min⁡f\min fminf for the minimum value and dS(x)d_S(x)dS​(x) for the distance from xxx to S=crit⁡fS=\operatorname{crit} fS=critf. The epigraphical sum g(x)=inf⁡u{f(u)+12∥x−u∥2}g(x)=\inf_u\{f(u)+\tfrac12\|x-u\|^2\}g(x)=infu​{f(u)+21​∥x−u∥2} is the Moreau envelope of fff.

Ratios follow the paper's conventions 00=10^0=100=1 and ∞/∞=0/0=0\infty/\infty=0/0=0∞/∞=0/0=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3

Let fff be lower semicontinuous, convex and subanalytic with crit⁡f≠∅\operatorname{crit} f\ne\emptysetcritf=∅. For every bounded set KKK there is θ∈[0,1)\theta\in[0,1)θ∈[0,1) such that

∣f−min⁡f∣θmfis bounded on K.\frac{|f-\min f|^{\theta}}{m_f}\quad\text{is bounded on }K.mf​∣f−minf∣θ​is bounded on K.

The exponent may depend on KKK; neither θ\thetaθ nor the bound is fixed.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (5): ∂f=∂^f=\partial f=\hat\partial f=∂f=∂^f= the convex subdifferential, for lsc convex fff.
  2. Section 3.2: crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf is closed, convex and equal to the set of minimizers.
  3. Inequality (16): ∣f(x)−min⁡f∣≤∥x∗∥ dS(x)|f(x)-\min f|\le\|x^*\|\,d_S(x)∣f(x)−minf∣≤∥x∗∥dS​(x) for all x∗∈∂f(x)x^*\in\partial f(x)x∗∈∂f(x).
  4. Remark 3.6: ∣f−min⁡f∣/mf|f-\min f|/m_f∣f−minf∣/mf​ is bounded around every critical point, without subanalyticity.
  5. Proposition 2.9: the epigraphical sum ggg is C1C^1C1 and subanalytic when inf⁡f∈R\inf f\in\mathbb Rinff∈R.
  6. Properties (a)–(c): ggg is finite and C1C^1C1, g≤fg\le fg≤f, crit⁡g=crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} g=\operatorname{crit} fcritg=critf, inf⁡g=inf⁡f\inf g=\inf finfg=inff.
  7. Proposition 2.13(ii): crit⁡f\operatorname{crit} fcritf is subanalytic for subanalytic fff that is relatively bounded on its domain.
  8. Section 2.1: the distance to a subanalytic set is subanalytic.
  9. The Łojasiewicz factorization lemma on compact sets (recalled from Bierstone–Milman).
  10. Inequality (15): dS(x)≤c−1/r∣f(x)−min⁡f∣1/rd_S(x)\le c^{-1/r}|f(x)-\min f|^{1/r}dS​(x)≤c−1/r∣f(x)−minf∣1/r on KKK, with r>1r>1r>1, c>0c>0c>0.
  11. Remark 3.5: the growth condition ∣f−min⁡f∣≥c dS r|f-\min f|\ge c\,d_S^{\,r}∣f−minf∣≥cdSr​ on a compact KKK alone yields a Łojasiewicz inequality at critical points interior to KKK.

Significance

Theorem 3.3 gives, for convex subanalytic functions, a Łojasiewicz inequality that is uniform on bounded sets rather than local at one critical point, and it needs neither continuity of fff on its domain nor a closed domain. Remark 3.4 of the paper exhibits a convex function covered by Theorem 3.3 but not by the continuous-case Theorem 3.1. Through inequality (20) of Section 4, it yields finite length and convergence rates for the subgradient flow x˙∈−∂f(x)\dot x\in-\partial f(x)x˙∈−∂f(x) of such functions. The intermediate inequality (15) is a Hölderian error bound, dS≤C∣f−min⁡f∣1/rd_S\le C|f-\min f|^{1/r}dS​≤C∣f−minf∣1/r, of the kind that drives linear and sublinear rate analyses of first-order methods.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version of it, or of the nonsmooth Łojasiewicz inequality in any form, is known. Formalizing it would add to the library: subanalytic sets and functions, the limiting subdifferential of convex functions and its agreement with the classical one, the Moreau envelope with its critical points and infimum, and the passage from a growth condition to a Łojasiewicz inequality. Remarks 3.5 and 3.6 isolate parts that need no subanalytic geometry at all.

Difficulty

The convex-analysis steps (inequality (16), properties of the Moreau envelope) are classical. The obstacle is subanalytic geometry. The natural first idea, applying the Łojasiewicz factorization lemma directly to f−min⁡ff-\min ff−minf and dSd_SdS​, fails: fff is neither continuous nor finite, and its domain need not be subanalytic even when fff is convex and subanalytic (Example 2.5 of the paper). The milestones route through the Moreau envelope, which is continuous and finite, but subanalyticity is not preserved by infima over unbounded sets, so the subanalyticity of the envelope (Proposition 2.9) needs a localization argument. The subanalyticity of crit⁡g\operatorname{crit} gcritg and of dSd_SdS​ rests on the stability theory of subanalytic sets (Gabrielov's complement theorem, the projection theorem for globally subanalytic sets), none of which exists in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). Functions take values in EReal; "lower semicontinuous, convex, somewhere finite and never −∞-\infty−∞" is the published definition MoreauProx.Characterization.GammaZero, whose convexity is convexity of the epigraph. The Fréchet and limiting subdifferentials are the published NonconvexSplitting.Shared.IsRegularSubgrad and LimitingSubdiff; the convex subdifferential subgrad appears only in Eq. (5), which proves the agreement and is never assumed. Semianalytic and subanalytic sets are defined from scratch for any finite-dimensional real normed space, so that one definition serves Rn\mathbb R^nRn and its products; global subanalyticity is not defined. min⁡f\min fminf is written inf⁡yf(y)\inf_y f(y)infy​f(y) in EReal and converted to a real number only where it is finite. The bounded ratio (14) is encoded as "∣f(x)−min⁡f∣θ≤C∥x∗∥|f(x)-\min f|^{\theta}\le C\|x^*\|∣f(x)−minf∣θ≤C∥x∗∥ for every x∈Kx\in Kx∈K and every x∗∈∂f(x)x^*\in\partial f(x)x∗∈∂f(x)", with real powers (Real.rpow, 00=10^0=100=1). Inequalities (15) and (17) are imposed only where f(x)<+∞f(x)<+\inftyf(x)<+∞, since Lean sends +∞+\infty+∞ to 000 under toReal.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: the goal is stated with the limiting subdifferential rather than an assumed convex subdifferential, the slope is never computed in ℝ≥0∞ where 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0 would make the ratio vacuous, and θ\thetaθ remains existential in [0,1)[0,1)[0,1) with the quantifier order "for every KKK there is θ\thetaθ", so that θ=0\theta=0θ=0 is excluded at critical points in KKK by 00=10^0=100=1.

A complete development needs a working theory of subanalytic sets (stability under finite unions, complements, closure, projections of bounded sets, the factorization lemma), the Moreau envelope of a convex function on Rn\mathbb R^nRn and its C1C^1C1 property, and the convex-analytic description of the limiting subdifferential. The subanalytic-geometry layer and the Moreau-envelope facts are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions to either, or proofs of the convex-only milestones (Eq. (5), (16), Remarks 3.5–3.6), are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • J. Bolte, A. Daniilidis, A. Lewis, The Łojasiewicz inequality for nonsmooth subanalytic functions with applications to subgradient dynamical systems, SIAM J. Optim. 17(4) (2007) 1205–1223. https://doi.org/10.1137/050644641
  • E. Bierstone, P. D. Milman, Semianalytic and subanalytic sets, Publ. Math. IHÉS 67 (1988) 5–42. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02699126
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • S. Łojasiewicz, Une propriété topologique des sous-ensembles analytiques réels, Les Équations aux Dérivées Partielles, Éditions du CNRS, Paris, 1963, 87–89.
  • H. Attouch, J. Bolte, B. F. Svaiter, Convergence of descent methods for semi-algebraic and tame problems, Math. Program. 137 (2013) 91–129. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0484-9
  • J. Bolte, S. Sabach, M. Teboulle, Proximal alternating linearized minimization for nonconvex and nonsmooth problems, Math. Program. 146 (2014) 459–494. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-013-0701-9
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