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Operations Research

719 missions · 451 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

Missions

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🏆Completed
ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Markov Chain Central Limit TheoremResearch Paper

Markov chain Monte Carlo turns hard integration problems into long simulations: to estimate an expectation EπfE_\pi fEπ​f one runs a Markov chain with stationary distribution π\piπ and reports the sample average fˉn\bar f_nfˉ​n​. The ergodic theorem guarantees fˉn→Eπf\bar f_n \to E_\pi ffˉ​n​→Eπ​f, but honest error bars require more: a central limit theorem

n(fˉn−Eπf)→dN(0,σf2).\sqrt{n}(\bar f_n - E_\pi f) \to_d N(0, \sigma_f^2).n​(fˉ​n​−Eπ​f)→d​N(0,σf2​).

On general state spaces this is famously delicate - a merely ergodic chain with a square-integrable functional can fail the CLT, so the classical theory trades convergence rates (drift, minorization, geometric or polynomial total-variation rates) and mixing conditions (α\alphaα-, ρ\rhoρ-, φ\varphiφ-mixing) against moment conditions on fff. This mission formalizes G. L. Jones's survey "On the Markov chain central limit theorem" (Probability Surveys, 2004): the drift-condition CLTs of Meyn-Tweedie and Jarner-Roberts, the classical mixing CLTs of Ibragimov-Linnik, Doukhan-Massart-Rio and Billingsley, the characterizations via uniform integrability and boundedness in probability, and their assembly into the summary theorem: six practically checkable regimes - from polynomial ergodicity with bounded functionals to uniform ergodicity with second moments - each of which guarantees the CLT for every initial distribution. The stationarity, total-variation and mixing infrastructure is general state space and reusable well beyond this mission.

154 thms18 active usersReviewed
Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: Shuze Chen

The k-Server ConjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

The kkk-server problem was introduced by Manasse, McGeoch, and Sleator (STOC 1988 / J. Algorithms 1990) as a common generalization of paging, weighted caching, and related sequential decision problems, and their kkk-server conjecture has since become the central open question of competitive analysis. The conjecture asserts that a single ratio — exactly kkk — governs deterministic online server management on every metric space.

Timeline

  • 1985. Sleator and Tarjan introduce competitive analysis — an online algorithm judged against the offline optimum on every input — for list update and paging, and ask for a theory of such guarantees.
  • 1988–1990. Manasse, McGeoch, and Sleator introduce the kkk-server problem (STOC 1988; J. Algorithms 1990) and settle its extremes: no deterministic algorithm beats ratio kkk on any space with more than kkk points (Corollary 7), two servers admit a 222-competitive algorithm (Theorem 5, algorithm RES), and kkk servers on k+1k+1k+1 points admit a kkk-competitive one (Theorem 4, algorithm BAL). Section 8 poses the kkk-server conjecture, in the symmetric finite setting of the paper.
  • 1990. Fiat, Rabani, and Ravid (FOCS 1990) give the first competitive ratio depending on kkk alone — exponential in kkk, but finite on every metric space.
  • 1991. Chrobak, Karloff, Payne, and Vishwanathan (SIAM J. Discrete Math.) prove the conjecture on the real line via Double Coverage; Chrobak and Larmore (SIAM J. Comput.) extend it to all tree metrics.
  • 1995. Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (J. ACM) prove the Work Function Algorithm is (2k−1)(2k-1)(2k−1)-competitive on every metric space — the breakthrough, and still the best general bound. Their Conjecture 1.1 fixes the conjecture's modern form: for every metric space there is an online algorithm with competitive ratio kkk.
  • 1996. The same authors verify the conjecture on spaces of k+2k+2k+2 points via the dual 2-evader problem (Inf. Process. Lett. 57).
  • 2004. Bartal and Koutsoupias prove the WFA itself is kkk-competitive on the line, weighted stars, and all spaces of k+2k+2k+2 points.
  • 2021. Coester and Koutsoupias (ICALP) give a unifying potential for all known WFA analyses and push the frontier to the circle.
  • 2023. Bubeck, Coester, and Rabani (STOC) refute the randomized analogue: no o(log⁡2k)o(\log^2 k)o(log2k)-competitive randomized algorithm exists in general. The deterministic conjecture — this mission's goal — survives as the central open question, with the gap between kkk and 2k−12k-12k−1 unmoved since 1995.
  • 2026. Coester, Koutsoupias, and Zbysiński post The kkk-server conjecture is true (arXiv:2609.15979), a claimed proof of the full conjecture: the Work Function Algorithm itself is kkk-competitive on every metric space, via a matrix representation of work functions and a potential function built on it. The preprint is not yet peer-reviewed; this mission's goal stays open until a machine-checked proof exists.

Setting

Fix a metric space MMM with distance function ddd, and a number of servers k≥1k \ge 1k≥1. A configuration records where the kkk servers stand: it is a function CCC assigning to each server i∈{1,…,k}i \in \{1, \dots, k\}i∈{1,…,k} a point C(i)∈MC(i) \in MC(i)∈M. Moving the servers from configuration CCC to configuration C′C'C′ means server iii travels from C(i)C(i)C(i) to C′(i)C'(i)C′(i); the movement cost is the total distance traveled,

moveCost(C,C′)  =  ∑i=1kd(C(i), C′(i)).\mathrm{moveCost}(C, C') \;=\; \sum_{i=1}^{k} d\bigl(C(i),\, C'(i)\bigr).moveCost(C,C′)=i=1∑k​d(C(i),C′(i)).

A request sequence is a finite list σ=(r1,…,rn)\sigma = (r_1, \dots, r_n)σ=(r1​,…,rn​) of points of MMM, presented one at a time; write σ≤j=(r1,…,rj)\sigma_{\le j} = (r_1, \dots, r_j)σ≤j​=(r1​,…,rj​) for the list of the first jjj requests (so σ≤0\sigma_{\le 0}σ≤0​ is the empty list).

A deterministic online algorithm AAA is a rule that, for every finite request sequence ℓ\ellℓ, specifies a configuration A(ℓ)A(\ell)A(ℓ) — where the servers stand after serving the requests of ℓ\ellℓ in order. In particular A(empty list)A(\text{empty list})A(empty list) is the initial configuration, before any request arrives. Two points about this way of modeling an algorithm:

  • Online and deterministic, by construction. The configuration after jjj requests is A(σ≤j)A(\sigma_{\le j})A(σ≤j​), a function of those first jjj requests only — the algorithm cannot see the future, and makes no random choices.
  • The service constraint. Whenever a request sequence ends with a request rrr, some server must stand at rrr immediately after: for every list ℓ\ellℓ and every point rrr, the configuration reached after serving ℓ\ellℓ followed by rrr places at least one server at the point rrr.

Running AAA on σ=(r1,…,rn)\sigma = (r_1, \dots, r_n)σ=(r1​,…,rn​) produces the configurations A(σ≤0), A(σ≤1), …, A(σ≤n)A(\sigma_{\le 0}),\, A(\sigma_{\le 1}),\, \dots,\, A(\sigma_{\le n})A(σ≤0​),A(σ≤1​),…,A(σ≤n​), and its cost is the total movement along this trajectory:

costA(σ)  =  ∑j=1nmoveCost(A(σ≤j−1), A(σ≤j)).\mathrm{cost}_A(\sigma) \;=\; \sum_{j=1}^{n} \mathrm{moveCost}\bigl(A(\sigma_{\le j-1}),\, A(\sigma_{\le j})\bigr).costA​(σ)=j=1∑n​moveCost(A(σ≤j−1​),A(σ≤j​)).

For comparison, an offline schedule for σ\sigmaσ starting at a configuration C0C_0C0​ is any sequence of configurations S0=C0,S1,…,SnS_0 = C_0, S_1, \dots, S_nS0​=C0​,S1​,…,Sn​ in which SjS_jSj​ places a server at the request rjr_jrj​, for each jjj — chosen with the whole of σ\sigmaσ known in advance. The optimal offline cost OPT(C0,σ)\mathrm{OPT}(C_0, \sigma)OPT(C0​,σ) is the infimum, over all such schedules, of the total movement ∑j=1nmoveCost(Sj−1,Sj)\sum_{j=1}^{n} \mathrm{moveCost}(S_{j-1}, S_j)∑j=1n​moveCost(Sj−1​,Sj​).

Finally, AAA is ccc-competitive if there is a constant aaa — depending on the algorithm, hence possibly on the metric space and the initial configuration, but never on the request sequence — with

costA(σ)  ≤  c⋅OPT(A(empty list), σ)+afor every request sequence σ.\mathrm{cost}_A(\sigma) \;\le\; c \cdot \mathrm{OPT}\bigl(A(\text{empty list}),\, \sigma\bigr) + a \qquad \text{for every request sequence } \sigma.costA​(σ)≤c⋅OPT(A(empty list),σ)+afor every request sequence σ.

Formalization targets

Goal — the kkk-server conjecture

For every k≥1, every metric space M, and every initial configuration C0: ∃ A starting at C0 that is k-competitive.\text{For every } k \ge 1,\ \text{every metric space } M,\ \text{and every initial configuration } C_0:\ \exists\, A \text{ starting at } C_0 \text{ that is } k\text{-competitive.}For every k≥1, every metric space M, and every initial configuration C0​: ∃A starting at C0​ that is k-competitive.

The goal fixes no algorithm: any kkk-competitive construction settles it. This is the weakest stable form of the conjecture — it survives every improvement in constants or techniques short of a disproof.

Milestones — the known ladder

The milestones are the classical results between the trivial and the conjectured, each an existence or impossibility statement over the same definitions: the lower bound c≥kc \ge kc≥k on any space with at least k+1k+1k+1 points; the conjecture for k=2k = 2k=2; for spaces of exactly k+1k+1k+1 points; for the real line; the (2k−1)(2k-1)(2k−1) upper bound of the Work Function Algorithm on every space; the conjecture for spaces of exactly k+2k+2k+2 points; the conjecture for three servers in the Manhattan plane (R2,ℓ1)(\mathbb{R}^2, \ell^1)(R2,ℓ1) — the one settled case over a genuinely two-dimensional continuum (Bein–Chrobak–Larmore 2002; reproved by the unifying potential of Coester–Koutsoupias 2021); Coester–Koutsoupias's 2021 result that the Work Function Algorithm itself — not just some algorithm — is 333-competitive for three servers on trees, stated over an explicit formalization of the WFA; and the 2023 Bubeck–Coester–Rabani refutation of the randomized analogue: there are (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-point spaces on which every randomized algorithm is Ω(log⁡2k)\Omega(\log^2 k)Ω(log2k)-competitive, stated over a mixed-strategy model of randomized online algorithms.

Significance

A proof of the conjecture would close the founding problem of competitive analysis and pin down the exact power of determinism in online optimization over arbitrary metrics; a disproof would separate general metric spaces from every special class where the ratio kkk is known tight. Either outcome recalibrates the field's standard model of adversarial request sequences.

None of these results — not even the lower bound — has a machine-checked proof, and online algorithms as a subject are absent from Mathlib. This mission builds the base layer: a faithful model of online service systems (configurations, online algorithms as prefix functions, offline schedules, competitiveness), the classical possibility and impossibility results over it, and, at the top, the Koutsoupias–Papadimitriou bound, whose potential-function argument is self-contained but delicate. The model is reusable for paging, weighted caching, metrical task systems, and the randomized kkk-server problem.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea — the greedy algorithm, moving the nearest server to each request — is not competitive for any constant, already on three points of the line: two nearby points can ping-pong one server forever while a server parked slightly farther away never moves. Every known competitive algorithm must sometimes move a server other than the nearest one, and the whole difficulty of the conjecture is quantifying exactly how much such foresight-free hedging can achieve. The Work Function Algorithm's analysis via a potential over offline work functions loses a factor of two for reasons nobody has been able to remove; on the lower-bound side, no metric space is known where the deterministic ratio exceeds kkk.

Formalization scope

The Lean model commits to: configurations as functions Fin k → M (labeled servers — equivalent in cost to the unlabeled multiset model, since offline can permute labels for free); algorithms as total functions List M → (Fin k → M) with the service constraint, so a step may move several servers (the standard laziness reduction makes this equivalent to one-move-per-request); costs in ℝ via Metric.dist; the offline optimum as an sInf over schedules, which agrees with the attained minimum on finite spaces; and the additive-constant form of competitiveness, quantified as ∃ a, ∀ σ.

Two conventions guard against trivialization. The additive constant is quantified before the request sequence — allowing it to depend on σ\sigmaσ would make every algorithm 111-competitive. And the lower-bound milestone requires k+1k+1k+1 distinct points (Finset.card = k + 1); on spaces with at most kkk points the conjecture is trivially true and the lower bound false.

Three further definitional layers extend the model. The work function workFunction C₀ σ C is the sInf of (schedule cost + final move to C) over schedules serving σ from C₀, and the Work Function Algorithm WFA is defined on finite spaces with k ≥ 1 servers: after each request it moves to a configuration containing the request minimizing (movement cost) + (work function of the history including the request), a minimizer existing by finiteness and ties broken by a fixed arbitrary choice — matching the standard definition with its "ties broken arbitrarily" (our fixed choice is one admissible instance). A tree is a finite metric space carrying a tree graph whose weighted path lengths realize the metric — exactly "the set of vertices of a tree" of the sources. A randomized algorithm is a mixed strategy: a probability measure over an index type together with a deterministic algorithm per outcome and measurable per-sequence cost; its expected cost is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and ccc-competitiveness from C0C_0C0​ demands every outcome start at C0C_0C0​ and one additive constant work for all request sequences.

Welcome contributions: proofs of any milestone in any order (the lower bound and the (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-point case are the natural entry points); alternative algorithms for milestones already closed; and infrastructure lemmas about moveCost, schedules, and work functions published as reusable platform theorems.

Selected references

  • M. Manasse, L. McGeoch, D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, J. Algorithms 11 (1990). doi:10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
  • A. Fiat, Y. Rabani, Y. Ravid, Competitive k-server algorithms, FOCS 1990. doi:10.1109/FSCS.1990.89566
  • M. Chrobak, H. Karloff, T. Payne, S. Vishwanathan, New results on server problems, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 4 (1991). doi:10.1137/0404017
  • M. Chrobak, L. Larmore, An optimal on-line algorithm for k servers on trees, SIAM J. Comput. 20 (1991). doi:10.1137/0220008
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. Papadimitriou, On the k-server conjecture, J. ACM 42 (1995). doi:10.1145/210118.210128
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. Papadimitriou, The 2-evader problem, Inf. Process. Lett. 57(5) (1996), 249–252.
  • C. Coester, E. Koutsoupias, Towards the k-server conjecture: a unifying potential, pushing the frontier to the circle, ICALP 2021. arXiv:2102.10474
  • S. Bubeck, C. Coester, Y. Rabani, The randomized k-server conjecture is false!, STOC 2023. arXiv:2211.05753
  • E. Koutsoupias, The k-server problem (survey), Computer Science Review 3 (2009). doi:10.1016/j.cosrev.2009.04.002
122 thms11 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms III: Asymptotic and Minimax Optimality of UCBTextbook

The basic UCB regret bound of Mission II is logarithmic but not tight: its leading constant 16/Δi16/\Delta_i16/Δi​ is eight times the information-theoretic limit, and its worst-case rate carries a spurious log⁡n\sqrt{\log n}logn​. Chapters 8–9 of Lattimore–Szepesvári close both gaps. A refined confidence schedule f(t)=1+tlog⁡2tf(t) = 1 + t\log^2 tf(t)=1+tlog2t yields the asymptotically optimal lim sup⁡n→∞Rn/log⁡n≤∑i:Δi>02/Δi\limsup_{n\to\infty} R_n/\log n \le \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} 2/\Delta_ilimsupn→∞​Rn​/logn≤∑i:Δi​>0​2/Δi​ — exactly matching the instance-dependent lower bound of Mission VII for Gaussian noise. The MOSS index μ^i+4Tilog⁡+ ⁣(nkTi)\hat\mu_i + \sqrt{\tfrac{4}{T_i}\log^+\!\big(\tfrac{n}{k T_i}\big)}μ^​i​+Ti​4​log+(kTi​n​)​ achieves minimax regret Rn≤39kn+∑iΔiR_n \le 39\sqrt{kn} + \sum_i \Delta_iRn​≤39kn​+∑i​Δi​, matching the Ω(kn)\Omega(\sqrt{kn})Ω(kn​) lower bound up to a constant. These two theorems are the gold standard for finite-armed stochastic bandits.

24 thms10 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms II: Stochastic Bandits and the UCB AlgorithmTextbook

A learner repeatedly chooses one of kkk slot machines, observes only the reward of the chosen arm, and wants to earn almost as much as the best arm in hindsight. This is the stochastic multi-armed bandit, the canonical model of the exploration–exploitation dilemma. This mission formalizes the model (environments, policies, regret, and the regret decomposition Rn=∑iΔi E[Ti(n)]R_n = \sum_i \Delta_i\,\mathbb{E}[T_i(n)]Rn​=∑i​Δi​E[Ti​(n)]) and the two classical algorithms of Chapters 6–7 of Lattimore–Szepesvári: Explore-Then-Commit and the Upper Confidence Bound algorithm built on the optimism principle. The goal theorem is the instance-dependent UCB regret bound Rn≤3∑iΔi+∑i:Δi>016log⁡(n)/ΔiR_n \le 3\sum_i \Delta_i + \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} 16\log(n)/\Delta_iRn​≤3∑i​Δi​+∑i:Δi​>0​16log(n)/Δi​ — logarithmic regret with explicit constants, the single most cited result of bandit theory — together with its distribution-free companion Rn≤8nklog⁡n+3∑iΔiR_n \le 8\sqrt{nk\log n} + 3\sum_i \Delta_iRn​≤8nklogn​+3∑i​Δi​.

27 thms9 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
CombinatoricsComplexity TheoryGraph Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling Subject to Resource Constraints: Classification and Complexity II: Unit-Time Jobs on Two Uniform Machines with Unit Resources Are Strongly NP-hardResearch Paper

Motivation

Machine scheduling asks how to assign jobs to machines over time. In many applications a job also needs additional scarce resources while it runs: a tool, a skilled operator, a memory bank, a channel. Adding such resources can turn a problem with a polynomial algorithm into an NP-hard one. Błażewicz, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (DAM 1983) extended the standard three-field classification α ∣ β ∣ γ\alpha\,|\,\beta\,|\,\gammaα∣β∣γ of scheduling problems (Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan 1979) with a resource field resλσρres\lambda\sigma\rhoresλσρ. They then drew the complete borderline between easy and hard problems for unit-time jobs, identical or uniform machines and the makespan criterion. Their Fig. 2 marks each problem type as polynomially solvable or NP-hard.

This mission formalizes the two hardness results of that classification that come from graph partition problems (Theorems 2 and 3, p. 15). Two identical machines are easy under any resource constraints (Theorem 1, after Garey and Johnson 1975). Theorems 2 and 3 show that a third identical machine, or two machines of different speeds, already makes the problem strongly NP-hard, once the number of unit resources is part of the input.

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​. Each machine processes at most one job at a time, and each job runs on one machine without interruption. Machine MiM_iMi​ has a speed qi>0q_i>0qi​>0, and every job has unit execution requirement pj=1p_j=1pj​=1, so it takes time 1/qi1/q_i1/qi​ on MiM_iMi​. Identical machines (PPP) are the case qi=1q_i=1qi​=1; uniform machines (QQQ) allow arbitrary speeds.

There are lll resources R1,…,RlR_1,\dots,R_lR1​,…,Rl​. Resource RhR_hRh​ has a positive integer size shs_hsh​, the amount available at any time. Job JjJ_jJj​ needs a nonnegative integer amount rhjr_{hj}rhj​ of RhR_hRh​ throughout its execution. A schedule assigns each job a machine μ(j)\mu(j)μ(j) and a start time Sj≥0S_j\ge 0Sj​≥0. Its completion time is Cj=Sj+1/qμ(j)C_j=S_j+1/q_{\mu(j)}Cj​=Sj​+1/qμ(j)​, and it is being executed at every time ttt with Sj≤t<CjS_j\le t<C_jSj​≤t<Cj​. A schedule is feasible when:

  • jobs on the same machine do not overlap in time;
  • at every time ttt, the set StS_tSt​ of jobs being executed satisfies
∑j∈Strhj≤sh(h=1,…,l).\sum_{j\in S_t} r_{hj}\le s_h\qquad(h=1,\dots,l).j∈St​∑​rhj​≤sh​(h=1,…,l).

The makespan is Cmax⁡=max⁡jCjC_{\max}=\max_j C_jCmax​=maxj​Cj​.

The resource type res⋅11res{\cdot}11res⋅11 means three things: the number lll of resources is part of the input, every size is sh=1s_h=1sh​=1, and every requirement satisfies rhj≤1r_{hj}\le1rhj​≤1. A unit resource is therefore a conflict: two jobs that both need it can never run at the same time. The problems here have no precedence constraints. Pm ∣ res⋅11, pj=1 ∣ Cmax⁡Pm\,|\,res{\cdot}11,\,p_j=1\,|\,C_{\max}Pm∣res⋅11,pj​=1∣Cmax​ and Qm ∣ res⋅11, pj=1 ∣ Cmax⁡Qm\,|\,res{\cdot}11,\,p_j=1\,|\,C_{\max}Qm∣res⋅11,pj​=1∣Cmax​ ask for a feasible schedule of minimum makespan. Their decision versions ask, for a threshold yyy, whether a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤yC_{\max}\le yCmax​≤y exists.

The source problems are two graph problems on a graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) with ∣V∣=3t|V|=3t∣V∣=3t:

  • PARTITION INTO TRIANGLES: can VVV be partitioned into ttt triples of pairwise adjacent vertices?
  • PARTITION INTO PATHS OF LENGTH 2: can VVV be partitioned into ttt triples, each with at most one nonadjacent pair, that is, each spanning a path of length 2?

Both are NP-complete (Garey and Johnson 1979, problems GT11 and GT13).

The construction of p. 15 introduces one job per vertex and one unit resource R{j,k}R_{\{j,k\}}R{j,k}​ per nonadjacent pair {j,k}\{j,k\}{j,k}, required by JjJ_jJj​ and JkJ_kJk​ only.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

Q2 ∣ res⋅11, pj=1 ∣ Cmax⁡ is NP-hard in the strong sense.Q2\,|\,res{\cdot}11,\,p_j=1\,|\,C_{\max}\ \text{is NP-hard in the strong sense.}Q2∣res⋅11,pj​=1∣Cmax​ is NP-hard in the strong sense.

Formally: if the language of PARTITION INTO PATHS OF LENGTH 2 is NP-hard, then the language of unary codes of yes-instances of the decision version of Q2 ∣ res⋅11, pj=1 ∣ Cmax⁡Q2\,|\,res{\cdot}11,\,p_j=1\,|\,C_{\max}Q2∣res⋅11,pj​=1∣Cmax​ is NP-hard. The two speeds are arbitrary positive integers.

Milestones

  1. The construction's key property (p. 15). In the constructed instance, two distinct jobs can be executed simultaneously if and only if their vertices are adjacent.
  2. The triangle equivalence (proof of Theorem 2). GGG has a partition into triangles if and only if the constructed instance on three identical machines has a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤tC_{\max}\le tCmax​≤t.
  3. Theorem 2. P3 ∣ res⋅11, pj=1 ∣ Cmax⁡P3\,|\,res{\cdot}11,\,p_j=1\,|\,C_{\max}P3∣res⋅11,pj​=1∣Cmax​ is NP-hard in the strong sense, given the NP-hardness of PARTITION INTO TRIANGLES.
  4. The paths equivalence (proof of Theorem 3). GGG has a partition into paths of length 2 if and only if the constructed instance on two uniform machines with speeds q1=2q_1=2q1​=2, q2=1q_2=1q2​=1 has a feasible schedule with Cmax⁡≤tC_{\max}\le tCmax​≤t.

Significance

The results. Theorems 2 and 3 are two of the minimal NP-hard problems in the paper's classification. Together with Theorem 1 they place the borderline exactly: with unit resources whose number is part of the input, two identical machines are polynomial, while three identical machines, or two machines of different speeds, are strongly NP-hard. Strong NP-hardness rules out pseudo-polynomial algorithms unless P = NP, and it carries over to every more general resource type and machine environment in Fig. 1 and Fig. 2. Section 4.1 of the paper also derives hardness for ∑Cj\sum C_j∑Cj​ and Lmax⁡L_{\max}Lmax​ from these instances.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved on paper, but the paper's proofs are one sentence each ("Clearly", "It is easily seen"). No machine-checked proof exists, and the platform has no model of resource-constrained scheduling with real-valued time. This mission produces that model. It also produces a precise statement of strong NP-hardness on top of Cook's Turing-machine definitions, and the first formal NP-hardness reductions from graph partition problems to scheduling.

Difficulty

The scheduling half of each equivalence depends on the real-time model. On two uniform machines of speeds 2 and 1, jobs take time 12\tfrac1221​ and 111, so jobs on the fast machine start at half-integers or anywhere else. The resource constraint must hold at every real time, not at a finite set of checkpoints. An argument that treats time as integer slots applies to the triangle case but does not transfer to the paths case.

The complexity half needs polynomial-time computability of the construction on Cook's one-tape Turing machines, on encoded strings that include malformed inputs. It also needs closure of polynomial-time reductions under composition, which the imported complexity layer states but does not prove.

Formalization scope

  • Time and schedules. Start times are nonnegative reals, execution intervals are half-open [Sj,Cj)[S_j,C_j)[Sj​,Cj​), and the resource constraints are imposed at every real time. Schedules are nonpreemptive.
  • Indices. Jobs, machines and resources are 0-based (Fin n, Fin m, Fin l), so q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ are q 0, q 1.
  • Decision versions. "NP-hard" refers to the decision version with a threshold yyy. Thresholds are natural numbers and the Q2Q2Q2 speeds are positive integers. This restricted problem is a subproblem of the one with rational data, so its hardness is the stronger statement.
  • Encodings and strong NP-hardness. Instances are strings over a two-letter alphabet with every number in unary. Graphs are ttt in unary followed by the 3t×3t3t\times 3t3t×3t adjacency matrix, so ∣V∣=3t|V|=3t∣V∣=3t is part of the instance. Languages contain only codes of yes-instances. Strong NP-hardness is NP-hardness of the unary code language. With unary numbers, Max(I)≤Length(I)\mathrm{Max}(I)\le\mathrm{Length}(I)Max(I)≤Length(I), so this is equivalent to Garey and Johnson's definition. The complexity layer is the published module CookPvsNP_defs.
  • Cited hypothesis. Each hardness theorem takes as its only hypothesis the NP-hardness of its source problem, which the paper cites from Garey and Johnson rather than proves. The hypothesis is a true statement about a nonempty, non-universal language. The statements are not weakened to a reduction between languages, and they assume nothing about P versus NP.
  • Source problems. The paper's phrase "three vertices, at most two of which are nonadjacent" is read as "at most one nonadjacent pair", which is Garey and Johnson's GT13. Reading it as "at most two nonadjacent pairs" would admit triples with a single edge and change the problem. PARTITION INTO PATHS OF LENGTH 2 reuses the published definition CubicP3Partition.P3Factor, a spanning non-induced P3P_3P3​-factor.
  • Construction. Resources are indexed by the nonadjacent pairs j<kj<kj<k in lexicographic order, one per unordered pair and none for a pair {j,j}\{j,j\}{j,j}. A diagonal resource would make every job infeasible.
  • Not trivial. A model that checks resources only at integer times, or only at start times, would make the paths equivalence false. A hypothesis on the target problem would make the goal circular. The definitions rule out both.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the two equivalences, polynomial-time computability of the construction on Cook's machines, and a general composition lemma for polynomial-time reductions. The composition lemma is reusable for every hardness mission built on CookPvsNP_defs.

Selected references

  • J. Błażewicz, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Scheduling subject to resource constraints: classification and complexity, Discrete Applied Mathematics 5 (1983) 11–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/0166-218X(83)90012-4
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Complexity results for multiprocessor scheduling under resource constraints, SIAM Journal on Computing 4 (1975) 397–411. https://doi.org/10.1137/0204035
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, Freeman, San Francisco, 1979, ISBN 0-7167-1045-5.
  • R. L. Graham, E. L. Lawler, J. K. Lenstra, A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • S. Cook, The P versus NP problem, Clay Mathematics Institute Millennium Problems. https://www.claymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/pvsnp.pdf
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CombinatoricsConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convexity and Steinitz's Exchange Property III: Fenchel-Type Min-Max Duality with Primal and Dual Integrality for M-Concave and M-Convex FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Several classical min-max theorems of combinatorial optimization say that a discrete maximization problem and a continuous minimization problem have the same optimal value, and that both have integral optimal solutions when the data are integral. Edmonds' polymatroid intersection theorem (1970), Fujishige's Fenchel-type duality for submodular functions (1984), Frank's discrete separation theorem for a submodular/supermodular pair (1982), and the potential characterizations of weighted matroid intersection (Frank's weight splitting theorem, 1981; Iri and Tomizawa's criterion for the assignment problem, 1976) are instances. Murota's paper Convexity and Steinitz's exchange property, 1996 places all of them under one theorem: a Fenchel-type min-max formula for a pair of an M-concave and an M-convex function, with integrality on both sides.

Timeline:

  • 1970: Edmonds proves the polymatroid intersection theorem.
  • 1982: Frank proves the discrete separation theorem for submodular/supermodular set functions, with integrality.
  • 1984: Fujishige proves a Fenchel-type min-max theorem for submodular functions.
  • 1976–1981: Iri and Tomizawa characterize optimality for independent assignment by potentials; Frank proves the weight splitting theorem for weighted matroid intersection (1981).
  • Early 1990s: Dress and Wenzel introduce valuated matroids.
  • 1995–1996: Murota proves the valuated matroid intersection theorem (SIAM J. Discrete Math. 9, 1996) and the M-concave intersection theorem (Bonn report, 1995), and in the present paper the Fenchel-type duality (Theorem 6.4).
  • Later: the result becomes the central duality theorem of discrete convex analysis (Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003).

Setting

Let VVV be a finite nonempty set. For u∈Vu\in Vu∈V, χu∈ZV\chi_u\in\mathbb Z^Vχu​∈ZV is its characteristic vector; for x∈RVx\in\mathbb R^Vx∈RV, supp⁡±(x)\operatorname{supp}^{\pm}(x)supp±(x) are the sets of coordinates where xxx is positive or negative, x(X)=∑v∈Xx(v)x(X)=\sum_{v\in X}x(v)x(X)=∑v∈X​x(v), and ⟨p,x⟩=∑vp(v)x(v)\langle p,x\rangle=\sum_v p(v)x(v)⟨p,x⟩=∑v​p(v)x(v).

A finite integral base set is a finite nonempty B⊆ZVB\subseteq\mathbb Z^VB⊆ZV such that for x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) some v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) has x−χu+χv∈Bx-\chi_u+\chi_v\in Bx−χu​+χv​∈B. These are exactly the integer points of integral base polytopes of submodular systems. B‾\overline BB is the convex hull of BBB.

A function ω:B→R\omega:B\to\mathbb Rω:B→R has the exchange property (EXC), and is called M-concave, if for x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) some v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) has x−χu+χv, y+χu−χv∈Bx-\chi_u+\chi_v,\ y+\chi_u-\chi_v\in Bx−χu​+χv​, y+χu​−χv​∈B and

ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu+χv)+ω(y+χu−χv).\omega(x)+\omega(y)\le\omega(x-\chi_u+\chi_v)+\omega(y+\chi_u-\chi_v).ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu​+χv​)+ω(y+χu​−χv​).

A function ζ\zetaζ is M-convex when −ζ-\zeta−ζ is M-concave.

For ω:B1→R\omega:B_1\to\mathbb Rω:B1​→R and ζ:B2→R\zeta:B_2\to\mathbb Rζ:B2​→R the concave conjugate and convex conjugate are

ω∘(p)=min⁡x∈B1(⟨p,x⟩−ω(x)),ζ∙(p)=max⁡x∈B2(⟨p,x⟩−ζ(x)),\omega^\circ(p)=\min_{x\in B_1}\big(\langle p,x\rangle-\omega(x)\big),\qquad \zeta^\bullet(p)=\max_{x\in B_2}\big(\langle p,x\rangle-\zeta(x)\big),ω∘(p)=x∈B1​min​(⟨p,x⟩−ω(x)),ζ∙(p)=x∈B2​max​(⟨p,x⟩−ζ(x)),

and the concave closure and convex closure are ω^(b)=inf⁡p(⟨p,b⟩−ω∘(p))\hat\omega(b)=\inf_p(\langle p,b\rangle-\omega^\circ(p))ω^(b)=infp​(⟨p,b⟩−ω∘(p)) and ζˇ(b)=sup⁡p(⟨p,b⟩−ζ∙(p))\check\zeta(b)=\sup_p(\langle p,b\rangle-\zeta^\bullet(p))ζˇ​(b)=supp​(⟨p,b⟩−ζ∙(p)); they are finite exactly on B1‾\overline{B_1}B1​​ and B2‾\overline{B_2}B2​​.

The primal problem maximizes ω(x)−ζ(x)\omega(x)-\zeta(x)ω(x)−ζ(x) over x∈B1∩B2x\in B_1\cap B_2x∈B1​∩B2​; the relaxed primal problem maximizes ω^(b)−ζˇ(b)\hat\omega(b)-\check\zeta(b)ω^(b)−ζˇ​(b) over b∈B1‾∩B2‾b\in\overline{B_1}\cap\overline{B_2}b∈B1​​∩B2​​; the dual problem minimizes ζ∙(p)−ω∘(p)\zeta^\bullet(p)-\omega^\circ(p)ζ∙(p)−ω∘(p) over p∈RVp\in\mathbb R^Vp∈RV. A maximum over an empty family is −∞-\infty−∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.4

If ω\omegaω and −ζ-\zeta−ζ satisfy (EXC), then

max⁡x∈B1∩B2(ω(x)−ζ(x))=max⁡b∈B1‾∩B2‾(ω^(b)−ζˇ(b))=inf⁡p∈RV(ζ∙(p)−ω∘(p)),\max_{x\in B_1\cap B_2}\big(\omega(x)-\zeta(x)\big)=\max_{b\in\overline{B_1}\cap\overline{B_2}}\big(\hat\omega(b)-\check\zeta(b)\big)=\inf_{p\in\mathbb R^V}\big(\zeta^\bullet(p)-\omega^\circ(p)\big),x∈B1​∩B2​max​(ω(x)−ζ(x))=b∈B1​​∩B2​​max​(ω^(b)−ζˇ​(b))=p∈RVinf​(ζ∙(p)−ω∘(p)),

with (P1) a finite dual infimum forces B1∩B2≠∅B_1\cap B_2\neq\emptysetB1​∩B2​=∅, and (P2) if B1∩B2≠∅B_1\cap B_2\neq\emptysetB1​∩B2​=∅ all values are finite and equal and the infimum is attained. If ω,ζ\omega,\zetaω,ζ are integer-valued, the infimum may be taken over p∈ZVp\in\mathbb Z^Vp∈ZV and is attained there when finite.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 6.3 (weak duality): for arbitrary ω,ζ\omega,\zetaω,ζ on finite nonempty sets, primal ≤\le≤ relaxed === dual (the Fenchel identity (6.5)).
  2. Lemma 6.1: (−f)∘(p)=−f∙(−p)(-f)^\circ(p)=-f^\bullet(-p)(−f)∘(p)=−f∙(−p) and (−f)∧=−fˇ(-f)^\wedge=-\check f(−f)∧=−fˇ​ on B‾\overline BB.
  3. Lemma 4.5: an M-concave ω\omegaω satisfies ω^=ω\hat\omega=\omegaω^=ω on BBB.
  4. Theorem 2.1: (B1) is equivalent to being the integer points of an integral submodular (or supermodular) base polytope, with the describing functions max⁡x∈Bx(X)\max_{x\in B}x(X)maxx∈B​x(X) and min⁡x∈Bx(X)\min_{x\in B}x(X)minx∈B​x(X).
  5. Theorem 6.5 (Frank's discrete separation theorem, cited in the paper).
  6. Lemma 6.7: four equivalent forms of boundedness of the dual problem.
  7. Theorem 6.6 (the M-concave intersection theorem, cited in the paper): optimality of x∗x^*x∗ for ω1+ω2\omega_1+\omega_2ω1​+ω2​ is equivalent to a potential p∗p^*p∗ with x∗x^*x∗ maximizing both ω1[−p∗]\omega_1[-p^*]ω1​[−p∗] and ω2[p∗]\omega_2[p^*]ω2​[p∗], integral when the data are.

Significance

The formula gives, in one statement, the integrality of an optimal solution of the relaxed primal problem (the essential content of the first half, as the paper observes on p. 296) and of the dual problem. The paper presents it as a unification of two groups of theorems: Edmonds' polymatroid intersection theorem, Fujishige's Fenchel-type duality and Frank's discrete separation theorem on one side, and Iri and Tomizawa's potential characterization for independent assignment with its extensions by Fujishige and Frank (weight splitting) on the other. In the paper it yields the primal and dual separation theorems (Theorems 6.8, 6.9) and the convolution results (Theorems 6.10, 6.11), and it is the prototype of the Fenchel-type duality of discrete convex analysis.

All results here are proved in the literature; none is known to be formalized. Mathlib has no submodular base polytopes, no matroid intersection theorem and no discrete convex analysis. A formal proof of Theorem 6.4 would also require formal proofs of the two cited results, Frank's discrete separation theorem and the M-concave intersection theorem, which the paper uses without proof.

Difficulty

Lemma 6.3 is polyhedral convex duality and holds for any functions. The content is equality with the integral problem: the relaxed maximum over the polytope B1‾∩B2‾\overline{B_1}\cap\overline{B_2}B1​​∩B2​​ must be attained at an integer point. For general finite sets it is not, and the intersection of two integral polytopes generally has fractional vertices. Both the integrality of B1‾∩B2‾\overline{B_1}\cap\overline{B_2}B1​​∩B2​​ (Edmonds) and the existence of an integral optimal potential depend on the exchange structure; a direct argument from the definitions of conjugates does not see it. The dual integrality claim, that ppp can be taken integral, is again specific to (EXC) and fails for general concave extensions.

Formalization scope

Lean conventions, all in namespace SteinitzExchange.Duality:

  • VVV is a type with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V] [Nonempty V]; integer vectors are V → ℤ, real vectors V → ℝ; finite sets of integer vectors are Finset (V → ℤ).
  • A function on BBB is a total (V → ℤ) → ℝ used only at points of BBB. M-convexity of ζ\zetaζ is (EXC) for fun x => -ζ x; ω\omegaω lives on B1B_1B1​ and ζ\zetaζ on B2B_2B2​, which are distinct sets in general.
  • Conjugates are real-valued min/max over the finite set. The closures are real ⨅/⨆ over p∈RVp\in\mathbb R^Vp∈RV and are evaluated only on the convex hulls, where they equal the paper's values; off the hulls they carry a junk value instead of ∓∞\mp\infty∓∞, which no statement uses.
  • The three optimal values are in EReal, as suprema and infima of coerced reals, so no ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞ occurs. EReal's supremum of the empty family is −∞-\infty−∞, the paper's convention. The dual infimum is never a real ⨅ (which would return 000 when unbounded and make (P1) meaningless).
  • Every "max" of the page includes attainment: (P2) asserts points xxx, bbb, ppp at which the three values are achieved; the integral dual infimum is attained when it is not −∞-\infty−∞.
  • "Integer-valued" means ω(x)∈Z\omega(x)\in\mathbb Zω(x)∈Z on B1B_1B1​ and ζ(x)∈Z\zeta(x)\in\mathbb Zζ(x)∈Z on B2B_2B2​; integral potentials and separating vectors are V → ℤ.
  • Theorem 2.1's "∀X⊂V\forall X\subset V∀X⊂V" is read as all X⊆VX\subseteq VX⊆V.

Formalizations that would trivialize the goal are excluded: an unrestricted real infimum for the dual, a convex closure built from ζ∘\zeta^\circζ∘ instead of ζ∙\zeta^\bulletζ∙, a single base set for both functions, and a relaxed maximum taken over all of RV\mathbb R^VRV instead of B1‾∩B2‾\overline{B_1}\cap\overline{B_2}B1​​∩B2​​.

Needed infrastructure: finite convex hulls and polyhedral Fenchel duality, submodular base polytopes and their integrality, Frank's separation theorem, and the valuated intersection theorem. The submodular-system layer (Theorem 2.1, Theorem 6.5) is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone, including proofs of the two cited theorems, are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Convexity and Steinitz's exchange property, Advances in Mathematics 124 (1996) 272–311. https://doi.org/10.1006/aima.1996.0084
  • K. Murota, Valuated matroid intersection I: optimality criteria, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 9 (1996) 545–561.
  • K. Murota, Submodular flow problem with a nonseparable cost function, Report 95843-OR, Forschungsinstitut für Diskrete Mathematik, Universität Bonn, 1995 (source of Theorem 6.6).
  • A. Frank, An algorithm for submodular functions on graphs, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 16 (1982) 97–120 (source of Theorem 6.5).
  • A. Frank, A weighted matroid intersection algorithm, J. Algorithms 2 (1981) 328–336.
  • J. Edmonds, Submodular functions, matroids and certain polyhedra, in: Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications, Gordon and Breach, New York, 1970, 69–87.
  • S. Fujishige, Theory of submodular programs: a Fenchel-type min-max theorem and subgradients of submodular functions, Mathematical Programming 29 (1984) 142–155.
  • M. Iri and N. Tomizawa, An algorithm for finding an optimal "independent assignment", J. Oper. Res. Soc. Japan 19 (1976) 32–57.
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
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CombinatoricsConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convexity and Steinitz's Exchange Property I: The Extension Theorem — M-Concavity Is Concave Extendability with Integral Base Polytope MaximizersResearch Paper

Motivation

Linear optimization over the bases of a matroid, over the integer points of a polymatroid, or over the flows of a network is well understood: the greedy algorithm is exact, the feasible sets are the integer points of polytopes described by submodular functions, and min-max theorems of Edmonds and Frank hold with integrality. Nonlinear objectives on the same sets are much less uniform. Valuated matroids (Dress and Wenzel, 1990; see Murota 2003) showed that a quantitative form of the Steinitz exchange axiom is exactly what keeps the greedy algorithm exact for a nonlinear weight. Kazuo Murota's paper Convexity and Steinitz's Exchange Property (Adv. Math. 124 (1996) 272–311) extends this exchange axiom from matroid bases to the integer points of arbitrary integral base polytopes, names the resulting functions M-concave, and proves that they are the discrete counterpart of concave functions. The paper is the starting point of discrete convex analysis (Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM 2003), which is now used in auction theory (gross-substitutes valuations are M♮-concave), inventory and resource allocation, and combinatorial optimization.

This mission covers the first of the paper's three characterizations of M-concavity: the Extension Theorem (Theorem 4.6).

Setting

Let VVV be a finite nonempty set. For u∈Vu\in Vu∈V, χu∈ZV\chi_u\in\mathbb Z^Vχu​∈ZV is the characteristic vector of uuu. For x∈RVx\in\mathbb R^Vx∈RV, supp⁡+(x)={v∣x(v)>0}\operatorname{supp}^+(x)=\{v\mid x(v)>0\}supp+(x)={v∣x(v)>0}, supp⁡−(x)={v∣x(v)<0}\operatorname{supp}^-(x)=\{v\mid x(v)<0\}supp−(x)={v∣x(v)<0}, ∥x∥=∑v∣x(v)∣\|x\|=\sum_v|x(v)|∥x∥=∑v​∣x(v)∣, and ⟨p,x⟩=∑vp(v)x(v)\langle p,x\rangle=\sum_v p(v)x(v)⟨p,x⟩=∑v​p(v)x(v).

A finite integral base set is a finite nonempty B⊆ZVB\subseteq\mathbb Z^VB⊆ZV such that for x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) there is v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) with x−χu+χv∈Bx-\chi_u+\chi_v\in Bx−χu​+χv​∈B (axiom (B1)). Examples are the incidence vectors of the bases of a matroid. Its convex hull B‾\overline BB is an integral base polytope; in general, an integral base polytope is the convex hull of some finite integral base set.

A function ω:B→R\omega:B\to\mathbb Rω:B→R satisfies the exchange property (EXC), and is called M-concave, if for all x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) there is v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) with x−χu+χv∈Bx-\chi_u+\chi_v\in Bx−χu​+χv​∈B, y+χu−χv∈By+\chi_u-\chi_v\in By+χu​−χv​∈B and

ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu+χv)+ω(y+χu−χv).\omega(x)+\omega(y)\le\omega(x-\chi_u+\chi_v)+\omega(y+\chi_u-\chi_v).ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu​+χv​)+ω(y+χu​−χv​).

The local exchange property (EXCloc_{\mathrm{loc}}loc​) asks only, for x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B with ∥x−y∥=4\|x-y\|=4∥x−y∥=4, for some u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) and some v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) with the same conclusion.

For p∈RVp\in\mathbb R^Vp∈RV, ω[p](x)=ω(x)+⟨p,x⟩\omega[p](x)=\omega(x)+\langle p,x\rangleω[p](x)=ω(x)+⟨p,x⟩, and argmax⁡(ω)={x∈B∣ω(x)≥ω(y) ∀y∈B}\operatorname{argmax}(\omega)=\{x\in B\mid\omega(x)\ge\omega(y)\ \forall y\in B\}argmax(ω)={x∈B∣ω(x)≥ω(y) ∀y∈B}. For any g:B→Rg:B\to\mathbb Rg:B→R, the concave conjugate is g∘(p)=min⁡x∈B(⟨p,x⟩−g(x))g^\circ(p)=\min_{x\in B}(\langle p,x\rangle-g(x))g∘(p)=minx∈B​(⟨p,x⟩−g(x)) and the concave closure is g^(b)=inf⁡p∈RV(⟨p,b⟩−g∘(p))\hat g(b)=\inf_{p\in\mathbb R^V}(\langle p,b\rangle-g^\circ(p))g^​(b)=infp∈RV​(⟨p,b⟩−g∘(p)), a concave function that is finite exactly on B‾\overline BB. A function ωˉ:B‾→R\bar\omega:\overline B\to\mathbb Rωˉ:B→R extends ω\omegaω if ωˉ=ω\bar\omega=\omegaωˉ=ω on BBB.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Extension Theorem (Theorem 4.6)

For a finite integral base set BBB and ω:B→R\omega:B\to\mathbb Rω:B→R,

ω satisfies (EXC)  ⟺  ∃ ωˉ:B‾→R concave, ωˉ∣B=ω, ∀p: argmax⁡B‾(ωˉ[p]) is an integral base polytope.\omega\ \text{satisfies (EXC)}\iff\exists\,\bar\omega:\overline B\to\mathbb R\ \text{concave},\ \bar\omega|_B=\omega,\ \forall p:\ \operatorname{argmax}_{\overline B}(\bar\omega[p])\ \text{is an integral base polytope}.ω satisfies (EXC)⟺∃ωˉ:B→R concave, ωˉ∣B​=ω, ∀p: argmaxB​(ωˉ[p]) is an integral base polytope.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.2 (p. 282): under (EXCloc_{\mathrm{loc}}loc​), for y=x−χu0−χu1+χv0+χv1∈By=x-\chi_{u_0}-\chi_{u_1}+\chi_{v_0}+\chi_{v_1}\in By=x−χu0​​−χu1​​+χv0​​+χv1​​∈B, ωp(y)−ωp(x)≤max⁡(π00+π11,π01+π10)\omega_p(y)-\omega_p(x)\le\max(\pi_{00}+\pi_{11},\pi_{01}+\pi_{10})ωp​(y)−ωp​(x)≤max(π00​+π11​,π01​+π10​) with πij=ωp(x−χui+χvj)−ωp(x)\pi_{ij}=\omega_p(x-\chi_{u_i}+\chi_{v_j})-\omega_p(x)πij​=ωp​(x−χui​​+χvj​​)−ωp​(x) (−∞-\infty−∞ off BBB).
  • Theorem 3.1 (p. 282): (EXC)   ⟺  \iff⟺ (EXCloc_{\mathrm{loc}}loc​).
  • Theorem 2.2 (p. 280): (EXC) for ω\omegaω implies (EXC) for every ω[p]\omega[p]ω[p].
  • Lemma 4.3 (p. 285): under (EXC), argmax⁡(ω)\operatorname{argmax}(\omega)argmax(ω) is an integral base set.
  • Lemma 4.1 (p. 285): g^≥g\hat g\ge gg^​≥g on BBB; max⁡B‾g^=max⁡Bg\max_{\overline B}\hat g=\max_B gmaxB​g^​=maxB​g; argmax⁡(g^)=argmax⁡(g)‾\operatorname{argmax}(\hat g)=\overline{\operatorname{argmax}(g)}argmax(g^​)=argmax(g)​.
  • Lemma 4.2 (p. 285): (g[p0])∘(p)=g∘(p−p0)(g[p_0])^\circ(p)=g^\circ(p-p_0)(g[p0​])∘(p)=g∘(p−p0​) and (g[p0])∧=g^+⟨p0,⋅⟩(g[p_0])^\wedge=\hat g+\langle p_0,\cdot\rangle(g[p0​])∧=g^​+⟨p0​,⋅⟩ on B‾\overline BB.
  • Theorem 4.4 (p. 286): (EXC)   ⟺  \iff⟺ argmax⁡(ω[p])\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[p])argmax(ω[p]) is an integral base set for every ppp.
  • Lemma 4.5 (p. 288): under (EXC), ω^=ω\hat\omega=\omegaω^=ω on BBB.

Significance

The Extension Theorem identifies a combinatorial axiom with a convex-analytic property: M-concave functions are exactly the restrictions to lattice points of concave functions on the base polytope whose linear perturbations are all maximized on integral base polytopes. It is the reason the M-concave class supports a convex-analysis-style theory at all: local optimality implies global optimality, maximizers of linear perturbations are well behaved, and conjugacy (the paper's Theorems 5.3 and 6.4, separate missions of this series) can be developed. Theorem 3.1 on its own is widely used to verify M-concavity in applications, since it reduces the exchange axiom to pairs at distance four.

All results here were proved in 1996. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof; Mathlib has matroids on sets but no integral base sets in ZV\mathbb Z^VZV, no M-concave functions and no concave closure of a function on a finite set. A formal proof of this chain would be a first formal development of discrete convex analysis.

Difficulty

The equivalence of (EXC) with its local version (Theorem 3.1) is not a routine induction on ∥x−y∥\|x-y\|∥x−y∥: the exchange inequality for a far pair does not follow from the inequalities along a path of distance-4 pairs, because the exchange partner vvv must be chosen consistently with the prescribed uuu. For the "if" direction of Theorem 4.4, knowing that every maximizer set is an integral base set says nothing directly about the values of ω\omegaω at non-maximizing points; turning this global information on maximizers into the local inequality (EXCloc_{\mathrm{loc}}loc​) requires a supporting hyperplane of the concave closure at a well-chosen point and the integrality of the intersection of an integral base polytope with a box (a cited result on submodular systems). Theorem 4.6 then needs the concave closure to agree with ω\omegaω on BBB (Lemma 4.5), which fails for general ω\omegaω.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace SteinitzExchange.Extension. The ground set is a type V with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V] [Nonempty V]; integer vectors are V → ℤ, real vectors V → ℝ, and toReal embeds the former into the latter. BBB is a Finset (V → ℤ). A function ω:B→R\omega:B\to\mathbb Rω:B→R is a total (V → ℤ) → ℝ whose values are only ever read at points required to be in BBB. B‾\overline BB is Mathlib's convexHull ℝ of the image of BBB. Pinned readings:

  1. Integral base polytope means the convex hull of a finite nonempty set satisfying (B1) (by the paper's Theorem 2.1 this is its meaning), not "a polytope with integer vertices".
  2. The concave closure is a real infimum; it is the paper's value on B‾\overline BB and a junk value 000 off B‾\overline BB (the paper's −∞-\infty−∞), so every statement uses it only on B‾\overline BB. argmax⁡(g^)\operatorname{argmax}(\hat g)argmax(g^​) and argmax⁡(ωˉ[p])\operatorname{argmax}(\bar\omega[p])argmax(ωˉ[p]) range over B‾\overline BB only; the concave conjugate is a minimum over the nonempty finite BBB.
  3. Lemma 3.2's maximum with −∞-\infty−∞ entries is stated as: for one of the two pairings both exchanged points lie in BBB and the bound holds for that pairing.
  4. Theorem 4.4 and Lemma 4.3 conclude that argmax⁡(ω[p])\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[p])argmax(ω[p]) is itself an integral base set. Read literally ("its convex hull is an integral base polytope") the "if" direction of Theorem 4.4 is false: B={(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)}B=\{(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)\}B={(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)} with ω=(0,−1,0)\omega=(0,-1,0)ω=(0,−1,0) is a counterexample. The paper's proof, its gloss in Lemma 4.3 and its use on p. 292 all take the integral-base-set reading. Theorem 4.6 needs no such adjustment and is stated as printed.
  5. Theorem 2.2 carries the standing assumption of §2.3 that ω\omegaω satisfies (EXC).

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the extension ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ must agree with ω\omegaω on BBB and be concave on B‾\overline BB, the argmax is over B‾\overline BB and not over RV\mathbb R^VRV, and an integral base polytope is never empty.

A complete development needs basic facts on integral base sets (the equivalence of (B1) with the simultaneous exchange (B2), B=ZV∩B‾B=\mathbb Z^V\cap\overline BB=ZV∩B, and the paper's cited Theorem 2.1 relating them to submodular functions), the representation (4.3) of the concave closure as a maximum of convex combinations, and supporting hyperplanes of polyhedral concave functions. The layer of integral base sets and M-concave functions is reusable for the two other missions of this series and for any later formalization of discrete convex analysis; contributions of general-purpose lemmas about it are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Convexity and Steinitz's exchange property, Advances in Mathematics 124 (1996) 272–311. https://doi.org/10.1006/aima.1996.0084
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM Monographs on Discrete Mathematics and Applications, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
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CombinatoricsProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

The Komlos ConjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

Discrepancy theory asks how evenly a collection of objects can be split into two parts. Its central open question is a conjecture of Komlós, first circulated in the 1980s: any finite family of vectors of Euclidean length at most one can be signed ±1\pm 1±1 so that the signed sum is bounded in every coordinate by a universal constant — independent of how many vectors there are and of the dimension they live in.

Timeline

  • 1963. Steinitz-type vector balancing questions circulate; Bárány and Grinberg later (1981) show any norm admits a dimension-dependent bound 2d2d2d, setting the theme: how much of the dependence on dimension is real?
  • 1981. Beck and Fiala (Discrete Appl. Math.) prove degree-ttt set systems have discrepancy at most 2t−12t - 12t−1, by the floating-colors argument, and conjecture O(t)O(\sqrt{t})O(t​).
  • 1980s. Komlós poses the vector form — unit ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2-norm columns, constant ℓ∞\ell^\inftyℓ∞ discrepancy — which implies the Beck–Fiala conjecture; it circulates through Spencer's Ten Lectures (1987) as the central open problem of the area.
  • 1985. Spencer (Trans. AMS) proves "six standard deviations suffice": discrepancy 6n6\sqrt{n}6n​ for nnn sets on nnn points, beating random signing via the partial-coloring method.
  • 1998. Banaszczyk (Random Struct. Algorithms) proves the Komlós bound O(log⁡n)O(\sqrt{\log n})O(logn​) by a recursive Gaussian-measure argument over convex bodies.
  • 2010–2016. The constructive era: Bansal (2010) makes Spencer algorithmic by SDP random walks, Lovett and Meka (2012) simplify, and Bansal, Dadush, and Garg (STOC 2016) give a polynomial-time algorithm matching Banaszczyk's bound.
  • 2023. Kunisky (SIAM J. Discrete Math.) constructs instances from unsatisfiable formulas with discrepancy approaching 1+21+\sqrt{2}1+2​ — the strongest lower bound on the conjectured constant.
  • 2025. Bansal and Jiang (arXiv:2508.03961) break the Banaszczyk barrier: O~((log⁡n)1/4)\tilde{O}((\log n)^{1/4})O~((logn)1/4) for Komlós, and the Beck–Fiala conjecture resolved for t≥log⁡2nt \ge \log^2 nt≥log2n — the first movement in nearly thirty years. The gap between 2.414…2.414\ldots2.414… and O~((log⁡n)1/4)\tilde{O}((\log n)^{1/4})O~((logn)1/4) is the conjecture.

Setting

Fix nnn vectors v1,…,vn∈Rmv_1, \dots, v_n \in \mathbb{R}^mv1​,…,vn​∈Rm with Euclidean norm ∥vi∥2≤1\lVert v_i \rVert_2 \le 1∥vi​∥2​≤1. A sign vector is an ε∈{−1,+1}n\varepsilon \in \{-1, +1\}^nε∈{−1,+1}n: one sign εi∈{±1}\varepsilon_i \in \{\pm 1\}εi​∈{±1} per vector. Writing vijv_{ij}vij​ for the jjj-th coordinate of the vector viv_ivi​, the discrepancy of the family under ε\varepsilonε is the largest coordinate, in absolute value, of the signed sum ∑iεivi\sum_i \varepsilon_i v_i∑i​εi​vi​ — that is, max⁡j≤m∣∑i≤nεivij∣\max_{j \le m} \lvert \sum_{i \le n} \varepsilon_i v_{ij} \rvertmaxj≤m​∣∑i≤n​εi​vij​∣, the ℓ∞\ell^\inftyℓ∞ norm of the signed sum. The Komlós property at constant KKK — KomlosBound K — says that every such family, in every nnn and every mmm, admits a sign vector with every coordinate of the signed sum at most KKK in absolute value.

Set systems embed as the special case of 0/10/10/1-incidence matrices: if AAA is an m×nm \times nm×n matrix of 000s and 111s in which every column has at most ttt ones (every element lies in at most ttt sets), the columns scaled by 1/t1/\sqrt{t}1/t​ have norm at most one, so the Komlós property gives discrepancy KtK\sqrt{t}Kt​ — the Beck–Fiala conjecture.

Formalization targets

Goal — the Komlós conjecture

∃ K∈R:every v1,…,vn∈Rm with ∥vi∥2≤1 admits ε∈{±1}n with max⁡j∣∑iεivij∣≤K.\exists\, K \in \mathbb{R}: \quad \text{every } v_1, \dots, v_n \in \mathbb{R}^m \text{ with } \lVert v_i\rVert_2 \le 1 \text{ admits } \varepsilon \in \{\pm 1\}^n \text{ with } \max_j \Big|\sum_i \varepsilon_i v_{ij}\Big| \le K.∃K∈R:every v1​,…,vn​∈Rm with ∥vi​∥2​≤1 admits ε∈{±1}n with jmax​​i∑​εi​vij​​≤K.

The goal fixes no value of KKK: any finite universal constant settles it, so the statement survives every improvement in the constant.

Milestones — the known ladder

Eight results over the same definitions: Beck–Fiala's 2t−12t - 12t−1 for degree-ttt set systems; Spencer's 6n6\sqrt{n}6n​ for nnn sets on nnn points; Banaszczyk's O(log⁡n)O(\sqrt{\log n})O(logn​) for the Komlós setting; its corollary O(tlog⁡n)O(\sqrt{t \log n})O(tlogn​) for set systems; the reduction "Komlós at KKK implies Beck–Fiala at KtK\sqrt{t}Kt​"; Kunisky's lower bound K≥1+2K \ge 1 + \sqrt{2}K≥1+2​; and the two 2025 Bansal–Jiang breakthroughs — O~((log⁡n)1/4)\tilde{O}((\log n)^{1/4})O~((logn)1/4) for the Komlós setting, and the Beck–Fiala conjecture's bound O(t)O(\sqrt{t})O(t​) in the regime t=Ω(log⁡2n)t = \Omega(\log^2 n)t=Ω(log2n).

Significance

The conjecture is the meeting point of the two main techniques of discrepancy theory — partial coloring and the Gaussian/convex-geometric method — and each further improvement has forced a new technique into existence. A proof would resolve the Beck–Fiala conjecture in full and sharpen the hereditary-discrepancy landscape; a disproof would break the widely-shared expectation that vector balancing is dimension-free. The problem is also a benchmark for algorithmic discrepancy: every known bound now has a polynomial-time counterpart, and the constructive tools built for it (random-walk roundings, spectral partial colorings) are used across approximation algorithms and ranging into differential privacy.

None of this literature is formalized anywhere; Mathlib has no discrepancy theory at all. The definitions here are elementary — finite sums, absolute values, one norm hypothesis — so the mission's entry cost is unusually low for an open-problem mission: the Beck–Fiala theorem and the scaling reduction are self-contained finite combinatorics, while Spencer and Banaszczyk each force a genuinely new proof technique (pigeonhole partial coloring; Gaussian measure on convex bodies) into Lean.

Difficulty

Random signs lose: they give Θ(n)\Theta(\sqrt{n})Θ(n​), not a constant, so the naive probabilistic argument is ruled out from the start. The Beck–Fiala argument caps discrepancy by degree, not by norm, and provably cannot be pushed below 2t−O(1)2t - O(1)2t−O(1) by its own bookkeeping. Partial coloring alone loses a logarithm through its iteration, and Banaszczyk's method is blocked at log⁡n\sqrt{\log n}logn​ by the Gaussian measure of the cube. The 2025 advance decouples the two methods but still pays iterated polylogarithmic factors. Nothing currently known contracts the remaining gap to a constant, and the lower bound says the constant, if it exists, is at least 1+21 + \sqrt{2}1+2​ — so any proof must handle instances strictly harder than the set-system case.

Formalization scope

The Lean model commits to: vectors as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m), whose norm is the ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 norm (the hypothesis ∥vi∥≤1\lVert v_i \rVert \le 1∥vi​∥≤1 reads ‖v i‖ ≤ 1); the ℓ∞\ell^\inftyℓ∞ conclusion written coordinatewise as ∀ j, |∑ i, ε i * v i j| ≤ K, avoiding any auxiliary sup-norm structure; sign vectors as real vectors with ε i = 1 ∨ ε i = -1; and set systems as matrices A : Fin m → Fin n → ℝ with an entrywise 0/10/10/1 hypothesis and column-degree counted by Set.ncard. Quantifier order matters everywhere: in KomlosBound K the constant is fixed before nnn and mmm — a KKK depending on nnn would make the statement the trivial n\sqrt{n}n​ bound. In beck_fiala the hypothesis t≥1t \ge 1t≥1 is required (the degree-000 system has discrepancy 0>2t−10 > 2t-10>2t−1 otherwise); the Banaszczyk-form bounds use log⁡(n+2)\log(n+2)log(n+2) so that the bound is positive already at n≤1n \le 1n≤1. In the Bansal–Jiang milestones the asymptotic O~\tilde{O}O~ and Ω\OmegaΩ are rendered by existential constants quantified before all instances: the hidden poly(log⁡log⁡n)\mathrm{poly}(\log\log n)poly(loglogn) factor becomes (log⁡log⁡(n+8))γ(\log\log(n+8))^{\gamma}(loglog(n+8))γ for some fixed γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 (the inner shift +8+8+8 keeps the iterated logarithm positive), and the threshold t=Ω(log⁡2n)t = \Omega(\log^2 n)t=Ω(log2n) becomes C0log⁡2(n+2)≤tC_0 \log^2(n+2) \le tC0​log2(n+2)≤t for some fixed C0>0C_0 > 0C0​>0.

Welcome contributions: any milestone in any order — beck_fiala and komlos_implies_beck_fiala are self-contained finite arguments and the natural entry points; spencer_six_deviations and banaszczyk_bound each import a major technique; komlos_lower_bound needs an explicit construction and a case analysis over all sign vectors. Reusable infrastructure — partial colorings, Gaussian measure bounds for convex bodies, hereditary discrepancy — is welcome as platform theorems. The matrix Spencer conjecture, prefix discrepancy, and the Steinitz problem are related but deliberately left to future missions.

Selected references

  • J. Beck, T. Fiala, "Integer-making" theorems, Discrete Applied Mathematics 3 (1981). doi:10.1016/0166-218X(81)90022-6
  • J. Spencer, Six standard deviations suffice, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 289 (1985). doi:10.1090/S0002-9947-1985-0784009-0
  • W. Banaszczyk, Balancing vectors and Gaussian measures of n-dimensional convex bodies, Random Structures & Algorithms 12 (1998). doi link
  • N. Bansal, D. Dadush, S. Garg, An algorithm for Komlós conjecture matching Banaszczyk's bound, FOCS 2016 / SIAM J. Comput. arXiv:1605.02882
  • N. Bansal, H. Jiang, Decoupling via affine spectral-independence: Beck–Fiala and Komlós bounds beyond Banaszczyk, 2025. arXiv:2508.03961
  • D. Kunisky, The discrepancy of unsatisfiable matrices and a lower bound for the Komlós conjecture constant, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 37 (2023). arXiv:2111.02974
  • B. Chazelle, The Discrepancy Method, Cambridge University Press, 2000. author's page
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms XIV: Bayesian Bandits, the Gittins Index and Thompson SamplingTextbook

The oldest bandit algorithm (Thompson, 1933) is also the most modern: sample a parameter from the posterior and act greedily. Chapters 34–36 of Lattimore–Szepesvári develop the Bayesian view in two crowning results. The Gittins index theorem: for infinite-horizon discounted Markov bandits, the seemingly intractable dynamic program is solved exactly by an index policy — each arm gets a retirement-value index computable arm-by-arm, and playing the largest index is Bayesian optimal. And the frequentist analysis of Thompson sampling — the goal theorem: with Gaussian posteriors, Thompson sampling on 1-subgaussian bandits achieves lim⁡n→∞Rn/log⁡n=∑i:Δi>02/Δi\lim_{n\to\infty} R_n/\log n = \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} 2/\Delta_ilimn→∞​Rn​/logn=∑i:Δi​>0​2/Δi​, exactly asymptotically optimal, alongside the minimax-grade Rn≤Cknlog⁡nR_n \le C\sqrt{kn\log n}Rn​≤Cknlogn​. Together they explain why posterior sampling is both principled and practically dominant.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms XI: Lower Bounds for Stochastic Linear BanditsTextbook

Is the dnd\sqrt{n}dn​ regret of LinUCB (Mission X) an artifact of the algorithm or a law of nature? Chapters 24–25 of Lattimore–Szepesvári prove it is essentially unimprovable. On the unit ball there is a parameter θ\thetaθ with ∥θ∥22=d2/(48n)\|\theta\|_2^2 = d^2/(48n)∥θ∥22​=d2/(48n) forcing Rn≥dn163R_n \ge \frac{d\sqrt{n}}{16\sqrt{3}}Rn​≥163​dn​​ — the goal theorem — and the hypercube gives the same Ω(dn)\Omega(d\sqrt{n})Ω(dn​) rate. The asymptotic chapter is more striking still: for fixed finite action sets, the instance-optimal constant c(A,θ)c(\mathcal{A},\theta)c(A,θ) is characterized by an allocation program, and optimism itself is provably suboptimal — LinUCB and Thompson sampling cannot achieve it, because exploration must sometimes deliberately play actions optimism would never touch. These lower bounds define the targets for the entire linear-bandit literature.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms V: Adversarial Bandits and Exp3Textbook

What if the rewards are not random at all, but chosen by an adversary who knows your algorithm? Remarkably, a randomized learner can still compete with the best fixed arm in hindsight. Chapters 11–12 of Lattimore–Szepesvári develop the adversarial kkk-armed bandit: rewards xti∈[0,1]x_{ti} \in [0,1]xti​∈[0,1] are an arbitrary fixed matrix, the learner samples At∼PtA_t \sim P_tAt​∼Pt​, and regret is measured against max⁡i∑txti\max_i \sum_t x_{ti}maxi​∑t​xti​. The exponential-weights algorithm Exp3, fed by importance-weighted loss estimates X^ti=1−1{At=i}(1−Xt)/Pti\hat X_{ti} = 1 - \mathbb{1}\{A_t = i\}(1 - X_t)/P_{ti}X^ti​=1−1{At​=i}(1−Xt​)/Pti​, achieves Rn≤2nklog⁡kR_n \le \sqrt{2nk\log k}Rn​≤2nklogk​ — the goal theorem. The companion Exp3-IX, which deliberately biases its estimator, upgrades this to a bound holding with high probability rather than only in expectation. These results are the foundation of all adversarial online learning with partial feedback.

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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Nonmonotone Line Search Technique and Its Application to Unconstrained Optimization II: R-Linear Convergence for Strongly Convex FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Line search methods for unconstrained minimization of a smooth function f:Rn→Rf : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f:Rn→R choose a direction dkd_kdk​ and a step αk>0\alpha_k > 0αk​>0 and set xk+1=xk+αkdkx_{k+1} = x_k + \alpha_k d_kxk+1​=xk​+αk​dk​. Classical rules (Armijo, Wolfe) insist that every step decrease fff. For quasi-Newton and conjugate gradient directions this monotonicity requirement often forces short steps, and nonmonotone line searches, which only ask for a decrease relative to some reference value built from past iterates, have been used since Grippo, Lampariello and Lucidi (1986) to let such methods take longer steps.

Zhang and Hager (SIAM J. Optim., 2004) replaced the maximum of recent function values used by Grippo et al. with a weighted average CkC_kCk​ of all past function values. The paper proves two results: global convergence to stationary points (the companion mission) and, the subject of this mission, R-linear convergence of the function values when fff is strongly convex.

Timeline:

  • 1986, Grippo, Lampariello, Lucidi: nonmonotone line search based on the maximum of the last MMM function values; global convergence.
  • 2002, Dai: R-linear convergence of the max-based scheme for strongly convex fff.
  • 2004, Zhang and Hager: the averaged reference value CkC_kCk​; global convergence (Theorem 2.2) and R-linear convergence for strongly convex fff (Theorem 3.1).

Setting

Fix parameters 0≤ηmin⁡≤ηmax⁡≤10 \le \eta_{\min} \le \eta_{\max} \le 10≤ηmin​≤ηmax​≤1, 0<δ<σ<1<ρ0 < \delta < \sigma < 1 < \rho0<δ<σ<1<ρ and μ>0\mu > 0μ>0. Write gk=∇f(xk)g_k = \nabla f(x_k)gk​=∇f(xk​) and ∇f(x)d=⟨∇f(x),d⟩\nabla f(x)d = \langle \nabla f(x), d\rangle∇f(x)d=⟨∇f(x),d⟩. The Nonmonotone Line Search Algorithm (NLSA) keeps weights QkQ_kQk​ and reference values CkC_kCk​:

Q0=1,  Qk+1=ηkQk+1,C0=f(x0),  Ck+1=ηkQkCk+f(xk+1)Qk+1,Q_0 = 1,\ \ Q_{k+1} = \eta_k Q_k + 1,\qquad C_0 = f(x_0),\ \ C_{k+1} = \frac{\eta_k Q_k C_k + f(x_{k+1})}{Q_{k+1}},Q0​=1,  Qk+1​=ηk​Qk​+1,C0​=f(x0​),  Ck+1​=Qk+1​ηk​Qk​Ck​+f(xk+1​)​,

with ηk∈[ηmin⁡,ηmax⁡]\eta_k \in [\eta_{\min}, \eta_{\max}]ηk​∈[ηmin​,ηmax​] chosen freely at each step. A step αk\alpha_kαk​ is accepted either by the nonmonotone Wolfe conditions

f(xk+αkdk)≤Ck+δαkgkTdk,∇f(xk+αkdk)dk≥σgkTdk,f(x_k + \alpha_k d_k) \le C_k + \delta\alpha_k g_k^{\mathsf T} d_k,\qquad \nabla f(x_k + \alpha_k d_k) d_k \ge \sigma g_k^{\mathsf T} d_k,f(xk​+αk​dk​)≤Ck​+δαk​gkT​dk​,∇f(xk​+αk​dk​)dk​≥σgkT​dk​,

or by the nonmonotone Armijo rule αk=αˉkρhk\alpha_k = \bar\alpha_k \rho^{h_k}αk​=αˉk​ρhk​, where αˉk>0\bar\alpha_k > 0αˉk​>0 is a trial step and hkh_khk​ is the largest integer such that the first inequality holds and αk≤μ\alpha_k \le \muαk​≤μ. With ηk=0\eta_k = 0ηk​=0 one recovers the monotone rules.

The direction assumption asks for constants c1,c2>0c_1, c_2 > 0c1​,c2​>0 with gkTdk≤−c1∥gk∥2g_k^{\mathsf T} d_k \le -c_1\|g_k\|^2gkT​dk​≤−c1​∥gk​∥2 and ∥dk∥≤c2∥gk∥\|d_k\| \le c_2\|g_k\|∥dk​∥≤c2​∥gk​∥. The function fff is strongly convex with constant γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 if

f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)(x−y)+12γ∥x−y∥2for all x,y.f(x) \ge f(y) + \nabla f(y)(x - y) + \frac{1}{2\gamma}\|x - y\|^2\quad\text{for all } x, y.f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)(x−y)+2γ1​∥x−y∥2for all x,y.

Let x∗x^*x∗ be the minimizer, L={x:f(x)≤f(x0)}\mathcal L = \{x : f(x) \le f(x_0)\}L={x:f(x)≤f(x0​)}, dmax⁡=sup⁡k∥dk∥d_{\max} = \sup_k\|d_k\|dmax​=supk​∥dk​∥, and Lˉ\bar{\mathcal L}Lˉ the set of points within distance μdmax⁡\mu d_{\max}μdmax​ of L\mathcal LL.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Let fff be strongly convex with minimizer x∗x^*x∗, let ∇f\nabla f∇f be Lipschitz continuous on bounded sets, let ηmax⁡<1\eta_{\max} < 1ηmax​<1, let the directions satisfy the direction assumption at every iteration, and let αk≤μ\alpha_k \le \muαk​≤μ for all kkk. Then there is θ∈(0,1)\theta \in (0,1)θ∈(0,1) with

f(xk)−f(x∗)≤θk(f(x0)−f(x∗))for each k.f(x_k) - f(x^*) \le \theta^k\big(f(x_0) - f(x^*)\big)\quad\text{for each } k.f(xk​)−f(x∗)≤θk(f(x0​)−f(x∗))for each k.

The goal fixes no value of θ\thetaθ: it asserts only the existence of a linear rate.

Milestones

In the paper's order of use:

  1. Lemma 1.1: f(xk)≤Ck≤Akf(x_k) \le C_k \le A_kf(xk​)≤Ck​≤Ak​ when gkTdk≤0g_k^{\mathsf T}d_k \le 0gkT​dk​≤0 for each kkk.
  2. Ck+1≤CkC_{k+1} \le C_kCk+1​≤Ck​, so all iterates lie in L\mathcal LL.
  3. (3.4): f(x)−f(x∗)≤γ∥∇f(x)∥2f(x) - f(x^*) \le \gamma\|\nabla f(x)\|^2f(x)−f(x∗)≤γ∥∇f(x)∥2.
  4. (2.15): Qk+1≤1/(1−ηmax⁡)Q_{k+1} \le 1/(1 - \eta_{\max})Qk+1​≤1/(1−ηmax​).
  5. (3.6): f(xk+1)≤Ck−β∥gk∥2f(x_{k+1}) \le C_k - \beta\|g_k\|^2f(xk+1​)≤Ck​−β∥gk​∥2, with
β=min⁡{δμc1ρ, 2δ(1−δ)c12Lρc22, δ(1−σ)c12Lc22}.\beta = \min\left\{\frac{\delta\mu c_1}{\rho},\ \frac{2\delta(1-\delta)c_1^2}{L\rho c_2^2},\ \frac{\delta(1-\sigma)c_1^2}{Lc_2^2}\right\}.β=min{ρδμc1​​, Lρc22​2δ(1−δ)c12​​, Lc22​δ(1−σ)c12​​}.
  1. (3.7): ∥gk+1∥≤b∥gk∥\|g_{k+1}\| \le b\|g_k\|∥gk+1​∥≤b∥gk​∥, b=1+μc2Lb = 1 + \mu c_2 Lb=1+μc2​L.
  2. (3.8): the explicit contraction
Ck+1−f(x∗)≤θ (Ck−f(x∗)),θ=1−βb2(1−ηmax⁡),b2=1β+γb2.C_{k+1} - f(x^*) \le \theta\,(C_k - f(x^*)),\qquad \theta = 1 - \beta b_2(1-\eta_{\max}),\quad b_2 = \frac{1}{\beta + \gamma b^2}.Ck+1​−f(x∗)≤θ(Ck​−f(x∗)),θ=1−βb2​(1−ηmax​),b2​=β+γb21​.

Here LLL is a Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on Lˉ\bar{\mathcal L}Lˉ. A further result on the same definitions is Theorem 3.2: if f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​) converges R-linearly with ratio θ<ηmin⁡\theta < \eta_{\min}θ<ηmin​ inside a compact convex set on which fff is strongly convex, then the sufficient decrease condition with reference value CkC_kCk​ holds for all large kkk.

Significance

Theorem 3.1 shows that averaging past function values costs nothing in the rate: on strongly convex functions the nonmonotone method keeps the linear rate of monotone descent, for any direction sequence satisfying the direction assumption (steepest descent, L-BFGS with bounded condition numbers, and so on). Theorem 3.2 is the converse side: for weights close enough to 1, the averaged test eventually accepts the steps of any R-linearly convergent iteration of this kind. The paper contrasts this with the max-based test of Grippo et al.

These results are proved in the paper. As far as the platform catalogue shows, no line search with the Wolfe conditions or a nonmonotone reference value has been formalized. The only related item is a monotone backtracking gradient descent rate, which is a different theorem. Machine-checked proofs would give reusable Lean statements of the nonmonotone Wolfe and Armijo rules and of the averaged reference value. They would also give the explicit constants β\betaβ, bbb and θ\thetaθ in checked form, and a checked record of the repair of the printed statement described below.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would show that f(xk)−f(x∗)f(x_k) - f(x^*)f(xk​)−f(x∗) contracts at each step. It fails: the method is nonmonotone, and f(xk+1)f(x_{k+1})f(xk+1​) may exceed f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​). The quantity that contracts is Ck−f(x∗)C_k - f(x^*)Ck​−f(x∗), and only CkC_kCk​ is controlled by the line search. The contraction must be derived by relating ∥gk∥2\|g_k\|^2∥gk​∥2 to Ck−f(x∗)C_k - f(x^*)Ck​−f(x∗) in two regimes, and the second regime needs a bound on f(xk+1)−f(x∗)f(x_{k+1}) - f(x^*)f(xk+1​)−f(x∗) from the gradient at the previous iterate. That bound requires the Lipschitz constant on a region containing every point the line search examines, which is why the region Lˉ\bar{\mathcal L}Lˉ and the step bound μ\muμ enter. In Lean, the sufficient decrease (3.6) also rests on the step-length lower bounds of Lemma 2.1 for both rules, including the integer-exponent Armijo rule with its maximality condition.

Formalization scope

Conventions:

  • The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), fff is ContDiff ℝ 1, and ∇f(x)d\nabla f(x)d∇f(x)d is ⟪gradient f x, d⟫_ℝ.
  • A run is infinite, uses one rule throughout (Wolfe or Armijo), and has arbitrary directions subject to the stated hypotheses.
  • QkQ_kQk​ and CkC_kCk​ are defined by recursion from the run.
  • The Armijo exponent ranges over Z\mathbb{Z}Z and "largest" is IsGreatest.
  • dmax⁡d_{\max}dmax​ and distances are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so unbounded directions make Lˉ\bar{\mathcal L}Lˉ the whole space.
  • Strong convexity keeps the paper's constant γ\gammaγ, the inverse modulus.
  • "Lipschitz on bounded sets" means that every bounded set admits a Lipschitz constant for ∇f\nabla f∇f.

Repair of the printed statement: the paper's direction assumption holds only for all sufficiently large kkk, but Theorem 3.1 concludes (3.5) for each kkk, and its proof uses the assumption at every kkk. As printed the theorem is false: d0=0d_0 = 0d0​=0 with the Wolfe step α0=1\alpha_0 = 1α0​=1 gives x1=x0x_1 = x_0x1​=x0​, which violates (3.5) at k=1k = 1k=1 whenever x0≠x∗x_0 \ne x^*x0​=x∗. The goal therefore requires the direction assumption for every k≥0k \ge 0k≥0.

The step bound "there exists μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 with αk≤μ\alpha_k \le \muαk​≤μ" is stated with μ\muμ the algorithm's parameter. For the Armijo rule this holds by construction. The Wolfe rule does not use μ\muμ, so nothing is lost.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out:

  • the printed hypotheses with "for each kkk" (false, as shown above);
  • a θ\thetaθ allowed to equal 1, or an unspecified constant factor in front of θk\theta^kθk (weaker than (3.5));
  • a globally Lipschitz gradient, or a step bound different from the μ\muμ used to build Lˉ\bar{\mathcal L}Lˉ.

A complete development needs:

  • the NLSA model and Lemma 1.1;
  • the step-length lower bounds of Lemma 2.1 for both rules (via the descent lemma for Lipschitz gradients);
  • the geometric bound on QkQ_kQk​;
  • boundedness of level sets of strongly convex functions.

The NLSA definitions are reusable by any later mission on nonmonotone line searches. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome, as are a proof of the counterexample to the printed statement and a proof that the platform theorem ConvexOptimization.strong_convexity_quadratic_lower_bound implies (3.4).

Selected references

  • H. Zhang, W. W. Hager, A Nonmonotone Line Search Technique and Its Application to Unconstrained Optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 14(4):1043–1056, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623403428208
  • L. Grippo, F. Lampariello, S. Lucidi, A Nonmonotone Line Search Technique for Newton's Method, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 23(4):707–716, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1137/0723046
  • Y.-H. Dai, On the Nonmonotone Line Search, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 112:315–330, 2002 (reference [4] of the paper).
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits I: High-Probability Regret Bound for the OFUL AlgorithmResearch Paper

Motivation

In a linear stochastic bandit, a learner repeatedly chooses an action from a set of vectors and receives a noisy reward whose mean is linear in the action. The model underlies contextual recommendation, adaptive routing and dynamic pricing, where each option is described by features and the payoff of a feature vector must be learned while it is exploited. The quality of a strategy is measured by its regret: the reward lost, relative to always playing the best action, over the first nnn rounds.

The optimism-in-the-face-of-uncertainty principle (play as if the most favourable parameter consistent with the data were true) was introduced for linear bandits by Auer (2002), and developed by Dani, Hayes and Kakade (2008) (ConfidenceBall, regret O(dnlog⁡3/2n)O(d\sqrt n\log^{3/2} n)O(dn​log3/2n) with confidence sets from a union bound over time) and Rusmevichientong and Tsitsiklis (2010). Abbasi-Yadkori, Pál and Szepesvári (NIPS 2011) replaced the union bound by a self-normalized martingale inequality that holds uniformly in time. It gives smaller confidence ellipsoids and, through them, a high-probability regret bound for the resulting algorithm, OFUL, that improves the earlier ones by logarithmic factors. The inequality became the standard tool for linear and kernelized bandits and for linear reinforcement learning.

Setting

Fix a dimension d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 and an unknown parameter θ∗∈Rd\theta_* \in \mathbb R^dθ∗​∈Rd. In round t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the learner is given a nonempty decision set Dt⊆RdD_t \subseteq \mathbb R^dDt​⊆Rd, chooses Xt∈DtX_t \in D_tXt​∈Dt​, and observes the reward

Yt=⟨Xt,θ∗⟩+ηt.Y_t = \langle X_t, \theta_* \rangle + \eta_t .Yt​=⟨Xt​,θ∗​⟩+ηt​.

There is a filtration {Ft}t≥0\{F_t\}_{t \ge 0}{Ft​}t≥0​ such that XtX_tXt​ is Ft−1F_{t-1}Ft−1​-measurable and ηt\eta_tηt​ is FtF_tFt​-measurable and conditionally RRR-sub-Gaussian: E[eληt∣Ft−1]≤exp⁡(λ2R2/2)\mathbf E[e^{\lambda\eta_t} \mid F_{t-1}] \le \exp(\lambda^2R^2/2)E[eληt​∣Ft−1​]≤exp(λ2R2/2) for all λ∈R\lambda \in \mathbb Rλ∈R, with R≥0R \ge 0R≥0 fixed.

For a regularization parameter λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 let V‾t=λI+∑s=1tXsXs⊤\overline V_t = \lambda I + \sum_{s=1}^t X_sX_s^\topVt​=λI+∑s=1t​Xs​Xs⊤​ and let θ^t=V‾t−1∑s=1tYsXs\widehat\theta_t = \overline V_t^{-1}\sum_{s=1}^t Y_sX_sθt​=Vt−1​∑s=1t​Ys​Xs​ be the regularized least-squares estimate. With ∥v∥A=v⊤Av\|v\|_A = \sqrt{v^\top A v}∥v∥A​=v⊤Av​ and a known bound ∥θ∗∥2≤S\|\theta_*\|_2 \le S∥θ∗​∥2​≤S, the confidence ellipsoid is

Ct={θ:∥θ^t−θ∥V‾t≤R2log⁡(det⁡(V‾t)1/2det⁡(λI)−1/2/δ)+λ1/2S}.C_t = \Big\{\theta : \|\widehat\theta_t - \theta\|_{\overline V_t} \le R\sqrt{2\log\big(\det(\overline V_t)^{1/2}\det(\lambda I)^{-1/2}/\delta\big)} + \lambda^{1/2}S\Big\}.Ct​={θ:∥θt​−θ∥Vt​​≤R2log(det(Vt​)1/2det(λI)−1/2/δ)​+λ1/2S}.

The OFUL algorithm chooses, in round ttt, a pair (Xt,θ~t)(X_t, \widetilde\theta_t)(Xt​,θt​) maximizing ⟨x,θ⟩\langle x, \theta \rangle⟨x,θ⟩ over Dt×Ct−1D_t \times C_{t-1}Dt​×Ct−1​. The pseudo-regret is Rn=∑t=1n⟨xt∗−Xt,θ∗⟩R_n = \sum_{t=1}^n \langle x^*_t - X_t, \theta_* \rangleRn​=∑t=1n​⟨xt∗​−Xt​,θ∗​⟩, where ⟨xt∗,θ∗⟩=max⁡x∈Dt⟨x,θ∗⟩\langle x^*_t, \theta_*\rangle = \max_{x\in D_t}\langle x,\theta_*\rangle⟨xt∗​,θ∗​⟩=maxx∈Dt​​⟨x,θ∗​⟩.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3, the regret of OFUL

If ∥Xt∥2≤L\|X_t\|_2 \le L∥Xt​∥2​≤L, ⟨x,θ∗⟩∈[−1,1]\langle x, \theta_*\rangle \in [-1,1]⟨x,θ∗​⟩∈[−1,1] for all x∈Dtx \in D_tx∈Dt​, and λ≥max⁡(1,L2)\lambda \ge \max(1, L^2)λ≥max(1,L2), then for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ,

∀n≥0,Rn≤4ndlog⁡(λ+nL2/d)(λ1/2S+R2log⁡(1/δ)+dlog⁡(1+nL2/(λd))).\forall n \ge 0, \quad R_n \le 4\sqrt{nd\log(\lambda + nL^2/d)}\Big(\lambda^{1/2}S + R\sqrt{2\log(1/\delta) + d\log(1 + nL^2/(\lambda d))}\Big).∀n≥0,Rn​≤4ndlog(λ+nL2/d)​(λ1/2S+R2log(1/δ)+dlog(1+nL2/(λd))​).

Milestone: Theorem 1, the self-normalized bound

For any positive definite VVV, V‾t=V+∑s≤tXsXs⊤\overline V_t = V + \sum_{s\le t}X_sX_s^\topVt​=V+∑s≤t​Xs​Xs⊤​ and St=∑s≤tηsXsS_t = \sum_{s \le t}\eta_sX_sSt​=∑s≤t​ηs​Xs​: with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all t≥0t \ge 0t≥0,

∥St∥V‾t−12≤2R2log⁡(det⁡(V‾t)1/2det⁡(V)−1/2/δ).\|S_t\|^2_{\overline V_t^{-1}} \le 2R^2\log\big(\det(\overline V_t)^{1/2}\det(V)^{-1/2}/\delta\big).∥St​∥Vt−1​2​≤2R2log(det(Vt​)1/2det(V)−1/2/δ).

Milestones: Theorem 2, the confidence ellipsoids

With probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ, θ∗∈Ct\theta_* \in C_tθ∗​∈Ct​ for all t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 (first claim). If ∥Xt∥2≤L\|X_t\|_2 \le L∥Xt​∥2​≤L, then with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all ttt, ∥θ^t−θ∗∥V‾t≤Rdlog⁡((1+tL2/λ)/δ)+λ1/2S\|\widehat\theta_t - \theta_*\|_{\overline V_t} \le R\sqrt{d\log((1 + tL^2/\lambda)/\delta)} + \lambda^{1/2}S∥θt​−θ∗​∥Vt​​≤Rdlog((1+tL2/λ)/δ)​+λ1/2S (second claim, stated here for d≥2d \ge 2d≥2).

Significance

Theorem 3 bounds the regret of OFUL by O(dnlog⁡n)O(d\sqrt n\log n)O(dn​logn) with high probability, uniformly over the horizon, so it holds for an unknown horizon without restarting. The bound applies to arbitrary, even adversarially changing, decision sets. Theorem 1 is the ingredient that makes this possible: a deviation bound for a vector-valued martingale, normalized by its own random covariance, that holds for all times simultaneously and whose logarithmic term is a determinant rather than a union-bound count. The same inequality underlies regret analyses of generalized linear bandits, kernelized bandits, linear Markov decision processes and many confidence-sequence constructions.

All three results are proved in the paper's appendices (not included in the source file used here). None of them is formalized in the stated generality. Prove2Me holds the special cases V=λIV = \lambda IV=λI, R=1R = 1R=1, δ<1\delta < 1δ<1 of Theorems 1 and 2 (from the Bandit Algorithms textbook series), a pathwise LinUCB regret lemma that assumes the confidence event, and the elliptical potential lemma. A formal proof of Theorem 3 would be the first machine-checked high-probability regret bound for OFUL with the paper's confidence sets.

Difficulty

The actions are chosen adaptively, by an argmax over a data-dependent set, so the sequence XtX_tXt​ has no independence structure and the least-squares estimate is not a sum of independent terms. A fixed-design concentration bound followed by a union bound over time and over a covering of the sphere loses logarithmic factors and does not produce the determinant in the radius; that is the route of the earlier work that Theorem 1 improves. Theorem 1 must hold for all times at once for a quantity normalized by the random matrix V‾t\overline V_tVt​, which is itself built from the adaptively chosen actions; a bound for each fixed ttt does not give it.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin d → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin d) (Fin d) ℝ, and ∥x∥A\|x\|_A∥x∥A​ is Real.sqrt (x ⬝ᵥ A *ᵥ x). Rounds are indexed t+1t+1t+1 for t:Nt : ℕt:N, so sums over s≤ts \le ts≤t are sums over Finset.range t at index s + 1, and the time-0 objects are empty sums. The probability space is standard Borel, as Mathlib's conditional sub-Gaussianity (HasCondSubgaussianMGF, variance proxy R2R^2R2) requires; this is an added hypothesis. Every "with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all ttt" is stated as an outer-measure bound ≤δ\le \delta≤δ on the failure event, with the time quantifier inside the event. det⁡(⋅)1/2\det(\cdot)^{1/2}det(⋅)1/2 is the real square root of the determinant; the matrices inverted are positive definite, so Lean's junk inverse never occurs.

OFUL is a predicate on the whole process: in every round the chosen pair maximizes ⟨x,θ⟩\langle x,\theta\rangle⟨x,θ⟩ over Dt×Ct−1D_t \times C_{t-1}Dt​×Ct−1​, with any tie-breaking. Runs exist whenever the decision sets are nonempty and compact. The measurability of the actions is assumed, as in Theorem 1. The optimal reward ⟨xt∗,θ∗⟩\langle x^*_t, \theta_*\rangle⟨xt∗​,θ∗​⟩ is the supremum over DtD_tDt​, finite because of the reward bound.

Two corrections to the printed Theorem 3 are made and disclosed. The printed nL/dnL/dnL/d is replaced by nL2/dnL^2/dnL2/d, which is what the determinant–trace bound det⁡V‾n≤(λ+nL2/d)d\det\overline V_n \le (\lambda + nL^2/d)^ddetVn​≤(λ+nL2/d)d gives; for L≤1L \le 1L≤1 the corrected bound implies the printed one. The hypothesis λ≥max⁡(1,L2)\lambda \ge \max(1, L^2)λ≥max(1,L2) is added: for λ<1\lambda < 1λ<1 the printed logarithm can be negative, and the printed bound would then assert Rn≤0R_n \le 0Rn​≤0. In the second claim of Theorem 2, d≥2d \ge 2d≥2 is added, because at d=1d = 1d=1 the claim does not follow from the first claim and the paper's proof is not available.

The goal is a probability bound over the noise, not the pathwise statement "if θ∗∈Ct−1\theta_* \in C_{t-1}θ∗​∈Ct−1​ for all ttt then Rn≤…R_n \le \dotsRn​≤…". The pathwise statement assumes the confidence event instead of proving it, and is already on the platform. The confidence sets inside the OFUL predicate use the same δ\deltaδ as the conclusion.

Needed infrastructure: maximal inequalities for nonnegative supermartingales, Gaussian integrals of quadratic forms on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, log-determinant bounds for sums of rank-one updates, and the determinant–trace inequality. The platform rows BanditAlgorithm.self_normalized_martingale_bound, BanditAlgorithm.least_squares_confidence_ellipsoid and BanditAlgorithm.elliptical_potential_lemma are referenced as tools. Proofs of the milestones, generalizations of the existing special cases to general VVV and RRR, and reusable determinant lemmas are all welcome.

Selected references

  • Y. Abbasi-Yadkori, D. Pál, Cs. Szepesvári, Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 24 (NIPS), 2011. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2011
  • P. Auer, Using Confidence Bounds for Exploitation-Exploration Trade-offs, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3, 2002. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/auer02a.html
  • V. Dani, T. P. Hayes, S. M. Kakade, Stochastic Linear Optimization under Bandit Feedback, COLT, 2008. http://colt2008.cs.helsinki.fi/papers/80-Dani.pdf
  • P. Rusmevichientong, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Linearly Parameterized Bandits, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(2), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0446
  • T. Lattimore, Cs. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapters 19–20. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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CombinatoricsConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convexity and Steinitz's Exchange Property II: The Local Supermodularity Theorem for the Concave ConjugateResearch Paper

Motivation

Matroids and their integral generalizations, integral base polytopes, are the combinatorial structures on which the greedy algorithm is exact. Edmonds' theory relates them to submodular and supermodular set functions: a polytope is a base polytope exactly when its support function, restricted to 0/10/10/1 vectors, is supermodular and the greedy formula evaluates it everywhere. Dress and Wenzel's valuated matroids (1990) and Murota's M-concave functions carry the exchange axiom from sets to functions on sets. This paper (Adv. Math. 124, 1996) sets up the resulting theory of discrete concave functions on base sets, later developed into discrete convex analysis (Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM 2003).

The question behind this mission is how the set-level correspondence between exchange and supermodularity extends to functions. Section 5 of the paper answers it with the Local Supermodularity Theorem: the exchange property of a function is a supermodularity property of its concave conjugate, holding locally at every point.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite nonempty set, n=∣V∣n=|V|n=∣V∣. For u∈Vu\in Vu∈V let χu∈ZV\chi_u\in\mathbb Z^Vχu​∈ZV be the unit vector, for X⊆VX\subseteq VX⊆V let χX\chi_XχX​ be its characteristic vector, x(X)=∑v∈Xx(v)x(X)=\sum_{v\in X}x(v)x(X)=∑v∈X​x(v), and ⟨p,x⟩=∑vp(v)x(v)\langle p,x\rangle=\sum_v p(v)x(v)⟨p,x⟩=∑v​p(v)x(v). For a finite B⊆ZVB\subseteq\mathbb Z^VB⊆ZV, B‾\overline BB is its convex hull.

A finite integral base set is a finite nonempty B⊆ZVB\subseteq\mathbb Z^VB⊆ZV such that

(B1)x,y∈B, u∈supp⁡+(x−y) ⇒ ∃v∈supp⁡−(x−y): x−χu+χv∈B.\text{(B1)}\quad x,y\in B,\ u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)\ \Rightarrow\ \exists v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y):\ x-\chi_u+\chi_v\in B.(B1)x,y∈B, u∈supp+(x−y) ⇒ ∃v∈supp−(x−y): x−χu​+χv​∈B.

A function ω:B→R\omega:B\to\mathbb Rω:B→R satisfies the exchange property (EXC) (is M-concave) if for x,y∈Bx,y\in Bx,y∈B and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u\in\operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y) there is v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v\in\operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) with x−χu+χv, y+χu−χv∈Bx-\chi_u+\chi_v,\ y+\chi_u-\chi_v\in Bx−χu​+χv​, y+χu​−χv​∈B and ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu+χv)+ω(y+χu−χv)\omega(x)+\omega(y)\le\omega(x-\chi_u+\chi_v)+\omega(y+\chi_u-\chi_v)ω(x)+ω(y)≤ω(x−χu​+χv​)+ω(y+χu​−χv​). Write ω[p](x)=ω(x)+⟨p,x⟩\omega[p](x)=\omega(x)+\langle p,x\rangleω[p](x)=ω(x)+⟨p,x⟩ and argmax⁡(g)\operatorname{argmax}(g)argmax(g) for the maximizers of ggg on BBB.

The support function of BBB is ψ∘(p)=min⁡{⟨p,x⟩∣x∈B}\psi^\circ(p)=\min\{\langle p,x\rangle\mid x\in B\}ψ∘(p)=min{⟨p,x⟩∣x∈B}. A positively homogeneous h:RV→Rh:\mathbb R^V\to\mathbb Rh:RV→R is "matroidal" if

  • (C1) X↦h(χX)X\mapsto h(\chi_X)X↦h(χX​) is supermodular, and
  • (C2) h(p)=∑j=1n(pj−pj+1) h(χVj)h(p)=\sum_{j=1}^n(p_j-p_{j+1})\,h(\chi_{V_j})h(p)=∑j=1n​(pj​−pj+1​)h(χVj​​) whenever V={v1,…,vn}V=\{v_1,\dots,v_n\}V={v1​,…,vn​} with p(v1)≥⋯≥p(vn)p(v_1)\ge\dots\ge p(v_n)p(v1​)≥⋯≥p(vn​), pj=p(vj)p_j=p(v_j)pj​=p(vj​), Vj={v1,…,vj}V_j=\{v_1,\dots,v_j\}Vj​={v1​,…,vj​}, pn+1=0p_{n+1}=0pn+1​=0.

The concave conjugate is ω∘(p)=min⁡{⟨p,x⟩−ω(x)∣x∈B}\omega^\circ(p)=\min\{\langle p,x\rangle-\omega(x)\mid x\in B\}ω∘(p)=min{⟨p,x⟩−ω(x)∣x∈B}, the concave closure is ω^(b)=inf⁡p{⟨p,b⟩−ω∘(p)}\hat\omega(b)=\inf_p\{\langle p,b\rangle-\omega^\circ(p)\}ω^(b)=infp​{⟨p,b⟩−ω∘(p)}, the subdifferential is ∂ω∘(p0)={b∣ω∘(p)−ω∘(p0)≤⟨p−p0,b⟩ ∀p}\partial\omega^\circ(p_0)=\{b\mid\omega^\circ(p)-\omega^\circ(p_0)\le\langle p-p_0,b\rangle\ \forall p\}∂ω∘(p0​)={b∣ω∘(p)−ω∘(p0​)≤⟨p−p0​,b⟩ ∀p}, and the localization of ω∘\omega^\circω∘ at p0p_0p0​ is L^(ω∘,p0)(p)=inf⁡{⟨p,b⟩∣b∈∂ω∘(p0)}\hat L(\omega^\circ,p_0)(p)=\inf\{\langle p,b\rangle\mid b\in\partial\omega^\circ(p_0)\}L^(ω∘,p0​)(p)=inf{⟨p,b⟩∣b∈∂ω∘(p0​)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Local Supermodularity Theorem (Theorem 5.3, corrected)

For ω\omegaω on a finite integral base set BBB,

ω satisfies (EXC)  ⟺  (ω=ω^ on B) and (L^(ω∘,p0) is "matroidal" for every p0∈RV).\omega\ \text{satisfies (EXC)}\iff\Big(\omega=\hat\omega\ \text{on}\ B\Big)\ \text{and}\ \Big(\hat L(\omega^\circ,p_0)\ \text{is "matroidal" for every}\ p_0\in\mathbb R^V\Big).ω satisfies (EXC)⟺(ω=ω^ on B) and (L^(ω∘,p0​) is "matroidal" for every p0​∈RV).

The printed Theorem 5.3 has only the second condition on the right. Its "only if" direction holds as printed; its "if" direction is false without the first condition, and a separate item of the mission states the counterexample: B={(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)}B=\{(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)\}B={(2,0),(1,1),(0,2)}, ω=(0,−10,0)\omega=(0,-10,0)ω=(0,−10,0).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.1: (B1) is equivalent to BBB being the integer points of an integral submodular (equivalently, supermodular) system, whose defining function is determined by BBB.
  2. Theorem 5.1: if B=ZV∩B‾B=\mathbb Z^V\cap\overline BB=ZV∩B, then BBB satisfies (B1) iff ψ∘\psi^\circψ∘ is "matroidal".
  3. Lemma 5.2: sums of "matroidal" functions are "matroidal".
  4. Theorem 4.4: (EXC) holds iff every argmax⁡(ω[p])\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[p])argmax(ω[p]) satisfies (B1).
  5. Eq. (5.12): L^(ω∘,p0)(p)=min⁡{⟨p,x⟩∣x∈argmax⁡(ω[−p0])}\hat L(\omega^\circ,p_0)(p)=\min\{\langle p,x\rangle\mid x\in\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[-p_0])\}L^(ω∘,p0​)(p)=min{⟨p,x⟩∣x∈argmax(ω[−p0​])}.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.3 is the function-level version of Theorem 5.1. Condition (C1) is a supermodularity condition, so the theorem expresses (EXC) as "a collection of local supermodularity" properties of ω∘\omega^\circω∘, in the same way that (B1) corresponds to supermodularity of a support function. In the paper this characterization of the conjugate side underlies the Fenchel-type duality of Section 6, and more generally the conjugacy between M-concave and L-convex functions in discrete convex analysis.

The formalization. No part of this theory is formalized in Lean or on this platform: base sets, (EXC), "matroidal" functions and concave conjugates of functions on base sets are all new. The mission also corrects the published statement: the reduction from localizations to base sets needs every integer point of conv⁡(argmax⁡ ω[−p0])\operatorname{conv}(\operatorname{argmax}\,\omega[-p_0])conv(argmaxω[−p0​]) to be a maximizer, and the concave-closure condition supplies this. A machine-checked proof would settle both the corrected theorem and the counterexample. Theorem 2.1 and Lemma 5.2 are classical but have no formal proof either.

Difficulty

ω∘\omega^\circω∘ depends only on the concave closure ω^\hat\omegaω^, so any characterization of (EXC) through ω∘\omega^\circω∘ alone cannot see values of ω\omegaω below ω^\hat\omegaω^. That is why the goal needs the extra clause. The "only if" direction needs the full theory of Section 4: M-concave functions coincide with their concave closure, and all their maximizer sets are base sets. Theorem 5.1 needs the greedy algorithm on integral base polytopes, together with the fact that the base polytope of an integral supermodular function has integral vertices. Theorem 2.1 is the folklore statement that polyhedral and exchange descriptions agree, and the paper does not prove it. Eq. (5.12) needs the subdifferential of a finite minimum of affine functions to be the convex hull of the active gradients, stated globally rather than only near p0p_0p0​.

Formalization scope

Integer vectors are V → ℤ, real vectors V → ℝ, with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V] [Nonempty V]. A finite subset of ZV\mathbb Z^VZV is a Finset (V → ℤ). A function on BBB is a total function (V → ℤ) → ℝ whose values off BBB are never used. The mission commits to the following readings:

  • Minima. ψ∘\psi^\circψ∘, ω∘\omega^\circω∘ are real infima over the finite set BBB, hence minima for nonempty BBB (every statement has BBB nonempty). ω^\hat\omegaω^ is a real infimum used only at points of BBB, where it is bounded below.
  • Localization. L^\hat LL^ is a real sInf over the subdifferential, defined by (5.8)–(5.9) exactly, not by the formula (5.12). Eq. (5.12) is stated with IsLeast, so it asserts attainment, not just the value.
  • (C2). It is required for every bijection Fin n ≃ V along which ppp is non-increasing. This is equivalent to "for some" such indexing. "Matroidal" includes positive homogeneity but not concavity.
  • Theorem 2.1. The page's "∀X⊂V\forall X\subset V∀X⊂V" is read as all X⊆VX\subseteq VX⊆V. The set functions are integer-valued, and "Moreover" is read strongly: every fff (resp. ggg) as in (b) (resp. (c)) equals the displayed max (resp. min).
  • Theorem 4.4. "argmax⁡(ω[p])‾\overline{\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[p])}argmax(ω[p])​ is an integral base polytope" is read as "argmax⁡(ω[p])\operatorname{argmax}(\omega[p])argmax(ω[p]) satisfies (B1)", following Lemma 4.3 and the proof of Theorem 5.3. The literal convex-hull reading makes the "if" direction false (same counterexample).
  • Theorem 5.1 keeps the page's hypothesis B=ZV∩B‾B=\mathbb Z^V\cap\overline BB=ZV∩B.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. Defining L^\hat LL^ by (5.12) would reduce the goal to Theorems 4.4 and 5.1. A "matroidal" without (C2) would be satisfied by support functions of non-base sets. An ω∘\omega^\circω∘ taken as a supremum would reverse the sign conventions.

The development needs: the greedy algorithm and integrality for integral base polytopes, supergradients of polyhedral concave functions, and the Section 4 results of the paper (concave closure of M-concave functions, Lemma 4.3). The base-set and "matroidal" layers can be reused beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, of the counterexample, and a proof of the "only if" direction on its own are all welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Convexity and Steinitz's exchange property, Advances in Mathematics 124 (1996), 272–311. https://doi.org/10.1006/aima.1996.0084
  • A. W. M. Dress, W. Wenzel, Valuated matroids: a new look at the greedy algorithm, Applied Mathematics Letters 3 (1990), 33–35.
  • S. Fujishige, Submodular Functions and Optimization, 2nd ed., Annals of Discrete Mathematics 58, Elsevier, 2005.
  • L. Lovász, Submodular functions and convexity, in Mathematical Programming: The State of the Art, Springer, 1983, 235–257. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-68874-4_10
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
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🏆Completed
Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatorics·Captain: mikedeng1

Cores of Convex Games: The Core of a Convex Game Is Its Unique von Neumann-Morgenstern Stable SetResearch Paper

Motivation

A cooperative game with transferable utility assigns to every coalition of players the total payoff the coalition can secure on its own. Two solution concepts for such games go back to the foundations of game theory: the core, the set of payoff divisions no coalition can improve upon, and the stable set (von Neumann–Morgenstern solution), a set of divisions that is internally consistent and externally absorbing under the relation of domination. For general games the two concepts behave badly: the core may be empty, stable sets may fail to exist (Lucas 1968), and when they exist there are usually many of them.

Lloyd Shapley's paper Cores of Convex Games (Int. J. Game Theory 1, 1971) isolates a class of games, the convex games (supermodular characteristic functions), on which all of this becomes well behaved. Convex games arise in cost allocation, in bankruptcy and airport problems, in scheduling and sequencing games, and in any setting with increasing returns to cooperation; the supermodular functions behind them are the same objects studied as polymatroid rank functions in combinatorial optimization (Edmonds 1970). For such games the paper shows that the core is nonempty, that its faces fit together in a rigid combinatorial pattern, that its vertices are exactly the marginal-contribution vectors, and that the core is the unique stable set.

Setting

Let N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n} be a finite set of players. A game is a function vvv from subsets of NNN to the reals with v(∅)=0v(\emptyset)=0v(∅)=0. It is convex if

v(S)+v(T)≤v(S∪T)+v(S∩T)for all S,T⊆N.v(S)+v(T)\le v(S\cup T)+v(S\cap T)\qquad\text{for all } S,T\subseteq N.v(S)+v(T)≤v(S∪T)+v(S∩T)for all S,T⊆N.

A payoff vector is a∈RNa\in\mathbb R^Na∈RN, and a(S)=∑i∈Saia(S)=\sum_{i\in S}a_ia(S)=∑i∈S​ai​. It is feasible if a(N)≤v(N)a(N)\le v(N)a(N)≤v(N). The core CCC is the set of feasible aaa with a(S)≥v(S)a(S)\ge v(S)a(S)≥v(S) for every S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N; in particular a(N)=v(N)a(N)=v(N)a(N)=v(N) on CCC.

For a nonempty coalition SSS, the face CSC_SCS​ is the set of core points with a(S)=v(S)a(S)=v(S)a(S)=v(S); by convention C∅=CC_\emptyset=CC∅​=C, and CN=CC_N=CCN​=C. The family {CS}\{C_S\}{CS​} is the core configuration. It is complete if no CSC_SCS​ is empty, and regular if CN≠∅C_N\ne\emptysetCN​=∅ and

CS∩CT⊆CS∪T∩CS∩Tfor all S,T⊆N.C_S\cap C_T\subseteq C_{S\cup T}\cap C_{S\cap T}\qquad\text{for all } S,T\subseteq N.CS​∩CT​⊆CS∪T​∩CS∩T​for all S,T⊆N.

For an ordering ω\omegaω of the players, Sω,kS_{\omega,k}Sω,k​ is the set of the first kkk players, and the marginal vector aωa^\omegaaω pays each player iii its marginal contribution v(Sω,ω(i))−v(Sω,ω(i)−1)v(S_{\omega,\omega(i)})-v(S_{\omega,\omega(i)-1})v(Sω,ω(i)​)−v(Sω,ω(i)−1​).

A payoff vector bbb is dominated by aaa if some nonempty coalition SSS has a(S)≤v(S)a(S)\le v(S)a(S)≤v(S) and ai>bia_i>b_iai​>bi​ for all i∈Si\in Si∈S. A set VVV of feasible vectors is stable if every feasible vector is either a member of VVV or dominated by a member of VVV, but not both.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

C is stable, and every stable set V equals C(v convex).C \text{ is stable, and every stable set } V \text{ equals } C \qquad (v \text{ convex}).C is stable, and every stable set V equals C(v convex).

The goal contains both halves of the page's statement: stability of the core, and uniqueness ("the unique von Neumann–Morgenstern solution").

Milestones, in the order the argument uses them

  • Lemma 1 (p. 18) and Lemma 2 (p. 19): for a regular configuration, a point on two nested faces CS∩CTC_S\cap C_TCS​∩CT​ with ∣T∖S∣≥2|T\setminus S|\ge2∣T∖S∣≥2 can be moved to a face CQC_QCQ​ of an intermediate coalition, and a point of CSC_SCS​ to CS∩CS∪{j}C_S\cap C_{S\cup\{j\}}CS​∩CS∪{j}​, keeping its coordinates on SSS.
  • Theorem 2 (p. 18): in a regular configuration CS1∩⋯∩CSm≠∅C_{S_1}\cap\cdots\cap C_{S_m}\ne\emptysetCS1​​∩⋯∩CSm​​=∅ for every strictly increasing chain S1⊂⋯⊂SmS_1\subset\cdots\subset S_mS1​⊂⋯⊂Sm​; in particular a regular configuration is complete.
  • Theorem 4 (p. 21): the core of a convex game is nonempty.
  • Theorem 5 (p. 22): a game is convex if and only if its core configuration is regular.
  • Two claims of §4.3 (p. 24): every stable set contains the core, and no stable set properly includes another.
  • The claim that opens the proof of Theorem 8 (p. 24): in a convex game every feasible vector outside the core is dominated by a core point.

The mission also states Theorem 3 (p. 19), the vertices of a regular core are exactly the marginal vectors aωa^\omegaaω, as a further item that is not on the path to the goal.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8 gives, for a natural and widely occurring class of games, a complete answer to the existence and uniqueness questions for von Neumann–Morgenstern solutions, which are open or negative in general. Theorems 3 and 5 describe the core of a convex game explicitly as the polytope spanned by the n!n!n! marginal vectors, the combinatorial description that underlies later work on the Shapley value, the Weber set, and the polymatroid greedy algorithm. Theorem 5 is the geometric characterization of supermodularity through the face structure of the core.

Formalizing it. All results in this mission are proved in the paper; none has a machine-checked proof on the platform. Theorem 4 is already stated on the platform (as part of a statement that also puts every marginal vector and the Shapley value in the core) and enters the mission as an existing item. The remaining work is a formal development of face configurations of the core, of stable sets and domination, and of the passage from supermodularity to the geometry of the core. The definitions of stable set and domination are general and reusable for any transferable-utility game.

Difficulty

The internal half of stability is immediate from the definitions: a core point cannot be dominated by any vector satisfying a coalition constraint a(S)≤v(S)a(S)\le v(S)a(S)≤v(S). Uniqueness also follows from two short observations. The substance is external stability: every feasible vector outside the core must be dominated by a core point, and the dominating vector has to be produced explicitly. The obvious attempt, raising the payoffs of one violated coalition and leaving the other coordinates of bbb unchanged, does not in general produce a core point, and nothing in the definition of the core alone controls how the core meets the hyperplane of a given coalition; that control is what the face theory of §3 is about. For non-convex games the external half genuinely fails, so no argument that ignores convexity can succeed.

Formalization scope

Players are Fin n (a relabelling of the paper's finite set NNN), a game is f : Finset (Fin n) → ℝ, payoff vectors are Fin n → ℝ, and a(S)a(S)a(S) is ∑ i ∈ S, a i. The existing platform definitions Supermodularity.Cooperative.IsConvexGame (v(∅)=0v(\emptyset)=0v(∅)=0 plus supermodularity on all subsets), Core, InitialCoalition and GreedyPayoff (the marginal vectors, orderings being permutations of Fin n) are reused; the reused Theorem 4 statement is Supermodularity.Cooperative.convex_game_core_and_shapley.

Conventions committed to:

  • Wherever the page says "a game", the hypothesis is exactly v(∅)=0v(\emptyset)=0v(∅)=0; convexity is IsConvexGame.
  • Faces satisfy C∅=CC_\emptyset=CC∅​=C literally: the tightness condition is imposed only for nonempty SSS.
  • Regularity includes CN≠∅C_N\ne\emptysetCN​=∅, as on the page.
  • Lemmas 1–2 and Theorems 2–3 assume a regular configuration, not convexity, as on the page.
  • S⊂⊂TS\subset\subset TS⊂⊂T is S⊊TS\subsetneq TS⊊T with ∣T∣−∣S∣≥2|T|-|S|\ge2∣T∣−∣S∣≥2; Lemma 1's two preassigned elements are distinct.
  • An increasing sequence of m≥1m\ge1m≥1 coalitions is a strictly monotone map from Fin (m + 1).
  • "Vertex" is Set.extremePoints ℝ.
  • Domination requires a nonempty coalition and strict coordinate inequalities; stable sets consist of feasible vectors and the "either … or …, but not both" condition ranges over feasible vectors, following the page rather than the classical imputation-based variant.

A formalization in which the dominating coalition may be empty, in which regularity omits CN≠∅C_N\ne\emptysetCN​=∅, or in which the goal asserts stability without uniqueness does not state the paper's theorem and is ruled out.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones in any order, general lemmas about faces of polytopes cut out by set-function inequalities, and reusable API for domination and stable sets.

Selected references

  • L. S. Shapley, Cores of Convex Games, International Journal of Game Theory 1 (1971), 11–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01753431
  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, 1944.
  • J. Edmonds, Submodular functions, matroids, and certain polyhedra, in Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications, Gordon and Breach, 1970, 69–87. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-36478-1_2
  • W. F. Lucas, A game with no solution, Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 74 (1968), 237–239. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1968-12039-2
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998, §5.2.
20 thms6 active usersReviewed
Linear OptimizationOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: ORdos

Smale's Ninth Problem: Strongly Polynomial Linear ProgrammingOpen Problem

The problem of solving linear inequalities

The linear feasibility problem takes a matrix A∈Rm×nA \in \mathbb{R}^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n and a vector b∈Rmb \in \mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm and asks whether the system of mmm linear inequalities in nnn real unknowns

{ x∈Rn∣Ax≥b }  ≠  ∅\{\,x \in \mathbb{R}^n \mid Ax \ge b\,\} \;\ne\; \emptyset{x∈Rn∣Ax≥b}=∅

has a solution. By linear programming duality, optimizing a linear objective over such a set reduces to feasibility, so this decision problem carries the whole complexity of linear programming.

What "polynomial time" means here depends on the machine. In the bit model the input is a list of rational numbers, its size LLL counts the bits of all numerators and denominators, and an algorithm is polynomial if it runs in time poly(m,n,L)\mathrm{poly}(m, n, L)poly(m,n,L). In the real-number model the input is a list of mn+mmn + mmn+m exact real numbers, each arithmetic operation (+,−,×,÷+, -, \times, \div+,−,×,÷), comparison, or memory move costs one unit, and a running time may only depend on mmm and nnn. An algorithm polynomial in this second sense is what Smale asks for; the closely related bit-model notion — poly(m,n)\mathrm{poly}(m,n)poly(m,n) arithmetic operations and polynomially bounded intermediate bit sizes — is called strongly polynomial. This mission fixes the real-number model precisely as a Blum–Shub–Smale (BSS) machine (Blum–Shub–Smale 1989): a finite program of instructions acting on a bi-infinite tape Z→R\mathbb{Z} \to \mathbb{R}Z→R of real registers — loads of arbitrary real machine constants, exact field arithmetic at fixed addresses, two-sided tape shifts, a sign-test branch, and accept/reject — with cost equal to the number of executed instructions. The convention that costs something: the program must be uniform, one finite instruction list serving every mmm, nnn, and every real instance. Uniformity is exactly what separates the question from point-location tricks available to non-uniform families of decision trees.

Why it matters

For optimization, the question is the last gap in the complexity of its central problem. Linear programs with combinatorial structure already admit strongly polynomial algorithms — Tardos (1986) solved every LP whose running time may depend on the entries of AAA but not on bbb or ccc, covering network flows and all {0,±1}\{0,\pm1\}{0,±1}-constraint problems — and a positive answer for general LP would extend that unification to the whole class, while explaining why simplex-type methods behave so well in practice (Spielman–Teng 2004).

For the theory of computation over the reals, the problem is a benchmark for what unit-cost exact arithmetic can do: it is Problem 9 on Smale's list of mathematical problems for the twenty-first century (Smale 1998), posed in the BSS model as the real-number analogue of the P-versus-NP style questions of that program, and it interacts with polyhedral combinatorics through the polynomial Hirsch conjecture: a polynomial bound on polytope diameters is a necessary condition for any polynomial pivot rule. A problem that calibrates both the practice of optimization and the foundations of real computation is a subject, not a special case.

The question and what is known

Question (Smale’s 9th).Is there a uniform BSS program deciding {x∣Ax≥b}≠∅ in poly(m,n) steps?\textbf{Question (Smale's 9th).}\quad \text{Is there a uniform BSS program deciding } \{x \mid Ax \ge b\} \ne \emptyset \text{ in } \mathrm{poly}(m,n) \text{ steps?}Question (Smale’s 9th).Is there a uniform BSS program deciding {x∣Ax≥b}=∅ in poly(m,n) steps?

The timeline splits into a negative branch (lower bounds against algorithm classes) and a positive branch (polynomial algorithms in weaker senses).

Lower bounds. Klee–Minty (1972) constructed a deformed cube on which Dantzig's largest-coefficient simplex rule visits all 2n2^n2n vertices; analogous exponential examples were later found for essentially every deterministic pivot rule, and randomized rules were driven to subexponential lower bounds by Friedmann–Hansen–Zwick (2011) — against upper bounds of exp⁡(O(nlog⁡n))\exp(O(\sqrt{n \log n}))exp(O(nlogn​)) from Kalai (1992) and Matoušek–Sharir–Welzl (1996). On the interior-point side, Allamigeon–Benchimol–Gaubert–Joswig (2018) showed by tropical methods that log-barrier path following is not strongly polynomial, and Allamigeon–Gaubert–Vandame (2022) extended this to every self-concordant barrier: no interior-point method of that class can settle the question positively.

Polynomial algorithms in weaker senses. Khachiyan (1979/80) proved LP feasibility is polynomial in the bit model via the ellipsoid method; Karmarkar (1984) and then Renegar (1988) brought interior-point methods to O(n L)O(\sqrt{n}\,L)O(n​L) iterations. Megiddo (1984) solved LP in linear time for every fixed dimension; Tardos (1986) gave the combinatorial strongly polynomial class; Vavasis–Ye (1996) and Dadush–Huiberts–Natura–Végh (2020) replaced the bit size by condition measures of AAA alone; Ye (2011) proved policy iteration strongly polynomial for fixed-discount Markov decision processes.

The central difficulty is visible in every positive result: each known iteration count is controlled by a scale-dependent quantity — bit length, condition number, barrier curvature — that is unbounded over the real instances with m,nm, nm,n fixed. The naive plan, "run the ellipsoid method and round", fails at its first step in the real model: the number of iterations needed to separate a feasible system from an infeasible one grows with the thinness of the feasible set, which is not a function of (m,n)(m, n)(m,n); no data-independent perturbation ε\varepsilonε exists when the data are arbitrary reals. All results above are proved on paper only; none has a machine-checked proof in the literature. What is already formalized, on this platform, is the substrate this mission builds on: the simplex iteration (mission Introduction to Linear Optimization IV), the ellipsoid method with its volume-halving correctness theorem (XI), interior-point path following (XII), and self-concordance with the barrier method (Convex Optimization VI).

A hierarchy of formalization targets

The mission's milestone list realizes this hierarchy in order; each level states what it deliberately leaves open.

Level 0 — the model works. A uniform BSS program decides one-variable feasibility in linear time:

∃ P, C  ∀m, ∀(a,b)∈Rm×Rm: P decides {x∈R∣aix≥bi ∀i}≠∅ within C(m+1) steps.\exists\,P,\,C\ \ \forall m,\ \forall (a,b) \in \mathbb{R}^m \times \mathbb{R}^m:\ P \text{ decides } \{x \in \mathbb{R} \mid a_i x \ge b_i\ \forall i\} \ne \emptyset \text{ within } C(m{+}1) \text{ steps}.∃P,C  ∀m, ∀(a,b)∈Rm×Rm: P decides {x∈R∣ai​x≥bi​ ∀i}=∅ within C(m+1) steps.

It fixes nothing about n≥2n \ge 2n≥2; its role is to certify that the machine model and cost semantics of the goal are non-vacuous.

Level 1 — the classical method is exponential. On the Klee–Minty cube, Dantzig's rule admits a run of

2n−1 pivots2^n - 1 \text{ pivots}2n−1 pivots

from the all-slack basis to the optimum. It leaves open all other pivot rules — extensions to further rules are welcome as strengthenings.

Level 2 — the bit model succeeds. Through the Cramer–Hadamard solution bound ∣xj∣≤n! Un|x_j| \le n!\,U^n∣xj​∣≤n!Un and the perturbation estimates, Khachiyan's theorem: for integer data bounded by UUU, every admissible ellipsoid run decides feasibility within

t∗≤106 (n+2)4(log⁡2U+n+2) iterations.t^* \le 10^6\,(n{+}2)^4(\log_2 U + n + 2) \text{ iterations}.t∗≤106(n+2)4(log2​U+n+2) iterations.

The generous constants are deliberate — only the polynomial order is load-bearing. This level leaves open exactly the dependence on log⁡U\log UlogU.

Level 3 — the goal (open). A uniform program with data-independent polynomial cost:

∃ P, C, d  ∀m,n,A,b: P decides {x∣Ax≥b}≠∅ within C (mn+m+2)d steps.\exists\,P,\,C,\,d\ \ \forall m, n, A, b:\ P \text{ decides } \{x \mid Ax \ge b\} \ne \emptyset \text{ within } C\,(mn + m + 2)^d \text{ steps}.∃P,C,d  ∀m,n,A,b: P decides {x∣Ax≥b}=∅ within C(mn+m+2)d steps.

The statement asserts only the shape of the truth — no hard-coded degree or constant — so it is stable under every future quantitative improvement. These levels do not exhaust the project: Tardos' combinatorial LP theorem, Ye's fixed-discount MDP result, and impossibility statements for restricted program classes in the style of Allamigeon–Gaubert–Vandame are natural later milestones.

Formalization scope

Polyhedra, simplex states, pivots, and ellipsoid runs are the platform's existing LinearOptimization development over Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, with {x∣Ax≥b}\{x \mid Ax \ge b\}{x∣Ax≥b} as polyhedron A b; algorithms with data-dependent iteration counts are formalized as run predicates, as in the parent missions. The new SmaleNinth definitions supply what the goal genuinely needs and the run-predicate style cannot express: a concrete inductive type of BSS programs with operational semantics and unit-cost accounting, the Klee–Minty data with Dantzig's rule, and the explicit Khachiyan constants. One convention closes the degenerate escape hatch: the goal quantifies over finite BSSProgram terms under the fixed encodeLP input convention — formalizing "algorithm" as an arbitrary function Rmn+m→Bool\mathbb{R}^{mn+m} \to \mathrm{Bool}Rmn+m→Bool would make the statement trivially true and is not the theorem. Division is totalized as x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0 and the branch test is xi≤0x_i \le 0xi​≤0; both are benign for the class of programs quantified over.

The machine module is infrastructure beyond this mission — any real-number complexity statement (other Smale problems, sums-of-square-roots, BSS-completeness) can reuse it, as can any pivot-rule lower bound reuse the Klee–Minty module. Formalization forces distinctions the literature leaves informal: which machine variant carries the unit-cost claim, how ties in Dantzig's rule are resolved, and which of the interchangeable Khachiyan constants each estimate actually needs. Welcome contributions include proofs of any milestone, alternative exponential instances for other pivot rules, sharper constants in the Khachiyan module, and ports of the known strongly polynomial special cases.

Selected references

  • L. Blum, M. Shub, S. Smale, On a theory of computation and complexity over the real numbers, Bull. AMS 21(1):1–46, 1989. DOI
  • S. Smale, Mathematical problems for the next century, Math. Intelligencer 20(2):7–15, 1998. DOI
  • V. Klee, G. J. Minty, How good is the simplex algorithm?, in Inequalities III, Academic Press, 1972, pp. 159–175.
  • L. G. Khachiyan, Polynomial algorithms in linear programming, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 20:53–72, 1980. DOI
  • N. Karmarkar, A new polynomial-time algorithm for linear programming, Combinatorica 4:373–395, 1984. DOI
  • J. Renegar, A polynomial-time algorithm, based on Newton's method, for linear programming, Math. Programming 40:59–93, 1988. DOI
  • É. Tardos, A strongly polynomial algorithm to solve combinatorial linear programs, Oper. Res. 34(2):250–256, 1986. DOI
  • N. Megiddo, Linear programming in linear time when the dimension is fixed, J. ACM 31(1):114–127, 1984. DOI
  • G. Kalai, A subexponential randomized simplex algorithm, STOC 1992. DOI
  • O. Friedmann, T. D. Hansen, U. Zwick, Subexponential lower bounds for randomized pivoting rules for the simplex algorithm, STOC 2011. DOI
  • D. A. Spielman, S.-H. Teng, Smoothed analysis of algorithms: why the simplex algorithm usually takes polynomial time, J. ACM 51(3):385–463, 2004. DOI
  • S. A. Vavasis, Y. Ye, A primal-dual interior point method whose running time depends only on the constraint matrix, Math. Programming 74:79–120, 1996. DOI
  • Y. Ye, The simplex and policy-iteration methods are strongly polynomial for the Markov decision problem with a fixed discount rate, Math. Oper. Res. 36(4):593–603, 2011. DOI
  • X. Allamigeon, P. Benchimol, S. Gaubert, M. Joswig, Log-barrier interior point methods are not strongly polynomial, SIAM J. Appl. Algebra Geom. 2(1):140–178, 2018. DOI
  • X. Allamigeon, S. Gaubert, N. Vandame, No self-concordant barrier interior point method is strongly polynomial, STOC 2022. arXiv
  • D. Dadush, S. Huiberts, B. Natura, L. A. Végh, A scaling-invariant algorithm for linear programming whose running time depends only on the constraint matrix, STOC 2020. arXiv
  • D. Bertsimas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997 (Chapters 3, 8, 9 — formalized in the Introduction to Linear Optimization mission series).
  • B. Korte, J. Vygen, Combinatorial Optimization: Theory and Algorithms, 6th ed., Springer, 2018, §4.1–4.5.
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Convex Optimization VI: Self-Concordance and the Barrier MethodTextbook

Why do interior-point methods solve convex programs in O(mlog⁡(1/ε))O(\sqrt{m}\log(1/\varepsilon))O(m​log(1/ε)) Newton steps? Nesterov and Nemirovskii's answer is self-concordance: a convex function whose third derivative is controlled by its second, ∣φ′′′(t)∣≤2 φ′′(t)3/2|\varphi'''(t)| \le 2\,\varphi''(t)^{3/2}∣φ′′′(t)∣≤2φ′′(t)3/2 along every line, admits a Newton analysis with absolute constants and no condition number — and the logarithmic barrier is self-concordant. This mission formalizes §9.6 and Chapter 11 of Boyd & Vandenberghe: the self-concordance calculus, the Newton-decrement analysis, the duality gap m/tm/tm/t along the central path, the per-centering work bound m(μ−1−log⁡μ)/γ+cm(\mu - 1 - \log\mu)/\gamma + cm(μ−1−logμ)/γ+c, and the crown result — with the aggressive schedule μ=1+1/m\mu = 1 + 1/\sqrt{m}μ=1+1/m​ the barrier method reaches duality gap ε\varepsilonε after

⌈m log⁡2(m/(t(0)ε))⌉\Bigl\lceil \sqrt{m}\,\log_2\bigl(m/(t^{(0)}\varepsilon)\bigr)\Bigr\rceil⌈m​log2​(m/(t(0)ε))⌉

centering steps, each of uniformly bounded Newton cost.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms XVI: Markov Decision Processes and UCRL2Textbook

The final step from bandits to reinforcement learning: actions now change the state of the world. Chapter 38 of Lattimore–Szepesvári studies online learning in an unknown Markov decision process with SSS states, AAA actions and rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The optimism principle of Mission II scales up: UCRL2 maintains confidence sets over transition kernels, solves an extended MDP by extended value iteration, and recomputes only when a state-action count doubles. The goal theorem: with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, R^n<C D(M) SAnlog⁡(nSA/δ)\hat R_n < C\,D(M)\,S\sqrt{An\log(nSA/\delta)}R^n​<CD(M)SAnlog(nSA/δ)​, where D(M)D(M)D(M) is the diameter of the MDP — sublinear regret with no prior knowledge of the dynamics. The matching lower bound E[R^n]≥C′DSAn\mathbb{E}[\hat R_n] \ge C'\sqrt{DSAn}E[R^n​]≥C′DSAn​ brackets the true complexity of tabular reinforcement learning up to DS\sqrt{DS}DS​.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine Learning·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms VII: Lower Bounds for Finite-Armed BanditsTextbook

How well can any algorithm possibly do? Chapters 13–17 of Lattimore–Szepesvári answer with three matching impossibility results. The divergence decomposition identifies the information a policy collects: D(Pνπ,Pν′π)=∑iE[Ti(n)]D(Pi,Pi′)D(\mathbb{P}_{\nu\pi}, \mathbb{P}_{\nu'\pi}) = \sum_i \mathbb{E}[T_i(n)] D(P_i, P_i')D(Pνπ​,Pν′π​)=∑i​E[Ti​(n)]D(Pi​,Pi′​). Feeding it into the Bretagnolle–Huber inequality of Mission VI yields the goal theorem — the minimax lower bound Rn≥127(k−1)nR_n \ge \frac{1}{27}\sqrt{(k-1)n}Rn​≥271​(k−1)n​ over Gaussian bandits, showing MOSS (Mission III) is optimal up to a constant. The same machinery gives the instance-dependent bound of Lai–Robbins type: every consistent policy suffers lim inf⁡nRn/log⁡n≥∑i:Δi>0Δi/dinf⁡(Pi,μ∗,Mi)\liminf_n R_n/\log n \ge \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} \Delta_i / d_{\inf}(P_i, \mu^*, \mathcal{M}_i)liminfn​Rn​/logn≥∑i:Δi​>0​Δi​/dinf​(Pi​,μ∗,Mi​), certifying the asymptotic optimality of the UCB of Mission III and KL-UCB of Mission IV, and a high-probability lower bound showing the Exp3-IX guarantees of Mission V cannot be improved.

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Discrete GeometryLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Selected Topics in Column Generation I: Discretization — Every Integer Point of a Rational Polyhedron Is a Generating Integer Point Plus an Integer Combination of Integer RaysResearch Paper

Motivation

Dantzig–Wolfe decomposition and column generation solve large integer programs by replacing a set of "easy" constraints with a description of its feasible points, and then pricing out the points one at a time. For linear programs this rests on the Minkowski–Weyl representation: every point of a polyhedron is a convex combination of its extreme points plus a nonnegative combination of its extreme rays. For integer programs that representation is not enough. Imposing integrality on the convex multipliers of the extreme points of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X) does not give back the integer program, because an optimal integer point may lie in the interior of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X).

Lübbecke and Desrosiers, in their survey Selected Topics in Column Generation (Operations Research 53(6), 2005), present discretization (Johnson 1989, Vanderbeck 2000) as the true integer analogue of the decomposition principle. Its basis is their Theorem 1: the integer points of a rational polyhedron are generated by finitely many integer points and finitely many integer rays with integer multipliers. The paper states this result and refers its proof to Nemhauser and Wolsey, Integer and Combinatorial Optimization (1988). It underlies the integer master problem (25) of branch-and-price.

Setting

Let DDD be an m×nm \times nm×n matrix and d\mathbf dd an mmm-vector with rational entries. The polyhedron is

P={x∈Rn∣Dx⩾d, x⩾0},P = \{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n \mid D\mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf d,\ \mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf 0\},P={x∈Rn∣Dx⩾d, x⩾0},

and its set of integer points is X=P∩ZnX = P \cap \mathbb Z^nX=P∩Zn, the points of PPP whose coordinates are all integers. Because P⊆R+nP \subseteq \mathbb R^n_+P⊆R+n​, X=P∩Z+nX = P \cap \mathbb Z^n_+X=P∩Z+n​.

The recession cone of PPP is {r∈Rn∣Dr⩾0, r⩾0}\{\mathbf r \in \mathbb R^n \mid D\mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0,\ \mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0\}{r∈Rn∣Dr⩾0, r⩾0}. An integer ray of PPP is a nonzero vector of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn in this cone. Extreme rays are not required.

In Lean these are polyhedronP D d, integerPoints D d, recessionConeP D and IsIntegerRay D w in the namespace Lubbecke2005.Discretization, with integer vectors cast to real vectors by castVec.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 1011–1012)

If P≠∅P \neq \emptysetP=∅, there exist a finite set of integer points {pq}q∈Q⊆X\{\mathbf p_q\}_{q \in Q} \subseteq X{pq​}q∈Q​⊆X and a finite set of integer rays {pr}r∈R\{\mathbf p_r\}_{r \in R}{pr​}r∈R​ of PPP such that

X={x∈R+n ∣ x=∑q∈Qpqλq+∑r∈Rprλr, ∑q∈Qλq=1, λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣}.(24)X = \Bigl\{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n_+ \ \Big|\ \mathbf x = \sum_{q \in Q} \mathbf p_q \lambda_q + \sum_{r \in R} \mathbf p_r \lambda_r,\ \sum_{q \in Q} \lambda_q = 1,\ \boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathbb Z_+^{|Q|+|R|}\Bigr\}. \qquad (24)X={x∈R+n​ ​ x=q∈Q∑​pq​λq​+r∈R∑​pr​λr​, q∈Q∑​λq​=1, λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣​}.(24)

Since the multipliers are nonnegative integers summing to one over QQQ, (24) says that XXX is the union, over q∈Qq \in Qq∈Q, of the translates pq+Z+{pr}r∈R\mathbf p_q + \mathbb Z_+\{\mathbf p_r\}_{r\in R}pq​+Z+​{pr​}r∈R​ of the monoid generated by the rays. No bound on ∣Q∣|Q|∣Q∣ or ∣R∣|R|∣R∣ is part of the goal.

Milestone: Remark in §3.3 (p. 1012)

If X⊆[0,1]nX \subseteq [0,1]^nX⊆[0,1]n, every point of XXX is a vertex of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X). In this case convexification and discretization coincide.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 converts an integer program min⁡{c(x)∣Ax⩾b, x∈X}\min\{c(\mathbf x) \mid A\mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf b,\ \mathbf x \in X\}min{c(x)∣Ax⩾b, x∈X} into the integer master program (25) over the multipliers λ\boldsymbol\lambdaλ, with one column per generating point and per generating ray. When XXX is bounded the rays disappear, exactly one λq\lambda_qλq​ equals one, and (25) is a linear integer program even for a nonlinear cost ccc. The representation is what makes branching on master variables, and the passage between compact and extensive formulations, well defined in branch-and-price.

Formalizing it. The result is classical (Nemhauser–Wolsey 1988, going back to Giles and Pulleyblank and to Meyer's theorem that the integer hull of a rational polyhedron is a polyhedron). On Prove2Me, the real representation (8) is formalized as LinearOptimization.polyhedron_resolution (Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis Thm 4.15) and the integer hull theorem as LinearOptimization.integer_hull_is_polyhedron (Thm 11.3); both are included as reference items. The convexification counterpart of §3.2, that the Lagrangian dual equals the LP over conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X), is LinearOptimization.lagrangean_dual_eq_lp_over_hull. No machine-checked statement of the integer representation (24), with integer multipliers and integer rays, was found on the platform. The mission produces that statement and, once solved, its proof.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt applies the real representation (8) and rounds. It fails twice. First, the extreme points of PPP need not be integral, and an integer point written as a real combination of vertices and rays has no reason to have integer multipliers. Second, the extreme rays of PPP generate the recession cone over R+\mathbb R_+R+​, but the integer points of that cone are not in general nonnegative integer combinations of the (scaled) extreme rays; a generating set of the lattice points of a cone must usually contain non-extreme vectors. The finiteness of QQQ is also not automatic: XXX itself is typically infinite, and taking Q=XQ = XQ=X trivializes the statement.

Rationality of the data is essential. For P={x∈R+2∣2 x1−x2⩾0}P = \{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^2_+ \mid \sqrt2\,x_1 - x_2 \geqslant 0\}P={x∈R+2​∣2​x1​−x2​⩾0}, every integer ray has slope below 2\sqrt 22​, so finitely many base points and rays generate only points with x2⩽ρx1+Cx_2 \leqslant \rho x_1 + Cx2​⩽ρx1​+C for some ρ<2\rho < \sqrt 2ρ<2​, while XXX contains (k,⌊2k⌋)(k, \lfloor\sqrt2 k\rfloor)(k,⌊2​k⌋) for every kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are Fin n → ℝ; integer vectors are Fin n → ℤ cast coordinatewise. Both sides of (24) are sets of real vectors.
  • DDD and d\mathbf dd are ℚ-valued and cast to ℝ. This is an addition: the paper names no field, and the theorem is false for irrational data (see Difficulty). The cited source, Nemhauser–Wolsey, works with rational data.
  • The hypothesis P≠∅P \neq \emptysetP=∅ is kept as on the page. XXX may still be empty (e.g. P={1/2}P = \{1/2\}P={1/2}); then Q=∅Q = \emptysetQ=∅ and both sides of (24) are empty. The statement allows this.
  • QQQ and RRR are Fin k and Fin l for existentially chosen k,l∈Nk, l \in \mathbb Nk,l∈N; the finiteness is the content of the theorem. The multiplier vector λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathbb Z_+^{|Q|+|R|}λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣​ is written as a pair of ℕ-valued vectors.
  • "Integer rays of PPP" is read as nonzero integer vectors in the recession cone {Dr⩾0,r⩾0}\{D\mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0, \mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0\}{Dr⩾0,r⩾0}; extremality is not required, as the page does not require it (contrast (8), which says "extreme rays").
  • The constraint x∈R+n\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n_+x∈R+n​ on the right side of (24) is kept although it is implied.
  • In the Remark, "vertices of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X)" is read as extreme points of the convex hull; XXX is finite there, so the two notions agree.

A formalization with real multipliers would be the resolution theorem (8), already on the platform, and one with QQQ or RRR infinite would be trivial; both are excluded by the statement.

Useful infrastructure: lattice points of rational polyhedral cones (Hilbert bases, Gordan's lemma), the integer hull theorem, and the real resolution theorem. A proof of Gordan's lemma for rational cones in this vocabulary would be reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. E. Lübbecke and J. Desrosiers, Selected Topics in Column Generation, Operations Research 53(6):1007–1023, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0234
  • G. L. Nemhauser and L. A. Wolsey, Integer and Combinatorial Optimization, Wiley, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118627372
  • R. R. Meyer, On the existence of optimal solutions to integer and mixed-integer programming problems, Mathematical Programming 7:223–235, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01585518
  • F. Vanderbeck, On Dantzig–Wolfe decomposition in integer programming and ways to perform branching in a branch-and-price algorithm, Operations Research 48(1):111–128, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.48.1.111.12453
  • A. Schrijver, Theory of Linear and Integer Programming, Wiley, 1986.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence IV: Asymptotic Optimality of the Track-and-Stop StrategyResearch Paper

Motivation

In best arm identification with fixed confidence, a learner samples KKK unknown distributions (arms) sequentially and must, as early as possible, name the arm with the largest mean, while being wrong with probability at most a prescribed risk δ\deltaδ. The problem models adaptive A/B/n testing, clinical and simulation-based selection among alternatives, and the "ranking and selection" problem of operations research and simulation optimization. The quantity of interest is the sample complexity Eμ[τδ]\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]Eμ​[τδ​], the expected number of samples a strategy takes before stopping.

Timeline of the question this mission formalizes:

  • Chernoff (1959) introduced sequential tests based on generalized likelihood ratios for adaptive design of experiments, with a finite set of hypotheses (doi:10.1214/aoms/1177706205).
  • Kaufmann, Cappé and Garivier (2016, JMLR) proved a change-of-measure lower bound on the sample complexity of every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy (arXiv:1407.4443).
  • Garivier and Kaufmann (COLT 2016) identified the exact constant T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) in that lower bound and gave the first strategy, Track-and-Stop, whose sample complexity matches it asymptotically as δ→0\delta\to0δ→0 (arXiv:1602.04589). This mission covers the upper-bound half of that paper.

Setting

A canonical one-parameter exponential family is a family of laws νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​, θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ, on R\mathbb RR with density exp⁡(θx−b(θ))\exp(\theta x-b(\theta))exp(θx−b(θ)) with respect to a reference measure ξ\xiξ; bbb is twice differentiable and strictly convex, and νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ has mean b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ). Bernoulli, Poisson and Gaussian laws with known variance are examples. The divergence d(μ,μ′)d(\mu,\mu')d(μ,μ′) is the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the members with means μ\muμ and μ′\mu'μ′.

A bandit model μ=(μ1,…,μK)\boldsymbol\mu=(\mu_1,\dots,\mu_K)μ=(μ1​,…,μK​) assigns a member of the family to each arm. The class S\mathcal SS consists of models with a unique optimal arm a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(μ). At each round t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,… the learner picks an arm AtA_tAt​ as a function of past observations, observes a reward drawn from that arm's law, and at a stopping time τδ\tau_\deltaτδ​ recommends an arm. Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is the number of draws of arm aaa in the first ttt rounds and μ^a(t)\hat\mu_a(t)μ^​a​(t) its empirical mean.

With Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)}\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)=\{\boldsymbol\lambda\in\mathcal S: a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda)\ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\}Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)=a∗(μ)} and ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ the probability simplex, the characteristic time is

T∗(μ)−1=sup⁡w∈ΣK inf⁡λ∈Alt(μ) ∑a=1Kwa d(μa,λa),T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)^{-1}=\sup_{w\in\Sigma_K}\ \inf_{\boldsymbol\lambda\in\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)}\ \sum_{a=1}^K w_a\,d(\mu_a,\lambda_a),T∗(μ)−1=w∈ΣK​sup​ λ∈Alt(μ)inf​ a=1∑K​wa​d(μa​,λa​),

and the maximizer w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) are the optimal proportions of arm draws.

Track-and-Stop combines two ingredients:

  • a sampling rule that tracks the plug-in proportions w∗(μ^(t))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))w∗(μ^​(t)) while forcing each arm to be drawn about t\sqrt tt​ times: C-Tracking tracks the cumulated sum of projections of w∗(μ^(s))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(s))w∗(μ^​(s)) onto ΣKϵs={w∈ΣK:wa≥ϵs}\Sigma^{\epsilon_s}_K=\{w\in\Sigma_K: w_a\ge\epsilon_s\}ΣKϵs​​={w∈ΣK​:wa​≥ϵs​}, ϵs=(K2+s)−1/2/2\epsilon_s=(K^2+s)^{-1/2}/2ϵs​=(K2+s)−1/2/2; D-Tracking draws an under-sampled arm when some Na(t)<t−K/2N_a(t)<\sqrt t-K/2Na​(t)<t​−K/2, and otherwise the arm maximizing t wa∗(μ^(t))−Na(t)t\,w^*_a(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))-N_a(t)twa∗​(μ^​(t))−Na​(t);
  • Chernoff's stopping rule, which stops at the first ttt at which some arm aaa beats every other arm bbb in a generalized likelihood ratio test, Za,b(t)>β(t,δ)Z_{a,b}(t)>\beta(t,\delta)Za,b​(t)>β(t,δ), here with β(t,δ)=log⁡(r(t)/δ)\beta(t,\delta)=\log(r(t)/\delta)β(t,δ)=log(r(t)/δ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14 (p. 13)

For α∈[1,e/2]\alpha\in[1,e/2]α∈[1,e/2] and r(t)=O(tα)r(t)=O(t^\alpha)r(t)=O(tα), Chernoff's stopping rule with β(t,δ)=log⁡(r(t)/δ)\beta(t,\delta)=\log(r(t)/\delta)β(t,δ)=log(r(t)/δ) combined with C-Tracking or D-Tracking satisfies

lim sup⁡δ→0Eμ[τδ]log⁡(1/δ)≤α T∗(μ)\limsup_{\delta\to0}\frac{\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]}{\log(1/\delta)}\le\alpha\,T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)δ→0limsup​log(1/δ)Eμ​[τδ​]​≤αT∗(μ)

for every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu\in\mathcal Sμ∈S.

Milestones

  • Lemma 15 (p. 20): greedy tracking of cumulated proportions P(k)P(k)P(k) keeps max⁡i∣Ni(n)−Pi(n)∣≤K−1\max_i|N_i(n)-P_i(n)|\le K-1maxi​∣Ni​(n)−Pi​(n)∣≤K−1.
  • Lemma 7 (p. 7): C-Tracking ensures Na(t)≥t+K2−2KN_a(t)\ge\sqrt{t+K^2}-2KNa​(t)≥t+K2​−2K and max⁡a∣Na(t)−∑s<twa∗(μ^(s))∣≤K(1+t)\max_a|N_a(t)-\sum_{s<t}w^*_a(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(s))|\le K(1+\sqrt t)maxa​∣Na​(t)−∑s<t​wa∗​(μ^​(s))∣≤K(1+t​).
  • Lemma 8 (p. 7): D-Tracking ensures Na(t)≥(t−K/2)+−1N_a(t)\ge(\sqrt t-K/2)_+-1Na​(t)≥(t​−K/2)+​−1, and proportions within 3(K−1)ϵ3(K-1)\epsilon3(K−1)ϵ of w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) after a time tϵt_\epsilontϵ​ that does not depend on the trajectory, once the plug-in targets are within ϵ\epsilonϵ.
  • Proposition 9 (p. 8): under either rule, Na(t)/t→wa∗(μ)N_a(t)/t\to w^*_a(\boldsymbol\mu)Na​(t)/t→wa∗​(μ) almost surely.
  • Lemma 18 (p. 27): an explicit xxx with c1x≥log⁡(c2xα)c_1x\ge\log(c_2x^\alpha)c1​x≥log(c2​xα) for α∈[1,e/2]\alpha\in[1,e/2]α∈[1,e/2].
  • Proposition 13 (p. 11): with any sampling rule whose proportions converge almost surely to w∗w^*w∗, τδ<∞\tau_\delta<\inftyτδ​<∞ almost surely and lim sup⁡δ→0τδ/log⁡(1/δ)≤αT∗(μ)\limsup_{\delta\to0}\tau_\delta/\log(1/\delta)\le\alpha T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)limsupδ→0​τδ​/log(1/δ)≤αT∗(μ) almost surely.

Significance

Theorem 1 of the same paper shows Eμ[τδ]≥T∗(μ) kl(δ,1−δ)\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]\ge T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\,\mathrm{kl}(\delta,1-\delta)Eμ​[τδ​]≥T∗(μ)kl(δ,1−δ) for every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy, and kl(δ,1−δ)∼log⁡(1/δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta,1-\delta)\sim\log(1/\delta)kl(δ,1−δ)∼log(1/δ). Theorem 14 with α=1\alpha=1α=1 therefore shows that the lower bound is attained: T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) is the exact asymptotic sample complexity of best arm identification in exponential family models, and Track-and-Stop is asymptotically optimal.

The result is proved in the paper. What is not available is a machine-checked proof for exponential families. The platform already holds a Lean development of the Gaussian case following Lattimore and Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Ch. 33, stated for one existentially chosen policy with a different threshold. This mission asks for the universal statement: every run of either tracking rule, for every exponential family, with the paper's thresholds. The tracking lemmas (Lemmas 15, 7, 8) are deterministic combinatorics and reusable by any tracking-based algorithm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument plugs the almost-sure behaviour of Proposition 13 into an expectation. That step fails: almost-sure convergence of τδ/log⁡(1/δ)\tau_\delta/\log(1/\delta)τδ​/log(1/δ) does not control E[τδ]\mathbb E[\tau_\delta]E[τδ​], because on the rare events where the empirical means are far from μ\boldsymbol\muμ the stopping time may be very large. Theorem 14 needs a quantitative concentration of μ^(t)\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)μ^​(t) on events whose complements have summable probability, which in turn relies on the forced exploration guaranteed by the t\sqrt tt​ lower bounds on Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) (the concentration step of App. D, Lemmas 19–20).

A second obstacle is the regularity of w∗w^*w∗: the tracking lemmas only transfer convergence of μ^(t)\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)μ^​(t) to convergence of Na(t)/tN_a(t)/tNa​(t)/t through the continuity of μ↦w∗(μ)\boldsymbol\mu\mapsto w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)μ↦w∗(μ) on S\mathcal SS, proved from the characterization of w∗w^*w∗ in §2.2 (Proposition 6). The GLR statistic also needs its closed form (7) near μ\boldsymbol\muμ, which requires the empirical means to lie in the interior of the mean space.

Formalization scope

  • Model. The exponential family is a structure (ξ,Θ,b)(\xi,\Theta,b)(ξ,Θ,b) with Θ\ThetaΘ a nonempty open interval, each νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ normalized, bbb twice continuously differentiable and b¨>0\ddot b>0b¨>0 on Θ\ThetaΘ. Openness and b¨>0\ddot b>0b¨>0 are added to the paper's "convex, twice differentiable"; strict convexity is what makes νμ\nu^\muνμ unique. Bandit models are parameter vectors θ∈ΘK\theta\in\Theta^Kθ∈ΘK with K≥2K\ge2K≥2; arms are indexed 0,…,K−10,\dots,K-10,…,K−1. S\mathcal SS is the set of parameter vectors with a unique arm of largest mean b˙(θa)\dot b(\theta_a)b˙(θa​).
  • Protocol. Policies, the trajectory law Pμ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}Pμ​, pull counts, empirical means and T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) are the platform's published definitions (BanditPolicy, BanditTrajectory, TrackAndStop). T∗T^*T∗ uses Kullback–Leibler divergences of the arm laws over the class S\mathcal SS and takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Trajectory coordinate ttt is round t+1t+1t+1. An arm never drawn has empirical mean 000.
  • Target map. w∗(μ^(t))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))w∗(μ^​(t)) is undefined in the paper when μ^(t)∉S\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)\notin\mathcal Sμ^​(t)∈/S (an unsampled arm, ties, a mean outside b˙(Θ)\dot b(\Theta)b˙(Θ)). Every tracking statement quantifies over every target map with values in ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ that returns optimal proportions on S\mathcal SS, over every choice of L∞L^\inftyL∞ projections, and over every tie-breaking, including randomized ones.
  • Stopping rule. The two maxima in Za,b(t)Z_{a,b}(t)Za,b​(t) are suprema over Θ\ThetaΘ in the extended reals. Za,b(t)>βZ_{a,b}(t)>\betaZa,b​(t)>β is written without subtracting infinities. The stopping time is the first t≥1t\ge1t≥1 at which the test succeeds, +∞+\infty+∞ if none. "r(t)=O(tα)r(t)=O(t^\alpha)r(t)=O(tα)" is r(t)≤Dtαr(t)\le Dt^\alphar(t)≤Dtα for t≥1t\ge1t≥1; r>0r>0r>0 is added so that log⁡(r(t)/δ)\log(r(t)/\delta)log(r(t)/δ) is defined.
  • Values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Expectations of τδ\tau_\deltaτδ​, the ratios and T∗T^*T∗ live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. No statement converts them to reals, so an infinite expected stopping time is never read as 000.
  • Corrections, disclosed. Proposition 9's printed Pw\mathbb P_wPw​ is Pμ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}Pμ​. Lemma 18 adds c2/c1α>1c_2/c_1^\alpha>1c2​/c1α​>1 and x>0x>0x>0, without which its expressions are undefined.
  • Ruled out. Specializing to Gaussian arms, or asserting that some sampling policy achieves the bound, would restate existing platform results and is not this theorem: the goal is about every C-Tracking or D-Tracking run in every exponential family.
  • Welcome contributions. Exponential-family facts (b˙\dot bb˙ is the mean, the KL formula, concentration of empirical means); the continuity of w∗w^*w∗ (Proposition 6, App. A.3); Lemma 17 (App. B.2), from which Lemma 8 follows; the closed form (7) of the GLR statistic.

Selected references

  • A. Garivier, E. Kaufmann, Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence, COLT 2016, JMLR W&CP 49. arXiv:1602.04589v2
  • E. Kaufmann, O. Cappé, A. Garivier, On the Complexity of Best-Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Models, JMLR 17, 2016. arXiv:1407.4443
  • H. Chernoff, Sequential Design of Experiments, Ann. Math. Statist. 30(3), 1959. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177706205
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Ch. 33. doi:10.1017/9781108571401
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Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence I: Non-Asymptotic Lower Bound on the Sample ComplexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Best arm identification with fixed confidence is the pure-exploration counterpart of the multi-armed bandit problem. A learner faces KKK unknown reward distributions ("arms"), samples them sequentially, and must stop and name the arm with the largest mean, being wrong with probability at most a prescribed δ\deltaδ. The question is how many samples this requires. It arises in adaptive A/B testing, in the selection of the best of several simulated systems (ranking and selection in simulation optimization), and in clinical trials that must declare the best treatment with a guaranteed error rate.

Lower bounds for this problem were first stated in terms of the gaps between means (Mannor and Tsitsiklis, 2004). Kaufmann, Cappé and Garivier (2016) replaced ad hoc changes of measure by a single "transportation" lemma relating expected sample counts, Kullback–Leibler divergences and the error probability. Garivier and Kaufmann (COLT 2016, arXiv:1602.04589v2) combine this lemma over all alternative models at once, in the spirit of Graves and Lai (1997), and obtain a lower bound whose constant T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) is exactly matched, as δ→0\delta \to 0δ→0, by their Track-and-Stop strategy. This mission formalizes that lower bound (Theorem 1 of the paper, p. 3).

Setting

A canonical one-parameter exponential family is given by a reference measure ξ\xiξ on R\mathbb RR, an open interval Θ⊂R\Theta \subset \mathbb RΘ⊂R and a function bbb, twice continuously differentiable on Θ\ThetaΘ with b¨>0\ddot b > 0b¨>0, such that the laws νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ with density exp⁡(θx−b(θ))\exp(\theta x - b(\theta))exp(θx−b(θ)) with respect to ξ\xiξ are probability measures for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ. The mean of νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ is b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ). Bernoulli laws and Gaussian laws of known variance are examples.

A bandit model is a vector θ=(θ1,…,θK)∈ΘK\theta = (\theta_1, \dots, \theta_K) \in \Theta^Kθ=(θ1​,…,θK​)∈ΘK; arm aaa returns i.i.d. rewards with law νθa\nu_{\theta_a}νθa​​ and mean μa=b˙(θa)\mu_a = \dot b(\theta_a)μa​=b˙(θa​). Arm a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(μ) is the unique optimal arm if μa∗>μa\mu_{a^*} > \mu_aμa∗​>μa​ for every a≠a∗a \ne a^*a=a∗. Let S\mathcal SS be any set of bandit models of the family each having a unique optimal arm, and put Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)}\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu) = \{\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathcal S : a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda) \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\}Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)=a∗(μ)}.

A strategy consists of a sampling rule π\piπ (the arm AtA_tAt​ drawn at round ttt depends, possibly with extra randomization, on the first t−1t - 1t−1 observations), a stopping time τ\tauτ of the natural filtration Ft=σ(A1,X1,…,At,Xt)\mathcal F_t = \sigma(A_1, X_1, \dots, A_t, X_t)Ft​=σ(A1​,X1​,…,At​,Xt​), and an Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable decision a^τ\hat a_\taua^τ​. It is δ\deltaδ-PAC on S\mathcal SS if for every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu \in \mathcal Sμ∈S, Pμ(τ<∞)=1\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}(\tau < \infty) = 1Pμ​(τ<∞)=1 and Pμ(a^τ≠a∗(μ))≤δ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}(\hat a_\tau \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)) \le \deltaPμ​(a^τ​=a∗(μ))≤δ. Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is the number of draws of arm aaa among the first ttt rounds.

Write d(μa,λa)=KL(νθa,νλa)d(\mu_a, \lambda_a) = \mathrm{KL}(\nu_{\theta_a}, \nu_{\lambda_a})d(μa​,λa​)=KL(νθa​​,νλa​​) for the divergence between two arm laws, kl(x,y)=xlog⁡xy+(1−x)log⁡1−x1−y\mathrm{kl}(x, y) = x\log\frac{x}{y} + (1 - x)\log\frac{1 - x}{1 - y}kl(x,y)=xlogyx​+(1−x)log1−y1−x​, and ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ for the probability simplex on the KKK arms. The characteristic time is defined by eq. (1):

T∗(μ)−1=sup⁡w∈ΣK inf⁡λ∈Alt(μ)∑a=1Kwa d(μa,λa).T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)^{-1} = \sup_{w \in \Sigma_K}\ \inf_{\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)} \sum_{a=1}^K w_a\, d(\mu_a, \lambda_a).T∗(μ)−1=w∈ΣK​sup​ λ∈Alt(μ)inf​a=1∑K​wa​d(μa​,λa​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 3)

For δ∈(0,1/2]\delta \in (0, 1/2]δ∈(0,1/2], every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy on S\mathcal SS and every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu \in \mathcal Sμ∈S,

Eμ[τ] ≥ T∗(μ) kl(δ,1−δ).\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau] \ \ge\ T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\,\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta).Eμ​[τ] ≥ T∗(μ)kl(δ,1−δ).

The statement fixes no constant beyond those of the paper, and it holds for every δ\deltaδ, not only in the limit.

Milestone: eq. (2) (p. 4)

For every λ∈S\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathcal Sλ∈S with a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda) \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(λ)=a∗(μ),

∑a=1Kd(μa,λa) Eμ[Na(τ)] ≥ kl(δ,1−δ).\sum_{a=1}^K d(\mu_a, \lambda_a)\, \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[N_a(\tau)] \ \ge\ \mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta).a=1∑K​d(μa​,λa​)Eμ​[Na​(τ)] ≥ kl(δ,1−δ).

This is Lemma 1 of Kaufmann et al. (2016), which the paper quotes without proof; Theorem 1 follows from it for every alternative simultaneously.

Significance

Theorem 1 identifies T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) as the exact problem-dependent complexity of fixed-confidence best arm identification: since kl(δ,1−δ)∼log⁡(1/δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta) \sim \log(1/\delta)kl(δ,1−δ)∼log(1/δ), it gives lim inf⁡δ→0Eμ[τδ]/log⁡(1/δ)≥T∗(μ)\liminf_{\delta \to 0} \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]/\log(1/\delta) \ge T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)liminfδ→0​Eμ​[τδ​]/log(1/δ)≥T∗(μ), and the paper's Track-and-Stop strategy attains this rate (the subject of mission IV of this series). The bound also explains which proportions of draws an optimal strategy must use: the maximizer w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) of eq. (1) (mission II).

Both results are proved in the literature. Neither is formalized in the paper's generality. The platform holds the textbook form of Lattimore and Szepesvári (Theorem 33.5), which is stated for an arbitrary class with the weaker constant log⁡(1/(4δ))\log(1/(4\delta))log(1/(4δ)); for δ≤1/2\delta \le 1/2δ≤1/2, kl(δ,1−δ)≥log⁡(1/(2.4δ))>log⁡(1/(4δ))\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta) \ge \log(1/(2.4\delta)) > \log(1/(4\delta))kl(δ,1−δ)≥log(1/(2.4δ))>log(1/(4δ)), so Theorem 1 is strictly stronger. A formal proof here yields the transportation lemma for exponential families on the platform's infinite-horizon bandit model, which later missions (II–IV, and any lower bound by change of measure) can reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious proof applies the finite-horizon divergence decomposition KL(Pμn,Pλn)=∑aEμ[Na(n)] d(μa,λa)\mathrm{KL}(\mathbb P^n_{\boldsymbol\mu}, \mathbb P^n_{\boldsymbol\lambda}) = \sum_a \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[N_a(n)]\,d(\mu_a, \lambda_a)KL(Pμn​,Pλn​)=∑a​Eμ​[Na​(n)]d(μa​,λa​) at a deterministic horizon nnn. That fails here: τ\tauτ is random and unbounded, the decision is Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable, and the relevant divergence is between the laws of the stopped observations. The step from a fixed horizon to a stopping time, together with the data-processing inequality that turns the error guarantees under two models into kl(δ,1−δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta)kl(δ,1−δ), is the central difficulty. A second, smaller difficulty is to identify the paper's divergence ddd and its means b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ) with the measure-theoretic KL divergence and mean of the arm laws of the exponential family.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace OptimalBAI.LowerBound. The bandit protocol is the platform's (BanditAlgorithm.BanditPolicy, banditTrajMeasure, IsBanditStoppingTime, IsSoundBAI, baiComplexity); kl\mathrm{kl}kl is the platform's bernoulliRelativeEntropy and Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is trajPullCount. Conventions:

  • arms are Fin K, 0-based (the paper's arm aaa is index a−1a - 1a−1); trajectory coordinate ttt is round t+1t + 1t+1;
  • Θ\ThetaΘ is a nonempty open interval and b¨>0\ddot b > 0b¨>0 on Θ\ThetaΘ (added: the paper says bbb is convex and twice differentiable; strict convexity is what makes "the unique distribution with mean μ\muμ" meaningful); the paper's ddd is written as the KL divergence of the arm laws (its first equality on p. 3), and the unique optimal arm is defined through the parameter means b˙(θa)\dot b(\theta_a)b˙(θa​);
  • S\mathcal SS is an arbitrary set of models with a unique optimal arm, not the specific set the paper fixes from p. 4 on;
  • δ\deltaδ-PAC keeps both halves of the paper's definition (almost-sure stopping and error at most δ\deltaδ);
  • T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ), divergences and expectations of τ\tauτ take values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], never truncated to reals; T∗=0T^* = 0T∗=0 when Alt(μ)=∅\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu) = \emptysetAlt(μ)=∅ and T∗=∞T^* = \inftyT∗=∞ when the supremum in eq. (1) is 000;
  • δ≤1/2\delta \le 1/2δ≤1/2 is added. The paper states δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0, 1)δ∈(0,1), but the theorem and eq. (2) are false for δ∈(1/2,1)\delta \in (1/2, 1)δ∈(1/2,1): with two unit-variance Gaussian arms, drawing arm 1 once and naming arm 1 exactly when the fractional part of the reward is below 1/21/21/2 is 0.90.90.9-PAC, while T∗(μ)→∞T^*(\boldsymbol\mu) \to \inftyT∗(μ)→∞ as the two means merge. At δ=1/2\delta = 1/2δ=1/2 the bound is 000.

A statement with log⁡(1/(4δ))\log(1/(4\delta))log(1/(4δ)) in place of kl(δ,1−δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta)kl(δ,1−δ), or restricted to Gaussian arms, is the platform's existing textbook theorem and does not count as this mission's goal; nor does any version that drops the almost-sure stopping clause or truncates E[τ]\mathbb E[\tau]E[τ] or T∗T^*T∗ to real numbers.

Needed infrastructure: the transportation lemma at a stopping time (data processing for KL through an Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable event, Wald-type identity for the stopped log-likelihood ratio), the identities "mean of νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ =b˙(θ)= \dot b(\theta)=b˙(θ)" and "KL of two family members =b(θ′)−b(θ)−b˙(θ)(θ′−θ)= b(\theta') - b(\theta) - \dot b(\theta)(\theta' - \theta)=b(θ′)−b(θ)−b˙(θ)(θ′−θ)", and E[τ]=∑aE[Na(τ)]\mathbb E[\tau] = \sum_a \mathbb E[N_a(\tau)]E[τ]=∑a​E[Na​(τ)]. All are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these lemmas, of eq. (2) alone, or of the Gaussian and Bernoulli special cases as stepping stones are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Garivier, E. Kaufmann, Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence, COLT 2016 (JMLR W&CP 49), arXiv:1602.04589v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.04589
  • E. Kaufmann, O. Cappé, A. Garivier, On the Complexity of Best-Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Models, Journal of Machine Learning Research 17(1), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.4443
  • T. L. Graves, T. L. Lai, Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Choice of Control Laws in Controlled Markov Chains, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 35(3), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012994275440
  • S. Mannor, J. N. Tsitsiklis, The Sample Complexity of Exploration in the Multi-Armed Bandit Problem, Journal of Machine Learning Research 5, 2004. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v5/mannor04b.html
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapter 33. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits II: Constant High-Probability Regret of UCB(δ)Research Paper

Motivation

The stochastic multi-armed bandit is the basic model of sequential decision making under uncertainty: a learner repeatedly chooses one of ddd actions, observes a noisy reward for the chosen action only, and must balance exploring poorly known actions against exploiting the one that currently looks best. It underlies adaptive clinical trials, online advertising, recommendation, dynamic pricing and many simulation-optimization procedures in operations research.

The standard algorithm is UCB (Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer, 2002, doi:10.1023/A:1013689704352), which plays the arm with the largest upper confidence bound on its mean. Its confidence widths grow with the current time ttt (or with a horizon nnn fixed in advance), and its guarantee is on the expected regret, which grows like log⁡n\log nlogn. Lai and Robbins (1985, doi:10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8) showed that logarithmic growth of the expected regret cannot be avoided by a consistent algorithm.

Abbasi-Yadkori, Pál and Szepesvári (NIPS 2011) proved a self-normalized concentration inequality for vector-valued martingales that holds uniformly over time. Section 6 of their paper applies it to the ddd-armed bandit. The resulting confidence intervals depend on neither the horizon nor the current time. The UCB variant built on them, UCB(δ\deltaδ), has pseudo-regret bounded by a constant, independent of the horizon, on a single event of probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ. This mission formalizes that section.

Setting

There are d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 arms with unknown means μ1,…,μd∈R\mu_1, \dots, \mu_d \in \mathbb Rμ1​,…,μd​∈R. Write μ∗=max⁡1≤i≤dμi\mu_* = \max_{1 \le i \le d} \mu_iμ∗​=max1≤i≤d​μi​ for the best mean and Δi=μ∗−μi≥0\Delta_i = \mu_* - \mu_i \ge 0Δi​=μ∗​−μi​≥0 for the gap of arm iii.

Randomness lives on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) with a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t \ge 0}(Ft​)t≥0​. In round t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the learner plays an arm ItI_tIt​ that is Ft−1\mathcal F_{t-1}Ft−1​-measurable and receives the reward μIt+ηt\mu_{I_t} + \eta_tμIt​​+ηt​. The noise ηt\eta_tηt​ is Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable and conditionally 1-sub-Gaussian:

E[eληt∣Ft−1]≤eλ2/2for all λ∈R.\mathbf E\left[e^{\lambda\eta_t} \mid \mathcal F_{t-1}\right] \le e^{\lambda^2/2} \qquad \text{for all } \lambda \in \mathbb R .E[eληt​∣Ft−1​]≤eλ2/2for all λ∈R.

The noise need not be independent or identically distributed across rounds, and the rewards need not be bounded.

After ttt rounds, Ni,tN_{i,t}Ni,t​ is the number of plays of arm iii and X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​ is the average reward received from it. For a confidence level δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 the confidence width is

ci,t=1+Ni,tNi,t2(1+2log⁡d (1+Ni,t)1/2δ)(3)c_{i,t} = \sqrt{\frac{1 + N_{i,t}}{N_{i,t}^2}\left(1 + 2\log\frac{d\,(1 + N_{i,t})^{1/2}}{\delta}\right)} \qquad (3)ci,t​=Ni,t2​1+Ni,t​​(1+2logδd(1+Ni,t​)1/2​)​(3)

with ci,t=+∞c_{i,t} = +\inftyci,t​=+∞ when Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0. UCB(δ\deltaδ) plays, in round ttt, an arm that maximizes X‾i,t−1+ci,t−1\overline X_{i,t-1} + c_{i,t-1}Xi,t−1​+ci,t−1​; in particular every arm is played once before any comparison is made. The pseudo-regret after nnn rounds is

Rn=∑t=1n(μ∗−μIt).R_n = \sum_{t=1}^n \left(\mu_* - \mu_{I_t}\right).Rn​=t=1∑n​(μ∗​−μIt​​).

This is the linear bandit of the paper with the standard basis of Rd\mathbb R^dRd as decision set and θ∗=μ\theta_* = \muθ∗​=μ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7 (constant regret of UCB(δ\deltaδ))

For every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 simultaneously,

Rn≤∑i:Δi>0(3Δi+16Δilog⁡2dΔiδ).R_n \le \sum_{i : \Delta_i > 0}\left(3\Delta_i + \frac{16}{\Delta_i}\log\frac{2d}{\Delta_i\delta}\right).Rn​≤i:Δi​>0∑​(3Δi​+Δi​16​logΔi​δ2d​).

The right-hand side depends only on the gaps, ddd and δ\deltaδ.

Milestone: Lemma 6 (confidence intervals)

For any adapted choice of arms (not only UCB(δ\deltaδ)) and every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ,

∣X‾i,t−μi∣≤ci,tfor all arms i and all t≥0.|\overline X_{i,t} - \mu_i| \le c_{i,t} \qquad \text{for all arms } i \text{ and all } t \ge 0 .∣Xi,t​−μi​∣≤ci,t​for all arms i and all t≥0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7 shows that, once a confidence level is fixed, a UCB-type algorithm can stop paying for exploration after finitely many rounds: with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ the total regret over an infinite horizon is bounded. The paper notes that this does not contradict the Lai–Robbins lower bound, which concerns expected regret; on the failure event of probability δ\deltaδ the regret may grow linearly. Lemma 6 is the practical content behind this: anytime-valid confidence intervals for adaptively sampled means under martingale noise, usable for stopping rules, best-arm identification and any sequential procedure that inspects its estimates at data-dependent times.

Formalizing it. Both results are proved in the paper's appendices (F and G). No machine-checked proof of either is known to exist. The platform already has the self-normalized martingale bound for V=λIV = \lambda IV=λI and unit sub-Gaussian noise (BanditAlgorithm.self_normalized_martingale_bound, listed here as a reference item), and UCB bounds with horizon-dependent widths and in-expectation or pathwise conclusions. Neither is Theorem 7. The mission produces a formal account of time-uniform confidence intervals for adaptively sampled arm means, and of a regret bound that is uniform in the horizon.

Difficulty

Two points separate this from textbook UCB analyses. First, the number of samples Ni,tN_{i,t}Ni,t​ of an arm is itself random and depends on past noise, so a fixed-sample concentration inequality with a union bound over times does not give widths that are free of ttt: a union bound over all ttt costs a factor that diverges. The time-uniform event must come from a maximal (self-normalized) inequality applied to the martingale ∑sηs1{Is=i}\sum_s \eta_s \mathbf 1\{I_s = i\}∑s​ηs​1{Is​=i}. Second, the regret statement is uniform in nnn with constants depending on the gaps; converting a condition of the form "c(N)≥Δi/2c(N) \ge \Delta_i/2c(N)≥Δi​/2" into an explicit bound on NNN requires solving an inequality in which NNN appears both polynomially and inside a logarithm, and the explicit constants 333 and 161616 must come out of that step.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace ImprovedLinBandits.UCBDelta.

  • Arms are Fin d with 0 < d in the goal; means are μ : Fin d → ℝ, μ∗\mu_*μ∗​ is ⨆ i, μ i (the maximum over a nonempty finite type).
  • Rounds are indexed t + 1 for t : ℕ: the arm I (t + 1) is ℱ t-measurable, the noise η (t + 1) is ℱ (t + 1)-measurable and satisfies Mathlib's HasCondSubgaussianMGF (ℱ t) … (η (t + 1)) 1 P. Values at index 000 are unused.
  • The sample space is assumed to be a standard Borel space, which Mathlib's conditional sub-Gaussianity requires; this hypothesis is not in the paper.
  • "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all …" is stated as: the outer probability of the failure event, with the quantifiers over arms and times inside it, is at most δ\deltaδ. For δ≥1\delta \ge 1δ≥1 the statements are trivially true, as in the paper.
  • The rule (4) is read with the statistics of rounds 1,…,t−11, \dots, t-11,…,t−1, because the printed X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​, ci,tc_{i,t}ci,t​ already count round ttt. An unplayed arm, whose width is +∞+\infty+∞ in the paper, is played before the indices are compared. Every tie-breaking rule is allowed, and measurability of the chosen arm is assumed rather than derived.
  • The printed Theorem 7 has no quantifier on nnn; it is formalized in the uniform-in-nnn form, matching the section's claim of constant regret and the time-uniform event of Lemma 6.
  • Lean's division by zero makes X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​ and ci,tc_{i,t}ci,t​ equal to 000 when Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0. Lemma 6 therefore excludes Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0 explicitly (where the paper's inequality is vacuous), and the run predicate handles unplayed arms separately. The regret bound sums over arms with Δi>0\Delta_i > 0Δi​>0, so its divisions are well defined.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the confidence event is not assumed as a hypothesis of Theorem 7, the i.i.d. bandit model is not substituted for the martingale noise model, and no bound on the means or rewards is imposed.

Useful infrastructure for solvers: the self-normalized bound of Theorem 1 in the scalar case (d=1d = 1d=1, λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1, As=1{Is=i}A_s = \mathbf 1\{I_s = i\}As​=1{Is​=i}, V‾t=1+Ni,t\overline V_t = 1 + N_{i,t}Vt​=1+Ni,t​), a union bound over arms, and elementary inequalities inverting N↦1+NN2(1+2log⁡(d1+N/δ))N \mapsto \frac{1+N}{N^2}(1 + 2\log(d\sqrt{1+N}/\delta))N↦N21+N​(1+2log(d1+N​/δ)). Lemmas about pull counts and empirical means under adaptive sampling are reusable beyond this mission and are welcome as contributions.

Selected references

  • Y. Abbasi-Yadkori, D. Pál, Cs. Szepesvári, Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 24 (NIPS), 2011. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2011/hash/e1d5be1c7f2f456670de3d53c7b54f4a-Abstract.html
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, P. Fischer, Finite-time Analysis of the Multiarmed Bandit Problem, Machine Learning 47, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013689704352
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Allocation Rules, Advances in Applied Mathematics 6, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8
  • J.-Y. Audibert, R. Munos, Cs. Szepesvári, Exploration–exploitation tradeoff using variance estimates in multi-armed bandits, Theoretical Computer Science 410, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcs.2009.01.016
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Complexity TheoryLinear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Some NP-Complete Problems in Quadratic and Nonlinear Programming: Copositivity Testing Is NP-Hard via Subset SumResearch Paper

Motivation

Nonlinear programming algorithms are routinely advertised as finding a local minimum. Most of them only certify first-order conditions (a KKT point), and the natural next question is whether a given feasible point is in fact a local minimum. For smooth problems where the Hessian is nonsingular this is a second-order test, but in the degenerate case the test itself becomes a combinatorial question about a quadratic form restricted to a cone.

K. G. Murty and S. N. Kabadi (Math. Programming 39 (1987) 117–129) showed that this question is intractable already in its simplest instance: deciding whether x=0x = 0x=0 is a local minimum of a quadratic form xTDxx^{\mathsf T}DxxTDx on the nonnegative orthant is NP-complete, and so is deciding whether a square integer matrix is copositive. The paper is the standard reference for the hardness of copositivity testing, which matters for copositive programming, for second-order optimality checks in constrained optimization, and for the complexity of local search in nonconvex optimization.

Setting

Let DDD be a real square matrix of order nnn and Q(x)=xTDxQ(x) = x^{\mathsf T}DxQ(x)=xTDx. The matrix DDD is copositive if Q(x)≥0Q(x) \ge 0Q(x)≥0 for every x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 (coordinatewise). The paper considers the quadratic program

(7)minimize Q(x)subject to x≥0,\text{(7)}\qquad \text{minimize } Q(x) \quad \text{subject to } x \ge 0,(7)minimize Q(x)subject to x≥0,

and the following questions, each phrased so that "yes" is the interesting answer:

  • Problem 1. Is x=0x = 0x=0 not a local minimum of (7)?
  • Problem 2. Is QQQ not bounded below on {x≥0}\{x \ge 0\}{x≥0}?
  • Problem 3. Is there an x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 with Q(x)<0Q(x) < 0Q(x)<0 (is DDD not copositive)?
  • Problem 4. Given a0>0a_0 > 0a0​>0, is there an x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 with eTx=a0e^{\mathsf T}x = a_0eTx=a0​ and Q(x)<0Q(x) < 0Q(x)<0? Here eee is the all-ones vector.
  • Problems 11, 12. With h(u)=(u12,…,un2) D (u12,…,un2)Th(u) = (u_1^2, \dots, u_n^2)\,D\,(u_1^2, \dots, u_n^2)^{\mathsf T}h(u)=(u12​,…,un2​)D(u12​,…,un2​)T, the objective of the unconstrained problem (15): is u=0u = 0u=0 not a local minimum of hhh on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and is hhh not bounded below?

The source problem is subset sum (Problem 5): given positive integers d0;d1,…,dnd_0; d_1, \dots, d_nd0​;d1​,…,dn​, is there y∈{0,1}ny \in \{0,1\}^ny∈{0,1}n with ∑jdjyj=d0\sum_j d_j y_j = d_0∑j​dj​yj​=d0​? Let lll be the total number of digits in the data. The paper fixes an integer δ>4(d0∑jdj)2n3\delta > 4\big(d_0\sum_j d_j\big)^2 n^3δ>4(d0​∑j​dj​)2n3 and a rational ε\varepsilonε with 0<ε<2−nl20 < \varepsilon < 2^{-nl^2}0<ε<2−nl2, and defines functions of 2n2n2n nonnegative variables (y,s)(y, s)(y,s):

f1(y,s)=(∑jdjyj−d0)2+δ∑j(yj+sj−1)2+∑jyjsj,f_1(y,s) = \Big(\sum_j d_j y_j - d_0\Big)^2 + \delta\sum_j (y_j + s_j - 1)^2 + \sum_j y_j s_j,f1​(y,s)=(j∑​dj​yj​−d0​)2+δj∑​(yj​+sj​−1)2+j∑​yj​sj​,

f2=f1+2d0∑jdjyj(1−yj)f_2 = f_1 + 2d_0\sum_j d_j y_j(1 - y_j)f2​=f1​+2d0​∑j​dj​yj​(1−yj​), a homogeneous quadratic f4f_4f4​ that agrees with f2f_2f2​ on the set

P={(y,s):y≥0, s≥0, ∑j(yj+sj)=n},P = \Big\{(y,s) : y \ge 0,\ s \ge 0,\ \sum_j (y_j + s_j) = n\Big\},P={(y,s):y≥0, s≥0, j∑​(yj​+sj​)=n},

and f5=f4−(ε/n2)(∑j(yj+sj))2f_5 = f_4 - (\varepsilon/n^2)\big(\sum_j (y_j + s_j)\big)^2f5​=f4​−(ε/n2)(∑j​(yj​+sj​))2. The function f5f_5f5​ is a quadratic form xTMxx^{\mathsf T}MxxTMx in x=(y,s)∈R2nx = (y, s) \in \mathbb R^{2n}x=(y,s)∈R2n; the symmetric matrix MMM, with entries computed explicitly from d0,d,δ,εd_0, d, \delta, \varepsilond0​,d,δ,ε, is the output of the reduction.

Formalization targets

Goal: the reduction is correct

For positive integer data d0;d1,…,dnd_0; d_1, \dots, d_nd0​;d1​,…,dn​ and δ,ε\delta, \varepsilonδ,ε as above, with MMM the matrix of f5f_5f5​, the following are equivalent:

subset sum is solvable  ⟺  P1(M)  ⟺  P2(M)  ⟺  P3(M)  ⟺  M not copositive  ⟺  P4(M,n)  ⟺  P11(M)  ⟺  P12(M).\text{subset sum is solvable} \iff \text{P1}(M) \iff \text{P2}(M) \iff \text{P3}(M) \iff M \text{ not copositive} \iff \text{P4}(M, n) \iff \text{P11}(M) \iff \text{P12}(M).subset sum is solvable⟺P1(M)⟺P2(M)⟺P3(M)⟺M not copositive⟺P4(M,n)⟺P11(M)⟺P12(M).

This is the mathematical content of Theorems 1–3 and §4: a polynomially computable map from subset sum instances to matrices under which every one of these questions has the answer of the subset sum instance.

Milestones along the paper's chain

  1. Problems 5 and 6 are equivalent: subset sum is solvable iff some (y,s)∈P(y,s) \in P(y,s)∈P has f1≤0f_1 \le 0f1​≤0.
  2. Problems 6 and 7 are equivalent (f1f_1f1​ vs. f2f_2f2​ on PPP).
  3. Problems 7 and 8 are equivalent (f2f_2f2​ vs. f4f_4f4​ on PPP).
  4. Lemma 2: for an integer symmetric DDD of size LLL, the minimum of QQQ over [0,1]n[0,1]^n[0,1]n is 000 or at most −2−L-2^{-L}−2−L.
  5. Problems 8 and 9 are equivalent: ∃ (y,s)∈P\exists\,(y,s)\in P∃(y,s)∈P with f4≤0f_4 \le 0f4​≤0 iff ∃ (y,s)∈P\exists\,(y,s)\in P∃(y,s)∈P with f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0.
  6. Problem 9 is a special case of Problem 4: f5(y,s)=xTMxf_5(y,s) = x^{\mathsf T}Mxf5​(y,s)=xTMx, and Problem 9 is Problem 4 for (M,a0=n)(M, a_0 = n)(M,a0​=n).
  7. Problems 3 and 4 are equivalent, for any DDD and a0>0a_0 > 0a0​>0.
  8. Problems 1 and 2 are equivalent to Problem 3, for any DDD.
  9. Problems 11 and 12 are equivalent to Problems 1 and 2, for any DDD.

Significance

The result. The equivalence shows that checking local optimality of a feasible point, checking boundedness of a quadratic objective on a cone, and checking copositivity are all at least as hard as subset sum, hence NP-hard. Through (15) the same holds for local minimality and boundedness of a quartic polynomial with no constraints at all. These facts are the standard justification for why nonconvex solvers settle for KKT points, and the copositivity part underlies the hardness of copositive programming.

The formalization. The paper's claims are proved, and have been cited for decades, but the proof as printed is a sketch: several steps are stated as "clearly" or "it can be verified", and one step of the proof of Theorem 1 (p. 125) is false as written. The inequality (δ/2)(yj+sj−1)2+2d0djyj(1−yj)≥0(\delta/2)(y_j + s_j - 1)^2 + 2d_0 d_j y_j(1 - y_j) \ge 0(δ/2)(yj​+sj​−1)2+2d0​dj​yj​(1−yj​)≥0 for yj>1y_j > 1yj​>1 fails for yjy_jyj​ slightly above 111, and the pointwise implication "f2≤0⇒f1≤0f_2 \le 0 \Rightarrow f_1 \le 0f2​≤0⇒f1​≤0 on PPP" has an explicit counterexample. The equivalence of Problems 6 and 7 itself survives numerical checks. A machine-checked proof of the goal settles the correctness of the reduction with the paper's own constants. No machine-checked proof of these statements exists on the platform.

Difficulty

The combinatorial direction (a subset sum solution gives a point with f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0) is a computation. The converse direction carries the content, in two places.

First, passing from f1f_1f1​ to f2f_2f2​ trades the linear penalty for a quadratic one. This is harmless on the box 0≤y≤10 \le y \le 10≤y≤1 but not for yj>1y_j > 1yj​>1, where 2d0djyj(1−yj)2d_0d_jy_j(1-y_j)2d0​dj​yj​(1−yj​) is negative. The printed argument handles this coordinate by coordinate and is wrong there; a correct argument has to show that no point of PPP with f2≤0f_2 \le 0f2​≤0 exists unless a point with f1≤0f_1 \le 0f1​≤0 does, which requires a global use of the size of δ\deltaδ.

Second, passing from f4≤0f_4 \le 0f4​≤0 to f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0 requires a quantitative gap: if f4>0f_4 > 0f4​>0 on PPP then min⁡Pf4≥ε\min_P f_4 \ge \varepsilonminP​f4​≥ε with ε\varepsilonε of only polynomially many bits. Lemma 2 provides such a gap for the unit box and integer matrices, but PPP is not the box and f4f_4f4​ has rational coefficients, so the lemma does not apply verbatim.

The remaining equivalences (Problems 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 12 for a fixed matrix) follow from homogeneity of the quadratic form and the substitution xj=uj2x_j = u_j^2xj​=uj2​, and are routine.

Formalization scope

The data d0,dj,δd_0, d_j, \deltad0​,dj​,δ are natural numbers and ε\varepsilonε is rational; all are cast to R\mathbb RR in f1,…,f5f_1, \dots, f_5f1​,…,f5​ and MMM. The index j=1,…,nj = 1, \dots, nj=1,…,n is Fin n, and the 2n2n2n variables of MMM are indexed by Fin n ⊕ Fin n with x=x = x= Sum.elim y s. Standing hypotheses: dj>0d_j > 0dj​>0 and d0>0d_0 > 0d0​>0 (the paper's "all positive integers"); δ>4(d0∑jdj)2n3\delta > 4(d_0\sum_j d_j)^2n^3δ>4(d0​∑j​dj​)2n3 in N\mathbb NN; ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and ε⋅2nl2<1\varepsilon \cdot 2^{nl^2} < 1ε⋅2nl2<1 in Q\mathbb QQ. The size lll counts decimal digits. Problem 1 is local minimality relative to the orthant, Problem 11 is unconstrained local minimality, both in the Euclidean topology. Lemma 2 is stated for integer symmetric DDD (as §4 of the paper says, "as before … symmetric"), with LLL Schrijver's encoding size, since the paper does not define "the size of DDD"; the "optimum is 000 or ≤−2−L\le -2^{-L}≤−2−L" is stated as a disjunction without an infimum. The milestones on f2,f4,f5f_2, f_4, f_5f2​,f4​,f5​ over PPP assume n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, which the paper assumes tacitly; the goal needs no such hypothesis.

Not formalized: membership in NP (Lemma 1), the polynomial-time computability of MMM and its encoding size, the NP-completeness of subset sum (cited by the paper from Garey–Johnson), Theorem 4, and any of the words "NP-complete" or "NP-hard". The platform's complexity layer (Turing machines over bitstrings) has no subset sum problem and no encoding of rational matrices. The matrix MMM has rational entries; a positive integer multiple of it is the integer matrix of Theorem 3, has the same answer to every question, and the rescaling is not formalized. The §3 standing assumption "D is not PSD" is not imposed; the constructed matrix can be PSD and the equivalence holds regardless.

The goal is about the explicit matrix MMM, whose entries are given in the definitions; it is not about "some matrix whose quadratic form is f5f_5f5​", and the constants δ\deltaδ and ε\varepsilonε are the paper's explicit bounds, not "sufficiently large" or "for some ε\varepsilonε". A formalization that quantifies existentially over the matrix or the precision would be trivially true and is ruled out.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the matrix identity and the homogeneity arguments (milestones 6–9), a proof of Lemma 2 (which needs a Cramer/Hadamard bound on basic solutions of the linear complementarity system (9)), and a correct proof of the f1↔f2f_1 \leftrightarrow f_2f1​↔f2​ step. The copositivity definitions and milestones 7–9 are reusable for any later work on copositive programming.

Selected references

  • K. G. Murty and S. N. Kabadi, Some NP-complete problems in quadratic and nonlinear programming, Mathematical Programming 39 (1987) 117–129. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592948
  • M. R. Garey and D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979 (subset sum, problem [SP13]).
  • A. Schrijver, Theory of Linear and Integer Programming, Wiley, 1986 (encoding sizes, §2.1).
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Convex OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Worst-Case Value-At-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach 1: Exact Worst-Case VaR under Known Mean and Covariance and Its SDP RepresentationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is the standard regulatory measure of downside risk of a portfolio: the loss level that is exceeded only with a prescribed small probability ε\varepsilonε. Computing it requires the full distribution of asset returns, which is rarely known. In practice one estimates a mean vector and a covariance matrix and then assumes a Gaussian distribution, which understates the probability of large losses when returns are heavy-tailed or skewed.

El Ghaoui, Oks and Oustry (Oper. Res. 51(4), 2003) replace the distributional assumption by a worst case: the VaR is computed against every distribution consistent with the known moments. For known mean and covariance they obtain an exact closed form and several semidefinite (SDP) representations of this worst-case VaR. The SDP forms are what make the approach extend to moment uncertainty (moments only known to lie in a set, §2.2 of the paper) and to robust portfolio optimization. The equivalence between the probabilistic statement and the closed form is also a multivariate one-sided Chebyshev bound, related to Bertsimas and Popescu (SIAM J. Optim. 15(3), 2005; working paper 2000).

Setting

There are nnn assets. Their returns over one period form a random vector x∈Rnx \in \mathbb R^nx∈Rn, and a portfolio w∈Rnw \in \mathbb R^nw∈Rn earns r(w,x)=w⊤xr(w,x) = w^\top xr(w,x)=w⊤x. The paper restricts www to an admissible set that does not contain 000; only w≠0w \neq 0w=0 is used.

The distribution of xxx is unknown except for its mean x^∈Rn\hat x \in \mathbb R^nx^∈Rn and covariance matrix Γ\GammaΓ, with Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0 (positive definite). Let P\mathcal PP be the set of all probability distributions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn with these two moments. For a loss level γ\gammaγ, the loss set is S={x∣γ≤−x⊤w}\mathcal S = \{x \mid \gamma \le -x^\top w\}S={x∣γ≤−x⊤w}. The worst-case VaR at level ε\varepsilonε is (Eq. (4))

VP(w)=min⁡{γ  :  sup⁡P∈PP(S)≤ε}.V_{\mathcal P}(w) = \min\Big\{\gamma \;:\; \sup_{P\in\mathcal P} P(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilon\Big\}.VP​(w)=min{γ:P∈Psup​P(S)≤ε}.

Further notation: κ(ε)=(1−ε)/ε\kappa(\varepsilon) = \sqrt{(1-\varepsilon)/\varepsilon}κ(ε)=(1−ε)/ε​ (Eq. (8)); for symmetric matrices, A⪰BA \succeq BA⪰B means A−BA - BA−B is positive semidefinite and ⟨A,B⟩=Tr⁡(AB)\langle A, B\rangle = \operatorname{Tr}(AB)⟨A,B⟩=Tr(AB). The second-moment matrix is (Eq. (6))

Σ=[Sx^x^⊤1],S=Γ+x^x^⊤.\Sigma = \begin{bmatrix} S & \hat x \\ \hat x^\top & 1\end{bmatrix}, \qquad S = \Gamma + \hat x\hat x^\top.Σ=[Sx^⊤​x^1​],S=Γ+x^x^⊤.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 545–546)

For Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0, w≠0w \neq 0w=0, ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon \in (0,1)ε∈(0,1) and γ∈R\gamma \in \mathbb Rγ∈R, the following five propositions are equivalent:

  1. sup⁡P∈PP{γ≤−w⊤x}≤ε\sup_{P \in \mathcal P} P\{\gamma \le -w^\top x\} \le \varepsilonsupP∈P​P{γ≤−w⊤x}≤ε;
  2. κ(ε) ∥Γ1/2w∥2−x^⊤w≤γ\kappa(\varepsilon)\,\|\Gamma^{1/2} w\|_2 - \hat x^\top w \le \gammaκ(ε)∥Γ1/2w∥2​−x^⊤w≤γ;
  3. there are a symmetric MMM and τ∈R\tau \in \mathbb Rτ∈R with ⟨M,Σ⟩≤τε\langle M, \Sigma\rangle \le \tau\varepsilon⟨M,Σ⟩≤τε, M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0, τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0, and M+[0ww⊤−τ+2γ]⪰0M + \begin{bmatrix} 0 & w\\ w^\top & -\tau + 2\gamma\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0M+[0w⊤​w−τ+2γ​]⪰0;
  4. every xxx with [Γx−x^(x−x^)⊤κ(ε)2]⪰0\begin{bmatrix}\Gamma & x - \hat x\\ (x-\hat x)^\top & \kappa(\varepsilon)^2\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0[Γ(x−x^)⊤​x−x^κ(ε)2​]⪰0 satisfies −x⊤w≤γ-x^\top w \le \gamma−x⊤w≤γ;
  5. there are a symmetric Λ\LambdaΛ and v∈Rv \in \mathbb Rv∈R with ⟨Λ,Γ⟩+κ(ε)2v−x^⊤w≤γ\langle \Lambda, \Gamma\rangle + \kappa(\varepsilon)^2 v - \hat x^\top w \le \gamma⟨Λ,Γ⟩+κ(ε)2v−x^⊤w≤γ and [Λw/2w⊤/2v]⪰0\begin{bmatrix}\Lambda & w/2\\ w^\top/2 & v\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0[Λw⊤/2​w/2v​]⪰0.

In particular

VP(w)=κ(ε) ∥Γ1/2w∥2−x^⊤w.V_{\mathcal P}(w) = \kappa(\varepsilon)\,\|\Gamma^{1/2}w\|_2 - \hat x^\top w.VP​(w)=κ(ε)∥Γ1/2w∥2​−x^⊤w.

Milestones (the steps of the paper's proof)

  • Condition C.1 (l(x)=[x⊤ 1]M[x⊤ 1]⊤≥0l(x) = [x^\top\,1] M [x^\top\,1]^\top \ge 0l(x)=[x⊤1]M[x⊤1]⊤≥0 for all xxx) is equivalent to M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0 (p. 546).
  • Conditions C.1 and C.2 are equivalent to the existence of τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 with M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0 and M+[0τwτw⊤−1+2τγ]⪰0M + \begin{bmatrix} 0 & \tau w\\ \tau w^\top & -1+2\tau\gamma\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0M+[0τw⊤​τw−1+2τγ​]⪰0 (p. 546).
  • The worst-case probability sup⁡P∈PP(S)\sup_{P\in\mathcal P} P(\mathcal S)supP∈P​P(S) equals the value of the SDP inf⁡⟨M,Σ⟩\inf \langle M, \Sigma\rangleinf⟨M,Σ⟩ under the constraints above (Eq. (14), pp. 546–547).
  • The Schur-complement reduction (19)–(20) of the constraints of the dual problem (18) (p. 547).
  • The closed form of ϕ(y)\phi(y)ϕ(y) and its maximum at y=εy = \varepsilony=ε (p. 547).
  • Condition (10) describes the ellipsoid {x∣(x−x^)⊤Γ−1(x−x^)≤κ(ε)2}\{x \mid (x-\hat x)^\top\Gamma^{-1}(x-\hat x) \le \kappa(\varepsilon)^2\}{x∣(x−x^)⊤Γ−1(x−x^)≤κ(ε)2}, and the maximal loss −x⊤w-x^\top w−x⊤w over it is κ(ε)w⊤Γw−x^⊤w\kappa(\varepsilon)\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w} - \hat x^\top wκ(ε)w⊤Γw​−x^⊤w (p. 546).

Significance

The result. Proposition 2 turns the worst-case VaR into a second-order cone function of www, so minimizing it over a polytope of portfolios is a second-order cone program (Eq. (12)). The SDP forms 3 and 5 are the basis of the paper's §2.2–§3: they extend, with the moments only known to lie in a convex set, to a single SDP whose value is the worst-case VaR over that set. Proposition 4 gives a deterministic reading: the worst-case VaR is the largest loss when the return vector is only known to lie in an ellipsoid, which connects distributional robustness to robust optimization with ellipsoidal uncertainty.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, with two imported steps: strong duality for the moment problem (Smith 1995; Bonnans and Shapiro 2000) and a Slater-type strong duality for the one-constraint quadratic condition. No machine-checked version is known. A formal proof would supply these steps with explicit hypotheses and would produce a Lean statement of the multivariate one-sided Chebyshev (Cantelli) bound with tightness over the full moment class.

Difficulty

The matrix equivalences (2 ⇔ 4 ⇔ 5 and 2 ⇔ 3) are Schur complements and finite-dimensional SDP duality. The difficulty is Proposition 1. The upper bound (Cantelli's inequality for w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x) handles one direction, but the converse requires tightness: for every γ\gammaγ below the closed form, a distribution on Rn\mathbb R^nRn with exactly the prescribed mean and full covariance matrix Γ\GammaΓ that puts probability more than ε\varepsilonε on the loss set. A scalar extremal distribution for w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x does not by itself have the right covariance in the other directions, and a Gaussian does not reach the bound. The paper's route through the moment problem instead needs strong duality between a supremum over measures and an infimum over matrices, which is where the positive definiteness of Σ\SigmaΣ enters.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); x⊤wx^\top wx⊤w is the inner product, and matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ. Matrices of size n+1n+1n+1 are indexed by Fin n ⊕ Fin 1 and built with Matrix.fromBlocks (the helper bordered A v c is [[A,v],[v⊤,c]][[A, v],[v^\top, c]][[A,v],[v⊤,c]]). A⪰0A \succeq 0A⪰0 is PosSemidef, Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0 is PosDef, ⟨A,B⟩\langle A, B\rangle⟨A,B⟩ is (A * B).trace, and ∥Γ1/2w∥2\|\Gamma^{1/2}w\|_2∥Γ1/2w∥2​ is written w⊤Γw\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w}w⊤Γw​.
  • The class P\mathcal PP (HasMeanCov) contains every Borel probability measure on Rn\mathbb R^nRn whose coordinates are square-integrable, with mean x^\hat xx^ and centred covariance Γ\GammaΓ. It is not restricted to densities or to Gaussians: the Gaussian class gives a different constant, −Φ−1(ε)-\Phi^{-1}(\varepsilon)−Φ−1(ε).
  • Sup, inf and max: "sup⁡P∈PP(S)≤ε\sup_{P\in\mathcal P}P(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilonsupP∈P​P(S)≤ε" is stated as "P(S)≤εP(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilonP(S)≤ε for every P∈PP \in \mathcal PP∈P". The worst-case probability SDP is stated as IsLUB/IsGLB of one real number (no attainment is claimed). The maxima over vvv, over y∈[ε,1]y \in [\varepsilon,1]y∈[ε,1] and over the ellipsoid are IsGreatest.
  • Corrections to the printed statement. The paper prints ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon \in (0,1]ε∈(0,1]; at ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1 Proposition 1 holds for every γ\gammaγ while Propositions 2–5 require γ≥−x^⊤w\gamma \ge -\hat x^\top wγ≥−x^⊤w, so the goal assumes 0<ε<10 < \varepsilon < 10<ε<1. The goal also assumes w≠0w \neq 0w=0, the paper's standing assumption; with w=0w = 0w=0, γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0 Proposition 1 fails and Proposition 2 holds. Milestones that remain true at ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1 keep ε≤1\varepsilon \le 1ε≤1.
  • A goal that omits Proposition 1 would only be matrix algebra and is not this theorem. The five-way equivalence must be proved with the probabilistic statement included.
  • Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: the homogenization lemma for quadratic functions, the S-lemma with one affine constraint, the Schur-complement criteria for bordered PSD matrices, and duality for the moment problem. Proofs of any milestone, and of lemmas building a distribution with prescribed mean and covariance, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. El Ghaoui, M. Oks, F. Oustry, Worst-Case Value-at-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach, Operations Research 51(4):543–556, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.51.4.543.16101
  • D. Bertsimas, I. Popescu, Optimal Inequalities in Probability Theory: A Convex Optimization Approach, SIAM J. Optim. 15(3):780–804, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623401399903
  • J. E. Smith, Generalized Chebychev Inequalities: Theory and Applications in Decision Analysis, Operations Research 43(5):807–825, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.43.5.807
  • J. F. Bonnans, A. Shapiro, Perturbation Analysis of Optimization Problems, Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1394-9
  • L. Vandenberghe, S. Boyd, K. Comanor, Generalized Chebyshev Bounds via Semidefinite Programming, SIAM Review 49(1):52–64, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0036144504440543
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