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Operations Research

1,339 missions · 697 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling Deteriorating Jobs on a Single Processor II: If E(X_j)/α_j and α_j/[c_j(1+α_j)] Both Increase in j, the Order 1, …, N Minimizes the Weighted Expected Completion Time (Proposition 2)Research Paper

Why deteriorating jobs need a scheduling rule

On one processor, the completion time of a job normally depends on how much work precedes it. In the model of Browne and Yechiali (1990), waiting also changes the job's own processing requirement: a job that starts later takes longer. The sequence therefore changes both when each job starts and how long subsequent jobs must wait. This matters when the goal is a weighted completion cost, because a delay to one job can raise the completion costs of many others.

The paper gives an expected-makespan ordering for this linear deterioration model and, in Proposition 2, a sufficient condition under which the original job order minimizes weighted expected completion cost. The latter is the target of this mission. Related platform work on Delayed SWPT and the AvgCompletionSched family treats weighted completion scheduling without this job-specific linear deterioration. Their additive processing-time models do not supply the completion-time object used here.

Jobs, schedules, and cost

There are NNN jobs, all available at time zero, processed one at a time on a single machine without idle time or preemption. A schedule π\piπ is a permutation of the jobs: π(k)\pi(k)π(k) is the job processed in position kkk. The paper labels positions and jobs from 111 to NNN; the Lean development labels them from 000 to N−1N-1N−1. The identity schedule π0\pi_0π0​ processes jobs in label order.

For job iii, XiX_iXi​ is its random initial processing requirement, αi\alpha_iαi​ its deterministic growth rate, and cic_ici​ its waiting cost rate. If the job starts at time ttt, its actual processing time is Yi(t)=Xi+αitY_i(t)=X_i+\alpha_i tYi​(t)=Xi​+αi​t. Deterioration stops once processing starts. Write Sk(π)S_k(\pi)Sk​(π) for the time at which the first kkk scheduled jobs have all finished. The model sets S0(π)=0S_0(\pi)=0S0​(π)=0 and

Sk+1(π)=Sk(π)+Xπ(k+1)+απ(k+1)Sk(π)S_{k+1}(\pi)=S_k(\pi)+X_{\pi(k+1)}+\alpha_{\pi(k+1)}S_k(\pi)Sk+1​(π)=Sk​(π)+Xπ(k+1)​+απ(k+1)​Sk​(π)

in the paper's one-based position notation. Thus the completion time of the job in position kkk is Sk(π)S_k(\pi)Sk​(π). Its cost is its own rate cπ(k)c_{\pi(k)}cπ(k)​ times that completion time, giving

C(π)=∑k=1Ncπ(k)Sk(π).C(\pi)=\sum_{k=1}^{N}c_{\pi(k)}S_k(\pi).C(π)=k=1∑N​cπ(k)​Sk​(π).

All of these are random quantities until an expectation is taken. Equation (2) of the paper writes SkS_kSk​ as a sum of the initial requirements multiplied by the later growth factors. Equation (8) substitutes that expression into C(π0)C(\pi_0)C(π0​). Both equations are included as milestones, stated along an arbitrary schedule by relabelling the jobs. The third milestone is the exact change in CCC from swapping two adjacent jobs. These three statements are pathwise identities, so their mathematical content does not depend on a probability distribution.

Formalization targets

The principal target is Proposition 2: if both sequences of job-indexed ratios are strictly increasing,

E(X1)α1<⋯<E(XN)αN,α1c1(1+α1)<⋯<αNcN(1+αN),\frac{E(X_1)}{\alpha_1}<\cdots<\frac{E(X_N)}{\alpha_N}, \qquad \frac{\alpha_1}{c_1(1+\alpha_1)} <\cdots< \frac{\alpha_N}{c_N(1+\alpha_N)},α1​E(X1​)​<⋯<αN​E(XN​)​,c1​(1+α1​)α1​​<⋯<cN​(1+αN​)αN​​,

then, for every permutation σ\sigmaσ,

E[C(π0)]≤E[C(σ)].E[C(\pi_0)]\le E[C(\sigma)].E[C(π0​)]≤E[C(σ)].

The first ratio compares an initial expected requirement with its growth rate. The second couples growth and the cost rate. The conclusion is global optimality over the paper's whole class of nonpreemptive, non-idling permutations. It does not assert that the identity order is the unique minimizer; strict input ratios do not by themselves justify a uniqueness claim.

The attack path records exactly the supporting statements printed in the paper: the closed completion-time formula (2), the weighted cost formula (8), and the unnumbered adjacent-interchange identity after (8). The milestone quotations preserve the paper's printed display, while the Lean statements use an arbitrary permutation where relabelling permits it. The interchange display has a multiplication dot before its second bracket; expansion for two jobs shows that the term is added. The formal statement records that correction, and the source quotation retains the printed symbol.

What the result establishes

The proposition identifies a directly checkable pair of ordering conditions under which the natural job-label order solves a weighted stochastic scheduling problem. A condition involving only E(Xi)/αiE(X_i)/\alpha_iE(Xi​)/αi​, enough for the paper's expected-makespan target, does not determine this weighted objective. The cost rates introduce another ordering requirement. The result gives a sufficient rule, not a characterization of every optimal schedule or of every parameter choice.

The mathematical result was published in 1990; this mission asks for its machine-checked formalization. A complete development will connect the processing-time recursion, the pathwise cost identities, and the expected optimality statement in Lean. The recursion and cost definitions can be reused for other finite single-machine problems in which a job's processing time depends on its start time. The milestone identities are also useful independently of the final sufficient condition, including for studying other choices of weights and ordering indices.

Where the argument is difficult

Sorting by expected initial requirement alone cannot settle the problem, because processing a job changes later start times and hence later processing times. Even sorting by the expected-makespan index leaves the cost rates unaccounted for. The value of an adjacent swap depends on the elapsed time before the pair and on the completion costs of jobs after the pair. It is not enough to compare the two jobs' own completion costs in isolation.

The source states the sufficient condition after its interchange display but does not present a full proof of the global claim. Closing the Lean goal requires connecting local comparisons to every schedule and handling the expected value of the recursively defined cost. The identities are finite, but their indices change between zero-based Lean positions and the paper's one-based display, especially at the first position and at an empty suffix.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin N\mathrm{Fin}\,NFinN, and a policy is an equivalence permutation with π(k)\pi(k)π(k) equal to the job in position kkk. Completion time is defined by the processing rule Yi(t)=Xi+αitY_i(t)=X_i+\alpha_i tYi​(t)=Xi​+αi​t, not by the closed form (2). At positions beyond the NNN jobs it stays constant, and theorems about the closed form restrict kkk to 0≤k≤N0\le k\le N0≤k≤N. The total cost is defined from job-weighted completion times, not from equation (8). This keeps both identities substantive.

The proposition uses a probability space and the Bochner integral of the real-valued cost. Every XiX_iXi​ is integrable, so its expectation and the finite linear combinations appearing in the cost are meaningful. Initial requirements are nonnegative at every outcome, reflecting the paper's standing positive-processing convention; strict positivity is unnecessary for the claim. Growth rates and cost rates are strictly positive. Those two assumptions make the printed ratios well-defined and support the ordering rule. The paper's common independence convention is not required for these expectations and is not assumed.

The two strict orderings are over the labels of jobs in π0\pi_0π0​, not positions of an arbitrary schedule. The conclusion compares π0\pi_0π0​ with every permutation, not only with schedules obtained by one adjacent swap. The N=0N=0N=0 and N=1N=1N=1 cases are allowed: the order conditions have no pair to compare, and there is only one permutation. Solvers may contribute the finite-sum, interchange, and integrability facts needed to link the milestones to Proposition 2. The pathwise identities require no probability assumptions and can support later variants.

Selected references

  • Browne, Sid, and Uri Yechiali, Scheduling Deteriorating Jobs on a Single Processor, Operations Research 38(3), 495–498 (1990). DOI: 10.1287/opre.38.3.495.
6 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

An Additive Algorithm for Solving Linear Programs with Zero-One Variables: In Finitely Many Iterations the Additive Algorithm Yields an Optimal Solution or Proves InfeasibilityResearch Paper

Motivation

Binary decisions arise when a variable records whether a project is selected, a facility is opened, or an action is taken. Linear constraints then describe the resources or conditions those choices must satisfy. Egon Balas's 1965 paper gives a direct algorithm for a finite linear program with zero-one variables: it begins with all variables at zero, adds variables with value one, and uses explicit tests to discard assignments that cannot improve the best feasible assignment found so far. The paper states that the procedure eventually produces an optimal feasible solution or a conclusion that none exists. Its numbered convergence theorem is the target of this mission. Balas (1965)

The result is historically distinct from algorithms that solve a continuous relaxation and then enforce integrality. Balas describes his method as a direct combinatorial search over binary assignments, with additions and subtractions used to update costs and slacks. The theorem concerns the correctness and finite termination of the particular steps printed in the paper, including their backward scan and cancellation rules. The local catalog contains work on branch and bound for a biconvex program, but no existing platform item about a zero-one programming algorithm with these steps; the biconvex result concerns a different model and algorithm. Balas (1965)

Setting

Let NNN be a finite set of binary coordinates and MMM a finite set of constraints. The data are a real matrix A=(aij)i∈M,j∈NA=(a_{ij})_{i\in M,j\in N}A=(aij​)i∈M,j∈N​, a real vector b=(bi)i∈Mb=(b_i)_{i\in M}b=(bi​)i∈M​, and nonnegative objective coefficients cj≥0c_j\ge0cj​≥0. A binary assignment is represented by the set J⊆NJ\subseteq NJ⊆N of coordinates assigned one; all other coordinates are zero. Its slack and cost are

yi(J)=bi−∑j∈Jaij,z(J)=∑j∈Jcj.y_i(J)=b_i-\sum_{j\in J}a_{ij},\qquad z(J)=\sum_{j\in J}c_j.yi​(J)=bi​−j∈J∑​aij​,z(J)=j∈J∑​cj​.

The assignment is feasible when yi(J)≥0y_i(J)\ge0yi​(J)≥0 for every i∈Mi\in Mi∈M. It is optimal when it is feasible and has no greater cost than any other feasible assignment. These are Balas's problem PPP and solutions (1)–(8). The coefficients of AAA and bbb may have either sign; NNN and MMM may be empty. Balas (1965), pp. 519, 523

The algorithm generates assignments J0,J1,…,JsJ_0,J_1,\ldots,J_sJ0​,J1​,…,Js​, starting at J0=∅J_0=\varnothingJ0​=∅. Among the generated feasible assignments, their least cost is the ceiling z∗(s)z^{*(s)}z∗(s); if there are none, z∗(s)=+∞z^{*(s)}=+\inftyz∗(s)=+∞. Each generated assignment has an improving set NpN_pNp​ formed when it first appears. Later steps cancel candidate indices and keep records CksC_k^sCks​ of which values attached to an earlier assignment have been cancelled by the time JsJ_sJs​ is generated. The algorithm either processes the latest assignment, scans earlier strict subsets in descending order, or stops. Its value-based choice rule permits several choices when both value and cost tie. Balas (1965), pp. 523–528

Formalization targets

The paper's two lemmas and Theorem 1 establish the cancellation claims used by its convergence theorem. Lemma 1 says a feasible completion Jt⊃JsJ_t\supset J_sJt​⊃Js​ below the current ceiling adds no index in CsC^sCs; Lemma 2 makes the corresponding assertion for an earlier assignment under its stated complete-cancellation hypothesis. Theorem 1 says that an abandoned assignment has no better feasible completion. The two numbered parts of the convergence proof assert that a single iteration cannot continue indefinitely and that no assignment is generated twice. A remark after (16) records that a feasible generated assignment has an empty improving set. Balas (1965), pp. 529–533

The mission's goal is Convergence Theorem 2:

every run from J0=∅ stops after finitely many steps, with either an optimal feasible assignment or a valid infeasibility verdict.\text{every run from }J_0=\varnothing\text{ stops after finitely many steps, with either an optimal feasible assignment or a valid infeasibility verdict.}every run from J0​=∅ stops after finitely many steps, with either an optimal feasible assignment or a valid infeasibility verdict.

The finite-step assertion includes progress: every reachable state before a stopping situation has a successor. At a stop, z∗(s)=+∞z^{*(s)}=+\inftyz∗(s)=+∞ means no feasible binary assignment exists; if the ceiling is finite, a generated assignment attaining it exists and every generated assignment at that cost is optimal for PPP. These clauses make the paper's two possible outcomes explicit. Balas (1965), Convergence Theorem 2 and step 5a

Significance

The theorem certifies the algorithm as a complete decision and optimization procedure for the stated finite binary program. The infeasibility outcome concerns every possible binary assignment, not only the assignments the algorithm happened to visit. The optimality outcome similarly compares the reported assignment against all feasible assignments. Without these global claims, reaching a stopping situation would only show that the current search path has no remaining candidates. Balas (1965), pp. 526, 533

The result was proved in the 1965 paper. The work here is to state its algorithm and correctness claims in Lean and provide a target for a machine-checked proof; the submitted theorem files are open statements. The finite binary-program model, cost and slack functions, ceiling with infinity, and state-transition vocabulary can also support formal analyses of other exact enumeration procedures. The particular cancellation and backward-scan rules belong to Balas's algorithm. Balas (1965)

Difficulty

It is immediate that there are finitely many binary assignments. That alone does not show finite termination: the paper's step 5 may revisit earlier generated assignments, and the rules must prevent repeated work within one iteration as well as repeated generated assignments across iterations. It also does not justify pruning. When an improving set becomes empty, the remaining challenge is to show that no feasible assignment omitted by the search improves the ceiling. These are the separate claims recorded in parts (a) and (b), Lemmas 1–2, and Theorem 1. Balas (1965), pp. 529–533

Formalization scope

Lean uses Fin n and Fin m for the paper's one-based index sets. A binary assignment is a Finset (Fin n). A general finite zero-one linear program is its own definition; problem PPP adds the paper's standing assumption cj≥0c_j\ge0cj​≥0. There is no positive-size assumption on either index set. The algorithm stores generated assignments, each improving set as formed, cancellation snapshots, current cancellations, and its program point. Slack and cost are recomputed from the assignment by (6) and (21). Reachability is the reflexive transitive closure of the printed steps, and all milestone claims about states are restricted to reachable ones. The strict symbol ⊂\subset⊂ means proper inclusion as the paper's footnote specifies. Balas (1965), pp. 523–525

The ceiling is represented in WithTop ℝ, with ⊤\top⊤ for +∞+\infty+∞. The cost tests (14), (17), (24), and (29) are written additively so they retain the paper's meaning when no feasible assignment has yet been generated. The improving set NpN_pNp​ remains fixed after generation; the step-5 scan uses Nks=Nk−(Cks∪Dks)N_k^s=N_k-(C_k^s\cup D_k^s)Nks​=Nk​−(Cks​∪Dks​) with the stored snapshot CksC_k^sCks​, as in (18). Step 1a cancels the cost-bound indices for every earlier assignment, and steps 6a and 7b resume the scan below the index just checked. The final tie break permits any index still tied after minimizing its cost. “In a finite number of iterations” is encoded as no infinite run plus a next step at each reachable non-stopped state. “No feasible solution” quantifies over all binary assignments. “Abandoned” is the predicate specified before Theorem 1: uku^kuk is abandoned when the algorithm is instructed to stop, or to check some NpsN_p^sNps​ with p<k≤sp<k\le sp<k≤s, including the indices step 5 passes over because their remaining improving set is empty. Lemma 2 reads Cps+1C_p^{s+1}Cps+1​ either as the cancellations accumulated so far during iteration s+1s+1s+1 or as the cancellation records at the transition that obtains us+1u^{s+1}us+1. Balas (1965), pp. 525–533

The paper prints z∗(k)z^{*(k)}z∗(k) in Theorem 1, but its algorithm and proof use the ceiling at the abandonment iteration, z∗(s)z^{*(s)}z∗(s); the Lean theorem states that corrected version and retains the original wording in the milestone record. A transition system that is stuck before a declared stopping situation, a ceiling encoded as a finite real sentinel, or a verdict quantified only over generated assignments would make the goal weaker than the paper's claim. Contributions toward the milestone proofs, state invariants, and reusable finite-search lemmas are in scope. The preliminary reduction of a general binary program to PPP, the efficiency remarks, numerical examples, and the modified algorithm of Remark II are outside this mission. Balas (1965), pp. 519, 528–533

Selected references

  • Egon Balas, An Additive Algorithm for Solving Linear Programs with Zero-One Variables, Operations Research 13(4), 517–546, 1965. DOI: 10.1287/opre.13.4.517
10 thms1 active userReviewed
ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Residual Life Time at Great Age 1: Every Nondegenerate Limit Law of the Normed Residual Life Time Is of Type Π, Π_γ, Γ_α or Γ_{γ,α}Research Paper

Motivation

A component with a random lifetime XXX that has survived to age ttt still has a random residual life time X−tX - tX−t. Reliability engineering, actuarial science and the statistics of exceedances over high thresholds all ask how the conditional law of X−tX - tX−t given X>tX > tX>t behaves when the age ttt is large. If XXX is exponential, the residual life has the same law at every age (lack of memory). In general it changes with ttt, and the natural question, as in the limit theory of sample maxima, is which laws can arise as limits once the residual life is suitably rescaled and shifted.

A. A. Balkema and L. de Haan answered this question in Residual Life Time at Great Age (The Annals of Probability 2, 1974). The answer — a short list of limit types — later underlies the peaks-over-threshold method of extreme value statistics, where the continuous limit laws reappear as the generalized Pareto family (Pickands, 1975). This mission formalizes the classification theorem of the paper, Theorem 1, together with the steps of its proof in §1.

Setting

Let XXX be a real random variable with distribution function FFF and distribution tail R(x)=1−F(x)=P{X>x}R(x) = 1 - F(x) = P\{X > x\}R(x)=1−F(x)=P{X>x}. Throughout, R(x)>0R(x) > 0R(x)>0 for every xxx (equivalently F(x)<1F(x) < 1F(x)<1 for all xxx), so that the conditioning event {X>t}\{X > t\}{X>t} never has probability zero. The residual life distribution function at age ttt is

Ft(x)=P{X−t≤x∣X>t},(1)F_t(x) = P\{X - t \le x \mid X > t\}, \tag{1}Ft​(x)=P{X−t≤x∣X>t},(1)

which vanishes for x<0x < 0x<0.

A family of distribution functions HtH_tHt​ converges weakly to GGG as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞ if Ht(x)→G(x)H_t(x) \to G(x)Ht​(x)→G(x) at every continuity point xxx of GGG. A distribution function GGG is nondegenerate if it is not the distribution function of a point mass. GGG is of type KKK if G(x)=K(ax+b)G(x) = K(ax + b)G(x)=K(ax+b) for all xxx, with a>0a > 0a>0 and bbb real.

The limit laws are the following distribution functions, all equal to 000 for x<0x < 0x<0; for x≥0x \ge 0x≥0,

Π(x)=1−e−x,Γα(x)=1−(1+x)−α,\Pi(x) = 1 - e^{-x}, \qquad \Gamma_\alpha(x) = 1 - (1+x)^{-\alpha},Π(x)=1−e−x,Γα​(x)=1−(1+x)−α, Πγ(x)=1−exp⁡(−γ [1+x]),Γγ,α(x)=1−exp⁡(−γ [1+αlog⁡(1+x)]),\Pi_\gamma(x) = 1 - \exp\big(-\gamma\,[1 + x]\big), \qquad \Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}(x) = 1 - \exp\big(-\gamma\,[1 + \alpha\log(1+x)]\big),Πγ​(x)=1−exp(−γ[1+x]),Γγ,α​(x)=1−exp(−γ[1+αlog(1+x)]),

with α,γ>0\alpha, \gamma > 0α,γ>0 and [a][a][a] the integer part of aaa. The first two are continuous; the last two are discrete, with jumps where 1+x1 + x1+x, respectively 1+αlog⁡(1+x)1 + \alpha\log(1+x)1+αlog(1+x), crosses an integer.

The lemmas of §1 use a second normalization, which shifts XXX instead of X−tX - tX−t:

P(X−b(t)a(t)>x  ∣  X>t)=min⁡(1,R(b(t)+xa(t))R(t))→S(x)weakly,(2–3)P\Big(\frac{X - b(t)}{a(t)} > x \;\Big|\; X > t\Big) = \min\Big(1, \frac{R(b(t) + x a(t))}{R(t)}\Big) \to S(x) \quad \text{weakly}, \tag{2–3}P(a(t)X−b(t)​>x​X>t)=min(1,R(t)R(b(t)+xa(t))​)→S(x)weakly,(2–3)

where 1−S1 - S1−S is a nondegenerate distribution function. The two normalizations differ by b(t)↦b(t)+tb(t) \mapsto b(t) + tb(t)↦b(t)+t.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 796)

If F(x)<1F(x) < 1F(x)<1 for all xxx, a(t)>0a(t) > 0a(t)>0, and

Ft(b(t)+xa(t))→G(x)weakly as t→∞F_t\big(b(t) + x a(t)\big) \to G(x) \quad \text{weakly as } t \to \inftyFt​(b(t)+xa(t))→G(x)weakly as t→∞

for a nondegenerate distribution function GGG, then GGG is of type Π\PiΠ, Πγ\Pi_\gammaΠγ​, Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ or Γγ,α\Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}Γγ,α​ for some α,γ>0\alpha, \gamma > 0α,γ>0.

Milestones (§1, pp. 794–797)

  1. Lemma 1. Under (2), for each continuity point yyy of SSS with 0<S(y)<10 < S(y) < 10<S(y)<1 there are A(y)≥1A(y) \ge 1A(y)≥1 and B(y)B(y)B(y) with
S(x) S(y)=S(B(y)+xA(y))whenever S(x)<1.(4)S(x)\,S(y) = S\big(B(y) + xA(y)\big) \quad \text{whenever } S(x) < 1. \tag{4}S(x)S(y)=S(B(y)+xA(y))whenever S(x)<1.(4)
  1. Corollary. S(x)>0S(x) > 0S(x)>0 for all xxx.
  2. Lemma 2. An unbounded non-increasing HHH on (x0,∞)(x_0, \infty)(x0​,∞) that agrees with SSS where S<1S < 1S<1 and solves H(x)H(y)=H(B(y)+xA(y))H(x)H(y) = H(B(y) + xA(y))H(x)H(y)=H(B(y)+xA(y)) agrees with SSS where H<1H < 1H<1.
  3. Case 1 of the proof: if A(y)=1A(y) = 1A(y)=1 for every yyy in the set YYY of continuity points with S(y)<1S(y) < 1S(y)<1, then 1−S1 - S1−S is of type Π\PiΠ or Πγ\Pi_\gammaΠγ​.
  4. The commutation identity of Case 2: B(y1)+A(y1)B(y2)=B(y2)+A(y2)B(y1)B(y_1) + A(y_1)B(y_2) = B(y_2) + A(y_2)B(y_1)B(y1​)+A(y1​)B(y2​)=B(y2​)+A(y2​)B(y1​) for y1,y2∈Yy_1, y_2 \in Yy1​,y2​∈Y.
  5. Case 2 of the proof: if A(y)>1A(y) > 1A(y)>1 for some y∈Yy \in Yy∈Y, then 1−S1 - S1−S is of type Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ or Γγ,α\Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}Γγ,α​.
  6. The closing display: each of the four laws G=1−SG = 1 - SG=1−S reproduces itself, min⁡(1,S(B(t)+xA(t))/S(t))=S(x)\min\big(1, S(B(t) + xA(t))/S(t)\big) = S(x)min(1,S(B(t)+xA(t))/S(t))=S(x) for every t>0t > 0t>0 and suitable A(t)>0A(t) > 0A(t)>0, B(t)B(t)B(t); so all four types occur as limits.

Significance

Theorem 1 is to residual lives what the extremal types theorem of Fisher–Tippett and Gnedenko is to maxima: it reduces the asymptotic analysis of the residual life to a four-type list, and with it the question of domains of attraction (§§2–3 of the paper) becomes well posed. The continuous types Π\PiΠ and Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ are, after a change of parameters, the exponential and Pareto members of the generalized Pareto family used to model exceedances over high thresholds; the discrete types Πγ\Pi_\gammaΠγ​ and Γγ,α\Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}Γγ,α​ show that once a shift is allowed, lattice-like tails produce limits with atoms, a phenomenon that the scale-only Theorem 2 excludes.

The theorem has been proved since 1974. It is not formalized in any proof assistant known to us, and Mathlib has neither weak convergence of distribution functions in the form used here, nor types, nor the residual-life limit laws. A formal development provides these objects, the functional equation (4) and its solution on a half line, and a checked proof that the four-type list is exactly right — including the discrete types, which are easy to lose in an informal treatment.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to pass to the limit in the identity relating the residual lives at ages ttt and b(t)b(t)b(t), obtaining a Cauchy-type functional equation for SSS, and to solve it. Two features block a direct application of the classical solution. First, the limit is a minimum with 111, so convergence carries no information on the half line where S=1S = 1S=1: equation (4) holds only where S(x)<1S(x) < 1S(x)<1, and it does not determine SSS by itself (the paper exhibits S0(x)=e−xS_0(x) = e^{-x}S0​(x)=e−x for x≥1x \ge 1x≥1, S0=1S_0 = 1S0​=1 for x<1x < 1x<1, which satisfies (4) with A=1A = 1A=1, B(y)=yB(y) = yB(y)=y, yet 1−S01 - S_01−S0​ is of no limit type); Lemma 2 is needed to recover SSS where S=1S = 1S=1. Second, the solutions of the shifted equation φ(x)+φ(y)=φ(B(y)+x)\varphi(x) + \varphi(y) = \varphi(B(y) + x)φ(x)+φ(y)=φ(B(y)+x) for a monotone φ\varphiφ are not only linear: a periodic perturbation is possible, and its analysis produces the discrete laws through the integer part. A proof that assumes continuity of SSS misses Πγ\Pi_\gammaΠγ​ and Γγ,α\Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}Γγ,α​.

Formalization scope

The law of XXX is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR; R(x)=μ((x,∞))R(x) = \mu((x,\infty))R(x)=μ((x,∞)) and Ft(x)=μ((t,t+x])/μ((t,∞))F_t(x) = \mu((t, t+x])/\mu((t,\infty))Ft​(x)=μ((t,t+x])/μ((t,∞)), with probabilities taken as real numbers. Every statement assumes μ((x,∞))>0\mu((x,\infty)) > 0μ((x,∞))>0 for all xxx, the paper's standing assumption; Lean's division by zero would otherwise make the conditional laws meaningless. The normalizations satisfy a(t)>0a(t) > 0a(t)>0 for all ttt (only large ttt matter). A limit distribution function is the distribution function of a probability measure ν\nuν on R\mathbb RR, so no mass escapes to ±∞\pm\infty±∞; nondegenerate means ν\nuν is not a point mass; the limit tail is S(x)=ν((x,∞))S(x) = \nu((x,\infty))S(x)=ν((x,∞)), which is right-continuous. Weak convergence is convergence at the continuity points of the limit and nowhere else. The integer part is Int.floor. Each limit law is defined to be 000 for x<0x < 0x<0.

Theorem 1 is stated in the normalization (1) of the theorem, the lemmas and cases in the normalization (2) of §1, as printed. Theorem 1 names its fourth family Γα,γ\Gamma_{\alpha,\gamma}Γα,γ​; it is the introduction's Γγ,α\Gamma_{\gamma,\alpha}Γγ,α​. In Lemma 2 the left endpoint x0x_0x0​ may be −∞-\infty−∞ (Case 1 applies the lemma on the whole line), and the condition that B(y)+xA(y)B(y) + xA(y)B(y)+xA(y) lies in (x0,∞)(x_0, \infty)(x0​,∞) for x>x0x > x_0x>x0​ is written out, since (8) presupposes it. "A pair (A(y),B(y))(A(y), B(y))(A(y),B(y)) in Lemma 1" and "A(y)=1A(y) = 1A(y)=1", "A(y)>1A(y) > 1A(y)>1" are stated through pairs satisfying (4); the proof of Lemma 1 shows the pair is unique. The commutation identity is posed without the Case 2 assumption, which its derivation does not use. No hypothesis of the paper is dropped and none is added beyond these readings.

The statement is not trivialized by dropping nondegeneracy (a point-mass limit is always attainable), by requiring convergence at every xxx (which would exclude the discrete types), or by defining the limit laws without the integer part (which would turn the discrete types into continuous ones); the formalization does none of these.

A complete development needs: the residual-life distribution function and the normed tail, weak convergence of distribution functions, types, the four limit laws; then monotone solutions of Cauchy-type functional equations on half lines, with their periodic perturbations. The functional-equation results and the closing-display computations are reusable beyond this mission, for instance for the scale-only Theorem 2 and for the domain-of-attraction results of §§2–3. Proofs of any milestone, of alternative routes to Theorem 1, and of the closing display for each family separately are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. A. Balkema, L. de Haan, Residual Life Time at Great Age, The Annals of Probability 2 (1974), no. 5, 792–804. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996548 (the source of every statement of this mission: the published article).
  • B. Gnedenko, Sur la distribution limite du terme maximum d'une série aléatoire, Annals of Mathematics 44 (1943), 423–453. https://doi.org/10.2307/1968974
  • J. Pickands III, Statistical Inference Using Extreme Order Statistics, The Annals of Statistics 3 (1975), 119–131. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176343003
  • W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. II, Wiley, 1966.
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Simulation Output Analysis Using Standardized Time Series 1: For Every g in the Class 𝓜, (Ȳₙ(1) − μ)/g(Ȳₙ) ⇒ B(1)/g(B) Under the FCLT (2.1)Research Paper

Motivation

A discrete-event simulation of a queue, an inventory system or a communication network produces an output process Y={Y(t):t≥0}Y = \{Y(t) : t \ge 0\}Y={Y(t):t≥0}, and the quantity of interest is usually its steady-state mean μ\muμ, the long-run average of YYY. The natural estimator is the time average Yˉn(1)=1n∫0nY(s) ds\bar Y_n(1) = \frac1n\int_0^n Y(s)\,dsYˉn​(1)=n1​∫0n​Y(s)ds of a run of length nnn. A confidence interval for μ\muμ needs the scale of the fluctuations of Yˉn(1)\bar Y_n(1)Yˉn​(1), the variance constant σ2\sigma^2σ2 of the central limit theorem n1/2(Yˉn(1)−μ)⇒σN(0,1)n^{1/2}(\bar Y_n(1) - \mu) \Rightarrow \sigma N(0,1)n1/2(Yˉn​(1)−μ)⇒σN(0,1). For correlated simulation output, σ2\sigma^2σ2 is a sum of autocovariances at all lags and is hard to estimate consistently.

The method of standardized time series (STS), introduced by Schruben (Schruben 1983), avoids estimating σ\sigmaσ: it divides the centred time average by a functional of the whole observed path that scales like σ\sigmaσ, so that σ\sigmaσ cancels. Batch means, the standardized sum, and the standardized maximum are all of this form.

Glynn and Iglehart (Glynn & Iglehart 1990) put the method on a general footing. They require only a functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for YYY, and they identify an abstract class M\mathcal MM of standardizing functionals for which the cancellation works. This mission formalizes their basic limit theorem, Theorem 2.4, and the four claims of its proof. Two companion results of §2, display (2.2) and the weak law Yˉn(1)⇒μ\bar Y_n(1) \Rightarrow \muYˉn​(1)⇒μ, are included as further targets.

Setting

C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1] is the space of continuous real functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] with the uniform norm and its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra; k∈C[0,1]k \in C[0,1]k∈C[0,1] is the identity path k(t)=tk(t) = tk(t)=t. For g:C[0,1]→Rg : C[0,1] \to \mathbb Rg:C[0,1]→R, D(g)D(g)D(g) is the discontinuity set of ggg, the set of xxx at which ggg is not continuous. A standard Brownian motion BBB on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) is a random element of C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1] with Gaussian finite-dimensional laws, B(0)=0B(0) = 0B(0)=0 and Cov⁡(B(s),B(t))=min⁡(s,t)\operatorname{Cov}(B(s), B(t)) = \min(s,t)Cov(B(s),B(t))=min(s,t).

The output YYY is a real-valued measurable process. Its scaled partial-integral process and its centred, rescaled version are

Yˉn(t)=1n∫0ntY(s) ds,Xn(t)=n1/2(Yˉn(t)−μt),0≤t≤1.\bar Y_n(t) = \frac1n\int_0^{nt} Y(s)\,ds, \qquad X_n(t) = n^{1/2}\bigl(\bar Y_n(t) - \mu t\bigr), \qquad 0 \le t \le 1 .Yˉn​(t)=n1​∫0nt​Y(s)ds,Xn​(t)=n1/2(Yˉn​(t)−μt),0≤t≤1.

Assumption (2.1) asks for finite constants μ\muμ and σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 such that Xn⇒σBX_n \Rightarrow \sigma BXn​⇒σB as n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞, weak convergence of random elements of C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]. It holds for ϕ\phiϕ-mixing, strongly mixing, associated and regenerative output processes, among others.

The class M\mathcal MM of (2.3) consists of the measurable g:C[0,1]→Rg : C[0,1] \to \mathbb Rg:C[0,1]→R with

  1. g(αx)=αg(x)g(\alpha x) = \alpha g(x)g(αx)=αg(x) for α>0\alpha > 0α>0 (positive homogeneity);
  2. g(x−βk)=g(x)g(x - \beta k) = g(x)g(x−βk)=g(x) for β∈R\beta \in \mathbb Rβ∈R (invariance under subtracting a linear drift);
  3. P{g(B)>0}=1P\{g(B) > 0\} = 1P{g(B)>0}=1;
  4. P{B∈D(g)}=0P\{B \in D(g)\} = 0P{B∈D(g)}=0.

The proof uses the auxiliary map h(x)=x(1)/g(x)h(x) = x(1)/g(x)h(x)=x(1)/g(x) for g(x)≠0g(x) \ne 0g(x)=0 and h(x)=0h(x) = 0h(x)=0 otherwise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4

For every g∈Mg \in \mathcal Mg∈M, under Assumption (2.1),

Yˉn(1)−μg(Yˉn)⇒B(1)g(B)(n→∞).(2.5)\frac{\bar Y_n(1) - \mu}{g(\bar Y_n)} \Rightarrow \frac{B(1)}{g(B)} \qquad (n \to \infty). \tag{2.5}g(Yˉn​)Yˉn​(1)−μ​⇒g(B)B(1)​(n→∞).(2.5)

Milestones: the four claims of the proof (p. 3)

  1. P{σB∈D(h)}=0P\{\sigma B \in D(h)\} = 0P{σB∈D(h)}=0.
  2. h(Xn)⇒h(σB)h(X_n) \Rightarrow h(\sigma B)h(Xn​)⇒h(σB).
  3. h(σB)=B(1)/g(B)h(\sigma B) = B(1)/g(B)h(σB)=B(1)/g(B), by (2.3i).
  4. h(Xn)=(Yˉn(1)−μ)/g(Yˉn)h(X_n) = (\bar Y_n(1) - \mu)/g(\bar Y_n)h(Xn​)=(Yˉn​(1)−μ)/g(Yˉn​) for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, by (2.3i) and (2.3ii).

Companions

n1/2(Yˉn(1)−μ)⇒σB(1)(2.2)n^{1/2}\bigl(\bar Y_n(1) - \mu\bigr) \Rightarrow \sigma B(1) \tag{2.2}n1/2(Yˉn​(1)−μ)⇒σB(1)(2.2)

and Yˉn(1)⇒μ\bar Y_n(1) \Rightarrow \muYˉn​(1)⇒μ.

Significance

Theorem 2.4 is the limit theorem behind every STS confidence interval. The limit B(1)/g(B)B(1)/g(B)B(1)/g(B) is free of σ\sigmaσ and of the output process, so with zzz chosen so that P{−z≤B(1)/g(B)≤z}P\{-z \le B(1)/g(B) \le z\}P{−z≤B(1)/g(B)≤z} equals a prescribed level, the interval Yˉn(1)±z g(Yˉn)\bar Y_n(1) \pm z\,g(\bar Y_n)Yˉn​(1)±zg(Yˉn​) has asymptotically exact coverage for μ\muμ. Each choice of g∈Mg \in \mathcal Mg∈M gives a method: batch means with a fixed number of batches, Schruben's standardized sum, the standardized maximum. The later sections of the paper compare the lengths of these intervals with those of consistent-estimation intervals, and those comparisons start from Theorem 2.4.

The theorem is classical and its proof is short on paper. What is missing is a machine-checked version. The formal proof needs a continuous mapping theorem for maps that are continuous only almost surely at the limit, on the non-locally-compact space C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]; Mathlib has the version for continuous maps only. A formal Theorem 2.4 also makes the class M\mathcal MM and the C[0,1]-valued FCLT available for the other results of the paper, the expected-length lower bound and its non-attainment, which are formalized in sibling missions.

Difficulty

The algebra (milestones 3 and 4) is elementary. The difficulty is the continuous-mapping step. The map hhh is in general not continuous: it can be discontinuous wherever ggg is and wherever ggg vanishes, and ggg itself may be discontinuous on a large set (the standardized maximum is). The continuous mapping theorem for continuous maps does not apply. One needs its almost-sure form: if Xn⇒XX_n \Rightarrow XXn​⇒X and P{X∈D(h)}=0P\{X \in D(h)\} = 0P{X∈D(h)}=0, then h(Xn)⇒h(X)h(X_n) \Rightarrow h(X)h(Xn​)⇒h(X). The class M\mathcal MM controls D(g)D(g)D(g) only along the law of BBB, and the hypothesis of the almost-sure theorem is about D(h)D(h)D(h) at the scaled limit σB\sigma BσB, so the conditions (2.3iii) and (2.3iv) have to be transported from BBB to σB\sigma BσB and from ggg to hhh.

Formalization scope

C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1] is C(unitInterval, ℝ) with its sup-norm topology; the Borel MeasurableSpace instance is declared in the mission's definition file, since Mathlib has none at this commit. Weak convergence is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution, for the C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]-valued FCLT and for the real-valued conclusions. The standard Brownian motion is a measurable C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]-valued map whose coordinates agree, for every ω\omegaω, with a process satisfying Mathlib's IsBrownianReal. D(g)D(g)D(g) is the set of points where ContinuousAt g fails, and P{B∈D(g)}P\{B \in D(g)\}P{B∈D(g)} is an outer measure, so no measurability of D(g)D(g)D(g) is assumed.

Yˉn\bar Y_nYˉn​ is a C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]-valued parameter pinned pointwise by Yˉn(t)=1n∫0ntY(s) ds\bar Y_n(t) = \frac1n\int_0^{nt}Y(s)\,dsYˉn​(t)=n1​∫0nt​Y(s)ds, so it is determined by YYY. Assumption (2.1) carries joint measurability of YYY and local integrability of each path; the second is implicit in the paper and makes Yˉn\bar Y_nYˉn​ defined. The index nnn runs over N\mathbb NN, and milestone 4 assumes n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 because (2.3i) is applied with α=n1/2\alpha = n^{1/2}α=n1/2. Real division by zero returns 000 in Lean, which agrees with the paper's convention for hhh; it matters only on events of probability zero in the limit. Condition (2.3iii) is printed "P{g(b)>0}=1P\{g(b) > 0\} = 1P{g(b)>0}=1" and is read as P{g(B)>0}=1P\{g(B) > 0\} = 1P{g(B)>0}=1.

Condition (2.3iv) is stated with the discontinuity set, not as continuity of ggg: requiring ggg continuous everywhere would exclude the standardized maximum of Example 3.10 and would make the continuous-mapping step trivial. The goal assumes nothing about hhh, D(h)D(h)D(h) or any mapping theorem; these appear only in the milestones.

Contributions welcome: the almost-sure continuous mapping theorem for TendstoInDistribution on a metric space (reusable well beyond this mission), the cone property of D(g)D(g)D(g) under positive homogeneity, and evaluation at a point as a continuous map on C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]. Mathlib does not yet construct a Brownian motion with continuous paths as a C[0,1]C[0,1]C[0,1]-valued random element, so the hypotheses cannot be instantiated inside Lean; this is a hypothesis on BBB, not a vacuity.

Selected references

  • P. W. Glynn and D. L. Iglehart, Simulation output analysis using standardized time series, Mathematics of Operations Research 15(1):1–16, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.1.1
  • L. Schruben, Confidence interval estimation using standardized time series, Operations Research 31(6):1090–1108, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.31.6.1090
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, Wiley, 1968 (Theorem 5.1, the continuous mapping theorem).
  • K. L. Chung, A Course in Probability Theory, 2nd ed., Academic Press, 1974 (p. 93, converging-together lemma).
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CombinatoricsLinear Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Linear Programming Approach to the Cutting Stock Problem—Part II 1: The Lexicographic Knapsack Method Terminates, and M_1 Equals max(c_1, the Knapsack Optimum for the Longest Stock Length L_1)Research Paper

Motivation

The cutting stock problem asks how to cut standard stock rolls of length LLL into pieces of demanded lengths l1,…,lml_1,\dots,l_ml1​,…,lm​ so that the demands are met at least cost. Gilmore and Gomory solved its linear programming relaxation by column generation (Part I, Opns. Res. 9 (1961)): every cutting pattern is a column, and the column to bring into the basis is found by solving an integer knapsack problem whose objective is given by the current dual prices. In Part II (Opns. Res. 11 (1963)) they replaced the dynamic-programming knapsack solver of Part I by a lexicographic enumeration with a bound test, the Knapsack Method, and reported it to be about five times as fast as dynamic programming on their problem set (p. 866). The method is an early enumeration-with-bounds (branch-and-bound type) procedure for the integer knapsack, and the same pricing problem remains the inner loop of column generation for cutting stock, bin packing and their many variants.

Setting

There are mmm demanded lengths l1,…,lm>0l_1,\dots,l_m>0l1​,…,lm​>0 with linear programming prices b1,…,bm≥0b_1,\dots,b_m\ge0b1​,…,bm​≥0, and kkk standard stock lengths L1,…,LkL_1,\dots,L_kL1​,…,Lk​ with costs c1,…,ckc_1,\dots,c_kc1​,…,ck​. A column for LjL_jLj​ is a vector (α)m=(a1,…,am)(\alpha)_m=(a_1,\dots,a_m)(α)m​=(a1​,…,am​) of nonnegative integers with ∑iliai≤Lj\sum_i l_ia_i\le L_j∑i​li​ai​≤Lj​. The knapsack problem (1) for LjL_jLj​ is

Mˉj=max⁡{∑i=1mbiai:ai∈Z≥0, ∑i=1mliai≤Lj},\bar M_j=\max\Big\{\sum_{i=1}^m b_ia_i : a_i\in\mathbb Z_{\ge0},\ \sum_{i=1}^m l_ia_i\le L_j\Big\},Mˉj​=max{i=1∑m​bi​ai​:ai​∈Z≥0​, i=1∑m​li​ai​≤Lj​},

and the quantity to compute is Mj=max⁡(cj,Mˉj)M_j=\max(c_j,\bar M_j)Mj​=max(cj​,Mˉj​): a column improves the linear program exactly when Mˉj>cj\bar M_j>c_jMˉj​>cj​.

For a prefix (α)s=(a1,…,as)(\alpha)_s=(a_1,\dots,a_s)(α)s​=(a1​,…,as​) write λ⋅(α)s=∑i≤sliai\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_s=\sum_{i\le s}l_ia_iλ⋅(α)s​=∑i≤s​li​ai​ and β⋅(α)s=∑i≤sbiai\beta\cdot(\alpha)_s=\sum_{i\le s}b_ia_iβ⋅(α)s​=∑i≤s​bi​ai​. Step (1) sorts the data, b1/l1≥⋯≥bm/lmb_1/l_1\ge\dots\ge b_m/l_mb1​/l1​≥⋯≥bm​/lm​ and L1>⋯>LkL_1>\dots>L_kL1​>⋯>Lk​, and appends a slack item am+1a_{m+1}am+1​ with bm+1=0b_{m+1}=0bm+1​=0, lm+1=1l_{m+1}=1lm+1​=1. The method then generates vectors in decreasing lexicographic order:

  • Steps (2) and (7) fill the coefficients after a prefix greedily, ai=[(L−used)/li]a_i=[(L-\text{used})/l_i]ai​=[(L−used)/li​], for L=L1L=L_1L=L1​ at the start and L=LtL=L_tL=Lt​ later.
  • Step (3) records β⋅(α)m\beta\cdot(\alpha)_mβ⋅(α)m​ as the new MjM_jMj​ for each j≥tj\ge tj≥t with Lj≥λ⋅(α)mL_j\ge\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_mLj​≥λ⋅(α)m​ and β⋅(α)m>Mj\beta\cdot(\alpha)_m>M_jβ⋅(α)m​>Mj​.
  • Step (4) finds the last nonzero coefficient asa_sas​.
  • Step (5) lowers asa_sas​ by one and looks for the smallest jjj with Lj≥λ⋅(α)sL_j\ge\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_sLj​≥λ⋅(α)s​ and (Lj−λ⋅(α)s)bs+1>(Mj−β⋅(α)s)ls+1(L_j-\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_s)b_{s+1}>(M_j-\beta\cdot(\alpha)_s)l_{s+1}(Lj​−λ⋅(α)s​)bs+1​>(Mj​−β⋅(α)s​)ls+1​. This is the bound obtained by relaxing the integrality of as+1a_{s+1}as+1​.
  • Step (6) backs up to the previous nonzero coefficient when no such jjj exists, and stops when there is none.

In Lean the method is a transition system Step on states (a, s, t, M, phase). Reachable means reachable from the start state of Step (2).

Formalization targets

Goal: the method terminates and computes M1M_1M1​

Under Step (1)'s ordering, with li>0l_i>0li​>0 and bi≥0b_i\ge0bi​≥0:

every run is finite,a non-final state has a successor,M1final=max⁡(c1,Mˉ1),\text{every run is finite},\quad \text{a non-final state has a successor},\quad M_1^{\text{final}}=\max\big(c_1,\bar M_1\big),every run is finite,a non-final state has a successor,M1final​=max(c1​,Mˉ1​),

and at the end every MjM_jMj​ is cjc_jcj​ or the price of a column for LjL_jLj​, with cj≤Mjc_j\le M_jcj​≤Mj​. With one stock length (k=1k=1k=1) this is the paper's correctness claim in full: the method solves the knapsack problem (1).

Milestones

  1. Steps (2)/(7): the greedy completion is the lexicographically largest extension of a prefix that fits the capacity.
  2. Step (4): the lexicographic predecessor of a fitting vector extends (α1)s(\alpha^1)_s(α1)s​.
  3. The relaxation bound β⋅(α′)m≤β⋅(α)s+bs+1(L−λ⋅(α)s)/ls+1\beta\cdot(\alpha')_m\le\beta\cdot(\alpha)_s+b_{s+1}(L-\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_s)/l_{s+1}β⋅(α′)m​≤β⋅(α)s​+bs+1​(L−λ⋅(α)s​)/ls+1​ for every fitting extension.
  4. After the inequality of Step (5)'s test fails, no vector between (α)s(\alpha)_s(α)s​ and the successor of Step (6) improves MMM.
  5. The vectors tested in Step (3) strictly decrease lexicographically.
  6. The invariant on entry to Step (3).
  7. Identical prices: among lengths with equal prices only the shortest is needed (p. 869).

Significance

The goal certifies the pricing oracle of the Gilmore–Gomory column-generation method: the knapsack solver it calls returns the true optimum. The pricing step is exact only if that holds, and so is the conclusion "no improving column exists, the LP is solved". Milestones 1–4 are reusable on their own. They are the textbook ingredients of lexicographic and depth-first branch-and-bound for the integer knapsack: the greedy completion, the density-ordered LP bound, and the pruning rule.

The paper's argument is a short paragraph, "clear from the order in which the mmm-vectors are generated". Writing it out shows that the claim is false for several stock lengths as the steps are printed. With m=1m=1m=1, l1=b1=1l_1=b_1=1l1​=b1​=1, L=(5,2)L=(5,2)L=(5,2) and c=(0,0)c=(0,0)c=(0,0), the method tests (5)(5)(5). The test of Step (5) at (4)(4)(4) then fails for j=2j=2j=2 only because 4>L24>L_24>L2​, Step (6) stops, and the run ends with M2=0M_2=0M2​=0 while the column (2)(2)(2) has price 2. This mission therefore states what the printed algorithm does achieve. The result is the full claim for k=1k=1k=1 and for the longest stock length in general. A sorry-free Lean proof of the counterexample run accompanies the mission. No part of the method or its correctness has been formalized before, as far as a search of the platform shows.

Difficulty

The method skips large parts of the lexicographic order in three ways:

  • Step (7) jumps to the greedy completion for LtL_tLt​ rather than L1L_1L1​.
  • Step (6) jumps past every smaller value of asa_sas​ once one test fails.
  • Step (3) updates only j≥tj\ge tj≥t.

Each skip has to be justified by a bound that holds for every vector skipped, and the justifications interact. A skipped vector may fit a longer stock length but not LtL_tLt​, and the bound for L1L_1L1​ must cover exactly those vectors. The invariant that survives all three moves is not the naive "every vector above the current one has been examined": the vectors are not examined, only bounded. Termination needs the lexicographic decrease together with finiteness of the fitting vectors, and progress needs the reachability invariants 1≤s≤m1\le s\le m1≤s≤m and as≠0a_s\ne0as​=0 that make Step (5) meaningful.

Formalization scope

  • Items are Fin m from 0. The paper's level sss is a natural number, and the prefix (α)s(\alpha)_s(α)s​ is the coordinates with index < s. Stock lengths are Fin k, and L1L_1L1​ is index 0. The slack item enters only through bs+1b_{s+1}bs+1​ and ls+1l_{s+1}ls+1​ at s=ms=ms=m. The lexicographic order is Mathlib's Pi.Lex, and [x][x][x] is Nat.floor.

  • Mj=max⁡(cj,Mˉj)M_j=\max(c_j,\bar M_j)Mj​=max(cj​,Mˉj​) is the predicate IsKnapsackMax, never a real supremum, which would be 0 on an empty set. The algorithm's output is never defined as the maximum. The goal includes termination and progress, so its correctness clause is not vacuous. Every invariant is stated for reachable states only.

  • The goal adds two disclosed hypotheses:

    • li>0l_i>0li​>0: demanded lengths.
    • bi≥0b_i\ge0bi​≥0: with a negative price the method is wrong, and the paper applies it to cutting-stock prices, which are nonnegative.

    Step (1) is a hypothesis on the data, not a step.

  • The goal also makes these corrections:

    • The claim is narrowed. For every jjj it states cj≤Mjc_j\le M_jcj​≤Mj​ and attainment, and the upper bound for L1L_1L1​ only (see Significance).
    • The lexicographic order is repaired. The page's definition misses vectors that differ in their first coefficient.
    • Step (7) reads λ·(α)_m. The page's "satisfies Lt≥λ⋅(α)sL_t\ge\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_sLt​≥λ⋅(α)s​" is read as λ⋅(α)m\lambda\cdot(\alpha)_mλ⋅(α)m​.
    • Step (4) gets a stopping case. On the zero vector, where the page has no case, the method stops.
    • Milestone 4 is stated for the failed inequality, not for a failed test, because the failed test is what makes the page's successor claim false.
  • Not formalized:

    • Step (3′), the variant computing max⁡j(Mj−cj)\max_j(M_j-c_j)maxj​(Mj​−cj​).
    • The record of patterns.
    • The dynamic-programming recursion and the timing estimates.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and a corrected multi-length variant of the method with a proof that it computes every MjM_jMj​.

Selected references

  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting stock problem—Part II, Operations Research 11(6) (1963), 863–888. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.863
  • P. C. Gilmore, R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting-stock problem, Operations Research 9(6) (1961), 849–859. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • G. B. Dantzig, Discrete-variable extremum problems, Operations Research 5(2) (1957), 266–288. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.5.2.266
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Linear Programming Approach to the Cutting Stock Problem—Part II 2: For a Linear-Fractional Objective, a Basic Feasible Solution with No Improving Edge Is a Global MinimumResearch Paper

Motivation

In the cutting stock problem, stock rolls of length LLL are cut into pieces of lengths l1,…,lml_1,\dots,l_ml1​,…,lm​ to fill orders. Part I of Gilmore and Gomory's work (Opns. Res. 9 (1961)) solved its linear programming relaxation by the simplex method with column generation: the columns (cutting patterns) are too many to list, so each simplex iteration finds an improving column by solving a knapsack problem. Part II (Opns. Res. 11 (1963)) extends the method in several directions. One of them, customer tolerances, lets the amount produced of each length lie in a range [Ni′,Ni′′][N_i',N_i''][Ni′​,Ni′′​] instead of matching a fixed demand. Total roll usage then stops being a good measure of quality, because overproducing within the tolerance is free. The natural objective becomes the fraction of waste: total waste divided by total material cut. This objective is a ratio of two linear functions, not a linear one.

The paper's answer, on p. 882, is that the ordinary simplex method still works for such an objective. It moves from vertex to vertex, at each vertex asks whether some edge improves the objective, and stops when none does. Ratio objectives of this kind, called linear-fractional programs, were studied in the same years by Isbell and Marlow (1956), Martos (1960–61, in Hungarian; in English in 1964), Charnes and Cooper (1962) and Dinkelbach (1962; see also 1967). Gilmore and Gomory say that their method is closest to Martos's. They derive the edge test for the ratio and show that, for cutting stock, choosing the entering column is again a knapsack problem.

Setting

Let AAA be a real m×nm\times nm×n matrix, b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm and c,d∈Rnc,d\in\mathbb R^nc,d∈Rn. The linear-fractional program is

minimizeζ(x)=z1(x)z2(x)=∑icixi∑idixisubject toAx=b, x≥0.\text{minimize}\quad \zeta(x)=\frac{z_1(x)}{z_2(x)}=\frac{\sum_i c_ix_i}{\sum_i d_ix_i}\qquad\text{subject to}\quad Ax=b,\ x\ge 0 .minimizeζ(x)=z2​(x)z1​(x)​=∑i​di​xi​∑i​ci​xi​​subject toAx=b, x≥0.

In the cutting stock instance (p. 881), column jjj is either a cutting pattern aj∈Z≥0ma_j\in\mathbb Z^m_{\ge0}aj​∈Z≥0m​ with ∑iaijli≤L\sum_ia_{ij}l_i\le L∑i​aij​li​≤L or a slack column −ei-e_i−ei​. The right-hand side is bi=Ni′b_i=N_i'bi​=Ni′​. The numerator coefficient of a pattern is its waste wj=L−∑iaijliw_j=L-\sum_ia_{ij}l_iwj​=L−∑i​aij​li​ (eq. (4)), and dj=1d_j=1dj​=1 on patterns and 000 on slacks, so ζ\zetaζ is waste per roll cut. The paper drops the upper bounds si≤Ni′′−Ni′s_i\le N_i''-N_i'si​≤Ni′′​−Ni′​ on the slacks from the discussion (p. 882), and so does this mission.

A basis is a set BBB of mmm column indices whose columns of AAA are linearly independent. A basic feasible solution xˉ\bar xxˉ with basis BBB is a feasible point with xˉk=0\bar x_k=0xˉk​=0 for every k∉Bk\notin Bk∈/B. For a nonbasic j∉Bj\notin Bj∈/B, the edge direction of xjx_jxj​ is the vector vvv with Av=0Av=0Av=0, vj=1v_j=1vj​=1 and vk=0v_k=0vk​=0 for the other nonbasic kkk. This is "the edge that would be traced out if xjx_jxj​ were increased, but all other nonbasic variables kept zero" (p. 883). The quantity the simplex test inspects is the rate of change along the edge,

dζdxj=ddτ ζ(xˉ+τv)∣τ=0.\frac{d\zeta}{dx_j}=\frac{d}{d\tau}\,\zeta(\bar x+\tau v)\Big|_{\tau=0}.dxj​dζ​=dτd​ζ(xˉ+τv)​τ=0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the edge criterion (p. 882)

Assume ∑idixi>0\sum_id_ix_i>0∑i​di​xi​>0 for every feasible xxx. Let xˉ\bar xxˉ be a basic feasible solution with basis BBB, and suppose dζ/dxj≥0d\zeta/dx_j\ge0dζ/dxj​≥0 for every j∉Bj\notin Bj∈/B and every edge direction of xjx_jxj​. Then

ζ(xˉ)≤ζ(x)for every x≥0 with Ax=b.\zeta(\bar x)\le\zeta(x)\qquad\text{for every } x\ge0 \text{ with } Ax=b .ζ(xˉ)≤ζ(x)for every x≥0 with Ax=b.

Milestones (p. 882–883)

  1. Monotonicity along lines. On an interval where the denominator does not vanish, τ↦ζ(x+τv)\tau\mapsto\zeta(x+\tau v)τ↦ζ(x+τv) is strictly increasing, strictly decreasing or constant. Moreover f′(τ) D(τ)2f'(\tau)\,D(\tau)^2f′(τ)D(τ)2 is constant, where DDD is the denominator.
  2. Equation (5), first line.
dζdxj=z2 (dz1/dxj)−z1 (dz2/dxj)z22.\frac{d\zeta}{dx_j}=\frac{z_2\,(dz_1/dx_j)-z_1\,(dz_2/dx_j)}{z_2^2}.dxj​dζ​=z22​z2​(dz1​/dxj​)−z1​(dz2​/dxj​)​.
  1. The edge test. If dζ/dxj<0d\zeta/dx_j<0dζ/dxj​<0, increasing xjx_jxj​ strictly decreases ζ\zetaζ along any segment where the denominator does not vanish. Otherwise ζ\zetaζ does not decrease anywhere on that segment.
  2. Column choice is a knapsack problem. With k=Lz2−z1k=Lz_2-z_1k=Lz2​−z1​ and Πˉi=−(z1Πi2−z2Πi1−z2li)\bar\Pi_i=-(z_1\Pi^2_i-z_2\Pi^1_i-z_2l_i)Πˉi​=−(z1​Πi2​−z2​Πi1​−z2​li​), the numerator of dζ/dxjd\zeta/dx_jdζ/dxj​ for pattern aaa equals k−∑iΠˉiaik-\sum_i\bar\Pi_ia_ik−∑i​Πˉi​ai​. Hence, for z2≠0z_2\ne0z2​=0, the most negative dζ/dxjd\zeta/dx_jdζ/dxj​ is attained exactly by the patterns maximizing ∑iΠˉiai\sum_i\bar\Pi_ia_i∑i​Πˉi​ai​ subject to ∑iaili≤L\sum_ia_il_i\le L∑i​ai​li​≤L.

Significance

The result. The edge criterion turns a nonconvex problem into one the simplex method solves. A ratio of linear functions is neither convex nor concave, so a point where no feasible direction improves the objective locally is not obviously a global minimum. The criterion says that, on a polyhedron where the denominator keeps its sign, this local test at a vertex certifies global optimality, exactly as for a linear objective. It underlies the convergence of Martos's method and of every simplex-type algorithm for linear-fractional programming. Together with milestone 4, it is what makes column generation with a knapsack pricing step applicable to the waste-fraction objective of cutting stock.

Formalizing it. The result is classical and proved; no machine-checked version is known to exist. The published platform items closest to it are Derman's Charnes–Cooper transformation of a linear-fractional program into a linear program and Matoušek's reduced-cost optimality criterion for a linear objective. Neither states an edge criterion for a ratio. A formal proof here also settles the paper's own imprecisions (see below), and yields reusable lemmas about ratios of affine functions along lines.

Difficulty

The obvious argument does not reach the goal. Along any single segment the objective is monotone (milestone 1), so a nonnegative derivative at xˉ\bar xxˉ in the direction of the segment would settle it. But the test at xˉ\bar xxˉ inspects only the n−mn-mn−m edge directions, while a feasible point xxx lies in the direction x−xˉx-\bar xx−xˉ, which is in general not an edge. Monotonicity along each edge says nothing directly about other directions, and ζ\zetaζ is neither convex nor concave, so local optimality along a few lines does not by itself transfer to the whole polyhedron. The step that has to be supplied is the passage from the edges to all feasible directions at a basic solution. It fails without the basis: at a feasible point that is not basic, or with linearly dependent columns, the edge directions need not reach every feasible point. At a degenerate vertex some edge directions leave the feasible set at once, and a test restricted to the feasible edges does not certify optimality.

Formalization scope

The feasible set and the objective are the published definitions DermanSeqDecisions.LinProg.IsFeasible11 (x≥0x\ge0x≥0, Ax=bAx=bAx=b) and DermanSeqDecisions.LinProg.fracObj ((∑cixi)/(∑dixi)(\sum c_ix_i)/(\sum d_ix_i)(∑ci​xi​)/(∑di​xi​)). The basis is the published MatousekLP.BFS.IsBasis. Indices are 0-based. A mission definition adds the basic feasible solution and the relational edge direction. The edge direction is given by its defining equations, not through a basis inverse, and is not required to be feasible.

Committed conventions and disclosed choices:

  • The goal is stated for minimization, the paper's problem; the paper's sentence says "maximize", which is the same statement for −c-c−c.
  • "In a domain where the denominator does not vanish" is the hypothesis ∑idixi>0\sum_id_ix_i>0∑i​di​xi​>0 for every feasible xxx (the paper's footnote: ∑jxj>0\sum_jx_j>0∑j​xj​>0). It is not required on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, where it would be unsatisfiable for the cutting stock ddd.
  • The derivative in the test is Mathlib's deriv of τ↦ζ(xˉ+τv)\tau\mapsto\zeta(\bar x+\tau v)τ↦ζ(xˉ+τv) at 000: the actual rate of change, not a formula assumed to equal it.
  • The page says that along a line the derivative "will have the same value". This is false when the denominator varies along the line. Milestone 1 states the correct version: the derivative times the squared denominator is constant, so the sign is constant.
  • In the formula after substituting (4), the page prints the coefficient −li-l_i−li​ where −z2li-z_2l_i−z2​li​ is meant. Milestone 4 uses the corrected coefficient.
  • The slack upper bounds are dropped, as on p. 882.

The following would trivialize the goal and are excluded: an edge hypothesis over all directions vvv instead of the edge directions, which turns the goal into quasi-convexity along segments; an edge hypothesis stated as the global inequality; a positivity hypothesis on the denominator over all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn; and dropping the basis, under which the goal is false.

The development needs elementary real calculus (derivatives of quotients, monotonicity from the sign of the derivative) and the linear algebra of a basis (existence, uniqueness and spanning of the edge directions). The lemmas about ratios of affine functions along lines and about edge directions of a basis are reusable for any simplex-type method. Contributions of proofs of the milestones, and of auxiliary lemmas on edge directions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting stock problem—Part II, Operations Research 11(6), 863–888, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.863
  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting stock problem, Operations Research 9(6), 849–859, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.6.849
  • B. Martos, Hyperbolic programming, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 11(2), 135–155, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800110204
  • A. Charnes and W. W. Cooper, Programming with linear fractional functionals, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 9(3–4), 181–186, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800090303
  • W. Dinkelbach, Die Maximierung eines Quotienten zweier linearer Funktionen unter linearen Nebenbedingungen, Zeitschrift für Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie 1, 141–145, 1962 (cited by the paper as [11]).
  • W. Dinkelbach, On nonlinear fractional programming, Management Science 13(7), 492–498, 1967. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.13.7.492
  • J. R. Isbell and W. H. Marlow, Attrition games, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3, 71–94, 1956 (cited by the paper as [9]).
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Optimization and Statistical Learning via the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers V: Sharing ADMM — the z-Update Reduces to One n-Variable Problem and the Dual Variables AgreeTextbook

Why consensus and sharing

Many large optimization problems arising in statistics, machine learning, signal processing and resource allocation have an objective that is a sum of terms, each depending on data held by a different processor, or a coupling term that depends on the sum of the agents' decisions. Chapter 7 of Boyd, Parikh, Chu, Peleato and Eckstein's monograph on the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) (Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 3(1), 2011) introduces two templates that turn such problems into distributed algorithms: consensus and sharing. Nearly every distributed application in the rest of the monograph (distributed lasso, distributed logistic regression, splitting across examples and across features in Chapter 8) is an instance of one of the two. Consensus problems in the context of ADMM go back to Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis (Parallel and Distributed Computation, 1989).

The value of the templates lies in a handful of exact algebraic facts about the ADMM subproblems: the global update is an average, the dual variables average to zero, and the sharing update, which looks like a problem in NnNnNn variables, is really a problem in nnn variables. These facts are what this mission formalizes.

Setting

There are N≥1N\ge1N≥1 agents. Vectors live in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean inner product, and an overline denotes an average over agents, vˉ=1N∑i=1Nvi\bar v=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N v_ivˉ=N1​∑i=1N​vi​. Each local cost fif_ifi​ and the shared cost ggg are functions into R∪{+∞}\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}. The penalty parameter is ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0.

Global variable consensus (§7.1) is the problem

minimize ∑i=1Nfi(xi)subject to xi−z=0, i=1,…,N,\text{minimize }\sum_{i=1}^N f_i(x_i)\quad\text{subject to } x_i-z=0,\ i=1,\dots,N,minimize i=1∑N​fi​(xi​)subject to xi​−z=0, i=1,…,N,

with local variables xi∈Rnx_i\in\mathbb R^nxi​∈Rn and a global variable zzz. ADMM alternates a parallel xix_ixi​-update, an averaging zzz-update and a dual update of the multipliers yiy_iyi​. With a regularizer g(z)g(z)g(z) added (7.2), the zzz-update (7.4) becomes a minimization involving ggg.

General form consensus (§7.2) lets local variable xi∈Rnix_i\in\mathbb R^{n_i}xi​∈Rni​ copy only some entries of zzz: entry jjj of xix_ixi​ corresponds to entry zG(i,j)z_{\mathcal G(i,j)}zG(i,j)​, and z~i∈Rni\tilde z_i\in\mathbb R^{n_i}z~i​∈Rni​ is defined by (z~i)j=zG(i,j)(\tilde z_i)_j=z_{\mathcal G(i,j)}(z~i​)j​=zG(i,j)​. The number of local entries copying zgz_gzg​ is kgk_gkg​.

Sharing (§7.3) is the problem

minimize ∑i=1Nfi(xi)+g(∑i=1Nxi),(7.11)\text{minimize }\sum_{i=1}^N f_i(x_i)+g\Big(\sum_{i=1}^N x_i\Big),\tag{7.11}minimize i=1∑N​fi​(xi​)+g(i=1∑N​xi​),(7.11)

written for ADMM with copies ziz_izi​ of the xix_ixi​ (7.12). In scaled form, with ai=uik+xik+1a_i=u_i^k+x_i^{k+1}ai​=uik​+xik+1​, its zzz-update is

(z1k+1,…,zNk+1)∈argmin⁡z1,…,zN g(∑i=1Nzi)+(ρ/2)∑i=1N∥zi−ai∥22,(z_1^{k+1},\dots,z_N^{k+1})\in\operatorname*{argmin}_{z_1,\dots,z_N}\ g\Big(\sum_{i=1}^N z_i\Big)+(\rho/2)\sum_{i=1}^N\|z_i-a_i\|_2^2,(z1k+1​,…,zNk+1​)∈z1​,…,zN​argmin​ g(i=1∑N​zi​)+(ρ/2)i=1∑N​∥zi​−ai​∥22​,

followed by uik+1=uik+xik+1−zik+1u_i^{k+1}=u_i^k+x_i^{k+1}-z_i^{k+1}uik+1​=uik​+xik+1​−zik+1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the sharing zzz-update reduction (§7.3, p. 57)

For every a1,…,aNa_1,\dots,a_Na1​,…,aN​: (z1,…,zN)(z_1,\dots,z_N)(z1​,…,zN​) solves the NnNnNn-variable zzz-update iff zˉ\bar zzˉ solves

minimize⁡zˉ∈Rn g(Nzˉ)+(ρ/2)∑i=1N∥zˉ−aˉ∥22\operatorname*{minimize}_{\bar z\in\mathbb R^n}\ g(N\bar z)+(\rho/2)\sum_{i=1}^N\|\bar z-\bar a\|_2^2zˉ∈Rnminimize​ g(Nzˉ)+(ρ/2)i=1∑N​∥zˉ−aˉ∥22​

and

zi=ai+zˉ−aˉ(7.13);z_i=a_i+\bar z-\bar a\quad (7.13);zi​=ai​+zˉ−aˉ(7.13);

and along every run of sharing ADMM,

uik+1=uˉk+xˉk+1−zˉk+1(7.14),u_i^{k+1}=\bar u^k+\bar x^{k+1}-\bar z^{k+1}\quad(7.14),uik+1​=uˉk+xˉk+1−zˉk+1(7.14),

so all scaled dual variables agree after one step.

Milestones

  • §7.1: the consensus zzz-update is zk+1=xˉk+1+(1/ρ)yˉkz^{k+1}=\bar x^{k+1}+(1/\rho)\bar y^kzk+1=xˉk+1+(1/ρ)yˉ​k; then yˉk+1=0\bar y^{k+1}=0yˉ​k+1=0, zk=xˉkz^k=\bar x^kzk=xˉk and the simplified iteration.
  • (7.4), §7.1.1: with a regularizer, the zzz-update is averaging followed by a proximal step with weight NρN\rhoNρ; the soft-threshold (g=λ∥⋅∥1g=\lambda\|\cdot\|_1g=λ∥⋅∥1​) and positive-part (ggg the indicator of R+n\mathbb R^n_+R+n​) examples.
  • §7.2: the general form zzz-update is local averaging, and the dual entries attached to each global index sum to zero after the first iteration.
  • (7.13): with zˉ\bar zzˉ fixed, zi=ai+zˉ−aˉz_i=a_i+\bar z-\bar azi​=ai​+zˉ−aˉ is the unique minimizer.

Significance

The reduction is what makes sharing ADMM scale: the central step needs only the averages xˉk+1\bar x^{k+1}xˉk+1, uˉk\bar u^kuˉk and one nnn-dimensional proximal problem, regardless of the number of agents, and the dual state collapses to a single vector. The same reduction underlies exchange ADMM (§7.3.2) and the splitting-across-features algorithms of §8.3. The consensus facts explain why the fusion center only averages and why the dual variables can be dropped from its update.

All results of the chapter are proved, informally, in the monograph; they are elementary. To our knowledge none has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces checked statements of the update formulas that later chapters of the series and distributed-optimization developments can cite instead of re-deriving.

Difficulty

The statements are exact identities between minimizer sets of nonsmooth problems in which ggg may be any extended-real-valued function: there is no first-order condition to use, so each step must be argued by comparing objective values, and the iff requires producing, for an arbitrary competitor, a competitor of the reduced problem with no larger value. The index bookkeeping is the other half: averages of sums of sequences indexed by agents and by iterations, the off-by-one in "after the first iteration", and in §7.2 sums over the fibres {(i,j):G(i,j)=g}\{(i,j):\mathcal G(i,j)=g\}{(i,j):G(i,j)=g} of an index map between local vectors of different dimensions.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); agents are indexed by Fin N, so the book's i=1,…,Ni=1,\dots,Ni=1,…,N is Lean's i−1i-1i−1; components are 0-based as well.
  • An extended-real-valued function is encoded by its effective domain (a set) and its finite values; every minimization is over the domain. Convexity is not assumed: none of the stated identities needs it, so the statements are slightly more general than the chapter's standing assumption that each fif_ifi​ is convex.
  • Iterates are hypotheses: a run is any sequence satisfying the update rules (argmin properties, not chosen minimizers). The consensus run uses the averaging formula exactly as printed on p. 49; the general form and sharing runs use the argmin form printed on pp. 55–56.
  • Explicit hypotheses that the book leaves implicit: N≥1N\ge1N≥1, ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 (named lam), kg≥1k_g\ge1kg​≥1 for every global index ggg in §7.2, and the index ranges k≥1k\ge1k≥1 for yˉk=0\bar y^{k}=0yˉ​k=0 and k≥2k\ge2k≥2 for zk=xˉkz^k=\bar x^kzk=xˉk (the starting y0y^0y0 is arbitrary).
  • Corrected misprints: p. 52 prints xˉk+1−(1/ρ)yˉk\bar x^{k+1}-(1/\rho)\bar y^kxˉk+1−(1/ρ)yˉ​k in the soft-threshold and positive-part examples, while the proximal form gives xˉk+1+(1/ρ)yˉk\bar x^{k+1}+(1/\rho)\bar y^kxˉk+1+(1/ρ)yˉ​k; p. 55 prints ∑i=1m\sum_{i=1}^m∑i=1m​ for ∑i=1N\sum_{i=1}^N∑i=1N​; p. 57 writes u∈Rmu\in\mathbf R^mu∈Rm for a vector of Rn\mathbb R^nRn.
  • The goal is about minimizers of the NnNnNn-variable zzz-subproblem, not the algebraic identity (7.13) alone, and (7.14) is derived for every run rather than built into a single-dual-variable definition; either shortcut would make the goal trivial.
  • Not included: the consensus residual norms (p. 51), the duality discussion of §7.3.1 and exchange ADMM (§7.3.2). Contributions formalizing them on top of these definitions are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Boyd, N. Parikh, E. Chu, B. Peleato, J. Eckstein, Distributed Optimization and Statistical Learning via the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 3(1), 1–122, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000016
  • D. P. Bertsekas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Parallel and Distributed Computation: Numerical Methods, Prentice Hall, 1989. https://web.mit.edu/dimitrib/www/pdc.html
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Power of Robust Solutions in Two-Stage Stochastic and Adaptive Optimization Problems 5: For Hypercube Uncertainty, Even in the Constraints, the Robust and Adaptive Optima CoincideResearch Paper

Motivation

In two-stage optimization under uncertainty, a first-stage decision xxx is taken before the data are known, and a second-stage decision yyy is taken after a scenario ω\omegaω is revealed. The fully adaptive formulation lets yyy depend on ω\omegaω and minimizes the worst-case cost. It is the natural model of recourse, but it optimizes over policies, one decision per scenario, and is computationally hard in general. The static robust formulation fixes one yyy in advance that must be feasible in every scenario. It is a single deterministic mixed integer program and is the standard tractable surrogate (Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer, Nemirovski 2004; Bertsimas & Sim 2004).

The question is how much is lost by the surrogate. Bertsimas and Goyal (2010) bound the gap by 222 against the stochastic problem and by 444 against the adaptive problem when the uncertainty set is symmetric. Their §5.3 identifies a case with no gap at all: when the uncertainty set is a hypercube (a box), the static robust optimum equals the adaptive optimum, and this holds even when the constraint matrices themselves are uncertain. Box uncertainty is the simplest and most common uncertainty model in practice (interval data on every coefficient), so the result says that for it, adaptivity buys nothing.

This mission formalizes that theorem, Theorem 5.4, together with Theorem 2.4, which shows that under right-hand-side uncertainty the robust problem is a single deterministic problem with the coordinatewise worst right-hand side.

Setting

Fix dimensions m,n1,n2m,n_1,n_2m,n1​,n2​ and sets I1,I2I_1,I_2I1​,I2​ of integer coordinates. The decision domains are

DI={x∈Rn:x≥0, xi∈Z for i∈I},D_{I}=\{x\in\mathbb R^n : x\ge0,\ x_i\in\mathbb Z\ \text{for } i\in I\},DI​={x∈Rn:x≥0, xi​∈Z for i∈I},

which is R+n−p×Z+p\mathbb R_+^{n-p}\times\mathbb Z_+^{p}R+n−p​×Z+p​ up to relabelling coordinates, p=∣I∣p=|I|p=∣I∣.

A scenario set Ω\OmegaΩ is given. In scenario ω\omegaω the data are a constraint matrix A(ω)∈Rm×n1A(\omega)\in\mathbb R^{m\times n_1}A(ω)∈Rm×n1​, a recourse matrix B(ω)∈Rm×n2B(\omega)\in\mathbb R^{m\times n_2}B(ω)∈Rm×n2​, a right-hand side b(ω)∈Rmb(\omega)\in\mathbb R^mb(ω)∈Rm and a second-stage cost d(ω)∈R+n2d(\omega)\in\mathbb R^{n_2}_+d(ω)∈R+n2​​. The first-stage cost c∈R+n1c\in\mathbb R^{n_1}_+c∈R+n1​​ is fixed.

  • The adaptive problem ΠAdapt(A,B,b,d)\Pi_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(A,B,b,d)ΠAdapt​(A,B,b,d) (5.6) chooses x∈DI1x\in D_{I_1}x∈DI1​​ and y(ω)∈DI2y(\omega)\in D_{I_2}y(ω)∈DI2​​ for every ω\omegaω with A(ω)x+B(ω)y(ω)≥b(ω)A(\omega)x+B(\omega)y(\omega)\ge b(\omega)A(ω)x+B(ω)y(ω)≥b(ω) for all ω\omegaω, and has value
zAdapt=inf⁡ cTx+sup⁡ω∈Ωd(ω)Ty(ω).z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}=\inf\ c^Tx+\sup_{\omega\in\Omega}d(\omega)^Ty(\omega).zAdapt​=inf cTx+ω∈Ωsup​d(ω)Ty(ω).
  • The robust problem ΠRob(A,B,b,d)\Pi_{\mathrm{Rob}}(A,B,b,d)ΠRob​(A,B,b,d) (5.7) chooses one x∈DI1x\in D_{I_1}x∈DI1​​, y∈DI2y\in D_{I_2}y∈DI2​​ with A(ω)x+B(ω)y≥b(ω)A(\omega)x+B(\omega)y\ge b(\omega)A(ω)x+B(ω)y≥b(ω) for all ω\omegaω, and has value
zRob=inf⁡ cTx+sup⁡ω∈Ωd(ω)Ty.z_{\mathrm{Rob}}=\inf\ c^Tx+\sup_{\omega\in\Omega}d(\omega)^Ty.zRob​=inf cTx+ω∈Ωsup​d(ω)Ty.

The uncertainty set is U={(A(ω),B(ω),b(ω),d(ω)):ω∈Ω}\mathcal U=\{(A(\omega),B(\omega),b(\omega),d(\omega)) : \omega\in\Omega\}U={(A(ω),B(ω),b(ω),d(ω)):ω∈Ω}, a subset of RN\mathbb R^NRN with N=mn1+mn2+m+n2N=mn_1+mn_2+m+n_2N=mn1​+mn2​+m+n2​. Following Definition 1.1, U\mathcal UU is a hypercube if U=[l1,u1]×⋯×[lN,uN]\mathcal U=[l_1,u_1]\times\cdots\times[l_N,u_N]U=[l1​,u1​]×⋯×[lN​,uN​] for some li≤uil_i\le u_ili​≤ui​.

For Theorem 2.4, AAA, BBB and ddd are fixed and only b(ω)∈R+mb(\omega)\in\mathbb R^m_+b(ω)∈R+m​ varies; ΠRob(b)\Pi_{\mathrm{Rob}}(b)ΠRob​(b) (1.2) is the robust problem above, and Π\PiΠ is the deterministic problem with right-hand side bjh=max⁡ωbj(ω)b^h_j=\max_\omega b_j(\omega)bjh​=maxω​bj​(ω).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.4 (p. 31)

If U\mathcal UU is a hypercube, then

zRob(A,B,b,d)=zAdapt(A,B,b,d).z_{\mathrm{Rob}}(A,B,b,d)=z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(A,B,b,d).zRob​(A,B,b,d)=zAdapt​(A,B,b,d).

The integer coordinates I1,I2I_1,I_2I1​,I2​ are arbitrary, and nothing is assumed about the signs of AAA, BBB, bbb.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2.4 (p. 17). Under right-hand-side uncertainty, (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) is feasible for ΠRob(b)\Pi_{\mathrm{Rob}}(b)ΠRob​(b) if and only if Ax+By≥bhAx+By\ge b^hAx+By≥bh; hence zRob(b)=z(Π)z_{\mathrm{Rob}}(b)=z(\Pi)zRob​(b)=z(Π).
  2. p. 31 display. zAdapt(A,B,b,d)≤zRob(A,B,b,d)z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(A,B,b,d)\le z_{\mathrm{Rob}}(A,B,b,d)zAdapt​(A,B,b,d)≤zRob​(A,B,b,d) for every uncertainty set.
  3. Eqs. (5.8)–(5.10). If U\mathcal UU is a hypercube, some scenario ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ has A(ωˉ)A(\bar\omega)A(ωˉ), B(ωˉ)B(\bar\omega)B(ωˉ) entrywise minimal and b(ωˉ)b(\bar\omega)b(ωˉ), d(ωˉ)d(\bar\omega)d(ωˉ) entrywise maximal over Ω\OmegaΩ.
  4. Eqs. (5.11)–(5.13). For such ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ, if (x,y(⋅))(x,y(\cdot))(x,y(⋅)) is adaptive feasible, then (x,y(ωˉ))(x,y(\bar\omega))(x,y(ωˉ)) is robust feasible.
  5. Eq. (5.14). For such ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ, the robust worst-case cost of (x,y(ωˉ))(x,y(\bar\omega))(x,y(ωˉ)) is at most the adaptive worst-case cost of (x,y(⋅))(x,y(\cdot))(x,y(⋅)).

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.4 says that for interval uncertainty on every coefficient, the static robust program, whose size does not grow with the number of scenarios, solves the adaptive problem exactly. Combined with Theorem 2.4 for right-hand-side uncertainty, the adaptive problem collapses to one deterministic mixed integer program with worst-case data. It marks the boundary case of the paper's adaptability-gap bounds: the gap is at most 444 for symmetric sets, and exactly 111 for boxes.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces a Lean model of two-stage robust and adaptive mixed integer programs with uncertain constraint matrices, with values as extended-real infima, which other formalizations of adjustable robust optimization can build on.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary; the care is in the statement. The step that fails for a general uncertainty set is the existence of a single worst scenario ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ that is simultaneously entrywise smallest in AAA, BBB and entrywise largest in bbb, ddd. For a set that is only contained in a box, the box's worst corner need not be realized. With two scenarios b=(1,0)b=(1,0)b=(1,0) and b=(0,1)b=(0,1)b=(0,1), B=IB=IB=I, d=(1,1)d=(1,1)d=(1,1), the adaptive value is 111 and the robust value is 222. A formalization therefore has to state the hypercube hypothesis as an equality of sets. A second point is the arithmetic of extended reals: the paper argues from optimal solutions, which need not exist, so the inequalities must be transported through infima over feasible sets that may be empty and through suprema that may be infinite.

Formalization scope

  • Decisions are vectors Fin n → ℝ; matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ; constraints use Mathlib's componentwise order and mulVec.
  • Mixed-integer domains are "nonnegative, integer on a designated coordinate set III", the paper's R+n−p×Z+p\mathbb R_+^{n-p}\times\mathbb Z_+^pR+n−p​×Z+p​ up to relabelling.
  • Optimal values are EReal infima over the feasible set, +∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible; worst-case costs are EReal suprema over Ω\OmegaΩ. No optimal solution is assumed.
  • A scenario datum is a structure with the four blocks (A,B,b,d)(A,B,b,d)(A,B,b,d); the box and the hypercube predicate are written entrywise on these blocks, which is Definition 1.1 in RN\mathbb R^NRN.
  • The hypercube hypothesis is IsHypercube (uncertaintySet A B b d), i.e. the realized data are exactly a box. Assuming only that the data lie inside a box would make the statement false (example above); assuming fixed AAA, BBB would state Corollary 5.1 instead of Theorem 5.4.
  • Typos corrected in the Lean: (5.6)–(5.7) print Z+n2\mathbb Z^{n_2}_+Z+n2​​ for the second-stage integer block, read as Z+p2\mathbb Z^{p_2}_+Z+p2​​; §5.3's opening sentence names ΠAdapt(b,d)\Pi_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(b,d)ΠAdapt​(b,d) twice where the first is ΠRob(b,d)\Pi_{\mathrm{Rob}}(b,d)ΠRob​(b,d).
  • In Theorem 2.4 the paper's max⁡ωbj(ω)\max_\omega b_j(\omega)maxω​bj​(ω) is a real supremum under the hypothesis that the right-hand sides are bounded above, and the second stage is continuous (p2=0p_2=0p2​=0), as in the problem Π\PiΠ on the page.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones and of the goal, and lemmas on monotonicity of mulVec for nonnegative vectors and on EReal infima over feasible sets, which are reusable across the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, V. Goyal, On the power of robust solutions in two-stage stochastic and adaptive optimization problems, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(2), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0440 (cited from the authors' manuscript, MIT DSpace).
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Mathematical Programming 99, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, M. Sim, The price of robustness, Operations Research 52(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0065
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CombinatoricsOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties 3: For Maximum Discrepancy, Some Optimum Schedule Is in Standard Form and Has the Release Time PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

In just-in-time scheduling each job has a preferred time, and finishing it early is as undesirable as finishing it late. Garey, Tarjan and Wilfong (Math. Oper. Res. 13 (1988), 330–348) study the one-processor version in which task TiT_iTi​ has a length li≥0l_i \ge 0li​≥0 and a preferred starting time ai≥0a_i \ge 0ai​≥0, and the discrepancy of a task started at time sis_isi​ is ∣si−ai∣|s_i - a_i|∣si​−ai​∣. The penalty is symmetric: earliness and tardiness cost the same. The paper shows that minimizing the total discrepancy is NP-complete, gives an O(Nlog⁡N)O(N \log N)O(NlogN) algorithm for a fixed task order, and, in §3, gives an efficient algorithm for minimizing the maximum discrepancy max⁡i∣si−ai∣\max_i |s_i - a_i|maxi​∣si​−ai​∣: a linear-time test for a given bound γ\gammaγ after an O(Nlog⁡N)O(N \log N)O(NlogN) sort, combined with a search over γ\gammaγ.

This mission formalizes the structural core of §3: the normal-form theorems (Theorem 4, Corollaries 1 and 2) on which the paper's algorithm for maximum discrepancy is built. The two companion missions of the series cover the NP-completeness result (THEOREM 1) and the fixed-order algorithm (THEOREMS 2 and 3).

Setting

Fix a bound γ≥0\gamma \ge 0γ≥0. A schedule has maximum discrepancy at most γ\gammaγ exactly when every task starts no earlier than its release time ri=max⁡{0,ai−γ}r_i = \max\{0, a_i - \gamma\}ri​=max{0,ai​−γ} and finishes no later than its deadline di=ai+li+γd_i = a_i + l_i + \gammadi​=ai​+li​+γ (p. 342). These release times and deadlines are in special form: with α=2γ\alpha = 2\gammaα=2γ, for every task

di−ri=li+αor(ri=0 and di<li+α).d_i - r_i = l_i + \alpha \quad\text{or}\quad \big(r_i = 0 \text{ and } d_i < l_i + \alpha\big).di​−ri​=li​+αor(ri​=0 and di​<li​+α).

From here on the data are arbitrary reals li≥0l_i \ge 0li​≥0, ri≥0r_i \ge 0ri​≥0, did_idi​ in special form for some α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0.

A schedule is an execution order σ\sigmaσ (σ(p)\sigma(p)σ(p) is the task in position ppp) with starting times sis_isi​, such that a task finishes no later than any later-positioned task starts: sσ(p)+lσ(p)≤sσ(q)s_{\sigma(p)} + l_{\sigma(p)} \le s_{\sigma(q)}sσ(p)​+lσ(p)​≤sσ(q)​ for p<qp < qp<q. It is feasible if ri≤sir_i \le s_iri​≤si​ and si+li≤dis_i + l_i \le d_isi​+li​≤di​ for every iii. Its makespan is max⁡i(si+li)\max_i (s_i + l_i)maxi​(si​+li​), and it is optimum if it is feasible and no feasible schedule has a smaller makespan.

Let TNT_NTN​ be a task of largest deadline. A schedule has the release time property if every task executed after TNT_NTN​ has release time strictly later than the starting time of TNT_NTN​. When the tasks are indexed with d1≤⋯≤dNd_1 \le \dots \le d_Nd1​≤⋯≤dN​, a schedule is in standard form with split index jjj, 0≤j≤N−10 \le j \le N-10≤j≤N−1, if it begins with an optimum schedule of T1,…,TjT_1, \dots, T_jT1​,…,Tj​, followed by TNT_NTN​ started at the maximum of rNr_NrN​ and the completion time of that first part, followed by Tj+1,…,TN−1T_{j+1}, \dots, T_{N-1}Tj+1​,…,TN−1​ in this order without idle time.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 2 (p. 344)

∃ a feasible schedule  ⟹  ∃ an optimum schedule that is in standard form and has the release time property.\exists\ \text{a feasible schedule} \;\Longrightarrow\; \exists\ \text{an optimum schedule that is in standard form and has the release time property.}∃ a feasible schedule⟹∃ an optimum schedule that is in standard form and has the release time property.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 4 (pp. 342–343): if a feasible schedule exists, some optimum schedule has the release time property with respect to any task of largest deadline.
  2. The deadline split (proof of Corollary 1, p. 344): in every feasible schedule with the release time property, a task Ti≠TNT_i \neq T_NTi​=TN​ precedes TNT_NTN​ if and only if di≤sN+αd_i \le s_N + \alphadi​≤sN​+α.
  3. Corollary 1 (p. 344): some optimum schedule executes before TNT_NTN​ exactly the tasks of deadline at most β\betaβ, for some β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0.
  4. Release before finish (p. 344): every task executed after TNT_NTN​ has ri≤sN+lNr_i \le s_N + l_Nri​≤sN​+lN​.
  5. Normalization after TNT_NTN​ (p. 344): an optimum schedule with the release time property can be changed, without moving TNT_NTN​ later and without touching the tasks before it, so that there is no idle time from the start of TNT_NTN​ on and the later tasks run in deadline order.

Two companion items state the reformulation of the maximum-discrepancy bound as release times and deadlines, and the special form with α=2γ\alpha = 2\gammaα=2γ.

Significance

Corollary 2 reduces the search for an optimum schedule of T1,…,TnT_1, \dots, T_nT1​,…,Tn​ to nnn candidates, one per split index, each assembled from an optimum schedule of a shorter prefix. This is the dynamic program of §3.2, which the paper implements in O(N)O(N)O(N) time after an O(Nlog⁡N)O(N \log N)O(NlogN) sort; combined with a search over γ\gammaγ it minimizes the maximum discrepancy. Without the special form, deciding whether one processor can meet arbitrary release times and deadlines is NP-complete (reference [4] of the paper, Garey and Johnson 1979), so the normal form is what separates the tractable case from the general one.

The results are proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of them is known on Prove2Me. A formal proof of Corollary 2 would certify the correctness of the split-index recursion and, together with the companions, of the reduction from maximum discrepancy to this release-time/deadline problem.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails in Theorem 4. Exchanging a straggler (a task after TNT_NTN​ released no later than TNT_NTN​ starts) with TNT_NTN​ shifts the tasks between them, and for general release times and deadlines those tasks can become infeasible. The paper's argument uses the special form at every step: a task released after TNT_NTN​ starts has ri>0r_i > 0ri​>0, hence di−ri=li+αd_i - r_i = l_i + \alphadi​−ri​=li​+α exactly, and this equality is what bounds how far tasks may move. It also needs an extremal choice of the optimum schedule (fewest tasks after TNT_NTN​, then fewest tasks between TNT_NTN​ and the first straggler), which requires showing that optimum schedules exist over the reals. The passage to standard form then combines this with an earliest-deadline exchange for the tasks after TNT_NTN​ and the replacement of the first part by an optimum sub-schedule without losing feasibility of the later tasks.

Formalization scope

Tasks are indexed by Fin N (0-based: the paper's T1,…,TNT_1, \dots, T_NT1​,…,TN​ are 0,…,N−10, \dots, N-10,…,N−1; the paper's TNT_NTN​ in Corollary 2 is the index N−1N-1N−1). All data are real. A schedule is a permutation σ : Fin N ≃ Fin N with starting times s : Fin N → ℝ; "executed before/after" refers to σ, not to a comparison of starting times, because zero-length tasks may share a starting time. Execution intervals meet at most at endpoints. The makespan is a supremum over Fin N; "optimum" quantifies over all feasible schedules, not only standard-form ones.

The standing hypotheses on every structural item are α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0, ri≥0r_i \ge 0ri​≥0, li≥0l_i \ge 0li​≥0 (from γ≥0\gamma \ge 0γ≥0, the max⁡{0,⋅}\max\{0, \cdot\}max{0,⋅} in rir_iri​, and nonnegative lengths); since si≥ris_i \ge r_isi​≥ri​, start times are nonnegative, as the paper assumes throughout. The special form is a hypothesis of every structural item and cannot be dropped. The paper's dummy task T0T_0T0​ (r0=d0=l0=0r_0 = d_0 = l_0 = 0r0​=d0​=l0​=0) is not a task; an empty first part completes at time 000. Corollary 1's "the set of all tasks with deadline β\betaβ or less" is read as excluding TNT_NTN​, the only reading under which it is true. The page's "(which can be assumed optimum)" is part of the standard form. The deadline-split and release-before-finish milestones are stated for every feasible schedule, as their arguments allow.

A trivializing formalization is excluded: the standard form pins TNT_NTN​'s start to max⁡(rN,C)\max(r_N, C)max(rN​,C) and the later tasks to consecutive positions in index order, so the goal is not Corollary 1 restated with an unconstrained split.

Running times (O(Nlog⁡N)O(N \log N)O(NlogN), O(N)O(N)O(N)) and the algorithm of §3.2 are out of scope. The development needs only finite permutations, finite suprema and the exchange arguments of §3.1; the existence of an optimum schedule (minimum makespan over finitely many orders, earliest-start schedules) is reusable for other single-machine problems with release times and deadlines. Proofs of any milestone, and a sorry-free proof of the existence of optimum schedules, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. R. Garey, R. E. Tarjan, G. T. Wilfong, One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties, Mathematics of Operations Research 13(2):330–348, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.13.2.330
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979 (reference [4] of the paper, cited on p. 342 for the NP-completeness of one-processor scheduling with release times and deadlines). ISBN 0-7167-1045-5
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Cooperative Fuzzy Games 1: A Balanced Game without Side Payments Has a Nonempty Core Containing the Core of Its Fuzzy ExtensionResearch Paper

Motivation

A game without side payments (an NTU game) describes cooperation in which utility cannot be transferred between players: each coalition AAA of players is assigned the set V(A)V(A)V(A) of payoff vectors it can secure on its own. The core is the set of payoffs to the grand coalition that no coalition can improve upon. Whether the core is nonempty is the basic stability question of cooperative game theory. For games with side payments the answer is the Bondareva–Shapley theorem. For NTU games it is Scarf's theorem (Scarf 1967): a balanced game has a nonempty core. Billera (1970) gave a convex version, in which the payoff sets are convex and balancedness is stated with weighted Minkowski sums.

Aubin's paper (Aubin 1981) obtains Billera's version of the theorem by a different route. Players may join coalitions at fractional rates of participation, and the paper first proves a core existence theorem for these fuzzy games. The game on ordinary coalitions is then embedded into a fuzzy game whose core lies inside the core of the original game.

Setting

The players are N={1,…,n}N = \{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. A coalition A⊆NA \subseteq NA⊆N is identified with its characteristic vector τA∈{0,1}n\tau^A \in \{0,1\}^nτA∈{0,1}n, and τN=(1,…,1)\tau^N = (1,\dots,1)τN=(1,…,1). A fuzzy coalition is a vector τ∈[0,1]n\tau \in [0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n of participation rates with support Aτ={i:τi>0}A_\tau = \{i : \tau_i > 0\}Aτ​={i:τi​>0}. Write (τ⋅c)i=τici(\tau\cdot c)_i = \tau_i c_i(τ⋅c)i​=τi​ci​, Rτ=τ⋅Rn\mathbb{R}^\tau = \tau\cdot\mathbb{R}^nRτ=τ⋅Rn for the vectors vanishing off AτA_\tauAτ​, R+τ\mathbb{R}^\tau_+R+τ​ for its nonnegative part, and R˚+τ\mathring{\mathbb{R}}^\tau_+R˚+τ​ for the vectors strictly positive on AτA_\tauAτ​.

A fuzzy game without side payments assigns to each τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 a nonempty, closed, convex set V(τ)⊆RτV(\tau)\subseteq\mathbb{R}^\tauV(τ)⊆Rτ. Each V(τ)V(\tau)V(τ) is comprehensive, meaning V(τ)=V(τ)−R+τV(\tau) = V(\tau)-\mathbb{R}^\tau_+V(τ)=V(τ)−R+τ​, and bounded above, meaning V(τ)⊆C−R+τV(\tau)\subseteq C-\mathbb{R}^\tau_+V(τ)⊆C−R+τ​ for some CCC. The map is positively homogeneous: V(tτ)=tV(τ)V(t\tau) = tV(\tau)V(tτ)=tV(τ) for every t>0t>0t>0. Its core is the set of c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) such that τ⋅c∉V(τ)−R˚+τ\tau\cdot c\notin V(\tau)-\mathring{\mathbb{R}}^\tau_+τ⋅c∈/V(τ)−R˚+τ​ for every fuzzy coalition τ≠0\tau\neq 0τ=0. With the support function v(τ,λ)=sup⁡c∈V(τ)∑iλiciv(\tau,\lambda)=\sup_{c\in V(\tau)}\sum_i\lambda_i c_iv(τ,λ)=supc∈V(τ)​∑i​λi​ci​ and the simplex MnM^nMn, a weak (resp. strong) canonical cooperative equilibrium is a c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) together with a λˉ∈Mn\bar\lambda\in M^nλˉ∈Mn (resp. λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ with all coordinates positive) satisfying ∑iλˉiτici≥v(τ,λˉ)\sum_i\bar\lambda^i\tau_ic_i\ge v(\tau,\bar\lambda)∑i​λˉiτi​ci​≥v(τ,λˉ) for every τ∈[0,1]n\tau\in[0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n.

A usual NTU game lives on a family C\mathcal{C}C of coalitions that contains NNN and every singleton. For each A∈CA\in\mathcal{C}A∈C, the set V(A)⊆RAV(A)\subseteq\mathbb{R}^AV(A)⊆RA is nonempty, closed, convex, comprehensive and bounded above. A balance of τ\tauτ is a vector of weights m≥0m\ge 0m≥0 on C\mathcal{C}C with ∑A∋im(A)=τi\sum_{A\ni i}m(A)=\tau_i∑A∋i​m(A)=τi​ for every iii, and C(τ)\mathcal{C}(\tau)C(τ) is the set of balances of τ\tauτ. The fuzzy extension of the game is

πV(τ)=⋃m∈C(τ) ∑A∈Cm(A) V(A),\pi V(\tau)=\bigcup_{m\in\mathcal{C}(\tau)}\ \sum_{A\in\mathcal{C}} m(A)\,V(A),πV(τ)=m∈C(τ)⋃​ A∈C∑​m(A)V(A),

and the game is balanced if V(N)=πV(τN)V(N)=\pi V(\tau^N)V(N)=πV(τN).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

For a balanced game without side payments,

∅≠core⁡(πV)⊆core⁡(V),CCEstrong(V)⊆core⁡(πV)⊆CCEweak(V),\emptyset\neq\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(V),\qquad \mathrm{CCE}_{\rm strong}(V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\mathrm{CCE}_{\rm weak}(V),∅=core(πV)⊆core(V),CCEstrong​(V)⊆core(πV)⊆CCEweak​(V),

and in particular core⁡(V)≠∅\operatorname{core}(V)\neq\emptysetcore(V)=∅.

Milestones

  • Proposition 3.1: c∈V(τN)c\in V(\tau^N)c∈V(τN) is in the core iff the maximum complaint α(c)=sup⁡τ≠0inf⁡λ∈Mτ[v(τ,λ)−∑iλiτici]\alpha(c)=\sup_{\tau\neq0}\inf_{\lambda\in M^\tau}[v(\tau,\lambda)-\sum_i\lambda^i\tau_ic_i]α(c)=supτ=0​infλ∈Mτ​[v(τ,λ)−∑i​λiτi​ci​] is ≤0\le 0≤0.
  • Proof of Theorem 3.1(b): if VVV is superadditive, V(τ)+V(σ)⊆V(τ+σ)V(\tau)+V(\sigma)\subseteq V(\tau+\sigma)V(τ)+V(σ)⊆V(τ+σ), then τ↦v(τ,λ)\tau\mapsto v(\tau,\lambda)τ↦v(τ,λ) is concave on R+n\mathbb{R}^n_+R+n​.
  • Theorem 3.1: strong equilibria lie in the core, and for a superadditive game the core lies in the set of weak equilibria.
  • Theorem 5.1: a superadditive fuzzy game has a nonempty core.
  • §7, (6), (7), (11): πV\pi VπV is a superadditive fuzzy game that extends VVV, and its support function is πv(τ,λ)=sup⁡m∈C(τ)∑Am(A)v(A,λ)\pi v(\tau,\lambda)=\sup_{m\in\mathcal{C}(\tau)}\sum_A m(A)v(A,\lambda)πv(τ,λ)=supm∈C(τ)​∑A​m(A)v(A,λ).
  • §7 and the proof of Theorem 7.1: under balancedness, core⁡(πV)⊆core⁡(V)\operatorname{core}(\pi V)\subseteq\operatorname{core}(V)core(πV)⊆core(V), and the equilibria of VVV coincide with those of πV\pi VπV.

Significance

Theorem 7.1 gives the core existence result for convex NTU games under Billera's balancedness condition. Its proof goes through a statement about fuzzy coalitions, Theorem 5.1, which uses no combinatorial pivoting. That theorem also has independent uses. Its fuzzy core is the solution concept that §4 of the paper identifies with Walras equilibria of exchange economies. The canonical cooperative equilibria give a price-like certificate, a common rate of transfer λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ, that sandwiches the core.

The results are classical and proved. Prove2Me holds no statement of Scarf's or Billera's theorem, of NTU cores, or of balancedness for games without side payments, and Mathlib has none of these notions. The mission produces faithful statements of the paper's chain of results, and their proofs once solvers close them. It also builds reusable infrastructure: support functions of comprehensive sets, Minkowski combinations indexed by balances, and positively homogeneous set-valued maps.

Difficulty

Most of §7 is bookkeeping with Minkowski sums. The hard part is Theorem 5.1, the existence of a point in the fuzzy core. The core is defined by infinitely many exclusion conditions, one for each τ∈[0,1]n\tau\in[0,1]^nτ∈[0,1]n, so a finite intersection argument does not apply directly. The paper's route works with prices: it uses the superdifferential of the concave map τ↦v(τ,λ)\tau\mapsto v(\tau,\lambda)τ↦v(τ,λ) at τN\tau^NτN, Ky Fan's inequality on a truncated simplex where all λi≥ε\lambda_i\ge\varepsilonλi​≥ε, and a limit as ε→0\varepsilon\to0ε→0. That limit requires compactness of the approximating payoffs, and at the boundary of the simplex the superdifferential map is not upper semicontinuous. Theorem 3.1(b) needs a minisup theorem for a function that is concave in τ\tauτ and convex and lower semicontinuous in λ\lambdaλ. Mathlib has neither Ky Fan's inequality nor this minimax theorem in that form.

Formalization scope

All statements import one definitions file, FuzzyGames.NTUCore.Basic. The formalization commits to the following conventions.

  • Players are Fin n, and payoffs, fuzzy coalitions and rates of transfer are Fin n → ℝ, ordered coordinatewise. Rτ\mathbb{R}^\tauRτ is encoded as "vanishes where τi=0\tau_i=0τi​=0", which equals τ⋅Rn\tau\cdot\mathbb{R}^nτ⋅Rn for τ≥0\tau\ge0τ≥0.
  • Fuzzy games are defined directly on the orthant τ≥0\tau\ge0τ≥0, the paper's extension of VVV from [0,1]n[0,1]^n[0,1]n by homogeneity. Homogeneity holds for every t>0t>0t>0, and superadditivity holds on R+n\mathbb{R}^n_+R+n​.
  • Support functions, α\alphaα and πv\pi vπv take values in EReal, so an unbounded supremum is +∞+\infty+∞ and never a junk 000.
  • The supremum defining α(c)\alpha(c)α(c) ranges over τ≠0\tau\neq0τ=0. Since M0=∅M^0=\emptysetM0=∅, including τ=0\tau=0τ=0 would make α≡+∞\alpha\equiv+\inftyα≡+∞ and Proposition 3.1 false. Blocking coalitions are likewise τ≠0\tau\neq0τ=0, as in §3 (4).
  • C\mathcal{C}C is a finite family of nonempty coalitions that contains NNN and every singleton. "∀A≠∅\forall A\neq\emptyset∀A=∅" in §7 ranges over C\mathcal{C}C.
  • The paper leaves n≥1n\ge1n≥1 implicit. Theorem 3.1(b) and Theorem 5.1 carry 0<n0<n0<n: for n=0n=0n=0 the simplex is empty while the core is not.
  • In §7 (11), πv(τ,λ)\pi v(\tau,\lambda)πv(τ,λ), which the paper uses without defining it, is taken to be the extension §6 (2) applied to A↦v(A,λ)A\mapsto v(A,\lambda)A↦v(A,λ), for λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0.
  • The §7 sentence after (5) is stated with two extra conclusions: πV(τ)\pi V(\tau)πV(τ) is nonempty and contained in Rτ\mathbb{R}^\tauRτ. These are the remaining requirements of §3 (3) that are needed to apply Theorem 5.1.
  • Sums and scalings of sets are Mathlib's pointwise operations.

The fuzzy-game axioms are a Prop-valued structure and are hypotheses of every theorem. The core and the equilibria are defined for an arbitrary set-valued map, so the theorems about πV\pi VπV do not presuppose that it is a fuzzy game. That fact is the content of the §7 milestones and is not assumed. Non-vacuity has been checked locally on a concrete instance: V(τ)={c∈Rτ:c≤τ}V(\tau)=\{c\in\mathbb{R}^\tau: c\le\tau\}V(τ)={c∈Rτ:c≤τ} is a superadditive fuzzy game, and V(A)={c∈RA:c≤τA}V(A)=\{c\in\mathbb{R}^A:c\le\tau^A\}V(A)={c∈RA:c≤τA} is a balanced game on every admissible C\mathcal{C}C, with (1,…,1)(1,\dots,1)(1,…,1) in both cores.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the §7 Minkowski-sum lemmas, the support-function identities, and a minisup or Ky Fan theorem in the form the proofs need. Reusable pieces include support functions of comprehensive sets and Sion-type minimax.

Selected references

  • J.-P. Aubin, Cooperative Fuzzy Games, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1) (1981) 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.1
  • H. E. Scarf, The Core of an N Person Game, Econometrica 35(1) (1967) 50–69. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909888
  • L. J. Billera, Some Theorems on the Core of an n-Person Game without Side-Payments, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 18(3) (1970) 567–579. https://doi.org/10.1137/0118053
  • K. Fan, A Minimax Inequality and Applications, in O. Shisha (ed.), Inequalities III, Academic Press (1972) 103–113.
12 thms1 active userReviewed
ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Residual Life Time at Great Age 4: α₁ ≤ tF′(t)/(1 − F(t)) ≤ α₂ for t ≥ t₀ Sandwiches P{(X − t)/t ≤ x | X > t} Between Γ_{α₁}(x) and Γ_{α₂}(x)Research Paper

Motivation

The residual life time of a lifetime XXX at age ttt is the remaining life X−tX - tX−t given survival past ttt. Its distribution at great age is a basic object in reliability, insurance and the statistics of extremes: excess-of-loss reinsurance prices the part of a claim above a retention level, and peaks-over-threshold methods fit a model to the observations exceeding a high level. Balkema and de Haan (Residual Life Time at Great Age, Ann. Probab. 2 (1974), 792–804, doi:10.1214/aop/1176996548) determined every possible limit law of the suitably normed residual life time as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞ and the domains of attraction of these laws; Pickands (1975) obtained the continuous part of the same picture, which is the probabilistic basis of the generalized Pareto approximation used in practice.

Limit theorems describe the behaviour only as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞. Section 4 of the paper gives approximation results for finite ttt. In extreme-value theory, von Mises (1936) gave a sufficient condition for attraction to the Fréchet law Φα\Phi_\alphaΦα​: tF′(t)/(1−F(t))→αtF'(t)/(1 - F(t)) \to \alphatF′(t)/(1−F(t))→α. Theorem 6 of the paper is a non-asymptotic, two-sided counterpart for the residual life time: two-sided bounds on the scaled hazard rate give two-sided bounds on the residual life distribution at every age past a threshold. This mission formalizes Theorem 6 (p. 801).

Setting

Let XXX be a real random variable with law μ\muμ and distribution function F(x)=P{X≤x}F(x) = P\{X \le x\}F(x)=P{X≤x}. For an age ttt with P{X>t}>0P\{X > t\} > 0P{X>t}>0, the residual life distribution function is

Ft(x)=P{X−t≤x∣X>t}=μ((t,t+x])μ((t,∞)),x∈R,F_t(x) = P\{X - t \le x \mid X > t\} = \frac{\mu((t, t + x])}{\mu((t, \infty))}, \qquad x \in \mathbb R,Ft​(x)=P{X−t≤x∣X>t}=μ((t,∞))μ((t,t+x])​,x∈R,

which is 000 for x<0x < 0x<0. For t>0t > 0t>0 the residual life scaled by the age has distribution function P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t}=Ft(xt)P\{(X - t)/t \le x \mid X > t\} = F_t(xt)P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t}=Ft​(xt).

For α>0\alpha > 0α>0 the Pareto-type law Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ is

Γα(x)=1−(1+x)−α(x≥0),Γα(x)=0(x<0).\Gamma_\alpha(x) = 1 - (1 + x)^{-\alpha} \quad (x \ge 0), \qquad \Gamma_\alpha(x) = 0 \quad (x < 0).Γα​(x)=1−(1+x)−α(x≥0),Γα​(x)=0(x<0).

It is the law of Y−1Y - 1Y−1 when P{Y>y}=y−αP\{Y > y\} = y^{-\alpha}P{Y>y}=y−α for y≥1y \ge 1y≥1. FFF has a positive density F′F'F′ for t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ if FFF is differentiable at every t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ with derivative F′(t)>0F'(t) > 0F′(t)>0. The quantity F′(t)/(1−F(t))F'(t)/(1 - F(t))F′(t)/(1−F(t)) is the hazard rate of XXX at ttt, and tF′(t)/(1−F(t))tF'(t)/(1 - F(t))tF′(t)/(1−F(t)) is the hazard rate scaled by the age.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 801)

Let FFF have a positive density F′F'F′ for t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​, and let α1,α2>0\alpha_1, \alpha_2 > 0α1​,α2​>0 satisfy α1≤tF′(t)/(1−F(t))≤α2\alpha_1 \le tF'(t)/(1 - F(t)) \le \alpha_2α1​≤tF′(t)/(1−F(t))≤α2​ for t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​. Then for all t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ and all real xxx,

Γα1(x)  ≤  P{X−tt≤x  ∣  X>t}  ≤  Γα2(x).\Gamma_{\alpha_1}(x) \;\le\; P\Big\{\frac{X - t}{t} \le x \;\Big|\; X > t\Big\} \;\le\; \Gamma_{\alpha_2}(x).Γα1​​(x)≤P{tX−t​≤x​X>t}≤Γα2​​(x).

The smaller constant gives the lower bound: a smaller scaled hazard rate means a heavier tail and hence a larger chance that the remaining life is long. For a Pareto tail 1−F(t)=Ct−α1 - F(t) = Ct^{-\alpha}1−F(t)=Ct−α one may take α1=α2=α\alpha_1 = \alpha_2 = \alphaα1​=α2​=α, and both inequalities are equalities.

Milestone: the integrated hazard bounds (proof of Theorem 6, p. 801)

For t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ and x>0x > 0x>0,

α1∫t(1+x)tduu≤∫t(1+x)tF′(u)1−F(u) du≤α2∫t(1+x)tduu.\alpha_1 \int_t^{(1+x)t} \frac{du}{u} \le \int_t^{(1+x)t} \frac{F'(u)}{1 - F(u)}\,du \le \alpha_2 \int_t^{(1+x)t} \frac{du}{u}.α1​∫t(1+x)t​udu​≤∫t(1+x)t​1−F(u)F′(u)​du≤α2​∫t(1+x)t​udu​.

Significance

The theorem turns a pointwise condition on the hazard rate, which can be checked on a density, into a bound on the whole conditional distribution of the residual life, valid at every age t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ rather than only in the limit. If moreover tF′(t)/(1−F(t))→αtF'(t)/(1 - F(t)) \to \alphatF′(t)/(1−F(t))→α, then α1,α2\alpha_1, \alpha_2α1​,α2​ can be taken arbitrarily close to α\alphaα for large t0t_0t0​, which recovers the convergence P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t}→Γα(x)P\{(X - t)/t \le x \mid X > t\} \to \Gamma_\alpha(x)P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t}→Γα​(x) with an explicit error at finite ages. Such bounds are what a practitioner fitting a Pareto tail above a threshold needs to quantify the approximation.

The result is classical and its proof is short; it is not open. As far as is known, no machine-checked version exists, and Mathlib has no theory of residual life distributions or of the limit laws of Balkema and de Haan. A formal proof would provide reusable pieces: the identity between the integrated hazard rate and −log⁡(1−F)-\log(1 - F)−log(1−F) for a distribution function with a density, and the comparison of a residual life distribution with a Pareto law. The other missions of this series formalize the paper's limit theorems, for which this mission's objects (the residual life distribution and Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​) are shared.

Difficulty

The mathematics is elementary; the work lies in the regularity bookkeeping that the printed proof leaves implicit. The density is only assumed to exist pointwise, so the fundamental theorem of calculus must be applied to −log⁡(1−F)-\log(1 - F)−log(1−F) with a derivative that is not assumed continuous, and its integrability on [t,(1+x)t][t, (1+x)t][t,(1+x)t] has to come from the hazard bounds themselves. That 1−F1 - F1−F stays positive, that t0>0t_0 > 0t0​>0, and that the case x≤0x \le 0x≤0 is trivial all have to be derived from the hypotheses rather than assumed. Finally, the conditional probability must be identified with 1−R((1+x)t)/R(t)1 - R((1+x)t)/R(t)1−R((1+x)t)/R(t), where R=1−FR = 1 - FR=1−F, through the measure of intervals.

Formalization scope

The law of XXX is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR, and FFF is Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.cdf μ. The probability P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t}P\{(X - t)/t \le x \mid X > t\}P{(X−t)/t≤x∣X>t} is residualLife μ t (x * t) =μ((t,t+xt])/μ((t,∞))= \mu((t, t + xt])/\mu((t, \infty))=μ((t,t+xt])/μ((t,∞)). Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ is a real function defined by cases, with Real.rpow for the power. The density is an explicit function fff with FFF having derivative f(t)>0f(t) > 0f(t)>0 at every t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​, the derivative taken within [t0,∞)[t_0, \infty)[t0​,∞). This is a right derivative at t0t_0t0​ and the ordinary derivative for t>t0t > t_0t>t0​. It is the weakest reading of "positive density F′F'F′ for t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​", and it admits the exact Pareto law with t0=1t_0 = 1t0​=1, whose distribution function has no two-sided derivative at 111. The bounds are stated for t⋅f(t)/(1−F(t))t \cdot f(t)/(1 - F(t))t⋅f(t)/(1−F(t)) with Lean's real division.

No hypothesis is added to the printed theorem, and no printed slip was found. The conditions t0>0t_0 > 0t0​>0 and F(t)<1F(t) < 1F(t)<1 follow from the hypotheses: for t≤0t \le 0t≤0 the ratio is not ≥α1>0\ge \alpha_1 > 0≥α1​>0, and a positive derivative on [t0,∞)[t_0, \infty)[t0​,∞) makes FFF strictly increasing there. Lean's convention a/0=0a/0 = 0a/0=0 therefore never acts at the ages concerned. The conclusion is stated for all real xxx, as printed; for x≤0x \le 0x≤0 all three quantities are 000. The milestone does not assume the hazard rate integrable: it is bounded and measurable on [t,(1+x)t][t, (1+x)t][t,(1+x)t], and a non-integrable integrand would make the inequality false rather than trivially true. A formalization that dropped the density hypothesis, replaced F′F'F′ by deriv without differentiability, or let the bounds hold only on a set not containing every t≥t0t \ge t_0t≥t0​ would not be this theorem; all three are excluded by the statement.

A proof needs the fundamental theorem of calculus for derivatives within a half-line (in Mathlib), the identity ∫t(1+x)tdu/u=log⁡(1+x)\int_t^{(1+x)t} du/u = \log(1+x)∫t(1+x)t​du/u=log(1+x), and the chain rule for log⁡(1−F)\log(1 - F)log(1−F). Proofs of the milestone and the goal are welcome, as are sorry-free lemmas showing that Γα\Gamma_\alphaΓα​ is a distribution function and that the Pareto law satisfies the hypotheses with α1=α2\alpha_1 = \alpha_2α1​=α2​.

Selected references

  • A. A. Balkema, L. de Haan, Residual Life Time at Great Age, The Annals of Probability 2 (1974), no. 5, 792–804. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996548
  • J. Pickands III, Statistical Inference Using Extreme Order Statistics, The Annals of Statistics 3 (1975), no. 1, 119–131. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176343003
  • R. von Mises, La distribution de la plus grande de n valeurs, Revue Mathématique de l'Union Interbalkanique 1 (1936), 141–160.
  • L. de Haan, A. Ferreira, Extreme Value Theory: An Introduction, Springer, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-34471-3
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Graph TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Expected Critical Path Lengths in PERT Networks: With Bundle-Independent Arc Lengths, the Mean-Length Estimate g, Fulkerson's Recursion f and the Expected Critical Path Length e Satisfy g ≤ f ≤ eResearch Paper

Motivation

PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique) and the critical path method model a project as a directed acyclic network whose arcs are jobs and whose nodes are events; the duration of the project is the length of a longest path from the origin to the terminal. When job durations are random, the quantity a planner wants is the expected duration. Computing it exactly requires solving one longest-path problem for every joint outcome of the job durations: with mmm jobs each taking two values, 2m2^m2m deterministic problems. Classical PERT practice replaced every random duration by its mean and reported the longest path for the mean durations. That figure is known to be optimistically biased.

D. R. Fulkerson, Expected Critical Path Lengths in PERT Networks (RAND Memorandum RM-3075-PR, 1962; Operations Research 10(6):808–817, 1962, doi:10.1287/opre.10.6.808), proposed a second estimate, computed node by node with work exponential only in the size of a single node's bundle of incoming arcs, and proved that it lies between the classical mean-length figure and the true expectation.

Setting

A project network has events 0,1,…,n0,1,\dots,n0,1,…,n with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, origin 000 and terminal nnn. Its arcs are ordered pairs (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) with i<ji<ji<j, at most one per pair, and every event lies on a directed path from the origin to the terminal. Fulkerson numbers his nodes 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n; his node iii is event i−1i-1i−1 here. The bundle BjB_jBj​ of an event jjj is the set of arcs entering jjj, and pred⁡(j)\operatorname{pred}(j)pred(j) the set of their tails; the origin's bundle is empty.

For arc lengths ttt, let ℓi(t)\ell_i(t)ℓi​(t) be the length of a longest (critical) path from the origin to iii; equivalently ℓ0=0\ell_0=0ℓ0​=0 and ℓj=max⁡i∈pred⁡(j)(ℓi+tij)\ell_j=\max_{i\in\operatorname{pred}(j)}(\ell_i+t_{ij})ℓj​=maxi∈pred(j)​(ℓi​+tij​).

The lengths of the arcs of each bundle BjB_jBj​ form a random vector with a finite distribution: a finite set SjS_jSj​ of bundle vectors vvv, where viv_ivi​ is the length of arc (i,j)(i,j)(i,j), with probabilities pj(v)≥0p_j(v)\ge 0pj​(v)≥0 summing to 111. Arcs within a bundle may be correlated; distinct bundles are independent, so an assignment ω=(ωj)j\omega=(\omega_j)_jω=(ωj​)j​ of one bundle vector per event has probability p(ω)=∏jpj(ωj)p(\omega)=\prod_j p_j(\omega_j)p(ω)=∏j​pj​(ωj​). Three numbers are attached to each event iii:

  1. the expected critical path length ei=∑ωp(ω) ℓi(t(ω))e_i=\sum_\omega p(\omega)\,\ell_i(t(\omega))ei​=∑ω​p(ω)ℓi​(t(ω));
  2. the mean-length estimate gi=ℓi(tˉ)g_i=\ell_i(\bar t)gi​=ℓi​(tˉ), where tˉij=∑v∈Sjpj(v) vi\bar t_{ij}=\sum_{v\in S_j}p_j(v)\,v_itˉij​=∑v∈Sj​​pj​(v)vi​ is the expected length of arc (i,j)(i,j)(i,j);
  3. Fulkerson's numbers f0=0f_0=0f0​=0 and, for j≠0j\neq0j=0,
fj=∑v∈Sjpj(v) max⁡i∈pred⁡(j)(fi+vi).f_j=\sum_{v\in S_j}p_j(v)\,\max_{i\in\operatorname{pred}(j)}\bigl(f_i+v_i\bigr).fj​=v∈Sj​∑​pj​(v)i∈pred(j)max​(fi​+vi​).

Formalization targets

Goal: (4.4)

gi  ≤  fi  ≤  eifor every event i.g_i\;\le\;f_i\;\le\;e_i\qquad\text{for every event } i .gi​≤fi​≤ei​for every event i.

Milestones

In the order of Fulkerson's induction (pp. 10–12):

  1. the recursion for ℓ\ellℓ computes the greatest path length (§3, (3.6), and the display on p. 11);
  2. ℓi(t)\ell_i(t)ℓi​(t) depends only on the arcs of the bundles B0,…,BiB_0,\dots,B_iB0​,…,Bi​ (p. 6);
  3. (4.8): max⁡i∈pred⁡(j)(fi+tˉij)≤fj\max_{i\in\operatorname{pred}(j)}(f_i+\bar t_{ij})\le f_jmaxi∈pred(j)​(fi​+tˉij​)≤fj​;
  4. (4.5)/(4.9): if gk≤fkg_k\le f_kgk​≤fk​ for all k<jk<jk<j, then gj≤fjg_j\le f_jgj​≤fj​;
  5. (4.13): ∑v∈Sjpj(v)max⁡i∈pred⁡(j)(ei+vi)≤ej\sum_{v\in S_j}p_j(v)\max_{i\in\operatorname{pred}(j)}(e_i+v_i)\le e_j∑v∈Sj​​pj​(v)maxi∈pred(j)​(ei​+vi​)≤ej​;
  6. (4.10)/(4.14): if fk≤ekf_k\le e_kfk​≤ek​ for all k<jk<jk<j, then fj≤ejf_j\le e_jfj​≤ej​.

Companion statements

  • gi≤eig_i\le e_igi​≤ei​ under an arbitrary joint distribution of all arc lengths (remark, p. 12).
  • Fig. 4.2: with correlated bundles, e3=g3=1e_3=g_3=1e3​=g3​=1 but f3=5/4f_3=5/4f3​=5/4, so (4.4) fails without bundle independence.
  • (4.17): an independent example with g3=f3=1<e3=5/4g_3=f_3=1<e_3=5/4g3​=f3​=1<e3​=5/4.
  • Fig. 4.1: explicit values g4=3/2g_4=3/2g4​=3/2, f2=1/2f_2=1/2f2​=1/2, f3=9/8f_3=9/8f3​=9/8, f4=55/32f_4=55/32f4​=55/32, and fi=eif_i=e_ifi​=ei​.

Significance

The chain (4.4) says that the classical PERT estimate ggg never overstates the expected project duration, and that the numbers fff are a lower bound at least as tight. The fff computation visits each node once and sums over the support of that node's bundle only, so its cost grows exponentially with bundle size rather than with network size, while the exact expectation eee requires the whole product space. The Fig. 4.2 example shows that the bundle-independence hypothesis cannot be dropped for the upper inequality, while the lower inequality g≤eg\le eg≤e survives arbitrary dependence.

The result has a complete published proof. This mission seeks a machine-checked proof of (4.4) for finite distributions, with the longest-path characterisation of the earliest-event-time recursion and the locality of critical path lengths as reusable lemmas, and machine-checkable versions of the paper's numerical examples, including the counterexample showing the role of independence.

Difficulty

The left inequality compares an average of maxima with a maximum of averages. The right inequality requires more: fjf_jfj​ averages over the bundle entering jjj, while eje_jej​ averages over assignments to every bundle. Taking expectations in ℓj=max⁡i(ℓi+tij)\ell_j=\max_i(\ell_i+t_{ij})ℓj​=maxi​(ℓi​+tij​) yields ej≥max⁡i(ei+tˉij)e_j\ge\max_i(e_i+\bar t_{ij})ej​≥maxi​(ei​+tˉij​), which gives the weaker bound g≤eg\le eg≤e. Fig. 4.2 shows that f≤ef\le ef≤e can fail when the bundles are dependent. In Lean, eee is a sum over a dependent product of finite supports (Fintype.piFinset); its interaction with the local recurrence for fff is the central technical difficulty.

Formalization scope

  • Network: the published CriticalPath.Events.ProjectNetwork (Kelley–Walker 1959): events Fin (n + 1), arcs a Finset of ordered pairs with strictly increasing labels, origin preceding and terminal following every event. This requires n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Fulkerson's numbering condition "i≤ji\le ji≤j" on p. 3 is read as the strict i<ji<ji<j (arcs join distinct nodes of an acyclic network). There is one arc per ordered pair, Fulkerson's own convention in (3.13).
  • Critical path length: the published CriticalPath.Events.earliest, a recursion with Finset.sup' over the nonempty set of incoming arcs. This is the paper's convention that terms of missing arcs are ignored. Nothing uses a default value of 000 or −∞-\infty−∞.
  • Distributions: finite, given as data (a support Finset and a weight function per bundle) plus a predicate IsProb (nonnegative weights on the support, summing to 111, for every event including the origin). Bundle vectors are functions on all events, and coordinates outside pred⁡(j)\operatorname{pred}(j)pred(j) are never read.
  • Arc lengths are arbitrary reals. §3 assumes nonnegative lengths, but its footnote on p. 4 states that nonnegativity "is not essential in this or the following section"; the statements are given in this more general form.
  • No trivialization: eie_iei​ is the sum over every assignment of bundle vectors, weighted by the product probability (3.5). It is not defined by a recursion, and the goal assumes none of the milestones. fff at node jjj uses only the distribution of the bundle of jjj.

Infrastructure that a full development needs, and that is reusable elsewhere, includes the longest-path characterisation of the earliest-event-time recursion, the locality lemma, and the factorisation of sums over Fintype.piFinset along one coordinate. Proofs of any milestone or companion are welcome. Out of scope here: §5 (computational examples) and the general-network analogues of §6.

Selected references

  • D. R. Fulkerson, Expected Critical Path Lengths in PERT Networks, RAND Memorandum RM-3075-PR, March 1962; published in Operations Research 10(6):808–817, 1962. doi:10.1287/opre.10.6.808
  • J. E. Kelley Jr. and M. R. Walker, Critical-Path Planning and Scheduling, Proceedings of the Eastern Joint Computer Conference, 1959, pp. 160–173. doi:10.1145/1460299.1460318
  • D. G. Malcolm, J. H. Roseboom, C. E. Clark and W. Fazar, Application of a Technique for Research and Development Program Evaluation, Operations Research 7(5):646–669, 1959. doi:10.1287/opre.7.5.646
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CombinatoricsOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties 2: For a Fixed Task Order, the Block-Shifting Algorithm Minimizes the Total DiscrepancyResearch Paper

Motivation

A task may have a preferred execution time because a material delivery, external event, or downstream operation is timed to it. Starting early can be as costly as starting late. Garey, Tarjan, and Wilfong study this situation on one processor, where tasks cannot overlap but idle time between tasks is permitted. Their total-discrepancy problem is hard when the execution order is free; fixing the order leaves a substantial timing problem because each start can still move and can force changes to earlier starts. The paper gives an explicit scheduling procedure for that case and proves that it minimizes the sum of deviations from preferred starts (Garey, Tarjan, and Wilfong, 1988, §§1–2).

This mission targets that procedure and its correctness theorem. It also records the paper's equal-length result: when task lengths are identical, a minimum-cost schedule exists in preferred-start order, so the fixed-order procedure applies after sorting. These are two precise claims about total discrepancy, distinct from the paper's separate maximum-discrepancy problem.

Setting

There are nnn tasks, indexed i=0,…,n−1i=0,\ldots,n-1i=0,…,n−1. Task iii has a nonnegative length lil_ili​, a nonnegative preferred starting time aia_iai​, and an actual starting time sis_isi​. Once started, it occupies the one processor until si+lis_i+l_isi​+li​. Each start must be nonnegative. For the fixed-order problem, task iii must finish before task i+1i+1i+1 starts, so si+li≤si+1s_i+l_i\le s_{i+1}si​+li​≤si+1​. This permits idle time when the inequality is strict. The task's discrepancy is ∣si−ai∣|s_i-a_i|∣si​−ai​∣; because its preferred completion is ai+lia_i+l_iai​+li​, this is also its absolute completion-time discrepancy. The total discrepancy is

cost⁡n(s)=∑i=0n−1∣si−ai∣.\operatorname{cost}_n(s)=\sum_{i=0}^{n-1}|s_i-a_i|.costn​(s)=i=0∑n−1​∣si​−ai​∣.

A block is a maximal consecutive set of tasks with no idle time between neighboring tasks. Within a block, Decrease counts tasks whose actual starts are later than preferred, and Increase counts tasks whose actual starts are no later than preferred. These names describe the effect of moving the entire block earlier: the discrepancy of a Decrease task falls initially, whereas that of an Increase task rises. The algorithm's state is a schedule SnS_nSn​ for the first nnn tasks. It inserts the next task at its preferred start when the previous task has finished, and at that finish time otherwise. In the latter case it may move the final block earlier until one of the paper's stopping events occurs: the block reaches time zero, a late task reaches its preferred start, or the block meets its predecessor (§2.2, p. 337).

For the equal-length result, schedules may execute tasks in any order. Two distinct tasks are feasible together when one completes before the other starts; meeting at endpoints is allowed. The objective remains the same sum of absolute discrepancies.

Formalization targets

Fixed-order optimality

The main target is the paper's Theorem 2. For all nonnegative task data and every nnn, the actual schedule SnS_nSn​ produced by the block-shifting algorithm is feasible and satisfies

cost⁡n(Sn)≤cost⁡n(s)for every feasible fixed-order schedule s.\operatorname{cost}_n(S_n)\le\operatorname{cost}_n(s) \qquad\text{for every feasible fixed-order schedule }s.costn​(Sn​)≤costn​(s)for every feasible fixed-order schedule s.

This includes the empty schedule and schedules with idle time. The milestone list follows the paper's own assertions: a balanced final block can move earlier without changing cost; every block of SnS_nSn​ has more Increase tasks than Decrease tasks or begins at zero (Lemma 7); and the two claims in Case 2 of the proof record the cost of adding a late task and the comparison with schedules that place it earlier (Theorem 2 and Lemma 7, p. 338).

Equal-length schedules

The companion target is Theorem 3. If every task has a common length L≥0L\ge0L≥0 and the preferred starts are indexed so that ai≤ai+1a_i\le a_{i+1}ai​≤ai+1​, then among all feasible schedules, including those with another task order, at least one minimum-cost schedule starts the tasks in index order:

∃s  [cost⁡n(s)≤cost⁡n(t) for every feasible t]with si≤si+1 whenever i+1<n.\exists s\;\bigl[ \operatorname{cost}_n(s)\le\operatorname{cost}_n(t) \text{ for every feasible }t \bigr] \quad\text{with }s_i\le s_{i+1}\text{ whenever }i+1<n.∃s[costn​(s)≤costn​(t) for every feasible t]with si​≤si+1​ whenever i+1<n.

The paper uses this statement to connect free-order equal-length scheduling to its fixed-order procedure (Theorem 3, p. 340).

Significance

Theorem 2 certifies an explicit schedule, not just the existence of an optimum. It fixes the objective value for a prescribed execution order and gives a baseline against which any other legal timing of the same tasks can be compared. Theorem 3 supplies the ordering fact needed to use that result when all lengths agree. Together they explain why a problem that is difficult for unrestricted task lengths still has these structured solvable cases (Garey, Tarjan, and Wilfong, 1988, abstract and §2.5).

The paper proves both theorems on paper. The work here is to formalize its schedule construction, cost, block boundaries, and comparison classes in Lean, then obtain machine-checked proofs of the stated targets. The draft theorem declarations compile with proof placeholders; this proposal does not claim that they are already machine-checked results. A completed development would make the model and the algorithm available for later formal work on scheduling with idle time and symmetric earliness and tardiness penalties.

Difficulty

Moving a task closer to its preferred start can move neighboring tasks farther from theirs. A simple task-by-task choice therefore does not establish global optimality. Nor does a count of late and early tasks in one block, by itself, justify arbitrary earlier movements of individual tasks. The difficult comparison in the paper is between the algorithm's schedule and a competing feasible schedule whose new task starts earlier: the whole final block and its constrained relative movements matter. The proof also has to account for the boundary at time zero and for blocks that merge when shifted. These are the reasons the explicit procedure and its block invariant need careful statements (§§2.2–2.3, pp. 337–338).

Formalization scope

The Lean development represents task data and starts as functions from natural-number indices to real numbers; only indices below nnn count. Task iii in Lean is the paper's Ti+1T_{i+1}Ti+1​. Preferred times, lengths, and legal starting times are nonnegative. The start-time condition is a standing convention used by the paper's algorithm, especially its zero-boundary stopping rule. Fixed-order feasibility requires successive tasks to be separated by at least the earlier task's length; unrestricted feasibility uses pairwise nonoverlap. An empty schedule is legal and has cost zero. The representation allows zero-length tasks, as does the paper's li≥0l_i\ge0li​≥0 model.

The algorithm is defined by its stated insertion and single-block-shift operations. Defining SnS_nSn​ as a chosen minimizer would erase the content of Theorem 2; the goal also explicitly asserts feasibility so that an illegal low-cost function cannot qualify. Theorem 3 compares with every feasible unrestricted-order schedule, not just schedules already in preferred-start order. The core definitions, the block invariant, and the cost comparisons are useful beyond this particular proof. Formalizing the paper's running-time bounds and heap implementation is outside this mission.

Selected references

  • Michael R. Garey, Robert E. Tarjan, and Gordon T. Wilfong, One-Processor Scheduling with Symmetric Earliness and Tardiness Penalties, Mathematics of Operations Research 13(2), 330–348, 1988. DOI: 10.1287/moor.13.2.330.
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Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

A Variational Inequality Formulation of the Dynamic Network User Equilibrium Problem II: Under Linear Arc Delay αx(t) + β the Arc Exit Time Is Strictly Increasing (FIFO Holds)Research Paper

Motivation

Dynamic traffic assignment models how commuters choose routes and departure times when travel times change over the day. In the model of Friesz, Bernstein, Smith, Tobin and Wie (Oper. Res. 41 (1993)), the time to traverse a path is built recursively from arc exit-time functions: a vehicle that enters an arc at time ttt leaves it at time τ(t)\tau(t)τ(t). The equilibrium conditions of that model refer to the inverses of these functions, so the model is only well defined when every arc exit-time function is invertible.

Invertibility has a direct traffic meaning. A strictly increasing exit time is the first-in-first-out (FIFO) property: a vehicle that enters later cannot leave earlier, so no overtaking occurs on the arc. Whether a given delay model respects FIFO was an active question in the early 1990s, because several delay functions used in practice violate it for some inflow patterns.

Timeline:

  • 1969. Vickrey's bottleneck model introduces deterministic queueing at a single bottleneck (Vickrey 1969).
  • 1986. Ben-Akiva and De Palma show (Trans. Sci. 20 (1986)), for uniform entry rates and deterministic queueing delays, that it is not possible to "arrive earlier by departing later".
  • 1993. Friesz et al. prove (Theorem 1, p. 185) that for every linear arc delay D=αx+βD = \alpha x + \betaD=αx+β the exit time is strictly increasing, extending the 1986 result to all continuous entry-rate patterns (remark, p. 186).

Setting

Consider one arc. Vehicles enter it at the entry rate u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0, a continuous function of time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; the first vehicle enters at time 000. For an exit-time function τ\tauτ, the arc volume at time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 is the inflow mass of the vehicles that entered during [0,t][0,t][0,t] and have not left by time ttt:

x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t] : τ(s)>t}u(s) ds.x(t) = \int_{\{s \in [0,t]\,:\,\tau(s) > t\}} u(s)\,ds .x(t)=∫{s∈[0,t]:τ(s)>t}​u(s)ds.

The linear delay function (18) of the paper is

D(t)=α x(t)+β,α,β>0,D(t) = \alpha\, x(t) + \beta, \qquad \alpha, \beta > 0,D(t)=αx(t)+β,α,β>0,

a fixed free-flow travel time β\betaβ plus a queueing time determined by the service rate 1/α1/\alpha1/α. The exit time is entry time plus delay, so τ\tauτ is pinned by the exit-time equation

τ(t)=t+α x(t)+β(t≥0).\tau(t) = t + \alpha\, x(t) + \beta \qquad (t \ge 0).τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β(t≥0).

The equation is implicit: τ\tauτ appears on the right through the volume. The proof partitions time at t0=0t_0 = 0t0​=0, tn+1=τ(tn)t_{n+1} = \tau(t_n)tn+1​=τ(tn​); in particular t1=τ(0)=βt_1 = \tau(0) = \betat1​=τ(0)=β is the exit time of the first vehicle. In Lean these objects are linearDelay, arcVolume, IsLinearExitTime and tSeq in FrieszDUE.FIFO.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 185)

For α,β>0\alpha, \beta > 0α,β>0 and a nonnegative continuous entry rate uuu, every τ\tauτ satisfying the exit-time equation is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞):

0≤s<t  ⟹  τ(s)<τ(t),0 \le s < t \implies \tau(s) < \tau(t),0≤s<t⟹τ(s)<τ(t),

and hence injective there, so τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 exists.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (19): for a differentiable invertible fff, [f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)][f^{-1}]'(z) = 1/f'[f^{-1}(z)][f−1]′(z)=1/f′[f−1(z)].
  2. First interval (21)–(24): t1=βt_1 = \betat1​=β; on [0,t1][0, t_1][0,t1​], x(t)=∫0tux(t) = \int_0^t ux(t)=∫0t​u, τ(t)=t+α∫0tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_0^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫0t​u+β, and τ′=1+αu>0\tau' = 1 + \alpha u > 0τ′=1+αu>0.
  3. Second interval (25)–(28): on [t1,t2][t_1, t_2][t1​,t2​], τ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)tu+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u + \betaτ(t)=t+α∫τ−1(t)t​u+β and τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t)\tau'(t) = \alpha u(t) + 1/(1 + \alpha u[\tau^{-1}(t)]) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)=αu(t)+1/(1+αu[τ−1(t)])>αu(t).
  4. Induction (29)–(34): the same representation and τ′(t)>αu(t)\tau'(t) > \alpha u(t)τ′(t)>αu(t) on every [tn+1,tn+2][t_{n+1}, t_{n+2}][tn+1​,tn+2​], with τ\tauτ strictly increasing there.
  5. Covering: tn+1−tn≥βt_{n+1} - t_n \ge \betatn+1​−tn​≥β and R+=⋃n≥0[tn,tn+1]\mathbb R_+ = \bigcup_{n \ge 0}[t_n, t_{n+1}]R+​=⋃n≥0​[tn​,tn+1​].

A supporting, non-milestone item states that the exit-time equation has a solution for every admissible uuu.

Significance

The result makes the path exit-time functions of the dynamic network model invertible whenever the arc delays are linear in volume. That invertibility is what allows the path costs, and through them the variational inequality of Theorem 2 of the same paper, to be written down. In traffic terms it certifies that linear volume-based delays never let a later entrant overtake an earlier one, whatever the continuous inflow profile.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. The mission produces one, together with a formal model of a single arc whose exit time is defined implicitly through the volume, which is reusable for other delay functions and for FIFO questions in dynamic traffic assignment.

Difficulty

The obvious argument differentiates τ(t)=t+αx(t)+β\tau(t) = t + \alpha x(t) + \betaτ(t)=t+αx(t)+β and bounds the outflow rate. But the volume can only be written as ∫τ−1(t)tu\int_{\tau^{-1}(t)}^t u∫τ−1(t)t​u once τ\tauτ is known to be invertible, which is the conclusion. The paper breaks the circularity by working forward in time: on [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​] the volume depends only on τ\tauτ restricted to the earlier interval, whose invertibility is already established. A formal proof must make this forward dependence rigorous for an exit time given only by the implicit equation, handle one-sided derivatives at the junctions tnt_ntn​, where τ\tauτ is generally not differentiable, and show that the junctions do not accumulate.

Formalization scope

Time is real; the entry rate is a function u:R→Ru : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Ru:R→R with u(t)≥0u(t) \ge 0u(t)≥0 and uuu continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Both are added hypotheses: Theorem 1 names none, nonnegativity is implicit in "entry rate", and the remark after the proof covers "all continuous entry rate patterns". Integrals are Lebesgue integrals. Monotonicity is claimed on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only, the entry times that the equation constrains. Derivative claims in the milestones are taken within the closed interval [tn,tn+1][t_n, t_{n+1}][tn​,tn+1​]. The paper's separate pieces τk\tau_kτk​ are one global function here, so the junction identities (27), (30), (33) are automatic. Lemma 1 adds the hypothesis f′[f−1(z)]≠0f'[f^{-1}(z)] \ne 0f′[f−1(z)]=0, without which it is false.

The exit time τ is pinned by the implicit equation τ(t) = t + αx(t) + β, where x(t) is the inflow mass of vehicles that entered by time t and have not exited by time t; no monotonicity or invertibility of τ is assumed. A formalization that defined the volume through τ−1\tau^{-1}τ−1 or assumed τ\tauτ monotone would assume the conclusion and is ruled out.

The development needs one-sided derivatives of parametric integrals, the inverse-function derivative on an interval, and a forward induction over the partition. Contributions of proofs for any milestone, of the existence item, and of a uniqueness result for the exit-time equation are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. L. Friesz, D. Bernstein, T. E. Smith, R. L. Tobin and B. W. Wie, A variational inequality formulation of the dynamic network user equilibrium problem, Operations Research 41(1):179–191, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.179
  • M. Ben-Akiva and A. de Palma, Some circumstances in which vehicles will reach their destinations earlier by starting later: revisited, Transportation Science 20(1):52–55, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.1.52
  • M. Ben-Akiva, A. de Palma and P. Kanaroglou, Dynamic model of peak period traffic congestion with elastic arrival rates, Transportation Science 20(3):164–181, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.20.3.164
  • W. S. Vickrey, Congestion theory and transport investment, American Economic Review 59(2):251–261, 1969. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1823678
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CombinatoricsTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Fibonacci Heaps and Their Uses in Improved Network Optimization Algorithms: O(log n) Amortized Time for Delete Min and Delete, O(1) for Every Other F-Heap OperationResearch Paper

Why priority queues with cheap decrease key matter

Many network optimization algorithms spend most of their time in a heap (priority queue): a set of items with real keys that supports inserting an item, finding and deleting an item of minimum key, melding two heaps, decreasing the key of an item, and deleting an arbitrary item. Dijkstra's shortest-path algorithm performs at most one delete min per vertex and may perform a decrease key for each edge, so on a graph with nnn vertices and mmm edges its running time is governed by how cheap decrease key is. Binomial queues support the heap operations in O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) worst-case time.

Fredman and Tarjan (J. ACM 34 (1987)) introduced Fibonacci heaps (F-heaps), in which delete min and delete take O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) amortized time and every other operation, decrease key included, takes O(1)O(1)O(1) amortized time. This brings Dijkstra's algorithm to O(nlog⁡n+m)O(n \log n + m)O(nlogn+m) and improves the best bounds then known for all-pairs shortest paths, weighted bipartite matching (the assignment problem) and minimum spanning trees. F-heaps descend from the binomial queues of Vuillemin (1978) and use the potential technique of amortized analysis of Sleator and Tarjan. This mission formalizes the paper's §2 analysis, culminating in THEOREM 1 on p. 604.

Setting

An F-heap is a list of heap-ordered rooted trees: every child's key is at least its parent's key. Each node holds an item, the item's real key and a mark bit; the children of a node are kept in the order in which they were linked to it, earliest first. The rank r(x)r(x)r(x) of a node is its number of children. A collection is a list of heaps, named by position; a run starts with no heaps.

Linking two trees with roots xxx and yyy makes yyy the last child of xxx if the key of xxx is smaller, and otherwise makes xxx the last child of yyy; the root that becomes a child is unmarked. The operations act as follows:

  • make heap adds an empty heap; find min acts on a nonempty heap and returns a root of minimum key; insert adds a one-node tree for a new item; meld concatenates two root lists.
  • delete min removes a root xxx of minimum key, adds the children of xxx to the roots, then repeats the linking step, "find any two trees whose roots have the same rank, and link them", in any order, until all root ranks are distinct.
  • decrease key (Δ,i,h)(\Delta, i, h)(Δ,i,h), Δ≥0\Delta \ge 0Δ≥0, lowers the key of iii and, if the node xxx of iii is not a root, cuts xxx from its parent, making its subtree a new tree. delete (i,h)(i, h)(i,h) cuts xxx the same way, destroys it and adds its children to the roots; a minimum root is deleted as in delete min.
  • After every cut of a child of ppp, if ppp is not a root it is marked if unmarked and cut from its own parent if marked: a cascading cut, which may repeat upwards.

The actual time of an operation is one unit, plus one per linking step, plus one per cut, plus for delete min the scan of the rank array (the largest rank involved). The potential Φ\PhiΦ of a collection is the number of trees plus twice the number of marked nonroot nodes, and the amortized time of an operation is its actual time plus the increase of Φ\PhiΦ.

Formalization targets

Goal: THEOREM 1 (p. 604)

There is an absolute constant C>0C > 0C>0 such that for every sequence of TTT operations started from no heaps, with ntn_tnt​ the number of items in the heap that operation ttt acts on, just before it acts,

∑t<Tcostt  ≤  ∑t<Tbt,bt={C(log⁡2nt+1)delete min or delete,Cotherwise.\sum_{t<T} \mathrm{cost}_t \;\le\; \sum_{t<T} b_t, \qquad b_t = \begin{cases} C(\log_2 n_t + 1) & \text{delete min or delete},\\ C & \text{otherwise.}\end{cases}t<T∑​costt​≤t<T∑​bt​,bt​={C(log2​nt​+1)C​delete min or delete,otherwise.​

The paper's wording is "the total time is at most the total amortized time, where the amortized time is O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) for each delete min or delete operation and O(1)O(1)O(1) for each of the other operations"; the goal pins the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) to one constant and does not name the potential.

Milestones

  1. LEMMA 1: the iiith child of a node, in linking order, has rank at least i−2i - 2i−2.
  2. Fk+2≥φkF_{k+2} \ge \varphi^kFk+2​≥φk, with FkF_kFk​ the Fibonacci numbers and φ=(1+5)/2\varphi = (1+\sqrt5)/2φ=(1+5​)/2.
  3. COROLLARY 1: a node of rank kkk has at least Fk+2≥φkF_{k+2} \ge \varphi^kFk+2​≥φk descendants, itself included.
  4. A node of rank kkk in an nnn-item heap has φk≤n\varphi^k \le nφk≤n, hence k≤log⁡n/log⁡φk \le \log n / \log\varphik≤logn/logφ.
  5. make heap, find min and meld leave Φ\PhiΦ unchanged; insert raises it by one.
  6. delete min raises Φ\PhiΦ by at most log⁡n/log⁡φ\log n / \log \varphilogn/logφ minus the number of linking steps.
  7. decrease key raises Φ\PhiΦ by at most three minus the number of cascading cuts.
  8. From no heaps, the total amortized time bounds the total actual time.

Significance

THEOREM 1 is the data-structure fact behind the paper's algorithmic results: Dijkstra's algorithm in O(nlog⁡n+m)O(n\log n + m)O(nlogn+m), all-pairs shortest paths and the assignment problem in O(n2log⁡n+nm)O(n^2 \log n + nm)O(n2logn+nm), and minimum spanning trees in O(m β(m,n))O(m\,\beta(m,n))O(mβ(m,n)).

The result has been proved since 1987. What the mission adds is a machine-checked version of the paper's own analysis on an operational model with arbitrary linking order, unmarking on link, marking or cascading on every cut, and the paper's unit costs. The proposal states the theorem and its supporting claims; their proofs remain to be formalized.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, that every tree is a binomial tree and so every rank is at most log⁡2n\log_2 nlog2​n, fails as soon as cuts are allowed: decrease key and delete remove subtrees arbitrarily, and the trees of an F-heap need not be binomial. The rank bound has to come from an invariant of the whole history (LEMMA 1), which only holds because a node loses at most one child before it is cut itself; without cascading cuts a node of rank kkk can be left with only k+1k+1k+1 descendants, and no logarithmic rank bound holds. A second difficulty is that the actual cost of one decrease key is unbounded, since a single operation may trigger arbitrarily many cascading cuts; a per-operation worst-case argument cannot give THEOREM 1, and the bound holds only for whole sequences started from no heaps.

Formalization scope

All declarations sit in the namespace FibHeap.Amort. Trees are a nested inductive FTree with item ℕ, key ℝ, a mark bit and a list of children in linking order; a heap is List FTree (its roots) and a collection is List Heap. Operations are a step relation Step s op s' d whose data d records linking steps, cuts, cascading cuts and the scan, so that cost d = 1 + links + cuts + scan is determined by what the operation did. The linking loop allows every order of linking; a link tie makes the first root a child of the second, while delete min may choose any minimum-key root. Runs start from no heaps; reachable collections consist of heap-ordered trees with each item in at most one heap. LEMMA 1, COROLLARY 1 and the delete-min bound are stated for reachable collections only, as the paper's "a node in an F-heap" intends. The paper's standing assumption that an item is in only one heap at a time is enforced by the precondition of insert and is not a hypothesis. The minimum pointer and returned items are not stored in the step relation; find min is a state-preserving step charged one unit. A heap destroyed by meld remains as an empty heap at its index.

Logarithms in the goal are base 2 (footnote 1, p. 600), with a +1+1+1 so that one-item heaps have positive budget. The paper's constant "≤1.4404log⁡n\le 1.4404 \log n≤1.4404logn" on p. 604 is a rounding slip (1/log⁡2φ=1.44042…1/\log_2 \varphi = 1.44042\ldots1/log2​φ=1.44042…); milestones use the exact log⁡φn\log_\varphi nlogφ​n.

The goal is not trivialized: the cost counts every linking step and every cut as fixed by the step relation, CCC is quantified before the run, and a companion theorem (step_exists) shows that every valid operation can be performed, so runs containing delete min, decrease key and cascading cuts exist. A further supporting statement gives an explicit form of the delete potential bound. A complete development needs facts about the nested inductive (sizes, subtree lists, marked counts under list edits), an invariant for LEMMA 1 recording when each child was linked, and the Fibonacci inequality; contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. L. Fredman and R. E. Tarjan, Fibonacci heaps and their uses in improved network optimization algorithms, J. ACM 34(3):596–615, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1145/28869.28874
  • J. Vuillemin, A data structure for manipulating priority queues, Comm. ACM 21(4):309–315, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1145/359460.359478
  • R. E. Tarjan, Amortized computational complexity, SIAM J. Algebraic Discrete Methods 6(2):306–318, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1137/0606031
  • E. W. Dijkstra, A note on two problems in connexion with graphs, Numer. Math. 1:269–271, 1959. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01386390
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🏆Completed
Convex OptimizationOptimal TransportOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations II: Worst-Case Distributions from a Finite Convex ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

In data-driven stochastic optimization a decision maker knows the distribution of an uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ only through NNN samples ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​. Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization hedges against this ignorance by evaluating a loss ℓ\ellℓ under the worst distribution in a ball, measured in the Wasserstein metric, around the empirical distribution of the samples. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (arXiv:1505.05116v3, published in Mathematical Programming 171, 2018) showed that for piecewise concave losses the worst-case expectation is the optimal value of a finite convex program (their Theorem 4.2), which made the approach computationally practical.

Knowing the worst-case value is often not enough. Stress tests of a candidate decision require the extremal distributions themselves: the distributions inside the ball that (nearly) achieve the worst case. Section 4.2 of the paper answers this question. Its Theorem 4.4 shows that the worst case is approached by discrete distributions with at most NKNKNK atoms, read off from near-optimal solutions of a second finite convex program, and its Example 2 shows that a worst-case distribution need not exist at all. This mission formalizes that section. The source is the arXiv preprint version 3 (13 June 2017); all numbering below refers to it.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real vector space with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (the paper's Rm\mathbb R^mRm), equipped with its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. Linear functionals zzz on EEE act by ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩, and the dual norm is ∥z∥∗=sup⁡∥ξ∥≤1⟨z,ξ⟩\|z\|_* = \sup_{\|\xi\|\le 1}\langle z,\xi\rangle∥z∥∗​=sup∥ξ∥≤1​⟨z,ξ⟩. Extended reals R‾=[−∞,+∞]\overline{\mathbb R} = [-\infty,+\infty]R=[−∞,+∞] follow the paper's conventions 0⋅∞=0/0=00\cdot\infty = 0/0 = 00⋅∞=0/0=0 and ∞−∞=∞\infty - \infty = \infty∞−∞=∞.

  • Samples and empirical distribution. ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​ lie in a set Ξ⊆E\Xi\subseteq EΞ⊆E, and P^N=1N∑iδξ^i\widehat{\mathbb P}_N = \frac1N\sum_i\delta_{\hat\xi_i}PN​=N1​∑i​δξ^​i​​.
  • Wasserstein ball. dW(Q1,Q2)d_W(\mathbb Q_1,\mathbb Q_2)dW​(Q1​,Q2​) is the infimum of ∫∥ξ1−ξ2∥ Π(dξ1,dξ2)\int\|\xi_1-\xi_2\|\,\Pi(d\xi_1,d\xi_2)∫∥ξ1​−ξ2​∥Π(dξ1​,dξ2​) over couplings Π\PiΠ of Q1\mathbb Q_1Q1​ and Q2\mathbb Q_2Q2​, and Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) is the set of probability distributions supported on Ξ\XiΞ within distance ε\varepsilonε of P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.
  • Loss. ℓ(ξ)=max⁡k≤Kℓk(ξ)\ell(\xi) = \max_{k\le K}\ell_k(\xi)ℓ(ξ)=maxk≤K​ℓk​(ξ) for measurable pieces ℓk:E→R‾\ell_k : E\to\overline{\mathbb R}ℓk​:E→R, and EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=EQ[max⁡{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min⁡{ℓ,0}]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\max\{\ell,0\}] + \mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min\{\ell,0\}]EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=EQ[max{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min{ℓ,0}].
  • Worst-case expectation (10). sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)]supQ∈Bε​(PN​)​EQ[ℓ(ξ)].
  • Assumption 4.1. Ξ\XiΞ is convex and closed; every −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ is proper, convex and lower semicontinuous; and no ℓk\ell_kℓk​ is identically −∞-\infty−∞ on Ξ\XiΞ.
  • Program (13). Over weights αik≥0\alpha_{ik}\ge 0αik​≥0 and displacements qik∈Eq_{ik}\in Eqik​∈E,
sup⁡αik,qik 1N∑i=1N∑k=1Kαik ℓk(ξ^i−qikαik)s.t.1N∑i,k∥qik∥≤ε,  ∑kαik=1,  ξ^i−qikαik∈Ξ.\sup_{\alpha_{ik},q_{ik}}\ \frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\sum_{k=1}^K\alpha_{ik}\,\ell_k\Big(\hat\xi_i-\frac{q_{ik}}{\alpha_{ik}}\Big)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\|q_{ik}\|\le\varepsilon,\ \ \sum_k\alpha_{ik}=1,\ \ \hat\xi_i-\frac{q_{ik}}{\alpha_{ik}}\in\Xi .αik​,qik​sup​ N1​i=1∑N​k=1∑K​αik​ℓk​(ξ^​i​−αik​qik​​)s.t.N1​i,k∑​∥qik​∥≤ε,  k∑​αik​=1,  ξ^​i​−αik​qik​​∈Ξ.

When αik=0\alpha_{ik}=0αik​=0 the last constraint forces qik=0q_{ik}=0qik​=0 and the ikikik-th objective term is 000.

  • Candidate distributions. Q=1N∑i,kαik δξik\mathbb Q = \frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\,\delta_{\xi_{ik}}Q=N1​∑i,k​αik​δξik​​ with ξik=ξ^i−qik/αik\xi_{ik} = \hat\xi_i - q_{ik}/\alpha_{ik}ξik​=ξ^​i​−qik​/αik​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.4 (worst-case distributions)

Under Assumption 4.1 and for every ε≥0\varepsilon\ge 0ε≥0,

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=optimal value of (13),\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \text{optimal value of (13)},Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=optimal value of (13),

and for every feasible sequence (αik(r),qik(r))r(\alpha_{ik}(r),q_{ik}(r))_r(αik​(r),qik​(r))r​ of (13) whose objective values converge to that optimal value, the distributions Qr\mathbb Q_rQr​ lie in Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) and

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=lim⁡r→∞EQr[ℓ(ξ)]=lim⁡r→∞1N∑i,kαik(r) ℓ(ξik(r)).\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)] = \lim_{r\to\infty}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q_r}[\ell(\xi)] = \lim_{r\to\infty}\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}(r)\,\ell(\xi_{ik}(r)).Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)]=r→∞lim​EQr​[ℓ(ξ)]=r→∞lim​N1​i,k∑​αik​(r)ℓ(ξik​(r)).

The limits may be +∞+\infty+∞; no finiteness is assumed.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

The proof starts from (10) = (12f) (proof of Theorem 4.2, p. 13), which is posed in mission I of this series, Wasserstein Worst-Case Expectations as Finite Convex Programs, and is not restated here; it will be linked as a milestone once that mission is live.

  1. Lemma 4.5: inf⁡z⟨z,q−αξ^⟩+αf∗(z)\inf_z\langle z,q-\alpha\hat\xi\rangle+\alpha f^*(z)infz​⟨z,q−αξ^​⟩+αf∗(z) is the extended perspective of q↦−f(ξ^−q)q\mapsto -f(\hat\xi-q)q↦−f(ξ^​−q) for proper, convex, lower semicontinuous fff.
  2. (14d)–(14f): the ikikik-th dual term equals αℓk(ξ^−q/α)−χΞ(ξ^−q/α)\alpha\ell_k(\hat\xi-q/\alpha)-\chi_\Xi(\hat\xi-q/\alpha)αℓk​(ξ^​−q/α)−χΞ​(ξ^​−q/α) under the extended-arithmetic conventions.
  3. (12f) = (13), the first part of the proof of Theorem 4.4.
  4. Qr∈Bε(P^N)\mathbb Q_r\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Qr​∈Bε​(PN​) for every feasible point of (13).
  5. EQr[ℓ(ξ)]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q_r}[\ell(\xi)]EQr​[ℓ(ξ)] equals 1N∑i,kαikℓ(ξik)\frac1N\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\ell(\xi_{ik})N1​∑i,k​αik​ℓ(ξik​) and is at least the objective of (13) for every feasible point.

Companion results

Corollary 4.6: if Ξ\XiΞ is compact or K=1K=1K=1, the sequence has an accumulation point that defines a worst-case distribution. Example 2: for Ξ=R\Xi=\mathbb RΞ=R, N=1N=1N=1, ξ^1=0\hat\xi_1=0ξ^​1​=0, ℓ=max⁡{0,ξ−1}\ell=\max\{0,\xi-1\}ℓ=max{0,ξ−1}, the worst-case expectation is ε\varepsilonε and, for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, is attained by no distribution in the ball.

Significance

Theorem 4.4 turns the abstract supremum over an infinite-dimensional ball of distributions into a finite-dimensional convex program whose near-optimal solutions are near-worst-case distributions. The atoms ξik\xi_{ik}ξik​ sit within total weighted distance ∑i,kαik∥ξik−ξ^i∥≤Nε\sum_{i,k}\alpha_{ik}\|\xi_{ik}-\hat\xi_i\|\le N\varepsilon∑i,k​αik​∥ξik​−ξ^​i​∥≤Nε of the data, and they may lie off the data, which distinguishes Wasserstein balls from ambiguity sets based on the total variation distance or the Kullback–Leibler divergence. Example 2 marks the boundary: the theorem cannot be upgraded to the existence of a maximizer in general, while Corollary 4.6 names two cases where it can.

The results are proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. The formalization adds a precise account of the extended-arithmetic conventions the paper relies on (0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0, q/0∉Eq/0\notin Eq/0∈/E, ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞), each of which is made explicit in the definitions, and a reusable Lean treatment of extended-valued conjugates and perspective functions on a normed space with an arbitrary norm.

Difficulty

The first claim goes through Lagrangian duality for program (12f), whose constraints involve conjugates that may take the value +∞+\infty+∞; the strong duality and the minimax interchange (14c) must be justified for extended-valued convex functions, not just finite ones. Lemma 4.5 needs the Fenchel–Moreau theorem f∗∗=ff^{**}=ff∗∗=f for proper, convex, lower semicontinuous R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R-valued functions on a finite-dimensional normed space, together with its degenerate case α=0\alpha=0α=0. The second claim is a squeeze argument, but it rests on computing an extended expectation of an R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R-valued function under a discrete measure and on an explicit coupling for the Wasserstein distance. A tempting shortcut, attaining the supremum by a limit distribution, fails: Example 2 shows the maximizing atoms can escape to infinity.

Formalization scope

  • The space is a finite-dimensional real normed space E with [BorelSpace E]; the dual space is StrongDual ℝ E, and the dual norm is the operator norm. All values are in EReal.
  • The Wasserstein distance, the ball (6) and P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​ are the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.wassersteinDistance, ambiguitySet (with p=1p=1p=1) and empiricalDistribution.
  • The extended expectation is the published DupacovaWets.Consistency.expect; it integrates the positive and negative parts separately and returns +∞+\infty+∞ when the positive part is infinite; there is no integrability guard, so a distribution with infinite expected loss pushes (10) to +∞+\infty+∞ as in the paper.
  • Program values are infima or suprema over feasibility predicates, so an empty feasible set gives ±∞\pm\infty±∞, never a junk 000. Program (13) encodes αik=0\alpha_{ik}=0αik​=0 by the clauses "qik=0q_{ik}=0qik​=0" and "objective term =0=0=0" (p. 14).
  • Standing assumptions carried as hypotheses: N≥1N\ge1N≥1, K≥1K\ge1K≥1, ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ (§2), measurability of each ℓk\ell_kℓk​ (p. 11).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: dropping the clause αik=0⇒qik=0\alpha_{ik}=0\Rightarrow q_{ik}=0αik​=0⇒qik​=0 or the hypothesis ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ would change program (13) or make the ball empty, and both are kept explicitly.
  • The objects shared with mission I (extended expectation, worst-case expectation, conjugate, Assumption 4.1, program (12f)) are restated verbatim in this mission's namespace; they will be merged with mission I's copies. Contributions to the convex-analysis groundwork (extended-valued Fenchel–Moreau, perspective functions) are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani and D. Kuhn, Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations, Mathematical Programming 171, 2018. Version formalized: arXiv:1505.05116v3.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Convex Optimization Theory, Athena Scientific, 2009 (Propositions 1.6.1 and 5.5.4, used in the proofs).
  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • C. Villani, Optimal Transport: Old and New, Springer, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-71050-9
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Algorithmic Game Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Perfect Equilibrium in a Bargaining Model: The Perfect Equilibrium Partitions Are the Nonempty Closed Intervals A = Δ₁ and B = Δ₂ = A − εResearch Paper

Motivation

Alternating-offer bargaining asks how an agreement is selected when two people can keep making proposals until one accepts. A prediction based only on behavior at the start may rely on threats that would no longer be sensible after a rejection. Ariel Rubinstein's 1982 paper studies strategies after every possible sequence of offers and gives a characterization of the partitions compatible with perfect equilibrium. Its setting has a unit pie, complete information, no fixed last round, and preferences that may describe more than a particular discount formula.

The question matters for sequential bargaining models in which the order of moves and the cost of delay affect the agreement. The paper distinguishes the set obtained when player 1 offers first from the set obtained when player 2 offers first. It also provides applications to fixed bargaining costs and fixed discount factors. This mission targets the paper's general characterization, from which those examples can be studied without building a new equilibrium concept for each preference family.

Setting

A partition is a number s∈S=[0,1]s\in S=[0,1]s∈S=[0,1]: player 1 receives sss of the unit pie and player 2 receives 1−s1-s1−s. An outcome (s,t)(s,t)(s,t) means that the offer sss is accepted in period ttt; (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) denotes perpetual disagreement. Periods of actual play start at 1. The paper also uses (s,0)(s,0)(s,0) when comparing acceptance of a current offer with a future outcome. Each player i∈{1,2}i\in\{1,2\}i∈{1,2} has a complete, reflexive, transitive preference relation ≽i\succcurlyeq_i≽i​ on outcomes. Strict preference ≻i\succ_i≻i​ and indifference ∼i\sim_i∼i​ are derived from it.

The game alternates proposals and responses. One player offers a partition, the other accepts or rejects, and rejection makes the responder the next proposer. A strategy specifies what a player does after every possible history, including histories inconsistent with the player's earlier plans. A perfect equilibrium requires the relevant player's continuation to withstand every alternative continuation strategy at each rejected history and to make a planned acceptance or rejection consistent with the current offer. The empty history is included, so the opening proposer must also have no profitable deviation.

Write AAA for the set of player-1 shares reached by perfect equilibria when player 1 opens, and BBB for the corresponding set when player 2 opens. Perpetual disagreement contributes no share to either set. Define Δ⊆S×S\Delta\subseteq S\times SΔ⊆S×S by a pair of one-period thresholds: for (x,y)∈Δ(x,y)\in\Delta(x,y)∈Δ, yyy is the smallest share whose immediate acceptance player 1 weakly prefers to (x,1)(x,1)(x,1), and xxx is the largest share whose immediate acceptance player 2 weakly prefers to (y,1)(y,1)(y,1). Let Δ1\Delta_1Δ1​ and Δ2\Delta_2Δ2​ be its coordinate projections. All four sets contain numbers interpreted as player-1 shares, even when player 2 moves first. These are the objects of Sections 2–5.

Formalization targets

Characterization

Under the paper's five preference assumptions (A-1)–(A-5), the goal is its THEOREM on p. 106:

A=Δ1≠∅,B=Δ2≠∅,A=\Delta_1\ne\varnothing,\qquad B=\Delta_2\ne\varnothing,A=Δ1​=∅,B=Δ2​=∅,

with AAA and BBB nonempty closed intervals and some e≥0e\ge 0e≥0 satisfying

B={a−e:a∈A}.B=\{a-e:a\in A\}.B={a−e:a∈A}.

The translation parameter is allowed to be zero, and either interval may be a single point. The goal fixes the paper's general shape without choosing a particular utility representation or assuming immediate agreement in every equilibrium.

Milestone statements

The attack path follows Lemmas 1–4 and Propositions 1–4 in their printed order. The lemmas constrain how a partition in one opening order relates to a feasible continuation in the other. Proposition 1 places each pair in Δ\DeltaΔ inside A×BA\times BA×B; Proposition 2 asserts existence; Proposition 3 describes Δ\DeltaΔ as a closed segment parallel to the diagonal; Proposition 4 gives the reverse containment of AAA and BBB in the threshold projections. Each numbered result is a separate theorem target.

Significance

The theorem identifies the full set of equilibrium partitions from preference comparisons one period apart. Nonemptiness says the model admits at least one equilibrium partition in either opening order. The interval conclusion describes cases with multiple equilibrium shares, while the translate relation states exactly how reversing the first mover changes the two sets. In the paper's discounting example, a single share is selected under the stated parameter conditions; in a fixed-cost boundary case, multiple shares can occur. These are applications in Section 6, not assumptions of the general target.

Rubinstein proved the result in 1982. Here the definitions and theorem statements are Lean drafts; the numbered targets and the main theorem still require machine-checked proofs. A local verification module establishes that one discounting instance satisfies the first three axioms and that the paper's Section 3 strategy example accepts its first offer in period 1. Completing the mission would give a reusable formal account of an infinite-horizon alternating-offer game and its subgame equilibrium conditions, alongside the paper's characterization.

Difficulty

A first-round equilibrium condition does not control what a strategy promises after an offer is rejected. The paper's equilibrium definition checks the entire continuation at every history, with the player's role changing after each rejection. As a result, showing that a proposed share is an equilibrium partition requires more than checking the opening offer: the answer and the next proposal must remain consistent throughout the game tree. The model also allows arbitrary complete preferences satisfying axioms, so a calculation with one discount function cannot establish the general theorem.

The boundary at a zero share requires care. Assumption (A-2) asserts strict preference for earlier positive shares; it says nothing directly about a player receiving zero. The printed proof of Lemma 1 invokes it for a comparison that can occur at that boundary. The local lemma drafts explicitly carry the paper's (A-4) closedness axiom to support that comparison. This added assumption, and its propagation to Lemmas 2–4, is disclosed in the audit notes rather than silently attributed to the Section 4 statement.

Formalization scope

Lean represents SSS as the subtype of real numbers in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Outcomes are an option type: an agreement contains a partition and a natural-number period, while none is perpetual disagreement. This prevents an endless play from acquiring a default last partition. Strategies are unrestricted functions of lists of past offers. The play uses the first accepted offer, with period number one greater than its zero-based sequence index. A subgame after a rejected history restarts the period count and swaps the opening role when the history has odd length. The perfect-equilibrium predicate includes the empty history; acceptance comparisons use period 0 for the offer already on the table.

The threshold correspondence uses actual least and greatest elements among partitions in SSS. No real infimum or supremum supplies a default for an empty candidate set. “Closed interval” in the goal means an explicit [ℓ,u][\ell,u][ℓ,u] with ℓ≤u\ell\le uℓ≤u. “A−eA-eA−e” is the image of AAA under a↦a−ea\mapsto a-ea↦a−e. Proposition 3's “parallel line segment” is the full image of a nonempty interval under x↦(x,x−e)x\mapsto(x,x-e)x↦(x,x−e). These readings exclude a vacuous equilibrium set, a disagreement-to-zero coercion, and a hard-coded discounting special case.

The common outcome and preference definitions, the history-based strategy and play, and the equilibrium predicate are reusable for other alternating-offer questions. Contributions toward their structural properties, the numbered milestones, and the full theorem are in scope. The two displayed claims inside proofs and the fixed-cost and discounting conclusions are deferred to keep this proposal on the theorem's numbered path. Existing platform entries on Nash's axiomatic bargaining solution and a sealed-offer double auction concern different objects; neither supplies this game's equilibrium definition.

Selected references

  • Ariel Rubinstein, Perfect Equilibrium in a Bargaining Model, Econometrica 50(1), 97–109, 1982. DOI 10.2307/1912531.
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Matching, Euler Tours and the Chinese Postman IV: Every Connected, Even, Symmetric Mixed Graph Has an Euler TourResearch Paper

Motivation

A postman, a snowplough or a street sweeper must traverse every street of a district and return to the depot. When some streets are one-way, the street network is a mixed graph: some edges are directed and must be traversed in a prescribed direction, the others are undirected and may be traversed either way. The first question about such a route is whether a closed route exists that traverses every street exactly once, an Euler tour of the mixed graph. When one exists, it is an optimal postman route; when none exists, the postman problem asks which streets to repeat.

J. Edmonds and E.L. Johnson treat this question in §6 of Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman (Mathematical Programming 5, 1973), the paper that solved the undirected Chinese postman problem by matching. Section 6 gives an algorithm that finds an Euler tour in any mixed graph that is connected, of even degree and symmetric, and §7 uses it for the mixed postman problem.

Timeline.

  • 1736: Euler's condition for undirected graphs (even degrees, connectivity).
  • 1951: T. van Aardenne-Ehrenfest and N.G. de Bruijn enumerate the Euler tours of a symmetric directed graph through spanning arborescences ("circuits and trees in oriented linear graphs"). Edmonds and Johnson cite this as the source of their arborescence rule.
  • 1962: L.R. Ford and D.R. Fulkerson (Flows in Networks, §II.7) characterize, by a flow argument, when a mixed graph has an Euler tour without assuming symmetry.
  • 1973: Edmonds and Johnson give the combined orientation and Rule algorithm of §6 for connected, even, symmetric mixed graphs, and the existence criterion of §7 for mixed postman tours.
  • 1976: C.H. Papadimitriou shows the mixed postman problem NP-hard, so the polynomial-time picture of §6 does not extend to its optimization version.

Setting

A mixed graph GGG has a finite set NNN of nodes and a finite set EEE of edges. Each edge eee meets two distinct nodes; several edges may meet the same pair of nodes. Some edges are directed: an edge directed away from node iii toward node jjj must be traversed from iii to jjj. In Lean an edge has a tail, a head (distinct) and a Boolean directed; for an undirected edge the order of the two ends carries no meaning.

  • The degree of a node is the total number of edges, regardless of direction, meeting it. GGG is even if every degree is even.
  • out⁡(n)\operatorname{out}(n)out(n) and in⁡(n)\operatorname{in}(n)in(n) count the directed edges directed away from and toward nnn. GGG is symmetric if out⁡(n)=in⁡(n)\operatorname{out}(n)=\operatorname{in}(n)out(n)=in(n) for every node nnn.
  • GGG is connected if it is connected when the directions on the edges are ignored.
  • A mixed walk is a sequence (n1,e1,n2,…,el,nl+1)(n_1,e_1,n_2,\dots,e_l,n_{l+1})(n1​,e1​,n2​,…,el​,nl+1​) in which each directed eie_iei​ goes from its tail nin_ini​ to its head ni+1n_{i+1}ni+1​ and each undirected eie_iei​ meets nin_ini​ and ni+1n_{i+1}ni+1​. It is a tour if nl+1=n1n_{l+1}=n_1nl+1​=n1​, an Euler tour if it contains every edge exactly once, and a postman tour if it contains every edge at least once.
  • An arborescence with root rrr is a tree TTT of directed edges in which every node n≠rn\neq rn=r of TTT has precisely one edge of TTT directed away from nnn. Following those edges from any node of TTT leads to rrr. It is spanning if it contains every node.

Formalization targets

Goal: the mixed Euler tour theorem (§6, pp. 115–118)

If GGG is connected, even and symmetric, then for every node rrr

∃ (r=n1,e1,…,el,nl+1=r) a mixed Euler tour of G.\exists\ (r=n_1,e_1,\dots,e_l,n_{l+1}=r)\ \text{a mixed Euler tour of } G .∃ (r=n1​,e1​,…,el​,nl+1​=r) a mixed Euler tour of G.

Milestones

  1. Cut balance (p. 116). If GGG is symmetric, every node set SSS has as many directed edges leaving it as entering it.
  2. Maximal arborescences span (pp. 115–116). Suppose the directed edges form a symmetric, connected spanning subgraph. Then an arborescence of directed edges to which no directed edge entering it from outside can be added contains every node.
  3. The Rule (pp. 116–117). Suppose the directed edges form a symmetric connected spanning subgraph and the undirected edges have even degree. Fix a spanning arborescence with root rrr and order the directed edges leaving each node n≠rn\neq rn=r so that the arborescence edge comes last. Then the following traversal from rrr is an Euler tour: leave by the next unused undirected edge if there is one, otherwise by the next unused directed edge.
  4. The assignment outcome (p. 118). If GGG is connected, even and symmetric, directions can be assigned to some undirected edges so that the result is symmetric, its directed edges form a connected spanning subgraph, and the unassigned edges have even degree.
  5. Mixed postman criterion (§7, p. 120). A connected mixed graph has a postman tour if and only if no nonempty proper node set SSS has every boundary edge directed away from SSS.

Significance

The goal contains two classical theorems as special cases. With every edge undirected it is Euler's theorem for connected even multigraphs. With every edge directed it is the theorem that a connected balanced digraph is Eulerian. The milestones connect the two cases: an orientation reduces the mixed case to one the Rule can handle. The Rule itself is the van Aardenne-Ehrenfest–de Bruijn construction, which underlies the BEST theorem counting Euler tours. Milestone 5 decides whether the mixed postman problem has any feasible solution. The mixed postman problem is the standard model for routing on one-way street networks.

All results here are proved in the paper, so none is open. No Lean proof of any of them in this form is known. Mathlib's Eulerian walks are for simple graphs; it has no multigraph or mixed-graph Euler theorem, no directed Euler theorem and no arborescence-based traversal. The mission produces these, together with a reusable vocabulary of mixed multigraphs, walks that respect directions, and arborescences given by parent edges.

Difficulty

The obvious approach to the goal is to forget the directions and apply Euler's theorem. This fails because the tour it produces may traverse a directed edge backwards. Orienting all undirected edges at once also fails: an arbitrary orientation of the undirected edges need not keep every node balanced.

The difficult part of the Rule is showing that the greedy traversal does not get stuck before using every edge. It cannot stop at a node other than rrr because of the degree conditions. The hard step is showing that no edge is left unused when it stops at rrr. The answer depends on the ordering condition: without the arborescence edge last at every node, the Rule can return to rrr with edges still unused. The assignment step needs an invariant: the orientation must keep every node symmetric while it extends a spanning structure of directed edges.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. Nodes and edges are finite types (Fintype V, Fintype E). Parallel edges are allowed, including a directed and an undirected edge on the same pair. Loops are excluded (tail e ≠ head e), following the paper's standing setting of §2 (p. 91: edges meet two different nodes). Edges are a type, not a relation on nodes, so parallel edges stay distinct in every walk.
  • Hypotheses as on p. 115. "Even" counts all edges, directed or undirected. "Symmetric" counts only directed edges. "Connected" ignores directions. Strong connectivity is not assumed. "Symmetric" does not mean that every node has even in-degree, and an Euler tour of the underlying undirected multigraph does not satisfy the goal: the tour must traverse each directed edge from its tail to its head.
  • Walks are a node list and an edge list of length one less. The one-node walk is allowed, so the graph with one node and no edges satisfies the goal.
  • Arborescences are given by an optional edge ana_nan​ at each node, with an edge required for each non-root node of WWW; following those edges leads to rrr. A maximal arborescence is one where no directed edge enters WWW from outside. The optional choice represents the root-only arborescence when the graph has no edges.
  • The Rule is computed by a fuel-bounded traversal (at most ∣E∣|E|∣E∣ steps) that keeps a global list of used edges. Its conclusion is that the computed sequences form a mixed Euler tour from rrr.
  • The assignment is an existential statement over a second mixed graph G′G'G′ on the same edges, with the same unordered ends and every directed edge kept. The paper's algorithm (Steps 0–3) is not formalized.
  • Postman criterion. "Proper subset" means nonempty and proper. Connectivity is assumed, as throughout §7, and the node set is nonempty (with no nodes there is no tour, while the criterion holds vacuously).
  • Not formalized. The §7 evenness argument (p. 122) and the min-cost flow formulations are outside the scope.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a direct proof of the goal, and general lemmas about mixed multigraph walks.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds and E.L. Johnson, Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973) 88–124. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580113
  • T. van Aardenne-Ehrenfest and N.G. de Bruijn, Circuits and trees in oriented linear graphs, Simon Stevin 28 (1951) 203–217.
  • L.R. Ford and D.R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, Princeton University Press, 1962.
  • C.H. Papadimitriou, On the complexity of edge traversing, Journal of the ACM 23 (1976) 544–554. https://doi.org/10.1145/321958.321974
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Matching, Euler Tours and the Chinese Postman II: The Parity Problem Is a Minimum 1-Matching of the Odd Nodes under Shortest-Path LengthsResearch Paper

Motivation

A postal route that must traverse every street and return to its starting point is a Chinese postman tour. In a street network, crossings are nodes, streets are edges, and the cost of a route is the sum of the lengths of the streets it traverses, counted with repetition. The practical question is which streets must be repeated, and how often. Edmonds and Johnson's 1973 paper separates that question from constructing the resulting tour: choose the repeated edges first, then find an Euler tour of the resulting multigraph. This mission concerns their reduction of the first question to a minimum-weight matching of the odd-degree nodes.

The reduction matters because it turns a route problem with arbitrary repeated edge traversals into a finite pairing problem. The graph of odd nodes is complete, with the weight of a pair given by its shortest-path distance in the original network. A matching chooses which odd nodes to pair, and paths realizing those pairs identify edges to repeat. The paper also explains why overlapping paths can be replaced so that no edge needs to be repeated by this construction more than once (§3, pp. 92–93).

Setting

A graph G=(N,E)G=(N,E)G=(N,E) has finite node and edge sets. Each edge has two distinct endpoints. Different edges may join the same pair of nodes, so parallel streets remain distinct. The graph is connected when every pair of nodes is joined by an edge-labelled walk. A walk records both its node sequence and its edge sequence; a tour is a closed walk. An Euler tour uses each edge exactly once, while a postman tour uses each edge at least once. Edge lengths cec_ece​ are real and nonnegative, as in §2, p. 89.

The degree of vvv is the number of named edges meeting it. Let TTT be the set of nodes of odd degree. For every edge eee, let xe∈Nx_e\in\mathbb Nxe​∈N be the number of additional traversals. The parity equations require a nonnegative integer wvw_vwv​ at each node such that

∑e∋vxe=2wv+bv,bv={1v∈T,0v∉T.\sum_{e\ni v}x_e=2w_v+b_v,\qquad b_v=\begin{cases}1&v\in T,\\0&v\notin T.\end{cases}e∋v∑​xe​=2wv​+bv​,bv​={10​v∈T,v∈/T.​

Their objective is z(x)=∑e∈Ecexez(x)=\sum_{e\in E}c_ex_ez(x)=∑e∈E​ce​xe​. These are the paper's (3.1)–(3.4), with natural-number values encoding integrality and nonnegativity (§3, pp. 90–91). The equations express the even-degree condition after adding xex_exe​ copies of each original edge.

For nodes u,vu,vu,v, write d(u,v)d(u,v)d(u,v) for the length of a shortest path in GGG. This distance is backed by an attaining edge-simple path and is a lower bound on the length of every walk from uuu to vvv. Connectivity and nonnegative edge lengths make that specification meaningful. Let GpG_pGp​ be the complete graph on TTT, with edge {u,v}\{u,v\}{u,v} of weight d(u,v)d(u,v)d(u,v). A 1-matching MMM pairs every node of TTT with exactly one distinct node. Its length is L(M)=∑{u,v}∈Md(u,v)L(M)=\sum_{\{u,v\}\in M}d(u,v)L(M)=∑{u,v}∈M​d(u,v), equivalently half the sum of d(v,f(v))d(v,f(v))d(v,f(v)) over v∈Tv\in Tv∈T for the pairing involution fff (§3, p. 92).

Formalization targets

Odd-node matching reduction

The goal asserts the existence of a 1-matching of the odd nodes and both directions of the cost comparison:

∀M  ∃x satisfying the parity equations:xe∈{0,1}, z(x)≤L(M),\forall M\;\exists x\text{ satisfying the parity equations}:\quad x_e\in\{0,1\},\ z(x)\le L(M),∀M∃x satisfying the parity equations:xe​∈{0,1}, z(x)≤L(M), ∀x satisfying the parity equations  ∃M:L(M)≤z(x).\forall x\text{ satisfying the parity equations}\;\exists M:\quad L(M)\le z(x).∀x satisfying the parity equations∃M:L(M)≤z(x).

The existence conclusion and these comparisons identify the two attained minimum values. The goal does not prescribe a particular matching algorithm. Its supporting targets are the paper's uncrossing of overlapping shortest paths, parity of their union, reduction of multiplicities to zero or one, and decomposition of a parity solution into paths between odd nodes (§3, pp. 92–93).

Postman-tour reduction

The companion target relates a tour's edge counts to the parity equations. A postman tour traverses edge eee exactly 1+xe1+x_e1+xe​ times, and its length is

∑e∈Ece(1+xe)=∑e∈Ece+z(x).\sum_{e\in E}c_e(1+x_e) =\sum_{e\in E}c_e+z(x).e∈E∑​ce​(1+xe​)=e∈E∑​ce​+z(x).

Conversely, positive integer edge counts with even incidence at every node can be ordered into a postman tour of a connected graph. The supporting Euler theorem handles a connected even multigraph (§2, p. 89).

Significance

The matching result characterizes the optimal additional cost of an undirected postman route. It says that the parity correction can be chosen from paths pairing odd nodes, and that no feasible choice of repeated traversals can beat the best such pairing. The companion identifies how that correction becomes an actual tour. The distinction is useful when one wants to change the matching method while retaining the mathematical guarantee on route length.

A formal development would provide a reusable account of finite multigraph walks whose edge names distinguish parallel edges, of shortest-path distances with explicit attainment, and of parity subgraphs decomposed into odd-to-odd paths and even-degree residual tours. These pieces support later formal work on route inspection, TTT-joins, and matching-based graph algorithms. The paper proves the mathematical result. The exact multigraph and cost statements drafted here are open formalization targets; the local prior-art search found related results for simple graphs and metric traveling-salesman models, but no published statement with this paper's objects and conclusion.

Difficulty

A direct shortest-path construction can assign the same original edge to two matching pairs. Simply setting xe=1x_e=1xe​=1 for the union then loses the additivity of path lengths, and setting xe=2x_e=2xe​=2 loses the promised zero-or-one form. The uncrossing claim must control both the matching cost and the number of times each original edge appears. In the converse direction, an arbitrary feasible xxx may contain repeated edges and cycles; the argument must account for these without assuming that every supported edge belongs to a path between odd nodes (§3, pp. 92–93).

Formalization scope

Lean uses the published EdmondsMatching65.Polyhedron.Graph for GGG: finite node and edge types and an endpoint map into unordered node pairs. A proof field excludes loops; distinct edge names may have identical endpoints. Walks use lists of nodes and named edges with zero-based indices, and the one-node, zero-edge walk is allowed. Edge multiplicities and parity witnesses are natural numbers. Costs and shortest-path lengths are real. The distance relation requires both an attaining edge-simple path and a bound against all walks; no real infimum over a possibly empty family is used. The matching is a fixed-point-free involution on the odd nodes, extended by the identity elsewhere, and each pair contributes half of its two directed distance terms.

The goal assumes a connected graph and nonnegative edge lengths, exactly as the section does. The tour-only results require a nonempty node type because a list-based tour must have a starting node; without it an edgeless graph on no nodes would satisfy connectivity and even degree vacuously. The path-decomposition statement permits unused even-degree cycles. No independent set of “odd nodes” is accepted as input: it is computed from the degree of GGG.

The development needs finite multigraph incidence, edge-labelled walks, shortest paths, finite matchings, parity arithmetic, path uncrossing, and Euler tours. Proofs or useful intermediate results for these objects are welcome, including results applicable to multigraphs beyond the postman setting.

Selected references

  • Jack Edmonds and Ellis L. Johnson, Matching, Euler tours and the Chinese postman, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973), 88–124. DOI: 10.1007/BF01580113.
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Convex OptimizationOptimal TransportOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulations I: Wasserstein Worst-Case Expectations as Finite Convex ProgramsResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker who must minimize an expected cost EP[h(x,ξ)]\mathbb E^{\mathbb P}[h(x,\xi)]EP[h(x,ξ)] rarely knows the distribution P\mathbb PP of the uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ; usually only NNN samples ξ^1,…,ξ^N\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_Nξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​ are available. Replacing P\mathbb PP by the empirical distribution (sample average approximation) tends to produce decisions that perform poorly out of sample when NNN is small. Distributionally robust optimization instead minimizes the worst expected cost over a set of distributions that are plausible given the data. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (arXiv:1505.05116v3, published in Mathematical Programming 171, 2018) take that set to be a ball in the Wasserstein metric around the empirical distribution. Such balls give finite-sample and asymptotic guarantees, but each evaluation of the robust objective is an optimization over infinitely many probability distributions. Section 4.1 of the paper shows that, for a large class of losses, this inner problem is a finite convex program. That result, Theorem 4.2, is the subject of this mission.

Timeline. Wasserstein ambiguity sets for portfolio selection were proposed by Pflug and Wozabal (2007); before this paper, robust problems over such sets were solved with global optimization algorithms (Pflug and Pichler 2014). Strong duality for conic linear and moment problems (Shapiro 2001) underlies the reduction. Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn (preprint 2015, journal 2018) proved the convex reduction for piecewise concave losses; Gao and Kleywegt (arXiv:1604.02199) and Blanchet and Murthy (arXiv:1604.01446) proved strong duality for general transport costs in 2016.

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real vector space with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (the paper's Rm\mathbb R^mRm) and its Borel σ-algebra. Its dual norm is ∥z∥∗=sup⁡∥ξ∥≤1⟨z,ξ⟩\|z\|_* = \sup_{\|\xi\|\le 1}\langle z,\xi\rangle∥z∥∗​=sup∥ξ∥≤1​⟨z,ξ⟩, where ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩ is the value of the linear functional zzz at ξ\xiξ. Let Ξ⊆E\Xi\subseteq EΞ⊆E be the support set and ξ^1,…,ξ^N∈Ξ\hat\xi_1,\dots,\hat\xi_N\in\Xiξ^​1​,…,ξ^​N​∈Ξ the samples, with empirical distribution P^N=1N∑i=1Nδξ^i\widehat{\mathbb P}_N=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\delta_{\hat\xi_i}PN​=N1​∑i=1N​δξ^​i​​.

The 1-Wasserstein distance between two distributions is the least transport cost ∫∥ξ−ξ′∥ Π(dξ,dξ′)\int\|\xi-\xi'\|\,\Pi(d\xi,d\xi')∫∥ξ−ξ′∥Π(dξ,dξ′) over all couplings Π\PiΠ with the given marginals. The Wasserstein ball Bε(P^N)\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)Bε​(PN​) is the set of probability distributions on Ξ\XiΞ within distance ε≥0\varepsilon\ge 0ε≥0 of P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.

The loss is a pointwise maximum ℓ(ξ)=max⁡k≤Kℓk(ξ)\ell(\xi)=\max_{k\le K}\ell_k(\xi)ℓ(ξ)=maxk≤K​ℓk​(ξ) of measurable functions ℓk:E→R‾=R∪{±∞}\ell_k:E\to\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}ℓk​:E→R=R∪{±∞}. Its expectation is EQ[ℓ]=EQ[max⁡{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min⁡{ℓ,0}]\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell]=\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\max\{\ell,0\}]+\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min\{\ell,0\}]EQ[ℓ]=EQ[max{ℓ,0}]+EQ[min{ℓ,0}] with ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞. The worst-case expectation is

sup⁡Q∈Bε(P^N)EQ[ℓ(ξ)].(10)\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\varepsilon(\widehat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\ell(\xi)].\tag{10}Q∈Bε​(PN​)sup​EQ[ℓ(ξ)].(10)

The conjugate of f:E→R‾f:E\to\overline{\mathbb R}f:E→R is f∗(z)=sup⁡ξ⟨z,ξ⟩−f(ξ)f^*(z)=\sup_\xi\langle z,\xi\rangle-f(\xi)f∗(z)=supξ​⟨z,ξ⟩−f(ξ), the characteristic function χΞ\chi_\XiχΞ​ is 000 on Ξ\XiΞ and +∞+\infty+∞ off it, and the support function is σΞ(z)=sup⁡ξ∈Ξ⟨z,ξ⟩\sigma_\Xi(z)=\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}\langle z,\xi\rangleσΞ​(z)=supξ∈Ξ​⟨z,ξ⟩. Assumption 4.1 requires Ξ\XiΞ to be convex and closed, each −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ to be proper, convex and lower semicontinuous, and no ℓk\ell_kℓk​ to be identically −∞-\infty−∞ on Ξ\XiΞ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 (convex reduction)

Under Assumption 4.1, for every ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0, (10) equals

inf⁡λ,si,zik,νik λε+1N∑i=1Nsis.t.[−ℓk]∗(zik−νik)+σΞ(νik)−⟨zik,ξ^i⟩≤si,  ∥zik∥∗≤λ∀i,k.(11)\inf_{\lambda,s_i,z_{ik},\nu_{ik}}\ \lambda\varepsilon+\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N s_i\quad\text{s.t.}\quad [-\ell_k]^*(z_{ik}-\nu_{ik})+\sigma_\Xi(\nu_{ik})-\langle z_{ik},\hat\xi_i\rangle\le s_i,\ \ \|z_{ik}\|_*\le\lambda\quad\forall i,k.\tag{11}λ,si​,zik​,νik​inf​ λε+N1​i=1∑N​si​s.t.[−ℓk​]∗(zik​−νik​)+σΞ​(νik​)−⟨zik​,ξ^​i​⟩≤si​,  ∥zik​∥∗​≤λ∀i,k.(11)

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. (12a)–(12c). Without any convexity, (10) is at most the value of (12c): inf⁡{λε+1N∑isi: sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓ(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^i∥)≤si, λ≥0}\inf\{\lambda\varepsilon+\frac1N\sum_i s_i:\ \sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell(\xi)-\lambda\|\xi-\hat\xi_i\|)\le s_i,\ \lambda\ge0\}inf{λε+N1​∑i​si​: supξ∈Ξ​(ℓ(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^​i​∥)≤si​, λ≥0}.
  2. Corollary 4.3. Without Assumption 4.1, (10) is at most the value of (12f), the program with constraints [−ℓk+χΞ]∗(zik)−⟨zik,ξ^i⟩≤si[-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi]^*(z_{ik})-\langle z_{ik},\hat\xi_i\rangle\le s_i[−ℓk​+χΞ​]∗(zik​)−⟨zik​,ξ^​i​⟩≤si​ and ∥zik∥∗≤λ\|z_{ik}\|_*\le\lambda∥zik​∥∗​≤λ.
  3. (12a) is an equality for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 under Assumption 4.1.
  4. The case ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0. (10) is the sample average 1N∑iℓ(ξ^i)\frac1N\sum_i\ell(\hat\xi_i)N1​∑i​ℓ(ξ^​i​), the objective of (12b) converges to it as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞, and (12a) is again an equality.
  5. (12e) is an equality. For each constraint, sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓk(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^i∥)=min⁡∥z∥∗≤λsup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓk(ξ)−⟨z,ξ−ξ^i⟩)\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell_k(\xi)-\lambda\|\xi-\hat\xi_i\|)=\min_{\|z\|_*\le\lambda}\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\ell_k(\xi)-\langle z,\xi-\hat\xi_i\rangle)supξ∈Ξ​(ℓk​(ξ)−λ∥ξ−ξ^​i​∥)=min∥z∥∗​≤λ​supξ∈Ξ​(ℓk​(ξ)−⟨z,ξ−ξ^​i​⟩).
  6. (10) equals (12f) under Assumption 4.1.
  7. (12f) equals (11) under Assumption 4.1, as optimal values.

Significance

Theorem 4.2 is what makes Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization computable. Once the worst-case expectation is a convex program in (λ,s,z,ν)(\lambda,s,z,\nu)(λ,s,z,ν), minimizing over the decision xxx becomes one larger convex program. Section 5 of the paper derives linear and conic programs from it for piecewise affine losses, uncertainty quantification and two-stage problems. Theorem 4.4 of the same paper (mission II of this series) builds worst-case distributions from the same program. Corollary 4.3 gives a conservative convex bound for losses that are not piecewise concave.

The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. A formal development needs a working theory of extended-valued conjugates, support functions and inf-convolution in a normed space, Kantorovich-type couplings of an empirical measure, and a minimax theorem over a compact dual ball. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The weak inequality, (10) ≤\le≤ (12f), is the elementary direction: integrate a pointwise bound against a near-optimal coupling. The difficulty lies in the two equalities. Equality in (12a) is strong duality for an infinite-dimensional moment problem whose loss may take the values ±∞\pm\infty±∞ and may be unbounded on an unbounded Ξ\XiΞ. A Slater point exists only for ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, so ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 needs a separate limit argument. The equality (12f) === (11) is subtle as well. The conjugate of −ℓk+χΞ-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi−ℓk​+χΞ​ is only the closure of the inf-convolution of [−ℓk]∗[-\ell_k]^*[−ℓk​]∗ and σΞ\sigma_\XiσΞ​, so the two constraint sets differ and only the optimal values agree. The paper's sentence "cl[f]≤0[f]\le 0[f]≤0 iff f≤0f\le0f≤0" is false pointwise and cannot be formalized as written.

Formalization scope

  • Space. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space with its Borel σ-algebra. The pairing ⟨z,ξ⟩\langle z,\xi\rangle⟨z,ξ⟩ is application of a continuous linear functional zzz, and ∥z∥∗\|z\|_*∥z∥∗​ is the operator norm. These choices keep the paper's arbitrary norm; §5 of the paper uses the 1- and ∞-norms.
  • Extended reals. Values are in EReal. Mathlib's EReal has ⊤+⊥=⊥\top+\bot=\bot⊤+⊥=⊥, whereas the paper has ∞−∞=∞\infty-\infty=\infty∞−∞=∞, so the expectation treats an infinite positive part separately, and [−ℓk+χΞ]∗(z)[-\ell_k+\chi_\Xi]^*(z)[−ℓk​+χΞ​]∗(z) is written as sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(⟨z,ξ⟩+ℓk(ξ))\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}(\langle z,\xi\rangle+\ell_k(\xi))supξ∈Ξ​(⟨z,ξ⟩+ℓk​(ξ)), with no addition at all. The one EReal sum, [−ℓk]∗+σΞ[-\ell_k]^*+\sigma_\Xi[−ℓk​]∗+σΞ​ in (11), never meets ⊤+⊥\top+\bot⊤+⊥ under Assumption 4.1.
  • Programs. Each optimal value is an infimum over a feasibility predicate with real epigraph variables, so an infeasible program has value +∞+\infty+∞.
  • Ball. The ball is the published WassersteinDRO.Duality.ambiguitySet with p=1p=1p=1 around empiricalDistribution. Its condition Q(Ξc)=0\mathbb Q(\Xi^{\mathrm c})=0Q(Ξc)=0 encodes Q∈M(Ξ)\mathbb Q\in\mathcal M(\Xi)Q∈M(Ξ). The finite first moment is automatic at finite distance from P^N\widehat{\mathbb P}_NPN​.
  • Standing assumptions. Every statement carries N≥1N\ge1N≥1, K≥1K\ge1K≥1, ξ^i∈Ξ\hat\xi_i\in\Xiξ^​i​∈Ξ (§2, p. 5) and measurability of each ℓk\ell_kℓk​ (p. 11). The radius condition is ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0, or ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 in milestone 3.
  • Assumption 4.1. Convexity of −ℓk-\ell_k−ℓk​ is stated through its real epigraph, because ConvexOn cannot take an EReal codomain.
  • Not trivializable. The statements cannot be made vacuous by an empty ball, because the samples lie in Ξ\XiΞ. They cannot be trivialized by a junk expectation either: the expectation is not guarded by integrability, so a distribution with infinite expected loss makes (10) infinite, exactly as in the paper.

Welcome contributions are reusable lemmas on EReal-valued conjugates and support functions, the decomposition of a coupling with an empirical marginal into conditional distributions, the dual-norm identity max⁡∥z∥∗≤λ⟨z,v⟩=λ∥v∥\max_{\|z\|_*\le\lambda}\langle z,v\rangle=\lambda\|v\|max∥z∥∗​≤λ​⟨z,v⟩=λ∥v∥, and a Sion-type minimax theorem.

Selected references

  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric: performance guarantees and tractable reformulations, arXiv:1505.05116v3, 2017; Math. Program. 171 (2018) 115–166. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116v3
  • A. Shapiro, On duality theory of conic linear problems, in M. A. Goberna, M. A. López (eds.), Semi-Infinite Programming, Kluwer, 2001.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J.-B. Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 2010 (Theorem 11.23(a), p. 493).
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Convex Optimization Theory, Athena Scientific, 2009 (Proposition 5.5.4).
  • G. Ch. Pflug, A. Pichler, Multistage Stochastic Optimization, Springer, 2014.
  • G. Ch. Pflug, D. Wozabal, Ambiguity in portfolio selection, Quantitative Finance 7 (2007) 435–442.
  • R. Gao, A. J. Kleywegt, Distributionally robust stochastic optimization with Wasserstein distance, arXiv:1604.02199, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.02199
  • J. Blanchet, K. Murthy, Quantifying distributional model risk via optimal transport, arXiv:1604.01446, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1604.01446
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Paths, Trees, and Flowers I: Matching-Duality Theorem — the Maximum Cardinality of a Matching Equals the Minimum Capacity-Sum of an Odd-Set CoverResearch Paper

Motivation

A matching in a graph is a set of edges no two of which share a vertex. Finding a matching of maximum cardinality is one of the basic problems of combinatorial optimization: it models pairing tasks (workers to shifts, kidney donors to recipients, players to rounds), it is a subroutine of algorithms for the travelling salesman and Chinese postman problems, and it was the first problem shown to need more than linear programming over the obvious constraints to be solved exactly.

For bipartite graphs, König's theorem (1931) gives a min–max formula: the maximum size of a matching equals the minimum size of a set of vertices meeting every edge. In general graphs this fails already for a triangle, where a single edge is a maximum matching but two vertices are needed to meet all three edges. Jack Edmonds' paper Paths, trees, and flowers (1965) gave both a polynomial-time algorithm for maximum matching in general graphs, the blossom algorithm, and, as a by-product of its analysis, the correct min–max theorem for general graphs.

Timeline.

  • 1891: Petersen uses alternating paths to prove the existence of factors in certain graphs.
  • 1947: Tutte characterizes graphs with a perfect matching.
  • 1957: Berge proves that a matching is maximum if and only if there is no augmenting path, and derives the deficiency formula now called the Tutte–Berge formula (Berge 1957).
  • 1965: Edmonds shrinks odd circuits ("blossoms") to search for augmenting paths in polynomial time and proves the matching-duality theorem in terms of odd-set covers (Edmonds 1965); the companion paper on the matching polyhedron extends this to weighted matching.

Setting

A graph GGG is a finite set of vertices and a finite set of edges, each edge meeting exactly two distinct vertices, its end-points. Several edges may join the same two vertices; this is needed because shrinking creates parallel edges. A matching MMM is a set of edges no two of which meet the same vertex; a vertex is exposed if it meets no edge of MMM. "Maximum" refers to cardinality.

An odd set is a set UUU of vertices with an odd number of elements. Its capacity is

cap⁡(U)={1∣U∣=1,k∣U∣=2k+1, k≥1.\operatorname{cap}(U) = \begin{cases} 1 & |U| = 1,\\ k & |U| = 2k+1,\ k \ge 1.\end{cases}cap(U)={1k​∣U∣=1,∣U∣=2k+1, k≥1.​

A one-vertex set covers the edges meeting its vertex; a set of 2k+1≥32k+1 \ge 32k+1≥3 vertices covers the edges with both end-points in it. An odd-set cover is a family S\mathcal SS of odd sets such that every edge is covered by some member, and its capacity-sum is cap⁡(S)=∑U∈Scap⁡(U)\operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S) = \sum_{U \in \mathcal S} \operatorname{cap}(U)cap(S)=∑U∈S​cap(U).

The proof uses the following objects of §3–§4 of the paper. An alternating path is a simple path whose edges alternate between MMM and the non-matching edges Mˉ\bar MMˉ. An alternating tree is a tree whose vertices are split into inner and outer vertices, every edge joining an inner to an outer vertex and every inner vertex meeting exactly two tree edges; it is planted if MMM restricted to the tree is a maximum matching of the tree whose one exposed vertex (the root) is exposed in GGG, and Hungarian if its outer vertices are adjacent only to its inner vertices. A blossom is an odd circuit on which MMM is a maximum matching, leaving one vertex bbb exposed; with a stem (an alternating path from an exposed vertex ending in a matching edge at bbb) it forms a flower. Shrinking a vertex set UUU replaces it by a single vertex U/UU/UU/U, deletes the edges inside UUU and keeps all other edges; G/BG/BG/B and M/B=M∩(G/B)M/B = M \cap (G/B)M/B=M∩(G/B) denote the result for a blossom BBB.

Formalization targets

Goal: the matching-duality theorem (5.6, p. 462)

max⁡{∣M∣:M a matching of G}  =  min⁡{cap⁡(S):S an odd-set cover of G}.\max\{|M| : M \text{ a matching of } G\} \;=\; \min\{\operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S) : \mathcal S \text{ an odd-set cover of } G\}.max{∣M∣:M a matching of G}=min{cap(S):S an odd-set cover of G}.

It is stated as: there are a maximum matching MMM and a minimum odd-set cover S\mathcal SS with ∣M∣=cap⁡(S)|M| = \operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S)∣M∣=cap(S).

Milestones (attack order)

  1. Weak duality: ∣M∣≤cap⁡(S)|M| \le \operatorname{cap}(\mathcal S)∣M∣≤cap(S) for every matching and odd-set cover.
  2. 3.7 (Berge): MMM is not maximum iff an alternating path joins two exposed vertices.
  3. 4.1–4.2: maximum matchings of an alternating tree.
  4. 4.14 and 4.15: the two directions of 4.12, in stronger form.
  5. 4.12: for the blossom BBB of a flower, MMM is maximum in GGG iff M/BM/BM/B is maximum in G/BG/BG/B.
  6. 4.17: removing a Hungarian tree preserves maximality.
  7. 5.7: the theorem for graphs with at most one exposed vertex.
  8. 5.8: the configuration produced by the algorithm on a maximum matching, and the odd sets SJ\mathcal S_JSJ​ it yields, which reduce the theorem to a graph with one exposed vertex fewer.

Significance

The matching-duality theorem gives a certificate of optimality: a matching and an odd-set cover of equal size prove each other optimal, and the blossom algorithm produces both. It is equivalent to the Tutte–Berge formula ν(G)=min⁡X12(∣V∣+∣X∣−odd⁡(G−X))\nu(G) = \min_{X} \tfrac12\bigl(|V| + |X| - \operatorname{odd}(G - X)\bigr)ν(G)=minX​21​(∣V∣+∣X∣−odd(G−X)), it contains König's theorem as the case where all members of the cover are singletons, and it is the cardinality case of Edmonds' description of the matching polytope by odd-set constraints, which underlies weighted matching, bbb-matching and the polyhedral approach to combinatorial optimization.

The theorem has been proved since 1965, with several independent proofs (via Tutte's theorem, via the Gallai–Edmonds decomposition, via linear programming). Mathlib contains Tutte's perfect-matching theorem for simple graphs, but neither the Tutte–Berge formula nor odd-set covers, alternating trees, blossom shrinking or Berge's augmenting-path theorem in a multigraph setting. This mission produces a machine-checked version of Edmonds' statement together with the lemmas of his algorithmic proof (4.12, 4.14, 4.15, 4.17), which are the correctness core of the blossom algorithm.

Difficulty

Weak duality and Berge's theorem are elementary. The difficulty is the strong direction. The obvious argument, a search for augmenting paths from an exposed vertex, fails because an alternating search tree in a non-bipartite graph can close an odd circuit, after which a vertex is reachable both by an even and by an odd alternating path; a naive search either misses augmenting paths or must back-track exponentially. The proof therefore has to work in shrunken graphs, whose vertices are nested sets of original vertices, and transfer maximality and covers back through every shrinking (4.12–4.15). Keeping track of nested blossoms, of the identity of edges under shrinking and of the parity bookkeeping of 5.8 is the main formal burden.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are the published EdmondsMatching65.Polyhedron.Graph V E (a map from edges to unordered pairs of distinct vertices) with finite V, E; parallel edges are allowed and loops are not. Matchings are Finset E. Maximum and minimum are by cardinality, stated with explicit comparisons rather than sSup/sInf.
  • A family of odd sets is a Finset (Finset V); repeating a member only adds capacity, so this does not change the minimum. The capacity of a singleton is 111, not (1−1)/2(1-1)/2(1−1)/2.
  • Paths and circuits are lists of vertices and edges; subgraphs are vertex and edge sets; a matching of a subgraph is a matching of GGG using only its edges.
  • Shrinking is contraction along a partition of the vertices: the vertex type of G/PG/\mathcal PG/P is the set of parts, the edge type is the set of edges not inside a part. Nested blossom shrinking is encoded by an inductive predicate of blossom sets (the complete expansions of pseudovertices), not by a tower of quotient types. Statements that shrink a set other than a circuit assume its induced subgraph connected, the standing assumption of 4.9.
  • 5.7 is stated as the existence of a cover: the page's explicit families fail for the two-vertex graph with one edge and for the one-vertex graph, where the claim still holds.
  • 5.8 is stated through the configuration the algorithm outputs (blossom sets, a planted Hungarian tree in G′G'G′, pseudovertices outer), not through the algorithm as a procedure.
  • A trivializing formalization is excluded: the goal asserts the equality of the maximum and the minimum, not weak duality and not the separate existence of an optimal matching and an optimal cover.

Reusable beyond this mission: the multigraph shrinking construction, blossom sets, alternating and Hungarian trees, and Berge's theorem in the multigraph setting; these are shared with the companion mission on the invariance of the dual (Gallai–Edmonds). Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal (e.g. through Mathlib's Tutte theorem), are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds, Paths, trees, and flowers, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 17 (1965), 449–467. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1965-045-4
  • C. Berge, Two theorems in graph theory, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 43 (1957), 842–844. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.43.9.842
  • W. T. Tutte, The factorization of linear graphs, Journal of the London Mathematical Society 22 (1947), 107–111. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-22.2.107
  • J. Edmonds, Maximum matching and a polyhedron with 0,1-vertices, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 69B (1965), 125–130. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.013
  • L. Lovász and M. D. Plummer, Matching Theory, North-Holland, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1090/chel/367
16 thms1 active userReviewed
Complexity TheoryDynamic ProgrammingMathematical Logic·Captain: mikedeng1

The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes V: A Quantified Boolean Formula Is True Iff Its Partially Observed Markov Decision Process Has a Zero-Cost PolicyResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process is the standard model of sequential decision making under uncertainty: a controller observes the state of a finite system, chooses a decision, pays a cost, and the system moves to a random next state. In many applications (maintenance, inventory with unreliable records, robotics, medical treatment) the controller does not see the state itself, only partial information about it. This is the partially observed problem, and the usual way to solve it is to replace the state by the conditional distribution of the state given the observations (Åström 1965; Bertsekas). That reformulation has an infinite state space, and Smallwood and Sondik (1973) showed that the finite-horizon cost-to-go is nevertheless piecewise linear, but with a number of pieces that may grow exponentially with the horizon.

Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (Math. Oper. Res. 12(3), 1987) asked whether this blow-up is an artefact of the reformulation or intrinsic to the problem. Their Theorem 6 answers it: deciding whether a partially observed process can achieve a given expected cost is PSPACE-hard, already for stationary processes and horizons shorter than the number of states. This mission formalizes the reduction behind that theorem.

Setting

A partially observed stationary Markov decision process has a finite state set SSS, a partition Π\PiΠ of SSS, and an initial state s0s_0s0​. For a state sss write z(s)∈Πz(s) \in \Piz(s)∈Π for the set containing it. Each set zzz carries a nonempty finite set DzD_zDz​ of decisions; decision i∈Dzi \in D_zi∈Dz​ costs c(z,i)c(z, i)c(z,i) and moves a current state s∈zs \in zs∈z to the next state s′s's′ with probability p(s,s′,i)p(s, s', i)p(s,s′,i). The controller sees only the sequence of sets visited, so a policy π\piπ maps each observation sequence z0,…,ztz_0, \dots, z_tz0​,…,zt​ to a decision in DztD_{z_t}Dzt​​. For a horizon TTT, the expected cost of π\piπ is

Jπ(T)=Eπ[∑t=0Tc(z(st),π(z(s0),…,z(st)))],J_\pi(T) = \mathbb{E}_\pi\Bigl[\sum_{t=0}^{T} c\bigl(z(s_t), \pi(z(s_0), \dots, z(s_t))\bigr)\Bigr],Jπ​(T)=Eπ​[t=0∑T​c(z(st​),π(z(s0​),…,z(st​)))],

and the optimal cost is inf⁡πJπ(T)\inf_\pi J_\pi(T)infπ​Jπ​(T).

A quantified Boolean formula is Q1x1⋯Qnxn F(x1,…,xn)Q_1 x_1 \cdots Q_n x_n\, F(x_1, \dots, x_n)Q1​x1​⋯Qn​xn​F(x1​,…,xn​) with each Qj∈{∃,∀}Q_j \in \{\exists, \forall\}Qj​∈{∃,∀} and FFF a conjunction of mmm clauses C1,…,CmC_1, \dots, C_mC1​,…,Cm​, each a set of literals xjx_jxj​ or ¬xj\neg x_j¬xj​. It is true if there is a value of x1x_1x1​ such that for all values of x2x_2x2​, and so on, FFF comes out true. Deciding truth (QSAT) is PSPACE-complete (Stockmeyer and Meyer 1973).

From a formula with m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 clauses the paper builds a process MφM_\varphiMφ​: an initial state, six states Aij,Aij′,Tij,Tij′,Fij,Fij′A_{ij}, A'_{ij}, T_{ij}, T'_{ij}, F_{ij}, F'_{ij}Aij​,Aij′​,Tij​,Tij′​,Fij​,Fij′​ per clause iii and variable jjj, end states Ai,n+1,Ai,n+1′A_{i,n+1}, A'_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1​,Ai,n+1′​, and one absorbing state, so ∣S∣=6mn+2m+2|S| = 6mn + 2m + 2∣S∣=6mn+2m+2. The first transition chooses a clause uniformly; primed states record that the chosen clause is not yet satisfied; existential variables are set by decisions and universal ones by fair coins; the only nonzero cost, 111, is paid at Ai,n+1′A'_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1′​. The horizon is T=2n+2T = 2n + 2T=2n+2.

Formalization targets

Goal: the reduction is correct

For every formula φ\varphiφ in the paper's QSAT class (an alternating prefix beginning with ∃x1\exists x_1∃x1​ and ending with ∀xn\forall x_n∀xn​, and three literals per clause), with m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 clauses and T=2n+2T = 2n+2T=2n+2,

T<∣S∣,(∃π: Jπ(T)=0)  ⟺  φ is true,inf⁡πJπ(T)≤0  ⟺  φ is true.T < |S|, \qquad \bigl(\exists \pi:\ J_\pi(T) = 0\bigr) \iff \varphi \text{ is true}, \qquad \inf_\pi J_\pi(T) \le 0 \iff \varphi \text{ is true}.T<∣S∣,(∃π: Jπ​(T)=0)⟺φ is true,πinf​Jπ​(T)≤0⟺φ is true.

The goal states all three claims the paper makes: the horizon bound (p. 448), the existence of a zero-cost policy (p. 449), and the bound on the optimum (p. 448).

Milestones

  1. The cost splits over the clause chosen at time 1: each clause is chosen with probability 1/m1/m1/m, and a policy has zero expected cost iff it has zero cost for every choice of clause.
  2. If a trajectory of positive probability ends in Ai,n+1′A'_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1′​, the expected cost is at least 2−n/m2^{-n}/m2−n/m.
  3. A zero-cost policy makes the formula true.
  4. A true formula yields a zero-cost policy.

Significance

Theorem 6 locates the partially observed finite-horizon problem in the complexity landscape: unless P = PSPACE there is no polynomial-time algorithm for it, even for stationary processes with short horizons. The paper's Corollary 1 strengthens this into evidence that no polynomial-size precomputed controller exists either. Together these results explain why exact algorithms for partially observed processes are exponential and motivated the later work on approximation and on restricted policy classes.

The formalization adds a machine-checked proof of the correctness of the reduction, the step on which the hardness claim rests, together with a reusable definition of a finite partially observed process with observation-history policies and of quantified Boolean formulas. The paper's argument is a short paragraph; a formal proof has to make precise how a policy that only sees observation sequences determines a strategy for the existential player. As far as we know, no machine-checked proof of this reduction exists.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is a direct translation of a winning strategy into a policy. The "only if" direction is where the work is. A zero-cost policy acts on observation sequences, and the paper argues that it never learns which clause was chosen. Under the paper's own partition this is not literally true: the sets TjT_jTj​ and Tj′T'_jTj′​ differ, so the observations reveal whether the chosen clause was already satisfied. The existential strategy must therefore be extracted from the policy's behaviour on the observation histories in which the clause is still unsatisfied, and one must check that it is a single strategy, independent of the clause, that satisfies every clause against every choice of the universal variables. The bound of milestone 2 also requires tracking the probability of a single trajectory through the coin flips.

Formalization scope

The process is a Lean structure POMDP S Z with an observation map obs : S → Z encoding the partition, nonempty finite decision types D z, real costs c z i, and next-state laws given as Mathlib PMFs, so every transition row is a probability vector. A policy is a function List Z → (z : Z) → D z of the earlier observations and the current one. The expected cost is a finite sum over trajectories x0,…,xTx_0, \dots, x_Tx0​,…,xT​ of their probability times ∑t=0Tc\sum_{t=0}^{T} c∑t=0T​c, and the optimum is the infimum over all policies. Paper clause CiC_iCi​ and variable xjx_jxj​ are Lean indices i−1i - 1i−1 and j−1j - 1j−1.

Choices made explicit:

  • Horizon. The paper prints T=2m+2T = 2m + 2T=2m+2 but says it is "just enough time for the process to reach one of Ai,n+1A_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1​ or Ai,n+1′A'_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1′​", which happens at time 2n+12n+12n+1. With the printed value and m<nm < nm<n the cost is never paid and every formula would map to a zero-cost process. We use T=2n+2T = 2n+2T=2n+2.
  • The set AjA_jAj​. The partition sentence puts all AijA_{ij}Aij​ and Aij′A'_{ij}Aij′​ in one set AjA_jAj​; the decision sentence mentions "the set Aj′A'_jAj′​". We follow the partition sentence.
  • The new state reached from Ai,n+1A_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1​ and Ai,n+1′A'_{i,n+1}Ai,n+1′​ is unspecified; it gets its own set, one zero-cost decision and a self-loop.
  • Formulas. The general QBF definition allows any quantifier prefix and clause width. Every theorem assumes IsPaperQSAT, which requires the paper's alternating prefix ∃x1∀x2⋯∀xn\exists x_1 \forall x_2 \cdots \forall x_n∃x1​∀x2​⋯∀xn​ with n>0n>0n>0 even and three literals per clause. Clauses are sets of literals; three witnesses allow repetitions. m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 is also a hypothesis.
  • Decisions are nonempty; rows are probability vectors.

Policies see only observation sequences. A formalization in which the policy reads the state would make the "only if" direction false and the reduction meaningless; one in which it sees only the current observation would make the "if" direction false. Neither is admissible.

Not formalized: PSPACE-hardness itself (Mathlib has no PSPACE or polynomial-time reductions), the polynomial-time computability of the construction, the membership of the problem in PSPACE (sketched on p. 449), Corollary 1 (a Σ2p\Sigma_2^pΣ2p​ collapse) and Corollary 2 (NP-completeness of the unobserved case, stated without proof).

The definitions of partially observed processes and quantified Boolean formulas are reusable. Contributions of lemmas on trajectory sums (marginalising later coordinates, the probability of a fixed prefix) are welcome; they also serve the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • C. H. Papadimitriou and J. N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3), 1987, 441–450. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.3.441
  • L. J. Stockmeyer and A. R. Meyer, Word problems requiring exponential time, Proc. 5th ACM STOC, 1973, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1145/800125.804029
  • R. D. Smallwood and E. J. Sondik, The optimal control of partially observable Markov processes over a finite horizon, Operations Research 21(5), 1973, 1071–1088. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.5.1071
  • K. J. Åström, Optimal control of Markov processes with incomplete state information, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 10, 1965, 174–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(65)90154-X
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming: Deterministic and Stochastic Models, Prentice-Hall, 1987.
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Auction Design: Giving the Object to a Bidder with the Highest Priority Level c̄ᵢ(tᵢ) ≥ t₀ and Charging (6.8) Is an Optimal Auction MechanismResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller with one indivisible object must decide whether to keep it or transfer it to one of several bidders whose values she does not observe. The allocation and the payment rule affect what bidders choose to report. Myerson's 1981 paper identifies a revenue-maximizing rule when bidders' private value estimates are independent, their densities are positive, and their valuations may be revised after learning other bidders' information. It covers value distributions for which the usual virtual-value rule is not monotone, by replacing each bidder's virtual value with an ironed priority level.

The question matters to auction design because a pointwise revenue-maximizing assignment can reward a bidder for understating a value. The seller must maximize expected utility subject to both incentive compatibility and each bidder's ability to decline participation. The paper's main theorem gives a specific allocation and payment pair that meets those constraints and attains the maximum. The result is proved in the source; this mission asks for a machine-checked formalization of it.

Setting

There is a finite nonempty set NNN of bidders and one seller. Bidder iii has a value estimate tit_iti​ in a finite interval [ai,bi][a_i,b_i][ai​,bi​], where ai<bia_i<b_iai​<bi​; endpoints may be negative and may differ between bidders. The continuous density fif_ifi​ is strictly positive on that interval and has total integral one. The bidders' estimates are independent, so a profile t=(ti)i∈Nt=(t_i)_{i\in N}t=(ti​)i∈N​ has density f(t)=∏ifi(ti)f(t)=\prod_i f_i(t_i)f(t)=∏i​fi​(ti​) on T=∏i[ai,bi]T=\prod_i[a_i,b_i]T=∏i​[ai​,bi​]. Write Fi(s)=∫aisfi(u) duF_i(s)=\int_{a_i}^{s}f_i(u)\,duFi​(s)=∫ai​s​fi​(u)du for the distribution function. The seller's known value for keeping the object is t0t_0t0​.

A revision effect ej(tj)e_j(t_j)ej​(tj​) describes the change in everyone else's valuation after bidder jjj's estimate becomes known. Bidder iii's revised value is vi(t)=ti+∑j≠iej(tj)v_i(t)=t_i+\sum_{j\ne i}e_j(t_j)vi​(t)=ti​+∑j=i​ej​(tj​), while the seller's is v0(t)=t0+∑jej(tj)v_0(t)=t_0+\sum_j e_j(t_j)v0​(t)=t0​+∑j​ej​(tj​). A direct mechanism assigns each profile an allocation probability pi(t)p_i(t)pi​(t) and expected payment xi(t)x_i(t)xi​(t) for each bidder. Payments may be negative and need not vanish when a bidder loses. Its feasibility conditions say that allocation probabilities are nonnegative and sum to at most one, each bidder's interim expected utility is nonnegative at every possible value, and truthful reporting yields at least as much interim utility as any other report. The seller maximizes her expected utility over all feasible mechanisms.

The virtual value is ci(s)=s−ei(s)−(1−Fi(s))/fi(s)c_i(s)=s-e_i(s)-(1-F_i(s))/f_i(s)ci​(s)=s−ei​(s)−(1−Fi​(s))/fi​(s). In the general case it need not increase with sss. Myerson transforms cic_ici​ through the quantile q=Fi(s)q=F_i(s)q=Fi​(s): hi(q)=ci(Fi−1(q))h_i(q)=c_i(F_i^{-1}(q))hi​(q)=ci​(Fi−1​(q)), Hi(q)=∫0qhi(r) drH_i(q)=\int_0^q h_i(r)\,drHi​(q)=∫0q​hi​(r)dr, and GiG_iGi​ is the convex envelope of HiH_iHi​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The slope gig_igi​ of GiG_iGi​, extended across kinks, gives the ironed priority cˉi(s)=gi(Fi(s))\bar c_i(s)=g_i(F_i(s))cˉi​(s)=gi​(Fi​(s)). At profile ttt, the winning set M(t)M(t)M(t) contains exactly those bidders whose priority is maximal and at least t0t_0t0​.

Formalization targets

The goal is Myerson's §6 theorem. The proposed rule shares the object equally among bidders in M(t)M(t)M(t), or keeps it when M(t)M(t)M(t) is empty, and charges each bidder the envelope payment:

pˉi(t)={∣M(t)∣−1,i∈M(t),0,i∉M(t),xˉi(t)=pˉi(t)vi(t)−∫aitipˉi(t−i,s) ds.\bar p_i(t)=\begin{cases}|M(t)|^{-1},&i\in M(t),\\0,&i\notin M(t),\end{cases} \qquad \bar x_i(t)=\bar p_i(t)v_i(t)-\int_{a_i}^{t_i}\bar p_i(t_{-i},s)\,ds.pˉ​i​(t)={∣M(t)∣−1,0,​i∈M(t),i∈/M(t),​xˉi​(t)=pˉ​i​(t)vi​(t)−∫ai​ti​​pˉ​i​(t−i​,s)ds.

The target asserts that (pˉ,xˉ)(\bar p,\bar x)(pˉ​,xˉ) is feasible and that every feasible (p,x)(p,x)(p,x) has seller utility no greater than that of (pˉ,xˉ)(\bar p,\bar x)(pˉ​,xˉ). The milestone list follows the paper's reduction: Lemma 2 characterizes feasible direct mechanisms by a monotone interim allocation rule and an envelope identity; equation (4.12) rewrites seller utility using virtual values; Lemma 3 turns maximization of virtual surplus into optimality. Equations (6.9)–(6.13) compare virtual and ironed priorities and establish the optimality and monotonicity of the proposed allocation.

Significance

The theorem specifies both who receives the object and how payments are computed, including irregular distributions and bidder-specific supports. The ironed priorities preserve incentives while retaining the seller's maximal expected utility. Equation (4.12) also gives the revenue-equivalence consequence: once the allocation rule and each lowest-type interim utility are fixed, expected seller utility is fixed.

A formal proof would connect several reusable results: product distributions with bidder-specific densities, interim incentive constraints, an envelope characterization, virtual-surplus accounting, and one-dimensional convex ironing. The source theorem and milestones are currently statements to be proved in this development, not existing machine-checked results. Related Börgers auction statements on Prove2Me use a common nonnegative support, at least two bidders, zero revision effects, and zero seller value; they do not provide this general theorem.

Difficulty

Maximizing virtual surplus at each profile is straightforward only if each bidder's virtual value rises with her report. When it falls, the resulting win probability can also fall, violating the incentive constraint. Replacing virtual values by slopes of a convex envelope restores monotonicity, but then the proof must account exactly for the difference between the original and ironed objectives, including flat portions of the envelope. Payments must satisfy the interim envelope identity for every type, while the seller's objective includes both transfers and her value for retaining the object.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses a finite nonempty bidder type, real-valued reports and payments, one object, independent continuous positive densities normalized on each finite support, and continuous revision effects. The latter regularity is implicit in the paper's assertion that cic_ici​ is continuous. No mean-zero condition on revision effects is imposed: the paper explicitly says its equation (2.9) is unnecessary. One bidder, negative support endpoints, unequal supports, and arbitrary seller value remain allowed.

The profile law is Lebesgue measure restricted to TTT and weighted by the product density. Integrating a function after replacing coordinate iii represents the T−iT_{-i}T−i​ integral, because bidder iii's marginal density has mass one. Mechanisms are total functions, but allocation and incentive conditions quantify over supported profiles and reports. Feasibility explicitly requires integrability of allocations, payments, and their report sections so no undefined Bochner expectation can acquire Lean's default value zero. The convex envelope is the two-point infimum of equation (6.3); its defining set is nonempty and bounded below on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The slope uses the right derivative below quantile one and the left derivative at one. The theorem requires feasibility of the proposed pair as well as its utility bound, ruling out an empty or unconstrained maximization claim.

The Stieltjes expressions in (6.9), (6.12), and (6.13) are combined into equivalent ordinary-integral comparisons over the profile law. A complete proof needs the one-dimensional envelope theorem, product-measure integration and Fubini results, differentiation of the convex envelope, and a careful endpoint treatment. The definitions of interim utilities and ironing can be reused for related auction models; contributions that establish these analytic components or the listed source lemmas are in scope.

Selected references

  • Roger B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1):58–73, 1981. DOI: 10.1287/moor.6.1.58.
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Dynamic ProgrammingGraph TheoryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes II: The Optimal Average Cost of a Deterministic Process Is the Least Mean Cost of a Cycle Reachable from the Initial StateResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process describes repeated choices whose costs and subsequent states depend on the current state. Such models are used when a decision affects both today's expense and the options available tomorrow. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis studied how the computational difficulty of finding an optimal policy changes between stochastic and deterministic transitions. Their general finite-state problems are P-complete, while their deterministic cases admit highly parallel algorithms Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, 1987. The contrast makes the deterministic case a useful setting in which to isolate the precise graph problem hidden inside long-run optimization.

This mission concerns their infinite-horizon average-cost case. When transitions are certain, every decision is an arc in a directed graph. The long-run cost of a policy can be related to the mean cost of a cycle reachable from the initial state. That relation is the mathematical claim supporting the algorithm in the paper's Theorem 3, whose headline says that the deterministic average-cost problem is in NC Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, p. 446.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of states and s0∈Ss_0\in Ss0​∈S the initial state. At each s∈Ss\in Ss∈S there is a finite, nonempty decision set DsD_sDs​. A decision d∈Dsd\in D_sd∈Ds​ has a real cost c(s,d)c(s,d)c(s,d) and moves the process with certainty to next⁡(s,d)∈S\operatorname{next}(s,d)\in Snext(s,d)∈S. All of these data are stationary: they do not change with time. A policy δ(s,t)\delta(s,t)δ(s,t) chooses a decision for each state and each time t=0,1,2,…t=0,1,2,\ldotst=0,1,2,…. It generates a trajectory by st+1=next⁡(st,δ(st,t))s_{t+1}=\operatorname{next}(s_t,\delta(s_t,t))st+1​=next(st​,δ(st​,t)). The corresponding directed graph has a state for each node and a decision for each arc. It may contain loops and parallel arcs, since different decisions can lead to the same next state.

The paper prints the finite average with T+1T+1T+1 cost terms and denominator TTT:

aTδ(s0)=1T∑t=0Tc(st,δ(st,t)).a_T^\delta(s_0)=\frac{1}{T}\sum_{t=0}^{T}c(s_t,\delta(s_t,t)).aTδ​(s0​)=T1​t=0∑T​c(st​,δ(st​,t)).

A time-dependent policy's averages may fail to converge. We use the upper limit gδ(s0)=lim sup⁡T→∞aTδ(s0)g^\delta(s_0)=\limsup_{T\to\infty}a_T^\delta(s_0)gδ(s0​)=limsupT→∞​aTδ​(s0​) and optimize over all policies, g∗(s0)=inf⁡δgδ(s0)g^*(s_0)=\inf_\delta g^\delta(s_0)g∗(s0​)=infδ​gδ(s0​). A state uuu is reachable if some finite walk of decision arcs goes from s0s_0s0​ to uuu. A simple cycle CCC is a positive-length closed sequence of decision arcs with distinct states before it returns to its start; its mean cost is mean⁡(C)=c(C)/∣C∣\operatorname{mean}(C)=c(C)/|C|mean(C)=c(C)/∣C∣. A loop is a one-arc simple cycle.

For states u,vu,vu,v, the min-plus adjacency entry AuvA_{uv}Auv​ is the least cost of a decision arc from uuu to vvv, or +∞+\infty+∞ when no such arc exists. A min-plus product uses addition in place of multiplication and minimum in place of addition. Thus (Ak)uv(A^k)_{uv}(Ak)uv​ represents the least cost of a kkk-arc walk from uuu to vvv, when such a walk exists Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, pp. 445–446.

Formalization targets

Reachable cycles

The first target identifies the value of the original policy optimization problem:

g∗(s0)=min⁡C simple cycleC reachable from s0mean⁡(C).g^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{C\text{ simple cycle}\\C\text{ reachable from }s_0}}\operatorname{mean}(C).g∗(s0​)=C simple cycleC reachable from s0​​min​mean(C).

It also states that a policy attains this value with convergent finite averages. The milestone for following a reachable cycle gives the attainable direction; the milestone saying that no policy can improve the least mean gives the reverse direction. The latter is formulated with lim inf⁡\liminfliminf, so it applies even when a policy's averages oscillate.

Min-plus calculation

The second target identifies the finite graph calculation used in the paper:

g∗(s0)=min⁡u reachable from s01≤k≤∣S∣(Ak)uu<+∞(Ak)uuk.g^*(s_0)=\min_{\substack{u\text{ reachable from }s_0\\1\leq k\leq |S|\\(A^k)_{uu}<+\infty}}\frac{(A^k)_{uu}}{k}.g∗(s0​)=u reachable from s0​1≤k≤∣S∣(Ak)uu​<+∞​min​k(Ak)uu​​.

The milestones establish what a min-plus power says about decision walks and why closed walks of lengths from 111 through ∣S∣|S|∣S∣ recover the least simple-cycle mean. The restriction to reachable uuu is essential: a cheap cycle in a disconnected component cannot be used from s0s_0s0​.

Significance

The result reduces optimization over infinitely many decision times and all state-and-time policies to finitely many closed-walk calculations. It also guarantees that an optimal long-run value is realized by a trajectory with a genuine limiting average, despite the nonconvergence possible for other policies. The finite formula lets one determine the value by comparing graph quantities indexed by states and lengths; it is the correctness statement beneath the paper's parallel algorithm Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis, p. 446.

Formalizing the identity creates a reusable bridge between deterministic decision processes, weighted directed walks and min-plus powers. Related proved tropical-algebra results on maximum cycle means use dense matrices and a max-plus convention, rather than the reachable, possibly missing-arc, minimum-cost process here; for example, the platform's TropicalLA.tpow_isGreatest concerns greatest walk weights. The present mission keeps the policy optimum and reachability explicit. The paper proves the result mathematically; these Lean statements are open proof targets in the proposal.

Difficulty

An arbitrary policy can keep changing its choices at repeated visits to the same state. Its averages can oscillate, so one cannot simply assume that its infinite trajectory becomes periodic or that its printed limit exists. The lower-bound claim must apply to every such trajectory. There is a second distinction between a closed walk and a simple cycle: a diagonal min-plus entry allows repeated states, whereas the cycle characterization is stated using simple cycles. Finally, an unrestricted matrix calculation would include cycles unreachable from the chosen initial state.

Formalization scope

Lean represents the general finite stationary deterministic process in its own definition, then defines policies, finite walks, simple cycles, average costs and min-plus powers on top of it. Decisions are arcs, so parallel arcs remain distinguishable; AuvA_{uv}Auv​ takes their least cost and uses WithTop ℝ for a missing arc. Decision sets are explicitly nonempty because a policy has to make a choice at every state. The finite state set is automatically nonempty once s0s_0s0​ is supplied. Policy time starts at zero. The printed T+1T+1T+1 terms divided by TTT are retained; Lean's T=0T=0T=0 quotient is zero and has no effect on the limit. The optimum is the infimum over all policies δ(s,t)\delta(s,t)δ(s,t), not a quantity defined by cycles or by stationary policies. Finite states and finite decision sets bound the one-step costs and hence the averages; this gives real limsup and infimum their intended values.

The paper's Theorem 3 asserts membership in NC. This mission formalizes the exact optimization identity that makes that algorithm correct. Its processor count and parallel-time bound are outside the scope, as are membership in P, log-space computability of reductions, PSPACE membership and the paper's Corollaries 1–2. Contributions to the finite-walk and min-plus lemmas, the lower bound for arbitrary policy paths, and the cycle-attainment statement are all needed; the graph definitions can be reused in other deterministic control problems.

Selected references

  • Christos H. Papadimitriou and John N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3), 1987, pp. 441–450. DOI.
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Complexity TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes I: A Boolean Circuit Is True Iff Its Finite-Horizon Markov Decision Process Has Optimal Expected Cost ZeroResearch Paper

Motivation

Markov decision processes are the standard model of sequential decision making under uncertainty in operations research, control and artificial intelligence. Their finite-horizon, discounted and average-cost versions are all solvable in polynomial time, by dynamic programming or linear programming. Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis (The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Math. Oper. Res. 12(3), 1987) asked the next question: can these problems be solved fast in parallel, in polylogarithmic time on polynomially many processors (the class NC)? Their Theorem 1 answers no, unless every polynomial-time problem parallelizes: all three versions are P-complete. The proof is a short reduction from the circuit value problem (CVP), the canonical P-complete problem (Ladner, 1975). This mission formalizes the mathematical heart of that reduction: the constructed process has optimal expected cost zero exactly when the circuit evaluates to true.

The result is the first of a series of five missions on the same paper; the others treat the deterministic special cases (which are in NC) and the partially observed case (which is PSPACE-hard).

Setting

A circuit is a finite sequence of triples C=((ai,bi,ci), i=1,…,k)C=((a_i,b_i,c_i),\ i=1,\dots,k)C=((ai​,bi​,ci​), i=1,…,k) with k≥1k\ge1k≥1. Each aia_iai​ is one of the operations false, true, and, or. A triple with ai∈{false,true}a_i\in\{\text{false},\text{true}\}ai​∈{false,true} is an input; a triple with ai∈{and,or}a_i\in\{\text{and},\text{or}\}ai​∈{and,or} is a gate, and a gate reads two earlier triples, 1≤bi,ci<i1\le b_i,c_i<i1≤bi​,ci​<i. The value of an input is its constant; the value of a gate is the Boolean operation aia_iai​ applied to the values of triples bib_ibi​ and cic_ici​. The value of CCC is the value of triple kkk.

A finite Markov decision process has a finite state set SSS, an initial state s0s_0s0​, and at each state sss a nonempty finite set DsD_sDs​ of decisions. Taking decision iii at state sss at time ttt costs c(s,i,t)c(s,i,t)c(s,i,t) and moves to s′s's′ with probability p(s,s′,i,t)p(s,s',i,t)p(s,s′,i,t). A policy δ\deltaδ chooses a decision δ(s,t)∈Ds\delta(s,t)\in D_sδ(s,t)∈Ds​ for every state and time. For a horizon TTT the expected cost of δ\deltaδ is

JT(δ)=Eδ[∑t=0Tc(st,δ(st,t),t)],J_T(\delta)=\mathbb E_\delta\Bigl[\sum_{t=0}^{T}c\bigl(s_t,\delta(s_t,t),t\bigr)\Bigr],JT​(δ)=Eδ​[t=0∑T​c(st​,δ(st​,t),t)],

and the optimal expected cost is JT∗=inf⁡δJT(δ)J_T^\ast=\inf_\delta J_T(\delta)JT∗​=infδ​JT​(δ) over all policies.

From a circuit CCC the proof of Theorem 1 builds a stationary process MCM_CMC​: one state per triple plus an absorbing state qqq. An input state has one decision, moving to qqq, at cost 111 if the input is false and 000 if it is true. An or gate has two free decisions, 000 moving to bib_ibi​ and 111 moving to cic_ici​. An and gate has one decision, moving to bib_ibi​ or cic_ici​ with probability 1/21/21/2 each. All other costs are zero. The initial state is triple kkk and the horizon is T=kT=kT=k.

In the Lean development these are MDPComplexity.CircuitValue.MDP (with Policy, trajProb, expCost, optCost), Circuit (with val, value, lastIdx) and Circuit.toMDP.

Formalization targets

Goal: correctness of the reduction

Jk∗(MC)≤0⟺the value of C is true,J_k^\ast(M_C)\le 0\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \text{the value of } C \text{ is true},Jk∗​(MC​)≤0⟺the value of C is true,

for every circuit CCC with k≥1k\ge1k≥1 triples (theorem1_reduction). This is the claim "the optimum expected cost is 0 or less iff the value of CCC was true" on p. 445.

Milestones

  1. Every policy has Jk(δ)≥0J_k(\delta)\ge0Jk​(δ)≥0 ("it cannot be less").
  2. For any finite process with nonnegative costs, JT(δ)=0J_T(\delta)=0JT​(δ)=0 iff no positive cost is incurred on any trajectory of positive probability ("the states with positive costs are impossible to reach").
  3. If some policy has Jk(δ)=0J_k(\delta)=0Jk​(δ)=0, then CCC is true.
  4. If CCC is true, some policy has Jk(δ)=0J_k(\delta)=0Jk​(δ)=0.

Further statement

The discounted analogue, which the paper asserts in one sentence: for β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1), the optimal expected discounted cost inf⁡δ∑t≥0βt Eδ[c(st,δ(st,t))]\inf_\delta\sum_{t\ge0}\beta^t\,\mathbb E_\delta[c(s_t,\delta(s_t,t))]infδ​∑t≥0​βtEδ​[c(st​,δ(st​,t))] of MCM_CMC​ is at most 000 iff CCC is true (discounted_reduction).

Significance

Combined with the log-space computability of MCM_CMC​ from CCC, the goal shows that the finite-horizon Markov decision problem is P-hard, hence not in NC unless P = NC. This is the reason dynamic programming for general Markov decision processes is believed to be inherently sequential, and it frames the contrast drawn in the rest of the paper: deterministic processes are in NC, and partially observed ones are PSPACE-hard. The construction is also stationary, so it shows that even the stationary finite-horizon problem is P-hard, as the paper remarks.

The theorem is proved in the paper, in one paragraph; it is not open. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of it exists. Formalizing it produces a precise statement of what the reduction proves, a reusable finite-trajectory model of finite-horizon Markov decision processes with time-dependent policies, and a reusable encoding of Boolean circuits and their value.

Difficulty

The informal argument is short, but two points need care. First, the optimum ranges over all time-dependent policies, which form an infinite type; the infimum is attained only because the expected cost depends on finitely many decisions, and this must be established rather than assumed. Second, the passage from "the expected cost is zero" to "the circuit is true" turns a statement about trajectory probabilities into a statement about the recursive value of the circuit, and the and gates (where both successors are reached with positive probability) behave differently from the or gates (where only the chosen successor is reached). Reasoning only along a single path, as for a deterministic process, does not suffice at and gates.

Formalization scope

Theorem 1 is a complexity statement: "The Markov Decision Process problem is P-complete in all three cases." Membership in P, the log-space computability of the construction, the notion of P-completeness, and the average-cost case are not part of this mission; Mathlib has no log-space reductions or class P. The mission states the correctness of the reduction, for the exact process of the proof.

Conventions committed to:

  • Triples are indexed by Fin k (paper index iii is Lean index i−1i-1i−1); k≥1k\ge1k≥1 via [NeZero k]. The fields bi,cib_i,c_ibi​,ci​ of an input are unused (the paper sets them to 000, not a triple index). Triple kkk need not be a gate.
  • States of MCM_CMC​ are Option (Fin k), with none the state qqq; decisions are Fin 2 at or gates and Fin 1 elsewhere.
  • The and-gate row is 121[s′=bi]+121[s′=ci]\tfrac12\mathbf 1[s'=b_i]+\tfrac12\mathbf 1[s'=c_i]21​1[s′=bi​]+21​1[s′=ci​], so that bi=cib_i=c_ibi​=ci​ (allowed by the paper) gives a probability vector.
  • Rows of the transition kernel are probability vectors and every DsD_sDs​ is nonempty (implicit in the paper, explicit here).
  • The expected cost is a finite sum over trajectories, with the §2 horizon convention ∑t=0T\sum_{t=0}^{T}∑t=0T​ and T=kT=kT=k. The optimum is a real infimum over all policies δ(s,t)\delta(s,t)δ(s,t), not over stationary ones.
  • The discounted cost is ∑tβt\sum_t\beta^t∑t​βt times the expected time-ttt cost, which equals the expectation of the discounted series for bounded nonnegative costs.

A formalization that defines the optimal cost directly as "the cost of the best choice at the or gates", or optimizes only over stationary policies, would make the goal a restatement of the circuit's value; the mission's optimum is over all time-dependent policies of the general model.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones and the goal; lemmas on the trajectory model (marginalization of trajProb, attainment of the infimum for policies that matter only up to time TTT) that are reusable for any finite-horizon process.

Selected references

  • C. H. Papadimitriou and J. N. Tsitsiklis, The Complexity of Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(3) (1987) 441–450. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.3.441
  • R. E. Ladner, The Circuit Value Problem is Log Space Complete for P, SIGACT News 7(1) (1975) 18–20. https://doi.org/10.1145/990518.990519
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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