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Operations Research

911 missions · 528 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders III: A Greedy Price-Update Algorithm Is a 2-Approximation for XOS BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a set of mmm items is sold to nnn bidders who value bundles of items rather than single items. Spectrum auctions, procurement of transportation lanes and the allocation of cloud resources all have this form, and the central algorithmic question is how to allocate the items so as to maximize the social welfare, the sum of the bidders' values for what they receive. Even to describe a general valuation takes 2m2^m2m numbers, so algorithms access the bidders through queries, and the achievable approximation depends on the class of valuations allowed.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010) study bidders without complementarities. For the class of XOS valuations, maxima of additive valuations, which strictly contains the submodular valuations, they give LP-based algorithms and, in §3.3, a purely combinatorial algorithm: bidders arrive one at a time, take their demanded bundle at the current item prices, and raise the prices of what they took. Its analysis charges the welfare of any allocation to the item prices the algorithm sets, an argument that uses only the demand and XOS oracles.

Setting

The items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and the bidders 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n.

  • An additive valuation (a clause) www assigns nonnegative values w(1),…,w(m)w(1),\dots,w(m)w(1),…,w(m) to the items and w(S)=∑j∈Sw(j)w(S)=\sum_{j\in S}w(j)w(S)=∑j∈S​w(j) to a bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M.
  • An XOS valuation vvv is given by a nonempty finite set of clauses {w1,…,wt}\{w_1,\dots,w_t\}{w1​,…,wt​} (its XOS expression) through v(S)=max⁡kwk(S)v(S)=\max_k w_k(S)v(S)=maxk​wk​(S). A clause wkw_kwk​ with wk(S)=v(S)w_k(S)=v(S)wk​(S)=v(S) is a maximizing clause for SSS. Every XOS valuation is normalized, v(∅)=0v(\emptyset)=0v(∅)=0, and monotone.
  • An allocation is a tuple of pairwise disjoint bundles O1,…,OnO_1,\dots,O_nO1​,…,On​; items may stay unallocated. Its welfare is ∑ivi(Oi)\sum_i v_i(O_i)∑i​vi​(Oi​).
  • A demand oracle for bidder iii answers, given item prices p∈Rmp\in\mathbb R^mp∈Rm, a bundle maximizing vi(T)−∑j∈Tpjv_i(T)-\sum_{j\in T}p_jvi​(T)−∑j∈T​pj​. An XOS oracle answers, given a bundle SSS, a maximizing clause for SSS in viv_ivi​.

The greedy price-update algorithm. Start with all bundles empty and all prices pj=0p_j=0pj​=0. For i=1,…,ni=1,\dots,ni=1,…,n: let SiS_iSi​ be bidder iii's demand at the current prices; remove the items of SiS_iSi​ from the bundles of the earlier bidders; let qiq^iqi be the maximizing clause for SiS_iSi​ in viv_ivi​; set pj=qjip_j=q^i_jpj​=qji​ for j∈Sij\in S_ij∈Si​. Write pkp^kpk for the prices after stage kkk (p0=0p^0=0p0=0), pk(T)=∑j∈Tpjkp^k(T)=\sum_{j\in T}p^k_jpk(T)=∑j∈T​pjk​, and A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​ for the final bundles.

In the Lean development these objects are XOSExpr, XOSExpr.val, IsAllocation, welfare, IsDemandOracle, IsXOSOracle, greedyState, greedyPrices and greedyAlloc in the namespace ComplementFreeCA.XOSGreedy.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3

For XOS valuations v1,…,vnv_1,\dots,v_nv1​,…,vn​, every demand oracle and every XOS oracle, and every allocation O1,…,OnO_1,\dots,O_nO1​,…,On​,

∑i=1nvi(Oi)  ≤  2∑i=1nvi(Ai).\sum_{i=1}^n v_i(O_i)\;\le\;2\sum_{i=1}^n v_i(A_i).i=1∑n​vi​(Oi​)≤2i=1∑n​vi​(Ai​).

The comparison with every allocation is the paper's comparison with the optimal allocation.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.4. The final prices are paid for by the algorithm's welfare:
pn(M)≤∑ivi(Ai).p^n(M)\le\sum_i v_i(A_i).pn(M)≤i∑​vi​(Ai​).
  1. Lemma 3.5. Prices never decrease: pjk≤pjk′p^k_j\le p^{k'}_jpjk​≤pjk′​ for all items jjj and stages k≤k′k\le k'k≤k′.
  2. Lemma 3.6. For every allocation OOO,
∑ivi(Oi)≤2 pn(M).\sum_i v_i(O_i)\le 2\,p^n(M).i∑​vi​(Oi​)≤2pn(M).

Three further statements are included without being milestones: the output A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​ is an allocation (used implicitly by the paper); the first sentence of the proof of Lemma 3.6, that with Δi=pi(M)−pi−1(M)\Delta^i=p^i(M)-p^{i-1}(M)Δi=pi(M)−pi−1(M) one has Δi=max⁡T⊆M(vi(T)−pi−1(T))\Delta^i=\max_{T\subseteq M}\bigl(v_i(T)-p^{i-1}(T)\bigr)Δi=maxT⊆M​(vi​(T)−pi−1(T)); and the factor 222 is attained on the paper's two-item, two-bidder example (p. 9).

Significance

Theorem 3.3 shows that a factor-2 approximation of the optimal welfare for XOS bidders needs no linear program: one pass over the bidders, one demand query and one XOS query each. The paper's LP-based algorithm of §3.2 attains the better ratio e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1), and Theorem 4.1 of the paper shows that for the larger class of complement-free bidders no (2−ϵ)(2-\epsilon)(2−ϵ)-approximation is possible with polynomial communication.

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a formal model of XOS valuations, demand and XOS oracles and the greedy run that is reusable for other price-based arguments, and a formal proof of the guarantee for every tie-breaking in both oracles.

Difficulty

The argument is elementary, but its bookkeeping is where a formal proof can go wrong. Items move between bidders: an item taken from an earlier bidder in step (b) is re-priced in step (d), and every priced item lies in exactly one final bundle. Lemma 3.4 needs this invariant across all nnn stages, together with the fact that a maximizing clause for the demanded set bounds viv_ivi​ on every subset, which holds because it is a clause of viv_ivi​ itself, not merely an additive function agreeing with viv_ivi​ on SiS_iSi​. Lemma 3.5 is a contradiction argument using optimality of the demand; Lemma 3.6 telescopes the price increases and needs prices to stay nonnegative. The argument must hold for arbitrary oracle answers, so no canonical demand can be assumed.

Formalization scope

  • Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), values in ℝ. An XOS valuation is represented by its expression: a nonempty Finset (Fin m → ℝ) of clauses with nonnegative entries, evaluated with Finset.sup'. The paper's standing assumptions, normalized and monotone valuations (p. 1), hold automatically in this representation.
  • The oracles are function parameters dem : Fin n → (Fin m → ℝ) → Finset (Fin m) and cl : Fin n → Finset (Fin m) → (Fin m → ℝ) with hypotheses IsDemandOracle and IsXOSOracle; every theorem holds for every such pair, so no tie-breaking rule is fixed.
  • The run is a recursion on the stage: stage k+1k+1k+1 processes the 0-based bidder kkk, i.e. the paper's bidder k+1k+1k+1; after stage nnn the state is constant.
  • The paper's goal compares with the optimal allocation; the Lean goal compares with every allocation, which is equivalent and avoids an argmax. Stating the bound against one particular allocation, or against the algorithm's own output, would be trivial and is excluded.
  • There are no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants: the factor 222 is the paper's.
  • Printed slip: the model on p. 1 writes an allocation as S1,…,SmS_1,\dots,S_mS1​,…,Sm​; it is one bundle per bidder, S1,…,SnS_1,\dots,S_nS1​,…,Sn​.
  • Out of scope: running time, the cost of simulating oracles (Proposition 2.1), and communication lower bounds.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the three milestones and of the goal, and reusable lemmas on the invariant that every priced item lies in exactly one final bundle.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial auctions with decreasing marginal utilities, Games and Economic Behavior 55(2):270–296, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2005.02.006
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders II: Clause-Based Randomized Rounding for XOS BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a seller offers mmm indivisible items to nnn bidders, each of whom values bundles of items rather than single items. Allocating the items so as to maximize the total value (the social welfare) is the central optimization problem of the area: it models spectrum auctions, procurement and resource allocation, and it is NP-hard and hard to approximate for general valuations. A large literature therefore studies restricted classes of valuations without complementarities. Among them the class XOS (valuations that are a maximum of additive valuations, also called fractionally subadditive) sits strictly between submodular and subadditive valuations and has become a standard benchmark class in algorithmic game theory.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010) gave, among other results, a randomized algorithm that approximates the optimal welfare for XOS bidders within a factor 1/(1−(1−1/n)n)1/(1-(1-1/n)^n)1/(1−(1−1/n)n), which is at most e/(e−1)≈1.582e/(e-1)\approx 1.582e/(e−1)≈1.582. The algorithm rounds the standard LP relaxation and resolves conflicts between bidders using the XOS structure. This mission formalizes that guarantee (Theorem 3.2 of the paper).

A short timeline: Lehmann, Lehmann and Nisan (EC 2001) introduced the XOS terminology and a 2-approximation for submodular bidders; the conference version of the present paper (STOC 2005) gave the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) bound for XOS with demand and XOS oracles; Feige (STOC 2006) extended the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) ratio to XOS bidders with demand oracles only and gave a 2-approximation for subadditive bidders.

Setting

Items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and bidders are N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n} with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Bidder iii has a valuation viv_ivi​ assigning a real number vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) to every bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M. An allocation is a tuple (O1,…,On)(O_1,\dots,O_n)(O1​,…,On​) of pairwise disjoint bundles; its welfare is ∑ivi(Oi)\sum_i v_i(O_i)∑i​vi​(Oi​).

A clause is an additive valuation www given by nonnegative item values w1,…,wmw_1,\dots,w_mw1​,…,wm​, with w(S)=∑j∈Swjw(S)=\sum_{j\in S}w_jw(S)=∑j∈S​wj​. A valuation vvv is XOS if there is a nonempty finite set WWW of clauses with

v(S)=max⁡w∈W ∑j∈Swj(S⊆M).v(S)=\max_{w\in W}\ \sum_{j\in S}w_j\qquad(S\subseteq M).v(S)=w∈Wmax​ j∈S∑​wj​(S⊆M).

A clause of WWW attaining the maximum for SSS is a maximizing clause for SSS in vvv; an XOS oracle returns one (arbitrarily, if several attain it).

The LP relaxation has a variable xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ for every bidder iii and bundle SSS and asks to maximize OPT∗=∑i,Sxi,Svi(S)\mathrm{OPT}^*=\sum_{i,S}x_{i,S}v_i(S)OPT∗=∑i,S​xi,S​vi​(S) subject to ∑i∑S∋jxi,S≤1\sum_{i}\sum_{S\ni j}x_{i,S}\le1∑i​∑S∋j​xi,S​≤1 for each item jjj, ∑Sxi,S≤1\sum_S x_{i,S}\le1∑S​xi,S​≤1 for each bidder iii, and xi,S≥0x_{i,S}\ge0xi,S​≥0.

Randomized rounding draws a preallocation S1,…,SnS_1,\dots,S_nS1​,…,Sn​: independently for each bidder iii, bundle SSS is chosen with probability xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ and the empty bundle with the remaining probability 1−∑Sxi,S1-\sum_S x_{i,S}1−∑S​xi,S​. The preallocation can give an item to several bidders.

The algorithm of §3.2: (i) draw a preallocation from an optimal LP solution xxx; (ii) let pi=(p1i,…,pmi)p^i=(p^i_1,\dots,p^i_m)pi=(p1i​,…,pmi​) be the maximizing clause for SiS_iSi​ in viv_ivi​; (iii) give each item jjj to a bidder iii with pji≥pji′p^i_j\ge p^{i'}_jpji​≥pji′​ for all i′i'i′. Write ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG for the welfare of the resulting allocation.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

For every XOS profile, every optimal LP solution xxx, every choice of maximizing clauses, every tie-breaking in step (iii) and every allocation OOO,

(1−(1−1n)n)∑ivi(Oi) ≤ E[ALG].\Big(1-\Big(1-\frac1n\Big)^n\Big)\sum_i v_i(O_i)\ \le\ \mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}].(1−(1−n1​)n)i∑​vi​(Oi​) ≤ E[ALG].

Milestones

  1. ∑ivi(Oi)≤OPT∗\sum_i v_i(O_i)\le\mathrm{OPT}^*∑i​vi​(Oi​)≤OPT∗ for an optimal LP solution (step (i) of the proof of Theorem 3.1).
  2. Pointwise, ALG≥∑jQj\mathrm{ALG}\ge\sum_j Q_jALG≥∑j​Qj​ with Qj=max⁡ipjiQ_j=\max_i p^i_jQj​=maxi​pji​.
  3. Eq. (1): for 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n and X1,…,Xk∈[0,1]X_1,\dots,X_k\in[0,1]X1​,…,Xk​∈[0,1] with ∑Xi≤1\sum X_i\le1∑Xi​≤1,
1−∏i≤k(1−Xi) ≥ 1−(1−∑Xik)k ≥ (1−(1−1k)k)∑Xi ≥ (1−(1−1n)n)∑Xi.1-\prod_{i\le k}(1-X_i)\ \ge\ 1-\Big(1-\tfrac{\sum X_i}{k}\Big)^k\ \ge\ \Big(1-\big(1-\tfrac1k\big)^k\Big)\sum X_i\ \ge\ \Big(1-\big(1-\tfrac1n\big)^n\Big)\sum X_i .1−i≤k∏​(1−Xi​) ≥ 1−(1−k∑Xi​​)k ≥ (1−(1−k1​)k)∑Xi​ ≥ (1−(1−n1​)n)∑Xi​.
  1. Lemma 3.3: E[Qj]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)∑i∑S∋jxi,S pj(i,S)\mathbb E[Q_j]\ge(1-(1-1/n)^n)\sum_i\sum_{S\ni j}x_{i,S}\,p^{(i,S)}_jE[Qj​]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)∑i​∑S∋j​xi,S​pj(i,S)​ for every feasible xxx.
  2. E[ALG]≥(1−(1−1/n)n) OPT∗(x)\mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}]\ge(1-(1-1/n)^n)\,\mathrm{OPT}^*(x)E[ALG]≥(1−(1−1/n)n)OPT∗(x) for every feasible xxx.

Milestone 5 is stronger than the goal (it compares with the fractional value); the goal is stated against the integral optimum because that is what Theorem 3.2 asserts.

Significance

The bound 1−(1−1/n)n≥1−1/e1-(1-1/n)^n\ge1-1/e1−(1−1/n)n≥1−1/e is a constant-factor guarantee for a class that includes every submodular valuation, obtained from nothing more than the LP relaxation and the clause structure of XOS. It shows that the integrality gap of the configuration LP for XOS bidders is at most 1/(1−(1−1/n)n)1/(1-(1-1/n)^n)1/(1−(1−1/n)n), a fact reused in later work on welfare maximization, online allocation and posted-price mechanisms. The per-item analysis (Lemma 3.3 and Eq. (1)) is the same "1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e" correlation-gap argument that recurs in submodular maximization and prophet-inequality proofs.

The result is proved in the paper. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a Lean statement and proof of the guarantee with the randomness made explicit, a reusable model of the configuration LP and of randomized rounding over bundles, and a formal version of the inequality in Eq. (1), which is independently useful.

Difficulty

Each piece of the argument is short; the work is in the bookkeeping. The preallocation is infeasible, so welfare cannot be read off from the rounding directly; the proof reduces it to per-item quantities QjQ_jQj​ and then lower-bounds E[Qj]\mathbb E[Q_j]E[Qj​] by comparing with a different assignment of item jjj that is not the algorithm's. The expectation of that auxiliary assignment involves a product of probabilities over bidders ordered by a conditional expectation, and the final bound needs the calculus inequality of Eq. (1) together with a summation by parts. A naive attempt to bound E[ALG]\mathbb E[\mathrm{ALG}]E[ALG] bidder by bidder fails, because a bidder's received bundle is not contained in its preallocated bundle, and the clause values of other bidders decide what it receives.

Formalization scope

  • Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), valuations Finset (Fin m) → ℝ. XOS is stated through its expression: each viv_ivi​ comes with a nonempty finite clause set WiW_iWi​ of nonnegative clauses, and vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) is attained by a clause of WiW_iWi​ and bounded by all of them. Normalization and monotonicity, the paper's standing assumptions (p. 1), follow from this.
  • The LP has a variable for every bundle, including ∅\emptyset∅. "Optimal" is stated as feasible and not beaten by any feasible solution; existence of an optimum is not asserted.
  • The rounding is a finite product distribution over profiles σ:Fin n→\sigma:\mathrm{Fin}\,n\toσ:Finn→ bundles, with bidder iii's law qi(S)=xi,S+1[S=∅](1−∑Txi,T)q_i(S)=x_{i,S}+\mathbf 1[S=\emptyset](1-\sum_T x_{i,T})qi​(S)=xi,S​+1[S=∅](1−∑T​xi,T​); expectations are finite sums.
  • The XOS oracle is a function parameter with its specification, and step (iii) is any rule selecting a bidder with maximal clause value; every statement quantifies over all of them.
  • "Approximation" in Theorem 3.2 is read in expectation, as its proof establishes. There are no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants in this mission.
  • Printed slip: the display of Lemma 3.3 (and the identity for OPT∗\mathrm{OPT}^*OPT∗ before it) sums xi,Spj(i,S)x_{i,S}p^{(i,S)}_jxi,S​pj(i,S)​ over all (i,S)(i,S)(i,S); the proof's final line restricts to S∋jS\ni jS∋j, and the printed version is false. The Lean states Lemma 3.3 with S∋jS\ni jS∋j.
  • Running time, the ellipsoid method and oracle complexity are out of scope.
  • Ruled out as trivializing: dropping the LP constraints on xxx (the item constraint is what makes Eq. (1) apply), stating the bound for a fixed preallocation instead of the expectation, or allowing negative clause values.

A complete development needs finite product distributions over bundles, the AM–GM inequality, monotonicity of (1−1/k)k(1-1/k)^k(1−1/k)k, and a summation-by-parts argument. The LP and rounding model are reusable for the other randomized-rounding results of the paper; proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation algorithms for combinatorial auctions with complement-free bidders, STOC 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060681
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial auctions with decreasing marginal utilities, EC 2001. https://doi.org/10.1145/501158.501161
  • U. Feige, On maximizing welfare when utility functions are subadditive, STOC 2006. https://doi.org/10.1145/1132516.1132540
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders I: LP Rounding for Subadditive BiddersResearch Paper

Motivation

In a combinatorial auction a seller offers mmm indivisible items to nnn bidders, each of whom values bundles of items rather than single items. Allocating the items to maximize total value is the basic welfare problem of spectrum auctions, procurement and resource allocation, and it is the running example of algorithmic mechanism design. For general valuations no polynomial-time algorithm achieves a ratio polynomially better than m\sqrt mm​ under standard assumptions, so positive results require restricting the valuations. The most natural restriction is complement freeness (subadditivity): a bundle is never worth more than the sum of its parts.

Dobzinski, Nisan and Schapira (Math. Oper. Res. 35(1), 2010; conference version STOC 2005) gave the first polynomial-time algorithms with sub-polynomial approximation ratios for complement-free bidders given demand oracles. This mission formalizes their Section 3.1 algorithm, which rounds the linear-programming relaxation of the auction and splits the resulting infeasible solution into feasible ones.

Timeline. Lehmann, Lehmann and Nisan (2001) introduced the complement-free hierarchy and treated submodular bidders. The original version of the algorithm formalized here claimed an O(log⁡m)O(\log m)O(logm) ratio; Feige observed that the same algorithm achieves O(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)O(\log m/\log\log m)O(logm/loglogm) and that its ratio is at least Ω(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)\Omega(\sqrt{\log m/\log\log m})Ω(logm/loglogm​) (Feige, SIAM J. Comput. 39(1), 2009). Feige then obtained a constant ratio (222) for subadditive bidders by a different rounding.

Setting

Items are M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\dots,m\}M={1,…,m} and bidders N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}. Bidder iii has a valuation viv_ivi​ assigning a real value vi(S)v_i(S)vi​(S) to each bundle S⊆MS\subseteq MS⊆M. Every valuation is normalized, vi(∅)=0v_i(\emptyset)=0vi​(∅)=0, and monotone, S⊆T⇒vi(S)≤vi(T)S\subseteq T\Rightarrow v_i(S)\le v_i(T)S⊆T⇒vi​(S)≤vi​(T). A valuation is complement free if v(S∪T)≤v(S)+v(T)v(S\cup T)\le v(S)+v(T)v(S∪T)≤v(S)+v(T) for all S,TS,TS,T. An allocation is a tuple (S1,…,Sn)(S_1,\dots,S_n)(S1​,…,Sn​) of pairwise disjoint bundles; its welfare is ∑ivi(Si)\sum_i v_i(S_i)∑i​vi​(Si​), and OPTOPTOPT denotes the largest welfare.

The LP relaxation has a variable xi,S≥0x_{i,S}\ge0xi,S​≥0 for each bidder and bundle, with ∑i,S∋jxi,S≤1\sum_{i,S\ni j}x_{i,S}\le1∑i,S∋j​xi,S​≤1 for each item jjj and ∑Sxi,S≤1\sum_S x_{i,S}\le1∑S​xi,S​≤1 for each bidder iii; its objective is ∑i,Sxi,Svi(S)\sum_{i,S}x_{i,S}v_i(S)∑i,S​xi,S​vi​(S), with optimum OPT∗≥OPTOPT^*\ge OPTOPT∗≥OPT. Randomized rounding lets each bidder independently draw bundle SSS with probability xi,Sx_{i,S}xi,S​ and ∅\emptyset∅ with the remaining probability. The result, a preallocation, has expected welfare OPT∗OPT^*OPT∗ but may give an item to several bidders.

The algorithm takes k=⌊3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m⌋k=\lfloor 3\log m/\log\log m\rfloork=⌊3logm/loglogm⌋ and:

  1. rounds until the preallocation (S1,…,Sn)(S_1,\dots,S_n)(S1​,…,Sn​) has every item in at most kkk bundles and ∑ivi(Si)≥OPT∗/3\sum_i v_i(S_i)\ge OPT^*/3∑i​vi​(Si​)≥OPT∗/3;
  2. splits each SiS_iSi​ into layers SirS_i^rSir​, r=1,…,kr=1,\dots,kr=1,…,k, where SirS_i^rSir​ holds the items of SiS_iSi​ that appear in exactly r−1r-1r−1 of S1,…,Si−1S_1,\dots,S_{i-1}S1​,…,Si−1​;
  3. picks the layer index rrr maximizing ∑ivi(Sir)\sum_i v_i(S_i^r)∑i​vi​(Sir​) and sets Ti=SirT_i=S_i^rTi​=Sir​;
  4. if some bidder has vi(M)≥∑i′vi′(Ti′)v_i(M)\ge\sum_{i'}v_{i'}(T_{i'})vi​(M)≥∑i′​vi′​(Ti′​), gives that bidder everything instead.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1, with the explicit ratio

For all sufficiently large mmm, for normalized, monotone, complement-free valuations and an optimal LP solution xxx with value OPT∗OPT^*OPT∗:

  1. if OPT∗>3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*>3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗>3maxi​vi​(M), one rounding meets the two conditions of step 1 with probability >1/6>1/6>1/6;
  2. from any preallocation meeting them, every admissible run of steps 2–4 outputs an allocation with
∑ivi(outputi) ≥ OPT3k,k=⌊3log⁡mlog⁡log⁡m⌋;\sum_i v_i(\text{output}_i)\ \ge\ \frac{OPT}{3k},\qquad k=\Big\lfloor\frac{3\log m}{\log\log m}\Big\rfloor;i∑​vi​(outputi​) ≥ 3kOPT​,k=⌊loglogm3logm​⌋;
  1. if OPT∗≤3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*\le3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗≤3maxi​vi​(M), the bidder maximizing vi(M)v_i(M)vi​(M) alone achieves OPT/3OPT/3OPT/3.

Milestones

  • OPT≤OPT∗OPT\le OPT^*OPT≤OPT∗ (proof, step (i)).
  • The layers of each index form an allocation and partition each SiS_iSi​ (proof, step (ii)).
  • Complement freeness gives ∑rvi(Sir)≥vi(Si)\sum_r v_i(S_i^r)\ge v_i(S_i)∑r​vi​(Sir​)≥vi​(Si​), and the best layer has welfare ≥OPT∗/(3k)\ge OPT^*/(3k)≥OPT∗/(3k) (proof, step (iii)).
  • Lemma 3.1: independent Bernoulli variables with ∑ipi≤1\sum_i p_i\le1∑i​pi​≤1 exceed 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm with probability ≤1/m2\le1/m^2≤1/m2.
  • Lemma 3.2: for XXX a sum of independent [0,1][0,1][0,1] variables with mean μ\muμ, Pr⁡[∣X−μ∣≥α]≤μ/α2\Pr[|X-\mu|\ge\alpha]\le\mu/\alpha^2Pr[∣X−μ∣≥α]≤μ/α2.
  • §3.1.1: some item appears more than 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm times with probability ≤1/m\le1/m≤1/m; the preallocation's welfare falls below OPT∗/3OPT^*/3OPT∗/3 with probability <3/4<3/4<3/4.

Significance

Theorem 3.1 was among the first polynomial-time approximation guarantees for welfare maximization with general subadditive bidders, and its layering argument is the standard way to turn an LP solution that is feasible up to a factor kkk into a feasible allocation losing only a factor kkk for subadditive objectives. The same argument applies to the kkk-duplicates auction and reappears in later rounding schemes. Lemma 3.1 is the standard balls-in-bins tail bound behind every log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m\log m/\log\log mlogm/loglogm load estimate.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them is formalized, on this platform or in Mathlib, as far as searches show. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the algorithm's guarantee with an explicit constant 3k3k3k in place of O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), a precise statement of the probabilistic step, and reusable statements of two concentration inequalities for sums of independent bounded variables.

Difficulty

The combinatorial part (steps (ii) and (iii)) is short. The difficulty is in step (i). The rounding is a product distribution over bundles, while the count of an item is a sum over bidders of indicators that depend on each bidder's whole bundle; connecting the finite product law to independent Bernoulli variables, and then to Lemma 3.1, requires building the independence structure explicitly. Lemma 3.1 itself does not follow from a Chernoff bound with a fixed relative deviation: the threshold 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm grows with mmm while the mean stays at most 111, and the bound must hold uniformly in the number of variables, which a fixed-deviation Chernoff statement does not give. Finally, the event-BBB bound needs the preallocation's welfare as a sum of independent variables in [0,1][0,1][0,1], which requires rescaling by max⁡ivi(M)\max_i v_i(M)maxi​vi​(M) and monotonicity.

Formalization scope

Bidders are Fin n, items Fin m, bundles Finset (Fin m), valuations Finset (Fin m) → ℝ. Normalization and monotonicity, the paper's standing assumptions (p. 1), are hypotheses of the goal. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm; the paper does not fix a base. The rounding law is written as explicit finite sums over profiles σ:Fin n→Finset (Fin m)\sigma:\texttt{Fin } n\to\texttt{Finset (Fin } m)σ:Fin n→Finset (Fin m) with product weights, so independence across bidders is literal; Lemmas 3.1 and 3.2 are stated measure-theoretically with Mathlib's iIndepFun.

Explicit constants and conventions that replace the paper's notation:

  • The ratio O(k)=O(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)O(k)=O(\log m/\log\log m)O(k)=O(logm/loglogm) is stated as 3k3k3k with k=⌊3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m⌋k=\lfloor3\log m/\log\log m\rfloork=⌊3logm/loglogm⌋, the constant the proof establishes (step (iii), p. 6). "Sufficiently large mmm" is an existential m0m_0m0​.
  • The w.l.o.g. scaling max⁡ivi(M)=1\max_i v_i(M)=1maxi​vi​(M)=1 and the split at OPT∗=3OPT^*=3OPT∗=3 become the scale-free split at OPT∗=3max⁡ivi(M)OPT^*=3\max_i v_i(M)OPT∗=3maxi​vi​(M).
  • The choice of rrr in step (iii) and of the bidder in step (iv) are universally quantified over all admissible choices.

Printed slips resolved in the statements:

  • Lemma 3.1 mixes nnn and mmm. Here the number of variables is arbitrary, "sufficiently large" refers to mmm, and ∑ipi=1\sum_ip_i=1∑i​pi​=1 is relaxed to ∑ipi≤1\sum_ip_i\le1∑i​pi​≤1, which is what the application uses.
  • The display after Lemma 3.1 writes the threshold log⁡m/(3log⁡log⁡m)\log m/(3\log\log m)logm/(3loglogm); the lemma's 3log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m3\log m/\log\log m3logm/loglogm is used.
  • "Pr⁡[∨jEj]<1/n\Pr[\vee_jE_j]<1/nPr[∨j​Ej​]<1/n" and "≤1/n+3/4\le 1/n+3/4≤1/n+3/4" should read 1/m1/m1/m.
  • The event BBB is defined without its sum; it means ∑ivi(Si)<OPT∗/3\sum_iv_i(S_i)<OPT^*/3∑i​vi​(Si​)<OPT∗/3.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the guarantee assumes the item-count bound (without it the layers do not cover the bundles), the probability statements assume an LP-feasible xxx, neither the layer index nor the step-(iv) bidder is fixed, and the ratio is the explicit 3k3k3k rather than an unspecified constant. Running time, the ellipsoid method and oracle complexity are out of scope. Contributions of general concentration lemmas for sums of independent bounded variables are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. Dobzinski, N. Nisan, M. Schapira, Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Auctions with Complement-Free Bidders, Mathematics of Operations Research 35(1):1–13, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1090.0436
  • U. Feige, On Maximizing Welfare When Utility Functions Are Subadditive, SIAM Journal on Computing 39(1):122–142, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/070680977
  • B. Lehmann, D. Lehmann, N. Nisan, Combinatorial Auctions with Decreasing Marginal Utilities, Games and Economic Behavior 55(2):270–296, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2005.02.006
  • M. Mitzenmacher, E. Upfal, Probability and Computing, Cambridge University Press, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511813603
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Convex OptimizationDiscrete GeometryOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis VII: The L-Optimality Criterion and the Proximity TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Submodularity — the diminishing-returns property g(p)+g(q)≥g(p∨q)+g(p∧q)g(p) + g(q) \ge g(p \vee q) + g(p \wedge q)g(p)+g(q)≥g(p∨q)+g(p∧q) on a lattice — is one of the most useful structural hypotheses in combinatorial optimization, underlying efficient algorithms for network flows, matroid theory, and set-function minimization. Chapter 7 studies L-convex functions: functions on the integer lattice ZV\mathbb Z^VZV that are submodular and linear along the all-ones direction. This is the "dual" notion, under the conjugacy developed later in the book, to chunk 06's M-convex functions, and it inherits the same strong minimization theory — a purely local optimality criterion and a proximity theorem with an explicit distance bound — while additionally supporting a genuinely new characterization with no M-convex counterpart: discrete midpoint convexity, the direct lattice analogue of the classical real-valued midpoint convexity condition. This mission formalizes the chapter's definitional theorem, its midpoint-convexity characterization, the L-optimality criterion, and the L-proximity theorem itself.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite ground set. A function g:ZV→R∪{+∞}g : \mathbb Z^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}g:ZV→R∪{+∞} with nonempty effective domain is an L-convex function if it satisfies (SBF[Z]): g(p)+g(q)≥g(p∨q)+g(p∧q)g(p) + g(q) \ge g(p \vee q) + g(p \wedge q)g(p)+g(q)≥g(p∨q)+g(p∧q) for all p,qp, qp,q (∨,∧\vee, \wedge∨,∧ componentwise max/min), and (TRF[Z]): there is r∈Rr \in \mathbb Rr∈R with g(p+1)=g(p)+rg(p + \mathbf 1) = g(p) + rg(p+1)=g(p)+r for all ppp, where 1\mathbf 11 is the all-ones vector. An L♮^\natural♮-convex function is one whose lift to the extended ground set {0}∪V\{0\} \cup V{0}∪V is L-convex; equivalently (Theorem 7.1), ggg satisfies the translation-submodularity axiom (SBF♮^\natural♮[Z]): g(p)+g(q)≥g((p−α1)∨q)+g(p∧(q+α1))g(p) + g(q) \ge g((p - \alpha\mathbf 1) \vee q) + g(p \wedge (q + \alpha\mathbf 1))g(p)+g(q)≥g((p−α1)∨q)+g(p∧(q+α1)) for all p,qp, qp,q and all nonnegative integers α\alphaα. Discrete midpoint convexity asks g(p)+g(q)≥g(⌈(p+q)/2⌉)+g(⌊(p+q)/2⌋)g(p) + g(q) \ge g(\lceil (p+q)/2 \rceil) + g(\lfloor (p+q)/2 \rfloor)g(p)+g(q)≥g(⌈(p+q)/2⌉)+g(⌊(p+q)/2⌋) componentwise. For α\alphaα a positive integer, a point satisfies scaled local optimality if g(pα)≤g(pα±αχY)g(p_\alpha) \le g(p_\alpha \pm \alpha \chi_Y)g(pα​)≤g(pα​±αχY​) for every Y⊆VY \subseteq VY⊆V.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.18 (the L-proximity theorem)

Assume α\alphaα is a positive integer and n=∣V∣n = |V|n=∣V∣. (1) If ggg is L-convex with g(p)=g(p+1)g(p) = g(p+\mathbf 1)g(p)=g(p+1) for all ppp, and pα∈dom⁡gp_\alpha \in \operatorname{dom} gpα​∈domg satisfies g(pα)≤g(pα+αχY)g(p_\alpha) \le g(p_\alpha + \alpha\chi_Y)g(pα​)≤g(pα​+αχY​) for all Y⊆VY \subseteq VY⊆V, then arg⁡min⁡g≠∅\arg\min g \ne \emptysetargming=∅ and there is p∗∈arg⁡min⁡gp^* \in \arg\min gp∗∈argming with the componentwise bound

pα≤p∗≤pα+(n−1)(α−1)1.p_\alpha \le p^* \le p_\alpha + (n-1)(\alpha-1)\mathbf 1.pα​≤p∗≤pα​+(n−1)(α−1)1.

(2) If ggg is L♮^\natural♮-convex and pαp_\alphapα​ satisfies the two-sided version, then there is p∗p^*p∗ with pα−n(α−1)1≤p∗≤pα+n(α−1)1p_\alpha - n(\alpha-1)\mathbf 1 \le p^* \le p_\alpha + n(\alpha-1)\mathbf 1pα​−n(α−1)1≤p∗≤pα​+n(α−1)1. The bound is a genuine vector (lattice-order) inequality, not an ℓ∞\ell^\inftyℓ∞-norm bound — the form later chapters' applications need.

Milestones: Theorems 7.1, 7.7, 7.14

Theorem 7.1: L♮^\natural♮-convexity (defined via the lift) is equivalent to the direct translation-submodularity axiom. Theorem 7.7: this same class is also characterized by discrete midpoint convexity — a three-way equivalence with the approach property (L♮^\natural♮-APR[Z]) as a bridge — giving L-convexity a genuinely different, more geometric face than anything available on the M-convex side. Theorem 7.14 (the L-optimality criterion): global optimality reduces to a purely local check against the sign-pattern neighbors p±χYp \pm \chi_Yp±χY​, mirroring chunk 06's Theorem 6.26 but with the plain L-convex case additionally requiring the periodicity condition g(p)=g(p+1)g(p) = g(p+\mathbf 1)g(p)=g(p+1).

Significance

The result itself. Discrete midpoint convexity (Theorem 7.7) is philosophically important: it shows the lattice-submodularity definition of L-convexity is not an arbitrary discretization choice but coincides exactly with the most direct discrete analogue of ordinary midpoint convexity, the classical characterization of convex functions via f((p+q)/2)≤(f(p)+f(q))/2f((p+q)/2) \le (f(p)+f(q))/2f((p+q)/2)≤(f(p)+f(q))/2. The L-optimality criterion and L-proximity theorem give L-convex minimization the same algorithmic footing as M-convex minimization (chunk 06): scaling algorithms for L-convex objectives — which arise naturally from network flow and submodular-function duality — inherit a provable, dimension-and-scale-explicit distance guarantee between a coarse-scale local optimum and the true minimizer.

Formalizing it. No matching item exists on the platform for L-convex functions, discrete midpoint convexity, or the L-optimality/proximity theorems. This mission gives the first formal statement of these results, completing (alongside chunk 06's M-convex-function results) both halves of the exchange-axiom-based theory that chapter 8's conjugacy duality later unifies.

Difficulty

A natural shortcut, given the structural parallel to chunk 06, is to assume the L-proximity theorem's proof is a mechanical relabeling of the M-proximity theorem's proof. It is not: the M-convex proof (chunk 06) crucially uses the exchange axiom's additive four-term inequality to build a chain of strictly improving points, whereas the L-convex proof instead exploits (TRF[Z])'s periodicity directly — it reduces to the case pα=0p_\alpha = 0pα​=0 using translation invariance, then constructs a minimal (with respect to the lattice order) point among all sufficiently good solutions and shows this minimality, combined with submodularity (SBF[Z]), forces the componentwise bound. The vector (rather than norm) form of the conclusion is not cosmetic: it is exactly what this lattice-order argument naturally produces, and is the form needed by later chapters' applications.

Formalization scope

The ground set VVV is a Fintype with DecidableEq; g:ZV→R∪{+∞}g : \mathbb Z^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}g:ZV→R∪{+∞} is (V → ℤ) → WithTop ℝ. Unlike chunk 06's M-convex axiom, (SBF[Z]), (TRF[Z]), and (SBF♮^\natural♮[Z]) are stated for all of ZV\mathbb Z^VZV, not restricted to dom⁡g\operatorname{dom} gdomg, so no explicit import of chunk 05's L-convex-set vocabulary was needed for dom g's structure (unlike the corresponding note in chunk 06's BRIEF.md, which flagged the same concern for dom f). L♮^\natural♮-convexity is represented via an explicit lift to Option V, matching the book's own primary definition, with the direct axiom (SBF♮^\natural♮[Z]) kept as a separate object related to it by Theorem 7.1.

A trivializing formalization of the goal would convert its componentwise vector bound into an ℓ∞\ell^\inftyℓ∞-norm bound (losing the direction-of-approach information the vector form carries) or drop Part (1)'s periodicity hypothesis g(p)=g(p+1)g(p) = g(p+\mathbf 1)g(p)=g(p+1); neither is done here. Propositions establishing dom g as an L-convex set, the L/L♮^\natural♮ relationship (Theorem 7.3), the submodular-set-function embedding (Proposition 7.4), and several structural closure properties are cut from this mission's scope (see MODERATION_NOTES.md) but are natural targets for a follow-on mission or for chunk 09, which builds directly on this chunk's exchange-axiom vocabulary, mirroring chunks 06→07.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
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CombinatoricsConvex OptimizationDiscrete Geometry+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis XXIII: Directional Derivatives and Subdifferentials of M-Convex FunctionsTextbook

Motivation

An M-convex function is defined on the integer lattice, but chapter 6's earlier results (companion missions 06-mconvex-functions-i, 22-ch06b-mconvexfunctions, 23-ch06c-mconvexfunctions) show it always extends to a genuine convex function on real space. Once that extension exists, every tool of classical convex analysis — directional derivatives, subdifferentials, positive homogeneity — becomes available, and the natural question is whether these classical objects remain combinatorially special when applied to an M-convex function's extension. This mission answers that question at its sharpest: the directional derivative of an M-convex function at any point is again a positively homogeneous M-convex function, its subdifferential is exactly the admissible-potential set of a distance function satisfying the triangle inequality, and this correspondence between positively homogeneous M-convex functions and triangle-inequality distance functions is itself a clean one-to-one correspondence. This closes the loop between chapters 4-5 (M-convex and L-convex sets, distance functions) and the continuous convex-analytic machinery chapter 8 needs for its duality theory.

Companion missions 06-mconvex-functions-i, 22-ch06b-mconvexfunctions, and 23-ch06c-mconvexfunctions cover this chapter's optimality theory, algebraic toolkit, and convex-extensibility characterization. This mission builds the vocabulary those results also need (redeclared here, since sibling drafts cannot yet import one another) and proves the chapter's real-variable capstones: the transfer of M-convexity's basic operations, optimality criterion, and supermodularity to the polyhedral (real-variable) setting, the identification of positively homogeneous M-convex functions with distance functions satisfying the triangle inequality, and — this mission's goal — the full directional-derivative/subdifferential correspondence.

Setting

Fix a finite ground set VVV. A polyhedral convex function g:RV→R∪{+∞}g : \mathbb R^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}g:RV→R∪{+∞} is (polyhedral) M-convex if it satisfies the real-variable exchange axiom (M-EXC[R]): for x,y∈dom⁡Rgx,y \in \operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb R} gx,y∈domR​g and u∈supp⁡+(x−y)u \in \operatorname{supp}^+(x-y)u∈supp+(x−y), some v∈supp⁡−(x−y)v \in \operatorname{supp}^-(x-y)v∈supp−(x−y) and α0>0\alpha_0 > 0α0​>0 make the exchange inequality hold on α∈[0,α0]\alpha \in [0,\alpha_0]α∈[0,α0​]; M♮-convex if its lift to one extra coordinate is M-convex. The directional derivative of ggg at x∈dom⁡Rgx \in \operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb R} gx∈domR​g in direction ddd is g′(x;d)=inf⁡t>0(g(x+td)−g(x))/tg'(x;d) = \inf_{t>0} (g(x+td) - g(x))/tg′(x;d)=inft>0​(g(x+td)−g(x))/t. A function is positively homogeneous if g(tx)=t⋅g(x)g(tx) = t \cdot g(x)g(tx)=t⋅g(x) for all t>0t > 0t>0; write 0M[R→R]0M[\mathbb R \to \mathbb R]0M[R→R] for the positively homogeneous polyhedral M-convex functions. A distance function γ\gammaγ satisfying the triangle inequality and its set of admissible potentials D(γ)D(\gamma)D(γ) were introduced in chapter 5; the subdifferential ∂Rf(x)={p:f(y)−f(x)≥⟨p,y−x⟩ ∀y}\partial_{\mathbb R} f(x) = \{p : f(y) - f(x) \ge \langle p, y-x \rangle\ \forall y\}∂R​f(x)={p:f(y)−f(x)≥⟨p,y−x⟩ ∀y} generalizes this to any function fff at a point xxx in its domain.

Formalization targets

Goal: the directional-derivative/subdifferential correspondence

For f∈M[R→R]f \in M[\mathbb R \to \mathbb R]f∈M[R→R] and x∈dom⁡Rfx \in \operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb R} fx∈domR​f, setting γf,x(u,v)=f′(x;−χu+χv)\gamma_{f,x}(u,v) = f'(x;-\chi_u+\chi_v)γf,x​(u,v)=f′(x;−χu​+χv​):

γf,x satisfies the triangle inequality,∂Rf(x)=D(γf,x)≠∅,f′(x;⋅)=γf,x^(⋅),\gamma_{f,x} \text{ satisfies the triangle inequality}, \quad \partial_{\mathbb R} f(x) = D(\gamma_{f,x}) \ne \emptyset, \quad f'(x;\cdot) = \widehat{\gamma_{f,x}}(\cdot),γf,x​ satisfies the triangle inequality,∂R​f(x)=D(γf,x​)=∅,f′(x;⋅)=γf,x​​(⋅),

with the analogous statement for f∈M[Z→R]f \in M[\mathbb Z \to \mathbb R]f∈M[Z→R] at an integer point xxx, using γf,x(u,v)=f(x−χu+χv)−f(x)\gamma_{f,x}(u,v) = f(x-\chi_u+\chi_v)-f(x)γf,x​(u,v)=f(x−χu​+χv​)−f(x) (Theorem 6.61). This is the weakest stable form: it identifies the subdifferential exactly, as a set, rather than bounding its size or complexity, and holds at every point of the domain uniformly.

Supporting structural targets

Ten further results build the real-variable toolkit and the positive-homogeneity correspondence this goal completes: the transfer of M♮-convexity, the basic operations, the optimality criterion, supermodularity, and weighted-minimizer polyhedrality to the real-variable setting (Theorems 6.48-6.52, Proposition 6.53), the identification of the classes 0M[Z∣R→R]0M[\mathbb Z|\mathbb R \to \mathbb R]0M[Z∣R→R] and 0M[R→R]0M[\mathbb R \to \mathbb R]0M[R→R] and the compatibility of convex extension with positive homogeneity (Proposition 6.56), the two directions of the correspondence between positively homogeneous M-convex functions and triangle-inequality distance functions (Propositions 6.57-6.58, Theorem 6.59), and the fact that a directional derivative of an M-convex function is itself positively homogeneous and M-convex (Proposition 6.60).

Significance

Theorem 6.61 is the technical bridge that lets discrete convex analysis borrow the entire apparatus of classical convex duality: because the subdifferential of an M-convex function is always the admissible-potential set of a chapter-5 distance function, every fact already proved about D(γ)D(\gamma)D(γ) (its polyhedral structure, its own L-convexity, its relationship to shortest paths) transfers immediately to subdifferentials of M-convex functions. This is exactly the mechanism the book calls out as essential for Chapter 8's separation theorem for M♮-convex functions. The 0M↔T0M \leftrightarrow T0M↔T correspondence (Theorem 6.59) is independently significant: it says the positively homogeneous special case of M-convex function theory — which is what directional derivatives of any M-convex function reduce to, by Proposition 6.60 — is exactly as rich as ordinary shortest-path distance function theory, no more and no less, so nothing new needs to be built to understand local behavior at a point.

None of these results are open — they are Murota's account of how the discrete exchange axiom interacts with directional differentiation and subgradients, a bridge chapter between the purely combinatorial theory of chapters 4-6 and the duality theory of chapter 8. What this mission contributes is a faithful, machine-checked formal statement of each, extending the shared Lean vocabulary (MExchangeAxiomR, DirDeriv, GammaHat) the Discrete Convex Analysis series builds on; no comparable formalization exists on the platform (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The naive approach to Theorem 6.61 would try to compute ∂Rf(x)\partial_{\mathbb R} f(x)∂R​f(x) directly from the definition of subgradient and separately verify it happens to equal some D(γ)D(\gamma)D(γ); the book's actual proof instead derives the equality of sets from the M-optimality criterion (Theorem 6.52) applied pointwise: p∈∂Rf(x)p \in \partial_{\mathbb R} f(x)p∈∂R​f(x) is shown, via a chain of logical equivalences, to be exactly the condition defining D(γf,x)D(\gamma_{f,x})D(γf,x​), so no separate verification of polyhedrality or nonemptiness is needed beyond what Theorem 6.52 and Proposition 6.60 already supply. The genuine difficulty is upstream, in Proposition 6.60 itself: showing a directional derivative is M-convex requires exploiting the local validity of the identity f(x+d)−f(x)=f′(x;d)f(x+d)-f(x) = f'(x;d)f(x+d)−f(x)=f′(x;d) for small ∥d∥1\|d\|_1∥d∥1​ (Eq. (6.85)) and then extending the exchange property from that neighborhood to all of RV\mathbb R^VRV using positive homogeneity — a two-step argument with no single-step shortcut, since the exchange axiom's defining inequality is not obviously homogeneous-invariant on its own.

Formalization scope

Ground-set elements are a Fintype V with DecidableEq; real-domain functions are (V→ℝ)→WithTop ℝ. The directional derivative is built directly as an infimum of difference quotients over t>0t>0t>0, matching the book's own local characterization (Eq. (6.85)) without a separate limit construction. Positive homogeneity and the classes 0M[R→R]/0M[Z→R] are stated exactly as the book defines them (the latter via positive homogeneity of the convex extension, not of f itself, since f is undefined off Zⱽ). Theorems 6.49-6.50 restate 4 of their 8 operations (matching the identical scope decision for chunk 22-ch06b-mconvexfunctions's Theorem 6.13); Theorem 6.61 omits the dual-integral refinement clauses for the M[R→R|Z]/ M[Z→Z] sub-classes. Both reductions are documented, not trivializing omissions — see Difficulty above and HARD.md/MODERATION_NOTES.md. No numeric constants are hard-coded anywhere in this mission. This mission's definitions are redeclared from chunks 06-mconvex-functions-i, 21-ch05b-lconvexsets (for the distance-function/admissible-potential vocabulary), 22-ch06b-mconvexfunctions, and 23-ch06c-mconvexfunctions rather than imported, since sibling drafts in this series cannot yet reference one another. Contributions completing any of the twelve sorrys are welcome; the goal and Proposition 6.60 carry the most independent proof content.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
  • K. Murota and A. Shioura, "M-convex function on generalized polymatroid," Mathematics of Operations Research, 24 (1999), pp. 95-105 (the polyhedral M-convex function theory this mission's real-variable results are drawn from).
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes XX: Perpetual American Options and Credit GrantingTextbook

Motivation

An American option may be exercised at any moment up to maturity, so pricing one is not an integration problem but a stopping problem: the holder must decide, at each date and in each state of the market, whether the payoff available now beats the option value of waiting. A perpetual American put pushes this to its limit — there is no maturity at all, so the horizon is unbounded and the problem has no terminal condition to induct backwards from. What replaces the terminal condition is a fixed point characterization, and the classical answer, going back to McKean (1965) and Merton (1973) in continuous time and to Cox, Ross and Rubinstein (1979) in the binomial model, is that the price is the smallest superharmonic majorant of the payoff.

Bäuerle and Rieder's Chapter 11 (Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Springer, 2011) derives this from their own general unbounded-horizon stopping theory rather than from stochastic analysis, and in the same chapter applies the bounded-horizon version to a problem from banking rather than trading: when should a bank cancel a credit line? The two halves share one mathematical shape — a stopping problem whose optimal policy turns out to be of threshold type — and this mission formalizes both, with the perpetual put as the goal.

Setting

The binomial model (§11.1). A stock moves from price xxx to xuxuxu with risk-neutral probability qqq and to xdxdxd with 1−q1-q1−q, where 0<d<u0 < d < u0<d<u, and the discount factor is β∈(0,1]\beta \in (0,1]β∈(0,1]. The defining relation of the risk-neutral measure,

βqu+β(1−q)d=1,\beta q u + \beta(1-q)d = 1,βqu+β(1−q)d=1,

is carried as a hypothesis of the model: it is what makes the discounted stock price a martingale, and the proofs use it directly.

The American put with strike KKK pays (K−x)+(K-x)^+(K−x)+ when exercised. With nnn periods to maturity its price satisfies the recursion J0(x)=(K−x)+J_0(x) = (K-x)^+J0​(x)=(K−x)+ and

Jn(x)=max⁡{(K−x)+, β(qJn−1(xu)+(1−q)Jn−1(xd))}=:TJn−1(x),J_n(x) = \max\Big\{(K-x)^+,\ \beta\big(q J_{n-1}(xu) + (1-q)J_{n-1}(xd)\big)\Big\} =: \mathcal{T}J_{n-1}(x),Jn​(x)=max{(K−x)+, β(qJn−1​(xu)+(1−q)Jn−1​(xd))}=:TJn−1​(x),

the maximum being "exercise now" against "hold". Proposition 11.1.2 describes the price πn(x):=JN−n(x)\pi_n(x) := J_{N-n}(x)πn​(x):=JN−n​(x) at time nnn of an option maturing at NNN: it is continuous in xxx, decreasing in nnn, and — the part that carries the argument — x↦πn(x)+xx \mapsto \pi_n(x) + xx↦πn​(x)+x is increasing, even though πn\pi_nπn​ itself decreases in xxx. That single reformulation, obtained by adding xxx to both sides of the recursion and using the risk-neutral relation, is what yields the threshold structure: there are exercise boundaries K=:xN∗≥xN−1∗≥⋯≥x0∗≥0K =: x_N^* \ge x_{N-1}^* \ge \dots \ge x_0^* \ge 0K=:xN∗​≥xN−1∗​≥⋯≥x0∗​≥0 with τ∗=inf⁡{n≤N∣Xn≤xn∗}\tau^* = \inf\{n \le N \mid X_n \le x_n^*\}τ∗=inf{n≤N∣Xn​≤xn∗​} optimal. Exercise when the stock falls far enough, and the boundary rises as maturity approaches.

The perpetual put (Theorem 11.1.3, the goal). With no expiration date the price at time zero is a supremum over all stopping times, τ≤∞\tau \le \inftyτ≤∞ included:

P(x):=sup⁡τ≤∞ExQ[βτ(K−Sτ)],P(x) := \sup_{\tau \le \infty} \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}_x\big[\beta^\tau (K - S_\tau)\big],P(x):=τ≤∞sup​ExQ​[βτ(K−Sτ​)],

with the stopping reward set to zero on {τ=∞}\{\tau = \infty\}{τ=∞}. The theorem says four things: PPP is the limit of the finite-maturity prices JnJ_nJn​; PPP solves TP=P\mathcal{T}P = PTP=P and satisfies 0≤P≤K0 \le P \le K0≤P≤K; PPP is the smallest superharmonic function majorizing (K−x)+(K-x)^+(K−x)+; and, if the value Jf∗J_{f^*}Jf∗​ of the exercise-region policy dominates TJf∗\mathcal{T}J_{f^*}TJf∗​, then PPP equals that value and τ∗=inf⁡{n∣Xn∈E∗}\tau^* = \inf\{n \mid X_n \in E^*\}τ∗=inf{n∣Xn​∈E∗}, the hitting time of E∗={x∣P(x)=(K−x)+}E^* = \{x \mid P(x) = (K-x)^+\}E∗={x∣P(x)=(K−x)+}, is optimal.

The conditional in part d) is the book's own and is not decoration: without it the exercise region need not deliver an optimal stopping time, and the unconditional version is a different, false statement. The boundedness 0≤P≤K0 \le P \le K0≤P≤K in b) is likewise a genuine claim rather than a side remark — the fixed point equation alone admits other solutions, and it is boundedness together with minimality that pins PPP down among them.

Credit granting (§11.2). A bank holds a credit contract of maximal duration NNN. Each period it observes a rating class xnx_nxn​ evolving as a Markov process QXQ^XQX, and chooses to extend — earning c(x)c(x)c(x) — or to cancel, ending the contract. The value iteration is Jn(x)=max⁡{0, c(x)+β∫Jn−1 dQX(⋅∣x)}J_n(x) = \max\{0,\ c(x) + \beta\int J_{n-1}\,dQ^X(\cdot|x)\}Jn​(x)=max{0, c(x)+β∫Jn−1​dQX(⋅∣x)}. Under two structural assumptions — ccc increasing, and QXQ^XQX stochastically monotone, so that a better-rated borrower stays better-rated — Theorem 11.2.1 gives the same shape of answer as the option: cancel exactly when the rating falls below a threshold xn∗x_n^*xn∗​, and those thresholds rise as the remaining duration shortens, since a marginal borrower is no longer worth keeping when there is little time left to recover.

Theorem 11.2.2 repeats this when the borrower is not rated at all. The bank has only a prior μ0\mu_0μ0​ on the repayment probability and one signal per period; the state (s,n)(s,n)(s,n) records sss positive signals out of nnn, and the expected repayment probability is the posterior mean q(s,n)q(s,n)q(s,n). Monotonicity here is for the order of p. 342 — more positive signals and fewer negative ones — and not the coordinatewise order, under which the claim would be false: an extra signal that is negative makes the state worse.

What is being asked

Formalize Theorem 11.1.3 in full, all four parts: the limit identification, the fixed point equation with its bounds, the minimality among superharmonic majorants, and the conditional optimality of the exercise-region stopping time. The three milestones are Proposition 11.1.2, the finite-horizon put whose threshold structure the perpetual case specializes, and the two credit granting theorems, which run the same bounded-horizon argument on a different model.

The stopping-time apparatus is built rather than assumed: the stock path, the law Q\mathbb{Q}Q pinned by its finite-dimensional distributions, stopping times valued in N∪{∞}\mathbb{N}\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞}, and the reward vanishing at ∞\infty∞. Part a) of the goal is the identification of the supremum with lim⁡nJn\lim_n J_nlimn​Jn​, so carrying PPP as an abstract function would make the theorem vacuous.

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CombinatoricsOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Problems III: The Worst-Case Ratio of the Weighted Algorithm B2Research Paper

Motivation

MAXIMUM SATISFIABILITY asks for a truth assignment satisfying as many clauses of a given set as possible. It was among the first NP-hard optimization problems for which an approximation algorithm came with a proven worst-case guarantee. In Approximation Algorithms for Combinatorial Problems (J. Comput. System Sci. 9, 1974, doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(74)80044-9), David S. Johnson set up a framework for measuring such guarantees and analyzed two heuristics for the problem. The second of these, algorithm B2, weights each clause by 2−∣C∣2^{-|C|}2−∣C∣ and repeatedly sets a literal so that the heavier side is satisfied. On inputs whose clauses all have at least kkk literals, it satisfies at least a 1−2−k1 - 2^{-k}1−2−k fraction of the optimum.

B2 is the ancestor of a line of work on MAX-SAT approximation:

  • 1974. Johnson proves the 2k/(2k−1)2^k/(2^k-1)2k/(2k−1) bound for B2 on MS(k) and the (k+1)/k(k+1)/k(k+1)/k bound for the unweighted greedy algorithm B1.
  • 1994. Goemans and Williamson (SIAM J. Discrete Math. 7) present Johnson's algorithm as the derandomization, by conditional expectations, of the uniformly random assignment, and combine it with LP rounding to obtain a 3/43/43/4-approximation.
  • 1999. Chen, Friesen and Zheng (JCSS 58) show that B2 is a 2/32/32/3-approximation on general inputs, sharper than the 1/21/21/2 that Johnson's bound gives at k=1k = 1k=1.

Setting

A literal is a variable xix_ixi​ or its negation xˉi\bar x_ixˉi​. A clause is a finite set of literals. A truth assignment is a set TTT of literals containing no pair {xi,xˉi}\{x_i, \bar x_i\}{xi​,xˉi​}; it satisfies a clause CCC when C∩T≠∅C \cap T \ne \emptysetC∩T=∅. An input is a finite set SSS of clauses, and S∗S^*S∗ is the largest ∣S′∣|S'|∣S′∣ over subsets S′⊆SS' \subseteq SS′⊆S satisfied by one truth assignment. MS(k) is the restriction to inputs in which every clause contains at least kkk distinct literals.

Algorithm B2 keeps a set SUB of satisfied clauses, a set LEFT of unsettled clauses, the literals LIT still available, and a weight w(C)w(C)w(C) per clause, starting from w(C)=2−∣C∣w(C) = 2^{-|C|}w(C)=2−∣C∣, SUB=∅\mathrm{SUB} = \emptysetSUB=∅, LEFT=S\mathrm{LEFT} = SLEFT=S. While some literal of LIT occurs in a clause of LEFT, it picks any such literal yyy. Let YT be the clauses of LEFT containing yyy and YF those containing yˉ\bar yyˉ​. If ∑YTw≥∑YFw\sum_{\mathrm{YT}} w \ge \sum_{\mathrm{YF}} w∑YT​w≥∑YF​w, it makes yyy true, moves YT to SUB and doubles the weight of each clause of YF; otherwise it does the symmetric move with yˉ\bar yyˉ​. Finally it removes y,yˉy, \bar yy,yˉ​ from LIT. When no literal of LIT remains in LEFT it returns SUB.

The choice of yyy is free, so several outputs may be choosable on one input. Johnson measures the algorithm by its worst choosable output, through the ratio r(B2,S)=S∗/∣SUB∣r(B2, S) = S^*/|\mathrm{SUB}|r(B2,S)=S∗/∣SUB∣ and its maximum R[B2,MS(k)](n)R[B2, \mathrm{MS}(k)](n)R[B2,MS(k)](n) over inputs of size at most nnn.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3, with the equality range corrected

For every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, every SSS in MS(k) and every SUB choosable by B2 on SSS,

(2k−1) S∗≤2k ∣SUB∣,(2^k - 1)\,S^* \le 2^k\,|\mathrm{SUB}|,(2k−1)S∗≤2k∣SUB∣,

and for every k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 there are SSS in MS(k) and a choosable SUB with ∣SUB∣>0|\mathrm{SUB}| > 0∣SUB∣>0 and

(2k−1) S∗=2k ∣SUB∣.(2^k - 1)\,S^* = 2^k\,|\mathrm{SUB}|.(2k−1)S∗=2k∣SUB∣.

The paper states equality "for all sufficiently large nnn" for every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1. At k=1k = 1k=1 this is false: the ratio 2 would require every clause to be a unit clause and all clauses to be jointly satisfiable, and on such inputs B2 satisfies everything. The goal therefore asserts tightness for k≥2k \ge 2k≥2. A separate item states that at k=1k = 1k=1 the ratio is never attained.

Milestones

  1. Initially, the total weight of LEFT is at most ∣S∣/2k|S|/2^k∣S∣/2k.
  2. No iteration increases the total weight of LEFT, so at halting it is still at most ∣S∣/2k|S|/2^k∣S∣/2k.
  3. At halting, every clause left in LEFT has weight exactly 111.
  4. At halting, ∣LEFT∣≤∣S∣/2k|\mathrm{LEFT}| \le |S|/2^k∣LEFT∣≤∣S∣/2k and ∣SUB∣≥∣S∣(1−2−k)|\mathrm{SUB}| \ge |S|(1 - 2^{-k})∣SUB∣≥∣S∣(1−2−k).
  5. The eight-clause instance for k=3k = 3k=3 has S∗=8S^* = 8S∗=8 and admits a choosable output of size 777.

Significance

The bound 1−2−k1 - 2^{-k}1−2−k is exactly the expected fraction of clauses a uniformly random assignment satisfies on MS(k). B2 attains it deterministically, and the proof bounds ∣SUB∣|\mathrm{SUB}|∣SUB∣ against ∣S∣|S|∣S∣ rather than against S∗S^*S∗, a feature the paper points out. For k=3k = 3k=3 the constant 8/78/78/7 was later shown by Håstad (2001) to be optimal among polynomial-time algorithms unless P = NP, so the guarantee of this 1974 algorithm is best possible for MAX-E3-SAT.

Formalizing the result produces a machine-checked potential-function argument for a nondeterministic algorithm: the invariant links each clause's weight to how many of its literals have been removed. The mission also records a correction to the printed statement at k=1k = 1k=1. The paper's proof is complete; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists.

Difficulty

The obvious argument follows the counting proof for algorithm B1 and compares clauses saved with clauses wounded in each step. It fails here: B2 can wound more clauses than it saves in a step, and the bound holds only in the weighted sense. The weight of a clause is not a static quantity. It is 2−∣C∣2^{-|C|}2−∣C∣ times 222 to the number of its literals already discarded, and this invariant must be carried through every step, including clauses that contain both yyy and yˉ\bar yyˉ​. Tightness needs an explicit input and an explicit adversarial run that exploits the tie in Step 4, and then a proof that every assignment of the remaining variables kills exactly one clause.

Formalization scope

  • Literals and clauses. A literal is a pair (variable index in N\mathbb NN, sign). Clauses are Finsets of literals, and an input is a Finset of clauses, so there are no duplicate clauses. Truth assignments are partial and consistent. S∗S^*S∗ is a maximum over the finite, nonempty family of satisfiable subsets.
  • B2 as a relation. B2 is a nondeterministic run relation, and "choosable" means reachable by finitely many steps from the initial state and halting. Step 3 allows a literal of either sign. The tie in Step 4 goes to yyy, and the comparison and doublings use the weights before the update. Weights are rationals.
  • Size-free ratios. The size-dependent R[B2,MS(k)](n)R[B2, \mathrm{MS}(k)](n)R[B2,MS(k)](n) is replaced by statements about every input (upper bound) and one attaining input (tightness). The two forms are equivalent because RRR is a maximum over finitely many inputs and nondecreasing in nnn.
  • No division. All ratios are multiplied out, so no division by zero can make a bound vacuous.
  • Trivializations ruled out. A deterministic tie-break in Step 3 or 4, or tightness at a single fixed kkk, would be a weaker theorem and is not acceptable. So is stating only the upper bound.

The definitions (the MS layer, the run relation) can be reused by other MAX-SAT approximation results, and an identical MS layer appears in the companion mission on algorithm B1. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, of the k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 tightness family, and of the k=1k = 1k=1 correction.

Selected references

  • D. S. Johnson, Approximation algorithms for combinatorial problems, J. Comput. System Sci. 9 (1974) 256–278. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(74)80044-9
  • J. Chen, D. K. Friesen, H. Zheng, Tight bound on Johnson's algorithm for maximum satisfiability, J. Comput. System Sci. 58 (1999) 622–640. https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.1998.1610
  • M. X. Goemans, D. P. Williamson, New 3/4-approximation algorithms for the maximum satisfiability problem, SIAM J. Discrete Math. 7 (1994) 656–666. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895480192243516
  • J. Håstad, Some optimal inapproximability results, J. ACM 48 (2001) 798–859. https://doi.org/10.1145/502090.502098
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Markov Decision Processes XVII: Random-Horizon Consumption-Investment and the De Finetti Dividend ProblemTextbook

Motivation

An insurance company collects premia and pays claims each period; the difference is a random, signed quantity that can push the company's risk reserve up or down. At the start of every period, before that period's premia and claims are realized, the company's owners may pay themselves a dividend out of the current reserve — but once the reserve goes negative the company is ruined and stops operating for good. How should the owners time and size these payments to maximize the total expected discounted dividend paid out before ruin? This is the classical De Finetti dividend problem, one of risk theory's oldest optimization questions, and Chapter 9 §9.2 of Bäuerle and Rieder's Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance (Springer, 2011) solves its fully discrete-time version by identifying the exact combinatorial shape of the optimal policy — not just proving one exists. This mission also covers §9.1, a different application of Chapter 7's contracting theory to a consumption-investment problem whose planning horizon is itself random rather than fixed or infinite.

Setting

The dividend model is a stationary Markov Decision Model on the integers: the state x∈Zx \in \mathbb Zx∈Z is the current risk reserve, the action a∈{0,1,…,x}a \in \{0,1,\dots,x\}a∈{0,1,…,x} (for x≥0x \ge 0x≥0; only a=0a=0a=0 is available once ruined) is the dividend paid, the reward is r(x,a):=ar(x,a):=ar(x,a):=a, and the reserve evolves by i.i.d. increments ZnZ_nZn​ (premia minus claims) after the dividend is deducted. Because the reward is bounded by an explicit function of the state (Lemma 9.2.2), Chapter 7's general existence theory applies directly, and the value function J∞J_\inftyJ∞​ satisfies a genuine Bellman equation. The chapter's real content begins once existence is established: Theorem 9.2.3 pins down enough analytic structure of J∞J_\inftyJ∞​ and its largest-maximizing policy f∗f^*f∗ (monotonicity, a Lipschitz-type inequality, and a self-consistency identity) to drive a purely combinatorial argument that f∗f^*f∗'s shape is a finite alternation of "pay nothing" and "pay down to a fixed level" intervals — a band-policy (Definition 9.2.5). Section 9.1's random-horizon consumption-investment model reuses the same Chapter 7 machinery in a different setting: the usual (c,a)(c,a)(c,a) (consumption, portfolio) decision each period, but where the horizon itself ends after each period with probability 1−p1-p1−p, making the effective one-period discount βp\beta pβp rather than β\betaβ.

Formalization targets

The goal, Theorem 9.2.9, states the section's main claim in one sentence: the stationary policy (f∗,f∗,… )(f^*,f^*,\dots)(f∗,f∗,…) is optimal and is a band-policy. Short as it is stated, its proof assembles every earlier result of the section. The milestones supply that assembly, in order: Lemma 9.2.2 gives the model's bounding function and the resulting integrability/convergence facts; Theorem 9.2.3 gives the value-function bounds and the self-consistency identity f∗(x−f∗(x))=0f^*(x-f^*(x))=0f∗(x−f∗(x))=0; Corollary 9.2.4 checks the two sign-definite degenerate cases directly from Theorem 9.2.3; Proposition 9.2.6 proves the top threshold ξ:=sup⁡{x∣f∗(x)=0}\xi := \sup\{x \mid f^*(x)=0\}ξ:=sup{x∣f∗(x)=0} is finite (not merely well-defined) and that f∗f^*f∗ is a simple barrier above it; Proposition 9.2.8 proves the increment property below ξ\xiξ that forces each band's shape; and Theorem 9.2.10 (a postscript refinement, stated after the goal) shows the wave lengths are bounded once the reserve's downward jumps are themselves bounded, collapsing to a single barrier-policy in the extreme case. Theorem 9.1.1, the random-horizon consumption-investment verification theorem, is included as a full item but is not a milestone of this goal, since its content and proof belong to a different, disjoint model — see Difficulty.

Significance

Band-policies and the discrete-time De Finetti dividend problem have no substrate anywhere in Mathlib or on the platform, and the result is a genuinely deep, classical one: a discrete-time analogue of the continuous-time De Finetti barrier-strategy theory, obtained here by pure dynamic-programming argument rather than the stochastic-calculus techniques the continuous-time theory usually relies on. The mission is explicit that the goal's conclusion is the general band-policy structure, not the strictly weaker barrier-policy special case that Theorem 9.2.10 b) proves only under an extra hypothesis (bounded downward jumps) — stating the goal with a barrier-policy conclusion instead would understate what Theorem 9.2.9 actually proves.

Difficulty

The central formalization challenge is Definition 9.2.5's own combinatorial intricacy: a band-policy is specified by an alternating chain of thresholds 0≤c0<d1≤c1<d2≤⋯≤dn≤cn0 \le c_0 < d_1 \le c_1 < d_2 \le \dots \le d_n \le c_n0≤c0​<d1​≤c1​<d2​≤⋯≤dn​≤cn​ with a positive-width gap condition on every wave, and the policy's four piecewise branches case-split on which wave (if any) the current state falls into. This mission renders it existentially over the witnessing (n,c,d)(n,c,d)(n,c,d) rather than as one closed-form function, a faithful but more verbose transcription that avoids conflating the different branch conditions. A second difficulty is Proposition 9.2.6's own finiteness claim: ξ\xiξ is a supremum over a subset of N0\mathbb N_0N0​ that could, in principle, be unbounded, and Mathlib's convention for sSup over the naturals returns a finite junk value (000) even for an unbounded set — using it directly would silently trivialize "ξ<∞\xi<\inftyξ<∞" into a claim that is true regardless of the proposition's actual mathematical content. This mission instead states the proposition by exhibiting the finite value of ξ\xiξ directly, so that "ξ\xiξ is finite" survives as genuine content that the theorem's proof must establish. A third difficulty is scope: Theorem 9.1.1's random-horizon consumption-investment model shares no state space, action space, or definitions with the dividend model of the goal, despite both appearing in this chunk's assigned page range; it is formalized as a genuine application of a locally-restated copy of Chapter 7's contracting theory, but is excluded from the milestone list proper since it plays no role in the goal's own proof.

Formalization scope

The dividend model's transition law is built from Mathlib's PMF (probability mass function) type on Z\mathbb ZZ, which supplies the "probabilities sum to one" fact automatically rather than as a separate hypothesis. J_\infty, \delta, and every finite-horizon value function throughout this mission use this whole book series' Filter.limsup-of-truncations convention for infinite-horizon reward, restated locally (own namespace copy, per this series' file-ownership boundary) from chunk 07a's identical apparatus rather than imported. The consumption-investment model of §9.1 is formalized with the number of risky assets ddd as an explicit type parameter and its admissible-portfolio and domain restrictions as separate, citable fields rather than folded silently into the reward or transition definitions.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9.
  • B. De Finetti, "Su un'impostazione alternativa della teoria collettiva del rischio", Transactions of the XVth International Congress of Actuaries, 1957 (the original continuous-time dividend problem this chapter's discrete-time analogue is modeled on).
  • H. Schmidli, Stochastic Control in Insurance, Springer, 2008 (cited by Remark 9.2.1 for the reduction from a continuous dividend-payout action space to the integer setting used throughout this section).
  • H. U. Gerber, "Games of economic survival with discrete- and continuous-income processes", Operations Research, 1972 (an early discrete-time treatment of the same class of problems, in the spirit this chapter's own model follows).
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Markov Decision Processes XVI: Piecewise Deterministic Markov Decision ProcessesTextbook

Motivation

Every mission in this series so far has treated a control problem that already lives in discrete time: a decision maker observes a state, chooses an action, and the process moves to a new state at the next integer time step. Many real systems evolve in continuous time instead — a machine that runs deterministically until it randomly breaks down and is repaired into a new condition, an inventory that drains continuously until a random demand arrives, a population that grows deterministically between random catastrophic events. Chapter 8 of Bäuerle and Rieder's Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance (Springer, 2011) shows that an entire class of such continuous-time control problems — Piecewise Deterministic Markov Decision Processes, where the state moves along a deterministic, controlled flow between randomly-timed jumps to a new state — can be solved by exactly the discrete-time machinery this book's series has already built, once the problem is re-expressed as a Markov Decision Model at the jump times themselves. This mission covers that embedding and its consequences (§8.2), and a simpler, discrete-state special case, the continuous-time Markov Decision Chain, treated with both an infinite and a finite time horizon (§8.3).

Setting

A Piecewise Deterministic Markov Decision Model (Definition 8.1.1) consists of a Borel state space EEE, a Borel control space UUU, a deterministic drift μ(x,u)\mu(x,u)μ(x,u) governing the flow φtα(x)\varphi^\alpha_t(x)φtα​(x) between jumps, a Poisson jump clock of rate λ\lambdaλ, a kernel QQQ giving the distribution of the post-jump state, a reward rate rrr, and a discount rate β\betaβ. A control is a whole measurable function α:R≥0→U\alpha : \mathbb R_{\ge0} \to Uα:R≥0​→U fixed at each jump time and applied until the next one — so the "action space" of the embedded discrete-time problem is itself a function space, a genuinely new technical wrinkle this book's earlier chapters never face. Embedding at the jump times produces a discrete-time Markov Decision Model (E,A,Q′,r′)(E,A,Q',r')(E,A,Q′,r′) whose reward and kernel are themselves integrals of the original data against the flow (Eqs. (8.4)-(8.5)); Chapter 7's infinite-horizon existence theory, already developed for a general Borel state space, applies directly to this embedded model once its own compactness and semicontinuity hypotheses are checked. Checking them forces a further enlargement of the control space to the relaxed controls RRR — measurable functions into probability measures on UUU rather than UUU itself — which is compact in a suitable topology where the space of literal control functions is not.

Formalization targets

The goal, Theorem 8.2.6, is the chapter's central existence result: given a continuous upper bounding function with the discrete embedded model's own contraction-type condition and a package of continuity/compactness assumptions, the value function of the model embedded with relaxed controls is bounded, upper semicontinuous, and a genuine fixed point of the maximal- reward operator, and an optimal relaxed Markov policy exists. The milestones build up to it and extend past it: Theorem 8.2.1 establishes the foundational fact that the continuous-time expected reward of the original process equals the discrete-time embedded model's own value — the correspondence every other result in the chapter relies on; Lemma 8.2.5 is the technical semicontinuity-preservation step the goal's proof needs; Theorem 8.2.7 upgrades the goal's relaxed optimal policy to a genuine, nonrelaxed one under an uncontrolled-flow or convexity condition; Theorem 8.2.8 gives the classical Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman verification technique as an alternative, differential route to the same value function. Section 8.3's continuous-time Markov Decision Chain — the same theory specialized to a countable state space, transition rates in place of a kernel, and an uncontrolled flow — is covered for both an infinite horizon (Theorem 8.3.1) and, the more finance-relevant case, a finite horizon with a terminal reward (Theorems 8.3.2-8.3.3).

Significance

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes have no substrate anywhere in Mathlib or on the platform, and this mission's content is a genuine method, not just a specialization of existing results: it shows how to reduce an entire continuous-time control problem to the discrete-time theory already available, at the cost of enlarging the state of the discrete embedded problem's own data (which becomes an integral against a whole flow, not a pointwise value) and enlarging the control space when compactness is needed for existence. This mission is careful to keep two distinctions the book itself insists on separate: relaxed versus nonrelaxed controls (Theorem 8.2.6 produces only the former; recovering the latter is Theorem 8.2.7's own, harder, conditional content), and the general Piecewise Deterministic model of §8.1-8.2 versus the simpler, discrete-state Markov Decision Chain of §8.3, which is a genuinely different structure (sums over a countable state space rather than integrals against a controlled flow), not an instance of the general model specialized after the fact.

Difficulty

The central formalization challenge is representing the continuous-time expected reward Vπ(x)V^\pi(x)Vπ(x) (Eq. (8.2)) faithfully, since the book itself only asserts the existence of a probability space carrying the jump-time/post-jump-state process with a specified conditional law, citing general marked-point-process theory rather than constructing it. This mission builds that probability-space data directly — via Mathlib's conditional expectation, conditioning on the current post-jump state — rather than treating VπV^\piVπ as a bare hypothesis-only quantity, so that Theorem 8.2.1's value-equality claim is a genuine, non-vacuous correspondence between two independently-defined objects (a continuous-time path functional and a discrete-time recursion) rather than true by definitional fiat. A second, compounding difficulty is that the same correspondence must be built twice — once for the general flow-driven process (§8.2) and again, independently, for the discrete-state jump process of the finite-horizon chain (§8.3) — since the two models share no state-space structure. A third difficulty specific to Theorem 8.2.8 is that its Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman verification argument is genuinely differential (a process generator built from a gradient, a self-referential closed-loop control solving its own ODE), unlike every other result in this chapter, which works through the discrete-time embedding alone.

Formalization scope

The book's own topology on the control-function space AAA (the coarsest making certain integrals measurable) and the Young topology on the relaxed-control space RRR (which the book cites as making RRR separable, metric and compact, without reconstructing it) are not rebuilt from scratch; continuity/compactness hypotheses that need a topology on these spaces are stated directly against the pointwise/product topology on the underlying function types, a faithful but representationally simpler stand-in documented in MODERATION_NOTES.md. The embedded kernel Q′Q'Q′ (Eqs. (8.4), (8.7)) is bundled as data satisfying its own defining integral identity rather than literally constructed as a mixture of pushforward measures — a routine but heavy argument that would add no mathematical content beyond the formula itself. This mission's own goal (Theorem 8.2.6) explicitly produces a relaxed-control optimal policy, not a nonrelaxed one: stating it with a UUU-valued policy instead would silently substitute Theorem 8.2.7's strictly harder, conditionally-true conclusion for Theorem 8.2.6's own unconditional one, exactly the trivializing formalization this chapter's own structure warns against.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9.
  • M. H. A. Davis, Markov Models and Optimization, Chapman & Hall, 1993 (the standard reference for Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes, cited by the book for extensions of this chapter's basic model).
  • A. A. Yushkevich, "On reducing a jump controllable Markov model to a model with discrete time", Theory of Probability and its Applications, 1980 (the topology on the control-function space AAA cited by Definition 8.1.1's own construction).
  • H. J. Kushner and P. G. Dupuis, Numerical Methods for Stochastic Control Problems in Continuous Time, 2nd ed., Springer, 2001 (the Young topology and the Chattering Theorem, cited by Remark 8.2.3).
  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, "Optimal control of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with finite time horizon", in Modern Trends of Controlled Stochastic Processes: Theory and Applications, 2010 (cited for the finite-horizon extension of this chapter's model, applied in chunk 09b's Sections 9.3-9.4).
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Convex OptimizationDiscrete GeometryOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis V: The M-Optimality Criterion and the Proximity TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Scaling algorithms are one of the standard techniques for solving discrete optimization problems efficiently: instead of searching a huge integer domain directly, an algorithm first solves a coarsened version of the problem — checking optimality only against neighbors reached by a large step size α\alphaα — and then refines the resulting approximate solution down to the true optimum. This strategy is only as good as the guarantee that a coarse-scale local optimum is provably close to a true, fine-scale global optimum; without such a guarantee, refinement could require an unbounded number of steps. Results providing this guarantee are called proximity theorems, and they are a standard tool across combinatorial optimization, from network flow scaling algorithms to submodular function minimization.

M-convex functions, the subject of this chapter, are exactly the class of discrete convex functions for which the classical local-optimality test of chapter 3 (checking a full neighborhood of up to 3n−13^n-13n−1 sign patterns) sharpens to a much smaller, purely pairwise test: checking f(x)≤f(x−χu+χv)f(x) \le f(x - \chi_u + \chi_v)f(x)≤f(x−χu​+χv​) for every pair of coordinates u,vu, vu,v. This mission formalizes the chapter's central definitional equivalence (Theorem 6.2), this pairwise optimality criterion (Theorem 6.26), a structural minimizer-cut lemma (Theorem 6.28), and the chapter's capstone, the M-proximity theorem (Theorem 6.37) — the result that makes M-convex scaling algorithms provably correct, with an explicit, dimension-and-scale-only distance bound between a coarse-scale local optimum and a true global minimizer.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite ground set. A function f:ZV→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb Z^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}f:ZV→R∪{+∞} with nonempty effective domain dom⁡f\operatorname{dom} fdomf is an M-convex function if it satisfies the exchange axiom (M-EXC[Z]): for x,y∈dom⁡fx, y \in \operatorname{dom} fx,y∈domf and uuu in the positive support of x−yx - yx−y, there is vvv in the negative support of x−yx-yx−y with

f(x)+f(y)≥f(x−χu+χv)+f(y+χu−χv).f(x) + f(y) \ge f(x - \chi_u + \chi_v) + f(y + \chi_u - \chi_v).f(x)+f(y)≥f(x−χu​+χv​)+f(y+χu​−χv​).

An M♮^\natural♮-convex function is one whose lift f~\tilde ff~​ to the extended ground set V~={0}∪V\tilde V = \{0\} \cup VV~={0}∪V — defined by f~(x0,x)=f(x)\tilde f(x_0, x) = f(x)f~​(x0​,x)=f(x) when x0=−x(V)x_0 = -x(V)x0​=−x(V), and +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise — is M-convex; equivalently (Theorem 6.2, below) fff satisfies the axiom (M♮^\natural♮-EXC[Z]), a variant of (M-EXC[Z]) that additionally allows a single-coordinate move (uuu alone, with no compensating vvv). Every M-convex function is M♮^\natural♮-convex, but not conversely. For α\alphaα a positive integer, a point satisfies the scaled local optimality condition at scale α\alphaα if f(xα)≤f(xα+α(χv−χu))f(x_\alpha) \le f(x_\alpha + \alpha(\chi_v - \chi_u))f(xα​)≤f(xα​+α(χv​−χu​)) for all relevant u,vu, vu,v — a check against neighbors α\alphaα steps away rather than adjacent ones.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.37 (the M-proximity theorem)

Assume α\alphaα is a positive integer and n=∣V∣n = |V|n=∣V∣.

(1) f M-convex, f(xα)≤f(xα+α(χv−χu)) ∀u,v  ⟹  ∃x∗∈arg⁡min⁡f, ∥xα−x∗∥∞≤(n−1)(α−1),\text{(1) } f \text{ M-convex, } f(x_\alpha) \le f(x_\alpha + \alpha(\chi_v-\chi_u))\ \forall u,v \implies \exists x^* \in \arg\min f,\ \|x_\alpha - x^*\|_\infty \le (n-1)(\alpha-1),(1) f M-convex, f(xα​)≤f(xα​+α(χv​−χu​)) ∀u,v⟹∃x∗∈argminf, ∥xα​−x∗∥∞​≤(n−1)(α−1), (2) f M♮-convex, same hypothesis over u,v∈V∪{0}  ⟹  ∃x∗∈arg⁡min⁡f, ∥xα−x∗∥∞≤n(α−1).\text{(2) } f \text{ M}^\natural\text{-convex, same hypothesis over } u,v \in V \cup \{0\} \implies \exists x^* \in \arg\min f,\ \|x_\alpha - x^*\|_\infty \le n(\alpha-1).(2) f M♮-convex, same hypothesis over u,v∈V∪{0}⟹∃x∗∈argminf, ∥xα​−x∗∥∞​≤n(α−1).

Both bounds are exact and specific to their hypothesis class; replacing either with an unspecified function of nnn and α\alphaα would discard exactly the content chapter 10's algorithms rely on.

Milestones: Theorems 6.2, 6.26, 6.28

Theorem 6.2: M♮^\natural♮-convexity (defined via the lift) is equivalent to the direct exchange axiom (M♮^\natural♮-EXC[Z]) — the chapter's central definitional theorem, needed to work with M♮^\natural♮-convex functions without repeatedly invoking the lift construction. Theorem 6.26 (the M-optimality criterion): global optimality of fff at xxx is equivalent to a purely pairwise local check, f(x)≤f(x−χu+χv)f(x) \le f(x-\chi_u+\chi_v)f(x)≤f(x−χu​+χv​) for all u,vu,vu,v (plus, in the M♮^\natural♮ case, f(x)≤f(x±χv)f(x) \le f(x\pm\chi_v)f(x)≤f(x±χv​)). Theorem 6.28 (the M-minimizer cut): from any point and any coordinate pair minimizing a one-step exchange, one can certify a coordinate-wise bound that some global minimizer must satisfy — the structural fact underlying both the domain-reduction algorithm and, via the same proof technique, the proximity theorem itself.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 6.26 already sharpens chapter 3's local-to-global criterion (checking a full 3n−13^n-13n−1-point neighborhood) to an O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2)-size pairwise check — the minimum spanning tree optimality criterion is a direct special case. The proximity theorem builds on this to control what happens when the local check is only performed at a coarse scale α\alphaα: it guarantees that scaling-based algorithms, which alternate between coarse-scale local search and scale reduction, terminate with a guaranteed-close approximation at every stage, with an explicit linear-in-nnn, linear-in-α\alphaα error bound rather than a qualitative "eventually converges" guarantee.

Formalizing it. No matching item exists on the platform for M-convex functions, the exchange axiom, or a discrete proximity theorem of this kind. This mission gives the first formal statement of the M-optimality criterion and the M-proximity theorem, together with the exchange-axiom / lift-based-definition equivalence (Theorem 6.2) that the rest of the M-convex function theory (chunks 07, and indirectly 10–14) is built on.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt at Theorem 6.37 is to try a direct coordinatewise argument: since the scaled hypothesis holds for every pair u,vu, vu,v, one might hope to bound ∣xα(v)−x∗(v)∣|x_\alpha(v) - x^*(v)|∣xα​(v)−x∗(v)∣ coordinate by coordinate independently. This does not work, because a single application of the exchange axiom only ever improves fff by trading one coordinate down and one other coordinate up simultaneously — there is no way to move a single coordinate toward a minimizer in isolation without accounting for where the compensating mass goes. The actual proof instead fixes a target coordinate vvv, constructs a chain of strictly decreasing function values y0=xα,y1,…,yky_0 = x_\alpha, y_1, \ldots, y_ky0​=xα​,y1​,…,yk​ by repeatedly applying (M-EXC[Z]) against a fixed near-optimal point x∗x^*x∗ (exactly the technique of Theorem 6.28's proof), and then bounds how far each other coordinate can move along this chain using the scaled hypothesis itself, before summing those bounds via the M-convex domain's hyperplane constraint x(V)=x(V) = x(V)= constant to recover the bound on vvv. The chain construction, not a per-coordinate estimate, is what makes the linear-in-nnn bound provable at all.

Formalization scope

The ground set VVV is a Fintype with DecidableEq; f:ZV→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb Z^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}f:ZV→R∪{+∞} is (V → ℤ) → WithTop ℝ. M♮^\natural♮-convexity is represented via an explicit lift to Option V (none standing for the extended ground set's new element 000), matching the book's own primary definition; the direct exchange-axiom form is a separate predicate related to it by Theorem 6.2, not conflated with it. `‖x_\alpha - x^*|_\infty \le c$ is stated pointwise.

A trivializing formalization of the goal would replace either exact bound, (n−1)(α−1)(n-1)(\alpha-1)(n−1)(α−1) or n(α−1)n(\alpha-1)n(α−1), with an unspecified asymptotic bound, or merge the two hypothesis classes into a single weaker statement; neither is done here. Propositions establishing dom f as an M-convex set, the M/M♮^\natural♮ relationship (Theorem 6.3), and several structural closure properties are cut from this mission's scope (not needed by the chosen items' statements — see MODERATION_NOTES.md) but are natural targets for a follow-on mission or for chunk 07, which builds directly on this chunk's exchange-axiom vocabulary. Contributions building the arg min f M-convexity corollary (Proposition 6.29) or the scaled minimizer cut (Theorem 6.39, the direct generalization of Theorem 6.28 drafted here) are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
  • D. S. Hochbaum, "Lower and upper bounds for the allocation problem and other nonlinear optimization problems," Mathematics of Operations Research, 19(2), 1994, pp. 390–409.
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes XIII: Contracting Infinite-Horizon Markov Decision ModelsTextbook

Motivation

Every mission in this series so far has treated a finite-horizon decision problem: an investor or planner with a fixed, known number of periods left. Many of the most important applications — perpetual investment, an infinitely-repeated inventory or maintenance problem, a firm that never stops operating — have no natural end date at all. Chapter 7 of Bäuerle and Rieder's Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance (Springer, 2011) builds the theory needed to make sense of "the value of a decision problem that never ends," and does so on a general Borel state space rather than a finite one. This mission covers the chapter's first three sections: the general infinite-horizon setup, the semicontinuous existence theory that makes it usable, and the sharper contraction-based theory that is the chapter's, and arguably the whole book's, theoretical center.

Setting

An infinite-horizon Markov Decision Model reuses the same data (E,A,D,Q,r,β)(E,A,D,Q,r,\beta)(E,A,D,Q,r,β) as the finite-horizon models of earlier chapters, but drops the terminal reward and applies a single (possibly randomized) decision rule at every one of infinitely many stages. Its performance criterion, J∞(x):=sup⁡πExπ[∑k=0∞βkr(Xk,fk(Xk))]J_\infty(x) := \sup_\pi \mathbb E^\pi_x\big[\sum_{k=0}^\infty \beta^kr(X_k,f_k(X_k)) \big]J∞​(x):=supπ​Exπ​[∑k=0∞​βkr(Xk​,fk​(Xk​))], is only meaningful once an integrability condition (Assumption (A)) and a convergence condition (Assumption (C)) rule out the sum diverging or the finite-horizon approximations failing to settle down. Both conditions follow automatically once the model has an upper bounding function bbb — a function controlling both the size of the reward and how fast the transition kernel can grow bbb itself — with βαb<1\beta\alpha_b < 1βαb​<1, the manageable special case that covers both the classical bounded-reward discounted case and the case of a non-positive reward.

Formalization targets

The goal, Theorem 7.3.5 (Structure Theorem), is the chapter's capstone: under a genuine bounding function (a two-sided reward bound making the space IBbIB_bIBb​ of finite-weighted-norm functions a Banach space) with βαb<1\beta\alpha_b < 1βαb​<1, and one abstract structural hypothesis — a closed class IM⊂IBbIM \subset IB_bIM⊂IBb​ containing 000, mapped into itself by the Bellman operator TTT, on which a maximizing action always exists — Banach's fixed point theorem delivers existence, uniqueness, an explicit geometric convergence rate for value iteration, and existence of an optimal stationary policy, all at once. The milestones build up to it in three stages: the general infinite-horizon machinery (Lemmas 7.1.4-7.1.5, Theorems 7.1.6-7.1.8 — reward iteration, a verification theorem, and a structure theorem under an abstract structure assumption that is not yet tied to any checkable property of the model); the semicontinuous existence theory that gives primitive, checkable conditions implying that abstract assumption (Theorem 7.2.1 and its two corollaries, including a genuine policy iteration conclusion); and the contracting theory proper (Lemma 7.3.3's contraction estimate, Theorem 7.3.4's sharpened verification theorem, and Theorem 7.3.6's continuous specialization of the goal).

Significance

The goal is the direct, general-Borel-space generalization of what finite-state dynamic programming theorems already on the platform (BertsekasDP.discounted_main_theorem, BertsekasDP.ssp_main_theorem) establish only for a finite state and action space, where Banach's theorem is applied directly on Rn\mathbb R^nRn: this mission's content is that the same conclusions — including the same explicit geometric convergence rate for value iteration — hold on an arbitrary Borel state space, the moment one abstract, structural condition is checked. That condition is not vacuous or automatic: Example 7.2.4 (cited but not itself formalized, being an unnumbered worked counterexample rather than a numbered result) shows that without compactness of the feasible-action correspondence, the naive Structure Assumption of Chapter 2 is not enough and value iteration can converge to the wrong limit (J≠J∞J \ne J_\inftyJ=J∞​). Theorems 7.1.8's Structure Assumption (SA) is built precisely to rule this out, and Theorem 7.2.1's semicontinuity/ compactness conditions are the practical, checkable sufficient conditions for it.

Difficulty

The central formalization challenge is representing J∞πJ_\infty^\piJ∞π​, the genuine infinite-horizon expected discounted reward, without constructing a canonical infinite-horizon path measure from the model's transition kernel — a substantial undertaking the book itself sidesteps by proving (via an appendix result, Theorem B.1.1, not itself reproved here) that J∞πJ_\infty^\piJ∞π​ equals the limit of the finite-horizon truncations JnπJ_n^\piJnπ​. This mission takes that limit characterization as its own definition, via Filter.limsup for the same total, junk-safe reasons this book's series has used throughout (no canonical path measure anywhere in chunks 02a, 05a, 05b, 06). A second, genuinely new difficulty is Ls, the "upper limit of a sequence of sets" that drives every policy-iteration conclusion: it is a statement about accumulation points of a sequence of points, one drawn from each set in the sequence, not the more familiar set-theoretic limsup of a sequence of sets — getting this distinction right is the entire content of what "policy iteration" asserts.

Formalization scope

Every operator, bounding-function class, and value function of §7.1-7.3 is restated (not imported) in this chunk's own namespace from the finite-horizon originals of chunks 02a/02b, adapted to drop the time index and bake the discount into the one-stage operator directly, per this chapter's own presentation. The contracting theory's genuinely real-valued Banach-space objects (Tf′T_f'Tf′​, T′T'T′, IBbIB_bIBb​, the weighted norm ∥⋅∥b\|\cdot\|_b∥⋅∥b​) are kept separate from the general theory's EReal-valued objects (TfT_fTf​, TTT, IM(E)IM(E)IM(E)), matching the book's own distinction between a value function that is a priori only known to avoid +∞+\infty+∞ and one known to be genuinely finite everywhere. Part (d) of the goal — the explicit geometric convergence rate — is stated in full, not weakened to bare qualitative convergence, since a formalization that dropped it would lose exactly the fact (used again by this book's own Theorem 7.5.12, a different chunk) that makes value iteration a genuine numerical method with a computable error bound rather than merely an existence argument.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. II, 4th ed., Athena Scientific, 2012 (the finite-state discounted/SSP theorems this goal generalizes).
  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978 (analytic measurability of J∞J_\inftyJ∞​, JJJ; cited by the book for this chapter's foundational measure-theoretic facts).
  • K. Hinderer, Foundations of Non-stationary Dynamic Programming with Discrete Time Parameter, Lecture Notes in Operations Research and Mathematical Systems 33, Springer, 1970 (Theorem 18.4, cited for the fact that history-dependent policies do not improve on Markov ones).
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stochastic Quasi-Newton Method for Large-Scale Optimization: The Expected Suboptimality Bound of the SQN MethodResearch Paper

Motivation

Training a statistical model by empirical risk minimization means minimizing an average of NNN losses over a parameter vector w∈Rnw\in\mathbb R^nw∈Rn, where both NNN and nnn can be in the millions. Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is the standard method: each step uses the gradient of a small random batch of losses. It is cheap per step but sensitive to the scaling of the problem. Quasi-Newton methods such as L-BFGS correct the scaling in deterministic optimization, but naive stochastic versions are unstable, because differences of noisy gradients are poor curvature estimates.

Byrd, Hansen, Nocedal and Singer (SIAM J. Optim. 26(2), 2016) proposed the stochastic quasi-Newton (SQN) method. It decouples the two estimates: gradients come from small batches at every step, while curvature pairs are formed only every LLL steps, from averaged iterates and subsampled Hessian–vector products. The paper's analysis (Section 3) shows that the method keeps the O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) expected suboptimality rate of SGD on strongly convex problems. The same eigenvalue bound was obtained independently by Mokhtari and Ribeiro (JMLR 16, 2015). Bottou, Curtis and Nocedal later gave a general treatment of such preconditioned stochastic methods (SIAM Review 60(2), 2018).

Setting

Let f1,…,fN:Rn→Rf_1,\dots,f_N:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fN​:Rn→R be twice continuously differentiable losses and

F(w)=1N∑i=1Nfi(w).F(w)=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N f_i(w).F(w)=N1​i=1∑N​fi​(w).

For a sample S⊆{1,…,N}\mathcal S\subseteq\{1,\dots,N\}S⊆{1,…,N} of size bbb, the minibatch gradient is ∇FS(w)=1b∑i∈S∇fi(w)\nabla F_{\mathcal S}(w)=\frac1b\sum_{i\in\mathcal S}\nabla f_i(w)∇FS​(w)=b1​∑i∈S​∇fi​(w). For a sample SH\mathcal S_HSH​ of size bHb_HbH​, the subsampled Hessian is ∇2FSH(w)=1bH∑i∈SH∇2fi(w)\nabla^2F_{\mathcal S_H}(w)=\frac1{b_H}\sum_{i\in\mathcal S_H}\nabla^2 f_i(w)∇2FSH​​(w)=bH​1​∑i∈SH​​∇2fi​(w).

Assumption 1 requires constants 0<λ,Λ0<\lambda,\Lambda0<λ,Λ with λI≺∇2FSH(w)≺ΛI\lambda I\prec\nabla^2F_{\mathcal S_H}(w)\prec\Lambda IλI≺∇2FSH​​(w)≺ΛI for every www and every Hessian sample. It also requires a bound γ2\gamma^2γ2 on the second moment of the stochastic gradient. w∗w^*w∗ denotes the minimizer of FFF.

Algorithm 2 turns correction pairs (sj,yj)(s_j,y_j)(sj​,yj​) into a matrix HtH_tHt​. With m~=min⁡{t,M}\tilde m=\min\{t,M\}m~=min{t,M}, it starts from stTytytTytI\frac{s_t^Ty_t}{y_t^Ty_t}IytT​yt​stT​yt​​I and applies the BFGS update

H←(I−ρjsjyjT)H(I−ρjyjsjT)+ρjsjsjT,ρj=1yjTsj,H\leftarrow(I-\rho_js_jy_j^T)H(I-\rho_jy_js_j^T)+\rho_js_js_j^T,\qquad\rho_j=\frac1{y_j^Ts_j},H←(I−ρj​sj​yjT​)H(I−ρj​yj​sjT​)+ρj​sj​sjT​,ρj​=yjT​sj​1​,

for j=t−m~+1,…,tj=t-\tilde m+1,\dots,tj=t−m~+1,…,t.

Algorithm 1 (SQN) runs for k=1,2,…k=1,2,\dotsk=1,2,…. It draws a gradient sample Sk\mathcal S_kSk​ and steps

wk+1=wk−αkH∇FSk(wk),w^{k+1}=w^k-\alpha^kH\nabla F_{\mathcal S_k}(w^k),wk+1=wk−αkH∇FSk​​(wk),

where H=IH=IH=I for k≤2Lk\le2Lk≤2L and H=HtH=H_tH=Ht​, t=⌊(k−1)/L⌋−1t=\lfloor(k-1)/L\rfloor-1t=⌊(k−1)/L⌋−1, afterwards. Every LLL iterations it forms the block average wˉt\bar w_twˉt​ of the last LLL iterates and a new pair

st=wˉt−wˉt−1,yt=∇2FSH,t(wˉt) st.s_t=\bar w_t-\bar w_{t-1},\qquad y_t=\nabla^2F_{\mathcal S_{H,t}}(\bar w_t)\,s_t .st​=wˉt​−wˉt−1​,yt​=∇2FSH,t​​(wˉt​)st​.

Samples are drawn independently and uniformly among the subsets of their size. The step length is αk=β/k\alpha^k=\beta/kαk=β/k.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 3.3, with a corrected constant

There are 0<μ1≤μ20<\mu_1\le\mu_20<μ1​≤μ2​, depending only on the problem data, such that every matrix Algorithm 1 applies satisfies μ1I≺H≺μ2I\mu_1I\prec H\prec\mu_2Iμ1​I≺H≺μ2​I. Moreover, for every β>1/(2μ1λ)\beta>1/(2\mu_1\lambda)β>1/(2μ1​λ),

E[F(wk)−F(w∗)]≤Qc(β)k(k≥1),E[F(w^k)-F(w^*)]\le\frac{Q_c(\beta)}k\qquad(k\ge1),E[F(wk)−F(w∗)]≤kQc​(β)​(k≥1), Qc(β)=max⁡{Λμ22β2γ22(2μ1λβ−1), Λμ22β2γ2, F(w1)−F(w∗)}.Q_c(\beta)=\max\Big\{\frac{\Lambda\mu_2^2\beta^2\gamma^2}{2(2\mu_1\lambda\beta-1)},\ \Lambda\mu_2^2\beta^2\gamma^2,\ F(w^1)-F(w^*)\Big\}.Qc​(β)=max{2(2μ1​λβ−1)Λμ22​β2γ2​, Λμ22​β2γ2, F(w1)−F(w∗)}.

The constants μ1,μ2\mu_1,\mu_2μ1​,μ2​ are not fixed numerically. The goal asserts a rate of order 1/k1/k1/k with an explicit constant in terms of them.

Milestones

  • (3.8)–(3.10): the curvature bounds λ∥s∥2≤yTs≤Λ∥s∥2\lambda\|s\|^2\le y^Ts\le\Lambda\|s\|^2λ∥s∥2≤yTs≤Λ∥s∥2 and λ≤∥y∥2/yTs≤Λ\lambda\le\|y\|^2/y^Ts\le\Lambdaλ≤∥y∥2/yTs≤Λ for Hessian-product pairs.
  • (3.11) and (3.12): the trace bound and Powell's determinant formula for the direct L-BFGS matrices.
  • Lemma 3.1: μ1I≺Ht≺μ2I\mu_1I\prec H_t\prec\mu_2Iμ1​I≺Ht​≺μ2​I uniformly along every run.
  • (3.18): expected descent for the general Newton-like iteration wk+1=wk−αkHk∇f(wk,ξk)w^{k+1}=w^k-\alpha^kH_k\nabla f(w^k,\xi^k)wk+1=wk−αkHk​∇f(wk,ξk).
  • (3.19): 2λ[F(w)−F(w∗)]≤∥∇F(w)∥22\lambda[F(w)-F(w^*)]\le\|\nabla F(w)\|^22λ[F(w)−F(w∗)]≤∥∇F(w)∥2.
  • (3.22): the recursion ϕk+1≤(1−2αkμ1λ)ϕk+Λ2(αkμ2)2γ2\phi_{k+1}\le(1-2\alpha^k\mu_1\lambda)\phi_k+\frac\Lambda2(\alpha^k\mu_2)^2\gamma^2ϕk+1​≤(1−2αkμ1​λ)ϕk​+2Λ​(αkμ2​)2γ2.
  • Theorem 3.2: the Qc(β)/kQ_c(\beta)/kQc​(β)/k rate for the Newton-like iteration.

Significance

The corollary says that curvature information costs nothing in rate. With uniformly bounded preconditioners and the β/k\beta/kβ/k schedule, the SQN method converges in expectation at the same order as SGD, which is the order known to be optimal for this class of problems. Lemma 3.1 is the reusable part: it holds for any L-BFGS matrix built from pairs whose curvature is controlled by a bounded Hessian. Theorem 3.2 applies to every stochastic method whose preconditioner is fixed before the sample is drawn and has uniformly bounded spectrum.

The formalization adds three things. First, it states the result correctly. As printed, Theorem 3.2 is false and Assumption 1(3) cannot be satisfied (see Formalization scope), and the mission states and labels the repaired versions. Second, it gives a machine-checked statement of the SQN algorithm itself, which is not currently formalized anywhere. Third, it provides L-BFGS and preconditioned-SGD infrastructure that later missions on stochastic second-order methods can reuse. To our knowledge none of these results has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The natural first idea is to feed the iterates of Algorithm 1 to a standard SGD rate theorem. This fails for two reasons. The preconditioner HtH_tHt​ depends on the past iterates and on independent Hessian samples, so the analysis needs a filtration in which HtH_tHt​ is known before the gradient sample is drawn. Also, the rate proof itself is an induction that breaks in the first iterations, which is exactly where the printed argument goes wrong.

On the linear-algebra side, the difficulty is a lower bound on the smallest eigenvalue of HtH_tHt​ that is uniform over all runs and all ttt. The curvature bounds on each individual pair do not give it directly, because the BFGS updates compound across the memory window. The expectation side needs conditional expectations of vector-valued functions and a descent inequality under a Hessian bound, neither of which Mathlib packages for this setting.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ acting through Matrix.toEuclideanLin, and A≺BA\prec BA≺B is (B - A).PosDef. Hessians are fderiv ℝ (gradient f) w. Indices k,tk,tk,t start at 111 as in the paper. In the corollary, EEE is an exact finite average over sample histories, and "almost surely" means "on every history". Theorem 3.2 uses a general probability space with a filtration. HkH_kHk​ and wkw^kwk are Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-measurable, the sample ξk\xi^kξk is Fk+1\mathcal F_{k+1}Fk+1​-measurable, and unbiasedness is a conditional expectation. Integrability of F(wk)F(w^k)F(wk) is part of each conclusion, so a junk-zero integral cannot satisfy it.

Two corrections to the paper, each labelled in the item titles and notes:

  • Iterate-wise γ\gammaγ. Assumption 1(3) says Eξ∥∇f(w,ξ)∥2≤γ2E_\xi\|\nabla f(w,\xi)\|^2\le\gamma^2Eξ​∥∇f(w,ξ)∥2≤γ2 for all www. Together with unbiasedness and λ\lambdaλ-strong convexity on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, this forces λ∥w−w∗∥≤∥∇F(w)∥≤γ\lambda\|w-w^*\|\le\|\nabla F(w)\|\le\gammaλ∥w−w∗∥≤∥∇F(w)∥≤γ for every www, which is impossible. The mission imposes the bound at the iterates, conditionally on the past, which is how the proof uses it.
  • Constant Qc(β)Q_c(\beta)Qc​(β). The induction after (3.22) multiplies by 1−2βμ1λ/k1-2\beta\mu_1\lambda/k1−2βμ1​λ/k, which is negative for k<2βμ1λk<2\beta\mu_1\lambdak<2βμ1​λ. Counterexample: n=1n=1n=1, f1,2(w)=(w∓1)2/2f_{1,2}(w)=(w\mp1)^2/2f1,2​(w)=(w∓1)2/2, Hk=IH_k=IHk​=I, w1=0w^1=0w1=0, β=2\beta=2β=2, γ2=5\gamma^2=5γ2=5. Then F(w2)−F(w∗)=2>Q(2)/2=5/3F(w^2)-F(w^*)=2>Q(2)/2=5/3F(w2)−F(w∗)=2>Q(2)/2=5/3, and the example survives perturbing the constants so that every strict inequality holds. The middle entry of QcQ_cQc​ repairs it, and Qc=QQ_c=QQc​=Q whenever 2μ1λβ≤3/22\mu_1\lambda\beta\le3/22μ1​λβ≤3/2.

Smaller conventions:

  • The pairs must satisfy st≠0s_t\neq0st​=0, since Algorithm 2 is undefined otherwise.
  • Hessian samples have size bH≥1b_H\ge1bH​≥1; the empty sample makes (2.3) a 0/00/00/0.
  • The corollary's undefined μ2\mu_2μ2​ is Lemma 3.1's constant, enlarged together with μ1\mu_1μ1​ to cover the initial H=IH=IH=I steps.
  • The block average of Algorithm 1 is used, not Eq. (2.1).

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: HtH_tHt​ is Algorithm 2 applied to Algorithm 1's own pairs, not an arbitrary bounded matrix, and the second-moment bound is not imposed for all www.

Needed infrastructure, all welcome as contributions: the symmetry and spectral bounds of Hessians of C2C^2C2 functions, trace and determinant identities for BFGS updates, the descent lemma from a Hessian upper bound, conditional-expectation manipulations for adapted iterations, and the reduction of Algorithm 1 with uniform finite sampling to the abstract iteration.

Selected references

  • R. H. Byrd, S. L. Hansen, J. Nocedal, Y. Singer, A Stochastic Quasi-Newton Method for Large-Scale Optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 26(2):1008–1031, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1137/140954362
  • A. Mokhtari, A. Ribeiro, Global Convergence of Online Limited Memory BFGS, J. Mach. Learn. Res. 16:3151–3181, 2015. https://jmlr.org/papers/v16/mokhtari15a.html
  • L. Bottou, F. E. Curtis, J. Nocedal, Optimization Methods for Large-Scale Machine Learning, SIAM Review 60(2):223–311, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1080173
  • A. Nemirovski, A. Juditsky, G. Lan, A. Shapiro, Robust Stochastic Approximation Approach to Stochastic Programming, SIAM J. Optim. 19(4):1574–1609, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/070704277
  • M. J. D. Powell, Some global convergence properties of a variable metric algorithm for minimization without exact line searches, in Nonlinear Programming, SIAM-AMS Proc. IX, 1976, pp. 53–72.
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Markov Decision Processes XII: Terminal Wealth and Mean-Variance under Partial ObservationTextbook

Motivation

Every portfolio-choice model treated so far in this series assumes the investor knows the exact law governing the market's returns. Real investors do not: the drift of a stock, the regime a market is in, or the probability of an up-move in a simplified binomial model is itself uncertain and must be learned from the very prices being observed. Bäuerle and Rieder's Chapter 6 (Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Springer, 2011) is the book's synthesis of two threads developed separately earlier: Chapter 5's reduction of a partially observable decision problem to an ordinary one on an enlarged "belief" state space, and Chapter 4's classical solutions of terminal-wealth utility maximization and dynamic mean-variance portfolio choice. Combining them answers a natural question with no simple a priori answer: how does not knowing which market you are in change the qualitatively optimal way to invest, and can the closed-form solutions of the fully-observed theory be recovered, term for term, once the unknown factor is replaced by a belief about it?

Setting

The market has an unobservable factor Y (state space E_Y) driving the vector of relative risks Z ∈ ℝ^d of d risky assets: given Y_n = y, the next return Z_{n+1} has a density q_R(y,\cdot), and Y itself evolves via its own transition density q_Y(y,\cdot), jointly — crucially, this joint law depends only on y, never on wealth or the action taken. An investor observes only the stock prices (equivalently, the return history), never Y itself. Bayes' rule turns this into a filtering problem: the investor's belief ρ_n \in \mathbb P(E_Y) about the current factor is updated one return at a time by an operator Φ(ρ,z) that depends only on the current belief and the newly observed return — a genuine simplification of Chapter 5's general Bayes operator, forced by the market's own structure. The pair (x_n,ρ_n) — observable wealth and current belief — is then an ordinary, fully observed state for an ordinary Markov Decision Model, and every value function and optimal policy of this chapter lives on that enlarged state space.

Formalization targets

The goal, Theorem 6.2.3, solves the dynamic mean-variance problem (MV): minimize the variance of terminal wealth X_N subject to a target expectation \mathbb E[X_N] \ge \mu, under partial observation. It is reached by a Lagrangian embedding into an auxiliary quadratic-loss problem QP(b), solved explicitly in Theorem 6.2.2, whose value function factors as ((xS^0_N/S^0_n)-b)^2 d_n(\rho) for a belief-only sequence (d_n) satisfying the backward recursion (6.7); Lemma 6.2.1 shows this sequence always lies strictly between 0 and 1, which is exactly what makes the final variance formula and Lagrange multiplier well-posed. The remaining milestones develop the parallel terminal-wealth theory of §6.1: the general structure theorem (Theorem 6.1.1), its power- and logarithmic-utility closed forms (Theorems 6.1.2, 6.1.7), and — for the specific binomial market with an unknown up-probability — a likelihood-ratio monotonicity result for the filter update (Lemma 6.1.4) and a comparison between the partially and completely observed optimal investment fractions (Theorem 6.1.5).

Significance

The chapter's organizing insight is that partial observation does not require a new theory: once the belief is added as a state coordinate, every general result already proved for fully observed Markov Decision Models — the Bellman equation, the existence of optimal Markov policies, the Lagrangian embedding technique for mean-variance problems — applies unchanged. What is genuinely new, and genuinely non-trivial, is checking that the reduced model inherits the structural hypotheses (monotonicity, boundedness, positive-definiteness of covariance matrices) those general theorems require, expressed now as conditions on the belief-indexed quantities Φ(ρ,z), d_n(\rho), \ell_n(\rho), C_n(\rho) rather than on the original, unobserved factor. Theorem 6.1.5's comparison result is a genuinely new phenomenon with no fully-observed analogue at all: it quantifies, in the two opposite directions dictated by the sign of the risk-aversion parameter γ, how residual uncertainty about the market itself changes the qualitatively optimal amount to invest — the discrete-time analogue of a continuous-time result in the literature this book cites (Sass and Haussmann 2004).

Difficulty

The recurring difficulty across every result in this mission is that the reduced model's state space E_X \times \mathbb P(E_Y) includes a space of probability measures as one coordinate, and every quantity that must be shown well-defined, monotone, or bounded is a functional on that space, not a function on a concrete Euclidean set. Formalizing the mean-variance recursion (6.7) in particular is a three-way mutual computation — a scalar d_n(\rho), a vector \ell_n(\rho), and a matrix C_n(\rho), each an integral against the same belief-dependent predictive law of the next return, each feeding the next stage's version of all three — where Lemma 6.2.1's strict-inequality bound is not a bookkeeping detail but exactly the fact that keeps C_n(\rho) invertible and the whole construction from breaking down. Theorem 6.2.3 itself is the hardest single step: verifying that the specific constant b^* the Lagrangian method selects makes the mean constraint bind at exact equality, and that the resulting variance is the true constrained minimum (not merely a feasible value), is exactly the non-trivial content a superficial restatement of Theorem 6.2.2 at an unspecified b would silently discard.

Formalization scope

Every value function of this chapter — the terminal-wealth maximization of §6.1, the quadratic loss QP(b) and the mean-variance problem (MV) of §6.2 — is built from one shared history-dependent value-function scaffold, parametrized by its terminal payoff (the utility U, a quadratic loss, or the raw first/second moment), its rate sequence (constant in §6.1, non-stationary in §6.2), and its feasible-action correspondence, rather than four separately re-derived constructions. Optimal fractions in the binomial sub-model (Lemma 6.1.4, Theorem 6.1.5) are characterized as any maximizer of the relevant one-step concave problem rather than through the closed-form solution the book's own proof derives via machinery from a different, unavailable chunk (Lemma 4.2.9) — the comparison and monotonicity results proved here are facts about any such maximizer, not about that specific formula. A formalization that assumed the reduced model's filter update or covariance structure directly, rather than deriving it from the market's own return and factor densities via the Bayes operator Φ, would trivialize every result in this mission; none of the items here take that shortcut.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9.
  • R. Sass and U. G. Haussmann, "Optimizing trading strategies with respect to drawdown in the hidden Markov model," Statistics & Decisions, 2004.
  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, "Portfolio optimization with unobservable Markov-modulated drift process," Journal of Applied Probability, 2007.
  • V. Runggaldier, W. Trivellato, and T. Vargiolu, "A Bayesian adaptive control approach to parameter estimation and optimal portfolio selection," in Mathematical Finance, Trends in Mathematics, Birkhäuser, 2002 (the binomial-market source this chapter's §6.1 example specializes).
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Discrete Convex Analysis IV: Discrete Separation for L-Convex SetsTextbook

Motivation

The classical separating hyperplane theorem says that any two disjoint convex sets in Rn\mathbb R^nRn can be separated by a hyperplane with an arbitrary real normal vector. When the sets in question are not arbitrary convex sets but the integer points of specially structured discrete sets, one can sometimes ask for much more: not merely that a separator exists, but that it can be chosen from a small, structured, dimension-independent family regardless of the size or shape of the sets being separated. Results of this kind — "discrete separation theorems" — are a recurring and often surprising theme in combinatorial optimization, playing the role that the ordinary separation theorem plays in continuous convex analysis, but with genuinely combinatorial content beyond it.

L-convex sets, introduced by Murota as part of the discrete convex analysis framework, are one of the two dual families of well-behaved discrete convex sets studied in the book (the other being M-convex sets, chunk 04 of this series). They are defined by a lattice-closure axiom together with translation invariance, and they correspond one-to-one to integer-valued distance functions satisfying the triangle inequality — objects long familiar from network flow theory and shortest-path duality, even though the L-convexity terminology is not traditionally used there. This mission formalizes the chapter's central results, culminating in Theorem 5.9: two disjoint L-convex sets can always be separated by a vector with entries in {−1,0,1}\{-1, 0, 1\}{−1,0,1}, no matter how large or complicated the sets are.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite ground set. A nonempty set D⊆ZVD \subseteq \mathbb Z^VD⊆ZV is an L-convex set if it satisfies the sublattice axiom (SBS[Z]) — p,q∈D  ⟹  p∨q, p∧q∈Dp, q \in D \implies p \vee q,\ p \wedge q \in Dp,q∈D⟹p∨q, p∧q∈D, where ∨,∧\vee, \wedge∨,∧ are componentwise maximum and minimum — and the translation axiom (TRS[Z]) — p∈D  ⟹  p±1∈Dp \in D \implies p \pm \mathbf 1 \in Dp∈D⟹p±1∈D, where 1\mathbf 11 is the all-ones vector. A distance function γ:V×V→R∪{+∞}\gamma : V \times V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}γ:V×V→R∪{+∞} satisfies γ(v,v)=0\gamma(v,v) = 0γ(v,v)=0 for every vvv; it satisfies the triangle inequality if γ(v1,v2)+γ(v2,v3)≥γ(v1,v3)\gamma(v_1,v_2) + \gamma(v_2,v_3) \ge \gamma(v_1,v_3)γ(v1​,v2​)+γ(v2​,v3​)≥γ(v1​,v3​) for all v1,v2,v3v_1, v_2, v_3v1​,v2​,v3​. The admissible-potential polyhedron of γ\gammaγ is

D(γ)={p∈RV:p(v)−p(u)≤γ(u,v) (∀u≠v)}.D(\gamma) = \{p \in \mathbb R^V : p(v) - p(u) \le \gamma(u,v)\ (\forall u \ne v)\}.D(γ)={p∈RV:p(v)−p(u)≤γ(u,v) (∀u=v)}.

The convex hull of a discrete set D⊆ZVD \subseteq \mathbb Z^VD⊆ZV is written Dˉ⊆RV\bar D \subseteq \mathbb R^VDˉ⊆RV.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.9 (discrete separation for L-convex sets)

If D1,D2⊆ZVD_1, D_2 \subseteq \mathbb Z^VD1​,D2​⊆ZV are disjoint L-convex sets, there exists x∗∈{−1,0,1}Vx^* \in \{-1,0,1\}^Vx∗∈{−1,0,1}V such that

inf⁡{⟨p,x∗⟩:p∈D1}−sup⁡{⟨p,x∗⟩:p∈D2}≥1.\inf\{\langle p, x^*\rangle : p \in D_1\} - \sup\{\langle p, x^*\rangle : p \in D_2\} \ge 1.inf{⟨p,x∗⟩:p∈D1​}−sup{⟨p,x∗⟩:p∈D2​}≥1.

Dropping the {−1,0,1}V\{-1,0,1\}^V{−1,0,1}V restriction and allowing an arbitrary real separator would recover the classical separation theorem for convex sets, which holds regardless of L-convexity and carries no discrete-convexity content; the three-valued restriction is the weakest correct strengthening and is kept in full.

Milestones: Theorems 5.2, 5.5, 5.7

Theorem 5.2: an L-convex set is hole free (D=Dˉ∩ZVD = \bar D \cap \mathbb Z^VD=Dˉ∩ZV) — its integer points are exactly the integer points of its own convex hull. Theorem 5.5: DDD is L-convex if and only if D=D(γ)∩ZVD = D(\gamma) \cap \mathbb Z^VD=D(γ)∩ZV for some integer-valued distance function γ\gammaγ satisfying the triangle inequality — L-convex sets and such distance functions are two descriptions of the same object, the discrete analogue of chunk 04's M-convex-set / submodular- function correspondence. Theorem 5.7 (parts (1), (4)): L-convex sets are closed under intersection in the strongest sense — the convex hulls intersect exactly where the sets do, and a nonempty intersection of L-convex sets is again L-convex.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 5.9 packs two claims into one, as the book itself points out: the separator is forced into {−1,0,1}V\{-1,0,1\}^V{−1,0,1}V (explicit in the statement), and disjoint L-convex sets satisfy "convexity in intersection" — their convex hulls are already disjoint whenever the sets themselves are (implicit, and necessary for the stated inequality to be possible at all). The {−1,0,1}\{-1,0,1\}{−1,0,1} structure connects directly to combinatorial duality in network flows: L-convex polyhedra are, without the name, a familiar object there, and a {−1,0,1}\{-1,0,1\}{−1,0,1}-separator corresponds to a signed cut or a negative-cost cycle in an associated graph. Theorem 5.5's correspondence is the L-convex mirror of chunk 04's M-convex/submodular correspondence, and the book explicitly flags that the two will be unified into a single conjugacy relationship in a later chapter (Note 5.6) — this mission's formalization of the L-side is a prerequisite for that later unification.

Formalizing it. No matching item exists on the platform (searches for "L-convex", "distance function", and "negative cycle" return only unrelated results — number-theoretic distance estimates, polytope graph metrics, shortest-path graph structures — none matching the combinatorial L-convexity/discrete-separation content here). This mission gives the first formal statement of L-convex sets and their central separation theorem. Notably, Theorem 5.9's own statement — unlike the analogous M-convex Theorem 4.18 — needs none of the distance-function machinery that its proof uses; only the L-convexity axiom itself appears in the goal, making its formal statement comparatively lean even though the underlying mathematics is just as deep.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt at Theorem 5.9 is to try to construct x∗x^*x∗ directly from the structure of D1,D2D_1, D_2D1​,D2​ — for instance, from a normal vector to a real separating hyperplane, rounded coordinatewise. This does not work: rounding an arbitrary real separator gives no control over its entries, and there is no reason a rounded vector should still separate. The book's actual proof instead represents D1,D2D_1, D_2D1​,D2​ via distance functions γ1,γ2\gamma_1, \gamma_2γ1​,γ2​ (Theorem 5.5), combines them into γ12=min⁡(γ1,γ2)\gamma_{12} = \min(\gamma_1, \gamma_2)γ12​=min(γ1​,γ2​), and extracts the separator from a shortest negative cycle in the associated graph: the vertices of the cycle alternate between the two sets' "tight" arcs, and the alternating ±1\pm 1±1 pattern around the cycle is exactly the {−1,0,1}\{-1,0,1\}{−1,0,1} vector x∗x^*x∗ — with the cycle's negativity translating directly into the required gap of at least 111. Locating the right combinatorial object (a shortest negative cycle, not an arbitrary one) is what pins the separator down to a vector supported on a single alternating cycle rather than an arbitrary {−1,0,1}\{-1,0,1\}{−1,0,1} pattern, and is the step a naive rounding or linear-algebra argument has no analogue of.

Formalization scope

The ground set VVV is a Fintype with DecidableEq; D⊆ZVD \subseteq \mathbb Z^VD⊆ZV is a Set (V → ℤ). Distance functions take values in WithTop ℝ; the goal's infimum and supremum are taken in EReal (a complete lattice), since L-convex sets are always infinite (translation invariance along the all-ones direction), so an ℝ-valued supremum/infimum would silently return a junk value on an unbounded set. The conclusion is stated as sup⁡D2⟨p,x∗⟩+1≤inf⁡D1⟨p,x∗⟩\sup_{D_2}\langle p,x^*\rangle + 1 \le \inf_{D_1}\langle p,x^*\ranglesupD2​​⟨p,x∗⟩+1≤infD1​​⟨p,x∗⟩, an addition-based reformulation of the book's subtraction inequality that avoids EReal's ⊤ - ⊤ ambiguity while remaining equivalent whenever both sides are finite.

A trivializing formalization of the goal would drop the {−1,0,1}V\{-1,0,1\}^V{−1,0,1}V constraint on x∗x^*x∗ (recovering the classical, L-convexity-independent separation theorem) or fix a single coordinate pattern rather than asserting existence over the full three-valued family; neither is done here. Theorem 5.5 is stated existentially rather than via the book's named bijection Φ,Ψ\Phi, \PsiΦ,Ψ (a documented scope reduction, parallel to chunk 04's treatment of Theorem 4.15), and Theorem 5.7 is drafted with only its two representation-independent clauses (parts (1) and (4); see MODERATION_NOTES.md). Contributions building the distance-function/admissible- potential apparatus needed for Theorem 5.7's remaining clauses, or the L-convex/integrally-convex bridge (Theorem 5.10, needing chunk 03's vocabulary), are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
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Markov Decision Processes XI: Bayesian Decision Models and Finite-Horizon BanditsTextbook

Motivation

A decision maker who does not know the true parameters of the system they are controlling — the success probability of a slot machine, the drift of an asset, the failure rate of a machine — faces a genuinely different problem from one who knows them: every action taken has two effects, an immediate payoff and a change in what is known. Formalizing this "explore versus exploit" tension precisely is the subject of Bayesian sequential decision theory, whose best-known instance is the multi-armed bandit problem (Robbins, 1952; Gittins and Jones, 1974). Bäuerle and Rieder's treatment (Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Springer, 2011, Chapter 5) gives the finite-horizon Bayesian theory its cleanest general form: rather than analyzing each bandit variant from scratch, it builds one reduction — from a Markov Decision Model with an unknown parameter to an ordinary, fully observed Markov Decision Model on an enlarged "information state" — and one structural theorem that turns primitive monotonicity hypotheses on the original ingredients into monotonicity of the optimal policy in the information state. Two classical finite-horizon bandit results (Theorems 5.5.1, 5.5.2) then follow as applications, not separate proofs.

Setting

A Bayesian Model is a Markov Decision Model whose unobservable component is a single, never-changing, unknown parameter θ\thetaθ, drawn once from a prior distribution Q0Q_0Q0​ on a parameter space Θ\ThetaΘ. Concretely: an observable state space EXE_XEX​, an action space AAA, a disturbance space ZZZ with reference measure ν\nuν, a feasible set D⊆EX×AD \subseteq E_X \times AD⊆EX​×A, a deterministic transition TX:EX×A×Z→EXT^X : E_X \times A \times Z \to E_XTX:EX​×A×Z→EX​, a disturbance density qZ(x,θ,a,z)q_Z(x,\theta,a,z)qZ​(x,θ,a,z), a reward r(x,θ,a)r(x,\theta,a)r(x,θ,a), a terminal reward g(x,θ)g(x,\theta)g(x,θ), and a discount β∈(0,1]\beta \in (0,1]β∈(0,1].

Because θ\thetaθ is never observed directly, the decision maker's state of knowledge at stage nnn is the posterior μn(⋅∣h~n)\mu_n(\cdot \mid \tilde h_n)μn​(⋅∣h~n​), the conditional law of θ\thetaθ given the full observable history h~n=(x0,a0,z1,…,xn)\tilde h_n = (x_0,a_0,z_1,\dots,x_n)h~n​=(x0​,a0​,z1​,…,xn​). Bayes' rule updates this posterior one disturbance at a time; unrolling the update gives μn\mu_nμn​ an explicit closed form as a product of likelihoods against the prior (Lemma 5.4.1), and the process μn(C∣⋅)\mu_n(C\mid \cdot)μn​(C∣⋅), for any fixed event CCC, is a martingale (Lemma 5.4.2) — it is, after all, a sequence of conditional expectations of the same random variable 1θ∈C\mathbf 1_{\theta \in C}1θ∈C​ against a refining amount of information.

Often the whole posterior is not needed to act optimally: a sufficient statistic tnt_ntn​ compresses h~n\tilde h_nh~n​ into a value in some space III from which μn\mu_nμn​ can still be recovered, and it is sequential if tn+1t_{n+1}tn+1​ updates from only (xn,tn,an,zn+1)(x_n, t_n, a_n, z_{n+1})(xn​,tn​,an​,zn+1​). Given a sequential sufficient statistic, the information-based Markov Decision Model replaces the never-observed θ\thetaθ by the always-computable tnt_ntn​ as the second state coordinate, giving an ordinary Markov Decision Model on EX×IE_X \times IEX​×I whose reward, terminal reward, and transition law are the original ones averaged against the current posterior μ^(⋅∣i)\hat\mu(\cdot\mid i)μ^​(⋅∣i).

Formalization targets

Theorem 5.4.10.Given: D(⋅) increasing; qZ(⋅∣θ,a)≤lrqZ(⋅∣θ′,a) for θ≤θ′; (x,z)↦TX(x,a,z),(θ,x)↦r(θ,x,a), (θ,x)↦g(θ,x) increasing; every increasing v∈IBb+ has a maximizer in Δ.Then: IM:={v∈IBb+∣v increasing} and Δ satisfy the Structure Assumption.\textbf{Theorem 5.4.10.} \quad \begin{aligned} &\text{Given: } D(\cdot) \text{ increasing; } q_Z(\cdot\mid\theta,a) \le_{lr} q_Z(\cdot\mid\theta',a) \text{ for } \theta \le \theta'\text{; } (x,z)\mapsto T^X(x,a,z),\\ &(\theta,x)\mapsto r(\theta,x,a),\ (\theta,x)\mapsto g(\theta,x) \text{ increasing; every increasing } v \in IB_b^+ \text{ has a maximizer in } \Delta.\\ &\text{Then: } IM := \{v \in IB_b^+ \mid v \text{ increasing}\} \text{ and } \Delta \text{ satisfy the Structure Assumption.} \end{aligned}Theorem 5.4.10.​Given: D(⋅) increasing; qZ​(⋅∣θ,a)≤lr​qZ​(⋅∣θ′,a) for θ≤θ′; (x,z)↦TX(x,a,z),(θ,x)↦r(θ,x,a), (θ,x)↦g(θ,x) increasing; every increasing v∈IBb+​ has a maximizer in Δ.Then: IM:={v∈IBb+​∣v increasing} and Δ satisfy the Structure Assumption.​

This is the weakest, most reusable form of the result: it names exactly the primitive hypotheses on the original model's ingredients under which the reduced model's Bellman equation holds and its value function and an optimal policy are monotone in the information state — without fixing which bandit or estimation problem those ingredients come from. Theorems 5.5.1 and 5.5.2 are downstream applications kept as milestones, not additional goals: proving the general theorem subsumes verifying its hypotheses in each concrete case.

Significance

Every one of the classical finite-horizon two-armed-bandit results — "switch to the arm with higher posterior mean once the advantage function is nonnegative," "never abandon a winning arm," "once you commit to the known arm, never leave it" — is, in this book's organization, a one-page corollary of Theorem 5.4.10 plus a routine (if occasionally fiddly) check of its five hypotheses on a two- or four-dimensional concrete state space. The theorem is what makes the qualitative behavior of an optimal bandit policy provable in general, rather than re-derived by induction for each new bandit variant.

Formalizing it also isolates, in one place, exactly which comparison of distributions (likelihood-ratio order, not the weaker stochastic order) makes the reduction go through, and exactly which practically checkable joint-density condition (MTP2) implies it (Lemma 5.4.9) — a genuinely reusable piece of probability theory beyond Markov decision theory.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea — "the information state's order is defined via the likelihood ratio order on posteriors, so just check the transition kernel is stochastically monotone and invoke the general increasing-model theorem of Chapter 2" — hides the actual difficulty: the state space of the reduced model is EX×IE_X \times IEX​×I, and III is itself a space of posterior distributions, so "the transition kernel is monotone" is a statement about how the whole posterior moves when a new observation arrives, not a fact about EXE_XEX​ alone. The crux is showing that the sequential-sufficient-statistic update Φ^\hat\PhiΦ^ is jointly increasing in the current information state and the new disturbance — and this is exactly where Lemma 5.4.9's MTP2 characterization does the real work: MTP2 of the disturbance density in (z,θ)(z,\theta)(z,θ) is what turns "a good disturbance is more likely under a good θ\thetaθ" into "an increasing information state produces an increasing posterior update," without which the hypotheses on DDD, TXT^XTX, rrr, ggg alone would not propagate to the enlarged state space at all.

Formalization scope

The Bayesian Model, its posterior, and the information-based model are formalized as they are introduced in the book: BayesModel bundles the primitive data (disturbance density, prior, reward, discount); Posterior bundles the filter (μn)(\mu_n)(μn​) as data satisfying its defining one-step Bayes update, rather than constructed from a canonical probability space, matching how MDPFinance.POMDP.FilterData (chunk 05a) treats the general Bayes operator; the Structure Assumption, Bellman operators, and bounding-function machinery of Chapter 2 are restated specialized to the stationary form the information-based model needs. "Θ,Z⊆R\Theta, Z \subseteq \mathbb RΘ,Z⊆R" and "qZq_ZqZ​ independent of xxx" (the "Monotonicity Results" subsection's own standing simplifications) are carried as explicit hypotheses of Lemma 5.4.9 and the goal, not silently dropped. A formalization that merely assumed the reduced model's disturbance kernel monotone, rather than deriving it via Lemma 5.4.9 from the checkable hypothesis on qZq_ZqZ​, would trivialize the theorem; this one keeps hypothesis (ii) exactly as the book states it. The two bandit applications (Theorems 5.5.1, 5.5.2) are formalized as self-contained concrete finite (countable-state, finite-action) Markov Decision Models, since the book itself reduces them to explicit recursions before stating the results — no general measure-theoretic machinery is needed there. Reusable beyond this mission: the likelihood-ratio order and MTP2 definitions (LikelihoodRatioOrder, IsMTP2), applicable to any Bayesian comparison result.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9.
  • H. Robbins, "Some aspects of the sequential design of experiments," Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, 58(5), 1952, 527-535.
  • J. C. Gittins and D. M. Jones, "A dynamic allocation index for the sequential design of experiments," in Progress in Statistics, 1974.
  • A. Müller and D. Stoyan, Comparison Methods for Stochastic Models and Risks, Wiley, 2002 (the book's own reference for the likelihood-ratio order and MTP2 functions, Appendices A.3, B.3).
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CombinatoricsDiscrete GeometryOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis III: Edmonds's Intersection TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Matroid intersection is one of the founding results of combinatorial optimization: given two matroids on a common ground set, the largest common independent set can be found in polynomial time, and its size equals the minimum of a natural upper bound ranging over all subsets — a min-max theorem in the spirit of König's theorem and Menger's theorem, but for a strictly richer combinatorial structure. Jack Edmonds proved this in 1970, and Jack Edmonds and Rick Giles's subsequent generalization to submodular flows, together with André Frank's discrete separation theorem for submodular and supermodular set functions (1982), placed matroid intersection inside a single unifying framework: submodular function duality. This framework explains, in one stroke, matroid intersection, the base-exchange structure of matroids, and a family of other combinatorial min-max theorems that had previously seemed unrelated.

Murota's Discrete Convex Analysis develops this framework as the theory of M-convex sets: sets of integer vectors satisfying a lattice-exchange axiom that turns out to be exactly equivalent to being the integer points of a base polyhedron of an integer-valued submodular set function. This mission formalizes the chapter's central results: the equivalence of four variant forms of the exchange axiom (Theorem 4.3), the M-convex set / submodular function correspondence (Theorem 4.15), Frank's discrete separation theorem (Theorem 4.17), and Edmonds's intersection theorem itself (Theorem 4.18) — the deepest duality result in the theory of submodular functions and the historical origin of the M-convexity concept that the rest of the book generalizes to real-valued functions.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite ground set. A set function ρ:2V→R∪{+∞}\rho : 2^V \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}ρ:2V→R∪{+∞} with ρ(∅)=0\rho(\emptyset) = 0ρ(∅)=0 and ρ(V)<+∞\rho(V) < +\inftyρ(V)<+∞ is submodular (the class S[R]S[\mathbb R]S[R]) if

ρ(X)+ρ(Y)≥ρ(X∪Y)+ρ(X∩Y)(X,Y⊆V).\rho(X) + \rho(Y) \ge \rho(X \cup Y) + \rho(X \cap Y) \qquad (X, Y \subseteq V).ρ(X)+ρ(Y)≥ρ(X∪Y)+ρ(X∩Y)(X,Y⊆V).

Its base polyhedron and submodular polyhedron are

B(ρ)={x∈RV:x(X)≤ρ(X) (∀X⊆V), x(V)=ρ(V)},P(ρ)={x∈RV:x(X)≤ρ(X) (∀X⊆V)},B(\rho) = \{x \in \mathbb R^V : x(X) \le \rho(X)\ (\forall X \subseteq V),\ x(V) = \rho(V)\}, \qquad P(\rho) = \{x \in \mathbb R^V : x(X) \le \rho(X)\ (\forall X \subseteq V)\},B(ρ)={x∈RV:x(X)≤ρ(X) (∀X⊆V), x(V)=ρ(V)},P(ρ)={x∈RV:x(X)≤ρ(X) (∀X⊆V)},

where x(X)=∑v∈Xx(v)x(X) = \sum_{v \in X} x(v)x(X)=∑v∈X​x(v); a supermodular function μ\muμ is one with −μ-\mu−μ submodular. A nonempty set B⊆ZVB \subseteq \mathbb Z^VB⊆ZV is an M-convex set if it satisfies the exchange axiom (B-EXC[Z]): for x,y∈Bx, y \in Bx,y∈B and uuu in the positive support of x−yx-yx−y, there is vvv in the negative support of x−yx-yx−y with both x−χu+χv∈Bx - \chi_u + \chi_v \in Bx−χu​+χv​∈B and y+χu−χv∈By + \chi_u - \chi_v \in By+χu​−χv​∈B, where χu\chi_uχu​ is the characteristic vector of uuu. A polyhedron P⊆RVP \subseteq \mathbb R^VP⊆RV is integral if P=conv⁡(P∩ZV)P = \operatorname{conv}(P \cap \mathbb Z^V)P=conv(P∩ZV).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.18 (Edmonds's intersection theorem)

For submodular set functions ρ1,ρ2∈S[R]\rho_1, \rho_2 \in S[\mathbb R]ρ1​,ρ2​∈S[R],

max⁡{x(V):x∈P(ρ1)∩P(ρ2)}=min⁡{ρ1(X)+ρ2(V∖X):X⊆V},\max\{x(V) : x \in P(\rho_1) \cap P(\rho_2)\} = \min\{\rho_1(X) + \rho_2(V \setminus X) : X \subseteq V\},max{x(V):x∈P(ρ1​)∩P(ρ2​)}=min{ρ1​(X)+ρ2​(V∖X):X⊆V},

with both sides attained. If ρ1,ρ2\rho_1, \rho_2ρ1​,ρ2​ are integer valued, P(ρ1)∩P(ρ2)P(\rho_1) \cap P(\rho_2)P(ρ1​)∩P(ρ2​) is an integral polyhedron and the maximum is attained at an integer point. Dropping the integrality clause and stating only the real max-min equality would leave ordinary LP duality with no discrete content at all; this mission keeps it in the goal at every strength the book proves it.

Milestones: Theorems 4.3, 4.15, 4.17

Theorem 4.3: the exchange axiom (B-EXC[Z]) is equivalent to three variants that impose the exchange condition asymmetrically or only for distinct vectors — groundwork establishing that M-convexity does not depend on which variant is taken as primitive. Theorem 4.15: BBB is M-convex if and only if B=B(ρ)∩ZVB = B(\rho) \cap \mathbb Z^VB=B(ρ)∩ZV for some integer-valued submodular ρ\rhoρ — M-convex sets and integer-valued submodular set functions are two descriptions of the same combinatorial object. Theorem 4.17 (Frank): if a submodular ρ\rhoρ dominates a supermodular μ\muμ pointwise, a single vector x∗x^*x∗ separates them (ρ≥x∗≥μ\rho \ge x^* \ge \muρ≥x∗≥μ pointwise on every subset), integrally when ρ,μ\rho, \muρ,μ are integer valued — derived, in the book, as a direct corollary of the goal theorem.

Significance

The result itself. Edmonds's intersection theorem is the min-max theorem underlying polynomial-time matroid intersection (a matroid's rank function is submodular, so the classical matroid intersection theorem is the special case ρ1,ρ2\rho_1, \rho_2ρ1​,ρ2​ both matroid rank functions), and its generality — arbitrary submodular set functions, not just matroid ranks — is what lets Frank's discrete separation theorem, and through it a wide range of combinatorial duality results in network flows, scheduling, and matroid theory, be derived as corollaries rather than proved from scratch each time. The integrality clause specifically is the fact that makes these duality theorems combinatorial: it guarantees that optimal fractional solutions to the underlying linear program can always be taken integral, without which the connection to discrete optimization would be lost.

Formalizing it. No matching item exists on the platform (searches for "submodular set function", "base polyhedron", "matroid intersection" return no relevant hits; Mathlib's Combinatorics/Matroid/ develops matroid rank functions, a special case, but not general submodular set functions or their polyhedra). This mission gives the first formal statement of the theorem at its natural generality, together with the M-convex-set viewpoint that motivates the rest of the book, and Frank's separation theorem as an explicit worked corollary.

Difficulty

The real-valued half of Theorem 4.18 is ordinary LP duality applied to a cleverly chosen primal program (maximize ⟨p,x⟩\langle p, x\rangle⟨p,x⟩ over P(ρ1)∩P(ρ2)P(\rho_1) \cap P(\rho_2)P(ρ1​)∩P(ρ2​)) and its dual — routine once the right LP is written down. The integrality half is where the combinatorics enters: an optimal dual solution can always be chosen supported on a chain in each ρi\rho_iρi​'s effective domain (an extremal argument maximizing a strictly convex potential over the optimal dual face), and the incidence matrix of a chain of subsets is totally unimodular — this is the fact, external to ordinary LP theory, that forces an integral optimal solution to exist whenever the data (ρ1,ρ2\rho_1, \rho_2ρ1​,ρ2​) are integral. A proof that stops at real-valued LP duality, however carefully done, misses this step entirely and cannot produce the integrality clause; total unimodularity of a chain's incidence matrix is the one piece of combinatorics doing all the discrete work in an otherwise classical convex-duality argument.

Formalization scope

The ground set VVV is a Fintype with DecidableEq; subsets are Finset V, vectors are V → ℝ/V → ℤ. Submodular functions take values in WithTop ℝ (exactly R∪{+∞}\mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}); supermodular functions in WithBot ℝ; comparisons across the two use an explicit embedding into EReal. The max/min in the goal are stated via IsGreatest/IsLeast sharing a common EReal witness, so that "both sides attained, at the same value" — not merely "sup equals inf" — is what the Lean statement asserts, which is essential since the integrality clause's whole content is about which point attains the maximum.

A trivializing formalization of the goal would drop the integrality clause (leaving unqualified LP duality) or replace IsGreatest/IsLeast with a bare supremum/infimum equality (losing the "is attained" content the second half of the theorem needs); both are avoided. Theorem 4.15 is stated as the existential "iff" (some integer submodular ρ\rhoρ realizes BBB) rather than reifying the book's own named bijection Φ,Ψ\Phi, \PsiΦ,Ψ explicitly — a deliberate, documented scope reduction of that one milestone (see MODERATION_NOTES.md), not of the goal. Contributions building the explicit Φ\PhiΦ map, the Lovász extension (needed for Theorem 4.16, not drafted here), or M-convex-set infrastructure reusable by chunks 06–07 (M-convex functions, which build on this chapter's vocabulary) are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
  • J. Edmonds, "Submodular functions, matroids, and certain polyhedra," in Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications, Gordon and Breach, 1970, pp. 69–87.
  • A. Frank, "An algorithm for submodular functions on graphs," Annals of Discrete Mathematics, 16, 1982, pp. 97–120.
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes X: Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes and FilteringTextbook

Motivation

Every model in Chapters 2-4 assumed the controller sees the whole state before acting. Real control problems rarely offer that: a machine's true wear level, a customer's private valuation, a hidden regime driving asset returns — these are exactly the situations a decision-maker must act on despite never observing them directly, learning about them only through their effect on what is observed. This is the subject of Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), introduced independently in operations research (K. J. Åström, Optimal Control of Markov Processes with Incomplete State Information, 1965) and studied extensively since as the right model for sequential decisions under hidden state. The central difficulty such a process raises is structural, not just computational: the state includes a component the controller never sees, so the very theory built in Chapter 2 — which assumes the controller's policies can depend on the full current state — does not apply. Bäuerle and Rieder's Chapter 5 resolves this by an idea with a long pedigree in stochastic control (Bayesian filtering, going back to R. E. Kalman and R. S. Bucy's filtering theory, and D. Blackwell's 1965 discounted-dynamic-programming treatment of the "state of information"): replace the unobservable state by the controller's own belief about it — a probability distribution, updated at every step by Bayes' rule — and show the resulting belief-state process is once again an ordinary, fully observed Markov Decision Model.

Setting

A Partially Observable Markov Decision Model (Definition 5.1.1) has data (EX×EY,A,D,Q,Q0,r,g,β)(E_X\times E_Y, A, D, Q, Q_0, r, g, \beta)(EX​×EY​,A,D,Q,Q0​,r,g,β): state (x,y)∈EX×EY(x,y)\in E_X\times E_Y(x,y)∈EX​×EY​ with xxx observable and yyy unobservable; feasible actions D(x)D(x)D(x) depending only on xxx; a stochastic kernel QQQ giving the joint law of the next state; initial law Q0Q_0Q0​ of Y0Y_0Y0​; rewards r,gr,gr,g; discount β\betaβ. A policy π=(f0,…,fN−1)∈ΠN\pi=(f_0,\dots,f_{N-1})\in\Pi_Nπ=(f0​,…,fN−1​)∈ΠN​ (Definition 5.1.3) is a sequence of decision rules fn:Hn→Af_n:H_n\to Afn​:Hn​→A, each depending only on the observable history Hn=(x0,a0,…,xn)H_n=(x_0,a_0,\dots,x_n)Hn​=(x0​,a0​,…,xn​) — never on any yky_kyk​. The objective

JNπ(x):=∫Exyπ[∑n=0N−1βnr(Xn,Yn,An)+βNg(XN,YN)]Q0(dy),JN(x):=sup⁡π∈ΠNJNπ(x)J_N^\pi(x) := \int \mathbb{E}_{xy}^\pi\Big[\sum_{n=0}^{N-1}\beta^n r(X_n,Y_n,A_n) + \beta^N g(X_N,Y_N)\Big] Q_0(dy), \qquad J_N(x):=\sup_{\pi\in\Pi_N} J_N^\pi(x)JNπ​(x):=∫Exyπ​[n=0∑N−1​βnr(Xn​,Yn​,An​)+βNg(XN​,YN​)]Q0​(dy),JN​(x):=π∈ΠN​sup​JNπ​(x)

(Equation (5.2)) carries an extra expectation over the unknown Y0Y_0Y0​ that Chapter 2's objective never had.

Assuming QQQ has a density qqq against reference measures, the Bayes operator Φ\PhiΦ and the filter recursion μ0:=Q0\mu_0:=Q_0μ0​:=Q0​, μn+1(⋅∣hn,an,xn+1):=Φ(xn,μn(⋅∣hn),an,xn+1)\mu_{n+1}(\cdot\mid h_n,a_n,x_{n+1}):=\Phi(x_n,\mu_n(\cdot\mid h_n),a_n,x_{n+1})μn+1​(⋅∣hn​,an​,xn+1​):=Φ(xn​,μn​(⋅∣hn​),an​,xn+1​) (Equations (5.3)-(5.4)) compute the posterior law of YnY_nYn​ given everything observed, purely from the observable history. Theorem 5.2.1 confirms μn\mu_nμn​ is genuinely this conditional law. The filtered Markov Decision Model (Definition 5.3.1) then treats (x,μn)∈E:=EX×P(EY)(x,\mu_n)\in E:=E_X\times\mathbb{P}(E_Y)(x,μn​)∈E:=EX​×P(EY​) as an ordinary, fully-observed state, with its own kernel Q′Q'Q′ (built from Φ\PhiΦ and the marginal QXQ^XQX), reward r′(x,ρ,a):=∫r(x,y,a)ρ(dy)r'(x,\rho,a):=\int r(x,y,a)\rho (dy)r′(x,ρ,a):=∫r(x,y,a)ρ(dy), and terminal reward g′(x,ρ):=∫g(x,y)ρ(dy)g'(x,\rho):=\int g(x,y)\rho(dy)g′(x,ρ):=∫g(x,y)ρ(dy).

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 5.3.3

J0′(x,ρ)=g′(x,ρ),Jn′(x,ρ)=sup⁡a∈D(x)[r′(x,ρ,a)+β∫Jn−1′(x′,ρ′) Q′(d(x′,ρ′)∣x,ρ,a)](1≤n≤N),J_0'(x,\rho) = g'(x,\rho), \qquad J_n'(x,\rho) = \sup_{a\in D(x)}\Big[r'(x,\rho,a) + \beta\int J_{n-1}'(x',\rho')\,Q'(d(x',\rho')\mid x,\rho,a)\Big] \quad (1\le n\le N),J0′​(x,ρ)=g′(x,ρ),Jn′​(x,ρ)=a∈D(x)sup​[r′(x,ρ,a)+β∫Jn−1′​(x′,ρ′)Q′(d(x′,ρ′)∣x,ρ,a)](1≤n≤N),

under the Structure Assumption of Theorem 2.3.8; and if fn′f_n'fn′​ maximizes Jn−1′J_{n-1}'Jn−1′​ for each nnn, then fn∗(hn):=fN−n′(xn,μn(⋅∣hn))f_n^*(h_n):=f_{N-n}'(x_n,\mu_n(\cdot\mid h_n))fn∗​(hn​):=fN−n′​(xn​,μn​(⋅∣hn​)) defines a policy optimal for the original NNN-stage POMDP. This is where the reduction pays off: an ordinary Bellman equation, of exactly the form Chapter 2 already solves, for a problem that had no Bellman equation at all in its original, partially-observed form.

Milestones

Lemma 5.2.2 (the filter-recursion identity, the technical engine behind everything that follows), Theorem 5.2.1 (the filter is truly the conditional law — without this, μn\mu_nμn​ would be merely a formula, not a meaningful belief), and Theorem 5.3.2 (the value of the filtered model exactly equals the value of the original POMDP, policy for policy — without this, solving the filtered model would solve a different problem).

Significance

Theorem 5.3.3 is the standard justification, made precise, for the single most common technique in applied sequential decision-making under uncertainty: replace an unknown parameter or hidden state by a running Bayesian estimate, and optimize as if that estimate were the true state. This technique underlies applications from inventory control with unknown demand to adaptive clinical trial design, and Chapter 5's own closing application (two-armed Bernoulli bandits, taken up in chunk 05b) is a direct instance. The reduction also has real content beyond convenience: it shows the value is unchanged (Theorem 5.3.2), not merely that a good heuristic policy exists — the filtered model's optimum is the true POMDP optimum, not an approximation to it.

No result of this chapter has a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me at the time of writing, and no substrate exists for POMDPs, filtering, or Bayes-operator constructions on the platform. Formalizing this mission means building, from Mathlib's general kernel and probability-measure infrastructure, the first POMDP/filtering vocabulary on the platform: a policy class restricted to observable histories, a recursively-computable posterior, and the value-equality between a partially and a fully observed reformulation.

Difficulty

The obstacle is not any single hard inequality but a representational one: an admissible policy for the original problem is a function of a growing observable history, not of a fixed-size state, so the value function JNπJ_N^\piJNπ​ cannot be written as a simple recursion over a Markov chain the way every earlier chapter's could. The chapter's insight is that the belief μn\mu_nμn​ — even though it is a probability-measure-valued object, not a point in a fixed Euclidean space — is itself Markov: μn+1\mu_{n+1}μn+1​ depends on the observable history only through (xn,μn)(x_n,\mu_n)(xn​,μn​), never on more of the past. Recognizing this, and giving P(EY)\mathbb{P}(E_Y)P(EY​) the right measurable structure to serve as a genuine Borel state space, is what makes Definition 5.3.1's reformulation a legitimate Markov Decision Model rather than an informal analogy. A formalization that let μn\mu_nμn​'s type be an unstructured "distribution object" with no Borel structure, or that quietly assumed the value functions of the filtered model already satisfy the Bellman equation, would miss this content entirely.

Formalization scope

EX,EY,AE_X,E_Y,AEX​,EY​,A are abstract measurable spaces; the transition kernel QQQ is a genuine MeasureTheory.Kernel, not assumed to arise from an i.i.d.-noise-driven transition function (the form every earlier finance chapter's market used) — the chapter's own examples (Hidden Markov Models, Bayesian models) do not have that special form in general. Observable histories are represented as (junk-padded) sequences N→EX\mathbb{N}\to E_XN→EX​, N→A\mathbb{N}\to AN→A rather than dependent finite tuples, with a decision rule's dependence on only the first n+1n{+}1n+1/nnn coordinates stated as an explicit locality condition; this avoids Fin-indexed-tuple bookkeeping while remaining exactly equivalent to the book's own Hn→AH_n\to AHn​→A typing. The belief state ρ\rhoρ is MeasureTheory.ProbabilityMeasure E_Y, giving EX×P(EY)E_X\times\mathbb{P}(E_Y)EX​×P(EY​) a genuine measurable structure via its standard weak-topology Borel σ-algebra — the formalization scope this chunk's own pitfall demands, ruling out an ad hoc encoding of "the space of distributions." The Bayes operator Φ\PhiΦ and the filtered kernel Q′Q'Q′ are carried as data (functions landing genuinely in ProbabilityMeasure/Kernel types) characterized by their defining ratio-of-integrals or pushforward formulas, rather than constructed by normalizing a raw measure inline — proving that normalization is a routine Fubini calculation the book itself does not spell out, and would be proof content misplaced in a definition. Theorem 5.2.1's conditional-probability statement is formalized via the book's own Equation (5.5) test-function identity rather than Mathlib's conditional-expectation-with-respect-to-a-sub-σ-algebra machinery, since the two are equivalent by the standard characterization of conditional expectation and the test-function form is what the book's own proofs actually use. The Structure Assumption of Theorem 2.3.8 is restated locally (existential value-function and decision-rule classes with its three defining clauses), per this project's rule against importing another chunk's copy of shared machinery. Reusable beyond this mission: the kernel-based expectation recursion (Ex/Vpi) is natural substrate for any later mission needing a Markov Decision Process driven by a genuinely abstract stochastic kernel rather than an i.i.d.-noise transition function. Contributions completing any milestone's sorry, or the goal's, are welcome.

Selected references

  • K. J. Åström, Optimal Control of Markov Processes with Incomplete State Information, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 10(1), 1965, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(65)90154-X
  • D. Blackwell, Discounted Dynamic Programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 36(1), 1965, https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177700285
  • R. E. Kalman, R. S. Bucy, New Results in Linear Filtering and Prediction Theory, Journal of Basic Engineering 83(1), 1961, https://doi.org/10.1115/1.3658902
  • N. Bäuerle, U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9, Chapter 5, §§5.1-5.3
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Globally Convergent Type-I Anderson Acceleration for Nonsmooth Fixed-Point Iterations: The Stabilized Type-I Anderson Acceleration Converges to a Fixed Point of Every Nonexpansive MapResearch Paper

Motivation

Many first-order methods in optimization are fixed-point iterations xk+1=f(xk)x^{k+1}=f(x^k)xk+1=f(xk) of a nonexpansive map f:Rn→Rnf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nf:Rn→Rn: proximal gradient descent, projected gradient descent, alternating projections, ISTA and Douglas–Rachford splitting (with the conic solver SCS as an instance) all have this form (Zhang, O'Donoghue, Boyd 2020, §4.2). The averaged (Krasnosel'skiĭ–Mann) iteration xk+1=(1−α)xk+αf(xk)x^{k+1}=(1-\alpha)x^k+\alpha f(x^k)xk+1=(1−α)xk+αf(xk) converges to a fixed point whenever one exists, but it is often slow in its terminal phase. Anderson acceleration (AA) combines the last few iterates through a quasi-Newton update of an approximate Jacobian; it is used for electronic-structure computations and, in the stabilized form studied here, in the solver SCS 2.1. Its type-I variant (AA-I) is often faster in practice than the more studied type-II variant, but it can be numerically unstable, and no global convergence guarantee existed for it on nonsmooth problems.

Timeline (as recounted in the paper's related-work section):

  • 1965. Anderson introduces the method for nonlinear integral equations (J. ACM 12).
  • 1978. Gay and Schnabel prove local Q-superlinear convergence of a full-memory AA-I-type method (Broyden with projected updates), assuming fff continuously differentiable near the solution.
  • 2009. Fang and Saad connect AA with multisecant Broyden methods and distinguish the two types (Numer. Linear Algebra Appl. 16).
  • 2011. Walker and Ni show the essential equivalence of full-memory AA with GMRES for affine fff (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 49); Rohwedder and Schneider prove local Q-linear convergence of limited-memory AA-II for differentiable fff.
  • 2015. Toth and Kelley give local linear convergence of AA-II for contractive fff (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 53).
  • 2020. Zhang, O'Donoghue and Boyd introduce a stabilized AA-I method (Powell-type regularization, restart checking, safeguarding) and prove global convergence for every nonexpansive map with a fixed point, without differentiability (SIAM J. Optim. 30(4), 3170–3197; longer version arXiv:1808.03971).

Setting

Let f:Rn→Rnf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nf:Rn→Rn satisfy ∥f(x)−f(y)∥2≤∥x−y∥2\|f(x)-f(y)\|_2\le\|x-y\|_2∥f(x)−f(y)∥2​≤∥x−y∥2​ for all x,yx,yx,y (the Euclidean norm), and assume the solution set X={x⋆∣x⋆=f(x⋆)}X=\{x^\star\mid x^\star=f(x^\star)\}X={x⋆∣x⋆=f(x⋆)} is nonempty. The residual is g(x)=x−f(x)g(x)=x-f(x)g(x)=x−f(x), gk=g(xk)g_k=g(x^k)gk​=g(xk), and the averaged operator is fα(x)=(1−α)x+αf(x)f_\alpha(x)=(1-\alpha)x+\alpha f(x)fα​(x)=(1−α)x+αf(x).

Powell's weight. For θˉ∈(0,1)\bar\theta\in(0,1)θˉ∈(0,1), ϕθˉ(η)=1\phi_{\bar\theta}(\eta)=1ϕθˉ​(η)=1 if ∣η∣≥θˉ|\eta|\ge\bar\theta∣η∣≥θˉ and ϕθˉ(η)=(1−sign⁡(η)θˉ)/(1−η)\phi_{\bar\theta}(\eta)=(1-\operatorname{sign}(\eta)\bar\theta)/(1-\eta)ϕθˉ​(η)=(1−sign(η)θˉ)/(1−η) otherwise, with sign⁡(0)=1\operatorname{sign}(0)=1sign(0)=1.

Window matrices. For vectors s0,…,smk−1s_0,\dots,s_{m_k-1}s0​,…,smk​−1​ and y0,…,ymk−1y_0,\dots,y_{m_k-1}y0​,…,ymk​−1​, let s^i\hat s_is^i​ be their unnormalized Gram–Schmidt orthogonalization (3.2), B0=IB^0=IB0=I, and

Bi+1=Bi+(y~i−Bisi)s^iTs^iTsi,y~i=θiyi+(1−θi)Bisi,θi=ϕθˉ(s^iT(Bi)−1yi∥s^i∥22).B^{i+1}=B^i+\frac{(\tilde y_i-B^is_i)\hat s_i^T}{\hat s_i^Ts_i},\qquad \tilde y_i=\theta^iy_i+(1-\theta^i)B^is_i,\qquad \theta^i=\phi_{\bar\theta}\Bigl(\frac{\hat s_i^T(B^i)^{-1}y_i}{\|\hat s_i\|_2^2}\Bigr).Bi+1=Bi+s^iT​si​(y~​i​−Bisi​)s^iT​​,y~​i​=θiyi​+(1−θi)Bisi​,θi=ϕθˉ​(∥s^i​∥22​s^iT​(Bi)−1yi​​).

The matrix norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ is the induced ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ operator norm.

Algorithm 3.1 (AA-I-S-m). With parameters θˉ,τ,α∈(0,1)\bar\theta,\tau,\alpha\in(0,1)θˉ,τ,α∈(0,1), D,ϵ>0D,\epsilon>0D,ϵ>0 and max-memory m≥1m\ge1m≥1: start from H0=IH_0=IH0​=I, m0=0m_0=0m0​=0, nAA=0n_{AA}=0nAA​=0, Uˉ=∥g0∥2\bar U=\|g_0\|_2Uˉ=∥g0​∥2​ and x1=x~1=fα(x0)x^1=\tilde x^1=f_\alpha(x^0)x1=x~1=fα​(x0). At iteration k≥1k\ge1k≥1, set sk−1=x~k−xk−1s_{k-1}=\tilde x^k-x^{k-1}sk−1​=x~k−xk−1 and yk−1=g(x~k)−g(xk−1)y_{k-1}=g(\tilde x^k)-g(x^{k-1})yk−1​=g(x~k)−g(xk−1), orthogonalize sk−1s_{k-1}sk−1​ against the current window, and restart the window (memory back to 111, Hk−1H_{k-1}Hk−1​ replaced by III) if the memory would exceed mmm or ∥s^k−1∥2<τ∥sk−1∥2\|\hat s_{k-1}\|_2<\tau\|s_{k-1}\|_2∥s^k−1​∥2​<τ∥sk−1​∥2​. Then apply one Powell-regularized rank-one update to obtain HkH_kHk​ and the trial point x~k+1=xk−Hkgk\tilde x^{k+1}=x^k-H_kg_kx~k+1=xk−Hk​gk​. The trial point is accepted if ∥gk∥2≤DUˉ(nAA+1)−(1+ϵ)\|g_k\|_2\le D\bar U(n_{AA}+1)^{-(1+\epsilon)}∥gk​∥2​≤DUˉ(nAA​+1)−(1+ϵ) (and nAAn_{AA}nAA​ increases); otherwise xk+1=fα(xk)x^{k+1}=f_\alpha(x^k)xk+1=fα​(xk).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

for every run of Algorithm 3.1:lim⁡k→∞xk=x⋆for some x⋆=f(x⋆).\text{for every run of Algorithm 3.1:}\qquad \lim_{k\to\infty}x^k=x^\star\quad\text{for some } x^\star=f(x^\star).for every run of Algorithm 3.1:k→∞lim​xk=x⋆for some x⋆=f(x⋆).

The only hypotheses are nonexpansiveness of fff, X≠∅X\ne\emptysetX=∅ and the parameter ranges. The limit is not specified: it depends on x0x^0x0 and the parameters.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.2. Well-defined updates give ∣det⁡Bmk∣≥θˉmk>0|\det B^{m_k}|\ge\bar\theta^{m_k}>0∣detBmk​∣≥θˉmk​>0.
  2. Lemma 3.3. If ∥yi∥2≤2∥si∥2\|y_i\|_2\le2\|s_i\|_2∥yi​∥2​≤2∥si​∥2​, ∥s^i∥2≥τ∥si∥2\|\hat s_i\|_2\ge\tau\|s_i\|_2∥s^i​∥2​≥τ∥si​∥2​ and mk≤mm_k\le mmk​≤m, then ∥Bmk∥2≤3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2\|B^{m_k}\|_2\le3((1+\bar\theta+\tau)/\tau)^m-2∥Bmk​∥2​≤3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2.
  3. Corollary 3.4. ∥Hk∥2≤(3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2)n−1/θˉm\|H_k\|_2\le(3((1+\bar\theta+\tau)/\tau)^m-2)^{n-1}/\bar\theta^m∥Hk​∥2​≤(3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2)n−1/θˉm (3.8).
  4. Corollary 3.5. Along the algorithm, unless a solution is hit, (3.8) holds and cond(Hk)≤(3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2)n/θˉm\mathrm{cond}(H_k)\le(3((1+\bar\theta+\tau)/\tau)^m-2)^n/\bar\theta^mcond(Hk​)≤(3((1+θˉ+τ)/τ)m−2)n/θˉm.
  5. Eq. (4.3). ∥xk−y∥2≤∥x0−y∥2+CDUˉ∑i≥0(i+1)−(1+ϵ)\|x^k-y\|_2\le\|x^0-y\|_2+CD\bar U\sum_{i\ge0}(i+1)^{-(1+\epsilon)}∥xk−y∥2​≤∥x0−y∥2​+CDUˉ∑i≥0​(i+1)−(1+ϵ) for every y∈Xy\in Xy∈X.
  6. Eq. (4.6). lim⁡k∥gk∥2=0\lim_k\|g_k\|_2=0limk​∥gk​∥2​=0.
  7. Eq. (4.7). ∥xk+1−y∥22≤∥xk−y∥22+ϵk\|x^{k+1}-y\|_2^2\le\|x^k-y\|_2^2+\epsilon_k∥xk+1−y∥22​≤∥xk−y∥22​+ϵk​ with ϵk≥0\epsilon_k\ge0ϵk​≥0 summable.
  8. §4.1, Step 2. ∥xk−y∥2\|x^k-y\|_2∥xk−y∥2​ converges for every y∈Xy\in Xy∈X.

Significance

The theorem places a quasi-Newton acceleration scheme under the same hypotheses as the plain averaged iteration: nonexpansiveness and existence of a fixed point. It therefore applies at once to the nonexpansive examples of §4.2 of the paper (proximal gradient, projected gradient, alternating projections, ISTA, Douglas–Rachford splitting and SCS), with no smoothness, strong convexity or local assumption. The matrix bounds of Lemma 3.3 and Corollaries 3.4–3.5 are also of independent use: they give explicit, iteration-independent control of the approximate inverse Jacobians of a limited-memory type-I method, an assumption that other globalization frameworks (for example SuperMann) have to impose.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has neither the Krasnosel'skiĭ–Mann iteration, nor Fejér monotonicity, nor any Anderson-type method. A formalization provides these pieces, checks the index bookkeeping of the restart and safeguard steps, and makes explicit the one place where the printed algorithm and the analysis disagree (line 9 at a window start; see below).

Difficulty

The accelerated step x~k+1=xk−Hkgk\tilde x^{k+1}=x^k-H_kg_kx~k+1=xk−Hk​gk​ need not decrease the distance to the solution set, so the Fejér argument for averaged iterations does not apply to it directly. The naive fix, bounding ∥Hkgk∥2\|H_kg_k\|_2∥Hk​gk​∥2​, requires a bound on ∥Hk∥2\|H_k\|_2∥Hk​∥2​ that holds uniformly along the run; without the Powell regularization BkB_kBk​ can be singular, and without the restart rule ∥Bk∥2\|B_k\|_2∥Bk​∥2​ can grow without bound as the window becomes nearly linearly dependent. The determinant and norm bounds of Lemmas 3.2–3.3 have to be established for arbitrary windows and then connected to the run of the algorithm, where the window, its orthogonalization and the matrices are defined by an intertwined recursion with resets. The safeguard then turns the uniform bound into a summable perturbation of a Fejér-monotone sequence, and the final step needs an Opial-type argument to pass from convergence of distances to convergence of the iterates.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so all vector norms are Euclidean; matrices are continuous linear maps with the operator norm; us^Tu\hat s^Tus^T is rankOne ℝ u ŝ; det⁡\detdet is LinearMap.det; inverses are Ring.inverse (zero on singular maps, excluded by Lemma 3.2). The orthogonalization (3.2) is InnerProductSpace.gramSchmidt. Nonexpansive is LipschitzWith 1 f. The algorithm is the predicate IsAAISRun, a deterministic recursion: every run is determined by fff, the parameters and x0x^0x0, and a sorry-free check that runs exist (for f=idf=\mathrm{id}f=id) was built locally. The reset of Hk−1H_{k-1}Hk−1​ in line 8 is local to its iteration. sign(0)=1\mathrm{sign}(0)=1sign(0)=1 is encoded explicitly. Constants are the paper's explicit expressions; no milestone replaces them with an existential constant.

Line 9. The paper prints y~k−1=θk−1yk−1−(1−θk−1)gk−1\tilde y_{k-1}=\theta_{k-1}y_{k-1}-(1-\theta_{k-1})g_{k-1}y~​k−1​=θk−1​yk−1​−(1−θk−1​)gk−1​, derived from (3.3) through Bk−1sk−1=−gk−1B_{k-1}s_{k-1}=-g_{k-1}Bk−1​sk−1​=−gk−1​, which fails when the window starts afresh (mk=1m_k=1mk​=1). The mission uses (3.3) there: y~k−1=θk−1yk−1+(1−θk−1)sk−1\tilde y_{k-1}=\theta_{k-1}y_{k-1}+(1-\theta_{k-1})s_{k-1}y~​k−1​=θk−1​yk−1​+(1−θk−1​)sk−1​ when mk=1m_k=1mk​=1, and the printed formula when mk≥2m_k\ge2mk​≥2.

Milestones of §4.1 and Corollary 3.5 carry the hypothesis f(xk)≠xkf(x^k)\ne x^kf(xk)=xk for all kkk, as the paper does ("we temporarily assume for simplicity that a solution to (1.1) is not found in finite steps"); the goal does not. A goal proved from an unsatisfiable run predicate, or one that assumes a bound on ∥Hk∥2\|H_k\|_2∥Hk​∥2​, contractivity of fff, or that the accelerated step is never taken, is not this theorem. Division by zero in Lean can only occur once a fixed point has been reached, after which all later iterates coincide.

Useful reusable infrastructure includes the Krasnosel'skiĭ–Mann inequality ∥fα(x)−y∥22≤∥x−y∥22−α(1−α)∥g(x)∥22\|f_\alpha(x)-y\|_2^2\le\|x-y\|_2^2-\alpha(1-\alpha)\|g(x)\|_2^2∥fα​(x)−y∥22​≤∥x−y∥22​−α(1−α)∥g(x)∥22​, quasi-Fejér monotone sequences and their convergence, and determinant and norm identities for rank-one updates (the matrix determinant lemma and Sherman–Morrison). Proofs of the window lemmas, of the run invariants (the window matrices coincide with the algorithm's Hk−1H_k^{-1}Hk−1​) and of the convergence steps are all welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Zhang, B. O'Donoghue, S. Boyd, Globally Convergent Type-I Anderson Acceleration for Nonsmooth Fixed-Point Iterations, SIAM J. Optim. 30(4), 3170–3197, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1137/18M1232772
  • J. Zhang, B. O'Donoghue, S. Boyd, longer version, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.03971
  • D. M. Gay, R. B. Schnabel, Solving systems of nonlinear equations by Broyden's method with projected updates, in Nonlinear Programming 3, Academic Press, 245–281, 1978 (reference [20] of the paper). https://doi.org/10.1137/18M1232772
  • D. G. Anderson, Iterative procedures for nonlinear integral equations, J. ACM 12(4), 547–560, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1145/321296.321305
  • H. Fang, Y. Saad, Two classes of multisecant methods for nonlinear acceleration, Numer. Linear Algebra Appl. 16(3), 197–221, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1002/nla.617
  • H. F. Walker, P. Ni, Anderson acceleration for fixed-point iterations, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 49(4), 1715–1735, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/10078356X
  • A. Toth, C. T. Kelley, Convergence analysis for Anderson acceleration, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 53(2), 805–819, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1137/130919398
  • H. H. Bauschke, P. L. Combettes, Convex Analysis and Monotone Operator Theory in Hilbert Spaces, Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9467-7
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes IX: Index Tracking and Utility Indifference PricingTextbook

Motivation

Two more portfolio problems round out Bäuerle and Rieder's finance chapter, each raising a question the earlier sections do not. First: a fund manager is mandated to track an index — replicate its value as closely as possible — but the index itself is often built from assets the fund cannot trade directly (a broad benchmark, a proprietary basket). This is the multiperiod, statistical analogue of index-fund management, and it turns out to be a classical linear-quadratic control problem (R. E. Kalman, A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems, 1960, for the deterministic-coefficient case that Bäuerle and Rieder's §2.6.3 first generalizes to random coefficients) rather than requiring a new dynamic-programming argument at all. Second: how should a contingent claim be priced when it depends on an asset that cannot be traded, so that perfect replication is simply impossible? This is the market-incompleteness question at the heart of mathematical finance since the 1970s options-pricing literature, and §4.9 develops the utility indifference pricing approach (M. H. A. Davis, Option Pricing in Incomplete Markets, in Mathematics of Derivative Securities, 1997; also traceable to the zero-utility premium principle of classical insurance mathematics): price a claim at the amount that leaves an expected-utility-maximizing investor indifferent between holding it and not.

Setting

Index tracking (§4.8): state (x,s^)∈E:=R×R(x,\hat s)\in E:=\mathbb{R}\times\mathbb{R}(x,s^)∈E:=R×R (wealth, value of the non-traded index S^\hat SS^), action a∈A:=Rda\in A:=\mathbb{R}^da∈A:=Rd (amounts in ddd traded assets), transition Tn((x,s^),a,(z1,z2)):=((1+in+1)(x+a⋅z1), s^ z2)T_n((x,\hat s),a,(z_1,z_2)) := ((1+i_{n+1})(x+a\cdot z_1),\ \hat s\,z_2)Tn​((x,s^),a,(z1​,z2​)):=((1+in+1​)(x+a⋅z1​), s^z2​). The objective is Vn(x,s^):=inf⁡πE[∑k=nN(Xk−S^k)2]V_n(x,\hat s) := \inf_\pi \mathbb{E}[\sum_{k=n}^N (X_k-\hat S_k)^2]Vn​(x,s^):=infπ​E[∑k=nN​(Xk​−S^k​)2] (Eq. (4.36)): minimize the expected sum of squared tracking errors. Chapter 2's stochastic linear-quadratic theory (§2.6.3, Theorem 2.6.3) already solves any problem of this shape — linear dynamics with random coefficient matrices An+1,Bn+1A_{n+1},B_{n+1}An+1​,Bn+1​, quadratic cost with fixed matrix QQQ — via a backward Riccati-type recursion Q~N:=QN\tilde Q_N:=Q_NQ~​N​:=QN​, Q~n:=Qn+E[An+1⊤Q~n+1An+1]−E[An+1⊤Q~n+1Bn+1](E[Bn+1⊤Q~n+1Bn+1])−1E[Bn+1⊤Q~n+1An+1]\tilde Q_n := Q_n + \mathbb{E}[A_{n+1}^\top \tilde Q_{n+1}A_{n+1}] - \mathbb{E}[A_{n+1}^\top\tilde Q_{n+1}B_{n+1}](\mathbb{E}[B_{n+1}^\top \tilde Q_{n+1}B_{n+1}])^{-1}\mathbb{E}[B_{n+1}^\top\tilde Q_{n+1}A_{n+1}]Q~​n​:=Qn​+E[An+1⊤​Q~​n+1​An+1​]−E[An+1⊤​Q~​n+1​Bn+1​](E[Bn+1⊤​Q~​n+1​Bn+1​])−1E[Bn+1⊤​Q~​n+1​An+1​], so §4.8's content is identifying this problem's own An+1,Bn+1,QA_{n+1},B_{n+1},QAn+1​,Bn+1​,Q.

Indifference pricing (§4.9): a one-period market with a traded asset SSS and an untradeable asset S^\hat SS^, four states of the world with probabilities p1,…,p4p_1,\dots,p_4p1​,…,p4​, relative returns (R~,R^)∈{(u,u^),(u,d^),(d,u^),(d,d^)}(\tilde R,\hat R)\in\{(u,\hat u),(u,\hat d),(d,\hat u),(d,\hat d)\}(R~,R^)∈{(u,u^),(u,d^),(d,u^),(d,d^)}, an exponential-utility investor U(x)=−e−γxU(x)=-e^{-\gamma x}U(x)=−e−γx, and a claim H=h(S1,S^1)H=h(S_1,\hat S_1)H=h(S1​,S^1​). The investor's value with the claim sold short is V0H(x,s,s^):=sup⁡aE[−e−γx−γa(R~−1)+γH]V_0^H(x,s,\hat s) := \sup_a \mathbb{E}[-e^{-\gamma x-\gamma a(\tilde R-1)+\gamma H}]V0H​(x,s,s^):=supa​E[−e−γx−γa(R~−1)+γH] (Eq. (4.37)); Definition 4.9.1 sets the indifference price v0(H,s,s^)v_0(H,s,\hat s)v0​(H,s,s^) as the amount solving V00(x,s,s^)=V0H(x+v0,s,s^)V_0^0(x,s,\hat s) = V_0^H(x+v_0,s,\hat s)V00​(x,s,s^)=V0H​(x+v0​,s,s^) for every wealth xxx. The multiperiod extension (unnumbered display, p. 138) replaces the one period by NNN i.i.d. periods and defines vn(H,s,s^)v_n(H,s,\hat s)vn​(H,s,s^) at every time nnn the same way, now for VnHV_n^HVnH​ a genuine dynamic value function.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4.9.4

VnH(x,s,s^)=−e−γxdn(s,s^),dN(s,s^):=eγh(s,s^),dn(s,s^):=inf⁡aE[e−γa(R~n+1−1) dn+1(sR~n+1,s^R^n+1)],V_n^H(x,s,\hat s) = -e^{-\gamma x}d_n(s,\hat s), \qquad d_N(s,\hat s):=e^{\gamma h(s,\hat s)}, \qquad d_n(s,\hat s) := \inf_{a} \mathbb{E}\big[e^{-\gamma a(\tilde R_{n+1}-1)}\,d_{n+1}(s\tilde R_{n+1},\hat s\hat R_{n+1})\big],VnH​(x,s,s^)=−e−γxdn​(s,s^),dN​(s,s^):=eγh(s,s^),dn​(s,s^):=ainf​E[e−γa(R~n+1​−1)dn+1​(sR~n+1​,s^R^n+1​)], vn(H,s,s^)=1γlog⁡(dn(s,s^)vN−n),vn(vn+1(H,sR~n+1,s^R^n+1),s,s^)=vn(H,s,s^),v_n(H,s,\hat s) = \frac{1}{\gamma}\log\Big(\frac{d_n(s,\hat s)}{v^{N-n}}\Big), \qquad v_n\big(v_{n+1}(H,s\tilde R_{n+1},\hat s\hat R_{n+1}),s,\hat s\big) = v_n(H,s,\hat s),vn​(H,s,s^)=γ1​log(vN−ndn​(s,s^)​),vn​(vn+1​(H,sR~n+1​,s^R^n+1​),s,s^)=vn​(H,s,s^),

where v:=inf⁡aE[e−γa(R~1−1)]v:=\inf_a\mathbb{E}[e^{-\gamma a(\tilde R_1-1)}]v:=infa​E[e−γa(R~1​−1)] (Eq. (4.39)). This is the genuine multiperiod solution: no closed form is available in general (unlike the one-period case), only this explicit backward recursion for dnd_ndn​, obtained by folding the claim's payoff into the terminal reward of the exponential-utility Bellman recursion (Theorem 4.2.15). The consistency condition (part c) says the indifference-pricing operator is itself "time-consistent": pricing at time nnn a claim whose payoff at n+1n+1n+1 is the already-computed time-(n+1)(n+1)(n+1) price of HHH recovers HHH's own time-nnn price directly.

Milestones

Theorem 4.8.1 (index-tracking's explicit LQ solution: quadratic value functions via the Riccati recursion, linear optimal policy) and Theorem 4.9.2 (the one-period special case of the goal, with a genuinely closed-form price, obtained by directly minimizing a convex one-variable objective). Definition 4.9.1 (the indifference price's defining equation) is needed by both and is a formalization target in its own right, but — being a definition, not a numbered theorem — is never a milestone.

Significance

Theorem 4.8.1 shows that a statistically-motivated portfolio criterion (tracking error, the industry-standard measure of an index fund's fidelity) reduces exactly to a textbook control problem, so every qualitative feature of LQ control — the value function's quadratic form, the policy's linearity in the state, off-line computability of the feedback gain — transfers immediately; the content is the reduction, not a new proof technique. The indifference-pricing results answer a question ordinary arbitrage-free pricing cannot: when a claim's payoff depends on an asset that literally cannot be traded, no replicating portfolio exists, so the no-arbitrage pricing theory of Chapter 3 gives no unique price at all. Theorem 4.9.4 shows the utility-based alternative is nonetheless computable to the same degree of explicitness as ordinary dynamic programming allows: a backward recursion, not a closed form, but a genuine algorithm.

None of these results have machine-checked proofs on Prove2Me at the time of writing. The platform's BertsekasDP.riccati_completion_of_square and related Riccati-family theorems were checked and are not reusable for Theorem 4.8.1: their system matrices are deterministic, with no expectation anywhere in the statement, while this chapter's An+1,Bn+1A_{n+1},B_{n+1}An+1​,Bn+1​ are random and every term of the recursion is an expectation — a genuinely more general result that happens to specialize to the deterministic case, not an instance of it. No substrate at all exists for utility indifference pricing.

Difficulty

For index tracking, the obstacle is not mathematical but representational: recognizing that (x−s^)2(x-\hat s)^2(x−s^)2 is a quadratic form (x,s^)Q(x,s^)⊤(x,\hat s)Q(x,\hat s)^\top(x,s^)Q(x,s^)⊤ in the augmented state that includes the untradeable index's own value, and that the transition is linear in this augmented state with coefficient matrices that are random only through next period's returns — once this identification is made, Theorem 2.6.3 is already proved and there is nothing further to argue. For indifference pricing, the obstacle is conceptual: Definition 4.9.1 characterizes v0v_0v0​ implicitly, by an equation relating two suprema, not by a formula, so nothing prevents a formalization from simply asserting the closed-form answer as the definition and making the theorem vacuous. A faithful formalization must keep the two apart, proving that the printed formula is a solution of the defining equation rather than building the formula into what "indifference price" means.

Formalization scope

The index-tracking Riccati recursion is restated locally in this chunk's namespace (per the project's rule against importing another chunk's machinery), instantiated to this problem's own 2×22\times22×2 cost matrix and random 2×22\times22×2/2×d2\times d2×d system matrices, using Mathlib's general Matrix inverse (Bᵀ Q B is inverted directly; positive-definiteness making the inverse genuine is not separately hypothesized in the Riccati recursion's own statement, matching how the book treats it as automatic under Assumption (FM)). The one-period and multiperiod indifference-pricing markets are formalized as separate structures (the one-period model's four-atom probability space is pinned down by explicit measure equations on the pair (R~,R^)(\tilde R,\hat R)(R~,R^), not by an assumed Fin 4 state space, matching the pattern used for the binomial model in chunk 04c). The multiperiod value function VHAt carries an explicit maturity argument distinct from the model's own horizon NNN, needed only to state the goal's consistency condition (part c), which prices a claim maturing one period early. A formalization that defines the indifference price directly as a closed-form expression, rather than as the solution of Definition 4.9.1's equation, would be a trivializing formalization of Theorem 4.9.2 and 4.9.4(b) and is explicitly ruled out. Reusable beyond this mission: the local Riccati-recursion definitions are natural substrate for any later mission needing a stochastic LQ argument with random coefficients (the book's own §2.6.3 general theorem is a natural target for a future chunk). Contributions completing either milestone's sorry, or the goal's, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Kalman, A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems, Journal of Basic Engineering 82(1), 1960, https://doi.org/10.1115/1.3662552
  • M. H. A. Davis, Option Pricing in Incomplete Markets, in M. A. H. Dempster, S. R. Pliska (eds.), Mathematics of Derivative Securities, Cambridge University Press, 1997
  • N. Bäuerle, U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9, Chapter 4, §§4.8-4.9
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Value of Mix Flexibility and Dual Sourcing in Unreliable Newsvendor Networks 2: Under Perfect Reliability the Flexibility Premium Is Nonnegative for Every Nondecreasing UtilityResearch Paper

Motivation

A manufacturer that makes several products must decide, before demand is known, how much capacity to buy. It can buy dedicated capacity, one resource per product, or a single flexible resource that can make every product. Flexible capacity pools demand: a surplus of one product's demand can be served by capacity that would otherwise sit idle. A common intuition in the operations literature holds that a flexible strategy is preferable to a dedicated one when the unit costs are equal, and much of that literature therefore assumes the flexible resource costs more (for example Van Mieghem 1998).

Tomlin and Wang (2005) examine when this intuition is valid for firms that are not risk neutral and whose resources may fail. Their answer has two halves. A risk-neutral firm always values flexibility, whatever the reliability of its resources (their Proposition 1). A firm with perfectly reliable resources also always values flexibility, whatever its attitude to risk, as long as it prefers more wealth to less (their Proposition 4). When neither condition holds, dedicated capacity can be strictly preferred (their Remark 1 and numerical study). This mission formalizes the second half.

Setting

There are NNN products with a common contribution margin p>0p>0p>0. The random demand vector is X~=(X~1,…,X~N)\tilde X=(\tilde X_1,\dots,\tilde X_N)X~=(X~1​,…,X~N​), nonnegative, with an arbitrary joint distribution on a probability space. The firm has initial wealth w0w_0w0​.

  • In the dedicated network SD, the firm invests Kn≥0K_n\ge 0Kn​≥0 in a resource that can make only product nnn, at marginal total cost c>0c>0c>0 per unit. With perfectly reliable resources the whole investment is delivered, and the terminal wealth is
wSD(K)=w0+p∑n=1Nmin⁡{X~n,Kn}−c∑n=1NKn.w^{SD}(K)=w_0+p\sum_{n=1}^N\min\{\tilde X_n,K_n\}-c\sum_{n=1}^N K_n .wSD(K)=w0​+pn=1∑N​min{X~n​,Kn​}−cn=1∑N​Kn​.
  • In the flexible network SF, the firm invests KN+1≥0K_{N+1}\ge0KN+1​≥0 in one resource that can make every product, at marginal total cost cN+1c_{N+1}cN+1​, and the terminal wealth is
wSF(KN+1)=w0+pmin⁡{∑n=1NX~n,KN+1}−cN+1KN+1.w^{SF}(K_{N+1})=w_0+p\min\Big\{\sum_{n=1}^N\tilde X_n,K_{N+1}\Big\}-c_{N+1}K_{N+1}.wSF(KN+1​)=w0​+pmin{n=1∑N​X~n​,KN+1​}−cN+1​KN+1​.

The firm chooses its investment to maximize one of three objectives of terminal wealth WWW, with profit W~=W−w0\tilde W=W-w_0W~=W−w0​:

  1. an expected utility E[u(W)]E[u(W)]E[u(W)], where uuu ranges over U1U_1U1​, the set of utility functions that are nondecreasing in wealth;
  2. the loss-averse objective VLA=w0+E[W~+−βW~−]V_{LA}=w_0+E[\tilde W^+-\beta\tilde W^-]VLA​=w0​+E[W~+−βW~−] with β≥1\beta\ge 1β≥1;
  3. the CVaR objective VCVaRη=w0+max⁡v{v+1ηE[min⁡{W~−v,0}]}V_{CVaR_\eta}=w_0+\max_v\{v+\tfrac1\eta E[\min\{\tilde W-v,0\}]\}VCVaRη​​=w0​+maxv​{v+η1​E[min{W~−v,0}]} with η∈(0,1]\eta\in(0,1]η∈(0,1], the mean of the left η\etaη-tail of wealth.

SF is (weakly) preferred when its optimal objective value is at least that of SD. The flexibility premium is Δ=(cN+1I−c)/c\Delta=(c^I_{N+1}-c)/cΔ=(cN+1I​−c)/c, where the indifference cost cN+1Ic^I_{N+1}cN+1I​ is a flexible cost at which the firm is indifferent between the networks; the firm prefers SF as long as cN+1≤(1+Δ)cc_{N+1}\le(1+\Delta)ccN+1​≤(1+Δ)c.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

With perfectly reliable resources and any demand distribution, Δ≥0\Delta\ge 0Δ≥0 for every u∈U1u\in U_1u∈U1​, for the loss-averse objective and for the CVaR objective. In the formalization: for every cN+1≤cc_{N+1}\le ccN+1​≤c,

∀K≥0 ∃KN+1≥0:VSD(K)≤VSF(KN+1)\forall K\ge 0\ \exists K_{N+1}\ge 0:\quad \mathcal V^{SD}(K)\le\mathcal V^{SF}(K_{N+1})∀K≥0 ∃KN+1​≥0:VSD(K)≤VSF(KN+1​)

for V\mathcal VV each expected utility with uuu nondecreasing, and the loss-averse objective; for CVaR the same with the threshold vvv quantified jointly with the investment.

Milestones

  1. (A-4)–(A-6): at equal cost, investing ∑nKn\sum_nK_n∑n​Kn​ in the flexible resource gives a terminal wealth at least that of SD, for every demand realization.
  2. The SF wealth first-order stochastically dominates the SD wealth: FWSF≤FWSDF_{W^{SF}}\le F_{W^{SD}}FWSF​≤FWSD​.
  3. E[u(wSD(K))]≤E[u(wSF(∑nKn))]E[u(w^{SD}(K))]\le E[u(w^{SF}(\sum_nK_n))]E[u(wSD(K))]≤E[u(wSF(∑n​Kn​))] for every nondecreasing uuu.
  4. The loss-averse objective is the expected utility of a nondecreasing piecewise-linear utility with breakpoint w0w_0w0​.
  5. The CVaR comparison VCVaRSD(K)≤VCVaRSF(∑nKn)V^{SD}_{CVaR}(K)\le V^{SF}_{CVaR}(\sum_nK_n)VCVaRSD​(K)≤VCVaRSF​(∑n​Kn​).

Significance

Proposition 4 shows that the intuition "flexibility is worth at least as much as dedicated capacity at the same price" survives any monotone risk attitude and any demand distribution, provided supply is reliable. Combined with Proposition 1 it isolates the interaction of risk aversion and unreliable supply as the only source of a negative flexibility premium, which is the paper's Remark 1 and the organizing message of its numerical study. The result requires no concavity, differentiability or distributional assumption, so it applies to the loss-averse and CVaR objectives used throughout the paper.

The result is proved in the paper (Appendix A); no machine-checked version is known. A formalization produces a reusable statement of the model, a pathwise pooling inequality, and the passage from a pathwise comparison of two random variables on one probability space to comparisons of expected utilities and of CVaR, which recurs in capacity-pooling and inventory-pooling arguments.

Difficulty

The pathwise inequality is elementary. The work lies in the passage from it to the objectives. The paper cites Levy (1992) for both the expected-utility and the CVaR comparison; the first holds for every nondecreasing uuu, including discontinuous ones, and the second concerns a maximum over a real threshold that is not a priori attained. A formal proof must also make sure every expectation involved is a genuine integral: the utility is arbitrary, so the expected utility is finite only because, for a fixed nonnegative investment and nonnegative demand, both wealths are confined to a bounded interval. Finally, "Δ≥0\Delta\ge 0Δ≥0" is a statement about optimal values, and the optimal SD investment need not exist; the argument has to be run for every SD investment, not for an optimal one.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace MixFlex.Reliable. The probability space is (Ω, μ) with IsProbabilityMeasure μ; demand is a measurable X : Ω → Fin N → ℝ with each coordinate almost surely nonnegative, and no density, independence or integrability is assumed. Expectations are Bochner integrals. Perfect reliability (θ=1\theta=1θ=1) is built into the wealths (A-4)–(A-5), so the committed-cost fraction λ\lambdaλ does not appear. Standing parameters: p>0p>0p>0, c>0c>0c>0, β≥1\beta\ge 1β≥1, 0<η≤10<\eta\le10<η≤1, w0w_0w0​ arbitrary. The requirements p,c>0p,c>0p,c>0 and nonnegative, measurable demand are made explicit; the page treats them as part of the model.

The premium Δ\DeltaΔ and the indifference cost are not defined as real numbers, since the indifference cost need not be unique. "Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0" is encoded as "SF is weakly preferred for every cN+1≤cc_{N+1}\le ccN+1​≤c", and "weakly preferred" as "every nonnegative SD investment is matched or beaten by a nonnegative SF investment", with no real suprema. For CVaR the maximum in (8) over the investment and the threshold is encoded in the same matching form. The milestones compare the objectives at the flexible cost ccc, as (A-5) is printed.

A formalization in which the expected utility of a non-integrable wealth defaults to zero, or in which η=0\eta=0η=0 makes the CVaR bracket w0+vw_0+vw0​+v, would make the comparisons meaningless; the statements exclude both (K≥0K\ge0K≥0 with nonnegative demand bounds the wealths; η>0\eta>0η>0). "Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0" is also not trivially true: for a flexible cost above ccc SF can be strictly worse.

Out of scope: Propositions 1–3 and 5–8 (Proposition 1 is the companion mission on the risk-neutral premium), Remark 1's negative-premium claim and the numerical study. Welcome contributions: a general lemma that an almost-sure inequality between bounded random variables transfers to expected utilities of monotone functions, and a proof of the CVaR bracket comparison.

Selected references

  • B. Tomlin, Y. Wang, On the value of mix flexibility and dual sourcing in unreliable newsvendor networks, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 7(1):37–57, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1040.0063
  • H. Levy, Stochastic dominance and expected utility: survey and analysis, Management Science 38(4):555–593, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.38.4.555
  • R. T. Rockafellar, S. Uryasev, Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions, Journal of Banking & Finance 26(7):1443–1471, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00271-6
  • J. A. Van Mieghem, Investment strategies for flexible resources, Management Science 44(8):1071–1078, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.44.8.1071
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

An Analysis of Several Heuristics for the Traveling Salesman Problem III: Nearest and Cheapest Insertion Are Within a Factor of TwoResearch Paper

Motivation

The traveling salesman problem (TSP) asks for a shortest closed route through a finite set of points. It is NP-hard, and in practice tours are built by fast constructive heuristics whose output is then improved or used as is. A central question in the analysis of algorithms, raised in this form by Rosenkrantz, Stearns and Lewis in 1977, is how far such a heuristic can be from optimal in the worst case, as a function of the number of points nnn, when the distances satisfy the triangle inequality.

The paper (SIAM J. Comput. 6(3), 1977) answers this for several heuristics. For the general class of insertion methods it proves a logarithmic bound (Theorem 3); for two specific rules, nearest insertion and cheapest insertion, it proves a bound that does not grow with nnn: the tour is less than twice the optimal (Theorem 4), and more precisely at most 2(1−1/n)2(1-1/n)2(1−1/n) times the optimal (Corollary, eq. (4.12)). Theorem 5 of the same paper shows the constant 2(1−1/n)2(1-1/n)2(1−1/n) is attained, so this is the exact worst case of both rules. These results, with Christofides' 3/2 bound of 1976, are the classical reference points for approximation ratios of TSP construction heuristics and appear in standard OR and approximation-algorithm texts.

Setting

A traveling salesman graph (N,d)(N,d)(N,d) has a finite node set NNN with ∣N∣=n|N| = n∣N∣=n and a distance d:N×N→Rd : N\times N\to\mathbb Rd:N×N→R that is symmetric, nonnegative and satisfies the triangle inequality d(i,k)≤d(i,j)+d(j,k)d(i,k)\le d(i,j)+d(j,k)d(i,k)≤d(i,j)+d(j,k). A tour is a circuit visiting every node exactly once; its length is the sum of its edge lengths, and OPTIMAL is the least tour length.

A subtour TTT is a tour on a subset of NNN (a one-node subtour has no edges). For k∉Tk\notin Tk∈/T, TOUR(T,k)\mathrm{TOUR}(T,k)TOUR(T,k) inserts kkk into TTT where it is cheapest: if TTT has at least two nodes, choose an edge (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) of TTT minimizing d(x,k)+d(k,y)−d(x,y)d(x,k)+d(k,y)-d(x,y)d(x,k)+d(k,y)−d(x,y) and replace it by (x,k),(k,y)(x,k),(k,y)(x,k),(k,y); if T={i}T=\{i\}T={i}, form the two-node tour on i,ki,ki,k. COST(T,k)\mathrm{COST}(T,k)COST(T,k) is the length of TOUR(T,k)\mathrm{TOUR}(T,k)TOUR(T,k) minus the length of TTT.

An insertion method builds subtours T1,…,TnT_1,\dots,T_nT1​,…,Tn​ with T1={a0}T_1=\{a_0\}T1​={a0​} and Ti+1=TOUR(Ti,ai)T_{i+1}=\mathrm{TOUR}(T_i,a_i)Ti+1​=TOUR(Ti​,ai​) for some ai∉Tia_i\notin T_iai​∈/Ti​, 1≤i<n1\le i<n1≤i<n; INSERT is the length of TnT_nTn​. With d(T,p)=min⁡x∈Td(x,p)d(T,p)=\min_{x\in T}d(x,p)d(T,p)=minx∈T​d(x,p):

  • nearest insertion chooses each aia_iai​ with d(Ti,ai)=min⁡{d(Ti,x):x∈N−Ti}d(T_i,a_i)=\min\{d(T_i,x): x\in N-T_i\}d(Ti​,ai​)=min{d(Ti​,x):x∈N−Ti​};
  • cheapest insertion chooses each aia_iai​ with COST(Ti,ai)=min⁡{COST(Ti,x):x∈N−Ti}\mathrm{COST}(T_i,a_i)=\min\{\mathrm{COST}(T_i,x): x\in N-T_i\}COST(Ti​,ai​)=min{COST(Ti​,x):x∈N−Ti​}.

The start node a0a_0a0​ and every tie (between candidate nodes, and between candidate edges) are arbitrary. TREE denotes the length of a minimal spanning tree of (N,d)(N,d)(N,d).

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary to Theorem 4, eq. (4.12)

For every traveling salesman graph on n≥1n\ge1n≥1 nodes and every run of nearest insertion or of cheapest insertion,

INSERT  ≤  2(1−1n)⋅OPTIMAL.\mathrm{INSERT}\;\le\;2\Bigl(1-\frac1n\Bigr)\cdot\mathrm{OPTIMAL}.INSERT≤2(1−n1​)⋅OPTIMAL.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2, (3.3): COST(T,k)≤2 d(k,j)\mathrm{COST}(T,k)\le 2\,d(k,j)COST(T,k)≤2d(k,j) for k∉Tk\notin Tk∈/T, j∈Tj\in Tj∈T.
  2. Eq. (3.7): for every insertion method, INSERT=∑i=1n−1COST(Ti,ai)\mathrm{INSERT}=\sum_{i=1}^{n-1}\mathrm{COST}(T_i,a_i)INSERT=∑i=1n−1​COST(Ti​,ai​).
  3. Eqs. (4.9)–(4.10): nearest insertion satisfies COST(Ti,ai)≤2 d(p,q)\mathrm{COST}(T_i,a_i)\le 2\,d(p,q)COST(Ti​,ai​)≤2d(p,q) for all p∈Tip\in T_ip∈Ti​, q∉Tiq\notin T_iq∈/Ti​ (4.5).
  4. Proof of Theorem 4: cheapest insertion satisfies (4.5) as well.
  5. Lemma 3: every insertion run satisfying (4.5) has INSERT≤2⋅TREE\mathrm{INSERT}\le 2\cdot\mathrm{TREE}INSERT≤2⋅TREE (4.6).
  6. Eq. (4.11): TREE≤(1−1/n)⋅OPTIMAL\mathrm{TREE}\le(1-1/n)\cdot\mathrm{OPTIMAL}TREE≤(1−1/n)⋅OPTIMAL.

Theorem 4 itself, INSERT<2⋅OPTIMAL\mathrm{INSERT}<2\cdot\mathrm{OPTIMAL}INSERT<2⋅OPTIMAL when ddd is not identically zero, is included as a companion statement.

Significance

The bound says that two simple O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) and O(n2log⁡n)O(n^2\log n)O(n2logn) construction rules are never worse than a factor 2(1−1/n)2(1-1/n)2(1−1/n) from optimal on any metric instance, a guarantee independent of nnn, in contrast with nearest neighbor and with arbitrary insertion orders, whose ratios the same paper shows can grow logarithmically. Lemma 3 is reusable on its own: any insertion rule satisfying the local inequality (4.5) inherits the bound 2⋅TREE2\cdot\mathrm{TREE}2⋅TREE, and the paper notes that similar arguments apply to nearest addition and nearest merger.

The result has been proved since 1977. The Prove2Me library has a machine-checked proof of the weaker statement for nearest insertion only with constant 222 (SupplyChainTheory.nearest_insertion_bound, from Snyder–Shen, Theorem 10.7) and of TREE≤OPTIMAL\mathrm{TREE}\le\mathrm{OPTIMAL}TREE≤OPTIMAL (SupplyChainTheory.mst_lower_bound). This mission asks for the paper's full statement: both rules, the exact constant 2(1−1/n)2(1-1/n)2(1−1/n), and the general Lemma 3 via its correspondence between insertion steps and spanning-tree edges. Paired with the tightness result of the companion mission (Theorem 5), it would give a formally verified exact worst-case ratio for both heuristics.

Difficulty

Lemma 2 and inequality (4.5) are local consequences of the triangle inequality; the difficulty is global. The obvious attempt at Lemma 3 charges step iii to the tree edge joining aia_iai​ to its nearest node of TiT_iTi​, but distinct steps can then be charged to the same tree edge, and the sum of the charges no longer bounds 2⋅TREE2\cdot\mathrm{TREE}2⋅TREE. Any correct argument must control how the insertion order interacts with the structure of an arbitrary spanning tree, which in Lean means reasoning about paths in SimpleGraph together with the evolving subtours. For cheapest insertion the chosen node need not be a nearest node, so (4.5) is not immediate from the rule. Finally, the goal's constant 2(1−1/n)2(1-1/n)2(1−1/n) is sharper than the bound 2⋅OPTIMAL2\cdot\mathrm{OPTIMAL}2⋅OPTIMAL obtained from TREE≤OPTIMAL\mathrm{TREE}\le\mathrm{OPTIMAL}TREE≤OPTIMAL, so the weaker spanning-tree bound already in the library does not suffice.

Formalization scope

Nodes are Fin n with n≥1n\ge1n≥1 (the paper's nodes 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n shifted to 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1). The distance satisfies the paper's three axioms plus the normalization d(i,i)=0d(i,i)=0d(i,i)=0, which never affects a tour, subtour or tree length. Tours are permutations; OPTIMAL is a minimum over all of them (Finset.inf'). Subtours are lists of distinct nodes with closed length. TOUR(T,k)\mathrm{TOUR}(T,k)TOUR(T,k) is encoded as insertion of kkk at a list position whose resulting length is minimal over all ∣T∣+1|T|+1∣T∣+1 positions, which is the minimization of (3.1) over the edges of TTT; COST is the corresponding minimum increase. The subtour index is 1-based as printed (T1={a0}T_1=\{a_0\}T1​={a0​}, TnT_nTn​ final). The distance d(T,p)d(T,p)d(T,p) is taken in R∪{+∞}\mathbb R\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}, so no default value enters the nearest rule. Spanning trees are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with IsTree; statements about TREE are phrased over every spanning tree (upper bounds) or some spanning tree (bounds on TREE), which is equivalent. Ratios are multiplied out, so the goal needs no nontriviality hypothesis; Theorem 4's strict form carries the paper's exclusion of the identically zero distance (p. 564).

A formalization in which TOUR inserts at an arbitrary rather than a cheapest position, or in which the run fixes the start node or the tie-breaking, would state a different (and, for arbitrary positions, false) theorem; the statements here quantify over every run.

A complete development needs subtour-length lemmas for List.insertIdx, the telescoping identity (3.7), and a spanning-tree edge-assignment argument on Mathlib's SimpleGraph paths; the last two are reusable for other insertion rules and for the companion missions of this series. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • D. J. Rosenkrantz, R. E. Stearns, P. M. Lewis II, An Analysis of Several Heuristics for the Traveling Salesman Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 6(3):563–581, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206041
  • N. Christofides, Worst-Case Analysis of a New Heuristic for the Travelling Salesman Problem, Report 388, GSIA, Carnegie Mellon University, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43069-021-00101-z (reprint in Operations Research Forum 3, 2022)
  • L. V. Snyder, Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 10 (Theorem 10.7). https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Value of Mix Flexibility and Dual Sourcing in Unreliable Newsvendor Networks 1: The Risk-Neutral Flexibility Premium Is Nonnegative for Every ReliabilityResearch Paper

Motivation

A firm that sells several products must decide, before demand is known, how much production capacity to build and of what kind. Dedicated capacity makes one product; flexible capacity makes any of them. The classic argument for flexibility is demand pooling: capacity that can follow demand to whichever product needs it wastes less than capacity locked to one product (Fine and Freund 1990; Van Mieghem 1998).

When capacity itself is unreliable, as with a supplier that may fail to deliver, a plant that may be disrupted, or a batch that may be rejected, flexibility has a second face. A single flexible resource concentrates the firm's supply in one place, so one failure removes all of it, whereas several dedicated resources rarely fail together. This resource-aggregation effect works against flexibility. Tomlin and Wang (2005) set up a newsvendor network in which both effects are present and ask when a firm should pay more for flexible capacity than for dedicated capacity. Their first answer (Proposition 1) is that a risk-neutral firm facing equal reliabilities and costs never loses by choosing flexibility, whatever the joint distribution of demand. This mission formalizes that answer.

Setting

There are NNN products with a common unit contribution margin p>0p>0p>0. The demand vector X~=(X~1,…,X~N)\tilde X=(\tilde X_1,\dots,\tilde X_N)X~=(X~1​,…,X~N​) is random, nonnegative and integrable; its total is X~N+1=X~1+⋯+X~N\tilde X_{N+1}=\tilde X_1+\dots+\tilde X_NX~N+1​=X~1​+⋯+X~N​.

Two networks are compared. In the dedicated network SD, resource n∈{1,…,N}n\in\{1,\dots,N\}n∈{1,…,N} makes only product nnn and has marginal total cost c>0c>0c>0. In the flexible network SF, a single resource, labelled N+1N+1N+1, makes every product and has marginal total cost cN+1c_{N+1}cN+1​.

Every resource jjj is unreliable with a Bernoulli yield Y~j∈{0,1}\tilde Y_j\in\{0,1\}Y~j​∈{0,1}, P(Y~j=1)=θ\mathbb P(\tilde Y_j=1)=\thetaP(Y~j​=1)=θ. The common reliability is θ∈[0,1]\theta\in[0,1]θ∈[0,1], the yields are mutually independent, and they are independent of demand. Investing Kj≥0K_j\ge 0Kj​≥0 in resource jjj delivers capacity Y~jKj\tilde Y_jK_jY~j​Kj​ and costs (λ+(1−λ)Y~j)cjKj(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\tilde Y_j)c_jK_j(λ+(1−λ)Y~j​)cj​Kj​: the firm pays the committed cost λcj\lambda c_jλcj​ per unit ordered and a further (1−λ)cj(1-\lambda)c_j(1−λ)cj​ per unit delivered, with λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1].

The realized profits are

WSD(K)=∑n=1N(−(λ+(1−λ)Y~n)cKn+pmin⁡{X~n,Y~nKn}),W^{SD}(K)=\sum_{n=1}^N\Big(-(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\tilde Y_n)cK_n+p\min\{\tilde X_n,\tilde Y_nK_n\}\Big),WSD(K)=n=1∑N​(−(λ+(1−λ)Y~n​)cKn​+pmin{X~n​,Y~n​Kn​}), WSF(KN+1)=−(λ+(1−λ)Y~N+1)cN+1KN+1+pmin⁡{X~N+1,Y~N+1KN+1},W^{SF}(K_{N+1})=-(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\tilde Y_{N+1})c_{N+1}K_{N+1}+p\min\{\tilde X_{N+1},\tilde Y_{N+1}K_{N+1}\},WSF(KN+1​)=−(λ+(1−λ)Y~N+1​)cN+1​KN+1​+pmin{X~N+1​,Y~N+1​KN+1​},

and a risk-neutral firm maximizes the expected profit VRNSD(K)=E[WSD(K)]V^{SD}_{RN}(K)=\mathbb E[W^{SD}(K)]VRNSD​(K)=E[WSD(K)] or VRNSF(KN+1)=E[WSF(KN+1)]V^{SF}_{RN}(K_{N+1})=\mathbb E[W^{SF}(K_{N+1})]VRNSF​(KN+1​)=E[WSF(KN+1​)] over nonnegative investments. Let VSD,∗V^{SD,*}VSD,∗ and VSF,∗V^{SF,*}VSF,∗ be the optimal values. SF is (weakly) preferred if VSF,∗≥VSD,∗V^{SF,*}\ge V^{SD,*}VSF,∗≥VSD,∗.

The indifference cost cN+1Ic^I_{N+1}cN+1I​ is a value of cN+1c_{N+1}cN+1​ at which VSF,∗=VSD,∗V^{SF,*}=V^{SD,*}VSF,∗=VSD,∗, and the flexibility premium is Δ=(cN+1I−c)/c\Delta=(c^I_{N+1}-c)/cΔ=(cN+1I​−c)/c. The firm prefers SF as long as cN+1≤(1+Δ)cc_{N+1}\le(1+\Delta)ccN+1​≤(1+Δ)c.

The α\alphaα-expected shortfall of a random variable ZZZ is, for α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) and the lower quantile x(α)=inf⁡{x:P(Z≤x)≥α}x_{(\alpha)}=\inf\{x:\mathbb P(Z\le x)\ge\alpha\}x(α)​=inf{x:P(Z≤x)≥α},

ESα(Z)=−1α(E[Z1{Z≤x(α)}]+x(α)(α−P(Z≤x(α)))).ES_\alpha(Z)=-\frac1\alpha\Big(\mathbb E\big[Z\mathbf 1\{Z\le x_{(\alpha)}\}\big]+x_{(\alpha)}\big(\alpha-\mathbb P(Z\le x_{(\alpha)})\big)\Big).ESα​(Z)=−α1​(E[Z1{Z≤x(α)​}]+x(α)​(α−P(Z≤x(α)​))).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

For any demand random vector X~\tilde XX~:

  1. ΔRN≥0\Delta_{RN}\ge 0ΔRN​≥0 for all 0≤θ≤10\le\theta\le 10≤θ≤1, that is, SF is preferred whenever cN+1≤cc_{N+1}\le ccN+1​≤c;
0≤θ≤λcp−(1−λ)c ⟹ ΔRN=0;0\le\theta\le\frac{\lambda c}{p-(1-\lambda)c}\ \Longrightarrow\ \Delta_{RN}=0;0≤θ≤p−(1−λ)cλc​ ⟹ ΔRN​=0;
  1. ΔRN=0\Delta_{RN}=0ΔRN​=0 if ρX=1\rho_X=\mathbf 1ρX​=1, i.e. all pairwise demand correlations equal 111.

No distributional form of demand is fixed and no constant is hard-coded beyond the paper's threshold.

Milestones

  • (9): the closed form of VRNSFV^{SF}_{RN}VRNSF​.
  • (10)–(11), (12)–(13): the optimal investments are critical fractiles
FXN+1(KN+1∗)=1−(λ+(1−λ)θ)cN+1θp,FXn(Kn∗)=1−(λ+(1−λ)θ)cθp,F_{X_{N+1}}(K^*_{N+1})=1-\frac{(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\theta)c_{N+1}}{\theta p},\qquad F_{X_n}(K^*_n)=1-\frac{(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\theta)c}{\theta p},FXN+1​​(KN+1∗​)=1−θp(λ+(1−λ)θ)cN+1​​,FXn​​(Kn∗​)=1−θp(λ+(1−λ)θ)c​,

and the optimal values are θp\theta pθp times partial expectations of demand.

  • (A-1) in expected-shortfall form: with α=1−(λ+(1−λ)θ)c/(θp)∈(0,1)\alpha=1-(\lambda+(1-\lambda)\theta)c/(\theta p)\in(0,1)α=1−(λ+(1−λ)θ)c/(θp)∈(0,1),
VSF,∗≥VSD,∗ at cN+1=c  ⟺  α(∑nESα(X~n)−ESα(∑nX~n))≥0.V^{SF,*}\ge V^{SD,*}\ \text{at}\ c_{N+1}=c\iff \alpha\Big(\sum_n ES_\alpha(\tilde X_n)-ES_\alpha\Big(\sum_n\tilde X_n\Big)\Big)\ge 0 .VSF,∗≥VSD,∗ at cN+1​=c⟺α(n∑​ESα​(X~n​)−ESα​(n∑​X~n​))≥0.
  • Subadditivity of ESαES_\alphaESα​ (Acerbi and Tasche 2002).
  • The positivity threshold of part 2: investing is worthwhile iff θ>λc/(p−(1−λ)c)\theta>\lambda c/(p-(1-\lambda)c)θ>λc/(p−(1−λ)c).
  • Correlation 111 implies X~n=aX~1+b\tilde X_n=a\tilde X_1+bX~n​=aX~1​+b with a>0a>0a>0, and ESα(aX+b)=aESα(X)−bES_\alpha(aX+b)=aES_\alpha(X)-bESα​(aX+b)=aESα​(X)−b.

Significance

Proposition 1 separates the two effects of flexibility under unreliable supply. It shows that for a risk-neutral firm the demand-pooling benefit together with an upside effect of aggregation (one flexible resource succeeds more often than all dedicated ones together) always outweighs the downside aggregation risk. Even with no pooling benefit at all (perfectly correlated demand) the firm is indifferent, not averse. The later results of the paper (loss aversion, CVaR, dual sourcing) are measured against this baseline: a negative premium can appear only once the firm is risk-averse. The expected-shortfall form links newsvendor optimal values to a coherent risk measure, a connection that recurs in inventory risk analysis.

The result is proved in the paper, with a proof that cites Acerbi and Tasche (2002) for two properties of expected shortfall. No machine-checked version exists. A formalization adds three things: a proof for general demand distributions (the paper assumes a joint density and uses the continuous form of expected shortfall); a Lean development of Acerbi–Tasche expected shortfall for general integrable random variables, including subadditivity and affine equivariance; and a reusable model of newsvendor networks with Bernoulli yields and committed costs.

Difficulty

The newsvendor steps (9)–(13) are single-variable concave optimization, but they must be done without a density: the distribution function of total demand may have atoms and flat pieces, so the critical fractile need not be attained or may be attained on an interval, and optimal values must be expressed through lower quantiles. Subadditivity of expected shortfall is the heart of part 1 and is not elementary in the general (atomic) case, which is exactly why the correction term x(α)(α−P(Z≤x(α)))x_{(\alpha)}(\alpha-\mathbb P(Z\le x_{(\alpha)}))x(α)​(α−P(Z≤x(α)​)) appears. Part 3 requires identifying correlation 111 with almost-sure positive affine dependence, which rests on the equality case of the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality in L2L^2L2, and then handling nonnegativity constraints on the investments that the affine change of variables may violate. The obvious shortcut of computing everything from densities is not available, because the goal is stated for every demand vector and part 3 is incompatible with a joint density when N≥2N\ge 2N≥2.

Formalization scope

Randomness lives on one probability space (Ω,μ)(\Omega,\mu)(Ω,μ); demand is X : Ω → Fin N → ℝ and yields are Y : Ω → Fin (N + 1) → ℝ, where dedicated resource nnn is Fin.castSucc n and the flexible resource N+1N+1N+1 is Fin.last N. Expectations are Bochner integrals and probabilities are μ.real. The standing assumptions are: p>0p>0p>0, c>0c>0c>0, λ,θ∈[0,1]\lambda,\theta\in[0,1]λ,θ∈[0,1]; demands measurable, almost surely nonnegative and integrable (integrability is needed for expected shortfall and makes every profit integrable); yields measurable, {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued almost surely with P(Y~j=1)=θ\mathbb P(\tilde Y_j=1)=\thetaP(Y~j​=1)=θ, mutually independent, and independent of demand (the paper states the last in Appendix E). The paper's joint density of demand is deliberately not assumed.

The premium Δ\DeltaΔ and the indifference cost are not defined as real numbers, because Definition 1's indifference cost need not exist or be unique (for θ\thetaθ below the threshold both optimal values are 000 for every cN+1c_{N+1}cN+1​ near ccc). "Δ≥0\Delta\ge 0Δ≥0" is encoded as "SF is weakly preferred for every cN+1≤cc_{N+1}\le ccN+1​≤c", and "Δ=0\Delta=0Δ=0" as "SF and SD are each weakly preferred to the other at cN+1=cc_{N+1}=ccN+1​=c". Weak preference VSF,∗≥VSD,∗V^{SF,*}\ge V^{SD,*}VSF,∗≥VSD,∗ is stated as: every nonnegative SD investment is matched by some nonnegative SF investment; no real supremum is taken. Quantiles F−1F^{-1}F−1 in (10) and (12) appear only as parameters with the hypothesis F(K∗)=F(K^*)=F(K∗)= fractile. Part 3 adds square integrability and positive variances, the conditions under which correlation coefficients exist; the threshold milestone adds almost surely positive demand and N≥1N\ge 1N≥1 for its "if" direction. When p≤(1−λ)cp\le(1-\lambda)cp≤(1−λ)c the Lean value of the threshold is ≤0\le 0≤0, so part 2 then covers only θ=0\theta=0θ=0, where it is true.

A formalization that assumed a joint density, took Δ\DeltaΔ as a free real satisfying Definition 1, or defined optimal values as real suprema over all of RN\mathbb R^NRN would make parts of the goal vacuous or trivial; each is ruled out above.

Needed infrastructure: single-variable newsvendor optimality for general distributions; the Acerbi–Tasche expected shortfall with subadditivity and affine equivariance; the equality case of Cauchy–Schwarz for correlation. The expected-shortfall and correlation lemmas are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of them are especially welcome. Out of scope: the loss-averse and CVaR analyses (Propositions 2–3, §3.2–3.3), the perfect-reliability result (Proposition 4, a separate mission), the dual-sourcing networks (§4) and all numerical results.

Selected references

  • B. Tomlin and Y. Wang, On the value of mix flexibility and dual sourcing in unreliable newsvendor networks, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 7(1):37–57, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1040.0063
  • C. Acerbi and D. Tasche, On the coherence of expected shortfall, Journal of Banking & Finance 26(7):1487–1503, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00283-2
  • C. H. Fine and R. M. Freund, Optimal investment in product-flexible manufacturing capacity, Management Science 36(4):449–466, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.36.4.449
  • J. A. Van Mieghem, Investment strategies for flexible resources, Management Science 44(8):1071–1078, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.44.8.1071
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Discrete Convex Analysis II: Local Optimality for Integrally Convex FunctionsTextbook

Motivation

For a convex function on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, a point is a global minimizer as soon as it is a local minimizer — this is one of the earliest and most consequential facts of convex analysis, and it underlies why local-search and gradient methods can certify global optimality in convex programs. The discrete analogue is not automatic: a function on the integer lattice Zn\mathbb Z^nZn can be "locally optimal" with respect to any fixed finite neighborhood system and still fail to be a global minimizer, unless the function's discrete structure is compatible with that neighborhood in the right way. Identifying exactly which classes of lattice functions admit a local-to-global optimality principle, and with respect to which neighborhood, is one of the organizing questions of discrete convex analysis.

Integrally convex functions, introduced by Favati and Tardella (1990) and developed systematically by Murota, are the most general class of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn-valued functions for which such a principle holds. They are defined purely in terms of the classical convex closure of a real relaxation, which lets one import theorems from ordinary convex analysis, but the resulting notion of local optimality — checking only the 3n−13^n - 13n−1 neighbors obtained by independently nudging each coordinate by −1-1−1, 000, or +1+1+1 (excluding the trivial no-change case) — is a genuinely discrete, dimension-independent statement about functions whose domain can be arbitrarily large. Almost every discrete convex function class studied later in the book, including M-convex and L-convex functions, is a special case of integral convexity, and this mission's goal theorem is the direct ancestor of the optimality criteria (Theorems 6.26 and 7.14) that drive the algorithms in the rest of the book.

Setting

Let f:Zn→R∪{+∞}f : \mathbb Z^n \to \mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}f:Zn→R∪{+∞} be a function with nonempty effective domain dom⁡Zf={x∈Zn:f(x)≠+∞}\operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb Z} f = \{x \in \mathbb Z^n : f(x) \ne +\infty\}domZ​f={x∈Zn:f(x)=+∞}. The convex closure of fff is

fˉ(x)=sup⁡p∈Rn, α∈R{⟨p,x⟩+α:⟨p,y⟩+α≤f(y) ∀y∈Zn}(x∈Rn),\bar f(x) = \sup_{p \in \mathbb R^n,\, \alpha \in \mathbb R} \{\langle p,x\rangle + \alpha : \langle p,y\rangle + \alpha \le f(y)\ \forall y \in \mathbb Z^n\} \qquad (x \in \mathbb R^n),fˉ​(x)=p∈Rn,α∈Rsup​{⟨p,x⟩+α:⟨p,y⟩+α≤f(y) ∀y∈Zn}(x∈Rn),

the pointwise supremum of every affine function minorizing fff on all of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn. If fˉ\bar ffˉ​ agrees with fff on integer points, fff is convex extensible. The integral neighborhood of x∈Rnx \in \mathbb R^nx∈Rn is

N(x)={y∈Zn:⌊xi⌋≤yi≤⌈xi⌉, 1≤i≤n},N(x) = \{y \in \mathbb Z^n : \lfloor x_i \rfloor \le y_i \le \lceil x_i \rceil,\ 1 \le i \le n\},N(x)={y∈Zn:⌊xi​⌋≤yi​≤⌈xi​⌉, 1≤i≤n},

and the local convex extension f~\tilde ff~​ relaxes fˉ\bar ffˉ​'s definition by requiring the affine minorant condition only on N(x)N(x)N(x) rather than on all of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn. Always f~≥fˉ\tilde f \ge \bar ff~​≥fˉ​ pointwise, and the two agree on Zn\mathbb Z^nZn. A function fff is integrally convex if f~=fˉ\tilde f = \bar ff~​=fˉ​ everywhere on Rn\mathbb R^nRn — equivalently, if f~\tilde ff~​ is a convex function on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn (it is automatically convex on every unit cube [z,z+1]n[z, z+1]^n[z,z+1]n with z∈Znz \in \mathbb Z^nz∈Zn, but need not be convex globally without this extra condition).

A discrete set S⊆ZnS \subseteq \mathbb Z^nS⊆Zn is hole free if SSS equals the set of integer points in its own real convex hull, and arg⁡min⁡f[−p]\arg\min f[-p]argminf[−p] denotes the minimizer set, over Zn\mathbb Z^nZn, of the linearly perturbed function f[−p](x)=f(x)−⟨p,x⟩f[-p](x) = f(x) - \langle p,x\ranglef[−p](x)=f(x)−⟨p,x⟩.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.21 (local optimality characterizes global optimality)

For integrally convex fff and x∈dom⁡Zfx \in \operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb Z} fx∈domZ​f:

f(x)≤f(y) (∀y∈Zn)  ⟺  f(x)≤f(x+χY−χZ) (∀ Y,Z⊆{1,…,n}),f(x) \le f(y)\ (\forall y \in \mathbb Z^n) \iff f(x) \le f(x + \chi_Y - \chi_Z)\ (\forall\, Y, Z \subseteq \{1,\dots,n\}),f(x)≤f(y) (∀y∈Zn)⟺f(x)≤f(x+χY​−χZ​) (∀Y,Z⊆{1,…,n}),

where χY∈{0,1}n\chi_Y \in \{0,1\}^nχY​∈{0,1}n is the indicator vector of YYY. The right-hand side is a check over at most 3n−13^n - 13n−1 points (each coordinate independently unchanged, incremented, or decremented), regardless of how large dom⁡Zf\operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb Z} fdomZ​f is; this uniform, dimension-only bound is the entire content of the theorem, and is the weakest correct formulation — restricting to a single (Y,Z)(Y,Z)(Y,Z) or letting the right-hand side range over all of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn would trivialize or falsify the equivalence.

Milestones: Propositions 3.18 and 3.19

Proposition 3.18: fff convex extensible   ⟹  \implies⟹ arg⁡min⁡f[−p]\arg\min f[-p]argminf[−p] hole free for every ppp (and conversely, when dom⁡Zf\operatorname{dom}_{\mathbb Z} fdomZ​f is bounded). Proposition 3.19: fff is integrally convex if and only if every restriction f[a,b]f_{[a,b]}f[a,b]​ to a finite integer interval is integrally convex — integral convexity is detectable by looking at bounded pieces of fff one at a time.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 3.21 is what makes integrally convex functions tractable: without it, verifying global optimality on an infinite or exponentially large integer domain would require checking every point. The theorem reduces this to a check whose size depends only on the dimension nnn, not on the size of the domain, and it does so for the widest class of lattice functions for which such a reduction is possible — the class is defined precisely so that this property holds and no wider natural class enjoys it. Every specialized local-optimality theorem later in the book (for M-convex, M♮^\natural♮-convex, L-convex, and L♮^\natural♮-convex functions) restricts this same neighborhood-checking principle to a class where the local check can be made even smaller (a single-element exchange rather than a full sign pattern) precisely because those classes are integrally convex plus more.

Formalizing it. No matching item exists on the platform: a direct search for "integrally convex" returns no results, and the theorem's own proof leans on results (Theorem 1.1's local-to-global principle for ordinary convex functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and an LP-duality-based alternate formula for f~\tilde ff~​) that are either classical convex analysis or belong to a different chapter of this same book. The remaining work is therefore to give a complete, correct account of the definitional chain — convex closure, local convex extension, integral convexity — in a form a solver can build a proof from directly, and to state the finite local-check equivalence itself exactly at the strength the book proves it, not a plausible-looking weakening of it.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt is to try to prove the "⇐\Leftarrow⇐" direction of Theorem 3.21 by a direct induction on the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1-distance to a global minimizer, moving one coordinate at a time. This fails in general lattice functions (a function that is only "coordinatewise convex" can have strict local minima that are not global), and the theorem's actual proof instead routes through the real relaxation: it shows the neighborhood-check hypothesis forces xxx to be a local minimizer of the local convex extension f~\tilde ff~​ restricted to the unit ball around xxx, then invokes ordinary convex analysis (local minimality implies global minimality for a convex function on Rn\mathbb R^nRn) to conclude xxx globally minimizes fˉ\bar ffˉ​, and finally uses integral convexity (f~=fˉ\tilde f = \bar ff~​=fˉ​) to transfer this back to fff on Zn\mathbb Z^nZn. The identification of fff's local behavior with f~\tilde ff~​'s convexity on a single unit cube — rather than any coordinatewise or separable argument — is the step that makes the class of integrally convex functions exactly the right one for this theorem, and is where a naive combinatorial argument breaks down.

Formalization scope

The ground set is Zn\mathbb Z^nZn, represented as Fin n → ℤ; fff's codomain is WithTop ℝ (exactly R∪{+∞}\mathbb R \cup \{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}), while the convex closure fˉ\bar ffˉ​ and local convex extension f~\tilde ff~​ take values in EReal (exactly R∪{±∞}\mathbb R \cup \{\pm\infty\}R∪{±∞}, a complete lattice, so their defining suprema are total functions with no side conditions). A trivializing formalization of the goal would quantify the right-hand side over a single fixed (Y,Z)(Y,Z)(Y,Z) pair, or over all of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn instead of the sign-pattern neighbors; both are excluded by keeping Y,ZY, ZY,Z universally quantified Finset (Fin n) ranging over the full 3n3^n3n sign-pattern space (minus the trivial case, which the equivalence still holds through vacuously).

Checked against the platform (GET /theorems?q=integrally convex, 0 hits) and against Mathlib's Analysis/Convex/ for the classical facts this chapter's proof would eventually need (ordinary convex-function local-to-global optimality, LP duality): these are broadly available in Mathlib's convex-analysis library in some form, but none of them is imported here, since none appears in the statement of any item this mission drafts — they belong to a proof this pass does not attempt. Contributions to a shared DiscreteConvex.IntegralConvexity definitions layer are welcome from chunks 06–09, which specialize integral convexity to M-convex and L-convex functions and will need the same convex-closure/local-extension vocabulary.

Selected references

  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003. DOI: 10.1137/1.9780898718508.
  • P. Favati, F. Tardella, "Convexity in nonlinear integer programming," Ricerca Operativa, 53, 1990, pp. 3–44.
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

An Interactive Weighted Tchebycheff Procedure for Multiple Objective Programming II: The Lexicographic Weighted Tchebycheff Program Characterizes the Nondominated SetResearch Paper

Motivation

A multiple objective program asks to maximize kkk objectives f1(x),…,fk(x)f_1(x),\dots,f_k(x)f1​(x),…,fk​(x) simultaneously over a feasible set SSS. There is usually no point that is best in every objective, so the object of interest is the set of nondominated criterion vectors: those that cannot be improved in one objective without being worsened in another. Interactive procedures for multiple criteria decision making work by computing nondominated vectors one at a time, by solving a single-objective scalarization, and presenting them to a decision maker.

A scalarization is useful for this purpose only if it is complete (every nondominated vector is the solution of some instance of it) and sound (every solution is nondominated). The weighted-sum scalarization is sound for positive weights but not complete when the feasible region is nonconvex. R. E. Steuer and E.-U. Choo (Math. Programming 26 (1983) 326–344) built their interactive procedure on weighted Tchebycheff distances to an ideal point, following Bowman (1976) and Choo and Atkins (1983). In §3 they treat finite feasible regions with an augmented metric, which requires choosing a small parameter ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0. In §4 (pp. 334–336) they show that a lexicographic version of the weighted Tchebycheff program is complete and sound for any feasible region, including nonconvex continuous ones, with no parameter to estimate. This mission formalizes that result, Theorems 4.5 and 4.6.

Setting

Let Z⊆RkZ\subseteq\mathbb R^kZ⊆Rk, k≥1k\ge1k≥1, be the set of feasible criterion vectors (the image of SSS under f=(f1,…,fk)f=(f_1,\dots,f_k)f=(f1​,…,fk​)). A vector zzz dominates zˉ\bar zzˉ if zi≥zˉiz_i\ge\bar z_izi​≥zˉi​ for all iii and zi>zˉiz_i>\bar z_izi​>zˉi​ for at least one iii. The nondominated set N⊆ZN\subseteq ZN⊆Z consists of the zˉ∈Z\bar z\in Zzˉ∈Z dominated by no z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z.

An ideal criterion vector is a z∗∈Rkz^*\in\mathbb R^kz∗∈Rk with

zi∗=max⁡{zi∣z∈Z}+εi,z^*_i=\max\{z_i\mid z\in Z\}+\varepsilon_i,zi∗​=max{zi​∣z∈Z}+εi​,

where εi≥0\varepsilon_i\ge0εi​≥0, and εi>0\varepsilon_i>0εi​>0 is required whenever (i) more than one nondominated vector maximizes objective iii, or (ii) the only nondominated vector maximizing objective iii also maximizes another objective. So z∗z^*z∗ may touch ZZZ in coordinate iii only in a controlled way.

The weight set is the simplex Λˉ={λ∈Rk∣λi≥0, ∑iλi=1}\bar\Lambda=\{\lambda\in\mathbb R^k\mid\lambda_i\ge0,\ \sum_i\lambda_i=1\}Λˉ={λ∈Rk∣λi​≥0, ∑i​λi​=1}. For λ∈Λˉ\lambda\in\bar\Lambdaλ∈Λˉ the weighted Tchebycheff program minimizes α\alphaα subject to α≥λi(zi∗−zi)\alpha\ge\lambda_i(z^*_i-z_i)α≥λi​(zi∗​−zi​) for all iii and z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z; its value at a fixed zzz is

tλ(z)=max⁡1≤i≤kλi(zi∗−zi).t_\lambda(z)=\max_{1\le i\le k}\lambda_i(z^*_i-z_i).tλ​(z)=1≤i≤kmax​λi​(zi∗​−zi​).

The lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff program first minimizes tλt_\lambdatλ​ over ZZZ and then, among the first-stage minimizers, minimizes eT(z∗−z)=∑i(zi∗−zi)e^{\mathsf T}(z^*-z)=\sum_i(z^*_i-z_i)eT(z∗−z)=∑i​(zi∗​−zi​). The paper writes it as min⁡{P1α+P2eT(z∗−z)}\min\{P_1\alpha+P_2e^{\mathsf T}(z^*-z)\}min{P1​α+P2​eT(z∗−z)} with pre-emptive priority factors. Finally, for zˉ∈Rk\bar z\in\mathbb R^kzˉ∈Rk the weights λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ of eq. (4.3) are λˉi∝1/(zi∗−zˉi)\bar\lambda_i\propto1/(z^*_i-\bar z_i)λˉi​∝1/(zi∗​−zˉi​), normalized to sum to one, when zˉj≠zj∗\bar z_j\ne z^*_jzˉj​=zj∗​ for all jjj. When some zˉj=zj∗\bar z_j=z^*_jzˉj​=zj∗​, λˉi\bar\lambda_iλˉi​ is 111 on the coordinates with zˉi=zi∗\bar z_i=z^*_izˉi​=zi∗​ and 000 elsewhere.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.6 (p. 336)

For compact ZZZ, an ideal vector z∗z^*z∗ and zˉ∈Z\bar z\in Zzˉ∈Z,

zˉ∈N  ⟺  ∃ λ∈Λˉ such that zˉ minimizes the lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff program with weights λ.\bar z\in N\iff\exists\,\lambda\in\bar\Lambda\ \text{such that}\ \bar z\ \text{minimizes the lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff program with weights }\lambda .zˉ∈N⟺∃λ∈Λˉ such that zˉ minimizes the lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff program with weights λ.

Milestones

  1. Proof of Theorem 4.5 (pp. 335–336). For zˉ∈N\bar z\in Nzˉ∈N, λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ as in (4.3) and α^\hat\alphaα^ the minimal first-stage value,
zˉ∈Φ(α^),N∩Φ(α^)={zˉ},Φ(α^)={z∣zi≥zi∗−α^/λˉi when λˉi>0}.\bar z\in\Phi(\hat\alpha),\qquad N\cap\Phi(\hat\alpha)=\{\bar z\},\qquad \Phi(\hat\alpha)=\{z\mid z_i\ge z^*_i-\hat\alpha/\bar\lambda_i\ \text{when}\ \bar\lambda_i>0\}.zˉ∈Φ(α^),N∩Φ(α^)={zˉ},Φ(α^)={z∣zi​≥zi∗​−α^/λˉi​ when λˉi​>0}.
  1. Theorem 4.5 (p. 335). For zˉ∈N\bar z\in Nzˉ∈N: λˉ∈Λˉ\bar\lambda\in\bar\Lambdaλˉ∈Λˉ, and zˉ\bar zzˉ is the unique minimizer of the lexicographic program with weights λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ.
  2. Remark after Theorem 4.6 (p. 336). For every λ∈Λˉ\lambda\in\bar\Lambdaλ∈Λˉ the lexicographic program has a minimizer when ZZZ is compact and nonempty, and every minimizer is nondominated.

The goal is the characterization; Theorem 4.5 is the stronger half with uniqueness and an explicit weight.

Significance

Theorem 4.6 says that, as λ\lambdaλ ranges over the simplex, the lexicographic weighted Tchebycheff program returns exactly the nondominated set, for any feasible region: no convexity, no finiteness, no polyhedral structure. Theorem 4.5 adds that each nondominated vector is the unique output for a weight vector computable from the vector itself, which is what an interactive procedure needs to sample NNN reliably. The price, as the paper notes, is two optimization stages instead of one; the gain is that no augmentation parameter ρ\rhoρ must be estimated. The result is a standard entry in the textbook treatment of Tchebycheff scalarizations (Steuer, Multiple Criteria Optimization, 1986; Ehrgott, Multicriteria Optimization, 2005).

The result is proved on paper. To our knowledge no machine-checked version exists in Lean or Mathlib, which has no material on Tchebycheff scalarization of multiple objective programs. The formal statements below also pin down two points the printed text leaves loose: the direction of the priority factors, and a closedness assumption that the proof uses without stating it.

Difficulty

The ⇐ direction and the soundness remark are short: a dominating vector is at least as good in the first stage and strictly better in the second. The work is in Theorem 4.5. The obvious argument is that zˉ\bar zzˉ is the unique minimizer of the first stage with weights λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ; the paper says so. That is true when zˉ<z∗\bar z<z^*zˉ<z∗ in every coordinate, but false when zˉj=zj∗\bar z_j=z^*_jzˉj​=zj∗​ for some jjj: then λˉ=ej\bar\lambda=e_jλˉ=ej​, and every z∈Zz\in Zz∈Z with zj=zj∗z_j=z^*_jzj​=zj∗​ ties with zˉ\bar zzˉ, dominated vectors included. For example, with Z={(5,3),(5,1),(1,10)}Z=\{(5,3),(5,1),(1,10)\}Z={(5,3),(5,1),(1,10)} and z∗=(5,10)z^*=(5,10)z∗=(5,10), the vectors (5,3)(5,3)(5,3) and (5,1)(5,1)(5,1) tie. Only the second stage separates them. Showing that it always selects zˉ\bar zzˉ requires every tied vector to lie below a nondominated vector attaining zj∗z^*_jzj∗​, which by the ideal-vector rule must be zˉ\bar zzˉ. That existence step fails for sets that are not closed.

Formalization scope

Criterion vectors are Fin k → ℝ with [NeZero k] (k≥1k\ge1k≥1); objectives are indexed from 000. SSS, the objectives fif_ifi​ and the program's variable α\alphaα are eliminated: ZZZ is a Set (Fin k → ℝ) and the first-stage value is tλ(z)t_\lambda(z)tλ​(z) above (the paper's metric uses ∣zi∗−zi∣|z^*_i-z_i|∣zi∗​−zi​∣, which agrees with zi∗−ziz^*_i-z_izi∗​−zi​ on ZZZ). Λˉ\bar\LambdaΛˉ is Mathlib's stdSimplex ℝ (Fin k). "Minimizes" is global minimization over ZZZ; "uniquely minimizes" means every lexicographic minimizer equals zˉ\bar zzˉ as a criterion vector.

Conventions and added hypotheses:

  • The lexicographic program is encoded as the two-stage minimization IsLexMin. The printed "P1<<<P2P_1<<<P_2P1​<<<P2​" read literally gives the second stage priority; the paper's text on p. 336 and the goal-programming convention it cites give α\alphaα priority. The two-stage reading is encoded, and the program is not replaced by a weighted sum P1α+P2eT(z∗−z)P_1\alpha+P_2e^{\mathsf T}(z^*-z)P1​α+P2​eT(z∗−z) with fixed numbers, which would be the augmented program of §3.
  • ZZZ compact is an added hypothesis in Theorem 4.5, in the goal, and in the existence half of milestone 3. The paper assumes only that SSS is bounded, and its "max" in the ideal vector presupposes attainment. Without closedness the weight (4.3) can fail: for Z={(5,3,0),(0,10,0),(0,0,6)}∪{(5,0,4+t):0≤t<1}Z=\{(5,3,0),(0,10,0),(0,0,6)\}\cup\{(5,0,4+t):0\le t<1\}Z={(5,3,0),(0,10,0),(0,0,6)}∪{(5,0,4+t):0≤t<1}, z∗=(5,10,6)z^*=(5,10,6)z∗=(5,10,6) and zˉ=(5,3,0)∈N\bar z=(5,3,0)\in Nzˉ=(5,3,0)∈N, the program with λˉ=(1,0,0)\bar\lambda=(1,0,0)λˉ=(1,0,0) has no lexicographic minimizer. Closedness is needed by the theorem itself, not only by this proof: adding the points (5−s2, 3+s, 0)(5-s^2,\,3+s,\,0)(5−s2,3+s,0), 0<s≤10<s\le10<s≤1, to that ZZZ (still bounded, ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0 still admissible) leaves zˉ=(5,3,0)∈N\bar z=(5,3,0)\in Nzˉ=(5,3,0)∈N a lexicographic minimizer for no λ∈Λˉ\lambda\in\bar\Lambdaλ∈Λˉ, so Theorems 4.5 and 4.6 are false for a bounded, non-closed ZZZ. The ⇐ direction, soundness and milestone 1 hold without compactness and are stated without it.
  • The ideal vector keeps the paper's ε\varepsilonε-rule exactly. Replacing it with a strictly dominating z∗z^*z∗ (ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 in every coordinate) would remove the case zˉj=zj∗\bar z_j=z^*_jzˉj​=zj∗​ and weaken both theorems; such a formalization does not count.
  • In (4.3) and in Φ\PhiΦ, division occurs only where the denominator is nonzero. That λˉ∈Λˉ\bar\lambda\in\bar\Lambdaλˉ∈Λˉ for zˉ∈N\bar z\in Nzˉ∈N is part of Theorem 4.5's conclusion, not an assumption.
  • The paper's sentence "the associated weighted Tchebycheff program has a unique solution" (p. 336) is not formalized, since it fails in the tie described above.

Infrastructure needed: dominance and nondominated sets, the ideal vector, the weighted Tchebycheff value, the weights (4.3), and the lexicographic minimizer, all provided as definitions. Proofs will need existence of minimizers of continuous functions on compact sets and a maximal-element argument in the product order on a compact set. Both are reusable for other multiobjective results. Proofs of any item, and faithful statements of Corollaries 4.1 and 4.4 (polyhedral SSS), are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. E. Steuer and E.-U. Choo, An interactive weighted Tchebycheff procedure for multiple objective programming, Mathematical Programming 26 (1983) 326–344. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02591870
  • V. J. Bowman, On the relationship of the Tchebycheff norm and the efficient frontier of multiple-criteria objectives, in: Multiple Criteria Decision Making (Jouy-en-Josas 1975), Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 130, Springer, 1976, 76–86. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-87563-2_5
  • E.-U. Choo and D. R. Atkins, Proper efficiency in nonconvex multicriteria programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 8 (1983) 467–470. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.3.467
  • A. M. Geoffrion, Proper efficiency and the theory of vector maximization, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 22 (1968) 618–630. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(68)90201-1
  • M. Ehrgott, Multicriteria Optimization, 2nd ed., Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-27659-9
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Decision Processes V: No-Arbitrage in Discrete-Time Financial MarketsTextbook

Motivation

Every financial application in the rest of this book — terminal wealth maximization, portfolio choice with consumption, index tracking, hedging — takes as given that the underlying market admits no risk-free profit: an arbitrage opportunity. Ruling this out is not a modeling nicety but a structural necessity, since a market with arbitrage has no sensible notion of a fair price at all. Bäuerle and Rieder's Chapter 3 fixes the discrete- and continuous-time market vocabulary the rest of the book builds on, and proves the one structural fact about no-arbitrage that the later chapters actually invoke: that the whole-horizon, global absence of arbitrage is equivalent to a much simpler one-period condition, checked separately at each stage. This reduction — not the deeper fundamental theorem of asset pricing (existence of an equivalent martingale measure), which the book does not prove in this section — is what turns a statement about strategies over the whole time horizon into something checkable stage by stage, exactly the form needed to embed a no-arbitrage assumption into a dynamic-programming argument.

Setting

An NNN-period financial market with ddd risky assets consists of a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})(Ω,F,P) with filtration (Fn)n=0N(\mathcal{F}_n)_{n=0}^N(Fn​)n=0N​, F0\mathcal{F}_0F0​ trivial; a riskless bond with deterministic interest rate ini_nin​ on [n−1,n)[n-1,n)[n−1,n) (so Sn0=Sn−10(1+in)S^0_n = S^0_{n-1}(1+i_n)Sn0​=Sn−10​(1+in​)); and ddd risky assets with relative price changes R~n=(R~n1,…,R~nd)\tilde R_n = (\tilde R^1_n,\dots,\tilde R^d_n)R~n​=(R~n1​,…,R~nd​), Fn\mathcal{F}_nFn​-measurable and a.s. strictly positive (Snk=Sn−1kR~nkS^k_n = S^k_{n-1}\tilde R^k_nSnk​=Sn−1k​R~nk​). A portfolio (trading strategy) is an (Fn)(\mathcal{F}_n)(Fn​)-adapted process φ=(φn0,φn)\varphi = (\varphi^0_n,\varphi_n)φ=(φn0​,φn​), φn0∈R\varphi^0_n \in \mathbb{R}φn0​∈R, φn∈Rd\varphi_n \in \mathbb{R}^dφn​∈Rd; φnk\varphi^k_nφnk​ is the money invested in asset kkk on [n,n+1)[n,n+1)[n,n+1). Its value before/after trading at time nnn is Xn−:=φn−10(1+in)+φn−1⋅R~nX_n^- := \varphi^0_{n-1}(1+i_n) + \varphi_{n-1}\cdot\tilde R_nXn−​:=φn−10​(1+in​)+φn−1​⋅R~n​, Xn+:=φn0+φn⋅eX_n^+ := \varphi^0_n + \varphi_n\cdot eXn+​:=φn0​+φn​⋅e; φ\varphiφ is self-financing if Xn−=Xn+X_n^- = X_n^+Xn−​=Xn+​ a.s. for every interior nnn. An arbitrage opportunity is a self-financing φ\varphiφ with X0φ=0X_0^\varphi = 0X0φ​=0, XNφ≥0X_N^\varphi \geq 0XNφ​≥0 a.s., XNφ>0X_N^\varphi > 0XNφ​>0 with positive probability. The relative risk process Rnk:=R~nk/(1+in)−1R_n^k := \tilde R_n^k/(1+i_n) - 1Rnk​:=R~nk​/(1+in​)−1 is the excess return of asset kkk over the riskless rate.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 3.1.5

No arbitrage  ⟺  ∀ n<N, ∀ Fn-measurable φn∈Rd:φn⋅Rn+1≥0 a.s.  ⟹  φn⋅Rn+1=0 a.s.\text{No arbitrage} \iff \forall\, n < N,\ \forall\, \mathcal{F}_n\text{-measurable } \varphi_n \in \mathbb{R}^d: \quad \varphi_n \cdot R_{n+1} \geq 0 \text{ a.s.} \implies \varphi_n \cdot R_{n+1} = 0 \text{ a.s.}No arbitrage⟺∀n<N, ∀Fn​-measurable φn​∈Rd:φn​⋅Rn+1​≥0 a.s.⟹φn​⋅Rn+1​=0 a.s.

This is the weakest stable statement that captures the reduction: it asserts the equivalence of the global, whole-horizon absence of arbitrage strategies with a one-period static condition on the relative risk vector, without asserting the stronger (and here unproved) existence of a martingale measure.

No further milestone is formalized in this mission: this chapter's only other theorem, Theorem 3.3.1 (binomial-tree weak convergence to Black-Scholes), needs the Skorokhod topology on the space of càdlàg paths, absent from Mathlib and out of scope to construct here — see the Formalization scope section and HARD.md.

Significance

Theorem 3.1.5 is the tool that lets every later chapter's "assume the market has no arbitrage" hypothesis be checked and used one period at a time rather than as a global existential statement over an intractably large space of strategies. It is also the precise, minimal claim this section proves: contrasted with the full fundamental theorem of asset pricing (no arbitrage   ⟺  \iff⟺ existence of an equivalent martingale measure, due to Harrison–Kreps 1979 and Dalang–Morton–Willinger 1990 in this discrete-time generality), Theorem 3.1.5 is a strictly weaker, purely measure-theoretic reduction that requires no separating-hyperplane or martingale-measure construction to state (only to prove). The definitions this chunk formalizes alongside it — portfolios, self-financing, arbitrage, and utility functions with the Arrow-Pratt risk-aversion coefficient — are the vocabulary every financial mission of this book (Chapters 4, 6, 9, 11) is built from.

Formalizing it contributes the exact discrete-time, filtration-indexed statement of the reduction — a result absent from the platform (searched "arbitrage", "self-financing", "martingale measure", "utility function"; the one related hit, LinearOptimization.no_arbitrage_iff_state_prices, is a static single-period linear-programming duality statement — no-arbitrage iff nonnegative state prices exist for a fixed return matrix — a different equivalence for a different, non-stochastic model, not reused here).

Difficulty

The direction "local no-free-lunch at every stage ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ no arbitrage" is the easy one: an arbitrage strategy, unwound via the recursive wealth formula, forces a violation of the local condition at some stage by a stopping-time argument on the first period where the wealth increment is a.s. nonnegative and not a.s. zero. The converse, "an arbitrage opportunity forces the local condition to fail somewhere," is the direction that needs the reduction of the whole-horizon problem to a single period: the natural first attempt (induct forward from n=0n=0n=0) does not directly work, because whether a strategy is an arbitrage is a statement about the terminal wealth XNX_NXN​, and a violation at an early stage does not obviously propagate; the book's proof instead identifies, from an arbitrage strategy, the last stage at which the one-period condition fails and constructs a genuinely one-period arbitrage there — an argument that needs care with the a.s.-qualifiers at every step (the difference between "X≥0X \geq 0X≥0 a.s." failing to imply "X<0X < 0X<0 with positive probability" only up to null sets is exactly where the measure-theoretic bookkeeping matters).

Formalization scope

The market is represented via DiscreteFinancialMarket, bundling the probability space, filtration, and the two primitives (iii, R~\tilde RR~) actually used; price processes S0,SkS^0, S^kS0,Sk are not separately represented, since they would only be running products of these two primitives with no further role once the relative risk process RRR is derived. Filtration is represented directly as a monotone family of sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras with a trivial Fam 0, not via Mathlib's Filtration structure, to avoid instance-juggling that would add no content here. Adaptedness/predictability and the a.s. conditions of every definition are exactly the book's own. Definitions 3.2.1-3.2.2 (the continuous-time portfolio and its self-financing condition, needed by chunk 09b's jump-market model) use an abstract StochasticIntegral operator taken as given data, since Mathlib has no general theory of integration against an arbitrary càdlàg semimartingale (only specific constructions such as Itô integration against Brownian motion); this is a deliberate infrastructure gap flagged for whoever eventually needs to instantiate it, not a hidden simplification of the definition's own content, which states the self-financing equation exactly as the book writes it.

Theorem 3.3.1 is not formalized in this mission and is recorded in HARD.md. The theorem asserts weak convergence of the whole path of the binomial-tree price process to the Black-Scholes-Merton stock price on the Skorokhod space D[0,T]D[0,T]D[0,T] of càdlàg functions with the Skorokhod topology — a materially stronger and more setup-heavy claim than finite-dimensional convergence in distribution, and the book explicitly names this topology (it is not left implicit). Mathlib has no formalization of D[0,T]D[0,T]D[0,T] or the Skorokhod topology, and building either from scratch (the space of càdlàg functions, the Skorokhod metric via time-warpings, the tightness criteria needed for Donsker-type invariance principles) is a substantial undertaking outside the scope of a single milestone; weakening the claim to convergence of finite-dimensional distributions, or silently substituting an unnamed alternative topology (e.g. uniform convergence, under which the claim would in fact be false, since the discretized paths have jumps the limit does not), would misstate the theorem rather than state a smaller piece of it faithfully. A general-purpose Skorokhod-space/Skorokhod-topology formalization in Mathlib — reusable well beyond this book — is the prerequisite contribution that would unlock this result.

No trivializing formalization: NoArbitrage quantifies over all self-financing portfolios (Portfolio M, an unrestricted adapted process, not a finite or parametrized family), and the one-period condition of part b) quantifies over all Fn\mathcal{F}_nFn​-measurable φn∈Rd\varphi_n \in \mathbb{R}^dφn​∈Rd — narrowing either quantifier (e.g. to strategies with bounded positions) would state a weaker, easier claim than the book's own theorem.

Selected references

  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9
  • J. M. Harrison and D. M. Kreps, "Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets", Journal of Economic Theory, 1979 (the discrete-time fundamental theorem of asset pricing this chapter's Theorem 3.1.5 is a structural lemma toward, not itself proved in this section).
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