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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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© 2026 Prove2Me
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Discover

Find your next mission.

Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

NoneFormalized record→≥ 0.00003666565558019Open frontier
2 provers on it0 of 2 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999074Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
9 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record→≤ 70Open frontier
3 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Learning and Online Convex Optimization 5: Online-to-Batch Conversion Bounds the Excess Risk by the Expected Average RegretResearch Paper

Motivation

Online learning and stochastic learning ask different questions. An online learner faces an arbitrary sequence of loss functions and is judged by its regret: the excess of its cumulative loss over that of the best fixed hypothesis in hindsight. A stochastic learner receives independent samples from an unknown distribution and is judged by the risk of a single hypothesis it outputs. Regret bounds hold without any probabilistic assumption, so they are strong guarantees; risk bounds are what statistical learning and stochastic optimization actually need.

The online-to-batch conversion connects the two: run any online learner on losses built from i.i.d. samples and output either the average of its predictions or one prediction chosen at random. The expected excess risk of the output is then at most the expected regret divided by the number of rounds. A general form of the conversion is due to Cesa-Bianchi, Conconi and Gentile (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 2004). Shalev-Shwartz's survey (Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 2011) states it in expectation, in Vapnik's general setting of learning, as Theorem 5.1 and Corollary 5.2 (§5, pp. 186–189). Every stochastic-gradient analysis that goes "regret bound, then online-to-batch" rests on this statement.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd and a hypothesis class S⊆RdS \subseteq \mathbb R^dS⊆Rd. Examples range over a measurable space Ψ\PsiΨ and are drawn from a probability distribution QQQ on Ψ\PsiΨ, which the learner does not know. A cost c(w,ψ)≥0c(w,\psi) \ge 0c(w,ψ)≥0 measures how badly hypothesis w∈Sw\in Sw∈S does on example ψ\psiψ, and the risk of www is

C(w)=Eψ∼Q [c(w,ψ)].C(w) = \mathbb E_{\psi\sim Q}\,[c(w,\psi)].C(w)=Eψ∼Q​[c(w,ψ)].

This is Vapnik's general setting of learning (Definition 5.1); supervised classification, regression and stochastic convex optimization are special cases.

The conversion draws ψ0,…,ψT−1\psi_0,\dots,\psi_{T-1}ψ0​,…,ψT−1​ independently from QQQ and runs an online learner on the losses ft(w)=c(w,ψt)f_t(w) = c(w,\psi_t)ft​(w)=c(w,ψt​). Its prediction in round ttt, wt∈Sw_t\in Swt​∈S, may depend only on ψ0,…,ψt−1\psi_0,\dots,\psi_{t-1}ψ0​,…,ψt−1​. The output wˉ\bar wwˉ is either the average 1T∑twt\frac1T\sum_t w_tT1​∑t​wt​ or the randomized choice wrw_rwr​, with rrr uniform on the TTT rounds and independent of the sample.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 5.2

For every comparator u∈Su\in Su∈S, under the conditions of Theorem 5.1,

E[C(wˉ)]−C(u)  ≤  E[1T∑t(ft(wt)−ft(u))],\mathbb E\big[C(\bar w)\big] - C(u) \;\le\; \mathbb E\Big[\frac1T\sum_{t}\big(f_t(w_t)-f_t(u)\big)\Big],E[C(wˉ)]−C(u)≤E[T1​t∑​(ft​(wt​)−ft​(u))],

for the randomized output, and for the averaged output when SSS and CCC are convex. The right side is the expected regret divided by TTT. The statement contains no constant: it is an exact reduction, valid for every online learner.

Milestones

  1. The round-ttt identity E[c(wt,ψt)]=E[C(wt)]\mathbb E[c(w_t,\psi_t)] = \mathbb E[C(w_t)]E[c(wt​,ψt​)]=E[C(wt​)] (§5, p. 188).
  2. Equation (5.1): E[1T∑tC(wt)]=E[1T∑tc(wt,ψt)]\mathbb E\big[\frac1T\sum_t C(w_t)\big] = \mathbb E\big[\frac1T\sum_t c(w_t,\psi_t)\big]E[T1​∑t​C(wt​)]=E[T1​∑t​c(wt​,ψt​)].
  3. Theorem 5.1: E[C(wˉ)]=E[1T∑tft(wt)]\mathbb E[C(\bar w)] = \mathbb E\big[\frac1T\sum_t f_t(w_t)\big]E[C(wˉ)]=E[T1​∑t​ft​(wt​)] for randomization, and ≤\le≤ for averaging when CCC is convex.
  4. The comparator identity E[1T∑tc(u,ψt)]=C(u)\mathbb E\big[\frac1T\sum_t c(u,\psi_t)\big] = C(u)E[T1​∑t​c(u,ψt​)]=C(u) (p. 189).

Significance

Corollary 5.2 makes every regret bound a risk bound. Combined with the O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret of online gradient descent or online mirror descent, it gives the O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​) excess-risk rate of stochastic gradient methods for convex Lipschitz problems; combined with logarithmic regret for strongly convex losses, it gives O(log⁡T/T)O(\log T / T)O(logT/T) rates. The survey's own "Stochastic Online Mirror Descent" box (p. 189) is exactly this composition.

The result is proved in the paper. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version in a measure-theoretic model with honest non-anticipation and a genuine model of the randomized output. The platform has a related statement, Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar's Theorem 8.15 (FoundationsML.OnlineLearning.online_to_batch_conversion), which is a high-probability bound for bounded convex losses in supervised learning; it is a different statement and neither implies the other. The expectation form here is the one stochastic-optimization arguments use.

Difficulty

The result is short on paper; the formal content is the conditional-expectation step. The prediction wtw_twt​ is a random variable built from ψ0,…,ψt−1\psi_0,\dots,\psi_{t-1}ψ0​,…,ψt−1​, while ψt\psi_tψt​ is a fresh draw, so E[c(wt,ψt)]\mathbb E[c(w_t,\psi_t)]E[c(wt​,ψt​)] must be computed by integrating out ψt\psi_tψt​ first, which means a Fubini–Tonelli argument on a product of TTT copies of QQQ split into the past, the present and the future of round ttt. The first idea, that c(wt,ψt)c(w_t,\psi_t)c(wt​,ψt​) has the same law as c(w,ψ)c(w,\psi)c(w,ψ) for a fixed www, is wrong: wtw_twt​ is random. The identity also fails as soon as wtw_twt​ may look at ψt\psi_tψt​ (take wtw_twt​ a minimizer of c(⋅,ψt)c(\cdot,\psi_t)c(⋅,ψt​)), so the argument must use the information structure, not only the marginal laws. The averaging part additionally needs Jensen's inequality for CCC and the measurability of CCC as a function of the hypothesis.

Formalization scope

  • Hypotheses live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with SSS a set, because averaging needs a vector space. Rounds are numbered 0,…,T−10,\dots,T-10,…,T−1, and T≥1T \ge 1T≥1.
  • The sample is ψ : Fin T → Ψ under Measure.pi (fun _ => Q), with Q a probability measure: independent draws from QQQ.
  • The online learner is a family A t : (Fin t → Ψ) → ℝ^d of measurable maps with values in SSS, so non-anticipation holds by typing: wt=At(ψ0,…,ψt−1)w_t = A_t(\psi_0,\dots,\psi_{t-1})wt​=At​(ψ0​,…,ψt−1​). The learner may read the examples, not only the losses; this class contains the paper's learners, so the statements are at least as strong.
  • The randomized output is modelled on the product of the sample law with the uniform law on Fin T. The expectation over rrr is not replaced by the average over rounds (that replacement is the first line of the proof).
  • Standing assumptions on the cost (footnote 1, made explicit): c≥0c\ge0c≥0 on S×ΨS\times\PsiS×Ψ, jointly measurable on S×ΨS\times\PsiS×Ψ, and c(w,⋅)c(w,\cdot)c(w,⋅) integrable for each w∈Sw\in Sw∈S, so that C(w)C(w)C(w) is a real number.
  • Added hypotheses, each recorded in the statements: u∈Su\in Su∈S for "uuu any vector"; SSS convex for the averaged output, so that wˉ∈S\bar w\in Swˉ∈S; for the averaged output, the online losses c(wt,ψt)c(w_t,\psi_t)c(wt​,ψt​) have finite expectation (otherwise the paper's inequality has an infinite right side, which Lean's Bochner integral would read as 000).
  • No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears in this section, so there are no constants to instantiate, and no erratum was found.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: a prediction allowed to depend on the whole sample would make the identity false, and integrals of non-integrable functions, which Lean evaluates to 000, appear only on sides where the hypotheses or nonnegativity make them meaningful.
  • Out of scope: the high-probability version (footnote 2, p. 187), empirical risk minimization (p. 187), and the "Stochastic Online Mirror Descent" box (p. 189), which carries no theorem.

Infrastructure needed: Tonelli/Fubini on finite products split at a coordinate (Mathlib's Measure.pi), measurability of parametric integrals, and Jensen's inequality for a convex function of a finite average. The round-ttt identity is reusable for any non-anticipating stochastic process; contributions of proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, Online Learning and Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 4(2), 107–194, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000018
  • N. Cesa-Bianchi, A. Conconi, C. Gentile, On the generalization ability of on-line learning algorithms, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 50(9), 2050–2057, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2004.833339
  • V. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998. ISBN 978-0-471-03003-4
6 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Learning and Online Convex Optimization 3: Winnow Makes at Most (Σₜ fₜ(u) + k log(d)/η)/(1 − 2η) Mistakes, and 8k log d on Separable k-Literal DisjunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

A monotone disjunction over ddd Boolean variables is a rule of the form x[i1]∨⋯∨x[ik]x[i_1]\vee\dots\vee x[i_k]x[i1​]∨⋯∨x[ik​]. Learning such a rule online — predicting the label of each example before it is revealed and paying one unit per wrong prediction — is the basic test case for learning when only a few of many features matter. Littlestone's Winnow algorithm (Littlestone 1988) learns a kkk-literal disjunction with O(klog⁡d)O(k\log d)O(klogd) mistakes, while additive algorithms such as the Perceptron need a number of mistakes that grows linearly in ddd on the same problem. Kivinen and Warmuth (1997) placed this gap inside a general theory of multiplicative versus additive updates. Shalev-Shwartz's survey (2011) derives Winnow as a special case of Online Mirror Descent with an unnormalized entropy regularizer, and obtains its mistake bound from a general local-norm regret bound. This mission formalizes that derivation.

Setting

Throughout, labels are yt∈{−1,1}y_t\in\{-1,1\}yt​∈{−1,1} and instances are xt∈{0,1}dx_t\in\{0,1\}^dxt​∈{0,1}d. For u∈{0,1}du\in\{0,1\}^du∈{0,1}d with ∥u∥1=k\|u\|_1=k∥u∥1​=k, the hypothesis x↦sign⁡(⟨u,x⟩−1/2)x\mapsto\operatorname{sign}(\langle u,x\rangle-1/2)x↦sign(⟨u,x⟩−1/2) is the disjunction of the kkk variables with u[i]=1u[i]=1u[i]=1. A weight vector www errs on (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) when y(2⟨w,x⟩−1)≤0y(2\langle w,x\rangle-1)\le0y(2⟨w,x⟩−1)≤0.

Winnow with parameter η>0\eta>0η>0 starts from w1=(1/d,…,1/d)w_1=(1/d,\dots,1/d)w1​=(1/d,…,1/d). On round ttt it receives xtx_txt​, predicts sign⁡(2⟨wt,xt⟩−1)\operatorname{sign}(2\langle w_t,x_t\rangle-1)sign(2⟨wt​,xt​⟩−1), and receives yty_tyt​. If yt(2⟨wt,xt⟩−1)≤0y_t(2\langle w_t,x_t\rangle-1)\le0yt​(2⟨wt​,xt​⟩−1)≤0 it sets wt+1[i]=wt[i]e2ηytxt[i]w_{t+1}[i]=w_t[i]e^{2\eta y_tx_t[i]}wt+1​[i]=wt​[i]e2ηyt​xt​[i] for every iii; otherwise wt+1=wtw_{t+1}=w_twt+1​=wt​. The set M\mathcal MM collects the rounds on which it errs. On those rounds the surrogate loss is the hinge loss ft(w)=[1−yt(2⟨w,xt⟩−1)]+f_t(w)=[1-y_t(2\langle w,x_t\rangle-1)]_+ft​(w)=[1−yt​(2⟨w,xt​⟩−1)]+​, and ft=0f_t=0ft​=0 on all other rounds.

Unnormalized Exponentiated Gradient with parameters η,λ>0\eta,\lambda>0η,λ>0, run on linear losses zt∈Rdz_t\in\mathbb R^dzt​∈Rd, keeps wt[i]=λe−ηz1:t−1[i]w_t[i]=\lambda e^{-\eta z_{1:t-1}[i]}wt​[i]=λe−ηz1:t−1​[i], where z1:t−1=∑s<tzsz_{1:t-1}=\sum_{s<t}z_sz1:t−1​=∑s<t​zs​. Winnow is this algorithm with λ=1/d\lambda=1/dλ=1/d and zt=−2ytxtz_t=-2y_tx_tzt​=−2yt​xt​ on t∈Mt\in\mathcal Mt∈M, zt=0z_t=0zt​=0 otherwise.

Online Mirror Descent (OMD) with link function ggg predicts wt=g(−z1:t−1)w_t=g(-z_{1:t-1})wt​=g(−z1:t−1​). Its analysis uses the Fenchel conjugate R⋆(θ)=sup⁡w∈S(⟨w,θ⟩−R(w))R^\star(\theta)=\sup_{w\in S}(\langle w,\theta\rangle-R(w))R⋆(θ)=supw∈S​(⟨w,θ⟩−R(w)) of a regularizer RRR on a set SSS, and the Bregman divergence DF(a∥b)=F(a)−F(b)−⟨∇F(b),a−b⟩D_F(a\|b)=F(a)-F(b)-\langle\nabla F(b),a-b\rangleDF​(a∥b)=F(a)−F(b)−⟨∇F(b),a−b⟩.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.10

For 0<η<1/20<\eta<1/20<η<1/2, k≥1k\ge1k≥1 and every u∈{0,1}du\in\{0,1\}^du∈{0,1}d with ∥u∥1=k\|u\|_1=k∥u∥1​=k,

∣M∣≤∑t=1Tft(wt)≤11−2η(∑t=1Tft(u)+klog⁡dη),|\mathcal M|\le\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(w_t)\le\frac{1}{1-2\eta}\Bigl(\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(u)+\frac{k\log d}{\eta}\Bigr),∣M∣≤t=1∑T​ft​(wt​)≤1−2η1​(t=1∑T​ft​(u)+ηklogd​),

and if yt(2⟨u,xt⟩−1)≥1y_t(2\langle u,x_t\rangle-1)\ge1yt​(2⟨u,xt​⟩−1)≥1 for all ttt, the run with η=1/4\eta=1/4η=1/4 satisfies

∣M∣≤8klog⁡d.|\mathcal M|\le8k\log d.∣M∣≤8klogd.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.20: for OMD with link g=∇R⋆g=\nabla R^\starg=∇R⋆ and every u∈Su\in Su∈S,
∑t=1T⟨wt−u,zt⟩≤R(u)−R(w1)+∑t=1TDR⋆(−z1:t∥−z1:t−1),\sum_{t=1}^T\langle w_t-u,z_t\rangle\le R(u)-R(w_1)+\sum_{t=1}^TD_{R^\star}(-z_{1:t}\|-z_{1:t-1}),t=1∑T​⟨wt​−u,zt​⟩≤R(u)−R(w1​)+t=1∑T​DR⋆​(−z1:t​∥−z1:t−1​),

with equality at a minimizer of R(u)+∑t⟨u,zt⟩R(u)+\sum_t\langle u,z_t\rangleR(u)+∑t​⟨u,zt​⟩. 2. Theorem 2.23: if ηzt[i]≥−1\eta z_t[i]\ge-1ηzt​[i]≥−1 for all t,it,it,i, then for all u≥0u\ge0u≥0

∑t=1T⟨wt−u,zt⟩≤dλ+∑iu[i]log⁡(u[i]/(eλ))η+η∑t=1T∑iwt[i]zt[i]2,\sum_{t=1}^T\langle w_t-u,z_t\rangle\le\frac{d\lambda+\sum_iu[i]\log(u[i]/(e\lambda))}{\eta}+\eta\sum_{t=1}^T\sum_iw_t[i]z_t[i]^2,t=1∑T​⟨wt​−u,zt​⟩≤ηdλ+∑i​u[i]log(u[i]/(eλ))​+ηt=1∑T​i∑​wt​[i]zt​[i]2,

together with its specialization to λ=1/d\lambda=1/dλ=1/d. 3. (3.3): ∑t(ft(wt)−ft(u))≤∑t⟨wt−u,zt⟩≤klog⁡(d)/η+η∑t∑iwt[i]zt[i]2\sum_t(f_t(w_t)-f_t(u))\le\sum_t\langle w_t-u,z_t\rangle\le k\log(d)/\eta+\eta\sum_t\sum_iw_t[i]z_t[i]^2∑t​(ft​(wt​)−ft​(u))≤∑t​⟨wt​−u,zt​⟩≤klog(d)/η+η∑t​∑i​wt​[i]zt​[i]2 for Winnow. 4. (3.4): ∑iwt[i]zt[i]2≤2ft(wt)\sum_iw_t[i]z_t[i]^2\le2f_t(w_t)∑i​wt​[i]zt​[i]2≤2ft​(wt​) for every round.

Significance

The theorem gives a mistake bound for learning sparse disjunctions that is logarithmic in the number of irrelevant features, against the 4(d+1)k4(d+1)k4(d+1)k of the Perceptron run on the same surrogate (p. 173). The first inequality also covers non-separable data: the bound degrades by ∑tft(u)\sum_tf_t(u)∑t​ft​(u), the total hinge violation of the best disjunction. The milestones are general and carry weight beyond Winnow. Lemma 2.20 is the standard duality form of the OMD regret bound. Theorem 2.23 is a local-norm bound that also allows negative losses down to −1/η-1/\eta−1/η.

All four results are proved on paper. To our knowledge none has a machine-checked proof, in Lean or elsewhere. This mission produces such proofs for the survey's own route: OMD duality, then unnormalized EG, then Winnow.

Difficulty

The obvious route bounds Winnow directly with a potential function, but the survey's statement sits at the end of a chain. The chain needs Fenchel–Young with an attained supremum, a telescoping identity for the conjugate, and the inequality e−a≤1−a+a2e^{-a}\le1-a+a^2e−a≤1−a+a2 for a≥−1a\ge-1a≥−1. It also needs a reduction in which the surrogate losses ftf_tft​ depend on the algorithm's own error set M\mathcal MM. Since ftf_tft​ is defined after the run, the subgradient inequality must be argued for exactly these losses. The bound 1+∑iu[i]log⁡(du[i]/e)≤klog⁡d1+\sum_iu[i]\log(du[i]/e)\le k\log d1+∑i​u[i]log(du[i]/e)≤klogd uses that uuu is Boolean and that k≥1k\ge1k≥1; for fractional u∈[0,1]du\in[0,1]^du∈[0,1]d or for k=0k=0k=0 it fails. Solving (3.3) and (3.4) for ∑tft(wt)\sum_tf_t(w_t)∑t​ft​(wt​) needs 1−2η>01-2\eta>01−2η>0.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin d → ℝ with explicit sums ∑i\sum_i∑i​; Lemma 2.20 is stated in an arbitrary real Hilbert space. Rounds are numbered 0,…,T−10,\dots,T-10,…,T−1 in place of 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T. Instances, labels and comparators carry the hypotheses xt[i]∈{0,1}x_t[i]\in\{0,1\}xt​[i]∈{0,1}, yt∈{−1,1}y_t\in\{-1,1\}yt​∈{−1,1}, u[i]∈{0,1}u[i]\in\{0,1\}u[i]∈{0,1}, ∑iu[i]=k\sum_iu[i]=k∑i​u[i]=k. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm, and 0log⁡0=00\log0=00log0=0 through Real.log 0 = 0.

Erratum corrected. The Winnow box on p. 173 prints the update wt+1[i]=wt[i]e−η2ytxt[i]w_{t+1}[i]=w_t[i]e^{-\eta2y_tx_t[i]}wt+1​[i]=wt​[i]e−η2yt​xt​[i], and the proof on p. 174 uses zt=2ytxtz_t=2y_tx_tzt​=2yt​xt​. With that sign the algorithm demotes on a false negative, and Theorem 3.10 is false. Take d=2d=2d=2, k=1k=1k=1, u=(1,0)u=(1,0)u=(1,0), η=1/4\eta=1/4η=1/4, and xt=(1,0)x_t=(1,0)xt​=(1,0), yt=1y_t=1yt​=1 on every round. The margin condition holds, and w1=(1/2,1/2)w_1=(1/2,1/2)w1​=(1/2,1/2) errs on round 1. The printed update only shrinks w[1]w[1]w[1], so every round is an error, and T=6T=6T=6 exceeds 8log⁡2≈5.558\log2\approx5.558log2≈5.55. On an error round the hinge surrogate has gradient −2ytxt-2y_tx_t−2yt​xt​ at wtw_twt​. The mission therefore formalizes the update wt+1[i]=wt[i]e2ηytxt[i]w_{t+1}[i]=w_t[i]e^{2\eta y_tx_t[i]}wt+1​[i]=wt​[i]e2ηyt​xt​[i] (Littlestone's Winnow) and zt=−2ytxtz_t=-2y_tx_tzt​=−2yt​xt​ on M\mathcal MM. With this update the run above errs once. The milestone texts are quoted verbatim, with the printed sign.

Implicit hypotheses made explicit.

  • η>0\eta>0η>0 is Winnow's parameter.
  • The goal requires η<1/2\eta<1/2η<1/2: at η=1/2\eta=1/2η=1/2 the factor 1/(1−2η)1/(1-2\eta)1/(1−2η) is undefined.
  • k≥1k\ge1k≥1 is required: the theorem fails for k=0k=0k=0 (take u=0u=0u=0, d=2d=2d=2, xt=(1,1)x_t=(1,1)xt​=(1,1), yt=−1y_t=-1yt​=−1).
  • The particular case is a statement about the separate run with η=1/4\eta=1/4η=1/4, and its margin condition is required on the TTT rounds considered.
  • The milestone (3.3) keeps the page's η≤1/2\eta\le1/2η≤1/2.

Conventions.

  • M\mathcal MM contains ties (yt(2⟨wt,xt⟩−1)=0y_t(2\langle w_t,x_t\rangle-1)=0yt​(2⟨wt​,xt​⟩−1)=0), as in the proof on p. 174.
  • In Lemma 2.20, "g=∇R⋆g=\nabla R^\starg=∇R⋆" is three hypotheses: g(θ)∈Sg(\theta)\in Sg(θ)∈S, g(θ)g(\theta)g(θ) attains the conjugate's supremum, and R⋆R^\starR⋆ has gradient g(θ)g(\theta)g(θ) at θ\thetaθ. The comparator ranges over SSS.
  • Theorem 2.23's ∥u∥1\|u\|_1∥u∥1​ is ∑iu[i]\sum_iu[i]∑i​u[i], which equals it because u≥0u\ge0u≥0.

The bounds carry no O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) and no constant is instantiated. A trivializing formalization is ruled out: ftf_tft​ is the run's own surrogate, not a free function, and the η=1/4\eta=1/4η=1/4 conjunct quantifies over the η=1/4\eta=1/4η=1/4 weights.

Infrastructure needed: conjugates and the Fenchel–Young inequality on a subtype, telescoping sums, elementary exponential inequalities, and the case analysis on {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued data. Lemma 2.20 and Theorem 2.23 are reusable for other OMD and EG analyses. Lemma 2.20 is also stated in the companion mission on normalized EG. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to the goal, are welcome. Excluded: the Perceptron comparison 4(d+1)k4(d+1)k4(d+1)k (p. 173), and Theorem 3.9 (Perceptron), which is already proved on the platform.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, Online Learning and Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 4(2) (2011) 107–194. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000018
  • N. Littlestone, Learning quickly when irrelevant attributes abound: a new linear-threshold algorithm, Machine Learning 2 (1988) 285–318. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00116827
  • J. Kivinen, M. K. Warmuth, Exponentiated gradient versus gradient descent for linear predictors, Information and Computation 132(1) (1997) 1–63. https://doi.org/10.1006/inco.1996.2612
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Differential GeometryNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization Methods on Riemannian Manifolds and Their Application to Shape Space 2: Riemannian Fletcher-Reeves Conjugate Gradient with Strong Wolfe Steps Has liminf of the Gradient Norm ZeroResearch Paper

Motivation

Many optimization problems in shape analysis, computer vision, numerical linear algebra and statistics have a nonlinear search space: a sphere, a Stiefel or Grassmann manifold, a space of curves modulo reparametrization. Projecting iterates of a Euclidean method back onto the constraint set loses the geometry, so one designs methods that move along the manifold itself. Riemannian line-search methods do this by replacing the update xk+1=xk+αkpkx_{k+1}=x_k+\alpha_kp_kxk+1​=xk​+αk​pk​ with xk+1=Rxk(αkpk)x_{k+1}=R_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)xk+1​=Rxk​​(αk​pk​) for a retraction RRR, and by carrying old search directions to the new tangent space with a transport.

Nonlinear conjugate gradient (NCG) methods are a natural candidate on manifolds: they need only first derivatives and store one previous direction. In the Euclidean case, Al-Baali showed in 1985 that the Fletcher–Reeves method with strong Wolfe step lengths and c2<12c_2<\tfrac12c2​<21​ satisfies lim inf⁡k∥∇f(xk)∥=0\liminf_k\|\nabla f(x_k)\|=0liminfk​∥∇f(xk​)∥=0 (doi:10.1093/imanum/5.1.121); Nocedal and Wright give the standard textbook proof (Lemma 5.6 and Theorem 5.7 in Numerical Optimization). Ring and Wirth (doi:10.1137/11082885X, SIAM J. Optim. 2012) transfer this analysis to Riemannian manifolds, possibly infinite-dimensional, which is the setting of their application to shape spaces. The mission formalizes that transfer.

Setting

M\mathcal MM is a smooth manifold modelled on a real Hilbert space EEE, with a Riemannian metric gxg_xgx​ on each tangent space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M and norm ∥⋅∥x\|\cdot\|_x∥⋅∥x​. For f:M→Rf:\mathcal M\to\mathbb Rf:M→R, Df(x)\mathrm Df(x)Df(x) is its differential, a continuous linear functional on TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M with dual norm ∥Df(x)∥x\|\mathrm Df(x)\|_x∥Df(x)∥x​, and the gradient ∇f(x)∈TxM\nabla f(x)\in T_x\mathcal M∇f(x)∈Tx​M is its Riesz representative, gx(∇f(x),v)=Df(x)vg_x(\nabla f(x),v)=\mathrm Df(x)vgx​(∇f(x),v)=Df(x)v.

A retraction is a family of smooth maps Rx:TxM→MR_x:T_x\mathcal M\to\mathcal MRx​:Tx​M→M with Rx(0)=xR_x(0)=xRx​(0)=x and DRx(0)=id\mathrm DR_x(0)=\mathrm{id}DRx​(0)=id. Its transport is Tx,Rx(v)Rx=DRx(v):TxM→TRx(v)MT^{R_x}_{x,R_x(v)}=\mathrm DR_x(v):T_x\mathcal M\to T_{R_x(v)}\mathcal MTx,Rx​(v)Rx​​=DRx​(v):Tx​M→TRx​(v)​M.

A run of Algorithm 1 consists of points xkx_kxk​, directions pk∈TxkMp_k\in T_{x_k}\mathcal Mpk​∈Txk​​M and steps αk>0\alpha_k>0αk​>0 with xk+1=Rxk(αkpk)x_{k+1}=R_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)xk+1​=Rxk​​(αk​pk​). With 0<c1<c2<10<c_1<c_2<10<c1​<c2​<1, the Wolfe conditions at (x,p,α)(x,p,\alpha)(x,p,α) are

f(Rx(αp))≤f(x)+c1α Df(x)p,(1a)f(R_x(\alpha p))\le f(x)+c_1\alpha\,\mathrm Df(x)p,\tag{1a}f(Rx​(αp))≤f(x)+c1​αDf(x)p,(1a) Df(Rx(αp)) Tx,Rx(αp)Rxp≥c2 Df(x)p,(1b)\mathrm Df(R_x(\alpha p))\,T^{R_x}_{x,R_x(\alpha p)}p\ge c_2\,\mathrm Df(x)p,\tag{1b}Df(Rx​(αp))Tx,Rx​(αp)Rx​​p≥c2​Df(x)p,(1b)

and the strong Wolfe conditions replace (1b) by

∣Df(Rx(αp)) Tx,Rx(αp)Rxp∣≤−c2 Df(x)p.(2)\bigl|\mathrm Df(R_x(\alpha p))\,T^{R_x}_{x,R_x(\alpha p)}p\bigr|\le -c_2\,\mathrm Df(x)p.\tag{2}​Df(Rx​(αp))Tx,Rx​(αp)Rx​​p​≤−c2​Df(x)p.(2)

The angle θk\theta_kθk​ between pkp_kpk​ and −∇f(xk)-\nabla f(x_k)−∇f(xk​) is given by cos⁡θk=−Df(xk)pk/(∥Df(xk)∥xk∥pk∥xk)\cos\theta_k=-\mathrm Df(x_k)p_k/(\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|_{x_k}\|p_k\|_{x_k})cosθk​=−Df(xk​)pk​/(∥Df(xk​)∥xk​​∥pk​∥xk​​).

The Fletcher–Reeves direction is

p0=−∇f(x0),pk+1=−∇f(xk+1)+βk+1 Txk,xk+1Rxkpk,βk+1=∥Df(xk+1)∥xk+12∥Df(xk)∥xk2.p_0=-\nabla f(x_0),\qquad p_{k+1}=-\nabla f(x_{k+1})+\beta_{k+1}\,T^{R_{x_k}}_{x_k,x_{k+1}}p_k,\qquad \beta_{k+1}=\frac{\|\mathrm Df(x_{k+1})\|_{x_{k+1}}^2}{\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|_{x_k}^2}.p0​=−∇f(x0​),pk+1​=−∇f(xk+1​)+βk+1​Txk​,xk+1​Rxk​​​pk​,βk+1​=∥Df(xk​)∥xk​2​∥Df(xk+1​)∥xk+1​2​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 15

For a non-terminating Fletcher–Reeves run with strong Wolfe steps and 0<c1<c2<120<c_1<c_2<\tfrac120<c1​<c2​<21​, if the transport is non-expansive on the search directions, ∥Txk,xk+1Rxkpk∥xk+1≤∥pk∥xk\|T^{R_{x_k}}_{x_k,x_{k+1}}p_k\|_{x_{k+1}}\le\|p_k\|_{x_k}∥Txk​,xk+1​Rxk​​​pk​∥xk+1​​≤∥pk​∥xk​​, fff is bounded below, and the pull-backs f∘Rxkf\circ R_{x_k}f∘Rxk​​ are Lipschitz continuously differentiable on span{pk}\mathrm{span}\{p_k\}span{pk​} with a uniform constant, then

lim inf⁡k→∞∥Df(xk)∥xk=0.\liminf_{k\to\infty}\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|_{x_k}=0.k→∞liminf​∥Df(xk​)∥xk​​=0.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2 (Zoutendijk). For Wolfe steps along descent directions, fff bounded below and the line-Lipschitz condition, ∑kcos⁡2θk∥Df(xk)∥xk2<∞\sum_k\cos^2\theta_k\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|_{x_k}^2<\infty∑k​cos2θk​∥Df(xk​)∥xk​2​<∞.
  2. Lemma 14. For a Fletcher–Reeves run with strong Wolfe steps and c2<12c_2<\tfrac12c2​<21​,
−11−c2≤Df(xk)pk∥Df(xk)∥xk2≤2c2−11−c2.-\frac1{1-c_2}\le\frac{\mathrm Df(x_k)p_k}{\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|_{x_k}^2}\le\frac{2c_2-1}{1-c_2}.−1−c2​1​≤∥Df(xk​)∥xk​2​Df(xk​)pk​​≤1−c2​2c2​−1​.
  1. The angle sandwich (proof of Proposition 15): 1−2c21−c2∥Df(xk)∥∥pk∥≤cos⁡θk≤11−c2∥Df(xk)∥∥pk∥\frac{1-2c_2}{1-c_2}\frac{\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|}{\|p_k\|}\le\cos\theta_k\le\frac1{1-c_2}\frac{\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|}{\|p_k\|}1−c2​1−2c2​​∥pk​∥∥Df(xk​)∥​≤cosθk​≤1−c2​1​∥pk​∥∥Df(xk​)∥​.
  2. Square summability: ∑k∥Df(xk)∥4/∥pk∥2<∞\sum_k\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|^4/\|p_k\|^2<\infty∑k​∥Df(xk​)∥4/∥pk​∥2<∞.
  3. Growth bound: ∥pk∥2≤1+c21−c2∥Df(xk)∥4∑j=0k∥Df(xj)∥−2\|p_k\|^2\le\frac{1+c_2}{1-c_2}\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|^4\sum_{j=0}^k\|\mathrm Df(x_j)\|^{-2}∥pk​∥2≤1−c2​1+c2​​∥Df(xk​)∥4∑j=0k​∥Df(xj​)∥−2.

Significance

Proposition 15 guarantees that Riemannian Fletcher–Reeves, with any retraction whose transport does not enlarge the search direction, cannot stall at a positive gradient level: some subsequence of the gradient norms tends to zero. Together with strict convexity in the sense of the paper's Proposition 4 this gives convergence of the iterates to the minimizer, and it justifies the use of the method on the shape spaces of the paper's §4. The hypothesis on the transport is the only new ingredient compared with the Euclidean theorem, and the paper's Remark 7 notes that convergence can no longer be guaranteed without it.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, neither Zoutendijk's theorem on a manifold nor the Fletcher–Reeves convergence theorem has a machine-checked proof; Euclidean versions of both appear elsewhere on the platform, but the Riemannian statements, with retraction, transport and tangent-space-dependent norms, are new. The mission produces the line-search interface on a Riemannian manifold (retraction, transport, Wolfe conditions) in a form reusable by other Riemannian methods.

Difficulty

Each search direction is built from a vector in a different tangent space. The transported direction DRxk(αkpk)pk\mathrm DR_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)p_kDRxk​​(αk​pk​)pk​ lives in TRxk(αkpk)MT_{R_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)}\mathcal MTRxk​​(αk​pk​)​M, and only the step equation identifies it with a vector of Txk+1MT_{x_{k+1}}\mathcal MTxk+1​​M; norms, inner products and differentials all depend on the base point, so every Euclidean manipulation has to be carried through that identification. Zoutendijk's theorem has to connect two different descriptions of the same step: the curvature condition (1b) is stated with the differential of fff at the new point applied to the transported direction, while the Lipschitz hypothesis concerns the one-variable pull-back t↦f(Rxk(tpk))t\mapsto f(R_{x_k}(tp_k))t↦f(Rxk​​(tpk​)). They agree only because the transport is the derivative of the retraction, and the agreement is a chain rule for manifold derivatives, which has to be established in Mathlib's mfderiv framework for maps out of a tangent space. The growth bound cannot use ∥Tp∥=∥p∥\|T p\|=\|p\|∥Tp∥=∥p∥; it needs the non-expansiveness hypothesis exactly where the Euclidean argument uses the identity.

Formalization scope

The manifold is a Mathlib manifold modelled on a real Hilbert space E, with Mathlib's RiemannianBundle on its tangent spaces; tangent-space norms and inner products are the Riemannian ones and Df(x)\mathrm Df(x)Df(x) is mfderiv. Geodesic completeness, separability, the distance and the Levi-Civita connection, standing assumptions of the paper, are not used by any statement and are dropped. The gradient is given as a field with its Riesz property. One retraction family is used for every step (the paper allows a different retraction at each step), the steps are positive, and indices start at 000.

The following readings are explicit:

  • The Fletcher–Reeves run is assumed never to stop (Df(xk)≠0\mathrm Df(x_k)\neq0Df(xk​)=0), since βk+1\beta_{k+1}βk+1​ divides by ∥Df(xk)∥2\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|^2∥Df(xk​)∥2.
  • Descent of the Fletcher–Reeves directions is not assumed; it follows from Lemma 14.
  • "Lipschitz continuously differentiable on span{pk}\mathrm{span}\{p_k\}span{pk​} with constant LLL" is read for hk(t)=f(Rxk(tpk))h_k(t)=f(R_{x_k}(tp_k))hk​(t)=f(Rxk​​(tpk​)): hkh_khk​ is differentiable and ∣hk′(s)−hk′(t)∣≤L∣s−t∣ ∥pk∥2|h_k'(s)-h_k'(t)|\le L|s-t|\,\|p_k\|^2∣hk′​(s)−hk′​(t)∣≤L∣s−t∣∥pk​∥2, with L>0L>0L>0.
  • The hypotheses of Theorem 2 (lower bound on fff, line-Lipschitz condition), which the proof of Proposition 15 invokes but whose statement does not list, are added to Proposition 15 and to the square-summability milestone.
  • The lim inf⁡\liminfliminf is stated as: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and NNN there is k≥Nk\ge Nk≥N with ∥Df(xk)∥<ε\|\mathrm Df(x_k)\|<\varepsilon∥Df(xk​)∥<ε; sums are stated with Summable.

The transport in the conclusion and in the Fletcher–Reeves update is the derivative of the retraction, not an arbitrary linear map; with an arbitrary map, condition (1b) would no longer be a statement about the pull-back f∘Rxkf\circ R_{x_k}f∘Rxk​​, and Zoutendijk's theorem would fail. A run predicate that no sequence satisfies would make the goal vacuous; the one-dimensional run M=R\mathcal M=\mathbb RM=R, Rx(v)=x+vR_x(v)=x+vRx​(v)=x+v, f(x)=x2/2f(x)=x^2/2f(x)=x2/2, c1=0.1c_1=0.1c1​=0.1, c2=0.45c_2=0.45c2​=0.45, xk+1=0.4xkx_{k+1}=0.4x_kxk+1​=0.4xk​ satisfies every hypothesis.

The paper's other main result, R-linear convergence of Riemannian BFGS (Proposition 10), is a separate mission, and its superlinear-rate results (Propositions 5, 7, 8, 12, Corollary 13), which require parallel transport and the exponential map, are out of scope. Contributions welcome: proofs of the chain rule identities for retractions (reusable for any Riemannian line search), of Zoutendijk's theorem, and of the milestones in order.

Selected references

  • W. Ring, B. Wirth, Optimization Methods on Riemannian Manifolds and Their Application to Shape Space, SIAM J. Optim. 22(2), 596–627, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/11082885X
  • M. Al-Baali, Descent property and global convergence of the Fletcher–Reeves method with inexact line search, IMA J. Numer. Anal. 5(1), 121–124, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1093/imanum/5.1.121
  • J. Nocedal, S. J. Wright, Numerical Optimization, 2nd ed., Springer, 2006 (Lemma 5.6, Theorem 5.7). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-40065-5
  • P.-A. Absil, R. Mahony, R. Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, Princeton University Press, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830244
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Scaling for a One-Dimensional Directed Polymer with Boundary Conditions: In the Characteristic Direction, the Free Energy of the Log-Gamma Polymer Has Variance of Order N^(2/3)Research Paper

Motivation

A directed polymer in a random environment is a random up-right lattice path whose law is reweighted by random site weights. Its free energy, the logarithm of the partition function, is believed to belong to the Kardar–Parisi–Zhang (KPZ) universality class: for a path of length of order NNN, the free energy fluctuates on the scale N1/3N^{1/3}N1/3 and the path wanders on the scale N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3. For zero-temperature analogues (last-passage percolation with exponential or geometric weights) these exponents were established through exact formulas from random matrix theory (Johansson 2000) and later through a probabilistic coupling argument based on the Burke property of queues (Balázs–Cator–Seppäläinen 2006).

For directed polymers at positive temperature no model with the KPZ exponents was known until Seppäläinen (arXiv:0911.2446, Ann. Probab. 2012) introduced the log-gamma polymer, whose weights are reciprocals of gamma variables, and proved that its free energy has variance of order N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3 in the characteristic direction. The model has since become a basic exactly solvable polymer:

  • 2009: Seppäläinen, the log-gamma polymer with boundary conditions; variance bounds of order N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3 and path fluctuation exponent 2/32/32/3, by a Burke property and a variance identity.
  • 2013: Borodin, Corwin and Remenik, Fredholm determinant formula and Tracy–Widom GUE limit of the free energy, for a range of parameters.
  • 2014: Corwin, O'Connell, Seppäläinen and Zygouras, Tropical combinatorics and Whittaker functions, an exact formula for the law of the partition function via the geometric RSK correspondence.

The present mission formalizes the 2009 variance theorem, which needs neither of the later exact formulas.

Setting

Sites are Z+2={0,1,2,… }2\mathbb Z_+^2=\{0,1,2,\dots\}^2Z+2​={0,1,2,…}2 and N={1,2,… }\mathbb N=\{1,2,\dots\}N={1,2,…}. A weight configuration assigns a positive number Yi,jY_{i,j}Yi,j​ to each site. On the axes, Ui,0=Yi,0U_{i,0}=Y_{i,0}Ui,0​=Yi,0​ and V0,j=Y0,jV_{0,j}=Y_{0,j}V0,j​=Y0,j​ for i,j∈Ni,j\in\mathbb Ni,j∈N are the boundary weights, and Yi,jY_{i,j}Yi,j​, i,j∈Ni,j\in\mathbb Ni,j∈N, are the bulk weights.

An up-right path from (0,0)(0,0)(0,0) to (m,n)(m,n)(m,n) is a sequence x0=(0,0),x1,…,xm+n=(m,n)x_0=(0,0),x_1,\dots,x_{m+n}=(m,n)x0​=(0,0),x1​,…,xm+n​=(m,n) whose steps are (1,0)(1,0)(1,0) or (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The partition function is

Zm,n=∑x∏k=1m+nYxk,Z_{m,n}=\sum_{x}\prod_{k=1}^{m+n}Y_{x_k},Zm,n​=x∑​k=1∏m+n​Yxk​​,

the weight of the origin excluded, Z0,0=1Z_{0,0}=1Z0,0​=1. The quenched polymer measure gives the path xxx probability Qm,nω(x)=Zm,n−1∏k=1m+nYxkQ^\omega_{m,n}(x)=Z_{m,n}^{-1}\prod_{k=1}^{m+n}Y_{x_k}Qm,nω​(x)=Zm,n−1​∏k=1m+n​Yxk​​, and the annealed measure is its average Pm,n=E Qm,nωP_{m,n}=\mathbb E\,Q^\omega_{m,n}Pm,n​=EQm,nω​ over the environment. The exit points ξx\xi_xξx​ and ξy\xi_yξy​ are the numbers of initial steps the path takes along the xxx-axis and along the yyy-axis.

Assumption (2.4). Fix 0<θ<μ0<\theta<\mu0<θ<μ. The weights {Ui,0,V0,j,Yi,j:i,j∈N}\{U_{i,0},V_{0,j},Y_{i,j}: i,j\in\mathbb N\}{Ui,0​,V0,j​,Yi,j​:i,j∈N} are independent with

Ui,0−1∼Gamma(θ,1),V0,j−1∼Gamma(μ−θ,1),Yi,j−1∼Gamma(μ,1).U_{i,0}^{-1}\sim\mathrm{Gamma}(\theta,1),\qquad V_{0,j}^{-1}\sim\mathrm{Gamma}(\mu-\theta,1),\qquad Y_{i,j}^{-1}\sim\mathrm{Gamma}(\mu,1).Ui,0−1​∼Gamma(θ,1),V0,j−1​∼Gamma(μ−θ,1),Yi,j−1​∼Gamma(μ,1).

Let Ψ0=(log⁡Γ)′\Psi_0=(\log\Gamma)'Ψ0​=(logΓ)′ and Ψ1=Ψ0′\Psi_1=\Psi_0'Ψ1​=Ψ0′​ be the digamma and trigamma functions. The characteristic direction is (Ψ1(μ−θ),Ψ1(θ))(\Psi_1(\mu-\theta),\Psi_1(\theta))(Ψ1​(μ−θ),Ψ1​(θ)). For a real scaling parameter NNN and a constant γ\gammaγ, the endpoint satisfies

∣m−NΨ1(μ−θ)∣≤γN2/3and∣n−NΨ1(θ)∣≤γN2/3(2.6).|m-N\Psi_1(\mu-\theta)|\le\gamma N^{2/3}\quad\text{and}\quad|n-N\Psi_1(\theta)|\le\gamma N^{2/3}\qquad(2.6).∣m−NΨ1​(μ−θ)∣≤γN2/3and∣n−NΨ1​(θ)∣≤γN2/3(2.6).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

There are constants 0<C1,C2<∞0<C_1,C_2<\infty0<C1​,C2​<∞ and N0N_0N0​, depending on θ,μ,γ\theta,\mu,\gammaθ,μ,γ, such that under (2.4) and (2.6)

Var(log⁡Zm,n)≤C2N2/3(N≥1),C1N2/3≤Var(log⁡Zm,n)(N≥N0).\mathrm{Var}(\log Z_{m,n})\le C_2N^{2/3}\quad(N\ge1),\qquad C_1N^{2/3}\le\mathrm{Var}(\log Z_{m,n})\quad(N\ge N_0).Var(logZm,n​)≤C2​N2/3(N≥1),C1​N2/3≤Var(logZm,n​)(N≥N0​).

Milestones

The upper bound runs through the Burke property and the variance identity:

  • Lemma 3.1 (monotonicity of the recursion (3.2)), Lemma 3.2 (gamma reversibility), Theorem 3.3 (Burke property), the mean (2.5), Elog⁡Zm,n=−mΨ0(θ)−nΨ0(μ−θ)\mathbb E\log Z_{m,n}=-m\Psi_0(\theta)-n\Psi_0(\mu-\theta)ElogZm,n​=−mΨ0​(θ)−nΨ0​(μ−θ).
  • Theorem 3.7, the variance identity
Var[log⁡Zm,n]=nΨ1(μ−θ)−mΨ1(θ)+2Em,n[∑i=1ξxL(θ,Yi,0−1)].\mathrm{Var}[\log Z_{m,n}]=n\Psi_1(\mu-\theta)-m\Psi_1(\theta)+2E_{m,n}\Bigl[\sum_{i=1}^{\xi_x}L(\theta,Y_{i,0}^{-1})\Bigr].Var[logZm,n​]=nΨ1​(μ−θ)−mΨ1​(θ)+2Em,n​[i=1∑ξx​​L(θ,Yi,0−1​)].
  • Lemma 4.1 (variance comparison in θ\thetaθ), Lemma 4.2, the exit-point bound (4.32) E(ξx)≤CN2/3E(\xi_x)\le CN^{2/3}E(ξx​)≤CN2/3, Lemma 4.3 (quenched exit-point tails).

The lower bound runs through partition-function comparisons:

  • Lemma 5.1, Lemma 5.4 (coupling), Lemma 5.5(i), Proposition 5.3 (lim⁡δ↘0lim‾⁡NP{1≤ξx≤δN2/3}=0\lim_{\delta\searrow0}\varlimsup_NP\{1\le\xi_x\le\delta N^{2/3}\}=0limδ↘0​limN​P{1≤ξx​≤δN2/3}=0), Corollary 5.6 (Var≥cN2/3\mathrm{Var}\ge cN^{2/3}Var≥cN2/3, c>0c>0c>0).

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 was the first proof of the KPZ fluctuation exponent 1/31/31/3 for a directed polymer at positive temperature. Its upper bound also yields a strong law of large numbers for N−1log⁡Zm,nN^{-1}\log Z_{m,n}N−1logZm,n​ (2.7) and, with Theorem 3.3, a central limit theorem off the characteristic direction (Corollary 2.2). The exit-point estimates of Sections 4 and 5 give the path fluctuation exponent 2/32/32/3 (Theorem 2.3) and are reused for the polymer without boundaries and the point-to-line polymer (Theorems 2.4–2.6).

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 2009; no formal proof of it in a proof assistant is known. A formalization checks a proof with many interacting estimates and two corrected slips (below). The definitions made here (the lattice-path partition function, the inverse-gamma environment, the recursion (3.2), exit points, quenched and annealed measures) are the base for later missions on Theorems 2.3–2.7 of the same paper. Lemma 3.2 contains a gamma-distribution characterization (Lukacs' theorem) of independent interest.

Difficulty

The obvious route to a variance bound, a martingale decomposition of log⁡Zm,n\log Z_{m,n}logZm,n​ over the mnmnmn independent weights, gives only Var=O(m+n)\mathrm{Var}=O(m+n)Var=O(m+n), i.e. order NNN; it cannot see the cancellation that produces N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3. The order N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3 is specific to the characteristic direction: off it, log⁡Zm,n\log Z_{m,n}logZm,n​ satisfies a central limit theorem with variance of larger order (Corollary 2.2), so any argument must use the exact relation between the boundary parameters θ,μ−θ\theta,\mu-\thetaθ,μ−θ and the endpoint (m,n)(m,n)(m,n). The upper bound requires controlling the annealed exit point E(ξx)E(\xi_x)E(ξx​) at the scale N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3, with tail estimates whose constants are uniform in the parameters. The lower bound is a separate statement: the path must not exit an axis at distance o(N2/3)o(N^{2/3})o(N2/3) from the origin with non-vanishing probability, which no upper-bound estimate implies.

Formalization scope

Source: arXiv:0911.2446v4 (26 Aug 2015, revised version); its printed page numbers equal the PDF's. All declarations are in the namespace LogGammaPolymer.Variance.

  • Sites are ℕ × ℕ; a path is a step sequence with a fixed number of east steps; ZZZ is a finite sum over these paths with the starting weight excluded. The environment Env θ μ P bundles one weight family Y : ℕ × ℕ → Ω → ℝ, measurability, mutual independence of every weight off the origin, and the three laws as images under y↦y−1y\mapsto y^{-1}y↦y−1 equal to Mathlib's gammaMeasure (shape, rate 111). Positivity of the weights is not assumed pointwise in the probabilistic statements; it holds almost surely. The deterministic lemmas (3.1, 5.1, 5.4) are stated for every weight function positive off the origin.
  • NNN is real and N2/3N^{2/3}N2/3 is a real power. Variances use Mathlib's variance, and every upper bound or identity also asserts log⁡Zm,n∈L2\log Z_{m,n}\in L^2logZm,n​∈L2 (or integrability of the averaged quantity), so that the junk value 000 of variance and of the Bochner integral cannot satisfy it.
  • Constants come after the parameters (θ,μ,γ)(\theta,\mu,\gamma)(θ,μ,γ) and before the probability space (universe Type), the environment, NNN and (m,n)(m,n)(m,n). Upper limits in NNN are stated as "for every η>0\eta>0η>0 there is N0N_0N0​ with the bound +η+\eta+η for N≥N0N\ge N_0N≥N0​". The compact-set uniformity of Lemmas 4.1, 4.3 and (4.32) is formalized. The remark after Theorem 2.1 on uniform constants is not.
  • Corrected slips. (i) Theorem 2.1 prints the lower bound for all N≥1N\ge1N≥1. It fails at N=1N=1N=1, θ=1\theta=1θ=1, μ=2\mu=2μ=2, γ=2\gamma=2γ=2 with (m,n)=(0,0)(m,n)=(0,0)(m,n)=(0,0), where the variance is 000. The lower bound is stated for N≥N0N\ge N_0N≥N0​, which is what Corollary 5.6 proves. (ii) The "only if" of Lemma 3.2 fails for the constants U=V=1U=V=1U=V=1, Y=1/2Y=1/2Y=1/2. The hypothesis "UUU is not a.s. constant" is added. (iii) Corollary 5.6 states c>0c>0c>0 explicitly.
  • Theorem 3.3 is stated for down-right paths that coincide with the axes outside a finite portion. The paper reduces the general case to these.
  • Not included: Lemma 3.5 (reversal), Proposition 3.4, Lemma 5.5(ii).

A formalization in which ZZZ includes the origin's weight, the laws are not exactly the inverse gammas with shapes θ,μ−θ,μ\theta,\mu-\theta,\muθ,μ−θ,μ and rate 111, independence is dropped, C1=0C_1=0C1​=0 is allowed, or the constants depend on the environment or on NNN does not state Theorem 2.1.

Needed infrastructure: gamma–beta algebra and a Lukacs-type characterization, independence of finite families built by the recursion (3.2), differentiation of expectations in the shape parameter, and moment bounds for sums of i.i.d. variables. All of these are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of supporting lemmas such as (3.3)–(3.4), are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Seppäläinen, Scaling for a one-dimensional directed polymer with boundary conditions, Ann. Probab. 40 (2012) 19–73; revised version arXiv:0911.2446v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/0911.2446
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209 (2000) 437–476. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/9903134
  • M. Balázs, E. Cator, T. Seppäläinen, Cube root fluctuations for the corner growth model associated to the exclusion process, Electron. J. Probab. 11 (2006) 1094–1132. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0603306
  • I. Corwin, N. O'Connell, T. Seppäläinen, N. Zygouras, Tropical combinatorics and Whittaker functions, Duke Math. J. 163 (2014) 513–563. https://arxiv.org/abs/1110.3489
  • A. Borodin, I. Corwin, D. Remenik, Log-gamma polymer free energy fluctuations via a Fredholm determinant identity, Comm. Math. Phys. 324 (2013) 215–232. https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.4573
  • E. Lukacs, A characterization of the gamma distribution, Ann. Math. Statist. 26 (1955) 319–324. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177728549
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

An Exact Algorithm for the Two-Echelon Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem 3: Every Solution Cheaper Than an Upper Bound Uses a Configuration of First-Level Routes Passing the Pruning TestsResearch Paper

Motivation

City logistics often moves goods in two stages: large trucks bring freight from a central depot to a few intermediate satellites, and small vehicles distribute it from the satellites to the customers. The two-echelon capacitated vehicle routing problem (2E-CVRP) is the basic optimization model of such systems; it contains the capacitated location-routing problem as a special case. Baldacci, Mingozzi, Roberti and Wolfler Calvo (Oper. Res. 61(2), 2013) gave an exact method that solved benchmark instances out of reach for earlier algorithms.

Their method does not attack the whole problem at once. It enumerates configurations, sets of first-level (depot–satellite) routes, discards most of them with cheap tests, and solves a second-level problem only for the survivors. The correctness of the method rests on two facts stated in §5 of the paper: the problem decomposes exactly over configurations (Eq. (26)), and the pruning tests of Propositions 1 and 2 never discard the configuration of a solution better than the incumbent. This mission formalizes those facts.

Setting

An instance has a depot 000, satellites NSN_SNS​ and customers NCN_CNC​, a symmetric cost ddd on the edges (with the fixed vehicle costs folded in), positive integer demands qiq_iqi​ with total qtotq_{\mathrm{tot}}qtot​, m1m^1m1 first-level vehicles of capacity Q1Q_1Q1​, mkm_kmk​ second-level vehicles of capacity Q2<Q1Q_2<Q_1Q2​<Q1​ at satellite kkk with a global limit m2m^2m2, satellite capacities BkB_kBk​ and handling costs HkH_kHk​.

A first-level route r∈Mr\in\mathcal Mr∈M leaves the depot, visits a set RrR_rRr​ of satellites and returns; its cost grg_rgr​ is the length of the closed walk. A second-level route l∈Rkl\in\mathcal R_kl∈Rk​ leaves satellite kkk, visits a set RklR_{kl}Rkl​ of customers of total demand wkl≤Q2w_{kl}\le Q_2wkl​≤Q2​ and returns; its cost cklc_{kl}ckl​ is the walk length plus HkwklH_k w_{kl}Hk​wkl​. Formulation FFF chooses binary xklx_{kl}xkl​, yry_ryr​ and integer deliveries qkr≥0q_{kr}\ge0qkr​≥0 minimizing ∑cklxkl+∑gryr\sum c_{kl}x_{kl}+\sum g_r y_r∑ckl​xkl​+∑gr​yr​ subject to: each customer on exactly one used second-level route; at most mkm_kmk​ used routes at kkk and m2m^2m2 in total; load at kkk at most BkB_kBk​; at most m1m^1m1 first-level routes; the deliveries to kkk equal the load leaving kkk; each used first-level route carries at most Q1Q_1Q1​. Its optimal value is z(F)z(F)z(F), +∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible.

The set of configurations is

P={M⊆M: ∣M∣Q1≥qtot, ∣M∣≤m1}.\mathcal P=\{M\subseteq\mathcal M:\ |M|Q_1\ge q_{\mathrm{tot}},\ |M|\le m^1\}.P={M⊆M: ∣M∣Q1​≥qtot​, ∣M∣≤m1}.

For M⊆MM\subseteq\mathcal MM⊆M, NS(M)=⋃r∈MRrN_S(M)=\bigcup_{r\in M}R_rNS​(M)=⋃r∈M​Rr​, Mk={r∈M:k∈Rr}M_k=\{r\in M:k\in R_r\}Mk​={r∈M:k∈Rr​} and U(M)=∑r∈MgrU(M)=\sum_{r\in M}g_rU(M)=∑r∈M​gr​. Problem F(M)F(M)F(M) is FFF with the first-level routes fixed to MMM: second-level routes only at satellites of NS(M)N_S(M)NS​(M), real deliveries qkr≥0q_{kr}\ge0qkr​≥0 for r∈Mr\in Mr∈M, and ∑k∈Rrqkr≤Q1\sum_{k\in R_r}q_{kr}\le Q_1∑k∈Rr​​qkr​≤Q1​. Its value z(F(M))z(F(M))z(F(M)) is +∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible.

The bounds of §5.1 use multipliers λi\lambda_iλi​, μk≤0\mu_k\le0μk​≤0, μ0≤0\mu_0\le0μ0​≤0 and marginal costs βik\beta_{ik}βik​ satisfying the penalty system (12), ∑iaiklβik≤ckl−∑iaiklλi−μk−μ0\sum_i a_{ikl}\beta_{ik}\le c_{kl}-\sum_i a_{ikl}\lambda_i-\mu_k-\mu_0∑i​aikl​βik​≤ckl​−∑i​aikl​λi​−μk​−μ0​ for every route lll of satellite kkk:

LBR=∑imin⁡k∈NSβik+∑iλi+∑k∈NSmkμk+m2μ0,\mathrm{LB}_R=\sum_{i}\min_{k\in N_S}\beta_{ik}+\sum_i\lambda_i+\sum_{k\in N_S}m_k\mu_k+m^2\mu_0,LBR​=i∑​k∈NS​min​βik​+i∑​λi​+k∈NS​∑​mk​μk​+m2μ0​, LBW(M)=∑imin⁡k∈NS(M)βik+∑iλi+∑k∈NS(M)mkμk+m2μ0.\mathrm{LBW}(M)=\sum_{i}\min_{k\in N_S(M)}\beta_{ik}+\sum_i\lambda_i+\sum_{k\in N_S(M)}m_k\mu_k+m^2\mu_0.LBW(M)=i∑​k∈NS​(M)min​βik​+i∑​λi​+k∈NS​(M)∑​mk​μk​+m2μ0​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1, necessity of conditions (b)–(e)

Let z(UB)z(\mathrm{UB})z(UB) be a real number and (x,y,q)(x,y,q)(x,y,q) a feasible solution of FFF of cost less than z(UB)z(\mathrm{UB})z(UB), with configuration M={r:yr=1}M=\{r:y_r=1\}M={r:yr​=1}. Then M∈PM\in\mathcal PM∈P and

∑r∈Mmin⁡{Q1,∑k∈RrmkQ2}≥qtot,∑r∈M∑k∈Rrmk≥⌈qtotQ2⌉,\sum_{r\in M}\min\Bigl\{Q_1,\sum_{k\in R_r}m_kQ_2\Bigr\}\ge q_{\mathrm{tot}},\qquad \sum_{r\in M}\sum_{k\in R_r}m_k\ge\Bigl\lceil\frac{q_{\mathrm{tot}}}{Q_2}\Bigr\rceil,r∈M∑​min{Q1​,k∈Rr​∑​mk​Q2​}≥qtot​,r∈M∑​k∈Rr​∑​mk​≥⌈Q2​qtot​​⌉, U(M)<z(UB)−LBR,U(M)<z(UB)−LBW(M).U(M)<z(\mathrm{UB})-\mathrm{LB}_R,\qquad U(M)<z(\mathrm{UB})-\mathrm{LBW}(M).U(M)<z(UB)−LBR​,U(M)<z(UB)−LBW(M).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (26): z(F)=min⁡M∈P{U(M)+z(F(M))}z(F)=\min_{M\in\mathcal P}\{U(M)+z(F(M))\}z(F)=minM∈P​{U(M)+z(F(M))}.
  2. §5.1: LBR\mathrm{LB}_RLBR​ is at most the second-level routing cost of every feasible solution of FFF.
  3. §5.1: LBW(M)≤z(F(M))\mathrm{LBW}(M)\le z(F(M))LBW(M)≤z(F(M)).
  4. Proposition 2: if θ(k)\theta(k)θ(k) bounds from below the supply to satellite kkk in every feasible solution of F(M)F(M)F(M), and ∑k∈NS(M)⌈θ(k)/Q2⌉>m2\sum_{k\in N_S(M)}\lceil\theta(k)/Q_2\rceil>m^2∑k∈NS​(M)​⌈θ(k)/Q2​⌉>m2 or ⌈θ(k)/Q2⌉>mk\lceil\theta(k)/Q_2\rceil>m_k⌈θ(k)/Q2​⌉>mk​ for some k∈NS(M)k\in N_S(M)k∈NS​(M), then F(M)F(M)F(M) is infeasible.
  5. §5.2.2, Eq. (33): the capacity constraints ∑k∈NS(M)∑l:Rkl∩H≠∅xkl≥⌈∑i∈Hqi/Q2⌉\sum_{k\in N_S(M)}\sum_{l:R_{kl}\cap H\neq\emptyset}x_{kl}\ge\lceil\sum_{i\in H}q_i/Q_2\rceil∑k∈NS​(M)​∑l:Rkl​∩H=∅​xkl​≥⌈∑i∈H​qi​/Q2​⌉, ∣H∣≥2|H|\ge2∣H∣≥2, hold for every feasible solution of F(M)F(M)F(M).

Significance

Eq. (26) is what makes the method exact: once every configuration that can carry a solution better than the incumbent is examined, the best U(M)+z(F(M))U(M)+z(F(M))U(M)+z(F(M)) is the optimum. Propositions 1 and 2 are what make it fast: they remove configurations from P\mathcal PP before any second-level problem is solved. If a pruning test discarded the configuration of a cheaper solution, the method would return a suboptimal value and still report it as optimal; the formal statements rule this out for every instance, not just the benchmark ones. The capacity constraints (33) play the same role inside F(M)F(M)F(M): a cut that removed a feasible solution would make the bound z(Fˉ(M))z(\bar F(M))z(Fˉ(M)) invalid.

The paper's proofs are in an electronic companion; none of these statements has been machine-checked before, and none is on the platform. The formalization also records exactly what the tests need: positive demands, integral vehicle counts, and the sign conditions on the multipliers, and nothing about the optimality of the incumbent.

Difficulty

Most statements are elementary counting and Lagrangean weak-duality arguments over finite index sets. The work lies in the bookkeeping between two formulations with different index sets: FFF sums over all satellites, F(M)F(M)F(M) only over NS(M)N_S(M)NS​(M), and a solution of one must be turned into a solution of the other. One step is not elementary: FFF has integer deliveries and F(M)F(M)F(M) real ones, so the inequality z(F)≤U(M)+z(F(M))z(F)\le U(M)+z(F(M))z(F)≤U(M)+z(F(M)) in (26) needs an integral delivery plan from a fractional one. That is an integrality property of a bipartite transportation problem (routes to satellites, integral capacities and demands), which no counting argument gives.

Formalization scope

Satellites and customers are Fin ns and Fin nc, 0-based. The route families M\mathcal MM and R\mathcal RR are arbitrary finite families of elementary routes with costs computed along the closed walk; the paper uses all such routes, so every statement here is a generalization. Demands are positive integers; the triangle inequality is not assumed. Binary variables are Bool; optimal values are infima in EReal, with ⊤ for an infeasible problem. A configuration is a Finset of route indices. The penalties are any λ\lambdaλ, μ≤0\mu\le0μ≤0, μ0≤0\mu_0\le0μ0​≤0 and β\betaβ satisfying (12), not only those producing the paper's bound LD1. Ceilings of qtot/Q2q_{\mathrm{tot}}/Q_2qtot​/Q2​ and ∑i∈Hqi/Q2\sum_{i\in H}q_i/Q_2∑i∈H​qi​/Q2​ are natural-number ceilings of rationals; those in Proposition 2 are integer ceilings of reals.

The goal departs from the printed proposition in three disclosed ways. Only necessity is stated: the "if" direction is false, because (b)–(e) ignore the satellite capacities BkB_kBk​. Condition (a), ∣Rr∩Rr′∣≤1|R_r\cap R_{r'}|\le1∣Rr​∩Rr′​∣≤1, is omitted: it holds for some optimal solution, not every one (its split-delivery analogue is posed, and open, on the platform as SplitDeliveryVRPTW.Known.exists_optimal_split_customers; it is not reused here). "An optimal solution" becomes "a feasible solution of cost below z(UB)z(\mathrm{UB})z(UB)", the property the paper's own justification uses. Proposition 2 is stated with θ\thetaθ as a hypothesis; the paper's computation of θ\thetaθ by problem (27)–(32) is not formalized, because (32) forces positive deliveries that F(M)F(M)F(M) does not require. The goal is not trivialized by an infeasible hypothesis: feasible solutions of FFF exist on small instances, and a toy instance was checked in Lean.

A complete development needs finite-sum manipulations, Lagrangean weak duality for (12), and, for (26), integrality of bipartite transportation polytopes, which is reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and a general transportation-integrality lemma, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Baldacci, A. Mingozzi, R. Roberti, R. Wolfler Calvo, An Exact Algorithm for the Two-Echelon Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem, Operations Research 61(2), 298–314, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1153
  • R. Baldacci, A. Mingozzi, A unified exact method for solving different classes of vehicle routing problems, Mathematical Programming 120(2), 347–380, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-008-0218-9
  • G. Perboli, R. Tadei, D. Vigo, The two-echelon capacitated vehicle routing problem: models and math-based heuristics, Transportation Science 45(3), 364–380, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.1110.0368
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Assortment Optimization in Revenue Management Under the Multinomial Logit Choice Model 3: Robust Dynamic Assortments Grow with Remaining Capacity and over TimeResearch Paper

Motivation

Single-leg capacity allocation under customer choice is the basic dynamic problem of revenue management: a firm holds a fixed stock of a perishable resource (seats on a flight leg, rooms on a night), and in every period of a finite selling horizon it decides which products (fare classes) to offer to the arriving customer. Talluri and van Ryzin (Management Science, 2004) showed that under a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model with known parameters, the optimal assortment in every period is revenue-ordered and shrinks as capacity becomes scarcer ("nesting by fare order"), which is what justifies the protection levels and bid prices used in practice.

The MNL parameters are estimated from data and are never known exactly. Rusmevichientong and Topaloglu (Operations Research, 2012) study the robust version, in which an adversary picks the parameters of each period from an uncertainty set after seeing the offered assortment, following the robust Markov decision process framework of Iyengar (Mathematics of Operations Research, 2005). Their Section 4 shows that the structure of the known-parameter problem survives: the value function is concave in capacity, the optimal assortment is a revenue threshold set, and it grows with remaining capacity and, when uncertainty does not shrink, over time. This mission formalizes those results.

Setting

There are nnn products A={1,…,n}\mathcal A = \{1,\dots,n\}A={1,…,n} with revenues r1,…,rnr_1,\dots,r_nr1​,…,rn​. An MNL parameter vector is v=(v0,v1,…,vn)∈R++n+1v = (v_0, v_1, \dots, v_n) \in \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}v=(v0​,v1​,…,vn​)∈R++n+1​; offered the assortment S⊆AS \subseteq \mathcal AS⊆A, a customer buys product i∈Si \in Si∈S with probability

ϕi(S,v)=viv0+∑ℓ∈Svℓ,\phi_i(S,v) = \frac{v_i}{v_0 + \sum_{\ell\in S} v_\ell},ϕi​(S,v)=v0​+∑ℓ∈S​vℓ​vi​​,

and nothing with probability 1−∑i∈Sϕi(S,v)1 - \sum_{i\in S}\phi_i(S,v)1−∑i∈S​ϕi​(S,v). The expected revenue is f(S,v)=∑i∈Sriϕi(S,v)f(S,v) = \sum_{i\in S} r_i \phi_i(S,v)f(S,v)=∑i∈S​ri​ϕi​(S,v).

Static problem (Section 3). For a compact nonempty uncertainty set V⊆R++n+1\mathcal V \subseteq \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}V⊆R++n+1​,

Z∗(V)=max⁡S⊆A min⁡v∈Vf(S,v),Z^*(\mathcal V) = \max_{S\subseteq\mathcal A}\ \min_{v\in\mathcal V} f(S,v),Z∗(V)=S⊆Amax​ v∈Vmin​f(S,v),

and S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) is an optimal assortment of smallest cardinality.

Dynamic problem (Section 4). Periods t=1,…,Tt = 1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T each bring one customer, whose parameter vector lies in a compact nonempty Vt⊆R++n+1\mathcal V_t \subseteq \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}Vt​⊆R++n+1​. A purchase consumes one unit of capacity. The value function Jt(x)J_t(x)Jt​(x), the maximum worst-case revenue from period ttt on with xxx units of capacity, satisfies

Jt(x)=max⁡St⊆A min⁡vt∈Vt{∑i∈Stϕi(St,vt)(ri+Jt+1(x−1))+(1−∑i∈Stϕi(St,vt))Jt+1(x)}J_t(x) = \max_{S_t\subseteq\mathcal A}\ \min_{v_t\in\mathcal V_t}\Big\{\sum_{i\in S_t}\phi_i(S_t,v_t)\big(r_i + J_{t+1}(x-1)\big) + \Big(1-\sum_{i\in S_t}\phi_i(S_t,v_t)\Big)J_{t+1}(x)\Big\}Jt​(x)=St​⊆Amax​ vt​∈Vt​min​{i∈St​∑​ϕi​(St​,vt​)(ri​+Jt+1​(x−1))+(1−i∈St​∑​ϕi​(St​,vt​))Jt+1​(x)}

for x≥1x \ge 1x≥1, with Jt(0)=0J_t(0) = 0Jt​(0)=0 and JT+1≡0J_{T+1} \equiv 0JT+1​≡0. The marginal value of capacity is ΔJt(x)=Jt(x)−Jt(x−1)\Delta J_t(x) = J_t(x) - J_t(x-1)ΔJt​(x)=Jt​(x)−Jt​(x−1), and St∗(x)S^*_t(x)St∗​(x) is a maximizer of the right-hand side of smallest cardinality.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.3 (p. 17)

For every 1≤t≤T1 \le t \le T1≤t≤T and x≥1x \ge 1x≥1, and, in the second part, every 1≤t≤T−11 \le t \le T-11≤t≤T−1 with Vt⊆Vt+1\mathcal V_t \subseteq \mathcal V_{t+1}Vt​⊆Vt+1​:

St∗(x)⊆St∗(x+1),Vt⊆Vt+1  ⟹  St∗(x)⊆St+1∗(x).S^*_t(x) \subseteq S^*_t(x+1), \qquad \mathcal V_t \subseteq \mathcal V_{t+1} \implies S^*_t(x) \subseteq S^*_{t+1}(x).St∗​(x)⊆St∗​(x+1),Vt​⊆Vt+1​⟹St∗​(x)⊆St+1∗​(x).

Milestones

  1. (Dynamic Robust), second line (p. 16): Jt(x)=max⁡Smin⁡v∈Vt∑i∈Sϕi(S,v) (ri−ΔJt+1(x))+Jt+1(x)J_t(x) = \max_{S}\min_{v\in\mathcal V_t}\sum_{i\in S}\phi_i(S,v)\,(r_i - \Delta J_{t+1}(x)) + J_{t+1}(x)Jt​(x)=maxS​minv∈Vt​​∑i∈S​ϕi​(S,v)(ri​−ΔJt+1​(x))+Jt+1​(x).
  2. Proof of Theorem 4.2 (pp. 16–17): St∗(x)S^*_t(x)St∗​(x) is the static S∗(Vt)S^*(\mathcal V_t)S∗(Vt​) for revenues ri−ΔJt+1(x)r_i - \Delta J_{t+1}(x)ri​−ΔJt+1​(x), and Jt(x)−Jt+1(x)J_t(x) - J_{t+1}(x)Jt​(x)−Jt+1​(x) is the corresponding Z∗(Vt)Z^*(\mathcal V_t)Z∗(Vt​).
  3. Theorem 3.2 (p. 7): S∗(V)={i:ri>Z∗(V)}S^*(\mathcal V) = \{i : r_i > Z^*(\mathcal V)\}S∗(V)={i:ri​>Z∗(V)}.
  4. Theorem 3.7 (p. 10): for δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0, S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) is contained in the robust assortment for revenues r+δr + \deltar+δ.
  5. Corollary 3.5 (p. 9): V⊆V′  ⟹  Z∗(V′)≤Z∗(V)\mathcal V \subseteq \mathcal V' \implies Z^*(\mathcal V') \le Z^*(\mathcal V)V⊆V′⟹Z∗(V′)≤Z∗(V) and S∗(V)⊆S∗(V′)S^*(\mathcal V) \subseteq S^*(\mathcal V')S∗(V)⊆S∗(V′).
  6. Theorem 4.1, first inequality (p. 16): ΔJt(x+1)≤ΔJt(x)\Delta J_t(x+1) \le \Delta J_t(x)ΔJt​(x+1)≤ΔJt​(x).
  7. Theorem 4.1, second inequality (p. 16): ΔJt+1(x)≤ΔJt(x)\Delta J_{t+1}(x) \le \Delta J_t(x)ΔJt+1​(x)≤ΔJt​(x).
  8. Theorem 4.2 (p. 16): St∗(x)={i:ri>Jt(x)−Jt+1(x−1)}S^*_t(x) = \{i : r_i > J_t(x) - J_{t+1}(x-1)\}St∗​(x)={i:ri​>Jt​(x)−Jt+1​(x−1)}.

Significance

The result. Theorems 4.1–4.3 say that robustness costs nothing structurally: the robust policy is still a nested threshold policy, so it can be implemented with the protection levels or bid-price controls already in use, and it can be computed by examining at most nnn revenue-ordered assortments per state instead of 2n2^n2n. Theorem 4.3 gives the operational content: with less inventory, offer fewer, higher-revenue products; nearer the end of the season (when the uncertainty sets are nested), offer more.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formalization produces a checked robust finite-horizon dynamic program over finite action sets with compact adversary sets, the reduction of each Bellman step to a static max–min problem with shifted revenues, and checked concavity and time-monotonicity arguments that are reusable for other single-resource problems. The known-parameter analogues for general regular choice models and for the Markov chain choice model are separate drafts on the platform (RevenueOrdered.Nesting.*, MarkovChainChoice.SingleResource.*); they have no uncertainty set and are not used here.

Difficulty

The obvious route to concavity, an induction on ttt in which JtJ_tJt​ is a maximum of concave functions, fails: a maximum of concave functions is not concave, and here each candidate assortment is evaluated by a minimum over Vt\mathcal V_tVt​, and the worst-case parameter vector changes with the capacity level, so the known-parameter argument cannot be reused term by term. Any induction on ttt also has to handle the boundary x=0x = 0x=0, where the Bellman equation does not apply and only Jt(0)=0J_t(0) = 0Jt​(0)=0 is given. Every step involving a minimum must use that the minimum over a compact set is attained, and translating a minimum by a constant must be justified rather than assumed.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Products are Fin n (Lean index iii is product i+1i+1i+1). A parameter vector is p : ℝ × (Fin n → ℝ) with p.1 =v0= v_0=v0​. f(S,v)f(S,v)f(S,v) is the published ChoiceCDLP.MNL.mnlObjective. Minima over uncertainty sets are real infima (sInf), equal to the attained minima under the standing hypotheses; maxima are Finset.sup' over all 2n2^n2n assortments.
  • Standing assumptions. Every V t, 1≤t≤T1 \le t \le T1≤t≤T, is compact, nonempty and contained in R++n+1\mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}R++n+1​ (IsUncertaintySeq); the static results assume the same of V. The paper writes "V⊂R++n\mathcal V \subset \mathbb R^n_{++}V⊂R++n​" in Theorem 3.2 and Corollary 3.5; this is read as R++n+1\mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}R++n+1​, compact.
  • Revenues are arbitrary reals. The paper orders r1≥⋯≥rn>0r_1 \ge \dots \ge r_n > 0r1​≥⋯≥rn​>0 "without loss of generality"; no proof uses it, and the dynamic reduction applies Theorem 3.2 to ri−ΔJt+1(x)r_i - \Delta J_{t+1}(x)ri​−ΔJt+1​(x), which may be negative. Dropping it strengthens every statement.
  • The value function is defined by the recursion. The max–min policy formulation (p. 15) and Iyengar's theorem that it satisfies the Bellman equation are not formalized. Jt(x)J_t(x)Jt​(x) is defined for every x∈Nx \in \mathbb Nx∈N; the initial capacity CCC never enters the recursion, so the paper's JtJ_tJt​ on {0,…,C}\{0,\dots,C\}{0,…,C} is the restriction.
  • Capacity x≥1x \ge 1x≥1. Theorem 4.1 is printed "for any x∈{0,1,…,C}x \in \{0,1,\dots,C\}x∈{0,1,…,C}", which includes the undefined ΔJt(0)\Delta J_t(0)ΔJt​(0); Theorems 4.2 and 4.3 say "for any xxx", but St∗(0)S^*_t(0)St∗​(0) is not defined by the Bellman equation. All statements assume x≥1x \ge 1x≥1.
  • Tie-break. S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) and St∗(x)S^*_t(x)St∗​(x) are predicates ("SSS is an optimal assortment of smallest cardinality"), not choice functions; Theorems 3.2 and 4.2 are stated as "↔ SSS is the threshold set", which also asserts the threshold set is optimal. Without the tie-break Theorems 4.2 and 4.3 are false, since a product with revenue exactly at the threshold can be added.
  • Ruled out. Defining JJJ as a maximum over revenue-ordered assortments, or through the threshold formula, would make Theorem 4.2 definitional; JJJ is defined with the minimum inside a maximum over all subsets.
  • Restatements. Theorems 3.2, 3.7 and Corollary 3.5 restate, in RobustMNL.Dynamic, the companion mission on Section 3 of the same paper, identically up to namespace.
  • Source. The source is the authors' manuscript of 20 September 2011 of the Operations Research 2012 article; its printed page numbers equal the PDF's.
  • Welcome contributions. Lemmas on attained minima of continuous functions on compact sets of positive parameter vectors, the translation of a max–min by a constant, and the bound ∑i∈Sϕi(S,v)≤1\sum_{i\in S}\phi_i(S,v) \le 1∑i∈S​ϕi​(S,v)≤1 are reusable across all three missions of this paper.

Selected references

  • P. Rusmevichientong, H. Topaloglu, Robust Assortment Optimization in Revenue Management Under the Multinomial Logit Choice Model, Operations Research 60(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1063
  • K. Talluri, G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • G. N. Iyengar, Robust Dynamic Programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Efficiency of Coordinate Descent Methods on Huge-Scale Optimization Problems 2: On a Regularized Objective, RCDM(1, x₀) Finds an ε-Solution with Probability ≥ β Within the Iteration Bound (3.11)Research Paper

Motivation

Randomized coordinate descent updates one block of variables per iteration, chosen at random. For problems whose dimension makes even one full gradient expensive (the "huge-scale" problems of the title, such as sparse least squares or truss topology design), a coordinate step can cost a tiny fraction of a gradient step. Nesterov's paper (CORE Discussion Paper 2010/2; journal version SIAM J. Optim. 22 (2012) 341–362) gave the first global complexity bounds for such methods with non-uniform sampling, and it is the reference point for the later literature on randomized block methods (Richtárik and Takáč 2014, Lu and Xiao 2015, Allen-Zhu et al. 2016).

The first results of the paper (Theorem 1, the subject of a companion mission) bound the expected objective value after k iterations. An expected bound does not say what happens in a single run. This mission formalizes the paper's answer to that question in §3: by running the method on a slightly regularized objective, one run returns an ε-solution with any prescribed probability β, after a number of iterations that grows only logarithmically in 1/(1 − β).

Setting

The variable space is a product RN=Rn1×⋯×Rnn\mathbb R^N=\mathbb R^{n_1}\times\cdots\times\mathbb R^{n_n}RN=Rn1​×⋯×Rnn​ of n≥1n\ge1n≥1 blocks; a point xxx has blocks x(i)x^{(i)}x(i), and UihU_ihUi​h is the point whose iii-th block is hhh and whose other blocks vanish. In this mission each block carries a Euclidean norm ∥h(i)∥(i)2=⟨Bih(i),h(i)⟩\|h^{(i)}\|_{(i)}^2=\langle B_ih^{(i)},h^{(i)}\rangle∥h(i)∥(i)2​=⟨Bi​h(i),h(i)⟩ with Bi≻0B_i\succ0Bi​≻0 (3.4), and the whole space carries

∥h∥02=∑i=1n∥h(i)∥(i)2,∥g∥0∗=[∑i=1n(∥g(i)∥(i)∗)2]1/2.\|h\|_0^2=\sum_{i=1}^n\|h^{(i)}\|_{(i)}^2,\qquad \|g\|_0^*=\Big[\sum_{i=1}^n\big(\|g^{(i)}\|_{(i)}^*\big)^2\Big]^{1/2}.∥h∥02​=i=1∑n​∥h(i)∥(i)2​,∥g∥0∗​=[i=1∑n​(∥g(i)∥(i)∗​)2]1/2.

The objective f:RN→Rf:\mathbb R^N\to\mathbb Rf:RN→R is convex and differentiable, has a minimizer x∗x_*x∗​ with value f∗f^*f∗, and its partial gradients fi′(x)=UiT∇f(x)f'_i(x)=U_i^T\nabla f(x)fi′​(x)=UiT​∇f(x) are Lipschitz along their own block with constants Li>0L_i>0Li​>0 (2.2): ∥fi′(x+Uih)−fi′(x)∥(i)∗≤Li∥h∥(i)\|f'_i(x+U_ih)-f'_i(x)\|^*_{(i)}\le L_i\|h\|_{(i)}∥fi′​(x+Ui​h)−fi′​(x)∥(i)∗​≤Li​∥h∥(i)​. Write Sα=∑iLiαS_\alpha=\sum_iL_i^\alphaSα​=∑i​Liα​.

The method RCDM(α,x0)(\alpha,x_0)(α,x0​) (2.6) draws, independently at each step, block iii with probability Liα/SαL_i^\alpha/S_\alphaLiα​/Sα​ and replaces xxx by Ti(x)=x−1LiUifi′(x)#T_i(x)=x-\frac1{L_i}U_if'_i(x)^\#Ti​(x)=x−Li​1​Ui​fi′​(x)#, where s#s^\#s# is a maximizer of ⟨s,x⟩−12∥x∥2\langle s,x\rangle-\frac12\|x\|^2⟨s,x⟩−21​∥x∥2 (1.8). The quantity ϕk\phi_kϕk​ is the expectation of f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​) over the first kkk draws.

The level-set radius is R0(x0)=max⁡x{max⁡x∗∥x−x∗∥0:f(x)≤f(x0)}R_0(x_0)=\max_x\{\max_{x_*}\|x-x_*\|_0: f(x)\le f(x_0)\}R0​(x0​)=maxx​{maxx∗​​∥x−x∗​∥0​:f(x)≤f(x0​)}, and for μ>0\mu>0μ>0 the regularized objective is

fμ(x)=f(x)+μ2∥x−x0∥02.f_\mu(x)=f(x)+\frac\mu2\|x-x_0\|_0^2 .fμ​(x)=f(x)+2μ​∥x−x0​∥02​.

It has block constants Li+μL_i+\muLi​+μ, so RCDM(1,x0)(1,x_0)(1,x0​) applied to fμf_\mufμ​ samples block iii with probability (Li+μ)/(S1+nμ)(L_i+\mu)/(S_1+n\mu)(Li​+μ)/(S1​+nμ) and steps with 1/(Li+μ)1/(L_i+\mu)1/(Li​+μ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (p. 11)

For ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1), μ=ϵ/(4R02(x0))\mu=\epsilon/(4R_0^2(x_0))μ=ϵ/(4R02​(x0​)) and

k ≥ 2[n+4S1R02(x0)ϵ](ln⁡11−β+ln⁡(12+2S1R02(x0)ϵ)),k\ \ge\ 2\Big[n+\frac{4S_1R_0^2(x_0)}{\epsilon}\Big]\Big(\ln\frac1{1-\beta}+\ln\Big(\frac12+\frac{2S_1R_0^2(x_0)}{\epsilon}\Big)\Big),k ≥ 2[n+ϵ4S1​R02​(x0​)​](ln1−β1​+ln(21​+ϵ2S1​R02​(x0​)​)),

the point xkx_kxk​ produced by RCDM(1,x0)(1,x_0)(1,x0​) on fμf_\mufμ​ satisfies

Prob(f(xk)−f∗≤ϵ)≥β.\mathrm{Prob}\big(f(x_k)-f^*\le\epsilon\big)\ge\beta .Prob(f(xk​)−f∗≤ϵ)≥β.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 2 (p. 9), for arbitrary block norms: if fff is σ\sigmaσ-strongly convex in ∥⋅∥1−α\|\cdot\|_{1-\alpha}∥⋅∥1−α​, then ϕk−f∗≤(1−σ/Sα)k(f(x0)−f∗)\phi_k-f^*\le(1-\sigma/S_\alpha)^k(f(x_0)-f^*)ϕk​−f∗≤(1−σ/Sα​)k(f(x0​)−f∗).
  2. The constants of fμf_\mufμ​ (p. 11): fμf_\mufμ​ is μ\muμ-strongly convex in ∥⋅∥0\|\cdot\|_0∥⋅∥0​, has block constants Li+μL_i+\muLi​+μ, so that S1(fμ)=S1(f)+nμS_1(f_\mu)=S_1(f)+n\muS1​(fμ​)=S1​(f)+nμ, and its gradient is (S1(f)+μ)(S_1(f)+\mu)(S1​(f)+μ)-Lipschitz in ∥⋅∥0\|\cdot\|_0∥⋅∥0​.
  3. Lemma 4 (p. 11): E ∥∇fμ(xk)∥0∗≤[2(S1+μ)(f(x0)−f∗)(1−μ/(S1+nμ))k]1/2\mathbb E\,\|\nabla f_\mu(x_k)\|_0^*\le\big[2(S_1+\mu)(f(x_0)-f^*)(1-\mu/(S_1+n\mu))^k\big]^{1/2}E∥∇fμ​(xk​)∥0∗​≤[2(S1​+μ)(f(x0​)−f∗)(1−μ/(S1​+nμ))k]1/2.

Significance

Theorem 4 turns an in-expectation guarantee into a single-run guarantee with an explicit, non-asymptotic iteration count. Its dependence on the confidence level is logarithmic, so very high confidence costs little; and the count O((n+S1R02/ϵ)log⁡(1/ϵ))O\big((n+S_1R_0^2/\epsilon)\log(1/\epsilon)\big)O((n+S1​R02​/ϵ)log(1/ϵ)) replaces the largest eigenvalue of the Hessian, which governs the full gradient method, by the trace-type quantity S1S_1S1​, which for sparse problems makes groups of nnn coordinate steps competitive with one gradient step. Theorem 2 is the linear-rate result for strongly convex objectives that later analyses of randomized block methods take as their starting point.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them is formalized in the block setting. The scalar Euclidean case ni=1n_i=1ni​=1 of Theorem 2 is proved on Prove2Me as ConvexOptAlg.CoordDescent.theorem_6_8 (Bubeck, Theorem 6.8), and the bound (3.2), f(x)−f∗≤12σ(∥∇f(x)∥∗)2f(x)-f^*\le\frac1{2\sigma}(\|\nabla f(x)\|^*)^2f(x)−f∗≤2σ1​(∥∇f(x)∥∗)2 for a σ\sigmaσ-strongly convex fff in any norm, is proved as ConvexOptAlg.CoordDescent.lemma_6_9. This mission adds block variables with general norms (Theorem 2), the regularization constants, the gradient-norm bound, and the high-probability statement itself, which has no formalized counterpart.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails. Theorem 2 controls the expected suboptimality of fμf_\mufμ​, not of fff, and Markov's inequality applied to fμ(xk)−fμ∗f_\mu(x_k)-f_\mu^*fμ​(xk​)−fμ∗​ does not reach accuracy ε: fμ∗f_\mu^*fμ∗​ and f∗f^*f∗ differ by an amount comparable to ε, and the contraction factor itself depends on μ. Relating the run on fμf_\mufμ​ to the original problem requires the global Lipschitz constant of ∇fμ\nabla f_\mu∇fμ​ in ∥⋅∥0\|\cdot\|_0∥⋅∥0​, which for fff is the weighted co-coercivity statement of Lemma 2 of the paper and is not a consequence of (2.2) alone without convexity. The constants of (3.11) are exact, including the factor 2 and the ½, so no estimate may lose a constant. Finally, the iterates depend on all previous draws, so even the finite-sum expectations need a careful account of linearity and of conditioning on the last draw.

Formalization scope

  • RN\mathbb R^NRN is the dependent product Blocks E of finite-dimensional real spaces E i indexed by Fin n (0-based for the paper's 1, …, n). Euclidean blocks (3.4) are inner-product spaces, with BiB_iBi​ absorbed into the inner product; Theorem 2 is stated for arbitrary normed blocks. The dual norm of a block is the operator norm of a functional.
  • The draws are explicit sequences Fin k → Fin n; expectations and probabilities are finite sums weighted by ∏sp(is)\prod_sp(i_s)∏s​p(is​). No measure theory is involved.
  • The vectors s#s^\#s# are an arbitrary selection satisfying (1.8); the theorems hold for every selection.
  • R0(x0)R_0(x_0)R0​(x0​) is replaced by any positive upper bound RRR (every point of the level set within RRR of every minimizer), and μ=ϵ/(4R2)\mu=\epsilon/(4R^2)μ=ϵ/(4R2) is defined from it. The paper's theorem is the case R=R0(x0)R=R_0(x_0)R=R0​(x0​); R>0R>0R>0 excludes the case R0(x0)=0R_0(x_0)=0R0​(x0​)=0, in which the paper's μ is undefined.
  • Explicit hypotheses the paper leaves implicit: n≥1n\ge1n≥1, Li>0L_i>0Li​>0, fff convex and differentiable, existence of a minimizer, and ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) (fixed on p. 10).
  • The paper prints Theorem 2's left side as ϕk−ϕ∗\phi_k-\phi^*ϕk​−ϕ∗; the statement uses ϕk−f∗\phi_k-f^*ϕk​−f∗, which is what its proof establishes.
  • The run in Theorem 4 and Lemma 4 is on fμf_\mufμ​ with fμf_\mufμ​'s constants Li+μL_i+\muLi​+μ (step and sampling); the event of Theorem 4 is about fff and f∗f^*f∗ of the original problem. Running RCDM with fff's constants LiL_iLi​, or stating the event for fμf_\mufμ​, would be a different theorem.
  • Lemma 3 and Theorem 3 (the variant in the norm ∥⋅∥1\|\cdot\|_1∥⋅∥1​) are not posed: applied to fμf_\mufμ​ with constants (1+μ)Li(1+\mu)L_i(1+μ)Li​, Theorem 2 gives a contraction factor weaker than the printed 1−μ/n1-\mu/n1−μ/n, and the paper's argument does not establish them as printed.

Contributions are welcome on the probabilistic bookkeeping for expect (normalization, linearity, conditioning on the last draw, Jensen for a concave function), which is reusable by every mission of this series; on Lemma 2 of the paper in the block setting; and on the milestones in the stated order.

Selected references

  • Yu. Nesterov, Efficiency of coordinate descent methods on huge-scale optimization problems, CORE Discussion Paper 2010/2, Université catholique de Louvain, 2010. https://core.ac.uk/download/6430808.pdf
  • Yu. Nesterov, Efficiency of coordinate descent methods on huge-scale optimization problems, SIAM Journal on Optimization 22(2), 341–362, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/100802001
  • S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4), 231–357, 2015, §6.4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.4980
  • P. Richtárik and M. Takáč, Iteration complexity of randomized block-coordinate descent methods for minimizing a composite function, Mathematical Programming 144, 1–38, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-012-0614-z
  • Yu. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Hedging Inventory Risk Through Market Instruments II: A Small Fair Hedge Raises the Newsvendor's Expected UtilityResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer that orders stock months before the selling season carries inventory risk: its profit depends on a demand it cannot observe when it commits. For many goods that demand moves with a quantity traded on financial markets: sales of housing-related products with an interest-rate or construction index, sales of fashion or luxury goods with a stock index, sales of commodity-intensive products with a commodity price. V. Gaur and S. Seshadri, Hedging Inventory Risk Through Market Instruments (MSOM 7(2), 2005), ask what such a firm gains by trading in that market, and how the trade interacts with the ordering decision.

Their analysis has two halves. When demand is perfectly correlated with the asset price, the newsvendor payoff can be replicated by a portfolio of the asset and call options, and inventory risk can be removed completely (§2). When demand is only partially correlated, the hedge is imperfect, and the question becomes whether a decision maker with a concave utility still benefits from hedging, and whether hedging changes the order quantity (§3.2). This mission formalizes the first of these two questions in the partially correlated model: Proposition 5, which says that a small fair hedge never lowers expected utility at the margin. A companion mission of the same series treats Proposition 7, on the order quantity.

Setting

A firm orders III units now at unit cost ccc, sells at price ppp at a future time TTT, and salvages leftovers at sss. The demand is

D=a+bST+ε′,D = a + bS_T + \varepsilon',D=a+bST​+ε′,

where STS_TST​ is the time-TTT price of a traded asset and ε′\varepsilon'ε′ is a forecast error, independent of STS_TST​, with E[ε′]=0\mathbb E[\varepsilon'] = 0E[ε′]=0 and E[ε′2]<∞\mathbb E[\varepsilon'^2] < \inftyE[ε′2]<∞ (§3, p. 107). Write ε=ε′/b\varepsilon = \varepsilon'/bε=ε′/b. The paper's standing assumptions (§2, p. 106) are b>0b > 0b>0, I>max⁡{a,0}I > \max\{a, 0\}I>max{a,0}, and p>cerT>sp > ce^{rT} > sp>cerT>s, where rrr is the risk-free rate.

After scaling all cash flows by 1/((p−s)b)1/((p-s)b)1/((p−s)b) (p. 110) the firm's terminal wealth without hedging is

W+ΠU(I)=W+min⁡{ST+ε, (I−a)/b}−c1I,W + \Pi_U(I) = W + \min\{S_T + \varepsilon,\ (I-a)/b\} - c_1 I,W+ΠU​(I)=W+min{ST​+ε, (I−a)/b}−c1​I,

with c1=(cerT−s)/((p−s)b)c_1 = (ce^{rT}-s)/((p-s)b)c1​=(cerT−s)/((p−s)b) and WWW the scaled initial wealth plus (p−s)a(p-s)a(p−s)a. In these units p>cerT>sp > ce^{rT} > sp>cerT>s reads 0<c10 < c_10<c1​ and c1b<1c_1 b < 1c1​b<1.

A hedge is a portfolio with time-TTT payoff XTX_TXT​ and time-0 price X0X_0X0​. The paper requires it to be a fair gamble, E[XT−X0erT]=0\mathbb E[X_T - X_0e^{rT}] = 0E[XT​−X0​erT]=0 (12), and XTX_TXT​ to be an increasing function of STS_TST​ (p. 111). If the firm shorts α\alphaα units of the hedge, its wealth is

W+ΠH(I,α)=W+min⁡{ST+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1I−αXT+αX0erT,(14)W + \Pi_H(I,\alpha) = W + \min\{S_T + \varepsilon, (I-a)/b\} - c_1 I - \alpha X_T + \alpha X_0 e^{rT}, \tag{14}W+ΠH​(I,α)=W+min{ST​+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1​I−αXT​+αX0​erT,(14)

and a decision maker with utility u:R→Ru:\mathbb R \to \mathbb Ru:R→R evaluates it by E[u(ΠH(I,α))]\mathbb E[u(\Pi_H(I,\alpha))]E[u(ΠH​(I,α))].

In Lean, the law of STS_TST​ is a probability measure ν on ℝ, the law of ε\varepsilonε is a probability measure G on ℝ, the hedge is X_T = φ S_T for a function φ : ℝ → ℝ, the forward price X0erTX_0e^{rT}X0​erT is one real x0r, and every expectation is an integral against the product measure ν.prod G. The definitions file provides unhedgedPayoff, hedgedPayoff and expUtil.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (p. 111)

For any concave and differentiable utility function uuu, and any fixed order quantity III,

ddα E[u(ΠH(I,α))]∣α=0 ≥ 0.(15)\frac{d}{d\alpha}\,\mathbb E[u(\Pi_H(I,\alpha))]\Big|_{\alpha = 0} \ \ge\ 0. \tag{15}dαd​E[u(ΠH​(I,α))]​α=0​ ≥ 0.(15)

The Lean statement asserts that the two-sided derivative exists at α=0\alpha = 0α=0 and is nonnegative.

Milestones (proof of Proposition 5, p. 118)

  1. Derivative at α=0\alpha = 0α=0. The derivative exists and equals
E[u′(W+min⁡{ST+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1I) {−XT+X0erT}].\mathbb E\big[u'(W + \min\{S_T + \varepsilon, (I-a)/b\} - c_1I)\,\{-X_T + X_0e^{rT}\}\big].E[u′(W+min{ST​+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1​I){−XT​+X0​erT}].
  1. Covariance inequality. Since both factors decrease in STS_TST​,
E[u′(W+ΠU){−XT+X0erT}] ≥ E[u′(W+ΠU)]⋅E[−XT+X0erT]=0.\mathbb E\big[u'(W+\Pi_U)\{-X_T + X_0e^{rT}\}\big] \ \ge\ \mathbb E[u'(W+\Pi_U)]\cdot\mathbb E[-X_T + X_0e^{rT}] = 0.E[u′(W+ΠU​){−XT​+X0​erT}] ≥ E[u′(W+ΠU​)]⋅E[−XT​+X0​erT]=0.

Significance

Proposition 5 is the paper's answer to "should a risk-averse newsvendor hedge at all?": with any concave utility and any order quantity, a small short position in a fair hedge that rises with the asset price weakly increases expected utility. It needs no assumption on the shape of the utility beyond concavity, no sign of u′u'u′, and no assumption on the law of the forecast error beyond independence. It is the starting point for the paper's later results on the optimal hedge (Proposition 4) and on how hedging raises the optimal order (Propositions 6 and 7), and it is a clean instance of a general principle in operations-finance: a fair bet that is negatively correlated with marginal utility is worth taking at the margin.

The result is proved in the paper in a few lines. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version with every regularity condition explicit: the paper differentiates under the expectation and multiplies expectations without stating when this is legitimate, and conditions on STS_TST​ informally. To the best of a search of the Prove2Me catalog, neither the result nor the two steps of its proof (an integral version of Chebyshev's covariance inequality for monotone functions, and differentiation of a concave expected utility under the integral sign) is formalized there.

Difficulty

The obvious argument has two analytic gaps. First, exchanging d/dαd/d\alphad/dα with the expectation needs a dominating function, and the only integrability available is at finitely many values of α\alphaα, for both signs of α\alphaα. Second, "u′(⋅)u'(\cdot)u′(⋅) is a decreasing function of STS_TST​" is false as a statement about the pair (ST,ε)(S_T, \varepsilon)(ST​,ε): u′(W+ΠU)u'(W + \Pi_U)u′(W+ΠU​) depends on ε\varepsilonε too. The covariance step is Chebyshev's inequality for the function s↦Eε[u′(W+min⁡{s+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1I)]s \mapsto \mathbb E_\varepsilon[u'(W + \min\{s+\varepsilon, (I-a)/b\} - c_1 I)]s↦Eε​[u′(W+min{s+ε,(I−a)/b}−c1​I)] and the function s↦X0erT−XT(s)s \mapsto X_0e^{rT} - X_T(s)s↦X0​erT−XT​(s), which needs independence (Fubini on the product measure) and has to cope with the conditional expectation being finite only almost everywhere. Neither u′u'u′ nor the hedge payoff is bounded.

Formalization scope

The Lean development commits to the following conventions.

  • Random inputs are two probability measures ν (law of STS_TST​) and G (law of ε\varepsilonε) on ℝ; independence is the product measure ν.prod G. The standing assumptions E[ε]=0\mathbb E[\varepsilon] = 0E[ε]=0 and E[ε2]<∞\mathbb E[\varepsilon^2] < \inftyE[ε2]<∞ are hypotheses (∫ e, e ∂G = 0, MemLp id 2 G).
  • The scaled parameters W,a,b,c1,IW, a, b, c_1, IW,a,b,c1​,I are reals with b>0b > 0b>0, max⁡{a,0}<I\max\{a,0\} < Imax{a,0}<I, 0<c10 < c_10<c1​, c1b<1c_1 b < 1c1​b<1.
  • The hedge is φ : ℝ → ℝ, monotone (nondecreasing, reading the paper's "increasing" weakly), measurable and ν-integrable; the fair-gamble condition (12) is ∫ s, φ s ∂ν = x0r. The paper's further remark that XTX_TXT​ is piecewise continuous and a.e. differentiable is not needed and not imposed.
  • The utility is u : ℝ → ℝ with ConcaveOn ℝ Set.univ u and Differentiable ℝ u, exactly "concave and differentiable"; no monotonicity of uuu is assumed.
  • Regularity hypotheses, disclosed: for some δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 the utility u(W+ΠH(I,α))u(W + \Pi_H(I,\alpha))u(W+ΠH​(I,α)) is integrable at α∈{−δ,0,δ}\alpha \in \{-\delta, 0, \delta\}α∈{−δ,0,δ}, and u′(W+ΠU)u'(W + \Pi_U)u′(W+ΠU​) is integrable. The paper uses these silently.

A statement of the form 0 ≤ deriv (fun α => expUtil …) 0 would be trivially true whenever the derivative fails to exist (Lean's deriv returns 0 there); the goal instead asserts HasDerivAt with a value D and 0 ≤ D. The hypotheses are satisfiable with a non-constant hedge: a sorry-free check uses u(w)=−e−wu(w) = -e^{-w}u(w)=−e−w, STS_TST​ uniform on {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}, ε\varepsilonε uniform on {−1,1}\{-1,1\}{−1,1} and XT=STX_T = S_TXT​=ST​.

Infrastructure that a complete proof needs, reusable beyond this mission: Chebyshev's integral (covariance) inequality for two monotone functions of a real random variable; differentiation under the integral sign for concave integrands with integrability at three points; Fubini-based conditioning on one coordinate of a product measure. Contributions of these general lemmas as separate theorems are welcome. The source PDF is a scan of the published article.

Selected references

  • V. Gaur, S. Seshadri, Hedging Inventory Risk Through Market Instruments, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 7(2):103–120, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1040.0061
  • K. J. Arrow, Essays in the Theory of Risk-Bearing, Markham, 1971 (absolute risk aversion, cited on p. 111 of the paper).
  • M. S. Kimball, Precautionary Saving in the Small and in the Large, Econometrica 58(1):53–73, 1990. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938334
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Control TheoryOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear–Quadratic Control II: With a Scalar State and Deterministic Coefficients, Coupled Riccati Equations Give an Explicit Linear Feedback EquilibriumResearch Paper

Motivation

In a time-inconsistent control problem, a control that is optimal when planned at time ttt stops being optimal when the problem is re-solved at a later time. Two sources of time inconsistency are common in finance and economics. One is a variance term in the objective, as in continuous-time Markowitz mean–variance portfolio selection (Zhou–Li 2000; Basak–Chabakauri 2010). The other is a state-dependent target, as in Björk–Murgoci–Zhou 2014. Dynamic programming does not apply. A standard response is to look for an equilibrium: a control that no planner at any time ttt can improve by an infinitesimal deviation on [t,t+ε)[t,t+\varepsilon)[t,t+ε).

Hu, Jin and Zhou define open-loop equilibria for a general stochastic linear–quadratic (LQ) problem with both sources of time inconsistency. They give a sufficient condition through a flow of forward–backward SDEs, which is the subject of mission I of this series. This mission covers §4 of the paper: the scalar-state case with deterministic coefficients, where the equilibrium is computed explicitly from a system of coupled Riccati equations. Mission III covers §5, the mean–variance application with random coefficients.

Setting

On a probability space carrying a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion WWW with its filtration (Ft)(\mathcal F_t)(Ft​), the state XXX is scalar (n=1n=1n=1) and the control uuu takes values in Rl\mathbb R^lRl:

dXs=[AsXs+Bs′us+bs] ds+[CsXs+Dsus+σs]′ dWs,X0=x0.dX_s=[A_sX_s+B_s'u_s+b_s]\,ds+[C_sX_s+D_su_s+\sigma_s]'\,dW_s,\qquad X_0=x_0.dXs​=[As​Xs​+Bs′​us​+bs​]ds+[Cs​Xs​+Ds​us​+σs​]′dWs​,X0​=x0​.

The coefficients are deterministic functions on [0,T][0,T][0,T]: As,bs,Qs∈RA_s,b_s,Q_s\in\mathbb RAs​,bs​,Qs​∈R, Bs∈RlB_s\in\mathbb R^lBs​∈Rl, Cs,σs∈RdC_s,\sigma_s\in\mathbb R^dCs​,σs​∈Rd, Ds∈Rd×lD_s\in\mathbb R^{d\times l}Ds​∈Rd×l and Rs∈Rl×lR_s\in\mathbb R^{l\times l}Rs​∈Rl×l symmetric. A,B,C,D,Q,RA,B,C,D,Q,RA,B,C,D,Q,R are bounded, b,σb,\sigmab,σ are square integrable, Q≥0Q\ge0Q≥0, R⪰0R\succeq0R⪰0, and G≥0G\ge0G≥0. At time ttt, in state xtx_txt​, the planner evaluates

J(t,xt;u)=12Et ⁣∫tT ⁣(QsXs2+⟨Rsus,us⟩)ds+12Et[GXT2]−h2(Et[XT])2−(μ1xt+μ2) Et[XT],J(t,x_t;u)=\tfrac12\mathbb E_t\!\int_t^T\!\big(Q_sX_s^2+\langle R_su_s,u_s\rangle\big)ds+\tfrac12\mathbb E_t[GX_T^2]-\tfrac h2\big(\mathbb E_t[X_T]\big)^2-(\mu_1x_t+\mu_2)\,\mathbb E_t[X_T],J(t,xt​;u)=21​Et​∫tT​(Qs​Xs2​+⟨Rs​us​,us​⟩)ds+21​Et​[GXT2​]−2h​(Et​[XT​])2−(μ1​xt​+μ2​)Et​[XT​],

where Et=E[ ⋅∣Ft]\mathbb E_t=\mathbb E[\,\cdot\mid\mathcal F_t]Et​=E[⋅∣Ft​]. The third term (the variance-like term) and the fourth term (which depends on xtx_txt​) make the problem time-inconsistent. A control u∗u^*u∗ with state X∗X^*X∗ is an equilibrium (Definition 2.1) if, for every t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T) and every Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable square-integrable vvv, the spike ut,ε,v=u∗+v1[t,t+ε)u^{t,\varepsilon,v}=u^*+v\mathbf 1_{[t,t+\varepsilon)}ut,ε,v=u∗+v1[t,t+ε)​ satisfies

lim inf⁡ε↓0J(t,Xt∗;ut,ε,v)−J(t,Xt∗;u∗)ε≥0.\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}\frac{J(t,X^*_t;u^{t,\varepsilon,v})-J(t,X^*_t;u^*)}{\varepsilon}\ge0.ε↓0liminf​εJ(t,Xt∗​;ut,ε,v)−J(t,Xt∗​;u∗)​≥0.

With Γs(1)=μ1e∫sTAr dr\Gamma^{(1)}_s=\mu_1e^{\int_s^TA_r\,dr}Γs(1)​=μ1​e∫sT​Ar​dr, ∣C∣2=C′C|C|^2=C'C∣C∣2=C′C and K=(R+MD′D)−1K=(R+MD'D)^{-1}K=(R+MD′D)−1, the coupled Riccati system (4.9) for deterministic (M,N)(M,N)(M,N) is

M˙=−[2A+∣C∣2+Γ(1)B′K(B+D′C)]M−Q+(B+D′C)′K(B+D′C)M2−B′K(B+D′C)MN,MT=G,N˙=−[2A+Γ(1)B′KB]N+B′K(B+D′C)MN−B′KBN2,NT=h.\begin{aligned}\dot M&=-\big[2A+|C|^2+\Gamma^{(1)}B'K(B+D'C)\big]M-Q+(B+D'C)'K(B+D'C)M^2-B'K(B+D'C)MN,& M_T&=G,\\ \dot N&=-\big[2A+\Gamma^{(1)}B'KB\big]N+B'K(B+D'C)MN-B'KBN^2,& N_T&=h.\end{aligned}M˙N˙​=−[2A+∣C∣2+Γ(1)B′K(B+D′C)]M−Q+(B+D′C)′K(B+D′C)M2−B′K(B+D′C)MN,=−[2A+Γ(1)B′KB]N+B′K(B+D′C)MN−B′KBN2,​MT​NT​​=G,=h.​

Given (M,N)(M,N)(M,N), a linear ODE (4.8) determines Φ\PhiΦ with ΦT=−μ2\Phi_T=-\mu_2ΦT​=−μ2​. The candidate equilibrium is the linear feedback (4.4)

us∗=αsXs∗+βs,αs=−Ks[(Ms−Ns−Γs(1))Bs+MsDs′Cs],βs=−Ks(ΦsBs+MsDs′σs).u^*_s=\alpha_sX^*_s+\beta_s,\quad\alpha_s=-K_s\big[(M_s-N_s-\Gamma^{(1)}_s)B_s+M_sD_s'C_s\big],\quad\beta_s=-K_s(\Phi_sB_s+M_sD_s'\sigma_s).us∗​=αs​Xs∗​+βs​,αs​=−Ks​[(Ms​−Ns​−Γs(1)​)Bs​+Ms​Ds′​Cs​],βs​=−Ks​(Φs​Bs​+Ms​Ds′​σs​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.4

Suppose G≥h>0G\ge h>0G≥h>0 and one of three cases holds:

  • (i) R⪰δIR\succeq\delta IR⪰δI, QD′D+∣C∣2Rl+Γ(1)S(D′CB′)⪰0\frac{QD'D+|C|^2R}{l}+\Gamma^{(1)}\mathcal S(D'CB')\succeq0lQD′D+∣C∣2R​+Γ(1)S(D′CB′)⪰0 and B=λD′CB=\lambda D'CB=λD′C with λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0;
  • (ii) the first two conditions of (i) and D′D⪰δID'D\succeq\delta ID′D⪰δI;
  • (iii) R≡0R\equiv0R≡0, D′D⪰δID'D\succeq\delta ID′D⪰δI, Q+Γ(1)B′(D′D)−1(B+D′C)≥0Q+\Gamma^{(1)}B'(D'D)^{-1}(B+D'C)\ge0Q+Γ(1)B′(D′D)−1(B+D′C)≥0 and Q+Γ(1)B′(D′D)−1D′C≥0Q+\Gamma^{(1)}B'(D'D)^{-1}D'C\ge0Q+Γ(1)B′(D′D)−1D′C≥0.

Then

(4.9) has a unique positive solution pair (M,N) on [0,T],\text{(4.9) has a unique positive solution pair }(M,N)\text{ on }[0,T],(4.9) has a unique positive solution pair (M,N) on [0,T],

and, for every solution Φ\PhiΦ of (4.8), the closed-loop equation of (4.4) has a solution, and the feedback control along every closed-loop state is an equilibrium.

Milestones

  • Proposition 4.1: a positive solution (M,J)(M,J)(M,J) of the transformed system (4.10) gives the positive solution (M,M/J)(M,M/J)(M,M/J) of (4.9).
  • Theorem 4.2: existence and uniqueness of positive solutions of (4.10) and (4.9) in the standard case R⪰δIR\succeq\delta IR⪰δI.
  • Theorem 4.3: existence for (4.13) and (4.9) in the singular case R≡0R\equiv0R≡0.
  • Three steps from the proof of Theorem 4.4:
    • α\alphaα is bounded, so u∗u^*u∗ is admissible and X∗X^*X∗ has continuous paths with Esup⁡s∣Xs∗∣2<∞\mathbb E\sup_s|X^*_s|^2<\inftyEsups​∣Xs∗​∣2<∞;
    • the ansatz p(s;t)=MsXs∗−NsEt[Xs∗]−Γs(1)Xt∗+Φsp(s;t)=M_sX^*_s-N_s\mathbb E_t[X^*_s]-\Gamma^{(1)}_sX^*_t+\Phi_sp(s;t)=Ms​Xs∗​−Ns​Et​[Xs∗​]−Γs(1)​Xt∗​+Φs​, k(s;t)=Ms[CsXs∗+Dsus∗+σs]k(s;t)=M_s[C_sX^*_s+D_su^*_s+\sigma_s]k(s;t)=Ms​[Cs​Xs∗​+Ds​us∗​+σs​] solves the adjoint flow (3.10);
    • the identity Λ(s;t)=Ns[Xs∗−EtXs∗]Bs+Γs(1)(Xs∗−Xt∗)Bs\Lambda(s;t)=N_s[X^*_s-\mathbb E_tX^*_s]B_s+\Gamma^{(1)}_s(X^*_s-X^*_t)B_sΛ(s;t)=Ns​[Xs∗​−Et​Xs∗​]Bs​+Γs(1)​(Xs∗​−Xt∗​)Bs​ holds, and Λ\LambdaΛ satisfies condition (3.4).

Significance

The theorem gives an equilibrium in closed form, as a linear feedback of the current state with deterministic gains. That makes the equilibrium computable and comparable with the classical, time-consistent LQ regulator. Setting h=μ1=0h=\mu_1=0h=μ1​=0 recovers a standard LQ problem, but (4.9) differs from the classical Riccati equation even then: it is a nonsymmetric coupled system (footnote 2, p. 10), and the cases (i)–(iii) are the conditions under which it is solvable. The mean–variance results of §5 (mission III) follow the same pattern.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been formalized. A formal proof needs global existence for a nonlinear, nonautonomous ODE system with Carathéodory coefficients, obtained by truncation and a priori bounds. It also needs linear SDEs with bounded feedback, Itô calculus for products of deterministic and Itô processes, and the sufficient condition of mission I. Uniqueness in case (iii) is claimed by Theorem 4.4 but not proved in Theorem 4.3; it is part of the goal.

Difficulty

The system (4.9) is quadratic in (M,N)(M,N)(M,N). Its solutions can blow up in finite time, and (R+MD′D)−1(R+MD'D)^{-1}(R+MD′D)−1 can degenerate when MMM changes sign. Picard–Lindelöf therefore gives only local solutions, and a global solution needs a priori bounds 0<η≤M≤L0<\eta\le M\le L0<η≤M≤L and J≥1J\ge1J≥1, with η\etaη and LLL independent of the truncation level. Those bounds are where the case hypotheses enter. In the stochastic half, the equilibrium property is not proved by computing JJJ directly. It requires checking that the explicit candidate meets the flow-of-FBSDE sufficient condition, and the flow carries a parameter ttt and the conditional expectations Et[Xs∗]\mathbb E_t[X^*_s]Et​[Xs∗​] for every s≥ts\ge ts≥t.

Formalization scope

The general model (data, standing assumptions, states, conditional cost, spike, equilibrium) is stated for arbitrary nnn and instantiated at n=1n=1n=1 through toData. It is built on the published substrate Peng1990_SMP_Stochastic (Brownian motion, natural filtration, LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, Itô integrals, SDE solutions). The formalization commits to the following choices.

  • Definition 2.1 uses lim inf⁡\liminfliminf in R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R, along every sequence εk↓0\varepsilon_k\downarrow0εk​↓0, almost surely for each sequence, and for every version of the state and of the perturbed states. The page writes lim⁡\limlim, which need not exist.
  • The filtration is the natural, uncompleted filtration of WWW, not the augmented one.
  • The state from time ttt is encoded through the full horizon. The spike is additive on [t,t+ε)[t,t+\varepsilon)[t,t+ε).
  • "Essentially bounded" and "a.s., a.e." are read dP⊗dsd\mathbb P\otimes dsdP⊗ds-a.e.
  • Every ODE ((4.8), (4.9), (4.10), (4.13)) is stated in integral form on [0,T][0,T][0,T], because the coefficients are only bounded measurable. A solution includes invertibility of R+MD′DR+MD'DR+MD′D (resp. D′DD'DD′D) on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. Uniqueness means agreement on [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • The constants δ,λ\delta,\lambdaδ,λ are uniform in sss, and the case conditions hold for every s∈[0,T]s\in[0,T]s∈[0,T]. In QD′D+∣C∣2Rl\frac{QD'D+|C|^2R}{l}lQD′D+∣C∣2R​, lll is the control dimension.
  • "Let Φ\PhiΦ be a solution of (4.8)" means every solution. "u∗u^*u∗ is an equilibrium" means that a closed-loop state exists and that the feedback is an equilibrium along every closed-loop state.
  • Conditional-expectation families Et[Xs∗]\mathbb E_t[X^*_s]Et​[Xs∗​] are handled through arbitrary progressive versions. Condition (3.4) is stated exactly: its first part as a localization on Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-sets, its second part with a jointly measurable version and "a.e. sss".
  • The paper's "β\betaβ uniformly bounded" is false when σ\sigmaσ is only square integrable. The milestone states the true claim: α\alphaα is essentially bounded on [0,T][0,T][0,T] (the coefficients are only essentially bounded) and β\betaβ is square integrable.

The goal's conclusion is Definition 2.1 itself; it does not mention Λ\LambdaΛ, ppp or (3.4). Existence of the closed-loop state is asserted, not assumed. A formalization that assumes existence, or that replaces equilibrium by condition (3.4), is a different and weaker theorem.

Theorem 3.3 (the n=1n=1n=1 sufficient condition) is not posed here. Under the shared model it is mission I's goal at n=1n=1n=1. Contributions are welcome on the ODE layer (truncation, comparison and Gronwall bounds for Carathéodory systems), on linear SDEs with bounded feedback, and on the Itô product rule. These parts are reusable well beyond this paper.

Selected references

  • Y. Hu, H. Jin, X. Y. Zhou, Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear–Quadratic Control, arXiv:1111.0818v1, 2011; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1111.0818
  • T. Björk, A. Murgoci, X. Y. Zhou, Mean–variance portfolio optimization with state-dependent risk aversion, Mathematical Finance 24(1), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.2011.00515.x
  • S. Basak, G. Chabakauri, Dynamic mean–variance asset allocation, Review of Financial Studies 23(8), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhq028
  • X. Y. Zhou, D. Li, Continuous-time mean–variance portfolio selection: a stochastic LQ framework, Applied Mathematics and Optimization 42, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002450010003
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
  • J. Yong, X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
  • Missions I and III of this series: the sufficient condition (Theorem 3.2) and the mean–variance equilibrium (Theorem 5.4).
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Differential GeometryNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization Methods on Riemannian Manifolds and Their Application to Shape Space 1: Riemannian BFGS with Isometric Vector Transport Converges R-Linearly under Uniform ConvexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many optimization problems in shape analysis, computer vision, numerical linear algebra and statistics have a feasible set that is not a vector space but a Riemannian manifold: spaces of curves modulo reparametrization, the Stiefel and Grassmann manifolds, fixed-rank matrices. On such a set the classical recipe "add a multiple of the search direction to the iterate" is not available, and line-search methods replace it by a retraction, a map that follows a tangent direction back onto the manifold (Absil, Mahony, Sepulchre 2008).

Quasi-Newton methods are the most widely used line-search methods in the Euclidean setting, and BFGS is the most popular of them. Transferring BFGS to a manifold raises a specific problem: the Hessian approximation BkB_kBk​ lives on the tangent space at xkx_kxk​, while the next one must live on the tangent space at xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​, so a vector transport TkT_kTk​ between tangent spaces enters the update.

Timeline:

  • Gabay (1982) proposed a Riemannian BFGS update with geodesics and parallel transport (doi:10.1007/BF00934767).
  • Absil, Mahony and Sepulchre (2008) and Qi, Gallivan and Absil (2010) generalized it to arbitrary retractions and vector transports.
  • Ring and Wirth (2012), the source of this mission, proved global convergence and an R-linear rate for transported BFGS on possibly infinite-dimensional Riemannian manifolds, assuming that the transports are isometries (doi:10.1137/11082885X).
  • Later work by Huang, Gallivan and Absil (2015) relaxed the conditions on the transport (doi:10.1137/140955483).

Setting

Let M\mathcal MM be a smooth manifold modelled on a real Hilbert space EEE, with a Riemannian inner product gxg_xgx​ and norm ∥⋅∥x\|\cdot\|_x∥⋅∥x​ on each tangent space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M. For f:M→Rf:\mathcal M\to\mathbb Rf:M→R, Df(x)\mathrm Df(x)Df(x) is its differential, a functional on TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M with dual norm ∥Df(x)∥x\|\mathrm Df(x)\|_x∥Df(x)∥x​.

A retraction is a family of smooth maps Rx:TxM→MR_x:T_x\mathcal M\to\mathcal MRx​:Tx​M→M with Rx(0)=xR_x(0)=xRx​(0)=x and DRx(0)=id\mathrm DR_x(0)=\mathrm{id}DRx​(0)=id. Write fRx=f∘Rxf_{R_x}=f\circ R_xfRx​​=f∘Rx​, a function on the vector space TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M, with derivatives DfRx\mathrm Df_{R_x}DfRx​​ and D2fRx\mathrm D^2f_{R_x}D2fRx​​.

Algorithm 1 produces iterates xk+1=Rxk(αkpk)x_{k+1}=R_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)xk+1​=Rxk​​(αk​pk​). The step αk>0\alpha_k>0αk​>0 satisfies the Wolfe conditions with 0<c1<c2<10<c_1<c_2<10<c1​<c2​<1:

f(Rx(αp))≤f(x)+c1α Df(x)p,Df(Rx(αp)) DRx(αp) p ≥ c2 Df(x)p.f(R_x(\alpha p))\le f(x)+c_1\alpha\,\mathrm Df(x)p,\qquad \mathrm Df(R_x(\alpha p))\,\mathrm DR_x(\alpha p)\,p\ \ge\ c_2\,\mathrm Df(x)p.f(Rx​(αp))≤f(x)+c1​αDf(x)p,Df(Rx​(αp))DRx​(αp)p ≥ c2​Df(x)p.

The BFGS direction solves Bk(pk,⋅)=−Df(xk)B_k(p_k,\cdot)=-\mathrm Df(x_k)Bk​(pk​,⋅)=−Df(xk​) for a bounded bilinear form BkB_kBk​ on TxkMT_{x_k}\mathcal MTxk​​M. With sk=αkpks_k=\alpha_kp_ksk​=αk​pk​ and yk=DfRxk(sk)−DfRxk(0)y_k=\mathrm Df_{R_{x_k}}(s_k)-\mathrm Df_{R_{x_k}}(0)yk​=DfRxk​​​(sk​)−DfRxk​​​(0), the next form is defined on Txk+1MT_{x_{k+1}}\mathcal MTxk+1​​M through an invertible linear map Tk:TxkM→Txk+1MT_k:T_{x_k}\mathcal M\to T_{x_{k+1}}\mathcal MTk​:Txk​​M→Txk+1​​M:

Bk+1(Tkv,Tkw)=Bk(v,w)−Bk(sk,v)Bk(sk,w)Bk(sk,sk)+(ykv)(ykw)yksk.B_{k+1}(T_kv,T_kw)=B_k(v,w)-\frac{B_k(s_k,v)B_k(s_k,w)}{B_k(s_k,s_k)}+\frac{(y_kv)(y_kw)}{y_ks_k}.Bk+1​(Tk​v,Tk​w)=Bk​(v,w)−Bk​(sk​,sk​)Bk​(sk​,v)Bk​(sk​,w)​+yk​sk​(yk​v)(yk​w)​.

The analysis uses the angle cos⁡θk=Bk(sk,sk)/(∥sk∥ ∥Bk(sk,⋅)∥)\cos\theta_k=B_k(s_k,s_k)/(\|s_k\|\,\|B_k(s_k,\cdot)\|)cosθk​=Bk​(sk​,sk​)/(∥sk​∥∥Bk​(sk​,⋅)∥) and the Rayleigh quotient qk=Bk(sk,sk)/∥sk∥2q_k=B_k(s_k,s_k)/\|s_k\|^2qk​=Bk​(sk​,sk​)/∥sk​∥2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 10

Assume:

  • the TkT_kTk​ are isometries;
  • B0B_0B0​ is symmetric and coercive;
  • for 0<m<M0<m<M0<m<M and every kkk, the set Sk=Rxk−1({f≤f(x0)})S_k=R_{x_k}^{-1}(\{f\le f(x_0)\})Sk​=Rxk​−1​({f≤f(x0​)}) is convex and m∥v∥2≤D2fRxk(p)(v,v)≤M∥v∥2m\|v\|^2\le\mathrm D^2f_{R_{x_k}}(p)(v,v)\le M\|v\|^2m∥v∥2≤D2fRxk​​​(p)(v,v)≤M∥v∥2 for p∈Skp\in S_kp∈Sk​;
  • x∗x^*x∗ is a minimizer of fff that every RxkR_{x_k}Rxk​​ reaches.

Then there is 0<μ<10<\mu<10<μ<1 with

f(xk+1)−f(x∗)≤μk+1(f(x0)−f(x∗))∀k∈N.f(x_{k+1})-f(x^*)\le\mu^{k+1}\big(f(x_0)-f(x^*)\big)\qquad\forall k\in\mathbb N.f(xk+1​)−f(x∗)≤μk+1(f(x0​)−f(x∗))∀k∈N.

The rate μ\muμ is not specified: the goal asserts only R-linear convergence, the shape of the result.

Milestones, in proof order

  1. Lemma 9. If ∥Tk∥\|T_k\|∥Tk​∥ and ∥Tk−1∥\|T_k^{-1}\|∥Tk−1​∥ are uniformly bounded and B0B_0B0​ is (symmetric and) coercive, then yksk>0y_ks_k>0yk​sk​>0 and every BkB_kBk​ is coercive.
  2. Curvature-pair bounds. ∥yk∥2/(yksk)≤M\|y_k\|^2/(y_ks_k)\le M∥yk​∥2/(yk​sk​)≤M and yksk/∥sk∥2≥my_ks_k/\|s_k\|^2\ge myk​sk​/∥sk​∥2≥m.
  3. Good indices. For every 0<r<10<r<10<r<1 there are κ,ρ,σ>0\kappa,\rho,\sigma>0κ,ρ,σ>0 such that every kkk has at least ⌊r(k+1)⌋\lfloor r(k+1)\rfloor⌊r(k+1)⌋ indices i≤ki\le ki≤k with cos⁡θi≥κ\cos\theta_i\ge\kappacosθi​≥κ and ρ≤qi/cos⁡θi≤σ\rho\le q_i/\cos\theta_i\le\sigmaρ≤qi​/cosθi​≤σ.
  4. Step-length bound. αi≥1−c2Mqi\alpha_i\ge\frac{1-c_2}{M}q_iαi​≥M1−c2​​qi​.
  5. Gradient dominance. f(x)−f(x∗)≤∥Df(x)∥2/(2m)f(x)-f(x^*)\le\|\mathrm Df(x)\|^2/(2m)f(x)−f(x∗)≤∥Df(x)∥2/(2m) on the sublevel set.
  6. Rate display. Given milestone 3's constants,
f(xk+1)−f(x∗)≤(1−1−c2Mc1κ2ρσ2m)⌊r(k+1)⌋(f(x0)−f(x∗)).f(x_{k+1})-f(x^*)\le\Big(1-\tfrac{1-c_2}{M}c_1\tfrac{\kappa^2\rho}{\sigma}2m\Big)^{\lfloor r(k+1)\rfloor}\big(f(x_0)-f(x^*)\big).f(xk+1​)−f(x∗)≤(1−M1−c2​​c1​σκ2ρ​2m)⌊r(k+1)⌋(f(x0​)−f(x∗)).

Significance

The result. Proposition 10 is a global convergence guarantee for a quasi-Newton method on manifolds, with no restriction to a neighbourhood of the minimizer and no finite-dimensionality. It applies to Riemannian shape spaces of curves, where the paper's numerical experiments take place. The paper's superlinear-rate theory (Proposition 12, Corollary 13) starts from this linear rate.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper but has not been machine-checked. A formal proof also checks the delicate points of the infinite-dimensional argument, in particular the use of traces and Fredholm determinants of trace-class perturbations of the identity. The statement as printed needs a correction: the printed bound f(xk)−f(x∗)≤μk+1(f(x0)−f(x∗))f(x_k)-f(x^*)\le\mu^{k+1}(f(x_0)-f(x^*))f(xk​)−f(x∗)≤μk+1(f(x0​)−f(x∗)) fails at k=0k=0k=0, and the formal goal bounds f(xk+1)f(x_{k+1})f(xk+1​), as the appendix's own final display does.

Difficulty

The Euclidean proof idea of bounding the eigenvalues of BkB_kBk​ uniformly does not work for BFGS: those eigenvalues are not uniformly controlled. The Byrd–Nocedal argument replaces them by trace and determinant estimates, which show that a fixed fraction of the iterations have well-conditioned angles. In infinite dimensions the trace and the determinant of BkB_kBk​ do not exist. One must work with AkB^kAk−idA_k\hat B_kA_k-\mathrm{id}Ak​B^k​Ak​−id, which is trace class, and with the Fredholm determinant, and show that isometric transports leave these quantities invariant. That invariance is exactly where the isometry hypothesis enters. Lemma 9 is also not a finite-dimensional triviality: positive definiteness of Bk+1B_{k+1}Bk+1​ does not give coercivity, and a separate compactness-free argument is needed.

Formalization scope

The manifold is a Mathlib ChartedSpace E M, with EEE a complete real inner-product space, IsManifold 𝓘(ℝ, E) ∞ M, and a RiemannianBundle on TangentSpace 𝓘(ℝ, E). Every norm on a tangent space is the Riemannian one. Df(x)\mathrm Df(x)Df(x) is mfderiv, read as a functional on TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M, and its norm is the operator norm.

Committed conventions and explicit readings:

  • One retraction family RRR for all kkk. The paper allows a different retraction per step.
  • Smoothness of RxR_xRx​ is stated for the map out of the model space EEE, which carries the topology of TxMT_x\mathcal MTx​M.
  • The run equation xk+1=Rxk(αkpk)x_{k+1}=R_{x_k}(\alpha_kp_k)xk+1​=Rxk​​(αk​pk​) is an explicit hypothesis: it is what identifies Txk+1MT_{x_{k+1}}\mathcal MTxk+1​​M with the tangent space at the new point. The BkB_kBk​ and TkT_kTk​ (as continuous linear equivalences) are data constrained by the update formula.
  • Regularity and non-termination: αk>0\alpha_k>0αk​>0, fff differentiable, fRxkf_{R_{x_k}}fRxk​​​ of class C2C^2C2, and Df(xk)≠0\mathrm Df(x_k)\neq0Df(xk​)=0 for all kkk. Only runs that never stop are covered.
  • Symmetry of B0B_0B0​ is assumed in Lemma 9 as well. The lemma's proof uses it, and without it the first update can lose coercivity.
  • Convexity of SkS_kSk​ is part of "uniformly convex on the sublevel set". Without it, a double-well function whose sublevel set has two strongly convex components is a counterexample.
  • Reachability of x∗x^*x∗ by every RxkR_{x_k}Rxk​​ is assumed, since the appendix uses Rxk−1(x∗)R_{x_k}^{-1}(x^*)Rxk​−1​(x∗).
  • Dropped assumptions: geodesic completeness, separability, the distance and the Levi-Civita connection are not used and are dropped.
  • Corrected index: the rate display and the goal bound f(xk+1)f(x_{k+1})f(xk+1​), because the decrease obtained at a good index iii improves xi+1x_{i+1}xi+1​.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out on three fronts. A sorry-free check on M=E=R\mathcal M=E=\mathbb RM=E=R, with Rx(v)=x+vR_x(v)=x+vRx​(v)=x+v, f(x)=x2/2f(x)=x^2/2f(x)=x2/2 and xk+1=0.4xkx_{k+1}=0.4x_kxk+1​=0.4xk​, shows that the run hypotheses are satisfiable. Every quotient in a statement has a positive denominator along such a run. The rate μ\muμ is quantified after the run and before kkk.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and that is reusable beyond this mission:

  • calculus of f∘Rxf\circ R_xf∘Rx​ on a tangent space with its Riemannian norm;
  • Taylor's formula with integral remainder;
  • trace-class operators and Fredholm determinants on Hilbert spaces, with Lidskii's theorem.

The last item is absent from Mathlib, and contributions toward it are welcome. The paper's other main result, convergence of Fletcher–Reeves conjugate gradients (Proposition 15), is a separate mission. The superlinear-rate results (Lemma 6, Propositions 5, 7, 8, 12, Corollaries 11, 13) and the numerical §4 are out of scope.

Selected references

  • W. Ring, B. Wirth, Optimization Methods on Riemannian Manifolds and Their Application to Shape Space, SIAM J. Optim. 22(2), 596–627, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/11082885X
  • P.-A. Absil, R. Mahony, R. Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, Princeton University Press, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830244
  • D. Gabay, Minimizing a differentiable function over a differential manifold, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 37, 177–219, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00934767
  • R. H. Byrd, J. Nocedal, A tool for the analysis of quasi-Newton methods with application to unconstrained minimization, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 26(3), 727–739, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1137/0726042
  • W. Huang, K. A. Gallivan, P.-A. Absil, A Broyden class of quasi-Newton methods for Riemannian optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 25(3), 1660–1685, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1137/140955483
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Matroid Prophet Inequalities 2: On an Intersection of p Matroids, the Summed-Threshold Algorithm Earns at Least 1/(4p−2) of the Expected OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

A prophet inequality compares a gambler who sees independent random rewards one at a time, and must accept or reject each on arrival, with a prophet who sees all rewards in advance. The classical inequality of Krengel, Sucheston and Garling (1977–78, as cited in the paper) says that when only one reward may be kept, a single threshold rule earns at least half of E[max⁡iXi]\mathbb E[\max_i X_i]E[maxi​Xi​], and Samuel-Cahn (1984) showed that the threshold can be chosen as a median. Such statements are the analytical core of sequential posted-price mechanisms: Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Sandholm (2007) observed that threshold rules are truthful online auctions, and Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (2010) showed that sequential posted prices approximate the optimal Bayesian revenue in many settings, with prophet inequalities for the feasibility constraint as the key technique.

When several items may be accepted subject to a combinatorial constraint, the natural constraints in this application are matroids (for example, at most kkk items, or at most one item per group) and intersections of matroids (for example, bipartite matchings, which are intersections of two partition matroids). Kleinberg and Weinberg (STOC 2012) proved that for every matroid there is an online algorithm with expected payoff at least half of the expected maximum-weight basis, and that for the intersection of ppp matroids the summed version of the same algorithm earns at least 14p−2\frac{1}{4p-2}4p−21​ of the expected optimum. This mission formalizes the second result.

Timeline:

  • 1977–78: Krengel–Sucheston and Garling, single-choice prophet inequality with factor 2.
  • 1984: Samuel-Cahn, the median threshold rule attains factor 2.
  • 2007: Hajiaghayi–Kleinberg–Sandholm, threshold rules from prophet inequalities read as truthful online auction mechanisms.
  • 2010: Chawla–Hartline–Malec–Sivan, sequential posted pricing; factor 2 for matroids when the algorithm may choose the order in which elements are observed.
  • 2012: Kleinberg–Weinberg, factor 2 for matroids and 4p−24p-24p−2 for intersections of ppp matroids, against online weight-adaptive adversaries.

Setting

A finite ground set U\mathcal UU carries p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 matroids M1,…,Mp\mathcal M_1,\dots,\mathcal M_pM1​,…,Mp​ with independent sets I1,…,Ip\mathcal I_1,\dots,\mathcal I_pI1​,…,Ip​ and closure operators cl1,…,clp\mathrm{cl}_1,\dots,\mathrm{cl}_pcl1​,…,clp​. A set is feasible if it lies in I=⋂jIj\mathcal I = \bigcap_j \mathcal I_jI=⋂j​Ij​. Each element xxx has a random weight w(x)≥0w(x) \ge 0w(x)≥0; the weights are independent and w(x)w(x)w(x) has law FxF_xFx​. For a set SSS, w(S)=∑x∈Sw(x)w(S) = \sum_{x \in S} w(x)w(S)=∑x∈S​w(x), OPT(w)=max⁡{w(S):S∈I}\mathrm{OPT}(w) = \max\{w(S) : S \in \mathcal I\}OPT(w)=max{w(S):S∈I}, and OPT=E[OPT(w)]\mathrm{OPT} = \mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(w)]OPT=E[OPT(w)].

An online weight-adaptive adversary reveals the elements one at a time; it chooses the iii-th element xix_ixi​ after learning w(x1),…,w(xi−1)w(x_1),\dots,w(x_{i-1})w(x1​),…,w(xi−1​), but without knowing w(xi)w(x_i)w(xi​) or any other unrevealed weight. A threshold algorithm offers xix_ixi​ a threshold TiT_iTi​ computed from what has been revealed and from the set Ai−1A_{i-1}Ai−1​ already selected, and selects xix_ixi​ exactly when Ai−1∪{xi}∈IA_{i-1}\cup\{x_i\}\in\mathcal IAi−1​∪{xi​}∈I and w(xi)≥Tiw(x_i) \ge T_iw(xi​)≥Ti​.

The algorithm of the paper uses a ghost sample w′w'w′, an independent copy of www. Let BBB be a w′w'w′-maximum feasible set. For a set AAA and each jjj, Rj(A)⊆B∖AR_j(A) \subseteq B \setminus ARj​(A)⊆B∖A is a set of maximum w′w'w′-weight with A∪Rj(A)∈IjA \cup R_j(A) \in \mathcal I_jA∪Rj​(A)∈Ij​ and B⊆clj(A∪Rj(A))B \subseteq \mathrm{cl}_j(A \cup R_j(A))B⊆clj​(A∪Rj​(A)), and Cj(A)=B∖Rj(A)C_j(A) = B \setminus R_j(A)Cj​(A)=B∖Rj​(A). Put R(A)=⋂jRj(A)R(A) = \bigcap_j R_j(A)R(A)=⋂j​Rj​(A) and C(A)=⋃jCj(A)C(A) = \bigcup_j C_j(A)C(A)=⋃j​Cj​(A). For a parameter α\alphaα, the summed thresholds are

T(A,i)=∑j=1p1α Ew′[w′(Rj(A))−w′(Rj(A∪{xi}))],T(A,i) = \sum_{j=1}^p \frac1\alpha\, \mathbb E_{w'}\big[w'(R_j(A)) - w'(R_j(A \cup \{x_i\}))\big],T(A,i)=j=1∑p​α1​Ew′​[w′(Rj​(A))−w′(Rj​(A∪{xi​}))],

and the algorithm of §4.2 uses Ti=T(Ai−1,i)T_i = T(A_{i-1}, i)Ti​=T(Ai−1​,i). An algorithm has α\alphaα-balanced thresholds (Definition 3) if, for every input sequence with selected set AAA and every VVV disjoint from AAA with A∪V∈IA \cup V \in \mathcal IA∪V∈I,

∑xi∈ATi≥1αE[∑jw′(Cj(A))],∑xi∈VTi≤1αE[∑jw′(Rj(A))].\sum_{x_i\in A} T_i \ge \frac1\alpha \mathbb E\Big[\sum_j w'(C_j(A))\Big], \qquad \sum_{x_i\in V} T_i \le \frac1\alpha \mathbb E\Big[\sum_j w'(R_j(A))\Big].xi​∈A∑​Ti​≥α1​E[j∑​w′(Cj​(A))],xi​∈V∑​Ti​≤α1​E[j∑​w′(Rj​(A))].

Formalization targets

Goal: the prophet inequality for ppp matroids

For every p≥1p \ge 1p≥1, all matroids M1,…,Mp\mathcal M_1,\dots,\mathcal M_pM1​,…,Mp​ on U\mathcal UU, all laws FxF_xFx​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with finite means, and every online weight-adaptive adversary, the algorithm of §4.2 with α=2p\alpha = 2pα=2p selects a set AAA with

E[w(A)]≥14p−2 E[OPT(w)].\mathbb E[w(A)] \ge \frac{1}{4p-2}\, \mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(w)].E[w(A)]≥4p−21​E[OPT(w)].

For p=1p = 1p=1 this is the factor-2 matroid prophet inequality.

Proposition 3

If a threshold algorithm has α\alphaα-balanced thresholds for some α≥2\alpha \ge 2α≥2, then against every online weight-adaptive adversary

E[w(A)]≥α−pα(α−1) OPT.\mathbb E[w(A)] \ge \frac{\alpha - p}{\alpha(\alpha-1)}\, \mathrm{OPT}.E[w(A)]≥α(α−1)α−p​OPT.

Milestones

Proposition 2 for each matroid Mj\mathcal M_jMj​; the identity between the two forms of T(A,i,j)T(A,i,j)T(A,i,j); properties (13) and (14) for the summed thresholds; the identities (20)–(21); and the inequalities (23)–(24) of Appendix A. Together with Proposition 3 these give the goal.

Significance

The bound gives a posted-price style selection rule for any feasibility constraint that is an intersection of ppp matroids, with a guarantee depending only on ppp; the paper's §5 shows that a ratio of order ppp is necessary. Section 6 of the paper turns the result into sequential posted-price mechanisms for multi-dimensional mechanism design, and that application needs the guarantee against the online weight-adaptive adversary, not only against a fixed order. The reduction "balanced thresholds imply an approximation" (Proposition 3) is reusable for other threshold constructions.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. The mission produces a formal proof of the 14p−2\frac{1}{4p-2}4p−21​ guarantee, with the probabilistic part (the ghost-sample argument against an adaptive adversary) and the combinatorial part (the per-matroid exchange inequality) as separate milestones. The paper justifies the per-matroid use of Proposition 2 in one paragraph; because BBB maximizes w′w'w′ over the intersection rather than over Ij\mathcal I_jIj​, the description of Rj(A)R_j(A)Rj​(A) as a maximum-weight basis of a contraction (Lemma 2 in the single-matroid case) does not apply verbatim, and the formal proof of that milestone is not a copy of the paper's single-matroid argument.

Difficulty

Two steps do not follow from routine bookkeeping. First, the inequality (23) compares the gambler's surplus, collected along an order that the adversary adapts to the realized weights, with the ghost sample's surplus on the random set R(A)R(A)R(A). The index xix_ixi​ revealed at step iii is itself random, so the step "the weight of the element offered next is distributed as its ghost weight" has to be justified for an adaptively chosen index under a product measure; it fails for an adversary that may look at unrevealed weights. Second, the paper obtains (14) by applying the single-matroid Proposition 2 to each Mj\mathcal M_jMj​, but its proof of Proposition 2 describes R(A)R(A)R(A) as a maximum-weight basis of a contraction, which uses that BBB is optimal for the matroid in question. Here BBB is optimal only for the intersection I\mathcal II, so the obvious transfer of the single-matroid argument does not go through as written and the per-matroid statement needs its own proof.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a Fintype; the matroids are Mathlib's Matroid α, indexed by Fin p, each with ground set Set.univ; sets are Finset α. Weights are functions α → ℝ, the weight law is Measure.pi F, and every theorem assumes each F x is a probability measure with F x (Iio 0) = 0 and a finite mean. Expectations are Bochner integrals; under these assumptions every integrand is integrable. Ties in the maximizers BBB and Rj(A)R_j(A)Rj​(A) are broken by a fixed rule that does not depend on the weights. Rj(A)R_j(A)Rj​(A) is taken disjoint from AAA. The threshold ∞\infty∞ on infeasible steps is a feasibility test in the selection rule. Adversaries and generic threshold rules are deterministic, see only revealed weights, and are measurable in them; randomized adversaries are mixtures of deterministic ones. Generic thresholds in Proposition 3, (23) and (24) are non-negative, as in the paper's Ti∈R+∪{∞}T_i \in \mathbb R_+ \cup \{\infty\}Ti​∈R+​∪{∞}.

The goal fixes the thresholds to the summed thresholds of §4.2 with α=2p\alpha = 2pα=2p, computed from the ghost-sample objects. A version in which the thresholds are free parameters assumed to satisfy (13)–(14) would be Proposition 3 itself and is ruled out; conversely, Proposition 3 does not mention the §4.2 thresholds.

A complete development needs: elementary facts about maximizers over finite families; matroid exchange properties (a bijective exchange between equal-size independent sets, available in Schrijver's book but not in Mathlib); submodularity of weighted-rank-type functions; and the independence argument for adaptively chosen indices under a product measure. The last two are reusable beyond this mission, as is Proposition 3. Proofs of individual milestones and of these auxiliary facts are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Kleinberg, S. M. Weinberg, Matroid Prophet Inequalities, STOC 2012; arXiv:1201.4764v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.4764, https://doi.org/10.1145/2213977.2213991
  • U. Krengel, L. Sucheston, Semiamarts and finite values, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 83 (1977), 745–747.
  • E. Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of threshold stop rules and maximum for independent nonnegative random variables, Ann. Probab. 12 (1984). https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993150
  • M. T. Hajiaghayi, R. Kleinberg, T. Sandholm, Automated online mechanism design and prophet inequalities, Proc. 22nd AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2007, pp. 58–65.
  • S. Chawla, J. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter mechanism design and sequential posted pricing, STOC 2010, pp. 311–320; arXiv:0907.2435. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • A. Schrijver, Combinatorial Optimization: Polyhedra and Efficiency, Springer 2003 (Corollary 39.12a).
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Efficiency of Coordinate Descent Methods on Huge-Scale Optimization Problems 1: Random Block Coordinate Descent RCDM(α, x₀) Has Expected Error at Most 2·S_α·R²_{1−α}(x₀)/(k + 4)Research Paper

Motivation

Many large optimization problems arising in machine learning, statistics and network analysis have so many variables that computing a single full gradient is already expensive, while a single partial derivative, or a gradient with respect to a small block of variables, is cheap. Coordinate descent methods exploit this: at each iteration they update one block of variables only. They are among the oldest methods of numerical optimization, but for a long time their worst-case efficiency was not understood, because deterministic rules for choosing the next coordinate (cyclic order, greedy choice) are hard to analyse globally.

Nesterov (2010/2012) showed that choosing the coordinate at random, with probabilities tied to the coordinate-wise Lipschitz constants of the gradient, yields clean global complexity bounds. This paper started the modern theory of randomized coordinate descent, which was then extended to composite objectives, parallel and accelerated variants, and became a standard tool for huge-scale problems. This mission formalizes the first of its results: the expected sublinear rate of the basic method RCDM(α,x0)(\alpha,x_0)(α,x0​) (Theorem 1 of the CORE Discussion Paper 2010/2).

Setting

The variable x∈RNx\in\mathbb R^Nx∈RN is split into n≥1n\ge1n≥1 blocks, RN=Rn1×⋯×Rnn\mathbb R^N=\mathbb R^{n_1}\times\cdots\times\mathbb R^{n_n}RN=Rn1​×⋯×Rnn​. Write x(i)∈Rnix^{(i)}\in\mathbb R^{n_i}x(i)∈Rni​ for the iii-th block and UihU_ihUi​h for the point whose iii-th block is hhh and whose other blocks vanish. Each block space carries a norm ∥⋅∥(i)\|\cdot\|_{(i)}∥⋅∥(i)​ with dual norm ∥s∥(i)∗=max⁡∥h∥(i)=1⟨s,h⟩\|s\|^*_{(i)}=\max_{\|h\|_{(i)}=1}\langle s,h\rangle∥s∥(i)∗​=max∥h∥(i)​=1​⟨s,h⟩.

The objective f:RN→Rf:\mathbb R^N\to\mathbb Rf:RN→R is convex and differentiable, and its set X∗X_*X∗​ of minimizers is nonempty and bounded; f∗f^*f∗ is its optimal value. The partial gradient fi′(x)=UiT∇f(x)f'_i(x)=U_i^T\nabla f(x)fi′​(x)=UiT​∇f(x) is the iii-th block of the gradient. The gradient is coordinate-wise Lipschitz with constants Li>0L_i>0Li​>0:

∥fi′(x+Uihi)−fi′(x)∥(i)∗≤Li∥hi∥(i)(2.2)\|f'_i(x+U_ih_i)-f'_i(x)\|^*_{(i)}\le L_i\|h_i\|_{(i)}\qquad(2.2)∥fi′​(x+Ui​hi​)−fi′​(x)∥(i)∗​≤Li​∥hi​∥(i)​(2.2)

for all xxx, iii and hi∈Rnih_i\in\mathbb R^{n_i}hi​∈Rni​.

For a linear functional sss, s#s^\#s# is any maximizer of ⟨s,x⟩−12∥x∥2\langle s,x\rangle-\frac12\|x\|^2⟨s,x⟩−21​∥x∥2. The optimal coordinate step is Ti(x)=x−1LiUifi′(x)#T_i(x)=x-\frac1{L_i}U_if'_i(x)^\#Ti​(x)=x−Li​1​Ui​fi′​(x)#. For α∈R\alpha\in\mathbb Rα∈R let Sα=∑i=1nLiαS_\alpha=\sum_{i=1}^nL_i^\alphaSα​=∑i=1n​Liα​ and pα(i)=Liα/Sαp_\alpha^{(i)}=L_i^\alpha/S_\alphapα(i)​=Liα​/Sα​. The method RCDM(α,x0)(\alpha,x_0)(α,x0​) starts at x0x_0x0​ and, for k≥0k\ge0k≥0, draws iki_kik​ independently with Pr⁡(ik=i)=pα(i)\Pr(i_k=i)=p^{(i)}_\alphaPr(ik​=i)=pα(i)​ and sets xk+1=Tik(xk)x_{k+1}=T_{i_k}(x_k)xk+1​=Tik​​(xk​). Its expected objective value is φk=Eξk−1f(xk)\varphi_k=E_{\xi_{k-1}}f(x_k)φk​=Eξk−1​​f(xk​), the expectation over the draws ξk−1=(i0,…,ik−1)\xi_{k-1}=(i_0,\dots,i_{k-1})ξk−1​=(i0​,…,ik−1​).

The weighted norms are ∥x∥β=[∑iLiβ∥x(i)∥(i)2]1/2\|x\|_\beta=\big[\sum_iL_i^\beta\|x^{(i)}\|^2_{(i)}\big]^{1/2}∥x∥β​=[∑i​Liβ​∥x(i)∥(i)2​]1/2 and ∥g∥β∗=[∑iLi−β(∥g(i)∥(i)∗)2]1/2\|g\|^*_\beta=\big[\sum_iL_i^{-\beta}(\|g^{(i)}\|^*_{(i)})^2\big]^{1/2}∥g∥β∗​=[∑i​Li−β​(∥g(i)∥(i)∗​)2]1/2, and the size of the initial level set is

Rβ(x0)=max⁡x{max⁡x∗∈X∗∥x−x∗∥β: f(x)≤f(x0)}.R_\beta(x_0)=\max_x\Big\{\max_{x_*\in X_*}\|x-x_*\|_\beta:\ f(x)\le f(x_0)\Big\}.Rβ​(x0​)=xmax​{x∗​∈X∗​max​∥x−x∗​∥β​: f(x)≤f(x0​)}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

For every k≥0k\ge0k≥0,

φk−f∗≤2k+4⋅[∑j=1nLjα]⋅R1−α2(x0).\varphi_k-f^*\le\frac2{k+4}\cdot\Big[\sum_{j=1}^nL_j^\alpha\Big]\cdot R^2_{1-\alpha}(x_0).φk​−f∗≤k+42​⋅[j=1∑n​Ljα​]⋅R1−α2​(x0​).

The statement holds for every real α\alphaα, every choice of the vectors s#s^\#s#, and every block decomposition with arbitrary block norms. With α=0\alpha=0α=0 (uniform sampling) it reads φk−f∗≤2nk+4R12(x0)\varphi_k-f^*\le\frac{2n}{k+4}R_1^2(x_0)φk​−f∗≤k+42n​R12​(x0​).

Milestones

  1. ∥s#∥=∥s∥∗\|s^\#\|=\|s\|_*∥s#∥=∥s∥∗​ (§1, after (1.8)).
  2. The block descent inequality (2.3).
  3. The guaranteed decrease of an optimal coordinate step, f(x)−f(Ti(x))≥12Li(∥fi′(x)∥(i)∗)2f(x)-f(T_i(x))\ge\frac1{2L_i}(\|f'_i(x)\|^*_{(i)})^2f(x)−f(Ti​(x))≥2Li​1​(∥fi′​(x)∥(i)∗​)2 (2.4).
  4. Lemma 2: the weighted Lipschitz bound ∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥1−α∗≤Sα∥x−y∥1−α\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(y)\|^*_{1-\alpha}\le S_\alpha\|x-y\|_{1-\alpha}∥∇f(x)−∇f(y)∥1−α∗​≤Sα​∥x−y∥1−α​ (2.9) and the quadratic upper bound (2.10).
  5. The expected one-step decrease (2.13).
  6. The recursion φk−φk+1≥1C(φk−f∗)2\varphi_k-\varphi_{k+1}\ge\frac1C(\varphi_k-f^*)^2φk​−φk+1​≥C1​(φk​−f∗)2 with C=2SαR1−α2(x0)C=2S_\alpha R^2_{1-\alpha}(x_0)C=2Sα​R1−α2​(x0​).
  7. Lemma 1, a block-diagonal Loewner bound for positive semidefinite matrices, which the paper states in §1 but does not use later.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the first global efficiency estimate for a coordinate descent method on general smooth convex functions. Its constant is governed by SαS_\alphaSα​, an average of the coordinate Lipschitz constants, rather than by the global Lipschitz constant of the gradient; for α=1\alpha=1α=1 and Euclidean blocks this makes the method competitive with the full-gradient method even when partial derivatives are not cheap, and much faster when they are. The later results of the paper (linear convergence under strong convexity, high-probability bounds, the constrained and accelerated variants, adaptive Lipschitz estimates) reuse the objects and the one-step estimates of this mission.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it is open. As far as we know it has not been machine-checked. The platform contains a related item, ConvexOptAlg.CoordDescent.theorem_6_7 (Bubeck's monograph, Theorem 6.7, open), which treats scalar Euclidean coordinates, α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0, and the weaker factor 2/(t−1)2/(t-1)2/(t−1); together with its proved one-step lemmas (thm_6_7_coord_step, thm_6_7_expected_decrease) it covers the special case ni=1n_i=1ni​=1 of milestones 3 and 5. This mission states the result in the paper's generality: arbitrary blocks and block norms, non-Euclidean dual norms through s#s^\#s#, every real α\alphaα, and the constant 2/(k+4)2/(k+4)2/(k+4).

Difficulty

The bound is a statement about an expectation, not about individual runs: the recursion on φk\varphi_kφk​ needs Jensen's inequality, E[(f(xk)−f∗)2]≥(φk−f∗)2E[(f(x_k)-f^*)^2]\ge(\varphi_k-f^*)^2E[(f(xk​)−f∗)2]≥(φk​−f∗)2, and the fact that every run stays in the initial level set, so that R1−α(x0)R_{1-\alpha}(x_0)R1−α​(x0​) controls f(xk)−f∗f(x_k)-f^*f(xk​)−f∗ along every path. Lemma 2 is the step that links the coordinate-wise condition (2.2) to the weighted full gradient, and it is easy to misjudge: it is false without convexity, since f(x)=x1x2f(x)=x_1x_2f(x)=x1​x2​ on R2\mathbb R^2R2 satisfies (2.2) with arbitrarily small constants. The non-Euclidean block norms add a layer of convex analysis (the dual norm, the vector s#s^\#s# and its identities) on top of the probabilistic bookkeeping.

Formalization scope

  • RN\mathbb R^NRN is the dependent product Blocks E =∏i: Fin nEi=\prod_{i:\,\texttt{Fin }n}E_i=∏i:Fin n​Ei​ of finite-dimensional real normed spaces; indices are 0-based. The norm Lean puts on the product is never used; statements use only the block norms and the weighted norms (2.7).
  • The dual norm is the operator norm of E i →L[ℝ] ℝ; the partial gradient is the derivative of fff composed with the inclusion of block iii.
  • s#s^\#s# is an arbitrary selection satisfying (1.8) (IsSharpSelection); all results quantify over every selection.
  • Random draws are explicit index sequences, so φk\varphi_kφk​ is a finite sum over {0,…,n−1}k\{0,\dots,n-1\}^k{0,…,n−1}k weighted by products of the probabilities (2.5). No measure theory is involved.
  • R1−α(x0)R_{1-\alpha}(x_0)R1−α​(x0​) is never computed as a supremum: the statements assume an upper bound RRR (every point of the level set is within RRR of every minimizer), which is equivalent when the maximum is finite.
  • Explicit hypotheses the paper leaves implicit: n≥1n\ge1n≥1, Li>0L_i>0Li​>0, and convexity of fff in Lemma 2 (the standing assumption of §2, used in its proof). α\alphaα is any real number; the remark "SαS_\alphaSα​ … with α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0" on p. 6 is notation and is not imposed.
  • The recursion of milestone 6 is stated multiplied by CCC, so that no statement divides by a quantity that may vanish.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: replacing φk\varphi_kφk​ by f(xk)f(x_k)f(xk​) along a single path, taking R1−α(x0)R_{1-\alpha}(x_0)R1−α​(x0​) as a supremum that defaults to 000 on unbounded level sets, or fixing one particular s#s^\#s# would each change the theorem, and none is used. A sorry-free check confirms that all hypotheses of the goal hold for n=1n=1n=1, f(x)=x2/2f(x)=x^2/2f(x)=x2/2, x0=1x_0=1x0​=1, R=1R=1R=1.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the one-step estimates (2.3), (2.4), (2.13), which need a block mean-value argument and the convex analysis of s#s^\#s#; Lemma 2, which needs the convex conjugate argument of its proof; and the final summation argument. The block encoding and the identities for s#s^\#s# are reusable for every other mission of this paper.

Selected references

  • Yu. Nesterov, Efficiency of coordinate descent methods on huge-scale optimization problems, CORE Discussion Paper 2010/2, Université catholique de Louvain, 2010. https://core.ac.uk/download/6430808.pdf ; journal version: SIAM J. Optim. 22(2) (2012) 341–362, https://doi.org/10.1137/100802001
  • S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4), 2015, §6.4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.4980
  • Yu. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004, §2.1 (the descent lemma behind (2.3)). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear–Quadratic Control III: Explicit Equilibrium Mean–Variance Strategy with State-Dependent Risk Aversion and a Random Risk PremiumResearch Paper

Motivation

Mean–variance portfolio selection (Markowitz, 1952) trades off the expected terminal wealth of an investor against its variance. In a dynamic setting the problem is time-inconsistent: the variance is not a conditional expectation of a function of terminal wealth, so the dynamic-programming principle fails, and a strategy that is optimal when computed at time 000 is no longer optimal when re-evaluated at a later time. A standard response is to treat the investor at each time ttt as a separate player and to look for a subgame-perfect equilibrium strategy, which no future self wishes to deviate from locally (Björk–Murgoci, Ekeland–Lazrak, and others).

Hu, Jin and Zhou (arXiv:1111.0818v1; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012) define open-loop equilibria for a general class of time-inconsistent stochastic linear–quadratic (LQ) problems and characterize them through a flow of forward–backward SDEs. Their §5 applies this to mean–variance investment in a complete market with a random risk premium, where the weight on expected wealth depends on current wealth (a state-dependent risk aversion, motivated in Björk–Murgoci–Zhou, 2014). Earlier equilibrium results for mean–variance investment (Basak–Chabakauri, 2010; Björk–Murgoci–Zhou) work with deterministic or Markovian coefficients and within feedback classes.

This mission is the third of a series on the paper. Mission I formalizes the general sufficient condition (Theorem 3.2); Mission II treats deterministic coefficients and coupled Riccati equations (Theorem 4.4). This mission targets the explicit mean–variance equilibrium of Theorem 5.4.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space carrying a standard ddd-dimensional Brownian motion WWW with its filtration (Ft)(\mathcal F_t)(Ft​); write Et=E[ ⋅ ∣Ft]E_t=E[\,\cdot\,|\mathcal F_t]Et​=E[⋅∣Ft​]. The market has a deterministic bounded interest rate rrr and a progressively measurable, essentially bounded risk premium θ\thetaθ with values in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. A strategy is a progressively measurable uuu with E∫0T∣us∣2ds<∞E\int_0^T|u_s|^2ds<\inftyE∫0T​∣us​∣2ds<∞ (the class LF2(0,T;Rd)L^2_{\mathcal F}(0,T;\mathbb R^d)LF2​(0,T;Rd)); the wealth XXX under uuu solves

dXs=rsXs ds+θs′us ds+us′ dWs,X0=x0.(5.2)dX_s=r_sX_s\,ds+\theta_s'u_s\,ds+u_s'\,dW_s,\qquad X_0=x_0 .\tag{5.2}dXs​=rs​Xs​ds+θs′​us​ds+us′​dWs​,X0​=x0​.(5.2)

At time ttt, with current wealth xtx_txt​, the investor's cost is

J(t,xt;u)=12Vart(XT)−(μ1xt+μ2)Et[XT],μ1≥0.(5.3)J(t,x_t;u)=\tfrac12\mathrm{Var}_t(X_T)-(\mu_1x_t+\mu_2)E_t[X_T],\qquad\mu_1\ge0 .\tag{5.3}J(t,xt​;u)=21​Vart​(XT​)−(μ1​xt​+μ2​)Et​[XT​],μ1​≥0.(5.3)

This is the case n=1n=1n=1 of the paper's general LQ problem, with A=rA=rA=r, B=θB=\thetaB=θ, C=0C=0C=0, D=ID=ID=I, Q=R=0Q=R=0Q=R=0, G=h=1G=h=1G=h=1; the mission states it that way. For t∈[0,T)t\in[0,T)t∈[0,T), ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and an Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable square-integrable vvv, the spike ust,ε,v=us+v 1[t,t+ε)(s)u^{t,\varepsilon,v}_s=u_s+v\,\mathbf 1_{[t,t+\varepsilon)}(s)ust,ε,v​=us​+v1[t,t+ε)​(s) perturbs uuu on a short window. A strategy u∗u^*u∗ with wealth X∗X^*X∗ is an equilibrium (Definition 2.1) if, for all such ttt and vvv,

lim inf⁡ε↓0J(t,Xt∗;ut,ε,v)−J(t,Xt∗;u∗)ε≥0a.s.\liminf_{\varepsilon\downarrow0}\frac{J(t,X^*_t;u^{t,\varepsilon,v})-J(t,X^*_t;u^*)}{\varepsilon}\ge0\quad\text{a.s.}ε↓0liminf​εJ(t,Xt∗​;ut,ε,v)−J(t,Xt∗​;u∗)​≥0a.s.

The equilibrium is built from Γs(1)=μ1e∫sTr\Gamma^{(1)}_s=\mu_1e^{\int_s^Tr}Γs(1)​=μ1​e∫sT​r, Γs=−μ2e∫sTr\Gamma_s=-\mu_2e^{\int_s^Tr}Γs​=−μ2​e∫sT​r, and two backward SDEs: an indefinite stochastic Riccati equation for (M,U)(M,U)(M,U),

dMs=−(2rsMs−Us′θs+Γs(1)∣θs∣2−Ms−1∣Us∣2+Γs(1)Ms−1Us′θs)ds+Us′ dWs,MT=1,(5.8)dM_s=-\big(2r_sM_s-U_s'\theta_s+\Gamma^{(1)}_s|\theta_s|^2-M_s^{-1}|U_s|^2+\Gamma^{(1)}_sM_s^{-1}U_s'\theta_s\big)ds+U_s'\,dW_s,\quad M_T=1,\tag{5.8}dMs​=−(2rs​Ms​−Us′​θs​+Γs(1)​∣θs​∣2−Ms−1​∣Us​∣2+Γs(1)​Ms−1​Us′​θs​)ds+Us′​dWs​,MT​=1,(5.8)

and a linear BSDE (5.13) for (Γ(2),γ(2))(\Gamma^{(2)},\gamma^{(2)})(Γ(2),γ(2)) whose coefficients involve MMM and UUU. A process ZZZ gives a BMO martingale Z⋅WZ\cdot WZ⋅W if E[∫τT∣Zs∣2ds ∣ Fτ]≤CE[\int_\tau^T|Z_s|^2ds\,|\,\mathcal F_\tau]\le CE[∫τT​∣Zs​∣2ds∣Fτ​]≤C for all stopping times τ≤T\tau\le Tτ≤T.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.4

If (M,U)(M,U)(M,U) solves (5.8) with MMM bounded and M≥c>0M\ge c>0M≥c>0, and (Γ(2),γ(2))(\Gamma^{(2)},\gamma^{(2)})(Γ(2),γ(2)) solves (5.13) with Γ(2)\Gamma^{(2)}Γ(2) bounded, then

us∗=−Ms−1[(Us−θsμ1e∫sTrv dv)Xs∗+Γsθs+γs(2)]u^*_s=-M_s^{-1}\Big[\big(U_s-\theta_s\mu_1e^{\int_s^Tr_v\,dv}\big)X^*_s+\Gamma_s\theta_s+\gamma^{(2)}_s\Big]us∗​=−Ms−1​[(Us​−θs​μ1​e∫sT​rv​dv)Xs∗​+Γs​θs​+γs(2)​]

is an equilibrium: the closed-loop wealth exists, and for every closed-loop wealth X∗X^*X∗ the strategy u∗u^*u∗ satisfies Definition 2.1.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 5.1: (5.8) has a unique solution in L∞×L2L^\infty\times L^2L∞×L2 with M≥c>0M\ge c>0M≥c>0, and U⋅WU\cdot WU⋅W is BMO.
  2. Proposition 5.2: (5.13) has a unique solution in L∞×L2L^\infty\times L^2L∞×L2, and γ(2)⋅W\gamma^{(2)}\cdot Wγ(2)⋅W is BMO.
  3. Proposition 5.3: the closed-loop wealth under the feedback exists with continuous paths, Esup⁡t∣Xt∗∣2<∞E\sup_t|X^*_t|^2<\inftyEsupt​∣Xt∗​∣2<∞, and u∗∈L2u^*\in L^2u∗∈L2.
  4. Proof of Theorem 5.4: the processes p(s;t)p(s;t)p(s;t), k(s;t)k(s;t)k(s;t) of (5.5) and (5.7) solve the adjoint equation (5.4), Λ(s;t)=p(s;t)θs+k(s;t)\Lambda(s;t)=p(s;t)\theta_s+k(s;t)Λ(s;t)=p(s;t)θs​+k(s;t) has the closed form displayed on p. 22, and Λ\LambdaΛ meets condition (3.4).

Significance

Theorem 5.4 gives the equilibrium of a time-inconsistent mean–variance investor in closed form, linear in current wealth, for a random risk premium. With a deterministic premium it reduces to explicit formulas (§5.4), and for μ1=0\mu_1=0μ1​=0 it recovers the equilibrium of Basak–Chabakauri and Björk–Murgoci; for μ2=0\mu_2=0μ2​=0 it differs from the feedback equilibrium of Björk–Murgoci–Zhou, which shows that open-loop and feedback equilibria are different notions. The random premium is what makes U≠0U\neq0U=0 and the feedback gain unbounded.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is formalized elsewhere. The mission produces machine-checked statements of the equilibrium, of solvability of the Riccati-type BSDE (5.8), and of the integrability of a linear SDE with BMO-type coefficients, on the platform's published stochastic-calculus substrate. The definition of BMO martingales and the encoding of open-loop equilibria are reusable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The verification step that most readers try first, plugging u∗u^*u∗ into the wealth equation and applying standard SDE estimates, fails: the gain α=(Γ(1)θ−U)/M\alpha=(\Gamma^{(1)}\theta-U)/Mα=(Γ(1)θ−U)/M is unbounded, because UUU is only BMO, so the closed-loop SDE is linear with non-Lipschitz-bounded random coefficients and neither existence of the wealth nor u∗∈L2u^*\in L^2u∗∈L2 follows from standard theory (Proposition 5.3). The BSDE (5.8) has a driver with quadratic growth in UUU and a singular factor M−1M^{-1}M−1; it is not covered by the standard theory of stochastic Riccati equations and its solution must be bounded away from zero for the feedback to make sense. Uniqueness in (5.8) and solvability of (5.13) rely on BMO-martingale and change-of-measure facts (Kazamaki) that are not in Mathlib. Finally, the equilibrium property is a statement about every ttt and every perturbation, and the sufficient condition (Theorem 3.3) needs the limit behaviour of conditional expectations Et[Λ(s;t)]E_t[\Lambda(s;t)]Et​[Λ(s;t)] as s↓ts\downarrow ts↓t.

Formalization scope

Everything is built on the published definition Peng1990_SMP_Stochastic (Brownian motion, LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, Itô integrals, SDEs and BSDEs as relations). The general LQ model, the spike, the conditional cost and Definition 2.1 are in Model; the adjoint equation on [t,T][t,T][t,T], Λ\LambdaΛ and condition (3.4) in Adjoint; the market, Γ(1)\Gamma^{(1)}Γ(1), Γ\GammaΓ, BMO, (5.8), (5.13) and (5.14) in Market. Conventions the statements commit to:

  • Lower limit. Definition 2.1 is stated with lim inf⁡\liminfliminf in R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R, along every sequence εk↓0\varepsilon_k\downarrow0εk​↓0, almost surely for each sequence. The page writes lim⁡\limlim; the limit need not exist, and the paper's own argument bounds the lower limit.
  • Filtration. The natural, uncompleted filtration of WWW instead of the augmented one; conditional expectations and progressive processes agree up to null sets.
  • States from time ttt are solutions on the whole horizon [0,T][0,T][0,T] for a control equal to u∗u^*u∗ before ttt.
  • Versions. Conditions involving conditional expectations at uncountably many times are stated through jointly measurable versions; "a.s., a.e." means ds⊗dPds\otimes dPds⊗dP-a.e.; uniqueness of BSDE solutions is up to modification and ds⊗dPds\otimes dPds⊗dP-null sets; BMO is in integrated form.
  • Market primitive. The risk premium θ\thetaθ is the primitive, as in (5.2); every bounded progressive θ\thetaθ comes from some bounded (μ,σ)(\mu,\sigma)(μ,σ) with σσ′⪰εI\sigma\sigma'\succeq\varepsilon Iσσ′⪰εI.
  • Existence statements. Peng's SDE solutions already carry u∗∈L2u^*\in L^2u∗∈L2 and sup⁡tE∣Xt∣2<∞\sup_tE|X_t|^2<\inftysupt​E∣Xt​∣2<∞, so Proposition 5.3 is stated as existence of a closed-loop solution with continuous paths and Esup⁡t∣Xt∗∣2<∞E\sup_t|X^*_t|^2<\inftyEsupt​∣Xt∗​∣2<∞. Theorem 5.4 asserts existence of the closed-loop wealth instead of assuming it.

The goal does not assume the BMO properties of UUU and γ(2)\gamma^{(2)}γ(2) (they are conclusions of Propositions 5.1–5.2), does not assume θ\thetaθ deterministic or U=0U=0U=0 (that is the special case of §5.4), and keeps Q=R=0Q=R=0Q=R=0, G=h=1G=h=1G=h=1; a formalization that assumes any of these, or that admits the junk value M−1=0M^{-1}=0M−1=0 on a non-null set, proves a different theorem. Theorem 3.3, the sufficient condition used in the last line of the proof, is the n=1n=1n=1 case of Mission I's goal and is not restated here. Welcome contributions: a BMO and Girsanov library on the Peng substrate, existence for quadratic BSDEs, and a proof of the sufficient condition.

Selected references

  • Y. Hu, H. Jin, X. Y. Zhou, Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear–Quadratic Control, arXiv:1111.0818v1, 2011; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1111.0818
  • S. Basak, G. Chabakauri, Dynamic mean-variance asset allocation, Rev. Financ. Stud. 23(8), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhq028
  • T. Björk, A. Murgoci, X. Y. Zhou, Mean–variance portfolio optimization with state-dependent risk aversion, Math. Finance 24(1), 2014. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.2011.00515.x
  • N. Kazamaki, Continuous Exponential Martingales and BMO, Lecture Notes in Math. 1579, Springer, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0073585
  • M. Kobylanski, Backward stochastic differential equations and partial differential equations with quadratic growth, Ann. Probab. 28(2), 2000. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1019160253
  • S. Peng, A general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4), 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantity Flexibility Contracts and Supply Chain Performance 2: The Minimum Commitment Policy Is Optimal for the Open-Loop Program (F-OLFC) and AdmissibleResearch Paper

Rolling schedules and quantity flexibility

Manufacturers routinely share rolling schedules with their suppliers: each period the buyer commits to a purchase for the current period and issues non-binding estimates for future periods, then revises those estimates as the horizon rolls forward. Unconstrained revisions push forecast risk upstream and are a recognized source of the bullwhip effect. A quantity flexibility (QF) contract bounds how far each estimate may move between consecutive issues, giving the supplier a guarantee in exchange for a commitment to cover any order within the bounds. Tsay and Lovejoy (MSOM 1(2), 1999) model a chain of firms linked by QF contracts and ask how a firm in the middle of the chain, the flex node, should translate the schedules it receives into the schedules it issues. Their answer is the Minimum Commitment (MC) policy, justified by Proposition 1: MC solves the node's open-loop planning problem and never breaks either contract.

This mission formalizes Proposition 1. A companion mission (Quantity Flexibility Contracts and Supply Chain Performance 1) formalizes Proposition 2, on when MC keeps zero inventory.

Setting

Periods are t=0,1,2,…t = 0, 1, 2, \dotst=0,1,2,…. In period ttt the node receives from its customer a release schedule f(t)=[f0(t),f1(t),… ]f(t) = [f_0(t), f_1(t), \dots]f(t)=[f0​(t),f1​(t),…]: f0(t)f_0(t)f0​(t) is bought now, fj(t)f_j(t)fj​(t) estimates the purchase in period t+jt + jt+j. The node issues to its supplier a replenishment schedule r(t)=[r0(t),r1(t),… ]r(t) = [r_0(t), r_1(t), \dots]r(t)=[r0​(t),r1​(t),…] of the same form. Its ending stock is I(t)=I(t−1)+r0(t)−f0(t)I(t) = I(t-1) + r_0(t) - f_0(t)I(t)=I(t−1)+r0​(t)−f0​(t).

The contracts carry parameters αq≥0\alpha_q \ge 0αq​≥0 and 0≤ωq≤10 \le \omega_q \le 10≤ωq​≤1 (q≥1q \ge 1q≥1): output parameters (αout,ωout)(\alpha^{out}, \omega^{out})(αout,ωout) with the customer and input parameters (αin,ωin)(\alpha^{in}, \omega^{in})(αin,ωin) with the supplier. The incremental revision (IR) constraints are, for all ttt and j≥1j \ge 1j≥1,

(1−ωjout)fj(t)≤fj−1(t+1)≤(1+αjout)fj(t),(6)(1-\omega^{out}_j) f_j(t) \le f_{j-1}(t+1) \le (1+\alpha^{out}_j) f_j(t), \qquad (6)(1−ωjout​)fj​(t)≤fj−1​(t+1)≤(1+αjout​)fj​(t),(6) (1−ωjin)rj(t)≤rj−1(t+1)≤(1+αjin)rj(t).(7)(1-\omega^{in}_j) r_j(t) \le r_{j-1}(t+1) \le (1+\alpha^{in}_j) r_j(t). \qquad (7)(1−ωjin​)rj​(t)≤rj−1​(t+1)≤(1+αjin​)rj​(t).(7)

The cumulative parameters are 1+Aj=∏q=1j(1+αq)1 + A_j = \prod_{q=1}^j (1+\alpha_q)1+Aj​=∏q=1j​(1+αq​) and 1−Ωj=∏q=1j(1−ωq)1 - \Omega_j = \prod_{q=1}^j (1-\omega_q)1−Ωj​=∏q=1j​(1−ωq​), so A0=Ω0=0A_0 = \Omega_0 = 0A0​=Ω0​=0. A convex cost GGG, minimized at 000, is charged on ending stock.

At period ttt, with I(t−1)I(t-1)I(t−1), r(t−1)r(t-1)r(t−1) and f(t)f(t)f(t) known, the open-loop program (F-OLFC) chooses r(t)r(t)r(t) and the planned purchases r0(t+j)r_0(t+j)r0​(t+j), j=0,…,hj = 0, \dots, hj=0,…,h, to minimize ∑j=0hG(I(t+j))\sum_{j=0}^h G(I(t+j))∑j=0h​G(I(t+j)) subject to the stock balance I(t+j)=I(t+j−1)+r0(t+j)−(1+Ajout)fj(t)I(t+j) = I(t+j-1) + r_0(t+j) - (1+A^{out}_j) f_j(t)I(t+j)=I(t+j−1)+r0​(t+j)−(1+Ajout​)fj​(t) (17), coverage I(t+j)≥0I(t+j) \ge 0I(t+j)≥0 (18), the input IR constraints (19) between r(t−1)r(t-1)r(t−1) and r(t)r(t)r(t), and the cumulative bounds (1−Ωjin)rj(t)≤r0(t+j)≤(1+Ajin)rj(t)(1-\Omega^{in}_j) r_j(t) \le r_0(t+j) \le (1+A^{in}_j) r_j(t)(1−Ωjin​)rj​(t)≤r0​(t+j)≤(1+Ajin​)rj​(t) (20).

The MC policy computes r(t)r(t)r(t) and projected inventories lj(t)l_j(t)lj​(t) by one recursion on jjj: l0(t)=I(t−1)l_0(t) = I(t-1)l0​(t)=I(t−1),

rj(t)=max⁡[(1+Ajout)fj(t)−lj(t)1+Ajin, (1−ωj+1in)rj+1(t−1)],(21)–(22)r_j(t) = \max\Big[\frac{(1+A^{out}_j) f_j(t) - l_j(t)}{1+A^{in}_j},\ (1-\omega^{in}_{j+1}) r_{j+1}(t-1)\Big], \qquad (21)\text{–}(22)rj​(t)=max[1+Ajin​(1+Ajout​)fj​(t)−lj​(t)​, (1−ωj+1in​)rj+1​(t−1)],(21)–(22) lj+1(t)=[lj(t)+(1−Ωjin)rj(t)−(1+Ajout)fj(t)]+.(23)l_{j+1}(t) = \big[l_j(t) + (1-\Omega^{in}_j) r_j(t) - (1+A^{out}_j) f_j(t)\big]^+. \qquad (23)lj+1​(t)=[lj​(t)+(1−Ωjin​)rj​(t)−(1+Ajout​)fj​(t)]+.(23)

In Lean: QFParams, Acum, Ωcum, IROut, IRIn, mcStep, run, inv, sched, projInvAt (module Model) and stock, Feasible, RelaxedFeasible, objective, lbar, pStar (module FOLFC).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 96)

For an MC run from (I(0),r(0))(I(0), r(0))(I(0),r(0)) with r(0)≥0r(0) \ge 0r(0)≥0, against any customer schedules obeying (6), and any convex GGG minimized at zero:

I(t)≥0 (t≥1),(1−ωj+1in)rj+1(t−1)≤rj(t)≤(1+αj+1in)rj+1(t−1) (t≥2, j≥0),I(t) \ge 0 \ (t \ge 1), \qquad (1-\omega^{in}_{j+1}) r_{j+1}(t-1) \le r_j(t) \le (1+\alpha^{in}_{j+1}) r_{j+1}(t-1) \ (t \ge 2,\ j \ge 0),I(t)≥0 (t≥1),(1−ωj+1in​)rj+1​(t−1)≤rj​(t)≤(1+αj+1in​)rj+1​(t−1) (t≥2, j≥0),

and for every t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 the schedule r(t)r(t)r(t), with suitable planned purchases, is feasible for (F-OLFC) at period ttt and attains its minimum.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 108): under (a) I(t−1)≥0I(t-1) \ge 0I(t−1)≥0 and (b) the upside of (6), lj(t)≥lj+1(t−1)l_j(t) \ge l_{j+1}(t-1)lj​(t)≥lj+1​(t−1) for all j≥0j \ge 0j≥0.
  2. (30)–(31) (pp. 107–108): with the upper bounds of (19) and (20) removed, the lot-for-lot purchases r0∗(t+j)=max⁡{(1+Ajout)fj(t)−lˉj(t), (1−Ωj+1in)rj+1(t−1)}r_0^*(t+j) = \max\{(1+A^{out}_j) f_j(t) - \bar l_j(t),\ (1-\Omega^{in}_{j+1}) r_{j+1}(t-1)\}r0∗​(t+j)=max{(1+Ajout​)fj​(t)−lˉj​(t), (1−Ωj+1in​)rj+1​(t−1)} are optimal.
  3. Upper bound of (19) (p. 108): rj(t)≤(1+αj+1in)rj+1(t−1)r_j(t) \le (1+\alpha^{in}_{j+1}) r_{j+1}(t-1)rj​(t)≤(1+αj+1in​)rj+1​(t−1) along the run.

Significance

Proposition 1 is what makes MC a well-defined operating rule for an intermediate firm: whatever the customer does within its contract, the node can serve it from stock and its own revisions stay within the supplier's contract, so the chain of contracts composes. Proposition 2 and the paper's simulation study of how flexibility propagates along a supply chain (§§5–6) both assume the node uses MC, and rely on Proposition 1 for that choice being both feasible and myopically optimal.

The paper's optimality argument is sketched: the relaxed solution is attributed to "a straightforward application of Kuhn–Tucker conditions" with details in an unpublished thesis, the equivalence of (32) with (21)–(23) is omitted, and Lemma 1's proof is replaced by intuition. A machine-checked proof supplies these steps. To our knowledge no part of this paper has been formalized before. The mission also fixes the statement: the printed range of (19) makes the optimality claim false, and the claim needs a start of the run that the paper leaves implicit.

Difficulty

The obvious argument treats (F-OLFC) as a lot-sizing problem with minimum lot sizes and observes that the greedy purchases (30) are optimal. That only solves the relaxation. The difficulty is that MC is not stated through (30): it is a recursion on the replenishment schedule with a positive part in the projected inventory, and one has to show that the MC schedule can carry the greedy purchases within the upper bounds of (19) and (20). Those bounds can bind, and whether they do depends on the previous period's schedule, so the optimality claim is not a one-period statement: it needs an induction over the run, through Lemma 1 and the customer's IR constraints. The admissibility half needs the same induction, with the nonnegativity of the schedules carried along.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real numbers. Parameters are sequences ℕ → ℝ whose index 000 is unused; schedules are infinite sequences, and the MC recursion runs over all jjj. (6) and (7) are written with jjj replaced by j+1j+1j+1. The standing assumptions αq≥0\alpha_q \ge 0αq​≥0, 0≤ωq≤10 \le \omega_q \le 10≤ωq​≤1 (q≥1q \ge 1q≥1) are hypotheses. GGG is any convex function with G(0)≤G(y)G(0) \le G(y)G(0)≤G(y) for all yyy; no strict convexity, differentiability or monotonicity is assumed.

The run starts from an arbitrary state (I(0),r(0))(I(0), r(0))(I(0),r(0)) (run period 000); the MC policy acts from period 111. The following departures from the printed statement are disclosed:

  1. (19) is imposed for j=0,…,hj = 0, \dots, hj=0,…,h, not the printed j=0,…,h−1j = 0, \dots, h-1j=0,…,h−1. With the printed range optimality fails: with all α=ωin=0\alpha = \omega^{in} = 0α=ωin=0, ω1out=1/2\omega^{out}_1 = 1/2ω1out​=1/2, I(0)=0I(0) = 0I(0)=0 and r(0)=f(0)=f(1)≡10r(0) = f(0) = f(1) \equiv 10r(0)=f(0)=f(1)≡10, take f0(2)=5f_0(2) = 5f0​(2)=5 and h=0h = 0h=0. Then (F-OLFC) at t=2t = 2t=2 has optimum r0(2)=5r_0(2) = 5r0​(2)=5 with I(2)=0I(2) = 0I(2)=0, while MC orders r0(2)=r1(1)=10r_0(2) = r_1(1) = 10r0​(2)=r1​(1)=10. With (19) at j=0j = 0j=0, the order r0(2)≥10r_0(2) \ge 10r0​(2)≥10 is forced and MC is optimal. Both (21) and (30) already use rh+1(t−1)r_{h+1}(t-1)rh+1​(t−1).
  2. Input IR and optimality are claimed for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2, coverage for t≥1t \ge 1t≥1. At the first MC period the predecessor schedule is the arbitrary r(0)r(0)r(0) and (7) can fail.
  3. r(0)≥0r(0) \ge 0r(0)≥0 is assumed: with a negative entry the two bounds of (19) cross. Neither I(0)I(0)I(0) nor fff carries a sign hypothesis.

(F-OLFC) ranges over all real schedules and purchases; the only MC-specific object in the goal is the candidate schedule. Optimality is stated as "feasible, and no feasible point has a smaller objective", never as an infimum, so an infeasible program cannot make it vacuous. The MC step is literally (21)–(23), with the carried-over term and the positive part; a run that sets r(t):=f(t)r(t) := f(t)r(t):=f(t) or drops the max is a different policy.

Infrastructure: the model and (F-OLFC) are self-contained over Mathlib (Finset.prod, ConvexOn). Proofs of the three milestones, and of the monotonicity of a convex function minimized at zero on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), are welcome as separate contributions.

Selected references

  • A. A. Tsay, W. S. Lovejoy, Quantity flexibility contracts and supply chain performance, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 1(2):89–111, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1.2.89
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control, Academic Press, 1976 (open-loop feedback control).
  • A. Federgruen, P. Zipkin, An inventory model with limited production capacity and uncertain demands, Mathematics of Operations Research 11(2):193–215, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.11.2.193
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Complexity TheoryGraph TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributed Verification and Hardness of Distributed Approximation: Simulation Theorem — Time R < (dᵖ−1)/2 on G(Γ,d,p) with B-Bit Messages Gives an ε-Error Two-Party Protocol with 2dpB·R BitsResearch Paper

Motivation

In distributed computing, many graph problems (minimum spanning tree, shortest paths, connectivity checks) are solved by processors that sit at the vertices of the input network and communicate only along its edges. When every edge can carry only a few bits per round, the number of rounds an algorithm needs can be far larger than the network's diameter. Understanding by how much is the central question of the CONGEST (here: B) model of Peleg's monograph Distributed Computing: A Locality-Sensitive Approach (SIAM, 2000).

Das Sarma, Holzer, Kor, Korman, Nanongkai, Pandurangan, Peleg and Wattenhofer (SIAM J. Comput. 41 (2012) 1235–1265) proved round lower bounds for a long list of verification problems (is a given subgraph a spanning tree, a cut, a Hamiltonian cycle, …) and for approximating optimization problems such as the minimum spanning tree and shortest paths. Every one of those bounds goes through a single reduction, the Simulation Theorem (Theorem 3.1), which transfers lower bounds from two-party communication complexity to distributed algorithms.

Timeline:

  • 2000: Peleg and Rubinovich (SIAM J. Comput. 30) prove an Ω~(n)\tilde\Omega(\sqrt n)Ω~(n​) lower bound for distributed MST construction on a family of graphs built from paths and a tree.
  • 2006: Elkin (SIAM J. Comput. 36) extends it to MST approximation, using the networks G(Γ,d,p)G(\Gamma,d,p)G(Γ,d,p) (reference [10] of the paper).
  • 2011–2012: Das Sarma et al. isolate the Simulation Theorem as a general reduction for arbitrary Boolean functions fff and derive lower bounds for many verification and approximation problems.

Setting

A B-model network is an undirected graph whose vertices are processors with unbounded local computation. Computation proceeds in synchronous rounds; in each round, every vertex sends a message of BBB bits along each incident edge in each direction, then updates its local state from its old state and the messages it received. Two vertices sss and rrr hold inputs x,y∈{0,1}bx,y\in\{0,1\}^bx,y∈{0,1}b; all other vertices start without input. A public-coin randomized algorithm additionally lets all vertices read a shared random string. It computes f:{0,1}b×{0,1}b→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^b\times\{0,1\}^b\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}b×{0,1}b→{0,1} with ϵ\epsilonϵ-error in TTT rounds if, for every (x,y)(x,y)(x,y), both sss and rrr output f(x,y)f(x,y)f(x,y) after round TTT with probability at least 1−ϵ1-\epsilon1−ϵ. RϵG(f)R^{G}_\epsilon(f)RϵG​(f) is the least such TTT.

In the communication complexity model, Alice holds xxx, Bob holds yyy, one bit is sent per round, and both must output f(x,y)f(x,y)f(x,y). Rϵcc−pub(f)R^{cc-pub}_\epsilon(f)Rϵcc−pub​(f) is the least number of bits of an ϵ\epsilonϵ-error public-coin protocol.

The network G(Γ,d,p)G(\Gamma,d,p)G(Γ,d,p) consists of Γ\GammaΓ paths P1,…,PΓ\mathcal P^1,\dots,\mathcal P^\GammaP1,…,PΓ with dpd^pdp vertices v0ℓ,…,vdp−1ℓv^\ell_0,\dots,v^\ell_{d^p-1}v0ℓ​,…,vdp−1ℓ​ each, a complete ddd-ary tree T\mathcal TT of depth ppp with vertices u0ℓ,…,udℓ−1ℓu^\ell_0,\dots,u^\ell_{d^\ell-1}u0ℓ​,…,udℓ−1ℓ​ at level ℓ\ellℓ, and spoke edges joining each leaf ujpu^p_jujp​ to vjℓv^\ell_jvjℓ​ on every path. The inputs sit at the two extreme leaves, s=u0ps=u^p_0s=u0p​ and r=udp−1pr=u^p_{d^p-1}r=udp−1p​. The iii-right set RiR_iRi​ consists of all path vertices at positions j≥ij\ge ij≥i, the leaves ujpu^p_jujp​ with j≥ij\ge ij≥i, and their ancestors; the iii-left set LiL_iLi​ is the mirror image, and L0=V∖{r}L_0=V\setminus\{r\}L0​=V∖{r}, R0=V∖{s}R_0=V\setminus\{s\}R0​=V∖{s}. CRtC_{R_t}CRt​​ denotes the vector of states of the vertices of RtR_tRt​ at the end of round ttt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 (Simulation Theorem)

If a public-coin algorithm on G(Γ,d,p)G(\Gamma,d,p)G(Γ,d,p) computes fff with ϵ\epsilonϵ-error in TTT rounds and

T<dp−12,T<\frac{d^p-1}{2},T<2dp−1​,

then some public-coin two-party protocol computes fff with ϵ\epsilonϵ-error using at most

2 d p B T bits,i.e.Rϵcc−pub(f)≤2dpB RϵG(Γ,d,p)(f).2\,d\,p\,B\,T\ \text{bits},\qquad\text{i.e.}\qquad R^{cc-pub}_\epsilon(f)\le 2dpB\,R^{G(\Gamma,d,p)}_\epsilon(f).2dpBT bits,i.e.Rϵcc−pub​(f)≤2dpBRϵG(Γ,d,p)​(f).

Milestones

  1. Observation 3.3: the configuration of UUU at round ttt is determined by the configuration of U′⊇UU'\supseteq UU′⊇U at round t−1t-1t−1 and the messages into UUU from outside U′U'U′.
  2. §3.3 edge count: for 0<t<(dp−1)/20<t<(d^p-1)/20<t<(dp−1)/2, at most dpdpdp edges join V∖Rt−1V\setminus R_{t-1}V∖Rt−1​ to RtR_tRt​ (and V∖Lt−1V\setminus L_{t-1}V∖Lt−1​ to LtL_tLt​).
  3. Inclusion from the proof of Lemma 3.4: V∖Rt−1⊆Lt−1V\setminus R_{t-1}\subseteq L_{t-1}V∖Rt−1​⊆Lt−1​ (and its mirror image).
  4. Lemma 3.4: CRt=gR(CRt−1,M1,…,Mdp)C_{R_t}=g_R(C_{R_{t-1}},M_1,\dots,M_{dp})CRt​​=gR​(CRt−1​​,M1​,…,Mdp​) for dpdpdp messages of BBB bits sent from Lt−1L_{t-1}Lt−1​, with gRg_RgR​ and the message edges fixed before the inputs; and symmetrically for CLtC_{L_t}CLt​​.

Significance

The theorem turns any lower bound Rϵcc−pub(f)=Ω(b)R^{cc-pub}_\epsilon(f)=\Omega(b)Rϵcc−pub​(f)=Ω(b), such as those for set disjointness and equality, into a round lower bound on G(Γ,d,p)G(\Gamma,d,p)G(Γ,d,p): an algorithm with T<(dp−1)/2T<(d^p-1)/2T<(dp−1)/2 rounds forces T≥Rϵcc−pub(f)/(2dpB)T\ge R^{cc-pub}_\epsilon(f)/(2dpB)T≥Rϵcc−pub​(f)/(2dpB). Choosing the parameters gives the paper's bounds of order n/(Blog⁡n)\sqrt{n/(B\log n)}n/(Blogn)​ rounds for verification and approximation problems (§§4–7), and the same reduction underlies a large body of later CONGEST lower bounds.

The result has been proved since 2011. A machine-checked version would provide the first formal model of synchronous bandwidth-limited message passing and of public-coin two-party protocols on the platform, together with a verified reduction between them. No formalization of the theorem, of the B model, or of two-party communication protocols is known to exist in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The informal proof is short; the work lies in making the information flow precise. The naive simulation, in which Alice simulates the vertices near sss and Bob those near rrr, fails because the cut between the two halves contains Γ\GammaΓ path edges plus the spokes, and Γ\GammaΓ can be large: sending every message across it costs ΓB\Gamma BΓB bits per round. The argument must instead let both parties' simulated regions shrink by one path position per round, so that the only messages crossing into Bob's region come from ppp tree vertices with ddd children each. Making this rigorous requires a careful accounting of which vertices belong to RtR_tRt​, which edges leave V∖Rt−1V\setminus R_{t-1}V∖Rt−1​, and why the functions that update the configurations do not depend on the other party's input.

Formalization scope

  • Network. Vertices are (Fin Γ × Fin (d^p)) ⊕ Σ ℓ : Fin (p+1), Fin (d^ℓ); paths are numbered from 000. The children of uiℓu^\ell_iuiℓ​ are udi+kℓ+1u^{\ell+1}_{di+k}udi+kℓ+1​, 0≤k<d0\le k<d0≤k<d. Li,RiL_i,R_iLi​,Ri​ are Finsets defined for every iii, with the paper's special case at i=0i=0i=0. The nodes s,rs,rs,r require dp≥1d^p\ge1dp≥1.
  • Messages are exactly BBB bits (Fin B → Bool) on every directed edge in every round. Optional or variable-length messages would let silence carry information and make the theorem false (e.g. at B=0B=0B=0).
  • Algorithms. Inputs enter only through the initial states of sss and rrr; a vertex receives a fixed dummy from non-neighbours. Running time is a fixed number TTT of rounds, outputs read after round TTT; this is equivalent to the paper's worst-case time.
  • Randomness is a PMF on an arbitrary type, shared by all vertices (resp. both parties); ϵ\epsilonϵ-error requires both outputs to be correct on the same random string, and ϵ≥0\epsilon\ge0ϵ≥0.
  • Protocols send one bit per round, so cost equals bits exchanged. Alice's moves read only xxx and the transcript, Bob's only yyy. Modelling the two-party side as a two-vertex B-model network would carry two bits per round and weaken the constant 2dpB2dpB2dpB by a factor of 222; the formalization does not do this.
  • Lemma 3.4 is stated with the functions gL,gRg_L,g_RgL​,gR​ and the message edges chosen before the inputs. A version where they may depend on (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) is trivially true and is ruled out.
  • The "in other words" inequality between the minimal complexities is not posed through sInf, which would be 000 on an empty set; the goal is stated for every algorithm.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable infrastructure for executions of message-passing algorithms (locality lemmas such as Observation 3.3 hold on any graph).

Selected references

  • A. Das Sarma, S. Holzer, L. Kor, A. Korman, D. Nanongkai, G. Pandurangan, D. Peleg, R. Wattenhofer, Distributed Verification and Hardness of Distributed Approximation, SIAM J. Comput. 41(5), 2012, 1235–1265. https://doi.org/10.1137/11085178X
  • M. Elkin, An Unconditional Lower Bound on the Time-Approximation Trade-off for the Distributed Minimum Spanning Tree Problem, SIAM J. Comput. 36(2), 2006, 433–456. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539704441848
  • D. Peleg, V. Rubinovich, A Near-Tight Lower Bound on the Time Complexity of Distributed Minimum-Weight Spanning Tree Construction, SIAM J. Comput. 30(5), 2000, 1427–1442. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539700369740
  • D. Peleg, Distributed Computing: A Locality-Sensitive Approach, SIAM, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719772
  • E. Kushilevitz, N. Nisan, Communication Complexity, Cambridge University Press, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511574948
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Assortment Optimization in Revenue Management Under the Multinomial Logit Choice Model 1: The Optimal Robust Assortment Is Revenue-Ordered, S*(V) = {i : rᵢ > Z*(V)}Research Paper

Motivation

Assortment optimization asks which subset of products a firm should offer when customers choose among the offered products, or leave without buying. It underlies shelf-space planning in retail, the choice of which fare classes to keep open in airline revenue management, and the selection of items shown on a web page. The multinomial logit (MNL) model is the standard choice model in this literature: when the model parameters are known, the optimal assortment is revenue-ordered, that is, it consists of the products with the highest revenues (Talluri and van Ryzin, 2004; Gallego et al., 2004; Liu and van Ryzin, 2008), so only nnn candidate assortments need to be compared instead of 2n2^n2n.

In practice the parameters of the choice model are estimated from limited data. Rusmevichientong and Topaloglu (Operations Research, 2012) take a robust view: the parameters are only known to lie in an uncertainty set, and the firm maximizes its worst-case expected revenue. Their main structural result is that the revenue-ordered structure survives this uncertainty, whatever the uncertainty set. This mission formalizes that result and the comparative statics the paper derives from it.

Setting

There are nnn products, A={1,…,n}\mathcal A = \{1, \dots, n\}A={1,…,n}, and product iii earns revenue rir_iri​. A customer's choice is governed by a parameter vector v=(v0,v1,…,vn)∈R++n+1v = (v_0, v_1, \dots, v_n) \in \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}v=(v0​,v1​,…,vn​)∈R++n+1​ (all components strictly positive): v0v_0v0​ is the weight of the no-purchase option and viv_ivi​ the preference weight of product iii. When the assortment S⊆AS \subseteq \mathcal AS⊆A is offered, the customer buys product i∈Si \in Si∈S with probability

ϕi(S,v)=viv0+∑ℓ∈Svℓ,\phi_i(S, v) = \frac{v_i}{v_0 + \sum_{\ell \in S} v_\ell},ϕi​(S,v)=v0​+∑ℓ∈S​vℓ​vi​​,

and buys nothing with the remaining probability. The expected revenue of SSS is

f(S,v)=∑i∈Sri ϕi(S,v)=∑i∈Sriviv0+∑i∈Svi.f(S, v) = \sum_{i\in S} r_i\,\phi_i(S, v) = \frac{\sum_{i\in S} r_i v_i}{v_0 + \sum_{i\in S} v_i}.f(S,v)=i∈S∑​ri​ϕi​(S,v)=v0​+∑i∈S​vi​∑i∈S​ri​vi​​.

The parameters are unknown and lie in an uncertainty set V⊆R++n+1\mathcal V \subseteq \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}V⊆R++n+1​, which is compact and nonempty. The Robust Logit problem maximizes the worst-case expected revenue:

Z∗(V)=max⁡S⊆A min⁡v∈Vf(S,v).Z^*(\mathcal V) = \max_{S \subseteq \mathcal A}\ \min_{v \in \mathcal V} f(S, v).Z∗(V)=S⊆Amax​ v∈Vmin​f(S,v).

Among the optimal assortments, S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) is one with the smallest cardinality. For a single parameter vector vvv, write Sv∗=S∗({v})S^*_v = S^*(\{v\})Sv∗​=S∗({v}) and Zv∗=Z∗({v})Z^*_v = Z^*(\{v\})Zv∗​=Z∗({v}); this is the classical problem with known parameters. Finally, for δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0, Zδ∗(V)Z^*_\delta(\mathcal V)Zδ∗​(V) and Sδ∗(V)S^*_\delta(\mathcal V)Sδ∗​(V) are the same quantities when every revenue rir_iri​ is replaced by ri+δr_i + \deltari​+δ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (revenue-ordered assortments are robust)

S∗(V)={ i∈A:ri>Z∗(V) }.S^*(\mathcal V) = \{\, i \in \mathcal A : r_i > Z^*(\mathcal V) \,\}.S∗(V)={i∈A:ri​>Z∗(V)}.

Equivalently: an assortment is optimal with smallest cardinality if and only if it is the set of products whose revenue strictly exceeds the optimal worst-case revenue. When r1≥⋯≥rnr_1 \ge \dots \ge r_nr1​≥⋯≥rn​ this set is {1,…,i}\{1, \dots, i\}{1,…,i} for some iii.

Milestones

  1. The identity in the proof of Lemma 3.1 (p. 6): for i∉Ai \notin Ai∈/A, f(A∪{i},v)f(A\cup\{i\}, v)f(A∪{i},v) is the convex combination of rir_iri​ and f(A,v)f(A, v)f(A,v) with weights vi/(v0+vi+∑ℓ∈Avℓ)v_i/(v_0+v_i+\sum_{\ell\in A}v_\ell)vi​/(v0​+vi​+∑ℓ∈A​vℓ​) and (v0+∑ℓ∈Avℓ)/(v0+vi+∑ℓ∈Avℓ)(v_0+\sum_{\ell\in A}v_\ell)/(v_0+v_i+\sum_{\ell\in A}v_\ell)(v0​+∑ℓ∈A​vℓ​)/(v0​+vi​+∑ℓ∈A​vℓ​).
  2. Lemma 3.1 (p. 6): for i∉Ai \notin Ai∈/A, the statements ri>f(A,v)r_i > f(A,v)ri​>f(A,v), f(A∪{i},v)>f(A,v)f(A\cup\{i\},v) > f(A,v)f(A∪{i},v)>f(A,v) and ri>f(A∪{i},v)r_i > f(A\cup\{i\},v)ri​>f(A∪{i},v) are equivalent.
  3. Corollary 3.5 (p. 9): if V⊆V′\mathcal V \subseteq \mathcal V'V⊆V′, then Z∗(V′)≤Z∗(V)Z^*(\mathcal V') \le Z^*(\mathcal V)Z∗(V′)≤Z∗(V) and S∗(V)⊆S∗(V′)S^*(\mathcal V) \subseteq S^*(\mathcal V')S∗(V)⊆S∗(V′).
  4. Theorem 3.6 (p. 10): S∗(V)=⋃v∈VSv∗S^*(\mathcal V) = \bigcup_{v\in\mathcal V} S^*_vS∗(V)=⋃v∈V​Sv∗​.
  5. The sandwich in the proof of Theorem 3.7 (p. 11): Z∗(V)≤Zδ∗(V)≤δ+Z∗(V)Z^*(\mathcal V) \le Z^*_\delta(\mathcal V) \le \delta + Z^*(\mathcal V)Z∗(V)≤Zδ∗​(V)≤δ+Z∗(V) for δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0.
  6. Theorem 3.7 (p. 10): S∗(V)⊆Sδ∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V) \subseteq S^*_\delta(\mathcal V)S∗(V)⊆Sδ∗​(V) for δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0.

Milestones 3–6 are consequences of the goal on the same definitions.

Significance

Theorem 3.2 reduces the robust problem, a max–min over 2n2^n2n assortments and a possibly infinite parameter set, to at most n+1n+1n+1 revenue-ordered candidates, each requiring one worst-case evaluation min⁡v∈Vf(S,v)\min_{v\in\mathcal V} f(S, v)minv∈V​f(S,v). Applied to a singleton V={v}\mathcal V = \{v\}V={v} it also reproves the classical revenue-ordered optimality under known MNL parameters, together with the exact tie-breaking description. Corollary 3.5 and Theorem 3.6 say that more uncertainty calls for a larger assortment, and that the robust assortment is the largest assortment optimal for some parameter in V\mathcal VV; Theorem 3.7 compares assortments when all revenues shift by a constant, which the paper uses in Section 4 to show that robust dynamic assortments grow with remaining capacity and over time.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof on Prove2Me. The platform has ChoiceCDLP.MNL.top_ranked_optimal (from Liu and van Ryzin, 2008), a statement about top-ranked offer sets for known MNL weights, which is a different statement without uncertainty or tie-breaking. A formal development here gives a checked version of the robust structure theorem stated for arbitrary real revenues, the generality in which the dynamic part of the paper uses it.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the max–min. For known parameters, Lemma 3.1 immediately shows that a product should be added exactly when its revenue beats the current expected revenue; but under uncertainty the minimizing parameter vector changes with the assortment, so one cannot compare f(S,v)f(S, v)f(S,v) and f(S∪{i},v)f(S \cup \{i\}, v)f(S∪{i},v) at a single worst-case vvv. The argument has to establish a strict improvement uniformly over V\mathcal VV and then pass to the minimum, which is where compactness enters: a pointwise strict inequality survives the minimum only because it is attained. The tie-breaking rule is equally essential: a product with ri=Z∗(V)r_i = Z^*(\mathcal V)ri​=Z∗(V) can be added to an optimal assortment without changing its worst-case value, so without the smallest-cardinality rule the characterization is false.

Formalization scope

Products are Fin n, so Lean index iii stands for the paper's product i+1i+1i+1. A parameter vector is p : ℝ × (Fin n → ℝ) with p.1 =v0= v_0=v0​ and p.2 i the weight of product iii; IsPos p expresses v∈R++n+1v \in \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}v∈R++n+1​. The expected revenue f(S,v)f(S, v)f(S,v) is the published definition ChoiceCDLP.MNL.mnlObjective. The worst case min⁡v∈Vf(S,v)\min_{v\in\mathcal V} f(S,v)minv∈V​f(S,v) is a real infimum (sInf), and Z∗(V)Z^*(\mathcal V)Z∗(V) is a maximum over all subsets of products. S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) is encoded as the predicate IsSmallestOptimal V r S (optimal, and of cardinality at most that of every optimal assortment), not as a choice function, so every statement about S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) is asserted for every optimal assortment of smallest cardinality. Zδ∗Z^*_\deltaZδ∗​ and Sδ∗S^*_\deltaSδ∗​ are the same objects for the revenue vector r+δr + \deltar+δ, which is exact since ∑i∈S(ri+δ)ϕi(S,v)\sum_{i\in S}(r_i+\delta)\phi_i(S,v)∑i∈S​(ri​+δ)ϕi​(S,v) is f(S,v)f(S,v)f(S,v) at those revenues.

Standing assumptions and departures from the page:

  • Every theorem assumes V\mathcal VV compact, nonempty and contained in R++n+1\mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}R++n+1​, the standing assumption of Sec. 3 (p. 6). Theorem 3.2, Corollary 3.5 and Theorem 3.6 write "V⊂R++n\mathcal V \subset \mathbb R^n_{++}V⊂R++n​"; this is read as the compact V⊆R++n+1\mathcal V \subseteq \mathbb R^{n+1}_{++}V⊆R++n+1​ of p. 6, since the parameter vector has n+1n+1n+1 components and the proofs use compactness.
  • Revenues are arbitrary real numbers. The paper's ordering r1≥⋯≥rn>0r_1 \ge \dots \ge r_n > 0r1​≥⋯≥rn​>0 (p. 5, "without loss of generality") is used by none of the proofs, and Sec. 4 applies Theorem 3.2 to revenues that may be negative. This is a strengthening.
  • The goal is stated as an equivalence: an assortment is optimal of smallest cardinality iff it equals {i:ri>Z∗(V)}\{i : r_i > Z^*(\mathcal V)\}{i:ri​>Z∗(V)}. The backward direction asserts that the threshold set is optimal, so the statement cannot hold vacuously. Defining Z∗Z^*Z∗ as a maximum over revenue-ordered prefixes only, or defining S∗(V)S^*(\mathcal V)S∗(V) through the threshold, would make the goal true by definition; both are ruled out by the definitions above.

The infimum is meaningful only under the standing assumptions (on an empty set it is 000), which is why they appear as hypotheses of every statement. A complete development needs continuity of v↦f(S,v)v \mapsto f(S,v)v↦f(S,v) on positive vectors and attainment of minima on compact sets, both available in Mathlib, and finite maxima over Finset (Finset (Fin n)). The lemmas about fff (milestones 1–2) are reusable for any MNL model. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal, are welcome.

The source is the authors' manuscript of 20 Sep 2011 of the Operations Research 2012 article; its printed page numbers equal the PDF's page numbers, and all page citations refer to it.

Selected references

  • P. Rusmevichientong, H. Topaloglu, Robust Assortment Optimization in Revenue Management Under the Multinomial Logit Choice Model, Operations Research 60(4), 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1063
  • K. Talluri, G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • Q. Liu, G. van Ryzin, On the Choice-Based Linear Programming Model for Network Revenue Management, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10(2), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1070.0172
  • G. Gallego, G. Iyengar, R. Phillips, A. Dubey, Managing Flexible Products on a Network, CORC Technical Report TR-2004-01, Columbia University, 2004.
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Dynamical SystemsNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Differential Variational Inequalities 3: For a Cone K and a Strongly Monotone Composite F, the Time-Stepping Iterates Exist, Are Unique and Are Uniformly BoundedResearch Paper

Motivation

A differential variational inequality (DVI) couples an ordinary differential equation with a finite-dimensional variational inequality whose solution enters the dynamics as a control. Contact mechanics with friction, electrical circuits with diodes, dynamic traffic equilibria, hybrid engineering systems and the continuous-time limits of Nash games all have this form. Pang and Stewart's survey (Math. Program. 113, 2008; author's version hal-01366027) set up a common framework for these models and studied the most direct numerical method: the Euler-type time-stepping scheme, which replaces the time derivative by a difference quotient and solves one static variational inequality per time step.

For the scheme to converge, its iterates must exist and be bounded uniformly as the step hhh goes to zero. Section 7 of the paper proves convergence once such bounds are available (Theorem 7.1). Section 8 supplies them for a class of DVIs in which the algebraic part is not affine: the constraint set is a cone and the VI map is a strongly monotone composite. This mission formalizes that section.

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0, θ∈[0,1]\theta\in[0,1]θ∈[0,1] and dimensions n,m,ℓn,m,\elln,m,ℓ. The data are f:[0,T]×Rn→Rnf:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nf:[0,T]×Rn→Rn, B:[0,T]×Rn→Rn×mB:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^{n\times m}B:[0,T]×Rn→Rn×m, G:[0,T]×Rn→RmG:[0,T]\times\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^mG:[0,T]×Rn→Rm, a map F:Rm→RmF:\mathbb R^m\to\mathbb R^mF:Rm→Rm and a set K⊆RmK\subseteq\mathbb R^mK⊆Rm. For Φ:Rm→Rm\Phi:\mathbb R^m\to\mathbb R^mΦ:Rm→Rm,

SOL(K,Φ)={u∈K: (u′−u)⊤Φ(u)≥0  ∀u′∈K}.\mathrm{SOL}(K,\Phi)=\{u\in K:\ (u'-u)^\top\Phi(u)\ge0\ \ \forall u'\in K\}.SOL(K,Φ)={u∈K: (u′−u)⊤Φ(u)≥0  ∀u′∈K}.

The initial-value DVI (6.2) is x˙=f(t,x)+B(t,x)u\dot x=f(t,x)+B(t,x)ux˙=f(t,x)+B(t,x)u, u(t)∈SOL(K,G(t,x(t))+F)u(t)\in\mathrm{SOL}(K,G(t,x(t))+F)u(t)∈SOL(K,G(t,x(t))+F), x(0)=x0x(0)=x^0x(0)=x0.

With h=T/Nh=T/Nh=T/N and th,i=iht_{h,i}=ihth,i​=ih, the time-stepping scheme (7.2) starts at xh,0=x0x^{h,0}=x^0xh,0=x0 and computes, for i=0,…,N−1i=0,\dots,N-1i=0,…,N−1,

xh,i+1=xh,i+h[f(th,i+1,θxh,i+(1−θ)xh,i+1)+B(th,i,xh,i)uh,i+1],uh,i+1∈SOL(K,G(th,i+1,xh,i+1)+F).x^{h,i+1}=x^{h,i}+h\big[f(t_{h,i+1},\theta x^{h,i}+(1-\theta)x^{h,i+1})+B(t_{h,i},x^{h,i})u^{h,i+1}\big],\qquad u^{h,i+1}\in\mathrm{SOL}(K,G(t_{h,i+1},x^{h,i+1})+F).xh,i+1=xh,i+h[f(th,i+1​,θxh,i+(1−θ)xh,i+1)+B(th,i​,xh,i)uh,i+1],uh,i+1∈SOL(K,G(th,i+1​,xh,i+1)+F).

The standing assumptions are:

  • (A) fff, BBB, GGG are Lipschitz continuous on [0,T]×Rn[0,T]\times\mathbb R^n[0,T]×Rn; (B) σB=sup⁡∥B(t,x)∥<∞\sigma_B=\sup\|B(t,x)\|<\inftyσB​=sup∥B(t,x)∥<∞;
  • (D) there is ηG>0\eta_G>0ηG​>0 with (u−u′)⊤(G(t,r+B(tref,xref)u)−G(t,r+B(tref,xref)u′))≥ηG∥u−u′∥2(u-u')^\top\big(G(t,r+B(t_{\rm ref},x^{\rm ref})u)-G(t,r+B(t_{\rm ref},x^{\rm ref})u')\big)\ge\eta_G\|u-u'\|^2(u−u′)⊤(G(t,r+B(tref​,xref)u)−G(t,r+B(tref​,xref)u′))≥ηG​∥u−u′∥2 for all r,u,u′,xrefr,u,u',x^{\rm ref}r,u,u′,xref and t,tref∈[0,T]t,t_{\rm ref}\in[0,T]t,tref​∈[0,T];
  • (C′) F=E⊤∘Ψ∘EF=E^\top\circ\Psi\circ EF=E⊤∘Ψ∘E with E∈Rℓ×mE\in\mathbb R^{\ell\times m}E∈Rℓ×m and Ψ\PsiΨ Lipschitz continuous and strongly monotone on ERmE\mathbb R^mERm;
  • (E) if K1K_1K1​, K2K_2K2​ are the orthogonal projections of KKK onto ker⁡E\ker EkerE and (ker⁡E)⊥(\ker E)^\perp(kerE)⊥, then K1⊕K2⊆KK_1\oplus K_2\subseteq KK1​⊕K2​⊆K.

Choosing orthonormal bases ZZZ of ker⁡E\ker EkerE and WWW of (ker⁡E)⊥(\ker E)^\perp(kerE)⊥, the map Υ=(EW)⊤∘Ψ∘(EW)\Upsilon=(EW)^\top\circ\Psi\circ(EW)Υ=(EW)⊤∘Ψ∘(EW) is strongly monotone with some modulus ηΥ\eta_\UpsilonηΥ​ (8.7).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.1

Let KKK be a closed convex cone, (A), (B), (D), (C′), Ψ(0)=0\Psi(0)=0Ψ(0)=0 and (E) hold. There is hˉ>0\bar h>0hˉ>0 such that for every x0x^0x0 with SOL(K,G(0,x0)+F)≠∅\mathrm{SOL}(K,G(0,x^0)+F)\neq\emptysetSOL(K,G(0,x0)+F)=∅ and every h∈(0,hˉ]h\in(0,\bar h]h∈(0,hˉ] the scheme has a unique run, and for all small hhh

∥xh,i+1∥≤c0,x+c1,x∥x0∥,∥uh,i+1∥≤c0,u+c1,u∥x0∥,∥Euh,i+1−Euh,i∥≤h c2,u.\|x^{h,i+1}\|\le c_{0,x}+c_{1,x}\|x^0\|,\quad \|u^{h,i+1}\|\le c_{0,u}+c_{1,u}\|x^0\|,\quad \|Eu^{h,i+1}-Eu^{h,i}\|\le h\,c_{2,u}.∥xh,i+1∥≤c0,x​+c1,x​∥x0∥,∥uh,i+1∥≤c0,u​+c1,u​∥x0∥,∥Euh,i+1−Euh,i∥≤hc2,u​.

These are the hypotheses (7.5)–(7.6) of the convergence theorem of §7.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 8.2: under (A)–(D) and the step bound (8.3), one step of the scheme is solvable, uniquely if FFF is monotone on KKK.
  2. Lemma 8.1: (E) is equivalent to an exchange property of the coordinates (μ,λ)=(Z⊤u,W⊤u)(\mu,\lambda)=(Z^\top u,W^\top u)(μ,λ)=(Z⊤u,W⊤u).
  3. Lemma 8.2: for small hhh, q↦E SOL(K,q+Φh+F)q\mapsto E\,\mathrm{SOL}(K,q+\Phi_h+F)q↦ESOL(K,q+Φh​+F) is single-valued and Lipschitz with a constant independent of hhh.
  4. Proposition 8.3: for a cone KKK, the step is uniquely solvable and ∥uh∥\|u^h\|∥uh∥ is bounded by the data.
  5. (8.14): ∥uh,i+1∥≤ω(1+∥xh,i∥+h∥xh,i+1−xh,i∥)\|u^{h,i+1}\|\le\omega(1+\|x^{h,i}\|+h\|x^{h,i+1}-x^{h,i}\|)∥uh,i+1∥≤ω(1+∥xh,i∥+h∥xh,i+1−xh,i∥) with ω\omegaω independent of hhh and x0x^0x0.

A companion item states Proposition 8.1, the derivative form of (D).

Significance

Theorem 8.1 is one of the two routes in the paper to convergence of the time-stepping scheme. The other (Theorem 7.4) needs a linear-growth property of the VI solutions that holds for affine or coercive problems; Theorem 8.1 replaces it by structural assumptions on (K,F,G)(K,F,G)(K,F,G) that cover nonlinear complementarity systems on cones, including the case F≡0F\equiv0F≡0 that yields the initial-value differential complementarity problem (Corollary 8.1). Combined with Theorem 7.1(a), it shows that the Euler trajectories have uniformly convergent subsequences whose limits are weak solutions of the DVI, and so gives existence of weak solutions constructively.

The paper's results are proved on paper but, as far as a search of Mathlib and the platform shows, no part of DVI theory is formalized. The formalization also settles a printed error: the bound (8.10) of Proposition 8.3 carries a factor hhh that its proof does not justify, and the printed statement is false (a one-dimensional counterexample is recorded on the milestone). The milestone states the bound the proof does give; (8.14) and Theorem 8.1 are unaffected.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the multiplier bound. The VI map u↦G(t,x(u))+F(u)u\mapsto G(t,x(u))+F(u)u↦G(t,x(u))+F(u) is strongly monotone, but only with modulus of order hhh, so the solution of each step is bounded only by O(1/h)O(1/h)O(1/h) times the data. This loss is harmless for existence and uniqueness but would destroy the uniform bounds (7.5). Recovering an O(1)O(1)O(1) bound requires separating the components of uuu in ker⁡E\ker EkerE, where FFF is blind and only the order-hhh monotonicity of GGG helps, from the components in (ker⁡E)⊥(\ker E)^\perp(kerE)⊥, where FFF itself is strongly monotone; condition (E) and the cone structure of KKK are what allow the two parts to be tested separately. A second difficulty is that (7.6) needs a Lipschitz bound on E SOLE\,\mathrm{SOL}ESOL with a constant that does not blow up as h→0h\to0h→0.

Formalization scope

  • Rk\mathbb R^kRk is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k); matrices are continuous linear maps; E⊤E^\topE⊤ is the adjoint; SOL(K,Φ)\mathrm{SOL}(K,\Phi)SOL(K,Φ) is the published definition SolodovSvaiterVI.Alg21.viSol Φ K.
  • The data are functions on R×Rn\mathbb R\times\mathbb R^nR×Rn; only values with t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]t∈[0,T] enter. (A) uses the metric ∣t−t′∣+∥x−x′∥|t-t'|+\|x-x'\|∣t−t′∣+∥x−x′∥.
  • Step sizes with (Nh+1)h=T(N_h+1)h=T(Nh​+1)h=T are h=T/Nh=T/Nh=T/N; "for h∈(0,hˉ]h\in(0,\bar h]h∈(0,hˉ]" and "for hhh small" are "for N≥NˉN\ge\bar NN≥Nˉ" and "for N≥N1N\ge N_1N≥N1​". G(t0,x0)G(t_0,x^0)G(t0​,x0) is G(0,x0)G(0,x^0)G(0,x0).
  • (E) is defined with orthogonal projections, not with coordinates, so Lemma 8.1 is not a tautology. Step bounds (8.3), (8.8), (8.9) are multiplied out, so a zero denominator imposes no restriction.
  • In Theorem 8.1, uniqueness covers the computed iterates i≥1i\ge1i≥1; uh,0u^{h,0}uh,0 is any element of SOL(K,G(0,x0)+F)\mathrm{SOL}(K,G(0,x^0)+F)SOL(K,G(0,x0)+F). The constants of (7.5) are uniform in x0x^0x0; c2,uc_{2,u}c2,u​ may depend on x0x^0x0, as in the proof.
  • The last sentence of Theorem 8.1 ("Consequently, the conclusion of Theorem 7.1 holds …") is omitted. It follows by combining this theorem with Theorem 7.1(a), which is the goal of the companion mission Differential Variational Inequalities 2.
  • A goal asserting only existence of the iterates, bounds stated for one fixed hhh rather than for all small hhh with constants independent of hhh, or (D) restricted to r=0r=0r=0 would trivialize the result; none of these is the statement here.

The development needs: existence for strongly monotone (coercive) VIs on closed convex sets; the implicit-function argument for the xxx-equation of a step; orthogonal decompositions along ker⁡E\ker EkerE; and discrete Gronwall estimates. The VI existence result and the decomposition lemmas are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the existence theorem for strongly monotone VIs as a separate theorem, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J.-S. Pang and D. E. Stewart, Differential variational inequalities, Mathematical Programming 113(2), 2008, 345–424. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-006-0052-x (author's version: https://hal.science/hal-01366027v1)
  • F. Facchinei and J.-S. Pang, Finite-Dimensional Variational Inequalities and Complementarity Problems, Springer, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/b97543
  • M. V. Solodov and B. F. Svaiter, A new projection method for variational inequality problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 37(3), 1999, 765–776. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012997317475
10 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryDynamical SystemsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Synchronization and Transient Stability in Power Networks and Nonuniform Kuramoto Oscillators 3: Identical ω_i/D_i and Zero Phase Shifts Give Exponential Phase SynchronizationResearch Paper

Motivation

Networks of coupled oscillators model generators in an electric power grid, pacemaker cells, Josephson junction arrays and many other systems in which units with their own rhythm interact through their phase differences. Dörfler and Bullo (arXiv:0910.5673v4; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012, doi:10.1137/110851584) show that, after a singular-perturbation reduction, the transient-stability question for a lossy power network with non-uniform generators becomes a synchronization question for a non-uniform Kuramoto model: oscillators with different damping coefficients, different natural frequencies, an arbitrary coupling graph and phase shifts induced by line losses.

This mission concerns the cleanest regime of that model: lossless coupling and natural frequencies proportional to the damping. There the oscillators do more than agree on a frequency; they agree on a phase. For the classic Kuramoto model (Kuramoto, 1975) with identical frequencies, phase synchronization from inside an open half-circle was obtained by consensus methods for nonlinear coupled systems (Lin, Francis and Maggiore, 2007) and by Jadbabaie, Motee and Barahona (2004). Theorem V.10 of Dörfler–Bullo extends this to non-uniform damping, directed coupling with a globally reachable node, and gives an explicit worst-case rate for symmetric coupling. The proof rests on the contraction theory of time-varying consensus protocols (Moreau, 2004).

Setting

There are n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 oscillators. Oscillator iii has a phase θi\theta_iθi​ on the circle, a damping coefficient Di>0D_i > 0Di​>0 and a natural frequency ωi∈R\omega_i \in \mathbb Rωi​∈R. Oscillators interact through coupling weights Pij≥0P_{ij} \ge 0Pij​≥0 (i≠ji \ne ji=j, with Pii=0P_{ii} = 0Pii​=0) and phase shifts φij∈[0,π/2[\varphi_{ij} \in [0, \pi/2[φij​∈[0,π/2[. The non-uniform Kuramoto model (8) is

Di θ˙i=ωi−∑j=1nPijsin⁡(θi−θj+φij),i=1,…,n.D_i\,\dot\theta_i = \omega_i - \sum_{j=1}^n P_{ij}\sin(\theta_i - \theta_j + \varphi_{ij}), \qquad i = 1,\dots,n .Di​θ˙i​=ωi​−j=1∑n​Pij​sin(θi​−θj​+φij​),i=1,…,n.

The weights define a directed graph with an edge from iii to jjj whenever Pij>0P_{ij} > 0Pij​>0; a globally reachable node is a node kkk to which every node has a directed path. For γ∈[0,π]\gamma \in [0,\pi]γ∈[0,π] the closed arc set Δˉ(γ)\bar\Delta(\gamma)Δˉ(γ) is the set of configurations whose angles all lie in a closed arc of length γ\gammaγ.

This mission assumes zero phase shifts, φmax⁡=max⁡i,jφij=0\varphi_{\max} = \max_{i,j}\varphi_{ij} = 0φmax​=maxi,j​φij​=0, and proportional frequencies, ωi/Di=ωˉ\omega_i / D_i = \bar\omegaωi​/Di​=ωˉ for all iii. The phases synchronize exponentially to a trajectory θ∞(t)\theta_\infty(t)θ∞​(t) when there are CCC and λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 with ∣θi(t)−θ∞(t)∣≤Ce−λt|\theta_i(t) - \theta_\infty(t)| \le C e^{-\lambda t}∣θi​(t)−θ∞​(t)∣≤Ce−λt for all iii and t≥0t \ge 0t≥0.

For the rate, L(aij)=diag(∑jaij)−AL(a_{ij}) = \mathrm{diag}(\sum_j a_{ij}) - AL(aij​)=diag(∑j​aij​)−A is the Laplacian of a weight array, λ2(L(Pij))\lambda_2(L(P_{ij}))λ2​(L(Pij​)) is its second-smallest eigenvalue (the algebraic connectivity) when P=PTP = P^TP=PT, cos⁡∠(D1,1)=∑iDi/(n∑iDi2)\cos\angle(D\mathbf 1,\mathbf 1) = \sum_i D_i / (\sqrt n \sqrt{\sum_i D_i^2})cos∠(D1,1)=∑i​Di​/(n​∑i​Di2​​), Dmax⁡=max⁡iDiD_{\max} = \max_i D_iDmax​=maxi​Di​, Dmin⁡=min⁡iDiD_{\min} = \min_i D_iDmin​=mini​Di​, and sinc(x)=sin⁡(x)/x\mathrm{sinc}(x) = \sin(x)/xsinc(x)=sin(x)/x.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem V.10 (Phase synchronization)

For every solution with θ(0)∈Δˉ(γ)\theta(0) \in \bar\Delta(\gamma)θ(0)∈Δˉ(γ), γ∈[0,π[\gamma \in [0,\pi[γ∈[0,π[:

  1. there is c∈[θmin⁡(0),θmax⁡(0)]c \in [\theta_{\min}(0), \theta_{\max}(0)]c∈[θmin​(0),θmax​(0)] such that the phases synchronize exponentially to θ∞(t)=c+ωˉt\theta_\infty(t) = c + \bar\omega tθ∞​(t)=c+ωˉt;
  2. if P=PTP = P^TP=PT, they synchronize exponentially to the weighted mean angle θ∞(t)=∑iDiθi(0)/∑iDi+ωˉt\theta_\infty(t) = \sum_i D_i\theta_i(0)/\sum_i D_i + \bar\omega tθ∞​(t)=∑i​Di​θi​(0)/∑i​Di​+ωˉt, and δ(t)=θ(t)−θ∞(t)1\delta(t) = \theta(t) - \theta_\infty(t)\mathbf 1δ(t)=θ(t)−θ∞​(t)1 obeys
∥δ(t)∥2≤Dmax⁡/Dmin⁡  ∥δ(0)∥2  e−λpst,λps=λ2(L(Pij)) sinc(γ) cos⁡(∠(D1,1))2Dmax⁡.\|\delta(t)\|_2 \le \sqrt{D_{\max}/D_{\min}}\;\|\delta(0)\|_2\; e^{-\lambda_{\mathrm{ps}} t}, \qquad \lambda_{\mathrm{ps}} = \frac{\lambda_2(L(P_{ij}))\,\mathrm{sinc}(\gamma)\,\cos(\angle(D\mathbf 1,\mathbf 1))^2}{D_{\max}} .∥δ(t)∥2​≤Dmax​/Dmin​​∥δ(0)∥2​e−λps​t,λps​=Dmax​λ2​(L(Pij​))sinc(γ)cos(∠(D1,1))2​.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Proof of V.10, p. 27: at a configuration in Δˉ(γ)\bar\Delta(\gamma)Δˉ(γ) with extreme indices m,ℓm,\ellm,ℓ, the arc-length derivative θ˙m−θ˙ℓ=−∑k(PmkDmsin⁡(θm−θk)+PℓkDℓsin⁡(θk−θℓ))\dot\theta_m - \dot\theta_\ell = -\sum_k\big(\tfrac{P_{mk}}{D_m}\sin(\theta_m-\theta_k) + \tfrac{P_{\ell k}}{D_\ell}\sin(\theta_k-\theta_\ell)\big)θ˙m​−θ˙ℓ​=−∑k​(Dm​Pmk​​sin(θm​−θk​)+Dℓ​Pℓk​​sin(θk​−θℓ​)) is ≤0\le 0≤0.
  • Proof of V.10, p. 27: Δˉ(γ)\bar\Delta(\gamma)Δˉ(γ) is positively invariant for every γ∈[0,π[\gamma \in [0,\pi[γ∈[0,π[.
  • (43): in the rotating frame θ↦θ−ωˉt\theta \mapsto \theta - \bar\omega tθ↦θ−ωˉt the model is the consensus protocol θ˙i=−∑jaij(t)(θi−θj)\dot\theta_i = -\sum_j a_{ij}(t)(\theta_i - \theta_j)θ˙i​=−∑j​aij​(t)(θi​−θj​) with aij(t)=(Pij/Di) sinc(θi(t)−θj(t))>0a_{ij}(t) = (P_{ij}/D_i)\,\mathrm{sinc}(\theta_i(t)-\theta_j(t)) > 0aij​(t)=(Pij​/Di​)sinc(θi​(t)−θj​(t))>0 on every edge.
  • (44): for P=PTP = P^TP=PT, ddtDθ=−L(wij(t))θ\tfrac{d}{dt}D\theta = -L(w_{ij}(t))\thetadtd​Dθ=−L(wij​(t))θ in the rotating frame, so ∑iDiθi(t)=∑iDiθi(0)+ωˉt∑iDi\sum_i D_i\theta_i(t) = \sum_i D_i\theta_i(0) + \bar\omega t\sum_i D_i∑i​Di​θi​(t)=∑i​Di​θi​(0)+ωˉt∑i​Di​.
  • Theorem V.10 1) on its own.

Significance

Theorem V.10 gives phase synchronization of non-uniform oscillators from every initial configuration inside an open half-circle, for directed coupling graphs that need only a globally reachable node, and identifies the limit phase: anywhere in the initial range in general, the damping-weighted mean under symmetric coupling. The rate λps\lambda_{\mathrm{ps}}λps​ separates three effects: graph connectivity (λ2\lambda_2λ2​), initial phase cohesiveness (sinc(γ)\mathrm{sinc}(\gamma)sinc(γ)) and non-uniformity of the damping (cos⁡∠(D1,1)\cos\angle(D\mathbf 1,\mathbf 1)cos∠(D1,1), Dmax⁡D_{\max}Dmax​). For the classic Kuramoto model the statements reduce to known results ([19] and [33] of the paper).

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof is known. A formal proof needs a Dini-derivative argument for the maximum of finitely many smooth functions along an ODE, a contraction theorem for linear time-varying consensus with positive, bounded weights on a graph with a globally reachable node, and a Courant–Fischer bound on the weighted disagreement. Each is a reusable piece of infrastructure for networked control and synchronization.

Difficulty

The obvious argument linearizes: sin⁡(θi−θj)≈θi−θj\sin(\theta_i - \theta_j) \approx \theta_i - \theta_jsin(θi​−θj​)≈θi​−θj​, so the model looks like linear consensus. That only holds near the diagonal; from an arc of length close to π\piπ the effective weights sinc(θi−θj)\mathrm{sinc}(\theta_i - \theta_j)sinc(θi​−θj​) come close to zero and depend on the state, so neither a fixed Laplacian nor a local linearization covers the claimed region. One needs first that the arc never grows, which is a statement about a non-smooth function (the arc length) along trajectories, and then exponential convergence of a consensus protocol whose weights are time-varying and, for directed graphs, non-symmetric, so there is no quadratic Lyapunov function in general. For the explicit rate the disagreement vector is orthogonal to D1D\mathbf 1D1, not to 1\mathbf 11, and the angle between the two hyperplanes has to be controlled.

Formalization scope

Angles are represented by real lifts θ∈Rn\theta \in \mathbb R^nθ∈Rn; the vector field is 2π2\pi2π-periodic in each coordinate, so solutions on the torus are projections of solutions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn. θ∈Δˉ(γ)\theta \in \bar\Delta(\gamma)θ∈Δˉ(γ) is encoded as θi−θj≤γ\theta_i - \theta_j \le \gammaθi​−θj​≤γ for all i,ji,ji,j on the initial lift, and every conclusion (invariance, θmin⁡(0)\theta_{\min}(0)θmin​(0), θmax⁡(0)\theta_{\max}(0)θmax​(0), the weighted mean, the convergence bounds) refers to that lift and the same continuous lifted trajectory, which is at least as strong as the statement on the torus. A solution is a curve on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) whose derivative within [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) equals the vector field at every t≥0t \ge 0t≥0; statements quantify over every such curve. The model is stated with the paper's general field Di−1(ωi−∑jPijsin⁡(θi−θj+φij))D_i^{-1}(\omega_i - \sum_j P_{ij}\sin(\theta_i - \theta_j + \varphi_{ij}))Di−1​(ωi​−∑j​Pij​sin(θi​−θj​+φij​)) and hypotheses φij=0\varphi_{ij} = 0φij​=0, ωi/Di=ωˉ\omega_i/D_i = \bar\omegaωi​/Di​=ωˉ (ωˉ\bar\omegaωˉ arbitrary, not set to zero).

Conventions and corrections, each disclosed in the item's Formalization Note:

  • n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, Pii=0P_{ii} = 0Pii​=0 and Pij≥0P_{ij} \ge 0Pij​≥0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j are the paper's conventions (§V allows zero and non-symmetric weights).
  • (42) is printed with a leading minus sign; the rate is a decay exponent and is stated as the positive number above.
  • The page says only "a rate no worse than λps\lambda_{\mathrm{ps}}λps​"; the stated bound uses the constant Dmax⁡/Dmin⁡\sqrt{D_{\max}/D_{\min}}Dmax​/Dmin​​ that the referenced proof of Theorem V.1 2) produces (p. 19).
  • "aij(t)a_{ij}(t)aij​(t) is strictly positive" in (43) is stated on the edges, Pij>0P_{ij} > 0Pij​>0; elsewhere aij=0a_{ij} = 0aij​=0.
  • ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ is the Euclidean norm, written out (Mathlib's default norm on functions Fin n→R\mathrm{Fin}\,n \to \mathbb RFinn→R is the sup norm); λ2\lambda_2λ2​ is the platform definition AlonMilman.PropertyT.lambda1 applied to the symmetric Laplacian.

Exponential convergence requires a rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0; a statement with λ=0\lambda = 0λ=0 or with a solution predicate that no curve satisfies would be trivial. The synchronous trajectory θi(t)=c+ωˉt\theta_i(t) = c + \bar\omega tθi​(t)=c+ωˉt satisfies the solution predicate, so the hypotheses are satisfiable.

Infrastructure welcome beyond this mission: upper Dini derivatives and comparison lemmas for maxima of differentiable functions, exponential stability of linear time-varying consensus (Moreau's theorem), and Laplacian ordering sinc(γ)L(P)⪯L(w)\mathrm{sinc}(\gamma)L(P) \preceq L(w)sinc(γ)L(P)⪯L(w) for entrywise-dominated weights.

Selected references

  • F. Dörfler and F. Bullo, Synchronization and Transient Stability in Power Networks and Nonuniform Kuramoto Oscillators, SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012; this mission cites the arXiv preprint v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/0910.5673v4, https://doi.org/10.1137/110851584
  • Y. Kuramoto, Self-entrainment of a population of coupled non-linear oscillators, Lecture Notes in Physics 39, Springer, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0013365
  • L. Moreau, Stability of continuous-time distributed consensus algorithms, IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0409010
  • Z. Lin, B. Francis and M. Maggiore, State agreement for continuous-time coupled nonlinear systems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 46(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/050626405
  • N. Chopra and M. W. Spong, On exponential synchronization of Kuramoto oscillators, IEEE Trans. Automatic Control 54(2), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2008.2007884
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Number TheoryProbability·Captain: Xiang Huang

Normality of πOpen Problem

Motivation

A real number is normal in base bbb when every block of kkk base-bbb digits occurs in its expansion with limiting frequency b−kb^{-k}b−k, exactly as it would in a sequence of independent uniformly random digits. It is normal (absolutely normal) when it is normal in every base b≥2b\ge 2b≥2. Whether the classical constants of analysis, above all π\piπ, are normal is one of the oldest open questions linking number theory and probability: it asks whether a number defined by geometry has digits that are statistically indistinguishable from random ones.

Timeline.

  • 1909. Borel introduces normality and proves that Lebesgue-almost every real number is normal in every base (Borel 1909). The proof is non-constructive and gives no explicit example.
  • 1933. Champernowne gives the first explicit normal numbers. The best known is 0.123456789101112…0.123456789101112\ldots0.123456789101112…, the positive integers written one after another, which is normal in base ten (Champernowne 1933, Theorems I–IV). He conjectures that 0.235711131719…0.235711131719\ldots0.235711131719…, built from the primes, is also normal.
  • 1946. Copeland and Erdős prove that 0.a1a2a3…0.a_1a_2a_3\ldots0.a1​a2​a3​… is normal in base bbb for every increasing sequence of positive integers ana_nan​ that contains more than NθN^\thetaNθ terms up to NNN for every θ<1\theta<1θ<1 and all large NNN. This settles Champernowne's conjecture for the primes (Copeland–Erdős 1946).
  • 1997–2001. The Bailey–Borwein–Plouffe formula computes binary digits of π\piπ without the earlier ones (BBP 1997). Bailey and Crandall reduce the base-2 normality of π\piπ to a conjecture on a specific discrete dynamical system (Bailey–Crandall 2001). The conjecture remains open.
  • 2002. Becher and Figueira give a computable absolutely normal number (Becher–Figueira 2002).

Large-scale digit computations of π\piπ are statistically consistent with normality. No base is known in which π\piπ is normal, and it is not even known that any particular digit occurs infinitely often in its decimal expansion.

Setting

A digit sequence is a function s:N→Ns:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Ns:N→N; s0s_0s0​ is the first digit after the point. A word is a finite list w=(w0,…,wk−1)w=(w_0,\dots,w_{k-1})w=(w0​,…,wk−1​) of naturals. For N∈NN\in\mathbb NN∈N, the occurrence count count(s,w,N)\mathrm{count}(s,w,N)count(s,w,N) is the number of positions i<Ni<Ni<N with si+j=wjs_{i+j}=w_jsi+j​=wj​ for every j<kj<kj<k. Overlapping occurrences each count.

The sequence sss is normal in base bbb (IsNormalSeq b s) if, for every word www with all entries <b<b<b,

lim⁡N→∞count(s,w,N)N=b−∣w∣.\lim_{N\to\infty}\frac{\mathrm{count}(s,w,N)}{N}=b^{-|w|}.N→∞lim​Ncount(s,w,N)​=b−∣w∣.

The nnn-th base-bbb digit of a real xxx after the point is

digitb(x,n)=⌊x b n+1⌋ mod b.\mathrm{digit}_b(x,n)=\lfloor x\,b^{\,n+1}\rfloor \bmod b .digitb​(x,n)=⌊xbn+1⌋modb.

The real xxx is normal in base bbb (IsNormalReal b x) if n↦digitb(x,n)n\mapsto \mathrm{digit}_b(x,n)n↦digitb​(x,n) is normal in base bbb. Two remarks:

  • The integer part of xxx plays no role.
  • For a rational number with two expansions, the floor selects the one not ending in repeated (b−1)(b-1)(b−1)'s.

Formalization targets

Goal: π\piπ is normal

∀ b∈N,b≥2 ⟹ π is normal in base b.\forall\, b\in\mathbb N,\quad b\ge 2\ \Longrightarrow\ \pi \text{ is normal in base } b.∀b∈N,b≥2 ⟹ π is normal in base b.

This is the conjecture in its standard form, normality in every base. The base-ten case is the special case b=10b=10b=10.

Milestones

None are listed. No decomposition of this problem into intermediate statements is known that would be a faithful attack path, and the mission does not invent one. Proposals for intermediate targets are welcome in the discussion; see the contributions listed under Formalization scope.

The known theorems of the subject (Champernowne's constructions, the Copeland–Erdős theorem, Borel's theorem) concern numbers built to be normal or almost every number; they are not steps toward π\piπ and are kept in the separate mission Explicit normal numbers: Champernowne and Copeland–Erdős.

Significance

A proof that π\piπ is normal in base bbb would give every finite digit pattern a definite limiting frequency in its expansion. It would be the first normality result for a classical constant not built to be normal. Every known normal number is constructed digit by digit (Champernowne, Copeland–Erdős, Sierpiński, Becher–Figueira) or shown to exist by a measure argument (Borel). Even the base-2 case would settle the Bailey–Crandall programme for π\piπ.

Formalization status. The goal is open mathematics. The definitions it is stated with are published and are shared with the mission Explicit normal numbers: Champernowne and Copeland–Erdős, where Champernowne's theorems and the Copeland–Erdős theorem have machine-checked proofs.

Difficulty

The constructive results all prove normality from the digit-by-digit description of the number. In particular, the Copeland–Erdős block criterion needs the expansion to be an explicit concatenation of blocks. π\piπ has no such description. Its known series (Machin-type formulas, BBP) give digits as values of exponential sums, and no known method controls the joint distribution of long digit blocks of such values.

Borel's theorem does not help: it only says that the exceptional set is null, and gives no criterion for deciding whether a given number lies in it. Neither high-precision digit statistics nor irrationality measures for π\piπ imply normality.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace Normal and use the definition bundle Normal_Core:

  • count, IsNormalSeq, digit, IsNormalReal;
  • ofDigits b s =∑nsnb−(n+1)=\sum_n s_n b^{-(n+1)}=∑n​sn​b−(n+1);
  • the concatenation operators flatten, digitsBE, concatDigits;
  • the Champernowne and Copeland–Erdős constants.

Committed conventions:

  • Digits are read after the point, with the floor convention above.
  • Frequencies are limits of real quotients.
  • Words of every length k≥0k\ge0k≥0 are quantified, with entries <b<b<b.
  • The goal ranges over all natural bases b≥2b\ge2b≥2. The degenerate bases 000 and 111 are excluded by hypothesis, not by convention.

The definitions agree with Borel's, and the mission does not admit a trivialising reading. A real number is not normal merely because it is irrational, and the empty word imposes only the trivial condition.

The bundle also contains a verbatim copy of the integer-arithmetic definition IsNormal from xiangyazi24/agafonov; its equivalence with IsNormalSeq is proved on the platform (Normal.isNormalSeq_iff_isNormal), so results stated in either form transfer.

Welcome contributions:

  • Borel's theorem, via the strong law of large numbers or a Chernoff bound for digit blocks;
  • equivalent characterisations of normality, such as Wall's criterion by uniform distribution of bnx mod 1b^n x \bmod 1bnxmod1 and the reduction from all words to aligned blocks;
  • conditional reductions, such as the Bailey–Crandall hypothesis implying base-2 normality of π\piπ.

Selected references

  • É. Borel, Les probabilités dénombrables et leurs applications arithmétiques, Rend. Circ. Mat. Palermo 27 (1909), 247–271. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03019651
  • D. G. Champernowne, The construction of decimals normal in the scale of ten, J. London Math. Soc. 8 (1933), 254–260. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-8.4.254
  • A. H. Copeland and P. Erdős, Note on normal numbers, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 52 (1946), 857–860. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1946-08657-7
  • D. Bailey, P. Borwein and S. Plouffe, On the rapid computation of various polylogarithmic constants, Math. Comp. 66 (1997), 903–913. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0025-5718-97-00856-9
  • D. H. Bailey and R. E. Crandall, On the random character of fundamental constant expansions, Experiment. Math. 10 (2001), 175–190. https://doi.org/10.1080/10586458.2001.10504441
  • V. Becher and S. Figueira, An example of a computable absolutely normal number, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 270 (2002), 947–958. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3975(01)00170-0
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🏆Completed
Number TheoryProbability·Captain: Xiang Huang

Explicit normal numbers: Champernowne and Copeland–ErdősResearch Paper

Motivation

A real number is normal in base bbb when every block of kkk base-bbb digits occurs in its expansion with limiting frequency b−kb^{-k}b−k, as it would in a sequence of independent uniformly random digits. Borel introduced the notion in 1909 and proved that almost every real number is normal in every base, by an argument that produces no example. This mission collects the two classical papers that do produce examples: Champernowne's construction of 0.123456789101112…0.123456789101112\ldots0.123456789101112… and the theorem of Copeland and Erdős, which shows that the concatenation of any sufficiently dense increasing sequence of integers, the primes included, is normal.

Timeline.

  • 1909. Borel defines normality and proves that Lebesgue-almost every real number is normal in every base (Borel 1909).
  • 1933. Champernowne gives the first explicit normal numbers, among them the concatenation of the positive integers, and conjectures that the concatenation of the primes is normal as well (Champernowne 1933, Theorems I–IV).
  • 1946. Copeland and Erdős prove normality in base bbb of 0.a1a2a3…0.a_1a_2a_3\ldots0.a1​a2​a3​… for every increasing sequence of positive integers with more than NθN^\thetaNθ terms up to NNN, for every θ<1\theta<1θ<1 and all large NNN; the primes are a special case (Copeland–Erdős 1946).

Setting

A digit sequence is a function s:N→Ns:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Ns:N→N; s0s_0s0​ is the first digit after the point. A word is a finite list w=(w0,…,wk−1)w=(w_0,\dots,w_{k-1})w=(w0​,…,wk−1​) of naturals. For N∈NN\in\mathbb NN∈N, the occurrence count count(s,w,N)\mathrm{count}(s,w,N)count(s,w,N) is the number of positions i<Ni<Ni<N with si+j=wjs_{i+j}=w_jsi+j​=wj​ for every j<kj<kj<k; overlapping occurrences each count.

The sequence sss is normal in base bbb (IsNormalSeq b s) if, for every word www with all entries <b<b<b,

lim⁡N→∞count(s,w,N)N=b−∣w∣.\lim_{N\to\infty}\frac{\mathrm{count}(s,w,N)}{N}=b^{-|w|}.N→∞lim​Ncount(s,w,N)​=b−∣w∣.

The nnn-th base-bbb digit of a real xxx after the point is digitb(x,n)=⌊x b n+1⌋ mod b\mathrm{digit}_b(x,n)=\lfloor x\,b^{\,n+1}\rfloor \bmod bdigitb​(x,n)=⌊xbn+1⌋modb, and xxx is normal in base bbb (IsNormalReal b x) if n↦digitb(x,n)n\mapsto \mathrm{digit}_b(x,n)n↦digitb​(x,n) is normal in base bbb. The integer part of xxx plays no role; for a rational with two expansions the floor selects the one not ending in repeated (b−1)(b-1)(b−1)'s.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Copeland–Erdős theorem

If a1<a2<⋯a_1<a_2<\cdotsa1​<a2​<⋯ is an increasing sequence of positive integers such that, for every θ<1\theta<1θ<1, the number of ai≤Na_i\le Nai​≤N exceeds NθN^\thetaNθ for all large NNN, then the digit sequence obtained by writing the base-bbb expansions of a1,a2,…a_1,a_2,\ldotsa1​,a2​,… one after another is normal in base bbb. A machine-checked proof is on the platform.

Milestones

  1. Copeland–Erdős counting lemma (p. 858): few strings of length nnn contain a fixed word a number of times far from the expected count. Proved.
  2. Champernowne's Theorems I, II, IV: the block constructions are normal. Proved.
  3. Champernowne's Theorem III: the concatenation of the positive integers is normal in every base. Proved.
  4. The primes: the Copeland–Erdős constant 0.235711131719…0.235711131719\ldots0.235711131719… is normal in every base. Proved.
  5. Borel's theorem: Lebesgue-almost every real number is normal in every base. Classical, but not yet formalized here; this milestone is open.

Significance

These are the standard examples of explicitly given normal numbers, and the Copeland–Erdős block argument is the model for most later constructions. The mission also fixes a definition of normality for real numbers together with the transfer from digit sequences to reals, which other work on normal numbers can import.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace Normal and use the definition bundle Normal_Core: count, IsNormalSeq, digit, IsNormalReal; ofDigits b s =∑nsnb−(n+1)=\sum_n s_n b^{-(n+1)}=∑n​sn​b−(n+1); the concatenation operators flatten, digitsBE, concatDigits; the Champernowne and Copeland–Erdős constants.

Conventions: digits are read after the point with the floor convention above; frequencies are limits of real quotients; words of every length k≥0k\ge 0k≥0 with entries <b<b<b are quantified; results for real numbers are stated for bases b≥2b\ge 2b≥2 by hypothesis.

The proofs are imported from the repository xiangyazi24/normal and verified by the platform. Their auxiliary lemmas are published on the platform as dependencies of the milestones and are not listed as items of this mission.

The open question whether π\piπ is normal is a separate mission and is not approached by the methods here, which rely on the number being given as an explicit concatenation of blocks.

Selected references

  • É. Borel, Les probabilités dénombrables et leurs applications arithmétiques, Rend. Circ. Mat. Palermo 27 (1909), 247–271. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03019651
  • D. G. Champernowne, The construction of decimals normal in the scale of ten, J. London Math. Soc. 8 (1933), 254–260. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-8.4.254
  • A. H. Copeland and P. Erdős, Note on normal numbers, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 52 (1946), 857–860. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1946-08657-7
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets 1: SAG with Step Size 1/(2nL) Converges Linearly at Rate (1 − μ/(8Ln))ᵏResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in machine learning and statistics minimize an average of nnn smooth losses, one per training example: regularized least squares, logistic regression, and other forms of empirical risk minimization. Two classical families of methods attack such finite sums. The full gradient method evaluates all nnn component gradients per iteration and converges linearly for strongly convex objectives, but each iteration costs nnn gradient evaluations. The stochastic gradient method evaluates a single component gradient per iteration, so its iterations are cheap, but it converges only sublinearly, at rate O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k), even under strong convexity.

Le Roux, Schmidt and Bach (arXiv:1202.6258, NIPS 2012) introduced the stochastic average gradient (SAG) method, which keeps a table of the most recently evaluated gradient of every component and moves along their average. It evaluates one component gradient per iteration, like the stochastic gradient method, and the paper proves that it nevertheless converges linearly in expectation. SAG was among the first of the variance-reduced incremental methods; SAGA (Defazio, Bach & Lacoste-Julien, 2014), SVRG (Johnson & Zhang, 2013) and their accelerated variants followed. Its predecessor, the incremental aggregated gradient method of Blatt, Hero & Gauchman (2007), selects the components cyclically and had a linear rate only for strongly convex quadratics, without an explicit constant.

This mission covers the paper's first main result, Proposition 1, which uses the step size 1/(2nL)1/(2nL)1/(2nL). The second result, Proposition 2, for the larger step size 1/(2nμ)1/(2n\mu)1/(2nμ), is a separate mission of this series.

Setting

Let f1,…,fn:Rp→Rf_1,\dots,f_n:\mathbb R^p\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fn​:Rp→R and minimize

g(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x).g(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x).g(x)=n1​i=1∑n​fi​(x).

Each fif_ifi​ is convex and differentiable, and its gradient fi′f'_ifi′​ is Lipschitz continuous with constant L>0L>0L>0: ∥fi′(x)−fi′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|f'_i(x)-f'_i(y)\|\le L\|x-y\|∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥ for all x,yx,yx,y. The average ggg is strongly convex with constant μ>0\mu>0μ>0: the function x↦g(x)−μ2∥x∥2x\mapsto g(x)-\frac\mu2\|x\|^2x↦g(x)−2μ​∥x∥2 is convex. Then ggg has a unique minimizer x∗x^*x∗. The gradient variance at the optimum is σ2=1n∑i=1n∥fi′(x∗)∥2\sigma^2=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\|f'_i(x^*)\|^2σ2=n1​∑i=1n​∥fi′​(x∗)∥2.

The SAG iteration with step size α\alphaα maintains a state θk=(y1k,…,ynk,xk)\theta^k=(y^k_1,\dots,y^k_n,x^k)θk=(y1k​,…,ynk​,xk). Starting from x0x^0x0 and the zero table yi0=0y^0_i=0yi0​=0, for k≥1k\ge1k≥1 an index iki_kik​ is drawn uniformly from {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, independently of the past, and

yik={fi′(xk−1)i=ik,yik−1otherwise,xk=xk−1−αn∑i=1nyik.y^k_i=\begin{cases}f'_i(x^{k-1}) & i=i_k,\\ y^{k-1}_i & \text{otherwise,}\end{cases} \qquad x^k=x^{k-1}-\frac{\alpha}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n y^k_i .yik​={fi′​(xk−1)yik−1​​i=ik​,otherwise,​xk=xk−1−nα​i=1∑n​yik​.

The table is refreshed before the iterate moves, so xkx^kxk uses the new gradient. Expectations are over the indices i1,…,iki_1,\dots,i_ki1​,…,ik​ only; the data are fixed.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1 (p. 5)

With the constant step size α=12nL\alpha=\frac1{2nL}α=2nL1​, for every k≥1k\ge1k≥1,

E[∥xk−x∗∥2]≤(1−μ8Ln)k[3∥x0−x∗∥2+9σ24L2].\mathbb E\big[\|x^k-x^*\|^2\big]\le\Big(1-\frac{\mu}{8Ln}\Big)^k\Big[3\|x^0-x^*\|^2+\frac{9\sigma^2}{4L^2}\Big].E[∥xk−x∗∥2]≤(1−8Lnμ​)k[3∥x0−x∗∥2+4L29σ2​].

The constants are those printed in the paper.

Milestones (the steps of the proof in §A.5, pp. 16–23)

The proof tracks a quadratic Lyapunov function Q(θ)=(θ−θ∗)⊤P(θ−θ∗)Q(\theta)=(\theta-\theta^*)^\top P(\theta-\theta^*)Q(θ)=(θ−θ∗)⊤P(θ−θ∗) with θ∗=(f1′(x∗),…,fn′(x∗),x∗)\theta^*=(f'_1(x^*),\dots,f'_n(x^*),x^*)θ∗=(f1′​(x∗),…,fn′​(x∗),x∗) and an explicit block matrix PPP (p. 19). The milestones, in the order the proof uses them, are:

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 16): an exact formula for E[(θk−θ∗)⊤P(θk−θ∗)∣Fk−1]\mathbb E[(\theta^k-\theta^*)^\top P(\theta^k-\theta^*)\mid\mathcal F_{k-1}]E[(θk−θ∗)⊤P(θk−θ∗)∣Fk−1​] for an arbitrary block matrix PPP with symmetric diagonal blocks.
  2. Summed co-coercivity (p. 20): ∑i∥fi′(x)−fi′(x∗)∥2≤nL (g′(x)−g′(x∗))⊤(x−x∗)\sum_i\|f'_i(x)-f'_i(x^*)\|^2\le nL\,(g'(x)-g'(x^*))^\top(x-x^*)∑i​∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(x∗)∥2≤nL(g′(x)−g′(x∗))⊤(x−x∗).
  3. Completing the square (p. 21): s⊤Ms+s⊤t≤−14t⊤M−1ts^\top Ms+s^\top t\le-\frac14t^\top M^{-1}ts⊤Ms+s⊤t≤−41​t⊤M−1t for symmetric negative definite MMM.
  4. The one-step difference bound for 0≤δ≤13n0\le\delta\le\frac1{3n}0≤δ≤3n1​ and any α>0\alpha>0α>0 (p. 21).
  5. The one-step contraction E[Q(θk)∣Fk−1]≤(1−μ8nL)Q(θk−1)\mathbb E[Q(\theta^k)\mid\mathcal F_{k-1}]\le(1-\frac{\mu}{8nL})Q(\theta^{k-1})E[Q(θk)∣Fk−1​]≤(1−8nLμ​)Q(θk−1) at α=12nL\alpha=\frac1{2nL}α=2nL1​ (p. 22).
  6. EQ(θk)≤(1−μ8nL)kQ(θ0)\mathbb EQ(\theta^k)\le(1-\frac{\mu}{8nL})^kQ(\theta^0)EQ(θk)≤(1−8nLμ​)kQ(θ0) (p. 22).
  7. Q(θ)≥13∥x−x∗∥2Q(\theta)\ge\frac13\|x-x^*\|^2Q(θ)≥31​∥x−x∗∥2 (pp. 22–23).
  8. Q(θ0)=3σ24L2+∥x0−x∗∥2Q(\theta^0)=\frac{3\sigma^2}{4L^2}+\|x^0-x^*\|^2Q(θ0)=4L23σ2​+∥x0−x∗∥2 for y0=0y^0=0y0=0 (p. 23).

Significance

Proposition 1 gives a linear rate for a method whose per-iteration cost does not depend on nnn. Measured in passes through the data, its rate (1−μ8Ln)n≈e−μ/(8L)(1-\frac{\mu}{8Ln})^{n}\approx e^{-\mu/(8L)}(1−8Lnμ​)n≈e−μ/(8L) per pass is comparable to the full gradient method's, while each pass of SAG touches every component only once on average. The bound depends on the initial point only through ∥x0−x∗∥2\|x^0-x^*\|^2∥x0−x∗∥2 and on the data only through σ2\sigma^2σ2, which is zero when every component is minimized at x∗x^*x∗.

The result is proved in the paper and has been widely re-derived, but it has no machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formalization would be the first verified linear-rate theorem for SAG. Lemma 1 is an exact identity, valid for every quadratic Lyapunov function of the same block form, and is reused verbatim in the proof of Proposition 2. Milestones 2, 3 and 7 are general facts (co-coercivity, completing the square, a Schur-complement domination) that recur throughout the analysis of incremental methods.

Difficulty

The iterate xkx^kxk alone is not a Markov chain: its evolution depends on the stale gradients in the table, so neither ∥xk−x∗∥2\|x^k-x^*\|^2∥xk−x∗∥2 nor g(xk)−g(x∗)g(x^k)-g(x^*)g(xk)−g(x∗) decreases in expectation from one step to the next. The obvious first idea, bounding E[∥xk−x∗∥2∣Fk−1]\mathbb E[\|x^k-x^*\|^2\mid\mathcal F_{k-1}]E[∥xk−x∗∥2∣Fk−1​] in terms of ∥xk−1−x∗∥2\|x^{k-1}-x^*\|^2∥xk−1−x∗∥2 as for the stochastic gradient method, fails because the cross terms between the table error yk−1−f′(x∗)y^{k-1}-f'(x^*)yk−1−f′(x∗) and the iterate error have no sign. The analysis must therefore control the table and the iterate jointly, through a function of the whole state θk\theta^kθk; the exact expected one-step change of a general quadratic form in θk\theta^kθk (Lemma 1) is the computation everything else rests on, and it requires careful bookkeeping of block matrices.

Formalization scope

Rp\mathbb R^pRp is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p) and the components are indexed by Fin n with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The components fif_ifi​ and their gradients fi′f'_ifi′​ are both given, tied by HasGradientAt; each fif_ifi​ is convex (§A.1, p. 13), which the proof's co-coercivity step needs; ggg and g′g'g′ are the published SAGA.Convex.fAvg and SAGA.Convex.gradAvg. Strong convexity is stated literally as on p. 5, as convexity of g−μ2∥⋅∥2g-\frac\mu2\|\cdot\|^2g−2μ​∥⋅∥2. The point x∗x^*x∗ is any minimizer of ggg; uniqueness and g′(x∗)=0g'(x^*)=0g′(x∗)=0 are consequences. The restriction μ≤L\mu\le Lμ≤L used in the proof is not assumed, since it follows from the hypotheses when p≥1p\ge1p≥1.

The SAG state is a pair (table, iterate); SAG.SmallStep.step refreshes the table entry and then moves the iterate, and SAG.SmallStep.runFrom applies the steps for a given index sequence. The goal starts from the zero table and fixes the step size 12nL\frac1{2nL}2nL1​. The expectation is SAGA.Convex.expectIdx n k, the uniform average over all nkn^knk index sequences, which is exactly the law of kkk independent uniform indices; a conditional expectation given Fk−1\mathcal F_{k-1}Fk−1​ is the average over the next index from an arbitrary current state. Block matrices are families of p×pp\times pp×p blocks (continuous linear maps), and Lemma 1 makes explicit the symmetry of AAA and ccc and the identity ∑ifi′(x∗)=0\sum_if'_i(x^*)=0∑i​fi′​(x∗)=0 that its proof uses. The domination Q≥13∥x−x∗∥2Q\ge\frac13\|x-x^*\|^2Q≥31​∥x−x∗∥2 is stated for every n≥1n\ge1n≥1: the page's closing remark "for n≥2n\ge2n≥2" is stronger than its own computation needs.

The goal bounds the average over all index sequences; a bound for each fixed sequence would be false, and a bound for one sequence would be a different, weaker statement. Proposition 1 is not to be formalized with a free step size, an arbitrary initial table, or a variance quantity other than σ2\sigma^2σ2 at x∗x^*x∗: each of these changes the constant 9σ2/(4L2)9\sigma^2/(4L^2)9σ2/(4L2).

Needed infrastructure: algebra of finite sums of inner products over block families, the tower property for the uniform average over index sequences, co-coercivity of convex smooth functions (published on the platform as ConvexOptAlg.SmoothGD.eq_3_6), and strong-convexity monotonicity of the gradient. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome, as are alternative proofs of the goal that bypass the Lyapunov function.

Selected references

  • N. Le Roux, M. Schmidt, F. Bach, A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets, NIPS 2012; arXiv:1202.6258v4, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1202.6258
  • D. Blatt, A. O. Hero, H. Gauchman, A Convergent Incremental Gradient Method with a Constant Step Size, SIAM J. Optim. 18(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/040615961
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
  • A. Defazio, F. Bach, S. Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method with Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, NIPS 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.0202
  • R. Johnson, T. Zhang, Accelerating Stochastic Gradient Descent using Predictive Variance Reduction, NIPS 2013. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/4937
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets 2: For n ≥ 8L/μ, SAG with Step 1/(2nμ) after an SG Warm Start Converges at Rate (1 − 1/(8n))ᵏResearch Paper

Motivation

Many problems in machine learning are finite-sum problems: minimize the average of nnn loss functions, one per training example,

min⁡x∈Rp  g(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x).\min_{x\in\mathbb R^p}\; g(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x).x∈Rpmin​g(x)=n1​i=1∑n​fi​(x).

Two classical methods sit at opposite ends. Full gradient (FG) descent evaluates all nnn gradients per iteration and converges linearly on strongly convex problems, at a cost proportional to nnn per step. Stochastic gradient (SG) descent evaluates one gradient per iteration, independent of nnn, but its error decreases only sublinearly, as O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k).

Le Roux, Schmidt and Bach (arXiv:1202.6258, NIPS 2012) introduced the stochastic average gradient (SAG) method, which keeps the one-gradient-per-iteration cost of SG and attains a linear rate, as FG does. SAG was the first method of this kind and started the line of variance-reduced methods (SVRG, SAGA, Katyusha) that are now standard for finite sums.

The paper has two convergence results. This mission formalizes the second one, Proposition 2: when the number of examples is at least 8L/μ8L/\mu8L/μ, SAG with the larger step size 12nμ\frac1{2n\mu}2nμ1​ reduces the expected suboptimality by a constant factor per pass through the data, independently of the conditioning of the problem. Proposition 1 (step size 12nL\frac1{2nL}2nL1​, any nnn) is the subject of a separate mission.

Setting

Let f1,…,fn:Rp→Rf_1,\dots,f_n:\mathbb R^p\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fn​:Rp→R with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. The standing assumptions (p. 5, §3, and p. 13, §A.1) are:

  1. each fif_ifi​ is convex and differentiable, with gradient fi′f_i'fi′​;
  2. each fi′f_i'fi′​ is LLL-Lipschitz: ∥fi′(x)−fi′(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|f_i'(x)-f_i'(y)\|\le L\|x-y\|∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥;
  3. ggg is μ\muμ-strongly convex: x↦g(x)−μ2∥x∥2x\mapsto g(x)-\frac\mu2\|x\|^2x↦g(x)−2μ​∥x∥2 is convex, μ>0\mu>0μ>0;
  4. x∗x^*x∗ minimizes ggg.

Write g′=1n∑ifi′g'=\frac1n\sum_if_i'g′=n1​∑i​fi′​ and σ2=1n∑i∥fi′(x∗)∥2\sigma^2=\frac1n\sum_i\|f_i'(x^*)\|^2σ2=n1​∑i​∥fi′​(x∗)∥2, the variance of the gradients at the optimum.

SAG. The state is θ=(y,x)\theta=(y,x)θ=(y,x): a table y=(y1,…,yn)y=(y_1,\dots,y_n)y=(y1​,…,yn​) of stored gradients and an iterate xxx. At iteration kkk an index iki_kik​ is drawn uniformly from {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, independently of the past, and

yik={fi′(xk−1)i=ikyik−1otherwise,xk=xk−1−αn∑i=1nyik.y_i^k=\begin{cases}f_i'(x^{k-1})&i=i_k\\ y_i^{k-1}&\text{otherwise}\end{cases},\qquad x^k=x^{k-1}-\frac{\alpha}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n y_i^k .yik​={fi′​(xk−1)yik−1​​i=ik​otherwise​,xk=xk−1−nα​i=1∑n​yik​.

Warm start. Proposition 2 is about a specific run. The first nnn iterations are stochastic gradient steps x~j=x~j−1−γjfij′(x~j−1)\tilde x^j=\tilde x^{j-1}-\gamma_jf'_{i_j}(\tilde x^{j-1})x~j=x~j−1−γj​fij​′​(x~j−1) from x~0=x0\tilde x^0=x^0x~0=x0 with γj=1/(2L+μ2j)\gamma_j=1/(2L+\frac\mu2 j)γj​=1/(2L+2μ​j). SAG is then started from the average xn=1n∑j=0n−1x~jx^n=\frac1n\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}\tilde x^jxn=n1​∑j=0n−1​x~j, with all yiy_iyi​ set to 000 and step size α=12nμ\alpha=\frac1{2n\mu}α=2nμ1​.

Lyapunov function. For parameters α,η,ν\alpha,\eta,\nuα,η,ν and ui=yi−fi′(x∗)u_i=y_i-f_i'(x^*)ui​=yi​−fi′​(x∗), the proof uses

Q(θ)=2g(x+αn∑iyi)−2g(x∗)+ηαn∑i∥ui∥2+αn(1−2ν)∥∑iui∥2−2ν⟨∑iui,x−x∗⟩,Q(\theta)=2g\Big(x+\frac\alpha n\sum_iy_i\Big)-2g(x^*)+\frac{\eta\alpha}n\sum_i\|u_i\|^2+\frac\alpha n(1-2\nu)\Big\|\sum_iu_i\Big\|^2-2\nu\Big\langle\sum_iu_i,x-x^*\Big\rangle,Q(θ)=2g(x+nα​i∑​yi​)−2g(x∗)+nηα​i∑​∥ui​∥2+nα​(1−2ν)​i∑​ui​​2−2ν⟨i∑​ui​,x−x∗⟩,

at η=2\eta=2η=2, ν=12n\nu=\frac1{2n}ν=2n1​, α=12nμ\alpha=\frac1{2n\mu}α=2nμ1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 6)

If n≥8L/μn\ge 8L/\mun≥8L/μ, the warm-started run satisfies, for every k≥nk\ge nk≥n,

E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤C(1−18n)k,C=16L3n∥x0−x∗∥2+4σ23nμ(8log⁡(1+μn4L)+1).\mathbb E\big[g(x^k)-g(x^*)\big]\le C\Big(1-\frac1{8n}\Big)^k,\qquad C=\frac{16L}{3n}\|x^0-x^*\|^2+\frac{4\sigma^2}{3n\mu}\Big(8\log\Big(1+\frac{\mu n}{4L}\Big)+1\Big).E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤C(1−8n1​)k,C=3n16L​∥x0−x∗∥2+3nμ4σ2​(8log(1+4Lμn​)+1).

The constant is the paper's own; the goal fixes it as printed.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. §A.3, p. 14. One SG step: δk≤δk−1−2γk(1−γkL)E[g′(x~k−1)⊤(x~k−1−x∗)]+2γk2σ2\delta_k\le\delta_{k-1}-2\gamma_k(1-\gamma_kL)\mathbb E[g'(\tilde x^{k-1})^\top(\tilde x^{k-1}-x^*)]+2\gamma_k^2\sigma^2δk​≤δk−1​−2γk​(1−γk​L)E[g′(x~k−1)⊤(x~k−1−x∗)]+2γk2​σ2, with δk=E∥x~k−x∗∥2\delta_k=\mathbb E\|\tilde x^k-x^*\|^2δk​=E∥x~k−x∗∥2.
  2. §A.3, p. 15. The averaged SG iterate: Eg(1k∑i<kx~i)−g(x∗)≤2Lk∥x0−x∗∥2+4σ2kμlog⁡(1+μk4L)\mathbb Eg(\frac1k\sum_{i<k}\tilde x^i)-g(x^*)\le\frac{2L}k\|x^0-x^*\|^2+\frac{4\sigma^2}{k\mu}\log(1+\frac{\mu k}{4L})Eg(k1​∑i<k​x~i)−g(x∗)≤k2L​∥x0−x∗∥2+kμ4σ2​log(1+4Lμk​).
  3. Lemma 1, p. 16. The exact conditional expectation of a block quadratic form after one SAG step.
  4. §A.6, p. 24. Summed co-coercivity: ∑i∥fi′(x)−fi′(x∗)∥2≤nL (g′(x)−g′(x∗))⊤(x−x∗)\sum_i\|f_i'(x)-f_i'(x^*)\|^2\le nL\,(g'(x)-g'(x^*))^\top(x-x^*)∑i​∥fi′​(x)−fi′​(x∗)∥2≤nL(g′(x)−g′(x∗))⊤(x−x∗).
  5. §A.6, pp. 27–28. One-step contraction: E[Q(θk)∣Fk−1]≤(1−18n)Q(θk−1)\mathbb E[Q(\theta^k)\mid\mathcal F_{k-1}]\le(1-\frac1{8n})Q(\theta^{k-1})E[Q(θk)∣Fk−1​]≤(1−8n1​)Q(θk−1) when nμ/L≥8n\mu/L\ge8nμ/L≥8.
  6. §A.6, p. 28. EQ(θk)≤(1−18n)kQ(θ0)\mathbb EQ(\theta^k)\le(1-\frac1{8n})^kQ(\theta^0)EQ(θk)≤(1−8n1​)kQ(θ0), and Q(θ0)=2(g(x0)−g(x∗))+σ2nμQ(\theta^0)=2(g(x^0)-g(x^*))+\frac{\sigma^2}{n\mu}Q(θ0)=2(g(x0)−g(x∗))+nμσ2​ when y0=0y^0=0y0=0.
  7. §A.6, p. 29. Domination: Q(θ)≥6364(g(x)−g(x∗))Q(\theta)\ge\frac{63}{64}(g(x)-g(x^*))Q(θ)≥6463​(g(x)−g(x∗)) for every state.
  8. §A.6, p. 30. SAG from y0=0y^0=0y0=0 without warm start: E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤(1−18n)k[73(g(x0)−g(x∗))+7σ26nμ]\mathbb E[g(x^k)-g(x^*)]\le(1-\frac1{8n})^k[\frac73(g(x^0)-g(x^*))+\frac{7\sigma^2}{6n\mu}]E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤(1−8n1​)k[37​(g(x0)−g(x∗))+6nμ7σ2​].
  9. §A.6, p. 30. (1−18n)−n≤87(1-\frac1{8n})^{-n}\le\frac87(1−8n1​)−n≤78​.

Significance

The result. Proposition 2 gives a rate per pass through the data, (1−18n)n≤e−1/8(1-\frac1{8n})^n\le e^{-1/8}(1−8n1​)n≤e−1/8, that depends on neither μ\muμ nor LLL once n≥8L/μn\ge8L/\mun≥8L/μ. On p. 6 the paper compares it with the FG rate ((L−μ)/(L+μ))2((L-\mu)/(L+\mu))^2((L−μ)/(L+μ))2 and the accelerated FG rate 1−μ/L1-\sqrt{\mu/L}1−μ/L​. With n=100000n=100000n=100000, L=100L=100L=100, μ=0.01\mu=0.01μ=0.01, nnn SAG iterations contract by 0.88250.88250.8825 at the cost of one FG iteration, while FG contracts by 0.99960.99960.9996 and accelerated FG by 0.990.990.99. The SG warm start replaces a constant proportional to nnn by one of order log⁡n\log nlogn, so the bound also captures the O((log⁡n)/k)O((\log n)/k)O((logn)/k) behaviour of the early iterations.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is complete, and a machine-checked proof is new; no SAG statement exists on the platform. A formalization would check the paper's long appendix computation (pp. 23–29: a Lyapunov argument with completing the square on block vectors) and fix its slips: on p. 30 the proof writes E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤2EQ(θk)\mathbb E[g(x^k)-g(x^*)]\le2\mathbb EQ(\theta^k)E[g(xk)−g(x∗)]≤2EQ(θk), where its own Step 2 gives the factor 76\frac7667​, and the bracket that follows matches 76\frac7667​. Lemma 1 is shared with Proposition 1, and the SG bound of §A.3 is a standalone result (after Bach and Moulines, 2011).

Difficulty

The obvious approach does not work. SAG's update direction is a biased estimate of g′(xk−1)g'(x^{k-1})g′(xk−1): the stored gradients were computed at old iterates. So the usual SG argument, an unbiased step followed by a bound on E∥xk−x∗∥2\mathbb E\|x^k-x^*\|^2E∥xk−x∗∥2, breaks down. The proof instead tracks the joint state (y,x)(y,x)(y,x) through a Lyapunov function that couples the table and the iterate, and it needs a function-value term 2g(x+αne⊤y)2g(x+\frac\alpha ne^\top y)2g(x+nα​e⊤y) to handle the large step 12nμ\frac1{2n\mu}2nμ1​. The one-step bound (pp. 24–28) is an inequality between quadratic forms in (y−f′(x∗),x−x∗,g′(x))(y-f'(x^*),x-x^*,g'(x))(y−f′(x∗),x−x∗,g′(x)). It holds only after completing the square in the yyy block, and it closes only under nμ/L≥8n\mu/L\ge8nμ/L≥8; the margin there is small (104/15≈6.93≤8104/15\approx6.93\le8104/15≈6.93≤8). The domination step similarly minimizes over ∑iyi\sum_iy_i∑i​yi​.

Formalization scope

  • Carrier and indices. Rp\mathbb R^pRp is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p), and the components are indexed by Fin n. ggg and g′g'g′ are the published SAGA.Convex.fAvg and SAGA.Convex.gradAvg.
  • Assumptions. The standing assumptions are the structure SAG.LargeStep.Assumptions. Strong convexity is stated in the paper's form: g−μ2∥⋅∥2g-\frac\mu2\|\cdot\|^2g−2μ​∥⋅∥2 is convex. Each fif_ifi​ is convex (§A.1), and gradients are tied to the functions by HasGradientAt.
  • Randomness. Indices are modelled as all sequences in Fin k → Fin n, weighted uniformly (SAGA.Convex.expectIdx), which is the law of kkk independent uniform draws. A conditional expectation given Fk−1\mathcal F_{k-1}Fk−1​ is the average over the nnn indices of one step from an arbitrary fixed state.
  • The run. hybrid draws k≥nk\ge nk≥n indices. The SG phase uses the first n−1n-1n−1, index nnn is drawn and unused, and SAG uses the last k−nk-nk−n, from (0,xn)(0,x^n)(0,xn) with α=12nμ\alpha=\frac1{2n\mu}α=2nμ1​. The SG step sizes are γj=1/(2L+μ2j)\gamma_j=1/(2L+\frac\mu2j)γj​=1/(2L+2μ​j).
  • Lyapunov function. QQQ is defined with α,η,ν\alpha,\eta,\nuα,η,ν as parameters and used at (12nμ,2,12n)(\frac1{2n\mu},2,\frac1{2n})(2nμ1​,2,2n1​).
  • Lemma 1 is stated for general blocks: AAA and ccc symmetric, and bj⊤b_j^\topbj⊤​ the adjoint.
  • Not a trivializing formalization. Proposition 2's constant CCC, with its logarithm and its 16L3n\frac{16L}{3n}3n16L​, holds only for the warm-started run. Stating it for SAG started at x0x^0x0 would be a different and unproved claim, so the goal is stated for hybrid. Every hypothesis is satisfiable: n=8n=8n=8, p=1p=1p=1, fi(x)=x2/2f_i(x)=x^2/2fi​(x)=x2/2, L=μ=1L=\mu=1L=μ=1, x∗=0x^*=0x∗=0.
  • Slips on the page. Milestones 2 and 8 state what the proof establishes; their natural-language statements explain the misprints.
  • Contributions welcome. Proofs of any milestone. The SG lemmas (milestones 1–2) and co-coercivity (milestone 4, also published as ConvexOptAlg.SmoothGD.eq_3_6) are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • N. Le Roux, M. Schmidt, F. Bach, A Stochastic Gradient Method with an Exponential Convergence Rate for Finite Training Sets, NIPS 2012; arXiv:1202.6258v4 (2013). https://arxiv.org/abs/1202.6258
  • F. Bach, E. Moulines, Non-asymptotic analysis of stochastic approximation algorithms for machine learning, NIPS 2011. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/paper/2011 (NIPS 24 proceedings)
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
  • A. Defazio, F. Bach, S. Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method with Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, NIPS 2014; arXiv:1407.0202. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.0202
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsGraph Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Synchronization and Transient Stability in Power Networks and Nonuniform Kuramoto Oscillators 2: λ₂(L(P_ij cos φ_ij)) > λ_critical Gives Phase Cohesiveness and Exponential Frequency SynchronizationResearch Paper

Motivation

Transient stability of a power grid asks whether the generators of the network return to synchronous operation after a large disturbance such as a fault or a line trip. In the classical network-reduced model the rotor angles obey second-order swing equations, and stability certificates usually come from energy functions evaluated numerically. Dörfler and Bullo (arXiv:0910.5673v4; SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012) relate this problem to a first-order system of coupled phase oscillators, the non-uniform Kuramoto model, and derive purely algebraic conditions on the network parameters under which the oscillators synchronize. Such conditions read as "the network connectivity dominates non-uniformity, losses and lack of phase cohesiveness" and are checked from the data alone, without simulation.

The paper gives two such sufficient conditions. This mission formalizes the second, Theorem V.5, which measures connectivity by the algebraic connectivity of the lossless coupling and therefore applies to sparse (connected, not necessarily complete) networks. A companion mission treats Theorem V.3, the condition for complete graphs.

Timeline. For the classical Kuramoto model, Jadbabaie, Motee and Barahona (ACC, 2004) and Chopra and Spong (IEEE TAC, 2009) analysed synchronization with the Lyapunov function ∥Hθ∥22\|H\theta\|_2^2∥Hθ∥22​, and Chopra and Spong proved frequency synchronization under cohesive phases. Dörfler and Bullo (2009–2012) extended the analysis to non-uniform time constants DiD_iDi​, phase shifts φij\varphi_{ij}φij​ and non-complete graphs, using a weighted Lyapunov function.

Setting

There are n≥2n\ge2n≥2 oscillators with phases θi\theta_iθi​, time constants Di>0D_i>0Di​>0, natural frequencies ωi∈R\omega_i\in\mathbb Rωi​∈R, coupling weights Pij≥0P_{ij}\ge0Pij​≥0 and phase shifts φij∈[0,π/2[\varphi_{ij}\in[0,\pi/2[φij​∈[0,π/2[ (i≠ji\ne ji=j), with Pii=φii=0P_{ii}=\varphi_{ii}=0Pii​=φii​=0. The non-uniform Kuramoto model is

Diθ˙i=ωi−∑j=1nPijsin⁡(θi−θj+φij),i=1,…,n.(8)D_i\dot\theta_i=\omega_i-\sum_{j=1}^nP_{ij}\sin(\theta_i-\theta_j+\varphi_{ij}),\qquad i=1,\dots,n. \tag{8}Di​θ˙i​=ωi​−j=1∑n​Pij​sin(θi​−θj​+φij​),i=1,…,n.(8)

In this mission P=PTP=P^TP=PT, and its non-zero entries induce a connected graph.

  • H∈Rn(n−1)/2×nH\in\mathbb R^{n(n-1)/2\times n}H∈Rn(n−1)/2×n is the incidence matrix of the complete graph: Hθ=(θ2−θ1,… )H\theta=(\theta_2-\theta_1,\dots)Hθ=(θ2​−θ1​,…) lists all pairwise differences, and ∥Hθ∥22=∑i<j(θi−θj)2\|H\theta\|_2^2=\sum_{i<j}(\theta_i-\theta_j)^2∥Hθ∥22​=∑i<j​(θi​−θj​)2.
  • Δ(γ)\Delta(\gamma)Δ(γ) is the set of configurations contained in an open arc of length γ\gammaγ, i.e. max⁡i,j∣θi−θj∣<γ\max_{i,j}|\theta_i-\theta_j|<\gammamaxi,j​∣θi​−θj​∣<γ.
  • The Laplacian of a symmetric matrix AAA is L(aij)=diag⁡(∑jaij)−AL(a_{ij})=\operatorname{diag}(\sum_ja_{ij})-AL(aij​)=diag(∑j​aij​)−A and λ2(L(aij))\lambda_2(L(a_{ij}))λ2​(L(aij​)) is its second-smallest eigenvalue, the algebraic connectivity. The lossless coupling is the matrix (Pijcos⁡φij)(P_{ij}\cos\varphi_{ij})(Pij​cosφij​).
  • κ=∑kDk\kappa=\sum_kD_kκ=∑k​Dk​, α=min⁡i≠j{DiDj}/max⁡i≠j{DiDj}\alpha=\sqrt{\min_{i\ne j}\{D_iD_j\}/\max_{i\ne j}\{D_iD_j\}}α=mini=j​{Di​Dj​}/maxi=j​{Di​Dj​}​, φmax⁡=max⁡i,jφij\varphi_{\max}=\max_{i,j}\varphi_{ij}φmax​=maxi,j​φij​, Ω=∑iωi/∑iDi\Omega=\sum_i\omega_i/\sum_iD_iΩ=∑i​ωi​/∑i​Di​.
  • The critical value is
λcritical=∥HD−1ω∥2+n ∥[∑jP1jD1sin⁡φ1j,…,∑jPnjDnsin⁡φnj]∥2cos⁡(φmax⁡)(κ/n)α/max⁡i≠j{DiDj}.(33)\lambda_{\mathrm{critical}}=\frac{\|HD^{-1}\omega\|_2+\sqrt n\,\big\|\big[\sum_j\tfrac{P_{1j}}{D_1}\sin\varphi_{1j},\dots,\sum_j\tfrac{P_{nj}}{D_n}\sin\varphi_{nj}\big]\big\|_2}{\cos(\varphi_{\max})(\kappa/n)\alpha/\max_{i\ne j}\{D_iD_j\}}. \tag{33}λcritical​=cos(φmax​)(κ/n)α/maxi=j​{Di​Dj​}∥HD−1ω∥2​+n​​[∑j​D1​P1j​​sinφ1j​,…,∑j​Dn​Pnj​​sinφnj​]​2​​.(33)
  • The radii γmax⁡∈ ]π/2−φmax⁡,π]\gamma_{\max}\in\,]\pi/2-\varphi_{\max},\pi]γmax​∈]π/2−φmax​,π] and γmin⁡∈[0,π/2−φmax⁡[\gamma_{\min}\in[0,\pi/2-\varphi_{\max}[γmin​∈[0,π/2−φmax​[ solve sinc⁡(γmax⁡)/sinc⁡(π/2−φmax⁡)=sin⁡(γmin⁡)/cos⁡(φmax⁡)=λcritical/λ2(L(Pijcos⁡φij))\operatorname{sinc}(\gamma_{\max})/\operatorname{sinc}(\pi/2-\varphi_{\max})=\sin(\gamma_{\min})/\cos(\varphi_{\max})=\lambda_{\mathrm{critical}}/\lambda_2(L(P_{ij}\cos\varphi_{ij}))sinc(γmax​)/sinc(π/2−φmax​)=sin(γmin​)/cos(φmax​)=λcritical​/λ2​(L(Pij​cosφij​)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem V.5 (Synchronization condition II)

If λ2(L(Pijcos⁡φij))>λcritical\lambda_2(L(P_{ij}\cos\varphi_{ij}))>\lambda_{\mathrm{critical}}λ2​(L(Pij​cosφij​))>λcritical​, then

  1. for every γ∈[γmin⁡,αγmax⁡]\gamma\in[\gamma_{\min},\alpha\gamma_{\max}]γ∈[γmin​,αγmax​] the set {θ∈Δ(π):∥Hθ∥2≤γ}\{\theta\in\Delta(\pi):\|H\theta\|_2\le\gamma\}{θ∈Δ(π):∥Hθ∥2​≤γ} is positively invariant, and every solution with θ(0)∈Δ(π)\theta(0)\in\Delta(\pi)θ(0)∈Δ(π), ∥Hθ(0)∥2<αγmax⁡\|H\theta(0)\|_2<\alpha\gamma_{\max}∥Hθ(0)∥2​<αγmax​ eventually satisfies ∥Hθ(t)∥2≤γ\|H\theta(t)\|_2\le\gamma∥Hθ(t)∥2​≤γ for every γ>γmin⁡\gamma>\gamma_{\min}γ>γmin​;
  2. for every such solution the frequencies converge exponentially to a common θ˙∞∈[θ˙min⁡(0),θ˙max⁡(0)]\dot\theta_\infty\in[\dot\theta_{\min}(0),\dot\theta_{\max}(0)]θ˙∞​∈[θ˙min​(0),θ˙max​(0)]; if φ≡0\varphi\equiv0φ≡0, then θ˙∞=Ω\dot\theta_\infty=\Omegaθ˙∞​=Ω and the rate is no worse than
λfe(γ)=λ2(L(Pij))cos⁡(γ)cos⁡(∠(D1,1))2/Dmax⁡(γ∈ ]γmin⁡,π/2[).\lambda_{\mathrm{fe}}(\gamma)=\lambda_2(L(P_{ij}))\cos(\gamma)\cos(\angle(D\mathbf 1,\mathbf 1))^2/D_{\max}\qquad(\gamma\in\,]\gamma_{\min},\pi/2[).λfe​(γ)=λ2​(L(Pij​))cos(γ)cos(∠(D1,1))2/Dmax​(γ∈]γmin​,π/2[).

Milestones

Lemma V.8 (the identity (36) that replaces HD−1HTHD^{-1}H^THD−1HT by κ\kappaκ), Lemma V.9 (a quadratic-form bound by λ2\lambda_2λ2​), the sinc estimate and the bound X~\tilde XX~ on the lossy coupling (p. 25), the Lyapunov-derivative bound (37), the sandwich bounds (39) on WWW, the existence and uniqueness of γmin⁡,γmax⁡\gamma_{\min},\gamma_{\max}γmin​,γmax​ from the analysis of (41), and the eventual entry of every trajectory into {∥Hθ∥2<π/2−φmax⁡}\{\|H\theta\|_2<\pi/2-\varphi_{\max}\}{∥Hθ∥2​<π/2−φmax​}.

Significance

The condition is checkable from network data: λ2\lambda_2λ2​ of a weighted Laplacian, two vector norms and the extreme time constants. It applies to sparse networks, where the complete-graph condition of Theorem V.3 does not, and specializes for classical Kuramoto oscillators to K>∥Hω∥2K>\|H\omega\|_2K>∥Hω∥2​ (Remark V.7). Through the singular-perturbation argument of Section IV, conditions of this kind certify transient stability of the network-reduced power system.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known. A formalization fixes several points the printed text leaves loose: the norm ∥Hθ∥2\|H\theta\|_2∥Hθ∥2​ is written on p. 23 with a double sum that counts each pair twice; the chain defining X~\tilde XX~ on p. 25 is printed with its inequalities reversed; and "reaches {∥Hθ∥2≤γmin⁡}\{\|H\theta\|_2\le\gamma_{\min}\}{∥Hθ∥2​≤γmin​}" holds only asymptotically. The formal statements make each of these precise.

Difficulty

The obvious Lyapunov function, ∥Hθ∥22\|H\theta\|_2^2∥Hθ∥22​, has a sign-indefinite derivative as soon as the DiD_iDi​ differ, because the coupling Pij/DiP_{ij}/D_iPij​/Di​ is not symmetric. The weighted function W(Hθ)=14∑i,jDiDj∣θi−θj∣2W(H\theta)=\frac14\sum_{i,j}D_iD_j|\theta_i-\theta_j|^2W(Hθ)=41​∑i,j​Di​Dj​∣θi​−θj​∣2 restores a symmetric structure, but only through the non-obvious identity (36). After that, the sinusoidal coupling has to be bounded below by a quadratic form on a set where the phase differences stay below π\piπ, the lossy coupling has to be bounded above uniformly in the state, and the resulting ultimate-boundedness argument has to be run with sublevel sets of WWW, which are ellipsoids rather than balls of ∥Hθ∥2\|H\theta\|_2∥Hθ∥2​ unless all DiD_iDi​ coincide. The constants α\alphaα, γmin⁡\gamma_{\min}γmin​, γmax⁡\gamma_{\max}γmax​ come from this mismatch, and the passage from sublevel sets back to balls is the most delicate step.

Formalization scope

  • Configurations are real lifts θ∈Rn\theta\in\mathbb R^nθ∈Rn; Δ(π)\Delta(\pi)Δ(π) means θi−θj<π\theta_i-\theta_j<\piθi​−θj​<π for all i,ji,ji,j, and ∥Hθ∥2\|H\theta\|_2∥Hθ∥2​ is the pair-sum norm. A solution is a function θ:R→Rn\theta:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R^nθ:R→Rn with right derivative at 000 and derivative at every t>0t>0t>0 equal to the vector field of (8), and statements quantify over every solution. θ˙\dot\thetaθ˙ is the vector field evaluated along the solution.
  • Added hypotheses: n≥2n\ge2n≥2 (needed for λ2\lambda_2λ2​ and the extrema over i≠ji\ne ji=j), and φij=φji\varphi_{ij}=\varphi_{ji}φij​=φji​, which the page uses silently (the lossless coupling must be a symmetric Laplacian) and which holds for power networks. Pij≥0P_{ij}\ge0Pij​≥0 off the diagonal, since §V.B allows zero weights.
  • Corrections: ∥Hθ∥2\|H\theta\|_2∥Hθ∥2​ sums over pairs i<ji<ji<j; the X~\tilde XX~ chain is stated as ∥HX∥2≤X~\|HX\|_2\le\tilde X∥HX∥2​≤X~; the attraction clause of 1) is stated as "eventually below every γ>γmin⁡\gamma>\gamma_{\min}γ>γmin​"; the rate of (19) is taken positive (it is printed with a minus sign), and the "Moreover" rate is stated for every γ∈ ]γmin⁡,π/2[\gamma\in\,]\gamma_{\min},\pi/2[γ∈]γmin​,π/2[ because (19) depends on an arc length the theorem does not name. The page's "Moreover, if γmax⁡=0\gamma_{\max}=0γmax​=0" is read as φmax⁡=0\varphi_{\max}=0φmax​=0, a misprint: γmax⁡>π/2−φmax⁡\gamma_{\max}>\pi/2-\varphi_{\max}γmax​>π/2−φmax​ is never zero.
  • γmin⁡,γmax⁡\gamma_{\min},\gamma_{\max}γmin​,γmax​ are quantified subject to their defining equations, and a milestone proves they exist and are unique, so they are not free parameters. Condition (33) is satisfiable (equal ratios ωi/Di\omega_i/D_iωi​/Di​ and φ≡0\varphi\equiv0φ≡0 give λcritical=0\lambda_{\mathrm{critical}}=0λcritical​=0), so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Source: the arXiv preprint v4 of the SICON article; every page and number refers to that preprint.
  • Infrastructure: weighted graph Laplacians, their second eigenvalue and Courant–Fischer-type bounds, incidence matrices, and ultimate-boundedness arguments for ODEs. The Laplacian and incidence-matrix layer is reusable for consensus and network-dynamics missions; contributions on any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Dörfler, F. Bullo, Synchronization and Transient Stability in Power Networks and Nonuniform Kuramoto Oscillators, SIAM J. Control Optim. 50(3), 2012; preprint arXiv:0910.5673v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/0910.5673v4
  • N. Chopra, M. W. Spong, On exponential synchronization of Kuramoto oscillators, IEEE Trans. Automatic Control 54(2), pp. 353–357, 2009 (reference [32] of the source).
  • A. Jadbabaie, N. Motee, M. Barahona, On the stability of the Kuramoto model of coupled nonlinear oscillators, American Control Conference, Boston, 2004, pp. 4296–4301 (reference [33] of the source).
  • H. K. Khalil, Nonlinear Systems, 3rd ed., Prentice Hall, 2002 (ultimate boundedness, Theorem 4.18; reference [51] of the source).
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Matroid Prophet Inequalities 1: Against Any Online Weight-Adaptive Adversary, the 2-Balanced Threshold Algorithm Earns at Least Half the Expected Max-Weight BasisResearch Paper

Motivation

The prophet inequality of optimal stopping compares a gambler, who sees independent non-negative random values X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_nX1​,…,Xn​ one at a time and must accept or reject each on arrival, with a prophet who sees them all in advance. Krengel, Sucheston and Garling showed that the gambler can secure E[Xτ]≥12 E[max⁡iXi]\mathbb E[X_\tau] \ge \tfrac12\,\mathbb E[\max_i X_i]E[Xτ​]≥21​E[maxi​Xi​], and Samuel-Cahn showed that a single threshold suffices. Since Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Sandholm (2007) and Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (2010), prophet inequalities have served as the approximation guarantees of sequential posted-price mechanisms: an online selection rule with a prophet guarantee turns into a truthful mechanism with a revenue guarantee.

The natural multi-choice generalization lets the gambler accept a set of elements, subject to a feasibility constraint. Kleinberg and Weinberg, Matroid Prophet Inequalities (STOC 2012, arXiv:1201.4764), proved that when the feasible sets are the independent sets of a matroid, the factor 12\tfrac1221​ is still achievable, by an explicit threshold rule, and even when the order of arrival is chosen adaptively by an adversary.

Timeline:

  • 1977–78: Krengel and Sucheston, with Garling: the single-choice prophet inequality with factor 12\tfrac1221​, which is tight.
  • 1984: Samuel-Cahn: a single fixed threshold attains 12\tfrac1221​.
  • 2007: Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg, Sandholm: prophet inequalities read as truthful online auctions, with multi-choice prophet inequalities.
  • 2010: Chawla, Hartline, Malec, Sivan: posted-price mechanisms via prophet inequalities, and factor 12\tfrac1221​ for matroids when the algorithm may choose the order of arrival.
  • 2012: Kleinberg–Weinberg: factor 12\tfrac1221​ for every matroid against an online weight-adaptive adversary, and 14p−2\tfrac1{4p-2}4p−21​ for intersections of ppp matroids.

Setting

Let U\mathcal UU be a finite ground set and M=(U,I)\mathcal M = (\mathcal U, \mathcal I)M=(U,I) a matroid; I\mathcal II is its family of independent sets. For each x∈Ux \in \mathcal Ux∈U a distribution FxF_xFx​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) is given; the weights w(x)w(x)w(x) are independent with w(x)∼Fxw(x) \sim F_xw(x)∼Fx​, and w(A)=∑x∈Aw(x)w(A) = \sum_{x \in A} w(x)w(A)=∑x∈A​w(x). Let OPT(w)=max⁡{w(S):S∈I}\mathrm{OPT}(w) = \max\{w(S) : S \in \mathcal I\}OPT(w)=max{w(S):S∈I} and OPT=E[OPT(w)]\mathrm{OPT} = \mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(w)]OPT=E[OPT(w)].

An online weight-adaptive adversary reveals the elements one at a time: it picks xix_ixi​ knowing w(x1),…,w(xi−1)w(x_1), \dots, w(x_{i-1})w(x1​),…,w(xi−1​) but not w(xi)w(x_i)w(xi​). An online algorithm maintains a selected set Ai−1∈IA_{i-1} \in \mathcal IAi−1​∈I and, when xix_ixi​ arrives with its weight, irrevocably accepts or rejects it, keeping AiA_iAi​ independent. A threshold rule offers xix_ixi​ a threshold TiT_iTi​ computed from the revealed prefix (and Ti=∞T_i = \inftyTi​=∞ when Ai−1∪{xi}∉IA_{i-1} \cup \{x_i\} \notin \mathcal IAi−1​∪{xi​}∈/I) and accepts iff w(xi)≥Tiw(x_i) \ge T_iw(xi​)≥Ti​.

The algorithm of the paper uses a ghost sample: an independent copy w′w'w′ of the weights. Let BBB be a w′w'w′-maximum-weight basis. For an independent set AAA, among the partitions B=C⊔RB = C \sqcup RB=C⊔R with R∩A=∅R \cap A = \emptysetR∩A=∅ and A∪RA \cup RA∪R a basis, R(A)R(A)R(A), C(A)C(A)C(A) denote one maximizing w′(R)w'(R)w′(R). The algorithm (9) sets

Ti=12 Ew′[w′(R(Ai−1))−w′(R(Ai−1∪{xi}))].T_i = \tfrac12\,\mathbb E_{w'}\big[w'(R(A_{i-1})) - w'(R(A_{i-1}\cup\{x_i\}))\big].Ti​=21​Ew′​[w′(R(Ai−1​))−w′(R(Ai−1​∪{xi​}))].

Formalization targets

Goal: the matroid prophet inequality

For every matroid on a finite ground set, every family of distributions FxF_xFx​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with finite means, and every online weight-adaptive adversary, the set AAA selected by the algorithm (9) satisfies

E[w(A)]  ≥  12 OPT.\mathbb E[w(A)] \;\ge\; \tfrac12\,\mathrm{OPT}.E[w(A)]≥21​OPT.

The goal is stated for the paper's own algorithm, which is stronger than the existence statement of §3.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (with Definition 1): any threshold rule with α\alphaα-balanced thresholds,
∑xi∈ATi≥1α E[w′(C(A))],∑xi∈VTi≤(1−1α) E[w′(R(A))],\sum_{x_i\in A} T_i \ge \tfrac1\alpha\,\mathbb E[w'(C(A))], \qquad \sum_{x_i\in V} T_i \le \big(1-\tfrac1\alpha\big)\,\mathbb E[w'(R(A))],xi​∈A∑​Ti​≥α1​E[w′(C(A))],xi​∈V∑​Ti​≤(1−α1​)E[w′(R(A))],

earns E[w(A)]≥1α OPT\mathbb E[w(A)] \ge \tfrac1\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}E[w(A)]≥α1​OPT. 2. The identity behind (9) = (10), and the telescoping identity ∑xi∈ATi=12 E[w′(C(A))]\sum_{x_i \in A} T_i = \tfrac12\,\mathbb E[w'(C(A))]∑xi​∈A​Ti​=21​E[w′(C(A))] (Property (2) for α=2\alpha = 2α=2). 3. Lemma 1 (bijective basis exchange, and its weighted form), Lemma 2 (R(A)R(A)R(A) is a maximum-weight basis of the contraction M/A\mathcal M/AM/A), Lemma 3 (S↦w′(R(S))S \mapsto w'(R(S))S↦w′(R(S)) is submodular on subsets of an independent set). 4. Inequalities (11) and (12), and Proposition 2:

∑xi∈V[w′(R(Ai−1))−w′(R(Ai−1∪{xi}))]≤w′(R(A)),\sum_{x_i \in V}\big[w'(R(A_{i-1})) - w'(R(A_{i-1}\cup\{x_i\}))\big] \le w'(R(A)),xi​∈V∑​[w′(R(Ai−1​))−w′(R(Ai−1​∪{xi​}))]≤w′(R(A)),

pointwise in w′≥0w' \ge 0w′≥0; then Property (3) with α=2\alpha = 2α=2 for the thresholds (9).

Significance

The theorem gives the optimal constant: already for a rank-one matroid (choose one element) no online algorithm beats 12\tfrac1221​. It covers every matroid with one algorithm, including uniform, partition, graphic and transversal matroids, which model capacity, unit-demand and spanning-tree constraints. Through the reduction of Chawla et al., the paper derives from it order-oblivious posted-price mechanisms that are 2-approximations to the optimal revenue in single-parameter settings with matroid feasibility and, through the adaptive adversary, in multi-dimensional unit-demand settings (§6 of the paper). The decomposition through α\alphaα-balanced thresholds is reused in the paper for intersections of ppp matroids, with factor 14p−2\tfrac1{4p-2}4p−21​.

The result has been proved since 2012; it has not been formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked development of the model (online adaptive adversaries, threshold rules, the ghost-sample expectations), of the general reduction (Proposition 1), and of the matroid facts the algorithm relies on, notably the bijective exchange lemma (Schrijver, Corollary 39.12a), which is not in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fixes the order of arrival and compares the algorithm with the prophet item by item. It fails here because the order is chosen adaptively from the revealed weights, so the set of elements still to come is random and correlated with the past. The proof must instead compare the algorithm's realized selection with a ghost optimum BBB built from an independent sample, and bound the value the algorithm forgoes by the value the ghost optimum could still add, E[w′(R(A))]\mathbb E[w'(R(A))]E[w′(R(A))]. The step that needs matroid structure is Property (3): the total threshold offered to any set VVV that could still be added must be at most half of E[w′(R(A))]\mathbb E[w'(R(A))]E[w′(R(A))]. The thresholds were computed along the history A0⊆A1⊆…A_0 \subseteq A_1 \subseteq \dotsA0​⊆A1​⊆…, not at the final AAA, so the bound requires the submodularity of S↦w′(R(S))S \mapsto w'(R(S))S↦w′(R(S)) (Lemma 3) and a weight-dominating exchange between VVV and R(A)R(A)R(A) in the contraction M/A\mathcal M/AM/A. Neither holds for general downward-closed families.

Formalization scope

  • The ground set is a Fintype α; the matroid is Mathlib's Matroid α with ground set Set.univ; sets are Finset α; contraction is Matroid.contract.
  • The distributions are F : α → Measure ℝ, probability measures with F x (Set.Iio 0) = 0 (support in [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞)) and Integrable id (F x) (finite means). The weight law is Measure.pi F, and every expectation is a Bochner integral over it. Finite means make OPT(w)\mathrm{OPT}(w)OPT(w), w(A)w(A)w(A) and the integrands of the thresholds integrable, so no expectation is a junk value.
  • OPT(w)\mathrm{OPT}(w)OPT(w) is a maximum over the nonempty finset of independent sets. The maximum-weight basis B(w′)B(w')B(w′) and the maximizer R(A)R(A)R(A) are fixed by choice when weights tie; Lemma 2 shows w′(R(A))w'(R(A))w′(R(A)) does not depend on the choice. R(A)R(A)R(A) is required to be disjoint from AAA, as Lemma 2's placement of R(A)R(A)R(A) in M/A\mathcal M/AM/A needs.
  • A threshold rule is a real-valued function of the current selection, the revealed list, the weights and the arriving element, non-negative, depending on the weights only through revealed ones, measurably; the value ∞\infty∞ on infeasible steps is an independence guard in the acceptance test. "Monotone algorithm" in Proposition 1 means such a rule.
  • An adversary is a deterministic map from the revealed list and the weights to the next unrevealed element, depending only on revealed weights and measurable. Randomized adversaries are mixtures of these.
  • Lemma 1, part 2 is stated for disjoint VVV and RRR: as printed it fails when they overlap, and the paper uses it only for disjoint sets.

The goal fixes the thresholds by (9) through BBB, R(⋅)R(\cdot)R(⋅) and the ghost expectation; a statement in which the thresholds are free parameters assumed to satisfy (2)–(3) would be Proposition 1 and is not the goal.

Contributions are welcome at every level: the measurability of the online run, the exchange lemma for Mathlib matroids, the greedy characterization of maximum-weight bases of a contraction, and the probabilistic core (7) of Proposition 1. The matroid lemmas are reusable beyond this mission, in particular by the matroid-intersection mission of the same paper.

Selected references

  • R. Kleinberg, S. M. Weinberg, Matroid Prophet Inequalities, STOC 2012; arXiv:1201.4764v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.4764 , https://doi.org/10.1145/2213977.2213991
  • U. Krengel, L. Sucheston, Semiamarts and finite values, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 83, 745–747, 1977.
  • U. Krengel, L. Sucheston, On semiamarts, amarts, and processes with finite value, Advances in Probability and Related Topics 4, 197–266, 1978.
  • E. Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of threshold stop rules and maximum for independent nonnegative random variables, Annals of Probability 12(4), 1213–1216, 1984.
  • M. T. Hajiaghayi, R. Kleinberg, T. Sandholm, Automated mechanism design and prophet inequalities, AAAI 2007, pp. 58–65.
  • S. Chawla, J. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter mechanism design and sequential posted pricing, STOC 2010, pp. 311–320.
  • A. Schrijver, Combinatorial Optimization: Polyhedra and Efficiency, Springer, 2003 (Corollary 39.12a).
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AnalysisOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Some Useful Functions for Functional Limit Theorems 1: Composition Preserves J₁ Convergence When the Outer Path Is Continuous or the Inner Path Is Continuous and Strictly IncreasingResearch Paper

Motivation

Random time changes occur when a process is observed on an operational clock rather than calendar time. In queueing models, for example, an arrival-count path may be evaluated at an evolving service clock. A functional limit theorem for the outer path and another for the clock are useful together only when evaluating one path at the times supplied by the other preserves convergence. Ward Whitt's 1980 paper studies several path operations with this question in mind; composition is its first main operation. The issue is specific to paths with jumps, because a small shift of the clock can move an evaluation across a jump.

Setting

Let T1,T2,T3T_1,T_2,T_3T1​,T2​,T3​ be nonempty intervals of real time, with T2⊆T3T_2\subseteq T_3T2​⊆T3​, and let (S,m)(S,m)(S,m) be a complete separable metric space. The càdlàg path space D(T,S)D(T,S)D(T,S) consists of paths that are right continuous and have left limits on TTT. Its subspace C(T,S)C(T,S)C(T,S) contains the continuous paths. The nondecreasing clock space D0(T1,T2)D_0(T_1,T_2)D0​(T1​,T2​) consists of càdlàg real-valued paths on T1T_1T1​ that are nondecreasing and take their values in T2T_2T2​. Its subspace C0(T1,T2)C_0(T_1,T_2)C0​(T1​,T2​) contains the continuous, strictly increasing clocks. For x∈D(T3,S)x\in D(T_3,S)x∈D(T3​,S) and y∈D0(T1,T2)y\in D_0(T_1,T_2)y∈D0​(T1​,T2​), composition is the path (x∘y)(t)=x(y(t))(x\circ y)(t)=x(y(t))(x∘y)(t)=x(y(t)) on T1T_1T1​.

Convergence uses the Skorohod J1J_1J1​ topology. On a compact interval [a,b][a,b][a,b], let Λ[a,b]\Lambda_{[a,b]}Λ[a,b]​ be the increasing homeomorphisms of [a,b][a,b][a,b] and let e(t)=te(t)=te(t)=t. With ρ[a,b]\rho_{[a,b]}ρ[a,b]​ denoting uniform distance, Whitt's metric is

d[a,b](u,v)=inf⁡λ∈Λ[a,b]max⁡{ρ[a,b](λ,e),ρ[a,b](u,v∘λ)}.d_{[a,b]}(u,v)=\inf_{\lambda\in\Lambda_{[a,b]}} \max\{\rho_{[a,b]}(\lambda,e),\rho_{[a,b]}(u,v\circ\lambda)\}.d[a,b]​(u,v)=λ∈Λ[a,b]​inf​max{ρ[a,b]​(λ,e),ρ[a,b]​(u,v∘λ)}.

Thus close paths may have nearby jumps at different times, provided an increasing time change aligns them. On a general interval, convergence is checked on compact subintervals whose endpoints are continuity points of the limit or endpoints of the full interval. Whitt gives this definition in §2, then gives CCC, C0C_0C0​, and D0D_0D0​ in §3. All subsets carry relative topologies and products carry product topologies.

Formalization targets

Composition at a continuous outer path

For xn→xx_n\to xxn​→x in D(T3,S)D(T_3,S)D(T3​,S) and yn→yy_n\to yyn​→y in D0(T1,T2)D_0(T_1,T_2)D0​(T1​,T2​), the first milestone states

x∈C(T3,S)⟹xn∘yn→x∘y in D(T1,S).x\in C(T_3,S)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad x_n\circ y_n\to x\circ y\text{ in }D(T_1,S).x∈C(T3​,S)⟹xn​∘yn​→x∘y in D(T1​,S).

The path-space definition and the two preparatory milestones are a small-oscillation partition for a càdlàg path, cited by Whitt from Billingsley, and Whitt's Lemma 2.2, which relates convergence on a compact interval to convergence on the two pieces made by splitting it at a continuity point.

Composition at a strictly increasing clock

The second case, and the combined goal, also allow the outer limit path to jump. Let ∂TT1\partial_T T_1∂T​T1​ mean the endpoints of T1T_1T1​ that belong to T1T_1T1​. The corrected target is

[x∈C(T3,S)or(y∈C0(T1,T2) andx is continuous at y(t) for every t∈∂TT1)]⟹xn∘yn→x∘y in D(T1,S).\left[x\in C(T_3,S)\quad\text{or}\quad \bigl(y\in C_0(T_1,T_2)\ \text{and} x\text{ is continuous at }y(t)\text{ for every }t\in\partial_T T_1\bigr)\right] \Longrightarrow x_n\circ y_n\to x\circ y\text{ in }D(T_1,S).[x∈C(T3​,S)or(y∈C0​(T1​,T2​) andx is continuous at y(t) for every t∈∂T​T1​)]⟹xn​∘yn​→x∘y in D(T1​,S).

The goal includes both cases for simultaneously varying xnx_nxn​ and yny_nyn​. The endpoint condition is vacuous for an endpoint excluded from T1T_1T1​. It is part of the strictly increasing clock case only; it imposes no extra restriction when the outer limit path is continuous.

Significance

This theorem supplies a precise condition for carrying two path limits through a random time transformation. In particular, the assertion includes convergence of the composed paths as elements of a càdlàg space, not merely convergence of their values at individual times. The distinction matters at jumps: pointwise convergence does not control the placement or ordering of nearby jumps. The result is a deterministic continuity statement that can be paired with probabilistic mapping theorems when the corresponding random paths are available.

Whitt proved the composition theorem in 1980, subject to the endpoint issue described below. The formalization work here is to construct its path-space interface in Lean, state the corrected continuity theorem with every domain condition visible, and eventually replace the open sorry proofs with checked proofs. The interface can also support the paper's later results on reflection, first passage, and time reversal; those results are separate missions. No proof of this mission's goal is claimed yet.

Difficulty

The tempting argument is to use separate continuity of xn→xx_n\to xxn​→x and yn→yy_n\to yyn​→y and then substitute yn(t)y_n(t)yn​(t) into the first convergence. That argument loses control of evaluations near a jump of xxx. A J1J_1J1​ time change may align a jump of xnx_nxn​ with the corresponding jump of xxx, while the clock yny_nyn​ may cross those times differently. Continuity of the outer limit path removes that difficulty in one case; in the other, the clock must be continuous and strictly increasing. The source explicitly shows that composition is not continuous on all of D×D0D\times D_0D×D0​ (§3, p. 75).

The endpoints impose a further obstruction because increasing homeomorphisms of a closed time interval fix its endpoints. Bauer's Remark on p. 75 observes a failure at the right endpoint. There is a symmetric failure at the left endpoint, so the statement here includes both. This is a correction to the printed theorem, not a new claim that the uncorrected theorem is true.

Formalization scope

Paths are represented as total functions R→S\mathbb R\to SR→S, with only values on the named interval used. The domain assumptions OrdConnected and Nonempty express nonempty real intervals. The outer interval T3T_3T3​ is also required to have nonempty interior: the formal convergence predicate checks only compact intervals [a,b][a,b][a,b] with a<ba<ba<b, so on a one-point T3T_3T3​ it imposes nothing, and the C×D0C\times D_0C×D0​ case would fail for constant outer paths with different values. A clock's range condition is explicit, as is nondecreasingness for every prelimit clock. Membership of all paths in the relevant càdlàg spaces is part of the convergence predicates. The output predicate likewise requires every composition and its limit to be càdlàg. This rules out the trivialization in which one merely proves convergence of selected point evaluations or assumes the compositions already have the conclusion's path-space properties.

The compact uniform distance and the infimum over time changes take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. They use the actual metric on SSS, not a real supremum with a default value on an unbounded set. A time change is a total function whose restriction to the compact interval is continuous, strictly increasing, and onto. Continuity at a time means continuity relative to the path's interval. The general-interval convergence predicate checks the compact intervals specified by Whitt and requires each sequence member to belong to DDD. The theorem is written as sequential continuity; Whitt's J1J_1J1​ spaces are metrizable, making that equivalent to topological continuity. The real-valued clock space uses the relative topology inherited from real-valued càdlàg paths.

The endpoint correction is exact in the Lean statement. At the right endpoint, take T1=T2=T3=[0,1]T_1=T_2=T_3=[0,1]T1​=T2​=T3​=[0,1], y(t)=ty(t)=ty(t)=t, yn(t)=(1−1/n)ty_n(t)=(1-1/n)tyn​(t)=(1−1/n)t for n≥2n\ge2n≥2, and x=1{1}x=1_{\{1\}}x=1{1}​. Then x∘ynx\circ y_nx∘yn​ is zero while (x∘y)(1)=1(x\circ y)(1)=1(x∘y)(1)=1. At the left endpoint, take T1=T2=[0,1]T_1=T_2=[0,1]T1​=T2​=[0,1], T3=[−1,2]T_3=[-1,2]T3​=[−1,2], yn=y=ey_n=y=eyn​=y=e, x=1[0,2]x=1_{[0,2]}x=1[0,2]​, and xn=1[1/n,2]x_n=1_{[1/n,2]}xn​=1[1/n,2]​. The outer paths converge in J1J_1J1​ on T3T_3T3​, but the compositions disagree at 000. Both examples show why continuity of xxx at the image of every included endpoint is required in the D×C0D\times C_0D×C0​ case.

The development needs the càdlàg definition, J1J_1J1​ metric and convergence predicates, compact restriction lemma, and the finite oscillation partition. Their definitions and lemmas are reusable for other functionals on path spaces. Contributions that prove the milestones and goal under the stated hypotheses are welcome. This mission does not formalize the Borel measurability or probability-measure machinery discussed elsewhere in Whitt's paper; Theorem 3.1 itself is a deterministic continuity claim.

Selected references

  • Ward Whitt, Some Useful Functions for Functional Limit Theorems, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1), 67–85, 1980. DOI: 10.1287/moor.5.1.67.
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