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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999074Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.996001Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
7 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record
3 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 6: An Attractor Whose Basin Meets the Attainable Set Contains the Limit Set with Positive ProbabilityResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion xn+1=xn+γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}=x_n+\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​=xn​+γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​) with decreasing step sizes γn\gamma_nγn​ and a noise term Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​. Recursions of this form appear in stochastic gradient methods, adaptive control, learning in games (fictitious play, reinforcement learning) and urn models. The ODE method compares the iterates with the solutions of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). In Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999), the comparison is phrased through the continuous-time interpolated process XXX. Under standard noise conditions, XXX is almost surely an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF, and its limit set is almost surely internally chain transitive.

That theorem constrains where the process may end up. It does not say which of several candidate sets the process actually reaches. When the ODE has several attractors, for example several stable equilibria of a learning dynamic or several stable compositions of an urn, an application needs to know that each attractor is reached with positive probability. Section 7 of the notes answers this question. The answer is a criterion of attainability: if the process can, with positive probability and at arbitrarily late times, enter the basin of an attractor, then it converges to that attractor with positive probability.

Timeline.

  • Kushner and Clark (1978) proved convergence statements for processes that visit a compact subset of the domain of attraction of an asymptotically stable equilibrium infinitely often.
  • Arthur, Ermoliev and Kaniovski (1983) and Pemantle (1990) studied urn processes whose limit points depend on the trajectory.
  • Benaïm (1997) and Duflo (1997, Random Iterative Models) developed the attainability argument for general stochastic approximation processes.
  • Benaïm (1999) states it for arbitrary attractors of a semiflow on a locally compact metric space, under a single conditional shadowing condition (24).

Setting

Let (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) be a metric space and let Φ=(Φt)t≥0\Phi=(\Phi_t)_{t\ge0}Φ=(Φt​)t≥0​ be a semiflow on MMM: a continuous map (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x) with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​.

  • A set AAA is invariant if Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0, and positively invariant if Φt(A)⊂A\Phi_t(A)\subset AΦt​(A)⊂A.
  • An attractor is a nonempty compact invariant set AAA with a neighbourhood WWW on which dist⁡(Φtx,A)→0\operatorname{dist}(\Phi_tx,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0 uniformly. Its basin B(A)B(A)B(A) is the set of points xxx with dist⁡(Φtx,A)→0\operatorname{dist}(\Phi_tx,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0.
  • A continuous curve X:R+→MX:\mathbb R_+\to MX:R+​→M is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory if sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(t+h),Φh(X(t)))→0\sup_{0\le h\le T}d(X(t+h),\Phi_h(X(t)))\to0sup0≤h≤T​d(X(t+h),Φh​(X(t)))→0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞, for every T>0T>0T>0.
  • The limit set of XXX is L(X)=⋂t≥0X([t,∞))‾L(X)=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\overline{X([t,\infty))}L(X)=⋂t≥0​X([t,∞))​.
  • For T>0T>0T>0, dX(T)=sup⁡k∈Nd(ΦT(X(kT)),X(kT+T))d_X(T)=\sup_{k\in\mathbb N}d(\Phi_T(X(kT)),X(kT+T))dX​(T)=supk∈N​d(ΦT​(X(kT)),X(kT+T)).

Now let X=(X(t))t≥0X=(X(t))_{t\ge0}X=(X(t))t≥0​ be a process on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) with continuous paths in MMM, adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}(Ft​)t≥0​. The standing assumption of Section 7 is that for all δ>0\delta>0δ>0, T>0T>0T>0 and t≥0t\ge0t≥0,

P(sup⁡s≥t sup⁡0≤h≤Td(X(s+h),Φh(X(s)))≥δ ∣ Ft)≤w(t,δ,T)(24)P\Big(\sup_{s\ge t}\ \sup_{0\le h\le T}d\big(X(s+h),\Phi_h(X(s))\big)\ge\delta\ \Big|\ \mathcal F_t\Big)\le w(t,\delta,T)\tag{24}P(s≥tsup​ 0≤h≤Tsup​d(X(s+h),Φh​(X(s)))≥δ ​ Ft​)≤w(t,δ,T)(24)

for a function w≥0w\ge0w≥0 with w(t,δ,T)↓0w(t,\delta,T)\downarrow0w(t,δ,T)↓0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.

A point ppp is attainable if P(∃s≥t:X(s)∈U)>0P(\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U)>0P(∃s≥t:X(s)∈U)>0 for every t>0t>0t>0 and every open neighbourhood UUU of ppp. Att(X)\mathrm{Att}(X)Att(X) is the set of attainable points.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.3, first statement

If MMM is locally compact, AAA is an attractor of Φ\PhiΦ, and Att(X)∩B(A)≠∅\mathrm{Att}(X)\cap B(A)\neq\emptysetAtt(X)∩B(A)=∅, then

P(L(X)⊂A)>0.P\big(L(X)\subset A\big)>0 .P(L(X)⊂A)>0.

This statement contains no constants and no rates, so it does not depend on how (24) is quantified for a particular algorithm.

Theorem 7.3, second statement

If UUU is open and relatively compact with U‾⊂B(A)\overline U\subset B(A)U⊂B(A), there are T,δ>0T,\delta>0T,δ>0, depending only on UUU (and on Φ\PhiΦ, AAA), such that for every process satisfying the standing assumption and every t≥0t\ge0t≥0

P(L(X)⊂A)≥(1−w(t,δ,T)) P(∃s≥t: X(s)∈U).P\big(L(X)\subset A\big)\ge\big(1-w(t,\delta,T)\big)\,P\big(\exists s\ge t:\ X(s)\in U\big).P(L(X)⊂A)≥(1−w(t,δ,T))P(∃s≥t: X(s)∈U).

Milestones

  • Lemma 6.8. For a nonempty compact K⊂B(A)K\subset B(A)K⊂B(A) there are T,δ>0T,\delta>0T,δ>0 such that every asymptotic pseudotrajectory with X(0)∈KX(0)\in KX(0)∈K and dX(T)<δd_X(T)<\deltadX​(T)<δ has L(X)⊂AL(X)\subset AL(X)⊂A.
  • Lemma 7.1, in three parts:
    • Att(X)\mathrm{Att}(X)Att(X) is closed;
    • it is positively invariant;
    • it contains L(X)L(X)L(X) almost surely.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7.3 turns a question about the long-run limit of a random process into a question about where the process can go. Attainability is usually checked by a controllability argument: the noise can push the iterates in every direction. For urn processes with an urn function mapping the simplex into its interior, every point is attainable (Example 7.2 of the notes). Then every attractor of the mean ODE is reached with positive probability. Combined with nonconvergence results for unstable sets (Section 9 of the notes), this characterizes the possible limits of many learning and urn processes. Theorem 7.3 is the positive half of that picture.

Formalizing it. The theorem has a published proof (p. 32 of the notes) and no machine-checked version. A formal proof needs the following:

  • a precise reading of the conditional shadowing condition (24) as a conditional expectation of an indicator;
  • the stopping-time decomposition of the event {∃s≥t:X(s)∈U}\{\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U\}{∃s≥t:X(s)∈U} over dyadic times;
  • the deterministic Lemma 6.8, which rests on the limit set theorem for precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectories (Theorem 5.7 of the notes, the subject of mission 1 of this series).

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: once XXX enters a compact part of the basin, the flow carries it into AAA. That fails because XXX is not a trajectory of the flow. Each window of length TTT adds an error, and errors over infinitely many windows can push the process out of the basin.

Two things are needed instead:

  • A uniform version of the deterministic statement, with TTT and δ\deltaδ fixed in advance from the compact set alone. This is Lemma 6.8, which needs local compactness of MMM and the structure of limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories.
  • A probabilistic step that applies (24) at the random time when XXX first enters UUU. That time is not a stopping time on a continuum, and conditioning at it needs care.

A naive union bound over all times is useless: it does not use the conditional form of (24).

Formalization scope

  • The semiflow is Mathlib's Flow ℝ≥0 M on a metric space; local compactness is LocallyCompactSpace M.
  • The process is X : ℝ≥0 → Ω → M with continuous paths. The paper's alternative of càdlàg paths is not covered.
  • Adaptedness is Borel measurability of X(t)X(t)X(t) with respect to Ft\mathcal F_tFt​, for a Mathlib Filtration ℝ≥0. PPP is a probability measure.
  • The suprema in (24) and in dX(T)d_X(T)dX​(T) are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with the extended distance, so that "sup ≥δ\ge\delta≥δ" and "sup <δ<\delta<δ" are exact even when the supremum is infinite or not attained.
  • The conditional probability in (24) is the conditional expectation of the indicator of the event. The event is required to be measurable, so the condition cannot hold vacuously through a junk conditional expectation.
  • www is required to be both nonincreasing in ttt and convergent to 000.
  • The events {L(X)⊂A}\{L(X)\subset A\}{L(X)⊂A} and {∃s≥t:X(s)∈U}\{\exists s\ge t: X(s)\in U\}{∃s≥t:X(s)∈U} are measured with PPP as an outer measure, so no measurability hypothesis is added for them.
  • In the second statement of Theorem 7.3, TTT and δ\deltaδ are chosen before the probability space, the process, www and ttt.
  • Invariance in the definition of an attractor is the equality Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A, not inclusion.
  • The almost-sure clause of Lemma 7.1 is stated for separable MMM. Without separability it cannot be proved in ordinary set theory.

These choices rule out the trivializing formalizations: a conditional-probability hypothesis that holds vacuously, invariance read as inclusion, constants T,δT,\deltaT,δ that depend on the process or on ttt, and a probability bound www without monotonicity.

A complete development needs:

  • limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories and the fact that an internally chain transitive set meeting the basin of an attractor lies in the attractor (shared with missions 1 and 5 of this series);
  • measurability of path functionals of continuous processes;
  • conditioning on events of the form {τ=tn(k)}\{\tau=t_n(k)\}{τ=tn​(k)} at dyadic times.

The first and second are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward either, and alternative proofs of Lemma 6.8, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm, M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Benaïm, Vertex-reinforced random walks and a conjecture of Pemantle, Annals of Probability 25 (1997), 361–392. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1024404292
  • M. Duflo, Random Iterative Models, Applications of Mathematics 34, Springer, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-12880-0
  • H. J. Kushner, D. S. Clark, Stochastic Approximation Methods for Constrained and Unconstrained Systems, Springer, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-9352-8
  • C. Conley, Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 38, AMS, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/038
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 3: Martingale Noise with Bounded q-th Moments and Summable γ_n^(1+q/2) Satisfies Assumption A1 Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion

xn+1−xn=γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}-x_n=\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​−xn​=γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​)

in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, where FFF is a vector field, γn\gamma_nγn​ are small step sizes and Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is noise. Such recursions go back to Robbins and Monro's root-finding scheme (Robbins–Monro 1951) and underlie stochastic gradient descent, temporal-difference learning, adaptive control and learning in games. The ODE method studies them by comparing the iterates with the trajectories of x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x).

Benaïm's lecture notes (Benaïm 1999) organize the ODE method in two steps. A deterministic step, Proposition 4.1, shows that whenever the noise satisfies a condition called A1 (and the iterates are bounded, or FFF is Lipschitz and bounded on a neighbourhood of them), the interpolated process is an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF. A probabilistic step then verifies A1 for concrete noise models. This mission formalizes the first such verification, Proposition 4.2: martingale difference noise with bounded qqq-th moments and step sizes with ∑nγn1+q/2<∞\sum_n\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑n​γn1+q/2​<∞. The result is described as a particular case of a general theorem of Métivier and Priouret (1987); the same estimates reappear later in the notes.

Setting

Let {γn}n≥1\{\gamma_n\}_{n\ge1}{γn​}n≥1​ be a deterministic sequence with γn≥0\gamma_n\ge0γn​≥0, ∑nγn=∞\sum_n\gamma_n=\infty∑n​γn​=∞ and γn→0\gamma_n\to0γn​→0 (a step sequence). Put τ0=0\tau_0=0τ0​=0, τn=∑i=1nγi\tau_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\gamma_iτn​=∑i=1n​γi​, and let

m(t)=sup⁡{k≥0: t≥τk}m(t)=\sup\{k\ge0:\ t\ge\tau_k\}m(t)=sup{k≥0: t≥τk​}

be the index of the step that contains time t≥0t\ge0t≥0. For a sequence {Un}n≥1\{U_n\}_{n\ge1}{Un​}n≥1​ define the piecewise constant processes Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1\bar U(t)=U_{m(t)+1}Uˉ(t)=Um(t)+1​ and γˉ(t)=γm(t)+1\bar\gamma(t)=\gamma_{m(t)+1}γˉ​(t)=γm(t)+1​, so that step n+1n+1n+1 occupies the time interval [τn,τn+1)[\tau_n,\tau_{n+1})[τn​,τn+1​) of length γn+1\gamma_{n+1}γn+1​.

Assumption A1 asks that for every T>0T>0T>0

lim⁡n→∞sup⁡{∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥: k=n+1,…,m(τn+T)}=0,\lim_{n\to\infty}\sup\Big\{\Big\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\|:\ k=n+1,\dots,m(\tau_n+T)\Big\}=0,n→∞lim​sup{​i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​​: k=n+1,…,m(τn​+T)}=0,

or, in the form the notes call equivalent, lim⁡t→∞Δ(t,T)=0\lim_{t\to\infty}\Delta(t,T)=0limt→∞​Δ(t,T)=0 for every T>0T>0T>0, where

Δ(t,T)=sup⁡0≤h≤T∥∫tt+hUˉ(s) ds∥.\Delta(t,T)=\sup_{0\le h\le T}\Big\|\int_t^{t+h}\bar U(s)\,ds\Big\|.Δ(t,T)=0≤h≤Tsup​​∫tt+h​Uˉ(s)ds​.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space with a nondecreasing sequence {Fn}\{\mathcal F_n\}{Fn​} of sub-σ\sigmaσ-algebras, and F:Rd→RdF:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^dF:Rd→Rd continuous. A sequence {xn}\{x_n\}{xn​} given by the recursion above is a Robbins–Monro algorithm if γ\gammaγ is deterministic, UnU_nUn​ is Fn\mathcal F_nFn​-measurable, and E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4.2

For a Robbins–Monro algorithm and some real q≥2q\ge2q≥2, if

sup⁡nE(∥Un+1∥q)<∞and∑nγn1+q/2<∞,\sup_nE\big(\|U_{n+1}\|^q\big)<\infty\qquad\text{and}\qquad\sum_n\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty,nsup​E(∥Un+1​∥q)<∞andn∑​γn1+q/2​<∞,

then with probability one the realised noise sequence satisfies A1, in both of its forms, simultaneously for all T>0T>0T>0.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (13), an instance of Burkholder's inequality with a universal constant CqC_qCq​:
E{sup⁡n<k≤m(τn+T)∥∑i=nk−1γi+1Ui+1∥q}≤Cq E{[∑i=nm(τn+T)−1γi+12∥Ui+1∥2]q/2}.E\Big\{\sup_{n<k\le m(\tau_n+T)}\Big\|\sum_{i=n}^{k-1}\gamma_{i+1}U_{i+1}\Big\|^q\Big\}\le C_q\,E\Big\{\Big[\sum_{i=n}^{m(\tau_n+T)-1}\gamma_{i+1}^2\|U_{i+1}\|^2\Big]^{q/2}\Big\}.E{n<k≤m(τn​+T)sup​​i=n∑k−1​γi+1​Ui+1​​q}≤Cq​E{[i=n∑m(τn​+T)−1​γi+12​∥Ui+1​∥2]q/2}.
  1. Inequality (14), for finite families with αi≥0\alpha_i\ge0αi​≥0, u>1u>1u>1, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1:
(∑i∣αiβi∣)u≤(∑iαiδu/(u−1))u−1∑iαi(1−δ)u∣βi∣u.\Big(\sum_i|\alpha_i\beta_i|\Big)^u\le\Big(\sum_i\alpha_i^{\delta u/(u-1)}\Big)^{u-1}\sum_i\alpha_i^{(1-\delta)u}|\beta_i|^u.(i∑​∣αi​βi​∣)u≤(i∑​αiδu/(u−1)​)u−1i∑​αi(1−δ)u​∣βi​∣u.
  1. Eq. (16): for every T>0T>0T>0 there is C(q,T)C(q,T)C(q,T) with E(Δ(t,T)q)≤C(q,T)∫tt+Tγˉq/2(s) dsE(\Delta(t,T)^q)\le C(q,T)\int_t^{t+T}\bar\gamma^{q/2}(s)\,dsE(Δ(t,T)q)≤C(q,T)∫tt+T​γˉ​q/2(s)ds for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  2. Eq. (17): ∑k≥0E(Δ(kT,T)q)<∞\sum_{k\ge0}E(\Delta(kT,T)^q)<\infty∑k≥0​E(Δ(kT,T)q)<∞ for every T>0T>0T>0.
  3. Block comparison: Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T)\Delta(t,T)\le2\Delta(kT,T)+\Delta((k+1)T,T)Δ(t,T)≤2Δ(kT,T)+Δ((k+1)T,T) for kT≤t<(k+1)TkT\le t<(k+1)TkT≤t<(k+1)T.

Significance

Proposition 4.2 is the standard sufficient condition under which the ODE method applies to stochastic gradient-type recursions with martingale noise. With q=2q=2q=2 it covers step sizes with ∑γn2<∞\sum\gamma_n^2<\infty∑γn2​<∞ (for example γn=1/n\gamma_n=1/nγn​=1/n) and noise with bounded variance; larger qqq trades stronger moment assumptions for slower decay of the steps, down to ∑γn1+q/2<∞\sum\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑γn1+q/2​<∞. Combined with Proposition 4.1 it shows that the interpolated process of a Robbins–Monro algorithm with bounded iterates is almost surely an asymptotic pseudotrajectory of the flow of FFF; the limit set theorems of the notes then locate the limit points of the algorithm.

The result is proved in the notes and in the cited literature; it has not, to our knowledge, been machine-checked. A formal proof would supply reusable pieces that Mathlib currently lacks, most notably a Burkholder (or Burkholder–Davis–Gundy) inequality for discrete-time vector martingales in LqL^qLq, and the continuous-time bookkeeping of the step processes Uˉ\bar UUˉ, γˉ\bar\gammaγˉ​ and the noise deviation Δ\DeltaΔ, shared by the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The obvious argument controls each window by Doob's L2L^2L2 maximal inequality and sums over windows. That works for q=2q=2q=2 only. For q>2q>2q>2 the second moment of the window sums is not summable under ∑γn1+q/2<∞\sum\gamma_n^{1+q/2}<\infty∑γn1+q/2​<∞, and one needs an LqL^qLq maximal inequality whose right-hand side is the q/2q/2q/2-th moment of the square function. That inequality, Burkholder's, is not in Mathlib. Converting the square function into the moment bound requires a Hölder-type inequality with tuned exponents, and passing from the discrete sums to Δ(t,T)\Delta(t,T)Δ(t,T) requires handling partial steps at both ends of [t,t+h][t,t+h][t,t+h]. A second subtlety is that A1 quantifies over all T>0T>0T>0: the almost-sure statement must hold on a single event of full probability for every TTT, not on an event that depends on TTT.

Formalization scope

The space is Rd\mathbb R^dRd as EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); time is real; qqq is a real number with q≥2q\ge2q≥2, and all powers are real powers of nonnegative quantities. The sequences γ\gammaγ and UUU are indexed by N\mathbb NN, and their values at 000 are unused, as the paper indexes them from 111. The filtration is a Mathlib Filtration ℕ, Un+1U_{n+1}Un+1​ is required to be Fn+1\mathcal F_{n+1}Fn+1​-strongly measurable and integrable, and the martingale difference condition is E(Un+1∣Fn)=0E(U_{n+1}\mid\mathcal F_n)=0E(Un+1​∣Fn​)=0 almost surely. Expectations of nonnegative quantities, the suprema in A1 and Δ\DeltaΔ, and the moment bound are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no default value of a non-integrable expectation or of an empty supremum can make a statement hold vacuously; the supremum over an empty range of kkk is 000.

The following readings are excluded and are not acceptable formalizations: a moment hypothesis that holds vacuously, a conditional expectation hypothesis on non-integrable noise, the conclusion "for each TTT, A1 holds almost surely" in place of "almost surely, A1 holds for all TTT", and qqq fixed to 222 or restricted to integers.

All hypotheses are satisfiable: U=0U=0U=0, x=0x=0x=0, F=0F=0F=0 and γn=1/n\gamma_n=1/nγn​=1/n with q=2q=2q=2 satisfy every one of them.

Contributions welcome: a general Burkholder inequality for discrete-time martingales in finite-dimensional spaces (reusable well beyond this mission), lemmas on the step processes and Δ\DeltaΔ (measurability, local integrability, additivity), and the proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm and M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218617
  • M. Métivier and P. Priouret, Théorèmes de convergence presque sûre pour une classe d'algorithmes stochastiques à pas décroissant, Probability Theory and Related Fields 74 (1987), 403–428.
  • D. L. Burkholder, Distribution function inequalities for martingales, Annals of Probability 1 (1973), 19–42. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176997023
  • D. W. Stroock, Probability Theory: An Analytic View, Cambridge University Press, 1993.
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951), 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
  • H. J. Kushner and G. G. Yin, Stochastic Approximation Algorithms and Applications, Springer, 1997.
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

Every Odd Number Greater Than 1 is the Sum of at Most 351 PrimesResearch Paper

Motivation

Schnirelmann showed around 1930, by elementary means, that some absolute constant kkk makes every integer n>1n > 1n>1 a sum of at most kkk primes. For odd nnn:

  • Schnirelmann (1930s): some finite kkk, by elementary methods.
  • Vinogradov (1937): every sufficiently large odd integer is a sum of three primes.
  • Ramaré (1995): every even integer is a sum of at most six primes, so every odd n>1n > 1n>1 is a sum of at most seven. (Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa, 1995)
  • Tao (2014): at most five primes. (arXiv:1201.6656)
  • Helfgott (2013): every odd n>5n > 5n>5 is a sum of three primes. (arXiv:1312.7748)

The campaign's first proved value, 100 001100\,001100001, came from Schnirelmann's method with every constant written out. This entry records a sharper value, 351351351, from the same elementary circle of ideas.

Setting

A representation of nnn as a sum of at most kkk primes is a finite multiset of primes summing to nnn with at most kkk elements counted with multiplicity. The Schnirelmann density of A⊆Z≥0A \subseteq \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}A⊆Z≥0​ is σ(A)=inf⁡N≥1∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N\sigma(A) = \inf_{N \ge 1} |A \cap \{1, \dots, N\}|/Nσ(A)=infN≥1​∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N (Mathlib: schnirelmannDensity).

Formalization target

Goal

∀n∈N,n odd, n>1  ⟹  ∃ s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤351, ∑s=n.\forall n \in \mathbb{N},\quad n \text{ odd},\ n > 1 \implies \exists\, s \text{ multiset of primes},\ |s| \le 351,\ \textstyle\sum s = n.∀n∈N,n odd, n>1⟹∃s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤351, ∑s=n.

This is the campaign template with the value 351351351 filled in. The source proves the stronger statement that every odd n≥703n \ge 703n≥703 is a sum of exactly 351351351 primes; the at-most form for all odd n>1n > 1n>1 follows.

How the bound arises

It uses the same density estimate as the companion 485485485 entry, σ(A)≥1/175\sigma(A) \ge 1/175σ(A)≥1/175 for A=B+BA = B + BA=B+B with B={(p−3)/2:p odd prime}B = \{(p-3)/2 : p \text{ odd prime}\}B={(p−3)/2:p odd prime} (explicit Selberg sieve, weighted first moment, eighth moment of the singular-series factor, Hölder). It then replaces Schnirelmann's sumset inequality by Mann's theorem, σ(D+E)≥min⁡{1,σ(D)+σ(E)}\sigma(D + E) \ge \min\{1, \sigma(D) + \sigma(E)\}σ(D+E)≥min{1,σ(D)+σ(E)} for sets containing 000:

  1. Mann's theorem gives 175A=Z≥0175A = \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}175A=Z≥0​, so 350B=Z≥0350B = \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}350B=Z≥0​.
  2. For odd n≥3K=1053n \ge 3K = 1053n≥3K=1053, write (n−3K)/2(n - 3K)/2(n−3K)/2 as a sum of 350350350 elements of BBB and add one more 333, giving K=351K = 351K=351 primes.
  3. For 703≤n<1053703 \le n < 1053703≤n<1053, use n−2Kn - 2Kn−2K threes and 3K−n3K - n3K−n twos.

Significance

The bound is far weaker than Tao's 555 or Helfgott's 333, but it rests on an elementary argument with no "sufficiently large" threshold and no prime number theorem, so it is a realistic target for a complete formalization and a large step down from 100 001100\,001100001. Reusable components:

  1. Explicit Chebyshev-type lower bound for π(y)\pi(y)π(y).
  2. Explicit Selberg upper-bound sieve for r(s)r(s)r(s) with threshold e100e^{100}e100.
  3. The eighth-moment bound ∑s≤xC(s)8≤800 000 x\sum_{s \le x} C(s)^8 \le 800\,000\,x∑s≤x​C(s)8≤800000x.
  4. Mann's theorem (αβ\alpha\betaαβ theorem) on Schnirelmann density.

Formalization scope

The Lean statement is the campaign template verbatim with 351351351 in place of the value. Mathlib already has schnirelmannDensity, the Λ² Selberg sieve setup (Mathlib/NumberTheory/SelbergSieve.lean) and central-binomial bounds.

Selected references

  • P. Pollack, Not Always Buried Deep, AMS, 2009, Chapter 6, §6. https://www.pollack-math.net/NABDofficial.pdf
  • K. S. Kedlaya, Notes on Analytic Number Theory, Chapter 13, "The Selberg sieve". https://kskedlaya.org/ant/chap-selberg.html
  • O. Ramaré, On Šnirel'man's constant, Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa (4) 22 (1995), 645–706.
  • T. Tao, Every odd number greater than 1 is the sum of at most five primes, Math. Comp. 83 (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.6656
  • H. A. Helfgott, The ternary Goldbach conjecture is true, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.7748
  • Explicit improvement of the 100 001100\,001100001 constant (unpublished AI-assisted calculation, October 2026). Source of the constant 351351351; not peer reviewed.
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

Every Odd Number Greater Than 1 is the Sum of at Most 485 PrimesResearch Paper

Motivation

Schnirelmann showed around 1930, by elementary means, that some absolute constant kkk makes every integer n>1n > 1n>1 a sum of at most kkk primes. For odd nnn:

  • Schnirelmann (1930s): some finite kkk, by elementary methods.
  • Vinogradov (1937): every sufficiently large odd integer is a sum of three primes.
  • Ramaré (1995): every even integer is a sum of at most six primes, so every odd n>1n > 1n>1 is a sum of at most seven. (Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa, 1995)
  • Tao (2014): at most five primes. (arXiv:1201.6656)
  • Helfgott (2013): every odd n>5n > 5n>5 is a sum of three primes. (arXiv:1312.7748)

The campaign's first proved value, 100 001100\,001100001, came from Schnirelmann's method with every constant written out. This entry records a sharper value, 485485485, from the same elementary circle of ideas.

Setting

A representation of nnn as a sum of at most kkk primes is a finite multiset of primes summing to nnn with at most kkk elements counted with multiplicity. The Schnirelmann density of A⊆Z≥0A \subseteq \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}A⊆Z≥0​ is σ(A)=inf⁡N≥1∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N\sigma(A) = \inf_{N \ge 1} |A \cap \{1, \dots, N\}|/Nσ(A)=infN≥1​∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N (Mathlib: schnirelmannDensity).

Formalization target

Goal

∀n∈N,n odd, n>1  ⟹  ∃ s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤485, ∑s=n.\forall n \in \mathbb{N},\quad n \text{ odd},\ n > 1 \implies \exists\, s \text{ multiset of primes},\ |s| \le 485,\ \textstyle\sum s = n.∀n∈N,n odd, n>1⟹∃s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤485, ∑s=n.

This is the campaign template with the value 485485485 filled in. The source proves the stronger statement that every odd n≥971n \ge 971n≥971 is a sum of exactly 485485485 primes; the at-most form for all odd n>1n > 1n>1 follows.

How the bound arises

It keeps the explicit Selberg sieve and Schnirelmann's original sumset inequality from the 100 001100\,001100001 entry, and improves only the density estimate:

  1. Lower sieve threshold. With z=s/(log⁡s)2z = \sqrt{s}/(\log s)^2z=s​/(logs)2 the sieve gives r(s)≤13 C(s) s/(log⁡s)2r(s) \le 13\,C(s)\,s/(\log s)^2r(s)≤13C(s)s/(logs)2 for even s≥e100s \ge e^{100}s≥e100, where C(s)=∏p∣s(1+p/(p−1)2)C(s) = \prod_{p \mid s}\bigl(1 + p/(p-1)^2\bigr)C(s)=∏p∣s​(1+p/(p−1)2).
  2. Weighted first moment. Counting over the whole triangle p+q≤xp + q \le xp+q≤x and weighting by (log⁡s)2/s(\log s)^2/s(logs)2/s gives ∑e100<s≤xr(s)(log⁡s)2/s≥43100x\sum_{e^{100} < s \le x} r(s)(\log s)^2/s \ge \tfrac{43}{100}x∑e100<s≤x​r(s)(logs)2/s≥10043​x for x≥e200x \ge e^{200}x≥e200.
  3. Eighth moment of CCC. An Euler-product estimate (primes 3,5,73, 5, 73,5,7 handled individually, the tail bounded at once) gives ∑s≤x, 2∣sC(s)8≤800 000 x\sum_{s \le x,\, 2 \mid s} C(s)^8 \le 800\,000\,x∑s≤x,2∣s​C(s)8≤800000x.
  4. Hölder instead of Cauchy–Schwarz. This yields #{s≤x:r(s)>0}≥x/345\#\{s \le x : r(s) > 0\} \ge x/345#{s≤x:r(s)>0}≥x/345 for x≥e200x \ge e^{200}x≥e200, and with Chebyshev's bound for smaller scales, σ(A)≥1/175\sigma(A) \ge 1/175σ(A)≥1/175 for A=B+BA = B + BA=B+B, B={(p−3)/2}B = \{(p-3)/2\}B={(p−3)/2}.
  5. Schnirelmann's inequality with m=121m = 121m=121 (since (174/175)121<1/2(174/175)^{121} < 1/2(174/175)121<1/2) gives 242A=Z≥0242A = \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}242A=Z≥0​, hence K=4m+1=485K = 4m + 1 = 485K=4m+1=485.

Only Chebyshev-type prime bounds, the Selberg upper-bound sieve, Hölder's inequality and Schnirelmann's inequality are used.

Significance

The bound is far weaker than Tao's 555 or Helfgott's 333, but it rests on an elementary argument with no "sufficiently large" threshold and no prime number theorem, so it is a realistic target for a complete formalization and a large step down from 100 001100\,001100001. Reusable components:

  1. Explicit Chebyshev-type lower bound for π(y)\pi(y)π(y).
  2. Explicit Selberg upper-bound sieve for r(s)r(s)r(s) with threshold e100e^{100}e100.
  3. The eighth-moment bound ∑s≤xC(s)8≤800 000 x\sum_{s \le x} C(s)^8 \le 800\,000\,x∑s≤x​C(s)8≤800000x.
  4. Schnirelmann's inequality σ(D+E)≥σ(D)+σ(E)−σ(D)σ(E)\sigma(D+E) \ge \sigma(D)+\sigma(E)-\sigma(D)\sigma(E)σ(D+E)≥σ(D)+σ(E)−σ(D)σ(E).

Formalization scope

The Lean statement is the campaign template verbatim with 485485485 in place of the value. Mathlib already has schnirelmannDensity, the Λ² Selberg sieve setup (Mathlib/NumberTheory/SelbergSieve.lean) and central-binomial bounds.

Selected references

  • P. Pollack, Not Always Buried Deep, AMS, 2009, Chapter 6, §6. https://www.pollack-math.net/NABDofficial.pdf
  • K. S. Kedlaya, Notes on Analytic Number Theory, Chapter 13, "The Selberg sieve". https://kskedlaya.org/ant/chap-selberg.html
  • O. Ramaré, On Šnirel'man's constant, Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa (4) 22 (1995), 645–706.
  • T. Tao, Every odd number greater than 1 is the sum of at most five primes, Math. Comp. 83 (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.6656
  • H. A. Helfgott, The ternary Goldbach conjecture is true, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.7748
  • Explicit improvement of the 100 001100\,001100001 constant (unpublished AI-assisted calculation, October 2026). Source of the constant 485485485; not peer reviewed.
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Number Theory·Captain: xuanji

Every Odd Number Greater Than 1 is the Sum of at Most 973 PrimesResearch Paper

Motivation

Schnirelmann showed around 1930, by elementary means, that some absolute constant kkk makes every integer n>1n > 1n>1 a sum of at most kkk primes. For odd nnn:

  • Schnirelmann (1930s): some finite kkk, by elementary methods.
  • Vinogradov (1937): every sufficiently large odd integer is a sum of three primes.
  • Ramaré (1995): every even integer is a sum of at most six primes, so every odd n>1n > 1n>1 is a sum of at most seven. (Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa, 1995)
  • Tao (2014): at most five primes. (arXiv:1201.6656)
  • Helfgott (2013): every odd n>5n > 5n>5 is a sum of three primes. (arXiv:1312.7748)

The campaign's first proved value, 100 001100\,001100001, came from Schnirelmann's method with every constant written out. This entry records a sharper value, 973973973, from the same elementary circle of ideas.

Setting

A representation of nnn as a sum of at most kkk primes is a finite multiset of primes summing to nnn with at most kkk elements counted with multiplicity. The Schnirelmann density of A⊆Z≥0A \subseteq \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}A⊆Z≥0​ is σ(A)=inf⁡N≥1∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N\sigma(A) = \inf_{N \ge 1} |A \cap \{1, \dots, N\}|/Nσ(A)=infN≥1​∣A∩{1,…,N}∣/N (Mathlib: schnirelmannDensity).

Formalization target

Goal

∀n∈N,n odd, n>1  ⟹  ∃ s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤973, ∑s=n.\forall n \in \mathbb{N},\quad n \text{ odd},\ n > 1 \implies \exists\, s \text{ multiset of primes},\ |s| \le 973,\ \textstyle\sum s = n.∀n∈N,n odd, n>1⟹∃s multiset of primes, ∣s∣≤973, ∑s=n.

This is the campaign template with the value 973973973 filled in. The source proves the stronger statement that every odd n≥1947n \ge 1947n≥1947 is a sum of exactly 973973973 primes; the at-most form for all odd n>1n > 1n>1 follows.

How the bound arises

It keeps the explicit Selberg sieve and Schnirelmann's original sumset inequality from the 100 001100\,001100001 entry, and improves the density estimate:

  1. Lower sieve threshold. With z=s/(log⁡s)2z = \sqrt{s}/(\log s)^2z=s​/(logs)2 the sieve gives r(s)≤13 C(s) s/(log⁡s)2r(s) \le 13\,C(s)\,s/(\log s)^2r(s)≤13C(s)s/(logs)2 for even s≥e100s \ge e^{100}s≥e100.
  2. Weighted first moment of at least 43100x\tfrac{43}{100}x10043​x for x≥e200x \ge e^{200}x≥e200.
  3. Fourth moment of CCC. An Euler-product estimate gives ∑s≤x, 2∣sC(s)4≤400 x\sum_{s \le x,\, 2\mid s} C(s)^4 \le 400\,x∑s≤x,2∣s​C(s)4≤400x.
  4. Hölder then yields σ(A)≥1/350\sigma(A) \ge 1/350σ(A)≥1/350 for A=B+BA = B + BA=B+B, B={(p−3)/2}B = \{(p-3)/2\}B={(p−3)/2}.
  5. Schnirelmann's inequality with m=243m = 243m=243 (the least mmm with (349/350)m<1/2(349/350)^m < 1/2(349/350)m<1/2) gives K=4m+1=973K = 4m + 1 = 973K=4m+1=973.

Significance

The bound is far weaker than Tao's 555 or Helfgott's 333, but it rests on an elementary argument with no "sufficiently large" threshold and no prime number theorem, so it is a realistic target for a complete formalization and a large step down from 100 001100\,001100001. Reusable components:

  1. Explicit Chebyshev-type lower bound for π(y)\pi(y)π(y).
  2. Explicit Selberg upper-bound sieve for r(s)r(s)r(s).
  3. Moment bounds for the singular-series factor C(s)C(s)C(s).
  4. Schnirelmann's inequality σ(D+E)≥σ(D)+σ(E)−σ(D)σ(E)\sigma(D+E) \ge \sigma(D)+\sigma(E)-\sigma(D)\sigma(E)σ(D+E)≥σ(D)+σ(E)−σ(D)σ(E).

Formalization scope

The Lean statement is the campaign template verbatim with 973973973 in place of the value. Mathlib already has schnirelmannDensity, the Λ² Selberg sieve setup (Mathlib/NumberTheory/SelbergSieve.lean) and central-binomial bounds.

Selected references

  • P. Pollack, Not Always Buried Deep, AMS, 2009, Chapter 6, §6. https://www.pollack-math.net/NABDofficial.pdf
  • K. S. Kedlaya, Notes on Analytic Number Theory, Chapter 13, "The Selberg sieve". https://kskedlaya.org/ant/chap-selberg.html
  • O. Ramaré, On Šnirel'man's constant, Ann. Sc. Norm. Super. Pisa (4) 22 (1995), 645–706.
  • T. Tao, Every odd number greater than 1 is the sum of at most five primes, Math. Comp. 83 (2014). https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.6656
  • H. A. Helfgott, The ternary Goldbach conjecture is true, 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.7748
  • Explicit improvement of the 100 001100\,001100001 constant (unpublished AI-assisted calculation, October 2026). Source of the constant 973973973; not peer reviewed.
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Dynamical SystemsOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms 5: If V(Λ) Has Empty Interior for a Lyapunov Function V, Every Internally Chain Transitive Set Lies in ΛResearch Paper

Motivation

A stochastic approximation algorithm is a recursion xn+1=xn+γn+1(F(xn)+Un+1)x_{n+1}=x_n+\gamma_{n+1}\big(F(x_n)+U_{n+1}\big)xn+1​=xn​+γn+1​(F(xn​)+Un+1​) with decreasing steps γn\gamma_nγn​ and noise UnU_nUn​. Stochastic gradient descent, the Robbins–Monro procedure, reinforcement-learning updates and learning dynamics in games all have this form. The ODE method compares such a recursion with the deterministic dynamics x˙=F(x)\dot x=F(x)x˙=F(x). Benaïm's lecture notes (Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, 1999) do this in two steps. First, the limit set of the interpolated process is internally chain transitive for the semiflow of FFF (Theorem 5.7, the subject of mission 1 of this series). Second, internally chain transitive sets are located using properties of the dynamics alone.

The most common tool in the second step is a Lyapounov function: a function that decreases strictly along every trajectory outside a set Λ\LambdaΛ and is constant on Λ\LambdaΛ. Proposition 6.4 of the notes states exactly when such a function forces every internally chain transitive set into Λ\LambdaΛ. It is the step behind the convergence of stochastic gradient algorithms to critical points (Corollary 6.7) and behind convergence results for learning in potential games.

Timeline.

  • Conley (Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS 38, 1978) introduced chain recurrence and the attractor–repeller description of it.
  • Benaïm and Hirsch (J. Dyn. Diff. Eq. 8, 1996) identified limit sets of asymptotic pseudotrajectories with internally chain transitive sets.
  • Benaïm (SIAM J. Control Optim. 34, 1996) developed the dynamical-systems approach to stochastic approximation built on these notions.
  • Bowen (J. Differential Equations 18, 1975) characterized chain transitivity by the absence of proper attractors, the content of Proposition 5.3 of the notes.
  • The 1999 notes state the Lyapounov criterion in the form used here, for semiflows on arbitrary metric spaces.

Setting

Let (M,d)(M,d)(M,d) be a metric space, with no compactness or completeness assumed. A semiflow Φ\PhiΦ on MMM is a continuous map R+×M→M\mathbb R_+\times M\to MR+​×M→M, (t,x)↦Φt(x)(t,x)\mapsto\Phi_t(x)(t,x)↦Φt​(x), with Φ0=Id\Phi_0=\mathrm{Id}Φ0​=Id and Φt+s=Φt∘Φs\Phi_{t+s}=\Phi_t\circ\Phi_sΦt+s​=Φt​∘Φs​.

  • A set AAA is invariant if Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0. For an invariant Λ\LambdaΛ, the restriction Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ is the semiflow Φ\PhiΦ acting on Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • For δ,T>0\delta,T>0δ,T>0, a (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbit from aaa to bbb is a list of points y0,…,yky_0,\dots,y_ky0​,…,yk​ (k≥1k\ge1k≥1) and times t0,…,tk−1≥Tt_0,\dots,t_{k-1}\ge Tt0​,…,tk−1​≥T with d(y0,a)<δd(y_0,a)<\deltad(y0​,a)<δ, d(Φtj(yj),yj+1)<δd(\Phi_{t_j}(y_j),y_{j+1})<\deltad(Φtj​​(yj​),yj+1​)<δ for j<kj<kj<k, and yk=by_k=byk​=b.
  • A set LLL is internally chain transitive if it is nonempty, compact and invariant, and for all a,b∈La,b\in La,b∈L and all δ,T>0\delta,T>0δ,T>0 there is a (δ,T)(\delta,T)(δ,T)-pseudo-orbit of Φ∣L\Phi|LΦ∣L, so with every yi∈Ly_i\in Lyi​∈L, from aaa to bbb.
  • An attractor is a nonempty compact invariant set AAA with a neighbourhood WWW on which dist(Φtx,A)→0\mathrm{dist}(\Phi_t x,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0 uniformly. Its basin is the set of points xxx with dist(Φtx,A)→0\mathrm{dist}(\Phi_t x,A)\to0dist(Φt​x,A)→0.
  • Let Λ⊂M\Lambda\subset MΛ⊂M be compact and invariant. A continuous V:M→RV:M\to\mathbb RV:M→R is a Lyapounov function for Λ\LambdaΛ if t↦V(Φt(x))t\mapsto V(\Phi_t(x))t↦V(Φt​(x)) is constant for x∈Λx\in\Lambdax∈Λ and strictly decreasing for x∉Λx\notin\Lambdax∈/Λ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.4

Let Λ\LambdaΛ be compact invariant and VVV a Lyapounov function for Λ\LambdaΛ, and assume that V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) has empty interior in R\mathbb RR. Then for every internally chain transitive set LLL,

L⊂ΛandV∣L is constant.L\subset\Lambda\qquad\text{and}\qquad V|_L\ \text{is constant}.L⊂ΛandV∣L​ is constant.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 5.2. If UUU is open with compact closure and ΦT(U‾)⊂U\Phi_T(\overline U)\subset UΦT​(U)⊂U for some T>0T>0T>0, there is an attractor A⊂UA\subset UA⊂U whose basin contains U‾\overline UU.
  2. Proposition 5.3. For nonempty Λ\LambdaΛ: internally chain transitive   ⟺  \iff⟺ connected and internally chain recurrent   ⟺  \iff⟺ compact invariant, and Φ∣Λ\Phi|\LambdaΦ∣Λ has no proper attractor.
  3. The claim of the proof of 6.4. For LLL internally chain transitive and v∗=inf⁡LVv^*=\inf_L Vv∗=infL​V: L∩Λ≠∅L\cap\Lambda\ne\emptysetL∩Λ=∅ and v∗=inf⁡L∩ΛVv^*=\inf_{L\cap\Lambda}Vv∗=infL∩Λ​V.
  4. The sublevel step of the proof of 6.4. For every c>v∗c>v^*c>v∗ with c∉V(Λ)c\notin V(\Lambda)c∈/V(Λ), V<cV<cV<c on all of LLL.

Significance

The result. Proposition 6.4 converts a statement about real numbers, that V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) has empty interior, into a statement about dynamics: the chain recurrent behaviour of Φ\PhiΦ is confined to Λ\LambdaΛ. With Theorem 5.7 it gives the following. If Φ\PhiΦ has such a Lyapounov function, then the limit set of any precompact asymptotic pseudotrajectory, in particular of a bounded stochastic approximation process, lies in Λ\LambdaΛ, and VVV is constant on it. When Λ\LambdaΛ is the set of equilibria and V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ) is Lebesgue-null by Sard's theorem, this is the convergence of stochastic gradient algorithms to connected sets of critical points (Corollary 6.7). Remark 6.5 gives a flow on the circle with a strict Lyapounov function, where the circle itself is internally chain transitive. So the empty-interior hypothesis cannot be removed.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, in the notes and in the earlier literature. No machine-checked version of chain recurrence for semiflows on metric spaces, Conley's attractor lemma, or Bowen's characterization of chain transitive sets is known to us. The mission therefore adds the following:

  • a formal definition layer for these notions on Mathlib's Flow;
  • formal proofs of Lemma 5.2 and Proposition 5.3, which are reused across this series (missions 1 and 6);
  • the Lyapounov criterion itself.

Difficulty

The obvious argument does not work. It runs: VVV decreases along trajectories, so along an orbit in LLL the value of VVV must settle on Λ\LambdaΛ. But points of an internally chain transitive set are joined only by pseudo-orbits. At each of the kkk jumps, VVV may increase by an amount that is small but not controlled in number, so monotonicity of VVV along true trajectories says nothing directly about LLL. Remark 6.5 shows that the conclusion is genuinely false without a condition on V(Λ)V(\Lambda)V(Λ). The difficulty is therefore global: pseudo-orbits that climb back up VVV through many small jumps must be excluded using information about the restricted semiflow Φ∣L\Phi|LΦ∣L as a whole, not the monotonicity of VVV along single trajectories. Milestones 1 and 2 are the general facts about chain transitive sets that this requires, and their own proofs involve compactness and uniform-continuity estimates over arbitrarily long pseudo-orbits.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. MMM is any MetricSpace, and the semiflow is Flow ℝ≥0 M.
  • Invariance is equality Φt(A)=A\Phi_t(A)=AΦt​(A)=A for every ttt, not inclusion.
  • Pseudo-orbits have at least one trajectory piece (k≥1k\ge1k≥1), times ≥T\ge T≥T, an exact endpoint, and, in the internal notions, all their points in the set.
  • Nonemptiness. Internally chain transitive and internally chain recurrent sets are nonempty by definition. Accordingly, Proposition 5.3 assumes Λ≠∅\Lambda\neq\emptysetΛ=∅ and Lemma 5.2 assumes U≠∅U\neq\emptysetU=∅.
  • Lyapounov function. The predicate contains the standing assumptions of its definition: Λ\LambdaΛ is compact and invariant, VVV is continuous, V(Φtx)=V(x)V(\Phi_t x)=V(x)V(Φt​x)=V(x) on Λ\LambdaΛ, and t↦V(Φtx)t\mapsto V(\Phi_t x)t↦V(Φt​x) is strictly antitone off Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • Empty interior is interior (V '' Λ) = ∅ in R\mathbb RR, not countability, finiteness or measure zero.
  • Infima are stated with IsGLB, not a real sInf.

The following formalizations are trivializing and are excluded:

  • chains with no jumps, under which every point is chain recurrent;
  • invariance as inclusion;
  • a non-strict decrease condition, under which constant functions are Lyapounov functions and the goal is false;
  • chains of Φ\PhiΦ that leave LLL, a strictly weaker notion;
  • quantifying only over limit sets instead of every internally chain transitive set.

A complete development needs elementary facts about ω-limit sets of points of a compact invariant set: they are nonempty, compact and invariant. It also needs the attractor construction A=⋂t≥0⋃s≥tΦs(U)‾A=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\overline{\bigcup_{s\ge t}\Phi_s(U)}A=⋂t≥0​⋃s≥t​Φs​(U)​ and the open sets {y:x↪δ,Ty}\{y: x\hookrightarrow_{\delta,T}y\}{y:x↪δ,T​y} used in Proposition 5.3. These are reusable for any work on Conley theory. Contributions of any of these lemmas, or of proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. Benaïm, Dynamics of Stochastic Approximation Algorithms, Séminaire de Probabilités XXXIII, Lecture Notes in Mathematics 1709, Springer, 1999, pp. 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0096509
  • M. Benaïm, M. W. Hirsch, Asymptotic pseudotrajectories and chain recurrent flows, with applications, J. Dynam. Differential Equations 8 (1996), 141–176. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02218613
  • M. Benaïm, A dynamical system approach to stochastic approximations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 34 (1996), 437–472. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012993253534
  • C. Conley, Isolated Invariant Sets and the Morse Index, CBMS Regional Conference Series in Mathematics 38, AMS, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1090/cbms/038
  • R. Bowen, ω-limit sets for Axiom A diffeomorphisms, J. Differential Equations 18 (1975), 333–339. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0396(75)90065-0
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction IX: Average Reward and the Futility of Discounting in Continuing ProblemsTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning formulates control as maximizing reward accumulated over time. For continuing tasks, where interaction never terminates, the standard textbook objective is the discounted return with a discount rate γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1. Chapter 10 of Sutton and Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018), argues that once values are approximated by a function of features rather than stored per state, this objective is the wrong one, and it proposes the average-reward setting, long standard in dynamic programming (Puterman, Markov Decision Processes, 1994), as its replacement.

The central piece of evidence is a short calculation printed in the box The Futility of Discounting in Continuing Problems (p. 254). If one tries to rescue discounting by averaging discounted values over the states the policy actually visits, the resulting objective is a constant multiple of the average reward, so the discount rate has no effect on which policy is preferred. This mission formalizes that calculation together with the definitions of §10.3 that it rests on, and the two exercises of §10.3 that illustrate the differential value (10.13).

Setting

A finite MDP has finite state set S\mathcal SS, finite action set A\mathcal AA, finite reward set R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), a probability distribution over next state and reward for each state–action pair (3.2)–(3.3). Write p(s′∣s,a)=∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)p(s' \mid s, a) = \sum_r p(s', r\mid s,a)p(s′∣s,a)=∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a). A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a \mid s)π(a∣s) is a distribution over actions for each state. It turns the MDP into a Markov chain with transition matrix Pπ(s,s′)=∑aπ(a∣s) p(s′∣s,a)P_\pi(s, s') = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\, p(s'\mid s,a)Pπ​(s,s′)=∑a​π(a∣s)p(s′∣s,a) and expected one-step reward rπ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) rr_\pi(s) = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s',r} p(s',r\mid s,a)\, rrπ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)∑s′,r​p(s′,r∣s,a)r, so that Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}=Pπt(s0,s)\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0=s_0\} = P_\pi^t(s_0,s)Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​}=Pπt​(s0​,s) and E[Rt+1∣S0=s0]=(Pπtrπ)(s0)\mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mid S_0 = s_0] = (P_\pi^t r_\pi)(s_0)E[Rt+1​∣S0​=s0​]=(Pπt​rπ​)(s0​).

A stationary distribution of π\piπ is a probability vector μ\muμ on S\mathcal SS with

∑sμ(s)∑aπ(a∣s) p(s′∣s,a)=μ(s′)for all s′(10.8).\sum_s \mu(s)\sum_a \pi(a\mid s)\,p(s'\mid s,a) = \mu(s') \quad\text{for all } s' \qquad (10.8).s∑​μ(s)a∑​π(a∣s)p(s′∣s,a)=μ(s′)for all s′(10.8).

The average reward of π\piπ is

r(π)=lim⁡h→∞1h∑t=1hE[Rt∣S0,A0:t−1∼π](10.6),r(π)=∑sμπ(s)∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) r(10.7),r(\pi) = \lim_{h\to\infty}\frac1h\sum_{t=1}^h \mathbb E[R_t\mid S_0, A_{0:t-1}\sim\pi] \quad (10.6), \qquad r(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s',r}p(s',r\mid s,a)\,r \quad (10.7),r(π)=h→∞lim​h1​t=1∑h​E[Rt​∣S0​,A0:t−1​∼π](10.6),r(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)a∑​π(a∣s)s′,r∑​p(s′,r∣s,a)r(10.7),

the second form holding when the steady-state distribution μπ(s)=lim⁡t→∞Pr⁡{St=s}\mu_\pi(s) = \lim_{t\to\infty}\Pr\{S_t = s\}μπ​(s)=limt→∞​Pr{St​=s} exists and does not depend on S0S_0S0​ (an ergodic MDP).

The discounted value function is vπγ(s)=Eπ[∑k≥0γkRt+k+1∣St=s]v^\gamma_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_\pi\big[\sum_{k\ge0}\gamma^k R_{t+k+1}\mid S_t = s\big]vπγ​(s)=Eπ​[∑k≥0​γkRt+k+1​∣St​=s], and the objective of the box is

J(π)=∑sμπ(s) vπγ(s).J(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\, v^\gamma_\pi(s).J(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)vπγ​(s).

Finally, the differential value of a state (10.13) is vπ(s)=lim⁡γ→1lim⁡h→∞∑t=0hγt(Eπ[Rt+1∣S0=s]−r(π))v_\pi(s) = \lim_{\gamma\to1}\lim_{h\to\infty}\sum_{t=0}^h\gamma^t\big(\mathbb E_\pi[R_{t+1}\mid S_0 = s] - r(\pi)\big)vπ​(s)=limγ→1​limh→∞​∑t=0h​γt(Eπ​[Rt+1​∣S0​=s]−r(π)).

Formalization targets

Goal: the futility of discounting

For 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, every policy π\piπ and every stationary distribution μπ\mu_\piμπ​ of π\piπ,

J(π)=∑sμπ(s) vπγ(s)=11−γ r(π),J(\pi) = \sum_s \mu_\pi(s)\, v^\gamma_\pi(s) = \frac{1}{1-\gamma}\, r(\pi),J(π)=s∑​μπ​(s)vπγ​(s)=1−γ1​r(π),

and therefore, for a fixed γ\gammaγ and policies π,π′\pi, \pi'π,π′ with their own stationary distributions,

J(π)≤J(π′)  ⟺  r(π)≤r(π′).J(\pi) \le J(\pi') \iff r(\pi) \le r(\pi').J(π)≤J(π′)⟺r(π)≤r(π′).

Milestones

  1. (10.6)–(10.7): if Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}→μ(s)\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0 = s_0\}\to\mu(s)Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​}→μ(s) for all s0,ss_0, ss0​,s, then from every start both lim⁡tE[Rt]\lim_t \mathbb E[R_t]limt​E[Rt​] and the Cesàro limit (10.6) exist and equal the μ\muμ-sum.
  2. (10.8): such a limit μ\muμ is a stationary distribution.
  3. (3.14): vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ satisfies the Bellman equation, the step "(Bellman Eq.)" of the box.
  4. Offset invariance (p. 250): the differential Bellman equations for vπ,qπ,v∗,q∗v_\pi, q_\pi, v_*, q_*vπ​,qπ​,v∗​,q∗​ and the differential TD errors (10.10)–(10.11) are unchanged when all values are shifted by a constant.
  5. Exercise 10.6: for expected rewards 1,0,1,0,…1,0,1,0,\dots1,0,1,0,… from A\mathsf AA and 0,1,0,1,…0,1,0,1,\dots0,1,0,1,… from B\mathsf BB, the average reward is 12\tfrac1221​, the limit (10.7) and a steady-state distribution do not exist, and vπ(A)=14v_\pi(\mathsf A) = \tfrac14vπ​(A)=41​, vπ(B)=−14v_\pi(\mathsf B) = -\tfrac14vπ​(B)=−41​.
  6. Exercise 10.7: in the three-state ring with reward +1+1+1 on arrival in A\mathsf AA, the average reward is 13\tfrac1331​ and the differential values are v(A)=−13v(\mathsf A) = -\tfrac13v(A)=−31​, v(B)=0v(\mathsf B) = 0v(B)=0, v(C)=13v(\mathsf C) = \tfrac13v(C)=31​.

The book prints no answers to Exercises 10.6 and 10.7; the values above were computed for this mission.

Significance

The result itself. The identity shows that the discount rate cannot enter the ranking of policies once performance is measured over the on-policy state distribution: any objective of the form "discounted value averaged over where the policy goes" is the average reward up to a positive factor. The book draws from it the conclusion (p. 253) that γ\gammaγ changes from a problem parameter to a solution-method parameter, and that discounting algorithms with function approximation, which do not optimize this averaged objective, are not guaranteed to optimize average reward either. Milestones 1–2 connect the closed form of r(π)r(\pi)r(π) to its definition as a long-run rate; milestone 4 explains why differential methods determine values only up to an offset; the exercises show that (10.13) gives finite differential values in periodic chains where the differential return (10.9) has no limit.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and elementary, but the book's derivation is informal: it takes the Bellman equation for granted, sums a geometric series of equalities, and leaves implicit which distribution μπ\mu_\piμπ​ is meant and when (10.6) and (10.7) agree. This mission fixes each of those points: vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ is defined from returns, the identity is proved for every stationary distribution, and the ergodicity hypothesis is made the exact limit condition the text states. No machine-checked version of these statements is known to exist; the platform's Markov-chain and average-reward libraries (Puterman's unichain optimality equation, Doeblin convergence) state different results.

Difficulty

The box reads as a chain of equalities, and each individual step is short. The one step that is not algebra is "(Bellman Eq.)": with vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ defined as an expected discounted return, the Bellman equation requires exchanging an infinite sum with a finite expectation and shifting the index of a convergent series, which needs absolute convergence for γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1 and bounded rewards. The final line, which unrolls J=r+γJJ = r + \gamma JJ=r+γJ into a geometric series, is only valid because JJJ is finite. For milestone 1, the book's hypothesis is the existence of an S0S_0S0​-independent limiting distribution, not irreducibility or aperiodicity; replacing it by either would change the statement. The exercises require the iterated limit in (10.13) to be computed explicitly: the inner limit is a periodic series summed in closed form, and the outer limit is a removable singularity at γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.AverageReward. States, actions and rewards are finite; one action set serves every state; the dynamics are the four-argument p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r\mid s,a)p(s′,r∣s,a). Probabilities Pr⁡{St=s∣S0=s0}\Pr\{S_t = s\mid S_0 = s_0\}Pr{St​=s∣S0​=s0​} and E[Rt+1∣S0=s0]\mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mid S_0=s_0]E[Rt+1​∣S0​=s0​] are computed from the matrix powers PπtP_\pi^tPπt​. The discounted value vπγv^\gamma_\pivπγ​ is a real series ∑kγk(Pπkrπ)(s)\sum_k \gamma^k (P_\pi^k r_\pi)(s)∑k​γk(Pπk​rπ​)(s); it is not defined as the solution of the Bellman equation, since that definition would reduce the goal to three lines of algebra. The average reward and JJJ take the state distribution μ\muμ as an explicit argument; the goal holds for every stationary distribution of π\piπ and assumes no ergodicity, which is all the box uses (under ergodicity μπ\mu_\piμπ​ is the unique one). γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0 is allowed. The differential value (10.13) is stated as the existence of both limits with the given value, with γ→1\gamma \to 1γ→1 from below, so no default value of a nonexistent limit can make a statement true. The optimality equations use a nonempty action set. The sum ∑t=1hE[Rt]\sum_{t=1}^h \mathbb E[R_t]∑t=1h​E[Rt​] of (10.6) is written with the index shifted to t=0,…,h−1t = 0,\dots,h-1t=0,…,h−1.

The Lean does not formalize a trajectory probability space: expectations and probabilities are the matrix expressions above, which is what they equal for a Markov chain. The Exercise 10.6 hypothesis constrains expected rewards of one policy, which is all the exercise uses.

Reusable parts: the finite-MDP layer duplicates the one drafted for the other missions of this series and is expected to be merged with it; the Cesàro and stationary-distribution lemmas of milestones 1–2 are general facts about finite Markov chains. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a proof of the goal from milestone 3.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §§10.3–10.4, pp. 249–254. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
  • S. Mahadevan, "Average reward reinforcement learning: foundations, algorithms, and empirical results", Machine Learning 22, 159–195, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00114727
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Linear algebraNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Projection-like Retractions on Matrix Manifolds V: Within Distance σ_m(X̄) of the Stiefel Manifold, the Polar Factor Is the Unique Nearest Orthonormal FrameResearch Paper

Motivation

Optimization problems with orthonormality constraints arise throughout numerical linear algebra and its applications: computing a few eigenvectors or singular vectors, Procrustes problems in statistics and shape analysis, orthogonal factor rotation, independent component analysis, and the orthogonality constraints of electronic-structure calculations. The feasible set of such a problem is the Stiefel manifold of orthonormal mmm-frames in Rn\mathbb R^nRn. Riemannian optimization algorithms on this manifold (Riemannian gradient, Newton and trust-region methods; see Absil, Mahony and Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, 2008) take a step in a tangent direction and then need a retraction: a map that brings the updated point back onto the manifold while agreeing with the geometry to first order.

The most natural way to come back to a constraint set is to take the nearest point. P.-A. Absil and J. Malick, Projection-like retractions on matrix manifolds (SIAM J. Optim. 22(1), 2012; the mission follows the authors' version, HAL hal-00651608v2), show in their Proposition 3.2 that the metric projection onto a smooth submanifold yields a retraction, and then work out the projection explicitly for several matrix manifolds. For the Stiefel manifold, their Proposition 3.4 identifies the projection with a factor of the singular value decomposition, equivalently with the orthonormal factor of the polar decomposition. The paper notes that this result was mentioned without proof in Higham's survey of matrix nearness problems, and gives a proof along the lines of Horn and Johnson, Matrix Analysis, §7.4.

Section 4.5 of the same paper treats a second, "orthographic" retraction on the Stiefel manifold, which corrects a tangent step by a normal vector instead of projecting; for the orthogonal group On\mathbf O_nOn​ (the case m=nm=nm=n) it admits a closed form through a matrix square root (Proposition 4.12).

Setting

Fix natural numbers 1≤m≤n1\le m\le n1≤m≤n. Matrices are real, and Rn×m\mathbb R^{n\times m}Rn×m carries the Frobenius norm

∥X∥2=∑i,jXij2=trace⁡(X⊤X).\|X\|^2=\sum_{i,j}X_{ij}^2=\operatorname{trace}(X^\top X).∥X∥2=i,j∑​Xij2​=trace(X⊤X).

The Stiefel manifold is

Vn,m={X∈Rn×m: X⊤X=Im},V_{n,m}=\{X\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}:\ X^\top X=I_m\},Vn,m​={X∈Rn×m: X⊤X=Im​},

the set of matrices with orthonormal columns; Vn,nV_{n,n}Vn,n​ is the orthogonal group On\mathbf O_nOn​.

The singular values of XXX are σ1(X)≥σ2(X)≥⋯≥σmin⁡{n,m}(X)≥0\sigma_1(X)\ge\sigma_2(X)\ge\dots\ge\sigma_{\min\{n,m\}}(X)\ge0σ1​(X)≥σ2​(X)≥⋯≥σmin{n,m}​(X)≥0, the square roots of the eigenvalues of X⊤XX^\top XX⊤X. A singular value decomposition of XXX is a factorization X=UΣV⊤X=U\Sigma V^\topX=UΣV⊤ with U=[u1,…,un]∈OnU=[u_1,\dots,u_n]\in\mathbf O_nU=[u1​,…,un​]∈On​, V=[v1,…,vm]∈OmV=[v_1,\dots,v_m]\in\mathbf O_mV=[v1​,…,vm​]∈Om​, and Σ∈Rn×m\Sigma\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}Σ∈Rn×m zero off its diagonal, with nonnegative nonincreasing diagonal entries. For Xˉ∈Vn,m\bar X\in V_{n,m}Xˉ∈Vn,m​ every singular value equals 111; in particular σm(Xˉ)=1\sigma_m(\bar X)=1σm​(Xˉ)=1.

A projection of XXX onto Vn,mV_{n,m}Vn,m​ is a point Y∈Vn,mY\in V_{n,m}Y∈Vn,m​ with ∥X−Y∥≤∥X−Z∥\|X-Y\|\le\|X-Z\|∥X−Y∥≤∥X−Z∥ for all Z∈Vn,mZ\in V_{n,m}Z∈Vn,m​. A polar decomposition of XXX is a factorization X=WSX=WSX=WS with W∈Vn,mW\in V_{n,m}W∈Vn,m​ and S∈Rm×mS\in\mathbb R^{m\times m}S∈Rm×m symmetric positive definite.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.4 (p. 10)

Let Xˉ∈Vn,m\bar X\in V_{n,m}Xˉ∈Vn,m​ and let XXX satisfy ∥X−Xˉ∥<σm(Xˉ)\|X-\bar X\|<\sigma_m(\bar X)∥X−Xˉ∥<σm​(Xˉ). For every singular value decomposition X=UΣV⊤X=U\Sigma V^\topX=UΣV⊤,

{ Y: Y is a projection of X onto Vn,m }={∑i=1muivi⊤},\{\,Y:\ Y\text{ is a projection of }X\text{ onto }V_{n,m}\,\}=\Big\{\sum_{i=1}^m u_iv_i^\top\Big\},{Y: Y is a projection of X onto Vn,m​}={i=1∑m​ui​vi⊤​},

and ∑i=1muivi⊤\sum_{i=1}^m u_iv_i^\top∑i=1m​ui​vi⊤​ is the WWW of the polar decomposition X=WSX=WSX=WS: it is the orthonormal factor of every polar decomposition of XXX, and a polar decomposition with this factor exists.

The statement asserts existence, uniqueness and the closed form of the projection on the whole open ball of radius σm(Xˉ)\sigma_m(\bar X)σm​(Xˉ), for whichever singular value decomposition is supplied.

Steps of the proof (milestones)

  1. For Y∈Vn,mY\in V_{n,m}Y∈Vn,m​: ∥X−Y∥2=∥X∥2+m−2trace⁡(Y⊤X)\|X-Y\|^2=\|X\|^2+m-2\operatorname{trace}(Y^\top X)∥X−Y∥2=∥X∥2+m−2trace(Y⊤X).
  2. For every Y∈Vn,mY\in V_{n,m}Y∈Vn,m​, trace⁡(Y⊤X)≤∑i=1mσi\operatorname{trace}(Y^\top X)\le\sum_{i=1}^m\sigma_itrace(Y⊤X)≤∑i=1m​σi​, with equality at Y=∑i=1muivi⊤Y=\sum_{i=1}^m u_iv_i^\topY=∑i=1m​ui​vi⊤​.
  3. If ∥X−Xˉ∥<σm(Xˉ)\|X-\bar X\|<\sigma_m(\bar X)∥X−Xˉ∥<σm​(Xˉ) with Xˉ∈Vn,m\bar X\in V_{n,m}Xˉ∈Vn,m​, then XXX has full rank mmm.
  4. The polar factor of a full-rank matrix is unique (Horn and Johnson, Theorem 7.3.2).

Further items (§4.5)

(S+I)2=I−Ω⊤Ω(4.14)(S+I)^2=I-\Omega^\top\Omega \tag{4.14}(S+I)2=I−Ω⊤Ω(4.14)

for X∈OnX\in\mathbf O_nX∈On​, Ω\OmegaΩ skew-symmetric and SSS symmetric with X+XΩ+XS∈OnX+X\Omega+XS\in\mathbf O_nX+XΩ+XS∈On​; and Proposition 4.12,

R(X,XΩ)=X(Ω+I−Ω⊤Ω),R(X,X\Omega)=X\big(\Omega+\sqrt{I-\Omega^\top\Omega}\big),R(X,XΩ)=X(Ω+I−Ω⊤Ω​),

stated as: S+=−I+I−Ω⊤ΩS_+=-I+\sqrt{I-\Omega^\top\Omega}S+​=−I+I−Ω⊤Ω​ is the unique symmetric correction of smallest Frobenius norm.

Significance

Proposition 3.4 makes the projective retraction on the Stiefel manifold computable from one singular value decomposition of an n×mn\times mn×m matrix, and identifies it with the polar factor, which is also what many numerical codes already compute for re-orthonormalization. Combined with Proposition 3.2 of the paper, it yields a second-order-accurate retraction usable in any Riemannian algorithm on Vn,mV_{n,m}Vn,m​. The same statement is the orthogonal Procrustes problem in the special case of a full-rank target: the nearest orthonormal frame to XXX.

The result is classical and proved; the paper's argument is short but cites two external facts (Weyl's perturbation bound for singular values and the uniqueness of the polar decomposition). To our knowledge no machine-checked proof of the nearest-orthonormal-frame property, of the uniqueness of the polar factor, or of the closed form of Proposition 4.12 exists in Mathlib or on this platform. A formalization produces reusable pieces: the trace inequality over the Stiefel manifold, the uniqueness of the polar decomposition, and the full-rank property near Vn,mV_{n,m}Vn,m​, all of which recur in matrix analysis and in the analysis of Riemannian algorithms.

Difficulty

Existence of a nearest point is easy (the Stiefel manifold is compact), and attainment of the trace bound is a direct computation. The content is in two places. First, the bound trace⁡(Y⊤X)≤∑iσi\operatorname{trace}(Y^\top X)\le\sum_i\sigma_itrace(Y⊤X)≤∑i​σi​ for every Y∈Vn,mY\in V_{n,m}Y∈Vn,m​ requires transporting YYY by the orthogonal factors of the singular value decomposition and bounding diagonal entries of a matrix with orthonormal columns. Second, uniqueness does not follow from the trace argument: when XXX is rank deficient there are many maximizers. Uniqueness needs both a perturbation bound (singular values are 1-Lipschitz in the Frobenius norm, so σm(X)>0\sigma_m(X)>0σm​(X)>0 near Xˉ\bar XXˉ) and the uniqueness of the polar factor, which in turn rests on the uniqueness of the positive-semidefinite square root of X⊤XX^\top XX⊤X. Mathlib has singular values of linear maps and the spectral theorem but, at the pinned revision, neither Weyl's inequality for singular values nor the polar decomposition.

For Proposition 4.12, the printed proof compares only two solutions S±S_\pmS±​ of (4.14), while (4.14) has other symmetric solutions (mixed signs of the square roots, or non-diagonal ones on repeated eigenvalues); minimality must be proved against all of them.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin m) ℝ with the Frobenius norm brought in by open scoped Matrix.Norms.Frobenius. The Stiefel manifold is the set stiefel n m of matrices with Xᵀ * X = 1. Singular values are Mathlib's LinearMap.singularValues of Matrix.toEuclideanLin X, re-indexed to be 1-based as on the page (sv X m is σm(X)\sigma_m(X)σm​(X)). A singular value decomposition is the predicate IsSVD X U S V of display (3.5), and ∑i=1muivi⊤\sum_{i=1}^m u_iv_i^\top∑i=1m​ui​vi⊤​ is U * E * Vᵀ with E the n×mn\times mn×m rectangular identity (frameOfSVD U V). The projection is the set of nearest points, using the published predicate RandomGradFree.Nonsmooth.IsMetricProjection; "exists and is unique" is equality of that set with a singleton. Positive definiteness is Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, which over R\mathbb RR includes symmetry.

Standing assumptions and added hypotheses: m≤nm\le nm≤n is the page's assumption of §3.3; 0<m0<m0<m is added so that σm\sigma_mσm​ is meaningful. The radius is σm(Xˉ)\sigma_m(\bar X)σm​(Xˉ) with strict inequality, kept in that form although its value is 111. Two misprints of the page are corrected in the Lean and kept in the verbatim milestone texts: the display of Proposition 3.4 reads PRr(X)P_{\mathcal R_r}(X)PRr​​(X) for PVn,m(X)P_{V_{n,m}}(X)PVn,m​​(X), and the distance identity reads m2m^2m2 for mmm. The uniqueness of the polar factor is stated for positive semidefinite factors under the rank hypothesis, which contains the positive definite case of Proposition 3.4. The matrix square root of §4.5 is defined through Mathlib's spectral theorem; Proposition 4.12 is stated for every admissible symmetric correction, and is vacuous only when no symmetric correction exists.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the projection is not taken as a hypothesis or chosen by definition; the goal asserts that the nearest-point set equals the singleton of the explicit matrix, for every singular value decomposition supplied, so neither existence nor uniqueness can be assumed away.

Contributions welcome beyond the stated items: Weyl's inequality ∣σi(X)−σi(Y)∣≤∥X−Y∥|\sigma_i(X)-\sigma_i(Y)|\le\|X-Y\|∣σi​(X)−σi​(Y)∣≤∥X−Y∥ in Mathlib's singular-value API, existence of a singular value decomposition in the matrix form (3.5), and the polar decomposition with its uniqueness, all reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • P.-A. Absil and J. Malick, Projection-like retractions on matrix manifolds, SIAM J. Optim. 22(1):135–158, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1137/100802529 ; authors' version https://hal.science/hal-00651608v2
  • P.-A. Absil, R. Mahony and R. Sepulchre, Optimization Algorithms on Matrix Manifolds, Princeton University Press, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400830244
  • R. A. Horn and C. R. Johnson, Matrix Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 1985 (cited by the paper in its 1989 printing) (Theorem 7.3.2, §7.4). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511810817
  • N. J. Higham, Matrix nearness problems and applications, in Applications of Matrix Theory (M. J. C. Gover and S. Barnett, eds.), Oxford University Press, 1989, pp. 1–27 (cited by the paper as [15, §4]; no DOI).
  • A. Edelman, T. A. Arias and S. T. Smith, The geometry of algorithms with orthogonality constraints, SIAM J. Matrix Anal. Appl. 20(2):303–353, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0895479895290954
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationMachine Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 2: A No-Regret Algorithm and a Valid Halfspace Oracle Approach a Compact Convex Set at Rate 2·Regret_T/TResearch Paper

Motivation

Blackwell approachability is the vector-payoff analogue of von Neumann's minimax theorem. In a repeated game where each round's outcome is a vector u(xt,yt)∈Rdu(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^du(xt​,yt​)∈Rd, a player wants the running average of these vectors to converge to a target set SSS, whatever the opponent does. Blackwell (1956) showed when this is possible, and approachability has since become a standard tool for calibrated forecasting, regret minimization with respect to general benchmarks, and learning in games.

Online linear optimization (OLO) is the problem of choosing points θt\theta_tθt​ in a fixed decision set K\mathcal KK against a sequence of linear losses ⟨ft,⋅⟩\langle f_t, \cdot\rangle⟨ft​,⋅⟩, with performance measured by regret against the best fixed point in hindsight. Algorithms with regret o(T)o(T)o(T) — "no-regret" algorithms such as online gradient descent (Zinkevich, 2003) — are among the most studied objects of machine learning.

Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan (COLT 2011) showed that the two problems are algorithmically equivalent: each can be converted into the other with explicit control of the rates. This mission covers the direction from OLO to approachability.

Timeline:

  • 1956: Blackwell proves the approachability theorem for convex sets, via a geometric projection strategy.
  • 2003: Zinkevich introduces online gradient descent, a no-regret algorithm for any bounded convex decision set.
  • 2009: Even-Dar, Kleinberg, Mannor and Mansour state approachability in the response-satisfiability form (as cited on p. 32 of the 2011 paper).
  • 2011: Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan give the two reductions, with explicit rates, and apply them to efficient calibration.

Setting

A Blackwell instance (X,Y,u,S)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u, S)(X,Y,u,S) consists of compact convex sets X⊆Rn\mathcal X \subseteq \mathbb R^nX⊆Rn, Y⊆Rm\mathcal Y \subseteq \mathbb R^mY⊆Rm, a payoff u:X×Y→Rdu : \mathcal X \times \mathcal Y \to \mathbb R^du:X×Y→Rd that is affine in each argument (biaffine), and a closed convex target set S⊆RdS \subseteq \mathbb R^dS⊆Rd. Write dist(z,U)=inf⁡w∈U∥z−w∥\mathtt{dist}(z, U) = \inf_{w \in U}\|z - w\|dist(z,U)=infw∈U​∥z−w∥ for the Euclidean distance to a set, and B2(r)B_2(r)B2​(r) for the closed Euclidean ball of radius rrr.

A halfspace oracle takes a halfspace H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c}H = \{z : \langle a, z\rangle \le c\}H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c} and returns a point O(H)∈X\mathcal O(H) \in \mathcal XO(H)∈X; it is valid if for every halfspace H⊇SH \supseteq SH⊇S, u(O(H),y)∈Hu(\mathcal O(H), y) \in Hu(O(H),y)∈H for all y∈Yy \in \mathcal Yy∈Y.

A set X⊆RdX \subseteq \mathbb R^dX⊆Rd is a cone if αz∈X\alpha z \in Xαz∈X for all z∈Xz \in Xz∈X, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. For K⊆RdK \subseteq \mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}\mathtt{cone}(K) = \{\alpha x : \alpha \ge 0, x \in K\}cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}, and the polar cone of CCC is C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}C^0 = \{\theta : \langle \theta, x\rangle \le 0 \ \forall x \in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}.

An OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL maps past loss vectors (f1,…,ft−1)(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})(f1​,…,ft−1​) to a point θt∈K\theta_t \in \mathcal Kθt​∈K, and its regret is

RegretT=∑t=1T⟨ft,θt⟩−min⁡θ∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,θ⟩.\mathrm{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta_t\rangle - \min_{\theta \in \mathcal K} \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta\rangle .RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θt​⟩−θ∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θ⟩.

Algorithm 2 runs L\mathcal LL on K=S0∩B2(1)\mathcal K = S^0 \cap B_2(1)K=S0∩B2​(1) when SSS is a cone: at round ttt it sets θt=L(f1,…,ft−1)\theta_t = \mathcal L(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})θt​=L(f1​,…,ft−1​), plays xt=O({z:⟨θt,z⟩≤0})x_t = \mathcal O(\{z : \langle \theta_t, z\rangle \le 0\})xt​=O({z:⟨θt​,z⟩≤0}), observes yt∈Yy_t \in \mathcal Yyt​∈Y, and feeds ft=−u(xt,yt)f_t = -u(x_t, y_t)ft​=−u(xt​,yt​) back to L\mathcal LL.

When SSS is compact but not a cone, it is lifted: with κ=max⁡s∈S∥s∥\kappa = \max_{s\in S}\|s\|κ=maxs∈S​∥s∥ and κ⊕z∈Rd+1\kappa \oplus z \in \mathbb R^{d+1}κ⊕z∈Rd+1 the concatenation, put u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y)u'(x, y) = \kappa \oplus u(x, y)u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y) and S′=cone({κ}×S)S' = \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\} \times S)S′=cone({κ}×S), and run Algorithm 2 on (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′).

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 18 (p. 39)

For a Blackwell instance with SSS nonempty and compact, any valid halfspace oracle for the lifted instance, any OLO algorithm with values in K′=(S′)0∩B2(1)\mathcal K' = (S')^0 \cap B_2(1)K′=(S′)0∩B2​(1), any T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and any y1,…,yT∈Yy_1, \dots, y_T \in \mathcal Yy1​,…,yT​∈Y, the run of Algorithm 2 on the lifted instance satisfies

dist(1T∑t=1Tu(xt,yt),S)≤2 dist(1T∑t=1Tu′(xt,yt),S′)≤2T RegretT.\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,y_t), S\Big) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u'(x_t,y_t), S'\Big) \le \frac2T\,\mathrm{Regret}_T .dist(T1​t=1∑T​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤2dist(T1​t=1∑T​u′(xt​,yt​),S′)≤T2​RegretT​.

The bound holds for every TTT and every adversary, with no rate assumed for L\mathcal LL; a no-regret L\mathcal LL then gives approachability.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 13 (p. 35): for a nonempty convex cone CCC, dist(x,C)=max⁡θ∈C0∩B2(1)⟨θ,x⟩\mathtt{dist}(x, C) = \max_{\theta \in C^0 \cap B_2(1)} \langle \theta, x\rangledist(x,C)=maxθ∈C0∩B2​(1)​⟨θ,x⟩.
  2. Theorem 17 (p. 38): if SSS is a cone, Algorithm 2 achieves dist(1T∑tu(xt,yt),S)≤Regret(LK;f1:T)/T\mathtt{dist}\big(\frac1T\sum_t u(x_t,y_t), S\big) \le \mathrm{Regret}(\mathcal L_{\mathcal K}; f_{1:T})/Tdist(T1​∑t​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤Regret(LK​;f1:T​)/T.
  3. Lemma 14 (p. 35): for nonempty compact convex K\mathcal KK, κ=max⁡K∥⋅∥\kappa = \max_{\mathcal K}\|\cdot\|κ=maxK​∥⋅∥ and x∉Kx \notin \mathcal Kx∈/K, dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2 dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K)) \le \mathtt{dist}(x, \mathcal K) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K))dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K)).

Significance

The result. Corollary 18 turns any no-regret algorithm into an approachability strategy for a compact convex target, provided a valid halfspace oracle is available, with rate 2 RegretT/T2\,\mathrm{Regret}_T/T2RegretT​/T. Combined with online gradient descent it gives an O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​) approachability rate, and through the choice of OLO algorithm it lets approachability inherit the computational efficiency of online learning. The paper uses this route to build an efficient calibrated forecaster (Section 5). Together with the converse reduction (Theorem 16), it shows that the two problems are equivalent.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. Formalizing them requires the conic duality formula for distances (Lemma 13), a quantitative lifting lemma (Lemma 14) and the bookkeeping of an interactive protocol. The proof of Lemma 14 on the page is a sketch: it refers to an undefined point and uses a triangle-similarity argument, so a complete proof is new work.

Difficulty

The reduction's core is Lemma 13: the distance to a cone is a maximum of a linear function over the polar cone's unit ball. Lemma 13 needs projection onto a cone in Euclidean space; for a non-closed cone the projection may not exist, and the argument must go through the closure. The lifting Lemma 14 is a geometric statement whose page proof relies on a picture and an undefined point, so the factor 2 has no complete written argument. Finally, connecting the average lifted payoff to the lift of the average payoff, and the halfspace guarantee ⟨θt,ft⟩≥0\langle\theta_t, f_t\rangle \ge 0⟨θt​,ft​⟩≥0 to the regret, requires keeping the round indexing and the oracle's validity domain exactly aligned.

Formalization scope

All spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The concatenation κ⊕z\kappa\oplus zκ⊕z lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with coordinate 0 equal to κ\kappaκ, so ∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2\|\kappa\oplus z\|^2 = \kappa^2 + \|z\|^2∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2; a product type with the sup norm would change every distance and is ruled out. Distances are Metric.infDist. The polar cone uses the paper's sign (≤0\le 0≤0), the negative of Mathlib's innerDual. A halfspace is the pair (a,c)(a, c)(a,c); a valid oracle must answer every halfspace containing SSS, including a=0a = 0a=0, not only the halfspaces the algorithm happens to query. The OLO algorithm is a map from histories Fin t → ℝᴰ with values in S0∩B2(1)S^0 \cap B_2(1)S0∩B2​(1) at every history. Rounds are t=1,…,Tt = 1, \dots, Tt=1,…,T, and the run of Algorithm 2 is given as hypotheses on sequences θ,x,f\theta, x, fθ,x,f, which exist and are unique by recursion. The minimum in the regret and κ\kappaκ are written as sInf/sSup of images over nonempty compact sets, where they are attained.

Hypotheses added relative to the page: S≠∅S \neq \emptysetS=∅ and T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 in the goal; C≠∅C \ne \emptysetC=∅ in Lemma 13 (the empty set is a cone under Definition 11 and the identity fails for it); K≠∅\mathcal K \ne \emptysetK=∅ in Lemma 14. Corrected misprints, each disclosed in the item's note: "RegretT(A)\mathrm{Regret}_T(\mathcal A)RegretT​(A)" in Corollary 18 and (9) denotes the regret of the OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL on the lifted losses; Lemma 14's "K⊆H\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal HK⊆H" has a stray H\mathcal HH; κ\kappaκ is the maximal norm of the set, not its diameter. The oracle in the goal is a valid oracle for the lifted instance, which is what applying Algorithm 2 to (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′) requires.

A formalization in which the oracle is valid only at the run's own queries, the OLO algorithm is unconstrained, the regret's minimum ranges over all of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, or the middle term of the goal is dropped, is a different statement and is ruled out.

The development needs: the dual formula for the distance to a convex cone, nearest-point projection onto closed convex sets (in Mathlib), compactness of polar-cone slices, and finite sums of biaffine payoffs. The cone layer (Lemma 13) is reusable for the converse direction of the paper and for conic duality generally. Proofs of any milestone, and of the bridge from an oracle for the original instance to one for the lifted instance, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Abernethy, P. L. Bartlett, E. Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, JMLR W&CP 19 (COLT 2011), pp. 27–46. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v19/abernethy11b.html
  • D. Blackwell, An analog of the minimax theorem for vector payoffs, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 6(1), 1956, pp. 1–8. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1956.6.1
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.aaai.org/Papers/ICML/2003/ICML03-120.pdf
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Linear algebraMachine LearningMarkov Chain+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction VIII: The TD Fixed Point of Linear Semi-gradient TD(0) and Its Error BoundTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning methods estimate the value function vπv_\pivπ​ of a policy π\piπ: the expected discounted sum of future rewards from each state. When the state space is large, vπv_\pivπ​ cannot be stored as a table and is approximated by a parametrized function. The most studied case is linear function approximation, where each state sss carries a feature vector x(s)∈Rd\mathbf x(s) \in \mathbb R^dx(s)∈Rd and the estimate is v^(s,w)=w⊤x(s)\hat v(s, \mathbf w) = \mathbf w^\top \mathbf x(s)v^(s,w)=w⊤x(s). Temporal-difference learning with this approximation, linear semi-gradient TD(0), is one of the basic algorithms of the field, and Chapter 9 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018) presents its analysis: where the algorithm can converge, why that point exists, and how good it is.

The history is short. Sutton (1988, doi:10.1007/BF00115009) introduced TD learning and showed positive definiteness of the matrix governing its expected update. Dayan (1992, doi:10.1007/BF00992701) extended convergence to TD(λ). Tsitsiklis and Van Roy (1997, doi:10.1109/9.580874) proved convergence with probability one for linear TD(λ) under on-policy sampling and bounded the error of the limit. Bradtke and Barto (1996) introduced least-squares TD (LSTD), which computes the same limit directly.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has finite sets of states S\mathcal SS, actions A\mathcal AA and rewards R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R, and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), the probability of next state s′s's′ and reward rrr after action aaa in state sss. A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a \mid s)π(a∣s) is a probability distribution over actions for each state. It induces a Markov chain on states with transition matrix P\mathbf PP, P(s,s′)=p(s′∣s)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)\mathbf P(s, s') = p(s' \mid s) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s) \sum_r p(s', r \mid s, a)P(s,s′)=p(s′∣s)=∑a​π(a∣s)∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a), and expected one-step reward rπ(s)r_\pi(s)rπ​(s). For a discount rate 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, the true value is vπ(s)=∑k≥0γk(Pkrπ)(s)v_\pi(s) = \sum_{k \ge 0} \gamma^k (\mathbf P^k r_\pi)(s)vπ​(s)=∑k≥0​γk(Pkrπ​)(s), the expected discounted return.

A state distribution μ\muμ is stationary if μ⊤P=μ⊤\mu^\top \mathbf P = \mu^\topμ⊤P=μ⊤; write D=diag(μ)\mathbf D = \mathrm{diag}(\mu)D=diag(μ). The feature matrix X\mathbf XX is the ∣S∣×d|\mathcal S| \times d∣S∣×d matrix with rows x(s)\mathbf x(s)x(s). The mean square value error of a weight vector is

VE‾(w)=∑sμ(s) [vπ(s)−w⊤x(s)]2.\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w) = \sum_{s} \mu(s)\,[v_\pi(s) - \mathbf w^\top \mathbf x(s)]^2 .VE(w)=s∑​μ(s)[vπ​(s)−w⊤x(s)]2.

Linear semi-gradient TD(0) updates wt+1=wt+α(Rt+1+γwt⊤xt+1−wt⊤xt)xt\mathbf w_{t+1} = \mathbf w_t + \alpha(R_{t+1} + \gamma \mathbf w_t^\top \mathbf x_{t+1} - \mathbf w_t^\top \mathbf x_t)\mathbf x_twt+1​=wt​+α(Rt+1​+γwt⊤​xt+1​−wt⊤​xt​)xt​. In steady state its expected update involves

b=E[Rt+1xt],A=E[xt(xt−γxt+1)⊤],\mathbf b = \mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mathbf x_t], \qquad \mathbf A = \mathbb E[\mathbf x_t(\mathbf x_t - \gamma \mathbf x_{t+1})^\top],b=E[Rt+1​xt​],A=E[xt​(xt​−γxt+1​)⊤],

and the TD fixed point is wTD=A−1b\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}} = \mathbf A^{-1}\mathbf bwTD​=A−1b. A real square matrix MMM, not necessarily symmetric, is positive definite if y⊤My>0y^\top M y > 0y⊤My>0 for every y≠0y \ne 0y=0. The key matrix is D(I−γP)\mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma\mathbf P)D(I−γP).

Formalization targets

Goal: the TD fixed point exists and its error bound (9.12), (9.14)

Under the hypotheses above, with every μ(s)>0\mu(s) > 0μ(s)>0 and linearly independent feature columns, A\mathbf AA is invertible, b=AwTD\mathbf b = \mathbf A \mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}b=AwTD​, and

VE‾(wTD)≤11−γmin⁡wVE‾(w).\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}) \le \frac{1}{1-\gamma}\min_{\mathbf w} \overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w).VE(wTD​)≤1−γ1​wmin​VE(w).

Milestones

  1. The expected update (9.13): E[wt+1∣wt]=(I−αA)wt+αb\mathbb E[\mathbf w_{t+1} \mid \mathbf w_t] = (\mathbf I - \alpha \mathbf A)\mathbf w_t + \alpha \mathbf bE[wt+1​∣wt​]=(I−αA)wt​+αb.
  2. The matrix form A=X⊤D(I−γP)X\mathbf A = \mathbf X^\top \mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P)\mathbf XA=X⊤D(I−γP)X.
  3. The criterion of Sutton (1988): positive diagonal, nonpositive off-diagonal entries, positive row sums and nonnegative column sums give positive definiteness.
  4. The column sums of the key matrix, 1⊤D(I−γP)=(1−γ)μ⊤\mathbf 1^\top \mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P) = (1-\gamma)\mu^\top1⊤D(I−γP)=(1−γ)μ⊤.
  5. The key matrix and A\mathbf AA are positive definite.
  6. A positive definite A\mathbf AA is invertible and A−1b\mathbf A^{-1}\mathbf bA−1b is the unique solution of b=Aw\mathbf b = \mathbf A \mathbf wb=Aw (9.12).
  7. The Sherman–Morrison update (9.22) of the LSTD inverse A^t−1\hat{\mathbf A}_t^{-1}A^t−1​.

Significance

Positive definiteness of A\mathbf AA is the reason on-policy linear TD(0) is stable: it makes the expected iteration contract toward the fixed point for small step sizes, and it guarantees that the fixed point exists and is unique. The error bound (9.14) quantifies the price of bootstrapping: the limit of TD can be worse than the best linear approximation, but by at most the factor 1/(1−γ)1/(1-\gamma)1/(1−γ). The same objects A\mathbf AA, b\mathbf bb and the key matrix reappear in LSTD, in the analysis of off-policy divergence (Chapter 11 of the book, where D\mathbf DD is no longer the stationary distribution of P\mathbf PP and positive definiteness fails), and in gradient-TD methods.

All results here are known. The book gives the positive definiteness argument in a box and cites (9.14) without proof. None of them has a machine-checked proof on the platform; the general Woodbury identity (FamousTheorems.woodbury_identity) is available, and (9.22) is its rank-one case written for the LSTD recursion. The mission produces a formal account of the finite-state theory of linear TD(0), with every hypothesis the book leaves implicit stated.

Difficulty

The key matrix D(I−γP)\mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P)D(I−γP) is not symmetric, so the usual tools for symmetric positive definite matrices do not apply directly, and A\mathbf AA is positive definite only because of the specific interplay between D\mathbf DD and P\mathbf PP: if μ\muμ is replaced by a non-stationary distribution the claim is false (this is the off-policy counterexample of Chapter 11). The error bound (9.14) is not a consequence of positive definiteness alone. The TD fixed point is not the minimizer of VE‾\overline{\mathrm{VE}}VE, and VE‾(wTD)\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}})VE(wTD​) has to be compared with the error of the μ\muμ-weighted projection of vπv_\pivπ​, which requires controlling P\mathbf PP in the μ\muμ-weighted norm. The book gives no argument for this step.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.LinearTD. The MDP has four-argument dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a) with a finite reward set and one action set for all states; policies are stochastic. vπv_\pivπ​ is defined from expected discounted returns as the series ∑kγkPkrπ\sum_k \gamma^k \mathbf P^k r_\pi∑k​γkPkrπ​, never from a Bellman equation or from wTD\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}wTD​. A\mathbf AA and b\mathbf bb are defined as the book's steady-state expectations (9.11), as finite sums over μ\muμ, π\piπ and ppp; the matrix form is a milestone, not a definition. Features are a matrix Matrix S (Fin d) ℝ with rows x(s)\mathbf x(s)x(s); linear independence of its columns is LinearIndependent ℝ Xᵀ. Positive definiteness is a custom predicate ∀y≠0, 0<y⊤My\forall y \ne 0,\ 0 < y^\top M y∀y=0, 0<y⊤My, not Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, which requires symmetry. The minimum in (9.14) is expressed by quantifying over every w\mathbf ww. The matrix inverse is Mathlib's, which is zero on singular matrices; the goal therefore asserts invertibility of A\mathbf AA explicitly.

Hypotheses the book leaves implicit and the statements make explicit: 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1 (the continuing case); μ\muμ a stationary distribution of the chain induced by π\piπ with μ(s)>0\mu(s) > 0μ(s)>0 for every sss (otherwise the key matrix is only positive semidefinite); linearly independent feature columns (the book's "degenerate cases", p. 205). The box calls the off-diagonal entries of the key matrix "negative"; they are zero wherever p(s′∣s)=0p(s' \mid s) = 0p(s′∣s)=0, so the criterion is stated with nonpositive entries. The book's sentence that εI\varepsilon\mathbf IεI "ensures that A^t\hat{\mathbf A}_tA^t​ is always invertible" (p. 229) is false in general, because the summands xk(xk−γxk+1)⊤\mathbf x_k(\mathbf x_k - \gamma \mathbf x_{k+1})^\topxk​(xk​−γxk+1​)⊤ are not positive semidefinite: with d=1d = 1d=1, ε=1/10\varepsilon = 1/10ε=1/10, γ=1/2\gamma = 1/2γ=1/2, x0=1\mathbf x_0 = 1x0​=1, x1=11/5\mathbf x_1 = 11/5x1​=11/5 one gets A^1=0\hat{\mathbf A}_1 = 0A^1​=0. It is not stated; (9.22) carries invertibility of A^t−1\hat{\mathbf A}_{t-1}A^t−1​ and a nonzero denominator as hypotheses.

A statement in which vπv_\pivπ​ is defined as the solution of the projected equation, or in which A\mathbf AA is assumed invertible or positive definite, would make the goal trivial or empty; neither is done. Convergence of the stochastic algorithm with probability one is not stated, since the book says it needs conditions and a step-size schedule it does not give. The bound for the episodic case and for other bootstrapping methods (p. 208) is stated only by reference in the book and is not a target.

Useful infrastructure: the μ\muμ-weighted inner product and orthogonal projection onto the column space of X\mathbf XX, the non-expansiveness of a stochastic matrix in the norm of its stationary distribution, and the positive definiteness criterion for non-symmetric matrices. All of these are reusable in the off-policy and average-reward chapters of the book. Contributions of these lemmas, and of alternative proofs of the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Richard S. Sutton and Andrew G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §§9.2, 9.4, 9.8.
  • Richard S. Sutton, Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences, Machine Learning 3, 1988. doi:10.1007/BF00115009
  • John N. Tsitsiklis and Benjamin Van Roy, An analysis of temporal-difference learning with function approximation, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 42(5), 1997. doi:10.1109/9.580874
  • Steven J. Bradtke and Andrew G. Barto, Linear least-squares algorithms for temporal difference learning, Machine Learning 22, 1996. doi:10.1007/BF00114723
  • Richard S. Varga, Matrix Iterative Analysis, Prentice-Hall, 1962.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Smoothed Analysis of Algorithms: Why the Simplex Algorithm Usually Takes Polynomial Time 2: The Two-Phase Shadow-Vertex Simplex Method Has Polynomial Smoothed ComplexityResearch Paper

Motivation

The simplex method solves linear programs by moving between vertices of a feasible polyhedron. Its worst-case number of moves can grow exponentially, yet it often performs well on ordinary inputs. Worst-case examples alone therefore give an incomplete account of the method’s behavior. Spielman and Teng introduced smoothed analysis to measure expected performance after small random perturbations of an arbitrary input. Their result for a two-phase shadow-vertex simplex method gives a polynomial bound in the input dimensions and inverse perturbation scale. The pinned preprint is the source for every theorem number and constant in this mission.

The paper separates a geometric result about the expected size of a polytope’s shadow (Theorem 4.0.1) from the algorithmic result here (Theorem 5.0.1). That separation matters: a plane chosen before perturbation and a plane chosen by a running algorithm have different distributions. This mission addresses the latter. It complements the standard-form simplex theorems already formalized in the Introduction to Linear Optimization series and the worst-case Klee–Minty result in the Smale’s Ninth Problem mission; those results concern different algorithms or input models and are context rather than imported statements.

Setting

A linear program is specified by vectors a1,…,an∈Rda_1,\ldots,a_n\in\mathbb R^da1​,…,an​∈Rd, right-hand sides y1,…,yn∈Ry_1,\ldots,y_n\in\mathbb Ry1​,…,yn​∈R, and an objective vector z∈Rdz\in\mathbb R^dz∈Rd:

max⁡x⟨z,x⟩subject to⟨ai,x⟩≤yi(1≤i≤n).\max_x\langle z,x\rangle\quad\text{subject to}\quad \langle a_i,x\rangle\le y_i\qquad(1\le i\le n).xmax​⟨z,x⟩subject to⟨ai​,x⟩≤yi​(1≤i≤n).

The paper’s two-phase shadow-vertex method first draws a collection I\mathcal II of ddd-element subsets of [n][n][n] and chooses one whose constraint matrix AIA_IAI​ has the largest smallest singular value. It sets a power-of-two scale MMM from the input norm and a power-of-two scale κ\kappaκ from that singular value. These determine positive relaxed right-hand sides yi′y'_iyi′​: MMM for i∈Ii\in Ii∈I and dM2/(4κ)\sqrt d M^2/(4\kappa)d​M2/(4κ) otherwise. A coefficient vector α\alphaα is chosen uniformly from A1/d2={α:∑i∈Iαi=1, αi≥1/d2}A_{1/d^2}=\{\alpha:\sum_{i\in I}\alpha_i=1,\ \alpha_i\ge1/d^2\}A1/d2​={α:∑i∈I​αi​=1, αi​≥1/d2}. The first phase solves the relaxed program LP′ from the objective AIαA_I\alphaAI​α.

The second phase uses a lifted program LP⁺ in Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1. For each original constraint it forms ai+=((yi′−yi)/2,ai)a_i^+=((y'_i-y_i)/2,a_i)ai+​=((yi′​−yi​)/2,ai​) and yi+=(yi′+yi)/2y_i^+=(y'_i+y_i)/2yi+​=(yi′​+yi​)/2, together with two artificial constraints at first coordinates 111 and −1-1−1. LP⁺ connects LP′ to the original program and makes infeasibility detectable. Its shadow is taken in the plane of (0,z)(0,z)(0,z) and z+=(1,0,…,0)z^+=(1,0,\ldots,0)z+=(1,0,…,0).

For positive right-hand sides, an optimal polar simplex is a ddd-subset of constraints whose scaled vectors ai/yia_i/y_iai​/yi​ form a facet of ConvHull⁡(0,a1/y1,…,an/yn)\operatorname{ConvHull}(0,a_1/y_1,\ldots,a_n/y_n)ConvHull(0,a1​/y1​,…,an​/yn​) and whose unscaled cone contains an objective qqq. The shadow for objectives t,zt,zt,z is the union of these simplices over all qqq in Span⁡(t,z)\operatorname{Span}(t,z)Span(t,z). Its size bounds the number of polar pivots. In Section 5 the paper writes Sz′S'_zSz′​ for the first-phase shadow size and Sz+S_z^+Sz+​ for the second-phase shadow size without the two artificial pivots.

The input is perturbed by independent Gaussians: each coordinate of aia_iai​ and each yiy_iyi​ has its prescribed center and common standard deviation σR\sigma RσR, where R=max⁡i∥(yˉi,aˉi)∥2R=\max_i\|(\bar y_i,\bar a_i)\|_2R=maxi​∥(yˉ​i​,aˉi​)∥2​. The algorithm has separate random choices of I\mathcal II and α\alphaα.

Formalization targets

The immediate targets bound the two phases: Lemma 5.2.1 gives an explicit expectation bound for Sz′S'_zSz′​ and Lemma 5.3.1 gives one for Sz+S_z^+Sz+​. Lemma 5.1.1 and its corollaries control the chance that the chosen basis has a very small singular value. Corollary 4.3.3 extends the geometric shadow bound to positive, unequal right-hand sides and general Gaussian covariance. These are the mission’s milestone targets.

The goal is the shape of Theorem 5.0.1. With C(A,y,z)=EI,α(Sz′+Sz++2)C(A,y,z)=\mathbb E_{\mathcal I,\alpha}(S'_z+S_z^++2)C(A,y,z)=EI,α​(Sz′​+Sz+​+2), there are a single polynomial P\mathcal PP and a positive constant σ0\sigma_0σ0​ such that, for all n>d≥3n>d\ge3n>d≥3 and all centers and objectives,

EA,yC(A,y,z)≤min⁡{P(d,n,1min⁡(σ,σ0)),(nd)+(nd+1)+2}.\mathbb E_{A,y}C(A,y,z)\le \min\left\{\mathcal P\left(d,n,\frac1{\min(\sigma,\sigma_0)}\right), \binom nd+\binom n{d+1}+2\right\}.EA,y​C(A,y,z)≤min{P(d,n,min(σ,σ0​)1​),(dn​)+(d+1n​)+2}.

The polynomial is uniform over the dimensions and inputs; its coefficients are not prescribed. The bound on CCC implies the corresponding result for the actual pivot count through the paper’s step-to-shadow comparison. The goal is stated with a positive center scale RRR, the case in which the paper’s Gaussian rescaling applies.

Significance

The theorem places the number of pivots of a complete simplex method under one explicit perturbation model, including the work needed to find a starting feasible basis and handle an arbitrary right-hand side. The trivial binomial bound is retained because it controls rare events in the proof and is part of the stated result. The polynomial bound says that even when the unperturbed LP is adversarial, Gaussian noise of a controlled scale makes the expected shadow-size cost polynomial.

The paper proves the mathematical result. This mission asks for machine-checked proofs of its statement and the listed milestones; the draft Lean declarations are targets with sorry, not completed proofs. The reusable formal infrastructure is the finite polar simplex and shadow construction, product Gaussian input law, smallest-singular-value events for sampled minors, and the uniform truncated-simplex coefficient law. The two shadow-size lemmas also require explicit handling of measurable finite-valued counts and their expectations.

Difficulty

The basic shadow estimate fixes its projection plane before perturbing the constraints. In LP′, the initial objective AIαA_I\alphaAI​α uses a basis selected after the perturbation, so the relevant plane depends on the random LP. The fixed-plane theorem cannot be substituted directly. For LP⁺, the normalized lifted vectors ai+/yi+a_i^+/y_i^+ai+​/yi+​ are nonlinear functions of Gaussian data; they are generally not Gaussian vectors. Thus the same shadow estimate does not apply directly to their law either. A further issue is that a poor sampled basis can make y′y'y′ very large. These are distinct obstacles, reflected in the milestone groups from Sections 5.1, 5.2, and 5.3.

Formalization scope

Vectors are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), constraints are Fin n → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and index families are finite sets of Fin n. The paper’s [n][n][n] starts at one; Fin n starts at zero. The Gaussian constructor receives variance σ2\sigma^2σ2, not standard deviation σ\sigmaσ. The 3ndln⁡n3nd\ln n3ndlnn draws are rounded upward and are independent uniform draws with replacement. Equal singular values are resolved by the first sampled set. The uniform law on AδA_\deltaAδ​ is represented by normalized independent exponential weights followed by the affine shift that imposes αi≥δ\alpha_i\ge\deltaαi​≥δ.

The Lean definition of CCC is exactly the Section 5 shadow-size upper bound E(Sz′+Sz++2)\mathbb E(S'_z+S_z^++2)E(Sz′​+Sz+​+2), computed from the sampled LP data. It is not an arbitrary cost variable. The actual algorithmic step bound needs the paper’s polar algorithm and Lemma 3.3.5. The goal explicitly asks for inner and outer integrability so Lean’s default value for a nonintegrable Bochner integral cannot make the result vacuous. The source’s all-zero center scale is excluded because it gives zero perturbation and defeats the rescaling used in Theorem 5.0.1.

For LP⁺ the vectors live in Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, so the two LP⁺ milestone bounds use D(n,d+1,⋅)\mathcal D(n,d+1,\cdot)D(n,d+1,⋅). The preprint prints ddd in those calls even though the preceding extension theorem would be applied in dimension d+1d+1d+1. Lemma 5.2.1 is written as an inequality: its printed equality is stronger than the bound established on page 71. These corrections are visible in the theorem titles and notes. Contributions that prove the exact statements, establish the measurability and Gaussian law facts, or formalize the step-to-shadow comparison are welcome.

Selected references

  • Daniel A. Spielman and Shang-Hua Teng, Smoothed Analysis of Algorithms: Why the Simplex Algorithm Usually Takes Polynomial Time, arXiv:cs/0111050v7, 2003, preprint. The PDF used here is the 96-page version with printed and PDF page numbers aligned.
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Machine LearningProbabilityReinforcement Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction V: Off-policy Prediction by Importance SamplingTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning methods must explore in order to find good behaviour, yet the quantity they usually want to evaluate is the value of a different, often deterministic, policy. Off-policy prediction separates the two roles: episodes are generated by a behaviour policy bbb, and the goal is the value function vπv_\pivπ​ of a target policy π\piπ. Almost every off-policy method in Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018), and in the literature that follows it, rests on importance sampling: a return observed under bbb is reweighted by the relative probability of its trajectory under π\piπ and bbb. Section 5.5 of the book introduces the idea for Monte Carlo prediction, §5.6 gives the incremental form of the weighted estimator, and §§5.8–5.9 refine the weights using the internal structure of the return: discounting-aware importance sampling, after Sutton, Mahmood, Precup and van Hasselt (2014), and per-decision importance sampling, introduced by Precup, Sutton and Singh (2000). The book's remarks on the variance of the two estimators (p. 105) cite Precup, Sutton and Dasgupta (2001). Later chapters (7, 11, 12) reuse the same ratios for nnn-step, gradient-TD and eligibility-trace methods.

This mission is the fifth in a series formalizing the book's central mathematical claims. It covers §§5.5–5.9 (pp. 103–115).

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has finite sets of states S\mathcal SS (terminal states included), actions A\mathcal AA and rewards R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R, and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a): for each (s,a)(s, a)(s,a) a probability distribution over next state and reward. The state-transition probability is p(s′∣s,a)=∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)p(s' \mid s, a) = \sum_r p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′∣s,a)=∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a). A policy μ\muμ gives a distribution μ(⋅∣s)\mu(\cdot \mid s)μ(⋅∣s) over actions in every state.

An episode from a start state sss is a sequence S0=s,A0,R1,S1,…,AT−1,RT,STS_0 = s, A_0, R_1, S_1, \dots, A_{T-1}, R_T, S_TS0​=s,A0​,R1​,S1​,…,AT−1​,RT​,ST​ in which S0,…,ST−1S_0, \dots, S_{T-1}S0​,…,ST−1​ are nonterminal and STS_TST​ is terminal. Under μ\muμ it has probability ∏k=0T−1μ(Ak∣Sk) p(Sk+1,Rk+1∣Sk,Ak)\prod_{k=0}^{T-1} \mu(A_k \mid S_k)\, p(S_{k+1}, R_{k+1} \mid S_k, A_k)∏k=0T−1​μ(Ak​∣Sk​)p(Sk+1​,Rk+1​∣Sk​,Ak​). The return is G0=∑k=0T−1γkRk+1G_0 = \sum_{k=0}^{T-1} \gamma^k R_{k+1}G0​=∑k=0T−1​γkRk+1​ with discount rate γ∈[0,1]\gamma \in [0, 1]γ∈[0,1], and the value vπ(s)v_\pi(s)vπ​(s) is the expected return of an episode generated by π\piπ from sss.

The behaviour policy covers the target policy if π(a∣s)>0\pi(a \mid s) > 0π(a∣s)>0 implies b(a∣s)>0b(a \mid s) > 0b(a∣s)>0. The importance-sampling ratio of decisions 0,…,j0, \dots, j0,…,j is

ρ0:j=∏k=0jπ(Ak∣Sk)b(Ak∣Sk),\rho_{0:j} = \prod_{k=0}^{j} \frac{\pi(A_k \mid S_k)}{b(A_k \mid S_k)},ρ0:j​=k=0∏j​b(Ak​∣Sk​)π(Ak​∣Sk​)​,

and the per-decision return weights each reward only by the ratio of the decisions that precede it:

G~0=ρ0:0R1+γρ0:1R2+⋯+γT−1ρ0:T−1RT.\tilde G_0 = \rho_{0:0} R_1 + \gamma \rho_{0:1} R_2 + \dots + \gamma^{T-1} \rho_{0:T-1} R_T .G~0​=ρ0:0​R1​+γρ0:1​R2​+⋯+γT−1ρ0:T−1​RT​.

The book writes these objects at a general time ttt and conditions on St=sS_t = sSt​=s; by the Markov property this is the same as starting the episode at sss, which is what the formal statements do.

Formalization targets

Goal: unbiasedness of ordinary and per-decision importance sampling

For episodes generated by bbb from sss,

Eb[ρ0:T−1G0∣S0=s]=vπ(s)=Eb[G~0∣S0=s].\mathbb E_b\bigl[\rho_{0:T-1} G_0 \mid S_0 = s\bigr] = v_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_b\bigl[\tilde G_0 \mid S_0 = s\bigr].Eb​[ρ0:T−1​G0​∣S0​=s]=vπ​(s)=Eb​[G~0​∣S0​=s].

The first equality is Eq. (5.4) (p. 104); the second is the statement E[ρt:T−1Gt]=E[G~t]\mathbb E[\rho_{t:T-1}G_t] = \mathbb E[\tilde G_t]E[ρt:T−1​Gt​]=E[G~t​] of §5.9 (p. 114).

Milestones

  1. (5.3): the trajectory probability is a product, and the ratio of trajectory probabilities under π\piπ and bbb is ρ0:T−1\rho_{0:T-1}ρ0:T−1​, independent of the dynamics.
  2. (5.4) alone.
  3. (5.13): ∑ab(a∣x) π(a∣x)/b(a∣x)=∑aπ(a∣x)=1\sum_a b(a \mid x)\, \pi(a \mid x)/b(a \mid x) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid x) = 1∑a​b(a∣x)π(a∣x)/b(a∣x)=∑a​π(a∣x)=1 under coverage.
  4. (5.14) and its kkk-th form: Eb[ρ0:T−1Rk]=Eb[ρ0:k−1Rk]\mathbb E_b[\rho_{0:T-1} R_k] = \mathbb E_b[\rho_{0:k-1} R_k]Eb​[ρ0:T−1​Rk​]=Eb​[ρ0:k−1​Rk​] for every k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 (Exercise 5.13).
  5. Example 5.5: in a one-state MDP with a loop, vπ(s)=1v_\pi(s) = 1vπ​(s)=1 and Eb[ρ0:T−1G0]=1\mathbb E_b[\rho_{0:T-1}G_0] = 1Eb​[ρ0:T−1​G0​]=1, yet Eb[(ρ0:T−1G0)2]=∞\mathbb E_b[(\rho_{0:T-1}G_0)^2] = \inftyEb​[(ρ0:T−1​G0​)2]=∞.
  6. (5.7)–(5.8): the incremental rule Vn+1=Vn+(Wn/Cn)(Gn−Vn)V_{n+1} = V_n + (W_n/C_n)(G_n - V_n)Vn+1​=Vn​+(Wn​/Cn​)(Gn​−Vn​) computes the weighted average ∑k<nWkGk/∑k<nWk\sum_{k<n} W_k G_k / \sum_{k<n} W_k∑k<n​Wk​Gk​/∑k<n​Wk​ (Exercise 5.10).
  7. §5.8: Gt=(1−γ)∑h=t+1T−1γh−t−1Gˉt:h+γT−t−1Gˉt:TG_t = (1-\gamma)\sum_{h=t+1}^{T-1}\gamma^{h-t-1}\bar G_{t:h} + \gamma^{T-t-1}\bar G_{t:T}Gt​=(1−γ)∑h=t+1T−1​γh−t−1Gˉt:h​+γT−t−1Gˉt:T​ with flat partial returns Gˉt:h=Rt+1+⋯+Rh\bar G_{t:h} = R_{t+1} + \dots + R_hGˉt:h​=Rt+1​+⋯+Rh​.

Significance

Eq. (5.4) is the reason the first-visit ordinary importance-sampling estimator (5.5) is unbiased, and it is the template for every importance-sampling correction in the rest of the book. The per-decision identity shows that an estimator with fewer ratio factors per reward, (5.15), has the same expectation, which is the starting point for per-decision and control-variate methods for multi-step off-policy learning (Precup, Sutton and Singh 2000). Example 5.5 shows that unbiasedness says nothing about variance: the ordinary estimator can have infinite variance on a two-action problem, which motivates weighted importance sampling and the incremental weighted update of §5.6.

The results of these sections are classical and proved informally in the book, partly as exercises (5.10, 5.13) left without solution. No machine-checked version exists on the platform: a search for importance sampling, off-policy and per-decision returned no statements. The mission produces a formal trajectory model of an episodic MDP under two policies, which later missions on nnn-step off-policy returns and off-policy traces can reuse.

Difficulty

Eq. (5.4) itself is a termwise identity: for every episode, Pr⁡b(episode) ρ0:T−1=Pr⁡π(episode)\Pr_b(\text{episode})\,\rho_{0:T-1} = \Pr_\pi(\text{episode})Prb​(episode)ρ0:T−1​=Prπ​(episode) under coverage. The per-decision identity is not termwise. The later factors of ρ0:T−1\rho_{0:T-1}ρ0:T−1​ multiply a reward that was received before the corresponding decisions, and removing them requires summing over all continuations of an episode prefix, of every remaining length, and using that each factor has conditional expectation one (5.13) and that the continuation terminates with probability one. The obvious attempt, cancelling the factors episode by episode, fails: on a single episode ρ0:T−1R1\rho_{0:T-1}R_1ρ0:T−1​R1​ and ρ0:0R1\rho_{0:0}R_1ρ0:0​R1​ differ.

In Example 5.5 the episodes have no length bound, so the expected square is an infinite series over episode lengths whose divergence must be shown directly.

Formalization scope

  • States, actions and rewards are finite types; the terminal states are a finite subset of the state type. Policies are stochastic, one action set is used in every state, and vπv_\pivπ​ is defined as an expected return, never as the solution of a Bellman equation.
  • Expectations are series over episode lengths of finite sums over episodes. Lean assigns 000 to a divergent series, so the goal and milestones 2 and 4 assume that under bbb every episode from sss terminates within a fixed number HHH of steps with probability one. The book leaves termination implicit; this bounded-horizon hypothesis is a restriction relative to the book's episodic setting and is stated as such. Example 5.5, whose episodes are unbounded, is stated without it, with the expected square in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞].
  • The discount rate is kept general in [0,1][0, 1][0,1].
  • The importance-sampling ratio uses real division; a factor with b(Ak∣Sk)=0b(A_k \mid S_k) = 0b(Ak​∣Sk​)=0 evaluates to 000 in Lean, but such episodes have probability 000 under bbb.
  • The flat-partial-return decomposition is an algebraic identity and is stated for every real γ\gammaγ, which is more general than the book's "for any γ∈[0,1)\gamma \in [0,1)γ∈[0,1)".
  • The incremental weighted update is stated with nonnegative weights and W1>0W_1 > 0W1​>0. The book's C0=0C_0 = 0C0​=0 makes (5.8) divide by zero at n=1n = 1n=1 when W1=0W_1 = 0W1​=0; the hypothesis excludes that case.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: vπv_\pivπ​ is the expected return of π\piπ's own episodes, the ratio is computed from the episode, and the per-decision identity, which carries the chapter's content beyond (5.4), is part of the goal.
  • Not stated: the bias and variance comparisons of ordinary and weighted importance sampling (p. 105) and the discounting-aware estimators (5.9)–(5.10) as estimators; these are statistical claims about estimators over a random number of visits that the book does not make precise.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a general measure-theoretic version of the trajectory model without the bounded-horizon hypothesis, and variants for action values qπq_\piqπ​ (Exercise 5.6).

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §§5.5–5.9, pp. 103–115. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • D. Precup, R. S. Sutton and S. Singh, Eligibility Traces for Off-Policy Policy Evaluation, Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2000, pp. 759–766 (cited in the book's bibliography).
  • D. Precup, R. S. Sutton and S. Dasgupta, Off-Policy Temporal-Difference Learning with Function Approximation, Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2001, pp. 417–424 (cited in the book, p. 105).
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Discrete GeometryLinear OptimizationOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Smoothed Analysis of Algorithms: Why the Simplex Algorithm Usually Takes Polynomial Time 1: The Expected Shadow of a Gaussian-Perturbed Polytope Has Polynomially Many VerticesResearch Paper

Why the shadow of a perturbed polytope matters

The simplex method solves linear programs very fast in practice, yet for most pivot rules there are inputs on which it takes exponentially many steps (Klee and Minty, 1972, for Dantzig's rule; Goldfarb, 1983, for the shadow-vertex rule). Average-case analyses (Borgwardt, 1980s; Smale, 1983) explained good behaviour on random inputs, but random inputs look nothing like real ones. Spielman and Teng introduced smoothed analysis to close this gap: the input is chosen by an adversary and then perturbed by a small Gaussian, and the running time is measured in expectation over the perturbation. They proved that the shadow-vertex simplex method has smoothed complexity polynomial in the number of constraints nnn, the dimension ddd and 1/σ1/\sigma1/σ (Spielman–Teng, J. ACM 2004; this mission follows the preprint arXiv:cs/0111050v7). The work received the Gödel Prize (2008) and the Fulkerson Prize (2009).

Timeline. Borgwardt (1977–1987) bounded the expected number of shadow-vertex pivots for rotationally symmetric random data. Spielman and Teng (2001, STOC; journal 2004) proved the first smoothed bound, with a shadow bound of order nd3/σ6nd^3/\sigma^6nd3/σ6 — the theorem of this mission. Deshpande and Spielman (FOCS 2005) improved the shadow bound, Vershynin (2009) reduced the dependence on nnn to polylogarithmic, and Dadush and Huiberts (STOC 2018) obtained O(d2log⁡n σ−2)O(d^2\sqrt{\log n}\,\sigma^{-2})O(d2logn​σ−2) for small σ\sigmaσ.

Setting

Fix d≥3d\ge3d≥3 and n>dn>dn>d. The data are vectors a1,…,an∈Rda_1,\dots,a_n\in\mathbb R^da1​,…,an​∈Rd, the constraint vectors of the linear program max⁡⟨z∣x⟩\max\langle z|x\ranglemax⟨z∣x⟩ subject to ⟨ai∣x⟩≤1\langle a_i|x\rangle\le1⟨ai​∣x⟩≤1 for all iii. Each aia_iai​ is a Gaussian of standard deviation σ\sigmaσ centered at a point aˉi\bar a_iaˉi​ with ∥aˉi∥≤1\|\bar a_i\|\le1∥aˉi​∥≤1: it has density

μi(a)=(12π σ)de−∥a−aˉi∥2/2σ2,\mu_i(a)=\Big(\tfrac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}\,\sigma}\Big)^d e^{-\|a-\bar a_i\|^2/2\sigma^2},μi​(a)=(2π​σ1​)de−∥a−aˉi​∥2/2σ2,

and the aia_iai​ are independent (joint density ∏iμi(ai)\prod_i\mu_i(a_i)∏i​μi​(ai​)).

For a direction q∈Rdq\in\mathbb R^dq∈Rd, optSimpq(a1,…,an)\mathrm{optSimp}_q(a_1,\dots,a_n)optSimpq​(a1​,…,an​) is the set of index sets I⊆{1,…,n}I\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}I⊆{1,…,n} with ∣I∣=d|I|=d∣I∣=d such that (ai)i∈I(a_i)_{i\in I}(ai​)i∈I​ is linearly independent, the simplex △(AI)=ConvHull(ai:i∈I)\triangle(A_I)=\mathrm{ConvHull}(a_i:i\in I)△(AI​)=ConvHull(ai​:i∈I) is a facet of ConvHull(0,a1,…,an)\mathrm{ConvHull}(0,a_1,\dots,a_n)ConvHull(0,a1​,…,an​), and qqq lies in the cone {∑i∈Iαiai:αi≥0}\{\sum_{i\in I}\alpha_ia_i:\alpha_i\ge0\}{∑i∈I​αi​ai​:αi​≥0}. In polar terms, III is the set of tight constraints at the vertex of the feasible polyhedron that maximizes ⟨q∣x⟩\langle q|x\rangle⟨q∣x⟩.

For linearly independent t,zt,zt,z, the shadow Shadowt,z(a1,…,an)\mathrm{Shadow}_{t,z}(a_1,\dots,a_n)Shadowt,z​(a1​,…,an​) is the set of index sets III that belong to optSimpq\mathrm{optSimp}_qoptSimpq​ for some nonzero q∈Span(t,z)q\in\mathrm{Span}(t,z)q∈Span(t,z). Its size is the number of vertices of the projection of the feasible polyhedron onto the plane Span(t,z)\mathrm{Span}(t,z)Span(t,z); the shadow-vertex method walks along this polygon, one pivot per vertex. Finally

D(n,d,σ)=58,888,678 nd3min⁡(σ, 1/(3dln⁡n))6.\mathcal D(n,d,\sigma)=\frac{58{,}888{,}678\,nd^3}{\min\big(\sigma,\,1/(3\sqrt{d\ln n})\big)^6}.D(n,d,σ)=min(σ,1/(3dlnn​))658,888,678nd3​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.0.1 (Shadow Size)

Ea1,…,an[ ∣Shadowt,z(a1,…,an)∣ ]≤D(n,d,σ)\mathbb E_{a_1,\dots,a_n}\big[\,|\mathrm{Shadow}_{t,z}(a_1,\dots,a_n)|\,\big]\le\mathcal D(n,d,\sigma)Ea1​,…,an​​[∣Shadowt,z​(a1​,…,an​)∣]≤D(n,d,σ)

for every d≥3d\ge3d≥3, n>dn>dn>d, every pair of linearly independent t,zt,zt,z, every σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and all centers of norm at most 111.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof, leaves first.

  • Probability tools: the chi-square bound (Corollary 2.4.6), the combination lemma (Lemma 2.3.5), almost polynomial densities (Lemma 2.3.7), and comparing Gaussian tails (Lemma 2.4.11).
  • Reduction: the measure of the event P={∥ai∥≤2 ∀i}P=\{\|a_i\|\le2\ \forall i\}P={∥ai​∥≤2 ∀i} (Proposition 4.0.5), and the discretization of the shadow into mmm equally spaced directions (Lemma 4.0.6).
  • Angle bound: the probability, conditioned on PPP, that the ray through a fixed unit vector qqq passes within angle ε\varepsilonε of the boundary of its optimal facet is O(nd3ε/σ6)O(nd^3\varepsilon/\sigma^6)O(nd3ε/σ6) (Lemma 4.0.7, from Lemma 4.0.11).
  • Distance and incidence: in Blaschke coordinates ai=Rωbi+sqa_i=R_\omega b_i+sqai​=Rω​bi​+sq, a deterministic split (Lemma 4.0.12), a distance bound (Lemmas 4.1.1–4.1.3) and an angle-of-incidence bound (Lemmas 4.2.1–4.2.3).

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.0.1 is the geometric heart of the smoothed analysis of the simplex method. Section 4.3 of the paper extends it to arbitrary centers, covariances and right-hand sides, and Section 5 combines these extensions with a two-phase method to show that the simplex method has polynomial smoothed complexity. The same shadow bound underlies later analyses of the simplex method, of perturbed polytopes' diameters, and of condition numbers of random linear programs.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved, and improved constants are known, but none of this is machine-checked. A formal proof would verify a long and delicate argument: a change of variables of integral geometry (Blaschke's formula), several conditional-density estimates, and explicit constants in the millions. The mission also produces reusable statements about Gaussian vectors and convex hulls of random points.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to count, for each candidate facet III, the probability that III appears in the shadow; there are (nd)\binom nd(dn​) candidates, so a union bound is exponential in ddd. The paper avoids this by discretizing the angle of qqq (Lemma 4.0.6) and bounding, for each fixed direction, the probability that the optimal facet changes within a small angular step. That needs a lower bound on the angle between qqq and the boundary of its optimal facet, conditioned on the facet being optimal. The conditioning changes the distribution of a1,…,ada_1,\dots,a_da1​,…,ad​, so the bound cannot come from the Gaussian density alone. The proof changes variables to the facet's normal ω\omegaω, offset sss and in-plane coordinates bib_ibi​ (Corollary 2.5.3), whose Jacobian contributes the factors ⟨ω∣q⟩\langle\omega|q\rangle⟨ω∣q⟩ and Vol(△(b))\mathrm{Vol}(\triangle(b))Vol(△(b)). It then shows that both the distance of the origin to a face of the in-plane simplex and the angle of incidence ⟨ω∣q⟩\langle\omega|q\rangle⟨ω∣q⟩ are unlikely to be small. Measure-theoretic bookkeeping is as hard as the geometry: densities known only up to normalization, conditioning on events of positive measure, and the measure-zero degeneracies the paper sets aside.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Constraint vectors are indexed by Fin n (0-based), so the paper's {1,…,d}\{1,\dots,d\}{1,…,d} is {i:i<d}\{i:i<d\}{i:i<d}. The Gaussian of standard deviation σ\sigmaσ centered at ccc is Lebesgue measure with the density above, and the joint law is the product measure. Lemma 4.0.6 also uses Mathlib's multivariateGaussian with a positive definite covariance. Expectations of shadow sizes are lower Lebesgue integrals of [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued counts, and their measurability is part of each conclusion. "Density proportional to ν\nuν" and conditional probabilities are stated cross-multiplied, ∫Eν≤bound⋅∫ν\int_{E}\nu\le\text{bound}\cdot\int\nu∫E​ν≤bound⋅∫ν, so no 0/00/00/0 appears.

The shadow is the set of index sets III, and the direction q=0q=0q=0 is excluded. Including it would add every facet of ConvHull(0,a1,…,an)\mathrm{ConvHull}(0,a_1,\dots,a_n)ConvHull(0,a1​,…,an​) to the shadow, since 000 lies in every cone, and make the goal false. ang(q,∅)=∞\mathrm{ang}(q,\emptyset)=\inftyang(q,∅)=∞ is represented exactly in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], never by a real infimum. Where the paper omits a hypothesis it uses, it is added and recorded in the item: the standing assumptions d≥3d\ge3d≥3, n>dn>dn>d and σ≤1/(3dln⁡n)\sigma\le1/(3\sqrt{d\ln n})σ≤1/(3dlnn​) (Lemma 4.2.3 is false without a bound on σ\sigmaσ), unit length of the reference vector qqq, s≥0s\ge0s≥0, and ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 for strict inequalities. Lemma 2.3.7 is stated with ≤\le≤ rather than the page's <<<, which fails in an edge case.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: Gaussian tail and chi-square estimates; faces and facets of convex hulls; the Blaschke change of variables and the latitude–longitude change of variables on the sphere (not in Mathlib); surface measure on Sd−1S^{d-1}Sd−1 (Mathlib's Measure.toSphere); and the disintegration of the joint law used in the combination lemma. The Gaussian estimates, the combination lemma and the Blaschke formula are useful beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of supporting lemmas such as the change-of-variables formulas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. A. Spielman, S.-H. Teng, Smoothed Analysis of Algorithms: Why the Simplex Algorithm Usually Takes Polynomial Time, arXiv:cs/0111050v7, 2003. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/0111050v7
  • D. A. Spielman, S.-H. Teng, Smoothed analysis of algorithms: Why the simplex algorithm usually takes polynomial time, J. ACM 51(3):385–463, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1145/990308.990310
  • K. H. Borgwardt, The Simplex Method: A Probabilistic Analysis, Springer, 1987.
  • V. Klee, G. J. Minty, How good is the simplex algorithm?, in Inequalities III, Academic Press, 1972, 159–175.
  • A. Deshpande, D. A. Spielman, Improved smoothed analysis of the shadow vertex simplex method, FOCS 2005, 387–396.
  • R. Vershynin, Beyond Hirsch conjecture: walks on random polytopes and smoothed complexity of the simplex method, SIAM J. Comput. 39(2):646–678, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1137/070683386
  • D. Dadush, S. Huiberts, A friendly smoothed analysis of the simplex method, STOC 2018; arXiv:1711.05667. https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.05667
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic: Reflected Brownian Motion Limit for the Queue Length ProcessResearch Paper

Motivation

Open networks of single-server queues with general interarrival and service distributions are the standard model of job shops, communication networks and service systems. Outside the product-form (Jackson) case their queue-length distributions are not known in closed form. When every station is close to saturation, a heavy-traffic limit replaces the network by a diffusion process. Martin I. Reiman's paper Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic (Mathematics of Operations Research 9(3), 1984) proves such a limit for the vector of queue lengths of a general open network. The limit is a reflected Brownian motion on the nonnegative orthant. That process has since become the default diffusion approximation for open networks, and it is the starting point of later work on its stationary distribution and on control of networks in heavy traffic.

Timeline:

  • Iglehart and Whitt (1970a,b) proved heavy-traffic limits for a single multiple-server station and for acyclic networks, in which no customer visits a station twice.
  • Harrison (1973, 1978) treated tandem queues; the 1978 paper introduced reflected Brownian motion on the nonnegative orthant as the diffusion limit.
  • Harrison and Reiman (1981a, Ann. Probab. 9:302–308) constructed reflected Brownian motion on the orthant through a continuous reflection mapping. That paper is the source of Lemma 1 here.

(These attributions follow Reiman's own account, pp. 441–442 of the 1984 paper.)

  • Reiman (1984) proved the limit for general open networks with Markovian routing (Theorem 1). The paper also proves a limit for sojourn times along fixed routes (Theorem 2).

Setting

There are KKK single-server stations and a nonempty set J⊆{1,…,K}\mathcal J\subseteq\{1,\dots,K\}J⊆{1,…,K} of stations that receive customers from outside. The primitives are mutually independent sequences of IID random variables: interarrival times uki>0u_k^i>0uki​>0 (k∈Jk\in\mathcal Jk∈J), service times vki>0v_k^i>0vki​>0, and routing indicators ϕki∈{0,1,…,K}\phi_k^i\in\{0,1,\dots,K\}ϕki​∈{0,1,…,K}. When the iiith customer served at station kkk finishes, it moves to station ϕki\phi_k^iϕki​, or leaves if ϕki=0\phi_k^i=0ϕki​=0. The parameters are the service rates μk=(Evk1)−1\mu_k=(E v_k^1)^{-1}μk​=(Evk1​)−1, the service-time variances sk=var⁡vk1s_k=\operatorname{var} v_k^1sk​=varvk1​, the arrival rates λk=(Euk1)−1\lambda_k=(E u_k^1)^{-1}λk​=(Euk1​)−1 (with λk=0\lambda_k=0λk​=0 for k∉Jk\notin\mathcal Jk∈/J), and the interarrival variances ak=var⁡uk1a_k=\operatorname{var} u_k^1ak​=varuk1​. The routing matrix P=(pkj)P=(p_{kj})P=(pkj​), pkj=P{ϕk1=j}p_{kj}=P\{\phi_k^1=j\}pkj​=P{ϕk1​=j}, has spectral radius strictly less than one, so every customer eventually leaves.

Let Ak(t)A_k(t)Ak​(t) be the number of exogenous arrivals to station kkk by time ttt, and Sk(t)S_k(t)Sk​(t) the number of service completions at kkk in ttt units of busy time. Let S^k(t)=∑i≤Sk(t)eϕki−Sk(t)ek\hat S_k(t)=\sum_{i\le S_k(t)}e_{\phi_k^i}-S_k(t)e_kS^k​(t)=∑i≤Sk​(t)​eϕki​​−Sk​(t)ek​, with e0=0e_0=0e0​=0. The queue length Q(t)∈Z+KQ(t)\in\mathbb Z_+^KQ(t)∈Z+K​ and the busy time B(t)B(t)B(t) are the unique solution of

Q(t)=A(t)+∑k=1KS^k(Bk(t)),Bk(t)=∫0t1{Qk(s)>0} ds,B(0)=0.Q(t)=A(t)+\sum_{k=1}^K\hat S_k(B_k(t)),\qquad B_k(t)=\int_0^t1_{\{Q_k(s)>0\}}\,ds,\qquad B(0)=0 .Q(t)=A(t)+k=1∑K​S^k​(Bk​(t)),Bk​(t)=∫0t​1{Qk​(s)>0}​ds,B(0)=0.

A sequence of such networks, indexed by nnn, shares KKK, J\mathcal JJ and PPP. Its parameters μ(n),s(n),λ(n),a(n)\mu(n),s(n),\lambda(n),a(n)μ(n),s(n),λ(n),a(n) converge to finite limits μ,s,λ,a\mu,s,\lambda,aμ,s,λ,a. With ν(n)=λ(n)+μ(n)P\nu(n)=\lambda(n)+\mu(n)Pν(n)=λ(n)+μ(n)P, the heavy-traffic condition is

ck(n)=n (νk(n)−μk(n))→ck.c_k(n)=\sqrt n\,(\nu_k(n)-\mu_k(n))\to c_k .ck​(n)=n​(νk​(n)−μk​(n))→ck​.

Moments of order 2+ϵ2+\epsilon2+ϵ of the interarrival and service times are bounded uniformly in nnn. The scaled queue length is Zn(t)=n−1/2Qn(nt)Z^n(t)=n^{-1/2}Q^n(nt)Zn(t)=n−1/2Qn(nt), 0≤t≤10\le t\le10≤t≤1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Let ξ\xiξ be a Brownian motion with drift ccc and covariance matrix A\mathcal AA, where

Aii=λi3ai+μi3si(1−2pii)+∑jμjpji(1−pji+pjiμj2sj),\mathcal A_{ii}=\lambda_i^3a_i+\mu_i^3s_i(1-2p_{ii})+\sum_j\mu_jp_{ji}(1-p_{ji}+p_{ji}\mu_j^2s_j),Aii​=λi3​ai​+μi3​si​(1−2pii​)+j∑​μj​pji​(1−pji​+pji​μj2​sj​), Aij=−[μi3sipij+μj3sjpji+∑kμkpkipkj(1−μk2sk)](i≠j).\mathcal A_{ij}=-\Big[\mu_i^3s_ip_{ij}+\mu_j^3s_jp_{ji}+\sum_k\mu_kp_{ki}p_{kj}(1-\mu_k^2s_k)\Big]\quad(i\ne j).Aij​=−[μi3​si​pij​+μj3​sj​pji​+k∑​μk​pki​pkj​(1−μk2​sk​)](i=j).

Let Z=ϕ(ξ)Z=\phi(\xi)Z=ϕ(ξ) be its reflection with reflection matrix I−PI-PI−P. Then

Zn⇒Zin D[0,1] (Skorohod topology).Z^n\Rightarrow Z\quad\text{in } D[0,1]\text{ (Skorohod topology)}.Zn⇒Zin D[0,1] (Skorohod topology).

The goal fixes no constants beyond the parameters' limits. It is stated for every network sequence satisfying (20)–(26).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof, in order:

  • the existence and uniqueness claim for (1)–(3);
  • the representation Q=X~+Y(I−P)Q=\tilde X+Y(I-P)Q=X~+Y(I−P) (Eq. (13));
  • the least-element map fff (Proposition 1);
  • the reflection mapping ϕ\phiϕ (Lemma 1) and f=ϕf=\phif=ϕ on continuous paths (Proposition 2);
  • the netput limit ζn⇒ζ\zeta^n\Rightarrow\zetaζn⇒ζ (Proposition 3);
  • stochastic boundedness of ZnZ^nZn (Lemma 6);
  • vanishing scaled idleness n−1Ikn(n)→0n^{-1}I^n_k(n)\to0n−1Ikn​(n)→0 (Proposition 4);
  • the centred limit ζ~n⇒ζ\tilde\zeta^n\Rightarrow\zetaζ~​n⇒ζ (Proposition 5).

Significance

Theorem 1 justifies the diffusion approximation of a heavily loaded open network. Writing Qn(t)≈n Z(t/n)Q^n(t)\approx\sqrt n\,Z(t/n)Qn(t)≈n​Z(t/n) reduces questions about the network to questions about one reflected Brownian motion, whose data are explicit functions of the first two moments of the primitives and of the routing matrix. The same limit, with Lemma 2, gives the paper's Theorem 2 on sojourn times. It is the model case for the multiclass heavy-traffic theory that followed.

The result has been proved since 1984. No machine-checked version exists. The mission's contributions would be:

  • a formal statement of the network, of its Harrison representation, and of weak convergence in DDD;
  • a formal proof of the reflection-mapping facts (Proposition 1, Lemma 1, Proposition 2), which are deterministic and reusable;
  • eventually, a formal proof of the full limit theorem.

Difficulty

The obvious route applies a functional central limit theorem to QnQ^nQn directly. That fails because QnQ^nQn is not a sum of independent terms: each station serves only while its queue is nonempty, so the service process is evaluated at the random busy time Bk(t)B_k(t)Bk​(t), which depends on the whole network. The proof therefore has to separate the netput process, which obeys a central limit theorem, from the regulator YYY. It then has to show that the random time change Bkn(nt)/nB^n_k(nt)/nBkn​(nt)/n converges to the identity, i.e. that idleness vanishes on the diffusion scale. Weak convergence must also be transported through a reflection map that is defined on all of DDD but is known to be continuous only at continuous paths.

Formalization scope

The Lean development uses the following conventions:

  • Stations are Fin K, vectors are row vectors Fin K → ℝ, and a row vector times a matrix is Matrix.vecMul.
  • A routing indicator lives in Fin (K+1), with 0 meaning "leaves" and j.succ meaning station jjj.
  • The primitives are mutually independent (iIndep of their σ-algebras), IID within each sequence, everywhere positive and square integrable.
  • "Spectral radius <1<1<1" is stated as Pm→0P^m\to0Pm→0.
  • (Qn,Bn)(Q^n,B^n)(Qn,Bn) is any pair solving (1)–(3) almost surely, with measurable paths so that (2) is a Lebesgue integral.
  • The networks are indexed by ℕ; (25)–(26) are imposed for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, (22) and (26) over k∈Jk\in\mathcal Jk∈J, and J\mathcal JJ is the same for all nnn.
  • Brownian motion with drift ccc and covariance A\mathcal AA lives on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). It is defined by continuity, ξ(0)=0\xi(0)=0ξ(0)=0, independent increments, and the Gaussian characteristic function of increments.
  • ZZZ is the reflection of ξ\xiξ in the sense of (14)–(17).
  • Weak convergence in DDD is stated in Skorohod-representation form: a coupling with almost-sure J1_11​ convergence on [0,1][0,1][0,1]. This form accommodates a separate probability space for each nnn.

Added hypotheses, each implicit on the page:

  1. The existence item assumes Uk(l),Vk(l)→∞U_k(l),V_k(l)\to\inftyUk​(l),Vk​(l)→∞ at the sample point; without it the maxima defining Ak(t)A_k(t)Ak​(t) and Sk(t)S_k(t)Sk​(t) need not exist.
  2. Solutions of (1)–(3) have measurable paths.

No positivity hypothesis on the limits μk\mu_kμk​ is added: (25) and (26) bound the means of the service and interarrival times, so the limits are positive.

The statement is not to be weakened. Ruled out are:

  • convergence of finite-dimensional distributions only;
  • a single network without the index nnn;
  • uniform convergence used in place of the Skorohod topology without the coupling;
  • a Brownian motion that is not required to have independent Gaussian increments.

Each of these is a different theorem.

Useful contributions, all reusable beyond this mission:

  • the deterministic reflection-map results;
  • Donsker-type theorems for renewal counting processes in DDD;
  • the random time-change lemma (Billingsley);
  • the continuous mapping theorem in coupling form.

Selected references

  • M. I. Reiman, Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic, Mathematics of Operations Research 9(3):441–458, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.9.3.441
  • J. M. Harrison and M. I. Reiman, Reflected Brownian Motion on an Orthant, Annals of Probability 9:302–308, 1981 (cited in Reiman 1984 as [6]).
  • J. M. Harrison, The Diffusion Approximation for Tandem Queues in Heavy Traffic, Advances in Applied Probability 10:886–905, 1978 (Reiman 1984, [5]).
  • J. M. Harrison, The Heavy Traffic Approximation for Single Server Queues in Series, Journal of Applied Probability 10:613–629, 1973 (Reiman 1984, [4]).
  • D. L. Iglehart and W. Whitt, Multiple Channel Queues in Heavy Traffic, I and II: Sequences, Networks, and Batches, Advances in Applied Probability 2:150–177 and 355–364, 1970 (Reiman 1984, [8], [9]).
  • P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, Wiley, New York, 1968 (Reiman 1984, [1]).
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction IV: Policy Iteration for ε-Soft PoliciesTextbook

Motivation

Policy iteration alternates two steps: evaluate the current policy, then replace it by a policy that is greedy with respect to the evaluated action values. The policy improvement theorem guarantees that each greedy step does not make the policy worse, and that the process stops only at an optimal policy. When the action values are estimated from experience rather than computed from a model, as in Monte Carlo control, a greedy policy is a problem: it never tries the actions it does not currently prefer, so their values are never re-estimated. Sutton and Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., 2018), §5.4, resolve this without the unrealistic assumption of exploring starts by moving the policy only toward a greedy one, to an ε-greedy policy that keeps every action's probability at least ε/|A|.

The question this mission formalizes is whether policy iteration still works under that restriction. The book's answer (pp. 101–102) is yes, in a precise sense: an ε-greedy step never makes an ε-soft policy worse, and it fails to make it strictly better only when the policy is already the best among all ε-soft policies. This is the dynamic-programming fact that justifies on-policy first-visit Monte Carlo control for ε-soft policies, and more broadly every ε-greedy on-policy control scheme that is analysed with exact action values.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has a finite state set S, a finite nonempty action set A used in every state, a finite reward set R ⊂ ℝ and dynamics p(s′, r | s, a) ≥ 0 with ∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a)=1\sum_{s', r} p(s', r \mid s, a) = 1∑s′,r​p(s′,r∣s,a)=1. A policy π gives, for each state s, a probability distribution π(· | s) on A. With a discount rate 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, the state value vπ(s)v_\pi(s)vπ​(s) is the expected discounted return Eπ[∑k≥0γkRt+k+1∣St=s]\mathbb E_\pi[\sum_{k \ge 0} \gamma^k R_{t+k+1} \mid S_t = s]Eπ​[∑k≥0​γkRt+k+1​∣St​=s], and the action value is

qπ(s,a)=∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a) [r+γvπ(s′)].q_\pi(s, a) = \sum_{s', r} p(s', r \mid s, a)\,[r + \gamma v_\pi(s')].qπ​(s,a)=s′,r∑​p(s′,r∣s,a)[r+γvπ​(s′)].

For ε > 0, a policy is ε-soft if π(a∣s)≥ε/∣A∣\pi(a \mid s) \ge \varepsilon/|A|π(a∣s)≥ε/∣A∣ for all s and a. A policy π′ is ε-greedy with respect to qπq_\piqπ​ if at each state some maximizer A∗(s)A^*(s)A∗(s) of qπ(s,⋅)q_\pi(s, \cdot)qπ​(s,⋅) receives probability 1−ε+ε/∣A∣1 - \varepsilon + \varepsilon/|A|1−ε+ε/∣A∣ and every other action receives ε/∣A∣\varepsilon/|A|ε/∣A∣; ties among maximizers are broken arbitrarily. A policy π is optimal among the ε-soft policies if it is ε-soft and vπ′′(s)≤vπ(s)v_{\pi''}(s) \le v_\pi(s)vπ′′​(s)≤vπ​(s) for every ε-soft π″ and every state s.

The book's analysis uses a new environment with the same states, actions and rewards, in which with probability 1 − ε the chosen action is executed and with probability ε a uniformly random action replaces it:

p~(s′,r∣s,a)=(1−ε) p(s′,r∣s,a)+∑a′ε∣A∣ p(s′,r∣s,a′).\tilde p(s', r \mid s, a) = (1 - \varepsilon)\, p(s', r \mid s, a) + \sum_{a'} \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\, p(s', r \mid s, a').p~​(s′,r∣s,a)=(1−ε)p(s′,r∣s,a)+a′∑​∣A∣ε​p(s′,r∣s,a′).

Its optimal value function is written v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​.

Formalization targets

Goal: ε-greedy improvement with the equality case

For 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, 0<ε≤10 < \varepsilon \le 10<ε≤1, an ε-soft policy π and any ε-greedy policy π′ with respect to qπq_\piqπ​,

vπ′(s)≥vπ(s)for all s,andvπ′=vπ  ⟹  π,π′ are optimal among the ε-soft policies.v_{\pi'}(s) \ge v_\pi(s) \quad \text{for all } s, \qquad \text{and} \qquad v_{\pi'} = v_\pi \;\Longrightarrow\; \pi, \pi' \text{ are optimal among the ε-soft policies}.vπ′​(s)≥vπ​(s)for all s,andvπ′​=vπ​⟹π,π′ are optimal among the ε-soft policies.

The goal is stated in terms of the original MDP and ε-soft policies only; the new environment appears only in the milestones.

Milestones

  1. Policy improvement theorem for stochastic policies (4.7)–(4.8), p. 78: ∑aπ′(a∣s)qπ(s,a)≥vπ(s)\sum_a \pi'(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a) \ge v_\pi(s)∑a​π′(a∣s)qπ​(s,a)≥vπ​(s) for all s implies vπ′≥vπv_{\pi'} \ge v_\pivπ′​≥vπ​, strictly at every state where the hypothesis is strict.
  2. Eq. (5.2), pp. 101–102: ∑aπ′(a∣s)qπ(s,a)=ε∣A∣∑aqπ(s,a)+(1−ε)max⁡aqπ(s,a)≥vπ(s)\sum_a \pi'(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a) = \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a q_\pi(s, a) + (1-\varepsilon)\max_a q_\pi(s, a) \ge v_\pi(s)∑a​π′(a∣s)qπ​(s,a)=∣A∣ε​∑a​qπ​(s,a)+(1−ε)maxa​qπ​(s,a)≥vπ​(s).
  3. Characterization, p. 102: an ε-soft π is optimal among ε-soft policies if and only if vπ=v~∗v_\pi = \tilde v_*vπ​=v~∗​.
  4. Uniqueness, p. 102: v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ is the unique solution of the Bellman optimality equation with the altered transition probabilities p~\tilde pp~​, and that equation splits as (1−ε)max⁡a(⋅)+ε∣A∣∑a(⋅)(1-\varepsilon)\max_a(\cdot) + \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a(\cdot)(1−ε)maxa​(⋅)+∣A∣ε​∑a​(⋅).
  5. Fixed-point equation, p. 102: if vπ′=vπv_{\pi'} = v_\pivπ′​=vπ​, then vπ(s)=(1−ε)max⁡aqπ(s,a)+ε∣A∣∑aqπ(s,a)v_\pi(s) = (1-\varepsilon)\max_a q_\pi(s, a) + \frac{\varepsilon}{|A|}\sum_a q_\pi(s, a)vπ​(s)=(1−ε)maxa​qπ​(s,a)+∣A∣ε​∑a​qπ​(s,a).

Significance

The result is what makes ε-greedy on-policy control a form of generalized policy iteration: monotone improvement at every step, and a characterization of where the process can stop. It also locates precisely what is lost by exploring, namely that the fixed point is optimal among ε-soft policies, not among all policies. The value v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ of the new environment is the benchmark against which ε-greedy methods converge when action values are exact.

The book presents the argument informally and states the stochastic policy improvement theorem without proof ("we will not go through the details", p. 79). A formalization supplies the missing proof of the stochastic case, the identification of the best ε-soft policy value with the optimal value of a modified MDP, and the uniqueness of that value. As far as a search of the platform shows, no statement about ε-soft or ε-greedy policies has been formalized there; existing finite-MDP results (Bellman optimality in the Foundations of Machine Learning and Bertsekas series) use different reward models and do not cover the modified environment.

Difficulty

The improvement half follows from (5.2) and the policy improvement theorem, but both need work in the return-based model: the theorem requires comparing infinite discounted sums under two different Markov chains, and (5.2) uses the identity vπ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)qπ(s,a)v_\pi(s) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s) q_\pi(s, a)vπ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)qπ​(s,a), which is a theorem about returns, not a definition. The equality half is where the obvious argument fails. The deterministic-policy argument of Chapter 4 shows that an unimproved greedy policy satisfies the ordinary Bellman optimality equation; here the unimproved policy satisfies a different equation, and nothing in the original MDP identifies its solution with the best ε-soft value. That identification needs two further facts: every policy of the new environment corresponds to an ε-soft policy of the original one with the same values, and conversely (at ε = 1 only the uniform policy is ε-soft); and the altered optimality equation has exactly one solution.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.EpsSoft on a finite MDP with four-argument dynamics, one finite nonempty action set for all states (so ∣A(s)∣=∣A∣|A(s)| = |A|∣A(s)∣=∣A∣, the book's footnote 3, p. 48), and a finite reward set. The conventions are:

  • vπv_\pivπ​ is defined from expected discounted returns as ∑kγk(Pπkrπ)(s)\sum_k \gamma^k (P_\pi^k r_\pi)(s)∑k​γk(Pπk​rπ​)(s) with 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1; Bellman equations are theorems, never definitions. qπq_\piqπ​ is the one-step lookahead (4.6) on this vπv_\pivπ​.
  • v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ is the supremum of the new environment's policy values over all stochastic policies, a bounded family for γ<1\gamma < 1γ<1.
  • ε ranges over (0, 1]: the book requires ε > 0, and for ε > 1 no ε-soft policy exists. The equality in (5.2) is stated without the book's intermediate division by 1 − ε, so the case ε = 1 is included.
  • "Any ε-greedy policy" is encoded by quantifying over every choice of maximizer at every state.
  • "Optimal among ε-soft policies" means ε-soft and pointwise at least as good as every ε-soft policy.

Defining vπv_\pivπ​ as the solution of the Bellman expectation equation, or v~∗\tilde v_*v~∗​ as the solution of the altered optimality equation, would make milestones 3–5 and the goal's equality half hold by definition; the formalization does neither. The goal is not the statement "vπ′≥vπv_{\pi'} \ge v_\pivπ′​≥vπ​" alone: the equality case is part of the book's claim and part of the goal.

The finite-MDP definitions duplicate those of other missions in this series and are expected to be merged later. Useful contributions include the Neumann-series identity vπ=(I−γPπ)−1rπv_\pi = (I - \gamma P_\pi)^{-1} r_\pivπ​=(I−γPπ​)−1rπ​, the Bellman expectation equation, the contraction property of Bellman operators, and the correspondence between policies of the new environment and ε-soft policies of the original one; these are reusable for the other finite-MDP missions of the series.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §4.2 (pp. 76–79) and §5.4 (pp. 100–103). http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960 (policy iteration).
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994, doi:10.1002/9780470316887.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 4: A 6.75-Approximate Truthful Posted-Price Menu for Unit-Demand Buyers of Multiple ItemsResearch Paper

Motivation

A hotel sells rooms of several types, in limited numbers, to guests who each want one room. The revenue-optimal way to sell is known only in special cases: for buyers with several private values, optimal mechanisms can be randomized, involve lotteries, and lack a closed form (Manelli–Vincent 2007; Chawla, Hartline, Kleinberg 2007). In practice sellers post prices. The question is how much revenue posting prices gives up.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435v2, STOC 2010) answer it for a broad class of single- and multi-parameter problems. For unit-demand buyers of multiple copies of multiple items they show that a menu of posted prices, offered to the buyers in whatever order they arrive, earns at least 1/6.751/6.751/6.75 of the revenue of any deterministic truthful mechanism (Theorem 14). This mission formalizes that result together with the two steps it is built from: a reduction from the multi-parameter problem to a single-parameter one with "copies" of each buyer (Lemma 3, Theorem 4), and an order-oblivious pricing for the intersection of two partition matroids (Theorem 13).

Setting

Single-parameter problem (BSMD). Finitely many agents iii have independent private values vi∼Fiv_i \sim F_ivi​∼Fi​, each with a density on a bounded interval. A seller may serve any set in a downward-closed set system J\mathcal JJ. A deterministic mechanism MMM maps reported values vvv to a served set M(v)∈JM(v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J and payments πi(v)\pi_i(v)πi​(v); it is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ends with negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=Ev[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E_v[\sum_i \pi_i(v)]RM=Ev​[∑i​πi​(v)]. For prices ppp, agent iii desires service if pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​, and Sv\mathcal S_vSv​ is the class of maximal feasible sets of desiring agents. The order-oblivious revenue is

Rpobl=Ev[min⁡S∈Sv∑i∈Spi],\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p} = \mathbb E_{v}\Big[\min_{S \in \mathcal S_v} \sum_{i \in S} p_i\Big],Rpobl​=Ev​[S∈Sv​min​i∈S∑​pi​],

a lower bound on the revenue of posting the prices ppp to the agents in an adversarial order.

Multi-parameter unit-demand problem (BMUMD). There are mmm buyers and a finite set JJJ of services, partitioned into the groups JiJ_iJi​ of services targeted at buyer iii. Buyer iii has value vjv_jvj​ for each j∈Jij \in J_ij∈Ji​, all values independent with vj∼Fjv_j \sim F_jvj​∼Fj​, and the set system J⊆2J\mathcal J \subseteq 2^JJ⊆2J is unit-demand: ∣S∩Ji∣≤1|S \cap J_i| \le 1∣S∩Ji​∣≤1 for feasible SSS. A mechanism A\mathcal AA is truthful if no buyer gains by misreporting its whole vector (vj)j∈Ji(v_j)_{j \in J_i}(vj​)j∈Ji​​, and individually rational if a buyer receiving jjj pays at most vjv_jvj​ and a buyer receiving nothing pays 000.

Copies. The instance Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies replaces each buyer iii by ∣Ji∣|J_i|∣Ji​∣ single-parameter agents, one per service j∈Jij \in J_ij∈Ji​ with value vjv_jvj​, under the same J\mathcal JJ.

Price menus. Given prices (pj)(p_j)(pj​) and an arrival order σ\sigmaσ, the price-menu mechanism approaches the buyers in order; buyer iii is offered the services of JiJ_iJi​ that can still be feasibly allocated, at prices pjp_jpj​, and buys a utility-maximizing one if some has pj≤vjp_j \le v_jpj​≤vj​.

Multiple copies of items. With items KKK and cap(k)\mathrm{cap}(k)cap(k) copies of item kkk, services are pairs (i,k)(i,k)(i,k) and a set of services is feasible if it gives each buyer at most one item and uses at most cap(k)\mathrm{cap}(k)cap(k) copies of kkk: the intersection of two partition matroids.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14

For regular distributions there are prices ppp such that, for every arrival order σ\sigmaσ, the price-menu mechanism Pσ\mathcal P_\sigmaPσ​ is truthful and

RA≤274 RPσ\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \tfrac{27}{4}\,\mathcal R^{\mathcal P_\sigma}RA≤427​RPσ​

for every individually rational, truthful deterministic mechanism A\mathcal AA.

Milestones

  • Truthful BMUMD mechanisms are weakly monotone (p. 13), and the allocation of Acopies\mathcal A^{\mathrm{copies}}Acopies is monotone in each vjv_jvj​ (p. 13).
  • Lemma 3: RA≤RA′\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \mathcal R^{\mathcal A'}RA≤RA′ for some truthful A′\mathcal A'A′ on Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies.
  • The price-menu mechanism allocates a maximal feasible set of services (p. 14).
  • Theorem 4: if RM′≤α Rpobl\mathcal R^{M'} \le \alpha\,\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}RM′≤αRpobl​ for every truthful M′M'M′ on Icopies\mathcal I^{\mathrm{copies}}Icopies, then RA≤α RPσ\mathcal R^{\mathcal A} \le \alpha\,\mathcal R^{\mathcal P_\sigma}RA≤αRPσ​ for every σ\sigmaσ and every truthful IR A\mathcal AA.
  • Lemma 2 (regular part): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M \le \sum_i p^M_i q^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​, with qiMq^M_iqiM​ the probability that MMM serves iii and Fi(piM)=1−qiMF_i(p^M_i) = 1 - q^M_iFi​(piM​)=1−qiM​.
  • Theorem 19 (existence form): a revenue-optimal truthful mechanism exists.
  • The claim ci≥4/9c_i \ge 4/9ci​≥4/9 of App. D.4: under ∑i′∈Pqi′≤cap(P)/3\sum_{i' \in P} q_{i'} \le \mathrm{cap}(P)/3∑i′∈P​qi′​≤cap(P)/3 in every part, with probability at least 4/94/94/9 neither part of iii is full without iii.
  • Theorem 13: for two partition matroids there are prices with RM≤274 Rpobl\mathcal R^M \le \tfrac{27}{4}\,\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}RM≤427​Rpobl​ for every truthful MMM.

Significance

The result shows that for unit-demand buyers, a seller loses at most a constant factor by replacing the optimal, possibly opaque, truthful mechanism with a menu of prices that does not depend on the order in which buyers arrive. The reduction of Theorem 4 is generic: any order-oblivious pricing for the single-parameter instance with copies, under any unit-demand constraint, transfers to the multi-parameter instance with the same factor. Theorem 13 supplies one such pricing for the intersection of two partition matroids, which is exactly the shape of the multi-unit, multi-item constraint.

All results here are proved in the paper and none is formalized elsewhere; the platform has Myerson's single-unit optimal auction and weak monotonicity in an abstract quasilinear model (Börgers), but no posted-price approximation, no copies reduction, and no order-oblivious revenue. The formal development adds a machine-checked account of the reduction (in particular that the price-menu mechanism is truthful and allocates a maximal feasible set for every order), a precise version of the probabilistic claim behind the constant 6.756.756.75, and reusable definitions of order-oblivious revenue and of multi-parameter truthfulness with the paper's individual rationality.

Difficulty

Lemma 3 needs more than the observation that the copies instance has more competition: one must build a truthful single-parameter mechanism with at least the same revenue. The allocation is copied, but the payments must be threshold payments of the copies mechanism, and showing they dominate the original payments uses both weak monotonicity and the paper's individual rationality, through the taxation principle.

Theorem 13 compares order-oblivious revenue with Myerson's revenue through the bound of Lemma 2, at prices built from Myerson's service probabilities scaled by 1/31/31/3. The step that is easy to get wrong is the probability that an agent is considered: the events "part P1P_1P1​ is not full" and "part P2P_2P2​ is not full" depend on overlapping agents, so the product bound (2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3)(2/3) does not follow from Markov's inequality alone; it holds because both events are decreasing in the set of desiring agents (Harris' inequality). The comparison must also be uniform: one set of prices must serve against every truthful mechanism, which requires an optimal mechanism to exist.

Formalization scope

  • Distributions (P1): each FjF_jFj​ has a measurable density, strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾j,v‾j]⊆[0,∞)[\underline v_j, \overline v_j] \subseteq [0, \infty)[v​j​,vj​]⊆[0,∞), with no mass outside. Values are independent (product prior).
  • Regularity (P2): the virtual value ϕ(v)=v−(1−F(v))/f(v)\phi(v) = v - (1 - F(v))/f(v)ϕ(v)=v−(1−F(v))/f(v) is non-decreasing on the support. It is assumed in Lemma 2, Theorem 19, Theorem 13 and the goal. Theorem 14 does not state it, but its proof goes through Theorem 13, which the paper proves for regular distributions; the non-regular extension (App. E, randomized prices) is out of scope, as is the second paragraph of Lemma 2.
  • Mechanisms (P3): deterministic; dominant-strategy truthful with misreports in the support (a buyer misreports all coordinates of JiJ_iJi​ at once); single-parameter IR is ex-post nonnegative utility; multi-parameter IR is the paper's (πi≤vj\pi_i \le v_jπi​≤vj​ if served jjj, πi=0\pi_i = 0πi​=0 if unserved); allocation events and payments measurable, payments integrable.
  • Benchmarks (P4): Myerson's mechanism is not constructed. "Approximates RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM" is stated against every truthful mechanism, and Lemma 3 and Theorem 19 in existence form.
  • Price menus: ties between utility-maximizing services are broken by a fixed enumeration of JJJ; a service of utility 000 is bought. Theorem 4 assumes α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0.
  • Dropped: the last sentence of Theorem 14 (polynomial-time computability of the prices) has no cost model here.
  • Constant: 6.756.756.75 is written 27/427/427/4 everywhere.
  • Not trivializable: the prices in Theorem 13 and the goal are chosen before the mechanism, and the benchmark includes every truthful mechanism, so a degenerate price vector cannot meet the bound; Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a genuine minimum over a nonempty finite class.

Needed infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: Myerson's characterization of truthful single-parameter mechanisms and the revenue–virtual-surplus identity for densities on intervals, Harris' inequality for product measures, and the taxation principle for deterministic multi-parameter mechanisms. Contributions on any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, STOC 2010; arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, R. Kleinberg, Algorithmic Pricing via Virtual Valuations, EC 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/0711.3203
  • A. M. Manelli, D. R. Vincent, Multidimensional mechanism design: Revenue maximization and the multiple-good monopoly, Journal of Economic Theory 137(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2006.12.007
  • T. E. Harris, A lower bound for the critical probability in a certain percolation process, Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 56, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100034241
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Variance-based Regularization with Convex Objectives I: The χ²-Robust Risk Equals Empirical Risk plus a Standard-Deviation PenaltyResearch Paper

Motivation

Many statistical procedures minimize an average observed loss. This treats two candidates with the same average as equally attractive even when one has much more variable losses across the sample. Adding a multiple of the empirical standard deviation can distinguish them, but the resulting objective need not be convex even when each individual loss is convex. Duchi and Namkoong study a distributionally robust alternative: they maximize expected loss over a small neighborhood of the empirical distribution, then minimize that worst-case value. Their paper identifies when this convex robust value agrees exactly with the mean-plus-standard-deviation expression and how far apart the two can be otherwise. The finite-sample statement is Theorem 1 of the pinned preprint.

The relation matters to someone choosing a loss function for stochastic optimization. The variance expression has a direct statistical interpretation, while the robust expression preserves convexity in a decision parameter when the loss is convex. Theorem 1 makes the relationship quantitative for a single bounded random variable, before the paper turns to uniform guarantees over whole classes of losses. This mission isolates that first step and its finite optimization model.

Setting

Take observed real values z1,…,znz_1,\ldots,z_nz1​,…,zn​, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Their empirical mean and empirical variance are

zˉ=1n∑i=1nzi,sn2=1n∑i=1nzi2−zˉ2.\bar z=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n z_i,\qquad s_n^2=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n z_i^2-\bar z^2.zˉ=n1​i=1∑n​zi​,sn2​=n1​i=1∑n​zi2​−zˉ2.

The variance uses 1/n1/n1/n, not the unbiased-estimator factor 1/(n−1)1/(n-1)1/(n−1). A weight vector p=(p1,…,pn)p=(p_1,\ldots,p_n)p=(p1​,…,pn​) is feasible when its entries are nonnegative, sum to one, and satisfy

12∑i=1n(npi−1)2≤ρ,ρ≥0.\frac12\sum_{i=1}^n(np_i-1)^2\le\rho,\qquad \rho\ge0.21​i=1∑n​(npi​−1)2≤ρ,ρ≥0.

This is the paper's χ² neighborhood Pn(ρ)\mathcal P_n(\rho)Pn​(ρ) of the uniform empirical weights. Its robust sample expectation is

Rn(z,ρ)=sup⁡p∈Pn(ρ)∑i=1npizi.R_n(z,\rho)=\sup_{p\in\mathcal P_n(\rho)}\sum_{i=1}^n p_i z_i.Rn​(z,ρ)=p∈Pn​(ρ)sup​i=1∑n​pi​zi​.

For a random variable ZZZ with law PPP supported on [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], write M=M1−M0M=M_1-M_0M=M1​−M0​ and σ2=Var⁡P(Z)\sigma^2=\operatorname{Var}_P(Z)σ2=VarP​(Z). An independent sample Z1,…,ZnZ_1,\ldots,Z_nZ1​,…,Zn​ supplies the vector zzz. The paper describes Pn\mathcal P_nPn​ through a ϕ\phiϕ-divergence from the empirical distribution, with ϕ(t)=12(t−1)2\phi(t)=\tfrac12(t-1)^2ϕ(t)=21​(t−1)2; its finite maximization problem (8) is the weight-vector form used here. The preprint, pp. 2 and 5–7 fixes these conventions.

Formalization targets

Deterministic bound

For every sample in [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], the robust value lies between the empirical mean plus a corrected variance penalty and the full penalty:

(2ρsn2n−2Mρn)+≤Rn(z,ρ)−zˉ≤2ρsn2n.\left(\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}-\frac{2M\rho}{n}\right)_+\le R_n(z,\rho)-\bar z\le\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}.(n2ρsn2​​​−n2Mρ​)+​≤Rn​(z,ρ)−zˉ≤n2ρsn2​​​.

This is inequality (10). The correction is explicit, so this target records more than an asymptotic approximation.

Exact expansion

When σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0 and the sample size obeys

n≥max⁡{5,M2σ2max⁡{8σ,44,44ρ}},n\ge\max\left\{5,\frac{M^2}{\sigma^2}\max\{8\sigma,44,44\rho\}\right\},n≥max{5,σ2M2​max{8σ,44,44ρ}},

the goal is the high-probability equality

Pr⁡{Rn(Z1:n,ρ)≠Zˉ+2ρsn2n}≤exp⁡(−nσ211M2).\Pr\left\{R_n(Z_{1:n},\rho)\ne\bar Z+\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}\right\}\le\exp\left(-\frac{n\sigma^2}{11M^2}\right).Pr{Rn​(Z1:n​,ρ)=Zˉ+n2ρsn2​​​}≤exp(−11M2nσ2​).

This is Theorem 1's equality (11) with the missing ρ\rhoρ-dependent sample-size requirement supplied from the proof. The exact expansion is the mission goal; display (30), inequality (10), and Lemma A.2 form the milestone list, and the exact value under condition (9) is a further statement of the mission.

Significance

The deterministic result states how large the discrepancy between a convex robust risk and a variance penalty can be for any bounded sample. The equality says that, with the stated confidence, no discrepancy remains once the population variance and sample size make the penalty compatible with nonnegative probability weights. These are the numerical facts later sections need when they move from one loss variable to families of losses and minimizers. The claims and constants come from Theorem 1 and Section 2.1.

The paper develops arguments for these results, although its printed (11) needs the correction described below; the statements in this mission have no machine-checked proofs yet. The formalization work includes the finite χ² feasible set, its real supremum, exact handling of tied observations, empirical moments with the paper's normalization, and a product-law event for the probability estimate. The Samson concentration milestone is reusable for other bounded independent-coordinate models. Solvers can also contribute a different route to the corrected exact expansion; the goal concerns the statement, not one chosen argument.

Difficulty

Without the nonnegativity requirement on ppp, optimizing a linear function over the centered Euclidean ball gives the mean plus a standard-deviation term. The candidate weights can become negative when a sample coordinate is far below the mean, so that calculation alone cannot certify the robust value. Condition (9) records precisely when the candidate is feasible. The probability target then needs a quantitative guarantee that the sample variance is large enough often enough, with the stated exponential constant. A pointwise inequality for a fixed sample does not by itself yield that probability estimate. These are separate obligations in Section 2.1 and Appendix A.

Formalization scope

The sample is a function Fin n → ℝ; feasible weights have the same type. chiSqBall, robustSup, empMean, and empVar mirror equations (8) and the definitions on p. 6. Every theorem assumes n>0n>0n>0 and ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, so the weight ball is nonempty and its real supremum is bounded. The high-probability theorem uses a probability measure PPP on the reals, supported on [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], and the independent product measure on Fin n → ℝ. Its conclusion bounds the measure of the event on which equality fails. The positive population variance hypothesis makes division by σ2\sigma^2σ2 and M2M^2M2 meaningful. The deterministic bounds include every sample in the interval and use x+=max⁡{x,0}x_+=\max\{x,0\}x+​=max{x,0}.

The paper prints the threshold without 44ρ44\rho44ρ in (11), but its Appendix A invokes the corresponding inequality, and the printed claim fails for sufficiently large ρ\rhoρ. The goal includes that term. The paper's route through Lemmas A.1 and A.4 contains misprinted lower-tail and moment claims, so those are not milestones. Lemma A.3's displayed (31b) is also omitted because its correction term has the wrong scaling; the corrected goal stands as a target to establish independently. These discrepancies are detailed in the local moderation notes and the pinned source, pp. 7 and 32–35.

No hypothesis may force the bad event to be empty, and the robust value must optimize over all feasible weights, not a selected optimizer. The supporting definitions are intended for reuse in later missions on uniform variance expansions. Contributions to the finite optimization facts, the concentration statement, and the probability goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. C. Duchi and H. Namkoong, Variance-based regularization with convex objectives, arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.02581v3, 2017. Pinned preprint.
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Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem: The Two-Echelon Optimal Cost Splits into the Isolated Installation-1 Cost Plus a Function of Echelon StockResearch Paper

Motivation

Most physical supply chains hold stock at several levels: a factory warehouse feeds a regional depot, which feeds a retail outlet. Each level orders from the one above it, and a shortage upstream delays replenishment downstream. Optimizing such a multi-echelon system by dynamic programming looks hopeless, because the state is a vector of stock levels and stock in transit at every installation, and the value function of a two-installation system with a two-period shipping lag already depends on three continuous variables.

Andrew J. Clark and Herbert Scarf (Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960) showed that for a serial system this curse of dimensionality disappears. Working with echelon stock (the stock at a level plus everything below it or in transit to a lower level), the optimal system cost separates into the cost of the lowest installation, optimized as if it stood alone, plus a function of echelon stock only. The result is the foundation of multi-echelon inventory theory: the echelon base-stock policies used in practice, the stationary analyses of Federgruen and Zipkin (1984) and Chen and Zheng (1994), and textbook treatments (Zipkin, Foundations of Inventory Management, 2000; Snyder and Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory) all descend from it.

Timeline. Arrow, Harris and Marschak (1951) and Arrow, Karlin and Scarf (1958) set up periodic-review inventory models with discounted costs. Karlin and Scarf (1958) treated a single installation with a delivery lag, reducing it to a problem without lag (the paper's facts 1–3). Clark and Scarf (1960) proved the decomposition for serial systems with linear shipping costs and a setup cost permitted only at the top. Federgruen and Zipkin (1984) extended it to infinite horizons and Chen and Zheng (1994) gave a lower-bound proof that reaches more general structures.

Setting

Two installations are in series. Customer demand occurs only at installation 1; its demand in each period is non-negative with density φ\varphiφ on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), independent across periods, and excess demand is backlogged. Installation 2 ships to installation 1 with a two-period lead time at unit cost c1≥0c_1\ge0c1​≥0. The system orders z≥0z\ge0z≥0 units from outside at cost c(z)=K+czc(z)=K+czc(z)=K+cz for z>0z>0z>0 and c(0)=0c(0)=0c(0)=0 (eq. (5)); these arrive at installation 2 one period later. Costs nnn periods ahead are discounted by αn\alpha^nαn, α≥0\alpha\ge0α≥0.

The state at the start of a period is (x1,w1,x2)(x_1,w_1,x_2)(x1​,w1​,x2​): x1x_1x1​ is the stock on hand at installation 1, w1w_1w1​ the stock that reaches installation 1 next period, and x2x_2x2​ the echelon-2 stock (on hand at both installations plus in transit), so x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​. Installation 1 pays the expected holding and shortage cost (1),

L(x)={hx+p∫x∞(t−x)φ(t) dt,x>0,p∫0∞(t−x)φ(t) dt,x≤0,L(x)=\begin{cases}hx+p\int_x^\infty(t-x)\varphi(t)\,dt,&x>0,\\ p\int_0^\infty(t-x)\varphi(t)\,dt,&x\le0,\end{cases}L(x)={hx+p∫x∞​(t−x)φ(t)dt,p∫0∞​(t−x)φ(t)dt,​x>0,x≤0,​

and echelon 2 pays a natural one-period cost L~(x2)\tilde L(x_2)L~(x2​) (Assumption 3).

With nnn periods remaining, the optimal system cost Cn(x1,w1,x2)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​) satisfies, with C0≡0C_0\equiv0C0​≡0,

Cn(x1,w1,x2)=min⁡x1+w1≤y≤x20≤z{c(z)+c1(y−x1−w1)+L~(x2)+L(x1)+α∫0∞Cn−1(x1+w1−t, y−x1−w1, x2+z−t)φ(t) dt}(14)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)=\min_{\substack{x_1+w_1\le y\le x_2\\0\le z}}\Big\{c(z)+c_1(y-x_1-w_1)+\tilde L(x_2)+L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty C_{n-1}(x_1+w_1-t,\,y-x_1-w_1,\,x_2+z-t)\varphi(t)\,dt\Big\}\qquad(14)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​)=x1​+w1​≤y≤x2​0≤z​min​{c(z)+c1​(y−x1​−w1​)+L~(x2​)+L(x1​)+α∫0∞​Cn−1​(x1​+w1​−t,y−x1​−w1​,x2​+z−t)φ(t)dt}(14)

where yyy is installation 1's target (stock on hand plus in transit after shipping). Installation 1 in isolation, buying at unit cost c1c_1c1​ with a two-period lag, has optimal cost C^n(x1,w1)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)C^n​(x1​,w1​), C^0≡0\hat C_0\equiv0C^0​≡0:

C^n(x1,w1)=min⁡y≥x1+w1{c1(y−x1−w1)+L(x1)+α∫0∞C^n−1(x1+w1−t, y−x1−w1)φ(t) dt}.(15)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)=\min_{y\ge x_1+w_1}\Big\{c_1(y-x_1-w_1)+L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty\hat C_{n-1}(x_1+w_1-t,\,y-x_1-w_1)\varphi(t)\,dt\Big\}.\qquad(15)C^n​(x1​,w1​)=y≥x1​+w1​min​{c1​(y−x1​−w1​)+L(x1​)+α∫0∞​C^n−1​(x1​+w1​−t,y−x1​−w1​)φ(t)dt}.(15)

In Lean these are ClarkScarf.Serial.Model.sysCost and isoCost; the expressions in braces are sysObj and isoObj, indexed by nnn for the problem with n+1n+1n+1 periods remaining.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 482)

There are functions gng_ngn​ with g1=L~g_1=\tilde Lg1​=L~ such that, for all n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​,

Cn(x1,w1,x2)=C^n(x1,w1)+gn(x2),(16)C_n(x_1,w_1,x_2)=\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)+g_n(x_2),\qquad(16)Cn​(x1​,w1​,x2​)=C^n​(x1​,w1​)+gn​(x2​),(16)

and installation 1 acts optimally by aiming at an isolated-optimal target y^\hat yy^​ and taking min⁡(x2,y^)\min(x_2,\hat y)min(x2​,y^​), as much as installation 2 can supply. The goal fixes no form for gng_ngn​ and needs no critical numbers.

Milestones

  1. Convexity of y↦α∫ ⁣ ⁣∫L(y−t1−t2)φ(t1)φ(t2)y\mapsto\alpha\int\!\!\int L(y-t_1-t_2)\varphi(t_1)\varphi(t_2)y↦α∫∫L(y−t1​−t2​)φ(t1​)φ(t2​) (§2 item 2, p. 478).
  2. The isolated decomposition C^n(x1,w1)=L(x1)+α∫0∞L(x1+w1−t)φ(t) dt+fn(x1+w1)\hat C_n(x_1,w_1)=L(x_1)+\alpha\int_0^\infty L(x_1+w_1-t)\varphi(t)\,dt+f_n(x_1+w_1)C^n​(x1​,w1​)=L(x1​)+α∫0∞​L(x1​+w1​−t)φ(t)dt+fn​(x1​+w1​) for n≥2n\ge2n≥2, with fnf_nfn​ of (7) (p. 480).
  3. Convexity of every fnf_nfn​ (§2 item 3, p. 478).
  4. Eqs. (18)–(19) (p. 483): the system cost when echelon-2 stock is above or below the isolated critical number xˉn\bar x_nxˉn​.
  5. Eqs. (21)–(25) (pp. 483–484): the shortfall cost Λn\Lambda_nΛn​ depends on x2x_2x2​ alone,
Λn(x2)=c1(x2−xˉn)+α2∫0∞ ⁣ ⁣∫0∞[L(x2−t−y)−L(xˉn−t−y)]φ(t)φ(y) dy dt+α∫0∞[fn−1(x2−t)−fn−1(xˉn−t)]φ(t) dt.\Lambda_n(x_2)=c_1(x_2-\bar x_n)+\alpha^2\int_0^\infty\!\!\int_0^\infty[L(x_2-t-y)-L(\bar x_n-t-y)]\varphi(t)\varphi(y)\,dy\,dt+\alpha\int_0^\infty[f_{n-1}(x_2-t)-f_{n-1}(\bar x_n-t)]\varphi(t)\,dt.Λn​(x2​)=c1​(x2​−xˉn​)+α2∫0∞​∫0∞​[L(x2​−t−y)−L(xˉn​−t−y)]φ(t)φ(y)dydt+α∫0∞​[fn−1​(x2​−t)−fn−1​(xˉn​−t)]φ(t)dt.
  1. Theorem 2 (p. 484), the explicit form: given critical numbers, gng_ngn​ is computed by (26), gn(x2)=min⁡z≥0{c(z)+L~(x2)+Λn(x2)+α∫gn−1(x2+z−t)φ(t) dt}g_n(x_2)=\min_{z\ge0}\{c(z)+\tilde L(x_2)+\Lambda_n(x_2)+\alpha\int g_{n-1}(x_2+z-t)\varphi(t)\,dt\}gn​(x2​)=minz≥0​{c(z)+L~(x2​)+Λn​(x2​)+α∫gn−1​(x2​+z−t)φ(t)dt}.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 replaces one three-dimensional dynamic program by two one-dimensional ones. Installation 1 solves its own problem (15), whose solution is a critical-number policy, and echelon 2 solves a single-installation problem in x2x_2x2​ with one-period cost L~+Λn\tilde L+\Lambda_nL~+Λn​. When L~\tilde LL~ is convex the augmented cost is convex (the paper remarks this for Expression (10)), so the echelon-2 policy is of (S,s)(S,s)(S,s) type by Scarf's theorem, and the whole system runs on echelon base-stock rules. Every later serial-system result, finite or infinite horizon, uses this decomposition or its proof idea, and the "induced penalty" Λn\Lambda_nΛn​ is the prototype of the penalty functions used in the multi-echelon literature.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved, but no machine-checked version exists. The published platform items on Clark–Scarf are a stationary single-period decomposition with normal demand and a disproved infinite-horizon base-stock recursion, neither of which is this finite-horizon dynamic program. A formal development produces the value functions (14)–(15) with real infima and set integrals, the measurability and integrability of value functions defined by infima, the convexity propagation through the recursion (7), and the decomposition itself, which are reusable for any finite-horizon inventory recursion with lead times.

Difficulty

The obvious induction on nnn substitutes (16) into (14) and separates the minimizations over yyy and zzz. The separation is immediate; the hard step is that the constrained minimum over x1+w1≤y≤x2x_1+w_1\le y\le x_2x1​+w1​≤y≤x2​ differs from the unconstrained one by an amount that a priori depends on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​). Showing that it depends on x2x_2x2​ alone is the content of Theorem 1; nothing in the separation step itself rules out a dependence on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​). On the measure-theoretic side, every value function is defined by an infimum over an uncountable set and then integrated against φ\varphiφ. Its measurability and integrability are not automatic, and they must be established before any identity between integrals can be manipulated.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in ClarkScarf.Serial, one definition file Def_ClarkScarf_Serial_Model and seven theorem files. Conventions committed to:

  • The model is a structure Model whose fields carry the data and the standing hypotheses: h,p,α,c1,K,c≥0h,p,\alpha,c_1,K,c\ge0h,p,α,c1​,K,c≥0; φ≥0\varphi\ge0φ≥0 with ∫0∞φ=1\int_0^\infty\varphi=1∫0∞​φ=1; and two additions the page leaves implicit, disclosed in each statement: a finite demand mean (otherwise (1) is infinite for x≤0x\le0x≤0) and L~\tilde LL~ non-negative, continuous and of at most linear growth (Assumption 3 leaves L~\tilde LL~ unspecified; these make every expectation in (14) finite and measurable). No discount bound α<1\alpha<1α<1, no convexity of L~\tilde LL~, no K=0K=0K=0 and no sign condition on w1w_1w1​ is assumed.
  • Expectations are set integrals ∫(0,∞)F(t)φ(t) dt\int_{(0,\infty)}F(t)\varphi(t)\,dt∫(0,∞)​F(t)φ(t)dt; "Min" is a real infimum over a nonempty feasible set of a non-negative objective.
  • Every statement about CnC_nCn​ is restricted to the state domain x1+w1≤x2x_1+w_1\le x_2x1​+w1​≤x2​; outside it the feasible set of (14) is empty.
  • The horizon index counts periods remaining, C0≡C^0≡0C_0\equiv\hat C_0\equiv0C0​≡C^0​≡0, and fn≡0f_n\equiv0fn​≡0 for n≤2n\le2n≤2.

A formalization in which the feasible set of (14) is empty, in which the expectations are junk zeros of non-integrable integrands, or in which gng_ngn​ may depend on (x1,w1)(x_1,w_1)(x1​,w1​) would make (16) trivial; the domain restriction, the integrability conditions and the order ∃g ∀x1,w1,x2\exists g\,\forall x_1,w_1,x_2∃g∀x1​,w1​,x2​ rule these out. A sorry-free check (not part of the mission) verifies C1=L(x1)+L~(x2)C_1=L(x_1)+\tilde L(x_2)C1​=L(x1​)+L~(x2​) and C^1=L(x1)\hat C_1=L(x_1)C^1​=L(x1​) and exhibits a model with exponential demand satisfying all hypotheses.

Needed infrastructure: Fubini-type rearrangement of iterated set integrals against a density, integrability of functions of linear growth against a finite-mean density, convexity preserved under infimal projection u↦inf⁡y≥uu\mapsto\inf_{y\ge u}u↦infy≥u​ and under convolution with a density, and measurability of infimum-defined functions. Contributions of these general lemmas, of the base cases n=1,2n=1,2n=1,2, and of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. J. Clark and H. Scarf, Optimal Policies for a Multi-Echelon Inventory Problem, Management Science 6(4):475–490, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.4.475
  • S. Karlin and H. Scarf, Inventory Models of the Arrow-Harris-Marschak Type with Time Lag, in Arrow, Karlin, Scarf (eds.), Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, Stanford University Press, 1958.
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (S, s) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
  • A. Federgruen and P. Zipkin, Computational Issues in an Infinite-Horizon, Multiechelon Inventory Model, Operations Research 32(4):818–836, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.4.818
  • F. Chen and Y.-S. Zheng, Lower Bounds for Multi-Echelon Stochastic Inventory Systems, Management Science 40(11):1426–1443, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.11.1426
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Algorithm 97: Shortest Path: Floyd's Procedure Computes the Shortest Path Length Between Every Pair of PointsResearch Paper

Motivation

Routing and network optimization often require the length of the best route between every ordered pair of points. Robert W. Floyd's Algorithm 97 gives a compact procedure for this task: it receives a matrix of direct-link lengths and changes the matrix in place until each entry is meant to represent a shortest-path length. The procedure is a small historical source for an algorithm now used as a standard all-pairs shortest-path routine. Its published text consists of the ALGOL code and a short explanatory comment, without a correctness proof.

The same page contains Floyd's Algorithm 96, a Boolean procedure for ancestor relations. Its output records whether a chain of parent links connects two individuals. Floyd cites Warshall's theorem on Boolean matrices in both comments. The Boolean procedure and the length procedure use the same order of three loops; together they expose the distinction between discovering that a route exists and determining its best length. This mission formalizes both claims from Floyd's published page, with the shortest-path statement as its goal.

Setting

A directed network has nnn numbered points. Its length matrix www assigns a real number w(i,j)w(i,j)w(i,j) to a direct link from iii to jjj. The value ∞\infty∞ means that the direct link is absent. Links may have negative lengths, and the initial diagonal entries w(i,i)w(i,i)w(i,i) are unrestricted. The paper's matrix index range is 1,…,n1,\ldots,n1,…,n; the Lean development uses 0,…,n−10,\ldots,n-10,…,n−1 in the same order.

A path from iii to jjj is a sequence p0=i,p1,…,pL=jp_0=i,p_1,\ldots,p_L=jp0​=i,p1​,…,pL​=j with L≥1L\ge1L≥1 links. The points p0,…,pL−1p_0,\ldots,p_{L-1}p0​,…,pL−1​ are distinct, as are p1,…,pLp_1,\ldots,p_Lp1​,…,pL​. Thus a path between different points has no repeated point, while a path from a point to itself is a simple closed path with at least one link. Its length is ℓw(p)=∑t=0L−1w(pt,pt+1)\ell_w(p)=\sum_{t=0}^{L-1}w(p_t,p_{t+1})ℓw​(p)=∑t=0L−1​w(pt​,pt+1​); a missing link gives length ∞\infty∞. Write dw(i,j)d_w(i,j)dw​(i,j) for the minimum length among these paths, taking dw(i,j)=∞d_w(i,j)=\inftydw​(i,j)=∞ when there is no finite-length path. Since L≤nL\le nL≤n, this is a minimum over a finite family.

The no-negative-cycle condition says that every closed path has nonnegative length. Individual links can still be negative. This condition matters because, in a network with a negative cycle, repeated travel around that cycle can keep reducing a walk's length. Floyd's comment does not state the condition, although the claimed output needs it.

Algorithm 97 scans a pivot iii, then row jjj, then column kkk, each in increasing order. It enters the column scan when the current m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) is finite; if the current m(i,k)m(i,k)m(i,k) is also finite, it computes s=m(j,i)+m(i,k)s=m(j,i)+m(i,k)s=m(j,i)+m(i,k) and replaces m(j,k)m(j,k)m(j,k) when s<m(j,k)s<m(j,k)s<m(j,k). Every replacement affects subsequent reads of the same matrix. Algorithm 96 makes the corresponding Boolean update: when m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) and m(i,k)m(i,k)m(i,k) are true, it sets m(j,k)m(j,k)m(j,k) to true.

Formalization targets

Reachability and missing paths

For Algorithm 96, let b+b^+b+ be the transitive closure of the initial parent relation bbb, using chains of one or more links. Its comment asserts

ancestor⁡(b)(i,j)=true⟺ib+j.\operatorname{ancestor}(b)(i,j)=\mathrm{true}\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad i\mathrel{b^+}j.ancestor(b)(i,j)=true⟺ib+j.

For Algorithm 97, the separate unreachable-pair sentence asserts that, whenever no finite-length path runs from iii to jjj,

shortestPath⁡(w)(i,j)=∞.\operatorname{shortestPath}(w)(i,j)=\infty.shortestPath(w)(i,j)=∞.

This second target needs no condition on cycle lengths. Both statements are milestones because they are claims printed in the two algorithm comments, rather than lemmas invented for the formalization.

Complete shortest-path matrix

The goal is the whole output claim of Algorithm 97. For every nnn, every matrix www with no negative cycle, and all points i,ji,ji,j,

shortestPath⁡(w)(i,j)=dw(i,j).\operatorname{shortestPath}(w)(i,j)=d_w(i,j).shortestPath(w)(i,j)=dw​(i,j).

The equality includes paths with negative individual links, diagonal entries, and unreachable pairs. It fixes the entire final matrix, rather than only an upper or lower bound.

Significance

The goal connects an explicit in-place matrix program with a route-based definition of shortest length. Once established, it permits later formal developments to use the procedure as a justified all-pairs distance computation, including networks whose individual links have negative lengths. The Boolean milestone similarly identifies the final state of an ancestor procedure with the transitive closure of the initial relation. Neither assertion requires treating an implementation's output as the definition of the mathematical answer.

Floyd's 1962 paper states these outcomes but supplies no proof. This mission supplies precise Lean statements and definitions for a proof to target. A completed machine-checked development would establish the published procedure's correctness under the missing necessary premise. The statements in this proposal are currently open theorem targets; compiling their declarations checks syntax and types, not their proofs. Supporting work on finite paths, cycle decompositions, and matrix updates can be reused in other finite directed-network arguments.

Difficulty

The array is changed in place. During a pivot's sweep, an entry used in a later update may already differ from its value at the start of that pivot. The test on m(j,i)m(j,i)m(j,i) is evaluated before the column loop, but the same entry is read again within every column iteration. A proof based only on a simultaneous, out-of-place matrix recurrence does not directly describe these reads. Negative individual links also prevent arguments that rely on every update decreasing only through a nonnegative segment. The no-negative-cycle condition must control what happens when a proposed route returns to a point already visited.

Formalization scope

Points are Fin n, including the empty network at n=0n=0n=0 and the single-point network at n=1n=1n=1. Lengths are WithTop ℝ, where ⊤ represents the paper's ₁₀10 sentinel as mathematical infinity. The paper's literal sentinel is 101010^{10}1010; a finite bound cannot represent arbitrarily long paths, so this mission uses infinity in its goal. The ALGOL real operations are represented by exact real arithmetic. The printed procedure's loop order, strict comparison, two finiteness guards, and immediate assignments are part of the Lean definition.

The initial diagonal is not normalized. Therefore a path from iii to itself has at least one link, and the final diagonal denotes a shortest closed-path length when one exists. The Boolean comment's “is true if” is read as an equivalence, supported by its following explanation of the final matrix; chains have one or more links, matching Lean's Relation.TransGen.

The sole added hypothesis in the main goal is absence of negative cycles. It is necessary: with one point and self-link length −1-1−1, the procedure changes that entry to −2-2−2, although the shortest simple closed path has length −1-1−1. No nonnegative-link or zero-diagonal premise is imposed. The unreachable-pair milestone omits the cycle hypothesis because its claim holds without it. The benchmark dwd_wdw​ is a finite minimum of summed link lengths, defined independently of Algorithm 97; defining it from the procedure or its recurrence would empty the goal of its intended content. Contributions proving the printed algorithms' statements, or establishing reusable finite-path and update results needed for them, fit this scope.

Selected references

  • Robert W. Floyd, Algorithm 97: Shortest Path, Communications of the ACM 5(6), 1962, p. 345. DOI 10.1145/367766.368168.
  • Robert W. Floyd, Algorithm 96: Ancestor, Communications of the ACM 5(6), 1962, pp. 344–345, in the same published Algorithms department scan.
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Graph TheoryLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources VIII: A Vertex Schedule Maximizes the Net Present Value iff Its Spanning-Tree Subprojects Have the Right SignsTextbook

Motivation

Long-running projects such as construction, plant engineering or software development involve payments to and from the contractor at many points in time: disbursements when activities are carried out, progress payments when milestones are reached. When the planning horizon is long, money received later is worth less, and the natural financial objective is the net present value of all cash flows. Scheduling a project to maximize its net present value subject to minimum and maximum time lags was studied by Russell (1970) and Grinold (1972), and the problem is the prototype of a nonregular objective: delaying an activity can be profitable, because disbursements lose value when they are postponed.

This mission follows Chapter 3 of Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources (2nd ed., Springer 2003). The book shows that the net present value objective belongs to the class of binary-monotone objective functions (§3.3.5), and it uses this in §3.9.1 to give a combinatorial optimality criterion for the resource-free problem: a vertex schedule is optimal exactly when the subprojects cut off by the arcs of a spanning tree have net present values of the right sign (Proposition 3.9.2). That criterion drives the book's parametric analysis of the net present value as a function of the discount rate and the deadline.

Setting

A project consists of activities V={0,1,…,n+1}V=\{0,1,\dots,n+1\}V={0,1,…,n+1}, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, where 000 is the project beginning and n+1n+1n+1 the project completion. Activity iii has an integer duration pip_ipi​, with p0=pn+1=0p_0=p_{n+1}=0p0​=pn+1​=0 and pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 otherwise. Temporal constraints are the arcs of a project network N=⟨V,E;δ⟩N=\langle V,E;\delta\rangleN=⟨V,E;δ⟩: an arc ⟨i,j⟩\langle i,j\rangle⟨i,j⟩ with integer weight δij\delta_{ij}δij​ requires Sj−Si≥δijS_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​≥δij​ for the start times SiS_iSi​. A maximum project duration dˉ\bar ddˉ is the arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ with weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ. The time-feasible region is

ST={S∈R≥0n+2∣S0=0, Sj−Si≥δij (⟨i,j⟩∈E)}.\mathcal S_T=\{S\in\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge0}\mid S_0=0,\ S_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}\ (\langle i,j\rangle\in E)\}.ST​={S∈R≥0n+2​∣S0​=0, Sj​−Si​≥δij​ (⟨i,j⟩∈E)}.

Let 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1 be the discount rate (β=1/(1+I)\beta=1/(1+I)β=1/(1+I) for an interest rate III) and ciF∈Rc_i^F\in\mathbb RciF​∈R the cash flow of activity iii, paid at its completion time Ci=Si+piC_i=S_i+p_iCi​=Si​+pi​. The problem (3.9.1) is

minimize f(S)=−∑i∈VciFβSi+pisubject to S∈ST,\text{minimize } f(S)=-\sum_{i\in V}c_i^F\beta^{S_i+p_i}\quad\text{subject to } S\in\mathcal S_T,minimize f(S)=−i∈V∑​ciF​βSi​+pi​subject to S∈ST​,

and a minimizer is a time-optimal schedule. A vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is an extreme point. A spanning tree G=⟨V,EG⟩G=\langle V,E^G\rangleG=⟨V,EG⟩ is associated with SSS if EG⊆EE^G\subseteq EEG⊆E, EGE^GEG has n+1n+1n+1 arcs and a connected underlying undirected graph, and SSS is the unique solution of S0=0S_0=0S0​=0, Sj−Si=δijS_j-S_i=\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​=δij​ for ⟨i,j⟩∈EG\langle i,j\rangle\in E^G⟨i,j⟩∈EG. Deleting a tree arc ⟨i,j⟩\langle i,j\rangle⟨i,j⟩ splits GGG into two subtrees; VijV_{ij}Vij​ is the node set of the one not containing 000. The arc is forward if the tree path from 000 passes it from iii to jjj and backward otherwise, and

npvij(S)=∑h∈VijchFβSh+phnpv^{ij}(S)=\sum_{h\in V_{ij}}c_h^F\beta^{S_h+p_h}npvij(S)=h∈Vij​∑​chF​βSh​+ph​

is the net present value of the subproject VijV_{ij}Vij​. Finally, fff is binary-monotone if it is monotone on every line {S+λz≥0∣λ∈R}\{S+\lambda z\ge0\mid\lambda\in\mathbb R\}{S+λz≥0∣λ∈R} with direction z∈{0,1}n+2z\in\{0,1\}^{n+2}z∈{0,1}n+2 (Definition 3.3.2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3.9.2, pinned reading

Assume every node is reached from 000 by a path of nonnegative length (the standing convention of §1.2) and let SSS be a vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​.

(sufficiency)G associated with S,  npvij(S)≥0 on forward arcs, npvij(S)≤0 on backward arcs ⟹ S time-optimal;\text{(sufficiency)}\quad G \text{ associated with } S,\ \ npv^{ij}(S)\ge0 \text{ on forward arcs},\ npv^{ij}(S)\le0 \text{ on backward arcs}\ \Longrightarrow\ S \text{ time-optimal};(sufficiency)G associated with S,  npvij(S)≥0 on forward arcs, npvij(S)≤0 on backward arcs ⟹ S time-optimal; (necessity, β<1)S time-optimal ⟹ ∃ G associated with S satisfying the sign conditions.\text{(necessity, } \beta<1)\quad S \text{ time-optimal}\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, G \text{ associated with } S \text{ satisfying the sign conditions}.(necessity, β<1)S time-optimal ⟹ ∃G associated with S satisfying the sign conditions.

The book states "if and only if … for each arc of the corresponding spanning tree", where the corresponding tree is chosen using optimality. The two directions above are the reading that makes the statement well defined: sufficiency for every associated tree, necessity for some associated tree.

Milestones

  1. §3.3.5: the net present value objective is binary-monotone and sum-separable.
  2. §3.9.1: if ST\mathcal S_TST​ is nonempty and bounded, some vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is time-optimal.
  3. Proposition 3.2.16: every vertex of ST\mathcal S_TST​ has an associated spanning tree, an outtree rooted at 000 if the vertex is a minimal point.
  4. Proposition 3.5.4: a directed forest with at least one node has a source with at most one successor or a sink with exactly one predecessor.

Significance

Proposition 3.9.2 turns a nonconvex continuous optimization problem into a finite check on a spanning tree. Read as an economic statement, it says that at an optimal schedule no subproject with positive net present value can be started earlier and no subproject with negative net present value can be postponed. The book builds on it the parametric procedure of §3.9.1, which tracks the optimal tree as the discount rate or the deadline varies (Propositions 3.9.3 and 3.9.4), and the steepest descent method of §3.5.2 terminates exactly when the criterion holds.

The results are proved in the book, partly by reference to network optimization (Ahuja et al., 1993) and to Schwindt and Zimmermann (2001, 2002). None of them is formalized on the platform or, as far as is known, anywhere else. A formal proof would give the first machine-checked optimality certificate for a nonregular project scheduling objective, and the spanning-tree description of vertices (Proposition 3.2.16) is shared with Mission VI of this series.

Difficulty

The objective fff is neither convex nor concave when cash flows of both signs occur, so local optimality at a vertex does not imply global optimality by a convexity argument, and a first-order check along the edges of ST\mathcal S_TST​ is not obviously enough. The criterion is also not a statement about one tree: a degenerate vertex, where more than n+1n+1n+1 temporal constraints are binding, has several associated trees, and the sign conditions may hold on some and fail on others. Necessity therefore requires producing a suitable tree, not checking a given one. Finally, the combinatorial objects (the subtree VijV_{ij}Vij​, forward and backward orientation relative to the root) have to be connected to the geometry of ST\mathcal S_TST​ through Proposition 3.2.16, whose proof in the book is a citation.

Formalization scope

Activities are Fin (n + 2) with 0 the project beginning and Fin.last (n+1) the project completion; start times are real; durations are natural numbers and arc weights integers. The deadline is a structure field together with the backward arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ of weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ. βx\beta^xβx is Real.rpow, and every statement assumes 0<β≤10<\beta\le10<β≤1 as the book does (p. 203). Vertices are Set.extremePoints ℝ. A spanning tree is a Finset of n+1n+1n+1 arcs whose SimpleGraph.fromRel is connected; VijV_{ij}Vij​ is the set of nodes not reachable from 000 once the arc is deleted.

Three readings are committed and disclosed in the item statements. Necessity is stated only for β<1\beta<1β<1: at β=1\beta=1β=1 the objective is constant, every schedule is optimal, and the sign conditions can fail on every tree. The standing convention of §1.2 (a path of nonnegative length from 000 to every node) is a hypothesis of Proposition 3.2.16 and of the goal; without it a vertex can be fixed by Si≥0S_i\ge0Si​≥0 rather than by arcs of NNN, and necessity fails. The existence of an optimal vertex assumes ST\mathcal S_TST​ nonempty and bounded, which the book asserts in §3.1. Chapter 3's resource constraints do not occur in this mission, which concerns PS∞∣temp,dˉ∣fPS\infty|temp,\bar d|fPS∞∣temp,dˉ∣f only.

The goal cannot be discharged by choosing the tree freely: associated trees must consist of arcs of NNN that are binding at SSS and determine SSS uniquely, and sufficiency must hold for every such tree. Contributions welcome beyond the milestones: a proof of Proposition 3.2.16 reusable by Mission VI, and a general lemma relating binding spanning trees of difference constraints to extreme points.

Selected references

  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003, §3.1 (p. 203), §3.3.5 (pp. 224–225), §3.5.2 (p. 252), §3.9.1 (pp. 333–334). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2
  • A. H. Russell, "Cash flows in networks", Management Science 16 (1970), 357–373. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.16.5.357
  • R. C. Grinold, "The payment scheduling problem", Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 19 (1972), 123–136.
  • C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, "A steepest ascent approach to maximizing the net present value of projects", Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 53 (2001), 435–450.
  • C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, "Parametrische Optimierung als Instrument zur Bewertung von Investitionsprojekten", Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft 72 (2002), 593–617.
  • R. K. Ahuja, T. L. Magnanti, J. B. Orlin, Network Flows, Prentice Hall, 1993.
  • C. Berge, Graphs and Hypergraphs, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976.
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Nonlinear Programming Algorithm for Solving Semidefinite Programs via Low-rank Factorization: A Regular Local Minimum That Stays Locally Minimal After Adding a Zero Column Solves the SDPResearch Paper

Motivation

Semidefinite programs (SDPs) arise as convex relaxations of combinatorial problems such as maximum cut and the Lovász theta function, and in control and eigenvalue optimization. Interior-point methods solve them reliably but manipulate dense n×nn\times nn×n matrices, which limits the size of the instances they can handle. Burer and Monteiro (Math. Program. 95 (2003)) proposed replacing the matrix variable X⪰0X\succeq 0X⪰0 by a factorization X=RRTX=RR^{T}X=RRT with RRR having only rrr columns, and solving the resulting nonconvex program by a first-order augmented Lagrangian method. The approach rests on a theorem of Barvinok (1995) and Pataki (1998): an SDP with mmm linear constraints has an optimal solution of rank rrr with r(r+1)/2≤mr(r+1)/2\le mr(r+1)/2≤m, so a small number of columns suffices.

Because the factorized problem is nonconvex, a local minimum it returns is not automatically a solution of the SDP. Section 2 of the paper gives conditions under which it is. This mission formalizes those conditions, culminating in Proposition 2.5, which justifies the paper's strategy of increasing the rank one column at a time.

Setting

For real p×qp\times qp×q matrices, the trace inner product is A∙B=trace⁡(ATB)A\bullet B=\operatorname{trace}(A^{T}B)A∙B=trace(ATB). The data are symmetric matrices C,A1,…,Am∈SnC, A_1,\dots,A_m\in\mathcal S^nC,A1​,…,Am​∈Sn and a vector b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm. The primal SDP and dual SDP are

(1)min⁡{C∙X:Ai∙X=bi, i=1,…,m, X⪰0},(3)max⁡{bTy:S=C−∑i=1myiAi, S⪰0}.\text{(1)}\quad \min\{C\bullet X : A_i\bullet X=b_i,\ i=1,\dots,m,\ X\succeq0\},\qquad \text{(3)}\quad \max\Big\{b^{T}y : S=C-\sum_{i=1}^m y_iA_i,\ S\succeq0\Big\}.(1)min{C∙X:Ai​∙X=bi​, i=1,…,m, X⪰0},(3)max{bTy:S=C−i=1∑m​yi​Ai​, S⪰0}.

The standing assumptions of the paper are that A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ are linearly independent and that there are feasible X∗X^*X∗ and (S∗,y∗)(S^*,y^*)(S∗,y∗) with C∙X∗=bTy∗C\bullet X^*=b^{T}y^*C∙X∗=bTy∗.

For a positive integer r≤nr\le nr≤n, the low-rank program is

(Nr)min⁡{C∙(RRT):Ai∙(RRT)=bi, i=1,…,m, R∈Rn×r}.(N_r)\qquad \min\{C\bullet(RR^{T}) : A_i\bullet(RR^{T})=b_i,\ i=1,\dots,m,\ R\in\mathbb R^{n\times r}\}.(Nr​)min{C∙(RRT):Ai​∙(RRT)=bi​, i=1,…,m, R∈Rn×r}.

Its Lagrangian is L(R,y)=C∙(RRT)−∑iyi(Ai∙(RRT)−bi)L(R,y)=C\bullet(RR^{T})-\sum_i y_i(A_i\bullet(RR^{T})-b_i)L(R,y)=C∙(RRT)−∑i​yi​(Ai​∙(RRT)−bi​), and S(y)=C−∑iyiAiS(y)=C-\sum_i y_iA_iS(y)=C−∑i​yi​Ai​. A feasible RRR is a local minimum if it minimizes the objective among nearby feasible points; it is a regular point if A1R,…,AmRA_1R,\dots,A_mRA1​R,…,Am​R are linearly independent; it is a stationary point with multiplier yyy if ∇RL(R,y)=0\nabla_RL(R,y)=0∇R​L(R,y)=0. The injection of R∈Rn×rR\in\mathbb R^{n\times r}R∈Rn×r is R^=[ R  0 ]∈Rn×(r+1)\hat R=[\,R\ \ 0\,]\in\mathbb R^{n\times(r+1)}R^=[R  0]∈Rn×(r+1), obtained by appending a zero column.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2.5

Let r<nr<nr<n and let R∗R^*R∗ be a regular local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) with multiplier y∗y^*y∗, S∗=S(y∗)S^*=S(y^*)S∗=S(y∗), S∗R∗=0S^*R^*=0S∗R∗=0. If R^\hat RR^ is a local minimum of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​), then

X∗=R∗(R∗)T solves (1)and(S∗,y∗) solves (3).X^*=R^*(R^*)^{T}\ \text{solves (1)}\quad\text{and}\quad (S^*,y^*)\ \text{solves (3)}.X∗=R∗(R∗)T solves (1)and(S∗,y∗) solves (3).

Milestones

  1. The derivative formulas (9): ∇R(Ai∙(RRT)−bi)=2AiR\nabla_R(A_i\bullet(RR^T)-b_i)=2A_iR∇R​(Ai​∙(RRT)−bi​)=2Ai​R, ∇RL(R,y)=2SR\nabla_RL(R,y)=2SR∇R​L(R,y)=2SR, and LRR′′(R,y)[D,D]=2S∙(DDT)L''_{RR}(R,y)[D,D]=2S\bullet(DD^T)LRR′′​(R,y)[D,D]=2S∙(DDT).
  2. Proposition 2.3: at a regular local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) there is a unique y∗y^*y∗ with S∗R∗=0S^*R^*=0S∗R∗=0, and S∗∙(DDT)≥0S^*\bullet(DD^T)\ge0S∗∙(DDT)≥0 for every DDD with AiR∗∙D=0A_iR^*\bullet D=0Ai​R∗∙D=0 for all iii.
  3. Proposition 2.1: feasible XXX and (S,y)(S,y)(S,y) are simultaneously optimal if and only if X∙S=0X\bullet S=0X∙S=0.
  4. Proposition 2.4: a stationary point of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) whose S∗S^*S∗ is positive semidefinite gives optimal X∗=R∗R∗TX^*=R^*R^{*T}X∗=R∗R∗T and (S∗,y∗)(S^*,y^*)(S∗,y∗).

Significance

Proposition 2.5 is a certificate of global optimality for a nonconvex problem obtained from local information alone. It is the basis of the rank-increase scheme described on p. 8 of the paper: compute a local minimum of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) for a small rrr; if the zero-column extension is still a local minimum of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​), the current point solves the SDP; otherwise a better point of (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​) exists and rrr is increased. Proposition 2.4 gives the companion test, valid for every rrr: positive semidefiniteness of the multiplier matrix at a stationary point. These statements underlie the later convergence analysis of the method (Burer & Monteiro 2005) and the literature on benign landscapes of low-rank SDP formulations (Boumal, Voroninski & Bandeira 2016).

The results are proved in the paper. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the full chain from the standard-form SDP to the rank-increase certificate, including the matrix calculus (9), the first- and second-order necessary conditions for an equality-constrained program over rectangular matrices, and SDP complementary slackness in standard form. No machine-checked proof of these results is recorded in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The SDP side (Propositions 2.1 and 2.4) is linear algebra: weak duality and the fact that the trace inner product of two positive semidefinite matrices is nonnegative. The substance lies in Proposition 2.3. The feasible set of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) is a variety cut out by mmm quadratic equations, and the multiplier rule and, especially, the second-order necessary condition require a constraint qualification and a curve in the feasible set realizing every tangent direction. Mathlib provides a first-order Lagrange multiplier rule, but not the second-order condition on the tangent space. A naive attempt to read Proposition 2.5 off Proposition 2.4 fails: local minimality of R∗R^*R∗ alone does not make S∗S^*S∗ positive semidefinite (when rrr is below the minimal optimal rank, it is not); the hypothesis on (Nr+1)(N_{r+1})(Nr+1​) is indispensable.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin r) ℝ with 0-based indices. The trace inner product is frob A B = trace(Aᵀ * B), defined for rectangular matrices. The data carry explicit symmetry hypotheses C.IsSymm and (A i).IsSymm; without them the formulas (9) are false. Primal feasibility uses Mathlib's PosSemidef, which over R\mathbb RR includes symmetry. Optimality for (1) and (3) is defined relative to their entire feasible sets. The standing assumptions are a separate predicate carried as a hypothesis by Propositions 2.1, 2.3, 2.4 and 2.5, and every statement about (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) carries 0<r0<r0<r and r≤nr\le nr≤n (or r<nr<nr<n). Gradients are Fréchet derivatives under the Frobenius norm, identified with matrices through the trace inner product; local minima use IsLocalMinOn on the feasible set of (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) together with feasibility. The injection appends the zero column as the last column.

The statement admits several trivializing encodings, all excluded here: optimality defined relative to the factorized feasible set instead of the whole SDP, an empty or unconstrained (Nr)(N_r)(Nr​) (an unconstrained local minimum or a local minimum without feasibility), a stationarity notion that already includes S⪰0S\succeq0S⪰0, and an injection other than the zero-column extension.

A complete development needs the matrix calculus of R↦RRTR\mapsto RR^{T}R↦RRT, a second-order necessary optimality condition under linear independence of the constraint gradients, and standard-form SDP weak duality and complementary slackness; all of these are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones, in particular the derivative formulas and Proposition 2.4, are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. Burer and R. D. C. Monteiro, A nonlinear programming algorithm for solving semidefinite programs via low-rank factorization, Mathematical Programming 95 (2003), 329–357. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0352-8 (statements cited from the authors' manuscript of March 9, 2001)
  • A. Barvinok, Problems of distance geometry and convex properties of quadratic maps, Discrete & Computational Geometry 13 (1995), 189–202. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02574037
  • G. Pataki, On the rank of extreme matrices in semidefinite programs and the multiplicity of optimal eigenvalues, Mathematics of Operations Research 23 (1998), 339–358. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.23.2.339
  • R. D. C. Monteiro and M. Todd, Path-following methods for semidefinite programming, in Handbook of Semidefinite Programming, Kluwer, 2000 (source of Proposition 2.1).
  • S. Burer and R. D. C. Monteiro, Local minima and convergence in low-rank semidefinite programming, Mathematical Programming 103 (2005), 427–444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-004-0564-1
  • N. Boumal, V. Voroninski and A. S. Bandeira, The non-convex Burer–Monteiro approach works on smooth semidefinite programs, NeurIPS 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.04970
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems III: Contextual Bandits and the Banditron Mistake BoundTextbook

Motivation

In many sequential decision problems the learner sees side information before acting. A news site chooses an article for a visitor whose history and location it knows; an ad server chooses an advertisement for a query. Only the reward of the chosen action is observed. These are contextual bandit problems, and Chapter 4 of Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's monograph Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems (arXiv:1204.5721v2) surveys several of their formal versions. In a contextual problem the learner is compared with the best policy, a map from contexts to arms, rather than with the best single arm.

This mission covers three of the chapter's models. The first marks each round with a context from a finite set. In the second, NNN experts give advice, as in prediction with expert advice. The third is the bandit multiclass problem: a linear classifier predicts one of KKK labels and then learns only whether its prediction was right. The goal is the mistake bound of the Banditron (Kakade, Shalev-Shwartz and Tewari, ICML 2008). The bound shows that one bit of feedback per round suffices to compete with every linear classifier, at regret O(n2/3)O(n^{2/3})O(n2/3).

Setting

There are K≥2K \ge 2K≥2 arms (or labels) {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K} and rounds t=1,…,nt = 1, \dots, nt=1,…,n.

Adversarial losses. At round ttt an adversary assigns losses ℓi,t∈[0,1]\ell_{i,t} \in [0,1]ℓi,t​∈[0,1] to the arms and may adapt to the forecaster's past plays I1,…,It−1I_1, \dots, I_{t-1}I1​,…,It−1​. The forecaster draws ItI_tIt​ at random from a distribution ptp_tpt​ that depends on what it has observed, and it observes only ℓIt,t\ell_{I_t,t}ℓIt​,t​. Expectations E\mathbb EE are over the forecaster's draws.

Side information. Each round carries a context sts_tst​ from a finite set S\mathcal SS, and the sequence s1,s2,…s_1, s_2, \dotss1​,s2​,… is fixed in advance. The pseudo-regret against context-to-arm maps is

R‾nS=max⁡g:S→{1,…,K}E[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nℓg(st),t].\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n = \max_{g:\mathcal S\to\{1,\dots,K\}} \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{g(s_t),t}\Big].RnS​=g:S→{1,…,K}max​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​ℓg(st​),t​].

The S-Exp3 forecaster runs one instance of Exp3 (Section 3.1 of the book) on each context.

Expert advice. At each round each of NNN experts jjj proposes a distribution ξtj\xi^j_tξtj​ over arms, which may depend on the forecaster's past plays. The contextual pseudo-regret is

R‾nctx=max⁡k=1,…,NE[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nEi∼ξtkℓi,t].\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n = \max_{k=1,\dots,N}\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \mathbb E_{i\sim\xi^k_t}\ell_{i,t}\Big].Rnctx​=k=1,…,Nmax​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​Ei∼ξtk​​ℓi,t​].

Exp4 (Fig. 4.1) runs exponential weights over the experts with importance-weighted loss estimates.

Bandit multiclass. The examples (xt,yt)∈Rd×{1,…,K}(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^d \times \{1,\dots,K\}(xt​,yt​)∈Rd×{1,…,K} are fixed in advance, with ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 (Euclidean). A K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU classifies xxx by arg⁡max⁡i(Ux)i\arg\max_i (Ux)_iargmaxi​(Ux)i​. Its multiclass hinge loss on round ttt is ℓt(U)=[1−(Uxt)yt+max⁡i≠yt(Uxt)i]+\ell_t(U) = [1 - (Ux_t)_{y_t} + \max_{i\neq y_t}(Ux_t)_i]_+ℓt​(U)=[1−(Uxt​)yt​​+maxi=yt​​(Uxt​)i​]+​. Write Ln(U)=∑t≤nℓt(U)L_n(U) = \sum_{t\le n}\ell_t(U)Ln​(U)=∑t≤n​ℓt​(U) for the cumulative hinge loss, Lˉn(U)=Ln(U)/n\bar L_n(U) = L_n(U)/nLˉn​(U)=Ln​(U)/n for its average, and ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ for the Frobenius norm. The multiclass Perceptron predicts y^t=arg⁡max⁡i(Wtxt)i\hat y_t = \arg\max_i (W_tx_t)_iy^​t​=argmaxi​(Wt​xt​)i​ and, after seeing yty_tyt​, adds xtx_txt​ to row yty_tyt​ and subtracts it from row y^t\hat y_ty^​t​. The Banditron (p. 58) predicts YtY_tYt​ from pi,t=(1−γ)1y^t=i+γ/Kp_{i,t} = (1-\gamma)\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t = i} + \gamma/Kpi,t​=(1−γ)1y^​t​=i​+γ/K. It observes only 1Yt=yt\mathbb 1_{Y_t = y_t}1Yt​=yt​​ and updates Wt+1=Wt+X~tW_{t+1} = W_t + \widetilde X_tWt+1​=Wt​+Xt​, where (X~t)i,j=xt,j(1Yt=yt1Yt=i/pi,t−1y^t=i)(\widetilde X_t)_{i,j} = x_{t,j}\big(\mathbb 1_{Y_t=y_t}\mathbb 1_{Y_t=i}/p_{i,t} - \mathbb 1_{\hat y_t=i}\big)(Xt​)i,j​=xt,j​(1Yt​=yt​​1Yt​=i​/pi,t​−1y^​t​=i​). Its number of mistakes is Mn=∑t≤n1Yt≠ytM_n = \sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{Y_t\neq y_t}Mn​=∑t≤n​1Yt​=yt​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.7 (Banditron)

For n≥8Kn \ge 8Kn≥8K, γ=(K/n)1/3\gamma = (K/n)^{1/3}γ=(K/n)1/3, every example sequence as above and every K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU,

E Mn≤Ln(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn(U))K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2 ∥U∥K1/6n1/3.\mathbb E\,M_n \le L_n(U) + \Big(1 + \|U\|\sqrt{2\bar L_n(U)}\Big)K^{1/3}n^{2/3} + 2\|U\|^2K^{2/3}n^{1/3} + \sqrt2\,\|U\|K^{1/6}n^{1/3}.EMn​≤Ln​(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn​(U)​)K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2​∥U∥K1/6n1/3.

Milestones

  1. Multiclass Perceptron bound (Section 4.4, p. 57). For every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and UUU, ∑t≤n1y^t≠yt≤Ln(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn(U)\sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t\ne y_t} \le L_n(U) + 2\|U\|^2 + \|U\|\sqrt{2n\bar L_n(U)}∑t≤n​1y^​t​=yt​​≤Ln​(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn​(U)​.
  2. Theorem 4.1 (p. 44). S-Exp3 satisfies R‾nS≤2n∣S∣Kln⁡K\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n \le \sqrt{2n|\mathcal S|K\ln K}RnS​≤2n∣S∣KlnK​.
  3. Theorem 4.2 (p. 46), with corrected constants. Exp4 without mixing satisfies R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le \sqrt{2nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=2ln⁡N/(nK)\eta_t = \sqrt{2\ln N/(nK)}ηt​=2lnN/(nK)​, and R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le 2\sqrt{nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=ln⁡N/(tK)\eta_t = \sqrt{\ln N/(tK)}ηt​=lnN/(tK)​.
  4. Theorem 4.3 (p. 50), with corrected learning rate. Let the plays be drawn from distributions qtq_tqt​ with qi,t≥ε>0q_{i,t}\ge\varepsilon > 0qi,t​≥ε>0, and let Exp3 run on the estimates ℓi,t1It=i/qi,t\ell_{i,t}\mathbb 1_{I_t=i}/q_{i,t}ℓi,t​1It​=i​/qi,t​ with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​. Then max⁡kE[∑tEi∼ptℓi,t−∑tℓk,t]≤(2n/ε)ln⁡K\max_k \mathbb E\big[\sum_t \mathbb E_{i\sim p_t}\ell_{i,t} - \sum_t\ell_{k,t}\big] \le \sqrt{(2n/\varepsilon)\ln K}maxk​E[∑t​Ei∼pt​​ℓi,t​−∑t​ℓk,t​]≤(2n/ε)lnK​.

Significance

Theorem 4.7 shows that, on any sequence of examples, the bandit version of online multiclass classification costs at most O(K1/3n2/3)O(K^{1/3}n^{2/3})O(K1/3n2/3) mistakes beyond the hinge loss of the best linear classifier. The full-information Perceptron, by comparison, pays O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​). The bound has no stochastic assumption and has explicit constants. Theorems 4.1–4.3 are the basic regret guarantees for side information and expert advice. Theorem 4.3 in particular lets learning algorithms serve as experts inside Exp4, which is the construction behind Theorem 4.5.

The mission produces machine-checked statements, and eventually proofs, of these results with fully explicit constants and an explicit model of adaptive adversaries and adaptive advice. To the curators' knowledge none of the Banditron, the multiclass Perceptron bound, S-Exp3 or Theorem 4.3 is formalized anywhere. The platform's Bandit Algorithms series has a proved Exp4 bound, but only for advice and rewards fixed in advance. The book proves all four milestones and the goal; two printed statements (4.2 and 4.3) contain misprints that this mission corrects.

Difficulty

The Banditron bound concerns a randomized process whose weight matrix depends on all earlier random predictions. The Perceptron argument tracks ⟨U,Wn+1⟩\langle U, W_{n+1}\rangle⟨U,Wn+1​⟩ and ∥Wn+1∥2\|W_{n+1}\|^2∥Wn+1​∥2. It carries over only in conditional expectation, and the second moment of the importance-weighted update is of order K/γK/\gammaK/γ on rounds where y^t≠yt\hat y_t \neq y_ty^​t​=yt​ and of order γ\gammaγ otherwise. Combining these into one inequality for ∑tP(y^t≠yt)\sum_t\mathbb P(\hat y_t\neq y_t)∑t​P(y^​t​=yt​) and then for EMn\mathbb E M_nEMn​ requires solving a quadratic inequality in the presence of expectations, and the constants must come out as printed. For the Exp3/Exp4 results, the obstacle is that losses and advice adapt to past plays. The standard potential argument has to be run conditionally on the history, and a version that fixes the losses in advance proves a weaker theorem.

Formalization scope

  • Rounds and laws. Rounds are numbered from 000 in Lean (Lean round ttt is the book's round t+1t+1t+1). Every forecaster is a sampling rule from past plays to weights on Fin K. The law of the first nnn plays is the product ∏tpt(ωt∣ω<t)\prod_t p_t(\omega_t\mid\omega_{<t})∏t​pt​(ωt​∣ω<t​) over sequences ω:Fin n→Fin K\omega : \mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathrm{Fin}\,Kω:Finn→FinK, and expectations are finite sums against it. The adversary and the experts are deterministic functions of past plays; an independent randomized adversary is a mixture of these. The examples of the Banditron are fixed.
  • Argmax. y^t\hat y_ty^​t​ uses any argmax selector; all tie-breaking rules are covered.
  • Norms. ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 is the Euclidean condition ∑jxt,j2=1\sum_j x_{t,j}^2 = 1∑j​xt,j2​=1; ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ is the Frobenius norm written out explicitly.
  • Infima and maxima. Each "inf⁡U\inf_UinfU​" and "max⁡k\max_kmaxk​" of the book is stated as "for every UUU" or "for every kkk", which is equivalent.
  • Explicit constants. Every bound is the one printed or, for the corrected items, the one the proof yields. No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears.
  • Corrected misprints. Theorem 4.7 prints the examples in Rd×{−1,+1}\mathbb R^d\times\{-1,+1\}Rd×{−1,+1}; labels are in {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K}. Theorem 4.2 prints 2nNln⁡K\sqrt{2nN\ln K}2nNlnK​ and 2nNln⁡K2\sqrt{nN\ln K}2nNlnK​; the proof gives 2nKln⁡N\sqrt{2nK\ln N}2nKlnN​ and 2nKln⁡N2\sqrt{nK\ln N}2nKlnN​. Theorem 4.3 prints η=2ln⁡K/(nK)\eta = \sqrt{2\ln K/(nK)}η=2lnK/(nK)​; (4.7) follows from the proof with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​.
  • Parameter range. At n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K the Banditron's γ\gammaγ equals 1/21/21/2, outside the box's open interval (0,1/2)(0,1/2)(0,1/2). The proof uses only γ≤1/2\gamma\le 1/2γ≤1/2, so n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K is included.
  • Ruling out trivial forms. Theorem 4.1 is stated for the explicit S-Exp3 forecaster, not as an existence claim, so no forecaster tuned to the losses can witness it. The losses and the advice are allowed to adapt, so a proof for oblivious sequences does not suffice.
  • Left out. Theorem 4.4 (Exp4 with mixing) is proved in the book only by reference. The argument that reference suggests yields 32γn+Kln⁡N/γ\tfrac32\gamma n + K\ln N/\gamma23​γn+KlnN/γ, not the printed γn/2+Kln⁡N/γ\gamma n/2 + K\ln N/\gammaγn/2+KlnN/γ. Theorem 4.5 is stated with O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), Theorem 4.6 "for some constant ccc", and Eq. (4.8) is left to the reader.

Useful reusable infrastructure: the path-law expectation for history-dependent sampling, the exponential-weights potential argument under adaptive losses, and Perceptron-type inner-product arguments for matrices. Proofs of any milestone and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721 ; https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000024
  • S. M. Kakade, S. Shalev-Shwartz, A. Tewari, Efficient Bandit Algorithms for Online Multiclass Prediction, ICML 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1390156.1390212
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Y. Freund, R. E. Schapire, The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 32(1), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539701398375
  • O.-A. Maillard, R. Munos, Adaptive Bandits: Towards the Best History-Dependent Strategy, AISTATS 2011. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v15/maillard11a.html
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains 3: A Deterministic Stationary Procedure Minimizes the Ratio of Two Long-Run Average CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many controlled systems are judged by a ratio of two long-run quantities rather than by a single one: cost per unit of output, cost per unit of time when the time spent in a state depends on the decision, cost per customer served, or expected cost per cycle of a renewal process. In a finite Markov decision model each of these is a quotient of two average costs per unit time. Cyrus Derman's 1962 paper On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains (DOI 10.1287/mnsc.9.1.16) introduced this ratio-of-costs criterion in its §4, prompted by the fractional linear program that its §3 uses to solve the total-cost problem as a linear program, and pointed to Klein's work on maintenance policies as an example of the problem.

The paper's §4 first observes that, restricted to stationary randomized procedures, the ratio criterion is a ratio of two linear functions of the stationary state-decision frequencies, so it can be minimized by the fractional linear programming lemma of §3. The question it then raises is the one this mission formalizes: is the procedure optimal over stationary procedures also optimal over all procedures, including history-dependent and randomized ones? Derman's Theorem 3 answers yes under an irreducibility assumption, by reducing the ratio problem to a family of ordinary average-cost problems with costs of either sign.

Timeline, as far as it bears on this mission:

  • 1960: Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, shows that linear programming applies to the average-cost problem, in the context of an inventory problem; Wagner, On the Optimality of Pure Strategies, shows by linear programming that a deterministic stationary procedure is optimal for it.
  • 1960: Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, gives policy iteration for the average-cost problem over stationary procedures.
  • 1962: Derman proves that a deterministic stationary procedure is optimal over all procedures for the average-cost criterion (Theorem 1), formulates the average and total cost problems as linear programs under irreducibility assumptions (Theorem 2), and extends the optimality of deterministic stationary procedures to the ratio criterion (Theorem 3).
  • 1962: Klein, Inspection-Maintenance-Replacement Schedules Under Markovian Deterioration, gives a problem of the ratio type (cited by Derman, p. 18).
  • 1963: Jewell, Markov-renewal programming, treats the gain rate (reward per unit sojourn time) of semi-Markov decision processes, over stationary policies.

Setting

A system is observed at times t=0,1,…t = 0, 1, \dotst=0,1,… in one of finitely many states 0,…,L0, \dots, L0,…,L. After each observation one of the decisions d1,…,dKd_1, \dots, d_Kd1​,…,dK​ is made, all of them available in every state. If the system is in state iii and decision dkd_kdk​ is made, the next state is jjj with probability qij(k)≥0q_{ij}(k) \ge 0qij​(k)≥0, where ∑jqij(k)=1\sum_j q_{ij}(k) = 1∑j​qij​(k)=1.

A procedure RRR chooses the decision at time ttt at random, with probabilities Dk(X0,Δ0,…,Xt)D_k(X_0, \Delta_0, \dots, X_t)Dk​(X0​,Δ0​,…,Xt​) that may depend on the whole past; the class of all procedures is CCC. The class C′C'C′ consists of the stationary randomized procedures, for which the probability of dkd_kdk​ in state iii is a fixed number DikD_{ik}Dik​, whatever the past and the time. The class C′′C''C′′ consists of the deterministic stationary procedures, those of C′C'C′ with every Dik∈{0,1}D_{ik} \in \{0, 1\}Dik​∈{0,1}; it is finite. A procedure of C′C'C′ turns the states into a Markov chain with transition probabilities pij=∑kqij(k)Dikp_{ij} = \sum_k q_{ij}(k) D_{ik}pij​=∑k​qij​(k)Dik​.

Let wik′>0w'_{ik} > 0wik′​>0 and wik′′>0w''_{ik} > 0wik′′​>0 be two sets of costs incurred when decision dkd_kdk​ is made in state iii. For a fixed procedure RRR started at X0=iX_0 = iX0​=i, let Wt′W'_tWt′​ and Wt′′W''_tWt′′​ be the expected costs at time ttt. The ratio criterion is

ψR(i)=lim sup⁡T→∞∑t=0TWt′∑t=0TWt′′.\psi_R(i) = \limsup_{T\to\infty} \frac{\sum_{t=0}^{T} W'_t}{\sum_{t=0}^{T} W''_t}.ψR​(i)=T→∞limsup​∑t=0T​Wt′′​∑t=0T​Wt′​​.

For a single cost set www with expected costs WtW_tWt​, the average cost per unit time is QR(i)=lim sup⁡T→∞1T∑t=0TWtQ_R(i) = \limsup_{T\to\infty} \frac1T \sum_{t=0}^{T} W_tQR​(i)=limsupT→∞​T1​∑t=0T​Wt​.

Assumption A says that for every procedure of C′C'C′ all states 0,…,L0, \dots, L0,…,L belong to the same class of the induced Markov chain.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 23)

Under Assumption A, for every initial state iii there is a deterministic stationary procedure R3∈C′′R_3 \in C''R3​∈C′′ with

ψR3(i)=min⁡R∈CψR(i),\psi_{R_3}(i) = \min_{R \in C} \psi_R(i),ψR3​​(i)=R∈Cmin​ψR​(i),

that is, ψR3(i)≤ψR(i)\psi_{R_3}(i) \le \psi_R(i)ψR3​​(i)≤ψR​(i) for every procedure R∈CR \in CR∈C.

Steps of the proof (milestones)

  1. Theorem 1 (1) for costs of either sign: for every real cost www there is R1∈C′′R_1 \in C''R1​∈C′′ with QR1(i)≤QR(i)Q_{R_1}(i) \le Q_R(i)QR1​​(i)≤QR​(i) for all R∈CR \in CR∈C and all iii.
  2. For any procedure RRR, ψR(i)≤m\psi_R(i) \le mψR​(i)≤m implies QR(i)≤0Q_R(i) \le 0QR​(i)≤0 for the costs wik=wik′−m wik′′w_{ik} = w'_{ik} - m\, w''_{ik}wik​=wik′​−mwik′′​.
  3. Under Assumption A, for R∗∈C′′R^* \in C''R∗∈C′′, QR∗(i)≤0Q_{R^*}(i) \le 0QR∗​(i)≤0 for those costs implies ψR∗(i)≤m\psi_{R^*}(i) \le mψR∗​(i)≤m.
  4. For R∈C′R \in C'R∈C′ under Assumption A, ψR(i)=∑s∑kπsDskwsk′∑s∑kπsDskwsk′′\psi_R(i) = \dfrac{\sum_{s}\sum_k \pi_s D_{sk} w'_{sk}}{\sum_s\sum_k \pi_s D_{sk} w''_{sk}}ψR​(i)=∑s​∑k​πs​Dsk​wsk′′​∑s​∑k​πs​Dsk​wsk′​​, with π\piπ the stationary distribution of (psj)(p_{sj})(psj​).

Significance

Theorem 3 justifies solving ratio problems over stationary procedures only. Combined with the display of milestone 4 it shows that the fractional linear program over stationary state-decision frequencies yields a procedure optimal against every procedure, including those that remember the past or randomize. The same reduction, minimizing w′−mw′′w' - m w''w′−mw′′ and adjusting mmm, underlies later parametric methods for fractional Markov decision problems and the analysis of semi-Markov decision processes, where the denominator is the expected sojourn time.

All four steps and the theorem are classical and proved on paper. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me: the platform has average-cost optimality statements with nonnegative costs (Sennott's Proposition 6.2.3) and Jewell's gain-rate results restricted to stationary policies, but no statement of a ratio criterion over history-dependent procedures. This mission produces the statement of Theorem 3, the signed-cost version of Theorem 1 that it uses, and the two translation steps between the ratio criterion and the average-cost criterion.

Difficulty

The obvious argument restricts to stationary procedures, where all Cesàro limits exist and the ratio criterion is a ratio of two linear functionals of a stationary distribution. It says nothing about a history-dependent procedure, whose averages 1T∑t≤TWt′\frac1T\sum_{t\le T} W'_tT1​∑t≤T​Wt′​ and 1T∑t≤TWt′′\frac1T\sum_{t \le T} W''_tT1​∑t≤T​Wt′′​ need not converge, and for which the limit superior of the ratio is not the ratio of the limits superior. The translation from the ratio to an average cost therefore works in one direction for every procedure (milestone 2) and in the other direction only for stationary ones (milestone 3). The other ingredient, optimality of a deterministic stationary procedure for the average-cost criterion against all procedures with costs of either sign (milestone 1), is the substance of Derman's Theorem 1 and requires a vanishing-discount or equivalent argument over history-dependent procedures.

Formalization scope

The dynamics and the procedures come from the published definitions SennottDP_AvgFinite_Model: the system is an MDC S Act with [Fintype S] [Fintype Act] and the hypothesis ∀ s, M.A s = Finset.univ (all decisions available); the class CCC is Policy M, history-dependent and randomized; C′′C''C′′ is StationaryPolicy M through .toPolicy; the law of the history is histProb. The cost field M.C of that structure plays no role: the costs w′w'w′, w′′w''w′′ and the signed cost of milestone 1 are explicit real arguments S → Act → ℝ.

The local definitions are: the expected cost at time ttt for a real cost, as a finite sum over histories of length t+1t+1t+1; QR(i)Q_R(i)QR​(i) with Derman's normalization (T+1T+1T+1 terms divided by TTT); ψR(i)\psi_R(i)ψR​(i) as the limit superior of the ratio of partial sums; the induced matrix pijp_{ij}pij​; Assumption A as Matrix.IsIrreducible of ppp for every row-stochastic D≥0D \ge 0D≥0; and membership of a procedure in C′C'C′ with probabilities DDD. All limits superior are real, of bounded sequences; positivity of w′w'w′ and w′′w''w′′ is a hypothesis of every statement involving ψ\psiψ, which keeps the denominators positive.

The goal quantifies "for every initial state there is R3R_3R3​", following the proof. The competitors in the goal and in milestone 1 range over all of Policy M; a version comparing only with stationary procedures is a different and easier theorem and does not close this mission. Assumption A is kept in the goal although the proof does not visibly use it, because the theorem states it.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, in particular the signed-cost Theorem 1 (which may reduce to Sennott's Proposition 6.2.3 by shifting costs by a constant), Cesàro limits for stationary procedures on finite chains (reusable for milestones 3 and 4), and the final compactness argument over the finite class C′′C''C′′.

Selected references

  • C. Derman, On Sequential Decisions and Markov Chains, Management Science 9(1):16–24, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.1.16
  • A. S. Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, Management Science 6(3):259–267, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.3.259
  • M. Klein, Inspection-Maintenance-Replacement Schedules Under Markovian Deterioration, Management Science 9(1), 1962.
  • H. M. Wagner, On the Optimality of Pure Strategies, Management Science 6(3), 1960.
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • W. S. Jewell, Markov-Renewal Programming. I: Formulation, Finite Return Models, Operations Research 11(6):938–948, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.938
  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources VII: A Locally Quasiconcave Objective Always Has a Quasistable Optimal ScheduleTextbook

Motivation

Resource-constrained project scheduling asks for start times of the activities of a project that respect precedence-type time lags and the capacities of renewable resources (machines, crews, equipment). Classical project scheduling minimizes the project duration, a regular objective: delaying an activity never helps. Many objectives met in practice are not regular. The resource investment problem minimizes the cost of the resource capacities that must be procured; resource levelling problems minimize fluctuations of resource usage over time; the resource renting problem trades fixed procurement against time-dependent renting costs; net present value and earliness–tardiness objectives reward late as well as early starts. For such objectives the familiar fact that "some active schedule is optimal" fails, and algorithms need another finite set of candidate schedules that is guaranteed to contain an optimum.

Chapter 3 of Neumann, Schwindt and Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources (2nd ed., Springer 2003, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2), organizes the objective functions of project scheduling into seven classes and pairs each class with a class of schedules that contains an optimal schedule. This mission formalizes §3.3 of that chapter. The classification goes back to Neumann, Nübel and Schwindt (2000) and Zimmermann (2001); the two locally defined classes, and the matching schedule classes of quasiactive and quasistable schedules, are the book's device for covering discontinuous resource-based objectives.

Setting

A project consists of activities V={0,1,…,n+1}V=\{0,1,\dots,n+1\}V={0,1,…,n+1}, n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, where 000 and n+1n+1n+1 are fictitious activities marking the project beginning and completion. Activity iii has an integer duration pip_ipi​ (p0=pn+1=0p_0=p_{n+1}=0p0​=pn+1​=0, pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 otherwise). The project network has an arc set EEE with integer weights δij\delta_{ij}δij​; a schedule is a vector S=(S0,…,Sn+1)S=(S_0,\dots,S_{n+1})S=(S0​,…,Sn+1​) of real start times with S0=0S_0=0S0​=0, S≥0S\ge 0S≥0, and it is time-feasible if Sj−Si≥δijS_j-S_i\ge\delta_{ij}Sj​−Si​≥δij​ for all ⟨i,j⟩∈E\langle i,j\rangle\in E⟨i,j⟩∈E. A maximum project duration dˉ∈N\bar d\in\mathbb Ndˉ∈N is prescribed through a backward arc ⟨n+1,0⟩\langle n+1,0\rangle⟨n+1,0⟩ of weight −dˉ-\bar d−dˉ, so Sn+1≤dˉS_{n+1}\le\bar dSn+1​≤dˉ. Each renewable resource kkk has capacity RkR_kRk​, activity iii uses rikr_{ik}rik​ units while in progress, and rk(S,t)r_k(S,t)rk​(S,t) is the total usage at time ttt. The feasible region S\mathcal SS consists of the time-feasible schedules with rk(S,t)≤Rkr_k(S,t)\le R_krk​(S,t)≤Rk​ for all kkk and ttt.

For an objective function f:R≥0n+2→Rf:\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge 0}\to\mathbb Rf:R≥0n+2​→R, problem PS∣temp,dˉ∣fPS|temp,\bar d|fPS∣temp,dˉ∣f asks for an optimal schedule: some S∈SS\in\mathcal SS∈S with f(S)≤f(S′)f(S)\le f(S')f(S)≤f(S′) for all S′∈SS'\in\mathcal SS′∈S.

A schedule induces the strict order O(S)={(i,j)∣i≠j, Sj≥Si+pi}O(S)=\{(i,j)\mid i\ne j,\ S_j\ge S_i+p_i\}O(S)={(i,j)∣i=j, Sj​≥Si​+pi​} of precedences it realizes. The equal-order set of SSS is

ST=(O(S))={S′ time-feasible∣Sj′≥Si′+pi ∀(i,j)∈O(S), O(S′)=O(S)},\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))=\{S'\text{ time-feasible}\mid S'_j\ge S'_i+p_i\ \forall (i,j)\in O(S),\ O(S')=O(S)\},ST=​(O(S))={S′ time-feasible∣Sj′​≥Si′​+pi​ ∀(i,j)∈O(S), O(S′)=O(S)},

a polytope with part of its boundary removed. The distinct equal-order sets partition S\mathcal SS into finitely many pieces.

Schedule classes are defined through shifts. A shift from a feasible SSS to a feasible S′≠SS'\ne SS′=S is order-preserving if O(S)⊆O(S′)O(S)\subseteq O(S')O(S)⊆O(S′); it is a left-shift if S′≤SS'\le SS′≤S. Two shifts from SSS to S′S'S′ and S′′S''S′′ are opposite if S′′−S=λ(S′−S)S''-S=\lambda(S'-S)S′′−S=λ(S′−S) with λ<0\lambda<0λ<0. A feasible schedule is active if no feasible left-shift exists, quasiactive if no order-preserving left-shift exists, stable if no pair of opposite shifts to feasible schedules exists, and quasistable if no pair of opposite order-preserving shifts exists.

Objective classes: fff is regular if S≤S′S\le S'S≤S′ implies f(S)≤f(S′)f(S)\le f(S')f(S)≤f(S′); quasiconcave on a set MMM if f(λS+(1−λ)S′)≥min⁡[f(S),f(S′)]f(\lambda S+(1-\lambda)S')\ge\min[f(S),f(S')]f(λS+(1−λ)S′)≥min[f(S),f(S′)] for S,S′∈MS,S'\in MS,S′∈M, λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1]; lower semicontinuous if f(S)≤lim inf⁡S′→Sf(S′)f(S)\le\liminf_{S'\to S}f(S')f(S)≤liminfS′→S​f(S′) on R≥0n+2\mathbb R^{n+2}_{\ge 0}R≥0n+2​. Then fff is locally regular (class 6) if it is lower semicontinuous and regular on every equal-order set ST=(O(S))\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))ST=​(O(S)), S∈SS\in\mathcal SS∈S, and locally quasiconcave (class 7) if it is lower semicontinuous and quasiconcave on every such set.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.3.13

For every locally quasiconcave fff,

S≠∅ ⟹ ∃ S quasistable with f(S)=min⁡S′∈Sf(S′).\mathcal S\ne\emptyset\ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\,S\ \text{quasistable with}\ f(S)=\min_{S'\in\mathcal S}f(S').S=∅ ⟹ ∃S quasistable with f(S)=S′∈Smin​f(S′).

Milestones

  • Class 1 (§3.3.2): every regular fff has an active optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.
  • Class 5 (§3.3.6): every quasiconcave fff has a stable optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.
  • Eq. (3.3.11): the equal-order sets form a finite partition of S\mathcal SS.
  • Propositions 3.3.5 and 3.3.6: the resource investment objective ∑kckmax⁡trk(S,t)\sum_k c_k\max_t r_k(S,t)∑k​ck​maxt​rk​(S,t) with ck≥0c_k\ge 0ck​≥0 is constant on each equal-order set and lower semicontinuous, hence locally regular.
  • Theorem 3.3.9: every locally regular fff has a quasiactive optimal schedule when S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.

Significance

Quasiactive and quasistable schedules are finite in number: they are the minimal points and the vertices of the finitely many schedule polytopes. Theorem 3.3.13 therefore turns the minimization of any locally quasiconcave objective over a disconnected, non-convex feasible region into a finite search. Class 7 contains the resource levelling objectives ∑ck∑rkt2\sum c_k\sum r_{kt}^2∑ck​∑rkt2​ and ∑ck∑okt\sum c_k\sum o_{kt}∑ck​∑okt​, the total variation of the resource profiles, and the resource renting objective (Propositions 3.3.10 and 3.3.12, and Nübel 2001). The enumeration schemes and decision sets of §3.5–3.7 rest on this result, and Theorem 3.3.9 plays the same role for class 6 (resource investment, changeover times).

The results are proved in the book and the cited papers. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of them, and none of the schedule classes, has a machine-checked formalization; Mathlib supplies lower semicontinuity and quasiconcavity but nothing about schedules. The mission produces a checked version of the classification theorems in the book's exact generality: general time lags (cycles in the network allowed), real start times, and arbitrary objectives given only by their class.

Difficulty

The optimum need not exist a priori: objectives of classes 6 and 7 are discontinuous, and the feasible region is a finite union of polytopes that is in general disconnected. Existence of a minimizer needs compactness of S\mathcal SS (which depends on the deadline arc and the network's path structure) together with lower semicontinuity.

The main obstacle is that the objective is only controlled piecewise. Quasiconcavity holds on each equal-order set separately, and an equal-order set is not closed: a schedule polytope ST(O(S))\mathcal S_T(O(S))ST​(O(S)) also contains schedules inducing strictly larger orders, where the hypothesis on fff says nothing about its relation to the values on ST=(O(S))\mathcal S_T^{=}(O(S))ST=​(O(S)). The obvious argument, taking an optimal schedule and invoking quasiconcavity along the segment of a pair of opposite order-preserving shifts, only relates fff at points of one equal-order set, and it does not by itself produce a schedule that admits no such pair at all. The same issue arises for Theorem 3.3.9 with order-preserving left-shifts, which may cross from one equal-order set into another.

Formalization scope

Activities are Fin (n + 2), with 0 and Fin.last (n + 1) fictitious. Start times are real; objective functions are total functions (Fin (n + 2) → ℝ) → ℝ whose regularity, quasiconcavity and lower semicontinuity are required only on the nonnegative orthant (lower semicontinuity is Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuousOn on the orthant). The deadline Sn+1≤dˉS_{n+1}\le\bar dSn+1​≤dˉ is the network's backward arc, as in §3.1. The project structure records the book's standing property (p. 8) that from each node iii there is a path to n+1n+1n+1 of length at least pip_ipi​; this bounds every activity by dˉ\bar ddˉ. The resource constraints are imposed for all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0, which under that property is the book's 0≤t≤dˉ0\le t\le\bar d0≤t≤dˉ. The peak max⁡trk(S,t)\max_t r_k(S,t)maxt​rk​(S,t) in the resource investment objective is a supremum in N\mathbb NN over t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 of a nonempty finite set, hence attained.

"Optimal" always means minimizing fff over the whole feasible region S\mathcal SS, and the theorems quantify over every function in the class; a formalization with a fixed objective, or with optimality over a single polytope or a single equal-order set, would be a different and weaker statement. The schedule classes are defined through shifts, never as minimal or extreme points, so no statement is true by definition. The only hypothesis besides the class of fff is S≠∅\mathcal S\ne\emptysetS=∅.

The mission restates locally the project model, the induced orders and the shift classes also drafted by the companion missions on schedule classes of this series. Useful contributions beyond the milestones: compactness of S\mathcal SS and closedness of the schedule polytopes, the representation of S\mathcal SS as a finite union of feasible order polytopes, and the finiteness of the sets of quasiactive and quasistable schedules.

Selected references

  • K. Neumann, C. Schwindt, J. Zimmermann, Project Scheduling with Time Windows and Scarce Resources, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003, §3.3. doi:10.1007/978-3-540-24800-2
  • K. Neumann, H. Nübel, C. Schwindt, Active and stable project scheduling, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 52 (2000), cited in the book as Neumann et al. (2000).
  • J. Zimmermann, Ablauforientiertes Projektmanagement: Modelle, Verfahren und Anwendungen, Gabler, 2001.
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
Bandit AlgorithmsConvex OptimizationMachine Learning+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems V: Bandit Convex Optimization with One-Point FeedbackTextbook

Motivation

In bandit convex optimization a forecaster repeatedly picks a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set K⊆Rd\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, and an adversary picks a convex loss ℓt\ell_tℓt​. The forecaster pays ℓt(xt)\ell_t(x_t)ℓt​(xt​) and observes only that number: it never sees the function, its gradient, or its value elsewhere. This is the model of online optimization with only function-value access, as in tuning a system online from measured costs, dynamic pricing with an unknown convex demand-cost curve, or routing with path costs observed only on the route taken. The question is how fast the forecaster can approach the best fixed point in hindsight.

Chapter 6 of Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's monograph (arXiv:1204.5721v2, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012) treats the problem through spherical gradient estimates fed to projected gradient descent. The one-point method is due to Flaxman, Kalai and McMahan (SODA 2005, arXiv:cs/0408007), who obtained an O(n3/4)\mathcal O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) regret bound. Agarwal, Dekel and Xiao (COLT 2010) showed that two function evaluations per round allow O(n)\mathcal O(\sqrt n)O(n​). Whether one-point feedback admits n\sqrt nn​ regret was open when the monograph was written (p. 94); Bubeck, Eldan and Lee (STOC 2017, arXiv:1607.03084) later obtained n\sqrt nn​ regret up to logarithmic and polynomial-in-ddd factors for convex losses, with a different and much more involved algorithm.

Setting

Let B={x∈Rd:∥x∥≤1}\mathbb B=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\|x\|\le1\}B={x∈Rd:∥x∥≤1} be the closed Euclidean unit ball and S={x:∥x∥=1}\mathbb S=\{x:\|x\|=1\}S={x:∥x∥=1} the unit sphere, with unnormalized spherical measure σ\sigmaσ, so that σ(S)=d Vol(B)\sigma(\mathbb S)=d\,\mathrm{Vol}(\mathbb B)σ(S)=dVol(B). Fix δ>0\delta>0δ>0. For a loss ℓ\ellℓ, the smoothed loss is ℓ~(x)=E ℓ(x+δB)\widetilde\ell(x)=\mathbb E\,\ell(x+\delta B)ℓ(x)=Eℓ(x+δB) with BBB uniform on B\mathbb BB.

The set K\mathcal KK is closed and convex with rB⊆K⊆RBr\mathbb B\subseteq\mathcal K\subseteq R\mathbb BrB⊆K⊆RB. The losses ℓ1,ℓ2,⋯:Rd→R\ell_1,\ell_2,\dots:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rℓ1​,ℓ2​,⋯:Rd→R are GGG-Lipschitz, differentiable and convex, and are fixed before the game (an oblivious adversary).

OSGD (Online Stochastic Gradient Descent) on a set K′\mathcal K'K′ with learning rate η\etaη starts at x1=0x_1=0x1​=0 and sets xt+1=argmin⁡y∈K′∥y−(xt−ηg~t(xt))∥x_{t+1}=\operatorname{argmin}_{y\in\mathcal K'}\|y-(x_t-\eta\widetilde g_t(x_t))\|xt+1​=argminy∈K′​∥y−(xt​−ηg​t​(xt​))∥, where g~t\widetilde g_tg​t​ is a gradient estimate. With S1,S2,…S_1,S_2,\dotsS1​,S2​,… independent and uniform on S\mathbb SS:

  • the two-point estimate (6.1) is g~t(xt)=d2δ(ℓt(Xt+)−ℓt(Xt−))St\widetilde g_t(x_t)=\frac d{2\delta}\big(\ell_t(X_t^+)-\ell_t(X_t^-)\big)S_tg​t​(xt​)=2δd​(ℓt​(Xt+​)−ℓt​(Xt−​))St​ with Xt±=xt±δStX_t^\pm=x_t\pm\delta S_tXt±​=xt​±δSt​; the played point is Xt+X_t^+Xt+​ or Xt−X_t^-Xt−​ by a fair coin;
  • the one-point estimate (6.3) is g~t(xt)=dδ ℓt(X~t)St\widetilde g_t(x_t)=\frac d\delta\,\ell_t(\widetilde X_t)S_tg​t​(xt​)=δd​ℓt​(Xt​)St​ with played point X~t=xt+δSt\widetilde X_t=x_t+\delta S_tXt​=xt​+δSt​.

OSGD runs on the shrunken set K′=(1−δ/r)K\mathcal K'=(1-\delta/r)\mathcal KK′=(1−δ/r)K, so that the perturbed points stay in K\mathcal KK. The pseudo-regret is

R‾n=E∑t=1nℓt(X~t)−min⁡x∈K∑t=1nℓt(x).\overline R_n=\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^n\ell_t(\widetilde X_t)-\min_{x\in\mathcal K}\sum_{t=1}^n\ell_t(x).Rn​=Et=1∑n​ℓt​(Xt​)−x∈Kmin​t=1∑n​ℓt​(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2, tuned

If in addition ∣ℓt∣≤L|\ell_t|\le L∣ℓt​∣≤L on K\mathcal KK, and δ=(2n)−1/4RdL/((3+R/r)G)\delta=(2n)^{-1/4}\sqrt{RdL/((3+R/r)G)}δ=(2n)−1/4RdL/((3+R/r)G)​, η=(2n)−3/4R3/(dL(3+R/r)G)\eta=(2n)^{-3/4}\sqrt{R^3/(dL(3+R/r)G)}η=(2n)−3/4R3/(dL(3+R/r)G)​, then one-point OSGD satisfies

R‾n≤4n3/4RdL (3+R/r) G.\overline R_n\le 4n^{3/4}\sqrt{RdL\,(3+R/r)\,G}.Rn​≤4n3/4RdL(3+R/r)G​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 6.1: ∇∫Bℓ(x+δb) db=1δ∫Sℓ(x+δs)s dσ(s)\nabla\int_{\mathbb B}\ell(x+\delta b)\,db=\frac1\delta\int_{\mathbb S}\ell(x+\delta s)s\,d\sigma(s)∇∫B​ℓ(x+δb)db=δ1​∫S​ℓ(x+δs)sdσ(s).
  2. Lemma 6.2: dδE[ℓ(x+δS)S]=∇E ℓ(x+δB)\frac d\delta\mathbb E[\ell(x+\delta S)S]=\nabla\mathbb E\,\ell(x+\delta B)δd​E[ℓ(x+δS)S]=∇Eℓ(x+δB).
  3. Eq. (6.2): ∣ℓ(x)−ℓ~(x)∣≤δG|\ell(x)-\widetilde\ell(x)|\le\delta G∣ℓ(x)−ℓ(x)∣≤δG.
  4. Lemma 6.3: the queried points' regret against xxx is at most the smoothed regret of the iterates against (1−ξ)x(1-\xi)x(1−ξ)x, plus 3δGn+ξGRn3\delta Gn+\xi GRn3δGn+ξGRn.
  5. Theorem 6.1: two-point OSGD has R‾n≤R2/η+η(Gd)2n+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le R^2/\eta+\eta(Gd)^2n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤R2/η+η(Gd)2n+δ(3+R/r)Gn, and R‾n≤2RGdn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le 2RGd\sqrt n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤2RGdn​+δ(3+R/r)Gn for η=R/(Gdn)\eta=R/(Gd\sqrt n)η=R/(Gdn​).
  6. Theorem 6.2, first display: one-point OSGD has R‾n≤R2/η+(dL)2δ2ηn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le R^2/\eta+\frac{(dL)^2}{\delta^2}\eta n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤R2/η+δ2(dL)2​ηn+δ(3+R/r)Gn for every 0<δ≤r0<\delta\le r0<δ≤r and η>0\eta>0η>0.

Significance

The n3/4n^{3/4}n3/4 bound shows that a single function value per round suffices for sublinear regret against any oblivious sequence of Lipschitz convex losses, with a forecaster whose only operations are a random perturbation and a Euclidean projection. The smoothing identity of Lemmas 6.1–6.2 is the basic tool of zeroth-order (derivative-free) optimization, used well beyond bandits, and Theorem 6.1 is the n\sqrt nn​ benchmark for two-point methods.

All results are proved in the source. To the best of current knowledge none is formalized: the related items of the Introduction to Online Convex Optimization series on Prove2Me (Hazan's Lemma 6.7 and Theorem 6.9) were formalized with missing hypotheses and are recorded as disproved. This mission produces machine-checked statements with every hypothesis explicit, and the formal infrastructure (sphere measure calculus, a projected stochastic gradient analysis) for later zeroth-order results.

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct formal treatment. First, Lemma 6.1 is a divergence-theorem identity on the ball; Mathlib has the sphere measure and polar coordinates, but its divergence theorem covers boxes rather than balls, so differentiating the ball average in xxx requires either such a theorem or a direct argument about translates of the ball. Second, the regret analysis takes expectations of quantities that depend on the whole past: the iterate xtx_txt​ is a function of S1,…,St−1S_1,\dots,S_{t-1}S1​,…,St−1​, and unbiasedness E[g~t∣xt]=∇ℓ~t(xt)\mathbb E[\widetilde g_t\mid x_t]=\nabla\widetilde\ell_t(x_t)E[g​t​∣xt​]=∇ℓt​(xt​) holds only conditionally, via independence of StS_tSt​ from the past. A pathwise gradient-descent inequality must be combined with this conditional expectation round by round, with measurability of the projected iterates established along the way. The naive approach of treating the estimate as the true gradient of ℓt\ell_tℓt​ fails: it is a gradient of ℓ~t\widetilde\ell_tℓt​, and the gap is handled only by Eq. (6.2) and Lemma 6.3.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1; rounds are t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,…, sums run over Finset.Icc 1 n. σ\sigmaσ is Mathlib's Measure.toSphere of Lebesgue measure; the uniform laws are normalized restrictions. Randomness lives on an arbitrary probability space; the directions StS_tSt​ are measurable, mutually independent (iIndepFun) and uniform on S\mathbb SS, and in Theorem 6.1 the pairs (St,Ct)(S_t,C_t)(St​,Ct​) are independent with CtC_tCt​ a fair sign independent of StS_tSt​. A run of OSGD is a predicate (start at 000, each iterate a Euclidean projection onto (1−δ/r)K(1-\delta/r)\mathcal K(1−δ/r)K), which determines the run uniquely, so the forecaster uses only observed values and its own randomness. The losses are Lipschitz, differentiable and convex on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd; the bound ∣ℓt∣≤L|\ell_t|\le L∣ℓt​∣≤L is on K\mathcal KK, because a convex function bounded on Rd\mathbb R^dRd is constant. The minimum over K\mathcal KK is an infimum over the subtype K\mathcal KK, attained in every theorem.

Conventions and corrections, each stated in the item's Formalization Note:

  • Lemma 6.1 carries the factor 1/δ1/\delta1/δ that the printed statement omits and the proof contains (corrected misprint).
  • Theorem 6.1's second display prints η=R/(GDn)\eta=R/(GD\sqrt n)η=R/(GDn​) and a limit "for δ→0\delta\to0δ→0"; the item states R‾n≤2RGdn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le 2RGd\sqrt n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤2RGdn​+δ(3+R/r)Gn for η=R/(Gdn)\eta=R/(Gd\sqrt n)η=R/(Gdn​) and every admissible δ\deltaδ, which implies the limit (corrected misprint).
  • Theorems 6.1 and 6.2 add 0<δ≤r0<\delta\le r0<δ≤r, which the proofs need for Xt±,X~t∈KX_t^\pm,\widetilde X_t\in\mathcal KXt±​,Xt​∈K; for the tuned δ\deltaδ of the goal it is a condition on nnn.
  • The goal adds G,L>0G,L>0G,L>0 and n≥1n\ge1n≥1, which its formulas for δ,η\delta,\etaδ,η need; the constant 444 is the book's rounding of 2⋅23/42\cdot2^{3/4}2⋅23/4 and is kept, as is the form R2/ηR^2/\etaR2/η.

The statements cannot be satisfied trivially: the run is pinned by its recursion, the losses are fixed before the randomness, the expectations are of bounded measurable functions (no zero-valued Bochner integrals), and the minimum is over the nonempty compact K\mathcal KK. Section 6.3 (Lemma 6.4, Theorem 6.3) is not included, because its algorithm box and proof use different stage lengths and its unimodality condition is stated on a smaller set than the proof uses.

Needed infrastructure: calculus of ball averages and sphere integrals, symmetry of the uniform sphere law, nonexpansiveness of projections onto closed convex sets, and conditional-expectation bookkeeping for adapted iterates. Each is reusable for zeroth-order optimization; contributions of any of them as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721v2, doi:10.1561/2200000024
  • A. Flaxman, A. Kalai, H. B. McMahan, Online convex optimization in the bandit setting: gradient descent without a gradient, SODA 2005. arXiv:cs/0408007
  • A. Agarwal, O. Dekel, L. Xiao, Optimal algorithms for online convex optimization with multi-point bandit feedback, COLT 2010. link
  • S. Bubeck, R. Eldan, Y. T. Lee, Kernel-based methods for bandit convex optimization, STOC 2017. arXiv:1607.03084
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