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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999112Formalized record→≤ 1.999074Open frontier
2 provers on it3 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.99791Formalized record
3 provers on it3 of 3 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record
6 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record
3 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Tight-Binding Model for Graphene: the Dirac ConeTextbook

Motivation

Graphene is a single sheet of carbon atoms arranged on a honeycomb lattice. Its electrons are described, to a first approximation that is quantitatively good near the Fermi level, by a nearest-neighbour tight-binding model: a hopping amplitude ttt between adjacent carbon sites and nothing else. What makes the model worth studying is that this two-parameter lattice problem produces a band structure with two bands that touch at isolated points of the Brillouin zone and disperse linearly around them, so that low-energy electrons obey a two-dimensional massless Dirac equation rather than a Schrödinger equation with an effective mass. That observation organises the standard review literature on graphene (Castro Neto, Guinea, Peres, Novoselov, Geim, The electronic properties of graphene, Rev. Mod. Phys. 81 (2009) 109), and goes back to Wallace's 1947 band theory of graphite.

This mission formalises a self-contained set of lecture notes that carries the computation out in full: F. Utermohlen, Tight-Binding Model for Graphene (2018). It is the two-dimensional, two-sublattice counterpart of the tight-binding chain: the chain gives a single band ε(k)=−2tcos⁡(ka)\varepsilon(k)=-2t\cos(ka)ε(k)=−2tcos(ka) with no band touching, while the honeycomb lattice, whose unit cell contains two inequivalent sites, produces a 2×22\times22×2 Bloch matrix and the conical band touchings targeted here.

Setting

Fix a carbon–carbon distance a>0a>0a>0 and a hopping amplitude t>0t>0t>0. The honeycomb lattice is two interpenetrating triangular lattices, the AAA and BBB sublattices, with lattice unit vectors a1=a2(3,3)a_1=\tfrac{a}{2}(3,\sqrt3)a1​=2a​(3,3​), a2=a2(3,−3)a_2=\tfrac{a}{2}(3,-\sqrt3)a2​=2a​(3,−3​) and nearest-neighbour vectors

δ1=a2(1,3),δ2=a2(1,−3),δ3=−a(1,0),\delta_1=\tfrac{a}{2}\bigl(1,\sqrt3\bigr),\qquad \delta_2=\tfrac{a}{2}\bigl(1,-\sqrt3\bigr),\qquad \delta_3=-a\bigl(1,0\bigr),δ1​=2a​(1,3​),δ2​=2a​(1,−3​),δ3​=−a(1,0),

each joining an AAA site to one of its three BBB neighbours. The corners of the first Brillouin zone — the Dirac points — are

K=2π33 a(3,1),K′=2π33 a(3,−1).K=\frac{2\pi}{3\sqrt3\,a}\bigl(\sqrt3,1\bigr),\qquad K'=\frac{2\pi}{3\sqrt3\,a}\bigl(\sqrt3,-1\bigr).K=33​a2π​(3​,1),K′=33​a2π​(3​,−1).

Fourier transforming the second-quantised hopping Hamiltonian H^=−t∑⟨ij⟩(a^i†b^j+h.c.)\hat H=-t\sum_{\langle ij\rangle}(\hat a^\dagger_i\hat b_j+\mathrm{h.c.})H^=−t∑⟨ij⟩​(a^i†​b^j​+h.c.) gives H^=∑kΨ†h(k)Ψ\hat H=\sum_k\Psi^\dagger h(k)\PsiH^=∑k​Ψ†h(k)Ψ with Ψ=(a^k,b^k)T\Psi=(\hat a_k,\hat b_k)^{T}Ψ=(a^k​,b^k​)T and the Bloch Hamiltonian

h(k)=−t(0ΔkΔk‾0),Δk=∑j=13ei k⋅δj,h(k)=-t\begin{pmatrix}0&\Delta_k\\ \overline{\Delta_k}&0\end{pmatrix}, \qquad \Delta_k=\sum_{j=1}^{3}e^{i\,k\cdot\delta_j},h(k)=−t(0Δk​​​Δk​0​),Δk​=j=1∑3​eik⋅δj​,

where Δk\Delta_kΔk​ is called the structure factor. The mission takes this 2×22\times22×2 matrix as its starting point: the second-quantised derivation (Eqs. 2–8 of the notes) is not formalised, and h(k)h(k)h(k) together with Δk\Delta_kΔk​ is defined by the displayed formulas. The band energies are the eigenvalues E±(k)E_\pm(k)E±​(k) of h(k)h(k)h(k), and E+(k)=t∣Δk∣E_+(k)=t|\Delta_k|E+​(k)=t∣Δk​∣ is the quantity the statements are written in terms of. The Fermi velocity is vF=3at2v_F=\tfrac{3at}{2}vF​=23at​ (units with ℏ=1\hbar=1ℏ=1).

Formalization targets

Goal — the Dirac cone

χh(k)(X)=X2−E+(k)2  for all k,E+(K)=0,E+(K+q)=vF ∣q∣+o(∣q∣)  (q→0),\chi_{h(k)}(X)=X^2-E_+(k)^2\ \text{ for all }k,\qquad E_+(K)=0,\qquad E_+(K+q)=v_F\,|q|+o(|q|)\ \ (q\to0),χh(k)​(X)=X2−E+​(k)2  for all k,E+​(K)=0,E+​(K+q)=vF​∣q∣+o(∣q∣)  (q→0),

with E+(k)=t∣Δk∣E_+(k)=t|\Delta_k|E+​(k)=t∣Δk​∣, ∣q∣=qx2+qy2|q|=\sqrt{q_x^2+q_y^2}∣q∣=qx2​+qy2​​ and vF=3at2v_F=\tfrac{3at}{2}vF​=23at​. The three clauses say, in order, that ±E+\pm E_+±E+​ really are the eigenvalues of the Bloch Hamiltonian, that the two bands touch at the Brillouin-zone corner KKK, and that they disperse linearly and isotropically around it. The goal deliberately asserts the shape of the low-energy dispersion — a first-order expansion, with no quantitative remainder — so it is not invalidated by sharper error estimates.

Milestones

The milestone list follows the notes equation by equation: the closed form of Δk\Delta_kΔk​ (Eq. 11), the characteristic polynomial of h(k)h(k)h(k) (Eq. 9), the two explicit forms of the dispersion (Eqs. 12 and 13–14), the Pauli-matrix form of h(k)h(k)h(k) (Eq. 18), the vanishing of Δ\DeltaΔ at KKK and K′K'K′, the first-order expansions at both Dirac points (Eqs. 22–23 and 30), the spectrum of the linearised Hamiltonians (Eq. 32), and the gap opened by a σz\sigma_zσz​ mass term (Eqs. 33–34).

Significance

The three clauses of the goal are what turn a lattice hopping problem into the massless-Dirac-fermion picture used throughout graphene physics: they are the precise sense in which "graphene has Dirac cones at KKK and K′K'K′ with Fermi velocity 3at/23at/23at/2". Downstream, the same objects carry the valley structure — the two expansions are complex conjugates of one another — and the mass milestone shows how a sublattice-asymmetric on-site potential (boron nitride rather than graphene) opens a gap 2vF∣M∣2v_F|M|2vF​∣M∣, the standard model of a gapped Dirac material.

The mathematics is classical and the physics literature regards it as settled; what this mission adds is a machine-checked development in which the honeycomb geometry, the Bloch matrix, its spectrum and the Dirac-point expansions are reusable definitions and lemmas rather than a computation redone by hand. No part of the development is claimed to be new mathematics.

Difficulty

The obstacles are in the analysis, not the algebra. The first two clauses of the goal are a trigonometric identity and a 2×22\times22×2 determinant. The third is a genuine differentiability statement, and the naive route — expand ΔK+q\Delta_{K+q}ΔK+q​, cancel the zeroth-order terms, read off the linear term — has to be carried out uniformly in the direction of qqq; moreover the quantity being expanded is ∣ΔK+q∣|\Delta_{K+q}|∣ΔK+q​∣, a modulus, which is not differentiable at a zero of Δ\DeltaΔ. The linear behaviour of E+E_+E+​ survives only because the modulus of a function with a nonzero complex-linear differential at a zero is asymptotically the modulus of that differential, and the elementary estimate ∣∣z+w∣−∣z∣∣≤∣w∣\bigl||z+w|-|z|\bigr|\le|w|​∣z+w∣−∣z∣​≤∣w∣ is what lets the o(∣q∣)o(|q|)o(∣q∣) error be transported through the modulus. Note also that E+E_+E+​ itself is not differentiable at KKK — the cone has a vertex there — so no Taylor theorem applies to E+E_+E+​ directly.

Formalization scope

Wave vectors and lattice vectors are pairs of reals, R×R\mathbb{R}\times\mathbb{R}R×R. Because that product type carries the sup norm, the Euclidean length ∣q∣=qx2+qy2|q|=\sqrt{q_x^2+q_y^2}∣q∣=qx2​+qy2​​ is introduced as a separate definition and is the one used in every statement; the little-o statements are taken with respect to the neighbourhood filter of the origin, for which the two norms agree up to constants. Δk\Delta_kΔk​ is a finite sum over a three-element index set, h(k)h(k)h(k) is a concrete 2×22\times22×2 complex matrix, and "eigenvalues" are always expressed through the characteristic polynomial rather than through an eigenvector predicate. Lattice constant and hopping amplitude are real parameters; the standing hypotheses of the goal are exactly a>0a>0a>0 and t>0t>0t>0, and several milestones need less. Units are ℏ=1\hbar=1ℏ=1, so vF=3at2v_F=\tfrac{3at}{2}vF​=23at​.

Two things the formalization deliberately does not do: it does not derive the Bloch Hamiltonian from the second-quantised hopping Hamiltonian (Eqs. 2–8), which would require a Fock-space development, and it does not claim that KKK and K′K'K′ are the only zeros of Δ\DeltaΔ. No statement is vacuous: every hypothesis is satisfiable (take a=t=1a=t=1a=t=1), and the goal's third clause is a nontrivial asymptotic rather than an identity.

Contributions welcome beyond the milestone list: the second-quantised derivation, the identification of the full zero set of Δk\Delta_kΔk​ modulo the reciprocal lattice, eigenvector-level (pseudospin) statements, the density of states, and the extension to next-nearest-neighbour hopping.

Selected references

  • F. Utermohlen, Tight-Binding Model for Graphene, lecture notes, Ohio State University, 2018.
  • A. H. Castro Neto, F. Guinea, N. M. R. Peres, K. S. Novoselov, A. K. Geim, The electronic properties of graphene, Rev. Mod. Phys. 81 (2009) 109. https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.81.109
  • P. R. Wallace, The Band Theory of Graphite, Phys. Rev. 71 (1947) 622. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.71.622
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🏆Completed
Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Supermodularity and Complementarity III: Assortative Matching under SupermodularityTextbook

Motivation

Which workers end up at which firms, and does higher quality always land at the more productive employer? This is the question of assortative matching: whether an efficient assignment pairs the best workers with the best firms, the second-best with the second-best, and so on down the line. The question has a long history in labor economics. Becker [1973] showed, for the simplest case of two-sided homogeneous firms and a single worker characteristic, that profit maximization under complementarity forces exactly this kind of sorting. Kremer [1993] extended the analysis to firms with many workers of a single type, under a specific Cobb–Douglas production function. What was missing was a general theory: one that covers firms hiring several types of workers simultaneously, firms that differ in efficiency, and labor markets of any degree of tightness, while still deriving sorting from a single primitive economic condition rather than from functional-form assumptions.

Topkis's Chapter 3, §3.2 supplies exactly that theory, as an application of the book's central tool — supermodularity — to the assignment problem. The condition that drives every result in this mission is a single complementarity hypothesis on the firms' profit functions: no concavity, no differentiability, no specific functional form. That a purely order-theoretic hypothesis pins down the qualitative shape of an optimal assignment is the mission's central content, and the platform currently has no lattice-theoretic treatment of matching at all — its one matching result formalizes Gale–Shapley two-sided stable matching by preference, an entirely different mechanism (see Formalization scope below).

Setting

Fix nnn worker types, indexed i=1,…,ni = 1,\dots,ni=1,…,n, each with a lattice XiX_iXi​ of available worker qualities, and mmm firms, indexed j=1,…,mj = 1,\dots,mj=1,…,m. A matching assigns to each firm jjj a vector of qualities xj=(x1j,…,xnj)∈∏i=1nXix^j = (x^j_1,\dots,x^j_n) \in \prod_{i=1}^n X_ixj=(x1j​,…,xnj​)∈∏i=1n​Xi​ — one worker of each type hired by that firm (a firm that hires no worker of some type, or several, is accommodated by adjoining an artificial "no worker" element to XiX_iXi​, or by splitting a type into several, as Topkis notes on p. 97; the model itself needs neither device). If firm jjj hires the quality vector xxx, it earns profit f(x,j)∈Rf(x,j) \in \mathbb{R}f(x,j)∈R; the dependence on jjj reflects differences among firms such as technology or management efficiency. A matching is optimal if it maximizes the total profit ∑j=1mf(xj,j)\sum_{j=1}^m f(x^j,j)∑j=1m​f(xj,j) over every matching.

A matching is increasing if x1⪯x2⪯⋯⪯xmx^1 \preceq x^2 \preceq \cdots \preceq x^mx1⪯x2⪯⋯⪯xm — a single chain, firm by firm, under the pointwise order on ∏iXi\prod_i X_i∏i​Xi​ — and ordered if every two of its firm-assignments are comparable (a weaker, only pairwise, condition). The labor market is loose if each firm's hiring problem can be solved by unconstrained maximization over the whole quality space ∏iXi\prod_i X_i∏i​Xi​, without regard to the other firms' decisions, and tight if the supply of each worker type is exactly mmm, so a feasible matching must assign every available worker to exactly one firm.

The hypothesis common to every result is that f(x,j)f(x,j)f(x,j) is supermodular in the joint variable (x,j)(x,j)(x,j) on (∏iXi)×{1,…,m}\bigl(\prod_i X_i\bigr) \times \{1,\dots,m\}(∏i​Xi​)×{1,…,m}: for every (x,j)(x,j)(x,j) and (x′,j′)(x',j')(x′,j′), f(x,j)+f(x′,j′)≤f(x∨x′,j∨j′)+f(x∧x′,j∧j′)f(x,j) + f(x',j') \le f(x\vee x', j\vee j') + f(x\wedge x', j\wedge j')f(x,j)+f(x′,j′)≤f(x∨x′,j∨j′)+f(x∧x′,j∧j′). By Theorem 2.6.1 of Chapter 2, this is equivalent to fff having increasing differences both between any two worker types' qualities (complementarity among the worker types) and between each worker type's quality and the firm index (complementarity between quality and firm efficiency).

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 3.2.3

f supermodular in (x,j) on (∏i=1nXi)×{1,…,m} ⟹ ∃ x increasing and optimal.f \text{ supermodular in } (x,j) \text{ on } \Bigl(\textstyle\prod_{i=1}^n X_i\Bigr)\times\{1,\dots,m\} \ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, x \text{ increasing and optimal.}f supermodular in (x,j) on (∏i=1n​Xi​)×{1,…,m} ⟹ ∃x increasing and optimal. If, in addition, the labor market is tight, every increasing (tight) matching is optimal.\text{If, in addition, the labor market is tight, every increasing (tight) matching is optimal.}If, in addition, the labor market is tight, every increasing (tight) matching is optimal.

Existence of an increasing optimal matching, with no loose-market hypothesis — the general case, and the harder of this mission's results to formalize, since its proof is a non-constructive lexicographic-minimization argument rather than a direct reduction to per-firm optimization.

Supporting milestones

  • Theorem 3.2.1 (the loose case): under an unconstrained labor market, each firm's set of optimal hiring decisions is increasing in the firm index with respect to the induced set ordering, and an increasing optimal matching exists — proved directly from Chapter 2's monotone-comparative-statics theorems (mission II of this series).
  • Theorem 3.2.4: joint supermodularity in (x,j)(x,j)(x,j) together with strict supermodularity in xxx alone, for each fixed jjj, forces every optimal matching to be ordered.
  • Theorem 3.2.5: joint strict supermodularity in (x,j)(x,j)(x,j) forces every optimal matching to be increasing, the stronger of the two conclusions.

Significance

The result gives a clean, hypothesis-light account of assortative matching: sorting by quality is a structural consequence of complementarity in the profit function, not an artifact of a particular production technology. It generalizes Becker's and Kremer's special cases to arbitrarily many worker types, heterogeneous firms, and any degree of labor-market tightness, identifying supermodularity in (x,j)(x,j)(x,j) as the single condition doing all the work. Formalizing it contributes a genuinely new object to the platform: a firm-quality matching model driven by lattice-theoretic complementarity rather than by preference orderings, together with the four distinct comparative-statics conclusions (loose-market optimality, general existence, orderedness, increasingness) that the strength of the supermodularity hypothesis buys. No prior formalized proof of any of these four theorems exists on the platform or, to the author's knowledge, in any other proof assistant library.

Difficulty

The obvious approach — prove the goal (Theorem 3.2.3) by reducing to the loose case, firm by firm, as in Theorem 3.2.1 — does not work, because the loose-market argument crucially uses that each firm's decision does not constrain any other's; without that, a locally optimal per-firm choice need not combine into a globally optimal matching. Topkis's actual proof is non-constructive: among all optimal matchings, pick one that lexicographically minimizes the "latest" failure of the increasing property (a well-ordering argument over the finite but unbounded set of optimal matchings, not an inequality chase), then show that if it still fails to be increasing, exchanging the two offending firms' assignments via ∨,∧\vee,\wedge∨,∧ strictly increases total profit — contradicting optimality by supermodularity. Formalizing this requires setting up the lexicographic minimization (over pairs (j,i)(j,i)(j,i) ordered by jjj then iii) as a well-founded induction, not merely restating the inequality (3.2.3) at the end of the proof.

Formalization scope

Worker-type quality spaces XiX_iXi​ are modeled as finite, nonempty lattices (Lattice, Fintype, Nonempty); firms are indexed by Fin m. A matching is Fin m → ∀ i, X i with no constraint beyond membership — the general matching problem (3.2.1) imposes no injectivity or supply constraint on its own, a modeling choice Topkis's own text supports (p. 96: the "{xi1,…,xim}⊆Xi\{x^1_i,\dots,x^m_i\}\subseteq X_i{xi1​,…,xim​}⊆Xi​" representation of a matching "may not distinguish between all distinct assignments of workers to firms if the qualities of different workers of any given type are not all distinct, but that ambiguity is inconsequential"). Tightness is instead formalized as an explicit feasibility predicate (a bijection between firms and the mmm available workers of each type) supplied as a hypothesis exactly where a tight-market theorem needs it, never folded into the general optimality predicate.

A trivializing formalization to avoid: collapsing Theorem 3.2.4's "ordered" conclusion and Theorem 3.2.5's "increasing" conclusion into the same statement, or conflating their two distinct supermodularity hypotheses (joint-non-strict-plus-per-firm-strict versus jointly strict) — the mission's four milestones are kept as four genuinely different claims with their own hypotheses, not variations proved once and restated. AGT.stable_matching_exists (Gale–Shapley) is not reused here, despite the shared word "matching": it produces a two-sided, preference-based stable matching with no notion of aggregate profit, a mechanism unrelated to this mission's profit-maximizing, supermodularity-driven assignment.

Reused from earlier missions in this series: the induced set ordering InducedSetOrder (mission I) and joint supermodularity SupermodularOn (mission II), both published platform definitions. Contributions most welcome on the goal theorem's lexicographic-minimization argument, the mission's hardest step.

Selected references

  • G. S. Becker, A Theory of Marriage: Part I, Journal of Political Economy 81 (1973), 813–846. https://doi.org/10.1086/260084
  • M. Kremer, The O-Ring Theory of Economic Development, Quarterly Journal of Economics 108 (1993), 551–575. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118400
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 2011 (orig. 1998). https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Introduction to Stochastic Programming V: The Integer L-Shaped MethodTextbook

Motivation

Two-stage stochastic programs with recourse are already hard to optimize when the recourse problem is a linear program: Chapters 4–6 of this series show how the L-shaped method exploits the recourse function's convexity and polyhedrality to converge finitely by cutting planes. Adding integrality restrictions destroys both properties. Birge and Louveaux open Chapter 7 by naming the consequence directly: "properties of stochastic integer programs are scarce," duality is lost, and the recourse value Q(x)Q(x)Q(x) for even a single first-stage point xxx may itself require solving an integer program from scratch, with no warm start available across scenarios (Birge & Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer 2011, p. 290).

Section 7.2 isolates the one structural feature that still buys finite convergence: first-stage variables restricted to {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}. Laporte and Louveaux's Integer L-shaped method (1993) exploits this by combining a branch-and-bound search over the finitely many binary first-stage points with a new family of optimality cuts, valid wherever a finite lower bound on the recourse value is available. This mission formalizes that method's specification and its finite-convergence guarantee, together with the two propositions its proof rests on.

Setting

A stochastic integer program (SIP) extends a two-stage stochastic linear program with fixed recourse (Chapter 3's Recourse.Instance: first-stage data A,b,cA, b, cA,b,c, fixed recourse matrix WWW, and KKK scenarios of (qk,hk,Tk)(q_k, h_k, T_k)(qk​,hk​,Tk​) with probabilities pkp_kpk​) by two further restrictions:

(SIP)min⁡x∈XcTx+Eξmin⁡y{q(ω)Ty∣W(ω)y=h(ω)−T(ω)x, y∈Y}s.t. Ax=b,(\mathrm{SIP}) \quad \min_{x \in X} c^{\mathsf T}x + \mathbb E_\xi \min_y \{ q(\omega)^{\mathsf T} y \mid W(\omega)y = h(\omega) - T(\omega)x,\ y \in Y\} \quad \text{s.t. } Ax = b,(SIP)x∈Xmin​cTx+Eξ​ymin​{q(ω)Ty∣W(ω)y=h(ω)−T(ω)x, y∈Y}s.t. Ax=b,

where XXX restricts the first stage and YYY restricts the recourse variable — typically requiring integrality of yyy. Section 7.2's standing hypothesis narrows XXX further: every coordinate of xxx is binary. Write Q(x)Q(x)Q(x) for the resulting recourse value (a possibly-infinite expectation, by the same convention as the continuous case) and C(x)C(x)C(x) for the value of the continuous relaxation, obtained by dropping the restriction YYY and keeping only y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 — exactly the recourse value Chapter 3's Recourse.Instance already computes.

The method needs one further hypothesis, Assumption 2: a finite lower bound LLL with L≤min⁡x{Q(x)∣Ax=b, x∈X}L \le \min_x \{Q(x) \mid Ax=b,\ x \in X\}L≤minx​{Q(x)∣Ax=b, x∈X}, not required to be tight. For a subset SSS of the first-stage index set, write δ(x,S)=∑i∈Sxi−∑i∉Sxi\delta(x,S) = \sum_{i \in S} x_i - \sum_{i \notin S} x_iδ(x,S)=∑i∈S​xi​−∑i∈/S​xi​, and let indicator(S)\mathrm{indicator}(S)indicator(S) be the binary point with xi=1x_i = 1xi​=1 for i∈Si \in Si∈S, xi=0x_i = 0xi​=0 otherwise — δ(x,S)\delta(x,S)δ(x,S) measures how far a binary point xxx is from matching SSS exactly, reaching its maximum ∣S∣|S|∣S∣ only at x=indicator(S)x = \mathrm{indicator}(S)x=indicator(S).

Formalization targets

Proposition 1 (continuous cuts survive integrality)

e−ETx≤C(x)  ⟹  e−ETx≤Q(x)e - E^{\mathsf T}x \le C(x) \implies e - E^{\mathsf T}x \le Q(x)e−ETx≤C(x)⟹e−ETx≤Q(x)

Any L-shaped optimality cut valid for the continuous relaxation's value remains valid for the true, integrality-restricted recourse value, since C(x)≤Q(x)C(x) \le Q(x)C(x)≤Q(x) pointwise.

Proposition 3 (a cut from one binary feasible solution)

θ≥(qS−L)(∑i∈Sxi−∑i∉Sxi)−(qS−L)(∣S∣−1)+L\theta \ge (q_S - L)\Bigl(\sum_{i \in S} x_i - \sum_{i \notin S} x_i\Bigr) - (q_S-L)(|S|-1) + Lθ≥(qS​−L)(i∈S∑​xi​−i∈/S∑​xi​)−(qS​−L)(∣S∣−1)+L

is a valid lower bound on Q(x)Q(x)Q(x) for every binary first-stage-feasible xxx, given a binary feasible point indicator(S)\mathrm{indicator}(S)indicator(S) with true recourse value qSq_SqS​ and a lower bound LLL satisfying Assumption 2.

Proposition 4 — the mission's goal

Under Assumption 2, the Integer L-shaped method — the branch-and-bound search over binary first-stage points, tightened at each iteration by a fresh cut of the Proposition 3 form — finitely converges to an optimal solution of an SIP with relatively complete recourse and binary first-stage variables, when one exists. "Finitely" is quantified explicitly: a bound of 2n12^{n_1}2n1​ on the number of iterations, the number of distinct binary first-stage points.

Significance

Proposition 4 is the chapter's payoff: it turns "solve an SIP with binary first-stage variables" from an open-ended search into a procedure with a certified stopping point, at the cost of one additional hypothesis (a computable lower bound LLL) that is often easy to obtain by relaxing the second-stage integrality restriction, as the book's Example 1 illustrates directly. Propositions 1 and 3 are the two soundness facts the method's cuts rest on: Proposition 1 lets an implementation reuse the continuous L-shaped method's own optimality cuts as valid (if weaker) constraints, and Proposition 3 supplies the chapter's genuinely new cut, tailored to the binary structure and strong enough by itself to guarantee termination.

Formalizing this mission fixes, machine-checkably, the exact hypotheses under which the method is correct — in particular, that "binary" is load-bearing (the finiteness bound is literally 2n12^{n_1}2n1​) and that "relatively complete recourse" cannot be dropped, since it is what keeps the recourse value from becoming +∞+\infty+∞ at a feasible point. No result here has, to the mission's knowledge, been formalized elsewhere; the propositions and the method's specification are drafted fresh.

Difficulty

The recourse function QQQ is neither convex nor polyhedral once yyy is integer-restricted, so the argument cannot follow the continuous L-shaped method's proof line for line — that proof leans on QQQ's convexity to certify a cut from finitely many bases. Proposition 3's cut instead argues purely combinatorially: δ(x,S)≤∣S∣\delta(x,S) \le |S|δ(x,S)≤∣S∣ for every binary xxx, with equality forcing x=indicator(S)x = \mathrm{indicator}(S)x=indicator(S), so the cut's right-hand side collapses to the true value qSq_SqS​ exactly there and falls to at most LLL everywhere else — a fact about the finitely many binary points of {0,1}n1\{0,1\}^{n_1}{0,1}n1​, not about QQQ's analytic structure. The natural first idea, adapting a continuous L-shaped cut by simply restricting its domain to binary xxx, fails: nothing forces such a cut to be tight at the current iterate, so it need not exclude a revisited point, and finite convergence (the content Proposition 4 actually asserts, not just "an optimum exists") would be lost.

Formalization scope

The mission represents first-stage points as Fin n1 → ℝ with a Binary predicate (∀ i, x i = 0 ∨ x i = 1) rather than a Fin n1 → Bool type, so that the master problem's feasible region and its binary-restricted subset share one ambient space, matching how the book moves between XXX and its binary points. The second-stage restriction YYY is left an arbitrary Set (Fin n2 → ℝ); taking it to be all of Rn2\mathbb R^{n2}Rn2 recovers exactly Chapter 3's continuous recourse value, without a second definition. Flagged (moderator review, 2026-09-19): Proposition 1's own C(x)C(x)C(x) is the book's Y‾\overline YY-based continuous/LP-relaxation of YYY (Eq. (1.3)-(1.4)), which can retain bounds YYY imposes beyond integrality — the book's own worked example on the same page gives binary Y={0,1}m2Y=\{0,1\}^{m_2}Y={0,1}m2​, so Y‾=[0,e]\overline Y=[0,e]Y=[0,e], not y≥0y\ge0y≥0 alone. This mission's prop1_cuts_valid_for_sip uses the dropped-YYY relaxation (only y≥0y \ge 0y≥0) rather than Y‾\overline YY, which coincides with the book's C(x)C(x)C(x) only when YYY is itself an unbounded integrality restriction; the theorem is a narrower result than the book's Proposition 1 whenever YYY carries additional structure, though it remains true as stated because the dropped-YYY value is unconditionally ≤\le≤ the book's Y‾\overline YY-based C(x)C(x)C(x), which is itself ≤Q(x)\le Q(x)≤Q(x) — see the item's own Formalization Note for the full argument. The existential lower bound LLL of Assumption 2 is kept a bare existentially-quantified real, never sharpened to a formula, matching the book's own "no requirement is made that the bound LLL should be tight."

The Integer L-shaped method's branch-and-bound bookkeeping (Steps 0, 1, 3, 4: pendant-node list management, bound-based fathoming, and branching on a violated integrality restriction) is abstracted into a direct optimization over the binary first-stage feasible set at each iteration, since Proposition 3's cut is proved valid there without appeal to any specific branching order — the same level of abstraction the Chapter 5 mission uses for the continuous L-shaped method's own master-problem bookkeeping. What is retained explicitly is the part the finiteness bound actually depends on: Step 5's recourse-value computation and Step 6's binary choice between fathoming and adding a fresh cut, modeled as a state machine whose state is the finite set of binary points already excluded by a cut. A formalization that dropped this state machine — asserting only "if Assumption 2 and relatively complete recourse hold, an optimal solution exists" — would trivialize the proposition's actual content, the finite bound on the number of steps; this mission keeps that bound as an explicit, checkable part of the goal statement.

Definitions reused from earlier missions in this series: StochasticProg.Recourse.Instance (Chapter 3) for the underlying two-stage recourse data and its continuous-relaxation value. Contributions welcome on strengthening Proposition 4's proof to also derive Proposition 3 as a lemma, and on formalizing the improved cuts of Propositions 5–7 (out of scope here, left for a possible follow-up mission).

Selected references

  • J.R. Birge and F. Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer Series in Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Springer 2011, Chapter 7, §7.2. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-0237-4
  • G. Laporte and F. Louveaux, "The integer L-shaped method for stochastic integer programs with complete recourse," Operations Research Letters 13(3), 1993, 133–142.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Introduction to Online Convex Optimization XI: Boosting via Online Convex OptimizationTextbook

Motivation

A "rule of thumb" classifier — a single pixel's brightness distinguishing handwritten "0" from "1" — is trivial to produce and barely better than a coin flip. A rule that gets every example right is, in general, far harder. Boosting asks whether many weak, easy-to-produce rules can be combined into one strong, hard-to-produce rule, and Chapter 11 answers it via a black-box reduction: any online convex optimization algorithm with sublinear regret, paired with access to a weak learner, yields a boosting algorithm — the same OCO-to-learning-theory template Chapter IX used for generalization, now applied to training-set fitting.

Setting

A concept class HHH is γ\gammaγ-weakly-learnable (Definition 11.1) if some algorithm, given enough labeled samples, returns a hypothesis with error at most 12−γ\frac12-\gamma21​−γ with high probability — better than random guessing by a fixed margin γ\gammaγ, far short of the arbitrarily-small error strong (PAC) learning demands. Section 11.2.1 fixes a simplified setting: binary zero-one loss, a realizable concept class (some h⋆∈Hh^\star \in Hh⋆∈H has zero error), and a weak-learning oracle W(p,δ′)W(p,\delta')W(p,δ′) returning, on distribution ppp over a fixed sample SSS of size mmm, a hypothesis with Pr⁡[errorp(W(p,δ′))≥12−γ]≤δ′\Pr[\mathrm{error}_p(W(p,\delta')) \ge \frac12-\gamma] \le \delta'Pr[errorp​(W(p,δ′))≥21​−γ]≤δ′.

Algorithm 34 runs an OCO algorithm AOCOA_{\mathrm{OCO}}AOCO​ over the mmm-dimensional simplex Δm\Delta_mΔm​ (distributions over the sample): at each round it calls the weak learner on the current distribution ptp_tpt​, builds the {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued cost vector rtr_trt​ recording which examples hth_tht​ got right, updates pt+1←AOCO(f1,…,ft)p_{t+1} \leftarrow A_{\mathrm{OCO}}(f_1,\dots,f_t)pt+1​←AOCO​(f1​,…,ft​) for the linear cost ft(p)=rt⊤pf_t(p) = r_t^\top pft​(p)=rt⊤​p, and finally outputs the majority vote hˉ(x)=sign(∑t=1Tht(x))\bar h(x) = \mathrm{sign}(\sum_{t=1}^T h_t(x))hˉ(x)=sign(∑t=1T​ht​(x)).

Formalization targets

Theorem 11.2 — the mission's sole target (goal)

For TTT chosen so 1TRegretT(AOCO)≤γ2\frac1T\mathrm{Regret}_T(A_{\mathrm{OCO}}) \le \frac\gamma2T1​RegretT​(AOCO​)≤2γ​, Algorithm 34 returns hˉ\bar hhˉ with Pr⁡[errorS(hˉ)=0]≥1−δ\Pr[\mathrm{error}_S(\bar h) = 0] \ge 1-\deltaPr[errorS​(hˉ)=0]≥1−δ: with high probability, hˉ\bar hhˉ classifies the entire training sample SSS perfectly.

Significance

This is one of the cleanest reduction theorems in the book: it needs no property of the weak learner beyond its γ\gammaγ-margin guarantee, and no property of the OCO algorithm beyond a regret bound — any of Chapters III–X's algorithms (multiplicative weights, OGD, RFTL, ONS...) plugs in directly, and §11.2.3 specializes the reduction with multiplicative weights to recover a close relative of AdaBoost, one of machine learning's most influential algorithms. The proof technique — a contradiction argument on the existence of a "hard" residual distribution p⋆p^\starp⋆ uniform over the misclassified examples — is itself instructive and structurally different from Chapter IX's martingale/concentration argument, despite both chapters being "OCO implies a learning-theoretic guarantee" reductions. No prior art was found on the platform for boosting or AdaBoost (planning search: q=boosting, q=AdaBoost — 0 hits); this mission drafts the theorem fresh.

Difficulty

The proof's key step packages the algorithm's regret guarantee (a worst-case statement, true for every cost sequence including an adversarially-constructed one) into a proof by contradiction: assuming some nonempty set of misclassified examples SϕS_\phiSϕ​ survives, the uniform distribution p⋆p^\starp⋆ over SϕS_\phiSϕ​ is shown to make every hth_tht​ perform at best exactly at the 12\frac1221​ threshold on average (since hˉ\bar hhˉ's sign disagrees with the true label on every point of SϕS_\phiSϕ​, at most half of the TTT rounds' hypotheses can have agreed there), while the weak-learner guarantee (via a union bound over all TTT rounds) forces the actual played distributions ptp_tpt​ to see ≥12+γ\ge\frac12+\gamma≥21​+γ average performance — and the algorithm's low regret against p⋆p^\starp⋆ specifically then closes the gap into an outright contradiction (12+γ≤12+γ2\frac12+\gamma \le \frac12 + \frac\gamma221​+γ≤21​+2γ​, impossible for γ>0\gamma>0γ>0). This chain — union bound over rounds, regret bound against one specific (adversarially-identified) comparator, and an averaging argument over the residual set — is more intricate than its short proof suggests.

Formalization scope

EmpiricalErrorWeighted/EmpiricalError give the (weighted and uniform) training-error quantities exactly as the book states them, with real-valued (±1) labels and predictions — the convention this chapter's sign-based majority vote needs, distinct from Chapter IX's Bool-valued zero-one loss (a deliberate, chunk-local choice, not a conflict, since the two chapters use different label conventions for different reasons — see MODERATION_NOTES.md). IsBoostingRun formalizes Algorithm 34's five lines, with the weak learner's round-t call modeled as a random hypothesis h_t : Ω → X → ℝ (since a weak-learning call is itself probabilistic) rather than a deterministic function, matching the book's own probabilistic per-call guarantee. The goal theorem states the weak-learner guarantee (hweak), the OCO regret guarantee (hA), and the choice of T (hTreg) as explicit hypotheses, per BRIEF.md's own instruction that these are the theorem's real content, not incidental setup. h̄ is typed as an arbitrary X → ℝ, never coerced into H — the book's own explicit remark that the boosted hypothesis need not belong to the original weak-hypothesis class.

This chunk has no milestones: Chapter 11 is short and largely monolithic around Theorem 11.2, with Section 11.2.1 ("Simplification of the setting") and 11.2.2 ("Algorithm and analysis") building directly to it with no other numbered lemma on the relevant pages (PDF 207–211). Definition 11.1 (weak learnability) is drafted as a definition, not manufactured into a milestone, per CAPTAIN_BRIEF.md's own rule that definitions are never milestones and BRIEF.md's explicit allowance for a mission with fewer than 3. §11.2.3's AdaBoost specialization (a corollary discussion, not a separately numbered theorem on these pages) is not formalized.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., arXiv:1909.05207v3, Chapter 11.
  • R.E. Schapire, "The strength of weak learnability," Machine Learning 5(2), 1990, 197-227.
  • Y. Freund, R.E. Schapire, "A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting," Journal of Computer and System Sciences 55(1), 1997, 119-139 (AdaBoost).
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: lisamegawatts

Finite Reflection Positivity Methods II: Split-Gibbs Normalization and ClosureTextbook

Motivation

Reflection positivity turns a factorized weight across a reflection plane into a positive-semidefinite kernel of observables. The first mission in this series certified that finite split-weight mechanism and its two-observable chessboard inequality. A physical finite-volume Gibbs model needs one more layer before it can consume those results: its unnormalized weight must have a strictly positive partition function, normalization must preserve the split representation, and the hypotheses used for probability normalization must not be confused with those used for reflection positivity.

This mission isolates that finite algebraic layer. It does not present the results as new mathematics; its purpose is to make the interfaces and their failure modes explicit enough for later clock and XY consumers.

Setting

Let XXX be a finite half-configuration space and let a full configuration be (x,y)∈X×X(x,y)\in X\times X(x,y)∈X×X. A split weight is

W(x,y)=∑a∈Acaϕa(x)ϕa(y),W(x,y)=\sum_{a\in A}c_a\phi_a(x)\phi_a(y),W(x,y)=a∈A∑​ca​ϕa​(x)ϕa​(y),

where AAA is finite, ca∈Rc_a\in\mathbb Rca​∈R, and ϕa:X→R\phi_a:X\to\mathbb Rϕa​:X→R. Its partition function and normalized weight are

Z=∑x,y∈XW(x,y),W^(x,y)=W(x,y)Z.Z=\sum_{x,y\in X}W(x,y),\qquad \widehat W(x,y)=\frac{W(x,y)}{Z}.Z=x,y∈X∑​W(x,y),W(x,y)=ZW(x,y)​.

For observables Fi:X→RF_i:X\to\mathbb RFi​:X→R, define the reflected kernel

Kij=∑x,y∈XW^(x,y)Fi(x)Fj(y).K_{ij}=\sum_{x,y\in X}\widehat W(x,y)F_i(x)F_j(y).Kij​=x,y∈X∑​W(x,y)Fi​(x)Fj​(y).

Positive semidefiniteness means symmetry together with nonnegativity of every real quadratic form.

Formalization targets

The mission keeps two logically independent requirements visible. Nonnegative split coefficients ca≥0c_a\ge0ca​≥0 give reflection positivity through a weighted Gram factorization. Pointwise nonnegativity W(x,y)≥0W(x,y)\ge0W(x,y)≥0, together with one strictly positive value, gives Z>0Z>0Z>0 and probability normalization. Neither requirement is silently substituted for the other.

The positive targets prove:

  1. finite normalization of a nonnegative, nonzero weight;
  2. closure of split data under common half-factors;
  3. closure of split data under pointwise products;
  4. preservation of reflection positivity under division by Z>0Z>0Z>0; and
  5. the combined probability, PSD-kernel, and chessboard conclusions
Kij2≤KiiKjj.K_{ij}^{2}\le K_{ii}K_{jj}.Kij2​≤Kii​Kjj​.

Two controls freeze the boundary. The symmetric two-point matrix with diagonal 111 and off-diagonal 222 is pointwise positive and normalizes to a probability weight, but its raw and normalized delta-observable kernels are not PSD. Conversely, zero split data have nonnegative coefficients and PSD raw kernels, but Z=0Z=0Z=0 and their formally normalized weight is not a probability weight.

Significance

The result is a reusable adapter between an unnormalized finite Gibbs factorization and the previously certified reflection-positive kernel API. It prevents a later model proof from treating pointwise positivity as if it were a Gram representation, or treating reflection positivity as if it guaranteed a nonzero normalizer. The next physical consumer can therefore focus on proving an explicit nonnegative factorization of its cross-plane Boltzmann weight.

Scope

All types and sums used for normalization and kernels are finite, and all weights, coefficients, features, observables, and matrices are real. The mission proves no clock- or XY-specific Gibbs factorization, no spectral or Gaussian-domination theorem, no thermodynamic limit, and no Kosterlitz--Thouless conclusion. Those require separate missions. Physical R1R1R1 and G1G1G1 are not conclusions here.

References

  • J. Fröhlich, R. Israel, E. H. Lieb, and B. Simon, Phase transitions and reflection positivity. I. General theory and long range lattice models, Communications in Mathematical Physics 62 (1978), 1--34. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01940327
  • Prove2Me mission Finite Reflection Positivity Methods I: Split Weights and Infrared Modes, mission db962332-7a71-4d34-a01c-e85cdee243ce.
  • LeanProofs, ReflectionPositivityInfraredBound.lean, repository snapshot dbf503b2909cc17787d40a21eb75a0c9354cc6ef: https://github.com/MonumentalSystems/LeanProofs/blob/dbf503b2909cc17787d40a21eb75a0c9354cc6ef/LeanProofs/StatMech/ReflectionPositivityInfraredBound.lean
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Introduction to Stochastic Networks II: Kolmogorov's Criterion for ReversibilityTextbook

Motivation

A Markov process is reversible when, in equilibrium, transitions from xxx to yyy occur at the same average rate as transitions from yyy to xxx. Algebraically this is the detailed balance condition π(x)q(x,y)=π(y)q(y,x)\pi(x)q(x,y)=\pi(y)q(y,x)π(x)q(x,y)=π(y)q(y,x), and it is the single most useful structural property a network process can have: it replaces a global linear system by one equation per pair of states, and it hands you the equilibrium measure as a product of rate ratios rather than as the solution of anything.

The catch is that detailed balance mentions π\piπ, which is exactly what one is trying to find. Chapter 2 of Richard Serfozo's Introduction to Stochastic Networks (Springer, 1999) removes the circularity. Kolmogorov's criterion characterizes reversibility by a condition on the rates alone: around every closed path, the product of the forward rates equals the product of the backward rates. And the proof is constructive — once the criterion holds, the invariant measure is

π(x)=∏i=1nq(xi−1,xi)q(xi,xi−1)\pi(x)=\prod_{i=1}^{n}\frac{q(x_{i-1},x_i)}{q(x_i,x_{i-1})}π(x)=i=1∏n​q(xi​,xi−1​)q(xi−1​,xi​)​

along any path from a fixed origin x0x^0x0 to xxx, the criterion being precisely what makes the answer independent of the path chosen.

Setting

q(x,y)q(x,y)q(x,y) is a non-negative rate function on a state space E\mathbb EE, with the two-way communication property that q(x,y)q(x,y)q(x,y) and q(y,x)q(y,x)q(y,x) are positive together — a process failing this is visibly not reversible, since some transition would be possible but its reverse would not. A path x0,…,xnx_0,\dots,x_nx0​,…,xn​ is a sequence with q(xi−1,xi)>0q(x_{i-1},x_i)>0q(xi−1​,xi​)>0 throughout, and qqq is assumed irreducible: every state is reachable from every other along a path. Write ρ(x,y)=q(x,y)/q(y,x)\rho(x,y)=q(x,y)/q(y,x)ρ(x,y)=q(x,y)/q(y,x) for the rate ratio.

qqq is reversible when some positive π\piπ satisfies the detailed balance equations. Such a π\piπ is automatically an invariant measure, the total balance equations being the sum of the detailed ones.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 2.8, Kolmogorov's criterion and the canonical measure

Three statements are equivalent:

  1. qqq is reversible;
  2. (Kolmogorov's criterion) for every closed sequence x0,…,xn=x0x_0,\dots,x_n=x_0x0​,…,xn​=x0​,
∏i=1nq(xi−1,xi)=∏i=1nq(xi,xi−1);\prod_{i=1}^{n}q(x_{i-1},x_i)=\prod_{i=1}^{n}q(x_i,x_{i-1});i=1∏n​q(xi−1​,xi​)=i=1∏n​q(xi​,xi−1​);
  1. for every path, ∏i=1nρ(xi−1,xi)\prod_{i=1}^n\rho(x_{i-1},x_i)∏i=1n​ρ(xi−1​,xi​) depends on the path only through its endpoints.

And when they hold, fixing any origin x0x^0x0 there is a positive π\piπ with π(x0)=1\pi(x^0)=1π(x0)=1 satisfying detailed balance and given at every state by the product of ratios along any path from x0x^0x0.

Supporting levels

The canonical form (2.2), that qqq is reversible with respect to π\piπ exactly when q(x,y)=γ(x,y)/π(x)q(x,y)=\gamma(x,y)/\pi(x)q(x,y)=γ(x,y)/π(x) for a symmetric non-negative γ\gammaγ; Example 2.1, the birth–death process with π(x)=∏n=1xλ(n−1)/μ(n)\pi(x)=\prod_{n=1}^{x}\lambda(n-1)/\mu(n)π(x)=∏n=1x​λ(n−1)/μ(n); Theorem 2.2, that a process whose communication graph is a tree is reversible; and Theorem 2.5, the time-reversal criterion, which identifies a stationary distribution from a candidate reversed rate function without mentioning reversibility at all.

Significance

The results themselves. Kolmogorov's criterion is the working test. It is how one checks that a birth–death process, a random walk on a tree, a reversible Jackson network or a Whittle network with reversible routing is reversible, and it is a finite check on cycles rather than a search for an unknown measure. The ratio form (iii) is what gets used in practice: it says the product of ratios along a path is a well-defined function of the endpoints, which is exactly what licenses defining π\piπ by that product.

Theorem 2.2 is the structural special case with no computation at all — a tree has no cycles, so the criterion is vacuous and reversibility is automatic. Theorem 2.5 points in a different direction: it identifies a stationary distribution from a guess at the time-reversed rates, and it is the tool Serfozo uses later to prove the Whittle equilibrium theorem a second way and to establish that departure processes from networks are Poisson.

Formalizing them. Mathlib has no reversibility theory for Markov processes: no detailed balance, no Kolmogorov criterion, no time reversal of a rate function. It has SimpleGraph.IsTree, which the tree item uses, and nothing else that bears on this chapter. The whole apparatus is contributed here.

Difficulty

The goal is a genuine equivalence with a constructive core, and the three implications are of quite different character.

(i) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (ii) is the easy one: multiply the detailed balance equations around the closed path and cancel the π\piπ's, which is legitimate because the π\piπ values are positive. Note the criterion is asserted for arbitrary closed sequences, not only for paths; the two-way property is what makes both sides vanish together when some rate is zero.

(ii) ⇔\Leftrightarrow⇔ (iii) is a cycle-splicing argument: two paths with the same endpoints concatenate, one reversed, into a closed path, and the criterion says its forward and backward products agree, which is the equality of ratio products.

(ii) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (i) is where the construction lives. Fix an origin x0x^0x0; irreducibility gives a path to every state; define π\piπ by the ratio product; (iii) makes it well defined; and then detailed balance at an edge follows by extending a path by that edge. Serfozo's Remark 2.9 gives the same construction as a recursion over the sets En\mathbb E_nEn​ of states reachable in nnn steps, which may be the easier route to organize.

The birth–death item is a telescoping recursion, π(x+1)μ(x+1)=π(x)λ(x)\pi(x+1)\mu(x+1)=\pi(x)\lambda(x)π(x+1)μ(x+1)=π(x)λ(x), and the observation that the two families of detailed balance equations — for y=x+1y=x+1y=x+1 and for y=x−1y=x-1y=x−1 — are the same family. Theorem 2.2 is a cut argument: removing an edge of a tree splits the state space into two pieces joined by that edge alone, so the flow balance across the cut is the detailed balance equation for that edge. Theorem 2.5 is two lines of rearrangement once the sums are known to converge.

Formalization scope

The state space is an arbitrary type and qqq is an arbitrary non-negative real rate function; nothing here needs a process, a measure space or even countability, because reversibility as Serfozo defines it "applies to any nonnegative rates or probabilities as an algebraic property, not necessarily associated with a stochastic process". The same statements therefore cover discrete-time chains with qqq read as transition probabilities, which is what the book points out.

Paths are functions {0,…,n}→E\{0,\dots,n\}\to\mathbb E{0,…,n}→E with positive consecutive rates. A path of length zero is a single state and its ratio product is the empty product 111, which is consistent with π(x0)=1\pi(x^0)=1π(x0)=1.

Kolmogorov's criterion is stated for arbitrary closed sequences, exactly as the book states it, not only for closed paths. Under two-way communication the two readings agree — if one rate in the sequence vanishes then so does its reverse and both products are zero — but the book's form is the one that is directly checkable.

The canonical measure is not defined by a choice function. Instead the conclusion asserts the existence of a positive π\piπ with π(x0)=1\pi(x^0)=1π(x0)=1 satisfying detailed balance and agreeing with the ratio product along every path from the origin. That is the content of (2.9) without needing to pick a path for each state.

Theorem 2.2 is stated for a finite state space. Serfozo assumes the process is ergodic, and the cut-flow argument then sums the balance equations over one side of the cut; on an infinite state space that summation needs an integrability condition that the book leaves implicit in "ergodic". Finiteness makes the rearrangement unconditional and the statement clearly true; the general case is listed under contributions.

Theorem 2.5 is stated as the conclusion that π\piπ satisfies the balance equations, with explicit summability hypotheses for the three families of sums involved. That π\piπ is the stationary distribution additionally requires it to be normalized and the process to be ergodic, neither of which is part of the algebraic content.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: Theorem 2.4, the characterization of reversibility by invariance of the finite-dimensional distributions under time reversal; Remark 2.9's recursive construction of the canonical measure; Theorem 2.22 on reversible network processes with batch movements; Theorem 2.31 and the partition-reversible processes of Sections 2.8 and 2.9; and the reversibility criteria for Jackson and Whittle networks in Examples 2.24 and 2.25.

Selected references

  • Richard Serfozo, Introduction to Stochastic Networks, Applications of Mathematics 44, Springer, 1999, chapter 2, pp. 44–51; (2.1), (2.2), Example 2.1, Theorems 2.2, 2.5 and 2.8, Remark 2.9. DOI 10.1007/978-1-4612-1482-3
  • A. N. Kolmogoroff, Zur Theorie der Markoffschen Ketten, Mathematische Annalen 112 (1936), 155–160. DOI 10.1007/BF01565412
  • F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Wiley, 1979; reissued Cambridge University Press, 2011, chapter 1. DOI 10.1017/CBO9781139226424
  • P. Whittle, Systems in Stochastic Equilibrium, Wiley, 1986, chapters 1 and 10.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Introduction to Online Convex Optimization II: Convergence Rates for Well-Conditioned Convex OptimizationTextbook

Motivation

Convex optimization — minimizing a convex function over a convex set — is the offline problem that online convex optimization (OCO) generalizes: an OCO algorithm run against a single, fixed cost function repeated every round is exactly an algorithm for this classical problem. Its convergence theory, developed over decades and surveyed comprehensively in Nesterov [Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization, 2004] and Boyd and Vandenberghe [Convex Optimization, 2004], supplies the analytical toolkit — potential functions, strong convexity, smoothness — that every regret bound in the rest of this book reuses. This chapter is the book's own self-contained account of that toolkit: it proves nothing about regret or adversaries, but the algorithms and inequalities it establishes for gradient descent recur, essentially unchanged, in the online setting three chapters later.

The chapter's own capstone, a linear convergence rate under a joint strong-convexity and smoothness assumption, traces to Nesterov's classical analysis of gradient descent under a condition-number bound; the Polyak step size predates it, going back to Polyak's 1969 subgradient method for problems with a known optimal value.

Setting

Fix a real, complete inner product space EEE (a Hilbert space) and a convex, closed set K⊆EK \subseteq EK⊆E, the decision set. A function f:E→Rf : E \to \mathbb{R}f:E→R is α\alphaα-strongly convex (with gradient map g:E→Eg : E \to Eg:E→E) if for every x,y∈Ex, y \in Ex,y∈E,

f(y)≥f(x)+⟨g(x),y−x⟩+α2∥y−x∥2,f(y) \ge f(x) + \langle g(x), y - x\rangle + \frac{\alpha}{2}\|y-x\|^2,f(y)≥f(x)+⟨g(x),y−x⟩+2α​∥y−x∥2,

and β\betaβ-smooth if for every x,y∈Ex, y \in Ex,y∈E,

f(y)≤f(x)+⟨g(x),y−x⟩+β2∥y−x∥2.f(y) \le f(x) + \langle g(x), y - x\rangle + \frac{\beta}{2}\|y-x\|^2.f(y)≤f(x)+⟨g(x),y−x⟩+2β​∥y−x∥2.

Strong convexity lower-bounds fff by a quadratic of curvature at least α\alphaα at every point; smoothness upper-bounds it by a quadratic of curvature at most β\betaβ. When fff is twice differentiable these say αI⪯∇2f(x)⪯βI\alpha I \preceq \nabla^2 f(x) \preceq \beta IαI⪯∇2f(x)⪯βI for every xxx. A function that is both is called γ\gammaγ-well-conditioned, where γ:=α/β≤1\gamma := \alpha/\beta \le 1γ:=α/β≤1 is its condition number.

Write x⋆x^\starx⋆ for a minimizer of fff (over EEE, or over KKK in the constrained case), and for any point xxx define three measures of distance to optimality: the value gap hx:=f(x)−f(x⋆)h_x := f(x) - f(x^\star)hx​:=f(x)−f(x⋆), the Euclidean distance dx:=∥x−x⋆∥d_x := \|x - x^\star\|dx​:=∥x−x⋆∥, and the gradient norm ∥∇x∥:=∥g(x)∥\|\nabla_x\| := \|g(x)\|∥∇x​∥:=∥g(x)∥. Gradient descent starts at x0x_0x0​ and iterates xt+1=xt−ηtg(xt)x_{t+1} = x_t - \eta_t g(x_t)xt+1​=xt​−ηt​g(xt​) for a step-size schedule ηt\eta_tηt​; in the constrained case each step is followed by a projection xt+1=ΠK(yt+1)x_{t+1} = \Pi_K(y_{t+1})xt+1​=ΠK​(yt+1​) back onto KKK.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.6 (linear convergence for well-conditioned functions)

ht+1≤h1⋅e−γt/4for every t≥0,h_{t+1} \le h_1 \cdot e^{-\gamma t / 4} \qquad \text{for every } t \ge 0,ht+1​≤h1​⋅e−γt/4for every t≥0,

for constrained gradient descent (Algorithm 4) on a γ\gammaγ-well-conditioned fff over KKK, with the constant step size ηt=1/β\eta_t = 1/\betaηt​=1/β. This is the chapter's strongest rate: for the best-conditioned class of functions it considers, the optimality gap shrinks by a constant factor every round, rather than polynomially in ttt.

Milestone: Theorem 2.2 (KKT optimality condition)

⟨∇f(x⋆),y−x⋆⟩≥0for every y∈K,\langle \nabla f(x^\star), y - x^\star\rangle \ge 0 \quad \text{for every } y \in K,⟨∇f(x⋆),y−x⋆⟩≥0for every y∈K,

when x⋆x^\starx⋆ minimizes fff over a convex KKK. The multi-dimensional first-order optimality condition for constrained minimization, generalizing ∇f(x⋆)=0\nabla f(x^\star) = 0∇f(x⋆)=0 in the unconstrained case (K=EK = EK=E).

Milestone: Theorem 2.3 (GD with the Polyak step size)

f(xˉ)−f(x⋆)≤min⁡{Gd0T, 2βd02T, 3G2αT, βd02(1−γ4)T},f(\bar{x}) - f(x^\star) \le \min\left\{\frac{Gd_0}{\sqrt{T}},\ \frac{2\beta d_0^2}{T},\ \frac{3G^2}{\alpha T},\ \beta d_0^2\Big(1-\frac{\gamma}{4}\Big)^T\right\},f(xˉ)−f(x⋆)≤min{T​Gd0​​, T2βd02​​, αT3G2​, βd02​(1−4γ​)T},

for unconstrained gradient descent with step size ηt=ht/∥∇t∥2\eta_t = h_t/\|\nabla_t\|^2ηt​=ht​/∥∇t​∥2, where xˉ\bar xxˉ achieves the smallest value among x0,…,xTx_0,\dots,x_Tx0​,…,xT​. A single algorithm, needing no prior knowledge of α\alphaα, β\betaβ, or GGG beyond the (assumed available) optimal value f(x⋆)f(x^\star)f(x⋆), automatically attains whichever of the four rates applies to fff.

Milestone: Lemma 2.4 (potential-function relations)

For α\alphaα-strongly-convex and β\betaβ-smooth fff, at every point xxx:

α2dx2≤hx,hx≤β2dx2,12β∥∇x∥2≤hx,hx≤12α∥∇x∥2.\frac{\alpha}{2}d_x^2 \le h_x, \qquad h_x \le \frac{\beta}{2}d_x^2, \qquad \frac{1}{2\beta}\|\nabla_x\|^2 \le h_x, \qquad h_x \le \frac{1}{2\alpha}\|\nabla_x\|^2.2α​dx2​≤hx​,hx​≤2β​dx2​,2β1​∥∇x​∥2≤hx​,hx​≤2α1​∥∇x​∥2.

The chapter's basic toolkit: four inequalities letting a proof substitute one measure of progress (value gap, distance, gradient norm) for another as needed.

Significance

Theorem 2.6 is the model result behind every subsequent linear-rate claim in convex optimization: it isolates the exact mechanism (strong convexity plus smoothness, combined multiplicatively through the condition number) that turns a 1/T1/\sqrt{T}1/T​ or 1/T1/T1/T rate into an e−Ω(t)e^{-\Omega(t)}e−Ω(t) one. Theorem 2.3 demonstrates the opposite phenomenon — a single step-size rule that adapts to whatever structure fff happens to have, without needing to know which structure that is — a design principle the book's later chapters (adaptive regret, adaptive gradient methods) return to repeatedly. Lemma 2.4 is used directly inside the book's own proof of Theorem 2.6 and is stated separately because later chapters cite its four bounds individually.

None of these four statements has a machine-checked proof on the platform prior to this mission (see Formalization scope). Formalizing them establishes strong convexity and smoothness, in the book's own quadratic-bound form, as reusable definitions, together with the constrained- and unconstrained-gradient-descent update rules that Chapter III's online algorithm specializes.

Difficulty

The linear rate of Theorem 2.6 does not follow from Lemma 2.4 alone: chaining the smoothness upper bound and the strong-convexity lower bound gives only a bound relating ht+1h_{t+1}ht+1​ to dt2d_t^2dt2​, not to hth_tht​ itself, and a naive one-step decrease argument stalls at a rate of 1−γ1 - \gamma1−γ per round rather than 1−γ/41 - \gamma/41−γ/4 — the factor of four comes from combining the projection's contraction property (the constrained analogue of Theorem 2.3's telescoping argument) with the smoothness bound simultaneously, not from either alone. The Polyak step size of Theorem 2.3 is remarkable, and its analysis correspondingly delicate, because the step size ηt=ht/∥∇t∥2\eta_t = h_t/\|\nabla_t\|^2ηt​=ht​/∥∇t​∥2 depends on the unknown optimal value f(x⋆)f(x^\star)f(x⋆) through hth_tht​; the proof must derive all four regimes (general convex, smooth, strongly convex, well-conditioned) of BTB_TBT​ from the same one-line per-round inequality, rather than running four separate arguments.

Formalization scope

EEE is formalized as an arbitrary real, complete inner product space, not fixed to Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd, matching this book's chapter-wide convention (Chapter III's mission of this series does the same). Strong convexity and smoothness are formalized in the book's own quadratic-bound form with an explicit gradient map ggg as a separate parameter (not tied to fff by automatic differentiation), rather than via the second-derivative characterization; a theorem needing ggg to be the actual gradient of fff adds that as a separate hypothesis. This avoids a trivializing formalization under which the predicate could be satisfied by an unrelated ggg: every theorem here that uses StronglyConvexOn/SmoothOn also assumes g is a global gradient map for f. Theorem 2.3's realized-gradient bound ∥∇t∥≤G\|\nabla_t\| \le G∥∇t​∥≤G is formalized only over the run's own iterates x0,…,xTx_0,\dots,x_Tx0​,…,xT​ (not as a global Lipschitz bound on fff), matching the book's own statement ("assuming ∥∇t∥≤G\|\nabla_t\|\le G∥∇t​∥≤G"): a global gradient bound would be jointly unsatisfiable with global strong convexity on any infinite-dimensional or unbounded EEE, since a strongly convex function's gradient grows without bound away from its minimizer. Sequences are 0-indexed, so a book statement at round t+1t{+}1t+1 (1-indexed) is stated here at index ttt; each theorem's docstring records the exact shift. The projection in Algorithm 4 reuses OnlineConvexOpt.FirstOrder.IsMetricProjection, already published for this series' Chapter III, rather than redeclaring it.

Theorem 2.10 (the chapter's further, book-stated-without-proof rate) is out of scope: the book explicitly defers its proof to outside references, so it cannot be a faithful milestone under this platform's provenance requirement. Section 2.4's reductions of non-smooth or non-strongly-convex problems to this chapter's setting (via randomized smoothing) are left for a future extension, since they introduce a new construction not needed by the goal or its milestones.

Selected references

  • Hazan, E. Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed. arXiv:1909.05207v3, Chapter 2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
  • Nesterov, Y. Introductory Lectures on Convex Optimization: A Basic Course. Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
  • Boyd, S. and Vandenberghe, L. Convex Optimization. Cambridge University Press, 2004. https://web.stanford.edu/~boyd/cvxbook/
  • Polyak, B. T. Minimization of Unsmooth Functionals. USSR Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Physics 9(3), 1969. https://doi.org/10.1016/0041-5553(69)90061-5
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Probability Theory and Examples V: Blumenthal's 0-1 Law and the Local Behaviour of Brownian PathsTextbook

Motivation

A Brownian path is continuous, and that is essentially all it is. It has no derivative anywhere, it crosses zero infinitely often in every interval (0,ϵ)(0,\epsilon)(0,ϵ), and it becomes positive and negative immediately after time zero. None of this is visible from the finite-dimensional distributions; it is a statement about the germ of the path at a point, and the tool that unlocks it is a zero-one law.

Chapter 7 of Rick Durrett's Probability: Theory and Examples (Version 5, 2019) develops that tool. The natural filtration Fs0=σ(Br:r≤s)\mathcal F^{0}_{s}=\sigma(B_r:r\le s)Fs0​=σ(Br​:r≤s) is enlarged to Fs+=⋂t>sFt0\mathcal F^{+}_{s}=\bigcap_{t>s}\mathcal F^{0}_{t}Fs+​=⋂t>s​Ft0​, which allows "an infinitesimal peek at the future" — a quantity like lim sup⁡t↓s(Bt−Bs)/f(t−s)\limsup_{t\downarrow s}(B_t-B_s)/f(t-s)limsupt↓s​(Bt​−Bs​)/f(t−s) is Fs+\mathcal F^{+}_{s}Fs+​-measurable but not Fs0\mathcal F^{0}_{s}Fs0​-measurable. Blumenthal's 0-1 law (Theorem 7.2.3) says that at s=0s=0s=0 this enlargement buys nothing probabilistically: the germ σ\sigmaσ-field F0+\mathcal F^{+}_{0}F0+​ is trivial.

Everything local follows. If the path had any chance of staying non-positive on some interval (0,ϵ)(0,\epsilon)(0,ϵ), that would be a germ event of probability at least 1/21/21/2 by symmetry, so it has probability one — and the path enters (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) immediately. Continuity then forces it to return to zero immediately as well. Combined with the time inversion Xt=tB(1/t)X_t=tB(1/t)Xt​=tB(1/t), which turns the germ at 000 into the tail at ∞\infty∞, the same law gives lim sup⁡t→∞Bt/t=∞\limsup_{t\to\infty}B_t/\sqrt t=\inftylimsupt→∞​Bt​/t​=∞ and the recurrence of one-dimensional Brownian motion.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and B:R≥0→Ω→RB:\mathbb R_{\ge0}\to\Omega\to\mathbb RB:R≥0​→Ω→R a Brownian motion: its finite-dimensional laws are centred Gaussian with covariance cov⁡(Bs,Bt)=s∧t\operatorname{cov}(B_s,B_t)=s\wedge tcov(Bs​,Bt​)=s∧t, and almost every path is continuous. In particular B0=0B_0=0B0​=0 almost surely, so this is Durrett's P0\mathbb P_0P0​.

Three σ\sigmaσ-fields organize the chapter:

Ft0=σ(Bs:s≤t),F0+=⋂t>0Ft0,T=⋂t≥0σ(Bs:s≥t).\mathcal F^{0}_{t}=\sigma(B_s:s\le t),\qquad \mathcal F^{+}_{0}=\bigcap_{t>0}\mathcal F^{0}_{t},\qquad \mathcal T=\bigcap_{t\ge0}\sigma(B_s:s\ge t).Ft0​=σ(Bs​:s≤t),F0+​=t>0⋂​Ft0​,T=t≥0⋂​σ(Bs​:s≥t).

The first is the past, the second the germ at time zero, the third the tail at infinity.

A path fff is Lipschitz at the point sss with constant CCC when ∣f(t)−f(s)∣≤C∣t−s∣|f(t)-f(s)|\le C|t-s|∣f(t)−f(s)∣≤C∣t−s∣ for all ttt within some positive distance of sss. A path differentiable at sss is Lipschitz at sss, so failing this at every point and for every constant is a strong form of nowhere differentiability.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 7.2.3, Blumenthal's 0-1 law

A∈F0+⟹P(A)∈{0,1}.A\in\mathcal F^{+}_{0}\quad\Longrightarrow\quad \mathbb P(A)\in\{0,1\}.A∈F0+​⟹P(A)∈{0,1}.

In words: the germ σ\sigmaσ-field is trivial. Nothing about the path in an arbitrarily short initial interval is genuinely random.

Supporting levels

Theorem 7.1.5, that Brownian paths are Hölder continuous of every exponent γ<1/2\gamma<1/2γ<1/2 on every bounded interval; Theorem 7.1.6, that with probability one they are not Lipschitz at any point, hence nowhere differentiable — the Paley–Wiener–Zygmund theorem in the proof of Dvoretsky, Erdős and Kakutani; Theorem 7.2.4, that the path enters (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) immediately; Theorem 7.2.5, that its zero set accumulates at 000; and Theorem 7.2.8, that lim sup⁡t→∞Bt/t=+∞\limsup_{t\to\infty}B_t/\sqrt t=+\inftylimsupt→∞​Bt​/t​=+∞ and lim inf⁡t→∞Bt/t=−∞\liminf_{t\to\infty}B_t/\sqrt t=-\inftyliminft→∞​Bt​/t​=−∞.

Significance

The results themselves. Blumenthal's law is the gateway to every local path property of Brownian motion, and Durrett uses it immediately for exactly that. Theorems 7.2.4 and 7.2.5 together say the path oscillates across zero infinitely often in every initial interval — the reason the zero set is an uncountable closed set of Lebesgue measure zero, and the reason the "first return to zero" is not a useful notion at time 000. Theorem 7.2.8 is the same law pushed to t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞ by time inversion, and it is what makes one-dimensional Brownian motion recurrent (Theorem 7.2.9).

The Hölder pair is the sharp description of path regularity. Exponent γ<1/2\gamma<1/2γ<1/2 always works, γ>1/2\gamma>1/2γ>1/2 never does, and the borderline 1/21/21/2 is subtle: P(t∈H1/2)=0\mathbb P(t\in H_{1/2})=0P(t∈H1/2​)=0 for each fixed ttt, but Davis (1983) showed P(H1/2≠∅)=1\mathbb P(H_{1/2}\ne\emptyset)=1P(H1/2​=∅)=1. Nowhere differentiability is the historical headline — Paley, Wiener and Zygmund (1933) — and the proof given here is a short covering argument rather than a series construction.

Formalizing them. Mathlib has the object but almost none of the theory. It defines IsPreBrownianReal and IsBrownianReal, proves that a centred Gaussian process with covariance s∧ts\wedge ts∧t is pre-Brownian, and supplies the invariances — negation, scaling t↦c−1/2B(ct)t\mapsto c^{-1/2}B(ct)t↦c−1/2B(ct), the shift t↦B(t0+t)−B(t0)t\mapsto B(t_0+t)-B(t_0)t↦B(t0​+t)−B(t0​), and the time inversion t↦tB(1/t)t\mapsto tB(1/t)t↦tB(1/t) — together with the weak Markov property IsPreBrownianReal.indepFun_shift. It does not have the germ or tail σ\sigmaσ-fields, Blumenthal's law, the strong Markov property, any path-regularity result, or the Kolmogorov–Chentsov continuity theorem: Probability/Process/Kolmogorov.lean defines IsKolmogorovProcess, the hypothesis, and stops there. So this mission supplies the σ\sigmaσ-fields and then everything Durrett proves with them.

Difficulty

The goal reduces to Durrett's Theorem 7.2.2, that E(Z∣Fs+)=E(Z∣Fs0)\mathbb E(Z\mid\mathcal F^{+}_{s})=\mathbb E(Z\mid\mathcal F^{0}_{s})E(Z∣Fs+​)=E(Z∣Fs0​) for bounded path-measurable ZZZ; at s=0s=0s=0, F00=σ(B0)\mathcal F^{0}_{0}=\sigma(B_0)F00​=σ(B0​) is trivial because B0=0B_0=0B0​=0 almost surely, so 1A=E(1A∣F0+)=P(A)\mathbf 1_A=\mathbb E(\mathbf 1_A\mid\mathcal F^{+}_{0})=\mathbb P(A)1A​=E(1A​∣F0+​)=P(A) almost surely, and an indicator almost surely equal to a constant forces that constant to be 000 or 111. Theorem 7.2.2 itself is a monotone class argument on top of the Markov property, and the Markov property in this setting is Mathlib's indepFun_shift plus the observation that the conditional expectation of a product ∏mfm(Btm)\prod_m f_m(B_{t_m})∏m​fm​(Btm​​) over Fs+\mathcal F^{+}_{s}Fs+​ lands in Fs0\mathcal F^{0}_{s}Fs0​. Assembling that is the work.

Theorem 7.2.4 is then three lines — P0(τ≤t)≥P0(Bt>0)=1/2\mathbb P_0(\tau\le t)\ge\mathbb P_0(B_t>0)=1/2P0​(τ≤t)≥P0​(Bt​>0)=1/2 by symmetry of the Gaussian, let t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0, apply the goal — provided the event has been shown to lie in the germ field, which is where continuity of paths enters. Theorem 7.2.5 follows from 7.2.4 applied to BBB and −B-B−B together with the intermediate value theorem.

Theorem 7.1.5 needs the Kolmogorov–Chentsov continuity theorem, which has to be built: from E∣Bt−Bs∣2m=Cm∣t−s∣m\mathbb E|B_t-B_s|^{2m}=C_m|t-s|^mE∣Bt​−Bs​∣2m=Cm​∣t−s∣m one gets Hölder-γ\gammaγ control for γ<(m−1)/2m\gamma<(m-1)/2mγ<(m−1)/2m, and m→∞m\to\inftym→∞ gives every γ<1/2\gamma<1/2γ<1/2. The dyadic chaining and Borel–Cantelli step is the substance, and it is worth building as a general theorem about IsKolmogorovProcess rather than only for Brownian motion.

Theorem 7.1.6 is self-contained and short: fix CCC, let AnA_nAn​ be the event that some s∈[0,1]s\in[0,1]s∈[0,1] has ∣Bt−Bs∣≤C∣t−s∣|B_t-B_s|\le C|t-s|∣Bt​−Bs​∣≤C∣t−s∣ whenever ∣t−s∣≤3/n|t-s|\le3/n∣t−s∣≤3/n, and bound P(An)≤n P(∣B1∣≤5Cn−1/2)3≤n{10Cn−1/2(2π)−1/2}3→0\mathbb P(A_n)\le n\,\mathbb P(|B_1|\le5Cn^{-1/2})^3\le n\{10Cn^{-1/2}(2\pi)^{-1/2}\}^3\to0P(An​)≤nP(∣B1​∣≤5Cn−1/2)3≤n{10Cn−1/2(2π)−1/2}3→0; since AnA_nAn​ increases, every P(An)=0\mathbb P(A_n)=0P(An​)=0.

Theorem 7.2.8 needs the tail 0-1 law, Theorem 7.2.7, which is the goal transported through the time inversion Xt=tB(1/t)X_t=tB(1/t)Xt​=tB(1/t) — Mathlib's IsPreBrownianReal.inv — because the tail field of BBB is the germ field of XXX. With that, P0(Bn/n≥K i.o.)≥P0(B1≥K)>0\mathbb P_0(B_n/\sqrt n\ge K\ \text{i.o.})\ge\mathbb P_0(B_1\ge K)>0P0​(Bn​/n​≥K i.o.)≥P0​(B1​≥K)>0 by scaling, so the probability is one, and KKK is arbitrary.

Formalization scope

The process is Mathlib's IsBrownianReal, indexed by ℝ≥0, on an abstract probability space — not the canonical path space C[0,∞)C[0,\infty)C[0,∞) that Durrett uses. This is why the shift operators θs\theta_sθs​ and the family {Px}\{\mathbb P_x\}{Px​} do not appear: there is one measure, the process starts at 000 almost surely, and each statement is about that process. Theorem 7.2.7 as Durrett states it quantifies over all starting points and has no direct analogue here; the tail 0-1 law for the process started at 000 does, and is listed under contributions as the route to Theorem 7.2.8.

The three σ\sigmaσ-fields are built as suprema and infima in the lattice of σ\sigmaσ-algebras on Ω\OmegaΩ: pastSigma B t is the supremum of the pullbacks of the Borel field along BsB_sBs​ for s≤ts\le ts≤t, and germSigma B, tailSigma B are the corresponding infima. The goal carries the hypothesis that each BtB_tBt​ is measurable, not merely almost-everywhere measurable, which is what IsPreBrownianReal gives and what puts these σ\sigmaσ-fields below the ambient one; the canonical construction satisfies it, and without it "P(A)\mathbb P(A)P(A)" for a germ event would be an outer measure.

Hölder continuity is stated locally — for almost every path, every TTT admits a constant — since global Hölder continuity on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) is false. The order of quantifiers puts the null set first, so a single path works for every TTT at once.

The hitting statements avoid an infimum over a possibly empty set. "τ=0\tau=0τ=0 almost surely" is written as: almost surely, for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 there is t∈(0,ϵ)t\in(0,\epsilon)t∈(0,ϵ) with Bt>0B_t>0Bt​>0; and "T0=0T_0=0T0​=0 almost surely" as the same with Bt=0B_t=0Bt​=0. These are equivalent to Durrett's statements and say what the infimum is there to say. Similarly Theorem 7.2.8 is written with ∃ᶠ … in atTop rather than as an extended-real lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup, which is what "lim sup⁡=+∞\limsup=+\inftylimsup=+∞" means and avoids a coercion.

LipschitzAtPoint f s C is "there is a scale δ>0\delta>0δ>0 on which ∣f(t)−f(s)∣≤C∣t−s∣|f(t)-f(s)|\le C|t-s|∣f(t)−f(s)∣≤C∣t−s∣". Its negation for every sss and every CCC is Theorem 7.1.6, and it has content in both directions: the identity path is Lipschitz at every point with C=1C=1C=1, while t↦tt\mapsto\sqrt tt↦t​ is not Lipschitz at 000 with C=1C=1C=1 — both checked in Lean before publishing.

Existence is not part of this mission. Mathlib proves nothing of the form "a Brownian motion exists", and nothing here needs it: every item takes a Brownian motion as a hypothesis. That the hypothesis is satisfiable is a theorem — Durrett's 7.1.1, via Kolmogorov extension and the continuity theorem — and it is listed under contributions, where it belongs, since building it is a project of its own.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: Kolmogorov–Chentsov as a general statement about IsKolmogorovProcess; Theorem 7.1.1, the existence of Brownian motion; Theorem 7.2.2 in full, for every sss; the tail 0-1 law and Theorem 7.2.9, recurrence; the strong Markov property and the reflection principle of section 7.3; and Exercise 7.1.5, that no path is Hölder of any exponent γ>1/2\gamma>1/2γ>1/2.

Selected references

  • Rick Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, Version 5 (11 January 2019), chapter 7, sections 7.1 and 7.2 (pp. 353–365); Theorems 7.1.5, 7.1.6, 7.2.3, 7.2.4, 7.2.5, 7.2.8. Published as the 5th edition, Cambridge University Press, 2019, DOI 10.1017/9781108591034
  • R. M. Blumenthal, An extended Markov property, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 85 (1957), 52–72. DOI 10.1090/S0002-9947-1957-0088102-2
  • R. E. A. C. Paley, N. Wiener and A. Zygmund, Notes on random functions, Mathematische Zeitschrift 37 (1933), 647–668. DOI 10.1007/BF01474606
  • A. Dvoretzky, P. Erdős and S. Kakutani, Nonincrease everywhere of the Brownian motion process, Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium II (1961), 103–116.
  • N. Wiener, Differential space, Journal of Mathematics and Physics 2 (1923), 131–174. DOI 10.1002/sapm192321131
  • I. Karatzas and S. E. Shreve, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus, 2nd ed., Springer, 1991, chapter 2. DOI 10.1007/978-1-4612-0949-2
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Probability Theory and Examples III: The Markov Chain Convergence TheoremTextbook

Motivation

A Markov chain forgets. Run it long enough and the distribution of its position stops depending on where it started — that is the intuition behind shuffling a deck, behind Markov chain Monte Carlo, behind PageRank, and behind the stationary analyses of every queueing model. Chapter 5 of Rick Durrett's Probability: Theory and Examples (Version 5, 2019) makes it a theorem, and identifies exactly what can go wrong.

Two things can. The chain may fail to reach parts of the state space, and the answer is irreducibility. Or it may reach them only on a lattice of times — a chain alternating between two halves of its state space never forgets whether the clock is even or odd — and the answer is aperiodicity. Theorem 5.6.6 says that is the complete list: an irreducible, aperiodic chain with a stationary distribution has pn(x,y)→π(y)p^n(x,y)\to\pi(y)pn(x,y)→π(y), for every pair of states, whatever the starting point.

Setting

Let SSS be a countable state space and p(x,y)p(x,y)p(x,y) a transition probability: non-negative, with each row summing to one. The nnn-step transition probabilities are the matrix powers, p0(x,y)=δxyp^0(x,y)=\delta_{xy}p0(x,y)=δxy​ and pn+1(x,y)=∑zp(x,z)pn(z,y)p^{n+1}(x,y)=\sum_z p(x,z)p^n(z,y)pn+1(x,y)=∑z​p(x,z)pn(z,y).

Hitting is described by the first-passage probabilities fn(x,y)=Px(Ty=n)f^n(x,y)=\mathbb{P}_x(T_y=n)fn(x,y)=Px​(Ty​=n), given by f1(x,y)=p(x,y)f^1(x,y)=p(x,y)f1(x,y)=p(x,y) and fn+1(x,y)=∑z≠yp(x,z)fn(z,y)f^{n+1}(x,y)=\sum_{z\ne y}p(x,z)f^n(z,y)fn+1(x,y)=∑z=y​p(x,z)fn(z,y) — the chain moves once and then reaches yyy for the first time, having avoided it meanwhile. Summing them gives

ρxy=Px(Ty<∞)=∑n≥1fn(x,y),EyTy=∑n≥1n fn(y,y).\rho_{xy}=\mathbb{P}_x(T_y<\infty)=\sum_{n\ge1}f^n(x,y),\qquad \mathbb{E}_yT_y=\sum_{n\ge1}n\,f^n(y,y).ρxy​=Px​(Ty​<∞)=n≥1∑​fn(x,y),Ey​Ty​=n≥1∑​nfn(y,y).

A state is recurrent when ρyy=1\rho_{yy}=1ρyy​=1, the chain is irreducible when ρxy>0\rho_{xy}>0ρxy​>0 for all x,yx,yx,y, and a state xxx is aperiodic when the greatest common divisor of Ix={n≥1:pn(x,x)>0}I_x=\{n\ge1:p^n(x,x)>0\}Ix​={n≥1:pn(x,x)>0} is 111. A stationary distribution is a probability vector π\piπ with ∑xπ(x)p(x,y)=π(y)\sum_x\pi(x)p(x,y)=\pi(y)∑x​π(x)p(x,y)=π(y).

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 5.6.6, the convergence theorem

p irreducible, aperiodic, with stationary distribution π⟹pn(x,y)⟶π(y)  for all x,y.p \text{ irreducible},\ \text{aperiodic},\ \text{with stationary distribution } \pi \quad\Longrightarrow\quad p^n(x,y)\longrightarrow\pi(y)\ \text{ for all } x,y .p irreducible, aperiodic, with stationary distribution π⟹pn(x,y)⟶π(y)  for all x,y.

The goal asserts pointwise convergence of the transition probabilities, not convergence in total variation and not a rate; those are strengthenings, and stating the weakest useful form is what keeps the theorem stable.

Supporting levels

Theorem 5.3.1, that a state is recurrent exactly when ∑npn(y,y)\sum_n p^n(y,y)∑n​pn(y,y) diverges — the bridge between the hitting picture and the matrix picture; Theorem 5.3.2, that recurrence is contagious; Theorem 5.5.10, that every state in the support of a stationary distribution is recurrent; and Theorem 5.5.11, that for an irreducible chain with a stationary distribution π(x)=1/ExTx\pi(x)=1/\mathbb{E}_xT_xπ(x)=1/Ex​Tx​.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 5.6.6 is what licenses reading a stationary distribution as a long-run frequency. Without it, π\piπ is merely a fixed point of a linear map; with it, π(y)\pi(y)π(y) is the limiting probability of being at yyy, from any start. Theorem 5.5.11 then gives the quantity a second, purely local meaning — π(x)\pi(x)π(x) is the reciprocal of the mean return time to xxx — which is the identity behind every renewal-reward computation in applied probability and behind the "expected time between visits" estimates that Monte Carlo methods rely on. The two necessary hypotheses are sharp: a periodic chain has pn(x,y)p^n(x,y)pn(x,y) oscillating rather than converging, and Durrett's Theorem 5.7.2 gives the corrected statement in that case.

Formalizing it. Mathlib has no countable-state Markov chain theory. It has ProbabilityTheory.Kernel and an Irreducible notion for kernels, but nothing about recurrence, transience, first-passage decompositions, stationary measures or the convergence theorem, and nothing that specializes to a transition matrix on a countable set. The mission therefore contributes the whole apparatus of sections 5.3, 5.5 and 5.6 — the nnn-step and first-passage probabilities, ρxy\rho_{xy}ρxy​, the mean return time, recurrence, irreducibility, aperiodicity and stationarity — together with the results that make it usable.

Difficulty

The usual proof of the goal is a coupling argument, and it is short but not obvious: run two independent copies of the chain, one from xxx and one from π\piπ, on the product space S×SS\times SS×S with transition probability pˉ((x1,x2),(y1,y2))=p(x1,y1)p(x2,y2)\bar p((x_1,x_2),(y_1,y_2))=p(x_1,y_1)p(x_2,y_2)pˉ​((x1​,x2​),(y1​,y2​))=p(x1​,y1​)p(x2​,y2​); aperiodicity plus irreducibility make the product chain irreducible, π×π\pi\times\piπ×π is stationary for it, so it is recurrent and the two copies meet almost surely; after they meet they can be exchanged. Each step of that is a separate obligation, and the one that consumes aperiodicity is the irreducibility of the product chain — for a periodic chain it fails, which is exactly why the theorem does.

The number-theoretic ingredient is worth flagging: irreducibility of the product needs that Ix={n:pn(x,x)>0}I_x=\{n:p^n(x,x)>0\}Ix​={n:pn(x,x)>0}, being closed under addition with gcd⁡1\gcd 1gcd1, contains every sufficiently large integer. That is the numerical semigroup fact, and it is where aperiodicity is actually used.

Formalization scope

The state space is any countable type with decidable equality, and the transition probability is a plain function S×S→RS\times S\to\mathbb{R}S×S→R constrained by IsTransition: non-negative entries, summable rows, rows summing to one. Sums over the state space are unconditional sums, so no finiteness is assumed anywhere.

The chain's law is not constructed. Every quantity here — pnp^npn, fnf^nfn, ρxy\rho_{xy}ρxy​, EyTy\mathbb{E}_yT_yEy​Ty​ — is defined by an explicit recursion on the transition matrix, not as an expectation against a measure on path space. This is a deliberate choice: building the path measure is a substantial project of its own, and none of the statements in these sections need it. The recursions are the standard ones and they are the definitions the book's own computations use. The cost is that probabilistic statements about paths, such as Theorem 5.6.1 on the almost-sure limit of the visit counts Nn(y)/nN_n(y)/nNn​(y)/n, cannot be phrased in this language and are not part of the mission.

Conventions: p0p^0p0 is the identity matrix; fnf^nfn vanishes at n=0n=0n=0; ρxy\rho_{xy}ρxy​ and EyTy\mathbb{E}_yT_yEy​Ty​ are unconditional sums over n≥1n\ge1n≥1, so an infinite mean return time appears as a non-summable series rather than as an extended real. Theorem 5.5.11 is therefore stated as summability together with π(x)⋅ExTx=1\pi(x)\cdot\mathbb{E}_xT_x=1π(x)⋅Ex​Tx​=1, which asserts finiteness of the mean return time rather than silently relying on a division convention.

Aperiodicity is "the only natural number dividing every element of IxI_xIx​ is 111", which is gcd⁡Ix=1\gcd I_x=1gcdIx​=1 written without needing a gcd of a set; it is false when IxI_xIx​ is empty, which is correct, since the period of such a state is undefined.

The goal is not vacuous: the hypotheses are satisfiable by any strictly positive transition matrix on a finite set.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: Theorem 5.3.3 on finite closed sets; the decomposition theorem 5.3.5; existence of a stationary measure from a recurrent state (5.5.7) and its uniqueness (5.5.9); the equivalence of positive recurrence and the existence of a stationary distribution (5.5.12); Theorem 5.7.2 for the periodic case; and the path-level results of section 5.6, which need the chain's law on path space.

Selected references

  • Rick Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, Version 5 (11 January 2019), chapter 5, sections 5.3, 5.5 and 5.6 (pp. 281–320); Theorems 5.3.1, 5.3.2, 5.5.10, 5.5.11, 5.6.6. Published as the 5th edition, Cambridge University Press, 2019, DOI 10.1017/9781108591034
  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains, Cambridge University Press, 1998, chapter 1. DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511810633
  • D. A. Levin and Y. Peres, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, 2nd ed., American Mathematical Society, 2017. DOI 10.1090/mbk/107
  • W. Doeblin, Exposé de la théorie des chaînes simples constantes de Markoff à un nombre fini d'états, Revue Mathématique de l'Union Interbalkanique 2 (1938), 77–105.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks VIII: Flow Level Models and the Stability of alpha-Fair AllocationsTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 7 of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014) studies a network with a fixed set of users, and shows that a decentralized rate control converges to a fair allocation. Chapter 8 asks the question one time scale up. Files finish and their flows leave; new files arrive and new flows appear. The number of flows on each route is therefore itself a random process, and the rate allocation — assumed to settle instantly, since rate control runs much faster than files arrive and depart — depends on it.

The question is whether this system is stable: does the number of flows in progress stay bounded, or does it grow without limit? The answer is the best one could hope for. A weighted α\alphaα-fair allocation, the family that contains proportional fairness, TCP fairness, max-min fairness and throughput maximization as special cases, is stable exactly when the offered load at each resource is below that resource's capacity. No more is required — no condition coupling different resources, no dependence on α\alphaα, no dependence on the topology beyond the loads themselves.

Setting

A network has JJJ resources and RRR routes with incidence matrix AAA. Let nrn_rnr​ be the number of flows active on route rrr and xrx_rxr​ the rate given to each of them, so route rrr consumes nrxrn_rx_rnr​xr​ at each resource it uses. Flows arrive on route rrr as a Poisson process of rate νr\nu_rνr​ and carry files that are exponentially distributed with parameter μr\mu_rμr​, so

nr→nr+1 at rate νr,nr→nr−1 at rate μrnrxr(n),n_r\to n_r+1 \text{ at rate } \nu_r, \qquad n_r\to n_r-1 \text{ at rate } \mu_rn_rx_r(n),nr​→nr​+1 at rate νr​,nr​→nr​−1 at rate μr​nr​xr​(n),

and ρr=νr/μr\rho_r=\nu_r/\mu_rρr​=νr​/μr​ is the load on route rrr.

Given weights wr>0w_r>0wr​>0 and α∈(0,∞)\alpha\in(0,\infty)α∈(0,∞), the weighted α\alphaα-fair allocation is the solution of

maximize ∑rwrnrxr1−α1−αsubject to ∑r:j∈rnrxr≤Cj, x≥0,(8.1)\text{maximize } \sum_r w_rn_r\frac{x_r^{1-\alpha}}{1-\alpha} \quad\text{subject to } \sum_{r:j\in r}n_rx_r\le C_j,\ x\ge0, \tag{8.1}maximize r∑​wr​nr​1−αxr1−α​​subject to r:j∈r∑​nr​xr​≤Cj​, x≥0,(8.1)

with ∑rwrnrlog⁡xr\sum_r w_rn_r\log x_r∑r​wr​nr​logxr​ in place of the objective when α=1\alpha=1α=1. Written in the aggregate rates Xr=nrxrX_r=n_rx_rXr​=nr​xr​ this becomes

maximize G(X)=∑rwrnrαXr1−α1−αsubject to ∑r:j∈rXr≤Cj, X≥0.(8.4)\text{maximize } G(X)=\sum_r w_rn_r^{\alpha}\frac{X_r^{1-\alpha}}{1-\alpha} \quad\text{subject to } \sum_{r:j\in r}X_r\le C_j,\ X\ge0. \tag{8.4}maximize G(X)=r∑​wr​nrα​1−αXr1−α​​subject to r:j∈r∑​Xr​≤Cj​, X≥0.(8.4)

The family interpolates between the fairness notions of Chapter 7: α→0\alpha\to0α→0 with w≡1w\equiv1w≡1 maximizes throughput, α=1\alpha=1α=1 is weighted proportional fairness, α=2\alpha=2α=2 with wr=1/Tr2w_r=1/T_r^2wr​=1/Tr2​ is TCP fairness, and α→∞\alpha\to\inftyα→∞ with w≡1w\equiv1w≡1 approaches max-min fairness.

Formalization targets

Goal — the drift inequality behind Theorem 8.2

Suppose the load respects every capacity, ∑r:j∈rρr<Cj\sum_{r:j\in r}\rho_r<C_j∑r:j∈r​ρr​<Cj​ for all jjj. Then there is an ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, depending only on the loads and capacities, such that for every flow count nnn and the α\alphaα-fair aggregate rates X=X(n)X=X(n)X=X(n),

∑rwrρr−αnrα(ρr−Xr)  ≤  −ϵ∑rwrnrαρr1−α.\sum_r w_r\rho_r^{-\alpha}n_r^{\alpha}\bigl(\rho_r-X_r\bigr) \;\le\;-\epsilon\sum_r w_rn_r^{\alpha}\rho_r^{1-\alpha}.r∑​wr​ρr−α​nrα​(ρr​−Xr​)≤−ϵr∑​wr​nrα​ρr1−α​.

The left-hand side is the drift of the Lyapunov function L(n)=∑r(wr/μr)ρr−αnrα+1/(α+1)L(n)=\sum_r(w_r/\mu_r)\rho_r^{-\alpha}n_r^{\alpha+1}/(\alpha+1)L(n)=∑r​(wr​/μr​)ρr−α​nrα+1​/(α+1), by the identity (8.3); the right-hand side is the book's displayed bound. The single ϵ\epsilonϵ is uniform in nnn, which is what a Foster–Lyapunov argument needs, and it is the whole deterministic content of Theorem 8.2's sufficiency half.

Supporting levels

The derivative wrnrαXr−αw_rn_r^{\alpha}X_r^{-\alpha}wr​nrα​Xr−α​ of the objective, in the same form for every α∈(0,∞)\alpha\in(0,\infty)α∈(0,∞) including α=1\alpha=1α=1 (Exercise 8.3); strict concavity of the objective; the characterization of the optimum by xr=(wr/∑j∈rpj)1/αx_r=(w_r/\sum_{j\in r}p_j)^{1/\alpha}xr​=(wr​/∑j∈r​pj​)1/α with primal and dual feasibility and complementary slackness (Exercise 8.4); the tangent-plane inequality (8.5) that concavity gives at the optimum; the drift identity (8.3); and that α=1\alpha=1α=1 recovers weighted proportional fairness, connecting this chapter to Proposition 7.4 of mission VII.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 8.2 says the stability region of an α\alphaα-fair network is the largest it could possibly be — the same region a single isolated resource would have — and that it does not shrink as α\alphaα varies. That is a strong statement about a large design space, and it is not automatic: section 8.4 of the book exhibits rate allocation schemes for which it fails, so the natural condition (8.2) is a property of α\alphaα-fairness and not of rate allocation in general. Since the family covers the fairness notions actually implemented in transport protocols, the theorem is what licenses treating "is the load below capacity?" as the only capacity-planning question at flow level.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is open; the theorem is due to Bonald and Massoulié (2001), with the fluid-limit machinery from Gromoll and Williams and from Massoulié. What the mission produces is a machine-checked α\alphaα-fair allocation — objective, derivative, concavity, KKT conditions — and the exact drift inequality, on top of the congestion-control layer published in mission VII of this series, whose networkFeasible and linkFlow it reuses. Mathlib has no network utility maximization and no fairness criteria.

Difficulty

The proof is short but the step that makes it work is easy to miss. The drift is ∑rwrnrαρr−α(ρr−Xr)\sum_r w_rn_r^{\alpha}\rho_r^{-\alpha}(\rho_r-X_r)∑r​wr​nrα​ρr−α​(ρr​−Xr​), and there is no reason for this to be negative term by term — some routes are over-served and some under-served. What makes the sum negative is that ρ\rhoρ is itself a feasible point of the same optimization problem (8.4) that XXX solves, and GGG is concave, so the tangent plane at ρ\rhoρ lies above GGG:

G′(U)⋅(U−X)≤G(U)−G(X)≤0for every feasible U.G'(U)\cdot(U-X)\le G(U)-G(X)\le0 \quad\text{for every feasible } U .G′(U)⋅(U−X)≤G(U)−G(X)≤0for every feasible U.

Since G′(U)r=wrnrαUr−αG'(U)_r=w_rn_r^{\alpha}U_r^{-\alpha}G′(U)r​=wr​nrα​Ur−α​, taking U=ρU=\rhoU=ρ gives the drift ≤0\le0≤0 immediately. Strict negativity comes from taking U=(1+ϵ)ρU=(1+\epsilon)\rhoU=(1+ϵ)ρ instead, which is still feasible because (8.2) is a strict inequality, and then dividing through by (1+ϵ)α(1+\epsilon)^{\alpha}(1+ϵ)α. The whole argument is one application of concavity at a cleverly chosen point, and the choice of that point is the content.

The scaling that makes it uniform in nnn is the other thing to notice: ϵ\epsilonϵ depends only on how much slack (8.2) leaves, not on nnn, because nnn enters G′G'G′ only through the common factor nrαn_r^{\alpha}nrα​ that appears on both sides.

Formalization scope

Resources and routes are indexed by finite types, the incidence matrix is real-valued with entries 000 or 111, and the feasible set is mission VII's networkFeasible, so Chapters 7 and 8 agree on what a feasible flow vector is. The objective is stated in the aggregate variables Xr=nrxrX_r=n_rx_rXr​=nr​xr​ of problem (8.4) rather than the per-flow rates of (8.1): they are equivalent, but (8.4) is the form the drift argument uses and the form in which the feasible set does not depend on nnn.

The objective is defined with an explicit case split at α=1\alpha=1α=1, exactly as the book defines it, and the derivative milestone asserts that the resulting derivative has the same form wrnrαXr−αw_rn_r^{\alpha}X_r^{-\alpha}wr​nrα​Xr−α​ in both cases — which is the point of Exercise 8.3. Powers are real exponents, so positivity of the flow counts, weights, loads and rates is hypothesised wherever a power appears.

What is formalized and what is quoted. Theorem 8.2 is a statement about positive recurrence of a Markov process, proved by a Foster–Lyapunov criterion whose remaining hypotheses the book leaves to Exercises 8.6 and D.2. There is no theory of continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space in Mathlib to state positive recurrence against, so this mission formalizes the deterministic drift inequality that carries the argument and quotes the probabilistic wrapper. The inequality is exactly the one the book displays, including the ϵ\epsilonϵ, and the necessity half — that the process is unstable when (8.2) fails — is a coupling argument and is quoted too.

The goal is not vacuous: the hypotheses are satisfiable, and for a single resource of capacity CCC the α\alphaα-fair optimum is Xr=Cwr1/αnr/∑sws1/αnsX_r=Cw_r^{1/\alpha}n_r/\sum_sw_s^{1/\alpha}n_sXr​=Cwr1/α​nr​/∑s​ws1/α​ns​, for which the inequality holds with ϵ=C/∑rρr−1\epsilon=C/\sum_r\rho_r-1ϵ=C/∑r​ρr​−1 and strictly positive slack.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: the single-resource equilibrium distribution of Exercise 8.1 and the geometric law of the total number of flows; the bounded-drift estimate of Exercise 8.6; the necessity half of Theorem 8.2; the limiting cases α→0\alpha\to0α→0 and α→∞\alpha\to\inftyα→∞; and the instability examples of section 8.4.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 8 (pp. 186–199); problem (8.1), Theorem 8.2, equations (8.2)–(8.5). DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • T. Bonald and L. Massoulié, Impact of fairness on Internet performance, ACM SIGMETRICS Performance Evaluation Review 29 (2001), 82–91. DOI 10.1145/384268.378433
  • J. Mo and J. Walrand, Fair end-to-end window-based congestion control, IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking 8 (2000), 556–567. DOI 10.1109/90.879343
  • L. Massoulié, Structural properties of proportional fairness: stability and insensitivity, Annals of Applied Probability 17 (2007), 809–839. DOI 10.1214/105051607000000014
  • H. C. Gromoll and R. J. Williams, Fluid limits for networks with bandwidth sharing and general document size distributions, Annals of Applied Probability 19 (2009), 243–280. DOI 10.1214/08-AAP541
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Control TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks VII: Internet Congestion Control and the Primal AlgorithmTextbook

Motivation

When a file is transferred over the Internet, no part of the network decides how fast it should go. The machines inside the network forward packets; when a resource is heavily loaded it drops or marks one; the destination reports that to the source; and the source slows down, then gradually speeds up again until the next signal. This end-to-end cycle of increase and decrease is TCP, and it is the mechanism by which the Internet discovers available capacity and divides it among competing flows.

Chapter 7 of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014) asks what such a scheme converges to. The answer is the chapter's organizing idea: the decentralized dynamics solve a global optimization problem that no participant can see. Each source knows only its own rate and the congestion signals it receives; no machine anywhere holds the link-route incidence matrix; and yet the flow rates converge to the unique maximizer of a concave network utility, and that maximizer is the proportionally fair allocation. This is the same phenomenon as the electrical network of Chapter 4, now with the local rule chosen so that the global objective is the one we want.

Setting

A network has JJJ resources and RRR routes, with link-route incidence matrix AAA: Ajr=1A_{jr}=1Ajr​=1 when route rrr uses resource jjj. Route rrr carries a time-varying flow rate xr(t)>0x_r(t)>0xr​(t)>0, and the load on resource jjj is ∑s:j∈sxs(t)\sum_{s:j\in s}x_s(t)∑s:j∈s​xs​(t).

Each resource jjj generates congestion signals at rate

μj(t)=pj(∑s:j∈sxs(t)),\mu_j(t)=p_j\Bigl(\sum_{s:j\in s}x_s(t)\Bigr),μj​(t)=pj​(s:j∈s∑​xs​(t)),

where pjp_jpj​ is non-negative, continuous, increasing and not identically zero — one may read pj(y)p_j(y)pj​(y) as the probability that a packet is dropped or marked at resource jjj under load yyy. The primal algorithm is the response of the sources:

ddtxr(t)=κr(wr−xr(t)∑j∈rμj(t)),r∈R,(7.5)\frac{d}{dt}x_r(t)=\kappa_r\Bigl(w_r-x_r(t)\sum_{j\in r}\mu_j(t)\Bigr), \qquad r\in\mathcal{R}, \tag{7.5}dtd​xr​(t)=κr​(wr​−xr​(t)j∈r∑​μj​(t)),r∈R,(7.5)

with wr,κr>0w_r,\kappa_r>0wr​,κr​>0: a steady increase proportional to the weight wrw_rwr​, and a decrease proportional to the stream of congestion signals received. Both sums are local — over the resources on route rrr, and over the routes through resource jjj — so nothing in the network needs to know AAA.

The network problem network(A,C;w)\mathrm{network}(A,C;w)network(A,C;w) of section 7.1 is to maximize ∑rwrlog⁡xr\sum_r w_r\log x_r∑r​wr​logxr​ over x≥0x\ge0x≥0 with Ax≤CAx\le CAx≤C, and a feasible xxx is weighted proportionally fair when every feasible yyy satisfies ∑rwr(yr−xr)/xr≤0\sum_r w_r (y_r-x_r)/x_r\le0∑r​wr​(yr​−xr​)/xr​≤0.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 7.6, global stability of the primal algorithm

U(x)=∑rwrlog⁡xr−∑j∫0∑s:j∈sxspj(y) dyU(x)=\sum_{r}w_r\log x_r-\sum_{j}\int_0^{\sum_{s:j\in s}x_s}p_j(y)\,dyU(x)=r∑​wr​logxr​−j∑​∫0∑s:j∈s​xs​​pj​(y)dy

is a Lyapunov function for (7.5): the unique maximizer xˉ\bar xxˉ of UUU over the positive orthant is an equilibrium point, and every trajectory of the primal algorithm converges to it.

The goal asserts both halves of the book's last sentence: that xˉ\bar xxˉ maximizes UUU, and that the trajectory converges to it. It fixes no rate of convergence and no basin restriction beyond starting in the interior, which is what "global" means here.

Supporting levels

Proposition 7.4, that solving network(A,C;w)\mathrm{network}(A,C;w)network(A,C;w) and being weighted proportionally fair are the same condition; strict concavity of UUU on the positive orthant; the partial derivative ∂U/∂xr=wr/xr−∑j∈rpj(⋅)\partial U/\partial x_r=w_r/x_r-\sum_{j\in r}p_j(\cdot)∂U/∂xr​=wr​/xr​−∑j∈r​pj​(⋅) that identifies the maximizer; the equivalence between a stationary point of UUU and an equilibrium of (7.5); and the Lyapunov identity (7.7),

ddtU(x(t))=∑rκrxr(t)(wr−xr(t)∑j∈rpj(⋅))2 ≥0.\frac{d}{dt}U(x(t))=\sum_r\frac{\kappa_r}{x_r(t)}\Bigl(w_r-x_r(t)\sum_{j\in r}p_j(\cdot)\Bigr)^2\ \ge 0 .dtd​U(x(t))=r∑​xr​(t)κr​​(wr​−xr​(t)j∈r∑​pj​(⋅))2 ≥0.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 7.6 is the statement that a decentralized rule solves a centralized problem. Its practical content is that the choice of pjp_jpj​ and wrw_rwr​ determines what is optimized, so a protocol designer who wants a particular notion of fairness can get it by choosing the local rule accordingly — the α\alphaα-fair family of Chapter 8 is exactly this dial. Its theoretical content is the identification of the limit: because UUU's first term is ∑rwrlog⁡xr\sum_r w_r\log x_r∑r​wr​logxr​, the limit is the weighted proportionally fair allocation, which by Proposition 7.4 is the solution of the network problem and, by Remark 7.5, also the Nash bargaining solution and a market-clearing equilibrium. Three quite different notions of "the right allocation" coincide, and a simple end-to-end feedback rule finds it.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is open; the model and the theorem are from Kelly, Maulloo and Tan (1998). What the mission produces is a machine-checked congestion-control model — the network problem, proportional fairness, the primal dynamics and the Lyapunov function — and a statement of the convergence result in a form later work can cite. Mathlib has no network utility maximization and no congestion control.

Difficulty

The Lyapunov identity is a chain-rule computation and is not the hard part, and neither is ddtU≥0\frac{d}{dt}U\ge0dtd​U≥0. The gap the book flags explicitly is between "UUU increases along trajectories" and "x(t)→xˉx(t)\to\bar xx(t)→xˉ": a strictly increasing Lyapunov function does not by itself force convergence, because the derivative could decay fast enough for the system to stall short of the maximum. The book closes it with a compactness argument — the trajectory is trapped in {x:U(x)≥U(x(0))}\{x: U(x)\ge U(x(0))\}{x:U(x)≥U(x(0))}, which is compact, and on the complement of an ϵ\epsilonϵ-ball around xˉ\bar xxˉ within that set the derivative (7.7) is continuous and therefore bounded away from zero, so only finite time can be spent there. Reproducing that argument is the substance of the goal, and it needs the compactness of the sublevel set, which comes from strict concavity and the growth of −∫0ypj-\int_0^{y}p_j−∫0y​pj​.

A second difficulty is one of representation rather than mathematics. The primal algorithm is an ODE, and a formal statement must say what a trajectory is. Here a trajectory is given as a differentiable function satisfying (7.5) pointwise, with positivity assumed rather than derived; deriving positivity from the dynamics is a separate (true, and welcome) result.

Formalization scope

Resources and routes are indexed by finite types and the incidence matrix is real-valued with entries constrained to 000 or 111, matching the book and the convention of mission IV of this series, whose linkFlow is reused here. Flow vectors live in the positive orthant, stated as ∀ r, 0 < x r: the utility contains log⁡xr\log x_rlogxr​, which has no meaning at xr=0x_r=0xr​=0, and the book's own maximum is interior to the positive orthant.

The network problem's objective is maximized over the intersection of the feasible set with the positive orthant rather than over x≥0x\ge0x≥0, since log⁡0\log 0log0 is not a real number; the fairness condition, by contrast, is quantified over all feasible yyy including boundary points, exactly as the book states it, and the inequality ∑rwr(yr−xr)/xr≤0\sum_r w_r(y_r-x_r)/x_r\le0∑r​wr​(yr​−xr​)/xr​≤0 is meaningful there.

A trajectory is a function of real time satisfying the derivative condition at each t≥0t\ge0t≥0, and staying in the positive orthant is a hypothesis. The equilibrium xˉ\bar xxˉ is given by its stationarity condition wr=xˉr∑j∈rpj(⋅)w_r=\bar x_r\sum_{j\in r}p_j(\cdot)wr​=xˉr​∑j∈r​pj​(⋅) rather than by an existence claim, so the goal is about the trajectory rather than about solving the fixed-point equation; that the stationary point is the maximizer is the first conjunct of the conclusion, so nothing is assumed about it that is not also proved.

The goal cannot be satisfied vacuously: the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable — for instance one resource, one route, p(y)=yp(y)=yp(y)=y, w=κ=1w=\kappa=1w=κ=1, xˉ=1\bar x=1xˉ=1 — and the conclusion is a genuine limit.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: that the positive orthant is invariant under (7.5); uniqueness and existence of the max-min fair allocation; Theorem 7.2 on problem decomposition into user and network problems; Theorem 7.8, the corresponding global stability result for the TCP-like system of section 7.4; and the dual algorithm of section 7.6.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 7 (pp. 151–185); Proposition 7.4, Theorem 7.6, equations (7.4)–(7.7). DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • F. P. Kelly, A. K. Maulloo and D. K. H. Tan, Rate control for communication networks: shadow prices, proportional fairness and stability, Journal of the Operational Research Society 49 (1998), 237–252. DOI 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2600523
  • F. P. Kelly, Charging and rate control for elastic traffic, European Transactions on Telecommunications 8 (1997), 33–37. DOI 10.1002/ett.4460080106
  • J. F. Nash, The bargaining problem, Econometrica 18 (1950), 155–162. DOI 10.2307/1907266
  • S. H. Low and D. E. Lapsley, Optimization flow control I: basic algorithm and convergence, IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking 7 (1999), 861–874. DOI 10.1109/90.811451
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks V: Random Access and the Critical Rate of Backoff SchemesTextbook

Motivation

When many stations share one broadcast channel, something has to decide who transmits. A token passed around the stations works when there are few of them and none is silent for long, but it scales badly and breaks if the token is lost. The alternative is to let stations transmit whenever they like and use randomness to recover from the resulting collisions. That is the design of ALOHA, built in the 1970s to connect terminals across the Hawaiian islands, and of Ethernet, and of essentially every contention-based access protocol since.

Chapter 5 of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014) asks what such protocols can achieve, and the answers are largely negative. ALOHA with a fixed retransmission probability jams: with probability one there is a finite random time after which every slot contains a collision and no packet ever succeeds again, for every positive arrival rate. Ethernet's binary exponential backoff does better, but only just: it has a positive critical arrival rate, above which only finitely many packets are ever transmitted, and it is still not positive recurrent at rates where it does transmit infinitely many. The chapter's general statement is the one this mission targets: any backoff slower than exponential jams at every positive arrival rate.

Setting

Time is slotted, and a transmission attempt occupies exactly one slot. New packets arrive in a Poisson stream of rate ν\nuν, so the number arriving in a slot is Poisson with mean ν\nuν. A slot in which exactly one station transmits carries its packet successfully; a slot in which two or more transmit is a collision and carries nothing.

In an acknowledgement-based scheme a station learns nothing about the channel except whether its own transmissions succeeded. A packet arriving in slot ttt attempts transmission in slots t+x0,t+x1,…t+x_0, t+x_1, \dotst+x0​,t+x1​,… with 1=x0<x1<⋯1 = x_0 < x_1 < \cdots1=x0​<x1​<⋯, the sequence chosen independently for each packet, and

h(x)=P(x∈X),h(1)=1h(x) = \mathbb{P}(x \in X), \qquad h(1) = 1h(x)=P(x∈X),h(1)=1

is the retransmission function. For ALOHA, h(x)=fh(x) = fh(x)=f for every x>1x > 1x>1; for Ethernet's binary exponential backoff, ∑r≤th(r)∼log⁡2t\sum_{r \le t} h(r) \sim \log_2 t∑r≤t​h(r)∼log2​t.

Now imagine the channel externally jammed from time 000, so that every retransmission actually occurs. The attempts in slot ttt are then Poisson with mean ν∑r=1th(r)\nu\sum_{r=1}^{t}h(r)ν∑r=1t​h(r), and the probability that fewer than two attempts are made in slot ttt is

Pt=(1+ν∑r=1th(r))exp⁡(−ν∑r=1th(r)).P_t=\Bigl(1+\nu\sum_{r=1}^{t}h(r)\Bigr)\exp\Bigl(-\nu\sum_{r=1}^{t}h(r)\Bigr).Pt​=(1+νr=1∑t​h(r))exp(−νr=1∑t​h(r)).

The expected number of such slots is H(ν)=∑t≥1PtH(\nu)=\sum_{t\ge1}P_tH(ν)=∑t≥1​Pt​, which is decreasing in ν\nuν, and the critical rate is

νc=inf⁡{ν:H(ν)<∞}.\nu_c=\inf\{\nu : H(\nu)<\infty\}.νc​=inf{ν:H(ν)<∞}.

Theorem 5.11 of the book says νc\nu_cνc​ deserves its name: below it infinitely many packets are transmitted with probability one, above it only finitely many.

Formalization targets

Goal — condition (5.7): slower-than-exponential backoff has νc=0\nu_c=0νc​=0

1log⁡t∑x=1th(x)⟶∞⟹H(ν)=∑t≥1Pt<∞  for every ν>0.\frac{1}{\log t}\sum_{x=1}^{t}h(x)\longrightarrow\infty \quad\Longrightarrow\quad H(\nu)=\sum_{t\ge1}P_t<\infty \ \text{ for every } \nu>0 .logt1​x=1∑t​h(x)⟶∞⟹H(ν)=t≥1∑​Pt​<∞  for every ν>0.

Since H(ν)<∞H(\nu)<\inftyH(ν)<∞ for every positive ν\nuν, the critical rate is νc=0\nu_c=0νc​=0, and by Theorem 5.11 the expected number of successful transmissions is finite at every positive arrival rate. The goal fixes no constant and no rate: it says only that the dividing line between "jams always" and "has a positive capacity" sits at logarithmic growth of ∑x≤th(x)\sum_{x\le t}h(x)∑x≤t​h(x), which is exponential growth of the backoff.

Supporting levels

The ALOHA drift calculation of section 5.1 and its consequence that the drift is positive once the backlog is large enough; the summability ∑np(n)<∞\sum_n p(n)<\infty∑n​p(n)<∞ that combines with Borel–Cantelli to give Proposition 5.3; the monotonicity of PtP_tPt​ in ν\nuν; the opposite extreme, that a scheme with ∑xh(x)<∞\sum_x h(x)<\infty∑x​h(x)<∞ — one that gives up on a packet after finitely many attempts — has νc=∞\nu_c=\inftyνc​=∞; that ALOHA's own retransmission function satisfies condition (5.7); and the bound of Remark 5.14, that a positive recurrent acknowledgement-based scheme needs ν≤e−ν\nu\le e^{-\nu}ν≤e−ν and hence ν<0.5672\nu<0.5672ν<0.5672, which is strictly below Ethernet's νc=log⁡2\nu_c=\log 2νc​=log2.

Significance

The result itself. Condition (5.7) is the chapter's structural statement about random access, and it is a sharp one. Any retransmission rule under which a packet keeps trying at a rate that does not decay fast enough — a fixed probability, a polynomially growing backoff, anything short of exponential — has critical rate zero: the channel jams at every positive load. Exponential backoff is not a tuning choice, it is the minimum that makes the protocol work at all, and the log⁡b\log blogb formula for a backoff by factor bbb (Exercise 5.7) then says how much capacity each choice of bbb buys. The gap recorded in Remark 5.14 is the other half of the picture: even above the threshold, "infinitely many packets get through" is much weaker than "the backlog is stable", and between 0.5670.5670.567 and log⁡2≈0.693\log 2 \approx 0.693log2≈0.693 Ethernet does the first and provably not the second.

Formalizing it. None of this is open; the analysis is due to Kelly and MacPhee (1987) and Aldous (1987). What the mission contributes is a machine-checked account of the analytic core: the definitions of PtP_tPt​, H(ν)H(\nu)H(ν) and νc\nu_cνc​, the two extremes of the classification, and the ALOHA calculations. Mathlib has no protocol analysis and nothing about random access channels.

Difficulty

The obstacle is a modelling one and it is worth stating plainly rather than discovering halfway through. The chapter's headline results — Proposition 5.3 that ALOHA jams almost surely, Theorem 5.11 that νc\nu_cνc​ is the critical rate, Theorem 5.15 that geometric Ethernet is transient — are statements about sample paths of a Markov chain built on a Poisson arrival stream, and their proofs are coupling arguments comparing a system started empty with one started with a backlog. Nothing in Mathlib supports that construction, and building it is a research-scale project rather than a chapter. This mission therefore formalizes the analytic half and quotes the probabilistic half, which is the same division the book itself makes when it computes νc\nu_cνc​ for a scheme: Theorem 5.11 is proved once, and every subsequent statement about a protocol is a convergence question about ∑tPt\sum_t P_t∑t​Pt​.

Within that analytic half the difficulty is real but ordinary. The summand PtP_tPt​ is a product of a factor growing with ∑r≤th(r)\sum_{r\le t}h(r)∑r≤t​h(r) and one decaying exponentially in it, so the growth hypothesis has to be turned into a summable bound without assuming any regularity of hhh beyond non-negativity — in particular ∑r≤th(r)\sum_{r\le t}h(r)∑r≤t​h(r) need not be eventually monotone in any useful quantitative sense, only divergent faster than log⁡t\log tlogt.

Formalization scope

The retransmission function is any non-negative real sequence; the normalization h(1)=1h(1)=1h(1)=1 is not imposed, since none of the statements need it and imposing it would exclude the comparison schemes. PtP_tPt​ and the partial sums are real-valued, and "H(ν)<∞H(\nu)<\inftyH(ν)<∞" is stated as summability of the sequence rather than as a bound on an extended-real sum, so convergence is asserted rather than assumed. The goal is stated for each fixed ν>0\nu>0ν>0 separately, which is what makes νc=0\nu_c=0νc​=0; it is not stated as a claim about the infimum, because the infimum of the set {ν:H(ν)<∞}\{\nu : H(\nu)<\infty\}{ν:H(ν)<∞} adds nothing once the set is known to be all of (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).

The growth hypothesis is the book's condition (5.7) verbatim: (log⁡t)−1∑x≤th(x)→∞\bigl(\log t\bigr)^{-1}\sum_{x\le t}h(x)\to\infty(logt)−1∑x≤t​h(x)→∞. Note that at t=0t=0t=0 and t=1t=1t=1 the quotient involves log⁡t≤0\log t \le 0logt≤0 and is not meaningful; divergence to infinity is an eventual statement, so this costs nothing, but it is why the hypothesis is a limit rather than a pointwise bound.

The mission is not vacuous in either direction: the ALOHA milestone exhibits a retransmission function satisfying the hypothesis, and the ∑xh(x)<∞\sum_x h(x)<\infty∑x​h(x)<∞ milestone exhibits one that fails it as strongly as possible, with H(ν)=∞H(\nu)=\inftyH(ν)=∞ for every ν\nuν.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: Ethernet's ∑r≤th(r)∼log⁡2t\sum_{r\le t}h(r)\sim\log_2 t∑r≤t​h(r)∼log2​t and the resulting νc=log⁡2\nu_c=\log 2νc​=log2; the generalization νc=log⁡b\nu_c=\log bνc​=logb of Exercise 5.7; the scheme h(x)=1/(xlog⁡x)h(x)=1/(x\log x)h(x)=1/(xlogx) with νc=∞\nu_c=\inftyνc​=∞; the continuous-time halving νc=12log⁡b\nu_c=\frac12\log bνc​=21​logb of Kelly and MacPhee; and, for anyone willing to build the probabilistic layer, Proposition 5.3 and Theorem 5.11 themselves.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 5 (pp. 108–132); Definition 5.1, Proposition 5.3, Theorems 5.11 and 5.15, condition (5.7), Examples 5.8, 5.12 and 5.13, Remark 5.14. DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • N. Abramson, The ALOHA system — another alternative for computer communications, AFIPS Conference Proceedings 37 (1970), 281–285. DOI 10.1145/1478462.1478502
  • F. P. Kelly and I. M. MacPhee, The number of packets transmitted by collision detect random access schemes, Annals of Probability 15 (1987), 1557–1568. DOI 10.1214/aop/1176991992
  • D. J. Aldous, Ultimate instability of exponential back-off protocol for acknowledgement-based transmission control of random access communication channels, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 33 (1987), 219–223. DOI 10.1109/TIT.1987.1057295
  • R. M. Metcalfe and D. R. Boggs, Ethernet: distributed packet switching for local computer networks, Communications of the ACM 19 (1976), 395–404. DOI 10.1145/360248.360253
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks IV: Decentralized Optimization and Wardrop EquilibriaTextbook

Motivation

A network of resistors solves an optimization problem. Nobody tells the electrons what to do; each one moves under a purely local rule, and the current distribution that emerges minimizes energy dissipation over all distributions satisfying Kirchhoff's node law. Add a wire and the network can only become easier to traverse. This is the encouraging case, and Chapter 4 of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014) opens with it.

Road traffic is the discouraging case. Drivers also follow a local rule — take the fastest route — and the pattern that emerges is again characterized by an optimization problem, but not the one anyone wants solved. Braess's paradox is the sharp form of the discrepancy: in a small road network carrying six cars per unit time, every route takes 83 time units at equilibrium; open an extra road, and at the new equilibrium every route takes 92. Building road capacity made everyone slower. The difference from the electrical case is that a driver's choice imposes a delay on everyone else sharing the road and the driver does not pay for it, and correcting that — pricing the externality — is how a decentralized rule can be made to produce good global behaviour. That idea recurs in Chapters 7 and 8 of the book as the basis of Internet congestion control.

Setting

The network is a set J\mathcal{J}J of JJJ directed links. A route rrr is a subset of links, and R\mathcal{R}R is the set of RRR routes under consideration — not necessarily all physically possible ones. The link-route incidence matrix AAA has Ajr=1A_{jr}=1Ajr​=1 when j∈rj \in rj∈r and Ajr=0A_{jr}=0Ajr​=0 otherwise. Writing xrx_rxr​ for the flow on route rrr, the flow on link jjj is

yj=∑rAjrxr,that is y=Ax.y_j=\sum_{r}A_{jr}x_r, \qquad\text{that is } y = Ax.yj​=r∑​Ajr​xr​,that is y=Ax.

Each link has a delay function Dj(yj)D_j(y_j)Dj​(yj​), continuous and increasing in the flow on that link, and the delay along a route is the sum of the delays of its links, ∑jDj(yj)Ajr\sum_j D_j(y_j)A_{jr}∑j​Dj​(yj​)Ajr​. Drivers care only about getting from origin to destination: S\mathcal{S}S is the set of source–destination pairs, each route rrr serves exactly one of them, written s(r)s(r)s(r), and the flow requirement between pair σ\sigmaσ is fσf_\sigmafσ​.

A routing pattern is stable when no driver has an incentive to switch. Definition 4.2 makes this precise: a Wardrop equilibrium is a feasible vector of route flows xxx such that

xr>0  ⟹  ∑jDj(yj)Ajr=min⁡r′∈s(r)∑jDj(yj)Ajr′,y=Ax.x_r>0 \;\Longrightarrow\; \sum_{j}D_j(y_j)A_{jr}=\min_{r'\in s(r)}\sum_{j}D_j(y_j)A_{jr'}, \qquad y = Ax .xr​>0⟹j∑​Dj​(yj​)Ajr​=r′∈s(r)min​j∑​Dj​(yj​)Ajr′​,y=Ax.

Every route actually carrying traffic is a shortest route, in delay, for the traffic it carries.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4.3, a Wardrop equilibrium exists

∃ x≥0  with Hx=f  such that x is a Wardrop equilibrium.\exists\, x \ge 0 \ \text{ with } Hx=f \ \text{ such that } x \text{ is a Wardrop equilibrium.}∃x≥0  with Hx=f  such that x is a Wardrop equilibrium.

The goal asserts existence only, for an arbitrary network, arbitrary route set and arbitrary continuous increasing delay functions. It fixes no uniqueness claim, because the equilibrium flows need not be unique even though the link loads are, and no efficiency claim, because Braess's paradox is precisely the statement that the equilibrium is not efficient.

Supporting levels

Kirchhoff's node law as the equations satisfied by the expected reward in the random-walk game of section 4.1; the two Braess networks of Figures 4.4a and 4.4b, with their equilibrium delays 838383 and 929292; convexity of ∫0yD(u) du\int_0^{y}D(u)\,du∫0y​D(u)du for increasing DDD; the optimization characterization that makes the goal reachable — a minimizer of ∑j∫0yjDj(u) du\sum_j\int_0^{y_j}D_j(u)\,du∑j​∫0yj​​Dj​(u)du over the feasible flows is a Wardrop equilibrium; and the exact externality decomposition of the queueing network of section 4.3.1.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 4.3 is what makes the Wardrop equilibrium a usable object: a traffic model that could fail to have an equilibrium would be describing nothing. Its proof does more than establish existence — it identifies the equilibrium as the solution of a specific convex program, minimizing ∑j∫0yjDj(u) du\sum_j\int_0^{y_j}D_j(u)\,du∑j​∫0yj​​Dj​(u)du. That function is not the total delay ∑jyjDj(yj)\sum_j y_jD_j(y_j)∑j​yj​Dj​(yj​), and the gap between the two is exactly Braess's paradox: selfish routing optimizes the wrong objective. Once the two objectives are written side by side, the fix is readable off them, and it is the fix used in practice — a toll on link jjj equal to yjDj′(yj)y_jD_j'(y_j)yj​Dj′​(yj​), the marginal delay a driver imposes on everyone else, makes the selfish objective coincide with the social one. Section 4.3 then carries the same accounting into queueing and loss networks, where the derivative of the mean cost splits into a term for the delay a customer suffers and a term for the knock-on cost it inflicts.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is open; Wardrop stated the principle in 1952 and Beckmann, McGuire and Winsten gave the optimization formulation in 1956. What the mission produces is a machine-checked model of selfish routing — incidence matrix, link flows, delay functions, the equilibrium condition — and a formal record of Braess's paradox as a concrete pair of networks rather than a story. Mathlib has no traffic or congestion-game theory.

Difficulty

Existence is not a fixed-point argument in the obvious variable: the best-response map of the routing game is not continuous, since a small change in flows can flip which route is shortest and move all the traffic. The book's route is to replace the equilibrium condition by the stationarity conditions of a convex program on a compact feasible set, where existence is routine and the content is the translation. The translation is where the care is needed, and it is stated here as a separate milestone: the first-order conditions say the Lagrange multiplier λs(r)\lambda_{s(r)}λs(r)​ equals the route delay on routes carrying traffic and is a lower bound on the others, which is Definition 4.2 restated.

The subtlety worth naming in advance is that "increasing" is doing real work in two different places. It makes ∫0yD(u) du\int_0^{y}D(u)\,du∫0y​D(u)du convex, which is what makes the program tractable; and it is what makes each Dj(yj)D_j(y_j)Dj​(yj​) interpretable as a price. Neither convexity of DjD_jDj​ itself nor strict monotonicity is needed, and assuming them would be assuming more than the book does.

Formalization scope

Links, routes and source–destination pairs are indexed by finite types. The incidence matrix is real-valued with entries constrained to be 000 or 111, matching the book's definition in this chapter (unlike Chapter 3, which allows general non-negative integers). The map from routes to source–destination pairs is given as a function sss rather than as the matrix HHH, which is exactly the book's statement that each column of HHH sums to 111.

Delay functions are total functions R→R\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}R→R, continuous and monotone. This excludes the vertical asymptote that Figure 4.5 permits — a link with a finite capacity at which delay blows up — and that restriction is recorded here rather than left implicit. The equilibrium condition is stated as the inequality "delay on r≤delay on r′\text{delay on } r \le \text{delay on } r'delay on r≤delay on r′ for every r′r'r′ serving the same pair", which is Definition 4.2 with the minimum written out; the two are equivalent because rrr itself serves s(r)s(r)s(r), and the inequality form avoids having to produce a minimum over a possibly empty set.

The goal is not vacuous: the feasibility hypotheses (fσ≥0f_\sigma\ge0fσ​≥0, and each source–destination pair served by at least one route) are exactly what makes the feasible set non-empty, and without them the existence claim would be false rather than trivial.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: uniqueness of the equilibrium link loads yyy; the marginal-cost toll that aligns the selfish and social optima; Rayleigh monotonicity (Exercise 4.3, that effective resistance does not decrease when a resistance is increased); the price of anarchy for affine delays; and Theorem 4.6 on the derivatives of the loss-network rate of return with respect to offered traffic and capacity.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 4 (pp. 85–107); Definition 4.2, Theorem 4.3, sections 4.1–4.3. DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 1 (1952), 325–362. DOI 10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
  • M. Beckmann, C. B. McGuire and C. B. Winsten, Studies in the Economics of Transportation, Yale University Press, 1956.
  • D. Braess, Über ein Paradoxon aus der Verkehrsplanung, Unternehmensforschung 12 (1968), 258–268. DOI 10.1007/BF01918335
  • Peter Doyle and J. Laurie Snell, Random Walks and Electric Networks, Mathematical Association of America, 1984. arXiv:math/0001057
  • R. G. Gallager, A minimum delay routing algorithm using distributed computation, IEEE Transactions on Communications 25 (1977), 73–85. DOI 10.1109/TCOM.1977.1093711
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks II: Migration Processes and Product FormTextbook

Motivation

A queueing network is a collection of service stations through which customers — jobs, packets, telephone calls, patients — move one at a time. The state of such a network is a vector of occupancy counts, one per station, and the number of states grows exponentially in the number of stations, so solving the equilibrium equations directly is hopeless for any network worth modelling. The product form is what rescues the subject: for a large and identifiable class of networks the equilibrium distribution factorizes into one term per station, as if the stations were independent, and a network of JJJ stations costs JJJ one-dimensional calculations instead of one exponentially large one.

Chapter 2 of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014) establishes this for migration processes, the Markov model in which individuals move between colonies one at a time at a rate that factorizes as λjkφj(nj)\lambda_{jk}\varphi_j(n_j)λjk​φj​(nj​): a part depending only on the two colonies and a part depending only on the occupancy of the source. The class covers single-server and sss-server queues, infinite-server queues, and networks of them, open or closed.

Setting

There are JJJ colonies, and a state is a vector n=(n1,…,nJ)n = (n_1,\dots,n_J)n=(n1​,…,nJ​) of non-negative integers, njn_jnj​ being the number of individuals in colony jjj. Three operators move one individual:

Tjkn  moves one from j to k,Tj→n  removes one from j,T→kn  adds one to k.T^{jk}n \ \text{ moves one from } j \text{ to } k, \qquad T^{j\to}n \ \text{ removes one from } j, \qquad T^{\to k}n \ \text{ adds one to } k .Tjkn  moves one from j to k,Tj→n  removes one from j,T→kn  adds one to k.

An open migration process is the Markov process on Z+J\mathbb{Z}_+^JZ+J​ with transition rates

q(n,Tjkn)=λjkφj(nj),q(n,Tj→n)=μjφj(nj),q(n,T→kn)=νk,q(n, T^{jk}n)=\lambda_{jk}\varphi_j(n_j), \qquad q(n, T^{j\to}n)=\mu_j\varphi_j(n_j), \qquad q(n, T^{\to k}n)=\nu_k ,q(n,Tjkn)=λjk​φj​(nj​),q(n,Tj→n)=μj​φj​(nj​),q(n,T→kn)=νk​,

where φj(0)=0\varphi_j(0)=0φj​(0)=0: nothing leaves an empty colony. Immigration into colony kkk is Poisson of rate νk\nu_kνk​. Taking μ≡0\mu\equiv 0μ≡0 and ν≡0\nu\equiv 0ν≡0 and restricting to states of a fixed total ∑jnj=N\sum_j n_j = N∑j​nj​=N gives a closed migration process. Setting φj(n)=min⁡(n,s)\varphi_j(n)=\min(n,s)φj​(n)=min(n,s) models an sss-server queue at colony jjj; φj(n)=n\varphi_j(n)=nφj​(n)=n models individuals moving independently.

The traffic equations define (αj)(\alpha_j)(αj​) from the rates. In the open case they are

αj(μj+∑kλjk)  =  νj+∑kαkλkj,j=1,…,J,\alpha_j\Bigl(\mu_j+\sum_k \lambda_{jk}\Bigr) \;=\; \nu_j+\sum_k \alpha_k\lambda_{kj}, \qquad j = 1,\dots,J,αj​(μj​+k∑​λjk​)=νj​+k∑​αk​λkj​,j=1,…,J,

and in the closed case αj∑kλjk=∑kαkλkj\alpha_j\sum_k \lambda_{jk}=\sum_k \alpha_k\lambda_{kj}αj​∑k​λjk​=∑k​αk​λkj​ with αj>0\alpha_j>0αj​>0 and ∑jαj=1\sum_j\alpha_j=1∑j​αj​=1. Finally set

gj=∑n=0∞αj n∏r=1nφj(r).g_j=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\frac{\alpha_j^{\,n}}{\prod_{r=1}^{n}\varphi_j(r)} .gj​=n=0∑∞​∏r=1n​φj​(r)αjn​​.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 2.8, the product form of an open migration process

If g1,…,gJ<∞g_1,\dots,g_J<\inftyg1​,…,gJ​<∞ then

π(n)=∏j=1Jπj(nj),πj(m)=gj−1 αj m∏r=1mφj(r)\pi(n)=\prod_{j=1}^{J}\pi_j(n_j), \qquad \pi_j(m)=g_j^{-1}\,\frac{\alpha_j^{\,m}}{\prod_{r=1}^{m}\varphi_j(r)}π(n)=j=1∏J​πj​(nj​),πj​(m)=gj−1​∏r=1m​φj​(r)αjm​​

is an equilibrium distribution: it satisfies the equilibrium equations for the open migration rates, and it sums to one over Z+J\mathbb{Z}_+^JZ+J​. Both halves are asserted, because the first alone is satisfied by every positive multiple of π\piπ and the second is what makes the convergence hypothesis gj<∞g_j<\inftygj​<∞ do work.

Supporting levels

The closed-network product form of Theorem 2.4; the two families of partial balance equations (2.3) and (2.4) that the proof reduces to; Theorem 2.9, that the time reversal of a stationary open migration process is again an open migration process with rates λjk′=αkλkj/αj\lambda'_{jk}=\alpha_k\lambda_{kj}/\alpha_jλjk′​=αk​λkj​/αj​, μj′=νj/αj\mu'_j=\nu_j/\alpha_jμj′​=νj​/αj​ and νk′=αkμk\nu'_k=\alpha_k\mu_kνk′​=αk​μk​; the single M/M/1 queue that the chapter starts from; the cycle identity (2.6) behind Little's law; and the traffic equations of Kendall's family-size process, an open migration process with infinitely many colonies.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 2.8 says that at a fixed time the occupancies n1,…,nJn_1,\dots,n_Jn1​,…,nJ​ of an open migration network are independent, each distributed as if its colony were fed by a Poisson stream of rate αjλj\alpha_j\lambda_jαj​λj​ — even though the actual arrival stream into a colony is in general not Poisson, and the occupancies are emphatically not independent as processes. That gap between the one-time-marginal and the process is the reason the theorem is useful and the reason it is easy to misapply. Everything downstream in the book rests on it: the loss networks of Chapter 3 are the truncation of a product-form process to a capacity set, and the flow-level models of Chapter 8 ask when a product form survives a bandwidth-sharing policy. Theorem 2.9 supplies the reversibility argument from which Burke's theorem and the Poisson character of the exit streams follow.

Formalizing it. The mathematics is classical — Jackson (1957), Whittle (1968), Kelly (1979) — and none of it is open. What the mission produces is a machine-checked model of a queueing network: the migration operators, the rate matrix, the traffic equations and the product form, in a form later missions in this series import rather than restate. Mathlib has no queueing theory and no theory of continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space, so this is the first such development. It builds on the DetailedBalance / FullBalance layer published in mission I.

Difficulty

An open migration process is not reversible — the detailed balance equations fail, as Figure 2.5 of the book shows with an arrival stream of geometrically sized bursts — so the method of Chapter 1 does not apply and the equilibrium equations must be met head on. The content of the proof is that they split: a separate balance holds for each colony jjj (rate of individuals leaving colony jjj equals rate arriving into it) and one more across the boundary with the outside world, and each of those is equivalent to a traffic equation. Finding that split is the step, and it is why the partial balance equations are milestones in their own right.

The formal obstacle is different and worth naming. The equilibrium equation at a state nnn sums over the states that can jump into nnn, and the naive transcription ∑j,kπ(Tjkn)q(Tjkn,n)\sum_{j,k}\pi(T^{jk}n)q(T^{jk}n,n)∑j,k​π(Tjkn)q(Tjkn,n) silently assumes TjknT^{jk}nTjkn is a state, which fails when nj=0n_j=0nj​=0. Over Z+J\mathbb{Z}_+^JZ+J​ such a term must be dropped, and a formalization that keeps it — with nj−1n_j-1nj​−1 read as truncated subtraction — states something false.

Formalization scope

The state space is Fin J → ℕ, a function from a finite index type of colonies to occupancy counts, with J finite; no irreducibility is assumed, since none of the statements below need it. Rates are real-valued and the whole rate matrix is a single function of two states, assembled as a sum of indicator terms over the possible transitions, so the equilibrium equations can be stated as the FullBalance predicate of mission I, with unconditional sums over the countable state space. This is what avoids the trap above: a sum over actual states never includes a would-be-negative one, and any spurious coincidence of operators at a boundary carries a φj(0)=0\varphi_j(0)=0φj​(0)=0 factor and contributes nothing.

Conventions the development commits to: λjj=0\lambda_{jj}=0λjj​=0, so a transfer is always between distinct colonies; φj(0)=0\varphi_j(0)=0φj​(0)=0 and φj(r)>0\varphi_j(r)>0φj​(r)>0 for r≥1r\ge 1r≥1; αj>0\alpha_j>0αj​>0; and gjg_jgj​ is asserted via HasSum, which states convergence and the value at once, rather than as an extended real that might be infinite. Occupancy vectors use truncated natural subtraction, so the partial balance and reversed-rate statements carry an explicit nj≥1n_j\ge 1nj​≥1 where the book's state space carries it implicitly; the goal itself does not need such a guard.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out by the second conjunct of the goal: the equilibrium equations alone are a homogeneous linear condition satisfied by π≡0\pi\equiv 0π≡0, whereas the requirement that π\piπ sum to 111 forces the constants gjg_jgj​ to be exactly the ones stated.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: Burke's theorem (2.1) and the Poisson character of the exit streams, Corollary 2.10, the closed-form of the telephone banking example (Exercise 2.6), the Chinese restaurant process of Exercise 2.13, and Bartlett's theorem (2.17) on linear migration processes over a general space.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 2 (pp. 22–48); Theorems 2.4, 2.8, 2.9, 2.13, equations (2.1)–(2.6). DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • James R. Jackson, Networks of waiting lines, Operations Research 5 (1957), 518–521. DOI 10.1287/opre.5.4.518
  • P. Whittle, Equilibrium distributions for an open migration process, Journal of Applied Probability 5 (1968), 567–571. DOI 10.2307/3211921
  • Frank Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2011 (reissue of the 1979 edition), Chapters 2 and 3.
  • David G. Kendall, Some problems in mathematical genealogy, in Perspectives in Probability and Statistics (J. Gani, ed.), Academic Press, 1975, 325–345.
  • John D. C. Little, A proof for the queuing formula: L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW, Operations Research 9 (1961), 383–387. DOI 10.1287/opre.9.3.383
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: naimengye

Stochastic Networks I: Erlang's Formula for a Single LinkTextbook

Motivation

In the early twentieth century Agner Krarup Erlang worked for the Copenhagen Telephone Company and faced a sizing question that every shared-resource operator still faces: how many parallel circuits must a telephone link carry so that an arriving call is almost never turned away? The answer he published — the Erlang loss formula — is still the standard dimensioning tool for circuit-switched links, call centres, hospital beds, rental fleets, and any system in which a customer who finds every server occupied leaves rather than waits.

The formula is the first capstone of Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina's Stochastic Networks (Cambridge University Press, 2014), where it closes Chapter 1 and supplies the building block for the loss networks of Chapter 3. It is also the cleanest possible demonstration of the book's method: write down the transition rates of a Markov process, guess that the process is reversible, solve the detailed balance equations, and read the answer off the normalizing constant. This mission formalizes that chapter: the reversibility apparatus, the birth-and-death chain of the loss link, and Erlang's formula itself.

Setting

A link carries CCC parallel circuits. Calls arrive as a Poisson process of rate λ\lambdaλ and each call, while it lasts, occupies one circuit for an exponentially distributed holding time of parameter μ\muμ; holding times are independent of one another and of the arrival times. A call that arrives to find all CCC circuits busy is lost — it does not queue.

Let X(t)∈{0,1,…,C}X(t)\in\{0,1,\dots,C\}X(t)∈{0,1,…,C} be the number of busy circuits. Then XXX is a Markov process with transition rates

q(j,j+1)=λ(j=0,…,C−1),q(j,j−1)=jμ(j=1,…,C),q(j,j+1)=\lambda \quad (j=0,\dots,C-1), \qquad q(j,j-1)=j\mu \quad (j=1,\dots,C),q(j,j+1)=λ(j=0,…,C−1),q(j,j−1)=jμ(j=1,…,C),

and q(j,k)=0q(j,k)=0q(j,k)=0 otherwise. A collection of numbers π=(π(j))\pi=(\pi(j))π=(π(j)) is in detailed balance with rates qqq when

π(j) q(j,k)=π(k) q(k,j)for all j,k,\pi(j)\,q(j,k)=\pi(k)\,q(k,j)\qquad\text{for all }j,k,π(j)q(j,k)=π(k)q(k,j)for all j,k,

and satisfies the equilibrium (full balance) equations when

π(j)∑kq(j,k)=∑kπ(k) q(k,j)for all j.\pi(j)\sum_k q(j,k)=\sum_k \pi(k)\,q(k,j)\qquad\text{for all }j .π(j)k∑​q(j,k)=k∑​π(k)q(k,j)for all j.

Detailed balance is the statement that, in equilibrium, transitions from jjj to kkk occur as frequently as transitions from kkk to jjj. Writing ν=λ/μ\nu=\lambda/\muν=λ/μ for the traffic intensity, Erlang's formula is

E(ν,C)=νC/C!∑j=0Cνj/j!.E(\nu,C)=\frac{\nu^{C}/C!}{\sum_{j=0}^{C}\nu^{j}/j!}.E(ν,C)=∑j=0C​νj/j!νC/C!​.

Formalization targets

Goal — Erlang's formula

π in detailed balance with q, ∑j=0Cπ(j)=1⟹π(C)=E ⁣(λμ,C).\pi \text{ in detailed balance with } q, \ \sum_{j=0}^{C}\pi(j)=1 \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \pi(C)=E\!\left(\tfrac{\lambda}{\mu},C\right).π in detailed balance with q, j=0∑C​π(j)=1⟹π(C)=E(μλ​,C).

The goal fixes no numerical constant: it says that whatever probability vector solves the detailed balance equations of the loss link assigns exactly E(ν,C)E(\nu,C)E(ν,C) to the blocking state. The hypothesis is detailed balance rather than full balance, which is what the book's derivation actually uses and is the stronger assumption to discharge.

Supporting levels

π(j)=νjj! π(0),∑j=0Cj π(j)=ν(1−E(ν,C)),ddνE(ν,C)=−(1−E(ν,C))(E(ν,C)−E(ν,C−1)),\pi(j)=\frac{\nu^{j}}{j!}\,\pi(0), \qquad \sum_{j=0}^{C} j\,\pi(j)=\nu\bigl(1-E(\nu,C)\bigr), \qquad \frac{d}{d\nu}E(\nu,C)=-\bigl(1-E(\nu,C)\bigr)\bigl(E(\nu,C)-E(\nu,C-1)\bigr),π(j)=j!νj​π(0),j=0∑C​jπ(j)=ν(1−E(ν,C)),dνd​E(ν,C)=−(1−E(ν,C))(E(ν,C)−E(ν,C−1)),

together with the reversibility results that justify the method: detailed balance implies full balance, the reversed process of Proposition 1.1 has rates q′(j,k)=π(k)q(k,j)/π(j)q'(j,k)=\pi(k)q(k,j)/\pi(j)q′(j,k)=π(k)q(k,j)/π(j) and retains π\piπ as an equilibrium distribution, and q′=qq'=qq′=q holds exactly when π\piπ and qqq are in detailed balance.

Significance

The result itself. E(ν,C)E(\nu,C)E(ν,C) is the blocking probability of the link, so it converts a traffic measurement ν\nuν and a target grade of service into a circuit count. It is insensitive: the same formula holds for any holding-time distribution with mean 1/μ1/\mu1/μ, which is why it survives as an engineering tool far outside the exponential model that produces it here. Chapter 3 of the book builds loss networks on top of it, and the Erlang fixed point that approximates a whole network is a system of coupled copies of this one formula. The derivative identity is the ingredient that makes E(ν,C)E(\nu,C)E(ν,C) tractable in optimization: it shows EEE is increasing in ν\nuν, and the recursion it encodes is how the formula is evaluated numerically without overflow.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is open mathematics; the value of the mission is a machine-checked statement of the loss model and a reusable reversibility layer. Mathlib has no theory of detailed balance or of reversible Markov processes over a countable state space, so this mission contributes the first: the predicates DetailedBalance and FullBalance, the reversed rate matrix, and the three structural facts relating them. Those are shared by every later mission in this series — the migration processes of Chapter 2 and the loss networks of Chapter 3 are all proved reversible or quasi-reversible by exactly these means.

Difficulty

The obvious route to π(C)\pi(C)π(C) is to solve the equilibrium equations directly, and for a birth-and-death chain that is a three-term recursion whose general solution needs two boundary conditions. Detailed balance replaces it with a two-term recursion and one boundary condition, and the whole content of the reversibility section is that the substitution is legitimate. The remaining work is bookkeeping that Lean makes less forgiving than the page does: the detailed balance equations must be indexed so that the j=0j=0j=0 and j=Cj=Cj=C boundaries are not silently assumed away, the normalizing sum must be shown positive before it can be inverted, and the induction that produces νj/j!\nu^{j}/j!νj/j! has to carry the Fin (C+1) index through Nat.factorial. For the derivative identity, the naive differentiation of a quotient gives (∑j≤C−1νj/j!)\left(\sum_{j\le C-1}\nu^{j}/j!\right)(∑j≤C−1​νj/j!) in the numerator, and recognizing it as (1−E(ν,C))\bigl(1-E(\nu,C)\bigr)(1−E(ν,C)) times the denominator is the step that produces the stated form.

Formalization scope

The state space is Fin (C + 1), so the link with CCC circuits has C+1C+1C+1 states and finiteness is built in; π\piπ is a plain function Fin (C + 1) → ℝ constrained by hypotheses rather than a PMF, so that the normalization ∑jπ(j)=1\sum_j \pi(j) = 1∑j​π(j)=1 appears explicitly wherever it is used. FullBalance is written with unconditional sums (tsum) over an arbitrary state space, so the same predicate serves the countable chains of later chapters; over a Fintype it is the finite sum. Rates are real-valued and q j j = 0 by construction, matching the book's convention that a Markov process must change state when it jumps.

The rates carry λ,μ>0\lambda,\mu>0λ,μ>0 as hypotheses. This rules out the degenerate reading in which μ=0\mu = 0μ=0 makes every downward rate vanish: with μ=0\mu=0μ=0 the detailed balance equations force π(j)λ=0\pi(j)\lambda = 0π(j)λ=0 for j<Cj<Cj<C, so the only normalized solution is the point mass at CCC, and π(C)=1\pi(C)=1π(C)=1 while Lean evaluates E(λ/0,C)=E(0,C)=0E(\lambda/0,C)=E(0,C)=0E(λ/0,C)=E(0,C)=0 for C≥1C\ge1C≥1; the goal would be false. Erlang's formula is stated for the last state Fin.last C, not for an unconstrained index, so it cannot be satisfied by a degenerate reindexing.

Contributions welcome beyond the listed items: the insensitivity of E(ν,C)E(\nu,C)E(ν,C) to the holding time distribution, the recursion E(ν,C)=νE(ν,C−1)/(C+νE(ν,C−1))E(\nu,C)=\nu E(\nu,C-1)/(C+\nu E(\nu,C-1))E(ν,C)=νE(ν,C−1)/(C+νE(ν,C−1)), the finite-source variant πM(j)∝(Mj)(η/μ)j\pi_M(j)\propto\binom{M}{j}(\eta/\mu)^{j}πM​(j)∝(jM​)(η/μ)j and the PASTA statement that an arriving call in that model sees πM−1\pi_{M-1}πM−1​, and the parking-space identity ∑C≥0E(ν,C)\sum_{C\ge 0}E(\nu,C)∑C≥0​E(ν,C) of Exercise 1.9.

Selected references

  • Frank Kelly and Elena Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 1 (pp. 13–21), equations (1.2), (1.4), (1.5), Proposition 1.1, Exercises 1.7 and 1.8. DOI 10.1017/cbo9781139565363
  • A. K. Erlang, Solution of some problems in the theory of probabilities of significance in automatic telephone exchanges, Elektrotkeknikeren 13 (1917), 5–13.
  • Frank Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2011 (reissue of the 1979 edition), Chapter 1.
  • J. R. Norris, Markov Chains, Cambridge University Press, 1998. DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511810633
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Machine LearningProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory+1·Captain: mikedeng1

High-Dimensional Probability II: Concentration Inequalities for Sums of Independent Random VariablesTextbook

Motivation

The central limit theorem tells us that a normalized sum of independent random variables converges in distribution to a Gaussian. For applications — bounding the failure probability of a randomized algorithm, controlling the error of a Monte Carlo estimator, proving a generalization bound in learning theory — a limiting distribution is not enough: what is needed is a single, explicit, non-asymptotic inequality that holds for every fixed sample size NNN, not merely as N→∞N \to \inftyN→∞. Hoeffding's inequality (Wassily Hoeffding, 1963) and Bernstein's inequality (Sergei Bernstein, 1920s–1940s, in the form used here due to Vadim Bennett and later authors) are the two archetypal answers: both give an explicit Gaussian-type tail bound for a weighted sum of independent random variables, valid for every NNN, with all constants made explicit. They are the workhorses behind concentration of measure, high-dimensional statistics, and the non-asymptotic analysis of randomized algorithms; a textbook trying to reach the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma, random matrix norms, or the restricted isometry property has to pass through this chapter first, because every one of those results is itself an application of a weighted-sum concentration inequality to a specific choice of random variables.

The central limit theorem's own error term is the obstruction that direct concentration inequalities are built to avoid: the Berry–Esseen theorem (Andrew C. Berry, 1941; Carl-Gustav Esseen, 1942) bounds the normal approximation's error at order 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​, which is too slow to recover a genuinely exponential tail bound for finite NNN. Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities are proved instead by a direct argument — bounding the moment generating function of the sum and optimizing a Markov/Chernoff exponential tilt — that never invokes the central limit theorem or its error term at all.

The sub-gaussian and sub-exponential norms

Fix a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P). For a real random variable XXX on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P), define its sub-gaussian norm

∥X∥ψ2:=inf⁡{t>0:Eexp⁡(X2/t2) is finite and ≤2}\|X\|_{\psi_2} := \inf\{t > 0 : \mathbb E \exp(X^2/t^2) \text{ is finite and } \le 2\}∥X∥ψ2​​:=inf{t>0:Eexp(X2/t2) is finite and ≤2}

and its sub-exponential norm

∥X∥ψ1:=inf⁡{t>0:Eexp⁡(∣X∣/t) is finite and ≤2}.\|X\|_{\psi_1} := \inf\{t > 0 : \mathbb E \exp(|X|/t) \text{ is finite and } \le 2\}.∥X∥ψ1​​:=inf{t>0:Eexp(∣X∣/t) is finite and ≤2}.

In both definitions, the requirement that the exponential moment be finite (i.e. that the moment-generating integrand be integrable), and not merely satisfy "≤2\le 2≤2" as a bare inequality, is essential: without it a moment that is genuinely infinite for a given ttt would vacuously count as "≤2\le 2≤2" under the Bochner integral's convention that a non-integrable function integrates to 000, and every random variable — however heavy-tailed — would trivially have norm 000. XXX is called sub-gaussian (respectively sub-exponential) when this infimum is over a nonempty set, i.e. when some finite ttt makes the moment finite and at most 222. These are genuine norms (up to the identification of almost-surely-equal random variables) on the vector space of random variables for which they are finite, and they are the natural non-asymptotic yardsticks for tail heaviness: ∥X∥ψ2<∞\|X\|_{\psi_2} < \infty∥X∥ψ2​​<∞ characterizes a Gaussian-type tail P{∣X∣≥t}≤2exp⁡(−ct2/∥X∥ψ22)P\{|X| \ge t\} \le 2\exp(-ct^2/\|X\|_{\psi_2}^2)P{∣X∣≥t}≤2exp(−ct2/∥X∥ψ2​2​), while ∥X∥ψ1<∞\|X\|_{\psi_1} < \infty∥X∥ψ1​​<∞ characterizes an exponential-type tail P{∣X∣≥t}≤2exp⁡(−ct/∥X∥ψ1)P\{|X| \ge t\} \le 2\exp(-ct/\|X\|_{\psi_1})P{∣X∣≥t}≤2exp(−ct/∥X∥ψ1​​). Every bounded random variable — in particular every Bernoulli or Rademacher (symmetric Bernoulli) random variable — is sub-gaussian, and the square of a sub-gaussian random variable is sub-exponential; a genuinely sub-exponential (not sub-gaussian) example is the squared coordinate gi2g_i^2gi2​ of a standard Gaussian vector, or the exponential distribution itself.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 2.8.2 (Bernstein's inequality, weighted sum). Let X1,…,XNX_1, \dots, X_NX1​,…,XN​ be independent, mean-zero, sub-exponential random variables on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P), and let a=(a1,…,aN)∈RNa = (a_1, \dots, a_N) \in \mathbb R^Na=(a1​,…,aN​)∈RN. Then, for every t≥0t \ge 0t≥0,

P{∣∑i=1NaiXi∣≥t}  ≤  2exp⁡[−cmin⁡(t2K2∥a∥22,tK∥a∥∞)],P\Bigl\{\Bigl|\sum_{i=1}^N a_i X_i\Bigr| \ge t\Bigr\} \;\le\; 2\exp\left[-c\min\left(\frac{t^2}{K^2\|a\|_2^2}, \frac{t}{K\|a\|_\infty}\right)\right],P{​i=1∑N​ai​Xi​​≥t}≤2exp[−cmin(K2∥a∥22​t2​,K∥a∥∞​t​)],

where K=max⁡i∥Xi∥ψ1K = \max_i \|X_i\|_{\psi_1}K=maxi​∥Xi​∥ψ1​​ and c>0c > 0c>0 is an absolute constant that does not depend on NNN, the XiX_iXi​, aaa, or ttt.

The goal is deliberately the weighted and sub-exponential form, the weakest of the chapter's results that is still stable under the improvements a solver might find: it neither fixes ai≡1a_i \equiv 1ai​≡1 (the unweighted Theorem 2.8.1, a special case) nor restricts to the lighter sub-gaussian tail (Theorem 2.6.3, which follows from a strictly stronger hypothesis). Both weaker theorems, plus Hoeffding's and Chernoff's inequalities, are included as milestones because Bernstein's own proof is built directly from them.

Significance

The result itself. Bernstein's inequality is the two-tail-regime concentration bound: a sub-gaussian tail exp⁡(−ct2/(K∥a∥2)2)\exp(-ct^2/(K\|a\|_2)^2)exp(−ct2/(K∥a∥2​)2) near the mean, transitioning to a heavier sub-exponential tail exp⁡(−ct/(K∥a∥∞))\exp(-ct/(K\|a\|_\infty))exp(−ct/(K∥a∥∞​)) far from it, exactly the behavior one should expect from a mixture of light-tailed terms with one heavy-tailed outlier. It underlies the concentration of quadratic forms (Chapter 6's Hanson–Wright inequality controls ∑εiεj\sum \varepsilon_i \varepsilon_j∑εi​εj​-type terms, which are themselves products of sub-gaussians and hence sub-exponential by Lemma 2.7.7), and it is the standard tool for bounding empirical-process suprema whose summands are not bounded but merely light-tailed.

Formalizing it. No formalization of Bernstein's inequality — in either the weighted or unweighted, or sub-gaussian or sub-exponential form — exists yet on Prove2Me (GET /theorems?q=Bernstein and q=sub-exponential return no relevant hits, checked 2026-09-17). What this mission produces is not just the statement but the machinery underneath it: a working Orlicz-norm treatment of ψ1\psi_1ψ1​ and ψ2\psi_2ψ2​ that a later mission (the Hanson–Wright inequality, or any future chapter that needs sub-exponential concentration) can build on directly.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea — squaring both sides and applying Chebyshev, as one does to prove the weak law of large numbers — gives only a polynomial tail bound decaying like 1/N1/N1/N, far too weak to be useful (this is exactly the point made by the chapter's opening discussion of the coin-tossing example, comparing the linear decay from Chebyshev against the target exponential decay). The central limit theorem promises the right shape of tail asymptotically but, per Berry–Esseen, with an error of order 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​ that swamps any exponential gain for large deviations — the CLT approximation is simply not valid in the tail regime the inequality needs. The actual argument instead controls the moment generating function of the full sum directly and optimizes an exponential (Chernoff) tilt; this is why the sub-gaussian and sub-exponential norms — MGF-control objects, not moment or tail objects per se — are the right technical vehicle, even though Proposition 2.5.2 and 2.7.1 show all these characterizations are equivalent up to constants. The min of two terms in Bernstein's exponent is not an artifact of a loose proof: it reflects a genuinely two-regime tail (Gaussian near the mean, exponential in the far tail), and collapsing it to a single term in either direction would either be false (dropping the exponential term) or needlessly weak (dropping the Gaussian term, which is what a naive union bound over the worst single term would give).

Formalization scope

Random variables are ℝ-valued functions on an explicit probability space (Ω, mΩ, P) (Ω : Type, MeasurableSpace Ω, P : Measure Ω, [IsProbabilityMeasure P]), matching the book's setup throughout. Independence is Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.iIndepFun, and tail probabilities are stated with P.real, Mathlib's ℝ-valued measure evaluation, which corresponds directly to the book's P{⋅}P\{\cdot\}P{⋅}.

Both Orlicz norms are defined locally, as genuine infima matching Definitions 2.5.6 and 2.7.5 verbatim (subgaussianNorm, subexponentialNorm, each sInf {t > 0 : Integrable (fun ω => E[...]) P ∧ E[...] ≤ 2}), rather than reused from Mathlib's HasSubgaussianMGF (Mathlib.Probability.Moments.SubGaussian). The Integrable conjunct is not optional dressing: Mathlib's Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is 0 by convention, so a bare E[...] ≤ 2 (without asserting integrability) would be satisfied by every t for which the moment is actually infinite, collapsing the sub-gaussian norm of a standard Gaussian (and, symmetrically, the sub-exponential norm of any heavy-tailed variable) to 0 — a trivializing formalization the mission was moderated to rule out. The same Integrable conjunct appears in every moment hypothesis (general_hoeffding, bernstein_unweighted, bernstein_weighted): ∃ s > 0, Integrable (...) P ∧ ∫ ... ≤ 2, so that the hypothesis is not satisfied vacuously by non-integrable exponential moments either. HasSubgaussianMGF bounds the moment generating function directly with a variance-proxy parameter σ2\sigma^2σ2 (E exp(tX) ≤ exp(c t²/2)), which is a different object definitionally from the Orlicz ψ2\psi_2ψ2​ norm — equivalent up to a constant factor by the book's own Proposition 2.5.2, but not interchangeable without restating that equivalence — and Mathlib has no sub-exponential analogue at all. Since the goal theorem and two of its milestones need the sub-exponential norm, one consistent convention (the book's own Orlicz norms) is used for both ψ1\psi_1ψ1​ and ψ2\psi_2ψ2​ throughout the mission, rather than mixing Mathlib's MGF-based sub-gaussian convention with a locally defined sub-exponential one.

Every occurrence of the book's "ccc is an absolute constant" is formalized as a genuine existential quantifier fixed before the random variables, the vector a, and t are introduced: ∃ c : ℝ, 0 < c ∧ ∀ ..., P.real {...} ≤ 2 * Real.exp (-(c * ...)). No numeral is substituted for c anywhere; a solver's proof may use any positive constant it can establish, exactly mirroring the book's own non-constructive existence claims. The trivializing formalization this rules out is fixing c to a specific small numeral (which would be a strictly stronger, easier, and unfaithful claim) or, in the other direction, weakening the statement by allowing c to depend on N, the XiX_iXi​, a, or t (which would make the theorem vacuous, since any such bound trivially holds for a small enough ccc depending on the instance).

Chernoff's inequality (Theorem 2.3.1) needs no Orlicz norm — Bernoulli parameters pip_ipi​ are given directly via P.real {X i = 1} = p i ∧ P.real {X i = 0} = 1 - p i, and the conclusion uses Real.rpow (^ on ℝ → ℝ → ℝ) for the real exponent ttt in (eμ/t)t(e\mu/t)^t(eμ/t)t. Hoeffding's inequality for symmetric Bernoulli variables (Theorem 2.2.2) is likewise self-contained, needing only the two-point probability hypothesis defining the Rademacher distribution.

Selected references

  • W. Hoeffding, Probability Inequalities for Sums of Bounded Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58(301), 1963. https://doi.org/10.2307/2282952
  • S. Bernstein, The Theory of Probabilities, Gastehizdat Publishing House, Moscow, 1946 (Russian; the inequality is due to Bernstein's earlier 1920s–1930s work, this textbook states the modern sub-exponential form following later expositions).
  • A. C. Berry, The Accuracy of the Gaussian Approximation to the Sum of Independent Variates, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 49(1), 1941. https://doi.org/10.2307/1990053
  • C.-G. Esseen, On the Liapunoff Limit of Error in the Theory of Probability, Arkiv för Matematik, Astronomi och Fysik A28, 1942.
  • R. Vershynin, High-Dimensional Probability: An Introduction with Applications in Data Science, Cambridge University Press, 2018, Chapter 2. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108231596
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High-Dimensional Probability I: Approximate Carathéodory's TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Many arguments in high-dimensional geometry, statistics and computer science need to approximate a point of a convex set by an average of a handful of extreme points, rather than represent it exactly. The classical Carathéodory theorem (1907) answers the exact question: every point of the convex hull of a set T⊆RnT \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nT⊆Rn is a convex combination of at most n+1n+1n+1 points of TTT. That bound is tight and grows with the dimension nnn, which makes it useless whenever nnn is large — exactly the regime of interest in high-dimensional probability.

B. Maurey's empirical method — an unpublished 1980–81 result reported by G. Pisier, "Remarques sur un résultat non publié de B. Maurey," Séminaire d'Analyse Fonctionnelle 1980–1981 — and later applied by B. Carl to bound covering numbers of operators between Banach spaces (Inequalities of Bernstein-Jackson-type and the degree of compactness of operators in Banach spaces, Ann. Inst. Fourier 35(3), 1985, 79–118), replaces the exact question with an approximate one and removes the dimension dependence entirely: to approximate xxx to accuracy ε\varepsilonε, the number of points needed depends only on ε\varepsilonε, never on nnn. Vershynin's High-Dimensional Probability opens with this result as its "Appetizer," using it to illustrate the book's central theme — that randomness is a tool for constructing deterministic combinatorial objects — before any probabilistic machinery has been introduced.

Setting

A convex combination of finitely many points z1,…,zm∈Rnz_1, \dots, z_m \in \mathbb{R}^nz1​,…,zm​∈Rn is a sum ∑i=1mλizi\sum_{i=1}^m \lambda_i z_i∑i=1m​λi​zi​ with λi≥0\lambda_i \ge 0λi​≥0 and ∑iλi=1\sum_i \lambda_i = 1∑i​λi​=1. The convex hull conv⁡(T)\operatorname{conv}(T)conv(T) of a set T⊆RnT \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nT⊆Rn is the set of all convex combinations of all finite collections of points of TTT. The diameter of TTT is diam⁡(T)=sup⁡{∥s−t∥2:s,t∈T}\operatorname{diam}(T) = \sup\{\|s-t\|_2 : s, t \in T\}diam(T)=sup{∥s−t∥2​:s,t∈T}, the Euclidean norm throughout.

The classical Carathéodory theorem states that every x∈conv⁡(T)x \in \operatorname{conv}(T)x∈conv(T) is a convex combination of at most n+1n+1n+1 points of TTT — with n+1n+1n+1 generally unavoidable, attained by a simplex. The question this mission answers is different: given that we are willing to approximate xxx rather than represent it exactly, and willing to use only combinations with equal coefficients 1/k1/k1/k (an average of kkk points, with repetition allowed), how large must kkk be as a function of the desired accuracy?

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 0.0.2, Approximate Carathéodory's theorem

diam(T)≤1, x∈conv⁡(T), k∈Z>0 ⟹ ∃ x1,…,xk∈T:∥x−1k∑j=1kxj∥2≤1k.\text{diam}(T) \le 1,\ x \in \operatorname{conv}(T),\ k \in \mathbb{Z}_{>0} \ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, x_1,\dots,x_k \in T:\quad \left\| x - \frac{1}{k}\sum_{j=1}^{k} x_j \right\|_2 \le \frac{1}{\sqrt{k}}.diam(T)≤1, x∈conv(T), k∈Z>0​ ⟹ ∃x1​,…,xk​∈T:​x−k1​j=1∑k​xj​​2​≤k​1​.

The quantifiers are exactly this order: for every bounded TTT, every point of its convex hull, and every target kkk, such an averaging set exists. This is the weakest stable statement carrying the theorem's content — the number of points kkk does not depend on the dimension nnn, and the coefficients are forced to be uniform — and it is the form the corollary below invokes directly.

Milestone — Corollary 0.0.4, Covering polytopes by balls

P=conv⁡(T), ∣T∣=N, diam⁡(P)≤1, ε>0 ⟹ ∃ C, ∣C∣≤N⌈1/ε2⌉:P⊆⋃c∈CB‾(c,ε).P = \operatorname{conv}(T),\ |T| = N,\ \operatorname{diam}(P) \le 1,\ \varepsilon > 0 \ \Longrightarrow\ \exists\, C,\ |C| \le N^{\lceil 1/\varepsilon^2 \rceil}:\quad P \subseteq \bigcup_{c \in C} \overline{B}(c, \varepsilon).P=conv(T), ∣T∣=N, diam(P)≤1, ε>0 ⟹ ∃C, ∣C∣≤N⌈1/ε2⌉:P⊆c∈C⋃​B(c,ε).

This is a direct application of the goal to computational geometry's covering problem: how many balls of radius ε\varepsilonε are needed to cover a polytope, and where should they be centered.

Significance

The result itself. The approximate Carathéodory theorem is the prototype of a dimension-free approximation result: whenever a set is bounded, a fixed number of points (depending only on the target accuracy, not the ambient dimension) suffices to approximate any point of its convex hull. This is what makes possible dimension-independent covering-number bounds such as Corollary 0.0.4, which in turn are the starting point for the book's later treatment of entropy, packing and generic chaining (Chapters 4, 7–8). The technique generalizes far beyond Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn: it underlies covering-number bounds for operators between Banach spaces (Carl's original application) and is a recurring device in learning theory for bounding the size of an ε\varepsilonε-net of a hypothesis class.

Formalizing it. Both results are elementary and already fully proved in the literature; no open mathematical content remains. What this mission contributes is a machine-checked, faithful Lean statement of Maurey's construction and its corollary, phrased over Mathlib's existing convex-hull and metric-diameter machinery, so that later missions in this series (concentration inequalities, Johnson–Lindenstrauss, chaining) can build on a verified base case of "probability constructs a deterministic covering," and so that the empirical method itself becomes a reusable, linked component on the platform. The proof of the goal (via the probabilistic argument sketched by the book: interpret a convex combination as a probability distribution, average kkk i.i.d. samples, and bound the variance) is left open for solvers.

Difficulty

The identity that makes the proof work — averaging kkk independent copies of a random vector concentrates around its mean at rate 1/k1/\sqrt{k}1/k​ in mean-square — is a two-line computation once the convex combination is reinterpreted probabilistically. The step that is easy to miss is this reinterpretation itself: nothing in the statement mentions probability, so the "obvious" attack of manipulating the convex-combination weights directly, or trying to construct x1,…,xkx_1,\dots,x_kx1​,…,xk​ by some explicit combinatorial recipe, does not see a path to a bound independent of nnn. The probabilistic argument produces the points non-constructively, via an averaging/existence argument (the expected squared distance is small, so some realization achieves it) rather than an explicit formula — a solver has to introduce a probability space and a random vector that does not appear anywhere in the formal statement to be proved.

Formalization scope

Both results are stated over EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) for an explicit dimension n : ℕ, so ‖·‖ is the Euclidean norm and Mathlib's Metric.diam is used directly for diam⁡(T)=sup⁡{∥s−t∥2}\operatorname{diam}(T) = \sup\{\|s-t\|_2\}diam(T)=sup{∥s−t∥2​}. The convex hull is Mathlib's convexHull ℝ T; by Mathlib's convexHull_eq, this already coincides with the book's own definition of a convex combination of finitely many points of TTT, so no bespoke convex-combination definition is introduced — this mission needs no supporting definitions of its own. In the corollary, "a polytope PPP with NNN vertices" is formalized, following the book's own proof, as P=conv⁡(T)P = \operatorname{conv}(T)P=conv(T) for a finite vertex set TTT with #T=N\#T = N#T=N, rather than via a separate Polytope structure (which Mathlib does not provide and the book's argument does not need). The covering bound N⌈1/ε2⌉N^{\lceil 1/\varepsilon^2\rceil}N⌈1/ε2⌉ is an exponent, not a product with NNN — matching the book's own proof, which counts the NkN^kNk ordered kkk-tuples of vertices with repetition, k:=⌈1/ε2⌉k := \lceil 1/\varepsilon^2\rceilk:=⌈1/ε2⌉; the typeset "N⌈1/ε2⌉N\lceil 1/\varepsilon^2\rceilN⌈1/ε2⌉" in the corollary statement is the same juxtaposition-as-exponent notation the proof uses for "NkN^kNk" one line earlier.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly: the goal must hold for every integer k>0k > 0k>0 and every x∈conv⁡(T)x \in \operatorname{conv}(T)x∈conv(T), not merely some convenient choice — e.g. k=1k = 1k=1 together with x∈Tx \in Tx∈T trivially satisfies the inequality but proves nothing about the theorem's actual content, that a fixed, dimension-independent kkk works uniformly over all points of the hull. The formal statement quantifies TTT, then xxx, then kkk, and only then asserts existence of the x1,…,xkx_1,\dots,x_kx1​,…,xk​, exactly in that order.

Classical Carathéodory (Theorem 0.0.1, stated for context in the source but not used by either formalized result's proof) is not drafted here: Mathlib already proves the corresponding statement via affine independence (Caratheodory.eq_pos_convex_span_of_mem_convexHull, Analysis/Convex/Caratheodory.lean), from which the book's "n+1n+1n+1 points" bound follows via AffineIndependent.card_le_finrank_succ. It is not added as a kind: reference milestone because no corresponding theorem is yet published on the Prove2Me platform to point at (checked 2026-09-17: GET /theorems?q=Caratheodory returns only unrelated tropical-convexity results), and re-drafting existing Mathlib content as a new platform theorem would duplicate rather than reuse it.

Selected references

  • R. Vershynin, High-Dimensional Probability: An Introduction with Applications in Data Science, Cambridge University Press, 2018, DOI 10.1017/9781108231596, Appetizer (pp. 1–5).
  • G. Pisier, "Remarques sur un résultat non publié de B. Maurey," Séminaire d'Analyse Fonctionnelle (Maurey–Schwartz), 1980–1981, exposé no. 5. numdam.org/item/SAF_1980-1981____A5_0
  • B. Carl, "Inequalities of Bernstein-Jackson-type and the degree of compactness of operators in Banach spaces," Annales de l'Institut Fourier, 35(3), 1985, 79–118. numdam.org/item/AIF_1985__35_3_79_0
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Supermodularity and Complementarity I: Lattices and the Tarski-Zhou Fixed Point TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Many results in economics and operations research reduce to a single question: does a system of interacting, mutually reinforcing choices settle at an equilibrium? A firm choosing input levels that are complements, a Cournot duopoly whose best responses move together, a matching market where agents' preferences reinforce assortative pairings — each is a fixed-point problem, but classical fixed-point theory (Brouwer, Kakutani) asks for convexity and continuity that these problems rarely have. Tarski's fixed point theorem [1955] showed that order, not topology, suffices: every increasing (monotone) self-map of a nonempty complete lattice has a fixed point, and the fixed points themselves form a nonempty complete lattice, with no continuity or convexity assumed at all. Zhou [1994] extended this from single-valued functions to set-valued correspondences, which is what is needed once "best response" becomes "the (possibly non-unique) set of optimizers." This mission formalizes Zhou's theorem (Topkis's Theorem 2.5.1) together with its parametric extension (Theorem 2.5.2), the two capstones of the lattice-theoretic toolkit that the rest of Topkis's monograph — and, within this series, its mission on supermodular games (Supermodularity and Complementarity V) — builds on directly.

Setting

A lattice (X,⪯)(X, \preceq)(X,⪯) is a partially ordered set in which every pair of elements x,yx, yx,y has a join x∨yx \vee yx∨y (least upper bound) and a meet x∧yx \wedge yx∧y (greatest lower bound). XXX is a complete lattice if every subset (not just every pair) has a supremum and an infimum in XXX; a nonempty complete lattice always has a greatest element ⊤\top⊤ and a least element ⊥\bot⊥.

To compare sets of points — not just points — Topkis defines the induced set ordering ⊑\sqsubseteq⊑: for A,B⊆XA, B \subseteq XA,B⊆X, A⊑BA \sqsubseteq BA⊑B holds when every a∈Aa \in Aa∈A and b∈Bb \in Bb∈B satisfy a∧b∈Aa \wedge b \in Aa∧b∈A and a∨b∈Ba \vee b \in Ba∨b∈B. Restricted to singletons, {a}⊑{b}\{a\} \sqsubseteq \{b\}{a}⊑{b} says exactly a⪯ba \preceq ba⪯b, so ⊑\sqsubseteq⊑ is the natural extension of ⪯\preceq⪯ from points to sets, and it is the order with respect to which set-valued maps (correspondences) Y:X→P(X)Y : X \to \mathcal{P}(X)Y:X→P(X) are called increasing: x⪯x′x \preceq x'x⪯x′ implies Y(x)⊑Y(x′)Y(x) \sqsubseteq Y(x')Y(x)⊑Y(x′).

A subset S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X is a sublattice if it is closed under the binary join and meet of XXX. SSS is subcomplete if, more strongly, the supremum and infimum in XXX of every nonempty subset of SSS exist and lie in SSS — so a subcomplete sublattice is itself a complete lattice under the order it inherits. A point x∈Xx \in Xx∈X is a fixed point of a correspondence YYY if x∈Y(x)x \in Y(x)x∈Y(x).

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 2.5.1 (Zhou's fixed point theorem)

Let XXX be a nonempty complete lattice and Y:X→P(X)Y : X \to \mathcal{P}(X)Y:X→P(X) an increasing correspondence with Y(x)Y(x)Y(x) subcomplete for every xxx. Then:

x\*=sup⁡{x∈X:Y(x)∩[x,∞)≠∅}is the greatest fixed point of Y,x^\* = \sup\{x \in X : Y(x) \cap [x,\infty) \neq \emptyset\} \quad\text{is the greatest fixed point of } Y,x\*=sup{x∈X:Y(x)∩[x,∞)=∅}is the greatest fixed point of Y, x\*=inf⁡{x∈X:Y(x)∩(−∞,x]≠∅}is the least fixed point of Y,x_\* = \inf\{x \in X : Y(x) \cap (-\infty,x] \neq \emptyset\} \quad\text{is the least fixed point of } Y,x\*​=inf{x∈X:Y(x)∩(−∞,x]=∅}is the least fixed point of Y,

and the set of fixed points of YYY, under its inherited order, is itself a nonempty complete lattice.

Theorem 2.5.2 (the parametric extension)

Let TTT be a partially ordered set and Y(x,t)Y(x,t)Y(x,t) a jointly increasing, subcomplete-valued correspondence on X×TX \times TX×T. Then for each ttt the greatest and least fixed points g(t)g(t)g(t), l(t)l(t)l(t) of Y(⋅,t)Y(\cdot, t)Y(⋅,t) exist and are increasing functions of ttt; under the further hypothesis that sup⁡Y(x′,t′)≺inf⁡Y(x′,t′′)\sup Y(x',t') \prec \inf Y(x',t'')supY(x′,t′)≺infY(x′,t′′) whenever t′≺t′′t' \prec t''t′≺t′′, both become strictly increasing in ttt. This is the theorem that gives comparative statics their bite: it says an equilibrium moves monotonically — even strictly — as a parameter of the underlying system changes.

Two supporting results are formalized as milestones because Theorem 2.5.1's own proof invokes them directly: Lemma 2.4.2 (supremum and infimum are monotone under ⊑\sqsubseteq⊑, whenever they exist) and Theorem 2.4.2 (an intersection of increasing correspondences, if it stays nonempty, is itself increasing).

Significance

The result itself. Tarski–Zhou is the order-theoretic alternative to Brouwer–Kakutani: where the latter needs a convex, compact strategy space and a continuous map, Tarski–Zhou needs only a lattice order and monotonicity, and it delivers something Brouwer–Kakutani does not — a greatest and a least fixed point, with an explicit order-theoretic formula for each, and the guarantee that the whole fixed-point set is a complete lattice in its own right. This is exactly the machinery behind existence proofs for supermodular games (Topkis's own Theorem 4.2.1, where the fixed points of the best-response correspondence are the pure-strategy Nash equilibria) and behind monotone comparative statics more broadly (Milgrom–Roberts [1994], of which Theorem 2.5.2 is a strict generalization to correspondences).

Formalizing it. Mathlib already has Tarski's theorem for single-valued monotone functions (OrderHom.lfp/gfp, fixedPoints.completeLattice, Knaster–Tarski). Nothing in Mathlib currently proves it for set-valued correspondences: this mission is a genuine strengthening of existing formalized mathematics, not a restatement of it, and it introduces the induced set ordering and subcompleteness — reused throughout the rest of this book's mission series — for the first time.

Difficulty

The natural first idea — "apply Knaster–Tarski to some selection function built from YYY" — fails because there is no canonical way to select a single point from each Y(x)Y(x)Y(x) that remains monotone without already knowing the theorem: an arbitrary selection from an increasing correspondence need not itself be increasing (this is exactly the subtlety Topkis's Theorem 2.4.3 addresses only for correspondences with a greatest/least element). The real argument instead builds the candidate fixed point directly as a supremum over an auxiliary set {x:Y(x)∩[x,∞)≠∅}\{x : Y(x) \cap [x,\infty) \neq \emptyset\}{x:Y(x)∩[x,∞)=∅} and establishes it is a fixed point using the monotonicity lemma (Lemma 2.4.2) at each step — no selection is ever made. A second subtlety is that the fixed-point set is not, in general, a sublattice of XXX: Topkis's Example 2.5.1 exhibits an increasing self-map of [0,3]2⊂R2[0,3]^2 \subset \mathbb{R}^2[0,3]2⊂R2 whose four fixed points are not closed under ∨\vee∨/∧\wedge∧. Part (b)'s claim that the fixed points form their own complete lattice must therefore be proved without ever assuming, or implying, that ambient joins and meets of fixed points are again fixed points.

Formalization scope

XXX is formalized as an abstract CompleteLattice, not ℝⁿ — the theorem is genuinely about order, and specializing to RnℝⁿRn would hide exactly the generality Zhou's result adds over finite-dimensional fixed-point theorems. The induced set ordering InducedSetOrder and the predicate Subcomplete are defined once in this mission and reused by every later mission in the series that reasons about correspondences ordered by ⊑\sqsubseteq⊑. A formalization that replaced the correspondence YYY by a single-valued function would trivialize the mission into a restatement of Mathlib's existing Knaster–Tarski theorem; the set-valued, subcomplete-ranged correspondence is not an optional generality but the entire content being added. Part (b) of Theorem 2.5.1 is formalized as a completeness statement about the induced order on the fixed-point set itself — not as a claim that the fixed-point set is closed under XXX's ambient join and meet, which Example 2.5.1 refutes. "Partially ordered set" throughout is Lean's PartialOrder, matching the book's own usage in Chapter 2.

Selected references

  • Tarski, A., A lattice-theoretical fixpoint theorem and its applications, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 5(2), 1955, pp. 285–309. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1955.5.285
  • Zhou, L., The set of Nash equilibria of a supermodular game is a complete lattice, Games and Economic Behavior 7(2), 1994, pp. 295–300. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1994.1051
  • Milgrom, P. and Roberts, J., Comparing equilibria, American Economic Review 84(3), 1994, pp. 441–459. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2118061
  • Topkis, D. M., Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 2011 (DOI 10.1515/9781400822539), Chapter 2, §2.2–2.5.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningReinforcement Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Foundations of Reinforcement Learning II: Contextual Bandits and Inverse Gap WeightingTextbook

Motivation

Decision-making problems rarely present the same fixed choice twice. A doctor prescribing a treatment sees each patient's medical history and symptoms before deciding; a website choosing which article to show sees the visitor's profile first. The multi-armed bandit model — where the learner repeatedly picks from a fixed set of arms with no side information — cannot express this: it is blind to the covariates that any real decision-maker actually observes. The contextual bandit model closes this gap by letting the learner see a context before acting, and asks for a decision rule that generalizes across contexts rather than memorizing a policy per context. Foster and Rakhlin's Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making (arXiv:2312.16730v1, Section 3, pp. 38–53) develops this model and its algorithms as the bridge between supervised learning and sequential decision making, en route to general reinforcement learning. Contextual bandits with a learned reward-function class underlie production systems for content recommendation, online advertising, and adaptive clinical trial design (Li et al., A Contextual-Bandit Approach to Personalized News Article Recommendation, 2010, https://arxiv.org/abs/1003.0146; Agarwal et al., Making Contextual Decisions with Low Technical Debt, 2016, https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.03966).

The algorithmic history in this chapter runs through two distinct principles. The optimism principle (LinUCB, Section 3.2) generalizes the UCB algorithm to contexts under a linear reward model, but the chapter's own Example 3.1 (Section 3.3) shows optimism fails outside such structured classes, incurring regret linear in the size of the context space or the class. Foster and Rakhlin then present two "black-box" alternatives that use any function class FFF through an abstract regression subroutine: the naive ε\varepsilonε-Greedy method (Section 3.4), and the Inverse Gap Weighting (IGW) strategy underlying the SquareCB algorithm (Bietti, Agarwal & Langford, A Contextual Bandit Bake-off, 2018, https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.04064; Foster & Rakhlin, Beyond UCB: Optimal and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Regression Oracles, 2020, https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.04926). SquareCB attains a regret rate that both generalizes across contexts (no dependence on the size of the context space) and matches the optimal T\sqrt{T}T​ rate — improving on ε\varepsilonε-Greedy's T2/3T^{2/3}T2/3 rate — while remaining agnostic to the internal structure of FFF.

Setting

Over TTT rounds, a decision-maker faces the contextual bandit protocol: at each round ttt, it observes a context xt∈Xx_t \in Xxt​∈X, selects a decision πt\pi_tπt​ from a finite action set Π={1,…,A}\Pi = \{1,\dots,A\}Π={1,…,A}, and observes a reward rt∈Rr_t \in \mathbb{R}rt​∈R. Rewards are generated independently as rt∼M⋆(⋅∣xt,πt)r_t \sim M^\star(\cdot \mid x_t, \pi_t)rt​∼M⋆(⋅∣xt​,πt​) for a fixed, unknown conditional model M⋆M^\starM⋆; write f⋆(x,π):=E[r∣x,π]f^\star(x,\pi) := \mathbb{E}[r \mid x, \pi]f⋆(x,π):=E[r∣x,π] for the mean reward function and π⋆(x):=arg⁡max⁡πf⋆(x,π)\pi^\star(x) := \arg\max_\pi f^\star(x,\pi)π⋆(x):=argmaxπ​f⋆(x,π) for the optimal, context-dependent policy. The context sequence x1,…,xTx_1,\dots,x_Tx1​,…,xT​ is arbitrary — fixed in advance or adversarially chosen — while rewards remain stochastic. Performance is measured by regret against π⋆\pi^\starπ⋆:

Reg:=∑t=1Tf⋆(xt,π⋆(xt))−∑t=1TEπt∼pt[f⋆(xt,πt)],\mathrm{Reg} := \sum_{t=1}^T f^\star(x_t,\pi^\star(x_t)) - \sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb{E}_{\pi_t\sim p_t}[f^\star(x_t,\pi_t)],Reg:=t=1∑T​f⋆(xt​,π⋆(xt​))−t=1∑T​Eπt​∼pt​​[f⋆(xt​,πt​)],

where ptp_tpt​ is the learner's (possibly randomized) action distribution at round ttt.

To generalize across contexts, the learner is given a class F⊆{f:X×Π→R}F \subseteq \{f : X\times\Pi \to \mathbb{R}\}F⊆{f:X×Π→R} with f⋆∈Ff^\star \in Ff⋆∈F, and aims for regret scaling with the statistical complexity log⁡∣F∣\log|F|log∣F∣ rather than with ∣X∣|X|∣X∣. Both algorithms in this mission access FFF only through an online regression oracle (Definition 3, p. 47): given the history (x1,π1,r1),…,(xt−1,πt−1,rt−1)(x_1,\pi_1,r_1),\dots,(x_{t-1},\pi_{t-1},r_{t-1})(x1​,π1​,r1​),…,(xt−1​,πt−1​,rt−1​), it returns an estimate f^t:X×Π→R\hat f_t : X\times\Pi\to\mathbb{R}f^​t​:X×Π→R satisfying, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, ∑t=1TEπt∼pt[(f^t(xt,πt)−f⋆(xt,πt))2]≤EstSq(F,T,δ)\sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb{E}_{\pi_t\sim p_t}[(\hat f_t(x_t,\pi_t)-f^\star(x_t,\pi_t))^2] \le \mathrm{EstSq}(F,T,\delta)∑t=1T​Eπt​∼pt​​[(f^​t​(xt​,πt​)−f⋆(xt​,πt​))2]≤EstSq(F,T,δ) — for instance, exponential weights on a finite class FFF achieves EstSq(F,T,δ)=log⁡(∣F∣/δ)\mathrm{EstSq}(F,T,\delta) = \log(|F|/\delta)EstSq(F,T,δ)=log(∣F∣/δ). SquareCB (p. 50–51) then samples its action from the Inverse Gap Weighting distribution (Definition 4, p. 50): given a vector of estimated values f^∈RA\hat f \in \mathbb{R}^Af^​∈RA with greedy action πˉ=arg⁡max⁡πf^(π)\bar\pi = \arg\max_\pi \hat f(\pi)πˉ=argmaxπ​f^​(π), and an exploration parameter γ≥0\gamma \ge 0γ≥0, p=IGWγ(f^)p = \mathrm{IGW}_\gamma(\hat f)p=IGWγ​(f^​) is p(π)=1/(λ+2γ(f^(πˉ)−f^(π)))p(\pi) = 1/(\lambda + 2\gamma(\hat f(\bar\pi)-\hat f(\pi)))p(π)=1/(λ+2γ(f^​(πˉ)−f^​(π))) for the unique λ∈[1,A]\lambda \in [1,A]λ∈[1,A] making ppp a probability distribution.

Formalization targets

Milestone — Proposition 9 (IGW estimation-to-regret inequality)

Eπ∼p[f⋆(π⋆)−f⋆(π)]≤Aγ+γ⋅Eπ∼p[(f^(π)−f⋆(π))2],p=IGWγ(f^).\mathbb{E}_{\pi\sim p}[f^\star(\pi^\star)-f^\star(\pi)] \le \frac{A}{\gamma} + \gamma\cdot\mathbb{E}_{\pi\sim p}[(\hat f(\pi)-f^\star(\pi))^2], \qquad p = \mathrm{IGW}_\gamma(\hat f).Eπ∼p​[f⋆(π⋆)−f⋆(π)]≤γA​+γ⋅Eπ∼p​[(f^​(π)−f⋆(π))2],p=IGWγ​(f^​).

This holds for any f^,f⋆∈RA\hat f, f^\star \in \mathbb{R}^Af^​,f⋆∈RA and any γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, with no reference to FFF or to how f^\hat ff^​ was produced — it is the purely algebraic core the goal theorem invokes at every round.

Goal — Proposition 10 (SquareCB regret bound)

Reg≤2A T EstSq(F,T,δ)\mathrm{Reg} \le 2\sqrt{A\,T\,\mathrm{EstSq}(F,T,\delta)}Reg≤2ATEstSq(F,T,δ)​

with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for SquareCB run with γ=TA/EstSq(F,T,δ)\gamma = \sqrt{TA/\mathrm{EstSq}(F,T,\delta)}γ=TA/EstSq(F,T,δ)​, for any context sequence x1,…,xTx_1,\dots,x_Tx1​,…,xT​. This is the weakest stable target level in the chapter's oracle-based development: it is stated for an arbitrary class FFF and oracle, so it survives any future improvement to the oracle's own EstSq\mathrm{EstSq}EstSq bound, unlike a version hard-coded to a specific class or oracle.

Significance

Proposition 10 shows that Inverse Gap Weighting converts any estimation-error guarantee into a regret guarantee with the same statistical rate, with no algorithm-side dependence on the structure of FFF or the size of XXX: the same SquareCB template, driven by a plug-in regression oracle, is minimax optimal whenever the oracle itself is. When FFF is finite, this yields Reg≲ATlog⁡(∣F∣/δ)\mathrm{Reg} \lesssim \sqrt{AT\log(|F|/\delta)}Reg≲ATlog(∣F∣/δ)​, matching the optimal rate for stochastic multi-armed bandits (Section 2) while generalizing across contexts — a guarantee that optimism (Proposition 7) provably cannot deliver outside linear classes (Example 3.1), and that the simpler ε\varepsilonε-Greedy baseline (Proposition 8) only delivers at a slower T2/3T^{2/3}T2/3 rate. Foster and Rakhlin describe Proposition 9 itself as being "at the core of the development for the rest of the course": the same IGW mechanism reappears, generalized, in the book's treatment of general decision-making and the Decision-Estimation Coefficient.

Both propositions are proved results, not open questions; this mission's contribution is a machine-checked formalization of their exact statements and hypotheses — the precise OracleGuarantee hypothesis Proposition 10 requires, the exact constant (222, not a bare ≲\lesssim≲) its proof yields at the stated optimal γ\gammaγ, and the universally-quantified form of the IGW inequality (Proposition 9) that makes it reusable independently of any particular oracle or class.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea for exploiting an estimator f^t\hat f_tf^​t​ is a UCB-style optimism approach: build a confidence set around f^t\hat f_tf^​t​ and act greedily on its upper envelope, as in LinUCB (Proposition 7). Example 3.1 shows this fails in general: a class FFF can force the confidence set to remain wide on a fresh action at every new context, driving regret linear in min⁡{∣F∣,∣X∣}\min\{|F|,|X|\}min{∣F∣,∣X∣} — the confidence width in the regret bound does not shrink merely because the oracle's cumulative estimation error is small, since that error is not localized to the specific action the confidence-set approach tries next. Uniform exploration (ε\varepsilonε-Greedy) sidesteps this but wastes exploration budget on actions already known to be far from optimal, which is what caps its rate at T2/3T^{2/3}T2/3 (Proposition 8). Inverse Gap Weighting instead ties the sampling probability itself to the estimated gap from the greedy action, so cheap-to-rule-out actions are down-weighted continuously rather than either fully explored (ε-Greedy) or trusted outright (optimism); the technical content of Proposition 9 is showing this specific reciprocal-gap form gives a bound with no hidden dependence on FFF or XXX, for every pair (f^,f⋆)(\hat f, f^\star)(f^​,f⋆) simultaneously — a guarantee optimism cannot match because its confidence sets are class-dependent by construction.

Formalization scope

Contexts form an arbitrary type X; actions are Fin A for A : ℕ. A finite probability distribution over Fin A is represented directly as p : Fin A → ℝ with ∀ π, 0 ≤ p π and ∑ π, p π = 1, and Eπ∼p[g]\mathbb{E}_{\pi\sim p}[g]Eπ∼p​[g] as the finite sum ∑ π, p π * g π, rather than via Mathlib's PMF (which is ℝ≥0∞-valued) — an equivalent and lighter-weight representation of a distribution on a finite type. The normalizing constant λ\lambdaλ of Definition 4 and the optimal actions π⋆\pi^\starπ⋆, πˉ\bar\piπˉ are each specified by their defining property (existence of λ∈[1,A]\lambda \in [1,A]λ∈[1,A] realizing the IGW formula; ∀π,f(π)≤f(argmax)\forall\pi, f(\pi)\le f(\text{argmax})∀π,f(π)≤f(argmax)) rather than constructed explicitly via an intermediate-value or Finset.argmax argument, avoiding committing to one choice function for a value the book itself leaves implicit. The class FFF enters neither proposition's statement directly: it appears in the source only through the abstract bound EstSq(F,T,δ)\mathrm{EstSq}(F,T,\delta)EstSq(F,T,δ), which is carried as an explicit real-valued parameter and hypothesis (OracleGuarantee) rather than as a literal subset of a function space, since no property of FFF beyond producing this bound is ever used. The probability-(1−δ)(1-\delta)(1−δ) qualifier attached to the online regression oracle's guarantee is likewise the explicit hypothesis OracleGuarantee ... EstSq on a fixed realized run, rather than a statement quantified over an underlying probability space of histories — every subsequent step in both propositions' proofs is deterministic given that this event holds, so this does not weaken either conclusion. A trivializing formalization would fix A=1A=1A=1 (a single ever-optimal action, making both Reg and the IGW inequality vacuous) or take EstSq as an unconstrained free variable with no positivity hypothesis (making γ\gammaγ in Proposition 10 undefined); this mission's statements require 0 < EstSq and leave AAA, TTT, XXX, FFF-via-EstSq fully general.

This mission omits Proposition 7 (LinUCB): its proof rests on an entirely disjoint apparatus (finite linear parameter sets, least-squares confidence sets, the elliptic potential lemma) that neither Proposition 9 nor 10 requires, and Example 3.1 (the failure of optimism) is a worked example rather than a numbered, formalizable claim. It also omits Proposition 8 (ε\varepsilonε-Greedy): the source leaves the optimal ε\varepsilonε unspecified ("choosing ε\varepsilonε appropriately"), and deriving its own optimal value and matching constant independently — rather than reusing the book's own explicit constant, as Rule 7 of this formalization effort requires — was judged too likely to introduce an unfaithful, invented constant within this mission's time budget; both are natural extensions for a follow-up mission or contribution. Reusable infrastructure: the Fin A-indexed finite-distribution convention and the OracleGuarantee/optimal-action-by-property pattern extend directly to any later chapter built on the same online-regression-oracle abstraction.

Selected references

  • Foster, D. J. and Rakhlin, A. Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making. 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16730
  • Foster, D. J. and Rakhlin, A. Beyond UCB: Optimal and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Regression Oracles. ICML 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.04926
  • Bietti, A., Agarwal, A., and Langford, J. A Contextual Bandit Bake-off. JMLR 2021 (arXiv 2018). https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.04064
  • Li, L., Chu, W., Langford, J., and Schapire, R. E. A Contextual-Bandit Approach to Personalized News Article Recommendation. WWW 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/1003.0146
  • Agarwal, A. et al. Making Contextual Decisions with Low Technical Debt. 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.03966
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Foundations of Reinforcement Learning I: Multi-Armed Bandits and the UCB AlgorithmTextbook

Motivation

The multi-armed bandit is the simplest model of sequential decision-making under partial feedback: a learner repeatedly picks one of finitely many options and observes a reward only for the option chosen, never for the alternatives. It formalizes problems ranging from clinical trial design (which treatment to offer a patient) to online advertising (which ad to show) and A/B testing more generally. The framework dates to Robbins' 1952 paper on sequential design, and the algorithm this mission's goal theorem concerns — the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm of Lai and Robbins [1985] and Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer [2002] — is the canonical answer to how to explore efficiently: instead of exploring uniformly at random, act optimistically with respect to the current uncertainty about each option's value. This mission draws its formalization from Chapter 2 of Foster and Rakhlin's 2023 lecture notes, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, which develops the bandit problem as the first rung of a ladder of increasingly general interactive decision-making settings (contextual bandits, structured bandits, reinforcement learning) that the book's later chapters build.

Setting

Fix a finite decision (action) space Π={1,…,A}\Pi = \{1,\dots,A\}Π={1,…,A}. In the multi-armed bandit protocol, for each round t=1,…,Tt = 1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T the learner selects a decision πt∈Π\pi_t \in \Piπt​∈Π, possibly at random according to a distribution ptp_tpt​ depending on the history Ht−1=((π1,r1),…,(πt−1,rt−1))H_{t-1} = ((\pi_1,r_1),\dots,(\pi_{t-1},r_{t-1}))Ht−1​=((π1​,r1​),…,(πt−1​,rt−1​)) observed so far, and then observes a reward rt∈Rr_t \in \mathbb{R}rt​∈R drawn independently from a fixed conditional distribution M⋆(⋅∣πt)M^\star(\cdot \mid \pi_t)M⋆(⋅∣πt​) (the stochastic rewards assumption). Writing f⋆(π):=E[r∣π]f^\star(\pi) := \mathbb{E}[r \mid \pi]f⋆(π):=E[r∣π] for the mean reward function and π⋆:=arg⁡max⁡πf⋆(π)\pi^\star := \arg\max_\pi f^\star(\pi)π⋆:=argmaxπ​f⋆(π) for an optimal decision, the learner's performance is measured by the regret

Reg:=∑t=1Tf⋆(π⋆)−∑t=1TEπt∼pt[f⋆(πt)].\mathrm{Reg} := \sum_{t=1}^T f^\star(\pi^\star) - \sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb{E}_{\pi_t \sim p_t}[f^\star(\pi_t)].Reg:=t=1∑T​f⋆(π⋆)−t=1∑T​Eπt​∼pt​​[f⋆(πt​)].

Because the learner observes a reward only for the action played (bandit feedback), a purely greedy strategy that always plays the current empirical maximizer can commit to a suboptimal action forever, incurring linear regret; some form of deliberate exploration is necessary. The chapter's central construction is the confidence interval: a pair of functions f‾t,fˉt:Π→R\underline{f}_t, \bar f_t : \Pi \to \mathbb{R}f​t​,fˉ​t​:Π→R such that, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, f⋆(π)∈[f‾t(π),fˉt(π)]f^\star(\pi) \in [\underline{f}_t(\pi), \bar f_t(\pi)]f⋆(π)∈[f​t​(π),fˉ​t​(π)] for every round ttt and decision π\piπ simultaneously. The UCB algorithm plays the optimistic action πt=arg⁡max⁡πfˉt(π)\pi_t = \arg\max_\pi \bar f_t(\pi)πt​=argmaxπ​fˉ​t​(π) at every round, using the confidence interval built from Hoeffding's inequality around the empirical mean f^t(π)\hat f_t(\pi)f^​t​(π).

Formalization targets

Goal — Proposition 5 (UCB regret)

Reg  ≲  ATlog⁡(AT/δ)\mathrm{Reg} \;\lesssim\; \sqrt{AT\log(AT/\delta)}Reg≲ATlog(AT/δ)​

holding with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for the UCB algorithm using the confidence radius 2log⁡(2T2A/δ)/nt(π)\sqrt{2\log(2T^2A/\delta)/n_t(\pi)}2log(2T2A/δ)/nt​(π)​ of Eq. (2.19). This is the weakest stable statement the chapter proves: it is optimal up to the log factor, and strengthening it (e.g. to the sharper instance-dependent bound of Remark 10) is explicitly left to later work by the book itself.

Milestones

  • Proposition 4 (ε-Greedy regret): Reg≲A1/3T2/3log⁡1/3(AT/δ)\mathrm{Reg} \lesssim A^{1/3}T^{2/3}\log^{1/3}(AT/\delta)Reg≲A1/3T2/3log1/3(AT/δ) — the book's preceding, weaker result, establishing that naive forced exploration already gives sublinear regret, and motivating why an adaptive strategy (UCB) does better.
  • Lemma 7 (Optimism): the per-round regret of the optimistic action is bounded by the confidence width at that action.
  • Lemma 8 (Confidence width potential lemma): ∑t=1T(1/nt(πt)∧1)≲AT\sum_{t=1}^T (1/\sqrt{n_t(\pi_t)} \wedge 1) \lesssim \sqrt{AT}∑t=1T​(1/nt​(πt​)​∧1)≲AT​, a pigeonhole bound on how often any one action's confidence interval can still be wide.

Significance

UCB is the prototype of the "optimism in the face of uncertainty" principle that recurs, in increasingly abstract form, throughout the rest of the book: the same two-step argument (Lemma 7 + Lemma 8) reappears for linear bandits, structured bandits via the Decision-Estimation Coefficient, and UCB-VI for tabular reinforcement learning. Formalizing Chapter 2 in full therefore front-loads the proof pattern every later chapter in this series specializes. The result itself is also of standalone interest: the AT\sqrt{AT}AT​ minimax rate is the benchmark every subsequent bandit algorithm in the literature is compared against, and the A1/3T2/3A^{1/3}T^{2/3}A1/3T2/3-vs-AT\sqrt{AT}AT​ contrast between ε-Greedy and UCB is the standard illustration, in any course on the subject, of why adaptive exploration matters.

No formalization of this exact statement — realizability with respect to a function class f⋆∈F=RΠf^\star \in \mathcal{F} = \mathbb{R}^\Pif⋆∈F=RΠ and a generic confidence interval, rather than a per-arm sub-Gaussian empirical mean — currently exists on the platform (see Formalization scope below); the mission both proves this specific regret bound and seeds the generic optimism/potential lemma pair (Lemma 7, Lemma 8) that the book's later, more structured settings specialize.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt — bound the regret of the empirical-mean-greedy algorithm directly — fails outright: on a two-armed instance where one arm is deterministic and the other only slightly better in expectation, the greedy algorithm can commit to the worse arm forever with constant probability, giving linear, not sublinear, regret (§2.1). The obvious fix, ε-Greedy, forces exploration uniformly across all actions regardless of how much is already known about each, so the exploration cost scales with εT\varepsilon TεT even for actions whose value is already well determined — this is exactly what caps ε-Greedy at the T2/3T^{2/3}T2/3 rate. UCB's optimism principle resolves this by exploring an action only in proportion to how uncertain it still is; the technical core, isolated in Lemma 7 and Lemma 8, is disentangling "the algorithm made a mistake" from "the algorithm is still uncertain," which are conflated in the naive per-round regret decomposition used for ε-Greedy.

Formalization scope

Both the goal and the milestones fix a finite decision space Fin A, a mean reward function fStar : Fin A → ℝ with fStar π ∈ [0,1], and an optimal decision piStar. Regret is defined generically (Eq. (2.3)) via per-round decision weights p : ℕ → Fin A → ℝ, so it applies uniformly to a randomized algorithm (ε-Greedy) and a deterministic one (UCB, via the point mass at the played action). The book's "with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" qualifier on both Proposition 4 and Proposition 5 is formalized as the deterministic consequence of the underlying concentration event (Eq. (2.9) and Eq. (2.18) respectively) holding — exactly the move the book's own proofs make ("Let us condition on the event in (2.18) ... "). The concentration events themselves rest on Hoeffding's inequality for adaptive stopping times (Lemma 33) and Bernstein's inequality (Lemma 5), both stated in the book's technical appendix outside this chapter, and are not drafted here; a solver may either take them as a hypothesis (as this mission's statements do) or import/prove them separately. A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly: taking δ outside (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), or dropping the fStar π ∈ [0,1] hypothesis, would make the stated constants vacuous or false, so both are retained as explicit hypotheses in every theorem. In every ≲ statement (Prop. 4, Lemma 8, Prop. 5) the witnessed constant C is quantified before the instance parameters (A, T, δ, and the realized sequences): ∃ C, 0 < C ∧ ∀ A T δ ..., Reg ≤ C * (rate), not the other order. This is deliberate, not stylistic: quantifying C after the instance lets it depend on A, T, δ, making the bound satisfiable by an arbitrarily large C chosen per instance and hence content-free, which is not what the book's ≲ means (a single constant working uniformly over all instances). Proposition 5's UCB decision rule is stated in the book's own two clauses, not collapsed into a single "maximize the upper confidence bound" rule: the confidence radius of Eq. (2.19) is +∞+\infty+∞ at nt(π)=0n_t(\pi)=0nt​(π)=0 (an action never yet sampled), so the book's UCB always plays an unsampled action before ever comparing indices, and only compares finite upper confidence bounds once every action has been sampled at least once; the confidence event of Eq. (2.18) is correspondingly assumed only at sampled actions, since the book's own bound is vacuous otherwise. An earlier draft instead capped the radius at 111 when nt(π)=0n_t(\pi)=0nt​(π)=0, which is a true statement about a different algorithm (a sampled action can have index above the capped unsampled index), and was corrected to the book's own rule after moderation. Reuse from the platform's existing bandit library (BanditAlgorithm, Lattimore & Szepesvári) is deliberately avoided: that library's UCB (bandit_ucb_regret_bound, bandit_ucb_minimax_regret_bound) is stated for per-arm 1-sub-Gaussian rewards with δ=1/n2\delta = 1/n^2δ=1/n2 fixed by the horizon, whereas this chapter's UCB is stated for a free failure probability δ\deltaδ and a generic confidence-interval abstraction (the multi-armed case being F=RΠ\mathcal{F} = \mathbb{R}^\PiF=RΠ of the book's general realizability framework) — the two are related but not the same statement. Contributions extending the mission with the generic confidence-interval form of Lemma 7/8 applied to other chapters in this series (contextual and structured bandits) are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Lai and H. Robbins, Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Allocation Rules, Advances in Applied Mathematics, 1985.
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, and P. Fischer, Finite-time Analysis of the Multiarmed Bandit Problem, Machine Learning, 2002.
  • D. Foster and A. Rakhlin, Foundations of Reinforcement Learning and Interactive Decision Making, arXiv:2312.16730, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16730
  • T. Lattimore and C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020.
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Introduction to Stochastic Programming VI: Jensen and Edmundson-Madansky BoundsTextbook

Motivation

Two-stage stochastic programs with recourse require evaluating Q(x)=Eξ[Q(x,ξ)]Q(x) = \mathbb E_\xi[Q(x,\xi)]Q(x)=Eξ​[Q(x,ξ)], the expected value of a recourse function, at every candidate first-stage decision xxx. When ξ\xiξ is high-dimensional or continuously distributed, this expectation is a multivariate integral of a piecewise-linear, generally nondifferentiable integrand, and classical quadrature rules — built for smooth integrands in low dimension — do not apply (Birge & Louveaux, §8.1). What does apply is convexity: Q(x,⋅)Q(x,\cdot)Q(x,⋅) is convex whenever the recourse problem is a linear program in ξ\xiξ, and convexity alone is enough to sandwich Eξ[Q(x,ξ)]\mathbb E_\xi[Q(x,\xi)]Eξ​[Q(x,ξ)] between two computable discrete approximations. This chapter develops that sandwich, and it is the standard device used throughout the stochastic-programming literature to bound and iteratively refine the recourse function: the lower bound goes back to Jensen [1906]; the upper bound is due to Edmundson [1956] and Madansky [1959], with the mean-consistent LP refinement due to Madansky [1960] and Gassmann & Ziemba [1986]. Refinements of both bounds appear in Huang, Ziemba & Ben-Tal [1977], Kall & Stoyan [1982] and Frauendorfer [1988].

Setting

Fix a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) and an integrand g:D×Ξ→Rg : D \times \Xi \to \mathbb Rg:D×Ξ→R, where Ξ⊆E\Xi \subseteq EΞ⊆E is the (convex, closed) support of a random vector ξ:Ω→Ξ\xi : \Omega \to \Xiξ:Ω→Ξ and EEE is a real vector space (in the recourse application, g(x,⋅)=Q(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot) = Q(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅)=Q(x,⋅) and DDD is the first-stage feasible region). Write E(g(x))=Eξ[g(x,ξ)]=∫Ξg(x,ξ) P(dξ)\mathbb E(g(x)) = \mathbb E_\xi[g(x,\xi)] = \int_\Xi g(x,\xi)\, P(d\xi)E(g(x))=Eξ​[g(x,ξ)]=∫Ξ​g(x,ξ)P(dξ).

A partition of Ξ\XiΞ into ν\nuν measurable blocks Sν={S1,…,Sν}S^\nu = \{S_1,\dots,S_\nu\}Sν={S1​,…,Sν​} determines, for each block, its probability pl=P[ξ∈Sl]p_l = P[\xi \in S_l]pl​=P[ξ∈Sl​] and its conditional mean ξl=E[ξ∣Sl]\xi^l = \mathbb E[\xi \mid S_l]ξl=E[ξ∣Sl​]. Equivalently — and this is the convention this mission's Lean development uses — the blocks may be taken directly on the sample space as the pulled-back sets Sl=ξ−1(regionl)⊆ΩS_l = \xi^{-1}(\text{region}_l) \subseteq \OmegaSl​=ξ−1(regionl​)⊆Ω, with pl=P(Sl)p_l = P(S_l)pl​=P(Sl​) and ξl=pl−1∫Slξ dP\xi^l = p_l^{-1}\int_{S_l}\xi\,dPξl=pl−1​∫Sl​​ξdP the Bochner integral average of ξ\xiξ over the block; the two descriptions coincide.

Formalization targets

Goal — Chapter 8, Theorem 1 (Jensen lower bound), p. 346

g(x,⋅) convex on Ξ ⟹ E(g(x)) ≥ ∑l=1νpl g(x,ξl).g(x,\cdot) \text{ convex on } \Xi \ \Longrightarrow\ \mathbb E(g(x)) \ \ge\ \sum_{l=1}^{\nu} p_l\, g(x,\xi^l).g(x,⋅) convex on Ξ ⟹ E(g(x)) ≥ l=1∑ν​pl​g(x,ξl).

This is the sharpest statement the chapter proves for the lower bound: it holds for every finite measurable partition, with no assumption beyond convexity of g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅) and integrability.

Chapter 8, Theorem 2 (Edmundson-Madansky upper bound), pp. 347-348

For Ξ\XiΞ compact, let ext Ξ\mathrm{ext}\,\XiextΞ be the extreme points of co Ξ\mathrm{co}\,\XicoΞ, carrying the Borel field of all its subsets. If, for every ξ∈Ξ\xi \in \Xiξ∈Ξ, φ(ξ,⋅)\varphi(\xi,\cdot)φ(ξ,⋅) is a probability measure on ext Ξ\mathrm{ext}\,\XiextΞ with barycenter ξ\xiξ (i.e. ∫ext Ξe φ(ξ,de)=ξ\int_{\mathrm{ext}\,\Xi} e\,\varphi(\xi,de) = \xi∫extΞ​eφ(ξ,de)=ξ) and ω↦φ(ξ(ω),A)\omega \mapsto \varphi(\xi(\omega), A)ω↦φ(ξ(ω),A) is measurable for every AAA, then

E(g(x)) ≤ ∫ext Ξg(x,e) λ(de),λ(A)=∫Ωφ(ξ(ω),A) P(dω).\mathbb E(g(x)) \ \le\ \int_{\mathrm{ext}\,\Xi} g(x,e)\, \lambda(de), \qquad \lambda(A) = \int_\Omega \varphi(\xi(\omega), A)\, P(d\omega).E(g(x)) ≤ ∫extΞ​g(x,e)λ(de),λ(A)=∫Ω​φ(ξ(ω),A)P(dω).

Together the two targets give the chapter's headline sandwich: for convex g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅), the finite-partition Jensen value and the Edmundson-Madansky value bracket the true expectation, and refining the partition (resp. the disintegration) tightens both sides toward it.

Significance

The Jensen bound is the workhorse of discrete-distribution approximation in stochastic programming: it is what makes Qν(x)=∑lplQ(x,ξl)Q^\nu(x) = \sum_l p_l Q(x,\xi^l)Qν(x)=∑l​pl​Q(x,ξl) a valid, refinable lower-approximation of the true recourse function, and it underlies the partition-refinement schemes (§8.2, following Birge & Wets [1986] and Frauendorfer & Kall [1988]) used inside the LLL-shaped method and separable-programming solvers described later in the chapter (§8.3). The Edmundson-Madansky bound is its indispensable upper counterpart: without it there is no certificate of how far a lower approximation can be from the truth, and the mean-consistent LP refinement (eq. 2.9, not part of this mission) reduces to a moment-problem computation over λ\lambdaλ. Both bounds are, to date, unformalized: the platform holds no theorem matching either a finite-partition conditional-Jensen inequality or an extreme-point disintegration bound (searched GET /theorems?q=... for "Jensen", "conditional expectation", "Edmundson Madansky", "partition convex" — no relevant hits), so this mission is a first formalization of both, not a reformulation of existing platform content. Mathlib supplies the raw convexity substrate this mission is built from — finite Jensen (Analysis/Convex/Jensen.lean) and, critically, the set-average integral Jensen inequality (ConvexOn.map_set_average_le in Analysis/Convex/Integral.lean), exactly the per-block step the book's proof of Theorem 1 performs — but no existing lemma assembles these into the partitioned, conditional-mean statement the book actually states.

Difficulty

The obvious shortcut is to prove "convex functions lie above their tangent line" and stop — this captures no partition structure at all and is not the theorem the book states (the theorem is about Σlplg(x,ξl)\Sigma_l p_l g(x,\xi^l)Σl​pl​g(x,ξl), a sum over blocks, not a single linearization). The real content is bookkeeping across the partition: writing E(g(x))\mathbb E(g(x))E(g(x)) as ∑lP(Sl) E[g(x,ξ)∣Sl]\sum_l P(S_l)\,\mathbb E[g(x,\xi)\mid S_l]∑l​P(Sl​)E[g(x,ξ)∣Sl​] (an exact identity, no convexity needed), then applying ordinary Jensen inside each block to replace E[g(x,ξ)∣Sl]\mathbb E[g(x,\xi)\mid S_l]E[g(x,ξ)∣Sl​] by g(x,ξl)g(x,\xi^l)g(x,ξl) from below — the inequality only enters at the second step, once per block. Proving this in Lean means correctly discharging, for every block, the side conditions Mathlib's integral-Jensen lemma needs (closedness of Ξ\XiΞ, continuity of g(x,⋅)g(x,\cdot)g(x,⋅) on Ξ\XiΞ, integrability on the block) and then summing the ν\nuν per-block inequalities against weights plp_lpl​ that themselves depend on the partition — an easy step to get wrong by, e.g., letting ξl\xi^lξl be an arbitrary point of SlS_lSl​ rather than exactly its conditional mean, which understates what Jensen actually forces. Theorem 2 additionally requires setting up the disintegration λ\lambdaλ correctly: λ\lambdaλ is a probability measure defined as an integral of the kernel-like family φ\varphiφ against P∘ξ−1P\circ\xi^{-1}P∘ξ−1, and both the barycenter condition on φ\varphiφ and the measurability of ω↦φ(ξ(ω),A)\omega \mapsto \varphi(\xi(\omega),A)ω↦φ(ξ(ω),A) are load-bearing — dropping either makes λ\lambdaλ ill-defined or the bound's proof inapplicable.

Formalization scope

Ξ⊆E\Xi \subseteq EΞ⊆E for EEE a complete real normed vector space (NormedAddCommGroup E, NormedSpace ℝ E, CompleteSpace E); no finite-dimensionality is assumed since neither theorem's proof needs it. The parameter xxx ranges over an arbitrary type α\alphaα with D⊆αD \subseteq \alphaD⊆α, and ggg is left as a bare function α → E → ℝ, matching the book's level of abstraction (the recourse LP's own data A,b,c,q,W,T,hA,b,c,q,W,T,hA,b,c,q,W,T,h is never used in either proof).

The partition is formalized directly on the sample space Ω\OmegaΩ (a Partition structure: pairwise-disjoint measurable blocks covering Ω\OmegaΩ, each of positive measure) rather than on Ξ\XiΞ, per the equivalence noted under Setting; ξl\xi^lξl is defined as the Bochner-integral average pl−1∫Slξ dPp_l^{-1}\int_{S_l}\xi\,dPpl−1​∫Sl​​ξdP, so it is forced to be the conditional mean and cannot be weakened to an arbitrary sample point of the block — the change the chunk brief flags as the main faithfulness trap for this chapter.

Two explicit hypotheses are added beyond the book's own statement of Theorem 1, both needed by Mathlib's integral-Jensen lemma rather than narrowings of the mathematical content: ContinuousOn (g x) Ξ (finite-dimensional convex functions are automatically continuous on the interior of their domain, which is what the book implicitly relies on; stated explicitly since EEE is not assumed finite-dimensional) and integrability of ξ\xiξ and of g(x,ξ(⋅))g(x,\xi(\cdot))g(x,ξ(⋅)) (needed for E(g(x))\mathbb E(g(x))E(g(x)) and each ξl\xi^lξl to be well-defined). For Theorem 2, the disintegrating family φ\varphiφ is E → Measure Ext for an abstract type Ext (standing for ext Ξ\mathrm{ext}\,\XiextΞ) with the discrete MeasurableSpace (every subset measurable, matching the book's "Borel field ... the collection of all subsets"), mapped into EEE by an embedding toE whose range is exactly (convexHull ℝ Ξ).extremePoints ℝ; the measure λ\lambdaλ (named μExt in the Lean code, since λ is a reserved keyword) is a hypothesis satisfying its defining equation (2.6) rather than constructed, since constructing a measure from a set function is a separate, book-external piece of measure theory the chapter's own proof does not perform either — it simply asserts λ\lambdaλ is the probability measure with that value on every set.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly: a version that lets ξl\xi^lξl range over an arbitrary point of SlS_lSl​, or that proves only the ordinary (unconditional) Jensen inequality without ever introducing the partition, states something strictly weaker than the book and is not what is formalized here.

Both draft theorems end in := by sorry; a full Lean proof of Theorem 1 combines Mathlib's ConvexOn.map_set_average_le applied per block with the exact decomposition of ∫Ω\int_\Omega∫Ω​ into ∑l∫Sl\sum_l \int_{S_l}∑l​∫Sl​​ over the partition's disjoint, covering blocks. Reusable beyond this mission: the Partition structure and its weight/condMean accessors generalize to any chapter needing a finite measurable partition with conditional means (this book's later approximation schemes, §8.2-8.5 and Chapter 10, all build on the same device). Contributions solving either theorem, or formalizing the partition-refinement monotonicity E(g(x))≥Eν+1(g(x))≥Eν(g(x))\mathbb E(g(x)) \ge \mathbb E^{\nu+1}(g(x)) \ge \mathbb E^\nu(g(x))E(g(x))≥Eν+1(g(x))≥Eν(g(x)) (eq. 2.3, not part of this mission's milestone list since it is not itself a numbered theorem) as a follow-up, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J.R. Birge, F. Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer Series in Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-0237-4
  • J.L.W.V. Jensen, Sur les fonctions convexes et les inégalités entre les valeurs moyennes, Acta Mathematica 30 (1906), 175-193. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02418571
  • H.P. Edmundson, Bounds on the expectation of a convex function of a random variable, The RAND Corporation, Paper 982, 1956.
  • A. Madansky, Bounds on the expectation of a convex function of a multivariate random variable, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 30 (1959), 743-746. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177706207
  • A. Madansky, Inequalities for stochastic linear programming problems, Management Science 6 (1960), 197-204. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.2.197
  • H.I. Gassmann, W.T. Ziemba, A tight upper bound for the expectation of a convex function of a multivariate random variable, Mathematical Programming Study 27 (1986), 39-53. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0121114
  • J.R. Birge, R.J-B. Wets, Designing approximation schemes for stochastic optimization problems, in particular for stochastic programs with recourse, Mathematical Programming Study 27 (1986), 54-102. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0121122
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Introduction to Stochastic Programming II: The Value of Perfect Information and of the Stochastic SolutionTextbook

Motivation

Every stochastic program is, in practice, compared against a shortcut. A decision maker facing genuine uncertainty is tempted either to replace the random data by its mean and solve one deterministic problem, or to imagine that perfect information about the future were available and solve a separate deterministic problem per scenario. Both temptations have precise answers: the expected value of perfect information (EVPI) measures how much a decision maker should be willing to pay for a perfect forecast, and the value of the stochastic solution (VSS) measures the cost of ignoring uncertainty altogether by solving the mean-value problem. Both concepts originate in decision analysis — EVPI traces to Raiffa and Schlaifer (1961) — and were brought into stochastic programming by Madansky (1960), who proved the first chain of inequalities relating the wait-and-see value, the recourse value and the expected-value-solution's cost. Birge and Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed. (Springer, 2011), Chapter 4, gives the standard modern treatment, including a refined family of bounds — built from pairs subproblems against a chosen reference scenario — that sharpen VSS beyond the original mean-scenario comparison. This mission formalizes that chapter's capstone: the five-quantity, four-inequality chain that pins VSS between two computable optimal values.

Setting

Fix a two-stage stochastic program with fixed recourse: a finite family of K scenarios ξ1,…,ξK\xi_1,\dots,\xi_Kξ1​,…,ξK​ in Rd\mathbb R^dRd, each occurring with probability pk≥0p_k \ge 0pk​≥0, ∑kpk=1\sum_k p_k = 1∑k​pk​=1; a first-stage feasible set K1⊆Rn1K_1 \subseteq \mathbb R^{n_1}K1​⊆Rn1​; and, for every first-stage decision x∈Rn1x \in \mathbb R^{n_1}x∈Rn1​ and every scenario ξ∈Rd\xi \in \mathbb R^dξ∈Rd, a scenario cost z(x,ξ)z(x,\xi)z(x,ξ) — the optimal value of cTx+min⁡{qTy∣Wy=h(ξ)−Tx, y≥0}c^Tx + \min\{q^Ty \mid Wy = h(\xi) - Tx,\ y \ge 0\}cTx+min{qTy∣Wy=h(ξ)−Tx, y≥0}. By convention z(x,ξ)=+∞z(x,\xi) = +\inftyz(x,ξ)=+∞ when xxx has no feasible second-stage recourse under ξ\xiξ, and z(x,ξ)=−∞z(x,\xi) = -\inftyz(x,ξ)=−∞ when the second-stage program is unbounded below.

From zzz, five basic quantities are defined (Birge & Louveaux §4.1–§4.2):

  • The recourse problem's value, RP=min⁡x∈K1Eξ z(x,ξ)RP = \min_{x \in K_1} \mathbb E_\xi\, z(x,\xi)RP=minx∈K1​​Eξ​z(x,ξ) — the best a decision maker can do without foreknowledge of ξ\xiξ (the "here-and-now" solution).
  • The wait-and-see value, WS=Eξ[min⁡x∈K1z(x,ξ)]WS = \mathbb E_\xi\big[\min_{x \in K_1} z(x,\xi)\big]WS=Eξ​[minx∈K1​​z(x,ξ)] — the average cost if ξ\xiξ were revealed before choosing xxx.
  • The expected value of perfect information, EVPI=RP−WSEVPI = RP - WSEVPI=RP−WS.
  • The expected value problem's solution xˉ(ξˉ)\bar x(\bar\xi)xˉ(ξˉ​), optimal for the deterministic problem at the mean scenario ξˉ=E(ξ)\bar\xi = \mathbb E(\xi)ξˉ​=E(ξ); its recourse cost, the expected result of using the EV solution, is EEV=Eξ z(xˉ(ξˉ),ξ)EEV = \mathbb E_\xi\, z(\bar x(\bar\xi), \xi)EEV=Eξ​z(xˉ(ξˉ​),ξ).
  • The value of the stochastic solution, VSS=EEV−RPVSS = EEV - RPVSS=EEV−RP — the extra cost of implementing the mean-scenario decision instead of solving the recourse problem.

Section 4.6 refines VSS by replacing the mean scenario with an arbitrary reference scenario ξr\xi^rξr (not necessarily one of the KKK possible scenarios, e.g. a worst case), with assumed probability pr=P(ξ=ξr)p_r = P(\xi=\xi^r)pr​=P(ξ=ξr):

  • xˉr\bar x^rxˉr, optimal for min⁡x∈K1z(x,ξr)\min_{x\in K_1} z(x,\xi^r)minx∈K1​​z(x,ξr), gives the expected value of the reference-scenario solution, EVRS=Eξ z(xˉr,ξ)EVRS = \mathbb E_\xi\, z(\bar x^r,\xi)EVRS=Eξ​z(xˉr,ξ), and the generalized VSS=EVRS−RPVSS = EVRS - RPVSS=EVRS−RP.
  • For each scenario ξk\xi^kξk, the pairs subproblem of ξr\xi^rξr and ξk\xi^kξk treats them as a two-point distribution with weights prp_rpr​ and 1−pr1-p_r1−pr​: its optimal value is min⁡x∈K1[pr z(x,ξr)+(1−pr) z(x,ξk)]\min_{x\in K_1}\big[p_r\,z(x,\xi^r) + (1-p_r)\,z(x,\xi^k)\big]minx∈K1​​[pr​z(x,ξr)+(1−pr​)z(x,ξk)], attained at some xˉk\bar x^kxˉk. Averaging these optimal values over kkk (rescaled by 1/(1−pr)1/(1-p_r)1/(1−pr​)) gives the sum of pairs expected values, SPEVSPEVSPEV. Taking, instead, the smallest full expected cost Eξ z(xˉk,ξ)\mathbb E_\xi\,z(\bar x^k,\xi)Eξ​z(xˉk,ξ) among the K+1K{+}1K+1 candidate solutions {xˉ1,…,xˉK,xˉr}\{\bar x^1,\dots,\bar x^K,\bar x^r\}{xˉ1,…,xˉK,xˉr} gives the expectation of pairs expected value, EPEVEPEVEPEV.

Formalization targets

Goal — Chapter 4, Theorem 9 (p. 174)

0  ≤  EVRS−EPEV  ≤  VSS  ≤  EVRS−SPEV  ≤  EVRS−WS.0 \;\le\; EVRS - EPEV \;\le\; VSS \;\le\; EVRS - SPEV \;\le\; EVRS - WS .0≤EVRS−EPEV≤VSS≤EVRS−SPEV≤EVRS−WS.

Four links, each with independent content: nonnegativity of the leftmost gap, then two genuine inequalities (from the pairs-subproblem comparisons of Propositions 7 and 8), then the identity VSS=EVRS−RPVSS = EVRS - RPVSS=EVRS−RP folded against RP≥WSRP \ge WSRP≥WS's reverse-direction cousin. This is the weakest statement that keeps all five quantities distinct — stating only the outer bound 0≤VSS≤EVRS−WS0 \le VSS \le EVRS-WS0≤VSS≤EVRS−WS would erase exactly the refinement (via pairs subproblems) that makes the chapter's method useful.

Supporting propositions (milestones, in attack order)

  • Proposition 1 (p. 166): WS≤RP≤EEVWS \le RP \le EEVWS≤RP≤EEV.
  • Proposition 5(a) (pp. 167–168): 0≤EVPI0 \le EVPI0≤EVPI and 0≤VSS0 \le VSS0≤VSS (mean-scenario form), for any stochastic program.
  • Proposition 7 (p. 173): WS≤SPEV≤RPWS \le SPEV \le RPWS≤SPEV≤RP.
  • Proposition 8 (p. 174): RP≤EPEV≤EVRSRP \le EPEV \le EVRSRP≤EPEV≤EVRS.

Significance

The chain gives a decision maker two computable, non-obvious bounds on VSS — a quantity that is otherwise expensive to pin down exactly, since RPRPRP itself already requires solving the full recourse problem. EVRS−EPEVEVRS - EPEVEVRS−EPEV and EVRS−SPEVEVRS - SPEVEVRS−SPEV are both computable from K+1K+1K+1 (or KKK) two-scenario LPs, far cheaper than the full KKK-scenario recourse problem, so Theorem 9 turns an expensive exact quantity into a pair of cheap certified bounds. Formalizing it fixes, once and for all, the exact hypotheses and quantifier structure of Madansky's original inequality (Proposition 1) together with the later pairs-subproblem refinement (Propositions 6–8, Birge 1982), often cited informally as "the VSS bounds" without distinguishing EEVEEVEEV, EVRSEVRSEVRS, EPEVEPEVEPEV and SPEVSPEVSPEV. No part of this chain is on Mathlib or Formalpedia today (checked by concept query, not title); this is a first, from-scratch treatment of two-stage recourse value-of-information theory as formal objects.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea — collapse RPRPRP, WSWSWS, EVEVEV, EEVEEVEEV, EVRSEVRSEVRS, EPEVEPEVEPEV, SPEVSPEVSPEV to one "the optimal value of the LP" and prove a single inequality — throws away the entire content of the chapter. Each quantity restricts the minimization to a different feasible object: RPRPRP minimizes jointly over xxx; WSWSWS swaps the order of min⁡\minmin and E\mathbb EE; EEVEEVEEV/EVRSEVRSEVRS evaluate one fixed xxx under every scenario; SPEVSPEVSPEV and EPEVEPEVEPEV each minimize over a family of pairs subproblems rather than the full KKK-scenario problem. The chain's proof (Propositions 7–8) depends on this precisely: Proposition 7's lower bound uses that each pairs-subproblem-optimal (xˉk,yˉk)(\bar x^k,\bar y^k)(xˉk,yˉ​k) is feasible (not necessarily optimal) for the single-scenario problem at ξr\xi^rξr, and its upper bound uses that the recourse-optimal (x∗,y∗(ξr),y∗(ξk))(x^*, y^*(\xi^r), y^*(\xi^k))(x∗,y∗(ξr),y∗(ξk)) is feasible (not necessarily optimal) for the pairs subproblem — a feasible-but-not-optimal argument in each direction, not a direct comparison of objective values. Losing track of which solution is fixed and which is optimized destroys the argument entirely.

Formalization scope

An Instance bundles the finite scenario set (Fin K, probabilities p : Fin K → ℝ with p ≥ 0, ∑ p = 1, scenarios xi : Fin K → (Fin d → ℝ)), the first-stage feasible set K1 : Set (Fin n1 → ℝ), and the scenario cost z : (Fin n1 → ℝ) → (Fin d → ℝ) → EReal, using the extended reals to carry the book's own +∞/−∞ conventions for infeasibility and unboundedness rather than silently restricting to a finite-valued special case (a genuine risk of trivialization here, since Example 2 of the chapter exhibits EEV=+∞EEV = +\inftyEEV=+∞). All optimal values (RP, WS, EV, EVPI, EEV, VSS, EVRS, generalized VSS, SPEV, EPEV) are defined directly from z, matching the book's own level of abstraction in this chapter (which never unfolds z into the underlying LP's A,b,c,q,W,T,hA,b,c,q,W,T,hA,b,c,q,W,T,h data — those appear only in Chapter 3). Because EEV, the mean-scenario VSS, EVRS, the generalized VSS, and EPEV are each defined relative to an optimal solution of some sub-problem — the book itself only ever says "let xˉ(ξˉ)\bar x(\bar\xi)xˉ(ξˉ​) denote some optimal solution" — every theorem using them states that solution and its optimality as explicit hypotheses (x ∈ K1 and z x … = ⨅ …), never baking it into a Classical.choiced value; this keeps the quantifier structure faithful to the book's own "let ... be an optimal solution" phrasing. Proposition 5's part (b) — the upper bound EVPI≤EEV−EVEVPI \le EEV-EVEVPI≤EEV−EV, VSS≤EEV−EVVSS \le EEV-EVVSS≤EEV−EV "for stochastic programs with fixed recourse matrix and fixed objective coefficients" — needs a different scope: that hypothesis is a structural property of the underlying LP data (WWW, ccc, qqq fixed across scenarios) invisible once zzz is abstracted away as above, and pinning it down would require modeling the LP's A,b,c,q,W,T,h(ξ)A,b,c,q,W,T,h(\xi)A,b,c,q,W,T,h(ξ) data explicitly (as Chapter 3's mission does for its convexity theorem). That part is out of scope here and is not needed for Theorem 9's own chain, which rests only on Proposition 5(a).

Collapsing any two of RPRPRP, WSWSWS, EVEVEV, EEVEEVEEV, EVRSEVRSEVRS, EPEVEPEVEPEV, SPEVSPEVSPEV to a single "value of the LP" — the trivialization this book-wide series flags for Chapter 4 — is ruled out by construction: each is its own definition over its own feasible object, and Theorem 9's statement names all five quantities in the chain rather than only its outer bound. The two occurrences of "VSS" in the chapter (the original mean-scenario EEV−RPEEV-RPEEV−RP of §4.2, and the reference-scenario EVRS−RPEVRS-RPEVRS−RP generalization of §4.6, used only in Theorem 9) are likewise kept as two distinct definitions rather than conflated under one name.

Every addition and subtraction between EReal values in this mission — inside expect, WS, EVPI, VSS, EVRS's appearance in VSSRef, the pair sum inside pairsValue, the sum inside SPEV, and all four differences in Theorem 9's own chain — uses three explicit operations, badd/bsub/bsum, that implement the book's own convention (p. 164) that +∞ (infeasibility) dominates, i.e. (+∞)+(−∞)=+∞, rather than Mathlib's native EReal addition, whose ⊤+⊥=⊥ would make VSS ≥ 0 (Proposition 5(a)) and the goal's own leftmost inequality false whenever a witness solution is infeasible in a positive-probability scenario — exactly the situation of the book's own Example 2 (pp. 174-175). The reference scenario's probability pr=Pr⁡(ξ=ξr)p_r=\Pr(\xi=\xi^r)pr​=Pr(ξ=ξr) (p. 172) is likewise not a free parameter but a definition, refProb, computed from the instance itself as ∑k: ξk=ξrpk\sum_{k:\,\xi^k=\xi^r}p_k∑k:ξk=ξr​pk​; SPEV's sum is correspondingly restricted to the scenarios other than the reference scenario (ξk≠ξr\xi^k\ne\xi^rξk=ξr), matching the book's own proof of Proposition 7, which uses ∑k≠rpk=1−pr\sum_{k\ne r}p_k=1-p_r∑k=r​pk​=1−pr​. The single hypothesis refProb I xir < 1 on Propositions 7, 8 and the goal says that some other scenario remains possible, which the book's own (1−pr)−1(1-p_r)^{-1}(1−pr​)−1 factor presupposes.

Reusable beyond this mission: the Instance definition and the RP/WS/EV quantities are the natural base for any later chapter of this series that needs the two-stage recourse value (e.g. Chapter 3's convexity mission, Chapter 5's L-shaped method); contributions extending this Instance to the full LP data of the underlying two-stage program, or adding Proposition 5(b) and Proposition 2's Jensen-inequality argument on top of it, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J.R. Birge and F. Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer Series in Operations Research and Financial Engineering, 2011, Chapter 4. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-0237-4
  • A. Madansky, "Inequalities for Stochastic Linear Programming Problems", Management Science 6(2), 1960, 197–204.
  • H. Raiffa and R. Schlaifer, Applied Statistical Decision Theory, Harvard Business School, 1961.
  • J.R. Birge, "The Value of the Stochastic Solution in Stochastic Linear Programs with Fixed Recourse", Mathematical Programming 24(1), 1982, 314–325.
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Group Theory·Captain: dbenbenn

Cannon–Floyd–Parry: the two presentations of Thompson's group FTextbook

Motivation

Thompson's group FFF is the group of piecewise-linear order-preserving homeomorphisms of [0,1][0,1][0,1] with finitely many breakpoints, all at dyadic rationals, and all slopes powers of 222. Two earlier missions formalize its definition and its first structural facts (§1 and §4: the commutator subgroup is simple, FFF is not elementary amenable) and its tree-diagram normal form (§2). What neither says is how FFF looks as an abstract group: by generators and relations.

That is §3 of Cannon, Floyd and Parry's Introductory notes on Richard Thompson's groups (L'Enseignement Math. 42 (1996), doi:10.5169/seals-87877), which gives two presentations of FFF and proves that both present the group of homeomorphisms:

F1=⟨A,B  :  [AB−1,A−1BA], [AB−1,A−2BA2]⟩,F2=⟨X0,X1,X2,…  :  Xk−1XnXk=Xn+1 for k<n⟩.F_1 = \langle A, B \;:\; [AB^{-1}, A^{-1}BA],\ [AB^{-1}, A^{-2}BA^{2}] \rangle, \qquad F_2 = \langle X_0, X_1, X_2, \dots \;:\; X_k^{-1} X_n X_k = X_{n+1} \text{ for } k < n \rangle .F1​=⟨A,B:[AB−1,A−1BA], [AB−1,A−2BA2]⟩,F2​=⟨X0​,X1​,X2​,…:Xk−1​Xn​Xk​=Xn+1​ for k<n⟩.

The finite presentation is the form in which FFF enters most of the literature — the word problem, the growth and amenability questions, the homological results of Brown and Geoghegan all start from it — and the infinite presentation is the one that makes the normal form of §2 visible as an algebraic fact.

Setting

Throughout, [x,y]=xyx−1y−1[x, y] = x y x^{-1} y^{-1}[x,y]=xyx−1y−1, the source's convention, and groups are written multiplicatively with composition of maps as the product: (fg)(t)=f(g(t))(f g)(t) = f(g(t))(fg)(t)=f(g(t)).

The functions. AAA and BBB are the two specific homeomorphisms of [0,1][0,1][0,1] from the §1 mission (mapA, mapB: AAA halves [0,12][0, \tfrac12][0,21​], is a translation on [12,34][\tfrac12,\tfrac34][21​,43​], and doubles [34,1][\tfrac34, 1][43​,1]; BBB is the identity on [0,12][0,\tfrac12][0,21​] and acts like AAA, scaled, on [12,1][\tfrac12, 1][21​,1]). For n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, Xn=A−(n−1)BAn−1X_n = A^{-(n-1)} B A^{n-1}Xn​=A−(n−1)BAn−1 and X0=AX_0 = AX0​=A; these are the functions X n of the §2 bundle. Corollary 2.6 of the source, proved in the §2 mission, says AAA and BBB generate FFF.

The formal symbols. F1F_1F1​ and F2F_2F2​ are presented groups: the free group on the listed symbols modulo the normal closure of the listed relators. In Lean they are Mathlib's PresentedGroup applied to explicit relator sets: relsF1, a two-element set of words in the free group on the two-element type FormalAB, and relsF2, the set of words Xk−1XnXkXn+1−1X_k^{-1} X_n X_k X_{n+1}^{-1}Xk−1​Xn​Xk​Xn+1−1​ for k<nk < nk<n in the free group on N\mathbb{N}N. The symbols are distinct objects from the functions; the whole content of the section is that the map "symbol ↦\mapsto↦ function" is an isomorphism.

Auxiliary objects. In F1F_1F1​ the source sets Y0=AY_0 = AY0​=A and Yn=A−(n−1)BAn−1Y_n = A^{-(n-1)} B A^{n-1}Yn​=A−(n−1)BAn−1 for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 (Y), the intended images of the XnX_nXn​. In F2F_2F2​ a list of nonnegative exponents c0,…,cnc_0, \dots, c_nc0​,…,cn​ determines the positive word X0c0X1c1⋯XncnX_0^{c_0} X_1^{c_1} \cdots X_n^{c_n}X0c0​​X1c1​​⋯Xncn​​ (wordF2), the formal counterpart of the §2 bundle's word; the normal-form conditions of Corollary-Definition 2.7 are the §2 predicate IsNormalFormData, reused verbatim.

Target

The goal is the finite presentation, Theorem 3.4 for F1F_1F1​:

there is a group isomorphism F1→ ∼ F with A↦A, B↦B.\text{there is a group isomorphism } F_1 \xrightarrow{\ \sim\ } F \text{ with } A \mapsto A,\ B \mapsto B .there is a group isomorphism F1​ ∼ ​F with A↦A, B↦B.

On the way, in the order the source proves them:

F1≅F2 with A↦X0, B↦X1(Theorem 3.1),F2≅F with Xn↦Xn(Theorem 3.4 for F2).F_1 \cong F_2 \text{ with } A \mapsto X_0,\ B \mapsto X_1 \quad\text{(Theorem 3.1)}, \qquad F_2 \cong F \text{ with } X_n \mapsto X_n \quad\text{(Theorem 3.4 for } F_2) .F1​≅F2​ with A↦X0​, B↦X1​(Theorem 3.1),F2​≅F with Xn​↦Xn​(Theorem 3.4 for F2​).

A one-line consequence closes the list: FFF is finitely presented, in Mathlib's sense Group.IsFinitelyPresented.

Significance

The result. A presentation is what makes FFF an object of combinatorial group theory. The two relators are what one checks a homomorphism against, the infinite presentation is what the normal form is a normal form for, and "finitely presented" is the hypothesis under which FFF is a test case for conjectures about finitely presented groups. Every later algebraic statement about FFF — the word problem is solvable, the abelianization is Z2\mathbb{Z}^2Z2, the automorphism group, the presentations of TTT and VVV — is stated relative to one of these two presentations.

Formalizing it. Both theorems are proved in the source and their proofs are short, so what this mission produces is the machine-checked bridge between the two existing developments: the analytic definition of FFF and its tree-diagram normal form on one side, an abstract presented group on the other. The isomorphism F2≅FF_2 \cong FF2​≅F is where §2's uniqueness theorem is used rather than merely proved: injectivity of F2→FF_2 \to FF2​→F is exactly the statement that distinct normal forms give distinct functions. Nothing here is machine-checked anywhere else; the platform has no presentation of FFF.

Difficulty

Theorem 3.1 is a computation in F1F_1F1​ and offers no surprises once lines (3.2) and (3.3) of the source are set up as their own statements: the induction that establishes Yk−1YnYk=Yn+1Y_k^{-1} Y_n Y_k = Y_{n+1}Yk−1​Yn​Yk​=Yn+1​ from the two relators is the only place care is needed, and the source spells it out.

The central difficulty is the paragraph on p. 226 proving that F2→FF_2 \to FF2​→F is injective. The source argues in prose that "every nontrivial element xxx of F2F_2F2​ can be expressed as a positive element times a negative element", and then "put in normal form" by deleting an XkX_kXk​ from both parts and re-indexing when Xk+1X_{k+1}Xk+1​ is absent. Formally this is a rewriting argument inside the abstract group F2F_2F2​, with no geometry to lean on: one needs the three derived relations Xk−1Xn=Xn+1Xk−1X_k^{-1} X_n = X_{n+1} X_k^{-1}Xk−1​Xn​=Xn+1​Xk−1​, Xn−1Xk=XkXn+1−1X_n^{-1} X_k = X_k X_{n+1}^{-1}Xn−1​Xk​=Xk​Xn+1−1​, XnXk=XkXn+1X_n X_k = X_k X_{n+1}Xn​Xk​=Xk​Xn+1​ (for k<nk < nk<n), an induction that sorts an arbitrary word into positive-times-negative form, and a second induction that reduces such a form until the normal-form conditions hold. The obvious shortcut — "every element of F2F_2F2​ is the image of some function, and functions have normal forms" — is circular, because it presupposes the injectivity being proved. The milestone exists_isNormalFormData_F2 isolates this step.

Formalization scope

  • FFF, AAA, BBB, the functions XnX_nXn​, the words word/wordFrom and the predicate IsNormalFormData are the published definitions of the §1 and §2 missions (CannonFloydParry, CannonFloydParry_Trees, CannonFloydParry_TreeDiagrams), imported unchanged. Elements of FFF are order isomorphisms of the subtype [0,1]⊂R[0,1] \subset \mathbb{R}[0,1]⊂R, and FFF is the subgroup they generate; membership of AAA, BBB, XnX_nXn​ in FFF is a proved theorem, not a definition.
  • The new bundle CannonFloydParry_Presentations adds only the formal side: the symbol type FormalAB, the relator sets relsF1, relsF2, the presented groups F1, F2, the symbol maps symF2 (into F2F_2F2​) and symF (into the interval maps), the elements Y, and the words wordF2. Relators are written out as xyx−1y−1x y x^{-1} y^{-1}xyx−1y−1; no commutator notation is used in published statements.
  • Isomorphisms are stated as existence of a MulEquiv sending the named generators to the named images. Nothing is asserted about uniqueness of the isomorphism (it is unique, since the generators generate).
  • A trivializing reading is ruled out by the generator conditions: an isomorphism between F1F_1F1​ and FFF that ignored the symbols would be meaningless, so every statement pins the images of AAA and BBB (or of every XnX_nXn​).
  • Reused platform theorems: Corollary 2.6 (closure_mapA_mapB_eq_F), the §2 normal-form theorems (exists_isNormalFormData, word_ne_one_of_isNormalFormData), and the §4 mission's mem_commutator_iff if a solver prefers to verify the relators of F1F_1F1​ in FFF through supports rather than by direct computation. Solutions may import them.
  • Welcome contributions beyond the milestone list: a Lean statement of the presentation with two generators and two relators as a Group.IsFinitelyPresented instance built from the isomorphism (the last milestone), and, further off, the presentations of TTT and VVV from §5–§6, which extend F1F_1F1​ by one and two generators.

Selected references

  • J. W. Cannon, W. J. Floyd, W. R. Parry, Introductory notes on Richard Thompson's groups, L'Enseignement Mathématique (2) 42 (1996) 215–256, §3 pp. 225–226. doi:10.5169/seals-87877
  • K. S. Brown, R. Geoghegan, An infinite-dimensional torsion-free FP∞FP_\inftyFP∞​ group, Inventiones Math. 77 (1984) 367–381. doi:10.1007/BF01388451
  • M. G. Brin, C. C. Squier, Groups of piecewise linear homeomorphisms of the real line, Inventiones Math. 79 (1985) 485–498. doi:10.1007/BF01388519
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CombinatoricsGroup Theory·Captain: dbenbenn

Cannon-Floyd-Parry: tree diagrams and the normal form for Thompson's group FTextbook

Why tree diagrams

Thompson's group FFF is a finitely presented group of piecewise-linear homeomorphisms of the unit interval that has served since the 1960s as a standard supply of counterexamples in combinatorial group theory: its commutator subgroup is simple, every proper quotient of it is abelian, it contains no free subgroup of rank two, it is not elementary amenable, and whether it is amenable is a question Cannon, Floyd and Parry report as having been raised by Geoghegan in 1979 and still open when they wrote (CFP96, §4 and p. 227).

Almost nothing about FFF is computed directly from that analytic definition. What makes the group tractable is a combinatorial calculus: each element is encoded by a pair of finite binary trees, and multiplication becomes a cancellation between trees. Cannon, Floyd and Parry credit the device to Brown and devote §2 of their notes to it; everything later in those notes that requires a computation — the two presentations of §3, the normal subgroup lattice of §4, the treatment of Thompson's group TTT in §5 — runs through it.

This mission formalizes that calculus and the normal form it yields.

Setting

A real number is dyadic when it has the form m/2km/2^km/2k with mmm an integer and kkk a nonnegative integer. Thompson's group FFF consists of the increasing homeomorphisms of [0,1][0,1][0,1] that are piecewise linear with finitely many breakpoints, all breakpoints dyadic and every slope an integer power of 222, under composition. Two of its elements are

A(x)={x/20≤x≤12x−1412≤x≤342x−134≤x≤1B(x)={x0≤x≤12x/2+1412≤x≤34x−1834≤x≤782x−178≤x≤1,A(x) = \begin{cases} x/2 & 0 \le x \le \tfrac12\\ x - \tfrac14 & \tfrac12 \le x \le \tfrac34\\ 2x-1 & \tfrac34 \le x \le 1\end{cases} \qquad B(x) = \begin{cases} x & 0 \le x \le \tfrac12\\ x/2 + \tfrac14 & \tfrac12 \le x \le \tfrac34\\ x - \tfrac18 & \tfrac34 \le x \le \tfrac78\\ 2x-1 & \tfrac78 \le x \le 1,\end{cases}A(x)=⎩⎨⎧​x/2x−41​2x−1​0≤x≤21​21​≤x≤43​43​≤x≤1​B(x)=⎩⎨⎧​xx/2+41​x−81​2x−1​0≤x≤21​21​≤x≤43​43​≤x≤87​87​≤x≤1,​

and from them come X0=AX_0 = AX0​=A and Xn=A−(n−1)BAn−1X_n = A^{-(n-1)} B A^{n-1}Xn​=A−(n−1)BAn−1 for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, so that X1=BX_1 = BX1​=B.

A standard dyadic interval is one of the form [a/2n,(a+1)/2n][a/2^n, (a+1)/2^n][a/2n,(a+1)/2n] with aaa and nnn nonnegative integers and a+1≤2na+1 \le 2^na+1≤2n. A partition 0=x0<⋯<xm=10 = x_0 < \cdots < x_m = 10=x0​<⋯<xm​=1 of [0,1][0,1][0,1] is a standard dyadic partition when every [xi−1,xi][x_{i-1}, x_i][xi−1​,xi​] is a standard dyadic interval.

An ordered rooted binary tree is a finite tree in which each vertex has either no children or an ordered left child and right child. Its childless vertices are its leaves, which carry a canonical left-to-right order; its right side is the path from the root always taking the right child; a caret is a vertex with its two children. Assigning [0,1][0,1][0,1] to the root and splitting each interval at its midpoint between the two children gives every vertex a standard dyadic interval, and the leaves then cut out a standard dyadic partition — the sense in which such a tree is a T\mathcal{T}T-tree. The exponents of a T\mathcal{T}T-tree are one nonnegative integer per leaf, in order: the kkkth is the length of the longest arc of left edges beginning at the kkkth leaf that does not reach the right side.

A tree diagram is an ordered pair (R,S)(R,S)(R,S) of T\mathcal{T}T-trees with equally many leaves. An element fff of FFF has that diagram when fff is affine on each interval cut out by the leaves of RRR and carries those intervals, in order, onto the intervals cut out by the leaves of SSS. Adjoining a caret to RRR and to SSS at the same leaf gives another diagram for the same fff; a diagram admitting no such reduction — no position where both trees carry a caret — is reduced.

Formalization targets

Goal: the unique normal form

Every f≠1f \ne 1f=1 in FFF is

f  =  X0b0X1b1⋯Xnbn Xn−an⋯X1−a1X0−a0f \;=\; X_0^{b_0} X_1^{b_1} \cdots X_n^{b_n} \, X_n^{-a_n} \cdots X_1^{-a_1} X_0^{-a_0}f=X0b0​​X1b1​​⋯Xnbn​​Xn−an​​⋯X1−a1​​X0−a0​​

for exactly one choice of nonnegative integers nnn, a0,…,ana_0, \dots, a_na0​,…,an​, b0,…,bnb_0, \dots, b_nb0​,…,bn​ subject to two conditions: exactly one of ana_nan​ and bnb_nbn​ is nonzero, and if ak>0a_k > 0ak​>0 and bk>0b_k > 0bk​>0 for some k<nk < nk<n then ak+1>0a_{k+1} > 0ak+1​>0 or bk+1>0b_{k+1} > 0bk+1​>0.

It fixes no bound on nnn and no normalization beyond those two conditions, so no later refinement of how the exponents are presented can invalidate it.

Along the way

The milestone list follows §2 in order: the correspondence between standard dyadic partitions and T\mathcal{T}T-trees, the bijection between FFF and the reduced tree diagrams, the word read off the exponents of (R,S)(R,S)(R,S), a criterion for a diagram to be reduced, generation by AAA and BBB, and closure under multiplication of the positive elements — those of the form X0b0⋯XnbnX_0^{b_0} \cdots X_n^{b_n}X0b0​​⋯Xnbn​​ with every exponent nonnegative.

What it gives

A normal form is a decision procedure: two words in the generators name the same element exactly when their normal forms agree, so the word problem for FFF is solved by computing them. The generation statement is what licenses treating FFF as a two-generator group, and it is the input to both presentations in §3. The positive elements and their closure under multiplication are used, with the normal form, throughout §5 on Thompson's group TTT.

The §2 results this mission targets — Lemma 2.2, the correspondence between FFF and the reduced tree diagrams, Theorem 2.5, Corollary 2.6, Corollary-Definition 2.7 and Lemma 2.8 — are proved mathematics: Cannon, Floyd and Parry are expounding material that goes back to Thompson's unpublished notes. None of them has a machine-checked proof on this platform, and the library contains no tree-diagram machinery to build on, so the definitions published here fix the interface for anyone later formalizing Thompson's groups TTT and VVV, which occupy the same notes and are built from the same trees.

There is also a concrete dependency. The companion mission on §4 of the same paper has eleven of its fifteen milestones machine-checked, and all four that remain wait on this section: Cannon, Floyd and Parry prove their Theorem 4.1 through Corollary 2.6 and their Theorem 4.3 through the normal form. Corollary 2.6 appears in this milestone list as the same theorem object that is open there, so closing it here closes it there.

Difficulty

The obvious way to attach a diagram to an element fff is to use the partition given by its breakpoints. That fails twice over: the breakpoints of fff need not be the division points of any T\mathcal{T}T-tree, and even when they are, their images under fff need not be either, since the definition of FFF constrains the breakpoints and slopes of fff and says nothing about where the image partition sits. Both failures must be repaired by refining the partition before any tree appears, which is why that refinement is a milestone rather than a preliminary.

Uniqueness of the reduced diagram is a difficulty of a different kind: two reduced diagrams for the same element admit no a priori map between their trees, so they cannot be compared directly.

A third is not visible in the source. For trees with n+1n+1n+1 leaves the exponent lists always end in 000, so the outermost factors of the word above vanish; but the normal form demands that exactly one of ana_nan​, bnb_nbn​ be nonzero. The two indexings differ, and a re-indexing step sits between the theorem producing the word and the corollary stating the normal form. The paper prints them one under the other. That step is a milestone of its own, flagged as absent from the source, so a solver working from the paper alone is not ambushed by it.

Formalization scope

Ordered rooted binary trees are an inductive type — a leaf, or a pair of subtrees — rather than graphs with a root and valence conditions. Those conditions say exactly that every non-leaf vertex has two distinguished children, so both descriptions pick out the same objects, but the inductive type is a reformulation of the paper's definition and the definition bundle says so. The infinite tree of all standard dyadic intervals is likewise never built: the subdivision of [0,1][0,1][0,1] comes from a recursion halving at each node, which turns the paper's observation that the leaves of a T\mathcal{T}T-tree are the intervals of a standard dyadic partition from something given into something proved.

FFF is imported rather than redefined, from the published definition bundle of the companion mission, where it is the subgroup generated by the piecewise-linear maps described above; membership in that subgroup is identified with the piecewise-linear description by a theorem already machine-checked there. Exponent data is carried by finite lists, and the uniqueness in the goal is uniqueness of that list data.

The goal is vacuous in neither direction: its hypothesis is met by AAA and BBB themselves, and a separate milestone asserts that every choice of exponent data meeting the two conditions names an element other than the identity.

The tree combinatorics — leaf counts, right sides, the subdivision map, the exponents, carets — is published here as a separate definition node that mentions FFF nowhere and needs nothing but Mathlib, so it is reusable as it stands; the diagram vocabulary is built on it. Any milestone is open to contribution, as are routes other than the paper's.

Selected references

  • J. W. Cannon, W. J. Floyd, W. R. Parry, Introductory notes on Richard Thompson's groups, L'Enseignement Mathématique (2) 42 (1996), 215–256. doi:10.5169/seals-87877 — §2, pages 218–224, is the source for this mission; §1, page 217, defines AAA, BBB and the XnX_nXn​.

Within that paper tree diagrams are credited to Brown and the word-length algorithm to Fordham, cited there as [Bro1] and [Fo].

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Algebraic GeometryMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Quantum field theory over F1: Grothendieck classes of banana graph hypersurfacesResearch Paper

Motivation

Perturbative quantum field theory produces algebraic varieties. In the parametric (Feynman–Symanzik) formulation of a momentum-space Feynman integral of a graph Γ\GammaΓ, the integrand is built from the Kirchhoff (first Symanzik) polynomial ΨΓ\Psi_\GammaΨΓ​, and the period that the integral computes is governed by the graph hypersurface XΓ={ΨΓ=0}X_\Gamma = \{\Psi_\Gamma = 0\}XΓ​={ΨΓ​=0}. Because ΨΓ\Psi_\GammaΨΓ​ has integer coefficients, XΓX_\GammaXΓ​ is defined over Z\mathbb{Z}Z, and one can ask arithmetic questions about it: how many points does it have over a finite field Fq\mathbb{F}_qFq​, is that count a polynomial in qqq, and what is its class in the Grothendieck ring of varieties?

A separate line of work asks when a variety defined over Z\mathbb{Z}Z carries an additional structure over the "field with one element" F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​. Tits observed in 1956 that #GLn(Fq)\#\mathrm{GL}_n(\mathbb{F}_q)#GLn​(Fq​) is a polynomial in qqq whose behaviour as q→1q \to 1q→1 is governed by the symmetric group, and several inequivalent theories of F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-geometry have been proposed since. In the formulation of López Peña and Lorscheid, an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-structure is witnessed by a torification: a decomposition of the variety into split tori Gmd\mathbb{G}_m^dGmd​ inducing a bijection on kkk-points for every field kkk.

Bejleri and Marcolli, Quantum field theory over F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​ (Journal of Geometry and Physics, 2013, doi:10.1016/j.geomphys.2013.03.002), brought these two lines together: they asked which varieties of perturbative QFT admit an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-structure, proved a blow-up formula for torified varieties, and deduced that the wonderful compactifications of graph configuration spaces and the moduli spaces M‾0,n\overline{M}_{0,n}M0,n​ are F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-varieties. Along the way they recorded elementary but sharp necessary conditions for an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-structure, and tested them on concrete families of graph hypersurfaces. This mission formalizes that necessary-condition layer for the simplest infinite family, the banana graphs. The programme continues to be cited in the physics literature (arXiv:2401.07822).

Setting

For n≥3n \ge 3n≥3, the banana graph Γn\Gamma_nΓn​ has two vertices joined by nnn parallel edges. Its graph hypersurface XΓn⊂Pn−1X_{\Gamma_n} \subset \mathbb{P}^{n-1}XΓn​​⊂Pn−1 is cut out by the Kirchhoff polynomial of Γn\Gamma_nΓn​, and YΓn=Pn−1∖XΓnY_{\Gamma_n} = \mathbb{P}^{n-1} \smallsetminus X_{\Gamma_n}YΓn​​=Pn−1∖XΓn​​ is its complement.

Write L=[A1]\mathbb{L} = [\mathbb{A}^1]L=[A1] for the Lefschetz class in the Grothendieck ring of varieties and set

T  =  [Gm]  =  L−1.\mathbb{T} \;=\; [\mathbb{G}_m] \;=\; \mathbb{L} - 1 .T=[Gm​]=L−1.

If a variety XXX admits a torification by tori Gmd1,…,Gmdr\mathbb{G}_m^{d_1}, \dots, \mathbb{G}_m^{d_r}Gmd1​​,…,Gmdr​​, then its class is ∑iTdi\sum_i \mathbb{T}^{d_i}∑i​Tdi​, so it is a polynomial in T\mathbb{T}T with non-negative integer coefficients; this is Lemma 3.8 of the paper. Writing [X]=∑k≥0akTk[X] = \sum_{k \ge 0} a_k \mathbb{T}^k[X]=∑k≥0​ak​Tk, the Euler characteristic is the constant term a0a_0a0​, because positive-dimensional tori have vanishing Euler characteristic — whence the coarser necessary condition χ≥0\chi \ge 0χ≥0 of Proposition 3.1. Non-negativity of the coefficients aka_kak​ is therefore a necessary condition for an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-structure, and one that can be checked by pure computation once the class is known.

For the banana graphs the class is known in closed form (Aluffi–Marcolli, quoted as equation (3.8) of the paper):

[XΓn]  =  (1+T)n−1T  −  Tn−(−1)nT+1  −  n Tn−2,[YΓn]  =  Tn−(−1)nT+1+n Tn−2.[X_{\Gamma_n}] \;=\; \frac{(1+\mathbb{T})^n - 1}{\mathbb{T}} \;-\; \frac{\mathbb{T}^n - (-1)^n}{\mathbb{T}+1} \;-\; n\,\mathbb{T}^{n-2}, \qquad [Y_{\Gamma_n}] \;=\; \frac{\mathbb{T}^n - (-1)^n}{\mathbb{T}+1} + n\,\mathbb{T}^{n-2}.[XΓn​​]=T(1+T)n−1​−T+1Tn−(−1)n​−nTn−2,[YΓn​​]=T+1Tn−(−1)n​+nTn−2.

The first summand is [Pn−1][\mathbb{P}^{n-1}][Pn−1], and the two quotients are exact divisions: they are the polynomials ∑k=1n(nk)Tk−1\sum_{k=1}^{n} \binom{n}{k}\mathbb{T}^{k-1}∑k=1n​(kn​)Tk−1 and ∑j=0n−1(−1)n−1−jTj\sum_{j=0}^{n-1} (-1)^{n-1-j}\mathbb{T}^{j}∑j=0n−1​(−1)n−1−jTj of equations (3.9) and (3.10).

Target

The goal is the first half of Lemma 3.9: for all n≥3n \ge 3n≥3, every coefficient of [XΓn][X_{\Gamma_n}][XΓn​​], as a polynomial in T\mathbb{T}T, is non-negative,

[XΓn]  =  ∑k≥0ak(n) Tk,ak(n)≥0for all k,[X_{\Gamma_n}] \;=\; \sum_{k \ge 0} a_k(n)\, \mathbb{T}^k, \qquad a_k(n) \ge 0 \quad \text{for all } k,[XΓn​​]=k≥0∑​ak​(n)Tk,ak​(n)≥0for all k,

so that XΓnX_{\Gamma_n}XΓn​​ passes the necessary condition of Lemma 3.8.

The milestones are the steps the paper uses, and the contrast it draws:

  1. equation (3.9), the identity T⋅[Pn−1]=(1+T)n−1\mathbb{T}\cdot[\mathbb{P}^{n-1}] = (1+\mathbb{T})^n - 1T⋅[Pn−1]=(1+T)n−1;
  2. equation (3.10), the identity (T+1)∑j<n(−1)n−1−jTj=Tn−(−1)n(\mathbb{T}+1)\sum_{j<n}(-1)^{n-1-j}\mathbb{T}^j = \mathbb{T}^n - (-1)^n(T+1)∑j<n​(−1)n−1−jTj=Tn−(−1)n;
  3. the resulting closed formula for the coefficients ak(n)a_k(n)ak​(n);
  4. the constant term a0(n)=n+(−1)n≥0a_0(n) = n + (-1)^n \ge 0a0​(n)=n+(−1)n≥0, i.e. the Euler-characteristic condition of Proposition 3.1;
  5. the second half of Lemma 3.9: for n≥4n \ge 4n≥4 the complement class [YΓn][Y_{\Gamma_n}][YΓn​​] has a negative coefficient, namely the coefficient of Tn−4\mathbb{T}^{n-4}Tn−4 equals −1-1−1.

Item 5 is the point of the lemma: the necessary condition separates XΓnX_{\Gamma_n}XΓn​​ from YΓnY_{\Gamma_n}YΓn​​, so it is not vacuous on this family.

Significance

The combination "[XΓn][X_{\Gamma_n}][XΓn​​] passes, [YΓn][Y_{\Gamma_n}][YΓn​​] fails" is the paper's concrete evidence that the torification condition is a usable filter on the varieties of perturbative QFT: it rules out an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-structure on the hypersurface complements — the objects whose periods are the Feynman integrals — while leaving the hypersurfaces themselves as candidates, and it motivates the paper's Question 3.10 (whether the graph hypersurfaces satisfying the condition actually admit torifications).

What this mission produces on top of the paper is a machine-checked version of that computation. The mathematics here is not open: Lemma 3.9 is proved in the source, and the six statements of this proposal are elementary consequences of the closed formula (3.8) once the two divisions are performed. The captain has checked that all six compile and are provable in Lean 4 with Mathlib. The deliverable is therefore a formalization, not a new theorem: a reusable Lean model of Grothendieck classes in the variable T\mathbb{T}T for this family, with the coefficient positivity and the failure of positivity for the complement both verified, and the printed expansion for n=15n = 15n=15 in the paper reproduced by the formalized coefficient formula.

Difficulty

The obstruction is bookkeeping, not depth. Equation (3.8) is a rational expression; the two fractions are exact divisions only after one knows the quotients, so a formalization has to fix polynomial representatives and prove the two division identities rather than manipulate fractions. The alternating tail ∑j(−1)n−1−jTj\sum_j (-1)^{n-1-j}\mathbb{T}^j∑j​(−1)n−1−jTj has an exponent that depends on both nnn and the summation index through a truncated natural-number subtraction, which is the main source of friction: the parity rearrangement (−1)n−1−j=(−1)n−1(−1)j(-1)^{n-1-j} = (-1)^{n-1}(-1)^{j}(−1)n−1−j=(−1)n−1(−1)j is valid only for j≤n−1j \le n-1j≤n−1 and has to be justified in that form. Finally the positivity argument is a case split — the coefficient at k=n−2k = n-2k=n−2 is exactly (nn−1)−(−1)1−n=1\binom{n}{n-1} - (-1)^1 - n = 1(n−1n​)−(−1)1−n=1, while every other coefficient is (nk+1)±1≥0\binom{n}{k+1} \pm 1 \ge 0(k+1n​)±1≥0 — and the degenerate small-nnn cases must be excluded, which is why the goal carries n≥3n \ge 3n≥3.

Formalization scope

Everything is stated in Z[T]\mathbb{Z}[\mathbb{T}]Z[T], i.e. Polynomial ℤ with X playing the role of T\mathbb{T}T; no Grothendieck ring, no scheme theory, and no torification is formalized. The classes of equation (3.8) are defined to be the polynomial representatives above: the mission takes the closed formula of the source as given and proves the statements about it. This is the sense in which the goal is faithful to Lemma 3.9, and it should be read that way: it is a statement about the coefficients of an explicitly given polynomial, not a proof that XΓnX_{\Gamma_n}XΓn​​ is or is not an F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​-variety.

Conventions fixed in Lean: the index nnn ranges over ℕ and all subtractions in exponents (n - 1 - j, n - 2, n - 4) are truncated natural subtraction, which is harmless under the stated hypotheses (n≥3n \ge 3n≥3, resp. n≥4n \ge 4n≥4) but is why those hypotheses appear; coefficients are read off with Polynomial.coeff, so the goal quantifies over all kkk, including kkk beyond the degree, where the coefficient is 000. The goal is not trivially true: for n≥4n \ge 4n≥4 the sibling statement about [YΓn][Y_{\Gamma_n}][YΓn​​] exhibits a coefficient equal to −1-1−1 in the same formalism, so the ambient set-up does admit negative coefficients.

Contributions welcome: direct proofs of the six statements; and, beyond this mission, formalizations of the other necessary-condition computations of the paper (the wheel and lemon-wedge families of section 3.6, the Chern-class condition of Lemma 6.3).

Selected references

  • D. Bejleri, M. Marcolli, Quantum field theory over F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​, Journal of Geometry and Physics (2013). doi:10.1016/j.geomphys.2013.03.002 — §3.3 Proposition 3.1, §3.5 Definition 3.7 and Lemma 3.8, §3.6 equations (3.8)–(3.10) and Lemma 3.9.
  • P. Aluffi, M. Marcolli, Feynman motives of banana graphs, Communications in Number Theory and Physics 3 (2009), no. 1, 1–57 — Theorem 3.10 there is the closed formula for [XΓn][X_{\Gamma_n}][XΓn​​] quoted as equation (3.8), and Corollary 3.13 the formula for [YΓn][Y_{\Gamma_n}][YΓn​​].
  • J. López Peña, O. Lorscheid, Torified varieties and their geometries over F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​, Mathematische Zeitschrift 267 (2011), no. 3–4, 605–643 — torifications and the affine condition.
  • S. Khaki, Original F1\mathbb{F}_1F1​ in emergent spacetime, arXiv:2401.07822 — a recent physics letter that takes the Bejleri–Marcolli programme as its starting point.
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