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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 19.8899945Formalized record→≤ 14.797074Open frontier
6 provers on it3 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 90Formalized record
2 provers on it2 of 2 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 85Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it10 of 12 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

Competitive Paging Algorithms IV: An Algorithm Competitive against Several Others Exists iff the Reciprocal Ratios Sum to at Most 1Research Paper

Motivation

Paging is the problem of managing a fast memory that holds kkk pages out of nnn: when a requested page is not in fast memory (a page fault), some resident page must be evicted, and the cost of an algorithm is its number of faults. Practitioners have many eviction rules. Least-recently-used (LRU) performs well on real workloads but can be kkk times worse than the optimal off-line schedule; the randomized marking algorithm of the same paper is 2Hk2H_k2Hk​-competitive and so has better worst-case guarantees. Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young asked in 1991 whether one on-line algorithm can combine the advantages of several given ones, and answered the question exactly: the attainable combinations of ratios are characterized by one inequality (arXiv:cs/0205038, §6).

The question of combining on-line algorithms has since become a theme of its own: combining heuristics with worst-case-safe algorithms, and, more recently, combining machine-learned predictions with robust fallbacks, both ask for the same kind of guarantee against several reference algorithms at once.

Setting

A type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) consists of kkk servers and a finite set MMM of nnn vertices with the uniform metric: two distinct vertices are at distance 111. This is paging: vertices are pages, the vertices covered by servers are the pages in fast memory, and a server move is a page fault.

A deterministic on-line algorithm AAA of type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) has an initial configuration of its kkk servers and, after each request r∈Mr\in Mr∈M, moves servers so that some server covers rrr; its configuration after a request sequence depends only on that sequence. Its cost CA(σ)C_A(\sigma)CA​(σ) on a request sequence σ\sigmaσ is the total distance its servers travel, i.e. the number of server moves.

For algorithms AAA and BBB of the same type and a constant ccc, AAA is ccc-competitive against BBB if there is a constant aaa such that for every request sequence σ\sigmaσ

CA(σ)≤c⋅CB(σ)+a.C_A(\sigma)\le c\cdot C_B(\sigma)+a .CA​(σ)≤c⋅CB​(σ)+a.

A sequence c∗=(c(1),…,c(m))c^*=(c(1),\dots,c(m))c∗=(c(1),…,c(m)) of positive reals is realizable if for every type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) and every mmm deterministic on-line algorithms B(1),…,B(m)B(1),\dots,B(m)B(1),…,B(m) of that type there is a deterministic on-line algorithm AAA of the same type that is c(i)c(i)c(i)-competitive against B(i)B(i)B(i) for every iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

For m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and positive reals c(1),…,c(m)c(1),\dots,c(m)c(1),…,c(m),

c∗ is realizable  ⟺  ∑1≤i≤m1c(i)≤1.c^*\ \text{is realizable}\iff \sum_{1\le i\le m}\frac1{c(i)}\le 1 .c∗ is realizable⟺1≤i≤m∑​c(i)1​≤1.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof:

  1. Punishments are paid for. If AAA punishes BBB at a time step (an AAA-interval on a vertex vvv ends at that step and contains the end of a BBB-interval on vvv that began no later), then BBB has moved a server; the number of such steps is at most CB(σ)C_B(\sigma)CB​(σ).
  2. A fault leaves room to punish. If ∣SA∣=k|S_A|=k∣SA​∣=k, ∣SB∣≤k|S_B|\le k∣SB​∣≤k, x∈SBx\in S_Bx∈SB​ and x∉SAx\notin S_Ax∈/SA​, then some u∈SAu\in S_Au∈SA​ is not in SBS_BSB​.
  3. The greedy quota claim. If ∑i1/c(i)≤1\sum_i 1/c(i)\le 1∑i​1/c(i)≤1 and each unit of cost punishes the B(i)B(i)B(i) minimizing c(i)(PUN(i)+1)c(i)(\mathrm{PUN}(i)+1)c(i)(PUN(i)+1) (other algorithms may be punished incidentally), then after cost rrr every B(i)B(i)B(i) has been punished at least ⌊r/c(i)⌋\lfloor r/c(i)\rfloor⌊r/c(i)⌋ times.
  4. Shuttle algorithms. With 2m−12m-12m−1 servers on 2m2m2m vertices there are mmm algorithms, each keeping all vertices outside its own pair covered, no two of which move at the same step; in particular their total cost on any σ\sigmaσ is at most ∣σ∣|\sigma|∣σ∣.
  5. A forcing adversary. With 2m−12m-12m−1 servers on 2m2m2m vertices every algorithm can be forced to move at each of NNN steps, so CA(τ(N))≥NC_A(\tau(N))\ge NCA​(τ(N))≥N.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6 is an exact characterization, not a bound: the region of simultaneously attainable ratios against arbitrary deterministic paging algorithms is {c:∑1/c(i)≤1}\{c:\sum 1/c(i)\le 1\}{c:∑1/c(i)≤1}. For example, any two paging algorithms can be combined into one that is 222-competitive against each, and no better symmetric pair is possible in general. Combined with Theorem 7 of the same paper (not part of this mission), the same region is attainable against randomized algorithms, which is how LRU's practical behaviour and the marking algorithm's 2Hk2H_k2Hk​ worst-case guarantee can be obtained within constant factors by one algorithm.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1991; no machine-checked proof is known. A formal proof produces a reusable notion of competitiveness of one on-line algorithm against another, built on the published KServer_model definitions, and a formal account of the scheduling fact at the core of the sufficiency proof.

Difficulty

Sufficiency looks like an averaging argument, but the combined algorithm cannot simulate the B(i)B(i)B(i) and follow one of them: switching between their configurations costs up to kkk per switch, which no additive constant absorbs. The accounting has to charge each of AAA's faults to a specific move of a specific B(i)B(i)B(i), and the charge must be injective; the paper's claim that CB(σ)C_B(\sigma)CB​(σ) is at least the number of punishments is where this happens, and it depends on how server intervals are matched. The allocation of faults to algorithms is then a deadline-scheduling problem whose feasibility is exactly ∑1/c(i)≤1\sum 1/c(i)\le 1∑1/c(i)≤1, and the floor functions make the counting delicate at the boundary. The paper's own definition of punishment only counts intervals that start with a move, so the first kkk faults of AAA (servers on their initial vertices) need separate treatment; they are absorbed by the additive constant.

Necessity needs the right family of hard instances: the mmm algorithms must never move at the same step, which pins the type to (2m−1,2m)(2m-1,2m)(2m−1,2m).

Formalization scope

The Lean development works in the namespace CompetitivePaging.Combining and imports the published KServer_model definitions: KServer.OnlineAlgorithm k M (a configuration map from request prefixes to Fin k → M with a serving condition) and OnlineAlgorithm.cost. Committed conventions:

  • a type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) is any k : ℕ and any finite M : Type with a metric in which distinct points are at distance 111; realizability quantifies over all of them, never over one fixed type;
  • servers are labelled; each algorithm has its own initial configuration, and the additive constant aaa is chosen before the request sequence;
  • c(i)>0c(i)>0c(i)>0 and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 are hypotheses of the goal, as in the paper; without positivity, 1/0=01/0=01/0=0 in Lean would make a zero ratio free;
  • time ttt is the step processing the ttt-th request; the paper's PUN\mathrm{PUN}PUN counts time steps.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: realizability is not stated for a single fixed type, the metric is not the metric of Fin n, and the competitive constant is not allowed to depend on the request sequence.

A complete proof needs the construction of the punishing algorithm as a KServer.OnlineAlgorithm (a lazy, injective algorithm whose moves depend on the prefix and on the B(i)B(i)B(i)'s configurations), the injective charging argument, the scheduling lemma, and the explicit shuttle algorithms. The scheduling lemma and the charging lemma are independent of paging and reusable. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative statements of the sufficiency construction.

Selected references

  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive Paging Algorithms, J. Algorithms 12(4):685–699, 1991. doi:10.1016/0196-6774(91)90041-V; preprint arXiv:cs/0205038.
  • D. D. Sleator, R. E. Tarjan, Amortized efficiency of list update and paging rules, Comm. ACM 28(2):202–208, 1985. doi:10.1145/2786.2793
  • M. S. Manasse, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, J. Algorithms 11(2):208–230, 1990. doi:10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear Optimization+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems 3: Capacity Scaling for the Hitchcock ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

The Hitchcock transportation problem asks how to ship a commodity from mmm supply points to nnn demand points at minimum total cost. It was posed by Hitchcock in 1941 and is one of the founding problems of linear programming and network optimization; it is solved routinely in logistics, and its structure (a bipartite network with supplies, demands and per-unit costs) recurs in assignment, optimal transport and matching.

The classical algorithms for it, the Ford–Fulkerson primal–dual method among them, augment flow one path at a time. With integral data their number of augmentations is bounded only by the total supply ∑iai\sum_i a_i∑i​ai​, which is exponential in the number of binary digits used to write the data. Edmonds and Karp, Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems (J. ACM 19(2), 1972, doi:10.1145/321694.321699), introduced capacity scaling: solve a coarse version of the problem first, then refine one binary digit at a time. Their Theorem 9 (p. 260) bounds the total number of augmentations by a quantity proportional to max⁡(m,n)\max(m,n)max(m,n) times the number of bits of the data, which made the transportation problem, and through standard reductions the minimum-cost flow problem, one of the first network problems with a polynomial-time ("good") algorithm in the sense of Edmonds.

Timeline. Hitchcock (1941) posed the problem; Ford and Fulkerson (1956–1962) gave the primal–dual labeling method and the optimality conditions by node potentials; Edmonds and Karp (1972) gave the scaling method and the bound formalized here. Strongly polynomial algorithms, independent of the size of the numbers, came later (Tardos 1985; Orlin 1988).

Setting

The network of Figure 1 (p. 259) has a source sss, a sink ttt, supply nodes s1,…,sms_1,\dots,s_ms1​,…,sm​ and demand nodes t1,…,tnt_1,\dots,t_nt1​,…,tn​, with m,n≥1m,n\ge 1m,n≥1. Its arcs are (s,si)(s,s_i)(s,si​) with capacity aia_iai​ and cost 000; (si,tj)(s_i,t_j)(si​,tj​) with capacity +∞+\infty+∞ and cost dij≥0d_{ij}\ge 0dij​≥0; (tj,t)(t_j,t)(tj​,t) with capacity bjb_jbj​ and cost 000; and the return arc (t,s)(t,s)(t,s) with capacity +∞+\infty+∞ and cost 000. The supplies aia_iai​ and demands bjb_jbj​ are positive integers with ∑iai=∑jbj=:B\sum_i a_i=\sum_j b_j=:B∑i​ai​=∑j​bj​=:B.

A flow assigns a nonnegative number to every arc, at most the capacity, with inflow equal to outflow at every node. Write f0i=f(s,si)f_{0i}=f(s,s_i)f0i​=f(s,si​), fij=f(si,tj)f_{ij}=f(s_i,t_j)fij​=f(si​,tj​), fj0=f(tj,t)f_{j0}=f(t_j,t)fj0​=f(tj​,t); the value of fff is f(t,s)f(t,s)f(t,s), and a maximum flow is one of largest value. Its cost is ∑i,jdijfij\sum_{i,j} d_{ij} f_{ij}∑i,j​dij​fij​; a flow is extreme if no flow of the same value is cheaper. A flow is pseudo-extreme if there are real ui,vju_i, v_jui​,vj​ with ui−vj+dij≥0u_i-v_j+d_{ij}\ge 0ui​−vj​+dij​≥0 for all i,ji,ji,j and fij=0f_{ij}=0fij​=0 whenever ui−vj+dij>0u_i-v_j+d_{ij}>0ui​−vj​+dij​>0.

An augmenting path relative to fff is a sequence of distinct nodes from sss to ttt in which each step either follows an arc with spare capacity or traverses backwards an arc carrying positive flow; augmenting pushes the minimum spare amount ε\varepsilonε along it and raises f(t,s)f(t,s)f(t,s) by ε\varepsilonε.

For p≥0p\ge 0p≥0, Problem ppp has the same network and costs, with capacities ⌊ai/2p⌋\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor⌊ai​/2p⌋ and ⌊bj/2p⌋\lfloor b_j/2^p\rfloor⌊bj​/2p⌋. Choose lll with every ai,bj<2la_i,b_j<2^lai​,bj​<2l. The scaling method solves Problems l−1,l−2,…,0l-1,l-2,\dots,0l−1,l−2,…,0 in turn. Each phase performs augmentations keeping every flow pseudo-extreme, until no augmenting path is left. Problem l−1l-1l−1 starts from the zero flow, and Problem p−1p-1p−1 starts from twice the final flow of Problem ppp.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9

For every run of the scaling method, the total number ∑p<lKp\sum_{p<l} K_p∑p<l​Kp​ of flow augmentations satisfies

∑p=0l−1Kp  ≤  max⁡(m,n)(2+⌊log⁡2∑i=1maimax⁡(m,n)⌋).\sum_{p=0}^{l-1} K_p \;\le\; \max(m,n)\left(2+\left\lfloor \log_2\frac{\sum_{i=1}^m a_i}{\max(m,n)}\right\rfloor\right).p=0∑l−1​Kp​≤max(m,n)(2+⌊log2​max(m,n)∑i=1m​ai​​⌋).

The bound holds for every lll admissible for the data and every choice of costs, and is stated with the paper's constant exactly.

Milestones

  1. §1.1: augmentation preserves feasibility and raises the value by ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0; a flow is maximum iff no augmenting path exists.
  2. Theorem 8: a maximum flow is extreme iff there are potentials u0,…,umu_0,\dots,u_mu0​,…,um​, v0,…,vnv_0,\dots,v_nv0​,…,vn​ with (5a)–(5f).
  3. §2.2: a pseudo-extreme maximum flow is extreme.
  4. Lemma 3: if fff is pseudo-extreme in Problem ppp, then 2f2f2f is pseudo-extreme in Problem p−1p-1p−1.
  5. The maximum-flow value of Problem ppp is fp∗=min⁡(∑i⌊ai/2p⌋,∑j⌊bj/2p⌋)f_p^*=\min\big(\sum_i\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor,\sum_j\lfloor b_j/2^p\rfloor\big)fp∗​=min(∑i​⌊ai​/2p⌋,∑j​⌊bj​/2p⌋).
  6. Eq. (6): ∑pKp≤f0∗−∑p=1l−1fp∗\sum_p K_p\le f_0^*-\sum_{p=1}^{l-1} f_p^*∑p​Kp​≤f0∗​−∑p=1l−1​fp∗​.
  7. fp∗≥max⁡(0, B/2p−max⁡(m,n))f_p^*\ge\max\big(0,\,B/2^p-\max(m,n)\big)fp∗​≥max(0,B/2p−max(m,n)).

Significance

The result. Theorem 9 shows that scaling reduces the number of augmentations from order BBB to order max⁡(m,n)log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))\max(m,n)\log_2(B/\max(m,n))max(m,n)log2​(B/max(m,n)), which is roughly the length of the binary encoding of the data. Combined with the O(mn)O(mn)O(mn) cost of one augmentation it gives a polynomial-time algorithm for the transportation problem; through the reduction of minimum-cost flow to transportation (p. 261) it gives one for minimum-cost flow. Capacity and cost scaling became standard techniques in network optimization and in combinatorial optimization generally. Theorem 8 and the pseudo-extreme criterion are the optimality certificates for transportation, a special case of linear-programming complementary slackness.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1972. This mission produces a machine-checked version of the bound, of the exact counting argument (eq. (6)) and of the arithmetic estimate that turns it into the stated constant, together with the potential-based optimality conditions for the transportation network. To our knowledge no machine-checked bound on the number of augmentations of a flow algorithm exists on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious argument bounds the number of augmentations by the increase in flow value, since each augmentation raises the value by a positive integer. Applied to Problem 0 directly this gives only BBB. The scaling bound needs three things that the naive count does not supply. First, doubling the final flow of Problem ppp must give a feasible, still pseudo-extreme, starting flow for Problem p−1p-1p−1 (Lemma 3). Second, the gap between that start and the optimum of Problem p−1p-1p−1 must be small, which requires the exact maximum-flow value fp∗f_p^*fp∗​ of each scaled problem. Third, the telescoping sum of the gaps must be estimated against log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))\log_2(B/\max(m,n))log2​(B/max(m,n)) with the floors handled exactly. Integrality of every intermediate flow is not assumed; it has to be carried along the run from the integral capacities and the zero start.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace EdmondsKarp.Scaling. Nodes form an inductive type (s, t, src i, dst j). A flow is a structure with components f0, fx, fz, ret for the four arc families, real valued; the infinite capacities are encoded by the absence of an upper bound. IsMaxFlow is a predicate comparing values with every flow, not a supremum. Problem ppp uses natural-number division for ⌊ai/2p⌋\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor⌊ai​/2p⌋. Augmenting paths are lists of distinct nodes from s to t whose consecutive pairs have positive residual amount (resCap, valued in WithTop ℝ); they never use the return arc.

A run of the scaling method (IsScalingRun) is a family of phases F p 0,…,F p (K p)F\,p\,0,\dots,F\,p\,(K\,p)Fp0,…,Fp(Kp) for p<lp<lp<l. It starts from 000 in Problem l−1l-1l−1, restarts from 2F p (K p)2F\,p\,(K\,p)2Fp(Kp) in Problem p−1p-1p−1, and advances by one augmentation per step. Every flow is pseudo-extreme, and each phase ends with no augmenting path left. The paper's path-selection rule (minimum weight for the modified reduced costs Δˉ\bar\DeltaΔˉ) is abstracted to this invariant, which the paper states for it, so every run of the paper's method is covered.

The goal compares the count, cast to Z\mathbb{Z}Z, with max⁡(m,n) (2+⌊log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))⌋)\max(m,n)\,(2+\lfloor\log_2(B/\max(m,n))\rfloor)max(m,n)(2+⌊log2​(B/max(m,n))⌋), using Real.logb 2 and Int.floor. The constant is the printed one; neither O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) nor a weaker constant is acceptable. Positivity of all ai,bja_i,b_jai​,bj​ is a hypothesis, because without it the printed bound is false (for m=5m=5m=5, n=1n=1n=1, a=(1,0,0,0,0)a=(1,0,0,0,0)a=(1,0,0,0,0), b=(1)b=(1)b=(1) one augmentation is needed and the bound is negative). A formalization in which runs could be empty or never reach a maximum flow would trivialize the goal; the run predicate forbids this, and it is satisfiable (for instance with m=n=1m=n=1m=n=1, a=b=(1)a=b=(1)a=b=(1), l=1l=1l=1 and one augmentation).

A complete development needs max-flow/min-cut for the bipartite network, integrality of flows along a run, the exact value of fp∗f_p^*fp∗​, the telescoping identity and floor/logarithm estimates. LP duality or complementary slackness is needed only for Theorem 8. The augmenting-path and max-flow lemmas are reusable for other bipartite flow problems. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a formalization of the paper's exact Δˉ\bar\DeltaΔˉ path rule showing that it satisfies the invariant.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds, R. M. Karp, Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems, Journal of the ACM 19(2):248–264, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1145/321694.321699
  • F. L. Hitchcock, The Distribution of a Product from Several Sources to Numerous Localities, Journal of Mathematics and Physics 20:224–230, 1941. https://doi.org/10.1002/sapm1941201224
  • L. R. Ford, D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • É. Tardos, A strongly polynomial minimum cost circulation algorithm, Combinatorica 5:247–255, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579369
  • J. B. Orlin, A faster strongly polynomial minimum cost flow algorithm, Proc. STOC 1988, 377–387. https://doi.org/10.1145/62212.62249
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

On Properties of Stochastic Inventory Systems I: Using the EOQ Order Quantity in the Stochastic (Q, r) Model Raises Costs by at Most 1/8Research Paper

Motivation

The economic order quantity (EOQ) is the most widely used formula in inventory management. It assumes that demand is a deterministic constant stream. Real demand is random, and the model that accounts for this, the continuous-review (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) policy with stochastic demand, has no closed-form optimum: for decades its optimal parameters were computed numerically, one instance at a time, which gave little insight into how the stochastic system behaves. Practitioners nevertheless kept using the EOQ quantity in stochastic systems and observed that the cost penalty was small (Wagner, O'Hagan and Lundh 1965; Naddor 1975; Archibald and Silver 1978), without an analytical explanation.

Zheng (Management Science 38(1), 1992) supplied that explanation. By minimising the average cost first over the reorder point and then over the order quantity, he obtained two simple optimality equations and compared the stochastic model with the EOQ model under the same cost structure. One of the results is the goal of this mission: for every leadtime-demand distribution, using the EOQ order quantity in the stochastic system raises the average cost by at most one eighth. The paper extends Federgruen and Zheng (1988), who treated the discrete-demand version of the cost function.

Setting

A single item faces demand at rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. Orders are delivered after a fixed leadtime L>0L > 0L>0, and stockouts are backordered. Each order costs a fixed K>0K > 0K>0. Inventory is held at cost rate h>0h > 0h>0 per unit and backorders are penalised at cost rate p>0p > 0p>0 per unit. Let D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 be the demand during a leadtime, with mean E(D)=λLE(D) = \lambda LE(D)=λL. The newsvendor cost

G(y)=E[h(y−D)++p(D−y)+]G(y) = E\big[h(y - D)^+ + p(D - y)^+\big]G(y)=E[h(y−D)++p(D−y)+]

is the rate at which expected inventory costs accrue at time t+Lt + Lt+L when the inventory position at time ttt is yyy. It is convex, and it is assumed, as in the paper, to attain its minimum at a unique point y0y^0y0.

A (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) policy orders QQQ units whenever the inventory position falls to the reorder point rrr. Its long-run average cost is

c(Q,r)=λK+∫rr+QG(y) dyQ.(1)c(Q, r) = \frac{\lambda K + \int_r^{r+Q} G(y)\,dy}{Q}. \qquad (1)c(Q,r)=QλK+∫rr+Q​G(y)dy​.(1)

For a fixed Q>0Q > 0Q>0 let r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) be an optimal reorder point, and set

H(Q)=G(r(Q)) (Q>0),H(0)=G(y0),C(Q)=c(Q,r(Q)),A(Q)=QH(Q)−∫0QH(y) dy.H(Q) = G(r(Q)) \ (Q > 0),\quad H(0) = G(y^0),\quad C(Q) = c(Q, r(Q)),\quad A(Q) = Q H(Q) - \int_0^Q H(y)\,dy .H(Q)=G(r(Q)) (Q>0),H(0)=G(y0),C(Q)=c(Q,r(Q)),A(Q)=QH(Q)−∫0Q​H(y)dy.

C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) is the average cost when the reorder point is chosen optimally for QQQ; an order quantity Q∗>0Q^* > 0Q∗>0 minimising CCC over Q>0Q > 0Q>0 is the optimal order quantity, and C∗=C(Q∗)C^* = C(Q^*)C∗=C(Q∗) is the optimal cost.

The EOQ model is the special case in which the leadtime demand is the constant λL\lambda LλL. Its cost rate is Gd(y)=h(y−λL)++p(λL−y)+G_d(y) = h(y - \lambda L)^+ + p(\lambda L - y)^+Gd​(y)=h(y−λL)++p(λL−y)+, and its optimal order quantity is

Qd∗=2λK(h+p)hp.Q^*_d = \sqrt{\frac{2\lambda K(h+p)}{hp}} .Qd∗​=hp2λK(h+p)​​.

The subscript ddd marks every object of the EOQ model (rdr_drd​, HdH_dHd​, AdA_dAd​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

R=C(Qd∗)−C∗C∗  ≤  18−12(12−Qd∗Q∗)2  ≤  18.R = \frac{C(Q^*_d) - C^*}{C^*} \;\le\; \frac18 - \frac12\left(\frac12 - \frac{Q^*_d}{Q^*}\right)^2 \;\le\; \frac18 .R=C∗C(Qd∗​)−C∗​≤81​−21​(21​−Q∗Qd∗​​)2≤81​.

C(Qd∗)C(Q^*_d)C(Qd∗​) is the stochastic cost at the EOQ quantity with the reorder point re-optimised for it. The bound holds for every leadtime-demand distribution and every value of the parameters.

Milestones

In the order the goal's proof uses them:

  • Lemma 1 (joint convexity of ccc), Lemma 2 (r=r(Q)  ⟺  G(r)=G(r+Q)r = r(Q) \iff G(r) = G(r+Q)r=r(Q)⟺G(r)=G(r+Q)), Lemma 3 (properties of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q)), Corollary 1 (G(r(Q))≤max⁡(G(r),G(r+Q))G(r(Q)) \le \max(G(r), G(r+Q))G(r(Q))≤max(G(r),G(r+Q)));
  • Eq. (7) (C(Q)=(λK+∫0QH)/QC(Q) = (\lambda K + \int_0^Q H)/QC(Q)=(λK+∫0Q​H)/Q), Lemma 4 (HHH increasing, convex, asymptotic slope hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)), Lemma 5 (CCC convex), Eq. (8) (H(Q∗)=C(Q∗)H(Q^*) = C(Q^*)H(Q∗)=C(Q∗)), Theorem 1 ((Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) optimal iff c(Q,r)=G(r)=G(r+Q)c(Q,r) = G(r) = G(r+Q)c(Q,r)=G(r)=G(r+Q)), Lemma 6 (AAA increasing convex, Q=Q∗  ⟺  A(Q)=λKQ = Q^* \iff A(Q) = \lambda KQ=Q∗⟺A(Q)=λK, comparative statics in KKK);
  • Eqs. (18), (20) (the EOQ model: Hd(Q)=hpQ/(h+p)H_d(Q) = hpQ/(h+p)Hd​(Q)=hpQ/(h+p) and the formula for Qd∗Q^*_dQd∗​), Eq. (22) (Gd≤GG_d \le GGd​≤G), Lemma 7 (H0≤Hd≤HH_0 \le H_d \le HH0​≤Hd​≤H, A≤AdA \le A_dA≤Ad​), and the first inequality of Theorem 2, Qd∗≤Q∗Q^*_d \le Q^*Qd∗​≤Q∗.

Significance

The theorem is a distribution-free worst-case guarantee for the most common heuristic in inventory practice. It says that the EOQ formula, which needs only the mean demand rate and three cost parameters, loses at most 12.5%12.5\%12.5% against the true optimum, and that the loss is smaller when Qd∗/Q∗Q^*_d/Q^*Qd∗​/Q∗ is close to 12\frac1221​ or to 111. Combined with the paper's Theorem 2 (the gap Q∗−Qd∗Q^* - Q^*_dQ∗−Qd∗​ is bounded as KKK grows), it implies that the relative loss vanishes as the fixed ordering cost grows. The milestones along the way (the optimality conditions of Theorem 1, the monotonicity of the optimal reorder point, the comparison of HHH with its EOQ counterpart) are the standard structural facts about continuous (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) systems and are reused throughout the inventory literature.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked version of it, or of the (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) optimality conditions for the continuous cost (1), is known to exist. The platform has related but different formalizations: the discrete cost function with integer QQQ (InventoryControl_rqDiscrete), the (R,Q)(R, Q)(R,Q) cost under normal demand (InventoryControl_rq), and the EOQ without backorders (InventoryControl_eoq). A complete development here provides the continuous (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) machinery for an arbitrary leadtime-demand distribution.

Difficulty

The paper's proofs differentiate r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) and H(Q)H(Q)H(Q) twice (Eqs. (4), (5)), which presupposes a leadtime demand with a smooth density. The formalization does not assume one, so that discrete demand, such as the Poisson demand of the paper's own numerical study, is covered. Every step that the paper takes through derivatives, in particular the convexity of HHH and the slope bound H′≤hp/(h+p)H' \le hp/(h+p)H′≤hp/(h+p), has to be established by other means: through one-sided derivatives or chord arguments for the convex function GGG, whose kinks are where the derivative-based argument breaks. The definition of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) as a minimiser also means its existence and uniqueness must be proved before any property of HHH, CCC or AAA can be used.

Formalization scope

  • The model is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb{R}R (the law of DDD), concentrated on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), integrable, with mean λL\lambda LλL; GGG is the integral of hmax⁡(y−x,0)+pmax⁡(x−y,0)h\max(y-x,0) + p\max(x-y,0)hmax(y−x,0)+pmax(x−y,0) against μ\muμ. The standing assumptions are bundled in IsQRModel: λ,L,h,p>0\lambda, L, h, p > 0λ,L,h,p>0, the conditions on μ\muμ, and the unique minimiser of GGG (paper, p. 90). K>0K > 0K>0 is a separate hypothesis. No density is assumed.
  • ccc, r(Q)r(Q)r(Q), y0y^0y0, HHH, H0H_0H0​, CCC, AAA and optimality of an order quantity are defined for an arbitrary cost rate GGG and applied both to the newsvendor cost and to GdG_dGd​; the EOQ objects rdr_drd​, HdH_dHd​, AdA_dAd​ are these definitions at GdG_dGd​, and Eqs. (18), (20) are theorems.
  • r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) is a chosen minimiser of c(Q,⋅)c(Q,\cdot)c(Q,⋅) (never defined by G(r)=G(r+Q)G(r) = G(r+Q)G(r)=G(r+Q), which is Lemma 2). H(0):=G(y0)H(0) := G(y^0)H(0):=G(y0); right-continuity of HHH at 000 is part of the Lemma 4 milestone. Order quantities range over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for ccc and CCC and over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) for HHH, H0H_0H0​, AAA.
  • Q∗Q^*Q∗ in the goal is any Q>0Q > 0Q>0 with C(Q)≤C(Q′)C(Q) \le C(Q')C(Q)≤C(Q′) for all Q′>0Q' > 0Q′>0; Lemma 6 asserts that exactly one exists, so the goal is not vacuous. Qd∗Q^*_dQd∗​ is the explicit square-root formula.
  • Readings of informal words: "increasing" in Lemmas 4 and 6 means strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); "Q∗Q^*Q∗ increasing, r∗r^*r∗ decreasing in KKK" means strictly; "asymptotic slope hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)" means that every chord of HHH on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) has slope at most hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p) and H(Q)/Q→hp/(h+p)H(Q)/Q \to hp/(h+p)H(Q)/Q→hp/(h+p); Lemma 3 part 3 is stated as strict monotonicity of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) and r(Q)+Qr(Q) + Qr(Q)+Q, and its derivative clause −1<r′(Q)<0-1 < r'(Q) < 0−1<r′(Q)<0 is omitted because rrr need not be differentiable without a density; "the optimal order quantity" means existence and uniqueness; Lemma 7 is stated for Q≥0Q \ge 0Q≥0.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: C(Qd∗)C(Q^*_d)C(Qd∗​) is the stochastic cost with the reorder point re-optimised in the stochastic model (not the EOQ reorder point rd∗r^*_drd∗​), and no positivity of C∗C^*C∗ is assumed (it follows from the model).
  • Out of scope: the discrete cost (2), the §4 numerical study, and the unnumbered remarks after Theorem 5.
  • Needed infrastructure: interval integrals of convex functions, partial minimisation of jointly convex functions, Jensen's inequality for μ\muμ, and one-sided derivatives of convex functions. The generic (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) machinery (optimality conditions for arbitrary convex GGG) is reusable for other continuous-review models. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs that avoid the paper's differentiability assumptions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Yu-Sheng Zheng, On Properties of Stochastic Inventory Systems, Management Science 38(1):87–103, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.38.1.87
  • Awi Federgruen and Yu-Sheng Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4):808–813, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • Paul H. Zipkin, Inventory Service-Level Measures: Convexity and Approximation, Management Science 32(8):975–981, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.32.8.975
  • George Hadley and Thomson M. Whitin, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice-Hall, 1963.
  • Daniel P. Heyman and Matthew J. Sobel, Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. II, McGraw-Hill, 1984.
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Robust Mean-Covariance Solutions for Stochastic Optimization II: An Inverse S-Shaped Derivative with Finite Limits Gives the Two-Point Support PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

In stochastic optimization the law of a random return rrr is rarely known exactly, while its mean and variance can be estimated. A robust mean-covariance decision maker therefore evaluates a utility uuu by its worst case

U=inf⁡{ Eν[u(r)]:ν a law on R with mean μ and variance σ2 }.U=\inf\{\,E_\nu[u(r)] : \nu \text{ a law on } \mathbb R \text{ with mean } \mu \text{ and variance } \sigma^2\,\}.U=inf{Eν​[u(r)]:ν a law on R with mean μ and variance σ2}.

Popescu (Operations Research 55(1), 2007) shows that for large classes of utilities this infinite-dimensional problem collapses to a one-dimensional one. The paper projects multivariate problems to a single dimension (the subject of the first mission of this series) and then asks for which uuu the univariate worst case sits on laws with two support points. This mission formalizes the answer the paper gives for utilities whose marginal utility u′u'u′ is decreasing and changes curvature once, with finite limits: log-logistic utilities C+log⁡11+e−axC+\log\frac{1}{1+e^{-ax}}C+log1+e−ax1​ used in statistics and classification, and catenary-type utilities C−bcosh⁡(ax)C-b\cosh(ax)C−bcosh(ax), each plus a concave quadratic.

The result has a bounded-support precursor: Birge and Dulá (Annals of Operations Research 30, 1991, Theorem 5.1, as cited on p. 102 of Popescu 2007) proved an analogous two-point statement for functions on a bounded interval. Popescu's Proposition 5 is the unbounded version on the whole real line.

Setting

Let u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R.

  • The family Q\mathcal QQ collects the coefficient triples of quadratics lying below uuu: Q={(A,B,C)∣q(y)=Ay2+By+C≤u(y) ∀y∈R}\mathcal Q=\{(A,B,C) \mid q(y)=Ay^2+By+C\le u(y)\ \forall y\in\mathbb R\}Q={(A,B,C)∣q(y)=Ay2+By+C≤u(y) ∀y∈R}.
  • A two-point law with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, a<ba<ba<b, puts mass p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) on aaa and 1−p1-p1−p on bbb. It has mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 when pa+(1−p)b=μpa+(1-p)b=\mupa+(1−p)b=μ and p(a−μ)2+(1−p)(b−μ)2=σ2p(a-\mu)^2+(1-p)(b-\mu)^2=\sigma^2p(a−μ)2+(1−p)(b−μ)2=σ2.
  • Two-point support property (Definition 1). uuu has it with respect to (μ,σ2)(\mu,\sigma^2)(μ,σ2) if some quadratic qqq with coefficients in Q\mathcal QQ meets uuu at two points a<ba<ba<b, i.e. q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a), q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b), and a two-point law with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 exists. uuu has the two-point support property if this holds for every μ∈R\mu\in\mathbb Rμ∈R and every σ>0\sigma>0σ>0.
  • Shapes (Definition 2). f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R is convex-concave if for some x0x_0x0​ it is convex on (−∞,x0)(-\infty,x_0)(−∞,x0​) and concave on (x0,∞)(x_0,\infty)(x0​,∞); concave-convex if −f-f−f is convex-concave; S-shaped if increasing and convex-concave; inverse S-shaped if −f-f−f is S-shaped. So an inverse S-shaped fff is decreasing, concave on (−∞,x0)(-\infty,x_0)(−∞,x0​) and convex on (x0,∞)(x_0,\infty)(x0​,∞).
  • Lemma 1's quadratic. For a<ba<ba<b and slopes qa,qbq_a,q_bqa​,qb​, set
A=qb−qa2(b−a),B=bqa−aqbb−a,C=bu(a)−au(b)b−a−ab qa−qb2(b−a),A=\frac{q_b-q_a}{2(b-a)},\quad B=\frac{bq_a-aq_b}{b-a},\quad C=\frac{bu(a)-au(b)}{b-a}-ab\,\frac{q_a-q_b}{2(b-a)},A=2(b−a)qb​−qa​​,B=b−abqa​−aqb​​,C=b−abu(a)−au(b)​−ab2(b−a)qa​−qb​​,

and q(y)=Ay2+By+Cq(y)=Ay^2+By+Cq(y)=Ay2+By+C (lemma1Quad).

  • The function ggg. For μ∈R\mu\in\mathbb Rμ∈R, σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and y<μy<\muy<μ let z=μ+σ2/(μ−y)z=\mu+\sigma^2/(\mu-y)z=μ+σ2/(μ−y) (partnerPoint) and g(y)=u(z)−u(y)z−y−u′(y)+u′(z)2g(y)=\frac{u(z)-u(y)}{z-y}-\frac{u'(y)+u'(z)}{2}g(y)=z−yu(z)−u(y)​−2u′(y)+u′(z)​ (prop5Gap).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (p. 102)

If uuu is differentiable, u′u'u′ is inverse S-shaped, and the limits lim⁡y→−∞u′(y)\lim_{y\to-\infty}u'(y)limy→−∞​u′(y) and lim⁡y→+∞u′(y)\lim_{y\to+\infty}u'(y)limy→+∞​u′(y) exist and are finite, then

u satisfies the two-point support property.u \text{ satisfies the two-point support property.}u satisfies the two-point support property.

Milestones

  1. Proof of Lemma 1, first sentence. If a<ba<ba<b and u(b)−u(a)b−a=qa+qb2\frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{q_a+q_b}{2}b−au(b)−u(a)​=2qa​+qb​​, then q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a) and q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b).
  2. Tangency (p. 110). q′(a)=qaq'(a)=q_aq′(a)=qa​ and q′(b)=qbq'(b)=q_bq′(b)=qb​.
  3. Lemma 1. uuu has two-point support if and only if for all μ\muμ and σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 there are a<ba<ba<b and qa,qbq_a,q_bqa​,qb​ with
(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2,u(b)−u(a)b−a=qa+qb2,q≤u on R.(b-\mu)(\mu-a)=\sigma^2,\qquad \frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{q_a+q_b}{2},\qquad q\le u \text{ on } \mathbb R.(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2,b−au(b)−u(a)​=2qa​+qb​​,q≤u on R.
  1. Limits of ggg (p. 110). Under the goal's hypotheses, with ℓ±=lim⁡y→±∞u′(y)\ell_\pm=\lim_{y\to\pm\infty}u'(y)ℓ±​=limy→±∞​u′(y),
lim⁡y→−∞g(y)=ℓ−−u′(μ)2>0,lim⁡y→μ−g(y)=ℓ+−u′(μ)2<0.\lim_{y\to-\infty}g(y)=\frac{\ell_--u'(\mu)}{2}>0,\qquad \lim_{y\to\mu^-}g(y)=\frac{\ell_+-u'(\mu)}{2}<0 .y→−∞lim​g(y)=2ℓ−​−u′(μ)​>0,y→μ−lim​g(y)=2ℓ+​−u′(μ)​<0.
  1. A zero of ggg (p. 110). There is a<μa<\mua<μ with g(a)=0g(a)=0g(a)=0; with b=μ+σ2/(μ−a)b=\mu+\sigma^2/(\mu-a)b=μ+σ2/(μ−a) one has a<ba<ba<b, (b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2(b-\mu)(\mu-a)=\sigma^2(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2 and u(b)−u(a)b−a=u′(a)+u′(b)2\frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{u'(a)+u'(b)}{2}b−au(b)−u(a)​=2u′(a)+u′(b)​.

Significance

The result. Through the paper's Proposition 4, two-point support turns the worst-case expected utility over all laws with mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 into a minimization over a single parameter p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) of pu(μ+(1−p)/p σ)+(1−p)u(μ−p/(1−p) σ)pu(\mu+\sqrt{(1-p)/p}\,\sigma)+(1-p)u(\mu-\sqrt{p/(1-p)}\,\sigma)pu(μ+(1−p)/p​σ)+(1−p)u(μ−p/(1−p)​σ). Combined with the projection property of the paper's Section 2, this gives tractable robust counterparts of multivariate stochastic programs whose objective depends on a linear combination x′Rx'Rx′R of random returns. Proposition 5 is the paper's sufficient condition that places a concrete class of utilities in this regime; it is also closed under adding any quadratic.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked version is known. The formalization produces a checked characterization of two-point support (Lemma 1), a reusable encoding of convex-concave and S-shaped functions, and a proof of Proposition 5. The printed final step of the paper's proof is incomplete (see Difficulty), so a complete formal proof requires an argument the paper does not spell out.

Difficulty

Conditions (a) and (b) of Lemma 1 come from a sign change of ggg on (−∞,μ)(-\infty,\mu)(−∞,μ): the two limits in milestone 4 need a l'Hôpital-type argument and the continuity of a monotone derivative. The central difficulty is condition (c): showing that the quadratic built from a pair (a,b)(a,b)(a,b) lies below uuu on the whole line. The obvious argument takes any zero aaa of ggg and counts the intersections of the linear q′q'q′ with the inverse S-shaped u′u'u′. This fails when u′u'u′ is affine on an interval: a zero of ggg can then produce a quadratic that coincides with uuu on [a,b][a,b][a,b] but crosses above uuu just left of aaa. A proof must therefore choose the zero of ggg, or the pair (a,b)(a,b)(a,b), with care, and the curvature hypotheses are not strict.

Formalization scope

  • Functions are ℝ → ℝ; u′u'u′ is deriv u, and the goal assumes Differentiable ℝ u. Finite limits are Tendsto (deriv u) atBot (𝓝 l) and Tendsto (deriv u) atTop (𝓝 l) for some real l; the one-sided limit at μ\muμ is along 𝓝[<] μ.
  • "Increasing" in Definition 2 is strict (StrictMono); the paper writes "nondecreasing" for the weak notion. Convexity and concavity are ConvexOn/ConcaveOn on the open half-lines Set.Iio x₀, Set.Ioi x₀, as printed.
  • A two-point law is encoded by its mass p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) on aaa, with a<ba<ba<b; this is equivalent to a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2.
  • "Intersects it at two points a,ba,ba,b" is read as q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a) and q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b) for some a<ba<ba<b (at least two contact points). This is the reading under which Lemma 1 is an equivalence.
  • The two-point support property quantifies over σ>0\sigma>0σ>0: no two-point law has variance 000, so including σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 would make the property false for every uuu.
  • The two-point support property is defined from Definition 1 (supporting quadratic plus feasible law), not from Lemma 1's conditions, so Lemma 1 is not a tautology. Every division by b−ab-ab−a, z−yz-yz−y or μ−y\mu-yμ−y occurs under a<ba<ba<b or y<μy<\muy<μ.

Useful infrastructure: l'Hôpital's rule at infinity (Analysis/Calculus/LHopital), Darboux's theorem for derivatives, the intermediate value theorem, and one-sided limits of monotone functions. The shape definitions of Definition 2 are reusable for S-shaped value functions elsewhere (prospect theory, sigmoidal utilities). Proofs of the milestones, of the goal, and alternative arguments for condition (c) are all welcome. Related platform work: Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization II.

Selected references

  • I. Popescu, Robust Mean-Covariance Solutions for Stochastic Optimization, Operations Research 55(1):98–112, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1060.0353
  • J. R. Birge, J. H. Dulá, Bounding separable recourse functions with limited distribution information, Annals of Operations Research 30:277–298, 1991 (cited in Popescu 2007, reference list)
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 1: Logarithmic Regret of Online Gradient DescentResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization is a repeated game between a learner and an adversary. In each round t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T the learner commits to a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn; only then is a convex cost function ftf_tft​ revealed, and the learner pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). The learner is judged by its regret: its total cost minus the total cost of the best fixed point chosen in hindsight. The model covers online portfolio selection, online regression, prediction with expert advice and the analysis of stochastic gradient methods, and it is the standard language of online learning theory.

Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that projected gradient descent with step sizes of order 1/t1/\sqrt t1/t​ has regret O(GDT)O(GD\sqrt T)O(GDT​) for any convex costs with gradients bounded by GGG on a set of diameter DDD, and this rate cannot be improved for linear costs. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Machine Learning 69, 2007) asked what curvature buys. Their first result, the subject of this mission, is that the same algorithm with the faster step sizes 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht) has regret only logarithmic in TTT once every cost function is HHH-strongly convex. The paper's other three results (the Online Newton Step, Follow the Approximate Leader and Exponentially Weighted Online Optimization, for exp-concave costs) are the subject of the other missions of this series.

Setting

Fix n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N and a nonempty, closed, bounded, convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn, with the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ (§2.1, p. 171).

  • Cost functions. A sequence f1,f2,⋯:Rn→Rf_1,f_2,\dots:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf1​,f2​,⋯:Rn→R. Write ∇ft(x)\nabla f_t(x)∇ft​(x) for the gradient and ∇2ft(x)\nabla^2 f_t(x)∇2ft​(x) for the Hessian.
  • Gradient bound. A number GGG with ∥∇ft(x)∥2≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\|_2\le G∥∇ft​(x)∥2​≤G for all x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P and all rounds ttt (p. 172).
  • HHH-strong convexity (p. 172). For H>0H>0H>0, fff is HHH-strongly convex on P\mathcal PP when it is twice differentiable and ∇2f(x)⪰HIn\nabla^2 f(x)\succeq H I_n∇2f(x)⪰HIn​ for every x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P, i.e. v⊤∇2f(x)v≥H∥v∥22v^\top\nabla^2 f(x)v\ge H\|v\|_2^2v⊤∇2f(x)v≥H∥v∥22​ for all vvv.
  • Euclidean projection. ΠP(y)\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)ΠP​(y) is the point of P\mathcal PP nearest to yyy, ΠP(y)=arg⁡min⁡x∈P∥x−y∥2\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)=\arg\min_{x\in\mathcal P}\|x-y\|_2ΠP​(y)=argminx∈P​∥x−y∥2​ (IsProj P y z).
  • Online Gradient Descent (Fig. 1, p. 174), with step sizes η1,η2,…\eta_1,\eta_2,\dotsη1​,η2​,…: x1∈Px_1\in\mathcal Px1​∈P is arbitrary, and in iteration t>1t>1t>1
xt=ΠP(xt−1−ηt∇ft−1(xt−1))x_t=\Pi_{\mathcal P}\bigl(x_{t-1}-\eta_t\nabla f_{t-1}(x_{t-1})\bigr)xt​=ΠP​(xt−1​−ηt​∇ft−1​(xt−1​))

(IsOGDRun P η f x).

  • Regret (p. 171): RegretT=∑t=1Tft(xt)−min⁡x∈P∑t=1Tft(x)\mathrm{Regret}_T=\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x_t)-\min_{x\in\mathcal P}\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x)RegretT​=∑t=1T​ft​(xt​)−minx∈P​∑t=1T​ft​(x), and RegretT(OGD)\mathrm{Regret}_T(\mathrm{OGD})RegretT​(OGD) is its supremum over all cost sequences.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 175)

For H>0H>0H>0, cost functions that are HHH-strongly convex on P\mathcal PP with gradients bounded by GGG on P\mathcal PP, and any run of Online Gradient Descent whose step after round ttt is ηt+1=1/(Ht)\eta_{t+1}=1/(Ht)ηt+1​=1/(Ht), for every T≥1T\ge1T≥1 and every u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P:

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u)) ≤ G22H (1+log⁡T).\sum_{t=1}^{T}\bigl(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\bigr)\ \le\ \frac{G^2}{2H}\,\bigl(1+\log T\bigr).t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)) ≤ 2HG2​(1+logT).

This is LogRegretOCO.OGD.ogd_regret_bound. The constant is the paper's, and at T=1T=1T=1 the bound reads G2/(2H)G^2/(2H)G2/(2H).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (1), the strong-convexity inequality: for x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P, 2(f(x)−f(y))≤2∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−H∥y−x∥222(f(x)-f(y))\le 2\nabla f(x)^\top(x-y)-H\|y-x\|_2^22(f(x)−f(y))≤2∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−H∥y−x∥22​.
  2. Lemma 8 with A=InA=I_nA=In​: for a convex P\mathcal PP, z=ΠP(y)z=\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)z=ΠP​(y) and a∈Pa\in\mathcal Pa∈P, ∥y−a∥22≥∥z−a∥22\|y-a\|_2^2\ge\|z-a\|_2^2∥y−a∥22​≥∥z−a∥22​. This is already on the platform, proved, as UnderstandingML.projection_lemma, and is reused as a reference item.
  3. Eq. (2), the one-step inequality: for z=ΠP(x−ηg)z=\Pi_{\mathcal P}(x-\eta g)z=ΠP​(x−ηg), η>0\eta>0η>0, ∥g∥2≤G\|g\|_2\le G∥g∥2​≤G and u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P, 2g⊤(x−u)≤(∥x−u∥22−∥z−u∥22)/η+ηG22g^\top(x-u)\le(\|x-u\|_2^2-\|z-u\|_2^2)/\eta+\eta G^22g⊤(x−u)≤(∥x−u∥22​−∥z−u∥22​)/η+ηG2.

The last step of the argument is the harmonic-sum bound ∑t=1T1/t≤1+log⁡T\sum_{t=1}^T 1/t\le 1+\log T∑t=1T​1/t≤1+logT, which Mathlib already provides (harmonic_le_one_add_log).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 separates two regimes of online convex optimization: Θ(T)\Theta(\sqrt T)Θ(T​) regret for general convex costs and O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) for strongly convex ones, with an algorithm that costs one gradient and one projection per round. Through the online-to-batch conversion, the same step-size schedule gives the O(log⁡T/T)O(\log T/T)O(logT/T) rate of stochastic gradient descent on strongly convex objectives. The theorem is also the reference point for the paper's weaker exp-concavity assumption, under which the other three algorithms obtain O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret.

Formalizing it. The result is proved and well known; what this mission adds is a machine-checked proof with the paper's exact constant. The Prove2Me platform holds a statement of the textbook version of this theorem (Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Theorem 3.3), OnlineConvexOpt.FirstOrder.online_gradient_descent_strongly_convex_regret, but it is Disproved: its regret is written with a real infimum over the decision set, which Lean evaluates to a junk value. No proved version of the logarithmic bound is on the platform. The strong-convexity inequality, the one-step projected-gradient inequality and the telescoping argument are reusable by every later formalization of gradient methods on the platform.

Difficulty

The argument is short, and its difficulty lies in the bookkeeping. The telescoping sum of squared distances cancels exactly only with the right step-size indexing: the step taken after round ttt must be 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht). Reading Fig. 1 literally with ηt=1/(Ht)\eta_t=1/(Ht)ηt​=1/(Ht) makes the step after round ttt equal to 1/(H(t+1))1/(H(t+1))1/(H(t+1)), and the sum then leaves an uncancelled term H2∥x1−x∗∥22\frac H2\|x_1-x^*\|_2^22H​∥x1​−x∗∥22​ that the printed bound does not contain. Strong convexity is a statement about the Hessian, so the curvature inequality (1) needs a second-order Taylor expansion along a segment of P\mathcal PP; convexity of P\mathcal PP keeps the segment inside the set where the Hessian bound holds. The projection step needs the obtuse-angle property of Euclidean projection onto a convex set.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm (the sup norm of Fin n → ℝ would change the gradient bound). Cost functions are functions on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, as the paper's use of gradients and Hessians presupposes; the gradient is Mathlib's gradient, and the Hessian quadratic form is the second Fréchet derivative applied to (v,v)(v,v)(v,v). Rounds are 1-based: x 0, f 0 and η 1 are never read, and sums run over Finset.Icc 1 T. The run of the algorithm is a predicate on the whole trajectory, required at every round; the projection is a predicate (nearest point of P\mathcal PP), which is unique for nonempty closed convex P\mathcal PP.

Choices and corrections relative to the printed text:

  • Step-size index. Theorem 1 prints "step sizes ηt=1Ht\eta_t=\frac1{Ht}ηt​=Ht1​", while its proof sets ηt+1=1/(Ht)\eta_{t+1}=1/(Ht)ηt+1​=1/(Ht) for the step after round ttt. The goal uses the proof's indexing, as a hypothesis η (t + 1) = 1 / (H * t) for t≥1t\ge1t≥1 on the step sizes of Fig. 1.
  • Eq. (2). The paper prints "5∇t⊤(xt−x∗)5\nabla_t^\top(x_t-x^*)5∇t⊤​(xt​−x∗)"; the 555 is a typo for 222, and the milestone states 222. The verbatim milestone text keeps the printed 555.
  • Regret. Regret is stated against every comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P; the minimum over the compact set P\mathcal PP is attained, so this is the paper's statement. The expectation in the paper's regret is vacuous for this deterministic algorithm, and the supremum over cost sequences is the universal quantifier over fff.
  • Hypotheses. Strong convexity and the gradient bound are required for the rounds 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T only. Convexity of each ftf_tft​, a standing assumption of §2.2, follows from HHH-strong convexity on the convex set P\mathcal PP and is not added. No diameter bound enters Theorem 1.

A regret bound written with a real ⨅/sInf over P\mathcal PP, or a bound for an arbitrary sequence satisfying Eq. (2) instead of a run of the paper's algorithm, would not be Theorem 1; the goal quantifies over every comparator in P\mathcal PP and carries the run predicate, the Hessian hypothesis and the gradient bound. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: on the closed unit ball, ft(x)=H2∥x∥22f_t(x)=\frac H2\|x\|_2^2ft​(x)=2H​∥x∥22​ with G=HG=HG=H meets all of them.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the two inequalities and of the goal; a general projection lemma for positive semidefinite AAA (Lemma 8 in full, needed by the Online Newton Step mission) is reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.aaai.org/Papers/ICML/2003/ICML03-120.pdf
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., MIT Press 2022 (Theorem 3.3). https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press 2014 (Lemma 14.9, the projection lemma). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107298019
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AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Erler–Gross midpoint identity: ln(27/16) + Σ 3 m₂ₙ β₂ₙ = 0Research Paper

Motivation

In Witten's cubic open string field theory (Witten 1986) the interaction glues half-strings together, and in the usual center-of-mass variables the action contains infinitely many time derivatives. Such a theory has no evident initial value formulation, which obstructs a Hamiltonian treatment and a direct discussion of causality.

Erler and Gross (2004) show that after a unitary change of basis in which the string field depends on the lightcone component of the string midpoint x+(π/2)x^+(\pi/2)x+(π/2) (and on transverse center-of-mass coordinates), the cubic vertex contains no derivatives with respect to lightcone time. This reduces to five linear relations among the Neumann coefficients of the three-string vertex, the midpoint identities (A.6)–(A.10) of the paper. One of them, (A.8), is a closed numerical identity: a specific infinite series built from Neumann coefficients equals −ln⁡2716-\ln\frac{27}{16}−ln1627​, where ln⁡2716=V00\ln\frac{27}{16}=V_{00}ln1627​=V00​ is the zero-mode Neumann coefficient. This mission formalizes that identity and the chain of intermediate results the paper uses to prove it (Appendix B), together with a divergence statement from Section 2 explaining why other midpoint bases fail.

Setting

Define real constants AkA_kAk​ (k≥0k\ge0k≥0) by the expansion

(1+iz1−iz)1/3=exp⁡ ⁣(2i3tan⁡−1z)=1+∑n≥1A2nz2n+i∑n≥1A2n−1z2n−1.\left(\frac{1+iz}{1-iz}\right)^{1/3}=\exp\!\left(\tfrac{2i}{3}\tan^{-1}z\right)=1+\sum_{n\ge1}A_{2n}z^{2n}+i\sum_{n\ge1}A_{2n-1}z^{2n-1}.(1−iz1+iz​)1/3=exp(32i​tan−1z)=1+n≥1∑​A2n​z2n+in≥1∑​A2n−1​z2n−1.

For real zzz the left side is cos⁡(23arctan⁡z)+isin⁡(23arctan⁡z)\cos(\tfrac23\arctan z)+i\sin(\tfrac23\arctan z)cos(32​arctanz)+isin(32​arctanz), so A2nA_{2n}A2n​ is the 2n2n2n-th Taylor coefficient of cos⁡(23arctan⁡z)\cos(\tfrac23\arctan z)cos(32​arctanz) at 000 (e.g. A2=−29A_2=-\tfrac29A2​=−92​). The even Neumann vector and the vector β\betaβ are

m2n=−23 A2n2n,βk=cos⁡(kπ/2)k,so β2n=(−1)n2n.m_{2n}=-\frac23\,\frac{A_{2n}}{\sqrt{2n}},\qquad \beta_k=\frac{\cos(k\pi/2)}{\sqrt k},\quad\text{so }\beta_{2n}=\frac{(-1)^n}{\sqrt{2n}}.m2n​=−32​2n​A2n​​,βk​=k​cos(kπ/2)​,so β2n​=2n​(−1)n​.

In Lean these are ErlerGross.neumannA, ErlerGross.neumannMEven (with neumannMEven n =m2n=m_{2n}=m2n​) and ErlerGross.betaVec. Two auxiliary objects appear in the proof: the (B.3) terms

bn=22n−1−12n−23−12n−43(n≥1),b_n=\frac{2}{2n-1}-\frac{1}{2n-\frac23}-\frac{1}{2n-\frac43}\qquad(n\ge1),bn​=2n−12​−2n−32​1​−2n−34​1​(n≥1),

(ErlerGross.b3Term) and the κ\kappaκ-basis integrand

g(κ)=1−cosh⁡πκ21+2cosh⁡πκ2⋅12κsinh⁡πκ2g(\kappa)=\frac{1-\cosh\frac{\pi\kappa}{2}}{1+2\cosh\frac{\pi\kappa}{2}}\cdot\frac{1}{2\kappa\sinh\frac{\pi\kappa}{2}}g(κ)=1+2cosh2πκ​1−cosh2πκ​​⋅2κsinh2πκ​1​

(ErlerGross.kappaIntegrand), which arises from the continuous spectrum κ∈R\kappa\in\mathbb Rκ∈R of the Neumann matrices (Rastelli–Sen–Zwiebach 2001).

Formalization targets

Goal — midpoint identity (A.8)

ln⁡2716+∑n≥13 m2nβ2n=0,\ln\frac{27}{16}+\sum_{n\ge1}3\,m_{2n}\beta_{2n}=0,ln1627​+n≥1∑​3m2n​β2n​=0,

formalized as: the series ∑n≥13m2nβ2n\sum_{n\ge1}3m_{2n}\beta_{2n}∑n≥1​3m2n​β2n​ converges absolutely (Lean HasSum) to −ln⁡2716-\ln\frac{27}{16}−ln1627​.

Milestones (Appendix B and Section 2)

  • κ\kappaκ-basis representation: ggg is integrable and ∑n≥13m2nβ2n=2∫Rg\sum_{n\ge1}3m_{2n}\beta_{2n}=2\int_{\mathbb R}g∑n≥1​3m2n​β2n​=2∫R​g.
  • Residue evaluation: ∫Rg=∑n≥1bn\int_{\mathbb R}g=\sum_{n\ge1}b_n∫R​g=∑n≥1​bn​.
  • Eq. (B.3): ∑n≥13m2nβ2n=2∑n≥1bn\sum_{n\ge1}3m_{2n}\beta_{2n}=2\sum_{n\ge1}b_n∑n≥1​3m2n​β2n​=2∑n≥1​bn​.
  • Auxiliary series: ∑n≥11n(2n+1)=2−2ln⁡2\sum_{n\ge1}\frac{1}{n(2n+1)}=2-2\ln2∑n≥1​n(2n+1)1​=2−2ln2 and ∑n≥11n(9n2−1)=32(ln⁡3−1)\sum_{n\ge1}\frac{1}{n(9n^2-1)}=\frac32(\ln3-1)∑n≥1​n(9n2−1)1​=23​(ln3−1).
  • Closed form: ∑n≥1bn=−12ln⁡2716\sum_{n\ge1}b_n=-\frac12\ln\frac{27}{16}∑n≥1​bn​=−21​ln1627​.
  • Integral formula: ∫0∞cosh⁡axcosh⁡bx dx=π2b1cos⁡πa2b\int_0^\infty\frac{\cosh ax}{\cosh bx}\,dx=\frac{\pi}{2b}\frac{1}{\cos\frac{\pi a}{2b}}∫0∞​coshbxcoshax​dx=2bπ​cos2bπa​1​ for complex a,ba,ba,b with ∣ℜa∣<ℜb|\Re a|<\Re b∣ℜa∣<ℜb.
  • Section 2: for any real regulator with ω2n→0\omega_{2n}\to0ω2n​→0, ∑n≥1((−1)n−ω2n)22n=+∞\sum_{n\ge1}\frac{((-1)^n-\omega_{2n})^2}{2n}=+\infty∑n≥1​2n((−1)n−ω2n​)2​=+∞.

Significance

In the paper, (A.8) is one of the relations which, together with (A.6), (A.7), (A.9), (A.10), removes lightcone-time derivatives from the cubic vertex. This is what gives the theory an initial value formulation in lightcone time and makes the Hamiltonian BRST quantization of Section 4 possible. Unlike the other four identities, which are relations between distributions and are verified in the paper's spectral basis, (A.8) is an equality of real numbers. It can therefore be checked completely in Lean.

A complete formalization would produce a machine-checked proof of a Neumann-coefficient identity. It would also add reusable material: Taylor coefficients of exp⁡(2i3arctan⁡z)\exp(\tfrac{2i}{3}\arctan z)exp(32i​arctanz), the cosh⁡/cosh⁡\cosh/\coshcosh/cosh integral, and digamma-type evaluations of rational series.

Difficulty

The goal defines m2nm_{2n}m2n​ through Taylor coefficients, which have no closed form. The paper does not sum the series in the mode basis. It moves to the continuous κ\kappaκ basis of the Neumann spectrum and closes a contour. That step rests on eigenvector expansions v2n(κ)v_{2n}(\kappa)v2n​(κ) and the principal-value distribution β(κ)\beta(\kappa)β(κ), neither of which is in Mathlib. A direct route has to connect the coefficients A2nA_{2n}A2n​ to the integral ∫g\int g∫g, or to the series ∑bn\sum b_n∑bn​, some other way. The terms of ∑bn\sum b_n∑bn​ decay like n−2n^{-2}n−2. The terms (−1)nA2n/n(-1)^nA_{2n}/n(−1)nA2n​/n of the goal series decay only like n−5/3n^{-5/3}n−5/3, so the goal series converges slowly.

Formalization scope

  • All quantities are real. AkA_kAk​ is given as f(k)(0)/k!f^{(k)}(0)/k!f(k)(0)/k! for f=cos⁡(23arctan⁡⋅)f=\cos(\tfrac23\arctan\cdot)f=cos(32​arctan⋅) (even kkk) or sin⁡(23arctan⁡⋅)\sin(\tfrac23\arctan\cdot)sin(32​arctan⋅) (odd kkk), using Mathlib's iteratedDeriv.
  • Series are indexed from n=1n=1n=1 by shifting the Lean index n↦n+1n\mapsto n+1n↦n+1. HasSum is unconditional (equivalently absolute) convergence. Every statement asserts convergence, so no statement can hold only because Lean assigns 000 to a divergent tsum.
  • g(0)=0g(0)=0g(0)=0 by Lean's convention x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0. This single point does not affect the integral.
  • Source misprints corrected: the paper's first auxiliary formula prints ∑1n(2n+1)=2−ln⁡2\sum\frac{1}{n(2n+1)}=2-\ln2∑n(2n+1)1​=2−ln2. The true value is 2−2ln⁡2≈0.61372-2\ln2\approx0.61372−2ln2≈0.6137, and that value is formalized. The formula for m2nm_{2n}m2n​ is printed with left side m2mm_{2m}m2m​.
  • In the Section 2 statement the dimension factor D>0D>0D>0 is omitted, and only divergence to +∞+\infty+∞ is asserted, not the logarithmic rate.
  • Not formalized: the identities (A.6), (A.7), (A.9), (A.10), eq. (B.2), and the eigenvectors vn(κ)v_n(\kappa)vn​(κ). Contributions that build this spectral machinery are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. G. Erler, D. J. Gross, Locality, Causality, and an Initial Value Formulation for Open String Field Theory, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-th/0406199
  • E. Witten, Noncommutative Geometry and String Field Theory, Nucl. Phys. B 268 (1986) 253. https://doi.org/10.1016/0550-3213(86)90155-0
  • L. Rastelli, A. Sen, B. Zwiebach, Star Algebra Spectroscopy, JHEP 2002. https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-th/0111281
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: naimengye

Multi-armed Bandit Allocation Indices II: Jobs, Parallel Machines, Search and Bandit-Dependent DiscountingTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 3 of Gittins, Glazebrook and Weber, Multi-armed Bandit Allocation Indices (2nd ed., doi:10.1002/9780470980033), asks which of the assumptions behind the index theorem can be dropped and which cannot, using the simplest bandit processes there are: jobs, which pay a single reward when they complete. Along the way it settles three questions that matter on their own. When identical machines run in parallel, which schedule of deterministic jobs minimizes the total completion time (Baker's theorem), and what does the equal-ratio case look like (Theorem 3.3)? When an object is hidden in one of several boxes and each search costs money and may fail, in what order should the boxes be searched (Blackwell's search-index theorem, Theorem 3.6)? And when two bandit processes discount at different rates, is there still an index policy (Nash's Theorem 3.4)? The search theorem is the chapter's example of what the index machinery yields once undiscounted criteria are admitted through the limit γ↓0\gamma \downarrow 0γ↓0; the scheduling results are the source of the counterexamples that show a second machine breaks the index structure.

Setting

Jobs on parallel machines. There are nnn jobs with service times si>0s_i > 0si​>0 and weights cic_ici​, and mmm identical machines. A schedule assigns each job a machine and a position in that machine's processing order; each machine processes its jobs consecutively. The completion time CiC_iCi​ of a job is the total service time of the jobs on its machine up to and including it; the flow time is ∑iCi\sum_i C_i∑i​Ci​ and the weighted flow time ∑iciCi\sum_i c_i C_i∑i​ci​Ci​. The load of a machine is the total service time assigned to it, and δj\delta_jδj​ is its excess over the average S/mS/mS/m. The SPT list schedule sorts the jobs by increasing service time and deals them out cyclically to the machines. The level of a job is its position counted from the end of its machine's schedule.

The search problem (Problem 3). A stationary object is hidden in one of nnn boxes, in box iii with probability pip_ipi​. A search of box iii costs cic_ici​ and finds the object with probability qiq_iqi​ if it is there. A search policy is a sequence of boxes; after NiN_iNi​ unsuccessful searches of box iii the posterior probability that the object is there is proportional to pi(1−qi)Nip_i(1-q_i)^{N_i}pi​(1−qi​)Ni​, and the search index of the box is pi′qi/cip'_i q_i/c_ipi′​qi​/ci​, the current probability of finding the object per unit cost. The expected cost of a policy is ∑kcσkPr⁡[not found by the first k searches]\sum_k c_{\sigma_k}\Pr[\text{not found by the first } k \text{ searches}]∑k​cσk​​Pr[not found by the first k searches].

Two discount factors. Bandit process AAA (state space SAS_ASA​, kernel PAP_APA​, reward rAr_ArA​) discounts at rate aaa and BBB at rate bbb; a reward obtained at time ttt is worth ata^tat or btb^tbt times its face value according to which process produced it. The cross indices are νAB(x)=sup⁡τ>0E∑t<τatrA(x(t))/E[1−bτ]\nu_{AB}(x) = \sup_{\tau>0} \mathbb{E}\sum_{t<\tau} a^t r_A(x(t)) \big/ \mathbb{E}[1 - b^\tau]νAB​(x)=supτ>0​E∑t<τ​atrA​(x(t))/E[1−bτ] and νBA(y)\nu_{BA}(y)νBA​(y) with the roles exchanged: each is computed from one process's stopping times but with the other's discount factor in the denominator. The book prints the denominator as E∫0τbt dt\mathbb{E}\int_0^\tau b^t\,dtE∫0τ​btdt and compares νAB(x)\nu_{AB}(x)νAB​(x) with νBA(y)\nu_{BA}(y)νBA​(y) at every time; both are corrected here (see the Theorem 3.4 item), since the printed rule is not optimal. The family is the two-armed Markov bandit of the Bandit Algorithms model on the disjoint union SA⊕SBS_A \oplus S_BSA​⊕SB​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.6

For prior probabilities pi≥0p_i \ge 0pi​≥0 summing to one, detection probabilities 0<qi≤10 < q_i \le 10<qi​≤1 and costs ci>0c_i > 0ci​>0, a search policy is optimal if and only if at every step it searches a box of maximal current index pi′qi/cip'_i q_i / c_ipi′​qi​/ci​:

optimal(σ)  ⟺  ∀k, ∀i: pi(1−qi)Ni(k)qici≤pσk(1−qσk)Nσk(k)qσkcσk.\text{optimal}(\sigma) \iff \forall k,\ \forall i:\ \frac{p_i (1-q_i)^{N_i(k)} q_i}{c_i} \le \frac{p_{\sigma_k}(1-q_{\sigma_k})^{N_{\sigma_k}(k)} q_{\sigma_k}}{c_{\sigma_k}}.optimal(σ)⟺∀k, ∀i: ci​pi​(1−qi​)Ni​(k)qi​​≤cσk​​pσk​​(1−qσk​​)Nσk​​(k)qσk​​​.

Milestones

Theorem 3.3, as the identity ∑iciCi=κ2(∑isi2+S2/m+∑jδj2)\sum_i c_i C_i = \frac{\kappa}{2}\big(\sum_i s_i^2 + S^2/m + \sum_j \delta_j^2\big)∑i​ci​Ci​=2κ​(∑i​si2​+S2/m+∑j​δj2​) when ci=κsic_i = \kappa s_ici​=κsi​; Theorem 3.4 in discrete time and corrected, that a policy selecting, at time ttt, AAA when atνAB(x)>btνBA(y)a^t \nu_{AB}(x) > b^t \nu_{BA}(y)atνAB​(x)>btνBA​(y) and BBB when atνAB(x)<btνBA(y)a^t \nu_{AB}(x) < b^t \nu_{BA}(y)atνAB​(x)<btνBA​(y) attains the supremum of the bandit-dependently discounted payoff; Theorem 3.7, that SPT minimizes the flow time on mmm machines and that the optimal schedules are exactly those placing the rrr-th block of mmm longest jobs at level rrr from the end, for some order of the equal jobs.

Significance

Theorem 3.6 is the classical solution of the discrete search problem (Blackwell, reported by Matula 1964; Kadane 1969): the greedy rule in probability-per-cost is optimal, and every optimal policy is of that form. The book derives it from the index theorem through an auxiliary family of bandit processes (Problem 3A) and the undiscounted limit (Corollary 3.5), which is why it sits in this chapter; as a statement it is elementary and self-contained, and it is the template for the tax problems and Klimov's model of Chapter 4. Theorem 3.7 and Theorem 3.3 are the positive results about parallel machines that survive the loss of the index structure; Theorem 3.4 shows the index theorem's shape persisting under bandit-dependent discounting, with two twists: each index depends on the other process's discount factor, which is exactly why it does not extend to three processes, and the comparison at time ttt weighs the indices by ata^tat and btb^tbt, so the rule is not stationary in the states. The printed statement misses the second twist and misnormalizes the first; two one-state bandits paying 0.180.180.18 (a=0.9a = 0.9a=0.9) and 111 (b=0.5b = 0.5b=0.5) are best played B,B,BB, B, BB,B,B and then AAA forever, which no stationary rule does.

None of these is machine-checked. Formalizing them gives the platform an optimality theorem for an infinite-horizon search process with an explicit index characterization in both directions, the standard parallel-machine flow-time results with a precise uniqueness clause, and a first statement on the Bandit Algorithms two-armed model with unequal discounting.

Difficulty

For Theorem 3.6 the obvious route, comparing two adjacent searches, gives only that interchanging a pair in the wrong index order lowers the cost; turning that into optimality over all infinite sequences needs that an optimal policy exists (costs are bounded below by zero and the index policy has finite cost), that a policy neglecting a box of positive prior has infinite cost, and that any first deviation from the index rule can be improved by moving a later search forward, which requires tracking how the not-found probability changes along the whole tail. The converse direction is the same interchange run backwards, and the tie case must be handled so that the equivalence is exact. Theorem 3.7's first part follows from writing the flow time as ∑iℓisi\sum_i \ell_i s_i∑i​ℓi​si​ with ℓi\ell_iℓi​ the level and applying a rearrangement inequality over the multiset of levels, but the multiset of levels itself depends on how many jobs each machine gets, so balancing the machine counts is part of the argument; the uniqueness clause needs both that the multiset is forced and that the pairing of levels with service times is forced by strict monotonicity. Theorem 3.4 is the hardest: the book's proof changes the time scale of each process so that the two share a discount factor, which produces a semi-Markov family, and applies the index theorem there; in discrete time on the Markov model one needs either a discrete analogue of that argument or a direct prevailing-charge proof with two charge scales.

Formalization scope

Schedules are assignments of machines and positions with distinct positions on a machine, without idling; the flow-time quantities are finite sums over Fin n. The SPT schedule is defined by the ascending rank of a job (ties broken by index) and carries its own injectivity proof. The search cost is a series in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞] of nonnegative terms, so no summability hypothesis is needed and "infinite cost" is literal; the index is stated unnormalized, pi(1−qi)Niqi/cip_i(1-q_i)^{N_i} q_i/c_ipi​(1−qi​)Ni​qi​/ci​, which orders the boxes exactly as the posterior index does. The two-discount family uses the platform's MarkovBanditPolicy 2 (S_A ⊕ S_B) and markovBanditMeasure with the kernel that moves an AAA-state by PAP_APA​ and a BBB-state by PBP_BPB​; the payoff is the round-by-round series ∑t(atE[r1{At=A}]+btE[r1{At=B}])\sum_t (a^t \mathbb{E}[r\mathbf 1\{A_t = A\}] + b^t \mathbb{E}[r\mathbf 1\{A_t = B\}])∑t​(atE[r1{At​=A}]+btE[r1{At​=B}]), absolutely summable for bounded rewards, and the policy condition is imposed at histories whose current states have the right types (all reachable histories do). Hypotheses: m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, service times positive; pi≥0p_i \ge 0pi​≥0, ∑pi=1\sum p_i = 1∑pi​=1, 0<qi≤10 < q_i \le 10<qi​≤1, ci>0c_i > 0ci​>0; countable state spaces, bounded rewards, a,b∈(0,1)a, b \in (0,1)a,b∈(0,1).

Trivializing readings are excluded: the search "iff" is over all sequences, not a finite horizon; the uniqueness clause is stated in full, with ties resolved by any ranking of the equal jobs; the cross indices are suprema over positive stopping times (denominators at least one), and the two-discount rule weighs the indices by ata^tat, btb^tbt. Welcome contributions: the rearrangement and level-count lemmas for schedules, the interchange lemma for the search cost, and a discrete prevailing-charge argument for Theorem 3.4.

Selected references

  • J. Gittins, K. Glazebrook, R. Weber, Multi-armed Bandit Allocation Indices, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2011, Chapter 3. doi:10.1002/9780470980033
  • D. W. Matula, A periodic optimal search, American Mathematical Monthly 71(1), 1964. doi:10.2307/2311300
  • J. B. Kadane, Quiz show problems, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 27(3), 1969. doi:10.1016/0022-247X(69)90140-2
  • K. R. Baker, Introduction to Sequencing and Scheduling, Wiley, 1974.
  • P. Nash, A generalized bandit problem, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 42(2), 1980. doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1980.tb01119.x
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AnalysisNumerical Analysis·Captain: Lucas

Métodos Numéricos (Freitas) VII: EDOs, Método de Picard e Erro Global de EulerTextbook

Motivation

An initial value problem y′=f(x,y)y' = f(x,y)y′=f(x,y), y(x0)=y0y(x_0) = y_0y(x0​)=y0​, is the standard way a law of motion, a growth model or a circuit equation is written down, and only a small minority of such problems can be integrated in closed form. Single-step methods advance the solution by small increments: Euler's method takes the tangent line at the current point, and the higher-order Runge-Kutta schemes refine the same idea. What justifies them is a pair of theorems: that the problem has a unique solution at all, and that the computed polygon approaches that solution as the step size decreases.

This mission is the seventh in a series formalizing the lecture notes Métodos Numéricos by Sergio Roberto de Freitas (UFMS, 2000). It covers Chapter 9, Métodos Numéricos para EDO's, up to the convergence of Euler's method.

Setting

Consider the initial value problem

y′=f(x,y),qquady(x0)=y0,y' = f(x,y), \\qquad y(x_0) = y_0,y′=f(x,y),qquady(x0​)=y0​,

with fff defined on a rectangle D=[x0−a,x0+a]times[y0−b,y0+b]D = [x_0-a, x_0+a]\\times[y_0-b, y_0+b]D=[x0​−a,x0​+a]times[y0​−b,y0​+b].

Picard's method replaces the differential equation by the integral equation y(x)=y0+intx0xf(t,y(t)),dty(x) = y_0 + \\int_{x_0}^{x} f(t, y(t))\\,dty(x)=y0​+intx0​x​f(t,y(t)),dt and iterates it:

y0(x)=y0,qquadyk+1(x)=y0+intx0xf(t,yk(t)),dt.y_0(x) = y_0, \\qquad y_{k+1}(x) = y_0 + \\int_{x_0}^{x} f(t, y_k(t))\\,dt .y0​(x)=y0​,qquadyk+1​(x)=y0​+intx0​x​f(t,yk​(t)),dt.

With M=maxD∣f∣M = \\max_D |f|M=maxD​∣f∣, N=maxD∣partialf/partialy∣N = \\max_D |\\partial f/\\partial y|N=maxD​∣partialf/partialy∣ and h=mina,b/Mh = \\min\\{a, b/M\\}h=mina,b/M, the source states the bound ∣varphi(x)−yk(x)∣lefracMNk−1k!hk|\\varphi(x) - y_k(x)| \\le \\frac{M N^{k-1}}{k!}h^k∣varphi(x)−yk​(x)∣lefracMNk−1k!hk on [x0−h,x0+h][x_0-h, x_0+h][x0​−h,x0​+h], where varphi\\varphivarphi is the exact solution.

Euler's method with step hhh produces yi+1=yi+hf(xi,yi)y_{i+1} = y_i + h f(x_i, y_i)yi+1​=yi​+hf(xi​,yi​), xi=x0+ihx_i = x_0 + ihxi​=x0​+ih. Its local error is O(h2)O(h^2)O(h2) per step and its global error O(h)O(h)O(h).

Target

The goal theorem is the global error statement: for an initial value problem whose exact solution varphi\\varphivarphi is twice continuously differentiable on [x0,X][x_0, X][x0​,X] and whose right-hand side is Lipschitz in yyy there, there is a constant CCC such that for every step size hin(0,1]h \\in (0,1]hin(0,1] and every grid point x0+ihleXx_0 + ih \\le Xx0​+ihleX,

∣yi−varphi(x0+ih)∣leCh.|y_i - \\varphi(x_0+ih)| \\le C h .∣yi​−varphi(x0​+ih)∣leCh.

This is the precise form of the source's assertion E=O(h)E = O(h)E=O(h).

The milestones are the results the chapter states on the way: local existence and uniqueness for the initial value problem under a Lipschitz condition in yyy (Teorema 9.4.1), the Picard error bound, the convergence of the Picard iterates to the solution, and the one-step Taylor identity behind Euler's method.

Significance

The global error bound is what makes Euler's method a method rather than a heuristic: it converts an arbitrary choice of step size into a guaranteed accuracy, and it exhibits the characteristic loss of one order between the local error O(h2)O(h^2)O(h2) and the global error O(h)O(h)O(h) that recurs for every single-step scheme. The existence and uniqueness theorem is the prerequisite for all of it — without uniqueness there is no well-defined object for the numerical solution to approximate — and the Picard iteration is both the constructive proof of that theorem and a method in its own right.

Difficulty

The global error proof has to handle the interaction of two error sources: the local truncation error at each step and the amplification of previous errors by the Lipschitz constant, which gives the discrete Gronwall recursion ei+1le(1+hL)ei+Ch2e_{i+1} \\le (1+hL)e_i + Ch^2ei+1​le(1+hL)ei​+Ch2. Carrying that recursion to the closed-form bound, and doing it uniformly in hhh, is the core of the mission. The Picard bound requires the iterates to remain inside the rectangle so that the hypotheses on fff continue to apply — that is what the choice h=mina,b/Mh = \\min\\{a, b/M\\}h=mina,b/M is for — and an induction on kkk with the factorial denominator.

Formalization scope

The unknown is a real function of a real variable and fff is a function of two real variables. A solution is a function varphi\\varphivarphi satisfying varphi(x0)=y0\\varphi(x_0)=y_0varphi(x0​)=y0​ and having derivative f(x,varphi(x))f(x,\\varphi(x))f(x,varphi(x)) at every point of the relevant interval. The Lipschitz condition in the second variable is stated explicitly, ∣f(x,u)−f(x,v)∣leL∣u−v∣|f(x,u)-f(x,v)| \\le L|u-v|∣f(x,u)−f(x,v)∣leL∣u−v∣, in place of the source's hypothesis that partialf/partialy\\partial f/\\partial ypartialf/partialy is bounded; for the global-error goal it is assumed for all real u,vu,vu,v and all xxx in the interval, and in the Picard milestones only inside the rectangle. Uniqueness is stated as agreement of any two solutions on the interval, not as uniqueness of a function on all of mathbbR\\mathbb{R}mathbbR, since a solution is unconstrained outside the interval. Euler's iterates and the Picard iterates are explicit recursive definitions; the Picard integral is the interval integral, which is total, so no integrability side condition appears in the definition. The constant CCC in the goal is asserted to exist and to be positive, uniformly over step sizes in (0,1](0,1](0,1]; the restriction hle1h \\le 1hle1 merely normalizes the range of steps considered.

Selected references

  • S. R. Freitas, Métodos Numéricos, Departamento de Computação e Estatística, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, 2000. Chapter 9, Métodos Numéricos para EDO's, pp. 183–213. (Course notes supplied with this mission.)
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

High-Dimensional Statistics II: Talagrand's Convex Concentration InequalityTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 2's tail bounds mostly rest on moment-generating-function control, obtained either directly (sub-Gaussianity) or through explicit combinatorial arguments (Hoeffding, bounded differences). The entropic method offers a different, more structural route: bound a specific information-theoretic quantity — the φ\varphiφ-entropy of eλXe^{\lambda X}eλX — and convert that bound mechanically into a tail bound via a short ODE argument (the Herbst argument). This method's real payoff appears once it is combined with the tensorization property of entropy across independent coordinates, which is what lets it handle Lipschitz functions of many independent variables — including cases, such as separately convex functions, that elude the purely martingale-based techniques of Chapter 2. This mission formalizes the entropic method's two foundational entropy-to-tail conversions and its central Lipschitz-concentration application, following Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint (Cambridge University Press, 2019), Chapter 3.

Setting

For φ(u):=ulog⁡u\varphi(u):=u\log uφ(u):=ulogu (u>0u>0u>0), φ(0):=0\varphi(0):=0φ(0):=0, the φ\varphiφ-entropy of a nonnegative random variable ZZZ is H(Z):=E[Zlog⁡Z]−E[Z]log⁡E[Z]H(Z):=\mathbb E[Z\log Z]-\mathbb E[Z]\log\mathbb E[Z]H(Z):=E[ZlogZ]−E[Z]logE[Z] (Eqs. (3.1)-(3.2)). Writing φX(λ):=E[eλX]\varphi_X(\lambda):=\mathbb E[e^{\lambda X}]φX​(λ):=E[eλX] for the moment generating function of XXX, the entropy of eλXe^{\lambda X}eλX has the explicit form H(eλX)=λφX′(λ)−φX(λ)log⁡φX(λ)H(e^{\lambda X}) = \lambda\varphi_X'(\lambda) -\varphi_X(\lambda)\log\varphi_X(\lambda)H(eλX)=λφX′​(λ)−φX​(λ)logφX​(λ) (Eq. (3.3)).

A function f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R is separately convex if, for each coordinate kkk, the univariate function obtained by fixing every coordinate but the kkk-th is convex — strictly weaker than joint convexity of fff itself. fff is LLL-Lipschitz with respect to the Euclidean norm if ∣f(x)−f(x′)∣≤L∥x−x′∥2|f(x)-f(x')|\le L\|x-x'\|_2∣f(x)−f(x′)∣≤L∥x−x′∥2​ for all x,x′x,x'x,x′.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 3.4 (separately convex Lipschitz concentration)

Let {Xi}i=1n\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n{Xi​}i=1n​ be independent, each supported on [a,b][a,b][a,b], and fff separately convex and LLL-Lipschitz. Then for all δ>0\delta>0δ>0,

P[f(X)≥E[f(X)]+δ]  ≤  exp⁡(−δ24L2(b−a)2).\mathbb P[f(X)\ge\mathbb E[f(X)]+\delta] \;\le\; \exp\Big(-\frac{\delta^2}{4L^2(b-a)^2}\Big).P[f(X)≥E[f(X)]+δ]≤exp(−4L2(b−a)2δ2​).

Milestone — Proposition 3.2 (the Herbst argument)

If H(eλX)≤12σ2λ2φX(λ)H(e^{\lambda X})\le\tfrac12\sigma^2\lambda^2\varphi_X(\lambda)H(eλX)≤21​σ2λ2φX​(λ) for all λ∈I\lambda\in Iλ∈I (I=[0,∞)I=[0,\infty)I=[0,∞) or R\mathbb RR), then log⁡E[eλ(X−E[X])]≤12λ2σ2\log\mathbb E[e^{\lambda(X-\mathbb E[X])}]\le \tfrac12\lambda^2\sigma^2logE[eλ(X−E[X])]≤21​λ2σ2 for all λ∈I\lambda\in Iλ∈I — the basic entropy-to-sub-Gaussian-tail conversion.

Milestone — Proposition 3.3 (the Bernstein entropy bound)

The sub-exponential analogue: if H(eλX)≤λ2{bφX′(λ)+φX(λ)(σ2−bE[X])}H(e^{\lambda X})\le\lambda^2\{b\varphi_X'(\lambda)+ \varphi_X(\lambda)(\sigma^2-b\mathbb E[X])\}H(eλX)≤λ2{bφX′​(λ)+φX​(λ)(σ2−bE[X])} for λ∈[0,1/b)\lambda\in[0,1/b)λ∈[0,1/b), then log⁡E[eλ(X−E[X])]≤σ2λ2(1−bλ)−1\log\mathbb E[e^{\lambda(X-\mathbb E[X])}]\le\sigma^2\lambda^2(1-b\lambda)^{-1}logE[eλ(X−E[X])]≤σ2λ2(1−bλ)−1 on the same range.

Significance

Propositions 3.2 and 3.3 are the two basic entropy-to-tail conversions the entire chapter's entropic method rests on — every subsequent Lipschitz-concentration result in the chapter (including Theorem 3.4 and the more advanced Theorem 3.24) is obtained by first establishing an entropy bound of one of these two forms and then invoking the corresponding proposition. Theorem 3.4 is itself the direct analogue, for independent bounded variables, of Chapter 2's Gaussian Lipschitz concentration (Theorem 2.26) — but crucially requires the extra hypothesis of separate convexity, which the Gaussian case does not need and which cannot be dropped in general.

Formalizing it. No faithful prior art exists on the platform. The one candidate flagged in BRIEF.md, Talagrand.lipschitz_concentration, was read in full: it is a weighted-Hamming- distance concentration bound for functions on a finite-alphabet product space Fin n → α, proved via Talagrand's convex-distance method — a different underlying space (finite alphabet vs. real-valued bounded coordinates) and a different Lipschitz norm (weighted Hamming vs. Euclidean) from Theorem 3.4, and not reused here. A search for "log-Sobolev" and "Herbst" turned up bousquet_herbst_cgf_le_phi_via_herbst/bousquet_herbst_cgf_le_phi_double_integration: these are abstract calculus lemmas about a generic function GGG satisfying an ODE-type growth condition (G′′≤vexG''\le ve^xG′′≤vex), concluding G(L)≤v(eL−1−L)G(L)\le v(e^L-1-L)G(L)≤v(eL−1−L) — a genuinely different statement shape from Proposition 3.2/3.3's entropy-to-CGF conversions (which conclude a quadratic, not exponential, bound on log⁡E[eλ(X−EX)]\log\mathbb E[e^{\lambda(X-\mathbb EX)}]logE[eλ(X−EX)]), and not a faithful match. All three theorems here are drafted as open goals (:= by sorry).

Difficulty

The naive approach to Theorem 3.4 — try to adapt the bounded-differences (martingale) method of Chapter 2 directly — fails, because the bounded-differences method needs fff to have small coordinatewise oscillation in an absolute sense, while separate convexity alone gives no such uniform bound (a separately convex function can vary arbitrarily fast within the interior of its domain, only its slope is controlled by the Lipschitz condition). The entropic method sidesteps this by working with the φ\varphiφ-entropy of eλf(X)e^{\lambda f(X)}eλf(X) directly: entropy has a tensorization property across independent coordinates (not itself part of this mission, but what the entropic method's proof of Theorem 3.4 uses) that reduces a multivariate entropy bound to a sum of "one coordinate at a time" contributions, each of which convexity and the Lipschitz condition jointly control — a route with no analogue in the bounded-differences approach.

Formalization scope

Separate convexity and Euclidean-Lipschitzness are both restated locally in this chapter's own sub-namespace (HighDimStat.Concentration), per this book series' rule against importing another chapter's draft definitions, even though Chapter 2 already defines an IsLLipschitz for the same Euclidean condition. φ_X'(\lambda)$ (Proposition 3.3) is realized via Mathlib's deriv, a legitimate way to state a hypothesis on a derivative without separately proving differentiability, appropriate at the draft-statement stage. Explicit Integrable` hypotheses guard the Bochner integral's junk value on non-integrable functions throughout (trap 2), not literal in the book's own propositions but implied by what "the entropy H(eλX)H(e^{\lambda X})H(eλX) exists" (an explicit qualifier the book itself makes when introducing Eq. (3.2)) means.

Goal substitution, disclosed. BRIEF.md recommends Theorem 3.24 (the two-sided, jointly convex analogue) as the primary goal, but explicitly names Theorem 3.4 as a fallback "if 3.24's dependence on the unnumbered transportation-cost inequality (Eq. 3.73, attributed to Samson) proves too heavy to state faithfully in the time available." Theorem 3.24's proof route depends on Theorem 3.19 (a general "transportation cost implies concentration" result for an abstract metric measure space, itself needing a from-scratch formalization of the transportation-cost inequality (3.58) and the concentration function αP,(X,ρ)\alpha_{P,(\mathcal X,\rho)}αP,(X,ρ)​) plus the unproven-in-chapter Eq. (3.73). Building this full stack faithfully was judged to exceed this chunk's time budget; Theorem 3.4 is drafted instead, using this mission's own budget on Propositions 3.2 and 3.3 (the two most load-bearing entropy-to-tail conversions of the chapter) rather than the heavier transportation-cost machinery. Theorem 3.19, Theorem 3.24, and Eq. (3.73) are all out of scope for this mission and named here as natural follow-on work.

Selected references

  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint, Cambridge University Press, 2019. DOI: 10.1017/9781108627771. Chapter 3.
  • M. Ledoux, The Concentration of Measure Phenomenon, American Mathematical Society, 2001.
  • I. Herbst, unpublished (the argument bearing his name is attributed in Ledoux (2001) and standard references on log-Sobolev inequalities).
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Analysis·Captain: Lucas

Rudin PMA VII: Sequences and Series of FunctionsTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 7 of Walter Rudin's Principles of Mathematical Analysis (3rd edition, McGraw-Hill, 1976) asks when a limit of functions inherits the properties of its members. Pointwise convergence preserves almost nothing: Rudin's opening examples give continuous fnf_nfn​ with discontinuous limit, and sequences where lim⁡n∫fn≠∫lim⁡nfn\lim_n \int f_n \ne \int \lim_n f_nlimn​∫fn​=∫limn​fn​. Uniform convergence is the hypothesis that repairs this, and the chapter's second half asks the converse question — which functions arise as uniform limits from a given family — answered by the Stone–Weierstrass theorem (Theorem 7.32): an algebra of continuous real functions on a compact set that separates points and vanishes nowhere is uniformly dense in all continuous functions there.

The classical Weierstrass approximation theorem (7.26) — polynomials are dense in C[a,b]C[a,b]C[a,b] — is the special case that made the general theorem worth proving, and is used in Chapter 8 for Fourier series and in Chapter 11 for the density of continuous functions in L2L^2L2.

This mission is the seventh in a series formalizing Rudin Chapters 1–11; it uses the compactness results of Mission II, the continuity results of Mission IV and the Riemann–Stieltjes integral of Mission VI.

Setting

A sequence fnf_nfn​ converges uniformly to fff on EEE if for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there is NNN with ∣fn(x)−f(x)∣≤ε|f_n(x) - f(x)| \le \varepsilon∣fn​(x)−f(x)∣≤ε for all n≥Nn \ge Nn≥N and all x∈Ex \in Ex∈E — the same NNN for every point. A family F\mathcal{F}F is equicontinuous on EEE if a single δ\deltaδ serves all its members in the definition of uniform continuity; it is pointwise bounded if each orbit {f(x):f∈F}\{f(x) : f \in \mathcal{F}\}{f(x):f∈F} is bounded, and uniformly bounded if one bound works for all fff and all xxx.

A set A\mathcal{A}A of real functions is an algebra if it is closed under addition, multiplication and multiplication by real scalars; it separates points on KKK if for x≠yx \ne yx=y in KKK some f∈Af \in \mathcal{A}f∈A has f(x)≠f(y)f(x) \ne f(y)f(x)=f(y); it vanishes at no point of KKK if for each x∈Kx \in Kx∈K some f∈Af \in \mathcal{A}f∈A has f(x)≠0f(x) \ne 0f(x)=0. The uniform closure of A\mathcal{A}A on KKK is the set of uniform limits on KKK of sequences from A\mathcal{A}A.

Formalization targets

Goal — Stone–Weierstrass (Theorem 7.32)

Let KKK be compact and let A\mathcal{A}A be an algebra of real continuous functions on KKK which separates points on KKK and vanishes at no point of KKK. Then

A‾ unif⊇C(K,R):\overline{\mathcal{A}}^{\,\text{unif}} \supseteq C(K,\mathbb{R}) :Aunif⊇C(K,R):

every continuous real function on KKK is a uniform limit on KKK of members of A\mathcal{A}A.

Milestones

uniform convergence  ⟺  uniform Cauchy criterion(7.8)\text{uniform convergence} \iff \text{uniform Cauchy criterion} \qquad (7.8)uniform convergence⟺uniform Cauchy criterion(7.8) ∣fn∣≤Mn on E, ∑Mn<∞⇒∑fn converges uniformly(7.10)|f_n| \le M_n \text{ on } E,\ \textstyle\sum M_n < \infty \Rightarrow \sum f_n \text{ converges uniformly} \qquad (7.10)∣fn​∣≤Mn​ on E, ∑Mn​<∞⇒∑fn​ converges uniformly(7.10) lim⁡t→xlim⁡nfn(t)=lim⁡nlim⁡t→xfn(t) under uniform convergence(7.11)\lim_{t\to x}\lim_n f_n(t) = \lim_n \lim_{t \to x} f_n(t) \text{ under uniform convergence} \qquad (7.11)t→xlim​nlim​fn​(t)=nlim​t→xlim​fn​(t) under uniform convergence(7.11) a uniform limit of continuous functions is continuous(7.12)\text{a uniform limit of continuous functions is continuous} \qquad (7.12)a uniform limit of continuous functions is continuous(7.12) fn∈R(α), fn→f uniformly⇒f∈R(α), ∫fn dα→∫f dα(7.16)f_n \in \mathcal{R}(\alpha),\ f_n \to f \text{ uniformly} \Rightarrow f \in \mathcal{R}(\alpha),\ \int f_n \, d\alpha \to \int f \, d\alpha \qquad (7.16)fn​∈R(α), fn​→f uniformly⇒f∈R(α), ∫fn​dα→∫fdα(7.16) fn′→h uniformly, fn(x0) convergent⇒fn→g uniformly, g′=h(7.17)f_n' \to h \text{ uniformly},\ f_n(x_0) \text{ convergent} \Rightarrow f_n \to g \text{ uniformly},\ g' = h \qquad (7.17)fn′​→h uniformly, fn​(x0​) convergent⇒fn​→g uniformly, g′=h(7.17) there is a continuous nowhere differentiable f:R→R(7.18)\text{there is a continuous nowhere differentiable } f : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R} \qquad (7.18)there is a continuous nowhere differentiable f:R→R(7.18) pointwise bounded+equicontinuous on compact⇒uniformly bounded, convergent subsequence(7.24, 7.25)\text{pointwise bounded} + \text{equicontinuous on compact} \Rightarrow \text{uniformly bounded, convergent subsequence} \qquad (7.24,\ 7.25)pointwise bounded+equicontinuous on compact⇒uniformly bounded, convergent subsequence(7.24, 7.25) polynomials are uniformly dense in C[a,b](7.26)\text{polynomials are uniformly dense in } C[a,b] \qquad (7.26)polynomials are uniformly dense in C[a,b](7.26)

Significance

Uniform convergence is the standard hypothesis under which limits commute with continuity, integration and (with an extra condition) differentiation, and Theorems 7.11, 7.12, 7.16 and 7.17 are used throughout the rest of the book; Chapter 8 in particular builds the exponential, trigonometric and Gamma functions as uniform limits and differentiates them term by term on the strength of 7.17. Theorem 7.18 shows how weak pointwise differentiability is as a consequence of continuity: a uniform limit of piecewise-linear functions can fail to be differentiable anywhere. Arzelà–Ascoli is the compactness criterion for families of functions, and it is the standard route to existence theorems for differential and integral equations.

Stone–Weierstrass is the structural theorem of the chapter: it replaces the combinatorial Bernstein-polynomial proof of Weierstrass's theorem with a statement about algebras of functions, applicable to trigonometric polynomials, polynomials in several variables, and Lipschitz algebras alike.

Mathlib contains a Stone–Weierstrass theorem for subalgebras of C(X, ℝ) on compact Hausdorff spaces, and a version of Arzelà–Ascoli. This mission states the results in Rudin's terms — plain sets of functions on a compact subset KKK of a metric space, uniform closure defined by sequences — so that they can be used together with the Riemann–Stieltjes integral built in Mission VI, which is not part of the library.

Difficulty

Stone–Weierstrass is the one theorem in this mission whose proof is genuinely structural: from the algebra one first produces ∣f∣|f|∣f∣ as a uniform limit of polynomials in fff (which needs the polynomial approximation of t\sqrt{t}t​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and so cannot be circular with Theorem 7.26), then maxima and minima of pairs, then functions matching prescribed values at two points, and only then the local-to-global patching over a finite subcover. Each step is short; keeping the uniform closure a lattice and an algebra simultaneously is the bookkeeping burden.

Two hypotheses are easy to lose and both are necessary: an algebra that vanishes at a point cannot approximate functions that do not, and one that fails to separate two points cannot approximate functions that distinguish them.

Formalization scope

Conventions fixed by this mission:

  • Uniform convergence is Mathlib's TendstoUniformlyOn … atTop; complex-valued sequences are used where Rudin allows complex values.
  • Algebras, separation, non-vanishing and uniform closure are the predicates Rudin.IsFunctionAlgebra, Rudin.SeparatesPointsOn, Rudin.VanishesAtNoPointOn, Rudin.UniformClosureOn, defined for sets of functions X → ℝ and a compact subset K. The goal's conclusion is membership in the uniform closure, i.e. the existence of an approximating sequence from the algebra.
  • Equicontinuity and the two boundedness notions are Rudin.EquicontinuousOn, Rudin.PointwiseBoundedOn, Rudin.UniformlyBoundedOn, stated with explicit ε\varepsilonε and δ\deltaδ as in Definitions 7.19 and 7.22.
  • Theorem 7.16 is stated for the Riemann–Stieltjes integral of Mission VI, not for a Mathlib integral, so the two missions compose.
  • Theorem 7.26 is stated for complex-valued fff and polynomials with complex coefficients evaluated at real points, as in Rudin.

Selected references

  • Walter Rudin, Principles of Mathematical Analysis, 3rd edition, McGraw-Hill, 1976, Chapter 7 (pp. 143–171).
  • M. H. Stone, The generalized Weierstrass approximation theorem, Mathematics Magazine 21 (1948), 167–184 and 237–254. https://doi.org/10.2307/3029750
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOperations Research+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control IV: LQR and the Riccati EquationTextbook

Motivation

The discrete-time Riccati equation is the central object of linear-quadratic optimal control — the design equation behind LQR/LQG controllers in every modern control stack. Proposition 4.4.1 of Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I (3rd ed., 2005, §4.1) packages its asymptotic theory: under controllability and observability the Riccati iteration converges to the unique positive semidefinite solution of the algebraic Riccati equation and the resulting closed loop is stable. Alongside it, Lemma 4.2.1 of §4.2 develops K-convexity, the analytical engine behind Scarf's optimality of (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) inventory policies — a foundational result of operations research. Neither the Riccati asymptotics nor K-convexity exists in Mathlib.

Setting

Matrices A∈Rn×nA \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times n}A∈Rn×n, B∈Rn×mB \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times m}B∈Rn×m, Q=C⊤C⪰0Q = C^\top C \succeq 0Q=C⊤C⪰0, R≻0R \succ 0R≻0. The Riccati operator (BertsekasRiccatiMap)

F(P)=A⊤(P−PB(B⊤PB+R)−1B⊤P)A+Q.F(P) = A^\top\big(P - P B (B^\top P B + R)^{-1} B^\top P\big) A + Q.F(P)=A⊤(P−PB(B⊤PB+R)−1B⊤P)A+Q.

(A,B)(A,B)(A,B) is controllable if [B,AB,…,An−1B][B, AB, \dots, A^{n-1}B][B,AB,…,An−1B] has rank nnn (BertsekasControllablePair); (A,C)(A,C)(A,C) is observable if (A⊤,C⊤)(A^\top, C^\top)(A⊤,C⊤) is controllable (BertsekasObservablePair). Separately, g:R→Rg : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}g:R→R is KKK-convex (BertsekasKConvex, Def. 4.2.1) if K+g(z+y)≥g(y)+zb(g(y)−g(y−b))K + g(z+y) \ge g(y) + \tfrac{z}{b}(g(y) - g(y-b))K+g(z+y)≥g(y)+bz​(g(y)−g(y−b)) for all z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, b>0b > 0b>0, yyy.

Target

∃ P≻0:F(P)=P,P unique among P′⪰0,Fk(P0)→P  ∀P0⪰0,ρ(A+BL)<1,\exists\, P \succ 0:\quad F(P) = P,\quad P \text{ unique among } P' \succeq 0,\quad F^{k}(P_0) \to P \ \ \forall P_0 \succeq 0,\quad \rho\big(A + BL\big) < 1,∃P≻0:F(P)=P,P unique among P′⪰0,Fk(P0​)→P  ∀P0​⪰0,ρ(A+BL)<1,

with L=−(B⊤PB+R)−1B⊤PAL = -(B^\top P B + R)^{-1} B^\top P AL=−(B⊤PB+R)−1B⊤PA — BertsekasDP.riccati_convergence_stability (goal). Milestones: Lemma 4.2.1(a)–(d) (kconvex_of_convex, kconvex_combination, kconvex_expectation, kconvex_sS_structure), culminating in the (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) structure theorem for continuous coercive KKK-convex functions.

Significance

The Riccati result is the mathematical license behind steady-state LQR design: it guarantees the design equation has one meaningful solution, that iterating the finite-horizon recursion finds it, and that the resulting feedback is stabilizing. Formally it would seed a Mathlib-adjacent theory of matrix fixed-point iterations, positive semidefinite order, and spectral-radius stability. The K-convexity milestones are self-contained real analysis, each of independent reuse value for inventory theory; part (d) is the engine of (s,S)(s,S)(s,S)-policy optimality. All results are classical and proved in the book; the formal work is new.

Difficulty

The Riccati proof interleaves monotonicity of FFF on the psd cone, boundedness from controllability (a steering argument), positivity from observability, and stability extracted from the fixed-point identity via a Lyapunov argument — several pieces of matrix analysis (psd order, congruence, Schur-type manipulations, spectral radius vs. convergence of powers) that must be built or located in Mathlib. The naive route of diagonalizing AAA fails: nothing is symmetric about A+BLA + BLA+BL. For Lemma 4.2.1(d), the difficulty is that ggg is not convex: the minimizer structure must come from the K-convexity inequality applied at carefully chosen points, plus continuity and coercivity.

Formalization scope

Real matrices over Fin n; Matrix.PosSemidef/PosDef; matrix inverse is Mathlib's total inverse (zero on singular input — harmless here since B⊤PB+R≻0B^\top P B + R \succ 0B⊤PB+R≻0 along the relevant iterates, which the proof must establish); convergence in the entrywise topology; eigenvalues via spectrum ℂ of the complexified matrix, all strictly inside the unit circle. Rank-based controllability exactly as Def. 4.1.1. K-convexity is stated for all real KKK; note K≥0K \ge 0K≥0 is forced whenever it is satisfiable (z=0z = 0z=0), and the expectation milestone is stated for finitely supported disturbances (integrability automatic).

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific, 2005. (Prop. 4.4.1, Def. 4.1.1, §4.2, Lemma 4.2.1.) http://www.athenasc.com/dpbook.html
  • R. E. Kalman, Contributions to the theory of optimal control, Bol. Soc. Mat. Mexicana 5 (1960), 102–119.
  • H. Scarf, The optimality of (S, s) policies in the dynamic inventory problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford Univ. Press, 1960.
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Control TheoryDynamic ProgrammingOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control III: The Minimum PrincipleTextbook

Motivation

The Pontryagin Minimum (Maximum) Principle is the fundamental necessary condition of optimal control, in continuous use since 1956 across aerospace guidance, robotics, and mathematical economics. Chapter 3 of Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I (3rd ed., 2005) develops it from the dynamic programming side: the HJB sufficiency theorem (Prop. 3.2.1), an envelope lemma (Lemma 3.3.1), the Minimum Principle itself (Prop. 3.3.1), and its discrete-time counterpart (Prop. 3.3.2). Mathlib's optimal-control coverage is currently near zero — no HJB equation, no adjoint equations, no maximum principle — which makes this the mission with the largest gap between textbook maturity and formal coverage in the series.

Setting

Minimize, over admissible pairs, the cost

h(x(T))+∫0Tg(x(t),u(t)) dts.t.x˙(t)=f(x(t),u(t)),  x(0)=x0,  u(t)∈U⊆Rm,h(x(T)) + \int_0^T g(x(t), u(t))\,dt \quad\text{s.t.}\quad \dot x(t) = f(x(t), u(t)),\; x(0) = x_0,\; u(t) \in U \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m,h(x(T))+∫0T​g(x(t),u(t))dts.t.x˙(t)=f(x(t),u(t)),x(0)=x0​,u(t)∈U⊆Rm,

with f,g,hf, g, hf,g,h continuously differentiable (BertsekasCTModel). Admissible controls are piecewise continuous on [0,T][0,T][0,T] — formalized as: bounded image and continuous off a finite set (BertsekasPiecewiseContinuousOn) — and state trajectories are continuous, satisfying the ODE off a finite set (BertsekasCTAdmissibleFrom, parametrized by an arbitrary start (t0,ξ)(t_0, \xi)(t0​,ξ)). The Hamiltonian is H(x,u,p)=g(x,u)+⟨p,f(x,u)⟩H(x,u,p) = g(x,u) + \langle p, f(x,u)\rangleH(x,u,p)=g(x,u)+⟨p,f(x,u)⟩ (BertsekasHamiltonian).

Target

For an optimal admissible pair (u∗,x∗)(u^*, x^*)(u∗,x∗): there exist an adjoint ppp and a constant ccc with

p˙(t)=−∇xH(x∗(t),u∗(t),p(t)),p(T)=∇h(x∗(T)),\dot p(t) = -\nabla_x H(x^*(t), u^*(t), p(t)), \quad p(T) = \nabla h(x^*(T)),p˙​(t)=−∇x​H(x∗(t),u∗(t),p(t)),p(T)=∇h(x∗(T)), u∗(t)∈arg⁡min⁡u∈UH(x∗(t),u,p(t)),H(x∗(t),u∗(t),p(t))=c,u^*(t) \in \arg\min_{u \in U} H(x^*(t), u, p(t)), \qquad H(x^*(t), u^*(t), p(t)) = c,u∗(t)∈argu∈Umin​H(x∗(t),u,p(t)),H(x∗(t),u∗(t),p(t))=c,

away from finitely many times — BertsekasDP.pontryagin_minimum_principle (goal). Milestones: Prop. 3.2.1 (hjb_sufficiency_of_continuous), Lemma 3.3.1 (envelope_gradient_lemma), Prop. 3.3.2 (discrete_minimum_principle).

The HJB milestone carries the hypotheses that fff and ggg are jointly continuous — the consequence of the §3.1 standing assumptions that its proof uses. An earlier version without any regularity hypothesis was disproved: with a discontinuous running cost the cost integrand need not be integrable, and the library's integral of a non-integrable function is 000.

Significance

The Minimum Principle converts an infinite-dimensional optimization into a two-point boundary value problem — the basis of shooting methods and of every "bang-bang" analysis. None of it exists in Mathlib; even the HJB verification theorem would be new. The discrete-time milestone is self-contained multivariable calculus and gives early value; the envelope lemma is reusable well beyond control theory. The results are classical (Pontryagin et al. 1962; the book's Chapter 3); the formal proof of Prop. 3.3.1 will need an honest variational argument — the book's own HJB-based derivation is explicitly informal.

Difficulty

For the goal: the classical proofs go through needle variations and a separation argument, or through regularity of the value function — neither is in Mathlib. The book's derivation assumes differentiability of the optimal value function, which is not a hypothesis of the statement; a formal proof must either supply a rigorous variational argument or add intermediate lemmas as new platform problems (sketching is encouraged). For the HJB milestone, the work is differentiating t↦V(t,x(t))t \mapsto V(t, x(t))t↦V(t,x(t)) along a trajectory that satisfies the ODE only off a finite set, then integrating.

Formalization scope

States and controls in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) / (Fin m); gradients in Mathlib's gradient; the ODE and adjoint via HasDerivAt off a finite exceptional set; costs via intervalIntegral. Piecewise continuity includes boundedness of the image, so the cost integrand of an admissible pair is genuinely integrable — the junk-value escape (non-integrable integrand ⇒ integral 0) is closed. Fixed initial state, fixed terminal time, free terminal state; time-independent dynamics (so the Hamiltonian is constant, per the book's remark that time-varying systems lose constancy). UUU is an arbitrary set — no compactness or convexity is assumed in the goal.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific, 2005. (Ch. 3.) http://www.athenasc.com/dpbook.html
  • L. S. Pontryagin, V. G. Boltyanskii, R. V. Gamkrelidze, E. F. Mishchenko, The Mathematical Theory of Optimal Processes, Interscience, 1962.
  • W. H. Fleming, R. W. Rishel, Deterministic and Stochastic Optimal Control, Springer, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-6380-7
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Control TheoryOptimization·Captain: wenxinzhang

Vector Space Methods XII: Pontryagin Minimum PrincipleTextbook

Motivation

Pontryagin's principle as presented by Luenberger is the decisive necessary condition in continuous-time optimal control. It converts an optimization over functions into a pointwise comparison of a Hamiltonian, coupled to the original state equation and a backward costate equation. Luenberger derives the minimum-Hamiltonian convention from vector-space multiplier ideas and a first-order comparison principle. Formalization is especially valuable here because the printed theorem contains a standard but consequential regularity oversight: it asserts a condition at every time even though controls are only piecewise continuous and the cost is an integral. This mission preserves the intended theorem while replacing that false pointwise claim by the mathematically canonical almost-everywhere statement.

Setting

Fix t₀ < t₁, a finite-dimensional Euclidean state space OCState n, a Euclidean control space OCControl m, and a permitted-control set Omega. A state-control pair (x,u) is admissible when x t₀ = xInit, the state is absolutely continuous on the interval, the control is almost everywhere strongly measurable and lies in Omega almost everywhere, the differential equation x' = F(x,u) holds almost everywhere in the interior, and the running cost is interval integrable. An optimal pair globally minimizes the interval integral among all admissible pairs.

The dynamics F and running cost ell are continuous jointly in state and control and continuously differentiable in the state variable. Their state derivatives Fx and ellx vary continuously. A global Lipschitz estimate controls changes of F in both state and control. Because an a.e. measurable control need not be bounded, the optimal control is explicitly assumed to have an a.e. norm bound on the compact interval, matching the boundedness inherited from the source's piecewise-continuous model. The operator-valued paths Fx (x₀ t) (u₀ t) and ellx (x₀ t) (u₀ t) are also assumed interval integrable along the optimum. Together these hypotheses provide the measure-theoretic regularity needed for the adjoint and state perturbations. The Hamiltonian uses Luenberger's minimum convention,

H(x,u,λ)=⟨λ,F(x,u)⟩+ℓ(x,u).H(x,u,\lambda)=\langle \lambda,F(x,u)\rangle+\ell(x,u).H(x,u,λ)=⟨λ,F(x,u)⟩+ℓ(x,u).

Formalization targets

The root VectorSpaceOpt.pontryagin_minimum_principle asserts the existence of an absolutely continuous costate lambda with terminal value lambda t₁ = 0. Almost everywhere it satisfies the weak inner-product form of

−λ˙(t)=DxF(x0(t),u0(t))∗λ(t)+Dxℓ(x0(t),u0(t)),-\dot\lambda(t)=D_xF(x₀(t),u₀(t))^*\lambda(t)+D_x\ell(x₀(t),u₀(t)),−λ˙(t)=Dx​F(x0​(t),u0​(t))∗λ(t)+Dx​ℓ(x0​(t),u0​(t)),

and almost everywhere on the control interval it satisfies

H(x0(t),u0(t),λ(t))≤H(x0(t),v,λ(t))for every v∈Ω.H(x₀(t),u₀(t),\lambda(t)) \le H(x₀(t),v,\lambda(t)) \quad\text{for every }v\in\Omega.H(x0​(t),u0​(t),λ(t))≤H(x0​(t),v,λ(t))for every v∈Ω.

Two milestones capture source dependencies. control_state_lipschitz_estimate is the Grönwall stability estimate used on p. 263 to control the state response by the integral distance between controls; it explicitly assumes interval integrability of both the state-difference norm and the control-difference norm, so Mathlib's totalized integral cannot hide a nonintegrable input. adjoint_lagrangian_comparison formalizes §9.6, Proposition 1: under an implicit state equation, differentiability in the state, Lipschitz dependence of the state solution, and an adjoint identity, the objective difference agrees with a frozen-state Lagrangian difference up to an explicit filter-level little-o remainder.

Significance

This is the flagship analytic mission of the continuation. It connects finite-dimensional differential calculus, Bochner integration, absolute continuity, ODE constraints, adjoints, and localized control variations in one reusable theorem. The definitions form a minimal control framework that can support terminal costs, endpoint constraints, and alternative maximum-principle conventions later. The corrected a.e. conclusion also demonstrates a central benefit of formalization: informal conventions about representatives of controls and isolated time values must be resolved before a theorem can be accepted.

The weak inner-product adjoint equation avoids introducing a coordinate transpose and remains invariant under the Euclidean-space representation. That choice makes the result immediately reusable in later vector-space treatments of transversality and endpoint multipliers.

Difficulty

The difficulty is very high. Mathlib supplies finite-dimensional calculus, interval integration, absolute continuity, measure-theoretic almost-everywhere statements, and Grönwall tools, but not an assembled Pontryagin framework. The mission must coordinate a state-solution stability estimate, state differentiability of the dynamics and cost, existence and regularity of the backward costate, and Hamiltonian comparison against arbitrary admissible values. The control is measurable rather than globally continuous, so every pointwise expression must be placed under an a.e. quantifier where appropriate. The proposition milestone additionally requires a precise little-o interface instead of an unnamed asymptotic remainder.

Formalization scope

The proposal covers §9.6, Proposition 1 and Theorem 1, with the regularity inherited from the surrounding discussion made explicit. Both the optimal state and the costate are absolutely continuous. Admissible controls are a.e. strongly measurable, which is a broader measure-theoretic proxy for the source's piecewise-continuous controls and is compatible with integral objectives; the root additionally requires the optimal control to be essentially norm bounded on Icc t₀ t₁, restoring the compact-interval boundedness used by the source. The maps F, ell, Fx, and ellx are jointly continuous; state derivatives are supplied by HasFDerivAt; a uniform Lipschitz bound is stated; and both derivative coefficients along the optimal path are interval integrable. The separate Grönwall milestone requires its state and control norm differences to be interval integrable. The interval is required to have positive length.

There is a documented source erratum. The sentence on printed p. 263 states Hamiltonian minimality for every t, while the proof on p. 264 chooses a neighborhood on which a purported strict violation persists. That step requires continuity at the selected time. Moreover, changing a piecewise-continuous control at a single isolated time changes neither its a.e. class, the state equation, nor the integral cost. Therefore no condition can be forced at an arbitrary jump value. The Lean root uses an a.e. conclusion on Icc t₀ t₁; an alternative source-faithful repair would assert the inequality at every continuity point of u₀. The mission does not claim existence of an optimal pair, compactness of Omega, endpoint constraints, nonsmooth dynamics, or a sufficiency theorem.

Selected references

  • David G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969, Chapter 9, §9.6, Proposition 1 and Theorem 1, pp. 262–264, including the printed all-times wording and its proof context. Scan: https://sites.science.oregonstate.edu/~show/old/142_Luenberger.pdf
  • Lean community, Mathlib documentation, continuously updated: https://leanprover-community.github.io/mathlib4_docs/ (interval integration, absolute continuity, Euclidean spaces, Fréchet derivatives, ODE estimates, and a.e. measurability).
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: marwahaha

Coppersmith–Winograd Bound: omega < 2.376Research Paper

AI generated but i think correct. I think the milestones make it really annoying but the central theorem looks correct.

Motivation

The matrix-multiplication exponent measures the asymptotic number of field operations needed to multiply two square matrices. A bound ω<c\omega<cω<c means that, for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, two n×nn\times nn×n matrices can be multiplied using O(nc+ε)O(n^{c+\varepsilon})O(nc+ε) arithmetic operations. Matrix multiplication is a central benchmark in algebraic complexity and a primitive for many algorithms in linear algebra, graph theory, and symbolic computation.

After Strassen showed that ω<3\omega<3ω<3, a sequence of tensor constructions reduced the exponent further. Schönhage's asymptotic sum inequality made it possible to exploit simultaneous matrix products rather than a single square product. In 1990, Don Coppersmith and Shmuel Winograd combined an explicit low-border-rank tensor with a block extraction argument based on Salem--Spencer sets. Their basic analysis gave ω<2.38719\omega<2.38719ω<2.38719; coupling the random weights in the tensor square sharpened this to ω<2.375477\omega<2.375477ω<2.375477, hence the exact rational consequence ω<2.376\omega<2.376ω<2.376.

This mission formalizes that historical Coppersmith--Winograd result. It follows the source tensor and its actual block restrictions, while excluding placeholder “laser values” that are not backed by extracted direct sums of matrix-multiplication tensors.

Setting

For a field KKK, an order-three tensor is represented by three finite-dimensional KKK-vector spaces and an element of their tensor product. The matrix-multiplication tensor

⟨a,b,c⟩K=∑i<a∑j<b∑k<cxij⊗yjk⊗zki\langle a,b,c\rangle_K =\sum_{i<a}\sum_{j<b}\sum_{k<c} x_{ij}\otimes y_{jk}\otimes z_{ki}⟨a,b,c⟩K​=i<a∑​j<b∑​k<c∑​xij​⊗yjk​⊗zki​

encodes multiplication of an a×ba\times ba×b matrix by a b×cb\times cb×c matrix. A restriction applies one linear map to each tensor leg. A degeneration permits those maps to depend polynomially on a formal parameter and selects their first nonzero coefficient. Thus a degeneration from the diagonal tensor IrI_rIr​ is a border-rank certificate R‾(T)≤r\underline R(T)\le rR​(T)≤r.

The Coppersmith--Winograd tensor with parameter qqq is

Tq=∑i=1q(x0yizi+xiy0zi+xiyiz0)+x0y0zq+1+x0yq+1z0+xq+1y0z0.T_q= \sum_{i=1}^{q} (x_0y_i z_i+x_i y_0z_i+x_i y_i z_0) +x_0y_0z_{q+1}+x_0y_{q+1}z_0+x_{q+1}y_0z_0.Tq​=i=1∑q​(x0​yi​zi​+xi​y0​zi​+xi​yi​z0​)+x0​y0​zq+1​+x0​yq+1​z0​+xq+1​y0​z0​.

It has border rank at most q+2q+2q+2. Its coordinates carry three classes, indexed by 0,1,20,1,20,1,2, and its six nonzero block types are

(0,1,1), (1,0,1), (1,1,0), (0,0,2), (0,2,0), (2,0,0).(0,1,1),\ (1,0,1),\ (1,1,0),\ (0,0,2),\ (0,2,0),\ (2,0,0).(0,1,1), (1,0,1), (1,1,0), (0,0,2), (0,2,0), (2,0,0).

The first three blocks are matrix-multiplication tensors with dimensions (1,1,q)(1,1,q)(1,1,q), (q,1,1)(q,1,1)(q,1,1), and (1,q,1)(1,q,1)(1,q,1); the other three are scalar products. Tensor powers therefore contain many typed rectangular matrix products. The laser method selects a large family with disjoint coordinate blocks and applies Schönhage's asymptotic sum inequality to all surviving products simultaneously.

Formalization targets

Goal: the 1990 Coppersmith--Winograd bound

For every field KKK,

matMulExp⁡(K)<297125=2.376.\operatorname{matMulExp}(K)<\frac{297}{125}=2.376.matMulExp(K)<125297​=2.376.

The Lean goal has the same quantified proposition and the same matMulExp definition as the existing Schönhage-bound mission; only the theorem identifier and rational endpoint change.

Tensor and block foundations

The development records the characteristic-free order-three degeneration

Tq⊴Iq+2T_q\unlhd I_{q+2}Tq​⊴Iq+2​

and the exact matrix-product dimensions associated with every supported type sequence in Tq⊗NT_q^{\otimes N}Tq⊗N​. These statements identify the algebraic input before any asymptotic counting is used.

Coupled-weight extraction

For q=6q=6q=6, the tensor-square grading and the coupled-weight pruning must produce the direct sums and asymptotic inequality stated in Section 8 and in the coupled-constituent lemma on journal pp. 270--272. The final numerical milestone certifies the rational endpoint 297/125297/125297/125 from exact inequalities, rather than treating the decimal 2.3754772.3754772.375477 as a proof object.

Significance

The result was the strongest matrix-multiplication bound for roughly two decades and introduced the tensor family that underlies the classical laser-method line of work. A formal proof supplies a checked bridge from an explicit border-rank identity to an exponent bound whose combinatorial extraction is substantially more delicate than the earlier Schönhage examples.

The formalization also produces reusable infrastructure. The order-three CW degeneration is an explicit polynomial-family test case over arbitrary fields. The six block identifications and type-count formulas can be reused in analyses of tensor powers. A faithful extraction predicate, stated through actual restrictions to direct sums of MMObj tensors, separates sound laser arguments from formulas that count incompatible or coordinate-sharing blocks as independent.

The mathematical bound is known. The open work is its machine-checked reconstruction in Lean. The border-rank theorem, per-type matrix-product restriction layer, tensor-square support invariant, balanced block calculation, Salem--Spencer set theorem, and exact q=6q=6q=6 numerical endpoint are already proved. The unrestricted value/rank bridge, the coupled-constituent extraction, and the full Section 8 auxiliary inequality remain the substantive frontier.

Difficulty

The main difficulty is not expanding TqT_qTq​ or evaluating a decimal logarithm. A tensor power contains exponentially many typed terms, but most share variables. They cannot all be placed in a direct sum, and counting all joint type sequences overestimates the usable matrix products. The source hashes coordinate blocks into a large progression-free set and prunes collisions so that the surviving blocks are genuinely independent.

The 2.3762.3762.376 improvement adds a second layer. It begins with Tq⊗2T_q^{\otimes2}Tq⊗2​, regroups variables into five classes, couples weights that were independent in the simpler analysis, and estimates a nontrivial central block by a further extraction. A formal proof must track the direction of every restriction, the exact multiplicities of all block types, and the loss introduced by pruning. Replacing exponential surviving-block counts by a polynomial number of blocks, or using joint entropy without the marginal compatibility constraints, changes the mathematical claim and is outside the mission.

Formalization scope

The mission uses the existing TensorObj, MMObj, TensorObj.Restrict, Degenerates, tensorAsymptoticRank, matMulExp, and matMulExp_strassen declarations in the Mathlib environment pinned by the earlier matrix-multiplication mission. Tensor dimensions and type counts are natural numbers; exponent and optimization inequalities are real-valued. All top-level bounds quantify over an arbitrary field, matching the integral polynomial identities used by the construction.

Laser statements must exhibit, directly or through a faithful reusable predicate, restrictions from a tensor power to a finite direct sum of concrete matrix-multiplication tensors. The number and dimensions of the summands remain part of the witness. A constant-valued “laser functional,” a vacuous witness hypothesis, or a capacity definition that discards the exponential number of surviving blocks does not satisfy the mission.

Welcome contributions include restriction composition lemmas, tensor-power block equivalences, multinomial and entropy estimates with all marginal constraints, formal Salem--Spencer pruning, exact real-inequality certificates, and the coupled central-block value lemma. Every milestone should cite the corresponding equation, table, or lemma in the primary paper.

Selected references

  • Don Coppersmith and Shmuel Winograd, Matrix Multiplication via Arithmetic Progressions, Journal of Symbolic Computation 9, 1990, pp. 251--280. ScienceDirect.
  • Arnold Schönhage, Partial and Total Matrix Multiplication, SIAM Journal on Computing 10(3), 1981, pp. 434--455. DOI 10.1137/0210032.
  • Avi Wigderson and Jeroen Zuiddam, Asymptotic Spectra: Theory, Applications and Extensions, 2023, for the tensor restriction and asymptotic-rank framework used by the Lean development. Author manuscript.
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times XII: Continuous Time and Countable State SpacesTextbook

Motivation

The whole series so far lived in discrete time on finite state spaces. Chapters 20–21 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) lift both restrictions. Running the jumps of a chain at the arrivals of a rate-one Poisson clock produces the continuous-time chain, whose transition semigroup — the heat kernel — converges to stationarity for every irreducible chain, with no aperiodicity hypothesis: continuous time washes out periodicity. On countable state spaces, existence of a stationary distribution is no longer automatic, and the trichotomy of transience, null recurrence, and positive recurrence replaces it; the convergence theorem survives exactly on the positive-recurrent class. The chapter's crown jewel — and this mission's goal — is Pólya's theorem: simple random walk on the lattice Zd\mathbb Z^dZd is recurrent in dimensions one and two and transient in dimension three and higher. "A drunk man will find his way home, but a drunk bird may get lost forever."

Setting

Continuous time (Ch. 20). For a finite chain PPP, the heat kernel at time t≥0t\ge0t≥0 is defined by Poissonization,

Ht(x,y)=∑k=0∞e−ttkk! Pk(x,y),H_t(x,y)=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}e^{-t}\frac{t^k}{k!}\,P^k(x,y),Ht​(x,y)=k=0∑∞​e−tk!tk​Pk(x,y),

the law at time ttt of a walk taking PPP-steps at Poisson arrival times (=et(P−I)=e^{t(P-I)}=et(P−I) as a matrix exponential). With ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣, the continuous distance and mixing time are dcont(t)=max⁡x∥Ht(x,⋅)−π∥TVd^{\mathrm{cont}}(t)=\max_x\|H_t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{TV}dcont(t)=maxx​∥Ht​(x,⋅)−π∥TV​ and tmixcont(ε)=inf⁡{t≥0:dcont(t)≤ε}t^{\mathrm{cont}}_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)=\inf\{t\ge0:d^{\mathrm{cont}}(t)\le\varepsilon\}tmixcont​(ε)=inf{t≥0:dcont(t)≤ε}. The lazy version of a discrete chain is 12(I+P)\tfrac12(I+P)21​(I+P); from Mission VII, the spectral gap γ\gammaγ is 1−λ21-\lambda_21−λ2​ with λ2\lambda_2λ2​ the largest eigenvalue ≠1\ne1=1. The product chain on a product of nnn coordinate spaces picks a uniform coordinate and updates it by that coordinate's chain.

Countable state spaces (Ch. 21). A chain on a countable state space VVV is a function PPP with nonnegative entries and rows summing to one (as convergent series); ttt-step probabilities Pt(x,y)P^t(x,y)Pt(x,y) are defined recursively, and trajectory probabilities are countable sums of path weights. The first return time to xxx is τx+=min⁡{t≥1:Xt=x}\tau_x^+=\min\{t\ge1:X_t=x\}τx+​=min{t≥1:Xt​=x}; a state is recurrent when Px{τx+<∞}=1\mathbb P_x\{\tau_x^+<\infty\}=1Px​{τx+​<∞}=1 (tails tend to zero), positive recurrent when moreover Ex(τx+)<∞\mathbb E_x(\tau_x^+)<\inftyEx​(τx+​)<∞ (tails summable), and null recurrent when recurrent but not positive recurrent. A stationary distribution is a nonnegative π\piπ summing to one with πP=π\pi P=\piπP=π (as convergent series). Simple random walk on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd steps from xxx to one of its 2d2d2d nearest neighbours uniformly at random.

Formalization targets

Goal

Pólya's theorem (§21.2, Examples 21.8–21.9), the capstone of Chapters 20–21:

  1. for d≤2d\le2d≤2, simple random walk on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd is recurrent — it returns to its starting point with probability one;
  2. for d≥3d\ge3d≥3, it is transient — with positive probability it never returns.

Milestones

  • Theorem 20.1 — for any irreducible finite chain, aperiodic or not, the heat kernel converges: dcont(t)→0d^{\mathrm{cont}}(t)\to0dcont(t)→0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞.
  • Theorem 20.3 — the two-way comparison between lazy discrete and continuous mixing: eventual ε\varepsilonε-mixing of the lazy chain at time kkk gives 2ε2\varepsilon2ε-mixing of the heat kernel at time kkk, and ε\varepsilonε-mixing of the heat kernel at time mmm gives 2ε2\varepsilon2ε-mixing of the lazy chain at time 4m4m4m.
  • Theorem 20.6 — the spectral bound for reversible chains: ∣Ht(x,y)−π(y)∣≤π(y)/π(x)  e−γt\bigl|H_t(x,y)-\pi(y)\bigr|\le\sqrt{\pi(y)/\pi(x)}\;e^{-\gamma t}​Ht​(x,y)−π(y)​≤π(y)/π(x)​e−γt.
  • Theorem 20.7 — mixing of continuous-time product chains: with all coordinate gaps ≥γ\ge\gamma≥γ and coordinate stationary masses bounded below, tmixcont(ε)≤(2γ)−1nlog⁡n+γ−1nlog⁡(1/(c0ε))t^{\mathrm{cont}}_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le(2\gamma)^{-1}n\log n+\gamma^{-1}n\log(1/(c_0\varepsilon))tmixcont​(ε)≤(2γ)−1nlogn+γ−1nlog(1/(c0​ε)), with a matching n2γlog⁡n\tfrac{n}{2\gamma}\log n2γn​logn lower bound when the gaps are equal — the nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn product-chain phenomenon.
  • Proposition 21.3 — the recurrence dichotomy on countable spaces: a state is recurrent exactly when its Green's function ∑tPt(x,x)\sum_tP^t(x,x)∑t​Pt(x,x) diverges, and for an irreducible chain one recurrent state makes all states recurrent.
  • Theorem 21.12 — an irreducible countable chain is positive recurrent if and only if it has a stationary distribution.
  • Lemma 21.13 (Kac) — for an irreducible chain with stationary distribution π\piπ and any nonempty set SSS: ∑x∈Sπ(x) Ex(τS+)=1\sum_{x\in S}\pi(x)\,\mathbb E_x(\tau_S^+)=1∑x∈S​π(x)Ex​(τS+​)=1; in particular Ex(τx+)=1/π(x)\mathbb E_x(\tau_x^+)=1/\pi(x)Ex​(τx+​)=1/π(x).
  • Theorem 21.14 — the convergence theorem on countable spaces: an irreducible, aperiodic, positive recurrent chain has a unique stationary distribution π\piπ, and ∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV→0\|P^t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{TV}\to0∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV​→0 from every start.
  • Theorem 21.17 — in the null recurrent case, Pt(x,y)→0P^t(x,y)\to0Pt(x,y)→0 for all pairs of states: no stationary profile is approached.

Significance

The results. Theorem 20.1 explains why laziness and aperiodicity pervade the discrete theory — periodicity is an artifact of the discrete clock. The product-chain theorem 20.7 is the cleanest instance of the nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn paradigm (independent coordinates mix in relaxation time ×log⁡(number of coordinates)\times\log(\text{number of coordinates})×log(number of coordinates)) and the template for the hypercube cutoff of Mission XI. Chapter 21's trichotomy is the backbone of applied Markov chain theory — queueing, branching, renewal — and Kac's lemma with the convergence theorem 21.14 is the standard equipment of any probability course. Pólya's theorem is one of the most celebrated results of twentieth-century probability, the birth of the random-walk-in-dimension-ddd paradigm.

Formalizing them. Mathlib has no continuous-time Markov chains, no Poissonization, and no recurrence/transience theory (its PMF random walks stop far short). The countable-state layer built here — summable stationary equations, tail-sum return times, the recurrence dichotomy — is the missing infrastructure for formalized applied probability; Pólya's theorem is a famous target in its own right, and the d≥3d\ge3d≥3 half has never been formalized in any assistant to our knowledge.

Difficulty

The heat kernel is an infinite series of matrices: convergence (dominated by the Poisson weights), the semigroup property, and the interchange of the series with matrix products and limits must all be established by hand over tsum. Theorem 20.1 avoids aperiodicity by the number-theoretic fact that the Poisson distribution smears over residue classes — formally, the continuous chain is automatically aperiodic because Ht(x,x)>0H_t(x,x)>0Ht​(x,x)>0 for t>0t>0t>0. The product-chain bounds need the ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 machinery of Mission VII applied coordinatewise and a careful union bound; the lower bound is a Gaussian-free second-moment argument. On the countable side, everything is series bookkeeping in the absence of Fintype: the recurrence dichotomy is a generating-function (renewal) identity G(x,x)=1/Px{τx+=∞}G(x,x)=1/\mathbb P_x\{\tau_x^+=\infty\}G(x,x)=1/Px​{τx+​=∞} handled through partial sums; Kac's lemma is a mass-transport double-count over trajectories; and Theorem 21.14 needs an aperiodicity-based coupling on a countable product space, the technical summit of the mission. Pólya's theorem itself combines a local central-limit-type estimate for the return probabilities (P2t(0,0)≍t−d/2P^{2t}(0,0)\asymp t^{-d/2}P2t(0,0)≍t−d/2, obtained by Stirling in d=1,2d=1,2d=1,2 and by a comparison argument in higher dimension) with the dichotomy of Proposition 21.3.

Formalization scope

Chapter 20 lives on finite state spaces: the heat kernel is a tsum over kkk of Poisson weights times matrix powers (summability is provable, not assumed), continuous distance is a supremum over states, and the continuous mixing time is an sInf over nonnegative reals (junk 000 if the set were empty — excluded under the theorems' hypotheses). Discrete-vs-continuous comparison (Theorem 20.3) is stated with eventual thresholds (∃K,∀k≥K\exists K,\forall k\ge K∃K,∀k≥K), matching the book's asymptotic phrasing. Chapter 21 lives on a Countable type: stochasticity and stationarity are HasSum statements, ttt-step powers are defined recursively with tsum convolutions, return-time tails are countable sums of path weights over finite horizons, and recurrence/positive recurrence are the tail-limit and tail-summability conditions above — measure theory never enters. Pólya's theorem is stated for the origin of Zd\mathbb Z^dZd with the walk defined by nearest-neighbour steps; the d≤2d\le2d≤2 and d≥3d\ge3d≥3 halves are separate conjuncts of one statement.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • G. Pólya, Über eine Aufgabe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung betreffend die Irrfahrt im Straßennetz, Math. Ann. 84 (1921). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01458701
  • W. Feller, An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. I, 3rd ed., Wiley, 1968.
  • D. Aldous, J. A. Fill, Reversible Markov Chains and Random Walks on Graphs, 2002. https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/RWG/book.html
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times VII: Eigenvalues and the Cheeger InequalityTextbook

Motivation

How fast does a Markov chain forget its starting point? For a reversible chain the complete answer is coded in the eigenvalues of its transition matrix: the largest eigenvalue is always 111, and the size of the gap between 111 and the rest of the spectrum is the chain's fundamental time constant — a large gap means fast mixing, a small gap means slow mixing. Chapters 12–13 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) develop this spectral theory and culminate in the discrete Cheeger inequality of Jerrum–Sinclair and Lawler–Sokal, which says that the spectral gap γ\gammaγ (an analytic quantity, defined below) and the bottleneck constant Φ⋆\Phi_\starΦ⋆​ (a geometric quantity from Mission IV, also recalled below) control each other:

Φ⋆22  ≤  γ  ≤  2 Φ⋆.\frac{\Phi_\star^2}{2}\;\le\;\gamma\;\le\;2\,\Phi_\star.2Φ⋆2​​≤γ≤2Φ⋆​.

A chain mixes rapidly exactly when its state space has no bottleneck. This inequality is the backbone of the Markov-chain approach to approximate counting and of spectral graph theory at large; alongside it the chapters provide Wilson's method — the sharpest general technique for mixing-time lower bounds — and the comparison machinery that transfers spectral estimates between chains.

Setting

All chains live on a finite state space VVV. A chain with transition matrix PPP and stationary distribution π\piπ is reversible when the detailed balance equations π(x)P(x,y)=π(y)P(y,x)\pi(x)P(x,y)=\pi(y)P(y,x)π(x)P(x,y)=π(y)P(y,x) hold; reversibility is the standing assumption of both chapters. The yardsticks of the series are the total variation distance ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A⊆V∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_{A\subseteq V}|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA⊆V​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣, the worst-case distance to stationarity d(t)=max⁡x∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TVd(t)=\max_x\|P^t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{TV}d(t)=maxx​∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV​, and the mixing time tmix(ε)=min⁡{t:d(t)≤ε}t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)=\min\{t: d(t)\le\varepsilon\}tmix​(ε)=min{t:d(t)≤ε}, with tmix=tmix(1/4)t_{\mathrm{mix}}=t_{\mathrm{mix}}(1/4)tmix​=tmix​(1/4); we write πmin⁡=min⁡xπ(x)\pi_{\min}=\min_x\pi(x)πmin​=minx​π(x).

The spectral vocabulary: an eigenfunction of PPP is a nonzero f:V→Rf:V\to\mathbb Rf:V→R with Pf=λfPf=\lambda fPf=λf, where (Pf)(x)=∑yP(x,y)f(y)(Pf)(x)=\sum_yP(x,y)f(y)(Pf)(x)=∑y​P(x,y)f(y); the number λ\lambdaλ is then an eigenvalue. Out of the spectrum one forms

  • λ2\lambda_2λ2​, the largest eigenvalue different from 111, and the spectral gap γ=1−λ2\gamma=1-\lambda_2γ=1−λ2​;
  • λ⋆\lambda_\starλ⋆​, the largest absolute value of an eigenvalue different from 111, the absolute gap γ⋆=1−λ⋆\gamma_\star=1-\lambda_\starγ⋆​=1−λ⋆​, and the relaxation time trel=1/γ⋆t_{\mathrm{rel}}=1/\gamma_\startrel​=1/γ⋆​.

Functions on VVV carry the weighted inner product ⟨f,g⟩π=∑xf(x)g(x)π(x)\langle f,g\rangle_\pi=\sum_xf(x)g(x)\pi(x)⟨f,g⟩π​=∑x​f(x)g(x)π(x) — the geometry, denoted ℓ2(π)\ell^2(\pi)ℓ2(π), in which a reversible PPP is self-adjoint — and the Dirichlet form

E(f)=12∑x,y[f(x)−f(y)]2 π(x)P(x,y),\mathcal E(f)=\tfrac12\sum_{x,y}\bigl[f(x)-f(y)\bigr]^2\,\pi(x)P(x,y),E(f)=21​x,y∑​[f(x)−f(y)]2π(x)P(x,y),

the average squared variation of fff along the chain's transitions. Finally, from Mission IV: the bottleneck ratio of a set SSS of states is Φ(S)=∑x∈S, y∉Sπ(x)P(x,y) / π(S)\Phi(S)=\sum_{x\in S,\,y\notin S}\pi(x)P(x,y)\,/\,\pi(S)Φ(S)=∑x∈S,y∈/S​π(x)P(x,y)/π(S), the conditional probability at stationarity of escaping SSS in one step, and the bottleneck constant is Φ⋆=min⁡{Φ(S):∅≠S, π(S)≤12}\Phi_\star=\min\{\Phi(S):\varnothing\ne S,\ \pi(S)\le\tfrac12\}Φ⋆​=min{Φ(S):∅=S, π(S)≤21​}.

Formalization targets

Goal

Theorem 13.14, the discrete Cheeger inequality: for a reversible irreducible chain,

Φ⋆22  ≤  γ  ≤  2 Φ⋆.\frac{\Phi_\star^2}{2}\;\le\;\gamma\;\le\;2\,\Phi_\star.2Φ⋆2​​≤γ≤2Φ⋆​.

Milestones

  • Lemma 12.1 — every eigenvalue satisfies ∣λ∣≤1|\lambda|\le1∣λ∣≤1; for an irreducible chain the eigenfunctions of the eigenvalue 111 are the constant functions; an irreducible aperiodic chain does not have −1-1−1 as an eigenvalue.
  • Lemma 12.2 — the spectral representation: a reversible chain admits eigenfunctions f1,…,f∣V∣f_1,\dots,f_{|V|}f1​,…,f∣V∣​, orthonormal with respect to ⟨⋅,⋅⟩π\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_\pi⟨⋅,⋅⟩π​, with eigenvalues λj\lambda_jλj​, such that Pt(x,y)/π(y)=∑jfj(x)fj(y)λjtP^t(x,y)/\pi(y)=\sum_jf_j(x)f_j(y)\lambda_j^tPt(x,y)/π(y)=∑j​fj​(x)fj​(y)λjt​ for all t,x,yt,x,yt,x,y.
  • Theorem 12.3 — mixing is at most relaxation times a log factor: tmix(ε)≤log⁡(1/(ε πmin⁡)) trel+1t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le\log\bigl(1/(\varepsilon\,\pi_{\min})\bigr)\,t_{\mathrm{rel}}+1tmix​(ε)≤log(1/(επmin​))trel​+1.
  • Theorem 12.4 — mixing is at least the relaxation time: tmix(ε)≥(trel−1)log⁡(1/(2ε))t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\ge(t_{\mathrm{rel}}-1)\log\bigl(1/(2\varepsilon)\bigr)tmix​(ε)≥(trel​−1)log(1/(2ε)).
  • §12.3.1 — the model computation: simple random walk on the nnn-cycle has the numbers cos⁡(2πj/n)\cos(2\pi j/n)cos(2πj/n), j=0,…,n−1j=0,\dots,n-1j=0,…,n−1, among its eigenvalues.
  • Theorem 13.1 — if every pair of states admits a coupling of the two one-step distributions that contracts some metric ρ\rhoρ on VVV by a factor θ\thetaθ in expectation, then λ⋆≤θ\lambda_\star\le\thetaλ⋆​≤θ.
  • Theorem 13.5, Wilson's method — an eigenfunction Φ\PhiΦ with eigenvalue λ∈(12,1)\lambda\in(\tfrac12,1)λ∈(21​,1) whose one-step increments have second moment at most RRR yields the explicit lower bound tmix(ε)≥[2log⁡(1/λ)]−1[log⁡((1−λ)Φ(x)2/(2R))+log⁡((1−ε)/ε)]t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\ge\bigl[2\log(1/\lambda)\bigr]^{-1}\bigl[\log\bigl((1-\lambda)\Phi(x)^2/(2R)\bigr)+\log\bigl((1-\varepsilon)/\varepsilon\bigr)\bigr]tmix​(ε)≥[2log(1/λ)]−1[log((1−λ)Φ(x)2/(2R))+log((1−ε)/ε)].
  • Lemmas 13.11–13.12 — the variational characterization: γ\gammaγ is the minimum of E(f)\mathcal E(f)E(f) over functions with mean zero (∑xf(x)π(x)=0\sum_xf(x)\pi(x)=0∑x​f(x)π(x)=0) and unit norm (⟨f,f⟩π=1\langle f,f\rangle_\pi=1⟨f,f⟩π​=1), and the minimum is attained.
  • Lemma 13.22 — the comparison method: if a second reversible chain P~\tilde PP~ on the same space, with stationary distribution π~\tilde\piπ~, Dirichlet form E~\tilde{\mathcal E}E~, and gap γ~\tilde\gammaγ~​, satisfies E~(f)≤B E(f)\tilde{\mathcal E}(f)\le B\,\mathcal E(f)E~(f)≤BE(f) for every fff, then γ~≤[max⁡xπ(x)/π~(x)]B γ\tilde\gamma\le\bigl[\max_x\pi(x)/\tilde\pi(x)\bigr]B\,\gammaγ~​≤[maxx​π(x)/π~(x)]Bγ.

Significance

The results. Theorems 12.3–12.4 sandwich the mixing time between trelt_{\mathrm{rel}}trel​ and trellog⁡(1/πmin⁡)t_{\mathrm{rel}}\log(1/\pi_{\min})trel​log(1/πmin​) — the fundamental equivalence of spectral and mixing estimates for reversible chains, prerequisite for the cutoff criterion of Mission XI. The Cheeger inequality converts isoperimetry into spectral bounds; it is the mathematical core of the Jerrum–Sinclair program of polynomial-time approximate counting, and its graph version underlies expander theory. Wilson's method produced the sharp lower bounds for adjacent transpositions and hypercube-type chains; the comparison lemma is the engine behind the shuffle bounds cited in Mission V (§16.1).

Formalizing them. Mathlib has the spectral theorem for symmetric matrices but nothing connecting spectra to Markov chains: no spectral gap, no relaxation time, no Dirichlet forms, no Cheeger inequality in any form. A formalized discrete Cheeger inequality would be a landmark reusable well outside this series (spectral graph theory, expanders); the eigenvalue and Rayleigh-quotient layer built here is what Missions IX (tree relaxation, block dynamics) and XI (cutoff criterion) consume.

Difficulty

Everything routes through one change of basis: conjugating PPP by the diagonal matrix with entries π(x)\sqrt{\pi(x)}π(x)​ produces a matrix that is symmetric precisely because the chain is reversible, so Mathlib's spectral theorem applies — but transporting the resulting eigenbasis back to ℓ2(π)\ell^2(\pi)ℓ2(π), keeping track of orthonormality with respect to the weighted inner product, is a genuine formal-linear-algebra project; nothing about it is deep, all of it is fussy. The definitions of λ2\lambda_2λ2​ and λ⋆\lambda_\starλ⋆​ as suprema over the set of non-unit eigenvalues (finite, and nonempty once ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge2∣V∣≥2) must be reconciled with the eigenbasis enumeration before any variational argument runs. The upper half of Cheeger is direct from the variational characterization — test it on the indicator function of a bottleneck set SSS, recentred to have mean zero; the lower half is the hard half: the standard proof takes an optimal fff, decomposes it over its level sets {f>c}\{f>c\}{f>c}, and applies Cauchy–Schwarz twice, and formalizing that level-set sweep is the main effort of the mission. Wilson's method needs a supermartingale-style iteration of the eigenfunction estimate; its constants are exact, so the inequalities cannot be rounded.

Formalization scope

Eigenvalues are defined by real eigenvectors (∃f≠0, Pf=λf\exists f\ne0,\ Pf=\lambda f∃f=0, Pf=λf); for reversible chains this captures the whole spectrum, and all statements assume reversibility wherever the book does. λ2\lambda_2λ2​ and λ⋆\lambda_\starλ⋆​ are suprema of explicit sets of reals; on a one-point space these sets are empty and the supremum takes a junk value, so the affected statements carry the explicit hypothesis ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge2∣V∣≥2, matching the book's implicit assumption of a non-degenerate chain. trel=(1−λ⋆)−1t_{\mathrm{rel}}=(1-\lambda_\star)^{-1}trel​=(1−λ⋆​)−1 with total inverse. Theorem 12.3 carries an explicit +1+1+1 absorbing the rounding of a real-valued bound to an integer time. The cycle eigenvalue statement exhibits eigenvalues (existence of eigenfunctions); completeness of that list is not asserted. The variational characterization asserts both the minimization identity and its attainment, so it can be used in either direction.

Welcome contributions: the symmetrization API (conjugation by diag(π)\mathrm{diag}(\sqrt{\pi})diag(π​)), Rayleigh-quotient lemmas, level-set (layer-cake) infrastructure — all reused by Missions IX and XI.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • M. Jerrum, A. Sinclair, Approximating the permanent, SIAM J. Comput. 18 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1137/0218077
  • G. F. Lawler, A. D. Sokal, Bounds on the L² spectrum for Markov chains and Markov processes, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 309 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1988-0930082-9
  • D. B. Wilson, Mixing times of lozenge tiling and card shuffling Markov chains, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1042765669
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times IV: Lower Bounds on Mixing TimesTextbook

Motivation

Missions II–III produce upper bounds on mixing times. Whether such a bound is sharp is a different question: an O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) bound on a chain that actually mixes in nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn steps hides the truth. Chapter 7 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) develops the standard toolkit of lower bounds: the counting and diameter bounds (a chain cannot spread faster than its transition graph allows), the bottleneck ratio (a chain cannot mix faster than it crosses its worst cut), and distinguishing statistics (a chain is far from stationarity as long as some statistic separates Pt(x,⋅)P^t(x,\cdot)Pt(x,⋅) from π\piπ by several standard deviations). The bottleneck bound — closely related to the conductance of the chain and, via Mission VII, to the Cheeger inequality — is the single most important obstruction result in the subject: it is how slow mixing (torpid mixing of Ising at low temperature, in Mission IX) is proved.

Setting

For a chain PPP with stationary distribution π\piπ, the edge measure is Q(x,y)=π(x)P(x,y)Q(x,y)=\pi(x)P(x,y)Q(x,y)=π(x)P(x,y), the bottleneck ratio of a set SSS of states is

Φ(S)=Q(S,Sc)π(S),Q(S,Sc)=∑x∈S, y∉Sπ(x)P(x,y),\Phi(S)=\frac{Q(S,S^{c})}{\pi(S)},\qquad Q(S,S^c)=\sum_{x\in S,\,y\notin S}\pi(x)P(x,y),Φ(S)=π(S)Q(S,Sc)​,Q(S,Sc)=x∈S,y∈/S∑​π(x)P(x,y),

and the bottleneck ratio of the chain is Φ⋆=min⁡{Φ(S):π(S)≤12, S≠∅}\Phi_\star=\min\{\Phi(S):\pi(S)\le\tfrac12,\ S\neq\varnothing\}Φ⋆​=min{Φ(S):π(S)≤21​, S=∅}. The maximal one-step out-degree is Δ=max⁡x∣{y:P(x,y)>0}∣\Delta=\max_x|\{y:P(x,y)>0\}|Δ=maxx​∣{y:P(x,y)>0}∣; the diameter is measured in the graph joining x≠yx\ne yx=y when P(x,y)+P(y,x)>0P(x,y)+P(y,x)>0P(x,y)+P(y,x)>0. For a statistic f:V→Rf:V\to\mathbb Rf:V→R and distribution μ\muμ, Eμ(f)\mathbb E_\mu(f)Eμ​(f) and Var⁡μ(f)\operatorname{Var}_\mu(f)Varμ​(f) are the finite-sum expectation and variance, and μf−1\mu f^{-1}μf−1 denotes the pushforward of μ\muμ under fff.

Formalization targets

Goal

tmix  ≥  14Φ⋆.t_{\mathrm{mix}}\;\ge\;\frac{1}{4\Phi_\star}.tmix​≥4Φ⋆​1​.

This is Theorem 7.3, the bottleneck-ratio lower bound, the chapter's central theorem.

Milestones

The counting bound tmix(ε)≥log⁡(∣V∣(1−ε))/log⁡Δt_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\ge\log\bigl(|V|(1-\varepsilon)\bigr)/\log\Deltatmix​(ε)≥log(∣V∣(1−ε))/logΔ for chains with uniform stationary distribution (§7.1.1, display (7.2)); the diameter bound: any two states satisfy dist(x0,y0)≤2 tmix(ε)\mathrm{dist}(x_0,y_0)\le 2\,t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)dist(x0​,y0​)≤2tmix​(ε) for ε<1/2\varepsilon<1/2ε<1/2 (§7.1.2, display (7.3)); Proposition 7.8 (a statistic separating means by rrr standard deviations forces ∥μ−ν∥TV≥1−4/(4+r2)\|\mu-\nu\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\ge1-4/(4+r^2)∥μ−ν∥TV​≥1−4/(4+r2)); Lemma 7.9 (projection under a statistic does not increase TV distance); Proposition 7.13 (the lazy hypercube walk satisfies d(12nlog⁡n−αn)≥1−8e1−2αd(\tfrac12 n\log n-\alpha n)\ge 1-8e^{1-2\alpha}d(21​nlogn−αn)≥1−8e1−2α); and Proposition 7.14 (the top-to-random shuffle needs nlog⁡n−O(n)n\log n-O(n)nlogn−O(n) shuffles, matching the upper bound of Mission III).

Significance

The results. Together with Mission III this pins the top-to-random shuffle at nlog⁡n±O(n)n\log n\pm O(n)nlogn±O(n) — the first sharp mixing result of the series, and the prototype of the cutoff phenomenon formalized in Mission XI. Proposition 7.13 similarly matches the hypercube upper bound and feeds the cutoff analysis. The bottleneck bound is used in Mission IX to prove exponentially slow mixing of the mean-field Ising model at low temperature, and its two-sided refinement is the Cheeger inequality of Mission VII.

Formalizing them. Mathlib has no notion of conductance/bottleneck ratio of a chain, no distinguishing-statistic method, and no mixing-time lower bound of any kind. The pushforward and variance infrastructure over finitely supported distributions is elementary but new, and reusable wherever second-moment methods appear (Wilson's method in Mission VII).

Difficulty

The bottleneck theorem's proof is short but exact: it hinges on the identity π(S)∥μSP−μS∥TV=Q(S,Sc)\pi(S)\|\mu_S P-\mu_S\|_{\mathrm{TV}}=Q(S,S^c)π(S)∥μS​P−μS​∥TV​=Q(S,Sc) for π\piπ conditioned on SSS, followed by a telescoping estimate of ∥μSPt−μS∥TV\|\mu_S P^t-\mu_S\|_{\mathrm{TV}}∥μS​Pt−μS​∥TV​; the formal cost is manipulating conditioned measures and one-sided TV sums (Remark 4.3 from Mission II). For Proposition 7.8, the second-moment argument runs through Chebyshev on both distributions plus optimization of a threshold — the constants 4/(4+r2)4/(4+r^2)4/(4+r2) are exact, not asymptotic, so the formal inequalities must be done carefully. Proposition 7.13 requires the binomial mean/variance computation for Hamming weight under both π\piπ and Pt(1,⋅)P^t(\mathbf 1,\cdot)Pt(1,⋅), including the negative-correlation bound for unrefreshed coordinates. The naive route to a lower bound — "the chain has not left a small set, so it is far from π\piπ" — is precisely the counting bound and is too weak for the sharp results; the statistics method is what closes the gap.

Formalization scope

Φ⋆\Phi_\starΦ⋆​ is an infimum over the subtype of nonempty sets with π(S)≤12\pi(S)\le\tfrac12π(S)≤21​; on a one-point space this subtype is empty and the infimum takes a junk value, making the goal trivially true there (the bound carries content only for ∣V∣≥2|V|\ge2∣V∣≥2, as in the book). The counting bound divides by log⁡Δ\log\DeltalogΔ with total division (Δ≤1\Delta\le1Δ≤1 gives a trivially true statement). The diameter bound is stated for arbitrary pairs of states through SimpleGraph.dist of the transition graph, which subsumes the book's diameter formulation. Propositions 7.13 and 7.14 are stated for all integer times t≤12nlog⁡n−αnt\le\frac12 n\log n-\alpha nt≤21​nlogn−αn (resp. t≤nlog⁡n−αnt\le n\log n-\alpha nt≤nlogn−αn), using monotonicity of ddd instead of evaluating at a real-valued time — this avoids floor artifacts while keeping the book's content. Proposition 7.14 quantifies "α\alphaα large, then nnn large" exactly as the book's iterated limit.

Welcome contributions: monotonicity of d(t)d(t)d(t) in ttt; conditioned-measure lemmas; variance API for distExp/distVar.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • M. Jerrum, A. Sinclair, Approximating the permanent, SIAM J. Comput. 18 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1137/0218077
  • D. Aldous, P. Diaconis, Shuffling cards and stopping times, Amer. Math. Monthly 93 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1986.11971821
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times III: Coupling and Strong Stationary TimesTextbook

Motivation

The Convergence Theorem of Mission II says an irreducible aperiodic chain mixes geometrically, but with constants coming from a crude Doeblin decomposition — useless for actual chains, whose state spaces are exponentially large. Chapters 5–6 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) develop the two classic probabilistic techniques that give useful upper bounds: coupling — run two copies of the chain jointly so that they meet quickly, and read a TV bound off the meeting time — and strong stationary times — random times at which the chain is exactly stationary, independent of the time. The flagship application is the top-to-random shuffle: repeatedly take the top card of a deck of nnn cards and reinsert it at a uniform position; the deck is well mixed after nlog⁡n+cnn\log n + cnnlogn+cn shuffles, with error at most e−ce^{-c}e−c.

Setting

A Markovian coupling of a chain PPP (with the stay-together convention (5.2)) is a chain QQQ on pairs whose coordinate marginals are both PPP and which moves diagonal states to diagonal states. The coupling time τcouple\tau_{\mathrm{couple}}τcouple​ is the hitting time of the diagonal; its tails are expressed with the trajectory calculus of Mission I.

A randomized stopping time is presented by its stopping rule: for each time ttt and trajectory prefix ω\omegaω, a number st(ω)∈[0,1]s_t(\omega)\in[0,1]st​(ω)∈[0,1], the conditional probability of stopping at ttt given the trajectory so far and no earlier stop. A strong stationary time for the chain started at xxx is an almost surely finite such τ\tauτ with

Px{τ=t, Xτ=y}=Px{τ=t} π(y),\mathbb P_x\{\tau=t,\ X_\tau=y\}=\mathbb P_x\{\tau=t\}\,\pi(y),Px​{τ=t, Xτ​=y}=Px​{τ=t}π(y),

i.e. Xτ∼πX_\tau\sim\piXτ​∼π independent of τ\tauτ. The separation distance is sx(t)=max⁡y [1−Pt(x,y)/π(y)]s_x(t)=\max_y\,[1-P^t(x,y)/\pi(y)]sx​(t)=maxy​[1−Pt(x,y)/π(y)].

The mission also fixes the concrete chains it bounds: the lazy walk on the discrete torus Znd\mathbb Z_n^dZnd​, the Metropolis chain on proper qqq-colorings of a graph, the Glauber dynamics of the hardcore model with fugacity λ\lambdaλ, and the top-to-random shuffle on decks of nnn cards (states are arrangements, i.e. permutations; position 000 is the top).

Formalization targets

Goal

Let d(t)=max⁡x∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TVd(t)= \max_x\|P^t (x,\cdot)−\pi\|_{TV}d(t)=maxx​∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV​,

d(⌈nlog⁡n+αn⌉)  ≤  e−α(α>0)d\bigl(\lceil n\log n+\alpha n\rceil\bigr)\;\le\;e^{-\alpha}\qquad(\alpha>0)d(⌈nlogn+αn⌉)≤e−α(α>0)

for the top-to-random shuffle on n≥2n\ge2n≥2 cards — display (6.16) of the book, the chapter's flagship bound, proved by combining the strong stationary time τtop\tau_{\mathrm{top}}τtop​ with the coupon collector tail of Mission I.

Milestones

Theorem 5.2 and Corollary 5.3 (the coupling bound: ∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV≤Px,y{τcouple>t}\|P^t(x,\cdot)-P^t(y,\cdot)\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le\mathbb P_{x,y}\{\tau_{\mathrm{couple}}>t\}∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV​≤Px,y​{τcouple​>t}, hence d(t)≤max⁡x,yPx,y{τcouple>t}d(t)\le\max_{x,y}\mathbb P_{x,y}\{\tau_{\mathrm{couple}}>t\}d(t)≤maxx,y​Px,y​{τcouple​>t}); Theorem 5.5 (tmix(ε)≤c(d) n2log⁡2ε−1t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le c(d)\,n^2\log_2\varepsilon^{-1}tmix​(ε)≤c(d)n2log2​ε−1 for the lazy torus walk); Theorem 5.7 (Metropolis colorings, q>3Δq>3\Deltaq>3Δ: mixing in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn)); Theorem 5.8 (hardcore Glauber, λ<(Δ−1)−1\lambda<(\Delta-1)^{-1}λ<(Δ−1)−1: mixing in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn)); Proposition 6.1 with Example 6.7 (τtop\tau_{\mathrm{top}}τtop​ is a strong stationary time); Lemma 6.11 (sx(t)≤Px{τ>t}s_x(t)\le\mathbb P_x\{\tau>t\}sx​(t)≤Px​{τ>t}); Lemma 6.13 (∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV≤sx(t)\|P^t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{\mathrm{TV}}\le s_x(t)∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV​≤sx​(t)); Proposition 6.10 (d(t)≤max⁡xPx{τ>t}d(t)\le\max_x\mathbb P_x\{\tau>t\}d(t)≤maxx​Px​{τ>t}).

Significance

The results. The coupling bound is the single most used upper-bound technique in the subject: Missions VIII (path coupling), IX (Ising) and XI (cutoff examples) all instantiate it. Strong stationary times and separation distance return in Mission XI (separation cutoff) and underlie perfect sampling in Mission XIII. The three concrete bounds (torus, colorings, hardcore) are the standard first applications and give the first polynomial mixing results of the series; the colorings and hardcore chains are the objects of intense ongoing research on sampling thresholds.

Formalizing them. Nothing here exists in Mathlib. The novel infrastructure is the stopping-rule formalization of randomized stopping times over trajectory prefixes — measure-theory-free, but expressive enough for the strong stationarity identity — and the Markovian-coupling predicate on pair chains. Both are reused later in the series (Matthews method, cutoff, CFTP).

Difficulty

The coupling bound itself is short once Proposition 4.7 (Mission II) is available; the work is in the applications. For the torus, the coordinatewise coupling requires assembling ddd one-dimensional couplings and bounding the coupling time by a sum of one-dimensional meeting times — the formal bookkeeping of "couple coordinate by coordinate" is the real cost, and the constant c(d)c(d)c(d) absorbs it. For Theorem 5.7 and 5.8 the argument is a grand coupling over all colorings/configurations simultaneously; the formal statements quantify only over the resulting bound, but a solver must build the coupling. For Proposition 6.1, the crux is the induction "given kkk cards under the original bottom card, all k!k!k! orders are equally likely" — an exchangeability argument that must be carried through the stopping-rule encoding. Lemma 6.11 is where the definition of strong stationarity does its work; the naive attempt to prove Proposition 6.10 directly from the coupling characterization fails, which is exactly why separation distance is introduced.

Formalization scope

Couplings of chains are transition matrices on V×VV\times VV×V with marginal conditions stated row by row; the stay-together convention is part of the predicate, matching (5.2). Stopping rules take the trajectory prefix (which includes the starting state), so times "depending on the starting position" are covered; strong stationarity packages the stopping rule bounds, almost-sure finiteness (∑tPx{τ=t}=1\sum_t\mathbb P_x\{\tau=t\}=1∑t​Px​{τ=t}=1), and the product identity. The colorings chain lives on the subtype of proper colorings; the hardcore chain is the Glauber dynamics of Mission II restricted to the subtype of hardcore configurations (transitions never leave it). Mixing-time upper bounds carry an explicit +1+1+1 for integer rounding where the book's real-valued display would otherwise be false for the integer-valued tmixt_{\mathrm{mix}}tmix​. The torus statement fixes ε≤1/2\varepsilon\le 1/2ε≤1/2; for ε\varepsilonε near 111 the display is false as stated in the book.

Welcome contributions: interface lemmas between setAvoidTailProb of the pair chain and the two coordinates; the taboo-matrix form of coupling-time tails; exchangeability infrastructure for the deck chains (reused in Mission V).

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • D. Aldous, P. Diaconis, Shuffling cards and stopping times, Amer. Math. Monthly 93 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1986.11971821
  • P. Diaconis, J. A. Fill, Strong stationary times via a new form of duality, Ann. Probab. 18 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176990628
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Convex Optimization III: Conic Duality and the S-procedureTextbook

Two quadratic functions can be compared losslessly. The S-procedure says that, when the constraint is strictly feasible, the implication

q1(x)≤0  ⟹  q2(x)≤0,qk(x)=xTFkx+2gkTx+hk,q_1(x) \le 0 \;\Longrightarrow\; q_2(x) \le 0, \qquad q_k(x) = x^{T}F_k x + 2g_k^{T}x + h_k,q1​(x)≤0⟹q2​(x)≤0,qk​(x)=xTFk​x+2gkT​x+hk​,

holds if and only if a single nonnegative multiplier certifies it as a matrix inequality, λ[F1g1g1Th1]⪰[F2g2g2Th2]\lambda \begin{bmatrix} F_1 & g_1 \\ g_1^{T} & h_1\end{bmatrix} \succeq \begin{bmatrix} F_2 & g_2 \\ g_2^{T} & h_2\end{bmatrix}λ[F1​g1T​​g1​h1​​]⪰[F2​g2T​​g2​h2​​] for some λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0. It is a cornerstone of control theory, trust-region methods and robust optimization, and a rare case in which a nonconvex problem has zero duality gap. The route runs through the theory this mission builds from Boyd & Vandenberghe §5.8–5.9 and Appendix B: strong alternatives for convex inequality systems, cone-program strong duality under a generalized Slater condition, semidefinite programming duality, the LMI theorems of alternatives, and the hidden convexity of the joint range of two quadratic forms.

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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Convex Optimization I: Prékopa's TheoremTextbook

Log-concave functions are the meeting point of convex analysis and probability: densities of Gaussian, exponential, uniform and Wishart distributions are all log-concave, and countless facts of applied probability flow from one structural theorem — integrating out variables preserves log-concavity. This mission builds the convex-analysis spine of Boyd & Vandenberghe's Convex Optimization (Chapters 2–3) — separation and supporting hyperplanes, dual cones, the first- and second-order differential characterizations of convexity, Fenchel conjugacy — and climbs to Prékopa's theorem via the Prékopa–Leindler inequality, a landmark of Brunn–Minkowski theory absent from Mathlib.

29 thms5 active usersReviewed
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchQuantum Information+1·Captain: tianyipeng

Markov Entanglement: Value Decomposition Error in Multi-agent MDPsResearch Paper

Value decomposition — approximating the value of a joint state by a sum of per-agent local values — is a staple of multi-agent dynamic programming and reinforcement learning, from index policies for restless bandits to modern MARL architectures, yet it is normally used without justification. Chen and Peng (arXiv:2506.02385) supply one. They show a multi-agent MDP admits an exact value decomposition precisely when its transition matrix is not entangled — a notion built in direct analogy with quantum entanglement — and then turn that qualitative characterisation into a quantitative one: a measure of Markov entanglement bounds the decomposition error in general. This mission formalizes that core theory. The goal is Theorem 6, the general N-agent bound in the occupancy-weighted norm; the milestones are the equivalence between separability and exact decomposition, the perturbation machinery that carries a one-step transition error into a value-function error, and the extensions to shared global state and shared rewards. The paper's restless-bandit application, which needs mean-field machinery of its own, is left to a second mission in the series.

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Optimal TransportPure Mathematics·Captain: ykanoria

Excursion Coupling for the Monge Problem on the Line (Juillet 2019)Research Paper

The Monge optimal transport problem on the real line with the classical distance cost ∣x−y∣|x-y|∣x−y∣ famously fails to have a unique solution. Juillet (2019) restored uniqueness by considering the strictly concave power costs ∣x−y∣p|x-y|^p∣x−y∣p with p<1p<1p<1 and letting p→1−p\to 1^-p→1−: the limit selects a distinguished optimal plan, the excursion coupling, built from the level sets of the difference Fσ=Fμ−FνF_\sigma=F_\mu-F_\nuFσ​=Fμ​−Fν​ of the cumulative distribution functions. This mission formalizes the completed-graph construction, the generalized Banach indicatrix identities of Bertoin-Yor, the alternating crossing structure of almost every level, and the marginal identities for the crossing counting measures. It culminates in Propositions 3.5-3.6: every monotone transport plan is concentrated on the paired routes, and the marginals uniquely determine the coupling carried by those routes, including in the presence of atoms.

This mission formalizes the key implication 3=>4 in Juillet's Main Theorem.

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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Introduction to Linear Optimization X: Max-Flow Min-CutTextbook

How much flow can be sent from a source sss to a sink ttt through a network with arc capacities uij∈(0,∞]u_{ij}\in(0,\infty]uij​∈(0,∞] — and what certifies that no more is possible? This mission formalizes §7.4-7.5 of Bertsimas & Tsitsiklis. The circulation calculus of §7.4 supplies the two structural tools: the flow decomposition theorem (Lemma 7.1 — every nonzero nonnegative circulation is a positive combination f=∑iaifi\mathbf{f}=\sum_i a_i\mathbf{f}^if=∑i​ai​fi of simple circulations with only forward arcs, with integer aia_iai​ when f\mathbf{f}f is integer) and the optimality criterion for the minimum cost network flow problem (Theorem 7.6 — a feasible flow is optimal if and only if there is no unsaturated cycle with negative cost). Section 7.5 then formulates the maximum flow problem (max⁡bs\max b_smaxbs​ s.t. Af=b\mathbf{A}\mathbf{f}=\mathbf{b}Af=b, bt=−bsb_t=-b_sbt​=−bs​, bi=0b_i=0bi​=0 for i≠s,ti\ne s,ti=s,t, 0≤f≤u0\le\mathbf{f}\le\mathbf{u}0≤f≤u), defines augmenting paths (Definition 7.2: fij<uijf_{ij}<u_{ij}fij​<uij​ on forward arcs, fij>0f_{ij}>0fij​>0 on backward arcs) and the Ford–Fulkerson algorithm, and proves integer invariance and finite termination for integer capacities (Theorem 7.8). The goal is Theorem 7.10:

(a) if the Ford–Fulkerson algorithm terminates because no augmenting path can be found, the current flow is optimal;

(b) the value of the maximum flow equals the minimum cut capacity

C(S)=∑{(i,j)∈A∣i∈S, j∉S}uijC(S)=\sum_{\{(i,j)\in\mathcal{A}\mid i\in S,\,j\notin S\}}u_{ij}C(S)={(i,j)∈A∣i∈S,j∈/S}∑​uij​

— the archetypal combinatorial min-max theorem, which the book notes can also be read as LP duality (pp. 311-312).

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms XIII: Pure Exploration and Best-Arm IdentificationTextbook

Sometimes reward during learning is irrelevant — a pharmaceutical company running phase-II trials only cares about identifying the best treatment, as quickly and as reliably as possible. Chapter 33 of Lattimore–Szepesvári formalizes fixed-confidence best-arm identification: a policy together with a stopping time τ\tauτ and a recommendation must be sound (wrong with probability at most δ\deltaδ) while minimizing E[τ]\mathbb{E}[\tau]E[τ]. The information-theoretic complexity is c∗(ν)−1=sup⁡α∈Pk−1inf⁡ν′∈Ealt(ν)∑iαiD(νi,νi′)c^*(\nu)^{-1} = \sup_{\alpha\in\mathcal{P}_{k-1}} \inf_{\nu'\in\mathcal{E}_{alt}(\nu)} \sum_i \alpha_i D(\nu_i, \nu_i')c∗(ν)−1=supα∈Pk−1​​infν′∈Ealt​(ν)​∑i​αi​D(νi​,νi′​): every sound strategy needs E[τ]≥c∗(ν)log⁡14δ\mathbb{E}[\tau] \ge c^*(\nu)\log\frac{1}{4\delta}E[τ]≥c∗(ν)log4δ1​, and the Track-and-Stop algorithm — the goal theorem — achieves lim⁡δ→0E[τ]/log⁡(1/δ)=c∗(ν)\lim_{\delta\to 0} \mathbb{E}[\tau]/\log(1/\delta) = c^*(\nu)limδ→0​E[τ]/log(1/δ)=c∗(ν) exactly. The mission also covers the fixed-budget counterpart, sequential halving.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms IV: Bernoulli Bandits and KL-UCBTextbook

When rewards are binary — a click or no click, a cure or no cure — the subgaussian machinery of Missions I–III is not tight: the variance of a Bernoulli arm degrades near the boundary of [0,1][0,1][0,1], and the correct exponential rate is governed by the binary relative entropy d(p,q)=plog⁡pq+(1−p)log⁡1−p1−qd(p,q) = p\log\frac{p}{q} + (1-p)\log\frac{1-p}{1-q}d(p,q)=plogqp​+(1−p)log1−q1−p​ rather than a squared distance. Chapter 10 of Lattimore–Szepesvári develops Chernoff's tail bound in its information-theoretic form and the KL-UCB algorithm, whose upper confidence bounds are level sets of ddd. The goal theorem shows KL-UCB attains

lim sup⁡n→∞Rn/log⁡n=∑i:Δi>0Δi/d(μi,μ∗)\limsup_{n\to\infty} R_n/\log n = \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} \Delta_i/d(\mu_i, \mu^*)n→∞limsup​Rn​/logn=i:Δi​>0∑​Δi​/d(μi​,μ∗)

— asymptotic optimality with exactly the constant demanded by the lower bound of Mission VII, strictly improving subgaussian UCB on every Bernoulli instance.

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