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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Discover

Find your next mission.

Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

NoneFormalized record→≥ 0.00003666565558019Open frontier
3 provers on it0 of 4 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999074Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
9 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 70Formalized record
3 provers on it8 of 8 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Numerical AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Regression-Based Monte Carlo Method to Solve Backward Stochastic Differential Equations I: Projection Errors of the Picard–Regression Scheme Accumulate AdditivelyResearch Paper

Motivation

A backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) prescribes the value of a process at a terminal time and asks for an adapted process that reaches it while following a given drift. In mathematical finance the price of a contingent claim, and its hedging strategy, solve such an equation; when the market has frictions (different borrowing and lending rates, for example) the drift, called the driver, is nonlinear and no closed form exists. Numerical methods for BSDEs are therefore methods for pricing and hedging under nonlinear models, and also for semilinear parabolic PDEs, which BSDEs represent probabilistically.

Gobet, Lemor and Warin (Ann. Appl. Probab. 15 (2005), arXiv:math/0508491) proposed and analysed a simulation scheme in which every conditional expectation of a backward time-stepping recursion is replaced by a least-squares regression on finitely many functions, as in the Longstaff–Schwartz method for American options. Their analysis splits the total error into three parts: time discretization (Theorem 1, from Zhang's results), replacing conditional expectations by L2\mathbf L_2L2​ projections on function bases (Theorem 2), and replacing those projections by empirical regressions on MMM simulated paths (Theorem 3). This mission formalizes the second part.

Timeline. Zhang (Ann. Appl. Probab. 14 (2004)) and Bouchard and Touzi (Stoch. Proc. Appl. 111 (2004)) established the h\sqrt hh​ rate of the time discretization. Bouchard and Touzi's regression error (their reference [6] in the paper, Theorem 4.1 there) was expressed through the residuals of the scheme's own iterates. Gobet, Lemor and Warin (2005) gave the bound in terms of the residuals of the discrete BSDE, together with estimates on ZZZ.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, dimensions d,q≥1d,q\ge1d,q≥1, a drift b(t,x)∈Rdb(t,x)\in\mathbb R^db(t,x)∈Rd and a diffusion matrix σ(t,x)∈Rd×q\sigma(t,x)\in\mathbb R^{d\times q}σ(t,x)∈Rd×q, both Lipschitz in (t,x)(t,x)(t,x) ((H1)), and a driver f(t,x,y,z)∈Rf(t,x,y,z)\in\mathbb Rf(t,x,y,z)∈R with

∣f(t2,x2,y2,z2)−f(t1,x1,y1,z1)∣≤Cf(∣t2−t1∣1/2+∣x2−x1∣+∣y2−y1∣+∣z2−z1∣)(H2).|f(t_2,x_2,y_2,z_2)-f(t_1,x_1,y_1,z_1)|\le C_f\big(|t_2-t_1|^{1/2}+|x_2-x_1|+|y_2-y_1|+|z_2-z_1|\big)\qquad\textbf{(H2)}.∣f(t2​,x2​,y2​,z2​)−f(t1​,x1​,y1​,z1​)∣≤Cf​(∣t2​−t1​∣1/2+∣x2​−x1​∣+∣y2​−y1​∣+∣z2​−z1​∣)(H2).

For N≥1N\ge1N≥1 put h=T/Nh=T/Nh=T/N and tk=kht_k=khtk​=kh. On a probability space with a filtration (Fk)(\mathcal F_k)(Fk​), the increments ΔWk∈Rq\Delta W_k\in\mathbb R^qΔWk​∈Rq are Fk+1\mathcal F_{k+1}Fk+1​-measurable, independent of Fk\mathcal F_kFk​ and Gaussian N(0,hIq)\mathcal N(0,hI_q)N(0,hIq​); ΔWl,k\Delta W_{l,k}ΔWl,k​ is the lll-th component. The Euler scheme is St0N=S0S^N_{t_0}=S_0St0​N​=S0​, Stk+1N=StkN+b(tk,StkN)h+σ(tk,StkN)ΔWkS^N_{t_{k+1}}=S^N_{t_k}+b(t_k,S^N_{t_k})h+\sigma(t_k,S^N_{t_k})\Delta W_kStk+1​N​=Stk​N​+b(tk​,Stk​N​)h+σ(tk​,Stk​N​)ΔWk​. An Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-adapted process PtkN∈Rd′P^N_{t_k}\in\mathbb R^{d'}Ptk​N​∈Rd′ extends StkNS^N_{t_k}Stk​N​ by extra state variables, and the terminal value is ΦN(PtNN)\Phi^N(P^N_{t_N})ΦN(PtN​N​), square integrable.

Write Ek=E(⋅∣Fk)\mathbb E_k=\mathbb E(\cdot\mid\mathcal F_k)Ek​=E(⋅∣Fk​). The discrete BSDE is YtNN=ΦN(PtNN)Y^N_{t_N}=\Phi^N(P^N_{t_N})YtN​N​=ΦN(PtN​N​) and, for k<Nk<Nk<N,

Zl,tkN=1hEk(Ytk+1NΔWl,k),YtkN=Ek(Ytk+1N)+hf(tk,StkN,YtkN,ZtkN).Z^N_{l,t_k}=\tfrac1h\mathbb E_k(Y^N_{t_{k+1}}\Delta W_{l,k}),\qquad Y^N_{t_k}=\mathbb E_k(Y^N_{t_{k+1}})+hf(t_k,S^N_{t_k},Y^N_{t_k},Z^N_{t_k}).Zl,tk​N​=h1​Ek​(Ytk+1​N​ΔWl,k​),Ytk​N​=Ek​(Ytk+1​N​)+hf(tk​,Stk​N​,Ytk​N​,Ztk​N​).

A function basis pl,k(PtkN)∈Rnl,kp_{l,k}(P^N_{t_k})\in\mathbb R^{n_{l,k}}pl,k​(Ptk​N​)∈Rnl,k​ (0≤l≤q0\le l\le q0≤l≤q) is square integrable with invertible Gram matrix E(pl,kpl,k∗)\mathbb E(p_{l,k}p_{l,k}^*)E(pl,k​pl,k∗​). Pp(U)\mathcal P_{p}(U)Pp​(U) is the L2(Ω,P)\mathbf L_2(\Omega,\mathbb P)L2​(Ω,P) orthogonal projection of UUU onto the span of the basis, and Rp(U)=U−Pp(U)\mathcal R_p(U)=U-\mathcal P_p(U)Rp​(U)=U−Pp​(U).

The projection–Picard scheme with III iterations (Definition 1) produces YtkN,i,I=α0,ki,I⋅p0,kY^{N,i,I}_{t_k}=\alpha^{i,I}_{0,k}\cdot p_{0,k}Ytk​N,i,I​=α0,ki,I​⋅p0,k​ and Zl,tkN,i,I=αl,ki,I⋅pl,kZ^{N,i,I}_{l,t_k}=\alpha^{i,I}_{l,k}\cdot p_{l,k}Zl,tk​N,i,I​=αl,ki,I​⋅pl,k​, starting from α0,I=0\alpha^{0,I}=0α0,I=0, where αki,I\alpha^{i,I}_kαki,I​ minimizes

E(Ytk+1N,I,I−α0⋅p0,k+hf(tk,StkN,YtkN,i−1,I,ZtkN,i−1,I)−∑l=1qαl⋅pl,kΔWl,k)2.(9)\mathbb E\Big(Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}-\alpha_0\cdot p_{0,k}+hf(t_k,S^N_{t_k},Y^{N,i-1,I}_{t_k},Z^{N,i-1,I}_{t_k})-\sum_{l=1}^q\alpha_l\cdot p_{l,k}\Delta W_{l,k}\Big)^2.\qquad(9)E(Ytk+1​N,I,I​−α0​⋅p0,k​+hf(tk​,Stk​N​,Ytk​N,i−1,I​,Ztk​N,i−1,I​)−l=1∑q​αl​⋅pl,k​ΔWl,k​)2.(9)

Finally AN(S0)=1+∣S0∣2+E∣ΦN(PtNN)∣2\mathcal A^N(S_0)=1+|S_0|^2+\mathbb E|\Phi^N(P^N_{t_N})|^2AN(S0​)=1+∣S0​∣2+E∣ΦN(PtN​N​)∣2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 11)

For hhh small enough,

max⁡0≤k≤NE∣YtkN,I,I−YtkN∣2+h∑k=0N−1E∣ZtkN,I,I−ZtkN∣2≤Ch2I−2AN(S0)+C∑k=0N−1E∣Rp0,k(YtkN)∣2+Ch∑k=0N−1∑l=1qE∣Rpl,k(Zl,tkN)∣2.\max_{0\le k\le N}\mathbb E|Y^{N,I,I}_{t_k}-Y^N_{t_k}|^2+h\sum_{k=0}^{N-1}\mathbb E|Z^{N,I,I}_{t_k}-Z^N_{t_k}|^2\le Ch^{2I-2}\mathcal A^N(S_0)+C\sum_{k=0}^{N-1}\mathbb E|\mathcal R_{p_{0,k}}(Y^N_{t_k})|^2+Ch\sum_{k=0}^{N-1}\sum_{l=1}^q\mathbb E|\mathcal R_{p_{l,k}}(Z^N_{l,t_k})|^2 .0≤k≤Nmax​E∣Ytk​N,I,I​−Ytk​N​∣2+hk=0∑N−1​E∣Ztk​N,I,I​−Ztk​N​∣2≤Ch2I−2AN(S0​)+Ck=0∑N−1​E∣Rp0,k​​(Ytk​N​)∣2+Chk=0∑N−1​l=1∑q​E∣Rpl,k​​(Zl,tk​N​)∣2.

Milestones

  1. (10)–(11): the minimizer of (9) is given by projections, Zl,tkN,i,I=1hPpl,k(Ytk+1N,I,IΔWl,k)Z^{N,i,I}_{l,t_k}=\frac1h\mathcal P_{p_{l,k}}(Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}\Delta W_{l,k})Zl,tk​N,i,I​=h1​Ppl,k​​(Ytk+1​N,I,I​ΔWl,k​) and YtkN,i,I=Pp0,k(Ytk+1N,I,I+hf(…,YtkN,i−1,I,ZtkN,i−1,I))Y^{N,i,I}_{t_k}=\mathcal P_{p_{0,k}}(Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}+hf(\dots,Y^{N,i-1,I}_{t_k},Z^{N,i-1,I}_{t_k}))Ytk​N,i,I​=Pp0,k​​(Ytk+1​N,I,I​+hf(…,Ytk​N,i−1,I​,Ztk​N,i−1,I​)).
  2. (12): h E∣Zl,tkN,i,I∣2≤E∣Ytk+1N,I,I∣2−E∣Ek(Ytk+1N,I,I)∣2h\,\mathbb E|Z^{N,i,I}_{l,t_k}|^2\le\mathbb E|Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}|^2-\mathbb E|\mathbb E_k(Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}})|^2hE∣Zl,tk​N,i,I​∣2≤E∣Ytk+1​N,I,I​∣2−E∣Ek​(Ytk+1​N,I,I​)∣2.
  3. (13): the map Y↦Pp0,k(Ytk+1N,I,I+hf(tk,StkN,Y,ZtkN,I,I))Y\mapsto\mathcal P_{p_{0,k}}(Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}+hf(t_k,S^N_{t_k},Y,Z^{N,I,I}_{t_k}))Y↦Pp0,k​​(Ytk+1​N,I,I​+hf(tk​,Stk​N​,Y,Ztk​N,I,I​)) is a (Cfh)(C_fh)(Cf​h)-contraction on L2(Fk)\mathbf L_2(\mathcal F_k)L2​(Fk​) with a unique fixed point.
  4. The discrete Gronwall lemma with ccc-terms (p. 11, item 3).
  5. (19): E∣YtkN,i,I∣2+h E∣Zl,tkN,i,I∣2≤CAN(S0)\mathbb E|Y^{N,i,I}_{t_k}|^2+h\,\mathbb E|Z^{N,i,I}_{l,t_k}|^2\le C\mathcal A^N(S_0)E∣Ytk​N,i,I​∣2+hE∣Zl,tk​N,i,I​∣2≤CAN(S0​), uniformly in III, iii, kkk.

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that the projection errors of a backward regression scheme only add up over the NNN time steps, with a constant that does not grow with NNN, and that they are measured by the residuals of the discrete BSDE itself. That makes the influence of the basis directly computable (the paper's §6 does so for Voronoi-cell indicators), and shows that I=2I=2I=2 Picard iterations already give an error of the order of the time discretization. Combined with Theorem 3 it gives the complete error budget of the algorithm.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of it is machine-checked. A complete development provides a formal L2\mathbf L_2L2​-regression calculus for discrete BSDEs (projections on random bases, conditional expectations against Gaussian increments, contraction of Picard maps in L2(Fk)\mathbf L_2(\mathcal F_k)L2​(Fk​)) and a backward discrete Gronwall lemma, all reusable for other regression schemes. One printed step, (14), fails at i=1i=1i=1 (see below), so a formal proof also certifies that the theorem survives the repair.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the scheme with the discrete BSDE one step at a time and applies Gronwall. It fails for ZZZ: ZtkN,i,IZ^{N,i,I}_{t_k}Ztk​N,i,I​ carries a factor 1/h1/h1/h, and a naive bound E∣Z∣2≤h−1E∣Y∣2\mathbb E|Z|^2\le h^{-1}\mathbb E|Y|^2E∣Z∣2≤h−1E∣Y∣2 summed over N=T/hN=T/hN=T/h steps explodes. A usable bound has to account for the conditional variance of Ytk+1N,I,IY^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}Ytk+1​N,I,I​ given Fk\mathcal F_kFk​, not only its second moment. The second difficulty is that the projection does not commute with the driver: projection errors enter at every step through the nonlinear fff, and must be bounded by residuals of YNY^NYN and ZNZ^NZN, not of the scheme's iterates. A third is the Picard step: at i=1i=1i=1 the iterate is computed with ZN,0,I=0Z^{N,0,I}=0ZN,0,I=0, so it is not an iterate of the contraction of milestone 3, and the printed inequality (14) E∣YtkN,∞,I−YtkN,i,I∣2≤(Cfh)2iE∣YtkN,∞,I∣2\mathbb E|Y^{N,\infty,I}_{t_k}-Y^{N,i,I}_{t_k}|^2\le(C_fh)^{2i}\mathbb E|Y^{N,\infty,I}_{t_k}|^2E∣Ytk​N,∞,I​−Ytk​N,i,I​∣2≤(Cf​h)2iE∣Ytk​N,∞,I​∣2 fails there; an extra term in E∣ZtkN,I,I∣2\mathbb E|Z^{N,I,I}_{t_k}|^2E∣Ztk​N,I,I​∣2 is needed.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace RegMCBSDE.Projection. Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), the matrix norm in (H1) is the Frobenius norm, and all expectations of squares are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so no junk value of a Bochner integral can make an inequality vacuous. Component mmm (from 000) of ΔWk\Delta W_kΔWk​ is the paper's ΔWm+1,k\Delta W_{m+1,k}ΔWm+1,k​, and the bases are indexed by Fin (q+1) with l=0l=0l=0 for YYY.

Committed readings:

  • (H3) is dropped. It constrains the continuous terminal functional, which no statement involves.
  • The filtration is abstract. Any filtration with Fk+1\mathcal F_{k+1}Fk+1​-measurable increments independent of Fk\mathcal F_kFk​ and of law N(0,hIq)\mathcal N(0,hI_q)N(0,hIq​); the Brownian filtration is one. The Markov representation of PNP^NPN is not used and is dropped.
  • Schemes are relations. (YN,ZN)(Y^N,Z^N)(YN,ZN) is any solution of (5)–(6), and α\alphaα is any family satisfying the arg-min rule (9) for every i≥1i\ge1i≥1 (the paper runs i≤Ii\le Ii≤I; (19) refers to all i≥0i\ge0i≥0). (10)–(11) are a milestone, not the definition.
  • The projection is Mathlib's orthogonal projection in L2(Ω,P)\mathbf L_2(\Omega,\mathbb P)L2​(Ω,P) onto the span of the basis coordinates. It is not defined by the normal equations.
  • Constants. In Theorem 2 and (19), CCC and the threshold h0h_0h0​ of "hhh small enough" are chosen after (T,d,q,b,σ,f,Cf,L)(T,d,q,b,\sigma,f,C_f,L)(T,d,q,b,σ,f,Cf​,L) and before NNN, III, S0S_0S0​, d′d'd′, the probability space, PNP^NPN, ΦN\Phi^NΦN and the bases. A constant chosen after the scheme data would make the theorem trivially true and is ruled out by this quantifier order.
  • Pinned readings. max⁡k\max_kmaxk​ is "for every k≤Nk\le Nk≤N". In (13) the argument ZN,i−1,IZ^{N,i-1,I}ZN,i−1,I is read as ZN,I,IZ^{N,I,I}ZN,I,I, as the displayed (13) shows, and "hhh small enough" is Cfh<1C_fh<1Cf​h<1. (12) is multiplied by hhh to avoid subtraction. (19) is stated for k≤N−1k\le N-1k≤N−1 and every 1≤l≤q1\le l\le q1≤l≤q. (10) is stated where Ytk+1N,I,IΔWl,kY^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}\Delta W_{l,k}Ytk+1​N,I,I​ΔWl,k​ is square integrable, since P\mathcal PP acts on L2\mathbf L_2L2​.
  • Not stated. (14), which is false at i=1i=1i=1, and the steps whose printed derivation passes through it ((15)–(18), (20)–(26)); Theorem 1 and Propositions 1 and 3.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and the Mathlib-level lemmas they need (conditional expectation of a product with an independent centered Gaussian, L2\mathbf L_2L2​ moments of the Euler scheme, the projection identity Pp(U)=Pp(EkU)\mathcal P_p(U)=\mathcal P_p(\mathbb E_kU)Pp​(U)=Pp​(Ek​U) for Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-measurable bases).

Selected references

  • E. Gobet, J.-P. Lemor, X. Warin, A regression-based Monte Carlo method to solve backward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 15(3), 2172–2202, 2005. arXiv:math/0508491, doi:10.1214/105051605000000412
  • J. Zhang, A numerical scheme for BSDEs, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14(1), 459–488, 2004. doi:10.1214/aoap/1075828058
  • B. Bouchard, N. Touzi, Discrete-time approximation and Monte-Carlo simulation of backward stochastic differential equations, Stoch. Proc. Appl. 111(2), 175–206, 2004. doi:10.1016/j.spa.2004.01.001
  • F. A. Longstaff, E. S. Schwartz, Valuing American options by simulation: a simple least-squares approach, Rev. Financ. Stud. 14(1), 113–147, 2001. doi:10.1093/rfs/14.1.113
9 thms1 active userReviewed
Numerical AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Regression-Based Monte Carlo Method to Solve Backward Stochastic Differential Equations II: Simulation Error of the Empirical Regression Scheme in the Number of PathsResearch Paper

Motivation

Backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) describe the price and the hedge of a contingent claim in models with nonlinear pricing rules (differential interest rates, funding costs, reflected or constrained claims), and give probabilistic representations of semilinear parabolic PDEs (El Karoui, Peng and Quenez, 1997). Their numerical solution in moderate dimension is done by simulation: a backward recursion over a time grid in which each conditional expectation is replaced by a least-squares regression on simulated paths, the same device as the regression method for Bermudan options of Longstaff and Schwartz (2001).

Gobet, Lemor and Warin (2005) split the error of such a scheme into three parts: time discretization (Theorem 1), projection on finite function bases (Theorem 2), and the replacement of L2\mathbf L_2L2​ projections by empirical regressions on MMM simulated paths (Theorem 3). This mission formalizes the third part, which the authors describe as the major contribution of the paper. Its point is that the error from the simulations is controlled nonasymptotically, step by step, without blowing up as the time step hhh shrinks, even though every regression of the backward recursion reuses the same simulated paths.

Setting

A model consists of a horizon T>0T>0T>0, a drift bbb, a diffusion σ\sigmaσ satisfying the Lipschitz condition (H1), and a driver f(t,x,y,z)f(t,x,y,z)f(t,x,y,z) satisfying (H2): ∣f(t2,x2,y2,z2)−f(t1,x1,y1,z1)∣≤Cf(∣t2−t1∣1/2+∣x2−x1∣+∣y2−y1∣+∣z2−z1∣)|f(t_2,x_2,y_2,z_2)-f(t_1,x_1,y_1,z_1)|\le C_f(|t_2-t_1|^{1/2}+|x_2-x_1|+|y_2-y_1|+|z_2-z_1|)∣f(t2​,x2​,y2​,z2​)−f(t1​,x1​,y1​,z1​)∣≤Cf​(∣t2​−t1​∣1/2+∣x2​−x1​∣+∣y2​−y1​∣+∣z2​−z1​∣). For N≥1N\ge1N≥1, h=T/Nh=T/Nh=T/N, tk=kht_k=khtk​=kh, the Euler scheme is Stk+1N=StkN+b(tk,StkN)h+σ(tk,StkN)ΔWkS^N_{t_{k+1}}=S^N_{t_k}+b(t_k,S^N_{t_k})h+\sigma(t_k,S^N_{t_k})\Delta W_kStk+1​N​=Stk​N​+b(tk​,Stk​N​)h+σ(tk​,Stk​N​)ΔWk​, where the increments ΔWk∼N(0,hIq)\Delta W_k\sim\mathcal N(0,hI_q)ΔWk​∼N(0,hIq​) are independent of the past. A chain PtkN∈Rd′P^N_{t_k}\in\mathbb R^{d'}Ptk​N​∈Rd′ extends StkNS^N_{t_k}Stk​N​, and ΦN(PtNN)\Phi^N(P^N_{t_N})ΦN(PtN​N​) is the terminal value.

At each time tkt_ktk​, function bases p0,kp_{0,k}p0,k​ (for YYY) and pl,kp_{l,k}pl,k​, 1≤l≤q1\le l\le q1≤l≤q (for the components of ZZZ) are fixed, orthonormal in the sense E[pl,k(PtkN)pl,k(PtkN)∗]=Id\mathbb E[p_{l,k}(P^N_{t_k})p_{l,k}(P^N_{t_k})^*]=\mathrm{Id}E[pl,k​(Ptk​N​)pl,k​(Ptk​N​)∗]=Id. The projection–Picard scheme (Definition 1) computes coefficients αki,I\alpha^{i,I}_kαki,I​ by III Picard iterations of an L2\mathbf L_2L2​ least-squares problem, and sets YtkN,I,I=α0,kI,I⋅p0,kY^{N,I,I}_{t_k}=\alpha^{I,I}_{0,k}\cdot p_{0,k}Ytk​N,I,I​=α0,kI,I​⋅p0,k​, Zl,tkN,I,I=αl,kI,I⋅pl,kZ^{N,I,I}_{l,t_k}=\alpha^{I,I}_{l,k}\cdot p_{l,k}Zl,tk​N,I,I​=αl,kI,I​⋅pl,k​.

The empirical scheme (4) replaces the expectation by an average over MMM independent simulations (PN,m,ΔWm)(P^{N,m},\Delta W^m)(PN,m,ΔWm) of the path: αki,I,M\alpha^{i,I,M}_kαki,I,M​ minimizes

1M∑m=1M(Ytk+1N,I,I,M,m−α0⋅p0,km+hfkm(αki−1,I,M)−∑l=1qαl⋅pl,kmΔWl,km)2.\frac1M\sum_{m=1}^M\Big(Y^{N,I,I,M,m}_{t_{k+1}}-\alpha_0\cdot p^m_{0,k}+hf^m_k(\alpha^{i-1,I,M}_k)-\sum_{l=1}^q\alpha_l\cdot p^m_{l,k}\Delta W^m_{l,k}\Big)^2 .M1​m=1∑M​(Ytk+1​N,I,I,M,m​−α0​⋅p0,km​+hfkm​(αki−1,I,M​)−l=1∑q​αl​⋅pl,km​ΔWl,km​)2.

The outputs are truncated: with ρl,kN(x)=max⁡(1,C0∣pl,k(x)∣)\rho^N_{l,k}(x)=\max(1,C_0|p_{l,k}(x)|)ρl,kN​(x)=max(1,C0​∣pl,k​(x)∣) and a smooth profile ξ\xiξ equal to the identity on [−3/2,3/2][-3/2,3/2][−3/2,3/2], YtkN,I,I,M=ρ^0,kN(α0,kI,I,M⋅p0,k)Y^{N,I,I,M}_{t_k}=\hat\rho^N_{0,k}(\alpha^{I,I,M}_{0,k}\cdot p_{0,k})Ytk​N,I,I,M​=ρ^​0,kN​(α0,kI,I,M​⋅p0,k​) with ρ^l,kN(x)=ρl,kN(PtkN)ξ(x/ρl,kN(PtkN))\hat\rho^N_{l,k}(x)=\rho^N_{l,k}(P^N_{t_k})\xi(x/\rho^N_{l,k}(P^N_{t_k}))ρ^​l,kN​(x)=ρl,kN​(Ptk​N​)ξ(x/ρl,kN​(Ptk​N​)). The regression vector is [vk]∗=(p0,k∗,p1,k∗ΔW1,k/h,…,pq,k∗ΔWq,k/h)[v_k]^*=(p_{0,k}^*,p_{1,k}^*\Delta W_{1,k}/\sqrt h,\dots,p_{q,k}^*\Delta W_{q,k}/\sqrt h)[vk​]∗=(p0,k∗​,p1,k∗​ΔW1,k​/h​,…,pq,k∗​ΔWq,k​/h​), and the good event AkM\mathbf A^M_kAkM​ (27) asks that the empirical matrices VjM=1M∑mvjm[vjm]∗V^M_j=\frac1M\sum_mv^m_j[v^m_j]^*VjM​=M1​∑m​vjm​[vjm​]∗ and Pl,jM=1M∑mpl,jm[pl,jm]∗P^M_{l,j}=\frac1M\sum_m p^m_{l,j}[p^m_{l,j}]^*Pl,jM​=M1​∑m​pl,jm​[pl,jm​]∗ be close to the identity for all j≥kj\ge kj≥k.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

For I≥3I\ge3I≥3, orthonormal bases with E∣pl,k∣4<∞\mathbb E|p_{l,k}|^4<\inftyE∣pl,k​∣4<∞, C0C_0C0​ such that the bounds of Proposition 2 hold, and hhh small enough, for 0≤k≤N−10\le k\le N-10≤k≤N−1,

E∣YtkN,I,I−YtkN,I,I,M∣2+h∑j=kN−1E∣ZtjN,I,I−ZtjN,I,I,M∣2≤9∑j=kN−1E(∣ρjN∣21[AkM]c)+ChI−1∑j=kN−1[1+∣S0∣2+E∣ρjN∣2]+ChM∑j=kN−1ϵj,\mathbb E|Y^{N,I,I}_{t_k}-Y^{N,I,I,M}_{t_k}|^2+h\sum_{j=k}^{N-1}\mathbb E|Z^{N,I,I}_{t_j}-Z^{N,I,I,M}_{t_j}|^2\le 9\sum_{j=k}^{N-1}\mathbb E(|\rho^N_j|^2\mathbf 1_{[\mathbf A^M_k]^c})+Ch^{I-1}\sum_{j=k}^{N-1}[1+|S_0|^2+\mathbb E|\rho^N_j|^2]+\frac{C}{hM}\sum_{j=k}^{N-1}\epsilon_j,E∣Ytk​N,I,I​−Ytk​N,I,I,M​∣2+hj=k∑N−1​E∣Ztj​N,I,I​−Ztj​N,I,I,M​∣2≤9j=k∑N−1​E(∣ρjN​∣21[AkM​]c​)+ChI−1j=k∑N−1​[1+∣S0​∣2+E∣ρjN​∣2]+hMC​j=k∑N−1​ϵj​,

where ϵj\epsilon_jϵj​ collects second moments of vjvj∗−Idv_jv_j^*-\mathrm{Id}vj​vj∗​−Id, ∣vj∣2∣p0,j+1∣2|v_j|^2|p_{0,j+1}|^2∣vj​∣2∣p0,j+1​∣2 and ∣vj∣2(1+∣StjN∣2+… )|v_j|^2(1+|S^N_{t_j}|^2+\dots)∣vj​∣2(1+∣Stj​N​∣2+…), written out in full in the goal statement. The constant CCC and the threshold on hhh depend only on the model and on ξ\xiξ.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2: the a priori bounds ∣YtkN,i,I∣≤ρ0,kN|Y^{N,i,I}_{t_k}|\le\rho^N_{0,k}∣Ytk​N,i,I​∣≤ρ0,kN​, h∣Zl,tkN,i,I∣≤ρl,kN\sqrt h|Z^{N,i,I}_{l,t_k}|\le\rho^N_{l,k}h​∣Zl,tk​N,i,I​∣≤ρl,kN​ that fix the truncation levels.
  2. (28)–(29): the empirical least-squares solution and its contraction inequality λmin⁡(VM)∣θx∣2≤∣θx⋅v∣M2≤∣x∣M2\lambda_{\min}(V^M)|\theta_x|^2\le|\theta_x\cdot v|^2_M\le|x|^2_Mλmin​(VM)∣θx​∣2≤∣θx​⋅v∣M2​≤∣x∣M2​.
  3. Lemma 1: on AkM\mathbf A^M_kAkM​ the empirical Picard iterations contract at rate ChChCh to a unique fixed point, with error [Ch]I[Ch]^I[Ch]I after III steps.
  4. (32): the pathwise bound ∣θki,I,M∣2≤C(Ak+1N,M+hBkN,M)|\theta^{i,I,M}_k|^2\le C(\mathcal A^{N,M}_{k+1}+h\mathcal B^{N,M}_k)∣θki,I,M​∣2≤C(Ak+1N,M​+hBkN,M​) on AkM\mathbf A^M_kAkM​.
  5. (34): the expectation formula θk∞,I=E(vk[Ytk+1N,I,I+hfk(αk∞,I)])\theta^{\infty,I}_k=\mathbb E(v_k[Y^{N,I,I}_{t_{k+1}}+hf_k(\alpha^{\infty,I}_k)])θk∞,I​=E(vk​[Ytk+1​N,I,I​+hfk​(αk∞,I​)]).

Significance

Theorem 3 is nonasymptotic: together with Theorems 1 and 2 it lets one compare the three error sources and choose hhh, the bases and MMM jointly for a target accuracy. The 1/(hM)1/(hM)1/(hM) rate shows how many paths a finer time grid requires, and the hI−1h^{I-1}hI−1 term shows that I=3I=3I=3 Picard iterations suffice. The term involving [AkM]c[\mathbf A^M_k]^c[AkM​]c isolates the event on which the empirical regression matrices are badly conditioned, which the truncation keeps under control.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing in this mission is open mathematically. No machine-checked proof of any part of it is known. A formal proof would check a long chain of estimates whose constants the paper tracks only as a generic CCC, and would settle the two misprints in the printed statement (see below). The definitions layer (Euler scheme, regression schemes, empirical regression matrices) is reusable for other regression Monte Carlo schemes for BSDEs and for optimal stopping.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to treat each regression as an independent statistical estimation problem and apply a variance bound per time step. This fails because all regressions of the backward recursion use the same MMM paths: the response at time tk+1t_{k+1}tk+1​ is itself a function of the simulations, so the regression at tkt_ktk​ is not a regression of a fixed variable on independent samples. Moreover, the empirical matrix VkMV^M_kVkM​ may be singular, and on that event the empirical coefficients are unbounded unless truncated. A naive per-step bound also produces a factor 1/h1/h1/h at each of the N=T/hN=T/hN=T/h steps, which explodes; the proof must keep the accumulated constants of order one.

Formalization scope

  • All objects are defined in the namespace RegMCBSDE.Simulation. Continuous time is not used: the increments ΔWk\Delta W_kΔWk​ are any family that is Fk+1\mathcal F_{k+1}Fk+1​-measurable, independent of Fk\mathcal F_kFk​ and N(0,hIq)\mathcal N(0,hI_q)N(0,hIq​)-distributed for some filtration. That covers the Brownian case. (H3), a condition on the terminal functional of the continuous path, is dropped. So is the Markov representation of PNP^NPN, which no statement uses.
  • Expectations of squared quantities are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], on both sides of every inequality.
  • Euclidean norms are written as sums of squares. ∥A∥≤c\|A\|\le c∥A∥≤c for symmetric AAA is written as ∣x∗Ax∣≤c∣x∣2|x^*Ax|\le c|x|^2∣x∗Ax∣≤c∣x∣2 for all xxx.
  • The schemes are defined as predicates (any minimizer of each least-squares problem), never through a matrix inverse. The empirical coefficients are required to be measurable functions of the simulations, and any such minimizer is allowed, as the paper says the choice is arbitrary.
  • The reference path at which the fitted coefficients are evaluated is assumed independent of the MMM simulations.
  • Picard iterations are imposed for every i≥1i\ge1i≥1.
  • "For hhh small enough" is formalized as T/N<h0T/N<h_0T/N<h0​. Every constant CCC and every h0h_0h0​ is chosen before NNN, III, MMM, kkk, C0C_0C0​, the bases, S0S_0S0​ and the probability space. A formalization in which CCC is chosen after the scheme data would make every inequality with a positive right-hand side trivially true, and is ruled out.
  • "C0C_0C0​ large enough" in Theorem 3 is the hypothesis that the bounds of Proposition 2 hold for C0C_0C0​.
  • Proposition 2 is stated for hhh small enough. The printed statement omits this condition, which its proof needs through the uniform bound (19).
  • In (32) and Lemma 1, ρ0,NN\rho^N_{0,N}ρ0,NN​, which the paper leaves undefined, is read through the terminal response ΦN(PtNN,m)\Phi^N(P^{N,m}_{t_N})ΦN(PtN​N,m​).
  • Corrections to Theorem 3 (both from the paper's proof, p. 21):
    1. The printed j=N−1j=N-1j=N−1 summand contains the undefined p0,Np_{0,N}p0,N​. It is replaced by E(∣vN−1∣2∣ΦN(PtNN)∣2)\mathbb E(|v_{N-1}|^2|\Phi^N(P^N_{t_N})|^2)E(∣vN−1​∣2∣ΦN(PtN​N​)∣2).
    2. The printed factor E∣ρ0,jN(PtjN)∣2\mathbb E|\rho^N_{0,j}(P^N_{t_j})|^2E∣ρ0,jN​(Ptj​N​)∣2 next to E(∣vj∣2∣p0,j+1∣2)\mathbb E(|v_j|^2|p_{0,j+1}|^2)E(∣vj​∣2∣p0,j+1​∣2) becomes E∣ρ0,j+1N(Ptj+1N)∣2\mathbb E|\rho^N_{0,j+1}(P^N_{t_{j+1}})|^2E∣ρ0,j+1N​(Ptj+1​N​)∣2.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, in particular (28)–(29) (finite-dimensional linear algebra) and (34) (independence and orthonormality), and a construction showing that measurable minimizers of (4) exist.

Selected references

  • E. Gobet, J.-P. Lemor, X. Warin, A regression-based Monte Carlo method to solve backward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 15(3), 2172–2202, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051605000000412, preprint https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0508491v1
  • N. El Karoui, S. Peng, M. C. Quenez, Backward stochastic differential equations in finance, Math. Finance 7(1), 1–71, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9965.00022
  • F. A. Longstaff, E. S. Schwartz, Valuing American options by simulation: a simple least-squares approach, Rev. Financ. Stud. 14(1), 113–147, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/14.1.113
  • J. Zhang, A numerical scheme for BSDEs, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14(1), 459–488, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1075828058
  • B. Bouchard, N. Touzi, Discrete-time approximation and Monte-Carlo simulation of backward stochastic differential equations, Stochastic Process. Appl. 111(2), 175–206, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2004.01.001
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Robust Dynamic Programming 3: The Worst-Case Expectation over a Chi-Square Ball Equals a Mean–Standard-Deviation DualResearch Paper

Motivation

Robust dynamic programming replaces the single transition law of a Markov decision process by a set of laws, and values a policy by its worst-case expected reward over that set. Iyengar (Robust dynamic programming, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, 2004; Math. Oper. Res. 30(2), 2005) and Nilim and El Ghaoui (Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Oper. Res. 53(5), 2005) showed that under a rectangularity assumption the robust value satisfies a robust Bellman equation. Each step of that equation solves, for every state–action pair, an inner problem

inf⁡p∈P Ep[v],\inf_{p\in\mathcal P}\ \mathbf E^p[v],p∈Pinf​ Ep[v],

the worst-case expectation of a value vector vvv over the ambiguity set P\mathcal PP. Robust value iteration is only as practical as this inner problem is cheap.

The ambiguity sets of interest come from statistics: when transition probabilities are estimated from data, natural sets are confidence regions around the empirical distribution. Section 4 of Iyengar's report studies three such families: relative-entropy balls (Lemma 4), a χ² approximation of them (Lemma 5), and an L1L_1L1​ outer approximation (Lemma 6). This mission formalizes the χ² case. The relative-entropy case is already posed on the platform as RobustMDP.EntropyInner.kl_ball_inner_problem_dual (Nilim–El Ghaoui series), up to the sign change v→−vv\to -vv→−v.

Setting

Let S\mathcal SS be a finite set of states and let M(S)={p:S→R: p≥0, ∑sp(s)=1}\mathcal M(\mathcal S)=\{p:\mathcal S\to\mathbb R:\ p\ge 0,\ \sum_s p(s)=1\}M(S)={p:S→R: p≥0, ∑s​p(s)=1} be the probability measures on S\mathcal SS. For p∈M(S)p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)p∈M(S) and x:S→Rx:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rx:S→R write

Ep[x]=∑sp(s)x(s),Varq[x]=∑sq(s)(x(s)−Eq[x])2.\mathbf E^p[x]=\sum_{s}p(s)x(s),\qquad \mathbf{Var}^q[x]=\sum_s q(s)\big(x(s)-\mathbf E^q[x]\big)^2 .Ep[x]=s∑​p(s)x(s),Varq[x]=s∑​q(s)(x(s)−Eq[x])2.

Fix a centre q∈M(S)q\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)q∈M(S) with q(s)>0q(s)>0q(s)>0 for every sss (in the paper qqq is the empirical next-state distribution of one state–action pair) and a radius t≥0t\ge 0t≥0. The χ² set (46) is

P={p∈M(S): ∑s∈S(p(s)−q(s))2q(s)≤t}.\mathcal P=\Big\{p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S):\ \sum_{s\in\mathcal S}\frac{(p(s)-q(s))^2}{q(s)}\le t\Big\}.P={p∈M(S): s∈S∑​q(s)(p(s)−q(s))2​≤t}.

Since log⁡(1+x)≤x\log(1+x)\le xlog(1+x)≤x, the relative entropy D(p∥q)=∑sp(s)log⁡(p(s)/q(s))D(p\|q)=\sum_s p(s)\log(p(s)/q(s))D(p∥q)=∑s​p(s)log(p(s)/q(s)) is at most the χ² distance, so P\mathcal PP lies inside the relative-entropy ball of radius ttt: it is a conservative approximation of it. The Lean development names these objects expect, variance, chiSqDist, chiSqSet, relEntropy and the dual objective dualObj q t v μ =Eq[v−μ]−t Varq[v−μ]=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]}=Eq[v−μ]−tVarq[v−μ]​, all in the namespace RobustDP.ChiSquare.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 5 (p. 18)

For every value vector v:S→Rv:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rv:S→R,

min⁡p∈P Ep[v]  =  max⁡μ≥0{Eq[v−μ]−t Varq[v−μ]},\min_{p\in\mathcal P}\ \mathbf E^p[v]\;=\;\max_{\mu\ge 0}\Big\{\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]}\Big\},p∈Pmin​ Ep[v]=μ≥0max​{Eq[v−μ]−tVarq[v−μ]​},

where μ\muμ ranges over vectors μ:S→R\mu:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rμ:S→R with μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 componentwise. Both extrema are attained. The lemma's complexity claim, O(∣S∣log⁡∣S∣)\mathcal O(|\mathcal S|\log|\mathcal S|)O(∣S∣log∣S∣) for (48), is a statement about an algorithm and is not part of the mission.

Milestones (the steps of the paper's proof)

  1. (49) With y=p−qy=p-qy=p−q, the value of the primal problem is Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v] plus the minimum of ∑sy(s)v(s)\sum_s y(s)v(s)∑s​y(s)v(s) over ∑sy(s)2/q(s)≤t\sum_s y(s)^2/q(s)\le t∑s​y(s)2/q(s)≤t, ∑sy(s)=0\sum_s y(s)=0∑s​y(s)=0, y≥−qy\ge -qy≥−q.
  2. (50) For fixed multipliers μ\muμ and γ∈R\gamma\in\mathbb Rγ∈R, the minimum of the Lagrangian over the ellipsoid {y:∑sy(s)2/q(s)≤t}\{y:\sum_s y(s)^2/q(s)\le t\}{y:∑s​y(s)2/q(s)≤t} is Eq[v−μ]−t∑sq(s)(v(s)−μ(s)−γ)2\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\sum_s q(s)(v(s)-\mu(s)-\gamma)^2}Eq[v−μ]−t∑s​q(s)(v(s)−μ(s)−γ)2​, attained at an explicit y∗y^*y∗.
  3. (51) Maximizing over γ\gammaγ replaces the sum of squares by Varq[v−μ]\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]Varq[v−μ], attained at γ=Eq[v−μ]\gamma=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]γ=Eq[v−μ].
  4. (52)–(53) Some optimal multiplier has the form μ∗(s)=(v(s)−α)+\mu^*(s)=(v(s)-\alpha)^+μ∗(s)=(v(s)−α)+ with α≥min⁡sv(s)\alpha\ge\min_s v(s)α≥mins​v(s), so the dual is a one-dimensional problem.

Two further results stand on the same definitions: the inequality D(p∥q)≤∑s(p(s)−q(s))2/q(s)D(p\|q)\le\sum_s(p(s)-q(s))^2/q(s)D(p∥q)≤∑s​(p(s)−q(s))2/q(s) of Section 4.2, and the L1L_1L1​ analogue of Lemma 5 established in the proof of Lemma 6 (p. 20):

min⁡p∈M(S)∥p−q∥1≤cEp[v]=max⁡μ≥0{Eq[v−μ]−12c(max⁡s(v−μ)(s)−min⁡s(v−μ)(s))},c=2ln⁡(2) t.\min_{\substack{p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)\\ \|p-q\|_1\le c}}\mathbf E^p[v]=\max_{\mu\ge0}\Big\{\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\tfrac12 c\big(\max_s(v-\mu)(s)-\min_s(v-\mu)(s)\big)\Big\},\qquad c=\sqrt{2\ln(2)\,t}.p∈M(S)∥p−q∥1​≤c​min​Ep[v]=μ≥0max​{Eq[v−μ]−21​c(smax​(v−μ)(s)−smin​(v−μ)(s))},c=2ln(2)t​.

Significance

The result. Lemma 5 reduces a worst-case expectation over a curved convex set of probability vectors to a concave problem in one scalar, which the paper solves by sorting. This makes robust value iteration with χ² ambiguity sets about as expensive as nominal value iteration, up to a logarithmic factor. The identity also explains the shape of the answer: a mean minus a standard-deviation penalty, applied to a value vector truncated from above at the level α\alphaα. The truncation comes from the constraint p≥0p\ge 0p≥0.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof is known. A complete formalization gives a verified finite-dimensional duality theorem for a quadratic constraint combined with polyhedral constraints, which is the computational core of χ²-ambiguity robust MDPs and of χ²-divergence distributionally robust optimization in general. Lemma 6's printed formula (57) is false (see below); the mission poses the corrected identity that the paper's proof establishes.

Difficulty

The obvious argument drops the constraint p≥0p\ge 0p≥0. Without it, the minimum of the linear function Ep[v]\mathbf E^p[v]Ep[v] over the ellipsoid {∑sp(s)=1, χ2(p,q)≤t}\{\sum_s p(s)=1,\ \chi^2(p,q)\le t\}{∑s​p(s)=1, χ2(p,q)≤t} follows from Cauchy–Schwarz and equals Eq[v]−t Varq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v]}Eq[v]−tVarq[v]​. The page notes (p. 19) that earlier work solved only this relaxed problem. With p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 the minimizer of the relaxation can leave the simplex, so the problem has an ellipsoidal constraint, a polyhedral constraint and an equality at once. The multiplier μ\muμ of p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 is what Lemma 5 has to handle. Equality of the primal minimum with the dual supremum needs a duality theorem that is not in Mathlib in this form. Attainment of the dual maximum over the unbounded cone μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 needs an additional argument, namely that an optimal multiplier has the truncation form (53).

Formalization scope

  • S\mathcal SS is a Fintype; vectors are functions S → ℝ; M(S)\mathcal M(\mathcal S)M(S) is Mathlib's stdSimplex ℝ S. Nonemptiness of S\mathcal SS follows from ∑sq(s)=1\sum_s q(s)=1∑s​q(s)=1. Finiteness is the standing restriction of Section 4 (p. 15).
  • q(s)>0q(s)>0q(s)>0 for every sss is a hypothesis of every χ² statement. The page divides by q(s)q(s)q(s); in Lean x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 would silently drop a coordinate from the constraint.
  • t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 is assumed. The page puts no sign condition on ttt. At t=0t=0t=0 the set is {q}\{q\}{q} and both sides equal Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v].
  • Minimum and maximum are IsLeast and IsGreatest of image sets, so the goal asserts attainment on both sides, as the page's "minimize" and "max" do.
  • μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 is a vector inequality (0 ≤ μ). The multiplier γ\gammaγ of the equality ∑sy(s)=0\sum_s y(s)=0∑s​y(s)=0 ranges over R\mathbb RR. The page's "γ≥0\gamma\ge 0γ≥0" in (50) is a misprint: the proof of Lemma 6 writes γ∈R\gamma\in\mathbb Rγ∈R, and the optimal γ=Eq[v−μ]\gamma=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]γ=Eq[v−μ] may be negative.
  • The relative entropy uses the natural logarithm, as in (35), with 0log⁡0=00\log 0=00log0=0.
  • Lemma 6 is posed only as established in its proof. The printed (57) is false: taking μ=v−min⁡sv(s)\mu=v-\min_s v(s)μ=v−mins​v(s) makes the bracket vanish, so (57) always equals Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v]. For q=(12,12)q=(\frac12,\frac12)q=(21​,21​), v=(0,1)v=(0,1)v=(0,1) and c=12c=\frac12c=21​ the true minimum is 14\frac1441​. The set (55) is also restricted to p∈M(S)p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)p∈M(S), which its proof uses.
  • Ruled out: a formalization of Lemma 5 whose feasible set omits p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 (or that takes μ=0\mu=0μ=0) states the easier relaxed identity above and is not this mission's goal. Likewise a χ² set whose centre may vanish, or a dual written as ⨆ over an unbounded set, would make the statement junk.
  • All complexity claims (Lemmas 5 and 6, the sorting argument, (54)) are excluded. So are the Pinsker step of Section 4.3, whose constant 1/(2ln⁡2)1/(2\ln 2)1/(2ln2) is wrong for the natural logarithm, and the asymptotic confidence statements (33)–(39).
  • Reusable infrastructure: Lagrangian duality for a linear objective over an ellipsoid intersected with a polyhedron, and Cauchy–Schwarz minimization of a linear function over a weighted ellipsoid. Proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of the goal, and a formalization of the paper's sorting algorithm on top of (52)–(53) are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, IEOR Department, Columbia University, revised May 4, 2004; published in Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2):257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim and L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Operations Research 53(5):780–798, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • J. K. Satia and R. E. Lave, Markovian decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, Operations Research 21(3):728–740, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.3.728
  • T. M. Cover and J. A. Thomas, Elements of Information Theory, Wiley, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471200611
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AnalysisProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Phase Transition of the Largest Eigenvalue for Nonnull Complex Sample Covariance Matrices 2: Spikes above 1+γ⁻¹ Give √M Fluctuations of the Largest Eigenvalue with Limit G_k, the k×k GUE LawResearch Paper

Motivation

Sample covariance matrices are the basic object of multivariate statistics: principal component analysis, signal detection and factor models all start from the eigenvalues of S=1M∑k=1My⃗ky⃗k ∗S = \frac1M\sum_{k=1}^M \vec y_k \vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k=1M​y​k​y​k∗​ computed from MMM samples of an NNN-dimensional vector. When NNN is comparable to MMM, the eigenvalues of SSS no longer approximate those of the population covariance Σ\SigmaΣ. The question is then whether a few large population eigenvalues ("spikes") are visible in the sample spectrum at all, and how the top sample eigenvalue fluctuates when they are.

Baik, Ben Arous and Péché (Ann. Probab. 33 (2005) 1643–1697) answered this for complex Gaussian samples. They found a sharp threshold 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1, where γ2=M/N\gamma^2 = M/Nγ2=M/N, now called the BBP phase transition. This mission formalizes the supercritical half of the answer, Theorem 1.1(b).

Timeline.

  • 2000–2001: Johansson (Comm. Math. Phys. 209, 2000) and Johnstone (Ann. Statist. 29) proved that for Σ=I\Sigma = IΣ=I the largest eigenvalue, centred at (1+γ−1)2(1+\gamma^{-1})^2(1+γ−1)2 and scaled by M2/3M^{2/3}M2/3, has the Tracy–Widom law. Johansson treated the complex case, Johnstone the real case.
  • 2005: Baik, Ben Arous and Péché treated Σ\SigmaΣ with finitely many eigenvalues different from 111. Spikes at or below 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1 give M2/3M^{2/3}M2/3 fluctuations with limit laws FkF_kFk​ (part (a), a separate mission of this series). Spikes above 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1 give M\sqrt MM​ fluctuations with limit GkG_kGk​ (part (b)).
  • 2006: Baik and Silverstein (J. Multivariate Anal. 97) located the outlying eigenvalue for general, non-Gaussian samples. Bai and Yao (Ann. IHP 44, 2008) obtained Gaussian fluctuations of the outliers for general samples.

Setting

Let gkjg_{kj}gkj​, 1≤k≤M1 \le k \le M1≤k≤M, 1≤j≤N1 \le j \le N1≤j≤N, be independent standard complex Gaussians: g=a+ibg = a + ibg=a+ib with a,ba, ba,b independent real normal variables of mean 000 and variance 1/21/21/2. Fix a unitary matrix UUU and positive population eigenvalues ℓ1,…,ℓN\ell_1, \dots, \ell_Nℓ1​,…,ℓN​. The samples are

y⃗k=U diag(ℓ1,…,ℓN) g⃗k,\vec y_k = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\sqrt{\ell_1},\dots,\sqrt{\ell_N})\,\vec g_k,y​k​=Udiag(ℓ1​​,…,ℓN​​)g​k​,

which are independent mean-zero complex Gaussian vectors with covariance Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗. The sample covariance matrix is S=1M∑ky⃗ky⃗k ∗S = \frac1M\sum_k \vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k​y​k​y​k∗​, and λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is its largest eigenvalue.

The regime has M,N→∞M, N \to \inftyM,N→∞ with M/N=γ2M/N = \gamma^2M/N=γ2 and γ\gammaγ in a compact subset of [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞). A fixed number rrr of the ℓj\ell_jℓj​ differ from 111. For some 1≤k≤r1 \le k \le r1≤k≤r the top kkk coincide, ℓ1=⋯=ℓk\ell_1 = \cdots = \ell_kℓ1​=⋯=ℓk​, with common value in a compact subset of (1+γ−1,∞)(1+\gamma^{-1},\infty)(1+γ−1,∞). The others, ℓk+1,…,ℓr\ell_{k+1},\dots,\ell_rℓk+1​,…,ℓr​, lie in a compact subset of (0,ℓ1)(0,\ell_1)(0,ℓ1​).

The limit law is the finite GUE distribution. Let Zk=∫Rk∏i<j∣ξi−ξj∣2∏ie−ξi2/2 dξZ_k = \int_{\mathbb R^k}\prod_{i<j}|\xi_i-\xi_j|^2\prod_i e^{-\xi_i^2/2}\,d\xiZk​=∫Rk​∏i<j​∣ξi​−ξj​∣2∏i​e−ξi2​/2dξ. Then

Gk(x)=1Zk∫(−∞,x]k∏1≤i<j≤k∣ξi−ξj∣2∏i=1ke−ξi2/2 dξ1⋯dξk,G_k(x) = \frac1{Z_k}\int_{(-\infty,x]^k}\prod_{1\le i<j\le k}|\xi_i-\xi_j|^2\prod_{i=1}^k e^{-\xi_i^2/2}\,d\xi_1\cdots d\xi_k,Gk​(x)=Zk​1​∫(−∞,x]k​1≤i<j≤k∏​∣ξi​−ξj​∣2i=1∏k​e−ξi2​/2dξ1​⋯dξk​,

which is the law of the largest eigenvalue of a k×kk\times kk×k Gaussian unitary ensemble matrix (Definition 1.2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1(b)

P((λ1−(ℓ1+ℓ1γ−2ℓ1−1))⋅Mℓ12−ℓ12γ−2/(ℓ1−1)2≤x)⟶Gk(x)for every x∈R.\mathbb P\left(\Big(\lambda_1 - \Big(\ell_1 + \frac{\ell_1\gamma^{-2}}{\ell_1-1}\Big)\Big)\cdot\frac{\sqrt M}{\sqrt{\ell_1^2 - \ell_1^2\gamma^{-2}/(\ell_1-1)^2}} \le x\right) \longrightarrow G_k(x)\qquad\text{for every } x \in \mathbb R.P((λ1​−(ℓ1​+ℓ1​−1ℓ1​γ−2​))⋅ℓ12​−ℓ12​γ−2/(ℓ1​−1)2​M​​≤x)⟶Gk​(x)for every x∈R.

Companion: Corollary 1.1(b)

λ1−ℓ1(1+γ−2ℓ1−1)⟶0in probability.\lambda_1 - \ell_1\Big(1 + \frac{\gamma^{-2}}{\ell_1-1}\Big) \longrightarrow 0 \quad\text{in probability.}λ1​−ℓ1​(1+ℓ1​−1γ−2​)⟶0in probability.

Milestones

The milestones follow the proof in §4, in attack order:

  • the critical points of the phase fff, (218)–(219);
  • the contour estimates, Lemmas 4.1 and 4.2;
  • the uniform kernel asymptotics, Proposition 4.1;
  • the Hermite-polynomial identities (287), (295), (288) and (292);
  • the closed form (299) of the limiting kernel K2K_2K2​;
  • the Fredholm-determinant representation of GkG_kGk​, Lemma 1.1:
Gk(x)=det⁡(1−Hx(k)),H(k)(u,v)=ck−1ck pk(u)pk−1(v)−pk−1(u)pk(v)u−v e−(u2+v2)/4.G_k(x) = \det\big(1 - \mathbf H^{(k)}_x\big),\qquad H^{(k)}(u,v) = \frac{c_{k-1}}{c_k}\,\frac{p_k(u)p_{k-1}(v) - p_{k-1}(u)p_k(v)}{u-v}\,e^{-(u^2+v^2)/4}.Gk​(x)=det(1−Hx(k)​),H(k)(u,v)=ck​ck−1​​u−vpk​(u)pk−1​(v)−pk−1​(u)pk​(v)​e−(u2+v2)/4.

Here pnp_npn​ are the orthonormal polynomials for the weight e−x2/2e^{-x^2/2}e−x2/2 and cnc_ncn​ their leading coefficients.

Significance

The result. Below the threshold the top eigenvalue sticks to the bulk edge (1+γ−1)2(1+\gamma^{-1})^2(1+γ−1)2. Above it, Theorem 1.1(b) and Corollary 1.1(b) show that λ1\lambda_1λ1​ separates from the bulk to the explicit location ℓ1(1+γ−2/(ℓ1−1))\ell_1(1+\gamma^{-2}/(\ell_1-1))ℓ1​(1+γ−2/(ℓ1​−1)). Its fluctuations shrink from order M−2/3M^{-2/3}M−2/3 to order M−1/2M^{-1/2}M−1/2, and their law is the top eigenvalue of a k×kk\times kk×k GUE, with kkk the multiplicity of the spike. This gives:

  • a detection threshold for spiked signals in high dimension;
  • the centring and scaling of tests based on the top sample eigenvalue;
  • the first instance of a kkk-dependent family of finite-GUE limits in a spiked model.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper and is not open. Nothing in this mission has a machine-checked proof yet. A complete development would include:

  • the first formal statements of the spiked complex Wishart model;
  • the GUE law GkG_kGk​ and its Fredholm representation;
  • a uniform steepest-descent analysis with explicit contours.

The two contour lemmas (4.1, 4.2) and the Hermite identities are elementary and are footholds. Proposition 4.1 and Lemma 1.1 are substantial. The paper does not prove Lemma 1.1 but cites it as a standard result of random matrix theory (its references [28, 41]).

Difficulty

The obvious route is to diagonalise the sample matrix, write down the eigenvalue density and take a limit. That density involves the Harish-Chandra–Itzykson–Zuber integral. Its large-NNN limit is not accessible directly, because the spike enters through a determinant with NNN nearly coincident columns.

The paper instead starts from an exact Fredholm-determinant formula (Proposition 2.1, posed in mission 1 of this series). In it the kernel factors into two contour integrals H\mathcal HH and J\mathcal JJ with phase f(z)=−μ(z−q)+log⁡z−γ−2log⁡(1−z)f(z) = -\mu(z-q) + \log z - \gamma^{-2}\log(1-z)f(z)=−μ(z−q)+logz−γ−2log(1−z). Above the threshold the two factors are governed by different points. J\mathcal JJ has a nondegenerate saddle at π1=ℓ1−1\pi_1 = \ell_1^{-1}π1​=ℓ1−1​. For H\mathcal HH the natural saddle 1/(μπ1)1/(\mu\pi_1)1/(μπ1​) lies beyond the pole at π1\pi_1π1​, so the contour must be deformed through a pole of order kkk, and the leading term is a residue rather than a saddle contribution. The estimates must hold uniformly in γ\gammaγ and in the remaining spikes, and the convergence must be strong enough (Hilbert–Schmidt) to pass to Fredholm determinants.

Formalization scope

Model. Complex Gaussian samples with mean zero and no centring. S=1M∑ky⃗ky⃗k ∗S = \frac1M\sum_k\vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k​y​k​y​k∗​, with the factor 1/M1/M1/M. Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗ for every unitary UUU. This is the model of the paper's (59), (61) and Proposition 2.1; the introduction's mentions of 1/N1/N1/N, of centring and of the real density (1) are inconsistent with those formulas. λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is the supremum of the eigenvalues of the Hermitian matrix SSS, and probabilities are measures of sets of sample arrays.

Regime. The regime is in sequence form:

  • Nn→∞N_n \to \inftyNn​→∞ and γn=Mn/Nn∈[1,γ0]\gamma_n = \sqrt{M_n/N_n} \in [1,\gamma_0]γn​=Mn​/Nn​​∈[1,γ0​];
  • 1+γn−1+c≤ℓ1=⋯=ℓk≤C1+\gamma_n^{-1}+c \le \ell_1 = \cdots = \ell_k \le C1+γn−1​+c≤ℓ1​=⋯=ℓk​≤C;
  • c≤ℓj≤ℓ1−cc \le \ell_j \le \ell_1 - cc≤ℓj​≤ℓ1​−c for k<j≤rk < j \le rk<j≤r;
  • ℓj=1\ell_j = 1ℓj​=1 for j>rj > rj>r.

The fixed margins c,Cc, Cc,C encode the compact subsets whose open ends move with γ\gammaγ. Convergence is pointwise in xxx.

Analytic conventions.

  • The Fredholm determinant is the Fredholm series ∑n(−1)nn!∫(x,∞)ndet⁡[K(ui,uj)]\sum_n\frac{(-1)^n}{n!}\int_{(x,\infty)^n}\det[K(u_i,u_j)]∑n​n!(−1)n​∫(x,∞)n​det[K(ui​,uj​)].
  • H(k)H^{(k)}H(k) takes its continuous diagonal value.
  • pn=Hen/((2π)1/4n!)p_n = \mathrm{He}_n/((2\pi)^{1/4}\sqrt{n!})pn​=Hen​/((2π)1/4n!​) with Mathlib's probabilists' Hermite polynomials, equal to the paper's (31).
  • The closed contours Γ\GammaΓ, Σ\SigmaΣ in H\mathcal HH, J\mathcal JJ are explicit circles satisfying the paper's constraints.
  • Σ∞\Sigma_\inftyΣ∞​ is the imaginary axis.
  • Residues of a−kφ(a)a^{-k}\varphi(a)a−kφ(a) are Taylor coefficients.

Ruled-out trivialisations. Five shortcuts would make the statements trivial, and none is available:

  • division by zero on the kernel diagonal is replaced by the diagonal value;
  • the Fredholm series is shown to be 111 on the zero kernel, so it is not identically junk;
  • the conditionally convergent real form of contour integrals is not used;
  • Σ\SigmaΣ is not specialised to a diagonal matrix;
  • the regime is shown satisfiable in a sorry-free check.

Infrastructure. The needed infrastructure is the complex Wishart model, eigenvalues of random Hermitian matrices, Fredholm determinants of integral operators, and contour integrals with uniform estimates. The Hermite and Fredholm layers can be reused for any orthogonal-polynomial ensemble. Contributions welcome:

  • proofs of the elementary milestones ((218)–(219), (287), (295), (288), (292), (299), Lemmas 4.1, 4.2);
  • Lemma 1.1 via Christoffel–Darboux and Andréief;
  • the operator-theoretic step from Hilbert–Schmidt convergence of kernels to convergence of Fredholm series.

Selected references

  • J. Baik, G. Ben Arous, S. Péché, Phase transition of the largest eigenvalue for nonnull complex sample covariance matrices, Ann. Probab. 33(5) (2005) 1643–1697. https://doi.org/10.1214/009117905000000233
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209 (2000) 437–476. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002200050027
  • I. M. Johnstone, On the distribution of the largest eigenvalue in principal components analysis, Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 295–327. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1009210544
  • J. Baik, J. W. Silverstein, Eigenvalues of large sample covariance matrices of spiked population models, J. Multivariate Anal. 97 (2006) 1382–1408. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmva.2005.08.003
  • Z. Bai, J. Yao, Central limit theorems for eigenvalues in a spiked population model, Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré Probab. Statist. 44 (2008) 447–474. https://doi.org/10.1214/07-AIHP118
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Multiple-Choice Secretary Algorithm with Applications to Online Auctions: The Recursive k-Choice Secretary Algorithm Earns at Least (1 − 5/√k) Times the Sum of the k Largest ValuesResearch Paper

Motivation

The secretary problem asks how well an online decision maker can do when items arrive one at a time in random order and each must be accepted or rejected on the spot. With a single selection, the classical rule (observe a 1/e1/e1/e fraction, then take the first item better than everything seen) selects the best item with probability about 1/e1/e1/e, and no rule does better. Many allocation problems are not single-choice: a seller with kkk identical goods facing bidders who arrive over time, an advertiser with a budget of kkk impressions, an employer with kkk openings. Each asks the multiple-choice secretary problem: how much of the best achievable total can an online rule collect when kkk selections are allowed?

Kleinberg's 2005 SODA paper answered this for the sum objective. It gave a recursive algorithm whose expected total is at least (1−5/k)(1 - 5/\sqrt k)(1−5/k​) times the sum of the kkk largest values, so the ratio tends to 111 as kkk grows, and stated a matching 1−Ω(1/k)1 - \Omega(\sqrt{1/k})1−Ω(1/k​) upper bound for every algorithm, whose proof the extended abstract omits. The motivating application was online auctions: the algorithm becomes a strategyproof mechanism for selling kkk identical items to bidders who arrive and depart over time, extending the single-item online auction of Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Parkes (EC 2004).

Timeline. Dynkin (1963) and the classical literature settle k=1k = 1k=1 with ratio 1/e1/e1/e. Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Parkes (2004) turn the single-item rule into an online auction. Kleinberg (2005) proves 1−O(1/k)1 - O(1/\sqrt k)1−O(1/k​) for kkk selections, with the explicit constant 555. Babaioff, Immorlica, Kempe and Kleinberg (2008) survey the resulting family of generalized secretary problems and their use in online auctions.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of nnn distinct non-negative real numbers. The elements of SSS are revealed in a uniformly random order: each of the n!n!n! orders has probability 1/n!1/n!1/n!. After each arrival the algorithm decides, irrevocably and using only the values seen so far, whether to select it. At most k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 elements may be selected. Write TTT for the set of the kkk largest elements of SSS (all of SSS if k>nk > nk>n) and

v=∑x∈Txv = \sum_{x \in T} xv=x∈T∑​x

for their sum, the best total any rule could collect knowing SSS in advance.

Kleinberg's algorithm Ak\mathcal A_kAk​ is defined by recursion on kkk:

  1. If k=1k = 1k=1, use the classical rule: observe the first ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e \rfloor⌊n/e⌋ arrivals, then select the first later arrival that exceeds all earlier ones, if there is one.
  2. If k≥2k \ge 2k≥2, draw mmm from the binomial distribution B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2). Apply Aℓ\mathcal A_\ellAℓ​, with ℓ=⌊k/2⌋\ell = \lfloor k/2 \rfloorℓ=⌊k/2⌋, to the first mmm arrivals. Let y1>y2>⋯>ymy_1 > y_2 > \dots > y_my1​>y2​>⋯>ym​ be those mmm values in decreasing order. After the mmm-th arrival, select every arrival exceeding yℓy_\ellyℓ​, until kkk elements have been selected in total or the sequence ends.

The expected value of the algorithm is taken over the random order and over every binomial draw at every level of the recursion.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

E[∑x selected by Akx]  ≥  (1−5k) vfor every S⊂R≥0 finite and every k≥1.\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{x \text{ selected by } \mathcal A_k} x\Big] \;\ge\; \Big(1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt k}\Big)\, v \qquad \text{for every } S \subset \mathbb R_{\ge 0} \text{ finite and every } k \ge 1.E[x selected by Ak​∑​x]≥(1−k​5​)vfor every S⊂R≥0​ finite and every k≥1.

The statement is uniform in nnn and kkk; it says nothing beyond the explicit constant 555 printed in the paper.

Milestones: the claims of the proof sketch

The paper proves the theorem by induction on kkk. Its sketch introduces YYY, the set of the first mmm arrivals, Z=S∖YZ = S \setminus YZ=S∖Y, the modified value of a set (the sum of its elements lying in TTT), and qqq, the number of elements of ZZZ exceeding yℓy_\ellyℓ​. The milestones are its stated claims, in order:

  1. YYY is uniformly distributed on the 2n2^n2n subsets of SSS.
  2. ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ has the distribution B(k,1/2)B(k, 1/2)B(k,1/2).
  3. Conditional on ∣Y∩T∣=r|Y \cap T| = r∣Y∩T∣=r, the expected modified value of YYY is (r/k)v(r/k)v(r/k)v.
  4. The displayed bound ∑r=1kPr⁡(∣Y∩T∣=r) min⁡(r,ℓ)k v≥(1−12k)v2\sum_{r=1}^{k}\Pr(|Y\cap T| = r)\,\frac{\min(r,\ell)}{k}\,v \ge \big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac v2∑r=1k​Pr(∣Y∩T∣=r)kmin(r,ℓ)​v≥(1−2k​1​)2v​ with ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2.
  5. The top ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2 elements of YYY have expected modified value at least (1−12k)v2\big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac v2(1−2k​1​)2v​.
  6. E ∣q−ℓ∣≤k\mathbb E\,|q - \ell| \le \sqrt kE∣q−ℓ∣≤k​.
  7. The elements the algorithm selects from ZZZ have expected modified value at least (12−1/k)v\big(\frac12 - \sqrt{1/k}\big)v(21​−1/k​)v.
  8. The closing computation (1−5k/2)(1−12k)12+12−1k>1−5k\big(1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt{k/2}}\big)\big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac12 + \frac12 - \sqrt{\frac1k} > 1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt k}(1−k/2​5​)(1−2k​1​)21​+21​−k1​​>1−k​5​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 shows that random arrival order costs only a 1−O(1/k)1 - O(1/\sqrt k)1−O(1/k​) factor when many items are sold, against the constant 1/e1/e1/e for a single item. With the paper's matching upper bound, it pins down the optimal rate for the kkk-choice problem. It is the base of the paper's strategyproof online auction for kkk identical goods and a standard reference point for the later literature on secretary problems with combinatorial constraints and on online allocation in the random-order model.

Formalizing it. The paper is a two-page extended abstract, and the theorem's proof is a sketch: several steps are described as "easy", a stochastic-domination argument is stated without detail, and the behaviour of the algorithm when fewer than ℓ\ellℓ elements have been observed is not specified. A machine-checked proof would supply the complete argument for the explicit constant. The result is proved on paper only in this sketch; no machine-checked proof of it is known.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fixes m=n/2m = n/2m=n/2 and treats the threshold yℓy_\ellyℓ​ as if it split the remaining elements exactly. Both steps fail. With a fixed mmm, the first mmm arrivals are not a uniform subset of SSS and ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ is hypergeometric, so the clean binomial computations of the sketch are not available; the binomial choice of mmm is what makes YYY uniform. And the number qqq of later elements beyond yℓy_\ellyℓ​ fluctuates by order k\sqrt kk​: the second phase may run out of budget before reaching all of T∩ZT \cap ZT∩Z, or accept elements outside TTT. Controlling this fluctuation, while the cap of kkk also counts the first phase's selections, is the central step. The induction must then combine a recursive guarantee on a random, random-sized prefix with this estimate.

Formalization scope

The Lean development fixes these conventions.

  • SSS is a Finset ℝ with all elements non-negative; distinctness is automatic. The arrival at time ttt (0-based) under the order π∈Perm(Fin n)\pi \in \mathrm{Perm}(\mathrm{Fin}\, n)π∈Perm(Finn) is the π(t)\pi(t)π(t)-th smallest element of SSS, and expectations over the order use the published uniform average SecretaryWD.DiscUpper.uniformAvg.
  • The algorithm is a PMF over sets of selected positions, defined by well-founded recursion on kkk. The base case is the published SecretaryWD.DiscUpper.classicalSecretary. B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2) is Mathlib's PMF.binomial (1/2). At k=0k = 0k=0 the algorithm selects nothing, for totality only; all statements assume k≥1k \ge 1k≥1.
  • When the first phase has seen fewer than ℓ\ellℓ arrivals (m<ℓm < \ellm<ℓ), yℓy_\ellyℓ​ is taken to be −∞-\infty−∞: every later arrival is selected until the cap. The page does not specify this case; under the reading "select nothing", the theorem fails when nnn is much smaller than kkk.
  • The cap of kkk counts the selections of both phases. A cap applied to the second phase alone would let the algorithm select up to k+ℓk + \ellk+ℓ elements and is excluded.
  • The goal mentions only the algorithm, the order, SSS, kkk and vvv. It does not mention YYY, ZZZ, qqq or the modified value, which appear only in milestones, so the goal cannot be discharged by assuming any part of the sketch.
  • Three milestone hypotheses are added and disclosed: k≤nk \le nk≤n for milestones 2, 3, 5 and 6 (for n<kn < kn<k the law of ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ is B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2), and milestone 6 fails); kkk even for milestone 5 (the sketch writes ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2; for odd kkk with ℓ=⌊k/2⌋\ell = \lfloor k/2\rfloorℓ=⌊k/2⌋ the bound fails at k=3k = 3k=3). Milestone 4 uses the real number ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2, as printed; with ⌊k/2⌋\lfloor k/2\rfloor⌊k/2⌋ it fails for odd kkk.

A complete development needs: the uniform-subset law of a binomially sized random prefix; conditional expectations over random subsets; tail and absolute-deviation bounds for sums of geometric variables and a stochastic-domination argument; and a careful treatment of the recursion through PMF.bind. The first and third are reusable beyond this mission, for other random-order and sample-based algorithms. Proofs of any milestone, of auxiliary lemmas about the random prefix, and of the goal by a route different from the sketch are all welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Kleinberg, A multiple-choice secretary algorithm with applications to online auctions, Proceedings of the 16th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 2005.
  • M. T. Hajiaghayi, R. Kleinberg, D. C. Parkes, Adaptive limited-supply online auctions, Proceedings of the 5th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), 2004, pp. 71–80. https://doi.org/10.1145/988772.988784
  • E. B. Dynkin, The optimum choice of the instant for stopping a Markov process, Soviet Mathematics Doklady 4, 1963.
  • T. S. Ferguson, Who solved the secretary problem?, Statistical Science 4(3), 1989. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012493
  • M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, D. Kempe, R. Kleinberg, Online auctions and generalized secretary problems, ACM SIGecom Exchanges, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1399589.1399596
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Phase Transition of the Largest Eigenvalue for Nonnull Complex Sample Covariance Matrices 4: The Exponential Last Passage Time Has the Law of the Largest Sample EigenvalueResearch Paper

Motivation

Random growth models and random matrices share limit laws. The first exact instance was found by Johansson (Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 2000), who showed that the last passage time of a lattice model with geometric or exponential weights has the law of the largest eigenvalue of a Laguerre (complex Wishart) random matrix. Baik, Ben Arous and Péché (Ann. Probab. 33 (2005)) extended the identity to weights whose rate depends on the row. On the matrix side this is a sample covariance matrix with a general population covariance Σ\SigmaΣ; on the growth side it is a corner growth model, or a series of exponential queues, with inhomogeneous service rates.

The identity is the reason the paper's main result, the phase transition of the largest sample eigenvalue as a few population eigenvalues ("spikes") cross the critical value 1+γ−11 + \gamma^{-1}1+γ−1, is also a theorem about last passage percolation and tandem queues. In the queueing reading, a spike is a slow server, and the phase transition describes how slow a few servers must be before they change the centring and the fluctuation scale of the exit time.

Timeline:

  • 2000, Johansson: equal rates; the geometric and exponential last passage time has the law of the largest Laguerre eigenvalue (his Proposition 1.4 is the case π1=⋯=πN\pi_1 = \cdots = \pi_Nπ1​=⋯=πN​ of (307)).
  • 2001, Baryshnikov and, independently, Gravner, Tracy and Widom: the tandem-queue and GUE-minor descriptions of the same object.
  • 2005, Baik, Ben Arous and Péché: row-dependent rates πi\pi_iπi​ (Proposition 6.1), via the Robinson–Schensted–Knuth (RSK) formula for geometric weights (310) and a scaling limit.

Setting

Last passage time. Attach a real weight X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) to every site of the grid {1,…,N}×{1,…,M}\{1,\ldots,N\}\times\{1,\ldots,M\}{1,…,N}×{1,…,M}. An up/right path from (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) to (N,M)(N,M)(N,M) is a sequence of N+M−1N+M-1N+M−1 sites starting at (1,1)(1,1)(1,1), ending at (N,M)(N,M)(N,M), each step adding (1,0)(1,0)(1,0) or (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The last passage time is

L(N,M)=max⁡π:(1,1)↗(N,M)∑(i,j)∈πX(i,j).(306)L(N,M) = \max_{\pi:(1,1)\nearrow(N,M)} \sum_{(i,j)\in\pi} X(i,j). \qquad (306)L(N,M)=π:(1,1)↗(N,M)max​(i,j)∈π∑​X(i,j).(306)

Exponential environment. Given positive numbers π1,…,πN\pi_1,\ldots,\pi_Nπ1​,…,πN​, the X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) are independent and X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) is exponential of mean 1/(πiM)1/(\pi_iM)1/(πi​M), i.e. density πiMe−πiMx\pi_iMe^{-\pi_iMx}πi​Me−πi​Mx on x≥0x\ge0x≥0. All MMM sites of row iii share one rate.

Sample covariance matrix. Let gkjg_{kj}gkj​, 1≤k≤M1\le k\le M1≤k≤M, 1≤j≤N1\le j\le N1≤j≤N, be independent standard complex Gaussians (real and imaginary parts independent N(0,1/2)N(0,1/2)N(0,1/2)). For a unitary UUU and ℓj=πj−1\ell_j = \pi_j^{-1}ℓj​=πj−1​ (308), the samples y⃗k=U diag(ℓj) gk\vec y_k = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\sqrt{\ell_j})\,g_ky​k​=Udiag(ℓj​​)gk​ are mean-zero complex Gaussian vectors with covariance Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗, and

S=1M∑k=1My⃗ky⃗k ∗,λ1=largest eigenvalue of S.S = \frac1M\sum_{k=1}^M \vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}, \qquad \lambda_1 = \text{largest eigenvalue of } S.S=M1​k=1∑M​y​k​y​k∗​,λ1​=largest eigenvalue of S.

Schur functions and geometric weights. For a partition λ\lambdaλ, the Schur function sλ(x)s_\lambda(x)sλ​(x) is the sum over semistandard Young tableaux TTT of shape λ\lambdaλ of ∏cxT(c)\prod_{c}x_{T(c)}∏c​xT(c)​. A geometric variable of parameter q∈[0,1)q\in[0,1)q∈[0,1) has P(Y=k)=(1−q)qk\mathbb P(Y = k) = (1-q)q^kP(Y=k)=(1−q)qk.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.1

For 1≤N≤M1\le N\le M1≤N≤M, positive π1,…,πN\pi_1,\ldots,\pi_Nπ1​,…,πN​ and every unitary UUU,

P(L(N,M)≤x)=P(λ1(M,N)≤x)for all x∈R.(309)\mathbb P\big(L(N,M)\le x\big) = \mathbb P\big(\lambda_1(M,N)\le x\big) \qquad \text{for all } x\in\mathbb R. \qquad (309)P(L(N,M)≤x)=P(λ1​(M,N)≤x)for all x∈R.(309)

The two sides are defined independently: one by a maximum over lattice paths of exponential weights, the other by the spectrum of a Gaussian random matrix.

Milestones

  1. The recurrence (313): for every array of weights and every site with a,b≥2a, b\ge2a,b≥2,
L(a,b)=max⁡{L(a−1,b),L(a,b−1)}+X(a,b).L(a,b) = \max\{L(a-1,b), L(a,b-1)\} + X(a,b).L(a,b)=max{L(a−1,b),L(a,b−1)}+X(a,b).
  1. The Cauchy identity (311): ∑λsλ(x)sλ(y)=∏i,j(1−xiyj)−1\sum_\lambda s_\lambda(x)s_\lambda(y) = \prod_{i,j}(1-x_iy_j)^{-1}∑λ​sλ​(x)sλ​(y)=∏i,j​(1−xi​yj​)−1 for xi,yj≥0x_i,y_j\ge0xi​,yj​≥0, xiyj<1x_iy_j<1xi​yj​<1.
  2. The geometric formula (310): for independent geometric weights Y(i,j)Y(i,j)Y(i,j) of parameter xiyjx_iy_jxi​yj​, xi,yj∈[0,1)x_i,y_j\in[0,1)xi​,yj​∈[0,1),
P(G(N,M)≤n)=∏i,j(1−xiyj)∑λ:λ1≤nsλ(x)sλ(y).\mathbb P\big(G(N,M)\le n\big) = \prod_{i,j}(1-x_iy_j)\sum_{\lambda:\lambda_1\le n}s_\lambda(x)s_\lambda(y).P(G(N,M)≤n)=i,j∏​(1−xi​yj​)λ:λ1​≤n∑​sλ​(x)sλ​(y).
  1. The exponential formula (307): for M≥NM\ge NM≥N and distinct πi\pi_iπi​,
P(L(N,M)≤x)=1C∫[0,x]Ndet⁡(e−Mπiξj)V(π)V(ξ)∏jξjM−N dξ.\mathbb P\big(L(N,M)\le x\big) = \frac1C\int_{[0,x]^N}\frac{\det(e^{-M\pi_i\xi_j})}{V(\pi)}V(\xi)\prod_{j}\xi_j^{M-N}\,d\xi.P(L(N,M)≤x)=C1​∫[0,x]N​V(π)det(e−Mπi​ξj​)​V(ξ)j∏​ξjM−N​dξ.

Significance

The proposition makes every distributional statement about λ1\lambda_1λ1​ in the paper a statement about last passage percolation with row-dependent rates: the FkF_kFk​ (generalised Tracy–Widom) fluctuations at the critical spike value, the Gaussian fluctuations above it, and the fixed-dimension limit. Through (312)–(313) it also covers the exit time of MMM customers from NNN exponential servers in series, an operations research object. The geometric formula (310) is the entry point of the RSK method for exactly solvable growth models.

These results are proved in the literature; the paper cites (310) and (311) and derives (307) from them by a limit. None of them is machine-checked as far as this series knows. Formalizing them requires a Lean development of Schur functions, the Cauchy identity and the RSK correspondence on matrices with nonnegative integer entries, and of the Wishart eigenvalue density, each reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The recurrence (313) is elementary. Everything else is not. The geometric formula (310) needs the RSK bijection between nonnegative integer matrices and pairs of semistandard tableaux of the same shape, together with Schensted's theorem that the first row of the shape is the last passage time; neither is in Mathlib. The passage from (310) to (307) is a scaling limit xi=1−Mπi/Lx_i = 1 - M\pi_i/Lxi​=1−Mπi​/L, n=xLn = xLn=xL, L→∞L\to\inftyL→∞, in which a sum over partitions must converge to a multiple integral. The matrix side needs the joint eigenvalue density of a complex Wishart matrix with general Σ\SigmaΣ, which uses the Harish-Chandra–Itzykson–Zuber integral. A direct coupling of the two sides is not known; the identity is an equality of laws, proved by computing both.

Formalization scope

The development lives in the namespace SpikedWishart.LastPassage. Conventions:

  • Sites and indices are 0-based; the paper's (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) and (N,M)(N,M)(N,M) are (0,0)(0,0)(0,0) and (N−1,M−1)(N-1,M-1)(N−1,M−1), and N,M≥1N, M\ge1N,M≥1.
  • LLL is defined as the maximum over paths (306), never by the recurrence (313), so (313) is a genuine statement.
  • The exponential law is Mathlib's expMeasure with rate πiM\pi_iMπi​M.
  • The sample model is mean zero, uncentred, with factor 1/M1/M1/M and E∣g∣2=1\mathbb E|g|^2 = 1E∣g∣2=1; this is the model of (59), (61) and (307), and the page's centring by the sample mean and S=(1/N)XX∗S = (1/N)XX^*S=(1/N)XX∗ are printed slips. The covariance is U diag(π−1)U∗U\,\mathrm{diag}(\pi^{-1})U^*Udiag(π−1)U∗ for every unitary UUU; specialising to diagonal Σ\SigmaΣ would prove a special case.
  • N≤MN\le MN≤M is a disclosed addition to the goal, matching the page's "for M≥NM\ge NM≥N" in (307).
  • Proposition 6.1 prints L(M,N)L(M,N)L(M,N); the object is (306)'s L(N,M)L(N,M)L(N,M).
  • Schur functions are the tableau sum with variables extended by zero. The Cauchy identity is stated with the exponent −1-1−1 that the page omits. In (307) the constant CCC is the integral of the same integrand over (0,∞)N(0,\infty)^N(0,∞)N, and the πi\pi_iπi​ are distinct so that V(π)≠0V(\pi)\ne0V(π)=0; the goal has no distinctness hypothesis.

A formalization in which either side of (309) is defined through the other, or through (307), would be trivial and is excluded: both laws are defined from scratch. Contributions are welcome on RSK and Schur function infrastructure, on the Wishart density, and on the measurability of λ1\lambda_1λ1​.

Selected references

  • J. Baik, G. Ben Arous, S. Péché, Phase transition of the largest eigenvalue for nonnull complex sample covariance matrices, Ann. Probab. 33(5):1643–1697, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/009117905000000233
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209:437–476, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002200050027
  • Y. Baryshnikov, GUEs and queues, Probab. Theory Related Fields 119:256–274, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00008760
  • J. Gravner, C. A. Tracy, H. Widom, Limit theorems for height fluctuations in a class of discrete space and time growth models, J. Stat. Phys. 102:1085–1132, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1004879725949
  • R. P. Stanley, Enumerative Combinatorics, Vol. 2, Cambridge University Press, 1999 (the paper's reference [36] for the Cauchy identity). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511609589
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Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games 5: Every ϵ-Equilibrium of the Closest Potential Game Is an (ϵ + max_m 2α/√h_m)-Equilibrium of the Game, and ConverselyResearch Paper

Motivation

Potential games (Monderer and Shapley, 1996) are the finite games whose unilateral payoff differences are all differences of a single function, the potential. They always have a pure Nash equilibrium, and many natural learning dynamics (best response, fictitious play, logit response) converge in them. Most games met in applications are not exactly potential games, so a recurring question is how much of this theory survives for a game that is close to a potential game.

Candogan, Menache, Ozdaglar and Parrilo (arXiv:1005.2405, journal version Math. Oper. Res. 36(3), 2011) decompose the space of finite games into potential, harmonic and nonstrategic components. Section 6 of the paper equips the space of games with a weighted inner product under which this decomposition is orthogonal, computes the closest potential game to any game in closed form, and shows that approximate equilibria of a game and of its closest potential game correspond, with an explicit loss controlled by the distance between them. This mission formalizes that last result together with the statements it rests on.

Setting

A finite game has a finite set of players M\mathcal MM; each player mmm has a nonempty finite strategy set EmE^mEm with hm=∣Em∣h_m = |E^m|hm​=∣Em∣ elements, and a utility um:E→Ru^m : E \to \mathbb Rum:E→R on the set of strategy profiles E=∏mEmE = \prod_m E^mE=∏m​Em. For a profile ppp, (qm,p−m)(q^m, p^{-m})(qm,p−m) denotes ppp with player mmm's strategy replaced by qmq^mqm.

A profile ppp is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium if um(pm,p−m)≥um(qm,p−m)−ϵu^m(p^m, p^{-m}) \ge u^m(q^m, p^{-m}) - \epsilonum(pm,p−m)≥um(qm,p−m)−ϵ for every player mmm and strategy qmq^mqm (equation (2) of the paper). A game is a potential game if there is φ:E→R\varphi : E \to \mathbb Rφ:E→R with φ(pm,p−m)−φ(qm,p−m)=um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m)\varphi(p^m, p^{-m}) - \varphi(q^m, p^{-m}) = u^m(p^m, p^{-m}) - u^m(q^m, p^{-m})φ(pm,p−m)−φ(qm,p−m)=um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m) for all mmm, pmp^mpm, qmq^mqm, p−mp^{-m}p−m (Definition 2.1).

A game is identified with its tuple of utilities, an element of C0MC_0^MC0M​ where C0={f:E→R}C_0 = \{f : E \to \mathbb R\}C0​={f:E→R}. The game graph has the profiles as nodes, with an edge between two profiles that differ in exactly one player's strategy. The operator DmD_mDm​ sends umu^mum to its differences along the edges where player mmm deviates, D=∑mDmD = \sum_m D_mD=∑m​Dm​, δ0\delta_0δ0​ is the gradient of the game graph, Πm=Dm†Dm\Pi_m = D_m^\dagger D_mΠm​=Dm†​Dm​, and †\dagger† is the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse. Definition 4.2 defines the potential, harmonic and nonstrategic subspaces

P={u=Πu, Du∈im⁡δ0},H={u=Πu, Du∈ker⁡δ0∗},N=ker⁡D,\mathcal P = \{u = \Pi u,\ Du \in \operatorname{im}\delta_0\},\qquad \mathcal H = \{u = \Pi u,\ Du \in \ker\delta_0^*\},\qquad \mathcal N = \ker D ,P={u=Πu, Du∈imδ0​},H={u=Πu, Du∈kerδ0∗​},N=kerD,

and a harmonic game is a game in H⊕N\mathcal H \oplus \mathcal NH⊕N.

Section 6 introduces the weighted inner product and norm

⟨G,G^⟩M,E=∑mhm∑p∈Eum(p) u^m(p),∥G∥M,E2=⟨G,G⟩M,E.\langle G, \hat G\rangle_{M,E} = \sum_{m} h_m \sum_{p \in E} u^m(p)\,\hat u^m(p), \qquad \|G\|_{M,E}^2 = \langle G, G\rangle_{M,E} .⟨G,G^⟩M,E​=m∑​hm​p∈E∑​um(p)u^m(p),∥G∥M,E2​=⟨G,G⟩M,E​.

A closest potential game to GGG is a potential game G^\hat GG^ with ∥G−G^∥M,E≤∥G−G′∥M,E\|G - \hat G\|_{M,E} \le \|G - G'\|_{M,E}∥G−G^∥M,E​≤∥G−G′∥M,E​ for every potential game G′G'G′; a closest harmonic game is defined in the same way.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3

Let G^\hat GG^ be the closest potential game to GGG and α=∥G−G^∥M,E\alpha = \|G - \hat G\|_{M,E}α=∥G−G^∥M,E​. Then for every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​, every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of G^\hat GG^ is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium of GGG, and every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of GGG is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium of G^\hat GG^, where

ϵ=max⁡m∈M2αhm+ϵ1.\epsilon = \max_{m \in \mathcal M} \frac{2\alpha}{\sqrt{h_m}} + \epsilon_1 .ϵ=m∈Mmax​hm​​2α​+ϵ1​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1. If ∣um(p)−u^m(p)∣≤ϵ0|u^m(p) - \hat u^m(p)| \le \epsilon_0∣um(p)−u^m(p)∣≤ϵ0​ for all mmm and ppp, every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of one game is a (2ϵ0+ϵ1)(2\epsilon_0 + \epsilon_1)(2ϵ0​+ϵ1​)-equilibrium of the other.
  2. Theorem 5.1. The set of potential games is the subspace P⊕N\mathcal P \oplus \mathcal NP⊕N.
  3. Theorem 6.1. Under ⟨⋅,⋅⟩M,E\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_{M,E}⟨⋅,⋅⟩M,E​ the subspaces P\mathcal PP, H\mathcal HH, N\mathcal NN are pairwise orthogonal.
  4. Theorem 6.2. With φ=δ0†Du\varphi = \delta_0^\dagger D uφ=δ0†​Du, the closest potential game to GGG has utilities Πmφ+(I−Πm)um\Pi_m \varphi + (I - \Pi_m)u^mΠm​φ+(I−Πm​)um, and the closest harmonic game has utilities um−Πmφu^m - \Pi_m\varphium−Πm​φ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.3 reduces the study of approximate equilibria of an arbitrary finite game to a potential game, where pure equilibria exist and are maximizers of the potential. Section 7 of the paper reports that, in a companion paper, best-response and fictitious-play dynamics are shown to converge to a neighbourhood of equilibria in near-potential games, with the size of the neighbourhood governed by the distance of the game to its closest potential game. Theorems 6.1 and 6.2 make that distance computable: the closest potential game is an orthogonal projection, given by linear operators of the game graph.

Formalizing it. All four statements are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked anywhere known to this mission. A formal development produces a verified operator layer for games on the game graph (gradient, pseudoinverses, the projections Πm\Pi_mΠm​), a verified proof that the weighted inner product, and not the unweighted one, makes the decomposition orthogonal, and a reusable perturbation lemma for ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibria.

Difficulty

Lemma 2.1 and the final step of Theorem 6.3 are elementary inequalities. The obvious way to approximate a game by a potential game, taking the identical-interest part of its zero-sum/identical-interest split, does not give the closest potential game: the paper's Table 7 (p. 35) shows a potential game whose identical-interest part is far from it. The closest potential game has to come from the projection of Section 6. The weight of the mission is in Theorems 5.1, 6.1 and 6.2. They need the decomposition theorem of Section 4 (every game splits uniquely into P\mathcal PP, H\mathcal HH, N\mathcal NN) and properties of pseudoinverses of the operators DmD_mDm​ and δ0\delta_0δ0​ that Mathlib does not provide: Mathlib has no operator pseudoinverse at all. The orthogonality P⊥H\mathcal P \perp \mathcal HP⊥H under the weighted product rests on the specific spectral structure of the Laplacian of the graph of a single player's deviations; it is not a general fact, and it fails for the unweighted product when the hmh_mhm​ differ, so the standard orthogonal-complement machinery cannot be applied to C0MC_0^MC0M​ with its default inner product.

Formalization scope

Players are a finite type ι with decidable equality; strategy sets are finite types E m. Utilities are plain functions u : ι → (∀ m, E m) → ℝ, the shape used by the published MondererShapley.ClosedPath.IsPotentialGame, which is referenced for Definition 2.1. The operator layer works in PiLp 2 (fun _ => EuclideanSpace ℝ (∀ k, E k)) with the unweighted inner product of Section 4; edge flows carry the inner product 12∑(p,q)∈AX(p,q)Y(p,q)\tfrac12\sum_{(p,q)\in A} X(p,q)Y(p,q)21​∑(p,q)∈A​X(p,q)Y(p,q) of (7). The weighted inner product (55) and norm (56) are plain functions, not a second instance on the same type. "Closest" is the minimizing property itself, not an infimum of distances.

Hypotheses made explicit: every strategy set is nonempty (the paper's Em={1,…,hm}E^m = \{1,\dots,h_m\}Em={1,…,hm​}), so hm≥1h_m \ge 1hm​≥1; in Theorem 6.3 the set of players is nonempty, which the maximum over players needs. The paper's "an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium for some ϵ≤B\epsilon \le Bϵ≤B" is stated as "a BBB-equilibrium", which is equivalent because (2) is monotone in ϵ\epsilonϵ. Both directions of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 6.3 are included.

The goal is stated for the closest potential game, as printed. A version for an arbitrary potential game at distance α\alphaα would be a different theorem, and the hypothesis is not vacuous: Theorem 6.2 shows the closest potential game exists. Theorem 6.2 is stated as an "if and only if" characterization, so it gives existence and uniqueness as well as the formula.

Contributions welcome: the Penrose identities for the pseudoinverse, the identities D†D=ΠD^\dagger D = \PiD†D=Π and Δ0,m=hmΠm\Delta_{0,m} = h_m \Pi_mΔ0,m​=hm​Πm​, and the decomposition theorem of Section 4, all of which are reusable by the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • O. Candogan, I. Menache, A. Ozdaglar, P. A. Parrilo, Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games, arXiv:1005.2405v2, 2010; Math. Oper. Res. 36(3):474–503, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.2405, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0500
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential Games, Games Econ. Behav. 14(1):124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraNumerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Low-rank Matrix Recovery via Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares Minimization 2: A Rank Restricted Isometry Constant δ_4k < √2 − 1 Implies the Strong Rank Null Space Property of Order kResearch Paper

Motivation

Many estimation problems ask for a low-rank matrix from far fewer linear measurements than it has entries: matrix completion, quantum state tomography, recovery of positions from partial distances. The rank minimization problem min⁡rank⁡(X)\min \operatorname{rank}(X)minrank(X) subject to S(X)=M\mathcal S(X) = \mathcal MS(X)=M is NP-hard, so one solves a tractable surrogate instead, either the nuclear-norm minimization min⁡∥X∥∗\min \|X\|_*min∥X∥∗​ subject to S(X)=M\mathcal S(X) = \mathcal MS(X)=M or an iterative scheme such as the iteratively reweighted least squares algorithm IRLS-M of Fornasier, Rauhut and Ward (arXiv:1010.2471).

Guarantees for these surrogates rest on conditions on the measurement map. Two are standard. The restricted isometry property (RIP) asks that S\mathcal SS nearly preserve the Frobenius norm of every low-rank matrix; it holds with high probability for many random maps, and it is what one can verify in practice. The null space property asks that no nonzero matrix in the kernel of S\mathcal SS be concentrated on few singular directions; it is what the recovery proofs actually use. This mission formalizes the bridge between them in the paper's form: a small restricted isometry constant implies the strong rank null space property (SRNSP) that drives the convergence analysis of IRLS-M.

Timeline.

  • 2005: Candès and Tao introduce restricted isometry constants for sparse vectors and prove exact recovery by ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ minimization under a condition on them (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory).
  • 2008: Candès shows that δ2s<2−1\delta_{2s} < \sqrt 2 - 1δ2s​<2​−1 suffices in the vector case (C. R. Math.).
  • 2010: Recht, Fazel and Parrilo define the rank restricted isometry property and prove that nuclear-norm minimization recovers every rank-rrr matrix when δ5r\delta_{5r}δ5r​ is small enough (SIAM Review).
  • 2011: Candès and Plan prove the matrix analogue of the 2−1\sqrt 2 - 12​−1 threshold and the orthogonality estimate quoted here as Lemma 6.9 (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory).
  • 2011: Fornasier, Rauhut and Ward prove Proposition 6.8, the target of this mission: δ4k<2−1\delta_{4k} < \sqrt 2 - 1δ4k​<2​−1 implies the SRNSP of order kkk.

Setting

Fix integers n,p,mn, p, mn,p,m. A measurement map is a linear map S:Rn×p→Rm\mathcal S : \mathbb R^{n\times p} \to \mathbb R^mS:Rn×p→Rm; it is given by mmm matrices A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ through S(X)ℓ=⟨Aℓ,X⟩\mathcal S(X)_\ell = \langle A_\ell, X\rangleS(X)ℓ​=⟨Aℓ​,X⟩, where ⟨X,Y⟩=Tr⁡(XY⊤)=∑i,jXijYij\langle X, Y\rangle = \operatorname{Tr}(XY^{\top}) = \sum_{i,j} X_{ij}Y_{ij}⟨X,Y⟩=Tr(XY⊤)=∑i,j​Xij​Yij​. The Frobenius norm is ∥X∥F=⟨X,X⟩1/2\|X\|_F = \langle X, X\rangle^{1/2}∥X∥F​=⟨X,X⟩1/2, the nuclear norm ∥X∥∗\|X\|_*∥X∥∗​ is the sum of the singular values of XXX, and ∥S(X)∥ℓ2m\|\mathcal S(X)\|_{\ell_2^m}∥S(X)∥ℓ2m​​ is the Euclidean norm of the vector S(X)\mathcal S(X)S(X). A matrix is kkk-rank if its rank is at most kkk.

The restricted isometry constant δk=δk(S)\delta_k = \delta_k(\mathcal S)δk​=δk​(S) (Definition 1.1) is the smallest δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0 such that

(1−δ)∥X∥F2≤∥S(X)∥ℓ2m2≤(1+δ)∥X∥F2for all k-rank X.(1 - \delta)\|X\|_F^2 \le \|\mathcal S(X)\|_{\ell_2^m}^2 \le (1+\delta)\|X\|_F^2 \qquad \text{for all $k$-rank } X .(1−δ)∥X∥F2​≤∥S(X)∥ℓ2m​2​≤(1+δ)∥X∥F2​for all k-rank X.

The map S\mathcal SS has the strong rank null space property of order kkk with constant η∈(0,1)\eta \in (0,1)η∈(0,1) (Definition 6.4) if for every X∈ker⁡S∖{0}X \in \ker \mathcal S \setminus\{0\}X∈kerS∖{0} and every decomposition X=X1+X2X = X_1 + X_2X=X1​+X2​ with X1X_1X1​ kkk-rank, there is another decomposition X=H1+H2X = H_1 + H_2X=H1​+H2​ with rank⁡H1≤2k\operatorname{rank} H_1 \le 2krankH1​≤2k, ⟨H1,H2⟩=0\langle H_1, H_2\rangle = 0⟨H1​,H2​⟩=0, X1H2⊤=0X_1H_2^{\top} = 0X1​H2⊤​=0, X1⊤H2=0X_1^{\top}H_2 = 0X1⊤​H2​=0, and

∥H1∥∗≤η ∥H2∥∗.\|H_1\|_* \le \eta\,\|H_2\|_* .∥H1​∥∗​≤η∥H2​∥∗​.

In Lean these are IRLSM.RIP.ripConst A k, IRLSM.RIP.SRNSP A k η and IRLSM.RIP.measSq A X =∥S(X)∥ℓ2m2= \|\mathcal S(X)\|^2_{\ell_2^m}=∥S(X)∥ℓ2m​2​, built on the published module HighDimStat_MatrixRank_Core (traceInner, frobeniusNorm, nuclearNorm, observationOp).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.8

If δ4k>0\delta_{4k} > 0δ4k​>0 and

δ4k<2−1,\delta_{4k} < \sqrt 2 - 1,δ4k​<2​−1,

then S\mathcal SS satisfies the SRNSP of order kkk with constant

η=2 δ4k1−δ3k∈(0,1).\eta = \sqrt 2\,\frac{\delta_{4k}}{1 - \delta_{3k}} \in (0,1).η=2​1−δ3k​δ4k​​∈(0,1).

The constant η\etaη is the paper's explicit one; the goal asserts the full property for every kernel element and every decomposition, including η∈(0,1)\eta \in (0,1)η∈(0,1).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 6.9 (Candès–Plan): for ⟨X,Y⟩=0\langle X, Y\rangle = 0⟨X,Y⟩=0 and rank⁡X+rank⁡Y≤k\operatorname{rank}X + \operatorname{rank}Y \le krankX+rankY≤k, ∣⟨S(X),S(Y)⟩∣≤δk∥X∥F∥Y∥F|\langle \mathcal S(X), \mathcal S(Y)\rangle| \le \delta_k \|X\|_F\|Y\|_F∣⟨S(X),S(Y)⟩∣≤δk​∥X∥F​∥Y∥F​.
  2. Lemma 6.10 (Recht–Fazel–Parrilo): XZ⊤=0XZ^{\top} = 0XZ⊤=0 and X⊤Z=0X^{\top}Z = 0X⊤Z=0 imply ∥X+Z∥∗=∥X∥∗+∥Z∥∗\|X + Z\|_* = \|X\|_* + \|Z\|_*∥X+Z∥∗​=∥X∥∗​+∥Z∥∗​.
  3. The block decomposition of the proof: relative to an SVD X1=U(Σ000)V⊤X_1 = U(\begin{smallmatrix}\Sigma & 0\\ 0 & 0\end{smallmatrix})V^{\top}X1​=U(Σ0​00​)V⊤, the matrices H0H_0H0​ and HcH_cHc​ obtained by zeroing blocks of U⊤XVU^{\top}XVU⊤XV satisfy X=H0+HcX = H_0 + H_cX=H0​+Hc​, rank⁡H0≤2k\operatorname{rank}H_0 \le 2krankH0​≤2k, X1Hc⊤=0X_1H_c^{\top} = 0X1​Hc⊤​=0, X1⊤Hc=0X_1^{\top}H_c = 0X1⊤​Hc​=0, ⟨H0,Hc⟩=0\langle H_0, H_c\rangle = 0⟨H0​,Hc​⟩=0.
  4. ∥H∥∗≤r ∥H∥F\|H\|_* \le \sqrt r\,\|H\|_F∥H∥∗​≤r​∥H∥F​ for rank⁡H≤r\operatorname{rank}H \le rrankH≤r, and ∥H∥F≤∥H+K∥F\|H\|_F \le \|H + K\|_F∥H∥F​≤∥H+K∥F​ for ⟨H,K⟩=0\langle H, K\rangle = 0⟨H,K⟩=0.
  5. The shelling bound: for a nonincreasing nonnegative sequence cut into blocks of length ℓ\ellℓ, each block's ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm is at most ℓ−1/2\ell^{-1/2}ℓ−1/2 times the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm of the previous block.
  6. Monotonicity δk≤δk′\delta_k \le \delta_{k'}δk​≤δk′​ for k≤k′k \le k'k≤k′, and η∈(0,1)\eta \in (0,1)η∈(0,1) under 0<δ4k<2−10 < \delta_{4k} < \sqrt2 - 10<δ4k​<2​−1.

Significance

The result. Proposition 6.8 is the step that turns a verifiable, probabilistically typical hypothesis (a small rank restricted isometry constant, which Gaussian and many other random maps satisfy once mmm is of order kmax⁡(n,p)k\max(n,p)kmax(n,p)) into the deterministic null-space hypothesis under which the paper proves that IRLS-M converges to the nuclear-norm minimizer and recovers every kkk-rank matrix exactly (Theorem 6.11, Proposition 2.1). Through Lemma 6.6 and Corollary 6.7 of the same paper, the SRNSP also gives stable recovery by nuclear-norm minimization, with error controlled by the best kkk-rank approximation error in the nuclear norm.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; it has no machine-checked proof that we know of. A complete development supplies the rank restricted isometry constant as a usable object (its monotonicity, its polarization estimate Lemma 6.9), the nuclear norm's additivity on orthogonal pieces, its comparison with the Frobenius norm, and the block-splitting of the singular value decomposition. These tools are reusable across low-rank recovery. The sibling mission of this series, IRLS-M Converges to the Nuclear-Norm Minimizer Under the Strong Rank Null Space Property, takes the SRNSP as its hypothesis; together the two give Proposition 2.1 of the paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would bound ∥H1∥∗\|H_1\|_*∥H1​∥∗​ directly by the restricted isometry inequality, but that inequality controls only Frobenius norms of low-rank matrices, while the kernel element XXX has full rank in general and the property is stated in nuclear norms. The restricted isometry hypothesis therefore cannot be applied to XXX, or to H2H_2H2​, as a whole, and the constant η\etaη depends on how the high-rank part is handled. In Lean, the singular value decomposition of a rectangular matrix and the behaviour of singular values under block operations are the main missing infrastructure: Mathlib has the spectral theorem for Hermitian matrices but little on singular values of rectangular matrices.

Formalization scope

  • Real matrices Matrix (Fin n) (Fin p) ℝ; the paper treats real and complex matrices indifferently. X∗X^*X∗ is X⊤X^{\top}X⊤ and ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ is traceInner.
  • Measurement map by matrices: S(X)ℓ=⟨Aℓ,X⟩\mathcal S(X)_\ell = \langle A_\ell, X\rangleS(X)ℓ​=⟨Aℓ​,X⟩ (observationOp); ∥S(X)∥ℓ2m2\|\mathcal S(X)\|^2_{\ell_2^m}∥S(X)∥ℓ2m​2​ is a sum of squares, not Mathlib's sup norm on Fin m → ℝ.
  • The squared RIP constant of Definition 1.1, defined as the infimum of the admissible δ≥0\delta \ge 0δ≥0 (attained, never a junk value), for every k∈Nk \in \mathbb Nk∈N; the page's range 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n is dropped because the goal uses δ4k\delta_{4k}δ4k​ with 4k4k4k possibly larger than nnn. The unsquared constant (1−δ)∥X∥F≤∥S(X)∥≤(1+δ)∥X∥F(1-\delta)\|X\|_F \le \|\mathcal S(X)\| \le (1+\delta)\|X\|_F(1−δ)∥X∥F​≤∥S(X)∥≤(1+δ)∥X∥F​ used by other formalizations is a different quantity and is not used.
  • Positivity δ4k>0\delta_{4k} > 0δ4k​>0 is a hypothesis of the goal: it is Definition 1.1's own "δk>0\delta_k > 0δk​>0", and without it η=0∉(0,1)\eta = 0 \notin (0,1)η=0∈/(0,1).
  • No n ≤ p assumption: the proof does not use it.
  • The block decomposition milestone states the page's explicit construction, with a general (not necessarily diagonal) top-left block, and without the unused hypothesis X∈ker⁡SX \in \ker\mathcal SX∈kerS.
  • The shelling bound is stated in its vector form for every block; the page writes "for j≥2j \ge 2j≥2" but display (6.7) uses it for every j≥1j \ge 1j≥1.

A formalization that proved only η<1\eta < 1η<1, or only the existence of some decomposition without the bound ∥H1∥∗≤η∥H2∥∗\|H_1\|_* \le \eta\|H_2\|_*∥H1​∥∗​≤η∥H2​∥∗​, or that defined δk\delta_kδk​ as any admissible constant rather than the smallest one, would not be this mission's goal.

Welcome contributions: singular value decomposition for rectangular real matrices in the Core encoding, singular values of block-diagonal and orthogonally-equivalent matrices, and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • M. Fornasier, H. Rauhut, R. Ward, Low-rank matrix recovery via iteratively reweighted least squares minimization, SIAM J. Optim. 21(4), 2011; read as arXiv:1010.2471v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1010.2471
  • E. J. Candès, Y. Plan, Tight oracle inequalities for low-rank matrix recovery from a minimal number of noisy random measurements, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 57(4), 2011. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2011.2111771
  • B. Recht, M. Fazel, P. A. Parrilo, Guaranteed minimum-rank solutions of linear matrix equations via nuclear norm minimization, SIAM Review 52(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/070697835
  • E. J. Candès, T. Tao, Decoding by linear programming, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 51(12), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2005.858979
  • E. J. Candès, The restricted isometry property and its implications for compressed sensing, C. R. Math. Acad. Sci. Paris 346, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crma.2008.03.014
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Graph TheoryProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 3: With Probability 1 − C(L)n⁻² the β-Model MLE Exists, Is Unique, and Is Within C(L)√(log n/n) of βResearch Paper

Motivation

Network data often come as a single observed graph, and the simplest summary of a graph is its degree sequence, the list of the numbers of neighbours of its vertices. A statistical model in which the degree sequence is a sufficient statistic is an exponential family on graphs, and the simplest such family is the β-model: each vertex iii carries a parameter βi\beta_iβi​, and edges appear independently with log-odds βi+βj\beta_i+\beta_jβi​+βj​. The model appears in the directed case in Holland and Leinhardt (1981), in the undirected case in Park and Newman (2004) and Blitzstein and Diaconis (2011), and it is a close relative of the Bradley–Terry model for paired comparisons.

Fitting the model means solving the maximum likelihood equations. The difficulty for classical theory is that the number of parameters, nnn, equals the number of vertices: the parameter dimension grows with the sample, and standard consistency arguments for maximum likelihood do not apply. Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly (2011) prove that, nevertheless, for parameters in a fixed bounded range the maximum likelihood estimate exists, is unique, and estimates every coordinate of β\betaβ uniformly at rate log⁡n/n\sqrt{\log n/n}logn/n​, with probability 1−O(n−2)1-O(n^{-2})1−O(n−2). This mission formalizes that result (Theorem 1.3 of the paper) and the lemmas of §4 on which its proof rests.

Setting

Let n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 and β=(β1,…,βn)∈Rn\beta=(\beta_1,\dots,\beta_n)\in\mathbb R^nβ=(β1​,…,βn​)∈Rn. The β-model Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is the law of the random simple graph GGG on vertices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n in which, for each pair i≠ji\ne ji=j, the edge {i,j}\{i,j\}{i,j} is present with probability

pij=eβi+βj1+eβi+βj,p_{ij}=\frac{e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}{1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}},pij​=1+eβi​+βj​eβi​+βj​​,

independently of all other edges. Write d1,…,dnd_1,\dots,d_nd1​,…,dn​ for the degrees of GGG. The maximum likelihood equations for an estimate β^∈Rn\hat\beta\in\mathbb R^nβ^​∈Rn are

di=∑j≠ieβ^i+β^j1+eβ^i+β^j,i=1,…,n.(3)d_i=\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}}{1+e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}},\qquad i=1,\dots,n. \tag{3}di​=j=i∑​1+eβ^​i​+β^​j​eβ^​i​+β^​j​​,i=1,…,n.(3)

The sup norm is ∣x∣∞=max⁡i∣xi∣|x|_\infty=\max_i|x_i|∣x∣∞​=maxi​∣xi​∣.

Two further objects enter the proof. D\mathcal DD is the set of degree sequences of simple graphs on nnn vertices and R\mathcal RR the set of expected degree sequences of Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ as β\betaβ ranges over Rn\mathbb R^nRn. For d∈Rnd\in\mathbb R^nd∈Rn and B⊆{1,…,n}B\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}B⊆{1,…,n} the slack is

g(d,B)=∑j∉Bmin⁡{dj,∣B∣}+∣B∣(∣B∣−1)−∑i∈Bdi,g(d,B)=\sum_{j\notin B}\min\{d_j,|B|\}+|B|(|B|-1)-\sum_{i\in B}d_i,g(d,B)=j∈/B∑​min{dj​,∣B∣}+∣B∣(∣B∣−1)−i∈B∑​di​,

which is nonnegative for every degree sequence of a graph (the Erdős–Gallai inequalities). Finally φ:Rn→Rn\varphi:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nφ:Rn→Rn, φi(x)=log⁡di−log⁡∑j≠i(e−xj+exi)−1\varphi_i(x)=\log d_i-\log\sum_{j\ne i}(e^{-x_j}+e^{x_i})^{-1}φi​(x)=logdi​−log∑j=i​(e−xj​+exi​)−1, is the map whose fixed points are the solutions of (3).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.3

For every L≥0L\ge 0L≥0 there is C(L)>0C(L)>0C(L)>0 such that for every n≥1n\ge 1n≥1 and every β\betaβ with ∣βi∣≤L|\beta_i|\le L∣βi​∣≤L,

Pβ(∃! β^ solving (3),  ∣β^−β∣∞≤C(L)log⁡nn) ≥ 1−C(L) n−2.\mathbb P_\beta\Big(\exists!\,\hat\beta \text{ solving (3)},\ \ |\hat\beta-\beta|_\infty\le C(L)\sqrt{\tfrac{\log n}{n}}\Big)\ \ge\ 1-C(L)\,n^{-2}.Pβ​(∃!β^​ solving (3),  ∣β^​−β∣∞​≤C(L)nlogn​​) ≥ 1−C(L)n−2.

The constant depends only on LLL, and the statement holds for all nnn, small nnn being absorbed into C(L)C(L)C(L).

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. The probability formula Pβ(G)=e∑iβidi/∏i<j(1+eβi+βj)\mathbb P_\beta(G)=e^{\sum_i\beta_id_i}/\prod_{i<j}(1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j})Pβ​(G)=e∑i​βi​di​/∏i<j​(1+eβi​+βj​) (p. 6), with Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ a probability measure.
  2. Theorem 1.4: conv(D)=R‾\mathrm{conv}(\mathcal D)=\overline{\mathcal R}conv(D)=R.
  3. Lemma 4.1: if d∈R‾d\in\overline{\mathcal R}d∈R, c2(n−1)≤di≤c1(n−1)c_2(n-1)\le d_i\le c_1(n-1)c2​(n−1)≤di​≤c1​(n−1), and g(d,B)≥c3n2g(d,B)\ge c_3n^2g(d,B)≥c3​n2 whenever ∣B∣≥c22n|B|\ge c_2^2n∣B∣≥c22​n, then (3) has a solution with ∣β^∣∞≤c4(c1,c2,c3)|\hat\beta|_\infty\le c_4(c_1,c_2,c_3)∣β^​∣∞​≤c4​(c1​,c2​,c3​).
  4. Lemma 4.2: with probability ≥1−2n−2\ge1-2n^{-2}≥1−2n−2 the observed degrees satisfy c2(n−1)≤di≤c1(n−1)c_2(n-1)\le d_i\le c_1(n-1)c2​(n−1)≤di​≤c1​(n−1) and g(d,B)≥(c3−6log⁡n/n)n2g(d,B)\ge(c_3-\sqrt{6\log n/n})n^2g(d,B)≥(c3​−6logn/n​)n2 for ∣B∣≥cn|B|\ge cn∣B∣≥cn.
  5. Theorem 1.5: uniqueness of the solution of (3) and the a-priori bound ∣x0−β^∣∞≤C∣x0−φ(x0)∣∞|x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty\le C|x_0-\varphi(x_0)|_\infty∣x0​−β^​∣∞​≤C∣x0​−φ(x0​)∣∞​.
  6. The identity (β−φ(β))i=log⁡(dˉi/di)(\beta-\varphi(\beta))_i=\log(\bar d_i/d_i)(β−φ(β))i​=log(dˉi​/di​), with dˉi\bar d_idˉi​ the expected degree of vertex iii (p. 21).

Significance

The theorem is a consistency result in a regime where the number of parameters is as large as the number of nodes, and it comes with a uniform rate: every vertex parameter is recovered to accuracy O(log⁡n/n)O(\sqrt{\log n/n})O(logn/n​) simultaneously, from one graph. Existence of the MLE is itself not automatic (it fails, for instance, whenever the observed graph has an isolated vertex), so the theorem also says that the estimator is defined with high probability. The paper uses the same machinery for its graph-limit results on uniform random graphs with a given degree sequence (missions 4–5 of this series), and the β-model is the base case of a large family of exponential random graph models used in network analysis.

The result is proved in the paper; this mission produces the machine-checked version. None of the statements here is formalized on the platform or in Mathlib. Theorems 1.4 and 1.5 are the goals of missions 2 and 1 of this series and are restated here; a proof there transfers directly.

Difficulty

Standard maximum likelihood asymptotics fix the parameter dimension and let the sample size grow; here both grow together, and the ratio of squared dimension to number of observations, n2/(n2)n^2/\binom n2n2/(2n​), stays bounded, so the usual heuristic for when asymptotics apply is borderline at best. The likelihood is concave, but concavity alone gives neither existence of a maximizer (the supremum may be approached at βi=±∞\beta_i=\pm\inftyβi​=±∞) nor a bound on its size that is uniform in nnn. The central step, Lemma 4.1, is a deterministic bound on ∣β^∣∞|\hat\beta|_\infty∣β^​∣∞​ that does not depend on nnn; it requires control of how the coordinates of β^\hat\betaβ^​ can spread out, expressed through a quantitative Erdős–Gallai margin. A coordinatewise argument cannot give it, because each equation of (3) involves all coordinates.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin n, graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n) with the discrete σ-algebra, and Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is the finite sum of point masses with the independent-edge weights ∏i<jpij1[ij∈G](1−pij)1[ij∉G]\prod_{i<j}p_{ij}^{\mathbf 1[ij\in G]}(1-p_{ij})^{\mathbf 1[ij\notin G]}∏i<j​pij1[ij∈G]​(1−pij​)1[ij∈/G]; vectors are Fin n → ℝ with Mathlib's sup norm. Probabilities are values of this measure in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], compared with max⁡(0,1−Cn−2)\max(0,1-Cn^{-2})max(0,1−Cn−2). Expected degrees are integrals against Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​; R\mathcal RR is not defined as the range of the right-hand side of (3), since that identification is part of the content of Theorem 1.4.

Every "constant depending only on …" is a quantifier placed before nnn: in Theorem 1.3, CCC depends on LLL only; in Lemma 4.1, c4c_4c4​ is a function of (c1,c2,c3)(c_1,c_2,c_3)(c1​,c2​,c3​) alone, bounded on compact subsets of its domain, as §4 defines the phrase; in Lemma 4.2, (C,c1,c2)(C,c_1,c_2)(C,c1​,c2​) on LLL and c3c_3c3​ on (L,c)(L,c)(L,c). Choosing CCC after nnn and β\betaβ would make Theorem 1.3 trivial, since 1−Cn−2<01-Cn^{-2}<01−Cn−2<0 for large CCC; this formalization rules that out. The paper's L:=max⁡i∣βi∣L:=\max_i|\beta_i|L:=maxi​∣βi​∣ is the hypothesis ∣βi∣≤L|\beta_i|\le L∣βi​∣≤L, and the paper's 1n2inf⁡B{⋯ }≥c3\frac1{n^2}\inf_{B}\{\cdots\}\ge c_3n21​infB​{⋯}≥c3​ is the bound g(d,B)≥c3n2g(d,B)\ge c_3n^2g(d,B)≥c3​n2 for every admissible BBB (a finite nonempty family). The phrase "there exists a unique solution β^\hat\betaβ^​ … that satisfies [the bound]" is read as: a solution exists, it is unique, and it satisfies the bound. Lemma 4.1 assumes d∈R‾d\in\overline{\mathcal R}d∈R, not d∈Rd\in\mathcal Rd∈R (for d∈Rd\in\mathcal Rd∈R existence would be immediate). Theorem 1.5 is stated, as in mission 1, for n≥3n\ge3n≥3 and di>0d_i>0di​>0.

A complete development needs: the β-model as a measure and its exponential-family formula; Hoeffding's inequality for sums of independent non-identical indicators transported to Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ (Mathlib has Hoeffding for independent bounded variables); compactness in Rn\mathbb R^nRn; and the results of missions 1 and 2. The β-model measure and the Erdős–Gallai slack are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the transfer between the independent-edge and the product-space descriptions of Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis, A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4), 1400–1435, 2011. arXiv:1005.1136v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.1136 — https://doi.org/10.1214/10-AAP728
  • P. W. Holland, S. Leinhardt, An exponential family of probability distributions for directed graphs, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 76, 33–50, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1981.10477598
  • J. Park, M. E. J. Newman, Statistical mechanics of networks, Phys. Rev. E 70, 066117, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0405566
  • J. Blitzstein, P. Diaconis, A sequential importance sampling algorithm for generating random graphs with prescribed degrees, Internet Math. 6(4), 489–522, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427951.2010.557277
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 58, 13–30, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
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Partial Differential EquationsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

An Optimal Variance Estimate in Stochastic Homogenization of Discrete Elliptic Equations: Scale-L Averages of the Approximate-Corrector Energy Density Have Variance ≲ L^−d, Times (ln T)^q if d = 2Research Paper

Motivation

A random conductance model puts a random conductivity on every edge of the lattice Zd\mathbb Z^dZd. It is the simplest discrete model of diffusion in a heterogeneous medium, and its generator is the generator of a random walk in a random environment. Classical stochastic homogenization shows that on large scales the random operator behaves like a constant-coefficient elliptic operator whose homogenized coefficient AhomA_{\mathrm{hom}}Ahom​ is deterministic. The characterization of AhomA_{\mathrm{hom}}Ahom​, however, involves an equation on the whole lattice for every realization of the coefficients. In practice one computes a spatial average over a box of size LLL of the energy density of an approximate corrector, as in Gloria and Otto (arXiv:1104.1291, §1). The random part of the error of this procedure is a variance. Its size as a function of LLL determines how large a computational box must be.

Timeline:

  • 1979–1981: Kozlov (MR542557) and Papanicolaou–Varadhan (MR712714) prove qualitative homogenization for continuum elliptic equations with random coefficients.
  • 1983: Künnemann (MR714611) proves the discrete version, the diffusion limit of reversible jump processes on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd with ergodic bond conductivities. It provides the corrector and the approximate corrector used here.
  • 1986: Yurinskii (MR867870) gives the first quantitative rates, far from optimal.
  • 1998: Naddaf and Spencer (preprint, Estimates on the variance of some homogenization problems) introduce the spectral-gap approach and obtain optimal variance bounds under a small-contrast assumption on the conductivities.
  • 2011: Gloria and Otto (DOI 10.1214/10-AOP571) prove the optimal variance estimate without any small-contrast assumption, with a logarithmic loss in d=2d = 2d=2. This mission formalizes that estimate.

Setting

Fix d≥2d \ge 2d≥2 and 0<α≤β0 < \alpha \le \beta0<α≤β. Sites are x∈Zdx \in \mathbb Z^dx∈Zd and e1,…,ede_1,\dots,e_de1​,…,ed​ is the canonical basis. An edge [z,z+ei][z, z+e_i][z,z+ei​] carries a conductivity a(z,i)∈[α,β]a(z,i) \in [\alpha,\beta]a(z,i)∈[α,β]; such a field aaa belongs to the class Aαβ\mathcal A_{\alpha\beta}Aαβ​. The discrete gradients are ∇iu(x)=u(x+ei)−u(x)\nabla_i u(x) = u(x+e_i) - u(x)∇i​u(x)=u(x+ei​)−u(x) and ∇i∗u(x)=u(x)−u(x−ei)\nabla^*_i u(x) = u(x) - u(x-e_i)∇i∗​u(x)=u(x)−u(x−ei​), and A(x)=diag[a(x,1),…,a(x,d)]A(x) = \mathrm{diag}[a(x,1),\dots,a(x,d)]A(x)=diag[a(x,1),…,a(x,d)].

The conductivities are i.i.d.: they are distributed according to the product ν⊗E\nu^{\otimes E}ν⊗E over all edges of one probability law ν\nuν on [α,β][\alpha,\beta][α,β]. No density is assumed, so atomic laws are allowed. ⟨⋅⟩\langle\cdot\rangle⟨⋅⟩ is the expectation and var⁡\operatorname{var}var the variance.

For a direction ξ∈Rd\xi \in \mathbb R^dξ∈Rd with ∣ξ∣=1|\xi| = 1∣ξ∣=1 and a cut-off T>0T > 0T>0, the approximate corrector ϕT\phi_TϕT​ solves

T−1ϕT(x)−∇∗⋅A(x)(∇ϕT(x)+ξ)=0(x∈Zd).T^{-1}\phi_T(x) - \nabla^*\cdot A(x)\big(\nabla\phi_T(x) + \xi\big) = 0 \qquad (x \in \mathbb Z^d).T−1ϕT​(x)−∇∗⋅A(x)(∇ϕT​(x)+ξ)=0(x∈Zd).

The zero-order term introduces the length scale T\sqrt TT​. The Green's function GT(x,y;a)G_T(x,y;a)GT​(x,y;a) is the ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 solution of (T−1−∇∗⋅A∇)GT(⋅,y)=δy(T^{-1} - \nabla^*\cdot A\nabla)G_T(\cdot,y) = \delta_y(T−1−∇∗⋅A∇)GT​(⋅,y)=δy​ in weak form.

A mask ηL:Zd→[0,1]\eta_L : \mathbb Z^d \to [0,1]ηL​:Zd→[0,1] is supported in the box (−L,L)d(-L,L)^d(−L,L)d, sums to 111 and satisfies ∣∇ηL∣≤CηL−d−1|\nabla\eta_L| \le C_\eta L^{-d-1}∣∇ηL​∣≤Cη​L−d−1. The averaged energy density is

ξ⋅AL,Tξ=∑x∈Zd(T−1ϕT(x)2+(∇ϕT(x)+ξ)⋅A(x)(∇ϕT(x)+ξ))ηL(x).\xi\cdot A_{L,T}\xi = \sum_{x\in\mathbb Z^d}\Big(T^{-1}\phi_T(x)^2 + \big(\nabla\phi_T(x)+\xi\big)\cdot A(x)\big(\nabla\phi_T(x)+\xi\big)\Big)\eta_L(x).ξ⋅AL,T​ξ=x∈Zd∑​(T−1ϕT​(x)2+(∇ϕT​(x)+ξ)⋅A(x)(∇ϕT​(x)+ξ))ηL​(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1, estimate (2.5)

There are an exponent q>0q > 0q>0 and a threshold T0T_0T0​, depending only on d,α,βd, \alpha, \betad,α,β, and for each mask constant CηC_\etaCη​ a constant CCC, such that for every law ν\nuν on [α,β][\alpha,\beta][α,β], every unit ξ\xiξ, every T≥T0T \ge T_0T≥T0​, every L>0L > 0L>0 and every mask ηL\eta_LηL​:

var⁡[ξ⋅AL,Tξ]≤{C L−2(ln⁡T)q,d=2,C L−d,d>2.\operatorname{var}[\xi\cdot A_{L,T}\xi] \le \begin{cases} C\,L^{-2}(\ln T)^q, & d = 2,\\ C\,L^{-d}, & d > 2.\end{cases}var[ξ⋅AL,T​ξ]≤{CL−2(lnT)q,CL−d,​d=2,d>2.​

The statement fixes the shape of the bound, not the value of qqq or CCC, which is why it is the goal.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof:

  • well-posedness: the Green's function (Definition 2.7) and the approximate corrector (Lemma 2.2, pathwise form);
  • the variance estimate Lemma 2.3 for functions of countably many i.i.d. variables;
  • deterministic Green's-function bounds: Lemma 2.8 (BMO and decay on dyadic annuli), Lemma 2.9 (Meyers-type higher integrability), Corollaries 2.2 and 2.3;
  • susceptibility formulas: Lemmas 2.4 and 2.5, which give ∂ϕT/∂a(e)\partial\phi_T/\partial a(e)∂ϕT​/∂a(e) and ∂GT/∂a(e)\partial G_T/\partial a(e)∂GT​/∂a(e);
  • measurability: Lemma 2.6;
  • a Caccioppoli inequality in probability: Lemma 2.7;
  • a convolution estimate: Lemma 2.10;
  • moment bounds: Proposition 2.1, which gives ⟨∣ϕT(0)∣q⟩≲1\langle|\phi_T(0)|^q\rangle \lesssim 1⟨∣ϕT​(0)∣q⟩≲1 for d>2d > 2d>2 and ≲(ln⁡T)γ(q)\lesssim(\ln T)^{\gamma(q)}≲(lnT)γ(q) for d=2d = 2d=2;
  • the two steps of §3.2: the derivative formula (3.17) and its uniform bound (3.22).

Significance

The result. The estimate says that smooth averages of the energy density fluctuate as if the density were independent from site to site, at the rate L−d/2L^{-d/2}L−d/2. That rate is the best possible, since the coefficients themselves are independent. In the error analysis of approximations of AhomA_{\mathrm{hom}}Ahom​, this controls the random error and separates it from the systematic error caused by the cut-off TTT. Proposition 2.1, a byproduct, shows that the approximate corrector has all moments bounded uniformly in TTT when d>2d > 2d>2, which yields a stationary corrector (Corollary 2.1 of the paper).

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 2011, and no machine-checked version is known. A formal proof would combine three components that are reusable well beyond this paper:

  • a variance inequality for functions of countably many independent variables, in the infinite product measure;
  • quantitative regularity of discrete elliptic Green's functions, uniform in the coefficients;
  • the sensitivity calculus of solutions with respect to a single coefficient.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails because the energy density is not independent from site to site: the corrector couples all conductivities through the inverse of a random elliptic operator. Bounding the variance needs the sensitivity of ξ⋅AL,Tξ\xi\cdot A_{L,T}\xiξ⋅AL,T​ξ to each single conductivity, and that sensitivity is expressed through gradients of the Green's function. Pointwise bounds on ∇GT\nabla G_T∇GT​ that are uniform in the coefficients do not exist: the continuum counterpart fails, by examples from quasi-conformal mappings. Only averaged decay on dyadic annuli and a small gain of integrability are available, which is why the proof needs the moment bounds of Proposition 2.1. In d=2d = 2d=2 the Green's function does not decay, so only BMO-type control is available, and a logarithm of TTT is lost.

Formalization scope

Statements follow the arXiv v1 reprint (arXiv:1104.1291v1) of the Annals of Probability article; theorem and page numbers refer to it.

  • The lattice is Fin d → ℤ. An edge [z,z+ei][z,z+e_i][z,z+ei​] is the pair (z, i), and a coefficient field is a real function on edges; the theorems assume it takes values in [α,β][\alpha,\beta][α,β].
  • The i.i.d. law is Measure.infinitePi of one probability measure ν\nuν on R\mathbb RR with ν([α,β]c)=0\nu([\alpha,\beta]^c) = 0ν([α,β]c)=0.
  • ϕT\phi_TϕT​ is the unique bounded solution of (2.3) and GT(⋅,y)G_T(\cdot,y)GT​(⋅,y) the unique ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 solution of (2.11). The definitions file explains why the bounded solution is the paper's stationary ϕT\phi_TϕT​.
  • Norms are Euclidean. The mask's gradient bound is componentwise with an explicit constant CηC_\etaCη​.
  • Every ≲\lesssim≲ becomes an explicit constant chosen before the law, the coefficients and the spatial variables, and every ≫1\gg 1≫1 becomes an explicit threshold.
  • Variances, lower integrals and infinite sums that could otherwise default to 000 are either taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] or come with square-integrability in the conclusion.

Ruling out a trivial formalization. If the constant CCC were allowed to depend on the law ν\nuν or on the mask, the goal would follow from the boundedness of the energy average alone. If the variance were taken of a function that is not square-integrable, it would be 000 by convention. The goal fixes CCC before ν\nuν and ηL\eta_LηL​ and requires square-integrability as part of the conclusion.

Not formalized:

  • the last sentence of Theorem 2.1, the variance estimate for the corrector ϕ\phiϕ itself when d>2d > 2d>2. It needs the stationary corrector of Lemma 2.1, whose existence is quoted from Künnemann;
  • Lemma 2.8 (ii);
  • the stochastic part of Lemma 2.2 (stationarity and zero mean of ϕT\phi_TϕT​), which follows from the pathwise statement as explained in the definitions file.

Welcome contributions are proofs of any milestone and reusable infrastructure: infinite-product variance inequalities, discrete integration by parts, and discrete maximum principles.

Selected references

  • A. Gloria, F. Otto, An optimal variance estimate in stochastic homogenization of discrete elliptic equations, Ann. Probab. 39(3) (2011) 779–856. arXiv:1104.1291, DOI 10.1214/10-AOP571
  • R. Künnemann, The diffusion limit for reversible jump processes on Zd\mathbb Z^dZd with ergodic random bond conductivities, Comm. Math. Phys. 90 (1983) 27–68. MR714611
  • S. M. Kozlov, The averaging of random operators, Mat. Sb. 109(151) (1979) 188–202. MR542557
  • G. C. Papanicolaou, S. R. S. Varadhan, Boundary value problems with rapidly oscillating random coefficients, Colloq. Math. Soc. János Bolyai 27 (1981) 835–873. MR712714
  • V. V. Yurinskii, Averaging of symmetric diffusion in a random medium, Sibirsk. Mat. Zh. 27 (1986) 167–180. MR867870
  • N. G. Meyers, An LpL^pLp estimate for the gradient of solutions of second order elliptic divergence equations, Ann. Scuola Norm. Sup. Pisa 17 (1963) 189–206. MR0159110
17 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsGraph TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 5: Uniform Random Graphs with Degree Scaling Limit f in the Interior Converge a.s. to the Graph Limit e^{g(x)+g(y)}/(1+e^{g(x)+g(y)})Research Paper

Motivation

A standard way to build a random network with a prescribed degree sequence is to choose a graph uniformly at random from the set of all simple graphs with that degree sequence. The model arises in testing whether the exponential family with the degree sequence as sufficient statistic fits network data, in simulating networks with given degrees, and, for constant degrees, as the random regular graph (Blitzstein–Diaconis, Chatterjee–Diaconis–Sly). Quantities such as the expected number of triangles of such a graph are usually estimated by simulation.

For dense graphs, those whose number of edges is of order n2n^2n2, the Lovász–Szegedy theory of graph limits (Lovász–Szegedy 2006) describes a large graph by a symmetric function W:[0,1]2→[0,1]W:[0,1]^2\to[0,1]W:[0,1]2→[0,1]. Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly identify this limit for uniformly random graphs with a given degree sequence. The answer is the limit of the β-model, a random graph with independent edges whose edge probabilities are eβi+βj/(1+eβi+βj)e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}/(1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j})eβi​+βj​/(1+eβi​+βj​). The limit gives exact asymptotic formulas for subgraph counts without simulation.

Setting

Graphs and densities. For a finite simple graph HHH on [k]={1,…,k}[k]=\{1,\dots,k\}[k]={1,…,k} and a simple graph GGG on nnn vertices, the homomorphism density is

t(H,G)=∣hom⁡(H,G)∣nk,t(H,G)=\frac{|\hom(H,G)|}{n^k},t(H,G)=nk∣hom(H,G)∣​,

where hom⁡(H,G)\hom(H,G)hom(H,G) is the set of edge-preserving maps V(H)→V(G)V(H)\to V(G)V(H)→V(G). For W:[0,1]2→RW:[0,1]^2\to\mathbb RW:[0,1]2→R,

t(H,W)=∫[0,1]k∏{i,j}∈E(H)W(xi,xj) dx1⋯dxk,t(H,W)=\int_{[0,1]^k}\prod_{\{i,j\}\in E(H)}W(x_i,x_j)\,dx_1\cdots dx_k,t(H,W)=∫[0,1]k​{i,j}∈E(H)∏​W(xi​,xj​)dx1​⋯dxk​,

with one factor per edge. Graphs GnG_nGn​ on nnn vertices converge to the limit represented by WWW if t(H,Gn)→t(H,W)t(H,G_n)\to t(H,W)t(H,Gn​)→t(H,W) for every finite simple graph HHH.

Degree sequences and scaling limits. For each nnn let dn=(d1n≥⋯≥dnn)d^n=(d^n_1\ge\dots\ge d^n_n)dn=(d1n​≥⋯≥dnn​) be the degree sequence of some simple graph on nnn vertices. The sequence {dn}\{d^n\}{dn} has scaling limit fff, a nonincreasing function on [0,1][0,1][0,1], if

∣d1nn−f(0)∣+∣dnnn−f(1)∣+1n∑i=1n∣dinn−f ⁣(in)∣⟶0.\left|\frac{d^n_1}{n}-f(0)\right|+\left|\frac{d^n_n}{n}-f(1)\right|+\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\left|\frac{d^n_i}{n}-f\!\left(\frac in\right)\right|\longrightarrow0 .​nd1n​​−f(0)​+​ndnn​​−f(1)​+n1​i=1∑n​​ndin​​−f(ni​)​⟶0.

D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] is the set of nonincreasing functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] that are left continuous on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). It carries the modified L1L^1L1 norm ∥f∥1′=∣f(0)∣+∣f(1)∣+∫01∣f∣\|f\|_{1'}=|f(0)|+|f(1)|+\int_0^1|f|∥f∥1′​=∣f(0)∣+∣f(1)∣+∫01​∣f∣. F⊆D′[0,1]\mathcal F\subseteq D'[0,1]F⊆D′[0,1] is the set of all scaling limits of degree sequences.

The random graphs. GnG_nGn​ is chosen uniformly from the simple graphs on {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n} with degree sequence dnd^ndn. In a random graph with independent edges each pair {i,j}\{i,j\}{i,j} is an edge with probability pijp_{ij}pij​, independently of the other pairs. The β-model PβP_\betaPβ​ is the case pij=eβi+βj/(1+eβi+βj)p_{ij}=e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}/(1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j})pij​=eβi​+βj​/(1+eβi​+βj​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (pp. 4–5)

If fff lies in the interior of F\mathcal FF for ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, there is a function g∈D′[0,1]g\in D'[0,1]g∈D′[0,1], unique on [0,1][0,1][0,1], such that

W(x,y)=eg(x)+g(y)1+eg(x)+g(y)satisfiesf(x)=∫01W(x,y) dy  for all x∈[0,1],W(x,y)=\frac{e^{g(x)+g(y)}}{1+e^{g(x)+g(y)}}\quad\text{satisfies}\quad f(x)=\int_0^1W(x,y)\,dy\ \ \text{for all }x\in[0,1],W(x,y)=1+eg(x)+g(y)eg(x)+g(y)​satisfiesf(x)=∫01​W(x,y)dy  for all x∈[0,1],

and almost surely t(H,Gn)→t(H,W)t(H,G_n)\to t(H,W)t(H,Gn​)→t(H,W) for every finite simple graph HHH.

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  • Lemma 2.2 (p. 14): the fixed-point map φ\varphiφ of the β-model likelihood equations satisfies ∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣1≤2e2K∣x−y∣1|\varphi(x)-\varphi(y)|_1\le2e^{2K}|x-y|_1∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣1​≤2e2K∣x−y∣1​ when ∣x∣∞,∣y∣∞≤K|x|_\infty,|y|_\infty\le K∣x∣∞​,∣y∣∞​≤K.
  • §6.2, p. 30: for nonincreasing ddd, the Erdős–Gallai slack E(B)\mathcal E(B)E(B) over sets of size kkk is minimized at {1,…,k}\{1,\dots,k\}{1,…,k}.
  • Lemma 6.1 (p. 26): for independent-edge random graphs, P(∣t(H,G)−Et(H,G)∣>ε)≤2e−Cε2n2\mathbb P(|t(H,G)-\mathbb E t(H,G)|>\varepsilon)\le2e^{-C\varepsilon^2n^2}P(∣t(H,G)−Et(H,G)∣>ε)≤2e−Cε2n2 with C=C(H)C=C(H)C=C(H).
  • Claim 6.3 (p. 27): integer margins close to the row and column sums of a matrix with entries in [δ,1−δ][\delta,1-\delta][δ,1−δ] are realized by a 0–1 contingency table.
  • Lemma 6.2 (p. 26): if δ≤pij≤1−δ\delta\le p_{ij}\le1-\deltaδ≤pij​≤1−δ and di=∑j≠ipijd_i=\sum_{j\ne i}p_{ij}di​=∑j=i​pij​, the independent-edge graph has degree sequence ddd with probability at least 12δ n3/2+ε\tfrac12\delta^{\,n^{3/2+\varepsilon}}21​δn3/2+ε for large nnn.
  • p. 34: conditioned on its degree sequence being ddd, the β-model graph is uniform on graphs with degree sequence ddd.

The proof also uses three results posed in sibling missions of this series: Proposition 1.2 (mission 4, the interior of F\mathcal FF), Lemma 4.1 (mission 3, existence and boundedness of the MLE) and Theorem 1.5 (mission 1, geometric convergence of the iteration x↦φ(x)x\mapsto\varphi(x)x↦φ(x)). They are not restated here.

Significance

The theorem turns questions about a uniformly random graph with given degrees, a law with no independence, into questions about an explicit graphon. Every subgraph density, the limiting degree distribution, and every graph parameter continuous for the graph-limit topology of the uniform model is computed from WWW. The function ggg solves a continuum version of the β-model maximum-likelihood equations, which connects the combinatorial model with exponential-family statistics.

The result is proved in the paper, which is published in the Annals of Applied Probability (2011). To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it requires a Lean development of dense graph limits (homomorphism densities, graphon densities, graph-limit convergence), none of which exists in Mathlib. It also requires a bounded-differences concentration inequality, and a transfer argument from independent-edge models to models conditioned on degrees. Each of these is reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The uniform measure on graphs with a fixed degree sequence has no independence, so concentration inequalities do not apply to it directly. The obvious route is to condition an independent-edge model on its degree sequence. This works only if the probability of the conditioning event is larger than the concentration bound, which is e−cn2e^{-cn^2}e−cn2. A crude lower bound of δ(n2)\delta^{\binom n2}δ(2n​) is too small. Lemma 6.2 supplies δn3/2+ε\delta^{n^{3/2+\varepsilon}}δn3/2+ε, and it needs a combinatorial completion step (Claim 6.3).

The second difficulty is analytic. The maximum-likelihood parameters βn\beta^nβn for different nnn live in different dimensions. One must show that their step-function profiles converge in L1L^1L1 to a limit ggg and that this ggg solves the continuum equation at every point of [0,1][0,1][0,1], not only almost everywhere. Several steps of the paper's argument are only sketched. Among them are the almost-sure convergence of the β-model graphs to WWW and the estimate fn(x)=d⌈nx⌉n/n+O(1/n)f_n(x)=d^n_{\lceil nx\rceil}/n+O(1/n)fn​(x)=d⌈nx⌉n​/n+O(1/n) (pp. 33–34).

Formalization scope

  • Vertices are Fin n (the paper's vertex iii is i−1i-1i−1), graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n), and a test graph HHH is a SimpleGraph (Fin k), which loses nothing because densities are invariant under relabelling.
  • Functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] are ℝ → ℝ, and only their values on [0,1][0,1][0,1] matter. Uniqueness of ggg is equality on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • t(H,W)t(H,W)t(H,W) takes one factor per unordered edge, and the integral is the Lebesgue integral over [0,1]k[0,1]^k[0,1]k.
  • Laws on graphs are finite sums of Dirac masses. The σ-algebra on SimpleGraph (Fin n) is discrete.
  • The interior of F\mathcal FF is taken in D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] for ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, as the ball form "every h∈D′[0,1]h\in D'[0,1]h∈D′[0,1] with ∥h−f∥1′<ε\|h-f\|_{1'}<\varepsilon∥h−f∥1′​<ε lies in F\mathcal FF".
  • The paper does not say how the GnG_nGn​ for different nnn are coupled. The goal quantifies over every probability space and every family of measurable GnG_nGn​ with the uniform marginals, so the almost-sure convergence holds for every joint law. The almost-sure event contains "for every HHH".
  • Lemma 6.2's printed bound 12exp⁡(−log⁡(δ)n3/2+ε)\tfrac12\exp(-\log(\delta)n^{3/2+\varepsilon})21​exp(−log(δ)n3/2+ε) exceeds 111. The milestone states the intended bound 12exp⁡(log⁡(δ)n3/2+ε)\tfrac12\exp(\log(\delta)n^{3/2+\varepsilon})21​exp(log(δ)n3/2+ε), with NNN depending only on (δ,ε)(\delta,\varepsilon)(δ,ε).
  • Constants are explicit quantifiers. In Lemma 6.1, C>0C>0C>0 is chosen from HHH before nnn, ppp and ε\varepsilonε.

A formalization that replaces almost-sure convergence by convergence in expectation or in probability, that fixes a single coupling, or that asserts the existence of ggg only almost everywhere states a weaker theorem and does not close this mission.

Welcome contributions include a general graph-limit library (densities, convergence, the counting lemma), McDiarmid's bounded-differences inequality for finitely many independent Bernoulli variables, the Gale–Ryser theorem in the form needed by Claim 6.3, and proofs of the milestones.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis, A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4), 1400–1435, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.1136v5
  • L. Lovász, B. Szegedy, Limits of dense graph sequences, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 96, 933–957, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2006.05.002
  • C. Borgs, J. Chayes, L. Lovász, V. Sós, K. Vesztergombi, Convergent sequences of dense graphs I, Adv. Math. 219, 1801–1851, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aim.2008.07.008
  • J. Blitzstein, P. Diaconis, A sequential importance sampling algorithm for generating random graphs with prescribed degrees, Internet Math. 6(4), 489–522, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427951.2010.557277
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 2: The Closure of the β-Model Expected Degree Sequences Equals the Convex Hull of All Degree SequencesResearch Paper

Motivation

A degree sequence records how many neighbours each vertex of a graph has. In network statistics it is often the only summary of a graph that is observed or trusted, and the natural probability models for graphs in which "the degree sequence captures the information" are exponential families whose sufficient statistic is the degree sequence. Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly (arXiv:1005.1136, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2011) call the resulting model the β-model and study its maximum likelihood theory and its use for sampling random graphs with a prescribed degree sequence.

For any exponential family, the first question about estimation is which values of the sufficient statistic can be matched by a parameter: the maximum likelihood equations say exactly "the expected statistic equals the observed one". Theorem 1.4 of the paper answers this for the β-model. Up to taking a closure, the expected degree sequences of the β-model fill the whole convex hull of the degree sequences. The paper notes that the result can also be derived from classical results on the mean space of exponential families (Barndorff-Nielsen 1978; Brown 1986; Wainwright and Jordan 2008, Theorem 3.3), and gives a self-contained proof in §3. Lemma 4.1 of the same paper uses Theorem 1.4 to show that the maximum likelihood estimator exists.

Setting

Fix n≥0n\ge 0n≥0 and the vertex set {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}. A graph GGG is undirected and simple: no loops and no multiple edges. Its degree sequence is d(G)=(d1,…,dn)∈Rnd(G)=(d_1,\dots,d_n)\in\mathbb R^nd(G)=(d1​,…,dn​)∈Rn, and

D={d(G): G a simple graph on n vertices}\mathcal D=\{d(G):\ G\text{ a simple graph on }n\text{ vertices}\}D={d(G): G a simple graph on n vertices}

is the finite set of all degree sequences. Its convex hull conv⁡(D)\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)conv(D) is a polytope in Rn\mathbb R^nRn.

For β∈Rn\beta\in\mathbb R^nβ∈Rn, the β-model Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is the law of the random graph in which each pair {i,j}\{i,j\}{i,j}, i≠ji\neq ji=j, is an edge with probability

pij=eβi+βj1+eβi+βj,p_{ij}=\frac{e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}{1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}},pij​=1+eβi​+βj​eβi​+βj​​,

independently of all other pairs. The expected degree sequences form the set

R={(Eβ[d1],…,Eβ[dn]): β∈Rn}.\mathcal R=\big\{\big(\mathbb E_\beta[d_1],\dots,\mathbb E_\beta[d_n]\big):\ \beta\in\mathbb R^n\big\}.R={(Eβ​[d1​],…,Eβ​[dn​]): β∈Rn}.

Two functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn appear in the proof. The first is g=(g1,…,gn)g=(g_1,\dots,g_n)g=(g1​,…,gn​) with

gi(x)=∑j≠iexi+xj1+exi+xj.g_i(x)=\sum_{j\neq i}\frac{e^{x_i+x_j}}{1+e^{x_i+x_j}}.gi​(x)=j=i∑​1+exi​+xj​exi​+xj​​.

The second is, for each y∈Rny\in\mathbb R^ny∈Rn,

fy(x)=∑i=1nxiyi−log⁡∏1≤i<j≤n(1+exi+xj).f_y(x)=\sum_{i=1}^n x_iy_i-\log\prod_{1\le i<j\le n}\big(1+e^{x_i+x_j}\big).fy​(x)=i=1∑n​xi​yi​−log1≤i<j≤n∏​(1+exi​+xj​).

The Lean development names these objects betaModel, D, R, g and fy in the namespace GivenDegreeSeq.MeanPolytope.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.4 (p. 8)

conv⁡(D)=R‾for every n.\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)=\overline{\mathcal R}\qquad\text{for every }n.conv(D)=Rfor every n.

The statement fixes no constants. The closure cannot be dropped: for n≥2n\ge2n≥2 the degree sequence 000 of the empty graph lies in D\mathcal DD but not in R\mathcal RR, because every expected degree is positive.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. The probability formula (p. 6): Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is a probability measure, and
Pβ({G})=e∑iβidi∏i<j(1+eβi+βj).\mathbb P_\beta(\{G\})=\frac{e^{\sum_i\beta_id_i}}{\prod_{i<j}(1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j})}.Pβ​({G})=∏i<j​(1+eβi​+βj​)e∑i​βi​di​​.
  1. Expected degrees (p. 15): Ex[di]=gi(x)\mathbb E_x[d_i]=g_i(x)Ex​[di​]=gi​(x), so R=g(Rn)\mathcal R=g(\mathbb R^n)R=g(Rn).
  2. The easy inclusion (p. 15): R‾⊆conv⁡(D)\overline{\mathcal R}\subseteq\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)R⊆conv(D).
  3. A uniform bound (p. 16): fy(x)≤0f_y(x)\le 0fy​(x)≤0 for all y∈conv⁡(D)y\in\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)y∈conv(D) and x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn.
  4. Smoothness (p. 16): fyf_yfy​ is twice differentiable and ∇2fy\nabla^2 f_y∇2fy​ is uniformly bounded.
  5. Lemma 3.1 (pp. 14–15): if fff is twice differentiable, M=sup⁡f<∞M=\sup f<\inftyM=supf<∞ and ∥∇2f∥op≤C\|\nabla^2 f\|_{\mathrm{op}}\le C∥∇2f∥op​≤C, then
∣∇f(x)∣2≤2C(M−f(x)),|\nabla f(x)|^2\le 2C\big(M-f(x)\big),∣∇f(x)∣2≤2C(M−f(x)),

and ∇f(xk)→0\nabla f(x_k)\to0∇f(xk​)→0 along some sequence. 7. The gradient (p. 16): ∇fy(x)=y−g(x)\nabla f_y(x)=y-g(x)∇fy​(x)=y−g(x).

Significance

The theorem describes the mean space of the β-model. Its interior contains every degree sequence that lies strictly inside the polytope, and for these sequences maximum likelihood estimation is well posed. The paper's consistency result (Theorem 1.3) and the existence part of Lemma 4.1 start from this description. The polytope conv⁡(D)\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)conv(D) is studied in its own right; its extreme points are the degree sequences of threshold graphs (Mahadev and Peled 1995).

Theorem 1.4 is proved, and as far as this mission's authors know it is not machine-checked anywhere. Formalizing it means turning the paper's short proof into a complete argument. That includes the steps the page dismisses as easy: the exponential-family formula for the independent-edge law, the expectation computation, the Hessian bound for fyf_yfy​, and the passage from a sequence of approximate critical points to the closure. Lemma 3.1, a descent-type gradient bound for a function bounded above, is a general fact of real analysis and is independent of graphs.

Difficulty

The inclusion R‾⊆conv⁡(D)\overline{\mathcal R}\subseteq\operatorname{conv}(\mathcal D)R⊆conv(D) is direct: an expectation is an average. The reverse inclusion is the content. For yyy in the interior of the polytope, one would like to find xxx with g(x)=yg(x)=yg(x)=y by maximizing the concave function fyf_yfy​. For yyy on the boundary of the polytope, however, fyf_yfy​ need not attain its supremum. So the argument cannot rely on the existence of a maximizer, and it has to produce points xkx_kxk​ with g(xk)→yg(x_k)\to yg(xk​)→y without ever solving g(x)=yg(x)=yg(x)=y. Compactness arguments on β\betaβ fail for the same reason: the relevant sequences xkx_kxk​ are unbounded.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs and measure. Vertices are Fin n, so the paper's vertex iii is the index i−1i-1i−1. Graphs are SimpleGraph (Fin n), a finite type. Its σ-algebra is Mathlib's SimpleGraph.instMeasurableSpace, under which every set of graphs on Fin n is measurable.
  • The law and its expectations. Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is the finite sum of Dirac masses weighted by the independent-edge product over pairs i<ji<ji<j. R\mathcal RR is defined through Bochner expectations under Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​, not as the range of ggg. Defining R\mathcal RR as g(Rn)g(\mathbb R^n)g(Rn) would erase the link to the probability model and is ruled out.
  • Vector spaces. D\mathcal DD and R\mathcal RR are subsets of Fin n → ℝ, whose product topology is the Euclidean topology, so the closure is unambiguous. Gradients and Hessians are taken on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). There "twice differentiable" means that fff and its Fréchet derivative are differentiable, and the Hessian norm is the norm of the second Fréchet derivative, which equals the L2L^2L2 operator norm of the Hessian matrix.
  • No size hypothesis. The goal holds for every nnn; for n≤1n\le1n≤1 both sides are {0}\{0\}{0}.
  • Readings of the page.
    • On p. 15 the paper prints log⁡∑1≤i<j≤n(1+exi+xj)\log\sum_{1\le i<j\le n}(1+e^{x_i+x_j})log∑1≤i<j≤n​(1+exi​+xj​) in fyf_yfy​. The formalization uses log⁡∏\log\prodlog∏, the only reading under which "taking logs, we get fd(x)≤0f_d(x)\le0fd​(x)≤0" and ∇fy=y−g\nabla f_y=y-g∇fy​=y−g hold. The milestone text keeps the printed version.
    • The "Lemma 11" of p. 16 is Lemma 3.1.
    • The probability-measure property of Pβ\mathbb P_\betaPβ​ is stated as a conjunct of milestone 1.
    • The differentiability of fyf_yfy​ is stated alongside the Hessian bound in milestone 5.

Contributions of any milestone are welcome. Lemma 3.1 and the gradient identity are self-contained calculus. The probability formula and the expected-degree identity are finite computations on graphs.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis, A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4) (2011), 1400–1435. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.1136 (v5), https://doi.org/10.1214/10-AAP728
  • O. Barndorff-Nielsen, Information and Exponential Families in Statistical Theory, Wiley, Chichester, 1978. MR0489333, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=0489333
  • L. D. Brown, Fundamentals of Statistical Exponential Families with Applications in Statistical Decision Theory, IMS Lecture Notes–Monograph Series 9, 1986. MR0882001, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=0882001
  • M. J. Wainwright, M. I. Jordan, Graphical models, exponential families, and variational inference, Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 1 (2008), 1–305. https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000001
  • N. V. R. Mahadev, U. N. Peled, Threshold Graphs and Related Topics, Ann. Discrete Math. 56, North-Holland, 1995. MR1417258, https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1417258
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CombinatoricsLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Branch-and-Cut-and-Price for the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem: The Integer Points of P1 ∩ P2 Are Exactly the CVRP Solutions, and the Dantzig–Wolfe Master Describes P1 ∩ P2Research Paper

Motivation

The capacitated vehicle routing problem (CVRP) asks for KKK delivery routes from a depot that serve every client exactly once without exceeding a vehicle capacity, at minimum total length. It was introduced by Dantzig and Ramser in 1959 and is the reference problem of the vehicle routing literature: most exact methods for richer routing models (time windows, heterogeneous fleets, split deliveries) are first developed and benchmarked on it.

Exact CVRP algorithms are driven by the lower bound of a linear relaxation. Two families dominated before 2005. Branch-and-cut works with the edge variables xex_exe​ and the rounded capacity inequalities (Lysgaard, Letchford and Eglese 2004, among others); its bound degrades as the number of vehicles grows. Lagrangean and column-generation methods work with q-routes, walks from the depot of bounded total demand that may revisit clients (Christofides, Mingozzi and Toth 1981). Fukasawa, Longo, Lysgaard, Poggi de Aragão, Reis, Uchoa and Werneck combine the two in one linear program over the intersection of the two polytopes, priced by column generation with every cut written on the edge variables. According to the abstract, the resulting branch-and-cut-and-price solves to optimality all instances from the literature with up to 135 vertices. The design is called robust because cuts are written on the edge variables xxx and therefore never change the structure of the pricing problem.

This mission formalizes the formulation itself (§2 of the paper) and the two exact facts of its column generation (§3.1).

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be an undirected graph on V={0,1,…,n}V=\{0,1,\dots,n\}V={0,1,…,n}. Vertex 000 is the depot; V+={1,…,n}V_+=\{1,\dots,n\}V+​={1,…,n} are the clients, client iii having a positive demand did_idi​. Each edge has a length ℓe\ell_eℓe​. There are KKK vehicles of capacity CCC, both positive integers.

A list of clients r=(r1,…,rm)r=(r_1,\dots,r_m)r=(r1​,…,rm​) describes the closed walk 0→r1→⋯→rm→00\to r_1\to\cdots\to r_m\to 00→r1​→⋯→rm​→0. Its edge incidence qe(r)q^e(r)qe(r) is the number of times the walk traverses eee (a one-client walk 0→j→00\to j\to 00→j→0 traverses {0,j}\{0,j\}{0,j} twice); its load is dr1+⋯+drmd_{r_1}+\cdots+d_{r_m}dr1​​+⋯+drm​​, with repetitions.

  • A CVRP route visits pairwise distinct clients with load at most CCC; a CVRP solution is a family R=(R1,…,RK)R=(R_1,\dots,R_K)R=(R1​,…,RK​) of routes visiting every client exactly once. Its edge vector is χ(R)e=∑kqe(Rk)\chi(R)_e=\sum_kq^e(R_k)χ(R)e​=∑k​qe(Rk​).
  • A q-route without 2-cycles is a walk of load at most CCC that may revisit clients but contains no subpath i→j→ii\to j\to ii→j→i with i≠0i\ne 0i=0.

For S⊆VS\subseteq VS⊆V, δ(S)\delta(S)δ(S) is the set of edges with one end in SSS, x(δ(S))=∑e∈δ(S)xex(\delta(S))=\sum_{e\in\delta(S)}x_ex(δ(S))=∑e∈δ(S)​xe​, and k(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉k(S)=\lceil d(S)/C\rceilk(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉. The paper's constraints on x∈REx\in\mathbb R^{E}x∈RE and on weights λj≥0\lambda_j\ge 0λj​≥0 of the q-routes jjj are

x(δ({i}))=2  (i∈V+)  (1),x(δ({0}))=2K  (2),x(δ(S))≥2k(S)  (S⊆V+)  (3),xe≤1  (e∈E∖δ({0}))  (4),∑jqjeλj=xe  (e∈E)  (5),∑jλj=K  (6).\begin{aligned} &x(\delta(\{i\}))=2\ \ (i\in V_+)\ \ (1), && x(\delta(\{0\}))=2K\ \ (2), && x(\delta(S))\ge 2k(S)\ \ (S\subseteq V_+)\ \ (3),\\ &x_e\le 1\ \ (e\in E\setminus\delta(\{0\}))\ \ (4), && \textstyle\sum_jq^e_j\lambda_j=x_e\ \ (e\in E)\ \ (5), && \textstyle\sum_j\lambda_j=K\ \ (6). \end{aligned}​x(δ({i}))=2  (i∈V+​)  (1),xe​≤1  (e∈E∖δ({0}))  (4),​​x(δ({0}))=2K  (2),∑j​qje​λj​=xe​  (e∈E)  (5),​​x(δ(S))≥2k(S)  (S⊆V+​)  (3),∑j​λj​=K  (6).​

P1P_1P1​ is {x≥0:(1)–(4)}\{x\ge0:(1)\text{–}(4)\}{x≥0:(1)–(4)}; P2P_2P2​ is the set of x≥0x\ge 0x≥0 satisfying (1) together with some λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 satisfying (5), (6); the Explicit Master P3P_3P3​ is the projection onto xxx of the system (1)–(6) with one λ\lambdaλ. The Dantzig–Wolfe Master (DWM) is the LP in λ\lambdaλ alone obtained by substituting (5) into (1)–(4), giving the rows (8)–(11), with objective (7) ∑j∑eℓeqjeλj\sum_j\sum_e\ell_eq^e_j\lambda_j∑j​∑e​ℓe​qje​λj​. The bounds are Li=min⁡x∈Piℓ⊤xL_i=\min_{x\in P_i}\ell^\top xLi​=minx∈Pi​​ℓ⊤x.

Formalization targets

Goal: the formulation theorem

For a loop-free graph with positive demands and capacity, and arbitrary lengths:

x∈P3∩ZE  ⟺  x=χ(R) for a CVRP solution R,P3={Qλ:λ DWM-feasible},L1, L2 ≤ L3 ≤ OPT,x\in P_3\cap\mathbb Z^{E}\iff x=\chi(R)\ \text{for a CVRP solution }R, \qquad P_3=\{Q\lambda:\lambda\ \text{DWM-feasible}\}, \qquad L_1,\,L_2\ \le\ L_3\ \le\ \mathrm{OPT},x∈P3​∩ZE⟺x=χ(R) for a CVRP solution R,P3​={Qλ:λ DWM-feasible},L1​,L2​ ≤ L3​ ≤ OPT,

with (7) equal to ℓ⊤Qλ\ell^\top Q\lambdaℓ⊤Qλ. The bounds are stated in lower-bound form: every lower bound of ℓ⊤x\ell^\top xℓ⊤x over P1P_1P1​ or P2P_2P2​ is one over P3P_3P3​, and every lower bound over P3P_3P3​ is at most the cost of every solution.

Milestones

  1. P3=P1∩P2P_3=P_1\cap P_2P3​=P1​∩P2​ (p. 5).
  2. Every CVRP route is a q-route without 2-cycles (p. 2).
  3. Validity of (1)–(4): χ(R)∈P1\chi(R)\in P_1χ(R)∈P1​, with ℓ⊤χ(R)\ell^\top\chi(R)ℓ⊤χ(R) the cost of RRR (p. 4).
  4. Validity of (5)–(6): χ(R)∈P2\chi(R)\in P_2χ(R)∈P2​, with the routes of RRR as columns (p. 4).
  5. Every integer point of P1P_1P1​ is χ(R)\chi(R)χ(R) for a solution RRR (p. 4).
  6. Constraint (6) is implied by (2) and (5) (p. 5).
  7. The DWM (8)–(11) is (1)–(4) on x=Qλx=Q\lambdax=Qλ (p. 5).
  8. A generic cut ∑eaexe≥b\sum_ea_ex_e\ge b∑e​ae​xe​≥b becomes ∑j(∑eaeqje)λj≥b\sum_j(\sum_ea_eq^e_j)\lambda_j\ge b∑j​(∑e​ae​qje​)λj​≥b (p. 5).
  9. Every integer point of P2P_2P2​ is χ(R)\chi(R)χ(R) for a solution RRR (p. 4).
  10. The reduced cost of a column is ∑ecˉeqe\sum_e\bar c_eq^e∑e​cˉe​qe (§3.1, p. 6).
  11. Scaling: a q-route for demands ⌈dv/g⌉\lceil d_v/g\rceil⌈dv​/g⌉ and capacity ⌊C/g⌋\lfloor C/g\rfloor⌊C/g⌋ is a q-route for (d,C)(d,C)(d,C) (§3.1, p. 7).

Significance

The formulation theorem is what makes the algorithm exact: integer points of P3P_3P3​ are solutions, so branching on xxx terminates at an optimum, and P3P_3P3​ is a relaxation, so L3L_3L3​ is a valid bound that dominates both classical bounds. The DWM description is what makes it computable: P3P_3P3​ is optimized by column generation over q-routes, and milestones 8 and 10 show that any cut on xxx can be added without changing the pricing problem, which remains a shortest q-route problem with edge costs cˉe\bar c_ecˉe​.

The paper proves none of these claims formally; most are stated in a sentence, and milestone 9 is stated with "It can be shown" and no proof. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formal development produces a library of walks, edge incidences, cut values and column families on a general graph that later missions on branch-cut-and-price (subset-row cuts, ng-routes, other routing variants) can import.

Difficulty

Most items are linear-algebra bookkeeping on finite sums, but they require a working theory of walks: edge incidences along a closed walk, the cut value of an incidence vector, and the fact that a walk from the depot crosses every client set an even number of times. The integrality statements (milestones 5 and 9 and goal part 1) are the hard part: an integer vector satisfying degree constraints need not come from routes through the depot, and the statements must exclude every other structure. For P2P_2P2​ there are no capacity cuts at all, so the capacity of the routes must be recovered from the columns, and the paper states this case without proof. The obvious reduction "an integer point of P2P_2P2​ is an integer combination of q-routes" fails: λ\lambdaλ may be fractional even when xxx is integral.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin (n+1) with depot 0; edges are Sym2 (Fin (n+1)); the graph is an edge set E assumed loop-free where needed. Edge vectors are functions on all unordered pairs that vanish off E, which encodes x∈R∣E∣x\in\mathbb R^{|E|}x∈R∣E∣. Demands ddd, KKK and CCC are natural numbers; positive demands, K>0K>0K>0 and C>0C>0C>0 (the paper's standing assumptions, p. 1) are carried by the integrality statements and the goal, while ℓ≥0\ell\ge0ℓ≥0 is used by no statement and is omitted. Loads count repeated visits. The cut value x(δ(S))x(\delta(S))x(δ(S)), the demand d(S)d(S)d(S) and k(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉k(S)=\lceil d(S)/C\rceilk(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉ are the published definitions LysgaardCVRP.Shrink.cut, .demand and .roundedCapacityBound. The matrix QQQ is replaced by finitely supported weights on client lists ranging over all q-routes without 2-cycles. L1,L2,L3L_1,L_2,L_3L1​,L2​,L3​ and OPT are never real infima, since P3P_3P3​ is empty for infeasible instances.

Three trivializations are ruled out by construction: P3P_3P3​ is defined from the Explicit Master display, not as P1∩P2P_1\cap P_2P1​∩P2​; a CVRP solution is defined by its routes, not as an integer point of a polytope; and the columns are not a fixed finite list, which would turn P2P_2P2​ into a restricted master.

The strictness of "CVRP routes ⊊\subsetneq⊊ q-routes" (p. 2) depends on the instance and is not stated. Contributions of reusable lemmas on walks and cut values of incidence vectors are welcome, as are proofs of any milestone.

Selected references

  • R. Fukasawa, H. Longo, J. Lysgaard, M. Poggi de Aragão, M. Reis, E. Uchoa and R. F. Werneck, Robust branch-and-cut-and-price for the capacitated vehicle routing problem, Mathematical Programming 106 (2006); accepted manuscript. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0644-x
  • N. Christofides, A. Mingozzi and P. Toth, Exact algorithms for the vehicle routing problem, based on spanning tree and shortest path relaxations, Mathematical Programming 20 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01589353
  • J. Lysgaard, A. N. Letchford and R. W. Eglese, A new branch-and-cut algorithm for the capacitated vehicle routing problem, Mathematical Programming 100 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0481-8
  • G. B. Dantzig and J. H. Ramser, The truck dispatching problem, Management Science 6 (1959). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.80
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AnalysisProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Phase Transition of the Largest Eigenvalue for Nonnull Complex Sample Covariance Matrices 1: Spikes at or below 1+γ⁻¹ Give M^{2/3} Fluctuations of the Largest Eigenvalue with Limit F_kResearch Paper

Motivation

Sample covariance matrices are the basic object of multivariate statistics: principal component analysis, factor models and signal detection all start from the eigenvalues of S=1M∑k=1My⃗ky⃗k ∗S=\frac1M\sum_{k=1}^M\vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k=1M​y​k​y​k∗​ built from MMM observations of NNN variables. When NNN is comparable to MMM, the largest eigenvalue λ1\lambda_1λ1​ of SSS is no longer a consistent estimate of the largest population eigenvalue, and the question of when a "spike" in the population covariance is visible in λ1\lambda_1λ1​ becomes a question about the law of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ at large M,NM,NM,N.

Timeline.

  • 2000–2001: for null covariance Σ=I\Sigma=IΣ=I, Johansson (complex samples, arXiv:math/9903134) and Johnstone (real samples, doi:10.1214/aos/1009210544) showed that λ1\lambda_1λ1​, centred at (1+γ−1)2(1+\gamma^{-1})^2(1+γ−1)2 and scaled by M2/3M^{2/3}M2/3, converges to a Tracy–Widom law.
  • 2003: Péché (reference [31] of the 2005 paper) showed that finitely many population eigenvalues below 222 (at M=NM=NM=N) leave this limit unchanged.
  • 2005: Baik, Ben Arous and Péché (doi:10.1214/009117905000000233), for complex Gaussian samples, located the threshold exactly at 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1 and identified the limit laws on both sides and at the threshold. This transition is now called the BBP phase transition.

This mission formalizes the critical and subcritical side of that transition, Theorem 1.1(a) of the 2005 paper.

Setting

Let g=a+ibg=a+ibg=a+ib with a,ba,ba,b independent real normal variables of mean 000 and variance 1/21/21/2: a standard complex Gaussian. Let G=(gkj)G=(g_{kj})G=(gkj​), 1≤k≤M1\le k\le M1≤k≤M, 1≤j≤N1\le j\le N1≤j≤N, be i.i.d. standard complex Gaussians. Fix an N×NN\times NN×N unitary matrix UUU and positive reals ℓ1,…,ℓN\ell_1,\dots,\ell_Nℓ1​,…,ℓN​, the population eigenvalues, and put Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma=U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗. The samples are y⃗k=U diag(ℓj) g⃗k\vec y_k=U\,\mathrm{diag}(\sqrt{\ell_j})\,\vec g_ky​k​=Udiag(ℓj​​)g​k​, mean-zero complex Gaussian vectors with covariance Σ\SigmaΣ. The sample covariance matrix is S=1M∑ky⃗ky⃗k ∗S=\frac1M\sum_k\vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k​y​k​y​k∗​ and λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is its largest eigenvalue. Write γ=M/N≥1\gamma=\sqrt{M/N}\ge1γ=M/N​≥1.

The limit laws are built from the Airy function Ai(u)=12π∫eiua+ia3/3 da\mathrm{Ai}(u)=\frac1{2\pi}\int e^{iua+ia^3/3}\,daAi(u)=2π1​∫eiua+ia3/3da, integrated along a contour from ∞e5iπ/6\infty e^{5i\pi/6}∞e5iπ/6 to ∞eiπ/6\infty e^{i\pi/6}∞eiπ/6, and the Airy kernel

A(u,v)=∫0∞Ai(u+z) Ai(z+v) dz.A(u,v)=\int_0^\infty\mathrm{Ai}(u+z)\,\mathrm{Ai}(z+v)\,dz .A(u,v)=∫0∞​Ai(u+z)Ai(z+v)dz.

For m≥1m\ge1m≥1, s(m)(u)=12π∫eiua+ia3/3(ia)−m das^{(m)}(u)=\frac1{2\pi}\int e^{iua+ia^3/3}(ia)^{-m}\,das(m)(u)=2π1​∫eiua+ia3/3(ia)−mda (with the pole a=0a=0a=0 above the contour) and t(m)(v)=12π∫eiva+ia3/3(−ia)m−1 dat^{(m)}(v)=\frac1{2\pi}\int e^{iva+ia^3/3}(-ia)^{m-1}\,dat(m)(v)=2π1​∫eiva+ia3/3(−ia)m−1da. The Fredholm determinant of a kernel KKK on L2((x,∞))L^2((x,\infty))L2((x,∞)) is its Fredholm series

det⁡(1−K)=∑n≥0(−1)nn!∫(x,∞)ndet⁡[K(ui,uj)]i,j=1n du,\det(1-K)=\sum_{n\ge0}\frac{(-1)^n}{n!}\int_{(x,\infty)^n}\det[K(u_i,u_j)]_{i,j=1}^n\,du ,det(1−K)=n≥0∑​n!(−1)n​∫(x,∞)n​det[K(ui​,uj​)]i,j=1n​du,

and

Fk(x)=det⁡(1−A−∑m=1ks(m)⊗t(m))L2((x,∞)).F_k(x)=\det\Big(1-A-\sum_{m=1}^k s^{(m)}\otimes t^{(m)}\Big)_{L^2((x,\infty))}.Fk​(x)=det(1−A−m=1∑k​s(m)⊗t(m))L2((x,∞))​.

F0F_0F0​ is the GUE Tracy–Widom distribution and F1=FGOE2F_1=F_{\rm GOE}^2F1​=FGOE2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1(a)

Fix integers 0≤k≤r0\le k\le r0≤k≤r. Let M,N→∞M,N\to\inftyM,N→∞ with γ∈[1,γ0]\gamma\in[1,\gamma_0]γ∈[1,γ0​], and suppose ℓr+1=⋯=ℓN=1\ell_{r+1}=\dots=\ell_N=1ℓr+1​=⋯=ℓN​=1, ℓ1=⋯=ℓk=1+γ−1\ell_1=\dots=\ell_k=1+\gamma^{-1}ℓ1​=⋯=ℓk​=1+γ−1 and ℓk+1,…,ℓr\ell_{k+1},\dots,\ell_rℓk+1​,…,ℓr​ stay in a compact subset of (0,1+γ−1)(0,1+\gamma^{-1})(0,1+γ−1). Then for every real xxx,

P((λ1−(1+γ−1)2)γ(1+γ)4/3M2/3≤x)→Fk(x).\mathbb P\Big(\big(\lambda_1-(1+\gamma^{-1})^2\big)\frac{\gamma}{(1+\gamma)^{4/3}}M^{2/3}\le x\Big)\to F_k(x).P((λ1​−(1+γ−1)2)(1+γ)4/3γ​M2/3≤x)→Fk​(x).

The goal leaves UUU arbitrary and allows γ\gammaγ to vary inside [1,γ0][1,\gamma_0][1,γ0​] along the sequence. A companion item states Corollary 1.1(a): λ1−(1+γ−1)2→0\lambda_1-(1+\gamma^{-1})^2\to0λ1​−(1+γ−1)2→0 in probability.

Milestones

  1. The Airy equation and the identity of the two forms (11), (12) of the Airy kernel.
  2. Lemma 3.3: FkF_kFk​ is well defined, and s(m)s^{(m)}s(m) has the closed form (203).
  3. The eigenvalue density (61) and Andréief's identity (65).
  4. Hankel's formula (75).
  5. Proposition 2.1: the exact identity P(λ1≤ξ)=det⁡(1−KM,N)L2((ξ,∞))\mathbb P(\lambda_1\le\xi)=\det(1-K_{M,N})_{L^2((\xi,\infty))}P(λ1​≤ξ)=det(1−KM,N​)L2((ξ,∞))​ for a double contour integral kernel.
  6. The double critical point (109), (111) of the phase function f(z)=−μ(z−q)+log⁡z−γ−2log⁡(1−z)f(z)=-\mu(z-q)+\log z-\gamma^{-2}\log(1-z)f(z)=−μ(z−q)+logz−γ−2log(1−z).
  7. The descent Lemmas 3.1 and 3.2 along explicit contour pieces.
  8. Proposition 3.1: convergence of the rescaled contour integrals H,J\mathcal H,\mathcal JH,J at rate M−1/3M^{-1/3}M−1/3 with exponential tails.
  9. The kernel identity (200).

Significance

Theorem 1.1(a) shows that 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1 is the exact threshold. Spikes strictly below it do not change the Tracy–Widom limit of λ1\lambda_1λ1​. kkk spikes exactly at it produce a new family of limit laws FkF_kFk​ on the same M2/3M^{2/3}M2/3 scale. Together with part (b), where λ1\lambda_1λ1​ separates and fluctuates on the scale M−1/2M^{-1/2}M−1/2, it gives the first complete description of the transition. It is the reference point for spiked-model results on detection limits in PCA, for the real case (Bloemendal–Virág, Mo) and for finite-rank perturbations of Wigner matrices (Péché, Féral–Péché).

The paper's proof is complete and has been in the literature since 2005. No part of it is machine-checked. The mission produces:

  • a formal statement of the theorem;
  • formal definitions of the Airy function by its contour integral, of the Airy kernel and of Fredholm determinants as Fredholm series;
  • the exact finite-NNN determinantal formula of Proposition 2.1;
  • the uniform steepest-descent estimates;
  • formal statements of the classical identities used along the way (Andréief, Hankel).

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to compute the law of λ1\lambda_1λ1​ from the eigenvalue density, which is explicit (61). It fails because the density is an NNN-fold integral whose integrand is a signed determinant, so no direct limit exists. The paper converts it into a Fredholm determinant of a double contour integral kernel. Two steps then carry the difficulty.

First, the steepest-descent analysis. With kkk spikes at 1+γ−11+\gamma^{-1}1+γ−1, the poles of the integrand sit exactly at the double critical point pc=γ/(γ+1)p_c=\gamma/(\gamma+1)pc​=γ/(γ+1) of the phase function. The contour cannot pass through the critical point and must enclose these poles, so it has to be routed at distance of order M−1/3M^{-1/3}M−1/3 to the left of pcp_cpc​. All estimates must be uniform in γ\gammaγ and in the remaining spikes.

Second, the passage from kernel convergence to convergence of Fredholm determinants. It needs bounds strong enough to control every term of the Fredholm series, which is what the exponential tails in Proposition 3.1 provide. The functions s(m)s^{(m)}s(m) grow polynomially, so even the finiteness of FkF_kFk​ (Lemma 3.3) needs an argument.

Formalization scope

Lean encoding:

  • Samples are mean-zero with E y⃗y⃗ ∗=Σ\mathbb E\,\vec y\vec y^{\,*}=\SigmaEy​y​∗=Σ, S=1M∑ky⃗ky⃗k ∗S=\frac1M\sum_k\vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}S=M1​∑k​y​k​y​k∗​, and there is no centring by the sample mean. This is the model of the paper's (59) and Proposition 2.1. The printed text on p. 1645 differs in three slips.
  • Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma=U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗ ranges over every unitary UUU.
  • λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is the largest eigenvalue of the Hermitian matrix SSS.
  • The asymptotic regime is written with sequences Mn,NnM_n,N_nMn​,Nn​, Nn→∞N_n\to\inftyNn​→∞ and γn∈[1,γ0]\gamma_n\in[1,\gamma_0]γn​∈[1,γ0​]. "In a compact subset of (0,1+γ−1)(0,1+\gamma^{-1})(0,1+γ−1)" is read with a fixed margin ccc: c≤ℓj≤1+γn−1−cc\le\ell_j\le1+\gamma_n^{-1}-cc≤ℓj​≤1+γn−1​−c.
  • Indices are 000-based.
  • Exponents 2/32/32/3, 4/34/34/3, 1/31/31/3 are real powers of positive reals.
  • FkF_kFk​ is defined as the Fredholm series of the kernel A+∑ms(m)⊗t(m)A+\sum_m s^{(m)}\otimes t^{(m)}A+∑m​s(m)⊗t(m), the paper's (201). The paper proves that this equals its Definition 1.1.
  • Contour integrals are Bochner integrals along two-ray broken lines, where the integrands decay like e−t3/3e^{-t^3/3}e−t3/3. Closed contours are circles with real centres.

Trivializing formalizations ruled out:

  • The Airy kernel is defined by (12), never by the divided difference (11), whose diagonal would be the junk value 000.
  • Ai is never written as the real integral 1π∫0∞cos⁡(t3/3+ut) dt\frac1\pi\int_0^\infty\cos(t^3/3+ut)\,dtπ1​∫0∞​cos(t3/3+ut)dt, which is not Lebesgue integrable and would be 000.
  • A non-summable Fredholm series would be 000, so summability is a milestone.
  • The goal quantifies over every unitary UUU and every admissible sequence, so it does not specialize Σ\SigmaΣ. Its hypotheses are satisfiable, for example by Mn=NnM_n=N_nMn​=Nn​, ℓ≡1\ell\equiv1ℓ≡1, r=k=0r=k=0r=k=0.

Infrastructure needed and reusable:

  • the Airy function and its decay;
  • trace-class or Hadamard-bound control of Fredholm series;
  • the complex Wishart eigenvalue density, which needs the Harish-Chandra–Itzykson–Zuber integral;
  • Andréief's identity;
  • steepest-descent estimates for contour integrals.

The Fredholm-determinant layer and the Airy function are reusable in any Tracy–Widom result. Andréief's identity and Hankel's formula are reusable well beyond random matrices.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and lemmas that bound Fredholm series by Hadamard's inequality.

Selected references

  • J. Baik, G. Ben Arous, S. Péché, Phase transition of the largest eigenvalue for nonnull complex sample covariance matrices, Ann. Probab. 33(5) (2005), 1643–1697. https://doi.org/10.1214/009117905000000233
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209 (2000), 437–476. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/9903134
  • I. M. Johnstone, On the distribution of the largest eigenvalue in principal components analysis, Ann. Statist. 29 (2001), 295–327. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1009210544
  • C. A. Tracy, H. Widom, Level-spacing distributions and the Airy kernel, Comm. Math. Phys. 159 (1994), 151–174. https://arxiv.org/abs/hep-th/9211141
  • C. Andréief, Note sur une relation entre les intégrales définies des produits des fonctions, Mém. Soc. Sci. Phys. Nat. Bordeaux 2 (1883), 1–14.
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game TheoryLinear algebraOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games 1: Every Finite Game Decomposes Uniquely into Potential, Harmonic and Nonstrategic ComponentsResearch Paper

Motivation

Potential games (Monderer and Shapley, 1996) are the finite games whose incentives are captured by a single function on strategy profiles: every unilateral change of strategy changes the deviator's payoff by exactly the change of a common potential. They have pure Nash equilibria, and natural learning dynamics such as better-reply and fictitious play converge in them. Most games are not potential games, however, and before Candogan, Menache, Ozdaglar and Parrilo there was no canonical way to say how far a given game is from one, or what the remainder looks like.

Their paper (arXiv:1005.2405; Math. Oper. Res. 36(3), 2011) answers this by viewing a game as a flow on a graph. The payoff differences between profiles that differ in one player's strategy form an edge flow on the game graph, and the classical Helmholtz (Hodge) decomposition of edge flows into gradient, harmonic and curl parts (Jiang, Lim, Yao, Ye, 2011) pulls back to a decomposition of the game itself. Every finite game becomes the sum of a potential game, a harmonic game and a component that carries no strategic information. The decomposition is the basis for the rest of the paper (equilibria of harmonic games, projections onto potential games, approximate equilibria) and for later work on dynamics in near-potential games.

Setting

Fix a finite set of players M\mathcal MM and, for each player mmm, a finite nonempty strategy set EmE^mEm with hm=∣Em∣h_m = |E^m|hm​=∣Em∣ elements. A strategy profile is p=(pm)m∈E=∏mEmp = (p^m)_m \in E = \prod_m E^mp=(pm)m​∈E=∏m​Em, and p−mp^{-m}p−m denotes the strategies of the players other than mmm. A game is a family of utilities u=(um)mu = (u^m)_mu=(um)m​ with um:E→Ru^m : E \to \mathbb Rum:E→R, so the space of games is GM,E≅C0M\mathcal G_{\mathcal M,E} \cong C_0^{\mathcal M}GM,E​≅C0M​, where C0={E→R}C_0 = \{E \to \mathbb R\}C0​={E→R} with ⟨φ,ψ⟩0=∑pφ(p)ψ(p)\langle \varphi,\psi\rangle_0 = \sum_p \varphi(p)\psi(p)⟨φ,ψ⟩0​=∑p​φ(p)ψ(p).

Two profiles are mmm-comparable if they are distinct and differ only in player mmm's strategy. The game graph has the profiles as nodes and an edge between comparable profiles. An edge flow is a function X:E×E→RX : E\times E\to\mathbb RX:E×E→R that is antisymmetric on edges and zero off edges; the space C1C_1C1​ of edge flows carries ⟨X,Y⟩1=12∑(p,q) edgeX(p,q)Y(p,q)\langle X,Y\rangle_1 = \tfrac12\sum_{(p,q)\text{ edge}} X(p,q)Y(p,q)⟨X,Y⟩1​=21​∑(p,q) edge​X(p,q)Y(p,q). Triangular flows C2C_2C2​ live on ordered 3-cliques.

The operators are: the gradient (δ0φ)(p,q)=W(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p))(\delta_0\varphi)(p,q) = W(p,q)(\varphi(q)-\varphi(p))(δ0​φ)(p,q)=W(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p)), with WWW the edge indicator; the curl (δ1X)(p,q,r)=X(p,q)+X(q,r)+X(r,p)(\delta_1X)(p,q,r) = X(p,q)+X(q,r)+X(r,p)(δ1​X)(p,q,r)=X(p,q)+X(q,r)+X(r,p) on 3-cliques; the per-player gradient (Dmφ)(p,q)=Wm(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p))(D_m\varphi)(p,q) = W^m(p,q)(\varphi(q)-\varphi(p))(Dm​φ)(p,q)=Wm(p,q)(φ(q)−φ(p)), with WmW^mWm the indicator of mmm-comparability; and D:C0M→C1D : C_0^{\mathcal M}\to C_1D:C0M​→C1​, Du=∑mDmumDu = \sum_m D_m u^mDu=∑m​Dm​um, the flow of pairwise comparisons of uuu. Adjoints are written ∗{}^*∗ and Moore–Penrose pseudoinverses †{}^\dagger†. The space C0MC_0^{\mathcal M}C0M​ carries the unweighted inner product ∑m⟨um,vm⟩0\sum_m\langle u^m,v^m\rangle_0∑m​⟨um,vm⟩0​. Further, Δ1=δ1∗δ1+δ0δ0∗\Delta_1 = \delta_1^*\delta_1+\delta_0\delta_0^*Δ1​=δ1∗​δ1​+δ0​δ0∗​, Δ0,m=Dm∗Dm\Delta_{0,m} = D_m^*D_mΔ0,m​=Dm∗​Dm​, Πm=Dm†Dm\Pi_m = D_m^\dagger D_mΠm​=Dm†​Dm​, and Π=diag⁡(Π1,…,ΠM)\Pi = \operatorname{diag}(\Pi_1,\dots,\Pi_M)Π=diag(Π1​,…,ΠM​).

A game is normalized if ∑pmum(pm,p−m)=0\sum_{p^m} u^m(p^m,p^{-m}) = 0∑pm​um(pm,p−m)=0 for all p−mp^{-m}p−m and mmm (Definition 4.1). The potential, harmonic and nonstrategic subspaces are (Definition 4.2)

P={u∣u=Πu, Du∈im⁡δ0},H={u∣u=Πu, Du∈ker⁡δ0∗},N=ker⁡D.\mathcal P = \{u \mid u = \Pi u,\ Du\in\operatorname{im}\delta_0\},\qquad \mathcal H = \{u \mid u = \Pi u,\ Du\in\ker\delta_0^*\},\qquad \mathcal N = \ker D .P={u∣u=Πu, Du∈imδ0​},H={u∣u=Πu, Du∈kerδ0∗​},N=kerD.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

GM,E=P⊕H⊕N,\mathcal G_{\mathcal M,E} = \mathcal P\oplus\mathcal H\oplus\mathcal N,GM,E​=P⊕H⊕N,

and every game uuu splits as u=uP+uH+uNu = u_P + u_H + u_Nu=uP​+uH​+uN​ with

uP=D†δ0δ0†Du∈P,uH=D†(I−δ0δ0†)Du∈H,uN=(I−D†D)u∈N,u_P = D^\dagger\delta_0\delta_0^\dagger Du\in\mathcal P,\quad u_H = D^\dagger(I-\delta_0\delta_0^\dagger)Du\in\mathcal H,\quad u_N = (I-D^\dagger D)u\in\mathcal N,uP​=D†δ0​δ0†​Du∈P,uH​=D†(I−δ0​δ0†​)Du∈H,uN​=(I−D†D)u∈N,

where φ=δ0†Du\varphi = \delta_0^\dagger Duφ=δ0†​Du is a potential function of uPu_PuP​, i.e. DuP=δ0φDu_P = \delta_0\varphiDuP​=δ0​φ.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.1 (Helmholtz decomposition), on an arbitrary finite graph: C1=im⁡δ0⊕ker⁡Δ1⊕im⁡δ1∗C_1 = \operatorname{im}\delta_0\oplus\ker\Delta_1\oplus\operatorname{im}\delta_1^*C1​=imδ0​⊕kerΔ1​⊕imδ1∗​, orthogonally, with ker⁡Δ1=ker⁡δ1∩ker⁡δ0∗\ker\Delta_1 = \ker\delta_1\cap\ker\delta_0^*kerΔ1​=kerδ1​∩kerδ0∗​.
  2. Lemma 4.1: Δ0,m=hmΠm\Delta_{0,m} = h_m\Pi_mΔ0,m​=hm​Πm​.
  3. Lemma 4.2: ker⁡Dm=ker⁡Πm=ker⁡Δ0,m\ker D_m = \ker\Pi_m = \ker\Delta_{0,m}kerDm​=kerΠm​=kerΔ0,m​, with an explicit basis indexed by E−mE^{-m}E−m.
  4. Lemma 4.4 (i)–(v): Dm†=1hmDm∗D_m^\dagger = \tfrac1{h_m}D_m^*Dm†​=hm​1​Dm∗​; (∑iDi)†Dj=(∑iDi∗Di)†Dj∗Dj(\sum_iD_i)^\dagger D_j = (\sum_iD_i^*D_i)^\dagger D_j^*D_j(∑i​Di​)†Dj​=(∑i​Di∗​Di​)†Dj∗​Dj​; D†=[D1†;… ;DM†]D^\dagger = [D_1^\dagger;\dots;D_M^\dagger]D†=[D1†​;…;DM†​]; Π=D†D\Pi = D^\dagger DΠ=D†D; DD†δ0=δ0DD^\dagger\delta_0 = \delta_0DD†δ0​=δ0​.
  5. Lemma 4.5: uuu normalized   ⟺  \iff⟺ Πmum=um\Pi_mu^m = u^mΠm​um=um for all mmm   ⟺  \iff⟺ Πu=u\Pi u = uΠu=u   ⟺  \iff⟺ u∈(ker⁡D)⊥u\in(\ker D)^\perpu∈(kerD)⊥.

Lemma 4.6 (the unique normalized game with the same pairwise comparisons is Πu\Pi uΠu) is included as a supporting theorem.

Significance

The decomposition turns questions about a game into questions about its three components. The potential component inherits the equilibrium and convergence theory of potential games. The harmonic component has a sharply different structure: harmonic games generically have no pure equilibrium, and in each of them the uniformly mixed profile is a mixed equilibrium. The nonstrategic component does not affect any equilibrium notion. The closed-form expressions also give the potential game closest to a given game, and with it bounds relating the approximate equilibria of the two games. The other missions of this series formalize those consequences; all of them rest on the operator layer and the subspaces defined here.

Theorem 4.1 is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked. A formal development produces graph-flow infrastructure that Mathlib does not yet have: edge and triangular flows with their inner products, the combinatorial gradient and curl, the Helmholtz decomposition of a finite graph, and an operator Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse on finite-dimensional inner product spaces. The paper leaves Theorem 3.1 to the literature, so a full development needs a proof of it. The pseudoinverse identities of Lemma 4.4 also have a short appendix argument in the paper that a formal proof has to make complete.

Difficulty

The decomposition is not orthogonal decomposition along a single map. The subspaces P\mathcal PP and H\mathcal HH are defined through Π\PiΠ, which is assembled player by player from the DmD_mDm​, while the flow conditions involve δ0\delta_0δ0​ and the combined operator DDD. Connecting the two requires the player operators to have mutually orthogonal ranges (Dk∗Dm=0D_k^*D_m = 0Dk∗​Dm​=0 for k≠mk\ne mk=m) and the explicit form of Dm∗DmD_m^*D_mDm∗​Dm​ as a scaled projection. Without these, Π=D†D\Pi = D^\dagger DΠ=D†D (Lemma 4.4 (iv)) and DD†δ0=δ0DD^\dagger\delta_0 = \delta_0DD†δ0​=δ0​ (Lemma 4.4 (v)) are not available, and they are what make the formulas for uPu_PuP​ and uHu_HuH​ land in P\mathcal PP and H\mathcal HH. A direct attempt to apply the Helmholtz decomposition to DuDuDu produces a flow decomposition, not a game decomposition; the pullback through DDD is not formal, because DDD is neither injective nor surjective.

Formalization scope

Players form a Fintype ι; strategy sets are E : ι → Type with Fintype, DecidableEq and Nonempty instances, and hmh_mhm​ is Fintype.card (E m). Profiles are ∀ m, E m, and (qm,p−m)(q^m,p^{-m})(qm,p−m) is Function.update p m q. The game graph is a Mathlib SimpleGraph; comparability requires p≠qp\ne qp=q, so the graph has no loops, as the Laplacian (15) requires. C0C_0C0​ is EuclideanSpace ℝ on profiles. C1C_1C1​ and C2C_2C2​ are type synonyms of the subspaces of antisymmetric (resp. alternating) functions, with inner products built from (7), including the factor 12\tfrac1221​ on C1C_1C1​. Lemma 4.4 (i) fails without it. The space of games is PiLp 2 of copies of C0C_0C0​, whose inner product is the unweighted sum used on p. 14, not the weighted inner product of the paper's Section 6. Adjoints are LinearMap.adjoint. The pseudoinverse is defined explicitly as the inverse of LLL on (ker⁡L)⊥(\ker L)^\perp(kerL)⊥ composed with the orthogonal projection onto im⁡L\operatorname{im}LimL.

P\mathcal PP, H\mathcal HH and N\mathcal NN are defined by (28), not as the ranges of the component maps; the direct-sum part of the goal is stated independently of the formulas, so the goal cannot be satisfied by construction. Lemma 4.4 is split into five items, one per identity. "Orthogonal decomposition" in Theorem 3.1 is stated as pairwise orthogonality plus spanning. The paper's statements have no hypotheses beyond the setting, and none were added except nonemptiness of the strategy sets, which the paper assumes by writing Em={1,…,hm}E^m = \{1,\dots,h_m\}Em={1,…,hm​}.

Welcome contributions: a proof of the Helmholtz decomposition on a finite simple graph, general facts about the pseudoinverse (Penrose identities, L†LL^\dagger LL†L is the projection onto (ker⁡L)⊥(\ker L)^\perp(kerL)⊥, invariance under rescaling of inner products), and the explicit adjoint formulas (12) and (22).

Selected references

  • O. Candogan, I. Menache, A. Ozdaglar, P. A. Parrilo, Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games, arXiv:1005.2405v2, 2010; Mathematics of Operations Research 36(3):474–503, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.2405, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0500
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential Games, Games and Economic Behavior 14(1):124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
  • X. Jiang, L.-H. Lim, Y. Yao, Y. Ye, Statistical Ranking and Combinatorial Hodge Theory, Mathematical Programming 127:203–244, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/0811.1067
  • R. Penrose, A generalized inverse for matrices, Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 51(3):406–413, 1955. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100030401
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 4: A Continuum Erdős–Gallai Condition Characterizes the Interior of the Set of Degree-Sequence Scaling LimitsResearch Paper

Motivation

A uniformly random simple graph with a prescribed degree sequence is a basic null model in network science, statistics and combinatorics: it is what a network "looks like" when nothing but its degrees is known. Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly (arXiv:1005.1136, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2011) show that when the normalized degree sequences converge to a limiting profile fff, these random graphs converge almost surely to an explicit graph limit (their Theorem 1.1). That theorem has a hypothesis: fff must lie in the interior of the set F\mathcal FF of all possible limiting degree profiles. A hypothesis of that kind is only useful if it can be checked, and the paper's Proposition 1.2 supplies the check, in the form of a continuum version of the Erdős–Gallai criterion (Erdős and Gallai, Mat. Lapok 1960), the classical test for whether a list of integers is the degree sequence of a simple graph.

This mission formalizes Proposition 1.2 and the steps of its proof in §5 of the paper, together with the Erdős–Gallai criterion itself, which the paper cites and uses in both directions.

Setting

A degree sequence on nnn vertices is a vector d=(d1,…,dn)\mathbf d=(d_1,\dots,d_n)d=(d1​,…,dn​) of nonnegative integers for which some simple graph (undirected, no loops, no multiple edges) on vertices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n has deg⁡(i)=di\deg(i)=d_ideg(i)=di​ for every iii. Such sequences are written in nonincreasing order d1≥d2≥⋯≥dnd_1\ge d_2\ge\cdots\ge d_nd1​≥d2​≥⋯≥dn​.

The space D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] consists of the functions fff on [0,1][0,1][0,1] that are nonincreasing and left continuous at every point of (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). It carries the modified L1L^1L1 norm

∥f∥1′:=∣f(0)∣+∣f(1)∣+∫01∣f(x)∣ dx.\|f\|_{1'}:=|f(0)|+|f(1)|+\int_0^1|f(x)|\,dx.∥f∥1′​:=∣f(0)∣+∣f(1)∣+∫01​∣f(x)∣dx.

Suppose that for every nnn a degree sequence dn=(d1n≥⋯≥dnn)\mathbf d^n=(d^n_1\ge\cdots\ge d^n_n)dn=(d1n​≥⋯≥dnn​) on nnn vertices is given. The sequence {dn}\{\mathbf d^n\}{dn} has scaling limit fff, a nonincreasing function on [0,1][0,1][0,1], if

lim⁡n→∞(∣d1nn−f(0)∣+∣dnnn−f(1)∣+1n∑i=1n∣dinn−f(in)∣)=0.(2)\lim_{n\to\infty}\Bigl(\Bigl|\tfrac{d^n_1}{n}-f(0)\Bigr|+\Bigl|\tfrac{d^n_n}{n}-f(1)\Bigr|+\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\Bigl|\tfrac{d^n_i}{n}-f\bigl(\tfrac in\bigr)\Bigr|\Bigr)=0.\qquad(2)n→∞lim​(​nd1n​​−f(0)​+​ndnn​​−f(1)​+n1​i=1∑n​​ndin​​−f(ni​)​)=0.(2)

The set F\mathcal FF consists of the f∈D′[0,1]f\in D'[0,1]f∈D′[0,1] that arise as scaling limits of degree sequences. Its interior is taken in D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] with the topology of ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​: fff is interior if every h∈D′[0,1]h\in D'[0,1]h∈D′[0,1] with ∥h−f∥1′<ε\|h-f\|_{1'}<\varepsilon∥h−f∥1′​<ε lies in F\mathcal FF, for some ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0.

For f∈D′[0,1]f\in D'[0,1]f∈D′[0,1] and x∈[0,1]x\in[0,1]x∈[0,1] the paper defines

Gf(x):=∫x1min⁡{f(y),x} dy+x2−∫0xf(y) dy.G_f(x):=\int_x^1\min\{f(y),x\}\,dy+x^2-\int_0^x f(y)\,dy.Gf​(x):=∫x1​min{f(y),x}dy+x2−∫0x​f(y)dy.

At x=k/nx=k/nx=k/n, n2Gf(x)n^2G_f(x)n2Gf​(x) approximates the slack k(k−1)+∑i>kmin⁡{di,k}−∑i≤kdik(k-1)+\sum_{i>k}\min\{d_i,k\}-\sum_{i\le k}d_ik(k−1)+∑i>k​min{di​,k}−∑i≤k​di​ in the kkk-th Erdős–Gallai inequality.

In Lean these objects are IsGraphic, InDprime, norm1', Gf, HasScalingLimit, setF and InteriorF, in the namespace GivenDegreeSeq.Interior.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1.2 (p. 5)

A function f:[0,1]→[0,1]f:[0,1]\to[0,1]f:[0,1]→[0,1] in D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] belongs to the interior of F\mathcal FF if and only if

  1. there are constants c1>0c_1>0c1​>0 and c2<1c_2<1c2​<1 with c1≤f(x)≤c2c_1\le f(x)\le c_2c1​≤f(x)≤c2​ for all x∈[0,1]x\in[0,1]x∈[0,1], and
  2. for each x∈(0,1]x\in(0,1]x∈(0,1],
∫x1min⁡{f(y),x} dy+x2−∫0xf(y) dy>0.\int_x^1\min\{f(y),x\}\,dy+x^2-\int_0^x f(y)\,dy>0.∫x1​min{f(y),x}dy+x2−∫0x​f(y)dy>0.

Milestones

  • Remark 1 (Erdős–Gallai criterion). Nonnegative integers d1≥⋯≥dnd_1\ge\cdots\ge d_nd1​≥⋯≥dn​ form a degree sequence if and only if ∑idi\sum_i d_i∑i​di​ is even and, for each 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n,
∑i=1kdi≤k(k−1)+∑i=k+1nmin⁡{di,k}.\sum_{i=1}^k d_i\le k(k-1)+\sum_{i=k+1}^n\min\{d_i,k\}.i=1∑k​di​≤k(k−1)+i=k+1∑n​min{di​,k}.
  • Continuity of GfG_fGf​ on [0,1][0,1][0,1] for f∈D′[0,1]f\in D'[0,1]f∈D′[0,1] (p. 23).
  • Necessity: every f∈Ff\in\mathcal Ff∈F has Gf≥0G_f\ge 0Gf​≥0 on [0,1][0,1][0,1], and takes values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] (p. 23).
  • Membership: every f∈D′[0,1]f\in D'[0,1]f∈D′[0,1] satisfying (i) and (ii) belongs to F\mathcal FF (pp. 23–24).
  • Stability: for f,f′∈D′[0,1]f,f'\in D'[0,1]f,f′∈D′[0,1] and 0≤x≤10\le x\le10≤x≤1, ∣Gf(x)−Gf′(x)∣≤∥f−f′∥1′|G_f(x)-G_{f'}(x)|\le\|f-f'\|_{1'}∣Gf​(x)−Gf′​(x)∣≤∥f−f′∥1′​ (p. 24).

Significance

Proposition 1.2 turns the hypothesis of the paper's graph-limit theorem into two explicit conditions on fff. With it, for example, the constant profile f≡pf\equiv pf≡p with 0<p<10<p<10<p<1, the degree profile of the Erdős–Rényi graph G(n,p)G(n,p)G(n,p), is seen to be interior (Remark 3, p. 6). The proposition also describes which limiting degree profiles are robust under small perturbations: away from the boundary given by the continuum Erdős–Gallai inequality and the trivial bounds 000 and 111.

The Erdős–Gallai criterion is a standard tool for degree sequences, threshold graphs and network models. To the knowledge of this mission it is formalized neither in Mathlib nor on the platform, and a proof of it here is reusable well beyond this paper. The continuum objects D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1], ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, scaling limits and F\mathcal FF are shared with the companion mission on the graph-limit theorem (mission 5 of this series). The proposition is proved in the paper; none of it has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The obvious argument passes the Erdős–Gallai inequalities to the limit and back. Going to the limit is routine. Coming back is not, for two reasons. First, the discrete inequalities must hold for every 1≤k≤n1\le k\le n1≤k≤n, and near k=0k=0k=0 the normalized slack Gf(k/n)G_f(k/n)Gf​(k/n) tends to 000, so positivity of GfG_fGf​ alone gives nothing for k=o(n)k=o(n)k=o(n). The bounds c1>0c_1>0c1​>0 and c2<1c_2<1c2​<1 of condition (i) are what control this range. Second, the approximating integer sequences must satisfy the parity condition and stay nonincreasing, while still converging in the sense of (2).

For openness, the interior must be taken under ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, and positivity of GhG_hGh​ near x=0x=0x=0 has to be recovered for every nearby hhh from condition (i), not from uniform convergence alone. In the converse direction, perturbations must stay inside D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1], which constrains how fff may be modified near a zero of GfG_fGf​.

Formalization scope

  • Functions on [0,1][0,1][0,1] are ℝ → ℝ. Only their values on [0,1][0,1][0,1] enter D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1], ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, GfG_fGf​, (2) and F\mathcal FF. Integrals are interval integrals. Every f∈D′[0,1]f\in D'[0,1]f∈D′[0,1] is monotone, hence bounded and integrable on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • Vertices are Fin n, so the paper's dind^n_idin​ is d n ⟨i-1,_⟩ and the paper's f(i/n)f(i/n)f(i/n) is f ((i+1)/n). Degree sequences are vectors in Fin n → ℕ realized by a SimpleGraph (Fin n) and are nonincreasing.
  • The bracket in (2) has no meaning at n=0n=0n=0 and is set to 000 there. The sequence {dn}\{\mathbf d^n\}{dn} is indexed by all nnn, not by a subsequence.
  • The interior is the ball formulation in D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1] under ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​, and the balls range only over h∈D′[0,1]h\in D'[0,1]h∈D′[0,1]. The plain L1L^1L1 topology would be wrong: it ignores the endpoint values, and no fff would be interior. ∥⋅∥1′\|\cdot\|_{1'}∥⋅∥1′​ is a genuine norm on D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1], so the ball form is the topological interior.
  • The goal keeps the page's hypothesis f([0,1])⊆[0,1]f([0,1])\subseteq[0,1]f([0,1])⊆[0,1], although the "only if" direction makes it redundant.
  • The scaling-limit set F\mathcal FF requires every dn\mathbf d^ndn to be graphic. Dropping that requirement trivializes the problem, because every nonincreasing [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued function would then be a limit and the proposition would be false. The definitions here exclude it.

Infrastructure needed: the Erdős–Gallai theorem for finite sequences (both directions); Riemann-sum approximation of integrals of monotone functions; an integer-rounding construction with a parity fix. Proofs of the Erdős–Gallai criterion, and of the analytic lemmas on D′[0,1]D'[0,1]D′[0,1], are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis, A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4) (2011) 1400–1435; arXiv:1005.1136v5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.1136 — DOI https://doi.org/10.1214/10-AAP728
  • P. Erdős, T. Gallai, Gráfok előírt fokú pontokkal (Graphs with points of prescribed degree), Mat. Lapok 11 (1960) 264–274.
  • N. V. R. Mahadev, U. N. Peled, Threshold Graphs and Related Topics, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 56, North-Holland, 1995.
10 thms1 active userReviewed
Graph TheoryOptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Random Graphs with a Given Degree Sequence 1: The Fixed-Point Iteration x ↦ φ(x) Converges Geometrically to the Unique β-Model MLE, and Diverges When No MLE ExistsResearch Paper

Motivation

The β\betaβ-model is the simplest exponential random graph model in which every vertex has its own parameter. It was studied by Holland and Leinhardt (1981) in the directed case and by Park and Newman (2004) and Blitzstein and Diaconis (2011) in the undirected case, and it is a close relative of the Bradley–Terry model for paired comparisons. Its sufficient statistic is the degree sequence of the observed graph, so fitting the model to data means solving a system of nnn nonlinear equations in nnn unknowns, one per vertex, where nnn can be in the thousands.

Chatterjee, Diaconis and Sly (arXiv:1005.1136, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011)) give a simple iteration for this system and prove that it converges geometrically fast whenever a solution exists, at a rate that does not deteriorate with the number of vertices, and that it detects when no solution exists. The same estimate is then used in the paper's consistency theorem for the maximum likelihood estimator (Theorem 1.3) and in its graph-limit theorem (Theorem 1.1). This mission formalizes that algorithmic result, Theorem 1.5, together with the chain of numbered displays in Section 2 that proves it.

Setting

Let n≥3n\ge 3n≥3 and label the vertices 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n. For β=(β1,…,βn)∈Rn\beta=(\beta_1,\dots,\beta_n)\in\mathbb R^nβ=(β1​,…,βn​)∈Rn, the β\betaβ-model puts an edge between distinct vertices iii and jjj independently with probability

pij(β)=eβi+βj1+eβi+βj.p_{ij}(\beta)=\frac{e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}{1+e^{\beta_i+\beta_j}}.pij​(β)=1+eβi​+βj​eβi​+βj​​.

Given an observed graph with degrees d1,…,dnd_1,\dots,d_nd1​,…,dn​, the maximum likelihood estimate β^\hat\betaβ^​ must satisfy the ML equations

di=∑j≠ieβ^i+β^j1+eβ^i+β^j,i=1,…,n.(3)d_i=\sum_{j\ne i}\frac{e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}}{1+e^{\hat\beta_i+\hat\beta_j}},\qquad i=1,\dots,n.\tag{3}di​=j=i∑​1+eβ^​i​+β^​j​eβ^​i​+β^​j​​,i=1,…,n.(3)

The sup norm of x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn is ∣x∣∞=max⁡i∣xi∣|x|_\infty=\max_i|x_i|∣x∣∞​=maxi​∣xi​∣. For i≠ji\ne ji=j put rij(x)=1/(e−xj+exi)r_{ij}(x)=1/(e^{-x_j}+e^{x_i})rij​(x)=1/(e−xj​+exi​), and define the map φ:Rn→Rn\varphi:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nφ:Rn→Rn by

φi(x)=log⁡di−log⁡∑j≠irij(x).\varphi_i(x)=\log d_i-\log\sum_{j\ne i}r_{ij}(x).φi​(x)=logdi​−logj=i∑​rij​(x).

Starting from any x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn, the fixed-point iteration is xk+1=φ(xk)x_{k+1}=\varphi(x_k)xk+1​=φ(xk​). The fixed points of φ\varphiφ are exactly the solutions of (3).

For an n×nn\times nn×n matrix A=(aij)A=(a_{ij})A=(aij​), the L∞L^\inftyL∞ operator norm is ∣A∣∞=max⁡i∑j∣aij∣|A|_\infty=\max_i\sum_j|a_{ij}|∣A∣∞​=maxi​∑j​∣aij​∣. For δ>0\delta>0δ>0, the class Ln(δ)\mathcal L_n(\delta)Ln​(δ) consists of the matrices with ∣A∣∞≤1|A|_\infty\le 1∣A∣∞​≤1, aii≥δa_{ii}\ge\deltaaii​≥δ and aij≤−δ/(n−1)a_{ij}\le-\delta/(n-1)aij​≤−δ/(n−1) for i≠ji\ne ji=j. For x,y∈Rnx,y\in\mathbb R^nx,y∈Rn, J(x,y)J(x,y)J(x,y) is the matrix with entries Jij(x,y)=∫01∂φi∂xj(tx+(1−t)y) dtJ_{ij}(x,y)=\int_0^1\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_j}(tx+(1-t)y)\,dtJij​(x,y)=∫01​∂xj​∂φi​​(tx+(1−t)y)dt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.5

There are functions Θ(a,b)∈[0,1)\Theta(a,b)\in[0,1)Θ(a,b)∈[0,1) and C(a,b)C(a,b)C(a,b), CCC continuous, independent of nnn and ddd, such that for every n≥3n\ge3n≥3 and every d∈(0,∞)nd\in(0,\infty)^nd∈(0,∞)n: if (3) has a solution β^\hat\betaβ^​, then β^=φ(β^)\hat\beta=\varphi(\hat\beta)β^​=φ(β^​), it is the unique solution of (3), and for all x0x_0x0​ and kkk

∣xk−β^∣∞≤Θ(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)⌊k/2⌋∣x0−β^∣∞,∣x0−β^∣∞≤C(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞) ∣x0−x1∣∞;|x_k-\hat\beta|_\infty\le\Theta(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)^{\lfloor k/2\rfloor}|x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty,\qquad |x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty\le C(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)\,|x_0-x_1|_\infty;∣xk​−β^​∣∞​≤Θ(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)⌊k/2⌋∣x0​−β^​∣∞​,∣x0​−β^​∣∞​≤C(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)∣x0​−x1​∣∞​;

and if (3) has no solution, then every orbit {xk}\{x_k\}{xk​} is unbounded.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. p. 9: φ(x)=x\varphi(x)=xφ(x)=x if and only if xxx solves (3).
  2. (6)–(7), p. 12: on ∣x∣∞≤K|x|_\infty\le K∣x∣∞​≤K, −e2Kn−1≤∂φi∂xj≤−e−4K2(n−1)-\frac{e^{2K}}{n-1}\le\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_j}\le-\frac{e^{-4K}}{2(n-1)}−n−1e2K​≤∂xj​∂φi​​≤−2(n−1)e−4K​ for i≠ji\ne ji=j, and 12e−4K≤∂φi∂xi≤e2K\frac12e^{-4K}\le\frac{\partial\varphi_i}{\partial x_i}\le e^{2K}21​e−4K≤∂xi​∂φi​​≤e2K.
  3. (8), pp. 12–13: φ(x)−φ(y)=J(x,y)(x−y)\varphi(x)-\varphi(y)=J(x,y)(x-y)φ(x)−φ(y)=J(x,y)(x−y); off-diagonal partials are negative, diagonal ones positive, and every row of the Jacobian has absolute sum 111.
  4. Lemma 2.1, p. 11: for A,B∈Ln(δ)A,B\in\mathcal L_n(\delta)A,B∈Ln​(δ),
∣AB∣∞≤1−2(n−2)δ2n−1.|AB|_\infty\le 1-\frac{2(n-2)\delta^2}{n-1}.∣AB∣∞​≤1−n−12(n−2)δ2​.
  1. (9), p. 13: with KKK the largest of ∣x∣∞,∣y∣∞,∣φ(x)∣∞,∣φ(y)∣∞|x|_\infty,|y|_\infty,|\varphi(x)|_\infty,|\varphi(y)|_\infty∣x∣∞​,∣y∣∞​,∣φ(x)∣∞​,∣φ(y)∣∞​ and δ=12e−4K\delta=\frac12e^{-4K}δ=21​e−4K,
∣φ(φ(x))−φ(φ(y))∣∞≤(1−2(n−2)δ2n−1)∣x−y∣∞,|\varphi(\varphi(x))-\varphi(\varphi(y))|_\infty\le\Big(1-\frac{2(n-2)\delta^2}{n-1}\Big)|x-y|_\infty,∣φ(φ(x))−φ(φ(y))∣∞​≤(1−n−12(n−2)δ2​)∣x−y∣∞​,

and ∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣∞≤∣x−y∣∞|\varphi(x)-\varphi(y)|_\infty\le|x-y|_\infty∣φ(x)−φ(y)∣∞​≤∣x−y∣∞​. 6. (10), p. 13: a single θ=Θ(∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)∈[0,1)\theta=\Theta(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)\in[0,1)θ=Θ(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)∈[0,1), continuous in its arguments, with ∣xk+3−xk+2∣∞≤θ∣xk+1−xk∣∞|x_{k+3}-x_{k+2}|_\infty\le\theta|x_{k+1}-x_k|_\infty∣xk+3​−xk+2​∣∞​≤θ∣xk+1​−xk​∣∞​ and ∣xk+2−β^∣∞≤θ∣xk−β^∣∞|x_{k+2}-\hat\beta|_\infty\le\theta|x_k-\hat\beta|_\infty∣xk+2​−β^​∣∞​≤θ∣xk​−β^​∣∞​.

Significance

The theorem turns an implicit statistical object, the MLE of an nnn-parameter model, into the limit of an explicit iteration with three guarantees: a convergence rate that depends on the size of the parameters but not on nnn; an a posteriori error bound in terms of the computable step ∣x0−x1∣∞|x_0-x_1|_\infty∣x0​−x1​∣∞​; and a certificate of non-existence. The uniqueness of the MLE comes out of the same estimate. In the paper, the a priori bound ∣x0−β^∣∞≤C∣x0−x1∣∞|x_0-\hat\beta|_\infty\le C|x_0-x_1|_\infty∣x0​−β^​∣∞​≤C∣x0​−x1​∣∞​ is the device that proves consistency of the MLE (Theorem 1.3, applied with x0=βx_0=\betax0​=β), and the two-step contraction is reused in the proof of the graph-limit theorem.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. The work here is to formalize the known proof. The matrix inequality of Lemma 2.1 and the derivative bounds (6)–(7) are self-contained and can be attacked independently of the iteration.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to show that φ\varphiφ is a contraction and apply Banach's fixed-point theorem. This fails: every row of the Jacobian of φ\varphiφ has absolute sum exactly 111, so φ\varphiφ is only non-expansive in the sup norm, never strictly contracting. Contraction appears only for the two-step map φ∘φ\varphi\circ\varphiφ∘φ, through the sign pattern of the Jacobian (positive diagonal, uniformly negative off-diagonal), and only on bounded sets, with a factor that tends to 111 as the norms grow. A second difficulty is uniformity: the factor must be bounded away from 111 independently of nnn, which needs (n−2)/(n−1)≥12(n-2)/(n-1)\ge\frac12(n−2)/(n−1)≥21​, hence n≥3n\ge3n≥3. For the converse, there is no fixed point to anchor the orbit, so boundedness of the orbit has to be converted into convergence before a fixed point exists.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices are Fin n ={0,…,n−1}=\{0,\dots,n-1\}={0,…,n−1}; vectors are Fin n → ℝ, whose Mathlib norm is the sup norm ∣x∣∞|x|_\infty∣x∣∞​. Matrix norms are the explicit maximal absolute row sum.
  • The degrees did_idi​ are arbitrary positive reals. This is a generalization of the page (degrees of a graph), and it is all the proof uses; positivity is required because log⁡di\log d_ilogdi​ is junk in Lean at 000.
  • n≥3n\ge3n≥3 is a hypothesis of the goal and of (10). It is not on the page but is necessary: for n=2n=2n=2, (3) reads d1=d2=p12d_1=d_2=p_{12}d1​=d2​=p12​, whose solutions form a line, so uniqueness fails, and the factor in Lemma 2.1 equals 111.
  • Partial derivatives are Fréchet derivatives applied to unit vectors; J(x,y)J(x,y)J(x,y) uses the interval integral over [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  • "Geometrically fast, with rate depending only on (∣β^∣∞,∣x0∣∞)(|\hat\beta|_\infty,|x_0|_\infty)(∣β^​∣∞​,∣x0​∣∞​)" is stated with the function Θ\ThetaΘ quantified before nnn, ddd, β^\hat\betaβ^​ and x0x_0x0​, and "CCC is a continuous function of the pair" likewise. A version that chooses the rate after fixing nnn, ddd and x0x_0x0​ is strictly weaker and nearly says only that a convergent sequence converges; it is not the target.
  • "A divergent subsequence" is stated as unboundedness of {∣xk∣∞}\{|x_k|_\infty\}{∣xk​∣∞​}, which is equivalent for sequences in Rn\mathbb R^nRn.
  • The paper's remark that θ\thetaθ is "uniformly bounded away from 1 on subsets of Rn×Rn\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^nRn×Rn" holds only on bounded subsets; it is not stated separately, and its quantitative content is (10).

Needed infrastructure: calculus of φ\varphiφ (derivatives of log⁡\loglog of a sum of exponentials), the integral form of the mean value theorem for maps Rn→Rn\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nRn→Rn, and elementary matrix-norm estimates. The class Ln(δ)\mathcal L_n(\delta)Ln​(δ) and Lemma 2.1 are reusable for other diagonally dominant iterations. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, in any order.

Selected references

  • S. Chatterjee, P. Diaconis and A. Sly, Random graphs with a given degree sequence, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(4), 1400–1435, 2011. arXiv:1005.1136v5, DOI 10.1214/10-AAP728
  • P. W. Holland and S. Leinhardt, An exponential family of probability distributions for directed graphs, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 76, 33–65, 1981. DOI 10.1080/01621459.1981.10477598
  • J. Park and M. E. J. Newman, Statistical mechanics of networks, Phys. Rev. E 70, 066117, 2004. arXiv:cond-mat/0405566
  • J. Blitzstein and P. Diaconis, A sequential importance sampling algorithm for generating random graphs with prescribed degrees, Internet Mathematics 6(4), 489–522, 2011. DOI 10.1080/15427951.2010.557277
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? 4: The Advantage of Single Sourcing with Improvement over Dual Sourcing Increases in Supplier Cost HeterogeneityResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that buy from unreliable suppliers have two broad ways to protect themselves against supply disruptions: dual sourcing, which splits the order between two suppliers so that a shortfall at one is cushioned by the other, and process improvement, which invests in a supplier's operations so that it fails less often. Wang, Gilland and Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement? (M&SOM 12(3):489–510, 2010), compare the two in a single-period model in which the uncertainty is in the supplier's capacity, not in a proportional yield.

Real supply bases are rarely symmetric. Suppliers differ in cost, reliability and capacity because of their history or location, and the paper (p. 501) cites evidence that global sourcing has widened those differences. This mission formalizes the paper's analytical answer to one question this raises: as two otherwise identical suppliers drift apart in unit cost, which strategy gains? The paper's answer (Theorem 7, p. 502) is that the advantage of single sourcing with improvement over dual sourcing grows with the cost gap.

Setting

A firm sells one product over one season with unit revenue rrr, salvage value vvv and penalty ppp per unit of unmet demand; demand X≥0X \ge 0X≥0 has a known law with finite mean. Supplier i∈{1,2}i \in \{1, 2\}i∈{1,2} has unit cost cic_ici​, committed-cost fraction ηi∈[0,1]\eta_i \in [0, 1]ηi​∈[0,1] and design capacity Ki>0K_i > 0Ki​>0. Its realized capacity loss ξi≥0\xi_i \ge 0ξi​≥0 has a continuous distribution Gi(⋅,ai)G_i(\cdot, a_i)Gi​(⋅,ai​) indexed by a reliability index aia_iai​; a larger index means a stochastically smaller loss: a≤a′a \le a'a≤a′ implies Gi(t,a)≤Gi(t,a′)G_i(t, a) \le G_i(t, a')Gi​(t,a)≤Gi​(t,a′) for all ttt. Losses are independent of each other and of demand.

An order qi≥0q_i \ge 0qi​≥0 delivers yi=min⁡{qi,(Ki−ξi)+}y_i = \min\{q_i, (K_i - \xi_i)^+\}yi​=min{qi​,(Ki​−ξi​)+} and costs (ηiqi+(1−ηi)yi)ci(\eta_i q_i + (1 - \eta_i) y_i) c_i(ηi​qi​+(1−ηi​)yi​)ci​. The realized profit is

π(q)=−∑i(ηiqi+(1−ηi)yi)ci+rmin⁡{x,∑iyi}+v(∑iyi−x)+−p(x−∑iyi)+,\pi(q) = -\sum_i (\eta_i q_i + (1-\eta_i) y_i) c_i + r\min\Big\{x, \sum_i y_i\Big\} + v\Big(\sum_i y_i - x\Big)^+ - p\Big(x - \sum_i y_i\Big)^+,π(q)=−i∑​(ηi​qi​+(1−ηi​)yi​)ci​+rmin{x,i∑​yi​}+v(i∑​yi​−x)+−p(x−i∑​yi​)+,

the second-stage expected profit is Π2(q;a)=E[π(q)]\Pi_2(q; a) = \mathbb E[\pi(q)]Π2​(q;a)=E[π(q)], and Π2∗(a)=sup⁡q≥0Π2(q;a)\Pi_2^*(a) = \sup_{q \ge 0}\Pi_2(q; a)Π2∗​(a)=supq≥0​Π2​(q;a).

  • Dual sourcing (DS) orders from both suppliers at their initial indices: ΠDS∗=Π2∗(a10,a20)\Pi^*_{DS} = \Pi_2^*(a_1^0, a_2^0)ΠDS∗​=Π2∗​(a10​,a20​).
  • Single sourcing with improvement (SSI) commits to one supplier iii, spends mizi(a)m_i z_i(a)mi​zi​(a) to try to raise its index to a≥ai0a \ge a_i^0a≥ai0​ (success probability θi\theta_iθi​), and orders only from it. With Π2∗(ai)\Pi_2^*(a_i)Π2∗​(ai​) the single-supplier optimal value, its profit is Π1(ai)=−mizi(ai)+θiΠ2∗(ai)+(1−θi)Π2∗(ai0)\Pi_1(a_i) = -m_i z_i(a_i) + \theta_i \Pi_2^*(a_i) + (1-\theta_i)\Pi_2^*(a_i^0)Π1​(ai​)=−mi​zi​(ai​)+θi​Π2∗​(ai​)+(1−θi​)Π2∗​(ai0​) (Eq. (7)), and ΠSSI∗=max⁡isup⁡a≥ai0Π1(a)\Pi^*_{SSI} = \max_i \sup_{a \ge a_i^0} \Pi_1(a)ΠSSI∗​=maxi​supa≥ai0​​Π1​(a).
  • Heterogeneity. For suppliers identical except in cost, c1=c−Δcc_1 = c - \Delta_cc1​=c−Δc​ and c2=c+Δcc_2 = c + \Delta_cc2​=c+Δc​ with 0≤Δc<c0 \le \Delta_c < c0≤Δc​<c; Δc\Delta_cΔc​ is the cost heterogeneity parameter. The committed-cost parameter Δη\Delta_\etaΔη​ is defined in the same way.

In Lean these objects are MitigateSupplyRisk.Heterogeneity.Model (with Pi2, Pi2star, PiDS, Pi1single, PiSSI, Pi1) and SymData (with costModel Δ and etaModel Δ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7 (p. 502)

For suppliers identical except in unit cost,

Δc↦ΠSSI∗(Δc)−ΠDS∗(Δc)is nondecreasing on [0,c).\Delta_c \mapsto \Pi^*_{SSI}(\Delta_c) - \Pi^*_{DS}(\Delta_c) \quad\text{is nondecreasing on } [0, c).Δc​↦ΠSSI∗​(Δc​)−ΠDS∗​(Δc​)is nondecreasing on [0,c).

The statement fixes no parameter values and no particular distribution; it asserts only the direction of the effect.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 6(a) (p. 501): ΠSSI∗\Pi^*_{SSI}ΠSSI∗​ is nondecreasing in Δc\Delta_cΔc​ on [0,c)[0, c)[0,c) and in Δη\Delta_\etaΔη​ on [0,min⁡{η,1−η}][0, \min\{\eta, 1-\eta\}][0,min{η,1−η}].
  2. Theorem 6(b) (p. 501): ΠDS∗\Pi^*_{DS}ΠDS∗​ is nondecreasing in Δc\Delta_cΔc​ and in Δη\Delta_\etaΔη​ on the same ranges.
  3. Lemma 5 (p. 504): the combined-strategy profit Π1(a)\Pi_1(a)Π1​(a) of Eq. (5), which improves one or both suppliers before dual sourcing, is submodular on [a10,∞)×[a20,∞)[a_1^0, \infty) \times [a_2^0, \infty)[a10​,∞)×[a20​,∞):
Π1(a∨b)+Π1(a∧b)≤Π1(a)+Π1(b).\Pi_1(a \vee b) + \Pi_1(a \wedge b) \le \Pi_1(a) + \Pi_1(b).Π1​(a∨b)+Π1​(a∧b)≤Π1​(a)+Π1​(b).

Significance

Theorem 7 turns a strategy comparison into a comparative-statics statement: once SSI is preferred at some cost gap, it stays preferred at every larger gap, so the preference switches at most once along a cost-heterogeneity path. Theorem 6 shows separately that both strategies benefit from heterogeneity, which is immediate for a single-sourcing strategy but not for dual sourcing, where one supplier improves and the other deteriorates. Lemma 5 is the structural fact the paper uses for the combined strategy: improvement efforts at the two suppliers are substitutes.

The results are proved in the paper's online appendix, which this formalization does not use. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formal development would supply reusable pieces: an expected-profit model for random capacity with integrable profits, envelope and convexity arguments for suprema of affine families, and monotone comparative statics for single- and dual-supplier newsvendor problems.

Difficulty

ΠSSI∗\Pi^*_{SSI}ΠSSI∗​ and ΠDS∗\Pi^*_{DS}ΠDS∗​ are both nondecreasing in Δc\Delta_cΔc​ (Theorem 6), so the goal compares the growth rates of two optimal values. Neither has a closed form. Both are suprema of families affine in Δc\Delta_cΔc​, so they are convex but may have kinks, and an optimal improvement level need not exist when the index set [a0,∞)[a^0, \infty)[a0,∞) is unbounded. The comparison concerns orders at different cost levels and under different strategies, so it needs a link between the dual-sourcing order from the cheaper supplier and the single-sourcing order and its response to improvement. Evaluating each side at a fixed optimizer does not give it, because the two optimizers move with Δc\Delta_cΔc​. For Lemma 5, submodularity of Π2(q;a)\Pi_2(q; a)Π2​(q;a) in aaa for each fixed qqq does not pass to the supremum over qqq by itself.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Suppliers are indexed by Fin 2. Each Gi(⋅,a)G_i(\cdot, a)Gi​(⋅,a) is the cdf of a measure ν i a on ℝ. Expectations are Bochner integrals against the product of the two loss laws and the demand law. The integrand is bounded by a constant times 1+∣x∣1 + |x|1+∣x∣, so the integrals are genuine.
  • Optimal values. Optimal values are real suprema over q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 and a≥ai0a \ge a_i^0a≥ai0​. Under the standing assumptions every such set is nonempty and bounded above by (r+∣v∣)(K1+K2)(r + |v|)(K_1 + K_2)(r+∣v∣)(K1​+K2​), so no supremum takes Lean's default value. ΠSSI∗\Pi^*_{SSI}ΠSSI∗​ is the early-commitment value and maximizes over the choice of supplier; it does not fix supplier 1.
  • Standing assumptions (fields of Model.Standing and SymData.Standing):
    • the demand is a probability law on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) with finite mean;
    • each loss law is a continuous probability law on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), stochastically decreasing in the index;
    • ηi∈[0,1]\eta_i \in [0, 1]ηi​∈[0,1], Ki>0K_i > 0Ki​>0, θi∈[0,1]\theta_i \in [0, 1]θi​∈[0,1], mi≥0m_i \ge 0mi​≥0;
    • ziz_izi​ is convex and nondecreasing on [ai0,∞)[a_i^0, \infty)[ai0​,∞) with zi(ai0)=0z_i(a_i^0) = 0zi​(ai0​)=0.
  • Disclosed readings.
    • r≥0r \ge 0r≥0, p≥0p \ge 0p≥0 and ci≥0c_i \ge 0ci​≥0 (c>0c > 0c>0 in the heterogeneity statements, so that c1>0c_1 > 0c1​>0) are the paper's readings of revenue, penalty and cost.
    • v<r+pv < r + pv<r+p is implicit in the paper's Eq. (2), which divides by r+p−vr + p - vr+p−v.
    • The effort function zi(a)z_i(a)zi​(a) is taken as the primitive, as on p. 493. This presumes that every index a≥ai0a \ge a_i^0a≥ai0​ is reachable.
    • Δη\Delta_\etaΔη​ ranges over [0,min⁡{η,1−η}][0, \min\{\eta, 1-\eta\}][0,min{η,1−η}], the reading of "analogously" (p. 501) that keeps both committed costs in [0,1][0, 1][0,1].
  • Weak monotonicity. "Increasing" is weak (p. 492) and is stated as MonotoneOn.
  • Corrections. No printed slip is corrected in this mission.
  • Not formalized. Theorem 7 is stated without η=0\eta = 0η=0 and without concavity of GGG in aaa, as on the page. The ΔK\Delta_KΔK​ and Δa\Delta_aΔa​ clauses of Theorem 6 are not formalized, because the paper does not pin down how the improvement function depends on an initial index that differs between suppliers. Theorem 8 is also left out.
  • Non-trivialization. Both values are recomputed as optimal values of the model at every Δc\Delta_cΔc​. Defining them by a formula, fixing an optimizer at Δc=0\Delta_c = 0Δc​=0, or hard-coding supplier 1 as the single source would trivialize the goal, and none of these is done.

Contributions are welcome at every level: integrability and boundedness lemmas for Π2\Pi_2Π2​, convexity of the optimal values in Δ\DeltaΔ, the symmetry argument behind Theorem 6(b), and monotone comparative statics of single-supplier orders in the reliability index.

Selected references

  • Y. Wang, W. Gilland, B. Tomlin, Mitigating Supply Risk: Dual Sourcing or Process Improvement?, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 12(3):489–510, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1090.0279
  • J. Hazra, B. Mahadevan, Impact of supply base heterogeneity in electronic markets, European Journal of Operational Research 174(3):1580–1594, 2006 (cited on p. 501 of the paper for the growth of supply-base heterogeneity).
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Convex OptimizationLinear algebraNumerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Low-rank Matrix Recovery via Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares Minimization 1: IRLS-M Converges to the Nuclear-Norm Minimizer Under the Strong Rank Null Space PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

Many data problems ask for a matrix of low rank from far fewer linear measurements than it has entries: matrix completion (recommender systems, where a few ratings of a large user–item table are observed), system identification, and quantum state tomography. Minimizing the rank under the measurement constraints is NP-hard in general. The standard convex surrogate replaces the rank by the nuclear norm, the sum of the singular values, and recovers the low-rank matrix exactly when the measurement map is well conditioned on low-rank matrices (Recht, Fazel, Parrilo 2010; Candès, Recht 2009).

Solving the nuclear norm problem at scale is itself a numerical challenge: interior point methods do not scale, and first-order methods such as singular value thresholding (Cai, Candès, Shen 2010) need many iterations. Fornasier, Rauhut and Ward proposed an alternative, iteratively reweighted least squares for matrices (IRLS-M), which replaces the nonsmooth problem by a sequence of weighted least squares problems whose weights are recomputed from the current iterate. It is the matrix analogue of the IRLS method for sparse vectors of Daubechies, DeVore, Fornasier, Güntürk 2010, and a closely related algorithm was studied at the same time by Mohan and Fazel (Allerton 2010; journal version JMLR 2012).

Timeline. 2008–2010: nuclear norm recovery under rank restricted isometry (Recht–Fazel–Parrilo) and the rank null space property (Recht–Xu–Hassibi). 2010: convergence of IRLS for ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ under the vector null space property (Daubechies et al.). 2010–2011: IRLS-M and its convergence under the strong rank null space property (this paper, arXiv:1010.2471, SIAM J. Optim. 21(4), 2011).

Setting

Throughout, XXX is a real n×pn\times pn×p matrix with n≤pn\le pn≤p, with singular values σ1(X)≥⋯≥σn(X)≥0\sigma_1(X)\ge\dots\ge\sigma_n(X)\ge0σ1​(X)≥⋯≥σn​(X)≥0. The Frobenius norm is ∥X∥F\|X\|_F∥X∥F​, the nuclear norm is ∥X∥∗=∑iσi(X)\|X\|_*=\sum_i\sigma_i(X)∥X∥∗​=∑i​σi​(X), and ⟨X,Y⟩=∑i,jXijYij\langle X,Y\rangle=\sum_{i,j}X_{ij}Y_{ij}⟨X,Y⟩=∑i,j​Xij​Yij​. A linear measurement map S:Rn×p→Rm\mathcal S:\mathbb R^{n\times p}\to\mathbb R^mS:Rn×p→Rm is given by matrices A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​ through S(X)l=⟨Al,X⟩\mathcal S(X)_l=\langle A_l,X\rangleS(X)l​=⟨Al​,X⟩; the data are M∈Rm\mathscr M\in\mathbb R^mM∈Rm.

The best kkk-rank approximation error is ρk(X)∗=min⁡rank⁡Z≤k∥X−Z∥∗\rho_k(X)_*=\min_{\operatorname{rank}Z\le k}\|X-Z\|_*ρk​(X)∗​=minrankZ≤k​∥X−Z∥∗​. The map S\mathcal SS has the strong rank null space property (SRNSP) of order kkk with constant η∈(0,1)\eta\in(0,1)η∈(0,1) if every nonzero X∈ker⁡SX\in\ker\mathcal SX∈kerS and every split X=X1+X2X=X_1+X_2X=X1​+X2​ with rank⁡X1≤k\operatorname{rank}X_1\le krankX1​≤k admit another split X=H1+H2X=H_1+H_2X=H1​+H2​ with rank⁡H1≤2k\operatorname{rank}H_1\le2krankH1​≤2k, ⟨H1,H2⟩=0\langle H_1,H_2\rangle=0⟨H1​,H2​⟩=0, X1H2T=0X_1H_2^{\mathsf T}=0X1​H2T​=0, X1TH2=0X_1^{\mathsf T}H_2=0X1T​H2​=0 and ∥H1∥∗≤η∥H2∥∗\|H_1\|_*\le\eta\|H_2\|_*∥H1​∥∗​≤η∥H2​∥∗​.

For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 the weight of XXX is W=UΣε−1UTW=U\Sigma_\varepsilon^{-1}U^{\mathsf T}W=UΣε−1​UT, where XXT=UΣ2UTXX^{\mathsf T}=U\Sigma^2U^{\mathsf T}XXT=UΣ2UT and Σε=diag⁡(max⁡{σj,ε})\Sigma_\varepsilon=\operatorname{diag}(\max\{\sigma_j,\varepsilon\})Σε​=diag(max{σj​,ε}). The IRLS-M algorithm with parameters K∈NK\in\mathbb NK∈N and γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 starts from W0=IW^0=IW0=I, ε0=1\varepsilon_0=1ε0​=1 and repeats

Xℓ∈arg⁡min⁡S(X)=M∥(Wℓ−1)1/2X∥F2,εℓ=min⁡{εℓ−1,γσK+1(Xℓ)},X^\ell\in\arg\min_{\mathcal S(X)=\mathscr M}\|(W^{\ell-1})^{1/2}X\|_F^2,\qquad\varepsilon_\ell=\min\{\varepsilon_{\ell-1},\gamma\sigma_{K+1}(X^\ell)\},Xℓ∈argS(X)=Mmin​∥(Wℓ−1)1/2X∥F2​,εℓ​=min{εℓ−1​,γσK+1​(Xℓ)},

with WℓW^\ellWℓ the weight of XℓX^\ellXℓ at level εℓ\varepsilon_\ellεℓ​; it stops when εℓ=0\varepsilon_\ell=0εℓ​=0. Two functionals organize the analysis: J(X,W)=12(∥W1/2X∥F2+∥W−1/2∥F2)\mathcal J(X,W)=\tfrac12(\|W^{1/2}X\|_F^2+\|W^{-1/2}\|_F^2)J(X,W)=21​(∥W1/2X∥F2​+∥W−1/2∥F2​), of which IRLS-M is an alternating minimization, and Jε(X)=∑i=1njε(σi(X))\mathcal J_\varepsilon(X)=\sum_{i=1}^n j^\varepsilon(\sigma_i(X))Jε​(X)=∑i=1n​jε(σi​(X)) with jε(u)=∣u∣j^\varepsilon(u)=|u|jε(u)=∣u∣ for ∣u∣≥ε|u|\ge\varepsilon∣u∣≥ε and (u2+ε2)/(2ε)(u^2+\varepsilon^2)/(2\varepsilon)(u2+ε2)/(2ε) otherwise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.11

For γ=1/n\gamma=1/nγ=1/n, any KKK, a surjective S\mathcal SS and any run (Xℓ,εℓ)(X^\ell,\varepsilon_\ell)(Xℓ,εℓ​):

(i)S SRNSP of order K, εℓ→0 ⟹ Xℓ→Xˉ, rank⁡Xˉ≤K, Xˉ=the unique nuclear norm minimizer.\text{(i)}\quad \mathcal S\ \text{SRNSP of order }K,\ \varepsilon_\ell\to0\ \Longrightarrow\ X^\ell\to\bar X,\ \operatorname{rank}\bar X\le K,\ \bar X=\text{the unique nuclear norm minimizer.}(i)S SRNSP of order K, εℓ​→0 ⟹ Xℓ→Xˉ, rankXˉ≤K, Xˉ=the unique nuclear norm minimizer.

(ii) If εℓ→ε>0\varepsilon_\ell\to\varepsilon>0εℓ​→ε>0, the iterates are relatively compact, their accumulation points minimize Jε\mathcal J_\varepsilonJε​ on the feasible set, and the sequence converges when that minimizer is unique; under the SRNSP with η<1−2/(K−2)\eta<1-2/(K-2)η<1−2/(K−2), every accumulation point Xˉ\bar XXˉ satisfies, for every feasible XXX and k<K−2η/(1−η)k<K-2\eta/(1-\eta)k<K−2η/(1−η),

∥X−Xˉ∥∗≤Λρk(X)∗,Λ=4(1+η)2(1−η)2((K−k)(1−η)−2η)+2(1+η)1−η.\|X-\bar X\|_*\le\Lambda\rho_k(X)_*,\qquad\Lambda=\frac{4(1+\eta)^2}{(1-\eta)^2((K-k)(1-\eta)-2\eta)}+\frac{2(1+\eta)}{1-\eta}.∥X−Xˉ∥∗​≤Λρk​(X)∗​,Λ=(1−η)2((K−k)(1−η)−2η)4(1+η)2​+1−η2(1+η)​.

(iii) Under the same SRNSP, if a feasible matrix of rank at most kkk exists, then εℓ→0\varepsilon_\ell\to0εℓ​→0.

Milestones

In attack order: the weighted least squares step (Lemma 5.1, the optimality condition (5.4)); the weight step (Lemma 5.2, Proposition 5.3); monotonicity of J\mathcal JJ along the run (Proposition 6.1); singular value facts (Weyl's Theorem 7.1, attainment of ρk\rho_kρk​ at the spectral truncation, Lemma 6.10, Proposition 7.2); null space theory (Theorem 6.3, the inverse triangle inequality Lemma 6.6 with (6.5), Corollary 6.7); and the two steps of the proof of (ii), the optimality condition (6.10) for Jε\mathcal J_\varepsilonJε​ and the bound (6.11).

Significance

Theorem 6.11 is the convergence guarantee of IRLS-M. Combined with the fact that a small rank restricted isometry constant implies the SRNSP (Proposition 6.8, the companion mission), it yields Proposition 2.1 of the paper: under δ4K<2−1\delta_{4K}<\sqrt2-1δ4K​<2​−1, IRLS-M recovers every rank-kkk matrix exactly and approximately low-rank matrices stably. Part (iii) says that the algorithm detects exact low-rank data on its own: the smoothing parameter must vanish.

The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof exists. A complete formalization would give a machine-checked convergence proof of an IRLS-type method; none is on the platform, for vectors or matrices. It also produces reusable matrix analysis: Weyl's perturbation bound for singular values, the nuclear norm best rank-kkk approximation (a Mirsky-type theorem), additivity of the nuclear norm under orthogonality, the null space characterization of nuclear norm recovery, and optimality conditions for spectral functions.

Difficulty

Two steps resist the obvious argument. First, the weight update is a constrained minimization over the positive definite cone; identifying its solution (Proposition 5.3) requires a duality or spectral argument rather than setting a gradient to zero, because the constraint W⪯ε−1IW\preceq\varepsilon^{-1}IW⪯ε−1I is active on small singular values. Second, in case (ii) the limit functional Jε\mathcal J_\varepsilonJε​ is convex but not strictly convex, so accumulation points cannot be pinned down by uniqueness; the analysis must instead pass the optimality condition (5.4) of the iterates to the limit, using continuity of the weights in the iterate, and derive (6.10). The step relating ∇Jε\nabla\mathcal J_\varepsilon∇Jε​ to WXˉW\bar XWXˉ needs the differentiability of unitarily invariant spectral functions, which the paper imports from Lewis and Sendov. Weyl's inequality and the spectral truncation facts, routine on paper, are not yet in Mathlib for rectangular matrices.

Formalization scope

All matrices are real (Matrix (Fin n) (Fin p) ℝ); the paper treats real and complex matrices alike. The paper's standing assumption n≤pn\le pn≤p is a hypothesis wherever n×nn\times nn×n objects (XXTXX^{\mathsf T}XXT, WWW, γ=1/n\gamma=1/nγ=1/n, Jε\mathcal J_\varepsilonJε​) occur. Nuclear norm, Frobenius norm, trace inner product and singular values come from the published definition HighDimStat_MatrixRank_Core; sv X i is σi+1(X)\sigma_{i+1}(X)σi+1​(X), 0-based. The measurement map is given by measurement matrices (observationOp), which represents every linear map to Rm\mathbb R^mRm. The weight is defined with Mathlib's continuous functional calculus, and W1/2W^{1/2}W1/2 is cfc Real.sqrt W. The algorithm is the relation IsRun: each Xℓ+1X^{\ell+1}Xℓ+1 is some minimizer of (2.9), X0X^0X0 is free, and εj=0\varepsilon_j=0εj​=0 after a stop. Accumulation points are MapClusterPt; uniqueness of a nuclear norm minimizer is a strict inequality against every other feasible matrix.

The goal cannot be satisfied vacuously: IsRun has a run for every surjective S\mathcal SS and every M\mathscr MM (Lemma 5.1 supplies the minimizers), it carries no positivity or uniqueness assumption a real run could violate, and the theorem keeps all three parts, including the unique-minimizer clause of (i) and the error bound of (ii) for every feasible XXX and every admissible kkk.

Two printed slips are corrected and disclosed: (5.5) omits the factor 12\tfrac1221​ of (5.1), and (6.5) reverses the bracket of (6.4) at ρk=0\rho_k=0ρk​=0. Contributions welcome: Weyl's inequality and the Mirsky-type truncation theorem for rectangular matrices, the spectral calculus behind Propositions 5.3 and (6.10), and proofs of the null space results, which are independent of the algorithm.

Selected references

  • M. Fornasier, H. Rauhut, R. Ward, Low-rank matrix recovery via iteratively reweighted least squares minimization, SIAM J. Optim. 21(4), 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1010.2471 (v4 is the version formalized)
  • B. Recht, M. Fazel, P. A. Parrilo, Guaranteed minimum-rank solutions of linear matrix equations via nuclear norm minimization, SIAM Review 52(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/070697835
  • B. Recht, W. Xu, B. Hassibi, Null space conditions and thresholds for rank minimization, Math. Program. 127, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-010-0422-2
  • I. Daubechies, R. DeVore, M. Fornasier, C. S. Güntürk, Iteratively reweighted least squares minimization for sparse recovery, Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 63(1), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.20303
  • K. Mohan, M. Fazel, Iterative reweighted least squares for matrix rank minimization, Proc. Allerton Conference, 2010; journal version Iterative reweighted algorithms for matrix rank minimization, JMLR 13, 2012. https://jmlr.org/papers/v13/mohan12a.html
  • E. J. Candès, B. Recht, Exact matrix completion via convex optimization, Found. Comput. Math. 9, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10208-009-9045-5
  • J.-F. Cai, E. J. Candès, Z. Shen, A singular value thresholding algorithm for matrix completion, SIAM J. Optim. 20(4), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1137/080738970
  • A. S. Lewis, H. S. Sendov, Nonsmooth analysis of singular values. I: Theory, Set-Valued Analysis 13(3), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11228-004-7197-7
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

On Metric Generators of Graphs 3: A Connected Minimum T-Join Exists Exactly When μ_G|T Is a Tree Metric Whose Minimal Realization Is a T′-Join Embedding Isometrically in GResearch Paper

Motivation

A TTT-join of a graph GGG is a set of edges FFF such that exactly the vertices of a prescribed even set TTT have odd degree in FFF. Minimum TTT-joins are a classical object of combinatorial optimization: they contain shortest paths (∣T∣=2|T|=2∣T∣=2), Chinese postman tours and perfect matchings as special cases, and their duality with TTT-cuts connects them to integral multiflows. Whether the minimum size τ(G,T)\tau(G,T)τ(G,T) of a TTT-join equals the maximum number ν(G,T)\nu(G,T)ν(G,T) of disjoint TTT-cuts has been studied extensively; equality always holds in bipartite graphs (Seymour 1981).

Sebő and Tannier (Math. Oper. Res. 2004) study the number of connected components of a minimum TTT-join, motivated by the observation that a minimum TTT-join with few components yields a large integral packing of TTT-cuts. Deciding whether some minimum TTT-join has at most kkk components is NP-complete in general (their Theorem 5). This mission formalizes the opposite end, k=1k=1k=1: Theorem 6 characterizes exactly when a minimum TTT-join can be chosen connected, in terms of the shortest-path metric of GGG restricted to TTT. The result first appeared in the authors' IPCO paper Connected joins in graphs (2001); the 2004 article derives it from its theory of isometric embeddings.

Setting

All graphs are finite, simple, undirected and connected. For vertices x,yx,yx,y of GGG, μG(x,y)\mu_G(x,y)μG​(x,y) is the number of edges of a shortest xxx–yyy path. For T⊆V(G)T\subseteq V(G)T⊆V(G), μG∣T\mu_G|_TμG​∣T​ is the restriction of μG\mu_GμG​ to pairs of vertices of TTT.

For an edge set F⊆E(G)F\subseteq E(G)F⊆E(G), deg⁡F(v)\deg_F(v)degF​(v) is the number of edges of FFF at vvv; FFF is a TTT-join if deg⁡F(v)\deg_F(v)degF​(v) is odd exactly when v∈Tv\in Tv∈T. A minimum TTT-join has the fewest edges among all TTT-joins; a minimal one has no proper subset that is a TTT-join. V(F)V(F)V(F) is the set of endpoints of edges of FFF; FFF is connected (a tree) when the graph (V(F),F)(V(F),F)(V(F),F) is connected (a tree), and μF\mu_FμF​ is the distance in (V(F),F)(V(F),F)(V(F),F).

An isometry from (X,μ)(X,\mu)(X,μ) to (Y,ν)(Y,\nu)(Y,ν) is a map fff with ν(f(x),f(y))=μ(x,y)\nu(f(x),f(y))=\mu(x,y)ν(f(x),f(y))=μ(x,y) for all x,yx,yx,y. A metric μ\muμ on a finite set XXX is a tree metric if there is a tree AAA (unit edge lengths) and an isometry ggg from (X,μ)(X,\mu)(X,μ) to AAA; the pair (A,g)(A,g)(A,g) is a realization. A realization is inclusionwise minimal if no proper subtree of AAA contains g(X)g(X)g(X). A tree AAA is an SSS-join if its vertices of odd degree are exactly those of SSS.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

For GGG connected and TTT nonempty of even cardinality,

∃ F minimum connected T-join  ⟺  {μG∣T is a tree metric, and for its minimal realization (A,g), T′:=g(T):A is a T′-join,∃ φ:V(A)→V(G) isometry with φ(g(t))=t (t∈T).\exists\,F\ \text{minimum connected }T\text{-join} \iff \begin{cases}\mu_G|_T \text{ is a tree metric, and for its minimal realization }(A,g),\ T':=g(T):\\ A \text{ is a } T'\text{-join},\\ \exists\,\varphi:V(A)\to V(G)\ \text{isometry with } \varphi(g(t))=t\ (t\in T).\end{cases}∃F minimum connected T-join⟺⎩⎨⎧​μG​∣T​ is a tree metric, and for its minimal realization (A,g), T′:=g(T):A is a T′-join,∃φ:V(A)→V(G) isometry with φ(g(t))=t (t∈T).​

The conditions are required of every minimal realization; all of them are isomorphic.

Milestones

  1. (p. 389) A minimal TTT-join is the edge-disjoint union of ∣T∣/2|T|/2∣T∣/2 paths pairing the vertices of TTT.
  2. (p. 391) In every realization of μ\muμ, the distance from g(x)g(x)g(x) to the g(y)g(y)g(y)–g(z)g(z)g(z) path equals 12(μ(x,y)+μ(x,z)−μ(y,z))\tfrac12(\mu(x,y)+\mu(x,z)-\mu(y,z))21​(μ(x,y)+μ(x,z)−μ(y,z)).
  3. (p. 391) A tree metric has an inclusionwise minimal realization, unique up to an isomorphism respecting the realization maps.
  4. (Lemma 2, p. 392) A connected TTT-join FFF is minimum if and only if FFF is a tree and μF=μG\mu_F=\mu_GμF​=μG​ on V(F)V(F)V(F).
  5. (p. 392) If AAA is a T′T'T′-join and φ\varphiφ an isometry from AAA to GGG extending g−1g^{-1}g−1, the image of AAA under φ\varphiφ is a TTT-join that is a tree with μF=μG\mu_F=\mu_GμF​=μG​ on V(F)V(F)V(F).

Significance

Theorem 6 turns the existence of a connected minimum TTT-join, a question about all TTT-joins of GGG, into conditions on the finite metric μG∣T\mu_G|_TμG​∣T​ alone plus one isometric embedding of a tree into GGG. Tree metrics can be recognized and their minimal realization constructed efficiently (Buneman 1974), and the embedding problem is the one solved in §2 of the paper, since T′T'T′ contains all leaves of AAA. The authors deduce that connected minimum TTT-joins can be found in polynomial time, which contrasts with the NP-completeness of the same question for kkk components. A consequence stated in the paper: if the minimal realization of μG∣T\mu_G|_TμG​∣T​ is not a T′T'T′-join, then no minimum TTT-join is connected.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked version of Theorem 6, of Lemma 2, or of the uniqueness of minimal tree realizations is known to exist; Mathlib has graph distances, trees and walks, but neither TTT-joins nor tree metrics. The mission produces these definitions and a formal proof of the characterization; the complexity consequence is out of scope.

Difficulty

The central difficulty is in the necessity direction. A connected minimum TTT-join FFF is itself a minimal realization of μG∣T\mu_G|_TμG​∣T​ (Lemma 2), so FFF satisfies the conditions; but the conditions concern the minimal realization, and transferring them from FFF to an arbitrary minimal realization requires that minimal realizations are unique up to a label-preserving isomorphism. That uniqueness (milestone 3) is the step where the obvious approach stops: it is a statement about all trees realizing a metric, not about the graph GGG.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph V with [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V]; G.Connected is a hypothesis of every statement about GGG (SimpleGraph.dist is 000 on unreachable pairs). Distances are natural numbers (SimpleGraph.dist).
  • Edge sets are Finset (Sym2 V). Connectivity, the tree property and μF\mu_FμF​ refer to the graph with edge set FFF induced on V(F)V(F)V(F), not on all of VVV.
  • "Minimum" is "∣F∣≤∣F′∣|F|\le|F'|∣F∣≤∣F′∣ for every TTT-join F′F'F′", never an infimum over N\mathbb NN.
  • A realization is a tree on Fin N together with a map g:X→g:X\tog:X→ Fin N; this avoids quantifying over a universe. A tree metric must satisfy μ(x,y)=0⇒x=y\mu(x,y)=0\Rightarrow x=yμ(x,y)=0⇒x=y.
  • "The unique minimal realization" is encoded by quantifying over all inclusionwise minimal realizations. A goal that only asks for some minimal realization satisfying the conditions is a different, weaker statement (its necessity half needs no uniqueness) and is not this mission's target.
  • T≠∅T\neq\emptysetT=∅ is added: for T=∅T=\emptysetT=∅ the minimum TTT-join is empty and its connectivity is only a convention.
  • "fff is the inverse of ggg and φ\varphiφ extends fff" is encoded as φ(g(t))=t\varphi(g(t))=tφ(g(t))=t. Isometries preserve all distances, not only adjacency.
  • Halving and subtraction (milestone 2) are multiplied out.

Reusable beyond this mission: the TTT-join vocabulary, the path decomposition of minimal TTT-joins, and tree metrics with the uniqueness of minimal realizations. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of milestone 3.

Selected references

  • András Sebő, Eric Tannier, On Metric Generators of Graphs, Mathematics of Operations Research 29(2):383–393, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1030.0070
  • András Sebő, Eric Tannier, Connected joins in graphs, Integer Programming and Combinatorial Optimization (IPCO 2001), Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2081, 383–395, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-45535-3
  • Peter Buneman, A note on the metric properties of trees, Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B 17:48–50, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(74)90047-1
  • Paul Seymour, On odd cuts and plane multicommodity flows, Proceedings of the London Mathematical Society 42:178–192, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1112/plms/s3-42.1.178
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Numerical AnalysisOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Robust Gradient Sampling Algorithm for Nonsmooth, Nonconvex Optimization: With Fixed Sampling Radius ε, Gradient Sampling Almost Surely Stops at or Clusters at a Clarke ε-Stationary PointResearch Paper

Motivation

Many objective functions in engineering and statistics are nonsmooth and nonconvex: the spectral abscissa of a parametrized matrix, the largest eigenvalue of a symmetric matrix function, the H∞H_\inftyH∞​ norm of a closed-loop system, or a maximum of finitely many smooth functions. Such functions are typically differentiable almost everywhere, yet their minimizers usually sit exactly where the gradient fails to exist. Gradient descent then zig-zags or stalls, and bundle methods, which are designed for convex functions, lose their guarantees.

Burke, Lewis and Overton (SIAM J. Optim. 15 (2005) 751–779) proposed the gradient sampling (GS) algorithm: at each iterate, sample gradients at random nearby points, take the element of least norm in their convex hull, and search along its negative. The method needs nothing beyond gradients at points of differentiability, and it has since become a standard tool for nonsmooth, nonconvex minimization (Burke, Curtis, Lewis, Overton, Simões, 2020). This mission formalizes the paper's convergence theory.

Timeline. Goldstein (1977) introduced the ϵ\epsilonϵ-subdifferential of a Lipschitz function and a conceptual descent method built on it. Clarke's generalized gradient (Clarke 1983) supplied the stationarity notion. Burke, Lewis and Overton (2005) made Goldstein's idea implementable by random sampling and proved almost-sure convergence to Clarke ϵ\epsilonϵ-stationary points for a fixed sampling radius. Kiwiel (2007) revisited the analysis and proved convergence for a modified version of the algorithm.

Setting

Let f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R be locally Lipschitz, and let D⊆RnD\subseteq\mathbb R^nD⊆Rn be an open dense set on which fff is continuously differentiable. Write B\mathbb BB for the closed Euclidean unit ball, and fix x~\tilde xx~ such that the level set L={x:f(x)≤f(x~)}\mathcal L=\{x: f(x)\le f(\tilde x)\}L={x:f(x)≤f(x~)} is compact.

The Clarke subdifferential ∂ˉf(x)\bar\partial f(x)∂ˉf(x) is the convex hull of all limits lim⁡i∇f(x+hi)\lim_i\nabla f(x+h_i)limi​∇f(x+hi​) with hi→0h_i\to0hi​→0 and fff differentiable at each x+hix+h_ix+hi​. For ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 define

Gϵ(x)=cl⁡conv⁡∇f((x+ϵB)∩D),ρϵ(x)=dist⁡(0∣Gϵ(x)),G_\epsilon(x)=\operatorname{cl}\operatorname{conv}\nabla f\big((x+\epsilon\mathbb B)\cap D\big),\qquad \rho_\epsilon(x)=\operatorname{dist}\big(0\mid G_\epsilon(x)\big),Gϵ​(x)=clconv∇f((x+ϵB)∩D),ρϵ​(x)=dist(0∣Gϵ​(x)),

and the Clarke ϵ\epsilonϵ-subdifferential ∂ˉϵf(x)=cl⁡conv⁡⋃∥y−x∥≤ϵ∂ˉf(y)\bar\partial_\epsilon f(x)=\operatorname{cl}\operatorname{conv}\bigcup_{\|y-x\|\le\epsilon}\bar\partial f(y)∂ˉϵ​f(x)=clconv⋃∥y−x∥≤ϵ​∂ˉf(y). A point is Clarke ϵ\epsilonϵ-stationary if 0∈∂ˉϵf(x)0\in\bar\partial_\epsilon f(x)0∈∂ˉϵ​f(x), and Clarke stationary if 0∈∂ˉf(x)0\in\bar\partial f(x)0∈∂ˉf(x).

The GS algorithm. Fix x0∈L∩Dx^0\in\mathcal L\cap Dx0∈L∩D, γ,β∈(0,1)\gamma,\beta\in(0,1)γ,β∈(0,1), ϵ0>0\epsilon_0>0ϵ0​>0, ν0≥0\nu_0\ge0ν0​≥0, μ∈(0,1]\mu\in(0,1]μ∈(0,1], θ∈(0,1]\theta\in(0,1]θ∈(0,1] and a sample size m≥n+1m\ge n+1m≥n+1. At iteration kkk:

  1. Draw uk1,…,ukmu^{k1},\dots,u^{km}uk1,…,ukm independently and uniformly from B\mathbb BB and set xkj=xk+ϵkukjx^{kj}=x^k+\epsilon_k u^{kj}xkj=xk+ϵk​ukj. If some xkj∉Dx^{kj}\notin Dxkj∈/D, stop. Otherwise let Gk=conv⁡{∇f(xk),∇f(xk1),…,∇f(xkm)}G_k=\operatorname{conv}\{\nabla f(x^k),\nabla f(x^{k1}),\dots,\nabla f(x^{km})\}Gk​=conv{∇f(xk),∇f(xk1),…,∇f(xkm)}.
  2. Let gkg^kgk be the least-norm element of GkG_kGk​. If νk=∥gk∥=0\nu_k=\|g^k\|=0νk​=∥gk∥=0, stop. If ∥gk∥≤νk\|g^k\|\le\nu_k∥gk∥≤νk​, set tk=0t_k=0tk​=0, νk+1=θνk\nu_{k+1}=\theta\nu_kνk+1​=θνk​, ϵk+1=μϵk\epsilon_{k+1}=\mu\epsilon_kϵk+1​=μϵk​ and go to step 4. Otherwise keep νk+1=νk\nu_{k+1}=\nu_kνk+1​=νk​, ϵk+1=ϵk\epsilon_{k+1}=\epsilon_kϵk+1​=ϵk​ and set dk=−gk/∥gk∥d^k=-g^k/\|g^k\|dk=−gk/∥gk∥.
  3. Let tkt_ktk​ be the largest γs\gamma^sγs, s∈{0,1,2,… }s\in\{0,1,2,\dots\}s∈{0,1,2,…}, with f(xk+γsdk)<f(xk)−βγs∥gk∥f(x^k+\gamma^s d^k)<f(x^k)-\beta\gamma^s\|g^k\|f(xk+γsdk)<f(xk)−βγs∥gk∥.
  4. If xk+tkdk∈Dx^k+t_kd^k\in Dxk+tk​dk∈D, set xk+1=xk+tkdkx^{k+1}=x^k+t_kd^kxk+1=xk+tk​dk. Otherwise pick any x^k∈xk+ϵkB\hat x^k\in x^k+\epsilon_k\mathbb Bx^k∈xk+ϵk​B with x^k+tkdk∈D\hat x^k+t_kd^k\in Dx^k+tk​dk∈D and f(x^k+tkdk)<f(xk)−βtk∥gk∥f(\hat x^k+t_kd^k)<f(x^k)-\beta t_k\|g^k\|f(x^k+tk​dk)<f(xk)−βtk​∥gk∥, and set xk+1=x^k+tkdkx^{k+1}=\hat x^k+t_kd^kxk+1=x^k+tk​dk.

With ν0=0\nu_0=0ν0​=0 and μ=1\mu=1μ=1 the radius stays fixed, ϵk=ϵ0=ϵ\epsilon_k=\epsilon_0=\epsilonϵk​=ϵ0​=ϵ: this is fixed-radius mode.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4 (p. 760)

In fixed-radius mode, with probability 111, either the algorithm stops at some iteration k0k_0k0​ with ρϵ(xk0)=0\rho_\epsilon(x^{k_0})=0ρϵ​(xk0​)=0, or it runs forever and there is a subsequence JJJ with

ρϵ(xk)→k∈J0,0∈∂ˉϵf(xˉ)  for every cluster point xˉ of {xk}k∈J.\rho_\epsilon(x^k)\xrightarrow[k\in J]{}0,\qquad 0\in\bar\partial_\epsilon f(\bar x)\ \text{ for every cluster point }\bar x\text{ of }\{x^k\}_{k\in J}.ρϵ​(xk)k∈J​0,0∈∂ˉϵ​f(xˉ)  for every cluster point xˉ of {xk}k∈J​.

The theorem asserts nothing about ∥gk∥\|g^k\|∥gk∥ along JJJ; the authors list ∥gk∥→J0\|g^k\|\to_J0∥gk∥→J​0 as an open question.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's argument: the minimax characterization of the search direction (Lemma 2.1), the line-search descent estimate and the descent property of the iterates (§2), the almost-sure absence of a Step 1 stop, upper semicontinuity of ρϵ\rho_\epsilonρϵ​ and the uniform covering of Lemma 3.2(iv)–(v), Lebourg's mean value theorem (Theorem 3.3), the representation ∂ˉf(x)=⋂ϵ>0Gϵ(x)\bar\partial f(x)=\bigcap_{\epsilon>0}G_\epsilon(x)∂ˉf(x)=⋂ϵ>0​Gϵ​(x), the estimate of Lemma 3.1, the inclusion Gϵ(x)⊆∂ˉϵf(x)G_\epsilon(x)\subseteq\bar\partial_\epsilon f(x)Gϵ​(x)⊆∂ˉϵ​f(x), and the closed graph of ∂ˉϵf\bar\partial_\epsilon f∂ˉϵ​f.

Companions

Well-posedness of the algorithm (every sample realization admits a run), Corollary 3.5(1) (the C1C^1C1 case: ∥gk∥→0\|g^k\|\to0∥gk∥→0), Corollary 3.6 (Clarke ϵj\epsilon_jϵj​-stationary points with ϵj↓0\epsilon_j\downarrow0ϵj​↓0 cluster at Clarke stationary points, and with a unique stationary point in L\mathcal LL the sets CjC_jCj​ converge to it in the Hausdorff sense), Corollary 3.7 (with a unique stationary point in L\mathcal LL, small ϵ\epsilonϵ forces the run near it), and Theorem 3.8 (the variable-radius mode with ν0>0\nu_0>0ν0​>0).

Significance

Theorem 3.4 is the first convergence guarantee for a practical method on general locally Lipschitz, nonconvex functions that uses only gradients at points of differentiability. It holds for a fixed sampling radius, the setting where most of the work is, and Corollaries 3.6–3.7 and Theorem 3.8 transfer it to radii decreasing to zero, which is how the method is used in practice. Later gradient sampling variants and their analyses start from these results.

The results are proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of them is known. A formalization would make the probabilistic structure precise, which the paper leaves informal (see Formalization scope), and would certify the hypotheses under which the theorem holds. Already the statements record two such corrections.

Difficulty

The natural argument, "f(xk)f(x^k)f(xk) decreases and L\mathcal LL is compact, so the steps tk∥gk∥t_k\|g^k\|tk​∥gk∥ tend to zero, hence ∥gk∥→0\|g^k\|\to0∥gk∥→0", fails: tkt_ktk​ can go to zero while ∥gk∥\|g^k\|∥gk∥ stays bounded away from zero. The difficulty is to show that, on the event inf⁡kρϵ(xk)>0\inf_k\rho_\epsilon(x^k)>0infk​ρϵ​(xk)>0, the random samples land infinitely often in a configuration whose sampled hull nearly realizes ρϵ\rho_\epsilonρϵ​ at a fixed nearby point, uniformly over a compact set of iterates, and that the failed trial step at such an iteration contradicts the Armijo rule. The iterates depend on all past samples, so independence across iterations cannot be used directly.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), ∇f\nabla f∇f is Mathlib's gradient, the Clarke subdifferential is the published ClarkeGradients.Shared.generalizedGradient, and dist⁡(0∣C)\operatorname{dist}(0\mid C)dist(0∣C) is Metric.infDist 0 C. Local Lipschitz continuity is Mathlib's LocallyLipschitz; continuous differentiability on DDD is ContDiffOn ℝ 1 f D.
  • A run is a predicate IsGSRun on the iterates, radii, tolerances, step lengths, least-norm vectors, directions and a stopping index τ∈N∪{∞}\tau\in\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}τ∈N∪{∞}, imposing Steps 0–4 up to τ\tauτ. "max⁡γs\max\gamma^smaxγs" is the least admissible sss, and the Armijo and (2) inequalities are strict.
  • A random run (IsRandomGSRun) lives on a probability space with a filtration (Fk)(\mathcal F_k)(Fk​): the samples are uniform on B\mathbb BB, independent within an iteration, and independent of Fk\mathcal F_kFk​, while xk,ϵk,νkx^k,\epsilon_k,\nu_kxk,ϵk​,νk​ are Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-measurable. The Step 4 choice may use the past and extra randomness but never future samples. "With probability 1" is ∀ᵐ. The paper's event E\mathcal EE, the realizations that hit every positive-measure subset of Bm\mathbb B^mBm infinitely often, is not used, because no sequence has that property.
  • Added hypothesis vol⁡(Dc)=0\operatorname{vol}(D^c)=0vol(Dc)=0. An open dense set can have a complement of positive measure, and then Step 1 stops with positive probability, so Theorem 3.4 would fail. Every probabilistic statement, and the two inclusions ∂ˉf(x)⊆Gϵ(x)\bar\partial f(x)\subseteq G_\epsilon(x)∂ˉf(x)⊆Gϵ​(x), ∂ˉϵ1f(x)⊆Gϵ2(x)\bar\partial_{\epsilon_1}f(x)\subseteq G_{\epsilon_2}(x)∂ˉϵ1​​f(x)⊆Gϵ2​​(x) (which fail without it), carry this hypothesis.
  • Trivializing encodings are ruled out. The run predicate is satisfiable for every sample realization (a companion statement), so the goal is not vacuous. The Step 4 choice cannot anticipate future samples. The conclusion is almost sure, not sure.
  • Reusable infrastructure: the Clarke ϵ\epsilonϵ-subdifferential and its closed graph, Lebourg's mean value theorem for the published Clarke subdifferential, Lemma 2.1 (a finite-dimensional minimax identity), and a conditional Borel–Cantelli argument for adaptively placed targets. Contributions to any of these are welcome, as are proofs of the companion corollaries.

Selected references

  • J. V. Burke, A. S. Lewis, M. L. Overton, A robust gradient sampling algorithm for nonsmooth, nonconvex optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 15(3) (2005) 751–779. https://doi.org/10.1137/030601296
  • F. H. Clarke, Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis, Wiley, 1983; reprinted SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics 5, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971309
  • A. A. Goldstein, Optimization of Lipschitz continuous functions, Math. Programming 13 (1977) 14–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01584320
  • K. C. Kiwiel, Convergence of the gradient sampling algorithm for nonsmooth nonconvex optimization, SIAM J. Optim. 18(2) (2007) 379–388. https://doi.org/10.1137/050639673
  • J. V. Burke, F. E. Curtis, A. S. Lewis, M. L. Overton, L. E. A. Simões, Gradient sampling methods for nonsmooth optimization, in Numerical Nonsmooth Optimization, Springer, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.11003
14 thms1 active userReviewed
🏆Completed
Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: marwahaha

OpenAI matrix multiplication: the 9/4 boundResearch Paper

Matrix multiplication and arithmetic cost

Multiplying matrices is a basic operation whose asymptotic cost is measured by the number of scalar arithmetic operations needed as the matrix dimensions increase. The familiar entry-by-entry algorithm has cubic cost. The question addressed here is how small an exponent can describe exact multiplication of square matrices when algorithms may use more elaborate finite computations. OpenAI's October 2, 2026 paper establishes the bound 9/49/49/4 for matrices over the complex numbers. Its Theorem 1.1 concerns asymptotic arithmetic complexity, with arbitrarily small positive slack in the exponent.

Finite programs and admissible exponents

An arithmetic program is a finite sequence of register computations. A step can load a field constant, read an input entry, or add, subtract, or multiply two values from preceding registers. Constant loads and input reads have zero cost. Each addition, subtraction, and multiplication has cost one. There is no division operation in this program model. Outputs are selected registers, and a program is correct only when these outputs equal the matrix product for every pair of input matrices.

For a field FFF, a real number τ\tauτ is an admissible exponent if, for every real ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, there exists a real constant C>0C>0C>0 such that every integer size n≥1n\geq1n≥1 admits a correct program with cost at most Cnτ+εC n^{\tau+\varepsilon}Cnτ+ε. The constant must work uniformly for all sizes and all input entries. The chosen program may depend on nnn and ε\varepsilonε. The definition does not charge for a separate procedure that constructs these programs. The arithmetic matrix multiplication exponent ωF\omega_FωF​ is the real infimum of the set of admissible exponents.

Formalization target

The goal is exactly the complex-field exponent conclusion of OpenAI's Theorem 1.1:

ωC≤94.\omega_{\mathbb C}\leq\frac94.ωC​≤49​.

In the Lean source, the quantity on the left is OAI.MatrixMultiplication.Arithmetic.omega ℂ. The bound on the right is the exact real rational (9 : ℝ) / 4, equal to 2.252.252.25. The inequality is non-strict. The theorem does not assert a strict inequality below 9/49/49/4, and it is not quantified over arbitrary fields.

The paper also states the corresponding algorithmic conclusion with every positive exponent slack. The goal here retains the exact infimum formulation used by its released comparator challenge. In particular, the bound should not be read as asserting that one fixed family has cost Cn9/4C n^{9/4}Cn9/4 without any slack, or that an algorithm is efficient at a specified finite matrix size.

What the formal result provides

The result places 9/49/49/4 above the asymptotic arithmetic exponent in a model with explicitly defined programs, outputs, correctness, and operation counts. It gives a statement that other formal developments can use without leaving those conventions implicit. The dependence on the complex field is part of that statement, so results using another field or another computational model require their own justified connection.

This is a port and verification of an existing proof, not a claim that the source theorem remains unproved. The released Lean development contains the proof entry point. Keeping the original definitions and conclusion allows compatibility changes to be reviewed independently of the mathematical claim.

Why the supporting development matters

An asymptotic exponent bound requires one uniform cost constant for every positive matrix size, while correctness quantifies over all pairs of matrices at each size. A computation for selected dimensions or selected inputs cannot satisfy those requirements. Arguments about tensors must also support the stated arithmetic program cost, including the operations needed for the relevant linear combinations. The infimum formulation makes its defining set and the interpretation of its bounds part of the supporting mathematics, rather than assumptions to insert into the target theorem.

Formalization scope and conventions

The environment is Lean 4.33.1 with Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Matrices are functions on finite index sets. Program evaluation and output selection give exact field values. The main theorem fixes the field to C\mathbb CC, excludes size zero from admissibility, and uses real powers for its cost estimates. Constants may be arbitrary complex numbers; no bit-cost interpretation is asserted.

The definition item preserves the original source block, including its rectangular matrix multiplication definitions and complex dual exponent. Those additional definitions support the shared source development but are not additional mission goals. A complete proof must establish the displayed bound without an admitted lemma, a new axiom, or an assumption equivalent to that bound. Reusable components include the arithmetic program model, finite tensor constructions, asymptotic bounds, and the bridge from tensor rank to arithmetic operations.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, An Upper Bound of 9/4 for the Matrix Multiplication Exponent, preprint, October 2, 2026. Paper, Theorem 1.1.
  • OpenAI, MatrixMultiplication comparator challenge and Lean development, 2026, source revision adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a. Exact challenge statement.
2 thms1 active userReviewed
Numerical AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Numerical Scheme for BSDEs: The Step-Process Scheme Converges in L² at Rate |π| log(1/|π|), and at Rate |π| for L¹-Lipschitz or Markovian Terminal Values (Theorem 6.1)Research Paper

Why discretize a backward SDE

A backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) prescribes the terminal value of a process instead of its initial value. Pardoux and Peng (1990) proved that a BSDE with Lipschitz driver has a unique adapted solution. Coupled with a forward diffusion it gives a forward–backward SDE (FBSDE), which represents the solution of a semilinear parabolic PDE (nonlinear Feynman–Kac formula) and, in mathematical finance, the price and hedging strategy of a contingent claim, including path-dependent ones such as lookback and Asian options (El Karoui, Peng and Quenez, 1997). In high dimension or with path-dependent payoffs the PDE route is impractical, so one wants a time-discretization of the FBSDE itself, with a proven rate of convergence.

Zhang (2004) gave such a scheme for terminal values that are Lipschitz functionals of the whole path of the forward diffusion, and proved that it converges in mean square at rate ∣π∣log⁡(1/∣π∣)|\pi|\log(1/|\pi|)∣π∣log(1/∣π∣), and at rate ∣π∣|\pi|∣π∣ for L1L^1L1-Lipschitz or Markovian terminal values. The key input is a new L2L^2L2-regularity estimate for the martingale integrand ZZZ. The same regularity estimate underlies the analysis of the Bouchard–Touzi scheme (2004) and of regression-based Monte Carlo methods (Gobet, Lemor and Warin, 2005).

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0, a probability space carrying a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion WWW, and its natural filtration F={Ft}\mathbb F=\{\mathcal F_t\}F={Ft​} augmented by the null sets. For x∈Rdx\in\mathbb R^dx∈Rd the FBSDE is

Xt=x+∫0tb(s,Xs) ds+∫0tσ(s,Xs) dWs,Yt=Φ(X)+∫tTf(s,Xs,Ys,Zs) ds−∫tTZs dWs,(2.1)X_t=x+\int_0^t b(s,X_s)\,ds+\int_0^t\sigma(s,X_s)\,dW_s,\qquad Y_t=\Phi(X)+\int_t^T f(s,X_s,Y_s,Z_s)\,ds-\int_t^T Z_s\,dW_s ,\tag{2.1}Xt​=x+∫0t​b(s,Xs​)ds+∫0t​σ(s,Xs​)dWs​,Yt​=Φ(X)+∫tT​f(s,Xs​,Ys​,Zs​)ds−∫tT​Zs​dWs​,(2.1)

where Xt∈RdX_t\in\mathbb R^dXt​∈Rd, Yt,Zt∈RY_t,Z_t\in\mathbb RYt​,Zt​∈R, b,σ,fb,\sigma,fb,σ,f are deterministic functions and Φ\PhiΦ is a deterministic functional of the path X=(Xt)0≤t≤TX=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}X=(Xt​)0≤t≤T​.

Assumption 2.3 asks that b,σ,fb,\sigma,fb,σ,f be continuous, 12\tfrac1221​-Hölder in time and Lipschitz in the space variables, that Φ\PhiΦ be L∞L^\inftyL∞-Lipschitz,

∣Φ(x1)−Φ(x2)∣≤Ksup⁡0≤t≤T∣x1(t)−x2(t)∣|\Phi(x_1)-\Phi(x_2)|\le K\sup_{0\le t\le T}|x_1(t)-x_2(t)|∣Φ(x1​)−Φ(x2​)∣≤K0≤t≤Tsup​∣x1​(t)−x2​(t)∣

for càdlàg paths x1,x2x_1,x_2x1​,x2​, all with one constant K>0K>0K>0, and that sup⁡t{∣b(t,0)∣+∣σ(t,0)∣+∣f(t,0,0,0)∣}+∣Φ(0)∣≤K\sup_t\{|b(t,0)|+|\sigma(t,0)|+|f(t,0,0,0)|\}+|\Phi(0)|\le Ksupt​{∣b(t,0)∣+∣σ(t,0)∣+∣f(t,0,0,0)∣}+∣Φ(0)∣≤K. Φ\PhiΦ is L1L^1L1-Lipschitz if the supremum can be replaced by ∫0T∣x1(t)−x2(t)∣ dt\int_0^T|x_1(t)-x_2(t)|\,dt∫0T​∣x1​(t)−x2​(t)∣dt.

A partition is π:0=t0<⋯<tn=T\pi:0=t_0<\dots<t_n=Tπ:0=t0​<⋯<tn​=T, with Δti=ti−ti−1\Delta t_i=t_i-t_{i-1}Δti​=ti​−ti−1​ and ∣π∣=max⁡iΔti|\pi|=\max_i\Delta t_i∣π∣=maxi​Δti​; it is κ\kappaκ-uniform if Δti≥∣π∣/κ\Delta t_i\ge|\pi|/\kappaΔti​≥∣π∣/κ for all iii. The Euler scheme is Xt0π=xX^\pi_{t_0}=xXt0​π​=x, Xtiπ=Xti−1π+b(ti−1,Xti−1π)Δti+σ(ti−1,Xti−1π)(Wti−Wti−1)X^\pi_{t_{i}}=X^\pi_{t_{i-1}}+b(t_{i-1},X^\pi_{t_{i-1}})\Delta t_i+\sigma(t_{i-1},X^\pi_{t_{i-1}})(W_{t_i}-W_{t_{i-1}})Xti​π​=Xti−1​π​+b(ti−1​,Xti−1​π​)Δti​+σ(ti−1​,Xti−1​π​)(Wti​​−Wti−1​​), and its step process is X^tπ=Xti−1π\hat X^\pi_t=X^\pi_{t_{i-1}}X^tπ​=Xti−1​π​ on [ti−1,ti)[t_{i-1},t_i)[ti−1​,ti​). With ξπ=Φ(X^π)\xi^\pi=\Phi(\hat X^\pi)ξπ=Φ(X^π) the backward scheme is Ytnπ=ξπY^\pi_{t_n}=\xi^\piYtn​π​=ξπ and, for t∈[ti−1,ti)t\in[t_{i-1},t_i)t∈[ti−1​,ti​),

Ytπ=Ytiπ+f(ti,Xtiπ,Ytiπ,Ztiπ,1)Δti−∫ttiZrπ dWr,Ztiπ,1=1Δti+1E{∫titi+1Zrπ dr ∣ Fti},Y^\pi_t=Y^\pi_{t_i}+f\big(t_i,X^\pi_{t_i},Y^\pi_{t_i},Z^{\pi,1}_{t_i}\big)\Delta t_i-\int_t^{t_i}Z^\pi_r\,dW_r,\qquad Z^{\pi,1}_{t_i}=\frac1{\Delta t_{i+1}}E\Big\{\int_{t_i}^{t_{i+1}}Z^\pi_r\,dr\,\Big|\,\mathcal F_{t_i}\Big\},Ytπ​=Yti​π​+f(ti​,Xti​π​,Yti​π​,Zti​π,1​)Δti​−∫tti​​Zrπ​dWr​,Zti​π,1​=Δti+1​1​E{∫ti​ti+1​​Zrπ​dr​Fti​​},

with Ztnπ,1=0Z^{\pi,1}_{t_n}=0Ztn​π,1​=0. The numerical approximations are the step processes Y^tπ=Yti−1π\hat Y^\pi_t=Y^\pi_{t_{i-1}}Y^tπ​=Yti−1​π​ and Z^tπ=Zti−1π,1\hat Z^\pi_t=Z^{\pi,1}_{t_{i-1}}Z^tπ​=Zti−1​π,1​ on [ti−1,ti)[t_{i-1},t_i)[ti−1​,ti​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1, (6.5)–(6.6)

Assume Assumption 2.3 and that ZZZ is càdlàg. If fff does not depend on zzz, or π\piπ is κ\kappaκ-uniform, then

sup⁡0≤t≤TE{∣Yt−Y^tπ∣2}+E{∫0T∣Zt−Z^tπ∣2dt}≤C(1+∣x∣2) ∣π∣log⁡1∣π∣(6.5)\sup_{0\le t\le T}E\{|Y_t-\hat Y^\pi_t|^2\}+E\Big\{\int_0^T|Z_t-\hat Z^\pi_t|^2dt\Big\}\le C(1+|x|^2)\,|\pi|\log\frac1{|\pi|}\tag{6.5}0≤t≤Tsup​E{∣Yt​−Y^tπ​∣2}+E{∫0T​∣Zt​−Z^tπ​∣2dt}≤C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣log∣π∣1​(6.5)

for ∣π∣≤e−1/2|\pi|\le e^{-1/2}∣π∣≤e−1/2, and, if moreover Φ\PhiΦ is L1L^1L1-Lipschitz or Φ(X)=g(XT)\Phi(X)=g(X_T)Φ(X)=g(XT​), the same left-hand side is at most C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣C(1+|x|^2)|\pi|C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣ (6.6). The constant CCC depends only on TTT, KKK, κ\kappaκ and ddd. The goal fixes the rates and leaves CCC unspecified.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.2: ∥Zt∥p≤Cp(1+∣x∣)\|Z_t\|_p\le C_p(1+|x|)∥Zt​∥p​≤Cp​(1+∣x∣), and the time-regularity E{∣Xt−Xti−1∣2+∣Yt−Yti−1∣2}≤C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣E\{|X_t-X_{t_{i-1}}|^2+|Y_t-Y_{t_{i-1}}|^2\}\le C(1+|x|^2)|\pi|E{∣Xt​−Xti−1​​∣2+∣Yt​−Yti−1​​∣2}≤C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣.
  2. Lemma 3.3 and Corollary 3.4, a weighted martingale inequality over a partition.
  3. Theorem 3.1, the L2L^2L2-regularity of ZZZ: ∑iE∫ti−1ti[∣Zt−Zti−1∣2+∣Zt−Zti∣2] dt≤C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣\sum_i E\int_{t_{i-1}}^{t_i}[|Z_t-Z_{t_{i-1}}|^2+|Z_t-Z_{t_i}|^2]\,dt\le C(1+|x|^2)|\pi|∑i​E∫ti−1​ti​​[∣Zt​−Zti−1​​∣2+∣Zt​−Zti​​∣2]dt≤C(1+∣x∣2)∣π∣.
  4. Lemma 4.1, Theorem 4.2 and Corollary 4.4: errors of the Euler scheme, its step process, and Φ(X^π)\Phi(\hat X^\pi)Φ(X^π).
  5. Lemma 5.4 (a backward discrete Gronwall inequality), Theorem 5.3 and Remark 5.5 (the scheme at the grid points), and Theorem 5.6 (the step processes).

Significance

Theorem 6.1 gives an explicit, implementable scheme for FBSDEs with path-dependent terminal values and a mean-square rate that is sharp up to the logarithm: by Remark 4.3 the factor log⁡(1/∣π∣)\log(1/|\pi|)log(1/∣π∣) cannot be removed for L∞L^\inftyL∞-Lipschitz functionals, since it is already present in the uniform error of the Euler step process. Theorem 3.1 is reusable on its own: any time-discretization of a BSDE whose error is measured against Zti−1Z_{t_{i-1}}Zti−1​​ needs it.

All results are proved in the paper. As far as is known, none has a machine-checked proof; the platform has no prior BSDE discretization result. The work is formalizing the known proofs, which needs the L2L^2L2 Itô integral, Itô's isometry and martingale representation, the standard a priori estimates for SDEs and BSDEs, and Doob's maximal inequality in continuous time.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the BSDE and the scheme step by step and closes with a discrete Gronwall inequality (Lemma 5.4). Its error terms include E∫ti−1ti∣Zr−Zti−1∣2drE\int_{t_{i-1}}^{t_i}|Z_r-Z_{t_{i-1}}|^2drE∫ti−1​ti​​∣Zr​−Zti−1​​∣2dr, and no pointwise estimate E∣Zt−Zs∣2≤C∣t−s∣E|Z_t-Z_s|^2\le C|t-s|E∣Zt​−Zs​∣2≤C∣t−s∣ is available: ZZZ is only square integrable in time, with no continuity modulus in general. The proof therefore needs the summed L2L^2L2-regularity of Theorem 3.1, whose proof goes through smooth approximations of the coefficients and of Φ\PhiΦ, the representation of ZZZ by the variational process ∇X\nabla X∇X, and the martingale inequality of Lemma 3.3. The log⁡(1/∣π∣)\log(1/|\pi|)log(1/∣π∣) rate comes from the maximum of nnn Gaussian increments, which an estimate of sup⁡tE\sup_tEsupt​E cannot see.

Formalization scope

Time is ℝ≥0; the state space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d); the Brownian motion is the coordinate 000 of a Fin 1-indexed standard Brownian motion; F\mathbb FF is the augmented filtration. These, the L2L^2L2 Itô integral and the class L2(F)L^2(\mathbb F)L2(F) are reused from the published modules Peng1990_SMP_Stochastic and ReflectedBSDE_Existence_Setting. Every expectation and time integral of a square is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a non-integrable error cannot make a bound vacuous; this rules out the trivializing formalization in which a Bochner integral of a non-integrable error is 000.

The solutions (X,Y,Z)(X,Y,Z)(X,Y,Z) and (Yπ,Zπ)(Y^\pi,Z^\pi)(Yπ,Zπ) are quantified as solutions of their equations; the Euler scheme, X^π\hat X^\piX^π, Zπ,1Z^{\pi,1}Zπ,1, Y^π\hat Y^\piY^π, Z^π\hat Z^\piZ^π are constructed. Each constant CCC is chosen before the probability space, the data, the solution and the partition. Disclosed readings: (i) the log-rate statements assume ∣π∣≤e−1/2|\pi|\le e^{-1/2}∣π∣≤e−1/2, the paper's "π\piπ fine enough" (p. 478); (ii) "ZZZ is càdlàg" includes ZT=ZT−Z_T=Z_{T-}ZT​=ZT−​; (iii) the uniformity constant of Definition 5.2 is κ\kappaκ, not KKK, and CCC may depend on it; (iv) the Hölder constant in time is KKK; (v) X^Tπ=XTπ\hat X^\pi_T=X^\pi_TX^Tπ​=XTπ​, Y^Tπ=YTπ\hat Y^\pi_T=Y^\pi_TY^Tπ​=YTπ​, Z^Tπ=0\hat Z^\pi_T=0Z^Tπ​=0; (vi) Lemma 3.3 uses ∣Λti−1∣|\Lambda_{t_{i-1}}|∣Λti−1​​∣ in place of Λti−1\Lambda_{t_{i-1}}Λti−1​​, which strengthens it; (vii) Lemma 5.4 assumes C≥0C\ge0C≥0. Completeness of the probability space is not used.

Not formalized here: Lemma 2.2 (smooth approximation of Φ\PhiΦ, cited from Ma–Zhang), the background Lemmas 2.4–2.7, and the representation (6.3)–(6.4) of the scheme by functions of the Euler grid values. Welcome contributions: the SDE and BSDE a priori estimates under Lipschitz coefficients, Itô's isometry and martingale representation for the reused Itô integral, and Doob's L2L^2L2 inequality in continuous time; all are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Zhang, A numerical scheme for BSDEs, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14(1), 459–488, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1075828058
  • E. Pardoux and S. Peng, Adapted solution of a backward stochastic differential equation, Systems Control Lett. 14, 55–61, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6911(90)90082-6
  • N. El Karoui, S. Peng and M. C. Quenez, Backward stochastic differential equations in finance, Math. Finance 7(1), 1–71, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9965.00022
  • J. Ma and J. Zhang, Representation theorems for backward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 12(4), 1390–1418, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1037125868
  • B. Bouchard and N. Touzi, Discrete-time approximation and Monte-Carlo simulation of backward stochastic differential equations, Stochastic Process. Appl. 111(2), 175–206, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spa.2004.01.001
  • E. Gobet, J.-P. Lemor and X. Warin, A regression-based Monte Carlo method to solve backward stochastic differential equations, Ann. Appl. Probab. 15(3), 2172–2202, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/105051605000000412
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Linearly Parameterized Bandits 4: For Finitely Many Arms, the Uncertainty Ellipsoid Policy Has Regret at Most a₆|U|‖z‖ + a₇|U| Σᵤ min{log T/Δᵘ(z), TΔᵘ(z)}Research Paper

Motivation

In a linearly parameterized bandit, the expected rewards of many arms are driven by a small number of unknown parameters. Each arm is a vector u∈Rru \in \mathbb R^ru∈Rr, and its expected reward is the inner product u′Zu'Zu′Z with an unknown parameter vector ZZZ. Problems of this kind arise in marketing and revenue management, where each product is described by rrr features (price, popularity, …) and the expected revenues of thousands of products are, to a good approximation, linear in a few unknown feature weights. Pulling one arm then reveals information about all of them, and a good policy has to exploit this correlation.

Rusmevichientong and Tsitsiklis (arXiv:0812.3465v2, 2010) studied this model with unbounded, sub-Gaussian noise and a prior on ZZZ. They proved an Ω(rT)\Omega(r\sqrt T)Ω(rT​) lower bound, a matching policy for smooth arm sets, and the Uncertainty Ellipsoid (UE) policy for arbitrary arm sets. This mission formalizes their Theorem 4.2: when the set of arms is finite, the regret of UE grows like log⁡T\log TlogT, within a constant factor of the Lai–Robbins lower bound for the classical multi-armed bandit (Lai and Robbins, 1985).

Timeline.

  • 1985: Lai and Robbins prove that, for independent arms, the regret of any uniformly good policy grows at least like log⁡T\log TlogT, and give policies attaining it.
  • 2002: Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer give the finite-time UCB1 analysis (doi:10.1023/A:1013689704352), whose pull-count argument the UE analysis adapts. Auer, in the same year, studies linear payoffs with confidence bounds (JMLR 3).
  • 2010: Rusmevichientong and Tsitsiklis treat unbounded sub-Gaussian noise with an anytime policy (UE), and prove the log⁡T\log TlogT regret and log⁡2T\log^2 Tlog2T Bayes-risk bounds for finitely many arms formalized here.

Setting

Let r≥2r \ge 2r≥2 and let Ur⊂Rr\mathcal U_r \subset \mathbb R^rUr​⊂Rr be a finite, nonempty set of arms. Fix z∈Rrz \in \mathbb R^rz∈Rr, the value of the unknown parameter. Playing arm uuu in period ttt yields the reward Xt=u′z+WtX_t = u'z + W_tXt​=u′z+Wt​. The noise WtW_tWt​ is drawn afresh in each period from a law νu\nu_uνu​ that depends only on the arm played, independently of the past. A policy chooses the arm Ut+1U_{t+1}Ut+1​ of period t+1t+1t+1 as a function of the history Ht=(U1,X1,…,Ut,Xt)H_t = (U_1, X_1, \dots, U_t, X_t)Ht​=(U1​,X1​,…,Ut​,Xt​). The regret given Z=zZ = zZ=z is

Regret(z,T,ψ)=∑t=1TE[max⁡v∈Urv′z−Ut′z ∣ Z=z],\mathrm{Regret}(z, T, \psi) = \sum_{t=1}^T \mathbb E\Big[\max_{v \in \mathcal U_r} v'z - U_t'z \,\Big|\, Z = z\Big],Regret(z,T,ψ)=t=1∑T​E[v∈Ur​max​v′z−Ut′​z​Z=z],

and for a prior μ\muμ of ZZZ the Bayes risk is Risk(T,ψ)=EZ∼μ[Regret(Z,T,ψ)]\mathrm{Risk}(T, \psi) = \mathbb E_{Z \sim \mu}[\mathrm{Regret}(Z, T, \psi)]Risk(T,ψ)=EZ∼μ​[Regret(Z,T,ψ)]. The gap of arm uuu is Δu(z)=max⁡v∈Urv′z−u′z\Delta^u(z) = \max_{v \in \mathcal U_r} v'z - u'zΔu(z)=maxv∈Ur​​v′z−u′z, and Nu(z,T)N^u(z, T)Nu(z,T) is the number of periods among the first TTT in which uuu is played.

Assumption 1.

  • (a) Every νu\nu_uνu​ has mean zero and E[exW]≤ex2σ02/2\mathbb E[e^{xW}] \le e^{x^2\sigma_0^2/2}E[exW]≤ex2σ02​/2 for all xxx.
  • (b) Every arm has norm at most uˉ\bar uuˉ, and Ur\mathcal U_rUr​ contains rrr linearly independent arms b1,…,brb_1, \dots, b_rb1​,…,br​ with λmin⁡(∑kbkbk′)≥λ0\lambda_{\min}(\sum_k b_kb_k') \ge \lambda_0λmin​(∑k​bk​bk′​)≥λ0​.

The UE policy first plays b1,…,brb_1, \dots, b_rb1​,…,br​. It then forms the least squares estimate Z^t=Ct∑s≤tUsXs\widehat Z_t = C_t\sum_{s\le t}U_sX_sZt​=Ct​∑s≤t​Us​Xs​ with Ct=(∑s≤tUsUs′)−1C_t = (\sum_{s \le t} U_sU_s')^{-1}Ct​=(∑s≤t​Us​Us′​)−1, and plays an arm maximizing v′Z^t+Rtvv'\widehat Z_t + R^v_tv′Zt​+Rtv​. The uncertainty radius is

Rtv=αlog⁡tmin⁡{rlog⁡t,∣Ur∣} v′Ctv,R^v_t = \alpha\sqrt{\log t}\sqrt{\min\{r\log t, |\mathcal U_r|\}}\,\sqrt{v'C_tv},Rtv​=αlogt​min{rlogt,∣Ur​∣}​v′Ct​v​,

with α=4σ0κ02\alpha = 4\sigma_0\kappa_0^2α=4σ0​κ02​ and κ0=21+log⁡(1+36uˉ2/λ0)\kappa_0 = 2\sqrt{1 + \log(1 + 36\bar u^2/\lambda_0)}κ0​=21+log(1+36uˉ2/λ0​)​. Ties are broken arbitrarily.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2

There are constants a6,a7>0a_6, a_7 > 0a6​,a7​>0 depending only on σ0,uˉ,λ0\sigma_0, \bar u, \lambda_0σ0​,uˉ,λ0​ such that for all T≥r+1T \ge r+1T≥r+1 and zzz,

Regret(z,T,UE)≤a6∣Ur∣ ∥z∥+a7∣Ur∣∑u∈Urmin⁡{log⁡TΔu(z),TΔu(z)}.\mathrm{Regret}(z, T, \mathrm{UE}) \le a_6|\mathcal U_r|\,\|z\| + a_7|\mathcal U_r|\sum_{u \in \mathcal U_r}\min\Big\{\frac{\log T}{\Delta^u(z)}, T\Delta^u(z)\Big\}.Regret(z,T,UE)≤a6​∣Ur​∣∥z∥+a7​∣Ur​∣u∈Ur​∑​min{Δu(z)logT​,TΔu(z)}.

If moreover each Δu(Z)\Delta^u(Z)Δu(Z) has a point mass at 000 and a density bounded by M0M_0M0​ on R+\mathbb R_+R+​, there are a8,a9>0a_8, a_9 > 0a8​,a9​>0 depending only on σ0,uˉ,λ0,M0\sigma_0, \bar u, \lambda_0, M_0σ0​,uˉ,λ0​,M0​ with

Risk(T,UE)≤a8∣Ur∣ E∥Z∥+a9∣Ur∣2log⁡2T.\mathrm{Risk}(T, \mathrm{UE}) \le a_8|\mathcal U_r|\,\mathbb E\|Z\| + a_9|\mathcal U_r|^2\log^2 T.Risk(T,UE)≤a8​∣Ur​∣E∥Z∥+a9​∣Ur​∣2log2T.

The constants are left unspecified, as in the paper. Their existence, uniformly in rrr and in the arm set, is the content.

Milestones

  • Theorem B.1 and Theorem B.2: Chernoff-type deviation bounds for adaptive least squares, with factors t5∣Ur∣t^{5|\mathcal U_r|}t5∣Ur​∣ and trκ02t^{r\kappa_0^2}trκ02​.
  • Lemma B.6: the radius RtuR^u_tRtu​ is exceeded with probability at most 1/t21/t^21/t2.
  • The pull-count bound of App. B.3: E[Nu(z,T)]≤6+4α2∣Ur∣log⁡T/Δu(z)2\mathbb E[N^u(z,T)] \le 6 + 4\alpha^2|\mathcal U_r|\log T/\Delta^u(z)^2E[Nu(z,T)]≤6+4α2∣Ur​∣logT/Δu(z)2 for every suboptimal arm.
  • The regret decomposition Regret=∑uΔu(z) E[Nu(z,T)]\mathrm{Regret} = \sum_u\Delta^u(z)\,\mathbb E[N^u(z,T)]Regret=∑u​Δu(z)E[Nu(z,T)].
  • The risk bound E[min⁡{log⁡T/Δu(Z),TΔu(Z)}]≤(M0+1)log⁡T+M0log⁡2T\mathbb E[\min\{\log T/\Delta^u(Z), T\Delta^u(Z)\}] \le (M_0+1)\log T + M_0\log^2 TE[min{logT/Δu(Z),TΔu(Z)}]≤(M0​+1)logT+M0​log2T.

Significance

The result. For a fixed finite arm set, Theorem 4.2 shows that a single anytime policy, which does not know TTT, has regret O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) for every parameter and Bayes risk O(log⁡2T)O(\log^2 T)O(log2T). It does this with unbounded noise and correlated arms. The dependence on the problem enters only through the gaps Δu(z)\Delta^u(z)Δu(z) and the number of arms. The companion result for general compact arm sets (Theorem 4.1) gives only O~(rT)\tilde O(r\sqrt T)O~(rT​). The finite case shows that the same policy adapts to the easier problem.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved on paper. As far as is known, it has no machine-checked proof. The platform's finite-armed bandit library (Lattimore–Szepesvári) has the regret decomposition and UCB pull-count bounds for independent arms, e.g. BanditAlgorithm.bandit_regret_decomposition. Those statements live in a different model and do not apply to correlated linear rewards with a least squares estimator. This mission adds:

  • self-normalized deviation bounds for adaptively collected least squares estimates, under per-arm sub-Gaussian noise;
  • a pull-count analysis that runs through a matrix-valued confidence radius;
  • the Bayes-risk integration under a density condition.

Difficulty

The arms are chosen adaptively, so the design matrix ∑sUsUs′\sum_s U_sU_s'∑s​Us​Us′​ is random and depends on the noise. Applied with the realized CtC_tCt​, the classical Chernoff bound for a fixed weighted sum of independent noises is not valid. The obvious union bound over arms does not apply either: the event concerns the random matrix CtC_tCt​, not one arm. In the pull-count bound, the radius of arm uuu must be controlled through the number of times uuu was played, although CtC_tCt​ mixes all arms, and the Gram matrix of the other arms may be singular.

Formalization scope

  • Space. Rr\mathbb R^rRr is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin r), so ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is Euclidean. The source is arXiv:0812.3465v2; its printed page numbers equal the PDF's.
  • Model.
    • The arm set is a finite nonempty Set, and ∣Ur∣|\mathcal U_r|∣Ur​∣ is its ncard. Theorem B.2 and Lemma B.6, which the paper states for any compact arm set, are stated for compact nonempty arm sets, as printed.
    • The noise is a Markov kernel u↦νuu \mapsto \nu_uu↦νu​.
    • The law of the history given Z=zZ = zZ=z is built period by period, with fresh noise from νUt+1\nu_{U_{t+1}}νUt+1​​. This is the paper's model: noises independent of each other and of ZZZ, identically distributed in ttt, mean zero.
    • Policies are deterministic and history-dependent, with measurable selection rules. The paper uses this measurability implicitly.
    • Regret is Tmax⁡vv′z−E[∑tUt′z]T\max_v v'z - \mathbb E[\sum_t U_t'z]Tmaxv​v′z−E[∑t​Ut′​z].
    • Assumption 1(a) is an mgf bound written with a lower integral, so the exponential moments are finite. Assumption 1(b) writes λmin⁡≥λ0\lambda_{\min} \ge \lambda_0λmin​≥λ0​ as λ0∥x∥2≤∑k(bk′x)2\lambda_0\|x\|^2 \le \sum_k (b_k'x)^2λ0​∥x∥2≤∑k​(bk′​x)2.
    • A UE run is any measurable policy that plays b1,…,brb_1, \dots, b_rb1​,…,br​ first and then an arg max of (7). The theorems hold for every tie-breaking rule.
  • Constants. They are quantified before rrr, the arm set, the noise, the policy, TTT, zzz and the prior, so they cannot depend on any of these.
  • Corrections and added hypotheses.
    • The pull-count bound is stated for arms with Δu(z)>0\Delta^u(z) > 0Δu(z)>0. As printed, it divides by a zero gap for an optimal arm.
    • The risk part assumes E∥Z∥<∞\mathbb E\|Z\| < \inftyE∥Z∥<∞ and concludes the integrability of the regret.
  • Conventions.
    • An optimal arm contributes min⁡{log⁡T/0,0}=0\min\{\log T/0, 0\} = 0min{logT/0,0}=0, the paper's reading and Lean's value.
    • The density condition says that, on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), the law of Δu(Z)\Delta^u(Z)Δu(Z) is at most M0M_0M0​ times Lebesgue measure.
  • No trivializing reading. The regret is never a junk-valued integral that makes the bound free: the integrand is bounded and measurable, and a junk value would only raise the regret. The width min⁡{rlog⁡t,∣Ur∣}\min\{r\log t, |\mathcal U_r|\}min{rlogt,∣Ur​∣} uses the true cardinality, so the radius is not zero.
  • Contributions welcome. Reusable pieces are the history-measure construction, Chernoff bounds for adaptive designs, and the deviation bounds of Theorems B.1–B.2, which the companion mission on general compact arm sets also needs.

Selected references

  • P. Rusmevichientong, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Linearly Parameterized Bandits, arXiv:0812.3465v2, 24 Feb 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0812.3465
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules, Advances in Applied Mathematics 6, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, P. Fischer, Finite-time analysis of the multiarmed bandit problem, Machine Learning 47, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013689704352
  • P. Auer, Using confidence bounds for exploitation–exploration trade-offs, JMLR 3, 2002. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/auer02a.html
  • V. H. de la Peña, M. J. Klass, T. L. Lai, Self-normalized processes: exponential inequalities, moment bounds and iterated logarithm laws, Annals of Probability 32, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1214/009117904000000397
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Dynamic ProgrammingMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning VI: In a Deterministic MDP an Algorithm Acts T-Step Optimally at All but NAT TimestepsTextbook

Motivation

A reinforcement-learning agent that does not know its environment has to act and learn at once. Each step spent gathering information about unfamiliar states is a step not spent collecting reward, and an agent that only exploits what it already knows may never find better behaviour. Chapter 8 of Kakade's thesis (Kakade 2003) turns this trade-off into a counting question. Run an algorithm for an arbitrarily long time on one unbroken path of experience, with no resets. At how many timesteps does it fail to act optimally with respect to a fixed planning horizon TTT? Kakade calls this number the sample complexity of exploration.

The question builds on two algorithms. E3E^3E3 (Kearns and Singh 2002) gave the first polynomial-time guarantee for near-optimal behaviour in an unknown MDP. RmaxR_{max}Rmax​ (Brafman and Tennenholtz 2002) replaced E3E^3E3's explicit explore-or-exploit switch by optimism: unknown states are treated as maximally rewarding. Kakade's chapter sharpens the analysis of RmaxR_{max}Rmax​. For deterministic MDPs it shows that the number of non-optimal steps is at most NATNATNAT, which matches its own lower bound. The thesis notes that its deterministic results are similar to those of Koenig and Simmons (1993), with the dependence on NNN, AAA and TTT made explicit (pp. 99, 104). The later PAC-MDP literature (for example Strehl, Li and Littman 2009) took this counting notion as its standard measure of exploration efficiency.

Setting

An MDP MMM has a finite set SSS of NNN states, a finite nonempty set of AAA actions, a transition model P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a) and a deterministic reward r(s,a)∈[0,1]r(s,a)\in[0,1]r(s,a)∈[0,1]. A deterministic MDP has a next-state map fff, with P(s′∣s,a)=1P(s'\mid s,a)=1P(s′∣s,a)=1 exactly when s′=f(s,a)s'=f(s,a)s′=f(s,a).

Online model. An algorithm A\mathcal AA is a deterministic function that maps the path observed so far, (s0,a0,r0,…,st)(s_0,a_0,r_0,\dots,s_t)(s0​,a0​,r0​,…,st​), to the next action ata_tat​. Started at s0s_0s0​, it produces one path c=(s0,a0,s1,a1,… )c=(s_0,a_0,s_1,a_1,\dots)c=(s0​,a0​,s1​,a1​,…); ctc_tct​ is the subpath up to sts_tst​. The TTT-step end time t′t't′ of ttt is the smallest multiple of TTT larger than ttt. The TTT-step value of the algorithm on ctc_tct​ is the normalized reward it collects until t′t't′,

UA(ct)=1T E[∑τ=tt′−1r(sτ,aτ)],U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)=\frac1T\,\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{\tau=t}^{t'-1}r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\Big],UA​(ct​)=T1​E[τ=t∑t′−1​r(sτ​,aτ​)],

and U∗(ct)U^*(c_t)U∗(ct​) is the supremum of this quantity over all algorithms continuing from ctc_tct​.

TTT-step policies. A TTT-step policy π\piπ is a sequence of deterministic decision rules π(⋅,0),…,π(⋅,T−1)\pi(\cdot,0),\dots,\pi(\cdot,T-1)π(⋅,0),…,π(⋅,T−1). Its ttt-value is Uπ,t,M(s)=1TE[∑τ=tT−1r(sτ,aτ)∣st=s]U_{\pi,t,M}(s)=\frac1T\mathbb E[\sum_{\tau=t}^{T-1}r(s_\tau,a_\tau)\mid s_t=s]Uπ,t,M​(s)=T1​E[∑τ=tT−1​r(sτ​,aτ​)∣st​=s], and Ut,M∗(s)U^*_{t,M}(s)Ut,M∗​(s) is the supremum over TTT-step policies. For a set of states KKK, the induced MDP MKM_KMK​ agrees with MMM on KKK and makes every state outside KKK absorbing with reward 111. The escape probability Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s)\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s)Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s) is the probability that the path (st,…,sT−1)(s_t,\dots,s_{T-1})(st​,…,sT−1​) of π\piπ in MMM leaves KKK. A transition model P^\hat PP^ is an ε\varepsilonε-approximation to PPP if ∑s′∣P^(s′∣s,a)−P(s′∣s,a)∣<ε\sum_{s'}|\hat P(s'\mid s,a)-P(s'\mid s,a)|<\varepsilon∑s′​∣P^(s′∣s,a)−P(s′∣s,a)∣<ε for every (s,a)(s,a)(s,a).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.3.5 (deterministic sample complexity)

For every NNN, AAA and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 there is one algorithm A\mathcal AA such that, for every deterministic MDP with rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], every start state and every LLL,

#{ t<L: UA(ct)≠U∗(ct) } ≤ NAT.\#\{\,t<L:\ U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)\neq U^*(c_t)\,\}\ \le\ NAT .#{t<L: UA​(ct​)=U∗(ct​)} ≤ NAT.

Milestones

  • Lemma 8.4.4 (induced inequalities). For every TTT-step policy, every t<Tt<Tt<T and every state sss,
Uπ,t,MK(s)≥Uπ,t,M(s)≥Uπ,t,MK(s)−Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s).U_{\pi,t,M_K}(s)\ge U_{\pi,t,M}(s)\ge U_{\pi,t,M_K}(s)-\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s).Uπ,t,MK​​(s)≥Uπ,t,M​(s)≥Uπ,t,MK​​(s)−Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s).
  • Corollary 8.4.5 (implicit explore or exploit). If π\piπ is TTT-step optimal in MKM_KMK​, then for every t<Tt<Tt<T and every state sss,
Uπ,t,M(s)≥Ut,M∗(s)−Pr⁡(escape from K∣π,M,st=s).U_{\pi,t,M}(s)\ge U^*_{t,M}(s)-\Pr(\text{escape from }K\mid\pi,M,s_t=s).Uπ,t,M​(s)≥Ut,M∗​(s)−Pr(escape from K∣π,M,st​=s).
  • Deterministic escapes (p. 114). In a deterministic MDP every escape probability is 000 or 111.
  • Non-escaping steps are optimal (p. 114). In a deterministic MDP, an optimal policy of MKM_KMK​ that does not escape from (s,t)(s,t)(s,t) satisfies Uπ,t,M(s)=Ut,M∗(s)U_{\pi,t,M}(s)=U^*_{t,M}(s)Uπ,t,M​(s)=Ut,M∗​(s).
  • Lemma 8.5.4 (ε\varepsilonε-approximation condition). If P^\hat PP^ is an ε\varepsilonε-approximation to PPP and the rewards agree, then ∣Uπ,t,M^(s)−Uπ,t,M(s)∣<εT|U_{\pi,t,\hat M}(s)-U_{\pi,t,M}(s)|<\varepsilon T∣Uπ,t,M^​(s)−Uπ,t,M​(s)∣<εT for all π\piπ, sss and t<Tt<Tt<T.
  • Lemma 8.5.5, pinned. If m≥8Nε2log⁡2Nδm\ge\frac{8N}{\varepsilon^2}\log\frac{2N}\deltam≥ε28N​logδ2N​ with ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, then the empirical distribution of mmm independent samples from a distribution ppp on NNN points satisfies ∑i∣p^(i)−p(i)∣≤ε\sum_i|\hat p(i)-p(i)|\le\varepsilon∑i​∣p^​(i)−p(i)∣≤ε with probability greater than 1−δ1-\delta1−δ.

Significance

The result. The bound NATNATNAT does not depend on LLL. However long the agent runs, only a fixed number of its steps fail to be TTT-step optimal. The thesis's Theorem 8.3.6 shows that every algorithm has Ω(NAT)\Omega(NAT)Ω(NAT) such steps on some deterministic MDP, so for deterministic MDPs the upper and lower bounds coincide. The induced-MDP lemmas carry over unchanged to stochastic MDPs. Together with Lemmas 8.5.4 and 8.5.5, they give the chapter's general bound (Theorem 8.3.1). They are the template for later optimism-based analyses, which compare an optimistic model with the true one and charge the difference to the probability of leaving the known region.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the thesis; neither Mathlib nor the Prove2Me catalog contains a machine-checked version of any of them. A complete development would contain:

  • a verified finite-horizon dynamic-programming layer (backward recursions, optimal TTT-step values as suprema);
  • a simulation lemma in ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​;
  • a concentration bound for empirical distributions whose sample size is linear in NNN;
  • an explicit construction of an online exploration algorithm, with a counting argument about its run.

The proof of Lemma 8.5.5 in the thesis uses a Chernoff bound of the form P(∣p^i−pi∣>αpi)≤2e−α2pim/2P(|\hat p_i-p_i|>\alpha p_i)\le2e^{-\alpha^2p_im/2}P(∣p^​i​−pi​∣>αpi​)≤2e−α2pi​m/2. This form fails for the upper tail when α>1\alpha>1α>1, so the pinned statement needs a different argument.

Difficulty

The algorithm must be fixed before the MDP. It knows nothing about fff or rrr beyond what its own path reveals, yet the count has to hold for every MDP, every start state and every run length at once. A direct approach could explore each state-action pair once and then plan. That does not bound the count. Exploration is interleaved with exploitation, the agent can only reach unknown pairs through known states, and every step on the way is judged against the full TTT-step optimum of the current cycle. The work lies in charging each non-optimal step to a distinct newly tried state-action pair, with at most TTT steps charged per pair, while the planning policy is recomputed every time the set of known states grows. In the stochastic lemmas, the main issue is that Ut,M∗U^*_{t,M}Ut,M∗​ is a supremum over all TTT-step policies, so the comparison has to go through MKM_KMK​ for every competing policy, not only the planner's.

Formalization scope

  • Model. SSS and AAA are finite types, AAA nonempty; N=∣S∣N=|S|N=∣S∣ and A=∣A∣A=|A|A=∣A∣. Rewards are deterministic, with 0≤r≤10\le r\le10≤r≤1 a hypothesis of every statement. Transition models are IsTransitionKernel functions P(s′∣s,a)P(s'\mid s,a)P(s′∣s,a).
  • Normalization and time. Values carry the factor 1/T1/T1/T, so they lie in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; epochs are 0-based. TTT-step policies are functions N→S→A\mathbb N\to S\to AN→S→A, entered into the canonical stochastic TTT-epoch layer as indicator policies. Ut,M∗U^*_{t,M}Ut,M∗​ is the supremum over these policies, which is bounded under the hypotheses.
  • Online model. In the online model the algorithm has type List (S × A × ℝ) → S → A. The run is defined by recursion and is infinite. UA(ct)U_{\mathcal A}(c_t)UA​(ct​) is the realised normalized sum up to the end time, and U∗(ct)U^*(c_t)U∗(ct​) is the backward recursion Wt′−t(st)W_{t'-t}(s_t)Wt′−t​(st​), which is the supremum over algorithms by the Markov property. The count runs over t<Lt<Lt<L for every LLL.
  • Corrections to the printed text. Corollary 8.4.5 is stated for t<Tt<Tt<T, where its quantities are defined; the printed range is t≤Tt\le Tt≤T. Lemma 8.5.5 carries an explicit sample size in place of O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅).

Four formalizations would make the goal trivial or false, and each is excluded:

  • quantifying the algorithm after the MDP, which lets it read fff and rrr;
  • giving the algorithm a type that takes fff or rrr as an argument;
  • defining U∗U^*U∗ as a junk real supremum;
  • hiding rewards from the observed path, which makes the statement false.

Reusable beyond this mission are the finite-horizon value layer, the induced-MDP and escape-probability lemmas, and the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ concentration bound. Contributions to any of these are useful independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • S. M. Kakade, On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning, PhD thesis, Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, University College London, 2003. https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10100726/
  • R. I. Brafman and M. Tennenholtz, R-max — a general polynomial time algorithm for near-optimal reinforcement learning, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3, 2002. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/brafman02a.html
  • M. Kearns and S. Singh, Near-optimal reinforcement learning in polynomial time, Machine Learning 49, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1017984413808
  • A. L. Strehl, L. Li and M. L. Littman, Reinforcement learning in finite MDPs: PAC analysis, Journal of Machine Learning Research 10, 2009. https://jmlr.org/papers/v10/strehl09a.html
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