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Operations Research

1,660 missions · 825 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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Linear OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rules in Stochastic and Robust Optimization 3: In Multistage Programs, the Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rule Problems Equal the LPs (4.2) and (4.6)Research Paper

Motivation

A linear multistage stochastic program chooses decisions over TTT stages while a random vector is revealed one piece at a time; each decision may depend only on what has been observed so far. Such programs model production planning, capacity expansion, hydro scheduling and portfolio problems. Computing their optimal value exactly is intractable in general: Shapiro and Nemirovski argue that even medium-accuracy solutions are out of reach when the number of stages grows (Shapiro–Nemirovski 2005), and already the one-stage problem is #P-hard (Dyer–Stougie 2006, Theorem 3.2, as cited by the paper).

Linear decision rules restrict every decision to be an affine function of the observations. Introduced for robust optimization by Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (2004) and carried into stochastic programming by Shapiro and Nemirovski and by Chen, Sim, Sun and Zhang (2008), they turn the problem into a finite one whose optimal value is an upper bound. Kuhn, Wiesemann and Georghiou (Optimization Online 2009/02/2218; Math. Program. 130, 2011) apply the same restriction to the dual problem, which yields a lower bound. They show that, for polyhedral supports, both bounds are values of explicit linear programs. This mission formalizes the multistage version of that statement, Theorem 3 of the preprint.

Setting

Stages are t∈T={1,…,T}t \in \mathbb T = \{1,\dots,T\}t∈T={1,…,T}. The uncertainty is ξ=(ξ1,…,ξT)∈Rk\xi = (\xi_1,\dots,\xi_T) \in \mathbb R^kξ=(ξ1​,…,ξT​)∈Rk with ξt∈Rkt\xi_t \in \mathbb R^{k_t}ξt​∈Rkt​ and k=∑tktk = \sum_t k_tk=∑t​kt​; by convention k1=1k_1 = 1k1​=1 and ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1. The history at stage ttt is ξt=(ξ1,…,ξt)∈Rkt\xi^t = (\xi_1,\dots,\xi_t) \in \mathbb R^{k^t}ξt=(ξ1​,…,ξt​)∈Rkt, kt=∑s≤tksk^t = \sum_{s\le t} k_skt=∑s≤t​ks​, and the truncation operator Pt=[ I  0 ]∈Rkt×kP_t = [\,I\ \ 0\,] \in \mathbb R^{k^t\times k}Pt​=[I  0]∈Rkt×k maps ξ\xiξ to ξt\xi^tξt. The law P\mathbb PP of ξ\xiξ has support Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}\Xi = \{\xi : W\xi \ge h\}Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}, a nonempty bounded polyhedron spanning Rk\mathbb R^kRk, whose first two constraints encode ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1. Et\mathbb E_tEt​ denotes conditional expectation given ξt\xi^tξt, and M=E(ξξ⊤)M = \mathbb E(\xi\xi^\top)M=E(ξξ⊤) is the second-order moment matrix.

A stage-ttt decision is a square-integrable Borel function xtx_txt​ of ξt\xi^tξt (written xt∈Lkt,nt2x_t \in \mathcal L^2_{k^t,n_t}xt​∈Lkt,nt​2​). The program MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP minimizes

E(∑t=1Tct(ξt)⊤xt(ξt))subject toEt(∑s=1TAtsxs(ξs))≤bt(ξt)  P-a.s., t∈T,\mathbb E\Big(\sum_{t=1}^T c_t(\xi^t)^\top x_t(\xi^t)\Big) \quad\text{subject to}\quad \mathbb E_t\Big(\sum_{s=1}^T A_{ts}x_s(\xi^s)\Big) \le b_t(\xi^t)\ \ \mathbb P\text{-a.s.},\ t\in\mathbb T,E(t=1∑T​ct​(ξt)⊤xt​(ξt))subject toEt​(s=1∑T​Ats​xs​(ξs))≤bt​(ξt)  P-a.s., t∈T,

with deterministic matrices AtsA_{ts}Ats​, ct(ξt)=CtPtξc_t(\xi^t) = C_tP_t\xict​(ξt)=Ct​Pt​ξ and bt(ξt)=BtPtξb_t(\xi^t) = B_tP_t\xibt​(ξt)=Bt​Pt​ξ. The linear conditional mean assumption requires Et(ξ)=MtPtξ\mathbb E_t(\xi) = M_tP_t\xiEt​(ξ)=Mt​Pt​ξ almost surely for some Mt∈Rk×ktM_t \in \mathbb R^{k\times k^t}Mt​∈Rk×kt; it holds, for example, for stagewise independent data.

The primal approximation MSPu\mathcal{MSP}^uMSPu sets xt(ξt)=XtPtξx_t(\xi^t) = X_tP_t\xixt​(ξt)=Xt​Pt​ξ and slacks st(ξt)=StPtξs_t(\xi^t) = S_tP_t\xist​(ξt)=St​Pt​ξ. The dual approximation MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl keeps general rules xt,stx_t, s_txt​,st​ but imposes the slack equations only in the weak form E([∑sAtsxs+st−bt][Ptξ]⊤)=0\mathbb E([\sum_s A_{ts}x_s + s_t - b_t][P_t\xi]^\top) = 0E([∑s​Ats​xs​+st​−bt​][Pt​ξ]⊤)=0. The linear programs (4.2) and (4.6) are written in the matrices XtX_tXt​, multipliers Λt\Lambda_tΛt​ and slack matrices StS_tSt​, with Nt=MPt⊤(PtMPt⊤)−1N_t = MP_t^\top(P_tMP_t^\top)^{-1}Nt​=MPt⊤​(Pt​MPt⊤​)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 22)

Under the standing assumptions, the linear conditional mean assumption, and strict feasibility of MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP,

val(MSPu)=val(4.2)and, if k≥2 or W^≠0,val(MSPl)=val(4.6),\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^u) = \mathrm{val}(4.2) \qquad\text{and, if } k \ge 2 \text{ or } \hat W \ne 0,\qquad \mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l) = \mathrm{val}(4.6),val(MSPu)=val(4.2)and, if k≥2 or W^=0,val(MSPl)=val(4.6),

as extended-real optimal values. Both equalities are part of the goal.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (p. 20): for every xt∈Lkt,nt2x_t \in \mathcal L^2_{k^t,n_t}xt​∈Lkt,nt​2​ there is a unique XtX_tXt​ with XtPtM=E(xt(ξt)ξ⊤)X_tP_tM = \mathbb E(x_t(\xi^t)\xi^\top)Xt​Pt​M=E(xt​(ξt)ξ⊤), and likewise for slacks.
  2. Lemma 3 (p. 21): a moment condition StPtM=E(s(⋅)ξ⊤)S_tP_tM = \mathbb E(s(\cdot)\xi^\top)St​Pt​M=E(s(⋅)ξ⊤) with s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 can be met by a non-anticipative slack st(ξt)s_t(\xi^t)st​(ξt) iff it can be met by a slack depending on the full ξ\xiξ.
  3. §4, (4.7) (p. 21): through (4.3), the equality constraints of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl are equivalent to ∑sAtsXsPsNtPt+StPt=BtPt\sum_s A_{ts}X_sP_sN_tP_t + S_tP_t = B_tP_t∑s​Ats​Xs​Ps​Nt​Pt​+St​Pt​=Bt​Pt​.

Significance

The theorem makes both linear-decision-rule bounds on a multistage stochastic program computable by linear programming, with size polynomial in kkk, lll, ∑tmt\sum_t m_t∑t​mt​ and ∑tnt\sum_t n_t∑t​nt​ and hence typically linear in the number of stages. The gap between the two values measures the suboptimality of the primal linear rule. These results underlie later work on piecewise-linear and lifted decision rules and on multistage robust and distributionally robust optimization.

The preprint omits the proof of Theorem 3 ("it widely parallels the argumentation in Section 2"), so a formal proof has to supply the multistage details: the conditional-expectation bookkeeping, the truncation operators and the transfer of the one-stage cone description to non-anticipative slacks. No part of this paper has been machine-checked before; the companion mission of this series formalizes the one-stage Theorem 1.

Difficulty

The obvious route repeats the one-stage argument stage by stage, and it breaks at the slack constraints of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl. A slack sts_tst​ must be a function of ξt\xi^tξt alone, while the one-stage cone characterization of moment vectors E(s(ξ)ξ)\mathbb E(s(\xi)\xi)E(s(ξ)ξ) concerns functions of the full ξ\xiξ; Lemma 3 bridges them only through the linear conditional mean assumption and conditional expectations. A second difficulty is the closure gap between that cone and its polyhedral outer description: the equality of val(MSPl)\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l)val(MSPl) and val(4.6)\mathrm{val}(4.6)val(4.6) relies on strict feasibility, and a proof that ignores it is wrong. On the primal side, the passage from almost sure constraints to identities of matrices needs both that every point of Ξ\XiΞ is charged by P\mathbb PP and that Ξ\XiΞ spans Rk\mathbb R^kRk.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions Fin d → ℝ; stage ttt is the Fin T index t−1t-1t−1 and coordinate 111 is index 0. The history dimension is kbar kk t, the truncation is the restriction to the first ktk^tkt coordinates, and PtP_tPt​ is also given as a 0/10/10/1 matrix. Et\mathbb E_tEt​ is Mathlib's condExp with respect to the σ-algebra generated by PtP_tPt​. "Ξ\XiΞ is the support of P\mathbb PP" means: Ξ\XiΞ closed, P(Ξc)=0\mathbb P(\Xi^c) = 0P(Ξc)=0, and every ball around a point of Ξ\XiΞ has positive mass. Decision rules are Borel functions of the history whose composition with PtP_tPt​ is in L2(P)L^2(\mathbb P)L2(P). Optimal values are infima in EReal (+∞+\infty+∞ if infeasible, −∞-\infty−∞ if unbounded), and "equivalent" means equal optimal values. The matrices MtM_tMt​ are data, with the conditional-mean identity as a hypothesis.

Three conventions are fixed where the page is silent or misprinted. Strict feasibility of MSP\mathcal{MSP}MSP, not defined in §4, is the analogue of (2.9) for the standard form (4.1): slacks at least ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 almost surely. The equality constraint of MSPl\mathcal{MSP}^lMSPl is printed with st−bts_t - b_tst​−bt​ inside ∑s\sum_s∑s​; the formalization follows (4.7), where the sum covers only AtsxsA_{ts}x_sAts​xs​. The sign condition in (4.5c) is printed as s~t(ξt)≥0\tilde s_t(\xi^t) \ge 0s~t​(ξt)≥0 for a function of ξ\xiξ, and is read as s~t(ξ)≥0\tilde s_t(\xi) \ge 0s~t​(ξ)≥0. The theorem's last sentence (polynomial size, efficient solvability) is informal and not formalized. One hypothesis is added: the goal's second equality assumes k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 or that some row of W^\hat WW^ (the rows of WWW below (2.1b)) is nonzero (the first equality is stated without it). For k=1k = 1k=1 the support is the single point {1}\{1\}{1}, and if WWW has no nonzero row beyond (2.1b) the cone of Proposition 3 is all of R\mathbb RR; the printed second equality then fails (a strictly feasible one-stage instance has val(MSPl)=0\mathrm{val}(\mathcal{MSP}^l) = 0val(MSPl)=0 while (4.6) is unbounded below). The added hypothesis excludes exactly this case.

Expectations are Bochner integrals, which vanish on non-integrable functions; under the standing assumptions ξ\xiξ is bounded almost surely, so all integrands involving square-integrable rules are integrable and no constraint is satisfied vacuously. Matrix.inv returns 000 on singular matrices, but PtMPt⊤P_tMP_t^\topPt​MPt⊤​ is positive definite under the standing assumptions. The linear conditional mean hypothesis cannot be dropped from Lemmas 2 and 3: without it XtX_tXt​ need not exist.

A complete development needs the support and moment facts of §2 (M≻0M \succ 0M≻0, almost sure constraints extend to Ξ\XiΞ), Farkas-type duality for the polyhedron Ξ\XiΞ, the tower property of conditional expectation, and the cone results of Propositions 3 and 4 of the preprint. These are reusable across the series. Proofs of the milestones, or of these supporting facts as separate lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, A. Georghiou, Primal and dual linear decision rules in stochastic and robust optimization, Optimization Online preprint 2009/02/2218, 2009; Math. Program. 130:177–209, 2011. https://optimization-online.org/2009/02/2218/ ; https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-009-0331-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Math. Program. 99:351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • A. Shapiro, A. Nemirovski, On complexity of stochastic programming problems, in Continuous Optimization, Springer, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26771-9_4
  • X. Chen, M. Sim, P. Sun, J. Zhang, A linear decision-based approximation approach to stochastic programming, Oper. Res. 56(2):344–357, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0441
  • M. Dyer, L. Stougie, Computational complexity of stochastic programming problems, Math. Program. 106:423–432, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0597-0
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Linear OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Machine Scheduling with Precedence Constraints 1: LP-Based Delayed List Scheduling Is a (1 + β)(1 + 1/β + max{1, (m − 1)Δ/m})-Approximation for P|r_j, prec|E[Σ w_j C_j]Research Paper

Motivation

Scheduling jobs whose processing times are not known in advance is a basic problem of production planning, project management and computing systems. In the stochastic machine scheduling model only the distribution of each processing time is known beforehand; the actual duration of a job is revealed when the job completes. A solution is then not a schedule but a scheduling policy, which decides at every point in time what to start next on the basis of what has been observed so far.

For precedence-constrained problems, constant-factor guarantees for policies were long unavailable. Möhring, Schulz and Uetz (J. ACM 1999) introduced LP relaxations with load inequalities for stochastic scheduling and obtained the first constant-factor policies for independent jobs. In the deterministic setting, Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 2001) gave a list scheduling algorithm with deliberate idle times for P ∣ rj,prec ∣∑wjCj\mathrm P\,|\,r_j,\mathit{prec}\,|\sum w_jC_jP∣rj​,prec∣∑wj​Cj​. Skutella and Uetz (SIAM J. Comput. 2005) combined the two and gave the first constant-factor approximation for stochastic scheduling with precedence constraints and release dates. This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

A finite set VVV of jobs is to be scheduled on m≥1m\ge1m≥1 identical parallel machines, nonpreemptively. Precedence constraints are the arcs AAA of an acyclic digraph: an arc (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) requires jjj to start no earlier than iii completes, and iii is a predecessor of jjj if a directed path leads from iii to jjj. Job jjj has a release date rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0, before which it must not start, and a weight wj≥0w_j\ge0wj​≥0. Following §2 of the paper, release dates are assumed to respect the precedence constraints (Assumption 2.1: ri≤rjr_i\le r_jri​≤rj​ whenever iii is a predecessor of jjj).

The processing time of job jjj is a random variable Pj≥0P_j\ge0Pj​≥0 with finite mean E[Pj]\mathrm E[P_j]E[Pj​]; the PjP_jPj​ are stochastically independent. For a realization ppp of the processing times, a feasible schedule assigns start times Sj≥rjS_j\ge r_jSj​≥rj​ such that Si+pi≤SjS_i+p_i\le S_jSi​+pi​≤Sj​ for every arc and at most mmm jobs are in process at any time. A policy Π\PiΠ maps realizations to feasible schedules; it is nonanticipatory if what it has started by time ttt depends only on what has been observed by ttt. The completion time of jjj under Π\PiΠ is CjΠ(P)=SjΠ(P)+PjC^\Pi_j(P)=S^\Pi_j(P)+P_jCjΠ​(P)=SjΠ​(P)+Pj​.

The coefficient of variation is CV[Pj]=Var[Pj]/E[Pj]\mathrm{CV}[P_j]=\sqrt{\mathrm{Var}[P_j]}/\mathrm E[P_j]CV[Pj​]=Var[Pj​]​/E[Pj​]; the mission assumes CV[Pj]≤Δ\mathrm{CV}[P_j]\le\sqrt\DeltaCV[Pj​]≤Δ​ for all jjj and some Δ≥0\Delta\ge0Δ≥0. With μj=E[Pj]\mu_j=\mathrm E[P_j]μj​=E[Pj​], the set function

f(W)=12m((∑j∈Wμj)2+∑j∈Wμj2)−(m−1)(Δ−1)2m∑j∈Wμj2f(W)=\frac1{2m}\Big(\big(\textstyle\sum_{j\in W}\mu_j\big)^2+\sum_{j\in W}\mu_j^2\Big)-\frac{(m-1)(\Delta-1)}{2m}\sum_{j\in W}\mu_j^2f(W)=2m1​((∑j∈W​μj​)2+∑j∈W​μj2​)−2m(m−1)(Δ−1)​∑j∈W​μj2​

defines the LP relaxation: minimize ∑jwjCjLP\sum_jw_jC^{\mathrm{LP}}_j∑j​wj​CjLP​ subject to ∑j∈WμjCjLP≥f(W)\sum_{j\in W}\mu_jC^{\mathrm{LP}}_j\ge f(W)∑j∈W​μj​CjLP​≥f(W) for all W⊆VW\subseteq VW⊆V, CjLP≥CiLP+μjC^{\mathrm{LP}}_j\ge C^{\mathrm{LP}}_i+\mu_jCjLP​≥CiLP​+μj​ for (i,j)∈A(i,j)\in A(i,j)∈A, and CjLP≥μjC^{\mathrm{LP}}_j\ge\mu_jCjLP​≥μj​.

Algorithm CMNS takes a priority list LLL and a parameter β\betaβ. Whenever a machine is idle and the first job of the residual list (the jobs not yet scheduled) is available, it is scheduled. Otherwise the first available job jjj of the residual list is deliberately delayed; idle machines accumulate deliberate idle time charged to jjj, and once jjj has been charged β E[Pj]\beta\,\mathrm E[P_j]βE[Pj​] it is scheduled out of order. The critical chain of a job jjj is traced backwards through critical predecessors (those completing last, after rjr_jrj​); its length is ℓj(p)\ell_j(p)ℓj​(p).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

If CLPC^{\mathrm{LP}}CLP is an optimal LP solution, LLL orders the jobs by nondecreasing CjLPC^{\mathrm{LP}}_jCjLP​ and β>0\beta>0β>0, then for every feasible nonanticipatory policy Π\PiΠ

E[∑jwjCjCMNS(P)]≤(1+β)(1+1β+max⁡{1,m−1mΔ}) E[∑jwjCjΠ(P)].\mathrm E\Big[\sum_jw_jC^{\mathrm{CMNS}}_j(P)\Big]\le(1+\beta)\Big(1+\frac1\beta+\max\Big\{1,\frac{m-1}m\Delta\Big\}\Big)\,\mathrm E\Big[\sum_jw_jC^\Pi_j(P)\Big].E[j∑​wj​CjCMNS​(P)]≤(1+β)(1+β1​+max{1,mm−1​Δ})E[j∑​wj​CjΠ​(P)].

Milestones

  1. Observation 2.4: each job is charged at most β E[Pj]\beta\,\mathrm E[P_j]βE[Pj​]; idle time while jjj waits is charged to jobs before jjj; no deliberate idle time is uncharged.
  2. Lemma 2.5: the per-realization bound Cj(p)≤m−1mℓj(p)+1mrj+1m(∑i∈Bj(pi+βE[Pi])+∑i∈Oj(p)pi)C_j(p)\le\frac{m-1}m\ell_j(p)+\frac1mr_j+\frac1m\big(\sum_{i\in B_j}(p_i+\beta\mathrm E[P_i])+\sum_{i\in O_j(p)}p_i\big)Cj​(p)≤mm−1​ℓj​(p)+m1​rj​+m1​(∑i∈Bj​​(pi​+βE[Pi​])+∑i∈Oj​(p)​pi​).
  3. Lemma 2.6: E[∑i∈Oj(P)Pi]=E[∑i∈Oj(P)E[Pi]]\mathrm E[\sum_{i\in O_j(P)}P_i]=\mathrm E[\sum_{i\in O_j(P)}\mathrm E[P_i]]E[∑i∈Oj​(P)​Pi​]=E[∑i∈Oj​(P)​E[Pi​]].
  4. Lemma 2.7: 1mE[∑i∈Oj(P)E[Pi]]≤1βE[ℓj(P)]\frac1m\mathrm E[\sum_{i\in O_j(P)}\mathrm E[P_i]]\le\frac1\beta\mathrm E[\ell_j(P)]m1​E[∑i∈Oj​(P)​E[Pi​]]≤β1​E[ℓj​(P)].
  5. Theorem 2.8: E[Cj(P)]≤(m−1m+1β)E[ℓj(P)]+1+βm∑i∈BjE[Pi]+1mrj\mathrm E[C_j(P)]\le\big(\frac{m-1}m+\frac1\beta\big)\mathrm E[\ell_j(P)]+\frac{1+\beta}m\sum_{i\in B_j}\mathrm E[P_i]+\frac1mr_jE[Cj​(P)]≤(mm−1​+β1​)E[ℓj​(P)]+m1+β​∑i∈Bj​​E[Pi​]+m1​rj​.
  6. Theorem 3.1: the load inequalities ∑j∈WE[Pj]E[CjΠ(P)]≥f(W)\sum_{j\in W}\mathrm E[P_j]\mathrm E[C^\Pi_j(P)]\ge f(W)∑j∈W​E[Pj​]E[CjΠ​(P)]≥f(W).
  7. §3: expected completion times of any policy are LP-feasible, so the LP optimum is a lower bound.
  8. Lemma 3.3: 1m∑k≤jE[Pk]≤(1+max⁡{1,m−1mΔ})CjLP\frac1m\sum_{k\le j}\mathrm E[P_k]\le\big(1+\max\{1,\frac{m-1}m\Delta\}\big)C^{\mathrm{LP}}_jm1​∑k≤j​E[Pk​]≤(1+max{1,mm−1​Δ})CjLP​ along the LP order.
  9. §4: ℓj(p)≤Cj(p)\ell_j(p)\le C_j(p)ℓj​(p)≤Cj​(p) in any feasible schedule, so E[ℓj(P)]\mathrm E[\ell_j(P)]E[ℓj​(P)] is a lower bound for every policy.

Significance

The theorem gives a policy with a performance guarantee independent of the number of jobs for P ∣ rj,prec ∣ E[∑wjCj]\mathrm P\,|\,r_j,\mathit{prec}\,|\,\mathrm E[\sum w_jC_j]P∣rj​,prec∣E[∑wj​Cj​], using only the expected processing times and a bound on their coefficients of variation. For NBUE distributions (Δ=1\Delta=1Δ=1) and β=1/2\beta=1/\sqrt2β=1/2​ it yields 3+22≈5.833+2\sqrt2\approx5.833+22​≈5.83, matching the deterministic guarantee of Chekuri et al. The analysis separates cleanly into an algorithmic half (Theorem 2.8, valid for arbitrary distributions) and a polyhedral half (load inequalities and Lemma 3.3), both reused for the in-forest results of the same paper and in later work on stochastic scheduling.

The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a precise definition of nonanticipatory policies and of a list scheduling algorithm with deliberate idle times in continuous time, a formal proof of the Möhring–Schulz–Uetz load inequalities, and a verified approximation guarantee for a stochastic scheduling policy.

Difficulty

Lemma 2.6 is the step where the stochastic setting departs from the deterministic one: the set Oj(P)O_j(P)Oj​(P) of out-of-order jobs is random and correlated with the schedule, and the identity holds only because the decision to start a job out of order is taken before its processing time is revealed. Making this rigorous requires a formal notion of nonanticipation and an independence argument over a random set. On the algorithmic side, the bookkeeping of deliberate idle time, which accumulates at a rate equal to the number of idle machines, must be made precise at instants where several jobs start, including jobs of length zero. The load inequalities compare every nonanticipatory policy at once and involve second moments of the processing times, so they cannot be checked policy by policy.

Formalization scope

Jobs form a finite type; arcs are a relation whose transitive closure is irreflexive; machine capacity is the counting condition "at most mmm jobs in process", with half-open processing intervals. Processing times may be zero. The CV bound is encoded as finite second moments, positive means and Var[Pj]≤Δ E[Pj]2\mathrm{Var}[P_j]\le\Delta\,\mathrm E[P_j]^2Var[Pj​]≤ΔE[Pj​]2.

Algorithm CMNS is characterized by its rules: a decision order nondecreasing in time, the scheduling rule at each decision, and the condition that after the decisions at any time nothing remains to be done. A CMNS policy is a map σ\sigmaσ with this property for every realization. Nonanticipation and measurability of σ\sigmaσ, which the paper asserts without proof (p. 795; §5), are hypotheses. Critical chains use a fixed tie-breaking order.

Standing assumptions and added hypotheses: independence, Assumption 2.1, rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0, wj≥0w_j\ge0wj​≥0 and finite means appear in every statement where they are used. β>0\beta>0β>0 is assumed wherever 1/β1/\beta1/β appears (Lemma 2.7, Theorem 2.8), where the page allows β≥0\beta\ge0β≥0 with 1/0=∞1/0=\infty1/0=∞. Lemma 2.6 assumes that LLL is a linear extension, as in the surrounding Lemma 2.5 and Theorem 2.8; with zero processing times it fails otherwise. Comparator policies have integrable completion times and, like σ\sigmaσ, are measurable for the law of PPP, which §5's requirement that every policy be universally measurable implies.

The goal is not trivialized: comparators range over every feasible nonanticipatory policy, not over list policies or the algorithm itself; CLPC^{\mathrm{LP}}CLP is optimal over all W⊆VW\subseteq VW⊆V, not merely feasible; and the expected cost of CMNS is asserted to be finite, so neither side can collapse to a default integral value.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, in particular Theorem 3.1 and Lemma 3.3, which are reusable for the companion in-forest mission, and a proof that the CMNS rules determine a unique, nonanticipatory, measurable policy.

Selected references

  • M. Skutella, M. Uetz, Stochastic machine scheduling with precedence constraints, SIAM J. Comput. 34(4) (2005) 788–802. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702415007
  • R. H. Möhring, A. S. Schulz, M. Uetz, Approximation in stochastic scheduling: the power of LP-based priority policies, J. ACM 46(6) (1999) 924–942. https://doi.org/10.1145/331524.331530
  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation techniques for average completion time scheduling, SIAM J. Comput. 31(1) (2001) 146–166. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • R. H. Möhring, F. J. Radermacher, G. Weiss, Stochastic scheduling problems I: General strategies, Z. Oper. Res. 28 (1984) 193–260. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01919323
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Linear OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rules in Stochastic and Robust Optimization 1: With Fixed Recourse, the Primal and Dual Linear Decision Rule Problems Equal the LPs (2.3) and (2.8)Research Paper

Motivation

Linear stochastic programs with recourse model decisions that are taken after an uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ has been observed: the decision is a decision rule x(ξ)x(\xi)x(ξ), a function of the data. Computing the optimal value exactly is intractable in general. Dyer and Stougie showed that already two-stage linear stochastic programs are #P-hard (Math. Program. 2006), and the same holds for the one-stage problem SP\mathcal{SP}SP below even when P\mathbb PP is uniform on a cube.

A widely used remedy restricts decision rules to be linear in ξ\xiξ. Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski introduced this restriction in robust optimization (Math. Program. 2004); Shapiro and Nemirovski (2005) and Chen, Sim, Sun and Zhang (Oper. Res. 2008) carried it into stochastic programming. The restriction yields an upper bound, but on its own it says nothing about how much optimality is lost. Kuhn, Wiesemann and Georghiou (Optimization Online 2009/02/2218; published in Math. Program. 2011) also apply the linear restriction to the dual multipliers. This gives a lower bound, so the gap between the two computable bounds estimates the approximation error. This mission formalizes the paper's model result for the case of fixed recourse and polyhedral support (§2, Theorem 1).

Setting

Uncertainty is a probability measure P\mathbb PP on (Rk,B(Rk))(\mathbb R^k, \mathfrak B(\mathbb R^k))(Rk,B(Rk)). The support Ξ\XiΞ of P\mathbb PP is the smallest closed set of probability one. A decision rule is an element of Lk,n2\mathcal L^2_{k,n}Lk,n2​, the Borel measurable, square-integrable functions Rk→Rn\mathbb R^k \to \mathbb R^nRk→Rn. Inequalities between vectors and matrices are componentwise.

The data are a fixed recourse matrix A∈Rm×nA \in \mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, matrices C∈Rn×kC \in \mathbb R^{n\times k}C∈Rn×k and B∈Rm×kB \in \mathbb R^{m\times k}B∈Rm×k giving the costs c(ξ)=Cξc(\xi) = C\xic(ξ)=Cξ and right-hand sides b(ξ)=Bξb(\xi) = B\xib(ξ)=Bξ, and W∈Rl×kW \in \mathbb R^{l\times k}W∈Rl×k, h∈Rlh \in \mathbb R^lh∈Rl. The stochastic program is

SP:min⁡x∈Lk,n2 E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))s.t.Ax(ξ)≤b(ξ)  P-a.s.\mathcal{SP}:\quad \min_{x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}} \ \mathbb E\big(c(\xi)^\top x(\xi)\big) \quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax(\xi) \le b(\xi)\ \ \mathbb P\text{-a.s.}SP:x∈Lk,n2​min​ E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))s.t.Ax(ξ)≤b(ξ)  P-a.s.

The standing assumptions of §2 are:

  • the support is the nonempty bounded polyhedron Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h}\Xi = \{\xi : W\xi \ge h\}Ξ={ξ:Wξ≥h} (2.1a);
  • (2.1b) holds: the first two rows of WWW are e1⊤e_1^\tope1⊤​ and −e1⊤-e_1^\top−e1⊤​, the remaining rows form W^\widehat WW, and h=(1,−1,0,…,0)h = (1,-1,0,\dots,0)h=(1,−1,0,…,0), so that ξ1=1\xi_1 = 1ξ1​=1 on Ξ\XiΞ;
  • Ξ\XiΞ spans Rk\mathbb R^kRk.

The second-order moment matrix is M=E(ξξ⊤)M = \mathbb E(\xi\xi^\top)M=E(ξξ⊤). SP\mathcal{SP}SP is strictly feasible (2.9) if some xˉ∈Lk,n2\bar x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}xˉ∈Lk,n2​, sˉ∈Lk,m2\bar s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,m}sˉ∈Lk,m2​ and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 satisfy Axˉ(ξ)+sˉ(ξ)=b(ξ)A\bar x(\xi) + \bar s(\xi) = b(\xi)Axˉ(ξ)+sˉ(ξ)=b(ξ) and sˉ(ξ)≥εe\bar s(\xi) \ge \varepsilon esˉ(ξ)≥εe almost surely.

The two approximations are as follows.

  • Primal linear decision rules, SPu\mathcal{SP}^uSPu: minimize Tr⁡(MC⊤X)\operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)Tr(MC⊤X) over X∈Rn×kX \in \mathbb R^{n\times k}X∈Rn×k, S∈Rm×kS \in \mathbb R^{m\times k}S∈Rm×k with AXξ+Sξ=BξAX\xi + S\xi = B\xiAXξ+Sξ=Bξ and Sξ≥0S\xi \ge 0Sξ≥0 almost surely.
  • Dual linear decision rules, SPl\mathcal{SP}^lSPl: minimize E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ))\mathbb E(c(\xi)^\top x(\xi))E(c(ξ)⊤x(ξ)) over x∈Lk,n2x \in \mathcal L^2_{k,n}x∈Lk,n2​, s∈Lk,m2s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,m}s∈Lk,m2​ with E([Ax(ξ)+s(ξ)−b(ξ)]ξ⊤)=0\mathbb E\big([Ax(\xi)+s(\xi)-b(\xi)]\xi^\top\big) = 0E([Ax(ξ)+s(ξ)−b(ξ)]ξ⊤)=0 and s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 almost surely.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 10)

Under the standing assumptions, W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0 (see Formalization scope) and strict feasibility,

val⁡SPu=val⁡(2.3)andval⁡SPl=val⁡(2.8),\operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^u = \operatorname{val}(2.3) \quad\text{and}\quad \operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^l = \operatorname{val}(2.8),valSPu=val(2.3)andvalSPl=val(2.8),

where (2.3) and (2.8) are the linear programs

(2.3)min⁡X,Λ Tr⁡(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+ΛW=B, Λh≥0, Λ≥0,(2.3)\quad \min_{X,\Lambda}\ \operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)\ \text{ s.t. }\ AX + \Lambda W = B,\ \Lambda h \ge 0,\ \Lambda \ge 0,(2.3)X,Λmin​ Tr(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+ΛW=B, Λh≥0, Λ≥0, (2.8)min⁡X,S Tr⁡(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+S=B, (W−he1⊤)MS⊤≥0.(2.8)\quad \min_{X,S}\ \operatorname{Tr}(MC^\top X)\ \text{ s.t. }\ AX + S = B,\ (W - he_1^\top)MS^\top \ge 0.(2.8)X,Smin​ Tr(MC⊤X)  s.t.  AX+S=B, (W−he1⊤​)MS⊤≥0.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. §2.2 (p. 5). The almost-sure constraints of SPu\mathcal{SP}^uSPu hold on all of Ξ\XiΞ, and AXξ+Sξ=BξAX\xi + S\xi = B\xiAXξ+Sξ=Bξ a.s. is equivalent to AX+S=BAX + S = BAX+S=B.
  2. Proposition 1 (p. 5). If Ξ\XiΞ is nonempty, then z⊤ξ≥0z^\top\xi \ge 0z⊤ξ≥0 on Ξ\XiΞ if and only if z=W⊤λz = W^\top\lambdaz=W⊤λ for some λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0 with h⊤λ≥0h^\top\lambda \ge 0h⊤λ≥0.
  3. Proposition 2 (p. 7). MMM is positive definite and invertible.
  4. §2.4 (p. 7). val⁡SPl\operatorname{val}\mathcal{SP}^lvalSPl equals the optimal value of the moment problem (2.6).
  5. Proposition 3 (p. 7). If W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0, then ∅≠int⁡K⊆KP⊆K\emptyset \ne \operatorname{int}\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal K_{\mathbb P} \subseteq \mathcal K∅=intK⊆KP​⊆K, for the polyhedral cone K={z:(W−he1⊤)z≥0}\mathcal K = \{z : (W-he_1^\top)z \ge 0\}K={z:(W−he1⊤​)z≥0} and the moment cone KP={E(s(ξ)ξ):s∈Lk,12, s≥0}\mathcal K_{\mathbb P} = \{\mathbb E(s(\xi)\xi) : s \in \mathcal L^2_{k,1},\ s \ge 0\}KP​={E(s(ξ)ξ):s∈Lk,12​, s≥0}.
  6. Proposition 4 (p. 9). Under strict feasibility and W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0, (2.6) and (2.8) have the same optimal value.

Significance

Because SPu≥SP≥SPl\mathcal{SP}^u \ge \mathcal{SP} \ge \mathcal{SP}^lSPu≥SP≥SPl, Theorem 1 brackets the value of an intractable stochastic program between two explicit linear programs. The sizes of these programs are polynomial in k,l,m,nk, l, m, nk,l,m,n. They depend on P\mathbb PP only through its support and its second-order moment matrix. The difference val⁡(2.3)−val⁡(2.8)\operatorname{val}(2.3) - \operatorname{val}(2.8)val(2.3)−val(2.8) is therefore a computable certificate of how much the linear-decision-rule restriction can lose. Sections 3 and 4 of the paper extend the same scheme to random recourse (semidefinite programs) and to multistage problems; they are the subjects of the companion missions 2 and 3.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of the statements above has a machine-checked proof. A formal proof would check the measure-theoretic steps that the paper passes over quickly. These are the passage from "almost surely" to "on the support", the density argument behind int⁡K⊆KP\operatorname{int}\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal K_{\mathbb P}intK⊆KP​, and the approximation argument of Proposition 4. A formal proof would also produce reusable results on robust counterparts of polyhedral constraints and on moment cones.

Difficulty

The primal half is robust-optimization duality. Its only delicate point is that almost-sure constraints become constraints on all of Ξ\XiΞ, which uses the fact that every point of the support is charged. The dual half is harder. The constraint "SMSMSM has rows in KP\mathcal K_{\mathbb P}KP​" is a family of moment problems over nonnegative square-integrable densities, and KP\mathcal K_{\mathbb P}KP​ is in general not closed. Replacing it by the polyhedral cone K\mathcal KK is exact only up to the boundary, and it is strict feasibility that removes the boundary effect. Without strict feasibility the optimal values of (2.6) and (2.8) are only known to bracket each other. The proof of Proposition 3 also needs a description of the closed cone generated by Ξ\XiΞ, and this description uses (2.1b).

Formalization scope

Vectors in Rk\mathbb R^kRk are Fin k → ℝ and matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin k) ℝ. The paper's 1-based indices are 0-based in Lean, so e1e_1e1​ is index 0 and the rows of (2.1b) are rows 0 and 1. The data form a structure Setting, and the standing assumptions form one predicate Standing. The support is encoded by three conditions on Ξ\XiΞ: it is closed, P(Ξc)=0\mathbb P(\Xi^c) = 0P(Ξc)=0, and every ball centred in Ξ\XiΞ has positive mass. This is equivalent to "smallest closed set of probability one"; P(Ξ)=1\mathbb P(\Xi) = 1P(Ξ)=1 alone would not be enough. Decision rules are measurable functions with MemLp x 2 P. Expectations of vector- and matrix-valued quantities are written entrywise as Bochner integrals. Under the standing assumptions ξ\xiξ is bounded almost surely, so every integrand involved is integrable and no integral defaults to 000.

"Equivalent" means equal optimal values. Each optimal value is the infimum of the objective over the feasible set in EReal: +∞+\infty+∞ if the problem is infeasible and −∞-\infty−∞ if it is unbounded below. A one-sided inequality between the values, or the bare statement that the problems are linear programs, is not Theorem 1 and does not close the goal. Strict feasibility is a hypothesis of both equalities, as printed. Proposition 1 is stated for any W,hW, hW,h with a nonempty polyhedron, since nonemptiness is the only property of Ξ\XiΞ it uses. Proposition 3, Proposition 4 and Theorem 1 carry one hypothesis the paper does not state, W^≠0\widehat W \ne 0W=0 (some row of WWW below the first two is nonzero). The printed statements are false without it: for k=1k = 1k=1, W=(1,−1)⊤W = (1,-1)^\topW=(1,−1)⊤, h=(1,−1)⊤h = (1,-1)^\toph=(1,−1)⊤, P=δ1\mathbb P = \delta_1P=δ1​ every assumption holds, W−he1⊤=0W - he_1^\top = 0W−he1⊤​=0, so K=R\mathcal K = \mathbb RK=R while KP=[0,∞)\mathcal K_{\mathbb P} = [0,\infty)KP​=[0,∞), and (2.8) loses the sign constraint S≥0S \ge 0S≥0 that (2.6) keeps. Under the standing assumptions the hypothesis is automatic whenever k≥2k \ge 2k≥2. Theorem 1's closing sentence ("the sizes of these linear programs are polynomial … efficiently solvable") is informal and is not formalized.

A complete development needs strong LP duality or Farkas' lemma for inequality systems, the support of a measure in Rk\mathbb R^kRk, density of L2L^2L2-densities in nonnegative measures, and basic facts on interiors of polyhedral cones. The Farkas lemma is on the platform (LinearOptimization.farkas_lemma). Proofs of the milestones are welcome independently. Proposition 1 and Proposition 3 are reusable outside this paper.

Selected references

  • D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, A. Georghiou, Primal and dual linear decision rules in stochastic and robust optimization, Optimization Online 2009/02/2218 (2009); Math. Program. 130 (2011) 177–209. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-009-0331-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Math. Program. 99 (2004) 351–376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Nemirovski, Robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Oper. Res. Lett. 25 (1999) 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6377(99)00016-4
  • X. Chen, M. Sim, P. Sun, J. Zhang, A linear decision-based approximation approach to stochastic programming, Oper. Res. 56 (2008) 344–357. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1070.0441
  • M. Dyer, L. Stougie, Computational complexity of stochastic programming problems, Math. Program. 106 (2006) 423–432. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0597-0
  • A. Shapiro, A. Nemirovski, On complexity of stochastic programming problems, in Continuous Optimization, Springer (2005) 111–144. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26771-9_4
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Functional AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conditional Risk Mappings: A Positively Homogeneous Lower Semicontinuous Conditional Risk Mapping Is the Supremum of Countably Many Conditional ExpectationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Risk measures quantify the danger of an uncertain cost XXX by a single number. The axiomatic theory of coherent and convex risk measures (Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath, Coherent measures of risk, 1999; Föllmer and Schied, Convex measures of risk and trading constraints, 2002) is static: the risk is evaluated once, with no information beyond what is known at time zero. Multistage stochastic optimization and dynamic risk management need risk evaluated conditionally: at time 1 part of the uncertainty has been resolved, and the risk of a time-2 cost should be a function of what is known at time 1.

Ruszczyński and Shapiro, in Conditional risk mappings (preprint of February 21, 2004; journal version Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3), 2006), extend their earlier static theory (Optimization of convex risk functions, Math. Oper. Res. 31(3), 2006) to this conditional setting. They define conditional risk mappings by three axioms, derive a pointwise conjugate duality, and show that positively homogeneous conditional risk mappings are, under regularity conditions, suprema of countably many conditional expectations. The last result explains the word conditional: the conditional expectation is the prototype, and every positively homogeneous conditional risk mapping is a worst case over a countable family of them.

Setting

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a set with σ\sigmaσ-algebras F1⊂F2\mathcal F_1\subset\mathcal F_2F1​⊂F2​; F1\mathcal F_1F1​ is the information available when risk is evaluated. Let X2\mathcal X_2X2​ be a real vector space of F2\mathcal F_2F2​-measurable functions X:Ω→RX:\Omega\to\mathbb RX:Ω→R, and X1⊂X2\mathcal X_1\subset\mathcal X_2X1​⊂X2​ a subspace of F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable ones. Let Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​ be a real vector space of finite signed measures on (Ω,F2)(\Omega,\mathcal F_2)(Ω,F2​) with ∫∣X∣ d∣μ∣<∞\int|X|\,d|\mu|<\infty∫∣X∣d∣μ∣<∞, and pair them by

⟨μ,X⟩=∫ΩX dμ.\langle\mu,X\rangle=\int_\Omega X\,d\mu .⟨μ,X⟩=∫Ω​Xdμ.

Both spaces carry locally convex topologies that are compatible with this pairing: the continuous linear functionals on each space are exactly the pairings with elements of the other. Two standing conditions hold throughout: (C) if μ∈Y2\mu\in\mathcal Y_2μ∈Y2​ is not a nonnegative measure, some nonnegative X∈X2X\in\mathcal X_2X∈X2​ has ⟨μ,X⟩<0\langle\mu,X\rangle<0⟨μ,X⟩<0; (C′) 1B∈X1\mathbb 1_B\in\mathcal X_11B​∈X1​ for every B∈F1B\in\mathcal F_1B∈F1​.

A conditional risk mapping is a map ρ:X2→X1\rho:\mathcal X_2\to\mathcal X_1ρ:X2​→X1​ with, writing ρω(X)=[ρ(X)](ω)\rho_\omega(X)=[\rho(X)](\omega)ρω​(X)=[ρ(X)](ω):

  • (A1) convexity: ρω(tX+(1−t)Y)≤tρω(X)+(1−t)ρω(Y)\rho_\omega(tX+(1-t)Y)\le t\rho_\omega(X)+(1-t)\rho_\omega(Y)ρω​(tX+(1−t)Y)≤tρω​(X)+(1−t)ρω​(Y) for t∈[0,1]t\in[0,1]t∈[0,1];
  • (A2) monotonicity: Y(ω′)≥X(ω′)Y(\omega')\ge X(\omega')Y(ω′)≥X(ω′) for all ω′\omega'ω′ implies ρω(Y)≥ρω(X)\rho_\omega(Y)\ge\rho_\omega(X)ρω​(Y)≥ρω​(X);
  • (A3) translation equivariance: ρ(X+Y)=ρ(X)+Y\rho(X+Y)=\rho(X)+Yρ(X+Y)=ρ(X)+Y for every Y∈X1Y\in\mathcal X_1Y∈X1​.

Costs are minimised: smaller XXX is better. All inequalities hold at every ω∈Ω\omega\in\Omegaω∈Ω, not almost surely. ρ\rhoρ is positively homogeneous if ρ(tX)=tρ(X)\rho(tX)=t\rho(X)ρ(tX)=tρ(X) for t>0t>0t>0, and lower semicontinuous if each ρω\rho_\omegaρω​ is.

The conjugate is ρ∗(μ,ω)=sup⁡X{⟨μ,X⟩−ρω(X)}∈R‾\rho^*(\mu,\omega)=\sup_{X}\{\langle\mu,X\rangle-\rho_\omega(X)\}\in\overline{\mathbb R}ρ∗(μ,ω)=supX​{⟨μ,X⟩−ρω​(X)}∈R and the risk envelope is A(ω)={μ:ρ∗(μ,ω)<∞}\mathcal A(\omega)=\{\mu:\rho^*(\mu,\omega)<\infty\}A(ω)={μ:ρ∗(μ,ω)<∞}. PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ denotes the probability measures in Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​, and PY2∣F1(ω)\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)PY2​∣F1​​(ω) those ν\nuν with ν(B)=1B(ω)\nu(B)=\mathbb 1_B(\omega)ν(B)=1B​(ω) for all B∈F1B\in\mathcal F_1B∈F1​. A map ω↦μω\omega\mapsto\mu_\omegaω↦μω​ is weakly* F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable if every ω↦⟨μω,X⟩\omega\mapsto\langle\mu_\omega,X\rangleω↦⟨μω​,X⟩ is F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable. For such a selection of A\mathcal AA, the operator [Qμ(ν)](A)=∫μω(A) dν(ω)[\mathbb Q_\mu(\nu)](A)=\int\mu_\omega(A)\,d\nu(\omega)[Qμ​(ν)](A)=∫μω​(A)dν(ω) acts on Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​. Assumption (K): PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ is compact, and every such Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ maps PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ into itself with a closed graph. Finally, μ(⋅)\mu(\cdot)μ(⋅) is the conditional probability of ν\nuν given F1\mathcal F_1F1​ if each ω↦μω(A)\omega\mapsto\mu_\omega(A)ω↦μω​(A) is F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable and ∫Sμω(A) dν=ν(A∩S)\int_S\mu_\omega(A)\,d\nu=\nu(A\cap S)∫S​μω​(A)dν=ν(A∩S) for S∈F1S\in\mathcal F_1S∈F1​, A∈F2A\in\mathcal F_2A∈F2​; then Eν[X∣F1](ω)=⟨μω,X⟩\mathbb E_\nu[X|\mathcal F_1](\omega)=\langle\mu_\omega,X\rangleEν​[X∣F1​](ω)=⟨μω​,X⟩.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 11)

If X2\mathcal X_2X2​ is separable, (K) holds and ρ\rhoρ is a positively homogeneous, lower semicontinuous conditional risk mapping, then there are probability measures νi∈PY2\nu^i\in\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}νi∈PY2​​, i∈Ni\in\mathbb Ni∈N, with

ρω(X)=sup⁡i∈NEνi[X∣F1](ω)for all X∈X2, ω∈Ω,\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{i\in\mathbb N}\mathbb E_{\nu^i}[X|\mathcal F_1](\omega)\qquad\text{for all }X\in\mathcal X_2,\ \omega\in\Omega,ρω​(X)=i∈Nsup​Eνi​[X∣F1​](ω)for all X∈X2​, ω∈Ω,

each conditional expectation being the integral against a weakly* F1\mathcal F_1F1​-measurable conditional probability of νi\nu^iνi.

Milestones

  1. dom⁡ρ∗(⋅,ω)⊆PY2∣F1(ω)\operatorname{dom}\rho^*(\cdot,\omega)\subseteq\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)domρ∗(⋅,ω)⊆PY2​∣F1​​(ω) (proof of Theorem 1, pp. 5–6).
  2. Theorem 1 (p. 5): ρω(X)=sup⁡μ∈PY2∣F1(ω){⟨μ,X⟩−ρ∗(μ,ω)}\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2|\mathcal F_1}(\omega)}\{\langle\mu,X\rangle-\rho^*(\mu,\omega)\}ρω​(X)=supμ∈PY2​∣F1​​(ω)​{⟨μ,X⟩−ρ∗(μ,ω)}, and its converse.
  3. (3.8) (p. 6): for positively homogeneous ρ\rhoρ, ρ∗(⋅,ω)\rho^*(\cdot,\omega)ρ∗(⋅,ω) is the indicator of a closed convex A(ω)\mathcal A(\omega)A(ω) and ρω(X)=sup⁡μ∈A(ω)⟨μ,X⟩\rho_\omega(X)=\sup_{\mu\in\mathcal A(\omega)}\langle\mu,X\rangleρω​(X)=supμ∈A(ω)​⟨μ,X⟩.
  4. Lemma 1 (p. 11): for separable X2\mathcal X_2X2​, countably many weakly* measurable selections of A\mathcal AA suffice.
  5. Under (K), each Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ has a fixed point in PY2\mathcal P_{\mathcal Y_2}PY2​​ (p. 10).
  6. Proposition 3 (p. 9): a fixed point νˉ\bar\nuνˉ of Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ has μ\muμ as its conditional probability given F1\mathcal F_1F1​.

Corollary 1 (p. 10, singleton envelopes give a conditional expectation) and Proposition 2 (p. 7, ρ(YX)=Yρ(X)\rho(YX)=Y\rho(X)ρ(YX)=Yρ(X) for nonnegative F1\mathcal F_1F1​-step functions YYY) are included as further statements.

Significance

Theorem 2 identifies the positively homogeneous conditional risk mappings with suprema of conditional expectations. It is the conditional analogue of the representation of a coherent risk measure as a worst-case expectation over a set of probability measures. It shows that the axioms (A1)–(A3), stated at every ω\omegaω, are the right abstraction of "conditional": nothing beyond conditional expectations and a supremum is needed to generate them. Theorem 1, the pointwise duality on which it rests, is what makes conditional risk mappings usable in multistage problems. Its envelope form (3.8) is what the paper's composition results and dynamic programming equations in §5–§7 manipulate.

The results are proved in the paper, partly by reference: the duality of Theorem 1 by applying the authors' earlier unconditional theorem "verbatim" at each ω\omegaω, Lemma 1 through a measurable-selection theorem, and Theorem 2 through Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. None of them is formalized. A formalization would check these deferred steps. In particular the passage, in the proof of Lemma 1, from a dense subset of X2\mathcal X_2X2​ to all of X2\mathcal X_2X2​ uses only lower semicontinuity of ρω\rho_\omegaρω​, and whether that suffices in every separable paired space is open to scrutiny.

Difficulty

Theorem 1 needs the Fenchel–Moreau theorem in a general locally convex space, paired through integrals against signed measures. Mathlib's convex duality is mostly finite-dimensional or normed, and the extended-real bookkeeping of conjugates is delicate. The main obstacle is Lemma 1. The envelope A(ω)\mathcal A(\omega)A(ω) can be uncountable, and choosing countably many selections that are simultaneously measurable in ω\omegaω and exhaust the supremum for every XXX requires a measurable-selection theorem for multifunctions with values in Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​, a space that need not be metrizable. The obvious argument fixes a dense sequence XnX_nXn​, picks ε\varepsilonε-optimal measures for each XnX_nXn​, and passes to general XXX by semicontinuity. As written, that last step appears to need more than the proof supplies: approximation of ⟨μ,X⟩\langle\mu,X\rangle⟨μ,X⟩ by ⟨μ,Xn⟩\langle\mu,X_n\rangle⟨μ,Xn​⟩ uniformly over the chosen μ\muμ needs more than lower semicontinuity of ρω\rho_\omegaρω​. The fixed-point step needs a Kakutani-type theorem in a locally convex space, which Mathlib does not provide.

Formalization scope

X2\mathcal X_2X2​ and Y2\mathcal Y_2Y2​ are abstract real vector spaces with their own topologies (instances of IsTopologicalAddGroup, ContinuousSMul ℝ, LocallyConvexSpace ℝ), realised by injective linear maps into Ω→R\Omega\to\mathbb RΩ→R and into Mathlib's SignedMeasure Ω. They are not subspaces of Ω→R\Omega\to\mathbb RΩ→R with the pointwise topology. The ambient MeasurableSpace Ω is F2\mathcal F_2F2​; F1≤F2\mathcal F_1\le\mathcal F_2F1​≤F2​ is a structure field. The pairing is ∫X dμ+−∫X dμ−\int X\,d\mu^+-\int X\,d\mu^-∫Xdμ+−∫Xdμ−, and integrability against ∣μ∣|\mu|∣μ∣ is a field, so no integral takes a junk value. Compatibility includes continuity of both pairings as well as the representation of continuous functionals. The paper's space Y1\mathcal Y_1Y1​ is not modelled; no statement uses it.

Committed conventions:

  • every statement holds at every ω\omegaω; there are no a.e. classes;
  • the conjugate and the supremum in (3.6) are in EReal;
  • suprema of real numbers ((3.8), (4.7), (4.9)) are least upper bounds (IsLUB), never sSup on R\mathbb RR;
  • (K) is taken in its closed-graph form and quantifies over every weakly* measurable selection;
  • separability is that of the topology of X2\mathcal X_2X2​.

Two hypotheses are added where the page relies on them implicitly. Ω\OmegaΩ is nonempty in the goal, Corollary 1 and the fixed-point milestone. 1A∈X2\mathbb 1_A\in\mathcal X_21A​∈X2​ for every A∈F2A\in\mathcal F_2A∈F2​ is assumed in the goal, Proposition 3 and Corollary 1, because the paper derives measurability of ω↦μω(A)\omega\mapsto\mu_\omega(A)ω↦μω​(A) from weak* measurability.

The goal cannot be satisfied by an almost-everywhere version of a conditional expectation chosen separately for each XXX, which would allow ρ\rhoρ itself as a "version". Each Eνi[⋅∣F1]\mathbb E_{\nu^i}[\cdot|\mathcal F_1]Eνi​[⋅∣F1​] is integration against one kernel κi\kappa^iκi that is a conditional probability of νi\nu^iνi. The goal mentions no selection, fixed point or Kakutani; Qμ\mathbb Q_\muQμ​ appears only inside (K).

Contributions are welcome on all of the following:

  • Fenchel–Moreau duality for paired locally convex spaces;
  • measurable selections of weakly* measurable multifunctions;
  • a Kakutani–Fan–Glicksberg or Schauder–Tychonoff fixed-point theorem.

All three are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Ruszczyński, A. Shapiro, Conditional risk mappings, preprint dated February 21, 2004; Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3):544–561, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1060.0204
  • A. Ruszczyński, A. Shapiro, Optimization of convex risk functions, Mathematics of Operations Research 31(3):433–452, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1050.0186
  • P. Artzner, F. Delbaen, J.-M. Eber, D. Heath, Coherent measures of risk, Mathematical Finance 9(3):203–228, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9965.00068
  • H. Föllmer, A. Schied, Convex measures of risk and trading constraints, Finance and Stochastics 6(4):429–447, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1007/s007800200072
  • P. Billingsley, Probability and Measure, 3rd ed., Wiley, 1995 (conditional probability, pp. 430–431).
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Theoretical and Numerical Comparison of Relaxation Methods for Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints 3: Kadrani et al. Relaxation Limits Are M-Stationary under MPEC-CPLDResearch Paper

Motivation

Mathematical programs with complementarity constraints (MPCCs, also called MPECs) model optimization problems in which some constraints say that, for every index iii, at least one of two nonnegative quantities Gi(x)G_i(x)Gi​(x), Hi(x)H_i(x)Hi​(x) must vanish. They arise in bilevel optimization, Stackelberg games, the design of equilibria in traffic and electricity markets, and contact problems in mechanics (Luo, Pang, Ralph 1996). Standard nonlinear-programming algorithms do not apply directly: at every feasible point of an MPEC the Mangasarian–Fromovitz constraint qualification fails, so the classical convergence theory of SQP or interior-point methods gives no guarantees.

Relaxation methods replace the MPEC by a sequence of better-behaved nonlinear programs R(tk)R(t_k)R(tk​) with a parameter tk↓0t_k \downarrow 0tk​↓0, solve each one approximately, and study the limits of the computed points. The question every relaxation method has to answer is what kind of stationary point such limits are, and under which constraint qualification.

Timeline of the result formalized here:

  • 2001: Scholtes introduces the global relaxation GiHi≤tG_iH_i \le tGi​Hi​≤t and proves that limits are C-stationary under MPEC-LICQ (SIAM J. Optim. 11).
  • 2009: Kadrani, Dussault and Benchakroun propose a relaxation whose feasible set is the union of two shifted orthants (below), and prove that limits are M-stationary under MPEC-LICQ (SIAM J. Optim. 20).
  • 2010–2013: Hoheisel, Kanzow and Schwartz compare five relaxation schemes; for the Kadrani et al. scheme they replace MPEC-LICQ by the much weaker MPEC-CPLD (Theorem 3.5 of the Würzburg preprint, published in Math. Program. 137).

Setting

The MPEC (1) on Rn\mathbb R^nRn is

min⁡f(x)  s.t.  gi(x)≤0 (i≤m), hi(x)=0 (i≤p), Gi(x)≥0, Hi(x)≥0, Gi(x)Hi(x)=0 (i≤l),\min f(x)\ \text{ s.t. }\ g_i(x)\le 0\ (i\le m),\ h_i(x)=0\ (i\le p),\ G_i(x)\ge 0,\ H_i(x)\ge 0,\ G_i(x)H_i(x)=0\ (i\le l),minf(x)  s.t.  gi​(x)≤0 (i≤m), hi​(x)=0 (i≤p), Gi​(x)≥0, Hi​(x)≥0, Gi​(x)Hi​(x)=0 (i≤l),

with continuously differentiable data. At a feasible x∗x^*x∗ the index sets are Ig={i∣gi(x∗)=0}I_g=\{i\mid g_i(x^*)=0\}Ig​={i∣gi​(x∗)=0}, I0+={i∣Gi(x∗)=0<Hi(x∗)}I_{0+}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=0<H_i(x^*)\}I0+​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=0<Hi​(x∗)}, I00={i∣Gi(x∗)=0=Hi(x∗)}I_{00}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=0=H_i(x^*)\}I00​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=0=Hi​(x∗)} (the biactive set) and I+0={i∣Gi(x∗)>0=Hi(x∗)}I_{+0}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)>0=H_i(x^*)\}I+0​={i∣Gi​(x∗)>0=Hi​(x∗)}.

A feasible x∗x^*x∗ is weakly stationary if there are multipliers λ≥0\lambda\ge 0λ≥0 with λigi(x∗)=0\lambda_ig_i(x^*)=0λi​gi​(x∗)=0, μ\muμ, γ\gammaγ, ν\nuν such that

∇f(x∗)+∑iλi∇gi(x∗)+∑iμi∇hi(x∗)−∑iγi∇Gi(x∗)−∑iνi∇Hi(x∗)=0,\nabla f(x^*)+\sum_i\lambda_i\nabla g_i(x^*)+\sum_i\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)-\sum_i\gamma_i\nabla G_i(x^*)-\sum_i\nu_i\nabla H_i(x^*)=0,∇f(x∗)+i∑​λi​∇gi​(x∗)+i∑​μi​∇hi​(x∗)−i∑​γi​∇Gi​(x∗)−i∑​νi​∇Hi​(x∗)=0,

with γi=0\gamma_i=0γi​=0 on I+0I_{+0}I+0​ and νi=0\nu_i=0νi​=0 on I0+I_{0+}I0+​. It is M-stationary if the same multipliers satisfy, for every i∈I00i\in I_{00}i∈I00​, either γi>0\gamma_i>0γi​>0 and νi>0\nu_i>0νi​>0, or γiνi=0\gamma_i\nu_i=0γi​νi​=0.

The tightened program TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) replaces the complementarity constraints by Gi=0≤HiG_i=0\le H_iGi​=0≤Hi​ on I0+I_{0+}I0+​, Gi≥0=HiG_i\ge 0=H_iGi​≥0=Hi​ on I+0I_{+0}I+0​ and Gi=Hi=0G_i=H_i=0Gi​=Hi​=0 on I00I_{00}I00​. CPLD (constant positive linear dependence) for a nonlinear program says: whenever a set of active-constraint gradients is positive-linearly dependent at x∗x^*x∗ (a nontrivial vanishing combination with nonnegative coefficients on the inequalities), the same gradients stay linearly dependent on a neighbourhood of x∗x^*x∗. MPEC-CPLD is CPLD for TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗).

The relaxation of Kadrani et al. is, for t>0t>0t>0,

RKDB(t):min⁡f(x)  s.t.  g(x)≤0, h(x)=0, Gi(x)≥−t, Hi(x)≥−t, (Gi(x)−t)(Hi(x)−t)≤0.R^{KDB}(t):\quad\min f(x)\ \text{ s.t. }\ g(x)\le 0,\ h(x)=0,\ G_i(x)\ge -t,\ H_i(x)\ge -t,\ (G_i(x)-t)(H_i(x)-t)\le 0.RKDB(t):minf(x)  s.t.  g(x)≤0, h(x)=0, Gi​(x)≥−t, Hi​(x)≥−t, (Gi​(x)−t)(Hi​(x)−t)≤0.

A stationary point of RKDB(t)R^{KDB}(t)RKDB(t) is a feasible point with KKT multipliers.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.5

tk↓0,xk stationary for RKDB(tk),xk→x∗,MPEC-CPLD at x∗ ⟹ x∗ is M-stationary for (1).t_k\downarrow 0,\quad x^k \text{ stationary for } R^{KDB}(t_k),\quad x^k\to x^*,\quad \text{MPEC-CPLD at } x^*\ \Longrightarrow\ x^* \text{ is M-stationary for (1)}.tk​↓0,xk stationary for RKDB(tk​),xk→x∗,MPEC-CPLD at x∗ ⟹ x∗ is M-stationary for (1).

Milestones, in proof order

  1. MPEC-CPLD written out in terms of the MPEC data (§2.2, display (3)).
  2. The KKT conditions of RKDB(tk)R^{KDB}(t_k)RKDB(tk​) recast with ηiG,k=−γik(Hi(xk)−tk)\eta^{G,k}_i=-\gamma^k_i(H_i(x^k)-t_k)ηiG,k​=−γik​(Hi​(xk)−tk​), ηiH,k=−γik(Gi(xk)−tk)\eta^{H,k}_i=-\gamma^k_i(G_i(x^k)-t_k)ηiH,k​=−γik​(Gi​(xk)−tk​): identity (11), disjointness (13), signs (14).
  3. Eventual support inclusions (12) into I00∪I0+I_{00}\cup I_{0+}I00​∪I0+​ and I00∪I+0I_{00}\cup I_{+0}I00​∪I+0​.
  4. Reduction to linearly independent gradients (15).
  5. Boundedness of the multiplier sequence under MPEC-CPLD.
  6. Weak stationarity of the limit x∗x^*x∗.

Significance

Local minimizers of an MPEC are M-stationary under weak constraint qualifications, whereas strong stationarity needs stronger ones such as MPEC-LICQ; a C-stationary point, the kind of limit the Scholtes relaxation delivers, may still admit first-order descent directions. Theorem 3.5 shows that the Kadrani et al. relaxation reaches M-stationary limits under a constraint qualification that is implied by MPEC-LICQ and MPEC-MFCQ and that holds, for instance, whenever all constraint functions are affine. It separates this scheme from the Scholtes and Steffensen–Ulbrich relaxations in the comparison of the paper.

The theorem is proved in the paper. As far as is known, no part of MPEC theory (constraint qualifications for MPECs, the stationarity hierarchy, relaxation schemes) has a machine-checked proof in Lean or Mathlib. This mission produces a formal account of the stationarity notions of Definition 2.3, of CPLD and MPEC-CPLD, and a complete formal proof of the convergence result, including the standard constraints ggg, hhh that the paper's proof skips for brevity.

Difficulty

The obvious argument passes to the limit in the KKT conditions of RKDB(tk)R^{KDB}(t_k)RKDB(tk​). This fails because the multipliers need not be bounded: unlike under MPEC-LICQ or MPEC-MFCQ, MPEC-CPLD does not by itself bound KKT multipliers, and the KKT points of the relaxed programs need not satisfy any constraint qualification themselves (Example 3.6 of the paper). The second difficulty is the biactive set I00I_{00}I00​: the product constraint contributes multipliers ηG,k\eta^{G,k}ηG,k, ηH,k\eta^{H,k}ηH,k to both ∇Gi\nabla G_i∇Gi​ and ∇Hi\nabla H_i∇Hi​, with signs that are not fixed a priori, so a naive limit of the multipliers only gives C-stationarity-type information, or none at all.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) and gradients are Mathlib's gradient; indices are 0-based (Fin m, Fin p, Fin l), and m,p,lm,p,lm,p,l may be zero. Explicit choices fixed by the formalization:

  • The standing assumption of p. 1 (all data C1C^1C1) is a hypothesis P.IsC1 of every analytic statement.
  • "{tk}↓0\{t_k\}\downarrow 0{tk​}↓0" is tk>0t_k>0tk​>0, ttt nonincreasing, tk→0t_k\to 0tk​→0.
  • "Stationary point" of an NLP means feasible with KKT multipliers (p. 5).
  • Gradient sets are indexed families; linear (in)dependence is LinearIndependent ℝ of a family indexed by a disjoint union of subtypes, so repeated gradients count as dependent.
  • In positive-linear dependence (Definition 2.1), "not all of them being zero" refers to all coefficients; the sign constraint is on the inequality part only.
  • "Linearly dependent for all x∈N(x∗)x\in N(x^*)x∈N(x∗)" is ∀ᶠ y in 𝓝 x*.
  • Definition 2.3 is used with its two misprints corrected (μi∇hi(x∗)\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)μi​∇hi​(x∗); λigi(x∗)=0\lambda_ig_i(x^*)=0λi​gi​(x∗)=0 for i≤mi\le mi≤m); weak and M-stationarity include feasibility of x∗x^*x∗, which the goal derives rather than assumes.
  • TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) has exactly the constraints the paper lists (subtype index sets, no padding with zero constraints).
  • The standard constraints ggg, hhh, skipped in the paper's proof, are kept in every statement; displays (12) and (15) are extended by their ggg, hhh parts.

Two trivializing readings are ruled out. M-stationarity uses one multiplier tuple for both the weak-stationarity equation and the condition on I00I_{00}I00​; separate multipliers would make the sign condition vacuous. MPEC-CPLD demands linear dependence on a whole neighbourhood of x∗x^*x∗, not only at x∗x^*x∗; the pointwise version is a different hypothesis.

A complete development needs the gradient calculus of products and compositions on EuclideanSpace, a Carathéodory-type lemma (a conic combination can be reduced to one over linearly independent vectors with the same signs), and compactness of bounded sequences in finite dimensions. The Carathéodory lemma and the CPLD/positive-linear-dependence layer are reusable for any constraint-qualification argument in nonlinear programming. Proofs of individual milestones, and of the lemma behind (15), are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • T. Hoheisel, C. Kanzow, A. Schwartz, Theoretical and numerical comparison of relaxation methods for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, Preprint 299, Institute of Mathematics, University of Würzburg, 2010; Mathematical Programming 137 (2013) 257–288. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0488-5
  • A. Kadrani, J.-P. Dussault, A. Benchakroun, A new regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 20 (2009) 78–103. https://doi.org/10.1137/070705490
  • S. Scholtes, Convergence properties of a regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11 (2001) 918–936. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623499361233
  • S. Steffensen, M. Ulbrich, A new relaxation scheme for mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 20 (2010) 2504–2539. https://doi.org/10.1137/090748883
  • Z.-Q. Luo, J.-S. Pang, D. Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511983658
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CombinatoricsLinear Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Branch-and-Cut Algorithm for the Dial-a-Ride Problem: The Generalized Order-Matching Inequality x(H) + Σ x(T_h) ≤ |H| + Σ|T_h| − 2m Is Valid for Every Feasible Route PlanResearch Paper

Motivation

The dial-a-ride problem (DARP) asks for minimum-cost vehicle routes that carry users from individual pick-up points to individual drop-off points, subject to vehicle capacities, time windows, route durations and a bound on each user's ride time. It models door-to-door transport for elderly and disabled people, shared taxis and on-demand microtransit. Cordeau (Oper. Res. 54(3), 2006) gave a mixed-integer formulation of the DARP and the first branch-and-cut algorithm for it, and reported that instances with up to 30 users can be solved to optimality in reasonable time. The algorithm's strength comes from families of valid inequalities: linear constraints satisfied by every feasible route plan that cut off fractional points of the linear relaxation. Several of these families were adapted from the precedence-constrained asymmetric TSP (Balas, Fischetti and Pulleyblank 1995; Grötschel and Padberg 1985) and from the pick-up and delivery problem (Ruland and Rodin 1997); others, notably the generalized order-matching inequalities, were new in this paper.

Setting

Let nnn be the number of users. Nodes are N={0,1,…,2n+1}N = \{0, 1, \dots, 2n+1\}N={0,1,…,2n+1} with pick-up nodes P={1,…,n}P = \{1,\dots,n\}P={1,…,n}, drop-off nodes D={n+1,…,2n}D = \{n+1,\dots,2n\}D={n+1,…,2n}, origin depot 000 and destination depot 2n+12n+12n+1; user iii travels from node iii to node n+in+in+i. An instance fixes, for each node iii, a load qiq_iqi​, a service duration di≥0d_i \ge 0di​≥0 and a time window [ei,li][e_i, l_i][ei​,li​]; for each pair of nodes a travel time tijt_{ij}tij​; for each vehicle kkk in a finite set KKK a capacity QkQ_kQk​ and a maximal route duration TkT_kTk​; and a maximal ride time LLL. The standing conditions are q0=q2n+1=0q_0 = q_{2n+1} = 0q0​=q2n+1​=0, qi=−qn+iq_i = -q_{n+i}qi​=−qn+i​ for i∈Pi \in Pi∈P, and d0=d2n+1=0d_0 = d_{2n+1} = 0d0​=d2n+1​=0.

A feasible solution gives each vehicle kkk a route 0→v1→⋯→vr→2n+10 \to v_1 \to \dots \to v_r \to 2n+10→v1​→⋯→vr​→2n+1 through distinct nodes of P∪DP \cup DP∪D, start-of-service times BikB^k_iBik​ and loads QikQ^k_iQik​ such that every node of P∪DP \cup DP∪D is visited by exactly one vehicle, iii and n+in+in+i are on the same route with iii first, Bjk≥Bik+di+tijB^k_j \ge B^k_i + d_i + t_{ij}Bjk​≥Bik​+di​+tij​ and Qjk≥Qik+qjQ^k_j \ge Q^k_i + q_jQjk​≥Qik​+qj​ along each travelled arc, the ride time Bn+ik−(Bik+di)B^k_{n+i} - (B^k_i + d_i)Bn+ik​−(Bik​+di​) lies in [ti,n+i,L][t_{i,n+i}, L][ti,n+i​,L], the route lasts at most TkT_kTk​, and the time windows and capacity bounds hold at every visited node. These are the constraints (2)–(14) of the paper's model.

The arc variables are xijk=1x^k_{ij} = 1xijk​=1 when vehicle kkk travels from iii to jjj, and xij=∑k∈Kxijkx_{ij} = \sum_{k \in K} x^k_{ij}xij​=∑k∈K​xijk​. For a node set SSS write Sˉ=N∖S\bar S = N \setminus SSˉ=N∖S, x(S)=∑i,j∈Sxijx(S) = \sum_{i,j\in S} x_{ij}x(S)=∑i,j∈S​xij​, x(δ+(S))=∑i∈S,j∈Sˉxijx(\delta^+(S)) = \sum_{i\in S, j\in \bar S} x_{ij}x(δ+(S))=∑i∈S,j∈Sˉ​xij​, x(δ−(S))=∑i∈Sˉ,j∈Sxijx(\delta^-(S)) = \sum_{i \in \bar S, j \in S} x_{ij}x(δ−(S))=∑i∈Sˉ,j∈S​xij​, π(S)={i∈P∣n+i∈S}\pi(S) = \{i \in P \mid n+i \in S\}π(S)={i∈P∣n+i∈S} and σ(S)={n+i∈D∣i∈S}\sigma(S) = \{n+i \in D \mid i \in S\}σ(S)={n+i∈D∣i∈S}. An inequality in xxx is valid for the DARP when the aggregated arc variables of every feasible solution satisfy it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (p. 578)

Let i1,…,imi_1, \dots, i_mi1​,…,im​ be distinct users and let H,T1,…,Tm⊆P∪DH, T_1, \dots, T_m \subseteq P \cup DH,T1​,…,Tm​⊆P∪D satisfy {ih,n+ih}⊆Th\{i_h, n+i_h\} \subseteq T_h{ih​,n+ih​}⊆Th​ and H∩Th={ih}H \cap T_h = \{i_h\}H∩Th​={ih​}. Then every feasible solution satisfies

x(H)+∑h=1mx(Th)≤∣H∣+∑h=1m∣Th∣−2m.(39)x(H) + \sum_{h=1}^m x(T_h) \le |H| + \sum_{h=1}^m |T_h| - 2m. \tag{39}x(H)+h=1∑m​x(Th​)≤∣H∣+h=1∑m​∣Th​∣−2m.(39)

The handle HHH and the teeth ThT_hTh​ are not required to be disjoint from one another beyond H∩Th={ih}H \cap T_h = \{i_h\}H∩Th​={ih​}, and mmm is arbitrary.

Milestones (the steps of the proof of Proposition 5)

  1. x(S)≤∣S∣−1x(S) \le |S| - 1x(S)≤∣S∣−1 for every nonempty S⊆P∪DS \subseteq P \cup DS⊆P∪D.
  2. If x(T)=∣T∣−1x(T) = |T| - 1x(T)=∣T∣−1 for a set T∋i,n+iT \ni i, n+iT∋i,n+i, then a path of arcs with xab=1x_{ab} = 1xab​=1 covers TTT and does not finish at iii.
  3. With α\alphaα the number of teeth for which x(Th)=∣Th∣−1x(T_h) = |T_h| - 1x(Th​)=∣Th​∣−1: x(δ+(H))≥αx(\delta^+(H)) \ge \alphax(δ+(H))≥α.
  4. x(δ+(H))=x(δ−(H))x(\delta^+(H)) = x(\delta^-(H))x(δ+(H))=x(δ−(H)) and 2x(H)+x(δ+(H))+x(δ−(H))=2∣H∣2x(H) + x(\delta^+(H)) + x(\delta^-(H)) = 2|H|2x(H)+x(δ+(H))+x(δ−(H))=2∣H∣ for H⊆P∪DH \subseteq P \cup DH⊆P∪D.
  5. x(H)≤∣H∣−αx(H) \le |H| - \alphax(H)≤∣H∣−α.

Companion statements

The mission also states the other propositions of §4: the lifted subtour elimination inequalities (33) and (34) (Propositions 1 and 2), the predecessor inequality (30), the two liftings (36) and (37) of the generalized order constraint (Propositions 3 and 4), the redundancy of the strengthening (40) of (39) under (30) for fractional points (Proposition 6), and the infeasible path inequality (41) under the triangle inequality for travel times (Proposition 7).

Significance

Valid inequalities are what make branch-and-cut work: each family is added to the linear relaxation by a separation heuristic, and the paper's computational section reports how the bound improves as families are added. Validity is the one property the algorithm cannot check at run time, since a cut that removes a feasible route plan silently returns a suboptimal answer. Remark 2 of the paper observes that (39) is stronger than the TSP comb inequality on the same sets, and Proposition 6 shows that its natural strengthening adds nothing once the predecessor inequalities (30) are present, which tells an implementer which families to separate.

All propositions are proved in the paper, partly in an appendix; none is formalized. A machine-checked development would give a precise route-based model of the DARP that later DARP and pick-up and delivery papers can reuse, and certified validity of the cut families that branch-and-cut codes for these problems separate.

Difficulty

The proofs are short on paper but argue about the shape of routes: "there exists a path connecting all nodes in ThT_hTh​", "this path cannot finish at node ihi_hih​ because of the precedence constraint". Turning a tight subtour count x(T)=∣T∣−1x(T) = |T| - 1x(T)=∣T∣−1 into a single covering path requires knowing that the arcs of a feasible solution inside a subset of P∪DP \cup DP∪D form vertex-disjoint paths, which in turn rests on each node of P∪DP \cup DP∪D having exactly one predecessor and one successor and on routes containing no cycles. The arithmetic step from α\alphaα tight teeth to the bound on the handle needs the degree identities for every subset of P∪DP \cup DP∪D, and counting the arcs leaving HHH needs the distinctness of the users ihi_hih​. Reasoning directly with the linear constraints (2)–(14) does not suffice: those constraints alone do not exclude cycles of zero duration.

Formalization scope

Nodes are natural numbers, so n+in+in+i and 2n+12n+12n+1 appear literally; NNN, PPP, DDD and P∪DP \cup DP∪D are Finset.range (2n+2), Icc 1 n, Icc (n+1) (2n) and Icc 1 (2n). All data and arc variables are real-valued, and every right-hand side is computed in R\mathbb RR. Feasible solutions are route-based: each vehicle has a duplicate-free list of nodes of P∪DP \cup DP∪D, and the constraints of the model are imposed along that list. Read literally, the program (1)–(14) admits closed cycles when di+tij=0d_i + t_{ij} = 0di​+tij​=0 around a cycle, on which every proposition fails, and imposes (11)–(13) also at nodes a vehicle does not visit; the route encoding follows the paper's verbal definition of the DARP and its proofs, which reason about routes. Precedence (iii before n+in+in+i) is a field of the solution, since with zero travel and service times the nonnegativity of ride times does not order the visits. The routing cost plays no role and is omitted. No positivity is assumed for travel or service times.

Added hypotheses, each necessary: sets SSS in the subtour bound and in (30) are nonempty (S=∅S = \emptysetS=∅ gives 0≤−10 \le -10≤−1); the users of Proposition 5 are distinct; the generalized order constraint (Propositions 3 and 4) has m≥2m \ge 2m≥2 (for m=1m = 1m=1 it is false); the ordered sets of Propositions 1 and 2 have h≥3h \ge 3h≥3 nodes, the standing assumption of the paragraph that introduces them; Proposition 7 has p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 and a path through distinct nodes. Proposition 6 is the only statement about fractional points: it assumes nonnegativity, no loops, (2), (3) and (30), and drops the remaining constraints of the relaxation, which makes it stronger.

The inequalities are stated for the arc variables of every feasible solution, not for an arbitrary 000–111 vector satisfying a few degree constraints; a statement of the latter kind is a different and false theorem. Useful contributions include the path structure of the arcs of a feasible solution inside a subset of P∪DP \cup DP∪D, the degree identities, and the milestone proofs, which are reusable for the other propositions.

Selected references

  • J.-F. Cordeau, A Branch-and-Cut Algorithm for the Dial-a-Ride Problem, Operations Research 54(3):573–586, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1060.0283
  • E. Balas, M. Fischetti, W. R. Pulleyblank, The precedence-constrained asymmetric traveling salesman polytope, Mathematical Programming 68:241–265, 1995 (as cited in Cordeau 2006).
  • M. Grötschel, M. W. Padberg, Polyhedral theory, in Lawler et al. (eds.), The Traveling Salesman Problem, Wiley, New York, 1985, pp. 251–305 (as cited in Cordeau 2006).
  • K. S. Ruland, E. Y. Rodin, The pickup and delivery problem: Faces and branch-and-cut algorithm, Computers & Mathematics with Applications 33:1–13, 1997 (as cited in Cordeau 2006).
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Validity of Heavy Traffic Steady-State Approximations in Generalized Jackson Networks: Scaled Stationary Queue Lengths Converge to the Stationary Distribution of the Reflected Brownian MotionResearch Paper

Motivation

Open networks of single-server queues with general (non-exponential) interarrival and service times, generalized Jackson networks (GJNs), model manufacturing lines, communication networks and service systems. Their stationary distributions are almost never available in closed form. The standard engineering approximation replaces the scaled queue-length vector by the stationary distribution of a reflected Brownian motion (RBM) in the orthant, which is the diffusion limit of the network in heavy traffic, when every station is close to full utilisation.

The diffusion limit itself (Reiman, 1984) is a statement about the process on finite time intervals. Using the RBM's stationary law as an approximation of the network's stationary law requires interchanging two limits: time to infinity (steady state) and traffic intensity to one (heavy traffic). For a long time this interchange was assumed rather than proved.

Timeline.

  • 1984. Reiman proved the process-level heavy-traffic limit for open queueing networks started empty (doi:10.1287/moor.9.3.441).
  • 1987. Harrison and Williams characterised when an orthant RBM has a stationary distribution and showed it is unique (doi:10.1080/17442508708833469).
  • 1995. Dai related fluid-model stability to positive Harris recurrence of multiclass networks (doi:10.1214/aoap/1177004828).
  • 2006. Gamarnik and Zeevi proved the interchange of limits for GJNs whose primitives have exponential moments (arXiv:math/0410066). This mission formalizes that result.

Setting

There are JJJ stations. Station jjj receives external arrivals with i.i.d. interarrival times of law FA,jF_{A,j}FA,j​ (rate αj\alpha_jαj​, or no arrivals at all) and serves jobs first-in-first-out with i.i.d. service times of law FS,jF_{S,j}FS,j​ (mean mjm_jmj​, rate μj=1/mj\mu_j = 1/m_jμj​=1/mj​). A job finishing at jjj moves to kkk with probability pjkp_{jk}pjk​ or leaves. The routing matrix PPP is substochastic with spectral radius below one. Interarrival and service times have uniformly bounded conditional exponential moments of their residual lives (conditions (1)–(2)). The traffic equation λ=α+P′λ\lambda = \alpha + P'\lambdaλ=α+P′λ gives the effective rates λ=[I−P′]−1α\lambda = [I-P']^{-1}\alphaλ=[I−P′]−1α and the traffic intensities ρj=λjmj\rho_j = \lambda_j m_jρj​=λj​mj​.

The queue lengths Q(t)Q(t)Q(t) are not Markov. The state Qˉ(t)=(Q(t),a^(t),v^(t))\bar Q(t) = (Q(t),\hat a(t),\hat v(t))Qˉ​(t)=(Q(t),a^(t),v^(t)), which adds the elapsed interarrival and service times, is a Markov process on X=Z+J×R+2J\mathcal X = \mathbb Z_+^J\times\mathbb R_+^{2J}X=Z+J​×R+2J​. A law π\piπ on X\mathcal XX is stationary if Qˉ(0)∼π\bar Q(0)\sim\piQˉ​(0)∼π implies Qˉ(t)∼π\bar Q(t)\sim\piQˉ​(t)∼π for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.

Heavy traffic. Fix a critically loaded network Ξ\XiΞ (ρj=1\rho_j=1ρj​=1 for all jjj) and a vector κ0>0\kappa^0>0κ0>0. The network Ξn\Xi^nΞn slows the arrivals of Ξ\XiΞ at station jjj by the factor 1−κj0/n1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n1−κj0​/n​, so that ρjn=1−κj/n<1\rho^n_j = 1-\kappa_j/\sqrt n<1ρjn​=1−κj​/n​<1 for an explicit κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 (display (17)). Let πn\pi^nπn be any stationary distribution of Ξn\Xi^nΞn, and let π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n be the law of Qn(0)/nQ^n(0)/\sqrt nQn(0)/n​ under πn\pi^nπn.

The RBM. For a Brownian motion WWW with drift β\betaβ and covariance Γ\GammaΓ, the RBM ZZZ with parameters (β,Γ,I−P′)(\beta,\Gamma,I-P')(β,Γ,I−P′) solves the Skorohod problem Z=W+[I−P′]Y≥0Z = W + [I-P']Y\ge0Z=W+[I−P′]Y≥0, with YYY nondecreasing and increasing only when ZZZ is on the boundary. Here β=−(I−P′)M−1κ\beta = -(I-P')M^{-1}\kappaβ=−(I−P′)M−1κ and Γ\GammaΓ is the explicit covariance matrix of Reiman's theorem, built from μ\muμ, α\alphaα, PPP and the squared coefficients of variation ca,j2c^2_{a,j}ca,j2​, cs,j2c^2_{s,j}cs,j2​ of Ξ\XiΞ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8 (p. 18)

π^n ⇒ πRBM(n→∞),\hat\pi^n\ \Rightarrow\ \pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}\qquad(n\to\infty),π^n ⇒ πRBM​(n→∞),

where πRBM\pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}πRBM​ is the unique stationary distribution of the (β,Γ,I−P′)(\beta,\Gamma,I-P')(β,Γ,I−P′)-RBM. The formal goal asserts three things: a stationary distribution of the RBM exists, it is the only one, and π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n converges weakly to it, for every choice of stationary distributions πn\pi^nπn.

Milestones

  1. Theorems 5 and 6 (pp. 15–16). For a general Markov process, a geometric Lyapunov function Φ\PhiΦ gives EπΦ≤ϕ(t0)K/(1−γ)\mathbb E_\pi\Phi\le\phi(t_0)K/(1-\gamma)Eπ​Φ≤ϕ(t0​)K/(1−γ). A Lyapunov function with control of L2L_2L2​ gives an exponential tail Pπ(Φ>s)≲e−θs\mathbb P_\pi(\Phi>s)\lesssim e^{-\theta s}Pπ​(Φ>s)≲e−θs.
  2. Proposition 1 (p. 11). The fluid model drains in time at most w′z/min⁡jμj(1−ρj)w'z/\min_j\mu_j(1-\rho_j)w′z/minj​μj​(1−ρj​), where w=e′[I−P′]−1w=e'[I-P']^{-1}w=e′[I−P′]−1.
  3. Lemma A.1 and Propositions 2–3 (pp. 17, 25). The net input deviates from its fluid path by O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) uniformly over initial states. As a result, Φ(z,a,v)=w′z\Phi(z,a,v)=w'zΦ(z,a,v)=w′z is a Lyapunov function for Ξn\Xi^nΞn with drift −n-\sqrt n−n​ over time nt0nt_0nt0​.
  4. Theorem 7 and Corollary 1 (pp. 17–18). Pπn(n−1/2w′Qn(0)>s)≤C1e−c1s\mathbb P_{\pi^n}(n^{-1/2}w'Q^n(0)>s)\le C_1e^{-c_1s}Pπn​(n−1/2w′Qn(0)>s)≤C1​e−c1​s uniformly in nnn. Hence {π^n}\{\hat\pi^n\}{π^n} is tight.
  5. Theorems 4, 3 and 2 (cited). Reiman's process limit from a general initial law; Harrison and Williams's existence and uniqueness theorem for the RBM's stationary distribution; existence of πn\pi^nπn.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8 justifies the use of the RBM's stationary distribution, which is computable or at least numerically tractable, as an approximation of steady-state queue lengths of a heavily loaded network. Theorem 7 also shows that each stationary queue is of order (1−ρ∗n)−1(1-\rho^{*n})^{-1}(1−ρ∗n)−1 uniformly in nnn. Together with Theorem 8 this gives convergence of all moments (Corollary 2 of the paper) and, through Theorems 9–12, steady-state approximations of sojourn times and product-form limits.

Formalizing it. No part of this argument is machine-checked. The formalization would add reusable infrastructure for queueing theory in Lean: a Markov-state model of a generalized Jackson network with residual times, Lyapunov bounds on stationary distributions of general Markov processes (Theorems 5–6), and the link between tightness and identification of limit points for stationary laws. Reiman's theorem (Theorem 4) and the Harrison–Williams theorem (Theorem 3) are cited by the paper and are themselves open formalization targets.

Difficulty

Tightness and Reiman's theorem do not combine on their own. Reiman's theorem describes the network on finite time intervals, started empty, while a stationary distribution describes it as time goes to infinity; nothing in the finite-horizon limit forces a limit point of π^n\hat\pi^nπ^n to be stationary for the RBM, or forces different subsequences to have the same limit. The interchange therefore needs the process limit from an arbitrary initial law and the uniqueness of the RBM's stationary law, besides tightness.

The tightness step is the technical core. Moment bounds must be uniform in nnn and in the initial residual times. A Lyapunov argument on the workload w′Qw'Qw′Q over a time horizon of order nnn requires deviation bounds of order n\sqrt nn​ for renewal processes started at arbitrary ages. This is why the residual-life conditions (1)–(2) appear, and why the strong approximation of Lemma A.2 is used. A naive drift argument over a fixed time horizon fails: in heavy traffic the drift of w′Qw'Qw′Q per unit time is only of order n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2.

Formalization scope

  • Stations are Fin J, vectors Fin J → ℝ, P′P'P′ is Pᵀ, and the norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 norm, written as an explicit sum. The spectral-radius condition is Pm→0P^m\to0Pm→0.
  • A network is its data (J,FA,FS,P)(\mathcal J, F_A, F_S, P)(J,FA​,FS​,P) plus the predicate IsGJN (positive times, conditions (1)–(2), substochastic PPP). AjA_jAj​ and SjS_jSj​ count renewal epochs in [0,t][0,t][0,t]. The initial times aj(0)a_j(0)aj​(0), vj(0)v_j(0)vj​(0) are residual lives given the elapsed ages a^j(0)\hat a_j(0)a^j​(0), v^j(0)\hat v_j(0)v^j​(0). States carry their elapsed times as reals; the predicate InStateSpace cuts out X=Z+J×R+2J\mathcal X=\mathbb Z_+^J\times\mathbb R_+^{2J}X=Z+J​×R+2J​, and the uniform bounds over initial states (Lemma A.1, Propositions 2–3) and the initial laws of Theorem 4 range over X\mathcal XX only.
  • A realization from an initial law is a probability space carrying the primitives with their joint law and processes Q,BQ, BQ,B satisfying the dynamics (4)–(5) almost surely. E[⋅∣Qˉ(0)=x]\mathbb E[\cdot\mid\bar Q(0)=x]E[⋅∣Qˉ​(0)=x] is the expectation under a realization from δx\delta_xδx​. Stationarity of π\piπ means: a realization from π\piπ exists, and every realization from π\piπ has Qˉ(t)∼π\bar Q(t)\sim\piQˉ​(t)∼π for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  • The heavy-traffic scaling is read as ajn=aj/(1−κj0/n)a^n_j = a_j/(1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n)ajn​=aj​/(1−κj0​/n​). The printed aj(1−κj0/n)a_j(1-\kappa^0_j/\sqrt n)aj​(1−κj0​/n​) would overload every Ξn\Xi^nΞn, so no πn\pi^nπn would exist. κ\kappaκ is defined so that (17) holds exactly, and every statement about Ξn\Xi^nΞn is for all large nnn.
  • The RBM is built on the published Reiman84.QueueLength.Paths (Brownian motion with drift and covariance, and the reflection pair). An RBM stationary law must be a probability measure carried by R+J\mathbb R^J_+R+J​. Weak convergence of laws on RJ\mathbb R^JRJ uses Mathlib's topology on ProbabilityMeasure. Theorem 4's process convergence is in coupling form with the uniform topology on [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • Quantities lim sup⁡n(⋅)<∞\limsup_n(\cdot)<\inftylimsupn​(⋅)<∞ are rendered as one finite bound valid for all large nnn. Expectations of nonnegative quantities are lower Lebesgue integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Constants "depending only on Ξ\XiΞ" are quantified before nnn and before the stationary distributions.
  • Disclosed departures from the page:
    • ϕ(t0)<∞\phi(t_0)<\inftyϕ(t0​)<∞ is assumed in Theorem 5.
    • {Φ>K}≠∅\{\Phi>K\}\neq\emptyset{Φ>K}=∅ is assumed in Theorem 6. Its tail constant (29) is stated as (γθ/2)−1(\gamma\theta/2)^{-1}(γθ/2)−1, which is what the paper's proof yields, instead of the printed (1−γθ/2)−1(1-\gamma\theta/2)^{-1}(1−γθ/2)−1.
    • Γ\GammaΓ is positive definite in Theorem 3, the hypothesis of Harrison and Williams.
    • The derivative bound w′q˙(t)≤−min⁡jμj(1−ρj)w'\dot q(t)\le-\min_j\mu_j(1-\rho_j)w′q˙​(t)≤−minj​μj​(1−ρj​) of Proposition 1 is stated for ρj≤1\rho_j\le1ρj​≤1 at every station; the page states it unconditionally, and it fails when two stations are overloaded.
    • Theorems 5 and 6 are stated for the time-t0t_0t0​ transition kernel of the Markov process.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out explicitly. The goal keeps the existence and uniqueness of πRBM\pi_{\mathrm{RBM}}πRBM​ as conjuncts, stationarity requires a realization to exist, and the RBM's stationary law must live on the orthant. Hence neither an impossible network nor an empty RBM notion makes the goal vacuous.
  • Contributions are welcome on any milestone. The cited Theorems 2–4 are substantial on their own, and Theorems 5–6 are independent of queueing.

Selected references

  • D. Gamarnik and A. Zeevi, Validity of heavy traffic steady-state approximations in generalized Jackson networks, Ann. Appl. Probab. 16(1), 2006, 56–90. arXiv:math/0410066, doi:10.1214/105051605000000638
  • M. I. Reiman, Open queueing networks in heavy traffic, Math. Oper. Res. 9(3), 1984, 441–458. doi:10.1287/moor.9.3.441
  • J. M. Harrison and R. J. Williams, Brownian models of open queueing networks with homogeneous customer populations, Stochastics 22, 1987, 77–115. doi:10.1080/17442508708833469
  • J. G. Dai, On positive Harris recurrence of multiclass queueing networks: a unified approach via fluid limit models, Ann. Appl. Probab. 5(1), 1995, 49–77. doi:10.1214/aoap/1177004828
  • H. Chen and D. D. Yao, Fundamentals of Queueing Networks: Performance, Asymptotics, and Optimization, Springer, 2001 (reference [11] of the paper; Chapter 7).
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Theoretical Framework for the Pricing of Contingent Claims in the Presence of Model Uncertainty: Superreplication Price Equals a Supremum over Martingale Measures with Bracket BoundsResearch Paper

Motivation

Classical arbitrage pricing fixes one probabilistic model of the underlying asset and prices a contingent claim as an expectation under an equivalent martingale measure. When the volatility is not known, a seller who wants to be safe under every plausible model has to superreplicate: hold an initial capital and a trading strategy whose terminal value dominates the claim under all models at once. The uncertain volatility model (UVM) of Avellaneda, Levy and Parás (Appl. Math. Finance 1995) and Lyons (Appl. Math. Finance 1995) is the standard instance: the volatility is only known to lie in an interval [σ‾,σˉ][\underline\sigma,\bar\sigma][σ​,σˉ].

The family of laws describing such uncertainty is not dominated by a single reference probability, so "almost surely" and the usual stochastic integral are not available. Denis and Martini (Ann. Appl. Probab. 2006) replace them by a capacity and a quasi-sure stochastic integral, and show that the superreplication price of a broad class of path-dependent European claims is a supremum of expectations over martingale laws. This framework is a precursor of quasi-sure analysis and GGG-expectations (Denis, Hu and Peng, Potential Anal. 2011; Soner, Touzi and Zhang, Electron. J. Probab. 2011).

Setting

Fix T>0T>0T>0. Ω\OmegaΩ is the space of continuous paths B=(Bt)t∈[0,T]B=(B_t)_{t\in[0,T]}B=(Bt​)t∈[0,T]​ with B0=0B_0=0B0​=0, with the uniform norm, Borel σ\sigmaσ-field B\mathcal BB and canonical filtration Ft=σ(Bs:s≤t)\mathcal F_t=\sigma(B_s:s\le t)Ft​=σ(Bs​:s≤t). A martingale measure is a probability on Ω\OmegaΩ under which BBB is an (Ft)(\mathcal F_t)(Ft​)-martingale; Pm\mathbf P_mPm​ denotes the set of these.

A nonzero measure μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with continuous distribution function μˉt=μˉ([0,t])\bar\mu_t=\bar\mu([0,t])μˉ​t​=μˉ​([0,t]) bounds the bracket. Hypothesis H(μˉ)H(\bar\mu)H(μˉ​) on a set P⊆Pm\mathbf P\subseteq\mathbf P_mP⊆Pm​ says d⟨B⟩tP≤dμˉtd\langle B\rangle^P_t\le d\bar\mu_td⟨B⟩tP​≤dμˉ​t​ for every P∈PP\in\mathbf PP∈P; H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) adds a lower bound dμ‾t≤d⟨B⟩tPd\underline\mu_t\le d\langle B\rangle^P_tdμ​t​≤d⟨B⟩tP​. In the UVM, dμ‾=σ‾2dtd\underline\mu=\underline\sigma^2dtdμ​=σ​2dt and dμˉ=σˉ2dtd\bar\mu=\bar\sigma^2dtdμˉ​=σˉ2dt.

The capacity of a bounded continuous φ\varphiφ is c(φ)=sup⁡P∈P∥φ∥L2(P)c(\varphi)=\sup_{P\in\mathbf P}\|\varphi\|_{L^2(P)}c(φ)=supP∈P​∥φ∥L2(P)​, extended to all functions through lower semicontinuous majorants. A set is polar if its capacity is 000, and a property holds quasi-surely (q.s.) outside a polar set. L\mathcal LL is the completion of Cb(Ω)C_b(\Omega)Cb​(Ω) under ccc. Elementary integrands h=∑ikti1]ti,ti+1]h=\sum_i k_{t_i}\mathbb 1_{]t_i,t_{i+1}]}h=∑i​kti​​1]ti​,ti+1​]​ have integrals IT(h)=∑ikti(Bti+1−Bti)I_T(h)=\sum_ik_{t_i}(B_{t_{i+1}}-B_{t_i})IT​(h)=∑i​kti​​(Bti+1​​−Bti​​), and H\mathcal HH is their completion for ∥h∥H=sup⁡P(EP∫0Ths2dμˉs)1/2\|h\|_{\mathcal H}=\sup_P(E_P\int_0^Th_s^2d\bar\mu_s)^{1/2}∥h∥H​=supP​(EP​∫0T​hs2​dμˉ​s​)1/2. K={IT(h):h∈H}K=\{I_T(h):h\in\mathcal H\}K={IT​(h):h∈H} is the space of attainable gains. The superreplication price of a claim fff is

Λ(f)=inf⁡{a∈R: ∃g∈K, a+g≥f q.s.}.\Lambda(f)=\inf\{a\in\mathbb R:\ \exists g\in K,\ a+g\ge f\ \text{q.s.}\}.Λ(f)=inf{a∈R: ∃g∈K, a+g≥f q.s.}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 for explicit claims

Assume H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) and that μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ is Hölder continuous. There is a set P′′⊂Pm\mathbf P''\subset\mathbf P_mP′′⊂Pm​ of martingale measures satisfying H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) such that

Λ(f)=sup⁡{EPf:P∈P′′}\Lambda(f)=\sup\{E_Pf:P\in\mathbf P''\}Λ(f)=sup{EP​f:P∈P′′}

for every bounded continuous fff of the form F(Bt1,…,Btd)F(B_{t_1},\dots,B_{t_d})F(Bt1​​,…,Btd​​), G(∫0TF(Bs)ds)G\big(\int_0^TF(B_s)ds\big)G(∫0T​F(Bs​)ds) or G(sup⁡tBt)G(\sup_tB_t)G(supt​Bt​), with GGG (and the cylindrical FFF) bounded continuous. The goal leaves P′′\mathbf P''P′′ unspecified, as the paper does.

Milestones

In attack order: the transfer of a.s. inequalities to q.s. ones (Lemma A.7); the pathwise moment bound (Bt−Bs)2n≤∫sth dB+Cμˉ(]s,t])n(B_t-B_s)^{2n}\le\int_s^th\,dB+C\bar\mu(]s,t])^n(Bt​−Bs​)2n≤∫st​hdB+Cμˉ​(]s,t])n q.s. (Proposition 2.9) and its price form Λ((Bt−Bs)2n)≤C2nμˉ([s,t])n\Lambda((B_t-B_s)^{2n})\le C_{2n}\bar\mu([s,t])^nΛ((Bt​−Bs​)2n)≤C2n​μˉ​([s,t])n (Proposition 2.13); a universal bracket ⟨B⟩t∈L\langle B\rangle_t\in\mathcal L⟨B⟩t​∈L (Lemma 2.10) approximated by realized variance (Lemma 2.14); weak duality Λ(f)≥sup⁡P′EPf\Lambda(f)\ge\sup_{\mathbf P'}E_PfΛ(f)≥supP′​EP​f (Lemma 2.15); the representation Λ(f)=sup⁡Q∈QEQf~\Lambda(f)=\sup_{Q\in\mathcal Q}E_Q\tilde fΛ(f)=supQ∈Q​EQ​f~​ over probabilities on the Stone–Čech compactification Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ (§5, p. 19) and the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality for Λ\LambdaΛ (Lemma 4.3); the martingale property and continuity of B~\tilde BB~ under each QQQ (Proposition 5.2); the bracket bounds for the induced law Q∗Q^*Q∗ (Lemma 5.3); membership of the three claim families in the class Γ\GammaΓ of fff with EQf~=EQ∗fE_Q\tilde f=E_{Q^*}fEQ​f~​=EQ∗​f (Lemmas 5.4–5.6); and Theorem 3.1 for the literal class Γ\GammaΓ.

Further statements: Theorem 6.1 (all martingale measures with H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) form a valid P′′\mathbf P''P′′), Proposition 3.2 (the case dom⁡Λ=L\operatorname{dom}\Lambda=\mathcal LdomΛ=L), Proposition 2.12 (measures not charging polar sets inherit the bracket bounds), Theorem A.8 (closedness of KKK under H(aμˉ,μˉ)H(a\bar\mu,\bar\mu)H(aμˉ​,μˉ​)).

Significance

The theorem identifies the cheapest model-free hedge of path-dependent European claims (cylindrical payoffs, Asian-type averages, lookbacks on the maximum) with a worst-case expectation over martingale laws obeying the same bracket bounds. Theorem 6.1 specializes it to the generalized UVM, where the dual set is all martingale measures with dμ‾≤d⟨B⟩≤dμˉd\underline\mu\le d\langle B\rangle\le d\bar\mudμ​≤d⟨B⟩≤dμˉ​; the paper notes this is new even for the Lebesgue case. The result supplies a rigorous non-dominated duality on which robust pricing bounds and GGG-expectation pricing rest.

The theorem is proved in the paper; no part of it is machine-checked. A formalization would produce the first Lean development of a capacity on path space, of a quasi-sure stochastic integral, and of a continuous-time quadratic variation on the canonical space. These objects are absent from Mathlib, which has discrete- and continuous-time martingales, the Stone–Čech compactification and the Riesz–Markov–Kakutani theorem, but no stochastic integral.

Difficulty

The family P\mathbf PP is not dominated, so neither the Itô integral of a single model nor a common null set is available: every inequality obtained under one PPP by the Itô formula must be lifted to a quasi-sure one, and every limit taken in the capacity. The natural dual argument (Hahn–Banach on L\mathcal LL) produces linear forms whose representation as measures on Ω\OmegaΩ is not available because dom⁡Λ\operatorname{dom}\LambdadomΛ need not be all of L\mathcal LL. The paper's route works on bounded continuous claims and compactifies; the price is that the dual measures live on Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~, where BtB_tBt​ is unbounded and must be extended by truncation, and the identity EQf~=EQ∗fE_Q\tilde f=E_{Q^*}fEQ​f~​=EQ∗​f linking Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ back to Ω\OmegaΩ holds only for a class of claims that has to be checked family by family.

Formalization scope

Ω\OmegaΩ is a subtype of C(Set.Icc 0 T, ℝ) (paths with B0=0B_0=0B0​=0) with the Borel σ\sigmaσ-field of the sup-norm topology. Distribution functions are continuous StieltjesFunctions vanishing at 000 and positive at TTT. The quadratic variation is a predicate: an adapted process with PPP-a.s. continuous nondecreasing paths from 000 such that B2−AB^2-AB2−A is a martingale. The capacity takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] with the Appendix's Lebesgue extension; q.s. means outside a set of capacity zero. L\mathcal LL, H\mathcal HH and KKK are membership predicates on functions. KKK is the image of the completion H\mathcal HH. Λ\LambdaΛ and every supremum are extended reals. Ω~\tilde\OmegaΩ~ is Mathlib's StoneCech, and Q\mathcal QQ is the set of Borel probabilities on it dominated by Λ\LambdaΛ on Cb(Ω)C_b(\Omega)Cb​(Ω).

Standing assumptions, stated as hypotheses: H(μˉ)H(\bar\mu)H(μˉ​) on P\mathbf PP for all §2 results, H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) where the page assumes it, and Hölder continuity of μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ for every result of §4–§5 and the goal (p. 12: "From now on, we assume that μˉ\bar\muμˉ​ is Hölder continuous"). The goal replaces the class Γ\GammaΓ, which is defined only inside the proof, by the three families of Lemmas 5.4–5.6. The literal form is a milestone. Lemma 2.14 adds P≠∅\mathbf P\neq\emptysetP=∅. Lemma 5.3 is stated for the law Q∗Q^*Q∗ on Ω\OmegaΩ.

The following trivializing formalizations are ruled out. An empty P\mathbf PP with a real-valued Λ\LambdaΛ would make the goal 0=00=00=0; here both sides are −∞-\infty−∞. Defining q.s. as "a.s. for every PPP" would make Lemma A.7 a tautology. Replacing KKK by the closure of elementary integrals would shrink Λ\LambdaΛ. Dropping the martingale condition from the quadratic-variation predicate would make H(μ‾,μˉ)H(\underline\mu,\bar\mu)H(μ​,μˉ​) satisfiable by any deterministic process.

A complete development needs Itô's formula and the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequalities for continuous martingales, Doob–Meyer uniqueness, a Kolmogorov continuity criterion, and the theory of regular Choquet capacities. These are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Denis and C. Martini, A theoretical framework for the pricing of contingent claims in the presence of model uncertainty, Ann. Appl. Probab. 16(2):827–852, 2006. arXiv:math/0607111v1. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0607111
  • M. Avellaneda, A. Levy and A. Parás, Pricing and hedging derivative securities in markets with uncertain volatilities, Appl. Math. Finance 2(2):73–88, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504869500000005
  • T. J. Lyons, Uncertain volatility and the risk-free synthesis of derivatives, Appl. Math. Finance 2(2):117–133, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504869500000007
  • L. Denis, M. Hu and S. Peng, Function spaces and capacity related to a sublinear expectation: application to G-Brownian motion paths, Potential Anal. 34:139–161, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11118-010-9185-x
  • H. M. Soner, N. Touzi and J. Zhang, Quasi-sure stochastic analysis through aggregation, Electron. J. Probab. 16:1844–1879, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1214/EJP.v16-950
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Law of Large Numbers Limits for Many-Server Queues 2: The Fluid Age Measure Converges to the Equilibrium Measure (1 − G(x))dxResearch Paper

Motivation

Large call centers, cloud server farms and hospital wards are modeled as many-server queues: NNN identical servers, customers arriving according to a counting process, each customer served by one server for a random time drawn from a distribution GGG, and customers who find all servers busy waiting in a first-come first-served queue. When NNN is large, the number of customers is of order NNN and the natural object of study is the fluid limit, obtained by dividing all quantities by NNN and letting N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞. For exponential service times the fluid limit is a finite-dimensional ordinary differential equation. For a general service distribution — and call-center data show service times far from exponential (lognormal, in Brown et al., 2005) — the state must record how long each customer in service has been served, and the fluid limit is a measure-valued process.

Kaspi and Ramanan (Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011) 33–114) characterize this limit by a pair of fluid equations for general GGG with a density, prove that they have at most one solution, show that the scaled NNN-server processes converge to it, and describe its long-time behavior. This mission is the last of these results: in the critically loaded fluid system, every solution converges to equilibrium.

Timeline. Whitt (2006) introduced a fluid model of the many-server queue with general service times and abandonment, and stated the case λˉ<1\bar\lambda<1λˉ<1 of property (1) of the goal theorem without proof (his Theorem 7.3). Kaspi and Ramanan (2011) gave the measure-valued formulation with the age process, uniqueness and existence of fluid solutions, and the convergence to equilibrium formalized here. Reed (2009) treated the related G/GI/NG/GI/NG/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime.

Setting

The service distribution GGG has a density ggg, is carried by [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and has mean one: ∫0∞x g(x) dx=∫0∞(1−G(x)) dx=1\int_0^\infty x\,g(x)\,dx=\int_0^\infty(1-G(x))\,dx=1∫0∞​xg(x)dx=∫0∞​(1−G(x))dx=1. Let M=sup⁡{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞]M=\sup\{x\ge0:G(x)<1\}\in(0,\infty]M=sup{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞], and let h=g/(1−G)h=g/(1-G)h=g/(1−G) be the hazard rate on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M).

The fluid state at time ttt is a number Xˉ(t)≥0\bar X(t)\ge0Xˉ(t)≥0, the scaled number of customers in system, and a measure νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) of total mass at most one: νˉt(A)\bar\nu_t(A)νˉt​(A) is the scaled number of customers in service whose age (time already spent in service) lies in AAA. The input is a nondecreasing càdlàg arrival function Eˉ\bar EEˉ with Eˉ(0)=0\bar E(0)=0Eˉ(0)=0, an initial number Xˉ(0)\bar X(0)Xˉ(0) and an initial age measure νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​, satisfying 1−⟨1,νˉ0⟩=[1−Xˉ(0)]+1-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle=[1-\bar X(0)]^+1−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩=[1−Xˉ(0)]+ (servers are idle only when nobody waits). The set of such triples is S0\mathcal S_0S0​.

A càdlàg pair (Xˉ,νˉ)(\bar X,\bar\nu)(Xˉ,νˉ) solves the fluid equations if the cumulative departures Dˉ(t)=∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ ds\bar D(t)=\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle\,dsDˉ(t)=∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds are finite, the entries into service Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩−⟨1,νˉ0⟩+Dˉ(t)\bar K(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle+\bar D(t)Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩+Dˉ(t) satisfy the transport equation

⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0⟩+∫0t⟨φx+φs,νˉs⟩ ds−∫0t⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs⟩ ds+∫[0,t]φ(0,s) dKˉ(s)\langle\varphi(\cdot,t),\bar\nu_t\rangle=\langle\varphi(\cdot,0),\bar\nu_0\rangle+\int_0^t\langle\varphi_x+\varphi_s,\bar\nu_s\rangle\,ds-\int_0^t\langle h\varphi(\cdot,s),\bar\nu_s\rangle\,ds+\int_{[0,t]}\varphi(0,s)\,d\bar K(s)⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt​⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0​⟩+∫0t​⟨φx​+φs​,νˉs​⟩ds−∫0t​⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs​⟩ds+∫[0,t]​φ(0,s)dKˉ(s)

for every compactly supported test function φ\varphiφ on [0,M)×[0,∞)[0,M)\times[0,\infty)[0,M)×[0,∞) (ages grow at unit rate, customers leave at rate hhh, new customers enter at age 000), mass is conserved, Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t)\bar X(t)=\bar X(0)+\bar E(t)-\bar D(t)Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t), and the system is non-idling, 1−⟨1,νˉt⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+1-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle=[1-\bar X(t)]^+1−⟨1,νˉt​⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+.

The equilibrium measure is νˉ∗(dx)=(1−G(x)) dx\bar\nu_*(dx)=(1-G(x))\,dxνˉ∗​(dx)=(1−G(x))dx on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M), a probability measure by the mean-one normalization. With Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id (arrival rate equal to the total service capacity), Xˉ≡c≥1\bar X\equiv c\ge1Xˉ≡c≥1 and νˉ≡νˉ∗\bar\nu\equiv\bar\nu_*νˉ≡νˉ∗​ is a constant solution. Assumption 2 asks that hhh be bounded or lower semicontinuous near MMM. The renewal measure of GGG is U=∑n≥0G∗nU=\sum_{n\ge0}G^{*n}U=∑n≥0​G∗n, the unit mass at 000 included.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.9

Under Assumption 2:

  1. if Eˉ=λˉ id\bar E=\bar\lambda\,\mathrm{id}Eˉ=λˉid with λˉ∈[0,1]\bar\lambda\in[0,1]λˉ∈[0,1] and the system starts empty, then Xˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩\bar X(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangleXˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩ increases to λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ and νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ increases weakly to λˉνˉ∗\bar\lambda\bar\nu_*λˉνˉ∗​;
  2. if ∫x2g(x) dx<∞\int x^2g(x)\,dx<\infty∫x2g(x)dx<∞, then for Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id and every initial condition in S0\mathcal S_0S0​,
lim⁡t→∞⟨f,νˉt⟩=∫[0,∞)f(x)(1−G(x)) dxfor every bounded continuous f.\lim_{t\to\infty}\langle f,\bar\nu_t\rangle=\int_{[0,\infty)}f(x)(1-G(x))\,dx\qquad\text{for every bounded continuous }f.t→∞lim​⟨f,νˉt​⟩=∫[0,∞)​f(x)(1−G(x))dxfor every bounded continuous f.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.4: a solution restarted at time ttt solves the fluid equations for the shifted data.
  • Remark 3.8: the invariant solution (c+Eˉ−id,νˉ∗)(c+\bar E-\mathrm{id},\bar\nu_*)(c+Eˉ−id,νˉ∗​) when λˉ≥1\bar\lambda\ge1λˉ≥1.
  • Corollary 4.4, (4.6): Kˉ\bar KKˉ is the renewal measure UUU convolved with an explicit forcing term.
  • Proposition 6.1(1)–(3): the solution started empty, explicitly up to the first time τ1\tau_1τ1​ it fills, its monotone convergence for constant λˉ≤1\bar\lambda\le1λˉ≤1, and the comparison of an arbitrary solution with it.
  • Lemma 6.2: a reference system built from UUU converges weakly to ⟨1,π0⟩νˉ∗\langle\mathbf 1,\pi_0\rangle\bar\nu_*⟨1,π0​⟩νˉ∗​.
  • Lemma 6.3: a uniform renewal estimate under a finite second moment.

Significance

Theorem 3.9(2) is the stability statement of the fluid model in the critically loaded case: whatever the initial occupancy and the initial ages, the age distribution of customers in service converges to the stationary excess distribution of GGG. It justifies using νˉ∗\bar\nu_*νˉ∗​ as the operating point around which diffusion approximations of many-server queues are built, and it is the fluid counterpart of the classical fact that the age of a stationary renewal process has density 1−G1-G1−G. Part (1) gives the transient behavior of an underloaded or critically loaded system started empty.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge none of it has been formalized. A formalization adds machine-checked statements of a measure-valued fluid model that the companion mission (uniqueness of fluid solutions, Theorem 3.5) shares, and exercises renewal theory — the renewal measure, a key renewal theorem for laws with a density, Lorden's inequality — in a form usable by other queueing developments.

Difficulty

The naive argument would show that ⟨f,νˉt⟩\langle f,\bar\nu_t\rangle⟨f,νˉt​⟩ is given by an explicit formula and pass to the limit. The explicit age representation of a solution involves Kˉ\bar KKˉ, which is known only through a renewal equation whose forcing term depends on νˉ\bar\nuνˉ itself; there is no closed form unless the system never fills up. For Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id the system can alternate between full and not full, and the convergence must be proved without knowing when. Two ingredients carry the weight: a comparison showing that the occupancy tends to one, and a key renewal theorem for the backward recurrence time of a renewal process with a density, which needs total-variation rather than vague convergence because the test functions are only bounded and continuous. The uniform-in-time control of Lemma 6.3 is where the second moment enters.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in ManyServerFluid.Equilibrium. The service law is a structure holding the density ggg with g≥0g\ge0g≥0, g=0g=0g=0 on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), ∫g=1\int g=1∫g=1, and mean one. Time is R\mathbb RR, read on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Age measures are Mathlib FiniteMeasure ℝ carried by [0,M)[0,M)[0,M), with the weak topology, so "càdlàg" is in the paper's topology. The departures ∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ds\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle ds∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds are lower integrals in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; dKˉd\bar KdKˉ and dZdZdZ are Lebesgue–Stieltjes measures. The convolution powers are the published QueueingFundamentals.MG1.convPow.

Explicit choices, each also stated in the item that uses it:

  • g=0g=0g=0 below 000 and ∫g=1\int g=1∫g=1 are explicit; the paper's "νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​" is νˉ(0)\bar\nu(0)νˉ(0), stated as an equation.
  • Compact support of test functions is relative to [0,M)×R+[0,M)\times\mathbb R_+[0,M)×R+​, as the paper intends; the directional derivative is supplied as a second function.
  • Weak convergence is tested on bounded continuous functions on R\mathbb RR; for measures carried by [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) this is equivalent to Cb[0,M)\mathcal C_b[0,M)Cb​[0,M) and Cb(R+)\mathcal C_b(\mathbb R_+)Cb​(R+​). "Increases" means nondecreasing.
  • "The unique solution" is the hypothesis "a solution"; uniqueness is the companion mission.
  • In Proposition 6.1(1) the printed limit ∫0τ1f(t−s)⋯\int_0^{\tau_1}f(t-s)\cdots∫0τ1​​f(t−s)⋯ is read with τ1\tau_1τ1​ for ttt, and only for τ1<∞\tau_1<\inftyτ1​<∞.
  • In Lemma 6.3 the free ttt of (6.11) is quantified after ∃Tε\exists T_\varepsilon∃Tε​, uniformly, as the proof establishes and uses.
  • Lemma 6.2 states that Z∈I0Z\in\mathcal I_0Z∈I0​ and that a càdlàg family satisfying (6.6) exists, besides (6.7).
  • Remark 3.8 is stated as membership in the solution set, the conclusion the paper draws.

Weak convergence in Theorem 3.9(2) is against all bounded continuous functions, not compactly supported ones; vague convergence would let mass escape towards MMM and is not the theorem. The monotonicity in part (1) is part of the statement. A formalization in which these were dropped, or in which UUU omitted the unit mass at 000, would state a different result.

Existence. The paper's proof of Theorem 3.9(2) compares an arbitrary solution with the solution started empty, which it obtains from its Theorem 3.7 (existence via the NNN-server limit); that theorem is not part of this series. Here every solution is a hypothesis, so nothing false is stated, but a proof of the goal must construct the empty-start solution for Eˉ=id\bar E=\mathrm{id}Eˉ=id. It is explicit: νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ has density 1−G1-G1−G on [0,t][0,t][0,t] while t<τ1t<\tau_1t<τ1​, and from τ1=M<∞\tau_1=M<\inftyτ1​=M<∞ on it equals νˉ∗\bar\nu_*νˉ∗​ (Proposition 6.1, Remark 3.8, Lemma 3.4).

Contributions welcome: general renewal theory (local finiteness of UUU, Lorden's inequality, the key renewal theorem for spread-out laws in total variation), and lemmas on the fluid equations shared with the uniqueness mission (the monotonicity of Kˉ\bar KKˉ, the renewal equation (4.5), the age representation (3.11)).

Selected references

  • H. Kaspi and K. Ramanan, Law of Large Numbers Limits for Many-Server Queues, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(1) (2011) 33–114. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP662
  • W. Whitt, Fluid Models for Multiserver Queues with Abandonments, Oper. Res. 54 (2006) 37–54. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2201245
  • L. Brown, N. Gans, A. Mandelbaum, A. Sakov, H. Shen, S. Zeltyn and L. Zhao, Statistical analysis of a telephone call center: A queueing-science perspective, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 (2005) 36–50. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2166068
  • J. Reed, The G/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009) 2211–2269. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=2588244
  • S. Asmussen, Applied Probability and Queues, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003. https://mathscinet.ams.org/mathscinet-getitem?mr=1978607
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Dynamic ProgrammingOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Dynamic Programming 1: The Robust Bellman Recursion and Optimality of Deterministic Markov Policies in Finite HorizonResearch Paper

Motivation

Markov decision processes assume that the transition law is known exactly. In practice it is estimated from data, and the optimal policy computed for the point estimate can perform badly when the true law differs. Robust dynamic programming replaces each transition law by a set of plausible laws and evaluates a policy by its worst-case expected reward over that set. The worst case is taken against an adversary (nature) who may choose a law from the set at every step.

For this worst case to be computable by backward induction, the set of path measures of a policy has to decompose epoch by epoch. Garud Iyengar named this property Rectangularity and proved that under it the classical finite horizon theory carries over: a robust Bellman equation holds, and deterministic Markov policies are optimal among all history dependent randomized policies, with state and action sets that may be countably infinite and ambiguity sets that need not be convex (Iyengar, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, rev. 2004; published in Math. Oper. Res. 30(2), 2005).

Timeline:

  • 1973: Satia and Lave study Markov decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, finite states and actions (Oper. Res. 21(3)).
  • 2001: Epstein and Schneider axiomatize recursive multiple priors, the decision-theoretic origin of rectangular ambiguity (J. Econ. Theory 113, working paper 2001).
  • 2002–2005: Nilim and El Ghaoui give a robust counterpart of the Bellman recursion for finite state and action spaces and convex ambiguity sets, against Markov controllers (Oper. Res. 53(5)).
  • 2002–2005: Iyengar proves the robust Bellman equation and Markov optimality for countable spaces, arbitrary ambiguity sets and all history dependent randomized policies, under Rectangularity.

Setting

A finite horizon ambiguous Markov decision process (AMDP) has decision epochs t∈T={0,…,N−1}t \in T = \{0,\dots,N-1\}t∈T={0,…,N−1}, N≥1N\ge 1N≥1, and a terminal epoch NNN. States lie in a countable set S\mathcal SS and actions in a countable set A\mathcal AA. In state sss at epoch ttt the admissible actions form a nonempty set At(s)\mathcal A_t(s)At​(s). For each admissible action aaa, the next state is drawn from some probability measure p∈Pt(s,a)p \in \mathcal P_t(s,a)p∈Pt​(s,a), where Pt(s,a)\mathcal P_t(s,a)Pt​(s,a) is a nonempty set of probability measures on S\mathcal SS, the ambiguity set. The decision maker receives rt(s,a,s′)r_t(s,a,s')rt​(s,a,s′) when aaa is taken in sss and the next state is s′s's′, and rN(s)r_N(s)rN​(s) at the terminal epoch.

A history at epoch nnn is hn=(s0,a0,…,sn−1,an−1,sn)h_n=(s_0,a_0,\dots,s_{n-1},a_{n-1},s_n)hn​=(s0​,a0​,…,sn−1​,an−1​,sn​). A policy π=(dt)\pi=(d_t)π=(dt​) assigns to each history hth_tht​ a probability measure dt(ht)d_t(h_t)dt​(ht​) on At(st)\mathcal A_t(s_t)At​(st​). It is deterministic (ΠD\Pi_DΠD​) if every dt(ht)d_t(h_t)dt​(ht​) is a point mass, and deterministic Markov (ΠMD\Pi_{MD}ΠMD​) if moreover the chosen action depends on the current state sts_tst​ alone. Π\PiΠ denotes all history dependent randomized policies.

Under Rectangularity (Assumption 1), the set Tπ\mathcal T^\piTπ of path measures consistent with π\piπ is a product of one-epoch sets: nature chooses, for every epoch ttt, every history hth_tht​ and every admissible action aaa, a measure pht,a∈Pt(st,a)p_{h_t,a}\in\mathcal P_t(s_t,a)pht​,a​∈Pt​(st​,a), and the path measure is P(hN)=∏tdt(ht)(at) pht,at(st+1)\mathbf P(h_N)=\prod_t d_t(h_t)(a_t)\,p_{h_t,a_t}(s_{t+1})P(hN​)=∏t​dt​(ht​)(at​)pht​,at​​(st+1​). The robust value of π\piπ from hnh_nhn​ and the robust value function are

Vnπ(hn)=inf⁡P∈TnπEP[∑t=nN−1rt(st,at,st+1)+rN(sN)],Vn∗(hn)=sup⁡π∈ΠVnπ(hn).V^\pi_n(h_n)=\inf_{\mathbf P\in\mathcal T^\pi_n}E^{\mathbf P}\Big[\sum_{t=n}^{N-1}r_t(s_t,a_t,s_{t+1})+r_N(s_N)\Big],\qquad V^*_n(h_n)=\sup_{\pi\in\Pi}V^\pi_n(h_n).Vnπ​(hn​)=P∈Tnπ​inf​EP[t=n∑N−1​rt​(st​,at​,st+1​)+rN​(sN​)],Vn∗​(hn​)=π∈Πsup​Vnπ​(hn​).

The optimistic values Vˉnπ\bar V^\pi_nVˉnπ​, Vˉn∗\bar V^*_nVˉn∗​ replace the infimum over Tnπ\mathcal T^\pi_nTnπ​ by a supremum.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (Markov optimality)

For n=0,…,Nn=0,\dots,Nn=0,…,N, Vn∗(hn)V^*_n(h_n)Vn∗​(hn​) depends on hnh_nhn​ only through sns_nsn​; for n∈Tn\in Tn∈T, Vn∗(sn)=sup⁡π∈ΠMDVnπ(sn)V^*_n(s_n)=\sup_{\pi\in\Pi_{MD}}V^\pi_n(s_n)Vn∗​(sn​)=supπ∈ΠMD​​Vnπ​(sn​); and

Vn∗(s)=sup⁡a∈An(s) inf⁡p∈Pn(s,a)Ep[rn(s,a,s′)+Vn+1∗(s′)],n∈T.(16)V^*_n(s)=\sup_{a\in\mathcal A_n(s)}\ \inf_{p\in\mathcal P_n(s,a)}E^p\big[r_n(s,a,s')+V^*_{n+1}(s')\big],\qquad n\in T. \tag{16}Vn∗​(s)=a∈An​(s)sup​ p∈Pn​(s,a)inf​Ep[rn​(s,a,s′)+Vn+1∗​(s′)],n∈T.(16)

Milestones

  1. Proof of Theorem 1, eq. (15): at one epoch, randomizing over actions does not raise the worst-case value, and the adversary may choose its measure separately per action.
  2. Theorem 1 (Bellman equation): VN∗(hN)=rN(sN)V^*_N(h_N)=r_N(s_N)VN∗​(hN​)=rN​(sN​) and Vn∗(hn)=sup⁡ainf⁡p∈Pn(sn,a)Ep[rn(sn,a,s)+Vn+1∗(hn,a,s)]V^*_n(h_n)=\sup_{a}\inf_{p\in\mathcal P_n(s_n,a)}E^p[r_n(s_n,a,s)+V^*_{n+1}(h_n,a,s)]Vn∗​(hn​)=supa​infp∈Pn​(sn​,a)​Ep[rn​(sn​,a,s)+Vn+1∗​(hn​,a,s)] (11).
  3. Corollary 1: Vn∗(hn)=sup⁡π∈ΠDVnπ(hn)V^*_n(h_n)=\sup_{\pi\in\Pi_D}V^\pi_n(h_n)Vn∗​(hn​)=supπ∈ΠD​​Vnπ​(hn​) for n∈Tn\in Tn∈T.
  4. Theorem 3: the optimistic analogue of Theorem 2, with recursion (18) in which both the outer and the inner optimizations are suprema.

The mission also contains, as a draft theorem that is not a milestone, the per-policy identity of the proof of Theorem 1, eq. (12): for each policy, Vnπ(hn)=inf⁡p∈TdnEp[rn+Vn+1π(hn,an,sn+1)]V^\pi_n(h_n)=\inf_{p\in\mathcal T^{d_n}}E^p[r_n+V^\pi_{n+1}(h_n,a_n,s_{n+1})]Vnπ​(hn​)=infp∈Tdn​​Ep[rn​+Vn+1π​(hn​,an​,sn+1​)].

Significance

Theorem 2 is the basis of robust dynamic programming in finite horizon: computing an optimal robust policy reduces to NNN backward passes, each a family of one-stage problems inf⁡p∈Pn(s,a)Ep[v]\inf_{p\in\mathcal P_n(s,a)}E^p[v]infp∈Pn​(s,a)​Ep[v]. It also justifies restricting attention to deterministic Markov policies, which is what every algorithm in the robust MDP literature computes. Theorem 1 isolates the role of Rectangularity: without it the worst case over path measures does not decompose and the recursion characterizes nothing.

The results are proved on paper; no machine-checked proof is known. The platform holds the finite-state, Markov-controller special case (the Nilim–El Ghaoui RobustMDP series, posed, not proved), whose comparison class is too small to express the claim ΠMD\Pi_{MD}ΠMD​ suffices against Π\PiΠ. A formal proof here supplies the history dependent policy and adversary machinery on countable spaces that the discounted robust theory and the robust MDP literature reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious argument writes the robust value as an inf–sup over path measures and pushes the infimum inside the expectation epoch by epoch. That step is the content of (12): the infimum of an expectation equals the expectation of an infimum only because nature's continuation choice may depend on the realized action and next state, so near-worst continuations for different branches can be glued into one admissible adversary. Infima need not be attained (the ambiguity sets are arbitrary, the state set countable), so the gluing is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-argument over countably many branches. The supremum over policies needs a matching splicing of ϵ\epsilonϵ-optimal continuation policies (13)–(14). Finally, randomized decision rules must be eliminated (15), which uses Rectangularity again, now per action. Restricting either the policies or the adversary to Markov ones from the start is not allowed: it changes the comparison class and makes the goal circular.

Formalization scope

  • One countable state type S and one countable action type A serve all epochs; the page's epoch-dependent sets St\mathcal S_tSt​ embed into their disjoint union. Epochs are 0-based natural numbers, with terminal epoch M.N and 1 ≤ N.
  • A history at epoch nnn is (Fin n → S × A) × S. Probability measures are PMF; Ep[f]=∑sp(s)f(s)E^p[f]=\sum_s p(s)f(s)Ep[f]=∑s​p(s)f(s) as a tsum. The expected reward under a policy and an adversary is computed by backward iterated sums, which is the expectation under the product path measure (3).
  • A policy is a decision rule for every epoch, admissible for t < N; the supremum over Π\PiΠ equals that over the page's Πn\Pi_nΠn​ because VnπV^\pi_nVnπ​ uses only dn,…,dN−1d_n,\dots,d_{N-1}dn​,…,dN−1​. An adversary chooses pht,a∈Pt(st,a)p_{h_t,a}\in\mathcal P_t(s_t,a)pht​,a​∈Pt​(st​,a) for every epoch, history and admissible action.
  • Added and implicit hypotheses: At(s)≠∅\mathcal A_t(s)\neq\emptysetAt​(s)=∅ and Pt(s,a)≠∅\mathcal P_t(s,a)\neq\emptysetPt​(s,a)=∅ (implicit on the page), and a uniform bound ∣rt∣≤R|r_t|\le R∣rt​∣≤R, ∣rN∣≤R|r_N|\le R∣rN​∣≤R (added: Section 2 states none, but with countable states the expectations and the real suprema and infima need it). All values then lie in a bounded interval, so no supremum or infimum is a junk value.
  • Ambiguity sets are arbitrary nonempty sets of measures: no convexity, closedness or attainment is assumed anywhere.
  • "Vn∗V^*_nVn∗​ is a function of the current state alone" is stated as the existence of W(n,s)W(n,s)W(n,s) with Vn∗(hn)=W(n,sn)V^*_n(h_n)=W(n,s_n)Vn∗​(hn​)=W(n,sn​); the value is not defined on states, which would hide the claim. The notation Vnπ(sn)V^\pi_n(s_n)Vnπ​(sn​) for Markov policies is made explicit as a clause.
  • Ruled out: restricting Π\PiΠ or the adversary to Markov or stationary objects, a static adversary that fixes one ppp per (s,a)(s,a)(s,a) for the whole horizon, and suprema over unbounded or empty families; each makes some target false or trivial.

Definitions: AMDP, History, History.extend, IsPolicy, Policy, IsDeterministic, IsDetMarkov, Adversary, Selection, expect, expTail, expectedReward, V, Vstar, Vbar, VbarStar, all in RobustDP.FiniteHorizon. Lemmas about gluing adversaries along history prefixes and about suprema of bounded families indexed by subtypes are reusable. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, in any order; (15) is a one-epoch statement independent of the rest.

Selected references

  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, Columbia University, revised May 4, 2004; Math. Oper. Res. 30(2):257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim and L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Oper. Res. 53(5):780–798, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • J. K. Satia and R. E. Lave, Markovian decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, Oper. Res. 21(3):728–740, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.3.728
  • L. G. Epstein and M. Schneider, Recursive multiple-priors, J. Econ. Theory 113(1):1–31, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0531(03)00097-8
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability of Multistage Stochastic Programs: Optimal Values Are Locally Lipschitz in the L_r Distance of the Inputs plus a Filtration DistanceResearch Paper

Motivation

A multistage stochastic program chooses decisions x1,…,xTx_1, \dots, x_Tx1​,…,xT​ over TTT time periods while a random input ξ1,…,ξT\xi_1, \dots, \xi_Tξ1​,…,ξT​ is revealed one stage at a time; the decision at stage ttt may use what has been observed so far and nothing more. Such models are used for capacity expansion, hydro-thermal power scheduling, asset–liability management and production planning. In practice the true input process is never used directly: it is replaced by an estimate, a discretization or a scenario tree with few branches, and the program is solved for that approximation. Whether the optimal value of the approximate program is close to the true one is therefore the basic question behind every scenario-tree method.

For two-stage programs (T=2T = 2T=2) the answer is classical: the optimal value is Lipschitz continuous with respect to suitable distances of probability distributions (Rachev and Römisch, 2002). For T>2T > 2T>2 that methodology breaks down, because the multistage objective depends on conditional expectations given the past, and hence on the information structure of the input, not only on its distribution. Heitsch, Römisch and Strugarek (SIAM J. Optim. 2006) showed that the gap is closed by adding one more term: a distance between the filtrations generated by the true and the approximate inputs. Their estimate is the basis of later work on scenario-tree construction and on the nested distance of Pflug and Pichler.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and ξ=(ξ1,…,ξT)\xi = (\xi_1, \dots, \xi_T)ξ=(ξ1​,…,ξT​) a process with ξt∈Rd\xi_t \in \mathbb R^dξt​∈Rd. The information available at stage ttt is ξt=(ξ1,…,ξt)\xi^t = (\xi_1, \dots, \xi_t)ξt=(ξ1​,…,ξt​), and Ft=σ(ξt)\mathcal F_t = \sigma(\xi^t)Ft​=σ(ξt) is the σ-field it generates; ξ1\xi_1ξ1​ is deterministic, so F1={∅,Ω}\mathcal F_1 = \{\emptyset, \Omega\}F1​={∅,Ω}. The linear multistage program (1) is

v(ξ)=inf⁡{E[∑t=1T⟨bt(ξt),xt⟩]  :  xt∈Xt, xt Ft-measurable, At,0xt+At,1xt−1=ht(ξt) (t≥2)},v(\xi) = \inf\Big\{ \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T \langle b_t(\xi_t), x_t\rangle\Big] \;:\; x_t \in X_t,\ x_t \ \mathcal F_t\text{-measurable},\ A_{t,0}x_t + A_{t,1}x_{t-1} = h_t(\xi_t)\ (t \ge 2) \Big\},v(ξ)=inf{E[t=1∑T​⟨bt​(ξt​),xt​⟩]:xt​∈Xt​, xt​ Ft​-measurable, At,0​xt​+At,1​xt−1​=ht​(ξt​) (t≥2)},

where X1⊆Rm1X_1 \subseteq \mathbb R^{m_1}X1​⊆Rm1​ is a polyhedron, Xt⊆RmtX_t \subseteq \mathbb R^{m_t}Xt​⊆Rmt​ for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 are polyhedral cones, At,0A_{t,0}At,0​ and At,1A_{t,1}At,1​ are fixed matrices, and the costs btb_tbt​ and right-hand sides hth_tht​ are affine functions of the current input ξt\xi_tξt​. Write F(ξ,x)F(\xi, x)F(ξ,x) for the objective and X(ξ)\mathcal X(\xi)X(ξ) for the feasible set.

Which data are random fixes two integrability exponents: if only the costs are random, r=1r = 1r=1 and r′=∞r' = \inftyr′=∞; if only the right-hand sides are random, r=r′=1r = r' = 1r=r′=1; otherwise r=r′=2r = r' = 2r=r′=2. The input lives in LrL_rLr​ and the decisions in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​, and ∥ξ−ξ~∥r\|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​ is the LrL_rLr​ distance of two inputs.

Three conditions are imposed: (A1) complete fixed recourse, At,0Xt=RntA_{t,0}X_t = \mathbb R^{n_t}At,0​Xt​=Rnt​ for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2; (A2) v(ξ)v(\xi)v(ξ) is finite and FFF is level-bounded locally uniformly at ξ\xiξ: for some α>0\alpha > 0α>0 there are δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and a bounded set B⊆Lr′B \subseteq L_{r'}B⊆Lr′​ such that the level set lα(F(ξ~,⋅))={x~∈X(ξ~):F(ξ~,x~)≤v(ξ)+α}l_\alpha(F(\tilde\xi, \cdot)) = \{\tilde x \in \mathcal X(\tilde\xi) : F(\tilde\xi, \tilde x) \le v(\xi) + \alpha\}lα​(F(ξ~​,⋅))={x~∈X(ξ~​):F(ξ~​,x~)≤v(ξ)+α} is nonempty and contained in BBB whenever ∥ξ~−ξ∥r≤δ\|\tilde\xi - \xi\|_r \le \delta∥ξ~​−ξ∥r​≤δ; (A3) ξ∈Lr\xi \in L_rξ∈Lr​.

The filtration distance at stage ttt compares how well a near-optimal decision of one problem is predicted from the other problem's information:

Dt(Ft,F~t)=max⁡{sup⁡x∈lα(F(ξ,⋅))∥xt−E[xt∣F~t]∥r′, sup⁡x~∈lα(F(ξ~,⋅))∥x~t−E[x~t∣Ft]∥r′}.D_t(\mathcal F_t, \tilde{\mathcal F}_t) = \max\Big\{ \sup_{x \in l_\alpha(F(\xi,\cdot))} \|x_t - \mathbb E[x_t \mid \tilde{\mathcal F}_t]\|_{r'},\ \sup_{\tilde x \in l_\alpha(F(\tilde\xi,\cdot))} \|\tilde x_t - \mathbb E[\tilde x_t \mid \mathcal F_t]\|_{r'} \Big\}.Dt​(Ft​,F~t​)=max{x∈lα​(F(ξ,⋅))sup​∥xt​−E[xt​∣F~t​]∥r′​, x~∈lα​(F(ξ~​,⋅))sup​∥x~t​−E[x~t​∣Ft​]∥r′​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

Under (A1)–(A3) and boundedness of X1X_1X1​ there are positive constants LLL, α\alphaα, δ\deltaδ such that

∣v(ξ)−v(ξ~)∣≤L(∥ξ−ξ~∥r+∑t=2T−1Dt(Ft,F~t))|v(\xi) - v(\tilde\xi)| \le L\Big( \|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r + \sum_{t=2}^{T-1} D_t(\mathcal F_t, \tilde{\mathcal F}_t) \Big)∣v(ξ)−v(ξ~​)∣≤L(∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​+t=2∑T−1​Dt​(Ft​,F~t​))

for every input ξ~∈Lr\tilde\xi \in L_rξ~​∈Lr​ with ∥ξ~−ξ∥r≤δ\|\tilde\xi - \xi\|_r \le \delta∥ξ~​−ξ∥r​≤δ and v(ξ~)v(\tilde\xi)v(ξ~​) finite. The constants are existential: the theorem asserts the shape of the estimate, not its numerical values.

Milestones

  1. (10): the maps Mt(u)={x∈Xt:At,0x=u}M_t(u) = \{x \in X_t : A_{t,0}x = u\}Mt​(u)={x∈Xt​:At,0​x=u} are Lipschitz in the Hausdorff sense.
  2. (11): every feasible policy for ξ\xiξ can be transferred to a feasible policy for ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​, adapted to F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​, with a pointwise error bound whose constants do not depend on ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​.
  3. The three case estimates of v(ξ~)−v(ξ)v(\tilde\xi) - v(\xi)v(ξ~​)−v(ξ): only right-hand sides random, only costs random, and r=r′=2r = r' = 2r=r′=2.
  4. (14) and (15): the two one-sided estimates, whose sum of filtration terms is bounded by ∑tDt\sum_t D_t∑t​Dt​.

Significance

The theorem identifies what an approximation of a multistage input must preserve: closeness in LrL_rLr​ alone is not enough, and the filtration term measures exactly the information that is lost or gained. It justifies scenario-tree construction by forward selection and reduction (Heitsch and Römisch, 2009), where both terms are controlled, and it is the precursor of the nested distance, for which analogous Lipschitz bounds are proved. Without such an estimate a scenario tree that matches the marginal distributions can still give an arbitrarily wrong optimal value.

The result is proved in the paper; it has not been formalized. A machine-checked version needs, and would produce, a formal theory of linear programs with decisions adapted to a generated filtration in LpL_pLp​ spaces, Lipschitz continuity of polyhedral set-valued maps, and measurable selections of conditional-expectation projections. Each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — take a near-optimal policy for ξ\xiξ and evaluate it for ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​ — fails at once: that policy is adapted to Ft\mathcal F_tFt​, not to F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​, so it is not feasible for the perturbed problem, and projecting it by conditional expectation onto F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​ destroys the equality constraints. Any repaired policy must again be F~t\tilde{\mathcal F}_tF~t​-measurable at every stage, and an error made at stage ttt propagates to all later stages through the recursion At,0xt+At,1xt−1=ht(ξt)A_{t,0}x_t + A_{t,1}x_{t-1} = h_t(\xi_t)At,0​xt​+At,1​xt−1​=ht​(ξt​), where it must stay controlled in the right Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​ norm. The three integrability regimes need separate estimates; in the regime r′=∞r' = \inftyr′=∞ the error must be bounded essentially, not only on average.

Formalization scope

The program is encoded in a single definitions file. Stages are natural numbers 1,…,T1, \dots, T1,…,T with dimension functions mtm_tmt​, ntn_tnt​. X1X_1X1​ is given by finitely many linear inequalities and each XtX_tXt​, t≥2t \ge 2t≥2, by finitely many homogeneous ones, so "polyhedral" and "polyhedral cone" are built in. The matrices are linear maps between Euclidean spaces; bt(y)=bt0+Btyb_t(y) = b_t^0 + B_t ybt​(y)=bt0​+Bt​y and ht(y)=ht0+Htyh_t(y) = h_t^0 + H_t yht​(y)=ht0​+Ht​y. A randomness pattern (costs, rhs, both) carries the exponents (r,r′)(r, r')(r,r′) and its restriction on the data: Ht=0H_t = 0Ht​=0 for costs, Bt=0B_t = 0Bt​=0 for rhs, none for both.

The committed conventions are:

  • Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ is the σ-field generated by ξ1,…,ξt\xi_1, \dots, \xi_tξ1​,…,ξt​; conditional expectations are Mathlib's condExp;
  • an admissible input is measurable, in LrL_rLr​ stage by stage, and has a deterministic first component; nothing assumes ξ~1=ξ1\tilde\xi_1 = \xi_1ξ~​1​=ξ1​ or FT=F\mathcal F_T = \mathcal FFT​=F;
  • a feasible policy has deterministic x1∈X1x_1 \in X_1x1​∈X1​, Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable xtx_txt​ satisfying the constraints almost surely, and every xtx_txt​ in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​;
  • ∥ξ−ξ~∥r\|\xi - \tilde\xi\|_r∥ξ−ξ~​∥r​ uses the Euclidean norm on RTd\mathbb R^{Td}RTd; "bounded in Lr′L_{r'}Lr′​" is read componentwise, which is equivalent;
  • optimal values are extended reals (+∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible); norms, suprema and the estimate are stated in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], so no default value of a partial operation enters;
  • both level sets in DtD_tDt​ use the threshold v(ξ)+αv(\xi) + \alphav(ξ)+α, as (A2) defines them.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the constants LLL, α\alphaα, δ\deltaδ are quantified before ξ~\tilde\xiξ~​; the theorem covers all three randomness patterns; the level sets are nonempty, so the suprema are not vacuous; and a sorry-free check exhibits data satisfying (A1) with a feasible policy, so the hypotheses are satisfiable.

Contributions are welcome on Lipschitz continuity of polyhedral set-valued maps (Walkup–Wets), measurable selections, conditional expectation of set-constrained random vectors, and any of the case estimates.

Selected references

  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, C. Strugarek, Stability of multistage stochastic programs, SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2006) 511–525. https://doi.org/10.1137/050632865 (formalized from the authors' manuscript, edoc.hu-berlin.de)
  • S. T. Rachev, W. Römisch, Quantitative stability in stochastic programming: the method of probability metrics, Math. Oper. Res. 27 (2002) 792–818. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.27.4.792.304
  • R. T. Rockafellar, R. J-B Wets, Variational Analysis, Springer, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-02431-3
  • D. W. Walkup, R. J-B Wets, A Lipschitzian characterization of convex polyhedra, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 23 (1969) 167–173. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1969-0246200-8
  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, Scenario tree modeling for multistage stochastic programs, Math. Program. 118 (2009) 371–406. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0197-2
  • G. Ch. Pflug, A. Pichler, A distance for multistage stochastic optimization models, SIAM J. Optim. 22 (2012) 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1137/110825054
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Theoretical and Numerical Comparison of Relaxation Methods for Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints 2: MPEC-MFCQ Implies MFCQ for the Scholtes Relaxed Problems LocallyResearch Paper

Motivation

A mathematical program with complementarity constraints (MPEC, also called MPCC) is a nonlinear program in which some pairs of constraint functions must be nonnegative with at least one of each pair equal to zero. Such programs model bilevel optimization, Stackelberg games, contact problems in mechanics, and traffic equilibrium design; see Luo, Pang and Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints (Cambridge University Press, 1996). The complementarity constraints make every standard constraint qualification of nonlinear programming fail at every feasible point: neither LICQ nor MFCQ ever holds. Off-the-shelf NLP theory and solvers therefore do not apply directly.

Relaxation methods work around this by replacing the MPEC with a family of ordinary nonlinear programs indexed by a parameter t>0t>0t>0 and letting t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0. The oldest of these is the global relaxation of Scholtes (SIAM J. Optim. 11, 2001). The relaxed programs are only useful if they are themselves well posed: a local minimizer of a relaxed program should carry Lagrange multipliers, so that the sequence of KKT points the method computes actually exists. Hoheisel, Kanzow and Schwartz (Preprint 299, Univ. Würzburg, 2010; published in Mathematical Programming) compare five relaxation schemes, prove convergence under weaker MPEC constraint qualifications than before, and ask which standard constraint qualification the relaxed programs satisfy. This mission formalizes their answer for Scholtes' scheme, Theorem 3.2.

Setting

A standard nonlinear program (2) on Rn\mathbb R^nRn minimizes f(x)f(x)f(x) subject to gi(x)≤0g_i(x)\le0gi​(x)≤0 and hj(x)=0h_j(x)=0hj​(x)=0 for finitely many iii and jjj. At a feasible xxx, the active set is Ig(x)={i∣gi(x)=0}I_g(x)=\{i\mid g_i(x)=0\}Ig​(x)={i∣gi​(x)=0}. A family {∇gi(x)∣i∈I1}∪{∇hj(x)∣j∈I2}\{\nabla g_i(x)\mid i\in I_1\}\cup\{\nabla h_j(x)\mid j\in I_2\}{∇gi​(x)∣i∈I1​}∪{∇hj​(x)∣j∈I2​} is positive-linearly dependent if some combination ∑αi∇gi(x)+∑βj∇hj(x)\sum\alpha_i\nabla g_i(x)+\sum\beta_j\nabla h_j(x)∑αi​∇gi​(x)+∑βj​∇hj​(x) vanishes with αi≥0\alpha_i\ge0αi​≥0 and not all coefficients zero. The Mangasarian–Fromovitz constraint qualification (MFCQ) holds at xxx if the gradients ∇hj(x)\nabla h_j(x)∇hj​(x) are linearly independent and some direction ddd has ∇gi(x)Td<0\nabla g_i(x)^Td<0∇gi​(x)Td<0 for every active iii and ∇hj(x)Td=0\nabla h_j(x)^Td=0∇hj​(x)Td=0 for every jjj.

The MPEC (1) minimizes f(x)f(x)f(x) subject to

gi(x)≤0 (i≤m),hi(x)=0 (i≤p),Gi(x)≥0, Hi(x)≥0, Gi(x)Hi(x)=0 (i≤l),g_i(x)\le0\ (i\le m),\quad h_i(x)=0\ (i\le p),\quad G_i(x)\ge0,\ H_i(x)\ge0,\ G_i(x)H_i(x)=0\ (i\le l),gi​(x)≤0 (i≤m),hi​(x)=0 (i≤p),Gi​(x)≥0, Hi​(x)≥0, Gi​(x)Hi​(x)=0 (i≤l),

with continuously differentiable data. At a feasible point x∗x^*x∗ the indices of the complementarity pairs split into I0+I_{0+}I0+​ (Gi=0<HiG_i=0<H_iGi​=0<Hi​), I00I_{00}I00​ (Gi=Hi=0G_i=H_i=0Gi​=Hi​=0) and I+0I_{+0}I+0​ (Gi>0=HiG_i>0=H_iGi​>0=Hi​). The tightened program TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) replaces each pair by equalities on the components that vanish at x∗x^*x∗ and a sign constraint on the other. MPEC-MFCQ holds at x∗x^*x∗ if standard MFCQ holds for TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) at x∗x^*x∗.

Scholtes' relaxed program RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t), for t>0t>0t>0, keeps gi≤0g_i\le0gi​≤0, hj=0h_j=0hj​=0, Gi≥0G_i\ge0Gi​≥0, Hi≥0H_i\ge0Hi​≥0 and replaces GiHi=0G_iH_i=0Gi​Hi​=0 by Gi(x)Hi(x)≤tG_i(x)H_i(x)\le tGi​(x)Hi​(x)≤t. Its feasible set is XS(t)X^S(t)XS(t). Lean notation: the MPEC is MPEC n m p l, TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) is P.TNLP xs, RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) is P.RS t, and MFCQ of an NLP Q at x is Q.IsMFCQ x.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

If x∗x^*x∗ is feasible for the MPEC and MPEC-MFCQ holds at x∗x^*x∗, there are a neighbourhood NNN of x∗x^*x∗ and tˉ>0\bar t>0tˉ>0 such that

standard MFCQ for RS(t) holds at every x∈N∩XS(t).\text{standard MFCQ for } R^S(t) \text{ holds at every } x\in N\cap X^S(t).standard MFCQ for RS(t) holds at every x∈N∩XS(t).

The neighbourhood is fixed before ttt and works for every t>0t>0t>0.

Milestones, in attack order

  1. Remark 2.2. MFCQ at a feasible point of an NLP is equivalent to positive-linear independence of the active inequality gradients together with all equality gradients.
  2. MPEC-MFCQ at x∗x^*x∗, rewritten as positive-linear independence of {∇gi(x∗)}Ig\{\nabla g_i(x^*)\}_{I_g}{∇gi​(x∗)}Ig​​ (sign-constrained) together with {∇hi(x∗)}\{\nabla h_i(x^*)\}{∇hi​(x∗)}, {∇Gi(x∗)}I00∪I0+\{\nabla G_i(x^*)\}_{I_{00}\cup I_{0+}}{∇Gi​(x∗)}I00​∪I0+​​ and {∇Hi(x∗)}I00∪I+0\{\nabla H_i(x^*)\}_{I_{00}\cup I_{+0}}{∇Hi​(x∗)}I00​∪I+0​​ (free).
  3. Persistence: the same family, with gradients evaluated at xxx, stays positive-linearly independent for all x∈XS(t)x\in X^S(t)x∈XS(t) near x∗x^*x∗.
  4. (6): near x∗x^*x∗, the active sets of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) at xxx are contained in the corresponding index sets at x∗x^*x∗, and the product constraint is never active together with Gi≥0G_i\ge0Gi​≥0 or Hi≥0H_i\ge0Hi​≥0.
  5. (7): near x∗x^*x∗, the active-constraint gradients of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t), regrouped by the index sets at x∗x^*x∗, form a positive-linearly independent family.

Significance

Theorem 3.2 says that the relaxed programs inherit a standard constraint qualification from the MPEC. Consequently every local minimizer of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) near x∗x^*x∗ is a KKT point, which is exactly the hypothesis of the convergence theorem for Scholtes' method (Theorem 3.1 of the paper: limits of KKT points of RS(tk)R^S(t_k)RS(tk​) are C-stationary under MPEC-MFCQ). Without it, the convergence theorem could be about sequences that do not exist. The result also replaces the MPEC-LICQ-based regularity results of earlier work by the weaker MPEC-MFCQ.

The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no part of this theory has been machine-checked. A formal development delivers a reusable layer for nonlinear programming in Lean: positive-linear dependence, MFCQ and its dual characterization, the tightened program of an MPEC and the MPEC constraint qualifications. Sibling missions of this series formalize Theorem 3.1 and the Kadrani–Dussault–Benchakroun relaxation (Theorem 3.5) on the same vocabulary.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is a continuity argument: MFCQ is an open condition, so it should persist near x∗x^*x∗. This fails as stated, because MFCQ for RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) is not a perturbation of MFCQ for TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗): the two programs have different constraints, and the active set of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) at xxx changes with xxx and ttt. Near a biactive index i∈I00i\in I_{00}i∈I00​, the product constraint GiHi≤tG_iH_i\le tGi​Hi​≤t can be active, and its gradient Gi∇Hi+Hi∇GiG_i\nabla H_i+H_i\nabla G_iGi​∇Hi​+Hi​∇Gi​ tends to zero as x→x∗x\to x^*x→x∗. So it cannot be treated as a small perturbation of any gradient in the TNLP family. In addition, the neighbourhood must be uniform in ttt, while the active product constraints depend on ttt. The step that needs care is the regrouping of the multiplier equation of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) into a combination of TNLP-type gradients, with every coefficient's sign accounted for. The separate step from MPEC-MFCQ to positive-linear independence needs a theorem of the alternative (Motzkin's transposition theorem), which is not in Mathlib in this form.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); ∇f(x)Td\nabla f(x)^Td∇f(x)Td is the inner product of gradient f x with d. Indices 1,…,m1,\dots,m1,…,m are Fin m (0-based), and m,p,l=0m,p,l=0m,p,l=0 are allowed.
  • The standing assumption of p. 1 (all data C1C^1C1) is the explicit hypothesis P.IsC1 on the goal and on milestones 3–5. Milestones 1–2 do not need it.
  • Families of gradients are indexed families, not sets: a repeated vector makes a family linearly dependent.
  • Definition 2.1's "not all of them being zero" is read as "not all of the αi\alpha_iαi​ and βj\beta_jβj​ are zero".
  • TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) uses subtype index types, so only the constraints the paper lists exist. Absent constraints are not padded with the zero function, which would be active with zero gradient and would destroy MFCQ.
  • "Standard MFCQ for RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t)" is the MFCQ of the NLP RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) with its own active set, including the product constraint when Gi(x)Hi(x)=tG_i(x)H_i(x)=tGi​(x)Hi​(x)=t.
  • The paper introduces tˉ>0\bar t>0tˉ>0 and never uses it. The statement keeps tˉ\bar ttˉ and quantifies over every t>0t>0t>0, which is what the proof shows. The neighbourhood is a set in 𝓝 xs chosen before ttt.
  • In (7), the sixth vector is printed as Gi∇Hi+Gi∇HiG_i\nabla H_i+G_i\nabla H_iGi​∇Hi​+Gi​∇Hi​, a misprint for Gi∇Hi+Hi∇GiG_i\nabla H_i+H_i\nabla G_iGi​∇Hi​+Hi​∇Gi​. The sign constraint applies to the ∇gi\nabla g_i∇gi​ only, as in the preceding display; this is the reading the paper's last step requires.
  • Persistence (milestone 3) is stated, as printed, for x∈XS(t)x\in X^S(t)x∈XS(t) close to x∗x^*x∗, with one neighbourhood of x∗x^*x∗ serving every t>0t>0t>0.

The goal would be trivialized by a weakened MFCQ, for instance one that omits the linear independence of the equality gradients or requires the strict inequality only for some of the active constraints. Such a formalization is ruled out: IsMFCQ requires both conditions, over the full active set of RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t). The neighbourhood must be a genuine element of 𝓝 xs, so an empty NNN is excluded.

Welcome contributions: a proof of Remark 2.2, general lemmas on persistence of positive-linear independence under continuous perturbation, and the final assembly. These lemmas apply to nonlinear programming in general, not only to this mission.

Selected references

  • T. Hoheisel, C. Kanzow, A. Schwartz, Theoretical and numerical comparison of relaxation methods for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, Preprint 299, Institute of Mathematics, University of Würzburg, 2010; Mathematical Programming 137 (2013) 257–288. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0488-5
  • S. Scholtes, Convergence properties of a regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM Journal on Optimization 11 (2001) 918–936. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623499361233
  • L. Qi, Z. Wei, On the constant positive linear dependence condition and its application to SQP methods, SIAM Journal on Optimization 10 (2000) 963–981. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623497326629
  • Z.-Q. Luo, J.-S. Pang, D. Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints, Cambridge University Press, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511983658
  • O. L. Mangasarian, S. Fromovitz, The Fritz John necessary optimality conditions in the presence of equality and inequality constraints, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 17 (1967) 37–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(67)90163-1
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Complexity TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

The approximation threshold for metric k-medianResearch Paper

Motivation

In metric kkk-median, a finite set JJJ (or DDD) of clients and a finite set FFF of candidate facilities lie in a common finite metric with rational distances. Given an integer k≥1k\ge1k≥1, one opens a nonempty set S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F with ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k and pays

cost(S)=∑j∈Jd(j,S),d(j,S)=min⁡i∈Sd(j,i),OPTk=min⁡S⊆F, 1≤∣S∣≤kcost(S).\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{j\in J}d(j,S),\qquad d(j,S)=\min_{i\in S}d(j,i),\qquad \mathrm{OPT}_k=\min_{S\subseteq F,\ 1\le|S|\le k}\mathrm{cost}(S).cost(S)=j∈J∑​d(j,S),d(j,S)=i∈Smin​d(j,i),OPTk​=S⊆F, 1≤∣S∣≤kmin​cost(S).

Candidate facilities are part of the input and need not coincide with the clients. It is one of the basic clustering and facility-location objectives, and its approximability has been a testing ground for LP rounding, primal-dual methods and local search. A lower bound has long been known: if P≠NP\mathrm P\ne\mathrm{NP}P=NP, no polynomial-time algorithm achieves a factor below 1+2/e≈1.7361+2/e\approx1.7361+2/e≈1.736 in this candidate-facility model, by a reduction from Feige's coverage gap. The best polynomial-time algorithms had reached 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε, leaving a gap between 1.7361.7361.736 and 222.

This mission asks for a formal proof that the threshold is exactly 1+2/e1+2/e1+2/e, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source): a deterministic polynomial-time (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε)-approximation for every fixed ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, and hence, under P≠NP\mathrm P\ne\mathrm{NP}P=NP, an infimal approximation factor of exactly 1+2/e1+2/e1+2/e. The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 2001–2002 — Jain and Vazirani connect kkk-median to facility location by Lagrangian relaxation and primal-dual methods (J. ACM 2001); Charikar, Guha, Tardos and Shmoys give the first constant-factor approximation by LP rounding (JCSS 2002); Jain, Mahdian and Saberi introduce greedy dual fitting (STOC 2002; J. ACM 2003).
  • 2004 — Arya et al. show that bounded-swap local search achieves 3+ε3+\varepsilon3+ε (SICOMP 2004).
  • 2016 — Li and Svensson show that constant-additive pseudo-approximations can be converted to true approximations at arbitrarily small loss, breaking the factor-333 barrier (SICOMP 2016).
  • 2017–2023 — Bi-point rounding: 2.675+ε2.675+\varepsilon2.675+ε (Byrka et al., TALG 2017) and 2.6132.6132.613 (Gowda et al., SODA 2023).
  • 2019 — Cohen-Addad, Gupta, Kumar, Lee and Li give a tight FPT (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε)-approximation in time kO(k)polyk^{O(k)}\mathrm{poly}kO(k)poly (ICALP 2019).
  • 2025–2026 — Cohen-Addad, Grandoni, Lee, Schwiegelshohn and Svensson reach 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε (arXiv:2503.10972); Byrka et al. develop iterative randomized rounding with 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε (arXiv:2604.06046).
  • September 2026 — Two OpenAI preprints claim a deterministic (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε)-approximation, matching the known hardness threshold (source), and an independent randomized (2−σ)(2-\sigma)(2−σ)-approximation via anchor recovery and bounded-price strictness (source).
  • Hardness — Feige proves the ln⁡n\ln nlnn threshold for set cover and the perfect-completeness Max-kkk-Coverage gap (J. ACM 1998, Theorem 5.3); Anand and Lee record the resulting 1+2/e1+2/e1+2/e lower bound for kkk-median with specified facilities under P≠NP\mathrm P\ne\mathrm{NP}P=NP (IPCO 2024).

Setting

An instance consists of nnn points with a rational distance table ddd that is a metric (nonnegative, zero exactly on the diagonal, symmetric, triangle inequality), a client set JJJ, a facility set FFF (index sets that may overlap), and an integer 1≤k≤∣F∣1\le k\le|F|1≤k≤∣F∣, encoded in binary. A feasible solution is a nonempty S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F with ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k. An algorithm is an α\alphaα-approximation if it always outputs a feasible SSS with cost(S)≤α OPTk\mathrm{cost}(S)\le\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}_kcost(S)≤αOPTk​, and it is polynomial-time if it runs on a deterministic multi-stack Turing machine with finite alphabets in time polynomial in the encoding length.

Formalization targets

Milestone: Theorem 1.1 (p. 1)

For every fixed ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 there is a deterministic polynomial-time algorithm which, on every instance, returns a feasible SSS with

∑j∈Jd(j,S)≤(1+2e+ε)OPTk.\sum_{j\in J}d(j,S)\le\Bigl(1+\frac2e+\varepsilon\Bigr)\mathrm{OPT}_k .j∈J∑​d(j,S)≤(1+e2​+ε)OPTk​.

Goal: Corollary 1.2 (p. 2)

If P≠NP\mathrm P\ne\mathrm{NP}P=NP, then

inf⁡{α: a deterministic polynomial-time α-approximation exists}=1+2e.\inf\{\alpha:\ \text{a deterministic polynomial-time }\alpha\text{-approximation exists}\}=1+\frac2e .inf{α: a deterministic polynomial-time α-approximation exists}=1+e2​.

The infimum is not asserted to be attained.

Significance

The result itself. It closes the approximability of metric kkk-median with specified candidate facilities up to arbitrarily small additive error in the factor, ending a sequence of improvements from LP rounding through local search (3+ε3+\varepsilon3+ε), bi-point rounding (2.6752.6752.675, 2.6132.6132.613) to 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε. It shows that the FPT factor 1+2/e1+2/e1+2/e of Cohen-Addad et al. is achievable in polynomial time. The case F=JF=JF=J has a different and still separate lower-bound question.

Formalizing it. The goal combines an algorithmic theorem with a hardness reduction. A formal proof needs: the Li–Svensson reduction from constant-additive pseudo-approximations (Theorem 2.2, p. 4); the grid preparation and iterative rounding with a finite directed comparison inequality whose scalar estimates are proved by rational polynomial certificates (Sections 3–5, Appendix A); derandomization by moment-matching distributions of polynomial size (Section 6); and, for the lower bound, NP-hardness of Feige's coverage gap in the Lean computation model. All are reusable for other clustering and covering problems.

Difficulty

Two obstacles meet. The cardinality budget is hard: allowing a constant number of extra facilities makes good connection cost much easier, and earlier rounding analyses in the iterative graph framework only certify factors at least 222 (p. 2). The preprint's new ingredient is a potential that keeps track of surviving assignment copies after an opening and a finite directed comparison inequality (Theorem 4.1, p. 13) that pays for erasures. Then the randomized rounding must be made deterministic and polynomial-time while keeping the analysis valid, which requires preserving exactly the low-order moments the analysis uses (Lemma 6.1, p. 28; Theorem 6.2, p. 33), before Li–Svensson removes the additive surplus. The hardness side is classical but rests on the PCP-based Max-kkk-Coverage gap.

Formalization scope

  • Instance carries n, a Fin n → Fin n → ℚ metric (distance_eq_zero is an iff, so a true metric), client and facility Finsets, and 1 ≤ k ≤ facilities.card. cost sums nearest distances over clients; optimum is the minimum over nonempty facility subsets of size ≤k\le k≤k.
  • Outputs are membership bit masks of an actual feasible set; FactorCorrect α I out requires that mask to describe a nonempty S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F with ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k and cost(S)≤α OPTk\mathrm{cost}(S)\le\alpha\,\mathrm{OPT}_kcost(S)≤αOPTk​.
  • Polynomial time is Turing.TM2ComputableInPolyTime with finite tape alphabets, on the fixed binary instance encoding.
  • approximationFactors is the set of α\alphaα admitting such an algorithm, and the goal is sInf approximationFactors = 1 + 2/Real.exp 1 under the hypothesis Complexity.PNeNP, where P and NP are defined in the same machine model (NP via polynomial-length witnesses and a finite-alphabet polynomial-time verifier). The set is nonempty by the milestone and bounded below, so sInf is meaningful.
  • The hypothesis P≠NP\mathrm P\ne\mathrm{NP}P=NP is not provable, so the goal is a conditional statement; deriving the lower bound requires a Cook–Levin-type NP-hardness of the coverage gap in this model.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, The approximation threshold for metric k-median, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-Approximation-Threshold-for-Metric-k-Median-September-24-2026/main.pdf
  • OpenAI, Single-exponential recovery and bounded-price strictness for metric k-median, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Single-Exponential-Recovery-and-Bounded-Price-Strictness-for-Metric-k-Median-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
  • U. Feige, A threshold of ln n for approximating set cover, J. ACM 45 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1145/285055.285059
  • A. Anand, E. Lee, Separating k-median from the supplier version, IPCO 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-59835-7_2
  • K. Jain, M. Mahdian, E. Markakis, A. Saberi, V. V. Vazirani, Greedy facility location algorithms analyzed using dual fitting with factor-revealing LP, J. ACM 50 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1145/950620.950621
  • M. Charikar, S. Li, A dependent LP-rounding approach for the k-median problem, ICALP 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31594-7_17
  • R. Gandhi, S. Khuller, S. Parthasarathy, A. Srinivasan, Dependent rounding and its applications to approximation algorithms, J. ACM 53 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1145/1147954.1147956
  • K. N. Gowda, T. Pensyl, A. Srinivasan, K. Trinh, Improved bi-point rounding algorithms and a golden barrier for k-median, SODA 2023. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611977554.ch38
  • K. Jain, V. V. Vazirani, Approximation algorithms for metric facility location and k-median problems using the primal-dual schema and Lagrangian relaxation, J. ACM 48 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1145/375827.375845
  • M. Charikar, S. Guha, É. Tardos, D. B. Shmoys, A constant-factor approximation algorithm for the k-median problem, JCSS 65 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.2002.1882
  • V. Arya, N. Garg, R. Khandekar, A. Meyerson, K. Munagala, V. Pandit, Local search heuristics for k-median and facility location problems, SIAM J. Comput. 33 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702416402
  • S. Li, O. Svensson, Approximating k-median via pseudo-approximation, SIAM J. Comput. 45 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1137/130938645
  • J. Byrka, T. Pensyl, B. Rybicki, A. Srinivasan, K. Trinh, An improved approximation for k-median and positive correlation in budgeted optimization, ACM TALG 13 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1145/2981561
  • V. Cohen-Addad, A. Gupta, A. Kumar, E. Lee, J. Li, Tight FPT approximations for k-median and k-means, ICALP 2019. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2019.42
  • V. Cohen-Addad, F. Grandoni, E. Lee, C. Schwiegelshohn, O. Svensson, A (2+ε)-approximation algorithm for metric k-median, arXiv:2503.10972 (2026 version). https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.10972v2
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Single-exponential recovery and bounded-price strictness for metric k-medianResearch Paper

Motivation

In metric kkk-median, a finite set JJJ (or DDD) of clients and a finite set FFF of candidate facilities lie in a common finite metric with rational distances. Given an integer k≥1k\ge1k≥1, one opens a nonempty set S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F with ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k and pays

cost(S)=∑j∈Jd(j,S),d(j,S)=min⁡i∈Sd(j,i),OPTk=min⁡S⊆F, 1≤∣S∣≤kcost(S).\mathrm{cost}(S)=\sum_{j\in J}d(j,S),\qquad d(j,S)=\min_{i\in S}d(j,i),\qquad \mathrm{OPT}_k=\min_{S\subseteq F,\ 1\le|S|\le k}\mathrm{cost}(S).cost(S)=j∈J∑​d(j,S),d(j,S)=i∈Smin​d(j,i),OPTk​=S⊆F, 1≤∣S∣≤kmin​cost(S).

Candidate facilities are part of the input and need not coincide with the clients. It is one of the basic clustering and facility-location objectives, and its approximability has been a testing ground for LP rounding, primal-dual methods and local search. The hard part of the problem is the facility budget: a solution with small connection cost is much easier to find if a few extra facilities may be opened, and every approximation algorithm must eventually enforce ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k on its output.

This mission concerns two tools for enforcing that budget and their combination into a randomized approximation strictly below factor 222 on arbitrary finite rational metrics, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 2001–2002 — Jain and Vazirani connect kkk-median to facility location by Lagrangian relaxation and primal-dual methods (J. ACM 2001); Charikar, Guha, Tardos and Shmoys give the first constant-factor approximation by LP rounding (JCSS 2002); Jain, Mahdian and Saberi introduce greedy dual fitting (STOC 2002; J. ACM 2003).
  • 2004 — Arya et al. show that bounded-swap local search achieves 3+ε3+\varepsilon3+ε (SICOMP 2004).
  • 2016 — Li and Svensson show that constant-additive pseudo-approximations can be converted to true approximations at arbitrarily small loss, breaking the factor-333 barrier (SICOMP 2016).
  • 2017–2023 — Bi-point rounding: 2.675+ε2.675+\varepsilon2.675+ε (Byrka et al., TALG 2017) and 2.6132.6132.613 (Gowda et al., SODA 2023).
  • 2019 — Cohen-Addad, Gupta, Kumar, Lee and Li give a tight FPT (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε)-approximation in time kO(k)polyk^{O(k)}\mathrm{poly}kO(k)poly (ICALP 2019).
  • 2025–2026 — Cohen-Addad, Grandoni, Lee, Schwiegelshohn and Svensson reach 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε (arXiv:2503.10972); Byrka et al. develop iterative randomized rounding with 2+ε2+\varepsilon2+ε (arXiv:2604.06046).
  • September 2026 — Two OpenAI preprints claim a deterministic (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε)-approximation, matching the known hardness threshold (source), and an independent randomized (2−σ)(2-\sigma)(2−σ)-approximation via anchor recovery and bounded-price strictness (source).

Setting

Write n=∣D∣n=|D|n=∣D∣ and N=∣D∣+∣F∣N=|D|+|F|N=∣D∣+∣F∣. A comparison solution O⊆FO\subseteq FO⊆F of size hhh assigns each client to a nearest member of OOO (ties broken by fixed priorities); CiC_iCi​ is the cluster of i∈Oi\in Oi∈O and Pi=∑p∈Cid(p,i)P_i=\sum_{p\in C_i}d(p,i)Pi​=∑p∈Ci​​d(p,i), with P=cost(O)P=\mathrm{cost}(O)P=cost(O). An anchor is a supplied feasible S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F with ∣S∣=h|S|=h∣S∣=h. A certificate partitions OOO into good and bad centres and gives distinct proxies φi∈S\varphi_i\in Sφi​∈S for the good centres. A randomized polynomial-time algorithm is a polynomial-time multi-stack Turing machine that reads the encoded instance together with a string of fair random bits whose length is a fixed polynomial in the input length.

Formalization targets

Milestone: refined recovery (Theorem 1.1, p. 2)

Let D,FD,FD,F be disjoint, with distances between distinct indices positive integers bounded by a fixed polynomial in NNN. Fix ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, 0<L0<∞0<L_0<\infty0<L0​<∞ and a rational 0<μ≤min⁡{1/4,ε/12}0<\mu\le\min\{1/4,\varepsilon/12\}0<μ≤min{1/4,ε/12}. There is a randomized algorithm that, given an anchor SSS with ∣S∣=h≥1|S|=h\ge1∣S∣=h≥1 and a failure parameter ζ∈(0,1)\zeta\in(0,1)ζ∈(0,1), always returns S^⊆F\hat S\subseteq FS^⊆F with ∣S^∣≤h|\hat S|\le h∣S^∣≤h, runs in time polynomial in NNN and log⁡(1/ζ)\log(1/\zeta)log(1/ζ), and, whenever some comparison solution OOO of size hhh and cost P>0P>0P>0 admits a certificate with

∑i good∑p∈Cid(p,φi)≤∑i goodPi+μP,#{i bad}≤L0log⁡N,\sum_{i\ \mathrm{good}}\sum_{p\in C_i}d(p,\varphi_i)\le \sum_{i\ \mathrm{good}}P_i+\mu P,\qquad \#\{i\ \mathrm{bad}\}\le L_0\log N,i good∑​p∈Ci​∑​d(p,φi​)≤i good∑​Pi​+μP,#{i bad}≤L0​logN,

satisfies cost(S^)≤(1+2/e+ε)P\mathrm{cost}(\hat S)\le(1+2/e+\varepsilon)Pcost(S^)≤(1+2/e+ε)P with probability at least 1−ζ1-\zeta1−ζ. The algorithm is not given OOO, PPP or the certificate.

Goal: global application (Theorem 1.2, p. 3)

There is an absolute constant σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 such that for every fixed a>0a>0a>0 some randomized polynomial-time algorithm for metric kkk-median always returns a feasible SSS (nonempty, S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F, ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k) and satisfies

Pr⁡[cost(S)≤(2−σ) OPTk] ≥ 1−(∣D∣+∣F∣+2)−a,E cost(S)≤(2−σ) OPTk.\Pr\bigl[\mathrm{cost}(S)\le(2-\sigma)\,\mathrm{OPT}_k\bigr]\ \ge\ 1-(|D|+|F|+2)^{-a},\qquad \mathbb E\,\mathrm{cost}(S)\le(2-\sigma)\,\mathrm{OPT}_k .Pr[cost(S)≤(2−σ)OPTk​] ≥ 1−(∣D∣+∣F∣+2)−a,Ecost(S)≤(2−σ)OPTk​.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 1.1 makes the running time single-exponential in the number of clusters without accurate proxies, so logarithmically many exceptions are tractable; FPT methods with kO(k)k^{O(k)}kO(k) dependence do not give this by setting k=O(log⁡N)k=O(\log N)k=O(logN). Combined with a new proof of bounded-price strictness for one compatible execution of the logarithmic-surplus construction of Cohen-Addad, Grandoni, Lee, Schwiegelshohn and Svensson (Lemma 8.1, p. 43), it yields Theorem 1.2: a randomized approximation strictly below 222, both with high probability and in expectation, that opens at most kkk facilities on every output. A companion preprint proves a stronger deterministic (1+2/e+ε)(1+2/e+\varepsilon)(1+2/e+ε) bound by an independent route; Theorem 1.2's interest is the way recovery and payment accounting together enforce the budget.

Formalizing it. The statements are fully explicit about the machine model, the random bits, and the input encoding. A formal proof would need local-search anchoring (Theorem 3.3), leader/ball sampling with amortized radius guesses (Section 4), a finite categorical continuous-greedy algorithm with explicit error (Lemma 5.1, p. 21), the surplus construction as an external interface (Theorem 7.1, p. 35), and metric rounding and transfer (Lemma 2.1, p. 6). The submodular-optimization and local-search components are reusable.

Difficulty

Every factor-222 dual-fitting argument charges λ+2PC\lambda+2P_Cλ+2PC​ to a client set CCC served by a comparison facility, which gives exactly 222; improving the constant requires saving on connection cost while still paying for all hhh regular openings with one final price, one set of copy lengths and the budgets of one actual replay of the construction (Section 1.2, p. 3). On the recovery side, guessing a good solution from an anchor naively costs kO(k)k^{O(k)}kO(k); keeping the dependence single-exponential in the number of bad clusters requires interleaving leader sampling and removals and amortizing radius guesses over disjoint client sets (Section 4). Theorem 1.1 holds only for normalized integral metrics; the global application must construct its anchors after normalization and transfer the final cost bound back (Lemma 2.1, p. 6).

Formalization scope

  • RationalMetricInput: points Fin pointCount, a rational pseudometric table (zero on the diagonal, symmetric, triangle inequality), client and facility Finsets covering all points (they may overlap, so clients and facilities may share locations), a nonempty facility set and a positive budget kkk. Feasible S is S⊆FS\subseteq FS⊆F, ∣S∣≤k|S|\le k∣S∣≤k, and SSS nonempty when there are clients; optimum minimizes over nonempty subsets of size ≤k\le k≤k.
  • A BinaryRandomizedAlgorithm is a TM2ComputableInPolyTime function of (input bits, random bits) with finite alphabets, using randomBits.eval (input length) fair bits; probabilities and expectations are uniform averages over all seeds.
  • In the goal, feasibility holds for every seed; the success bound is 1−(N+2)−a1-(N+2)^{-a}1−(N+2)−a with N=∣D∣+∣F∣N=|D|+|F|N=∣D∣+∣F∣ (Real.rpow); the same algorithm must also satisfy the expectation bound.
  • In the milestone, Input adds disjointness of DDD and FFF, integral distances, positivity between distinct indices, and an anchor with anchor.card = budget; Bounded bound caps distances by a fixed polynomial in NNN; ζ is passed in unary precision ⌈log⁡2(1/ζ)⌉\lceil\log_2(1/\zeta)\rceil⌈log2​(1/ζ)⌉, and PolynomialWork bounds work by c(N+1)d(1+log⁡(1/ζ))dc(N+1)^d(1+\log(1/\zeta))^dc(N+1)d(1+log(1/ζ))d. A Certificate encodes OOO with ∣O∣=h|O|=h∣O∣=h, P>0P>0P>0, the good set, injective proxies into the anchor, the proxy-cost promise with lexicographic tie-breaking, and at most L0log⁡NL_0\log NL0​logN bad centres.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Single-exponential recovery and bounded-price strictness for metric k-median, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Single-Exponential-Recovery-and-Bounded-Price-Strictness-for-Metric-k-Median-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
  • OpenAI, The approximation threshold for metric k-median, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-Approximation-Threshold-for-Metric-k-Median-September-24-2026/main.pdf
  • V. Cohen-Addad, F. Grandoni, E. Lee, C. Schwiegelshohn, Breaching the 2 LMP approximation barrier for facility location with applications to k-median, arXiv:2207.05150 (2026 version). https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.05150v2
  • V. Cohen-Addad, C. Schwiegelshohn, On the local structure of stable clustering instances, FOCS 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2017.14
  • G. Călinescu, C. Chekuri, M. Pál, J. Vondrák, Maximizing a monotone submodular function subject to a matroid constraint, SIAM J. Comput. 40 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1137/080733991
  • J. Vondrák, Optimal approximation for the submodular welfare problem in the value oracle model, STOC 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1374376.1374389
  • K. Jain, M. Mahdian, E. Markakis, A. Saberi, V. V. Vazirani, Greedy facility location algorithms analyzed using dual fitting with factor-revealing LP, J. ACM 50 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1145/950620.950621
  • K. Jain, V. V. Vazirani, Approximation algorithms for metric facility location and k-median problems using the primal-dual schema and Lagrangian relaxation, J. ACM 48 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1145/375827.375845
  • M. Charikar, S. Guha, É. Tardos, D. B. Shmoys, A constant-factor approximation algorithm for the k-median problem, JCSS 65 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.2002.1882
  • V. Arya, N. Garg, R. Khandekar, A. Meyerson, K. Munagala, V. Pandit, Local search heuristics for k-median and facility location problems, SIAM J. Comput. 33 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702416402
  • S. Li, O. Svensson, Approximating k-median via pseudo-approximation, SIAM J. Comput. 45 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1137/130938645
  • J. Byrka, T. Pensyl, B. Rybicki, A. Srinivasan, K. Trinh, An improved approximation for k-median and positive correlation in budgeted optimization, ACM TALG 13 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1145/2981561
  • V. Cohen-Addad, A. Gupta, A. Kumar, E. Lee, J. Li, Tight FPT approximations for k-median and k-means, ICALP 2019. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2019.42
  • V. Cohen-Addad, F. Grandoni, E. Lee, C. Schwiegelshohn, O. Svensson, A (2+ε)-approximation algorithm for metric k-median, arXiv:2503.10972 (2026 version). https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.10972v2
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Complexity TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

A Polynomial-Time Algorithm for Three-Machine Unit-Job SchedulingResearch Paper

Motivation

A set of unit-length jobs with precedence constraints is to be run on a fixed number of identical machines so that all jobs finish as early as possible. For two machines this was solved in 1969–1972; for a number of machines given as part of the input the problem is NP-complete (Ullman, 1975). Whether the problem is polynomial-time solvable for three machines, written P3∣prec,pj=1∣Cmax⁡P3\mid\mathrm{prec},p_j=1\mid C_{\max}P3∣prec,pj​=1∣Cmax​, is problem OPEN8 in the appendix of Garey and Johnson's 1979 book and is one of the best-known open questions on the complexity of scheduling.

Timeline

  • 1969–1971. Fujii, Kasami and Ninomiya solve the two-processor case by matching (doi:10.1137/0117070, erratum doi:10.1137/0120018).
  • 1972. Coffman and Graham give an optimal list-scheduling algorithm for two processors (doi:10.1007/BF00288685).
  • 1975. Ullman proves NP-completeness when the number of machines is part of the input (doi:10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0).
  • 1979. Garey and Johnson list the fixed-three-machine problem as OPEN8; Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan introduce the standard notation (doi:10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X).
  • 1983. Garey, Johnson, Tarjan and Yannakakis give a linear-time algorithm on three processors for opposing forests (doi:10.1137/0604011).
  • 1984. Dolev and Warmuth give an O(nh(m−1)+1)O(n^{h(m-1)+1})O(nh(m−1)+1) algorithm for precedence graphs of height hhh (doi:10.1016/0196-6774(84)90039-7).
  • 2016–2022. Approximation schemes for fixed machine counts: Levey and Rothvoß via LP hierarchies (doi:10.1145/2897518.2897532), Garg's quasi-PTAS (doi:10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2018.59), Li (doi:10.1137/1.9781611976465.178), Das and Wiese (doi:10.4230/LIPIcs.ESA.2022.40).
  • 2025. Nederlof, Swennenhuis and Węgrzycki give an exact algorithm in time 2O(nlog⁡n)2^{O(\sqrt n\log n)}2O(n​logn) for three machines (doi:10.1137/1.9781611978322.16).

The source of this mission, an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026, claims a deterministic polynomial-time algorithm.

Setting

The input is a directed acyclic graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) on V={1,…,n}V=\{1,\dots,n\}V={1,…,n}, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, given as an explicit list of arcs, and optionally an integer deadline TTT with 1≤T≤n1\le T\le n1≤T≤n. A feasible schedule with makespan at most TTT is a map

τ:V→{1,…,T}\tau:V\to\{1,\dots,T\}τ:V→{1,…,T}

such that each value is taken at most three times (three machines) and τ(u)<τ(v)\tau(u)<\tau(v)τ(u)<τ(v) for every arc (u,v)∈E(u,v)\in E(u,v)∈E (precedence). Slot ttt means execution during [t−1,t)[t-1,t)[t−1,t). There are no release dates, communication delays or other resources. The input length LLL is the length of the binary encoding of the graph and deadline.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

There is a single deterministic multitape Turing machine MMM and a constant CCC such that, on every such input of length LLL, MMM halts within

C (L+2)150020C\,(L+2)^{150020}C(L+2)150020

steps and

  • without a deadline, outputs a feasible schedule of minimum makespan;
  • with a deadline TTT, outputs "infeasible" exactly when no feasible schedule with makespan at most TTT exists, and otherwise outputs one.

The exponent is the one stated in the paper and is not optimized; the content of the theorem is that a fixed polynomial bound exists. The Lean statement OAI.ThreeMachine.main_theorem is open on the platform.

Significance

The theorem resolves the polynomial-time side of Garey and Johnson's OPEN8: unit-job makespan scheduling with arbitrary precedence constraints on three identical machines lies in P. Previous exact algorithms were either restricted to special precedence structures (forests, bounded height) or subexponential, and approximation schemes did not decide the optimum. The structural statement behind the algorithm, that feasible schedules admit recursive decompositions whose interval job sets have descriptions of bounded size, may be of independent use for other fixed-machine scheduling problems. No practical running time is claimed.

The result is claimed in an OpenAI preprint; it has not been peer reviewed and no machine-checked proof exists. A formal proof would also certify the running-time analysis in an explicit machine model, which is rarely done for algorithmic results of this size.

Difficulty

Removing selected slots from a feasible schedule leaves gaps that can be rescheduled independently, which suggests a recursive search over the job sets of gaps. The obstacle is their number: naming a gap by its two boundary triples does not determine its job set, and intersecting descriptions inherited from ancestors can make the descriptions grow without bound along a recursion of linear depth. The subexponential decomposition of Nederlof–Swennenhuis–Węgrzycki controls the number of subproblems only up to 2O(nlog⁡n)2^{O(\sqrt n\log n)}2O(n​logn); a polynomial bound needs every subproblem to have a global description of constant size.

Formalization scope

  • Instance n is a list of arcs on Fin n; acyclic forbids a Relation.TransGen cycle. Jobs are Fin n (shifted to 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n in the encoding).
  • Feasible G T τ: slots in [1,T][1,T][1,T], at most three jobs per slot, strict precedence.
  • CorrectOutput distinguishes the optimization mode (none) and the decision mode (some T).
  • The machine model is a custom multitape Turing machine Machine k q g over Fin (g+3) with k+1k+1k+1 tapes; input on tape 0 encoded by encodeInput (self-delimiting binary numbers), output read from tape 0 after halting. The time bound is C (L+2)150020C\,(L+2)^{150020}C(L+2)150020 with LLL the encoded length.
  • The quantifiers are ordered so that the machine and constant are fixed before the instance (uniformity).

A complete development needs the combinatorics of the decomposition (separators and bounded global descriptions), a dynamic program over polynomially many descriptions, and its implementation and time analysis on the given Turing machine model. Contributions formalizing the purely combinatorial structure theorem, independently of the machine model, are welcome.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, A Polynomial-Time Algorithm for Three-Machine Unit-Job Scheduling, preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/A-polynomial-time-algorithm-for-three-machine-unit-job-scheduling-September-24-2026/paper.pdf
  • M. R. Garey, D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979.
  • E. G. Coffman Jr., R. L. Graham, Optimal scheduling for two-processor systems, Acta Inform., 1972. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00288685
  • J. D. Ullman, NP-complete scheduling problems, J. Comput. System Sci., 1975. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(75)80008-0
  • D. Dolev, M. K. Warmuth, Scheduling precedence graphs of bounded height, J. Algorithms, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(84)90039-7
  • J. Nederlof, C. M. F. Swennenhuis, K. Węgrzycki, A subexponential time algorithm for makespan scheduling of unit jobs with precedence constraints, SODA 2025. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611978322.16
  • E. Levey, T. Rothvoß, A (1+ϵ)(1+\epsilon)(1+ϵ)-approximation for makespan scheduling with precedence constraints using LP hierarchies, STOC 2016. https://doi.org/10.1145/2897518.2897532
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Complexity TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Uniform computation of the squared-logarithmic k-server boundResearch Paper

Motivation

In the kkk-server problem, kkk labelled servers occupy points of a metric space, requests arrive online, and each request is served by moving one server onto it; the cost is the total distance moved, compared with the offline optimum through the competitive ratio. A companion OpenAI preprint claims that on every metric there exists a randomized policy with ratio O(log⁡2(k+1))O(\log^2(k+1))O(log2(k+1)) against oblivious requests, matching the known worst-case lower bound. That result is an existence statement: it gives no procedure for computing the policy's probabilities.

This mission asks whether the bound can be realized by one uniform algorithm with explicit bit complexity on all finite rational metrics, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 1988–1990 — Manasse, McGeoch and Sleator introduce the kkk-server problem and prove the deterministic lower bound kkk (STOC 1988; J. Algorithms 1990).
  • 1991 — Paging (the uniform metric): Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young give the randomized marking algorithm and the harmonic lower bound (J. Algorithms 1991); McGeoch and Sleator attain HkH_kHk​ exactly (Algorithmica 1991). This suggested the randomized kkk-server conjecture, an O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk) ratio on every metric.
  • 1995 — Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou prove that the work function algorithm is (2k−1)(2k-1)(2k−1)-competitive (J. ACM 1995).
  • 1996–2004 — Probabilistic tree embeddings: Bartal (FOCS 1996) and Fakcharoenphol–Rao–Talwar with distortion O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) (JCSS 2004).
  • 2012–2015 — Bansal, Buchbinder and Naor give O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk) for weighted paging (J. ACM 2012); Bansal, Buchbinder, Mądry and Naor give the first polylogarithmic bound O(log⁡2klog⁡3nlog⁡log⁡n)O(\log^2k\log^3n\log\log n)O(log2klog3nloglogn) on arbitrary finite metrics (J. ACM 2015).
  • 2018 — Bubeck, Cohen, Lee, Lee and Mądry achieve O(log⁡2k)O(\log^2 k)O(log2k) on hierarchically separated trees, hence O(log⁡2klog⁡n)O(\log^2k\log n)O(log2klogn) on nnn-point metrics (STOC 2018).
  • 2023 — Bubeck, Coester and Rabani disprove the randomized kkk-server conjecture: some (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-point metrics need ratio Ω(log⁡2k)\Omega(\log^2k)Ω(log2k) (STOC 2023).
  • 2026 — Coester and Cosson make the tree and finite-metric bounds polynomial-time, with ratio O(log⁡nlog⁡2k)O(\log n\log^2k)O(lognlog2k) on general metrics (ICALP 2026).
  • September 2026 — Two OpenAI preprints claim the matching upper bound O(log⁡2(k+1))O(\log^2(k+1))O(log2(k+1)) on every metric space (source) and a uniform bit-level implementation on finite rational metrics (source).

Setting

Fix n≥3n\ge3n≥3 and 2≤k<n2\le k<n2≤k<n. A rational metric on X={1,…,n}X=\{1,\dots,n\}X={1,…,n} is a table d(x,y)∈Qd(x,y)\in\mathbb Qd(x,y)∈Q that is nonnegative, zero exactly on the diagonal, symmetric, and satisfies the triangle inequality. An initial labelled tuple s∈Xks\in X^ks∈Xk may have repetitions. For a request word σ\sigmaσ, costA,s(σ)\mathrm{cost}_{A,s}(\sigma)costA,s​(σ) is the algorithm's total movement and OPTs(σ)\mathrm{OPT}_s(\sigma)OPTs​(σ) the minimum over all choices of serving labels with knowledge of σ\sigmaσ. LLL denotes the total binary length of the encoding of (n,k,d,s)(n,k,d,s)(n,k,d,s).

The computational model is a bit machine: a finite control with an input tape, finitely many work tapes over {0,1,blank}\{0,1,\text{blank}\}{0,1,blank}, an output channel, and one fresh unbiased random bit per step. At each request the input tape is replaced by the encoded request, the internal state is retained, and the output after the step budget names the server to move.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 1)

There are an absolute constant CCC and a polynomial ppp such that a single uniform randomized online algorithm, on every instance (n,k,d,s)(n,k,d,s)(n,k,d,s) as above,

  • preprocesses the instance in at most p(L)p(L)p(L) bit operations;
  • serves request rtr_trt​, for every reachable history and internal state, in at most p(L+⌈log⁡2(t+1)⌉)p\bigl(L+\lceil\log_2(t+1)\rceil\bigr)p(L+⌈log2​(t+1)⌉) further bit operations, outputting a valid server label and moving exactly that server;
  • for every fixed finite request sequence σ\sigmaσ independent of its random bits satisfies
E costA,s(σ) ≤ C (log⁡(k+1))2 OPTs(σ)+Bd,k,s,\mathbb E\,\mathrm{cost}_{A,s}(\sigma)\ \le\ C\,\bigl(\log(k+1)\bigr)^2\,\mathrm{OPT}_s(\sigma)+B_{d,k,s},EcostA,s​(σ) ≤ C(log(k+1))2OPTs​(σ)+Bd,k,s​,

with Bd,k,s<∞B_{d,k,s}<\inftyBd,k,s​<∞ independent of σ\sigmaσ and of its length.

Significance

The result itself. It converts the existence theorem into an algorithm whose ratio is independent of nnn, using only unbiased random bits and polynomial work per request in the input length and the bit length of the request counter. The price is an additive constant Bd,k,sB_{d,k,s}Bd,k,s​ with no size bound: the algorithm may serve a very long initial stretch with a fixed label while its constructor runs. Coester and Cosson obtain stronger time and randomness guarantees but with ratio O(log⁡nlog⁡2k)O(\log n\log^2k)O(lognlog2k) on general metrics; the two results are incomparable.

Formalizing it. The goal is stated in an explicit machine model, so a formal proof certifies both the competitive bound and the bit-complexity bound. It needs the companion existence theorem (Theorem 2.1 here, p. 4) as an input; a full development therefore also requires formalizing that theorem or taking it as a separate milestone. Exact rational linear algebra (Fourier–Motzkin elimination), dyadic rounding of probabilities, and step-counted machine simulation are reusable.

Difficulty

Knowing that a good policy exists does not give its probabilities, and a finite horizon alone does not control a long input on which the optimum barely moves. The preprint (pp. 3–4) solves a rational linear system for each horizon, then filters requests so that only those missed by some strongly lazy service with bounded moves are retained, which bounds the retained word length; a marking fallback pays for trajectories exceeding the move cap. The constructor's running time is uncontrolled, so the algorithm simulates it for only ⌊log⁡2(t+1)⌋\lfloor\log_2(t+1)\rfloor⌊log2​(t+1)⌋ steps at request ttt (Proposition 4.2, p. 14), and the delayed activation is absorbed into Bd,k,sB_{d,k,s}Bd,k,s​.

Formalization scope

  • RationalMetric n is a Fin n → Fin n → ℚ table with the metric axioms; configurations are Fin k → Fin n; offlineCost is the sInf over label histories matching the request word (a finite, nonempty set of costs).
  • BitMachine has finitely many controls and tapes and a transition consuming one coin per step. Preprocessing (boot) runs c(L+1)ec(L+1)^ec(L+1)e steps with all coins 000, so it is deterministic; this is satisfied by the source's deterministic constructor, and Theorem 1.1 does not require randomness there.
  • Each request runs exactly requestBudget c e L t =c(L+⌈log⁡2(t+1)⌉+1)e=c(L+\lceil\log_2(t+1)\rceil+1)^e=c(L+⌈log2​(t+1)⌉+1)e steps (Nat.clog 2 (t+1)) and must have yielded with output value <k<k<k for every reachable state and every coin string; requests are encoded by a fixed self-delimiting binary code.
  • machineExpectedCost averages over all coin strings of the step budget, i.e. uniformly random bits; the bound is required for every request list w, with B≥0B\ge0B≥0 chosen after (d,s)(d,s)(d,s) and before w.
  • The machine, the polynomial (c,e)(c,e)(c,e) and CCC are fixed before nnn, kkk, ddd, sss: the algorithm is uniform.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Uniform computation of the squared-logarithmic k-server bound, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Uniform-computation-of-the-squared-logarithmic-k-server-bound-September-24-2026/Uniform-computation-of-the-squared-logarithmic-k-server-bound-September-24-2026.pdf
  • OpenAI, Squared-logarithmic randomized k-server on arbitrary metrics, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Squared-logarithmic-randomized-k-server-on-arbitrary-metrics-September-24-2026/Squared-logarithmic-randomized-k-server-on-arbitrary-metrics-September-24-2026.pdf
  • D. Komm, R. Královič, R. Královič, T. Mömke, Randomized online computation with high probability guarantees, Algorithmica (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00453-022-00925-z
  • G. B. Dantzig, B. C. Eaves, Fourier–Motzkin elimination and its dual, J. Combin. Theory Ser. A 14 (1973). https://doi.org/10.1016/0097-3165(73)90004-6
  • M. S. Manasse, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, J. Algorithms 11 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. H. Papadimitriou, On the k-server conjecture, J. ACM 42 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1145/210118.210128
  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive paging algorithms, J. Algorithms 12 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(91)90041-V
  • N. Bansal, N. Buchbinder, A. Mądry, J. Naor, A polylogarithmic-competitive algorithm for the k-server problem, J. ACM 62 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1145/2783434
  • S. Bubeck, M. B. Cohen, J. R. Lee, Y. T. Lee, A. Mądry, k-server via multiscale entropic regularization, STOC 2018. https://doi.org/10.1145/3188745.3188798
  • S. Bubeck, C. Coester, Y. Rabani, The randomized k-server conjecture is false!, STOC 2023. https://doi.org/10.1145/3564246.3585132
  • C. Coester, R. Cosson, Randomized k-server in polynomial time, ICALP 2026. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2026.65
  • J. Fakcharoenphol, S. Rao, K. Talwar, A tight bound on approximating arbitrary metrics by tree metrics, JCSS 69 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.04.011
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

Squared-logarithmic randomized k-server on arbitrary metricsResearch Paper

Motivation

In the kkk-server problem, kkk servers sit at points of a metric space; requests arrive one at a time, and each request must be served by moving some server onto it, at a cost equal to the distance travelled. An online policy sees only the requests revealed so far, and its quality is measured by its competitive ratio: how much more it moves, in expectation, than the offline optimum that knows the whole sequence. The problem was introduced as a common framework for paging, caching and other online service problems, and the question of the best ratio achievable by randomized policies has driven the development of metric embeddings, online primal-dual methods and entropic regularization.

This mission asks for a formal proof that randomized kkk-server has competitive ratio O(log⁡2(k+1))O(\log^2(k+1))O(log2(k+1)) on every metric space, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 1988–1990 — Manasse, McGeoch and Sleator introduce the kkk-server problem and prove the deterministic lower bound kkk (STOC 1988; J. Algorithms 1990).
  • 1991 — Paging (the uniform metric): Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young give the randomized marking algorithm and the harmonic lower bound (J. Algorithms 1991); McGeoch and Sleator attain HkH_kHk​ exactly (Algorithmica 1991). This suggested the randomized kkk-server conjecture, an O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk) ratio on every metric.
  • 1995 — Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou prove that the work function algorithm is (2k−1)(2k-1)(2k−1)-competitive (J. ACM 1995).
  • 1996–2004 — Probabilistic tree embeddings: Bartal (FOCS 1996) and Fakcharoenphol–Rao–Talwar with distortion O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn) (JCSS 2004).
  • 2012–2015 — Bansal, Buchbinder and Naor give O(log⁡k)O(\log k)O(logk) for weighted paging (J. ACM 2012); Bansal, Buchbinder, Mądry and Naor give the first polylogarithmic bound O(log⁡2klog⁡3nlog⁡log⁡n)O(\log^2k\log^3n\log\log n)O(log2klog3nloglogn) on arbitrary finite metrics (J. ACM 2015).
  • 2018 — Bubeck, Cohen, Lee, Lee and Mądry achieve O(log⁡2k)O(\log^2 k)O(log2k) on hierarchically separated trees, hence O(log⁡2klog⁡n)O(\log^2k\log n)O(log2klogn) on nnn-point metrics (STOC 2018).
  • 2023 — Bubeck, Coester and Rabani disprove the randomized kkk-server conjecture: some (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-point metrics need ratio Ω(log⁡2k)\Omega(\log^2k)Ω(log2k) (STOC 2023).
  • 2026 — Coester and Cosson make the tree and finite-metric bounds polynomial-time, with ratio O(log⁡nlog⁡2k)O(\log n\log^2k)O(lognlog2k) on general metrics (ICALP 2026).
  • September 2026 — Two OpenAI preprints claim the matching upper bound O(log⁡2(k+1))O(\log^2(k+1))O(log2(k+1)) on every metric space (source) and a uniform bit-level implementation on finite rational metrics (source).

Setting

Let (X,d)(X,d)(X,d) be a metric space and s=(s1,…,sk)∈Xks=(s_1,\dots,s_k)\in X^ks=(s1​,…,sk​)∈Xk the initial positions of kkk labelled servers; repeated positions are allowed. To serve a request rtr_trt​, a policy chooses one label jjj and moves server jjj to rtr_trt​, leaving the others fixed (a server already at rtr_trt​ may be chosen at zero cost). For a finite request sequence σ\sigmaσ, costA,s(σ)\mathrm{cost}_{A,s}(\sigma)costA,s​(σ) is the total distance moved and OPTs(σ)\mathrm{OPT}_s(\sigma)OPTs​(σ) is the minimum of this cost over all label sequences, chosen with knowledge of σ\sigmaσ. A randomized online policy chooses, at each step, a probability distribution over labels as a function of the past requests, its own past choices and the current request. Requests are fixed in advance, independently of the policy's randomness (the oblivious adversary).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 2)

There is an absolute constant C<∞C<\inftyC<∞ such that for every k≥2k\ge2k≥2, every metric space (X,d)(X,d)(X,d) with at least k+1k+1k+1 points, and every s∈Xks\in X^ks∈Xk, there are a randomized online policy AAA and a finite B≥0B\ge0B≥0 with

E costA,s(σ) ≤ C (log⁡(k+1))2 OPTs(σ)+B\mathbb E\,\mathrm{cost}_{A,s}(\sigma)\ \le\ C\,\bigl(\log(k+1)\bigr)^2\,\mathrm{OPT}_s(\sigma)+BEcostA,s​(σ) ≤ C(log(k+1))2OPTs​(σ)+B

for every finite request sequence σ\sigmaσ. The same policy serves all sequences and horizons; BBB may depend on (X,d)(X,d)(X,d), kkk and sss but not on σ\sigmaσ; and B=0B=0B=0 when the entries of sss are distinct.

Significance

The result itself. Combined with the Bubeck–Coester–Rabani lower bound, it identifies Θ(log⁡2k)\Theta(\log^2 k)Θ(log2k) as the worst-case order of the randomized competitive ratio over all metrics. The bound has no dependence on the number of points, the aspect ratio, finiteness or boundedness of XXX, removing the log⁡n\log nlogn factor left by static tree embeddings. No computational efficiency is claimed; a companion preprint turns the existence statement into a uniform algorithm on finite rational metrics.

Formalizing it. The statement is elementary to state, but its proof combines a rank-based allocation on separated trees, slowly varying simplex trackers, a compact potential for partition edits, online partitions with an embedded comparator, balanced rounding, and a compactness argument (Tychonoff) producing one policy for all finite inputs. None of these online-algorithm tools exist in a formal library, and a machine-checked competitive analysis of a randomized kkk-server algorithm on general metrics is not known.

Difficulty

Embedding the metric into a random hierarchically separated tree and running an O(log⁡2k)O(\log^2k)O(log2k) tree algorithm loses the embedding distortion, which is Θ(log⁡n)\Theta(\log n)Θ(logn) in the worst case and is not bounded in terms of kkk. Removing it requires changing the tree as requests arrive, and the cost of re-partitioning must be paid for. A previous dynamic approach (Lee's fusible HSTs) had its general claim withdrawn after a gap in that accounting (p. 3). In the preprint, the partition schedule is driven by the posterior measure of a hidden comparator, and the edit costs and the travel of parked mass are bounded separately (Sections 7–8). Passing from finite metrics and finite horizons to one policy on an arbitrary, possibly infinite and unbounded, space with a fixed constant requires a further compactness step (Section 10).

Formalization scope

  • X : Type u carries an arbitrary MetricSpace instance; "at least k+1k+1k+1 points" is an injection Fin (k+1) → X. No finiteness, separability or boundedness is assumed.
  • A Policy k X maps the history (list of past requests with the labels used) and the current request to a LabelDistribution k, i.e. a probability vector on Fin k. Every step moves exactly one server (Function.update), as in the source.
  • expectedCost is the finite sum over all label sequences of the path probability times the service cost; optimalCost is the sInf over all label sequences of the service cost (nonempty finite set, so the infimum is a minimum). Restricting the offline optimum to one-server-per-request service does not change it (triangle inequality).
  • The constant C>0C>0C>0 is chosen before kkk, XXX and sss; the policy and B≥0B\ge0B≥0 are chosen after sss and before the request list; Function.Injective s → B = 0 encodes the distinct-start clause.
  • Logarithms are natural (Real.log).

Selected references

  • OpenAI, Squared-logarithmic randomized k-server on arbitrary metrics, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Squared-logarithmic-randomized-k-server-on-arbitrary-metrics-September-24-2026/Squared-logarithmic-randomized-k-server-on-arbitrary-metrics-September-24-2026.pdf
  • OpenAI, Uniform computation of the squared-logarithmic k-server bound, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Uniform-computation-of-the-squared-logarithmic-k-server-bound-September-24-2026/Uniform-computation-of-the-squared-logarithmic-k-server-bound-September-24-2026.pdf
  • J. R. Lee, Fusible HSTs and the randomized k-server conjecture, FOCS 2018. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2018.00049
  • A. Tychonoff, Über einen Funktionenraum, Math. Ann. 111 (1935). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01472255
  • M. S. Manasse, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, J. Algorithms 11 (1990). https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. H. Papadimitriou, On the k-server conjecture, J. ACM 42 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1145/210118.210128
  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive paging algorithms, J. Algorithms 12 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(91)90041-V
  • N. Bansal, N. Buchbinder, A. Mądry, J. Naor, A polylogarithmic-competitive algorithm for the k-server problem, J. ACM 62 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1145/2783434
  • S. Bubeck, M. B. Cohen, J. R. Lee, Y. T. Lee, A. Mądry, k-server via multiscale entropic regularization, STOC 2018. https://doi.org/10.1145/3188745.3188798
  • S. Bubeck, C. Coester, Y. Rabani, The randomized k-server conjecture is false!, STOC 2023. https://doi.org/10.1145/3564246.3585132
  • C. Coester, R. Cosson, Randomized k-server in polynomial time, ICALP 2026. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ICALP.2026.65
  • J. Fakcharoenphol, S. Rao, K. Talwar, A tight bound on approximating arbitrary metrics by tree metrics, JCSS 69 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.04.011
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Complexity TheoryTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

A Direct Proof of Optimal Max-Cut HardnessResearch Paper

Motivation

Max-Cut asks for a partition of the vertices of a graph that maximizes the number of edges crossing it. Its decision version is one of Karp's original NP-complete problems, so the natural question is how well it can be approximated in polynomial time. Goemans and Williamson's semidefinite-programming algorithm with random-hyperplane rounding achieves ratio approaching

αGW=min⁡−1≤ρ<12arccos⁡ρπ(1−ρ)=0.878567…\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}=\min_{-1\le\rho<1}\frac{2\arccos\rho}{\pi(1-\rho)}=0.878567\ldotsαGW​=−1≤ρ<1min​π(1−ρ)2arccosρ​=0.878567…

(GW 1995). Whether any polynomial-time algorithm can beat this constant is a central question of approximation algorithms: unconditional NP-hardness was known only above 16/1716/1716/17, and optimality of αGW\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}αGW​ was known only under Khot's Unique Games Conjecture.

This mission asks for a machine-checked proof that approximating Max-Cut within any fixed ratio α∈(αGW,1]\alpha\in(\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}},1]α∈(αGW​,1] is NP-hard, even on simple unweighted graphs, as claimed in an OpenAI preprint dated September 23, 2026 (source, Theorem 1.1, p. 1). The preprint gives a direct reduction from the 2-to-1 Games Theorem, not via the Unique Games Conjecture. It has not been peer reviewed and its claim has not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Timeline

  • 1972 — Karp lists Max-Cut among the original NP-complete problems (Karp 1972).
  • 1995 — Goemans and Williamson give the SDP algorithm with ratio αGW\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}αGW​ (JACM 1995).
  • 2000–2001 — Håstad's optimal inapproximability results (JACM 2001) combined with the gadgets of Trevisan, Sorkin, Sudan and Williamson (SICOMP 2000) rule out ratios above 16/1716/1716/17.
  • 2002 — Feige and Schechtman show the SDP integrality gap approaches αGW\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}αGW​ (RSA 2002); Khot formulates the Unique Games Conjecture (STOC 2002).
  • 2007–2010 — Khot, Kindler, Mossel and O'Donnell prove that αGW\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}αGW​ is optimal assuming the UGC, conditional on Majority Is Stablest (SICOMP 2007), which Mossel, O'Donnell and Oleszkiewicz prove (Annals 2010) via Borell's Gaussian noise-stability bound (1985). O'Donnell–Wu (STOC 2008) and Raghavendra (STOC 2008) extend the UG-based picture.
  • 2017–2025 — The Grassmann-graph programme establishes the 2-to-1 Games Theorem with imperfect completeness: Khot–Minzer–Safra (ToC 2025), Dinur–Khot–Kindler–Minzer–Safra (ToC 2025), Barak–Kothari–Steurer (ITCS 2019), Khot–Minzer–Safra expansion (Annals 2023).
  • 2026 — The OpenAI preprint claims unconditional NP-hardness at every ratio above αGW\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}αGW​.

Setting

A simple unweighted graph on NNN vertices is given by a symmetric, loopless Boolean adjacency table. A cut is a map ccc from the vertices to {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}; its size is the number of unordered edges {u,v}\{u,v\}{u,v} with c(u)≠c(v)c(u)\ne c(v)c(u)=c(v), and MaxCut(G)\mathrm{MaxCut}(G)MaxCut(G) is the largest cut size. An algorithm is an α\alphaα-approximation if it always returns a cut of size at least α⋅MaxCut(G)\alpha\cdot\mathrm{MaxCut}(G)α⋅MaxCut(G).

3SAT inputs are bit strings decoding canonically to a conjunction of three-slot clauses (repeated variables and literals allowed); malformed strings are NO instances. A gap reduction for α\alphaα consists of rationals Y>0Y>0Y>0 and N≥0N\ge0N≥0 with N<αYN<\alpha YN<αY, and a deterministic polynomial-time map φ↦(Gφ,Qφ)\varphi\mapsto(G_\varphi,Q_\varphi)φ↦(Gφ​,Qφ​) outputting a graph together with a positive integer scale QφQ_\varphiQφ​ such that

φ∈3SAT⇒MaxCut(Gφ)Qφ≥Y,φ∉3SAT⇒MaxCut(Gφ)Qφ≤N.\varphi\in\mathrm{3SAT}\Rightarrow \frac{\mathrm{MaxCut}(G_\varphi)}{Q_\varphi}\ge Y,\qquad \varphi\notin\mathrm{3SAT}\Rightarrow \frac{\mathrm{MaxCut}(G_\varphi)}{Q_\varphi}\le N.φ∈3SAT⇒Qφ​MaxCut(Gφ​)​≥Y,φ∈/3SAT⇒Qφ​MaxCut(Gφ​)​≤N.

Given such a reduction, an α\alphaα-approximation algorithm would decide 3SAT by comparing its output with NQφN Q_\varphiNQφ​.

Formalization targets

Goal: optimal Max-Cut hardness (Theorem 1.1, p. 1)

For every real α\alphaα with αGW<α≤1\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}<\alpha\le1αGW​<α≤1, a gap reduction for α\alphaα from 3SAT to simple unweighted Max-Cut exists:

∀ α∈(αGW,1]:GapReduction(α)≠∅.\forall\,\alpha\in(\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}},1]:\quad \mathrm{GapReduction}(\alpha)\ne\varnothing.∀α∈(αGW​,1]:GapReduction(α)=∅.

In Lean this is OAI.OptimalMaxCut.main : OptimalMaxCut.MainStatement. The preprint proves it from a sharper weighted gap (Theorem 1.2, p. 2): for rational t∈(0,1)t\in(0,1)t∈(0,1), B(t)=2πarcsin⁡tB(t)=\tfrac{2}{\pi}\arcsin tB(t)=π2​arcsint and 0<ε<(t−B(t))/40<\varepsilon<(t-B(t))/40<ε<(t−B(t))/4, it is NP-hard to distinguish Val≥1+t2−ε\mathrm{Val}\ge\frac{1+t}{2}-\varepsilonVal≥21+t​−ε from Val≤1+B(t)2+ε\mathrm{Val}\le\frac{1+B(t)}{2}+\varepsilonVal≤21+B(t)​+ε on graphs with a rational edge distribution; Appendix B (p. 35) converts weighted graphs to simple unweighted ones.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 1.1 shows that the Goemans–Williamson algorithm is optimal among polynomial-time algorithms unless P = NP, removing the Unique Games hypothesis from the result of Khot, Kindler, Mossel and O'Donnell. It is the most prominent instance of an SDP-tight threshold, and the gap form (Theorem 1.2) gives a whole curve of completeness/soundness pairs.

Formalizing it. No machine-checked proof of any optimal inapproximability result for Max-Cut exists. A full development requires the 2-to-1 Games Theorem in the affine form stated as Proposition 2.2 (p. 6) and derived in Appendix A, the Majority Is Stablest theorem (Lemma 2.1, p. 5), and the paper's new ingredients: tree-code Fourier analysis (Section 5), a vector-valued affine hashing lemma (Lemma 6.1, p. 14), dimension-independent extraction (Proposition 7.1, p. 18) and decoding (Proposition 8.4, p. 24). Several of these — Majority Is Stablest, Boolean Fourier analysis, polynomial-time gap reductions on Turing machines — are reusable libraries in their own right.

Difficulty

The classical long-code test for Max-Cut, analysed via Majority Is Stablest, identifies an influential coordinate of an arbitrary cut. Under the Unique Games Conjecture that coordinate is directly a label of the source game. Starting instead from 2-to-1 games, the influential coordinate is indexed by a gate input of the test, not by a source-game label, and the two endpoints of a source edge cannot in general reconstruct a common context without knowing their projection. The decoding loss must also be independent of the source alphabet, because the alphabet dimension is chosen after the target soundness; a dimension-dependent loss would make the parameter choice circular (Introduction, pp. 3–4).

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are OptimalMaxCut.Graph: a vertex count with a symmetric loopless Bool adjacency function; maxCut maximizes cutSize over all Fin n → Bool, counting each unordered crossing edge once.
  • The output is a ScaledGraph with an explicit positive integer scale; the YES/NO bounds compare maxCut / scale in ℝ, and 0 < scale rules out division by zero.
  • alphaGW is defined as the sInf of 2arccos⁡ρ/(π(1−ρ))2\arccos\rho/(\pi(1-\rho))2arccosρ/(π(1−ρ)) over ρ∈[−1,1)\rho\in[-1,1)ρ∈[−1,1); this set is nonempty and bounded below, so the infimum is the true constant.
  • The reduction is a Turing.TM2ComputableInPolyTime machine with finite tape alphabets, from raw input bits (identity encoding) to ScaledGraph.bits (delimited vertex count and scale, then the full adjacency table); the rational bounds and the machine are fixed before the input.
  • The hypothesis αGW<α≤1\alpha_{\mathrm{GW}}<\alpha\le1αGW​<α≤1 is satisfiable, and the conclusion requires an actual strict gap noBound < α * yesBound with 0 < yesBound, so there is no trivial reading. No assumption P ≠ NP is built in.

Welcome contributions: Boolean and Gaussian Fourier analysis (noise stability, influences, Borell's theorem), Majority Is Stablest, the 2-to-1 Games Theorem, and a reusable library for polynomial-time gap reductions on TM2 machines.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, A Direct Proof of Optimal Max-Cut Hardness, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 23, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/A-Direct-Proof-of-Optimal-Max-Cut-Hardness-September-23-2026/paper.pdf
  • M. X. Goemans, D. P. Williamson, Improved approximation algorithms for maximum cut and satisfiability problems using semidefinite programming, J. ACM 42 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1145/227683.227684
  • J. Håstad, Some optimal inapproximability results, J. ACM 48 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1145/502090.502098
  • L. Trevisan, G. Sorkin, M. Sudan, D. Williamson, Gadgets, approximation, and linear programming, SIAM J. Comput. 29 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797328847
  • S. Khot, G. Kindler, E. Mossel, R. O'Donnell, Optimal inapproximability results for MAX-CUT and other 2-variable CSPs?, SIAM J. Comput. 37 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539705447372
  • E. Mossel, R. O'Donnell, K. Oleszkiewicz, Noise stability of functions with low influences: invariance and optimality, Ann. of Math. 171 (2010). https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2010.171.295
  • U. Feige, G. Schechtman, On the optimality of the random hyperplane rounding technique for MAX CUT, Random Structures Algorithms 20 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1002/rsa.10036
  • I. Dinur, S. Khot, G. Kindler, D. Minzer, M. Safra, Towards a proof of the 2-to-1 games conjecture?, Theory of Computing 21 (2025). https://doi.org/10.4086/toc.2025.v021a011
  • S. Khot, D. Minzer, M. Safra, Pseudorandom sets in Grassmann graph have near-perfect expansion, Ann. of Math. 198 (2023). https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2023.198.1.1
  • S. Khot, On the power of unique 2-prover 1-round games, STOC 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/509907.510017
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Theoretical and Numerical Comparison of Relaxation Methods for Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints 1: Scholtes Relaxation Limits Are C-Stationary under MPEC-MFCQResearch Paper

Motivation

A mathematical program with complementarity constraints (MPCC, also called MPEC, mathematical program with equilibrium constraints) is a nonlinear optimization problem in which some pairs of constraint functions must be nonnegative with at least one of each pair equal to zero. Such constraints model equilibria inside an optimization problem: bilevel programs whose lower level is replaced by its optimality conditions, Stackelberg games, traffic and electricity market equilibria, contact problems in mechanics. See Luo, Pang and Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints (Cambridge University Press, 1996), doi:10.1017/CBO9780511983658.

The complementarity constraints make the standard theory fail. At every feasible point the Mangasarian–Fromovitz constraint qualification is violated, so the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions are not necessary for optimality, and standard NLP solvers lose their convergence guarantees. A common remedy is relaxation: replace the MPEC by a family of ordinary nonlinear programs depending on a parameter t>0t>0t>0, solve them for t↓0t\downarrow0t↓0, and study the limits of their stationary points.

The first relaxation scheme, and the reference point for all later ones, is due to Scholtes (Convergence properties of a regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM J. Optim. 11 (2001), doi:10.1137/S1052623499361233). Scholtes showed that limits of stationary points of the relaxed programs are C-stationary when MPEC-LICQ holds at the limit. Hoheisel, Kanzow and Schwartz (Preprint 299, University of Würzburg, 2010; later Math. Program. 137 (2013), doi:10.1007/s10107-011-0488-5) compare five relaxation schemes and weaken the constraint qualification in each convergence theorem. For Scholtes' scheme, their Theorem 3.1 replaces MPEC-LICQ by the weaker MPEC-MFCQ. This mission formalizes that theorem.

Setting

The MPEC (1) is

min⁡f(x)  s.t.  gi(x)≤0 (i≤m),  hi(x)=0 (i≤p),  Gi(x)≥0,  Hi(x)≥0,  Gi(x)Hi(x)=0 (i≤l),\min f(x)\ \ \text{s.t.}\ \ g_i(x)\le0\ (i\le m),\ \ h_i(x)=0\ (i\le p),\ \ G_i(x)\ge0,\ \ H_i(x)\ge0,\ \ G_i(x)H_i(x)=0\ (i\le l),minf(x)  s.t.  gi​(x)≤0 (i≤m),  hi​(x)=0 (i≤p),  Gi​(x)≥0,  Hi​(x)≥0,  Gi​(x)Hi​(x)=0 (i≤l),

with continuously differentiable f,gi,hi,Gi,Hi:Rn→Rf,g_i,h_i,G_i,H_i:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf,gi​,hi​,Gi​,Hi​:Rn→R and feasible set XXX. For a point x∗x^*x∗ the paper uses the index sets Ig={i∣gi(x∗)=0}I_g=\{i\mid g_i(x^*)=0\}Ig​={i∣gi​(x∗)=0}, I0+={i∣Gi(x∗)=0<Hi(x∗)}I_{0+}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=0<H_i(x^*)\}I0+​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=0<Hi​(x∗)}, I00={i∣Gi(x∗)=Hi(x∗)=0}I_{00}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)=H_i(x^*)=0\}I00​={i∣Gi​(x∗)=Hi​(x∗)=0} and I+0={i∣Gi(x∗)>0=Hi(x∗)}I_{+0}=\{i\mid G_i(x^*)>0=H_i(x^*)\}I+0​={i∣Gi​(x∗)>0=Hi​(x∗)}.

A standard nonlinear program has constraints gi≤0g_i\le0gi​≤0, hj=0h_j=0hj​=0. Its point xxx satisfies the Mangasarian–Fromovitz constraint qualification (MFCQ) if the gradients ∇hj(x)\nabla h_j(x)∇hj​(x) are linearly independent and some direction ddd has ∇gi(x)Td<0\nabla g_i(x)^Td<0∇gi​(x)Td<0 for all active iii and ∇hj(x)Td=0\nabla h_j(x)^Td=0∇hj​(x)Td=0 for all jjj. A stationary point is the xxx-part of a KKT point: xxx is feasible and there are λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, μ\muμ with λigi(x)=0\lambda_ig_i(x)=0λi​gi​(x)=0 and ∇f(x)+∑λi∇gi(x)+∑μj∇hj(x)=0\nabla f(x)+\sum\lambda_i\nabla g_i(x)+\sum\mu_j\nabla h_j(x)=0∇f(x)+∑λi​∇gi​(x)+∑μj​∇hj​(x)=0.

The tightened program TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) keeps gi≤0g_i\le0gi​≤0, hi=0h_i=0hi​=0 and imposes Gi=0, Hi≥0G_i=0,\ H_i\ge0Gi​=0, Hi​≥0 on I0+I_{0+}I0+​, Gi≥0, Hi=0G_i\ge0,\ H_i=0Gi​≥0, Hi​=0 on I+0I_{+0}I+0​, and Gi=Hi=0G_i=H_i=0Gi​=Hi​=0 on I00I_{00}I00​. MPEC-MFCQ holds at x∗x^*x∗ if MFCQ holds at x∗x^*x∗ for TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗).

A feasible x∗x^*x∗ is weakly stationary if there are multipliers λ∈Rm\lambda\in\mathbb R^mλ∈Rm, μ∈Rp\mu\in\mathbb R^pμ∈Rp, γ,ν∈Rl\gamma,\nu\in\mathbb R^lγ,ν∈Rl with

∇f(x∗)+∑i=1mλi∇gi(x∗)+∑i=1pμi∇hi(x∗)−∑i=1lγi∇Gi(x∗)−∑i=1lνi∇Hi(x∗)=0,\nabla f(x^*)+\sum_{i=1}^m\lambda_i\nabla g_i(x^*)+\sum_{i=1}^p\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)-\sum_{i=1}^l\gamma_i\nabla G_i(x^*)-\sum_{i=1}^l\nu_i\nabla H_i(x^*)=0,∇f(x∗)+i=1∑m​λi​∇gi​(x∗)+i=1∑p​μi​∇hi​(x∗)−i=1∑l​γi​∇Gi​(x∗)−i=1∑l​νi​∇Hi​(x∗)=0,

λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0, λigi(x∗)=0\lambda_ig_i(x^*)=0λi​gi​(x∗)=0, γi=0\gamma_i=0γi​=0 on I+0I_{+0}I+0​ and νi=0\nu_i=0νi​=0 on I0+I_{0+}I0+​. It is C-stationary if such multipliers can be chosen with, in addition, γiνi≥0\gamma_i\nu_i\ge0γi​νi​≥0 for all i∈I00i\in I_{00}i∈I00​.

Scholtes' relaxed program RS(t)R^S(t)RS(t) replaces Gi(x)Hi(x)=0G_i(x)H_i(x)=0Gi​(x)Hi​(x)=0 by Gi(x)Hi(x)≤tG_i(x)H_i(x)\le tGi​(x)Hi​(x)≤t and keeps all other constraints of (1). The notation {tk}↓0\{t_k\}\downarrow0{tk​}↓0 means a sequence of positive parameters decreasing to 000.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

Let {tk}↓0\{t_k\}\downarrow0{tk​}↓0, let xkx^kxk be a stationary point of RS(tk)R^S(t_k)RS(tk​), and let xk→x∗x^k\to x^*xk→x∗ with MPEC-MFCQ at x∗x^*x∗. Then

x∗ is a C-stationary point of the MPEC (1).x^*\ \text{is a C-stationary point of the MPEC (1).}x∗ is a C-stationary point of the MPEC (1).

No feasibility of x∗x^*x∗ is assumed; it is part of the conclusion.

Milestones

  1. Remark 2.2: for a feasible point of a standard NLP, MFCQ holds if and only if the active inequality gradients together with all equality gradients are positive-linearly independent.
  2. §2.2, pp. 6–7: MPEC-MFCQ written out explicitly, i.e. linear independence of ∇hi\nabla h_i∇hi​, ∇Gi\nabla G_i∇Gi​ (I00∪I0+I_{00}\cup I_{0+}I00​∪I0+​) and ∇Hi\nabla H_i∇Hi​ (I00∪I+0I_{00}\cup I_{+0}I00​∪I+0​), plus a direction ddd.
  3. Proof of Theorem 3.2, p. 11: MPEC-MFCQ implies positive-linear independence of {∇gi(x∗)}Ig∪{{∇hi}∪{∇Gi}I00∪I0+∪{∇Hi}I00∪I+0}\{\nabla g_i(x^*)\}_{I_g}\cup\{\{\nabla h_i\}\cup\{\nabla G_i\}_{I_{00}\cup I_{0+}}\cup\{\nabla H_i\}_{I_{00}\cup I_{+0}}\}{∇gi​(x∗)}Ig​​∪{{∇hi​}∪{∇Gi​}I00​∪I0+​​∪{∇Hi​}I00​∪I+0​​}.
  4. Proof of Theorem 3.1, p. 9: for large kkk, Ig(xk)⊆IgI_g(x^k)\subseteq I_gIg​(xk)⊆Ig​, IG(xk)⊆I00∪I0+I_G(x^k)\subseteq I_{00}\cup I_{0+}IG​(xk)⊆I00​∪I0+​, IH(xk)⊆I00∪I+0I_H(x^k)\subseteq I_{00}\cup I_{+0}IH​(xk)⊆I00​∪I+0​.
  5. Proof of Theorem 3.1, pp. 10–11: under the goal's hypotheses, x∗x^*x∗ is weakly stationary.

Significance

Theorem 3.1 says that Scholtes' scheme, run to the limit, produces C-stationary points under a constraint qualification strictly weaker than the one in Scholtes' original result. MPEC-MFCQ is the natural assumption here: under it the KKT multipliers of the relaxed programs need not converge, and the theorem shows that a convergent subsequence of suitably modified multipliers still exists. The result is the first of a family of convergence theorems in the paper (the schemes of Lin–Fukushima, Kadrani–Dussault–Benchakroun and Steffensen–Ulbrich follow the same pattern) and the baseline against which those schemes are compared.

The theorem is proved in the paper; it is not open. To the extent a search of the Prove2Me catalog shows, no MPEC stationarity concept, MPEC constraint qualification or relaxation result has been formalized there, and Mathlib has no theory of constraint qualifications for nonlinear programs. The mission produces a machine-checked proof of Theorem 3.1 and, along the way, reusable statements of Definition 2.1, MFCQ, KKT points and the MFCQ/positive-linear-independence equivalence for general nonlinear programs.

Difficulty

The obvious argument takes a limit of the KKT multipliers of RS(tk)R^S(t_k)RS(tk​). That fails twice. First, under MPEC-MFCQ the multiplier sequence need not be bounded, so there may be nothing to take a limit of; boundedness has to be recovered from MPEC-MFCQ through positive-linear independence, a theorem of the alternative. Second, the multiplier δk\delta^kδk of the product constraint GiHi≤tkG_iH_i\le t_kGi​Hi​≤tk​ multiplies Hi∇Gi+Gi∇HiH_i\nabla G_i+G_i\nabla H_iHi​∇Gi​+Gi​∇Hi​, which is not a multiplier of ∇Gi\nabla G_i∇Gi​ or ∇Hi\nabla H_i∇Hi​ alone; how it is redistributed depends on whether iii lies in I0+I_{0+}I0+​, I+0I_{+0}I+0​ or I00I_{00}I00​, and the sign condition on I00I_{00}I00​ comes from the support disjointness between δk\delta^kδk and the multipliers of Gi≥0G_i\ge0Gi​≥0, Hi≥0H_i\ge0Hi​≥0, which uses tk>0t_k>0tk​>0. Compactness, index-set bookkeeping along a subsequence and continuity of all gradients have to be combined.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), gradients are Mathlib's gradient, and ∇g(x)Td\nabla g(x)^Td∇g(x)Td is the inner product. Constraint indices are Fin m, Fin p, Fin l (0-based); m,p,lm,p,lm,p,l may be 000.
  • The paper's standing assumption that all data are continuously differentiable (p. 1) is the explicit hypothesis P.IsC1 (ContDiff ℝ 1 for each function) of the goal and of milestones 4 and 5. Milestones 1–3 are pointwise linear algebra and assume no smoothness.
  • "Stationary point of RS(tk)R^S(t_k)RS(tk​)" is a KKT point of RS(tk)R^S(t_k)RS(tk​) viewed as a standard NLP with inequality constraints gi≤0g_i\le0gi​≤0, −Gi≤0-G_i\le0−Gi​≤0, −Hi≤0-H_i\le0−Hi​≤0, GiHi−t≤0G_iH_i-t\le0Gi​Hi​−t≤0: feasibility, nonnegative multipliers and complementary slackness are included (p. 5).
  • "{tk}↓0\{t_k\}\downarrow0{tk​}↓0" is tk>0t_k>0tk​>0 for all kkk, (tk)(t_k)(tk​) nonincreasing, and tk→0t_k\to0tk​→0.
  • Families of gradients are indexed families (repeated vectors count as dependent); in MPEC-MFCQ an index of I00I_{00}I00​ contributes both ∇Gi\nabla G_i∇Gi​ and ∇Hi\nabla H_i∇Hi​. TNLP(x∗)(x^*)(x∗) has constraints indexed by subtypes of the index sets; absent constraints are not padded by zero functions, which would make MPEC-MFCQ fail everywhere.
  • Definition 2.3(a) is printed with two misprints ("μihi(x∗)\mu_ih_i(x^*)μi​hi​(x∗)", "i=1,…,li=1,\dots,li=1,…,l" for the complementarity of λ\lambdaλ); the formalization uses μi∇hi(x∗)\mu_i\nabla h_i(x^*)μi​∇hi​(x∗) and i=1,…,mi=1,\dots,mi=1,…,m. C-stationarity requires feasibility and one multiplier tuple satisfying both the weak-stationarity conditions and the sign condition on I00I_{00}I00​.
  • A "stationary point" that is merely a feasible point or a critical point of fff, or a C-stationarity whose sign condition refers to multipliers other than those of the weak-stationarity equation, would make the goal false or empty; neither reading is used. The hypotheses of the goal are jointly satisfiable (checked on the paper's Example 3.6 instance).
  • Infrastructure needed: theorems of the alternative (Motzkin/Farkas) for finite families in Rn\mathbb R^nRn, compactness of normalised multiplier sequences, continuity of gradients of C1C^1C1 maps. The NLP layer (positive-linear dependence, MFCQ, KKT points, Remark 2.2) is reusable for any constraint-qualification development. Contributions of proofs of the milestones, of general NLP lemmas, and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Hoheisel, C. Kanzow, A. Schwartz, Theoretical and numerical comparison of relaxation methods for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, Preprint 299, Institute of Mathematics, University of Würzburg, September 2010; published in Math. Program. 137 (2013) 257–288. doi:10.1007/s10107-011-0488-5
  • S. Scholtes, Convergence properties of a regularization scheme for mathematical programs with complementarity constraints, SIAM J. Optim. 11 (2001) 918–936. doi:10.1137/S1052623499361233
  • Z.-Q. Luo, J.-S. Pang, D. Ralph, Mathematical Programs with Equilibrium Constraints, Cambridge University Press, 1996. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511983658
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AnalysisProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Law of Large Numbers Limits for Many-Server Queues 1: The Fluid Equations Have at Most One Solution, Given Explicitly by the Age Representation (3.11)Research Paper

Motivation

Large service systems such as call centers and hospital wards are modelled as many-server queues: NNN identical servers, customers arriving according to a general process, service requirements drawn independently from a general distribution GGG, and a single first-come-first-served queue. When GGG is not exponential the number of customers in system is not Markov, and a tractable state must keep track of how long each customer in service has been served. Kaspi and Ramanan (Ann. Appl. Probab. 21 (2011)) take as state the number in system together with the age measure, the point measure of the ages of the customers in service, and prove a functional law of large numbers: scaled by NNN, these processes converge to the unique solution of a deterministic system, the fluid equations. Earlier fluid and diffusion analyses of the G/GI/NG/GI/NG/GI/N queue worked with other state descriptors (Reed, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009); Whitt, Oper. Res. 54 (2006)); the measure-valued description records the elapsed service time of every customer in service, which is the information a non-exponential service distribution requires.

This mission covers the deterministic half of that result: the fluid equations are well posed, and their solution is given in closed form.

Setting

Service requirements have a density ggg that vanishes on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), G(x)=∫(−∞,x]gG(x)=\int_{(-\infty,x]}gG(x)=∫(−∞,x]​g, and the mean is normalized to one, ∫x g(x) dx=1\int x\,g(x)\,dx=1∫xg(x)dx=1. Let M=sup⁡{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞]M=\sup\{x\ge0: G(x)<1\}\in(0,\infty]M=sup{x≥0:G(x)<1}∈(0,∞] and let h=g/(1−G)h=g/(1-G)h=g/(1−G) be the hazard rate on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M); hhh is locally integrable on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) but not integrable on it. For a measure μ\muμ and a function fff write ⟨f,μ⟩=∫f dμ\langle f,\mu\rangle=\int f\,d\mu⟨f,μ⟩=∫fdμ, and 1\mathbf 11 for the constant one.

The data are a triple (Eˉ,Xˉ(0),νˉ0)(\bar E,\bar X(0),\bar\nu_0)(Eˉ,Xˉ(0),νˉ0​) in

S0={(f,x,μ):f nondecreasing caˋdlaˋg,f(0)=0; x≥0; μ a measure on [0,M), ⟨1,μ⟩≤1, 1−⟨1,μ⟩=[1−x]+},\mathcal S_0=\{(f,x,\mu): f \text{ nondecreasing càdlàg}, f(0)=0;\ x\ge0;\ \mu \text{ a measure on }[0,M),\ \langle\mathbf 1,\mu\rangle\le1,\ 1-\langle\mathbf 1,\mu\rangle=[1-x]^+\},S0​={(f,x,μ):f nondecreasing caˋdlaˋg,f(0)=0; x≥0; μ a measure on [0,M), ⟨1,μ⟩≤1, 1−⟨1,μ⟩=[1−x]+},

where Eˉ\bar EEˉ is the cumulative arrival process, Xˉ(0)\bar X(0)Xˉ(0) the initial number in system and νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​ the initial age measure (per server, so the total capacity is one). A càdlàg pair (Xˉ,νˉ)(\bar X,\bar\nu)(Xˉ,νˉ), with νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ a sub-probability measure on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) in the weak topology, solves the fluid equations if for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0: ∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ds<∞\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle ds<\infty∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds<∞ (3.4); for every test function φ∈Cc1,1([0,M)×R+)\varphi\in\mathcal C_c^{1,1}([0,M)\times\mathbb R_+)φ∈Cc1,1​([0,M)×R+​)

⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0⟩+∫0t⟨φx+φs,νˉs⟩ds−∫0t⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs⟩ds+∫[0,t]φ(0,s) dKˉ(s)(3.5);\langle\varphi(\cdot,t),\bar\nu_t\rangle=\langle\varphi(\cdot,0),\bar\nu_0\rangle+\int_0^t\langle\varphi_x+\varphi_s,\bar\nu_s\rangle ds-\int_0^t\langle h\varphi(\cdot,s),\bar\nu_s\rangle ds+\int_{[0,t]}\varphi(0,s)\,d\bar K(s)\quad(3.5);⟨φ(⋅,t),νˉt​⟩=⟨φ(⋅,0),νˉ0​⟩+∫0t​⟨φx​+φs​,νˉs​⟩ds−∫0t​⟨hφ(⋅,s),νˉs​⟩ds+∫[0,t]​φ(0,s)dKˉ(s)(3.5);

Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t)\bar X(t)=\bar X(0)+\bar E(t)-\bar D(t)Xˉ(t)=Xˉ(0)+Eˉ(t)−Dˉ(t) (3.6); and the nonidling condition 1−⟨1,νˉt⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+1-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle=[1-\bar X(t)]^+1−⟨1,νˉt​⟩=[1−Xˉ(t)]+ (3.7). Here Dˉ(t)=∫0t⟨h,νˉs⟩ds\bar D(t)=\int_0^t\langle h,\bar\nu_s\rangle dsDˉ(t)=∫0t​⟨h,νˉs​⟩ds is the cumulative departure process and Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩−⟨1,νˉ0⟩+Dˉ(t)\bar K(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle+\bar D(t)Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩+Dˉ(t) the cumulative entry into service. Equation (3.5) is a weak form of a transport equation: mass moves to the right at unit speed, is killed at rate hhh, and enters at age 000 at rate dKˉd\bar KdKˉ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.5

For every (Eˉ,Xˉ(0),νˉ0)∈S0(\bar E,\bar X(0),\bar\nu_0)\in\mathcal S_0(Eˉ,Xˉ(0),νˉ0​)∈S0​:

  1. the fluid equations have at most one solution;
  2. under (3.4) and the path conditions, (Xˉ,νˉ)(\bar X,\bar\nu)(Xˉ,νˉ) is a solution if and only if it satisfies (3.6), (3.7) and, for every bounded continuous fff and t≥0t\ge0t≥0,
⟨f,νˉt⟩=∫[0,M)f(x+t)1−G(x+t)1−G(x) νˉ0(dx)+∫[0,t]f(t−s)(1−G(t−s)) dKˉ(s);(3.11)\langle f,\bar\nu_t\rangle=\int_{[0,M)}f(x+t)\frac{1-G(x+t)}{1-G(x)}\,\bar\nu_0(dx)+\int_{[0,t]}f(t-s)\big(1-G(t-s)\big)\,d\bar K(s);\quad(3.11)⟨f,νˉt​⟩=∫[0,M)​f(x+t)1−G(x)1−G(x+t)​νˉ0​(dx)+∫[0,t]​f(t−s)(1−G(t−s))dKˉ(s);(3.11)
  1. if Eˉ\bar EEˉ has a density λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ, then Kˉ\bar KKˉ has a density κˉ\bar\kappaκˉ equal a.e. to λˉ\bar\lambdaλˉ where Xˉ<1\bar X<1Xˉ<1, to λˉ∧⟨h,νˉt⟩\bar\lambda\wedge\langle h,\bar\nu_t\rangleλˉ∧⟨h,νˉt​⟩ where Xˉ=1\bar X=1Xˉ=1, and to ⟨h,νˉt⟩\langle h,\bar\nu_t\rangle⟨h,νˉt​⟩ where Xˉ>1\bar X>1Xˉ>1 (3.12);
  2. if moreover νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​ is absolutely continuous, so is every νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​.

Milestones

  • Remark 4.3, (4.4): integration by parts for the entry term of (4.3).
  • (4.55): the integrated hazard in closed form, ψh(x,t)=(1−G(x))/(1−G(x−t))\psi_h(x,t)=(1-G(x))/(1-G(x-t))ψh​(x,t)=(1−G(x))/(1−G(x−t)) or 1−G(x)1-G(x)1−G(x).
  • Theorem 4.1: for a Radon-measure-valued path satisfying the hazard bound (4.1), the age equation (4.2), which is (3.5) with an arbitrary Radon measure υ0\upsilon_0υ0​ and an arbitrary ZZZ of bounded variation in place of νˉ0\bar\nu_0νˉ0​ and Kˉ\bar KKˉ, holds if and only if the representation (4.3) holds.
  • Proof of Corollary 4.4: Kˉ\bar KKˉ is nondecreasing.
  • Corollary 4.4, (4.5): Kˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt⟩−⟨1,νˉ0⟩+∫G(x+t)−G(x)1−G(x)νˉ0(dx)+∫0tg(t−s)Kˉ(s)ds\bar K(t)=\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_t\rangle-\langle\mathbf 1,\bar\nu_0\rangle+\int\frac{G(x+t)-G(x)}{1-G(x)}\bar\nu_0(dx)+\int_0^tg(t-s)\bar K(s)dsKˉ(t)=⟨1,νˉt​⟩−⟨1,νˉ0​⟩+∫1−G(x)G(x+t)−G(x)​νˉ0​(dx)+∫0t​g(t−s)Kˉ(s)ds.
  • Lemma 4.5: ∥⟨f,νˉs2⟩−⟨f,νˉs1⟩∥T≤∥f∥M∣Δυ0∣TV+(2∥f∥T+∥f′∥T)∥ΔZ∥T\|\langle f,\bar\nu^2_s\rangle-\langle f,\bar\nu^1_s\rangle\|_T\le\|f\|_M|\Delta\upsilon_0|_{TV}+(2\|f\|_T+\|f'\|_T)\|\Delta Z\|_T∥⟨f,νˉs2​⟩−⟨f,νˉs1​⟩∥T​≤∥f∥M​∣Δυ0​∣TV​+(2∥f∥T​+∥f′∥T​)∥ΔZ∥T​.
  • Theorem 4.6: with equal initial measures, ∥ΔKˉ∥T∨∥ΔDˉ∥T≤∣ΔXˉ(0)∣+∥ΔEˉ∥T\|\Delta\bar K\|_T\vee\|\Delta\bar D\|_T\le|\Delta\bar X(0)|+\|\Delta\bar E\|_T∥ΔKˉ∥T​∨∥ΔDˉ∥T​≤∣ΔXˉ(0)∣+∥ΔEˉ∥T​, together with (4.8) and (4.10).

Significance

Uniqueness of the fluid solution is what turns tightness of the scaled NNN-server processes into convergence: every subsequential limit solves the fluid equations, so all coincide (the paper's Theorem 3.7). The representation (3.11) reduces the measure-valued equation to the scalar process Kˉ\bar KKˉ, and the continuity estimate of Theorem 4.6 says the fluid solution is a Lipschitz function of the arrival process. Both are used in the paper's study of long-time behaviour, where νˉt\bar\nu_tνˉt​ converges to the measure with density 1−G1-G1−G, and (3.12) is the form of the entry rate used there.

The results are proved in the paper. None of them, and no part of the measure-valued fluid model, has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them produces a checked weak-solution theory for a transport equation with an unbounded killing rate and a measure-valued boundary input, which is a reusable piece of infrastructure for other age- and residual-time-based queueing models.

Difficulty

The central step is Theorem 4.1. The naive approach treats (4.2) as a first-order PDE and integrates along characteristics, but the solution is only a càdlàg path of measures, hhh is merely locally integrable and blows up near MMM, and ZZZ may jump, so classical characteristics are not available; the test functions must not vanish on the boundary x=0x=0x=0, since that is where the entry term lives. The second difficulty is in Theorem 4.6: the entry process Kˉ\bar KKˉ is defined implicitly through the nonidling condition, and comparing two solutions requires a first-crossing argument that distinguishes whether the system is below, at or above capacity at that time.

Formalization scope

The service law is its density ggg (ServiceLaw), with g=0g=0g=0 below 000, ∫g=1\int g=1∫g=1 and mean one. Time is R\mathbb RR read on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); every condition is stated for t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Measures of the fluid model are FiniteMeasure ℝ carried by [0,M)[0,M)[0,M), whose topology is weak convergence, so càdlàg paths are càdlàg in MF[0,M)\mathcal M_F[0,M)MF​[0,M) with the weak topology. The paths of Theorem 4.1 and Lemma 4.5 are ℝ → Measure ℝ with values Radon on [0,M)[0,M)[0,M) (possibly infinite) and càdlàg in the vague topology. M∈[0,∞]M\in[0,\infty]M∈[0,∞] is an extended number. The integral in (3.4) is a lower integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], and Dˉ\bar DDˉ, Kˉ\bar KKˉ are its real value. dKˉd\bar KdKˉ is the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of Kˉ\bar KKˉ, with no atom at 000. A function ZZZ of bounded variation is a difference Z1−Z2Z_1-Z_2Z1​−Z2​ of nondecreasing càdlàg functions vanishing at 000.

Explicit choices: compact support of test functions is relative to [0,M)×R+[0,M)\times\mathbb R_+[0,M)×R+​, so φ(0,s)\varphi(0,s)φ(0,s) need not vanish (with supports taken in R2\mathbb R^2R2 the entry term of (3.5) would vanish identically); νˉ(0)=νˉ0\bar\nu(0)=\bar\nu_0νˉ(0)=νˉ0​ and Xˉ(0)\bar X(0)Xˉ(0) equal to the datum are clauses of the fluid equations, but not of the age equation, where υ0\upsilon_0υ0​ is arbitrary; functions in Cb(R+)\mathcal C_b(\mathbb R_+)Cb​(R+​), Cc(R+)\mathcal C_c(\mathbb R_+)Cc​(R+​) and Cb1(R+)\mathcal C^1_b(\mathbb R_+)Cb1​(R+​) are represented by functions on R\mathbb RR of the same class, of which only values on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) are read; norms in Lemma 4.5 are computed in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], since ∣Δυ0∣TV|\Delta\upsilon_0|_{TV}∣Δυ0​∣TV​ may be infinite. Two printed statements are corrected: in Theorem 3.5 the paper's right-hand side of the equivalence lists (3.6) and (3.11); the nonidling condition (3.7), part of the fluid equations on the left, is kept on the right, as the proof requires. In (4.10), ΔXˉ(0)\Delta\bar X(0)ΔXˉ(0) is replaced by ∣ΔXˉ(0)∣|\Delta\bar X(0)|∣ΔXˉ(0)∣, which is what Lemma 4.5 and (4.9) give.

A fluid solution is defined by the weak transport equation (3.5), never by the representation (3.11) or by a formula for νˉ\bar\nuνˉ in terms of Kˉ\bar KKˉ; with such a definition the equivalence of the goal would be an unfolding of definitions.

A complete development needs Lebesgue–Stieltjes integration by parts for càdlàg functions of bounded variation, the Riesz description of the vague topology, and uniqueness for weak solutions of transport equations; these are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and of the parts of Theorem 3.5 separately, are welcome. The paper's Section 4.3 machinery (the abstract and simplified age equations, Lemmas 4.12–4.13, Propositions 4.15–4.16) is not posed here and may be formalized as supporting lemmas.

Selected references

  • H. Kaspi and K. Ramanan, Law of large numbers limits for many-server queues, Ann. Appl. Probab. 21(1) (2011), 33–114. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP662
  • J. Reed, The G/GI/N queue in the Halfin–Whitt regime, Ann. Appl. Probab. 19(6) (2009), 2211–2269. https://doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP609
  • W. Whitt, Fluid models for multiserver queues with abandonments, Oper. Res. 54(1) (2006), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0227
  • S. Asmussen, Applied Probability and Queues, 2nd ed., Springer, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/b97236
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Dynamic Programming 3: The Worst-Case Expectation over a Chi-Square Ball Equals a Mean–Standard-Deviation DualResearch Paper

Motivation

Robust dynamic programming replaces the single transition law of a Markov decision process by a set of laws, and values a policy by its worst-case expected reward over that set. Iyengar (Robust dynamic programming, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, 2004; Math. Oper. Res. 30(2), 2005) and Nilim and El Ghaoui (Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Oper. Res. 53(5), 2005) showed that under a rectangularity assumption the robust value satisfies a robust Bellman equation. Each step of that equation solves, for every state–action pair, an inner problem

inf⁡p∈P Ep[v],\inf_{p\in\mathcal P}\ \mathbf E^p[v],p∈Pinf​ Ep[v],

the worst-case expectation of a value vector vvv over the ambiguity set P\mathcal PP. Robust value iteration is only as practical as this inner problem is cheap.

The ambiguity sets of interest come from statistics: when transition probabilities are estimated from data, natural sets are confidence regions around the empirical distribution. Section 4 of Iyengar's report studies three such families: relative-entropy balls (Lemma 4), a χ² approximation of them (Lemma 5), and an L1L_1L1​ outer approximation (Lemma 6). This mission formalizes the χ² case. The relative-entropy case is already posed on the platform as RobustMDP.EntropyInner.kl_ball_inner_problem_dual (Nilim–El Ghaoui series), up to the sign change v→−vv\to -vv→−v.

Setting

Let S\mathcal SS be a finite set of states and let M(S)={p:S→R: p≥0, ∑sp(s)=1}\mathcal M(\mathcal S)=\{p:\mathcal S\to\mathbb R:\ p\ge 0,\ \sum_s p(s)=1\}M(S)={p:S→R: p≥0, ∑s​p(s)=1} be the probability measures on S\mathcal SS. For p∈M(S)p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)p∈M(S) and x:S→Rx:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rx:S→R write

Ep[x]=∑sp(s)x(s),Varq[x]=∑sq(s)(x(s)−Eq[x])2.\mathbf E^p[x]=\sum_{s}p(s)x(s),\qquad \mathbf{Var}^q[x]=\sum_s q(s)\big(x(s)-\mathbf E^q[x]\big)^2 .Ep[x]=s∑​p(s)x(s),Varq[x]=s∑​q(s)(x(s)−Eq[x])2.

Fix a centre q∈M(S)q\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)q∈M(S) with q(s)>0q(s)>0q(s)>0 for every sss (in the paper qqq is the empirical next-state distribution of one state–action pair) and a radius t≥0t\ge 0t≥0. The χ² set (46) is

P={p∈M(S): ∑s∈S(p(s)−q(s))2q(s)≤t}.\mathcal P=\Big\{p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S):\ \sum_{s\in\mathcal S}\frac{(p(s)-q(s))^2}{q(s)}\le t\Big\}.P={p∈M(S): s∈S∑​q(s)(p(s)−q(s))2​≤t}.

Since log⁡(1+x)≤x\log(1+x)\le xlog(1+x)≤x, the relative entropy D(p∥q)=∑sp(s)log⁡(p(s)/q(s))D(p\|q)=\sum_s p(s)\log(p(s)/q(s))D(p∥q)=∑s​p(s)log(p(s)/q(s)) is at most the χ² distance, so P\mathcal PP lies inside the relative-entropy ball of radius ttt: it is a conservative approximation of it. The Lean development names these objects expect, variance, chiSqDist, chiSqSet, relEntropy and the dual objective dualObj q t v μ =Eq[v−μ]−t Varq[v−μ]=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]}=Eq[v−μ]−tVarq[v−μ]​, all in the namespace RobustDP.ChiSquare.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 5 (p. 18)

For every value vector v:S→Rv:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rv:S→R,

min⁡p∈P Ep[v]  =  max⁡μ≥0{Eq[v−μ]−t Varq[v−μ]},\min_{p\in\mathcal P}\ \mathbf E^p[v]\;=\;\max_{\mu\ge 0}\Big\{\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]}\Big\},p∈Pmin​ Ep[v]=μ≥0max​{Eq[v−μ]−tVarq[v−μ]​},

where μ\muμ ranges over vectors μ:S→R\mu:\mathcal S\to\mathbb Rμ:S→R with μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 componentwise. Both extrema are attained. The lemma's complexity claim, O(∣S∣log⁡∣S∣)\mathcal O(|\mathcal S|\log|\mathcal S|)O(∣S∣log∣S∣) for (48), is a statement about an algorithm and is not part of the mission.

Milestones (the steps of the paper's proof)

  1. (49) With y=p−qy=p-qy=p−q, the value of the primal problem is Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v] plus the minimum of ∑sy(s)v(s)\sum_s y(s)v(s)∑s​y(s)v(s) over ∑sy(s)2/q(s)≤t\sum_s y(s)^2/q(s)\le t∑s​y(s)2/q(s)≤t, ∑sy(s)=0\sum_s y(s)=0∑s​y(s)=0, y≥−qy\ge -qy≥−q.
  2. (50) For fixed multipliers μ\muμ and γ∈R\gamma\in\mathbb Rγ∈R, the minimum of the Lagrangian over the ellipsoid {y:∑sy(s)2/q(s)≤t}\{y:\sum_s y(s)^2/q(s)\le t\}{y:∑s​y(s)2/q(s)≤t} is Eq[v−μ]−t∑sq(s)(v(s)−μ(s)−γ)2\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\sqrt{t\sum_s q(s)(v(s)-\mu(s)-\gamma)^2}Eq[v−μ]−t∑s​q(s)(v(s)−μ(s)−γ)2​, attained at an explicit y∗y^*y∗.
  3. (51) Maximizing over γ\gammaγ replaces the sum of squares by Varq[v−μ]\mathbf{Var}^q[v-\mu]Varq[v−μ], attained at γ=Eq[v−μ]\gamma=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]γ=Eq[v−μ].
  4. (52)–(53) Some optimal multiplier has the form μ∗(s)=(v(s)−α)+\mu^*(s)=(v(s)-\alpha)^+μ∗(s)=(v(s)−α)+ with α≥min⁡sv(s)\alpha\ge\min_s v(s)α≥mins​v(s), so the dual is a one-dimensional problem.

Two further results stand on the same definitions: the inequality D(p∥q)≤∑s(p(s)−q(s))2/q(s)D(p\|q)\le\sum_s(p(s)-q(s))^2/q(s)D(p∥q)≤∑s​(p(s)−q(s))2/q(s) of Section 4.2, and the L1L_1L1​ analogue of Lemma 5 established in the proof of Lemma 6 (p. 20):

min⁡p∈M(S)∥p−q∥1≤cEp[v]=max⁡μ≥0{Eq[v−μ]−12c(max⁡s(v−μ)(s)−min⁡s(v−μ)(s))},c=2ln⁡(2) t.\min_{\substack{p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)\\ \|p-q\|_1\le c}}\mathbf E^p[v]=\max_{\mu\ge0}\Big\{\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]-\tfrac12 c\big(\max_s(v-\mu)(s)-\min_s(v-\mu)(s)\big)\Big\},\qquad c=\sqrt{2\ln(2)\,t}.p∈M(S)∥p−q∥1​≤c​min​Ep[v]=μ≥0max​{Eq[v−μ]−21​c(smax​(v−μ)(s)−smin​(v−μ)(s))},c=2ln(2)t​.

Significance

The result. Lemma 5 reduces a worst-case expectation over a curved convex set of probability vectors to a concave problem in one scalar, which the paper solves by sorting. This makes robust value iteration with χ² ambiguity sets about as expensive as nominal value iteration, up to a logarithmic factor. The identity also explains the shape of the answer: a mean minus a standard-deviation penalty, applied to a value vector truncated from above at the level α\alphaα. The truncation comes from the constraint p≥0p\ge 0p≥0.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof is known. A complete formalization gives a verified finite-dimensional duality theorem for a quadratic constraint combined with polyhedral constraints, which is the computational core of χ²-ambiguity robust MDPs and of χ²-divergence distributionally robust optimization in general. Lemma 6's printed formula (57) is false (see below); the mission poses the corrected identity that the paper's proof establishes.

Difficulty

The obvious argument drops the constraint p≥0p\ge 0p≥0. Without it, the minimum of the linear function Ep[v]\mathbf E^p[v]Ep[v] over the ellipsoid {∑sp(s)=1, χ2(p,q)≤t}\{\sum_s p(s)=1,\ \chi^2(p,q)\le t\}{∑s​p(s)=1, χ2(p,q)≤t} follows from Cauchy–Schwarz and equals Eq[v]−t Varq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]-\sqrt{t\,\mathbf{Var}^q[v]}Eq[v]−tVarq[v]​. The page notes (p. 19) that earlier work solved only this relaxed problem. With p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 the minimizer of the relaxation can leave the simplex, so the problem has an ellipsoidal constraint, a polyhedral constraint and an equality at once. The multiplier μ\muμ of p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 is what Lemma 5 has to handle. Equality of the primal minimum with the dual supremum needs a duality theorem that is not in Mathlib in this form. Attainment of the dual maximum over the unbounded cone μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 needs an additional argument, namely that an optimal multiplier has the truncation form (53).

Formalization scope

  • S\mathcal SS is a Fintype; vectors are functions S → ℝ; M(S)\mathcal M(\mathcal S)M(S) is Mathlib's stdSimplex ℝ S. Nonemptiness of S\mathcal SS follows from ∑sq(s)=1\sum_s q(s)=1∑s​q(s)=1. Finiteness is the standing restriction of Section 4 (p. 15).
  • q(s)>0q(s)>0q(s)>0 for every sss is a hypothesis of every χ² statement. The page divides by q(s)q(s)q(s); in Lean x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 would silently drop a coordinate from the constraint.
  • t≥0t\ge 0t≥0 is assumed. The page puts no sign condition on ttt. At t=0t=0t=0 the set is {q}\{q\}{q} and both sides equal Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v].
  • Minimum and maximum are IsLeast and IsGreatest of image sets, so the goal asserts attainment on both sides, as the page's "minimize" and "max" do.
  • μ≥0\mu\ge 0μ≥0 is a vector inequality (0 ≤ μ). The multiplier γ\gammaγ of the equality ∑sy(s)=0\sum_s y(s)=0∑s​y(s)=0 ranges over R\mathbb RR. The page's "γ≥0\gamma\ge 0γ≥0" in (50) is a misprint: the proof of Lemma 6 writes γ∈R\gamma\in\mathbb Rγ∈R, and the optimal γ=Eq[v−μ]\gamma=\mathbf E^q[v-\mu]γ=Eq[v−μ] may be negative.
  • The relative entropy uses the natural logarithm, as in (35), with 0log⁡0=00\log 0=00log0=0.
  • Lemma 6 is posed only as established in its proof. The printed (57) is false: taking μ=v−min⁡sv(s)\mu=v-\min_s v(s)μ=v−mins​v(s) makes the bracket vanish, so (57) always equals Eq[v]\mathbf E^q[v]Eq[v]. For q=(12,12)q=(\frac12,\frac12)q=(21​,21​), v=(0,1)v=(0,1)v=(0,1) and c=12c=\frac12c=21​ the true minimum is 14\frac1441​. The set (55) is also restricted to p∈M(S)p\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)p∈M(S), which its proof uses.
  • Ruled out: a formalization of Lemma 5 whose feasible set omits p≥0p\ge 0p≥0 (or that takes μ=0\mu=0μ=0) states the easier relaxed identity above and is not this mission's goal. Likewise a χ² set whose centre may vanish, or a dual written as ⨆ over an unbounded set, would make the statement junk.
  • All complexity claims (Lemmas 5 and 6, the sorting argument, (54)) are excluded. So are the Pinsker step of Section 4.3, whose constant 1/(2ln⁡2)1/(2\ln 2)1/(2ln2) is wrong for the natural logarithm, and the asymptotic confidence statements (33)–(39).
  • Reusable infrastructure: Lagrangian duality for a linear objective over an ellipsoid intersected with a polyhedron, and Cauchy–Schwarz minimization of a linear function over a weighted ellipsoid. Proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of the goal, and a formalization of the paper's sorting algorithm on top of (52)–(53) are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Iyengar, Robust dynamic programming, CORC Tech Report TR-2002-07, IEOR Department, Columbia University, revised May 4, 2004; published in Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2):257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim and L. El Ghaoui, Robust control of Markov decision processes with uncertain transition matrices, Operations Research 53(5):780–798, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • J. K. Satia and R. E. Lave, Markovian decision processes with uncertain transition probabilities, Operations Research 21(3):728–740, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.21.3.728
  • T. M. Cover and J. A. Thomas, Elements of Information Theory, Wiley, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471200611
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Algorithmic Game TheoryProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Multiple-Choice Secretary Algorithm with Applications to Online Auctions: The Recursive k-Choice Secretary Algorithm Earns at Least (1 − 5/√k) Times the Sum of the k Largest ValuesResearch Paper

Motivation

The secretary problem asks how well an online decision maker can do when items arrive one at a time in random order and each must be accepted or rejected on the spot. With a single selection, the classical rule (observe a 1/e1/e1/e fraction, then take the first item better than everything seen) selects the best item with probability about 1/e1/e1/e, and no rule does better. Many allocation problems are not single-choice: a seller with kkk identical goods facing bidders who arrive over time, an advertiser with a budget of kkk impressions, an employer with kkk openings. Each asks the multiple-choice secretary problem: how much of the best achievable total can an online rule collect when kkk selections are allowed?

Kleinberg's 2005 SODA paper answered this for the sum objective. It gave a recursive algorithm whose expected total is at least (1−5/k)(1 - 5/\sqrt k)(1−5/k​) times the sum of the kkk largest values, so the ratio tends to 111 as kkk grows, and stated a matching 1−Ω(1/k)1 - \Omega(\sqrt{1/k})1−Ω(1/k​) upper bound for every algorithm, whose proof the extended abstract omits. The motivating application was online auctions: the algorithm becomes a strategyproof mechanism for selling kkk identical items to bidders who arrive and depart over time, extending the single-item online auction of Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Parkes (EC 2004).

Timeline. Dynkin (1963) and the classical literature settle k=1k = 1k=1 with ratio 1/e1/e1/e. Hajiaghayi, Kleinberg and Parkes (2004) turn the single-item rule into an online auction. Kleinberg (2005) proves 1−O(1/k)1 - O(1/\sqrt k)1−O(1/k​) for kkk selections, with the explicit constant 555. Babaioff, Immorlica, Kempe and Kleinberg (2008) survey the resulting family of generalized secretary problems and their use in online auctions.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of nnn distinct non-negative real numbers. The elements of SSS are revealed in a uniformly random order: each of the n!n!n! orders has probability 1/n!1/n!1/n!. After each arrival the algorithm decides, irrevocably and using only the values seen so far, whether to select it. At most k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 elements may be selected. Write TTT for the set of the kkk largest elements of SSS (all of SSS if k>nk > nk>n) and

v=∑x∈Txv = \sum_{x \in T} xv=x∈T∑​x

for their sum, the best total any rule could collect knowing SSS in advance.

Kleinberg's algorithm Ak\mathcal A_kAk​ is defined by recursion on kkk:

  1. If k=1k = 1k=1, use the classical rule: observe the first ⌊n/e⌋\lfloor n/e \rfloor⌊n/e⌋ arrivals, then select the first later arrival that exceeds all earlier ones, if there is one.
  2. If k≥2k \ge 2k≥2, draw mmm from the binomial distribution B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2). Apply Aℓ\mathcal A_\ellAℓ​, with ℓ=⌊k/2⌋\ell = \lfloor k/2 \rfloorℓ=⌊k/2⌋, to the first mmm arrivals. Let y1>y2>⋯>ymy_1 > y_2 > \dots > y_my1​>y2​>⋯>ym​ be those mmm values in decreasing order. After the mmm-th arrival, select every arrival exceeding yℓy_\ellyℓ​, until kkk elements have been selected in total or the sequence ends.

The expected value of the algorithm is taken over the random order and over every binomial draw at every level of the recursion.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

E[∑x selected by Akx]  ≥  (1−5k) vfor every S⊂R≥0 finite and every k≥1.\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{x \text{ selected by } \mathcal A_k} x\Big] \;\ge\; \Big(1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt k}\Big)\, v \qquad \text{for every } S \subset \mathbb R_{\ge 0} \text{ finite and every } k \ge 1.E[x selected by Ak​∑​x]≥(1−k​5​)vfor every S⊂R≥0​ finite and every k≥1.

The statement is uniform in nnn and kkk; it says nothing beyond the explicit constant 555 printed in the paper.

Milestones: the claims of the proof sketch

The paper proves the theorem by induction on kkk. Its sketch introduces YYY, the set of the first mmm arrivals, Z=S∖YZ = S \setminus YZ=S∖Y, the modified value of a set (the sum of its elements lying in TTT), and qqq, the number of elements of ZZZ exceeding yℓy_\ellyℓ​. The milestones are its stated claims, in order:

  1. YYY is uniformly distributed on the 2n2^n2n subsets of SSS.
  2. ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ has the distribution B(k,1/2)B(k, 1/2)B(k,1/2).
  3. Conditional on ∣Y∩T∣=r|Y \cap T| = r∣Y∩T∣=r, the expected modified value of YYY is (r/k)v(r/k)v(r/k)v.
  4. The displayed bound ∑r=1kPr⁡(∣Y∩T∣=r) min⁡(r,ℓ)k v≥(1−12k)v2\sum_{r=1}^{k}\Pr(|Y\cap T| = r)\,\frac{\min(r,\ell)}{k}\,v \ge \big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac v2∑r=1k​Pr(∣Y∩T∣=r)kmin(r,ℓ)​v≥(1−2k​1​)2v​ with ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2.
  5. The top ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2 elements of YYY have expected modified value at least (1−12k)v2\big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac v2(1−2k​1​)2v​.
  6. E ∣q−ℓ∣≤k\mathbb E\,|q - \ell| \le \sqrt kE∣q−ℓ∣≤k​.
  7. The elements the algorithm selects from ZZZ have expected modified value at least (12−1/k)v\big(\frac12 - \sqrt{1/k}\big)v(21​−1/k​)v.
  8. The closing computation (1−5k/2)(1−12k)12+12−1k>1−5k\big(1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt{k/2}}\big)\big(1 - \frac{1}{2\sqrt k}\big)\frac12 + \frac12 - \sqrt{\frac1k} > 1 - \frac{5}{\sqrt k}(1−k/2​5​)(1−2k​1​)21​+21​−k1​​>1−k​5​.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 shows that random arrival order costs only a 1−O(1/k)1 - O(1/\sqrt k)1−O(1/k​) factor when many items are sold, against the constant 1/e1/e1/e for a single item. With the paper's matching upper bound, it pins down the optimal rate for the kkk-choice problem. It is the base of the paper's strategyproof online auction for kkk identical goods and a standard reference point for the later literature on secretary problems with combinatorial constraints and on online allocation in the random-order model.

Formalizing it. The paper is a two-page extended abstract, and the theorem's proof is a sketch: several steps are described as "easy", a stochastic-domination argument is stated without detail, and the behaviour of the algorithm when fewer than ℓ\ellℓ elements have been observed is not specified. A machine-checked proof would supply the complete argument for the explicit constant. The result is proved on paper only in this sketch; no machine-checked proof of it is known.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fixes m=n/2m = n/2m=n/2 and treats the threshold yℓy_\ellyℓ​ as if it split the remaining elements exactly. Both steps fail. With a fixed mmm, the first mmm arrivals are not a uniform subset of SSS and ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ is hypergeometric, so the clean binomial computations of the sketch are not available; the binomial choice of mmm is what makes YYY uniform. And the number qqq of later elements beyond yℓy_\ellyℓ​ fluctuates by order k\sqrt kk​: the second phase may run out of budget before reaching all of T∩ZT \cap ZT∩Z, or accept elements outside TTT. Controlling this fluctuation, while the cap of kkk also counts the first phase's selections, is the central step. The induction must then combine a recursive guarantee on a random, random-sized prefix with this estimate.

Formalization scope

The Lean development fixes these conventions.

  • SSS is a Finset ℝ with all elements non-negative; distinctness is automatic. The arrival at time ttt (0-based) under the order π∈Perm(Fin n)\pi \in \mathrm{Perm}(\mathrm{Fin}\, n)π∈Perm(Finn) is the π(t)\pi(t)π(t)-th smallest element of SSS, and expectations over the order use the published uniform average SecretaryWD.DiscUpper.uniformAvg.
  • The algorithm is a PMF over sets of selected positions, defined by well-founded recursion on kkk. The base case is the published SecretaryWD.DiscUpper.classicalSecretary. B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2) is Mathlib's PMF.binomial (1/2). At k=0k = 0k=0 the algorithm selects nothing, for totality only; all statements assume k≥1k \ge 1k≥1.
  • When the first phase has seen fewer than ℓ\ellℓ arrivals (m<ℓm < \ellm<ℓ), yℓy_\ellyℓ​ is taken to be −∞-\infty−∞: every later arrival is selected until the cap. The page does not specify this case; under the reading "select nothing", the theorem fails when nnn is much smaller than kkk.
  • The cap of kkk counts the selections of both phases. A cap applied to the second phase alone would let the algorithm select up to k+ℓk + \ellk+ℓ elements and is excluded.
  • The goal mentions only the algorithm, the order, SSS, kkk and vvv. It does not mention YYY, ZZZ, qqq or the modified value, which appear only in milestones, so the goal cannot be discharged by assuming any part of the sketch.
  • Three milestone hypotheses are added and disclosed: k≤nk \le nk≤n for milestones 2, 3, 5 and 6 (for n<kn < kn<k the law of ∣Y∩T∣|Y \cap T|∣Y∩T∣ is B(n,1/2)B(n, 1/2)B(n,1/2), and milestone 6 fails); kkk even for milestone 5 (the sketch writes ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2; for odd kkk with ℓ=⌊k/2⌋\ell = \lfloor k/2\rfloorℓ=⌊k/2⌋ the bound fails at k=3k = 3k=3). Milestone 4 uses the real number ℓ=k/2\ell = k/2ℓ=k/2, as printed; with ⌊k/2⌋\lfloor k/2\rfloor⌊k/2⌋ it fails for odd kkk.

A complete development needs: the uniform-subset law of a binomially sized random prefix; conditional expectations over random subsets; tail and absolute-deviation bounds for sums of geometric variables and a stochastic-domination argument; and a careful treatment of the recursion through PMF.bind. The first and third are reusable beyond this mission, for other random-order and sample-based algorithms. Proofs of any milestone, of auxiliary lemmas about the random prefix, and of the goal by a route different from the sketch are all welcome.

Selected references

  • R. Kleinberg, A multiple-choice secretary algorithm with applications to online auctions, Proceedings of the 16th ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA), 2005.
  • M. T. Hajiaghayi, R. Kleinberg, D. C. Parkes, Adaptive limited-supply online auctions, Proceedings of the 5th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce (EC), 2004, pp. 71–80. https://doi.org/10.1145/988772.988784
  • E. B. Dynkin, The optimum choice of the instant for stopping a Markov process, Soviet Mathematics Doklady 4, 1963.
  • T. S. Ferguson, Who solved the secretary problem?, Statistical Science 4(3), 1989. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1177012493
  • M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, D. Kempe, R. Kleinberg, Online auctions and generalized secretary problems, ACM SIGecom Exchanges, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1399589.1399596
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CombinatoricsProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Phase Transition of the Largest Eigenvalue for Nonnull Complex Sample Covariance Matrices 4: The Exponential Last Passage Time Has the Law of the Largest Sample EigenvalueResearch Paper

Motivation

Random growth models and random matrices share limit laws. The first exact instance was found by Johansson (Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 2000), who showed that the last passage time of a lattice model with geometric or exponential weights has the law of the largest eigenvalue of a Laguerre (complex Wishart) random matrix. Baik, Ben Arous and Péché (Ann. Probab. 33 (2005)) extended the identity to weights whose rate depends on the row. On the matrix side this is a sample covariance matrix with a general population covariance Σ\SigmaΣ; on the growth side it is a corner growth model, or a series of exponential queues, with inhomogeneous service rates.

The identity is the reason the paper's main result, the phase transition of the largest sample eigenvalue as a few population eigenvalues ("spikes") cross the critical value 1+γ−11 + \gamma^{-1}1+γ−1, is also a theorem about last passage percolation and tandem queues. In the queueing reading, a spike is a slow server, and the phase transition describes how slow a few servers must be before they change the centring and the fluctuation scale of the exit time.

Timeline:

  • 2000, Johansson: equal rates; the geometric and exponential last passage time has the law of the largest Laguerre eigenvalue (his Proposition 1.4 is the case π1=⋯=πN\pi_1 = \cdots = \pi_Nπ1​=⋯=πN​ of (307)).
  • 2001, Baryshnikov and, independently, Gravner, Tracy and Widom: the tandem-queue and GUE-minor descriptions of the same object.
  • 2005, Baik, Ben Arous and Péché: row-dependent rates πi\pi_iπi​ (Proposition 6.1), via the Robinson–Schensted–Knuth (RSK) formula for geometric weights (310) and a scaling limit.

Setting

Last passage time. Attach a real weight X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) to every site of the grid {1,…,N}×{1,…,M}\{1,\ldots,N\}\times\{1,\ldots,M\}{1,…,N}×{1,…,M}. An up/right path from (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) to (N,M)(N,M)(N,M) is a sequence of N+M−1N+M-1N+M−1 sites starting at (1,1)(1,1)(1,1), ending at (N,M)(N,M)(N,M), each step adding (1,0)(1,0)(1,0) or (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The last passage time is

L(N,M)=max⁡π:(1,1)↗(N,M)∑(i,j)∈πX(i,j).(306)L(N,M) = \max_{\pi:(1,1)\nearrow(N,M)} \sum_{(i,j)\in\pi} X(i,j). \qquad (306)L(N,M)=π:(1,1)↗(N,M)max​(i,j)∈π∑​X(i,j).(306)

Exponential environment. Given positive numbers π1,…,πN\pi_1,\ldots,\pi_Nπ1​,…,πN​, the X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) are independent and X(i,j)X(i,j)X(i,j) is exponential of mean 1/(πiM)1/(\pi_iM)1/(πi​M), i.e. density πiMe−πiMx\pi_iMe^{-\pi_iMx}πi​Me−πi​Mx on x≥0x\ge0x≥0. All MMM sites of row iii share one rate.

Sample covariance matrix. Let gkjg_{kj}gkj​, 1≤k≤M1\le k\le M1≤k≤M, 1≤j≤N1\le j\le N1≤j≤N, be independent standard complex Gaussians (real and imaginary parts independent N(0,1/2)N(0,1/2)N(0,1/2)). For a unitary UUU and ℓj=πj−1\ell_j = \pi_j^{-1}ℓj​=πj−1​ (308), the samples y⃗k=U diag(ℓj) gk\vec y_k = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\sqrt{\ell_j})\,g_ky​k​=Udiag(ℓj​​)gk​ are mean-zero complex Gaussian vectors with covariance Σ=U diag(ℓ) U∗\Sigma = U\,\mathrm{diag}(\ell)\,U^*Σ=Udiag(ℓ)U∗, and

S=1M∑k=1My⃗ky⃗k ∗,λ1=largest eigenvalue of S.S = \frac1M\sum_{k=1}^M \vec y_k\vec y_k^{\,*}, \qquad \lambda_1 = \text{largest eigenvalue of } S.S=M1​k=1∑M​y​k​y​k∗​,λ1​=largest eigenvalue of S.

Schur functions and geometric weights. For a partition λ\lambdaλ, the Schur function sλ(x)s_\lambda(x)sλ​(x) is the sum over semistandard Young tableaux TTT of shape λ\lambdaλ of ∏cxT(c)\prod_{c}x_{T(c)}∏c​xT(c)​. A geometric variable of parameter q∈[0,1)q\in[0,1)q∈[0,1) has P(Y=k)=(1−q)qk\mathbb P(Y = k) = (1-q)q^kP(Y=k)=(1−q)qk.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.1

For 1≤N≤M1\le N\le M1≤N≤M, positive π1,…,πN\pi_1,\ldots,\pi_Nπ1​,…,πN​ and every unitary UUU,

P(L(N,M)≤x)=P(λ1(M,N)≤x)for all x∈R.(309)\mathbb P\big(L(N,M)\le x\big) = \mathbb P\big(\lambda_1(M,N)\le x\big) \qquad \text{for all } x\in\mathbb R. \qquad (309)P(L(N,M)≤x)=P(λ1​(M,N)≤x)for all x∈R.(309)

The two sides are defined independently: one by a maximum over lattice paths of exponential weights, the other by the spectrum of a Gaussian random matrix.

Milestones

  1. The recurrence (313): for every array of weights and every site with a,b≥2a, b\ge2a,b≥2,
L(a,b)=max⁡{L(a−1,b),L(a,b−1)}+X(a,b).L(a,b) = \max\{L(a-1,b), L(a,b-1)\} + X(a,b).L(a,b)=max{L(a−1,b),L(a,b−1)}+X(a,b).
  1. The Cauchy identity (311): ∑λsλ(x)sλ(y)=∏i,j(1−xiyj)−1\sum_\lambda s_\lambda(x)s_\lambda(y) = \prod_{i,j}(1-x_iy_j)^{-1}∑λ​sλ​(x)sλ​(y)=∏i,j​(1−xi​yj​)−1 for xi,yj≥0x_i,y_j\ge0xi​,yj​≥0, xiyj<1x_iy_j<1xi​yj​<1.
  2. The geometric formula (310): for independent geometric weights Y(i,j)Y(i,j)Y(i,j) of parameter xiyjx_iy_jxi​yj​, xi,yj∈[0,1)x_i,y_j\in[0,1)xi​,yj​∈[0,1),
P(G(N,M)≤n)=∏i,j(1−xiyj)∑λ:λ1≤nsλ(x)sλ(y).\mathbb P\big(G(N,M)\le n\big) = \prod_{i,j}(1-x_iy_j)\sum_{\lambda:\lambda_1\le n}s_\lambda(x)s_\lambda(y).P(G(N,M)≤n)=i,j∏​(1−xi​yj​)λ:λ1​≤n∑​sλ​(x)sλ​(y).
  1. The exponential formula (307): for M≥NM\ge NM≥N and distinct πi\pi_iπi​,
P(L(N,M)≤x)=1C∫[0,x]Ndet⁡(e−Mπiξj)V(π)V(ξ)∏jξjM−N dξ.\mathbb P\big(L(N,M)\le x\big) = \frac1C\int_{[0,x]^N}\frac{\det(e^{-M\pi_i\xi_j})}{V(\pi)}V(\xi)\prod_{j}\xi_j^{M-N}\,d\xi.P(L(N,M)≤x)=C1​∫[0,x]N​V(π)det(e−Mπi​ξj​)​V(ξ)j∏​ξjM−N​dξ.

Significance

The proposition makes every distributional statement about λ1\lambda_1λ1​ in the paper a statement about last passage percolation with row-dependent rates: the FkF_kFk​ (generalised Tracy–Widom) fluctuations at the critical spike value, the Gaussian fluctuations above it, and the fixed-dimension limit. Through (312)–(313) it also covers the exit time of MMM customers from NNN exponential servers in series, an operations research object. The geometric formula (310) is the entry point of the RSK method for exactly solvable growth models.

These results are proved in the literature; the paper cites (310) and (311) and derives (307) from them by a limit. None of them is machine-checked as far as this series knows. Formalizing them requires a Lean development of Schur functions, the Cauchy identity and the RSK correspondence on matrices with nonnegative integer entries, and of the Wishart eigenvalue density, each reusable well beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The recurrence (313) is elementary. Everything else is not. The geometric formula (310) needs the RSK bijection between nonnegative integer matrices and pairs of semistandard tableaux of the same shape, together with Schensted's theorem that the first row of the shape is the last passage time; neither is in Mathlib. The passage from (310) to (307) is a scaling limit xi=1−Mπi/Lx_i = 1 - M\pi_i/Lxi​=1−Mπi​/L, n=xLn = xLn=xL, L→∞L\to\inftyL→∞, in which a sum over partitions must converge to a multiple integral. The matrix side needs the joint eigenvalue density of a complex Wishart matrix with general Σ\SigmaΣ, which uses the Harish-Chandra–Itzykson–Zuber integral. A direct coupling of the two sides is not known; the identity is an equality of laws, proved by computing both.

Formalization scope

The development lives in the namespace SpikedWishart.LastPassage. Conventions:

  • Sites and indices are 0-based; the paper's (1,1)(1,1)(1,1) and (N,M)(N,M)(N,M) are (0,0)(0,0)(0,0) and (N−1,M−1)(N-1,M-1)(N−1,M−1), and N,M≥1N, M\ge1N,M≥1.
  • LLL is defined as the maximum over paths (306), never by the recurrence (313), so (313) is a genuine statement.
  • The exponential law is Mathlib's expMeasure with rate πiM\pi_iMπi​M.
  • The sample model is mean zero, uncentred, with factor 1/M1/M1/M and E∣g∣2=1\mathbb E|g|^2 = 1E∣g∣2=1; this is the model of (59), (61) and (307), and the page's centring by the sample mean and S=(1/N)XX∗S = (1/N)XX^*S=(1/N)XX∗ are printed slips. The covariance is U diag(π−1)U∗U\,\mathrm{diag}(\pi^{-1})U^*Udiag(π−1)U∗ for every unitary UUU; specialising to diagonal Σ\SigmaΣ would prove a special case.
  • N≤MN\le MN≤M is a disclosed addition to the goal, matching the page's "for M≥NM\ge NM≥N" in (307).
  • Proposition 6.1 prints L(M,N)L(M,N)L(M,N); the object is (306)'s L(N,M)L(N,M)L(N,M).
  • Schur functions are the tableau sum with variables extended by zero. The Cauchy identity is stated with the exponent −1-1−1 that the page omits. In (307) the constant CCC is the integral of the same integrand over (0,∞)N(0,\infty)^N(0,∞)N, and the πi\pi_iπi​ are distinct so that V(π)≠0V(\pi)\ne0V(π)=0; the goal has no distinctness hypothesis.

A formalization in which either side of (309) is defined through the other, or through (307), would be trivial and is excluded: both laws are defined from scratch. Contributions are welcome on RSK and Schur function infrastructure, on the Wishart density, and on the measurability of λ1\lambda_1λ1​.

Selected references

  • J. Baik, G. Ben Arous, S. Péché, Phase transition of the largest eigenvalue for nonnull complex sample covariance matrices, Ann. Probab. 33(5):1643–1697, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1214/009117905000000233
  • K. Johansson, Shape fluctuations and random matrices, Comm. Math. Phys. 209:437–476, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s002200050027
  • Y. Baryshnikov, GUEs and queues, Probab. Theory Related Fields 119:256–274, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00008760
  • J. Gravner, C. A. Tracy, H. Widom, Limit theorems for height fluctuations in a class of discrete space and time growth models, J. Stat. Phys. 102:1085–1132, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1004879725949
  • R. P. Stanley, Enumerative Combinatorics, Vol. 2, Cambridge University Press, 1999 (the paper's reference [36] for the Cauchy identity). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511609589
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Algorithmic Game TheoryLinear algebra·Captain: mikedeng1

Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games 5: Every ϵ-Equilibrium of the Closest Potential Game Is an (ϵ + max_m 2α/√h_m)-Equilibrium of the Game, and ConverselyResearch Paper

Motivation

Potential games (Monderer and Shapley, 1996) are the finite games whose unilateral payoff differences are all differences of a single function, the potential. They always have a pure Nash equilibrium, and many natural learning dynamics (best response, fictitious play, logit response) converge in them. Most games met in applications are not exactly potential games, so a recurring question is how much of this theory survives for a game that is close to a potential game.

Candogan, Menache, Ozdaglar and Parrilo (arXiv:1005.2405, journal version Math. Oper. Res. 36(3), 2011) decompose the space of finite games into potential, harmonic and nonstrategic components. Section 6 of the paper equips the space of games with a weighted inner product under which this decomposition is orthogonal, computes the closest potential game to any game in closed form, and shows that approximate equilibria of a game and of its closest potential game correspond, with an explicit loss controlled by the distance between them. This mission formalizes that last result together with the statements it rests on.

Setting

A finite game has a finite set of players M\mathcal MM; each player mmm has a nonempty finite strategy set EmE^mEm with hm=∣Em∣h_m = |E^m|hm​=∣Em∣ elements, and a utility um:E→Ru^m : E \to \mathbb Rum:E→R on the set of strategy profiles E=∏mEmE = \prod_m E^mE=∏m​Em. For a profile ppp, (qm,p−m)(q^m, p^{-m})(qm,p−m) denotes ppp with player mmm's strategy replaced by qmq^mqm.

A profile ppp is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium if um(pm,p−m)≥um(qm,p−m)−ϵu^m(p^m, p^{-m}) \ge u^m(q^m, p^{-m}) - \epsilonum(pm,p−m)≥um(qm,p−m)−ϵ for every player mmm and strategy qmq^mqm (equation (2) of the paper). A game is a potential game if there is φ:E→R\varphi : E \to \mathbb Rφ:E→R with φ(pm,p−m)−φ(qm,p−m)=um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m)\varphi(p^m, p^{-m}) - \varphi(q^m, p^{-m}) = u^m(p^m, p^{-m}) - u^m(q^m, p^{-m})φ(pm,p−m)−φ(qm,p−m)=um(pm,p−m)−um(qm,p−m) for all mmm, pmp^mpm, qmq^mqm, p−mp^{-m}p−m (Definition 2.1).

A game is identified with its tuple of utilities, an element of C0MC_0^MC0M​ where C0={f:E→R}C_0 = \{f : E \to \mathbb R\}C0​={f:E→R}. The game graph has the profiles as nodes, with an edge between two profiles that differ in exactly one player's strategy. The operator DmD_mDm​ sends umu^mum to its differences along the edges where player mmm deviates, D=∑mDmD = \sum_m D_mD=∑m​Dm​, δ0\delta_0δ0​ is the gradient of the game graph, Πm=Dm†Dm\Pi_m = D_m^\dagger D_mΠm​=Dm†​Dm​, and †\dagger† is the Moore–Penrose pseudoinverse. Definition 4.2 defines the potential, harmonic and nonstrategic subspaces

P={u=Πu, Du∈im⁡δ0},H={u=Πu, Du∈ker⁡δ0∗},N=ker⁡D,\mathcal P = \{u = \Pi u,\ Du \in \operatorname{im}\delta_0\},\qquad \mathcal H = \{u = \Pi u,\ Du \in \ker\delta_0^*\},\qquad \mathcal N = \ker D ,P={u=Πu, Du∈imδ0​},H={u=Πu, Du∈kerδ0∗​},N=kerD,

and a harmonic game is a game in H⊕N\mathcal H \oplus \mathcal NH⊕N.

Section 6 introduces the weighted inner product and norm

⟨G,G^⟩M,E=∑mhm∑p∈Eum(p) u^m(p),∥G∥M,E2=⟨G,G⟩M,E.\langle G, \hat G\rangle_{M,E} = \sum_{m} h_m \sum_{p \in E} u^m(p)\,\hat u^m(p), \qquad \|G\|_{M,E}^2 = \langle G, G\rangle_{M,E} .⟨G,G^⟩M,E​=m∑​hm​p∈E∑​um(p)u^m(p),∥G∥M,E2​=⟨G,G⟩M,E​.

A closest potential game to GGG is a potential game G^\hat GG^ with ∥G−G^∥M,E≤∥G−G′∥M,E\|G - \hat G\|_{M,E} \le \|G - G'\|_{M,E}∥G−G^∥M,E​≤∥G−G′∥M,E​ for every potential game G′G'G′; a closest harmonic game is defined in the same way.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.3

Let G^\hat GG^ be the closest potential game to GGG and α=∥G−G^∥M,E\alpha = \|G - \hat G\|_{M,E}α=∥G−G^∥M,E​. Then for every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​, every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of G^\hat GG^ is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium of GGG, and every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of GGG is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium of G^\hat GG^, where

ϵ=max⁡m∈M2αhm+ϵ1.\epsilon = \max_{m \in \mathcal M} \frac{2\alpha}{\sqrt{h_m}} + \epsilon_1 .ϵ=m∈Mmax​hm​​2α​+ϵ1​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1. If ∣um(p)−u^m(p)∣≤ϵ0|u^m(p) - \hat u^m(p)| \le \epsilon_0∣um(p)−u^m(p)∣≤ϵ0​ for all mmm and ppp, every ϵ1\epsilon_1ϵ1​-equilibrium of one game is a (2ϵ0+ϵ1)(2\epsilon_0 + \epsilon_1)(2ϵ0​+ϵ1​)-equilibrium of the other.
  2. Theorem 5.1. The set of potential games is the subspace P⊕N\mathcal P \oplus \mathcal NP⊕N.
  3. Theorem 6.1. Under ⟨⋅,⋅⟩M,E\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_{M,E}⟨⋅,⋅⟩M,E​ the subspaces P\mathcal PP, H\mathcal HH, N\mathcal NN are pairwise orthogonal.
  4. Theorem 6.2. With φ=δ0†Du\varphi = \delta_0^\dagger D uφ=δ0†​Du, the closest potential game to GGG has utilities Πmφ+(I−Πm)um\Pi_m \varphi + (I - \Pi_m)u^mΠm​φ+(I−Πm​)um, and the closest harmonic game has utilities um−Πmφu^m - \Pi_m\varphium−Πm​φ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.3 reduces the study of approximate equilibria of an arbitrary finite game to a potential game, where pure equilibria exist and are maximizers of the potential. Section 7 of the paper reports that, in a companion paper, best-response and fictitious-play dynamics are shown to converge to a neighbourhood of equilibria in near-potential games, with the size of the neighbourhood governed by the distance of the game to its closest potential game. Theorems 6.1 and 6.2 make that distance computable: the closest potential game is an orthogonal projection, given by linear operators of the game graph.

Formalizing it. All four statements are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked anywhere known to this mission. A formal development produces a verified operator layer for games on the game graph (gradient, pseudoinverses, the projections Πm\Pi_mΠm​), a verified proof that the weighted inner product, and not the unweighted one, makes the decomposition orthogonal, and a reusable perturbation lemma for ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibria.

Difficulty

Lemma 2.1 and the final step of Theorem 6.3 are elementary inequalities. The obvious way to approximate a game by a potential game, taking the identical-interest part of its zero-sum/identical-interest split, does not give the closest potential game: the paper's Table 7 (p. 35) shows a potential game whose identical-interest part is far from it. The closest potential game has to come from the projection of Section 6. The weight of the mission is in Theorems 5.1, 6.1 and 6.2. They need the decomposition theorem of Section 4 (every game splits uniquely into P\mathcal PP, H\mathcal HH, N\mathcal NN) and properties of pseudoinverses of the operators DmD_mDm​ and δ0\delta_0δ0​ that Mathlib does not provide: Mathlib has no operator pseudoinverse at all. The orthogonality P⊥H\mathcal P \perp \mathcal HP⊥H under the weighted product rests on the specific spectral structure of the Laplacian of the graph of a single player's deviations; it is not a general fact, and it fails for the unweighted product when the hmh_mhm​ differ, so the standard orthogonal-complement machinery cannot be applied to C0MC_0^MC0M​ with its default inner product.

Formalization scope

Players are a finite type ι with decidable equality; strategy sets are finite types E m. Utilities are plain functions u : ι → (∀ m, E m) → ℝ, the shape used by the published MondererShapley.ClosedPath.IsPotentialGame, which is referenced for Definition 2.1. The operator layer works in PiLp 2 (fun _ => EuclideanSpace ℝ (∀ k, E k)) with the unweighted inner product of Section 4; edge flows carry the inner product 12∑(p,q)∈AX(p,q)Y(p,q)\tfrac12\sum_{(p,q)\in A} X(p,q)Y(p,q)21​∑(p,q)∈A​X(p,q)Y(p,q) of (7). The weighted inner product (55) and norm (56) are plain functions, not a second instance on the same type. "Closest" is the minimizing property itself, not an infimum of distances.

Hypotheses made explicit: every strategy set is nonempty (the paper's Em={1,…,hm}E^m = \{1,\dots,h_m\}Em={1,…,hm​}), so hm≥1h_m \ge 1hm​≥1; in Theorem 6.3 the set of players is nonempty, which the maximum over players needs. The paper's "an ϵ\epsilonϵ-equilibrium for some ϵ≤B\epsilon \le Bϵ≤B" is stated as "a BBB-equilibrium", which is equivalent because (2) is monotone in ϵ\epsilonϵ. Both directions of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 6.3 are included.

The goal is stated for the closest potential game, as printed. A version for an arbitrary potential game at distance α\alphaα would be a different theorem, and the hypothesis is not vacuous: Theorem 6.2 shows the closest potential game exists. Theorem 6.2 is stated as an "if and only if" characterization, so it gives existence and uniqueness as well as the formula.

Contributions welcome: the Penrose identities for the pseudoinverse, the identities D†D=ΠD^\dagger D = \PiD†D=Π and Δ0,m=hmΠm\Delta_{0,m} = h_m \Pi_mΔ0,m​=hm​Πm​, and the decomposition theorem of Section 4, all of which are reusable by the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • O. Candogan, I. Menache, A. Ozdaglar, P. A. Parrilo, Flows and Decompositions of Games: Harmonic and Potential Games, arXiv:1005.2405v2, 2010; Math. Oper. Res. 36(3):474–503, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1005.2405, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1110.0500
  • D. Monderer, L. S. Shapley, Potential Games, Games Econ. Behav. 14(1):124–143, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1996.0044
14 thms1 active userReviewed
CombinatoricsLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Branch-and-Cut-and-Price for the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem: The Integer Points of P1 ∩ P2 Are Exactly the CVRP Solutions, and the Dantzig–Wolfe Master Describes P1 ∩ P2Research Paper

Motivation

The capacitated vehicle routing problem (CVRP) asks for KKK delivery routes from a depot that serve every client exactly once without exceeding a vehicle capacity, at minimum total length. It was introduced by Dantzig and Ramser in 1959 and is the reference problem of the vehicle routing literature: most exact methods for richer routing models (time windows, heterogeneous fleets, split deliveries) are first developed and benchmarked on it.

Exact CVRP algorithms are driven by the lower bound of a linear relaxation. Two families dominated before 2005. Branch-and-cut works with the edge variables xex_exe​ and the rounded capacity inequalities (Lysgaard, Letchford and Eglese 2004, among others); its bound degrades as the number of vehicles grows. Lagrangean and column-generation methods work with q-routes, walks from the depot of bounded total demand that may revisit clients (Christofides, Mingozzi and Toth 1981). Fukasawa, Longo, Lysgaard, Poggi de Aragão, Reis, Uchoa and Werneck combine the two in one linear program over the intersection of the two polytopes, priced by column generation with every cut written on the edge variables. According to the abstract, the resulting branch-and-cut-and-price solves to optimality all instances from the literature with up to 135 vertices. The design is called robust because cuts are written on the edge variables xxx and therefore never change the structure of the pricing problem.

This mission formalizes the formulation itself (§2 of the paper) and the two exact facts of its column generation (§3.1).

Setting

Let G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) be an undirected graph on V={0,1,…,n}V=\{0,1,\dots,n\}V={0,1,…,n}. Vertex 000 is the depot; V+={1,…,n}V_+=\{1,\dots,n\}V+​={1,…,n} are the clients, client iii having a positive demand did_idi​. Each edge has a length ℓe\ell_eℓe​. There are KKK vehicles of capacity CCC, both positive integers.

A list of clients r=(r1,…,rm)r=(r_1,\dots,r_m)r=(r1​,…,rm​) describes the closed walk 0→r1→⋯→rm→00\to r_1\to\cdots\to r_m\to 00→r1​→⋯→rm​→0. Its edge incidence qe(r)q^e(r)qe(r) is the number of times the walk traverses eee (a one-client walk 0→j→00\to j\to 00→j→0 traverses {0,j}\{0,j\}{0,j} twice); its load is dr1+⋯+drmd_{r_1}+\cdots+d_{r_m}dr1​​+⋯+drm​​, with repetitions.

  • A CVRP route visits pairwise distinct clients with load at most CCC; a CVRP solution is a family R=(R1,…,RK)R=(R_1,\dots,R_K)R=(R1​,…,RK​) of routes visiting every client exactly once. Its edge vector is χ(R)e=∑kqe(Rk)\chi(R)_e=\sum_kq^e(R_k)χ(R)e​=∑k​qe(Rk​).
  • A q-route without 2-cycles is a walk of load at most CCC that may revisit clients but contains no subpath i→j→ii\to j\to ii→j→i with i≠0i\ne 0i=0.

For S⊆VS\subseteq VS⊆V, δ(S)\delta(S)δ(S) is the set of edges with one end in SSS, x(δ(S))=∑e∈δ(S)xex(\delta(S))=\sum_{e\in\delta(S)}x_ex(δ(S))=∑e∈δ(S)​xe​, and k(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉k(S)=\lceil d(S)/C\rceilk(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉. The paper's constraints on x∈REx\in\mathbb R^{E}x∈RE and on weights λj≥0\lambda_j\ge 0λj​≥0 of the q-routes jjj are

x(δ({i}))=2  (i∈V+)  (1),x(δ({0}))=2K  (2),x(δ(S))≥2k(S)  (S⊆V+)  (3),xe≤1  (e∈E∖δ({0}))  (4),∑jqjeλj=xe  (e∈E)  (5),∑jλj=K  (6).\begin{aligned} &x(\delta(\{i\}))=2\ \ (i\in V_+)\ \ (1), && x(\delta(\{0\}))=2K\ \ (2), && x(\delta(S))\ge 2k(S)\ \ (S\subseteq V_+)\ \ (3),\\ &x_e\le 1\ \ (e\in E\setminus\delta(\{0\}))\ \ (4), && \textstyle\sum_jq^e_j\lambda_j=x_e\ \ (e\in E)\ \ (5), && \textstyle\sum_j\lambda_j=K\ \ (6). \end{aligned}​x(δ({i}))=2  (i∈V+​)  (1),xe​≤1  (e∈E∖δ({0}))  (4),​​x(δ({0}))=2K  (2),∑j​qje​λj​=xe​  (e∈E)  (5),​​x(δ(S))≥2k(S)  (S⊆V+​)  (3),∑j​λj​=K  (6).​

P1P_1P1​ is {x≥0:(1)–(4)}\{x\ge0:(1)\text{–}(4)\}{x≥0:(1)–(4)}; P2P_2P2​ is the set of x≥0x\ge 0x≥0 satisfying (1) together with some λ≥0\lambda\ge0λ≥0 satisfying (5), (6); the Explicit Master P3P_3P3​ is the projection onto xxx of the system (1)–(6) with one λ\lambdaλ. The Dantzig–Wolfe Master (DWM) is the LP in λ\lambdaλ alone obtained by substituting (5) into (1)–(4), giving the rows (8)–(11), with objective (7) ∑j∑eℓeqjeλj\sum_j\sum_e\ell_eq^e_j\lambda_j∑j​∑e​ℓe​qje​λj​. The bounds are Li=min⁡x∈Piℓ⊤xL_i=\min_{x\in P_i}\ell^\top xLi​=minx∈Pi​​ℓ⊤x.

Formalization targets

Goal: the formulation theorem

For a loop-free graph with positive demands and capacity, and arbitrary lengths:

x∈P3∩ZE  ⟺  x=χ(R) for a CVRP solution R,P3={Qλ:λ DWM-feasible},L1, L2 ≤ L3 ≤ OPT,x\in P_3\cap\mathbb Z^{E}\iff x=\chi(R)\ \text{for a CVRP solution }R, \qquad P_3=\{Q\lambda:\lambda\ \text{DWM-feasible}\}, \qquad L_1,\,L_2\ \le\ L_3\ \le\ \mathrm{OPT},x∈P3​∩ZE⟺x=χ(R) for a CVRP solution R,P3​={Qλ:λ DWM-feasible},L1​,L2​ ≤ L3​ ≤ OPT,

with (7) equal to ℓ⊤Qλ\ell^\top Q\lambdaℓ⊤Qλ. The bounds are stated in lower-bound form: every lower bound of ℓ⊤x\ell^\top xℓ⊤x over P1P_1P1​ or P2P_2P2​ is one over P3P_3P3​, and every lower bound over P3P_3P3​ is at most the cost of every solution.

Milestones

  1. P3=P1∩P2P_3=P_1\cap P_2P3​=P1​∩P2​ (p. 5).
  2. Every CVRP route is a q-route without 2-cycles (p. 2).
  3. Validity of (1)–(4): χ(R)∈P1\chi(R)\in P_1χ(R)∈P1​, with ℓ⊤χ(R)\ell^\top\chi(R)ℓ⊤χ(R) the cost of RRR (p. 4).
  4. Validity of (5)–(6): χ(R)∈P2\chi(R)\in P_2χ(R)∈P2​, with the routes of RRR as columns (p. 4).
  5. Every integer point of P1P_1P1​ is χ(R)\chi(R)χ(R) for a solution RRR (p. 4).
  6. Constraint (6) is implied by (2) and (5) (p. 5).
  7. The DWM (8)–(11) is (1)–(4) on x=Qλx=Q\lambdax=Qλ (p. 5).
  8. A generic cut ∑eaexe≥b\sum_ea_ex_e\ge b∑e​ae​xe​≥b becomes ∑j(∑eaeqje)λj≥b\sum_j(\sum_ea_eq^e_j)\lambda_j\ge b∑j​(∑e​ae​qje​)λj​≥b (p. 5).
  9. Every integer point of P2P_2P2​ is χ(R)\chi(R)χ(R) for a solution RRR (p. 4).
  10. The reduced cost of a column is ∑ecˉeqe\sum_e\bar c_eq^e∑e​cˉe​qe (§3.1, p. 6).
  11. Scaling: a q-route for demands ⌈dv/g⌉\lceil d_v/g\rceil⌈dv​/g⌉ and capacity ⌊C/g⌋\lfloor C/g\rfloor⌊C/g⌋ is a q-route for (d,C)(d,C)(d,C) (§3.1, p. 7).

Significance

The formulation theorem is what makes the algorithm exact: integer points of P3P_3P3​ are solutions, so branching on xxx terminates at an optimum, and P3P_3P3​ is a relaxation, so L3L_3L3​ is a valid bound that dominates both classical bounds. The DWM description is what makes it computable: P3P_3P3​ is optimized by column generation over q-routes, and milestones 8 and 10 show that any cut on xxx can be added without changing the pricing problem, which remains a shortest q-route problem with edge costs cˉe\bar c_ecˉe​.

The paper proves none of these claims formally; most are stated in a sentence, and milestone 9 is stated with "It can be shown" and no proof. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. A formal development produces a library of walks, edge incidences, cut values and column families on a general graph that later missions on branch-cut-and-price (subset-row cuts, ng-routes, other routing variants) can import.

Difficulty

Most items are linear-algebra bookkeeping on finite sums, but they require a working theory of walks: edge incidences along a closed walk, the cut value of an incidence vector, and the fact that a walk from the depot crosses every client set an even number of times. The integrality statements (milestones 5 and 9 and goal part 1) are the hard part: an integer vector satisfying degree constraints need not come from routes through the depot, and the statements must exclude every other structure. For P2P_2P2​ there are no capacity cuts at all, so the capacity of the routes must be recovered from the columns, and the paper states this case without proof. The obvious reduction "an integer point of P2P_2P2​ is an integer combination of q-routes" fails: λ\lambdaλ may be fractional even when xxx is integral.

Formalization scope

Vertices are Fin (n+1) with depot 0; edges are Sym2 (Fin (n+1)); the graph is an edge set E assumed loop-free where needed. Edge vectors are functions on all unordered pairs that vanish off E, which encodes x∈R∣E∣x\in\mathbb R^{|E|}x∈R∣E∣. Demands ddd, KKK and CCC are natural numbers; positive demands, K>0K>0K>0 and C>0C>0C>0 (the paper's standing assumptions, p. 1) are carried by the integrality statements and the goal, while ℓ≥0\ell\ge0ℓ≥0 is used by no statement and is omitted. Loads count repeated visits. The cut value x(δ(S))x(\delta(S))x(δ(S)), the demand d(S)d(S)d(S) and k(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉k(S)=\lceil d(S)/C\rceilk(S)=⌈d(S)/C⌉ are the published definitions LysgaardCVRP.Shrink.cut, .demand and .roundedCapacityBound. The matrix QQQ is replaced by finitely supported weights on client lists ranging over all q-routes without 2-cycles. L1,L2,L3L_1,L_2,L_3L1​,L2​,L3​ and OPT are never real infima, since P3P_3P3​ is empty for infeasible instances.

Three trivializations are ruled out by construction: P3P_3P3​ is defined from the Explicit Master display, not as P1∩P2P_1\cap P_2P1​∩P2​; a CVRP solution is defined by its routes, not as an integer point of a polytope; and the columns are not a fixed finite list, which would turn P2P_2P2​ into a restricted master.

The strictness of "CVRP routes ⊊\subsetneq⊊ q-routes" (p. 2) depends on the instance and is not stated. Contributions of reusable lemmas on walks and cut values of incidence vectors are welcome, as are proofs of any milestone.

Selected references

  • R. Fukasawa, H. Longo, J. Lysgaard, M. Poggi de Aragão, M. Reis, E. Uchoa and R. F. Werneck, Robust branch-and-cut-and-price for the capacitated vehicle routing problem, Mathematical Programming 106 (2006); accepted manuscript. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0644-x
  • N. Christofides, A. Mingozzi and P. Toth, Exact algorithms for the vehicle routing problem, based on spanning tree and shortest path relaxations, Mathematical Programming 20 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01589353
  • J. Lysgaard, A. N. Letchford and R. W. Eglese, A new branch-and-cut algorithm for the capacitated vehicle routing problem, Mathematical Programming 100 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0481-8
  • G. B. Dantzig and J. H. Ramser, The truck dispatching problem, Management Science 6 (1959). https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.80
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