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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999074Formalized record
3 provers on it4 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
9 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record
3 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Luminous efficacy of radiation: the 683.002 lm/W ceilingTextbook

Motivation

Two different numbers describe the output of a lamp. Radiant flux Φe\Phi_eΦe​ is the power it radiates, in watts. Luminous flux Φv\Phi_vΦv​ is how much of that radiation the standard human eye registers, in lumens — a weighted integral of the radiated power in which each wavelength is counted according to the sensitivity of the eye at that wavelength. Their ratio

K  =  ΦvΦeK \;=\; \frac{\Phi_v}{\Phi_e}K=Φe​Φv​​

is the luminous efficacy of radiation, measured in lumens per watt: it says what fraction of the radiated power is usable for illumination. Photometry is built on this pair of quantities. The lumen and the candela are defined from the watt through exactly such a weighting, with the SI defining constant Kcd=683K_{\mathrm{cd}} = 683Kcd​=683 lm/W fixing the scale at the frequency 540×1012540 \times 10^{12}540×1012 Hz, and every efficiency figure quoted for a lamp — a tungsten filament at 151515 lm/W, a white LED above 100100100 lm/W — is a statement about this ratio or its wall-plug variant.

The basic structural fact of the subject is that this ratio is bounded. Since the eye's sensitivity curve is normalized to a maximum of 111, no source, however designed, can exceed the maximum spectral luminous efficacy: 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W under photopic (daylight, cone) vision, and about 170017001700 lm/W under scotopic (dark-adapted, rod) vision. Those two numbers are the ceilings against which every lighting technology is measured, and they are what this mission formalizes.

Setting

Wavelengths are real numbers (nanometres). A spectral radiant flux distribution of a source is modelled as a finite Borel measure μ\muμ on the wavelength axis: μ(A)\mu(A)μ(A) is the power, in watts, that the source radiates at wavelengths in AAA. Its radiant flux is the total mass

Φe  =  μ(R).\Phi_e \;=\; \mu(\mathbb{R}).Φe​=μ(R).

A luminosity function (luminous efficiency function) with peak at λ0\lambda_0λ0​ is a measurable V:R→RV : \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}V:R→R with

0≤V(λ)≤1for all λ,V(λ0)=1.0 \le V(\lambda) \le 1 \quad \text{for all } \lambda, \qquad V(\lambda_0) = 1 .0≤V(λ)≤1for all λ,V(λ0​)=1.

For photopic vision the CIE 1924 curve VVV peaks at λ0=555\lambda_0 = 555λ0​=555 nm; the scotopic curve V′V'V′ peaks at λ0=507\lambda_0 = 507λ0​=507 nm. The development assumes only the normalization above, never a specific tabulated curve, so every statement holds for the photopic curve, the scotopic curve, and any other normalized weighting.

Given a maximum spectral luminous efficacy Kmax⁡K_{\max}Kmax​ — the value Km=683.002K_m = 683.002Km​=683.002 lm/W for photopic vision, 170017001700 lm/W for scotopic vision — the spectral luminous efficacy is K(λ)=Kmax⁡V(λ)K(\lambda) = K_{\max} V(\lambda)K(λ)=Kmax​V(λ) and the luminous flux is

Φv  =  ∫RK(λ) dμ(λ)  =  Kmax⁡∫RV dμ.\Phi_v \;=\; \int_{\mathbb{R}} K(\lambda) \, \mathrm{d}\mu(\lambda) \;=\; K_{\max} \int_{\mathbb{R}} V \,\mathrm{d}\mu .Φv​=∫R​K(λ)dμ(λ)=Kmax​∫R​Vdμ.

The luminous efficacy of radiation is K=Φv/ΦeK = \Phi_v / \Phi_eK=Φv​/Φe​, the dimensionless luminous efficiency is K/Kmax⁡K / K_{\max}K/Kmax​, and the luminous efficacy of a source (overall, or wall-plug, efficacy) is Φv/P\Phi_v / PΦv​/P, where PPP is the total input power the source consumes — electrical, chemical or other — of which the radiated part is Φe≤P\Phi_e \le PΦe​≤P.

Modelling the spectrum as a measure rather than as a density is what makes the two halves of the target statement expressible at once. A spectrum with a spectral radiant flux density Φe,λ\Phi_{e,\lambda}Φe,λ​ is the measure dμ=Φe,λ dλ\mathrm{d}\mu = \Phi_{e,\lambda} \, \mathrm{d}\lambdadμ=Φe,λ​dλ, for which the formulas above reduce to the usual integrals

Φv=Kmax⁡∫V(λ) Φe,λ dλ,Φe=∫Φe,λ dλ;\Phi_v = K_{\max}\int V(\lambda)\, \Phi_{e,\lambda} \,\mathrm{d}\lambda, \qquad \Phi_e = \int \Phi_{e,\lambda} \,\mathrm{d}\lambda ;Φv​=Kmax​∫V(λ)Φe,λ​dλ,Φe​=∫Φe,λ​dλ;

an ideal monochromatic source at λ0\lambda_0λ0​, which has no density with respect to wavelength, is the point mass δλ0\delta_{\lambda_0}δλ0​​.

Formalization targets

Goal — the photopic ceiling is attained at 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W

683.002  =  max⁡{ Km∫V dμμ(R)  :  μ finite, μ(R)>0 },Km=683.002 lm/W.683.002 \;=\; \max\left\{\, \frac{K_m \int V \,\mathrm{d}\mu}{\mu(\mathbb{R})} \;:\; \mu \text{ finite}, \ \mu(\mathbb{R}) > 0 \,\right\}, \qquad K_m = 683.002 \text{ lm/W}.683.002=max{μ(R)Km​∫Vdμ​:μ finite, μ(R)>0},Km​=683.002 lm/W.

This is a maximum, not a supremum: the assertion is both that no spectral radiant flux distribution exceeds 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W and that some distribution — the monochromatic source at 555555555 nm — attains it exactly.

Scotopic counterpart

1700  =  max⁡{ 1700∫V′ dμμ(R)  :  μ finite, μ(R)>0 }1700 \;=\; \max\left\{\, \frac{1700 \int V' \,\mathrm{d}\mu}{\mu(\mathbb{R})} \;:\; \mu \text{ finite}, \ \mu(\mathbb{R}) > 0 \,\right\}1700=max{μ(R)1700∫V′dμ​:μ finite, μ(R)>0}

for a scotopic luminosity function V′V'V′ with V′(507)=1V'(507) = 1V′(507)=1.

Supporting statements

Φv≥0\Phi_v \ge 0Φv​≥0; Φv≤Kmax⁡Φe\Phi_v \le K_{\max}\Phi_eΦv​≤Kmax​Φe​; 0≤K≤Kmax⁡0 \le K \le K_{\max}0≤K≤Kmax​; luminous efficiency in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; the point mass at the peak realizes K=Kmax⁡K = K_{\max}K=Kmax​; the reduction of KKK to the integral formula for a spectrum with a density; invariance of KKK under rescaling the spectrum; Φv/P≤K\Phi_v / P \le KΦv​/P≤K when Φe≤P\Phi_e \le PΦe​≤P; and K=0K = 0K=0 for a source radiating only where VVV vanishes.

Significance

The ceiling is the reference point for the whole of lighting efficiency: quoted luminous efficiencies are efficacies divided by 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W, so "37%37\%37%" for a truncated 580058005800 K black body and "2%2\%2%" for a tungsten filament are statements about the distance to this bound. The supporting statements are the facts that make such comparisons well posed — that the efficacy depends only on the shape of the spectrum and not on the wattage, that the wall-plug efficacy of a device is never better than the efficacy of its radiation, and that power radiated outside the response band is pure loss.

Formalizing the material produces a small, reusable measure-theoretic layer for photometric and, more generally, for weighted-average quantities: a bounded weight integrated against a finite measure, normalized by the total mass, with the extreme value attained at a point mass. Nothing here is open mathematics; the value of the mission is a machine-checked model in which the definitions of the International Electrotechnical Vocabulary are stated once and the standard consequences are derived from them, rather than each being asserted in prose.

Difficulty

The mathematical content is elementary — the ceiling is the inequality ∫V dμ≤μ(R)\int V \,\mathrm{d}\mu \le \mu(\mathbb{R})∫Vdμ≤μ(R) for 0≤V≤10 \le V \le 10≤V≤1 — and the work is in the modelling. Three points need care.

First, attainment. On the space of L1L^1L1 densities the value 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W is a supremum that is never attained: for the actual CIE curve the set {V=1}\{V = 1\}{V=1} is a single point, hence Lebesgue-null, so a density supported there is zero almost everywhere and has no radiant flux at all. A formalization restricted to densities would either have to weaken the goal to a supremum or state an attainment claim that is vacuously true. Measures avoid this: the monochromatic source is the point mass δ555\delta_{555}δ555​.

Second, division. Efficacy is a quotient, and the quotient of a real by zero is a junk value; every statement about KKK therefore carries the hypothesis Φe>0\Phi_e > 0Φe​>0, which is also the physically meaningful one.

Third, integrability. The luminous flux is a Bochner integral, which returns 000 for a non-integrable integrand; the mission's hypotheses (VVV measurable and bounded, μ\muμ finite) are what rule this degeneracy out.

Formalization scope

The wavelength axis is all of R\mathbb{R}R, with Lebesgue measure where a density is used; no restriction to positive wavelengths or to a visible band is imposed, since the luminosity function already performs the restriction. A spectral radiant flux distribution is a finite Borel measure; the finiteness hypothesis is carried as a typeclass assumption and the positivity of the radiant flux as an explicit one. The luminosity function is assumed measurable with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and equal to 111 at its peak, and nothing more: no continuity, no unimodality, no tabulated values. The maximum spectral luminous efficacy appears as an explicit parameter Kmax⁡K_{\max}Kmax​, so that the photopic constant 683.002683.002683.002 and the scotopic constant 170017001700 are instances of the same statements rather than separate developments. Units are not represented in the types: all quantities are plain real numbers, and lumens per watt appears only in the prose.

The goal is stated as "683.002683.002683.002 is the greatest element of the set of achievable efficacies", which rules out the two trivializing readings: a bare upper bound (true of any number above the ceiling) and an attainment claim over a class of spectra that is empty or null.

A complete development needs Mathlib's measure theory and Bochner integration only: finite measures, withDensity, Dirac measures, and monotonicity of the integral. The resulting definitions are reusable for any normalized weighted average of a finite measure, and contributions extending the model — mesopic weighting, black-body spectra and the efficacy figures computed from them, or the CIE curve as tabulated data — are welcome.

Selected references

  • International Electrotechnical Commission, International Electrotechnical Vocabulary, entries 845-21-089 (luminous efficacy of a source) and 845-21-090 (luminous efficacy of radiation), electropedia.org.
  • Bureau International des Poids et Mesures, Principles Governing Photometry, 2nd edition, 2019, p. 10, bipm.org — the value 683.002683.002683.002 lm/W.
  • ISO/CIE, ISO 23539:2005 Photometry — The CIE system of physical photometry, iso.org.
  • T. W. Murphy, "Maximum spectral luminous efficacy of white light", Journal of Applied Physics 111 (2012) 104909, arXiv:1309.7039.
  • Wikipedia, Luminous efficacy, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luminous_efficacy — the source material for this mission.
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Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

The Avogadro Constant: Amount of Substance, Molar Quantities and the Gram-to-Dalton RatioTextbook

Motivation

The Avogadro constant NAN_ANA​ is the conversion factor between an amount of substance and a number of elementary entities (atoms, molecules, ions, ion pairs). Since the 2019 revision of the SI it is a defining constant with the exact value NA=6.02214076×1023 mol−1N_A = 6.02214076\times10^{23}\ \mathrm{mol}^{-1}NA​=6.02214076×1023 mol−1; the pure number N0=6.02214076×1023N_0 = 6.02214076\times10^{23}N0​=6.02214076×1023 is called the Avogadro number. Before 2019 the mole was instead defined as the amount of substance in 12 grams of carbon-12, so N0N_0N0​ was a measured quantity: the number of carbon-12 atoms in 12 g, equivalently the number of daltons in a gram, N0=g/DaN_0 = \mathrm{g}/\mathrm{Da}N0​=g/Da. The two definitions agree to within the experimental uncertainty of the dalton, but no longer by fiat.

The relations that carry this content — n(X)=N(X)/NAn(X) = N(X)/N_An(X)=N(X)/NA​, M(X)=m(X) NAM(X) = m(X)\,N_AM(X)=m(X)NA​, Vm=v NAV_m = v\,N_AVm​=vNA​, na=1/NAn_a = 1/N_Ana​=1/NA​, and the crystal/unit-cell count used by the Avogadro Project's X-ray crystal density measurements on silicon-28 spheres — are stated in every chemistry course and used without further comment. They are elementary, but they are also exactly the kind of unit-bookkeeping that is easy to state loosely and easy to get wrong by a factor, and they have no machine-checked formulation.

Setting

Fix a common positive scale for masses, volumes and amounts, and record on it three units: a mass unit g\mathrm{g}g (gram), a second mass unit Da\mathrm{Da}Da (dalton), and an amount unit mol\mathrm{mol}mol (mole), each a strictly positive real number. Write

N0=6.02214076×1023,NA=N0mol.N_0 = 6.02214076\times10^{23}, \qquad N_A = \frac{N_0}{\mathrm{mol}} .N0​=6.02214076×1023,NA​=molN0​​.

For a sample containing NNN entities, its amount of substance is n=N/NAn = N/N_An=N/NA​; for an entity of mass mmm, the molar mass is M=m NAM = m\,N_AM=mNA​; for an entity occupying volume vvv, the molar volume is Vm=v NAV_m = v\,N_AVm​=vNA​; the elementary amount is na=1/NAn_a = 1/N_Ana​=1/NA​. For a crystal of volume VVV whose unit cell has volume vcell>0v_{\text{cell}} > 0vcell​>0 and contains kkk entities, the number of entities in the crystal is k V/vcellk\,V/v_{\text{cell}}kV/vcell​.

All of these are modelled as real numbers; units appear as positive real parameters rather than as a dimension system, so every statement below is an identity between real numbers that holds for every admissible choice of g\mathrm{g}g, Da\mathrm{Da}Da, mol\mathrm{mol}mol.

Formalization targets

Goal — the gram-to-dalton ratio

Under the pre-2019 definition of the mole, let mC>0m_{\mathrm{C}} > 0mC​>0 be the mass of one carbon-12 atom, let NNN satisfy N mC=12 gN\,m_{\mathrm{C}} = 12\,\mathrm{g}NmC​=12g (a mole of carbon-12 weighs 12 grams), and let the dalton be one twelfth of the mass of a carbon-12 atom, Da=mC/12\mathrm{Da} = m_{\mathrm{C}}/12Da=mC​/12. Then

N=gDa.N = \frac{\mathrm{g}}{\mathrm{Da}} .N=Dag​.

That is: the Avogadro number under the old definition is exactly the number of daltons in a gram. The goal fixes no numerical value — it asserts the shape of the relation, and so survives any revision of the measured value of the dalton.

Milestones

The six milestone lemmas are the remaining relations the source states: the inversion n(X) NA=N(X)n(X)\,N_A = N(X)n(X)NA​=N(X); the 2019 statement M(X)⋅mol=N0 m(X)M(X)\cdot\mathrm{mol} = N_0\,m(X)M(X)⋅mol=N0​m(X); the elementary-amount identity 1 mol=N0 na1\,\mathrm{mol} = N_0\,n_a1mol=N0​na​; the pre-2019 numerical coincidence that a particle of mass 12 Da12\,\mathrm{Da}12Da has molar mass exactly 12 g/mol12\,\mathrm{g}/\mathrm{mol}12g/mol when NA=(g/Da) mol−1N_A = (\mathrm{g}/\mathrm{Da})\,\mathrm{mol}^{-1}NA​=(g/Da)mol−1; the worked numerical example that a water molecule occupies about 0.030 nm30.030\ \mathrm{nm}^30.030 nm3 when the molar volume of water is 18 mL/mol18\ \mathrm{mL}/\mathrm{mol}18 mL/mol; and the crystal/unit-cell amount relation.

Significance

The result itself is not new mathematics: each identity is one line of algebra once the model is fixed. What the mission produces is the model — a single, audited Lean formulation of amount of substance, molar mass, molar volume, the elementary amount, and the crystal count, in which the pre-2019 and post-2019 definitions of the mole can both be stated and compared, and in which the one place where the two definitions differ (the dalton is measured, the Avogadro number is fixed) is visible rather than hidden in a convention. That layer is reusable by any later formalization that needs to convert between microscopic and molar quantities, including the X-ray crystal density determination of NAN_ANA​ from silicon-28 lattice measurements.

Status honesty: everything stated here is standard, textbook-level content, and all seven statements have been checked to be provable in the model as formalized. The mission's value is the faithful encoding and the audited definition layer, not the difficulty of the proofs.

Difficulty

The proofs are elementary real algebra; the difficulty is entirely in the statements. Two traps recur. First, division in Lean is total, so an identity such as n=N/NAn = N/N_An=N/NA​ carries no information at NA=0N_A = 0NA​=0 and can be satisfied vacuously; every statement here therefore either derives positivity from the unit data or takes the nondegeneracy hypothesis explicitly. Second, it is easy to write a unit relation that is true only for one choice of units — for instance, conflating the numerical value N0N_0N0​ with the dimensional constant NA=N0/molN_A = N_0/\mathrm{mol}NA​=N0​/mol — and such a statement still compiles. Readers auditing this proposal should check each statement against both failure modes.

Formalization scope

Units are positive real parameters bundled in a structure carrying g,Da,mol\mathrm{g}, \mathrm{Da}, \mathrm{mol}g,Da,mol together with proofs of their positivity; there is no dimension-tracking type system. Amounts, masses, volumes and entity counts are real numbers (the crystal's entities-per-cell count is a natural number). The Avogadro number is the exact rational 602214076×1015602214076\times10^{15}602214076×1015, so the numerical milestone is a genuine rational-arithmetic bound, not a floating-point approximation. The water example is stated as a strict two-sided bound, 0.0298 nm3<v<0.0300 nm30.0298\ \mathrm{nm}^3 < v < 0.0300\ \mathrm{nm}^30.0298 nm3<v<0.0300 nm3, so that it cannot be satisfied by a rounded value.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out as follows: no statement is of the form "some quantity exists", every statement quantifies over an arbitrary admissible unit system, and the goal's hypotheses are simultaneously satisfiable (take g=1\mathrm{g} = 1g=1, mC=12/Nm_{\mathrm{C}} = 12/NmC​=12/N for any N>0N > 0N>0), so the goal is not vacuous.

Contributions welcome: a dimension-typed refinement of the unit layer, and the X-ray crystal density relation NA=nM/(ρa3)N_A = n M/(\rho a^3)NA​=nM/(ρa3) for a cubic lattice, which the source describes only qualitatively and which is deliberately not claimed here.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Avogadro constant. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avogadro_constant (the uploaded snapshot is the source of record for this mission).
  • Bureau International des Poids et Mesures, The International System of Units (SI), 9th edition, 2019. https://www.bipm.org/en/publications/si-brochure
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AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Planck's Law: Classical Limits and the Ultraviolet CatastropheTextbook

Motivation

A black body is an idealized body that absorbs all radiation falling on it and, when held at a fixed absolute temperature TTT, re-emits radiation whose spectrum depends on TTT alone. At the end of the nineteenth century two incompatible descriptions of that spectrum were on the table. Wien's distribution law (1896) fitted the measurements at short wavelengths and high temperatures but failed at long wavelengths. The formula Rayleigh obtained from classical equipartition, later the Rayleigh-Jeans law, reproduced the long-wavelength data and grew without bound at short wavelengths - the failure Ehrenfest named the ultraviolet catastrophe in 1911.

Planck's 1900 formula fits at every frequency. He reached it by refusing to treat the vibrational energy of the oscillators as a continuous quantity, writing it instead as an integer multiple of an energy element ε=hν\varepsilon = h\nuε=hν; the constant hhh entered physics as the proportionality factor in that hypothesis. Fitting black-body data, Planck obtained h≈6.55×10−34 J sh \approx 6.55\times10^{-34}\ \mathrm{J\,s}h≈6.55×10−34 Js, within about 1.2%1.2\%1.2% of the value h=6.626 070 15×10−34 J sh = 6.626\,070\,15\times10^{-34}\ \mathrm{J\,s}h=6.62607015×10−34 Js that today defines the SI.

What makes Planck's formula the successful one is not only that it fits the data. It contains both classical laws: it degenerates to Rayleigh-Jeans at low frequency and to Wien's law at high frequency, and unlike Rayleigh-Jeans it has a finite total emission. This mission formalizes those four statements - two limits and two integrability claims - about the spectral radiance function itself.

Setting

Fix three positive real parameters: the Planck constant hhh, the speed of light ccc, and the Boltzmann constant kBk_BkB​. They are kept as variables rather than numerical constants, so every statement is a theorem about the functional form, valid in any system of units. Let T>0T > 0T>0 be an absolute temperature.

Per unit frequency ν\nuν, Planck's law gives the spectral radiance

Bν(ν,T)  =  2hν3/c2exp⁡ ⁣(hνkBT)−1,B_\nu(\nu, T) \;=\; \frac{2h\nu^3/c^2}{\exp\!\left(\dfrac{h\nu}{k_B T}\right) - 1},Bν​(ν,T)=exp(kB​Thν​)−12hν3/c2​,

which is the function planckFreq of the already-published definition bundle BlackbodyRadiation_planck. That bundle also provides the dimensionless shape function

gn(x)  =  xnex−1,n∈N,g_n(x) \;=\; \frac{x^n}{e^x - 1}, \qquad n \in \mathbb{N},gn​(x)=ex−1xn​,n∈N,

in terms of which Bν(ν,T)=2kB3T3h2c2 g3 ⁣(hνkBT)B_\nu(\nu,T) = \dfrac{2k_B^3T^3}{h^2c^2}\, g_3\!\left(\dfrac{h\nu}{k_BT}\right)Bν​(ν,T)=h2c22kB3​T3​g3​(kB​Thν​).

Two further functions are introduced by this mission. The Rayleigh-Jeans spectral radiance, the classical equipartition prediction,

BνRJ(ν,T)  =  2ν2kBTc2,B^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nu(\nu, T) \;=\; \frac{2\nu^2 k_B T}{c^2},BνRJ​(ν,T)=c22ν2kB​T​,

and Wien's distribution law, the short-wavelength approximation,

BνW(ν,T)  =  2hν3c2 exp⁡ ⁣(−hνkBT).B^{\mathrm{W}}_\nu(\nu, T) \;=\; \frac{2h\nu^3}{c^2}\,\exp\!\left(-\frac{h\nu}{k_B T}\right).BνW​(ν,T)=c22hν3​exp(−kB​Thν​).

Write x=hν/(kBT)x = h\nu/(k_B T)x=hν/(kB​T) for the dimensionless frequency. All three radiances are positive on ν>0\nu > 0ν>0; the two comparisons below are stated as ratios, which is the precise form of "agrees with, in this regime".

Formalization targets

Goal

For all h,c,kB,T>0h, c, k_B, T > 0h,c,kB​,T>0, all four of the following hold simultaneously:

lim⁡ν→0+Bν(ν,T)BνRJ(ν,T)=1,lim⁡ν→∞Bν(ν,T)BνW(ν,T)=1,\lim_{\nu \to 0^+} \frac{B_\nu(\nu,T)}{B^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nu(\nu,T)} = 1, \qquad \lim_{\nu \to \infty} \frac{B_\nu(\nu,T)}{B^{\mathrm{W}}_\nu(\nu,T)} = 1,ν→0+lim​BνRJ​(ν,T)Bν​(ν,T)​=1,ν→∞lim​BνW​(ν,T)Bν​(ν,T)​=1, Bν(⋅,T)∈L1((0,∞)),BνRJ(⋅,T)∉L1((0,∞)).B_\nu(\cdot,T) \in L^1\big((0,\infty)\big), \qquad B^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nu(\cdot,T) \notin L^1\big((0,\infty)\big).Bν​(⋅,T)∈L1((0,∞)),BνRJ​(⋅,T)∈/L1((0,∞)).

The goal asserts only the shape of the truth - ratios tending to 111 and membership or non-membership in L1L^1L1 - and fixes no constant, so it is not invalidated by any sharper rate or by the exact value of the total emission.

Milestones

The four conjuncts are milestones in their own right, together with the two shape-function limits that drive them:

lim⁡x→0+xex−1=1,lim⁡x→∞exex−1=1.\lim_{x \to 0^+} \frac{x}{e^x - 1} = 1, \qquad \lim_{x \to \infty} \frac{e^x}{e^x - 1} = 1 .x→0+lim​ex−1x​=1,x→∞lim​ex−1ex​=1.

Significance

The result itself. The two limits are the sense in which Planck's law reproduces Wien's law for short wavelengths and the empirical long-wavelength formula, which is the criterion Planck was working to when he introduced hhh; the non-integrability of BνRJB^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nuBνRJ​ is the ultraviolet catastrophe, stated exactly rather than as an asymptotic remark; and the integrability of BνB_\nuBν​ is what makes the total emitted power

  • the Stefan-Boltzmann law - a well-defined finite number in the first place. In Lean this last point is not cosmetic: the Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is defined and equal to 000, so an integral identity such as ∫0∞πBν dν=σT4\int_0^\infty \pi B_\nu \, d\nu = \sigma T^4∫0∞​πBν​dν=σT4 carries no information until integrability is known separately. This mission supplies that missing side condition for the Stefan-Boltzmann statements already on the platform (CODATA2022.blackbody_exitance_eq_stefanBoltzmann, CODATA2022.bose_einstein_integral_cube), both of which are Open.

Formalizing it. The physics has been settled for over a century; none of it is open mathematics. What is missing is machine-checked statements: the platform's existing black-body development (BlackbodyRadiation_planck, and the mission Planck's Law and Wien's Displacement Law) covers the peak of the spectrum and the exact radiation constants, but not the two classical regimes, and not integrability. The limit and integrability lemmas about xn/(ex−1)x^n/(e^x-1)xn/(ex−1) produced here are reusable for any later work on Bose-Einstein integrals, the Debye model, or the Stefan-Boltzmann constant.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for each limit is a one-line asymptotic expansion, and the obvious argument for integrability is "the integrand decays exponentially". Neither survives contact with a formal proof as stated. The ratio Bν/BνRJB_\nu/B^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nuBν​/BνRJ​ equals x/(ex−1)x/(e^x-1)x/(ex−1) only after cancelling ν2\nu^2ν2, c2c^2c2 and 222, which requires those factors to be nonzero - so the algebraic reduction is valid on a punctured neighbourhood, and must be transported to the limit through a congruence-along-a-filter step rather than by rewriting the function globally. At ν=0\nu = 0ν=0 the ratio is a 0/00/00/0 junk value, which is exactly why the limit is taken within (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).

For integrability the difficulty is at the two ends at once: near 000 the integrand is O(ν2)O(\nu^2)O(ν2) but the defining expression is a quotient whose denominator vanishes, and near ∞\infty∞ the exponential decay has to be turned into a dominating integrable function rather than a limit statement. Non-integrability of BνRJB^{\mathrm{RJ}}_\nuBνRJ​ must be derived from unboundedness of ∫0Rν2dν\int_0^R \nu^2 d\nu∫0R​ν2dν, not asserted from the divergence of the integral, since an unproved-integrability integral in Lean silently evaluates to 000.

Formalization scope

Everything is over R\mathbb{R}R with the Lebesgue (volume) measure; L1L^1L1 membership is MeasureTheory.IntegrableOn ... (Set.Ioi 0) volume, which includes measurability. One-sided limits are filters: ν→0+\nu \to 0^+ν→0+ is the neighbourhood filter of 000 restricted to (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and ν→∞\nu\to\inftyν→∞ is Filter.atTop. The three physical parameters and the temperature are explicit real arguments, each carrying its own strict positivity hypothesis; no statement is quantified over a possibly empty set of parameters, and every hypothesis h,c,kB,T>0h,c,k_B,T>0h,c,kB​,T>0 is satisfiable, so nothing here is vacuous.

The radiance functions are total: division by zero yields 000 in Lean, so Bν(0,T)=0B_\nu(0,T) = 0Bν​(0,T)=0 and the comparison ratios are 0/0=00/0 = 00/0=0 at ν=0\nu = 0ν=0. That is harmless for the limits, which are taken strictly inside (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and it is why the integrability statements are on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) rather than on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The comparisons are deliberately stated as ratios tending to 111 rather than as differences tending to 000: the latter would be a weaker claim, and near ν=0\nu=0ν=0 it would be satisfied by functions that are not asymptotically equal.

Contributions welcome beyond the milestones: the corresponding statements in the wavelength parameterization, quantitative error bounds on the two approximations, and the integrability of gng_ngn​ on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for general nnn, which would close the remaining gap in the Stefan-Boltzmann chain.

Selected references

  • Max Planck, Ueber das Gesetz der Energieverteilung im Normalspectrum, Annalen der Physik 4 (1901) 553-563. https://doi.org/10.1002/andp.19013090310
  • Planck constant, Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck_constant
  • Planck's law, Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck%27s_law
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Mathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

The Gravitational Constant: Newtonian Identities and Unit SystemsTextbook

Motivation

The gravitational constant GGG is the proportionality constant in Newton's law of universal gravitation and, through the Einstein gravitational constant κ=8πG/c4\kappa = 8\pi G/c^4κ=8πG/c4, in the Einstein field equations. It is the least precisely known of the fundamental constants: the CODATA-recommended value is G=6.674 30(15)×10−11 m3 kg−1 s−2G = 6.674\,30(15)\times 10^{-11}\ \mathrm{m^3\,kg^{-1}\,s^{-2}}G=6.67430(15)×10−11 m3kg−1s−2, a relative standard uncertainty of 2.2×10−52.2\times 10^{-5}2.2×10−5, and published high-precision measurements since the 1980s have at times been mutually exclusive. Everything that is known about GGG is known through a small number of algebraic identities that convert a measurable quantity - a surface acceleration, a mean density, an orbital period - into a value of GGG. Those identities, not the measurements, are what can be formalized, and they are what this mission collects.

The identities themselves are classical: the inverse-square law dates to Newton's Principia (1687), the notation GGG to C. V. Boys in the 1890s, and the first laboratory determination to the Cavendish experiment of 1798, which reported a mean Earth density of 5.448(33) g cm−35.448(33)\ \mathrm{g\,cm^{-3}}5.448(33) gcm−3 - equivalent to G=6.74(4)×10−11G = 6.74(4)\times 10^{-11}G=6.74(4)×10−11 in modern units, about 1%1\%1% above the modern value. The route from "mean density of the Earth" to "value of GGG" is exactly one of the identities below.

Setting

All quantities are real numbers; no dimensional type discipline is imposed, and units are handled explicitly where they matter (see Formalization scope).

For a gravitational constant GGG, point masses m1,m2m_1, m_2m1​,m2​ and a centre-to-centre distance rrr, the Newtonian force is

F(G,m1,m2,r)=G m1m2r2.F(G, m_1, m_2, r) = \frac{G\,m_1 m_2}{r^2}.F(G,m1​,m2​,r)=r2Gm1​m2​​.

For a spherically symmetric body of mass MMM and radius RRR, the surface gravity ("small ggg", as opposed to "big GGG") is

g(G,M,R)=GMR2,g(G, M, R) = \frac{G M}{R^2},g(G,M,R)=R2GM​,

the ball volume is V(r)=43πr3V(r) = \tfrac{4}{3}\pi r^3V(r)=34​πr3, and the mean density is ρ(M,R)=M/V(R)\rho(M,R) = M / V(R)ρ(M,R)=M/V(R).

A circular orbit of radius rrr and period PPP about a mass MMM is the condition that the centripetal acceleration equals the gravitational acceleration:

r>0,P>0,(2πP)2r=GMr2.r > 0,\qquad P > 0,\qquad \left(\frac{2\pi}{P}\right)^2 r = \frac{G M}{r^2}.r>0,P>0,(P2π​)2r=r2GM​.

The Einstein gravitational constant is κ(G,c)=8πG/c4\kappa(G,c) = 8\pi G/c^4κ(G,c)=8πG/c4.

Formalization targets

Goal - GGG from an orbit

For G>0G > 0G>0, M>0M > 0M>0 and a circular orbit of radius rrr and period PPP about MMM,

G  =  3π V(r)P2M,V(r)=43πr3.G \;=\; \frac{3\pi\,V(r)}{P^2 M},\qquad V(r) = \tfrac{4}{3}\pi r^3.G=P2M3πV(r)​,V(r)=34​πr3.

This is the article's statement that GGG is fixed by the period of an orbit and the volume it encloses. It is the weakest stable form of the orbital identity: no numerical value of GGG, no unit system, and no choice of body are hard-coded into it.

Supporting levels

The milestone list refines the goal into the chain the source uses: the "big GGG / small ggg" relation, its mean-density form (the Schiehallion-Cavendish route), P2=4π2r3/(GM)P^2 = 4\pi^2 r^3/(GM)P2=4π2r3/(GM), Kepler's third law for circular orbits, the grazing-satellite form P2=3π/(Gρ)P^2 = 3\pi/(G\rho)P2=3π/(Gρ), the relation to κ\kappaκ, and the SI ↔\leftrightarrow↔ cgs conversion of the recommended numerical value.

Significance

The result itself. The identities in this mission are the bridge between what an experiment measures and the number reported for GGG: the mean-density form is what turns the Schiehallion and Cavendish results into values of GGG; the orbital form is what makes the product GMGMGM (the standard gravitational parameter, known far more accurately than either factor) the quantity celestial mechanics actually uses; the κ\kappaκ relation is what carries the Newtonian constant into general relativity.

Formalizing it. No claim here is open mathematics - each target is a consequence of real-field algebra, and the mission's contribution is a single, faithful, reusable Lean vocabulary for elementary Newtonian gravitation (force, surface gravity, mean density, circular orbits) together with machine-checked statements of the identities the literature quotes informally. The mission is a formalization task, not a research task, and it is presented as such.

Difficulty

The mathematical content is elementary; the difficulty is entirely in faithfulness, and it has two specific sources.

First, division in Lean's real numbers is total: x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0. Several of these identities are therefore true but empty at degenerate arguments unless positivity hypotheses are stated, and conversely it is easy to over-hypothesize and end up proving a weaker claim than the source states. Each statement below fixes a particular choice, and that choice is the thing to audit.

Second, the SI/cgs target is a claim about units, which have no primitive representation here. It is stated in a model where each unit symbol is a real scale factor constrained by the relations between the systems; the honest reading of that target is "the two printed numerical values denote the same quantity given 1 m=100 cm1\ \mathrm{m} = 100\ \mathrm{cm}1 m=100 cm, 1 kg=1000 g1\ \mathrm{kg} = 1000\ \mathrm{g}1 kg=1000 g and 1 dyn=1 g cm s−21\ \mathrm{dyn} = 1\ \mathrm{g\,cm\,s^{-2}}1 dyn=1 gcms−2", and nothing stronger.

Formalization scope

Everything is over R\mathbb{R}R. The definition layer is a single definition item providing newtonForce, surfaceGravity, ballVolume, meanDensity, einsteinConstant, the predicate IsCircularOrbit, and the numerical constant gravitationalConstantSI =6.674 30×10−11= 6.674\,30\times 10^{-11}=6.67430×10−11; every theorem in the mission is phrased through those, so the definition layer is the part that must be audited first.

The orbit condition is stated as a predicate on (G,M,r,P)(G, M, r, P)(G,M,r,P) carrying r>0r>0r>0 and P>0P>0P>0, rather than as a derived function, so that no target is vacuous: for every G>0G>0G>0, M>0M>0M>0 and r>0r>0r>0 there is a PPP satisfying it, so the hypotheses of the orbital targets are satisfiable, and the targets are not true merely for want of instances. No target is stated as an existence claim that a witness construction could trivialize.

Units are modelled as real scale factors rather than by a dimensional type system; a solver who wants a genuinely dimension-typed treatment is welcome to contribute it as a separate development, but the target here is the scale-factor statement.

A complete development needs nothing beyond Mathlib's ordered-field and Real.pi API. The definition layer is intended to be reusable by any later mission on Newtonian gravitation, orbital mechanics, or unit conversion.

Selected references

  • Wikipedia, Gravitational constant, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravitational_constant (the mission's source text).
  • E. Tiesinga, P. J. Mohr, D. B. Newell, B. N. Taylor, CODATA recommended values of the fundamental physical constants: 2018, Rev. Mod. Phys. 93, 025010 (2021), https://doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.93.025010.
  • H. Cavendish, Experiments to determine the density of the Earth, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London 88, 469-526 (1798), https://doi.org/10.1098/rstl.1798.0022.
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AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: Lucas

Speed of Light: c as an Invariant and Unattainable LimitTextbook

Motivation

The encyclopedic account of the speed of light makes two claims that look physical but whose content is mathematical. First, invariance: "the speed of light in vacuum is the same for all observers, no matter their relative velocity", so that light travels at ccc "regardless of the motion of the source or the inertial reference frame of the observer". Second, unattainability: ccc "is the upper limit for the speed at which information, matter, or energy can travel through space", and "particles with nonzero rest mass can be accelerated to approach ccc but can never reach it". The supporting apparatus quoted in the same source is likewise mathematical: the Lorentz factor γ\gammaγ, which "diverges to infinity as vvv approaches ccc"; the Lorentz interval, in which spatial and temporal differences "are combined with a negative sign"; and the kinetic energy (γ−1)mc2(\gamma-1)mc^2(γ−1)mc2, from which the source concludes that "it would take an infinite amount of energy to accelerate an object with mass to the speed of light".

This mission isolates that mathematical core, in one spatial dimension, over the real numbers, and asks for machine-checked proofs of it. Nothing here depends on the numerical value c=299 792 458 m s−1c = 299\,792\,458\ \mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}c=299792458 ms−1: every statement is proved for an arbitrary parameter c>0c > 0c>0, which is the sense in which the source's claims are structural rather than metrological.

Setting

Fix a real constant c>0c > 0c>0, the invariant speed. Work in one spatial dimension, with a spatial coordinate x∈Rx \in \mathbb{R}x∈R and a time coordinate t∈Rt \in \mathbb{R}t∈R; speeds are real numbers, and a speed vvv is called subluminal when ∣v∣<c|v| < c∣v∣<c.

Four objects are used throughout, written in the prose exactly as in the mission's Lean development.

Relativistic velocity addition. For speeds u,vu, vu,v,

u⊕cv  =  u+v1+uvc2.u \oplus_c v \;=\; \frac{u+v}{1 + \dfrac{uv}{c^{2}}}.u⊕c​v=1+c2uv​u+v​.

Lorentz factor. For a speed vvv,

γc(v)  =  11−v2c2.\gamma_c(v) \;=\; \frac{1}{\sqrt{1 - \dfrac{v^{2}}{c^{2}}}}.γc​(v)=1−c2v2​​1​.

Lorentz interval and Lorentz boost. The interval of an event (x,t)(x,t)(x,t) is

Ic(x,t)  =  c2t2−x2,I_c(x,t) \;=\; c^{2}t^{2} - x^{2},Ic​(x,t)=c2t2−x2,

and the boost of velocity vvv sends the event (x,t)(x,t)(x,t) to

Bc v(x,t)  =  (γc(v) (x−vt), γc(v) (t−vxc2)).B_c^{\,v}(x,t) \;=\; \Bigl(\gamma_c(v)\,(x - vt),\ \gamma_c(v)\,\bigl(t - \tfrac{vx}{c^{2}}\bigr)\Bigr).Bcv​(x,t)=(γc​(v)(x−vt), γc​(v)(t−c2vx​)).

Relativistic kinetic energy. For rest mass mmm and speed vvv,

Kc(m,v)  =  (γc(v)−1) m c2.K_c(m,v) \;=\; \bigl(\gamma_c(v) - 1\bigr)\,m\,c^{2}.Kc​(m,v)=(γc​(v)−1)mc2.

Formalization targets

Goal

For every c>0c > 0c>0 and every rest mass m>0m > 0m>0, all three of the following hold:

∀v, ∣v∣<c ⟹ c⊕cv=c;\forall v,\ |v| < c \ \Longrightarrow\ c \oplus_c v = c;∀v, ∣v∣<c ⟹ c⊕c​v=c; ∀u,v, ∣u∣<c and ∣v∣<c ⟹ ∣u⊕cv∣<c;\forall u, v,\ |u| < c \ \text{and}\ |v| < c \ \Longrightarrow\ |u \oplus_c v| < c;∀u,v, ∣u∣<c and ∣v∣<c ⟹ ∣u⊕c​v∣<c; ∀E∈R, ∃v, 0<v<c and E<Kc(m,v).\forall E \in \mathbb{R},\ \exists v,\ 0 < v < c \ \text{and}\ E < K_c(m,v).∀E∈R, ∃v, 0<v<c and E<Kc​(m,v).

The three conjuncts are, in order, the invariance of light speed under a change of inertial frame, the fact that composing subluminal speeds never reaches ccc, and the unboundedness of the energy required to approach ccc. The goal deliberately asserts only the shape of the claims — no rate of divergence, no numerical constant — so it is not invalidated by any sharper quantitative statement a solver may prove separately.

Milestones

The milestone list decomposes the goal along the four notions above: interval preservation under a boost, invariance of ccc under composition, closure of the subluminal range under composition, divergence of γc\gamma_cγc​ at ccc, and unboundedness of kinetic energy below ccc.

Significance

The three conjuncts of the goal are what make ccc a limit rather than merely a large speed. Closure of {∣v∣<c}\{|v| < c\}{∣v∣<c} under ⊕c\oplus_c⊕c​ says that no finite chain of subluminal boosts produces a luminal speed; invariance says that the boundary of that range is fixed by every boost; the energy statement says that the boundary is not approached at finite cost. Interval preservation is the geometric statement behind them: a boost is an isometry of the quadratic form c2t2−x2c^2t^2 - x^2c2t2−x2, so the light cone c2t2=x2c^2t^2 = x^2c2t2=x2 is frame-independent.

These results are classical and have been standard since the 1905 formulation of special relativity; nothing in this mission is mathematically open. What the mission produces is the machine-checked version and a small reusable layer of one-dimensional relativistic kinematics: a search for declarations mentioning "Lorentz" in the Mathlib revision used for the drafting check returned none, so the definitions here are contributed rather than reused. The statements are stated for an arbitrary c>0c > 0c>0, so they can be reused at c=1c = 1c=1 (natural units) without restatement.

Difficulty

The algebraic milestones are short once the right nonvanishing facts are in hand, and the obvious first attempt — clear denominators and call a ring normalizer — fails on all of them for the same reason: the denominators 1+uv/c21 + uv/c^21+uv/c2, ccc, and 1−v2/c21 - v^2/c^21−v2/c2 must first be shown nonzero, and each of those facts needs the hypothesis ∣v∣<c|v| < c∣v∣<c, not merely c≠0c \neq 0c=0. For velocity addition the usable identities are

c(1+uvc2)±(u+v)=(c±u)(c±v)c,c\Bigl(1 + \tfrac{uv}{c^{2}}\Bigr) \pm (u+v) = \frac{(c \pm u)(c \pm v)}{c},c(1+c2uv​)±(u+v)=c(c±u)(c±v)​,

whose positivity is where the strict inequality comes from.

The analytic milestone is the one that is not formal manipulation: γc\gamma_cγc​ must be shown to tend to +∞+\infty+∞ along the punctured left neighbourhood of ccc, which requires the inner expression to be shown positive, not merely convergent to 000, on a neighbourhood — the one-sided filter is essential, since γc\gamma_cγc​ takes a junk value beyond ccc (see below).

Formalization scope

All quantities are real; there is no vector or manifold structure, and spacetime is R2\mathbb{R}^2R2 presented as a pair of coordinates (x,t)(x,t)(x,t). The invariant speed ccc is a parameter with hypothesis c>0c > 0c>0; the numerical SI value is never used. The definitions are total functions, so two junk-value conventions are fixed and must be respected when reading the statements:

  • γc(v)\gamma_c(v)γc​(v) uses the real square root, which is 000 on negative arguments; hence γc(v)=0\gamma_c(v) = 0γc​(v)=0 whenever ∣v∣≥c|v| \ge c∣v∣≥c, rather than being undefined or infinite. Every statement about γc\gamma_cγc​ therefore carries an explicit subluminality or one-sided-limit hypothesis.
  • u⊕cvu \oplus_c vu⊕c​v is a quotient, and division by zero yields 000; the hypotheses ∣u∣<c|u| < c∣u∣<c, ∣v∣<c|v| < c∣v∣<c are what exclude the vanishing denominator.

No statement in the mission is vacuous: each hypothesis set is satisfiable, e.g. by c=1c = 1c=1, u=v=1/2u = v = 1/2u=v=1/2, m=1m = 1m=1, and the goal quantifies over all c>0c > 0c>0 and all m>0m > 0m>0.

A complete development needs only Mathlib's real analysis: Real.sqrt, field-simplification and positivity reasoning, and one-sided neighbourhood filters for the divergence milestone. The definition layer (velocity addition, Lorentz factor, interval, boost, kinetic energy) is reusable beyond this mission — natural follow-ups, welcome as contributions, are the associativity and group structure of ⊕c\oplus_c⊕c​, the rapidity parametrization v=ctanh⁡θv = c\tanh\thetav=ctanhθ, time dilation and length contraction, and the composition law for boosts.

Note on the read-backs attached to this proposal

The read-backs attached to the draft items of this proposal are not blind and not independent: they were written by the same agent that drafted the Lean statements, at the explicit instruction of the proposal owner, with full sight of the source material and of the intended meaning. They should be read as an author's restatement, not as independent testimony, and they do not provide the error-catching value of an independent audit.

Selected references

  • Speed of light, Wikipedia (source material supplied for this mission), sections "Invariance of ccc and the Lorentz factor", "Synthesis of space and time", and "Mass and massless particles". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_of_light
  • A. Einstein, Zur Elektrodynamik bewegter Körper, Annalen der Physik 17 (1905), 891–921. https://doi.org/10.1002/andp.19053221004
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Machine LearningProbabilityStatistics·Captain: naimengye

Understanding Machine Learning III: The No-Free-Lunch TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Missions I and II of this series showed that finite hypothesis classes are learnable, with and without the realizability assumption, by empirical risk minimization. Chapter 5 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019) asks the converse question: is prior knowledge, in the form of a restricted hypothesis class, really necessary? Could there be a universal learner, an algorithm that, given enough examples from any distribution, outputs a predictor of low risk? The No-Free-Lunch theorem (Theorem 5.1) answers no: for binary classification with the 0–1 loss over a domain XXX, for every learning algorithm and every training-set size mmm smaller than ∣X∣/2|X|/2∣X∣/2 there is a distribution on which the learner fails with probability at least 1/71/71/7, even though that distribution is perfectly predictable by some function fff, so that another learner (ERM over {f}\{f\}{f}) succeeds. The consequence for the framework is Corollary 5.2: over an infinite domain, the class of all functions is not PAC learnable. This is the first lower bound of the book and the reason the rest of it is about the complexity of hypothesis classes rather than about universal algorithms.

Setting

The framework is the UnderstandingML_Framework module of Mission I, cited as a reference. Binary classification over a domain XXX uses examples in X×{0,1}X \times \{0,1\}X×{0,1}, hypotheses h:X→{0,1}h : X \to \{0,1\}h:X→{0,1} and the 0–1 loss, so the risk of hhh under a distribution DDD over X×{0,1}X \times \{0,1\}X×{0,1} is LD(h)=D({(x,y):h(x)≠y})L_D(h) = D(\{(x,y) : h(x) \ne y\})LD​(h)=D({(x,y):h(x)=y}), computed as the integral of the 0–1 loss. A learner is a function from samples of each size to hypotheses, and a sample of size mmm has the law DmD^mDm. PAC learnability of a class HHH (Definition 3.1) requires a sample-complexity function mHm_HmH​ and a learner AAA such that for every ϵ,δ∈(0,1)\epsilon, \delta \in (0,1)ϵ,δ∈(0,1), every distribution DDD over XXX and every measurable labeling function fff realizable by HHH, samples of size m≥mH(ϵ,δ)m \ge m_H(\epsilon,\delta)m≥mH​(ϵ,δ) yield L(D,f)(A(S))≤ϵL_{(D,f)}(A(S)) \le \epsilonL(D,f)​(A(S))≤ϵ with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ.

Two conventions specific to this mission. The domain XXX is assumed to have measurable singletons (the book's Remark 3.1 assumes away measurability issues); this makes the finitely supported distributions of the proof honest probability measures and makes every LD(h)L_D(h)LD​(h) under them a genuine integral. And "mmm smaller than ∣X∣/2|X|/2∣X∣/2" is written 2m<∣X∣2m < |X|2m<∣X∣ in the extended natural numbers, so that an infinite domain satisfies it for every mmm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1 (No-Free-Lunch)

Let AAA be any learning algorithm for binary classification with respect to the 0–1 loss over a domain XXX with measurable singletons, and let mmm be a training-set size with 2m<∣X∣2m < |X|2m<∣X∣. Then there exists a probability distribution DDD over X×{0,1}X \times \{0,1\}X×{0,1} such that

  1. there is a measurable f:X→{0,1}f : X \to \{0,1\}f:X→{0,1} with LD(f)=0L_D(f) = 0LD​(f)=0;
  2. there is a measurable set EEE of samples of size mmm with Dm(E)≥1/7D^m(E) \ge 1/7Dm(E)≥1/7 on which LD(A(S))≥1/8L_D(A(S)) \ge 1/8LD​(A(S))≥1/8.

Milestones

Lemma B.1 (Appendix B). If ZZZ takes values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and E[Z]=μE[Z] = \muE[Z]=μ, then for every a∈(0,1)a \in (0,1)a∈(0,1), P[Z>1−a]≥(μ−(1−a))/aP[Z > 1-a] \ge (\mu - (1-a))/aP[Z>1−a]≥(μ−(1−a))/a, and consequently P[Z>a]≥(μ−a)/(1−a)≥μ−aP[Z > a] \ge (\mu - a)/(1-a) \ge \mu - aP[Z>a]≥(μ−a)/(1−a)≥μ−a.

Equation (5.2). Under the hypotheses of Theorem 5.1 there are DDD and a measurable fff with LD(f)=0L_D(f) = 0LD​(f)=0 and ES∼Dm[LD(A(S))]≥1/4\mathbb{E}_{S \sim D^m}[L_D(A(S))] \ge 1/4ES∼Dm​[LD​(A(S))]≥1/4.

Corollary 5.2. For an infinite domain XXX with measurable singletons, the class of all functions X→{0,1}X \to \{0,1\}X→{0,1} is not PAC learnable.

Two further items: Exercise 5.1, the passage from an expectation of at least 1/41/41/4 to a probability of at least 1/71/71/7 of exceeding 1/81/81/8 for a [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued variable; and Exercise 5.3, the kkk-fold version of Equation (5.2), with bound 1/2−1/(2k)1/2 - 1/(2k)1/2−1/(2k) when km≤∣X∣km \le |X|km≤∣X∣, k≥2k \ge 2k≥2 and XXX is nonempty.

Significance

The No-Free-Lunch theorem is the book's first impossibility result and the conceptual pivot of Part I: it shows that learnability is a property of the pair (hypothesis class, learner) and not of the learner alone, and it motivates the bias–complexity tradeoff of §5.2 and the VC-dimension of Chapter 6, whose lower bound (Theorem 6.7, the "only if" direction of the fundamental theorem) is proved by the same symmetrization argument. Corollary 5.2 is the statement that the class of all functions has infinite sample complexity, the negative half of the characterization of learnable classes.

Nothing here is machine-checked. The proof is combinatorial and elementary but has real content for a formalization: a finite subset CCC of the domain, the 22m2^{2m}22m labelings of CCC, the uniform distribution on CCC labeled by each of them, an exchange of a maximum, an average and a minimum over labelings and sample sequences, and a pairing argument on labelings that differ at exactly one unseen point. Lemma B.1 is a reverse Markov inequality for bounded variables that later chapters also use.

Difficulty

Lemma B.1 is Markov's inequality applied to 1−Z1 - Z1−Z and is the entry point; Exercise 5.1 is its instance with a=1/8a = 1/8a=1/8 and μ≥1/4\mu \ge 1/4μ≥1/4, giving (1/4−1/8)/(7/8)=1/7(1/4 - 1/8)/(7/8) = 1/7(1/4−1/8)/(7/8)=1/7, together with the inclusion of {θ>1/8}\{\theta > 1/8\}{θ>1/8} in {θ≥1/8}\{\theta \ge 1/8\}{θ≥1/8}. Theorem 5.1 follows from Equation (5.2) and Exercise 5.1 once one knows that S↦LD(A(S))S \mapsto L_D(A(S))S↦LD​(A(S)) is, under the finitely supported DmD^mDm, almost everywhere equal to a measurable function with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]; the set EEE is the intersection of the event with the finite support of DmD^mDm, which is measurable because singletons are. Equation (5.2) is the heart of the mission. One picks C⊆XC \subseteq XC⊆X of size 2m2m2m (available because 2m<∣X∣2m < |X|2m<∣X∣), lets DiD_iDi​ be uniform on CCC labeled by the iii-th function fi:C→{0,1}f_i : C \to \{0,1\}fi​:C→{0,1} extended by 000 off CCC, and computes ES∼Dim[LDi(A(S))]\mathbb{E}_{S \sim D_i^m}[L_{D_i}(A(S))]ES∼Dim​​[LDi​​(A(S))] as an average over the (2m)m(2m)^m(2m)m sequences of instances, which requires identifying DimD_i^mDim​ as a finitely supported measure on sequences, that is, the product of finitely supported measures. The inequalities (5.4)–(5.6) exchange max, average and min and restrict to the unseen points, and the pairing argument shows that for each unseen point the average over iii of the indicator that AAA errs on it is exactly 1/21/21/2. Exercise 5.3 is the same argument with ∣C∣=km|C| = km∣C∣=km, where at least (k−1)m(k-1)m(k−1)m points are unseen. Corollary 5.2 takes ϵ<1/8\epsilon < 1/8ϵ<1/8, δ<1/7\delta < 1/7δ<1/7, m=mH(ϵ,δ)m = m_H(\epsilon,\delta)m=mH​(ϵ,δ) and a set CCC of size 2m2m2m in the infinite domain, and derives the contradiction from Theorem 5.1 via the identification of LDL_DLD​ for DDD uniform on CCC labeled by fff with the true error L(DX,f)L_{(D_X, f)}L(DX​,f)​ of Definition 3.1, where DXD_XDX​ is uniform on CCC; the case m=0m = 0m=0 is handled separately with a single point.

Formalization scope

The items are stated in the joint-distribution form of the book's Chapter 5, with DDD over X×{0,1}X \times \{0,1\}X×{0,1} and LDL_DLD​ the risk under the 0–1 loss, rather than in the (D,f)(D, f)(D,f) form of Definition 3.1; Corollary 5.2 is the bridge and is stated with the framework's PACLearnable. Witness labeling functions are required to be measurable, because a non-measurable fff would make LD(f)=0L_D(f) = 0LD​(f)=0 true by Lean's convention for non-integrable functions rather than by content. Clause (2) of Theorem 5.1 is stated in the inner form (a measurable set of probability at least 1/71/71/7 inside the event) rather than as a lower bound on the outer measure of the event, which for a non-measurable event would be the weaker statement. The size condition uses ENat.card, so infinite domains satisfy it. Learners are deterministic functions of the sample; the book's argument goes through for randomized learners by averaging, but the framework does not model them.

Trivializing readings are excluded: the distribution must be a probability measure, the failing set must be measurable with an honest lower bound, and the witness fff must be measurable. Welcome contributions: the finitely supported product law on sequences, the averaging identity (5.3), and the pairing argument on labelings of CCC.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 5 and Appendix B. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • D. H. Wolpert, W. G. Macready, No free lunch theorems for optimization, IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 1(1), 1997. doi:10.1109/4235.585893
  • A. Ehrenfeucht, D. Haussler, M. Kearns, L. Valiant, A general lower bound on the number of examples needed for learning, Information and Computation 82(3), 1989. doi:10.1016/0890-5401(89)90002-3
  • V. N. Vapnik, Statistical Learning Theory, Wiley, 1998.
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Understanding Machine Learning II: Learning via Uniform ConvergenceTextbook

Motivation

Mission I of this series set up the statistical learning framework of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019) and proved, in the book's Chapters 2 and 3, that finite classes are PAC learnable under the realizability assumption. Chapter 4 removes that assumption. Its idea is the one that organizes the rest of the theory: if the empirical risks LS(h)L_S(h)LS​(h) of all hypotheses in HHH are simultaneously close to their true risks LD(h)L_D(h)LD​(h), then minimizing LSL_SLS​ over HHH is nearly as good as minimizing LDL_DLD​ over HHH, whatever the distribution DDD is. A sample with that property is called ϵ\epsilonϵ-representative (Definition 4.1), and a class for which representative samples are guaranteed at some sample size is said to have the uniform convergence property (Definition 4.3). Lemma 4.2 turns representativeness into a guarantee for ERM, Corollary 4.4 turns uniform convergence into agnostic PAC learnability, Hoeffding's inequality (Lemma 4.5) gives uniform convergence for a single hypothesis, and a union bound gives it for a finite class: Corollary 4.6, the capstone, says every finite class with a loss in [0,1][0,1][0,1] is agnostic PAC learnable by ERM with sample complexity ⌈2log⁡(2∣H∣/δ)/ϵ2⌉\lceil 2\log(2|H|/\delta)/\epsilon^2 \rceil⌈2log(2∣H∣/δ)/ϵ2⌉.

Setting

The framework is the UnderstandingML_Framework module of Mission I, cited here as a reference. A domain ZZZ is a measurable space, hypotheses form a type with a class HHH, and a loss ℓ:H×Z→R\ell : H \times Z \to \mathbb{R}ℓ:H×Z→R is given. The risk is LD(h)=Ez∼D ℓ(h,z)L_D(h) = \mathbb{E}_{z \sim D}\,\ell(h,z)LD​(h)=Ez∼D​ℓ(h,z), the empirical risk on S=(z1,…,zm)S = (z_1,\dots,z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​) is LS(h)=1m∑iℓ(h,zi)L_S(h) = \frac1m \sum_i \ell(h, z_i)LS​(h)=m1​∑i​ℓ(h,zi​), and a sample of size mmm has the product law DmD^mDm. A hypothesis is an ERM hypothesis for SSS if it lies in HHH and minimizes LSL_SLS​ over HHH; a learner is a function from samples of each size to hypotheses, and an ERM learner returns an ERM hypothesis on every sample.

SSS is ϵ\epsilonϵ-representative with respect to HHH, ℓ\ellℓ and DDD if ∣LS(h)−LD(h)∣≤ϵ|L_S(h) - L_D(h)| \le \epsilon∣LS​(h)−LD​(h)∣≤ϵ for every h∈Hh \in Hh∈H. HHH has the uniform convergence property with the function mHUCm^{UC}_HmHUC​ if for every ϵ,δ∈(0,1)\epsilon, \delta \in (0,1)ϵ,δ∈(0,1) and every distribution DDD over ZZZ, a sample of m≥mHUC(ϵ,δ)m \ge m^{UC}_H(\epsilon, \delta)m≥mHUC​(ϵ,δ) i.i.d. examples is ϵ\epsilonϵ-representative with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ. HHH is agnostic PAC learnable with the function mHm_HmH​ and the learner AAA if AAA returns hypotheses in HHH and, for every ϵ,δ∈(0,1)\epsilon, \delta \in (0,1)ϵ,δ∈(0,1), every DDD and every m≥mH(ϵ,δ)m \ge m_H(\epsilon,\delta)m≥mH​(ϵ,δ), LD(A(S))≤min⁡h′∈HLD(h′)+ϵL_D(A(S)) \le \min_{h' \in H} L_D(h') + \epsilonLD​(A(S))≤minh′∈H​LD​(h′)+ϵ with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm. As in Mission I, "with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" is an upper bound δ\deltaδ on the outer measure of the failure event, "min⁡h′∈HLD(h′)+ϵ<LD(h)\min_{h' \in H} L_D(h') + \epsilon < L_D(h)minh′∈H​LD​(h′)+ϵ<LD​(h)" is written as "∃h′∈H\exists h' \in H∃h′∈H, LD(h′)+ϵ<LD(h)L_D(h') + \epsilon < L_D(h)LD​(h′)+ϵ<LD​(h)", and sample-complexity functions are carried explicitly rather than as minimal functions.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 4.6

Let HHH be a finite hypothesis class, ZZZ a domain and ℓ:H×Z→[0,1]\ell : H \times Z \to [0,1]ℓ:H×Z→[0,1] a loss function whose sections ℓ(h,⋅)\ell(h,\cdot)ℓ(h,⋅) are measurable. Then

  1. HHH has the uniform convergence property with the function mHUC(ϵ,δ)=⌈log⁡(2∣H∣/δ)/(2ϵ2)⌉m^{UC}_H(\epsilon,\delta) = \lceil \log(2|H|/\delta)/(2\epsilon^2) \rceilmHUC​(ϵ,δ)=⌈log(2∣H∣/δ)/(2ϵ2)⌉;
  2. every ERM learner for HHH is an agnostic PAC learner with the function mH(ϵ,δ)=⌈2log⁡(2∣H∣/δ)/ϵ2⌉m_H(\epsilon,\delta) = \lceil 2\log(2|H|/\delta)/\epsilon^2 \rceilmH​(ϵ,δ)=⌈2log(2∣H∣/δ)/ϵ2⌉, which is mHUC(ϵ/2,δ)m^{UC}_H(\epsilon/2,\delta)mHUC​(ϵ/2,δ);
  3. if HHH is nonempty, HHH is agnostic PAC learnable.

Milestones

Lemma 4.2. If SSS is ϵ/2\epsilon/2ϵ/2-representative and hSh_ShS​ is an ERM hypothesis for SSS, then LD(hS)≤LD(h)+ϵL_D(h_S) \le L_D(h) + \epsilonLD​(hS​)≤LD​(h)+ϵ for every h∈Hh \in Hh∈H.

Corollary 4.4. If HHH has the uniform convergence property with mHUCm^{UC}_HmHUC​, then every ERM learner for HHH is an agnostic PAC learner with the function (ϵ,δ)↦mHUC(ϵ/2,δ)(\epsilon,\delta) \mapsto m^{UC}_H(\epsilon/2, \delta)(ϵ,δ)↦mHUC​(ϵ/2,δ), and HHH is agnostic PAC learnable as soon as an ERM learner exists.

Lemma 4.5 (Hoeffding's inequality). For a probability measure DDD, a measurable θ\thetaθ with a≤θ≤ba \le \theta \le ba≤θ≤b almost surely and mean μ=∫θ dD\mu = \int \theta\,dDμ=∫θdD, and ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0,

Dm[∣1m∑i=1mθ(ωi)−μ∣>ϵ]≤2exp⁡ ⁣(−2mϵ2/(b−a)2).D^m\Big[\Big|\tfrac1m \textstyle\sum_{i=1}^m \theta(\omega_i) - \mu\Big| > \epsilon\Big] \le 2\exp\!\big(-2m\epsilon^2/(b-a)^2\big).Dm[​m1​∑i=1m​θ(ωi​)−μ​>ϵ]≤2exp(−2mϵ2/(b−a)2).

Significance

Chapter 4 is where the book's account of learnability becomes distribution-free in the agnostic sense: nothing is assumed about DDD beyond being a probability distribution, and the guarantee is relative to the best hypothesis in the class. Lemma 4.2 and Corollary 4.4 are the reduction that every later generalization bound in the book (VC dimension, Rademacher complexity, covering numbers, compression) plugs into: prove uniform convergence, get ERM learnability. Corollary 4.6 is the first instance, and its log⁡∣H∣/ϵ2\log|H|/\epsilon^2log∣H∣/ϵ2 dependence, against the log⁡∣H∣/ϵ\log|H|/\epsilonlog∣H∣/ϵ of the realizable case, is the standard illustration of the price of agnosticism. Hoeffding's inequality is stated in the form the book uses everywhere afterward, for the product law of one distribution, with an almost-sure range bound and the mean written as an integral.

Nothing here is machine-checked. Mathlib has no Hoeffding inequality for sums of i.i.d. bounded variables on a product measure in this form, so Lemma 4.5 is a genuine contribution; its proof in the book's Appendix B goes through Hoeffding's lemma on the moment generating function of a bounded centered variable and the Chernoff bounding method, both of which will be needed by the concentration results of later missions.

Difficulty

Lemma 4.2 is three inequalities on real numbers and is the intended entry point. Corollary 4.4 is Lemma 4.2 applied on the complement of the failure event of uniform convergence at ϵ/2\epsilon/2ϵ/2: the failure set of the learner is contained in the failure set of representativeness, and outer measure is monotone. Hoeffding's inequality is the substantial item: one needs the moment generating function bound E eλ(θ−μ)≤eλ2(b−a)2/8\mathbb{E}\,e^{\lambda(\theta-\mu)} \le e^{\lambda^2(b-a)^2/8}Eeλ(θ−μ)≤eλ2(b−a)2/8 (Lemma B.7 of the book, by convexity of the exponential on [a,b][a,b][a,b]), independence of the coordinates under Measure.pi to factor the expectation of the product, Markov's inequality, and the optimization over λ\lambdaλ; the two tails are treated separately and added. The degenerate cases are genuine: for m=0m = 0m=0 the bound is 222 and the claim holds trivially, and for a=ba = ba=b Lean's convention x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0 makes the bound 222 again. Corollary 4.6 combines Hoeffding for each h∈Hh \in Hh∈H with a union bound over the finite class and an arithmetic step showing that m≥log⁡(2∣H∣/δ)/(2ϵ2)m \ge \log(2|H|/\delta)/(2\epsilon^2)m≥log(2∣H∣/δ)/(2ϵ2) gives 2∣H∣e−2mϵ2≤δ2|H|e^{-2m\epsilon^2} \le \delta2∣H∣e−2mϵ2≤δ; the empty class makes the uniform convergence clause vacuous. The second and third clauses of the goal then follow from Corollary 4.4, the third by exhibiting an ERM learner, which exists for a nonempty finite class by choosing a minimizer of LSL_SLS​.

Formalization scope

The four items live in the general loss framework, not the binary-classification special case, because the chapter is stated for an arbitrary loss; Mission I's IsRepresentative and HasUniformConvergenceWith already carry the chapter's definitions, so no new definition module is introduced. Losses in Corollary 4.6 are real-valued with the range condition ℓ(h,z)∈[0,1]\ell(h,z) \in [0,1]ℓ(h,z)∈[0,1] for every zzz and measurability of ℓ(h,⋅)\ell(h,\cdot)ℓ(h,⋅) for h∈Hh \in Hh∈H, which is what the book's "ℓ:H×Z→[0,1]\ell : H \times Z \to [0,1]ℓ:H×Z→[0,1]" and Remark 3.1 give. The book's "mH(ϵ,δ)≤⋯m_H(\epsilon,\delta) \le \cdotsmH​(ϵ,δ)≤⋯" is stated as "the guarantee holds with the function ⌈⋯ ⌉\lceil \cdots \rceil⌈⋯⌉", the same convention as Mission I. In Corollary 4.4 the ERM clause is universal over ERM learners, matching "the ERM paradigm is a successful agnostic PAC learner" for every choice of minimizer; the existence of an ERM learner is a separate hypothesis for the learnability clause because a class with no minimizers on some sample has no ERM rule. Hoeffding's inequality is on i.i.d. coordinates of Measure.pi; the book's "E[θi]=μE[\theta_i] = \muE[θi​]=μ" is the definition of μ\muμ rather than an assumption.

Trivializing readings are excluded: the failure events are bounded in outer measure, so measurability of the events is not a loophole; representativeness is required for every h∈Hh \in Hh∈H; the sample-complexity functions are the book's, with ceilings. Welcome contributions: Hoeffding's lemma on bounded centered variables, the factorization of the moment generating function under Measure.pi, and a reusable union bound over a finite class.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 4 and Appendix B. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58(301), 1963. doi:10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
  • V. N. Vapnik, A. Ya. Chervonenkis, On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities, Theory of Probability and its Applications 16(2), 1971. doi:10.1137/1116025
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013, Chapter 2. doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
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Understanding Machine Learning I: The Statistical Learning Framework, ERM and Finite ClassesTextbook

Motivation

Chapters 2 and 3 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (Cambridge University Press, 2014, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019), set up the framework in which the whole book asks what learning is. A learner sees a sample drawn independently from an unknown distribution over examples, chooses a hypothesis from a class fixed in advance, and is judged by its risk, the expected loss on a fresh example. The natural rule is Empirical Risk Minimization: pick a hypothesis that does best on the sample. Chapter 2 shows that ERM over an unrestricted class overfits, that restricting the class is what makes learning possible, and that a finite class never overfits once the sample is larger than log⁡(∣H∣/δ)/ϵ\log(|H|/\delta)/\epsilonlog(∣H∣/δ)/ϵ (Corollary 2.3). Chapter 3 turns this into a definition, Probably Approximately Correct learnability with its sample-complexity function mH(ϵ,δ)m_H(\epsilon, \delta)mH​(ϵ,δ), restates the finite-class result as Corollary 3.2, and then generalizes in two directions that the rest of the book lives in: the agnostic model, in which no hypothesis need be perfect and the learner competes with the best hypothesis in the class, and general loss functions, which cover regression, multiclass prediction and unsupervised tasks. Chapter 4 adds the notion of an ε-representative sample and of uniform convergence, the tool by which the finite-class result extends to the agnostic case; its definitions are included here since they complete the framework.

Setting

A domain ZZZ of examples, a class HHH of hypotheses and a loss ℓ:H×Z→R\ell : H \times Z \to \mathbb{R}ℓ:H×Z→R. The risk of hhh under a distribution DDD is LD(h)=Ez∼D ℓ(h,z)L_D(h) = \mathbb{E}_{z \sim D}\,\ell(h, z)LD​(h)=Ez∼D​ℓ(h,z) and its empirical risk on S=(z1,…,zm)S = (z_1, \dots, z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​) is LS(h)=1m∑iℓ(h,zi)L_S(h) = \frac1m\sum_i \ell(h, z_i)LS​(h)=m1​∑i​ℓ(h,zi​); a sample is drawn i.i.d., S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm; an ERM hypothesis minimizes LSL_SLS​ over HHH; a learning algorithm maps samples of each size to hypotheses. In binary classification the examples are (x,f(x))(x, f(x))(x,f(x)) with x∼Dx \sim Dx∼D over XXX and fff a labeling function, and the true error is L(D,f)(h)=D({x:h(x)≠f(x)})L_{(D,f)}(h) = D(\{x : h(x) \ne f(x)\})L(D,f)​(h)=D({x:h(x)=f(x)}); the realizability assumption says some h⋆∈Hh^\star \in Hh⋆∈H has L(D,f)(h⋆)=0L_{(D,f)}(h^\star) = 0L(D,f)​(h⋆)=0. HHH is PAC learnable if some sample-complexity function mHm_HmH​ and algorithm guarantee, for all ϵ,δ∈(0,1)\epsilon, \delta \in (0,1)ϵ,δ∈(0,1), all DDD and all realizable fff, true error at most ϵ\epsilonϵ with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ from m≥mH(ϵ,δ)m \ge m_H(\epsilon, \delta)m≥mH​(ϵ,δ) examples; agnostic PAC learnability with respect to a loss asks instead for LD(h)≤min⁡h′∈HLD(h′)+ϵL_D(h) \le \min_{h' \in H} L_D(h') + \epsilonLD​(h)≤minh′∈H​LD​(h′)+ϵ for every distribution over ZZZ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 3.2

Every finite hypothesis class is PAC learnable with sample complexity

mH(ϵ,δ)≤⌈log⁡(∣H∣/δ)ϵ⌉,m_H(\epsilon, \delta) \le \Big\lceil \frac{\log(|H|/\delta)}{\epsilon} \Big\rceil,mH​(ϵ,δ)≤⌈ϵlog(∣H∣/δ)​⌉,

by the ERM rule: for a nonempty finite class of measurable hypotheses there is an ERM learner satisfying the PAC guarantee with that sample-complexity function.

Milestone

Corollary 2.3: under realizability, with m≥log⁡(∣H∣/δ)/ϵm \ge \log(|H|/\delta)/\epsilonm≥log(∣H∣/δ)/ϵ examples, every ERM hypothesis has true error at most ϵ\epsilonϵ with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ.

Significance

Corollaries 2.3 and 3.2 are the first learning theorem of the book and the template for all later sample-complexity bounds: a bad hypothesis is consistent with an i.i.d. sample with probability at most (1−ϵ)m≤e−ϵm(1 - \epsilon)^m \le e^{-\epsilon m}(1−ϵ)m≤e−ϵm, and a union bound over the class turns this into a guarantee that holds uniformly over all distributions and all realizable labelings. Everything that follows, uniform convergence for finite classes, the fundamental theorem for classes of finite VC dimension, structural risk minimization, replaces the count ∣H∣|H|∣H∣ by a finer measure of the class's complexity but keeps the argument. None of this is machine-checked. The mission fixes on the platform the objects that the rest of the series uses without change: risks, empirical risks, the product law of a sample, the ERM relation, and the four learnability notions of Definitions 3.1, 3.4, 4.1 and 4.3.

Difficulty

The milestone needs that, for a fixed measurable hypothesis whose true error exceeds ϵ\epsilonϵ, the product law gives the event "zero empirical risk" probability at most (1−ϵ)m(1-\epsilon)^m(1−ϵ)m; this is the product structure of Measure.pi on the event that each labeled example lies in the measurable set where the hypothesis agrees with fff, followed by 1−ϵ≤e−ϵ1 - \epsilon \le e^{-\epsilon}1−ϵ≤e−ϵ, the union bound over the finite class and the observation that under realizability every ERM hypothesis has zero empirical risk, so a bad ERM hypothesis is a consistent bad hypothesis. The goal packages this as a learner: existence of an ERM hypothesis for every sample (a finite nonempty class has a minimizer), and the arithmetic of the ceiling.

Formalization scope

The framework is the book's, with the risk as a Bochner integral, the sample law as a product measure, ERM as a relation and learners as deterministic functions of the sample; failure probabilities are stated as upper bounds on the outer measure of the failure set, the strong form of "with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ"; the comparison with min⁡h′∈HLD(h′)\min_{h' \in H} L_D(h')minh′∈H​LD​(h′) is written without an infimum. Sample-complexity functions are carried explicitly: the book's mHm_HmH​ as the minimal such function is not defined, and "mH≤fm_H \le fmH​≤f" is stated as "the learner satisfies the guarantee with the function fff". Hypotheses and labeling functions are assumed measurable (Remark 3.1). The union bound (Lemma 2.2) is Mathlib's measure_union_le and is not an item. Hypotheses: ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0, δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1), HHH finite (and nonempty for the learner to exist).

Trivializing readings are excluded: the milestone's failure event ranges over every ERM hypothesis, and the goal quantifies over all distributions, all realizable labelings and all ϵ,δ\epsilon, \deltaϵ,δ. Welcome contributions: the product-law bound for a fixed hypothesis and the union bound over a finset, which every later mission of the series reuses.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapters 2–4. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • L. G. Valiant, A theory of the learnable, Communications of the ACM 27(11), 1984. doi:10.1145/1968.1972
  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, Springer, 1995. doi:10.1007/978-1-4757-2440-0
  • D. Haussler, Decision theoretic generalizations of the PAC model for neural net and other learning applications, Information and Computation 100(1), 1992. doi:10.1016/0890-5401(92)90010-D
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An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory II: Occam's Razor, Set Cover and Decision ListsTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 2 of Kearns and Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory (MIT Press, 1994, doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001), gives a formal justification of Occam's Razor inside the PAC model. An Occam algorithm is judged not by the predictive power of its hypothesis but by how succinctly the hypothesis explains the sample before it: it must be consistent with the data and short, in the sense that its representation has fewer bits than the data it reproduces. The chapter's theorems say that, when the examples are drawn independently from a fixed distribution, such compression automatically yields prediction: a consistent hypothesis drawn from a small class is, with high probability, accurate on unseen examples. This turns the design of PAC learning algorithms into a combinatorial task, finding a short consistent hypothesis, and the chapter demonstrates the method three times: it shaves a logarithmic factor off the conjunction bound of Chapter 1, it learns conjunctions with few relevant variables through the greedy set-cover heuristic, and it learns Rivest's decision lists, a class strictly more expressive than kkk-CNF and kkk-DNF, by a greedy algorithm whose correctness is a one-line consequence of consistency.

Setting

The framework is that of Mission I: a measurable instance space, concepts as boolean functions, a target distribution DDD, the product law of a sample of mmm labeled examples, the error error(h)=Pr⁡x∼D[h(x)≠c(x)]\mathrm{error}(h) = \Pr_{x \sim D}[h(x) \neq c(x)]error(h)=Prx∼D​[h(x)=c(x)], and consistency of a hypothesis with a sample. Hypotheses may be represented by binary strings through a representation map, with size the bit length; an (α,β)(\alpha, \beta)(α,β)-Occam algorithm outputs a consistent hypothesis of size at most (n⋅size(c))αmβ(n \cdot \mathrm{size}(c))^\alpha m^\beta(n⋅size(c))αmβ with 0≤β<10 \le \beta < 10≤β<1. The set cover problem asks for a minimum subcollection of a collection S\mathcal{S}S of subsets of a finite universe UUU that covers UUU; the greedy heuristic repeatedly picks the set covering the most uncovered elements. A kkk-decision list is a sequence of conditions, each a conjunction of at most kkk literals, with a bit attached to each and a default bit; it evaluates to the bit of the first satisfied condition. The greedy decision-list algorithm repeatedly finds a useful condition, one satisfied by some remaining examples all of which carry the same label, appends it with that label and removes those examples.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.2 (Occam's Razor, cardinality version)

For a finite hypothesis class HHH, a target ccc, a distribution DDD and 0<ϵ≤10 < \epsilon \le 10<ϵ≤1, the probability that a sample of mmm examples is consistent with some h∈Hh \in Hh∈H of error greater than ϵ\epsilonϵ is at most ∣H∣(1−ϵ)m|H|(1 - \epsilon)^m∣H∣(1−ϵ)m; hence

m≥1ϵ(ln⁡∣H∣+ln⁡1δ)m \ge \frac{1}{\epsilon}\Big(\ln|H| + \ln\frac{1}{\delta}\Big)m≥ϵ1​(ln∣H∣+lnδ1​)

makes this probability at most δ\deltaδ, and any algorithm that outputs a consistent hypothesis from HHH has error greater than ϵ\epsilonϵ with probability at most ∣H∣(1−ϵ)m|H|(1-\epsilon)^m∣H∣(1−ϵ)m.

Milestones

Theorem 2.1 (an (α,β)(\alpha, \beta)(α,β)-Occam algorithm is a PAC algorithm, with explicit sample-size conditions in place of the constant aaa); the greedy set-cover bound of §2.3 (∣Ui∣≤(1−1/opt)i∣U∣|U_i| \le (1 - 1/\mathrm{opt})^i|U|∣Ui​∣≤(1−1/opt)i∣U∣ and optln⁡∣U∣\mathrm{opt}\ln|U|optln∣U∣ sets cover); the improved conjunction bound of §2.2; Theorem 2.3 (kkk-decision lists are PAC learnable by the greedy algorithm, which never fails and whose outputs are consistent).

Significance

Theorem 2.2 is the single most used tool of the subject: every finite-class sample bound, including the ones for conjunctions, decision lists, kkk-CNF and the discretized geometric classes, is an instance of it, and the Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory of Chapter 3 is its extension to infinite classes with the growth function in place of ∣H∣|H|∣H∣. Theorem 2.1 is the philosophical statement, that succinct explanation implies prediction, and its converse (Exercise 2.3, and more strongly the boosting theorem of Chapter 4) makes Occam learning equivalent to PAC learning. The greedy set-cover bound is Chvátal's classical approximation guarantee, used in the book for learning with few relevant variables and again in later chapters. Theorem 2.3 is Rivest's result, and its proof exhibits the pattern "consistency by construction plus a counting bound" in its purest form. None of these is machine-checked. Their formalization gives the platform the union-bound-over-a-finite-class argument once and for all, in a form that the later missions of this series reuse verbatim.

Difficulty

Theorem 2.2 requires that, for a fixed measurable hypothesis with error greater than ϵ\epsilonϵ, the product law gives the event "consistent with all mmm examples" probability at most (1−ϵ)m(1 - \epsilon)^m(1−ϵ)m, which is the product structure of Measure.pi applied to the event that each coordinate lies in the set where hhh agrees with ccc; the union bound over HHH and the elementary inequality (1−ϵ)m≤e−ϵm(1 - \epsilon)^m \le e^{-\epsilon m}(1−ϵ)m≤e−ϵm finish. Theorem 2.1 adds only the count of binary strings of length at most KKK and arithmetic with real exponents. The set-cover bound is a discrete induction: an optimal cover of UUU restricted to the uncovered elements has at most opt\mathrm{opt}opt sets, so one of them, hence the greedy choice, covers a 1/opt1/\mathrm{opt}1/opt fraction; the covering clause needs the strict inequality 1−1/opt<e−1/opt1 - 1/\mathrm{opt} < e^{-1/\mathrm{opt}}1−1/opt<e−1/opt. Theorem 2.3 needs that a run of the greedy algorithm never repeats a condition (its satisfied examples are removed), so outputs lie in an explicit finite class, that the first condition of the target list satisfied by a remaining example is useful, and that a complete run is consistent; the bound is then Theorem 2.2.

Formalization scope

Everything is in the sample-complexity sense on the Mission I framework; running time is not modelled and "efficient" is dropped from every statement, which is recorded in the natural-language statements. Theorem 2.2's constant bbb is 111 with natural logarithms; Theorem 2.1's constant aaa is replaced by three explicit sufficient conditions. Hypotheses in the finite class are required to be measurable. The greedy heuristic and the greedy decision-list algorithm are relations (any tie-breaking), and the theorems quantify over every run; the decision-list theorem is stated for every kkk with the kkk-conjunctions as conditions, so that its hypothesis is a kkk-decision list rather than the expansion the book sketches for k>1k > 1k>1. The conjunction count is 3n+13^n + 13n+1, including the empty concept that the elimination algorithm outputs on a sample without positive examples. The few-relevant-variables algorithm of §2.3 is not stated (its bound has an unspecified constant and mmm on both sides). Hypotheses: 0<ϵ≤10 < \epsilon \le 10<ϵ≤1, 0<δ0 < \delta0<δ (and δ<1\delta < 1δ<1 where ln⁡(1/δ)\ln(1/\delta)ln(1/δ) must be nonnegative).

Trivializing readings are excluded: the bad-consistent event is over all of HHH, the decision-list failure event ranges over every possible output, and the set-cover bound holds for every greedy run. Welcome contributions: the product-law bound for a fixed hypothesis, the union bound over a finset, the string-counting lemma, and the no-repetition lemma for greedy runs.

Selected references

  • M. J. Kearns, U. V. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994, Chapter 2. doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
  • A. Blumer, A. Ehrenfeucht, D. Haussler, M. K. Warmuth, Occam's razor, Information Processing Letters 24(6), 1987. doi:10.1016/0020-0190(87)90114-1
  • V. Chvátal, A greedy heuristic for the set-covering problem, Mathematics of Operations Research 4(3), 1979. doi:10.1287/moor.4.3.233
  • R. L. Rivest, Learning decision lists, Machine Learning 2(3), 1987. doi:10.1007/BF00058680
  • D. Haussler, Quantifying inductive bias: AI learning algorithms and Valiant's learning framework, Artificial Intelligence 36(2), 1988. doi:10.1016/0004-3702(88)90002-1
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An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory I: The PAC Model, Conjunctions, Rectangles and 3-CNFTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 1 of Kearns and Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory (MIT Press, 1994, doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001), introduces Valiant's Probably Approximately Correct model, the framework for the whole book. A learner sees labeled examples of an unknown target concept drawn from an unknown but fixed distribution, and must output a hypothesis that, with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over the sample, misclassifies a fresh example with probability at most ϵ\epsilonϵ; the model is distribution-free, and the hypothesis is judged on the same distribution it was trained on. The chapter's three positive results are the templates for everything that follows. The rectangle game (Theorem 1.1) shows that an infinite class can be learned from a finite sample by exploiting the geometry of the error region. Conjunctions (Theorem 1.2) are learned by the elimination algorithm, whose analysis, a union bound over "bad" literals, is the prototype of every sample-size bound in the book. And 3-CNF formulae (Theorem 1.4) are learned by a change of variables that reduces them to conjunctions, which, set against the intractability of learning 3-term DNF as 3-term DNF (Theorem 1.3), is the reason the final definition of the model lets the hypothesis class differ from the concept class.

Setting

The instance space is a measurable space XXX, a concept is a function c:X→{0,1}c : X \to \{0, 1\}c:X→{0,1}, and the target distribution DDD is a probability measure on XXX. The error of a hypothesis hhh is error(h)=Pr⁡x∼D[h(x)≠c(x)]\mathrm{error}(h) = \Pr_{x \sim D}[h(x) \ne c(x)]error(h)=Prx∼D​[h(x)=c(x)]. A sample of mmm examples is S=((x1,c(x1)),…,(xm,c(xm)))S = ((x_1, c(x_1)), \dots, (x_m, c(x_m)))S=((x1​,c(x1​)),…,(xm​,c(xm​))) with the xix_ixi​ independent draws from DDD; a learning algorithm is a function from samples to hypotheses; it has the (ϵ,δ)(\epsilon, \delta)(ϵ,δ) guarantee on a class CCC if for every c∈Cc \in Cc∈C and every DDD the probability that its hypothesis has error greater than ϵ\epsilonϵ is at most δ\deltaδ; CCC is PAC learnable using HHH if for all ϵ,δ∈(0,1/2)\epsilon, \delta \in (0, 1/2)ϵ,δ∈(0,1/2) some sample size and algorithm with hypotheses in HHH achieve the guarantee. For X={0,1}nX = \{0,1\}^nX={0,1}n a literal is a variable or its negation and a conjunction is a finite set of literals; the elimination algorithm starts from all 2n2n2n literals and deletes every literal contradicted by a positive example. For X=R2X = \mathbb{R}^2X=R2 the concepts are the closed axis-aligned rectangles and the tightest-fit algorithm returns the smallest rectangle containing the positive examples. A 3-CNF formula is a conjunction of clauses of at most three literals; the expansion a↦a′a \mapsto a'a↦a′ records for each triple (u,v,w)(u, v, w)(u,v,w) of literals the value u∨v∨wu \vee v \vee wu∨v∨w.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2

Conjunctions of boolean literals are PAC learnable by the elimination algorithm: for every target conjunction, every distribution on {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n{0,1}n and ϵ,δ>0\epsilon, \delta > 0ϵ,δ>0, the elimination hypothesis is consistent with every sample labeled by the target, and with

m≥2nϵ(ln⁡2n+ln⁡1δ)m \ge \frac{2n}{\epsilon}\Big(\ln 2n + \ln\frac{1}{\delta}\Big)m≥ϵ2n​(ln2n+lnδ1​)

examples its error exceeds ϵ\epsilonϵ with probability at most δ\deltaδ; hence conjunctions are PAC learnable using conjunctions.

Milestones

Theorem 1.1 (rectangles by the tightest fit, m≥(4/ϵ)ln⁡(4/δ)m \ge (4/\epsilon)\ln(4/\delta)m≥(4/ϵ)ln(4/δ)) and Theorem 1.4 (3-CNF formulae by elimination over the (2n)3(2n)^3(2n)3 expanded variables, the hypothesis being itself a 3-CNF formula).

Significance

Theorem 1.2 is Valiant's original result and the first instance of the two ideas that organize the subject: a hypothesis that is more specific than the target never errs on negative examples, and the error of the hypothesis decomposes as a sum over a polynomial number of "bad" events, each of which is avoided with probability exponentially close to one. Theorem 1.1 is the first learning result for an infinite concept class and the seed of the Vapnik–Chervonenkis theory of Chapter 3. Theorem 1.4 is the first reduction between learning problems and, together with Theorem 1.3, the demonstration that the choice of hypothesis representation can separate tractable from intractable. None of these theorems is machine-checked. Formalizing them fixes, for the rest of the series, the framework in which the error of a hypothesis, the law of a sample and the learnability of a class are stated, so that the Occam, VC-dimension, boosting and noise results of later chapters can be stated on the same objects.

Difficulty

The elimination analysis needs that the hypothesis contains every literal of the target, that its error is at most the sum over its literals zzz of p(z)=Pr⁡[c(a)=1∧z=0 in a]p(z) = \Pr[c(a) = 1 \wedge z = 0 \text{ in } a]p(z)=Pr[c(a)=1∧z=0 in a], and that a literal with p(z)≥ϵ/2np(z) \ge \epsilon/2np(z)≥ϵ/2n survives mmm independent examples with probability at most (1−ϵ/2n)m(1 - \epsilon/2n)^m(1−ϵ/2n)m; the probabilistic content is the independence of the coordinates of the sample law, which is a product measure, and the inequality 1−x≤e−x1 - x \le e^{-x}1−x≤e−x. The rectangle analysis is the four-strip argument, which for an arbitrary distribution, possibly with atoms, requires choosing the strip {y≥t∗}\{y \ge t^*\}{y≥t∗} with t∗t^*t∗ the supremum of the heights at which the strip has weight at least ϵ/4\epsilon/4ϵ/4 and using the left-continuity of the weight in the height. The 3-CNF result transports the conjunction bound along the injective expansion: the pushforward of the sample law is the sample law of the expanded distribution, and the error of the composed hypothesis equals the error over the expanded variables. The deduction of PACLearnable from the explicit bounds is a choice of sample size.

Formalization scope

The model is stated in the sample-complexity sense: algorithms are functions of the sample, and the guarantee bounds the outer measure of the failure set under the product law of the sample, which is the strong form of "with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" and requires no measurability of the failure set. Running time, and hence "efficiently", is not modelled, and the hardness Theorem 1.3 is not stated; each theorem carries instead the explicit algorithm and the explicit sample bound of the book's analysis. Concepts on general instance spaces are required to be measurable in the guarantee. The cube is {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n{0,1}n as functions Fin n → Bool; the expanded variables are indexed by the triples of literals, so N=(2n)3N = (2n)^3N=(2n)3 is a Fintype.card. Rectangles are closed, possibly empty; the tightest fit of a sample without positive examples is the empty concept. Hypotheses: ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0, 0<δ<10 < \delta < 10<δ<1; the sample bounds are as printed, with natural logarithms.

Trivializing readings are excluded: the failure bound is uniform over all distributions and all targets in the class, consistency is asserted for every sample labeled by the target, and the learnability clause quantifies over all ϵ,δ\epsilon, \deltaϵ,δ. Welcome contributions: the product-law bound Pr⁡[a fixed event of probability≥p is missed by all m examples]≤(1−p)m\Pr[\text{a fixed event of probability} \ge p \text{ is missed by all } m \text{ examples}] \le (1 - p)^mPr[a fixed event of probability≥p is missed by all m examples]≤(1−p)m, the union bound over literals, and the pushforward identity for the expanded sample.

Selected references

  • M. J. Kearns, U. V. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994, Chapter 1. doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
  • L. G. Valiant, A theory of the learnable, Communications of the ACM 27(11), 1984. doi:10.1145/1968.1972
  • A. Blumer, A. Ehrenfeucht, D. Haussler, M. K. Warmuth, Learnability and the Vapnik–Chervonenkis dimension, Journal of the ACM 36(4), 1989. doi:10.1145/76359.76371
  • L. Pitt, L. G. Valiant, Computational limitations on learning from examples, Journal of the ACM 35(4), 1988. doi:10.1145/48014.63140
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory XIII: AuctionsTextbook

When is the auctioneer's revenue acceptable?

The Vickrey-Clarke-Groves auction is the textbook mechanism for selling several objects at once: bidders report valuations for bundles, the auctioneer computes the welfare-maximizing allocation, and each winner pays the externality it imposes on the others. Truthful bidding is a dominant strategy and the outcome is efficient. Yet Ausubel and Milgrom (2006) catalogued its practical defects: revenue can be zero when the objects are valuable, revenue can fall when bidders or bids are added, losing bidders can profit by colluding, and a bidder can profit from false identities. Chapter 15 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) reproduces those examples and then gives the cooperative-game answer to when they cannot occur: the VCG payoff vector should lie in the core, the set of outcomes no coalition of auctioneer and bidders can improve upon, and it does so for every set of participants exactly when the coalitional value function is bidder-submodular. This mission formalizes that characterization, Theorem 15.3, together with the lemma and theorem leading to it.

Setting

Players are the auctioneer 000 and bidders 1,…,n1, \dots, n1,…,n. A coalitional value function VVV assigns to each coalition TTT the value it can create by trading among themselves: 000 if the auctioneer, who owns the objects, is not in TTT, and otherwise the optimal value of the auctioneer's allocation problem among the bidders of TTT, each bidder receiving at most one bundle and bundles disjoint (capValue). Two properties of VVV are all the theory uses: coalitions without the auctioneer are worthless, and adding players never lowers the value (IsCoalitionalValue).

A payoff vector π\piπ gives each player a payoff. It lies in the core of the game on a coalition S∋0S \ni 0S∋0 (InCore V S π) if the payoffs of SSS sum to V(S)V(S)V(S) and no sub-coalition T⊆ST \subseteq ST⊆S is paid less than V(T)V(T)V(T). The VCG payoff vector πˉ(S)\bar\pi(S)πˉ(S) (vcgPayoff) pays each bidder kkk its marginal contribution V(S)−V(S∖k)V(S) - V(S \setminus k)V(S)−V(S∖k), which is its valuation minus its VCG payment, and the auctioneer the remainder. A core vector is bidder dominant (BidderDominant) if every bidder weakly prefers it to every other core vector. VVV is bidder-submodular (BidderSubmodular) if each bidder's marginal contribution weakly decreases as the coalition grows.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 15.3

For a coalitional value function VVV, the following are equivalent: (i) VVV is bidder-submodular; (ii) for every coalition S∋0S \ni 0S∋0 the core equals ΠS={π:∑k∈Sπk=V(S), 0≤πk≤πˉk(S) ∀k∈S∖0}\Pi_S = \{\pi : \sum_{k \in S}\pi_k = V(S),\ 0 \le \pi_k \le \bar\pi_k(S)\ \forall k \in S \setminus 0\}ΠS​={π:∑k∈S​πk​=V(S), 0≤πk​≤πˉk​(S) ∀k∈S∖0}; (iii) for every coalition S∋0S \ni 0S∋0, πˉ(S)\bar\pi(S)πˉ(S) lies in the core of SSS. This is vcg_core_characterization.

Supporting targets

That the combinatorial auction's VVV is a coalitional value function; Lemma 15.1, the core is nonempty and each bidder's VCG payoff is the largest it receives at any core point; Theorem 15.2, the VCG vector is the bidder-dominant core point when it is in the core, and otherwise no bidder-dominant point exists and the auctioneer's VCG payoff is below every core payoff.

The English auction of Sect. 15.2, presented as a primal-dual interpretation of a linear program, and the combinatorial allocation problem of Sect. 15.3 carry no numbered results and are not targets.

Significance

Theorem 15.3 is the criterion an auction designer can check before running a VCG auction: when the bidders' valuations make VVV bidder-submodular (for instance when objects are substitutes), the VCG outcome is a competitive outcome, its revenue meets the core benchmark, and none of the defects of Sect. 15.4.2 can arise; when they do not, Theorem 15.2 says the auctioneer's revenue is strictly below every competitive outcome. The result underlies the ascending package auctions proposed as VCG alternatives and the procurement auctions used in supply chains, such as the combinatorial reverse auctions of the chapter's case study.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves all three. The formal treatment of the core and of marginal-contribution vectors is reusable for the cooperative-game models of cost allocation in supply chains.

Difficulty

The theorems are combinatorial statements about a function on finite sets, and the difficulty is entirely in the bookkeeping of coalitions. Lemma 15.1 needs the explicit core vector of its proof to be verified against every sub-coalition, which splits into cases on whether the sub-coalition contains the auctioneer and the distinguished bidder. The implication (i) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (ii) telescopes marginal contributions along a chain of coalitions between a sub-coalition and SSS, and the chain has to be built and its sum computed. The implication (iii) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (i) is the delicate one: a failure of submodularity is a pair of nested coalitions, and the proof needs to extract from it a single-element step at which a bidder's marginal contribution increases, then show the two-bidder sub-coalition blocks the VCG vector. The obvious idea, that submodularity can be checked only on single-element extensions, is correct but must itself be proved.

Formalization scope

Coalitions are finite sets of Fin (n+1) and payoff vectors are functions on all players; the core and ΠS\Pi_SΠS​ constrain only the players of SSS, so vectors differing outside SSS are interchangeable. The core's budget equation sums over all players of the coalition, including the auctioneer, which is what the book's proofs use although its displayed definition sums over the bidders. The theorems take VVV as any function with the two properties, and the auction's VVV is shown to have them; the VCG vector is defined by the formulas (15.23) and (15.24) rather than through the payment rule, whose equivalence is the book's derivation. Bidder-submodularity is stated for S⊆S′S \subseteq S'S⊆S′ rather than proper inclusion, which changes nothing.

The definition module is shared by all five items. The single-item English auction as a primal-dual algorithm and the condition on individual preferences (substitutes) that implies bidder-submodularity are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 15. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • L. M. Ausubel and P. Milgrom, The lovely but lonely Vickrey auction, in Combinatorial Auctions, MIT Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262033428.003.0002
  • S. de Vries and R. V. Vohra, Combinatorial auctions: a survey, INFORMS Journal on Computing 15(3), 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/ijoc.15.3.284.16077
  • W. Vickrey, Counterspeculation, auctions, and competitive sealed tenders, Journal of Finance 16(1), 1961. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1961.tb02789.x
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: naimengye

The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management V: CompetitionTextbook

When competing firms settle on prices and allocations

Revenue management is practised by firms that compete: airlines matching fares while allocating seats, retailers ordering stock and then pricing to clear it, hotels protecting rooms for late high-paying guests. Chapter 8 of Talluri and van Ryzin's The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management (2004) surveys the economics behind these situations: monopoly pricing and mechanism design, the Coase problem, advance-purchase discounts, and oligopoly in quantities (Cournot), in prices (Bertrand, Bertrand–Edgeworth with capacities), in newsvendor capacities and in RM allocations. Most of its numbered results are quoted from the literature; what the book itself establishes is a family of equilibrium arguments built on Talluri's equilibrium graph: when each firm's best response moves monotonically with the rival's action, following best-response arcs must end in an equilibrium pair. This mission formalizes those arguments, with Proposition 8.3, existence of an equilibrium in offer sets under the multinomial-logit choice model, as the goal.

Setting

A two-firm game on finite chains of strategies has payoffs u1,u2u_1, u_2u1​,u2​, best responses and pure Nash equilibria (IsBestResponse1, IsNashEquilibrium); its equilibrium graph has no crossing arcs (NoCrossing1) when best-response arcs (k2,k1)(k_2, k_1)(k2​,k1​), (l2,l1)(l_2, l_1)(l2​,l1​) with k2<l2k_2 < l_2k2​<l2​ always have k1≤l1k_1 \le l_1k1​≤l1​. The chapter's games are: the RM duopoly of Sect. 8.4.1.3, two firms with capacity CCC and fares pL<pHp_L < p_HpL​<pH​ whose high-fare demand spills over to the rival beyond its protection level (spilloverDemand), each firm answering with Littlewood's protection level (littlewoodResponse); the duopoly newsvendor of Example 8.16 with effective demands R1=D1+(D2−x2)+R_1 = D_1 + (D_2 - x_2)^+R1​=D1​+(D2​−x2​)+ (effectiveDemand); linear Cournot (cournotPayoff); Bertrand–Edgeworth price competition with capacity CCC per firm, linear demand and efficient rationing (beSales, bePayoff, IsBEEquilibrium); the advance-purchase model of Sect. 8.3.6 (peakLoadRevenue, advancePurchaseRevenue); and the one-period offer-set game of Sect. 8.4.3.2, where a firm offering its first kkk products earns g(Ck)/(W1(k)+W2(l)+w0)g(C_k)/(W_1(k) + W_2(l) + w_0)g(Ck​)/(W1​(k)+W2​(l)+w0​) with g(Ck)=∑j≤kwj(pj−Δ)−w0δg(C_k) = \sum_{j \le k} w_j(p_j - \Delta) - w_0\deltag(Ck​)=∑j≤k​wj​(pj​−Δ)−w0​δ (OfferFirm, offerPayoff1, CaseI, CaseII).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 8.3

If both firms are in Case I (g(G∗)≥0g(G^*) \ge 0g(G∗)≥0) or both in Case II (g<0g < 0g<0 on every complete set), the offer-set game has a pure-strategy equilibrium in complete sets: mnl_offer_set_equilibrium.

Supporting targets

The equilibrium-graph lemma, monotone best responses for both firms give an equilibrium (Sect. 8.4.1.3); Proposition 8.1, Littlewood responses in the RM duopoly are monotone in the rival's protection level, and the resulting equilibrium of the RM duopoly game; Example 8.16, duopoly newsvendor capacities total at least the monopoly capacity; Example 8.15, the symmetric Cournot equilibrium and its price; Theorem 8.5 (i)-(ii), the pure-strategy Bertrand–Edgeworth equilibria; and the advance-purchase comparison of Sect. 8.3.6, w2<w^w_2 < \hat ww2​<w^ and VAPD(w^)≥Vpeak(w2)V_{APD}(\hat w) \ge V_{peak}(w_2)VAPD​(w^)≥Vpeak​(w2​).

Not targets: Theorems 8.1-8.2 (the Coase problem, subgame-perfect equilibria of an infinite-horizon game, proofs in von der Fehr and Kühn), Theorem 8.3 (Harris–Raviv priority pricing, stated with a garbled price formula), Theorem 8.4 (existence via quasiconcavity, cited), Theorem 8.5 (iii), 8.6 and 8.7-8.8 (mixed-strategy and supergame equilibria of Kreps and Scheinkman and Benoit and Krishna), Proposition 8.2 and Proposition 8.4 (the dynamic offer-set game under condition (8.32), proved in Talluri's paper), and the Kreps–Scheinkman derivation of Sect. 8.4.1.6, which rests on Theorem 8.6.

Significance

The equilibrium graph is the chapter's own contribution: a bipartite picture of best responses on chains in which monotonicity, the absence of crossing arcs, forces an equilibrium. It is the finite, combinatorial form of the monotone comparative-statics route to Nash equilibrium (Tarski's fixed point on a chain), and it is what makes RM allocation games tractable: the two-class duopoly with Littlewood responses always has an equilibrium, and the offer-set duopoly does whenever the two firms face the same sign of ggg, while Example 8.18 shows a best-response cycle when they do not. The Bertrand–Edgeworth, Cournot and newsvendor results are the benchmarks the book uses to interpret RM competition: capacity constraints soften Bertrand's zero-profit outcome, competing in allocations tends to raise total capacity above the monopoly level, and advance-purchase discounts dominate peak-load pricing as a self-selection mechanism. None of these has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

The lemma and the goal are fixed-point arguments on finite chains: the largest best response is a monotone map of the rival's index, the composition of two monotone (or two antitone) maps on a finite chain has a fixed point, and for the offer-set game the monotonicity itself must be extracted from the ratio structure g(Ck)/(W(k)+a)g(C_k)/(W(k) + a)g(Ck​)/(W(k)+a) as in the appendix's inequalities (8.A.3)-(8.A.5), separately in the two cases. Proposition 8.1 is a monotonicity of tail probabilities under the pointwise order of effective demands. Example 8.16 is a short probabilistic argument that needs the identity {D>x1+x2}={R1>x1}∩{R2>x2}\{D > x_1 + x_2\} = \{R_1 > x_1\} \cap \{R_2 > x_2\}{D>x1​+x2​}={R1​>x1​}∩{R2​>x2​} and the strict monotonicity of the tail. Theorem 8.5 requires computing efficient-rationing sales for every unilateral deviation from a symmetric profile, through the recursive definition of residual demand, and a quadratic inequality for upward deviations in part (ii). The advance-purchase item reduces to the identity VAPD(w)−Vpeak(w)=(1−α)wV_{APD}(w) - V_{peak}(w) = (1 - \alpha)wVAPD​(w)−Vpeak​(w)=(1−α)w and the strict decrease of the first-order-condition function.

Formalization scope

Products, protection levels and complete sets are natural numbers; the offer-set game's strategies are the complete sets C1,…,CnC_1, \dots, C_nC1​,…,Cn​ of the book, and its payoff is (8.31) up to the positive factor λ\lambdaλ and the terms independent of both offer sets. Prices decreasing in the product index are a hypothesis, as the nested-by-revenue order of Sect. 8.4.3.2. The RM duopoly is modeled through Littlewood's response, as the book's appendix argues, rather than through expected revenues. Efficient rationing is defined recursively over the firms priced strictly below a given firm, with equal sharing among firms at the same price. Example 8.16 is stated with the equilibrium conditions (8.23) and the strictly increasing distribution of aggregate demand as hypotheses. The advance-purchase item takes the first-order conditions (8.13) and (8.15) and the book's uniqueness assumption as hypotheses, the latter as (v−w)−F(w)/f(w)(v - w) - F(w)/f(w)(v−w)−F(w)/f(w) strictly decreasing in www (the page prints "increasing", but its footnote identifies it with the monotone marginal-revenue assumption, which is decreasing in the waiting cost). Theorem 8.5 is stated for its pure-strategy parts (i) and (ii) only.

Selected references

  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Kluwer/Springer, 2004, Chapter 8. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
  • D. M. Kreps and J. A. Scheinkman, Quantity precommitment and Bertrand competition yield Cournot outcomes, Bell Journal of Economics 14(2), 1983. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003636
  • S. A. Lippman and K. F. McCardle, The competitive newsboy, Operations Research 45(1), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.54
  • S. Netessine and R. A. Shumsky, Revenue management games: horizontal and vertical competition, Management Science 51(5), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0356
  • I. L. Gale and T. J. Holmes, Advance-purchase discounts and monopoly allocation of capacity, American Economic Review 83(1), 1993. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2117500
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory XII: The Vehicle Routing ProblemTextbook

Many vehicles, one depot

The vehicle routing problem asks for the cheapest set of delivery routes from a depot to a set of customers when each vehicle can carry only so much. It generalizes the traveling salesman problem, which is the case of a single vehicle of unlimited capacity, and it is the operational problem behind every distribution fleet. Exact methods reach a few hundred customers; the questions that shape fleet design are structural: how does the optimal routing cost compare with the cost of a single grand tour, and how does it grow with the number of customers? Haimovich and Rinnooy Kan (1985) answered both for unit demands by bounding the optimal cost above and below in terms of the optimal TSP tour and the average distance to the depot. Chapter 11 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) presents that result with its full proof as Theorem 11.6, and it is the goal of this mission.

Setting

Nodes are the depot 000 and customers 1,…,n1, \dots, n1,…,n, with distances cijc_{ij}cij​ that are symmetric, nonnegative and satisfy the triangle inequality (VRPMetric). Every customer has demand 111 and every vehicle capacity CCC, so a route is a sequence of at most CCC distinct customers, served by one vehicle that leaves the depot, visits them in order and returns; its length is routeCost c L. A solution is a family of routes visiting every customer exactly once (IsVRPSolution), with total length solutionCost; the number of routes is free. The optimal VRP value z∗z^*z∗ (vrpOpt c C) is the least total length, the optimal TSP value zTz_TzT​ (tspOpt c) is the least length of a single route through all customers, and cˉ\bar ccˉ (avgDepotDist) is the average distance from the depot to a customer.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11.6

For every metric instance with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 customers and capacity C≥1C \ge 1C≥1,

max⁡{2nCcˉ, zT}  ≤  z∗  ≤  2⌈nC⌉cˉ+(1−1C)zT.\max\Big\{2\frac{n}{C}\bar c,\ z_T\Big\} \;\le\; z^* \;\le\; 2\Big\lceil\frac{n}{C}\Big\rceil\bar c + \Big(1 - \frac{1}{C}\Big)z_T.max{2Cn​cˉ, zT​}≤z∗≤2⌈Cn​⌉cˉ+(1−C1​)zT​.

This is vrp_tsp_bounds.

Supporting targets

The three steps of the book's proof: the radial bound 2nCcˉ≤z∗2\frac{n}{C}\bar c \le z^*2Cn​cˉ≤z∗, obtained route by route from the triangle inequality and the capacity; the routing bound zT≤z∗z_T \le z^*zT​≤z∗; and the iterated optimal tour partition bound (11.59), that for any tour Γ\GammaΓ through all customers some partition of its customer sequence into ⌈n/C⌉\lceil n/C\rceil⌈n/C⌉ consecutive routes costs at most 2⌈n/C⌉cˉ+(1−⌈n/C⌉/n) z(Γ)2\lceil n/C\rceil\bar c + (1 - \lceil n/C\rceil/n)\,z(\Gamma)2⌈n/C⌉cˉ+(1−⌈n/C⌉/n)z(Γ).

The chapter's other numbered results are not targets: Proposition 11.1 (state-space relaxation of the routing dynamic program) and Theorem 11.2 (the capacitated comb inequality, proof omitted, which needs the bin-packing function v(S)v(S)v(S)), and Theorems 11.3, 11.5, 11.7 and Lemma 11.4 (almost-sure asymptotics of random instances and the location-based heuristic), whose proofs the book cites.

Significance

Theorem 11.6 is the quantitative link between routing and the two things a planner can estimate without solving anything: the TSP length, which grows like n\sqrt{n}n​ for random customers, and the average depot distance. It says that the VRP cost is the TSP cost plus a radial term 2cˉ2\bar c2cˉ per vehicle, and that this decomposition is exact up to a factor bounded by the capacity. The radial term explains Theorem 11.7, that the optimal cost grows linearly in nnn for fixed capacity, and the tour partition heuristic in the proof is a practical route-first-cluster-second method with a provable guarantee. The bounds are the basis of the continuous approximation formulas used in strategic distribution design.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorem 11.6 in full. The formal treatment of routes as lists and of the averaging argument over rotations of a tour is reusable for the capacitated heuristics of Sect. 11.3.

Difficulty

The upper bound is an averaging argument that is easy to state and fiddly to formalize: for each of the nnn rotations of the tour's customer sequence, the sequence is cut into blocks of CCC, and one must count, across all rotations, how often each customer is the first or last of a block and how often each tour edge is cut. The counts, ℓ=⌈n/C⌉\ell = \lceil n/C\rceilℓ=⌈n/C⌉ each, hold only after the rotations are indexed carefully, and the passage from the average to the best rotation needs the sum of the nnn solution costs computed exactly.

The lower bound has two parts with different flavors. The radial part needs, for each route, that the closed route from the depot is at least twice the largest depot distance among its customers, which is the triangle inequality applied along the route, followed by an averaging step that uses the capacity. The routing part is a shortcutting argument: the routes of a solution concatenate into a closed walk that revisits the depot, and removing the repeated depot visits must not increase the length. The obvious idea, that a VRP solution is itself a tour, is false, and the shortcut has to be constructed.

Formalization scope

Routes are lists of customers, solutions are lists of routes, and the feasibility predicate requires nonempty routes of length at most CCC avoiding the depot, with the concatenation of all routes a duplicate-free list containing every customer. Costs use the closed walk through the depot followed by the route. The optimal values are infima of finite nonempty sets of reals, nonempty because singleton routes are feasible when C≥1C \ge 1C≥1. The ceiling ⌈n/C⌉\lceil n/C\rceil⌈n/C⌉ is Mathlib's Nat.ceil of the real quotient. The number of vehicles is unrestricted, as the section assumes; the fixed-fleet version of the problem is not modeled.

The TSP value zTz_TzT​ is defined as the least route cost over all orderings of the customers, so no separate tour model is needed and the mission does not depend on the TSP mission of this series.

The definition module is shared by all five items. Problem 11.18 (tightness of both bounds) and Theorem 11.7 for deterministic instance families are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 11. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • M. Haimovich and A. H. G. Rinnooy Kan, Bounds and heuristics for capacitated routing problems, Mathematics of Operations Research 10(4), 1985. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.10.4.527
  • P. Toth and D. Vigo (eds.), Vehicle Routing: Problems, Methods, and Applications, 2nd ed., SIAM, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973594
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory XI: The Traveling Salesman ProblemTextbook

The problem every routing model contains

A salesman must visit nnn cities and return home by the shortest route. The traveling salesman problem is the prototype of combinatorial optimization: easy to state, NP-hard (Karp 1972), and solved to optimality on instances with tens of thousands of nodes by branch-and-cut. In a supply chain it is the core of every vehicle routing model and of the location-routing models of the chapters that follow. Chapter 10 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) covers the symmetric metric TSP, in which distances satisfy the triangle inequality: the cutting planes of branch-and-cut (comb inequalities), the construction heuristics with their worst-case guarantees, culminating in Christofides' (1976) 3/2-approximation, and the lower bounds of Little et al. and of Held and Karp (1970). This mission formalizes those results, with Christofides' theorem as its goal.

Setting

Nodes are N={1,…,n}N = \{1, \dots, n\}N={1,…,n} with distances cijc_{ij}cij​ that are symmetric, nonnegative, zero on the diagonal and satisfy the triangle inequality cij≤cik+ckjc_{ij} \le c_{ik} + c_{kj}cij​≤cik​+ckj​ (IsMetric). A tour is a visiting order τ\tauτ of all the nodes, of length z(τ)=∑kc(τk,τk+1)z(\tau) = \sum_k c(\tau_k, \tau_{k+1})z(τ)=∑k​c(τk​,τk+1​) with indices mod nnn (tourLength); z∗z^*z∗ is the least tour length (optTourLength). A tour has an edge set (tourEdges), and for a node set SSS the counts of tour edges inside SSS and leaving SSS (edgesWithin, edgesLeaving) are the sums ∑i,j∈Sxij\sum_{i,j \in S} x_{ij}∑i,j∈S​xij​ and ∑i∈S,j∉Sxij\sum_{i \in S, j \notin S} x_{ij}∑i∈S,j∈/S​xij​ of the integer programming formulation. A comb is a handle HHH with an odd number s≥3s \ge 3s≥3 of pairwise disjoint teeth, each meeting both HHH and its complement (IsComb); when every tooth has exactly two nodes the comb is a 2-matching configuration.

The nearest neighbor heuristic always moves to a nearest unvisited node (IsNearestNeighborTour); the nearest insertion heuristic grows a partial tour by inserting the unvisited node nearest to it at the cheapest position (IsNearestInsertionRun, with cycleLength and distToTour). The minimum spanning tree heuristic doubles an MST (IsMST, graphWeight), takes an Eulerian tour of the doubled tree and shortcuts it, visiting the nodes in order of first appearance (IsShortcut). Christofides' heuristic instead adds to the MST a minimum-weight perfect matching on its odd-degree nodes (oddNodes, IsMinMatchingOn) before taking the Eulerian tour. A 1-tree rooted at rrr is a spanning tree on the other nodes plus two edges at rrr (Is1Tree); the revised distances cij′=cij+λi+λjc'_{ij} = c_{ij} + \lambda_i + \lambda_jcij′​=cij​+λi​+λj​ (revisedCost) define the Held-Karp bound.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10.13

For every metric instance, every minimum spanning tree T∗T^*T∗, every minimum-weight perfect matching MMM on the odd-degree nodes of T∗T^*T∗, every Eulerian tour of T∗+MT^* + MT∗+M and its shortcut τ\tauτ,

z(τ)  ≤  32 z∗.z(\tau) \;\le\; \tfrac{3}{2}\, z^*.z(τ)≤23​z∗.

This is christofides_bound.

Supporting targets

Theorem 10.1, the reduced-matrix bound ∑iρi+∑jκj≤z∗\sum_i \rho_i + \sum_j \kappa_j \le z^*∑i​ρi​+∑j​κj​≤z∗; Theorem 10.2, Proposition 10.3 and Theorem 10.4, the 2-matching and comb inequalities valid for every tour; Theorem 10.6, zNN≤12(⌈log⁡2n⌉+1)z∗z_{NN} \le \frac{1}{2}(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil + 1) z^*zNN​≤21​(⌈log2​n⌉+1)z∗; Theorem 10.7, zNI≤2z∗z_{NI} \le 2z^*zNI​≤2z∗; Lemma 10.9, z(T∗)≤z∗z(T^*) \le z^*z(T∗)≤z∗; Theorem 10.10, Euler's theorem; Theorem 10.11, zMST≤2z∗z_{MST} \le 2z^*zMST​≤2z∗; Lemma 10.12, the handshaking lemma; Lemma 10.15, the 1-tree bound; Lemma 10.16, the revised distance identities; Theorem 10.17, the Held-Karp bound. Theorem 10.5 (no constant-factor approximation unless P = NP), Theorem 10.8 and the second part of Theorem 10.6 (tightness instances), Lemma 10.14 (Euclidean tours do not cross), Lemma 10.18 (the integrality gap) and Theorem 10.19 (the Beardwood-Halton-Hammersley asymptotics) are not targets.

Significance

Christofides' bound was the best approximation guarantee for the metric TSP for over forty years, until the 3/2−10−363/2 - 10^{-36}3/2−10−36 of Karlin, Klein and Oveis Gharan (2021), and it is the reference point against which every heuristic in the chapter is measured: nearest neighbor has no constant bound, nearest insertion and the MST heuristic achieve 222, Christofides 3/23/23/2. The comb inequalities are the cuts that make branch-and-cut work, and the Held-Karp bound is the lower bound that tells a practitioner how far a heuristic tour is from optimal. Theorem 10.1 is the historical bounding rule of the first branch-and-bound algorithm.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorems 10.2, 10.11, 10.13 and 10.17 and Proposition 10.3 and Lemma 10.9, cites Theorems 10.6, 10.7 and 10.10, and leaves Theorem 10.4 and Lemmas 10.12 and 10.16 as exercises. The formal infrastructure for tours, shortcutting and Eulerian walks is reusable for the vehicle routing chapter.

Difficulty

Christofides' argument has three steps and each has a formal obstacle. The MST bound is a spanning-path argument that needs the removal of an edge from a tour to yield a tree, in Mathlib's terms a connected acyclic subgraph of the complete graph. The matching bound is the subtle one: the optimal tour shortcut to the odd-degree nodes, of length at most z∗z^*z∗ by the triangle inequality, is an even cycle whose alternate edges form two perfect matchings on those nodes, the cheaper of which costs at most z∗/2z^*/2z∗/2; formalizing the decomposition of a cycle on an even node set into two matchings, and the shortcut's length bound, is the bulk of the work. The final step, that shortcutting an Eulerian walk does not lengthen it, is an induction along the walk using the triangle inequality on the skipped stretches, and it needs the first-occurrence order to be handled explicitly.

The obvious approach to the heuristic bounds, comparing the heuristic tour directly with the optimal tour, fails; every proof goes through a spanning tree. For nearest insertion the tree is Prim's, grown in the same order as the insertions, and the bound charges each insertion cost to a tree edge; for nearest neighbor the argument of Rosenkrantz et al. bounds the sum of the kkk largest steps by 2z∗2z^*2z∗ for each kkk and sums a geometric series, which is where the logarithm comes from.

The comb inequalities are counting arguments on degrees, but the general comb of Theorem 10.4 needs the case analysis of how a tour enters and leaves each tooth. Euler's theorem in the sufficiency direction is Hierholzer's construction, which is not in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

Tours are permutations of Fin n, so a tour is an ordering rather than an edge set, and every tie-breaking of a heuristic is covered by a predicate on its output rather than by an algorithm. Graphs are Mathlib SimpleGraphs on Fin n; the multigraphs of the two tree heuristics are represented by closed walks with prescribed edge multisets, and shortcutting is the first-occurrence order along the walk's node sequence. All degree and edge-set computations use classical decidability. Theorems on tours assume n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 where a tour must have distinct edges, n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 otherwise.

Theorem 10.1 is stated for the reduction of the full off-diagonal matrix, because the book's upper-triangular version is false: a random metric instance violates it, since the last row and first column of a triangular matrix are empty and the two edges at a node need not be one row and one column entry. The full-matrix version is the statement of Little et al. It is stated for n≥2n \ge 2n≥2, because a one-node "tour" is a self-loop that no off-diagonal entry constrains.

Theorem 10.4 is stated with the comb inequality's right-hand side corrected to ∣H∣+∑k(∣Tk∣−1)−12(s+1)|H| + \sum_k(|T_k| - 1) - \tfrac{1}{2}(s+1)∣H∣+∑k​(∣Tk​∣−1)−21​(s+1), the standard form. The book prints +12(s−1)+\tfrac{1}{2}(s-1)+21​(s−1), which contradicts its own 2-matching special case (10.15) and is weaker by sss. The corrected statement implies the printed one.

The 111-tree root is an explicit node rrr, the book's node 111. The nearest insertion run is a sequence of lists indexed by iteration, and the theorem compares the nnn-th list's closed length with z∗z^*z∗; a run always exists, so the hypothesis is satisfiable.

The definition module is shared by all fifteen items. Theorem 10.8 and Problem 10.12 (tightness of the bounds of 222), the second part of Theorem 10.6, and Lemma 10.18 on the integrality gap are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 10. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • N. Christofides, Worst-case analysis of a new heuristic for the travelling salesman problem, Report 388, GSIA, Carnegie Mellon University, 1976; reprinted in Operations Research Forum 3, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43069-021-00101-z
  • D. J. Rosenkrantz, R. E. Stearns and P. M. Lewis II, An analysis of several heuristics for the traveling salesman problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 6(3), 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206041
  • M. Held and R. M. Karp, The traveling-salesman problem and minimum spanning trees, Operations Research 18(6), 1970. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.18.6.1138
  • J. D. C. Little, K. G. Murty, D. W. Sweeney and C. Karel, An algorithm for the traveling salesman problem, Operations Research 11(6), 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.11.6.972
  • M. Grötschel and M. W. Padberg, On the symmetric travelling salesman problem I and II, Mathematical Programming 16, 1979. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582116
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The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management III: Dynamic PricingTextbook

Prices that respond to inventory

A retailer marking down a seasonal line, an airline raising fares as seats sell, a manufacturer pricing while restocking: each sets prices over time against a finite and changing inventory. Chapter 5 of Talluri and van Ryzin's The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management (2004) collects the structural theory of that problem. Without replenishment, the Bernoulli-arrival model of Gallego and van Ryzin (1994) gives a marginal value of capacity that falls with inventory and with time, hence prices that jump up at each sale and drift down between sales, and the deterministic fluid model bounds it from above. With replenishment, the model of Federgruen and Heching (1999) has a jointly concave and supermodular continuation value, from which the base-stock, posted-price policy follows: below a base-stock level order up to it and post a fixed price, above it order nothing and discount, more the higher the inventory. This mission formalizes those results with Proposition 5.3 as the goal.

Setting

Bernoulli demand (Sect. 5.2.2.2). One customer arrives per period with a random willingness to pay; the firm's decision is the demand rate d∈[0,1]d \in [0, 1]d∈[0,1], the probability of a sale at the inverse-demand price p(t,d)p(t, d)p(t,d), with revenue rate r(t,d)=d p(t,d)r(t, d) = d\,p(t, d)r(t,d)=dp(t,d) (revenueRate). The value function (5.12) is Vt(x)=max⁡d{r(t,d)−d ΔVt+1(x)}+Vt+1(x)V_t(x) = \max_{d}\{r(t, d) - d\,\Delta V_{t+1}(x)\} + V_{t+1}(x)Vt​(x)=maxd​{r(t,d)−dΔVt+1​(x)}+Vt+1​(x), VT+1=0V_{T+1} = 0VT+1​=0, Vt(0)=0V_t(0) = 0Vt​(0)=0 (bernoulliValue), and ΔVt(x)=Vt(x)−Vt(x−1)\Delta V_t(x) = V_t(x) - V_t(x-1)ΔVt​(x)=Vt​(x)−Vt​(x−1) (bernoulliDelta). The deterministic model (5.1) maximizes ∑tr(t,d(t))\sum_t r(t, d(t))∑t​r(t,d(t)) over rates with ∑td(t)≤C\sum_t d(t) \le C∑t​d(t)≤C (deterministicValue).

Pricing with replenishment (Sect. 5.3.2). Inventory may be negative (backorders). In period ttt with inventory xxx the firm orders up to y≥xy \ge xy≥x at unit cost ctc_tct​, chooses a rate d∈[0,dˉ]d \in [0, \bar d]d∈[0,dˉ], sells the random demand D(t,d,ξt)=at(ξt) d+bt(ξt)D(t, d, \xi_t) = a_t(\xi_t)\,d + b_t(\xi_t)D(t,d,ξt​)=at​(ξt​)d+bt​(ξt​) (additive, multiplicative or mixed noise), and pays the convex cost hth_tht​ on ending inventory. The value function (5.20) is Vt(x)=sup⁡y≥x, d{r(t,d)−ct(y−x)+Gt+1(y,d)}V_t(x) = \sup_{y \ge x,\, d}\{r(t, d) - c_t(y - x) + G_{t+1}(y, d)\}Vt​(x)=supy≥x,d​{r(t,d)−ct​(y−x)+Gt+1​(y,d)} with the continuation value Gt+1(y,d)=E[Vt+1(y−D(t,d,ξt))−ht(y−D(t,d,ξt))]G_{t+1}(y, d) = \mathbb E[V_{t+1}(y - D(t, d, \xi_t)) - h_t(y - D(t, d, \xi_t))]Gt+1​(y,d)=E[Vt+1​(y−D(t,d,ξt​))−ht​(y−D(t,d,ξt​))] (ReplPricing.value, contValue). Assumption 7.2, marginal revenue decreasing, is the concavity of r(t,⋅)r(t, \cdot)r(t,⋅).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5.3

For every period, Gt+1G_{t+1}Gt+1​ is jointly concave on R×[0,dˉ]\mathbb R \times [0, \bar d]R×[0,dˉ], VtV_tVt​ is concave on R\mathbb RR, and Gt+1G_{t+1}Gt+1​ has increasing differences in (y,d)(y, d)(y,d), the supermodularity that the book states through its partial derivatives: replenishment_concave_supermodular.

Supporting targets

Proposition 5.2, the marginal value of capacity in the Bernoulli model decreases in ttt and in xxx; the upper bound of Sect. 5.2.2.3, the optimal deterministic revenue dominates the optimal expected stochastic revenue; and the base-stock, posted-price structure of Sect. 5.3.2.1, derived from Proposition 5.3: below the unconstrained optimum y0y^0y0 order up to it and use d0d^0d0, above it order nothing and use a rate at least d0d^0d0 that is nondecreasing in the inventory.

Proposition 5.1 and Lemma 5-5.A.1 (the continuous-demand model without replenishment) are not targets; see the formalization scope. The deterministic sections (efficient prices, discrete price sets), the asymptotic optimality of the deterministic heuristic, the infinite-horizon stationary problem and the multiproduct and finite-population models carry no numbered results.

Significance

Proposition 5.3 is the structural core of joint pricing and inventory control: joint concavity makes the period problem a concave program, and supermodularity is what turns its solution into a policy, the base-stock, posted-price rule that Federgruen and Heching showed optimal and that later work on pricing with inventory builds on. Proposition 5.2 is the reason optimal dynamic prices in the stochastic single-item model rise at every sale and fall while inventory sits, the behaviour of Figure 5.5, and the deterministic upper bound is what justifies the fluid model as a benchmark and a heuristic, the pattern quantified in Table 5.6. None of these has a machine-checked proof; the replenishment result in particular needs the interplay of concavity, expectation and partial maximization on all of R\mathbb RR.

Difficulty

Proposition 5.2 is an induction whose step compares suprema over the rate interval, with the boundary condition Vt(0)=0V_t(0) = 0Vt​(0)=0 breaking the recursion at x=1x = 1x=1 and requiring r(t,0)=0r(t, 0) = 0r(t,0)=0. The deterministic bound is an induction on periods that uses the concavity of the deterministic value in the inventory (a concave program's value) to absorb the two branches of the Bernoulli recursion. The goal needs: integrability and continuity of Vt+1(y−D)−ht(y−D)V_{t+1}(y - D) - h_t(y - D)Vt+1​(y−D)−ht​(y−D) under bounded noise; that the expectation of a concave function of an affine map is jointly concave, and its increasing differences from those of the concave integrand; that a partial supremum of a jointly concave function over the convex feasible set {y≥x}\{y \ge x\}{y≥x} is concave in xxx; and the boundedness of the objective so that every supremum is a real number. The base-stock item is the segment argument that moves an unconstrained maximizer onto the boundary y=xy = xy=x and a monotone comparative-statics argument on the supermodular objective, with maxima attained by continuity on the compact rate interval.

Formalization scope

Periods are natural numbers with value t the value with T+1−tT + 1 - tT+1−t periods to go, the maxima are suprema, and the book's ranges are hypotheses. The demand is affine in the rate, which is the additive and multiplicative models the book names; with a merely convex demand (Assumption 5.1) the joint concavity of Proposition 5.3 fails when Vt+1−htV_{t+1} - h_tVt+1​−ht​ is not monotone, and the noise has bounded support, strengthening Assumption 7.6. The partial-derivative statements (iii)-(iv) are in difference form. Proposition 5.1 is not formalized: its model (5.11) evaluates Vt+1(x−D)V_{t+1}(x - D)Vt+1​(x−D) at negative inventories the model does not define while truncating revenue at xxx, and its Lemma 5-5.A.1 (joint concavity of r+r^+r+) is false as stated, its Hessian argument mistaking an indefinite matrix for a negative definite one; a counterexample is in the mission's check. The deterministic model restricts rates to [0,1][0, 1][0,1], the rates the Bernoulli model can realize.

Selected references

  • K. T. Talluri and G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Kluwer/Springer, 2004, Chapter 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
  • G. Gallego and G. J. van Ryzin, Optimal dynamic pricing of inventories with stochastic demand over finite horizons, Management Science 40(8), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.40.8.999
  • A. Federgruen and A. Heching, Combined pricing and inventory control under uncertainty, Operations Research 47(3), 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.47.3.454
  • W. Elmaghraby and P. Keskinocak, Dynamic pricing in the presence of inventory considerations, Management Science 49(10), 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.49.10.1287.17315
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400822539
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory X: Supply UncertaintyTextbook

When the supplier is the risk

Every model in the earlier chapters of this series treats demand as the uncertain quantity and supply as given. Chapter 9 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) reverses the roles: demand is deterministic and the supplier fails. A disruption is a binary event, modeled as a two-state Markov process between up and down periods, during which nothing can be ordered. The chapter's thesis, from Snyder and Shen (2006), is that supply uncertainty is a mirror image of demand uncertainty: the optimal base-stock level has the same critical-fractile form as the newsvendor solution but with the fractile taken over the disruption-length distribution (Tomlin 2006), and consolidation, which pools demand risk, now does nothing to expected cost and multiplies its variance, the risk-diversification effect of Schmitt, Sun, Snyder and Shen (2015). The chapter closes with the reliable fixed-charge location problem of Snyder and Daskin (2005). This mission formalizes the chapter's theorems on disruptions, with the risk-diversification theorem as its goal.

Setting

A supplier that is up is disrupted next period with probability α\alphaα; one that is down recovers with probability β\betaβ. The disruption chain records 000 when the supplier is up and n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 in the nnn-th consecutive period of a disruption; its stationary distribution is π0=β/(α+β)\pi_0 = \beta/(\alpha+\beta)π0​=β/(α+β) and πn=αβα+β(1−β)n−1\pi_n = \frac{\alpha\beta}{\alpha+\beta}(1-\beta)^{n-1}πn​=α+βαβ​(1−β)n−1 (disruptionPmf), with distribution function F(n)=∑i≤nπiF(n) = \sum_{i \le n}\pi_iF(n)=∑i≤n​πi​ (disruptionCdf).

A single location faces demand ddd per period, pays hhh per unit held and ppp per unit backordered per period, and follows a base-stock policy: it orders up to SSS in every up period and nothing in down periods. In the nnn-th period of a disruption it has S−(n+1)dS - (n+1)dS−(n+1)d units on hand or backordered, so its cost is g^(S,n)=h[S−(n+1)d]++p[(n+1)d−S]+\hat g(S, n) = h[S-(n+1)d]^+ + p[(n+1)d - S]^+g^​(S,n)=h[S−(n+1)d]++p[(n+1)d−S]+ (periodCost), and the expected cost per period is g(S)=∑nπng^(S,n)g(S) = \sum_n \pi_n \hat g(S, n)g(S)=∑n​πn​g^​(S,n) (meanCost), with variance V(S)V(S)V(S) over the disruption state (varCost). The critical fractile γ=p/(p+h)\gamma = p/(p+h)γ=p/(p+h) and F−1(γ)F^{-1}(\gamma)F−1(γ), the smallest nnn with F(n)≥γF(n) \ge \gammaF(n)≥γ, determine the optimal level.

In the reliable fixed-charge location problem (RFLP), sites fail independently with probability qqq and each customer is assigned to a chain of facilities: its level-rrr facility serves it when the rrr closer facilities are disrupted, until it is assigned to an emergency facility uuu that never fails and charges the penalty θi\theta_iθi​. The objective (9.61) is fixed cost plus expected transportation cost, with coefficients ψijr=hicijqr(1−q)\psi_{ijr} = h_i c_{ij} q^r (1-q)ψijr​=hi​cij​qr(1−q) (rflpPsi, rflpCost) under the constraints (9.62)-(9.67) (RFLPFeasible).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9.9

For NNN identical locations and the centralized location formed by merging them (demand NdNdNd):

SC∗=NS∗,gC∗=gD∗=Ng∗,VC∗=NVD∗=N2V∗,S^*_C = NS^*, \qquad g^*_C = g^*_D = Ng^*, \qquad V^*_C = N V^*_D = N^2 V^*,SC∗​=NS∗,gC∗​=gD∗​=Ng∗,VC∗​=NVD∗​=N2V∗,

that is, an optimal single-location level SSS scales to the optimal centralized level NSNSNS, the centralized expected cost at NSNSNS is NNN times the single-location cost, and its variance is N2N^2N2 times the single-location variance. This is risk_diversification.

Supporting targets

Lemma 9.2, the stationary distribution and distribution function of the disruption chain; Lemma 9.4, that the optimal base-stock level is a multiple of ddd; Theorem 9.5, S∗=d+dF−1(p/(p+h))S^* = d + dF^{-1}(p/(p+h))S∗=d+dF−1(p/(p+h)), as the least minimizer of ggg; and Theorem 9.10, that in every optimal RFLP solution consecutive backup assignments are ordered by cost. Theorem 9.3, the optimality of base-stock policies, is cited by the book to Song and Zipkin without a model of the policy space and is not a target; Proposition 9.1 and the multisupplier results of Sect. 9.4 are left for a later mission, as discussed below.

Significance

Theorem 9.5 is the supply-side newsvendor formula: it says exactly how much inventory buys protection against disruptions of a given length, and it underlies the disruption models used in practice for raw-material buffers. Theorem 9.9 is the chapter's central insight and the reason supply and demand uncertainty call for opposite strategies: pooling reduces expected cost under demand uncertainty but only redistributes risk under supply uncertainty, concentrating it. Its three identities are what a risk-averse planner needs to compare the two designs by a mean-variance criterion. Theorem 9.10 is what lets the RFLP be formulated without ordering constraints and solved by Lagrangian relaxation like the UFLP.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorem 9.5 and the identities behind Theorem 9.9, sketches Lemma 9.4, and leaves Lemma 9.2 and Theorem 9.10 as exercises. The formal treatment of the piecewise-linear cost ggg and its finite differences is reusable for the yield-uncertainty and multi-supplier models of the same chapter.

Difficulty

The cost ggg is an infinite series whose terms grow linearly in nnn against a geometric weight, so every statement about it begins with summability, and the finite-difference identity Δg(S)=d[(h+p)F(S/d−1)−p]\Delta g(S) = d[(h+p)F(S/d - 1) - p]Δg(S)=d[(h+p)F(S/d−1)−p] requires exchanging a difference with a sum. Theorem 9.5 then needs the convexity and piecewise linearity of ggg to pass from a sign condition on slopes at multiples of ddd to a global minimum over all real SSS, and the identification of the least minimizer needs the slopes to be strictly negative below S∗S^*S∗. The obvious idea, treating the problem as a discrete newsvendor over multiples of ddd, is only half of the argument: it does not by itself exclude non-multiple minimizers, which is what Lemma 9.4 asserts.

Lemma 9.2 is elementary but the stationary equations involve a series over all down states, and the proof must establish summability before manipulating it. Theorem 9.9's scaling identities are termwise, but the optimality transfer in part 1 requires the scaling to preserve minimizers, which follows from the cost identity holding for every SSS.

Theorem 9.10 is an exchange argument on a binary program with layered constraints. The delicate case is the emergency facility: swapping it into a lower level is infeasible, and the correct move is to promote it and drop the later assignment, which changes the constraints for every higher level; the argument must show feasibility of the modified solution level by level.

Formalization scope

The disruption distribution is given by Lemma 9.2's formula rather than defined as the stationary distribution, and Lemma 9.2 shows it satisfies the stationary equations; the theorems assume 0<α≤10 < \alpha \le 10<α≤1 and 0<β≤10 < \beta \le 10<β≤1, under which every series is a geometric series times a polynomial and is summable. The quantity F−1(γ)F^{-1}(\gamma)F−1(γ) enters Theorem 9.5 as a natural number kkk characterized by F(k)≥γF(k) \ge \gammaF(k)≥γ and F(n)<γF(n) < \gammaF(n)<γ for n<kn < kn<k, which exists since F(n)→1>γF(n) \to 1 > \gammaF(n)→1>γ; the conclusion asserts both optimality and leastness of d+dkd + dkd+dk among all real levels.

Theorem 9.9 is stated as the scaling of the single-location functions; the decentralized totals Ng∗Ng^*Ng∗ and NV∗NV^*NV∗ are the mean and variance of a sum of NNN independent copies, which the book asserts rather than derives, and are not modeled separately. In the RFLP, levels are indexed by Fin m, the emergency facility is a designated index uuu whose data satisfy the book's conventions through the hypotheses, and demands are positive with 0<q<10 < q < 10<q<1, both needed: with q=0q = 0q=0 or hi=0h_i = 0hi​=0 backup assignments are free and any order is optimal.

The EOQ with disruptions (Proposition 9.1) is a renewal-reward derivation without a formal model of the renewal process in the book, and the multisupplier newsvendor of Sect. 9.4 (Lemma 9.6, Theorems 9.7 and 9.8) rests on differentiability conditions the book defers to Dada et al. and on a lemma it leaves as an exercise; both are natural extensions on the same definitions rather than targets here.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 9. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • B. Tomlin, On the value of mitigation and contingency strategies for managing supply chain disruption risks, Management Science 52(5), 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0515
  • A. J. Schmitt, S. A. Sun, L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Centralization versus decentralization: risk pooling, risk diversification, and supply chain disruptions, Omega 52, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2014.10.010
  • L. V. Snyder and M. S. Daskin, Reliability models for facility location: the expected failure cost case, Transportation Science 39(3), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.1040.0107
  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Supply and demand uncertainty in multi-echelon supply chains, working paper, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1080.0224
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory IX: Facility Location ModelsTextbook

Where to put the warehouses

Choosing where to open distribution centers is the strategic decision that fixes a supply chain's shape for years. The basic model, the uncapacitated fixed-charge location problem (UFLP) of Balinski (1965), trades the fixed cost of opening sites against the cost of transporting demand from open sites to customers. It is NP-hard, yet routinely solved to optimality, and the reason is a fact about its relaxations: the LP relaxation is unusually tight, and Lagrangian relaxation, which Cornuejols, Fisher and Nemhauser (1977) brought to location problems, gives the same bound with a subproblem solvable by inspection. Chapter 8 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) develops the UFLP, its Lagrangian relaxation and Erlenkotter's (1978) DUALOC dual-ascent method, then the p-median problem with Hakimi's (1965) node-optimality theorem and the covering models. This mission formalizes the chapter's numbered results, with the equality of the Lagrangian and LP bounds as its goal.

Setting

Customers i∈Ii \in Ii∈I have demands hih_ihi​; candidate sites j∈Jj \in Jj∈J have fixed costs fjf_jfj​; shipping one unit from jjj to iii costs cijc_{ij}cij​. A solution opens sites (xj∈{0,1}x_j \in \{0,1\}xj​∈{0,1}) and assigns demand fractions (yij≥0y_{ij} \ge 0yij​≥0, ∑jyij=1\sum_j y_{ij} = 1∑j​yij​=1, yij≤xjy_{ij} \le x_jyij​≤xj​); its cost is ∑jfjxj+∑i∑jhicijyij\sum_j f_j x_j + \sum_i \sum_j h_i c_{ij} y_{ij}∑j​fj​xj​+∑i​∑j​hi​cij​yij​ (uflpCost, UFLPFeasible). The optimal value is z∗z^*z∗ (uflpOpt); relaxing xj∈{0,1}x_j \in \{0,1\}xj​∈{0,1} to 0≤xj≤10 \le x_j \le 10≤xj​≤1 gives the LP relaxation with value zLPz_{LP}zLP​ (uflpLP).

Lagrangian relaxation removes the assignment constraints and charges λi\lambda_iλi​ per unit of violation. For fixed multipliers λ\lambdaλ the subproblem (UFLP-LRλ_\lambdaλ​) minimizes ∑jfjxj+∑i∑j(hicij−λi)yij+∑iλi\sum_j f_j x_j + \sum_i\sum_j (h_i c_{ij} - \lambda_i) y_{ij} + \sum_i \lambda_i∑j​fj​xj​+∑i​∑j​(hi​cij​−λi​)yij​+∑i​λi​ over yij≤xjy_{ij} \le x_jyij​≤xj​, xxx binary, y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 (lagrObjective, LagrFeasible), with value zLR(λ)z_{LR}(\lambda)zLR​(λ) (zLR). It separates by site: the benefit of opening jjj is βj=∑imin⁡{0,hicij−λi}\beta_j = \sum_i \min\{0, h_i c_{ij} - \lambda_i\}βj​=∑i​min{0,hi​cij​−λi​} (benefit), and jjj is opened iff βj+fj<0\beta_j + f_j < 0βj​+fj​<0. The best bound is the Lagrangian dual value zLR=max⁡λzLR(λ)z_{LR} = \max_\lambda z_{LR}(\lambda)zLR​=maxλ​zLR​(λ) (zLRbest).

DUALOC works with the condensed dual of the LP relaxation, whose variables viv_ivi​ satisfy ∑imax⁡{0,vi−c^ij}≤fj\sum_i \max\{0, v_i - \hat c_{ij}\} \le f_j∑i​max{0,vi​−c^ij​}≤fj​ with c^ij=hicij\hat c_{ij} = h_i c_{ij}c^ij​=hi​cij​. A dual solution vvv and a site set J+J^+J+ form a primal-dual pair (PDP) when these constraints are tight on J+J^+J+ and every customer has a site in J+J^+J+ with c^ij≤vi\hat c_{ij} \le v_ic^ij​≤vi​; the primal solution opens J+J^+J+ and assigns each customer to its nearest open site j+(i)j^+(i)j+(i) (NearestIn, primalX, primalY).

For the p-median problem on a network, the customers are the nodes, ddd is the shortest-path distance between nodes, and a facility may sit at position ttt along an edge (u,w)(u, w)(u,w) of length ℓ\ellℓ, at distance min⁡{d(i,u)+tℓ,d(i,w)+(1−t)ℓ}\min\{d(i,u) + t\ell, d(i,w) + (1-t)\ell\}min{d(i,u)+tℓ,d(i,w)+(1−t)ℓ} from node iii (NetPoint, netDist). The p-center problem minimizes the largest distance from a customer to its nearest of ppp open sites; pCenterValue c p is its optimal value.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 8.2

For every instance with at least one candidate site,

zLP  =  zLR  =  sup⁡λzLR(λ).z_{LP} \;=\; z_{LR} \;=\; \sup_\lambda z_{LR}(\lambda).zLP​=zLR​=λsup​zLR​(λ).

This is lagrangian_equals_lp.

Supporting targets

Theorem 8.1, the closed form zLR(λ)=∑jmin⁡{0,βj+fj}+∑iλiz_{LR}(\lambda) = \sum_j \min\{0, \beta_j + f_j\} + \sum_i \lambda_izLR​(λ)=∑j​min{0,βj​+fj​}+∑i​λi​ with its optimal solution; the bounds (8.16) zLR(λ)≤z∗z_{LR}(\lambda) \le z^*zLR​(λ)≤z∗ and (8.19) zLP≤zLR≤z∗z_{LP} \le z_{LR} \le z^*zLP​≤zLR​≤z∗; Theorem 8.3, the variable-fixing tests; Lemma 8.4, the DUALOC duality gap zP+−zD+=∑i∑j∈J+,j≠j+(i)max⁡{0,vi−c^ij}z^+_P - z^+_D = \sum_i \sum_{j \in J^+, j \ne j^+(i)} \max\{0, v_i - \hat c_{ij}\}zP+​−zD+​=∑i​∑j∈J+,j=j+(i)​max{0,vi​−c^ij​}; Lemma 8.6, the characterization of complementary slackness violations; Theorem 8.7, Hakimi's theorem that some ppp nodes are optimal among all ppp-point sets; Lemma 8.8, the equivalence between the ppp-center value being at most rrr and a set cover of radius rrr with at most ppp sites. Proposition 8.5, which concerns the output of a specific procedure, is not a target.

Significance

Corollary 8.2 explains the behavior of every Lagrangian location code: the bound cannot beat the LP bound, so its value lies in the ease of the subproblem and in extensions to nonlinear location models (the location model with risk pooling of Chapter 12) where no LP is available. Theorem 8.1 is the subproblem solution those codes use; Theorem 8.3 is the variable-fixing device of Daskin, Snyder and others that shrinks branch-and-bound trees. Lemmas 8.4 and 8.6 are the analytical core of DUALOC, the method that made large UFLP instances solvable in the 1970s. Hakimi's theorem is the reason the ppp-median problem is a discrete problem at all, and Lemma 8.8 is the reason ppp-center problems are solved by bisection over covering problems rather than by their weak MIP formulation.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorems 8.1 and 8.3 and Lemma 8.6, cites Corollary 8.2 to Appendix D and Theorem 8.7 to Hakimi, and leaves Lemmas 8.4 and 8.8 as exercises. The formal treatment of the integrality property and of Lagrangian duality for a linear objective over a product of boxes is reusable for the p-median and capacitated variants the chapter goes on to discuss.

Difficulty

The goal is an LP duality statement in disguise, and the obvious idea, that zLR(λ)z_{LR}(\lambda)zLR​(λ) is the dual function of the LP relaxation, is exactly what needs proof. Two facts must be established: that for fixed λ\lambdaλ the subproblem over binary xxx has the same value as over x∈[0,1]x \in [0,1]x∈[0,1], because after the optimal yyy is substituted the objective is linear in xxx; and that the supremum over λ\lambdaλ of the resulting concave piecewise-linear function equals the LP minimum. The second is strong duality for a linear program, which Mathlib does not provide ready-made; it has to be obtained either through a Farkas-type argument or by exhibiting, for the LP optimum, a multiplier vector that attains it, which for this problem can be read off the LP dual. The book proves none of this; it invokes Lemma D.3.

The bounds (8.16) and (8.19) are easier but not free: the infima and suprema defining z∗z^*z∗, zLPz_{LP}zLP​ and zLRz_{LR}zLR​ must be shown attained, which needs finiteness of the binary choices and compactness of the assignment polytope. Theorem 8.3 depends on the value of the subproblem with one variable forced, which is Theorem 8.1 applied to a modified instance. Hakimi's theorem needs a concavity argument in each point's position and a bookkeeping step, since moving several points to nodes may merge them and the result must still have exactly ppp nodes. Lemma 8.8 is combinatorial and short once the ppp-center value is identified with a minimum over ppp-subsets.

Formalization scope

Customers and sites are Fin n and Fin m; demands, costs and fixed costs are arbitrary reals, as the book's formulations are, and the theorems that need it assume m≥1m \ge 1m≥1. Optimal values are infima or suprema of the sets of attainable objective values, all of which are nonempty and bounded under the stated hypotheses. The Lagrangian dual value is a supremum over all real multiplier vectors, so Corollary 8.2 asserts in particular that the supremum equals the attained LP value.

The DUALOC statements take the nearest-facility assignment j+(i)j^+(i)j+(i) as a function a with the defining property, so ties are resolved by the hypothesis, and the complementary slackness violation is written exactly as (8.51) with (x+,y+)(x^+, y^+)(x+,y+) substituted. Hakimi's theorem is stated for a family of ppp points with repetition allowed, which is stronger than for a set. It assumes what the book's network supplies: the node distances satisfy the triangle inequality, since they are shortest-path distances, and every edge carrying a point is at least as long as the distance between its endpoints. The argument needs both: they make the ends of an edge coincide with its nodes, and without them a point on a short fictitious edge can beat every node. The set covering value in Lemma 8.8 is expressed through the existence of a cover with at most ppp sites rather than as a natural-number infimum, whose value 000 on infeasible instances would falsify the equivalence.

The definition module is shared by all ten items. The Lagrangian relaxation of the ppp-median problem (Sect. 8.3.2.2), the continuous knapsack subproblem of the capacitated problem, and Proposition 8.5 on the dual-ascent procedure are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 8. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • M. L. Balinski, Integer programming: methods, uses, computation, Management Science 12(3), 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.12.3.253
  • G. Cornuejols, M. L. Fisher and G. L. Nemhauser, Location of bank accounts to optimize float, Management Science 23(8), 1977. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.23.8.789
  • D. Erlenkotter, A dual-based procedure for uncapacitated facility location, Operations Research 26(6), 1978. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.26.6.992
  • S. L. Hakimi, Optimum distribution of switching centers in a communication network and some related graph theoretic problems, Operations Research 13(3), 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.13.3.462
  • A. M. Geoffrion, Lagrangean relaxation for integer programming, Mathematical Programming Study 2, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1007/BFb0120690
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Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory VIII: Supply Chain ContractsTextbook

Why the newsvendor orders too little

A retailer facing uncertain single-period demand and buying from a supplier at a wholesale price orders less than the two of them together would want. The reason is not irrationality but incentives: the retailer bears the whole cost of unsold stock while the supplier collects a margin on every unit ordered, so each party marks up its own cost and the combined markup, Spengler's (1950) double marginalization, depresses the order. Pasternack (1985) showed that a buyback credit for unsold units, priced correctly, realigns the retailer with the chain, and Cachon (2003) surveys the contracts that followed. Chapter 14 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory (2019) develops this as a Stackelberg game on the newsvendor model: the supplier sets contract terms, the retailer sets the order quantity. This mission formalizes the chapter's seven theorems, with the buyback allocation theorem, which shows that buyback both coordinates the chain and can divide its profit in any proportion, as the goal.

Setting

Demand DDD is a random variable with law on R\mathbb{R}R and mean μ\muμ. The retail price is rrr; the supplier's and retailer's per-unit costs are csc_scs​ and crc_rcr​ with c=cs+cr<rc = c_s + c_r < rc=cs​+cr​<r; lost sales cost the two parties goodwill penalties psp_sps​ and prp_rpr​ with p=ps+prp = p_s + p_rp=ps​+pr​; unsold units salvage for v<crv < c_rv<cr​ (ContractData). With S(Q)=E[min⁡{Q,D}]S(Q) = \mathbb{E}[\min\{Q, D\}]S(Q)=E[min{Q,D}] the expected sales (expSales) and I(Q)=Q−S(Q)I(Q) = Q - S(Q)I(Q)=Q−S(Q) the expected leftover (expLeftover), a transfer payment T(Q)T(Q)T(Q) from retailer to supplier determines the two profits (retailerProfit, supplierProfit),

πr(Q)=(r−v+pr)S(Q)−(cr−v)Q−prμ−T(Q),πs(Q)=psS(Q)−csQ−psμ+T(Q),\pi_r(Q) = (r - v + p_r)S(Q) - (c_r - v)Q - p_r\mu - T(Q), \qquad \pi_s(Q) = p_s S(Q) - c_s Q - p_s\mu + T(Q),πr​(Q)=(r−v+pr​)S(Q)−(cr​−v)Q−pr​μ−T(Q),πs​(Q)=ps​S(Q)−cs​Q−ps​μ+T(Q),

whose sum Π(Q)=(r−v+p)S(Q)−(c−v)Q−pμ\Pi(Q) = (r - v + p)S(Q) - (c - v)Q - p\muΠ(Q)=(r−v+p)S(Q)−(c−v)Q−pμ (chainProfit) is independent of the contract. The chain-optimal quantity Q0Q_0Q0​ maximizes Π\PiΠ; the retailer's and supplier's optimal quantities Qr∗Q^*_rQr∗​, Qs∗Q^*_sQs∗​ maximize their own profits. A contract coordinates the chain when Qr∗=Qs∗=Q0Q^*_r = Q^*_s = Q_0Qr∗​=Qs∗​=Q0​, stated here as equality of the sets of maximizers, and is a coordinating contract type when some choice of its parameters does this with both profits positive.

The four contracts are their transfer payments. Wholesale price: T=wQT = wQT=wQ. Buyback: T=wQ−b I(Q)T = wQ - b\,I(Q)T=wQ−bI(Q), the supplier crediting bbb per unsold unit, with 0≤b≤r−v+pr0 \le b \le r - v + p_r0≤b≤r−v+pr​ and w=w(b)w = w(b)w=w(b) of (14.22). Revenue sharing: the retailer keeps a fraction ϕ\phiϕ of sales and salvage revenue, T=(w+(1−ϕ)v)Q+(1−ϕ)(r−v)S(Q)T = (w + (1-\phi)v)Q + (1-\phi)(r - v)S(Q)T=(w+(1−ϕ)v)Q+(1−ϕ)(r−v)S(Q), with w=w(ϕ)w = w(\phi)w=w(ϕ) of (14.34). Quantity flexibility: the supplier reimburses the retailer's loss w+cr−vw + c_r - vw+cr​−v on unsold units up to δQ\delta QδQ, T=wQ−(w+cr−v)∫(1−δ)QQF(t) dtT = wQ - (w + c_r - v)\int_{(1-\delta)Q}^{Q} F(t)\,dtT=wQ−(w+cr​−v)∫(1−δ)QQ​F(t)dt, with w=w(δ)w = w(\delta)w=w(δ) of (14.46). For buyback, λ=(r−v+pr−b)/(r−v+p)\lambda = (r - v + p_r - b)/(r - v + p)λ=(r−v+pr​−b)/(r−v+p) is the retailer's share of the chain profit (buybackShare), and b1<b2b_1 < b_2b1​<b2​ (buybackB1, buybackB2) are the credits at which one party earns everything.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14.5

Under buyback with w(b)w(b)w(b) at the chain-optimal Q0Q_0Q0​, the retailer's profit is decreasing and the supplier's increasing in b∈[0,r−v+pr]b \in [0, r - v + p_r]b∈[0,r−v+pr​], with 0<b1<b2<r−v+pr0 < b_1 < b_2 < r - v + p_r0<b1​<b2​<r−v+pr​ and

πr(Q0,w(b1),b1)=Π(Q0),πs(Q0,w(b2),b2)=Π(Q0),\pi_r(Q_0, w(b_1), b_1) = \Pi(Q_0), \qquad \pi_s(Q_0, w(b_2), b_2) = \Pi(Q_0),πr​(Q0​,w(b1​),b1​)=Π(Q0​),πs​(Q0​,w(b2​),b2​)=Π(Q0​),

the supplier losing money for b<b1b < b_1b<b1​, both earning positive profit for b1<b<b2b_1 < b < b_2b1​<b<b2​, and the retailer losing money for b>b2b > b_2b>b2​. This is buyback_allocation.

Supporting targets

Equation (14.8), Q0Q_0Q0​ maximizes Π\PiΠ iff Fˉ(Q0)=(c−v)/(r−v+p)\bar F(Q_0) = (c - v)/(r - v + p)Fˉ(Q0​)=(c−v)/(r−v+p); Theorem 14.1, the wholesale price contract coordinates iff w=cs−c−vr−v+ppsw = c_s - \frac{c-v}{r-v+p}p_sw=cs​−r−v+pc−v​ps​, at which the supplier's profit is negative; Theorem 14.2, Qr∗<Q0Q^*_r < Q_0Qr∗​<Q0​ whenever w>csw > c_sw>cs​; Theorem 14.3, for IGFR demand the supplier's induced profit πs(Q,w(Q))\pi_s(Q, w(Q))πs​(Q,w(Q)) is unimodal; the identities (14.27) and (14.28), πr=λΠ+μ(λp−pr)\pi_r = \lambda\Pi + \mu(\lambda p - p_r)πr​=λΠ+μ(λp−pr​) and its complement under buyback; Theorem 14.4, buyback with w(b)w(b)w(b) coordinates; Theorem 14.6, revenue sharing with w(ϕ)w(\phi)w(ϕ) coordinates; Theorem 14.7, quantity flexibility with w(δ)w(\delta)w(δ) makes Q0Q_0Q0​ optimal for the retailer.

Significance

The chapter's theorems are the analytical basis of contract design in newsvendor supply chains. Theorem 14.1 and 14.2 make double marginalization precise: coordination by price alone is possible only at a price the supplier rejects, and any acceptable price makes the retailer under-order. Theorem 14.3 is what lets the supplier optimize the wholesale price at all, and is the reason the IGFR class of Lariviere and Porteus (2001) is standard in the field. Theorems 14.4 to 14.6 show that buyback and revenue sharing coordinate and, through the share λ\lambdaλ, that the chain profit can be split arbitrarily, so a coordinating contract can be made acceptable to both parties. Theorem 14.7 shows the limits: quantity flexibility coordinates the retailer but not necessarily the supplier.

None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The book proves Theorems 14.1, 14.3, 14.4, 14.5, 14.6 and 14.7 and leaves 14.2 as an exercise. The formalization of the fractile characterization and of the affine profit identities is reusable for the many contract types (sales rebates, quantity discounts) the chapter cites but does not analyze.

Difficulty

The wholesale price results are first-order conditions on concave functions, and the difficulty is entirely in the analysis: S(Q)=E[min⁡{Q,D}]S(Q) = \mathbb{E}[\min\{Q, D\}]S(Q)=E[min{Q,D}] has derivative Fˉ(Q)\bar F(Q)Fˉ(Q) for every QQQ when FFF is continuous, which is a differentiation under the integral that has to be carried out for a Lipschitz integrand and an arbitrary law, and the maximizers of the concave profit must then be identified with the solutions of the fractile equation, including existence by the intermediate value theorem. Theorem 14.1's "only if" direction requires that a coincidence of maximizer sets pins the fractile and hence the price, which is where strict monotonicity of FFF enters.

Theorem 14.3 is the delicate one. The obvious approach, concavity of πs(Q,w(Q))\pi_s(Q, w(Q))πs​(Q,w(Q)), fails: the book stresses the function is not concave in general. The proof is a sign-change argument on the derivative (14.16), which is Fˉ(Q)\bar F(Q)Fˉ(Q) times a bracket that IGFR makes decreasing, minus a constant; one must show the derivative is positive near 000, eventually negative, and crosses zero exactly once, and that the last needs both Fˉ\bar FFˉ strictly decreasing and the bracket positive at the crossing. Working with a density in Mathlib means relating the withDensity law to the distribution function throughout.

The buyback, revenue sharing and quantity flexibility theorems are algebra once the right identity is found: πr\pi_rπr​ is an affine function of Π\PiΠ with slope λ\lambdaλ. The formalization must handle the boundary cases the book glosses over, where λ=0\lambda = 0λ=0 or λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1 and one party is indifferent among all quantities, so "the same QQQ maximizes" holds only in one direction. Theorem 14.5 also needs Π(Q0)≤μ(r−c)\Pi(Q_0) \le \mu(r - c)Π(Q0​)≤μ(r−c), a Jensen-type bound S(Q)≤min⁡{Q,μ}S(Q) \le \min\{Q, \mu\}S(Q)≤min{Q,μ}, for b1>0b_1 > 0b1​>0, and the ordering b1<b2b_1 < b_2b1​<b2​ needs Π(Q0)>0\Pi(Q_0) > 0Π(Q0​)>0, which the book's proof does not isolate.

Formalization scope

Demand is an arbitrary probability law on R\mathbb{R}R with finite mean, not assumed nonnegative; the book's own examples use normal demand. Optimal quantities are maximizers over all of R\mathbb{R}R (IsMaxOn … Set.univ), and coordination is the coincidence of maximizer sets, with the degenerate endpoints of the parameter ranges stated as one-directional. Where the book uses a density, continuity of the distribution function (NullSingletonClass) is assumed instead, except in Theorem 14.3, where the density fff is explicit, continuous on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) (so the exponential law is included), positive on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and IGFR on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞). Strict monotonicity of FFF on R\mathbb{R}R is never assumed, since it would rule out every nonnegative demand law. Theorem 14.1 assumes ps>0p_s > 0ps​>0 and a positive chain optimum, Fˉ(0)>(c−v)/(r−v+p)\bar F(0) > (c - v)/(r - v + p)Fˉ(0)>(c−v)/(r−v+p), both implicit in the book's proof.

The transfer payments are functions of QQQ and the profits are defined for every QQQ, so the theorems compare values of one family of functions; the book's Fˉ\bar FFˉ is 1−F1 - F1−F with Mathlib's cdf, and the quantity flexibility integral is an interval integral. Theorem 14.5 takes Π(Q0)>0\Pi(Q_0) > 0Π(Q0​)>0, μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 and ps,pr>0p_s, p_r > 0ps​,pr​>0 as hypotheses. Without positive goodwill costs its strict inequalities 0<b10 < b_10<b1​ and b2<r−v+prb_2 < r - v + p_rb2​<r−v+pr​ fail (at ps=0p_s = 0ps​=0, b1=0b_1 = 0b1​=0; at pr=0p_r = 0pr​=0, b2=r−v+prb_2 = r - v + p_rb2​=r−v+pr​).

The definition module is shared by all eleven items. The equivalence (14.42)-(14.43) of revenue sharing and buyback, the supplier's stationarity under quantity flexibility (Problem 14.11) and the allocation results for revenue sharing (14.40)-(14.41) are natural extensions on the same definitions.

Selected references

  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 14. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • B. A. Pasternack, Optimal pricing and return policies for perishable commodities, Marketing Science 4(2), 1985. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.4.2.166
  • G. P. Cachon, Supply chain coordination with contracts, in Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science 11, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0927-0507(03)11006-7
  • M. A. Lariviere and E. L. Porteus, Selling to the newsvendor: an analysis of price-only contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
  • G. P. Cachon and M. A. Lariviere, Supply chain coordination with revenue-sharing contracts, Management Science 51(1), 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0215
  • J. J. Spengler, Vertical integration and antitrust policy, Journal of Political Economy 58(4), 1950. https://doi.org/10.1086/256964
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Inventory Control VII: Multi-Echelon Lot Sizing and Roundy's 98 % ApproximationTextbook

Batch quantities that cannot be chosen one site at a time

Chapter 9 of Axsäter's Inventory Control opens with the observation that in a multi-echelon system it is not optimal to choose batch quantities installation by installation: the batch at one site is the demand pattern of the next site upstream. Even with constant customer demand the exact optimum can be complicated, and the book's Example 9.4 shows a four-stage serial system whose optimal batch at one stage alternates between two values over time. Roundy (1985, 1986) showed that this complexity can be avoided at a guaranteed price: restrict every batch quantity to be a power of two times a common basic quantity, nested from stage to stage, and the best such policy costs at most 2 % more than the optimum. The book presents the result for a serial system and remarks that the same approach handles assembly and distribution systems and, in Sect. 7.3.1.2, joint replenishments. It is the capstone of Chapter 9 and the multi-echelon payoff of the powers-of-two analysis of Chapter 7.

Setting

A serial system has NNN installations; installation iii produces item iii from one unit of item i+1i+1i+1, item NNN is obtained from an outside supplier, and item 1 faces a constant, continuous final demand ddd. Lead-times are zero, shortages are not allowed, production is instantaneous, and each batch quantity QiQ_iQi​ is constant over time. Installation iii has an ordering cost AiA_iAi​ per batch and an echelon holding cost eie_iei​ per unit and time unit, charged on the echelon stock (the stock at installation iii and everything downstream), so that the cost per time unit is the sum of NNN single-item costs of the chapter 4 form,

C(Q)  =  ∑i=1N(eiQi2+AidQi)(Eq. 9.17).C(Q) \;=\; \sum_{i=1}^{N}\Big(e_i\frac{Q_i}{2} + A_i\frac{d}{Q_i}\Big) \qquad\text{(Eq. 9.17).}C(Q)=i=1∑N​(ei​2Qi​​+Ai​Qi​d​)(Eq. 9.17).

The book first works out the two-level case, where the optimum has Q2=kQ1Q_2 = kQ_1Q2​=kQ1​ for a positive integer kkk, the cost (9.9) is the EOQ cost with modified parameters A1+A2/kA_1 + A_2/kA1​+A2​/k and e1+ke2e_1 + ke_2e1​+ke2​, and the best kkk is found from k∗=A2e1/(A1e2)k^{*} = \sqrt{A_2e_1/(A_1e_2)}k∗=A2​e1​/(A1​e2​)​ by a rounding rule.

For NNN stages, Roundy's constraints (9.16) require Qi=2kiQi−1Q_i = 2^{k_i}Q_{i-1}Qi​=2ki​Qi−1​ with nonnegative integers kik_iki​, so that every solution is nested. The relaxed constraints (9.18) require only Qi−1≤QiQ_{i-1} \le Q_iQi−1​≤Qi​; they are implied by (9.16), the relaxed problem is convex with linear constraints, and its solution QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel is computed by aggregating consecutive stages whose cost ratios Ai/eiA_i/e_iAi​/ei​ decrease. Roundy's solution rounds QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel to Qi=2miqQ_i = 2^{m_i}qQi​=2mi​q for a basic quantity qqq, chosen as in Proposition 7.2.

Formalization targets

Goal — Roundy's 98 % approximation

For d>0d > 0d>0, Ai>0A_i > 0Ai​>0, ei>0e_i > 0ei​>0 and any minimizer QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel of CCC over positive batch quantities satisfying (9.18), there exist q>0q > 0q>0 and integers m1≤⋯≤mNm_1 \le \dots \le m_Nm1​≤⋯≤mN​ such that Qi=2miqQ_i = 2^{m_i}qQi​=2mi​q satisfies (9.16) and

C(2mq)  ≤  12 ln⁡2 C(Qrel).C\big(2^{m}q\big) \;\le\; \frac{1}{\sqrt 2\,\ln 2}\,C\big(Q^{\mathrm{rel}}\big).C(2mq)≤2​ln21​C(Qrel).

Supporting targets

The two-level results of Sect. 9.2.1: the equivalence of the installation and echelon cost forms (9.6) and (9.9); the optimal Q1Q_1Q1​ and cost (9.10)-(9.11) for a given kkk; the closed form and convexity of C(k)2C(k)^2C(k)2 (9.12) and the real minimizer k∗k^{*}k∗ (9.13); and the integer rounding rule with its corollary that A1/e1≥A2/e2A_1/e_1 \ge A_2/e_2A1​/e1​≥A2​/e2​ forces k=1k = 1k=1. For NNN stages: existence of the relaxed optimum; the aggregation lemma, that Ai/ei<Ai−1/ei−1A_i/e_i < A_{i-1}/e_{i-1}Ai​/ei​<Ai−1​/ei−1​ forces Qirel=Qi−1relQ^{\mathrm{rel}}_i = Q^{\mathrm{rel}}_{i-1}Qirel​=Qi−1rel​; that (9.16) implies (9.18), so the relaxed optimum bounds every powers-of-two policy from below; and that rounding to the nearest power of two times qqq is monotone and lands within a factor 2\sqrt 22​.

Significance

The result itself. Roundy's theorem replaces an intractable lot-sizing problem by a closed-form computation with a provable 2 % guarantee, and the policies it produces are the nested, periodic schedules that production planning wants anyway. In Example 9.4 the rounding with q=1q = 1q=1 is already within 0.7 % of the relaxed bound. The two-level analysis has its own use: the modified parameters A1+A2/kA_1 + A_2/kA1​+A2​/k and e1+ke2e_1 + ke_2e1​+ke2​ are what the Blackburn-Millen heuristic of Sect. 9.3.2 feeds to the Wagner-Whitin algorithm under time-varying demand, and the condition A1/e1≥A2/e2A_1/e_1 \ge A_2/e_2A1​/e1​≥A2​/e2​ tells when a two-stage system collapses to one stage.

Formalizing it. The book proves the bound in a paragraph that leans on three earlier results: Proposition 7.2 for the rounding, the Lagrangean relaxation for the lower bound, and the aggregation algorithm for the structure of QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel. Formalizing it makes explicit what the paragraph glosses: that the multipliers vanish off tight constraints, that equal quantities round to equal quantities, and that the comparison class is the class of nested constant-batch policies. The published Proposition 7.2 (pot_two_percent) and the mean value 1/(2ln⁡2)1/(\sqrt 2\ln 2)1/(2​ln2) are cited as reference items. Nothing here is open; no statement has a machine-checked proof yet.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, rounding QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel item by item and invoking Proposition 7.2 for each, does not work: Proposition 7.2 bounds the rounded cost relative to each item's unconstrained optimum, and QirelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}_iQirel​ is generally not that optimum. The proof must pass through the Lagrangean relaxation (9.19)-(9.20), under which QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel is the unconstrained optimum for the modified holding costs ei′=ei−2λi+2λi+1e_i' = e_i - 2\lambda_i + 2\lambda_{i+1}ei′​=ei​−2λi​+2λi+1​, apply Proposition 7.2 there, and transfer the bound back using complementary slackness: the multiplier λi\lambda_iλi​ is positive only where Qirel=Qi−1relQ^{\mathrm{rel}}_i = Q^{\mathrm{rel}}_{i-1}Qirel​=Qi−1rel​, and equal quantities round to equal quantities, so the correction terms λi(Qi−Qi−1)\lambda_i(Q_i - Q_{i-1})λi​(Qi​−Qi−1​) vanish for both QrelQ^{\mathrm{rel}}Qrel and its rounding. A solver therefore needs the KKT conditions for this convex program, or an equivalent direct argument through the aggregation structure (within an aggregate all quantities are equal and their sum is an EOQ problem). The two-level statements and the rounding lemma are elementary.

Formalization scope

Stages are indexed by Fin N; the cost is serialCost A e d Q = ∑ i, eoqCost (A i) d (e i) (Q i) with eoqCost imported from the chapter 4 definitions, and the two-level cost is eoqCost (A1 + A2/k) d (e1 + k e2) Q1 by definition, so the published eoq_optimal and eoq_cost_at_eoq apply to it directly. SerialNested and SerialPowerOfTwo are the constraints (9.18) and (9.16) on consecutive indices; for N≤1N \le 1N≤1 both hold vacuously and the goal is Proposition 7.2 for one item. potRound q Q is ⌊log⁡2(Q/q)+12⌋\lfloor \log_2(Q/q) + \tfrac12\rfloor⌊log2​(Q/q)+21​⌋.

All theorems assume d,Ai,ei>0d, A_i, e_i > 0d,Ai​,ei​>0 and positive batch quantities. The book says "nonnegative ordering and echelon holding costs"; strict positivity is needed for the relaxed problem to have a solution at all (ei=0e_i = 0ei​=0 or Ai=0A_i = 0Ai​=0 sends the optimal QiQ_iQi​ to ∞\infty∞ or 000), and it is what the book's own examples satisfy. The relaxed optimum enters the goal as a hypothesis, with existence stated separately; uniqueness is not used. The constant is the exact 1/(2ln⁡2)1/(\sqrt 2\ln 2)1/(2​ln2).

Two readings are excluded. The bound is not against an arbitrary nested QQQ, for which it would be false, but against the relaxed optimum; and the comparison class is stated as nested constant-batch policies, the class the relaxed problem bounds directly, not the book's larger class of time-varying policies, which would need a dynamic model. The definitions are reusable for assembly systems and for the joint replenishment problem of Sect. 7.3.1.2, whose Roundy analysis is the same with a fictive item 0 of zero holding cost; contributions in that direction are welcome.

Selected references

  • Sven Axsäter, Inventory Control, 3rd edition, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 225, Springer, 2015, Sect. 9.2. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-15729-0
  • Robin Roundy, 98%-Effective Integer-Ratio Lot-Sizing for One-Warehouse Multi-Retailer Systems, Management Science 31(11), 1985, pp. 1416-1430. DOI 10.1287/mnsc.31.11.1416
  • Robin Roundy, A 98%-Effective Lot-Sizing Rule for a Multi-Product, Multi-Stage Production/Inventory System, Mathematics of Operations Research 11(4), 1986, pp. 699-727. DOI 10.1287/moor.11.4.699
  • John A. Muckstadt and Robin O. Roundy, Analysis of Multistage Production Systems, in: Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science 4, Elsevier, 1993, pp. 59-131. DOI 10.1016/S0927-0507(05)80182-4
  • Peter L. Jackson, William L. Maxwell and John A. Muckstadt, The Joint Replenishment Problem with a Powers-of-Two Restriction, IIE Transactions 17(1), 1985, pp. 25-32. DOI 10.1080/07408178508975268
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Inventory Control VI: Optimality of (R, Q) Policies When Ordering in BatchesTextbook

Why the policy class is not up for debate

Every model in Chapters 5 and 6 of Axsäter's Inventory Control assumes at the outset that the ordering policy is of (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) or (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) type. Section 6.2 asks whether better policies exist and answers, for the case in which there are no ordering costs but every order must be a multiple of a fixed batch quantity QQQ, that none do: Proposition 6.1, "an (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy is optimal", with a proof the book attributes to Chen (2000). For Q=1Q = 1Q=1 it is the optimality of an order-up-to-SSS policy in the absence of ordering costs, and for continuous or Poisson demand it transfers to (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policies, which are then the same thing. The proposition is the one place in the book where a policy is compared against every feasible alternative rather than against other members of its own family, and its proof is short enough to be given in full, which makes it the natural capstone of Chapter 6.

Setting

Demand is compound Poisson: customers arrive according to a Poisson process with rate λ\lambdaλ and each demands an integral number of units, with sizes D0,D1,…D_0, D_1, \dotsD0​,D1​,… independent and identically distributed with law fff on the positive integers, independent of the arrival process. The book's standing assumption that not all demands are multiples of some integer larger than one is kept. Writing TnT_nTn​ for the nnn-th arrival time, N(t)N(t)N(t) for the number of arrivals by time ttt and Sn=D0+⋯+Dn−1S_n = D_0 + \dots + D_{n-1}Sn​=D0​+⋯+Dn−1​, the total demand by time ttt is SN(t)S_{N(t)}SN(t)​.

The replenishment lead-time LLL is constant and D(L)D(L)D(L), the demand over a lead-time, has law DDD. A holding cost h>0h > 0h>0 and a shortage cost b1>0b_1 > 0b1​>0 per unit and time unit are charged. There are no ordering costs, but all orders must be multiples of a given batch quantity Q≥1Q \ge 1Q≥1 and can only be triggered by customer demands. A policy is therefore any rule mmm that decides at each demand epoch how many batches to order; with initial position y0y_0y0​ the inventory position evolves as yn+1=yn−Dn+mnQy_{n+1} = y_n - D_n + m_nQyn+1​=yn​−Dn​+mn​Q (Eq. 6.22), and yt=yN(t)y_t = y_{N(t)}yt​=yN(t)​.

The standard argument of Sect. 5.3.2 gives the cost rate at time t+Lt + Lt+L as

g(yt),g(k)=−b1(k−μ′)+(h+b1)∑j=1kj Pr⁡[D(L)=k−j],g(y_t), \qquad g(k) = -b_1(k - \mu') + (h+b_1)\sum_{j=1}^{k} j\,\Pr[D(L) = k - j],g(yt​),g(k)=−b1​(k−μ′)+(h+b1​)j=1∑k​jPr[D(L)=k−j],

the expected holding-plus-shortage cost rate of an inventory level k−D(L)k - D(L)k−D(L) (Eq. 6.20), which is convex in kkk with g(k)→∞g(k) \to \inftyg(k)→∞ as ∣k∣→∞|k| \to \infty∣k∣→∞. The band cost is gˉ(y)=∑j=1Qg(y+j)\bar g(y) = \sum_{j=1}^{Q} g(y+j)gˉ​(y)=∑j=1Q​g(y+j) and RRR denotes an integer minimizing gˉ\bar ggˉ​. The (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy orders, as soon as the position is at or below RRR, the smallest number of batches that brings it above RRR; its position lives in the band {R+1,…,R+Q}\{R+1, \dots, R+Q\}{R+1,…,R+Q} from the first order on. The performance measure is the long-run average cost rate 1T∫0Tg(yt−L) dt\frac{1}{T}\int_0^T g(y_{t-L})\,\mathrm{d}tT1​∫0T​g(yt−L​)dt as T→∞T \to \inftyT→∞.

Formalization targets

Goal — Proposition 6.1

Almost surely, (1) for every policy mmm and every y0y_0y0​,

lim inf⁡T→∞1T∫0Tg(yt−Lm) dt  ≥  gˉ(R)Q,\liminf_{T\to\infty} \frac{1}{T}\int_0^T g\big(y^{m}_{t-L}\big)\,\mathrm{d}t \;\ge\; \frac{\bar g(R)}{Q},T→∞liminf​T1​∫0T​g(yt−Lm​)dt≥Qgˉ​(R)​,

and (2) the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy attains it:

1T∫0Tg(yt−L(R,Q)) dt  ⟶  gˉ(R)Q.\frac{1}{T}\int_0^T g\big(y^{(R,Q)}_{t-L}\big)\,\mathrm{d}t \;\longrightarrow\; \frac{\bar g(R)}{Q}.T1​∫0T​g(yt−L(R,Q)​)dt⟶Qgˉ​(R)​.

Supporting targets

Lemma 6.1, that x↦g(z+xQ)x \mapsto g(z + xQ)x↦g(z+xQ) is convex and minimized at the representative of zzz in the band; the closed form of the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) position, y0−Sny_0 - S_ny0​−Sn​ until the first order and the band representative of y0−Sny_0 - S_ny0​−Sn​ afterwards; the uniform occupation of the band by the reduced process yt′y_t'yt′​, the book's "the steady state distribution can be shown to be uniform", and its consequence that the long-run average of g(yt′)g(y_t')g(yt′​) is gˉ(R)/Q\bar g(R)/Qgˉ​(R)/Q; Proposition 5.1 in the same ergodic form for the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy; and the two halves of the goal as separate statements.

Significance

The result itself. Proposition 6.1 is what licenses the two-parameter policies on which the rest of the book's single-echelon theory is built, and it does so for the practically important case of batch ordering (pallets, containers, production lots). Its proof also explains why the policy works: the only quantity a policy controls is the residue class of the inventory position modulo QQQ, which no policy can influence, and the position within that class, which the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy always sets to the cheapest possible value. The book extends the same reasoning to other cost structures and to periodic review.

Formalizing it. The proposition is a theorem about the class of all policies, and the book's proof is pathwise: Lemma 6.1 compares any policy with the reduced process instant by instant, and an ergodic statement about the reduced process does the rest. Formalizing it therefore forces the policy class, the demand process and the long-run average to be written down exactly, which the book never does. Nothing here is open; no statement has a machine-checked proof yet.

Difficulty

The pointwise comparison is elementary once Lemma 6.1 is available, and Lemma 6.1 is discrete convexity. The difficulty is entirely in the ergodic statement: that the reduced position yt′=y_t' = yt′​= (the band representative of y0−SN(t)y_0 - S_{N(t)}y0​−SN(t)​) spends a fraction 1/Q1/Q1/Q of the time at each point of the band, almost surely. In discrete time this is the convergence of occupation frequencies for an irreducible random walk on Z/QZ\mathbb{Z}/Q\mathbb{Z}Z/QZ with step law fff modulo QQQ, where irreducibility is exactly the aperiodicity assumption on fff, and the book's double-stochasticity argument (Eq. 5.33-5.34) identifies the uniform law as stationary. Passing to continuous time adds the exponential holding times: the time average is the arrival average weighted by i.i.d. holding times independent of the walk, which a strong law of large numbers turns back into the discrete statement. Mathlib has the strong law and the exponential law but no ergodic theorem for finite Markov chains, so that is the groundwork a solver must build. The naive route through the stationary distribution of the embedded chain at demand epochs is not enough on its own: for pure Poisson demand that chain is periodic, and the book itself notes it.

Formalization scope

A CompoundPoissonDemand on a probability space packages the rate, the size law with f0=0f_0 = 0f0​=0 and the aperiodicity condition, and two sequences of random variables, the gaps and the sizes, with their laws (expMeasure lam, the given pmf), independence within each sequence, and independence between the sequences. Arrival times are partial sums of the gaps, count t is the supremum of {n:Tn≤t}\{n : T_n \le t\}{n:Tn​≤t}, and cumDemand n is the partial sum of the sizes. A policy is a function m : ℕ → Ω → ℕ with no measurability requirement; ipPath and ipAt are the position after the nnn-th demand and at time ttt; rqIP and rqOrders are the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy, with a theorem identifying rqOrders as a policy in the general sense. avgCost is 1T∫0Tg(yt−L) dt\frac{1}{T}\int_0^T g(y_{t-L})\,\mathrm{d}tT1​∫0T​g(yt−L​)dt with ys=y0y_s = y_0ys​=y0​ for s<0s < 0s<0. The cost function ggg is sPolicyCost from the previous mission, applied to a DiscreteDemand that the hypotheses tie to the process as the law of the demand in (0,L](0, L](0,L].

Conventions: Q≥1Q \ge 1Q≥1, L≥0L \ge 0L≥0, h,b1>0h, b_1 > 0h,b1​>0; RRR is any minimizer of gˉ\bar ggˉ​ (it exists by the divergence of ggg, proved in the previous mission); y0y_0y0​ is arbitrary. count and the interval integral take junk values on the null set where arrivals do not tend to infinity, which the almost-sure conclusions absorb. "lim inf⁡≥c\liminf \ge climinf≥c" is stated as "for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0, eventually ≥c−ε\ge c - \varepsilon≥c−ε", avoiding a liminf on R\mathbb{R}R that could be junk.

Two readings that would trivialize the goal are excluded: the lower bound is over every rule, not over stationary or measurable ones, and the achievability half is a genuine limit, not a bound. The demand model and the occupation-frequency theorems are reusable for Proposition 10.1 and the batch-ordering models of Sect. 10.5; contributions establishing the ergodic theorem for irreducible chains on a finite cyclic group are welcome and would close most of this mission.

Selected references

  • Sven Axsäter, Inventory Control, 3rd edition, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 225, Springer, 2015, Sects. 5.3.1 and 6.2.1. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-15729-0
  • Fangruo Chen, Optimal Policies for Multi-Echelon Inventory Problems with Batch Ordering, Operations Research 48(3), 2000, pp. 376-389. DOI 10.1287/opre.48.3.376.12427
  • Awi Federgruen and Yu-Sheng Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4), 1992, pp. 808-813. DOI 10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • Evan L. Porteus, Foundations of Stochastic Inventory Theory, Stanford University Press, 2002.
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Inventory Control V: Joint Optimization of Reorder Point and Batch QuantityTextbook

Two decisions that are usually taken separately

An (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy has two parameters. Chapter 4 of Axsäter's Inventory Control chooses the batch quantity QQQ from a deterministic model, and Chapter 5 chooses the reorder point RRR from a stochastic one with QQQ held fixed; the book presents this two-step practice as an adequate approximation. Section 6.1 asks what is lost by it and shows how to optimize both parameters jointly in one stochastic model. For discrete demand the answer, due to Federgruen and Zheng (1992), is an algorithm of remarkable simplicity: increase QQQ one unit at a time, keep the reorder point optimal along the way by a one-line rule, and stop at the first QQQ for which the cost goes up. The claim that this stopping rule finds the global optimum over all pairs (R,Q)(R, Q)(R,Q) is the capstone of Sect. 6.1.1.1 and the goal of this mission. The same idea is reused in the book for (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policies (Sect. 6.1.1.2) and, in continuous form, for normally distributed demand (Sect. 6.1.2).

Setting

An item is controlled by a continuous review (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy with integral reorder point RRR and batch quantity Q≥1Q \ge 1Q≥1. Demand is discrete and stationary; the lead-time demand D(L)D(L)D(L) takes values in the nonnegative integers with probabilities pj=Pr⁡[D(L)=j]p_j = \Pr[D(L) = j]pj​=Pr[D(L)=j] and has a finite mean μ′\mu'μ′. The average demand per unit of time is μ\muμ. Costs are a holding cost hhh and a shortage cost b1b_1b1​, both per unit and time unit, and an ordering cost AAA per batch.

The building block is the cost of an (S−1,S)(S-1,S)(S−1,S) policy that keeps the inventory position at a fixed integer kkk. By the standard argument of Sect. 5.3.2 the inventory level a lead-time later is k−D(L)k - D(L)k−D(L), and the average holding and shortage cost rate is (Eq. 6.3)

g(k)  =  −b1 (k−μ′)+(h+b1)∑j=1kj Pr⁡[D(L)=k−j].g(k) \;=\; -b_1\,(k - \mu') + (h + b_1)\sum_{j=1}^{k} j\,\Pr[D(L) = k - j].g(k)=−b1​(k−μ′)+(h+b1​)j=1∑k​jPr[D(L)=k−j].

Under the (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy the inventory position is uniformly distributed on {R+1,…,R+Q}\{R+1, \dots, R+Q\}{R+1,…,R+Q} (Proposition 5.1), so the total average cost rate is (Eq. 6.4)

C(R,Q)  =  AμQ+1Q∑k=R+1R+Qg(k),C(R, Q) \;=\; \frac{A\mu}{Q} + \frac{1}{Q}\sum_{k=R+1}^{R+Q} g(k),C(R,Q)=QAμ​+Q1​k=R+1∑R+Q​g(k),

and C(Q)=min⁡RC(R,Q)C(Q) = \min_R C(R,Q)C(Q)=minR​C(R,Q) (Eq. 6.5), attained at an optimal reorder point R∗(Q)R^{*}(Q)R∗(Q). The ready rate S3(R)=Pr⁡[IL>0]=1Q∑k=R+1R+QPr⁡[D(L)≤k−1]S_3(R) = \Pr[IL > 0] = \frac{1}{Q}\sum_{k=R+1}^{R+Q}\Pr[D(L) \le k-1]S3​(R)=Pr[IL>0]=Q1​∑k=R+1R+Q​Pr[D(L)≤k−1] links the cost to service: raising the reorder point by one unit changes the cost by −b1+(h+b1)S3(R+1)-b_1 + (h + b_1)S_3(R+1)−b1​+(h+b1​)S3​(R+1) (Eq. 5.60).

Formalization targets

Goal — the Federgruen-Zheng stopping rule is optimal

Let Q∗≥1Q^{*} \ge 1Q∗≥1 be the smallest batch quantity with C(Q∗+1)≥C(Q∗)C(Q^{*}+1) \ge C(Q^{*})C(Q∗+1)≥C(Q∗) and let R∗R^{*}R∗ be an optimal reorder point for Q∗Q^{*}Q∗. Then

C(R∗,Q∗)  ≤  C(R,Q)for all R∈Z, Q≥1.C(R^{*}, Q^{*}) \;\le\; C(R, Q) \qquad\text{for all } R \in \mathbb{Z},\ Q \ge 1.C(R∗,Q∗)≤C(R,Q)for all R∈Z, Q≥1.

Supporting targets

The increment identity g(k+1)−g(k)=−b1+(h+b1)Pr⁡[D(L)≤k]g(k+1) - g(k) = -b_1 + (h+b_1)\Pr[D(L) \le k]g(k+1)−g(k)=−b1​+(h+b1​)Pr[D(L)≤k]; convexity of ggg on Z\mathbb{Z}Z together with g(k)→∞g(k) \to \inftyg(k)→∞ as ∣k∣→∞|k| \to \infty∣k∣→∞; Eq. (5.60) and the convexity of C(⋅,Q)C(\cdot, Q)C(⋅,Q) in RRR; Eq. (5.61), that the largest RRR with S3(R)≤b1/(h+b1)S_3(R) \le b_1/(h+b_1)S3​(R)≤b1​/(h+b1​) is optimal for its QQQ; existence of an optimal RRR for every QQQ; the recursion (6.6)-(6.7), R∗(Q+1)∈{R∗(Q)−1,R∗(Q)}R^{*}(Q+1) \in \{R^{*}(Q) - 1, R^{*}(Q)\}R∗(Q+1)∈{R∗(Q)−1,R∗(Q)} chosen by comparing g(R∗(Q))g(R^{*}(Q))g(R∗(Q)) with g(R∗(Q)+Q+1)g(R^{*}(Q)+Q+1)g(R∗(Q)+Q+1), and C(Q+1)=C(Q)QQ+1+min⁡{g(R∗(Q)),g(R∗(Q)+Q+1)}1Q+1C(Q+1) = C(Q)\frac{Q}{Q+1} + \min\{g(R^{*}(Q)), g(R^{*}(Q)+Q+1)\}\frac{1}{Q+1}C(Q+1)=C(Q)Q+1Q​+min{g(R∗(Q)),g(R∗(Q)+Q+1)}Q+11​; the equivalence C(Q+1)≥C(Q)  ⟺  min⁡{⋅}≥C(Q)C(Q+1) \ge C(Q) \iff \min\{\cdot\} \ge C(Q)C(Q+1)≥C(Q)⟺min{⋅}≥C(Q) and the monotonicity of that minimum in QQQ; and the existence of some QQQ at which the costs stop decreasing.

Significance

The result itself. Joint optimization typically enlarges the batch and lowers the reorder point relative to the two-step procedure, and the book's Example 6.1 puts the resulting cost saving at a few percent. The Federgruen-Zheng procedure makes the exact joint optimum for discrete demand as cheap to compute as the two-step approximation, because each step of the recursion evaluates ggg at two points. It is the exact benchmark against which the book's approximate techniques for normal demand (Sects. 6.1.2 and 6.1.3) are judged, and its structural core, that the optimal window of QQQ consecutive inventory positions grows one neighbour at a time, is the discrete-convexity fact behind the whole of Sect. 6.1.

Formalizing it. The mathematics is settled. What the mission produces is a Lean development in which the steps the book marks "evident" and "obvious" are separate statements: that the recursion preserves optimality, that the marginal cost of enlarging the batch is monotone, and that a minimum over RRR exists at all. None of the statements has a machine-checked proof yet.

Difficulty

The obvious first idea, to argue that C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) is convex in QQQ and stop at its first increase, does not work as stated: C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) is a minimum over RRR of a ratio and is not convex in general. What is true, and what the proof uses, is that the marginal cost (Q+1)C(Q+1)−QC(Q)(Q+1)C(Q+1) - QC(Q)(Q+1)C(Q+1)−QC(Q) is nondecreasing, because it equals the smaller of the two ggg-values adjacent to the optimal window. Establishing the recursion (6.6) is where discrete convexity is needed: one must show that the best window of Q+1Q+1Q+1 consecutive positions is obtained from the best window of QQQ by adding a neighbour, which fails for non-convex ggg. The window sums R↦∑k=R+1R+Qg(k)R \mapsto \sum_{k=R+1}^{R+Q} g(k)R↦∑k=R+1R+Q​g(k) are themselves convex in RRR with increments g(R+Q+1)−g(R+1)g(R+Q+1) - g(R+1)g(R+Q+1)−g(R+1), and the argument compares a competing window with the optimal one through the end terms. The remaining steps are finite algebra and an induction on QQQ from Q∗Q^{*}Q∗.

Formalization scope

A DiscreteDemand is a function p:N→Rp : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}p:N→R with p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, ∑p=1\sum p = 1∑p=1 and a summable first moment; Pr⁡[D(L)≤k]\Pr[D(L) \le k]Pr[D(L)≤k] is a finite sum over 0≤j≤k0 \le j \le k0≤j≤k, empty for k<0k < 0k<0. The reorder point ranges over Z\mathbb{Z}Z and the batch quantity over N\mathbb{N}N, with Q≥1Q \ge 1Q≥1 assumed in every statement because Lean's division by 000 is 000. Convexity of a function on Z\mathbb{Z}Z is stated as nondecreasing increments, and divergence as Tendsto g (cocompact ℤ) atTop.

C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) enters the goal as a function CQ together with the hypothesis that CQ Q is the least value of R↦C(R,Q)R \mapsto C(R, Q)R↦C(R,Q); the stopping index Q∗Q^{*}Q∗ is characterized by the two conditions that define "the smallest QQQ with C(Q+1)≥C(Q)C(Q+1) \ge C(Q)C(Q+1)≥C(Q)", and R∗R^{*}R∗ by optimality at Q∗Q^{*}Q∗. That these objects exist is the content of two separate items, so the goal is not vacuous: a minimum over RRR exists for every QQQ because g→∞g \to \inftyg→∞, and the costs cannot decrease forever because the average of the QQQ smallest values of ggg tends to infinity. The positivity of AAA and μ\muμ is the book's setting and is assumed where it appears.

The uniform inventory position of Proposition 5.1, which needs the book's assumption that not all demands are multiples of an integer larger than one, is taken as given in the cost formula (6.4), as the book does; the proposition itself is the subject of the next mission of this series. The definitions are reusable for the (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) optimization of Sect. 6.1.1.2 and for the multi-echelon batch-ordering results of Sect. 10.5; contributions formalizing the Zheng-Federgruen (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) algorithm on top of them are welcome.

Selected references

  • Sven Axsäter, Inventory Control, 3rd edition, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 225, Springer, 2015, Sects. 5.9.1 and 6.1.1. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-15729-0
  • Awi Federgruen and Yu-Sheng Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4), 1992, pp. 808-813. DOI 10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • Yu-Sheng Zheng and Awi Federgruen, Finding Optimal (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) Policies Is About as Simple as Evaluating a Single Policy, Operations Research 39(4), 1991, pp. 654-665. DOI 10.1287/opre.39.4.654
  • Paul Zipkin, Foundations of Inventory Management, McGraw-Hill, 2000.
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Inventory Control IV: Reorder Points under Normally Distributed DemandTextbook

Where the reorder point comes from

Chapter 4 of Axsäter's Inventory Control fixes the batch quantity QQQ from a deterministic model, and Chapter 5 asks the question that deterministic models cannot answer: with demand random and a replenishment lead-time LLL, when should the next batch be ordered? Under a continuous review (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy the answer is a single number, the reorder point RRR, and Sections 5.3 through 5.9 are one sustained computation of what a given RRR buys. The chapter's own capstone is Eq. (5.67): if backorders are charged at b1b_1b1​ per unit and time unit and stock at hhh, the cost-minimizing reorder point is exactly the one whose fill rate is b1/(h+b1)b_1/(h+b_1)b1​/(h+b1​). The book calls the relationship "even more striking" than its discrete counterpart, and it is used in practice in both directions: a backorder cost prescribes a service level, and a chosen service level reveals the backorder cost a planner is implicitly assuming (Eq. 5.68).

Setting

An order for a fixed batch quantity Q>0Q > 0Q>0 is triggered whenever the inventory position (stock on hand plus outstanding orders minus backorders) falls to the reorder point RRR, and it arrives LLL time units later. Demand is continuous and normally distributed; the demand over a lead-time has mean μ′\mu'μ′ and standard deviation σ′>0\sigma' > 0σ′>0. Two modelling facts from the book are taken as the definition of the steady state. First (Sect. 5.3.1), the inventory position IPIPIP is uniformly distributed on [R,R+Q][R, R+Q][R,R+Q]; the book proves this for compound Poisson demand (Proposition 5.1) and adopts it as an accurate approximation for continuous demand. Second (Sect. 5.3.2, Eq. 5.35), the inventory level a lead-time later is the inventory position now minus the demand in between,

IL(t+L)  =  IP(t)−D(t,t+L),IL(t+L) \;=\; IP(t) - D(t, t+L),IL(t+L)=IP(t)−D(t,t+L),

with the two terms independent. The law of ILILIL is therefore the image of the product of a uniform and a normal law under subtraction, and everything in the chapter is a functional of it:

  • the distribution function F(x)=Pr⁡[IL≤x]F(x) = \Pr[IL \le x]F(x)=Pr[IL≤x] and its density fff;
  • the ready rate S3=Pr⁡[IL>0]S_3 = \Pr[IL > 0]S3​=Pr[IL>0], which for continuous demand equals the fill rate S2S_2S2​, the fraction of demand met from stock on hand;
  • the expected cost rate C(R)=E[h (IL)++b1 (IL)−]C(R) = \mathbb{E}\big[h\,(IL)^{+} + b_1\,(IL)^{-}\big]C(R)=E[h(IL)++b1​(IL)−], holding cost on positive stock and backorder cost on negative stock, Eq. (5.56).

The closed forms run through the standard normal loss function G(x)=∫x∞(v−x)φ(v) dvG(x) = \int_x^\infty (v-x)\varphi(v)\,\mathrm{d}vG(x)=∫x∞​(v−x)φ(v)dv of Eq. (5.40), published with the newsboy mission and reused here, and through its integral, the second loss function H(x)=∫x∞G(v) dvH(x) = \int_x^\infty G(v)\,\mathrm{d}vH(x)=∫x∞​G(v)dv of Eq. (5.64). Both are tabulated in the book's Appendix 2, and both recur in Chapters 6, 9 and 10.

Formalization targets

Goal — Eq. (5.67)

For h,b1,Q,σ′>0h, b_1, Q, \sigma' > 0h,b1​,Q,σ′>0 and any μ′\mu'μ′, a reorder point RRR minimizes CCC over R\mathbb{R}R if and only if

S2(R)  =  S3(R)  =  b1h+b1.S_2(R) \;=\; S_3(R) \;=\; \frac{b_1}{h + b_1}.S2​(R)=S3​(R)=h+b1​b1​​.

The biconditional carries both halves of the book's sentence: the stationary point is the optimum ("the optimal RRR is obtained for dC/dR=0\mathrm{d}C/\mathrm{d}R = 0dC/dR=0") and the optimum is stationary ("in the optimal solution we have S2=S3=b1/(h+b1)S_2 = S_3 = b_1/(h+b_1)S2​=S3​=b1​/(h+b1​)").

Supporting targets

In the order the chapter builds them: Eq. (5.41), G′=Φ−1G' = \Phi - 1G′=Φ−1, with GGG decreasing and convex; Eq. (5.39), the distribution function by conditioning on the inventory position; Eq. (5.42), its closed form F(x)=σ′Q[G(R−x−μ′σ′)−G(R+Q−x−μ′σ′)]F(x) = \frac{\sigma'}{Q}[G(\frac{R-x-\mu'}{\sigma'}) - G(\frac{R+Q-x-\mu'}{\sigma'})]F(x)=Qσ′​[G(σ′R−x−μ′​)−G(σ′R+Q−x−μ′​)]; Eq. (5.43), the density; Eq. (5.52), the fill rate 1−σ′Q[G(R−μ′σ′)−G(R+Q−μ′σ′)]1 - \frac{\sigma'}{Q}[G(\frac{R-\mu'}{\sigma'}) - G(\frac{R+Q-\mu'}{\sigma'})]1−Qσ′​[G(σ′R−μ′​)−G(σ′R+Q−μ′​)]; Eq. (5.55), the expected backorders E(B)\mathbb{E}(B)E(B) covered by one batch, and Eq. (5.54), that 1−E(B)/Q1 - \mathbb{E}(B)/Q1−E(B)/Q is the same fill rate; integrability of the cost rate and the mean E(IL)=R+Q/2−μ′\mathbb{E}(IL) = R + Q/2 - \mu'E(IL)=R+Q/2−μ′; Eq. (5.63), E(IL)−=∫−∞0F\mathbb{E}(IL)^{-} = \int_{-\infty}^0 FE(IL)−=∫−∞0​F; Eq. (5.64), the closed form of HHH and H′=−GH' = -GH′=−G; Eq. (5.65), the cost C=h(R+Q/2−μ′)+(h+b1)σ′2Q[H(R−μ′σ′)−H(R+Q−μ′σ′)]C = h(R + Q/2 - \mu') + (h+b_1)\frac{\sigma'^2}{Q}[H(\frac{R-\mu'}{\sigma'}) - H(\frac{R+Q-\mu'}{\sigma'})]C=h(R+Q/2−μ′)+(h+b1​)Qσ′2​[H(σ′R−μ′​)−H(σ′R+Q−μ′​)]; Eq. (5.66), dC/dR=−b1+(h+b1)S2\mathrm{d}C/\mathrm{d}R = -b_1 + (h+b_1)S_2dC/dR=−b1​+(h+b1​)S2​; and the convexity of CCC in RRR.

Significance

The result itself. The reorder point is the one parameter of an (R,Q)(R,Q)(R,Q) policy that stochastic demand actually decides, and Eq. (5.67) says that deciding it by cost and deciding it by service level are the same decision, with an explicit dictionary between the two. That is why the book can present service-level constraints (Sect. 5.7) and shortage costs (Sect. 5.9) as interchangeable ways of specifying the same thing, and why it warns, immediately after Eq. (5.67), that the equivalence is only valid when QQQ is given: with an ordering cost and a joint optimization of RRR and QQQ it fails, which is Chapter 6's problem.

The intermediate formulas have independent standing. Eq. (5.42) is the single expression from which every service measure of the chapter is computed, and Eq. (5.65) is the cost function that Chapter 6 extends by an ordering cost, Eq. (6.10), and optimizes iteratively. The second loss function HHH returns in the periodic-review fill rate of Eq. (5.86) and in the two-echelon batch-ordering model of Sect. 10.5.

Formalizing it. Nothing here is open; the value is that the steady-state model becomes an explicit measure, so that formulas the book obtains by manipulating integrals whose existence it never questions become theorems about that measure. Integrability of the cost rate is a target of its own for exactly that reason. None of the statements has a machine-checked proof yet.

Difficulty

The obvious route is the book's, and it is not the hard part: once FFF is known in closed form, every later identity is calculus on GGG and HHH. The work is upstream of that. The distribution function (5.39) is a conditioning argument over the product measure, a Fubini step in which the inner probability is a Gaussian tail; the density (5.43) is a derivative of a parameter-dependent integral; and Eq. (5.63) exchanges the order of two integrals over an unbounded region, which needs integrability of ILILIL itself. The derivative (5.66) is then obtained from the closed form (5.65), not by differentiating under an expectation, which is what makes the goal reachable: CCC is a smooth function of RRR with an explicitly increasing derivative, and Eq. (5.67) follows from strict convexity together with the fact that the fill rate is a continuous, strictly increasing function of RRR ranging over (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). A solver who starts from the expectation and tries to differentiate it directly will meet the kink of x+x^{+}x+ at 000 and a dominated-convergence argument; the integrated route avoids both.

Formalization scope

The inventory position is rqPosition R Q, Lebesgue measure conditioned on [R,R+Q][R, R+Q][R,R+Q]; the lead-time demand is newsboyDemand m s, Mathlib's gaussianReal m (s^2).toNNReal from the newsboy mission, with m=μ′m = \mu'm=μ′ and s=σ′s = \sigma's=σ′; and rqLevel R Q m s is the pushforward of their product under (u,d)↦u−d(u, d) \mapsto u - d(u,d)↦u−d. Two lemmas in the definition file record that both are probability measures when Q>0Q > 0Q>0. The distribution function, ready rate and cost are the measure of (−∞,x](-\infty, x](−∞,x], the measure of (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and a Bochner integral against this law.

Every statement assumes Q>0Q > 0Q>0 and σ′>0\sigma' > 0σ′>0. At Q=0Q = 0Q=0 the conditioned measure is the zero measure and every integral is 000, so a statement without the hypothesis would be true and empty; at σ′=0\sigma' = 0σ′=0 the demand is a point mass and FFF has jumps. The mean μ′\mu'μ′ is unrestricted, as none of the formulas depends on its sign, and reorder points may be negative, which the book explicitly allows in Sect. 5.8. Costs hhh and b1b_1b1​ are positive in every statement that involves them, and E(B)\mathbb{E}(B)E(B) is stated for Q≥0Q \ge 0Q≥0 because its closed form holds there.

Two trivializing readings are ruled out. The cost is not defined as a formula in HHH but as an expectation, so the closed form (5.65) has content; and because Lean's Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is 000, integrability of the cost rate is stated as a theorem rather than assumed, otherwise a zero cost would make every reorder point optimal. The goal quantifies optimality over all real competing reorder points, not a neighbourhood.

A complete development needs Gaussian tail integrals, differentiation of parameter-dependent integrals, Fubini on a product of a bounded interval with the line, and the strict monotonicity of the Gaussian distribution function. The loss functions GGG and HHH and the inventory-level law are reusable across the rest of the series; contributions that establish the same identities for an arbitrary continuous lead-time demand with a finite mean, where Eqs. (5.39), (5.63) and (5.66) hold verbatim, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Sven Axsäter, Inventory Control, 3rd edition, International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 225, Springer, 2015, Sects. 5.3, 5.7, 5.8 and 5.9. DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-15729-0
  • George Hadley and Thomson M. Whitin, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice-Hall, 1963.
  • Paul Zipkin, Foundations of Inventory Management, McGraw-Hill, 2000.
  • Yu-Sheng Zheng, On Properties of Stochastic Inventory Systems, Management Science 38(1), 1992, pp. 87-103. DOI 10.1287/mnsc.38.1.87
  • Kaj Rosling, Inventory Cost Rate Functions with Nonlinear Shortage Costs, Operations Research 50(6), 2002, pp. 1007-1017. DOI 10.1287/opre.50.6.1007.346
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Number Theory·Captain: Rizwan G Mir

Erdős Problem 68: Irrationality of sum 1/(n! - 1)Open Problem

Erdős Problem 68: Irrationality of sum 1/(n! - 1)

Problem Statement & Context

Erdős Problem 68 asks whether the infinite series 184987\sum_{n=2}^{\infty} rac{1}{n! - 1}184987 is irrational.

Paul Erdős proved in 1948 that \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} rac{1}{2^n - 1} is irrational, but the problem for factorial denominators ! - 1$ remains open.

Main Target Theorem

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AlgebraNumber Theory·Captain: tomasz

Philippon: Multiplicity estimates in commutative algebraic groupsResearch Paper

Why multiplicity estimates matter

Formalization status, 29 September 2026: fourteen of the 26 individual paper targets are Proved, including Theorem 2.1, Propositions 3.3 and 4.7, and Lemma 5.1. Four of eight milestones are complete. The full-paper goal remains Open: the corollaries, remaining supporting claims, and both 1987 addenda remain part of the mission. The proved multiplicity theorem now supports the completed Senthil Kumar target.

An auxiliary polynomial in a transcendence proof is constructed to vanish to high order at many points. A multiplicity estimate limits how often that can happen without a geometric reason: a positive-dimensional algebraic subgroup can make the apparent vanishing conditions dependent. Such estimates are used to turn analytic approximations into algebraic-independence conclusions. The theory applies to products of commutative algebraic groups with both archimedean and nonarchimedean analytic directions.

The mission's objective is a faithful formalization of the complete 1986 paper, Patrice Philippon's Lemmes de zéros dans les groupes algébriques commutatifs, including every theorem, corollary, proposition, lemma, definition, and mathematical supporting claim. All results remain required whether or not a current application uses them. Necessary source corrections are explicit and their counterexamples remain part of the completion goal. The author's 1987 corrections are applied transparently, and the addendum's additional results are recorded separately (original, errata and addenda).

Groups, analytic directions, and geometric degree

Let K be the complex field or the completed algebraic closure of the field of ℓ-adic numbers for a prime ℓ, as in the source. Let G be a product of finitely many commutative algebraic groups G₁,…,Gᵣ over K, with each factor embedded as a quasi-projective variety in a projective space. Write n for the sum of their dimensions. A point of the product embedding has one block of homogeneous coordinates for each factor.

A nonzero multihomogeneous polynomial P has a degree Dᵢ in its i-th block of coordinates. Its zeros define a hypersurface of the ambient product of projective spaces. An analytic subgroup A is locally parametrized by an analytic homomorphism from a finite-dimensional additive K-space. The order of P along A at a group point g is the vanishing order of P after composing local projective coordinates with the translated parametrization. This definition must be independent of the choice of nonzero local coordinate representatives.

Let Σ be a finite set of group points containing the identity. Its n-fold sumset Σ(n) consists of all sums of n, not necessarily distinct, elements of Σ; Σ(0) is the singleton identity. For a connected algebraic subgroup H, the integer s is the analytic codimension of A∩H in A. The expression |(Σ+H)/H| counts distinct H-cosets meeting Σ. Codimension concerns the analytic tangent dimension; it does not assert that the point-set intersection is finite.

The source's Hilbert degree form ℋ(V;D₁,…,Dᵣ) is (dim V)! times the highest homogeneous part of the multigraded Hilbert–Samuel polynomial of the projective closure of V, evaluated at the degrees. It must be constructed from the coordinate ring, rather than supplied as an arbitrary numerical function. For one projective factor it is deg(V)D^(dim V). These definitions are fixed in §§2–3 of the original paper.

Formalization targets

The completion target is all results of the paper, with an aggregate goal that requires their individual formal statements. Theorem 2.1 is one milestone within that target. For each fixed family of embedded group factors, it chooses positive integers cᵢ, each depending only on its corresponding embedding. These constants precede the analytic subgroup, the finite sampling set, the polynomial degrees, the polynomial, and the contact parameter T. If P has order at least nT+1 along A at every point of Σ(n), there is a connected algebraic subgroup H with

(T+ss) ∣(Σ+H)/H∣ H(H;D1,…,Dr)≤H(G;c1D1,…,crDr).\binom{T+s}{s}\, |(\Sigma+H)/H|\, \mathcal H(H;D_1,\ldots,D_r) \leq \mathcal H(G;c_1D_1,\ldots,c_rD_r).(sT+s​)∣(Σ+H)/H∣H(H;D1​,…,Dr​)≤H(G;c1​D1​,…,cr​Dr​).

The same H is contained in a translate of the zero locus of P on G and is incompletely defined by equations of multidegrees at most (c₁D₁,…,cᵣDᵣ): it is an irreducible component of the common zero locus in G of equations with those degree bounds. Both geometric conclusions are part of the target. A formalization retaining only the displayed numerical inequality would omit part of the original result.

The 1986 paper has 13 numbered results. Section 2 contains Theorem 2.1 and Corollaries 2.2–2.3, including the one-dimensional analytic result and the result for disjoint group factors. Section 3 contains Lemmas 3.1–3.2, Proposition 3.3 and Lemma 3.4. Section 4 contains Propositions 4.3–4.4, Lemmas 4.5–4.6 and Proposition 4.7. Section 5 contains Lemma 5.1. Every clause of these statements belongs to the mission.

Definitions 3.5, 4.1 and 4.2, the unnumbered setup, the internal Facts A–E, the counterexample after Proposition 3.3, and the mathematical claims in remarks also require coverage. Source numbers and page references identify the correspondence between the prose and Lean declarations. The 1987 addendum adds vanishing on every sampled translate of the subgroup and a converse polynomial construction; both are tracked with their own hypotheses and constants.

Eight milestones and the completion goal

The completion goal is PhilipponMultiplicity.paper_results, a conjunction of 26 concrete propositions. This is a collection goal requiring the source statements and the additional mathematical claims in the coverage record. It is separate from the paper's original Theorem 2.1, which remains individually named and reusable.

The mission has eight milestones; four are currently Proved:

SourceMilestoneStatus
Theorem 2.1General multiplicity estimate, with every geometric and numerical conclusion.Proved
Corollary 2.2One-dimensional analytic-subgroup consequence.Open
Corollary 2.3Consequence for disjoint group factors and sampling grids.Open
Proposition 3.3Multigraded intersection bounds, including the multiplicity-sensitive bound.Proved
Proposition 4.7Binomial lower bound for contact multiplicity.Proved
Lemma 5.1Stabilizer construction and the geometric counting estimate.Proved
1987 addendum, p. 398Strengthened vanishing on every sampled subgroup translate.Open
1987 addendum, p. 398Converse polynomial construction.Open

The full statement package has 27 compiled theorem statements: all thirteen numbered results, both addenda, eleven supporting or correction targets, and the aggregate goal. Fourteen admission-free definition bundles supply their actual geometric and algebraic objects. All 41 original statement and definition items have independent blind readbacks. The eight milestones above retain their existing identities.

The supporting clauses include Hilbert-polynomial existence, primary components and Facts A–E; the geometric interpretation of mixed degree; the actual counterexample after Proposition 3.3; translation operators and their comparison with intrinsic ideals; contact invariance; translation-invariance and embedding remarks; the component/stabilizer construction; counting estimates; and the exact Masser–Wüstholz Theorem I consequence claimed on p.361. Proof-internal recursive ideals and tangent/exponential arguments belong to their corresponding theorem proofs.

Source corrections are visible for review. Lemma 3.1 and Corollary 2.2 require positive equation degrees; explicit zero-degree counterexamples are required goal clauses. Both addenda require positive ambient dimension; the goal also requires their dimension-zero counterexamples. The three-generator ideal printed on p.370 is nonradical, contrary to the printed word “prime”; its valid degree-four versus length-six counterexample is preserved, together with an explicit nilpotent witness. Connectedness is stated in the translation-invariance and Lange reembedding remarks. These are mathematical corrections documented during the source comparison, beyond the author's 1987 errata. They are not silent changes to the source.

Fourteen individual targets now have checked proofs with no Open theorem inputs. The remaining twelve individual targets and the collection goal are Open. The existing proved local-algebra references remain reusable ingredients.

What a completed formalization enables

The output is a reusable development of the paper's multigraded commutative algebra, translation and differential operators, geometric multiplicity theory, and zero estimates. All source results are required for completion. A downstream Weierstrass application can consume a specialization of Theorem 2.1; its needs do not determine the scope or completion of this mission (example application).

These are established mathematical results whose proofs are being formalized. The complete original Theorem 2.1 has an accepted proof. The selected Weierstrass application uses individually named Philippon results, with its application-specific model and subgroup bridges proved in the Senthil mission. The remaining general results stay required even though that application is complete.

The foundational difficulty

Vanishing conditions need not be independent: many can occur on the same component or on translates with a nontrivial stabilizer. Counting coefficients of P therefore does not bound their total multiplicity. The development needs geometric degree for actual components, multiplicities measured by lengths of localized quotient rings, and uniform control of translations in fixed projective embeddings.

Proposition 3.3 supplies multigraded intersection bounds, Proposition 4.7 controls contact multiplicity, and Lemma 5.1 connects the stabilizer to the geometric counting estimate. These three results and Theorem 2.1 now have checked proofs. The remaining corollaries, general geometric and analytic claims, examples and addenda are independent deliverables. Application-specific contact results do not discharge the remaining general statements.

Formalization scope

The declarations use the namespace PhilipponMultiplicity. Source statements retain their conclusions, constants, quantifier order, and complex or ℓ-adic scope, with the visible boundary and wording corrections listed above. Intermediate specializations are labelled as such and do not discharge a more general source result. Natural-number and zero-degree conventions have been compared with the original scans; the discovered failures and corrected hypotheses are recorded explicitly for human review. Corrections and inferred conventions must be documented rather than silently changing the source.

The required definitions include embedded commutative algebraic groups and their connected subgroups; products of projective spaces and multihomogeneous coordinate rings; analytic local homomorphisms and intrinsic contact order; multigraded Hilbert polynomials and their degree forms; local component lengths; and finite coset counts. No model may assume the desired multiplicity inequality, hide it as a structure field, or replace geometric degree by an unconstrained function.

All 27 theorem statements and 14 definition bundles compile in Lean 4.33.1 with Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Source comparisons and independent readbacks document the fixed statements and their explicit corrections. The goal remains the concrete 26-part full-paper collection. The completed proofs supply reusable Hilbert theory, primary-component multiplicities, polynomial differential operators, bounded translation atlases and the Section 5 construction. Contributions to the remaining targets, including results unused by Senthil, complete the original scope.

Selected references

  • P. Philippon, Lemmes de zéros dans les groupes algébriques commutatifs, Bulletin de la Société Mathématique de France 114 (1986), 355–383. DOI and original paper.
  • P. Philippon, Errata et addenda à « Lemmes de zéros dans les groupes algébriques commutatifs », Bulletin de la Société Mathématique de France 115 (1987), 397–398. DOI and addendum.
  • Senthil Kumar K, Algebraic independence of values of Weierstrass elliptic and zeta functions, Proceedings of the Edinburgh Mathematical Society (2026), including Robert Tubbs's appendix. DOI.
217 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
CombinatoricsOperations Research·Captain: naimengye

Complex Scheduling III: Interval Consistency Tests for the RCPSPTextbook

Motivation

Exact methods for the resource-constrained project scheduling problem — branch-and-bound over activity lists or over start-time assignments, and the lower-bound computations inside them — live or die by how much of the search space can be discarded before it is enumerated. The standard tool is constraint propagation: deducing, from the precedence, resource and time-window data, new precedence relations i→ji\to ji→j that every feasible schedule must satisfy, and tighter time windows for the activities. Brucker and Knust's Section 3.6 (doi:10.1007/978-3-642-23929-8) presents the family of interval consistency tests — input, output, input-or-output and their negations — that constraint-programming schedulers apply at every node of the search, following Carlier and Pinson (An algorithm for solving the job-shop problem, Management Science 35, 1989, doi:10.1287/mnsc.35.2.164) and Baptiste, Le Pape and Nuijten (Constraint-Based Scheduling, Kluwer, 2001, doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-1479-4). Every test is an instance of one theorem, Theorem 3.7, and its cumulative-resource analogue, Theorem 3.8. Those two theorems, and the tests as their corollaries, are this mission.

Setting

The instance is the RCPSP of mission I: activities 0,…,n−10,\dots,n-10,…,n−1 with integer processing times pip_ipi​, renewable resources kkk with capacities RkR_kRk​ and demands rikr_{ik}rik​, and precedence arcs; a schedule is an integer start-time vector SSS, feasible when it meets the precedences and never exceeds a capacity. Section 3.6 adds three things.

Relations. A conjunction i→ji\to ji→j holds in SSS when Si+pi≤SjS_i+p_i\le S_jSi​+pi​≤Sj​. Two activities are parallel, i∥ji\parallel ji∥j, when they overlap for at least one time unit, and a disjunction i−ji-ji−j is the negation of that: i→ji\to ji→j or j→ij\to ij→i. The instance carries a set CCC of conjunctions and a set DDD of disjunctions that every feasible schedule must satisfy; initially C0C_0C0​ is the precedence relation and D0D_0D0​ the pairs whose combined demand exceeds some capacity, and propagation adds to them.

Disjunctive sets. A set III of at least two activities is disjunctive when any two of its members are related by a disjunction or a conjunction, so no two are ever processed together: the activities of a unit-capacity resource, the jobs of a single machine, the operations of one job in a shop. Its total processing time is P(I)=∑i∈IpiP(I)=\sum_{i\in I}p_iP(I)=∑i∈I​pi​.

Time windows. Each activity has a head rir_iri​ and a deadline did_idi​, and a feasible schedule has ri≤Sir_i\le S_iri​≤Si​ and Si+pi≤diS_i+p_i\le d_iSi​+pi​≤di​. An activity starts first in a set JJJ when no activity of JJJ starts earlier, and ends last when none completes later.

For a cumulative resource kkk the work of activity iii is wi=rikpiw_i=r_{ik}p_iwi​=rik​pi​ and W(J)=∑i∈JwiW(J)=\sum_{i\in J}w_iW(J)=∑i∈J​wi​.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 3.7 (printed p. 169)

Let III be a disjunctive set, J⊆IJ\subseteq IJ⊆I, and J′,J′′J',J''J′,J′′ proper subsets of JJJ with J′∪J′′≠∅J'\cup J''\ne\emptysetJ′∪J′′=∅. If

max⁡ν∈J∖J′, μ∈J∖J′′ν≠μ(dμ−rν)<P(J),\max_{\substack{\nu\in J\setminus J',\ \mu\in J\setminus J''\\ \nu\ne\mu}}\bigl(d_\mu-r_\nu\bigr)<P(J),ν∈J∖J′, μ∈J∖J′′ν=μ​max​(dμ​−rν​)<P(J),

then in every feasible schedule an activity from J′J'J′ starts first in JJJ or an activity from J′′J''J′′ ends last in JJJ.

The first infeasibility test (printed p. 169)

If some nonempty J⊆IJ\subseteq IJ⊆I has max⁡μ∈Jdμ−min⁡ν∈Jrν<P(J)\max_{\mu\in J}d_\mu-\min_{\nu\in J}r_\nu<P(J)maxμ∈J​dμ​−minν∈J​rν​<P(J), no feasible schedule exists.

The input test (3.123) and the output test (3.124) (printed p. 171)

For Ω⊆I\Omega\subseteq IΩ⊆I nonempty and i∈I∖Ωi\in I\setminus\Omegai∈I∖Ω: if max⁡μ∈Ω∪{i}dμ−min⁡ν∈Ωrν<P(Ω)+pi\max_{\mu\in\Omega\cup\{i\}}d_\mu-\min_{\nu\in\Omega}r_\nu<P(\Omega)+p_imaxμ∈Ω∪{i}​dμ​−minν∈Ω​rν​<P(Ω)+pi​ then i→ji\to ji→j for all j∈Ωj\in\Omegaj∈Ω; symmetrically, if max⁡μ∈Ωdμ−min⁡ν∈Ω∪{i}rν<P(Ω)+pi\max_{\mu\in\Omega}d_\mu-\min_{\nu\in\Omega\cup\{i\}}r_\nu<P(\Omega)+p_imaxμ∈Ω​dμ​−minν∈Ω∪{i}​rν​<P(Ω)+pi​ then j→ij\to ij→i for all j∈Ωj\in\Omegaj∈Ω.

The input-or-output test (printed p. 170)

For i,j∈J⊆Ii,j\in J\subseteq Ii,j∈J⊆I, ∣J∣≥2|J|\ge 2∣J∣≥2: if max⁡μ∈J∖{j}dμ−min⁡ν∈J∖{i}rν<P(J)\max_{\mu\in J\setminus\{j\}}d_\mu-\min_{\nu\in J\setminus\{i\}}r_\nu<P(J)maxμ∈J∖{j}​dμ​−minν∈J∖{i}​rν​<P(J) then iii starts first in JJJ or jjj ends last in JJJ, and i→ji\to ji→j when i≠ji\ne ji=j.

Theorem 3.8 (printed p. 186)

For a cumulative resource kkk, J⊆IkJ\subseteq I_kJ⊆Ik​ and proper subsets J′,J′′J',J''J′,J′′ of JJJ: if Rk(max⁡μ∈J∖J′′dμ−min⁡ν∈J∖J′rν)<W(J)R_k\bigl(\max_{\mu\in J\setminus J''}d_\mu-\min_{\nu\in J\setminus J'}r_\nu\bigr)<W(J)Rk​(maxμ∈J∖J′′​dμ​−minν∈J∖J′​rν​)<W(J) then an activity from J′J'J′ starts first in JJJ or an activity from J′′J''J′′ ends last in JJJ.

Significance

Theorem 3.7 is the single statement behind a whole toolbox. Every interval consistency test in the literature — the input and output tests that fix a new conjunction, the input-or-output test, the negation tests that only shrink a window — is the theorem with a particular choice of J′J'J′ and J′′J''J′′, and the book's Section 3.6.4 derives them one by one. A propagation engine that applies these tests to a fixpoint is what makes branch-and-bound for the job shop and the RCPSP practical; Carlier and Pinson's solution of the 10×10 job-shop instance is the historical demonstration. Theorem 3.8 extends the same reasoning from disjunctive to cumulative resources by replacing "no overlap" with "at most RkR_kRk​ units per time unit", the energetic-reasoning viewpoint that the rest of Section 3.6.5 develops.

The results are elementary and proved; formalizing them fixes, once, what "feasible" means in the presence of the relation sets CCC and DDD and time windows, on top of the RCPSP model of mission I. That layer is reusable: the start-start distance matrix of Section 3.6.2 and the symmetric-triple rules of Section 3.6.3 are statements about the same schedules and the same relations. Nothing here is on the platform or in Mathlib.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for Theorem 3.7 is the correct one, and its difficulty is in the bookkeeping. If no activity of J′J'J′ starts first and none of J′′J''J′′ ends last, the first starter is some ν∈J∖J′\nu\in J\setminus J'ν∈J∖J′ and the last finisher some μ∈J∖J′′\mu\in J\setminus J''μ∈J∖J′′, and every activity of JJJ is processed inside [Sν, Sμ+pμ]⊆[rν,dμ][S_\nu,\,S_\mu+p_\mu]\subseteq[r_\nu,d_\mu][Sν​,Sμ​+pμ​]⊆[rν​,dμ​]. Since the activities of a disjunctive set are pairwise non-overlapping, their total length P(J)P(J)P(J) fits in that interval, contradicting (3.121). The formal work is the packing lemma: pairwise disjoint integer intervals inside an interval of length LLL have total length at most LLL, which requires ordering the activities by start time and an induction that Mathlib does not supply.

The subtle point is the restriction ν≠μ\nu\ne\muν=μ in (3.121). The book allows it because "an activity which starts first cannot complete also last" when there are at least two activities with positive durations. The formal statement reads "starts first" and "ends last" with ≤\le≤, which makes the theorem true without a positivity hypothesis: when the restriction empties the index set, J∖J′=J∖J′′={x}J\setminus J'=J\setminus J''=\{x\}J∖J′=J∖J′′={x}, the conclusion holds because xxx cannot be both the unique first starter and the unique last finisher of a disjunctive set with two or more members. A solver should expect to handle that corner separately.

For the tests the extra step is turning "starts first" into a conjunction i→ji\to ji→j, which uses the disjunction between iii and jjj together with positive processing times: with pj=0p_j=0pj​=0 an activity could start at the same instant as iii without violating the disjunction, so the tests carry the positivity hypothesis that Theorem 3.7 itself does not need. Theorem 3.8 replaces the packing lemma by a work-counting lemma: over an interval of length LLL a resource of capacity RkR_kRk​ supplies at most RkLR_kLRk​L units, and every activity of JJJ consumes rikpir_{ik}p_irik​pi​ of them.

Formalization scope

Schedules are integer start-time vectors on Fin n, as in missions I and II, and a feasible schedule of this mission is one that is FeasibleSchedule for the RCPSP instance (mission I), respects the arcs of CCC (RespectsArcs, mission II), satisfies the disjunctions of DDD and lies within the time windows; these four hypotheses are the book's "feasible schedule" in Section 3.6 and are carried on every statement, although the arguments use only the last two, or, for Theorem 3.8, the resource constraint and the windows. The sets CCC and DDD are parameters, not derived from the instance, since propagation enlarges them.

Every inequality "max⁡(⋅)−min⁡(⋅)<P\max(\cdot)-\min(\cdot)<Pmax(⋅)−min(⋅)<P" is stated as the family of inequalities dμ<rν+Pd_\mu<r_\nu+Pdμ​<rν​+P over the same index pairs. This is equivalent, avoids natural-number subtraction, and gives an empty index set the value the convention max⁡∅=−∞\max\emptyset=-\inftymax∅=−∞ would: the hypothesis is then vacuous. "Starts first" and "ends last" use ≤\le≤. Proper-subset hypotheses J′⊂JJ'\subset JJ′⊂J, J′′⊂JJ''\subset JJ′′⊂J are the book's; the first infeasibility test needs JJJ nonempty, and the input-or-output test needs ∣J∣≥2|J|\ge 2∣J∣≥2.

A trivializing reading is ruled out on the disjunctive side by the nonemptiness hypotheses (an empty JJJ would make the infeasibility test's family vacuous and its conclusion false) and on the cumulative side by the observation that Theorem 3.8 with J′=J′′=∅J'=J''=\emptysetJ′=J′′=∅ asserts infeasibility, which is the book's intended reading. Welcome contributions beyond the milestones: the input-negation and output-negation tests, the window-tightening rules of Section 3.6.4, and the SSD-matrix results of Section 3.6.2.

Selected references

  • Peter Brucker and Sigrid Knust, Complex Scheduling, 2nd ed., Springer, 2012, Section 3.6. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-23929-8
  • Jacques Carlier and Eric Pinson, An algorithm for solving the job-shop problem, Management Science 35 (1989). doi:10.1287/mnsc.35.2.164
  • Philippe Baptiste, Claude Le Pape and Wim Nuijten, Constraint-Based Scheduling, Kluwer, 2001. doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-1479-4
  • Ulrich Dorndorf, Erwin Pesch and Toàn Phan-Huy, Constraint propagation techniques for the disjunctive scheduling problem, Artificial Intelligence 122 (2000). doi:10.1016/S0004-3702(00)00040-0
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