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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.999112Formalized record→≤ 1.999074Open frontier
2 provers on it3 of 4 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.99791Formalized record
3 provers on it3 of 3 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.103205334138Formalized record
6 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 80Formalized record
3 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing 1: Controlled Variance Pricing Has Regret O(T^α + T^(1−α) log T)Research Paper

Motivation

A firm that sets prices without knowing how demand responds to them has to learn the demand curve from its own sales. Each price it charges is both a revenue decision and an experiment. The natural policy, certainty equivalent pricing, re-estimates the demand parameters after every period and charges the price that would be optimal if the estimates were exact. den Boer and Zwart show that this policy can fail: with positive probability its prices settle at a suboptimal value, because they converge too fast for the estimates to keep improving (den Boer–Zwart 2014, Proposition 1, the subject of the companion mission). The same phenomenon was found by Lai and Robbins (1982) for a linear control problem.

Their remedy, Controlled Variance Pricing (CVP), keeps certainty equivalent pricing but forces the sample variance of the chosen prices to decay no faster than tα−1t^{\alpha-1}tα−1. The main result is that this small amount of enforced exploration gives regret O(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)O(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T)O(Tα+T1−αlogT), hence O(T1/2+δ)O(T^{1/2+\delta})O(T1/2+δ) for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, for a broad class of demand models that are specified only through their first two moments. Keskin and Zeevi (2014) later placed CVP in a larger family of semi-myopic policies with Tlog⁡T\sqrt T\log TT​logT regret for linear demand.

Setting

A seller chooses in each period t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… a price pt∈[pl,ph]p_t \in [p_l, p_h]pt​∈[pl​,ph​], with 0<pl<ph0 < p_l < p_h0<pl​<ph​, and then observes demand dtd_tdt​. Demand at price ppp has mean h(a0(0)+a1(0)p)h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p)h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​p) and variance σ2v(h(a0(0)+a1(0)p))\sigma^2 v(h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p))σ2v(h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​p)), where the link hhh and variance function vvv are known and C2C^2C2 on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), h˙>0\dot h > 0h˙>0, and the parameter a(0)=(a0(0),a1(0))a^{(0)} = (a_0^{(0)}, a_1^{(0)})a(0)=(a0(0)​,a1(0)​) with a0(0)>0>a1(0)a_0^{(0)} > 0 > a_1^{(0)}a0(0)​>0>a1(0)​ is unknown. The noise et=dt−h(a0(0)+a1(0)pt)e_t = d_t - h(a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p_t)et​=dt​−h(a0(0)​+a1(0)​pt​) is a martingale difference with conditional variance σ2v(⋅)\sigma^2 v(\cdot)σ2v(⋅) and a uniformly bounded conditional moment of some order r>3r > 3r>3.

The expected revenue is r(p,a)=p h(a0+a1p)r(p, a) = p\,h(a_0 + a_1p)r(p,a)=ph(a0​+a1​p). Near a(0)a^{(0)}a(0) it has a unique maximizer p(a)p(a)p(a) in the open interval (pl,ph)(p_l, p_h)(pl​,ph​) with ∂p2r<0\partial_p^2 r < 0∂p2​r<0 there, and popt=p(a(0))p_{\mathrm{opt}} = p(a^{(0)})popt​=p(a(0)). The regret of a policy is

Regret⁡(T)=E[∑t=1Tr(popt,a(0))−r(pt,a(0))].\operatorname{Regret}(T) = \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T r(p_{\mathrm{opt}}, a^{(0)}) - r(p_t, a^{(0)})\Big].Regret(T)=E[t=1∑T​r(popt​,a(0))−r(pt​,a(0))].

The estimate a^t\hat a_ta^t​ is the maximum quasi-likelihood estimate (MQLE), the root of the quasi-score equation (3), ∑i≤th˙σ2v(h)(1,pi)⊤(di−h(a^0+a^1pi))=0\sum_{i\le t} \frac{\dot h}{\sigma^2 v(h)}(1, p_i)^\top(d_i - h(\hat a_0 + \hat a_1 p_i)) = 0∑i≤t​σ2v(h)h˙​(1,pi​)⊤(di​−h(a^0​+a^1​pi​))=0. With pˉt\bar p_tpˉ​t​ and Var⁡(p)t\operatorname{Var}(p)_tVar(p)t​ the sample mean and variance of p1,…,ptp_1,\dots,p_tp1​,…,pt​, the taboo interval is TI(t)=(pˉt−wt,pˉt+wt)\mathrm{TI}(t) = (\bar p_t - w_t, \bar p_t + w_t)TI(t)=(pˉ​t​−wt​,pˉ​t​+wt​) with wt=c[(t+1)α−tα](t+1)/tw_t = \sqrt{c[(t+1)^\alpha - t^\alpha](t+1)/t}wt​=c[(t+1)α−tα](t+1)/t​. CVP starts from two distinct prices p1,p2p_1, p_2p1​,p2​, fixes α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1) and 0<c<2−α(p1−p2)2min⁡{1,(3α)−1}0 < c < 2^{-\alpha}(p_1-p_2)^2\min\{1,(3\alpha)^{-1}\}0<c<2−α(p1​−p2​)2min{1,(3α)−1}, and for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2: if a^t\hat a_ta^t​ does not exist or has the wrong signs, it charges whichever of p1,p2p_1, p_2p1​,p2​ is farther from pˉt\bar p_tpˉ​t​; otherwise it charges p(a^t)p(\hat a_t)p(a^t​) if that keeps Var⁡(p)t+1≥c(t+1)α−1\operatorname{Var}(p)_{t+1} \ge c(t+1)^{\alpha-1}Var(p)t+1​≥c(t+1)α−1, and the best price outside TI(t)\mathrm{TI}(t)TI(t) if not.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Regret⁡(T,CVP)=O(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)(1/2<α<1),\operatorname{Regret}(T, \mathrm{CVP}) = O\big(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T\big) \qquad (1/2 < \alpha < 1),Regret(T,CVP)=O(Tα+T1−αlogT)(1/2<α<1),

stated as: there is K>0K > 0K>0, depending on the model, α\alphaα, ccc and the initial prices but not on TTT, with Regret⁡(T)≤K(Tα+T1−αlog⁡T)\operatorname{Regret}(T) \le K(T^\alpha + T^{1-\alpha}\log T)Regret(T)≤K(Tα+T1−αlogT) for all T≥1T \ge 1T≥1. The constant is left free, so the statement survives any sharpening of the constants.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2: Var⁡(p)t≥c tα−1\operatorname{Var}(p)_t \ge c\,t^{\alpha-1}Var(p)t​≥ctα−1 for all t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 along every CVP path.
  2. Lemma 1: λmax⁡(Pt)≤(1+ph2)t\lambda_{\max}(P_t) \le (1+p_h^2)tλmax​(Pt​)≤(1+ph2​)t and tVar⁡(p)t≤(1+ph2)λmin⁡(Pt)t\operatorname{Var}(p)_t \le (1+p_h^2)\lambda_{\min}(P_t)tVar(p)t​≤(1+ph2​)λmin​(Pt​) for the design matrix Pt=∑i≤t(1,pi)⊤(1,pi)P_t = \sum_{i\le t}(1,p_i)^\top(1,p_i)Pt​=∑i≤t​(1,pi​)⊤(1,pi​).
  3. Proposition 3: a^t\hat a_ta^t​ eventually exists, a^t→a(0)\hat a_t \to a^{(0)}a^t​→a(0) a.s., and for some ρ0\rho_0ρ0​, E[Tρ01/2]<∞\mathbb E[T_{\rho_0}^{1/2}] < \inftyE[Tρ0​1/2​]<∞ and E[∥a^t−a(0)∥21t>Tρ0]=O(log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E[\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2\mathbf 1_{t > T_{\rho_0}}] = O(\log t/t^\alpha)E[∥a^t​−a(0)∥21t>Tρ0​​​]=O(logt/tα).
  4. Eq. (11): in the normal–linear case, E∥a^t−a(0)∥2=O(log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2 = O(\log t / t^\alpha)E∥a^t​−a(0)∥2=O(logt/tα).
  5. Eqs. (17), (18), (20): the quadratic revenue gap, the local Lipschitz bound on p(a)p(a)p(a), and ∣pt+1−p(a^t)∣≤∣TI(t)∣|p_{t+1} - p(\hat a_t)| \le |\mathrm{TI}(t)|∣pt+1​−p(a^t​)∣≤∣TI(t)∣ for large ttt.
  6. The closing bound E[(pt−popt)2]=O(tα−1+log⁡t/tα)\mathbb E[(p_t - p_{\mathrm{opt}})^2] = O(t^{\alpha-1} + \log t/t^\alpha)E[(pt​−popt​)2]=O(tα−1+logt/tα).

Significance

The theorem shows that a policy that is certainty equivalent almost all of the time, with a single interpretable tuning parameter α\alphaα, attains regret O(T1/2+δ)O(T^{1/2+\delta})O(T1/2+δ) in generalized linear demand models, without distributional assumptions beyond two moments. It explains the role of α\alphaα precisely: TαT^\alphaTα is the cost of exploration and T1−αlog⁡TT^{1-\alpha}\log TT1−αlogT the cost of estimation error. Proposition 2 and Lemma 1 are reusable for any policy that enforces a variance floor on its actions, and (11) is a self-contained rate for least squares under adaptively chosen designs.

The result is proved in the paper, with Proposition 3 delegated to den Boer and Zwart (2012) for general links. To our knowledge none of it has been machine-checked. A formalization would verify the delegated consistency argument, fix the conditions under which it applies (see Formalization scope), and provide a Lean development of adaptive least squares and quasi-likelihood rates that the related Keskin–Zeevi missions also need.

Difficulty

The deterministic parts are short. The difficulty is Proposition 3. The prices are chosen adaptively from past data, so the regressors are not independent of the noise, and standard rates for (quasi-)likelihood estimates do not apply. The natural argument, bounding ∥a^t−a(0)∥2\|\hat a_t - a^{(0)}\|^2∥a^t​−a(0)∥2 by Qt/λmin⁡(Pt)Q_t/\lambda_{\min}(P_t)Qt​/λmin​(Pt​) with QtQ_tQt​ a self-normalized martingale quadratic form, needs a bound E[Qt]=O(log⁡t)\mathbb E[Q_t] = O(\log t)E[Qt​]=O(logt) that holds in expectation and not only almost surely, as in Lai and Wei (1982). For a non-linear link the MQLE is defined only implicitly, and its existence near a(0)a^{(0)}a(0) has to be shown first, with a moment bound on the last time it fails. That is the random time TρT_\rhoTρ​. Turning almost-sure consistency into a rate in expectation is where most of the work lies.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace CVPricing.Regret. Periods are 1-based. Prices, demands and parameters are real; a=(a0,a1)∈R×Ra = (a_0, a_1) \in \mathbb R \times \mathbb Ra=(a0​,a1​)∈R×R with the Euclidean norm (euclidNorm), not Mathlib's sup norm. The design matrix, sample mean and tVar⁡(p)tt\operatorname{Var}(p)_ttVar(p)t​ are the published Keskin–Zeevi definitions fisherOf, avgPriceOf, infoMetricOf. Every O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is "there is K>0K > 0K>0 such that for all ttt", with KKK quantified after the model data. Rates are stated for t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 and the regret for T≥1T \ge 1T≥1. hhh and vvv are total functions constrained on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). A root of (3) counts only where a^0+a^1pi≥0\hat a_0 + \hat a_1 p_i \ge 0a^0​+a^1​pi​≥0 for every observed pip_ipi​. CVP is a predicate on a realized path that allows every maximizer in (7) and (8).

Disclosed deviations from the page:

  • the model requires a0(0)+a1(0)ph>0a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p_h > 0a0(0)​+a1(0)​ph​>0 (printed: ≥0\ge 0≥0), because in the boundary case the policy's case (c) fires infinitely often and the proof of Theorem 1 does not cover it;
  • (3) is assumed to have at most one root (the page notes roots need not be unique, and the policy cannot select the root nearest a(0)a^{(0)}a(0));
  • the neighbourhood assumption is read as a unique maximizer over [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​] lying in (pl,ph)(p_l, p_h)(pl​,ph​);
  • the demand process is given by its conditional mean, its conditional variance and (2), with integrable noise moments, not by a fixed law D(p)D(p)D(p);
  • the initial prices are deterministic.

Corrected slips: Proposition 2 is stated for c≤2−α(p1−p2)2min⁡{1/2,(3α)−1}c \le 2^{-\alpha}(p_1-p_2)^2\min\{1/2,(3\alpha)^{-1}\}c≤2−α(p1​−p2​)2min{1/2,(3α)−1}, because the printed range fails at t=2t=2t=2 (Var⁡(p)2=(p1−p2)2/4\operatorname{Var}(p)_2 = (p_1-p_2)^2/4Var(p)2​=(p1​−p2​)2/4, not /2/2/2). Theorem 1 keeps the printed range. Eq. (20) is stated for pt+1p_{t+1}pt+1​ and for ttt beyond an explicit threshold.

The goal does not assume the variance bound, consistency or (20). The policy contains the variance check and the taboo interval, and the regret is the expectation over the actual price process. A statement that assumed any of these, or that dropped the taboo step, would be trivial or false. Contributions are welcome on adaptive least squares (Sherman–Morrison and determinant-ratio bounds), martingale last-time moment bounds, and the implicit-function step (18).

Selected references

  • A. V. den Boer, B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • A. V. den Boer, B. Zwart, Mean square convergence rates for maximum quasi-likelihood estimators, Stochastic Systems 4(2):375–403, 2014 (cited as 2012 working paper). https://doi.org/10.1214/12-SSY086
  • T. L. Lai, C. Z. Wei, Least squares estimates in stochastic regression models with applications to identification and control of dynamic systems, Annals of Statistics 10(1):154–166, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176345697
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Iterated least squares in multiperiod control, Advances in Applied Mathematics 3(1):50–73, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0196-8858(82)80005-5
  • N. B. Keskin, A. Zeevi, Dynamic Pricing with an Unknown Demand Model: Asymptotically Optimal Semi-Myopic Policies, Operations Research 62(5):1142–1167, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1294
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing 2: Certainty Equivalent Pricing Fails to Converge to the Optimal Price with Positive ProbabilityResearch Paper

Why myopic pricing is a problem

A seller who does not know how demand responds to price has to learn the demand curve from its own sales while it is selling. The most natural policy is certainty equivalent pricing (also called myopic pricing or passive learning): after every period, estimate the unknown demand parameters from all data collected so far, and charge the price that would be optimal if the estimates were the truth. It is simple, uses all data, and is what a price manager would do without further thought.

den Boer and Zwart (Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014) show that this policy can fail. In the linear-demand, Gaussian-noise model, the prices it produces fail to converge to the optimal price with positive probability: the policy is not strongly consistent. The result motivates the paper's main contribution, controlled variance pricing, which adds just enough price dispersion to keep learning (treated in the companion mission of this series).

The phenomenon has a history in adaptive control:

  • 1976. Anderson and Taylor study the linear system yt=a0+a1xt+ϵty_t = a_0 + a_1x_t + \epsilon_tyt​=a0​+a1​xt​+ϵt​ controlled by a certainty equivalent rule that steers yty_tyt​ to a target, and examine by simulation the statistical properties of the least squares estimates it produces (Econometrica 44(6), 1976).
  • 1982. Lai and Robbins (Adv. Appl. Math. 3(1), 1982) prove that there are parameter values for which the certainty equivalent controls converge with positive probability to a value different from the optimal control.
  • 2014. den Boer and Zwart adapt the argument to revenue maximization with linear demand, without the conditions Lai and Robbins place on the initial inputs and the input bounds: any two different initial prices in [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​] give the failure with positive probability.

Setting

A monopolist sells one product in periods t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… at prices ptp_tpt​ from an interval [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​] with 0<pl<ph0 < p_l < p_h0<pl​<ph​. The demand in period ttt is

dt=a0(0)+a1(0)pt+et,d_t = a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)} p_t + e_t ,dt​=a0(0)​+a1(0)​pt​+et​,

where e1,e2,…e_1, e_2, \dotse1​,e2​,… are independent N(0,σ2)N(0, \sigma^2)N(0,σ2) random variables. The parameters are unknown to the seller and satisfy σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0, a0(0)>0a_0^{(0)} > 0a0(0)​>0, a1(0)<0a_1^{(0)} < 0a1(0)​<0, a0(0)+a1(0)ph≥0a_0^{(0)} + a_1^{(0)}p_h \ge 0a0(0)​+a1(0)​ph​≥0. The expected revenue at price ppp is r(p,a0,a1)=p(a0+a1p)r(p, a_0, a_1) = p(a_0 + a_1p)r(p,a0​,a1​)=p(a0​+a1​p), maximized at the optimal price

popt=−a0(0)2a1(0),pl<popt<ph.p_{\mathrm{opt}} = -\frac{a_0^{(0)}}{2a_1^{(0)}}, \qquad p_l < p_{\mathrm{opt}} < p_h .popt​=−2a1(0)​a0(0)​​,pl​<popt​<ph​.

Certainty equivalent pricing charges two different initial prices p1≠p2p_1 \ne p_2p1​=p2​ in [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​]. After t≥2t \ge 2t≥2 periods it computes the least squares estimates a^t=(a^0t,a^1t)\hat a_t = (\hat a_{0t}, \hat a_{1t})a^t​=(a^0t​,a^1t​), the solution of the normal equations ∑i≤t(1,pi)T(di−a^0t−a^1tpi)=0\sum_{i \le t}(1, p_i)^{\mathsf T}(d_i - \hat a_{0t} - \hat a_{1t}p_i) = 0∑i≤t​(1,pi​)T(di​−a^0t​−a^1t​pi​)=0, and charges

pt+1=arg⁡max⁡p∈[pl,ph]p (a^0t+a^1tp),p_{t+1} = \arg\max_{p \in [p_l, p_h]} p\,(\hat a_{0t} + \hat a_{1t}p),pt+1​=argp∈[pl​,ph​]max​p(a^0t​+a^1t​p),

with pt+1=php_{t+1} = p_hpt+1​=ph​ when the estimated slope a^1t\hat a_{1t}a^1t​ is nonnegative.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

P(pt↛popt)>0.P\big(p_t \not\to p_{\mathrm{opt}}\big) > 0 .P(pt​→popt​)>0.

The goal states only the failure of convergence, for every admissible parameter and every pair of different initial prices; it does not fix where the prices go.

Stronger: the prices stick at the boundary

P(pt=ph for all t≥3)>0.P\big(p_t = p_h \ \text{for all } t \ge 3\big) > 0 .P(pt​=ph​ for all t≥3)>0.

This is what the paper's argument establishes; since popt<php_{\mathrm{opt}} < p_hpopt​<ph​ it implies the goal.

Milestones

The milestones are the displayed steps of the appendix proof, in attack order: the determinant of the coefficient matrix of the linear system (12); the bound P(sup⁡t≥3∣(t−2)−1∑i=3tei∣>ϵ)≤8σ2ϵ−2<1P(\sup_{t \ge 3}|(t-2)^{-1}\sum_{i=3}^t e_i| > \epsilon) \le 8\sigma^2\epsilon^{-2} < 1P(supt≥3​∣(t−2)−1∑i=3t​ei​∣>ϵ)≤8σ2ϵ−2<1 for ϵ>8 σ\epsilon > \sqrt 8\,\sigmaϵ>8​σ; positivity of the probability of an explicit event AδA_\deltaAδ​ on the noise for large δ\deltaδ; the case t=2t = 2t=2 (the first fitted line pushes p3p_3p3​ to php_hph​); the representation a^t−a(0)=(eˉt−pˉtCt/Vt, Ct/Vt)\hat a_t - a^{(0)} = (\bar e_t - \bar p_tC_t/V_t,\ C_t/V_t)a^t​−a(0)=(eˉt​−pˉ​t​Ct​/Vt​, Ct​/Vt​) of the least squares error; recursive and closed forms of VtV_tVt​ and CtC_tCt​; and the deterministic induction that every noise path in AδA_\deltaAδ​ keeps the price at php_hph​ forever.

Significance

The result is the standard counterexample to certainty equivalence in dynamic pricing. It shows that estimation and optimization cannot be separated naively: a policy that always exploits its current estimate can lock itself into a price at which the data no longer move the estimate enough to correct it. Every later policy in this literature that forces exploration (controlled variance pricing, semi-myopic policies, constrained iterated least squares) is designed against this failure, and its necessity is argued by pointing to results of this kind.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing here is open. To our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it adds:

  • a verified pathwise analysis of the least squares recursion along a price path, reusable for other proofs about adaptive estimation with two parameters;
  • a verified maximal bound for running means of i.i.d. Gaussian noise, of the kind used in many consistency proofs;
  • a clean probabilistic statement of the failure, against which consistency results for exploration policies can later be contrasted.

Difficulty

The obvious heuristic, "with positive probability the first two observations are so noisy that the fitted slope is wrong", is not enough: one bad estimate is corrected by later data unless the policy stops generating informative data. The proof has to control the whole infinite future. It does so by showing that on a single event, defined through the first two noise values and a uniform bound on all later running means, the price stays at php_hph​ forever, which requires the closed form of the least squares estimate along a price path that is constant from period 3 on. That event involves infinitely many noise variables, so its probability is positive only through a maximal inequality, and independence between (e1,e2)(e_1, e_2)(e1​,e2​) and the later noise. A second subtlety is the choice of constants: the size of the band δ\deltaδ enters the conditions on (e1,e2)(e_1, e_2)(e1​,e2​), so the order in which δ\deltaδ and the set of admissible (e1,e2)(e_1, e_2)(e1​,e2​) are chosen matters (the printed proof picks them in a circular order; a non-circular choice exists).

Formalization scope

  • Model. CVPricing.CertEquiv.Model bundles pl,ph,a0(0),a1(0),σp_l, p_h, a_0^{(0)}, a_1^{(0)}, \sigmapl​,ph​,a0(0)​,a1(0)​,σ with the standing assumptions of §2 as fields, including pl<popt<php_l < p_{\mathrm{opt}} < p_hpl​<popt​<ph​ (the paper's neighbourhood assumption specialized to linear demand). The noise is the referenced published definition RobustBooking.Shared.GaussianNoise (measurable, mutually independent, each N(0,σ2)N(0, \sigma^2)N(0,σ2)); its Lean index kkk is period k+1k+1k+1, so the paper's eie_iei​ is ε (i - 1).
  • Policy. cePrice is a deterministic recursion on a noise path, so the random price process is obtained by evaluating it at ω\omegaω. Periods are 1-based. The least squares estimate is the referenced KeskinZeevi.SufficientConditions.lsEstimateOf, the solution of the normal equations (4), unique whenever p1≠p2p_1 \ne p_2p1​=p2​. The certainty equivalent rule is the projection of −a^0t/(2a^1t)-\hat a_{0t}/(2\hat a_{1t})−a^0t​/(2a^1t​) onto [pl,ph][p_l, p_h][pl​,ph​] when a^1t<0\hat a_{1t} < 0a^1t​<0, and php_hph​ when a^1t≥0\hat a_{1t} \ge 0a^1t​≥0; the latter is the convention the paper's proof adopts for wrong-signed estimates.
  • Corrected slips. The definition of the event AAA is printed with "δ∣eˉt∣≤δ\delta|\bar e_t| \le \deltaδ∣eˉt​∣≤δ" (read ∣eˉt∣≤δ|\bar e_t| \le \delta∣eˉt​∣≤δ) and with its second line missing a factor δ\deltaδ on the term (2ph−p1−p2)(2p_h - p_1 - p_2)(2ph​−p1​−p2​); both are restored as in (12) and the last display of the proof. The intercept of the first fitted line is printed without a0(0)a_0^{(0)}a0(0)​; the correct intercept is stated, and the printed condition remains sufficient for p3=php_3 = p_hp3​=ph​.
  • WLOG. The steps of the proof assume p1<p2p_1 < p_2p1​<p2​ and are stated under that ordering; the goal and the stronger statement cover p1≠p2p_1 \ne p_2p1​=p2​.
  • No trivialization. The goal is a statement about the Gaussian law of the noise: a theorem that exhibits one bad noise path, or that assumes P(A)>0P(A) > 0P(A)>0, does not prove it. The event in the goal is a set of outcomes whose measurability is not asserted.
  • Welcome contributions. Kolmogorov's maximal inequality for sums of independent square-integrable variables; least squares identities for two-parameter regression; the independence argument separating (e1,e2)(e_1, e_2)(e1​,e2​) from the later noise.

Selected references

  • A. V. den Boer, B. Zwart, Simultaneously Learning and Optimizing Using Controlled Variance Pricing, Management Science 60(3):770–783, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1788
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Iterated least squares in multiperiod control, Advances in Applied Mathematics 3(1):50–73, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0196-8858(82)80005-5
  • T. W. Anderson, J. B. Taylor, Some experimental results on the statistical properties of least squares estimates in control problems, Econometrica 44(6):1289–1302, 1976. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914261
  • Y. S. Chow, H. Teicher, Probability Theory: Independence, Interchangeability, Martingales, 3rd ed., Springer, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1950-7
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Operations ResearchProbabilityReinforcement Learning+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Learning in Structured MDPs with Convex Cost Functions: Improved Regret Bounds for Inventory Management: Base-Stock Values from Any Two Starting States Differ by at Most 36 max(h,p)LxResearch Paper

Motivation

The lost-sales inventory problem with lead times is a basic model of operations management. A retailer reviews one product's stock each period and places an order that arrives LLL periods later. Demand that cannot be met from stock on hand is lost, and the retailer pays a holding cost hhh per unit left on the shelf and a penalty ppp per unit of lost demand. The optimal policy depends on the whole pipeline of outstanding orders, so the state space grows with LLL, and the problem is computationally hard for long lead times. Simple base-stock (order-up-to) policies are therefore the standard heuristic, and Huh, Janakiraman, Muckstadt and Rusmevichientong (Management Science 2009) showed they are asymptotically optimal as the lost-sales penalty grows.

Agrawal and Jia (arXiv:1905.04337) study the learning version, in which the demand distribution is unknown and only sales, not demands, are observed. They give an algorithm whose regret against the best base-stock policy is O~(LT)\tilde O(L\sqrt T)O~(LT​), improving the earlier bound of Zhang, Chao and Shi, which grows exponentially in LLL. The improvement rests on one structural fact: started from two different states, the base-stock system accumulates expected costs that differ by an amount linear in LLL and independent of the horizon. That fact, Lemma 2.5 of the paper, is the goal of this mission.

Setting

Fix a lead time L≥0L\ge 0L≥0 and a base-stock level xxx. A state is a vector s=(s(0),s(1),…,s(L))\mathbf s=(s(0),s(1),\dots,s(L))s=(s(0),s(1),…,s(L)) of real numbers. Its entry s(0)s(0)s(0) is the on-hand inventory after the current period's arrival, and s(1),…,s(L)s(1),\dots,s(L)s(1),…,s(L) are the outstanding orders, s(L)s(L)s(L) the most recent. Under a base-stock policy with level xxx the states lie in

Sx={s:s(i)≥0 for all i, ∑i=0Ls(i)=x}.\mathcal S^x=\Big\{\mathbf s : s(i)\ge 0\ \text{for all } i,\ \sum_{i=0}^{L}s(i)=x\Big\}.Sx={s:s(i)≥0 for all i, i=0∑L​s(i)=x}.

In each period ttt a demand dt≥0d_t\ge 0dt​≥0 is drawn, independently across periods, from a distribution FFF on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). The sales are yt=min⁡{st(0),dt}y_t=\min\{s_t(0),d_t\}yt​=min{st​(0),dt​} and the on-hand inventory is It=st(0)I_t=s_t(0)It​=st​(0). The policy reorders exactly what was sold, so for L≥1L\ge 1L≥1 the next state is

st+1=(st(0)−yt+st(1), st(2), …, st(L), yt),\mathbf s_{t+1}=\big(s_t(0)-y_t+s_t(1),\ s_t(2),\ \dots,\ s_t(L),\ y_t\big),st+1​=(st​(0)−yt​+st​(1), st​(2), …, st​(L), yt​),

and for L=0L=0L=0 the state (x)(x)(x) never changes. The pseudo-cost of period ttt is Ctx=h(st(0)−yt)−p ytC^x_t=h(s_t(0)-y_t)-p\,y_tCtx​=h(st​(0)−yt​)−pyt​, and the value over horizon TTT from the start state s\mathbf ss is

VTx(s)=E[∑t=1TCtx ∣ s1=s].V^x_T(\mathbf s)=\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^{T}C^x_t\ \Big|\ \mathbf s_1=\mathbf s\Big].VTx​(s)=E[t=1∑T​Ctx​ ​ s1​=s].

Along a demand path, nTx(s)=∑t=1Tytn^x_T(\mathbf s)=\sum_{t=1}^T y_tnTx​(s)=∑t=1T​yt​ is the total sales and mTx(s)=∑t=1TItm^x_T(\mathbf s)=\sum_{t=1}^T I_tmTx​(s)=∑t=1T​It​ the total on-hand inventory.

States are compared by the order of Definition B.1: s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s if s′−s=δ\mathbf s'-\mathbf s=\deltas′−s=δ with ∑iδi=0\sum_i\delta_i=0∑i​δi​=0 and some 0≤k≤L−10\le k\le L-10≤k≤L−1 such that δi≥0\delta_i\ge 0δi​≥0 for i≤ki\le ki≤k and δi≤0\delta_i\le 0δi​≤0 for i>ki>ki>k. Thus s′\mathbf s's′ holds the same total, shifted toward the shelf. The state s^=(x,0,…,0)\hat{\mathbf s}=(x,0,\dots,0)s^=(x,0,…,0) dominates every state of Sx\mathcal S^xSx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 2.5 (p. 8)

For every xxx, every horizon TTT, all costs h,p≥0h,p\ge 0h,p≥0, every demand law FFF and all s,s′∈Sx\mathbf s,\mathbf s'\in\mathcal S^xs,s′∈Sx,

VTx(s)−VTx(s′)≤36max⁡(h,p) L x.V^x_T(\mathbf s)-V^x_T(\mathbf s')\le 36\max(h,p)\,L\,x .VTx​(s)−VTx​(s′)≤36max(h,p)Lx.

The constant is the paper's printed one. The proof's last display gives 18(h+p)Lx18(h+p)Lx18(h+p)Lx, a stronger bound, which is deliberately not the goal.

Milestones (Appendix B and the proof of Lemma 2.5)

All of the following hold for L≥1L\ge 1L≥1, along any single demand path that drives both chains:

  1. Lemma B.2 (p. 20). If s1′⪰s1\mathbf s'_1\succeq\mathbf s_1s1′​⪰s1​ then for t≤L+1t\le L+1t≤L+1 the cumulative sales satisfy Yt′−Yt≤max⁡0≤k≤t−1(δ0+⋯+δk)Y'_t-Y_t\le\max_{0\le k\le t-1}(\delta_0+\dots+\delta_k)Yt′​−Yt​≤max0≤k≤t−1​(δ0​+⋯+δk​).
  2. Lemma B.3 (p. 20). If moreover It′≥ItI'_t\ge I_tIt′​≥It​ for t=1,…,L+1t=1,\dots,L+1t=1,…,L+1, then nT(sL+1′)=nT(sL+1)n_T(\mathbf s'_{L+1})=n_T(\mathbf s_{L+1})nT​(sL+1′​)=nT​(sL+1​) for every TTT.
  3. Lemma B.5 (p. 21). At the successive first crossing times σi,τi\sigma_i,\tau_iσi​,τi​ of Definition B.4, the state order alternates: sσi′⪰sσi\mathbf s'_{\sigma_i}\succeq\mathbf s_{\sigma_i}sσi​′​⪰sσi​​ and sτi′⪯sτi\mathbf s'_{\tau_i}\preceq\mathbf s_{\tau_i}sτi​′​⪯sτi​​ whenever these times exist.
  4. Lemma B.6 (p. 21). If s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s in Sx\mathcal S^xSx then ∣nTx(s′)−nTx(s)∣≤3x|n^x_T(\mathbf s')-n^x_T(\mathbf s)|\le 3x∣nTx​(s′)−nTx​(s)∣≤3x.
  5. Lemma B.7 (p. 23). If s′⪰s\mathbf s'\succeq\mathbf ss′⪰s in Sx\mathcal S^xSx then ∣mTx(s)−mTx(s′)∣≤6Lx|m^x_T(\mathbf s)-m^x_T(\mathbf s')|\le 6Lx∣mTx​(s)−mTx​(s′)∣≤6Lx.
  6. Proof of Lemma 2.5 (p. 9). s^⪰s\hat{\mathbf s}\succeq\mathbf ss^⪰s for every s∈Sx\mathbf s\in\mathcal S^xs∈Sx.
  7. Proof of Lemma 2.5 (p. 9). ∣VTx(s)−VTx(s^)∣≤9(h+p)Lx|V^x_T(\mathbf s)-V^x_T(\hat{\mathbf s})|\le 9(h+p)Lx∣VTx​(s)−VTx​(s^)∣≤9(h+p)Lx.

Significance

Lemma 2.5 bounds the dependence of the base-stock chain's finite-horizon cost on its starting state, uniformly in the horizon. In the paper it yields three consequences: the long-run average cost (the loss) of a base-stock policy does not depend on the initial state (Lemma 2.6), the bias of the chain is bounded by 36max⁡(h,p)Lx36\max(h,p)Lx36max(h,p)Lx (Lemma 2.8), and finite-horizon average costs concentrate around the loss (Lemma 2.10). These feed the regret bound of Theorem 1.3. The lemma is also a statement about the base-stock lost-sales system alone, without any learning, so it is of independent interest for coupling arguments on lost-sales chains.

The paper's proof is complete on paper, but nothing in it has a machine-checked proof. Neither the lost-sales base-stock chain with lead times started from an arbitrary pipeline state nor any of the coupling lemmas of Appendix B is formalized elsewhere. This mission produces a checked proof of the goal and of the pathwise comparison lemmas. Theorem 1.3 is not posed: its supporting lemmas rely on limits whose existence the paper settles only by an informal discretization (Remark 4).

Difficulty

The obvious argument couples the two chains on a common demand path and waits until they coalesce. Coalescence is guaranteed only after LLL consecutive periods of zero demand, an event of probability exponentially small in LLL, so this argument gives a bound exponential in LLL. That is the bound of earlier work.

The linear bound needs a finer pathwise accounting. The two coupled chains do not stay ordered: the one that starts with more inventory on the shelf sells more at first, then runs short and sells less. The order ⪰\succeq⪰ between the two states alternates along a sequence of times, and the sales gained in one phase must be shown to be lost again in the next, so that the cumulative difference stays bounded by a constant multiple of xxx for every horizon. Turning this alternation into a bound requires tracking how the pipeline vectors evolve between alternation times, including the boundary cases in which the chains coalesce or the horizon ends inside a phase.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace LostSalesLearning.ValueGap. A state is a function Fin (L + 1) → ℝ, a demand path is a function ℕ → ℝ≥0, and time is 0-based: traj s d 0 is the paper's s1\mathbf s_1s1​, traj s d t is st+1\mathbf s_{t+1}st+1​, and ∑t=1T\sum_{t=1}^T∑t=1T​ is a sum over Finset.range T. The demand law FFF is a probability measure on ℝ≥0, and the demand path has the product law Measure.infinitePi (fun _ => F). The value is the expectation of the summed pseudo-costs, which equals Definition 2.4 by the tower property and is the form used in the paper's proof.

Committed conventions:

  • The costs satisfy h≥0h\ge 0h≥0 and p≥0p\ge 0p≥0, the reading of "per unit holding cost and per unit lost sales penalty".
  • No assumption is placed on FFF. The paper's assumptions F(0)>0F(0)>0F(0)>0 and bounded demand belong to other results.
  • The goal holds for every L≥0L\ge 0L≥0; the Appendix B milestones carry L≥1L\ge 1L≥1, as Appendix B does.
  • The order ⪰\succeq⪰ is Definition B.1 verbatim, with the equal-sum clause and the split index k≤L−1k\le L-1k≤L−1.
  • The pathwise milestones quantify over every demand path and drive both chains with the same path.
  • The first crossing times of Definition B.4 are represented by alternationTimes; an absent next crossing is none.

Two trivializing formalizations are ruled out. A comparison of the two values on different or fixed demand paths would be a different statement: the goal compares two expectations under the same law, and each pathwise milestone uses one common path. A Bochner integral of a non-integrable function would be 000. The integrand here is measurable and bounded by T(h+p)xT(h+p)xT(h+p)x on Sx\mathcal S^xSx, so the values are genuine expectations.

A complete development needs the elementary dynamics of the chain, including invariance of Sx\mathcal S^xSx and the shift of trajectories, which is reusable for other lost-sales models. It also needs the alternation times of Definition B.4, and measurability of the trajectory in the demand path. Proofs of individual milestones, alternative proofs of the goal, and sharper constants as separate statements are all welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Agrawal and R. Jia, Learning in Structured MDPs with Convex Cost Functions: Improved Regret Bounds for Inventory Management, arXiv:1905.04337v1, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.04337
  • W. T. Huh, G. Janakiraman, J. A. Muckstadt and P. Rusmevichientong, Asymptotic Optimality of Order-Up-To Policies in Lost Sales Inventory Systems, Management Science 55(3), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1080.0945
  • H. Zhang, X. Chao and C. Shi, Closing the Gap: A Learning Algorithm for Lost-Sales Inventory Systems with Lead Times, Management Science 66(5), 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2019.3288
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

The Relaxation Method of Finding the Common Point of Convex Sets and Its Application to the Solution of Problems in Convex Programming 4: The Primal-Dual Relaxation Solves the Inequality ProgramResearch Paper

Motivation

Many large convex programs have far more constraints than can be handled at once, but each constraint on its own is simple: a single linear equation or inequality. Row-action methods exploit this by touching one constraint per iteration. L. M. Bregman's 1967 paper (DOI 10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7) introduced the general framework behind most of them. A strictly convex function fff induces the "distance" D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y), now called the Bregman distance, and the method moves from point to point by DDD-projections onto one constraint at a time. For f(x)=∥x∥2/2f(x)=\|x\|^2/2f(x)=∥x∥2/2 this reduces to Hildreth's method for quadratic programming; for entropy-type fff it gives the balancing (matrix scaling) methods used for transportation and traffic problems. The later literature on Bregman projections, mirror descent and entropic regularisation starts from this paper.

This mission formalizes the last main result of the paper, Theorem 4 (p. 212), which treats linear inequality constraints. Here a plain projection cycle does not minimize fff. Bregman's fix carries a vector of nonnegative multipliers unu^nun along with the primal point xnx^nxn and lets each step either move towards a violated constraint or relax a multiplier. The result is a primal–dual method.

Timeline. Hildreth (1957) gave the quadratic case. Bregman (1967) proved the general theorem stated here. Censor and Lent (1981) revisited the method for interval constraints under explicit assumptions on Bregman functions (DOI 10.1007/BF00934676).

Setting

Let EpE^pEp be ppp-dimensional Euclidean space and S⊂EpS\subset E^pS⊂Ep a convex set. Let fff be strictly convex on SSS, continuously differentiable over SSS with gradient g(x)g(x)g(x), and continuous over the closure Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Let AAA be an m×pm\times pm×p matrix (m≥1m\ge1m≥1) with nonzero rows A1,…,AmA_1,\dots,A_mA1​,…,Am​, and b∈Emb\in E^mb∈Em. The inequality program (2.11)–(2.13) is

minimize f(x)subject toAx≥b,x∈Sˉ,\text{minimize } f(x)\quad\text{subject to}\quad Ax\ge b,\quad x\in\bar S,minimize f(x)subject toAx≥b,x∈Sˉ,

with feasible set R={x∣Ax≥b, x∈Sˉ}R=\{x \mid Ax\ge b,\ x\in\bar S\}R={x∣Ax≥b, x∈Sˉ}, assumed nonempty. The Bregman function is D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y)D(x,y)=f(x)-f(y)-(g(y),x-y)D(x,y)=f(x)−f(y)−(g(y),x−y) (1.4). The DDD-projection PiyP_iyPi​y of y∈Sy\in Sy∈S onto the hyperplane Ai={x∣(Ai,x)=bi}A_i=\{x \mid (A_i,x)=b_i\}Ai​={x∣(Ai​,x)=bi​} minimizes D(⋅,y)D(\cdot,y)D(⋅,y) over Ai∩SA_i\cap SAi​∩S. The standing hypotheses ("the conditions of Theorem 3") are that DDD satisfies the abstract conditions I–VI of §1 for these hyperplanes, together with condition (2) of Note 1: yn→y∗∈Sˉy^n\to y^*\in\bar Syn→y∗∈Sˉ implies D(y∗,yn)→0D(y^*,y^n)\to0D(y∗,yn)→0. In addition, DDD-projections of interior points of SSS stay in the interior. Condition V (compact sublevel sets of D(z,⋅)D(z,\cdot)D(z,⋅)) is used for z∈Rz\in Rz∈R.

Write Z0={x∈S∣g(x)=uA for some u≥0}Z_0=\{x\in S \mid g(x)=uA \text{ for some } u\ge0\}Z0​={x∈S∣g(x)=uA for some u≥0}, where uA=∑iuiAiuA=\sum_iu_iA_iuA=∑i​ui​Ai​, and φ(x,u)=f(x)−(u,Ax−b)\varphi(x,u)=f(x)-(u,Ax-b)φ(x,u)=f(x)−(u,Ax−b). A run of the method is a sequence of pairs (xn,un)(x^n,u^n)(xn,un) with x0∈int⁡Sx^0\in\operatorname{int}Sx0∈intS, u0≥0u^0\ge0u0≥0, g(x0)=u0Ag(x^0)=u^0Ag(x0)=u0A, and cyclic indices ini_nin​. Each step with i=ini=i_ni=in​ is one of the following:

  • (a) if (Ai,xn)<bi(A_i,x^n)<b_i(Ai​,xn)<bi​: g(xn+1)=g(xn)+λnAig(x^{n+1})=g(x^n)+\lambda_nA_ig(xn+1)=g(xn)+λn​Ai​, (Ai,xn+1)=bi(A_i,x^{n+1})=b_i(Ai​,xn+1)=bi​, and uiu_iui​ increases by λn\lambda_nλn​;
  • (b) if (Ai,xn)=bi(A_i,x^n)=b_i(Ai​,xn)=bi​, or (Ai,xn)>bi(A_i,x^n)>b_i(Ai​,xn)>bi​ with ui=0u_i=0ui​=0: nothing changes;
  • (c) if (Ai,xn)>bi(A_i,x^n)>b_i(Ai​,xn)>bi​ and ui>0u_i>0ui​>0: g(xn+1)=g(xn)−μnAig(x^{n+1})=g(x^n)-\mu_nA_ig(xn+1)=g(xn)−μn​Ai​ with μn=min⁡(μn′,ui)\mu_n=\min(\mu_n',u_i)μn​=min(μn′​,ui​), where μn′\mu_n'μn′​ is the step that would reach the hyperplane, and uiu_iui​ decreases by μn\mu_nμn​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

For every run of the method,

xn→x∗,x∗∈R,f(x∗)=min⁡y∈Rf(y).x^n\to x^*,\qquad x^*\in R,\qquad f(x^*)=\min_{y\in R}f(y).xn→x∗,x∗∈R,f(x∗)=y∈Rmin​f(y).

Milestones (steps 1–4 of the proof)

  1. un≥0u^n\ge0un≥0 and g(xn)=unAg(x^n)=u^nAg(xn)=unA for all nnn (step 1, (2.20)–(2.21)).
  2. φ(xn+1,un+1)−φ(xn,un)≥D(xn+1,xn)\varphi(x^{n+1},u^{n+1})-\varphi(x^n,u^n)\ge D(x^{n+1},x^n)φ(xn+1,un+1)−φ(xn,un)≥D(xn+1,xn) (step 2, (2.22)–(2.24)).
  3. For z∈Rz\in Rz∈R: D(z,xn)≤f(z)−φ(x0,u0)D(z,x^n)\le f(z)-\varphi(x^0,u^0)D(z,xn)≤f(z)−φ(x0,u0) and φ(xn,un)≤f(z)\varphi(x^n,u^n)\le f(z)φ(xn,un)≤f(z) (step 3, (2.25)–(2.26)).
  4. {xn}\{x^n\}{xn} lies in a compact set, and lim⁡φ(xn,un)\lim\varphi(x^n,u^n)limφ(xn,un) exists and is at most f(z)f(z)f(z) for every z∈Rz\in Rz∈R (step 3, (2.27)).
  5. D(xn+1,xn)→0D(x^{n+1},x^n)\to0D(xn+1,xn)→0, and every limiting point of {xn}\{x^n\}{xn} lies in RRR (step 4).

Significance

Theorem 4 says that a method using one constraint per step and only fff's gradient converges to the minimizer of a strictly convex function over a polyhedron intersected with Sˉ\bar SSˉ. Its multipliers unu^nun form a dual sequence. Note 4 of the paper deduces from the theorem that the optimal value equals sup⁡φ(x,u)\sup\varphi(x,u)supφ(x,u) over dual-feasible pairs (g(x)=uAg(x)=uAg(x)=uA, u≥0u\ge0u≥0). The theorem is the convergence statement behind Hildreth's algorithm, behind entropy-based balancing for linear inequality systems, and behind the later "interval convex programming" methods.

The theorem is proved on paper, but no machine-checked proof of it, or of any Bregman-projection row-action method, is known to exist. The formalization adds two things. It makes the paper's standing hypotheses explicit, since several are stated once or left implicit. It also forces a complete argument for the convergence of the whole sequence: the printed proof gets this from condition (2) by an argument that assumes a monotonicity property established in §1 for the pure projection method but not for the primal–dual one. A Lean proof of the goal therefore also supplies a complete proof of the paper's claim.

Difficulty

The standard argument for projection methods uses a Fejér-type property: D(z,xn)D(z,x^n)D(z,xn) decreases for every feasible zzz. That fails here. In case (c) the point moves away from the hyperplane of a satisfied constraint, and D(z,xn)D(z,x^n)D(z,xn) can increase. So any argument has to control primal and dual quantities together. To pass from "every limiting point is feasible" to "the whole sequence converges to an optimal point", complementary slackness has to hold in the limit, and this depends on the cyclic order and on the cap μn≤ui\mu_n\le u_iμn​≤ui​. The naive route, applying the §1 convergence theorems to the hyperplanes AiA_iAi​, does not apply, because the iterates are not DDD-projections onto fixed sets in case (c).

Formalization scope

  • EpE^pEp is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p); the rows are vectors aia_iai​, and uAuAuA is ∑iuiai\sum_iu_ia_i∑i​ui​ai​. The gradient ggg is explicit data tied to fff by HasGradientWithinAt on SSS. SSS is not assumed open, and fff is continuous on Sˉ\bar SSˉ.
  • The DDD-projections form a fixed map PPP. Condition IV is assumed in the one-sided form the proofs use, which the paper's two-sided IV implies. "Compact" means sequentially compact, which agrees with compact in EpE^pEp. Condition (2) is read with y∗∈Sˉy^*\in\bar Sy∗∈Sˉ.
  • Condition V is assumed for z∈Rz\in Rz∈R, the inequality-feasible set, where the proof applies it. The §1 form (for zzz in the intersection of the hyperplanes) could hold vacuously for an inequality system.
  • Step (a) is encoded by its defining conditions (2.14)–(2.15). Every new point, and the auxiliary point of case (c), lies in SSS. The run starts with u0≥0u^0\ge0u0≥0, and the cyclic control is in=n mod mi_n=n\bmod min​=nmodm over indices 0,…,m−10,\dots,m-10,…,m−1.
  • Translation slips are corrected: the Z0Z_0Z0​ set-builder, which breaks off, is completed; "μn′=uinn\mu_n'=u_{i_n}^nμn′​=uin​n​" is read as μn′′=uinn\mu_n''=u_{i_n}^nμn′′​=uin​n​; "Theorems 1–3" in Theorem 3 means Theorems 1–2.
  • The goal quantifies over every run from every admissible start and asserts convergence of the whole sequence together with optimality of the limit. Neither "some limiting point is optimal" nor a single constructed run is an acceptable substitute. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable, for example by Hildreth's case f=∥x∥2/2f=\|x\|^2/2f=∥x∥2/2, S=EpS=E^pS=Ep with a run that takes a case (a) step, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Needed infrastructure: Bregman distances of differentiable strictly convex functions on non-open convex sets, the strict monotonicity of the gradient, and subsequence and compactness arguments in EpE^pEp. These are reusable for the companion missions on Theorems 1–3 of the same paper. Contributions are welcome: proofs of the milestones, the full-convergence argument, and the duality statement of Note 4.

Selected references

  • L. M. Bregman, The relaxation method of finding the common point of convex sets and its application to the solution of problems in convex programming, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 7(3) (1967) 200–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/0041-5553(67)90040-7
  • C. Hildreth, A quadratic programming procedure, Naval Res. Logist. Quart. 4 (1957) 79–85. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800040113
  • Y. Censor, A. Lent, An iterative row-action method for interval convex programming, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 34 (1981) 321–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00934676
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning 2: Follow the Perturbed Leader with an ε-Approximate Linear Oracle Has Expected Regret at Most 2√(DRAT) + 2εTResearch Paper

Motivation

Many decision problems are solved repeatedly against data that arrive over time: routing traffic, allocating budgets, choosing portfolios or combinatorial structures. Online linear optimization models this. At each round t=1,…,Tt = 1, \ldots, Tt=1,…,T a learner picks a decision xtx_txt​ from a fixed domain K⊆Rn\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^nK⊆Rn, then a reward vector ftf_tft​ is revealed and the learner earns ft⋅xtf_t\cdot x_tft​⋅xt​. Performance is measured by regret, the gap to the best fixed decision in hindsight. When K\mathcal KK is combinatorial (paths, spanning trees, assignments), the only computationally reasonable access to K\mathcal KK is a procedure that optimizes a linear function over it, and in practice such procedures are often only approximate.

Follow the Perturbed Leader (FPL), introduced by Hannan (1957) and analysed for linear optimization by Kalai and Vempala (JCSS 2005), uses exactly one call to an exact linear optimizer per round and achieves regret O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) over arbitrary, not necessarily convex, domains. Ben-Tal, Hazan, Koren and Mannor (arXiv:1402.6361, Operations Research 2015) needed a version of FPL that works with an additively approximate linear optimizer, as a building block for oracle-based robust optimization with linearly parametrized uncertainty sets. Their §3.3 analyses this variant and proves Theorem 6, the goal of this mission.

Setting

Fix a dimension nnn, a domain K⊆Rn\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^nK⊆Rn (arbitrary: not necessarily convex, closed or bounded) and ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0. An ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate linear optimization procedure over K\mathcal KK is a map Mϵ:Rn→RnM_\epsilon:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nMϵ​:Rn→Rn such that, for every g∈Rng\in\mathbb R^ng∈Rn,

Mϵ(g)∈Kandg⋅Mϵ(g)  ≥  g⋅x−ϵfor all x∈K.M_\epsilon(g)\in\mathcal K \qquad\text{and}\qquad g\cdot M_\epsilon(g)\;\ge\; g\cdot x-\epsilon\quad\text{for all }x\in\mathcal K .Mϵ​(g)∈Kandg⋅Mϵ​(g)≥g⋅x−ϵfor all x∈K.

Reward vectors f1,…,fT∈Rnf_1,\ldots,f_T\in\mathbb R^nf1​,…,fT​∈Rn are fixed in advance (an oblivious adversary). Write f1:t=∑τ=1tfτf_{1:t}=\sum_{\tau=1}^t f_\tauf1:t​=∑τ=1t​fτ​, with f1:0=0f_{1:0}=0f1:0​=0, and ∥v∥1=∑i∣vi∣\|v\|_1=\sum_i|v_i|∥v∥1​=∑i​∣vi​∣.

Follow the Approximate Perturbed Leader with parameter η>0\eta>0η>0 plays at round ttt

xt=Mϵ(f1:t−1+pt),pt uniform on the cube [0,1/η]n.x_t = M_\epsilon\big(f_{1:t-1}+p_t\big),\qquad p_t \text{ uniform on the cube } [0,1/\eta]^n .xt​=Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+pt​),pt​ uniform on the cube [0,1/η]n.

Three scale parameters enter the bound: DDD bounds the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ diameter of K\mathcal KK, ∥x−y∥1≤D\|x-y\|_1\le D∥x−y∥1​≤D for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K; AAA bounds ∥ft∥1\|f_t\|_1∥ft​∥1​; and RRR bounds how much each reward varies over the domain, ∣ft⋅x−ft⋅y∣≤R|f_t\cdot x-f_t\cdot y|\le R∣ft​⋅x−ft​⋅y∣≤R for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 11)

With η=D/(RAT)\eta=\sqrt{D/(RAT)}η=D/(RAT)​, for every x∗∈Kx^*\in\mathcal Kx∗∈K,

∑t=1Tft⋅x∗−E[∑t=1Tft⋅xt]  ≤  2DRAT+2ϵT.\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x^* - \mathbf E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x_t\Big]\;\le\;2\sqrt{DRAT}+2\epsilon T .t=1∑T​ft​⋅x∗−E[t=1∑T​ft​⋅xt​]≤2DRAT​+2ϵT.

The bound for every η\etaη (proof of Theorem 6, p. 13)

For every η>0\eta>0η>0 and x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K,

E[∑t=1Tft⋅xt]  ≥  f1:T⋅x−Dη−ηRAT−2ϵT.\mathbf E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^T f_t\cdot x_t\Big]\;\ge\; f_{1:T}\cdot x-\frac D\eta-\eta RAT-2\epsilon T .E[t=1∑T​ft​⋅xt​]≥f1:T​⋅x−ηD​−ηRAT−2ϵT.

Supporting lemmas (pp. 12–13)

  • Lemma 7 (approximate be-the-leader): ∑t=1TMϵ(f1:t)⋅ft≥Mϵ(f1:T)⋅f1:T−ϵT\sum_{t=1}^T M_\epsilon(f_{1:t})\cdot f_t\ge M_\epsilon(f_{1:T})\cdot f_{1:T}-\epsilon T∑t=1T​Mϵ​(f1:t​)⋅ft​≥Mϵ​(f1:T​)⋅f1:T​−ϵT.
  • Lemma 8 (be the approximate perturbed leader): for T≥2T\ge2T≥2, p∈[0,1/η]np\in[0,1/\eta]^np∈[0,1/η]n and x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K, ∑t=1TMϵ(f1:t+p)⋅ft≥f1:T⋅x−D/η−2ϵT\sum_{t=1}^T M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)\cdot f_t\ge f_{1:T}\cdot x-D/\eta-2\epsilon T∑t=1T​Mϵ​(f1:t​+p)⋅ft​≥f1:T​⋅x−D/η−2ϵT.
  • Lemma 9 (stability): for ppp uniform on [0,1/η]n[0,1/\eta]^n[0,1/η]n, E[Mϵ(f1:t−1+p)⋅ft]−E[Mϵ(f1:t+p)⋅ft]≥−ηRA\mathbf E[M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)\cdot f_t]-\mathbf E[M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)\cdot f_t]\ge-\eta RAE[Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p)⋅ft​]−E[Mϵ​(f1:t​+p)⋅ft​]≥−ηRA.

Significance

Theorem 6 shows that perturbed-leader online linear optimization is robust to additive error in its optimization subroutine: an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate oracle costs only 2ϵT2\epsilon T2ϵT extra regret, so the average regret is 2DRA/T+2ϵ2\sqrt{DRA/T}+2\epsilon2DRA/T​+2ϵ. This allows the algorithm to be run over domains where exact linear optimization is intractable but a good additive approximation is available, and the paper invokes it as the online-learning primitive of its oracle-based scheme for linearly parametrized uncertainty in §3.2 (that application is not part of this mission). Unlike online gradient methods, it requires no convexity of K\mathcal KK and no projection.

On the formal side, no regret bound for Follow the Perturbed Leader, exact or approximate, is currently formalized on the platform, and the Kalai–Vempala stability argument (comparing a uniform distribution on a cube with its translate) is a reusable piece of measure theory. The mission's statements are proved on paper; the work here is to formalize those proofs, with one correction to a hypothesis, explained under Formalization scope.

Difficulty

Lemmas 7 and 8 are deterministic and combinatorial. The substance is Lemma 9. It compares the expectations of one bounded function of Mϵ(⋅)M_\epsilon(\cdot)Mϵ​(⋅) under the uniform law on a cube and under its translate by ftf_tft​. The natural first attempt, a pointwise comparison of Mϵ(f1:t−1+p)M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p) and Mϵ(f1:t+p)M_\epsilon(f_{1:t}+p)Mϵ​(f1:t​+p), fails: an approximate (even an exact) maximizer can jump arbitrarily under an arbitrarily small change of its input, and MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ is not assumed continuous or even consistent between nearby inputs. Any valid argument must therefore control the two distributions as a whole rather than the decisions point by point, which in the formal development involves Lebesgue measure on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, conditioning on a box and translation invariance.

A second subtlety is that the stability bound depends on how RRR is read, which is the reason for the correction below.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ with dotProduct. All ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ quantities are written as ∑i∣vi∣\sum_i|v_i|∑i​∣vi​∣, never with the default norm (the sup norm). Rewards are a function f : ℕ → Fin n → ℝ read at t=1,…,Tt=1,\ldots,Tt=1,…,T, and f1:tf_{1:t}f1:t​ is prefixSum f t. The perturbation law is Lebesgue measure conditioned on the cube [0,1/η]n[0,1/\eta]^n[0,1/η]n (ProbabilityTheory.cond volume), a probability measure for η>0\eta>0η>0. Maxima over K\mathcal KK are expressed as "for every x∈Kx\in\mathcal Kx∈K", so neither attainment nor boundedness of K\mathcal KK is presupposed.

Conventions and deviations, each also stated in the affected item:

  1. RRR is an oscillation bound. The paper takes R≥max⁡t,x∣ft⋅x∣R\ge\max_{t,x}|f_t\cdot x|R≥maxt,x​∣ft​⋅x∣. With that reading Lemma 9 is false (for K={−1,1}\mathcal K=\{-1,1\}K={−1,1}, the exact maximizer, f1:t−1=−Af_{1:t-1}=-Af1:t−1​=−A, ft=A=Rf_t=A=Rft​=A=R, ηA≤1\eta A\le1ηA≤1, the left side is −2ηRA-2\eta RA−2ηRA), and the printed constant in Theorem 6 does not follow. The proof's step "they can differ by at most RRR" is correct when R≥∣ft⋅x−ft⋅y∣R\ge|f_t\cdot x-f_t\cdot y|R≥∣ft​⋅x−ft​⋅y∣ for x,y∈Kx,y\in\mathcal Kx,y∈K; Lemma 9, the display and Theorem 6 are stated with that hypothesis. The printed hypothesis implies it with 2R2R2R; for non-negative rewards the two coincide.
  2. Expected reward. E[∑tft⋅xt]\mathbf E[\sum_t f_t\cdot x_t]E[∑t​ft​⋅xt​] is written as ∑t∫ft⋅Mϵ(f1:t−1+p) dμη(p)\sum_t\int f_t\cdot M_\epsilon(f_{1:t-1}+p)\,d\mu_\eta(p)∑t​∫ft​⋅Mϵ​(f1:t−1​+p)dμη​(p), which by linearity of expectation is the same for independent or shared perturbations (the paper makes the same observation).
  3. Printed typos. In (13) the summand ftf_tft​ is fτf_\taufτ​ and round ttt uses f1:t−1f_{1:t-1}f1:t−1​; in Lemma 8 and the display, max⁡xf1:t⋅x\max_{x}f_{1:t}\cdot xmaxx​f1:t​⋅x means f1:Tf_{1:T}f1:T​.
  4. Added hypotheses. MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ is measurable (otherwise every expectation would be a Bochner integral of a non-measurable function and equal 000); an approximate maximizer can always be chosen measurable. D,R,A>0D,R,A>0D,R,A>0 and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 make η=D/(RAT)\eta=\sqrt{D/(RAT)}η=D/(RAT)​ a positive real. The display is stated for T≥1T\ge1T≥1 (Lemma 8 needs T≥2T\ge2T≥2 as printed; the case T=1T=1T=1 also holds).
  5. No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears: all constants are the paper's explicit ones.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​ must return points of K\mathcal KK (otherwise DDD would not bound ∥Mϵ(⋅)−Mϵ(⋅)∥1\|M_\epsilon(\cdot)-M_\epsilon(\cdot)\|_1∥Mϵ​(⋅)−Mϵ​(⋅)∥1​), it must be measurable, and the perturbation law is the normalized uniform distribution, not Lebesgue measure restricted to the cube (which is not a probability measure for η≠1\eta\neq1η=1).

Needed infrastructure: the overlap estimate for a cube and its translate, vol([0,1/η]n∩(v+[0,1/η]n))≥(1−η∥v∥1) η−n\mathrm{vol}([0,1/\eta]^n\cap(v+[0,1/\eta]^n))\ge(1-\eta\|v\|_1)\,\eta^{-n}vol([0,1/η]n∩(v+[0,1/η]n))≥(1−η∥v∥1​)η−n, and the integrability of bounded measurable functions of MϵM_\epsilonMϵ​. Both are reusable for any perturbation-based online-learning analysis; contributions of these as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, E. Hazan, T. Koren, S. Mannor, Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning, Operations Research 63(3), 2015; preprint arXiv:1402.6361v1, 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.6361
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for online decision problems, Journal of Computer and System Sciences 71(3), 291–307, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.10.016
  • J. Hannan, Approximation to Bayes risk in repeated play, Contributions to the Theory of Games III, Annals of Mathematics Studies 39, 97–139, 1957.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Deriving Robust Counterparts of Nonlinear Uncertain Inequalities: For a Regular Nominal Vector, a Concave Uncertain Constraint Holds Robustly iff Its Fenchel Counterpart (FRC) Is SolvableResearch Paper

Motivation

In robust optimization, a decision must satisfy a constraint for every parameter value in a prescribed uncertainty set. A nonlinear uncertain constraint can be difficult to use directly because it contains a universal condition over a continuum of parameters. Ben-Tal, den Hertog, and Vial study constraints whose value is concave in the uncertain parameter. Their Theorem 2 replaces the universal condition by one inequality involving a new vector and two conjugate functions. The replacement is the general framework used for the paper's later examples, including uncertainty regions assembled from simpler sets and nonlinear functions whose conjugates have explicit forms. The discussion paper, §§2–4 is the source for this mission; theorem and page numbers refer to that 2012 version.

The paper's result extends a more specialized counterpart for a linear uncertain constraint under a φ-divergence uncertainty region. That 2013 result has a proved formalization on Prove2Me, but its divergence-specific conjugate and uncertainty set are different objects. The same earlier formalization also supplies a proved version of the self-concordant-barrier statement that this paper quotes as Lemma 33, with a differently printed constant. Neither earlier theorem supplies the general concave-constraint result here.

Setting

Fix dimensions m,n,Lm,n,Lm,n,L. The nominal vector is a0∈Rma^0\in\mathbb R^ma0∈Rm, and A∈Rm×LA\in\mathbb R^{m\times L}A∈Rm×L maps a primitive uncertainty ζ∈Z⊆RL\zeta\in Z\subseteq\mathbb R^Lζ∈Z⊆RL to an uncertain parameter a=a0+Aζa=a^0+A\zetaa=a0+Aζ. Thus the uncertainty set is U={a0+Aζ:ζ∈Z}U=\{a^0+A\zeta:\zeta\in Z\}U={a0+Aζ:ζ∈Z}. The paper assumes that ZZZ is nonempty, convex, and compact, with 000 in its relative interior ri⁡Z\operatorname{ri}ZriZ. Relative interior is taken inside the affine hull of a set, so ZZZ may lie in a lower-dimensional plane.

A decision is x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn. For each decision, D(x)D(x)D(x) is the effective domain of the uncertain constraint f(⋅,x)f(\cdot,x)f(⋅,x): f(a,x)f(a,x)f(a,x) is real on D(x)D(x)D(x) and is interpreted as −∞-\infty−∞ outside it. The function is concave in aaa on D(x)D(x)D(x) for every xxx; the paper imposes no convexity assumption in the decision xxx. The robust constraint (RC) is f(a,x)≤0f(a,x)\le0f(a,x)≤0 for every a∈Ua\in Ua∈U. In the domain representation used here, this means every a∈U∩D(x)a\in U\cap D(x)a∈U∩D(x). The nominal vector is regular when a0∈ri⁡D(x)a^0\in\operatorname{ri}D(x)a0∈riD(x) for every decision xxx, as in Definition 1.

The support function of SSS is δ∗(y∣S)=sup⁡a∈SyTa\delta^*(y\mid S)=\sup_{a\in S}y^Taδ∗(y∣S)=supa∈S​yTa. The partial concave conjugate is f∗(v,x)=inf⁡a∈D(x)(aTv−f(a,x))f_*(v,x)=\inf_{a\in D(x)}(a^Tv-f(a,x))f∗​(v,x)=infa∈D(x)​(aTv−f(a,x)). Both have extended-real values: an empty support set has support value −∞-\infty−∞, and the conjugate can be −∞-\infty−∞ when its infimum is unbounded below. These values matter in the equivalence; replacing them by a default real number changes the constraint.

Formalization targets

The goal is the paper's Theorem 2. Under the standing assumptions and regularity, for every decision xxx,

[∀a∈U∩D(x), f(a,x)≤0]⟺[∃v∈Rm: (a0)Tv+δ∗(ATv∣Z)−f∗(v,x)≤0].\left[\forall a\in U\cap D(x),\ f(a,x)\le0\right] \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \left[\exists v\in\mathbb R^m:\ (a^0)^Tv+\delta^*(A^Tv\mid Z)-f_*(v,x)\le0\right].[∀a∈U∩D(x), f(a,x)≤0]⟺[∃v∈Rm: (a0)Tv+δ∗(ATv∣Z)−f∗​(v,x)≤0].

The right-hand inequality is the Fenchel robust counterpart (FRC). Its existence claim is essential: equality of primal and dual infima alone would not show that an auxiliary vector satisfying FRC exists.

Four source statements form the milestone path. Remark 5 gives the weak-duality inequality and the FRC-to-RC implication without concavity. Equations (16)–(18) calculate the support function of UUU. Equation (7) states the relative-interior qualification. Equations (13)–(15) state the worst-case/dual-value identity and, through the printed minimum, attainment of the dual infimum. The milestone list quotes those source passages and identifies their printed pages. Theorem 2 and its proof appear on pp. 4–5.

Significance

The equivalence gives an exact way to replace an infinite family of uncertain inequalities by an existential constraint. In examples where the support function and concave conjugate can be evaluated or represented with standard optimization constraints, it yields a finite robust counterpart. The conclusion remains a mathematical equivalence even when such an explicit representation has not been found. It is also independent of any convexity of fff in the decision variable, a point the paper makes after Corollary 3.

This mission supplies reusable, domain-aware support and conjugate definitions and formal statements for the duality path in the paper's central result. The new goal and milestones are open proof obligations: their Lean declarations compile, but they do not yet have machine-checked proofs. The proved 2013 φ-divergence case is narrower and does not close them. A completed development would make the general relative-interior and attained-duality steps reusable for other robust optimization models.

Difficulty

The delicate point is the direction from RC to the existence of an FRC vector. Weak duality gives only a one-sided bound. Identifying the two optimal values still leaves an existence question when an infimum is not attained. The paper invokes Fenchel duality under a relative-interior intersection condition; replacing relative interior by ordinary interior would exclude lower-dimensional uncertainty sets and effective domains that the source permits. A second difficulty is keeping finite and infinite conjugate values distinct while subtracting them in the counterpart inequality. An unbounded-below conjugate must make a finite-support FRC value +∞+\infty+∞, not a plausible finite number.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions on Fin m, Fin n, and Fin L; AAA is a real matrix, and dot products use the finite-vector dot product. Mathlib's intrinsicInterior ℝ represents relative interior. The domain map D(x)D(x)D(x) is explicit, with the concavity hypothesis imposed on that domain. The real representative of fff outside D(x)D(x)D(x) is ignored everywhere. The paper's Notation paragraph calls its generic concave functions closed, but the statements here omit closedness: the finite-dimensional duality qualification used for Theorem 2 needs relative-interior overlap, not that extra regularity. This is a stated strengthening of the source theorem, not a change of its feasible points.

Support functions, conjugates, worst-case values, and dual values use EReal. The paper's “max” in (8), (13), and Remark 5 is read as an extended-real supremum; its “min” in (15) is an infimum accompanied by an attaining vector. The support identity includes Z=∅Z=\varnothingZ=∅, where both sides are −∞-\infty−∞, although Theorem 2 keeps the paper's nonempty, convex, compact ZZZ. On the theorem's hypotheses the support value is finite and D(x)D(x)D(x) is nonempty, so the undefined-looking combinations +∞−(+∞)+\infty-(+\infty)+∞−(+∞) and −∞+(+∞)-\infty+(+\infty)−∞+(+∞) cannot occur in FRC. No all-space real-valued substitute for f∗f_*f∗​ is used, and the theorem still quantifies over every decision and every allowed uncertainty vector.

The proof development needs finite-dimensional relative-interior behavior under affine maps and Fenchel duality with attainment. General convex conjugates and support functions can serve later missions. Corollary 3 and the paper's complexity discussion are outside this mission. Theorem A.1 is not separately made a milestone here: as printed, its domain-restricted dual maximum has a problematic −∞-\infty−∞ case; the directly used, attained identity (13)–(15) is the target under the main theorem's standing assumptions.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, D. den Hertog, J.-P. Vial, Deriving robust counterparts of nonlinear uncertain inequalities, CentER Discussion Paper 2012-053, Tilburg University, 2012. Discussion-paper PDF; journal version, Mathematical Programming, 2015, DOI 10.1007/s10107-014-0750-8.
  • A. Ben-Tal et al., Robust solutions of optimization problems affected by uncertain probabilities, Management Science, 2013. Prove2Me formalization of its φ-divergence case.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotic Optimality of Order-up-to Policies in Lost Sales Inventory Systems: Ordering Up to the Newsvendor Level for Penalty b + τh Is Asymptotically Optimal as b → ∞Research Paper

Motivation

Periodic-review inventory systems face a simple choice each period: how much to order before the next demand is known. When unmet demand is lost, the order can affect the stock available several periods later without preserving a backlog that records earlier shortages. This makes the optimal policy difficult to describe when replenishment takes time. An order-up-to policy offers a practical rule: order enough to bring the inventory position to a fixed level. Huh, Janakiraman, Muckstadt and Rusmevichientong ask when that simple rule performs as well as the best admissible lost-sales policy as the penalty for a lost unit grows. Their working paper, pp. 3–4 and 17–18, proves asymptotic optimality for a particular level obtained from a related backorder system.

The motivating costs are concrete. A lost sale may represent an expedited service part or a missed sale whose cost is much larger than one period of holding inventory. The paper's central comparison concerns the high-penalty regime while holding the demand law, lead time and holding rate fixed. The fixed-level policy can be computed from the distribution of demand over the lead time plus the order period; it does not require solving the full lost-sales control problem. The paper also supplies a finite-penalty bound, which this mission retains as a milestone. Huh et al., pp. 3–4, 17–18.

Setting

Let D1,D2,…D_1,D_2,\ldotsD1​,D2​,… be independent, identically distributed nonnegative demands with finite positive mean. An order takes a fixed integer lead time τ≥1\tau\ge1τ≥1 to arrive. At the start of period ttt, the order placed τ\tauτ periods earlier arrives; then a new order is placed, and demand DtD_tDt​ is observed. Unmet demand is lost. At period end, each unit remaining on hand incurs holding cost h>0h>0h>0, and each lost unit incurs penalty b>0b>0b>0. The inventory position counts on-hand units and outstanding orders. An order-up-to-SSS policy raises this position to S≥0S\ge0S≥0 whenever possible.

Write CL,S(h,b)C^{\mathcal L,S}(h,b)CL,S(h,b) for the long-run average cost of that policy and CL∗(h,b)C^{\mathcal L*}(h,b)CL∗(h,b) for the infimum over admissible policies. The corresponding backorder system retains unmet demand as negative net inventory and charges bbb per backordered unit per period. For an order-up-to level SSS, its stationary average cost is

CB,S(h,b)=hE[(S−D)+]+bE[(D−S)+],D=∑i=1τ+1Di.C^{\mathcal B,S}(h,b)=h\mathbb E[(S-\mathbf D)^+]+b\mathbb E[(\mathbf D-S)^+],\qquad \mathbf D=\sum_{i=1}^{\tau+1}D_i.CB,S(h,b)=hE[(S−D)+]+bE[(D−S)+],D=i=1∑τ+1​Di​.

The newsvendor level SB∗(h,b)S^{\mathcal B*}(h,b)SB∗(h,b) is the smallest nonnegative SSS with Pr⁡(D≤S)≥b/(b+h)\Pr(\mathbf D\le S)\ge b/(b+h)Pr(D≤S)≥b/(b+h); it attains the best backorder order-up-to cost CB∗(h,b)C^{\mathcal B*}(h,b)CB∗(h,b). The paper's Assumption 1 concerns this lead-time demand D\mathbf DD: if mD(t)=E[D−t∣D>t]m_{\mathbf D}(t)=\mathbb E[\mathbf D-t\mid\mathbf D>t]mD​(t)=E[D−t∣D>t] when the conditioning event has positive probability and zero otherwise, then mD(t)/t→0m_{\mathbf D}(t)/t\to0mD​(t)/t→0 as t→∞t\to\inftyt→∞. Huh et al., pp. 3–4, 9, 11–12.

Formalization targets

Asymptotically optimal order-up-to level

Fix hhh, τ\tauτ and the demand law satisfying Assumption 1. Set Sb+τh=SB∗(h,b+τh)S_{b+\tau h}=S^{\mathcal B*}(h,b+\tau h)Sb+τh​=SB∗(h,b+τh). The goal is the equivalent multiplicative form of Theorem 15(b): for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, all sufficiently large bbb satisfy

inf⁡S≥0CL,S(h,b)≤CL,Sb+τh(h,b)≤(1+ε)CL∗(h,b).\inf_{S\ge0}C^{\mathcal L,S}(h,b)\le C^{\mathcal L,S_{b+\tau h}}(h,b)\le(1+\varepsilon)C^{\mathcal L*}(h,b).S≥0inf​CL,S(h,b)≤CL,Sb+τh​(h,b)≤(1+ε)CL∗(h,b).

The infimum over order-up-to levels captures the paper's best such policy. The right-hand comparator remains the infimum over all admissible lost-sales policies. The multiplicative form also covers an almost-surely constant demand law, where both costs can be zero and a literal ratio would be undefined. Huh et al., Theorem 15(b), p. 17.

Explicit finite-penalty bound

Theorem 15(a) is a milestone. With S′=SB∗(h,b/(τ+1))S'=S^{\mathcal B*}(h,b/(\tau+1))S′=SB∗(h,b/(τ+1)) and ψ(S′;h,q)=qE[(D−S′)+]/(hE[(S′−D)+])\psi(S';h,q)=q\mathbb E[(\mathbf D-S')^+]/(h\mathbb E[(S'-\mathbf D)^+])ψ(S′;h,q)=qE[(D−S′)+]/(hE[(S′−D)+]), its factor is

1+νbψ(S′;h,b/(τ+1))1+ψ(S′;h,b/(τ+1)),νb=(b+τh)(τ+1)b.\frac{1+\nu_b\psi(S';h,b/(\tau+1))}{1+\psi(S';h,b/(\tau+1))},\qquad \nu_b=\frac{(b+\tau h)(\tau+1)}{b}.1+ψ(S′;h,b/(τ+1))1+νb​ψ(S′;h,b/(τ+1))​,νb​=b(b+τh)(τ+1)​.

The milestone states the bound where the expected holding quantity in ψ\psiψ is positive. Earlier milestones state the pathwise comparison of the systems, the two-sided average-cost comparison with penalties b/(τ+1)b/(\tau+1)b/(τ+1) and b+τhb+\tau hb+τh, the lower bound on unrestricted lost-sales optimal cost, the newsvendor formula, and the backorder sensitivity results used by the theorem. Huh et al., Lemmas 5, 9, 13 and Theorems 6, 15, pp. 11–18.

Significance

The theorem gives a specific computable stock level whose relative cost loss vanishes in the high-penalty regime. It addresses the gap between a tractable backorder benchmark and the more difficult lost-sales control problem. The finite-penalty factor states how the comparison depends on lead time, holding cost, penalty and the shortage-to-holding ratio; the asymptotic statement alone would not quantify that dependence. The paper establishes these mathematical results; the mission asks for machine-checked proofs of the stated Lean targets. Huh et al., pp. 17–18.

Formalizing the result would also supply reusable infrastructure for coupled inventory systems: measurable demand-path laws, pathwise recursions with delayed delivery, extended nonnegative long-run costs, and a clean comparison between an explicit policy and the infimum over unrestricted policies. The backorder newsvendor and mean-residual-life components can be reused beyond this particular lost-sales model.

Difficulty

The backorder system has a closed stationary cost formula, while a lost-sales order-up-to process generally cannot be replaced directly by that formula. The paper notes that its on-hand inventory distribution need not converge from every starting state, even under a fixed order-up-to policy. One must therefore justify the long-run comparison without assuming stationarity from an arbitrary start. A second difficulty is the benchmark: comparing only against other order-up-to policies is too weak to establish Theorem 15, because the goal uses the optimal cost over all admissible lost-sales policies. Huh et al., pp. 14–16, 18.

Formalization scope

Lean reuses the published CappedBaseStock lost-sales model. Its demands are nonnegative and i.i.d. with finite positive mean; τ≥1\tau\ge1τ≥1 and h,b>0h,b>0h,b>0. Period zero in Lean is period one in the paper. Both coupled processes start with zero on-hand stock and an empty pipeline. Inventory XtX_tXt​ is read immediately after delivery, before current demand. Lost-sales costs lie in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and use the limsup of expected Cesàro averages; the backorder closed form uses real Bochner expectations under finite-mean demand. The paper's stationary lost-sales cost and this Cesàro cost are identified using its long-run results, but those convergence results are outside this proposal. Huh et al., pp. 14–16.

The paper prints nonnegative rates in Theorem 15, while its displayed newsvendor fraction and shortage-to-holding ratios require positive denominators. Theorem 6(a) therefore states the ratio limit for nonconstant demand laws. The main theorem uses a multiplicative limit bound that also covers constant demand, where the printed ratio is undefined.

The quantity CL∗C^{\mathcal L*}CL∗ is an infimum over measurable, history-dependent policies with private randomization; no attaining policy is assumed. The backorder optimum is an infimum over nonnegative order-up-to levels. Assumption 1 is imposed on the sum of τ+1\tau+1τ+1 demands, and the limit b→∞b\to\inftyb→∞ is expressed by a positive threshold uniform over all parameter records with the fixed lead time and holding rate. The mission excludes a restricted policy comparator, a fixed penalty, a one-period lead-time specialization, and Assumption 1 on single-period demand. Solvers may contribute proofs of any milestone, along with finite-mean and measurability lemmas needed to connect the model to the backorder benchmarks.

Selected references

  • W. T. Huh, G. Janakiraman, J. A. Muckstadt and P. Rusmevichientong, Asymptotic Optimality of Order-up-to Policies in Lost Sales Inventory Systems, working paper, December 4, 2006; published in Management Science 55(3), 2009. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1080.0945.
  • G. Janakiraman, S. Seshadri and G. Shanthikumar, A Comparison of the Optimal Costs of Two Canonical Inventory Systems, working paper, Stern School of Business, New York University, 2005; bound quoted in Huh et al., §5, p. 13. Quoted source.
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning 1: The Dual-Subgradient Meta-Algorithm Returns a 2ε-Approximate Robust Solution or Certifies Infeasibility within ⌈G²D²/ε²⌉ Oracle CallsResearch Paper

Motivation

Robust optimization protects a decision against every realization of uncertain data in a prescribed uncertainty set. The standard approach replaces the uncertain constraints by a deterministic robust counterpart and solves that counterpart directly (Ben-Tal, El Ghaoui, Nemirovski, Robust Optimization, 2009). The counterpart is often a harder problem than the original: a robust linear program with ellipsoidal uncertainty becomes a second-order cone program, and a robust quadratic program can become a semidefinite program. A practitioner who has an efficient, specialised solver for the nominal problem may therefore have no efficient solver for its robust version.

Ben-Tal, Hazan, Koren and Mannor (arXiv:1402.6361, Operations Research 2015) ask whether the robust problem can be solved by repeatedly calling a solver of the nominal problem, with the number of calls independent of the dimension. Their first answer, the dual-subgradient meta-algorithm of §3.1, does so whenever the constraints are concave in the noise and the uncertainty set is convex. It is a primal–dual scheme: an online-learning algorithm picks the noise, and the nominal solver answers. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.

Setting

Let D⊆Rn\mathcal D\subseteq\mathbb R^nD⊆Rn be a convex domain, U⊆Rd\mathcal U\subseteq\mathbb R^dU⊆Rd a convex uncertainty set, and f1,…,fm:Rn×Rd→Rf_1,\dots,f_m:\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rf1​,…,fm​:Rn×Rd→R constraint functions. The robust feasibility problem (3) is

∃ x∈D:fi(x,ui)≤0∀ui∈U, i=1,…,m.\exists\,x\in\mathcal D:\qquad f_i(x,u_i)\le 0\quad\forall u_i\in\mathcal U,\ i=1,\dots,m .∃x∈D:fi​(x,ui​)≤0∀ui​∈U, i=1,…,m.

(An objective is handled by binary search on its value, so feasibility is the core question.) A point x∈Dx\in\mathcal Dx∈D is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate solution if fi(x,u)≤ϵf_i(x,u)\le\epsilonfi​(x,u)≤ϵ for all u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U and all iii.

An ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate oracle Oϵ\mathcal O_\epsilonOϵ​ (Figure 1) takes a noise vector u=(u1,…,um)∈Umu=(u_1,\dots,u_m)\in\mathcal U^mu=(u1​,…,um​)∈Um and either returns some x∈Dx\in\mathcal Dx∈D with fi(x,ui)≤ϵf_i(x,u_i)\le\epsilonfi​(x,ui​)≤ϵ for all iii, or answers "infeasible", which it may do only if no x∈Dx\in\mathcal Dx∈D has fi(x,ui)≤0f_i(x,u_i)\le 0fi​(x,ui​)≤0 for all iii.

The standing assumptions of §3.1 are: each fi(⋅,u)f_i(\cdot,u)fi​(⋅,u) is convex on D\mathcal DD; each fi(x,⋅)f_i(x,\cdot)fi​(x,⋅) is concave on U\mathcal UU for x∈Dx\in\mathcal Dx∈D; D≥∥u−v∥2D\ge\|u-v\|_2D≥∥u−v∥2​ for all u,v∈Uu,v\in\mathcal Uu,v∈U; and ∥∇ufi(x,u)∥2≤G\|\nabla_u f_i(x,u)\|_2\le G∥∇u​fi​(x,u)∥2​≤G for x∈Dx\in\mathcal Dx∈D, u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U. Write PPP for the Euclidean projection onto U\mathcal UU.

Algorithm 1 sets T=⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉T=\lceil G^2D^2/\epsilon^2\rceilT=⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉ and η=D/(GT)\eta=D/(G\sqrt T)η=D/(GT​), starts from u10,…,um0∈Uu^0_1,\dots,u^0_m\in\mathcal Uu10​,…,um0​∈U, and for t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T updates

uit=P(uit−1+η ∇ufi(xt−1,uit−1)),xt=Oϵ(u1t,…,umt),u^t_i=P\bigl(u^{t-1}_i+\eta\,\nabla_u f_i(x^{t-1},u^{t-1}_i)\bigr),\qquad x^t=\mathcal O_\epsilon(u^t_1,\dots,u^t_m),uit​=P(uit−1​+η∇u​fi​(xt−1,uit−1​)),xt=Oϵ​(u1t​,…,umt​),

stopping with "infeasible" as soon as the oracle says so, and otherwise returning xˉ=1T∑t=1Txt\bar x=\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T x^txˉ=T1​∑t=1T​xt. In Lean these are alg1T, alg1Eta, alg1U, alg1X, alg1Output and alg1Calls in the namespace OracleRO.DualSubgrad.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 7)

For every ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate oracle,

output="infeasible" ⟹ ¬ ∃x∈D ∀i ∀u∈U: fi(x,u)≤0,\text{output}=\text{"infeasible"}\ \Longrightarrow\ \neg\,\exists x\in\mathcal D\ \forall i\ \forall u\in\mathcal U:\ f_i(x,u)\le 0,output="infeasible" ⟹ ¬∃x∈D ∀i ∀u∈U: fi​(x,u)≤0, output=xˉ ⟹ xˉ∈D  and  fi(xˉ,u)≤2ϵ  ∀i, ∀u∈U,\text{output}=\bar x\ \Longrightarrow\ \bar x\in\mathcal D\ \text{ and }\ f_i(\bar x,u)\le 2\epsilon\ \ \forall i,\ \forall u\in\mathcal U,output=xˉ ⟹ xˉ∈D  and  fi​(xˉ,u)≤2ϵ  ∀i, ∀u∈U,

and the number of oracle calls is at most ⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉\lceil G^2D^2/\epsilon^2\rceil⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 5, Zinkevich 2003): projected online gradient ascent with step η=D/(GT)\eta=D/(G\sqrt T)η=D/(GT​) on concave rewards has regret ∑tft(x∗)−∑tft(xt)≤GDT\sum_t f_t(x^*)-\sum_t f_t(x_t)\le GD\sqrt T∑t​ft​(x∗)−∑t​ft​(xt​)≤GDT​ for every x∗x^*x∗ in the decision set.
  2. (6) (p. 7): if a point is returned, 1T∑t=1Tfi(xt,uit)≤ϵ\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T f_i(x^t,u^t_i)\le\epsilonT1​∑t=1T​fi​(xt,uit​)≤ϵ for every iii.
  3. (7) (p. 8): for every iii and u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U, 1T∑tfi(xt,u)−1T∑tfi(xt,uit)≤GD/T≤ϵ\frac1T\sum_t f_i(x^t,u)-\frac1T\sum_t f_i(x^t,u^t_i)\le GD/\sqrt T\le\epsilonT1​∑t​fi​(xt,u)−T1​∑t​fi​(xt,uit​)≤GD/T​≤ϵ.
  4. Final inequality of the proof (p. 8): fi(xˉ,u)≤1T∑tfi(xt,u)f_i(\bar x,u)\le\frac1T\sum_t f_i(x^t,u)fi​(xˉ,u)≤T1​∑t​fi​(xt,u) for u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 turns any approximate solver of the nominal problem into an approximate solver of its robust counterpart, at a cost of ⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉\lceil G^2D^2/\epsilon^2\rceil⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉ solver calls, a number that depends on the geometry of U\mathcal UU and the sensitivity of the constraints to the noise but not on nnn, ddd or mmm. It is the prototype of the paper's oracle-based reductions: the same primal–dual template, with a different online learner, gives the dual-perturbation algorithm of §3.2–3.3 for non-convex uncertainty sets, and the applications of §4 (robust linear programs, quadratic programs, semidefinite programs) instantiate it.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked. A formal development adds a checked statement of the reduction with an explicit call count in place of the paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), and a reusable regret bound for projected online gradient ascent on concave rewards (Lemma 1), which the paper quotes from Zinkevich without proof and which many other online-learning results rest on.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for the dual side fails at one point: in round ttt the primal point xtx^txt is computed from utu^tut, so the reward fi(xt,⋅)f_i(x^t,\cdot)fi​(xt,⋅) that the dual player faces depends on its own current move. A regret bound that assumed rewards fixed in advance, or drawn independently of the learner's play, would not apply. Lemma 1 must be used in its adversarial form, valid for every sequence of reward functions, including adaptively chosen ones. A second point is that the projection step requires the variational characterization of a nearest point in a convex set, which a mere "map into U\mathcal UU" does not provide.

Formalization scope

Points are elements of EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin k), so every norm is the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm. The projection is a predicate IsProjOnto U P (each P(y)P(y)P(y) is a nearest point of U\mathcal UU to yyy), not a construction; the oracle is a function (Fin m → E d) → Option (E n) with none for "infeasible", constrained by the predicate IsApproxOracle on inputs in Um\mathcal U^mUm. The goal is quantified over every oracle meeting that specification. The gradient ∇ufi(x,u)\nabla_u f_i(x,u)∇u​fi​(x,u) is a given map gradU with HasGradientAt at points of U\mathcal UU; no differentiability in xxx is assumed. Rounds are indexed by natural numbers with index 000 for the initialization; the starting primal point x0∈Dx^0\in\mathcal Dx0∈D, used by the first update and left undefined by the algorithm, is an input. Hypotheses D>0D>0D>0 and G>0G>0G>0 are added so that η\etaη and T≥1T\ge1T≥1 are meaningful. Maxima over U\mathcal UU are stated as "for every u∈Uu\in\mathcal Uu∈U".

Explicit instantiations and corrections:

  • The paper's "O(G2D2/ϵ2)O(G^2D^2/\epsilon^2)O(G2D2/ϵ2) calls" is stated as at most ⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉\lceil G^2D^2/\epsilon^2\rceil⌈G2D2/ϵ2⌉ calls (one call per round, TTT rounds).
  • Lemma 1's "G≥max⁡t∥ft(xt)∥G\ge\max_t\|f_t(x_t)\|G≥maxt​∥ft​(xt​)∥" is read as the gradient bound ∥∇ft(xt)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x_t)\|\le G∥∇ft​(xt​)∥≤G, as the same sentence describes it.
  • The proof's "Combining (10) and (12)" refers to (6) and (7).

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: an oracle specification under which "infeasible" is never returned, or an output that is not the average of the oracle's answers, would not be Theorem 3. The "infeasible" conclusion is about the robust problem, not the nominal one.

A complete development needs the variational inequality for nearest points in a convex set, the gradient (supergradient) inequality for a concave function differentiable at a point of a convex set, Zinkevich's telescoping argument, and Jensen's inequality for finite averages. The first two and Lemma 1 are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Ben-Tal, E. Hazan, T. Koren, S. Mannor, Oracle-Based Robust Optimization via Online Learning, arXiv:1402.6361v1, 2014; Operations Research 63(3), 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1402.6361v1
  • M. Zinkevich, Online Convex Programming and Generalized Infinitesimal Gradient Ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • A. Ben-Tal, L. El Ghaoui, A. Nemirovski, Robust Optimization, Princeton University Press, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400831050
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization with Stochastic Dominance Constraints: Lagrange Multipliers of a Second-Order Dominance Constraint Are Concave Nondecreasing Utility FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

A decision maker choosing a random outcome XXX (a portfolio return, a policy's cost savings, a schedule's throughput) often has a reference outcome YYY, the result of a benchmark policy, and wants the new outcome to be preferable to it for every risk-averse decision maker, not just on average. Expected-utility theory (von Neumann and Morgenstern) makes this precise: XXX is preferred to YYY by every decision maker with a concave nondecreasing utility function uuu exactly when XXX dominates YYY in the second order, X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y. Requiring X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y as a constraint in an optimization problem avoids having to elicit any particular utility function, which is rarely possible in practice and impossible when several decision makers must agree.

Dentcheva and Ruszczyński (preprint 2002, published in SIAM J. Optim. 14(2), 2003) introduced optimization problems with stochastic dominance constraints and developed their optimality and duality theory. The central finding is that the Lagrange multiplier of a second-order dominance constraint is itself a concave nondecreasing utility function: the optimal solution maximizes the objective plus an expected utility, for a utility function implied by the problem. This interpretation underlies the later literature on dominance-constrained portfolio optimization, risk-averse stochastic programming, and the dual (quantile) theory of stochastic orders.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and L1=L1(Ω,F,P)\mathcal L^1=\mathcal L^1(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)L1=L1(Ω,F,P) the space of integrable random variables with its norm topology. For X∈L1X\in\mathcal L^1X∈L1 the distribution function is F(X;η)=P[X≤η]F(X;\eta)=P[X\le\eta]F(X;η)=P[X≤η] and the second-order shortfall function is

F2(X;η)=∫−∞ηF(X;α) dα,η∈R.(2.1)F_2(X;\eta)=\int_{-\infty}^{\eta}F(X;\alpha)\,d\alpha,\qquad \eta\in\mathbb R. \tag{2.1}F2​(X;η)=∫−∞η​F(X;α)dα,η∈R.(2.1)

Changing the order of integration gives F2(X;η)=E[(η−X)+]F_2(X;\eta)=\mathbb E[(\eta-X)_+]F2​(X;η)=E[(η−X)+​] (2.6), where (⋅)+=max⁡(0,⋅)(\cdot)_+=\max(0,\cdot)(⋅)+​=max(0,⋅). The relation X⪰(2)YX\succeq_{(2)}YX⪰(2)​Y means F2(X;η)≤F2(Y;η)F_2(X;\eta)\le F_2(Y;\eta)F2​(X;η)≤F2​(Y;η) for all η\etaη, and A2(Y)={X∈L1:X⪰(2)Y}A_2(Y)=\{X\in\mathcal L^1:X\succeq_{(2)}Y\}A2​(Y)={X∈L1:X⪰(2)​Y}.

The problem data are a reference outcome Y∈L1Y\in\mathcal L^1Y∈L1, a convex closed set C⊆L1C\subseteq\mathcal L^1C⊆L1, a functional fff that is concave and continuous on CCC, and an interval [a,b][a,b][a,b]. The paper studies the relaxation in which dominance is enforced on [a,b][a,b][a,b]:

max⁡f(X)subject toE[(η−X)+]≤E[(η−Y)+]  for all η∈[a,b],X∈C.(3.1–3.3)\max f(X)\quad\text{subject to}\quad\mathbb E[(\eta-X)_+]\le\mathbb E[(\eta-Y)_+]\ \ \text{for all }\eta\in[a,b],\qquad X\in C. \tag{3.1–3.3}maxf(X)subject toE[(η−X)+​]≤E[(η−Y)+​]  for all η∈[a,b],X∈C.(3.1–3.3)

The uniform dominance condition (Definition 4.1) asks for some X~∈C\tilde X\in CX~∈C with inf⁡η∈[a,b]{F2(Y;η)−F2(X~;η)}>0\inf_{\eta\in[a,b]}\{F_2(Y;\eta)-F_2(\tilde X;\eta)\}>0infη∈[a,b]​{F2​(Y;η)−F2​(X~;η)}>0.

The multiplier class U1\mathcal U_1U1​ consists of the functions u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R that are concave and nondecreasing, vanish on [b,∞)[b,\infty)[b,∞), and are affine on (−∞,a](-\infty,a](−∞,a]: u(t)=u(a)+c(t−a)u(t)=u(a)+c(t-a)u(t)=u(a)+c(t−a) for t≤at\le at≤a, with a constant c≥0c\ge0c≥0. The Lagrangian is

L(X,u)=f(X)+E[u(X)]−E[u(Y)].(4.1)L(X,u)=f(X)+\mathbb E[u(X)]-\mathbb E[u(Y)]. \tag{4.1}L(X,u)=f(X)+E[u(X)]−E[u(Y)].(4.1)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2

Assume the uniform dominance condition. If X^\hat XX^ is an optimal solution of (3.1)–(3.3), there is u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ with

L(X^,u^)=max⁡X∈CL(X,u^)(4.2)andE[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)].(4.3)L(\hat X,\hat u)=\max_{X\in C}L(X,\hat u)\quad(4.2)\qquad\text{and}\qquad\mathbb E[\hat u(\hat X)]=\mathbb E[\hat u(Y)].\quad(4.3)L(X^,u^)=X∈Cmax​L(X,u^)(4.2)andE[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)].(4.3)

Conversely, if for some u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ a maximizer X^∈C\hat X\in CX^∈C of L(⋅,u^)L(\cdot,\hat u)L(⋅,u^) satisfies (3.2) and (4.3), then X^\hat XX^ is optimal for (3.1)–(3.3).

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof. They are: finiteness of E[u(X)]\mathbb E[u(X)]E[u(X)] for u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​; the identity (2.6), already proved on the platform; Proposition 2.3 (convexity and closedness of A2(Y)A_2(Y)A2​(Y), and its recession cone); the concavity of the constraint operator G(X)(η)=F2(Y;η)−F2(X;η)G(X)(\eta)=F_2(Y;\eta)-F_2(X;\eta)G(X)(η)=F2​(Y;η)−F2​(X;η) with respect to the cone of nonnegative functions; the existence of a nonnegative measure multiplier μ^\hat\muμ^​ on [a,b][a,b][a,b] satisfying (4.5)–(4.6); the facts that the function uμ(t)=−∫tbμ([τ,b]) dτu_\mu(t)=-\int_t^b\mu([\tau,b])\,d\tauuμ​(t)=−∫tb​μ([τ,b])dτ (t<bt<bt<b), uμ(t)=0u_\mu(t)=0uμ​(t)=0 (t≥bt\ge bt≥b) of a nonnegative measure lies in U1\mathcal U_1U1​ and that every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​ is uμu_\muuμ​ for exactly one μ\muμ; the key identity

∫abF2(X;η) dμ(η)=−E[uμ(X)];(4.9)\int_a^b F_2(X;\eta)\,d\mu(\eta)=-\mathbb E[u_\mu(X)]; \tag{4.9}∫ab​F2​(X;η)dμ(η)=−E[uμ​(X)];(4.9)

and the weak-duality step: (3.2) implies E[u(X)]≥E[u(Y)]\mathbb E[u(X)]\ge\mathbb E[u(Y)]E[u(X)]≥E[u(Y)] for every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​.

Further: Theorem 5.1

With D(u)=sup⁡X∈CL(X,u)D(u)=\sup_{X\in C}L(X,u)D(u)=supX∈C​L(X,u), the dual problem min⁡u∈U1D(u)\min_{u\in\mathcal U_1}D(u)minu∈U1​​D(u) has a solution, its value equals the primal optimal value, and its solutions are exactly the u^∈U1\hat u\in\mathcal U_1u^∈U1​ satisfying (4.2)–(4.3).

Significance

Theorem 4.2 turns an infinite family of constraints, one for each η∈[a,b]\eta\in[a,b]η∈[a,b], into a single scalar trade-off: at the optimum, the decision maker behaves as an expected-utility maximizer for an implicit utility u^\hat uu^, and the dominance constraint is active exactly in the sense E[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)]\mathbb E[\hat u(\hat X)]=\mathbb E[\hat u(Y)]E[u^(X^)]=E[u^(Y)]. Theorem 5.1 makes U1\mathcal U_1U1​ the space of dual variables, which is the starting point of dual decomposition and cutting-plane methods for dominance-constrained problems and of their extensions to several constraints and to higher orders (Sections 6–7 of the paper, not part of this mission).

All results are proved in the paper. Apart from the identity (2.6), which is proved on the platform, none of them is formalized as far as the platform records show. A machine-checked development would provide, on top of the paper, a rigorous treatment of the measure–utility correspondence that the paper obtains from a textbook theorem "after an obvious adaptation", and a careful account of the multiplier class itself (see the scope section on the constant ccc). The definitions of F2F_2F2​ and of the identity (2.6) are shared with the platform's missions on Dual Stochastic Dominance and Related Mean-Risk Models (Ogryczak and Ruszczyński, 2002).

Difficulty

The necessity half needs a Lagrange multiplier for a constraint taking values in the infinite-dimensional space C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]); finite-dimensional convex duality does not apply, and the multiplier first appears as a nonnegative measure on [a,b][a,b][a,b], an element of the dual of C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]). A Slater-type point is required: without the uniform dominance condition the multiplier may not exist. This is why the dominance relation, which the paper first poses on all of R\mathbb RR, is relaxed to a bounded interval [a,b][a,b][a,b]: for a reference outcome with a smallest value y1y_1y1​, F2(Y;y1)=0F_2(Y;y_1)=0F2​(Y;y1​)=0, so no X~\tilde XX~ can dominate YYY strictly near y1y_1y1​.

The second obstacle is the translation of that measure into a utility function. The identity (4.9) requires an interchange of integrals over R×[a,b]\mathbb R\times[a,b]R×[a,b] and an integration by parts against the distribution function of an arbitrary integrable XXX, followed by a limit in which the integrability of XXX controls the linear growth of uuu at −∞-\infty−∞. The converse direction needs every u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​ to be represented by a unique measure, through the left derivative of a concave function.

Formalization scope

Outcomes are elements of Mathlib's L1L^1L1 space Ω →₁[P] ℝ over a probability measure P, coerced to functions inside integrals; no statement is pointwise in ω\omegaω. F2F_2F2​ is the published definition DualSSD.Shared.secondPerformance, a Bochner integral of P[X≤α]P[X\le\alpha]P[X≤α] over (−∞,η](-\infty,\eta](−∞,η]. The problem data form a structure whose fields include every standing assumption of the paper: CCC convex and closed, fff concave and continuous on CCC. The constraint (3.2) is stated in its printed expectation form, while Definition 4.1 and the proof objects use F2F_2F2​, as printed; their equality is (2.6).

Committed conventions:

  • U1\mathcal U_1U1​ uses c≥0c\ge0c≥0. The paper prints c>0c>0c>0. With c>0c>0c>0 the necessity half of Theorem 4.2 is false: take Y≡0Y\equiv0Y≡0, [a,b]=[1,2][a,b]=[1,2][a,b]=[1,2], f(X)=EXf(X)=\mathbb EXf(X)=EX and CCC the constant random variables with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. Then X~≡1\tilde X\equiv1X~≡1 satisfies Definition 4.1, X^≡1\hat X\equiv1X^≡1 is optimal, and (4.3) forces c=0c=0c=0. The proof itself produces c=μ([a,b])c=\mu([a,b])c=μ([a,b]), which vanishes for the zero multiplier of a slack constraint, and the paper calls U1\mathcal U_1U1​ a convex cone, which must contain 000.
  • Definition 4.1's infimum is encoded as a positive lower bound ε\varepsilonε on [a,b][a,b][a,b]. "=max⁡X∈C=\max_{X\in C}=maxX∈C​" is encoded as membership in CCC plus an upper bound over CCC.
  • A nonnegative measure in rca([a,b])\mathbf{rca}([a,b])rca([a,b]) is a finite Borel measure on R\mathbb RR giving zero mass to the complement of [a,b][a,b][a,b], which is the paper's own extension by zero. Integrals ∫ab⋅ dμ\int_a^b\cdot\,d\mu∫ab​⋅dμ are over the closed interval, so atoms at aaa and bbb count.
  • No relation between aaa and bbb is assumed. For a>ba>ba>b every statement remains meaningful: the constraint is vacuous and U1={0}\mathcal U_1=\{0\}U1​={0}.
  • Theorem 5.1's dual function takes values in the extended reals.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: a junk-valued expectation (a Bochner integral of a non-integrable function, which Lean sets to 000) cannot occur for u∈U1u\in\mathcal U_1u∈U1​, and its integrability is a milestone. Dropping the concavity of fff or the convexity of CCC would make the necessity half false, so these assumptions are fields of the problem data.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: convex duality for cone constraints in C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]) (or a direct separation argument in R×C([a,b])\mathbb R\times\mathcal C([a,b])R×C([a,b])), the Riesz representation of nonnegative functionals on C([a,b])\mathcal C([a,b])C([a,b]), Fubini and integration by parts for Stieltjes measures, and the measure of a left-continuous monotone function. These pieces are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome. The extensions to several dominance constraints and to higher-order dominance are not included.

Selected references

  • D. Dentcheva and A. Ruszczyński, Optimization with stochastic dominance constraints, preprint dated December 27, 2002 (Stochastic Programming E-Print Series); published in SIAM Journal on Optimization 14(2):548–566, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623402420528
  • W. Ogryczak and A. Ruszczyński, Dual stochastic dominance and related mean-risk models, SIAM Journal on Optimization 13(1):60–78, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623400375075
  • J. F. Bonnans and A. Shapiro, Perturbation Analysis of Optimization Problems, Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1394-9
  • J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, 1944.
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Bandit AlgorithmsConvex OptimizationMachine Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Convex Optimization in the Bandit Setting: Gradient Descent without a Gradient: Bandit Gradient Descent Has Expected Regret ≤ 3Cn^{5/6}∛(12dR/r)Research Paper

Motivation

In online convex optimization a decision maker picks points x1,x2,…,xnx_1,x_2,\dots,x_nx1​,x2​,…,xn​ in a convex set S⊆RdS\subseteq\mathbb R^dS⊆Rd, and after each choice pays ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​) for a convex cost function ctc_tct​ chosen in advance by an adversary. Performance is measured by regret: the total cost paid minus the cost of the best fixed point in hindsight. Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that projected gradient descent has regret O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) when the whole function ctc_tct​, or at least its gradient at xtx_txt​, is revealed after each round.

In many applications only the number ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​) is observed: a seller sets a price and sees revenue, a router picks a path and sees its delay, an advertiser places a bid and sees the cost. This is the bandit setting. Flaxman, Kalai and McMahan (arXiv:cs/0408007, SODA 2005) gave the first simple algorithm for bandit convex optimization against an oblivious adversary with general bounded convex costs: a randomized gradient descent that estimates the gradient from a single function value, with expected regret O(n5/6)O(n^{5/6})O(n5/6). The same one-point gradient estimate is the starting point of later work on bandit convex optimization and on zeroth-order (derivative-free) stochastic optimization; see, e.g., Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's survey (arXiv:1204.5721, Ch. 6) and Hazan's textbook (arXiv:1909.05207, Ch. 6).

Timeline. Zinkevich (2003): O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​) regret with full gradient feedback. Kleinberg (NIPS 2004), independently: O(n3/4)O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) bandit regret for Lipschitz costs by a different reduction. Flaxman, Kalai, McMahan (2004/2005): O(n5/6)O(n^{5/6})O(n5/6) for bounded convex costs and O(n3/4)O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) for Lipschitz costs, with one function value per round. Later work (Bubeck, Lee, Eldan 2017 and others) reached O~(n)\tilde O(\sqrt n)O~(n​) with more complex algorithms.

Setting

Let B={x∈Rd:∣x∣≤1}\mathbb B=\{x\in\mathbb R^d : |x|\le1\}B={x∈Rd:∣x∣≤1} and S={x:∣x∣=1}\mathbb S=\{x : |x|=1\}S={x:∣x∣=1} be the closed unit ball and the unit sphere, d≥1d\ge1d≥1. The feasible set SSS is closed and convex with

rB⊆S⊆RB,r>0.r\mathbb B\subseteq S\subseteq R\mathbb B,\qquad r>0 .rB⊆S⊆RB,r>0.

The costs c1,c2,…c_1,c_2,\dotsc1​,c2​,… are fixed before play (an oblivious adversary); each is convex on SSS with ∣ct(x)∣≤C|c_t(x)|\le C∣ct​(x)∣≤C for x∈Sx\in Sx∈S, where C>0C>0C>0. For K⊆RdK\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, PK(z)P_K(z)PK​(z) is the nearest point of KKK to zzz.

The bandit gradient descent algorithm BGD(α,δ,ν)\mathrm{BGD}(\alpha,\delta,\nu)BGD(α,δ,ν) (Figure 1 of the paper) keeps an iterate yty_tyt​ with y1=0y_1=0y1​=0. At period ttt it draws a unit vector utu_tut​ uniformly from S\mathbb SS, independently of the past, plays

xt=yt+δut,x_t=y_t+\delta u_t ,xt​=yt​+δut​,

observes only ct(xt)c_t(x_t)ct​(xt​), and updates

yt+1=P(1−α)S(yt−ν ct(xt) ut).y_{t+1}=P_{(1-\alpha)S}\big(y_t-\nu\,c_t(x_t)\,u_t\big).yt+1​=P(1−α)S​(yt​−νct​(xt​)ut​).

The smoothed cost is c^t(x)=Ev∈B[ct(x+δv)]\hat c_t(x)=\mathbb E_{v\in\mathbb B}[c_t(x+\delta v)]c^t​(x)=Ev∈B​[ct​(x+δv)] with vvv uniform on B\mathbb BB. The expected regret after nnn rounds is

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x).\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x).E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 8)

For every n≥(3Rd/2r)2n\ge(3Rd/2r)^2n≥(3Rd/2r)2, with ν=R/(Cn)\nu=R/(C\sqrt n)ν=R/(Cn​), δ=rR2d2/(12n)3\delta=\sqrt[3]{rR^2d^2/(12n)}δ=3rR2d2/(12n)​ and α=3Rd/(2rn)3\alpha=\sqrt[3]{3Rd/(2r\sqrt n)}α=33Rd/(2rn​)​,

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x)≤3Cn5/612 dRr3.\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x)\le 3Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{\frac{12\,dR}{r}} .E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x)≤3Cn5/63r12dR​​.

The paper prints the constant 3Cn5/6dR/r33Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{dR/r}3Cn5/63dR/r​. Its own last step bounds the regret by a/δ+bδ/α+cαa/\delta+b\delta/\alpha+c\alphaa/δ+bδ/α+cα with a=RdCna=RdC\sqrt na=RdCn​, b=6Cn/rb=6Cn/rb=6Cn/r, c=2Cnc=2Cnc=2Cn, and with the stated δ\deltaδ and α\alphaα this equals 3abc3=3Cn5/612dR/r33\sqrt[3]{abc}=3Cn^{5/6}\sqrt[3]{12dR/r}33abc​=3Cn5/6312dR/r​. The goal states the bound the proof establishes.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 5): Eu∈S[f(x+δu)u]=δd∇f^(x)\mathbb E_{u\in\mathbb S}[f(x+\delta u)u]=\frac\delta d\nabla\hat f(x)Eu∈S​[f(x+δu)u]=dδ​∇f^​(x), the one-point gradient estimate.
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 6): gradient descent with conditionally unbiased gradient estimates of norm at most GGG has expected regret at most RGnRG\sqrt nRGn​ for η=R/(Gn)\eta=R/(G\sqrt n)η=R/(Gn​).
  3. Observations 1–3 (pp. 7–8): the comparator over (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S is within 2αCn2\alpha Cn2αCn of that over SSS; balls of radius αr\alpha rαr around (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S lie in SSS; on (1−α)S(1-\alpha)S(1−α)S the costs satisfy ∣ct(x)−ct(y)∣≤2Cαr∣x−y∣|c_t(x)-c_t(y)|\le\frac{2C}{\alpha r}|x-y|∣ct​(x)−ct​(y)∣≤αr2C​∣x−y∣.
  4. The played points are feasible (p. 8).
  5. Regret against the smoothed costs (p. 9): at most RdCn/δRdC\sqrt n/\deltaRdCn​/δ.
  6. Display (10) (p. 9): regret at most RdCn/δ+3δLn+2αCnRdC\sqrt n/\delta+3\delta Ln+2\alpha CnRdCn​/δ+3δLn+2αCn with L=2C/(αr)L=2C/(\alpha r)L=2C/(αr).

Companion items

The tuning identity (p. 9): a/δ+bδ/α+cα=3abc3a/\delta+b\delta/\alpha+c\alpha=3\sqrt[3]{abc}a/δ+bδ/α+cα=33abc​ at δ=a2/bc3\delta=\sqrt[3]{a^2/bc}δ=3a2/bc​, α=ab/c23\alpha=\sqrt[3]{ab/c^2}α=3ab/c2​, for a,b,c>0a,b,c>0a,b,c>0.

Theorem 2 (p. 9). If each ctc_tct​ is LLL-Lipschitz on SSS, then with ν=R/(Cn)\nu=R/(C\sqrt n)ν=R/(Cn​), δ=n−1/4RdCr/(3(Lr+C))\delta=n^{-1/4}\sqrt{RdCr/(3(Lr+C))}δ=n−1/4RdCr/(3(Lr+C))​, α=δ/r\alpha=\delta/rα=δ/r, and nnn large enough that δ<r\delta<rδ<r,

E[∑t=1nct(xt)]−min⁡x∈S∑t=1nct(x)≤2n3/43RdC(L+C/r).\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x_t)\Big]-\min_{x\in S}\sum_{t=1}^n c_t(x)\le 2n^{3/4}\sqrt{3RdC\big(L+C/r\big)} .E[t=1∑n​ct​(xt​)]−x∈Smin​t=1∑n​ct​(x)≤2n3/43RdC(L+C/r)​.

Significance

The theorem shows that bandit feedback costs only a polynomial factor in regret for arbitrary bounded convex costs, with an algorithm that is gradient descent plus one random perturbation per round. Lemma 1 is the general tool behind it: an unbiased estimate of the gradient of a smoothed function from one function value. It is reused across zeroth-order optimization, bandit learning and stochastic approximation. Lemma 2 is a self-contained regret bound for projected gradient descent with noisy gradients, the shape in which Zinkevich's analysis is most often applied.

The results are proved in the paper and are standard. To the platform's knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. Related statements from Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's survey, for differentiable Lipschitz losses, are open on the platform, and two earlier formalizations of the textbook versions were disproved because of missing regularity or independence hypotheses. Formalizing this mission produces a checked one-point gradient identity for continuous (not differentiable) functions on the sphere, a measure-theoretic regret bound for stochastic projected gradient descent, and the corrected constant of Theorem 1.

Difficulty

The bandit algorithm itself is simple; the difficulty sits in Lemma 1 and in the measure theory around it. The paper derives Lemma 1 from Stokes' theorem, ∇∫δBf(x+v) dv=∫δSf(x+u)u∣u∣ du\nabla\int_{\delta\mathbb B}f(x+v)\,dv=\int_{\delta\mathbb S}f(x+u)\frac{u}{|u|}\,du∇∫δB​f(x+v)dv=∫δS​f(x+u)∣u∣u​du, and the ratio δ/d\delta/dδ/d of the volume to the surface area of a ball. Mathlib has neither this divergence identity on balls in Rd\mathbb R^dRd nor the explicit link between its spherical measure and the surface integral needed here. The identity must hold for functions that are merely continuous near the ball, since convex costs need not be differentiable.

The obvious first idea, differentiating under the integral sign in f^(x)=Ev[f(x+δv)]\hat f(x)=\mathbb E_v[f(x+\delta v)]f^​(x)=Ev​[f(x+δv)], fails because fff is not differentiable. The second obvious idea, applying Lemma 1 to ctc_tct​ as given, fails at the boundary of SSS, where ctc_tct​ is unconstrained. Lemma 2's conditional expectation E[gt∣xt]\mathbb E[g_t\mid x_t]E[gt​∣xt​] requires that the direction utu_tut​ be independent of the iterate yty_tyt​, and the integrability and measurability of the played points come from continuity of convex functions in the interior of SSS.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1, and rounds are numbered 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n. The costs are functions on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, and no statement assumes anything about them outside SSS: no global convexity, continuity, differentiability or Lipschitz bound. The standing model is part of the goal's hypotheses: SSS is convex with rB⊆S⊆RBr\mathbb B\subseteq S\subseteq R\mathbb BrB⊆S⊆RB, the costs are convex on SSS with values in [−C,C][-C,C][−C,C] there, and C>0C>0C>0. Additions and conventions:

  • SSS is assumed closed. The paper's projection oracle PS(x)=arg⁡min⁡z∈S∣x−z∣P_S(x)=\arg\min_{z\in S}|x-z|PS​(x)=argminz∈S​∣x−z∣ presupposes that the minimum is attained.
  • The directions utu_tut​ are measurable, independent, and each uniform on S\mathbb SS (the published uniformSphere d). Uniform marginals alone are not enough.
  • The BGD run is a relation (IsBGDRun) required for every outcome. Projection uses the published predicate IsNearestPoint, and regret the published pseudoRegret, whose minimum is an infimum over the subtype; it is attained in every use here.
  • Lemma 1 adds continuity of fff on an open set containing x+δBx+\delta\mathbb Bx+δB. As printed ("for any function fff") it is false. The application in Theorem 1 supplies this hypothesis.
  • The smoothed-regret and (10) milestones use the strict δ<αr\delta<\alpha rδ<αr (the page has δ/r≤α\delta/r\le\alphaδ/r≤α), which keeps every smoothing ball in the interior of SSS. They use α≤1\alpha\le1α≤1 in place of α<1\alpha<1α<1; Theorem 1's α\alphaα equals 111 at n=(3Rd/2r)2n=(3Rd/2r)^2n=(3Rd/2r)2.
  • Theorem 2's "for nnn sufficiently large" is the hypothesis δ<r\delta<rδ<r, the only place the proof uses it.

A formalization that assumed integrability of the costs along the run, assumed differentiable or globally Lipschitz costs, dropped the independence of the directions, or stated ∇f^\nabla\hat f∇f^​ through Mathlib's gradient (which is 000 off differentiability) would trivialize or change the result. All of these are ruled out.

Needed infrastructure: the divergence identity for the ball average (Lemma 1), conditional expectation given σ(xt)\sigma(x_t)σ(xt​) for vector-valued variables, continuity of convex functions on the interior of a convex set, and nearest-point projection onto closed convex sets. The first two are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward Lemma 1 in particular are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. D. Flaxman, A. T. Kalai, H. B. McMahan, Online convex optimization in the bandit setting: gradient descent without a gradient, SODA 2005; arXiv:cs/0408007v1, 2004. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/0408007
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~maz/publications/ICML03.pdf
  • R. Kleinberg, Nearly tight bounds for the continuum-armed bandit problem, NIPS 2004. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2634-nearly-tight-bounds-for-the-continuum-armed-bandit-problem
  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret analysis of stochastic and nonstochastic multi-armed bandit problems, Foundations and Trends in ML, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to online convex optimization, 2nd ed., 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
  • S. Bubeck, Y. T. Lee, R. Eldan, Kernel-based methods for bandit convex optimization, STOC 2017. https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.03084
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Uniformly Bounded Regret in the Multi-Secretary Problem 1: The Budget-Ratio Policy Has Regret at Most a₁M(ε), Uniformly in the Number of Candidates n and the Budget kResearch Paper

Motivation

The multi-secretary problem is the simplest model of capacity allocation under uncertainty: a decision maker sees nnn candidates one at a time and may hire at most kkk of them, with every decision final. The same structure underlies single-resource revenue management (accepting or rejecting booking requests against a fixed inventory; see Talluri and van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, 2004), online knapsack and packing problems, and dynamic assortment of limited stock.

The performance of an online policy is measured against the offline benchmark, the value of the best kkk candidates chosen with full hindsight. The gap between the two is the regret.

  • In the version where the values arrive as a uniform random permutation, Kleinberg (2005) proved that the minimal regret is of order k\sqrt kk​ and gave an algorithm attaining it (as summarized in Remark 1 of the paper below).
  • Arlotto and Gurvich (arXiv:1710.07719, 2017; Stochastic Systems 2019) showed that when the values have a finite support, the optimal online policy, and an explicit simple policy, have regret bounded by a constant that does not depend on nnn or kkk. The constant depends only on the smallest probability mass.

This mission formalizes that upper bound.

Setting

Abilities take values in a finite set A={am<am−1<⋯<a1}\mathcal A=\{a_m<a_{m-1}<\dots<a_1\}A={am​<am−1​<⋯<a1​} of distinct positive reals, with probabilities fj=P(X=aj)>0f_j=\mathbb P(X=a_j)>0fj​=P(X=aj​)>0, ∑jfj=1\sum_j f_j=1∑j​fj​=1. Write Fˉ(aj)=f1+⋯+fj−1\bar F(a_j)=f_1+\dots+f_{j-1}Fˉ(aj​)=f1​+⋯+fj−1​ for the mass strictly above aja_jaj​, and

ϵ=12min⁡{fm,…,f1}.\epsilon=\tfrac12\min\{f_m,\dots,f_1\}.ϵ=21​min{fm​,…,f1​}.

The abilities X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent with this distribution. Budget pairs range over the triangle T={(n,k):0≤k≤n}\mathcal T=\{(n,k):0\le k\le n\}T={(n,k):0≤k≤n}.

  • Offline value. Voff∗(n,k)=E[max⁡{∑tXtσt:σ∈{0,1}n, ∑tσt≤k}]V^*_{\mathrm{off}}(n,k)=\mathbb E\big[\max\{\sum_t X_t\sigma_t:\sigma\in\{0,1\}^n,\ \sum_t\sigma_t\le k\}\big]Voff∗​(n,k)=E[max{∑t​Xt​σt​:σ∈{0,1}n, ∑t​σt​≤k}].
  • Online policies. A policy decides σt∈{0,1}\sigma_t\in\{0,1\}σt​∈{0,1} using only X1,…,XtX_1,\dots,X_tX1​,…,Xt​ and must select at most kkk candidates on every realization. Π(n,k)\Pi(n,k)Π(n,k) is the set of such policies, Vonπ(n,k)=E[∑tXtσtπ]V^\pi_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)=\mathbb E[\sum_t X_t\sigma^\pi_t]Vonπ​(n,k)=E[∑t​Xt​σtπ​], and Von∗(n,k)=max⁡π∈Π(n,k)Vonπ(n,k)V^*_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)=\max_{\pi\in\Pi(n,k)}V^\pi_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)Von∗​(n,k)=maxπ∈Π(n,k)​Vonπ​(n,k).
  • Counts. ZjrZ^r_jZjr​ is the number of aja_jaj​-candidates among the first rrr. The offline sort selects Sjr=min⁡{Zjr,(k−∑i<jZir)+}\mathfrak S^r_j=\min\{Z^r_j,(k-\sum_{i<j}Z^r_i)_+\}Sjr​=min{Zjr​,(k−∑i<j​Zir​)+​} of them. Sjπ,rS^{\pi,r}_jSjπ,r​ counts those selected by π\piπ.
  • Action index. j0(n,k)j_0(n,k)j0​(n,k) is the largest jjj with Fˉ(aj)+12fj≤k/n\bar F(a_j)+\tfrac12f_j\le k/nFˉ(aj​)+21​fj​≤k/n, or 111 if there is none.
  • Thresholds. T1=0T_1=0T1​=0, Tj=Fˉ(aj)+12fjT_j=\bar F(a_j)+\tfrac12 f_jTj​=Fˉ(aj​)+21​fj​ for 2≤j≤m2\le j\le m2≤j≤m, and Tm+1=+∞T_{m+1}=+\inftyTm+1​=+∞.
  • Budget-Ratio (BR) policy. With remaining budget KtK_tKt​ (K0=kK_0=kK0​=k), at time t+1t+1t+1 the policy finds jjj with Tj≤Kt/(n−t)<Tj+1T_j\le K_t/(n-t)<T_{j+1}Tj​≤Kt​/(n−t)<Tj+1​. It selects Xt+1X_{t+1}Xt+1​ if and only if Kt>0K_t>0Kt​>0 and Xt+1≥ajX_{t+1}\ge a_jXt+1​≥aj​.
  • Stopping times. For 0<δ<ϵ0<\delta<\epsilon0<δ<ϵ, τ0\tau_0τ0​ is the first time the budget ratio comes within δ/2\delta/2δ/2 of a threshold, or the cut-off n−2δ−1−1n-2\delta^{-1}-1n−2δ−1−1. The time τ\tauτ of (20) is the first later time the ratio leaves the δ\deltaδ-band around that threshold, or the cut-off.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (first display)

For every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 there is a constant MMM such that for every instance with 12min⁡jfj=ϵ\tfrac12\min_jf_j=\epsilon21​minj​fj​=ϵ and all (n,k)∈T(n,k)\in\mathcal T(n,k)∈T, br∈Π(n,k)\mathrm{br}\in\Pi(n,k)br∈Π(n,k) and

Voff∗(n,k)−Von∗(n,k)≤Voff∗(n,k)−Vonbr(n,k)≤a1M.V^*_{\mathrm{off}}(n,k)-V^*_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)\le V^*_{\mathrm{off}}(n,k)-V^{\mathrm{br}}_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)\le a_1M.Voff∗​(n,k)−Von∗​(n,k)≤Voff∗​(n,k)−Vonbr​(n,k)≤a1​M.

No constant is fixed. Only the shape is asserted: a bound uniform in nnn, kkk, the support size and the distribution, given ϵ\epsilonϵ.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • The benchmark inequality Vonπ≤Voff∗V^\pi_{\mathrm{on}}\le V^*_{\mathrm{off}}Vonπ​≤Voff∗​ (p. 5).
  • The sort identity Voff∗=∑jajE[Sjn]V^*_{\mathrm{off}}=\sum_ja_j\mathbb E[\mathfrak S^n_j]Voff∗​=∑j​aj​E[Sjn​] (4).
  • The binomial overshoot bound E[(B−k)+]≤1/(4ε)\mathbb E[(B-k)_+]\le1/(4\varepsilon)E[(B−k)+​]≤1/(4ε) (Lemma 2).
  • The offline decomposition Voff∗=∑i<jaiE[Zin]+ajE[Sjn]+aj+1E[Sj+1n]±a1/(4ϵ)V^*_{\mathrm{off}}=\sum_{i<j}a_i\mathbb E[Z^n_i]+a_j\mathbb E[\mathfrak S^n_j]+a_{j+1}\mathbb E[\mathfrak S^n_{j+1}]\pm a_1/(4\epsilon)Voff∗​=∑i<j​ai​E[Zin​]+aj​E[Sjn​]+aj+1​E[Sj+1n​]±a1​/(4ϵ) (Proposition 1).
  • The sufficient condition: four properties (i)–(iv) of a policy up to a stopping time imply regret at most 3a1M+a1/(4ϵ)3a_1M+a_1/(4\epsilon)3a1​M+a1​/(4ϵ) (Proposition 2).
  • The identification j0(n,k)=jj_0(n,k)=jj0​(n,k)=j on k/n∈[Tj,Tj+1)k/n\in[T_j,T_{j+1})k/n∈[Tj​,Tj+1​) (p. 17).
  • The BR selection probability and the jump bound ∣Kt/(n−t)−Kt+1/(n−t−1)∣≤δ/2|K_t/(n-t)-K_{t+1}/(n-t-1)|\le\delta/2∣Kt​/(n−t)−Kt+1​/(n−t−1)∣≤δ/2 (p. 13).
  • E[τ]≥n−M\mathbb E[\tau]\ge n-ME[τ]≥n−M (Theorem 2).
  • BR and τ\tauτ satisfy (i)–(iv) (Corollary 1).
  • The state-space reduction vℓ(w,κ)=w+gℓ(κ)v_\ell(w,\kappa)=w+g_\ell(\kappa)vℓ​(w,κ)=w+gℓ​(κ) of the Bellman recursion (Proposition 5).

Significance

The result. Bounded regret means that the loss from not knowing the future is a fixed number of candidates' worth of value, however long the horizon and however large the budget. The bound holds uniformly over all distributions with the same ϵ\epsilonϵ. It is attained by an explicit, adaptive, non-randomized rule that compares one ratio with mmm fixed thresholds. The companion result of the same paper shows that every non-adaptive policy suffers regret of order n\sqrt nn​ in the interior regime. Together they quantify the value of adapting to the remaining budget. Lemma 1 of the paper shows the dependence on ϵ\epsilonϵ cannot be removed.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, but no part of it is machine-checked; there is no multi-secretary or bounded-regret development on the platform. The mission produces several pieces of machinery: a reusable finite model of sequential selection with online policies and the offline benchmark; an explicit online policy with its stopping-time analysis; and a binomial overshoot bound usable elsewhere. The constant MMM is not made explicit in the paper. A formal proof would give one, and sharper constants are welcome.

Difficulty

The offline decomposition and the sufficient condition are bookkeeping with counts and one concentration bound. The hard step is Theorem 2: showing that the budget ratio Kt/(n−t)K_t/(n-t)Kt​/(n−t) stays within δ\deltaδ of its attracting threshold until a bounded expected number of periods before the end. Near the horizon a single selection moves the ratio by about 1/(n−t)1/(n-t)1/(n−t), so the band becomes easy to leave. Equivalently, the target δ(n−τ0−u)\delta(n-\tau_0-u)δ(n−τ0​−u) that the deviation process must exceed shrinks to zero. A standard martingale or drift argument with a fixed band therefore does not give a bound uniform in nnn. The paper combines the mean-reverting drift of the deviation process with an exponential tail bound (its Proposition 4) and a Lyapunov argument. A second subtlety is uniformity: every constant must depend on ϵ\epsilonϵ (and δ\deltaδ) only, never on mmm, the aja_jaj​, nnn or kkk.

Formalization scope

The source is arXiv:1710.07719v2; its printed page numbers equal the PDF page numbers.

Representation.

  • Ability levels are Fin m, with index 0 the largest value a1a_1a1​; Lean index iii is the paper's i+1i+1i+1.
  • Each instance carries aaa strictly decreasing and positive, fff positive with ∑f=1\sum f=1∑f=1.
  • Expectations are finite sums over sequences x:Fin n→Fin mx:\mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathrm{Fin}\,mx:Finn→Finm weighted by ∏tf(xt)\prod_tf(x_t)∏t​f(xt​), so no measure theory is needed.
  • Policies are deterministic selection rules σ(x,t)\sigma(x,t)σ(x,t) that are non-anticipating and feasible. Von∗V^*_{\mathrm{on}}Von∗​ is a maximum over this finite set. The paper allows randomized policies; for this finite problem the optimal values coincide (p. 39). In any case, restricting to deterministic policies can only lower Von∗V^*_{\mathrm{on}}Von∗​ and so does not weaken the goal.
  • Voff∗V^*_{\mathrm{off}}Voff∗​ is defined as an expected maximum over selection vectors, not by the sort formula. The sort formula is a milestone.

Quantifiers. The constant MMM in the goal is chosen after ϵ\epsilonϵ and before mmm, the instance, nnn and kkk. A statement with MMM chosen after the instance, or after nnn, is trivial (regret ≤a1n\le a_1n≤a1​n) and is excluded.

Corrections to the printed text, disclosed in the items.

  1. In Theorem 2 and Corollary 1, MMM depends on the auxiliary δ∈(0,ϵ)\delta\in(0,\epsilon)δ∈(0,ϵ) as well, because τ\tauτ does. δ\deltaδ is quantified before MMM. The goal itself is δ\deltaδ-free.
  2. Lemma 2's conditions p+ε≤k/np+\varepsilon\le k/np+ε≤k/n, k/n≤p−εk/n\le p-\varepsilonk/n≤p−ε are stated as (p+ε)n≤k(p+\varepsilon)n\le k(p+ε)n≤k, k≤(p−ε)nk\le(p-\varepsilon)nk≤(p−ε)n, the form used in its proof. This avoids a false case at n=0n=0n=0.
  3. The BR rule is applied at every time t+1∈{1,…,n}t+1\in\{1,\dots,n\}t+1∈{1,…,n}; p. 11 writes {1,…,n−1}\{1,\dots,n-1\}{1,…,n−1}.
  4. τ\tauτ is capped at nnn, which matters only when n=0n=0n=0.
  5. In Proposition 5 the recursions are imposed for κ≥1\kappa\ge1κ≥1 (boundary conditions at κ=0\kappa=0κ=0), and only identity (49) is stated.

Infrastructure. The model definitions (instance, offline value, online policies, counts, thresholds, action index) and the binomial overshoot lemma are reusable for other finite-support online selection and revenue-management results. All of the following are welcome:

  • proofs of individual milestones;
  • an explicit constant;
  • a formal derivation of Von∗(n,k)=vn(0,k)V^*_{\mathrm{on}}(n,k)=v_n(0,k)Von∗​(n,k)=vn​(0,k) connecting Proposition 5 to Von∗V^*_{\mathrm{on}}Von∗​.

Selected references

  • A. Arlotto, I. Gurvich, Uniformly Bounded Regret in the Multi-Secretary Problem, arXiv:1710.07719v2, 2018; Stochastic Systems 9(3), 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.07719
  • R. Kleinberg, A multiple-choice secretary algorithm with applications to online auctions, SODA 2005. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/1070432.1070519
  • K. T. Talluri, G. J. van Ryzin, The Theory and Practice of Revenue Management, Springer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/b139000
  • D. P. Bertsekas, S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978.
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities, Oxford University Press, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Assortment Optimization under Variants of the Nested Logit Model 4: With Dissimilarity Parameters at Most One, the Knapsack-Relaxation and Singleton LP Optimum Scaled by 2 Is Feasible for the Full LPResearch Paper

Motivation

Assortment optimization asks which set of products a firm should offer when customers choose among the offered products according to a discrete choice model; it underlies shelf-space planning in retail and fare-class control in airline revenue management (Talluri and van Ryzin, 2004). Under the nested logit model products are grouped into nests, and a customer first picks a nest and then a product inside it. Davis, Gallego and Topaloglu (Operations Research, 2014; DOI 10.1287/opre.2014.1256) map out how hard this problem is across variants of the model.

When every nest dissimilarity parameter is at most one and a customer who chose a nest always buys there, offering the top-revenue products of each nest is optimal (Theorem 4 of the paper, the subject of an earlier mission of this series). Once a customer may leave a nest without buying — a partially-captured nest — that structure breaks and the problem becomes NP-hard (Theorem 8). This mission targets the paper's response: a small, explicitly constructed family of candidate assortments per nest from which a linear program recovers a solution within a factor of two of optimal.

Setting

There are mmm nests MMM and, in each nest, nnn products N={1,…,n}N = \{1, \dots, n\}N={1,…,n}. Product jjj of nest iii has a revenue rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0 and a preference weight vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0, with ri1≥⋯≥rinr_{i1} \ge \dots \ge r_{in}ri1​≥⋯≥rin​. Nest iii has a dissimilarity parameter γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0 and a within-nest no-purchase weight vi0≥0v_{i0} \ge 0vi0​≥0; v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0 is the weight of choosing no nest. For an assortment Si⊆NS_i \subseteq NSi​⊆N,

Vi(Si)=vi0+∑j∈Sivij,Ri(Si)=∑j∈SirijvijVi(Si),Ri(∅)=0,V_i(S_i) = v_{i0} + \sum_{j \in S_i} v_{ij}, \qquad R_i(S_i) = \frac{\sum_{j \in S_i} r_{ij} v_{ij}}{V_i(S_i)},\quad R_i(\emptyset)=0,Vi​(Si​)=vi0​+j∈Si​∑​vij​,Ri​(Si​)=Vi​(Si​)∑j∈Si​​rij​vij​​,Ri​(∅)=0,

and the expected revenue of (S1,…,Sm)(S_1, \dots, S_m)(S1​,…,Sm​) is Π=∑iVi(Si)γiRi(Si)/(v0+∑iVi(Si)γi)\Pi = \sum_i V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i} R_i(S_i) / (v_0 + \sum_i V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i})Π=∑i​Vi​(Si​)γi​Ri​(Si​)/(v0​+∑i​Vi​(Si​)γi​). The optimal expected revenue Z∗Z^*Z∗ is the optimal value of the linear program

(3)min⁡ xs.t.v0x≥∑i∈Myi,yi≥Vi(Si)γi(Ri(Si)−x)  ∀Si⊆N, i∈M,\text{(3)}\quad \min\ x \quad\text{s.t.}\quad v_0 x \ge \sum_{i \in M} y_i,\qquad y_i \ge V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}\big(R_i(S_i) - x\big)\ \ \forall S_i \subseteq N,\ i \in M,(3)min xs.t.v0​x≥i∈M∑​yi​,yi​≥Vi​(Si​)γi​(Ri​(Si​)−x)  ∀Si​⊆N, i∈M,

and problem (4) is the same program with the second family of constraints imposed only for a chosen collection of candidate assortments in each nest.

Throughout, γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 for every nest and the vi0v_{i0}vi0​ are arbitrary. For a capacity ϵi≥0\epsilon_i \ge 0ϵi​≥0, the knapsack value Ki(ϵi)K_i(\epsilon_i)Ki​(ϵi​) is the largest ∑j∈Srijvij\sum_{j \in S} r_{ij} v_{ij}∑j∈S​rij​vij​ over assortments SSS with ∑j∈Svij≤ϵi\sum_{j \in S} v_{ij} \le \epsilon_i∑j∈S​vij​≤ϵi​ (display (9)). Its continuous relaxation (11) allows fractional zij∈[0,1(vij≤ϵi)]z_{ij} \in [0, \mathbf 1(v_{ij} \le \epsilon_i)]zij​∈[0,1(vij​≤ϵi​)] under the same capacity. The greedy solution z^i(ϵi)\hat z_i(\epsilon_i)z^i​(ϵi​) of (11) fills the capacity with the products of weight at most ϵi\epsilon_iϵi​ in revenue order, each fully while it fits and the next one fractionally, and

S^i(ϵi)={j∈N:z^ij(ϵi)=1}.\hat S_i(\epsilon_i) = \{ j \in N : \hat z_{ij}(\epsilon_i) = 1 \}.S^i​(ϵi​)={j∈N:z^ij​(ϵi​)=1}.

Problem (10) replaces the per-assortment constraints of (3) by yi≥max⁡ϵi≥0(vi0+ϵi)γi[Ki(ϵi)/(vi0+ϵi)−x]y_i \ge \max_{\epsilon_i \ge 0} (v_{i0}+\epsilon_i)^{\gamma_i}[K_i(\epsilon_i)/(v_{i0}+\epsilon_i) - x]yi​≥maxϵi​≥0​(vi0​+ϵi​)γi​[Ki​(ϵi​)/(vi0​+ϵi​)−x].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10 (p. 24)

Let (x^,y^)(\hat x, \hat y)(x^,y^​) be an optimal solution of (4) with candidate collections {S^i(ϵi):ϵi∈[0,∞]}∪{{j}:j∈N}\{\hat S_i(\epsilon_i) : \epsilon_i \in [0,\infty]\} \cup \{\{j\} : j \in N\}{S^i​(ϵi​):ϵi​∈[0,∞]}∪{{j}:j∈N}. Then

(2x^, 2y^)  is feasible for (3).(2\hat x,\ 2\hat y) \ \text{ is feasible for (3).}(2x^, 2y^​)  is feasible for (3).

Milestones

  1. Per-nest identity (proof of Lemma 9, p. 23). For x≥0x \ge 0x≥0, max⁡SiVi(Si)γi(Ri(Si)−x)=max⁡ϵi≥0(vi0+ϵi)γi[Ki(ϵi)/(vi0+ϵi)−x]\max_{S_i} V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}(R_i(S_i) - x) = \max_{\epsilon_i \ge 0}(v_{i0}+\epsilon_i)^{\gamma_i}[K_i(\epsilon_i)/(v_{i0}+\epsilon_i) - x]maxSi​​Vi​(Si​)γi​(Ri​(Si​)−x)=maxϵi​≥0​(vi0​+ϵi​)γi​[Ki​(ϵi​)/(vi0​+ϵi​)−x].
  2. Lemma 9 (p. 23). Problems (3) and (10) have the same optimal solutions.
  3. Relaxation (p. 23). Every feasible point of (9) is feasible for (11), so K^i(ϵi)≥Ki(ϵi)\hat K_i(\epsilon_i) \ge K_i(\epsilon_i)K^i​(ϵi​)≥Ki​(ϵi​).
  4. Greedy solution (pp. 23–24). z^i(ϵi)\hat z_i(\epsilon_i)z^i​(ϵi​) is optimal for (11) and has at most one fractional component.
  5. Sign (A.3, p. 45). x^≥0\hat x \ge 0x^≥0.
  6. Inequalities (28) and (29) (A.3, pp. 45–46). In both cases — z^i(ϵ)\hat z_i(\epsilon)z^i​(ϵ) with and without a fractional component — 2y^i≥(vi0+ϵ)γi[Ki(ϵ)/(vi0+ϵ)−2x^]2\hat y_i \ge (v_{i0}+\epsilon)^{\gamma_i}[K_i(\epsilon)/(v_{i0}+\epsilon) - 2\hat x]2y^​i​≥(vi0​+ϵ)γi​[Ki​(ϵ)/(vi0​+ϵ)−2x^].

Two further statements accompany the goal: the factor-two revenue guarantee obtained from Theorem 10 and Theorem 1 of the paper, and the fact that every S^i(ϵi)\hat S_i(\epsilon_i)S^i​(ϵi​) is one of the at most 1+n21 + n^21+n2 assortments NijkN^k_{ij}Nijk​, the first jjj products by revenue among the kkk lightest.

Significance

Theorem 10 turns an NP-hard assortment problem into a linear program with 1+m1 + m1+m variables and 1+m(1+n+n2)1 + m(1 + n + n^2)1+m(1+n+n2) constraints whose solution is within a factor of two of optimal. The construction is explicit: the candidates are defined by a greedy rule, not by an optimization oracle. The same template, a restricted linear program whose doubled optimum is feasible for the full one, is reused in §6 of the paper for the most general instances, and Lemma 9's knapsack reformulation is the link to the classical approximation theory of knapsack problems (Williamson and Shmoys, 2011).

The theorem is proved in the paper. No machine-checked proof of it, of Lemma 9, or of greedy optimality for the continuous knapsack with an eligibility bound exists on the platform. Formalizing it yields a checked factor-two guarantee and a reusable fractional-knapsack development.

Difficulty

The obvious argument would compare the restricted program (4) with (3) constraint by constraint. That fails: (3) has one constraint per subset of products, and most subsets are not candidates. The comparison has to pass through the knapsack reformulation (10), which requires showing that a maximum over all subsets equals a maximum over a one-dimensional capacity parameter, using γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 and x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 in an essential way. The second obstacle is that the greedy assortment S^i(ϵi)\hat S_i(\epsilon_i)S^i​(ϵi​) keeps only the fully taken products, so its value can fall short of the continuous knapsack value, and no single candidate assortment need attain the knapsack bound. With dissimilarity parameters above one the monotonicity behind the reformulation is lost, and §6 of the paper needs a different factor.

Formalization scope

Products are Fin n (indices 0,…,n−10, \dots, n-10,…,n−1), nests a finite type, and every quantity is real. Powers are Real.rpow; x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0, which gives Ri(∅)=0R_i(\emptyset) = 0Ri​(∅)=0. An optimal solution of a linear program is a feasible pair whose xxx is minimal among feasible pairs. The constraint "yi≥max⁡ϵi≥0(… )y_i \ge \max_{\epsilon_i \ge 0}(\dots)yi​≥maxϵi​≥0​(…)" of (10) is stated in constraint form, for every ϵi≥0\epsilon_i \ge 0ϵi​≥0, so no real supremum is taken. Ki(ϵ)K_i(\epsilon)Ki​(ϵ) is defined for ϵ≥0\epsilon \ge 0ϵ≥0 only; its placeholder value for ϵ<0\epsilon < 0ϵ<0 is never used. Ties in revenue (and, for NijkN^k_{ij}Nijk​, in weight) are broken by index. The candidate collection is taken over real ϵi≥0\epsilon_i \ge 0ϵi​≥0; ϵi=∞\epsilon_i = \inftyϵi​=∞ adds nothing, since every capacity of at least ∑jvij\sum_j v_{ij}∑j​vij​ already gives S^i=N\hat S_i = NS^i​=N.

Standing assumptions and added hypotheses: γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 for every nest (the section's assumption) on the goal and on every model milestone; the pins vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0, rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0, γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0 and the revenue ordering, shared by the series; n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 on Lemma 9, on x^≥0\hat x \ge 0x^≥0 and on (28)/(29), the paper's nonempty NNN; and v0>0v_0 > 0v0​>0 on the factor-two revenue guarantee, where Theorem 1 of the paper fails without it.

The greedy assortments S^i(ϵi)\hat S_i(\epsilon_i)S^i​(ϵi​) are defined explicitly. Quantifying over arbitrary optimal solutions of (11) instead would change the candidate collection and is not the paper's theorem. The goal states feasibility for the full program (3) and does not mention knapsack values, the greedy solution or the case split. A formalization that weakens the conclusion to feasibility for (10), or that drops the singletons from the candidate collection, is not a solution.

Needed infrastructure: fractional knapsack optimality of the greedy rule with an eligibility bound, monotonicity of t↦tγt \mapsto t^{\gamma}t↦tγ and t↦tγ−1t \mapsto t^{\gamma - 1}t↦tγ−1 for γ≤1\gamma \le 1γ≤1, and finite maximization over subsets. The fractional-knapsack lemmas are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative decompositions of the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. M. Davis, G. Gallego, H. Topaloglu, Assortment Optimization under Variants of the Nested Logit Model, Operations Research 62(2), 2014 (revised manuscript of June 18, 2013, cited here). DOI 10.1287/opre.2014.1256
  • K. T. Talluri, G. J. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 15–33, 2004. DOI 10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • D. P. Williamson, D. B. Shmoys, The Design of Approximation Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2011. DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511921735
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OptimizationProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Optimization Under Moment Uncertainty with Application to Data-Driven Problems 1: Finite-Sample Confidence Region for the Mean and CovarianceResearch Paper

Motivation

An optimization model often needs a probability distribution for an uncertain cost or demand, while a practitioner has only a finite sample from that distribution. Replacing the distribution by the empirical one can hide uncertainty in its estimated mean and covariance. Delage and Ye use a finite-sample confidence region for these two moments to justify a distributional ambiguity set in data-driven stochastic programming Delage and Ye, 2010. The present mission concerns the confidence region itself: it asks how far the population moments can be from the sample estimates when the normalized random vector has bounded support.

The source for every theorem index and page number here is the authors' draft dated 20 February 2008, not an independently checked pagination of the published article. Its §4 starts from independent observations and Assumption 4, then obtains a sample-mean bound, a covariance bound around the known mean, and finally the joint bound for estimates computed entirely from the sample.

Setting

Let ξ∈Rm\xi\in\mathbb R^mξ∈Rm have distribution PPP, mean μ=EP[ξ]\mu=\mathbb E_P[\xi]μ=EP​[ξ], and covariance Σ=EP[(ξ−μ)(ξ−μ)T]\Sigma=\mathbb E_P[(\xi-\mu)(\xi-\mu)^\mathsf T]Σ=EP​[(ξ−μ)(ξ−μ)T]. Assume Σ\SigmaΣ is positive definite. For M≥1M\ge1M≥1 independent observations ξ1,…,ξM\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_Mξ1​,…,ξM​, the empirical mean and empirical covariance in this section are

μ^=1M∑i=1Mξi,Σ^=1M∑i=1M(ξi−μ^)(ξi−μ^)T.\widehat\mu=\frac1M\sum_{i=1}^M\xi_i,\qquad \widehat\Sigma=\frac1M\sum_{i=1}^M(\xi_i-\widehat\mu)(\xi_i-\widehat\mu)^\mathsf T.μ​=M1​i=1∑M​ξi​,Σ=M1​i=1∑M​(ξi​−μ​)(ξi​−μ​)T.

The divisor is MMM, including for the covariance; the paper's earlier discussion of an unbiased estimator with divisor M−1M-1M−1 does not govern §4. When the true mean is known, write Σ^(μ)=M−1∑i(ξi−μ)(ξi−μ)T\widehat\Sigma(\mu)=M^{-1}\sum_i(\xi_i-\mu)(\xi_i-\mu)^\mathsf TΣ(μ)=M−1∑i​(ξi​−μ)(ξi​−μ)T. Matrix order A⪯BA\preceq BA⪯B means B−AB-AB−A is positive semidefinite. The squared Mahalanobis distance of a vector vvv is vTΣ−1vv^\mathsf T\Sigma^{-1}vvTΣ−1v.

Assumption 4 bounds the normalized observations: for some R≥0R\ge0R≥0, (ξ−μ)TΣ−1(ξ−μ)≤R2(\xi-\mu)^\mathsf T\Sigma^{-1}(\xi-\mu)\le R^2(ξ−μ)TΣ−1(ξ−μ)≤R2 with probability one. Equivalently, ζ=Σ−1/2(ξ−μ)\zeta=\Sigma^{-1/2}(\xi-\mu)ζ=Σ−1/2(ξ−μ) lies almost surely in a Euclidean ball of radius RRR; it has mean zero and covariance III. The sample law is PMP^MPM, the product measure of MMM identical copies. These choices make the probability in each target an assertion about genuinely independent observations.

Formalization targets

Simultaneous confidence region

For 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1, set

α(t)=R2M(1−mR4+log⁡(1/t)),β(t)=R2M(2+2log⁡(1/t))2.\alpha(t)=\frac{R^2}{\sqrt M}\left(\sqrt{1-\frac m{R^4}}+\sqrt{\log(1/t)}\right),\qquad \beta(t)=\frac{R^2}{M}\left(2+\sqrt{2\log(1/t)}\right)^2.α(t)=M​R2​(1−R4m​​+log(1/t)​),β(t)=MR2​(2+2log(1/t)​)2.

Theorem 2 is the goal. Write a=α(δ/4)a=\alpha(\delta/4)a=α(δ/4) and b=β(δ/2)b=\beta(\delta/2)b=β(δ/2), and assume a+b<1a+b<1a+b<1. The target is the simultaneous event

(μ^−μ)TΣ−1(μ^−μ)≤b,Σ⪯Σ^1−a−b,Σ^1+a⪯Σ(\widehat\mu-\mu)^\mathsf T\Sigma^{-1}(\widehat\mu-\mu)\le b, \qquad \Sigma\preceq\frac{\widehat\Sigma}{1-a-b}, \qquad \frac{\widehat\Sigma}{1+a}\preceq\Sigma(μ​−μ)TΣ−1(μ​−μ)≤b,Σ⪯1−a−bΣ​,1+aΣ​⪯Σ

with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ. The last denominator is a correction: printed (12c) says 1−a1-a1−a, while the authors' union-bound display on draft p. 13 says 1+a1+a1+a. The printed version fails, for example, for symmetric ±1\pm1±1 observations, whose sample covariance is 1−μ^21-\widehat\mu^21−μ​2 and for which its claimed lower bound would require an implausibly large sample-mean square. The proof's displayed bound gives the stated 1+a1+a1+a draft pp. 13–14.

Supporting results

Lemma 2 bounds the normalized sample mean. Corollary 1 turns it into the Mahalanobis bound for μ^−μ\widehat\mu-\muμ​−μ. Lemma 3 gives a two-sided matrix bound for M−1∑iζiζiTM^{-1}\sum_i\zeta_i\zeta_i^\mathsf TM−1∑i​ζi​ζiT​; Corollary 2 transfers that bound to Σ^(μ)\widehat\Sigma(\mu)Σ(μ). A separate theorem item states the centring identity Σ^(μ)=Σ^+(μ^−μ)(μ^−μ)T\widehat\Sigma(\mu)=\widehat\Sigma+(\widehat\mu-\mu)(\widehat\mu-\mu)^\mathsf TΣ(μ)=Σ+(μ​−μ)(μ​−μ)T. The final milestone is the rank-one matrix inequality used in Theorem 2's proof. Their statements follow the draft's §4.1–4.2.

Significance

The joint region places both true moments inside explicit data-dependent matrix inequalities at a chosen confidence level. That is the statistical input for the paper's later moment-based distributional uncertainty sets. The result is known in the source; this mission asks for machine-checked proofs of its corrected statement and its supporting concentration and matrix results. The Lean items are currently open theorem statements, so a successful draft compilation does not constitute formal verification of the inequalities.

Related platform results include a proved two-sided constant-bound McDiarmid inequality (UnderstandingML.mcdiarmid_inequality_pi) and an open per-coordinate upper-tail version (StabGen.Uniform.mcdiarmid_inequality). Neither is identical to the cited Theorem 1 of this draft, so the milestone list starts with the paper's Lemma 2 and does not restate Theorem 1.

Difficulty

The known-mean covariance estimate is a sum of outer products of normalized observations. Controlling its largest and smallest eigenvalues together requires concentration of a matrix-valued statistic, rather than a separate scalar bound for each entry. Once the true mean is replaced by μ^\widehat\muμ​, the covariance changes by a rank-one matrix; the mean bound must control that correction in Loewner order. A direct replacement of Σ^(μ)\widehat\Sigma(\mu)Σ(μ) by Σ^\widehat\SigmaΣ therefore does not preserve both sides of Corollary 2 automatically.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin m → ℝ, and matrices are real Fin m × Fin m matrices. The Euclidean squared length is a dot product; Lean's generic norm on functions is a supremum norm and is not used for it. The Loewner order is (B - A).PosSemidef. The distribution has a probability measure and coordinatewise finite L2L^2L2 moments, so its real-valued mean and covariance integrals are well defined. The true covariance is positive definite, reflecting the section's nonsingularity assumption. Samples have the product law PMP^MPM. The chapter's normalized case records zero mean, identity covariance, and the almost-sure ball bound.

Every statistical result assumes 0<δ<10<\delta<10<δ<1; the logarithms and confidence levels are then in their intended domain. Positive MMM rules out division by zero in empirical averages. Lemma 3 carries the paper's explicit sample-size threshold, and the goal reads “MMM large enough” as a+b<1a+b<1a+b<1, which keeps the upper covariance denominator positive. The expression under the other square root is nonnegative in every satisfiable positive-dimensional normalized setting, because E∥ζ∥22=m≤R2\mathbb E\|\zeta\|_2^2=m\le R^2E∥ζ∥22​=m≤R2. It is not an added assumption. The probability conclusions use ≥1−δ\ge1-\delta≥1−δ, which is what the paper's proofs show despite the phrase “greater than.”

The goal assumes the source's distributional and support conditions, not the probability conclusions of its supporting corollaries. This prevents a vacuous route that merely postulates the desired confidence event. A complete proof will need reusable product-measure concentration facts, moment and matrix algebra, and a positive-definite quadratic-form bridge. Contributions to those components and to each milestone are in scope. Corollary 3's data-derived radius is excluded because the draft's conditioning argument does not establish its claimed confidence level. Corollary 4 as a probability statement, Theorem 3, and Corollary 5 depend on it; Remark 2 concerns a separate Gaussian eigenvalue density.

Selected references

  • Erick Delage and Yinyu Ye, Distributionally Robust Optimization under Moment Uncertainty with Application to Data-Driven Problems, Operations Research 58(3), 595–612, 2010; source used here: authors' draft of 20 February 2008. DOI.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Assortment Optimization under Variants of the Nested Logit Model 1: If the Restricted LP Optimum Scaled by α Is Feasible for the Full LP, Its Assortment Earns Within a Factor α of the Optimal RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer that sells products in several categories, channels or stores has to decide which products to offer in each. Customers substitute: a product left out of the assortment sends some of its demand to other products, and some of it away. The nested logit model (McFadden 1974, 1981) is the standard choice model for this situation. It groups products into nests, so that substitution within a nest differs from substitution across nests. Assortment optimization under this model asks which products to offer in each nest so as to maximize expected revenue.

Davis, Gallego and Topaloglu (Oper. Res. 62(2), 2014) split the problem into four cases: dissimilarity parameters at most one or unrestricted, and nests that are fully or only partially captured. The problem is polynomially solvable in the first case and NP-hard in the other three. Every approximation guarantee in the paper for the hard cases (Theorems 7, 10, 11, 12) comes from one general framework, set up in §2: a linear program equivalent to the assortment problem, and Theorem 1, which turns a feasibility certificate for that linear program into a performance guarantee. This mission formalizes that framework.

Setting

There are mmm nests MMM and nnn products N={1,…,n}N = \{1, \dots, n\}N={1,…,n} in each nest. Product jjj of nest iii has revenue rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0 and preference weight vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0, and the products in each nest are ordered so that ri1≥⋯≥rinr_{i1} \ge \dots \ge r_{in}ri1​≥⋯≥rin​. Nest iii has a no-purchase weight vi0≥0v_{i0} \ge 0vi0​≥0 and a dissimilarity parameter γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0. The weight of choosing no nest at all is v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0. If the assortment Si⊆NS_i \subseteq NSi​⊆N is offered in nest iii, write

Vi(Si)=vi0+∑j∈Sivij,Ri(Si)=∑j∈SirijvijVi(Si),Ri(∅)=0.V_i(S_i) = v_{i0} + \sum_{j \in S_i} v_{ij}, \qquad R_i(S_i) = \frac{\sum_{j\in S_i} r_{ij} v_{ij}}{V_i(S_i)}, \quad R_i(\emptyset) = 0 .Vi​(Si​)=vi0​+j∈Si​∑​vij​,Ri​(Si​)=Vi​(Si​)∑j∈Si​​rij​vij​​,Ri​(∅)=0.

A customer picks nest iii with probability Qi=Vi(Si)γi/(v0+∑l∈MVl(Sl)γl)Q_i = V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i} / (v_0 + \sum_{l\in M} V_l(S_l)^{\gamma_l})Qi​=Vi​(Si​)γi​/(v0​+∑l∈M​Vl​(Sl​)γl​), and then a product of that nest by the multinomial logit model. The expected revenue is

Π(S1,…,Sm)=∑i∈MQi(S1,…,Sm) Ri(Si),\Pi(S_1, \dots, S_m) = \sum_{i \in M} Q_i(S_1, \dots, S_m)\, R_i(S_i),Π(S1​,…,Sm​)=i∈M∑​Qi​(S1​,…,Sm​)Ri​(Si​),

and problem (2) is Z∗=max⁡Si⊆NΠ(S1,…,Sm)Z^* = \max_{S_i \subseteq N} \Pi(S_1, \dots, S_m)Z∗=maxSi​⊆N​Π(S1​,…,Sm​).

The linear program (3) in the variables (x,y1,…,ym)(x, y_1, \dots, y_m)(x,y1​,…,ym​) minimizes xxx subject to

v0x≥∑i∈Myi,yi≥Vi(Si)γi(Ri(Si)−x)∀Si⊆N, i∈M.v_0 x \ge \sum_{i\in M} y_i, \qquad y_i \ge V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}\big(R_i(S_i) - x\big) \quad \forall S_i \subseteq N,\ i \in M.v0​x≥i∈M∑​yi​,yi​≥Vi​(Si​)γi​(Ri​(Si​)−x)∀Si​⊆N, i∈M.

Given candidate collections {Ait:t∈Ti}\{A_{it} : t \in \mathcal T_i\}{Ait​:t∈Ti​} of assortments for each nest, the linear program (4) is (3) with the second family of constraints imposed only for SiS_iSi​ in the collection of nest iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 13)

Let (x^,y^)(\hat x, \hat y)(x^,y^​) be an optimal solution of (4), and let S^i\hat S_iS^i​ solve max⁡Si∈{Ait}Vi(Si)γi(Ri(Si)−x^)\max_{S_i \in \{A_{it}\}} V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}(R_i(S_i) - \hat x)maxSi​∈{Ait​}​Vi​(Si​)γi​(Ri​(Si​)−x^), problem (5), in every nest. If (αx^,βy^)(\alpha \hat x, \beta \hat y)(αx^,βy^​) is feasible for (3) for some α,β\alpha, \betaα,β, then, with Z^=Π(S^1,…,S^m)\hat Z = \Pi(\hat S_1, \dots, \hat S_m)Z^=Π(S^1​,…,S^m​),

αZ^ ≥ Z∗ ≥ Z^.\alpha \hat Z \ \ge\ Z^* \ \ge\ \hat Z .αZ^ ≥ Z∗ ≥ Z^.

The theorem fixes no candidate collection and no value of α\alphaα. Each later section of the paper instantiates it with its own collection and its own factor, so a formal proof applies to all of them.

Milestones (§2, pp. 11–12)

  1. Problem (2) is equivalent to (3): Z∗Z^*Z∗ is the least xxx for which some yyy makes (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) feasible for (3).
  2. At an optimal solution of (4), the first constraint binds at the maximizers S^i\hat S_iS^i​ of (5), and x^=Π(S^1,…,S^m)\hat x = \Pi(\hat S_1, \dots, \hat S_m)x^=Π(S^1​,…,S^m​).
  3. Problem (4) relaxes (3), so x^≤Z∗\hat x \le Z^*x^≤Z∗.

Companions (§7, pp. 29–30)

  • The tighter program (16), which lets each nest's assortment be a fractional vector zi∈[0,1]nz_i \in [0,1]^nzi​∈[0,1]n, has every feasible xxx above Z∗Z^*Z∗.
  • Proposition 13: F^i(x)=max⁡zi∈[0,1]nFi(zi∣x)\hat F_i(x) = \max_{z_i \in [0,1]^n} F_i(z_i \mid x)F^i​(x)=maxzi​∈[0,1]n​Fi​(zi​∣x) is convex, with subgradient −(vi0+∑jvijz^ij(x))γi-(v_{i0} + \sum_j v_{ij}\hat z_{ij}(x))^{\gamma_i}−(vi0​+∑j​vij​z^ij​(x))γi​ at xxx.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the common step behind the paper's four approximation guarantees: the factor ρ\rhoρ or 2κ2\kappa2κ of Theorem 7, the factor 2 of Theorem 10, the factor of Theorem 11, and the δ2γˉ+1\delta^{2\bar\gamma+1}δ2γˉ​+1 of Theorem 12. Each of these reduces to checking that a scaled optimum of a small linear program is feasible for (3). With Theorem 1 formalized, those guarantees reduce to inequalities about candidate collections, which are the subject of the sister missions of this series. The upper bound (16) and Proposition 13 give the instance-specific bound that the paper uses to assess its assortments numerically.

The results are proved in the paper. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. The formal work adds two things: the statements below are made exact at the degenerate inputs the prose passes over (an empty assortment, v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0), and a formal proof certifies the framework once for every later instantiation.

Difficulty

The equivalence of (2) and (3) rests on decomposing a maximum over joint assortments into a sum of per-nest maxima, and on reading the fractional objective Π≤x\Pi \le xΠ≤x as a linear constraint. Both steps need care where a denominator v0+∑iVi(Si)γiv_0 + \sum_i V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}v0​+∑i​Vi​(Si​)γi​ can vanish. The binding argument for (4) is a perturbation argument: lowering x^\hat xx^ must keep every constraint satisfiable, which needs a continuity and monotonicity property of the right-hand side in xxx. The obvious one-line reading of Theorem 1, "x^=Z^\hat x = \hat Zx^=Z^ and αx^≥Z∗\alpha\hat x \ge Z^*αx^≥Z∗", is correct only once both of these facts are established with their hypotheses. In particular, it is false when v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0 (see below). Proposition 13 requires that the supremum over the box be finite, which comes from the boundedness of FiF_iFi​ on [0,1]n[0,1]^n[0,1]n.

Formalization scope

Nests are a finite type ι and products are Fin n, indexed 0,…,n−10, \dots, n-10,…,n−1. An assortment is a finite set of products per nest, and a candidate collection is a set of such finite sets. Powers are real powers, and Lean's x/0=0x / 0 = 0x/0=0 gives Ri(∅)=0R_i(\emptyset) = 0Ri​(∅)=0. Z∗Z^*Z∗ is Π(S∗)\Pi(S^*)Π(S∗) for an arbitrary optimal assortment S∗S^*S∗; no supremum over assortments is taken. "Optimal solution of (4)" means feasible with minimal xxx, and "S^i\hat S_iS^i​ solves (5)" means S^i\hat S_iS^i​ belongs to the collection of nest iii and maximizes the objective of (5) over it at x^\hat xx^.

Standing assumptions and pins. These are v0,vi0≥0v_0, v_{i0} \ge 0v0​,vi0​≥0 and ordered revenues, together with vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0, rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0 and γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0. The paper allows zero-weight padding products and γi=0\gamma_i = 0γi​=0, but its own conventions fail there. Theorem 1 and the binding milestone add v0>0v_0 > 0v0​>0. The page allows v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0, but then Theorem 1 is false: take one nest with v10=0v_{10} = 0v10​=0, γ1=1\gamma_1 = 1γ1​=1, r11=v11=1r_{11} = v_{11} = 1r11​=v11​=1 and candidates {∅,{1}}\{\emptyset, \{1\}\}{∅,{1}}. Then x^=1\hat x = 1x^=1 and S^1=∅\hat S_1 = \emptysetS^1​=∅ meet every hypothesis with α=β=1\alpha = \beta = 1α=β=1, yet Z^=0<Z∗=1\hat Z = 0 < Z^* = 1Z^=0<Z∗=1. The equivalence of (2) and (3) and the bound from (16) keep v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0, as the page does, and assume at least one nest and one product: with neither and v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0, every xxx is feasible for (3).

A formalization that assumes the binding equality, the identity x^=Z^\hat x = \hat Zx^=Z^, or the inequality x^≤Z∗\hat x \le Z^*x^≤Z∗ in the goal would trivialize it. Those facts appear only as milestones. Likewise, reading "optimal solution of (4)" as mere feasibility would make the goal false rather than easier.

The development needs only finite sums, real powers and elementary order reasoning. Proposition 13 also needs the boundedness of a continuous function on a box and the convexity of a pointwise supremum of affine functions. Welcome contributions include proofs of the milestones, the goal from them, and reusable lemmas on the per-nest decomposition of maxima, which the sister missions of this series use as well.

Selected references

  • J. M. Davis, G. Gallego, H. Topaloglu, Assortment optimization under variants of the nested logit model, Operations Research 62(2), 2014 (revised manuscript of June 18, 2013, cited here). https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1256
  • D. McFadden, Econometric models of probabilistic choice, in C. Manski, D. McFadden (eds.), Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications, MIT Press, 1981. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~mcfadden/discrete.html
  • P. Rusmevichientong, D. Shmoys, H. Topaloglu, Assortment optimization with mixtures of logits, Technical report, Cornell University, 2010. https://people.orie.cornell.edu/huseyin/publications/publications.html
  • M. S. Bazaraa, H. D. Sherali, C. M. Shetty, Nonlinear Programming: Theory and Algorithms, 2nd ed., Wiley, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471787779
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Discrete-Time Controlled Markov Processes with Average Cost Criterion: A Survey 1: Uniformly Bounded Differential Discounted Values Give a Bounded Solution of the Average Cost Optimality EquationResearch Paper

Motivation

Many control problems in queueing, inventory and communication systems run indefinitely, and the quantity of interest is the long-run cost per unit time rather than a discounted total. The average cost criterion is harder to analyse than the discounted one: the discounted dynamic programming operator is a contraction, while the average cost problem has no contraction, and on an infinite state space its behaviour depends on the recurrence structure of the controlled chain. The survey of Arapostathis, Borkar, Fernández-Gaucherand, Ghosh and Marcus (SIAM J. Control Optim. 31 (1993)) organises the theory around the average cost optimality equation (ACOE) and the conditions under which it has a solution.

Timeline (as recorded in the survey's §3 and §5). Derman studied the ACOE and characterized optimal stationary policies by its solutions (Derman, On sequential decisions and Markov chains, Management Sci. 1962; Denumerable state Markovian decision processes — average cost criterion, Ann. Math. Statist. 1966). Taylor introduced a vanishing discount argument for a replacement problem (Ann. Math. Statist. 1965). Ross extended it to general countable models, showing that uniformly bounded differential discounted value functions yield a bounded solution of the ACOE (Ann. Math. Statist. 1968, two papers; Introduction to Stochastic Dynamic Programming, 1983). Sennott replaced the uniform bound by one-sided bounds and obtained the average cost optimality inequality (Oper. Res. 1989). The survey presents Ross's result as Theorem 5.2, following the 1983 book; this mission formalizes it.

Setting

A controlled Markov process on the countable state space S={0,1,2,… }S=\{0,1,2,\dots\}S={0,1,2,…} consists of a metric space A\mathbf AA of actions; for each state iii a nonempty compact set U(i)⊆AU(i)\subseteq\mathbf AU(i)⊆A of admissible actions; a cost c(i,a)≥0c(i,a)\ge0c(i,a)≥0; and transition probabilities P(j∣i,a)P(j\mid i,a)P(j∣i,a). For fixed i,ji,ji,j, the maps a↦c(i,a)a\mapsto c(i,a)a↦c(i,a) and a↦P(j∣i,a)a\mapsto P(j\mid i,a)a↦P(j∣i,a) are continuous on U(i)U(i)U(i).

An admissible policy π\piπ chooses, at each time ttt, a probability distribution on U(Xt)U(X_t)U(Xt​) that may depend on the whole past (X0,A0,…,Xt)(X_0,A_0,\dots,X_t)(X0​,A0​,…,Xt​). The class of all of them is Π\PiΠ, and ΠSD\Pi_{SD}ΠSD​ is the class of stationary deterministic policies, maps fff with f(i)∈U(i)f(i)\in U(i)f(i)∈U(i). Each initial state iii and policy π\piπ define a law PiπP^\pi_iPiπ​ of the trajectory, with expectation EiπE^\pi_iEiπ​. For a discount factor 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1,

Jβ(i,π)=Eiπ∑t=0∞βtc(Xt,At),J(i,π)=lim sup⁡N→∞1NEiπ∑t=0N−1c(Xt,At),J_\beta(i,\pi)=E^\pi_i\sum_{t=0}^\infty\beta^tc(X_t,A_t),\qquad J(i,\pi)=\limsup_{N\to\infty}\frac1N E^\pi_i\sum_{t=0}^{N-1}c(X_t,A_t),Jβ​(i,π)=Eiπ​t=0∑∞​βtc(Xt​,At​),J(i,π)=N→∞limsup​N1​Eiπ​t=0∑N−1​c(Xt​,At​),

and Jβ∗(i)=inf⁡π∈ΠJβ(i,π)J^*_\beta(i)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}J_\beta(i,\pi)Jβ∗​(i)=infπ∈Π​Jβ​(i,π), J∗(i)=inf⁡π∈ΠJ(i,π)J^*(i)=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}J(i,\pi)J∗(i)=infπ∈Π​J(i,π). The differential discounted value function is hβ(i)=Jβ∗(i)−Jβ∗(0)h_\beta(i)=J^*_\beta(i)-J^*_\beta(0)hβ​(i)=Jβ∗​(i)−Jβ∗​(0). A pair (ρ,h)(\rho,h)(ρ,h), ρ∈R\rho\in\mathbb Rρ∈R, h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb Rh:S→R, solves the ACOE if

ρ+h(i)=min⁡a∈U(i){c(i,a)+∑j∈SP(j∣i,a)h(j)},i∈S.(5.1)\rho+h(i)=\min_{a\in U(i)}\Big\{c(i,a)+\sum_{j\in S}P(j\mid i,a)h(j)\Big\},\qquad i\in S.\tag{5.1}ρ+h(i)=a∈U(i)min​{c(i,a)+j∈S∑​P(j∣i,a)h(j)},i∈S.(5.1)

In the Lean development these objects are CMP, Policy, StationaryPolicy, pathMeasure, discCost, avgCost, discValue (Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​), optAvg (J∗J^*J∗), hRel (hβh_\betahβ​) and ACOE.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.2 (p. 301)

Assume Jβ∗(i)<∞J^*_\beta(i)<\inftyJβ∗​(i)<∞ for all β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) and i∈Si\in Si∈S, and that there is K>0K>0K>0 with ∣hβ(i)∣≤K|h_\beta(i)|\le K∣hβ​(i)∣≤K for all such β\betaβ and iii. Then there are ρ∈R\rho\in\mathbb Rρ∈R, a bounded h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb Rh:S→R and a sequence βn∈(0,1)\beta_n\in(0,1)βn​∈(0,1), βn→1\beta_n\to1βn​→1, with

(ρ,h) solves (5.1),h(i)=lim⁡n→∞hβn(i),lim⁡β↑1(1−β)Jβ∗(i)=ρ(i∈S).(\rho,h)\text{ solves (5.1)},\qquad h(i)=\lim_{n\to\infty}h_{\beta_n}(i),\qquad \lim_{\beta\uparrow1}(1-\beta)J^*_\beta(i)=\rho\qquad(i\in S).(ρ,h) solves (5.1),h(i)=n→∞lim​hβn​​(i),β↑1lim​(1−β)Jβ∗​(i)=ρ(i∈S).

The goal does not assert that ρ\rhoρ is the optimal average cost; that follows from Theorem 5.1 and Remark 5.1(a), which are milestones.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.1 (p. 289): the dynamic programming map T(v)(i)=inf⁡a∈U(i){c(i,a)+∑jP(j∣i,a)v(j)}T(v)(i)=\inf_{a\in U(i)}\{c(i,a)+\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)v(j)\}T(v)(i)=infa∈U(i)​{c(i,a)+∑j​P(j∣i,a)v(j)} satisfies T(v+k)=T(v)+kT(v+k)=T(v)+kT(v+k)=T(v)+k and is monotone.
  2. Theorem 2.1 (i), (iii) (p. 289), in the countable model: Jβ∗=TβJβ∗J^*_\beta=T_\beta J^*_\betaJβ∗​=Tβ​Jβ∗​ and a β\betaβ-discount optimal f∈ΠSDf\in\Pi_{SD}f∈ΠSD​ exists.
  3. Equation (5.6) (p. 301): (1−β)Jβ∗(0)+hβ(i)=min⁡a∈U(i){c(i,a)+β∑jP(j∣i,a)hβ(j)}(1-\beta)J^*_\beta(0)+h_\beta(i)=\min_{a\in U(i)}\{c(i,a)+\beta\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)h_\beta(j)\}(1−β)Jβ∗​(0)+hβ​(i)=mina∈U(i)​{c(i,a)+β∑j​P(j∣i,a)hβ​(j)}.
  4. Theorem 5.1 (p. 299): a solution of (5.1) with lim⁡t1tEiπh(Xt)=0\lim_t\frac1tE^\pi_ih(X_t)=0limt​t1​Eiπ​h(Xt​)=0 gives ρ=J(i,f)=J∗(i)\rho=J(i,f)=J^*(i)ρ=J(i,f)=J∗(i) for a minimizing selector fff; minimizing selectors are average optimal; conversely, an average optimal fff with an irreducible positive recurrent chain is a minimizing selector.
  5. Remark 5.1(a) (p. 300): a bounded solution of (5.1) satisfies the growth condition of Theorem 5.1.

Significance

Theorem 5.2 is the template of the vanishing discount method. Under its hypothesis the average cost problem has a bounded solution of the ACOE, so (through Theorem 5.1) the optimal average cost is a constant ρ\rhoρ independent of the initial state, it is attained by a stationary deterministic policy, and it is the Abelian limit of the scaled discounted values. Recurrence conditions on the controlled chain, such as uniformly bounded mean return times to a fixed state (Theorem 5.3 of the survey), are verified by checking the hypothesis of Theorem 5.2; the later results of §5 refine its conclusion under weaker hypotheses.

The theorem itself is classical. What this mission adds is a machine-checked statement and, eventually, proof, on a model with history-dependent randomized policies, compact action sets and unbounded costs, together with the supporting verification theorem (Theorem 5.1) and the discounted optimality equation. To our knowledge none of these results has been formalized in Lean; Mathlib has the Ionescu-Tulcea construction of the path measure but no controlled Markov processes.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fixes a sequence βn↑1\beta_n\uparrow1βn​↑1, extracts a pointwise convergent subsequence of the bounded functions hβnh_{\beta_n}hβn​​ and of the bounded numbers (1−βn)Jβn∗(0)(1-\beta_n)J^*_{\beta_n}(0)(1−βn​)Jβn​∗​(0), and passes to the limit in (5.6). Two steps resist this. First, the limit of a minimum over U(i)U(i)U(i) is not in general the minimum of the limits: the convergence of a↦∑jP(j∣i,a)hβn(j)a\mapsto\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)h_{\beta_n}(j)a↦∑j​P(j∣i,a)hβn​​(j) must be shown to be uniform on the compact set U(i)U(i)U(i), which requires more than pointwise continuity of each P(j∣i,⋅)P(j\mid i,\cdot)P(j∣i,⋅). Second, the subsequential limit ρ\rhoρ could depend on the subsequence, so part (iii), a limit along all β↑1\beta\uparrow1β↑1, needs an independent identification of ρ\rhoρ, here as the optimal average cost through Theorem 5.1, which in turn needs the comparison with arbitrary history-dependent policies. The discounted optimality equation behind (5.6) also has to be established for unbounded costs, where Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​ is not the unique fixed point of TβT_\betaTβ​.

Formalization scope

The state space is ℕ; state 0 is the reference state of hβh_\betahβ​. Policies are history-dependent randomized stochastic kernels with the admissibility constraint πt(U(xt)∣ht)=1\pi_t(U(x_t)\mid h_t)=1πt​(U(xt​)∣ht​)=1, and J∗J^*J∗, Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​ are infima over all of them. Costs are lower Lebesgue integrals with values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], built from Mathlib's Kernel.trajMeasure. The following choices make implicit hypotheses explicit:

  • Finiteness of Jβ∗J^*_\betaJβ∗​. The paper's bound ∣hβ∣≤K|h_\beta|\le K∣hβ​∣≤K presupposes finite values; the goal assumes Jβ∗(i)<∞J^*_\beta(i)<\inftyJβ∗​(i)<∞, and (5.6) assumes it for its β\betaβ.
  • Convergent series in the ACOE. A solution of (5.1) requires every series ∑jP(j∣i,a)h(j)\sum_jP(j\mid i,a)h(j)∑j​P(j∣i,a)h(j), a∈U(i)a\in U(i)a∈U(i), to converge, and the minimum to be attained.
  • (5.2) over all policies. The paper prints the growth condition of Theorem 5.1 for π∈ΠSD\pi\in\Pi_{SD}π∈ΠSD​, but its conclusion ρ=J∗(i)\rho=J^*(i)ρ=J∗(i) concerns all policies, and the proof uses the condition for arbitrary π\piπ. It is stated for every π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π, with integrability of h(Xt)h(X_t)h(Xt​) explicit.
  • Theorem 2.1 is cited without proof in the survey for Borel models; in the countable model its Assumptions 2.2–2.3 follow from the continuity assumptions of §5. Only parts (i) and (iii) are stated.
  • Lemma 2.1 is stated for functions bounded below (on discrete ℕ these are the lower semicontinuous functions bounded below), with convergent series.
  • Irreducible, positive recurrent (converse of Theorem 5.1): every state is reached with positive probability from every state, and every state has finite expected return time.

A formalization in which J∗J^*J∗ is an infimum over stationary policies only, in which the ACOE is an inequality or holds for one fixed action, or in which hβh_\betahβ​ is computed from +∞+\infty+∞ values through a junk conversion, would trivialize the goal; all three are excluded by the definitions above.

A complete development needs the Ionescu-Tulcea path measure for history-dependent policies, the discounted optimality equation for nonnegative unbounded costs, Scheffé-type uniform convergence on compact action sets, and the martingale identity behind Theorem 5.1. The model file is reusable by the other missions of this series and by any countable-state average cost result; proofs of the milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • A. Arapostathis, V. S. Borkar, E. Fernández-Gaucherand, M. K. Ghosh, S. I. Marcus, Discrete-time controlled Markov processes with average cost criterion: a survey, SIAM J. Control Optim. 31(2) (1993) 282–344. https://doi.org/10.1137/0331018
  • C. Derman, On sequential decisions and Markov chains, Management Sci. 9 (1962) 16–24 (reference [38] of the survey).
  • C. Derman, Denumerable state Markovian decision processes — average cost criterion, Ann. Math. Statist. 37 (1966) 1545–1553 (reference [39]).
  • H. M. Taylor, Markovian sequential replacement processes, Ann. Math. Statist. 36 (1965) 1677–1694 (reference [177]).
  • S. M. Ross, Non-discounted denumerable Markovian decision models, Ann. Math. Statist. 39 (1968) 412–423, and Arbitrary state Markovian decision processes, Ann. Math. Statist. 39 (1968) 2118–2122 (references [147], [148]).
  • S. M. Ross, Introduction to Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Academic Press, New York, 1983 (reference [150]).
  • L. I. Sennott, Average cost optimal stationary policies in infinite state Markov decision processes with unbounded costs, Oper. Res. 37 (1989) 626–633 (reference [156]).
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Assortment Optimization under Variants of the Nested Logit Model 2: With Dissimilarity Parameters at Most One and Fully-Captured Nests, a Nested-by-Revenue Assortment in Every Nest Is OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer choosing which products to display, or an airline choosing which fare classes to open, solves an assortment optimization problem: pick the set of offered products that maximizes expected revenue when customers choose among what is offered according to a discrete choice model. Under the multinomial logit model the answer has a simple form: an optimal assortment consists of the few highest-revenue products (Talluri and van Ryzin, 2004). The multinomial logit model, however, forces every pair of products to compete in the same way. The nested logit model relaxes this by grouping products into nests (brands, store sections, departure times) and letting a customer first choose a nest and then a product inside it.

Davis, Gallego and Topaloglu (Operations Research, 2014; DOI 10.1287/opre.2014.1256) study how much of the multinomial logit structure survives under the nested logit model. Their first answer is the theorem this mission targets: when the nest dissimilarity parameters are at most one and no customer who chose a nest leaves it without buying, offering the top products of each nest is still optimal. The other missions of this series treat the cases where this fails: dissimilarity parameters above one (the problem becomes NP-hard) and nests with their own no-purchase option.

Setting

There are mmm nests M={1,…,m}M = \{1, \dots, m\}M={1,…,m} and, in each nest, nnn products N={1,…,n}N = \{1, \dots, n\}N={1,…,n}. Product jjj of nest iii has a revenue rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0 and a preference weight vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0; products are ordered so that ri1≥ri2≥⋯≥rinr_{i1} \ge r_{i2} \ge \dots \ge r_{in}ri1​≥ri2​≥⋯≥rin​. Nest iii carries a dissimilarity parameter γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0 and a within-nest no-purchase weight vi0≥0v_{i0} \ge 0vi0​≥0, and v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0 is the weight of choosing no nest at all.

An assortment is a tuple (S1,…,Sm)(S_1, \dots, S_m)(S1​,…,Sm​) of subsets Si⊆NS_i \subseteq NSi​⊆N. Write

Vi(Si)=vi0+∑j∈Sivij,Ri(Si)=∑j∈SirijvijVi(Si),Ri(∅)=0.V_i(S_i) = v_{i0} + \sum_{j \in S_i} v_{ij}, \qquad R_i(S_i) = \frac{\sum_{j \in S_i} r_{ij} v_{ij}}{V_i(S_i)}, \quad R_i(\emptyset) = 0.Vi​(Si​)=vi0​+j∈Si​∑​vij​,Ri​(Si​)=Vi​(Si​)∑j∈Si​​rij​vij​​,Ri​(∅)=0.

A customer picks nest iii with probability Qi=Vi(Si)γi/(v0+∑l∈MVl(Sl)γl)Q_i = V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i} / (v_0 + \sum_{l \in M} V_l(S_l)^{\gamma_l})Qi​=Vi​(Si​)γi​/(v0​+∑l∈M​Vl​(Sl​)γl​) and then, inside the nest, product jjj with probability vij/Vi(Si)v_{ij}/V_i(S_i)vij​/Vi​(Si​). The expected revenue is

Π(S1,…,Sm)=∑i∈MQi Ri(Si)=∑i∈MVi(Si)γiRi(Si)v0+∑i∈MVi(Si)γi,\Pi(S_1, \dots, S_m) = \sum_{i \in M} Q_i\, R_i(S_i) = \frac{\sum_{i \in M} V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i} R_i(S_i)}{v_0 + \sum_{i \in M} V_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}},Π(S1​,…,Sm​)=i∈M∑​Qi​Ri​(Si​)=v0​+∑i∈M​Vi​(Si​)γi​∑i∈M​Vi​(Si​)γi​Ri​(Si​)​,

and problem (2) asks for Z∗=max⁡Π(S1,…,Sm)Z^* = \max \Pi(S_1, \dots, S_m)Z∗=maxΠ(S1​,…,Sm​) over all assortments. The nested-by-revenue assortment Nij={1,…,j}N_{ij} = \{1, \dots, j\}Nij​={1,…,j} collects the jjj highest-revenue products of nest iii, with Ni0=∅N_{i0} = \emptysetNi0​=∅ and N+={0,1,…,n}N_+ = \{0, 1, \dots, n\}N+​={0,1,…,n}.

This mission works under the standing assumptions of §3 of the paper: competitive products, γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1, and fully-captured nests, vi0=0v_{i0} = 0vi0​=0, for every nest iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (p. 15)

If γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 and vi0=0v_{i0} = 0vi0​=0 for all i∈Mi \in Mi∈M, there exists an optimal solution (S1∗,…,Sm∗)(S^*_1, \dots, S^*_m)(S1∗​,…,Sm∗​) of problem (2) such that

Si∗=Nij  for some j∈N+,for all i∈M.S^*_i = N_{ij} \ \text{ for some } j \in N_+, \qquad \text{for all } i \in M.Si∗​=Nij​  for some j∈N+​,for all i∈M.

Milestones

  1. The case v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0 (p. 14). Offering only the single product with the largest revenue max⁡iri1\max_{i} r_{i1}maxi​ri1​ is optimal.
  2. Proposition 2 (p. 14). If S∗S^*S∗ is optimal and Si∗≠∅S^*_i \ne \emptysetSi∗​=∅, then Ri(Si∗)≥Z∗R_i(S^*_i) \ge Z^*Ri​(Si∗​)≥Z∗.
  3. Lemma 3 (p. 14). If Z=Π(S)Z = \Pi(S)Z=Π(S), Ri(Si)≥ZR_i(S_i) \ge ZRi​(Si​)≥Z and some j∈Sij \in S_ij∈Si​ has rij<γiZ+(1−γi)Ri(Si)r_{ij} < \gamma_i Z + (1-\gamma_i) R_i(S_i)rij​<γi​Z+(1−γi​)Ri​(Si​), removing jjj strictly increases the expected revenue.
  4. g(α)≤γg(\alpha) \le \gammag(α)≤γ (p. 15). For 0<γ≤10 < \gamma \le 10<γ≤1 and 0<α<10 < \alpha < 10<α<1: (1−αγ)/(αγ−1−αγ)≤γ(1 - \alpha^{\gamma})/(\alpha^{\gamma-1} - \alpha^{\gamma}) \le \gamma(1−αγ)/(αγ−1−αγ)≤γ.
  5. Revenue threshold (p. 15). Every j∈Si∗j \in S^*_ij∈Si∗​ of an optimal S∗S^*S∗ has rij≥γiZ∗+(1−γi)Ri(Si∗)r_{ij} \ge \gamma_i Z^* + (1-\gamma_i) R_i(S^*_i)rij​≥γi​Z∗+(1−γi​)Ri​(Si∗​).
  6. h(α)≥γh(\alpha) \ge \gammah(α)≥γ (p. 16). For 0<γ≤10 < \gamma \le 10<γ≤1 and 0<α<10 < \alpha < 10<α<1: (1−αγ)/(1−α)≥γ(1 - \alpha^{\gamma})/(1 - \alpha) \ge \gamma(1−αγ)/(1−α)≥γ.
  7. Exchange step (p. 15). If S∗S^*S∗ is optimal, j∈Si∗j \in S^*_ij∈Si∗​, k∉Si∗k \notin S^*_ik∈/Si∗​ and k<jk < jk<j, then adding kkk to Si∗S^*_iSi∗​ keeps the assortment optimal.

A companion item (not a milestone) states the algorithmic consequence at the end of §3: solving the linear program (4) over the candidates {Nij:j∈N+}\{N_{ij} : j \in N_+\}{Nij​:j∈N+​} and choosing in each nest a maximizer of problem (5) gives an optimal solution of (2).

Significance

Theorem 4 reduces problem (2), a search over 2mn2^{mn}2mn assortments, to (n+1)m(n+1)^m(n+1)m nested-by-revenue combinations, and the paper then finds the best one with a linear program with 1+m1 + m1+m variables and 1+m(1+n)1 + m(1+n)1+m(1+n) constraints. It marks the exact boundary of the classical multinomial logit structure inside the nested logit model: the paper's §4 shows that a single nest with γi>1\gamma_i > 1γi​>1 already breaks it, and that the general problem is NP-hard. The structural statement is also the base case for the approximation guarantees of §§5–6, which compare against nested-by-revenue assortments.

The theorem is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. A formal proof would supply a verified reduction from a combinatorial revenue maximization over the nested logit model to a polynomial-size search, with every boundary case (empty nests, v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0, ties in revenues) handled explicitly.

Difficulty

The obvious argument copies the multinomial logit proof: take an optimal assortment and swap a low-revenue product for a missing higher-revenue one. Under the nested logit model this exchange changes the nest's attraction Vi(Si)γiV_i(S_i)^{\gamma_i}Vi​(Si​)γi​ non-linearly, so the revenue of the modified assortment is not an affine function of the change, and a simple swap can lower the expected revenue. The argument must instead control how adding or removing one product moves the nest weight relative to the nest revenue, and this is exactly where γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 enters, through two scalar inequalities in the ratio α\alphaα of nest weights. With γi>1\gamma_i > 1γi​>1 these inequalities fail and so does the theorem.

A second subtlety is ties: several optimal assortments may exist, and only some of them are nested by revenue. The statement asserts existence, not that every optimum has this form.

Formalization scope

All statements live in the namespace NestedLogitVariants.Competitive and share one definition file. Nests form a finite type ι with decidable equality; products are Fin n, indexed 0,…,n−10, \dots, n-10,…,n−1, so NijN_{ij}Nij​ is nbr n j ={k:k<j}= \{k : k < j\}={k:k<j} with j≤nj \le nj≤n, and j=0j = 0j=0 gives ∅\emptyset∅. Powers are Real.rpow, and x/0=0x / 0 = 0x/0=0, which gives Ri(∅)=0R_i(\emptyset) = 0Ri​(∅)=0. Optimality of an assortment means its revenue is at least that of every assortment.

Standing assumptions carried as hypotheses: v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0, vi0≥0v_{i0} \ge 0vi0​≥0, revenues ordered within each nest, and §3's γi≤1\gamma_i \le 1γi​≤1 and vi0=0v_{i0} = 0vi0​=0. Three pins are disclosed: vij>0v_{ij} > 0vij​>0 (the paper allows zero-weight padding products, under which Proposition 2 fails), rij≥0r_{ij} \ge 0rij​≥0, and γi>0\gamma_i > 0γi​>0 (the paper's γi≥0\gamma_i \ge 0γi​≥0; its convention Vi(∅)γi=0V_i(\emptyset)^{\gamma_i} = 0Vi​(∅)γi​=0 fails at γi=0\gamma_i = 0γi​=0). The section's "without loss of generality v0>0v_0 > 0v0​>0" is a hypothesis of Proposition 2, Lemma 3, the threshold, the exchange step and the LP item; the goal itself only assumes v0≥0v_0 \ge 0v0​≥0, and the case v0=0v_0 = 0v0​=0 is milestone 1. The two scalar inequalities are stated as inequalities, not as monotonicity claims.

The goal is not trivialized by any hypothesis: it assumes none of the milestones, and stating "some nested-by-revenue assortment exists" (always true) or "every optimal assortment is nested by revenue" (false under ties) would be a different theorem.

Needed infrastructure is light: finite sums, real powers, and concavity of x↦xγx \mapsto x^{\gamma}x↦xγ for γ≤1\gamma \le 1γ≤1. The scalar lemmas are reusable for other nested logit results. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • J. M. Davis, G. Gallego, H. Topaloglu, Assortment optimization under variants of the nested logit model, Operations Research 62(2), 250–273, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1256 (cited from the authors' revised manuscript of June 18, 2013)
  • K. Talluri, G. van Ryzin, Revenue management under a general discrete choice model of consumer behavior, Management Science 50(1), 15–33, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • D. McFadden, Modelling the choice of residential location, in A. Karlqvist et al. (eds.), Spatial Interaction Theory and Planning Models, North-Holland, 75–96, 1978.
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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Kullback–Leibler Upper Confidence Bounds for Optimal Sequential Allocation I: kl-UCB Draws a Suboptimal Arm log(T)/d(μ_a, μ*) + O(√log T) Times in One-Parameter Exponential FamiliesResearch Paper

Motivation

In a stochastic multi-armed bandit a player repeatedly chooses one of KKK distributions ("arms") and observes a reward drawn from it; the goal is to collect as much reward as possible, which amounts to pulling suboptimal arms as rarely as possible. Lai and Robbins (1985) showed that any reasonable strategy must pull a suboptimal arm aaa at least log⁡T/KL\log T / \mathrm{KL}logT/KL times up to horizon TTT, where KL\mathrm{KL}KL is a Kullback–Leibler divergence between arm aaa and the best arm, and Burnetas and Katehakis (1996) extended the bound to general models. Strategies matching this rate are called asymptotically optimal.

The popular UCB algorithms of Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer (2002) use Hoeffding-type confidence bounds and are not asymptotically optimal outside special cases. Cappé, Garivier, Maillard, Munos and Stoltz (Ann. Statist. 41(3), 2013; arXiv:1210.1136) analyse kl-UCB, which replaces the Hoeffding radius by a Kullback–Leibler confidence region, and prove a finite-horizon bound whose leading term is exactly the Lai–Robbins constant. This mission formalizes that result for one-parameter exponential families (Theorem 1), the main-text steps of its proof skeleton, and its two corollaries for bounded rewards.

Timeline: Lai and Robbins (1985) lower bound and asymptotically optimal index policies; Agrawal (1995) sample-mean based index policies; Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer (2002) finite-time analysis of UCB1; Garivier and Cappé (2011) kl-UCB for bounded rewards; Cappé et al. (2013) the unified analysis formalized here.

Setting

A canonical exponential family D={νθ:θ∈Θ}\mathcal D = \{\nu_\theta : \theta\in\Theta\}D={νθ​:θ∈Θ} is given by a dominating measure ρ\rhoρ on R\mathbb RR and a function bbb, with densities dνθdρ(x)=exp⁡(xθ−b(θ))\frac{d\nu_\theta}{d\rho}(x) = \exp(x\theta - b(\theta))dρdνθ​​(x)=exp(xθ−b(θ)). The parameter set Θ\ThetaΘ is the natural parameter space {θ:∫exθ dρ(x)<∞}\{\theta : \int e^{x\theta}\,d\rho(x) < \infty\}{θ:∫exθdρ(x)<∞}, assumed to be an open interval (the family is regular), and bbb is twice differentiable. The mean of νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ is b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ), an increasing function, so νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ is determined by its mean μ\muμ in the open interval I=b˙(Θ)=(μ−,μ+)I = \dot b(\Theta) = (\mu_-,\mu_+)I=b˙(Θ)=(μ−​,μ+​). The divergence (11) is

d(μ,μ′)=KL(νb˙−1(μ),νb˙−1(μ′))=(b˙−1(μ)−b˙−1(μ′))μ−b(b˙−1(μ))+b(b˙−1(μ′)),d(\mu,\mu') = \mathrm{KL}(\nu_{\dot b^{-1}(\mu)},\nu_{\dot b^{-1}(\mu')}) = (\dot b^{-1}(\mu)-\dot b^{-1}(\mu'))\mu - b(\dot b^{-1}(\mu)) + b(\dot b^{-1}(\mu')),d(μ,μ′)=KL(νb˙−1(μ)​,νb˙−1(μ′)​)=(b˙−1(μ)−b˙−1(μ′))μ−b(b˙−1(μ))+b(b˙−1(μ′)),

extended by continuity to the closure Iˉ=[μ−,μ+]\bar I = [\mu_-,\mu_+]Iˉ=[μ−​,μ+​], possibly with the value +∞+\infty+∞.

There are K≥2K\ge2K≥2 arms with laws νθ1,…,νθK∈D\nu_{\theta_1},\dots,\nu_{\theta_K}\in\mathcal Dνθ1​​,…,νθK​​∈D and means μ1,…,μK\mu_1,\dots,\mu_Kμ1​,…,μK​; μ⋆=max⁡aμa\mu^\star = \max_a \mu_aμ⋆=maxa​μa​. At each round t≥1t\ge1t≥1 the player picks an arm AtA_tAt​ based on the past and receives a reward drawn from νAt\nu_{A_t}νAt​​. Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is the number of pulls of arm aaa in rounds 1,…,t1,\dots,t1,…,t, and μ^a(t)\hat\mu_a(t)μ^​a​(t) the mean of the rewards obtained from arm aaa so far.

kl-UCB (Algorithm 2) with a nondecreasing exploration function fff pulls each arm once and then, for t≥Kt\ge Kt≥K, pulls an arm maximizing the index

Ua(t)=sup⁡{μ∈Iˉ:d(μ^a(t),μ)≤f(t)Na(t)}.(12)U_a(t) = \sup\Bigl\{\mu\in\bar I : d(\hat\mu_a(t),\mu) \le \frac{f(t)}{N_a(t)}\Bigr\}. \tag{12}Ua​(t)=sup{μ∈Iˉ:d(μ^​a​(t),μ)≤Na​(t)f(t)​}.(12)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 14)

With f(t)=log⁡t+3log⁡log⁡tf(t) = \log t + 3\log\log tf(t)=logt+3loglogt for t≥3t\ge3t≥3 and f(1)=f(2)=f(3)f(1)=f(2)=f(3)f(1)=f(2)=f(3), for every suboptimal arm aaa and every horizon T≥3T\ge3T≥3,

E[Na(T)]≤log⁡Td(μa,μ⋆)+22πσa,⋆2(d′(μa,μ⋆))2(d(μa,μ⋆))3log⁡T+3log⁡log⁡T+(4e+3d(μa,μ⋆))log⁡log⁡T+8σa,⋆2(d′(μa,μ⋆)d(μa,μ⋆))2+6,\mathbb E[N_a(T)] \le \frac{\log T}{d(\mu_a,\mu^\star)} + 2\sqrt{\frac{2\pi\sigma^2_{a,\star}(d'(\mu_a,\mu^\star))^2}{(d(\mu_a,\mu^\star))^3}}\sqrt{\log T+3\log\log T} + \Bigl(4e+\frac{3}{d(\mu_a,\mu^\star)}\Bigr)\log\log T + 8\sigma^2_{a,\star}\Bigl(\frac{d'(\mu_a,\mu^\star)}{d(\mu_a,\mu^\star)}\Bigr)^2 + 6,E[Na​(T)]≤d(μa​,μ⋆)logT​+2(d(μa​,μ⋆))32πσa,⋆2​(d′(μa​,μ⋆))2​​logT+3loglogT​+(4e+d(μa​,μ⋆)3​)loglogT+8σa,⋆2​(d(μa​,μ⋆)d′(μa​,μ⋆)​)2+6,

where σa,⋆2=max⁡{Var(νθ):μa≤E(νθ)≤μ⋆}\sigma^2_{a,\star} = \max\{\mathrm{Var}(\nu_\theta) : \mu_a\le \mathrm E(\nu_\theta)\le\mu^\star\}σa,⋆2​=max{Var(νθ​):μa​≤E(νθ​)≤μ⋆} and d′d'd′ is the derivative in the first argument.

Milestones

  1. The decomposition (5) of the event {At+1=a}\{A_{t+1}=a\}{At+1​=a} (p. 9).
  2. The split of E[Na(T)]\mathbb E[N_a(T)]E[Na​(T)] after (7) (p. 9).
  3. The passage to local times (8) (pp. 9–10): the overestimation term is bounded by ∑n=1T−KP{ν^a,n∈Cμ†,f(T)/n}\sum_{n=1}^{T-K}\mathbb P\{\hat\nu_{a,n}\in\mathcal C_{\mu^\dagger,f(T)/n}\}∑n=1T−K​P{ν^a,n​∈Cμ†,f(T)/n​}, a sum over fixed sample sizes.
  4. The general bound (10) with n0n_0n0​ of (9) (p. 10).
  5. The deviation bound (13) for an empirical mean with a random number of summands (p. 14).
  6. Lemma 1 (p. 17): the moment-generating function of a distribution on [0,1][0,1][0,1] is dominated by Bernoulli and Gaussian ones.

Companions

Corollary 1 (p. 17, kl-UCB with the Bernoulli divergence for arbitrary rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1]) and Corollary 2 (p. 18, UCB with radius f(t)/(2Na(t))\sqrt{f(t)/(2N_a(t))}f(t)/(2Na​(t))​), stated as separate theorems.

Significance

Theorem 1 shows that kl-UCB is asymptotically optimal in every regular one-parameter exponential family (Bernoulli, Poisson, Gaussian with known variance, exponential, Gamma with known shape), and it does so with an explicit bound valid at every horizon, not only in the limit. Corollary 2 improves the constants of the classical UCB1 analysis, and Corollary 1 shows that the Bernoulli kl-UCB index is uniformly better than UCB for all bounded rewards.

The result is proved in the paper; its proofs are in the supplemental article (DOI 10.1214/13-AOS1119SUPP, Appendix A), not in the main text. No machine-checked version exists. The platform has a formal analysis of a Bernoulli KL-UCB variant with another exploration function (Lattimore–Szepesvári's Theorem 10.6), which is a different statement. The formalization adds the general exponential-family index, the random-sample-size deviation bound (13) and the full finite-time constant.

Difficulty

The obvious argument bounds P{μ⋆≥Ua⋆(t)}\mathbb P\{\mu^\star \ge U_{a^\star}(t)\}P{μ⋆≥Ua⋆​(t)} by a union bound over the possible values of Na⋆(t)N_{a^\star}(t)Na⋆​(t), which costs a factor ttt and destroys the logarithmic rate. The deviation bound (13) has to control an empirical mean whose number of summands is chosen by the algorithm itself, losing only a factor e⌈εlog⁡t⌉e\lceil\varepsilon\log t\rceile⌈εlogt⌉ over the fixed-sample Chernoff bound; this is the step that needs the strategy to be non-anticipating. The second-order terms depend on the curvature of ddd between μa\mu_aμa​ and μ⋆\mu^\starμ⋆, measured by σa,⋆2\sigma^2_{a,\star}σa,⋆2​ and d′d'd′, and the explicit constants must be tracked through every step. The empirical mean can be an endpoint of Iˉ\bar IIˉ (Bernoulli rewards at small sample sizes), where ddd is only defined as a limit.

Formalization scope

The rewards are a stack Xa,kX_{a,k}Xa,k​ (the (k+1)(k+1)(k+1)-st reward of arm aaa), mutually independent and i.i.d. per arm, the representation of §2.2; this is the platform's RegretBandits.Stochastic.IsStochasticBandit, and the law of Xa,0X_{a,0}Xa,0​ is pinned to νθa\nu_{\theta_a}νθa​​. Arms are Fin K. The exponential family is the platform's OptimalBAI.OptProportions.ExpFamily (with b¨>0\ddot b>0b¨>0, i.e. strict convexity, which the page derives); the natural-parameter-space condition is a separate hypothesis. A run of kl-UCB is a pathwise predicate: rounds 1,…,K1,\dots,K1,…,K pull every arm once and later rounds pull an argmax of the index, ties broken by any rule. The arm choices are measurable and non-anticipating (a measurable function of the arms and rewards already observed). The index (12) is a real supremum over a set containing the empirical mean, so it is never a junk value, and the divergence at an empirical mean on the boundary of Iˉ\bar IIˉ is computed in [0,+∞][0,+\infty][0,+∞]. Statement (13) is made for t≥2t\ge2t≥2: at t=1t=1t=1 its printed right-hand side is 000.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the run predicate forces both initialization and argmax, the index sets are nonempty and bounded, the reward stack is independent under the probability measure, and the Bernoulli divergence is never evaluated at 000 or 111.

A complete development needs exponential-family calculus (convex conjugate of bbb, continuity of ddd up to the boundary), Chernoff bounds for exponential families, a peeling/maximal inequality for random sample sizes, and the counting arguments of §3.1. The deviation bound and the counting arguments are reusable for every index policy on the platform.

Selected references

  • O. Cappé, A. Garivier, O.-A. Maillard, R. Munos, G. Stoltz, Kullback–Leibler upper confidence bounds for optimal sequential allocation, Ann. Statist. 41(3):1516–1541, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1214/13-AOS1119 ; arXiv:1210.1136v4, https://arxiv.org/abs/1210.1136
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Asymptotically efficient adaptive allocation rules, Adv. Appl. Math. 6:4–22, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, P. Fischer, Finite-time analysis of the multiarmed bandit problem, Mach. Learn. 47:235–256, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013689704352
  • A. Garivier, O. Cappé, The KL-UCB algorithm for bounded stochastic bandits and beyond, COLT 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/1102.2490
  • R. Agrawal, Sample mean based index policies with O(log n) regret for the multi-armed bandit problem, Adv. Appl. Probab. 27:1054–1078, 1995. https://doi.org/10.2307/1427934
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear algebra+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Explicit Expanders of Every Degree and Size 3: Deleting Far-Apart Tree-Like Vertices of a Near-Ramanujan Graph and Matching Their Neighbours Keeps λ ≤ 2√(d−1) + εResearch Paper

Motivation

Sparse graphs with small nontrivial eigenvalues, expanders, are basic objects in combinatorics and theoretical computer science. They are used in error-correcting codes, derandomization, sorting networks, and the analysis of random walks. The Alon–Boppana bound says that a ddd-regular graph on nnn vertices has a nontrivial eigenvalue of absolute value at least 2d−1−o(1)2\sqrt{d-1}-o(1)2d−1​−o(1) (Alon 1986; Nilli 1991). Graphs that reach 2d−12\sqrt{d-1}2d−1​ are Ramanujan graphs.

The classical explicit Ramanujan graphs of Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak (1988) and Margulis exist only for degrees d=p+1d = p+1d=p+1 with ppp prime, and only for very sparse sequences of vertex counts. Constructions with λ≤2d−1+ε\lambda\le 2\sqrt{d-1}+\varepsilonλ≤2d−1​+ε for every degree came from Mohanty, O'Donnell and Paredes (STOC 2020, arXiv:1909.06988), but their graphs also do not have every number of vertices. Alon (arXiv:2003.11673, Combinatorica 41, 2021) asked for near-Ramanujan graphs of every degree and every large size. Theorem 1.3 of that paper answers this up to ε\varepsilonε: for every ddd, every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and every large nnn with ndndnd even there is an explicit (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph with λ≤2d−1+ε\lambda\le 2\sqrt{d-1}+\varepsilonλ≤2d−1​+ε.

Setting

A (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph is a ddd-regular simple graph on nnn vertices in which every nontrivial eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix AAA has absolute value at most λ\lambdaλ. The trivial eigenvalue is ddd, with the constant eigenvector 1\mathbf 11. Equivalently, every eigenvalue μ\muμ of AAA with an eigenvector f≠0f\ne0f=0, ∑vf(v)=0\sum_v f(v)=0∑v​f(v)=0, satisfies ∣μ∣≤λ|\mu|\le\lambda∣μ∣≤λ.

Distances dist⁡(v,w)\operatorname{dist}(v,w)dist(v,w) are graph distances, and they are ∞\infty∞ between components. The kkk-neighbourhood of a vertex vvv is B(v,k)={w:dist⁡(v,w)≤k}B(v,k)=\{w:\operatorname{dist}(v,w)\le k\}B(v,k)={w:dist(v,w)≤k}. The kkk-neighbourhood of an edge uvuvuv is B(u,k)∪B(v,k)B(u,k)\cup B(v,k)B(u,k)∪B(v,k), and NiN_iNi​ is the set of vertices at distance exactly iii from {u,v}\{u,v\}{u,v}. A set contains no cycle if the subgraph induced on it is a forest. A ball contains at most one cycle if its induced subgraph has at most as many edges as vertices.

The construction starts from a ddd-regular graph HHH on a vertex set VVV and a set U⊆VU\subseteq VU⊆V. Write N(U)N(U)N(U) for the set of neighbours of UUU, and let mmm be a perfect matching on N(U)N(U)N(U). Then H′H'H′ is the subgraph induced on V∖UV\setminus UV∖U, MMM is the graph of matching edges {x,m(x)}\{x,m(x)\}{x,m(x)}, and G=H′∪MG=H'\cup MG=H′∪M.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.3, relative to the input graph

Let d≥3d\ge3d≥3, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, r=⌈2/ε⌉r=\lceil 2/\varepsilon\rceilr=⌈2/ε⌉. Suppose HHH is an (N,d,2d−1+ε/2)(N,d,2\sqrt{d-1}+\varepsilon/2)(N,d,2d−1​+ε/2)-graph in which the (2r+4)(2r+4)(2r+4)-neighbourhood of every vertex contains at most one cycle, and r≤log⁡d−1Nr\le\log_{d-1}Nr≤logd−1​N. Then for every uuu with ududud even and u≤N/(2d2r+3)u\le N/(2d^{2r+3})u≤N/(2d2r+3),

∃ G on N−u vertices:G is an (N−u, d, 2d−1+ε)-graph.\exists\, G \text{ on } N-u \text{ vertices}:\quad G \text{ is an } \bigl(N-u,\ d,\ 2\sqrt{d-1}+\varepsilon\bigr)\text{-graph}.∃G on N−u vertices:G is an (N−u, d, 2d−1​+ε)-graph.

The hypotheses on HHH are what Theorem 3.3 (Mohanty–O'Donnell–Paredes) supplies, and that theorem is not formalized.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.1 (p. 10). A ddd-regular graph whose (2r+4)(2r+4)(2r+4)-balls contain at most one cycle has a set UUU with ∣U∣≥n/(2d2r+3)|U|\ge n/(2d^{2r+3})∣U∣≥n/(2d2r+3), cycle-free (r+1)(r+1)(r+1)-balls, and pairwise distances ≥2r+3\ge 2r+3≥2r+3.
  • Lemma 3.2 (p. 11). If the rrr-neighbourhood of an edge uvuvuv contains no cycle and Af=μfA f=\mu fAf=μf with μ≥2d−1\mu\ge2\sqrt{d-1}μ≥2d−1​, then
∑w∈Nif2(w) ≥ ∑w∈Ni−1f2(w),1≤i≤r.\sum_{w\in N_i}f^2(w)\ \ge\ \sum_{w\in N_{i-1}}f^2(w),\qquad 1\le i\le r .w∈Ni​∑​f2(w) ≥ w∈Ni−1​∑​f2(w),1≤i≤r.
  • The variational characterization of nontrivial eigenvalues (§2.4, p. 8).
  • In G=H′∪MG=H'\cup MG=H′∪M: GGG is ddd-regular on ∣V∣−∣U∣|V|-|U|∣V∣−∣U∣ vertices and AG=AH′+AMA_G=A_{H'}+A_MAG​=AH′​+AM​. Matching edges have cycle-free (r−1)(r-1)(r−1)-neighbourhoods and pairwise disjoint rrr-neighbourhoods.
  • Inequalities (9), (10), (11) (p. 13), and the spectral step: for every admissible UUU and mmm, GGG is an (N−∣U∣,d,2d−1+ε)(N-|U|,d,2\sqrt{d-1}+\varepsilon)(N−∣U∣,d,2d−1​+ε)-graph.

Significance

Theorem 1.3 shows that the size restrictions of algebraic Ramanujan constructions cost nothing spectrally: up to an arbitrarily small ε\varepsilonε, the Alon–Boppana bound is attained by explicit graphs on every admissible vertex count. The deletion method is local. It turns any near-Ramanujan graph whose short cycles are sparse into graphs of all nearby sizes, so it applies to future constructions as well. Lemma 3.2 is a self-contained delocalization statement in the tradition of Kahale 1995: eigenvectors of eigenvalues at least 2d−12\sqrt{d-1}2d−1​ in absolute value cannot concentrate near tree-like edges.

The result is proved on paper. To our knowledge none of it is formalized; Mathlib has adjacency matrices, extended graph distance and acyclicity, but no theory of expanders. A complete development would give machine-checked versions of a delocalization lemma, of the greedy selection of far-apart vertices away from short cycles, and of the variational eigenvalue bound for induced subgraphs. It would also check two points the paper passes over. The proof of Theorem 1.3 treats only positive eigenvalues λ≥2d−1\lambda\ge2\sqrt{d-1}λ≥2d−1​. And its claim that the rrr-neighbourhood of a matching edge is cycle-free fails when two deleted vertices are at distance exactly 2r+32r+32r+3. This mission states the corrected forms (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The spectral bound for GGG does not follow from interlacing alone. Deleting vertices is harmless, since by (9) the quadratic form of H′H'H′ is controlled by HHH. But the added matching contributes up to ∑x∈N(U)f(x)2\sum_{x\in N(U)}f(x)^2∑x∈N(U)​f(x)2 to ftAGff^tA_GfftAG​f, which can be as large as ∥f∥2\|f\|^2∥f∥2 for an eigenvector concentrated on N(U)N(U)N(U). The obvious estimate therefore gives only λ≤2d−1+1+ε/2\lambda\le 2\sqrt{d-1}+1+\varepsilon/2λ≤2d−1​+1+ε/2. Closing the gap requires showing that an eigenvector of a large eigenvalue spreads its mass over the rrr layers around each matching edge (Lemma 3.2). That in turn needs those neighbourhoods to be trees in GGG and pairwise disjoint, which is where Lemma 3.1's choice of UUU is used. The combinatorial part, tracking distances and cycles in GGG when GGG mixes edges of HHH with matching edges, is the main formalization burden.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Vertex sets are finite types. Graphs are Mathlib SimpleGraphs with real adjacency matrices adjMatrix ℝ. The (n, d, λ) predicate requires IsRegularOfDegree d, symmetry, row sums ddd, and ∣μ∣≤λ|\mu|\le\lambda∣μ∣≤λ for every eigenpair (μ,f)(\mu,f)(μ,f) with f≠0f\ne0f=0, ∑f=0\sum f=0∑f=0. Distances use the extended SimpleGraph.edist, never dist (which is 000 across components). Cycle conditions are on induced subgraphs, and "at most one cycle" on a ball is ∣E∣≤∣V∣|E|\le|V|∣E∣≤∣V∣. Deleted vertices are a Finset U; the new graph lives on the subtype {v // v ∉ U}. The matching is a fixed-point-free involution of N(U)N(U)N(U).
  • Explicit quantities replacing the paper's asymptotics. The paper writes "sufficiently large nnn" and u=o(n)u=o(n)u=o(n). The goal instead takes any u≤N/(2d2r+3)u\le N/(2d^{2r+3})u≤N/(2d2r+3) (the size Lemma 3.1 guarantees) with ududud even, plus Lemma 3.1's side condition r≤log⁡d−1Nr\le\log_{d-1}Nr≤logd−1​N. The equality r=⌈2/ε⌉r=\lceil2/\varepsilon\rceilr=⌈2/ε⌉ is used as ⌈2/ε⌉+∈N\lceil2/\varepsilon\rceil_+\in\mathbb N⌈2/ε⌉+​∈N. The paper's "every degree ddd" becomes d≥3d\ge3d≥3, the range of its proof.
  • Corrections. (11) and Lemma 3.2's companion are stated for ∣μ∣≥2d−1|\mu|\ge2\sqrt{d-1}∣μ∣≥2d−1​, both signs. The matching-edge note is stated for the (r−1)(r-1)(r−1)-neighbourhood, which still yields the factor 1/r1/r1/r in (11). Lemma 3.2 itself is stated as printed.
  • Out of scope. Theorem 3.3 ([18]) is a cited input: its graph is the hypothesis HHH. All claims of explicitness and polynomial running time are out of scope, as is §4's remark on applying the method to LPS graphs directly.
  • No trivialization. The input hypotheses are exactly Theorem 3.3's conclusions plus Lemma 3.1's side condition, and they are met by high-girth Ramanujan graphs. No hypothesis mentions the spectrum or Rayleigh quotients of the constructed graph, and the goal's graph must be ddd-regular on exactly N−uN-uN−u vertices.
  • Reusable infrastructure. Welcome contributions include the variational characterization for symmetric matrices with constant row sums, a forest edge-count lemma for balls, BFS-layer structure of cycle-free balls in regular graphs, and the edge-disjoint decomposition AG=AH′+AMA_{G}=A_{H'}+A_MAG​=AH′​+AM​. Each is useful beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, Explicit expanders of every degree and size, arXiv:2003.11673v1, 2020; Combinatorica 41 (2021). https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.11673
  • S. Mohanty, R. O'Donnell, P. Paredes, Explicit near-Ramanujan graphs of every degree, STOC 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.06988
  • A. Lubotzky, R. Phillips, P. Sarnak, Ramanujan graphs, Combinatorica 8 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02126799
  • N. Alon, Eigenvalues and expanders, Combinatorica 6 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579166
  • A. Nilli, On the second eigenvalue of a graph, Discrete Mathematics 91 (1991). https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(91)90112-F
  • N. Kahale, Eigenvalues and expansion of regular graphs, J. ACM 42 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1145/210118.210136
13 thms2 active usersReviewed
Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Katyusha: The First Direct Acceleration of Stochastic Gradient Methods 2: Without Strong Convexity, Katyusha^ns Reaches Error O((F(x₀)−F(x*))/S² + L‖x₀−x*‖²/(mS²))Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems in machine learning and statistics are regularized empirical risk minimization: minimize an average f(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x)f(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x)f(x)=n1​∑i=1n​fi​(x) of nnn loss terms, one per data point, plus a regularizer ψ(x)\psi(x)ψ(x) such as λ∥x∥1\lambda\|x\|_1λ∥x∥1​. When nnn is large, a full gradient ∇f\nabla f∇f costs nnn component gradients, so stochastic gradient methods that touch one fif_ifi​ per step are preferred. Variance-reduced methods (SVRG, SAGA) correct the stochastic gradient with a periodically recomputed full gradient and reach the rates of full-gradient descent at the cost of stochastic steps; accelerated full-gradient methods (Nesterov) improve the rate from O(1/T)O(1/T)O(1/T) to O(1/T2)O(1/T^2)O(1/T2) on convex problems.

Combining the two directly was open until Allen-Zhu's Katyusha (arXiv:1603.05953, STOC 2017, JMLR 2018). Before it, accelerated stochastic rates were obtained either for special structure (accelerated coordinate and dual methods, which need strong convexity or dual access) or through reductions such as Catalyst and APPA, which wrap a non-accelerated method in an outer proximal-point loop and lose logarithmic factors. Katyusha adds a third momentum term, the Katyusha momentum, that pulls each iterate back to the snapshot point, and obtains the accelerated rate directly. This mission concerns the paper's second main result: the variant Katyushans^{\mathrm{ns}}ns (Algorithm 2) for objectives that are convex but not strongly convex.

Setting

Problem (1.1) of the paper is

min⁡x∈RdF(x)=f(x)+ψ(x)=1n∑i=1nfi(x)+ψ(x),\min_{x\in\mathbb R^d} F(x)=f(x)+\psi(x)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n f_i(x)+\psi(x),x∈Rdmin​F(x)=f(x)+ψ(x)=n1​i=1∑n​fi​(x)+ψ(x),

where n≥1n\ge1n≥1, each component fi:Rd→Rf_i:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rfi​:Rd→R is convex and LLL-smooth, ∥∇fi(x)−∇fi(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥\|\nabla f_i(x)-\nabla f_i(y)\|\le L\|x-y\|∥∇fi​(x)−∇fi​(y)∥≤L∥x−y∥, and the regularizer ψ\psiψ is convex. A point x∗x^*x∗ minimizes FFF.

Katyushans(x0,S,L)^{\mathrm{ns}}(x_0,S,L)ns(x0​,S,L) runs SSS epochs of mmm iterations each (the paper takes m=2nm=2nm=2n). It keeps three sequences yky_kyk​, zkz_kzk​ and a snapshot x~s\widetilde x^sxs, all starting at x0x_0x0​, and fixes τ2=12\tau_2=\frac12τ2​=21​. Epoch sss uses the weight τ1,s=2s+4\tau_{1,s}=\frac{2}{s+4}τ1,s​=s+42​ and the step αs=13τ1,sL\alpha_s=\frac{1}{3\tau_{1,s}L}αs​=3τ1,s​L1​, computes ∇f(x~s)\nabla f(\widetilde x^s)∇f(xs) once, and performs, for k=sm,…,sm+m−1k=sm,\dots,sm+m-1k=sm,…,sm+m−1:

  1. the coupling xk+1=τ1,szk+τ2x~s+(1−τ1,s−τ2)ykx_{k+1}=\tau_{1,s}z_k+\tau_2\widetilde x^s+(1-\tau_{1,s}-\tau_2)y_kxk+1​=τ1,s​zk​+τ2​xs+(1−τ1,s​−τ2​)yk​;
  2. the SVRG estimator ∇~k+1=∇f(x~s)+∇fi(xk+1)−∇fi(x~s)\widetilde\nabla_{k+1}=\nabla f(\widetilde x^s)+\nabla f_i(x_{k+1})-\nabla f_i(\widetilde x^s)∇k+1​=∇f(xs)+∇fi​(xk+1​)−∇fi​(xs), with iii uniform in {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, independent across iterations;
  3. the mirror step zk+1=arg⁡min⁡z{12αs∥z−zk∥2+⟨∇~k+1,z⟩+ψ(z)}z_{k+1}=\arg\min_z\{\frac1{2\alpha_s}\|z-z_k\|^2+\langle\widetilde\nabla_{k+1},z\rangle+\psi(z)\}zk+1​=argminz​{2αs​1​∥z−zk​∥2+⟨∇k+1​,z⟩+ψ(z)};
  4. the gradient step (Option I) yk+1=arg⁡min⁡y{3L2∥y−xk+1∥2+⟨∇~k+1,y⟩+ψ(y)}y_{k+1}=\arg\min_y\{\frac{3L}2\|y-x_{k+1}\|^2+\langle\widetilde\nabla_{k+1},y\rangle+\psi(y)\}yk+1​=argminy​{23L​∥y−xk+1​∥2+⟨∇k+1​,y⟩+ψ(y)}.

At the end of the epoch the new snapshot is the average x~s+1=1m∑j=1mysm+j\widetilde x^{s+1}=\frac1m\sum_{j=1}^m y_{sm+j}xs+1=m1​∑j=1m​ysm+j​. The output is x~S\widetilde x^SxS. Throughout, Dk=F(yk)−F(x∗)D_k=F(y_k)-F(x^*)Dk​=F(yk​)−F(x∗) and D~s=F(x~s)−F(x∗)\widetilde D^s=F(\widetilde x^s)-F(x^*)Ds=F(xs)−F(x∗).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 with the constants of its proof

E[F(x~S)]−F(x∗)≤16 (F(x0)−F(x∗))(S+3)2+12 L ∥x0−x∗∥2m (S+3)2(S≥0, m≥1).\mathbb E\big[F(\widetilde x^S)\big]-F(x^*)\le\frac{16\,\big(F(x_0)-F(x^*)\big)}{(S+3)^2}+\frac{12\,L\,\|x_0-x^*\|^2}{m\,(S+3)^2}\qquad(S\ge0,\ m\ge1).E[F(xS)]−F(x∗)≤(S+3)216(F(x0​)−F(x∗))​+m(S+3)212L∥x0​−x∗∥2​(S≥0, m≥1).

The paper states O(F(x0)−F(x∗)S2+L∥x0−x∗∥2mS2)O\big(\frac{F(x_0)-F(x^*)}{S^2}+\frac{L\|x_0-x^*\|^2}{mS^2}\big)O(S2F(x0​)−F(x∗)​+mS2L∥x0​−x∗∥2​); the explicit form above is what its proof in Appendix C.1 establishes.

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Lemma 2.7 for σ=0\sigma=0σ=0: the one-iteration inequality coupling DkD_kDk​, E[Dk+1]\mathbb E[D_{k+1}]E[Dk+1​], D~\widetilde DD and the distances ∥zk−x∗∥2\|z_k-x^*\|^2∥zk​−x∗∥2, E∥zk+1−x∗∥2\mathbb E\|z_{k+1}-x^*\|^2E∥zk+1​−x∗∥2.
  2. (C.1): Lemma 2.7 summed over one epoch.
  3. (C.2): the epoch inequality for s≥1s\ge1s≥1, after inserting the average snapshot and αs=1/(3τ1,sL)\alpha_s=1/(3\tau_{1,s}L)αs​=1/(3τ1,s​L).
  4. (C.3): the same for the base epoch s=0s=0s=0.
  5. The parameter inequalities 1τ1,s2≥1−τ1,s+1τ1,s+12\frac1{\tau_{1,s}^2}\ge\frac{1-\tau_{1,s+1}}{\tau_{1,s+1}^2}τ1,s2​1​≥τ1,s+12​1−τ1,s+1​​ and τ1,s+τ2τ1,s2≥τ2τ1,s+12\frac{\tau_{1,s}+\tau_2}{\tau_{1,s}^2}\ge\frac{\tau_2}{\tau_{1,s+1}^2}τ1,s2​τ1,s​+τ2​​≥τ1,s+12​τ2​​.
  6. (C.4): the bound telescoped over SSS epochs.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 gives the accelerated O(1/S2)O(1/S^2)O(1/S2) rate for non-strongly convex composite finite sums with a direct method: ε\varepsilonε error after O(nF(x0)−F(x∗)ε+nL ∥x0−x∗∥ε)O\big(\frac{n\sqrt{F(x_0)-F(x^*)}}{\sqrt\varepsilon}+\frac{\sqrt{nL}\,\|x_0-x^*\|}{\sqrt\varepsilon}\big)O(ε​nF(x0​)−F(x∗)​​+ε​nL​∥x0​−x∗∥​) stochastic gradient evaluations, a factor SSS better than the O(1/S)O(1/S)O(1/S) of non-accelerated variance-reduced methods such as SAGA (Remark 4.2). The non-strongly convex case covers ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized and unregularized convex losses, where no strong-convexity parameter is available to tune a linear-rate method.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of Katyusha or Katyushans^{\mathrm{ns}}ns is known to exist. The mission produces a formal statement of the algorithm and its rate with explicit constants, and a formal chain of the paper's intermediate inequalities. A SAGA mission on this platform states SAGA's non-accelerated O(1/k)O(1/k)O(1/k) rate for the same problem class, so the two results become directly comparable in Lean.

Difficulty

Each step uses only convexity, smoothness and the optimality of proximal points, but the steps interlock. The variance of ∇~k+1\widetilde\nabla_{k+1}∇k+1​ cannot be bounded by F(x~)−F(x∗)F(\widetilde x)-F(x^*)F(x)−F(x∗) as in SVRG's analysis without losing acceleration; the paper's bound (Lemma 2.4) leaves a linear term ⟨∇f(xk+1),x~−xk+1⟩\langle\nabla f(x_{k+1}),\widetilde x-x_{k+1}\rangle⟨∇f(xk+1​),x−xk+1​⟩ that is cancelled only by the specific weight τ2=12\tau_2=\frac12τ2​=21​ of the Katyusha momentum (Lemmas 2.6–2.7). Without strong convexity the per-epoch inequalities do not contract, so the proof must telescope across epochs with epoch-dependent weights τ1,s\tau_{1,s}τ1,s​: the coefficients of Dsm+jD_{sm+j}Dsm+j​ produced by epoch sss must dominate those consumed by epoch s+1s+1s+1, and the snapshot term mD~sm\widetilde D^smDs must be charged to the previous epoch's iterates. Getting the boundary epoch s=0s=0s=0 (whose snapshot is x0x_0x0​) and the last epoch right is where the constants come from.

Formalization scope

The Lean development works on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with components indexed by Fin n (n≥1n\ge1n≥1). Gradients are given functions ∇fi\nabla f_i∇fi​ tied to fif_ifi​ by HasGradientAt; LLL-smoothness is the Lipschitz bound on them with L>0L>0L>0; convexity is ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ. fff and ∇f\nabla f∇f are the published SAGA.Convex.fAvg and SAGA.Convex.gradAvg. The regularizer ψ\psiψ is real-valued and convex, so extended-valued regularizers such as indicator functions of constraint sets are not covered. The two arg-min steps are evaluated through a map PPP assumed to return a proximal point of ψ\psiψ (the published SAGA.Convex.IsProxPoint) for every positive step; for real-valued convex ψ\psiψ such points exist and are unique, so the hypothesis is satisfiable. x∗x^*x∗ is assumed to minimize FFF (without strong convexity a minimizer need not exist). Randomness is modelled by finite sequences of indices: the expectation is the uniform average over all index sequences (SAGA.Convex.expectIdx), with the SmSmSm indices split into epochs by Mathlib's finProdFinEquiv.

Conventions committed to:

  • Explicit constants for O(·). The goal's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is instantiated as 16 (F(x0)−F(x∗))/(S+3)2+12L∥x0−x∗∥2/(m(S+3)2)16\,(F(x_0)-F(x^*))/(S+3)^2+12L\|x_0-x^*\|^2/(m(S+3)^2)16(F(x0​)−F(x∗))/(S+3)2+12L∥x0​−x∗∥2/(m(S+3)2): the proof bounds D~S\widetilde D^SDS by 2τ1,S−12m\frac{2\tau_{1,S-1}^2}{m}m2τ1,S−12​​ times the right-hand side of (C.4), which equals 2m (F(x0)−F(x∗))+3L2∥x0−x∗∥22m\,(F(x_0)-F(x^*))+\frac{3L}2\|x_0-x^*\|^22m(F(x0​)−F(x∗))+23L​∥x0​−x∗∥2, with τ1,S−1=2S+3\tau_{1,S-1}=\frac2{S+3}τ1,S−1​=S+32​. The bound holds trivially at S=0S=0S=0, so the goal is stated for all SSS.
  • Epoch length. m≥1m\ge1m≥1 is a parameter (the algorithm sets m=2nm=2nm=2n); every statement holds for every m≥1m\ge1m≥1.
  • Option I only; the unused input σ\sigmaσ and Option II are not modelled.
  • Lemma 2.7 is stated for σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 with the paper's implicit side conditions α>0\alpha>0α>0, 0<τ1≤120<\tau_1\le\frac120<τ1​≤21​.
  • (C.2) is stated for an epoch s≥1s\ge1s≥1 whose snapshot is the average of given previous iterates; (C.1) and (C.3) are stated from an arbitrary epoch start state, which is the paper's "the randomness in the first s−1s-1s−1 epochs is fixed".
  • The typo ∥zSm−z∗∥2\|z_{Sm}-z^*\|^2∥zSm​−z∗∥2 in (C.4) is read as ∥zSm−x∗∥2\|z_{Sm}-x^*\|^2∥zSm​−x∗∥2.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the prox map, the gradients and x∗x^*x∗ are all tied to ψ\psiψ, fif_ifi​ and FFF by hypotheses that a quadratic instance satisfies, and the expectation averages over every index sequence rather than a chosen one. The iteration count stated "in other words" after Theorem 4.1 is not a target.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in any order; general lemmas about proximal points of convex functions (the three-point inequality behind Lemma 2.5) and the co-coercivity of convex LLL-smooth functions (behind Lemma 2.4) are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • Z. Allen-Zhu, Katyusha: The First Direct Acceleration of Stochastic Gradient Methods, STOC 2017; JMLR 18(221), 2018. arXiv:1603.05953v6. https://arxiv.org/abs/1603.05953
  • A. Defazio, F. Bach, S. Lacoste-Julien, SAGA: A Fast Incremental Gradient Method With Support for Non-Strongly Convex Composite Objectives, NeurIPS 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.0202
  • R. Johnson, T. Zhang, Accelerating Stochastic Gradient Descent using Predictive Variance Reduction, NeurIPS 2013. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/4937
  • Y. Nesterov, Introductory Lectures on Convex Programming, Kluwer, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8853-9
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Strong Perfect Graph Theorem VI: A Berge Graph Containing a Long Odd Prism Admits a Proper 2-Join, a Balanced Skew Partition or a Proper Homogeneous PairResearch Paper

Motivation

A graph is perfect if every induced subgraph has chromatic number equal to its clique number. Berge conjectured in 1961 that a graph is perfect exactly when it contains no odd hole and no odd antihole. Chudnovsky, Robertson, Seymour and Thomas proved this strong perfect graph theorem in 2006 (Ann. of Math. 164 (2006), 51–229). Perfect graphs matter beyond graph theory: for them the stable set polytope is described by clique inequalities, so maximum weight stable set and colouring problems become polynomially solvable linear programs (Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver).

The proof reduces the theorem to a decomposition statement (1.3 of the paper): every Berge graph is basic or admits one of a few decompositions. That statement is in turn proved in twelve steps, listed as 1.8.1–1.8.12. Each step excludes one kind of configuration from a Berge graph without the decompositions. This mission is step 1.8.5, restated as 13.4: it deals with Berge graphs that contain a long odd prism but no appearance of K4K_4K4​. It is the only step of the proof that needs proper 2-joins in the complement and proper homogeneous pairs.

Setting

All graphs are finite and simple; G‾\overline{G}G is the complement of GGG. A path is an induced subgraph which is a path, and its length is its number of edges. An antipath is a path of G‾\overline{G}G. A hole is an induced cycle of length at least 444, and an antihole is the complement of a hole of G‾\overline{G}G. GGG is Berge if every hole and antihole of GGG has even length.

A prism consists of two disjoint triangles {a1,a2,a3}\{a_1,a_2,a_3\}{a1​,a2​,a3​}, {b1,b2,b3}\{b_1,b_2,b_3\}{b1​,b2​,b3​} and three paths PiP_iPi​ from aia_iai​ to bib_ibi​, such that the only edges between different paths are the triangle edges. It is long if some PiP_iPi​ has length >1>1>1, even if all three lengths are even, and odd otherwise.

A subdivision HHH of a graph JJJ replaces every edge of JJJ by a track, these tracks being disjoint except at their ends. JJJ appears in GGG if L(H)L(H)L(H) is isomorphic to an induced subgraph of GGG for some bipartite subdivision HHH of JJJ, where LLL is the line graph.

The decompositions in the conclusion (pp. 53–54):

  • A proper 2-join is a partition (X1,X2)(X_1,X_2)(X1​,X2​) of V(G)V(G)V(G), with disjoint nonempty Ai,Bi⊆XiA_i,B_i\subseteq X_iAi​,Bi​⊆Xi​, such that the only edges between X1X_1X1​ and X2X_2X2​ are all edges between A1A_1A1​ and A2A_2A2​ and all edges between B1B_1B1​ and B2B_2B2​. Every component of G∣XiG|X_iG∣Xi​ meets AiA_iAi​ and BiB_iBi​. If G∣XiG|X_iG∣Xi​ is a path between single vertices AiA_iAi​ and BiB_iBi​, it has odd length ≥3\ge 3≥3.
  • A skew partition is a partition (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) of V(G)V(G)V(G) with AAA not connected and BBB not anticonnected. It is balanced if no odd path joins two nonadjacent vertices of BBB through AAA, and no odd antipath joins two adjacent vertices of AAA through BBB.
  • A proper homogeneous pair is a pair (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) of disjoint nonempty sets such that every other vertex is complete or anticomplete to AAA, and complete or anticomplete to BBB. All four combinations must occur.

The intermediate objects come from Sections 11–13 of the paper:

  • A strip S=(A,C,B)S=(A,C,B)S=(A,C,B): every vertex of V(S)=A∪B∪CV(S)=A\cup B\cup CV(S)=A∪B∪C lies on a rung, a path from AAA to BBB with interior in CCC.
  • A step: two disjoint rungs joined exactly by an edge at each end.
  • A step-connected strip: steps cover V(S)V(S)V(S) and connect AAA and BBB.
  • Left-stars and right-stars: vertices complete to AAA (resp. BBB) and anticomplete to the rest of V(S)V(S)V(S).
  • A banister: a path from a left-star to a right-star whose interior sees nothing of V(S)V(S)V(S).
  • A staircase K=(S,a0-R0-b0)K=(S,a_0\text{-}R_0\text{-}b_0)K=(S,a0​-R0​-b0​): a step-connected strip with a banister of length ≥3\ge 3≥3. A staircase can be maximal or strongly maximal.
  • Three kinds of breaker: sets around a strip or staircase whose presence forces a balanced skew partition.

Formalization targets

Goal: 13.4

Let GGG be Berge with no appearance of K4K_4K4​ in GGG or in G‾\overline{G}G, and suppose GGG contains a long odd prism as an induced subgraph. Then

G or G‾ admits a proper 2-join, or G admits a balanced skew partition, or G admits a proper homogeneous pair.G \text{ or } \overline{G} \text{ admits a proper 2-join, or } G \text{ admits a balanced skew partition, or } G \text{ admits a proper homogeneous pair.}G or G admits a proper 2-join, or G admits a balanced skew partition, or G admits a proper homogeneous pair.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's argument:

  • 11.3: in a Berge graph with no even prism, every rung of a step-connected strip and every banister has odd length.
  • 11.4: under no appearance of K4K_4K4​ and no even prism, no anticonnected set QQQ has the six properties listed in the statement.
  • 11.5: a 1-breaker forces a balanced skew partition.
  • 12.1: relative to a maximal staircase, every outside vertex is of exactly one of three types (minor; major; a star with a neighbour on R0R_0R0​).
  • 12.3: a connected set containing a left-star and attaching to B∪CB\cup CB∪C contains a major vertex or a banister.
  • 12.4: a 2-breaker forces a balanced skew partition.
  • 13.3: a 3-breaker forces a balanced skew partition.

Significance

13.4 removes long prisms from the analysis. Combined with 10.6 (the even prism), it shows that a recalcitrant graph contains no long prism in GGG or G‾\overline{G}G, which places it in the class F5\mathcal F_5F5​ (p. 154). The later steps (double diamonds, odd wheels, pseudowheels, wheels) all assume this. The step-connected strip and staircase method developed here is also the paper's model for growing a maximal structure and then classifying how the rest of the graph attaches to it.

The theorem has been proved since 2006; no machine-checked proof of it or of any of its steps is known. The proof of 13.4 also cites these results of the same paper, which are posed in other missions of this series:

  • 10.6 (the even-prism step), posed in mission V;
  • 7.2 (equal parity of the paths of a prism), posed in mission V;
  • 2.1, 2.4, 2.6, 2.7, 4.2, 4.3, 4.5, 4.6 (the Roussel–Rubio lemma and the skew-partition toolkit), posed in mission II.

Difficulty

The difficulty is the volume of case analysis behind every statement. The paper does not prove the exact analogue of the even-prism result 10.6. It warns (p. 127) that it does not know whether that analogue holds, and adds the two extra outcomes instead. The obvious first idea is to take a long odd prism and analyse attachments to it as in Section 10. The paper does not get the result that way (p. 127): it replaces two of the three paths by a maximal step-connected strip. Controlling how every remaining vertex or connected set attaches to such a strip is what the breaker results do. Maximality is also delicate. "Strongly maximal" refers to staircases of the complement, so GGG and G‾\overline{G}G must be handled in one framework.

Formalization scope

Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a Fintype vertex type with decidable equality. G‾\overline{G}G is Gᶜ.

  • Paths, holes, rungs, banisters. Paths are lists of distinct vertices, adjacent exactly when consecutive (induced). Holes are lists adjacent exactly when cyclically consecutive. Rungs are listed from their end in AAA to their end in BBB, and banisters from the left-star to the right-star.
  • Vertex sets. Connectedness of a vertex set is reachability inside G.induce X, so ∅\emptyset∅ is connected. Anticonnectedness is the same notion in Gᶜ.
  • Prisms. A prism is three paths whose cross adjacencies are exactly the two triangles. Each path has length at least 111, so the triangles are disjoint.
  • Appearances. A subdivision of JJJ is an injection of V(J)V(J)V(J) together with one track per edge. The tracks are internally disjoint and cover every vertex and edge. An appearance is a graph embedding of L(H)L(H)L(H) into GGG, and embeddings reflect adjacency.
  • Staircases and breakers. A staircase is a quadruple (A,C,B,R0)(A,C,B,R_0)(A,C,B,R0​). Maximality quantifies over all staircases of GGG, strong maximality also over staircases of G‾\overline{G}G. The breakers are predicates on these data.

Every hypothesis of the paper is kept. "No appearance of K4K_4K4​" is in GGG and in G‾\overline{G}G for the goal, and in GGG for the milestones. The goal also keeps "Berge", "no even prism" and "no 1-/2-breaker" where the page has them. 12.1's "exactly one" is an exclusive disjunction. 11.4 is a non-existence statement.

A formalization with non-induced paths, with the complement dropped from "one of G,G‾G,\overline{G}G,G", or with a strip, staircase or breaker predicate that no graph satisfies would make the targets empty or false. The definitions here are checked against a concrete graph: the 8-vertex prism with path lengths 1,1,31,1,31,1,3 is a long odd prism, and it carries a staircase. Contributions are welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable material on induced paths, holes and line graphs of subdivisions.

Selected references

  • M. Chudnovsky, N. Robertson, P. Seymour, R. Thomas, The strong perfect graph theorem, Annals of Mathematics 164 (2006), 51–229. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2006.164.51
  • C. Berge, Färbung von Graphen, deren sämtliche bzw. deren ungerade Kreise starr sind, Wiss. Z. Martin-Luther-Univ. Halle-Wittenberg 10 (1961), 114–115.
  • V. Chvátal, Star-cutsets and perfect graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 39 (1985), 189–199. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(85)90049-8
  • V. Chvátal, N. Sbihi, Bull-free Berge graphs are perfect, Graphs and Combinatorics 3 (1987), 127–139. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01788536
  • G. Cornuéjols, W. H. Cunningham, Compositions for perfect graphs, Discrete Mathematics 55 (1985), 245–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(85)90051-7
  • M. Grötschel, L. Lovász, A. Schrijver, Geometric Algorithms and Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-97881-4
21 thms2 active usersReviewed
Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Power and Limitations of Affine Policies in Two-Stage Adaptive Optimization IV: When A ≥ 0 the Best Affine Policy Costs at Most 3√m Times the Fully Adaptable OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage adaptive optimization models decisions taken in two steps: a first-stage decision xxx is fixed before an uncertain right-hand side bbb is revealed, and a second-stage decision y(b)y(b)y(b) is chosen after it, as a function of bbb. The objective protects against the worst bbb in an uncertainty set U\mathcal UU. Computing an optimal fully adaptable solution is intractable in general (Feige, Jain, Mahdian and Mirrokni, IPCO 2007), so practitioners restrict the second stage to affine policies y(b)=Pb+qy(b)=Pb+qy(b)=Pb+q, introduced in robust optimization by Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (Math. Program. 2004). An optimal affine policy is computed by a single convex program, but its cost may exceed the adaptive optimum.

Bertsimas and Goyal (Math. Program. Ser. A, 2012) quantify this loss. Earlier, Bertsimas, Iancu and Parrilo (Math. Oper. Res. 2010) proved affine policies optimal for a class of one-dimensional multistage problems. The present paper shows that affine policies are optimal when U\mathcal UU is a simplex (Theorem 1), that they can lose a factor Ω(m1/2−δ)\Omega(m^{1/2-\delta})Ω(m1/2−δ) in general (Theorem 3), and — the subject of this mission — that when the first-stage constraint matrix is nonnegative they never lose more than 3m3\sqrt m3m​ (Theorem 4). Nonnegative first-stage matrices occur in network design, facility location, capacity planning and other covering problems.

Setting

Let A∈Rm×n1A\in\mathbb R^{m\times n_1}A∈Rm×n1​, B∈Rm×n2B\in\mathbb R^{m\times n_2}B∈Rm×n2​, c∈R+n1c\in\mathbb R^{n_1}_+c∈R+n1​​, d∈R+n2d\in\mathbb R^{n_2}_+d∈R+n2​​, and let U⊆R+m\mathcal U\subseteq\mathbb R^m_+U⊆R+m​ be convex, compact and full-dimensional. The problem ΠAdapt(U)\Pi_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)ΠAdapt​(U) is

zAdapt(U)=min⁡  cTx+max⁡b∈UdTy(b)s.t.Ax+By(b)≥b,  x≥0,  y(b)≥0∀b∈U,z_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)=\min\; c^Tx+\max_{b\in\mathcal U}d^Ty(b)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax+By(b)\ge b,\ \ x\ge0,\ \ y(b)\ge0\quad\forall b\in\mathcal U,zAdapt​(U)=mincTx+b∈Umax​dTy(b)s.t.Ax+By(b)≥b,  x≥0,  y(b)≥0∀b∈U,

where the minimum is over first-stage vectors xxx and arbitrary maps b↦y(b)b\mapsto y(b)b↦y(b). The problem is assumed feasible. The value zAff(U)z_{Aff}(\mathcal U)zAff​(U) is the same minimum restricted to affine second stages y(b)=Pb+qy(b)=Pb+qy(b)=Pb+q, which must still satisfy Pb+q≥0Pb+q\ge0Pb+q≥0 on U\mathcal UU.

For each coordinate jjj put μj=max⁡{bj:b∈U}\mu_j=\max\{b_j : b\in\mathcal U\}μj​=max{bj​:b∈U} and fix a maximizer βj∈U\beta^j\in\mathcal Uβj∈U with βjj=μj\beta^j_j=\mu_jβjj​=μj​ (display (38)). The scaled sum of bbb over an index set JJJ is ∑j∈Jbj/μj\sum_{j\in J}b_j/\mu_j∑j∈J​bj​/μj​.

Algorithm A\mathcal AA (Fig. 1 of the paper) starts with J1={1,…,m}J_1=\{1,\dots,m\}J1​={1,…,m} and b0=0b^0=0b0=0. While some b∈Ub\in\mathcal Ub∈U has scaled sum over J1J_1J1​ larger than m\sqrt mm​, it picks a maximizer uk∈Uu^k\in\mathcal Uuk∈U of that scaled sum, adds uku^kuk to the running vector on the coordinates of J1J_1J1​, and moves to J2J_2J2​ every coordinate jjj whose running value has reached μj\mu_jμj​. It returns the number of iterations KKK, the vectors u1,…,uKu^1,\dots,u^Ku1,…,uK, their sum β=u1+⋯+uK\beta=u^1+\dots+u^Kβ=u1+⋯+uK, and the partition J1,J2J_1,J_2J1​,J2​.

In the kkk-uncertain variant (60)–(63), only kkk right-hand sides b∈U⊆R+kb\in\mathcal U\subseteq\mathbb R^k_+b∈U⊆R+k​ are uncertain and the remaining m−km-km−k are fixed at b0b^0b0; all data are nonnegative. Its values are zAdaptk(U)z^k_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)zAdaptk​(U) and zAffk(U)z^k_{Aff}(\mathcal U)zAffk​(U).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

If A≥0A\ge0A≥0 entrywise, then a feasible affine solution exists and

zAff(U)≤3m⋅zAdapt(U).z_{Aff}(\mathcal U)\le 3\sqrt m\cdot z_{Adapt}(\mathcal U).zAff​(U)≤3m​⋅zAdapt​(U).

Milestones

  1. μj>0\mu_j>0μj​>0 for every jjj (after (38)).
  2. Lemma 9. For every complete run of Algorithm A\mathcal AA: ∑j∈J1bj/μj≤m\sum_{j\in J_1}b_j/\mu_j\le\sqrt m∑j∈J1​​bj​/μj​≤m​ for all b∈Ub\in\mathcal Ub∈U, and bj≤βjb_j\le\beta_jbj​≤βj​ for all j∈J2j\in J_2j∈J2​ and b∈Ub\in\mathcal Ub∈U.
  3. Lemma 10. Algorithm A\mathcal AA executes at most K≤2mK\le2\sqrt mK≤2m​ iterations.
  4. Feasibility (48)–(55). For any feasible (x∗,y∗)(x^*,y^*)(x∗,y∗), the solution x~=3m x∗\tilde x=3\sqrt m\,x^*x~=3m​x∗, y~(b)=∑j∈J1bjμjy∗(βj)+y^\tilde y(b)=\sum_{j\in J_1}\frac{b_j}{\mu_j}y^*(\beta^j)+\hat yy~​(b)=∑j∈J1​​μj​bj​​y∗(βj)+y^​ with y^=2mK∑k=1Ky∗(uk)\hat y=\frac{2\sqrt m}{K}\sum_{k=1}^Ky^*(u^k)y^​=K2m​​∑k=1K​y∗(uk) is feasible.
  5. Cost (56)–(59). If ttt bounds the worst-case cost of (x∗,y∗)(x^*,y^*)(x∗,y∗), then 3m⋅t3\sqrt m\cdot t3m​⋅t bounds that of (x~,y~)(\tilde x,\tilde y)(x~,y~​).

Companion results

  • Algorithm A\mathcal AA has a complete run when U\mathcal UU is compact.
  • Lemma 11. z(Π1)≤zAdaptk(U)z(\Pi_1)\le z^k_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)z(Π1​)≤zAdaptk​(U) and z(Π2)≤zAdaptk(U)z(\Pi_2)\le z^k_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)z(Π2​)≤zAdaptk​(U) for the uncertain and deterministic parts of the kkk-uncertain problem.
  • Theorem 5. zAffk(U)≤(3k+1)⋅zAdaptk(U)z^k_{Aff}(\mathcal U)\le(3\sqrt k+1)\cdot z^k_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)zAffk​(U)≤(3k​+1)⋅zAdaptk​(U), the paper's O(k)O(\sqrt k)O(k​) bound with its proof's constant.
  • Special case (39)–(45). If ∑j=1mbj/μj≤m\sum_{j=1}^m b_j/\mu_j\le\sqrt m∑j=1m​bj​/μj​≤m​ on U\mathcal UU, then zAff(U)≤m⋅zAdapt(U)z_{Aff}(\mathcal U)\le\sqrt m\cdot z_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)zAff​(U)≤m​⋅zAdapt​(U).

Significance

Theorem 4 is an upper bound on the price of restricting to affine policies, and Theorem 3 of the same paper shows it is tight up to a constant factor: for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there are instances with A≥0A\ge0A≥0 where the gap is Ω(m1/2−δ)\Omega(m^{1/2-\delta})Ω(m1/2−δ). Together they settle the order of the approximation ratio of affine policies for covering-type two-stage problems. Theorem 5 refines the bound to O(k)O(\sqrt k)O(k​) when only kkk of the mmm right-hand sides are uncertain, which is the regime of many applications. The construction is also the template for the paper's Theorem 6, a 4m4\sqrt m4m​-approximation for general AAA obtained from a single dominating simplex.

The results are proved in the paper. To the knowledge of this mission, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them produces a reusable model of two-stage adaptive linear programs with affine policies, a verified analysis of a greedy covering procedure (Algorithm A\mathcal AA), and an explicit-constant version of an O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) statement.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt scales the fully adaptable solution at the extreme points βj\beta^jβj linearly in bbb: y~(b)=∑j(bj/μj) y∗(βj)\tilde y(b)=\sum_j (b_j/\mu_j)\,y^*(\beta^j)y~​(b)=∑j​(bj​/μj​)y∗(βj). This is feasible at cost factor m\sqrt mm​ only when the scaled sums ∑jbj/μj\sum_j b_j/\mu_j∑j​bj​/μj​ stay below m\sqrt mm​ on U\mathcal UU (condition (39)); in general they can reach mmm, and the linear rule then costs a factor mmm. The difficulty is to handle the coordinates where U\mathcal UU has large scaled mass. Algorithm A\mathcal AA isolates them, and the delicate point is the iteration count: each round must add scaled mass above m\sqrt mm​, while the total scaled mass that can be absorbed before every coordinate leaves J1J_1J1​ is at most 2m2m2m. A formal proof must also track the algorithm's state through its recursion, because the argmax choices are not unique and the statements must hold for every run.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin m → ℝ with the componentwise order, indices are 0-based, and matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ. Nonnegativity of a matrix is stated entrywise. zAdaptz_{Adapt}zAdapt​ and zAffz_{Aff}zAff​ are infima of the set of worst-case cost bounds achieved by feasible solutions; the goal and Theorem 5 assert the existence of a feasible affine solution, which rules out the trivializing reading in which zAffz_{Aff}zAff​ is the infimum of an empty set (Lean's junk value 000) and the inequality holds for free. The goal does not mention μ\muμ, βj\beta^jβj or Algorithm A\mathcal AA; these appear only in milestones.

μ\muμ and βj\beta^jβj are given with their defining properties (μj\mu_jμj​ is the greatest value of bjb_jbj​ on U\mathcal UU, and βj∈U\beta^j\in\mathcal Uβj∈U with βjj=μj\beta^j_j=\mu_jβjj​=μj​). Algorithm A\mathcal AA is encoded as a recursion on a choice sequence uuu, with step 2(d) read as J1k={j∈J1k−1:bjk<μj}J_1^k=\{j\in J_1^{k-1}: b^k_j<\mu_j\}J1k​={j∈J1k−1​:bjk​<μj​}. A complete run requires the loop test and the argmax property at each iteration and the failure of the loop test at the end. The milestones on the constructed policy are stated for every feasible (x∗,y∗)(x^*,y^*)(x∗,y∗) and every cost bound ttt, so that no attainment of the optimum is assumed.

Standing assumptions of (1) carried by the goal: c,d≥0c,d\ge0c,d≥0; U⊆R+m\mathcal U\subseteq\mathbb R^m_+U⊆R+m​ convex, compact, with nonempty interior; feasibility. Milestones drop the ones they do not use. Theorem 5 carries compactness and full-dimensionality of U\mathcal UU, which §5.1 does not repeat but its proof uses through Theorem 4. Lemma 11 assumes that zAdaptk(U)z^k_{Adapt}(\mathcal U)zAdaptk​(U) is finite, since the paper's inequality is between extended reals.

A complete development needs: finite-dimensional linear programming facts (existence of optimal solutions is not needed), compactness arguments for the argmax in Algorithm A\mathcal AA, and manipulation of finite sums over Finset. The model of (1) and the analysis of Algorithm A\mathcal AA are reusable by the companion mission on Theorem 6. Contributions of proofs of any milestone, and of supporting lemmas about the recursion of Algorithm A\mathcal AA, are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas and V. Goyal, On the power and limitations of affine policies in two-stage adaptive optimization, Math. Program. Ser. A, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0444-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer and A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Math. Program. 99(2), 351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, D. A. Iancu and P. A. Parrilo, Optimality of affine policies in multistage robust optimization, Math. Oper. Res. 35(2), 363–394, 2010.
  • U. Feige, K. Jain, M. Mahdian and V. Mirrokni, Robust combinatorial optimization with exponential scenarios, Lect. Notes Comput. Sci. 4513, 439–453, 2007.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Power and Limitations of Affine Policies in Two-Stage Adaptive Optimization II: With m + 3 Extreme Points the Best Affine Policy Can Cost More Than (2 − δ) Times the OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage adaptive optimization models decisions made in two steps: a first-stage decision is fixed before an uncertain parameter is revealed, and a second-stage (recourse) decision may then depend on the realized value. In the robust version, the uncertain parameter ranges over an uncertainty set and the objective is the worst-case cost. Such models arise in capacity planning, network design and inventory problems with uncertain demand, where the demand is the right-hand side of the constraints.

Computing an optimal fully adaptable second-stage policy is intractable in general: the recourse is an arbitrary function of the uncertain parameter. The standard tractable surrogate, introduced by Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (Math. Program. 99, 2004), restricts the recourse to an affine policy y(b)=Pb+qy(b) = Pb + qy(b)=Pb+q, whose optimization is a finite convex program. Practitioners report that affine policies often perform well, which raises the question of when they are optimal and how much they can lose.

Bertsimas and Goyal (Math. Program. Ser. A, 2012) answer this for problems with an uncertain right-hand side. Their Theorem 1 shows that affine policies are optimal when the uncertainty set is a simplex, that is, the convex hull of m+1m+1m+1 affinely independent points of R+m\mathbb R^m_+R+m​. Their Theorem 2, the subject of this mission, shows that this is almost tight: one additional extreme point can make the best affine policy almost twice as expensive as the optimum.

Setting

Let A∈Rm×n1A \in \mathbb R^{m\times n_1}A∈Rm×n1​, B∈Rm×n2B \in \mathbb R^{m\times n_2}B∈Rm×n2​, c∈R+n1c \in \mathbb R^{n_1}_+c∈R+n1​​, d∈R+n2d \in \mathbb R^{n_2}_+d∈R+n2​​ and let U⊆R+m\mathcal U \subseteq \mathbb R^m_+U⊆R+m​ be an uncertainty set. The problem ΠAdapt(U)\Pi_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(\mathcal U)ΠAdapt​(U) is

zAdapt(U)=min⁡ cTx+max⁡b∈UdTy(b)s.t.Ax+By(b)≥b,  x≥0,  y(b)≥0∀b∈U.z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(\mathcal U)=\min\ c^{T}x+\max_{b\in\mathcal U} d^{T}y(b)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad Ax+By(b)\ge b,\ \ x\ge 0,\ \ y(b)\ge 0\quad\forall b\in\mathcal U .zAdapt​(U)=min cTx+b∈Umax​dTy(b)s.t.Ax+By(b)≥b,  x≥0,  y(b)≥0∀b∈U.

Here xxx is the first-stage decision and y:U→Rn2y : \mathcal U \to \mathbb R^{n_2}y:U→Rn2​ is the second-stage policy; all inequalities between vectors are componentwise. The value zAff(U)z_{\mathrm{Aff}}(\mathcal U)zAff​(U) is the same minimum restricted to affine policies y(b)=Pb+qy(b) = Pb + qy(b)=Pb+q with P∈Rn2×mP \in \mathbb R^{n_2\times m}P∈Rn2​×m and q∈Rn2q \in \mathbb R^{n_2}q∈Rn2​; an affine policy must still satisfy Pb+q≥0Pb + q \ge 0Pb+q≥0 for every b∈Ub \in \mathcal Ub∈U. Always zAdapt(U)≤zAff(U)z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(\mathcal U) \le z_{\mathrm{Aff}}(\mathcal U)zAdapt​(U)≤zAff​(U).

The instance I\mathcal II of (6) is defined for δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 and an even integer m>200/δ2m > 200/\delta^2m>200/δ2. It has n1=n2=mn_1 = n_2 = mn1​=n2​=m, c=0c = 0c=0, d=(1,…,1)Td = (1,\dots,1)^Td=(1,…,1)T, A=0A = 0A=0, and

Bij={1,i=j,1/m,i≠j,U=conv⁡{b0,b1,…,bm+2},B_{ij}=\begin{cases}1,& i=j,\\ 1/\sqrt m,& i\ne j,\end{cases}\qquad \mathcal U=\operatorname{conv}\{b^0,b^1,\dots,b^{m+2}\},Bij​={1,1/m​,​i=j,i=j,​U=conv{b0,b1,…,bm+2},

where b0=0b^0 = 0b0=0, bj=ejb^j = e_jbj=ej​ is the jjj-th unit vector for j=1,…,mj = 1,\dots,mj=1,…,m, bm+1b^{m+1}bm+1 has entries 1/m1/\sqrt m1/m​ in its first m/2m/2m/2 coordinates and 000 in the others, and bm+2b^{m+2}bm+2 has 000 in its first m/2m/2m/2 coordinates and 1/m1/\sqrt m1/m​ in the others. Thus U\mathcal UU is generated by m+2m+2m+2 nonzero points. The last two are also extreme points when m≥6m\ge 6m≥6; for m=2m=2m=2 or 444 they lie in the convex hull of 0,e1,…,em0,e_1,\dots,e_m0,e1​,…,em​.

For a permutation τ\tauτ of {1,…,m}\{1,\dots,m\}{1,…,m}, write xτ=(xτ(1),…,xτ(m))x^\tau = (x_{\tau(1)},\dots,x_{\tau(m)})xτ=(xτ(1)​,…,xτ(m)​). A set UUU is permutation-invariant with respect to τ\tauτ if x∈U  ⟺  xτ∈Ux \in U \iff x^\tau \in Ux∈U⟺xτ∈U (Definition 2), and Γ\GammaΓ is the set (10) of permutations with i≤m/2  ⟺  τ(i)≤m/2i \le m/2 \iff \tau(i) \le m/2i≤m/2⟺τ(i)≤m/2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

zAff(U)>(2−δ)⋅zAdapt(U)for the instance I of (6), every δ>0 and every even m>200/δ2.z_{\mathrm{Aff}}(\mathcal U)>(2-\delta)\cdot z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(\mathcal U)\qquad\text{for the instance }\mathcal I\text{ of (6), every }\delta>0\text{ and every even }m>200/\delta^2 .zAff​(U)>(2−δ)⋅zAdapt​(U)for the instance I of (6), every δ>0 and every even m>200/δ2.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1. On I\mathcal II there is a feasible fully adaptable solution with worst-case cost 111, so zAdapt(U)≤1z_{\mathrm{Adapt}}(\mathcal U) \le 1zAdapt​(U)≤1.
  2. Lemma 2. The set U\mathcal UU of (6) is permutation-invariant with respect to every τ∈Γ\tau \in \Gammaτ∈Γ.
  3. Lemma 3. There is an optimal affine solution y^(b)=P^b+q^\hat y(b) = \hat Pb + \hat qy^​(b)=P^b+q^​ whose intercept is constant: q^i=q^j\hat q_i = \hat q_jq^​i​=q^​j​ for all i,ji, ji,j.
  4. First Claim of the proof of Theorem 2. For any feasible affine solution with intercept q^≡β\hat q \equiv \betaq^​≡β and worst-case cost at most 2−δ2-\delta2−δ: β≤(2−δ)/m\beta \le (2-\delta)/mβ≤(2−δ)/m.
  5. Second Claim. Under the same assumption, P^jj≥1−2/m−2/m\hat P_{jj} \ge 1 - 2/\sqrt m - 2/mP^jj​≥1−2/m​−2/m for every jjj.
  6. Third Claim. Under the same assumption, P^ij≥−(2−δ)/m\hat P_{ij} \ge -(2-\delta)/mP^ij​≥−(2−δ)/m for all i,ji, ji,j.

Significance

Together with Theorem 1 of the same paper, Theorem 2 delimits exactly where affine policies are optimal for right-hand-side uncertainty: for a simplex they are, and with one more nonzero extreme point the gap can approach 222. The ratio is measured against the fully adaptable optimum, which is the quantity a practitioner gives up by choosing affine recourse. Later sections of the paper push the same construction to m1/2−δm^{1/2-\delta}m1/2−δ for sets with polynomially many extreme points and prove a matching O(m)O(\sqrt m)O(m​) upper bound; Theorem 2 is the simplest member of this family and isolates the mechanism.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked. The mission produces a formal model of two-stage adaptive linear optimization with uncertain right-hand side, the values zAdaptz_{\mathrm{Adapt}}zAdapt​ and zAffz_{\mathrm{Aff}}zAff​, and a verified lower-bound instance. The symmetrization statement (Lemma 3) is an instance of a general principle, that a convex problem invariant under a group has an invariant optimum, which is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The upper bound zAdapt≤1z_{\mathrm{Adapt}} \le 1zAdapt​≤1 requires a feasible policy, which can be written down. The lower bound on zAffz_{\mathrm{Aff}}zAff​ is a statement about all affine policies, an m2+mm^2 + mm2+m dimensional family, and cannot be checked policy by policy. The obvious attempt, testing an arbitrary affine policy against a few extreme points, fails because an asymmetric policy can trade cost between coordinates. The argument needs an optimal policy that is symmetric, which in turn needs both the existence of an optimal affine solution (attainment of a minimum over a non-compact set of policies) and the invariance of the instance under the permutations of Γ\GammaΓ and the swap of the two halves. Without the attainment step, a contradiction for every policy of cost at most 2−δ2-\delta2−δ yields only zAff≥2−δz_{\mathrm{Aff}} \ge 2-\deltazAff​≥2−δ, not the strict inequality.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin m → ℝ with the componentwise order, matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, BxBxBx is B *ᵥ x and dTyd^TydTy is d ⬝ᵥ y. Indices are 0-based: the paper's coordinate iii is index i−1i - 1i−1, so "i≤m/2i \le m/2i≤m/2" is (i : ℕ) < m / 2, with natural-number division (exact since mmm is even). xτx^\tauxτ is x ∘ τ for τ : Equiv.Perm (Fin m).

zAdaptz_{\mathrm{Adapt}}zAdapt​ and zAffz_{\mathrm{Aff}}zAff​ are the infima of the sets of real numbers ttt for which some feasible (respectively feasible affine) solution satisfies cTx+dTy(b)≤tc^Tx + d^Ty(b) \le tcTx+dTy(b)≤t for all b∈Ub \in \mathcal Ub∈U. This epigraph form avoids a supremum of a possibly unbounded function; on an infeasible instance the infimum would be Lean's junk value 000, which is why Lemma 1 also asserts the existence of the feasible solution of cost 111. Optimal solutions are stated by IsOptimalAff: feasible, with worst-case cost bounded by every bound achieved by any feasible affine solution. Affine policies must be nonnegative on U\mathcal UU, as in (1).

The instance is concrete, so the standing assumptions of (1) (nonnegative costs, compact convex full-dimensional U⊆R+m\mathcal U \subseteq \mathbb R^m_+U⊆R+m​, feasibility) are properties of the data rather than hypotheses. The goal adds no hypothesis to the page: δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, mmm even and m>200/δ2m > 200/\delta^2m>200/δ2. For δ≥2\delta \ge 2δ≥2 the statement is easy but still true. The three Claims are stated for any feasible affine solution with constant intercept and worst-case cost at most 2−δ2-\delta2−δ, which is exactly what the paper's proof uses about the symmetric optimal solution under its contradiction hypothesis (12). Lemma 1 drops the unused hypothesis m>200/δ2m > 200/\delta^2m>200/δ2. Definition 2 prints "x∈P  ⟺  xτ∈Px \in P \iff x^\tau \in Px∈P⟺xτ∈P"; the formalization reads PPP as the set UUU.

Replacing zAffz_{\mathrm{Aff}}zAff​ by the cost of one particular affine policy, stating the goal with ≥\ge≥, or bounding only policies with constant intercept would not be Theorem 2, and is ruled out: the goal compares the two optimal values with a strict inequality.

A complete development needs convex hulls of finite point sets in Fin m → ℝ, the existence of a minimizer for the affine problem (a linear program in (x,P,q)(x, P, q)(x,P,q) with infinitely many constraints indexed by U\mathcal UU, reducible to the extreme points), averaging of optimal solutions over a permutation group, and elementary estimates with m\sqrt mm​. Contributions of general lemmas on attainment of semi-infinite linear programs and on symmetrization of convex programs are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, V. Goyal, On the power and limitations of affine policies in two-stage adaptive optimization, Mathematical Programming Ser. A (online first 2011; received 31 Oct 2009, accepted 17 Jan 2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-011-0444-4
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Mathematical Programming 99 (2004) 351–376. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, D. A. Iancu, P. A. Parrilo, Optimality of affine policies in multistage robust optimization, Mathematics of Operations Research 35 (2010) 363–394. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0444
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryLinear algebra+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Explicit Expanders of Every Degree and Size 2: Attaching New Vertices to a (p+1)-Regular Ramanujan Graph and Adding Loops Keeps Every Nontrivial Eigenvalue at Most √(2(p+1)) + √p + o(1)Research Paper

Motivation

Sparse graphs whose adjacency spectrum is concentrated near zero, expanders, are used throughout theoretical computer science: in error-correcting codes, derandomization, sorting and routing networks, and the construction of pseudorandom objects (Hoory, Linial and Wigderson, survey). The best possible spectral expansion for a ddd-regular graph is governed by the Alon–Boppana bound 2d−12\sqrt{d-1}2d−1​, and graphs attaining it, Ramanujan graphs, were constructed explicitly by Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak (LPS 1988) and by Margulis. These constructions exist only for special degrees (d=p+1d = p+1d=p+1 with ppp prime) and special numbers of vertices (orders of PSL(2,Fq)PSL(2,\mathbb F_q)PSL(2,Fq​) or SL(2,Fq)SL(2,\mathbb F_q)SL(2,Fq​)). Applications often need a graph of a prescribed size nnn.

N. Alon's paper Explicit expanders of every degree and size (arXiv:2003.11673v1; Combinatorica 41, 2021) shows how to obtain explicit near-Ramanujan graphs on exactly nnn vertices. This mission formalizes the spectral core of its Theorem 1.2: a Ramanujan graph on mmm vertices can be enlarged to n=m+rn = m + rn=m+r vertices, with degree raised by one, while the nontrivial eigenvalues stay within a constant factor of optimal.

Setting

Let VVV be a finite set of m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 vertices. A (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph is a ddd-regular graph on nnn vertices whose adjacency matrix AAA satisfies ∣μ∣≤λ|\mu| \le \lambda∣μ∣≤λ for every nontrivial eigenvalue μ\muμ, that is, every eigenvalue other than the top eigenvalue ddd of the constant vector 1\mathbf 11. For a symmetric AAA with A1=d 1A\mathbf 1 = d\,\mathbf 1A1=d1, the nontrivial eigenvalues are those with an eigenvector f≠0f \ne 0f=0 satisfying ∑vf(v)=0\sum_v f(v) = 0∑v​f(v)=0. Graphs may carry loops, at most one per vertex, and a loop adds one to the degree: it is a diagonal entry 111 of AAA.

Fix an integer p≥0p \ge 0p≥0 and let HHH be an (m,p+1,2p)(m, p+1, 2\sqrt p)(m,p+1,2p​)-graph on VVV, a (p+1)(p+1)(p+1)-regular Ramanujan graph. Let R={u1,…,ur}R = \{u_1, \dots, u_r\}R={u1​,…,ur​} be rrr new vertices and let W1,…,Wr⊆VW_1, \dots, W_r \subseteq VW1​,…,Wr​⊆V be pairwise disjoint sets of p+2p+2p+2 vertices each. Put W=⋃iWiW = \bigcup_i W_iW=⋃i​Wi​ and L=V∖WL = V \setminus WL=V∖W. The graph GGG on U=V∪RU = V \cup RU=V∪R is obtained from HHH by joining each uiu_iui​ to every vertex of WiW_iWi​ and adding one loop at each vertex of LLL. Its adjacency matrix is

AG=AH+AR+AL,A_G = A_H + A_R + A_L,AG​=AH​+AR​+AL​,

where AHA_HAH​ is the adjacency matrix of HHH (zero on RRR), ARA_RAR​ that of the stars joining uiu_iui​ to WiW_iWi​, and ALA_LAL​ the diagonal matrix of the loops. Every vertex of GGG has degree p+2p+2p+2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2, spectral core

AG is an (m+r,  p+2,  2(p+1)+p+(p+1) rm) matrix.A_G \text{ is an } \Big(m+r,\; p+2,\; \sqrt{2(p+1)} + \sqrt p + \frac{(p+1)\,r}{m}\Big)\text{ matrix.}AG​ is an (m+r,p+2,2(p+1)​+p​+m(p+1)r​) matrix.

The paper states λ≤2(d−1)+d−1+o(1)\lambda \le \sqrt{2(d-1)} + \sqrt{d-1} + o(1)λ≤2(d−1)​+d−1​+o(1) for d=p+2d = p+2d=p+2; its proof gives 2(p+1)+p+o(1)\sqrt{2(p+1)} + \sqrt p + o(1)2(p+1)​+p​+o(1), which is stronger, and the error term it produces is (p+1)r/m(p+1)r/m(p+1)r/m. The goal is parametrised by HHH, rrr and the sets WiW_iWi​, so it does not depend on how mmm and rrr are chosen.

Milestones

  1. The variational characterization of the nontrivial eigenvalues: for a symmetric matrix with constant row sums and λ≥0\lambda \ge 0λ≥0, ∣μ∣≤λ|\mu| \le \lambda∣μ∣≤λ for every nontrivial eigenvalue if and only if ∣ftAf∣≤λ∥f∥2|f^tAf| \le \lambda\|f\|^2∣ftAf∣≤λ∥f∥2 whenever ∑f=0\sum f = 0∑f=0.
  2. The Cauchy–Schwarz display: ∑Uf=0\sum_U f = 0∑U​f=0 implies ∣∑Vf∣2=∣∑Rf∣2≤∣R∣∑Rf2|\sum_V f|^2 = |\sum_R f|^2 \le |R| \sum_R f^2∣∑V​f∣2=∣∑R​f∣2≤∣R∣∑R​f2.
  3. Inequality (3): ∣ftAHf∣≤b2(p+1)+c2 2p|f^tA_Hf| \le b^2(p+1) + c^2\, 2\sqrt p∣ftAH​f∣≤b2(p+1)+c22p​ with b2=(∑Vf)2/mb^2 = (\sum_V f)^2/mb2=(∑V​f)2/m and c2=∑Vf2−b2c^2 = \sum_V f^2 - b^2c2=∑V​f2−b2.
  4. Display (4): ftALf=∑v∈Lf2(v)f^tA_Lf = \sum_{v\in L} f^2(v)ftAL​f=∑v∈L​f2(v).
  5. Inequality (5): ∣ftARf∣≤p+2x∑Rf2+x∑Wf2|f^tA_Rf| \le \frac{p+2}{x}\sum_R f^2 + x\sum_W f^2∣ftAR​f∣≤xp+2​∑R​f2+x∑W​f2 for every x>0x > 0x>0.
  6. Inequality (6): for ∑Uf=0\sum_U f = 0∑U​f=0 and x>0x > 0x>0,
∣ftAGf∣≤(2p+1)∑Lf2+(2p+x)∑Wf2+p+2x∑Rf2+(p+1)rm∑Rf2.|f^tA_Gf| \le (2\sqrt p+1)\sum_L f^2 + (2\sqrt p+x)\sum_W f^2 + \frac{p+2}{x}\sum_R f^2 + (p+1)\frac rm \sum_R f^2.∣ftAG​f∣≤(2p​+1)L∑​f2+(2p​+x)W∑​f2+xp+2​R∑​f2+(p+1)mr​R∑​f2.

Significance

With HHH the Lubotzky–Phillips–Sarnak graph on m=∣SL(2,Fq)∣m = |SL(2,\mathbb F_q)|m=∣SL(2,Fq​)∣ vertices for the largest suitable prime qqq with m≤nm \le nm≤n, and r=n−mr = n - mr=n−m, the distribution of primes in arithmetic progressions gives r=o(m)r = o(m)r=o(m), and the goal yields an explicit (n,p+2,λ)(n, p+2, \lambda)(n,p+2,λ)-graph with λ≤(1+2)d−1+o(1)\lambda \le (1+\sqrt2)\sqrt{d-1} + o(1)λ≤(1+2​)d−1​+o(1) for every sufficiently large nnn. This is within a factor of about 1.211.211.21 of the Ramanujan bound 2d−12\sqrt{d-1}2d−1​, for every number of vertices, by an elementary modification of an existing graph. The statement is useful independently of LPS: any Ramanujan graph, or any graph with a bound on its nontrivial eigenvalues, can be padded to a nearby size in the same way.

The result is proved in the paper. No formalization of it, of the (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ) notion, or of the variational characterization of nontrivial eigenvalues for regular graphs exists on the platform. The mission produces a checked version of the spectral argument, and the variational characterization (milestone 1) is a general fact about symmetric matrices with constant row sums that applies to any spectral expander argument.

Difficulty

The vertices of WWW and LLL lie in the old graph HHH, whose spectrum is controlled, but the new vertices of RRR are not; and a vector orthogonal to 1\mathbf 11 on UUU need not be orthogonal to the constant vector on VVV. Bounding ftAGff^tA_GfftAG​f by applying the Ramanujan bound for HHH to fff restricted to VVV therefore fails: the restriction has a component along the trivial eigenvector of HHH, whose eigenvalue p+1p+1p+1 is large. The argument must show that this component is small, of order r/mr/mr/m, and must balance the star edges between RRR and WWW against the loops on LLL so that every vertex class gets the same coefficient. The naive bound ∣ftARf∣≤∥AR∥ ∥f∥2=p+2 ∥f∥2|f^tA_Rf| \le \|A_R\|\,\|f\|^2 = \sqrt{p+2}\,\|f\|^2∣ftAR​f∣≤∥AR​∥∥f∥2=p+2​∥f∥2 added to 2p2\sqrt p2p​ for HHH and 111 for LLL gives a constant larger than 2(p+1)+p\sqrt{2(p+1)}+\sqrt p2(p+1)​+p​; the stated constant needs the weighted estimate.

On the Lean side, milestone 1 concerns the spectrum of a symmetric matrix on the invariant subspace 1⊥\mathbf 1^\perp1⊥, while Mathlib states the spectral theorem for the whole space.

Formalization scope

  • Vertices of GGG are the disjoint union V⊕Fin rV \oplus \mathrm{Fin}\, rV⊕Finr. GGG is represented by its real adjacency matrix, since it has loops; HHH is a Mathlib SimpleGraph with adjMatrix.
  • The (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ) predicate is stated for matrices: ∣V∣=n|V| = n∣V∣=n, symmetry, A1=d 1A\mathbf 1 = d\,\mathbf 1A1=d1, and ∣μ∣≤λ|\mu| \le \lambda∣μ∣≤λ for every eigenpair (μ,f)(\mu, f)(μ,f) with f≠0f \ne 0f=0 and ∑f=0\sum f = 0∑f=0. For simple graphs, ddd-regularity is added.
  • The paper's o(1)o(1)o(1) terms are replaced by the explicit quantities its proof produces: (p+1)r/m(p+1)r/m(p+1)r/m in the goal, and (p+1)rm∑Rf2(p+1)\frac rm\sum_R f^2(p+1)mr​∑R​f2 in (6). Inequality (3) is stated with the corrected relation b2+c2=∑Vf2b^2 + c^2 = \sum_V f^2b2+c2=∑V​f2; the paper's "b2+c2=1b^2 + c^2 = 1b2+c2=1" holds only for unit restrictions.
  • The bound uses p=d−2\sqrt p = \sqrt{d-2}p​=d−2​, as in the proof and the abstract, which implies the printed d−1\sqrt{d-1}d−1​.
  • ppp is any natural number. The hypothesis "ppp prime, p≡1(mod4)p \equiv 1 \pmod 4p≡1(mod4)" serves only to obtain HHH from LPS, and HHH is a hypothesis here. The sets WiW_iWi​ are arbitrary pairwise disjoint sets of size p+2p+2p+2, not the paper's consecutive blocks of a numbering of SL(2,Fq)SL(2,\mathbb F_q)SL(2,Fq​).
  • Out of scope: the existence of the prime qqq and the estimate n−m=o(m)n - m = o(m)n−m=o(m); the numbering of SL(2,Fq)SL(2,\mathbb F_q)SL(2,Fq​); the "strongly explicit" and polynomial-time claims; the LPS construction (Theorem 2.1, cited); the variant that replaces loops by a matching for even nnn.
  • The goal cannot be satisfied trivially: dropping the condition ∑f=0\sum f = 0∑f=0 makes it false, since p+2p+2p+2 is always an eigenvalue, and for p≥2p \ge 2p≥2 and small r/mr/mr/m the bound is below p+2p + 2p+2 (for p=5p = 5p=5 it is about 5.70+6r/m5.70 + 6r/m5.70+6r/m). At p=1p = 1p=1 the bound 3+2r/m3 + 2r/m3+2r/m is at least the degree 333, so that case holds trivially; it is the paper's statement there as well.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of each milestone, especially the variational characterization, which is reusable for mission 3 of this series and for any regular-graph spectral argument.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, Explicit expanders of every degree and size, arXiv:2003.11673v1, 2020; Combinatorica 41 (2021). https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.11673
  • A. Lubotzky, R. Phillips, P. Sarnak, Ramanujan graphs, Combinatorica 8 (1988) 261–277. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02126799
  • S. Hoory, N. Linial, A. Wigderson, Expander graphs and their applications, Bull. AMS 43 (2006) 439–561. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-06-01126-8
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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Explicit Expanders of Every Degree and Size 1: For Distinct Primes q₁, q₂, Every Large n Has an LPS Vertex Count Q(q₁, q₂, s, t) Between n and n + o(n)Research Paper

Motivation

An (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graph is a ddd-regular graph on nnn vertices in which every eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix other than the top eigenvalue ddd has absolute value at most λ\lambdaλ. Graphs of this kind with λ\lambdaλ small compared with ddd are expanders. They are used in derandomization, error-correcting codes, sorting networks and many other constructions in theoretical computer science. A Ramanujan graph achieves λ≤2d−1\lambda\le 2\sqrt{d-1}λ≤2d−1​, which is asymptotically optimal.

The classical explicit Ramanujan graphs of Lubotzky, Phillips and Sarnak (LPS, 1988) exist only for special vertex counts, such as q(q2−1)/2q(q^2-1)/2q(q2−1)/2 for a prime qqq or the size of a quaternion group modulo mmm. N. Alon, in Explicit expanders of every degree and size (arXiv:2003.11673, 2020; Combinatorica 41, 2021), asks for explicit (n,d,λ)(n,d,\lambda)(n,d,λ)-graphs with λ≤(2+o(1))d\lambda\le(2+o(1))\sqrt dλ≤(2+o(1))d​ for every degree ddd and every number of vertices nnn. His Proposition 1.1 builds such graphs out of LPS graphs, and one ingredient is purely arithmetic. If the available vertex counts of an LPS family are dense enough, so that for every large nnn one is within a factor 1+o(1)1+o(1)1+o(1) of nnn, then a few vertices can be added or removed while keeping the spectral bound.

This mission formalizes that ingredient, Lemma 2.2 of the paper (p. 7). It concerns the vertex counts of the LPS graphs H(p,q1sq2t)H(p,q_1^sq_2^t)H(p,q1s​q2t​) for two fixed primes q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ and all exponents s,t≥1s,t\ge1s,t≥1. With q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ fixed, the construction needs no large primes, which is why Proposition 1.1 is strongly explicit for every fixed degree.

Setting

Fix natural numbers q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​. For natural numbers s,ts,ts,t define the LPS vertex count

Q(q1,q2,s,t)=q13(s−1) q23(t−1)⋅q1(q1−1)(q1+1)2⋅q2(q2−1)(q2+1)2.Q(q_1,q_2,s,t)=q_1^{3(s-1)}\,q_2^{3(t-1)}\cdot\frac{q_1(q_1-1)(q_1+1)}{2}\cdot\frac{q_2(q_2-1)(q_2+1)}{2}.Q(q1​,q2​,s,t)=q13(s−1)​q23(t−1)​⋅2q1​(q1​−1)(q1​+1)​⋅2q2​(q2​−1)(q2​+1)​.

When q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ are distinct primes congruent to 111 modulo 4p4p4p and s,t≥1s,t\ge1s,t≥1, this is the number of vertices of the LPS Cayley graph H(p,q1sq2t)H(p,q_1^sq_2^t)H(p,q1s​q2t​) (§2.3, p. 6). Lemma 2.2 itself only requires q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ to be distinct primes. Both fractions are integers, because q(q−1)(q+1)q(q-1)(q+1)q(q−1)(q+1) is a product of three consecutive integers.

The proof uses the real number α=log⁡q1/log⁡q2\alpha=\log q_1/\log q_2α=logq1​/logq2​, and the fractional part {x}=x−⌊x⌋∈[0,1)\{x\}=x-\lfloor x\rfloor\in[0,1){x}=x−⌊x⌋∈[0,1), written x mod 1x \bmod 1xmod1 in the paper.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 2.2

For distinct primes q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ there is a function g:N→Rg:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Rg:N→R with g(n)=o(n)g(n)=o(n)g(n)=o(n) such that for all sufficiently large nnn there are integers s,t≥1s,t\ge1s,t≥1 with

n≤Q(q1,q2,s,t)≤n+g(n).n\le Q(q_1,q_2,s,t)\le n+g(n).n≤Q(q1​,q2​,s,t)≤n+g(n).

Equivalently, the ratio between consecutive elements of {Q(q1,q2,s,t):s,t≥1}\{Q(q_1,q_2,s,t):s,t\ge1\}{Q(q1​,q2​,s,t):s,t≥1} tends to 111. The statement fixes no rate for ggg, matching the paper's o(n)o(n)o(n).

Milestones, in the order the proof of Lemma 2.2 uses them (p. 7)

  1. For distinct primes q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​, α=log⁡q1/log⁡q2\alpha=\log q_1/\log q_2α=logq1​/logq2​ is irrational.
  2. For irrational α\alphaα and every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there is k1≥1k_1\ge1k1​≥1 with 0<{k1α}<δ0<\{k_1\alpha\}<\delta0<{k1​α}<δ.
  3. For distinct primes q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​ and every μ>0\mu>0μ>0 there are k1≥1k_1\ge1k1​≥1, k2≥0k_2\ge0k2​≥0 with
1≤q1k1q2k2≤1+μ.1\le \frac{q_1^{k_1}}{q_2^{k_2}}\le 1+\mu .1≤q2k2​​q1k1​​​≤1+μ.
  1. For distinct primes, μ>0\mu>0μ>0 and k1≥1k_1\ge1k1​≥1, if 1≤q1k1/q2k2≤1+μ1\le q_1^{k_1}/q_2^{k_2}\le1+\mu1≤q1k1​​/q2k2​​≤1+μ, then for s>k1s>k_1s>k1​ and t≥1t\ge1t≥1
1≤Q(q1,q2,s,t)Q(q1,q2,s−k1,t+k2)≤(1+μ)3.1\le\frac{Q(q_1,q_2,s,t)}{Q(q_1,q_2,s-k_1,t+k_2)}\le(1+\mu)^3 .1≤Q(q1​,q2​,s−k1​,t+k2​)Q(q1​,q2​,s,t)​≤(1+μ)3.

Significance

The result. Lemma 2.2 is the step of Proposition 1.1 that turns a family of Ramanujan graphs with sparse vertex counts into a family whose vertex counts approximate every large nnn up to a factor 1+o(1)1+o(1)1+o(1). The deviation from nnn can then be absorbed by the general packing argument of §2.1 of the paper. Without it, the construction would have to search for large primes depending on nnn, and the result would be explicit but not strongly explicit.

The formalization. The lemma is proved in the paper, in one paragraph. To our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists, and the platform has no statement of it. The only related platform item is the irrationality of log⁡2/log⁡3\log 2/\log 3log2/log3, the case q1=2q_1=2q1​=2, q2=3q_2=3q2​=3 of milestone 1. Formalizing the lemma requires a quantitative inhomogeneous step that the paper leaves implicit ("implying the desired result"). Its last sentence also contains a misprint that the formalization corrects (see below). The Diophantine milestones 1–3 are reusable for any argument about the multiplicative density of {q1aq2b}\{q_1^a q_2^b\}{q1a​q2b​}, for instance the ratio of consecutive elements of {2a3b}\{2^a3^b\}{2a3b}.

Difficulty

Each milestone is short. The difficulty is in making the paper's last sentence ("implying the desired result") into a proof. Taking sss or ttt large separately does not work: changing sss or ttt by one multiplies QQQ by q13q_1^3q13​ or q23q_2^3q23​, a fixed factor larger than 111, so the values obtained by varying one exponent leave gaps of a constant ratio. The bound must hold for every large nnn, not just along a subsequence, and the exponents must stay positive throughout. Milestone 2 is the classical fact that the multiples of an irrational number are dense modulo 111. It needs a pigeonhole argument, not just the irrationality.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. QQQ is a natural-number-valued Lean definition given by the explicit formula above, not the cardinality of a quaternion group. The graph-count interpretation needs the section's congruence conditions on p,q1,q2p,q_1,q_2p,q1​,q2​; Lemma 2.2 is an arithmetic statement for all distinct primes q1,q2q_1,q_2q1​,q2​. Every use of QQQ in the theorems has positive s,ts,ts,t, so natural-number subtraction s−1s-1s−1 is exact, and the division by 222 is exact since q(q−1)(q+1)q(q-1)(q+1)q(q−1)(q+1) is even. Ratios and the bound n+g(n)n+g(n)n+g(n) are computed in R\mathbb RR after casting. The logarithm is Real.log, and the fractional part is Int.fract.
  • o(n). The paper writes n≤Q≤n+o(n)n\le Q\le n+o(n)n≤Q≤n+o(n) for every large nnn. The goal states it literally: ∃g, g=o(n)\exists g,\ g=o(n)∃g, g=o(n) (Mathlib IsLittleO along atTop) and, eventually in nnn, ∃s,t≥1\exists s,t\ge1∃s,t≥1 with n≤Q≤n+g(n)n\le Q\le n+g(n)n≤Q≤n+g(n). This is equivalent to the form "for every μ>0\mu>0μ>0, every large nnn has s,t≥1s,t\ge1s,t≥1 with n≤Q≤(1+μ)nn\le Q\le(1+\mu)nn≤Q≤(1+μ)n". The paper's proof yields the second form, with the factor (1+μ)3(1+\mu)^3(1+μ)3 for arbitrary μ\muμ.
  • Misprint. The paper's last sentence compares Q(q1,q2,s,t)Q(q_1,q_2,s,t)Q(q1​,q2​,s,t) with Q(q1,q2,s−k1,t−k2)Q(q_1,q_2,s-k_1,t-k_2)Q(q1​,q2​,s−k1​,t−k2​) for s,t≥max⁡{k1,k2}s,t\ge\max\{k_1,k_2\}s,t≥max{k1​,k2​}. As printed the ratio is q13k1q23k2q_1^{3k_1}q_2^{3k_2}q13k1​​q23k2​​, which is not close to 111. Milestone 4 uses the intended pair (s−k1,t+k2)(s-k_1,t+k_2)(s−k1​,t+k2​), with s>k1s>k_1s>k1​ so that s−k1≥1s-k_1\ge1s−k1​≥1.
  • Ruling out a trivial reading. The lower bound n≤Q(q1,q2,s,t)n\le Q(q_1,q_2,s,t)n≤Q(q1​,q2​,s,t) alone holds for every nnn by taking sss large. The content of the goal is the upper bound with a sublinear excess, and s,ts,ts,t must be positive. In milestone 3 the condition k1≥1k_1\ge1k1​≥1 excludes the trivial witness k1=k2=0k_1=k_2=0k1​=k2​=0.
  • Out of scope. The derivation of QQQ as the vertex count of H(p,q1sq2t)H(p,q_1^sq_2^t)H(p,q1s​q2t​) (Hensel's lemma and the Chinese remainder theorem, pp. 6–7), Theorem 2.1 (the LPS graphs are Ramanujan, cited from Lubotzky–Phillips–Sarnak), Proposition 1.1, the §2.1 packing argument, and every running-time ("explicit", "strongly explicit") claim.
  • Infrastructure. Only Mathlib is needed: unique factorization for milestone 1, Int.fract and a pigeonhole or Dirichlet-approximation argument for milestone 2, and real exponentiation and asymptotics for the goal. Contributions of alternative proofs of milestone 2, for instance via Mathlib's Dirichlet approximation theorem, are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Alon, Explicit expanders of every degree and size, arXiv:2003.11673v1, 2020; Combinatorica 41 (2021). https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.11673 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-020-4429-x
  • A. Lubotzky, R. Phillips, P. Sarnak, Ramanujan graphs, Combinatorica 8 (1988) 261–277. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02126799
  • S. Hoory, N. Linial, A. Wigderson, Expander graphs and their applications, Bull. AMS 43 (2006) 439–561. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-06-01126-8
6 thms2 active usersReviewed
Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Mirror Descent and Nonlinear Projected Subgradient Methods for Convex Optimization: Entropic Mirror Descent on the Unit Simplex Attains min_{s≤k} f(x^s) − min f ≤ √(2 ln n)·L_f/√kResearch Paper

Motivation

Large-scale nonsmooth convex problems, such as minimising a Lipschitz convex function over a probability simplex with millions of coordinates, are routinely solved by first-order methods that use one subgradient per iteration. The classical projected subgradient method reaches accuracy ε\varepsilonε after O(L2R2/ε2)O(L^2 R^2/\varepsilon^2)O(L2R2/ε2) iterations, where LLL and RRR are measured in the Euclidean norm; on the simplex this hides a factor of order nnn in the dimension. Nemirovski and Yudin's mirror descent algorithm (MDA) replaces the Euclidean geometry by one adapted to the feasible set and, on the simplex, reduces the dimension dependence to ln⁡n\ln nlnn.

Beck and Teboulle (Oper. Res. Lett. 31 (2003) 167–175, doi:10.1016/S0167-6377(02)00231-6) showed that mirror descent is a projected subgradient method in which the squared Euclidean distance is replaced by a Bregman-type distance BψB_\psiBψ​. This viewpoint gives a short convergence proof, and with the entropy as ψ\psiψ it yields a fully explicit method on the simplex, the entropic mirror descent algorithm (EMDA), the same multiplicative update that underlies exponentiated-gradient and Hedge-type algorithms in online learning.

Timeline. Nemirovski and Yudin (1983) introduce mirror descent with a O(ln⁡n/k)O(\sqrt{\ln n}/\sqrt k)O(lnn​/k​) rate on the simplex. Ben-Tal, Margalit and Nemirovski (SIAM J. Optim. 12 (2001)) analyse MDA with the ℓp\ell_pℓp​ potential 12∥x∥p2\tfrac12\|x\|_p^221​∥x∥p2​, p=1+1/ln⁡np = 1 + 1/\ln np=1+1/lnn, whose conjugate requires a one-dimensional root-finding at each step. Beck and Teboulle (2003) derive MDA as a nonlinear projected subgradient method (SANP), prove its efficiency estimate for an arbitrary norm, and show that the entropy gives the same 2ln⁡n Lf/k\sqrt{2\ln n}\,L_f/\sqrt k2lnn​Lf​/k​ rate with a closed-form update.

Setting

Let EEE be Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and ∥z∥∗=max⁡{⟨x,z⟩:∥x∥≤1}\|z\|_* = \max\{\langle x, z\rangle : \|x\| \le 1\}∥z∥∗​=max{⟨x,z⟩:∥x∥≤1} the dual norm. The problem is min⁡{f(x):x∈X}\min\{f(x) : x \in X\}min{f(x):x∈X} under Assumption A: XXX is closed and convex; fff is convex on XXX and Lipschitz there, ∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤Lf∥x−y∥|f(x) - f(y)| \le L_f\|x - y\|∣f(x)−f(y)∣≤Lf​∥x−y∥; fff has a minimiser x∗∈Xx^* \in Xx∗∈X; and a subgradient f′(x)f'(x)f′(x) can be computed at every x∈Xx \in Xx∈X.

Let ψ:X→R\psi : X \to \mathbb Rψ:X→R be strongly convex with parameter σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 and differentiable. The distance-like function (3.10) is

Bψ(x,y)=ψ(x)−ψ(y)−⟨x−y,∇ψ(y)⟩.B_\psi(x, y) = \psi(x) - \psi(y) - \langle x - y, \nabla\psi(y)\rangle .Bψ​(x,y)=ψ(x)−ψ(y)−⟨x−y,∇ψ(y)⟩.

The subgradient algorithm with nonlinear projections (SANP, (3.11)) starts from x1x^1x1 and sets, with step sizes tk>0t_k > 0tk​>0,

xk+1=argmin⁡x∈X{⟨x,f′(xk)⟩+1tkBψ(x,xk)}.x^{k+1} = \operatorname*{argmin}_{x \in X}\Big\{\langle x, f'(x^k)\rangle + \tfrac{1}{t_k} B_\psi(x, x^k)\Big\}.xk+1=x∈Xargmin​{⟨x,f′(xk)⟩+tk​1​Bψ​(x,xk)}.

With ψ=12∥⋅∥22\psi = \tfrac12\|\cdot\|_2^2ψ=21​∥⋅∥22​ this is the projected subgradient method.

On the unit simplex Δ={x∈Rn:x≥0, ∑jxj=1}\Delta = \{x \in \mathbb R^n : x \ge 0,\ \sum_j x_j = 1\}Δ={x∈Rn:x≥0, ∑j​xj​=1} take the entropy ψe(x)=∑jxjln⁡xj\psi_e(x) = \sum_j x_j \ln x_jψe​(x)=∑j​xj​lnxj​ (5.27), with 0ln⁡0=00\ln0 = 00ln0=0. SANP becomes the entropic descent algorithm (EDA):

xjk+1=xjk e−tkfj′(xk)∑i=1nxik e−tkfi′(xk).x^{k+1}_j = \frac{x^k_j\,e^{-t_k f'_j(x^k)}}{\sum_{i=1}^n x^k_i\,e^{-t_k f'_i(x^k)}} .xjk+1​=∑i=1n​xik​e−tk​fi′​(xk)xjk​e−tk​fj′​(xk)​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1 (p. 174)

If fff is convex and LfL_fLf​-Lipschitz on Δ\DeltaΔ for ∥⋅∥1\|\cdot\|_1∥⋅∥1​, with subgradients satisfying ∥f′(x)∥∞≤Lf\|f'(x)\|_\infty \le L_f∥f′(x)∥∞​≤Lf​, and the EDA is started at x1=n−1ex^1 = n^{-1}ex1=n−1e with step t=2ln⁡n/(Lfk)t = \sqrt{2\ln n}/(L_f\sqrt k)t=2lnn​/(Lf​k​) for a horizon k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, then

min⁡1≤s≤kf(xs)−min⁡x∈Δf(x)≤2ln⁡n  Lfk.\min_{1 \le s \le k} f(x^s) - \min_{x \in \Delta} f(x) \le \frac{\sqrt{2\ln n}\;L_f}{\sqrt k}.1≤s≤kmin​f(xs)−x∈Δmin​f(x)≤k​2lnn​Lf​​.

The general estimate: Theorems 4.1 and 4.2 (pp. 171–172)

For any norm, any σ\sigmaσ-strongly convex ψ\psiψ and any SANP run,

min⁡1≤s≤kf(xs)−min⁡Xf≤Bψ(x∗,x1)+(2σ)−1∑s=1kts2∥f′(xs)∥∗2∑s=1kts,\min_{1 \le s \le k} f(x^s) - \min_X f \le \frac{B_\psi(x^*, x^1) + (2\sigma)^{-1}\sum_{s=1}^k t_s^2\|f'(x^s)\|_*^2}{\sum_{s=1}^k t_s},1≤s≤kmin​f(xs)−Xmin​f≤∑s=1k​ts​Bψ​(x∗,x1)+(2σ)−1∑s=1k​ts2​∥f′(xs)∥∗2​​,

and with the optimal constant step this gives Lf2Bψ(x∗,x1)/σ/kL_f\sqrt{2B_\psi(x^*, x^1)/\sigma}/\sqrt kLf​2Bψ​(x∗,x1)/σ​/k​.

The milestones follow the paper's proof: the three-point identity (Lemma 4.1), the optimality condition (4.16), the lower bound Bψ≥σ2∥⋅∥2B_\psi \ge \tfrac\sigma2\|\cdot\|^2Bψ​≥2σ​∥⋅∥2, the one-step inequality (4.21), Theorem 4.1(a), Proposition 4.1 (optimal step), Theorem 4.2 and its version with an upper bound on Bψ(x∗,x1)B_\psi(x^*, x^1)Bψ​(x∗,x1); then for the simplex, the 1-strong convexity of ψe\psi_eψe​ for ∥⋅∥1\|\cdot\|_1∥⋅∥1​ (Proposition 5.1(a), Remark 5.1), the bound Bψe(x∗,n−1e)≤ln⁡nB_{\psi_e}(x^*, n^{-1}e) \le \ln nBψe​​(x∗,n−1e)≤lnn (Proposition 5.1(c)), and the identification of the EDA with SANP.

Significance

The result shows that for nonsmooth convex minimisation over the simplex an explicit first-order method attains accuracy ε\varepsilonε in O(Lf2ln⁡n/ε2)O(L_f^2\ln n/\varepsilon^2)O(Lf2​lnn/ε2) iterations, with LfL_fLf​ measured in the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ dual norm. The general estimate of Theorem 4.2 applies to any norm and any strongly convex potential, and is the template for later analyses of mirror descent, its stochastic and online variants, and mirror-prox methods.

Formalizing the paper produces a norm-agnostic, machine-checked proof of the mirror descent efficiency estimate, in which subgradients are dual-space objects and the dual norm is explicit, and a verified link between the entropy, the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ geometry and the multiplicative-weights update. To our knowledge none of these statements is formalized; existing formal developments of online mirror descent work in Euclidean space with Legendre potentials and bound regret for linear losses, which is a different statement.

Difficulty

The algebra of Theorem 4.1 is short, but it rests on facts that are not available off the shelf. The first-order optimality condition (4.16) must be derived for a minimiser over a convex set without assuming the set has interior (the simplex has none in Rn\mathbb R^nRn). The bound Bψ(u,y)≥σ2∥u−y∥2B_\psi(u, y) \ge \tfrac\sigma2\|u - y\|^2Bψ​(u,y)≥2σ​∥u−y∥2 must be obtained from the chord definition of strong convexity for an arbitrary norm. On the simplex, strong convexity of the entropy with respect to ∥⋅∥1\|\cdot\|_1∥⋅∥1​ is a form of Pinsker's inequality, and it must hold on the closed simplex, where the entropy is not differentiable at the boundary. Finally, the EDA must be shown to be the exact minimiser of the SANP subproblem over Δ\DeltaΔ, which is a Gibbs variational principle. A tempting shortcut, working throughout in Euclidean space, fails: it changes the dual norm of the subgradients from ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ to ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ and the strong convexity constant of the entropy, and loses the ln⁡n\ln nlnn rate.

Formalization scope

Sections 3–4 live in a general real normed space; a subgradient is a continuous linear functional, ⟨u,f′(x)⟩\langle u, f'(x)\rangle⟨u,f′(x)⟩ is its value at uuu, and ∥⋅∥∗\|\cdot\|_*∥⋅∥∗​ is the operator norm. ∇ψ\nabla\psi∇ψ is the Fréchet derivative. Iterates are indexed from 111. A SANP run is a predicate on sequences: each step size is positive, each iterate lies in XXX, ψ\psiψ is differentiable there, and the next iterate minimises the SANP objective. This encodes the paper's standing assumption that SANP is well defined, and replaces "XXX has nonempty interior" and "x1∈int⁡Xx^1 \in \operatorname{int} Xx1∈intX". Section 5 works on Rn\mathbb R^nRn as functions {1,…,n}→R\{1, \dots, n\} \to \mathbb R{1,…,n}→R with explicit ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ sums; int⁡Δ\operatorname{int}\DeltaintΔ is the relative interior, and the entropy formula is evaluated on Δ\DeltaΔ only. "min⁡1≤s≤kf(xs)−min⁡Xf≤R\min_{1\le s\le k} f(x^s) - \min_X f \le Rmin1≤s≤k​f(xs)−minX​f≤R" is stated as the existence of s∈{1,…,k}s \in \{1, \dots, k\}s∈{1,…,k} with f(xs)−f(x∗)≤Rf(x^s) - f(x^*) \le Rf(xs)−f(x∗)≤R.

Added hypotheses, each disclosed in the item: a bound ∥f′(x)∥∗≤Lf\|f'(x)\|_* \le L_f∥f′(x)∥∗​≤Lf​ on the oracle (used by the proofs of Theorems 4.1(b), 4.2 and 5.1, not implied by the Lipschitz condition for subgradients relative to XXX); D−1b>0D^{-1}b > 0D−1b>0 in Proposition 4.1, without which the proposition as printed is false; Lf>0L_f > 0Lf​>0 in the step sizes. The step sizes of (4.23) and of the EDA are constant over a fixed horizon kkk, which is what the proof chooses; Theorem 5.1 is stated with LfL_fLf​, since the free index in the printed bound (5.28) cannot be bound, and LfL_fLf​ is what the proof yields.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: BψB_\psiBψ​ is never evaluated where fderiv is a junk value (the run requires differentiability at every iterate), the SANP step is never chosen by Classical.epsilon, the bound of Theorem 5.1 is not stated with a maximum of ∥f′(xs)∥∞\|f'(x^s)\|_\infty∥f′(xs)∥∞​ over the run, and the step is not an anytime schedule ts∝1/st_s \propto 1/\sqrt sts​∝1/s​.

A complete development needs first-order optimality conditions over convex sets, strong convexity and Bregman distances in normed spaces, Pinsker-type inequalities for finite distributions, and the Gibbs variational principle. These are reusable beyond this mission; proofs of any milestone, and general lemmas that serve several of them, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Beck, M. Teboulle, Mirror descent and nonlinear projected subgradient methods for convex optimization, Oper. Res. Lett. 31 (2003) 167–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6377(02)00231-6
  • A. Ben-Tal, T. Margalit, A. Nemirovski, The ordered subsets mirror descent optimization method with applications to tomography, SIAM J. Optim. 12 (2001) 79–108. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623499354564
  • A. Nemirovsky, D. Yudin, Problem Complexity and Method Efficiency in Optimization, Wiley, 1983.
  • G. Chen, M. Teboulle, Convergence analysis of a proximal-like minimization algorithm using Bregman functions, SIAM J. Optim. 3 (1993) 538–543. https://doi.org/10.1137/0803026
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