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The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 19.8899945Formalized record→≤ 14.797074Open frontier
6 provers on it3 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 90Formalized record
2 provers on it2 of 2 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 85Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it10 of 12 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times XI: The Cutoff Phenomenon and Lamplighter WalksTextbook

Motivation

For many natural chains, convergence to stationarity is not gradual: the distance stays near its maximum for a long time and then collapses to zero in a comparatively negligible window. A deck of cards under riffle shuffles is "not at all mixed" for six shuffles and "essentially mixed" after eight. This abrupt transition is the cutoff phenomenon, discovered by Aldous and Diaconis in the 1980s, and Chapter 18 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) develops its theory: precise definitions of cutoff and cutoff windows, the product criterion trel=o(tmix)t_{\mathrm{rel}}=o(t_{\mathrm{mix}})trel​=o(tmix​) necessary for cutoff, and complete proofs for two model families — the biased walk on a segment and the lazy hypercube walk, the latter with the sharp 12nlog⁡n\tfrac12 n\log n21​nlogn location and window nnn, in both total variation and separation. Chapter 19 complements this with lamplighter walks: chains on the wreath-product state space of lamp configurations over a moving lamplighter, whose relaxation, mixing, and separation times are governed — beautifully — by the hitting and cover times of Missions VI. Both chapters are formalized in this mission.

Setting

A family of chains is a sequence P(n)P^{(n)}P(n) on state spaces VnV_nVn​ with stationary distributions πn\pi_nπn​; all single-chain quantities acquire an index nnn. As before, ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣, dn(t)=max⁡x∥P(n)t(x,⋅)−πn∥TVd_n(t)=\max_x\|P^{(n)t}(x,\cdot)-\pi_n\|_{TV}dn​(t)=maxx​∥P(n)t(x,⋅)−πn​∥TV​, tmix(n)(ε)=min⁡{t:dn(t)≤ε}t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)=\min\{t:d_n(t)\le\varepsilon\}tmix(n)​(ε)=min{t:dn​(t)≤ε}, and tmix(n)=tmix(n)(1/4)t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}=t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}(1/4)tmix(n)​=tmix(n)​(1/4). The family has a cutoff when for every 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1

tmix(n)(ε)tmix(n)(1−ε)  ⟶  1(n→∞),\frac{t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)}{t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}(1-\varepsilon)}\;\longrightarrow\;1\qquad(n\to\infty),tmix(n)​(1−ε)tmix(n)​(ε)​⟶1(n→∞),

and a cutoff at tnt_ntn​ with window wnw_nwn​ when wn=o(tn)w_n=o(t_n)wn​=o(tn​) and the distance at time tn+αwnt_n+\alpha w_ntn​+αwn​ tends (in the appropriate limsup/liminf sense) to 111 as α→−∞\alpha\to-\inftyα→−∞ and to 000 as α→+∞\alpha\to+\inftyα→+∞. The separation distance from xxx is sx(t)=max⁡y(1−Pt(x,y)/π(y))s_x(t)=\max_y\bigl(1-P^t(x,y)/\pi(y)\bigr)sx​(t)=maxy​(1−Pt(x,y)/π(y)) (Mission III), s(t)=max⁡xsx(t)s(t)=\max_xs_x(t)s(t)=maxx​sx​(t), and a separation cutoff is defined by the same window template with sss in place of ddd. From Mission VII, trel=(1−λ⋆)−1t_{\mathrm{rel}}=(1-\lambda_\star)^{-1}trel​=(1−λ⋆​)−1 is the relaxation time; from Mission VI, thit=max⁡x,yEx(τy)t_{\mathrm{hit}}=\max_{x,y}\mathbb E_x(\tau_y)thit​=maxx,y​Ex​(τy​) and tcovt_{\mathrm{cov}}tcov​ are the maximal hitting and cover times, and the pairwise distance dˉ(t)=max⁡x,y∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV\bar d(t)=\max_{x,y}\|P^t(x,\cdot)-P^t(y,\cdot)\|_{TV}dˉ(t)=maxx,y​∥Pt(x,⋅)−Pt(y,⋅)∥TV​ is from Mission II.

The concrete chains: the lazy biased walk on {0,…,n}\{0,\dots,n\}{0,…,n} holds with probability 12\tfrac1221​ and otherwise steps up with probability p>12p>\tfrac12p>21​, down with probability 1−p1-p1−p (reflecting at the endpoints); the lazy hypercube walk is the walk of Mission IV on {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n{0,1}n. The lamplighter chain G∗G^\astG∗ over a graph GGG has states (lamp configuration in {0,1}V\{0,1\}^{V}{0,1}V, lamplighter position in VVV); one step randomizes the current lamp, moves the lamplighter one step of the lazy walk on GGG, and randomizes the new lamp. Its stationary distribution is uniform lamps times the walk's stationary distribution.

Formalization targets

Goal

Theorem 18.3: the lazy hypercube walk has a cutoff at 12 nlog⁡n\tfrac12\,n\log n21​nlogn with window nnn — the family's total variation distance undergoes its full collapse in a window of size Θ(n)\Theta(n)Θ(n) around 12nlog⁡n\tfrac12 n\log n21​nlogn.

Milestones

  • Lemma 18.1 — cutoff is equivalent to the step-function limit: dn(⌊c tmix(n)⌋)→1d_n(\lfloor c\,t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}\rfloor)\to1dn​(⌊ctmix(n)​⌋)→1 for every c<1c<1c<1 and →0\to0→0 for every c>1c>1c>1.
  • Theorem 18.2 — the lazy biased walk on {0,…,n}\{0,\dots,n\}{0,…,n} with bias β=p−12>0\beta=p-\tfrac12>0β=p−21​>0 has a cutoff at β−1n\beta^{-1}nβ−1n with window n\sqrt nn​.
  • Proposition 18.4 (the product condition) — for a reversible family with tmix(n)→∞t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}\to\inftytmix(n)​→∞, if tmix(n)≤C trel(n)t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{mix}}\le C\,t^{(n)}_{\mathrm{rel}}tmix(n)​≤Ctrel(n)​ for a fixed constant CCC, the family has no cutoff: trel=o(tmix)t_{\mathrm{rel}}=o(t_{\mathrm{mix}})trel​=o(tmix​) is necessary.
  • Theorem 18.8 — the lazy hypercube walk has a separation cutoff at nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn with window nnn — at twice the total-variation cutoff time.
  • Lemma 19.3 (Aldous–Diaconis) — the separation–total-variation relation s(2t)≤1−(1−dˉ(t))2s(2t)\le1-\bigl(1-\bar d(t)\bigr)^2s(2t)≤1−(1−dˉ(t))2 for reversible chains.
  • Theorem 19.1 — for lamplighter chains over a growing family of connected graphs, trel(Gn∗)≍thit(Gn)t_{\mathrm{rel}}(G_n^\ast)\asymp t_{\mathrm{hit}}(G_n)trel​(Gn∗​)≍thit​(Gn​): the relaxation time is comparable, with universal constants, to the maximal hitting time of the base walk.
  • Theorem 19.2 — likewise tmix(Gn∗)≍tcov(Gn)t_{\mathrm{mix}}(G_n^\ast)\asymp t_{\mathrm{cov}}(G_n)tmix​(Gn∗​)≍tcov​(Gn​): the lamplighter's mixing time is governed by the base walk's cover time.

Significance

The results. Cutoff is the deepest phenomenon in the quantitative theory of Markov chains: it says mixing is a phase transition in time. The hypercube is the fundamental example where everything can be computed — the eigenvalue structure of Mission VII delivers the upper bound and a refined distinguishing-statistic argument (Mission IV) the lower — and the 12nlog⁡n\tfrac12 n\log n21​nlogn location with window nnn is the sharpest statement of the coupon-collector heuristic. The product condition 18.4 is the basic sanity criterion in the ongoing research program of characterizing cutoff. The lamplighter theorems tie together the entire series: hitting times (Mission VI), cover times (Mission VI), relaxation times (Mission VII), and separation (Missions III, XI) all meet in one family of chains that furnishes counterexamples — for instance, families with total-variation cutoff but no separation cutoff.

Formalizing them. Nothing about cutoff exists in any proof assistant. The definitions themselves (families of chains, windows, limsup/liminf in a real parameter) are a formalization contribution: they force precision about quantifier order that informal texts elide. The hypercube cutoff is a landmark target — a sharp two-sided asymptotic statement, not an inequality.

Difficulty

The upper half of the hypercube cutoff needs the full eigenvalue decomposition of the walk (λj=1−j/n\lambda_j=1-j/nλj​=1−j/n with multiplicity (nj)\binom nj(jn​), via Mission VII's spectral representation) and the ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2 bound summed over binomial coefficients; the lower half needs the Hamming-weight distinguishing statistic pushed to second-order precision (mean and variance at time 12nlog⁡n+αn\tfrac12 n\log n+\alpha n21​nlogn+αn). Proposition 18.4 converts an eigenfunction with eigenvalue near 111 into a quantitative anti-concentration statement — the formal content of "a bounded ratio forbids abrupt collapse". Theorem 18.2 rests on a central-limit-flavoured estimate for the biased walk's position, done with fourth-moment bounds rather than the CLT. The lamplighter theorems are the heaviest: the upper bounds couple lamp refreshment with the cover-time of the base walk, the lower bounds run separation-distance and eigenfunction arguments, and all four inequalities must hold with universal constants over an arbitrary growing graph family — the statements quantify over the family, so the proofs must too. The asymptotic language throughout (liminf/limsup over nnn, limits in the window parameter α\alphaα) exercises the filter library in earnest.

Formalization scope

Families are dependent functions ∀ n, Matrix (V n) (V n) ℝ over a sequence of finite state-space types. Cutoff and windows are rendered exactly by the book's Eq. (18.3) and §18.1: the window definition uses Filter.liminf/limsup over nnn composed with limits in the real parameter α\alphaα (through ⌊t n + α w n⌋₊, with the natural-floor convention on negative reals). The mixing-time ratio in the cutoff definition uses real division of the natural-valued mixing times (total division: the hypotheses keep denominators eventually positive). The biased walk's stationary distribution is passed as a hypothesis rather than a closed form. In the lamplighter theorems the comparability constants c1,c2c_1,c_2c1​,c2​ and the threshold NNN are existentially quantified, with the graph family and its connectivity as hypotheses; the lamplighter matrix and its product stationary distribution are explicit definitions. Lemma 19.3 is stated for a single reversible chain at all times ttt.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • D. Aldous, P. Diaconis, Shuffling cards and stopping times, Amer. Math. Monthly 93 (1986). https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1986.11971821
  • P. Diaconis, The cutoff phenomenon in finite Markov chains, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 93 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.93.4.1659
  • Y. Peres, D. Revelle, Mixing times for random walks on finite lamplighter groups, Electron. J. Probab. 9 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1214/EJP.v9-198
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times X: Martingales and Evolving SetsTextbook

Motivation

Every mixing bound in Missions II–IX ultimately leaned on either coupling or the spectrum, and the spectral route demanded reversibility. Chapter 17 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) opens a third route: martingales — processes whose conditional expected increment vanishes — and the beautiful evolving-set process of Morris and Peres built from them. The payoff theorem of the chapter bounds the mixing time of any lazy irreducible chain by its bottleneck constant, with no reversibility hypothesis anywhere — an honest strengthening of the spectral route through the Cheeger inequality, whose proof is a martingale analysis of a random sequence of sets growing and shrinking under the chain's flow. The same chapter proves the optional stopping theorem in the exact discrete form the rest of the series consumes, and applies the machinery to sharp return-probability estimates for lazy walks.

Setting

Throughout, PPP is a chain on a finite state space VVV with stationary distribution π\piπ; ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_{A}|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣, d(t)=max⁡x∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TVd(t)=\max_x\|P^t(x,\cdot)-\pi\|_{TV}d(t)=maxx​∥Pt(x,⋅)−π∥TV​, and tmix(ε)=min⁡{t:d(t)≤ε}t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)=\min\{t:d(t)\le\varepsilon\}tmix​(ε)=min{t:d(t)≤ε} as in the earlier missions; πmin⁡=min⁡xπ(x)\pi_{\min}=\min_x\pi(x)πmin​=minx​π(x). The chain is lazy when P(x,x)≥12P(x,x)\ge\tfrac12P(x,x)≥21​ at every state.

A martingale adapted to the chain is a family MtM_tMt​ of functions of the trajectory up to time ttt such that the conditional expectation of Mt+1M_{t+1}Mt+1​, given the trajectory so far, equals MtM_tMt​ — for a finite chain, a pointwise finite-sum identity. A stopping time τ\tauτ is a {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}-valued stopping rule in the sense of Mission III: whether to stop at time ttt depends only on the trajectory up to ttt.

From Mission IV: the edge measure is Q(x,y)=π(x)P(x,y)Q(x,y)=\pi(x)P(x,y)Q(x,y)=π(x)P(x,y), with Q(S,y)=∑x∈SQ(x,y)Q(S,y)=\sum_{x\in S}Q(x,y)Q(S,y)=∑x∈S​Q(x,y), and the bottleneck constant Φ⋆\Phi_\starΦ⋆​ is the minimum over sets SSS with 0<π(S)≤120<\pi(S)\le\tfrac120<π(S)≤21​ of Φ(S)=Q(S,Sc)/π(S)\Phi(S)=Q(S,S^c)/\pi(S)Φ(S)=Q(S,Sc)/π(S). The evolving-set process is the Markov chain on subsets of VVV in which, from the current set SSS, one draws uuu uniform on (0,1](0,1](0,1] and passes to the superlevel set

S′={y  :  Q(S,y)π(y)≥u}S'=\Bigl\{y\;:\;\frac{Q(S,y)}{\pi(y)}\ge u\Bigr\}S′={y:π(y)Q(S,y)​≥u}

— states currently receiving a large share of the flow out of SSS are likely to join, states receiving little are likely to leave.

Formalization targets

Goal

Theorem 17.10 (Morris–Peres), the capstone of Chapter 17: for any lazy irreducible chain — reversibility not assumed —

tmix(ε)  ≤  2Φ⋆2 log⁡ ⁣(1ε πmin⁡).t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\;\le\;\frac{2}{\Phi_\star^{2}}\,\log\!\Bigl(\frac{1}{\varepsilon\,\pi_{\min}}\Bigr).tmix​(ε)≤Φ⋆2​2​log(επmin​1​).

Milestones

  • Corollary 17.7, the Optional Stopping Theorem — if MMM is a martingale adapted to the chain, bounded uniformly by a constant, and τ\tauτ is an almost surely finite stopping time, then Ex(Mτ)=M0(x)\mathbb E_x(M_\tau)=M_0(x)Ex​(Mτ​)=M0​(x): stopping a fair game at a fair time wins nothing.
  • Lemma 17.12 — the evolving-set process, started from the singleton {x}\{x\}{x}, recovers the chain: Pt(x,y)=π(y)π(x) P{x}{y∈St}P^t(x,y)=\dfrac{\pi(y)}{\pi(x)}\,\mathbb P_{\{x\}}\{y\in S_t\}Pt(x,y)=π(x)π(y)​P{x}​{y∈St​}.
  • Lemma 17.13 — for the evolving-set process, the stationary mass π(St)\pi(S_t)π(St​) of the current set is a martingale.
  • Theorem 17.17 — return probabilities of the lazy random walk on a graph of maximum degree Δ\DeltaΔ: ∣Pt(x,x)−π(x)∣≤2 Δ5/2/t\bigl|P^t(x,x)-\pi(x)\bigr|\le\sqrt2\,\Delta^{5/2}/\sqrt t​Pt(x,x)−π(x)​≤2​Δ5/2/t​, an application of the evolving-set machinery.

Significance

The results. The optional stopping theorem is the workhorse identity of discrete probability — the earlier missions' gambler's-ruin and hitting-time computations are all instances, and Missions XI–XII cite it again. The Morris–Peres theorem is the strongest known elementary relation between geometry and mixing: for reversible chains it recovers the Cheeger-based bound tmix≲Φ⋆−2log⁡(1/πmin⁡)t_{\mathrm{mix}}\lesssim\Phi_\star^{-2}\log(1/\pi_{\min})tmix​≲Φ⋆−2​log(1/πmin​) of Mission VII, but it needs no reversibility, and its proof technique — controlling the root π(St)\sqrt{\pi(S_t)}π(St​)​ as a supermartingale — introduced evolving sets as a tool that has since produced heat-kernel decay, isoperimetric mixing profiles, and bounds for non-reversible and time-inhomogeneous chains well beyond the book.

Formalizing them. Mathlib's martingale library lives in measure-theoretic generality; this mission's chain-adapted martingales are self-contained finite objects (families of functions on trajectory spaces), so the optional stopping theorem here is independent of, and complementary to, the measure-theoretic one. Evolving sets exist in no proof assistant; the process is a genuinely novel formalization target — a Markov chain whose states are Finsets, defined through interval lengths of a uniform variable.

Difficulty

The optional stopping theorem needs the dominated-convergence step (bounded martingale, a.s. finite time) rendered as an elementary tail estimate — the series ∑tP{τ=t} Mt\sum_t\mathbb P\{\tau=t\}\,M_t∑t​P{τ=t}Mt​ must be shown summable and equal to M0M_0M0​ by an exchange of finite sums with a limit. The evolving-set transition probabilities are interval lengths: the probability of passing from SSS to TTT is the length of the set of u∈(0,1]u\in(0,1]u∈(0,1] whose superlevel set is exactly TTT, which the formalization encodes by explicit upper and lower thresholds (a min over TTT and a max over TcT^cTc of the clipped ratios Q(S,y)/π(y)Q(S,y)/\pi(y)Q(S,y)/π(y)); establishing that these lengths sum to one over TTT, and that the process has the two martingale properties, is delicate finite-order-statistics reasoning. The goal theorem then runs a supermartingale argument on π(St)\sqrt{\pi(S_t)}π(St​)​: laziness keeps the thresholds in [12,1][\tfrac12,1][21​,1], an expansion estimate converts the bottleneck constant into a per-step multiplicative decay of Eπ(St)(1−π(St))\mathbb E\sqrt{\pi(S_t)\bigl(1-\pi(S_t)\bigr)}Eπ(St​)(1−π(St​))​, and Lemma 17.12 converts that decay into a total-variation bound. Theorem 17.17 composes the same machinery with a Cauchy–Schwarz step. None of this exists in any library; the auxiliary supermartingale lemmas are welcome as separate contributions.

Formalization scope

Martingales, stopping times, and stopped expectations are the trajectory-calculus objects of Missions I and III: finite sums over paths weighted by ∏P(ωi,ωi+1)\prod P(\omega_i,\omega_{i+1})∏P(ωi​,ωi+1​), with expectations over the stopping time as tsums in ttt (non-summable families sum to 000; the a.s.-finiteness hypothesis is the statement that the stopping mass sums to 111). The evolving-set matrix is defined by the clipped-threshold formula described above — an explicit real matrix on Finset V — and the goal and lemmas assume π\piπ positive and PPP lazy exactly where the book does. Theorem 17.17 is stated for the lazy walk on a connected graph with positive degrees, with π(x)=deg⁡(x)/2∣E∣\pi(x)=\deg(x)/2|E|π(x)=deg(x)/2∣E∣ written out. Real-valued bounds on the natural-valued tmixt_{\mathrm{mix}}tmix​ are direct inequalities on the cast, with no hidden rounding.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • B. Morris, Y. Peres, Evolving sets, mixing and heat kernel bounds, Probab. Theory Related Fields 133 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-005-0434-7
  • D. Williams, Probability with Martingales, Cambridge University Press, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511813658
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times IX: The Ising ModelTextbook

Motivation

The Ising model is statistical mechanics' fruit fly: spins ±1\pm1±1 on the vertices of a graph, neighbours preferring to agree, a single parameter — the inverse temperature β\betaβ — tuning the strength of that preference. Chapter 15 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) studies the Glauber dynamics for this model and exhibits, on concrete graphs, the phenomenon that made mixing times a subject: a dynamical phase transition. At high temperature (small β\betaβ) the dynamics mixes in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) steps on any bounded-degree graph; on the complete graph the same dynamics passes, as β\betaβ crosses an explicit threshold, from O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) mixing to exponentially slow mixing. The chapter also introduces two comparison tools of independent value — the sensitivity of the spectral gap to edge removal, and the block dynamics comparison — and the Kenyon–Mossel–Peres bound for trees, all formalized in this mission.

Setting

Spin configurations on a finite graph GGG with vertex set of size nnn and maximum degree Δ\DeltaΔ are functions σ\sigmaσ assigning ±1\pm1±1 to each vertex (encoded over Booleans, true↦+1\mathrm{true}\mapsto+1true↦+1). The Ising model at inverse temperature β>0\beta>0β>0 is the Gibbs distribution

π(σ)  =  e β∑{v,w}∈Eσ(v)σ(w)Z(β),\pi(\sigma)\;=\;\frac{e^{\,\beta\sum_{\{v,w\}\in E}\sigma(v)\sigma(w)}}{Z(\beta)},π(σ)=Z(β)eβ∑{v,w}∈E​σ(v)σ(w)​,

each edge counted once, Z(β)Z(\beta)Z(β) the normalizing partition function. The Glauber dynamics for π\piπ picks a uniform vertex and re-samples its spin from π\piπ conditioned on all other spins — concretely, the new spin at vvv is +1+1+1 with probability (1+tanh⁡(βS))/2\bigl(1+\tanh(\beta S)\bigr)/2(1+tanh(βS))/2 where SSS is the sum of the neighbouring spins.

The yardsticks are as in the earlier missions: ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_A|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣ is the total variation distance, d(t)=max⁡σ∥Pt(σ,⋅)−π∥TVd(t)=\max_\sigma\|P^t(\sigma,\cdot)-\pi\|_{TV}d(t)=maxσ​∥Pt(σ,⋅)−π∥TV​, and tmix(ε)=min⁡{t:d(t)≤ε}t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)=\min\{t:d(t)\le\varepsilon\}tmix​(ε)=min{t:d(t)≤ε}. From Mission VII: an eigenvalue of a chain is a real λ\lambdaλ with Pf=λfPf=\lambda fPf=λf for some nonzero fff; λ2\lambda_2λ2​ is the largest eigenvalue ≠1\ne1=1, the spectral gap is γ=1−λ2\gamma=1-\lambda_2γ=1−λ2​, λ⋆\lambda_\starλ⋆​ the largest ∣λ∣|\lambda|∣λ∣ over eigenvalues ≠1\ne1=1, and the relaxation time is trel=(1−λ⋆)−1t_{\mathrm{rel}}=(1-\lambda_\star)^{-1}trel​=(1−λ⋆​)−1.

Formalization targets

Goal

Theorem 15.1, the high-temperature fast-mixing theorem: if Δtanh⁡β<1\Delta\tanh\beta<1Δtanhβ<1 then the Glauber dynamics on any graph satisfies

tmix(ε)  ≤  ⌈n (log⁡n+log⁡(1/ε))1−Δtanh⁡β⌉,t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\;\le\;\Bigl\lceil\frac{n\,\bigl(\log n+\log(1/\varepsilon)\bigr)}{1-\Delta\tanh\beta}\Bigr\rceil,tmix​(ε)≤⌈1−Δtanhβn(logn+log(1/ε))​⌉,

together with its refinement for graphs with all degrees even, where the condition relaxes to (Δ/2)tanh⁡(2β)<1(\Delta/2)\tanh(2\beta)<1(Δ/2)tanh(2β)<1.

Milestones

  • Lemma 15.2 (the tanh lemma) — the elementary inequalities about x↦tanh⁡(β(x+1))−tanh⁡(β(x−1))x\mapsto\tanh(\beta(x+1))-\tanh(\beta(x-1))x↦tanh(β(x+1))−tanh(β(x−1)) (symmetry, monotonicity, the bounds by 2tanh⁡β2\tanh\beta2tanhβ and, at odd integers, by tanh⁡2β\tanh 2\betatanh2β) that drive the one-site coupling contraction.
  • Theorem 15.3 — the dynamical phase transition on the complete graph at β=α/n\beta=\alpha/nβ=α/n: (i) for α<1\alpha<1α<1, tmix(ε)≤n(log⁡n+log⁡(1/ε))/(1−α)t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le n(\log n+\log(1/\varepsilon))/(1-\alpha)tmix​(ε)≤n(logn+log(1/ε))/(1−α); (ii) for α>1\alpha>1α>1, there are r(α),C>0r(\alpha),C>0r(α),C>0 with tmix≥C ernt_{\mathrm{mix}}\ge C\,e^{r n}tmix​≥Cern — split here into a fast half and a slow half.
  • Theorem 15.4 — on the nnn-cycle, at every β>0\beta>0β>0, mixing is nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn up to explicit constants: (1+o(1)) nlog⁡n2cO(β)≤tmix(ε)≤(1+o(1)) nlog⁡ncO(β)(1+o(1))\,\frac{n\log n}{2c_O(\beta)}\le t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le(1+o(1))\,\frac{n\log n}{c_O(\beta)}(1+o(1))2cO​(β)nlogn​≤tmix​(ε)≤(1+o(1))cO​(β)nlogn​ with cO(β)=1−tanh⁡(2β)c_O(\beta)=1-\tanh(2\beta)cO​(β)=1−tanh(2β).
  • Theorem 15.6 (Kenyon–Mossel–Peres) — on the rooted bbb-ary tree of depth kkk with nkn_knk​ vertices, the relaxation time is polynomial at every temperature: trel≤nk cT(β,b)t_{\mathrm{rel}}\le n_k^{\,c_T(\beta,b)}trel​≤nkcT​(β,b)​ with cT(β,b)=2β(3b+1)/log⁡b+1c_T(\beta,b)=2\beta(3b+1)/\log b+1cT​(β,b)=2β(3b+1)/logb+1.
  • Proposition 15.7 — removing rrr edges changes the spectral gap of the Glauber dynamics by at most a factor e2β(Δ+2r)e^{2\beta(\Delta+2r)}e2β(Δ+2r).
  • Theorem 15.9 — the block-dynamics comparison: if blocks V1,…,VbV_1,\dots,V_bV1​,…,Vb​ cover the vertex set, each of size at most MMM, each vertex in at most M⋆M_\starM⋆​ blocks, then the spectral gap γB\gamma_BγB​ of the block dynamics and the gap γ\gammaγ of the single-site dynamics satisfy γB≤M2M⋆ (4e2βΔ)M+1 γ\gamma_B\le M^2M_\star\,(4e^{2\beta\Delta})^{M+1}\,\gammaγB​≤M2M⋆​(4e2βΔ)M+1γ.

Significance

The results. Theorem 15.1 is the standard fast-mixing criterion for Glauber dynamics, and the model application of the path-coupling technique of Mission VIII. Theorem 15.3 exhibits, in the cleanest possible setting, the correspondence between the static phase transition of the mean-field Ising model and the dynamical transition of its Glauber dynamics — the phenomenon at the heart of Markov-chain approaches to statistical physics. The tree bound of Kenyon–Mossel–Peres and the block-dynamics comparison are the standard tools for spatially structured spin systems; block dynamics in particular is the engine of recursive gap bounds on trees and lattices.

Formalizing them. Nothing about the Ising model, Gibbs distributions, or Glauber dynamics exists in Mathlib. The Gibbs-distribution layer (weights, partition functions, conditional single-site laws with their tanh⁡\tanhtanh closed forms) is foundational for any future formalization of statistical mechanics; the phase-transition theorem 15.3(ii) would be, to our knowledge, the first formalized instance of exponentially slow mixing driven by an energy barrier.

Difficulty

The high-temperature theorem is path coupling (Mission VIII) plus the tanh lemma: the one-site coupling of two adjacent configurations contracts the Hamming metric at rate 1−(1−Δtanh⁡β)/n1-\bigl(1-\Delta\tanh\beta\bigr)/n1−(1−Δtanhβ)/n, and every analytic input is in Lemma 15.2 — which is why that elementary lemma is a milestone of its own. The slow-mixing half of Theorem 15.3 runs through the bottleneck bound of Mission IV: the magnetization performs a one-dimensional walk in a double-well free-energy landscape, and the bottleneck at zero magnetization has exponentially small stationary mass — a large-deviations estimate carried out with binomial coefficients. The cycle's lower bound needs Wilson's method (Mission VII) with an explicit eigenfunction. The tree and block theorems are exercises in the comparison technology of Mission VII (Dirichlet forms, canonical paths through block updates); their constants are crude but the inductive structure is delicate. Everything sits on the subtlety that the state space {±1}V\{\pm1\}^V{±1}V has size 2n2^n2n, so all "polynomial" bounds are polynomial in nnn, not in the size of the state space.

Formalization scope

The Gibbs distribution is defined by explicit finite sums (weight over partition function, total division); no positivity side conditions are needed since the weights are exponentials. The Glauber dynamics is the generic single-site heat bath of Mission II applied to the Ising distribution, so the tanh⁡\tanhtanh closed form is a provable lemma, not a definition. Asymptotic statements (o(1)o(1)o(1), "for sufficiently large nnn") are rendered with explicit ∃N,∀n≥N\exists N,\forall n\ge N∃N,∀n≥N quantifiers and a free precision parameter δ\deltaδ; the phase-transition constants r(α),Cr(\alpha),Cr(α),C are existentially quantified. The tree is encoded as words of length ≤k\le k≤k over an alphabet of size bbb; the block dynamics re-samples a uniformly chosen block from the conditional Gibbs distribution, with the convention that a conditioning of zero mass yields a zero row (total division), which the theorems' hypotheses exclude on the support. The even-degree refinement of the goal is stated as a second conjunct with its own hypothesis.

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • C. Kenyon, E. Mossel, Y. Peres, Glauber dynamics on trees and hyperbolic graphs, FOCS 2001. https://doi.org/10.1109/SFCS.2001.959934
  • D. A. Levin, M. J. Luczak, Y. Peres, Glauber dynamics for the mean-field Ising model: cut-off, critical power law, and metastability, Probab. Theory Related Fields 146 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-008-0189-z
  • F. Martinelli, Lectures on Glauber dynamics for discrete spin models, Lectures on Probability Theory and Statistics (Saint-Flour XXVII), Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-48115-7_2
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Markov ChainProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: Shuze Chen

Markov Chains and Mixing Times V: Shuffling CardsTextbook

Motivation

How many shuffles does a deck of cards need? The question created the modern theory of mixing times: Diaconis and Shahshahani's analysis of random transpositions (1981) and the Bayer–Diaconis "seven shuffles suffice" analysis of the riffle shuffle (1992) are its founding results. Chapters 8 and 16 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times (AMS, 2009) treat the four standard shuffles: random transpositions (pick two cards, swap them), the riffle shuffle (cut and interleave, the Gilbert–Shannon–Reeds model), random adjacent transpositions, and the LLL-reversal chain of segment reversals — the last motivated by genome rearrangement, where a chromosome evolves by reversing segments and the mixing time measures evolutionary distance ("from shuffling cards to shuffling genes").

Setting

All four chains are random walks on a symmetric group; decks are encoded as in Mission III, an arrangement being a permutation with position 000 on top. Random transpositions have increment distribution μ(id)=1/n\mu(\mathrm{id})=1/nμ(id)=1/n, μ(transposition)=2/n2\mu(\text{transposition})=2/n^2μ(transposition)=2/n2. The lazy adjacent-transposition walk puts mass 1/21/21/2 on the identity and 1/[2(n−1)]1/[2(n-1)]1/[2(n−1)] on each (i i+1)(i\ i{+}1)(i i+1). One inverse riffle shuffle assigns each card an independent uniform bit and moves the cards labeled 000 to the top, preserving relative order; the (forward) riffle shuffle is its time reversal, given by transposing the inverse-shuffle matrix (the stationary distribution being uniform). The LLL-reversal chain on circular arrangements indexed by Zn\mathbb Z_nZn​ picks a position iii and a length k<Lk<Lk<L uniformly and reverses the segment [i,i+k][i,i+k][i,i+k].

Formalization targets

Goal

tmix  ≤  (2+o(1)) nlog⁡nt_{\mathrm{mix}}\;\le\;(2+o(1))\,n\log ntmix​≤(2+o(1))nlogn

for random transpositions on nnn cards (Corollary 8.10), formalized as: for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0 there is NNN with tmix≤(2+δ)nlog⁡nt_{\mathrm{mix}}\le(2+\delta)n\log ntmix​≤(2+δ)nlogn for all n≥Nn\ge Nn≥N.

Milestones

Proposition 8.11 (random transpositions lower bound tmix(ε)≥n−12log⁡((1−ε)n6)t_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\ge\frac{n-1}{2}\log\bigl(\frac{(1-\varepsilon)n}{6}\bigr)tmix​(ε)≥2n−1​log(6(1−ε)n​), via fixed points); Proposition 8.13 (riffle shuffle: tmix≤2log⁡2(4n/3)+1t_{\mathrm{mix}}\le 2\log_2(4n/3)+1tmix​≤2log2​(4n/3)+1); Proposition 8.14 (riffle shuffle: tmix(ε)≥(1−δ)log⁡2nt_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\ge(1-\delta)\log_2 ntmix​(ε)≥(1−δ)log2​n for large nnn, by the counting bound of Mission IV); the random adjacent transpositions upper bound tmix(ε)≤2n3log⁡2nt_{\mathrm{mix}}(\varepsilon)\le 2n^3\log_2 ntmix​(ε)≤2n3log2​n for large nnn (§16.1.2, display (16.4)) and lower bound tmix≥n2(n−1)/16t_{\mathrm{mix}}\ge n^2(n-1)/16tmix​≥n2(n−1)/16 (§16.1.3, by following a single card); and Proposition 16.2 (the LLL-reversal chain with L<n/2L<n/2L<n/2 satisfies d((1−ε)n2log⁡n)→1d\bigl((1-\varepsilon)\frac n2\log n\bigr)\to1d((1−ε)2n​logn)→1, via conserved adjacencies).

Significance

The results. Random transpositions at 12nlog⁡n\frac12 n \log n21​nlogn (the constant 222 here is not sharp; the sharp constant is part of the celebrated Diaconis–Shahshahani cutoff) and riffle at 32log⁡2n\frac32\log_2 n23​log2​n are the emblematic mixing results outside of spin systems; the riffle bound is the mathematical content of "seven shuffles suffice" for n=52n=52n=52. The adjacent-transposition walk at order n3log⁡nn^3\log nn3logn is the basic example where geometry (diameter (n2)\binom n2(2n​)) forces polynomial mixing. The LLL-reversal lower bound is the quantitative starting point of the biological application.

Formalizing them. Random walks on symmetric groups and their mixing are entirely absent from Mathlib; so are the combinatorial devices these proofs run on — the Broder stopping time, rising sequences and the Eulerian-number analysis of riffle shuffles, single-card projections, conserved adjacencies. The riffle shuffle formalization via bit strings and the stable-sort permutation Tuple.sort gives a clean combinatorial model reusable for the cutoff analysis of Mission XI.

Difficulty

Corollary 8.10's route is the Broder strong stationary time: mark cards under a card-and-position scheme and prove that, conditioned on the marked set and its positions, the marked cards are uniformly ordered — an exchangeability induction on top of Mission III's stopping-rule framework; then the coupon-collector-style tail with an extra log⁡n\log nlogn factor. Proposition 8.11 requires the fixed-point statistic: the expected number of untouched cards after ttt transpositions and a second-moment bound, fed into Proposition 7.8. The riffle upper bound runs through inverse shuffles: after ttt inverse shuffles the deck is a uniform stable sort of ttt-bit labels, and mixing reduces to the birthday problem for 2t2^t2t labels; formalizing "distinct labels imply uniform order" is the crux. The LLL-reversal lower bound needs a second-moment argument for the number of conserved adjacencies with the exact variance bookkeeping of the book. Throughout, the walk-on-group conventions (left vs right increments, forward vs inverse shuffle) are the classic source of silent errors; the formal statements pin them.

Formalization scope

All chains are explicit matrices on Equiv.Perm (Fin n) (or Equiv.Perm (ZMod n) for the circular LLL-reversal chain); increments act on the left, matching Mission I's group-walk convention. The riffle shuffle is defined as the transpose-reversal of the explicit inverse-riffle matrix — the two have equal distance to uniformity by Lemma 4.13 (Mission II), which a solver may use rather than re-derive. Asymptotic statements (o(1)o(1)o(1), "for sufficiently large nnn") are spelled out with explicit ∀δ ∃N\forall\delta\,\exists N∀δ∃N quantifiers; upper bounds carry a +1+1+1 where integer rounding requires it. The LLL-reversal family takes the length function L(n)L(n)L(n) as a hypothesis-carrying parameter with 1≤L(n)<n/21\le L(n)<n/21≤L(n)<n/2, and its lower bound is a genuine limit statement (Tendsto, distance to stationarity tending to 111).

Welcome contributions: exchangeability and projection lemmas for deck chains; Eulerian/rising-sequence counting; the single-card chain projection (reused for Mission XI's cutoff examples).

Selected references

  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, American Mathematical Society, 2009. https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf
  • P. Diaconis, M. Shahshahani, Generating a random permutation with random transpositions, Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00535487
  • D. Bayer, P. Diaconis, Trailing the dovetail shuffle to its lair, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005705
  • R. Durrett, Shuffling chromosomes, J. Theoret. Probab. 16 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024940217006
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: Shuze Chen

Convex Optimization VI: Self-Concordance and the Barrier MethodTextbook

Why do interior-point methods solve convex programs in O(mlog⁡(1/ε))O(\sqrt{m}\log(1/\varepsilon))O(m​log(1/ε)) Newton steps? Nesterov and Nemirovskii's answer is self-concordance: a convex function whose third derivative is controlled by its second, ∣φ′′′(t)∣≤2 φ′′(t)3/2|\varphi'''(t)| \le 2\,\varphi''(t)^{3/2}∣φ′′′(t)∣≤2φ′′(t)3/2 along every line, admits a Newton analysis with absolute constants and no condition number — and the logarithmic barrier is self-concordant. This mission formalizes §9.6 and Chapter 11 of Boyd & Vandenberghe: the self-concordance calculus, the Newton-decrement analysis, the duality gap m/tm/tm/t along the central path, the per-centering work bound m(μ−1−log⁡μ)/γ+cm(\mu - 1 - \log\mu)/\gamma + cm(μ−1−logμ)/γ+c, and the crown result — with the aggressive schedule μ=1+1/m\mu = 1 + 1/\sqrt{m}μ=1+1/m​ the barrier method reaches duality gap ε\varepsilonε after

⌈m log⁡2(m/(t(0)ε))⌉\Bigl\lceil \sqrt{m}\,\log_2\bigl(m/(t^{(0)}\varepsilon)\bigr)\Bigr\rceil⌈m​log2​(m/(t(0)ε))⌉

centering steps, each of uniformly bounded Newton cost.

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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: ShouqiaoWang

Erdős Problem 390: Exact Second-Order AsymptoticResearch Paper

Determine the exact second-order term in the least possible largest factor in a factorization of n!n!n! into distinct integers exceeding nnn, with the proposed rational constant 4029639598/259700381854029639598/259700381854029639598/25970038185.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms XVI: Markov Decision Processes and UCRL2Textbook

The final step from bandits to reinforcement learning: actions now change the state of the world. Chapter 38 of Lattimore–Szepesvári studies online learning in an unknown Markov decision process with SSS states, AAA actions and rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The optimism principle of Mission II scales up: UCRL2 maintains confidence sets over transition kernels, solves an extended MDP by extended value iteration, and recomputes only when a state-action count doubles. The goal theorem: with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, R^n<C D(M) SAnlog⁡(nSA/δ)\hat R_n < C\,D(M)\,S\sqrt{An\log(nSA/\delta)}R^n​<CD(M)SAnlog(nSA/δ)​, where D(M)D(M)D(M) is the diameter of the MDP — sublinear regret with no prior knowledge of the dynamics. The matching lower bound E[R^n]≥C′DSAn\mathbb{E}[\hat R_n] \ge C'\sqrt{DSAn}E[R^n​]≥C′DSAn​ brackets the true complexity of tabular reinforcement learning up to DS\sqrt{DS}DS​.

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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: joe

The Sipser–Gács–Lautemann TheoremResearch Paper

Randomness appears to enlarge efficient computation, but the Sipser–Gács–Lautemann theorem places every bounded-error probabilistic polynomial-time language at the second level of the polynomial hierarchy, giving one of complexity theory’s foundational limits on the power of randomization.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research·Captain: Shuze Chen

Bandit Algorithms VII: Lower Bounds for Finite-Armed BanditsTextbook

How well can any algorithm possibly do? Chapters 13–17 of Lattimore–Szepesvári answer with three matching impossibility results. The divergence decomposition identifies the information a policy collects: D(Pνπ,Pν′π)=∑iE[Ti(n)]D(Pi,Pi′)D(\mathbb{P}_{\nu\pi}, \mathbb{P}_{\nu'\pi}) = \sum_i \mathbb{E}[T_i(n)] D(P_i, P_i')D(Pνπ​,Pν′π​)=∑i​E[Ti​(n)]D(Pi​,Pi′​). Feeding it into the Bretagnolle–Huber inequality of Mission VI yields the goal theorem — the minimax lower bound Rn≥127(k−1)nR_n \ge \frac{1}{27}\sqrt{(k-1)n}Rn​≥271​(k−1)n​ over Gaussian bandits, showing MOSS (Mission III) is optimal up to a constant. The same machinery gives the instance-dependent bound of Lai–Robbins type: every consistent policy suffers lim inf⁡nRn/log⁡n≥∑i:Δi>0Δi/dinf⁡(Pi,μ∗,Mi)\liminf_n R_n/\log n \ge \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} \Delta_i / d_{\inf}(P_i, \mu^*, \mathcal{M}_i)liminfn​Rn​/logn≥∑i:Δi​>0​Δi​/dinf​(Pi​,μ∗,Mi​), certifying the asymptotic optimality of the UCB of Mission III and KL-UCB of Mission IV, and a high-probability lower bound showing the Exp3-IX guarantees of Mission V cannot be improved.

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Discrete GeometryLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Selected Topics in Column Generation I: Discretization — Every Integer Point of a Rational Polyhedron Is a Generating Integer Point Plus an Integer Combination of Integer RaysResearch Paper

Motivation

Dantzig–Wolfe decomposition and column generation solve large integer programs by replacing a set of "easy" constraints with a description of its feasible points, and then pricing out the points one at a time. For linear programs this rests on the Minkowski–Weyl representation: every point of a polyhedron is a convex combination of its extreme points plus a nonnegative combination of its extreme rays. For integer programs that representation is not enough. Imposing integrality on the convex multipliers of the extreme points of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X) does not give back the integer program, because an optimal integer point may lie in the interior of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X).

Lübbecke and Desrosiers, in their survey Selected Topics in Column Generation (Operations Research 53(6), 2005), present discretization (Johnson 1989, Vanderbeck 2000) as the true integer analogue of the decomposition principle. Its basis is their Theorem 1: the integer points of a rational polyhedron are generated by finitely many integer points and finitely many integer rays with integer multipliers. The paper states this result and refers its proof to Nemhauser and Wolsey, Integer and Combinatorial Optimization (1988). It underlies the integer master problem (25) of branch-and-price.

Setting

Let DDD be an m×nm \times nm×n matrix and d\mathbf dd an mmm-vector with rational entries. The polyhedron is

P={x∈Rn∣Dx⩾d, x⩾0},P = \{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n \mid D\mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf d,\ \mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf 0\},P={x∈Rn∣Dx⩾d, x⩾0},

and its set of integer points is X=P∩ZnX = P \cap \mathbb Z^nX=P∩Zn, the points of PPP whose coordinates are all integers. Because P⊆R+nP \subseteq \mathbb R^n_+P⊆R+n​, X=P∩Z+nX = P \cap \mathbb Z^n_+X=P∩Z+n​.

The recession cone of PPP is {r∈Rn∣Dr⩾0, r⩾0}\{\mathbf r \in \mathbb R^n \mid D\mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0,\ \mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0\}{r∈Rn∣Dr⩾0, r⩾0}. An integer ray of PPP is a nonzero vector of Zn\mathbb Z^nZn in this cone. Extreme rays are not required.

In Lean these are polyhedronP D d, integerPoints D d, recessionConeP D and IsIntegerRay D w in the namespace Lubbecke2005.Discretization, with integer vectors cast to real vectors by castVec.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 1011–1012)

If P≠∅P \neq \emptysetP=∅, there exist a finite set of integer points {pq}q∈Q⊆X\{\mathbf p_q\}_{q \in Q} \subseteq X{pq​}q∈Q​⊆X and a finite set of integer rays {pr}r∈R\{\mathbf p_r\}_{r \in R}{pr​}r∈R​ of PPP such that

X={x∈R+n ∣ x=∑q∈Qpqλq+∑r∈Rprλr, ∑q∈Qλq=1, λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣}.(24)X = \Bigl\{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n_+ \ \Big|\ \mathbf x = \sum_{q \in Q} \mathbf p_q \lambda_q + \sum_{r \in R} \mathbf p_r \lambda_r,\ \sum_{q \in Q} \lambda_q = 1,\ \boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathbb Z_+^{|Q|+|R|}\Bigr\}. \qquad (24)X={x∈R+n​ ​ x=q∈Q∑​pq​λq​+r∈R∑​pr​λr​, q∈Q∑​λq​=1, λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣​}.(24)

Since the multipliers are nonnegative integers summing to one over QQQ, (24) says that XXX is the union, over q∈Qq \in Qq∈Q, of the translates pq+Z+{pr}r∈R\mathbf p_q + \mathbb Z_+\{\mathbf p_r\}_{r\in R}pq​+Z+​{pr​}r∈R​ of the monoid generated by the rays. No bound on ∣Q∣|Q|∣Q∣ or ∣R∣|R|∣R∣ is part of the goal.

Milestone: Remark in §3.3 (p. 1012)

If X⊆[0,1]nX \subseteq [0,1]^nX⊆[0,1]n, every point of XXX is a vertex of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X). In this case convexification and discretization coincide.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 converts an integer program min⁡{c(x)∣Ax⩾b, x∈X}\min\{c(\mathbf x) \mid A\mathbf x \geqslant \mathbf b,\ \mathbf x \in X\}min{c(x)∣Ax⩾b, x∈X} into the integer master program (25) over the multipliers λ\boldsymbol\lambdaλ, with one column per generating point and per generating ray. When XXX is bounded the rays disappear, exactly one λq\lambda_qλq​ equals one, and (25) is a linear integer program even for a nonlinear cost ccc. The representation is what makes branching on master variables, and the passage between compact and extensive formulations, well defined in branch-and-price.

Formalizing it. The result is classical (Nemhauser–Wolsey 1988, going back to Giles and Pulleyblank and to Meyer's theorem that the integer hull of a rational polyhedron is a polyhedron). On Prove2Me, the real representation (8) is formalized as LinearOptimization.polyhedron_resolution (Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis Thm 4.15) and the integer hull theorem as LinearOptimization.integer_hull_is_polyhedron (Thm 11.3); both are included as reference items. The convexification counterpart of §3.2, that the Lagrangian dual equals the LP over conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X), is LinearOptimization.lagrangean_dual_eq_lp_over_hull. No machine-checked statement of the integer representation (24), with integer multipliers and integer rays, was found on the platform. The mission produces that statement and, once solved, its proof.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt applies the real representation (8) and rounds. It fails twice. First, the extreme points of PPP need not be integral, and an integer point written as a real combination of vertices and rays has no reason to have integer multipliers. Second, the extreme rays of PPP generate the recession cone over R+\mathbb R_+R+​, but the integer points of that cone are not in general nonnegative integer combinations of the (scaled) extreme rays; a generating set of the lattice points of a cone must usually contain non-extreme vectors. The finiteness of QQQ is also not automatic: XXX itself is typically infinite, and taking Q=XQ = XQ=X trivializes the statement.

Rationality of the data is essential. For P={x∈R+2∣2 x1−x2⩾0}P = \{\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^2_+ \mid \sqrt2\,x_1 - x_2 \geqslant 0\}P={x∈R+2​∣2​x1​−x2​⩾0}, every integer ray has slope below 2\sqrt 22​, so finitely many base points and rays generate only points with x2⩽ρx1+Cx_2 \leqslant \rho x_1 + Cx2​⩽ρx1​+C for some ρ<2\rho < \sqrt 2ρ<2​, while XXX contains (k,⌊2k⌋)(k, \lfloor\sqrt2 k\rfloor)(k,⌊2​k⌋) for every kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are Fin n → ℝ; integer vectors are Fin n → ℤ cast coordinatewise. Both sides of (24) are sets of real vectors.
  • DDD and d\mathbf dd are ℚ-valued and cast to ℝ. This is an addition: the paper names no field, and the theorem is false for irrational data (see Difficulty). The cited source, Nemhauser–Wolsey, works with rational data.
  • The hypothesis P≠∅P \neq \emptysetP=∅ is kept as on the page. XXX may still be empty (e.g. P={1/2}P = \{1/2\}P={1/2}); then Q=∅Q = \emptysetQ=∅ and both sides of (24) are empty. The statement allows this.
  • QQQ and RRR are Fin k and Fin l for existentially chosen k,l∈Nk, l \in \mathbb Nk,l∈N; the finiteness is the content of the theorem. The multiplier vector λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathbb Z_+^{|Q|+|R|}λ∈Z+∣Q∣+∣R∣​ is written as a pair of ℕ-valued vectors.
  • "Integer rays of PPP" is read as nonzero integer vectors in the recession cone {Dr⩾0,r⩾0}\{D\mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0, \mathbf r \geqslant \mathbf 0\}{Dr⩾0,r⩾0}; extremality is not required, as the page does not require it (contrast (8), which says "extreme rays").
  • The constraint x∈R+n\mathbf x \in \mathbb R^n_+x∈R+n​ on the right side of (24) is kept although it is implied.
  • In the Remark, "vertices of conv(X)\mathrm{conv}(X)conv(X)" is read as extreme points of the convex hull; XXX is finite there, so the two notions agree.

A formalization with real multipliers would be the resolution theorem (8), already on the platform, and one with QQQ or RRR infinite would be trivial; both are excluded by the statement.

Useful infrastructure: lattice points of rational polyhedral cones (Hilbert bases, Gordan's lemma), the integer hull theorem, and the real resolution theorem. A proof of Gordan's lemma for rational cones in this vocabulary would be reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions toward any of these are welcome.

Selected references

  • M. E. Lübbecke and J. Desrosiers, Selected Topics in Column Generation, Operations Research 53(6):1007–1023, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0234
  • G. L. Nemhauser and L. A. Wolsey, Integer and Combinatorial Optimization, Wiley, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118627372
  • R. R. Meyer, On the existence of optimal solutions to integer and mixed-integer programming problems, Mathematical Programming 7:223–235, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01585518
  • F. Vanderbeck, On Dantzig–Wolfe decomposition in integer programming and ways to perform branching in a branch-and-price algorithm, Operations Research 48(1):111–128, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.48.1.111.12453
  • A. Schrijver, Theory of Linear and Integer Programming, Wiley, 1986.
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Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence IV: Asymptotic Optimality of the Track-and-Stop StrategyResearch Paper

Motivation

In best arm identification with fixed confidence, a learner samples KKK unknown distributions (arms) sequentially and must, as early as possible, name the arm with the largest mean, while being wrong with probability at most a prescribed risk δ\deltaδ. The problem models adaptive A/B/n testing, clinical and simulation-based selection among alternatives, and the "ranking and selection" problem of operations research and simulation optimization. The quantity of interest is the sample complexity Eμ[τδ]\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]Eμ​[τδ​], the expected number of samples a strategy takes before stopping.

Timeline of the question this mission formalizes:

  • Chernoff (1959) introduced sequential tests based on generalized likelihood ratios for adaptive design of experiments, with a finite set of hypotheses (doi:10.1214/aoms/1177706205).
  • Kaufmann, Cappé and Garivier (2016, JMLR) proved a change-of-measure lower bound on the sample complexity of every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy (arXiv:1407.4443).
  • Garivier and Kaufmann (COLT 2016) identified the exact constant T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) in that lower bound and gave the first strategy, Track-and-Stop, whose sample complexity matches it asymptotically as δ→0\delta\to0δ→0 (arXiv:1602.04589). This mission covers the upper-bound half of that paper.

Setting

A canonical one-parameter exponential family is a family of laws νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​, θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ, on R\mathbb RR with density exp⁡(θx−b(θ))\exp(\theta x-b(\theta))exp(θx−b(θ)) with respect to a reference measure ξ\xiξ; bbb is twice differentiable and strictly convex, and νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ has mean b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ). Bernoulli, Poisson and Gaussian laws with known variance are examples. The divergence d(μ,μ′)d(\mu,\mu')d(μ,μ′) is the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the members with means μ\muμ and μ′\mu'μ′.

A bandit model μ=(μ1,…,μK)\boldsymbol\mu=(\mu_1,\dots,\mu_K)μ=(μ1​,…,μK​) assigns a member of the family to each arm. The class S\mathcal SS consists of models with a unique optimal arm a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(μ). At each round t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,… the learner picks an arm AtA_tAt​ as a function of past observations, observes a reward drawn from that arm's law, and at a stopping time τδ\tau_\deltaτδ​ recommends an arm. Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is the number of draws of arm aaa in the first ttt rounds and μ^a(t)\hat\mu_a(t)μ^​a​(t) its empirical mean.

With Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)}\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)=\{\boldsymbol\lambda\in\mathcal S: a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda)\ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\}Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)=a∗(μ)} and ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ the probability simplex, the characteristic time is

T∗(μ)−1=sup⁡w∈ΣK inf⁡λ∈Alt(μ) ∑a=1Kwa d(μa,λa),T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)^{-1}=\sup_{w\in\Sigma_K}\ \inf_{\boldsymbol\lambda\in\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)}\ \sum_{a=1}^K w_a\,d(\mu_a,\lambda_a),T∗(μ)−1=w∈ΣK​sup​ λ∈Alt(μ)inf​ a=1∑K​wa​d(μa​,λa​),

and the maximizer w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) are the optimal proportions of arm draws.

Track-and-Stop combines two ingredients:

  • a sampling rule that tracks the plug-in proportions w∗(μ^(t))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))w∗(μ^​(t)) while forcing each arm to be drawn about t\sqrt tt​ times: C-Tracking tracks the cumulated sum of projections of w∗(μ^(s))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(s))w∗(μ^​(s)) onto ΣKϵs={w∈ΣK:wa≥ϵs}\Sigma^{\epsilon_s}_K=\{w\in\Sigma_K: w_a\ge\epsilon_s\}ΣKϵs​​={w∈ΣK​:wa​≥ϵs​}, ϵs=(K2+s)−1/2/2\epsilon_s=(K^2+s)^{-1/2}/2ϵs​=(K2+s)−1/2/2; D-Tracking draws an under-sampled arm when some Na(t)<t−K/2N_a(t)<\sqrt t-K/2Na​(t)<t​−K/2, and otherwise the arm maximizing t wa∗(μ^(t))−Na(t)t\,w^*_a(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))-N_a(t)twa∗​(μ^​(t))−Na​(t);
  • Chernoff's stopping rule, which stops at the first ttt at which some arm aaa beats every other arm bbb in a generalized likelihood ratio test, Za,b(t)>β(t,δ)Z_{a,b}(t)>\beta(t,\delta)Za,b​(t)>β(t,δ), here with β(t,δ)=log⁡(r(t)/δ)\beta(t,\delta)=\log(r(t)/\delta)β(t,δ)=log(r(t)/δ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 14 (p. 13)

For α∈[1,e/2]\alpha\in[1,e/2]α∈[1,e/2] and r(t)=O(tα)r(t)=O(t^\alpha)r(t)=O(tα), Chernoff's stopping rule with β(t,δ)=log⁡(r(t)/δ)\beta(t,\delta)=\log(r(t)/\delta)β(t,δ)=log(r(t)/δ) combined with C-Tracking or D-Tracking satisfies

lim sup⁡δ→0Eμ[τδ]log⁡(1/δ)≤α T∗(μ)\limsup_{\delta\to0}\frac{\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]}{\log(1/\delta)}\le\alpha\,T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)δ→0limsup​log(1/δ)Eμ​[τδ​]​≤αT∗(μ)

for every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu\in\mathcal Sμ∈S.

Milestones

  • Lemma 15 (p. 20): greedy tracking of cumulated proportions P(k)P(k)P(k) keeps max⁡i∣Ni(n)−Pi(n)∣≤K−1\max_i|N_i(n)-P_i(n)|\le K-1maxi​∣Ni​(n)−Pi​(n)∣≤K−1.
  • Lemma 7 (p. 7): C-Tracking ensures Na(t)≥t+K2−2KN_a(t)\ge\sqrt{t+K^2}-2KNa​(t)≥t+K2​−2K and max⁡a∣Na(t)−∑s<twa∗(μ^(s))∣≤K(1+t)\max_a|N_a(t)-\sum_{s<t}w^*_a(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(s))|\le K(1+\sqrt t)maxa​∣Na​(t)−∑s<t​wa∗​(μ^​(s))∣≤K(1+t​).
  • Lemma 8 (p. 7): D-Tracking ensures Na(t)≥(t−K/2)+−1N_a(t)\ge(\sqrt t-K/2)_+-1Na​(t)≥(t​−K/2)+​−1, and proportions within 3(K−1)ϵ3(K-1)\epsilon3(K−1)ϵ of w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) after a time tϵt_\epsilontϵ​ that does not depend on the trajectory, once the plug-in targets are within ϵ\epsilonϵ.
  • Proposition 9 (p. 8): under either rule, Na(t)/t→wa∗(μ)N_a(t)/t\to w^*_a(\boldsymbol\mu)Na​(t)/t→wa∗​(μ) almost surely.
  • Lemma 18 (p. 27): an explicit xxx with c1x≥log⁡(c2xα)c_1x\ge\log(c_2x^\alpha)c1​x≥log(c2​xα) for α∈[1,e/2]\alpha\in[1,e/2]α∈[1,e/2].
  • Proposition 13 (p. 11): with any sampling rule whose proportions converge almost surely to w∗w^*w∗, τδ<∞\tau_\delta<\inftyτδ​<∞ almost surely and lim sup⁡δ→0τδ/log⁡(1/δ)≤αT∗(μ)\limsup_{\delta\to0}\tau_\delta/\log(1/\delta)\le\alpha T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)limsupδ→0​τδ​/log(1/δ)≤αT∗(μ) almost surely.

Significance

Theorem 1 of the same paper shows Eμ[τδ]≥T∗(μ) kl(δ,1−δ)\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]\ge T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\,\mathrm{kl}(\delta,1-\delta)Eμ​[τδ​]≥T∗(μ)kl(δ,1−δ) for every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy, and kl(δ,1−δ)∼log⁡(1/δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta,1-\delta)\sim\log(1/\delta)kl(δ,1−δ)∼log(1/δ). Theorem 14 with α=1\alpha=1α=1 therefore shows that the lower bound is attained: T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) is the exact asymptotic sample complexity of best arm identification in exponential family models, and Track-and-Stop is asymptotically optimal.

The result is proved in the paper. What is not available is a machine-checked proof for exponential families. The platform already holds a Lean development of the Gaussian case following Lattimore and Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Ch. 33, stated for one existentially chosen policy with a different threshold. This mission asks for the universal statement: every run of either tracking rule, for every exponential family, with the paper's thresholds. The tracking lemmas (Lemmas 15, 7, 8) are deterministic combinatorics and reusable by any tracking-based algorithm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument plugs the almost-sure behaviour of Proposition 13 into an expectation. That step fails: almost-sure convergence of τδ/log⁡(1/δ)\tau_\delta/\log(1/\delta)τδ​/log(1/δ) does not control E[τδ]\mathbb E[\tau_\delta]E[τδ​], because on the rare events where the empirical means are far from μ\boldsymbol\muμ the stopping time may be very large. Theorem 14 needs a quantitative concentration of μ^(t)\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)μ^​(t) on events whose complements have summable probability, which in turn relies on the forced exploration guaranteed by the t\sqrt tt​ lower bounds on Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) (the concentration step of App. D, Lemmas 19–20).

A second obstacle is the regularity of w∗w^*w∗: the tracking lemmas only transfer convergence of μ^(t)\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)μ^​(t) to convergence of Na(t)/tN_a(t)/tNa​(t)/t through the continuity of μ↦w∗(μ)\boldsymbol\mu\mapsto w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)μ↦w∗(μ) on S\mathcal SS, proved from the characterization of w∗w^*w∗ in §2.2 (Proposition 6). The GLR statistic also needs its closed form (7) near μ\boldsymbol\muμ, which requires the empirical means to lie in the interior of the mean space.

Formalization scope

  • Model. The exponential family is a structure (ξ,Θ,b)(\xi,\Theta,b)(ξ,Θ,b) with Θ\ThetaΘ a nonempty open interval, each νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ normalized, bbb twice continuously differentiable and b¨>0\ddot b>0b¨>0 on Θ\ThetaΘ. Openness and b¨>0\ddot b>0b¨>0 are added to the paper's "convex, twice differentiable"; strict convexity is what makes νμ\nu^\muνμ unique. Bandit models are parameter vectors θ∈ΘK\theta\in\Theta^Kθ∈ΘK with K≥2K\ge2K≥2; arms are indexed 0,…,K−10,\dots,K-10,…,K−1. S\mathcal SS is the set of parameter vectors with a unique arm of largest mean b˙(θa)\dot b(\theta_a)b˙(θa​).
  • Protocol. Policies, the trajectory law Pμ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}Pμ​, pull counts, empirical means and T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) are the platform's published definitions (BanditPolicy, BanditTrajectory, TrackAndStop). T∗T^*T∗ uses Kullback–Leibler divergences of the arm laws over the class S\mathcal SS and takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Trajectory coordinate ttt is round t+1t+1t+1. An arm never drawn has empirical mean 000.
  • Target map. w∗(μ^(t))w^*(\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t))w∗(μ^​(t)) is undefined in the paper when μ^(t)∉S\hat{\boldsymbol\mu}(t)\notin\mathcal Sμ^​(t)∈/S (an unsampled arm, ties, a mean outside b˙(Θ)\dot b(\Theta)b˙(Θ)). Every tracking statement quantifies over every target map with values in ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ that returns optimal proportions on S\mathcal SS, over every choice of L∞L^\inftyL∞ projections, and over every tie-breaking, including randomized ones.
  • Stopping rule. The two maxima in Za,b(t)Z_{a,b}(t)Za,b​(t) are suprema over Θ\ThetaΘ in the extended reals. Za,b(t)>βZ_{a,b}(t)>\betaZa,b​(t)>β is written without subtracting infinities. The stopping time is the first t≥1t\ge1t≥1 at which the test succeeds, +∞+\infty+∞ if none. "r(t)=O(tα)r(t)=O(t^\alpha)r(t)=O(tα)" is r(t)≤Dtαr(t)\le Dt^\alphar(t)≤Dtα for t≥1t\ge1t≥1; r>0r>0r>0 is added so that log⁡(r(t)/δ)\log(r(t)/\delta)log(r(t)/δ) is defined.
  • Values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Expectations of τδ\tau_\deltaτδ​, the ratios and T∗T^*T∗ live in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. No statement converts them to reals, so an infinite expected stopping time is never read as 000.
  • Corrections, disclosed. Proposition 9's printed Pw\mathbb P_wPw​ is Pμ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}Pμ​. Lemma 18 adds c2/c1α>1c_2/c_1^\alpha>1c2​/c1α​>1 and x>0x>0x>0, without which its expressions are undefined.
  • Ruled out. Specializing to Gaussian arms, or asserting that some sampling policy achieves the bound, would restate existing platform results and is not this theorem: the goal is about every C-Tracking or D-Tracking run in every exponential family.
  • Welcome contributions. Exponential-family facts (b˙\dot bb˙ is the mean, the KL formula, concentration of empirical means); the continuity of w∗w^*w∗ (Proposition 6, App. A.3); Lemma 17 (App. B.2), from which Lemma 8 follows; the closed form (7) of the GLR statistic.

Selected references

  • A. Garivier, E. Kaufmann, Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence, COLT 2016, JMLR W&CP 49. arXiv:1602.04589v2
  • E. Kaufmann, O. Cappé, A. Garivier, On the Complexity of Best-Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Models, JMLR 17, 2016. arXiv:1407.4443
  • H. Chernoff, Sequential Design of Experiments, Ann. Math. Statist. 30(3), 1959. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177706205
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Ch. 33. doi:10.1017/9781108571401
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Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence I: Non-Asymptotic Lower Bound on the Sample ComplexityResearch Paper

Motivation

Best arm identification with fixed confidence is the pure-exploration counterpart of the multi-armed bandit problem. A learner faces KKK unknown reward distributions ("arms"), samples them sequentially, and must stop and name the arm with the largest mean, being wrong with probability at most a prescribed δ\deltaδ. The question is how many samples this requires. It arises in adaptive A/B testing, in the selection of the best of several simulated systems (ranking and selection in simulation optimization), and in clinical trials that must declare the best treatment with a guaranteed error rate.

Lower bounds for this problem were first stated in terms of the gaps between means (Mannor and Tsitsiklis, 2004). Kaufmann, Cappé and Garivier (2016) replaced ad hoc changes of measure by a single "transportation" lemma relating expected sample counts, Kullback–Leibler divergences and the error probability. Garivier and Kaufmann (COLT 2016, arXiv:1602.04589v2) combine this lemma over all alternative models at once, in the spirit of Graves and Lai (1997), and obtain a lower bound whose constant T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) is exactly matched, as δ→0\delta \to 0δ→0, by their Track-and-Stop strategy. This mission formalizes that lower bound (Theorem 1 of the paper, p. 3).

Setting

A canonical one-parameter exponential family is given by a reference measure ξ\xiξ on R\mathbb RR, an open interval Θ⊂R\Theta \subset \mathbb RΘ⊂R and a function bbb, twice continuously differentiable on Θ\ThetaΘ with b¨>0\ddot b > 0b¨>0, such that the laws νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ with density exp⁡(θx−b(θ))\exp(\theta x - b(\theta))exp(θx−b(θ)) with respect to ξ\xiξ are probability measures for θ∈Θ\theta \in \Thetaθ∈Θ. The mean of νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ is b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ). Bernoulli laws and Gaussian laws of known variance are examples.

A bandit model is a vector θ=(θ1,…,θK)∈ΘK\theta = (\theta_1, \dots, \theta_K) \in \Theta^Kθ=(θ1​,…,θK​)∈ΘK; arm aaa returns i.i.d. rewards with law νθa\nu_{\theta_a}νθa​​ and mean μa=b˙(θa)\mu_a = \dot b(\theta_a)μa​=b˙(θa​). Arm a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(μ) is the unique optimal arm if μa∗>μa\mu_{a^*} > \mu_aμa∗​>μa​ for every a≠a∗a \ne a^*a=a∗. Let S\mathcal SS be any set of bandit models of the family each having a unique optimal arm, and put Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)}\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu) = \{\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathcal S : a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda) \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\}Alt(μ)={λ∈S:a∗(λ)=a∗(μ)}.

A strategy consists of a sampling rule π\piπ (the arm AtA_tAt​ drawn at round ttt depends, possibly with extra randomization, on the first t−1t - 1t−1 observations), a stopping time τ\tauτ of the natural filtration Ft=σ(A1,X1,…,At,Xt)\mathcal F_t = \sigma(A_1, X_1, \dots, A_t, X_t)Ft​=σ(A1​,X1​,…,At​,Xt​), and an Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable decision a^τ\hat a_\taua^τ​. It is δ\deltaδ-PAC on S\mathcal SS if for every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu \in \mathcal Sμ∈S, Pμ(τ<∞)=1\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}(\tau < \infty) = 1Pμ​(τ<∞)=1 and Pμ(a^τ≠a∗(μ))≤δ\mathbb P_{\boldsymbol\mu}(\hat a_\tau \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)) \le \deltaPμ​(a^τ​=a∗(μ))≤δ. Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is the number of draws of arm aaa among the first ttt rounds.

Write d(μa,λa)=KL(νθa,νλa)d(\mu_a, \lambda_a) = \mathrm{KL}(\nu_{\theta_a}, \nu_{\lambda_a})d(μa​,λa​)=KL(νθa​​,νλa​​) for the divergence between two arm laws, kl(x,y)=xlog⁡xy+(1−x)log⁡1−x1−y\mathrm{kl}(x, y) = x\log\frac{x}{y} + (1 - x)\log\frac{1 - x}{1 - y}kl(x,y)=xlogyx​+(1−x)log1−y1−x​, and ΣK\Sigma_KΣK​ for the probability simplex on the KKK arms. The characteristic time is defined by eq. (1):

T∗(μ)−1=sup⁡w∈ΣK inf⁡λ∈Alt(μ)∑a=1Kwa d(μa,λa).T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)^{-1} = \sup_{w \in \Sigma_K}\ \inf_{\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu)} \sum_{a=1}^K w_a\, d(\mu_a, \lambda_a).T∗(μ)−1=w∈ΣK​sup​ λ∈Alt(μ)inf​a=1∑K​wa​d(μa​,λa​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 3)

For δ∈(0,1/2]\delta \in (0, 1/2]δ∈(0,1/2], every δ\deltaδ-PAC strategy on S\mathcal SS and every μ∈S\boldsymbol\mu \in \mathcal Sμ∈S,

Eμ[τ] ≥ T∗(μ) kl(δ,1−δ).\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau] \ \ge\ T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)\,\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta).Eμ​[τ] ≥ T∗(μ)kl(δ,1−δ).

The statement fixes no constant beyond those of the paper, and it holds for every δ\deltaδ, not only in the limit.

Milestone: eq. (2) (p. 4)

For every λ∈S\boldsymbol\lambda \in \mathcal Sλ∈S with a∗(λ)≠a∗(μ)a^*(\boldsymbol\lambda) \ne a^*(\boldsymbol\mu)a∗(λ)=a∗(μ),

∑a=1Kd(μa,λa) Eμ[Na(τ)] ≥ kl(δ,1−δ).\sum_{a=1}^K d(\mu_a, \lambda_a)\, \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[N_a(\tau)] \ \ge\ \mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta).a=1∑K​d(μa​,λa​)Eμ​[Na​(τ)] ≥ kl(δ,1−δ).

This is Lemma 1 of Kaufmann et al. (2016), which the paper quotes without proof; Theorem 1 follows from it for every alternative simultaneously.

Significance

Theorem 1 identifies T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ) as the exact problem-dependent complexity of fixed-confidence best arm identification: since kl(δ,1−δ)∼log⁡(1/δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta) \sim \log(1/\delta)kl(δ,1−δ)∼log(1/δ), it gives lim inf⁡δ→0Eμ[τδ]/log⁡(1/δ)≥T∗(μ)\liminf_{\delta \to 0} \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[\tau_\delta]/\log(1/\delta) \ge T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)liminfδ→0​Eμ​[τδ​]/log(1/δ)≥T∗(μ), and the paper's Track-and-Stop strategy attains this rate (the subject of mission IV of this series). The bound also explains which proportions of draws an optimal strategy must use: the maximizer w∗(μ)w^*(\boldsymbol\mu)w∗(μ) of eq. (1) (mission II).

Both results are proved in the literature. Neither is formalized in the paper's generality. The platform holds the textbook form of Lattimore and Szepesvári (Theorem 33.5), which is stated for an arbitrary class with the weaker constant log⁡(1/(4δ))\log(1/(4\delta))log(1/(4δ)); for δ≤1/2\delta \le 1/2δ≤1/2, kl(δ,1−δ)≥log⁡(1/(2.4δ))>log⁡(1/(4δ))\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta) \ge \log(1/(2.4\delta)) > \log(1/(4\delta))kl(δ,1−δ)≥log(1/(2.4δ))>log(1/(4δ)), so Theorem 1 is strictly stronger. A formal proof here yields the transportation lemma for exponential families on the platform's infinite-horizon bandit model, which later missions (II–IV, and any lower bound by change of measure) can reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious proof applies the finite-horizon divergence decomposition KL(Pμn,Pλn)=∑aEμ[Na(n)] d(μa,λa)\mathrm{KL}(\mathbb P^n_{\boldsymbol\mu}, \mathbb P^n_{\boldsymbol\lambda}) = \sum_a \mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\mu}[N_a(n)]\,d(\mu_a, \lambda_a)KL(Pμn​,Pλn​)=∑a​Eμ​[Na​(n)]d(μa​,λa​) at a deterministic horizon nnn. That fails here: τ\tauτ is random and unbounded, the decision is Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable, and the relevant divergence is between the laws of the stopped observations. The step from a fixed horizon to a stopping time, together with the data-processing inequality that turns the error guarantees under two models into kl(δ,1−δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta)kl(δ,1−δ), is the central difficulty. A second, smaller difficulty is to identify the paper's divergence ddd and its means b˙(θ)\dot b(\theta)b˙(θ) with the measure-theoretic KL divergence and mean of the arm laws of the exponential family.

Formalization scope

Lean namespace OptimalBAI.LowerBound. The bandit protocol is the platform's (BanditAlgorithm.BanditPolicy, banditTrajMeasure, IsBanditStoppingTime, IsSoundBAI, baiComplexity); kl\mathrm{kl}kl is the platform's bernoulliRelativeEntropy and Na(t)N_a(t)Na​(t) is trajPullCount. Conventions:

  • arms are Fin K, 0-based (the paper's arm aaa is index a−1a - 1a−1); trajectory coordinate ttt is round t+1t + 1t+1;
  • Θ\ThetaΘ is a nonempty open interval and b¨>0\ddot b > 0b¨>0 on Θ\ThetaΘ (added: the paper says bbb is convex and twice differentiable; strict convexity is what makes "the unique distribution with mean μ\muμ" meaningful); the paper's ddd is written as the KL divergence of the arm laws (its first equality on p. 3), and the unique optimal arm is defined through the parameter means b˙(θa)\dot b(\theta_a)b˙(θa​);
  • S\mathcal SS is an arbitrary set of models with a unique optimal arm, not the specific set the paper fixes from p. 4 on;
  • δ\deltaδ-PAC keeps both halves of the paper's definition (almost-sure stopping and error at most δ\deltaδ);
  • T∗(μ)T^*(\boldsymbol\mu)T∗(μ), divergences and expectations of τ\tauτ take values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞], never truncated to reals; T∗=0T^* = 0T∗=0 when Alt(μ)=∅\mathrm{Alt}(\boldsymbol\mu) = \emptysetAlt(μ)=∅ and T∗=∞T^* = \inftyT∗=∞ when the supremum in eq. (1) is 000;
  • δ≤1/2\delta \le 1/2δ≤1/2 is added. The paper states δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0, 1)δ∈(0,1), but the theorem and eq. (2) are false for δ∈(1/2,1)\delta \in (1/2, 1)δ∈(1/2,1): with two unit-variance Gaussian arms, drawing arm 1 once and naming arm 1 exactly when the fractional part of the reward is below 1/21/21/2 is 0.90.90.9-PAC, while T∗(μ)→∞T^*(\boldsymbol\mu) \to \inftyT∗(μ)→∞ as the two means merge. At δ=1/2\delta = 1/2δ=1/2 the bound is 000.

A statement with log⁡(1/(4δ))\log(1/(4\delta))log(1/(4δ)) in place of kl(δ,1−δ)\mathrm{kl}(\delta, 1 - \delta)kl(δ,1−δ), or restricted to Gaussian arms, is the platform's existing textbook theorem and does not count as this mission's goal; nor does any version that drops the almost-sure stopping clause or truncates E[τ]\mathbb E[\tau]E[τ] or T∗T^*T∗ to real numbers.

Needed infrastructure: the transportation lemma at a stopping time (data processing for KL through an Fτ\mathcal F_\tauFτ​-measurable event, Wald-type identity for the stopped log-likelihood ratio), the identities "mean of νθ\nu_\thetaνθ​ =b˙(θ)= \dot b(\theta)=b˙(θ)" and "KL of two family members =b(θ′)−b(θ)−b˙(θ)(θ′−θ)= b(\theta') - b(\theta) - \dot b(\theta)(\theta' - \theta)=b(θ′)−b(θ)−b˙(θ)(θ′−θ)", and E[τ]=∑aE[Na(τ)]\mathbb E[\tau] = \sum_a \mathbb E[N_a(\tau)]E[τ]=∑a​E[Na​(τ)]. All are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these lemmas, of eq. (2) alone, or of the Gaussian and Bernoulli special cases as stepping stones are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Garivier, E. Kaufmann, Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence, COLT 2016 (JMLR W&CP 49), arXiv:1602.04589v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.04589
  • E. Kaufmann, O. Cappé, A. Garivier, On the Complexity of Best-Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Models, Journal of Machine Learning Research 17(1), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1407.4443
  • T. L. Graves, T. L. Lai, Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Choice of Control Laws in Controlled Markov Chains, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 35(3), 1997. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0363012994275440
  • S. Mannor, J. N. Tsitsiklis, The Sample Complexity of Exploration in the Multi-Armed Bandit Problem, Journal of Machine Learning Research 5, 2004. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v5/mannor04b.html
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapter 33. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Applied Combinatorics I: Graph Theory and Dirac's Hamiltonicity TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Graphs are the most basic combinatorial model of pairwise relations: road networks, frequency interference between radio stations, schedules, circuit layouts. Chapter 5 of Keller and Trotter's Applied Combinatorics (appliedcombinatorics.org, CC BY-SA 4.0) introduces the vocabulary of graph theory and proves its first structural theorems: when a graph can be traversed edge by edge (Euler, 1736), when it can be toured vertex by vertex (Dirac, 1952), when it can be colored with two colors, and how far the chromatic number can drift from the size of the largest clique.

Hamiltonicity is the vertex analogue of Euler's edge-traversal problem and behaves very differently: Euler's problem has a simple parity characterization, while deciding whether a graph has a hamiltonian cycle is NP-complete (Karp, 1972). Sufficient conditions are therefore the main tool, and the minimum-degree condition of Dirac (1952) is the first and most cited of them; Ore's condition (1960) and the Bondy–Chvátal closure (1976) refine it.

Setting

A graph G=(V,E)G = (V, E)G=(V,E) consists of a finite vertex set VVV and a set EEE of 2-element subsets of VVV, the edges; xy∈Exy \in Exy∈E means xxx and yyy are adjacent. The degree deg⁡G(v)\deg_G(v)degG​(v) is the number of neighbours of vvv. The mission uses Mathlib's SimpleGraph V with [Fintype V]; "a graph on nnn vertices" means Fintype.card V = n.

  • A cycle is a sequence (x1,…,xn)(x_1, \dots, x_n)(x1​,…,xn​) of n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 distinct vertices with xixi+1∈Ex_i x_{i+1} \in Exi​xi+1​∈E for i<ni < ni<n and x1xn∈Ex_1 x_n \in Ex1​xn​∈E; its length is nnn. A graph is acyclic if it has no cycle, and a tree if it is connected and acyclic. A leaf of a tree is a vertex of degree 111.
  • A hamiltonian cycle is a sequence (x1,…,xn)(x_1, \dots, x_n)(x1​,…,xn​) in which every vertex appears exactly once, xixi+1∈Ex_i x_{i+1} \in Exi​xi+1​∈E for i<ni < ni<n, and x1xn∈Ex_1 x_n \in Ex1​xn​∈E. A graph is hamiltonian if it has one (AppliedComb.Graphs.IsHamiltonian).
  • An eulerian circuit is a sequence (x0,…,xt)(x_0, \dots, x_t)(x0​,…,xt​), repetition allowed, with x0=xtx_0 = x_tx0​=xt​, consecutive entries adjacent, and every edge equal to xixi+1x_i x_{i+1}xi​xi+1​ for exactly one i<ti < ti<t. A graph without isolated vertices is eulerian if it has one (IsEulerian).
  • A proper coloring assigns colors to vertices so that adjacent vertices differ; the chromatic number χ(G)\chi(G)χ(G) is the least number of colors in a proper coloring, and the clique number ω(G)\omega(G)ω(G) is the largest size of a set of pairwise adjacent vertices.
  • An interval graph is the intersection graph of closed intervals [av,bv]⊂R[a_v, b_v] \subset \mathbb R[av​,bv​]⊂R, v∈Vv \in Vv∈V: distinct u,vu, vu,v are adjacent iff their intervals meet (IsIntervalGraph).

Formalization targets

Goal: Dirac's theorem (Theorem 5.18)

If ∣V∣=n≥1 and deg⁡G(v)≥⌈n2⌉ for all v∈V, then G is hamiltonian.\text{If } |V| = n \ge 1 \text{ and } \deg_G(v) \ge \left\lceil \tfrac n2 \right\rceil \text{ for all } v \in V, \text{ then } G \text{ is hamiltonian.}If ∣V∣=n≥1 and degG​(v)≥⌈2n​⌉ for all v∈V, then G is hamiltonian.

Milestones

In the book's order:

  1. Proposition 5.11. A tree on n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 vertices has at least two leaves.
  2. Theorem 5.13 (Euler). A graph without isolated vertices is eulerian if and only if it is connected and every degree is even.
  3. Theorem 5.21. χ(G)≤2\chi(G) \le 2χ(G)≤2 if and only if GGG contains no odd cycle.
  4. Proposition 5.24 (generalized pigeonhole). If f:X→Yf : X \to Yf:X→Y and ∣X∣≥(m−1)∣Y∣+1|X| \ge (m-1)|Y| + 1∣X∣≥(m−1)∣Y∣+1, some fibre of fff contains mmm distinct elements.
  5. Proposition 5.25. For every t≥3t \ge 3t≥3 there is a finite graph GtG_tGt​ with χ(Gt)=t\chi(G_t) = tχ(Gt​)=t and ω(Gt)=2\omega(G_t) = 2ω(Gt​)=2.
  6. Theorem 5.28. Every finite interval graph satisfies χ(G)=ω(G)\chi(G) = \omega(G)χ(G)=ω(G).

The book's proof of Theorem 5.18 uses only the pigeonhole principle, so none of these results lies on its path. The milestones are the chapter's other theorems about the same objects (cycles, degrees, colorings), and they share the goal's definitions. Cayley's formula (Theorem 5.39, nn−2n^{n-2}nn−2 labelled trees on nnn vertices) is already on the platform as GYGraphTheory.cayley_tree_formula and is included as a reference item.

Significance

Dirac's theorem is sharp: the complete bipartite graph Kk,k+1K_{k,k+1}Kk,k+1​ has minimum degree k=⌈n/2⌉−1k = \lceil n/2 \rceil - 1k=⌈n/2⌉−1 and no hamiltonian cycle. It is the starting point for the theory of degree conditions for hamiltonicity (Ore, Pósa, Chvátal) and for its extremal and random-graph analogues. Euler's theorem gives linear-time recognition of eulerian graphs; Theorem 5.21 characterizes bipartite graphs; Proposition 5.25 shows that local sparsity (no triangles) does not bound the chromatic number; Theorem 5.28 is the first step towards perfect graphs.

All of these results have been proved for a long time. What is missing is their formalization. Mathlib provides SimpleGraph, chromaticNumber, cliqueNum, degree-sum identities, and definitions of eulerian and hamiltonian walks. It contains no Dirac theorem, no converse of the eulerian degree condition, and no interval-graph theory. On the platform, FamousTheorems.two_colorable_iff_no_odd_cycle_6b is stated with odd closed walks rather than odd cycles, and triangle_free_chromatic_number asserts only χ≥k\chi \ge kχ≥k rather than χ=t\chi = tχ=t with ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 exactly.

Difficulty

For Dirac's theorem the obvious approach, induction on nnn (deleting a vertex), fails: deleting a vertex lowers degrees, and the hypothesis deg⁡≥⌈n/2⌉\deg \ge \lceil n/2 \rceildeg≥⌈n/2⌉ is not inherited by the smaller graph. The degree condition is global, and so is the argument that uses it. In Lean the argument also has to reverse and splice vertex sequences while keeping distinctness and every adjacency along the way. The sufficiency half of Euler's theorem has to construct a circuit that uses every edge exactly once, not just show that one exists up to parity. In Theorem 5.21 the obstruction is a cycle with distinct vertices; producing one from a failed 2-coloring takes more work than producing an odd closed walk. Proposition 5.25 needs a concrete infinite family of graphs and exact computation of both invariants. The upper bound χ≤t\chi \le tχ≤t is easy, but the lower bound χ≥t\chi \ge tχ≥t is not.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs are SimpleGraph V on a Fintype V. The number of vertices is always Fintype.card V, never a free parameter; in Theorem 5.18 the ceiling ⌈n/2⌉\lceil n/2 \rceil⌈n/2⌉ is (n + 1) / 2 in N\mathbb NN, with Fintype.card V = n.
  • "Hamiltonian" is the book's definition (p. 79), a list of all vertices without repetition with consecutive and first/last entries adjacent. It is not Mathlib's Walk.IsHamiltonianCycle, which needs at least three vertices: under that notion Theorem 5.18 would be false for K2K_2K2​. The goal assumes VVV nonempty, as the book's proof does (nnn positive). Degenerate readings are ruled out: a predicate satisfied by a cycle through only some vertices, or a statement in which nnn is not the number of vertices, would make the goal vacuous or false, and neither is used here.
  • "Eulerian" follows p. 75. Since the book defines it only for graphs without isolated vertices, Theorem 5.13 carries that hypothesis explicitly.
  • Cycles are the book's cycles (distinct vertices, length ≥3\ge 3≥3), not closed walks. Theorem 5.21 is stated with odd cycles.
  • χ\chiχ is Mathlib's chromaticNumber (N∞\mathbb N_\inftyN∞​-valued) and ω\omegaω is cliqueNum; on finite graphs both agree with the book's definitions (pp. 81, 84).
  • Planarity (Section 5.5: Euler's formula 5.32, the bound 3n−63n - 63n−6 in 5.33, Kuratowski 5.34, the Four Color Theorem 5.37) is excluded. The book defines planar drawings through polygonal arcs in R2\mathbb R^2R2 and faces, which is a topological development rather than a chapter mission. Kuratowski's theorem and the Four Color Theorem are not proved in the book.
  • Contributions reusable beyond this mission are welcome: path/cycle manipulation lemmas for list-based sequences, the Euler circuit construction, bipartiteness via distance parity, and the Mycielski construction.

Selected references

  • M. T. Keller and W. T. Trotter, Applied Combinatorics, 2017 Edition, Chapter 5. https://www.appliedcombinatorics.org/
  • G. A. Dirac, Some theorems on abstract graphs, Proc. London Math. Soc. (3) 2 (1952), 69–81. https://doi.org/10.1112/plms/s3-2.1.69
  • L. Euler, Solutio problematis ad geometriam situs pertinentis, Commentarii Academiae Scientiarum Petropolitanae 8 (1741), 128–140 (read 1736). https://scholarlycommons.pacific.edu/euler-works/53/
  • J. Mycielski, Sur le coloriage des graphs, Colloquium Mathematicum 3 (1955), 161–162. https://doi.org/10.4064/cm-3-2-161-162
  • R. M. Karp, Reducibility among combinatorial problems, in Complexity of Computer Computations (1972), 85–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2001-2_9
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: xuanji

AlphaEvolve Eighth-Power Bound: omega < 2.371177Research Paper

Formalize ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, the current record from Dupont, Eisenberger, Kozlovskii, Mehrabian, Ruiz, See, Zhou, Alman, Vassilevska Williams and Balog (arXiv:2608.16884, August 2026).

The paper applies the combination-loss laser method of Alman et al. (arXiv:2404.16349), formalized here as the ω<2.37134\omega < 2.37134ω<2.37134 entry, to CW5⊗8CW_5^{\otimes 8}CW5⊗8​. That is level ℓ∗=4\ell^* = 4ℓ∗=4 instead of 3, with an exact rational certificate of about 7⋅1067\cdot 10^67⋅106 parameters found by gradient-based optimization and AlphaEvolve. The authors state that the solution and verification code are being prepared for release.

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Bandit AlgorithmsMachine LearningOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits II: Constant High-Probability Regret of UCB(δ)Research Paper

Motivation

The stochastic multi-armed bandit is the basic model of sequential decision making under uncertainty: a learner repeatedly chooses one of ddd actions, observes a noisy reward for the chosen action only, and must balance exploring poorly known actions against exploiting the one that currently looks best. It underlies adaptive clinical trials, online advertising, recommendation, dynamic pricing and many simulation-optimization procedures in operations research.

The standard algorithm is UCB (Auer, Cesa-Bianchi and Fischer, 2002, doi:10.1023/A:1013689704352), which plays the arm with the largest upper confidence bound on its mean. Its confidence widths grow with the current time ttt (or with a horizon nnn fixed in advance), and its guarantee is on the expected regret, which grows like log⁡n\log nlogn. Lai and Robbins (1985, doi:10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8) showed that logarithmic growth of the expected regret cannot be avoided by a consistent algorithm.

Abbasi-Yadkori, Pál and Szepesvári (NIPS 2011) proved a self-normalized concentration inequality for vector-valued martingales that holds uniformly over time. Section 6 of their paper applies it to the ddd-armed bandit. The resulting confidence intervals depend on neither the horizon nor the current time. The UCB variant built on them, UCB(δ\deltaδ), has pseudo-regret bounded by a constant, independent of the horizon, on a single event of probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ. This mission formalizes that section.

Setting

There are d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 arms with unknown means μ1,…,μd∈R\mu_1, \dots, \mu_d \in \mathbb Rμ1​,…,μd​∈R. Write μ∗=max⁡1≤i≤dμi\mu_* = \max_{1 \le i \le d} \mu_iμ∗​=max1≤i≤d​μi​ for the best mean and Δi=μ∗−μi≥0\Delta_i = \mu_* - \mu_i \ge 0Δi​=μ∗​−μi​≥0 for the gap of arm iii.

Randomness lives on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) with a filtration (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal F_t)_{t \ge 0}(Ft​)t≥0​. In round t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the learner plays an arm ItI_tIt​ that is Ft−1\mathcal F_{t-1}Ft−1​-measurable and receives the reward μIt+ηt\mu_{I_t} + \eta_tμIt​​+ηt​. The noise ηt\eta_tηt​ is Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable and conditionally 1-sub-Gaussian:

E[eληt∣Ft−1]≤eλ2/2for all λ∈R.\mathbf E\left[e^{\lambda\eta_t} \mid \mathcal F_{t-1}\right] \le e^{\lambda^2/2} \qquad \text{for all } \lambda \in \mathbb R .E[eληt​∣Ft−1​]≤eλ2/2for all λ∈R.

The noise need not be independent or identically distributed across rounds, and the rewards need not be bounded.

After ttt rounds, Ni,tN_{i,t}Ni,t​ is the number of plays of arm iii and X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​ is the average reward received from it. For a confidence level δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 the confidence width is

ci,t=1+Ni,tNi,t2(1+2log⁡d (1+Ni,t)1/2δ)(3)c_{i,t} = \sqrt{\frac{1 + N_{i,t}}{N_{i,t}^2}\left(1 + 2\log\frac{d\,(1 + N_{i,t})^{1/2}}{\delta}\right)} \qquad (3)ci,t​=Ni,t2​1+Ni,t​​(1+2logδd(1+Ni,t​)1/2​)​(3)

with ci,t=+∞c_{i,t} = +\inftyci,t​=+∞ when Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0. UCB(δ\deltaδ) plays, in round ttt, an arm that maximizes X‾i,t−1+ci,t−1\overline X_{i,t-1} + c_{i,t-1}Xi,t−1​+ci,t−1​; in particular every arm is played once before any comparison is made. The pseudo-regret after nnn rounds is

Rn=∑t=1n(μ∗−μIt).R_n = \sum_{t=1}^n \left(\mu_* - \mu_{I_t}\right).Rn​=t=1∑n​(μ∗​−μIt​​).

This is the linear bandit of the paper with the standard basis of Rd\mathbb R^dRd as decision set and θ∗=μ\theta_* = \muθ∗​=μ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7 (constant regret of UCB(δ\deltaδ))

For every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 simultaneously,

Rn≤∑i:Δi>0(3Δi+16Δilog⁡2dΔiδ).R_n \le \sum_{i : \Delta_i > 0}\left(3\Delta_i + \frac{16}{\Delta_i}\log\frac{2d}{\Delta_i\delta}\right).Rn​≤i:Δi​>0∑​(3Δi​+Δi​16​logΔi​δ2d​).

The right-hand side depends only on the gaps, ddd and δ\deltaδ.

Milestone: Lemma 6 (confidence intervals)

For any adapted choice of arms (not only UCB(δ\deltaδ)) and every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ,

∣X‾i,t−μi∣≤ci,tfor all arms i and all t≥0.|\overline X_{i,t} - \mu_i| \le c_{i,t} \qquad \text{for all arms } i \text{ and all } t \ge 0 .∣Xi,t​−μi​∣≤ci,t​for all arms i and all t≥0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 7 shows that, once a confidence level is fixed, a UCB-type algorithm can stop paying for exploration after finitely many rounds: with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ the total regret over an infinite horizon is bounded. The paper notes that this does not contradict the Lai–Robbins lower bound, which concerns expected regret; on the failure event of probability δ\deltaδ the regret may grow linearly. Lemma 6 is the practical content behind this: anytime-valid confidence intervals for adaptively sampled means under martingale noise, usable for stopping rules, best-arm identification and any sequential procedure that inspects its estimates at data-dependent times.

Formalizing it. Both results are proved in the paper's appendices (F and G). No machine-checked proof of either is known to exist. The platform already has the self-normalized martingale bound for V=λIV = \lambda IV=λI and unit sub-Gaussian noise (BanditAlgorithm.self_normalized_martingale_bound, listed here as a reference item), and UCB bounds with horizon-dependent widths and in-expectation or pathwise conclusions. Neither is Theorem 7. The mission produces a formal account of time-uniform confidence intervals for adaptively sampled arm means, and of a regret bound that is uniform in the horizon.

Difficulty

Two points separate this from textbook UCB analyses. First, the number of samples Ni,tN_{i,t}Ni,t​ of an arm is itself random and depends on past noise, so a fixed-sample concentration inequality with a union bound over times does not give widths that are free of ttt: a union bound over all ttt costs a factor that diverges. The time-uniform event must come from a maximal (self-normalized) inequality applied to the martingale ∑sηs1{Is=i}\sum_s \eta_s \mathbf 1\{I_s = i\}∑s​ηs​1{Is​=i}. Second, the regret statement is uniform in nnn with constants depending on the gaps; converting a condition of the form "c(N)≥Δi/2c(N) \ge \Delta_i/2c(N)≥Δi​/2" into an explicit bound on NNN requires solving an inequality in which NNN appears both polynomially and inside a logarithm, and the explicit constants 333 and 161616 must come out of that step.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace ImprovedLinBandits.UCBDelta.

  • Arms are Fin d with 0 < d in the goal; means are μ : Fin d → ℝ, μ∗\mu_*μ∗​ is ⨆ i, μ i (the maximum over a nonempty finite type).
  • Rounds are indexed t + 1 for t : ℕ: the arm I (t + 1) is ℱ t-measurable, the noise η (t + 1) is ℱ (t + 1)-measurable and satisfies Mathlib's HasCondSubgaussianMGF (ℱ t) … (η (t + 1)) 1 P. Values at index 000 are unused.
  • The sample space is assumed to be a standard Borel space, which Mathlib's conditional sub-Gaussianity requires; this hypothesis is not in the paper.
  • "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, for all …" is stated as: the outer probability of the failure event, with the quantifiers over arms and times inside it, is at most δ\deltaδ. For δ≥1\delta \ge 1δ≥1 the statements are trivially true, as in the paper.
  • The rule (4) is read with the statistics of rounds 1,…,t−11, \dots, t-11,…,t−1, because the printed X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​, ci,tc_{i,t}ci,t​ already count round ttt. An unplayed arm, whose width is +∞+\infty+∞ in the paper, is played before the indices are compared. Every tie-breaking rule is allowed, and measurability of the chosen arm is assumed rather than derived.
  • The printed Theorem 7 has no quantifier on nnn; it is formalized in the uniform-in-nnn form, matching the section's claim of constant regret and the time-uniform event of Lemma 6.
  • Lean's division by zero makes X‾i,t\overline X_{i,t}Xi,t​ and ci,tc_{i,t}ci,t​ equal to 000 when Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0. Lemma 6 therefore excludes Ni,t=0N_{i,t} = 0Ni,t​=0 explicitly (where the paper's inequality is vacuous), and the run predicate handles unplayed arms separately. The regret bound sums over arms with Δi>0\Delta_i > 0Δi​>0, so its divisions are well defined.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the confidence event is not assumed as a hypothesis of Theorem 7, the i.i.d. bandit model is not substituted for the martingale noise model, and no bound on the means or rewards is imposed.

Useful infrastructure for solvers: the self-normalized bound of Theorem 1 in the scalar case (d=1d = 1d=1, λ=1\lambda = 1λ=1, As=1{Is=i}A_s = \mathbf 1\{I_s = i\}As​=1{Is​=i}, V‾t=1+Ni,t\overline V_t = 1 + N_{i,t}Vt​=1+Ni,t​), a union bound over arms, and elementary inequalities inverting N↦1+NN2(1+2log⁡(d1+N/δ))N \mapsto \frac{1+N}{N^2}(1 + 2\log(d\sqrt{1+N}/\delta))N↦N21+N​(1+2log(d1+N​/δ)). Lemmas about pull counts and empirical means under adaptive sampling are reusable beyond this mission and are welcome as contributions.

Selected references

  • Y. Abbasi-Yadkori, D. Pál, Cs. Szepesvári, Improved Algorithms for Linear Stochastic Bandits, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 24 (NIPS), 2011. https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2011/hash/e1d5be1c7f2f456670de3d53c7b54f4a-Abstract.html
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, P. Fischer, Finite-time Analysis of the Multiarmed Bandit Problem, Machine Learning 47, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013689704352
  • T. L. Lai, H. Robbins, Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Allocation Rules, Advances in Applied Mathematics 6, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-8858(85)90002-8
  • J.-Y. Audibert, R. Munos, Cs. Szepesvári, Exploration–exploitation tradeoff using variance estimates in multi-armed bandits, Theoretical Computer Science 410, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcs.2009.01.016
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Some NP-Complete Problems in Quadratic and Nonlinear Programming: Copositivity Testing Is NP-Hard via Subset SumResearch Paper

Motivation

Nonlinear programming algorithms are routinely advertised as finding a local minimum. Most of them only certify first-order conditions (a KKT point), and the natural next question is whether a given feasible point is in fact a local minimum. For smooth problems where the Hessian is nonsingular this is a second-order test, but in the degenerate case the test itself becomes a combinatorial question about a quadratic form restricted to a cone.

K. G. Murty and S. N. Kabadi (Math. Programming 39 (1987) 117–129) showed that this question is intractable already in its simplest instance: deciding whether x=0x = 0x=0 is a local minimum of a quadratic form xTDxx^{\mathsf T}DxxTDx on the nonnegative orthant is NP-complete, and so is deciding whether a square integer matrix is copositive. The paper is the standard reference for the hardness of copositivity testing, which matters for copositive programming, for second-order optimality checks in constrained optimization, and for the complexity of local search in nonconvex optimization.

Setting

Let DDD be a real square matrix of order nnn and Q(x)=xTDxQ(x) = x^{\mathsf T}DxQ(x)=xTDx. The matrix DDD is copositive if Q(x)≥0Q(x) \ge 0Q(x)≥0 for every x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 (coordinatewise). The paper considers the quadratic program

(7)minimize Q(x)subject to x≥0,\text{(7)}\qquad \text{minimize } Q(x) \quad \text{subject to } x \ge 0,(7)minimize Q(x)subject to x≥0,

and the following questions, each phrased so that "yes" is the interesting answer:

  • Problem 1. Is x=0x = 0x=0 not a local minimum of (7)?
  • Problem 2. Is QQQ not bounded below on {x≥0}\{x \ge 0\}{x≥0}?
  • Problem 3. Is there an x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 with Q(x)<0Q(x) < 0Q(x)<0 (is DDD not copositive)?
  • Problem 4. Given a0>0a_0 > 0a0​>0, is there an x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 with eTx=a0e^{\mathsf T}x = a_0eTx=a0​ and Q(x)<0Q(x) < 0Q(x)<0? Here eee is the all-ones vector.
  • Problems 11, 12. With h(u)=(u12,…,un2) D (u12,…,un2)Th(u) = (u_1^2, \dots, u_n^2)\,D\,(u_1^2, \dots, u_n^2)^{\mathsf T}h(u)=(u12​,…,un2​)D(u12​,…,un2​)T, the objective of the unconstrained problem (15): is u=0u = 0u=0 not a local minimum of hhh on Rn\mathbb R^nRn, and is hhh not bounded below?

The source problem is subset sum (Problem 5): given positive integers d0;d1,…,dnd_0; d_1, \dots, d_nd0​;d1​,…,dn​, is there y∈{0,1}ny \in \{0,1\}^ny∈{0,1}n with ∑jdjyj=d0\sum_j d_j y_j = d_0∑j​dj​yj​=d0​? Let lll be the total number of digits in the data. The paper fixes an integer δ>4(d0∑jdj)2n3\delta > 4\big(d_0\sum_j d_j\big)^2 n^3δ>4(d0​∑j​dj​)2n3 and a rational ε\varepsilonε with 0<ε<2−nl20 < \varepsilon < 2^{-nl^2}0<ε<2−nl2, and defines functions of 2n2n2n nonnegative variables (y,s)(y, s)(y,s):

f1(y,s)=(∑jdjyj−d0)2+δ∑j(yj+sj−1)2+∑jyjsj,f_1(y,s) = \Big(\sum_j d_j y_j - d_0\Big)^2 + \delta\sum_j (y_j + s_j - 1)^2 + \sum_j y_j s_j,f1​(y,s)=(j∑​dj​yj​−d0​)2+δj∑​(yj​+sj​−1)2+j∑​yj​sj​,

f2=f1+2d0∑jdjyj(1−yj)f_2 = f_1 + 2d_0\sum_j d_j y_j(1 - y_j)f2​=f1​+2d0​∑j​dj​yj​(1−yj​), a homogeneous quadratic f4f_4f4​ that agrees with f2f_2f2​ on the set

P={(y,s):y≥0, s≥0, ∑j(yj+sj)=n},P = \Big\{(y,s) : y \ge 0,\ s \ge 0,\ \sum_j (y_j + s_j) = n\Big\},P={(y,s):y≥0, s≥0, j∑​(yj​+sj​)=n},

and f5=f4−(ε/n2)(∑j(yj+sj))2f_5 = f_4 - (\varepsilon/n^2)\big(\sum_j (y_j + s_j)\big)^2f5​=f4​−(ε/n2)(∑j​(yj​+sj​))2. The function f5f_5f5​ is a quadratic form xTMxx^{\mathsf T}MxxTMx in x=(y,s)∈R2nx = (y, s) \in \mathbb R^{2n}x=(y,s)∈R2n; the symmetric matrix MMM, with entries computed explicitly from d0,d,δ,εd_0, d, \delta, \varepsilond0​,d,δ,ε, is the output of the reduction.

Formalization targets

Goal: the reduction is correct

For positive integer data d0;d1,…,dnd_0; d_1, \dots, d_nd0​;d1​,…,dn​ and δ,ε\delta, \varepsilonδ,ε as above, with MMM the matrix of f5f_5f5​, the following are equivalent:

subset sum is solvable  ⟺  P1(M)  ⟺  P2(M)  ⟺  P3(M)  ⟺  M not copositive  ⟺  P4(M,n)  ⟺  P11(M)  ⟺  P12(M).\text{subset sum is solvable} \iff \text{P1}(M) \iff \text{P2}(M) \iff \text{P3}(M) \iff M \text{ not copositive} \iff \text{P4}(M, n) \iff \text{P11}(M) \iff \text{P12}(M).subset sum is solvable⟺P1(M)⟺P2(M)⟺P3(M)⟺M not copositive⟺P4(M,n)⟺P11(M)⟺P12(M).

This is the mathematical content of Theorems 1–3 and §4: a polynomially computable map from subset sum instances to matrices under which every one of these questions has the answer of the subset sum instance.

Milestones along the paper's chain

  1. Problems 5 and 6 are equivalent: subset sum is solvable iff some (y,s)∈P(y,s) \in P(y,s)∈P has f1≤0f_1 \le 0f1​≤0.
  2. Problems 6 and 7 are equivalent (f1f_1f1​ vs. f2f_2f2​ on PPP).
  3. Problems 7 and 8 are equivalent (f2f_2f2​ vs. f4f_4f4​ on PPP).
  4. Lemma 2: for an integer symmetric DDD of size LLL, the minimum of QQQ over [0,1]n[0,1]^n[0,1]n is 000 or at most −2−L-2^{-L}−2−L.
  5. Problems 8 and 9 are equivalent: ∃ (y,s)∈P\exists\,(y,s)\in P∃(y,s)∈P with f4≤0f_4 \le 0f4​≤0 iff ∃ (y,s)∈P\exists\,(y,s)\in P∃(y,s)∈P with f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0.
  6. Problem 9 is a special case of Problem 4: f5(y,s)=xTMxf_5(y,s) = x^{\mathsf T}Mxf5​(y,s)=xTMx, and Problem 9 is Problem 4 for (M,a0=n)(M, a_0 = n)(M,a0​=n).
  7. Problems 3 and 4 are equivalent, for any DDD and a0>0a_0 > 0a0​>0.
  8. Problems 1 and 2 are equivalent to Problem 3, for any DDD.
  9. Problems 11 and 12 are equivalent to Problems 1 and 2, for any DDD.

Significance

The result. The equivalence shows that checking local optimality of a feasible point, checking boundedness of a quadratic objective on a cone, and checking copositivity are all at least as hard as subset sum, hence NP-hard. Through (15) the same holds for local minimality and boundedness of a quartic polynomial with no constraints at all. These facts are the standard justification for why nonconvex solvers settle for KKT points, and the copositivity part underlies the hardness of copositive programming.

The formalization. The paper's claims are proved, and have been cited for decades, but the proof as printed is a sketch: several steps are stated as "clearly" or "it can be verified", and one step of the proof of Theorem 1 (p. 125) is false as written. The inequality (δ/2)(yj+sj−1)2+2d0djyj(1−yj)≥0(\delta/2)(y_j + s_j - 1)^2 + 2d_0 d_j y_j(1 - y_j) \ge 0(δ/2)(yj​+sj​−1)2+2d0​dj​yj​(1−yj​)≥0 for yj>1y_j > 1yj​>1 fails for yjy_jyj​ slightly above 111, and the pointwise implication "f2≤0⇒f1≤0f_2 \le 0 \Rightarrow f_1 \le 0f2​≤0⇒f1​≤0 on PPP" has an explicit counterexample. The equivalence of Problems 6 and 7 itself survives numerical checks. A machine-checked proof of the goal settles the correctness of the reduction with the paper's own constants. No machine-checked proof of these statements exists on the platform.

Difficulty

The combinatorial direction (a subset sum solution gives a point with f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0) is a computation. The converse direction carries the content, in two places.

First, passing from f1f_1f1​ to f2f_2f2​ trades the linear penalty for a quadratic one. This is harmless on the box 0≤y≤10 \le y \le 10≤y≤1 but not for yj>1y_j > 1yj​>1, where 2d0djyj(1−yj)2d_0d_jy_j(1-y_j)2d0​dj​yj​(1−yj​) is negative. The printed argument handles this coordinate by coordinate and is wrong there; a correct argument has to show that no point of PPP with f2≤0f_2 \le 0f2​≤0 exists unless a point with f1≤0f_1 \le 0f1​≤0 does, which requires a global use of the size of δ\deltaδ.

Second, passing from f4≤0f_4 \le 0f4​≤0 to f5<0f_5 < 0f5​<0 requires a quantitative gap: if f4>0f_4 > 0f4​>0 on PPP then min⁡Pf4≥ε\min_P f_4 \ge \varepsilonminP​f4​≥ε with ε\varepsilonε of only polynomially many bits. Lemma 2 provides such a gap for the unit box and integer matrices, but PPP is not the box and f4f_4f4​ has rational coefficients, so the lemma does not apply verbatim.

The remaining equivalences (Problems 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 12 for a fixed matrix) follow from homogeneity of the quadratic form and the substitution xj=uj2x_j = u_j^2xj​=uj2​, and are routine.

Formalization scope

The data d0,dj,δd_0, d_j, \deltad0​,dj​,δ are natural numbers and ε\varepsilonε is rational; all are cast to R\mathbb RR in f1,…,f5f_1, \dots, f_5f1​,…,f5​ and MMM. The index j=1,…,nj = 1, \dots, nj=1,…,n is Fin n, and the 2n2n2n variables of MMM are indexed by Fin n ⊕ Fin n with x=x = x= Sum.elim y s. Standing hypotheses: dj>0d_j > 0dj​>0 and d0>0d_0 > 0d0​>0 (the paper's "all positive integers"); δ>4(d0∑jdj)2n3\delta > 4(d_0\sum_j d_j)^2n^3δ>4(d0​∑j​dj​)2n3 in N\mathbb NN; ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and ε⋅2nl2<1\varepsilon \cdot 2^{nl^2} < 1ε⋅2nl2<1 in Q\mathbb QQ. The size lll counts decimal digits. Problem 1 is local minimality relative to the orthant, Problem 11 is unconstrained local minimality, both in the Euclidean topology. Lemma 2 is stated for integer symmetric DDD (as §4 of the paper says, "as before … symmetric"), with LLL Schrijver's encoding size, since the paper does not define "the size of DDD"; the "optimum is 000 or ≤−2−L\le -2^{-L}≤−2−L" is stated as a disjunction without an infimum. The milestones on f2,f4,f5f_2, f_4, f_5f2​,f4​,f5​ over PPP assume n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, which the paper assumes tacitly; the goal needs no such hypothesis.

Not formalized: membership in NP (Lemma 1), the polynomial-time computability of MMM and its encoding size, the NP-completeness of subset sum (cited by the paper from Garey–Johnson), Theorem 4, and any of the words "NP-complete" or "NP-hard". The platform's complexity layer (Turing machines over bitstrings) has no subset sum problem and no encoding of rational matrices. The matrix MMM has rational entries; a positive integer multiple of it is the integer matrix of Theorem 3, has the same answer to every question, and the rescaling is not formalized. The §3 standing assumption "D is not PSD" is not imposed; the constructed matrix can be PSD and the equivalence holds regardless.

The goal is about the explicit matrix MMM, whose entries are given in the definitions; it is not about "some matrix whose quadratic form is f5f_5f5​", and the constants δ\deltaδ and ε\varepsilonε are the paper's explicit bounds, not "sufficiently large" or "for some ε\varepsilonε". A formalization that quantifies existentially over the matrix or the precision would be trivially true and is ruled out.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the matrix identity and the homogeneity arguments (milestones 6–9), a proof of Lemma 2 (which needs a Cramer/Hadamard bound on basic solutions of the linear complementarity system (9)), and a correct proof of the f1↔f2f_1 \leftrightarrow f_2f1​↔f2​ step. The copositivity definitions and milestones 7–9 are reusable for any later work on copositive programming.

Selected references

  • K. G. Murty and S. N. Kabadi, Some NP-complete problems in quadratic and nonlinear programming, Mathematical Programming 39 (1987) 117–129. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592948
  • M. R. Garey and D. S. Johnson, Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the Theory of NP-Completeness, W. H. Freeman, 1979 (subset sum, problem [SP13]).
  • A. Schrijver, Theory of Linear and Integer Programming, Wiley, 1986 (encoding sizes, §2.1).
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Worst-Case Value-At-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach 1: Exact Worst-Case VaR under Known Mean and Covariance and Its SDP RepresentationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is the standard regulatory measure of downside risk of a portfolio: the loss level that is exceeded only with a prescribed small probability ε\varepsilonε. Computing it requires the full distribution of asset returns, which is rarely known. In practice one estimates a mean vector and a covariance matrix and then assumes a Gaussian distribution, which understates the probability of large losses when returns are heavy-tailed or skewed.

El Ghaoui, Oks and Oustry (Oper. Res. 51(4), 2003) replace the distributional assumption by a worst case: the VaR is computed against every distribution consistent with the known moments. For known mean and covariance they obtain an exact closed form and several semidefinite (SDP) representations of this worst-case VaR. The SDP forms are what make the approach extend to moment uncertainty (moments only known to lie in a set, §2.2 of the paper) and to robust portfolio optimization. The equivalence between the probabilistic statement and the closed form is also a multivariate one-sided Chebyshev bound, related to Bertsimas and Popescu (SIAM J. Optim. 15(3), 2005; working paper 2000).

Setting

There are nnn assets. Their returns over one period form a random vector x∈Rnx \in \mathbb R^nx∈Rn, and a portfolio w∈Rnw \in \mathbb R^nw∈Rn earns r(w,x)=w⊤xr(w,x) = w^\top xr(w,x)=w⊤x. The paper restricts www to an admissible set that does not contain 000; only w≠0w \neq 0w=0 is used.

The distribution of xxx is unknown except for its mean x^∈Rn\hat x \in \mathbb R^nx^∈Rn and covariance matrix Γ\GammaΓ, with Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0 (positive definite). Let P\mathcal PP be the set of all probability distributions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn with these two moments. For a loss level γ\gammaγ, the loss set is S={x∣γ≤−x⊤w}\mathcal S = \{x \mid \gamma \le -x^\top w\}S={x∣γ≤−x⊤w}. The worst-case VaR at level ε\varepsilonε is (Eq. (4))

VP(w)=min⁡{γ  :  sup⁡P∈PP(S)≤ε}.V_{\mathcal P}(w) = \min\Big\{\gamma \;:\; \sup_{P\in\mathcal P} P(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilon\Big\}.VP​(w)=min{γ:P∈Psup​P(S)≤ε}.

Further notation: κ(ε)=(1−ε)/ε\kappa(\varepsilon) = \sqrt{(1-\varepsilon)/\varepsilon}κ(ε)=(1−ε)/ε​ (Eq. (8)); for symmetric matrices, A⪰BA \succeq BA⪰B means A−BA - BA−B is positive semidefinite and ⟨A,B⟩=Tr⁡(AB)\langle A, B\rangle = \operatorname{Tr}(AB)⟨A,B⟩=Tr(AB). The second-moment matrix is (Eq. (6))

Σ=[Sx^x^⊤1],S=Γ+x^x^⊤.\Sigma = \begin{bmatrix} S & \hat x \\ \hat x^\top & 1\end{bmatrix}, \qquad S = \Gamma + \hat x\hat x^\top.Σ=[Sx^⊤​x^1​],S=Γ+x^x^⊤.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (pp. 545–546)

For Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0, w≠0w \neq 0w=0, ε∈(0,1)\varepsilon \in (0,1)ε∈(0,1) and γ∈R\gamma \in \mathbb Rγ∈R, the following five propositions are equivalent:

  1. sup⁡P∈PP{γ≤−w⊤x}≤ε\sup_{P \in \mathcal P} P\{\gamma \le -w^\top x\} \le \varepsilonsupP∈P​P{γ≤−w⊤x}≤ε;
  2. κ(ε) ∥Γ1/2w∥2−x^⊤w≤γ\kappa(\varepsilon)\,\|\Gamma^{1/2} w\|_2 - \hat x^\top w \le \gammaκ(ε)∥Γ1/2w∥2​−x^⊤w≤γ;
  3. there are a symmetric MMM and τ∈R\tau \in \mathbb Rτ∈R with ⟨M,Σ⟩≤τε\langle M, \Sigma\rangle \le \tau\varepsilon⟨M,Σ⟩≤τε, M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0, τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0, and M+[0ww⊤−τ+2γ]⪰0M + \begin{bmatrix} 0 & w\\ w^\top & -\tau + 2\gamma\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0M+[0w⊤​w−τ+2γ​]⪰0;
  4. every xxx with [Γx−x^(x−x^)⊤κ(ε)2]⪰0\begin{bmatrix}\Gamma & x - \hat x\\ (x-\hat x)^\top & \kappa(\varepsilon)^2\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0[Γ(x−x^)⊤​x−x^κ(ε)2​]⪰0 satisfies −x⊤w≤γ-x^\top w \le \gamma−x⊤w≤γ;
  5. there are a symmetric Λ\LambdaΛ and v∈Rv \in \mathbb Rv∈R with ⟨Λ,Γ⟩+κ(ε)2v−x^⊤w≤γ\langle \Lambda, \Gamma\rangle + \kappa(\varepsilon)^2 v - \hat x^\top w \le \gamma⟨Λ,Γ⟩+κ(ε)2v−x^⊤w≤γ and [Λw/2w⊤/2v]⪰0\begin{bmatrix}\Lambda & w/2\\ w^\top/2 & v\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0[Λw⊤/2​w/2v​]⪰0.

In particular

VP(w)=κ(ε) ∥Γ1/2w∥2−x^⊤w.V_{\mathcal P}(w) = \kappa(\varepsilon)\,\|\Gamma^{1/2}w\|_2 - \hat x^\top w.VP​(w)=κ(ε)∥Γ1/2w∥2​−x^⊤w.

Milestones (the steps of the paper's proof)

  • Condition C.1 (l(x)=[x⊤ 1]M[x⊤ 1]⊤≥0l(x) = [x^\top\,1] M [x^\top\,1]^\top \ge 0l(x)=[x⊤1]M[x⊤1]⊤≥0 for all xxx) is equivalent to M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0 (p. 546).
  • Conditions C.1 and C.2 are equivalent to the existence of τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0 with M⪰0M \succeq 0M⪰0 and M+[0τwτw⊤−1+2τγ]⪰0M + \begin{bmatrix} 0 & \tau w\\ \tau w^\top & -1+2\tau\gamma\end{bmatrix} \succeq 0M+[0τw⊤​τw−1+2τγ​]⪰0 (p. 546).
  • The worst-case probability sup⁡P∈PP(S)\sup_{P\in\mathcal P} P(\mathcal S)supP∈P​P(S) equals the value of the SDP inf⁡⟨M,Σ⟩\inf \langle M, \Sigma\rangleinf⟨M,Σ⟩ under the constraints above (Eq. (14), pp. 546–547).
  • The Schur-complement reduction (19)–(20) of the constraints of the dual problem (18) (p. 547).
  • The closed form of ϕ(y)\phi(y)ϕ(y) and its maximum at y=εy = \varepsilony=ε (p. 547).
  • Condition (10) describes the ellipsoid {x∣(x−x^)⊤Γ−1(x−x^)≤κ(ε)2}\{x \mid (x-\hat x)^\top\Gamma^{-1}(x-\hat x) \le \kappa(\varepsilon)^2\}{x∣(x−x^)⊤Γ−1(x−x^)≤κ(ε)2}, and the maximal loss −x⊤w-x^\top w−x⊤w over it is κ(ε)w⊤Γw−x^⊤w\kappa(\varepsilon)\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w} - \hat x^\top wκ(ε)w⊤Γw​−x^⊤w (p. 546).

Significance

The result. Proposition 2 turns the worst-case VaR into a second-order cone function of www, so minimizing it over a polytope of portfolios is a second-order cone program (Eq. (12)). The SDP forms 3 and 5 are the basis of the paper's §2.2–§3: they extend, with the moments only known to lie in a convex set, to a single SDP whose value is the worst-case VaR over that set. Proposition 4 gives a deterministic reading: the worst-case VaR is the largest loss when the return vector is only known to lie in an ellipsoid, which connects distributional robustness to robust optimization with ellipsoidal uncertainty.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, with two imported steps: strong duality for the moment problem (Smith 1995; Bonnans and Shapiro 2000) and a Slater-type strong duality for the one-constraint quadratic condition. No machine-checked version is known. A formal proof would supply these steps with explicit hypotheses and would produce a Lean statement of the multivariate one-sided Chebyshev (Cantelli) bound with tightness over the full moment class.

Difficulty

The matrix equivalences (2 ⇔ 4 ⇔ 5 and 2 ⇔ 3) are Schur complements and finite-dimensional SDP duality. The difficulty is Proposition 1. The upper bound (Cantelli's inequality for w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x) handles one direction, but the converse requires tightness: for every γ\gammaγ below the closed form, a distribution on Rn\mathbb R^nRn with exactly the prescribed mean and full covariance matrix Γ\GammaΓ that puts probability more than ε\varepsilonε on the loss set. A scalar extremal distribution for w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x does not by itself have the right covariance in the other directions, and a Gaussian does not reach the bound. The paper's route through the moment problem instead needs strong duality between a supremum over measures and an infimum over matrices, which is where the positive definiteness of Σ\SigmaΣ enters.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); x⊤wx^\top wx⊤w is the inner product, and matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ. Matrices of size n+1n+1n+1 are indexed by Fin n ⊕ Fin 1 and built with Matrix.fromBlocks (the helper bordered A v c is [[A,v],[v⊤,c]][[A, v],[v^\top, c]][[A,v],[v⊤,c]]). A⪰0A \succeq 0A⪰0 is PosSemidef, Γ≻0\Gamma \succ 0Γ≻0 is PosDef, ⟨A,B⟩\langle A, B\rangle⟨A,B⟩ is (A * B).trace, and ∥Γ1/2w∥2\|\Gamma^{1/2}w\|_2∥Γ1/2w∥2​ is written w⊤Γw\sqrt{w^\top\Gamma w}w⊤Γw​.
  • The class P\mathcal PP (HasMeanCov) contains every Borel probability measure on Rn\mathbb R^nRn whose coordinates are square-integrable, with mean x^\hat xx^ and centred covariance Γ\GammaΓ. It is not restricted to densities or to Gaussians: the Gaussian class gives a different constant, −Φ−1(ε)-\Phi^{-1}(\varepsilon)−Φ−1(ε).
  • Sup, inf and max: "sup⁡P∈PP(S)≤ε\sup_{P\in\mathcal P}P(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilonsupP∈P​P(S)≤ε" is stated as "P(S)≤εP(\mathcal S) \le \varepsilonP(S)≤ε for every P∈PP \in \mathcal PP∈P". The worst-case probability SDP is stated as IsLUB/IsGLB of one real number (no attainment is claimed). The maxima over vvv, over y∈[ε,1]y \in [\varepsilon,1]y∈[ε,1] and over the ellipsoid are IsGreatest.
  • Corrections to the printed statement. The paper prints ε∈(0,1]\varepsilon \in (0,1]ε∈(0,1]; at ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1 Proposition 1 holds for every γ\gammaγ while Propositions 2–5 require γ≥−x^⊤w\gamma \ge -\hat x^\top wγ≥−x^⊤w, so the goal assumes 0<ε<10 < \varepsilon < 10<ε<1. The goal also assumes w≠0w \neq 0w=0, the paper's standing assumption; with w=0w = 0w=0, γ=0\gamma = 0γ=0 Proposition 1 fails and Proposition 2 holds. Milestones that remain true at ε=1\varepsilon = 1ε=1 keep ε≤1\varepsilon \le 1ε≤1.
  • A goal that omits Proposition 1 would only be matrix algebra and is not this theorem. The five-way equivalence must be proved with the probabilistic statement included.
  • Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: the homogenization lemma for quadratic functions, the S-lemma with one affine constraint, the Schur-complement criteria for bordered PSD matrices, and duality for the moment problem. Proofs of any milestone, and of lemmas building a distribution with prescribed mean and covariance, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. El Ghaoui, M. Oks, F. Oustry, Worst-Case Value-at-Risk and Robust Portfolio Optimization: A Conic Programming Approach, Operations Research 51(4):543–556, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.51.4.543.16101
  • D. Bertsimas, I. Popescu, Optimal Inequalities in Probability Theory: A Convex Optimization Approach, SIAM J. Optim. 15(3):780–804, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623401399903
  • J. E. Smith, Generalized Chebychev Inequalities: Theory and Applications in Decision Analysis, Operations Research 43(5):807–825, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.43.5.807
  • J. F. Bonnans, A. Shapiro, Perturbation Analysis of Optimization Problems, Springer, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1394-9
  • L. Vandenberghe, S. Boyd, K. Comanor, Generalized Chebyshev Bounds via Semidefinite Programming, SIAM Review 49(1):52–64, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0036144504440543
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An Application of Simultaneous Diophantine Approximation in Combinatorial Optimization: A Small Integral Objective with the Same Optimal Solutions and Dual BasesResearch Paper

Motivation

An algorithm for linear programming is strongly polynomial if the number of arithmetic operations it performs is bounded by a polynomial in the dimension of the problem alone (the number of variables and constraints), independently of the bit lengths of the numbers in the input. Many combinatorial optimization problems are linear programs over polyhedra of the form P={x∈Rn:Ax≤b}P = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^n : Ax \le b\}P={x∈Rn:Ax≤b} whose constraint matrix AAA has entries 0,+1,−10, +1, -10,+1,−1, but whose objective vector www is an arbitrary rational weight vector. Polynomial-time algorithms for such problems (for instance the ellipsoid-based algorithms of Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver for maximum-weight cliques in perfect graphs, submodular flows, and matroid polyhedra) have running times that depend on the length of www.

Frank and Tardos (Combinatorica 1987) remove this dependence once and for all: they replace www by an integral objective w~\tilde ww~ whose entries have O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) bits and which has exactly the same optimal solutions and the same optimal dual bases as www over every such polyhedron. Any algorithm that is polynomial in nnn and in the length of the objective then becomes strongly polynomial. The tool is simultaneous Diophantine approximation, used through the lattice-basis-reduction algorithm of Lenstra, Lenstra and Lovász (Math. Ann. 1982). The technique extends Tardos's strongly polynomial algorithm for linear programs with small constraint matrices (Oper. Res. 1986), which applies only to explicitly given programs.

Setting

For x∈Rnx \in \mathbb{R}^nx∈Rn write ∥x∥∞=max⁡j∣x(j)∣\|x\|_\infty = \max_j |x(j)|∥x∥∞​=maxj​∣x(j)∣ and ∥x∥1=∑j∣x(j)∣\|x\|_1 = \sum_j |x(j)|∥x∥1​=∑j​∣x(j)∣; sign⁡\operatorname{sign}sign takes the values −1,0,+1-1, 0, +1−1,0,+1.

Decomposition. Fix a positive integer NNN. A decomposition of w∈Rnw \in \mathbb{R}^nw∈Rn is an expression

w=∑i=1kλivi,λi>0, vi∈Zn.w = \sum_{i=1}^k \lambda_i v_i, \qquad \lambda_i > 0,\ v_i \in \mathbb{Z}^n.w=i=1∑k​λi​vi​,λi​>0, vi​∈Zn.

It satisfies condition (iii) if for i=2,…,ki = 2, \dots, ki=2,…,k the vector viv_ivi​ is nonzero and λi/λi−1≤1/(N∥vi∥∞)\lambda_i/\lambda_{i-1} \le 1/(N\|v_i\|_\infty)λi​/λi−1​≤1/(N∥vi​∥∞​): the coefficients decrease so quickly that each term is negligible against the previous one.

Preprocessing. Given a rational www and NNN, the paper's preprocessing algorithm finds a decomposition with k≤nk \le nk≤n, condition (iii), and the size bound (ii)' ∥vi∥∞≤2n2+nNn\|v_i\|_\infty \le 2^{n^2+n}N^n∥vi​∥∞​≤2n2+nNn, and outputs

w~=∑i=1kMk−ivi,M=2n2+nNn+1.\tilde w = \sum_{i=1}^k M^{k-i} v_i, \qquad M = 2^{n^2+n} N^{n+1}.w~=i=1∑k​Mk−ivi​,M=2n2+nNn+1.

Linear programs. Let AAA be an m×nm \times nm×n matrix with entries in {0,±1}\{0, \pm 1\}{0,±1} and b∈Rmb \in \mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm. The primal program is max⁡{wx:Ax≤b}\max\{wx : Ax \le b\}max{wx:Ax≤b} and the dual program is min⁡{yb:yA=w, y≥0}\min\{yb : yA = w,\ y \ge 0\}min{yb:yA=w, y≥0}. A point xˉ∈P\bar x \in Pxˉ∈P is www-maximal if wxˉ=max⁡(wx:x∈P)w\bar x = \max(wx : x \in P)wxˉ=max(wx:x∈P). A dual basis is a maximal set of row indices of AAA whose rows are linearly independent; it determines at most one yyy with yA=wyA = wyA=w supported on it (the basic dual solution), and it is an optimal dual basis if that yyy exists and is optimal for the dual program.

Formalization targets

Goal — Theorem 4.2 (p. 58)

For every w∈Qnw \in \mathbb{Q}^nw∈Qn, with N=(n+1)!+1N = (n+1)! + 1N=(n+1)!+1, there is w~∈Zn\tilde w \in \mathbb{Z}^nw~∈Zn with

∥w~∥∞≤24n3Nn(n+2)\|\tilde w\|_\infty \le 2^{4n^3} N^{n(n+2)}∥w~∥∞​≤24n3Nn(n+2)

such that for every 0,±10, \pm10,±1 matrix AAA with nnn columns and every bbb: (i) x∈Px \in Px∈P is www-maximal if and only if it is w~\tilde ww~-maximal; (ii) a set of rows of AAA is an optimal dual basis for www if and only if it is one for w~\tilde ww~. The vector w~\tilde ww~ depends on www only, not on AAA or bbb.

Milestones

  1. Dirichlet's theorem (p. 52): for N≥1N \ge 1N≥1 and α∈Rn\alpha \in \mathbb{R}^nα∈Rn there are p∈Znp \in \mathbb{Z}^np∈Zn and 1≤q≤Nn1 \le q \le N^n1≤q≤Nn with ∣qα(i)−p(i)∣<1/N|q\alpha(i) - p(i)| < 1/N∣qα(i)−p(i)∣<1/N for all iii.
  2. Theorem 3.1 (p. 53): every w∈Rnw \in \mathbb{R}^nw∈Rn has a decomposition with k≤nk \le nk≤n, ∥vi∥∞≤Nn\|v_i\|_\infty \le N^n∥vi​∥∞​≤Nn and condition (iii).
  3. Lemma 3.2 (pp. 54–55): under condition (iii), for integral bbb with ∥b∥1≤N−1\|b\|_1 \le N - 1∥b∥1​≤N−1, sign⁡(b⋅w)=sign⁡(b⋅vj)\operatorname{sign}(b \cdot w) = \operatorname{sign}(b \cdot v_j)sign(b⋅w)=sign(b⋅vj​) for the smallest jjj with b⋅vj≠0b \cdot v_j \ne 0b⋅vj​=0, and b⋅w=0b \cdot w = 0b⋅w=0 if there is no such jjj.
  4. Theorem 3.3 (p. 56): the preprocessed w~\tilde ww~ satisfies ∥w~∥∞≤24n3Nn(n+2)\|\tilde w\|_\infty \le 2^{4n^3}N^{n(n+2)}∥w~∥∞​≤24n3Nn(n+2) and sign⁡(w⋅b)=sign⁡(w~⋅b)\operatorname{sign}(w \cdot b) = \operatorname{sign}(\tilde w \cdot b)sign(w⋅b)=sign(w~⋅b) for all integral bbb with ∥b∥1≤N−1\|b\|_1 \le N-1∥b∥1​≤N−1.
  5. The case N=n+1N = n+1N=n+1 (p. 55): an integral w~\tilde ww~ with ∥w~∥∞≤24n3(n+1)n(n+2)\|\tilde w\|_\infty \le 2^{4n^3}(n+1)^{n(n+2)}∥w~∥∞​≤24n3(n+1)n(n+2) and w~(X)≤w~(Y)  ⟺  w(X)≤w(Y)\tilde w(X) \le \tilde w(Y) \iff w(X) \le w(Y)w~(X)≤w~(Y)⟺w(X)≤w(Y) for all subsets X,YX, YX,Y of coordinates.
  6. Lemma 4.1 (i) (p. 57): if sign⁡(w′⋅h)=sign⁡(w′′⋅h)\operatorname{sign}(w' \cdot h) = \operatorname{sign}(w'' \cdot h)sign(w′⋅h)=sign(w′′⋅h) for all integral hhh with ∥h∥1≤(n+1)!\|h\|_1 \le (n+1)!∥h∥1​≤(n+1)!, then w′w'w′ and w′′w''w′′ have the same maximizers over {Ax≤b}\{Ax \le b\}{Ax≤b} for every 0,±10, \pm10,±1 matrix AAA.
  7. Lemma 4.1 (ii) (p. 57): under the same hypothesis, a dual basis is optimal for w′w'w′ if and only if it is optimal for w′′w''w′′.

Significance

The result gives a general reduction: whenever a class of polyhedra with 0,±10, \pm10,±1 constraint matrices admits an optimization algorithm that is polynomial in nnn and in the length of the objective, it admits a strongly polynomial one. The paper applies this to maximum-weight cliques in perfect graphs, optimization over submodular flow polyhedra, and matroid polyhedra membership, and its Section 5 applies the same rounding to the integer programming algorithms of Lenstra and Kannan. The subset-sum corollary (milestone 5) is independently useful: every rational weight function on a finite set can be replaced by an integral one with O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3)-bit entries that orders all subset sums identically.

All statements of this mission have been proved on paper since 1987. None is formalized on Prove2Me, and Mathlib contains only the one-dimensional Dirichlet approximation theorem. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the exact statements, with the explicit constants of the paper; the complexity claims (operation counts, strong polynomiality) are not part of it.

Difficulty

The goal combines two independent parts. The number-theoretic part (milestones 1–5) needs a multidimensional Dirichlet theorem, an induction producing the decomposition, and exact inequality chains with the constants 2n2+nNn2^{n^2+n}N^n2n2+nNn and 24n3Nn(n+2)2^{4n^3}N^{n(n+2)}24n3Nn(n+2). The linear-programming part (milestones 6–7) needs bounds on the entries of inverses of nonsingular 0,±10, \pm10,±1 submatrices, the existence of optimal dual solutions supported on a dual basis, LP duality and complementary slackness. The obvious first idea, scaling www to an integer vector by a common denominator, preserves every sign but gives no bound on ∥w~∥∞\|\tilde w\|_\infty∥w~∥∞​ in terms of nnn; the bound is the content of the theorem. Likewise, rounding each coordinate of www separately to a fixed precision does not preserve the sign of w⋅bw \cdot bw⋅b when w⋅bw \cdot bw⋅b is tiny but nonzero.

Formalization scope

Vectors are functions on Fin n: the input www is rational (Fin n → ℚ) in the goal, in Theorem 3.3 and in the subset-sum corollary, as in the algorithm's input line; it is real in Theorem 3.1, Lemma 3.2 and Lemma 4.1, as on the page. Integral vectors are Fin n → ℤ, and AAA is a Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℤ with every entry in {−1,0,1}\{-1, 0, 1\}{−1,0,1}, cast to R\mathbb{R}R; b∈Rmb \in \mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm is unrestricted. Decompositions are indexed by i∈{1,…,k}⊆Ni \in \{1, \dots, k\} \subseteq \mathbb{N}i∈{1,…,k}⊆N as in the paper. ∥b∥1\|b\|_1∥b∥1​ is always the explicit sum ∑j∣b(j)∣\sum_j |b(j)|∑j​∣b(j)∣, compared with N−1N - 1N−1 in Z\mathbb{Z}Z; ∥v∥∞\|v\|_\infty∥v∥∞​ of an integer vector is a natural number (supNorm). Sign equality uses SignType.sign and includes the zero case. Condition (iii) is stated multiplicatively together with vi≠0v_i \ne 0vi​=0, which the paper's quotient presupposes; without vi≠0v_i \ne 0vi​=0 Lemma 3.2 fails. An optimal dual basis is a maximal linearly independent set of row indices together with an optimal dual solution supported on it.

Two formalizations would make the goal trivial and are excluded: dropping the bound on ∥w~∥∞\|\tilde w\|_\infty∥w~∥∞​ (a multiple of www then works), and letting w~\tilde ww~ depend on AAA and bbb (the goal states ∃w~\exists \tilde w∃w~ before ∀A,b\forall A, b∀A,b). The 0,±10, \pm10,±1 assumption on AAA is part of every Section 4 statement.

A complete development needs a multidimensional pigeonhole argument, determinant and adjugate bounds for 0,±10, \pm 10,±1 matrices, and basic LP duality (strong duality, complementary slackness, basic optimal dual solutions); the last two are reusable across linear-programming missions. Proofs of individual milestones, reusable lemmas on LP duality, and alternative proofs of Dirichlet's theorem are all welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Frank and É. Tardos, An application of simultaneous diophantine approximation in combinatorial optimization, Combinatorica 7(1) (1987) 49–65. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579200
  • A. K. Lenstra, H. W. Lenstra Jr. and L. Lovász, Factoring polynomials with rational coefficients, Math. Ann. 261 (1982) 515–534. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01457454
  • É. Tardos, A strongly polynomial algorithm to solve combinatorial linear programs, Operations Research 34(2) (1986) 250–256. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.34.2.250
  • M. Grötschel, L. Lovász and A. Schrijver, The ellipsoid method and its consequences in combinatorial optimization, Combinatorica 1 (1981) 169–197. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579273
  • J. W. S. Cassels, An Introduction to the Theory of Numbers (title as printed in the paper's reference [2]), Springer, Berlin, 1971; cited in the paper as [2, Sect. 1.10] for Dirichlet's theorem.
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Competitive Paging Algorithms IV: An Algorithm Competitive against Several Others Exists iff the Reciprocal Ratios Sum to at Most 1Research Paper

Motivation

Paging is the problem of managing a fast memory that holds kkk pages out of nnn: when a requested page is not in fast memory (a page fault), some resident page must be evicted, and the cost of an algorithm is its number of faults. Practitioners have many eviction rules. Least-recently-used (LRU) performs well on real workloads but can be kkk times worse than the optimal off-line schedule; the randomized marking algorithm of the same paper is 2Hk2H_k2Hk​-competitive and so has better worst-case guarantees. Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young asked in 1991 whether one on-line algorithm can combine the advantages of several given ones, and answered the question exactly: the attainable combinations of ratios are characterized by one inequality (arXiv:cs/0205038, §6).

The question of combining on-line algorithms has since become a theme of its own: combining heuristics with worst-case-safe algorithms, and, more recently, combining machine-learned predictions with robust fallbacks, both ask for the same kind of guarantee against several reference algorithms at once.

Setting

A type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) consists of kkk servers and a finite set MMM of nnn vertices with the uniform metric: two distinct vertices are at distance 111. This is paging: vertices are pages, the vertices covered by servers are the pages in fast memory, and a server move is a page fault.

A deterministic on-line algorithm AAA of type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) has an initial configuration of its kkk servers and, after each request r∈Mr\in Mr∈M, moves servers so that some server covers rrr; its configuration after a request sequence depends only on that sequence. Its cost CA(σ)C_A(\sigma)CA​(σ) on a request sequence σ\sigmaσ is the total distance its servers travel, i.e. the number of server moves.

For algorithms AAA and BBB of the same type and a constant ccc, AAA is ccc-competitive against BBB if there is a constant aaa such that for every request sequence σ\sigmaσ

CA(σ)≤c⋅CB(σ)+a.C_A(\sigma)\le c\cdot C_B(\sigma)+a .CA​(σ)≤c⋅CB​(σ)+a.

A sequence c∗=(c(1),…,c(m))c^*=(c(1),\dots,c(m))c∗=(c(1),…,c(m)) of positive reals is realizable if for every type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) and every mmm deterministic on-line algorithms B(1),…,B(m)B(1),\dots,B(m)B(1),…,B(m) of that type there is a deterministic on-line algorithm AAA of the same type that is c(i)c(i)c(i)-competitive against B(i)B(i)B(i) for every iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

For m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and positive reals c(1),…,c(m)c(1),\dots,c(m)c(1),…,c(m),

c∗ is realizable  ⟺  ∑1≤i≤m1c(i)≤1.c^*\ \text{is realizable}\iff \sum_{1\le i\le m}\frac1{c(i)}\le 1 .c∗ is realizable⟺1≤i≤m∑​c(i)1​≤1.

Milestones

In the order of the paper's proof:

  1. Punishments are paid for. If AAA punishes BBB at a time step (an AAA-interval on a vertex vvv ends at that step and contains the end of a BBB-interval on vvv that began no later), then BBB has moved a server; the number of such steps is at most CB(σ)C_B(\sigma)CB​(σ).
  2. A fault leaves room to punish. If ∣SA∣=k|S_A|=k∣SA​∣=k, ∣SB∣≤k|S_B|\le k∣SB​∣≤k, x∈SBx\in S_Bx∈SB​ and x∉SAx\notin S_Ax∈/SA​, then some u∈SAu\in S_Au∈SA​ is not in SBS_BSB​.
  3. The greedy quota claim. If ∑i1/c(i)≤1\sum_i 1/c(i)\le 1∑i​1/c(i)≤1 and each unit of cost punishes the B(i)B(i)B(i) minimizing c(i)(PUN(i)+1)c(i)(\mathrm{PUN}(i)+1)c(i)(PUN(i)+1) (other algorithms may be punished incidentally), then after cost rrr every B(i)B(i)B(i) has been punished at least ⌊r/c(i)⌋\lfloor r/c(i)\rfloor⌊r/c(i)⌋ times.
  4. Shuttle algorithms. With 2m−12m-12m−1 servers on 2m2m2m vertices there are mmm algorithms, each keeping all vertices outside its own pair covered, no two of which move at the same step; in particular their total cost on any σ\sigmaσ is at most ∣σ∣|\sigma|∣σ∣.
  5. A forcing adversary. With 2m−12m-12m−1 servers on 2m2m2m vertices every algorithm can be forced to move at each of NNN steps, so CA(τ(N))≥NC_A(\tau(N))\ge NCA​(τ(N))≥N.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6 is an exact characterization, not a bound: the region of simultaneously attainable ratios against arbitrary deterministic paging algorithms is {c:∑1/c(i)≤1}\{c:\sum 1/c(i)\le 1\}{c:∑1/c(i)≤1}. For example, any two paging algorithms can be combined into one that is 222-competitive against each, and no better symmetric pair is possible in general. Combined with Theorem 7 of the same paper (not part of this mission), the same region is attainable against randomized algorithms, which is how LRU's practical behaviour and the marking algorithm's 2Hk2H_k2Hk​ worst-case guarantee can be obtained within constant factors by one algorithm.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1991; no machine-checked proof is known. A formal proof produces a reusable notion of competitiveness of one on-line algorithm against another, built on the published KServer_model definitions, and a formal account of the scheduling fact at the core of the sufficiency proof.

Difficulty

Sufficiency looks like an averaging argument, but the combined algorithm cannot simulate the B(i)B(i)B(i) and follow one of them: switching between their configurations costs up to kkk per switch, which no additive constant absorbs. The accounting has to charge each of AAA's faults to a specific move of a specific B(i)B(i)B(i), and the charge must be injective; the paper's claim that CB(σ)C_B(\sigma)CB​(σ) is at least the number of punishments is where this happens, and it depends on how server intervals are matched. The allocation of faults to algorithms is then a deadline-scheduling problem whose feasibility is exactly ∑1/c(i)≤1\sum 1/c(i)\le 1∑1/c(i)≤1, and the floor functions make the counting delicate at the boundary. The paper's own definition of punishment only counts intervals that start with a move, so the first kkk faults of AAA (servers on their initial vertices) need separate treatment; they are absorbed by the additive constant.

Necessity needs the right family of hard instances: the mmm algorithms must never move at the same step, which pins the type to (2m−1,2m)(2m-1,2m)(2m−1,2m).

Formalization scope

The Lean development works in the namespace CompetitivePaging.Combining and imports the published KServer_model definitions: KServer.OnlineAlgorithm k M (a configuration map from request prefixes to Fin k → M with a serving condition) and OnlineAlgorithm.cost. Committed conventions:

  • a type (k,n)(k,n)(k,n) is any k : ℕ and any finite M : Type with a metric in which distinct points are at distance 111; realizability quantifies over all of them, never over one fixed type;
  • servers are labelled; each algorithm has its own initial configuration, and the additive constant aaa is chosen before the request sequence;
  • c(i)>0c(i)>0c(i)>0 and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 are hypotheses of the goal, as in the paper; without positivity, 1/0=01/0=01/0=0 in Lean would make a zero ratio free;
  • time ttt is the step processing the ttt-th request; the paper's PUN\mathrm{PUN}PUN counts time steps.

Trivializing encodings are ruled out: realizability is not stated for a single fixed type, the metric is not the metric of Fin n, and the competitive constant is not allowed to depend on the request sequence.

A complete proof needs the construction of the punishing algorithm as a KServer.OnlineAlgorithm (a lazy, injective algorithm whose moves depend on the prefix and on the B(i)B(i)B(i)'s configurations), the injective charging argument, the scheduling lemma, and the explicit shuttle algorithms. The scheduling lemma and the charging lemma are independent of paging and reusable. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative statements of the sufficiency construction.

Selected references

  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive Paging Algorithms, J. Algorithms 12(4):685–699, 1991. doi:10.1016/0196-6774(91)90041-V; preprint arXiv:cs/0205038.
  • D. D. Sleator, R. E. Tarjan, Amortized efficiency of list update and paging rules, Comm. ACM 28(2):202–208, 1985. doi:10.1145/2786.2793
  • M. S. Manasse, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, J. Algorithms 11(2):208–230, 1990. doi:10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
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Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems 3: Capacity Scaling for the Hitchcock ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

The Hitchcock transportation problem asks how to ship a commodity from mmm supply points to nnn demand points at minimum total cost. It was posed by Hitchcock in 1941 and is one of the founding problems of linear programming and network optimization; it is solved routinely in logistics, and its structure (a bipartite network with supplies, demands and per-unit costs) recurs in assignment, optimal transport and matching.

The classical algorithms for it, the Ford–Fulkerson primal–dual method among them, augment flow one path at a time. With integral data their number of augmentations is bounded only by the total supply ∑iai\sum_i a_i∑i​ai​, which is exponential in the number of binary digits used to write the data. Edmonds and Karp, Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems (J. ACM 19(2), 1972, doi:10.1145/321694.321699), introduced capacity scaling: solve a coarse version of the problem first, then refine one binary digit at a time. Their Theorem 9 (p. 260) bounds the total number of augmentations by a quantity proportional to max⁡(m,n)\max(m,n)max(m,n) times the number of bits of the data, which made the transportation problem, and through standard reductions the minimum-cost flow problem, one of the first network problems with a polynomial-time ("good") algorithm in the sense of Edmonds.

Timeline. Hitchcock (1941) posed the problem; Ford and Fulkerson (1956–1962) gave the primal–dual labeling method and the optimality conditions by node potentials; Edmonds and Karp (1972) gave the scaling method and the bound formalized here. Strongly polynomial algorithms, independent of the size of the numbers, came later (Tardos 1985; Orlin 1988).

Setting

The network of Figure 1 (p. 259) has a source sss, a sink ttt, supply nodes s1,…,sms_1,\dots,s_ms1​,…,sm​ and demand nodes t1,…,tnt_1,\dots,t_nt1​,…,tn​, with m,n≥1m,n\ge 1m,n≥1. Its arcs are (s,si)(s,s_i)(s,si​) with capacity aia_iai​ and cost 000; (si,tj)(s_i,t_j)(si​,tj​) with capacity +∞+\infty+∞ and cost dij≥0d_{ij}\ge 0dij​≥0; (tj,t)(t_j,t)(tj​,t) with capacity bjb_jbj​ and cost 000; and the return arc (t,s)(t,s)(t,s) with capacity +∞+\infty+∞ and cost 000. The supplies aia_iai​ and demands bjb_jbj​ are positive integers with ∑iai=∑jbj=:B\sum_i a_i=\sum_j b_j=:B∑i​ai​=∑j​bj​=:B.

A flow assigns a nonnegative number to every arc, at most the capacity, with inflow equal to outflow at every node. Write f0i=f(s,si)f_{0i}=f(s,s_i)f0i​=f(s,si​), fij=f(si,tj)f_{ij}=f(s_i,t_j)fij​=f(si​,tj​), fj0=f(tj,t)f_{j0}=f(t_j,t)fj0​=f(tj​,t); the value of fff is f(t,s)f(t,s)f(t,s), and a maximum flow is one of largest value. Its cost is ∑i,jdijfij\sum_{i,j} d_{ij} f_{ij}∑i,j​dij​fij​; a flow is extreme if no flow of the same value is cheaper. A flow is pseudo-extreme if there are real ui,vju_i, v_jui​,vj​ with ui−vj+dij≥0u_i-v_j+d_{ij}\ge 0ui​−vj​+dij​≥0 for all i,ji,ji,j and fij=0f_{ij}=0fij​=0 whenever ui−vj+dij>0u_i-v_j+d_{ij}>0ui​−vj​+dij​>0.

An augmenting path relative to fff is a sequence of distinct nodes from sss to ttt in which each step either follows an arc with spare capacity or traverses backwards an arc carrying positive flow; augmenting pushes the minimum spare amount ε\varepsilonε along it and raises f(t,s)f(t,s)f(t,s) by ε\varepsilonε.

For p≥0p\ge 0p≥0, Problem ppp has the same network and costs, with capacities ⌊ai/2p⌋\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor⌊ai​/2p⌋ and ⌊bj/2p⌋\lfloor b_j/2^p\rfloor⌊bj​/2p⌋. Choose lll with every ai,bj<2la_i,b_j<2^lai​,bj​<2l. The scaling method solves Problems l−1,l−2,…,0l-1,l-2,\dots,0l−1,l−2,…,0 in turn. Each phase performs augmentations keeping every flow pseudo-extreme, until no augmenting path is left. Problem l−1l-1l−1 starts from the zero flow, and Problem p−1p-1p−1 starts from twice the final flow of Problem ppp.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9

For every run of the scaling method, the total number ∑p<lKp\sum_{p<l} K_p∑p<l​Kp​ of flow augmentations satisfies

∑p=0l−1Kp  ≤  max⁡(m,n)(2+⌊log⁡2∑i=1maimax⁡(m,n)⌋).\sum_{p=0}^{l-1} K_p \;\le\; \max(m,n)\left(2+\left\lfloor \log_2\frac{\sum_{i=1}^m a_i}{\max(m,n)}\right\rfloor\right).p=0∑l−1​Kp​≤max(m,n)(2+⌊log2​max(m,n)∑i=1m​ai​​⌋).

The bound holds for every lll admissible for the data and every choice of costs, and is stated with the paper's constant exactly.

Milestones

  1. §1.1: augmentation preserves feasibility and raises the value by ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0; a flow is maximum iff no augmenting path exists.
  2. Theorem 8: a maximum flow is extreme iff there are potentials u0,…,umu_0,\dots,u_mu0​,…,um​, v0,…,vnv_0,\dots,v_nv0​,…,vn​ with (5a)–(5f).
  3. §2.2: a pseudo-extreme maximum flow is extreme.
  4. Lemma 3: if fff is pseudo-extreme in Problem ppp, then 2f2f2f is pseudo-extreme in Problem p−1p-1p−1.
  5. The maximum-flow value of Problem ppp is fp∗=min⁡(∑i⌊ai/2p⌋,∑j⌊bj/2p⌋)f_p^*=\min\big(\sum_i\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor,\sum_j\lfloor b_j/2^p\rfloor\big)fp∗​=min(∑i​⌊ai​/2p⌋,∑j​⌊bj​/2p⌋).
  6. Eq. (6): ∑pKp≤f0∗−∑p=1l−1fp∗\sum_p K_p\le f_0^*-\sum_{p=1}^{l-1} f_p^*∑p​Kp​≤f0∗​−∑p=1l−1​fp∗​.
  7. fp∗≥max⁡(0, B/2p−max⁡(m,n))f_p^*\ge\max\big(0,\,B/2^p-\max(m,n)\big)fp∗​≥max(0,B/2p−max(m,n)).

Significance

The result. Theorem 9 shows that scaling reduces the number of augmentations from order BBB to order max⁡(m,n)log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))\max(m,n)\log_2(B/\max(m,n))max(m,n)log2​(B/max(m,n)), which is roughly the length of the binary encoding of the data. Combined with the O(mn)O(mn)O(mn) cost of one augmentation it gives a polynomial-time algorithm for the transportation problem; through the reduction of minimum-cost flow to transportation (p. 261) it gives one for minimum-cost flow. Capacity and cost scaling became standard techniques in network optimization and in combinatorial optimization generally. Theorem 8 and the pseudo-extreme criterion are the optimality certificates for transportation, a special case of linear-programming complementary slackness.

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1972. This mission produces a machine-checked version of the bound, of the exact counting argument (eq. (6)) and of the arithmetic estimate that turns it into the stated constant, together with the potential-based optimality conditions for the transportation network. To our knowledge no machine-checked bound on the number of augmentations of a flow algorithm exists on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious argument bounds the number of augmentations by the increase in flow value, since each augmentation raises the value by a positive integer. Applied to Problem 0 directly this gives only BBB. The scaling bound needs three things that the naive count does not supply. First, doubling the final flow of Problem ppp must give a feasible, still pseudo-extreme, starting flow for Problem p−1p-1p−1 (Lemma 3). Second, the gap between that start and the optimum of Problem p−1p-1p−1 must be small, which requires the exact maximum-flow value fp∗f_p^*fp∗​ of each scaled problem. Third, the telescoping sum of the gaps must be estimated against log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))\log_2(B/\max(m,n))log2​(B/max(m,n)) with the floors handled exactly. Integrality of every intermediate flow is not assumed; it has to be carried along the run from the integral capacities and the zero start.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace EdmondsKarp.Scaling. Nodes form an inductive type (s, t, src i, dst j). A flow is a structure with components f0, fx, fz, ret for the four arc families, real valued; the infinite capacities are encoded by the absence of an upper bound. IsMaxFlow is a predicate comparing values with every flow, not a supremum. Problem ppp uses natural-number division for ⌊ai/2p⌋\lfloor a_i/2^p\rfloor⌊ai​/2p⌋. Augmenting paths are lists of distinct nodes from s to t whose consecutive pairs have positive residual amount (resCap, valued in WithTop ℝ); they never use the return arc.

A run of the scaling method (IsScalingRun) is a family of phases F p 0,…,F p (K p)F\,p\,0,\dots,F\,p\,(K\,p)Fp0,…,Fp(Kp) for p<lp<lp<l. It starts from 000 in Problem l−1l-1l−1, restarts from 2F p (K p)2F\,p\,(K\,p)2Fp(Kp) in Problem p−1p-1p−1, and advances by one augmentation per step. Every flow is pseudo-extreme, and each phase ends with no augmenting path left. The paper's path-selection rule (minimum weight for the modified reduced costs Δˉ\bar\DeltaΔˉ) is abstracted to this invariant, which the paper states for it, so every run of the paper's method is covered.

The goal compares the count, cast to Z\mathbb{Z}Z, with max⁡(m,n) (2+⌊log⁡2(B/max⁡(m,n))⌋)\max(m,n)\,(2+\lfloor\log_2(B/\max(m,n))\rfloor)max(m,n)(2+⌊log2​(B/max(m,n))⌋), using Real.logb 2 and Int.floor. The constant is the printed one; neither O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) nor a weaker constant is acceptable. Positivity of all ai,bja_i,b_jai​,bj​ is a hypothesis, because without it the printed bound is false (for m=5m=5m=5, n=1n=1n=1, a=(1,0,0,0,0)a=(1,0,0,0,0)a=(1,0,0,0,0), b=(1)b=(1)b=(1) one augmentation is needed and the bound is negative). A formalization in which runs could be empty or never reach a maximum flow would trivialize the goal; the run predicate forbids this, and it is satisfiable (for instance with m=n=1m=n=1m=n=1, a=b=(1)a=b=(1)a=b=(1), l=1l=1l=1 and one augmentation).

A complete development needs max-flow/min-cut for the bipartite network, integrality of flows along a run, the exact value of fp∗f_p^*fp∗​, the telescoping identity and floor/logarithm estimates. LP duality or complementary slackness is needed only for Theorem 8. The augmenting-path and max-flow lemmas are reusable for other bipartite flow problems. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a formalization of the paper's exact Δˉ\bar\DeltaΔˉ path rule showing that it satisfies the invariant.

Selected references

  • J. Edmonds, R. M. Karp, Theoretical Improvements in Algorithmic Efficiency for Network Flow Problems, Journal of the ACM 19(2):248–264, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1145/321694.321699
  • F. L. Hitchcock, The Distribution of a Product from Several Sources to Numerous Localities, Journal of Mathematics and Physics 20:224–230, 1941. https://doi.org/10.1002/sapm1941201224
  • L. R. Ford, D. R. Fulkerson, Flows in Networks, Princeton University Press, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400875184
  • É. Tardos, A strongly polynomial minimum cost circulation algorithm, Combinatorica 5:247–255, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579369
  • J. B. Orlin, A faster strongly polynomial minimum cost flow algorithm, Proc. STOC 1988, 377–387. https://doi.org/10.1145/62212.62249
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On Properties of Stochastic Inventory Systems I: Using the EOQ Order Quantity in the Stochastic (Q, r) Model Raises Costs by at Most 1/8Research Paper

Motivation

The economic order quantity (EOQ) is the most widely used formula in inventory management. It assumes that demand is a deterministic constant stream. Real demand is random, and the model that accounts for this, the continuous-review (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) policy with stochastic demand, has no closed-form optimum: for decades its optimal parameters were computed numerically, one instance at a time, which gave little insight into how the stochastic system behaves. Practitioners nevertheless kept using the EOQ quantity in stochastic systems and observed that the cost penalty was small (Wagner, O'Hagan and Lundh 1965; Naddor 1975; Archibald and Silver 1978), without an analytical explanation.

Zheng (Management Science 38(1), 1992) supplied that explanation. By minimising the average cost first over the reorder point and then over the order quantity, he obtained two simple optimality equations and compared the stochastic model with the EOQ model under the same cost structure. One of the results is the goal of this mission: for every leadtime-demand distribution, using the EOQ order quantity in the stochastic system raises the average cost by at most one eighth. The paper extends Federgruen and Zheng (1988), who treated the discrete-demand version of the cost function.

Setting

A single item faces demand at rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0. Orders are delivered after a fixed leadtime L>0L > 0L>0, and stockouts are backordered. Each order costs a fixed K>0K > 0K>0. Inventory is held at cost rate h>0h > 0h>0 per unit and backorders are penalised at cost rate p>0p > 0p>0 per unit. Let D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 be the demand during a leadtime, with mean E(D)=λLE(D) = \lambda LE(D)=λL. The newsvendor cost

G(y)=E[h(y−D)++p(D−y)+]G(y) = E\big[h(y - D)^+ + p(D - y)^+\big]G(y)=E[h(y−D)++p(D−y)+]

is the rate at which expected inventory costs accrue at time t+Lt + Lt+L when the inventory position at time ttt is yyy. It is convex, and it is assumed, as in the paper, to attain its minimum at a unique point y0y^0y0.

A (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) policy orders QQQ units whenever the inventory position falls to the reorder point rrr. Its long-run average cost is

c(Q,r)=λK+∫rr+QG(y) dyQ.(1)c(Q, r) = \frac{\lambda K + \int_r^{r+Q} G(y)\,dy}{Q}. \qquad (1)c(Q,r)=QλK+∫rr+Q​G(y)dy​.(1)

For a fixed Q>0Q > 0Q>0 let r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) be an optimal reorder point, and set

H(Q)=G(r(Q)) (Q>0),H(0)=G(y0),C(Q)=c(Q,r(Q)),A(Q)=QH(Q)−∫0QH(y) dy.H(Q) = G(r(Q)) \ (Q > 0),\quad H(0) = G(y^0),\quad C(Q) = c(Q, r(Q)),\quad A(Q) = Q H(Q) - \int_0^Q H(y)\,dy .H(Q)=G(r(Q)) (Q>0),H(0)=G(y0),C(Q)=c(Q,r(Q)),A(Q)=QH(Q)−∫0Q​H(y)dy.

C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) is the average cost when the reorder point is chosen optimally for QQQ; an order quantity Q∗>0Q^* > 0Q∗>0 minimising CCC over Q>0Q > 0Q>0 is the optimal order quantity, and C∗=C(Q∗)C^* = C(Q^*)C∗=C(Q∗) is the optimal cost.

The EOQ model is the special case in which the leadtime demand is the constant λL\lambda LλL. Its cost rate is Gd(y)=h(y−λL)++p(λL−y)+G_d(y) = h(y - \lambda L)^+ + p(\lambda L - y)^+Gd​(y)=h(y−λL)++p(λL−y)+, and its optimal order quantity is

Qd∗=2λK(h+p)hp.Q^*_d = \sqrt{\frac{2\lambda K(h+p)}{hp}} .Qd∗​=hp2λK(h+p)​​.

The subscript ddd marks every object of the EOQ model (rdr_drd​, HdH_dHd​, AdA_dAd​).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

R=C(Qd∗)−C∗C∗  ≤  18−12(12−Qd∗Q∗)2  ≤  18.R = \frac{C(Q^*_d) - C^*}{C^*} \;\le\; \frac18 - \frac12\left(\frac12 - \frac{Q^*_d}{Q^*}\right)^2 \;\le\; \frac18 .R=C∗C(Qd∗​)−C∗​≤81​−21​(21​−Q∗Qd∗​​)2≤81​.

C(Qd∗)C(Q^*_d)C(Qd∗​) is the stochastic cost at the EOQ quantity with the reorder point re-optimised for it. The bound holds for every leadtime-demand distribution and every value of the parameters.

Milestones

In the order the goal's proof uses them:

  • Lemma 1 (joint convexity of ccc), Lemma 2 (r=r(Q)  ⟺  G(r)=G(r+Q)r = r(Q) \iff G(r) = G(r+Q)r=r(Q)⟺G(r)=G(r+Q)), Lemma 3 (properties of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q)), Corollary 1 (G(r(Q))≤max⁡(G(r),G(r+Q))G(r(Q)) \le \max(G(r), G(r+Q))G(r(Q))≤max(G(r),G(r+Q)));
  • Eq. (7) (C(Q)=(λK+∫0QH)/QC(Q) = (\lambda K + \int_0^Q H)/QC(Q)=(λK+∫0Q​H)/Q), Lemma 4 (HHH increasing, convex, asymptotic slope hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)), Lemma 5 (CCC convex), Eq. (8) (H(Q∗)=C(Q∗)H(Q^*) = C(Q^*)H(Q∗)=C(Q∗)), Theorem 1 ((Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) optimal iff c(Q,r)=G(r)=G(r+Q)c(Q,r) = G(r) = G(r+Q)c(Q,r)=G(r)=G(r+Q)), Lemma 6 (AAA increasing convex, Q=Q∗  ⟺  A(Q)=λKQ = Q^* \iff A(Q) = \lambda KQ=Q∗⟺A(Q)=λK, comparative statics in KKK);
  • Eqs. (18), (20) (the EOQ model: Hd(Q)=hpQ/(h+p)H_d(Q) = hpQ/(h+p)Hd​(Q)=hpQ/(h+p) and the formula for Qd∗Q^*_dQd∗​), Eq. (22) (Gd≤GG_d \le GGd​≤G), Lemma 7 (H0≤Hd≤HH_0 \le H_d \le HH0​≤Hd​≤H, A≤AdA \le A_dA≤Ad​), and the first inequality of Theorem 2, Qd∗≤Q∗Q^*_d \le Q^*Qd∗​≤Q∗.

Significance

The theorem is a distribution-free worst-case guarantee for the most common heuristic in inventory practice. It says that the EOQ formula, which needs only the mean demand rate and three cost parameters, loses at most 12.5%12.5\%12.5% against the true optimum, and that the loss is smaller when Qd∗/Q∗Q^*_d/Q^*Qd∗​/Q∗ is close to 12\frac1221​ or to 111. Combined with the paper's Theorem 2 (the gap Q∗−Qd∗Q^* - Q^*_dQ∗−Qd∗​ is bounded as KKK grows), it implies that the relative loss vanishes as the fixed ordering cost grows. The milestones along the way (the optimality conditions of Theorem 1, the monotonicity of the optimal reorder point, the comparison of HHH with its EOQ counterpart) are the standard structural facts about continuous (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) systems and are reused throughout the inventory literature.

The result is proved in the paper. No machine-checked version of it, or of the (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) optimality conditions for the continuous cost (1), is known to exist. The platform has related but different formalizations: the discrete cost function with integer QQQ (InventoryControl_rqDiscrete), the (R,Q)(R, Q)(R,Q) cost under normal demand (InventoryControl_rq), and the EOQ without backorders (InventoryControl_eoq). A complete development here provides the continuous (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) machinery for an arbitrary leadtime-demand distribution.

Difficulty

The paper's proofs differentiate r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) and H(Q)H(Q)H(Q) twice (Eqs. (4), (5)), which presupposes a leadtime demand with a smooth density. The formalization does not assume one, so that discrete demand, such as the Poisson demand of the paper's own numerical study, is covered. Every step that the paper takes through derivatives, in particular the convexity of HHH and the slope bound H′≤hp/(h+p)H' \le hp/(h+p)H′≤hp/(h+p), has to be established by other means: through one-sided derivatives or chord arguments for the convex function GGG, whose kinks are where the derivative-based argument breaks. The definition of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) as a minimiser also means its existence and uniqueness must be proved before any property of HHH, CCC or AAA can be used.

Formalization scope

  • The model is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb{R}R (the law of DDD), concentrated on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), integrable, with mean λL\lambda LλL; GGG is the integral of hmax⁡(y−x,0)+pmax⁡(x−y,0)h\max(y-x,0) + p\max(x-y,0)hmax(y−x,0)+pmax(x−y,0) against μ\muμ. The standing assumptions are bundled in IsQRModel: λ,L,h,p>0\lambda, L, h, p > 0λ,L,h,p>0, the conditions on μ\muμ, and the unique minimiser of GGG (paper, p. 90). K>0K > 0K>0 is a separate hypothesis. No density is assumed.
  • ccc, r(Q)r(Q)r(Q), y0y^0y0, HHH, H0H_0H0​, CCC, AAA and optimality of an order quantity are defined for an arbitrary cost rate GGG and applied both to the newsvendor cost and to GdG_dGd​; the EOQ objects rdr_drd​, HdH_dHd​, AdA_dAd​ are these definitions at GdG_dGd​, and Eqs. (18), (20) are theorems.
  • r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) is a chosen minimiser of c(Q,⋅)c(Q,\cdot)c(Q,⋅) (never defined by G(r)=G(r+Q)G(r) = G(r+Q)G(r)=G(r+Q), which is Lemma 2). H(0):=G(y0)H(0) := G(y^0)H(0):=G(y0); right-continuity of HHH at 000 is part of the Lemma 4 milestone. Order quantities range over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for ccc and CCC and over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) for HHH, H0H_0H0​, AAA.
  • Q∗Q^*Q∗ in the goal is any Q>0Q > 0Q>0 with C(Q)≤C(Q′)C(Q) \le C(Q')C(Q)≤C(Q′) for all Q′>0Q' > 0Q′>0; Lemma 6 asserts that exactly one exists, so the goal is not vacuous. Qd∗Q^*_dQd∗​ is the explicit square-root formula.
  • Readings of informal words: "increasing" in Lemmas 4 and 6 means strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); "Q∗Q^*Q∗ increasing, r∗r^*r∗ decreasing in KKK" means strictly; "asymptotic slope hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)" means that every chord of HHH on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) has slope at most hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p)hp/(h+p) and H(Q)/Q→hp/(h+p)H(Q)/Q \to hp/(h+p)H(Q)/Q→hp/(h+p); Lemma 3 part 3 is stated as strict monotonicity of r(Q)r(Q)r(Q) and r(Q)+Qr(Q) + Qr(Q)+Q, and its derivative clause −1<r′(Q)<0-1 < r'(Q) < 0−1<r′(Q)<0 is omitted because rrr need not be differentiable without a density; "the optimal order quantity" means existence and uniqueness; Lemma 7 is stated for Q≥0Q \ge 0Q≥0.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: C(Qd∗)C(Q^*_d)C(Qd∗​) is the stochastic cost with the reorder point re-optimised in the stochastic model (not the EOQ reorder point rd∗r^*_drd∗​), and no positivity of C∗C^*C∗ is assumed (it follows from the model).
  • Out of scope: the discrete cost (2), the §4 numerical study, and the unnumbered remarks after Theorem 5.
  • Needed infrastructure: interval integrals of convex functions, partial minimisation of jointly convex functions, Jensen's inequality for μ\muμ, and one-sided derivatives of convex functions. The generic (Q,r)(Q, r)(Q,r) machinery (optimality conditions for arbitrary convex GGG) is reusable for other continuous-review models. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs that avoid the paper's differentiability assumptions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Yu-Sheng Zheng, On Properties of Stochastic Inventory Systems, Management Science 38(1):87–103, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.38.1.87
  • Awi Federgruen and Yu-Sheng Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4):808–813, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • Paul H. Zipkin, Inventory Service-Level Measures: Convexity and Approximation, Management Science 32(8):975–981, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.32.8.975
  • George Hadley and Thomson M. Whitin, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice-Hall, 1963.
  • Daniel P. Heyman and Matthew J. Sobel, Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. II, McGraw-Hill, 1984.
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Robust Mean-Covariance Solutions for Stochastic Optimization II: An Inverse S-Shaped Derivative with Finite Limits Gives the Two-Point Support PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

In stochastic optimization the law of a random return rrr is rarely known exactly, while its mean and variance can be estimated. A robust mean-covariance decision maker therefore evaluates a utility uuu by its worst case

U=inf⁡{ Eν[u(r)]:ν a law on R with mean μ and variance σ2 }.U=\inf\{\,E_\nu[u(r)] : \nu \text{ a law on } \mathbb R \text{ with mean } \mu \text{ and variance } \sigma^2\,\}.U=inf{Eν​[u(r)]:ν a law on R with mean μ and variance σ2}.

Popescu (Operations Research 55(1), 2007) shows that for large classes of utilities this infinite-dimensional problem collapses to a one-dimensional one. The paper projects multivariate problems to a single dimension (the subject of the first mission of this series) and then asks for which uuu the univariate worst case sits on laws with two support points. This mission formalizes the answer the paper gives for utilities whose marginal utility u′u'u′ is decreasing and changes curvature once, with finite limits: log-logistic utilities C+log⁡11+e−axC+\log\frac{1}{1+e^{-ax}}C+log1+e−ax1​ used in statistics and classification, and catenary-type utilities C−bcosh⁡(ax)C-b\cosh(ax)C−bcosh(ax), each plus a concave quadratic.

The result has a bounded-support precursor: Birge and Dulá (Annals of Operations Research 30, 1991, Theorem 5.1, as cited on p. 102 of Popescu 2007) proved an analogous two-point statement for functions on a bounded interval. Popescu's Proposition 5 is the unbounded version on the whole real line.

Setting

Let u:R→Ru:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Ru:R→R.

  • The family Q\mathcal QQ collects the coefficient triples of quadratics lying below uuu: Q={(A,B,C)∣q(y)=Ay2+By+C≤u(y) ∀y∈R}\mathcal Q=\{(A,B,C) \mid q(y)=Ay^2+By+C\le u(y)\ \forall y\in\mathbb R\}Q={(A,B,C)∣q(y)=Ay2+By+C≤u(y) ∀y∈R}.
  • A two-point law with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, a<ba<ba<b, puts mass p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) on aaa and 1−p1-p1−p on bbb. It has mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 when pa+(1−p)b=μpa+(1-p)b=\mupa+(1−p)b=μ and p(a−μ)2+(1−p)(b−μ)2=σ2p(a-\mu)^2+(1-p)(b-\mu)^2=\sigma^2p(a−μ)2+(1−p)(b−μ)2=σ2.
  • Two-point support property (Definition 1). uuu has it with respect to (μ,σ2)(\mu,\sigma^2)(μ,σ2) if some quadratic qqq with coefficients in Q\mathcal QQ meets uuu at two points a<ba<ba<b, i.e. q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a), q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b), and a two-point law with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 exists. uuu has the two-point support property if this holds for every μ∈R\mu\in\mathbb Rμ∈R and every σ>0\sigma>0σ>0.
  • Shapes (Definition 2). f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R is convex-concave if for some x0x_0x0​ it is convex on (−∞,x0)(-\infty,x_0)(−∞,x0​) and concave on (x0,∞)(x_0,\infty)(x0​,∞); concave-convex if −f-f−f is convex-concave; S-shaped if increasing and convex-concave; inverse S-shaped if −f-f−f is S-shaped. So an inverse S-shaped fff is decreasing, concave on (−∞,x0)(-\infty,x_0)(−∞,x0​) and convex on (x0,∞)(x_0,\infty)(x0​,∞).
  • Lemma 1's quadratic. For a<ba<ba<b and slopes qa,qbq_a,q_bqa​,qb​, set
A=qb−qa2(b−a),B=bqa−aqbb−a,C=bu(a)−au(b)b−a−ab qa−qb2(b−a),A=\frac{q_b-q_a}{2(b-a)},\quad B=\frac{bq_a-aq_b}{b-a},\quad C=\frac{bu(a)-au(b)}{b-a}-ab\,\frac{q_a-q_b}{2(b-a)},A=2(b−a)qb​−qa​​,B=b−abqa​−aqb​​,C=b−abu(a)−au(b)​−ab2(b−a)qa​−qb​​,

and q(y)=Ay2+By+Cq(y)=Ay^2+By+Cq(y)=Ay2+By+C (lemma1Quad).

  • The function ggg. For μ∈R\mu\in\mathbb Rμ∈R, σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and y<μy<\muy<μ let z=μ+σ2/(μ−y)z=\mu+\sigma^2/(\mu-y)z=μ+σ2/(μ−y) (partnerPoint) and g(y)=u(z)−u(y)z−y−u′(y)+u′(z)2g(y)=\frac{u(z)-u(y)}{z-y}-\frac{u'(y)+u'(z)}{2}g(y)=z−yu(z)−u(y)​−2u′(y)+u′(z)​ (prop5Gap).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5 (p. 102)

If uuu is differentiable, u′u'u′ is inverse S-shaped, and the limits lim⁡y→−∞u′(y)\lim_{y\to-\infty}u'(y)limy→−∞​u′(y) and lim⁡y→+∞u′(y)\lim_{y\to+\infty}u'(y)limy→+∞​u′(y) exist and are finite, then

u satisfies the two-point support property.u \text{ satisfies the two-point support property.}u satisfies the two-point support property.

Milestones

  1. Proof of Lemma 1, first sentence. If a<ba<ba<b and u(b)−u(a)b−a=qa+qb2\frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{q_a+q_b}{2}b−au(b)−u(a)​=2qa​+qb​​, then q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a) and q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b).
  2. Tangency (p. 110). q′(a)=qaq'(a)=q_aq′(a)=qa​ and q′(b)=qbq'(b)=q_bq′(b)=qb​.
  3. Lemma 1. uuu has two-point support if and only if for all μ\muμ and σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 there are a<ba<ba<b and qa,qbq_a,q_bqa​,qb​ with
(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2,u(b)−u(a)b−a=qa+qb2,q≤u on R.(b-\mu)(\mu-a)=\sigma^2,\qquad \frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{q_a+q_b}{2},\qquad q\le u \text{ on } \mathbb R.(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2,b−au(b)−u(a)​=2qa​+qb​​,q≤u on R.
  1. Limits of ggg (p. 110). Under the goal's hypotheses, with ℓ±=lim⁡y→±∞u′(y)\ell_\pm=\lim_{y\to\pm\infty}u'(y)ℓ±​=limy→±∞​u′(y),
lim⁡y→−∞g(y)=ℓ−−u′(μ)2>0,lim⁡y→μ−g(y)=ℓ+−u′(μ)2<0.\lim_{y\to-\infty}g(y)=\frac{\ell_--u'(\mu)}{2}>0,\qquad \lim_{y\to\mu^-}g(y)=\frac{\ell_+-u'(\mu)}{2}<0 .y→−∞lim​g(y)=2ℓ−​−u′(μ)​>0,y→μ−lim​g(y)=2ℓ+​−u′(μ)​<0.
  1. A zero of ggg (p. 110). There is a<μa<\mua<μ with g(a)=0g(a)=0g(a)=0; with b=μ+σ2/(μ−a)b=\mu+\sigma^2/(\mu-a)b=μ+σ2/(μ−a) one has a<ba<ba<b, (b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2(b-\mu)(\mu-a)=\sigma^2(b−μ)(μ−a)=σ2 and u(b)−u(a)b−a=u′(a)+u′(b)2\frac{u(b)-u(a)}{b-a}=\frac{u'(a)+u'(b)}{2}b−au(b)−u(a)​=2u′(a)+u′(b)​.

Significance

The result. Through the paper's Proposition 4, two-point support turns the worst-case expected utility over all laws with mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 into a minimization over a single parameter p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) of pu(μ+(1−p)/p σ)+(1−p)u(μ−p/(1−p) σ)pu(\mu+\sqrt{(1-p)/p}\,\sigma)+(1-p)u(\mu-\sqrt{p/(1-p)}\,\sigma)pu(μ+(1−p)/p​σ)+(1−p)u(μ−p/(1−p)​σ). Combined with the projection property of the paper's Section 2, this gives tractable robust counterparts of multivariate stochastic programs whose objective depends on a linear combination x′Rx'Rx′R of random returns. Proposition 5 is the paper's sufficient condition that places a concrete class of utilities in this regime; it is also closed under adding any quadratic.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked version is known. The formalization produces a checked characterization of two-point support (Lemma 1), a reusable encoding of convex-concave and S-shaped functions, and a proof of Proposition 5. The printed final step of the paper's proof is incomplete (see Difficulty), so a complete formal proof requires an argument the paper does not spell out.

Difficulty

Conditions (a) and (b) of Lemma 1 come from a sign change of ggg on (−∞,μ)(-\infty,\mu)(−∞,μ): the two limits in milestone 4 need a l'Hôpital-type argument and the continuity of a monotone derivative. The central difficulty is condition (c): showing that the quadratic built from a pair (a,b)(a,b)(a,b) lies below uuu on the whole line. The obvious argument takes any zero aaa of ggg and counts the intersections of the linear q′q'q′ with the inverse S-shaped u′u'u′. This fails when u′u'u′ is affine on an interval: a zero of ggg can then produce a quadratic that coincides with uuu on [a,b][a,b][a,b] but crosses above uuu just left of aaa. A proof must therefore choose the zero of ggg, or the pair (a,b)(a,b)(a,b), with care, and the curvature hypotheses are not strict.

Formalization scope

  • Functions are ℝ → ℝ; u′u'u′ is deriv u, and the goal assumes Differentiable ℝ u. Finite limits are Tendsto (deriv u) atBot (𝓝 l) and Tendsto (deriv u) atTop (𝓝 l) for some real l; the one-sided limit at μ\muμ is along 𝓝[<] μ.
  • "Increasing" in Definition 2 is strict (StrictMono); the paper writes "nondecreasing" for the weak notion. Convexity and concavity are ConvexOn/ConcaveOn on the open half-lines Set.Iio x₀, Set.Ioi x₀, as printed.
  • A two-point law is encoded by its mass p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1) on aaa, with a<ba<ba<b; this is equivalent to a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with support {a,b}\{a,b\}{a,b}, mean μ\muμ and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2.
  • "Intersects it at two points a,ba,ba,b" is read as q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a)q(a)=u(a) and q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b)q(b)=u(b) for some a<ba<ba<b (at least two contact points). This is the reading under which Lemma 1 is an equivalence.
  • The two-point support property quantifies over σ>0\sigma>0σ>0: no two-point law has variance 000, so including σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 would make the property false for every uuu.
  • The two-point support property is defined from Definition 1 (supporting quadratic plus feasible law), not from Lemma 1's conditions, so Lemma 1 is not a tautology. Every division by b−ab-ab−a, z−yz-yz−y or μ−y\mu-yμ−y occurs under a<ba<ba<b or y<μy<\muy<μ.

Useful infrastructure: l'Hôpital's rule at infinity (Analysis/Calculus/LHopital), Darboux's theorem for derivatives, the intermediate value theorem, and one-sided limits of monotone functions. The shape definitions of Definition 2 are reusable for S-shaped value functions elsewhere (prospect theory, sigmoidal utilities). Proofs of the milestones, of the goal, and alternative arguments for condition (c) are all welcome. Related platform work: Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization II.

Selected references

  • I. Popescu, Robust Mean-Covariance Solutions for Stochastic Optimization, Operations Research 55(1):98–112, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1060.0353
  • J. R. Birge, J. H. Dulá, Bounding separable recourse functions with limited distribution information, Annals of Operations Research 30:277–298, 1991 (cited in Popescu 2007, reference list)
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Linear Programming in Linear Time When the Dimension Is Fixed: Fixed-Dimension LP Feasibility Decided in Linear Time on the Real RAMResearch Paper

Motivation

A linear program asks for a point x∈Rdx\in\mathbb{R}^dx∈Rd minimizing cTxc^TxcTx subject to nnn linear inequalities ∑j=1daijxj≥bi\sum_{j=1}^d a_{ij}x_j\ge b_i∑j=1d​aij​xj​≥bi​. Many problems in computational geometry and statistics are linear programs with few variables and very many constraints: separating two point sets by a line or plane, fitting a line in the Chebyshev (L∞L_\inftyL∞​) norm, finding the smallest disk or ball containing a point set (a related convex problem). For these problems the number of variables ddd is a small constant, and what matters is how the running time grows with nnn.

Nimrod Megiddo showed that for every fixed ddd the problem can be solved in time C(d)⋅nC(d)\cdot nC(d)⋅n (J. ACM 31(1), 1984).

Timeline.

  • 1983. Megiddo (SIAM J. Comput. 12) and, independently, Dyer (SIAM J. Comput. 13 (1984)) give linear-time algorithms for d=2d=2d=2 and d=3d=3d=3.
  • 1984. Megiddo extends the method to every fixed ddd, with C(d)<22d+2C(d)<2^{2^{d+2}}C(d)<22d+2 (the paper formalized here).
  • 1988–1991. Clarkson (J. ACM 42 (1995), conference version 1988) gives a randomized algorithm with expected time O(d2n)+dO(d)log⁡nO(d^2n)+d^{O(\sqrt d)}\log nO(d2n)+dO(d​)logn. Seidel (Discrete Comput. Geom. 6 (1991)) gives a simple randomized O(d! n)O(d!\,n)O(d!n) algorithm.
  • 1992–1996. Matoušek, Sharir and Welzl and, independently, Kalai give subexponential randomized bounds. Chazelle and Matoušek derandomize the linear dependence with C(d)=dO(d)C(d)=d^{O(d)}C(d)=dO(d) (J. Algorithms 21 (1996)).

Setting

Fix ddd. An instance is a matrix A∈Rn×dA\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d}A∈Rn×d and a vector b∈Rnb\in\mathbb{R}^nb∈Rn, and its feasible region is the polyhedron P(A,b)={x∈Rd:Ax≥b}P(A,b)=\{x\in\mathbb{R}^d: Ax\ge b\}P(A,b)={x∈Rd:Ax≥b}. Here nnn is the number of constraints and ddd the number of variables.

The model of computation is the real RAM. A program is a finite list of instructions acting on real registers, integer pointer registers and a memory Z→R\mathbb{Z}\to\mathbb{R}Z→R. It performs exact +,−,×,/+,-,\times,/+,−,×,/ on reals at unit cost, tests the sign of a real, sets, copies, increments, decrements and compares pointers, and loads and stores through pointers. The input is the standard encoding of (A,b)(A,b)(A,b) in memory: the numbers nnn and ddd, then AAA row by row, then bbb. A program decides an instance within TTT steps with output β∈{accept,reject}\beta\in\{\text{accept},\text{reject}\}β∈{accept,reject} if it halts on that output after at most TTT steps.

Megiddo's method rests on multidimensional search. There is an unknown point x∗∈Rdx^*\in\mathbb{R}^dx∗∈Rd and an oracle that, for any hyperplane {x:aTx=b}\{x: a^Tx=b\}{x:aTx=b}, answers whether aTx∗<ba^Tx^*<baTx∗<b, =b=b=b or >b>b>b. Given hyperplanes Hi={aiTx=bi}H_i=\{a_i^Tx=b_i\}Hi​={aiT​x=bi​} with ai≠0a_i\ne0ai​=0, the question is how many oracle calls determine the position of x∗x^*x∗ relative to all of them. A search strategy is a ternary decision tree: inner nodes are hyperplane queries, leaves carry outputs, and the tree is built from the data alone. For linear programming, x∗x^*x∗ is an optimal solution, or a minimizer of the infeasibility function f(x)=max⁡i(bi−aiTx)f(x)=\max_i(b_i-a_i^Tx)f(x)=maxi​(bi​−aiT​x) when the system is infeasible. The oracle is implemented by solving problems in d−1d-1d−1 variables.

Formalization targets

Goal: linear-time feasibility on the real RAM

∀d ∃R ∃C ∀n ∀A∈Rn×d, b∈Rn:R decides within C (n+1) steps whether {x:Ax≥b}≠∅.\forall d\ \exists R\ \exists C\ \forall n\ \forall A\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d},\,b\in\mathbb{R}^n:\quad R\text{ decides within }C\,(n+1)\text{ steps whether } \{x: Ax\ge b\}\neq\emptyset.∀d ∃R ∃C ∀n ∀A∈Rn×d,b∈Rn:R decides within C(n+1) steps whether {x:Ax≥b}=∅.

The program and the constant depend on ddd only. No explicit form of C(d)C(d)C(d) is fixed.

Milestones

  1. One query settles half of nnn hyperplanes on the line (A(1)=1A(1)=1A(1)=1, B(1)=12B(1)=\tfrac12B(1)=21​).
  2. v(ϵ)=(1,ϵ,…,ϵd−1)v(\epsilon)=(1,\epsilon,\dots,\epsilon^{d-1})v(ϵ)=(1,ϵ,…,ϵd−1) is orthogonal to some aia_iai​ for at most n(d−1)n(d-1)n(d−1) values of ϵ\epsilonϵ, so there is a basis in which all aij≠0a_{ij}\ne0aij​=0.
  3. For hyperplanes of opposite slopes in the (x1,x2)(x_1,x_2)(x1​,x2​) plane, the answers for Hik(1)H^{(1)}_{ik}Hik(1)​ and Hik(2)H^{(2)}_{ik}Hik(2)​ settle one of HiH_iHi​, HkH_kHk​.
  4. A linearly dependent pair of opposite slopes has ai1=ak1=0a_{i1}=a_{k1}=0ai1​=ak1​=0, and the middle hyperplane settles one of them.
  5. Approach I: 2d−12^{d-1}2d−1 queries settle at least ⌊21−2dn⌋\lfloor 2^{1-2^d}n\rfloor⌊21−2dn⌋ hyperplanes.
  6. C(d)log⁡nC(d)\log nC(d)logn queries settle all nnn hyperplanes.
  7. If a hyperplane contains no optimal point, all optimal points lie on one side of it.
  8. The oracle, Case I: at an optimum relative to {xd=0}\{x_d=0\}{xd​=0}, two auxiliary systems decide the side or certify global optimality.
  9. The oracle, Case II: at a minimizer of fff on {xd=0}\{x_d=0\}{xd​=0}, systems (1) and (2) decide the side or certify infeasibility.

Significance

The result. For every fixed dimension, linear programming is solvable in time linear in the number of constraints. The algorithm is also strongly polynomial in fixed dimension: its operation count does not depend on the bit size of the data. Deciding whether the optimum is at most ttt is feasibility of Ax≥bAx\ge bAx≥b together with −cTx≥−t-c^Tx\ge-t−cTx≥−t, so the goal also covers the decision form of optimization. The prune-and-search technique of the paper, which discards a constant fraction of the constraints per round, became a standard tool of computational geometry.

Formalizing it. The result is proved and classical. The platform already has the cases d=1d=1d=1 (linear time) and d=2d=2d=2 (quadratic time, by Fourier–Motzkin elimination) on the same machine and input encoding (SmaleNinth.real_ram_decides_one_variable_lp_linear, SmaleNinth.real_ram_decides_two_variable_lp_quadratic). No machine-checked proof of the general statement is known. The work consists of the query-complexity layer (milestones 1–6), the convex-analytic correctness of the oracle (milestones 7–9), and a real-RAM implementation with a step count linear in nnn, including linear-time median selection. Alternative proofs, for example through Clarkson's or Seidel's algorithms made deterministic, are welcome for the goal.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to find the optimum by testing constraints one by one or by eliminating variables. Fourier–Motzkin elimination produces Θ(n2)\Theta(n^2)Θ(n2) constraints after one step. Pivoting methods have no known bound linear in nnn. The key difficulty is to discard a constant fraction of the constraints using only a constant number of recursive calls in dimension d−1d-1d−1, when no single hyperplane test gives information about more than one constraint. The multidimensional search layer gives this, and it is where the pairing of hyperplanes by slope and the degenerate cases (dependent pairs, zero coefficients) have to be handled exactly. At the machine level, the step count must stay linear in nnn for a fixed program, so every median selection and every recursive call must be implemented within the budget, with the recursion depth depending on ddd only.

Formalization scope

  • Machine and input. The machine is the platform's real RAM SmaleNinth.RAMProgram with RAMDecidesInTime, and the input convention is SmaleNinth.encodeLP (published definitions, reused unchanged). No instruction is added: there is no LP, median, floor or sort primitive. Time is the number of machine steps.
  • Quantifier order. ∀d ∃R ∃C ∀n,A,b\forall d\ \exists R\ \exists C\ \forall n, A, b∀d ∃R ∃C ∀n,A,b. The bound is C(n+1)C(n+1)C(n+1) in the number nnn of constraints, so that the machine can halt at n=0n=0n=0. The paper's C(d)<22d+2C(d)<2^{2^{d+2}}C(d)<22d+2 counts unspecified units of "effort" with an unquantified θ(nd)\theta(nd)θ(nd) term, and it is not transferred to machine steps. Where a milestone's proof fixes a constant exactly, the constant is stated: 2d−12^{d-1}2d−1 queries and ⌊n/22d−1⌋\lfloor n/2^{2^d-1}\rfloor⌊n/22d−1⌋ settled hyperplanes in milestone 5.
  • Feasibility only. The machine outputs accept or reject. Returning an optimizer, "unbounded", or a minimizer of fff is not part of the goal. The case d=0d=0d=0 is included.
  • Query trees. Nodes are queries compare (a ⬝ᵥ x) b and nothing else, leaves hold fixed values, and correctness is required for every xxx. A tree over arbitrary tests of xxx would make milestones 5 and 6 empty, and it is excluded by the definition.
  • Indices. The paper's x1,x2x_1,x_2x1​,x2​ are indices 0, 1 of Fin (d + 2), and its xdx_dxd​ is Fin.last d of Fin (d + 1).
  • Corrections. Two passages of §4 are stated in corrected form. The Case I auxiliary objective includes the ±cd\pm c_d±cd​ term of the direction. In Case II, feasibility of (1) puts improvement in {xd>0}\{x_d>0\}{xd​>0}, where the page's last sentence says {xd<0}\{x_d<0\}{xd​<0}. The pairing claim carries ak1ai2−ak2ai1≠0a_{k1}a_{i2}-a_{k2}a_{i1}\ne0ak1​ai2​−ak2​ai1​=0, the hypothesis its argument uses, since linear independence alone does not give it.
  • Not included. Approach II and its bound O(n(log⁡n)d2)O(n(\log n)^{d^2})O(n(logn)d2), the remarks on slowly growing ddd, the randomized variants, and the applications of §1.
  • Reusable parts. The query-tree definition and milestones 1–6 apply to any prune-and-search problem with a hyperplane oracle. The oracle lemmas (7–9) are statements about convex piecewise-linear functions and polyhedra.

Selected references

  • N. Megiddo, Linear programming in linear time when the dimension is fixed, J. ACM 31(1):114–127, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1145/2422.322418
  • N. Megiddo, Linear-time algorithms for linear programming in R3R^3R3 and related problems, SIAM J. Comput. 12(4):759–776, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1137/0212052
  • M. E. Dyer, Linear time algorithms for two- and three-variable linear programs, SIAM J. Comput. 13(1):31–45, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1137/0213003
  • K. L. Clarkson, Las Vegas algorithms for linear and integer programming when the dimension is small, J. ACM 42(2):488–499, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1145/201019.201036
  • R. Seidel, Small-dimensional linear programming and convex hulls made easy, Discrete Comput. Geom. 6:423–434, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02574699
  • B. Chazelle, J. Matoušek, On linear-time deterministic algorithms for optimization problems in fixed dimension, J. Algorithms 21(3):579–597, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1006/jagm.1996.0046
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 1: Logarithmic Regret of Online Gradient DescentResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization is a repeated game between a learner and an adversary. In each round t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T the learner commits to a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn; only then is a convex cost function ftf_tft​ revealed, and the learner pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). The learner is judged by its regret: its total cost minus the total cost of the best fixed point chosen in hindsight. The model covers online portfolio selection, online regression, prediction with expert advice and the analysis of stochastic gradient methods, and it is the standard language of online learning theory.

Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that projected gradient descent with step sizes of order 1/t1/\sqrt t1/t​ has regret O(GDT)O(GD\sqrt T)O(GDT​) for any convex costs with gradients bounded by GGG on a set of diameter DDD, and this rate cannot be improved for linear costs. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Machine Learning 69, 2007) asked what curvature buys. Their first result, the subject of this mission, is that the same algorithm with the faster step sizes 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht) has regret only logarithmic in TTT once every cost function is HHH-strongly convex. The paper's other three results (the Online Newton Step, Follow the Approximate Leader and Exponentially Weighted Online Optimization, for exp-concave costs) are the subject of the other missions of this series.

Setting

Fix n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N and a nonempty, closed, bounded, convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn, with the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​ (§2.1, p. 171).

  • Cost functions. A sequence f1,f2,⋯:Rn→Rf_1,f_2,\dots:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf1​,f2​,⋯:Rn→R. Write ∇ft(x)\nabla f_t(x)∇ft​(x) for the gradient and ∇2ft(x)\nabla^2 f_t(x)∇2ft​(x) for the Hessian.
  • Gradient bound. A number GGG with ∥∇ft(x)∥2≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\|_2\le G∥∇ft​(x)∥2​≤G for all x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P and all rounds ttt (p. 172).
  • HHH-strong convexity (p. 172). For H>0H>0H>0, fff is HHH-strongly convex on P\mathcal PP when it is twice differentiable and ∇2f(x)⪰HIn\nabla^2 f(x)\succeq H I_n∇2f(x)⪰HIn​ for every x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P, i.e. v⊤∇2f(x)v≥H∥v∥22v^\top\nabla^2 f(x)v\ge H\|v\|_2^2v⊤∇2f(x)v≥H∥v∥22​ for all vvv.
  • Euclidean projection. ΠP(y)\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)ΠP​(y) is the point of P\mathcal PP nearest to yyy, ΠP(y)=arg⁡min⁡x∈P∥x−y∥2\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)=\arg\min_{x\in\mathcal P}\|x-y\|_2ΠP​(y)=argminx∈P​∥x−y∥2​ (IsProj P y z).
  • Online Gradient Descent (Fig. 1, p. 174), with step sizes η1,η2,…\eta_1,\eta_2,\dotsη1​,η2​,…: x1∈Px_1\in\mathcal Px1​∈P is arbitrary, and in iteration t>1t>1t>1
xt=ΠP(xt−1−ηt∇ft−1(xt−1))x_t=\Pi_{\mathcal P}\bigl(x_{t-1}-\eta_t\nabla f_{t-1}(x_{t-1})\bigr)xt​=ΠP​(xt−1​−ηt​∇ft−1​(xt−1​))

(IsOGDRun P η f x).

  • Regret (p. 171): RegretT=∑t=1Tft(xt)−min⁡x∈P∑t=1Tft(x)\mathrm{Regret}_T=\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x_t)-\min_{x\in\mathcal P}\sum_{t=1}^T f_t(x)RegretT​=∑t=1T​ft​(xt​)−minx∈P​∑t=1T​ft​(x), and RegretT(OGD)\mathrm{Regret}_T(\mathrm{OGD})RegretT​(OGD) is its supremum over all cost sequences.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 175)

For H>0H>0H>0, cost functions that are HHH-strongly convex on P\mathcal PP with gradients bounded by GGG on P\mathcal PP, and any run of Online Gradient Descent whose step after round ttt is ηt+1=1/(Ht)\eta_{t+1}=1/(Ht)ηt+1​=1/(Ht), for every T≥1T\ge1T≥1 and every u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P:

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u)) ≤ G22H (1+log⁡T).\sum_{t=1}^{T}\bigl(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\bigr)\ \le\ \frac{G^2}{2H}\,\bigl(1+\log T\bigr).t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)) ≤ 2HG2​(1+logT).

This is LogRegretOCO.OGD.ogd_regret_bound. The constant is the paper's, and at T=1T=1T=1 the bound reads G2/(2H)G^2/(2H)G2/(2H).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (1), the strong-convexity inequality: for x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P, 2(f(x)−f(y))≤2∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−H∥y−x∥222(f(x)-f(y))\le 2\nabla f(x)^\top(x-y)-H\|y-x\|_2^22(f(x)−f(y))≤2∇f(x)⊤(x−y)−H∥y−x∥22​.
  2. Lemma 8 with A=InA=I_nA=In​: for a convex P\mathcal PP, z=ΠP(y)z=\Pi_{\mathcal P}(y)z=ΠP​(y) and a∈Pa\in\mathcal Pa∈P, ∥y−a∥22≥∥z−a∥22\|y-a\|_2^2\ge\|z-a\|_2^2∥y−a∥22​≥∥z−a∥22​. This is already on the platform, proved, as UnderstandingML.projection_lemma, and is reused as a reference item.
  3. Eq. (2), the one-step inequality: for z=ΠP(x−ηg)z=\Pi_{\mathcal P}(x-\eta g)z=ΠP​(x−ηg), η>0\eta>0η>0, ∥g∥2≤G\|g\|_2\le G∥g∥2​≤G and u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P, 2g⊤(x−u)≤(∥x−u∥22−∥z−u∥22)/η+ηG22g^\top(x-u)\le(\|x-u\|_2^2-\|z-u\|_2^2)/\eta+\eta G^22g⊤(x−u)≤(∥x−u∥22​−∥z−u∥22​)/η+ηG2.

The last step of the argument is the harmonic-sum bound ∑t=1T1/t≤1+log⁡T\sum_{t=1}^T 1/t\le 1+\log T∑t=1T​1/t≤1+logT, which Mathlib already provides (harmonic_le_one_add_log).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 separates two regimes of online convex optimization: Θ(T)\Theta(\sqrt T)Θ(T​) regret for general convex costs and O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) for strongly convex ones, with an algorithm that costs one gradient and one projection per round. Through the online-to-batch conversion, the same step-size schedule gives the O(log⁡T/T)O(\log T/T)O(logT/T) rate of stochastic gradient descent on strongly convex objectives. The theorem is also the reference point for the paper's weaker exp-concavity assumption, under which the other three algorithms obtain O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret.

Formalizing it. The result is proved and well known; what this mission adds is a machine-checked proof with the paper's exact constant. The Prove2Me platform holds a statement of the textbook version of this theorem (Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Theorem 3.3), OnlineConvexOpt.FirstOrder.online_gradient_descent_strongly_convex_regret, but it is Disproved: its regret is written with a real infimum over the decision set, which Lean evaluates to a junk value. No proved version of the logarithmic bound is on the platform. The strong-convexity inequality, the one-step projected-gradient inequality and the telescoping argument are reusable by every later formalization of gradient methods on the platform.

Difficulty

The argument is short, and its difficulty lies in the bookkeeping. The telescoping sum of squared distances cancels exactly only with the right step-size indexing: the step taken after round ttt must be 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht). Reading Fig. 1 literally with ηt=1/(Ht)\eta_t=1/(Ht)ηt​=1/(Ht) makes the step after round ttt equal to 1/(H(t+1))1/(H(t+1))1/(H(t+1)), and the sum then leaves an uncancelled term H2∥x1−x∗∥22\frac H2\|x_1-x^*\|_2^22H​∥x1​−x∗∥22​ that the printed bound does not contain. Strong convexity is a statement about the Hessian, so the curvature inequality (1) needs a second-order Taylor expansion along a segment of P\mathcal PP; convexity of P\mathcal PP keeps the segment inside the set where the Hessian bound holds. The projection step needs the obtuse-angle property of Euclidean projection onto a convex set.

Formalization scope

Points are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm (the sup norm of Fin n → ℝ would change the gradient bound). Cost functions are functions on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn, as the paper's use of gradients and Hessians presupposes; the gradient is Mathlib's gradient, and the Hessian quadratic form is the second Fréchet derivative applied to (v,v)(v,v)(v,v). Rounds are 1-based: x 0, f 0 and η 1 are never read, and sums run over Finset.Icc 1 T. The run of the algorithm is a predicate on the whole trajectory, required at every round; the projection is a predicate (nearest point of P\mathcal PP), which is unique for nonempty closed convex P\mathcal PP.

Choices and corrections relative to the printed text:

  • Step-size index. Theorem 1 prints "step sizes ηt=1Ht\eta_t=\frac1{Ht}ηt​=Ht1​", while its proof sets ηt+1=1/(Ht)\eta_{t+1}=1/(Ht)ηt+1​=1/(Ht) for the step after round ttt. The goal uses the proof's indexing, as a hypothesis η (t + 1) = 1 / (H * t) for t≥1t\ge1t≥1 on the step sizes of Fig. 1.
  • Eq. (2). The paper prints "5∇t⊤(xt−x∗)5\nabla_t^\top(x_t-x^*)5∇t⊤​(xt​−x∗)"; the 555 is a typo for 222, and the milestone states 222. The verbatim milestone text keeps the printed 555.
  • Regret. Regret is stated against every comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P; the minimum over the compact set P\mathcal PP is attained, so this is the paper's statement. The expectation in the paper's regret is vacuous for this deterministic algorithm, and the supremum over cost sequences is the universal quantifier over fff.
  • Hypotheses. Strong convexity and the gradient bound are required for the rounds 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T only. Convexity of each ftf_tft​, a standing assumption of §2.2, follows from HHH-strong convexity on the convex set P\mathcal PP and is not added. No diameter bound enters Theorem 1.

A regret bound written with a real ⨅/sInf over P\mathcal PP, or a bound for an arbitrary sequence satisfying Eq. (2) instead of a run of the paper's algorithm, would not be Theorem 1; the goal quantifies over every comparator in P\mathcal PP and carries the run predicate, the Hessian hypothesis and the gradient bound. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: on the closed unit ball, ft(x)=H2∥x∥22f_t(x)=\frac H2\|x\|_2^2ft​(x)=2H​∥x∥22​ with G=HG=HG=H meets all of them.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the two inequalities and of the goal; a general projection lemma for positive semidefinite AAA (Lemma 8 in full, needed by the Online Newton Step mission) is reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.aaai.org/Papers/ICML/2003/ICML03-120.pdf
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., MIT Press 2022 (Theorem 3.3). https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press 2014 (Lemma 14.9, the projection lemma). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107298019
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AnalysisDynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

Dynamics in One Complex Variable I: Sullivan's No Wandering Domains TheoremTextbook

Motivation

The iteration of a rational map f:C^→C^f:\hat{\mathbb C}\to\hat{\mathbb C}f:C^→C^ of the Riemann sphere is the model problem of holomorphic dynamics. The subject was founded by Fatou and Julia around 1918–1920, who split the sphere into a region of stable behaviour and a region of chaotic behaviour, and it was revived in the 1980s by Douady, Hubbard, Sullivan and Thurston. John Milnor's textbook Dynamics in One Complex Variable (3rd ed., Princeton, 2006) is the standard graduate introduction. This mission, the first of a series on the book, formalizes the chain of results that leads from Montel's theorem on normal families to Sullivan's theorem that rational maps have no wandering domains.

Timeline of the results formalized here:

  • 1912–1927, Montel. Families of holomorphic maps omitting three values are normal (Milnor, Theorem 3.7).
  • 1918–1920, Fatou and Julia. Definition of the Fatou and Julia sets; the Julia set of a map of degree d≥2d\ge2d≥2 is nonempty and equals the closure of the repelling periodic points (Milnor, Lemma 4.8 and Theorem 14.1).
  • 1920s–1942. Fatou classified the possible dynamics on an invariant Fatou component; Siegel (1942) showed that Siegel disks exist, and Herman (1979) constructed Herman rings. Together these give the four cases of Milnor's Theorem 16.1.
  • 1985, Sullivan. Every Fatou component is eventually periodic (Sullivan, Quasiconformal homeomorphisms and dynamics I, Ann. of Math. 122 (1985); Milnor, Theorem 16.4).

Setting

The Riemann sphere is C^=C∪{∞}\hat{\mathbb C}=\mathbb C\cup\{\infty\}C^=C∪{∞}, the one-point compactification of C\mathbb CC, with the two coordinates zzz (near finite points) and 1/z1/z1/z (near ∞\infty∞). A rational map is f=p/qf=p/qf=p/q with p,qp,qp,q coprime complex polynomials, q≠0q\neq0q=0; it acts on C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ in the usual way, and its degree is d=max⁡(deg⁡p,deg⁡q)d=\max(\deg p,\deg q)d=max(degp,degq). Write f∘nf^{\circ n}f∘n for the nnn-th iterate.

A family of maps from an open set to C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ is normal if every sequence in it has a subsequence converging locally uniformly in the spherical (chordal) metric. The Fatou set F(f)F(f)F(f) is the set of points having a neighbourhood on which the iterates {f∘n}\{f^{\circ n}\}{f∘n} form a normal family; the Julia set is its complement J(f)=C^∖F(f)J(f)=\hat{\mathbb C}\setminus F(f)J(f)=C^∖F(f). A Fatou component is a connected component of F(f)F(f)F(f). A periodic point z0=f∘m(z0)z_0=f^{\circ m}(z_0)z0​=f∘m(z0​) of minimal period mmm has multiplier λ=(f∘m)′(z0)\lambda=(f^{\circ m})'(z_0)λ=(f∘m)′(z0​), computed in a local coordinate; it is repelling if ∣λ∣>1|\lambda|>1∣λ∣>1 and attracting if ∣λ∣<1|\lambda|<1∣λ∣<1.

A Fatou component UUU with f(U)=Uf(U)=Uf(U)=U is a Siegel disk (resp. Herman ring) if f∣Uf|_Uf∣U​ is conformally conjugate to an irrational rotation of the unit disk (resp. of a round annulus {1<∣w∣<r}\{1<|w|<r\}{1<∣w∣<r}).

Formalization targets

Goal: no wandering domains (Theorem 16.4)

For a rational map fff of degree d≥2d\ge2d≥2 and every Fatou component UUU there are n≥0n\ge0n≥0, p≥1p\ge1p≥1 with

f∘p(f∘n(U))=f∘n(U).f^{\circ p}\bigl(f^{\circ n}(U)\bigr)=f^{\circ n}(U).f∘p(f∘n(U))=f∘n(U).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.5: C^∖{0,1,∞}\hat{\mathbb C}\setminus\{0,1,\infty\}C^∖{0,1,∞} is covered holomorphically by the unit disk.
  2. Corollary 3.3 (case D→C∖{0,1}\mathbb D\to\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}D→C∖{0,1}): holomorphic maps between hyperbolic surfaces form a normal family.
  3. Lemma 3.5 (case C∖{0,1}⊂C^\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}\subset\hat{\mathbb C}C∖{0,1}⊂C^).
  4. Theorem 3.7 (Montel): holomorphic maps from a domain to C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ omitting three values form a normal family.
  5. Lemma 4.3: z∈J(f)  ⟺  f(z)∈J(f)z\in J(f)\iff f(z)\in J(f)z∈J(f)⟺f(z)∈J(f).
  6. Lemma 4.4: J(f∘k)=J(f)J(f^{\circ k})=J(f)J(f∘k)=J(f) for k>0k>0k>0.
  7. Lemma 4.8: J(f)≠∅J(f)\neq\emptysetJ(f)=∅ when d≥2d\ge2d≥2.
  8. Theorem 14.1: J(f)={repelling periodic points}‾J(f)=\overline{\{\text{repelling periodic points}\}}J(f)={repelling periodic points}​ when d≥2d\ge2d≥2.
  9. Theorem 16.1: an invariant Fatou component is an attracting basin, a parabolic basin, a Siegel disk or a Herman ring.

Significance

The results. Montel's theorem is the engine of the Fatou–Julia theory: nonemptiness of JJJ, density of iterated preimages and density of repelling cycles all rest on it. Theorem 14.1 identifies the non-normality locus with the closure of the repelling cycles, the form in which the Julia set is usually computed and pictured. Sullivan's theorem, combined with Theorem 16.1, gives a complete qualitative picture of the dynamics on the Fatou set; it is used throughout the later theory, e.g. to show that the Julia set of a postcritically finite map without superattracting cycles is the whole sphere (Milnor, Corollary 16.5).

Formalizing them. All results here are classical theorems with published proofs; none is open. A text search of Mathlib at the platform's pinned revision (0df444a) finds no Montel theorem for families of holomorphic maps, no Fatou or Julia sets and no wandering-domain results; it does contain the Schwarz lemma and the hyperbolic metric on the upper half-plane. The remaining work is to formalize the known proofs.

Difficulty

The early milestones need the uniformization-type input that C∖{0,1}\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}C∖{0,1} is covered by the disk (via the modular function or an equivalent construction) and Schwarz–Pick-type estimates on hyperbolic surfaces; Mathlib has the Schwarz lemma and the hyperbolic metric of the upper half-plane, but not the Poincaré metric of general hyperbolic domains or covering-space uniformization. Theorem 14.1 requires a quantitative use of Montel's theorem around points of JJJ that are not critical values. Theorem 16.1 needs the Denjoy–Wolff-type classification of self-maps of hyperbolic surfaces and the Snail Lemma for parabolic points. The goal is substantially harder: Sullivan's proof uses the measurable Riemann mapping theorem (Morrey–Ahlfors–Bers) to build an infinite-dimensional family of quasiconformal deformations of fff, contradicting the finite dimensionality of the space of rational maps of degree ddd. The theory of quasiconformal maps and Beltrami equations is absent from Mathlib, and no elementary argument avoiding it is known.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the book-wide namespace MilnorDynamics and build on the published definition files MilnorDynamics_NormalFamilies, MilnorDynamics_RationalMaps and MilnorDynamics_PeriodicPoints; one new definition file, MilnorDynamics_FatouComponents, adds Fatou components, immediate basins, Siegel disks and Herman rings.

  • C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ is OnePoint ℂ; a rational map is a structure of coprime polynomials p,qp,qp,q with q≠0q\ne0q=0, acting on OnePoint ℂ via RationalMap.toFun; the degree is max⁡(deg⁡p,deg⁡q)\max(\deg p,\deg q)max(degp,degq).
  • Holomorphy of a map into C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ on an open U⊆CU\subseteq\mathbb CU⊆C is continuity plus complex differentiability in the charts zzz and 1/z1/z1/z (IsHolomorphicOn). Normality is locally uniform subconvergence in the chordal metric (IsNormalFamily); the Fatou set is defined through the standard charts of C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^.
  • Multipliers are derivatives of f∘mf^{\circ m}f∘m in the standard chart at the periodic point, mmm the minimal period.
  • Montel's theorem is stated for a domain U⊆CU\subseteq\mathbb CU⊆C rather than an arbitrary Riemann surface (normality is local, Milnor Problem 3-e); Lemma 2.5, Corollary 3.3 and Lemma 3.5 are linked in the special cases used for Montel's theorem.
  • The degree hypotheses are Milnor's: d≥1d\ge1d≥1 (nonconstant) in §4 Lemmas 4.3–4.4, d≥2d\ge2d≥2 elsewhere. Without d≥2d\ge2d≥2 several statements are false (e.g. J(z↦2z)=∅J(z\mapsto 2z)=\emptysetJ(z↦2z)=∅), so the hypothesis must not be dropped.

Welcome contributions: the Poincaré metric and Schwarz–Pick on hyperbolic domains, the modular covering of C∖{0,1}\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}C∖{0,1}, the degree theory of rational maps, quasiconformal maps and the measurable Riemann mapping theorem. These are reusable far beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Milnor, Dynamics in One Complex Variable, 3rd ed., Annals of Mathematics Studies 160, Princeton University Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400835539
  • D. Sullivan, Quasiconformal homeomorphisms and dynamics I. Solution of the Fatou–Julia problem on wandering domains, Ann. of Math. 122 (1985), 401–418. https://doi.org/10.2307/1971308
  • L. Carleson and T. W. Gamelin, Complex Dynamics, Universitext, Springer, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4364-9
  • P. Montel, Leçons sur les familles normales de fonctions analytiques et leurs applications, Gauthier-Villars, Paris, 1927.
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