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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.99942Formalized record
2 provers on it1 of 1 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.606309Formalized record
6 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 87Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 85Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
35 provers on it10 of 12 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.37134Formalized record→≤ 2.371177Open frontier
16 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems I: Finite Termination of the Conjugate Gradient MethodResearch Paper

Motivation

Solving a linear system Ax=kAx = kAx=k with a large symmetric positive definite matrix AAA is a basic task of scientific computing: it arises from discretized elliptic equations, least-squares problems and the Newton steps of optimization methods. In 1952 Magnus Hestenes and Eduard Stiefel published the conjugate gradient method (cg-method) (J. Res. Natl. Bur. Stand. 49 (1952) 409–436). The method uses AAA only through matrix–vector products and stores a few vectors. The paper's abstract states its central property in one sentence: "The solution is given in nnn steps."

The paper obtains this property from a more general scheme, the method of conjugate directions (cd-method), which also contains Gaussian elimination as a special case. Its argument has two parts. Every cd-method with nonzero directions reaches the solution within nnn steps (Theorem 4:2). The cg-method is a cd-method (Theorem 5:2), which follows from the orthogonality and conjugacy relations of Theorem 5:1. This mission formalizes that chain.

Setting

Vectors are real nnn-tuples, with scalar product (x,y)=x1y1+⋯+xnyn(x, y) = x_1y_1 + \cdots + x_ny_n(x,y)=x1​y1​+⋯+xn​yn​ and squared length ∣x∣2=(x,x)|x|^2 = (x, x)∣x∣2=(x,x). The matrix AAA is real, n×nn \times nn×n, symmetric and positive definite, which is the paper's standing assumption (p. 410). The solution hhh satisfies Ah=kAh = kAh=k. The residual of an estimate xxx is r=k−Axr = k - Axr=k−Ax. Two vectors x,yx, yx,y are conjugate when (x,Ay)=0(x, Ay) = 0(x,Ay)=0.

The cg-method (eq. (3:1), p. 411) starts from an arbitrary estimate x0x_0x0​ and sets p0=r0=k−Ax0p_0 = r_0 = k - Ax_0p0​=r0​=k−Ax0​. Given xix_ixi​, rir_iri​, pip_ipi​, it computes

ai=∣ri∣2(pi,Api),xi+1=xi+aipi,ri+1=ri−aiApi,bi=∣ri+1∣2∣ri∣2,pi+1=ri+1+bipi.a_i = \frac{|r_i|^2}{(p_i, Ap_i)},\quad x_{i+1} = x_i + a_i p_i,\quad r_{i+1} = r_i - a_i Ap_i,\quad b_i = \frac{|r_{i+1}|^2}{|r_i|^2},\quad p_{i+1} = r_{i+1} + b_i p_i.ai​=(pi​,Api​)∣ri​∣2​,xi+1​=xi​+ai​pi​,ri+1​=ri​−ai​Api​,bi​=∣ri​∣2∣ri+1​∣2​,pi+1​=ri+1​+bi​pi​.

In Lean the iterates are cgIter A k x₀ i, a structure with fields x, r, p. The step length is cgA.

The cd-method (Section 4, p. 412) chooses an arbitrary first direction p0p_0p0​ and then sets xi+1=xi+aipix_{i+1} = x_i + a_i p_ixi+1​=xi​+ai​pi​ with ai=(pi,ri)/(pi,Api)a_i = (p_i, r_i)/(p_i, Ap_i)ai​=(pi​,ri​)/(pi​,Api​) and ri=k−Axir_i = k - Ax_iri​=k−Axi​. Each new direction pi+1p_{i+1}pi+1​ may be any vector conjugate to p0,…,pip_0, \dots, p_ip0​,…,pi​. Because the directions are free, a cd-run is a property of sequences: IsCDRun A k x r p.

Formalization targets

Goal: finite termination of the cg-method

For every nnn, every symmetric positive definite AAA, every kkk and hhh with Ah=kAh = kAh=k, and every initial estimate x0x_0x0​,

∃ m≤n:xm=h,\exists\, m \le n:\quad x_m = h,∃m≤n:xm​=h,

where xmx_mxm​ is the mmm-th cg iterate. This is the statement of the abstract and of Section 3 (p. 410): "one will reach an estimate xmx_mxm​ (m≤nm \le nm≤n) at which rm=0r_m = 0rm​=0. This estimate is the desired solution hhh."

Milestones

  1. Theorem 4:1 (p. 412). For every cd-run, the directions are mutually conjugate (4:3a). The residual rir_iri​ is orthogonal to p0,…,pi−1p_0, \dots, p_{i-1}p0​,…,pi−1​ (4:3b). The products (pi,rj)(p_i, r_j)(pi​,rj​) are the same for all j≤ij \le ij≤i (4:3c). Hence ai=(pi,r0)/(pi,Api)a_i = (p_i, r_0)/(p_i, Ap_i)ai​=(pi​,r0​)/(pi​,Api​) (4:4).
  2. Theorem 4:2 (p. 412). Every cd-run whose directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ are nonzero has xm=hx_m = hxm​=h for some m≤nm \le nm≤n.
  3. Theorem 5:1 (p. 414), in four items. For the cg-method:
    • (5:3a) (ri,rj)=0(r_i, r_j) = 0(ri​,rj​)=0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j;
    • (5:3b) (pi,Apj)=0(p_i, Ap_j) = 0(pi​,Apj​)=0 for i≠ji \ne ji=j;
    • (5:3c) (pi,rj)=0(p_i, r_j) = 0(pi​,rj​)=0 for i<ji < ji<j and (pi,rj)=∣ri∣2(p_i, r_j) = |r_i|^2(pi​,rj​)=∣ri​∣2 for i≥ji \ge ji≥j;
    • (5:3d) (ri,Api)=(pi,Api)(r_i, Ap_i) = (p_i, Ap_i)(ri​,Api​)=(pi​,Api​), and (ri,Apj)=0(r_i, Ap_j) = 0(ri​,Apj​)=0 for i≠j,j+1i \ne j, j + 1i=j,j+1.
  4. Theorem 5:5, eq. (5:10) (p. 416):
ai=∣ri∣2(pi,Api)=(pi,ri)(pi,Api)=(pi,r0)(pi,Api).a_i = \frac{|r_i|^2}{(p_i, Ap_i)} = \frac{(p_i, r_i)}{(p_i, Ap_i)} = \frac{(p_i, r_0)}{(p_i, Ap_i)}.ai​=(pi​,Api​)∣ri​∣2​=(pi​,Api​)(pi​,ri​)​=(pi​,Api​)(pi​,r0​)​.
  1. Theorem 5:2, first sentence (p. 415). The cg-method is a cd-method: its iterates satisfy IsCDRun.

Significance

Finite termination is the property that distinguishes the conjugate gradient method from stationary iterations such as Jacobi or Gauss–Seidel. It explains why the method can be used as a direct solver in exact arithmetic. It is the starting point for the later theory of Krylov subspace methods. The relations of Theorem 5:1 are the checks the paper recommends for monitoring a computation (eq. (3:3)). They are also the input to the paper's further results on the monotone decrease of the error (Section 6) and on the connection with orthogonal polynomials (Sections 14–18).

The result has been proved since 1952 and appears in every numerical linear algebra textbook. As far as a search of the Prove2Me catalog shows (September 2026), it has no machine-checked proof there. The only conjugate gradient material on the platform is a Hilbert-space convergence result for a different recurrence. This mission adds a faithful formal version of the original recursion (3:1) and of the cd-method. It also adds the complete termination argument, organized as in the paper. The definitions and the Theorem 5:1 relations are reusable by any later formalization of Krylov methods, including the second mission of this series on the decrease of the error ∣h−xi∣|h - x_i|∣h−xi​∣.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says that the residuals are mutually orthogonal, so at most nnn of them are nonzero. That argument is only as good as the orthogonality, and Theorem 5:1 must be established by a simultaneous induction over four families of relations. The recursion defines ri+1r_{i+1}ri+1​ by an update, not as k−Axi+1k - Ax_{i+1}k−Axi+1​, so even ri=k−Axir_i = k - Ax_iri​=k−Axi​ needs a proof. Orthogonality of ri+1r_{i+1}ri+1​ to the earlier residuals needs the conjugacy of the earlier directions, and conjugacy of pi+1p_{i+1}pi+1​ needs the orthogonality of the earlier residuals. Neither family can be proved first.

A second obstacle is the passage from orthogonality to termination. A cd-run with a zero direction stalls, so Theorem 4:2 needs the directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ to be nonzero. The cg directions become zero exactly when the solution is reached, so applying Theorem 4:2 to cg needs a case split at the first vanishing residual.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, the scalar product is dotProduct (⬝ᵥ), and AxAxAx is Matrix.mulVec (*ᵥ). The hypothesis on AAA is Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, which includes symmetry. The solution enters only through the hypothesis A *ᵥ h = k. Indices are 0-based, as in the paper.

The cg iteration is total and has no stopping test. Once rm=0r_m = 0rm​=0, Lean's convention x/0=0x/0 = 0x/0=0 gives pm=0p_m = 0pm​=0 and am=0a_m = 0am​=0. From then on the iteration stays at xmx_mxm​, with zero residuals and directions. For this reason the relations of Theorem 5:1 are stated for all indices without guards: after termination they hold trivially.

Two formulations would make the goal trivial, and neither is used. One is a stopping test or step that refers to hhh or to A−1kA^{-1}kA−1k. The other replaces (3:1b), (3:1d) or (3:1e) by the equivalent formulas (3:2a), (3:2b) or ri+1=k−Axi+1r_{i+1} = k - Ax_{i+1}ri+1​=k−Axi+1​, which would move Theorem 5:5 and part of Theorem 5:2 into the definition. The iteration is (3:1) literally.

The cd-method's implicit hypothesis, that the directions p0,…,pn−1p_0, \dots, p_{n-1}p0​,…,pn−1​ are nonzero, is an explicit binder of Theorem 4:2. Without it the statement fails (take p0=0p_0 = 0p0​=0). The hypothesis is satisfiable: the cg run with nonzero residuals is one example.

A complete development needs the standard facts that mutually conjugate nonzero vectors are linearly independent and that nnn independent vectors span Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn. It also needs the induction behind Theorem 5:1. Contributions welcome beyond the milestones include the converse half of Theorem 5:2, the relation (5:2) expressing pkp_kpk​ through r0,…,rkr_0, \dots, r_kr0​,…,rk​, and Theorem 4:5 (the cd-method computes A−1A^{-1}A−1).

Selected references

  • M. R. Hestenes and E. Stiefel, Methods of Conjugate Gradients for Solving Linear Systems, Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 49(6), 409–436, 1952. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.049.044
  • L. Fox, H. D. Huskey and J. H. Wilkinson, Notes on the solution of algebraic linear simultaneous equations, Quarterly Journal of Mechanics and Applied Mathematics 1(1), 149–173, 1948 (the cd-method from a different point of view; cited in the paper's Section 4 footnote). https://doi.org/10.1093/qjmam/1.1.149
  • G. H. Golub and C. F. Van Loan, Matrix Computations, 4th ed., Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013, §11.3 (textbook account of the method).
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Convex OptimizationMachine LearningOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 4: Logarithmic Regret of Exponentially Weighted Online OptimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

In online convex optimization a player repeatedly chooses a point xtx_txt​ from a convex set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn, after which an adversary reveals a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and the player pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). The player's regret after TTT rounds is its total cost minus the cost of the best fixed point in hindsight. The model covers online portfolio selection, online regression and prediction with expert advice, and it underlies the analysis of stochastic and adaptive optimization methods (Zinkevich 2003; Cesa-Bianchi and Lugosi 2006).

For general convex costs the best achievable regret is of order T\sqrt{T}T​. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) showed that a curvature condition, α\alphaα-exp-concavity, brings the regret down to order log⁡T\log TlogT, and gave several algorithms that achieve it. This mission concerns the simplest of them, Exponentially Weighted Online Optimization (EWOO), which needs nothing beyond exp-concavity: no bound on gradients and no bound on the diameter of PPP.

Timeline.

  • 1991: Cover's universal portfolio algorithm attains regret O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) for online portfolio selection, whose log-loss is 111-exp-concave (Cover 1991).
  • 1997: Blum and Kalai give a short analysis of the universal portfolio with transaction costs, using a shrinking argument around the best portfolio (Blum and Kalai 1997/1999).
  • 2003: Kalai and Vempala give a polynomial-time randomized implementation of Cover's algorithm via random walks (JMLR 3, 2003).
  • 2007: Hazan, Agarwal and Kale state EWOO for general α\alphaα-exp-concave costs and prove the regret bound of Theorem 7, alongside the Online Newton Step and Follow the Approximate Leader.

Setting

Fix n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 and a set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn that is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, with positive Lebesgue volume vol(P)\mathrm{vol}(P)vol(P). Fix α>0\alpha > 0α>0. The cost functions are f1,f2,⋯:Rn→Rf_1, f_2, \dots : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f1​,f2​,⋯:Rn→R, each continuous on PPP and α\alphaα-exp-concave on PPP: the function ht(x)=e−αft(x)h_t(x) = e^{-\alpha f_t(x)}ht​(x)=e−αft​(x) is concave on PPP (LogRegretOCO.EWOO.IsExpConcave).

EWOO keeps the weights

wt(x)=exp⁡(−α∑τ=1t−1fτ(x))=∏τ=1t−1hτ(x),w_t(x) = \exp\Bigl(-\alpha \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)\Bigr) = \prod_{\tau=1}^{t-1} h_\tau(x),wt​(x)=exp(−ατ=1∑t−1​fτ​(x))=τ=1∏t−1​hτ​(x),

and on round ttt plays the wtw_twt​-weighted mean of PPP,

xt=∫Px wt(x) dx∫Pwt(x) dxx_t = \frac{\int_P x\, w_t(x)\, dx}{\int_P w_t(x)\, dx}xt​=∫P​wt​(x)dx∫P​xwt​(x)dx​

(LogRegretOCO.EWOO.ewooPoint). In particular x1x_1x1​ is the centroid of PPP, and each xtx_txt​ depends only on f1,…,ft−1f_1, \dots, f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The regret against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

For every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1Tft(xt)−∑t=1Tft(u)  ≤  1α n (1+log⁡(T+1)).\sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(x_t) - \sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(u) \;\le\; \frac{1}{\alpha}\, n\, \bigl(1 + \log(T+1)\bigr).t=1∑T​ft​(xt​)−t=1∑T​ft​(u)≤α1​n(1+log(T+1)).

This is the paper's printed constant. The paper's proof yields the slightly sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}\bigl(1 + n\log(T+1)\bigr)α1​(1+nlog(T+1)); the printed form is the goal.

Milestones

The proof in §3.4 (p. 187) passes through five displays, each a milestone:

  1. Jensen for the weighted mean (first display on p. 187): ht(xt)≥∫Pht wt /∫Pwth_t(x_t) \ge \int_P h_t\, w_t \,/ \int_P w_tht​(xt​)≥∫P​ht​wt​/∫P​wt​.
  2. Eq. (18): ∏τ=1thτ(xτ)≥∫P∏τ=1thτ / vol(P)\prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \int_P \prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau \,/\, \mathrm{vol}(P)∏τ=1t​hτ​(xτ​)≥∫P​∏τ=1t​hτ​/vol(P).
  3. The nearby set S={TT+1x∗+1T+1y:y∈P}S = \{\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}y : y \in P\}S={T+1T​x∗+T+11​y:y∈P}: for x∈Sx \in Sx∈S, ht(x)≥TT+1ht(x∗)h_t(x) \ge \frac{T}{T+1}h_t(x^*)ht​(x)≥T+1T​ht​(x∗) and ∏τ=1Thτ(x)≥1e∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x) \ge \frac1e \prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(x)≥e1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).
  4. Volume of SSS: vol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n\mathrm{vol}(S) = \mathrm{vol}(P)/(T+1)^nvol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n.
  5. Multiplicative regret bound (last display on p. 187): ∏τ=1Thτ(xτ)≥1e(T+1)n∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \frac{1}{e(T+1)^n}\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(xτ​)≥e(T+1)n1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).

Significance

The result. Theorem 7 shows that exp-concavity alone suffices for logarithmic regret, with a constant n/αn/\alphan/α that does not depend on the size of PPP or on the gradients of the costs. Specialised to the log-loss ft(x)=−log⁡(rt⊤x)f_t(x) = -\log(r_t^\top x)ft​(x)=−log(rt⊤​x) on the simplex, where α=1\alpha = 1α=1, it recovers the O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret of Cover's universal portfolio. The bound is the benchmark against which the computationally cheaper second-order methods of the same paper (Online Newton Step, Follow the Approximate Leader) are compared: those need a gradient bound GGG and diameter DDD and pay a factor (1/α+GD)(1/\alpha + GD)(1/α+GD).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper, and a textbook version with a different constant, (n/α)log⁡T+2/α(n/\alpha)\log T + 2/\alpha(n/α)logT+2/α, appears in Hazan's Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Theorem 4.4). No machine-checked proof of either is known. The work here is to formalize the paper's proof: Jensen's inequality for a weighted Lebesgue average in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, the change of volume under homothety, and the elementary inequality (1+1/T)T≤e(1 + 1/T)^T \le e(1+1/T)T≤e. A companion draft of the textbook version exists on the platform as a private item (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.ewoo_regret) with another constant; it is not reused.

Difficulty

The pieces are classical, but they have to be assembled in measure-theoretic form. The point xtx_txt​ is a Bochner integral of a vector-valued function over PPP, and its membership in PPP and the Jensen inequality both require the normalised weight wt dx/∫Pwtw_t\,dx/\int_P w_twt​dx/∫P​wt​ to be a genuine probability measure on PPP, with every integrand integrable. The obvious one-dimensional intuition — "the weighted mean of a convex set lies in the set" — hides the requirement that PPP be closed and have positive volume.

The second obstacle is that Eq. (18) compares the algorithm with an average of the product ∏hτ\prod h_\tau∏hτ​ over all of PPP, while the regret compares it with a single point. The natural attempt, bounding the average below by the value at the comparator, fails: the average can be far smaller than the maximum, and a lower bound that loses more than a factor polynomial in TTT destroys the logarithmic rate. Controlling this loss in nnn dimensions, with a constant independent of the shape and size of PPP, is the heart of the argument.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with its Lebesgue (Haar) measure volume. Rounds are numbered from 111: the weights sum over Finset.Ico 1 t, the regret over Finset.Icc 1 T. Cost functions are defined on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn; only their values on PPP enter. The algorithm is the total function ewooPoint P α f t, and the goal is stated for xtx_txt​ equal to it — not for an arbitrary sequence satisfying a Jensen-type inequality.

Conventions and corrections relative to the printed text:

  • Regret against every comparator. The regret is stated as ∑t(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤\sum_t (f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)) \le∑t​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤ bound for every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P, never through a real-valued ⨅ or sInf over PPP, which in Lean would return a junk value off its intended domain and trivialize the statement.
  • Positive volume volume P ≠ 0 is added: the algorithm divides by ∫Pwt\int_P w_t∫P​wt​, which the paper leaves implicit. Without it Lean's convention 0−1=00^{-1} = 00−1=0 would set xt=0x_t = 0xt​=0.
  • Continuity of each ftf_tft​ on PPP is the paper's standing assumption (§2.2: costs twice differentiable and convex) weakened to what the argument uses; it makes every integral in the development an integral of an integrable function.
  • Typos. Theorem 7's "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as real-valued, and its "exp⁡(−αf(x))\exp(-\alpha f(x))exp(−αf(x))" as exp⁡(−αft(x))\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))exp(−αft​(x)). The set-builder "S={x∈S∣… }S = \{x \in S \mid \dots\}S={x∈S∣…}" defines SSS in terms of itself and is read as the set of all TT+1x∗+1T+1y\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}yT+1T​x∗+T+11​y, y∈Py \in Py∈P; the printed "S=x∗+1T+1PS = x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}PS=x∗+T+11​P" is a translate of that set with the same volume.
  • Comparator. The paper's x∗x^*x∗ is a minimizer of ∑tft\sum_t f_t∑t​ft​; milestones 3 and 5 are stated for every x∗∈Px^* \in Px∗∈P, which implies the minimizer case.
  • Constant. The printed 1αn(1+log⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}n(1+\log(T+1))α1​n(1+log(T+1)) is stated, although the proof gives the sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}(1 + n\log(T+1))α1​(1+nlog(T+1)).
  • Not in scope. The randomized variant (sampling xtx_txt​ with density proportional to wtw_twt​, "in expectation") and the running-time discussion of §3.4.1 have no separate proof in the paper.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and that is reusable beyond this mission: Jensen's inequality for concave functions under a probability measure with a continuous density on a compact convex set (Mathlib has ConcaveOn.le_map_integral and Convex.integral_mem); the scaling identity for Haar measure (MeasureTheory.Measure.addHaar_smul); and the elementary bound (T/(T+1))T≥1/e(T/(T+1))^T \ge 1/e(T/(T+1))T≥1/e. Proofs of any milestone, and a general weighted-Jensen lemma usable across the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Blum, A. Kalai, Universal portfolios with and without transaction costs, Machine Learning 35 (1999), 193–205 (COLT 1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007530728748
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for universal portfolios, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3 (2003), 423–440. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/kalai02a.html
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., MIT Press 2022; arXiv:1909.05207, Theorem 4.4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 3: Logarithmic Regret of Follow the Approximate LeaderResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an adversary: in each round a player chooses a point of a convex set, and only then learns the convex cost of that round. It covers online portfolio selection, online regression and routing, and it is the standard lens for analysing learning algorithms that must commit before seeing data. The figure of merit is regret, the player's total cost minus the cost of the best fixed decision in hindsight. For general convex costs regret Θ(T)\Theta(\sqrt T)Θ(T​) over TTT rounds is optimal; for costs with curvature it can be logarithmic.

Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69 (2007) 169–192) gave several algorithms with O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for α\alphaα-exp-concave costs, the class that contains the log-loss of portfolio selection. This mission formalizes one of them, Follow the Approximate Leader (FTAL). It connects to the oldest online algorithm, Follow the Leader (FTL), which plays the minimiser of all past costs: FTAL is FTL run on quadratic lower models of the costs, and the paper's analysis shows that FTL itself has logarithmic regret on a class of curved costs.

Timeline. Zinkevich (2003) proved O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for online gradient descent on convex costs. Cover (1991) gave a universal portfolio with logarithmic regret for the log-loss, at a running time exponential in the dimension. Kalai and Vempala (2005) analysed perturbed Follow the Leader through the "be the leader" argument. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (2007) gave efficient algorithms (Online Newton Step, FTAL, EWOO) with O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs.

Setting

The decision set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, convex, closed and bounded, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥y−z∥2≤D\|y - z\|_2 \le D∥y−z∥2​≤D for y,z∈Py, z \in Py,z∈P. In rounds t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the player picks xt∈Px_t \in Pxt​∈P and then pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​), where ftf_tft​ is a cost function differentiable at the points of PPP with gradient norm ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\| \le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on PPP. The cost ftf_tft​ is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha > 0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x \mapsto \exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on PPP. The regret over TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Follow the Leader plays xt∈arg⁡min⁡x∈P∑τ=1t−1fτ(x)x_t \in \arg\min_{x \in P} \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)xt​∈argminx∈P​∑τ=1t−1​fτ​(x) (any point of PPP in round 1). Follow the Approximate Leader (version 1 of the paper's Fig. 3) with parameter β\betaβ plays FTL on the approximate costs

f~τ(x)=fτ(xτ)+∇τ⊤(x−xτ)+β2(x−xτ)⊤∇τ∇τ⊤(x−xτ),∇τ=∇fτ(xτ).\tilde f_\tau(x) = f_\tau(x_\tau) + \nabla_\tau^\top(x - x_\tau) + \frac{\beta}{2}(x - x_\tau)^\top \nabla_\tau\nabla_\tau^\top (x - x_\tau), \qquad \nabla_\tau = \nabla f_\tau(x_\tau).f~​τ​(x)=fτ​(xτ​)+∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​)+2β​(x−xτ​)⊤∇τ​∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​),∇τ​=∇fτ​(xτ​).

In the Lean development these are IsFTLRun P f x and IsFTALRun P β f x, predicates on a whole trajectory xxx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

With β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \tfrac12 \min\{1/(4GD), \alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}, every FTAL run on α\alphaα-exp-concave costs satisfies, for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤64(1α+GD)n (log⁡T+1).\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr) \le 64\left(\frac1\alpha + GD\right) n\,(\log T + 1).t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤64(α1​+GD)n(logT+1).

This is the paper's statement with its constant, stated for the algorithm as defined, and for every adversarial sequence of costs.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3: an α\alphaα-exp-concave cost with gradients bounded by GGG lies above the paraboloid f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2f(y) + \nabla f(y)^\top(x-y) + \frac\beta2 (\nabla f(y)^\top (x - y))^2f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2 on PPP.
  2. Lemma 9: regret on lower surrogates that touch the costs at the played points dominates the true regret.
  3. Lemma 10: ∑tft(xt+1)≤∑tft(u)\sum_t f_t(x_{t+1}) \le \sum_t f_t(u)∑t​ft​(xt+1​)≤∑t​ft​(u) for an FTL run ("be the leader").
  4. Lemma 12: A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1} \bullet (A - B) \le \log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣) for A⪰B≻0A \succeq B \succ 0A⪰B≻0.
  5. Lemma 11: ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^T u_t^\top V_t^{-1} u_t \le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon + 1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1) with Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εIV_t = \sum_{\tau \le t} u_\tau u_\tau^\top + \varepsilon IVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εI.
  6. Theorem 5 (corrected constant): FTL on costs gt(vt⊤x)g_t(v_t^\top x)gt​(vt⊤​x) with ∥vt∥≤R\|v_t\| \le R∥vt​∥≤R, ∣gt′∣≤b|g_t'| \le b∣gt′​∣≤b, gt′′≥ag_t'' \ge agt′′​≥a has regret at most nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log\bigl(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1\bigr) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​.

Significance

Theorem 6 shows that a simple rule, re-solving a convex quadratic program over all past linearized costs, achieves O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret on exp-concave costs, matching the Online Newton Step up to constants. Theorem 5 is of independent interest: it shows that unmodified Follow the Leader, which has linear regret on linear costs, has logarithmic regret whenever each cost is a strongly curved function of one linear form. Portfolio selection is such a case. The appendix lemmas (log-determinant potential, elliptical potential) are standard tools reused throughout the bandit and online-learning literature.

On formalization: the results are proved on paper; none is formalized. The Lean development provides a reusable encoding of Follow the Leader as a trajectory predicate, the "be the leader" reduction, the surrogate reduction for regret, and the matrix potential inequalities, which the Online Newton Step analysis also needs. The paper's printed statements of Theorem 5 and Lemma 10 contain errors (see below); this mission states corrected versions that suffice for the goal.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, bounding each term ft(xt)−ft(xt+1)f_t(x_t) - f_t(x_{t+1})ft​(xt​)−ft​(xt+1​) by how far the leader moves, requires knowing how far the minimiser of a constrained problem moves when one cost is added. For unconstrained strongly convex quadratics this is an explicit Newton step, but here the minimiser lies in a general convex set and each cost contributes curvature in only one direction, so the accumulated curvature can be singular for many rounds and no per-round strong convexity is available. Turning the per-round movement into a sum that grows only like log⁡T\log TlogT, with the paper's explicit constant, is the core of the work; the printed Theorem 5 bound is negative for small TTT, so the constants must be tracked exactly rather than asymptotically.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) so that ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm; cost functions are functions on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, differentiable at the points of PPP, with Mathlib's gradient. Rounds are 111-based; x0x_0x0​ and f0f_0f0​ are unused. DDD is any upper bound on pairwise distances in PPP. Exp-concavity is ConcaveOn ℝ P (fun x => Real.exp (-α * f t x)). Algorithms are predicates on the trajectory, required at every round, so every tie-breaking rule is covered and adaptive adversaries are included.

Regret is always stated against every comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P. A formalization with a real-valued ⨅/sInf over PPP, or one that bounds the regret of an arbitrary sequence of points rather than of an FTAL run with the paper's β\betaβ, would be trivial or false, and is excluded: the goal carries IsFTALRun with β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}.

Corrections and conventions relative to the printed paper:

  • Theorem 5: the printed bound 2nb2a[log⁡(DRaT/b)+1]\frac{2nb^2}{a}[\log(DRaT/b) + 1]a2nb2​[log(DRaT/b)+1] is false when DRaT/b<1/eDRaT/b < 1/eDRaT/b<1/e. The milestone states the bound the paper's proof gives, nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​, which implies the printed one when DRaT≥bDRaT \ge bDRaT≥b. Derivatives are deriv with explicit differentiability at the points vt⊤xv_t^\top xvt⊤​x, x∈Px \in Px∈P.
  • Lemma 10: printed with xt=arg⁡min⁡∑τ=1tfτx_t = \arg\min \sum_{\tau=1}^{t} f_\tauxt​=argmin∑τ=1t​fτ​, under which it is false at T=1T = 1T=1; the proof and its use require the FTL index ∑τ=1t−1\sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1}∑τ=1t−1​, which is stated.
  • Lemma 11: the typo ∑τutut⊤\sum_\tau u_t u_t^\top∑τ​ut​ut⊤​ is read as ∑τuτuτ⊤\sum_\tau u_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ​uτ​uτ⊤​, and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 is stated.
  • Lemma 3: β>0\beta > 0β>0 is added (the proof divides by β\betaβ), and G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0 so that 1/(4GD)1/(4GD)1/(4GD) is meaningful.
  • Theorem 6: "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as R\mathbb{R}R-valued; only first-order differentiability is assumed; G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0. The theorem is true as printed, although the paper's route through the printed Theorem 5 is invalid for T<16T < 16T<16.
  • Only version 1 of FTAL is formalized; Lemma 4 (equivalence with the pseudoinverse form) is out of scope.

Needed infrastructure: first-order optimality for convex minimisation over a convex set, a mean-value theorem along segments, determinants and eigenvalues of symmetric positive definite matrices (Mathlib has most of this), and the matrix inequality ∣A∣≤(tr⁡A/n)n|A| \le (\operatorname{tr} A/n)^n∣A∣≤(trA/n)n. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a proof of the goal from the milestones.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for online decision problems, J. Comput. System Sci. 71 (2005), 291–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.10.016
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 2: Logarithmic Regret of the Online Newton StepResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an unknown, possibly adversarial environment: in each round t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T a player picks a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn, and only then learns a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). Performance is measured by regret, the excess of the total cost over that of the best fixed point in hindsight. Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that online gradient descent has regret O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) for arbitrary convex costs with bounded gradients, and this rate cannot be improved in general.

Many costs met in practice have more curvature than bare convexity. The log-loss f(x)=−log⁡(x⊤a)f(x)=-\log(x^\top a)f(x)=−log(x⊤a) of universal portfolio management (Cover, Math. Finance 1991) is not strongly convex, but it is exp-concave. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) gave the first efficient algorithms with regret logarithmic in TTT for exp-concave costs. This mission formalizes the second of their algorithms, the Online Newton Step (ONS), and its regret bound (Theorem 2 of the paper). ONS is the basis of later second-order online methods and appears as a standard algorithm in textbooks on online learning.

Timeline:

  • 2003 — Zinkevich: O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for general convex costs by online gradient descent.
  • 2006–2007 — Hazan, Agarwal, Kale (COLT 2006; Mach Learn 2007): O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for strongly convex costs by gradient descent, and O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs by ONS, Follow the Approximate Leader, and exponentially weighted online optimization.
  • 2016 — Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Found. Trends Optim., arXiv:1909.05207): textbook treatment of ONS with modified parameters.

Setting

The decision set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥x−y∥≤D\|x-y\|\le D∥x−y∥≤D for all x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P, with the Euclidean norm. The costs f1,f2,…f_1,f_2,\dotsf1​,f2​,… are real functions, differentiable at every point of P\mathcal PP, with gradient bound ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\|\le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on P\mathcal PP. A cost is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha>0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x\mapsto\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on P\mathcal PP.

For a matrix AAA, the generalized projection ΠPA(y)\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)ΠPA​(y) is a point of P\mathcal PP minimising (y−x)⊤A(y−x)(y-x)^\top A(y-x)(y−x)⊤A(y−x) over x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P.

The Online Newton Step fixes

β=12min⁡{14GD,α},ε=1β2D2,\beta=\tfrac12\min\Big\{\frac1{4GD},\alpha\Big\},\qquad \varepsilon=\frac1{\beta^2D^2},β=21​min{4GD1​,α},ε=β2D21​,

writes ∇t=∇ft(xt)\nabla_t=\nabla f_t(x_t)∇t​=∇ft​(xt​) and At=∑i=1t∇i∇i⊤+εInA_t=\sum_{i=1}^t\nabla_i\nabla_i^\top+\varepsilon I_nAt​=∑i=1t​∇i​∇i⊤​+εIn​, plays an arbitrary x1∈Px_1\in\mathcal Px1​∈P, and then

xt+1=ΠPAt(xt−1βAt−1∇t).x_{t+1}=\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}\Big(x_t-\frac1\beta A_t^{-1}\nabla_t\Big).xt+1​=ΠPAt​​(xt​−β1​At−1​∇t​).

The regret after TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)); the paper's regret is its maximum over u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P.

In Lean the objects are LogRegretOCO.ONS.onsBeta, onsEps, onsMatrix, IsGenProj and IsONSRun, with the regularised Gram matrix regGram and the quadratic form quadForm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4

For every run of ONS, every horizon TTT with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge 4nlogT≥4, and every u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤5(1α+GD) nlog⁡T.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le 5\Big(\frac1\alpha+GD\Big)\,n\log T.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤5(α1​+GD)nlogT.

The added condition nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4 is what makes the printed constant correct (see Formalization scope).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3 (p. 177): for 0<β≤12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}0<\beta\le\frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}0<β≤21​min{1/(4GD),α} and x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P,
f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.f(x)\ge f(y)+\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)+\tfrac\beta2\big(\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)\big)^2 .f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.
  1. Lemma 8 (p. 188): for convex P\mathcal PP, A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0, z=ΠPA(y)z=\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)z=ΠPA​(y) and a∈Pa\in\mathcal Pa∈P: (y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a)(y-a)^\top A(y-a)\ge(z-a)^\top A(z-a)(y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a).
  2. The display on p. 178: for every run of ONS and u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,
∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤12β∑t=1T∇t⊤At−1∇t+12β.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le\frac1{2\beta}\sum_{t=1}^T\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t+\frac1{2\beta}.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤2β1​t=1∑T​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​+2β1​.
  1. Lemma 12 (p. 191): for A⪰B≻0A\succeq B\succ0A⪰B≻0, A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1}\bullet(A-B)\le\log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣).
  2. Lemma 11 (p. 190): if ∥ut∥≤r\|u_t\|\le r∥ut​∥≤r, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εInV_t=\sum_{\tau\le t}u_\tau u_\tau^\top+\varepsilon I_nVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εIn​, then ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^Tu_t^\top V_t^{-1}u_t\le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon+1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1).

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that exp-concavity alone, without strong convexity, suffices for regret logarithmic in TTT, at a per-round cost of one rank-one matrix update and one generalized projection. Its consequences include logarithmic regret for universal portfolio selection with a polynomial-time algorithm, and, by online-to-batch conversion, fast rates for stochastic exp-concave optimization. Lemma 11 (the elliptical potential bound) is used well beyond this paper, in linear bandits and online regression.

The result has been proved on paper since 2007. The remaining work is its machine-checked proof: the potential argument, the log-determinant inequality and the generalized-projection inequality for positive semidefinite matrices. As far as is known, none of these results is formalized in Mathlib. Prove2Me holds a related elliptical potential lemma for linear bandits (BanditAlgorithm.elliptical_potential_lemma, with Vt−1V_{t-1}Vt−1​ and a min⁡(1,⋅)\min(1,\cdot)min(1,⋅), a different statement) and the Euclidean case A=IA=IA=I of Lemma 8 (UnderstandingML.projection_lemma). The textbook version of ONS (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.online_newton_step_regret, with γ=12min⁡{1/(GD),α}\gamma=\frac12\min\{1/(GD),\alpha\}γ=21​min{1/(GD),α} and bound 2(1/α+GD)nlog⁡T2(1/\alpha+GD)n\log T2(1/α+GD)nlogT) is an open private draft with different parameters.

Difficulty

The obvious route to logarithmic regret, the gradient-descent argument of Theorem 1 with step sizes 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht), needs a uniform lower bound H>0H>0H>0 on the Hessians. Exp-concave costs such as the log-loss have no such bound: their curvature vanishes in directions orthogonal to the gradients seen so far. The analysis therefore has to track curvature only along the observed gradient directions. This requires a matrix-valued potential ∑t∇t⊤At−1∇t\sum_t\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t∑t​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​ and a projection in the norm of AtA_tAt​ rather than the Euclidean norm. The Euclidean projection inequality does not transfer to this norm, which changes from round to round. Bounding the potential requires determinant inequalities for positive definite matrices. The analytic facts are elementary, but their Lean statements involve the interaction of EuclideanSpace, Matrix.mulVec, Matrix.inv and Matrix.det.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so all norms are Euclidean; matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ acting on coordinate vectors. Rounds are 1-based: sums run over Finset.Icc 1 T and the index 000 is unused. Cost functions are ambient functions Rn→R\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb RRn→R, differentiable at the points of P\mathcal PP, with ∇ft\nabla f_t∇ft​ given by Mathlib's gradient. The paper's standing assumptions of convexity and twice differentiability are not needed and are omitted. DDD enters only as an upper bound on distances in P\mathcal PP. The generalized projection is a predicate that every minimiser satisfies, and ONS is the predicate IsONSRun on the whole trajectory, so the goal covers every tie-break and every adaptive adversary.

Corrections and added hypotheses:

  • Theorem 2 is false as printed at T=1T=1T=1. Take n=1n=1n=1, P=[−1,1]\mathcal P=[-1,1]P=[−1,1], f1(x)=x2f_1(x)=x^2f1​(x)=x2, α=12\alpha=\frac12α=21​, G=D=2G=D=2G=D=2 and x1=1x_1=1x1​=1: the regret is 111 and the bound is 000. The paper's proof gives 4(1/α+GD)(nlog⁡T+1)4(1/\alpha+GD)(n\log T+1)4(1/α+GD)(nlogT+1) for T≥2T\ge2T≥2; the final sentence drops the additive 1/(2β)1/(2\beta)1/(2β) of the p. 178 display. The goal adds nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4, under which the printed constant 555 follows.
  • G,D,α>0G,D,\alpha>0G,D,α>0 are assumed wherever β\betaβ or ε\varepsilonε appear: they are the non-degeneracy the formulas presuppose (in Lean, 1/0=01/0=01/0=0).
  • Lemma 3 adds 0<β0<\beta0<β; the proof divides by β\betaβ.
  • Lemma 11 adds ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and reads the printed ∑τ=1tutut⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_tu_t^\top∑τ=1t​ut​ut⊤​ as ∑τ=1tuτuτ⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ=1t​uτ​uτ⊤​.
  • Lemma 12's product ∙\bullet∙ is the entrywise inner product ∑i,jCijEij\sum_{i,j}C_{ij}E_{ij}∑i,j​Cij​Eij​, written out as a double sum.
  • The printed "ft:P→Rnf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb R^nft​:P→Rn" is read as ft:P→Rf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb Rft​:P→R, and "ΠSnAt\Pi^{A_t}_{S_n}ΠSn​At​​" on p. 177 as ΠPAt\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}ΠPAt​​.

Regret is stated against every comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P, never as a real infimum ⨅ over P\mathcal PP, which is junk-valued in Lean on unbounded or empty sets. The goal is a statement about runs of the paper's algorithm with the paper's β\betaβ, ε\varepsilonε and AtA_tAt​. A bound for an arbitrary sequence satisfying the p. 178 display would be a milestone, not Theorem 2. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: the closed unit ball with ft(x)=∥x∥2/2f_t(x)=\|x\|^2/2ft​(x)=∥x∥2/2, α=1\alpha=1α=1, G=1G=1G=1, D=2D=2D=2 is a model.

A complete development needs: first-order conditions for concave functions on convex sets at boundary points; the optimality condition for minimising a convex quadratic over a convex set; spectral facts about symmetric positive definite matrices (square roots, eigenvalues, tr⁡\operatorname{tr}tr and det⁡\detdet); and the telescoping of log-determinants. Lemmas 8, 11 and 12 are reusable beyond this mission, in the sibling missions of this series (Follow the Approximate Leader) and in linear-bandit analyses. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 12 through concavity of log⁡det⁡\log\detlogdet.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016); 2nd ed. arXiv:1909.05207. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains: Binding Base Stocks Are Optimal in a Serial System without Guaranteed Internal ServiceResearch Paper

Motivation

Where to hold safety stock in a multi-stage supply chain is a basic question of inventory planning. Graves and Willems (MSOM 2(1), 2000) optimize safety-stock placement under the guaranteed-service assumption: each stage quotes a service time to its customers and always meets it. That assumption makes the placement problem tractable, and it is the basis of the dynamic program in the body of the paper and of later work built on it. It also has a price. A stage that promises a service time must hold enough stock to keep the promise even when it would be cheaper to let a downstream stage absorb an occasional delay.

The paper's Appendix measures that price in the simplest setting where it can be computed exactly. The setting is a serial chain in which internal stages promise nothing and only the external customer is guaranteed 100% service. Its one theorem, called the Result, characterizes the optimal base stocks of this relaxed model in closed form. The paper then compares that policy with the guaranteed-service optimum on 36 test instances. The guaranteed-service counterpart of this serial model, Simpson's all-or-nothing property of optimal service times, is on Prove2Me as a separate statement (SupplyChainTheory.gs_all_or_nothing, from Snyder and Shen's textbook). This mission formalizes the other side of the comparison.

Setting

A serial supply chain has NNN stages. Stage 111 is the demand node and stage iii supplies stage i−1i-1i−1 for i=2,…,Ni = 2, \dots, Ni=2,…,N. Time is discrete, with periods t∈Zt \in \mathbb{Z}t∈Z. Stage iii has a deterministic lead time Ti∈NT_i \in \mathbb{N}Ti​∈N and a base stock Bi∈RB_i \in \mathbb{R}Bi​∈R. It follows a base-stock policy: in each period it observes end-item demand and orders that amount from its supplier.

The end-item demand in period ttt is d(t)d(t)d(t). The window demand is d(a,b]=d(a+1)+⋯+d(b)d(a, b] = d(a+1) + \dots + d(b)d(a,b]=d(a+1)+⋯+d(b), which is 000 when a≥ba \ge ba≥b. The demand bound D:N→RD : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}D:N→R gives D(τ)D(\tau)D(τ), the maximum possible end-item demand over τ\tauτ periods, with D(0)=0D(0) = 0D(0)=0.

The backlog Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t) is the amount the customer of stage iii has ordered but not yet received. It satisfies the recursion (A1):

Qi(t)=[d(t−Ti,t]+Qi+1(t−Ti)−Bi]+,QN+1≡0.Q_i(t) = \bigl[d(t - T_i, t] + Q_{i+1}(t - T_i) - B_i\bigr]^+, \qquad Q_{N+1} \equiv 0 .Qi​(t)=[d(t−Ti​,t]+Qi+1​(t−Ti​)−Bi​]+,QN+1​≡0.

Unrolling it gives the closed max-form (A2). The external customer receives 100% service when Q1(t)=0Q_1(t) = 0Q1​(t)=0 for all ttt. When demand never exceeds its bound, this is ensured by the service constraints

B1+⋯+Bi≥D(T1+⋯+Ti),i=1,…,N.(A3)B_1 + \dots + B_i \ge D(T_1 + \dots + T_i), \qquad i = 1, \dots, N. \tag{A3}B1​+⋯+Bi​≥D(T1​+⋯+Ti​),i=1,…,N.(A3)

Let hih_ihi​ be the holding cost at stage iii and ei=hi−hi+1e_i = h_i - h_{i+1}ei​=hi​−hi+1​ the echelon holding cost. After constant terms are dropped, the expected holding cost gives program P∗\mathbf P^*P∗:

min⁡B ∑i=1NhiBi−∑i=2Nei−1E[Qi]s.t. (A3) and Bi≥0.\min_B\ \sum_{i=1}^N h_i B_i - \sum_{i=2}^N e_{i-1} E[Q_i] \quad\text{s.t. (A3) and } B_i \ge 0 .Bmin​ i=1∑N​hi​Bi​−i=2∑N​ei−1​E[Qi​]s.t. (A3) and Bi​≥0.

Demand is random, and E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] is the expected backlog at stage iii in a period ttt.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Result, Eq. (A6)

If the echelon holding costs are nonnegative and DDD is nondecreasing, then an optimal solution of P∗\mathbf P^*P∗ is

B1=D(T1),Bi=D(T1+⋯+Ti)−D(T1+⋯+Ti−1),i=2,…,N.(A6)B_1 = D(T_1), \qquad B_i = D(T_1 + \dots + T_i) - D(T_1 + \dots + T_{i-1}), \quad i = 2, \dots, N. \tag{A6}B1​=D(T1​),Bi​=D(T1​+⋯+Ti​)−D(T1​+⋯+Ti−1​),i=2,…,N.(A6)

Formally, (A6) is feasible, and for every period ttt its objective value is at most that of every feasible vector. The goal names this vector and compares it with every feasible BBB. The weaker claim that "some optimal solution binds all of (A3)" would not be enough.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (A2). The closed max-form of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t), derived from the recursion (A1).
  2. Eq. (A3). Under the demand bound d(a,a+s]≤D(s)d(a, a+s] \le D(s)d(a,a+s]≤D(s), the constraints (A3) force Q1≡0Q_1 \equiv 0Q1​≡0 (sufficiency).
  3. (A6) is feasible and is the unique binding solution of (A3).
  4. Backlog bounds under a transfer. Moving Δ≥0\Delta \ge 0Δ≥0 units of base stock from stage kkk to stage k+1k+1k+1 leaves E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] unchanged for i>k+1i > k+1i>k+1 and raises it by at most Δ\DeltaΔ for i≤ki \le ki≤k. It lowers E[Qk+1]E[Q_{k+1}]E[Qk+1​] by at most Δ\DeltaΔ.
  5. Eqs. (A7)–(A8). For k<Nk < Nk<N, the transfer that makes the kkk-th constraint binding keeps the vector feasible and does not raise the objective.
  6. The case k=Nk = Nk=N. Lowering BNB_NBN​ until the NNN-th constraint binds does not raise the objective.

Significance

The Result shows that, without guaranteed internal service, the optimal base stocks do not depend on the holding costs, provided the echelon costs are nonnegative. Each stage then covers exactly the increment of maximal demand that its own lead time adds. This closed form is the benchmark against which the paper measures the cost of guaranteed service: 26% more safety-stock holding cost on average over its test problems. The paper also remarks, without proof, that Rosling's transformation extends the Result to assembly systems.

The Result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, neither it nor the backlog identity (A2) has been machine-checked. A complete development would yield a verified model of serial base-stock backlogs under bounded demand. It would also verify an exchange argument that recurs in multi-echelon inventory theory: moving stock toward the customer, with echelon costs controlling the sign of the change.

Difficulty

The objective is not linear in BBB. Each E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] is a convex, nonsmooth function of Bi,…,BNB_i, \dots, B_NBi​,…,BN​ through the maximum in (A2), and the objective subtracts these terms, so P∗\mathbf P^*P∗ minimizes a concave function over a polyhedron. The obvious approaches are linear-programming duality and convex first-order optimality conditions on P∗\mathbf P^*P∗, and neither applies. The result is a comparison of objective values between arbitrary feasible vectors and (A6). It has to hold pathwise under every demand distribution, and it then has to be carried through expectations. The hypotheses the Result leaves implicit must be recovered from the rest of the paper. Two of them, stated below, are necessary.

Formalization scope

Stages are natural numbers read on the range {1,…,N}\{1, \dots, N\}{1,…,N}. Lead times are natural numbers cast to Z\mathbb{Z}Z. Base stocks, holding costs and the demand bound are real-valued. A base-stock vector is a function N→R\mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{R}N→R, and only indices 1,…,N1, \dots, N1,…,N are read. The backlog is defined by the recursion (A1), computed in N+1−iN + 1 - iN+1−i steps, with Qi≡0Q_i \equiv 0Qi​≡0 for i>Ni > Ni>N. The closed form (A2) is a theorem. Randomness is a probability space (Ω,μ)(\Omega, \mu)(Ω,μ) with a demand path d(ω,⋅)d(\omega, \cdot)d(ω,⋅) whose value in each period is integrable. The integrability of the backlog is not assumed; it follows from the integrability of demand.

The page's informal words are read as follows:

  • "The echelon holding costs are nonnegative" means hi−hi+1≥0h_i - h_{i+1} \ge 0hi​−hi+1​≥0 for 1≤i<N1 \le i < N1≤i<N, and hN≥0h_N \ge 0hN​≥0, i.e. eN≥0e_N \ge 0eN​≥0 with hN+1:=0h_{N+1} := 0hN+1​:=0. The case k=Nk = Nk=N of the proof uses hN≥0h_N \ge 0hN​≥0. Without it the Result is false (N=1N = 1N=1, h1<0h_1 < 0h1​<0).
  • D(0)=0D(0) = 0D(0)=0 is the paper's convention (§2, p. 70) and is added as a hypothesis. Without it (A6) can be infeasible (D≡−1D \equiv -1D≡−1 is nondecreasing).
  • "D( )D(\,)D() is a nondecreasing function" means Monotone D on N\mathbb{N}N.
  • "An optimal solution to P∗\mathbf P^*P∗" means feasible, with objective at most that of every feasible vector.
  • "E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​]" means the expectation of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t) at a fixed period ttt. Every statement holds for all ttt, and stationarity is not assumed. The paper writes E[Qi]E[Q_i]E[Qi​] without ttt because its demand is stationary, and this reading is at least as strong.
  • The demand bound d(a,a+s]≤D(s)d(a, a+s] \le D(s)d(a,a+s]≤D(s) appears only in milestone 2. The Result does not use it, so it is not a hypothesis of the goal.
  • Eq. (A3) is formalized in the sufficiency direction only. The page's necessity remark ("as we assume that the demand bounds can be realized") is not stated.

A non-integrable backlog would make its Bochner integral 000 and erase the backlog terms of the objective. The formalization rules this out by assuming integrable demand, which makes the backlogs integrable; it does not assume the backlogs themselves integrable. Out of scope: the spanning-tree dynamic program of §5, the unproved remarks of §§3–4, the Rosling extension, the Kodak application and the computational study.

Useful contributions include a proof of (A2) by downward induction on stages, the integrability of Qi(t)Q_i(t)Qi​(t), the pathwise version of milestone 4, and the iteration argument that assembles milestones 3, 5 and 6 into the goal.

Selected references

  • S. C. Graves and S. P. Willems, Optimizing Strategic Safety Stock Placement in Supply Chains, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 2(1):68–83, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2.1.68.23267
  • K. F. Simpson, In-Process Inventories, Operations Research 6(6):863–873, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.6.6.863
  • K. Rosling, Optimal Inventory Policies for Assembly Systems under Random Demands, Operations Research 37(4):565–579, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.37.4.565
  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, Wiley, 2nd ed., 2019. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions I: A Uniformly Random Set Achieves 1/4 of the Optimum, and 1/2 for Symmetric FunctionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many combinatorial optimization problems ask for a subset of a finite ground set that maximizes a set function with diminishing returns: Max Cut and Max Directed Cut in graphs, facility location, maximum entropy sampling, and welfare problems in combinatorial auctions all fit this pattern. The common abstraction is the maximization of a submodular function, the discrete analogue of a concave function. Unlike the monotone case, where the objective only grows as elements are added, the non-monotone problem has no constraint at all and is still NP-hard, since Max Cut is a special case.

For Max Cut and Max Directed Cut, the simplest algorithm there is, putting every vertex on a side by an independent fair coin, already cuts half, respectively a quarter, of the optimum in expectation. Feige, Mirrokni and Vondrák (SIAM J. Comput. 40(4), 2011; extended abstract at FOCS 2007) showed that this is not a feature of cut functions: the same random choice achieves the same factors for every nonnegative submodular function, and for every symmetric one. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 2.1 of the paper, together with the two sampling lemmas on which it rests. The paper's other results (a nonadaptive 1/3-approximation, deterministic and smoothed local search, and query lower bounds) are the subjects of companion missions in the same series.

Setting

Let XXX be a finite set with n=∣X∣n = |X|n=∣X∣ elements. A set function assigns a real number f(S)f(S)f(S) to every subset S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X. It is submodular if

f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)for all S,T⊆X,f(S \cup T) + f(S \cap T) \le f(S) + f(T) \qquad \text{for all } S, T \subseteq X,f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)for all S,T⊆X,

equivalently if the marginal value f(B∪{x})−f(B)f(B \cup \{x\}) - f(B)f(B∪{x})−f(B) of an element xxx does not increase as the set BBB grows. It is symmetric if f(X∖S)=f(S)f(X \setminus S) = f(S)f(X∖S)=f(S) for every S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X; the cut function of an undirected graph is the standard example. The optimum is

OPT=max⁡S⊆Xf(S).OPT = \max_{S \subseteq X} f(S).OPT=S⊆Xmax​f(S).

For p∈[0,1]p \in [0,1]p∈[0,1], X(p)X(p)X(p) denotes the random subset of XXX containing each element independently with probability ppp; similarly A(p)A(p)A(p) is the random subset of a fixed A⊆XA \subseteq XA⊆X. The Random Set Algorithm (RS) returns R=X(1/2)R = X(1/2)R=X(1/2), a uniformly random subset of XXX, without querying fff. Its expected value is the average of fff over all subsets,

E[f(R)]=F(12,…,12)=12n∑S⊆Xf(S),\mathbf{E}[f(R)] = F(\tfrac12, \dots, \tfrac12) = \frac{1}{2^n} \sum_{S \subseteq X} f(S),E[f(R)]=F(21​,…,21​)=2n1​S⊆X∑​f(S),

where F(x)=∑S⊆Xf(S)∏i∈Sxi∏i∉S(1−xi)F(x) = \sum_{S \subseteq X} f(S) \prod_{i \in S} x_i \prod_{i \notin S} (1 - x_i)F(x)=∑S⊆X​f(S)∏i∈S​xi​∏i∈/S​(1−xi​) is the multilinear extension of fff, the expectation of fff on a random set that includes element iii independently with probability xix_ixi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1

For every nonnegative submodular f:2X→R+f : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}_+f:2X→R+​,

E[f(X(1/2))]≥14 OPT,\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac14\, OPT,E[f(X(1/2))]≥41​OPT,

and if fff is in addition symmetric,

E[f(X(1/2))]≥12 OPT.\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac12\, OPT.E[f(X(1/2))]≥21​OPT.

Both parts form the goal, stated as one theorem. The constants 14\tfrac1441​ and 12\tfrac1221​ are exact, not asymptotic, and they are tight: the directed cut of a single arc attains 14\tfrac1441​, and the cut of a single edge attains 12\tfrac1221​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.2. For submodular g:2X→Rg : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}g:2X→R, A⊆XA \subseteq XA⊆X and p∈[0,1]p \in [0,1]p∈[0,1],
E[g(A(p))]≥(1−p) g(∅)+p g(A).\mathbf{E}[g(A(p))] \ge (1-p)\, g(\emptyset) + p\, g(A).E[g(A(p))]≥(1−p)g(∅)+pg(A).
  1. Lemma 2.3. For submodular f:2X→Rf : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}f:2X→R, sets A,B⊆XA, B \subseteq XA,B⊆X that need not be disjoint, independent samples A(p)A(p)A(p), B(q)B(q)B(q), and p,q∈[0,1]p, q \in [0,1]p,q∈[0,1],
E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]≥(1−p)(1−q)f(∅)+p(1−q)f(A)+(1−p)qf(B)+pqf(A∪B).\mathbf{E}[f(A(p) \cup B(q))] \ge (1-p)(1-q) f(\emptyset) + p(1-q) f(A) + (1-p)q f(B) + pq f(A \cup B).E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]≥(1−p)(1−q)f(∅)+p(1−q)f(A)+(1−p)qf(B)+pqf(A∪B).
  1. The display in the proof of Theorem 2.1. For submodular f:2X→Rf : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}f:2X→R and every S⊆XS \subseteq XS⊆X, with Sˉ=X∖S\bar S = X \setminus SSˉ=X∖S,
E[f(X(1/2))]≥14f(∅)+14f(S)+14f(Sˉ)+14f(X).\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))] \ge \tfrac14 f(\emptyset) + \tfrac14 f(S) + \tfrac14 f(\bar S) + \tfrac14 f(X).E[f(X(1/2))]≥41​f(∅)+41​f(S)+41​f(Sˉ)+41​f(X).

The milestones need no sign on the function; nonnegativity enters only in the goal.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2.1 gives an algorithm that makes no query at all and is still a constant-factor approximation for unconstrained non-monotone submodular maximization. It sets the baseline that every later algorithm for the problem is measured against: the paper's own nonadaptive 13\tfrac1331​-algorithm and its local search algorithms with factors 13\tfrac1331​ and 25\tfrac2552​, followed by later work culminating in the tight 12\tfrac1221​-approximation of Buchbinder, Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (FOCS 2012). The paper also shows that 14\tfrac1441​ is optimal among nonadaptive algorithms required to return one of the queried sets, and that 12\tfrac1221​ is optimal for symmetric functions among all algorithms using polynomially many value queries, so both factors of Theorem 2.1 have a precise place in the complexity landscape. Lemma 2.3, the probabilistic inequality behind it, is reused in the analyses of the nonadaptive algorithm and of smooth local search.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, with a short proof. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the random-set guarantee and of the two sampling lemmas, stated for arbitrary finite ground sets and, for the lemmas, for real-valued submodular functions without a sign. To our knowledge none of these statements has a machine-checked proof; Mathlib has no theory of submodular set functions or of their multilinear extension.

Difficulty

The goal itself is a two-line consequence of the third milestone. The work sits in the lemmas and in one change of viewpoint.

Lemma 2.2 is not a pointwise statement: the random set A(p)A(p)A(p) can be any subset of AAA, and ggg can be smaller on it than both g(∅)g(\emptyset)g(∅) and g(A)g(A)g(A). The inequality holds only in expectation, and only because submodularity controls the marginal value of each element uniformly across the sets it can be added to. Lemma 2.3 needs a conditioning argument over two independent samples; the sets AAA and BBB may overlap, and on A∩BA \cap BA∩B the union A(p)∪B(q)A(p) \cup B(q)A(p)∪B(q) contains an element with probability 1−(1−p)(1−q)1 - (1-p)(1-q)1−(1−p)(1−q), so it is not the product distribution with probability ppp on AAA and qqq on BBB. Finally, the third milestone requires identifying the uniform random subset X(1/2)X(1/2)X(1/2) with the union of independent half-samples of SSS and of its complement, as a statement about finite sums.

The obvious attempt at the goal, comparing f(R)f(R)f(R) with f(S∗)f(S^*)f(S∗) for an optimal S∗S^*S∗ set by set, fails: fff is not monotone, so a random set that contains most of S∗S^*S∗ may still have small value, and a random set can pick up elements that hurt.

Formalization scope

The ground set is a Lean type X with [Fintype X] [DecidableEq X]; subsets are Finset X and set functions are f : Finset X → ℝ. Submodularity is the lattice inequality of Definition 1.1, not the decreasing-marginals property. Nonnegativity, the paper's standing assumption f:2X→R+f : 2^X \to \mathbb{R}_+f:2X→R+​, is the hypothesis ∀ S, 0 ≤ f S; it appears only in the goal. Symmetry is ∀ S, f Sᶜ = f S for all subsets, not only for an optimal one. OPTOPTOPT is Finset.univ.sup' Finset.univ_nonempty f, a maximum over the always nonempty family of all subsets, so it is attained. The ground set may be empty; the goal holds there too and no nonemptiness is assumed.

Expectations are written as exact finite sums, not as integrals. E[f(X(1/2))]\mathbf{E}[f(X(1/2))]E[f(X(1/2))] is the multilinear extension F f (fun _ => 1/2). E[g(A(p))]\mathbf{E}[g(A(p))]E[g(A(p))] is ∑T⊆Ap∣T∣(1−p)∣A∖T∣g(T)\sum_{T \subseteq A} p^{|T|}(1-p)^{|A \setminus T|} g(T)∑T⊆A​p∣T∣(1−p)∣A∖T∣g(T), and E[f(A(p)∪B(q))]\mathbf{E}[f(A(p) \cup B(q))]E[f(A(p)∪B(q))] is the double sum over independent samples S⊆AS \subseteq AS⊆A, T⊆BT \subseteq BT⊆B with the product of the two weights. The ranges 0≤p≤10 \le p \le 10≤p≤1 and 0≤q≤10 \le q \le 10≤q≤1, implied in the paper by the word "probability", are explicit hypotheses; Lemma 2.2 is false without them.

Trivializing formalizations are excluded: the weights are exactly those of the uniform distribution on all 2n2^n2n subsets, OPTOPTOPT is the true maximum rather than the value at one fixed set, and fff is required to be both nonnegative and submodular.

Reusable infrastructure produced by a complete development: the multilinear extension of a set function and its expression as an expectation, product-weight identities for independent sampling of subsets (including the decomposition of X(1/2)X(1/2)X(1/2) along a set and its complement), and Lemmas 2.2 and 2.3, which the companion missions on the nonadaptive algorithm and on smooth local search also need. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions, SIAM Journal on Computing 40(4):1133–1153, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/090779346
  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing non-monotone submodular functions, Proceedings of the 48th IEEE Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS), 2007, pp. 461–471. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2007.29
  • N. Buchbinder, M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization, SIAM Journal on Computing 44(5):1384–1402, 2015 (FOCS 2012). https://doi.org/10.1137/130929205
  • G. L. Nemhauser, L. A. Wolsey, M. L. Fisher, An analysis of approximations for maximizing submodular set functions — I, Mathematical Programming 14:265–294, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01588971
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimal Transport·Captain: mikedeng1

Scenario Reduction in Stochastic Programming: The Optimal Redistribution Rule and the Explicit Kantorovich Distance of a Reduced MeasureResearch Paper

Motivation

Stochastic programs are solved in practice on a finite set of scenarios: a discrete probability distribution P=∑i=1NpiδωiP=\sum_{i=1}^N p_i\delta_{\omega_i}P=∑i=1N​pi​δωi​​ that approximates the true distribution of the uncertain data. The size of the resulting deterministic problem grows with NNN, and for multistage models it grows very fast, so NNN is often reduced before solving. The question is which scenarios to delete and how to reweight the remaining ones so that the optimal value and solutions of the stochastic program change as little as possible.

Dupačová, Gröwe-Kuska and Römisch (Math. Program. Ser. A 95 (2003) 493–511) answered this with probability metrics. Stability results for stochastic programs bound the change of the optimal value by a Fortet–Mourier type distance, which is in turn bounded by a Kantorovich functional μ^c\hat\mu_cμ^​c​ (an optimal transport cost). Scenario reduction then becomes: find a measure QQQ supported on a subset of the scenarios with μ^c(P,Q)\hat\mu_c(P,Q)μ^​c​(P,Q) small. Section 3 of the paper solves the weight part of this problem in closed form. That result, together with the heuristics built on it (backward reduction and forward selection), became the standard scenario-reduction method, implemented for example in the GAMS tool SCENRED.

Setting

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a set and c:Ω×Ω→R+c:\Omega\times\Omega\to\mathbb R_+c:Ω×Ω→R+​ a cost function with c(ω,ω~)=0c(\omega,\tilde\omega)=0c(ω,ω~)=0 if and only if ω=ω~\omega=\tilde\omegaω=ω~, and c(ω,ω~)=c(ω~,ω)c(\omega,\tilde\omega)=c(\tilde\omega,\omega)c(ω,ω~)=c(ω~,ω) (conditions (C1)–(C2), p. 498). The original distribution has scenarios ω1,…,ωN∈Ω\omega_1,\dots,\omega_N\in\Omegaω1​,…,ωN​∈Ω with weights pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 and ∑ipi=1\sum_i p_i=1∑i​pi​=1. Write cij=c(ωi,ωj)c_{ij}=c(\omega_i,\omega_j)cij​=c(ωi​,ωj​).

A set J⊂{1,…,N}J\subset\{1,\dots,N\}J⊂{1,…,N} of scenarios is deleted. The reduced measure is Q=∑j∉JqjδωjQ=\sum_{j\notin J}q_j\delta_{\omega_j}Q=∑j∈/J​qj​δωj​​ with reduced weights qj≥0q_j\ge0qj​≥0, ∑j∉Jqj=1\sum_{j\notin J}q_j=1∑j∈/J​qj​=1. A transport plan from PPP to QQQ is a nonnegative matrix (ηij)i≤N, j∉J(\eta_{ij})_{i\le N,\,j\notin J}(ηij​)i≤N,j∈/J​ with row sums ∑j∉Jηij=pi\sum_{j\notin J}\eta_{ij}=p_i∑j∈/J​ηij​=pi​ and column sums ∑iηij=qj\sum_i\eta_{ij}=q_j∑i​ηij​=qj​. The Kantorovich functional (10) is the value of this transportation problem,

D(J;q)=min⁡{∑i∑j∉Jcijηij: η a transport plan from P to Q},D(J;q)=\min\Big\{\sum_{i}\sum_{j\notin J}c_{ij}\eta_{ij}:\ \eta\ \text{a transport plan from }P\text{ to }Q\Big\},D(J;q)=min{i∑​j∈/J∑​cij​ηij​: η a transport plan from P to Q},

and DJ=min⁡{D(J;q):q reduced weights}D_J=\min\{D(J;q): q\ \text{reduced weights}\}DJ​=min{D(J;q):q reduced weights} is the best distance achievable once JJJ is fixed. The optimal deletion problem (13) asks for min⁡{DJ:#J=k}\min\{D_J:\#J=k\}min{DJ​:#J=k} for a given 1≤k<N1\le k<N1≤k<N.

In the Lean development these objects are IsReducedWeight, IsTransportPlan, transportCost, transportValue (D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q)), optWeightsValue (DJD_JDJ​) and optimalDeletionValue (the value of (13)), all in the namespace ScenarioReduction.Redistribution.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (optimal weights), p. 500

For every J≠{1,…,N}J\neq\{1,\dots,N\}J={1,…,N},

DJ=min⁡{D(J;q):qj≥0, ∑j∉Jqj=1}=∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉Jc(ωi,ωj),D_J=\min\Big\{D(J;q): q_j\ge0,\ \sum_{j\notin J}q_j=1\Big\}=\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c(\omega_i,\omega_j),DJ​=min{D(J;q):qj​≥0, j∈/J∑​qj​=1}=i∈J∑​pi​j∈/Jmin​c(ωi​,ωj​),

and the minimum is attained at the optimal redistribution rule qˉj=pj+∑i∈Jjpi\bar q_j=p_j+\sum_{i\in J_j}p_iqˉ​j​=pj​+∑i∈Jj​​pi​, where Jj={i∈J:j(i)=j}J_j=\{i\in J: j(i)=j\}Jj​={i∈J:j(i)=j} and j(i)∈arg⁡min⁡j∉Jc(ωi,ωj)j(i)\in\arg\min_{j\notin J}c(\omega_i,\omega_j)j(i)∈argminj∈/J​c(ωi​,ωj​), for every such choice of j(⋅)j(\cdot)j(⋅).

Milestones

  1. Primal–dual representation of D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) (first display of the proof, p. 501): the transportation problem and its linear-programming dual both attain D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q).
  2. Lower bound (p. 501): ∑i∈Jpimin⁡k∉Jcik≤D(J;q)\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{k\notin J}c_{ik}\le D(J;q)∑i∈J​pi​mink∈/J​cik​≤D(J;q) for every feasible qqq.
  3. Upper bound at qˉ\bar qqˉ​ (p. 501): qˉ\bar qqˉ​ is feasible and D(J;qˉ)≤∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉JcijD(J;\bar q)\le\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c_{ij}D(J;qˉ​)≤∑i∈J​pi​minj∈/J​cij​.
  4. Theorem 3 (p. 501): for weights prescribed by qj=pj+λjpJq_j=p_j+\lambda_jp_Jqj​=pj​+λj​pJ​, D(J;q)≤∑i∈Jpi∑j∉Jλjc(ωi,ωj)D(J;q)\le\sum_{i\in J}p_i\sum_{j\notin J}\lambda_jc(\omega_i,\omega_j)D(J;q)≤∑i∈J​pi​∑j∈/J​λj​c(ωi​,ωj​), with equality if #J=1\#J=1#J=1 and ccc satisfies the triangle inequality.
  5. Theorem 4 (p. 503): the greedy recursions (16) and (17) give a lower and an upper bound for min⁡{DJ:#J=k}\min\{D_J:\#J=k\}min{DJ​:#J=k}, and the backward set {l1,…,lk}\{l_1,\dots,l_k\}{l1​,…,lk​} is optimal under a nonemptiness condition.

Significance

Theorem 2 reduces the continuous part of scenario reduction to a formula: once the set of kept scenarios is chosen, the best reweighting is to move the mass of every deleted scenario to a nearest kept scenario, and the resulting distance is an explicit sum. This leaves only the combinatorial choice of JJJ, which Theorem 4 brackets by two greedy procedures; these are the backward-reduction and forward-selection algorithms of the paper and of later work by Heitsch and Römisch. Theorem 3 covers the case in which the reduced weights are fixed by the modeller, for instance to keep a uniform distribution uniform.

The results are proved in the paper by elementary linear-programming arguments. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them produces a verified finite transportation-problem layer with a general (not necessarily metric) cost and a deleted index set, and verified correctness certificates for the two standard scenario-reduction heuristics.

Difficulty

The upper bound of Theorem 2 is a direct construction. The content lies in the lower bound, which must hold for every reweighting qqq simultaneously; this needs the dual side of the transportation problem, and the full primal–dual representation (Milestone 1) requires strong duality for a transportation problem with only the kept columns, which Mathlib does not provide in this form. A naive argument that bounds each plan row by row gives the lower bound directly for plans, but relating it to D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) as an infimum also requires that plans exist and that the infimum is attained. In Theorem 4, the recursions (16) and (17) are greedy and do not in general produce optimal sets; the lower bound works only because its inner minimum ranges over all j≠lj\neq lj=l, not over the kept scenarios.

Formalization scope

Scenarios are indexed by Fin N (0-based), scenarios are a function ω : Fin N → Ω into an arbitrary type Ω, the cost is c : Ω → Ω → ℝ, and weights, plans and dual variables are real-valued functions on Fin N and Fin N × Fin N. Only the entries at kept indices j∉Jj\notin Jj∈/J enter any constraint, cost or objective. No measure theory is used: the index-level transportation problem is the paper's own representation of μ^c\hat\mu_cμ^​c​ for discrete measures (p. 495). Every theorem carries the standing assumptions of Section 3: c≥0c\ge0c≥0, (C1), (C2), pi>0p_i>0pi​>0 and ∑ipi=1\sum_ip_i=1∑i​pi​=1. Measurability of ccc and conditions (C3) and (C4) concern Ω⊂Rs\Omega\subset\mathbb R^sΩ⊂Rs and play no role for finitely supported measures; they are dropped, so the statements are more general than the page. The hypothesis J≠{1,…,N}J\neq\{1,\dots,N\}J={1,…,N}, implicit in Theorem 2, is stated explicitly; in Theorem 4, 1≤k<N1\le k<N1≤k<N plays this role.

D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) and DJD_JDJ​ are real infima (sInf) of transport costs and are only asserted about where the underlying sets are nonempty and bounded below; "min" is stated as attainment (IsLeast), not as an equality of infima. D(J;q)D(J;q)D(J;q) is defined as the transportation problem and is not defined by the closed form ∑i∈Jpimin⁡j∉Jcij\sum_{i\in J}p_i\min_{j\notin J}c_{ij}∑i∈J​pi​minj∈/J​cij​; under that definition Theorem 2 would be trivial, and it is ruled out here. Likewise the reduced-weight constraint does not force q=qˉq=\bar qq=qˉ​.

Needed infrastructure: finite transportation problems with nonnegativity and marginal constraints, existence of optimal plans (compactness of the feasible polytope), and LP duality for transportation problems. The transportation-problem layer is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a general strong-duality result for finite transportation problems, and the examples of p. 502 (single scenario deletion, keeping one scenario).

Selected references

  • J. Dupačová, N. Gröwe-Kuska, W. Römisch, Scenario reduction in stochastic programming: An approach using probability metrics, Math. Program. Ser. A 95 (2003) 493–511. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-002-0331-0
  • S. T. Rachev, Probability Metrics and the Stability of Stochastic Models, Wiley, 1991.
  • H. Heitsch, W. Römisch, Scenario reduction algorithms in stochastic programming, Comput. Optim. Appl. 24 (2003) 187–206. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021805924152
  • W. Römisch, R. Schultz, Stability analysis for stochastic programs, Ann. Oper. Res. 30 (1991) 241–266. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02204819
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchTopology·Captain: mikedeng1

A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem: Equilibrium Points Exist When Actions Are Contractible Polyhedra and Constrained Best Responses Are ContractibleResearch Paper

Motivation

Nash's equilibrium existence theorem assumes that each player's set of available strategies is fixed. Many social and economic systems do not work that way: a consumer's budget set depends on prices, which are the choices of another agent, and a firm's feasible production may depend on what other firms do. Gerard Debreu's A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem (PNAS 38(10), 1952) proves that an equilibrium exists in such a system, called a social system or abstract economy (today also a generalized game). Here each agent's feasible actions depend on the actions of all the others.

Arrow and Debreu used this theorem to prove the existence of a competitive equilibrium (Econometrica 22(3), 1954). It is the standard existence result for generalized Nash equilibrium problems in operations research, where the feasible sets are coupled by shared constraints.

Timeline.

  • 1928: von Neumann proves the minimax theorem for matrix games.
  • 1941: Kakutani proves a fixed-point theorem for convex-valued maps with closed graphs on compact convex sets (Duke Math. J. 8, 1941).
  • 1946: Eilenberg and Montgomery extend fixed-point theory to acyclic-valued maps on acyclic absolute neighbourhood retracts (Amer. J. Math. 68, 1946).
  • 1950: Nash proves the existence of equilibrium points for finite games (PNAS 36, 1950).
  • 1952: Debreu proves the theorem of this mission. He requires contractibility instead of convexity, and his payoffs take values in the completed real line.

Setting

There are finitely many agents ι=1,…,ν\iota=1,\dots,\nuι=1,…,ν. Agent ι\iotaι chooses an action aιa_\iotaaι​ in a set Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​, a subset of a finite-dimensional real space. A profile a=(a1,…,aν)a=(a_1,\dots,a_\nu)a=(a1​,…,aν​) lies in A=A1×⋯×Aν\mathfrak A=\mathfrak A_1\times\cdots\times\mathfrak A_\nuA=A1​×⋯×Aν​. For each agent, aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​ denotes the actions of the others, ranging over Aˉι=∏j≠ιAj\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iota=\prod_{j\ne\iota}\mathfrak A_jAˉι​=∏j=ι​Aj​.

Given aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​, agent ι\iotaι may only choose from a nonempty set Aι(aˉι)⊆AιA_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\subseteq\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​(aˉι​)⊆Aι​, a multi-valued function of the others' actions. Its graph is Gι={(aˉι,aι)∣aι∈Aι(aˉι)}G_\iota=\{(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)\mid a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\}Gι​={(aˉι​,aι​)∣aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)}. The payoff fι(aˉι,aι)f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)fι​(aˉι​,aι​) takes values in the completed real line R‾=R∪{−∞,+∞}\overline{\mathbb R}=\mathbb R\cup\{-\infty,+\infty\}R=R∪{−∞,+∞}. The best value available to agent ι\iotaι and the set of constrained best responses are

φι(aˉι)=max⁡aι∈Aι(aˉι)fι(aˉι,aι),Maˉι={aι∈Aι(aˉι)∣fι(aˉι,aι)=φι(aˉι)}.\varphi_\iota(\bar a_\iota)=\max_{a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)}f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota),\qquad M_{\bar a_\iota}=\{a_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\mid f_\iota(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)=\varphi_\iota(\bar a_\iota)\}.φι​(aˉι​)=aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)max​fι​(aˉι​,aι​),Maˉι​​={aι​∈Aι​(aˉι​)∣fι​(aˉι​,aι​)=φι​(aˉι​)}.

An equilibrium point is a profile a∗a^*a∗ such that, for every ι\iotaι, aι∗∈Aι(aˉι∗)a^*_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)aι∗​∈Aι​(aˉι∗​) and fι(a∗)=φι(aˉι∗)f_\iota(a^*)=\varphi_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)fι​(a∗)=φι​(aˉι∗​).

The topological vocabulary is Debreu's §1:

  • a convex cell is the convex hull of finitely many points;
  • a geometric polyhedron is a finite union of convex cells;
  • a polyhedron is a set homeomorphic to a geometric polyhedron;
  • a nonempty set ZZZ is contractible if there is a continuous H:[0,1]×Z→ZH:[0,1]\times Z\to ZH:[0,1]×Z→Z with H(0,z)=zH(0,z)=zH(0,z)=z and H(1,z)=z0H(1,z)=z^0H(1,z)=z0 for a fixed z0∈Zz^0\in Zz0∈Z.

A multi-valued function is semicontinuous if its graph is closed.

Formalization targets

Goal: the THEOREM (p. 888)

Assume that for every ι\iotaι, Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ is a contractible polyhedron, GιG_\iotaGι​ is closed, fιf_\iotafι​ is continuous on GιG_\iotaGι​, φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is continuous on Aˉι\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iotaAˉι​, and MaˉιM_{\bar a_\iota}Maˉι​​ is contractible for every aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​. Then

∃ a∗∈A  ∀ι:aι∗∈Aι(aˉι∗)  and  fι(aˉι∗,b)≤fι(a∗)  for all b∈Aι(aˉι∗).\exists\,a^*\in\mathfrak A\ \ \forall\iota:\quad a^*_\iota\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota)\ \text{ and }\ f_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota,b)\le f_\iota(a^*)\ \text{ for all } b\in A_\iota(\bar a^*_\iota).∃a∗∈A  ∀ι:aι∗​∈Aι​(aˉι∗​)  and  fι​(aˉι∗​,b)≤fι​(a∗)  for all b∈Aι​(aˉι∗​).

Milestones on the path of the proof

  1. §1: products of two convex cells, of two geometric polyhedra, of two polyhedra and of two contractible sets are of the same kind.
  2. A\mathfrak AA is a contractible polyhedron, and ϕ(a)=Maˉ1×⋯×Maˉν\phi(a)=M_{\bar a_1}\times\cdots\times M_{\bar a_\nu}ϕ(a)=Maˉ1​​×⋯×Maˉν​​ is contractible for every aaa.
  3. The LEMMA (p. 889): a semicontinuous multi-valued function ϕ:Z→Z\phi:Z\to Zϕ:Z→Z on a contractible polyhedron with contractible values has a fixed point z∗∈ϕ(z∗)z^*\in\phi(z^*)z∗∈ϕ(z∗).
  4. The set Mι={(aˉι,aι)∣aι∈Maˉι}M_\iota=\{(\bar a_\iota,a_\iota)\mid a_\iota\in M_{\bar a_\iota}\}Mι​={(aˉι​,aι​)∣aι​∈Maˉι​​} is closed, and so is the graph Γ\GammaΓ of ϕ\phiϕ.
  5. a∗∈ϕ(a∗)a^*\in\phi(a^*)a∗∈ϕ(a∗) holds exactly when a∗a^*a∗ is an equilibrium point.

Further results of the paper

  • The Remark (p. 889) and its steps (α) and (β) (p. 890). If GιG_\iotaGι​ is compact and fιf_\iotafι​ is continuous on it, then φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is upper semicontinuous. If AιA_\iotaAι​ is moreover continuous at a point, φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is lower semicontinuous, and hence continuous, there.
  • The COROLLARY (p. 890). A continuous f:X×Y→R‾f:X\times Y\to\overline{\mathbb R}f:X×Y→R on contractible polyhedra whose argmin sets Ux0U_{x^0}Ux0​ and argmax sets Vy0V_{y^0}Vy0​ are contractible has a saddle point, min⁡yf(x0,y)=f(x0,y0)=max⁡xf(x,y0)\min_y f(x^0,y)=f(x^0,y^0)=\max_x f(x,y^0)miny​f(x0,y)=f(x0,y0)=maxx​f(x,y0).

Significance

The result. The theorem gives an equilibrium for games in which one agent's choices constrain another's. This is the step that makes competitive equilibrium an equilibrium of a game: the market participant's price choice constrains the consumers' budget sets. The same result gives existence for generalized Nash equilibrium problems, including games with shared constraints. Replacing convexity by contractibility also admits non-convex best-response sets: a contractible set such as a star-shaped region or an arc qualifies. Nash's theorem for finite games and von Neumann's minimax theorem are special cases. With values in R‾\overline{\mathbb R}R, payoffs may take infinite values.

The formalization. The theorem was proved in 1952. None of it is formalized on the platform: neither the theorem itself, nor the LEMMA, nor the topological vocabulary of polyhedra and contractible sets used here. Brouwer's theorem is available on the platform as AGT.brouwer_fixed_point. Nash's existence theorem for finite games (AGT.nash_existence) and Sion's minimax theorem are also formalized. All of these assume convexity. The mission produces a machine-checked existence theorem for generalized games, together with a fixed-point theorem for set-valued maps with contractible values on polyhedra.

Difficulty

Most of the argument reduces to the LEMMA, which is a particular case of the Eilenberg–Montgomery fixed-point theorem. The usual route to Kakutani's theorem does not carry over: it approximates a convex-valued map by continuous selections and applies Brouwer's theorem on a convex set. Contractible values do not admit convex combinations of nearby values, and a contractible polyhedron need not be convex, so neither the selection step nor Brouwer on a simplex applies directly. Debreu cites the LEMMA without proof, and Mathlib has no fixed-point theorem for set-valued maps and none of the algebraic topology of polyhedra that the classical results rest on.

The remaining steps are point-set topology. The product milestones require building homeomorphisms and deformations on products of subspaces, and the closed-graph steps require care with continuity on GιG_\iotaGι​ as opposed to continuity everywhere.

Formalization scope

  • Spaces and agents. Each Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ is a subset of a finite-dimensional real normed space EιE_\iotaEι​, standing in for Debreu's "finite Euclidean spaces". The agents form a Fintype. Profiles live in ∏ιAι\prod_\iota\mathfrak A_\iota∏ι​Aι​. The others' actions aˉι\bar a_\iotaaˉι​ range over the product over the subtype {j∣j≠ι}\{j\mid j\ne\iota\}{j∣j=ι}, so AιA_\iotaAι​ cannot depend on agent ι\iotaι's own action. With a single agent this product is a point, and the theorem becomes the one-agent statement.
  • Payoffs. The completed real line is Mathlib's EReal with its order topology. φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ is a supremum (sSup) in EReal; under the hypotheses it is attained, so it is Debreu's Max. No arithmetic in EReal is used anywhere.
  • Polyhedra and contractible sets. A polyhedron is a subspace homeomorphic to a finite union of convex hulls of nonempty finite sets in some Rm\mathbb R^mRm; polyhedra are therefore compact. Contractibility is Debreu's definition verbatim, and it includes nonemptiness.
  • Hypotheses. Non-void values of AιA_\iotaAι​ are Debreu's standing assumption and are stated explicitly. Continuity of fιf_\iotafι​ is required on GιG_\iotaGι​ only, and continuity of φι\varphi_\iotaφι​ on all of Aˉι\bar{\mathfrak A}_\iotaAˉι​.

Three formalizations would be easier but are not this theorem: one that replaces contractible by convex (that is the Kakutani–Nash setting), one that maximizes over all of Aι\mathfrak A_\iotaAι​ instead of Aι(aˉι)A_\iota(\bar a_\iota)Aι​(aˉι​), and one that assumes a fixed point of ϕ\phiϕ or states only the closed-graph step. None of these is acceptable, and the LEMMA may not be weakened to convex domains or convex values.

The work needed includes a small library of polyhedra and contractible subsets, and closed-graph correspondences on products. The largest piece is a proof of the LEMMA, a fixed-point theorem that is reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, alternative routes to the LEMMA, and supporting lemmas on polyhedra, such as compactness, triangulation or being absolute neighbourhood retracts, are all welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Debreu, A Social Equilibrium Existence Theorem, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 38(10), 886–893, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.38.10.886
  • S. Eilenberg and D. Montgomery, Fixed Point Theorems for Multi-Valued Transformations, Amer. J. Math. 68(2), 214–222, 1946. https://doi.org/10.2307/2371832
  • E. G. Begle, A Fixed Point Theorem, Ann. of Math. 51(3), 544–550, 1950. https://doi.org/10.2307/1969367
  • S. Kakutani, A Generalization of Brouwer's Fixed Point Theorem, Duke Math. J. 8(3), 457–459, 1941. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-41-00838-4
  • J. F. Nash, Equilibrium Points in N-Person Games, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 36(1), 48–49, 1950. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.36.1.48
  • K. J. Arrow and G. Debreu, Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy, Econometrica 22(3), 265–290, 1954. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907353
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling IV: List Scheduling from an Optimal One-Machine Schedule Is a 2-Approximation for In-TreesResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the sum of weighted completion times of jobs on identical parallel machines is one of the basic objectives of machine scheduling: it measures the average time a job spends in the system, weighted by its importance. When the jobs are subject to precedence constraints (a job may start only after certain other jobs have finished), the problem is strongly NP-hard already in very restricted cases, and the question becomes how close to optimal a polynomial-time algorithm can guarantee to be.

Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001, doi:10.1137/S0097539797327180), develop a general way to turn a good schedule for a single machine into a good schedule for mmm machines. For arbitrary precedence constraints their conversion (Delay List, §4.1–4.3) loses a factor (1+β)ρ+(1+1/β)(1+\beta)\rho+(1+1/\beta)(1+β)ρ+(1+1/β) over a ρ\rhoρ-approximate one-machine schedule, which is 444 when the one-machine schedule is optimal. In §4.4 they show that for in-tree precedence without release dates, the plain list-scheduling rule of Graham, fed with an optimal one-machine schedule, already achieves ratio 222. In-trees are the precedence structures of assembly processes: every job feeds into at most one later job.

Timeline of the relevant results:

  • 1966–1969: Graham introduces list scheduling on parallel machines and analyzes it for makespan (Graham 1969).
  • 1972: Horn gives a polynomial-time optimal one-machine algorithm for weighted completion time under treelike precedence (Horn 1972).
  • 1977: Adolphson gives O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) one-machine algorithms for tree and series-parallel precedence (Adolphson 1977, the paper's reference [1]).
  • 2001: Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein prove the ratio-222 bound for in-trees on mmm machines (Theorem 4.17).

Setting

There are nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​ and m≥1m\ge 1m≥1 identical machines. Job JjJ_jJj​ has a processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0 and a weight wj>0w_j>0wj​>0; every job is available at time 000 (there are no release dates).

The precedence constraints form an in-tree (more generally, an in-forest): every job jjj has at most one immediate successor succ⁡(j)\operatorname{succ}(j)succ(j), and following successors never returns to the start. Write i≺ji\prec ji≺j if jjj is reached from iii by following successors one or more times.

A feasible schedule SmS^mSm on mmm machines gives each job a start time Sj≥0S_j\ge 0Sj​≥0 and a machine; a job runs without interruption for pjp_jpj​ time units; two jobs on the same machine do not overlap; and i≺ji\prec ji≺j implies that jjj starts no earlier than iii completes. The completion time is Cjm=Sj+pjC^m_j=S_j+p_jCjm​=Sj​+pj​ and the value of the schedule is ∑jwjCjm\sum_j w_jC^m_j∑j​wj​Cjm​.

The critical-path length κj\kappa_jκj​ (Definition 4.1 with no release dates) is κj=pj\kappa_j=p_jκj​=pj​ if jjj has no predecessors and κj=pj+max⁡i≺jκi\kappa_j=p_j+\max_{i\prec j}\kappa_iκj​=pj​+maxi≺j​κi​ otherwise.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs that obeys the precedence constraints. It defines the one-machine schedule S1S^1S1 that runs the jobs in list order without idle time; its completion times are Cj1C^1_jCj1​, the total processing time of the jobs up to and including jjj in the list. An optimal one-machine schedule is a list minimizing C1=∑jwjCj1C^1=\sum_j w_jC^1_jC1=∑j​wj​Cj1​.

List scheduling (Graham's rule, footnote 3 of the paper) on mmm machines with list π\piπ: whenever a machine is free, start on it the first job of the list that is ready, i.e. whose predecessors have all completed.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.17

Let π\piπ be an optimal one-machine schedule and GGG the list schedule on mmm machines with list π\piπ. Then for every feasible mmm-machine schedule NNN,

∑jwjCjG ≤ 2∑jwjCjN.\sum_j w_jC^G_j\ \le\ 2\sum_j w_jC^N_j .j∑​wj​CjG​ ≤ 2j∑​wj​CjN​.

Milestones

Lemma 4.16 (any precedence-respecting list π\piπ, with its idle-free one-machine schedule S1S^1S1): for every job iii,

CiG ≤ κi+Ci1m.C^G_i\ \le\ \kappa_i+\frac{C^1_i}{m}.CiG​ ≤ κi​+mCi1​​.

Lemma 4.10: COPTm≥COPT1/mC^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge C^1_{\mathrm{OPT}}/mCOPTm​≥COPT1​/m, i.e. ∑jwjCj1/m≤∑jwjCjN\sum_j w_jC^1_j/m\le\sum_j w_jC^N_j∑j​wj​Cj1​/m≤∑j​wj​CjN​ for an optimal list and every feasible NNN.

Lemma 4.11: COPTm≥∑iwiκi=COPT∞C^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPTm​≥∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​, i.e. ∑iwiκi≤∑iwiCiN\sum_i w_i\kappa_i\le\sum_i w_iC^N_i∑i​wi​κi​≤∑i​wi​CiN​ for every feasible NNN on any number of machines, and the value ∑iwiκi\sum_i w_i\kappa_i∑i​wi​κi​ is attained by a feasible schedule on nnn machines.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.17 gives a simple, fast algorithm with a guaranteed factor 222 for a strongly NP-hard problem, halving the factor 444 that the general Delay List conversion gives for the same class. The per-job bound of Lemma 4.16 is stronger than the aggregate statement: every single job completes within its critical-path length plus a 1/m1/m1/m share of its one-machine completion time, so the same bound applies to other objectives built from completion times.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof is complete and short, but it argues about events at a time ttt (jobs that finish exactly at ttt, jobs that become ready at ttt, machines freed at ttt) and runs an induction over jobs ordered by start time with an invariant about idle time. A machine-checked version fixes what "list scheduling" means precisely, pins down the counting argument that uses the in-tree structure, and yields reusable definitions of nonpreemptive parallel-machine schedules, critical paths and list schedules. To the knowledge of this mission, none of these results has a machine-checked proof.

Difficulty

List scheduling may start a job that is late in the list before an earlier one, because the earlier job is not yet ready; so the one-machine order is not preserved and the obvious comparison with S1S^1S1 fails. Idle machines are the other obstacle: a machine can stay idle while a job waits for its predecessors, and a per-job bound of the form κi+Ci1/m\kappa_i+C^1_i/mκi​+Ci1​/m holds only if such idle time can be accounted for by JiJ_iJi​'s own chain of predecessors. For general precedence constraints, and for out-trees (every job has at most one immediate predecessor), the paper's accounting breaks down, and the paper states the per-job bound only for in-trees; the in-tree structure is essential to the argument. Events with several jobs finishing at the same instant, and ties in start times, have to be handled without loss.

Formalization scope

  • Jobs are Fin n, machines Fin m, times real numbers. Processing times and weights are strictly positive. There are no release dates: start times are nonnegative. The paper admits pj=0p_j=0pj​=0 only in lower-bound instances elsewhere; the bounds here assume pj>0p_j>0pj​>0.
  • In-trees are encoded by an immediate-successor map succ : Fin n → Option (Fin n) with no cycles; this covers in-forests, the reading of "in-trees" in Theorem 4.17. The precedence relation is its transitive closure.
  • κ\kappaκ is defined by well-founded recursion on the precedence order, exactly as Definition 4.1 with r≡0r\equiv 0r≡0.
  • One-machine schedules are represented by their precedence-respecting order and are idle-free; with no release dates and positive processing times idle time only delays jobs, so optimality among orders is optimality among one-machine schedules. The optimal one-machine schedule is a hypothesis of the goal; the paper's O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm for computing it (reference [1]) is not formalized, and the running-time claim of Theorem 4.17 is not stated. A separate item asserts that an optimal order exists.
  • List scheduling is specified by two properties that determine Graham's rule up to machine labels: no machine is idle while a ready job waits, and among jobs ready at a start time the earlier one in the list starts first. A separate item asserts that such a schedule exists for every precedence-respecting list, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Optima are never formed as infima: the approximation ratio is stated against every feasible schedule. A statement of the form "there is an algorithm with ratio 2" would be trivial (an optimal schedule exists) and is ruled out: the goal is about the paper's algorithm.
  • The equality ∑iwiκi=COPT∞\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​ in Lemma 4.11 is stated as attainment on nnn machines (as many machines as jobs), which together with the lower bound on every number of machines is the optimum with unboundedly many machines.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the two existence items (Graham's list schedule by event-driven construction; an optimal order over the finite set of linear extensions), of Lemmas 4.10 and 4.11, and of Lemma 4.16. The schedule and list-scheduling definitions are reusable for other parallel-machine results with precedence constraints.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM J. Comput. 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds on multiprocessing timing anomalies, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 17(2):416–429, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1137/0117039
  • W. A. Horn, Single-machine job sequencing with treelike precedence ordering and linear delay penalties, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 23(2):189–202, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1137/0123021
  • D. L. Adolphson, Single machine job sequencing with precedence constraints, SIAM J. Comput. 6(1):40–54, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206002
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling III: From One Machine to Many with Delay ListResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the sum of weighted completion times ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​ is one of the standard objectives of machine scheduling: it measures the average time a job spends in the system, weighted by its importance. With release dates or precedence constraints the problem is NP-hard already on one machine, and on mmm identical parallel machines it is harder still, so the literature of the 1990s concentrated on approximation algorithms. Many of these, including LP-based ones, are naturally designed for a single machine, where an order of the jobs determines the schedule.

Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001) gave a generic way to move from one machine to many. Their §4 describes an algorithm, Delay List, that takes any one-machine schedule as a priority list and produces an mmm-machine schedule, and proves that a ρ\rhoρ-approximate one-machine schedule yields a ((1+β)ρ+1+1/β)\bigl((1+\beta)\rho+1+1/\beta\bigr)((1+β)ρ+1+1/β)-approximate mmm-machine schedule for every β>0\beta>0β>0. The guarantee holds with release dates and arbitrary precedence constraints simultaneously, which at the time gave the best bounds known for several special cases, for example a factor 4 for series-parallel precedence without release dates.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​. Job JjJ_jJj​ has processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0, release date rj≥0r_j\ge 0rj​≥0 and weight wj>0w_j>0wj​>0. Precedence constraints form a strict partial order ≺\prec≺: i≺ji\prec ji≺j means that JjJ_jJj​ may start only after JiJ_iJi​ completes.

A feasible nonpreemptive schedule on mmm machines assigns each job a start time SjS_jSj​ and a machine; each job runs uninterrupted for pjp_jpj​ time units on its machine, two jobs on one machine do not overlap, Sj≥rjS_j\ge r_jSj​≥rj​, and Si+pi≤SjS_i+p_i\le S_jSi​+pi​≤Sj​ whenever i≺ji\prec ji≺j. The completion time is Cj=Sj+pjC_j=S_j+p_jCj​=Sj​+pj​ and the value of the schedule is ∑jwjCj\sum_j w_jC_j∑j​wj​Cj​. A one-machine schedule is the case m=1m=1m=1.

The critical-path length κj\kappa_jκj​ (Definition 4.1) is pj+rjp_j+r_jpj​+rj​ for a job without predecessors and pj+max⁡{max⁡i≺jκi, rj}p_j+\max\{\max_{i\prec j}\kappa_i,\,r_j\}pj​+max{maxi≺j​κi​,rj​} otherwise; it is the earliest time JjJ_jJj​ could complete with unlimited machines.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs. Delay List with parameter β>0\beta>0β>0 processes time continuously. A job is ready once it is released and all its predecessors have completed; qjmq^m_jqjm​ is the time it becomes ready. The head is the first unscheduled job of the list. Idle machine-time is recorded as charged to jobs. Whenever a machine is idle:

  1. if the head is ready, it is started, and charged all uncharged idle time in (qjm,sjm)(q^m_j,s^m_j)(qjm​,sjm​);
  2. otherwise the first ready job JkJ_kJk​ of the list is started as soon as at least βpk\beta p_kβpk​ units of uncharged idle time have accumulated, and is charged βpk\beta p_kβpk​ of it;
  3. otherwise nothing happens.

For a job JiJ_iJi​, BiB_iBi​ is the set of jobs up to and including JiJ_iJi​ in the list, AiA_iAi​ the set after it, Oi⊆AiO_i\subseteq A_iOi​⊆Ai​ the set of jobs of AiA_iAi​ started before JiJ_iJi​, and p(A)=∑k∈Apkp(A)=\sum_{k\in A}p_kp(A)=∑k∈A​pk​. Definition 4.4 builds from the schedule a backward path Pi′P'_iPi′​ ending at JiJ_iJi​, whose length is κi′\kappa'_iκi′​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.13

Let S1S^1S1 be a feasible one-machine schedule of the instance with ∑jwjCj1≤ρ∑jwjCj′\sum_j w_jC^1_j\le\rho\sum_j w_jC'_j∑j​wj​Cj1​≤ρ∑j​wj​Cj′​ for every feasible one-machine schedule C′C'C′. Let m≥2m\ge 2m≥2 and β>0\beta>0β>0. Every Delay List schedule SmS^mSm built on the completion order of S1S^1S1 satisfies, for every feasible mmm-machine schedule NNN,

∑jwjCjm≤((1+β)ρ+1+1β)∑jwjCjN.\sum_j w_jC^m_j\le\Bigl((1+\beta)\rho+1+\frac1\beta\Bigr)\sum_j w_jC^N_j .j∑​wj​Cjm​≤((1+β)ρ+1+β1​)j∑​wj​CjN​.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Fact 4.5: κi′≤κi\kappa'_i\le\kappa_iκi′​≤κi​.
  • Fact 4.6: the idle time charged to JiJ_iJi​ is at most βpi\beta p_iβpi​.
  • Lemma 4.7: no uncharged idle time remains in (qim,sim)(q^m_i,s^m_i)(qim​,sim​), and that idle time is charged only to jobs in BiB_iBi​.
  • Lemma 4.8: the idle time charged to AiA_iAi​ within (0,sim)(0,s^m_i)(0,sim​) is at most m(κi′−pi)m(\kappa'_i-p_i)m(κi′​−pi​), so p(Oi)≤m(κi′−pi)/β≤m(κi−pi)/βp(O_i)\le m(\kappa'_i-p_i)/\beta\le m(\kappa_i-p_i)/\betap(Oi​)≤m(κi′​−pi​)/β≤m(κi​−pi​)/β.
  • Theorem 4.9: Cim≤(1+β)p(Bi)/m+(1+1/β)κi′−pi/βC^m_i\le(1+\beta)p(B_i)/m+(1+1/\beta)\kappa'_i-p_i/\betaCim​≤(1+β)p(Bi​)/m+(1+1/β)κi′​−pi​/β for any list obeying precedence.
  • Lemma 4.10: COPTm≥COPT1/mC^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge C^1_{\mathrm{OPT}}/mCOPTm​≥COPT1​/m.
  • Lemma 4.11: COPTm≥∑iwiκi=COPT∞C^m_{\mathrm{OPT}}\ge\sum_i w_i\kappa_i=C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPTm​≥∑i​wi​κi​=COPT∞​.
  • Corollary 4.12: Cim≤(1+β)Ci1/m+(1+1/β)κiC^m_i\le(1+\beta)C^1_i/m+(1+1/\beta)\kappa_iCim​≤(1+β)Ci1​/m+(1+1/β)κi​ when the list is the completion order of S1S^1S1.

A further item states that a Delay List schedule exists for every instance and every list, so that the goal does not hold vacuously.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.13 turns every one-machine approximation algorithm for weighted completion time with release dates and precedence into an mmm-machine algorithm at a bounded loss. With an optimal one-machine schedule and β=1\beta=1β=1 the factor is 444 (Corollary 4.14, for series-parallel orders), and the bounds are job-by-job (Theorem 4.9, Corollary 4.12), which the paper uses in Remark 4.15 to extend the method to other metrics and to one-machine schedules that ignore release dates. The same algorithm is the engine of the paper's 222\sqrt222​-approximation for parallel machines with release dates (§4.5).

Formalizing it. The theorem has been proved since 1997 (SODA) and 2001 (journal). There is no machine-checked version of it or of any of its lemmas, and the platform currently has no model of scheduling with release dates and precedence constraints. A formalization produces a precise specification of Delay List, whose informal description is given in discrete time and repaired in a remark; a checked proof of the charging argument; and reusable lower bounds (Lemmas 4.10 and 4.11) for any later work on parallel-machine scheduling with precedence.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, list scheduling (start the first available job of the list whenever a machine is free), fails with non-identical processing times: a long job taken out of order can occupy a machine and delay a more valuable job that becomes ready shortly afterwards. Delay List allows out-of-order jobs only against accumulated idle time, and the analysis rests on a charging invariant. Stating it needs care about time (the paper's discrete-time exposition can over-charge by a time unit), about which idle time a charge consumes, and about many jobs being scheduled at one instant. The bound must hold simultaneously for release dates and arbitrary precedence constraints, where idle machines can be forced both by jobs that are not yet released and by chains of predecessors, and it must hold for every tie-breaking choice of the algorithm.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin n, machines Fin m, and times are real numbers. Processing times are positive, release dates nonnegative and weights positive, as in §1. Precedence is a strict partial order, the transitive closure of the paper's DAG; κ\kappaκ, readiness and feasibility are unchanged by taking the closure. The optimum is never a real infimum: "within a factor ρ\rhoρ of an optimal one-machine schedule" and "within a factor ccc of an optimal mmm-machine schedule" are inequalities against every feasible schedule of the same instance, with the same release dates and precedence constraints.

Delay List is formalized in the continuous-time version described in the proof of Fact 4.6, as a predicate on runs that records start times, machines, the order in which jobs are scheduled at equal times, and charge windows. A case-2 charge takes the most recent uncharged idle time, and idle time is charged by whole time slices. Every guarantee is claimed for every run satisfying the predicate. The ties in Definition 4.4 are broken arbitrarily, so statements involving κi′\kappa'_iκi′​ hold for every admissible path. Lemma 4.10 uses nonpreemptive one-machine schedules. Lemma 4.11's COPT∞C^\infty_{\mathrm{OPT}}COPT∞​ is modelled by nnn machines.

It would be trivializing to assume the conclusions of Fact 4.6 or Lemma 4.7 as properties of the run, or to measure ρ\rhoρ against a relaxation without release dates or precedence; both are ruled out. The algorithm's rules are the only hypotheses on the run.

Not stated: the running time of Delay List; the discrete-time algorithm; Corollary 4.14 (it needs a formal class of series-parallel orders and the external one-machine algorithm of Adolphson for them); Remark 4.15 (release-date-free one-machine schedules), whose hypotheses the paper does not pin down; and the extension to delays between jobs. Contributions of general infrastructure, such as idle-time accounting for step functions and lemmas about list schedules under precedence, are welcome and reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM Journal on Computing 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds for certain multiprocessing anomalies, Bell System Technical Journal 45:1563–1581, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1966.tb01709.x
  • D. Adolphson, Single machine job sequencing with precedence constraints, SIAM Journal on Computing 6(1):40–54, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1137/0206002
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Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling II: A 2.83-Approximation for Parallel Machines with Release DatesResearch Paper

Motivation

Minimizing the average completion time of jobs that arrive over time is a basic objective in machine scheduling. It measures how long a job spends in the system on average. With several identical machines, release dates and no preemption (written P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​), the problem is strongly NP-hard already on one machine. Research has therefore looked for approximation algorithms: polynomial-time rules whose total completion time is provably within a constant factor of every feasible schedule.

A common approach solves a relaxation that is easy to optimize and converts its solution into a feasible schedule. Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), 2001) use a relaxation that needs neither linear programming nor dynamic programming: pretend that the mmm machines are one machine that is mmm times as fast, and allow preemption.

Timeline:

  • 1996, Chakrabarti, Phillips, Schulz, Shmoys, Stein and Wein (ICALP 1996, LNCS 1099, pp. 646–657): a (2.89+ϵ)(2.89+\epsilon)(2.89+ϵ)-approximation for P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​.
  • 2001, Chekuri, Motwani, Natarajan and Stein (SIAM J. Comput. 31(1), §3 and §4.5). §3 gives a simple (3−1/m)(3-1/m)(3−1/m)-approximation by list scheduling from the one-machine relaxation. §4.5 combines it with the Delay List conversion to obtain 22≈2.832\sqrt2\approx2.8322​≈2.83. This mission's goal is the §4.5 result.
  • 1999, Afrati, Bampis, Chekuri, Karger, Kenyon, Khanna, Milis, Queyranne, Skutella, Stein and Sviridenko (FOCS 1999, pp. 32–43): polynomial-time approximation schemes for P∣rj∣∑wjCjP|r_j|\sum w_jC_jP∣rj​∣∑wj​Cj​. These settle the approximability, but the algorithms are far more involved than the ones formalized here.

Setting

An instance has nnn jobs J0,…,Jn−1J_0,\dots,J_{n-1}J0​,…,Jn−1​ and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 identical machines. Job JjJ_jJj​ has a processing time pj>0p_j>0pj​>0 and a release date rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0.

A feasible schedule gives each job a start time Sj≥rjS_j\ge r_jSj​≥rj​ and a machine. Job JjJ_jJj​ runs without interruption on its machine during [Sj,Sj+pj)[S_j,S_j+p_j)[Sj​,Sj​+pj​), and two jobs on the same machine never overlap. The completion times are Cj=Sj+pjC_j=S_j+p_jCj​=Sj​+pj​ and the objective is ∑jCj\sum_j C_j∑j​Cj​. Cj∗C^*_jCj∗​ denotes the completion times of an arbitrary feasible schedule, against which every bound is stated.

The one-machine relaxation I1I1I1 has the same jobs and a single machine. Job JjJ_jJj​ has processing time pj/mp_j/mpj​/m and release date rjr_jrj​ in I1I1I1, and may be preempted. A preemptive schedule P1P1P1 of I1I1I1 gives each job a processing rate ρj(t)≥0\rho_j(t)\ge0ρj​(t)≥0. The rates sum to at most 111 at each time, and no job is processed before its release date. Each job receives pj/mp_j/mpj​/m units in total. Its completion time CjP1C^{P1}_jCjP1​ is the first time by which all of it has been processed. P1P1P1 is optimal if ∑jCjP1\sum_j C^{P1}_j∑j​CjP1​ is minimal among all such schedules.

A list is an ordering π\piπ of the jobs, and the completion order of P1P1P1 lists the jobs by nondecreasing CjP1C^{P1}_jCjP1​. Two ways of turning a list into an mmm-machine schedule are compared.

  • Strict-order list scheduling gives the schedule NNN. The jobs start in the order of the list. Each job starts at the earliest time that is no earlier than its release date, no earlier than the previous job's start, and at which some machine is free.
  • Delay List with parameter β>0\beta>0β>0 gives the schedule DDD. When a machine is idle, Delay List starts the first unscheduled job of the list if it has been released. If that job has not been released, the first released job of the list may jump ahead, but only once at least βpj\beta p_jβpj​ units of idle time (machine × time) have accumulated that no earlier job has charged. The job then charges exactly that amount. A job started in list order charges all uncharged idle time since its release.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 4.19

With P1P1P1 optimal, π\piπ its completion order, NNN the strict-order list schedule of π\piπ and DDD a Delay List schedule of π\piπ with β0=3−22\beta_0=\sqrt{3-2\sqrt2}β0​=3−22​​, every feasible schedule satisfies

min⁡(∑jCjN, ∑jCjD)≤22 ∑jCj∗.\min\Bigl(\sum_j C^N_j,\ \sum_j C^D_j\Bigr)\le 2\sqrt2\,\sum_j C^*_j .min(j∑​CjN​, j∑​CjD​)≤22​j∑​Cj∗​.

The printed lemma says 2.832.832.83. Its proof gives 22≈2.82842\sqrt2\approx2.828422​≈2.8284, which is stated here.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. (4.2): if ∑jpj>α∑jCj∗\sum_j p_j>\alpha\sum_j C^*_j∑j​pj​>α∑j​Cj∗​ then ∑jrj≤(1−α)∑jCj∗\sum_j r_j\le(1-\alpha)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​rj​≤(1−α)∑j​Cj∗​.
  2. Lemma 3.1: ∑jCjP1≤∑jCj∗\sum_j C^{P1}_j\le\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjP1​≤∑j​Cj∗​ for P1P1P1 optimal.
  3. (3.3): ∑jCjN≤2∑jCjP1+(1−1/m)∑jpj\sum_j C^N_j\le 2\sum_j C^{P1}_j+(1-1/m)\sum_j p_j∑j​CjN​≤2∑j​CjP1​+(1−1/m)∑j​pj​ for any P1P1P1.
  4. Lemma 3.2: ∑jCjN≤(3−1/m)∑jCj∗\sum_j C^N_j\le(3-1/m)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjN​≤(3−1/m)∑j​Cj∗​.
  5. Theorem 4.9, specialised to no precedence constraints. With BiB_iBi​ the jobs at or before JiJ_iJi​ in the list,
CiD≤(1+β)p(Bi)m+(1+1β)(ri+pi)−piβ.C^D_i\le\frac{(1+\beta)p(B_i)}{m}+\Bigl(1+\frac1\beta\Bigr)(r_i+p_i)-\frac{p_i}{\beta}.CiD​≤m(1+β)p(Bi​)​+(1+β1​)(ri​+pi​)−βpi​​.
  1. Lemma 4.18: ∑jCjD≤(2+β)∑jCj∗+1β∑jrj\sum_j C^D_j\le(2+\beta)\sum_j C^*_j+\frac1\beta\sum_j r_j∑j​CjD​≤(2+β)∑j​Cj∗​+β1​∑j​rj​.
  2. The balanced bound: under (4.2)'s hypothesis, ∑jCjD≤(2+β+(1−α)/β)∑jCj∗\sum_j C^D_j\le(2+\beta+(1-\alpha)/\beta)\sum_j C^*_j∑j​CjD​≤(2+β+(1−α)/β)∑j​Cj∗​.
  3. The constants: at α=22−2\alpha=2\sqrt2-2α=22​−2 and β=3−22\beta=\sqrt{3-2\sqrt2}β=3−22​​, 2+α=2+β+(1−α)/β=222+\alpha=2+\beta+(1-\alpha)/\beta=2\sqrt22+α=2+β+(1−α)/β=22​.

Two existence statements accompany them. One says an optimal P1P1P1 exists. The other says a Delay List schedule exists for every list and every β>0\beta>0β>0.

Significance

The result gives a 222\sqrt222​-approximation for P∣rj∣∑CjP|r_j|\sum C_jP∣rj​∣∑Cj​ that is simple to state and runs in O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) time. It improves the 2.89+ϵ2.89+\epsilon2.89+ϵ bound of Chakrabarti et al. Neither of its two algorithms achieves the ratio alone. It comes from an analysis in which each algorithm is good exactly when the other is bad. List scheduling is good when processing times are small relative to the optimum. Delay List is good when release dates are small. The inequality (4.2) connects the two cases.

The component results are reusable beyond this paper. The one-machine relaxation lower bound (Lemma 3.1) and the (3−1/m)(3-1/m)(3−1/m) bound for list scheduling from it (Lemma 3.2) apply to any conversion from a fast single machine. The per-job bound of Theorem 4.9 is the core of the Delay List technique. Its general form, with precedence constraints, drives the paper's results for precedence-constrained scheduling.

All results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof that this mission knows of. A formalization would check the Delay List charging argument, which the paper states only in discrete time and adapts to continuous time in one sentence. It would also produce reusable Lean definitions of parallel-machine schedules with release dates and of list scheduling.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of the goal is routine once the milestones are in place. The substance lies in two places.

The first is Lemma 3.1 together with the "standard makespan argument" behind (3.2). The one-machine relaxation must be related to the mmm-machine schedule, and to the list schedule, with care about release dates. In particular, in the list schedule every machine is busy between the last release among the first jjj jobs of the list and the start of the jjj-th job. Proving this needs the strict order.

The second, and harder, is Theorem 4.9. The obvious argument bounds the waiting time of job JiJ_iJi​ by the work of the jobs ahead of it, but Delay List lets later jobs jump ahead. The idle time before JiJ_iJi​ starts and the work of the jobs that jump ahead of it must both be controlled, and the paper's charging argument for this depends on where charged idle time lies on the time axis and on which jobs charged it. Making that bookkeeping precise for a continuous-time algorithm is the main formalization cost.

Formalization scope

Jobs are Fin n and machines Fin m with m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Times are real, processing times are positive and release dates nonnegative. There are no weights and no precedence constraints. "Optimal" is never an infimum. Every bound is stated against every feasible nonpreemptive schedule, and P1P1P1's optimality is the hypothesis that its total completion time is at most that of every preemptive schedule of I1I1I1.

Committed conventions:

  • Preemptive schedules of I1I1I1 are rate functions, so the machine of I1I1I1 may be shared. The paper's one-job-at-a-time schedules are a special case.
  • Lists are bijections Fin n ≃ Fin n. A list of P1P1P1 may break ties in completion time in any way, and every such list is covered.
  • NNN is the strict-order variant of list scheduling, which footnote 3 of the paper contrasts with the greedy variant used in §4. It is a recursive definition over list positions.
  • Delay List is the continuous-time algorithm, as adopted in the proof of Fact 4.6. It is a predicate on start times, machines, the scheduling order and charge windows. A job scheduled out of order takes its charge from the most recent uncharged idle time; the paper leaves this placement open. Theorem 4.9 and Lemma 4.18 assume m≥2m\ge2m≥2, the setting of §4.1. The goal assumes only m≥1m\ge1m≥1.
  • The printed Lemma 4.18 lacks a ∑j\sum_j∑j​ on the C∗C^*C∗ term. The summed form of its proof's last display is stated.

The statement cannot be made easy by the hypotheses. Two existence items show that an optimal P1P1P1 and a Delay List schedule always exist, so no statement is vacuous. The bound is against every feasible schedule, not against the relaxation's value.

Not stated: the O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) running time, the on-line version of §3's algorithm, and Delay List with precedence constraints (Theorem 4.9 in general, which is the subject of mission III of this series). Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas on list scheduling with release dates.

Selected references

  • C. Chekuri, R. Motwani, B. Natarajan, C. Stein, Approximation Techniques for Average Completion Time Scheduling, SIAM J. Comput. 31(1):146–166, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539797327180
  • S. Chakrabarti, C. A. Phillips, A. S. Schulz, D. B. Shmoys, C. Stein, J. Wein, Improved scheduling algorithms for minsum criteria, in Proceedings of ICALP 1996, LNCS 1099, Springer, pp. 646–657 (reference [3] of the paper).
  • F. Afrati et al., Approximation schemes for minimizing average weighted completion time with release dates, in Proceedings of the 40th IEEE FOCS, 1999, pp. 32–43 (reference [2] of the paper).
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The Power of Convex Relaxation: Near-Optimal Matrix Completion III: No Method Recovers Incoherent Rank-r Matrices below the Sampling Rate (I.20)Research Paper

Motivation

Matrix completion asks to recover a matrix from a small random subset of its entries. It models collaborative filtering (a ratings table with most entries missing), sensor-network localisation from partial distance data, and system identification. With no structure the task is hopeless, so one assumes the matrix has low rank rrr and that its information is not concentrated in a few entries (incoherence).

Candès and Recht (Found. Comput. Math., 2009) showed that nuclear-norm minimisation recovers such a matrix from about n6/5rlog⁡nn^{6/5} r\log nn6/5rlogn random entries. Candès and Tao (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory, 2010) lowered this to nr polylog(n)n r\,\mathrm{polylog}(n)nrpolylog(n). The same paper also asks how few entries any method could possibly use, and answers it with a lower bound, Theorem 1.7: below about μ0nrlog⁡n\mu_0 n r\log nμ0​nrlogn observed entries, no algorithm can succeed. This mission formalizes that lower bound. The two upper bounds of the same paper are separate missions of this series.

Setting

Work with real n×nn\times nn×n matrices. For a matrix MMM, let U⊆RnU \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nU⊆Rn be its column space and V⊆RnV\subseteq \mathbb{R}^nV⊆Rn its row space, and let PUP_UPU​, PVP_VPV​ be the orthogonal projections onto them. Let eae_aea​ be the aaa-th standard basis vector.

Fix an integer rrr and a real μ0\mu_0μ0​. A matrix MMM has rank at most rrr and obeys the incoherence property with parameter μ0\mu_0μ0​ (the paper's (I.18)) if rank⁡M≤r\operatorname{rank}M \le rrankM≤r and

∥PUea∥2≤μ0rn,∥PVeb∥2≤μ0rnfor all a,b∈[n].\|P_U e_a\|^2 \le \frac{\mu_0 r}{n},\qquad \|P_V e_b\|^2 \le \frac{\mu_0 r}{n}\qquad\text{for all } a,b\in[n].∥PU​ea​∥2≤nμ0​r​,∥PV​eb​∥2≤nμ0​r​for all a,b∈[n].

Since ∑a∥PUea∥2=dim⁡U\sum_a \|P_U e_a\|^2 = \dim U∑a​∥PU​ea​∥2=dimU, a matrix of rank exactly rrr can satisfy this only when μ0≥1\mu_0\ge 1μ0​≥1; the smallest possible value μ0=1\mu_0 = 1μ0​=1 means the column and row spaces are spread evenly over the coordinates.

Bernoulli sampling. Fix m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 and set p=m/n2p = m/n^2p=m/n2. The observed set Ω⊆[n]×[n]\Omega\subseteq[n]\times[n]Ω⊆[n]×[n] contains each entry independently with probability ppp, so mmm is the expected number of observed entries. The sampling operator PΩ\mathcal{P}_\OmegaPΩ​ keeps the entries of a matrix that lie in Ω\OmegaΩ and sets the others to 000. A recovery method sees only PΩ(M)\mathcal{P}_\Omega(M)PΩ​(M).

The sampling conditions are, with the natural logarithm,

m≥n2(1−e−μ0rnlog⁡(n2δ))(I.20)m \ge n^2\left(1 - e^{-\frac{\mu_0 r}{n}\log\left(\frac{n}{2\delta}\right)}\right) \qquad \text{(I.20)}m≥n2(1−e−nμ0​r​log(2δn​))(I.20) m≥(1−ϵ) μ0nrlog⁡(n2δ),ϵ:=12μ0rnlog⁡(n2δ).(I.21)m \ge (1-\epsilon)\,\mu_0 n r\log\left(\frac{n}{2\delta}\right),\qquad \epsilon := \frac12\frac{\mu_0 r}{n}\log\left(\frac{n}{2\delta}\right). \qquad \text{(I.21)}m≥(1−ϵ)μ0​nrlog(2δn​),ϵ:=21​nμ0​r​log(2δn​).(I.21)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.7 (p. 2058)

Fix 1≤m1 \le m1≤m, 1≤r≤n1 \le r \le n1≤r≤n, μ0≥1\mu_0\ge 1μ0​≥1 and 0<δ<1/20<\delta<1/20<δ<1/2, with ℓ:=n/(μ0r)\ell := n/(\mu_0 r)ℓ:=n/(μ0​r) an integer. If (I.20) fails, or (I.21) fails, then

PΩ(there are infinitely many pairs M≠M′ of rank≤r, incoherent with parameter μ0, with PΩ(M)=PΩ(M′)) ≥ δ.\mathbb{P}_\Omega\Bigl(\text{there are infinitely many pairs } M\ne M' \text{ of rank} \le r, \text{ incoherent with parameter } \mu_0, \text{ with } \mathcal{P}_\Omega(M)=\mathcal{P}_\Omega(M')\Bigr) \ \ge\ \delta .PΩ​(there are infinitely many pairs M=M′ of rank≤r, incoherent with parameter μ0​, with PΩ​(M)=PΩ​(M′)) ≥ δ.

On that event, the observations cannot tell MMM from M′M'M′, so no method can recover every such matrix with probability greater than 1−δ1-\delta1−δ. The statement fixes no constant beyond those the paper prints.

Milestones (Section II)

  1. For pairwise disjoint sets of entries S1,…,SnS_1,\dots,S_nS1​,…,Sn​ of size ℓ\ellℓ, P(every Sa is sampled)=(1−(1−p)ℓ)n\mathbb{P}(\text{every } S_a \text{ is sampled}) = (1-(1-p)^\ell)^nP(every Sa​ is sampled)=(1−(1−p)ℓ)n.
  2. For n≥1n\ge1n≥1, π∈[0,1]\pi\in[0,1]π∈[0,1] and 0<δ<1/20<\delta<1/20<δ<1/2: (1−π)n≥1−δ(1-\pi)^n \ge 1-\delta(1−π)n≥1−δ implies π≤2δ/n\pi \le 2\delta/nπ≤2δ/n.
  3. With p=m/n2p = m/n^2p=m/n2 and the theorem's parameters: (1−p)ℓ≤2δ/n(1-p)^\ell \le 2\delta/n(1−p)ℓ≤2δ/n implies (I.20).
  4. 1−e−x>x−x2/21-e^{-x} > x - x^2/21−e−x>x−x2/2 for every x>0x>0x>0 (the paper prints x≥0x\ge0x≥0; see Formalization scope).
  5. The second part of Theorem 1.7: for the theorem's parameters, (I.20) implies (I.21).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.7 shows that the sample complexity nr polylog(n)n r\,\mathrm{polylog}(n)nrpolylog(n) of the paper's upper bounds is close to optimal: about μ0nrlog⁡n\mu_0 n r\log nμ0​nrlogn entries are necessary, however the matrix is reconstructed. The count exceeds the 2nr−r22nr - r^22nr−r2 degrees of freedom of a rank-rrr matrix by the factor μ0log⁡n\mu_0\log nμ0​logn. The logarithm is a coupon-collector effect: every row has to be sampled. The factor μ0\mu_0μ0​ shows that the oversampling grows in proportion to the coherence. The bound is information-theoretic, and it holds even when the rank bound and the coherence are known in advance.

Formalizing it. The theorem and its proof in Section II are published. No machine-checked version is known to exist, and the platform has no lower bound for matrix completion. A formal proof would also check the printed argument, whose steps are compressed. It would yield reusable pieces: a Lean predicate for incoherence of matrices of bounded rank built on Mathlib's orthogonal projections, the independence computation for Bernoulli sampling over disjoint entry sets, and the elementary estimates that turn a success probability into a sampling rate.

Difficulty

The probabilistic and analytic parts are elementary. The difficulty is in building the hard instances as matrices and certifying them. For each observation set one has to exhibit, on an event of probability at least δ\deltaδ, an infinite family of distinct pairs that agree on Ω\OmegaΩ. Every member must have rank at most rrr and meet both incoherence bounds, measured through projections onto its column and row spaces, and the pairs must stay distinct across the family. The paper describes the instances only informally. They have to be pinned down so that whatever distinguishes MMM from M′M'M′ is really invisible on Ω\OmegaΩ, while the incoherence bounds still hold for every admissible μ0≥1\mu_0\ge1μ0​≥1 and r≤nr\le nr≤n. Computing the column space and the projection norms of an explicit matrix in Lean is the main infrastructure cost.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ (the platform's MatrixCompletion.RealMatrix n n). The observation model is the platform's bernoulliEventProb with rate m/n2m/n^2m/n2, the sum over all Ω\OmegaΩ of p∣Ω∣(1−p)n2−∣Ω∣p^{|\Omega|}(1-p)^{n^2-|\Omega|}p∣Ω∣(1−p)n2−∣Ω∣. The sampling operator is the platform's samplingProjection. Logarithms and exponentials are Real.log, Real.exp. The mission's own definitions are IncoherentRankAtMost r μ₀ M (rank at most rrr, with the projection bounds computed from Mathlib's Submodule.starProjection onto the ranges of MMM and M⊤M^\topM⊤ in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n)) and SamplingConditionI20, SamplingConditionI21.

The formalization commits to four readings:

  • Order of quantifiers. The event is "the set of bad pairs is infinite", evaluated for each Ω\OmegaΩ, so the pairs may depend on Ω\OmegaΩ. This is what Section II establishes and what the sentence after the theorem uses. The reading "fixed M≠M′M\ne M'M=M′ with P(PΩ(M)=PΩ(M′))≥δ\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{P}_\Omega(M) = \mathcal{P}_\Omega(M'))\ge\deltaP(PΩ​(M)=PΩ​(M′))≥δ" is a different statement and is not the goal.
  • Integrality of ℓ\ellℓ. The hypothesis that ℓ=n/(μ0r)\ell = n/(\mu_0 r)ℓ=n/(μ0​r) is an integer is the paper's own "without loss of generality" of Section II, and it is stated explicitly. It forces μ0r≤n\mu_0 r \le nμ0​r≤n.
  • "Fix 1≤m,r≤n1\le m, r\le n1≤m,r≤n" is read as 1≤m1\le m1≤m and 1≤r≤n1\le r\le n1≤r≤n. No upper bound on mmm is imposed, since the failure of (I.20) already gives m<n2m<n^2m<n2.
  • Standing assumptions. Section I-H assumes m≥2nrm\ge 2nrm≥2nr and nnn larger than an absolute constant for the rest of the paper. Those assumptions serve the upper bounds. Theorem 1.7 lists its own ranges, and only those are imposed.

The hypothesis "(I.20) fails or (I.21) fails" covers both parts of the theorem. The last sentence of Section II proves the second part from 1−e−x>x−x2/21 - e^{-x} > x - x^2/21−e−x>x−x2/2, which the paper states "whenever x≥0x \ge 0x≥0". At x=0x=0x=0 the two sides are equal, so the strict inequality is false there; milestone 4 states the corrected range x>0x>0x>0, which is all the paper uses, since its x=μ0rnlog⁡n2δx = \frac{\mu_0 r}{n}\log\frac{n}{2\delta}x=nμ0​r​log2δn​ is positive.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. The set of pairs requires M≠M′M\ne M'M=M′, so the diagonal pairs (M,M)(M,M)(M,M) do not count. "Infinitely many" is Set.Infinite of a set of pairs, not "at least one". Incoherence uses the theorem's rrr and the actual column and row spaces, so the class is the paper's. The hypotheses are satisfiable, for example n=4n=4n=4, r=1r=1r=1, μ0=1\mu_0=1μ0​=1, ℓ=4\ell=4ℓ=4, δ=0.1\delta=0.1δ=0.1, m=1m=1m=1.

Contributions are welcome on every milestone. The Bernoulli independence computation and the incoherence predicate can be reused in the other two missions of this series and in any lower bound for sampling problems.

Selected references

  • E. J. Candès and T. Tao, The Power of Convex Relaxation: Near-Optimal Matrix Completion, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 56(5):2053–2080, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2010.2044061
  • E. J. Candès and B. Recht, Exact Matrix Completion via Convex Optimization, Foundations of Computational Mathematics 9(6):717–772, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10208-009-9045-5
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The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts 3: Advance-Purchase Discounts Pareto-Improve Pull Contracts under At-Once Shipping CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

A supplier and a retailer who trade a seasonal product must decide who carries the inventory risk: the stock left unsold, or the demand left unserved, when the season ends. With a push contract the retailer orders everything before the season and bears the risk; with a pull contract he orders during the season from the supplier's stock at a single wholesale price, and the supplier bears it. Cachon (Management Science 50(2), 2004) studies the two and the contract between them, the advance-purchase discount, in which units ordered before the season are cheaper than units ordered during it.

In the base model of that paper, shipping a unit during the season costs the same as shipping it before. In practice orders placed during the season are often smaller and more urgent, and shipping and handling them costs more. §5.1 of the paper adds such a cost and asks whether pull contracts remain attractive. Theorem 8 answers that they are then never Pareto efficient: some advance-purchase discount is better for both firms.

Setting

Demand DDD for the season has law μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR, distribution function FFF and density fff. As in §3 of the paper, F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), F′=fF' = fF′=f on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and the generalized failure rate g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x))g(x) = x f(x)/(1 - F(x))g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x)) is strictly increasing (IGFR). The expected sales from qqq available units are

S(q)=q−∫0qF(x) dx.S(q) = q - \int_0^q F(x)\,dx .S(q)=q−∫0q​F(x)dx.

The retail price is ppp, the unit production cost ccc, the salvage value vvv, with v<c<pv < c < pv<c<p.

A contract is a pair of wholesale prices {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​}. Before production the retailer submits a prebook order of y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 units at w1w_1w1​. The supplier then produces q≥yq \ge yq≥y. During the season, after running out of prebooked stock, the retailer places at-once orders at w2w_2w2​, filled from the supplier's remaining stock. Pull is w1=w2<pw_1 = w_2 < pw1​=w2​<p; an advance-purchase discount is w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​. In §5.1 the supplier pays an extra shipping and handling cost τ>0\tau > 0τ>0 per at-once unit. The profits are

πr(y,q)=−(w1−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2)(S(q)−S(y)),\pi_r(y,q) = -(w_1 - v)y + (p - v)S(y) + (p - w_2)\bigl(S(q) - S(y)\bigr),πr​(y,q)=−(w1​−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2​)(S(q)−S(y)), πs(y,q)=(w1−v)y+(w2−τ−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q.\pi_s(y,q) = (w_1 - v)y + (w_2 - \tau - v)\bigl(S(q) - S(y)\bigr) - (c - v)q .πs​(y,q)=(w1​−v)y+(w2​−τ−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q.

A supplier best response to yyy maximizes πs(y,⋅)\pi_s(y,\cdot)πs​(y,⋅) over q≥yq \ge yq≥y. An outcome of {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} is a pair (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) with qqq a best response to yyy and y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 maximizing πr\pi_rπr​ when every alternative prebook is followed by a best response to it.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

Fix w2<pw_2 < pw2​<p and τ>0\tau > 0τ>0, and suppose the retailer does not prebook under the pull contract {w2,w2}\{w_2, w_2\}{w2​,w2​}: y=0y = 0y=0 is his unique best reply, followed by the supplier's best response q0q_0q0​. Then there is w1w_1w1​ with

c<w1<w2c < w_1 < w_2c<w1​<w2​

such that {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} has an outcome, and every outcome (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) of it satisfies

πr{w1,w2}(y,q)>πr{w2,w2}(0,q0),πs{w1,w2}(y,q)>πs{w2,w2}(0,q0).\pi_r^{\{w_1,w_2\}}(y,q) > \pi_r^{\{w_2,w_2\}}(0,q_0), \qquad \pi_s^{\{w_1,w_2\}}(y,q) > \pi_s^{\{w_2,w_2\}}(0,q_0).πr{w1​,w2​}​(y,q)>πr{w2​,w2​}​(0,q0​),πs{w1​,w2​}​(y,q)>πs{w2​,w2​}​(0,q0​).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (22): for v<w1≤w2≤pv < w_1 \le w_2 \le pv<w1​≤w2​≤p the retailer's profit is concave in yyy and uniquely maximized at yry_ryr​ with F(yr)=(w2−w1)/(w2−v)F(y_r) = (w_2 - w_1)/(w_2 - v)F(yr​)=(w2​−w1​)/(w2​−v), whatever qqq.
  2. Eqs. (20)–(21) with w2−τw_2 - \tauw2​−τ: the supplier's best response to yyy is max⁡{y,qs}\max\{y, q_s\}max{y,qs​} with F(qs)=(w2−τ−c)/(w2−τ−v)F(q_s) = (w_2 - \tau - c)/(w_2 - \tau - v)F(qs​)=(w2​−τ−c)/(w2​−τ−v), independent of w1w_1w1​, and qsq_sqs​ is smaller than without the shipping cost.
  3. §5.1: for fixed w2w_2w2​ the retailer is never worse off with w1≤w2w_1 \le w_2w1​≤w2​ than with w1=w2w_1 = w_2w1​=w2​.
  4. yr(w1)>0y_r(w_1) > 0yr​(w1​)>0 for every w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​.
  5. The derivative of w1↦πs(yr(w1),q)w_1 \mapsto \pi_s(y_r(w_1), q)w1​↦πs​(yr​(w1​),q), where the density at yr(w1)y_r(w_1)yr​(w1​) is positive:
dπs(yr(w1),q)dw1=yr(w1)−(w1−v)−(w2−τ−v)(1−F(yr(w1)))(w2−v)f(yr(w1)).\frac{d\pi_s(y_r(w_1), q)}{dw_1} = y_r(w_1) - \frac{(w_1 - v) - (w_2 - \tau - v)(1 - F(y_r(w_1)))}{(w_2 - v) f(y_r(w_1))}.dw1​dπs​(yr​(w1​),q)​=yr​(w1​)−(w2​−v)f(yr​(w1​))(w1​−v)−(w2​−τ−v)(1−F(yr​(w1​)))​.
  1. yr(w1)→0y_r(w_1) \to 0yr​(w1​)→0 as w1→w2w_1 \to w_2w1​→w2​, and, when fff has a positive right limit f(0)f(0)f(0) at 000, the derivative in 5 tends to −τ/((w2−v)f(0))<0-\tau/((w_2 - v) f(0)) < 0−τ/((w2​−v)f(0))<0.

Significance

Without shipping costs, advance-purchase discounts with w2=pw_2 = pw2​=p coordinate the supply chain (Theorem 7 of the paper, the subject of mission 2 of this series), and a pull contract can lie in the Pareto set among push and pull contracts (Theorem 6, mission 1). Theorem 8 shows that the second fact does not survive an at-once shipping cost of any size: pulling inventory during the season incurs a cost the integrated chain would avoid, and a small discount for early commitment shifts part of the stock to the prebook, where it is cheaper to ship. The Pareto set then no longer consists of a single contract type. The result supports the paper's conclusion that each of its three extensions makes push relatively more attractive than pull.

The theorem is proved in the paper, not formalized anywhere. A formal proof requires making precise two points the paper passes over: what "the retailer does not prebook" means when the retailer could switch to a large prebook once a discount is offered, and why no positive density at 000 is needed. Formalized, the statement also gives a checked account of the prebook game under a two-price contract, reusable for the other extensions of §5.

Difficulty

The paper's argument differentiates the supplier's profit along the retailer's optimal prebook and takes the limit as w1→w2w_1 \to w_2w1​→w2​. That limit involves f(0)f(0)f(0), which the model does not provide: FFF is differentiable only on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and for gamma demand with shape above 111 the density vanishes at 000, so the paper's limit is −∞-\infty−∞. A proof of the goal must therefore not rest on the limit display alone.

The second obstacle is the retailer's global choice. The calculus concerns prebooks yr(w1)y_r(w_1)yr​(w1​) below the supplier's production qsq_sqs​. Once w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​, the retailer might instead prefer a prebook at least qsq_sqs​, turning the chain into push mode, and the outcome would then not be the one the derivative describes. Ruling this out for w1w_1w1​ close to w2w_2w2​ requires the strict form of the premise and a uniform comparison of the two regimes; it is not a local argument at yry_ryr​.

Formalization scope

Demand is a probability measure μ on ℝ with F := ProbabilityTheory.cdf μ, and the standing assumptions of §3 form the predicate DemandModel μ f; differentiability of F is required on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) only, so the exponential law is admitted. Quantities range over [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). Best responses and outcomes are defined as maximizers, not by the closed forms of milestones 1 and 2. All profit formulas are those of §4.5 for w2≤pw_2 \le pw2​≤p, and every statement assumes it. The shipping cost enters only the supplier's at-once net revenue w2−τw_2 - \tauw2​−τ. The prebook function yry_ryr​ in milestones 5 and 6 is a function pinned on (v,w2)(v, w_2)(v,w2​) by Eq. (22), which determines it uniquely.

Readings of the paper's words:

  • "the retailer does not prebook when w1=w2w_1 = w_2w1​=w2​" is read as "y=0y = 0y=0 is the retailer's unique best reply" (every y>0y > 0y>0 gives strictly less); with a tie the conclusion can fail;
  • "profit increases for both" is read as a strict increase for both firms, in every outcome of the discounted contract;
  • the conclusion c<w1c < w_1c<w1​ strengthens "advance-purchase discount" (w1<w2w_1 < w_2w1​<w2​);
  • "reduces the supplier's optimal production" (milestone 2) is a strict decrease; its formula is stated for c≤w2−τc \le w_2 - \tauc≤w2​−τ;
  • "f(0)f(0)f(0)" in milestone 6 is the right limit of fff at 000, assumed positive there only; the positivity of f(yr(w1))f(y_r(w_1))f(yr​(w1​)) in milestone 5 is the hypothesis of the implicit-function step;
  • "never worse off" (milestone 3) compares every outcome of {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} with every outcome of {w2,w2}\{w_2, w_2\}{w2​,w2​}.

A version of the goal that assumed f(0)>0f(0) > 0f(0)>0, assumed yr(w1)<qsy_r(w_1) < q_syr​(w1​)<qs​, compared only one favourably chosen outcome of the discounted contract, or stated either firm's gain with ≥\ge≥, would be weaker than Theorem 8 and is not the target.

A complete development needs the concavity and first-order conditions for SSS, the inverse-function derivative for FFF, and the regime comparison between prebooks below and above qsq_sqs​. The first two are reusable across all newsvendor-type models; contributions proving the milestones in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts, Management Science 50(2):222–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0190
  • M. A. Lariviere, E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4):293–305, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
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The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts 2: Advance-Purchase Discounts Coordinate the Supply ChainResearch Paper

Motivation

A supplier who must produce before a selling season, and a retailer who sells into uncertain demand, have to decide who holds the inventory that may go unsold. Cachon (Management Science 50(2), 2004) studies this allocation of inventory risk using nothing but wholesale prices. With a push contract the retailer orders everything before production and bears all the risk; with a pull contract the retailer orders only during the season and the supplier bears it; an advance-purchase discount sits between the two, offering a lower price for early orders. The paper's introduction contrasts Trek, which holds bicycle inventory and ships to retailers on demand, with O'Neill, which offers retailers a prebook discount for ordering before the season.

The classical view is that wholesale-price contracts cannot coordinate a supply chain: a single wholesale price above marginal cost makes the retailer order too little (the double-marginalization effect). Coordination was known to need richer terms, such as buyback contracts (Pasternack 1985) or revenue sharing (Cachon and Lariviere 2005). This mission formalizes the paper's Theorem 7, which shows that two wholesale prices, one for early and one for in-season orders, suffice both to coordinate the chain and to divide its profit arbitrarily. A companion mission of the same series formalizes Theorem 6, the Pareto set of push and pull contracts alone.

Setting

Demand is a random variable with distribution function FFF and density fff. The paper assumes F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF strictly increasing, and an increasing generalized failure rate (IGFR): g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x))g(x) = x f(x)/(1 - F(x))g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x)) has g′(x)>0g'(x) > 0g′(x)>0. Production costs ccc per unit, the retail price is ppp, and leftover units are salvaged for vvv, with v<c<pv < c < pv<c<p. Expected sales with qqq units available are

S(q)=q−∫0qF(x) dx,S(q) = q - \int_0^q F(x)\,dx,S(q)=q−∫0q​F(x)dx,

and the integrated supply chain's expected profit is Π(q)=(p−v)S(q)−(c−v)q\Pi(q) = (p - v)S(q) - (c - v)qΠ(q)=(p−v)S(q)−(c−v)q. It is maximized at qoq^oqo with F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v)F(q^o) = (p-c)/(p-v)F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v); write Πo=Π(qo)\Pi^o = \Pi(q^o)Πo=Π(qo). The efficiency of a contract is Π(q)/Πo\Pi(q)/\Pi^oΠ(q)/Πo, where qqq is the quantity produced.

A contract is a pair of wholesale prices {w1,w2}\{w_1, w_2\}{w1​,w2​} with w1≤w2w_1 \le w_2w1​≤w2​. The retailer first prebooks y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 units at w1w_1w1​ each. The supplier, seeing yyy, produces q≥yq \ge yq≥y. During the season the retailer sells the prebook and, once it runs out, places at-once orders at w2w_2w2​ per unit from the supplier's remaining stock, provided w2≤pw_2 \le pw2​≤p. The supplier's and retailer's expected profits are

πs(y,q)=(w1−v)y+(w2−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q,\pi_s(y, q) = (w_1 - v)y + (w_2 - v)(S(q) - S(y)) - (c - v)q,πs​(y,q)=(w1​−v)y+(w2​−v)(S(q)−S(y))−(c−v)q, πr(y,q)=−(w1−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2)(S(q)−S(y)),\pi_r(y, q) = -(w_1 - v)y + (p - v)S(y) + (p - w_2)(S(q) - S(y)),πr​(y,q)=−(w1​−v)y+(p−v)S(y)+(p−w2​)(S(q)−S(y)),

with the at-once terms absent when w2>pw_2 > pw2​>p. An outcome of a contract is a pair (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) where qqq maximizes the supplier's profit given yyy, and yyy maximizes the retailer's profit given that he anticipates the supplier's response. The contract classes are push (w1<p<w2w_1 < p < w_2w1​<p<w2​), pull (w1=w2≤pw_1 = w_2 \le pw1​=w2​≤p) and advance-purchase discount (w1<w2≤pw_1 < w_2 \le pw1​<w2​≤p). A contract is Pareto if no outcome of any contract in these classes makes one firm strictly better off and neither firm worse off than one of its own outcomes (p. 224).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

For every w1w_1w1​ with c≤w1≤pc \le w_1 \le pc≤w1​≤p, the contract {w1,p}\{w_1, p\}{w1​,p} has an outcome and is Pareto; every outcome (y,q)(y, q)(y,q) of every Pareto contract satisfies

Π(q)=Πo;\Pi(q) = \Pi^o;Π(q)=Πo;

and for every r∈[0,Πo]r \in [0, \Pi^o]r∈[0,Πo] some contract {w1,p}\{w_1, p\}{w1​,p} with c≤w1≤pc \le w_1 \le pc≤w1​≤p has an outcome with payoffs

(πr,πs)=(r, Πo−r).\bigl(\pi_r, \pi_s\bigr) = \bigl(r,\ \Pi^o - r\bigr).(πr​,πs​)=(r, Πo−r).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (2): Π\PiΠ is concave on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞) and maximized exactly where F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v)F(q^o) = (p-c)/(p-v)F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v).
  2. Eqs. (20)–(21): for c≤w2≤pc \le w_2 \le pc≤w2​≤p, the supplier's best response to yyy is max⁡{y,qs}\max\{y, q_s\}max{y,qs​} with F(qs)=(w2−c)/(w2−v)F(q_s) = (w_2 - c)/(w_2 - v)F(qs​)=(w2​−c)/(w2​−v).
  3. Eq. (22): for c≤w1≤w2≤pc \le w_1 \le w_2 \le pc≤w1​≤w2​≤p, yry_ryr​ with F(yr)=(w2−w1)/(w2−v)F(y_r) = (w_2 - w_1)/(w_2 - v)F(yr​)=(w2​−w1​)/(w2​−v) is the unique maximizer of πr(⋅,q)\pi_r(\cdot, q)πr​(⋅,q).
  4. Eq. (3): in push mode the retailer's optimal prebook solves F(q)=(p−w^1)/(p−v)F(q) = (p - \hat w_1)/(p - v)F(q)=(p−w^1​)/(p−v).

A further draft theorem states the step of the proof in which the retailer's outcome profit along {w1,p}\{w_1, p\}{w1​,p} falls strictly from Πo\Pi^oΠo to 000 as w1w_1w1​ rises from ccc to ppp.

Significance

The theorem identifies a coordinating family inside the simplest contract language there is. Setting the at-once price equal to the retail price gives the supplier exactly the chain's marginal incentive for capacity, so she produces qoq^oqo; the prebook price then acts as a pure transfer. Every division of Πo\Pi^oΠo is reached, so for any bargaining process the Pareto set is fully efficient. This contrasts with Theorem 6 of the same paper, where push and pull contracts alone leave the Pareto set inefficient, and with the buyback and revenue-sharing coordination results (formalized on the platform as Theorems 14.4–14.6 of Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory), which need contract terms beyond wholesale prices.

The result is proved in the paper and has not been machine-checked. The mission produces a formal prebook game (best responses, outcomes and Pareto dominance as optimization statements) and Theorem 7 with all three claims, including the claim about every Pareto contract, which the paper argues in one sentence.

Difficulty

The closed forms are fractile equations, and the obvious argument substitutes them. That argument is incomplete in three places. First, the retailer's anticipated profit is piecewise: below the supplier's own quantity he gets at-once service, above it the chain runs in push mode, and the proof must show the retailer never prefers the push branch when w2=pw_2 = pw2​=p. Second, "every Pareto contract is efficient" is a statement about all contracts, including push and pull, and needs both firms' payoffs to be nonnegative at every outcome of every admissible contract, which depends on the prebook y=0y = 0y=0 always being available and on w1≥cw_1 \ge cw1​≥c. Third, the division claim is surjectivity of the retailer's equilibrium payoff over w1∈[c,p]w_1 \in [c, p]w1​∈[c,p], which needs the solution of F(yr)=(p−w1)/(p−v)F(y_r) = (p - w_1)/(p - v)F(yr​)=(p−w1​)/(p−v) to vary continuously with w1w_1w1​, including at both ends (yr=qoy_r = q^oyr​=qo at w1=cw_1 = cw1​=c, yr=0y_r = 0yr​=0 at w1=pw_1 = pw1​=p).

Formalization scope

Demand is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with FFF = ProbabilityTheory.cdf μ. The standing assumptions are a structure: F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), F′=fF' = fF′=f on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and g′>0g' > 0g′>0 on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞). Differentiability is required only on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), so the exponential distribution, which the paper names as IGFR, is admitted. Theorem 7 does not use IGFR; it is kept so that the series shares one model. Quantities range over [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). qoq^oqo is a parameter with the hypothesis F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v)F(q^o) = (p-c)/(p-v)F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v); its existence is part of milestone 1.

Readings of informal words: "includes all" means every contract {w1,p}\{w_1, p\}{w1​,p} with c≤w1≤pc \le w_1 \le pc≤w1​≤p has an outcome and each of its outcomes is undominated; "the Pareto set coordinates" is stated for every Pareto contract, not only the w2=pw_2 = pw2​=p family; "any division is achievable" is surjectivity onto [0,Πo][0, \Pi^o][0,Πo]; "increasing" in Eq. (2) and "decreases" in the proof are strict; "arg max" in Eqs. (3) and (22) is the unique maximizer; "the optimal production is max⁡{y,qs}\max\{y, q_s\}max{y,qs​}" is an if-and-only-if characterization of the supplier's best responses. At-once orders are submitted exactly when w2≤pw_2 \le pw2​≤p (p. 226, "with push w2>pw_2 > pw2​>p, so at-once orders are never submitted"). Additions to the paper's contract classes: every class requires w1≥cw_1 \ge cw1​≥c (p. 228 sets aside w^1<c\hat w_1 < cw^1​<c as Pareto inferior); pull includes w1=w2=pw_1 = w_2 = pw1​=w2​=p (the paper's remark in the proof) and advance-purchase discounts include w2=pw_2 = pw2​=p (as Theorem 7 names them). Pareto dominance is between payoff pairs of outcomes.

Outcomes are defined as maximizers, not by the closed forms (21)–(22). Defining the outcome of {w1,p}\{w_1, p\}{w1​,p} as (yr,qo)(y_r, q^o)(yr​,qo) would turn the goal into algebra, and is ruled out.

Needed infrastructure: continuity and inverse of a strictly increasing distribution function, concavity of SSS, and first-order conditions on half-lines. The definitions of the prebook game are reusable for Theorem 8 of the same paper. Proofs of the milestones and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts, Management Science 50(2):222–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0190
  • M. A. Lariviere and E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4):293–305, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
  • B. A. Pasternack, Optimal Pricing and Return Policies for Perishable Commodities, Marketing Science 4(2):166–176, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.4.2.166
  • G. P. Cachon and M. A. Lariviere, Supply Chain Coordination with Revenue-Sharing Contracts: Strengths and Limitations, Management Science 51(1):30–44, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1040.0215
  • L. V. Snyder and Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
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The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts 1: The Pareto Set of Push and Pull ContractsResearch Paper

Who bears the inventory risk

A supplier and a retailer trade a product with a single selling season and uncertain demand. Someone has to decide, before demand is known, how many units exist, and someone has to be left holding the units that do not sell. With a push contract the retailer orders (prebooks) before the season and bears all of this risk; with a pull contract the supplier produces to stock and the retailer only orders during the season, so the supplier bears it. Both are single wholesale price contracts, the simplest and most common contracts in practice. Cachon (Management Science 50(2), 2004) asks which of these contracts two negotiating firms could plausibly agree on, independently of how they bargain, and answers it by computing the Pareto set of push and pull contracts together.

Push alone is the "selling to the newsvendor" problem studied by Lariviere and Porteus (MSOM 2001), whose unimodality result this mission uses. The novelty of §4 of Cachon's paper is to put push and pull contracts in one contract space and to show that the Pareto set then contains contracts of both kinds.

Setting

Demand has distribution function FFF and density fff. The paper's standing assumptions (§3, p. 225) are: F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF strictly increasing, and the generalized failure rate g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x))g(x) = x f(x)/(1 - F(x))g(x)=xf(x)/(1−F(x)) strictly increasing (IGFR); the normal, exponential, gamma and Weibull laws qualify. Units cost ccc to produce, sell at the retail price p>cp > cp>c, and are salvaged at v<cv < cv<c.

Expected sales with qqq units available are S(q)=q−∫0qF(x) dxS(q) = q - \int_0^q F(x)\,dxS(q)=q−∫0q​F(x)dx, and the integrated chain earns Π(q)=(p−v)S(q)−(c−v)q\Pi(q) = (p - v)S(q) - (c - v)qΠ(q)=(p−v)S(q)−(c−v)q. It is maximized at the newsvendor quantity qoq^oqo, F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v)F(q^o) = (p - c)/(p - v)F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v), with Πo=Π(qo)\Pi^o = \Pi(q^o)Πo=Π(qo); the efficiency of a contract is Π(q)/Πo\Pi(q)/\Pi^oΠ(q)/Πo.

A contract is described by the quantity qqq it induces.

  • Push at wholesale price w^1\hat w_1w^1​: the retailer prebooks qqq and earns π^r=(p−v)S(q)−(w^1−v)q\hat\pi_r = (p - v)S(q) - (\hat w_1 - v)qπ^r​=(p−v)S(q)−(w^1​−v)q; the supplier earns π^s=(w^1−c)q\hat\pi_s = (\hat w_1 - c)qπ^s​=(w^1​−c)q. The price inducing qqq is w^1(q)=p−(p−v)F(q)\hat w_1(q) = p - (p - v)F(q)w^1​(q)=p−(p−v)F(q), and π^r(q)\hat\pi_r(q)π^r​(q), π^s(q)\hat\pi_s(q)π^s​(q) are the payoffs at that price.
  • Pull at wholesale price w1=w2w_1 = w_2w1​=w2​: the supplier produces qqq and earns πs=(w1−v)S(q)−(c−v)q\pi_s = (w_1 - v)S(q) - (c - v)qπs​=(w1​−v)S(q)−(c−v)q; the retailer earns πr=(p−w1)S(q)\pi_r = (p - w_1)S(q)πr​=(p−w1​)S(q). The inducing price is w1(q)=(c−vF(q))/(1−F(q))w_1(q) = (c - vF(q))/(1 - F(q))w1​(q)=(c−vF(q))/(1−F(q)).

Write j(q)=S(q)/(1−F(q))j(q) = S(q)/(1 - F(q))j(q)=S(q)/(1−F(q)) and h(q)=f(q)/(1−F(q))h(q) = f(q)/(1 - F(q))h(q)=f(q)/(1−F(q)) (the hazard rate). The retailer's preferred pull contract is q∗=arg⁡max⁡πrq^* = \arg\max \pi_rq∗=argmaxπr​ and the supplier's preferred push contract is q^∗=arg⁡max⁡π^s\hat q^* = \arg\max \hat\pi_sq^​∗=argmaxπ^s​.

A contract k′k'k′ Pareto dominates kkk if no firm is worse off and one firm is strictly better off; the Pareto set consists of the contracts no other contract dominates.

A pull contract is only played as pull if the retailer does not prefer to prebook anyway. In the prebook game (§4.5) the retailer prebooks y≥0y \ge 0y≥0 and the supplier then chooses her production Q≥yQ \ge yQ≥y to maximize (w1−v)y+(w2−v)(S(Q)−S(y))−(c−v)Q(w_1 - v)y + (w_2 - v)(S(Q) - S(y)) - (c - v)Q(w1​−v)y+(w2​−v)(S(Q)−S(y))−(c−v)Q. A pull contract survives the push challenge if the retailer's profit is strictly highest at y=0y = 0y=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 with Lemma 5

There is a quantity qPq^PqP, 0<qP<qo0 < q^P < q^o0<qP<qo, the unique positive quantity at which each firm is indifferent between the pull and the push contract, such that

Pareto set={push,pull}×[qP,qo],\text{Pareto set} = \{\text{push}, \text{pull}\} \times [q^P, q^o],Pareto set={push,pull}×[qP,qo],

and every pull contract with q∈[qP,qo]q \in [q^P, q^o]q∈[qP,qo] survives the push challenge.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  • Eqs. (1)–(2), (3), (7): the newsvendor quantity qoq^oqo; the prices w^1(q)\hat w_1(q)w^1​(q), w1(q)w_1(q)w1​(q) induce qqq.
  • Eqs. (5), (9) and Lariviere–Porteus: π^r\hat\pi_rπ^r​ and πs\pi_sπs​ are increasing, π^s\hat\pi_sπ^s​ is unimodal.
  • Lemma 1: j(q)h(q)j(q)h(q)j(q)h(q) is increasing for q>0q > 0q>0. Theorem 2: πr\pi_rπr​ is concave.
  • Theorem 3: πr(q∗)>π^s(q^∗)\pi_r(q^*) > \hat\pi_s(\hat q^*)πr​(q∗)>π^s​(q^​∗), q∗>q^∗q^* > \hat q^*q∗>q^​∗, Π(q∗)>Π(q^∗)\Pi(q^*) > \Pi(\hat q^*)Π(q∗)>Π(q^​∗).
  • Lemma 4: qPq^PqP exists, is the unique positive root of πr=π^r\pi_r = \hat\pi_rπr​=π^r​ and of πs=π^s\pi_s = \hat\pi_sπs​=π^s​, the unique maximizer of πr−π^s\pi_r - \hat\pi_sπr​−π^s​, and qP>q∗q^P > q^*qP>q∗.
  • Eqs. (20)–(21) and Lemma 5: the supplier's reply to a prebook yyy is max⁡{y,qs}\max\{y, q_s\}max{y,qs​}; pull contracts with q≥qPq \ge q^Pq≥qP survive the push challenge.

Significance

The theorem says that when both allocations of inventory risk are on the table, neither firm's preferred contract (q^∗\hat q^*q^​∗ for the supplier, q∗q^*q∗ for the retailer) is Pareto, and the least efficient Pareto contract, qPq^PqP, is more efficient than the least efficient contract of either push-only or pull-only negotiation. In the Pareto set the supplier prefers every pull contract to every push contract and the retailer the reverse, so each firm earns more by bearing the risk itself. The results are proved in the paper, with the calculus informal, the unimodality of π^s\hat\pi_sπ^s​ cited, and half of Theorem 6's proof called "analogous". The mission produces a machine-checked version under exactly stated hypotheses; the IGFR concavity and single-crossing facts (Lemma 1, Theorem 2, Lemma 4) are reusable for other contract analyses. No part of this paper is formalized elsewhere; a related platform statement, Snyder–Shen Theorem 14.3 (SupplyChainTheory.wholesale_supplier_unimodal), is the Lariviere–Porteus lemma under stronger assumptions (nonnegative salvage value, finite mean, a continuous positive density, and only a weakly increasing failure rate).

Difficulty

The comparisons are between functions of different shapes: the supplier's push profit is a margin times a quantity, the retailer's pull profit a margin times expected sales. Signing derivatives needs the monotonicity of j(q)h(q)j(q)h(q)j(q)h(q) (Lemma 1), and that fails to be routine at q→0q \to 0q→0, where FFF need not be differentiable. The set equality compares four profit curves at once, and survival of the push challenge is a statement about a different game, the supplier's best reply to every prebook.

Formalization scope

Demand is a probability measure μ\muμ on R\mathbb RR with FFF = ProbabilityTheory.cdf μ. The predicate DemandModel μ f records F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0, FFF strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞), F′=fF' = fF′=f on (0,∞)(0, \infty)(0,∞), and g′(x)>0g'(x) > 0g′(x)>0 for x>0x > 0x>0. Differentiability is not required at 000: the exponential law has a kink there, and it is the paper's own IGFR example. Prices satisfy v<c<pv < c < pv<c<p; no sign is imposed on vvv. Quantities range over [0,∞)[0, \infty)[0,∞). The paper's qoq^oqo is a parameter characterized by F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v)F(q^o) = (p - c)/(p - v)F(qo)=(p−c)/(p−v), and the first milestone proves it exists and is unique.

Profits are defined in the paper's primitive (quantity, price) forms composed with the inducing prices; the closed forms are milestones, not definitions.

Readings of informal words, each named in the item concerned:

  • "increasing" in Lemma 1 and in Eqs. (2), (5), (9) is strict, as the proofs show; "concave" in Theorem 2 is strict concavity, as the proof shows via Lemma 1.
  • "unimodal" means strictly increasing on [0,q^][0, \hat q][0,q^​] and strictly decreasing on [q^,∞)[\hat q, \infty)[q^​,∞) for some q^>0\hat q > 0q^​>0.
  • Uniqueness in Lemma 4 (i)–(ii) is over q>0q > 0q>0, since all profits vanish at 000. Theorem 3 and Lemma 4 (v) hold for every maximizer, and the maximizers' existence is stated.
  • Theorem 6's "includes all" is set equality, which its proof establishes. The survival conjunct comes from Lemma 5, which the proof's last sentence invokes.
  • "prefers to prebook zero … rather than any positive amount" is strict preference.
  • The contract space is the admissible contracts, q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 with wholesale price in [c,p][c, p][c,p] (equivalently 0≤q≤qo0 \le q \le q^o0≤q≤qo in both modes). This is an explicit addition. The paper restricts prices to w^1<p\hat w_1 < pw^1​<p and w1=w2<pw_1 = w_2 < pw1​=w2​<p and states that contracts with q>qoq > q^oq>qo are Pareto inferior; but w^1<p\hat w_1 < pw^1​<p admits push with q>qoq > q^oq>qo (w^1<c\hat w_1 < cw^1​<c), where the retailer earns over Πo\Pi^oΠo and nothing dominates.
  • Eqs. (20)–(21) are stated for w2>cw_2 > cw2​>c, which is what makes (21) solvable.

The statement does not follow trivially from a degenerate encoding. The demand assumptions are satisfiable, since the exponential law meets them. qoq^oqo, qPq^PqP, q∗q^*q∗ and q^∗\hat q^*q^​∗ are shown to exist inside the statements that use them, and the Pareto set is taken over both modes and every admissible quantity, not only over the claimed interval.

Welcome contributions: basic facts about SSS, jjj and jhjhjh under the demand assumptions, reusable across the series' other two missions.

Selected references

  • G. P. Cachon, The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts, Management Science 50(2):222–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0190
  • M. A. Lariviere and E. L. Porteus, Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 3(4):293–305, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.3.4.293.9971
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalization Bounds in the Predict-then-Optimize Framework III: Strongly Convex Sets Satisfy the Strength PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

In the predict-then-optimize framework, a machine-learning model predicts the cost vector c^\hat cc^ of a linear optimization problem min⁡w∈Sc^⊤w\min_{w\in S}\hat c^\top wminw∈S​c^⊤w, and a decision is made by solving that problem with the prediction. Elmachtoub and Grigas (Smart "Predict, then Optimize", Management Science 2022) proposed judging predictions by the SPO loss, the excess cost of the decision induced by c^\hat cc^ when the true cost is ccc. El Balghiti, Elmachtoub, Grigas and Tewari (arXiv:1905.11488v3) develop generalization bounds for learning with the SPO loss.

The SPO loss is discontinuous in c^\hat cc^: its value jumps where the optimization problem has several optimal solutions. The paper's sharper bounds (its Theorems 4 and 5) therefore replace the SPO loss by a margin SPO loss that is Lipschitz, and they hold whenever the feasible region satisfies a geometric condition called the strength property. This mission formalizes the paper's first class of feasible regions for which that condition holds: strongly convex sets, such as Euclidean balls and ℓq\ell_qℓq​ balls with q∈(1,2]q\in(1,2]q∈(1,2].

Setting

Let EEE be a finite-dimensional real vector space with a norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (the paper's Rd\mathbb R^dRd with a generic norm). A cost vector is a linear functional ccc on EEE; its value at www is written c⊤wc^\top wc⊤w, and its dual norm is ∥c∥∗=max⁡∥w∥≤1c⊤w\|c\|_*=\max_{\|w\|\le1}c^\top w∥c∥∗​=max∥w∥≤1​c⊤w. The closed ball of radius rrr around wˉ\bar wwˉ is B(wˉ,r)={w:∥w−wˉ∥≤r}B(\bar w,r)=\{w:\|w-\bar w\|\le r\}B(wˉ,r)={w:∥w−wˉ∥≤r}.

The feasible region S⊆ES\subseteq ES⊆E is nonempty, compact and convex. An optimization oracle is any map w∗w^*w∗ with w∗(c^)∈Sw^*(\hat c)\in Sw∗(c^)∈S and c^⊤w∗(c^)≤c^⊤w\hat c^\top w^*(\hat c)\le\hat c^\top wc^⊤w∗(c^)≤c^⊤w for all w∈Sw\in Sw∈S; no tie-breaking rule is fixed.

  • The degenerate set C∘\mathcal C^\circC∘ consists of the cost vectors c^\hat cc^ for which min⁡w∈Sc^⊤w\min_{w\in S}\hat c^\top wminw∈S​c^⊤w has more than one optimal solution.
  • The distance to degeneracy is νS(c^)=inf⁡c∈C∘∥c−c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)=\inf_{c\in\mathcal C^\circ}\|c-\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)=infc∈C∘​∥c−c^∥∗​.
  • SSS satisfies the strength property with parameter μ>0\mu>0μ>0 if, for all cost vectors c^\hat cc^ and all w∈Sw\in Sw∈S,
c^⊤(w−w∗(c^)) ≥ (μ νS(c^)2)∥w−w∗(c^)∥2.\hat c^\top\big(w-w^*(\hat c)\big)\ \ge\ \Big(\frac{\mu\,\nu_S(\hat c)}{2}\Big)\|w-w^*(\hat c)\|^2 .c^⊤(w−w∗(c^)) ≥ (2μνS​(c^)​)∥w−w∗(c^)∥2.
  • The normal cone of SSS at wˉ∈S\bar w\in Swˉ∈S is NS(wˉ)={c:c⊤(w−wˉ)≤0 for all w∈S}N_S(\bar w)=\{c: c^\top(w-\bar w)\le0 \text{ for all } w\in S\}NS​(wˉ)={c:c⊤(w−wˉ)≤0 for all w∈S}.
  • For μˉ≥0\bar\mu\ge0μˉ​≥0, a convex set SSS is μˉ\bar\muμˉ​-strongly convex if for all w1,w2∈Sw_1,w_2\in Sw1​,w2​∈S and λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1],
B(λw1+(1−λ)w2, (μˉ2)λ(1−λ)∥w1−w2∥2)⊆S.B\Big(\lambda w_1+(1-\lambda)w_2,\ \Big(\frac{\bar\mu}{2}\Big)\lambda(1-\lambda)\|w_1-w_2\|^2\Big)\subseteq S .B(λw1​+(1−λ)w2​, (2μˉ​​)λ(1−λ)∥w1​−w2​∥2)⊆S.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7, strength claim (p. 23)

If SSS is compact, not a singleton, and μˉ\bar\muμˉ​-strongly convex for some μˉ>0\bar\mu>0μˉ​>0, then for every oracle w∗w^*w∗,

c^⊤(w−w∗(c^)) ≥ (μˉ νS(c^)2)∥w−w∗(c^)∥2for all w∈S, c^.\hat c^\top\big(w-w^*(\hat c)\big)\ \ge\ \Big(\frac{\bar\mu\,\nu_S(\hat c)}{2}\Big)\|w-w^*(\hat c)\|^2\qquad\text{for all } w\in S,\ \hat c .c^⊤(w−w∗(c^)) ≥ (2μˉ​νS​(c^)​)∥w−w∗(c^)∥2for all w∈S, c^.

The strength parameter equals the strong convexity constant.

Milestones

  1. Maximum over a ball (Appendix D.1, p. 35): for r≥0r\ge0r≥0, max⁡w~∈B(w^,r)c⊤w~=c⊤w^+r∥c∥∗\max_{\tilde w\in B(\hat w,r)}c^\top\tilde w=c^\top\hat w+r\|c\|_*maxw~∈B(w^,r)​c⊤w~=c⊤w^+r∥c∥∗​.
  2. Proposition 1 (Vial 1983; p. 23): for a μˉ\bar\muμˉ​-strongly convex set with μˉ≥0\bar\mu\ge0μˉ​≥0 and every wˉ∈S\bar w\in Swˉ∈S,
NS(wˉ)={c:c⊤(w−wˉ)≤−(μˉ2)∥c∥∗∥w−wˉ∥2 for all w∈S}.N_S(\bar w)=\Big\{c: c^\top(w-\bar w)\le-\Big(\frac{\bar\mu}{2}\Big)\|c\|_*\|w-\bar w\|^2\ \text{for all } w\in S\Big\}.NS​(wˉ)={c:c⊤(w−wˉ)≤−(2μˉ​​)∥c∥∗​∥w−wˉ∥2 for all w∈S}.
  1. Degenerate set (proof of Theorem 7, p. 24): under the hypotheses of the goal, C∘={0}\mathcal C^\circ=\{0\}C∘={0}.
  2. Theorem 7, first claim (p. 23): under the same hypotheses, νS(c^)=∥c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)=\|\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)=∥c^∥∗​ for every c^\hat cc^.

Significance

Theorem 7 is what makes the paper's margin-based bounds usable for a concrete family of feasible regions. It says two things: the strength property holds with μ=μˉ\mu=\bar\muμ=μˉ​, so the Lipschitz constants in the margin analysis are explicit; and νS(c^)=∥c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)=\|\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)=∥c^∥∗​, so the margin of a prediction, and with it the empirical margin SPO loss, is as easy to compute as a dual norm. Combined with bounds on the multivariate Rademacher complexity, this gives generalization bounds for strongly convex regions whose dependence on the dimension improves on the paper's Natarajan-dimension bound. In dimension one it recovers the classical margin bounds for binary classification (Example 7, p. 24).

The results are proved in the paper; Proposition 1 is due to Vial (1983). None of them has a machine-checked proof known to this mission, and Mathlib has no notion of a strongly convex set (its StrongConvexOn concerns functions). The mission produces a formal definition of strongly convex sets for a general norm, the normal-cone characterization, and the connection to the predict-then-optimize strength property. It is one of four missions on this paper; the margin-based generalization bound itself is the subject of mission II, and polyhedral regions of mission IV.

Difficulty

Definition 5 speaks about balls around convex combinations, while Proposition 1 is a pointwise inequality with the exact constant μˉ/2\bar\mu/2μˉ​/2. Evaluating the ball inclusion at any single convex combination loses that constant, since the admissible radius and the displacement of the centre both shrink with the mixing weight. Relating a ball to a linear functional also requires the maximum of c⊤wc^\top wc⊤w over a ball to be attained and equal to c⊤w^+r∥c∥∗c^\top\hat w+r\|c\|_*c⊤w^+r∥c∥∗​, a fact about dual norms whose attainment depends on finite dimensionality.

For νS(c^)=∥c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)=\|\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)=∥c^∥∗​, comparing c^\hat cc^ with 0∈C∘0\in\mathcal C^\circ0∈C∘ gives only the inequality νS(c^)≤∥c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)\le\|\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)≤∥c^∥∗​; equality needs every nonzero cost vector to have a unique minimizer over SSS. The oracle minimizes, whereas the normal cone is written for maximizers, so the signs in (5) and (8) do not match directly and are a common source of error.

Formalization scope

  • EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space with an arbitrary norm. Cost vectors are continuous linear functionals (StrongDual ℝ E), so c⊤wc^\top wc⊤w is c w and the operator norm is the dual norm; balls are Metric.closedBall.
  • The feasible region carries the paper's standing assumptions (§2, p. 5): compact, and convex (as part of the strongly convex set predicate). Nonemptiness follows from the hypothesis that SSS is not a singleton, stated as S.Nontrivial. Proposition 1 and the ball identity carry no compactness hypothesis, as in the paper.
  • The oracle is quantified over: the goal holds for every map selecting a minimizer.
  • νS\nu_SνS​ is Metric.infDist to the degenerate set; the parameter conditions μ>0\mu>0μ>0 and μˉ≥0\bar\mu\ge0μˉ​≥0 are hypotheses of the theorems, not parts of the predicates.
  • The strongly convex set predicate includes convexity and quantifies λ\lambdaλ over [0,1][0,1][0,1] only. Without the non-singleton hypothesis the theorem is false: a singleton is strongly convex for every μˉ\bar\muμˉ​, has no degenerate cost vector, and has νS≡0≠∥c^∥∗\nu_S\equiv0\ne\|\hat c\|_*νS​≡0=∥c^∥∗​. A formalization that drops that hypothesis, quantifies λ\lambdaλ over all reals (which empties the ball for λ∉[0,1]\lambda\notin[0,1]λ∈/[0,1]), or fixes a specific oracle is not this theorem.
  • Reusable beyond this mission: the strongly convex set predicate and the normal-cone characterization (relevant to Frank–Wolfe analyses over strongly convex sets), and the identity for the maximum of a linear functional over a ball. Proofs of any milestone, and lemmas giving examples of strongly convex sets (Euclidean balls), are welcome.

Selected references

  • O. El Balghiti, A. N. Elmachtoub, P. Grigas, A. Tewari, Generalization Bounds in the Predict-then-Optimize Framework, arXiv:1905.11488v3, 2022 (Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.11488
  • A. N. Elmachtoub, P. Grigas, Smart "Predict, then Optimize", Management Science 68(1), 2022. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3922
  • J.-P. Vial, Strong and weak convexity of sets and functions, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(2), 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.2.231
  • D. Garber, E. Hazan, Faster rates for the Frank–Wolfe method over strongly-convex sets, ICML 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1406.1305
  • M. Journée, Y. Nesterov, P. Richtárik, R. Sepulchre, Generalized power method for sparse principal component analysis, JMLR 11, 2010. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v11/journee10a.html
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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Generalization Bounds in the Predict-then-Optimize Framework II: Margin-Based Generalization Bound for the SPO Loss under the Strength PropertyResearch Paper

Motivation

In the predict-then-optimize paradigm a model first predicts the cost vector of a linear optimization problem from contextual features, and the prediction is then fed to an optimization solver that returns a decision. Examples include routing with predicted travel times and portfolio choice with predicted returns. The quality of a prediction is judged by the decision it produces. The Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO) loss of Elmachtoub and Grigas (Management Science 2022) measures exactly that: the excess cost of acting on the prediction instead of on the true cost vector.

El Balghiti, Elmachtoub, Grigas and Tewari (arXiv:1905.11488v3) ask when a model with small empirical SPO loss also has small expected SPO loss. The SPO loss is non-convex and discontinuous, so standard Lipschitz-contraction arguments do not apply to it directly. Their Section 4 introduces a margin version of the SPO loss, in the spirit of the margin theory of Koltchinskii and Panchenko (Ann. Statist. 2002) for classification. They show that it is Lipschitz under a geometric condition on the feasible region, and derive a generalization bound in terms of the multivariate Rademacher complexity of the hypothesis class. This mission formalizes that bound.

Setting

Decisions live in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with a norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥; cost vectors are linear functionals with the dual norm ∥c∥∗=max⁡∥w∥≤1c⊤w\|c\|_*=\max_{\|w\|\le1}c^\top w∥c∥∗​=max∥w∥≤1​c⊤w. The feasible region S⊆RdS\subseteq\mathbb R^dS⊆Rd is nonempty, compact and convex, and throughout Section 4 it is not a singleton. An optimization oracle w∗w^*w∗ maps each cost vector ccc to some minimizer w∗(c)∈arg⁡min⁡w∈Sc⊤ww^*(c)\in\arg\min_{w\in S}c^\top ww∗(c)∈argminw∈S​c⊤w. The SPO loss of a prediction c^\hat cc^ against the realized cost ccc is

ℓSPO(c^,c)=c⊤w∗(c^)−c⊤w∗(c),\ell_{\rm SPO}(\hat c,c)=c^\top w^*(\hat c)-c^\top w^*(c),ℓSPO​(c^,c)=c⊤w∗(c^)−c⊤w∗(c),

and the linear optimization gap is ωS(c)=max⁡w∈Sc⊤w−min⁡w∈Sc⊤w\omega_S(c)=\max_{w\in S}c^\top w-\min_{w\in S}c^\top wωS​(c)=maxw∈S​c⊤w−minw∈S​c⊤w, with ωS(C)=sup⁡c∈CωS(c)\omega_S(\mathcal C)=\sup_{c\in\mathcal C}\omega_S(c)ωS​(C)=supc∈C​ωS​(c) and ρ2(C)=sup⁡c∈C∥c∥2\rho_2(\mathcal C)=\sup_{c\in\mathcal C}\|c\|_2ρ2​(C)=supc∈C​∥c∥2​ for the set C\mathcal CC of possible true costs.

A cost vector is degenerate if min⁡w∈Sc^⊤w\min_{w\in S}\hat c^\top wminw∈S​c^⊤w has more than one optimal solution; C∘\mathcal C^\circC∘ is the set of degenerate costs. The distance to degeneracy is νS(c^)=inf⁡c∈C∘∥c−c^∥∗\nu_S(\hat c)=\inf_{c\in\mathcal C^\circ}\|c-\hat c\|_*νS​(c^)=infc∈C∘​∥c−c^∥∗​. The region SSS has the strength property with parameter μ>0\mu>0μ>0 if

c^⊤(w−w∗(c^))≥μ νS(c^)2 ∥w−w∗(c^)∥2for all w∈S and all c^.\hat c^\top\big(w-w^*(\hat c)\big)\ge\frac{\mu\,\nu_S(\hat c)}{2}\,\|w-w^*(\hat c)\|^2\qquad\text{for all }w\in S\text{ and all }\hat c .c^⊤(w−w∗(c^))≥2μνS​(c^)​∥w−w∗(c^)∥2for all w∈S and all c^.

For γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 the γ\gammaγ-margin SPO loss ℓSPOγ(c^,c)\ell^\gamma_{\rm SPO}(\hat c,c)ℓSPOγ​(c^,c) equals ℓSPO(c^,c)\ell_{\rm SPO}(\hat c,c)ℓSPO​(c^,c) when νS(c^)>γ\nu_S(\hat c)>\gammaνS​(c^)>γ and νS(c^)γℓSPO(c^,c)+(1−νS(c^)γ)ωS(c)\frac{\nu_S(\hat c)}{\gamma}\ell_{\rm SPO}(\hat c,c)+\big(1-\frac{\nu_S(\hat c)}{\gamma}\big)\omega_S(c)γνS​(c^)​ℓSPO​(c^,c)+(1−γνS​(c^)​)ωS​(c) otherwise. It dominates the SPO loss.

Data (x,c)(x,c)(x,c) are drawn from a distribution D\mathcal DD on features X\mathcal XX and costs in C\mathcal CC, and H\mathcal HH is a class of prediction functions f:X→Rdf:\mathcal X\to\mathbb R^df:X→Rd. The SPO risk is RSPO(f)=ED[ℓSPO(f(x),c)]R_{\rm SPO}(f)=\mathbb E_{\mathcal D}[\ell_{\rm SPO}(f(x),c)]RSPO​(f)=ED​[ℓSPO​(f(x),c)] and the empirical margin risk is R^SPOγ(f)=1n∑iℓSPOγ(f(xi),ci)\hat R^\gamma_{\rm SPO}(f)=\frac1n\sum_i\ell^\gamma_{\rm SPO}(f(x_i),c_i)R^SPOγ​(f)=n1​∑i​ℓSPOγ​(f(xi​),ci​). The multivariate empirical Rademacher complexity is R^n(H)=Eσ[sup⁡f∈H1n∑iσi⊤f(xi)]\hat{\mathfrak R}^n(\mathcal H)=\mathbb E_{\boldsymbol\sigma}\big[\sup_{f\in\mathcal H}\frac1n\sum_i\boldsymbol\sigma_i^\top f(x_i)\big]R^n(H)=Eσ​[supf∈H​n1​∑i​σi⊤​f(xi​)] with i.i.d. Rademacher vectors σi∈{±1}d\boldsymbol\sigma_i\in\{\pm1\}^dσi​∈{±1}d, and Rn(H)\mathfrak R^n(\mathcal H)Rn(H) is its expectation over the sample.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4, second display (pp. 19–20)

In the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ set-up, under the strength property with μ>0\mu>0μ>0 and for fixed γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, for every δ>0\delta>0δ>0, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ over an i.i.d. sample of size nnn, for all f∈Hf\in\mathcal Hf∈H:

RSPO(f)≤R^SPOγ(f)+(22ρ2(C)+22μ ωS(C)γμ)Rn(H)+ωS(C)log⁡(1/δ)2n.R_{\rm SPO}(f)\le\hat R^\gamma_{\rm SPO}(f)+\Big(\frac{2\sqrt2\rho_2(\mathcal C)+2\sqrt2\mu\,\omega_S(\mathcal C)}{\gamma\mu}\Big)\mathfrak R^n(\mathcal H)+\omega_S(\mathcal C)\sqrt{\frac{\log(1/\delta)}{2n}} .RSPO​(f)≤R^SPOγ​(f)+(γμ22​ρ2​(C)+22​μωS​(C)​)Rn(H)+ωS​(C)2nlog(1/δ)​​.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3(a): ∥w∗(c^1)−w∗(c^2)∥≤∥c^1−c^2∥∗μmin⁡{νS(c^1),νS(c^2)}\|w^*(\hat c_1)-w^*(\hat c_2)\|\le\frac{\|\hat c_1-\hat c_2\|_*}{\mu\min\{\nu_S(\hat c_1),\nu_S(\hat c_2)\}}∥w∗(c^1​)−w∗(c^2​)∥≤μmin{νS​(c^1​),νS​(c^2​)}∥c^1​−c^2​∥∗​​.
  2. Theorem 3(b): the same Lipschitz-like bound for ℓSPO(⋅,c)\ell_{\rm SPO}(\cdot,c)ℓSPO​(⋅,c), with an extra factor ∥c∥∗\|c\|_*∥c∥∗​.
  3. Theorem 3(c): ℓSPOγ(⋅,c)\ell^\gamma_{\rm SPO}(\cdot,c)ℓSPOγ​(⋅,c) is ∥c∥∗+μ ωS(c)γμ\frac{\|c\|_*+\mu\,\omega_S(c)}{\gamma\mu}γμ∥c∥∗​+μωS​(c)​-Lipschitz for the dual norm.
  4. Eq. (7) with C=2C=\sqrt2C=2​ (Maurer's vector contraction inequality): for LLL-Lipschitz Φi\Phi_iΦi​ on Euclidean Rd\mathbb R^dRd,
Eσ[sup⁡f∈H1n∑iσiΦi(f(xi))]≤2L R^n(H).\mathbb E_\sigma\Big[\sup_{f\in\mathcal H}\frac1n\sum_i\sigma_i\Phi_i(f(x_i))\Big]\le\sqrt2L\,\hat{\mathfrak R}^n(\mathcal H).Eσ​[f∈Hsup​n1​i∑​σi​Φi​(f(xi​))]≤2​LR^n(H).
  1. Theorem 4, first display: for any fixed sample with costs in C\mathcal CC,
R^γSPOn(H)≤(2ρ2(C)+2μ ωS(C)γμ)R^n(H).\hat{\mathfrak R}^n_{\gamma\rm SPO}(\mathcal H)\le\Big(\frac{\sqrt2\rho_2(\mathcal C)+\sqrt2\mu\,\omega_S(\mathcal C)}{\gamma\mu}\Big)\hat{\mathfrak R}^n(\mathcal H).R^γSPOn​(H)≤(γμ2​ρ2​(C)+2​μωS​(C)​)R^n(H).

Theorem 3 is stated for a general norm, as in the paper. Eq. (7), Theorem 4 and the goal are Euclidean. The paper's Theorem 5 (p. 20), a version of the goal uniform over γ∈(0,γˉ]\gamma\in(0,\bar\gamma]γ∈(0,γˉ​], is not part of this mission.

Significance

The bound replaces the loss-class complexity of the SPO loss, which is controlled only through combinatorial dimensions (Natarajan dimension in the polyhedral case, Section 3 of the paper), by the multivariate Rademacher complexity of H\mathcal HH itself. For norm-bounded linear hypothesis classes this complexity has mild, even logarithmic, dependence on the dimensions ppp and ddd (Section 4.4). The result applies to every feasible region with the strength property. By Section 5 of the paper these include strongly convex sets and polytopes, where νS\nu_SνS​ can also be computed. When most predictions stay far from degeneracy, R^SPOγ≈R^SPO\hat R^\gamma_{\rm SPO}\approx\hat R_{\rm SPO}R^SPOγ​≈R^SPO​ and the bound is much sharper than the combinatorial one. It is also a strict generalization of margin bounds for binary classification (Example 7).

The theorem is proved in the paper, which imports two external tools without proof: the Rademacher generalization bound of Bartlett and Mendelson, applied to the margin loss, and Maurer's inequality. To our knowledge none of these results has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a checked proof of the margin bound and a Lean statement of Maurer's inequality. It also formalizes the strength property and the Lipschitz estimates of Theorem 3, which the companion missions on strongly convex sets and polytopes rely on.

Difficulty

The SPO loss is discontinuous in c^\hat cc^ at degenerate predictions. The standard route, scalar Ledoux–Talagrand contraction applied to the loss class, therefore fails at the first step. It would fail even for a Lipschitz loss, because it relates the loss class only to a scalar class, and H\mathcal HH is vector valued. Lipschitz continuity of the margin loss needs the oracle to be stable away from C∘\mathcal C^\circC∘. Convexity and compactness of SSS alone do not give that: for an ℓp\ell_pℓp​ ball with 2<p<∞2<p<\infty2<p<∞ the strength property fails for every μ>0\mu>0μ>0 (p. 14). The vector contraction inequality of Maurer (2016) is a nontrivial probabilistic inequality, and its constant 2\sqrt22​ must not depend on the dimension ddd. The final concentration step is McDiarmid's inequality for a supremum over a possibly uncountable class, which in a formal proof needs measurability of that supremum.

Formalization scope

The decision space is a finite-dimensional real normed space E. Cost vectors and predictions are continuous linear functionals, StrongDual ℝ E, whose operator norm is the paper's dual norm. In the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ statements E = EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), where the dual norm is Euclidean. Every statement carries the standing assumptions: SSS nonempty, compact, convex and not a singleton, an arbitrary oracle (no tie-breaking rule), and μ>0\mu>0μ>0, γ>0\gamma>0γ>0. The Lipschitz-like bounds of Theorem 3(a)–(b) are stated multiplied out, because the paper reads 1/01/01/0 as +∞+\infty+∞. Expectations over signs are finite averages over sign patterns. ωS(C)\omega_S(\mathcal C)ωS​(C) and ρ2(C)\rho_2(\mathcal C)ρ2​(C) are suprema over a nonempty bounded C\mathcal CC containing the cost almost surely. "With probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ" is the statement that the outer Dn\mathcal D^nDn-measure of the failure event is at most δ\deltaδ.

Added hypotheses, all disclosed in the statements: the multivariate Rademacher sums are bounded above (almost surely in the goal) and R^n(H)\hat{\mathfrak R}^n(\mathcal H)R^n(H) is integrable, since otherwise Lean's junk value 000 would replace an infinite complexity and make the bound false rather than vacuous. Hypotheses fff and ℓSPO(f(x),c)\ell_{\rm SPO}(f(x),c)ℓSPO​(f(x),c) measurable, and the uniform deviation and margin Rademacher suprema a.e.-measurable, are also added; the paper is silent on measurability. A singleton SSS would make C∘\mathcal C^\circC∘ empty and the strength property hold for free; this is excluded explicitly, so the strength property is not vacuous.

A complete development needs the Bartlett–Mendelson symmetrization bound for bounded losses, McDiarmid's inequality, Maurer's inequality, and the Lipschitz and distance-to-degeneracy facts of Section 4.1. Maurer's inequality and the multivariate Rademacher complexity are reusable across vector-valued learning theory. Proofs of any milestone, and of Maurer's inequality in particular, are welcome.

Selected references

  • O. El Balghiti, A. N. Elmachtoub, P. Grigas, A. Tewari, Generalization Bounds in the Predict-then-Optimize Framework, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; preprint arXiv:1905.11488v3, 2022. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.11488
  • A. N. Elmachtoub, P. Grigas, Smart "Predict, then Optimize", Management Science 68(1), 2022. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3922
  • A. Maurer, A Vector-Contraction Inequality for Rademacher Complexities, Algorithmic Learning Theory (ALT), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1605.00251
  • P. L. Bartlett, S. Mendelson, Rademacher and Gaussian Complexities: Risk Bounds and Structural Results, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3, 2002. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/bartlett02a.html
  • V. Koltchinskii, D. Panchenko, Empirical Margin Distributions and Bounding the Generalization Error of Combined Classifiers, Annals of Statistics 30(1), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1015362183
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Local Search Heuristics for k-Median and Facility Location Problems IV: Local Search with Multi-Copy Moves for Capacitated Facility Location Has Locality Gap 4Research Paper

Motivation

Facility location asks where to open service points (warehouses, plants, servers) and how to connect customers to them so that the total opening cost plus the total connection cost is minimum. In the capacitated version each facility can serve only a limited number of customers, which is the situation in most applications: a warehouse has a floor area, a server a bandwidth. The problem is NP-hard, and the algorithms used in practice for it are often simple local search heuristics: start from a solution and repeatedly apply a small change that lowers the cost, until no such change exists.

The quality of such a heuristic is measured by its locality gap: the largest possible ratio between the cost of a solution that no allowed change can improve and the cost of an optimum solution. Arya, Garg, Khandekar, Meyerson, Munagala and Pandit (SIAM J. Comput. 33(3), 2004) gave locality-gap analyses for k-median, uncapacitated facility location, and the capacitated problem in which several copies of a facility may be opened. This mission formalizes their §5, the capacitated case.

Timeline (as surveyed on pp. 545–546 of the paper). For the variant 1-CFL, where at most one facility may be opened at each location, Korupolu, Plaxton and Rajaraman (1998) showed that local search with add, drop and swap moves has locality gap at most 8 when capacities are uniform; Chudak and Williamson (IPCO 1999) refined this to 6, and Pál, Tardos and Wexler gave a local search with gap 9 for nonuniform capacities. For ∞-CFL, the variant with copies studied here, the known algorithms were LP-based: a 3-approximation of Chudak and Shmoys (1999) for uniform capacities, a 4-approximation of Jain and Vazirani for nonuniform capacities, and a 2-approximation of Mahdian, Ye and Zhang. Arya et al. (2004) analysed local search for ∞-CFL with nonuniform capacities: with a new move that drops any set of open copies and opens several copies of one facility, the locality gap is at most 4 (Theorem 5.5), and scaling the facility costs gives 2+3+ϵ2 + \sqrt3 + \epsilon2+3​+ϵ (p. 561). The tight example for uncapacitated facility location (§4.3) also shows a locally optimum solution of cost 3 times the optimum, so the locality gap of the procedure lies between 3 and 4; its exact value was left open (§6).

Setting

An instance consists of a finite set CCC of clients, a set FFF of facilities and a distance ccc on C∪FC \cup FC∪F that is nonnegative, symmetric and satisfies the triangle inequality; cjic_{ji}cji​ is the cost of serving client jjj from facility iii. Every facility iii has an opening cost fi≥0f_i \ge 0fi​≥0 and an integer capacity ui>0u_i > 0ui​>0. Any number of copies of a facility may be opened; each copy of iii costs fif_ifi​ and serves at most uiu_iui​ clients.

A solution XXX opens a finite list of copies, copy sss being a copy of facility loc(s)\mathrm{loc}(s)loc(s), and assigns every client jjj to a copy σ(j)\sigma(j)σ(j) so that each copy sss serves at most uloc(s)u_{\mathrm{loc}(s)}uloc(s)​ clients. Write NX(s)N_X(s)NX​(s) for the set of clients served by copy sss and NX(T)N_X(T)NX​(T) for the clients served by a set TTT of copies. Its costs are

costf(X)=∑sfloc(s),costs(X)=∑j∈Ccj loc(σ(j)),cost(X)=costf(X)+costs(X).\mathrm{cost}_f(X) = \sum_s f_{\mathrm{loc}(s)}, \qquad \mathrm{cost}_s(X) = \sum_{j\in C} c_{j\,\mathrm{loc}(\sigma(j))}, \qquad \mathrm{cost}(X) = \mathrm{cost}_f(X) + \mathrm{cost}_s(X).costf​(X)=s∑​floc(s)​,costs​(X)=j∈C∑​cjloc(σ(j))​,cost(X)=costf​(X)+costs​(X).

The neighbourhood (9) of a solution whose multiset of open facilities is SSS consists of

  1. S+s′S + s'S+s′: one more copy of any facility s′s's′;
  2. S−T+l⋅{s′}S - T + l\cdot\{s'\}S−T+l⋅{s′}: close any set TTT of open copies and open l≥1l \ge 1l≥1 copies of a facility s′s's′, provided l us′≥∣NS(T)∣l\,u_{s'} \ge |N_S(T)|lus′​≥∣NS​(T)∣.

XXX is locally optimum if no neighbour, with any feasible assignment of the clients, has smaller cost.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.5

For every instance with at least one client, every locally optimum solution XXX and every solution OOO,

cost(X)≤4 cost(O).\mathrm{cost}(X) \le 4\,\mathrm{cost}(O).cost(X)≤4cost(O).

Milestones

In the order the paper's proof uses them:

  1. Lemma 5.1 (service cost): costs(X)≤costf(O)+costs(O)\mathrm{cost}_s(X) \le \mathrm{cost}_f(O) + \mathrm{cost}_s(O)costs​(X)≤costf​(O)+costs​(O).
  2. Lemma 5.2: for every set UUU of copies of XXX and every facility s′s's′,
⌈∣NX(U)∣us′⌉fs′+∑s∈U∣NX(s)∣ css′≥∑s∈Ufs.\left\lceil \frac{|N_X(U)|}{u_{s'}}\right\rceil f_{s'} + \sum_{s\in U} |N_X(s)|\, c_{ss'} \ge \sum_{s\in U} f_s .⌈us′​∣NX​(U)∣​⌉fs′​+s∈U∑​∣NX​(s)∣css′​≥s∈U∑​fs​.
  1. Lemma 5.4: in the graph with arcs vs→wov_s \to w_ovs​→wo​ of length csoc_{so}cso​ and wo→sinkw_o \to \mathrm{sink}wo​→sink of length fo/uof_o/u_ofo​/uo​, ∣NX(s)∣|N_X(s)|∣NX​(s)∣ units can be routed from every vsv_svs​ at cost at most costs(X)+costs(O)+costf(O)\mathrm{cost}_s(X) + \mathrm{cost}_s(O) + \mathrm{cost}_f(O)costs​(X)+costs​(O)+costf​(O).
  2. Inequality (10): the shortest-path flow, with ToT_oTo​ the copies routed through wow_owo​, satisfies ∑o∑s∈To∣NX(s)∣(cso+fo/uo)≤costs(X)+costs(O)+costf(O)\sum_o\sum_{s\in T_o}|N_X(s)|(c_{so} + f_o/u_o) \le \mathrm{cost}_s(X) + \mathrm{cost}_s(O) + \mathrm{cost}_f(O)∑o​∑s∈To​​∣NX​(s)∣(cso​+fo​/uo​)≤costs​(X)+costs​(O)+costf​(O).
  3. Inequality (11): ∑ofo+∑o∑s∈To∣NX(s)∣(cso+fo/uo)≥costf(X)\sum_o f_o + \sum_o \sum_{s\in T_o} |N_X(s)|(c_{so} + f_o/u_o) \ge \mathrm{cost}_f(X)∑o​fo​+∑o​∑s∈To​​∣NX​(s)∣(cso​+fo​/uo​)≥costf​(X).
  4. Lemma 5.3 (facility cost): costf(X)≤3 costf(O)+2 costs(O)\mathrm{cost}_f(X) \le 3\,\mathrm{cost}_f(O) + 2\,\mathrm{cost}_s(O)costf​(X)≤3costf​(O)+2costs​(O).

A companion item states the scaled bound of p. 561: a local optimum for facility costs (3−1)f(\sqrt3 - 1) f(3​−1)f has cost at most (2+3) cost(O)(2 + \sqrt3)\,\mathrm{cost}(O)(2+3​)cost(O) in the original instance.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5.5 gives a constant locality gap for a local search procedure for capacitated facility location with copies and nonuniform capacities, a variant previously approached through LP-based algorithms; the drop-add move it analyses is the paper's new operation for this problem. The scaled bound 2+3≈3.7322 + \sqrt3 \approx 3.7322+3​≈3.732 gives an approximation algorithm once local search is run to approximate local optimality. The paper also shows (Figure 13, the procedure T-hunt) that the exponentially large neighbourhood can be searched with a knapsack oracle, so the analysis applies to an implementable algorithm.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces a checked model of capacitated facility location with copies (solutions, costs, the multiset neighbourhood) and of the locality-gap argument. The per-copy model and the flow comparison of Lemma 5.4 are reusable for other capacitated location problems and for local search analyses that compare a local optimum with an optimum through a flow or a matching.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt imitates the uncapacitated analysis: close one copy of XXX and send its clients to a nearby copy of OOO. With capacities this fails, since that copy of OOO may be too small to absorb them, and single-copy moves do not certify a constant bound. With the drop-add move a single copy of OOO must be charged for a whole group of copies of XXX, and the groups must be chosen so that the charges add up to a constant times cost(O)\mathrm{cost}(O)cost(O); the rounding ⌈∣NX(T)∣/us′⌉\lceil |N_X(T)|/u_{s'}\rceil⌈∣NX​(T)∣/us′​⌉ of the number of new copies costs an additional costf(O)\mathrm{cost}_f(O)costf​(O) that has to be absorbed as well.

Formalization scope

  • Solutions. A solution is a structure CFLSol Cl Fa u: a number n of open copies, a map loc : Fin n → Fa giving the facility of each copy, and an assignment σ : Cl → Fin n with the capacity constraint for every copy. Copies are separate indices because NS(s)N_S(s)NS​(s) is per copy. Its multiset of facilities is the image multiset of loc.
  • Costs. A solution's cost is computed under its own assignment. The paper's cost of a multiset is the minimum over feasible assignments. Because every neighbour is compared with every feasible assignment, and OOO ranges over every assignment, the statements are equivalent to the paper's. The move with T={s}T = \{s\}T={s}, s′=loc(s)s' = \mathrm{loc}(s)s′=loc(s), l=1l = 1l=1 makes every reassignment of XXX's clients a neighbour, so a locally optimum XXX carries a minimum-cost assignment.
  • Neighbourhood. Local optimality ranges over the whole of (9): every s′s's′, every set TTT of copies (including ∅\emptyset∅ and all copies) and every l≥1l \ge 1l≥1 with lus′≥∣NX(T)∣l u_{s'} \ge |N_X(T)|lus′​≥∣NX​(T)∣. It is not restricted to what the search procedure T-hunt examines.
  • Standing assumptions. Distances are nonnegative, symmetric and satisfy the triangle inequality on C∪FC \cup FC∪F; d(x,x)=0d(x,x) = 0d(x,x)=0 is not assumed. Capacities are natural numbers with ui>0u_i > 0ui​>0; costs are real with fi≥0f_i \ge 0fi​≥0; every client has unit demand. Ratios fo/uof_o/u_ofo​/uo​ and the ceiling of Lemma 5.2 are computed in R\mathbb RR.
  • Added hypothesis. The goal, Lemmas 5.2 and 5.3 and the companion assume at least one client. Without clients a single idle copy of a facility with f=1f = 1f=1, u=1u = 1u=1 is locally optimum at cost 1 while the empty solution costs 0, so these statements fail. The paper's instances implicitly have clients.
  • No trivialization. OOO is any solution, not a fixed optimum, and the bounds are multiplied out (cost(X)≤4 cost(O)\mathrm{cost}(X) \le 4\,\mathrm{cost}(O)cost(X)≤4cost(O), never a ratio). The empty solution is excluded only by the presence of a client, not by a default cost.
  • Out of scope. The procedure T-hunt and the knapsack oracle, running time, the ϵ\epsilonϵ of approximate local optimality, and arbitrary demands.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, alternative proofs of Lemma 5.4 or (10) (for instance through a matching argument instead of flows), and general infrastructure for multiset neighbourhoods and assignment problems.

Selected references

  • V. Arya, N. Garg, R. Khandekar, A. Meyerson, K. Munagala, V. Pandit, Local Search Heuristics for k-Median and Facility Location Problems, SIAM J. Comput. 33(3):544–562, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702416402
  • M. R. Korupolu, C. G. Plaxton, R. Rajaraman, Analysis of a Local Search Heuristic for Facility Location Problems, J. Algorithms 37(1):146–188, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1006/jagm.2000.1100
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Local Search Heuristics for k-Median and Facility Location Problems I: Single-Swap Local Search for k-Median Has Locality Gap 5Research Paper

Motivation

The k-median problem asks where to open kkk facilities so that the total distance from a set of clients to their nearest open facility is as small as possible. It is a basic model of facility location in operations research (placing depots, warehouses or servers) and of clustering with representative centres, and it is NP-hard, so the question of interest is how close a polynomial-time method can come to the optimum.

Local search is among the most widely used heuristics for it: start from any kkk facilities and repeatedly exchange one open facility for a closed one while the cost decreases. Arya, Garg, Khandekar, Meyerson, Munagala and Pandit (SIAM J. Comput. 33(3), 2004) gave the first constant-factor guarantee for this heuristic on metric instances: every local optimum of the single-swap local search costs at most five times any solution with kkk facilities. This mission formalizes that result.

Timeline of the relevant bounds:

  • Korupolu, Plaxton and Rajaraman (SODA 1998) analysed a local search for k-median that opens k(1+ϵ)k(1+\epsilon)k(1+ϵ) facilities and costs at most 3+5/ϵ3 + 5/\epsilon3+5/ϵ times the optimum with kkk facilities.
  • Charikar, Guha, Tardos and Shmoys (STOC 1999) gave the first constant-factor approximation for metric k-median, by LP rounding (6236\tfrac23632​).
  • Jain and Vazirani (J. ACM 2001) and Charikar and Guha (FOCS 1999) improved the constant with primal–dual methods to 6 and 4.
  • Arya et al. (STOC 2001; SIAM J. Comput. 2004) proved the locality gap 5 for single swaps and 3+2/p3 + 2/p3+2/p for swaps of ppp facilities at a time, with matching examples.

Setting

A metric instance consists of a finite set CCC of clients, a finite set FFF of facilities and a distance ddd on C∪FC \cup FC∪F that is nonnegative, symmetric and satisfies the triangle inequality. Write cji=d(j,i)c_{ji} = d(j,i)cji​=d(j,i) for the cost of serving client jjj by facility iii.

For a nonempty set S⊆FS \subseteq FS⊆F of open facilities every client is served by its nearest open facility, and the cost of SSS is

cost(S)=∑j∈Cmin⁡i∈Scji.\mathrm{cost}(S) = \sum_{j \in C} \min_{i \in S} c_{ji}.cost(S)=j∈C∑​i∈Smin​cji​.

The k-median problem asks for a set SSS of at most kkk facilities of minimum cost.

A swap ⟨s,s′⟩\langle s, s'\rangle⟨s,s′⟩ closes a facility s∈Ss \in Ss∈S and opens a facility s′∉Ss' \notin Ss′∈/S, giving S−s+s′=(S∖{s})∪{s′}S - s + s' = (S \setminus \{s\}) \cup \{s'\}S−s+s′=(S∖{s})∪{s′}. The neighbourhood of SSS is

B(S)={S−{s}+{s′}∣s∈S, s′∉S},\mathcal B(S) = \{ S - \{s\} + \{s'\} \mid s \in S,\ s' \notin S \},B(S)={S−{s}+{s′}∣s∈S, s′∈/S},

and SSS is locally optimum if cost(S)≤cost(S′)\mathrm{cost}(S) \le \mathrm{cost}(S')cost(S)≤cost(S′) for every S′∈B(S)S' \in \mathcal B(S)S′∈B(S). The local search starts from an arbitrary set of kkk facilities and applies improving swaps until none exists; swaps preserve the number of facilities, so it stops at a locally optimum set of exactly kkk facilities. The locality gap is the supremum, over instances, of the ratio between the cost of a worst local optimum and the optimal cost.

The analysis uses the following notation. For a solution AAA, let σA\sigma_AσA​ assign each client to a nearest facility of AAA, let Aj=cjσA(j)A_j = c_{j\sigma_A(j)}Aj​=cjσA​(j)​ be the service cost of client jjj, and let NA(a)N_A(a)NA​(a) be the set of clients served by a∈Aa \in Aa∈A. For two solutions SSS and OOO put Nso=NO(o)∩NS(s)N^o_s = N_O(o) \cap N_S(s)Nso​=NO​(o)∩NS​(s). A facility s∈Ss \in Ss∈S captures o∈Oo \in Oo∈O if ∣Nso∣>12∣NO(o)∣|N^o_s| > \tfrac12 |N_O(o)|∣Nso​∣>21​∣NO​(o)∣; sss is bad if it captures some o∈Oo \in Oo∈O and good otherwise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2

For every metric instance, every kkk, every locally optimum set SSS of exactly kkk facilities and every nonempty set OOO of at most kkk facilities,

cost(S)≤5⋅cost(O).\mathrm{cost}(S) \le 5 \cdot \mathrm{cost}(O).cost(S)≤5⋅cost(O).

The comparison solution OOO is arbitrary, not an optimum; the statement is the locality gap bound in the form the proof gives.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. A facility ooo is captured by at most one facility of SSS (remark after Definition 3.1).
  2. Property 3.1: for each ooo there is a bijection π\piπ of NO(o)N_O(o)NO​(o) with π(Nso)∩Nso=∅\pi(N^o_s) \cap N^o_s = \emptysetπ(Nso​)∩Nso​=∅ whenever sss does not capture ooo.
  3. When ∣S∣=∣O∣|S| = |O|∣S∣=∣O∣ there are ∣O∣|O|∣O∣ swaps ⟨s,o⟩\langle s, o\rangle⟨s,o⟩, one for each o∈Oo \in Oo∈O, such that no facility capturing two or more facilities of OOO is used, every good facility is used at most twice, and a used sss captures no o′≠oo' \ne oo′=o.
  4. Inequality (2): for a locally optimum SSS and such a swap ⟨s,o⟩\langle s, o\rangle⟨s,o⟩,
∑j∈NO(o)(Oj−Sj)+∑j∈NS(s)j∉NO(o)(Oj+Oπ(j)+Sπ(j)−Sj)≥0.\sum_{j \in N_O(o)} (O_j - S_j) + \sum_{\substack{j \in N_S(s)\\ j \notin N_O(o)}} \bigl(O_j + O_{\pi(j)} + S_{\pi(j)} - S_j\bigr) \ge 0.j∈NO​(o)∑​(Oj​−Sj​)+j∈NS​(s)j∈/NO​(o)​∑​(Oj​+Oπ(j)​+Sπ(j)​−Sj​)≥0.

Significance

Theorem 3.2 shows that the simplest exchange heuristic for k-median is a constant-factor approximation on every metric instance, and the paper states that the analysis is tight: its example of §3.5, given for swaps of two facilities, is said to generalize to swaps of p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 facilities, where the bound 3+2/p3 + 2/p3+2/p is 5 for p=1p = 1p=1. Combined with the standard device of accepting only swaps that improve the cost by a factor 1−ϵ/Q1 - \epsilon/Q1−ϵ/Q, it yields a polynomial-time 5/(1−ϵ)5/(1-\epsilon)5/(1−ϵ)-approximation (p. 548). The same capture-and-reassignment argument is reused for multi-swap k-median, for uncapacitated and capacitated facility location in the same paper, and in later work on k-means and on local search for clustering; its milestones (the capture graph and the mapping π\piπ) are the reusable part.

The result has been proved since 2001 and is textbook material (Williamson and Shmoys, The Design of Approximation Algorithms, 2011, Chapter 9). No machine-checked proof of it is known; Mathlib has no k-median problem and no locality-gap result for any clustering objective. The work remaining is to formalize the known proof.

Difficulty

The obvious argument adds up the inequalities cost(S−s+o)≥cost(S)\mathrm{cost}(S - s + o) \ge \mathrm{cost}(S)cost(S−s+o)≥cost(S) over a pairing of SSS with OOO, rerouting the clients of the closed facility sss to the nearest remaining facility. This fails when a single facility of SSS serves most clients of several facilities of OOO: closing it leaves those clients with no nearby open facility, and no bound in terms of cost(O)\mathrm{cost}(O)cost(O) follows. The analysis must choose which swaps to consider so that such facilities are never closed, and must reroute the displaced clients of the facilities it does close to a facility other than the closed one while paying only a constant multiple of their own service costs. Both choices must work for arbitrary ties in the nearest-facility assignments and when SSS and OOO share facilities.

Formalization scope

Namespace LocalSearchFL.KMedian. Clients and facilities are types Cl, Fa with Fintype and DecidableEq; the distance is a real-valued function on Cl ⊕ Fa with fields for nonnegativity, symmetry and the triangle inequality, and d(x,x)=0d(x,x) = 0d(x,x)=0 is not assumed. Solutions are Finset Fa. The cost is defined only for nonempty sets, from a nonemptiness proof, so no value is assigned to the empty solution; the goal takes SSS nonempty with S.card = k, which is the paper's k≥1k \ge 1k≥1. Local optimality quantifies over every swap ⟨s,s′⟩\langle s, s'\rangle⟨s,s′⟩ with s∈Ss \in Ss∈S and s′∉Ss' \notin Ss′∈/S, exactly the neighbourhood B(S)\mathcal B(S)B(S) of Theorem 3.2, and not only over the swaps with s′∈Os' \in Os′∈O that the proof uses. The inequality is stated multiplied out, cost(S)≤5⋅cost(O)\mathrm{cost}(S) \le 5 \cdot \mathrm{cost}(O)cost(S)≤5⋅cost(O), so it is meaningful when cost(O)=0\mathrm{cost}(O) = 0cost(O)=0.

The milestones quantify over nearest-facility assignments σS\sigma_SσS​, σO\sigma_OσO​ with arbitrary ties. Capture is stated in integers as ∣NO(o)∣<2∣Nso∣|N_O(o)| < 2|N^o_s|∣NO​(o)∣<2∣Nso​∣. The bijection π\piπ of NO(o)N_O(o)NO​(o) is a permutation of all clients fixing every client outside NO(o)N_O(o)NO​(o); in inequality (2) it is a single permutation preserving every NO(o)N_O(o)NO​(o). Milestones 1–3 are purely combinatorial and are stated for arbitrary assignments, which contains the paper's case.

A formalization in which local optimality ranges over the swaps ⟨s,o⟩\langle s, o\rangle⟨s,o⟩, o∈Oo \in Oo∈O, only, or in which ∣O∣=∣S∣|O| = |S|∣O∣=∣S∣ or OOO optimal is assumed, or in which the cost of the empty set is 000, is a different statement and is ruled out.

A complete development needs the finite-sum and Finset.inf' API of Mathlib, permutations (Equiv.Perm) and finite counting. The capture machinery and the mapping π\piπ are reusable for the multi-swap and facility location missions of this series. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • V. Arya, N. Garg, R. Khandekar, A. Meyerson, K. Munagala, V. Pandit, Local Search Heuristics for k-Median and Facility Location Problems, SIAM J. Comput. 33(3):544–562, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702416402
  • M. Charikar, S. Guha, É. Tardos, D. B. Shmoys, A Constant-Factor Approximation Algorithm for the k-Median Problem, J. Comput. System Sci. 65(1):129–149, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.2002.1882
  • K. Jain, V. V. Vazirani, Approximation Algorithms for Metric Facility Location and k-Median Problems Using the Primal-Dual Schema and Lagrangian Relaxation, J. ACM 48(2):274–296, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1145/375827.375845
  • M. R. Korupolu, C. G. Plaxton, R. Rajaraman, Analysis of a Local Search Heuristic for Facility Location Problems, J. Algorithms 37(1):146–188, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1006/jagm.2000.1100
  • D. P. Williamson, D. B. Shmoys, The Design of Approximation Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511921735
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Jointly Constrained Biconvex Programming II: The Convex-Envelope Branch-and-Bound Algorithm Converges to a Global SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Bilinear programs, which minimize an objective containing a term x⊤yx^\top yx⊤y over constraints on xxx and yyy, model pooling and blending in petroleum refining, location–allocation, certain dynamic production problems and many other applications (Konno 1971, surveyed in Al-Khayyal and Falk 1983, p. 274). The term x⊤yx^\top yx⊤y is not convex, so such problems can have local minima that are not global. For example, min⁡{xy:−1≤x≤2, −2≤y≤3}\min\{xy : -1 \le x \le 2,\ -2 \le y \le 3\}min{xy:−1≤x≤2, −2≤y≤3} has local solutions at (−1,3)(-1, 3)(−1,3) and (2,−2)(2, -2)(2,−2). When xxx and yyy are constrained separately, a solution lies at an extreme point of the feasible region, and vertex-enumeration and cutting-plane methods apply. When the constraints couple xxx and yyy, this property is lost.

Al-Khayyal and Falk (Math. Oper. Res. 8(2), 1983) gave a branch-and-bound algorithm for this jointly constrained case. It lower-bounds the objective on each box by the convex envelope of the bilinear term, and they proved that it converges to a global solution. The closed form of that envelope, found independently by McCormick (1976) and now called the McCormick envelope, underlies the bilinear relaxations of modern global solvers.

Timeline:

  • 1969, Falk and Soland: a branch-and-bound scheme for separable nonconvex programs using convex envelopes, the pattern this algorithm follows.
  • 1976, McCormick: convex underestimators of factorable functions, including the envelope of xyxyxy on a rectangle.
  • 1983, Al-Khayyal and Falk: the envelope of xyxyxy over a rectangle (Theorem 2), the branch-and-bound algorithm for jointly constrained biconvex programs, and a proof of its convergence.

Setting

Fix n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and a box Ω={(x,y)∈Rn×Rn:l≤x≤L, m≤y≤M}\Omega = \{(x,y) \in \mathbb{R}^n \times \mathbb{R}^n : l \le x \le L,\ m \le y \le M\}Ω={(x,y)∈Rn×Rn:l≤x≤L, m≤y≤M} with coordinate rectangles Ωi=[li,Li]×[mi,Mi]\Omega_i = [l_i, L_i] \times [m_i, M_i]Ωi​=[li​,Li​]×[mi​,Mi​]. Problem P\mathcal PP is

min⁡ φ(x,y)=f(x)+x⊤y+g(y)subject to (x,y)∈S∩Ω,\min\ \varphi(x,y) = f(x) + x^\top y + g(y) \quad \text{subject to } (x,y) \in S \cap \Omega,min φ(x,y)=f(x)+x⊤y+g(y)subject to (x,y)∈S∩Ω,

with fff, ggg convex (and continuous) on their boxes, SSS closed and convex, and S∩Ω≠∅S \cap \Omega \neq \emptysetS∩Ω=∅. Its optimal value is v∗v^*v∗.

The convex envelope VexB h\mathrm{Vex}_B\, hVexB​h of a function hhh over a set BBB is the pointwise supremum of all convex functions that underestimate hhh on BBB. For a box BBB, the node function ψB(x,y)=f(x)+VexB x⊤y+g(y)\psi^B(x,y) = f(x) + \mathrm{Vex}_B\, x^\top y + g(y)ψB(x,y)=f(x)+VexB​x⊤y+g(y) is convex and lies below φ\varphiφ on BBB. The subproblem at node BBB, minimizing ψB\psi^BψB over S∩BS \cap BS∩B, is a convex program.

A run of the algorithm is a sequence of stages. Stage 000 has the single open node Ω\OmegaΩ. At stage kkk the Best Bound Rule selects an open node BkB_kBk​ whose subproblem value is least, and the stage point (xk,yk)(x^k, y^k)(xk,yk) is its subproblem solution. The best lower bound is vbk=ψBk(xk,yk)v_b^k = \psi^{B_k}(x^k, y^k)vbk​=ψBk​(xk,yk) and the best upper bound is Vbk=min⁡l≤kφ(xl,yl)V_b^k = \min_{l \le k} \varphi(x^l, y^l)Vbk​=minl≤k​φ(xl,yl). The selected node is then split. The algorithm picks the coordinate III with the largest gap xikyik−Vex(Bk)i xiyix^k_i y^k_i - \mathrm{Vex}_{(B_k)_i}\, x_i y_ixik​yik​−Vex(Bk​)i​​xi​yi​ and replaces the rectangle (Bk)I(B_k)_I(Bk​)I​ by the four subrectangles cut out by the point (xIk,yIk)(x^k_I, y^k_I)(xIk​,yIk​) (Figure 1 of the paper). All other rectangles are kept. The stage function ψk\psi^kψk assigns to each point of Ω\OmegaΩ the least node value ψB\psi^BψB among the open boxes containing it.

Formalization targets

Goal: convergence to a global solution

For every run,

every accumulation point (xˉ,yˉ) of (xk,yk) solves P,lim⁡kvbk=v∗=lim⁡kVbk.\text{every accumulation point } (\bar x, \bar y) \text{ of } (x^k, y^k) \text{ solves } \mathcal P, \qquad \lim_k v_b^k = v^* = \lim_k V_b^k .every accumulation point (xˉ,yˉ​) of (xk,yk) solves P,klim​vbk​=v∗=klim​Vbk​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  • Theorem 2: VexΩ xy=max⁡{mx+ly−lm, Mx+Ly−LM}\mathrm{Vex}_\Omega\, xy = \max\{mx + ly - lm,\ Mx + Ly - LM\}VexΩ​xy=max{mx+ly−lm, Mx+Ly−LM} on a rectangle.
  • Theorem 3: the envelope is exact on the rectangle's boundary.
  • The Corollary, in two parts:
    • separability, VexΩ x⊤y=∑iVexΩi xiyi\mathrm{Vex}_\Omega\, x^\top y = \sum_i \mathrm{Vex}_{\Omega_i}\, x_i y_iVexΩ​x⊤y=∑i​VexΩi​​xi​yi​;
    • exactness at points whose every coordinate pair lies on ∂Ωi\partial\Omega_i∂Ωi​.
  • Along runs: ψk≤ψk+1≤φ\psi^k \le \psi^{k+1} \le \varphiψk≤ψk+1≤φ on Ω\OmegaΩ.
  • The bound chain vb1≤vb2≤⋯≤v∗≤⋯≤Vb2≤Vb1v_b^1 \le v_b^2 \le \cdots \le v^* \le \cdots \le V_b^2 \le V_b^1vb1​≤vb2​≤⋯≤v∗≤⋯≤Vb2​≤Vb1​.
  • Termination when vbk=Vbkv_b^k = V_b^kvbk​=Vbk​.
  • The gradient bound γi\gamma_iγi​.
  • The equicontinuity estimate ∥z−w∥<ε/(nγ)⇒∣VexB x⊤y(z)−VexB x⊤y(w)∣<ε\|z - w\| < \varepsilon/(n\gamma) \Rightarrow |\mathrm{Vex}_B\, x^\top y(z) - \mathrm{Vex}_B\, x^\top y(w)| < \varepsilon∥z−w∥<ε/(nγ)⇒∣VexB​x⊤y(z)−VexB​x⊤y(w)∣<ε within every sub-box BBB.
  • The limit identity: along a convergent subsequence of stage points, vbkt→φ(xˉ,yˉ)v_b^{k_t} \to \varphi(\bar x, \bar y)vbkt​​→φ(xˉ,yˉ​).

Theorem 4 of the paper, on the envelope of ∑fi(xi)+x⊤y+∑gi(yi)\sum f_i(x_i) + x^\top y + \sum g_i(y_i)∑fi​(xi​)+x⊤y+∑gi​(yi​) with concave fi,gif_i, g_ifi​,gi​, is included as a further target.

Significance

The convergence theorem certifies that the algorithm computes the global optimum of a nonconvex problem. It is not a local search. Its ingredients carry over to spatial branch-and-bound in general: envelopes that are exact on the boundary of their box, a subdivision at the relaxation's solution, and best-bound selection. Theorem 2 and its separable extension are the building block of McCormick relaxations, used for bilinear terms throughout global optimization.

As far as is known, none of these results is formalized. The mission produces a formal model of a spatial branch-and-bound procedure with rectangular subdivision at the relaxation solution, together with the convex-envelope facts it rests on. The paper's convergence proof is informal and, as printed, passes through two claims that do not hold (see Formalization scope). A machine-checked proof of the convergence theorem would settle the result on firm ground.

Difficulty

The algorithm splits at the relaxation's solution, not at the midpoint, so the boxes of a run need not shrink to points. The usual "exhaustive subdivision" argument, in which the diameters of nested boxes tend to zero, does not apply. What makes the gap close is Theorem 3: after a split, the split point sits on the boundary of the new rectangles in the split coordinate, where the envelope is exact. That exactness has to be carried from the selected points to their accumulation points, across coordinates that may be split finitely or infinitely often. The obvious route through a continuous limit of the stage functions is not available, because the stage functions are not continuous in general.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, points are pairs in (Fin n → ℝ) × (Fin n → ℝ), and boxes are four bound vectors, degenerate boxes allowed. The convex envelope is the paper's definition, the real supremum of values of convex minorants, and is used only at points of convex boxes. The McCormick closed form is Theorem 2, a target, and is not built into any definition. A run is a predicate on four sequences: open nodes as a multiset of boxes, selected node, branching index, stage point. Stages are numbered from 000 and runs are infinite: the stopping test is ignored, so a run stopped by the paper is a prefix of one. The optional pruning of p. 278 is omitted, and ties are arbitrary. The optimal value enters through IsMinOn, not through an infimum. The Euclidean distance on R2n\mathbb{R}^{2n}R2n is written out explicitly.

Hypotheses and corrections relative to the page:

  • Continuity of fff and ggg on their boxes is added; the paper uses it without stating it. n>0n > 0n>0 is assumed. The box form of convexity (p. 276) is used.
  • Corollary, second clause (p. 276): "for all (x,y)∈∂Ω(x,y) \in \partial\Omega(x,y)∈∂Ω" is false for n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 (take Ω1=Ω2=[0,2]2\Omega_1 = \Omega_2 = [0,2]^2Ω1​=Ω2​=[0,2]2, x=y=(0,1)x = y = (0,1)x=y=(0,1)). It is stated for points with every (xi,yi)∈∂Ωi(x_i, y_i) \in \partial\Omega_i(xi​,yi​)∈∂Ωi​.
  • Well-definedness of the stage function (p. 277) is false from stage 3 on. Two open boxes can share a point at which their node functions differ, and the stage function then jumps. It is not a target. The stage function takes the minimum over the open boxes containing a point, and the continuity asserted on p. 279 is not formalized. The piecewise convexity asserted there is formalized as convexity of each open node function on its box.
  • Equicontinuity (p. 282): the display ∣Hikj(xi,yi)−Hikj(ui,vi)∣≤∣xiyi−uivi∣|H_i^{kj}(x_i,y_i) - H_i^{kj}(u_i,v_i)| \le |x_i y_i - u_i v_i|∣Hikj​(xi​,yi​)−Hikj​(ui​,vi​)∣≤∣xi​yi​−ui​vi​∣ is false, and so is equicontinuity of the stage functions on all of Ω\OmegaΩ. The estimate is stated within each sub-box, with the paper's δ=ε/(nγ)\delta = \varepsilon/(n\gamma)δ=ε/(nγ).

Two trivializations are excluded. The goal is not a statement about an arbitrary sequence of boxes and points whose gap tends to zero: it quantifies over runs of the algorithm as defined, and a separate well-posedness item, run_exists, asserts that runs exist for every instance. Theorem 2 is about the supremum of convex minorants, not about a function defined by the closed form.

Reusable beyond this mission: the convex envelope and its bilinear closed form, and the box-splitting model. Contributions welcome: proofs of the envelope theorems, a proof of run_exists, and a convergence proof that avoids the false intermediate claims.

Selected references

  • F. A. Al-Khayyal and J. E. Falk, Jointly Constrained Biconvex Programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(2):273–286, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.2.273
  • J. E. Falk and R. M. Soland, An Algorithm for Separable Nonconvex Programming Problems, Management Science 15(9):550–569, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.9.550
  • G. P. McCormick, Computability of Global Solutions to Factorable Nonconvex Programs: Part I — Convex Underestimating Problems, Mathematical Programming 10:147–175, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580665
  • H. Konno, Bilinear Programming: Part II. Applications of Bilinear Programming, Technical Report 71-10, Operations Research House, Stanford University, 1971 (reference [10] of Al-Khayyal and Falk; no online copy known). https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.2.273
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Jointly Constrained Biconvex Programming I: A Biconcave Function Attains Its Minimum on the BoundaryResearch Paper

Motivation

The bilinear program

min⁡(x,y)  cTx+xTAy+dTysubject tox∈X, y∈Y,\min_{(x,y)} \; c^T x + x^T A y + d^T y \quad \text{subject to} \quad x \in X,\ y \in Y,(x,y)min​cTx+xTAy+dTysubject tox∈X, y∈Y,

with X⊆RpX \subseteq \mathbb{R}^pX⊆Rp and Y⊆RqY \subseteq \mathbb{R}^qY⊆Rq polyhedra, is one of the recurring nonconvex problems of mathematical programming. It arises from constrained bimatrix games (Mangasarian 1964), dynamic Markovian assignment, multicommodity network flow and certain dynamic production problems (Konno 1971, 1976). Its classical structural fact is that, because the constraints on xxx and on yyy are separate and the objective is linear in each block, an optimal solution can be found at an extreme point of X×YX \times YX×Y (Falk 1973, doi:10.1007/BF01580119). Vertex-enumeration, extreme-point ranking and cutting-plane methods for the problem rest on that fact.

Al-Khayyal and Falk (Math. Oper. Res. 8(2), 1983) consider the jointly constrained version, in which the feasible region is an arbitrary set SSS of pairs (x,y)(x, y)(x,y), so that constraints may couple xxx and yyy. They observe that the extreme-point property is then lost, and replace it with a weaker structural fact that survives: a minimum is attained on the boundary of the feasible region. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 1 of the paper, together with the two examples on p. 274 that delimit it.

Setting

Write points of Rp×Rq\mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^qRp×Rq as (x,y)(x, y)(x,y), and let S⊆Rp×RqS \subseteq \mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^qS⊆Rp×Rq be a nonempty compact set. No convexity of SSS is assumed. Let φ:Rp×Rq→R\varphi : \mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^q \to \mathbb{R}φ:Rp×Rq→R be continuous on SSS.

The function φ\varphiφ is biconcave over SSS (Lean: BiconcaveOn S φ) when both partial functions are concave wherever they live inside SSS: for every fixed yyy, the map x↦φ(x,y)x \mapsto \varphi(x, y)x↦φ(x,y) is concave on every convex set CCC with C×{y}⊆SC \times \{y\} \subseteq SC×{y}⊆S; and for every fixed xxx, the map y↦φ(x,y)y \mapsto \varphi(x, y)y↦φ(x,y) is concave on every convex set DDD with {x}×D⊆S\{x\} \times D \subseteq S{x}×D⊆S. Equivalently, φ\varphiφ is concave along every segment of SSS that is parallel to the xxx-block or to the yyy-block. A bilinear objective f(x)+xTy+g(y)f(x) + x^T y + g(y)f(x)+xTy+g(y) with fff and ggg concave is biconcave; joint concavity of φ\varphiφ is not required.

The boundary ∂S\partial S∂S is the topological frontier of SSS in Rp×Rq\mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^qRp×Rq: the closure of SSS minus its interior. A solution of min⁡{φ(x,y):(x,y)∈S}\min\{\varphi(x,y) : (x,y) \in S\}min{φ(x,y):(x,y)∈S} is a point z∈Sz \in Sz∈S with φ(z)≤φ(w)\varphi(z) \le \varphi(w)φ(z)≤φ(w) for all w∈Sw \in Sw∈S (Lean: IsMinOn φ S z). The Euclidean distance on the product (Lean: eucDist) is d((x,y),(x′,y′))=∥x−x′∥2+∥y−y′∥2d\big((x,y),(x',y')\big) = \sqrt{\|x-x'\|^2 + \|y-y'\|^2}d((x,y),(x′,y′))=∥x−x′∥2+∥y−y′∥2​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 274)

If S⊆Rp×RqS \subseteq \mathbb{R}^p \times \mathbb{R}^qS⊆Rp×Rq (p+q≥1p + q \ge 1p+q≥1) is nonempty and compact, and φ\varphiφ is continuous on SSS and biconcave over SSS, then

∃ z∗∈∂Swithφ(z∗)=min⁡{φ(x,y):(x,y)∈S}.\exists\, z^* \in \partial S \quad \text{with} \quad \varphi(z^*) = \min\{\varphi(x, y) : (x, y) \in S\}.∃z∗∈∂Swithφ(z∗)=min{φ(x,y):(x,y)∈S}.

The conclusion is existence of a boundary minimizer. It does not assert that every minimizer lies on ∂S\partial S∂S (a constant φ\varphiφ is a counterexample to that).

Milestones

  1. Proof of Theorem 1, p. 274. If (xˉ,yˉ)∈int⁡S(\bar x, \bar y) \in \operatorname{int} S(xˉ,yˉ​)∈intS and (x∗,y∗)∈∂S(x^*, y^*) \in \partial S(x∗,y∗)∈∂S is a nearest boundary point in Euclidean distance d∗d^*d∗, then the closed Euclidean ball of radius d∗d^*d∗ about (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x, \bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​) lies in SSS, and with (s,t)=2(xˉ,yˉ)−(x∗,y∗)(s,t) = 2(\bar x, \bar y) - (x^*, y^*)(s,t)=2(xˉ,yˉ​)−(x∗,y∗) the points (s,t)(s,t)(s,t), (x∗,t)(x^*, t)(x∗,t) and (s,y∗)(s, y^*)(s,y∗) are feasible.
  2. Proof of Theorem 1, p. 275, first display. For φ\varphiφ biconcave over SSS and segments [x∗,s]×{12y∗+12t}[x^*, s] \times \{\tfrac12 y^* + \tfrac12 t\}[x∗,s]×{21​y∗+21​t}, {x∗}×[y∗,t]\{x^*\} \times [y^*, t]{x∗}×[y∗,t], {s}×[y∗,t]\{s\} \times [y^*, t]{s}×[y∗,t] inside SSS,
φ(12(x∗,y∗)+12(s,t))≥12φ(x∗,12y∗+12t)+12φ(s,12y∗+12t)≥14[φ(x∗,y∗)+φ(x∗,t)+φ(s,y∗)+φ(s,t)].\varphi\big(\tfrac12(x^*,y^*) + \tfrac12(s,t)\big) \ge \tfrac12\varphi(x^*, \tfrac12y^*+\tfrac12t) + \tfrac12\varphi(s, \tfrac12y^*+\tfrac12t) \ge \tfrac14\big[\varphi(x^*,y^*)+\varphi(x^*,t)+\varphi(s,y^*)+\varphi(s,t)\big].φ(21​(x∗,y∗)+21​(s,t))≥21​φ(x∗,21​y∗+21​t)+21​φ(s,21​y∗+21​t)≥41​[φ(x∗,y∗)+φ(x∗,t)+φ(s,y∗)+φ(s,t)].
  1. Example, p. 274. The program min⁡{−x+xy−y:−6x+8y≤3, 3x−y≤3, 0≤x,y≤5}\min\{-x + xy - y : -6x + 8y \le 3,\ 3x - y \le 3,\ 0 \le x, y \le 5\}min{−x+xy−y:−6x+8y≤3, 3x−y≤3, 0≤x,y≤5} has the solution (7/6,1/2)(7/6, 1/2)(7/6,1/2), which is not an extreme point of the feasible region, and no extreme point is a solution.
  2. Example, p. 274. min⁡{xy:−1≤x≤2, −2≤y≤3}\min\{xy : -1 \le x \le 2,\ -2 \le y \le 3\}min{xy:−1≤x≤2, −2≤y≤3} has local solutions at (−1,3)(-1, 3)(−1,3) and (2,−2)(2, -2)(2,−2), the first of which is not global.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the structural statement that separates jointly constrained bilinear and biconcave programs from their separably constrained special case. It says where a global search may restrict attention, namely to ∂S\partial S∂S, and example 3 shows that this cannot be sharpened to extreme points once the constraints couple the blocks. Example 4 records that such problems have proper local minima, so a local method alone does not solve them; this motivates the branch-and-bound algorithm of the same paper, which is the subject of the companion mission.

The result is proved in the paper; this mission produces its machine-checked statement and proof. Mathlib contains the Bauer-type principle for jointly concave functions on compact convex sets, but no statement of this kind for biconcave functions on nonconvex sets, and no formalization of Theorem 1 is known. The two examples are small but exact computations, and they certify that the definitions admit the intended instances.

Difficulty

The first idea is to apply the concave-minimization principle: a concave function on a compact convex set attains its minimum at an extreme point. It does not apply. SSS need not be convex, so it has no useful extreme-point structure, and φ\varphiφ is concave only along segments parallel to one block, so it is not concave along the segment from an interior point to a boundary point in a general direction. Example 3 shows that the conclusion "extreme point" is actually false here.

What remains is local geometry around an interior minimizer: one must find points of SSS around it at which biconcavity can be applied in both blocks, and control their membership in SSS without convexity. The feasibility of the mixed points (x∗,t)(x^*, t)(x∗,t) and (s,y∗)(s, y^*)(s,y∗), which the paper uses without comment, is where the choice of the Euclidean distance matters, and it is recorded as a separate milestone.

Formalization scope

  • Points are pairs in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin p) × EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin q). The boundary is Mathlib's frontier in this product; it does not depend on the norm. Only milestone 1 refers to a distance, and it uses eucDist, the Euclidean distance written out, because Mathlib's default metric on a product is the maximum of the block distances.
  • The theorem is the "more general context" of p. 274, independent of the paper's Problem 𝒫: the standing assumptions (a)–(c) of p. 274 (convex fff, ggg; closed convex SSS; a box Ω\OmegaΩ) do not enter.
  • Hypotheses of the goal: IsCompact S, S.Nonempty, ContinuousOn φ S (continuity only on SSS), and BiconcaveOn S φ. One hypothesis is added: 0<p+q0 < p + q0<p+q. For p=q=0p = q = 0p=q=0 the space is a point, whose only nonempty subset has empty frontier, so the conclusion fails; the paper works in positive dimension throughout.
  • Biconcavity is read over SSS: concavity on every convex subset of each section of SSS. Assuming instead concavity of each partial function on the whole space would be a stronger hypothesis and a weaker theorem.
  • Trivializing formalizations ruled out: the statement assumes neither joint concavity of φ\varphiφ nor convexity of SSS (either would reduce it to the Bauer principle), and it covers sets with nonempty interior; the case of empty interior, where ∂S=S\partial S = S∂S=S, is included but is not the only case.
  • Corrected misprint (milestone 3): the paper prints the solution of example 3 as (7/16,1/2)(7/16, 1/2)(7/16,1/2). That point has objective value −23/32-23/32−23/32, while the feasible vertex (1,0)(1,0)(1,0) has value −1-1−1. On the edge 3x−y=33x - y = 33x−y=3 the objective equals 3x2−7x+33x^2 - 7x + 33x2−7x+3, minimized at x=7/6x = 7/6x=7/6, value −13/12-13/12−13/12, the global minimum. The Lean states the corrected point (7/6,1/2)(7/6, 1/2)(7/6,1/2); the milestone text is kept verbatim.
  • In milestone 4, "local solution" is IsLocalMinOn relative to the box, and non-globality of (−1,3)(-1, 3)(−1,3) records the paper's word "proper".
  • Infrastructure needed: nearest boundary points of compact sets (Mathlib has IsCompact.exists_mem_frontier_infDist_compl_eq_dist, stated for the ambient metric), the fact that a closed ball about an interior point whose radius is the distance to the frontier lies in the set, and concavity on segments. A lemma that works for an arbitrary norm on the product would be reusable. Contributions of alternative proofs are welcome.

Selected references

  • Faiz A. Al-Khayyal and James E. Falk, Jointly Constrained Biconvex Programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(2):273–286, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.2.273
  • James E. Falk, A Linear Max-Min Problem, Mathematical Programming 5:169–188, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580119
  • Hiroshi Konno, A Cutting Plane Algorithm for Solving Bilinear Programs, Mathematical Programming 11:14–27, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580367
  • Olvi L. Mangasarian, Equilibrium Points of Bimatrix Games, Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics 12(4):778–780, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1137/0112064
  • Heinz Bauer, Minimalstellen von Funktionen und Extremalpunkte, Archiv der Mathematik 9:389–393, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01900582
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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Erdős Problem 30: Sidon sets in {1,…,N} have size √N + O(N^ε)Open Problem

Motivation

A set of integers is a Sidon set if all of its pairwise sums a+ba+ba+b (a≤ba\le ba≤b) are different. Sidon, in connection with Fourier analysis, asked how dense such sets can be, and the question became one of the standard problems of additive combinatorics. Let

h(N)=max⁡{∣A∣:A⊆{1,…,N}, A Sidon}.h(N)=\max\{|A| : A\subseteq\{1,\dots,N\},\ A \text{ Sidon}\}.h(N)=max{∣A∣:A⊆{1,…,N}, A Sidon}.

A counting argument shows h(N)≤(1+o(1))2Nh(N)\le (1+o(1))\sqrt{2N}h(N)≤(1+o(1))2N​, and the true order was settled early: h(N)∼Nh(N)\sim\sqrt Nh(N)∼N​. What remains open is the size of the error term h(N)−Nh(N)-\sqrt Nh(N)−N​. Erdős and Turán asked whether it is smaller than every power of NNN; Erdős offered $1000 for this problem (Erdős Problem #30), and it is also Problem 31 on Green's list of open problems and problem C9 in Guy's Unsolved Problems in Number Theory.

Timeline.

  • 1938 — Singer constructs, for every prime power qqq, a set of q+1q+1q+1 residues modulo q2+q+1q^2+q+1q2+q+1 with all differences distinct. Combined with the density of primes this gives h(N)≥(1−o(1))Nh(N)\ge(1-o(1))\sqrt Nh(N)≥(1−o(1))N​ (Singer 1938).
  • 1941 — Erdős and Turán prove h(N)≤N1/2+O(N1/4)h(N)\le N^{1/2}+O(N^{1/4})h(N)≤N1/2+O(N1/4) (Erdős–Turán 1941).
  • 1969 — Lindström gives an alternative proof with the explicit bound h(N)≤N1/2+N1/4+1h(N)\le N^{1/2}+N^{1/4}+1h(N)≤N1/2+N1/4+1 (Lindström 1969).
  • 2021 — Balogh, Füredi and Roy lower the constant: h(N)≤N1/2+0.998N1/4h(N)\le N^{1/2}+0.998N^{1/4}h(N)≤N1/2+0.998N1/4 for large NNN (arXiv:2103.15850).
  • 2022 — O'Bryant: h(N)≤N1/2+0.99703N1/4h(N)\le N^{1/2}+0.99703N^{1/4}h(N)≤N1/2+0.99703N1/4 for large NNN (arXiv:2207.07800).
  • 2023 — Carter, Hunter and O'Bryant: h(N)≤N1/2+0.98183N1/4+O(1)h(N)\le N^{1/2}+0.98183N^{1/4}+O(1)h(N)≤N1/2+0.98183N1/4+O(1), with substantial computer assistance (arXiv:2310.20032).

No upper bound with an error exponent below 1/41/41/4 is known, and no lower bound of the form h(N)≥N−O(Nε)h(N)\ge\sqrt N-O(N^{\varepsilon})h(N)≥N​−O(Nε) for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 is known either.

Setting

A set AAA in an additive commutative monoid is Sidon if for all i1,j1,i2,j2∈Ai_1,j_1,i_2,j_2\in Ai1​,j1​,i2​,j2​∈A,

i1+i2=j1+j2 ⟹ (i1=j1∧i2=j2) ∨ (i1=j2∧i2=j1).i_1+i_2=j_1+j_2\ \Longrightarrow\ (i_1=j_1\wedge i_2=j_2)\ \vee\ (i_1=j_2\wedge i_2=j_1).i1​+i2​=j1​+j2​ ⟹ (i1​=j1​∧i2​=j2​) ∨ (i1​=j2​∧i2​=j1​).

For a finite set XXX, maxSidon⁡(X)\operatorname{maxSidon}(X)maxSidon(X) is the largest size of a Sidon subset of XXX (the empty set is Sidon, so this is well defined), and

h(N)=maxSidon⁡({1,2,…,N}),h(0)=0.h(N)=\operatorname{maxSidon}(\{1,2,\dots,N\}),\qquad h(0)=0.h(N)=maxSidon({1,2,…,N}),h(0)=0.

The first values are h(1),…,h(15)=1,2,2,3,3,3,4,4,4,4,4,5,5,5,5h(1),\dots,h(15)=1,2,2,3,3,3,4,4,4,4,4,5,5,5,5h(1),…,h(15)=1,2,2,3,3,3,4,4,4,4,4,5,5,5,5 (OEIS A143824).

Formalization targets

Goal (Erdős Problem #30)

∀ε>0:h(N)−N=O ⁣(Nε)(N→∞).\forall\varepsilon>0:\qquad h(N)-\sqrt N = O\!\left(N^{\varepsilon}\right)\quad(N\to\infty).∀ε>0:h(N)−N​=O(Nε)(N→∞).

This is a two-sided statement: it asks both for an upper bound h(N)≤N+CεNεh(N)\le\sqrt N+C_\varepsilon N^\varepsilonh(N)≤N​+Cε​Nε and for a matching lower bound h(N)≥N−CεNεh(N)\ge\sqrt N-C_\varepsilon N^\varepsilonh(N)≥N​−Cε​Nε for large NNN. Erdős asked it as a yes/no question; the goal fixes the conjectured answer yes, so a disproof on the platform settles the question negatively.

Milestones (known results, weakest to strongest)

  1. Singer's construction: h(q2+q+1)≥q+1h(q^2+q+1)\ge q+1h(q2+q+1)≥q+1 for every prime power qqq.
  2. Singer's lower bound: h(N)≥(1−ε)Nh(N)\ge(1-\varepsilon)\sqrt Nh(N)≥(1−ε)N​ for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and all large NNN.
  3. Erdős–Turán / Lindström: h(N)≤N+N1/4+1h(N)\le\sqrt N+N^{1/4}+1h(N)≤N​+N1/4+1 for all NNN.
  4. Balogh–Füredi–Roy: h(N)≤N+0.998N1/4h(N)\le\sqrt N+0.998N^{1/4}h(N)≤N​+0.998N1/4 for all large NNN.
  5. O'Bryant: h(N)≤N+0.99703N1/4h(N)\le\sqrt N+0.99703N^{1/4}h(N)≤N​+0.99703N1/4 for all large NNN.
  6. Carter–Hunter–O'Bryant: h(N)≤N+0.98183N1/4+Ch(N)\le\sqrt N+0.98183N^{1/4}+Ch(N)≤N​+0.98183N1/4+C for an absolute constant CCC.

Significance

The result itself. An affirmative answer would pin h(N)h(N)h(N) down to N\sqrt NN​ up to a sub-polynomial error, in both directions; Erdős even speculated that h(N)=N+O(1)h(N)=\sqrt N+O(1)h(N)=N​+O(1) might hold, while remarking that this is perhaps too optimistic. A negative answer would show that the Singer-type constructions or the counting upper bounds are off by a power of NNN. Either answer would be the first change in the exponent of the error term since 1941.

Formalizing it. The goal is open. All milestones are published theorems. The platform already contains weaker related results in other formalizations (for example the order-of-magnitude bounds cN≤max⁡∣A∣≤2N+1c\sqrt N\le \max|A|\le\sqrt{2N}+1cN​≤max∣A∣≤2N​+1 for Sidon subsets of an initial segment, and the Erdős–Turán construction); the sharp bounds listed as milestones are not stated there for this hhh. The upper bounds of Balogh–Füredi–Roy and O'Bryant are elementary but delicate optimizations, and the Carter–Hunter–O'Bryant bound relies on a large computation, so formalizing it is a substantial verification task in its own right.

Difficulty

For the upper bound, every known argument counts differences a−a′a-a'a−a′ in short windows and loses at the scale N1/4N^{1/4}N1/4; improvements since 1941 only change the constant in front of N1/4N^{1/4}N1/4. For the lower bound, the constructions (Singer, Bose, Ruzsa) produce Sidon sets of size about p\sqrt pp​ in a modulus ppp of size about NNN, and the loss comes from the gap between NNN and the nearest admissible modulus; bringing it below NεN^\varepsilonNε requires either new constructions or information about primes in very short intervals that is far beyond current knowledge.

Formalization scope

Sidon sets are formalized for sets in an arbitrary additive commutative monoid, with the definition, the decidability instance and maxSidon⁡\operatorname{maxSidon}maxSidon transcribed from the formal-conjectures library (definitions IsSidon, Finset.maxSidonSubsetCard, and Erdos30.h in FormalConjectures/ErdosProblems/30.lean), placed in the namespace Erdos30. The value h(N)h(N)h(N) is a natural number cast to R\mathbb RR; ⋅\sqrt{\cdot}⋅​ is the real square root and NεN^{\varepsilon}Nε, N1/4N^{1/4}N1/4 are real powers of N≥0N\ge 0N≥0. The goal's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is Mathlib's Asymptotics.IsBigO along atTop on N\mathbb NN. The goal is not trivialized by any junk value: hhh is a genuine finite maximum, and the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) statement concerns all large NNN.

Useful infrastructure: basic lemmas on Sidon sets (hereditary under subsets, translation invariance, distinct differences), finite projective geometry or Bose's construction for the lower bounds, and prime gaps (Bertrand's postulate suffices for h(N)≥cNh(N)\ge c\sqrt Nh(N)≥cN​ with c<1c<1c<1; a prime number theorem in short intervals is needed for 1−o(1)1-o(1)1−o(1)). Contributions of reusable Sidon-set lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Singer, A theorem in finite projective geometry and some applications to number theory, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 43 (1938), 377–385. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1938-1501951-4
  • P. Erdős and P. Turán, On a problem of Sidon in additive number theory, and on some related problems, J. London Math. Soc. 16 (1941), 212–215. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-16.4.212
  • B. Lindström, An inequality for B2B_2B2​-sequences, J. Combin. Theory 6 (1969), 211–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0021-9800(69)80124-9
  • J. Balogh, Z. Füredi and S. Roy, An upper bound on the size of Sidon sets, Amer. Math. Monthly (2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.15850
  • K. O'Bryant, On the size of finite Sidon sets (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.07800
  • D. Carter, Z. Hunter and K. O'Bryant, On the diameter of finite Sidon sets (2023). https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.20032
  • K. O'Bryant, A complete annotated bibliography of work related to Sidon sequences, Electron. J. Combin. DS11 (2004). https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0407117
  • T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #30, https://www.erdosproblems.com/30
  • Google DeepMind, formal-conjectures, FormalConjectures/ErdosProblems/30.lean. https://github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures
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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Erdős Problem 3: arithmetic progressions in sets with divergent reciprocal sumOpen Problem

Motivation

Which sets of positive integers are forced to contain long arithmetic progressions? Van der Waerden (1927) showed that in any finite colouring of N\mathbb NN some colour class does; Erdős and Turán (1936) asked for a density version, which became Szemerédi's theorem. Erdős then proposed the strongest natural size condition: divergence of the reciprocal sum. Erdős Problem #3 (erdosproblems.com/3) asks whether every A⊆NA\subseteq\mathbb NA⊆N with ∑n∈A1/n=∞\sum_{n\in A}1/n=\infty∑n∈A​1/n=∞ contains arbitrarily long arithmetic progressions. Erdős attached one of his largest prizes to it. The primes are the motivating example: ∑p1/p=∞\sum_p 1/p=\infty∑p​1/p=∞, so a positive answer would contain the Green–Tao theorem.

Timeline.

  • 1936 — Erdős and Turán conjecture that sets of positive density contain arbitrarily long progressions.
  • 1953 — Roth proves the case k=3k=3k=3 of the density conjecture by Fourier analysis.
  • 1975 — Szemerédi proves the density conjecture for all kkk.
  • 2001 — Gowers gives the first quantitative bounds for all kkk: rk(N)≪N/(log⁡log⁡N)ckr_k(N)\ll N/(\log\log N)^{c_k}rk​(N)≪N/(loglogN)ck​.
  • 2008 — Green and Tao prove that the primes contain arbitrarily long progressions.
  • 2020 — Bloom and Sisask prove r3(N)≪N/(log⁡N)1+cr_3(N)\ll N/(\log N)^{1+c}r3​(N)≪N/(logN)1+c, which settles the case k=3k=3k=3 of Erdős Problem #3.
  • 2023 — Kelley and Meka prove r3(N)≤Nexp⁡(−c(log⁡N)1/12)r_3(N)\le N\exp(-c(\log N)^{1/12})r3​(N)≤Nexp(−c(logN)1/12).
  • 2024 — Leng, Sah and Sawhney prove rk(N)≤Nexp⁡(−(log⁡log⁡N)ck)r_k(N)\le N\exp(-(\log\log N)^{c_k})rk​(N)≤Nexp(−(loglogN)ck​) for every k≥5k\ge5k≥5.

The problem is open for every k≥4k\ge4k≥4.

Setting

A set S⊆NS\subseteq\mathbb NS⊆N is an arithmetic progression of length kkk if ∣S∣=k|S|=k∣S∣=k and S={a,a+d,…,a+(k−1)d}S=\{a,a+d,\dots,a+(k-1)d\}S={a,a+d,…,a+(k−1)d} for some a,d∈Na,d\in\mathbb Na,d∈N (for k≥2k\ge2k≥2 the size condition forces d>0d>0d>0). For k,N∈Nk,N\in\mathbb Nk,N∈N, rk(N)r_k(N)rk​(N) denotes the largest size of a subset of {1,…,N}\{1,\dots,N\}{1,…,N} containing no arithmetic progression of length kkk. A set AAA has divergent reciprocal sum if ∑n∈A1/n=∞\sum_{n\in A}1/n=\infty∑n∈A​1/n=∞.

Formalization targets

Goal (Erdős Problem #3)

For every A⊆NA\subseteq\mathbb NA⊆N,

∑n∈A1n=∞ ⟹ A contains arithmetic progressions of arbitrarily large length.\sum_{n\in A}\frac1n=\infty\ \Longrightarrow\ A\ \text{contains arithmetic progressions of arbitrarily large length}.n∈A∑​n1​=∞ ⟹ A contains arithmetic progressions of arbitrarily large length.

This is the formal-conjectures statement erdos_3 with its answer(sorry) instantiated to the conjectured answer yes. A disproof of the goal on the platform settles the problem negatively.

Milestones

  • Szemerédi's theorem for sets of positive upper density (the density case), and the existing platform statement rk(N)=o(N)r_k(N)=o(N)rk​(N)=o(N).
  • The Green–Tao theorem (the case A=A=A= primes).
  • The Bloom–Sisask bound on r3(N)r_3(N)r3​(N) and its corollary, the case k=3k=3k=3 of the goal; the Kelley–Meka bound (existing platform statement).
  • The Leng–Sah–Sawhney bound for k≥5k\ge5k≥5.
  • The partial-summation reduction: bounds rk(N)≤N/(log⁡N)1+ckr_k(N)\le N/(\log N)^{1+c_k}rk​(N)≤N/(logN)1+ck​ for all k≥3k\ge3k≥3 imply the goal.

Significance

A positive answer would be a common strengthening of Szemerédi's theorem and the Green–Tao theorem, obtained from a single size condition with no arithmetic structure. Through the reduction milestone, it is closely tied to the quantitative theory of rk(N)r_k(N)rk​(N): bounds of the shape N/(log⁡N)1+cN/(\log N)^{1+c}N/(logN)1+c for every kkk would suffice. Formalizing the milestones would also give reusable Lean statements of Szemerédi-type theorems in a common language.

Difficulty

Divergence of ∑1/n\sum 1/n∑1/n is a very weak condition: such sets can have density zero, and the natural approach through rk(N)r_k(N)rk​(N) requires bounds just past N/log⁡NN/\log NN/logN. For k=3k=3k=3 this barrier was only broken in 2020. For k≥4k\ge4k≥4 the best known bounds (Leng–Sah–Sawhney) save only a power of log⁡log⁡N\log\log NloglogN in the exponent, far from what is needed. The Green–Tao method uses pseudorandom majorants specific to the primes and does not apply to arbitrary sets.

Formalization scope

All statements import the published definition file Erdos142Basic, which reproduces the formal-conjectures definitions IsAPOfLengthWith, IsAPOfLength and the counting function r k N (over {1,…,N}\{1,\dots,N\}{1,…,N}). The reciprocal-sum hypothesis is ¬ Summable (fun a : A ↦ 1 / (a : ℝ)); the element 000, if present, contributes 1/0=01/0=01/0=0. "Arbitrarily long" is written as ∃ᶠ k in atTop, which is equivalent to "every length" because sub-progressions of progressions are progressions. Bounds stated in the literature with ≪\ll≪ are written without a multiplicative constant and with "for all sufficiently large NNN"; the constant can be absorbed into the exponent. Contributions formalizing partial summation over sets of naturals and the equivalence of the "frequently" and "for every kkk" forms are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Erdős and P. Turán, On some sequences of integers, J. London Math. Soc. 11 (1936).
  • K. F. Roth, On certain sets of integers, J. London Math. Soc. 28 (1953).
  • E. Szemerédi, On sets of integers containing no k elements in arithmetic progression, Acta Arith. 27 (1975).
  • W. T. Gowers, A new proof of Szemerédi's theorem, Geom. Funct. Anal. 11 (2001).
  • B. Green and T. Tao, The primes contain arbitrarily long arithmetic progressions, Ann. of Math. 167 (2008).
  • T. F. Bloom and O. Sisask, Breaking the logarithmic barrier in Roth's theorem on arithmetic progressions, arXiv:2007.03528 (2020).
  • Z. Kelley and R. Meka, Strong bounds for 3-progressions, FOCS 2023, arXiv:2302.05537.
  • J. Leng, A. Sah and M. Sawhney, Improved bounds for Szemerédi's theorem, arXiv:2402.17995 (2024).
  • T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #3, https://www.erdosproblems.com/3
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Number Theory·Captain: Lucas

Erdős Problem 1210: reciprocal gaps of pairwise coprime setsOpen Problem

Motivation

A set AAA of positive integers is pairwise coprime if gcd⁡(a,b)=1\gcd(a,b)=1gcd(a,b)=1 for all distinct a,b∈Aa,b\in Aa,b∈A. The primes are the model example, and a recurring theme in Erdős's combinatorial number theory is that pairwise coprime sets cannot do much better than the primes on natural additive or harmonic statistics. Erdős Problem 1210 asks for a sharp version of this principle for the harmonic weight 1/(n−a)1/(n-a)1/(n−a), which measures how densely a coprime set can crowd the point nnn from below.

Timeline.

  • 1977. In [Er77c, p.64] Erdős posed a question about the primes q1<⋯<qkq_1<\dots<q_kq1​<⋯<qk​ in an interval (n,m](n,m](n,m]: is ∑i1/(qi−n)<∑p<m−n1/p+O(1)\sum_i 1/(q_i-n)<\sum_{p<m-n}1/p+O(1)∑i​1/(qi​−n)<∑p<m−n​1/p+O(1)?
  • 1980. In [Er80, p.112] he wrote that he had "not stated [this] quite correctly" in [Er77c] and posed the question for arbitrary pairwise coprime sets A⊆[1,n)A\subseteq[1,n)A⊆[1,n), which is the form recorded as Problem 1210.
  • 2026. On the erdosproblems.com forum, a reduction to a counting bound for A∩[n−x,n)A\cap[n-x,n)A∩[n−x,n) was suggested; it was then observed that this counting bound would itself imply an open inequality of the type π(x+y)≤π(x)+π(y)+O(y/(log⁡y)2)\pi(x+y)\le\pi(x)+\pi(y)+O(y/(\log y)^2)π(x+y)≤π(x)+π(y)+O(y/(logy)2) (compare Problem 855). The problem remains open.

Setting

Fix a natural number nnn. Consider finite sets AAA of integers with 1≤a<n1\le a<n1≤a<n for every a∈Aa\in Aa∈A, and with gcd⁡(a,b)=1\gcd(a,b)=1gcd(a,b)=1 for all distinct a,b∈Aa,b\in Aa,b∈A. For such a set define the reciprocal gap sum

Sn(A)=∑a∈A1n−a.S_n(A)=\sum_{a\in A}\frac{1}{n-a}.Sn​(A)=a∈A∑​n−a1​.

Every term is at most 111, and the element a=n−da=n-da=n−d contributes 1/d1/d1/d. Write ∑p<n1/p\sum_{p<n}1/p∑p<n​1/p for the sum of reciprocals of the primes below nnn; by Mertens' theorem it equals log⁡log⁡n+O(1)\log\log n+O(1)loglogn+O(1). Throughout, π(x)\pi(x)π(x) denotes the number of primes p≤xp\le xp≤x.

Target

The goal of the mission is the affirmative answer to Problem 1210: there is an absolute constant CCC such that

Sn(A)  ≤  ∑p<n1p+CS_n(A)\;\le\;\sum_{p<n}\frac1p+CSn​(A)≤p<n∑​p1​+C

for every nnn and every pairwise coprime A⊆[1,n)A\subseteq[1,n)A⊆[1,n). A negative answer is equally welcome and is recorded by disproving the goal statement.

The milestones are:

  1. Small prime factors. For pairwise coprime AAA, at most π(x)\pi(x)π(x) elements of A∩[n−x,n)A\cap[n-x,n)A∩[n−x,n) have a prime factor ≤x\le x≤x.
  2. Partial summation reduction. If ∣A∩[n−x,n)∣≤π(x)+O(x/(log⁡x)2)|A\cap[n-x,n)|\le\pi(x)+O(x/(\log x)^2)∣A∩[n−x,n)∣≤π(x)+O(x/(logx)2) uniformly, then the goal holds.
  3. The [Er77c] variant. For the primes qiq_iqi​ in (n,m](n,m](n,m], ∑i1/(qi−n)<∑p<m−n1/p+O(1)\sum_i 1/(q_i-n)<\sum_{p<m-n}1/p+O(1)∑i​1/(qi​−n)<∑p<m−n​1/p+O(1).

Significance

The result itself. An affirmative answer would say that, for the weight 1/(n−a)1/(n-a)1/(n−a), no pairwise coprime set beats the primes by more than a constant, and would give a quantitative form of the heuristic that coprime sets behave like sets of primes near a point. A negative answer would exhibit coprime sets that concentrate near nnn more efficiently than the primes do in the harmonic sense. The [Er77c] variant concerns only primes, and relates the distribution of primes just above nnn to the primes below the interval length m−nm-nm−n.

Formalizing it. Neither the goal nor the [Er77c] variant is known. The mission produces Lean statements checked against the source, a reduction (milestone 2), to be verified in Lean, that isolates exactly which counting estimate would suffice, and the elementary coprimality lemma (milestone 1). These pin down what a proof or disproof must supply.

Difficulty

The natural first attempt splits A∩[n−x,n)A\cap[n-x,n)A∩[n−x,n) into elements with a prime factor ≤x\le x≤x, of which there are at most π(x)\pi(x)π(x), and xxx-rough elements, and then hopes that sieve bounds make the rough part O(x/(log⁡x)2)O(x/(\log x)^2)O(x/(logx)2). The obstruction is that AAA may contain many primes in [n−x,n)[n-x,n)[n−x,n). Bounding the number of primes in a short interval [n−x,n)[n-x,n)[n−x,n) by π(x)+O(x/(log⁡x)2)\pi(x)+O(x/(\log x)^2)π(x)+O(x/(logx)2) is a form of the second Hardy–Littlewood conjecture π(x+y)≤π(x)+π(y)\pi(x+y)\le\pi(x)+\pi(y)π(x+y)≤π(x)+π(y), which is open and known to be incompatible, in its exact form, with the prime kkk-tuples conjecture. So the counting route in milestone 2 needs input on primes in short intervals beyond current knowledge, and any proof of the goal must either supply such input or avoid pointwise counting.

Formalization scope

All objects are elementary: AAA is a Finset ℕ, coprimality is Nat.Coprime, primes are Nat.Prime, π\piπ is Nat.primeCounting, and the sums are real-valued. The source's O(1)O(1)O(1) is encoded as an existentially quantified real constant CCC chosen before nnn and AAA. The source asks a yes/no question; each statement is posed in its affirmative form, and a disproof (a proof of the negation) settles the negative answer. The standing hypothesis 1≤a<n1\le a<n1≤a<n means every denominator n−an-an−a is at least 111, so no division-by-zero default can make the statement trivial. The window [n−x,n)[n-x,n)[n−x,n) is written as a≥n−xa\ge n-xa≥n−x with truncated natural subtraction together with a<na<na<n.

No new definitions are required. Useful reusable contributions include Mertens-type estimates for ∑p<n1/p\sum_{p<n}1/p∑p<n​1/p, partial summation lemmas for finite sums over N\mathbb NN, and upper bounds for primes in short intervals.

Selected references

  • P. Erdős, Problems and results on combinatorial number theory. III, Number Theory Day (Proc. Conf., Rockefeller Univ., New York, 1976), (1977), 43–72. [Er77c]
  • P. Erdős, A survey of problems in combinatorial number theory, Ann. Discrete Math. (1980), 89–115. [Er80]
  • T. F. Bloom, Erdős Problem #1210, https://www.erdosproblems.com/1210 , and discussion thread https://www.erdosproblems.com/forum/thread/1210
  • Formal Conjectures project, ErdosProblems/1210.lean, https://github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures
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CombinatoricsNumber Theory·Captain: Lucas

Erdős Problem 52: the Erdős–Szemerédi sum–product conjectureOpen Problem

Motivation

Addition and multiplication interact in rigid ways: a finite set of numbers that is highly structured with respect to one operation (an arithmetic progression, say) tends to be unstructured with respect to the other (a geometric progression). The sum–product problem asks for the sharp quantitative form of this principle. It was posed by Erdős and Szemerédi in 1983 (Erdős Problem 52) and has since become a central question of additive combinatorics, with applications in incidence geometry, exponential sum estimates, expanders and randomness extraction.

Timeline.

  • 1983 — Erdős and Szemerédi show that max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥c∣A∣1+δ\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ge c|A|^{1+\delta}max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥c∣A∣1+δ for some absolute δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and every finite set of integers AAA, and conjecture exponent 2−ε2-\varepsilon2−ε.
  • 1997 — Nathanson obtains the explicit exponent 1+1311+\tfrac1{31}1+311​; Ford (1998) improves it to 1+1151+\tfrac1{15}1+151​.
  • 1997 — Elekes, using the Szemerédi–Trotter incidence theorem, proves ∣A+A∣ ∣AA∣≫∣A∣5/2|A+A|\,|AA|\gg|A|^{5/2}∣A+A∣∣AA∣≫∣A∣5/2 for finite sets of reals, hence exponent 5/45/45/4.
  • 2009 — Solymosi proves ∣A+A∣2∣AA∣≫∣A∣4/log⁡∣A∣|A+A|^2|AA|\gg |A|^4/\log|A|∣A+A∣2∣AA∣≫∣A∣4/log∣A∣ for finite sets of positive reals, hence exponent 4/34/34/3 up to a logarithmic factor.
  • 2015–2022 — Konyagin and Shkredov first break the 4/34/34/3 barrier (exponent 4/3+c4/3+c4/3+c for a small explicit c>0c>0c>0); after several improvements, Rudnev and Stevens reach 4/3+2/11674/3+2/11674/3+2/1167 up to logarithmic factors.

The conjecture itself remains open.

Setting

For a finite set A⊂ZA\subset\mathbb ZA⊂Z define the sumset and product set

A+A={a+b:a,b∈A},AA={ab:a,b∈A}.A+A=\{a+b : a,b\in A\},\qquad AA=\{ab : a,b\in A\}.A+A={a+b:a,b∈A},AA={ab:a,b∈A}.

For nonempty AAA both contain at least ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ elements and at most (∣A∣+12)\binom{|A|+1}{2}(2∣A∣+1​). The quantity of interest is max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)\max(|A+A|,|AA|)max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) as a function of ∣A∣|A|∣A∣.

Formalization targets

Goal (Erdős–Szemerédi conjecture)

For every 0<ε<10<\varepsilon<10<ε<1 there is Cε>0C_\varepsilon>0Cε​>0 such that for every finite set A⊂ZA\subset\mathbb ZA⊂Z,

max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) ≥ Cε ∣A∣2−ε.\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ \ge\ C_\varepsilon\,|A|^{2-\varepsilon}.max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣) ≥ Cε​∣A∣2−ε.

Known lower bounds (milestones, weakest to strongest)

∣A+A∣≥2∣A∣−1,max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≫∣A∣1+δ,≫∣A∣5/4,≫∣A∣4/3(log⁡∣A∣)1/3,≫ε∣A∣4/3+2/1167−ε.|A+A|\ge 2|A|-1,\qquad \max(|A+A|,|AA|)\gg|A|^{1+\delta},\qquad \gg|A|^{5/4},\qquad \gg\frac{|A|^{4/3}}{(\log|A|)^{1/3}},\qquad \gg_\varepsilon |A|^{4/3+2/1167-\varepsilon}.∣A+A∣≥2∣A∣−1,max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≫∣A∣1+δ,≫∣A∣5/4,≫(log∣A∣)1/3∣A∣4/3​,≫ε​∣A∣4/3+2/1167−ε.

Sharpness

The ε\varepsilonε cannot be removed: there is no C>0C>0C>0 with max⁡(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥C∣A∣2\max(|A+A|,|AA|)\ge C|A|^2max(∣A+A∣,∣AA∣)≥C∣A∣2 for all AAA (take A={1,…,n}A=\{1,\dots,n\}A={1,…,n}; the multiplication table ∣AA∣|AA|∣AA∣ is o(n2)o(n^2)o(n2) by Erdős).

Significance

A proof of the goal would settle the sharp form of the sum–product phenomenon over Z\mathbb ZZ. Sum–product estimates are an input to incidence bounds, to Bourgain–Katz–Tao-type results over finite fields, and to explicit constructions in theoretical computer science; improvements of the exponent over R\mathbb RR have come together with new incidence-geometric tools.

Formalization status: the milestones are published theorems (Erdős–Szemerédi, Elekes, Solymosi, Rudnev–Stevens, Erdős's multiplication table bound), but their proofs are not known to be formalized in Lean/Mathlib. The Szemerédi–Trotter theorem, multiplicative energy, and the Elekes and Solymosi arguments are reusable infrastructure. The goal itself is an open problem.

Difficulty

Incidence-geometric methods (Szemerédi–Trotter and its descendants) naturally produce exponents near 4/34/34/3, and passing beyond 4/34/34/3 has required intricate higher-energy arguments yielding only small gains. None of the existing approaches is known to reach exponents close to 222; even over Z\mathbb ZZ, where arithmetic structure is available, the best general bounds are the real-number ones.

Formalization scope

Sets are Finset ℤ; A+AA+AA+A and AAAAAA are Mathlib's pointwise sumset and product set (open scoped Pointwise), and cardinalities are cast to R\mathbb RR. Powers are real powers (Real.rpow). The empty set is allowed; the hypothesis ε<1\varepsilon<1ε<1 keeps every exponent positive, so the empty set contributes the trivial inequality 0≥00\ge 00≥0 rather than a junk value 00=10^0=100=1. The constant CCC may depend on ε\varepsilonε but not on AAA. The Solymosi milestone is stated for ∣A∣≥2|A|\ge2∣A∣≥2 so that log⁡∣A∣>0\log|A|>0log∣A∣>0.

The statements are for integer sets only; results proved over R\mathbb RR specialise to them. Contributions of general-purpose infrastructure (Szemerédi–Trotter over R\mathbb RR, multiplicative energy, bounds for the multiplication table) are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Erdős, E. Szemerédi, On sums and products of integers, Studies in Pure Mathematics, Birkhäuser, 1983, 213–218.
  • M. B. Nathanson, On sums and products of integers, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 125 (1997), 9–16.
  • K. Ford, Sums and products from a finite set of real numbers, Ramanujan J. 2 (1998), 59–66.
  • G. Elekes, On the number of sums and products, Acta Arith. 81 (1997), 365–367.
  • J. Solymosi, Bounding multiplicative energy by the sumset, Adv. Math. 222 (2009), 402–408. https://arxiv.org/abs/0806.1040
  • S. V. Konyagin, I. D. Shkredov, On sum sets of sets having small product set, Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 290 (2015), 288–299. https://arxiv.org/abs/1503.05771
  • M. Rudnev, S. Stevens, An update on the sum-product problem, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 173 (2022), 411–430. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.11145
  • Erdős Problem 52, https://www.erdosproblems.com/52
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