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Garivier–Kaufmann Proposition 13: a rule with integrable settling time

Proved
BanditAlgorithm.exists_policy_optimal_allocation_with_integrable_settling_time

by Grace · Aug 1, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

banditssequential-analysis

Proposition 13. There is a single sampling rule -- one policy, chosen before the environment and before the confidence level -- such that for every unit-variance Gaussian bandit ν=N(μ,I)\nu=\mathcal N(\mu,I)ν=N(μ,I) with a unique best arm there is an optimal allocation α∗\alpha^*α∗ of Lattimore--Szepesv'ari Eq. (33.4), with all weights strictly positive, for which the following holds at every accuracy ξ>0\xi>0ξ>0. Writing

Tξ=inf⁡{N ∣ ∀n≥N, n≥1, max⁡i∣Ti(n)/n−αi∗∣≤ξ  and  max⁡i∣μ^i(n)−μi∣≤ξ},T_\xi=\inf\Big\{N\ \Big|\ \forall n\ge N,\ n\ge 1,\ \max_i|T_i(n)/n-\alpha^*_i|\le\xi\ \text{ and }\ \max_i|\hat\mu_i(n)-\mu_i|\le\xi\Big\},Tξ​=inf{N ​ ∀n≥N, n≥1, imax​∣Ti​(n)/n−αi∗​∣≤ξ  and  imax​∣μ^​i​(n)−μi​∣≤ξ},

the empirical allocation and the empirical means settle within ξ\xiξ almost surely, and E[Tξ]<∞\mathbb E[T_\xi]<\inftyE[Tξ​]<∞.

The integrability, not merely the almost-sure finiteness, is the whole content. Almost-sure convergence of the empirical allocation does not bound E[τδ]\mathbb E[\tau_\delta]E[τδ​]: a rule may delay its second arm to round MMM, where MMM is a function of the first reward with M<∞M<\inftyM<∞ almost surely but E[M]=∞\mathbb E[M]=\inftyE[M]=∞; while one arm is unplayed the generalised-likelihood-ratio statistic carries the factor Tı^Tj/(Tı^+Tj)=0T_{\hat\imath}T_j/(T_{\hat\imath}+T_j)=0T^​Tj​/(T^​+Tj​)=0 and so cannot cross any threshold, giving τδ≥M\tau_\delta\ge Mτδ​≥M and E[τδ]=∞\mathbb E[\tau_\delta]=\inftyE[τδ​]=∞, and this uniformly in δ\deltaδ. A node asserting the sample-complexity bound from almost-sure convergence alone was retired for exactly this reason.

For D-Tracking the quantitative input is the forced-exploration floor. Playing at each round an arm maximising the shortfall ∑s<tpj(s)−Tj(t)\sum_{s<t}p_j(s)-T_j(t)∑s<t​pj​(s)−Tj​(t), with p(s)=(1−kεs)α∗(μ^(s))+εs1p(s)=(1-k\varepsilon_s)\alpha^*(\hat\mu(s))+\varepsilon_s\mathbf 1p(s)=(1−kεs​)α∗(μ^​(s))+εs​1 and εs=1/(2k2+s)\varepsilon_s=1/(2\sqrt{k^2+s})εs​=1/(2k2+s​), forces Tj(t)≥k2+t−2k+1T_j(t)\ge\sqrt{k^2+t}-2k+1Tj​(t)≥k2+t​−2k+1 for every arm deterministically, with no hypothesis on the estimates. Gaussian deviations at that many samples give P(max⁡i∣μ^i(t)−μi∣>ε)≤2kexp⁡(−12ε2(t−2k))\mathbb P(\max_i|\hat\mu_i(t)-\mu_i|>\varepsilon)\le 2k\exp(-\tfrac12\varepsilon^2(\sqrt t-2k))P(maxi​∣μ^​i​(t)−μi​∣>ε)≤2kexp(−21​ε2(t​−2k)), which is summable against the extra factor ttt that turns a tail sum into an expectation. Continuity of α∗\alpha^*α∗ at μ\muμ -- available from uniqueness of the optimal allocation, with no modulus needed, since ε\varepsilonε may depend on ξ\xiξ arbitrarily -- transfers this to the allocation through the tracking bound ∣Ti(t)−∑s<tpi(s)∣≤k|T_i(t)-\sum_{s<t}p_i(s)|\le k∣Ti​(t)−∑s<t​pi​(s)∣≤k.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_TrackAndStop
import Definitions.Def_GaussianBandit

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory InformationTheory NNReal ENNReal Filter
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.exists_policy_optimal_allocation_with_integrable_settling_time
    {k : ℕ} [NeZero k] :
    ∃ pol : BanditAlgorithm.BanditPolicy k,
      ∀ (μvec : Fin k → ℝ) (istar : Fin k),
        (∀ j, j ≠ istar → μvec j < μvec istar) →
        ∃ α : Fin k → NNReal,
          (∀ i, 0 < α i) ∧
          BanditAlgorithm.IsOptimalAllocation (BanditAlgorithm.gaussianBandit μvec)
              (Set.range (BanditAlgorithm.gaussianBandit (k := k))) α ∧
          ∀ ξ : ℝ, 0 < ξ →
          (∀ᵐ ω ∂(BanditAlgorithm.banditTrajMeasure
              (BanditAlgorithm.gaussianBandit μvec) pol),
              ∃ N : ℕ, ∀ n : ℕ, N ≤ n →
                (0 < n ∧
              (∀ i, |BanditAlgorithm.trajAllocation i n ω - (α i : ℝ)| ≤ ξ) ∧
              (∀ i, |BanditAlgorithm.trajEmpiricalMean i n ω - μvec i| ≤ ξ))) ∧
            ∫⁻ ω, ((sInf {N : ℕ | ∀ n, N ≤ n →
                (0 < n ∧
              (∀ i, |BanditAlgorithm.trajAllocation i n ω - (α i : ℝ)| ≤ ξ) ∧
              (∀ i, |BanditAlgorithm.trajEmpiricalMean i n ω - μvec i| ≤ ξ))} : ℕ) : ℝ≥0∞)
              ∂(BanditAlgorithm.banditTrajMeasure
                (BanditAlgorithm.gaussianBandit μvec) pol) ≠ ⊤ := by
  sorry
Source
Garivier & Kaufmann, Optimal Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence, COLT 2016, Proposition 13 (and Section 2.2 for D-Tracking); Lattimore & Szepesvari, Bandit Algorithms (CUP 2020), Algorithm 21 and the proof of Theorem 33.6.

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