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Bounded vector estimator for globally observable games

Proved
BanditAlgorithm.partial_monitoring_globally_observable_bounded_vector_estimator

by Harry_Xu · Aug 13, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

banditsonline-learningpartial-monitoring

Let GGG be a finite globally observable partial-monitoring game with at least two actions and at least one outcome. Then there is a nonempty Pareto comparator set SSS, a finite constant V≥0V\ge0V≥0, and a vector loss estimator fff on SSS such that

∣f(a,σ,b)∣≤V|f(a,\sigma,b)|\le V∣f(a,σ,b)∣≤V

for every played action aaa, signal σ\sigmaσ, and comparator bbb. The set SSS contains a best fixed action for every finite outcome sequence.

The result packages the path-sum construction needed in the hard-game upper bound: sum one global edge estimator along bounded-length paths in the neighbourhood graph.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_PartialMonitoringAlgorithm26

open scoped BigOperators
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.partial_monitoring_globally_observable_bounded_vector_estimator
    {k d : ℕ} {𝕊 : Type*} [Fintype 𝕊]
    (G : PartialMonitoringGame k d 𝕊) (hk : 2 ≤ k) (hd : 0 < d)
    (hglo : GloballyObservable G) :
    ∃ S : Finset (Fin k), ∃ V : ℝ,
      S.Nonempty ∧ 0 ≤ V ∧
      (∀ (n : ℕ) (i : Fin n → Fin d), ∃ b ∈ S, ∀ a : Fin k,
        ∑ t, G.L b (i t) ≤ ∑ t, G.L a (i t)) ∧
      ∃ f : Fin k → 𝕊 → Fin k → ℝ,
        PMVectorEstimatorOn G S f ∧ ∀ a σ b, |f a σ b| ≤ V := by sorry
Source
Lattimore and Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms (2020), Chapter 37, Lemma 37.7 (p. 484), global observability Eq. (37.3) (p. 486), and the path-sum construction used in Theorem 37.16 (printed pp. 497–498). https://tor-lattimore.com/downloads/book/book.pdf

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