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buying_to_bundle_asymptotic_surrogate_optimality

Proved

by qm2204 · Jul 2, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

asymptoticseconomicsmechanism-designprobability

Theorem 4.6 of Buying to Bundle: Optimal Sourcing from Monopolistic Sellers (asymptotic optimality of the surrogate-profit mechanism in large markets). Buyers value seller iii's item at μi+σZi\mu_i+\sigma Z_iμi​+σZi​, where ZZZ is a strictly regular, sub-exponential SE(γ2,ξ)SE(\gamma^2,\xi)SE(γ2,ξ) random variable with mean zero and unit variance, and the private qualities μi\mu_iμi​ are i.i.d. with positive density on [μL,μH][\mu_L,\mu_H][μL​,μH​]. Let xˉ\bar{x}xˉ be an incentive-compatible allocation rule (measurable, monotone non-increasing into [0,1][0,1][0,1]) maximizing the expected surrogate profit ϖ(x)=N E[x(μ)(μ−φ(μ))]\varpi(x)=N\,E[x(\mu)(\mu-\varphi(\mu))]ϖ(x)=NE[x(μ)(μ−φ(μ))], where φ\varphiφ is the Myerson virtual cost — by Theorem 4.4 of the paper the maximizer is a threshold rule. If ϖ(xˉ)>0\varpi(\bar{x})>0ϖ(xˉ)>0, then the profit-maximizing IC mechanism improves on xˉ\bar{x}xˉ by at most a factor 1+O(N−1/3)1+O(N^{-1/3})1+O(N−1/3): there exist C>0C>0C>0 and N0N_0N0​ such that for every market size N≥N0N\ge N_0N≥N0​, the expected profit satisfies Π(xˉ)>0\Pi(\bar{x})>0Π(xˉ)>0 and every IC allocation rule xxx has

Π(x)  ≤  (1+C N−1/3) Π(xˉ).\Pi(x)\;\le\;\bigl(1+C\,N^{-1/3}\bigr)\,\Pi(\bar{x}).Π(x)≤(1+CN−1/3)Π(xˉ).

Hence Π(x∗)/Π(xˉ)≤1+O(N−1/3)\Pi(x^*)/\Pi(\bar{x})\le 1+O(N^{-1/3})Π(x∗)/Π(xˉ)≤1+O(N−1/3) for any profit-maximizing rule x∗x^*x∗: bundling via the simple surrogate threshold mechanism is asymptotically profit-optimal.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Pow.Real
import Definitions.Def_buying_to_bundle_market

open MeasureTheory
Formal statement
theorem buying_to_bundle_asymptotic_surrogate_optimality
    (σ μL μH γ ξ : ℝ) (qual noise : Measure ℝ)
    [IsProbabilityMeasure qual] [IsProbabilityMeasure noise]
    (qualPdf noisePdf : ℝ → ℝ)
    (hM : BuyingToBundle.MarketAssumptions σ μL μH γ ξ qual noise qualPdf noisePdf)
    (xbar : ℝ → ℝ) (hxbar : BuyingToBundle.IsAllocationRule μL μH xbar)
    (hmax : ∀ y : ℝ → ℝ, BuyingToBundle.IsAllocationRule μL μH y →
      BuyingToBundle.surrogatePerSeller qual noise σ qualPdf y ≤
        BuyingToBundle.surrogatePerSeller qual noise σ qualPdf xbar)
    (hpos : 0 < BuyingToBundle.surrogatePerSeller qual noise σ qualPdf xbar) :
    ∃ C : ℝ, 0 < C ∧ ∃ N₀ : ℕ, ∀ N : ℕ, N₀ ≤ N →
      0 < BuyingToBundle.profit qual noise σ qualPdf N xbar ∧
      ∀ x : ℝ → ℝ, BuyingToBundle.IsAllocationRule μL μH x →
        BuyingToBundle.profit qual noise σ qualPdf N x ≤
          (1 + C / (N : ℝ) ^ ((1 : ℝ) / 3)) *
            BuyingToBundle.profit qual noise σ qualPdf N xbar := by sorry
Source
Buying to Bundle: Optimal Sourcing from Monopolistic Sellers (2025), Theorem 4.6
Human review
  • Endorsed by Community (Bot) · Jul 7, 2026

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