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JAO Theorem 5 per initial state, small-diameter regime D<12D < 12D<12

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BanditAlgorithm.mdp_regret_lower_bound_jao_per_initial_state_small_diameter

by Grace · Aug 6, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

markov-decision-processesreinforcement-learning

The regime D<12D < 12D<12, i.e. δ=4/D>13\delta = 4/D > \tfrac13δ=4/D>31​, of the per-initial-state form of JAO Theorem 5, which the main construction of Section 6 excludes.

JAO handle it in footnote 11 (p. 1582) with a different instance. In this regime the hypothesis D≥20log⁡ASD \ge 20\log_A SD≥20logA​S forces A>2SA > 2SA>2S, so there are plenty of spare actions: one uses S−1S-1S−1 of them to connect all states directly, producing an MDP of diameter 111, and sets up an independent two-state gadget in each state with the remaining actions, exactly one state carrying a better action. The bandit lower bound of Auer et al. (2002b) then gives regret Ω(SAT)\Omega(\sqrt{SAT})Ω(SAT​), which suffices because D<12D < 12D<12 here, so SAT\sqrt{SAT}SAT​ and DSAT\sqrt{DSAT}DSAT​ agree up to a constant.

Note that rewards in this formalisation are a deterministic function of the state-action pair, so the per-state bandit must be built from transition probabilities, as in Figure 3, rather than from stochastic rewards.

On the quantifier. JAO Theorem 5 reads "there is an MDP MMM with SSS states, AAA actions, and diameter DDD, such that for any initial state s∈Ss \in Ss∈S the expected regret ... is ≥0.015DSAT\ge 0.015\sqrt{DSAT}≥0.015DSAT​", i.e. ∃M ∀s\exists M\,\forall s∃M∀s. Section 6 proves something weaker: on p. 1583 it says "we will consider the simpler MDP where all s∘s_\circs∘​-states are identified. We set this state to be the initial state", and the argument never leaves that state. The two readings are genuinely different, and JAO's construction cannot support the stronger one: let π0\pi_0π0​ read the initial state, let iii be its copy, and never leave copy iii, running a minimax-optimal bandit algorithm over that copy's A′A'A′ gadget actions. Staying is possible, since the gadget actions at s∘(i)s_\circ^{(i)}s∘(i)​ lead to sp(i)s_p^{(i)}sp(i)​ or stay and sp(i)s_p^{(i)}sp(i)​ returns; and the global optimal gain δ+ε2δ+ε\frac{\delta+\varepsilon}{2\delta+\varepsilon}2δ+εδ+ε​ is attainable inside a single copy. So from s∘(i∗)s_\circ^{(i^*)}s∘(i∗)​, π0\pi_0π0​ faces exactly the two-state gadget with A′A'A′ arms and suffers only Θ(TA′/δ)\Theta(\sqrt{TA'/\delta})Θ(TA′/δ​), a factor ≍k\asymp\sqrt{k}≍k​ below TkA′/δ≍DSAT\sqrt{TkA'/\delta} \asymp \sqrt{DSAT}TkA′/δ​≍DSAT​. Whichever copy carries the planted action, the initial state in that copy is the cheap one.

Nor is it a matter of bookkeeping: the argument needs a plantable action that the reference algorithm plays rarely, and averaging over the mmm actions gives 1m(T2+12δ)\frac1m(\frac T2 + \frac1{2\delta})m1​(2T​+2δ1​) for a fixed start but only Sm(⋯ )\frac Sm(\cdots)mS​(⋯) for one action good at all SSS starts simultaneously, which turns DSAT\sqrt{DSAT}DSAT​ into DAT\sqrt{DAT}DAT​.

This node therefore states the per-initial-state form, ∀s ∃M\forall s\,\exists M∀s∃M: the hard MDP may depend on the initial state, which costs nothing, since the construction is simply relabelled so that sss plays the role of s∘s_\circs∘​. That is the standard reading of "for any initial state there is a hard MDP", it is exactly what Section 6 establishes, and it is what the O~(DSAT)\tilde O(DS\sqrt{AT})O~(DSAT​) upper bound of the same paper is compared against. Note that the stronger ∃M ∀s\exists M\,\forall s∃M∀s form is not known to be false: it quantifies existentially over MDPs, and refuting it would mean showing that every MDP with these parameters admits a cheap initial state. Camping is cheap only because JAO's optimal gain lives inside one copy; an MDP whose optimal gain needs correct actions at many states, or one that mixes in O(D)O(D)O(D) steps, could plausibly satisfy it. Only the route through this construction is closed.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Sqrt
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Log.Basic
import Definitions.Def_FiniteMDPLearning

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.mdp_regret_lower_bound_jao_per_initial_state_small_diameter :
    ∃ C : ℝ, 0 < C ∧
      ∀ S A T : ℕ, ∀ D : ℝ, 10 ≤ S → 10 ≤ A →
        20 * (Real.log S / Real.log A) ≤ D → D * S * A ≤ (T : ℝ) → D < 12 →
          ∀ π : MDPPolicy S A, ∀ s : Fin S,
            ∃ M : FiniteMDP S A,
              mdpDiameterENN M ≤ ENNReal.ofReal D ∧
              C * Real.sqrt (D * S * A * T) ≤
                ∫ h, mdpRegret M T h ∂(mdpMeasure M (mdpStateDirac s) π T) := by
  sorry
Source
Jaksch, Ortner & Auer, "Near-optimal Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning", JMLR 11 (2010) 1563-1600, Theorem 5 (p. 1581) and Section 6 (pp. 1582-1586). Lemma 13 is adapted from Auer, Cesa-Bianchi, Freund & Schapire, "The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem", SIAM J. Comput. 32 (2002) 48-77, Theorem A.2.

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