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Theorem 4.4.5 — monotone value/consumption across a ≤icv\le_{icv}≤icv​-ordered regime chain

Disproved
MDPFinance.ConsumptionInvestment.regime_monotone_value_consumption

by Shuze Chen · Sep 27, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

comparative-staticsmathematical-financestochastic-orders

One stock, EYE_YEY​ linearly ordered, (Yn)(Y_n)(Yn​) stochastically monotone, Q1≤icv⋯≤icvQmQ_1\le_{\mathrm{icv}}\cdots\le_{\mathrm{icv}} Q_mQ1​≤icv​⋯≤icv​Qm​. Then (using Theorem 4.4.2's solution): a) Jn(x,j)J_n(x,j)Jn​(x,j) is increasing in jjj, cn∗(x,j)c_n^*(x,j)cn∗​(x,j) decreasing in jjj; b) if α∗(j)≥0\alpha^*(j)\ge0α∗(j)≥0 for every jjj, an∗(x,j)a_n^*(x,j)an∗​(x,j) is increasing in jjj.

Formalization Note. Builds on Theorem 4.4.2's solution data (dseq, αstar) as explicit hypotheses, matching the book's own proof ("According to Theorem 4.4.2 it suffices to show that dn(j)d_n(j)dn​(j) is increasing in jjj").

Formalization Note (moderation). Part (b)'s hypothesis α∗(j)≥0\alpha^*(j)\ge 0α∗(j)≥0 conditions part (b) only, not parts (a); the regime-independent support (A~\tilde AA~ common to all regimes) and the positivity of dn(j)d_n(j)dn​(j) are carried as in Theorems 4.4.2 and 4.4.4.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_MDPFinance_ConsumptionInvestment_RegimeMarket
import Definitions.Def_MDPFinance_ConsumptionInvestment_RegimePowerAuxiliary
import Definitions.Def_MDPFinance_ConsumptionInvestment_StochasticOrders

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
namespace MDPFinance.ConsumptionInvestment

/-- Theorem 4.4.5 (Bäuerle–Rieder, p. 105, PDF 119). One stock (`d = 1`), `E_Y = Fin m` linearly
ordered, the support of `R(j)` independent of `j` (a common admissible set `Ã`, `hsupp`), `(Y_n)`
stochastically monotone, `Q_j ≤_icv Q_k` whenever `j ≤ k`. With the power-utility solution of
Theorem 4.4.2 (positive `d_n(j)`, `c_n^*(x,j) = x(γd_n(j))^{-δ}`,
`a_n^*(x,j) = (x-c_n^*(x,j))α^*(j)`): a) `J_n(x,j) = d_n(j)x^γ` is increasing in `j` and
`c_n^*(x,j)` is decreasing in `j`; b) if `α^*(j) ≥ 0` for every `j` then `a_n^*(x,j)` is
increasing in `j`. -/
theorem regime_monotone_value_consumption {m : ℕ} (M : RegimeSwitchingMarket (Fin m) 1)
    (hsupp : ∀ j k : Fin m, M.Afrac j = M.Afrac k)
    (hmono : IsStochasticallyMonotoneChain M.p)
    (hicv : ∀ j k : Fin m, j ≤ k →
      LEIncreasingConcaveOrder ((M.Q j).map (fun z => z 0)) ((M.Q k).map (fun z => z 0)))
    (γ : ℝ) (hγ0 : 0 < γ) (hγ1 : γ < 1)
    (hUc : ∀ x ≥ (0 : ℝ), M.Uc x = x ^ γ / γ) (hUp : ∀ x ≥ (0 : ℝ), M.Up x = x ^ γ / γ)
    (dseq : ℕ → Fin m → ℝ) (hdpos : ∀ n j, 0 < dseq n j) (hd0 : ∀ j, dseq 0 j = γ⁻¹)
    (hdrec : ∀ n, ∀ j,
      dseq (n + 1) j ^ ((1 - γ)⁻¹) = γ ^ (-(1 - γ)⁻¹) +
        (M.β * (1 + M.i) ^ γ * M.vPower γ j) ^ ((1 - γ)⁻¹) *
          ∑ k, M.p j k * dseq n k ^ ((1 - γ)⁻¹))
    (αstar : Fin m → (Fin 1 → ℝ)) (hαstar_mem : ∀ j, αstar j ∈ M.Afrac j)
    (hαstar_opt : ∀ j, ∫ z, (1 + ∑ k, αstar j k * z k) ^ γ ∂(M.Q j) = M.vPower γ j) :
    (∀ n, Monotone (dseq n)) ∧
      (∀ n, ∀ x ≥ (0 : ℝ), Antitone (fun j => x * (γ * dseq n j) ^ (-(1 - γ)⁻¹))) ∧
      ((∀ j, 0 ≤ αstar j 0) → ∀ n, ∀ x ≥ (0 : ℝ), Monotone (fun j =>
        (x - x * (γ * dseq n j) ^ (-(1 - γ)⁻¹)) * αstar j 0)) := by sorry

end MDPFinance.ConsumptionInvestment
Source
Bäuerle and Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Universitext, Springer 2011, DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9, p. 105, PDF 119, Theorem 4.4.5
Human review
  • Endorsed by Community (Bot) · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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