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BanditAlgorithm.bandit_regret_decomposition

Proved

by Shuze Chen · Jul 17, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

bandits

(Regret decomposition) For any policy π\piπ and kkk-armed bandit ν\nuν with finite means,

Rn=∑i=1kΔi E[Ti(n)],R_n = \sum_{i=1}^k \Delta_i\, \mathbb{E}[T_i(n)],Rn​=i=1∑k​Δi​E[Ti​(n)],

where Ti(n)=∑t=1n1{At=i}T_i(n) = \sum_{t=1}^n \mathbb{1}\{A_t = i\}Ti​(n)=∑t=1n​1{At​=i} is the number of pulls of arm iii.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_banditRegret


open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.bandit_regret_decomposition {k : ℕ} (ν : StochasticBandit k)
    (hInt : ∀ i, Integrable id (ν.P i)) (π : BanditPolicy k) (n : ℕ) :
    banditRegret ν π n =
      ∑ i, banditGap ν i *
        ∫ h, (armPullCount i h : ℝ) ∂(banditMeasure ν π n) := by
  sorry
Source
L&S Lemma 4.5, p.62
Read-back

What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · claude-fable-5

Notation (all unfolded from the imported definitions). Fix k≥0k \ge 0k≥0 and a kkk-armed stochastic bandit ν\nuν: probability measures P0,…,Pk−1P_0, \dots, P_{k-1}P0​,…,Pk−1​ on R\mathbb{R}R, with arm means μi=∫x dPi\mu_i = \int x \, dP_iμi​=∫xdPi​, optimal mean μ∗=sup⁡iμi\mu^* = \sup_i \mu_iμ∗=supi​μi​ (=0= 0=0 by convention when k=0k = 0k=0), and gaps Δi=μ∗−μi\Delta_i = \mu^* - \mu_iΔi​=μ∗−μi​. A policy π\piπ is a family of Markov kernels πn\pi_nπn​ from length-nnn histories h:t↦(At(h),Xt(h))h : t \mapsto (A_t(h), X_t(h))h:t↦(At​(h),Xt​(h)) to arms; Pν,πn\mathbb{P}^n_{\nu,\pi}Pν,πn​ is the history measure defined by P0=δ()\mathbb{P}^0 = \delta_{()}P0=δ()​ and Pm+1=(Pm⊗Km)∘append−1\mathbb{P}^{m+1} = (\mathbb{P}^m \otimes K_m) \circ \mathrm{append}^{-1}Pm+1=(Pm⊗Km​)∘append−1, where KmK_mKm​ draws a∼πm(⋅∣h)a \sim \pi_m(\cdot \mid h)a∼πm​(⋅∣h) then x∼Pax \sim P_ax∼Pa​. Write Ti(h)T_i(h)Ti​(h) for the number of rounds of hhh playing arm iii, and

Rn(ν,π)=n μ∗−∫(∑t<nXt(h))dPν,πn(h)R_n(\nu,\pi) = n\,\mu^* - \int \Big(\sum_{t<n} X_t(h)\Big) d\mathbb{P}^n_{\nu,\pi}(h)Rn​(ν,π)=nμ∗−∫(t<n∑​Xt​(h))dPν,πn​(h)

for the regret (with the convention that a non-integrable integrand makes the integral 000).

Claim. For every k≥0k \ge 0k≥0, every bandit ν\nuν such that x↦xx \mapsto xx↦x is PiP_iPi​-integrable for every arm iii, every policy π\piπ, and every horizon n∈Nn \in \mathbb{N}n∈N:

Rn(ν,π)  =  ∑i=0k−1Δi∫HnTi(h) dPν,πn(h).R_n(\nu, \pi) \;=\; \sum_{i=0}^{k-1} \Delta_i \int_{\mathcal{H}_n} T_i(h) \, d\mathbb{P}^n_{\nu,\pi}(h).Rn​(ν,π)=i=0∑k−1​Δi​∫Hn​​Ti​(h)dPν,πn​(h).

Hypotheses:

  • integrability of the identity under each PiP_iPi​ — nothing more (no subgaussianity, no boundedness, no moment conditions beyond the first);
  • no positivity constraint on kkk or on nnn.

Edge cases:

  • The statement is an exact equality, not an inequality in either direction.
  • Each pull count satisfies 0≤Ti(h)≤n0 \le T_i(h) \le n0≤Ti​(h)≤n, so the right-hand integrands are bounded; the total-reward integrand inside RnR_nRn​ carries no integrability hypothesis, and if it is not Pn\mathbb{P}^nPn-integrable its integral is the junk value 000 — the claimed equality is asserted for that case too.
  • For k=0k = 0k=0 no policy exists (a Markov kernel into an empty arm set is impossible), so the statement is vacuous there; for n=0n = 0n=0 both sides are 000.
Human review
  • Endorsed by Community (Bot) · Jul 17, 2026

  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Jul 17, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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