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Theorem 2(iv), corrected: uniform ergodicity vs. φ\varphiφ-mixing (Doeblin's full-measure form)

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MarkovChainCLT.uniformly_ergodic_iff_phi_mixing_ae

by Shuze Chen · Aug 21, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

markov-chainmixingprobabilityuniform-ergodicity

Let XXX be a Harris ergodic Markov chain with transition kernel PPP and stationary distribution π\piπ on a countably generated state space. Then:

  1. (uniform ergodicity ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ uniform mixing) If XXX is uniformly ergodic then φ(n)→0\varphi(n) \to 0φ(n)→0.
  2. (uniform mixing ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ uniform ergodicity, π\piπ-a.e.) If φ(n)→0\varphi(n) \to 0φ(n)→0 then there exist R≥0R \ge 0R≥0 and t∈[0,1)t \in [0, 1)t∈[0,1) such that for π\piπ-almost every xxx and every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, ∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥≤R tn\|P^n(x, \cdot) - \pi\| \le R\,t^n∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥≤Rtn.
  3. (exponential rate) If XXX is uniformly ergodic then there exist c≥0c \ge 0c≥0 and θ>0\theta > 0θ>0 with φ(n)≤c e−θn\varphi(n) \le c\,e^{-\theta n}φ(n)≤ce−θn for all n≥1n \ge 1n≥1.

This is the corrected form of Theorem 2(iv) of Jones (2004). Jones states the equivalence with uniform ergodicity in the sense of his eq. (3) — ∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥≤M(x)tn\|P^n(x,\cdot) - \pi\| \le M(x)t^n∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥≤M(x)tn with MMM bounded, at every xxx — but that reading of the converse is false: the countdown chain P(x,⋅)=δx−1P(x,\cdot) = \delta_{x-1}P(x,⋅)=δx−1​ on N\mathbb{N}N with π=δ0\pi = \delta_0π=δ0​ is Harris ergodic and has φ(n)≡0\varphi(n) \equiv 0φ(n)≡0 (its stationary version is the constant-zero path), yet sup⁡x∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥=1\sup_x \|P^n(x,\cdot) - \pi\| = 1supx​∥Pn(x,⋅)−π∥=1 for every nnn. The obstruction is structural: the mixing coefficients depend only on the law of the stationary process and so constrain PPP only on supp⁡π\operatorname{supp}\pisuppπ. Doeblin's theorem, as stated verbatim in Bradley's survey §3.2, restricts both hypothesis and conclusion to a set AAA with μ(A)=1\mu(A) = 1μ(A)=1; part 2 above is that full-measure form. Part 1 is the direction Jones actually uses downstream and is already proved instance-free as MarkovChainCLT.uniformlyErgodic_phiMixing_exp.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_MixingCoefficients
import Definitions.Def_MarkovErgodicity
import Definitions.Def_MarkovChainPathMeasure

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal Topology ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem MarkovChainCLT.uniformly_ergodic_iff_phi_mixing_ae {X : Type*} [MeasurableSpace X]
    [MeasurableSpace.CountablyGenerated X]
    (P : Kernel X X) [IsMarkovKernel P] (π : Measure X) [IsProbabilityMeasure π]
    (hP : MarkovChainCLT.HarrisErgodic P π) :
    (MarkovChainCLT.UniformlyErgodic P π →
        Tendsto (fun n => MarkovChainCLT.phiMixingCoef
          (MarkovChainCLT.chainMeasure P π) (fun i ω => ω i) n) atTop (𝓝 0))
    ∧ (Tendsto (fun n => MarkovChainCLT.phiMixingCoef
          (MarkovChainCLT.chainMeasure P π) (fun i ω => ω i) n) atTop (𝓝 0) →
        ∃ R t : ℝ, 0 ≤ R ∧ 0 ≤ t ∧ t < 1 ∧
          ∀ᵐ x ∂π, ∀ n : ℕ, 1 ≤ n →
            MarkovChainCLT.tvDist (MarkovChainCLT.iterKernel P n x) π ≤ R * t ^ n)
    ∧ (MarkovChainCLT.UniformlyErgodic P π → ∃ c θ : ℝ, 0 ≤ c ∧ 0 < θ ∧ ∀ n : ℕ, 1 ≤ n →
        MarkovChainCLT.phiMixingCoef (MarkovChainCLT.chainMeasure P π)
          (fun i ω => ω i) n ≤ c * Real.exp (-θ * n)) := by sorry
Source
Galin L. Jones, On the Markov Chain Central Limit Theorem, Probability Surveys 1 (2004) 299-320, https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0409112, Theorem 2, part 4 (p. 8) and eq. (3) (p. 3) — corrected to the full-measure-set form of the primary source: W. Doeblin (1938), as stated verbatim in R.C. Bradley, Basic Properties of Strong Mixing Conditions: A Survey and Some Open Questions, Probability Surveys 2 (2005) 107-144, https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0511078, section 3.2 and Theorem 3.4(2); Ibragimov & Linnik 1971, pp. 367-368; Bradley 1986, Theorem 4.2

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