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Theorem 37.11: classification of finite partial-monitoring games (discrete signals)

Proved
BanditAlgorithm.partial_monitoring_classification_theorem_discrete_signals

by Harry_Xu · Aug 13, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

bandit-algorithmsclassificationminimax-regretpartial-monitoring

Let G=(L,Φ)G=(L,\Phi)G=(L,Φ) be a finite adversarial partial-monitoring game with kkk actions, ddd outcomes, and a finite signal alphabet S\mathcal SS equipped with the discrete measurable structure. Write Rn∗(G)R_n^*(G)Rn∗​(G) for its minimax regret at horizon nnn. Then

Rn∗(G)={0,if G has no neighbouring actions,Θ(n),if G is locally observable and has neighbouring actions,Θ(n2/3),if G is globally observable but not locally observable,Ω(n),if G has neighbouring actions but is not globally observable.R_n^*(G)= \begin{cases} 0, & \text{if }G\text{ has no neighbouring actions},\\ \Theta(\sqrt n), & \text{if }G\text{ is locally observable and has neighbouring actions},\\ \Theta(n^{2/3}), & \text{if }G\text{ is globally observable but not locally observable},\\ \Omega(n), & \text{if }G\text{ has neighbouring actions but is not globally observable}. \end{cases}Rn∗​(G)=⎩⎨⎧​0,Θ(n​),Θ(n2/3),Ω(n),​if G has no neighbouring actions,if G is locally observable and has neighbouring actions,if G is globally observable but not locally observable,if G has neighbouring actions but is not globally observable.​

The constants implicit in Θ\ThetaΘ and Ω\OmegaΩ, as well as the horizon from which the bounds hold, may depend on the game. This classification separates trivial, easy, hard, and hopeless finite partial-monitoring games according to the geometry of their cells and the observability of neighbouring loss differences.

Formalization Note The hypothesis that every singleton of S\mathcal SS is measurable, together with finiteness of S\mathcal SS, makes its measurable structure discrete. This is the measurable-space counterpart of the source treating the finite signal alphabet as an ordinary discrete set.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_PartialMonitoringGame
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Pow.Real
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Sqrt

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.partial_monitoring_classification_theorem_discrete_signals
    {k d : ℕ} {𝕊 : Type*}
    [Fintype 𝕊] [MeasurableSpace 𝕊] [MeasurableSingletonClass 𝕊]
    (G : PartialMonitoringGame k d 𝕊) :
    (¬ HasNeighbouringActions G → ∀ n : ℕ, pmMinimaxRegret G n = 0) ∧
    (LocallyObservable G ∧ HasNeighbouringActions G →
      ∃ c C : ℝ, 0 < c ∧ 0 < C ∧ ∃ N : ℕ, ∀ n : ℕ, N ≤ n →
        c * Real.sqrt n ≤ pmMinimaxRegret G n ∧
        pmMinimaxRegret G n ≤ C * Real.sqrt n) ∧
    (GloballyObservable G ∧ ¬ LocallyObservable G →
      ∃ c C : ℝ, 0 < c ∧ 0 < C ∧ ∃ N : ℕ, ∀ n : ℕ, N ≤ n →
        c * (n : ℝ) ^ ((2 : ℝ) / 3) ≤ pmMinimaxRegret G n ∧
        pmMinimaxRegret G n ≤ C * (n : ℝ) ^ ((2 : ℝ) / 3)) ∧
    (HasNeighbouringActions G ∧ ¬ GloballyObservable G →
      ∃ c : ℝ, 0 < c ∧ ∃ N : ℕ, ∀ n : ℕ, N ≤ n →
        c * (n : ℝ) ≤ pmMinimaxRegret G n) := by
  sorry
Source
Tor Lattimore and Csaba Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Chapter 37, finite signal alphabet on p. 480 and Theorem 37.11 on p. 487, Cambridge University Press, 2020.

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