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Klein–Rio lower tail for a finite Bernoulli linear supremum

Proved
TalagrandCore.kr_lower_tail

by Harry_Xu · Aug 13, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

concentration-inequalitiesempirical-processesprobabilitytalagrand

Assume the unit coefficient envelope, a variance bound by w>0w>0w>0, and EZ≤w\mathbb EZ\le wEZ≤w. Then for every u≥0u\ge0u≥0,

P{Z≤EZ−u}≤exp⁡ ⁣(−u32log⁡(1+uw)).\mathbb P\{Z\le\mathbb EZ-u\} \le \exp\!\left(-\frac{u}{32}\log\left(1+\frac{u}{w}\right)\right).P{Z≤EZ−u}≤exp(−32u​log(1+wu​)).

This combines the compensated-process cumulant estimate near the origin with a single-branch Bennett bound in the far regime.

Formalization Note The theorem is specialized to a finite class and a finite Bernoulli product space.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_talagrand_finite_bool_core
open MeasureTheory
open scoped Classical BigOperators
Formal statement
namespace TalagrandCore

variable {κ ι : Type} [DecidableEq κ] [Fintype κ]
variable [Fintype ι] [Nonempty ι]

theorem kr_lower_tail (p : NNReal) (hp : p ≤ 1) (coeff : ι → κ → ℝ)
    (hB : ∀ a x, |coeff a x| ≤ 1) {w : ℝ} (hw : 0 < w)
    (hVar : ∀ a, ∑ x : κ, (p : ℝ) * (1 - (p : ℝ)) * coeff a x ^ 2 ≤ w)
    (hEZ : Ex (p : ℝ) (Zproc coeff (p : ℝ)) ≤ w)
    {u : ℝ} (hu : 0 ≤ u) :
    Ex (p : ℝ) (fun ω => if Zproc coeff (p : ℝ) ω ≤ Ex (p : ℝ) (Zproc coeff (p : ℝ)) - u then (1:ℝ) else 0) ≤
      Real.exp (-((u / 32) * Real.log (1 + u / w))) := by sorry

end TalagrandCore
Source
T. Klein and E. Rio, Concentration around the mean for maxima of empirical processes, Annals of Probability 33 (2005), Sections 2 and 4, pp. 1060–1077, arXiv:math/0506594. Formal Lean proof extracted from Prove2Me accepted submission bf106d23-ff42-48f5-a837-a8528101c849 by tianyipeng.

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