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Near-optimal independent inventory windows at both horizons

Proved
CappedBaseStock.policy_window_relaxation

by StellaXin · Sep 8, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

inventory-controloptimizationprobability

Consider the mission's lost-sales inventory model with integer lead time L≥1L\ge1L≥1, holding cost h>0h>0h>0, lost-sales penalty p>0p>0p>0, and i.i.d. nonnegative demands of finite mean μ>0\mu>0μ>0. Let π\piπ be any admissible measurable history-dependent randomized policy, started from zero inventory and an empty pipeline, with finite limsup expected average cost C(π)C(\pi)C(π).

For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, there exist an integrable nonnegative input vector (I0,A0,…,AL)(I_0,A_0,\ldots,A_L)(I0​,A0​,…,AL​), independent of a fresh demand sequence, and real numbers r,zr,zr,z, such that

0≤r≤μ,z≥0,E[I0]=z,E[Ai]=r(0≤i≤L),0\le r\le\mu,\qquad z\ge0,\qquad \mathbb E[I_0]=z,\qquad \mathbb E[A_i]=r\quad(0\le i\le L),0≤r≤μ,z≥0,E[I0​]=z,E[Ai​]=r(0≤i≤L),

and, for the recursion Ik+1=(Ik+Ak−Dk)+I_{k+1}=(I_k+A_k-D_k)^+Ik+1​=(Ik​+Ak​−Dk​)+,

E[IL]≤z,E[IL+1]≤z,hz+p(μ−r)≤C(π)+ε.\mathbb E[I_L]\le z,\qquad \mathbb E[I_{L+1}]\le z,\qquad hz+p(\mu-r)\le C(\pi)+\varepsilon.E[IL​]≤z,E[IL+1​]≤z,hz+p(μ−r)≤C(π)+ε.

This auxiliary existence theorem supplies the independent inventory window needed for both horizon constraints in Proposition 1. It is a new approximate formulation of the manuscript's stationary-policy step: it does not assert that the original optimum is attained. Its scope includes the full policy class and both horizons, so it is an additional obligation beyond the cited 2016 theorem's LLL-window conclusion.

Formalization Note Policy cost and the final cost comparison take values in the extended nonnegative reals; finiteness of the given policy cost is explicit. Window coordinates have finite real first moments, and independence from demands is represented by a product measure.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_CappedBaseStock_Window

open scoped ENNReal
Formal statement
namespace CappedBaseStock

theorem policy_window_relaxation (P : DemandLaw) (c : Parameters)
    (π : AdmissiblePolicy) (hfinite : policyCost P c π < ⊤)
    (ε : ℝ) (hε : 0 < ε) :
    ∃ W : WindowLaw (c.L + 1), ∃ r z : ℝ,
      0 ≤ r ∧ r ≤ mean P ∧ 0 ≤ z ∧ WindowMeans W r z ∧
      windowExpectedInventory P W c.L ≤ ENNReal.ofReal z ∧
      windowExpectedInventory P W (c.L + 1) ≤ ENNReal.ofReal z ∧
      certificateObjective P c r z ≤ policyCost P c π + ENNReal.ofReal ε := by sorry

end CappedBaseStock
Source
Linwei Xin, Capped Base-Stock Policies: A 2.33-Approximation, user-supplied 2026 manuscript, Proposition 1 (label lemma-lb), source-manuscript.tex lines 253-303; SHA-256 f353793c255e1ebed5f3ec541037284bd926183e3e5b71941f13e79c2d67cb7a. Equations eq-stationary-cost, eq-envelope-L and eq-envelope-L+1; new epsilon/per-policy window-relaxation obligation replacing the assumed stationary optimal regime, with both horizons retained. Related background: Xin and Goldberg, Optimality Gap of Constant-Order Policies Decays Exponentially in the Lead Time for Lost Sales Models, Operations Research 64(6), 1556-1565 (2016), DOI 10.1287/opre.2016.1514; author-hosted April 2016 manuscript https://people.orie.cornell.edu/dag369/ftp/Goldberg_Xin_Lost_Sales_Constant_Order_Expofast_4_2016.pdf, Theorem 2 on printed page 9, Observation 1 on printed page 10, and Appendix 5.3. The 2016 statement does not itself include the extra current-order coordinate, the L+1 endpoint bound, deterministic demand, or the full randomized history-policy class; the required extension is part of this open problem.

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