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Klein–Rio lower-tail cumulant bound for a finite linear supremum

Proved
TalagrandCore.kr_lower_cgf

by Harry_Xu · Aug 13, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

concentration-inequalitiesempirical-processesprobabilitytalagrand

Let ZZZ be a finite centered Bernoulli linear supremum with coefficient envelope one and variance proxy σ2\sigma^2σ2. For 0<t≤1/40<t\le1/40<t≤1/4,

log⁡Ee−tZ≤−t EZ+4(σ2+EZ)t2.\log\mathbb E e^{-tZ} \le -t\,\mathbb EZ+4(\sigma^2+\mathbb EZ)t^2.logEe−tZ≤−tEZ+4(σ2+EZ)t2.

This is the integrated compensated-process inequality underlying the lower-tail concentration estimate.

Formalization Note The integration is formalized through a frozen-branch derivative comparison and a right-slope fencing lemma.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_talagrand_finite_bool_core
open MeasureTheory
open scoped Classical BigOperators
Formal statement
namespace TalagrandCore

variable {κ ι : Type} [DecidableEq κ] [Fintype κ]
variable [Fintype ι] [Nonempty ι]

theorem kr_lower_cgf (p : NNReal) (hp : p ≤ 1) (coeff : ι → κ → ℝ)
    (hB : ∀ a x, |coeff a x| ≤ 1) {sigmaSq : ℝ}
    (hVar : ∀ a, ∑ x : κ, (p : ℝ) * (1 - (p : ℝ)) * coeff a x ^ 2 ≤ sigmaSq)
    {t : ℝ} (ht : 0 < t) (ht4 : t ≤ 1/4) :
    Real.log (Ex (p : ℝ) (fun ω => Real.exp (-(t * Zproc coeff (p : ℝ) ω)))) ≤
      -(t * Ex (p : ℝ) (Zproc coeff (p : ℝ))) +
        4 * (sigmaSq + Ex (p : ℝ) (Zproc coeff (p : ℝ))) * t ^ 2 := by sorry

end TalagrandCore
Source
T. Klein and E. Rio, Concentration around the mean for maxima of empirical processes, Annals of Probability 33 (2005), Sections 2 and 4, pp. 1060–1077, arXiv:math/0506594. Formal Lean proof extracted from Prove2Me accepted submission bf106d23-ff42-48f5-a837-a8528101c849 by tianyipeng.

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