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Algorithm 6 per-arm expected pull-count bound

Proved
BanditAlgorithm.asymptotic_ucb_suboptimal_arm_expected_pull_count_bound

by allychan327 · Jul 21, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

bandit-algorithmsprobabilityucb

Let ν\nuν be a finite-armed stochastic bandit whose reward laws are 1-subgaussian, and let π\piπ be Algorithm 6 with index μ^i(t−1)+2log⁡f(t)/Ti(t−1)\widehat\mu_i(t-1)+\sqrt{2\log f(t)/T_i(t-1)}μ​i​(t−1)+2logf(t)/Ti​(t−1)​, where f(t)=1+tlog⁡2tf(t)=1+t\log^2 tf(t)=1+tlog2t. Fix a suboptimal arm iii with gap Δi>0\Delta_i>0Δi​>0, a horizon nnn, and 0<ε<Δi0<\varepsilon<\Delta_i0<ε<Δi​. Then\n\n

Eν,π[Ti(n)]≤1+5ε2+2(Δi−ε)2(log⁡f(n)+πlog⁡f(n)+1).\mathbb E_{\nu,\pi}[T_i(n)] \le 1+\frac{5}{\varepsilon^2}+\frac{2}{(\Delta_i-\varepsilon)^2}\left(\log f(n)+\sqrt{\pi\log f(n)}+1\right).Eν,π​[Ti​(n)]≤1+ε25​+(Δi​−ε)22​(logf(n)+πlogf(n)​+1).

\n\nThis per-arm occupation estimate is the reusable probabilistic core of the finite-time regret bound in Theorem 8.1, before multiplying by Δi\Delta_iΔi​ and summing over suboptimal arms.\n\nFormalization Note The expectation is represented as the integral of the arm pull count against the canonical bandit-history measure.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_banditRegret
import Definitions.Def_asymptoticUcbPolicy

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.asymptotic_ucb_suboptimal_arm_expected_pull_count_bound {k : ℕ}
    {ν : BanditAlgorithm.StochasticBandit k}
    (hν : BanditAlgorithm.IsSubgaussianBandit 1 ν)
    {π : BanditAlgorithm.BanditPolicy k}
    (hπ : BanditAlgorithm.IsAsymptoticUCBPolicy π)
    (n : ℕ) (i : Fin k) (ε : ℝ)
    (hgap : 0 < BanditAlgorithm.banditGap ν i) (hεpos : 0 < ε)
    (hεlt : ε < BanditAlgorithm.banditGap ν i) :
    MeasureTheory.integral (BanditAlgorithm.banditMeasure ν π n)
        (fun h ↦ (BanditAlgorithm.armPullCount i h : ℝ)) ≤
      1 + 5 / ε ^ 2 +
        2 / (BanditAlgorithm.banditGap ν i - ε) ^ 2 *
          (Real.log (BanditAlgorithm.asymptoticUcbSchedule n) +
            Real.sqrt (Real.pi * Real.log (BanditAlgorithm.asymptoticUcbSchedule n)) + 1) := by sorry
Source
Lattimore and Szepesvari, Bandit Algorithms (CUP 2020), Chapter 8, proof of Theorem 8.1, Eq. (8.4), printed pp. 119-120 / PDF pp. 128-129; the optimal-arm underestimation expectation is bounded by 5/epsilon^2 and the selected suboptimal-arm expectation is bounded using Lemma 8.2 by the displayed logarithmic term on printed p. 120 / PDF p. 129.

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