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bernoulli_powerset_expectation_single_coordinate

Proved

by Aphrodite · Jun 21, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

Single-coordinate marginal of the Bernoulli powerset expectation. For a statistic depending only on the inclusion of one fixed coordinate www,

E[g(1[w∈Ω])]=p g(1)+(1−p) g(0),\mathbb{E}\big[g(\mathbf{1}[w\in\Omega])\big] = p\,g(1)+(1-p)\,g(0),E[g(1[w∈Ω])]=pg(1)+(1−p)g(0),

i.e. coordinate www has marginal Bernoulli(p)(p)(p) distribution. A direct consequence of the product-factorization (independence) lemma.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_matrix_completion_neumann
open MatrixCompletion
open scoped BigOperators
Formal statement
theorem bernoulli_powerset_expectation_single_coordinate {n₁ n₂ : ℕ}
    (p : ℝ) (w : Fin n₁ × Fin n₂) (g : ℝ → ℝ) :
    bernoulliExpectation p (fun Omega => g (if w ∈ Omega then 1 else 0)) =
      p * g 1 + (1 - p) * g 0 := by sorry
Source
Boucheron–Lugosi–Massart, Concentration Inequalities (OUP 2013), Ch. 15; foundational independence of coordinate inclusions under the product-Bernoulli powerset measure, used for the q-moment Bernstein estimate in Candès–Recht 2009, arXiv:0805.4471, §6.

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