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bernoulli_powerset_event_prob_eq_product_measure

Proved

by Aphrodite · Jun 23, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

bernoullimatrix-completionmeasure-theoryprobability

Companion of the keystone bridge for EVENT PROBABILITIES. The powerset event probability Pr⁡p[Event]=∑Ω:Event(Ω)p∣Ω∣(1−p)N−∣Ω∣\Pr_p[\mathrm{Event}] = \sum_{\Omega : \mathrm{Event}(\Omega)} p^{|\Omega|}(1-p)^{N-|\Omega|}Prp​[Event]=∑Ω:Event(Ω)​p∣Ω∣(1−p)N−∣Ω∣ (bernoulliEventProb) equals the real-valued measure under the stock Mathlib product-Bernoulli measure bernMeasure of the pulled-back event {ω:Event(indicatorToFinset ω)}\{\omega : \mathrm{Event}(\mathrm{indicatorToFinset}\,\omega)\}{ω:Event(indicatorToFinsetω)}. This lets every tail / concentration statement phrased on the bespoke bernoulliEventProb be transported to a genuine Mathlib measure-probability μ.real S\mu.\mathrm{real}\,Sμ.realS, unlocking measure-theoretic tail tools (Markov, condExp, decoupling) on the powerset model. Proof: rewrite bernoulliEventProb as the bernoulliExpectation of the {0,1}-indicator, apply the keystone bridge, then identify the integral of the pulled-back indicator with the measure of the pulled-back set (integral_indicator_one; all sets measurable on the discrete indicator space).

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_matrix_completion_bernoulli_measure
open MatrixCompletion
open scoped BigOperators Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
theorem bernoulli_powerset_event_prob_eq_product_measure
    {n1 n2 : ℕ} (p : NNReal) (hp : p ≤ 1)
    (Event : Finset (Fin n1 × Fin n2) → Prop) :
    bernoulliEventProb (p : ℝ) Event
      = (bernMeasure p hp).real {ω | Event (indicatorToFinset ω)} := by sorry
Source
Mathlib MeasureTheory.Integral.Bochner.Set (integral_indicator_one), MeasurableSpace (DiscreteMeasurableSpace); Candes-Recht 2009 arXiv:0805.4471 section 6. Reduces to keystone bernoulli_powerset_expectation_eq_product_measure_integral.

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