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Data processing: a Markov kernel does not increase total variation distance

Proved
MarkovChainCLT.tvDist_comp_le

by LukeBernese · Aug 15, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

data-processingmarkov-chainprobabilitytotal-variation

Let KKK be a Markov kernel from X\mathsf XX to Y\mathsf YY and let μ,ν\mu,\nuμ,ν be probability measures on X\mathsf XX. Then

∥K ⁣∘ ⁣μ  −  K ⁣∘ ⁣ν∥  ≤  ∥μ−ν∥,\bigl\|K\!\circ\!\mu \;-\; K\!\circ\!\nu\bigr\| \;\le\; \|\mu-\nu\|,​K∘μ−K∘ν​≤∥μ−ν∥,

where K ⁣∘ ⁣μ=∫K(x,⋅) dμ(x)K\!\circ\!\mu = \int K(x,\cdot)\,\mathrm{d}\mu(x)K∘μ=∫K(x,⋅)dμ(x) is the law obtained by drawing a starting point from μ\muμ and then applying KKK.

Data processing. Randomly transforming two distributions by the same mechanism cannot make them easier to tell apart. Total variation distance is exactly the optimal error in distinguishing two distributions from one sample, and a Markov kernel is a randomized map, so this is the statement that post-processing cannot increase statistical distinguishability.

Use for Markov chains. This is the step that transports a convergence rate on the state space to a rate on path space. If ∥λPm−π∥≤ε\|\lambda P^m - \pi\| \le \varepsilon∥λPm−π∥≤ε, then applying the trajectory kernel to both sides gives

∥PλPm−Pπ∥  ≤  ε,\bigl\|\mathbb{P}_{\lambda P^m} - \mathbb{P}_\pi\bigr\| \;\le\; \varepsilon,​PλPm​−Pπ​​≤ε,

i.e. the entire future of the chain started from λ\lambdaλ and observed from time mmm onwards is within ε\varepsilonε, in total variation, of the stationary chain. For a uniformly ergodic chain ε=Rtm\varepsilon = Rt^mε=Rtm decays geometrically, and this is precisely what lets a central limit theorem proved for the stationary chain be transferred to an arbitrary initial distribution — the "for every initial distribution" clause in the Markov chain CLT.

Iterating KKK also gives the classical monotonicity ∥μPn+1−νPn+1∥≤∥μPn−νPn∥\|\mu P^{n+1} - \nu P^{n+1}\| \le \|\mu P^n - \nu P^n\|∥μPn+1−νPn+1∥≤∥μPn−νPn∥: the distance to stationarity never increases along the chain.

Proof. For a measurable B⊆YB \subseteq \mathsf YB⊆Y, the function g(x)=K(x,B)g(x) = K(x,B)g(x)=K(x,B) takes values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and is measurable, and by definition of composition

(K ⁣∘ ⁣μ)(B)=∫g dμ,(K ⁣∘ ⁣ν)(B)=∫g dν.(K\!\circ\!\mu)(B) = \int g \,\mathrm{d}\mu, \qquad (K\!\circ\!\nu)(B) = \int g\,\mathrm{d}\nu.(K∘μ)(B)=∫gdμ,(K∘ν)(B)=∫gdν.

Hence ∣(K ⁣∘ ⁣μ)(B)−(K ⁣∘ ⁣ν)(B)∣=∣∫g dμ−∫g dν∣≤∥μ−ν∥|(K\!\circ\!\mu)(B) - (K\!\circ\!\nu)(B)| = \bigl|\int g\,\mathrm{d}\mu - \int g\,\mathrm{d}\nu\bigr| \le \|\mu-\nu\|∣(K∘μ)(B)−(K∘ν)(B)∣=​∫gdμ−∫gdν​≤∥μ−ν∥, by the bound on differences of integrals of [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued functions. Taking the supremum over BBB finishes.

The essential point is that ggg is a function, not an indicator: the total variation distance is defined by testing against sets, and the whole content of the argument is that it also controls tests against arbitrary [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued functions.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_TotalVariationDist
import Mathlib.Probability.Kernel.Composition.MeasureComp

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
open MarkovChainCLT
open scoped ENNReal NNReal
Formal statement
theorem MarkovChainCLT.tvDist_comp_le {X Y : Type*} [MeasurableSpace X] [MeasurableSpace Y]
    (K : Kernel X Y) [IsMarkovKernel K] (μ ν : Measure X)
    [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] :
    tvDist (K ∘ₘ μ) (K ∘ₘ ν) ≤ tvDist μ ν := by sorry
Source
S. Kullback and R. A. Leibler, "On Information and Sufficiency", Ann. Math. Statist. 22 (1951) 79-86; D. A. Levin and Y. Peres, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, 2nd ed., AMS 2017, Lemma 4.11 and Exercise 4.2; S. P. Meyn and R. L. Tweedie, Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability, 2nd ed., Cambridge 2009, Ch. 16; L. Tierney, "Markov Chains for Exploring Posterior Distributions", Annals of Statistics 22 (1994) 1701-1728.

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