Main Theorem: a monotone plan is the unique excursion coupling
ProvedExcursionCoupling.monotone_plan_is_unique_excursion_couplingLet be mutually singular Borel probability measures on with finite first moments. Let be a transport plan with marginals that is concentrated on a monotone set of non-crossing, non-connecting, consistently oriented arches.
Then is Juillet's excursion coupling in the exact sense of the
named formal definition IsJuilletExcursionCoupling. Moreover, it is the
unique measure satisfying that definition:
The named definition says that the measure is exactly the completed-graph occupation measure from Juillet, Theorem 1.1, with the prescribed marginals; it is not merely a support condition. Propositions 3.5 and 3.6 remain separate milestones used to prove this final identification and uniqueness.
Formalization Note Finite first moments are expressed by integrability of the identity function.
import Definitions.Def_JuilletExcursionCoupling open MeasureTheory Set Function
namespace ExcursionCoupling
theorem monotone_plan_is_unique_excursion_coupling
(mu nu : Measure Real)
[IsProbabilityMeasure mu] [IsProbabilityMeasure nu]
(hsing : mu ⟂ₘ nu)
(hmu1 : Integrable (fun x : Real => x) mu)
(hnu1 : Integrable (fun x : Real => x) nu)
(gamma : Measure (Real × Real))
(hgammaFst : gamma.map Prod.fst = mu)
(hgammaSnd : gamma.map Prod.snd = nu)
(S : Set (Real × Real))
(hS : IsMonotoneArchSet S) (hgammaConc : gamma Sᶜ = 0) :
IsJuilletExcursionCoupling mu nu gamma ∧
∀ pi : Measure (Real × Real),
IsJuilletExcursionCoupling mu nu pi ->
pi = gamma := by sorry
end ExcursionCouplingRead-back
What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · openai-codex
Let and be mutually singular probability measures on , with the identity function integrable under each measure. Let be a measure on whose first and second marginals are and . Suppose that is concentrated on a monotone arch set .
Then
and, for every measure on ,
Thus the conclusion invokes the named formal definition directly. It asserts that is the completed-graph occupation measure specified by that definition and is the unique measure satisfying it; it does not assert uniqueness of the auxiliary pairing data witnessing the definition.
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).