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BanditAlgorithm.bandit_asymptotically_optimal_ucb_limsup

Proved

by Shuze Chen · Jul 19, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

asymptoticbanditsregretucb

(Asymptotic optimality) For any 1-subgaussian kkk-armed bandit and any instance of Algorithm 6,

lim sup⁡n→∞Rnlog⁡n≤∑i:Δi>02Δi\limsup_{n\to\infty} \frac{R_n}{\log n} \le \sum_{i:\Delta_i>0} \frac{2}{\Delta_i}n→∞limsup​lognRn​​≤i:Δi​>0∑​Δi​2​

— matching the Lai–Robbins lower bound (Mission VII) for unit-variance Gaussian rewards. Stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] via ENNReal.ofReal on both sides (mirroring the Mission VII liminf convention) so the limsup needs no boundedness side conditions.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_banditRegret
import Definitions.Def_asymptoticUcbPolicy


open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
Formal statement
theorem BanditAlgorithm.bandit_asymptotically_optimal_ucb_limsup {k : ℕ}
    {ν : StochasticBandit k} (hν : IsSubgaussianBandit 1 ν)
    {π : BanditPolicy k} (hπ : IsAsymptoticUCBPolicy π) :
    atTop.limsup
        (fun n : ℕ ↦ ENNReal.ofReal (banditRegret ν π n / Real.log n)) ≤
      ∑ i ∈ Finset.univ.filter (fun i ↦ 0 < banditGap ν i),
        ENNReal.ofReal (2 / banditGap ν i) := by
  sorry
Source
L&S Theorem 8.1, Eq. (8.2), p.117
Read-back

What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · claude-fable-5

Setup and notation. A kkk-armed bandit ν\nuν is a family of Borel probability measures (Pi)i<k(P_i)_{i<k}(Pi​)i<k​ on R\mathbb{R}R, with means μi=∫x dPi\mu_i=\int x\,dP_iμi​=∫xdPi​ (Bochner integral, 000 if not integrable), optimal value μ∗=sup⁡iμi\mu^{*}=\sup_i\mu_iμ∗=supi​μi​ (=0=0=0 when k=0k=0k=0) and gaps Δi=μ∗−μi\Delta_i=\mu^{*}-\mu_iΔi​=μ∗−μi​. For a policy π\piπ (a family of Markov kernels from length-mmm histories to arm distributions), Pν,πn\mathbb{P}^{n}_{\nu,\pi}Pν,πn​ is the canonical measure on length-nnn histories (point mass at the empty history for n=0n=0n=0; at each further step an arm is drawn from the policy kernel given the current history and a reward is drawn from that arm's distribution, and the pair is appended), and the expected regret is Rn=nμ∗−∫(∑t<nXt)dPν,πnR_n=n\mu^{*}-\int\bigl(\sum_{t<n}X_t\bigr)d\mathbb{P}^{n}_{\nu,\pi}Rn​=nμ∗−∫(∑t<n​Xt​)dPν,πn​ (integral =0=0=0 by convention if the total reward is not integrable). The schedule is f(t)=1+t(log⁡t)2f(t)=1+t(\log t)^2f(t)=1+t(logt)2 (log⁡0=0\log 0=0log0=0), the index of arm iii at a length-mmm history hhh is γi(h)=μ^i(h)+2log⁡f(m+1)/Ti(h)\gamma_i(h)=\hat\mu_i(h)+\sqrt{2\log f(m+1)/T_i(h)}γi​(h)=μ^​i​(h)+2logf(m+1)/Ti​(h)​ where TiT_iTi​, μ^i\hat\mu_iμ^​i​ are the pull count and empirical mean (both 000 for unpulled arms, by the x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 convention), and the policy property assumed of π\piπ is: at every history there is an arm aaa selected with probability one, which is unpulled if any arm is unpulled, and which maximizes γ\gammaγ (non-strictly, over all arms) if all arms are pulled. Write (x)+=max⁡(x,0)(x)^{+}=\max(x,0)(x)+=max(x,0), regarded as an element of the extended interval [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].

Assertion.

lim sup⁡n→∞ (Rnlog⁡n) ⁣+ ≤ ∑i: Δi>0(2Δi) ⁣+in [0,∞],\limsup_{n\to\infty}\ \Bigl(\frac{R_n}{\log n}\Bigr)^{\!+}\ \le\ \sum_{i:\,\Delta_i>0}\Bigl(\frac{2}{\Delta_i}\Bigr)^{\!+}\qquad\text{in }[0,\infty],n→∞limsup​ (lognRn​​)+ ≤ i:Δi​>0∑​(Δi​2​)+in [0,∞],

the limit superior being taken in the complete lattice [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] along n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞; the sum ranges over the arms with strictly positive gap, and for such arms (2/Δi)+=2/Δi(2/\Delta_i)^{+}=2/\Delta_i(2/Δi​)+=2/Δi​.

Hypotheses.

  • ν\nuν is 111-sub-Gaussian: each arm's identity is integrable and each centered variable x↦x−μix\mapsto x-\mu_ix↦x−μi​ satisfies ∫eλ(x−μi) dPi≤eλ2/2\int e^{\lambda(x-\mu_i)}\,dP_i\le e^{\lambda^{2}/2}∫eλ(x−μi​)dPi​≤eλ2/2 (with integrability) for every real λ\lambdaλ.
  • π\piπ satisfies the index-policy property described above.

Edge cases.

  • Negative values of Rn/log⁡nR_n/\log nRn​/logn are truncated to 000 before taking the limit superior.
  • For n∈{0,1}n\in\{0,1\}n∈{0,1}, log⁡n=0\log n=0logn=0 and the real division convention gives Rn/0=0R_n/0=0Rn​/0=0; these initial terms cannot affect the limsup.
  • If no arm has strictly positive gap, the right side is 000 and the claim asserts that the truncated limsup equals 000.
  • For k=0k=0k=0 the policy property is unsatisfiable, so the statement holds vacuously.
  • Only a non-strict upper bound on the limit superior is asserted — nothing about a liminf or an actual limit.
Human review
  • Endorsed by Community (Bot) · Jul 19, 2026

  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Jul 19, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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