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Uniform mixing makes the transition operator an L2L^2L2 contraction on mean-zero functions

Proved
MarkovChainCLT.integral_sq_iterKernel_le_of_tvDist

by LukeBernese · Aug 16, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

contractionmarkov-chainprobabilitytotal-variationuniform-ergodicity

A uniformly ergodic chain contracts L02(π)L^2_0(\pi)L02​(π). If the NNN-step kernel satisfies the uniform total-variation bound sup⁡x∥PN(x,⋅)−π∥≤ρ\sup_x\|P^N(x,\cdot)-\pi\| \le \rhosupx​∥PN(x,⋅)−π∥≤ρ, then for every square-integrable hhh with Eπh=0\mathbb E_\pi h = 0Eπ​h=0,

∥PNh∥L2(π)2  ≤  4ρ ∥h∥L2(π)2,i.e.∥PNh∥L2(π)≤2ρ ∥h∥L2(π).\bigl\|P^N h\bigr\|_{L^2(\pi)}^2 \;\le\; 4\rho\,\|h\|_{L^2(\pi)}^2, \qquad\text{i.e.}\qquad \bigl\|P^Nh\bigr\|_{L^2(\pi)} \le 2\sqrt{\rho}\,\|h\|_{L^2(\pi)} .​PNh​L2(π)2​≤4ρ∥h∥L2(π)2​,i.e.​PNh​L2(π)​≤2ρ​∥h∥L2(π)​.

Why this is the bridge from bounded to square-integrable observables. For a bounded hhh, uniform ergodicity gives ∥Pnh−πh∥∞≤2∥h∥∞Rtn\|P^nh - \pi h\|_\infty \le 2\|h\|_\infty Rt^n∥Pnh−πh∥∞​≤2∥h∥∞​Rtn directly, and everything — the Poisson equation, the martingale approximation, the central limit theorem — follows easily. For a merely square-integrable hhh that estimate is unavailable, and the sup-norm must be replaced by the L2L^2L2 norm. Interpolating naively fails; what works is the Cauchy–Schwarz bound against total variation, which costs a square root of the mixing rate but keeps the L2L^2L2 norm on the right-hand side.

Since ρ\rhoρ can be made as small as one likes by taking NNN large (uniform ergodicity gives ρ≤RtN\rho \le Rt^Nρ≤RtN), choosing ρ<1/4\rho < 1/4ρ<1/4 makes PNP^NPN a strict contraction of the mean-zero subspace L02(π)L^2_0(\pi)L02​(π), so that ∥Pnh∥L2(π)\|P^n h\|_{L^2(\pi)}∥Pnh∥L2(π)​ decays geometrically. This is what makes the Neumann series h^=∑n≥0Pnh\hat h = \sum_{n\ge0}P^n hh^=∑n≥0​Pnh converge in L2L^2L2 — solving the Poisson equation for square-integrable data — and what yields the summable covariances ∣Cov⁡(h(X0),h(Xn))∣≤∥h∥2∥Pnh∥2|\operatorname{Cov}(h(X_0),h(X_n))| \le \|h\|_2\|P^nh\|_2∣Cov(h(X0​),h(Xn​))∣≤∥h∥2​∥Pnh∥2​ behind the O(n)O(n)O(n) variance bound for partial sums.

Proof. For π\piπ-almost every xxx the measure PN(x,⋅)P^N(x,\cdot)PN(x,⋅) integrates h2h^2h2 (because ∫ ⁣ ⁣∫h2 dPN(x,⋅) dπ(x)=∫h2dπ<∞\int\!\!\int h^2\,dP^N(x,\cdot)\,d\pi(x) = \int h^2 d\pi < \infty∫∫h2dPN(x,⋅)dπ(x)=∫h2dπ<∞ by invariance), so the square-root total-variation inequality applies with μ=PN(x,⋅)\mu = P^N(x,\cdot)μ=PN(x,⋅), ν=π\nu = \piν=π. Using ∫h dπ=0\int h\,d\pi = 0∫hdπ=0,

∣(PNh)(x)∣  ≤  ρ (∫h2 dPN(x,⋅)+∥h∥L2(π)).\bigl|(P^Nh)(x)\bigr| \;\le\; \sqrt{\rho}\,\Bigl(\sqrt{\textstyle\int h^2\,dP^N(x,\cdot)} + \|h\|_{L^2(\pi)}\Bigr).​(PNh)(x)​≤ρ​(∫h2dPN(x,⋅)​+∥h∥L2(π)​).

Squaring and using (a+b)2≤2(a2+b2)(a+b)^2 \le 2(a^2+b^2)(a+b)2≤2(a2+b2),

(PNh)(x)2  ≤  2ρ(∫h2 dPN(x,⋅)+∥h∥L2(π)2),(P^Nh)(x)^2 \;\le\; 2\rho\Bigl(\int h^2\,dP^N(x,\cdot) + \|h\|_{L^2(\pi)}^2\Bigr),(PNh)(x)2≤2ρ(∫h2dPN(x,⋅)+∥h∥L2(π)2​),

and integrating in xxx against π\piπ — where invariance turns ∫ ⁣ ⁣∫h2 dPN(x,⋅) dπ(x)\int\!\!\int h^2\,dP^N(x,\cdot)\,d\pi(x)∫∫h2dPN(x,⋅)dπ(x) back into ∥h∥L2(π)2\|h\|_{L^2(\pi)}^2∥h∥L2(π)2​ — gives the factor 4ρ4\rho4ρ.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_MarkovErgodicity
import Definitions.Def_MarkovIterKernel
import Definitions.Def_TotalVariationDist
import Mathlib.Probability.Kernel.Invariance
import Mathlib.MeasureTheory.Integral.Bochner.Set

open Filter Function MeasurableSpace MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
open MarkovChainCLT
open scoped ENNReal NNReal Topology
Formal statement
theorem MarkovChainCLT.integral_sq_iterKernel_le_of_tvDist {X : Type*} [MeasurableSpace X]
    (P : Kernel X X) [IsMarkovKernel P] (π : Measure X) [IsProbabilityMeasure π]
    (hinv : Kernel.Invariant P π) (N : ℕ) (ρ : ℝ) (hρ0 : 0 ≤ ρ)
    (hρ : ∀ x, tvDist (iterKernel P N x) π ≤ ρ)
    (h : X → ℝ) (hh : Measurable h) (hL2 : Integrable (fun x => (h x) ^ 2) π)
    (hmean : ∫ x, h x ∂π = 0) :
    ∫ x, (∫ y, h y ∂(iterKernel P N x)) ^ 2 ∂π ≤ 4 * ρ * ∫ x, (h x) ^ 2 ∂π := by sorry
Source
S. P. Meyn and R. L. Tweedie, Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability, 2nd ed., Cambridge 2009, Ch. 16 (Theorem 16.0.2); E. Nummelin, General Irreducible Markov Chains and Non-negative Operators, Cambridge 1984, Ch. 6; L. Tierney, "Markov Chains for Exploring Posterior Distributions", Annals of Statistics 22 (1994) 1701-1728; G. L. Jones, "On the Markov Chain Central Limit Theorem", Probability Surveys 1 (2004) 299-320, Section 2.

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